Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Santa Susana East (connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.0690597E-50.033329671085.98950.03331.2249697E-41.3152596E-40.040406227307.211060.040280.00149038030.00160040790.0542759733.9138370.052760.0148042440.0159141830.0785414054.93530850.06364
6.12.858397E-53.0690597E-50.033329671085.98950.03331.2249697E-41.3152596E-40.040406227307.211060.040280.00149038030.00160040790.0542759733.9138370.052760.0148042440.0159141830.0785414054.93530850.06364
6.22.858397E-53.0690597E-50.033329671085.98950.03331.2249697E-41.3152596E-40.040406227307.211060.040280.00149038030.00160040790.0542759733.9138370.052760.0148042440.0159141830.0785414054.93530850.06364
6.31.943582E-51.9568364E-50.017799221909.59160.017788.329371E-58.38623E-50.021532064256.754970.021450.0010136290.00102064830.02908197828.4936310.028090.0100901810.0101699560.0437944834.3062610.03397
6.41.943582E-51.9568364E-50.017799221909.59160.017788.329371E-58.38623E-50.021532064256.754970.021450.0010136290.00102064830.02908197828.4936310.028090.0100901810.0101699560.0437944834.3062610.03397
6.51.943582E-51.9568364E-50.017799221909.59160.017788.329371E-58.38623E-50.021532064256.754970.021450.0010136290.00102064830.02908197828.4936310.028090.0100901810.0101699560.0437944834.3062610.03397
6.61.943582E-51.9568364E-50.017799221909.59160.017788.329371E-58.38623E-50.021532064256.754970.021450.0010136290.00102064830.02908197828.4936310.028090.0100901810.0101699560.0437944834.3062610.03397
6.71.9404439E-51.9556857E-50.01778921909.61490.017778.3159226E-58.381299E-50.02149202256.428250.021410.00101199330.00102004850.02903144628.4608480.028040.0100739710.0101640120.0437392484.30334470.03392
6.81.2217526E-51.1168109E-50.008021079718.212770.008015.2359774E-54.7862537E-50.009747398203.654040.00976.372938E-45.825861E-40.0135450323.2498320.012970.00635469240.0058123150.0213415273.67177750.01562
6.91.2217526E-51.1168109E-50.008021079718.212770.008015.2359774E-54.7862537E-50.009747398203.654040.00976.372938E-45.825861E-40.0135450323.2498320.012970.00635469240.0058123150.0213415273.67177750.01562
7.09.276017E-67.761541E-60.004687725603.96840.004683.9753755E-53.326334E-50.0057130745171.752870.005684.8389446E-44.0490908E-40.00801182819.7867320.007610.00482842140.00404221470.0131751483.25938820.00917
7.19.130355E-67.6492615E-60.004637614606.282530.004633.9129503E-53.2782158E-50.0056325984171.819030.00564.7629757E-43.9905283E-40.00790605619.8120540.007510.004752780.00398386360.0129878493.2601140.00904
7.28.851015E-67.4561726E-60.004497423603.181150.004493.7932372E-53.1954653E-50.0054417816170.297010.005414.6172875E-43.8898157E-40.007636161519.6311650.007250.00460770540.00388350550.0125895643.2418040.00874
7.38.573006E-67.2711273E-60.0043372395596.501650.004333.6740938E-53.116162E-50.005240999168.187640.005214.472291E-43.793298E-40.00736667819.4202460.006990.0044633010.00378731270.0121554993.20953150.0084
7.47.852282E-66.562192E-60.0038265372583.11880.003823.36522E-52.8123392E-50.004637994164.915880.004614.096385E-43.4235127E-40.006420269618.7534560.006080.00408884230.00341869980.010653883.11635450.00726
7.54.8869324E-64.1412295E-60.0023441315566.047240.002342.0943828E-51.7748014E-50.0028476978160.451630.002832.5496128E-42.160622E-40.0038352817.7508140.003620.00254668950.00215863530.00648926663.00618960.00434
7.61.3894544E-61.1265222E-65.9112586E-4524.735175.9E-45.954791E-64.827945E-67.048246E-4145.988547.0E-47.249717E-55.8778853E-59.2872774E-415.8003728.7E-47.247352E-45.876537E-40.0016570252.819730.00107
7.72.9924632E-72.299393E-78.022992E-5348.917828.0E-51.2824837E-69.854539E-71.0098536E-4102.475991.0E-41.5614127E-51.1997841E-51.2199652E-410.1682061.1E-41.5613029E-41.1997262E-42.3995823E-42.00010821.2E-4
7.84.8188564E-82.418288E-82.418288E-81.00.02.065224E-71.03640915E-71.03640915E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.2618275E-61.2618275E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.261821E-51.261821E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7394025E-92.7394025E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.1740297E-81.1740297E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.429381E-71.429381E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4293811E-61.4293811E-61.00.0

Mission Hills 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8765717E-51.8471645E-50.0213780781157.34560.021368.0422025E-57.916362E-50.026097104329.66030.026029.786983E-49.6371514E-40.03536053436.6918950.034430.0097439920.0096271590.051381285.33711770.04216
6.11.8765717E-51.8471645E-50.0213780781157.34560.021368.0422025E-57.916362E-50.026097104329.66030.026029.786983E-49.6371514E-40.03536053436.6918950.034430.0097439920.0096271590.051381285.33711770.04216
6.21.8765717E-51.8471645E-50.0213780781157.34560.021368.0422025E-57.916362E-50.026097104329.66030.026029.786983E-49.6371514E-40.03536053436.6918950.034430.0097439920.0096271590.051381285.33711770.04216
6.31.8765717E-51.8471645E-50.0213780781157.34560.021368.0422025E-57.916362E-50.026097104329.66030.026029.786983E-49.6371514E-40.03536053436.6918950.034430.0097439920.0096271590.051381285.33711770.04216
6.44.566357E-62.398576E-60.0022523932939.05430.002251.9569954E-51.027958E-50.0027402516266.572330.002732.3823815E-41.2514829E-40.00391467431.2802830.003790.0023798290.0012509340.00573531724.5848280.00449
6.54.566357E-62.398576E-60.0022523932939.05430.002251.9569954E-51.027958E-50.0027402516266.572330.002732.3823815E-41.2514829E-40.00391467431.2802830.003790.0023798290.0012509340.00573531724.5848280.00449
6.64.566357E-62.398576E-60.0022523932939.05430.002251.9569954E-51.027958E-50.0027402516266.572330.002732.3823815E-41.2514829E-40.00391467431.2802830.003790.0023798290.0012509340.00573531724.5848280.00449
6.72.3266773E-61.2910082E-68.9128985E-4690.38288.9E-49.971435E-65.532881E-60.0010255273185.351410.001021.2139547E-46.73608E-50.001557260423.11820.001490.00121329176.734094E-40.00246220383.65632580.00179
6.82.032735E-61.1564804E-67.9115556E-4684.10647.9E-48.711692E-64.956335E-68.8495197E-4178.549678.8E-41.06059684E-46.0341754E-50.001340264622.211230.001280.00106009086.0325814E-40.0021523233.5678310.00155
6.91.3186259E-61.0339999E-66.510333E-4629.62616.5E-45.6512413E-64.4314206E-67.344282E-4165.7327.3E-46.8801695E-55.395124E-50.001083895720.0902820.001036.8780396E-45.393843E-40.00182868853.39032580.00129
7.01.2726016E-69.942491E-76.409936E-4644.70126.4E-45.4539955E-64.261061E-67.24258E-4169.971287.2E-46.6400375E-55.187721E-50.001071824320.6607930.001026.6380535E-45.186537E-40.0017879953.44737720.00127
7.11.2063913E-69.361385E-75.909356E-4631.2485.9E-45.170238E-64.0120162E-66.6400936E-4165.505166.6E-46.294583E-54.8845228E-59.887993E-420.2435199.4E-46.2928005E-44.883474E-40.00166777113.41513280.00118
7.29.105806E-77.208754E-74.6072053E-4639.11264.6E-43.9024826E-63.0894623E-65.130879E-4166.076755.1E-44.7511687E-53.761357E-57.275876E-419.3437546.9E-44.7501532E-43.7607353E-40.001235753.2859278.6E-4
7.37.020432E-75.567934E-73.3055662E-4593.67913.3E-43.0087533E-62.3862553E-63.8238536E-4160.244933.8E-43.6630954E-52.9052284E-55.1903806E-417.8656544.9E-43.6624918E-42.9048612E-49.303002E-43.20256356.4E-4
7.45.3900635E-74.324827E-72.6043237E-4602.17992.6E-42.3100251E-61.853496E-62.9185295E-4157.46082.9E-42.8124194E-52.2566092E-54.0255752E-417.8390453.8E-42.8120633E-42.2563916E-47.0553087E-43.12681034.8E-4
7.52.907075E-72.2088996E-78.0220874E-5363.17128.0E-51.2458887E-69.466709E-79.094659E-596.069919.0E-51.5168589E-51.1525659E-51.4152416E-412.2790511.3E-41.5167553E-41.1525078E-43.052289E-42.64838891.9E-4
7.61.6903675E-71.1790112E-74.0117895E-5340.267274.0E-57.2444305E-75.052905E-74.050527E-580.162354.0E-58.820059E-66.151895E-65.6151588E-59.1275275.0E-58.8197085E-56.151736E-51.4151244E-42.3003668.0E-5
7.77.168073E-83.5686547E-83.5686547E-81.00.03.072031E-71.5294233E-71.5294233E-71.00.03.7401915E-61.8620714E-61.8620714E-61.00.03.7401285E-51.8620567E-51.8620567E-51.00.0
7.86.564101E-83.0500136E-83.0500136E-81.00.02.813186E-71.3071485E-71.3071485E-71.00.03.4250486E-61.5914524E-61.5914524E-61.00.03.424996E-51.5914418E-51.5914418E-51.00.0
7.91.0029074E-83.250214E-93.250214E-91.00.04.2981743E-81.3929489E-81.3929489E-81.00.05.2330256E-71.6959153E-71.6959153E-71.00.05.2330133E-61.6959148E-61.6959148E-61.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.12.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.22.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.32.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.42.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.52.674877E-52.6137555E-50.02024561774.57930.020221.1463255E-41.1201388E-40.024569275219.341340.024460.00139475780.00136302030.03328944424.4232940.031970.0138603620.0135572280.051752293.8173210.03872
6.62.6647976E-52.6018639E-50.020125495773.5030.02011.14200615E-41.11504276E-40.024418794218.994230.024310.00138950560.00135682360.03309370224.3905720.031780.0138084940.0134960170.0514862843.81492450.03851
6.72.6647976E-52.6018639E-50.020125495773.5030.02011.14200615E-41.11504276E-40.024418794218.994230.024310.00138950560.00135682360.03309370224.3905720.031780.0138084940.0134960170.0514862843.81492450.03851
6.81.9073179E-51.6973776E-50.009986805588.36670.009978.1739636E-57.274282E-50.012231858168.15210.012169.947256E-48.853008E-40.01701101319.2149520.016140.0099028480.0088196290.0281278233.18922950.01948
6.91.9041876E-51.6956998E-50.009976788588.358150.009968.160549E-57.267092E-50.012221788168.17990.012159.930939E-48.8442606E-40.01700016119.2216850.016130.00988667550.0088109510.0281094033.190280.01947
7.01.5917482E-51.3340829E-50.0065632532491.967440.006556.8215995E-55.7173755E-50.008076715141.266140.008028.302132E-46.958724E-40.011268510516.1933570.010580.0082711850.006937570.0196686312.83508920.01282
7.11.577788E-51.3225725E-50.00652314493.216060.006516.761774E-55.6680467E-50.00799623141.075590.007948.2293496E-46.898705E-40.01115264716.1662920.010470.0081989410.00687792340.0194707122.83089970.01268
7.21.5416446E-51.2964973E-50.0063628824490.774840.006356.606882E-55.556301E-50.007775134139.933640.007728.0409093E-46.7627395E-40.01084938916.042890.010180.0080118770.00674278570.0190095122.81923720.01235
7.31.4534083E-51.2245817E-50.0060721715495.85680.006066.228744E-55.248104E-50.0073820963140.662160.007337.580857E-46.3877343E-40.01034257116.1912980.009710.0075550480.0063699880.0180650132.8359570.01177
7.41.2858995E-51.0822026E-50.0052407654484.26840.005235.5108816E-54.6379308E-50.0064260834138.554960.006386.7074323E-45.6452537E-40.00899976115.9421720.008440.00668722340.00563147850.0157939252.80457850.01022
7.58.827668E-67.556859E-60.0035275302466.798460.003523.7832317E-53.238615E-50.004322247133.459750.004294.605111E-43.9423234E-40.005902060314.971020.005510.00459557960.0039355220.0106390362.70333550.00673
7.63.2533426E-62.8017014E-60.0011227985400.755980.001121.3942822E-51.2007238E-50.0013819907115.096470.001371.6974064E-41.4617867E-40.001905921413.03830.001760.00169611040.001460860.00366763172.51059750.00221
7.71.2751709E-61.1204551E-63.5112005E-4313.37273.5E-45.4650063E-64.801942E-64.148E-486.3817144.1E-46.653442E-55.846216E-55.484335E-49.3814.9E-46.6514505E-45.844761E-40.00121410782.07725836.3E-4
7.83.067544E-73.201457E-79.0320114E-5282.121929.0E-51.3146611E-61.3720522E-69.137193E-566.595089.0E-51.600588E-51.6704618E-51.2670278E-47.5848951.1E-41.6004729E-41.6703462E-42.970129E-41.77815181.3E-4
7.97.622999E-87.996389E-87.996389E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4270235E-73.4270235E-71.00.03.977564E-64.172395E-62.4172312E-55.793392.0E-53.977493E-54.172337E-57.172212E-51.71899153.0E-5

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.13.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.23.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.33.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.43.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.53.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.63.155064E-52.8630657E-50.00667844233.261860.006651.3521002E-41.2269725E-40.00836168668.1489260.008240.0016449390.00149285140.0125063858.3775160.011030.016328160.0148323210.028171491.89933130.01354
6.73.098897E-52.7989014E-50.006677803238.586580.006651.328031E-41.199476E-40.0083489669.6050640.008230.00161567850.00145941940.01244336558.5262440.0110.0160398220.0145023820.0278164541.91806110.01351
6.83.0449872E-52.7381237E-50.0066472242.764790.006621.3049292E-41.1734308E-40.0083263870.957570.008210.00158759350.00142775080.0123820888.6724430.010970.0157629920.0141897430.0274784661.9365020.01348
6.92.697928E-52.3471006E-50.0065133185277.504880.006491.15620365E-41.00586265E-40.00814977781.022760.008050.00140676890.00122397010.0119308499.74766350.010720.01397896650.0121746910.0251448382.06533670.01313
7.02.4893961E-52.1173697E-50.006471037305.61680.006451.0668404E-49.074135E-50.008060018588.824090.007970.00129810430.00110423270.01170251710.5978720.010610.0129054770.0109894550.0238070322.16635230.01296
7.12.0945363E-51.6778384E-50.0061466754366.34490.006138.976275E-57.19054E-50.007611363105.8524550.007540.00109231368.75101E-40.01082638512.3715830.009960.01086960.0087172630.0207216962.37708760.01211
7.22.0439404E-51.6246646E-50.006126147377.071530.006118.7594504E-56.962665E-50.0075791036108.853490.007510.00106594138.4737904E-40.010748981512.6849750.009910.0106084270.0084421760.0203805322.41413260.01204
7.31.8463334E-51.4870068E-50.0058447835393.056920.005837.912617E-56.372733E-50.007173274112.561970.007119.6293533E-47.7560806E-40.01022827113.1874220.009460.0095877340.0077296580.0191308452.47499230.01149
7.41.763139E-51.4032814E-50.0053839576383.669130.005377.556091E-56.0139264E-50.0066397437110.4061360.006589.1956573E-47.319532E-40.0094455712.904610.008720.0091576990.0072960160.017778972.43680520.01056
7.51.3594944E-51.0831783E-50.0037107917342.583650.00375.8262744E-54.6421115E-50.00457621198.5803760.004537.0911803E-45.650329E-40.006471693511.4536590.005910.0070685950.00563617560.0128453132.27908330.00725
7.66.9889534E-65.5077944E-60.0012655009229.765440.001262.9952313E-52.3604622E-50.001593567567.5108260.001573.646084E-42.8734878E-40.00237674828.2713010.002090.00364010730.0028698140.0054723241.90685670.00261
7.74.0824193E-63.2147848E-65.232131E-4162.752155.2E-41.7495966E-51.3777577E-56.637686E-448.1774566.5E-42.1299256E-41.6772922E-49.9759E-45.94762238.3E-40.00212788510.00167603880.00269432921.60755780.00102
7.81.7023609E-61.4143629E-61.5141415E-4107.0546651.5E-47.295812E-66.0615416E-62.0606033E-433.994712.0E-48.882289E-57.379679E-53.4377686E-44.65842532.7E-48.8787393E-47.377256E-40.00106748221.44699083.3E-4
7.92.721225E-72.2207414E-71.0222072E-546.031.0E-51.1662388E-69.5174596E-73.0951716E-532.5209853.0E-51.4198865E-51.1587448E-57.158675E-56.17795666.0E-51.4197957E-41.15868716E-41.9585945E-41.69035668.0E-5
8.09.364255E-94.7265396E-94.7265396E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.0256598E-82.0256598E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.4662407E-72.4662407E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.4662381E-62.4662381E-61.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.174868E-50.0029816844137.097260.002969.4235686E-59.320553E-50.004192823544.9847030.00410.00114671560.00113422850.00731720786.4512640.006190.0114081630.011288640.019544381.73133160.00835
6.12.198912E-52.174868E-50.0029816844137.097260.002969.4235686E-59.320553E-50.004192823544.9847030.00410.00114671560.00113422850.00731720786.4512640.006190.0114081630.011288640.019544381.73133160.00835
6.21.69983E-51.6261176E-50.0021362267131.369750.002127.284782E-56.968905E-50.003029482743.471430.002968.865613E-48.4816176E-40.00522444686.15972950.004380.0088303270.0084520320.0142327571.6839450.00583
6.31.69983E-51.6261176E-50.0021362267131.369750.002127.284782E-56.968905E-50.003029482743.471430.002968.865613E-48.4816176E-40.00522444686.15972950.004380.0088303270.0084520320.0142327571.6839450.00583
6.41.4666188E-51.37001E-50.0017236767125.8148960.001716.285358E-55.8713526E-50.002448573241.703730.002397.6497364E-47.1462645E-40.00428207545.9920470.003570.00762345640.0071256440.0118517261.66324990.00476
6.51.4666188E-51.37001E-50.0017236767125.8148960.001716.285358E-55.8713526E-50.002448573241.703730.002397.6497364E-47.1462645E-40.00428207545.9920470.003570.00762345640.0071256440.0118517261.66324990.00476
6.61.4377586E-51.3383776E-50.0016933613126.523440.001686.1616774E-55.735791E-50.002417222642.142790.002367.4992597E-46.981325E-40.0042056826.0241890.003510.0074740030.0069617460.0115793741.66328590.00465
6.71.3881404E-51.2873106E-50.0016428521127.618940.001635.9490372E-55.516942E-50.002335043642.3249630.002287.240546E-46.7150424E-40.0040292486.00033140.003360.0072170.00669708660.0111073521.65853490.00444
6.81.0176516E-58.9083605E-60.0011488982128.968540.001144.3612912E-53.817822E-50.001658116443.430950.001625.308578E-44.6473645E-40.0028636216.16181760.00240.00529591460.0046391990.00759542031.63722670.00297
6.99.699797E-68.540374E-60.0011285308132.140670.001124.15699E-53.660118E-50.00162654344.4396320.001595.05996E-44.4554388E-40.00280449246.2945370.002360.0050484540.0044480450.0073650121.65578640.00293
7.07.4049476E-66.3828425E-60.0010663761167.069150.001063.1735104E-52.735482E-50.001517314155.4678880.001493.8630638E-43.3300606E-40.00251228017.54424760.002180.00385635530.00332625260.00599733831.80303160.00268
7.13.873439E-62.6775854E-67.526756E-4281.102367.5E-41.6600346E-51.1475317E-59.814642E-485.528299.7E-42.0209046E-41.3970325E-40.001549506211.0914130.001410.00201906780.00139617580.00306384432.19445440.00167
7.23.417706E-62.2940294E-66.522925E-4284.343576.5E-41.4647229E-59.831519E-68.4982323E-486.438658.4E-41.7831543E-41.1969238E-40.001379541611.5257260.001260.00178172420.00119629960.0026845172.24401740.00149
7.31.90225E-61.3626363E-64.0136208E-4294.54824.0E-48.152474E-65.8398573E-65.5583665E-495.179835.5E-49.9251854E-57.1097966E-59.210375E-412.9544868.5E-49.920754E-47.107543E-40.00171004352.4059560.001
7.41.5170556E-61.0638711E-62.9106357E-4273.589142.9E-46.5016507E-64.5594393E-64.245575E-493.1161654.2E-47.915472E-55.5509772E-57.1547314E-412.8891386.6E-47.9126534E-45.5496016E-40.00131453842.36870777.6E-4
7.51.178732E-68.190882E-72.1081892E-4257.382452.1E-45.0516987E-63.5103733E-62.8350938E-480.763322.8E-46.1502695E-54.2737964E-54.927187E-411.5288314.5E-46.148568E-44.2729836E-49.370804E-42.19303545.1E-4
7.66.8722386E-74.513583E-79.0451314E-5200.398049.0E-52.9452417E-61.9343913E-61.3193414E-468.2044751.3E-43.5857727E-52.355096E-52.635453E-411.1904272.4E-43.5851944E-42.3548475E-44.8542587E-42.061392.5E-4
7.75.5126515E-73.411935E-75.0341176E-5147.544365.0E-52.3625628E-61.462257E-68.146214E-555.709868.0E-52.8763823E-51.7802835E-51.4780051E-48.3020771.3E-42.87601E-41.7801418E-43.0799105E-41.73014891.3E-4
7.83.3860243E-71.8514093E-71.8514093E-71.00.01.4511525E-67.9346086E-71.0793453E-513.6030051.0E-51.7667637E-59.6603435E-61.9660247E-52.03514981.0E-51.7666233E-49.659928E-51.06598316E-41.10351041.0E-5
7.92.7955386E-71.331386E-71.331386E-71.00.01.1980875E-65.7059384E-71.05705885E-518.525591.0E-51.4586617E-56.9469584E-61.694689E-52.43946891.0E-51.458566E-46.9467445E-57.946675E-51.14394241.0E-5
8.05.6259015E-83.1038557E-83.1038557E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.3302238E-71.3302238E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.6195464E-61.6195464E-61.00.02.935472E-51.6195358E-51.6195358E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.12.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.22.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.32.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.42.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.52.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.62.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.72.3476267E-51.7387403E-50.0037873217217.819870.003771.0060869E-47.451533E-50.004674172562.727660.00460.00122422259.0684986E-40.00726108258.0069280.006360.0121750020.0090320230.0169003081.87115430.00794
6.82.3241924E-51.7163808E-50.0037770993220.061860.003769.960445E-57.3557116E-50.004663219763.3958970.004590.00121200958.9519325E-40.0072395098.08709050.006350.0120542040.0089164650.0167658461.88032440.00792
6.92.2761007E-51.6673963E-50.0037766113226.497510.003769.7543525E-57.145791E-50.004651130665.0890960.004580.00118694548.6965587E-40.00720414248.28390.006340.0118062560.0086630960.0164847451.90286980.00789
7.02.240283E-51.6319964E-50.0037762586231.38890.003769.600859E-56.994085E-50.004639621466.336360.004570.00116827778.5120025E-40.0071758128.4302280.006330.0116215490.0084799540.016293131.92137040.00788
7.12.1871154E-51.5862253E-50.0037758027238.036970.003769.373015E-56.797933E-50.00463766968.221750.004570.00114056718.273371E-40.00715218.6447230.006330.0113473090.0082431130.0160383231.94566320.00786
7.22.0714133E-51.4886441E-50.0036848318247.52940.003678.8771834E-56.379749E-50.004543511771.217720.004480.00108026117.7646057E-40.00698163878.991620.006210.0107502490.0077379950.0153883351.98867210.00771
7.31.8408395E-51.3411255E-50.0035933633267.936370.003587.8890735E-55.7475558E-50.004407225676.679990.004359.600714E-46.995429E-40.006675369.5424590.005980.0095593420.0069738980.0143421522.05654740.00742
7.41.6856795E-51.23230175E-50.0032222834261.484950.003217.2241404E-55.2811876E-50.004002603275.789830.003958.7918417E-46.427975E-40.00608929439.4731150.005450.008757140.0064098570.013166272.05406620.0068
7.51.2822778E-59.206626E-60.0021591869234.525310.002155.495361E-53.945638E-50.002699351468.413560.002666.688548E-44.80277E-40.00404856268.4296410.003570.0066684520.00479250770.0093007981.94069540.00453
7.65.6272684E-63.7182235E-68.137152E-4218.845158.1E-42.4116642E-51.5935148E-50.001015919363.7533650.0012.9358055E-41.9399323E-40.00157372558.112270.001380.00293193010.00193824890.00380462431.96291840.00187
7.73.5261346E-62.2564568E-64.8225536E-4213.722414.8E-41.5111918E-59.6704935E-66.196646E-464.0778666.1E-41.8397206E-41.17731965E-49.576331E-48.1340118.4E-40.00183819840.00117670270.00228539641.94220390.00111
7.81.4826929E-61.0219906E-61.6102183E-4157.557051.6E-46.354383E-64.3799523E-61.9437911E-444.3792761.9E-47.736187E-55.3324635E-53.4330916E-46.4380972.9E-47.733494E-45.331203E-49.4290177E-41.76864724.1E-4
7.92.7568166E-71.6227031E-74.0162264E-5247.502234.0E-51.1814923E-66.95444E-75.069541E-572.896465.0E-51.4384574E-58.466998E-69.846623E-511.6294159.0E-51.4383643E-48.466679E-51.8465832E-42.18100071.0E-4
8.05.407832E-82.4657128E-81.0024657E-5406.562231.0E-52.3176422E-71.056734E-71.0105672E-595.631191.0E-52.8217257E-61.2865729E-62.1286547E-516.5451552.0E-52.8216898E-51.2865658E-53.2865402E-52.5545062.0E-5

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.5613146E-50.00231553265.019030.002281.3829143E-41.5262191E-40.00330214121.636090.003150.00168239790.00185713280.006937683.73569420.005090.0166971780.0184697530.0256938151.39112940.00736
6.13.2269712E-53.5613146E-50.00231553265.019030.002281.3829143E-41.5262191E-40.00330214121.636090.003150.00168239790.00185713280.006937683.73569420.005090.0166971780.0184697530.0256938151.39112940.00736
6.23.2269712E-53.5613146E-50.00231553265.019030.002281.3829143E-41.5262191E-40.00330214121.636090.003150.00168239790.00185713280.006937683.73569420.005090.0166971780.0184697530.0256938151.39112940.00736
6.33.2269712E-53.5613146E-50.00231553265.019030.002281.3829143E-41.5262191E-40.00330214121.636090.003150.00168239790.00185713280.006937683.73569420.005090.0166971780.0184697530.0256938151.39112940.00736
6.41.4404779E-51.4548935E-54.845421E-433.3043024.7E-46.1733306E-56.2351115E-57.3230936E-411.7449286.7E-47.513438E-47.5886527E-40.00189800012.5011030.001140.00748808540.0075632630.0092901031.22831940.00174
6.51.4404779E-51.4548935E-54.845421E-433.3043024.7E-46.1733306E-56.2351115E-57.3230936E-411.7449286.7E-47.513438E-47.5886527E-40.00189800012.5011030.001140.00748808540.0075632630.0092901031.22831940.00174
6.61.280208E-51.2757924E-53.827532E-430.0012133.7E-45.4864904E-55.4675682E-55.2465E-49.5956744.7E-46.6777546E-46.654748E-40.00149492242.24639998.3E-40.0066577240.00663502140.007936331.19612720.00131
6.71.2457027E-51.2381868E-53.5237765E-428.4591673.4E-45.3386164E-55.306408E-54.730418E-48.9145384.2E-46.497827E-46.458653E-40.00141536792.19142917.7E-40.006478860.0064400710.0076720851.19130440.00124
6.81.2095134E-51.1991233E-53.5198717E-429.3537083.4E-45.1835254E-55.1389994E-54.713684E-49.1723774.2E-46.309115E-46.254951E-40.0013750262.19830017.5E-40.00629123250.0062375260.0074499161.19437040.00122
6.91.1104036E-51.0934387E-53.4093077E-431.1796883.3E-44.758786E-54.6860827E-54.3684256E-49.3221263.9E-45.7922816E-45.703824E-40.00124000022.17398056.7E-40.0057772070.00568932340.00677312171.19049690.00109
7.01.0577444E-51.0368694E-53.3036538E-431.861813.2E-44.5331115E-54.443651E-54.2441962E-49.55114653.8E-45.5176654E-45.4088136E-40.00120052442.21957066.6E-40.00550398560.00539578120.00641027741.18801650.00102
7.11.0021775E-59.777159E-63.0977422E-431.683463.0E-44.294976E-54.1901443E-53.9188677E-49.3525843.5E-45.2278786E-45.1003176E-40.00111972062.19539386.1E-40.00521559640.00508873860.00603390441.18573689.5E-4
7.28.874109E-68.565193E-62.6856296E-431.3551582.6E-43.8031343E-53.6707457E-53.466961E-49.444843.1E-44.629332E-44.468227E-40.00100657252.25273355.6E-40.00461970.00445935550.00531552031.1919938.6E-4
7.37.5504267E-67.353895E-62.373522E-432.2757152.3E-43.235857E-53.1516316E-53.115075E-49.88400652.8E-43.9389438E-43.8364457E-48.934489E-42.32884555.1E-40.00393196940.00382992490.0045870141.19767737.6E-4
7.46.309394E-66.0538605E-62.0605265E-434.036572.0E-42.703998E-52.5944863E-52.6593864E-410.2501462.4E-43.2916202E-43.1583384E-47.157075E-42.26608874.0E-40.0032867490.00315394250.00373211321.18331685.8E-4
7.54.6103073E-64.3449745E-61.6434428E-437.823991.6E-41.975831E-51.8621191E-52.0861765E-411.2032391.9E-42.4053088E-42.2669007E-45.5661524E-42.45540213.3E-40.0024027070.00226465450.00272361281.20266154.6E-4
7.61.2858658E-61.2855426E-68.128544E-563.2304538.0E-55.5108417E-65.509457E-68.550902E-515.5204088.0E-56.7092435E-56.707564E-51.7706826E-42.63982961.1E-46.707218E-46.705607E-48.2046015E-41.22354341.5E-4
7.75.3302307E-75.5595507E-72.0555945E-536.974112.0E-52.2843826E-62.3826626E-62.2382615E-59.393952.0E-52.7812002E-52.9008568E-54.9007987E-51.68943142.0E-52.7808524E-42.900513E-43.200426E-41.10343.0E-5
7.84.613933E-84.768427E-84.768427E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0436114E-72.0436114E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.4880942E-62.4880942E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.4880674E-52.4880674E-51.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.2785116E-50.003032686792.501940.0031.4219063E-41.4050145E-40.00396996328.2556760.003830.00172979620.00170950540.0069305654.05413440.005230.0171639320.0169876370.0237802531.39985640.00691
6.13.3179622E-53.2785116E-50.003032686792.501940.0031.4219063E-41.4050145E-40.00396996328.2556760.003830.00172979620.00170950540.0069305654.05413440.005230.0171639320.0169876370.0237802531.39985640.00691
6.23.3179622E-53.2785116E-50.003032686792.501940.0031.4219063E-41.4050145E-40.00396996328.2556760.003830.00172979620.00170950540.0069305654.05413440.005230.0171639320.0169876370.0237802531.39985640.00691
6.33.3179622E-53.2785116E-50.003032686792.501940.0031.4219063E-41.4050145E-40.00396996328.2556760.003830.00172979620.00170950540.0069305654.05413440.005230.0171639320.0169876370.0237802531.39985640.00691
6.41.8754668E-51.6525459E-50.0028464787172.24810.002838.037467E-57.0821596E-50.003640568851.404780.003579.781223E-48.61934E-40.0056378146.54088830.004780.0097382820.0085881060.01473486051.71572860.0062
6.51.8754668E-51.6525459E-50.0028464787172.24810.002838.037467E-57.0821596E-50.003640568851.404780.003579.781223E-48.61934E-40.0056378146.54088830.004780.0097382820.0085881060.01473486051.71572860.0062
6.61.4361558E-51.1725238E-50.0026016948221.888440.002596.154808E-55.0250066E-50.003260088964.8773040.003217.490902E-46.116249E-40.00484903167.9281130.004240.00746570160.0060996150.0114666771.87990180.0054
6.71.4361558E-51.1725238E-50.0026016948221.888440.002596.154808E-55.0250066E-50.003260088964.8773040.003217.490902E-46.116249E-40.00484903167.9281130.004240.00746570160.0060996150.0114666771.87990180.0054
6.81.3663846E-51.0962816E-50.0025809347235.426240.002575.8558027E-54.6982663E-50.003236832868.8941960.003197.127108E-45.718656E-40.0047794588.357660.004210.0071042930.00570410.011013641.93082880.00534
6.91.3644157E-51.0941342E-50.0025809132235.886350.002575.8473648E-54.6890633E-50.00323674169.027460.003197.116841E-45.707457E-40.0047783438.3721050.004210.0070940920.00569295840.0110025581.93266090.00534
7.01.3568845E-51.0863233E-50.0025808353237.575260.002575.8150898E-54.655589E-50.003236407469.51660.003197.077572E-45.6667236E-40.0047742878.4251270.004210.0070550730.0056524330.0109622491.9393860.00534
7.11.306572E-51.0358185E-50.0025803316249.11040.002575.599474E-54.4391476E-50.003224250472.6321950.003186.815227E-45.403339E-40.00473806458.7687710.00420.00679436370.00539035070.0106717281.97978370.00531
7.21.232604E-59.660144E-60.0025496357263.93350.002545.2824813E-54.139997E-50.003191269577.083860.003156.429523E-45.039297E-40.00466183349.250960.004160.00641095270.00502800760.0102516112.03890130.00525
7.31.0917261E-58.560656E-60.0024785395289.526820.002474.678742E-53.668802E-50.003106575584.6754760.003075.69488E-44.4658652E-40.004484782510.0423590.004040.00568030770.00445700530.00951436352.13469890.00508
7.41.039959E-58.158592E-60.002418139296.39170.002414.456891E-53.4964934E-50.003034860186.797250.0035.424914E-44.2561634E-40.004363939610.2532230.003940.00541168960.00424812270.0091671372.15792660.00494
7.59.015877E-67.0766923E-60.0021170618299.15980.002113.86389E-53.0328338E-50.002630249686.725810.00264.7032707E-43.6918625E-40.003727945710.0977370.003360.0046933290.00368582390.0078404542.12719180.00417
7.64.900162E-63.793403E-66.3379103E-4167.077166.3E-42.1000526E-51.625734E-57.862448E-448.362457.7E-42.556514E-41.9791527E-40.00129769756.5568340.00110.00255357470.00197740320.00336465451.70155220.00139
7.73.8850626E-63.0657038E-64.2306443E-4137.999114.2E-41.6650163E-51.3138665E-55.131321E-439.0551155.0E-42.0269687E-41.599516E-49.1983005E-45.75067767.6E-40.0020251210.00159837360.00255683931.59965059.6E-4
7.82.4654719E-61.9923536E-61.81992E-491.345221.8E-41.0566265E-58.538631E-62.4853658E-429.1073112.4E-41.2863669E-41.03952916E-44.839134E-44.65512133.8E-40.00128562250.00103904740.00150855911.45186734.7E-4
7.94.095894E-73.2172093E-74.032171E-5125.331324.0E-51.7553821E-61.3788033E-67.137871E-551.7685977.0E-52.1371567E-51.6786804E-51.5678446E-49.3397451.4E-42.1369511E-41.6785566E-43.278288E-41.953041.6E-4
8.07.791402E-95.5603824E-95.5603824E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.3830209E-82.3830209E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.901328E-71.02901295E-535.466971.0E-54.065434E-62.901326E-61.2901297E-54.446691.0E-5

Holser alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.16.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.26.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.36.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.46.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.56.2746653E-65.706331E-60.0029056899509.204530.00292.6891146E-52.4455541E-50.0036643664149.837890.003643.273505E-42.977169E-40.00523624617.5880050.004940.00326868730.0029742970.0092156783.0984390.00626
6.63.375825E-62.7094034E-68.227072E-4303.648838.2E-41.4467741E-51.1611678E-50.001021687.980390.001011.761305E-41.4136317E-40.001531166710.831440.001390.00175990970.00141274920.00319023452.25817470.00178
6.73.375825E-62.7094034E-68.227072E-4303.648838.2E-41.4467741E-51.1611678E-50.001021687.980390.001011.761305E-41.4136317E-40.001531166710.831440.001390.00175990970.00141274920.00319023452.25817470.00178
6.83.366533E-62.699859E-68.2269765E-4304.718788.2E-41.4427919E-51.1570773E-50.001021559188.287890.001011.7564575E-41.4086522E-40.001530669410.8661990.001390.00175506980.00140777590.00318527012.26262570.00178
6.93.253174E-62.5828845E-68.025808E-4310.730448.0E-41.39421E-51.1069458E-59.810587E-488.6275259.7E-41.6973184E-41.3476248E-40.001484580611.0162750.001350.00169602260.00134682310.0030345472.25311470.00169
7.02.9336593E-62.253191E-66.0225185E-4267.28846.0E-41.2572766E-59.656498E-67.4964936E-477.63167.4E-41.5306266E-41.1756154E-40.00115743939.845390.001040.00152957280.00117499590.00248345662.11358760.00131
7.12.9087812E-62.2293557E-65.92228E-4265.649875.9E-41.2466146E-59.554346E-67.3954737E-477.404287.3E-41.5176475E-41.16317984E-40.00114619819.8540070.001030.00151661140.00116257330.0024610622.1169090.0013
7.22.8674524E-62.1898559E-65.821886E-4265.857065.8E-41.2289024E-59.385062E-67.293783E-477.7169347.2E-41.4960859E-41.14257164E-40.00113414069.926210.001020.00149507910.00114198650.00242052482.11957380.00128
7.32.8057775E-62.138971E-65.7213777E-4267.48275.7E-41.2024705E-59.166986E-66.991607E-476.269416.9E-41.4639096E-41.1160236E-40.00108149419.6906029.7E-40.00146294560.00111546530.00233410442.0924940.00122
7.42.683666E-62.05614E-65.52055E-4268.490975.5E-41.1501375E-58.811999E-66.788061E-477.032036.7E-41.4002025E-41.07280815E-40.00102718219.5747049.2E-40.00139932060.00107229230.00224103782.08995030.00117
7.52.434495E-61.8726306E-65.018717E-4268.003575.0E-41.0433508E-58.025535E-65.7802093E-472.022735.7E-41.2702055E-49.770653E-58.976284E-49.1869848.0E-40.00126947979.766377E-40.00196567082.0126929.9E-4
7.61.9914562E-61.5369392E-64.0153632E-4261.257144.0E-48.534785E-66.5868658E-64.6658385E-470.835494.6E-41.03906044E-48.0192156E-57.101416E-48.85556.3E-40.00103857478.0163364E-40.00158100841.9722337.8E-4
7.71.5229501E-61.162375E-62.8116204E-4241.885822.8E-46.526913E-64.981598E-63.2498E-465.23613.2E-47.946226E-56.064928E-54.806238E-47.92464164.2E-47.943385E-46.063285E-40.00109603141.80765284.9E-4
7.86.3489426E-74.5596448E-79.045592E-5198.383719.0E-52.7209726E-61.954132E-61.219539E-462.408221.2E-43.312734E-52.37913E-51.8378749E-47.7249881.6E-43.31224E-42.3788768E-44.5783535E-41.92458622.2E-4
7.91.5459432E-79.783716E-81.0097836E-5103.210641.0E-56.6254694E-74.1930204E-72.0419293E-548.698292.0E-58.066479E-65.1049906E-64.5104785E-58.835434.0E-58.066186E-55.104875E-59.1046706E-51.78352484.0E-5
8.01.8307812E-88.935006E-98.935006E-91.00.07.846205E-83.829288E-83.829288E-81.00.09.55275E-74.6621574E-74.6621574E-71.00.09.552709E-64.662148E-64.662148E-61.00.0

Sierra Madre (San Fernando)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0346413E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.4341014E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3971814E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00538409180.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.11.0346413E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.4341014E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3971814E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00538409180.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.21.0346413E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.4341014E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3971814E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00538409180.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.31.0346413E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.4341014E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3971814E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00538409180.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.41.0249558E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.392594E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3466705E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00533382450.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.51.0249558E-56.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.392594E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.3466705E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00533382450.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.69.9035515E-66.0234593E-60.002916006484.10820.002914.2443102E-52.5814576E-50.0036057222139.677760.003585.166222E-43.1424817E-40.005282686616.8105560.004970.00515422830.0031381430.0091193142.90595870.006
6.79.87217E-66.011952E-60.0029059944483.369540.00294.2308613E-52.5765261E-50.003565674138.390760.003545.149856E-43.1364794E-40.005232104616.6814580.004920.0051379380.00313215770.0090635212.8936990.00595
6.89.4359175E-65.9234444E-60.002795907472.006930.002794.043902E-52.5385949E-50.0034352995135.322860.003414.9223384E-43.0903114E-40.005047566316.333520.004740.00491144930.00308611830.0088183732.8574320.00575
6.98.700447E-65.79582E-60.0026657805459.94880.002663.72871E-52.4838999E-50.0032947578132.644550.003274.5387587E-43.0237384E-40.004811010315.9108010.004510.00452950.00301972680.0085230582.822460.00552
7.08.648878E-65.7718153E-60.0026257567454.927340.002623.7066096E-52.4736122E-50.0032546562131.575030.003234.5118626E-43.011217E-40.004769775615.8400270.004470.0045027130.00300723920.008460792.8134740.00547
7.18.505786E-65.685071E-60.0025856704454.81760.002583.645286E-52.4364368E-50.0031942872131.104860.003174.437232E-42.9659682E-40.004695291615.8305540.00440.00442838250.00296211170.0083261762.81089160.00538
7.28.139752E-65.468387E-60.002455455449.027280.002453.4884186E-52.343574E-50.0030133657128.579930.002994.246322E-42.8529376E-40.00442411315.5072180.004140.0042382170.00284937470.00789495652.77076840.00506
7.37.8816E-65.326282E-60.0023253139436.573550.002323.3777847E-52.2826729E-50.0028527621124.974630.002834.111677E-42.77881E-40.004226783315.2107690.003950.0041040780.00277543420.0075720842.72825220.00481
7.47.5810603E-65.135267E-60.002235124435.249760.002233.2489854E-52.2008107E-50.0027219488123.679360.00273.9549218E-42.6791677E-40.003996917514.9185050.003730.00394789040.00267603620.0071639942.67709160.0045
7.56.349153E-64.218989E-60.001644212389.717070.001642.7210372E-51.808126E-50.0020080453111.056710.001993.312359E-42.2011789E-40.003029499413.7630770.002810.00330742630.0021990760.0055816212.53816650.00339
7.64.430576E-62.742006E-69.3273947E-4340.166849.3E-41.8988047E-51.1751402E-50.001161737898.859510.001152.3115493E-41.4306414E-40.001722838112.0424180.001580.00230914630.00142974170.0034069112.38288550.00198
7.73.005066E-61.6326172E-63.4163205E-4209.254243.4E-41.2878791E-56.996912E-64.669937E-466.742834.6E-41.56788E-48.518408E-57.55127E-48.8646496.7E-40.00156677428.5151533E-40.00167081711.96216928.2E-4
7.81.8459098E-69.749174E-71.209748E-4124.0872341.2E-47.911018E-64.1782105E-61.741775E-441.6871031.7E-49.631238E-55.086853E-53.108553E-46.1109552.6E-49.627065E-45.0856924E-48.4839633E-41.66820223.4E-4
7.99.839262E-74.8230385E-73.048229E-563.2014243.0E-54.2168194E-62.0670147E-65.2066913E-525.1894255.0E-55.1338568E-52.5165617E-51.15163355E-44.5762189.0E-55.132671E-42.516279E-43.5160274E-41.39731221.0E-4
8.01.210983E-76.113731E-81.0061137E-5164.566251.0E-55.1899264E-72.6201698E-71.0262014E-539.1654551.0E-56.3187167E-63.1900524E-62.3189988E-57.26946972.0E-56.318537E-53.1900083E-55.1899442E-51.62693762.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-45.5770477E-40.00215681253.86730120.00160.00133063760.00238809340.0045529111.90650480.002170.0160806050.0288093650.0321696851.11663990.003460.14965490.245271030.248931471.0149240.00485
6.13.1064058E-45.5770477E-40.00215681253.86730120.00160.00133063760.00238809340.0045529111.90650480.002170.0160806050.0288093650.0321696851.11663990.003460.14965490.245271030.248931471.0149240.00485
6.23.1064058E-45.5770477E-40.00215681253.86730120.00160.00133063760.00238809340.0045529111.90650480.002170.0160806050.0288093650.0321696851.11663990.003460.14965490.245271030.248931471.0149240.00485
6.33.1064058E-45.5770477E-40.00215681253.86730120.00160.00133063760.00238809340.0045529111.90650480.002170.0160806050.0288093650.0321696851.11663990.003460.14965490.245271030.248931471.0149240.00485
6.41.9872203E-43.236843E-40.00142332834.3972730.00118.5138786E-40.00138650660.00288442692.08035560.00150.0103164780.0167550310.0190656581.13790630.002350.0985048560.153430720.156207471.01809780.00328
6.51.291105E-41.8765473E-47.3755154E-43.93036465.5E-45.5321335E-48.0398907E-40.00155338611.93209857.5E-40.0067145920.0097451390.0109037371.11888980.001170.0651529650.09453790.096022851.01570750.00164
6.61.291105E-41.8765473E-47.3755154E-43.93036465.5E-45.5321335E-48.0398907E-40.00155338611.93209857.5E-40.0067145920.0097451390.0109037371.11888980.001170.0651529650.09453790.096022851.01570750.00164
6.71.08001186E-41.4581115E-46.057441E-44.15430554.6E-44.6278012E-46.247557E-40.00123437461.97577176.1E-40.00561980160.00757997530.0085525471.1283089.8E-40.0547979060.0756501260.0768610241.01600660.00131
6.81.0624356E-41.4139932E-45.913357E-44.18202644.5E-44.5525006E-46.0585665E-40.00120549311.98973326.0E-40.00552859250.0073514470.008304391.12962659.6E-40.0539305660.073651510.07484651.01622490.00129
6.91.0393785E-41.3564328E-45.655849E-44.16964964.3E-44.4537184E-45.8119907E-40.0011608621.99735695.8E-40.00540892870.0070532180.00798658751.13233269.4E-40.052791560.071027050.072197561.01647970.00126
7.01.0155622E-41.2995074E-45.4989615E-44.2315744.2E-44.3516833E-45.568131E-40.00111650132.00516345.6E-40.0052853110.0067581930.00765211041.13227169.0E-40.051613610.068401320.069537881.01661590.00122
7.19.885595E-51.2352421E-45.4347236E-44.3997234.2E-44.2359953E-45.2928226E-40.00108898592.05747655.6E-40.00514513530.0064250250.00730930641.13763088.9E-40.050276290.06540760.066529111.01714650.0012
7.29.6411415E-51.177998E-45.1775266E-44.39519174.0E-44.1312634E-45.047588E-40.00103449122.04947645.3E-40.0050182190.0061281680.00696302071.13623198.4E-40.0490640070.062719530.0637880341.01703620.00114
7.39.1180635E-51.03625665E-44.2359252E-44.0877183.2E-43.907156E-44.4403443E-48.738435E-41.96796334.3E-40.0047465910.00539273540.00605912231.12357126.7E-40.0464647860.055965560.0568340721.01551879.2E-4
7.48.887388E-59.757253E-53.9754325E-44.0743363.0E-43.8083247E-44.1810097E-48.1793376E-41.95630674.0E-40.00462678170.0050785110.0056953621.12146316.2E-40.0453162860.05305340.0538583061.01517168.5E-4
7.58.6750515E-59.2217655E-53.6219275E-43.92758582.7E-43.7173493E-43.9515866E-47.550164E-41.91066653.6E-40.0045164840.00480045330.00536771721.11816885.7E-40.044257870.0504475420.0512071851.0150588.0E-4
7.68.453092E-58.76761E-53.2765506E-43.73710822.4E-43.6222505E-43.757006E-46.955804E-41.85142213.2E-40.00440117530.00456456840.00507224031.11122015.1E-40.043150240.048180840.0488566351.01402627.1E-4
7.78.259102E-58.420954E-53.0419102E-43.61231062.2E-43.539135E-43.6084812E-46.507435E-41.80337232.9E-40.0043003860.0043844820.00486237741.1089974.8E-40.0421811340.0464413950.047070741.01355156.6E-4
7.87.444844E-57.538641E-52.4537358E-43.25487831.7E-43.1902574E-43.2304463E-45.5297033E-41.7117462.3E-40.00387722230.00392597960.0043244091.10148544.0E-40.038102690.0417359060.042262951.01262815.5E-4
7.95.2586525E-54.789402E-51.4788922E-43.08784341.0E-42.2535135E-42.0524394E-43.452152E-41.68197511.4E-40.00274020060.00249598220.00272540821.09191812.3E-40.0270665740.0267807280.0270824261.01126553.1E-4
8.03.379877E-52.4723882E-57.4722644E-53.02228625.0E-51.4484383E-41.05955194E-41.6594883E-41.56621716.0E-50.00176204710.00128924150.00139909971.08521151.1E-40.0174814090.0139828850.0141110671.00916711.3E-4
8.11.8668277E-57.178803E-67.178803E-61.00.08.000444E-53.0765936E-53.0765936E-51.00.09.736188E-43.7451103E-43.845073E-41.02669141.0E-50.0096936420.00422746870.0042473841.00471092.0E-5
8.28.541571E-61.2894421E-61.2894421E-61.00.03.660622E-55.5261685E-65.5261685E-61.00.04.455896E-46.7279034E-56.7279034E-51.00.00.00444697178.4906194E-48.4906194E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Northridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8340852E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.860128E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.565505E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0095244350.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.11.8340852E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.860128E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.565505E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0095244350.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.21.8340852E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.860128E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.565505E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0095244350.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.31.8340852E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.860128E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.565505E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0095244350.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.41.7361892E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.440598E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.055163E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0090183540.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.51.7361892E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002717.440598E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003379.055163E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0090183540.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.61.5458201E-57.269057E-60.0027172493373.810420.002716.624775E-53.115274E-50.0034010478109.173310.003378.0626784E-43.7922052E-40.004977476313.1255450.00460.0080334880.00378592450.0092651022.44724940.0055
6.71.2538368E-56.1414726E-60.0013561331220.815630.001355.3734755E-52.6320335E-50.001666277263.3076020.001646.5402425E-43.2040334E-40.00259967298.113750.002280.00652102750.0031994520.00597055771.86611880.00278
6.81.1438097E-56.1125916E-60.0013561044221.854230.001354.9019498E-52.6196562E-50.001656153863.220280.001635.9664896E-43.1889684E-40.0025881738.1160190.002270.0059504950.00318443030.00594560941.86708720.00277
6.91.1204891E-56.052993E-60.001336045220.724690.001334.8020076E-52.5941143E-50.001635899463.0619620.001615.8448757E-43.1578803E-40.00256507758.1227830.002250.00582952660.00315343080.00588479031.86615490.00274
7.01.061046E-55.8904666E-60.0012958829219.996640.001294.5472607E-52.5244615E-50.00155520661.6054570.001535.534883E-43.0731023E-40.00246664658.0265680.002160.00552111770.00306889530.0057107631.8608530.00265
7.11.0266979E-55.785265E-60.0012857779222.250470.001284.40006E-52.4793759E-50.001544756162.304230.001525.355756E-43.0182258E-40.00245117378.121240.002150.00534286680.0030141690.00563624181.86991570.00263
7.29.91273E-65.6071067E-60.0012256003218.579790.001224.248244E-52.4030238E-50.001463995760.9230580.001445.171009E-42.9252926E-40.00231193847.9032720.002020.00515899340.00292148320.0053942381.84640380.00248
7.38.4959265E-65.0080853E-69.850032E-4196.682599.8E-43.6410605E-52.1463047E-50.00119143855.5111240.001174.4320893E-42.612815E-40.00196083737.50469260.00170.004423260.00260976750.0047242351.8102130.00212
7.48.0847185E-64.804588E-69.248002E-4192.482719.2E-43.4648332E-52.0590931E-50.001130568154.9061160.001114.2176177E-42.5066597E-40.00187025997.4611640.001620.00420962230.0025038560.00452877351.80871940.00203
7.56.8220684E-64.1086896E-66.7410595E-4164.068346.7E-42.9237108E-51.7608552E-58.1759447E-446.4316678.0E-43.5590364E-42.1436322E-40.00142410396.6434150.001210.00355334180.0021415840.00371820011.73619160.00158
7.64.4224143E-62.8169534E-64.128158E-4146.54694.1E-41.8953066E-51.2072603E-55.520661E-445.728845.4E-42.3072914E-41.4697413E-49.6685364E-46.57839358.2E-40.00230489740.00146878020.0025471941.7342240.00108
7.72.5297056E-61.5614945E-61.8156122E-4116.2741.8E-41.0841551E-56.6921025E-62.2669062E-433.874352.2E-41.319879E-48.147334E-53.914481E-44.80461553.1E-40.00131909538.144392E-40.00122410521.50300384.1E-4
7.81.2508156E-68.5924154E-73.0859217E-535.9144823.0E-55.3606273E-63.6824588E-65.3682274E-514.5778355.0E-56.526368E-54.4833025E-51.2482944E-42.7843198.0E-56.524452E-44.4824104E-45.5819174E-41.24529361.1E-4
7.92.262199E-71.422426E-71.422426E-71.00.09.695135E-76.09611E-71.0609605E-517.4038931.0E-51.1803763E-57.4219897E-61.7421915E-52.34733771.0E-51.1803136E-47.421749E-59.421601E-51.26945832.0E-5
8.02.865362E-91.1501919E-91.1501919E-91.00.01.2280123E-84.929394E-94.929394E-91.00.01.4951048E-76.0015374E-86.0015374E-81.00.01.4951038E-66.001537E-76.001537E-71.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3406641E-52.2620168E-50.001692582474.8262560.001671.0031032E-49.6940246E-50.002206735822.7638760.002110.00122059380.00117965620.0044557873.77719120.003280.0121391140.0117388190.0159488121.35863850.00426
6.11.73813E-51.613911E-50.001596113798.897240.001587.4489166E-56.916584E-50.002029030429.3357280.001969.065282E-48.41778E-40.00381926964.53714560.002980.0090283910.0083869040.0122145311.45638130.00386
6.21.4622182E-51.3186457E-50.0015531662117.784950.001546.2664985E-55.651218E-50.00195640534.619170.00197.6267915E-46.878222E-40.00350588265.0970770.002820.0076006690.00685735140.0105021851.5315220.00367
6.31.3552434E-51.2049737E-50.0015320315127.142310.001525.8080568E-55.1640724E-50.001921544237.209860.001877.069015E-46.2854734E-40.00340685.42011640.002780.007046570.0062680430.0098057291.56440030.00356
6.41.30977305E-51.15670855E-50.0015315495132.405820.001525.613192E-54.9572296E-50.001919479638.7208140.001876.831918E-46.0337834E-40.0033617135.57148460.002760.0068109530.0060177320.0095364291.58472140.00354
6.51.225205E-51.0670732E-50.0015306545143.444180.001525.2507727E-54.573092E-50.001905645841.6708370.001866.3909404E-45.566342E-40.0032451375.8299270.002690.0063725920.00555269840.0089835411.61786950.00345
6.61.1352241E-59.718047E-60.0015197034156.379490.001514.8651553E-54.1648123E-50.001881571545.1778220.001845.921717E-45.0694984E-40.00312562176.1655440.002620.00590596160.00505817360.008371331.65501030.00333
6.71.0864116E-59.19215E-60.0014791787160.917590.001474.6559664E-53.939435E-50.001829323846.4362030.001795.667165E-44.7952245E-40.00303829486.3360850.002560.0056527340.0047851050.0080295061.67802070.00326
6.81.0666365E-58.9801415E-60.0014789669164.693050.001474.571219E-53.8485763E-50.001818417247.249090.001785.564038E-44.684653E-40.00301727076.44075630.002550.0055501270.00467500370.007909811.69193660.00325
6.91.0038665E-58.291955E-60.0014682799177.072810.001464.302214E-53.5536475E-50.00179547450.5248150.001765.236687E-44.3257236E-40.0029614786.84620240.002530.0052243640.00431750950.00750369351.7379680.0032
7.09.5379955E-67.743802E-60.0014677325189.536420.001464.0876483E-53.318731E-50.001793128954.030560.001764.975576E-44.0398215E-40.0029229647.23537970.002520.004964450.00403267330.00719984951.78537880.00318
7.19.207389E-67.3835213E-60.0014673728198.736180.001463.945964E-53.164329E-50.001791587656.618250.001764.803152E-43.8519048E-40.00289422377.51374670.002510.0047927840.00384542070.0069932691.81859660.00316
7.27.638091E-65.7287752E-60.0014457206252.361190.001443.2734264E-52.4551664E-50.001754509271.461920.001733.984668E-42.988758E-40.00273814669.1614870.002440.00397753060.00298480340.00599578952.0087720.00302
7.37.2500147E-65.405752E-60.001435398265.531620.001433.1071122E-52.3167302E-50.001743127575.2408450.001723.7822526E-42.8202566E-40.0026913469.5429120.002410.00377582150.00281674160.00578834772.054980.00298
7.46.3899715E-64.7587564E-60.0011747532246.861390.001172.7385306E-52.0394511E-50.00147036572.096110.001453.3336508E-42.4827506E-40.0023177619.3354570.002070.00332865420.0024800310.00505363242.03772950.00258
7.55.379025E-63.9599277E-68.8395644E-4223.225428.8E-42.305276E-51.6971007E-50.001096952764.636860.001082.806312E-42.0660252E-40.00171629068.307210.001510.00280277080.0020641150.00399013141.93309550.00193
7.64.1270696E-62.9969597E-66.929949E-4231.232646.9E-41.768732E-51.2844051E-58.72833E-467.9562158.6E-42.1532185E-41.5636516E-40.00132618228.4813150.001170.00215113330.00156255880.00307019941.96485360.00151
7.72.5406805E-61.7745335E-64.4177377E-4248.952064.4E-41.0888585E-57.6051215E-65.776008E-475.948925.7E-41.3256045E-49.258848E-58.225209E-48.883627.3E-40.00132481429.2550466E-40.00182467181.97154249.0E-4
7.84.8608285E-73.420449E-71.0034201E-4293.35921.0E-42.0832106E-61.4659058E-61.2146573E-482.860531.2E-42.5362791E-51.7847258E-51.6784458E-49.4045021.5E-42.5359896E-41.7845837E-43.8842089E-42.17653512.1E-4
7.92.0472514E-81.2131488E-81.2131488E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.199209E-85.199209E-81.00.01.068226E-66.330035E-76.330035E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.3300176E-66.3300176E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-91.8252228E-91.8252228E-91.00.01.9043922E-87.822383E-97.822383E-91.00.02.3185973E-79.52375E-89.52375E-81.00.02.3185949E-69.523747E-79.523747E-71.00.0

Sierra Madre

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3379373E-51.0541137E-50.0020005202189.78220.001995.7338908E-54.5175526E-50.002515063955.673150.002476.978776E-45.498747E-40.00402796137.32523540.003480.00695690050.00548548250.0098016761.78683920.00434
6.11.3379373E-51.0541137E-50.0020005202189.78220.001995.7338908E-54.5175526E-50.002515063955.673150.002476.978776E-45.498747E-40.00402796137.32523540.003480.00695690050.00548548250.0098016761.78683920.00434
6.21.3379373E-51.0541137E-50.0020005202189.78220.001995.7338908E-54.5175526E-50.002515063955.673150.002476.978776E-45.498747E-40.00402796137.32523540.003480.00695690050.00548548250.0098016761.78683920.00434
6.31.3379373E-51.0541137E-50.0020005202189.78220.001995.7338908E-54.5175526E-50.002515063955.673150.002476.978776E-45.498747E-40.00402796137.32523540.003480.00695690050.00548548250.0098016761.78683920.00434
6.41.3379373E-51.0541137E-50.0020005202189.78220.001995.7338908E-54.5175526E-50.002515063955.673150.002476.978776E-45.498747E-40.00402796137.32523540.003480.00695690050.00548548250.0098016761.78683920.00434
6.51.26563245E-59.779409E-60.00199976204.486790.001995.4240263E-54.1911087E-50.002491808559.4546360.002456.601751E-45.1014905E-40.0039583897.75927970.003450.0065821730.005090080.0093681921.84048040.0043
6.61.26563245E-59.779409E-60.00199976204.486790.001995.4240263E-54.1911087E-50.002491808559.4546360.002456.601751E-45.1014905E-40.0039583897.75927970.003450.0065821730.005090080.0093681921.84048040.0043
6.71.2502474E-59.61741E-60.0019895984206.874660.001985.3580934E-54.1216827E-50.002481116260.1966860.002446.521526E-45.017003E-40.00393997467.8532430.003440.00650242060.00500597530.00927449951.85268590.00429
6.81.2454966E-59.570333E-60.0019895514207.887390.001985.3377335E-54.101507E-50.00248091560.487890.002446.4967526E-44.9924507E-40.00393752757.88696340.003440.0064777920.0049815330.0092501621.85689070.00429
6.91.2225574E-59.346992E-60.0019893285212.830890.001985.2394265E-54.0057927E-50.002479960261.909350.002446.3771347E-44.875971E-40.00392591958.0515650.003440.0063588650.00486556770.0091247431.87537060.00428
7.01.182946E-58.958317E-60.0019589409218.672870.001955.06967E-53.8392227E-50.002448299763.7707140.002416.1705755E-44.6732608E-40.00387573248.2934230.003410.0061534690.00466372450.008883951.90490460.00424
7.11.14369095E-58.557883E-60.0019185415224.184110.001914.9014405E-53.6676134E-50.0023865965.0720140.002355.9658696E-44.4644135E-40.00379494588.5004350.003350.0059498790.0044557310.008607151.93170340.00417
7.21.0836419E-57.984888E-60.0018579701232.685820.001854.644097E-53.4220502E-50.00232414267.916660.002295.652721E-44.1655585E-40.00364521038.7508330.003230.00563836420.00415802840.0081314381.95559940.00399
7.31.0403439E-57.614851E-60.0017476015229.499110.001744.4585406E-53.263467E-50.002212563567.797940.002185.426921E-43.9725556E-40.0034860288.7752780.003090.0054136870.00396573030.00775066061.95440940.0038
7.49.768864E-67.0225024E-60.0016670108237.381320.001664.186589E-53.0096096E-50.002080034569.11310.002055.09598E-43.663592E-40.00325530058.8855430.002890.00508430970.0036578250.0071749131.96152440.00353
7.58.687089E-66.083385E-60.0014560745239.352680.001453.722985E-52.6071395E-50.001836024270.4229350.001814.5317915E-43.173738E-40.00288655829.0951370.002570.0045225610.00316947420.00625964861.97498020.0031
7.66.3506063E-64.127954E-68.0412463E-4194.79988.0E-42.72166E-51.7691113E-50.001047672959.2202950.001033.3131172E-42.1536826E-40.00163506247.5919380.001420.0033081820.0021518050.0039279751.82543250.00178
7.74.62223E-62.670201E-62.8266944E-4105.860742.8E-41.9809406E-51.1443669E-54.014392E-435.079593.9E-42.4115283E-41.3931778E-47.1923697E-45.16256435.8E-40.00240891290.0013924890.00209151421.5019977.0E-4
7.83.2145008E-61.7668137E-61.0176664E-457.598961.0E-41.3776359E-57.5720372E-61.4757097E-419.488941.4E-41.6771426E-49.218566E-53.121654E-43.38626812.2E-40.00167587749.215546E-40.00121128731.31439572.9E-4
7.91.0391769E-65.1473125E-72.051472E-539.855212.0E-54.4536077E-62.2059892E-63.2205924E-514.5993123.0E-55.4221324E-52.685759E-58.685598E-53.23394546.0E-55.4208096E-42.685438E-43.3852502E-41.26059517.0E-5
8.01.210983E-76.113731E-81.0061137E-5164.566251.0E-55.1899264E-72.6201698E-71.0262014E-539.1654551.0E-56.3187167E-63.1900524E-62.3189988E-57.26946972.0E-56.318537E-53.1900083E-55.1899442E-51.62693762.0E-5

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.615914E-50.001066112123.0964450.001021.7917668E-41.9781076E-40.00156753987.92444130.001370.00217929340.00240584110.00457062061.89980140.002170.0215804520.0238145310.0268699921.12830230.00313
6.14.1810763E-54.615914E-50.001066112123.0964450.001021.7917668E-41.9781076E-40.00156753987.92444130.001370.00217929340.00240584110.00457062061.89980140.002170.0215804520.0238145310.0268699921.12830230.00313
6.24.1810763E-54.615914E-50.001066112123.0964450.001021.7917668E-41.9781076E-40.00156753987.92444130.001370.00217929340.00240584110.00457062061.89980140.002170.0215804520.0238145310.0268699921.12830230.00313
6.34.1810763E-54.615914E-50.001066112123.0964450.001021.7917668E-41.9781076E-40.00156753987.92444130.001370.00217929340.00240584110.00457062061.89980140.002170.0215804520.0238145310.0268699921.12830230.00313
6.44.1810763E-54.615914E-50.001066112123.0964450.001021.7917668E-41.9781076E-40.00156753987.92444130.001370.00217929340.00240584110.00457062061.89980140.002170.0215804520.0238145310.0268699921.12830230.00313
6.53.154503E-53.4327848E-59.6429593E-428.0907789.3E-41.3518598E-41.4711154E-40.00138692919.4277390.001240.00164464670.00178969830.00376615462.10435180.001980.016325280.0177619220.02047291.15262850.00276
6.63.1535834E-53.4317563E-59.6428563E-428.0988949.3E-41.3514658E-41.4706748E-40.00138688519.43026350.001240.00164416760.00178916280.00376562032.1046830.001980.016320560.0177566520.0204676451.15267470.00276
6.72.8267326E-53.0567066E-59.1054017E-429.7882758.8E-41.2114006E-41.3099558E-40.00129084369.85410.001160.00147388240.00159378440.00347078822.17770240.001880.0146414520.0158317720.0183906091.16162670.0026
6.82.8212884E-53.050675E-59.104799E-429.8451968.8E-41.20906756E-41.3073711E-40.00129058559.8716080.001160.00147104570.00159064210.00346765182.18003270.001880.0146134590.0158007960.0183597131.16194870.0026
6.92.4227871E-52.5953357E-58.5593184E-432.9796188.3E-41.03829596E-41.1122434E-40.00121110210.8888220.00110.00126339230.00135338660.0031209912.30606030.001770.0125623360.0134586690.0158066381.17445770.00238
7.02.348524E-52.5112235E-58.550914E-434.050798.3E-41.0064714E-41.07619824E-40.001207501411.2200650.00110.00122469010.00130955490.00304727632.32695580.001740.0121796270.0130255570.0153449471.17806460.00235
7.12.2311642E-52.378175E-58.2376273E-434.638448.0E-49.561782E-51.019182E-40.001171809211.4975450.001070.00116352520.00124021810.00292812222.36097360.001690.011574520.0123400330.0145918991.18248450.00228
7.21.6533986E-51.7206585E-57.4719405E-443.424897.3E-47.085802E-57.374076E-50.001053668414.2888219.8E-48.623549E-48.9748367E-40.00234618222.61417820.001450.0085901610.00894450.0108572371.2138450.00193
7.31.4703092E-51.515201E-57.4514095E-449.1776967.3E-46.301173E-56.49359E-50.001014874215.6288629.5E-47.668978E-47.9036574E-40.00218925932.76993180.00140.00764256580.0078812650.0097365271.23540150.00187
7.46.1331984E-65.4147326E-65.854116E-4108.114595.8E-42.6284872E-52.3205792E-57.4318907E-432.0260167.2E-43.199713E-42.824944E-40.00125222044.43272649.7E-40.00319510980.00282140570.0040977941.45239460.00128
7.55.954766E-65.227635E-65.852246E-4111.948265.8E-42.5520176E-52.240396E-57.3238806E-432.6901177.1E-43.1066386E-42.727346E-40.00122247544.482299.5E-40.0031022990.00272405080.00398061841.46128640.00126
7.64.9726646E-64.2200572E-65.7421764E-4136.06875.7E-42.1311245E-51.8085835E-56.9807353E-438.5978056.8E-42.5943352E-42.2017313E-40.00113997065.177619.2E-40.00259130840.00219958320.00339694371.54435790.0012
7.73.3613894E-62.791024E-64.027899E-4144.316184.0E-41.4405875E-51.1961478E-55.019556E-441.9643484.9E-41.7537741E-41.4562151E-48.3552103E-45.7376216.9E-40.00175239080.00145528620.00233400541.60381218.8E-4
7.81.1828961E-69.936133E-71.3099349E-4131.835481.3E-45.069545E-64.258336E-61.542577E-436.2248761.5E-46.171996E-55.1844036E-53.0183108E-45.82190562.5E-46.170282E-45.183222E-48.2816154E-41.59777363.1E-4
7.92.2967266E-71.8277082E-72.0182768E-5110.426642.0E-59.843111E-77.833033E-73.078328E-539.2993133.0E-51.19839215E-59.536679E-67.953601E-58.3400127.0E-51.1983275E-49.536297E-51.7535534E-41.838828.0E-5

Del Valle

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0716125E-58.474394E-60.0017984592212.222750.001794.592544E-53.6318434E-50.00213624258.8197750.00215.589988E-44.4210633E-40.00366068288.2800950.003220.00557594750.0044141190.0085657121.9405260.00417
6.11.0716125E-58.474394E-60.0017984592212.222750.001794.592544E-53.6318434E-50.00213624258.8197750.00215.589988E-44.4210633E-40.00366068288.2800950.003220.00557594750.0044141190.0085657121.9405260.00417
6.21.0716125E-58.474394E-60.0017984592212.222750.001794.592544E-53.6318434E-50.00213624258.8197750.00215.589988E-44.4210633E-40.00366068288.2800950.003220.00557594750.0044141190.0085657121.9405260.00417
6.37.1293784E-64.6318546E-60.001494625322.683930.001493.055412E-51.9850657E-50.001739816587.645290.001723.7193293E-42.4165562E-40.002791039411.5496560.002550.00371311020.0024139670.00561621832.32655140.00321
6.47.1293784E-64.6318546E-60.001494625322.683930.001493.055412E-51.9850657E-50.001739816587.645290.001723.7193293E-42.4165562E-40.002791039411.5496560.002550.00371311020.0024139670.00561621832.32655140.00321
6.57.1293784E-64.6318546E-60.001494625322.683930.001493.055412E-51.9850657E-50.001739816587.645290.001723.7193293E-42.4165562E-40.002791039411.5496560.002550.00371311020.0024139670.00561621832.32655140.00321
6.67.1293784E-64.6318546E-60.001494625322.683930.001493.055412E-51.9850657E-50.001739816587.645290.001723.7193293E-42.4165562E-40.002791039411.5496560.002550.00371311020.0024139670.00561621832.32655140.00321
6.77.12272E-64.6293735E-60.0014846225320.69620.001483.0525585E-51.9840027E-50.001729806187.187690.001713.7158563E-42.4152621E-40.002780912711.5139170.002540.0037096490.00241267560.0056049552.32312820.0032
6.86.7558703E-64.3338096E-60.0013843279319.425140.001382.895341E-51.857334E-50.00159854486.066580.001583.5245073E-42.2610754E-40.00257557611.3909350.002350.00351892270.00225880320.0052121172.30746840.00296
6.96.6700386E-64.2809033E-60.0013742751321.024540.001372.8585566E-51.8346602E-50.001588317886.572860.001573.479737E-42.2334755E-40.002562824911.4746050.002340.0034742930.0022312590.0051746772.31917360.00295
7.06.3181424E-63.8879484E-60.0010638838273.63630.001062.7077473E-51.6662532E-50.001256641875.417220.001243.2961834E-42.0284782E-40.002062470410.1675760.001860.00329129860.00202663570.0044117922.17690440.00239
7.16.248759E-63.8257667E-60.0010538218275.453740.001052.678012E-51.6396043E-50.00123637675.4069750.001223.2599916E-41.996039E-40.002019240510.1162380.001820.00325521360.0019942550.00432958832.17103050.00234
7.26.0411944E-63.6710633E-69.836674E-4267.951669.8E-42.5890577E-51.5733036E-50.001165714974.093450.001153.1517216E-41.9153324E-40.001921201910.0306450.001730.00314725540.00191368930.00414940252.1682740.00224
7.34.7691183E-62.9322903E-69.0292963E-4307.926429.0E-42.0438918E-51.25668985E-50.001062553784.551790.001052.488154E-41.5299144E-40.001702754311.1297360.001550.002485370.0015288640.00355576052.32575320.00203
7.43.5524722E-62.0912903E-65.4209016E-4259.213235.4E-41.5224792E-58.962643E-66.689567E-474.6383366.6E-41.8534607E-41.09114786E-40.001139002410.4385710.001030.00185191560.00109061960.00250907082.30059220.00142
7.52.7133442E-61.5223354E-64.015217E-4263.753784.0E-41.1628566E-56.5242784E-65.06521E-477.636335.0E-41.415686E-47.943021E-58.1937143E-410.3156157.4E-40.00141478457.9401996E-40.00183319422.30875060.00104
7.61.915338E-61.1250784E-63.5112468E-4312.089083.5E-48.208566E-64.8217557E-64.348197E-490.17874.3E-49.993471E-55.8703303E-56.486687E-411.04995255.9E-49.988978E-45.868788E-40.001436382.447498.5E-4
7.71.2120448E-66.8656345E-72.0068642E-4292.305732.0E-45.194467E-62.9424114E-62.7294163E-492.76122.7E-46.3240805E-53.5823272E-54.3580894E-412.1655254.0E-46.322281E-43.5817534E-48.979819E-42.50710155.4E-4
7.86.272381E-73.7518836E-79.037516E-5240.879419.0E-52.6881603E-61.6079492E-61.2160776E-475.6291051.2E-43.272786E-51.9576608E-51.9957309E-410.1944681.8E-43.272304E-41.9574897E-44.35702E-42.225822.4E-4
7.92.0292627E-71.1356267E-73.0113559E-5265.171263.0E-58.6968373E-74.8669705E-74.0486677E-583.186614.0E-51.0588348E-55.925521E-67.5925105E-512.8132377.0E-51.0587843E-45.925365E-51.392489E-42.35004788.0E-5
8.04.374492E-82.0095253E-81.0020095E-5498.62991.0E-51.8747821E-78.612252E-81.0086122E-5117.113651.0E-52.2825448E-61.0485412E-62.104852E-520.07412.0E-52.2825214E-51.0485365E-53.0485156E-52.90740042.0E-5

Northridge Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.15.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.25.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.35.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.45.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.55.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.65.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.75.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.85.095982E-63.4992365E-60.0017034933486.818570.00172.183974E-51.4996642E-50.0021349648142.362850.002122.658664E-41.8256894E-40.003212015817.5934410.003030.00265548540.00182420160.0055174523.02458480.0037
6.95.0942654E-63.497464E-60.0017034916487.06480.00172.1832384E-51.4989046E-50.0021349574142.434510.002122.6577685E-41.8247646E-40.003211923617.601850.003030.0026545920.00182327840.00551653233.02561160.0037
7.04.851143E-63.2448952E-60.00148324457.099520.001482.0790447E-51.3906621E-50.0018938804136.185530.001882.5309427E-41.6929998E-40.002868842816.9453220.00270.00252806230.00169171430.0049961152.95328520.00331
7.14.7910607E-63.1837071E-60.0014331791450.16050.001432.0532956E-51.3644388E-50.0018236197133.653460.001812.4996005E-41.661078E-40.002775674216.7100770.002610.00249679080.00165984020.00485452872.92469640.0032
7.24.580079E-62.9960013E-60.0012429922414.883760.001241.9628762E-51.2839942E-50.0015728199122.494310.001562.3895396E-41.5631512E-40.002445957215.6476050.002290.00238697180.0015620550.00439761862.81527780.00284
7.34.290062E-62.7608357E-60.0010927578395.80690.001091.838585E-51.18320995E-50.0013918157117.63050.001382.2382473E-41.4404631E-40.00217375415.090660.002030.00223599420.00143953230.00397587572.7619220.00254
7.44.0259683E-62.5697607E-69.7256724E-4378.46619.7E-41.7254037E-51.1013213E-50.0012409997112.682790.001232.1004764E-41.3407765E-40.001933836314.4232570.00180.0020984920.00133997020.0035669822.6619860.00223
7.53.5477108E-62.18884E-67.521872E-4343.646487.5E-41.5204386E-59.380709E-69.593718E-4102.270719.5E-41.8509767E-41.1420416E-40.001514044213.2573480.00140.00184943570.00114145620.00288945862.53137950.00175
7.62.9990608E-61.7655631E-65.7176454E-4323.842625.7E-41.2853055E-57.5666767E-67.2756124E-496.1533367.2E-41.564747E-49.2120405E-50.001152022712.505620.001060.00156364579.208229E-40.00223960752.43218040.00132
7.72.4542855E-61.369577E-63.8136906E-4278.457553.8E-41.05183235E-55.869603E-65.158666E-487.8878255.1E-41.2805307E-47.1460076E-58.3140575E-411.6345497.6E-40.0012797937.1437145E-40.0016437072.30091389.3E-4
7.81.3623128E-67.54056E-71.5075394E-4199.924071.5E-45.8384703E-63.2316643E-62.1323099E-465.981792.1E-47.108106E-53.9344806E-53.493326E-48.8787483.1E-47.1058323E-43.9337858E-47.9322123E-42.01643234.0E-4
7.97.716622E-73.9070625E-74.039069E-5103.378674.0E-53.3071194E-61.6744542E-66.167436E-536.832516.0E-54.0263436E-52.0386291E-51.20384255E-45.9051571.0E-44.0256142E-42.038443E-43.138219E-41.53951751.1E-4
8.01.2117711E-76.121901E-81.0061219E-5164.347951.0E-55.1933034E-72.6236717E-71.0262364E-539.1145171.0E-56.3228285E-63.1943155E-62.3194252E-57.2611022.0E-56.3226486E-53.1942713E-55.1942072E-51.62610092.0E-5

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.572536E-58.5569604E-423.9520658.2E-41.3660437E-41.5310221E-40.00144290479.4244540.001290.00166188950.00186286960.00403880842.16805740.002180.0164951590.01851630.0216472341.16909060.00319
6.13.1876025E-53.572536E-58.5569604E-423.9520658.2E-41.3660437E-41.5310221E-40.00144290479.4244540.001290.00166188950.00186286960.00403880842.16805740.002180.0164951590.01851630.0216472341.16909060.00319
6.23.1876025E-53.572536E-58.5569604E-423.9520658.2E-41.3660437E-41.5310221E-40.00144290479.4244540.001290.00166188950.00186286960.00403880842.16805740.002180.0164951590.01851630.0216472341.16909060.00319
6.33.1876025E-53.572536E-58.5569604E-423.9520658.2E-41.3660437E-41.5310221E-40.00144290479.4244540.001290.00166188950.00186286960.00403880842.16805740.002180.0164951590.01851630.0216472341.16909060.00319
6.41.9273462E-52.0572958E-55.0056307E-424.331124.8E-48.259794E-58.816774E-59.180946E-410.4130448.3E-40.0010051660.00107307430.00253150752.35911680.001460.0100063150.0106947320.0128217391.19888350.00215
6.51.9273462E-52.0572958E-55.0056307E-424.331124.8E-48.259794E-58.816774E-59.180946E-410.4130448.3E-40.0010051660.00107307430.00253150752.35911680.001460.0100063150.0106947320.0128217391.19888350.00215
6.69.813258E-69.464951E-62.2946286E-424.243432.2E-44.205614E-54.0563486E-54.5054685E-411.1072034.1E-45.119132E-44.9375545E-40.00120340492.43724877.1E-40.0051073560.00492727760.00588254771.19387389.6E-4
6.79.801478E-69.452646E-62.2945057E-424.2736872.2E-44.2005657E-54.051075E-54.5049415E-411.120364.1E-45.112989E-44.931137E-40.00120276362.439127.1E-40.00510124070.00492088870.00587616441.19412679.6E-4
6.88.102489E-67.6072884E-62.0760577E-427.2903772.0E-43.4724493E-53.2602282E-53.9259053E-412.0418113.6E-44.2268867E-43.9686525E-49.966271E-42.5112486.0E-40.0042188560.00396203670.00476882751.20363038.1E-4
6.96.08275E-65.368838E-61.4536809E-427.0762651.4E-42.6068668E-52.3009106E-52.8300312E-412.2996142.6E-43.173398E-42.8010062E-46.6999136E-42.39196683.9E-40.00316887020.00279755050.00331609581.18535695.2E-4
7.05.5995934E-64.8796405E-61.0487915E-421.4932141.0E-42.3998036E-52.0912581E-52.3090819E-411.0415922.1E-42.9213692E-42.5458157E-45.745001E-42.25664453.2E-40.00291753160.00254296420.00298184531.17258644.4E-4
7.14.709881E-64.0006043E-69.400024E-523.4965119.0E-52.0185047E-51.7145338E-52.0714207E-412.081541.9E-42.4572524E-42.0872487E-44.9866433E-42.3890992.9E-40.0024545370.00208532830.00246453591.18184553.8E-4
7.23.6063436E-62.9111181E-66.291094E-521.6105796.0E-51.5455667E-51.2476161E-51.4247454E-411.4197421.3E-41.881565E-41.5188678E-43.6185488E-42.38239882.1E-40.00187997260.00151784040.00177744581.1710362.6E-4
7.32.471135E-62.0484472E-65.2048345E-525.4086845.0E-51.0590536E-58.7790295E-61.0877815E-412.390681.0E-41.2893214E-41.0687952E-42.3686561E-42.2161931.3E-40.00128857360.0010682880.0012281171.14961231.6E-4
7.41.163943E-61.0044416E-61.0044416E-61.00.04.988318E-64.304743E-62.4304656E-55.6460182.0E-56.0731076E-55.2409014E-59.240692E-51.76318754.0E-56.071448E-45.2396936E-45.839379E-41.11445056.0E-5
7.54.99459E-74.8275615E-74.8275615E-71.00.02.140537E-62.0689533E-62.0689533E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.518923E-54.5188728E-51.79397012.0E-52.605767E-42.5186528E-42.818577E-41.11908133.0E-5
7.62.4667852E-72.4272242E-72.4272242E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0402385E-61.0402385E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2664835E-52.2664708E-51.7895781.0E-51.2870505E-41.2664148E-41.4663895E-41.15790622.0E-5
7.78.2312795E-87.118303E-87.118303E-81.00.03.527691E-73.0507013E-73.0507013E-71.00.04.294955E-63.7142236E-61.3714186E-53.69234281.0E-54.2948723E-53.7141723E-54.714135E-51.26922891.0E-5
7.82.7819295E-81.5682577E-81.5682577E-81.00.01.1922555E-76.721104E-86.721104E-81.00.01.45157E-68.182942E-78.182942E-71.00.01.45156055E-58.182924E-68.182924E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.264617E-55.326209E-410.1169924.8E-42.0292461E-42.2560832E-49.254504E-44.1020227.0E-40.00246780760.00274357640.00402006461.46526430.001280.0244058180.0271239040.02911831.07352910.00205
6.14.7352758E-55.264617E-55.326209E-410.1169924.8E-42.0292461E-42.2560832E-49.254504E-44.1020227.0E-40.00246780760.00274357640.00402006461.46526430.001280.0244058180.0271239040.02911831.07352910.00205
6.23.0415853E-53.2818127E-54.2280531E-412.8832873.9E-41.3034715E-41.4064173E-47.105616E-45.05228145.7E-40.00158582120.00171100270.00274922331.60679070.001040.0157455220.0169822350.0186337051.09724690.00168
6.33.0415853E-53.2818127E-54.2280531E-412.8832873.9E-41.3034715E-41.4064173E-47.105616E-45.05228145.7E-40.00158582120.00171100270.00274922331.60679070.001040.0157455220.0169822350.0186337051.09724690.00168
6.42.5452082E-52.709625E-53.7708678E-413.9165663.5E-41.09075794E-41.1612172E-46.260625E-45.39143325.1E-40.00132718870.00141288340.00235155531.66436619.4E-40.0131929020.014041120.0155101991.10462690.00149
6.52.3143784E-52.4439178E-53.6443086E-414.9117483.4E-49.9183875E-51.04735205E-45.8468495E-45.5825064.8E-40.00120689480.00127441910.00218325951.71314089.1E-40.0120036110.0126727050.0140845821.1114110.00143
6.61.9118515E-51.9854022E-53.2984786E-416.6136553.1E-48.193392E-58.5085936E-55.150493E-46.0532844.3E-49.97089E-40.00103543640.00185458731.79111668.2E-40.009926270.0103069790.0115935791.12482810.0013
6.71.722807E-51.7723358E-53.077182E-417.3622992.9E-47.3832496E-57.595506E-54.759247E-46.26587154.0E-48.985399E-49.2436577E-40.00170364481.84304187.8E-40.0089491540.00920581350.0103947671.12915240.0012
6.81.5317364E-51.55779E-53.0557337E-419.6158282.9E-46.56442E-56.6760746E-54.467354E-46.6915883.8E-47.98925E-48.1251294E-40.00154191981.89771727.3E-40.0079605890.0080958810.0092068141.13722190.00112
6.91.3071226E-51.3064728E-52.830612E-421.6660632.7E-45.6018336E-55.59905E-54.059709E-47.25071053.5E-46.8180985E-46.8147323E-40.0013710032.01182226.9E-40.00679721730.0067940820.0078667451.15788190.00108
7.01.1836986E-51.1704644E-52.717016E-423.2131442.6E-45.0728955E-55.0161805E-53.9014476E-47.77772573.4E-46.1745E-46.1055046E-40.00126015362.06396326.5E-40.0061573720.0060889140.0070927641.16486530.00101
7.11.0597169E-51.0347842E-52.5034536E-424.1932.4E-44.541565E-54.4347147E-53.6433295E-48.2154773.2E-45.5279525E-45.3979387E-40.00114946462.1294516.1E-40.00551422130.00538495230.00632983631.17546759.5E-4
7.29.59113E-69.280211E-62.2927817E-424.7061372.2E-44.11042E-53.9771734E-53.397598E-48.5427463.0E-45.0032866E-44.8411428E-40.00105383832.1768385.7E-40.0049920370.004830710.0057164111.1833488.9E-4
7.38.586084E-68.215215E-62.0821358E-425.3448732.0E-43.679698E-53.5207595E-53.0519807E-48.668532.7E-44.4791115E-44.2856912E-49.483463E-42.21281985.2E-40.0044700940.00427753250.00508406761.18855158.1E-4
7.47.2622997E-66.8082304E-61.7680708E-425.9696081.7E-43.112377E-52.9177809E-52.491714E-48.5397572.2E-43.78866E-43.5518283E-47.7503367E-42.18206954.2E-40.00378220740.00354624730.0041740131.17702266.3E-4
7.55.627296E-65.138535E-61.2513791E-424.352841.2E-42.411676E-52.202211E-51.8201859E-48.2652651.6E-42.9358198E-42.6808688E-46.1799306E-42.3051973.5E-40.00293194430.00267770330.0032062841.19740085.3E-4
7.62.265244E-62.0284167E-64.2028336E-520.7197724.0E-59.708152E-68.693186E-65.8692753E-56.7515815.0E-51.18190335E-41.05834486E-42.1582285E-42.03924871.1E-40.0011812750.00105784930.00124764831.17941981.9E-4
7.71.3099874E-61.0813932E-63.108136E-528.7419623.0E-55.61422E-64.634534E-64.4634347E-59.6308174.0E-56.8350986E-55.6424014E-51.16420626E-42.0633176.0E-56.832996E-45.640992E-46.4405403E-41.1417398.0E-5
7.87.903951E-75.9400514E-73.0593987E-551.504583.0E-53.3874032E-62.5457339E-63.2545657E-512.784393.0E-54.1240855E-53.0993884E-57.0992646E-52.29053744.0E-54.12332E-43.0989686E-43.5988138E-41.1612945.0E-5
7.97.0753297E-94.9980793E-94.9980793E-91.00.03.032284E-82.142034E-82.142034E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.607926E-72.607926E-71.00.03.691799E-62.607924E-62.607924E-61.00.0

San Gabriel

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-59.789716E-60.0010797792110.2972950.001074.6446676E-54.1955314E-50.001471895435.0824550.001435.653415E-45.106969E-40.0026496045.18821240.002140.00563905430.0051087910.0079740771.56085420.00288
6.11.083775E-59.789716E-60.0010797792110.2972950.001074.6446676E-54.1955314E-50.001471895435.0824550.001435.653415E-45.106969E-40.0026496045.18821240.002140.00563905430.0051087910.0079740771.56085420.00288
6.21.083775E-59.789716E-60.0010797792110.2972950.001074.6446676E-54.1955314E-50.001471895435.0824550.001435.653415E-45.106969E-40.0026496045.18821240.002140.00563905430.0051087910.0079740771.56085420.00288
6.31.083775E-59.789716E-60.0010797792110.2972950.001074.6446676E-54.1955314E-50.001471895435.0824550.001435.653415E-45.106969E-40.0026496045.18821240.002140.00563905430.0051087910.0079740771.56085420.00288
6.41.083775E-59.789716E-60.0010797792110.2972950.001074.6446676E-54.1955314E-50.001471895435.0824550.001435.653415E-45.106969E-40.0026496045.18821240.002140.00563905430.0051087910.0079740771.56085420.00288
6.56.7317824E-65.5510095E-66.355475E-4114.492246.3E-42.8850178E-52.3789826E-58.7376963E-436.728718.5E-43.511943E-42.8960322E-40.00146926155.07336040.001180.0035063980.0029048420.0044802521.54233940.00158
6.66.7317824E-65.5510095E-66.355475E-4114.492246.3E-42.8850178E-52.3789826E-58.7376963E-436.728718.5E-43.511943E-42.8960322E-40.00146926155.07336040.001180.0035063980.0029048420.0044802521.54233940.00158
6.76.274881E-65.0824915E-66.1507936E-4121.0192646.1E-42.6892068E-52.1781929E-58.317643E-438.185988.1E-43.2736175E-42.651632E-40.00138486625.2226940.001120.00326879930.0026610460.0041470811.55844020.00149
6.85.996209E-64.7967674E-65.84794E-4121.914195.8E-42.5697784E-52.0557414E-57.70542E-437.4824377.5E-43.128256E-42.5025825E-40.0012899985.15466740.001040.0031238560.00251234040.00386892351.53996790.00136
6.95.686331E-64.4761628E-65.344738E-4119.4044655.3E-42.4369761E-51.9183415E-56.991704E-436.4466066.8E-42.9666146E-42.3353349E-40.00115331874.93855769.2E-40.00296265730.00234545630.00354264161.51042750.0012
7.05.2329838E-64.008388E-63.3400705E-483.3270343.3E-42.242688E-51.7178692E-54.5717115E-426.6126844.4E-42.7301308E-42.0913081E-47.990074E-43.82061085.9E-40.0027267790.00210190450.00290022281.37980728.0E-4
7.15.135671E-63.907748E-63.1390652E-480.329273.1E-42.2009834E-51.6747385E-54.2674053E-425.4810244.1E-42.6793676E-42.0388063E-47.6376647E-43.74614525.6E-40.00267613940.00204950060.00281792251.37493137.7E-4
7.24.989062E-63.7566624E-62.6375568E-470.210112.6E-42.1381518E-51.6099884E-53.5609442E-422.1178253.4E-42.6028889E-41.9599874E-46.759047E-43.44851524.8E-40.00259984240.00197082390.00264948371.34435346.8E-4
7.34.8219395E-63.6011643E-62.6360023E-473.198612.6E-42.0665291E-51.5433472E-53.454284E-422.3817673.3E-42.5157086E-41.878866E-46.4780016E-43.44782524.6E-40.00251286270.00188984310.00252863371.33801256.4E-4
7.44.7118383E-63.5013322E-62.4350049E-469.54512.4E-42.0193436E-51.5005625E-53.1500112E-420.9922033.0E-42.4582737E-41.8267846E-46.125999E-43.35343274.3E-40.0024555560.00183784720.00244672621.33136.1E-4
7.54.5506545E-63.3624813E-62.4336168E-472.375622.4E-41.9502659E-51.4410556E-52.9440652E-420.429922.8E-42.37419E-41.7543469E-45.753645E-43.2796514.0E-40.0023716550.00176552490.00231455381.31097215.5E-4
7.64.343636E-63.1805982E-62.231799E-470.169162.2E-41.861545E-51.3631066E-52.6362765E-419.3402082.5E-42.2661954E-41.6594588E-45.2588613E-43.1690223.6E-40.00226388570.00167076460.0021599461.29278894.9E-4
7.72.936235E-61.5475988E-61.5154737E-497.9241941.5E-41.2583803E-56.6325492E-61.7663142E-426.6311.7E-41.5319703E-48.074831E-53.1072972E-43.8481272.3E-40.00153091478.1033556E-40.00112008431.38224763.1E-4
7.81.4541639E-64.7823335E-72.0478225E-542.8205642.0E-56.232116E-62.04957E-63.204951E-515.6371873.0E-57.587337E-52.495323E-56.495223E-52.6029594.0E-57.584747E-42.5096384E-43.3094376E-41.3186918.0E-5
7.98.098958E-79.639755E-89.639755E-81.00.03.4709774E-64.1313226E-74.1313226E-71.00.04.225833E-55.0298736E-61.5029824E-52.98811151.0E-54.2250296E-45.0817445E-56.081694E-51.19677281.0E-5
8.05.2473234E-71.587662E-81.587662E-81.00.02.248851E-66.804265E-86.804265E-81.00.02.7379416E-58.2841893E-78.2841893E-71.00.02.7376044E-48.625902E-68.625902E-61.00.0
8.13.3162388E-77.372433E-97.372433E-91.00.01.4212444E-63.1596144E-83.1596144E-81.00.01.7303513E-53.8468298E-73.8468298E-71.00.01.7302166E-44.0893624E-64.0893624E-61.00.0
8.21.0235345E-72.600127E-92.600127E-91.00.04.3865757E-71.1143401E-81.1143401E-81.00.05.340643E-61.356709E-71.356709E-71.00.05.3405143E-51.5042067E-61.5042067E-61.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5464435E-55.854556E-437.8581965.7E-46.4958724E-56.62746E-58.962196E-413.522828.3E-47.905855E-48.0661866E-40.0021255542.6351410.001320.0078777880.0080393170.0099637211.2393740.00194
6.11.5157413E-51.5464435E-55.854556E-437.8581965.7E-46.4958724E-56.62746E-58.962196E-413.522828.3E-47.905855E-48.0661866E-40.0021255542.6351410.001320.0078777880.0080393170.0099637211.2393740.00194
6.21.5157413E-51.5464435E-55.854556E-437.8581965.7E-46.4958724E-56.62746E-58.962196E-413.522828.3E-47.905855E-48.0661866E-40.0021255542.6351410.001320.0078777880.0080393170.0099637211.2393740.00194
6.31.5157413E-51.5464435E-55.854556E-437.8581965.7E-46.4958724E-56.62746E-58.962196E-413.522828.3E-47.905855E-48.0661866E-40.0021255542.6351410.001320.0078777880.0080393170.0099637211.2393740.00194
6.41.3941944E-51.4135955E-55.6412816E-439.9073265.5E-45.9749822E-56.0581384E-58.605329E-414.20457658.0E-47.2721124E-47.3735113E-40.00201640742.73466350.001280.0072483610.0073512770.0091777511.24845660.00184
6.51.3941944E-51.4135955E-55.6412816E-439.9073265.5E-45.9749822E-56.0581384E-58.605329E-414.20457658.0E-47.2721124E-47.3735113E-40.00201640742.73466350.001280.0072483610.0073512770.0091777511.24845660.00184
6.61.0542609E-51.04262635E-54.9042125E-447.0371064.8E-44.5181827E-54.468325E-57.146533E-415.9937636.7E-45.499499E-45.43888E-40.00156333322.8743660.001020.0054859090.00542609630.00685828231.26394410.00144
6.71.0542609E-51.04262635E-54.9042125E-447.0371064.8E-44.5181827E-54.468325E-57.146533E-415.9937636.7E-45.499499E-45.43888E-40.00156333322.8743660.001020.0054859090.00542609630.00685828231.26394410.00144
6.81.0079132E-59.937658E-64.899329E-449.300644.8E-44.3195567E-54.2589298E-56.925616E-416.26146.5E-45.257791E-45.1840645E-40.00150789322.90870839.9E-40.00524536850.00517248730.0065652461.26926280.0014
6.97.721598E-67.3623673E-64.2735928E-458.0464484.2E-43.3092143E-53.1552627E-55.815353E-418.4306455.5E-44.0282236E-43.840867E-40.00117378333.05603727.9E-40.00402092930.00383434770.00491020641.28058460.00108
7.07.137566E-66.734972E-63.8673243E-457.421533.8E-43.058921E-52.8863853E-55.288494E-418.3222055.0E-43.7236E-43.5136178E-40.00106111233.01999937.1E-40.00371736680.00350816660.00447476381.27552779.7E-4
7.15.654976E-65.147661E-63.1514606E-461.2212143.1E-42.4235387E-52.2061218E-54.120526E-418.677693.9E-42.9502588E-42.6856243E-48.1841473E-43.0473915.5E-40.00294634510.00268239850.00343038681.27885067.5E-4
7.24.9358455E-64.3862055E-62.7438503E-462.556352.7E-42.1153453E-51.879789E-53.687913E-419.6187613.5E-42.5751285E-42.288404E-47.0873054E-43.09705164.8E-40.00257214650.00228605890.00290464141.27058916.2E-4
7.34.2368597E-63.67571E-62.0367498E-455.4110532.0E-41.8157843E-51.5752948E-52.9574853E-418.774172.8E-42.2104931E-41.9177537E-45.717025E-42.98110493.8E-40.00220829550.00191610680.00240516781.25523694.9E-4
7.43.4999923E-62.9270643E-61.6292659E-455.6621171.6E-41.49998805E-51.2544501E-52.3254174E-418.5373442.2E-41.8260824E-41.5271868E-44.5267286E-42.96409633.0E-40.00182458260.00152614240.00193551661.26824124.1E-4
7.52.738017E-62.2024703E-61.0220225E-446.403461.0E-41.1734306E-59.439125E-61.3943789E-414.7723331.3E-41.428558E-41.1491535E-43.1489236E-42.74021152.0E-40.00142764010.0011485630.00144821851.2608963.0E-4
7.61.8186392E-61.3720088E-64.1371954E-530.1542934.0E-57.794145E-65.8800247E-67.5879616E-512.9046427.0E-59.488958E-57.158698E-51.815791E-42.5364821.1E-49.4849075E-47.156403E-48.555401E-41.1954891.4E-4
7.71.0660348E-67.093197E-77.093197E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.0399383E-63.0399383E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.7010635E-54.7010264E-51.27018261.0E-55.5608735E-43.7004345E-43.9003603E-41.05402772.0E-5
7.86.913602E-73.8653977E-73.8653977E-71.00.02.962969E-61.656598E-61.656598E-61.00.03.607355E-52.0168898E-52.0168898E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.0166763E-42.0166763E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-84.940265E-84.940265E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.1172563E-72.1172563E-71.00.03.874356E-62.5777579E-62.5777579E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.577739E-52.577739E-51.00.0

Sisar

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.14.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.24.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.34.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.44.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.54.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.64.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.74.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.84.544193E-63.7624293E-60.0010137586269.442570.001011.9474966E-51.6124599E-50.001256104677.8998950.001242.3708193E-41.9629963E-40.00183597779.3529350.001640.00236829160.00196129390.00391744961.99738030.00196
6.94.542225E-63.7604038E-60.0010137566269.587160.001011.9466532E-51.6115919E-50.00125609677.9413150.001242.3697925E-41.9619396E-40.00183587229.3574350.001640.0023672670.00196023910.0039163971.9979180.00196
7.04.5278484E-63.7455707E-60.0010137418270.650820.001011.940492E-51.6052349E-50.001256032578.2460250.001242.3622929E-41.9542013E-40.00183509979.3905350.001640.00235978330.00195251450.00390868772.00187370.00196
7.14.5132488E-63.7304717E-60.0010137267271.742220.001011.9342351E-51.598764E-50.001255967878.558680.001242.3546767E-41.9463243E-40.00183431339.42449950.001640.00235218320.00194465140.003900842.00593280.00196
7.24.448859E-63.6635147E-60.0010136599276.690520.001011.9066398E-51.5700683E-50.001255681379.976210.001242.3210866E-41.9113938E-40.00183082599.5784860.001640.00231866380.00190978110.0038660382.02433560.00196
7.34.3424366E-63.558509E-60.0010035549282.015560.0011.861031E-51.52506655E-50.00124523281.6509860.001232.2655698E-41.8566134E-40.00181535889.7777960.001630.00226326150.00185509360.00379149482.04382920.00194
7.44.218641E-63.4599636E-69.834566E-4284.238989.8E-41.8079765E-51.4828333E-50.001224810482.599330.001212.2009891E-41.805203E-40.00179022979.9170540.001610.00219881050.0018037680.00371032282.05698440.00191
7.53.983779E-63.2787932E-69.3327573E-4284.649.3E-41.7073227E-51.4051897E-50.001144036181.415060.001132.0784672E-41.7106872E-40.00169080879.8837990.001520.00207652430.00170940130.00352629022.06288030.00182
7.62.777393E-62.3111554E-65.923098E-4256.2835.9E-41.1903058E-59.904915E-67.2989776E-473.690477.2E-41.449101E-41.2058573E-40.00109046879.0430999.7E-40.00144815640.00120521050.00236381241.96132760.00116
7.71.9028433E-61.566324E-63.2156584E-4205.299673.2E-48.155017E-66.7128003E-64.2670997E-463.5666124.2E-49.928281E-58.1725324E-56.216812E-47.6069595.4E-49.923846E-48.1695727E-40.00148640991.81944636.7E-4
7.84.9095956E-74.3011238E-77.0430084E-5163.74817.0E-52.1041105E-61.8433375E-61.1184313E-460.674261.1E-42.5617246E-52.2442404E-51.3243993E-45.90132571.1E-42.5614293E-42.2440155E-43.5437237E-41.57918861.3E-4
7.91.16657894E-71.0195635E-71.0101955E-599.081171.0E-54.999623E-74.3695573E-73.0436942E-569.656813.0E-56.087024E-65.3199233E-63.5319765E-56.6391493.0E-56.0868573E-55.319799E-59.3195864E-51.75186814.0E-5
8.02.5100346E-91.6234614E-91.6234614E-91.00.01.0757291E-86.9576913E-96.9576913E-91.00.01.3097001E-78.470989E-88.470989E-81.00.01.3096993E-68.470986E-78.470986E-71.00.0

Verdugo

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.392987E-64.130047E-67.34127E-4177.752727.3E-42.3112598E-51.7700084E-59.1768417E-451.8463179.0E-42.8135953E-42.1547767E-40.00156518687.26380.001350.00281003560.00215273420.00394885941.83434590.0018
6.15.392987E-64.130047E-67.34127E-4177.752727.3E-42.3112598E-51.7700084E-59.1768417E-451.8463179.0E-42.8135953E-42.1547767E-40.00156518687.26380.001350.00281003560.00215273420.00394885941.83434590.0018
6.25.392987E-64.130047E-67.34127E-4177.752727.3E-42.3112598E-51.7700084E-59.1768417E-451.8463179.0E-42.8135953E-42.1547767E-40.00156518687.26380.001350.00281003560.00215273420.00394885941.83434590.0018
6.35.392987E-64.130047E-67.34127E-4177.752727.3E-42.3112598E-51.7700084E-59.1768417E-451.8463179.0E-42.8135953E-42.1547767E-40.00156518687.26380.001350.00281003560.00215273420.00394885941.83434590.0018
6.45.392987E-64.130047E-67.34127E-4177.752727.3E-42.3112598E-51.7700084E-59.1768417E-451.8463179.0E-42.8135953E-42.1547767E-40.00156518687.26380.001350.00281003560.00215273420.00394885941.83434590.0018
6.54.9154837E-63.6389933E-67.136364E-4196.108187.1E-42.1066187E-51.5595593E-58.7558216E-456.142928.6E-42.5645064E-41.8986E-40.00144962087.63520860.001260.0025615490.00189699830.00358379241.88919120.00169
6.64.9154837E-63.6389933E-67.136364E-4196.108187.1E-42.1066187E-51.5595593E-58.7558216E-456.142928.6E-42.5645064E-41.8986E-40.00144962087.63520860.001260.0025615490.00189699830.00358379241.88919120.00169
6.74.817006E-63.537784E-67.135353E-4201.689887.1E-42.0644147E-51.5161845E-58.751488E-457.720478.6E-42.513135E-41.8458001E-40.00144434747.8250480.001260.00251029480.0018442860.00353116911.91465380.00169
6.84.507407E-63.2271769E-66.9322495E-4214.808496.9E-41.9317316E-51.3830685E-58.3381933E-460.2876368.2E-42.3516294E-41.6837571E-40.00134817718.0069560.001180.00234914250.00168249520.00324985361.93156790.00157
6.94.3573054E-63.0824551E-66.8308035E-4221.602696.8E-41.8674033E-51.3210456E-58.2319975E-462.314268.1E-42.2733262E-41.6082554E-40.00131064068.1494550.001150.00227100220.00160710340.00312466061.9442810.00152
7.04.171527E-62.9068485E-66.6290493E-4228.049366.6E-41.787785E-51.2457863E-58.02448E-464.412977.9E-42.1764109E-41.5166403E-40.00128149268.4495490.001130.00217428060.00151561610.0029933731.97502060.00148
7.14.0405484E-62.8068564E-66.52805E-4232.575136.5E-41.731652E-51.202933E-57.8202004E-465.0094457.7E-42.1080824E-41.4644735E-40.00125628488.5784050.001110.00210608380.0014635190.00289142621.9756670.00143
7.23.8306007E-62.628971E-66.1262737E-4233.029336.1E-41.6416758E-51.1266971E-57.312589E-464.902887.2E-41.9985568E-41.3716683E-40.00119702158.7267550.001060.00199676050.0013708320.00271898141.98345340.00135
7.33.5750938E-62.4423916E-65.324411E-4217.99995.3E-41.532174E-51.0467351E-56.5046066E-462.1418576.4E-41.8652623E-41.2743265E-40.00106731298.3755059.4E-40.00186369740.00127360590.0024920521.95669020.00122
7.43.3510041E-62.27386E-65.0227274E-4220.88995.0E-41.4361368E-59.745079E-66.197391E-463.5950856.1E-41.7483562E-41.18639975E-40.00101853338.5850769.0E-40.00174698130.00118577630.0023643771.99394870.00118
7.52.948287E-61.9792624E-64.319784E-4218.252234.3E-41.2635454E-58.482526E-65.184782E-461.123095.1E-41.538258E-41.0326996E-48.7319047E-48.4554167.7E-40.00153719350.00103222940.0020611661.99681020.00103
7.62.0134323E-61.4061362E-63.014057E-4214.35033.0E-48.628967E-66.0262846E-63.8602398E-464.056723.8E-41.05052604E-47.336763E-56.433258E-48.7685245.7E-40.00105002967.334425E-40.00148289242.0218257.5E-4
7.75.726436E-73.90457E-78.0390426E-5205.888058.0E-52.4541846E-61.6733861E-68.167325E-548.8071758.0E-52.9879287E-52.037331E-51.20371275E-45.90828231.0E-42.987527E-42.0371685E-43.5368628E-41.73616611.5E-4
7.81.6248204E-71.0033607E-71.0033607E-71.00.06.963514E-74.3001162E-74.3001162E-71.00.08.478045E-65.2353794E-65.2353794E-61.00.08.477722E-55.2352592E-55.2352592E-51.00.0
7.94.4475744E-82.977693E-82.977693E-81.00.01.9061031E-71.2761541E-71.2761541E-71.00.02.320678E-61.5537166E-61.5537166E-61.00.02.3206538E-51.553707E-51.553707E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.307832E-54.8304835E-46.61000874.1E-42.6251914E-43.1315823E-49.6295465E-43.0749786.5E-40.00319148650.00380656360.0047828331.25647019.8E-40.0314603930.0374697670.0388654361.03724790.00145
6.16.126063E-57.307832E-54.8304835E-46.61000874.1E-42.6251914E-43.1315823E-49.6295465E-43.0749786.5E-40.00319148650.00380656360.0047828331.25647019.8E-40.0314603930.0374697670.0388654361.03724790.00145
6.26.126063E-57.307832E-54.8304835E-46.61000874.1E-42.6251914E-43.1315823E-49.6295465E-43.0749786.5E-40.00319148650.00380656360.0047828331.25647019.8E-40.0314603930.0374697670.0388654361.03724790.00145
6.34.0838047E-54.7898608E-52.778876E-45.80157952.3E-41.7500846E-42.0526476E-45.7518884E-42.802183.7E-40.00212864580.00249643860.00305504071.22375955.6E-40.0210837090.02470530.0254855361.03158188.0E-4
6.44.0838047E-54.7898608E-52.778876E-45.80157952.3E-41.7500846E-42.0526476E-45.7518884E-42.802183.7E-40.00212864580.00249643860.00305504071.22375955.6E-40.0210837090.02470530.0254855361.03158188.0E-4
6.53.0512005E-53.5319634E-51.9531399E-45.5298981.6E-41.3075917E-41.513617E-44.3131932E-42.84959342.8E-40.00159083040.00184138150.00225062651.22224894.1E-40.0157949030.0182726360.018802771.02901245.4E-4
6.62.9255087E-53.3941466E-51.8393637E-45.4192231.5E-41.2537291E-41.4545594E-44.1541667E-42.85596232.7E-40.00152534640.00176959550.00216888781.22564034.0E-40.0151491890.0175661370.0180868261.02964175.3E-4
6.72.287198E-52.6353702E-51.2635106E-44.7944331.0E-49.801909E-51.12940026E-43.329152E-42.94771652.2E-40.0011927290.0013742630.00167385071.21799893.0E-40.0118634770.0136662470.014060781.02886924.0E-4
6.82.1325764E-52.4592096E-59.4590374E-53.8463737.0E-59.139293E-51.05390915E-42.8537193E-42.7077471.8E-40.0011121410.00128246320.00154212981.20247482.6E-40.0110659150.0127590390.0131144461.02785533.6E-4
6.91.9009392E-52.1877471E-58.187616E-53.74248726.0E-58.1466285E-59.3757684E-52.6374173E-42.81301471.7E-49.914007E-40.00114098340.00139069811.21885922.5E-40.0098698940.0113593460.0116954841.02959133.4E-4
7.01.7098473E-51.9661622E-57.966044E-54.05157046.0E-57.3277115E-58.426182E-52.4424834E-42.89868331.6E-48.917837E-40.00102548430.00125524841.22405432.3E-40.0088821340.0102153830.0105321141.03100533.2E-4
7.11.5982785E-51.8379606E-56.8378686E-53.72035655.0E-56.849585E-57.876781E-52.1875677E-42.77723571.4E-48.336179E-49.586551E-40.00115846331.20842562.0E-40.0083049770.009552990.009840221.0300672.9E-4
7.21.4468002E-51.6639548E-56.663871E-54.00483945.0E-56.200425E-57.131084E-52.1130085E-42.9630961.4E-47.546402E-48.679419E-40.00106776831.23023022.0E-40.0075208270.0086532270.008920891.03093222.7E-4
7.35.288233E-66.016325E-61.6016265E-52.66213421.0E-52.2663658E-52.578418E-57.578289E-52.93912365.0E-52.7589512E-43.1390967E-44.0388142E-41.28661679.0E-50.00275552830.00313785020.0032774111.04447651.4E-4
7.48.279556E-78.38535E-78.38535E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.593717E-63.593717E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.37527E-56.3751824E-51.45709472.0E-54.3192226E-44.3744803E-44.8742615E-41.11424935.0E-5
7.56.559831E-76.6480425E-76.6480425E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.8491581E-62.8491581E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4688015E-53.4688015E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4683262E-43.6682567E-41.05764472.0E-5
7.63.5018968E-73.5512568E-73.5512568E-71.00.01.500812E-61.5219665E-61.5219665E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8529832E-51.8529832E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8528744E-41.8528744E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.216038E-71.216038E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2115905E-75.2115905E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.345094E-66.345094E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.3449166E-56.3449166E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.092328E-83.092328E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3252834E-71.3252834E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6135317E-61.6135317E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.613522E-51.613522E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.1338076E-55.313092E-48.6619814.7E-42.2904722E-42.6285418E-48.626965E-43.28203446.0E-40.00278508360.0031961190.00412314661.29004799.3E-40.0275043660.0315594080.0329830121.04510880.00147
6.15.3449043E-56.1338076E-55.313092E-48.6619814.7E-42.2904722E-42.6285418E-48.626965E-43.28203446.0E-40.00278508360.0031961190.00412314661.29004799.3E-40.0275043660.0315594080.0329830121.04510880.00147
6.22.3189454E-52.594751E-52.3594206E-49.0930532.1E-49.9379584E-51.1119912E-43.8116908E-43.42780692.7E-40.00120927490.00135305330.00179245791.32475044.4E-40.0120271550.0134527850.0140940411.04766716.5E-4
6.32.3189454E-52.594751E-52.3594206E-49.0930532.1E-49.9379584E-51.1119912E-43.8116908E-43.42780692.7E-40.00120927490.00135305330.00179245791.32475044.4E-40.0120271550.0134527850.0140940411.04766716.5E-4
6.41.966056E-52.18999E-51.7189661E-47.84919641.5E-48.425682E-59.385355E-53.0383383E-43.23731852.1E-40.0010253440.00114210610.00150169491.31484713.6E-40.0102062590.0113662430.01190010551.0469695.4E-4
6.51.7342953E-51.9262101E-51.4925959E-47.7488741.3E-47.4324824E-58.254944E-52.7253377E-43.30146071.9E-49.04529E-40.00100461110.00134426951.33809953.4E-40.0090085610.0100042250.0105091231.05046845.1E-4
6.61.439804E-51.5934824E-51.1593323E-47.27546361.0E-46.170443E-56.829049E-52.1828024E-43.19634941.5E-47.509924E-48.311499E-40.00111091721.33660272.8E-40.00748459530.00828344750.0086999681.05028364.2E-4
6.71.2634884E-51.395179E-51.0395054E-47.45069559.0E-55.414838E-55.9792175E-51.79785E-43.00683161.2E-46.590571E-47.277554E-49.6758077E-41.32954112.4E-40.0065710590.00725658240.00762389741.05061823.7E-4
6.81.146091E-51.2634907E-59.26339E-57.33158548.0E-54.911726E-55.4148633E-51.6414268E-43.03133561.1E-45.9783855E-46.590884E-48.7894336E-41.33357442.2E-40.00596232760.0065741210.00690195151.04986683.3E-4
6.99.109035E-61.0005037E-58.0004334E-57.99640567.0E-53.9038136E-54.2878175E-51.3287432E-43.09887989.0E-54.7518566E-45.2194326E-47.1184407E-41.36383431.9E-40.00474170830.00520978170.0054883231.0534652.8E-4
7.05.9351028E-66.448277E-66.644789E-510.3047516.0E-52.5435906E-52.7635306E-59.763337E-53.53292167.0E-53.0963816E-43.3643027E-44.963764E-41.47542141.6E-40.00309207060.00336140280.00356073051.0592992.0E-4
7.12.1557585E-62.1921103E-61.2192088E-55.56180431.0E-59.238933E-69.394726E-62.9394538E-53.1288342.0E-51.1247819E-41.1437493E-41.7436808E-41.52453046.0E-50.00112421280.00114317580.00121309571.0611637.0E-5
7.22.1251979E-62.160658E-61.2160636E-55.628211.0E-59.107958E-69.25993E-62.9259745E-53.15982342.0E-51.1088375E-41.1273397E-41.727272E-41.53216656.0E-50.00110828450.00112678290.0011967041.06205387.0E-5
7.31.7145798E-61.7312143E-61.1731197E-56.77628231.0E-57.3481783E-67.4194695E-61.7419396E-52.34779521.0E-58.94604E-59.032839E-51.3032477E-41.44278874.0E-58.9424395E-49.0292573E-49.528806E-41.05532555.0E-5
7.41.4467993E-61.4533775E-61.1453363E-57.88051461.0E-56.200554E-66.2287468E-61.6228685E-52.60544941.0E-57.548913E-57.5832424E-51.1582939E-41.52743894.0E-57.546349E-47.580727E-48.080348E-41.06590685.0E-5
7.51.2803735E-61.2835433E-61.12835305E-58.7909231.0E-55.487303E-65.5008886E-61.5500833E-52.8178781.0E-56.680587E-56.697133E-59.696932E-51.44792283.0E-56.678579E-46.695185E-47.094917E-41.05970444.0E-5
7.66.755009E-76.716935E-76.716935E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.8786835E-62.8786835E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.5047466E-54.5047116E-51.28531731.0E-53.5240475E-43.5042508E-43.6042157E-41.02852681.0E-5
7.76.211885E-84.4772474E-84.4772474E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9188201E-71.9188201E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3361613E-62.3361613E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3361386E-52.3361386E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.4459723E-91.4459723E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.1970242E-96.1970242E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.5448774E-87.5448774E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.5448776E-77.5448776E-71.00.0

Malibu Coast alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6572556E-51.715533E-55.0714693E-429.5620654.9E-47.102331E-57.352087E-57.134738E-49.7043726.4E-48.6436566E-48.9476653E-40.00191385392.13894220.001020.00861011350.00891344250.0103406071.16011370.00144
6.11.6572556E-51.715533E-55.0714693E-429.5620654.9E-47.102331E-57.352087E-57.134738E-49.7043726.4E-48.6436566E-48.9476653E-40.00191385392.13894220.001020.00861011350.00891344250.0103406071.16011370.00144
6.21.1085717E-51.1304176E-53.3130057E-429.3078043.2E-44.750935E-54.8445585E-54.6842525E-49.6691014.2E-45.782728E-45.896687E-40.00127926182.16945866.9E-40.00576770350.0058813890.00683574331.16226679.6E-4
6.31.0208568E-51.0369718E-52.9036682E-428.0014172.8E-44.375027E-54.444091E-54.24424E-49.5503013.8E-45.325294E-45.409365E-40.00118059042.18249326.4E-40.00531255030.00539648770.0062916311.16587529.0E-4
6.49.0682315E-69.156676E-62.491545E-427.2101442.4E-43.8863272E-53.9242317E-53.6922935E-49.4089593.3E-44.730576E-44.776724E-40.00102740972.15086675.5E-40.00472051840.00476665840.00555289261.16494457.9E-4
6.57.605796E-67.6047945E-62.0760327E-427.2989982.0E-43.259586E-53.2591575E-53.225821E-49.8977152.9E-43.9678233E-43.9673146E-48.6654496E-42.18421054.7E-40.00396074630.0039603620.0046277091.16850656.7E-4
6.65.889873E-65.7849484E-61.5578407E-426.9292091.5E-42.5242069E-52.47924E-52.547867E-410.2768072.3E-43.0727885E-43.0180576E-46.8169105E-42.2587083.8E-40.0030685430.0030139710.0035224341.1687025.1E-4
6.75.66586E-65.5509804E-61.5555015E-428.0221041.5E-42.428203E-52.3789698E-52.5378424E-410.667822.3E-42.955936E-42.896012E-46.59494E-42.2772493.7E-40.00295200730.00289224930.00339080321.17237585.0E-4
6.85.521556E-65.401033E-61.5540022E-428.7723161.5E-42.3663597E-52.3147079E-52.5314174E-410.9362292.3E-42.880662E-42.8177933E-46.416779E-42.27723553.6E-40.00287693060.00281423170.00329288071.17008164.8E-4
6.95.29752E-65.1660422E-61.3516538E-426.1642021.3E-42.270346E-52.2139993E-52.2213557E-410.0332262.0E-42.7637955E-42.6952114E-45.794376E-42.1498783.1E-40.00276036070.00269195270.0031008491.15189584.1E-4
7.05.106743E-64.9671926E-61.3496654E-427.1715971.3E-42.1885859E-52.1287793E-52.2128354E-410.39485552.0E-42.6642776E-42.5914813E-45.590704E-42.1573393.0E-40.00266108550.00258846860.00298743321.15413154.0E-4
7.14.8469647E-64.695057E-61.1469454E-424.4287851.1E-42.0772539E-52.0121517E-51.901181E-49.4484971.7E-42.528763E-42.44952E-45.148859E-42.10198662.7E-40.00252588750.0024468280.00281592251.15084623.7E-4
7.24.545514E-64.3778105E-61.14377326E-426.1266061.1E-41.9480629E-51.876191E-51.7875891E-49.5277561.6E-42.3715083E-42.2840238E-44.5834985E-42.0067652.3E-40.00236897920.00228168350.00259097621.13555463.1E-4
7.33.794097E-63.5950852E-61.0359473E-428.8156531.0E-41.6260314E-51.5407417E-51.654051E-410.735421.5E-41.9795135E-41.875692E-43.575373E-41.90616211.7E-40.0019777510.00187411330.00210368241.12249472.3E-4
7.42.808217E-62.679258E-66.26791E-523.39426.0E-51.203516E-51.1482483E-51.11481335E-49.70881751.0E-41.4651821E-41.397903E-42.4977492E-41.7867831.1E-40.00146421650.00139702620.00155680271.1143691.6E-4
7.51.83809E-61.7940209E-64.179395E-523.2962444.0E-57.877505E-67.688638E-67.76881E-510.1042737.0E-59.59044E-59.360517E-51.7359768E-41.85457368.0E-59.5863023E-49.356594E-40.00105554721.12813171.2E-4
7.61.1292672E-61.0844291E-62.1084408E-519.4428632.0E-54.839708E-64.6475448E-65.4647313E-511.7583185.0E-55.8921847E-55.6582405E-51.1657901E-42.06034046.0E-55.890623E-45.656816E-46.4563635E-41.14134238.0E-5
7.75.065272E-74.5284366E-71.0452839E-523.0826661.0E-52.170829E-61.940757E-61.1940738E-56.1526181.0E-52.6429525E-52.3628474E-54.3628002E-51.84641642.0E-52.642638E-42.3626072E-42.6625363E-41.12694843.0E-5
7.88.952991E-86.361338E-81.00636125E-5158.199631.0E-53.8369956E-72.7262874E-71.0272626E-537.679911.0E-54.671532E-63.3192498E-61.3319217E-54.01271871.0E-54.671434E-53.319202E-54.319169E-51.30126731.0E-5
7.98.007447E-106.1097116E-106.1097116E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.6184477E-92.6184477E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.1879598E-83.1879598E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.1879594E-73.1879594E-71.00.0

Newport-Inglewood alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9668912E-52.946023E-54.3944817E-414.9166574.1E-41.2714628E-41.2625458E-46.5618765E-45.19733765.3E-40.00154690680.0015365190.00240518221.56534498.7E-40.0153618290.0153035220.0165836271.08364770.0013
6.12.9668912E-52.946023E-54.3944817E-414.9166574.1E-41.2714628E-41.2625458E-46.5618765E-45.19733765.3E-40.00154690680.0015365190.00240518221.56534498.7E-40.0153618290.0153035220.0165836271.08364770.0013
6.22.9668912E-52.946023E-54.3944817E-414.9166574.1E-41.2714628E-41.2625458E-46.5618765E-45.19733765.3E-40.00154690680.0015365190.00240518221.56534498.7E-40.0153618290.0153035220.0165836271.08364770.0013
6.32.9668912E-52.946023E-54.3944817E-414.9166574.1E-41.2714628E-41.2625458E-46.5618765E-45.19733765.3E-40.00154690680.0015365190.00240518221.56534498.7E-40.0153618290.0153035220.0165836271.08364770.0013
6.41.275942E-51.00162915E-51.2001519E-411.9819981.1E-45.4682085E-54.292628E-51.8292027E-44.26126531.4E-46.65551E-45.2250613E-47.5238594E-41.43995622.3E-40.00663561230.0052131820.00556135741.06678753.5E-4
6.51.275942E-51.00162915E-51.2001519E-411.9819981.1E-45.4682085E-54.292628E-51.8292027E-44.26126531.4E-46.65551E-45.2250613E-47.5238594E-41.43995622.3E-40.00663561230.0052131820.00556135741.06678753.5E-4
6.61.1255358E-58.442547E-68.844187E-510.4757338.0E-54.8236358E-53.6181857E-51.3617823E-43.76371621.0E-45.871194E-44.4042667E-46.103518E-41.38581931.7E-40.0058557060.0043957080.0046744771.06341852.8E-4
6.71.0504745E-57.695583E-68.769497E-511.39549358.0E-54.5019555E-53.298066E-51.3297737E-44.031981.0E-45.4797524E-44.0146674E-45.713985E-41.42327731.7E-40.00546625960.00400753920.00427645721.0671032.7E-4
6.81.0476007E-57.67753E-68.767692E-511.4199378.0E-54.4896402E-53.2903296E-51.3290001E-44.0391091.0E-45.464766E-44.0052517E-45.704571E-41.42427281.7E-40.0054513470.00399815760.0042670781.06726112.7E-4
6.99.076797E-66.3104753E-67.631003E-512.0925977.0E-53.889998E-52.7044614E-51.0704245E-43.9579958.0E-54.7350433E-43.2921875E-44.6917266E-41.42510911.4E-40.0047249670.00328734540.00349665531.06367142.1E-4
7.08.73795E-66.039872E-67.603945E-512.589587.0E-53.7447822E-52.588491E-51.0588284E-44.09052378.0E-54.5583185E-43.1510348E-44.5505937E-41.44415841.4E-40.00454897950.00314659650.00334596731.06336072.0E-4
7.18.391299E-65.7905345E-67.579013E-513.0886247.0E-53.5962214E-52.4816341E-51.0481436E-44.22360238.0E-54.37752E-43.0209732E-44.4205502E-41.46328681.4E-40.0043689070.00301689420.00321629081.06609332.0E-4
7.27.796882E-65.34302E-67.534264E-514.1011357.0E-53.341478E-52.2898455E-51.0289662E-44.4936058.0E-54.06749E-42.7875323E-44.08717E-41.46623231.3E-40.00406005330.00278405820.00297352931.06805571.9E-4
7.36.4738833E-64.5221045E-65.452188E-512.0567495.0E-52.774492E-51.9380304E-56.937933E-53.57988885.0E-53.3774204E-42.3592981E-43.359062E-41.42375491.0E-40.00337229180.0023568090.0024964791.05926241.4E-4
7.45.382145E-63.783853E-63.378374E-58.9283973.0E-52.3066134E-51.6216412E-54.6215926E-52.84994773.0E-52.8079396E-41.9741706E-42.7740127E-41.40515358.0E-50.00280439430.00197243060.00208221351.05565871.1E-4
7.53.648244E-62.5130112E-63.2512937E-512.937843.0E-51.5635238E-51.0770003E-54.076968E-53.78548433.0E-51.9034238E-41.31117E-42.1110651E-41.61006218.0E-50.00190179430.00131040640.00142026221.08383351.1E-4
7.62.2906888E-61.5087E-61.1508685E-57.6282131.0E-59.817201E-66.4658416E-61.6465778E-52.54657911.0E-51.1951787E-47.871884E-51.287149E-41.6351225.0E-50.00119453617.8691595E-48.66853E-41.10158268.0E-5
7.76.0479874E-73.3360695E-71.0333603E-530.9753861.0E-52.5919921E-61.4297433E-61.1429729E-57.99425271.0E-53.1557047E-51.7407E-52.7406824E-51.57447161.0E-53.1552566E-41.7405768E-41.8405594E-41.05744221.0E-5
7.81.16056995E-89.757093E-99.757093E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1816115E-84.1816115E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.091112E-75.091112E-71.00.06.05567E-65.0911117E-65.0911117E-61.00.0

Hollywood

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.233794E-53.4233386E-427.7464373.3E-45.3350745E-55.2875836E-55.7284837E-410.8338395.2E-46.4935174E-46.4357766E-40.00160295982.49070149.6E-40.00647457550.00641760650.0077390711.20591240.00133
6.11.24487615E-51.233794E-53.4233386E-427.7464373.3E-45.3350745E-55.2875836E-55.7284837E-410.8338395.2E-46.4935174E-46.4357766E-40.00160295982.49070149.6E-40.00647457550.00641760650.0077390711.20591240.00133
6.21.24487615E-51.233794E-53.4233386E-427.7464373.3E-45.3350745E-55.2875836E-55.7284837E-410.8338395.2E-46.4935174E-46.4357766E-40.00160295982.49070149.6E-40.00647457550.00641760650.0077390711.20591240.00133
6.31.24487615E-51.233794E-53.4233386E-427.7464373.3E-45.3350745E-55.2875836E-55.7284837E-410.8338395.2E-46.4935174E-46.4357766E-40.00160295982.49070149.6E-40.00647457550.00641760650.0077390711.20591240.00133
6.41.2431024E-51.2318866E-53.423148E-427.7878513.3E-45.327473E-55.2794094E-55.7276664E-410.8490675.2E-46.4842677E-46.42583E-40.00160196612.49301059.6E-40.00646537960.00640771720.0077291951.20623220.00133
6.51.1242222E-51.1089502E-53.010863E-427.150572.9E-44.8180063E-54.7525584E-55.275028E-411.0993434.8E-45.864344E-45.78473E-40.00143797542.48581278.6E-40.00584889250.0057699470.00693319641.20160480.00117
6.61.1234066E-51.1080753E-53.0107755E-427.1712152.9E-44.8145106E-54.7488094E-55.274653E-411.1073174.8E-45.86009E-45.7801674E-40.00143751972.48698628.6E-40.0058446610.00576540870.00692866321.20176450.00117
6.71.12294E-51.1075612E-53.010724E-427.1833652.9E-44.812511E-54.746606E-55.2744325E-411.1120094.8E-45.857657E-45.777486E-40.00143725172.48767668.6E-40.00584224050.00576274140.00692599871.20185840.00117
6.81.0252819E-51.0012425E-52.8000973E-427.9662232.7E-44.3939912E-54.29097E-54.828908E-411.2536524.4E-45.3483713E-45.223024E-40.00128190552.45433577.6E-40.0053355170.00521096630.0062654431.20235720.00106
6.99.252289E-68.926039E-62.589238E-429.0076942.5E-43.9652066E-53.82539E-54.5823783E-411.9788524.2E-44.8265693E-44.656433E-40.00112533592.4167346.6E-40.00481610.00464684330.0055426611.19277999.0E-4
7.08.474604E-68.089273E-62.2808749E-428.196292.2E-43.6319227E-53.4667864E-54.146547E-411.960783.8E-44.4209688E-44.2200089E-49.917603E-42.35013825.7E-40.0044121840.004212140.00498885481.1843997.8E-4
7.16.643643E-66.13498E-61.5613406E-425.4498061.5E-42.8472443E-52.629251E-52.962854E-411.2688142.7E-43.4659685E-43.200647E-47.299335E-42.2805814.1E-40.00346056770.00319608160.00376425991.17777345.7E-4
7.25.549002E-64.9948494E-61.2499424E-425.024631.2E-42.378122E-52.1406322E-52.3140182E-410.8099762.1E-42.8949787E-42.6059095E-45.8050756E-42.22765833.2E-40.00289121040.00260286940.00301180221.15710844.1E-4
7.34.3059727E-63.867589E-61.13867165E-429.4413831.1E-41.8454039E-51.6575275E-52.0657212E-412.46266651.9E-42.2465475E-42.0178538E-44.4173695E-42.18914252.4E-40.00224427790.00201603120.00231542651.14850723.0E-4
7.42.8550733E-62.6334849E-65.2633353E-519.9861985.0E-51.2235971E-51.1286315E-51.1128519E-49.8601881.0E-41.4896276E-41.3740227E-42.673844E-41.9459971.3E-40.00148862940.0013731780.00155293081.13090281.8E-4
7.51.9927045E-61.8468428E-64.1846768E-522.6585454.0E-58.540134E-67.915017E-67.791446E-59.8438797.0E-51.0397117E-49.63611E-51.9635147E-42.03766321.0E-40.00103922549.6319657E-40.00110306171.14520931.4E-4
7.61.345084E-61.1863077E-62.1186284E-517.8590132.0E-55.764633E-65.0841663E-65.508391E-510.8344045.0E-57.018215E-56.189798E-51.2189427E-41.96927696.0E-57.0159987E-46.188093E-46.987598E-41.12920068.0E-5
7.77.6835164E-76.0112507E-71.0601119E-517.6354641.0E-53.2929315E-62.5762479E-61.2576222E-54.8816041.0E-54.00907E-53.136538E-55.1364754E-51.63762572.0E-54.0083472E-43.1361092E-43.436015E-41.09562993.0E-5
7.83.6562128E-72.2322857E-71.0223226E-545.7971231.0E-51.5669474E-69.566935E-71.0956684E-511.4526591.0E-51.9077417E-51.1647684E-52.1647567E-51.85852981.0E-51.907578E-41.1647104E-41.2646988E-41.08584821.0E-5
7.97.5024424E-84.9993115E-84.9993115E-81.00.03.215332E-72.142562E-72.142562E-71.00.03.91466E-62.6085672E-62.6085672E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.6085478E-52.6085478E-51.00.0

Santa Monica alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1066008E-51.1288202E-53.312846E-429.3478623.2E-44.742488E-54.8377187E-55.7835155E-411.9550475.3E-45.7724497E-45.8884657E-40.00140836372.3917338.2E-40.0057574780.0058742060.0070472741.19969820.00118
6.11.1066008E-51.1288202E-53.312846E-429.3478623.2E-44.742488E-54.8377187E-55.7835155E-411.9550475.3E-45.7724497E-45.8884657E-40.00140836372.3917338.2E-40.0057574780.0058742060.0070472741.19969820.00118
6.21.1066008E-51.1288202E-53.312846E-429.3478623.2E-44.742488E-54.8377187E-55.7835155E-411.9550475.3E-45.7724497E-45.8884657E-40.00140836372.3917338.2E-40.0057574780.0058742060.0070472741.19969820.00118
6.31.1066008E-51.1288202E-53.312846E-429.3478623.2E-44.742488E-54.8377187E-55.7835155E-411.9550475.3E-45.7724497E-45.8884657E-40.00140836372.3917338.2E-40.0057574780.0058742060.0070472741.19969820.00118
6.41.1066008E-51.1288202E-53.312846E-429.3478623.2E-44.742488E-54.8377187E-55.7835155E-411.9550475.3E-45.7724497E-45.8884657E-40.00140836372.3917338.2E-40.0057574780.0058742060.0070472741.19969820.00118
6.58.183544E-68.192975E-62.1819126E-426.6315042.1E-43.5071862E-53.5112287E-53.9509963E-411.2524613.6E-44.2691626E-44.2740977E-40.00101715762.37981825.9E-40.00426097030.00426603760.00506262431.18672768.0E-4
6.68.1543285E-68.1617545E-62.0816013E-425.5043352.0E-43.4946657E-53.4978486E-53.8496623E-411.00583.5E-44.2539247E-44.257814E-40.00100553442.36162145.8E-40.00424579070.0042498160.00503645841.18510047.9E-4
6.78.110878E-68.115877E-62.0811426E-425.6428572.0E-43.4760444E-53.478187E-53.847697E-411.0623633.5E-44.231262E-44.2338856E-40.0010031432.36932025.8E-40.00422321450.00422597860.00501264031.1861497.9E-4
6.87.644036E-67.61843E-62.076169E-427.2519282.0E-43.275974E-53.2650012E-53.7263893E-411.4131323.4E-43.9877684E-43.9744278E-49.472242E-42.3832975.5E-40.003980620.0039674610.00471448531.18828777.5E-4
6.97.3698293E-67.328486E-61.8732717E-425.561511.8E-43.15846E-53.1407424E-53.5139738E-411.1883543.2E-43.8447464E-43.8231967E-48.821285E-42.3073065.0E-40.00383810140.00381675780.00449416231.17748176.8E-4
7.07.209872E-67.1614854E-61.871602E-426.134271.8E-43.0899086E-53.0691728E-53.5068192E-411.4259423.2E-43.7613141E-43.7360904E-48.6342596E-42.31104144.9E-40.00375495430.00372994710.0043974481.17895726.7E-4
7.15.603456E-65.431076E-61.2543042E-423.094951.2E-42.4014591E-52.3275834E-52.4327071E-410.4516442.2E-42.923384E-42.833468E-46.3324766E-42.23488553.5E-40.00291954120.00282989560.0033185091.17266134.9E-4
7.24.7483613E-64.5138563E-61.04513405E-423.1539061.0E-42.0349962E-51.9344956E-51.9934148E-410.3045711.8E-42.4773262E-42.3549951E-45.1543355E-42.1886822.8E-40.00247456620.00235251310.00272164281.15690863.7E-4
7.33.829015E-63.573333E-69.357301E-526.186489.0E-51.6409962E-51.5314195E-51.853116E-412.1006421.7E-41.9977297E-41.8643445E-43.963953E-42.12619142.1E-40.00199593460.0018627890.0021322861.1446742.7E-4
7.42.610755E-62.4599751E-64.2459877E-517.2602884.0E-51.1188902E-51.0542708E-51.0054176E-49.5366169.0E-51.3621636E-41.2834994E-42.4833455E-41.93482391.2E-40.0013613290.00128276250.00145254441.13235651.7E-4
7.51.792146E-61.7316805E-64.173161E-524.0989074.0E-57.680603E-67.421467E-67.742095E-510.4320277.0E-59.3507326E-59.0352645E-51.903436E-42.10667441.0E-49.3467993E-49.031622E-40.00104303581.15487091.4E-4
7.61.1473018E-61.0853746E-62.1085352E-519.4267982.0E-54.9169985E-64.6515975E-65.4651366E-511.7489465.0E-55.986281E-55.6631743E-51.1662835E-42.05941656.0E-55.984669E-45.661747E-46.461294E-41.14121918.0E-5
7.75.330919E-74.6454264E-71.0464538E-522.5265391.0E-52.2846775E-61.9908955E-61.19908755E-56.02285531.0E-52.7815593E-52.4238894E-54.4238408E-51.82510022.0E-52.7812112E-42.4236362E-42.7235635E-41.12375093.0E-5
7.81.1668574E-77.760243E-81.00776015E-5129.861941.0E-55.000816E-73.325818E-71.0332578E-531.0677811.0E-56.0884768E-64.049176E-61.4049136E-53.4696281.0E-56.08831E-54.049105E-55.0490646E-51.24695811.0E-5
7.98.007447E-106.1097116E-106.1097116E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.6184477E-92.6184477E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.1879598E-83.1879598E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.1879594E-73.1879594E-71.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-42.2804085E-45.6796335E-42.49062093.4E-46.115894E-49.769569E-40.0014564881.49084154.8E-40.00742070840.0118306330.01257175951.06264477.5E-40.071777480.1128521340.113801381.00841140.00107
6.11.4273766E-42.2804085E-45.6796335E-42.49062093.4E-46.115894E-49.769569E-40.0014564881.49084154.8E-40.00742070840.0118306330.01257175951.06264477.5E-40.071777480.1128521340.113801381.00841140.00107
6.21.4273766E-42.2804085E-45.6796335E-42.49062093.4E-46.115894E-49.769569E-40.0014564881.49084154.8E-40.00742070840.0118306330.01257175951.06264477.5E-40.071777480.1128521340.113801381.00841140.00107
6.31.3730655E-42.1769927E-45.5762526E-42.56144763.4E-45.883239E-49.326681E-40.00141222041.51417264.8E-40.00713934420.0112970970.0120386251.06563887.5E-40.069142910.108178540.109123871.00873860.00106
6.41.3730655E-42.1769927E-45.5762526E-42.56144763.4E-45.883239E-49.326681E-40.00141222041.51417264.8E-40.00713934420.0112970970.0120386251.06563887.5E-40.069142910.108178540.109123871.00873860.00106
6.51.2942807E-42.0273947E-45.4267055E-42.67668913.4E-45.545738E-48.6859846E-40.00133819021.54063154.7E-40.00673105240.0105247850.0112471021.06863017.3E-40.065307880.1013692540.102294841.00913080.00103
6.61.1125901E-41.694489E-44.99393E-42.94715983.3E-44.767372E-47.2600937E-40.00117568261.61937674.5E-40.0057888390.0088037350.0094777491.07655996.8E-40.0564034540.085935250.086803611.01010489.5E-4
6.71.02209575E-41.5170743E-44.716589E-43.10900333.2E-44.3796748E-46.5001374E-40.00107973421.66109454.3E-40.00531922470.007885430.0085303051.08178066.5E-40.0519369060.077750720.078571521.01055688.9E-4
6.89.610582E-51.385122E-44.4846928E-43.23775983.1E-44.1181705E-45.934892E-40.001013241.70725934.2E-40.00500235150.0072019120.0078373031.08822526.4E-40.0489123460.071504250.072312041.01129718.7E-4
6.99.3877505E-51.3354333E-44.235046E-43.171292.9E-44.0227012E-45.722035E-49.7197463E-41.6986524.0E-40.00488664540.00694443430.0075601291.08866016.2E-40.047805770.0691937660.0699756441.01129988.4E-4
7.09.1019785E-51.2751021E-44.1747323E-43.27403762.9E-43.900265E-45.463583E-49.461398E-41.73172034.0E-40.00473823770.0066317240.00724761231.092876.2E-40.0463847440.066345190.0671294561.0118218.4E-4
7.18.771155E-51.2007749E-44.1004267E-43.4148172.9E-43.758525E-45.145167E-49.143109E-41.77702864.0E-40.00456640640.0062463340.00685252341.09704736.1E-40.0447370560.06284210.063619941.01237778.3E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.0585385E-43.7582527E-43.55041672.7E-43.4636928E-44.5358058E-48.2341273E-41.81536163.7E-40.00420889440.00550838750.00606530251.10110325.6E-40.0413006580.056013830.05674071.01297667.7E-4
7.37.7668235E-59.711282E-53.4708853E-43.57407552.5E-43.328214E-44.1613146E-47.659858E-41.84073043.5E-40.00404457330.0050546460.0055919171.10629245.4E-40.039717480.0518454460.0525470821.01353327.4E-4
7.47.520177E-59.074717E-53.207263E-43.53428442.3E-43.2225347E-43.888585E-47.0873403E-41.82260143.2E-40.00391637950.00472408630.00521177151.10323384.9E-40.0384807440.0487675960.0494049231.01306876.7E-4
7.57.274697E-58.494174E-52.749256E-43.2366371.9E-43.1173544E-43.6398528E-46.33887E-41.74151832.7E-40.0037887750.0044225250.0048506231.09679954.3E-40.037248270.045928550.0465105321.01267156.1E-4
7.67.1185845E-58.147963E-52.7146415E-43.3316811.9E-43.0504653E-43.4915173E-46.1905745E-41.77303282.7E-40.00370761780.0042426440.00467081971.10092194.3E-40.0364636670.044217480.044790951.01296936.0E-4
7.76.709961E-57.302787E-52.5301473E-43.46463251.8E-42.8753807E-43.1293905E-45.628608E-41.79862762.5E-40.0034951570.00380338080.0042118211.10738894.1E-40.0344069380.0399805420.0405181531.01344685.6E-4
7.86.300812E-56.626636E-52.1625642E-43.26344181.5E-42.7000686E-42.839678E-44.83911E-41.70410532.0E-40.00328237870.00345182950.00378069051.09527153.3E-40.0323431750.0364980.036941211.01214344.6E-4
7.94.983037E-54.6971752E-51.4696705E-43.1288391.0E-42.1354125E-42.0129199E-43.412638E-41.69536711.4E-40.00259676480.00244797650.0026674381.08965022.2E-40.0256662960.0262158660.0265080021.01114343.0E-4
8.03.2211527E-52.459583E-57.45946E-53.03281475.0E-51.380421E-41.0540645E-41.6540012E-41.56916516.0E-50.00167936690.00128256840.00139242721.08565551.1E-40.0166673230.0138922460.0140204411.00922781.3E-4
8.11.743376E-57.1220934E-67.1220934E-61.00.07.471398E-53.05229E-53.05229E-51.00.09.0926304E-43.7155306E-43.8154935E-41.02690411.0E-50.0090555170.0041826020.0042025181.00476172.0E-5
8.27.831616E-61.2529747E-61.2529747E-61.00.03.3563636E-55.3698805E-65.3698805E-61.00.04.0856065E-46.5376335E-56.5376335E-51.00.00.0040781038.1965735E-48.1965735E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.18.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.28.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.38.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.48.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.58.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.68.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.78.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.88.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
6.98.151497E-67.74655E-63.37744E-443.5992773.3E-43.493452E-53.319908E-54.931838E-414.8553454.6E-44.252448E-44.0412458E-40.00114382552.83037857.4E-40.00424431960.00403397530.00505982061.25430130.00103
7.08.103535E-67.696464E-63.3769393E-443.8765033.3E-43.4728975E-53.2984433E-54.9296924E-414.9455134.6E-44.2274324E-44.015122E-40.00114121512.84229257.4E-40.00421939930.0040079460.00502385761.25347450.00102
7.17.853298E-67.43476E-63.374323E-445.385773.3E-43.3656554E-53.1862874E-54.918482E-415.4364054.6E-44.096915E-43.878621E-40.00112757512.90715467.4E-40.004089370.00387192560.0048879761.26241480.00102
7.27.771102E-67.348091E-63.3734567E-445.9092943.3E-43.33043E-53.1491443E-54.9147697E-415.6066834.6E-44.0540437E-43.8334154E-40.00111306172.9035777.3E-40.00404665570.00382687640.00483301141.26291290.00101
7.37.3945344E-66.949363E-63.2694713E-447.0470663.2E-43.1690477E-52.9782646E-54.5976983E-415.4375084.3E-43.8576324E-43.62544E-40.00105229382.9025276.9E-40.00385094270.00361959150.00458608061.2670169.7E-4
7.46.964645E-66.4957403E-63.0649378E-447.1838153.0E-42.9848137E-52.7838592E-54.3782717E-415.7273464.1E-43.6334046E-43.3888262E-49.98659E-42.9469176.6E-40.00362746980.00338371050.00431056371.27391629.3E-4
7.56.6525035E-66.1683877E-62.961666E-448.0136152.9E-42.851042E-52.6435682E-54.264251E-416.1306654.0E-43.4705905E-43.2180737E-49.616014E-42.98812756.4E-40.00346517540.00321346380.00412053941.28227359.1E-4
7.65.613338E-65.0747735E-62.8507336E-456.1745952.8E-42.405694E-52.174885E-54.0174057E-418.4718073.8E-42.928539E-42.6476037E-48.546042E-43.22784025.9E-40.00292468260.00264448020.00346231181.30925998.2E-4
7.74.494704E-63.9332476E-62.6393222E-467.1028752.6E-41.9262876E-51.6856668E-53.6685076E-421.7629473.5E-42.3450027E-42.0521083E-47.3510205E-43.58217985.3E-40.00234252960.00205023680.0027388221.33585646.9E-4
7.82.6075882E-62.1441435E-62.0214371E-494.277142.0E-41.117533E-59.189154E-62.5918687E-428.2057362.5E-41.3605114E-41.1187225E-44.9182976E-44.39635133.8E-40.00135967880.00111816390.00157764951.41092874.6E-4
7.94.045984E-73.183823E-73.0318373E-595.226313.0E-51.733992E-61.3644949E-66.1364415E-544.9722566.0E-52.1111147E-51.6612601E-51.4661044E-48.8252541.3E-42.1109142E-41.661139E-43.16089E-41.90284491.5E-4
8.07.791402E-95.5603824E-95.5603824E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.3830209E-82.3830209E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.901328E-71.02901295E-535.466971.0E-54.065434E-62.901326E-61.2901297E-54.446691.0E-5

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.3715913E-53.0370927E-412.8061392.8E-49.495191E-51.0163625E-44.5160067E-44.4433033.5E-40.00115542640.00123682180.00179612921.45221345.6E-40.0114943730.0123096070.0132380361.07542319.4E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1223966E-51.4122251E-412.5822291.3E-44.5433335E-54.810185E-52.4809223E-45.15764432.0E-45.5301044E-45.854874E-48.6532347E-41.4779542.8E-40.0055163630.0058399360.00626742471.0732014.3E-4
6.81.0246747E-51.0846996E-51.4084559E-412.98475551.3E-44.391389E-54.6486322E-52.4647702E-45.30214072.0E-45.345204E-45.6582864E-48.4567023E-41.49456942.8E-40.00533236560.0056443550.0060719281.07575234.3E-4
6.99.049551E-69.569821E-61.3956858E-414.5842421.3E-43.878322E-54.1012892E-52.310051E-45.63249971.9E-44.7208337E-44.9922155E-47.4909674E-41.50052962.5E-40.00471081720.0049814060.0053694631.07790113.9E-4
7.08.6542195E-69.150835E-61.3914965E-415.2062241.3E-43.7088983E-53.9217295E-52.2920984E-45.8446111.9E-44.5146482E-44.773699E-47.272506E-41.52345292.5E-40.0045054870.00476384440.0051320821.07729843.7E-4
7.18.391028E-68.873088E-61.3887194E-415.6509141.3E-43.5961057E-53.8026985E-52.2801977E-45.99626161.9E-44.3773788E-44.6288417E-47.127684E-41.53984192.5E-40.0043687660.00461959840.00496798151.07541423.5E-4
7.25.965188E-66.2891986E-61.1628851E-418.4901941.1E-42.556484E-52.6953432E-51.7694938E-46.5650041.5E-43.1120746E-43.2810916E-45.1804684E-41.57888561.9E-40.003107720.00327630390.00353545181.07909772.6E-4
7.34.877518E-65.139128E-61.0513861E-420.4584541.0E-42.0903482E-52.2024651E-51.5202179E-46.90234761.3E-42.5447016E-42.6811755E-44.2807465E-41.59659311.6E-40.00254178980.0026779860.00287745031.0744832.0E-4
7.43.8829853E-64.0887894E-69.408842E-523.0113169.0E-51.664126E-51.7523267E-51.3752116E-47.8479181.2E-42.0258849E-42.1332529E-43.4329755E-41.6092681.3E-40.0020240390.00213124580.00230088341.07959561.7E-4
7.51.3489616E-61.4096697E-62.1409642E-515.1877012.0E-55.7812517E-66.0414277E-64.6041187E-57.62091164.0E-57.038446E-57.3551935E-51.13548995E-41.54379344.0E-57.036218E-47.352798E-48.15221E-41.10872218.0E-5
7.66.058192E-76.2733176E-72.062732E-532.881042.0E-52.5963652E-62.688562E-64.2688454E-515.8778024.0E-53.161029E-53.2732765E-57.2731455E-52.2219774.0E-53.1605794E-43.27281E-43.872614E-41.18326876.0E-5
7.72.2170494E-72.2350045E-71.0223498E-545.7426261.0E-59.5016367E-79.578588E-71.095785E-511.4399421.0E-51.1568181E-51.1661879E-52.1661763E-51.85748471.0E-51.1567579E-41.1661376E-41.4661025E-41.25722963.0E-5
7.82.1613102E-81.532053E-81.001532E-5653.71891.0E-59.262757E-86.565942E-81.0065659E-5153.301071.0E-51.1277401E-67.994032E-71.0799396E-513.5093221.0E-51.1277344E-57.994011E-61.799393E-52.25092651.0E-5

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1132946E-52.3112672E-47.42386252.0E-41.2498499E-41.3342084E-44.4337948E-43.32316523.1E-40.00152063010.00162331960.00210254031.29521044.8E-40.0151026670.0161278530.0169543071.05124388.4E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1132946E-52.3112672E-47.42386252.0E-41.2498499E-41.3342084E-44.4337948E-43.32316523.1E-40.00152063010.00162331960.00210254031.29521044.8E-40.0151026670.0161278530.0169543071.05124388.4E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1132946E-52.3112672E-47.42386252.0E-41.2498499E-41.3342084E-44.4337948E-43.32316523.1E-40.00152063010.00162331960.00210254031.29521044.8E-40.0151026670.0161278530.0169543071.05124388.4E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.7579327E-51.5757687E-48.9637591.4E-47.1293274E-57.53379E-52.953213E-43.91995722.2E-48.6765E-49.1687066E-40.00125655891.37048663.4E-40.0086427010.0091326970.00970741.06292815.8E-4
6.41.6635553E-51.7579327E-51.5757687E-48.9637591.4E-47.1293274E-57.53379E-52.953213E-43.91995722.2E-48.6765E-49.1687066E-40.00125655891.37048663.4E-40.0086427010.0091326970.00970741.06292815.8E-4
6.51.2238748E-51.2886588E-51.128853E-48.7599071.0E-45.2450723E-55.5227083E-52.1521824E-43.89696931.6E-46.3840044E-46.721859E-49.2201785E-41.3716712.5E-40.00636569550.0067019150.00711910051.06224874.2E-4
6.61.0489767E-51.1026053E-59.102517E-58.2554648.0E-54.495537E-54.7253667E-51.67248E-43.53936551.2E-45.4719415E-45.751637E-47.8504294E-41.36490352.1E-40.0054584870.00573698570.00607503531.05892463.4E-4
6.78.699222E-69.130385E-67.912974E-58.6666387.0E-53.7281847E-53.9129634E-51.4912534E-43.81105851.1E-44.5381195E-44.7629973E-46.5621396E-41.37773331.8E-40.00452886340.0047528550.00504147631.06072592.9E-4
6.88.307732E-68.715896E-67.871528E-59.0312337.0E-53.560408E-53.7353304E-51.473492E-43.94474321.1E-44.3339343E-44.54682E-46.346002E-41.3957011.8E-40.0043254920.00453756940.00482625371.06362092.9E-4
6.98.073121E-68.467425E-67.846683E-59.2669067.0E-53.459863E-53.628846E-51.4628447E-44.03115651.1E-44.2115687E-44.4172286E-46.216433E-41.40731541.8E-40.0042035960.00440849880.00468726461.06323372.8E-4
7.07.617019E-67.984549E-67.798399E-59.7668637.0E-53.264396E-53.4219047E-51.4421529E-44.21447371.1E-43.9736772E-44.1653763E-45.964627E-41.43195381.8E-40.0039665790.00415761540.00443645151.06706632.8E-4
7.17.1224836E-67.462611E-67.7462086E-510.3800257.0E-53.052457E-53.198223E-51.4197871E-44.43931.1E-43.715733E-43.893144E-45.692443E-41.46217121.8E-40.0037095260.00388636580.00415531641.06920362.7E-4
7.26.441115E-66.7512983E-67.6750825E-511.3683067.0E-52.7604487E-52.8933815E-51.3893063E-44.801671.1E-43.360328E-43.522125E-45.2215264E-41.48249321.7E-40.00335525120.00351657040.00377565621.07367562.6E-4
7.35.494274E-65.7555812E-67.5755175E-513.1620387.0E-52.3546674E-52.4666546E-51.2466407E-45.0539741.0E-42.8664304E-43.00274E-44.5022895E-41.49939371.5E-40.0028627360.00299870530.00320807541.06982022.1E-4
7.44.0802624E-64.2658967E-66.426564E-515.0649796.0E-51.7486722E-51.8282286E-59.828083E-55.37574058.0E-52.1288003E-42.2256417E-43.2254192E-41.44920861.0E-40.00212676220.00222342160.00235313251.05833841.3E-4
7.52.3584746E-62.451732E-62.2451683E-59.1574782.0E-51.0107709E-51.05073805E-55.0506962E-54.8068084.0E-51.2305441E-41.2791989E-41.779135E-41.39081955.0E-50.00122986290.00127846760.00135836531.06249498.0E-5
7.69.4981914E-79.781816E-71.0978172E-511.2230411.0E-54.0706473E-64.1922E-63.4192075E-58.1561173.0E-54.9559E-55.1038853E-59.103681E-51.78367664.0E-54.954795E-45.1027257E-45.6024705E-41.09793695.0E-5
7.72.6013532E-72.6261205E-72.6261205E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1254797E-61.1254797E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3702629E-52.3702492E-51.7297771.0E-51.357257E-41.3701791E-41.4701654E-41.07297311.0E-5
7.84.1522263E-83.948588E-83.948588E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6922519E-71.6922519E-71.00.02.16657E-62.060315E-62.060315E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0602978E-52.0602978E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9046423E-105.9046423E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5305609E-92.5305609E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.0809577E-83.0809577E-81.00.04.030379E-73.0809574E-73.0809574E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.0101585E-44.509805E-44.46445273.5E-44.2326056E-44.3285333E-48.826585E-42.0391634.5E-40.00514102770.00525727770.0059138081.12488036.6E-40.050237080.0552010540.0560797151.01591759.3E-4
6.19.877682E-51.0101585E-44.509805E-44.46445273.5E-44.2326056E-44.3285333E-48.826585E-42.0391634.5E-40.00514102770.00525727770.0059138081.12488036.6E-40.050237080.0552010540.0560797151.01591759.3E-4
6.29.877682E-51.0101585E-44.509805E-44.46445273.5E-44.2326056E-44.3285333E-48.826585E-42.0391634.5E-40.00514102770.00525727770.0059138081.12488036.6E-40.050237080.0552010540.0560797151.01591759.3E-4
6.39.877682E-51.0101585E-44.509805E-44.46445273.5E-44.2326056E-44.3285333E-48.826585E-42.0391634.5E-40.00514102770.00525727770.0059138081.12488036.6E-40.050237080.0552010540.0560797151.01591759.3E-4
6.49.877682E-51.0101585E-44.509805E-44.46445273.5E-44.2326056E-44.3285333E-48.826585E-42.0391634.5E-40.00514102770.00525727770.0059138081.12488036.6E-40.050237080.0552010540.0560797151.01591759.3E-4
6.59.861474E-51.007959E-44.5076062E-44.47201353.5E-44.2256617E-44.31911E-48.8171667E-42.04143144.5E-40.00513261320.005245860.0059023981.12515356.6E-40.0501567460.055091870.0559706351.01595099.3E-4
6.69.861474E-51.007959E-44.5076062E-44.47201353.5E-44.2256617E-44.31911E-48.8171667E-42.04143144.5E-40.00513261320.005245860.0059023981.12515356.6E-40.0501567460.055091870.0559706351.01595099.3E-4
6.79.8552715E-51.00711666E-44.5067642E-44.4749183.5E-44.223004E-44.3155008E-48.813559E-42.04230264.5E-40.00512939270.0052414870.0058980281.12525846.6E-40.0501259980.055050190.0559289941.01596379.3E-4
6.89.8464974E-51.0060553E-44.505703E-44.4785843.5E-44.219245E-44.310954E-48.809014E-42.04340244.5E-40.00512483760.0052359780.0058925221.1253916.6E-40.050082510.0549962330.055875091.01598029.3E-4
6.99.825824E-51.0036321E-44.4032908E-44.38735533.4E-44.2103877E-44.300572E-48.69868E-42.02267964.4E-40.00511410460.0052233990.0058600561.12188556.4E-40.0499800220.0548744350.05573451.01567339.1E-4
7.09.781462E-59.984247E-54.3980853E-44.40502453.4E-44.1913814E-44.2782622E-48.67638E-42.0280154.4E-40.0050910730.0051963660.00583304051.1225236.4E-40.049760070.054615610.055475911.0157529.1E-4
7.19.7121134E-59.907841E-54.2904573E-44.3303653.3E-44.1616702E-44.2455274E-48.543702E-42.01240064.3E-40.0050550680.0051567010.0057834521.12154116.3E-40.049416130.0542363260.0550875141.0156949.0E-4
7.29.663819E-59.8544944E-54.185134E-44.2469293.2E-44.1409794E-44.2226719E-48.3209405E-41.97053924.1E-40.00502999360.00512900580.0057458261.12026116.2E-40.0491765370.053970740.0548032451.01542518.8E-4
7.39.6277574E-59.824337E-53.982139E-44.05334143.0E-44.125529E-44.2097515E-48.1081095E-41.92603053.9E-40.00501126940.00511334930.0057102811.11673996.0E-40.048997590.053817690.0546314051.01511998.6E-4
7.49.593308E-59.783604E-53.8780767E-43.9638532.9E-44.1107697E-44.1923E-47.990707E-41.90604363.8E-40.00499338240.00509220130.0056791971.11527355.9E-40.048826610.053612440.0544168731.01500458.5E-4
7.59.561707E-59.747535E-53.8744707E-43.9748212.9E-44.0972308E-44.176847E-47.97526E-41.90939713.8E-40.00497697430.0050734750.00566048181.11570115.9E-40.0486697440.0534291230.0542337071.01505898.5E-4
7.69.418194E-59.508911E-53.5506437E-43.73401742.6E-44.0357444E-44.074612E-47.473226E-41.83409543.4E-40.0049024540.00494957580.00547695251.10654995.3E-40.0479570250.0522208850.0529411961.01379367.6E-4
7.78.202141E-57.708729E-52.870711E-43.72397472.1E-43.51473E-43.3033226E-46.1023975E-41.84735142.8E-40.004270790.0040143830.00447253651.1141284.6E-40.041896390.0429238230.043536351.01427026.4E-4
7.87.2859846E-57.0050744E-52.3003953E-43.28389861.6E-43.1221908E-43.0018293E-45.201169E-41.73266652.2E-40.0037946430.00364860570.0040371831.10650013.9E-40.0373049750.03903450.039543811.01304775.3E-4
7.95.3874453E-54.7969657E-51.4796486E-43.0845511.0E-42.3087008E-42.0556804E-43.4553927E-41.68089971.4E-40.00280722020.00249991940.00272934441.09177292.3E-40.027720220.0268268320.0271285181.01124563.1E-4
8.03.468538E-52.4751243E-57.475001E-53.02005055.0E-51.4864317E-41.06072446E-41.6606608E-41.56559116.0E-50.00180822830.00129066730.00140052531.08511721.1E-40.0179358530.01400037950.0141285591.00915551.3E-4
8.11.9152367E-57.1908084E-67.1908084E-61.00.08.207899E-53.0817388E-53.0817388E-51.00.09.988535E-43.751372E-43.8513346E-41.0266471.0E-50.0099437570.00423544040.0042553561.00470212.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

San Gabriel (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.6486106E-65.3665076E-63.5536464E-466.218983.5E-42.4208108E-52.2999122E-54.7298876E-420.5655144.5E-42.9469383E-42.7997955E-49.297976E-43.32094816.5E-40.00294303360.00279639920.00368391021.31737658.9E-4
6.15.6486106E-65.3665076E-63.5536464E-466.218983.5E-42.4208108E-52.2999122E-54.7298876E-420.5655144.5E-42.9469383E-42.7997955E-49.297976E-43.32094816.5E-40.00294303360.00279639920.00368391021.31737658.9E-4
6.25.6486106E-65.3665076E-63.5536464E-466.218983.5E-42.4208108E-52.2999122E-54.7298876E-420.5655144.5E-42.9469383E-42.7997955E-49.297976E-43.32094816.5E-40.00294303360.00279639920.00368391021.31737658.9E-4
6.35.6486106E-65.3665076E-63.5536464E-466.218983.5E-42.4208108E-52.2999122E-54.7298876E-420.5655144.5E-42.9469383E-42.7997955E-49.297976E-43.32094816.5E-40.00294303360.00279639920.00368391021.31737658.9E-4
6.45.6486106E-65.3665076E-63.5536464E-466.218983.5E-42.4208108E-52.2999122E-54.7298876E-420.5655144.5E-42.9469383E-42.7997955E-49.297976E-43.32094816.5E-40.00294303360.00279639920.00368391021.31737658.9E-4
6.54.7134554E-64.4088792E-63.0440756E-469.0442053.0E-42.0200367E-51.8895063E-54.088877E-421.6399213.9E-42.459117E-42.3002393E-48.198882E-43.56436045.9E-40.00245639750.00229794790.00312604061.36036188.3E-4
6.64.7134554E-64.4088792E-63.0440756E-469.0442053.0E-42.0200367E-51.8895063E-54.088877E-421.6399213.9E-42.459117E-42.3002393E-48.198882E-43.56436045.9E-40.00245639750.00229794790.00312604061.36036188.3E-4
6.74.2468837E-63.931152E-62.8393004E-472.225662.8E-41.8200803E-51.6847689E-53.8684145E-422.9610983.7E-42.2157225E-42.0510201E-47.749851E-43.7785355.7E-40.00221351440.00204920440.00281762631.37498567.7E-4
6.84.1180615E-63.7992254E-62.8379817E-474.698962.8E-41.7648716E-51.6282296E-53.7627644E-423.1095433.6E-42.1485193E-41.9821961E-47.581086E-43.82458935.6E-40.00214644310.00198050450.00273899941.38298067.6E-4
6.93.863861E-63.5388914E-62.7353794E-477.294812.7E-41.65593E-51.5166593E-53.5516144E-423.4173533.4E-42.0159081E-41.8463828E-47.245386E-43.92409735.4E-40.00201408030.00184492150.00255361151.38413027.1E-4
7.03.6947372E-63.3656888E-62.633648E-478.24992.6E-41.5834492E-51.4424304E-53.4441953E-423.8777243.3E-41.9276788E-41.756024E-47.0550933E-44.0176525.3E-40.00192600740.0017547080.00244349731.39253786.9E-4
7.13.5686835E-63.234407E-62.6323355E-481.385422.6E-41.5294268E-51.3861674E-53.438571E-424.8063183.3E-41.861918E-41.6875345E-46.786674E-44.02165035.1E-40.00186035880.00168632410.00235519421.39664396.7E-4
7.22.8023446E-62.4444316E-62.3244387E-495.091182.3E-41.2009994E-51.0476094E-53.0047307E-428.6817842.9E-41.4621185E-41.2753907E-45.6748296E-44.44948344.4E-40.0014611570.00127467540.00183396161.43876765.6E-4
7.32.5843012E-62.2177012E-62.2221722E-4100.20162.2E-41.1075529E-59.5044E-62.7950184E-429.4076272.7E-41.3483623E-41.1571E-45.156637E-44.4565184.0E-40.00134754440.00115651310.00167591171.44910745.2E-4
7.42.4464468E-62.0746018E-62.2207414E-4107.044232.2E-41.04847295E-58.89112E-62.788887E-431.3671072.7E-41.276441E-41.0824409E-44.982019E-44.6025783.9E-40.00127570820.00108192920.00159137731.47087035.1E-4
7.52.0420266E-61.6173759E-62.1161704E-4130.839742.1E-48.751514E-66.931593E-62.5692987E-437.0664982.5E-41.0654447E-48.43889E-54.5435768E-45.3840933.7E-40.0010649348.435793E-40.00131318281.55667974.7E-4
7.61.8326596E-61.3901606E-61.913899E-4137.674671.9E-47.854232E-65.957818E-62.3595645E-439.604512.3E-49.562107E-57.2534036E-54.2250866E-45.82497073.5E-49.5579936E-47.251134E-40.00116479431.60636164.4E-4
7.71.4786998E-61.0297911E-61.5102964E-4146.660461.5E-46.3372695E-64.4133826E-61.844126E-441.7848631.8E-47.715353E-55.373162E-53.0371817E-45.6525042.5E-47.7126746E-45.371933E-48.3703216E-41.55815823.0E-4
7.87.6975533E-74.301621E-72.0430154E-547.494082.0E-53.2989474E-61.8435505E-63.1843494E-517.2729173.0E-54.0163945E-52.2444998E-56.24441E-52.78209424.0E-54.0156685E-42.2442998E-42.844165E-41.26728396.0E-5
7.91.7645915E-74.9939924E-84.9939924E-81.00.07.562533E-72.1402822E-72.1402822E-71.00.09.207345E-62.6057905E-61.2605765E-54.8375971.0E-59.206964E-52.6058495E-53.6058234E-51.3837421.0E-5
8.01.0463461E-78.509559E-98.509559E-91.00.04.4843398E-73.6469537E-83.6469537E-81.00.05.45967E-64.4401654E-74.4401654E-71.00.05.459536E-54.44105E-64.44105E-61.00.0
8.17.875717E-83.5770447E-93.5770447E-91.00.03.3753068E-71.533019E-81.533019E-81.00.04.109428E-61.8664505E-71.8664505E-71.00.04.109352E-51.8673426E-61.8673426E-61.00.0
8.21.33163E-83.505023E-103.505023E-101.00.05.7069855E-81.5021523E-91.5021523E-91.00.06.9482525E-71.8288704E-81.8288704E-81.00.06.9482307E-61.8329055E-71.8329055E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7033693E-51.870308E-410.980051.7E-47.026863E-57.29997E-53.5297926E-44.83535242.8E-48.551848E-48.8844355E-40.00134803481.51729944.6E-40.00851901250.0088523780.0096750311.09293018.3E-4
6.11.6396456E-51.7033693E-51.870308E-410.980051.7E-47.026863E-57.29997E-53.5297926E-44.83535242.8E-48.551848E-48.8844355E-40.00134803481.51729944.6E-40.00851901250.0088523780.0096750311.09293018.3E-4
6.21.6396456E-51.7033693E-51.870308E-410.980051.7E-47.026863E-57.29997E-53.5297926E-44.83535242.8E-48.551848E-48.8844355E-40.00134803481.51729944.6E-40.00851901250.0088523780.0096750311.09293018.3E-4
6.39.736976E-61.0026113E-51.4002481E-413.9660111.3E-44.172923E-54.296838E-52.6295893E-46.11982442.2E-45.0793495E-45.2301935E-48.9282583E-41.70706083.7E-40.0050677550.00521837970.00587493551.1258166.6E-4
6.49.736976E-61.0026113E-51.4002481E-413.9660111.3E-44.172923E-54.296838E-52.6295893E-46.11982442.2E-45.0793495E-45.2301935E-48.9282583E-41.70706083.7E-40.0050677550.00521837970.00587493551.1258166.6E-4
6.57.081964E-67.2589787E-68.72584E-512.0207558.0E-53.035092E-53.1109546E-51.611055E-45.1786521.3E-43.694598E-43.7869444E-46.585884E-41.73910242.8E-40.00368846160.003780650.00427875951.13175245.0E-4
6.65.873247E-66.0001234E-68.599964E-514.3329798.0E-52.5170815E-52.5714566E-51.5571123E-46.05537031.3E-43.064116E-43.130307E-45.529556E-41.76645792.4E-40.00305989430.00312598380.0035745771.14350474.5E-4
6.74.973277E-65.0643466E-68.506394E-516.7966278.0E-52.1313872E-52.1704165E-51.5170134E-46.9895041.3E-42.5946548E-42.6421662E-45.041532E-41.90810552.4E-40.00259162740.00263907320.00305796461.15872684.2E-4
6.84.396492E-64.464621E-68.446426E-518.9185758.0E-51.884197E-51.9133951E-51.3913166E-47.2714551.2E-42.2937685E-42.3293128E-44.628777E-41.98718572.3E-40.00229140230.00232690620.00272597541.17150214.0E-4
6.93.5255632E-63.5620867E-67.356184E-520.6513337.0E-51.5109469E-51.5265998E-51.2526431E-48.2054461.1E-41.8394225E-41.8584782E-43.8581065E-42.07594942.0E-40.00183790070.00185693980.00222625281.19888263.7E-4
7.03.211603E-63.2369335E-67.3236704E-522.6253367.0E-51.376394E-51.3872499E-51.2387097E-48.9292471.1E-41.6756308E-41.6888473E-43.6885095E-42.18403982.0E-40.00167436790.00168757770.00204697021.21296353.6E-4
7.12.5094619E-62.5098152E-67.250964E-528.8904297.0E-51.0754793E-51.0756307E-51.20755125E-411.2264481.1E-41.3093173E-41.3095023E-43.2092535E-42.4507431.9E-40.00130854620.00130873650.00162831781.24419073.2E-4
7.22.0515774E-62.0347275E-66.20346E-530.4879196.0E-58.792445E-68.720232E-61.0871936E-412.4674851.0E-41.0704277E-41.0616369E-42.8614458E-42.6953151.8E-40.00106991220.00106113390.00134083681.26358872.8E-4
7.31.6845745E-61.653429E-66.165333E-537.2881626.0E-57.219585E-67.086105E-61.070854E-415.1120251.0E-48.78949E-58.626994E-52.5625527E-42.9703891.7E-48.7860145E-48.623673E-40.0011221431.30123572.6E-4
7.41.3600285E-61.3130332E-66.131295E-546.6956636.0E-55.82868E-65.627273E-68.562682E-515.2163978.0E-57.096187E-56.8509915E-51.9850102E-42.89740541.3E-47.0939213E-46.8489014E-48.7476E-41.27722681.9E-4
7.59.735342E-79.1325774E-74.0913223E-544.7992064.0E-54.172283E-63.913956E-66.391372E-516.3296996.0E-55.079636E-54.765139E-51.376471E-42.88862739.0E-55.0784746E-44.7641335E-46.063514E-41.27274231.3E-4
7.65.067187E-74.7017312E-73.0470159E-564.806253.0E-52.1716498E-62.0150262E-65.2014926E-525.8135245.0E-52.6439517E-52.4532676E-59.453096E-53.85326747.0E-52.643637E-42.4530038E-43.4527585E-41.40756341.0E-4
7.72.769089E-72.5427528E-72.025427E-579.65492.0E-51.1867519E-61.0897506E-64.108971E-537.7056054.0E-51.4448608E-51.3267634E-55.3267104E-54.0148164.0E-51.444767E-41.3266846E-41.7266315E-41.30146354.0E-5
7.81.7044663E-71.5230466E-71.0152303E-566.657861.0E-57.3048534E-76.527341E-73.0652714E-546.960493.0E-58.893623E-67.947009E-63.794677E-54.77497533.0E-58.893267E-57.946727E-51.0946488E-41.3774843.0E-5
7.94.8344287E-84.0251063E-84.0251063E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7250454E-72.0172502E-5116.938952.0E-52.5225327E-62.1002409E-62.21002E-510.5226972.0E-52.5225041E-52.1002214E-54.1001793E-51.95226052.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.702615E-45.2019395E-41.924782.5E-46.94276E-40.00115782590.00147745541.27606013.2E-40.0084200970.014025150.0145378561.03655625.2E-40.0810811450.13007180.130715551.00494927.4E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.702615E-45.2019395E-41.924782.5E-46.94276E-40.00115782590.00147745541.27606013.2E-40.0084200970.014025150.0145378561.03655625.2E-40.0810811450.13007180.130715551.00494927.4E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.702615E-45.2019395E-41.924782.5E-46.94276E-40.00115782590.00147745541.27606013.2E-40.0084200970.014025150.0145378561.03655625.2E-40.0810811450.13007180.130715551.00494927.4E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.6324295E-43.5321194E-42.16371941.9E-44.332882E-46.995264E-49.293655E-41.32856392.3E-40.0052625310.0085014470.0088583861.04198583.6E-40.05139640.080991460.081414211.00521964.6E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.6324295E-43.5321194E-42.16371941.9E-44.332882E-46.995264E-49.293655E-41.32856392.3E-40.0052625310.0085014470.0088583861.04198583.6E-40.05139640.080991460.081414211.00521964.6E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.151993E-51.01517435E-42.44502936.0E-51.569536E-41.7793209E-42.4791964E-41.39333867.0E-50.0019092350.0021644680.002274231.05071081.1E-40.018929150.0213662810.0215130761.00687041.5E-4
6.62.5051324E-52.3197488E-55.3196793E-52.29321343.0E-51.073584E-49.94142E-51.2941122E-41.30173783.0E-50.00130630470.00120972920.00126965661.04953796.0E-50.0129865250.0120468120.0121258481.00656088.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-51.9576632E-54.9576043E-52.53240943.0E-59.509556E-58.38973E-51.13894785E-41.357553.0E-50.00115717340.00102099780.0010609571.03913744.0E-50.0115116630.0101757660.0102351561.00583646.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.3060505E-53.3060245E-52.53131442.0E-57.137396E-55.5972414E-57.597129E-51.35729892.0E-58.686314E-46.8125513E-47.012415E-41.02933752.0E-50.0086524390.0067962650.0068359931.00584554.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.125129E-53.1251064E-52.7775542.0E-56.446802E-54.8218935E-56.8217974E-51.41475492.0E-57.8461546E-45.8691E-46.068983E-41.03405682.0E-50.0078185090.0058575850.0058874091.00509153.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.0446838E-53.0446628E-52.9144352.0E-56.154734E-54.477141E-56.477052E-51.44669372.0E-57.490812E-45.44958E-45.649471E-41.03668012.0E-50.0074656120.0054397740.0054696111.00548493.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-59.354852E-62.9354665E-53.1379082.0E-55.6851208E-54.009162E-56.0090817E-51.49883742.0E-56.919436E-44.8800823E-45.0799845E-41.04096292.0E-50.0068979310.00487251440.00489241681.00408472.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-57.787714E-62.7787557E-53.56812792.0E-54.9697923E-53.3375494E-55.3374828E-51.59922212.0E-56.049042E-44.062723E-44.262642E-41.0492082.0E-50.0060326030.0040565840.00407650281.00491022.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-56.6462635E-62.664613E-54.00918962.0E-54.3502816E-52.8483682E-54.848311E-51.70213642.0E-55.2951806E-43.4673486E-43.6672794E-41.05766092.0E-50.0052825810.0034622460.00348217671.00575662.0E-5
7.49.080705E-65.8420455E-62.584193E-54.42343852.0E-53.8916725E-52.5037105E-54.5036602E-51.79879442.0E-54.7370812E-43.0478527E-43.2477916E-41.06559992.0E-50.0047269960.00304379570.00306373461.00655082.0E-5
7.57.671649E-64.804945E-61.4804897E-53.08117941.0E-53.287808E-52.0592464E-53.059226E-51.48560451.0E-54.0021708E-42.5068547E-42.6068295E-41.03988061.0E-50.00399497060.00250413220.00251410741.00398341.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.3070513E-61.4307008E-53.3217641.0E-52.9957167E-51.8458666E-52.8458482E-51.54174091.0E-53.6466747E-42.2471207E-42.3470982E-41.04449141.0E-50.00364069640.00224494650.0022549241.00444451.0E-5
7.74.163505E-62.1191724E-62.1191724E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.0821395E-69.0821395E-61.00.02.172226E-41.10570065E-41.10570065E-41.00.00.00217010380.00110521180.00110521181.00.0
7.82.2692414E-78.558292E-88.558292E-81.00.09.725317E-73.667839E-73.667839E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.4655876E-64.4655876E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.4655248E-54.4655248E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.260672E-93.260672E-91.00.02.861498E-81.3974308E-81.3974308E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.701372E-71.701372E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7013708E-61.7013708E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.168226E-59.649273E-54.264609E-44.41961673.3E-43.928648E-44.1347483E-48.233053E-41.9911864.1E-40.00477264360.00502246150.0056194481.11886336.0E-40.0467143540.0529758520.0537808241.0151958.5E-4
6.19.168226E-59.649273E-54.264609E-44.41961673.3E-43.928648E-44.1347483E-48.233053E-41.9911864.1E-40.00477264360.00502246150.0056194481.11886336.0E-40.0467143540.0529758520.0537808241.0151958.5E-4
6.29.168226E-59.649273E-54.264609E-44.41961673.3E-43.928648E-44.1347483E-48.233053E-41.9911864.1E-40.00477264360.00502246150.0056194481.11886336.0E-40.0467143540.0529758520.0537808241.0151958.5E-4
6.39.168226E-59.649273E-54.264609E-44.41961673.3E-43.928648E-44.1347483E-48.233053E-41.9911864.1E-40.00477264360.00502246150.0056194481.11886336.0E-40.0467143540.0529758520.0537808241.0151958.5E-4
6.49.1639464E-59.6440905E-54.264091E-44.42145443.3E-43.9268145E-44.132528E-48.230834E-41.99171884.1E-40.00477042050.0050197710.0056167591.11892746.0E-40.0466930640.0529499280.053754921.01520298.5E-4
6.59.1639464E-59.6440905E-54.264091E-44.42145443.3E-43.9268145E-44.132528E-48.230834E-41.99171884.1E-40.00477042050.0050197710.0056167591.11892746.0E-40.0466930640.0529499280.053754921.01520298.5E-4
6.69.042622E-59.495193E-54.1492155E-44.36980633.2E-43.8748336E-44.0687347E-48.0671074E-41.98270674.0E-40.00470740950.0049424560.00551958941.11677055.8E-40.0460893250.052197010.0529836861.01507138.3E-4
6.78.9836685E-59.424799E-54.1421782E-44.3949783.2E-43.8495753E-44.0385753E-48.03696E-41.99004834.0E-40.004676790.00490590230.0054830571.11764495.8E-40.0457958170.0518487170.05262621.01499528.2E-4
6.88.9471854E-59.3862946E-54.138329E-44.4089063.2E-43.8339442E-44.0220784E-48.0204697E-41.99411074.0E-40.0046578410.00488590730.00546307351.11812885.8E-40.045614140.051654750.052432391.01505468.2E-4
6.98.858234E-59.293477E-53.929069E-44.22777033.0E-43.7958333E-43.9823118E-47.7807985E-41.95383973.8E-40.0046116380.0048377070.00538504641.11314025.5E-40.045171030.0511920860.0519416441.01464217.9E-4
7.08.7433385E-59.170469E-53.916772E-44.271073.0E-43.746607E-43.92961E-47.728117E-41.9666373.8E-40.0045519570.0047738260.00532121.11466165.5E-40.0445983860.0505791460.0513196961.01464147.8E-4
7.18.684964E-59.104478E-53.8101838E-44.1849562.9E-43.7215967E-43.9013362E-47.5998926E-41.9480233.7E-40.00452163350.00473955270.00527699341.11339495.4E-40.044307310.0502486640.0509799721.01455387.7E-4
7.28.606521E-59.017492E-53.601506E-43.99391062.7E-43.6879873E-43.8640678E-47.2627544E-41.87956173.4E-40.00448088350.00469437470.00520198051.10813075.1E-40.0439160240.0498131330.0504972671.0137347.2E-4
7.38.568266E-58.982027E-53.4979693E-43.89440972.6E-43.6715972E-43.848873E-47.147603E-41.85706393.3E-40.00446101050.00467595460.00517361661.106435.0E-40.0437251480.0496295470.050304311.01359597.1E-4
7.48.5432206E-58.9589776E-53.3956737E-43.7902472.5E-43.6608664E-43.8389975E-47.037769E-41.8332313.2E-40.0044479990.0046639830.00515169741.10457044.9E-40.0436001570.0495104980.050175841.01343857.0E-4
7.58.4791965E-58.8698325E-53.3867615E-43.81829242.5E-43.633435E-43.8008037E-46.9995876E-41.84160723.2E-40.00441473770.004617680.0051054171.10562384.9E-40.0432805750.0490485950.049714261.01357167.0E-4
7.68.241105E-58.487096E-53.048523E-43.59195072.2E-43.531424E-43.6368205E-46.535766E-41.79710982.9E-40.00429103520.00441885650.00485691241.09913334.4E-40.0420911760.0470804240.047699821.01315626.5E-4
7.77.00432E-56.6217704E-52.3620646E-43.56711911.7E-43.001506E-42.8375932E-45.2369124E-41.84554722.4E-40.00364821120.00344929960.00382798891.10978733.8E-40.0358889770.037383230.0379030441.01390495.4E-4
7.86.415362E-56.0825343E-52.0081682E-43.30153231.4E-42.749151E-42.60654E-44.6060188E-41.76710072.0E-40.00334195470.00316884670.0034978011.10380893.3E-40.032921410.0343042650.0347388271.01266794.5E-4
7.94.939911E-54.383111E-51.3382717E-43.0532469.0E-52.116933E-41.878341E-43.1780967E-41.69197011.3E-40.00257431950.00228448260.00248402571.08734712.0E-40.0254470130.0246799380.0249530281.01106522.8E-4
8.03.344983E-52.3446533E-56.3445594E-52.7059694.0E-51.4334853E-41.0048127E-41.5047625E-41.49755515.0E-50.00174387110.00122267320.0013225511.0816881.0E-40.0173024960.0133193170.0134377191.00888941.2E-4
8.11.9104898E-56.9991265E-66.9991265E-61.00.08.1875565E-52.9995912E-52.9995912E-51.00.09.963791E-43.6513916E-43.751355E-41.02737681.0E-50.0099192350.00413664570.0041565631.00481492.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Clamshell-Sawpit

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.202998E-62.9820114E-62.9298116E-498.2495042.9E-41.3727062E-51.2779991E-54.1277488E-432.2985274.0E-41.6711417E-41.5558608E-47.055005E-44.53447065.5E-40.00166988550.00155484990.00239354371.53940518.4E-4
6.13.202998E-62.9820114E-62.9298116E-498.2495042.9E-41.3727062E-51.2779991E-54.1277488E-432.2985274.0E-41.6711417E-41.5558608E-47.055005E-44.53447065.5E-40.00166988550.00155484990.00239354371.53940518.4E-4
6.23.202998E-62.9820114E-62.9298116E-498.2495042.9E-41.3727062E-51.2779991E-54.1277488E-432.2985274.0E-41.6711417E-41.5558608E-47.055005E-44.53447065.5E-40.00166988550.00155484990.00239354371.53940518.4E-4
6.33.202998E-62.9820114E-62.9298116E-498.2495042.9E-41.3727062E-51.2779991E-54.1277488E-432.2985274.0E-41.6711417E-41.5558608E-47.055005E-44.53447065.5E-40.00166988550.00155484990.00239354371.53940518.4E-4
6.43.202998E-62.9820114E-62.9298116E-498.2495042.9E-41.3727062E-51.2779991E-54.1277488E-432.2985274.0E-41.6711417E-41.5558608E-47.055005E-44.53447065.5E-40.00166988550.00155484990.00239354371.53940518.4E-4
6.52.5862723E-62.3527662E-62.7235213E-4115.758272.7E-41.1083977E-51.0083246E-53.7007962E-436.7024273.6E-41.3493907E-41.227569E-46.1269675E-44.9911394.9E-40.00134857160.00122692080.00198598831.61867697.6E-4
6.62.5862723E-62.3527662E-62.7235213E-4115.758272.7E-41.1083977E-51.0083246E-53.7007962E-436.7024273.6E-41.3493907E-41.227569E-46.1269675E-44.9911394.9E-40.00134857160.00122692080.00198598831.61867697.6E-4
6.72.5862723E-62.3527662E-62.7235213E-4115.758272.7E-41.1083977E-51.0083246E-53.7007962E-436.7024273.6E-41.3493907E-41.227569E-46.1269675E-44.9911394.9E-40.00134857160.00122692080.00198598831.61867697.6E-4
6.82.4098806E-62.1709307E-62.7217035E-4125.370362.7E-41.0328019E-59.303956E-63.693006E-439.6928563.6E-41.2573638E-41.1327005E-46.0321455E-45.3254554.9E-40.00125665250.00113214920.00189128881.67052967.6E-4
6.92.0073985E-61.754691E-62.6175423E-4149.173982.6E-48.603109E-67.520083E-63.5751745E-447.541693.5E-41.0473781E-49.155328E-55.615103E-46.13315254.7E-40.00104688469.151672E-40.00163450831.78602157.2E-4
7.01.8166766E-61.5582452E-62.5155785E-4161.436632.5E-47.785734E-66.6781777E-63.466759E-451.9117553.4E-49.478718E-58.130388E-55.4126646E-46.65732674.6E-49.4746763E-48.127511E-40.00151218221.86057227.0E-4
7.11.5471421E-61.2852723E-62.4128496E-4187.730622.4E-46.6305925E-65.5082987E-63.3550648E-460.9092753.3E-48.072447E-56.7061526E-55.1703135E-47.7098064.5E-48.0695155E-46.704182E-40.0013399691.99870626.7E-4
7.21.3608037E-61.0969891E-62.3109674E-4210.664572.3E-45.8320024E-64.7013737E-63.2469988E-469.0648963.2E-47.1002316E-55.7237765E-54.972126E-48.6867924.4E-47.097964E-45.722347E-40.00120187422.10031686.3E-4
7.31.0749634E-68.230922E-71.9082293E-4231.836641.9E-44.6069777E-63.5275334E-62.8352655E-480.37532.8E-45.608851E-54.29469E-54.2293058E-49.8477553.8E-45.6074356E-44.2938872E-49.791525E-42.28034075.5E-4
7.48.416856E-76.074442E-71.9060733E-4313.785741.9E-43.607219E-62.6033297E-62.7260263E-4104.7130662.7E-44.3917007E-53.1695097E-53.916837E-412.3578633.6E-44.390833E-43.1690765E-48.3674287E-42.64033655.2E-4
7.56.2779594E-74.3984852E-71.5043978E-4342.026371.5E-42.6905511E-61.8850637E-62.1188468E-4112.4018552.1E-43.275697E-52.2950428E-53.1294377E-413.635642.9E-43.275214E-42.2948236E-46.293906E-42.74265344.0E-4
7.64.3822078E-72.9849917E-79.0298476E-5302.50839.0E-51.8780877E-61.2792816E-61.21279125E-494.802531.2E-42.2865479E-51.5575157E-52.055722E-413.1987241.9E-42.2863125E-41.5574212E-44.3569852E-42.79756382.8E-4
7.71.8704569E-71.0951559E-74.010951E-5366.244784.0E-58.0162414E-74.6935244E-75.046933E-5107.529715.0E-59.75973E-65.7143516E-68.5713895E-514.9997598.0E-59.7593016E-55.7142104E-51.6713582E-42.92491531.1E-4
7.83.5378733E-82.1232914E-82.1232914E-81.00.01.5162313E-79.09982E-89.09982E-81.00.01.84601E-61.1079026E-61.1079026E-61.00.01.8459947E-51.1078973E-52.1078862E-51.90260081.0E-5
7.97.504945E-95.07298E-95.07298E-91.00.03.2164053E-82.1741343E-82.1741343E-81.00.03.9159727E-72.6470082E-72.6470082E-71.00.03.915966E-62.6470059E-62.6470059E-61.00.0
8.01.6554036E-101.3988088E-101.3988088E-101.00.07.0945894E-105.994897E-105.994897E-101.00.08.637662E-97.298787E-97.298787E-91.00.08.6376616E-87.2987866E-87.2987866E-81.00.0

Compton

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.11.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.21.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.31.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.41.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.51.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.61.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.71.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.81.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
6.91.06050875E-56.140594E-62.5613906E-441.712422.5E-44.5449582E-52.6316582E-53.363084E-412.7793353.1E-45.5320817E-43.2035998E-48.60187E-42.68506385.4E-40.00551833030.00319925070.0039269151.22744857.3E-4
7.07.672486E-64.110212E-61.541096E-437.4943161.5E-43.288167E-51.7615079E-52.0761174E-411.7860231.9E-44.0026082E-42.1444306E-44.8438515E-42.25880552.7E-40.00399540640.00214241840.00250164721.16767443.6E-4
7.17.163992E-63.731567E-61.53731E-441.197441.5E-43.0702464E-51.5992335E-52.059893E-412.8805021.9E-43.7373835E-41.946898E-44.6463724E-42.38655142.7E-40.00373110430.00194524460.00230454421.18470673.6E-4
7.26.3689185E-63.1791976E-61.4317875E-445.036131.4E-42.729508E-51.3625064E-51.8362275E-413.4768351.7E-43.322669E-41.658729E-43.858364E-42.32609652.2E-40.00331770560.00165752920.0019570321.18069233.0E-4
7.34.4987873E-62.3562798E-61.0235605E-443.4396821.0E-41.9280375E-51.0098304E-51.200972E-411.8928081.1E-42.3471327E-41.229402E-42.8292052E-42.30128571.6E-40.0023446550.00122874940.00144847911.17882382.2E-4
7.42.987296E-61.6793913E-64.1679323E-524.8181134.0E-51.2802635E-57.197372E-65.7197012E-57.94693045.0E-51.5586092E-48.762453E-51.6761752E-41.91290648.0E-50.00155751658.7590516E-49.858088E-41.12547431.1E-4
7.52.4111696E-61.3991428E-64.1399086E-529.5888944.0E-51.0333543E-55.9963127E-65.5996014E-59.33840755.0E-51.2580362E-47.30027E-51.429976E-41.95879857.0E-50.00125732427.297916E-48.297186E-41.13692551.0E-4
7.61.8783096E-61.0976365E-61.1097625E-510.1104741.0E-58.049874E-64.7041485E-62.4704055E-55.25154642.0E-59.8002805E-55.727154E-59.726925E-51.69838714.0E-59.795959E-45.725715E-46.4253144E-41.12218557.0E-5
7.76.6646817E-73.4842952E-71.0348426E-529.7001971.0E-52.856289E-61.4932687E-61.1493254E-57.69670871.0E-53.4774763E-51.8180408E-52.8180226E-51.55003271.0E-53.4769322E-41.817905E-41.9178867E-41.05499841.0E-5
7.87.054689E-83.9965265E-81.0039965E-5251.217271.0E-53.0234378E-71.712797E-71.0171278E-559.3840261.0E-53.6810293E-62.0853283E-61.2085307E-55.79539781.0E-53.6809684E-52.0853098E-53.085289E-51.47953511.0E-5
7.97.420925E-93.830629E-93.830629E-91.00.03.1803964E-81.6416983E-81.6416983E-81.00.03.872132E-71.9987674E-71.9987674E-71.00.03.872125E-61.9987658E-61.9987658E-61.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.5387842E-52.0538058E-44.52501341.6E-41.8236451E-41.9450653E-44.7445207E-42.43926052.8E-40.0022180270.0023658490.0028347371.19819024.7E-40.021960190.0234391880.0240739511.02708146.5E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.5387842E-52.0538058E-44.52501341.6E-41.8236451E-41.9450653E-44.7445207E-42.43926052.8E-40.0022180270.0023658490.0028347371.19819024.7E-40.021960190.0234391880.0240739511.02708146.5E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.5387842E-52.0538058E-44.52501341.6E-41.8236451E-41.9450653E-44.7445207E-42.43926052.8E-40.0022180270.0023658490.0028347371.19819024.7E-40.021960190.0234391880.0240739511.02708146.5E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.7161612E-56.7160756E-53.9134295.0E-58.40732E-57.3547795E-51.5354191E-42.08764828.0E-50.00102311058.950941E-40.00101498671.13394421.2E-40.010184130.0089184320.0090571831.01555791.4E-4
6.41.5611336E-51.2626102E-54.2625725E-53.37600023.0E-56.690401E-55.4110773E-51.14107526E-42.10877666.0E-58.142519E-46.586048E-47.1856525E-41.09104176.0E-50.0081127480.0065688240.006628431.00907416.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.2132733E-54.2132368E-53.47261983.0E-56.492767E-55.199642E-51.0199382E-41.96155465.0E-57.9020765E-46.3287764E-46.82846E-41.07895425.0E-50.0078740360.00631303430.00636271851.00787015.0E-5
6.61.295588E-59.582907E-62.9582716E-53.08702922.0E-55.552402E-54.1068964E-58.106732E-51.97393144.0E-56.7579525E-44.999016E-45.398816E-41.07997574.0E-50.0067374380.00498910760.00502890771.00797754.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.12494E-62.9124758E-53.1917752.0E-55.3750682E-53.910631E-57.910475E-52.02281284.0E-56.542181E-44.7601692E-45.159979E-41.08399064.0E-50.0065229540.00475122640.00479103621.00837894.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-58.749737E-62.8749562E-53.2857632.0E-55.2267E-53.7498343E-57.749684E-52.06667384.0E-56.36165E-44.5644827E-44.9643E-41.08759324.0E-50.00634346860.0045562760.00459609371.00873914.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.076869E-62.8076707E-53.47618722.0E-54.9628903E-53.46147E-57.4613316E-52.15553834.0E-56.040644E-44.2135388E-44.61337E-41.0948924.0E-50.006024250.0042066220.00424645381.00946884.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-57.429607E-62.7429458E-53.69191242.0E-54.6991136E-53.184079E-56.183983E-51.94215763.0E-55.7196687E-43.8759396E-44.1758234E-41.07737063.0E-50.00570496960.00387014450.00390002851.00772173.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-56.7359465E-62.6735812E-53.96912462.0E-54.3844695E-52.886803E-55.8867165E-52.0391823.0E-55.336784E-43.5141266E-43.8140212E-41.08533973.0E-50.0053239860.00350967930.0035395741.00851773.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.0102057E-62.6010086E-54.32765342.0E-54.032216E-52.5757774E-55.5757002E-52.1646673.0E-54.908117E-43.135568E-43.435474E-41.09564653.0E-50.00489729130.00313218870.00316209491.0095483.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.1453976E-62.5145295E-54.88694862.0E-53.5302593E-52.2051523E-54.205108E-51.90694682.0E-54.2972428E-42.684451E-42.8843974E-41.07448322.0E-50.00428894260.00268146630.00270141271.00743872.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-64.6199916E-62.46199E-55.32899242.0E-53.2278298E-51.9799818E-53.9799423E-52.01009042.0E-53.9291743E-42.4103698E-42.6103217E-41.08295482.0E-50.00392223430.00240784740.00242779941.00828612.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.6101314E-61.3610095E-53.7699721.0E-52.6355372E-51.5471905E-52.547175E-51.64632281.0E-53.208294E-41.8835491E-41.9835304E-41.05308131.0E-50.0032036660.00188202780.0018920091.00530341.0E-5
7.65.457711E-63.1108325E-61.3110802E-54.21456341.0E-52.338998E-51.33320755E-52.3331942E-51.75006081.0E-52.8473578E-41.623066E-41.72305E-41.06160181.0E-50.00284371220.00162194860.00163193231.00615541.0E-5
7.74.1676276E-62.1228193E-62.1228193E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.097768E-69.097768E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.10760324E-41.10760324E-41.00.00.00217225030.00110711250.00110711251.00.0
7.82.2692414E-78.558292E-88.558292E-81.00.09.725317E-73.667839E-73.667839E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.4655876E-64.4655876E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.4655248E-54.4655248E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.260672E-93.260672E-91.00.02.861498E-81.3974308E-81.3974308E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.701372E-71.701372E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7013708E-61.7013708E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-41.4919162E-43.5916027E-42.40737582.1E-45.002454E-46.39237E-49.290516E-41.45337582.9E-40.0060734930.0077551640.0082115971.05885534.6E-40.05910160.078637970.079236861.00761576.5E-4
6.11.1674632E-41.4919162E-43.5916027E-42.40737582.1E-45.002454E-46.39237E-49.290516E-41.45337582.9E-40.0060734930.0077551640.0082115971.05885534.6E-40.05910160.078637970.079236861.00761576.5E-4
6.21.1674632E-41.4919162E-43.5916027E-42.40737582.1E-45.002454E-46.39237E-49.290516E-41.45337582.9E-40.0060734930.0077551640.0082115971.05885534.6E-40.05910160.078637970.079236861.00761576.5E-4
6.31.1674632E-41.4919162E-43.5916027E-42.40737582.1E-45.002454E-46.39237E-49.290516E-41.45337582.9E-40.0060734930.0077551640.0082115971.05885534.6E-40.05910160.078637970.079236861.00761576.5E-4
6.41.1674632E-41.4919162E-43.5916027E-42.40737582.1E-45.002454E-46.39237E-49.290516E-41.45337582.9E-40.0060734930.0077551640.0082115971.05885534.6E-40.05910160.078637970.079236861.00761576.5E-4
6.51.13136164E-41.4310867E-43.5307862E-42.46720622.1E-44.847792E-46.131797E-49.0300187E-41.47265462.9E-40.00588622550.0074401150.00789669251.0613674.6E-40.0573273340.0757592840.076360041.00792986.5E-4
6.61.13136164E-41.4310867E-43.5307862E-42.46720622.1E-44.847792E-46.131797E-49.0300187E-41.47265462.9E-40.00588622550.0074401150.00789669251.0613674.6E-40.0573273340.0757592840.076360041.00792986.5E-4
6.71.1149675E-41.4034602E-43.5031655E-42.49609162.1E-44.777557E-46.0134527E-48.911709E-41.48196212.9E-40.00580117340.00729700220.00775364551.06257964.6E-40.056520510.074455940.0750575441.008086.5E-4
6.81.1103589E-41.3954814E-43.4951884E-42.5046472.1E-44.7578133E-45.979273E-48.877539E-41.48471882.9E-40.0057772630.00725566640.0077123291.06293874.6E-40.0562935840.074070850.07467271.00812546.5E-4
6.91.1053259E-41.3867211E-43.48643E-42.51415372.1E-44.7362508E-45.941746E-48.740083E-41.47096192.8E-40.00575114970.00721028070.0076570361.06196094.5E-40.056045690.073648730.074241591.00804986.4E-4
7.01.1005377E-41.3786521E-43.4783626E-42.5230172.1E-44.7157376E-45.9071806E-48.7055267E-41.47371942.8E-40.00572630620.00716847460.00761524871.06232494.5E-40.0558097960.073258530.0738516451.00809626.4E-4
7.11.0308142E-41.2578245E-43.2575728E-42.5898472.0E-44.417027E-45.389569E-48.088114E-41.50069772.7E-40.00536447760.00654219560.00696938251.06529714.3E-40.0523681380.067399560.067977771.00857896.2E-4
7.21.0027479E-41.20964236E-43.2094005E-42.65318132.0E-44.296783E-45.183158E-47.8817585E-41.52064792.7E-40.00521879220.00629236740.00671966141.06790674.3E-40.0509792120.065048940.065628611.00891136.2E-4
7.39.816942E-51.1680691E-43.1678355E-42.71202752.0E-44.2065824E-45.005056E-47.703705E-41.53918452.7E-40.0051094930.0060767580.00650414451.07033154.3E-40.0499359850.062991420.063572361.00922266.2E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.11887115E-43.1186474E-42.7873162.0E-44.0979648E-44.7942868E-47.4929924E-41.56290032.7E-40.00497786370.00582154140.0062490381.07343364.3E-40.0486782530.0605485180.061130981.00961976.2E-4
7.58.052417E-58.124358E-52.7122814E-43.33845621.9E-43.4505792E-43.481404E-46.080499E-41.74656512.6E-40.00419299030.0042303890.0046386541.09650784.1E-40.041147530.0452090580.0457628371.01224925.8E-4
7.67.897024E-57.8794015E-52.6877905E-43.41116051.9E-43.384E-43.37645E-45.975572E-41.76977942.6E-40.00411223850.00410309570.0045114131.09951464.1E-40.0403696970.043941860.0444963721.01261935.8E-4
7.76.707427E-56.1122264E-52.2111248E-43.61754421.6E-42.8742946E-42.6192627E-44.91866E-41.87787972.3E-40.0034938390.00318429150.00355311321.11582543.7E-40.0343941640.0347067680.0351894161.01390645.0E-4
7.86.147705E-55.6466404E-51.8645906E-43.3021241.3E-42.6344648E-42.4197644E-44.3193044E-41.78501051.9E-40.00320274360.0029420850.00326114361.10844643.2E-40.0315697640.032010210.0324264471.01300324.3E-4
7.94.7636717E-54.126484E-51.2126154E-42.93861658.0E-52.0414138E-41.7683732E-42.968161E-41.67846981.2E-40.00248258840.00215086950.00234046071.08814631.9E-40.0245503650.0233095050.0235634451.01089432.6E-4
8.03.3554235E-52.3383629E-56.338269E-52.71055844.0E-51.4379594E-41.00211706E-41.502067E-41.49889375.0E-50.00174930970.0012193950.0013192731.08190791.0E-40.0173560340.0132863020.0134047071.00891181.2E-4
8.11.9175432E-57.000261E-67.000261E-61.00.08.217783E-53.0000774E-53.0000774E-51.00.00.00100005583.6519833E-43.7519468E-41.02737241.0E-50.0099556730.00413758070.0041574981.00481382.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.15.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.25.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.35.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.45.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.55.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.65.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.75.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.85.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
6.95.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
7.05.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
7.15.2543637E-64.767173E-62.2476612E-447.1487242.2E-42.2518509E-52.0430583E-53.0042487E-414.7046642.8E-42.7412834E-42.4871426E-47.185974E-42.88924884.7E-40.00273790420.00248439070.0031327761.26098366.5E-4
7.25.2458695E-64.7583912E-62.2475734E-447.2338942.2E-42.2482105E-52.0392947E-53.0038724E-414.7299582.8E-42.7368523E-42.4825614E-47.1813946E-42.8927364.7E-40.00273348410.00247981980.0031282081.26146586.5E-4
7.35.22665E-64.738467E-62.2473742E-447.42832.2E-42.2399736E-52.030756E-53.0030188E-414.7876892.8E-42.7268266E-42.4721678E-47.171006E-42.90069534.7E-40.0027234830.00246944950.00311784421.26256666.5E-4
7.45.210642E-64.7218223E-62.2472079E-447.591962.2E-42.233113E-52.0236226E-53.0023055E-414.8362922.8E-42.718476E-42.463485E-46.9623766E-42.82623054.5E-40.0027151530.0024607860.00308923561.25538586.3E-4
7.55.1226016E-64.6304554E-62.1462949E-446.35172.1E-42.1953823E-51.984466E-52.898393E-414.6054062.7E-42.67255E-42.4158224E-46.8147597E-42.8208864.4E-40.00266933810.00241322720.0030317311.25629736.2E-4
7.64.8796987E-64.377694E-62.0437682E-446.6859552.0E-42.0912828E-51.8761411E-52.7875655E-414.8579722.6E-42.5458392E-42.2839654E-46.582983E-42.88226064.3E-40.00254292460.00228164790.0028902561.26674076.1E-4
7.74.0834398E-63.5503435E-62.0354963E-457.332382.0E-41.7500339E-51.5215671E-52.7521173E-418.0873872.6E-42.1304579E-41.8523527E-46.151556E-43.32094224.3E-40.00212841670.00185083190.0024197771.30739965.7E-4
7.82.5445438E-62.0827488E-61.720824E-482.6227341.7E-41.0905142E-58.926036E-62.1892416E-424.5264722.1E-41.3276201E-41.0866911E-44.4863217E-44.1284243.4E-40.00132682720.00108616430.00151569721.39545864.3E-4
7.94.1677114E-73.269078E-74.0326893E-5123.358614.0E-51.7861609E-61.4010327E-67.140094E-550.9630747.0E-52.1746291E-51.7057444E-51.5705505E-49.207421.4E-42.1744163E-41.7056165E-43.3053436E-41.93791721.6E-4
8.07.791402E-95.5603824E-95.5603824E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.3830209E-82.3830209E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.901328E-71.02901295E-535.466971.0E-54.065434E-62.901326E-61.2901297E-54.446691.0E-5

Puente Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.11.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.21.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.31.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.41.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.51.2101656E-57.805469E-62.1780383E-427.9040032.1E-45.1863204E-53.345161E-53.234419E-49.6689482.9E-46.312516E-44.0720272E-48.7701133E-42.15374644.7E-40.00629461460.0040651080.0046925471.15434746.3E-4
6.61.0222488E-56.127297E-61.2612656E-420.5843721.2E-44.3809923E-52.6259595E-52.162546E-48.2352611.9E-45.332553E-43.1966603E-46.095733E-41.90690682.9E-40.00531977460.00319229670.00360098781.12802424.1E-4
6.71.0222488E-56.127297E-61.2612656E-420.5843721.2E-44.3809923E-52.6259595E-52.162546E-48.2352611.9E-45.332553E-43.1966603E-46.095733E-41.90690682.9E-40.00531977460.00319229670.00360098781.12802424.1E-4
6.88.6367845E-64.779935E-61.1477941E-424.0127561.1E-43.7014266E-52.0485277E-51.9048179E-49.2984731.7E-44.505555E-42.4938022E-44.893204E-41.96214592.4E-40.0044964310.00249105550.00280028331.12413533.1E-4
6.98.066481E-64.5941506E-61.0459369E-422.7667081.0E-43.4570177E-51.968907E-51.7968591E-49.1261761.6E-44.2081063E-42.3968857E-44.6963344E-41.95934862.3E-40.00420014650.002394350.00268365561.12082852.9E-4
7.07.393828E-64.186383E-68.4186046E-520.1094958.0E-53.168745E-51.794152E-51.479392E-48.2456321.3E-43.857264E-42.1841654E-44.0837502E-41.86970751.9E-40.00385057550.00218206040.00243151471.11432062.5E-4
7.16.4660953E-63.60759E-67.3607334E-520.4034637.0E-52.7711543E-51.5461012E-51.3545915E-48.7613391.2E-43.373358E-41.8822188E-43.581899E-41.90301931.7E-40.00336824170.00188065810.00210024441.11676042.2E-4
7.25.143232E-62.6314951E-66.2631334E-523.8006656.0E-52.2042237E-51.1277788E-51.1127666E-49.8668871.0E-42.6833118E-41.3729851E-42.8727792E-42.092361.5E-40.0026800740.00137214550.00155189841.13100151.8E-4
7.33.928255E-61.9600484E-65.195995E-526.5095255.0E-51.683527E-58.40018E-67.839959E-59.3330847.0E-52.0495013E-41.02267455E-41.8225927E-41.78218268.0E-50.0020476120.00102220960.00112210741.09772731.0E-4
7.42.7894434E-61.2478722E-62.1247848E-517.0272622.0E-51.1954703E-55.348013E-63.5347854E-56.609533.0E-51.4553878E-46.511015E-59.51082E-51.46072773.0E-50.0014544356.509143E-46.9088826E-41.0614124.0E-5
7.52.041735E-67.973086E-71.0797301E-513.5421851.0E-58.750263E-63.4170325E-61.3416999E-53.92650581.0E-51.06529245E-44.1601605E-55.160119E-51.24036541.0E-50.00106478194.1594089E-44.259367E-41.02403191.0E-5
7.61.6959062E-66.02168E-71.0602162E-517.6066531.0E-57.268149E-62.5807174E-61.2580692E-54.87488171.0E-58.848612E-53.1419804E-54.141949E-51.31826061.0E-58.84509E-43.141559E-43.241528E-41.03182141.0E-5
7.71.4767965E-64.8297255E-74.8297255E-71.00.06.3291122E-62.0698808E-62.0698808E-61.00.07.705422E-52.5200528E-52.5200528E-51.00.07.702751E-42.5197875E-42.5197875E-41.00.0
7.81.8432911E-76.5881565E-86.5881565E-81.00.07.8998164E-72.8234956E-72.8234956E-71.00.09.617985E-63.4376033E-63.4376033E-61.00.09.617568E-53.4375767E-53.4375767E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.5832258E-52.558244E-47.1394992.2E-41.4070606E-41.5355866E-44.1351875E-42.6929042.6E-40.001711750.00186813060.00224742081.20303193.8E-40.0169862470.018540240.0190996731.03017395.7E-4
6.11.9835548E-52.1310854E-51.6130786E-47.56928251.4E-48.500672E-59.1329144E-52.6131363E-42.86122921.7E-40.00103446550.00111138440.00134112871.20671922.3E-40.0102966320.0110603010.0114360981.03397723.8E-4
6.21.9835548E-52.1310854E-51.6130786E-47.56928251.4E-48.500672E-59.1329144E-52.6131363E-42.86122921.7E-40.00103446550.00111138440.00134112871.20671922.3E-40.0102966320.0110603010.0114360981.03397723.8E-4
6.31.5728183E-51.6786418E-51.3678441E-48.1485171.2E-46.7404755E-57.1939845E-52.2192905E-43.08492541.5E-48.2034385E-48.755215E-40.00107534641.22823522.0E-40.0081732220.0087213770.0090584111.03864473.4E-4
6.41.5728183E-51.6786418E-51.3678441E-48.1485171.2E-46.7404755E-57.1939845E-52.2192905E-43.08492541.5E-48.2034385E-48.755215E-40.00107534641.22823522.0E-40.0081732220.0087213770.0090584111.03864473.4E-4
6.51.3707734E-51.4589136E-51.1458768E-47.85431531.0E-45.8746107E-56.2523395E-51.9251526E-43.07909181.3E-47.1499916E-47.6095987E-49.408229E-41.23636341.8E-40.00712703030.0075839270.0078915761.0405663.1E-4
6.61.2539813E-51.3327058E-51.0332586E-47.75308859.0E-55.3740947E-55.7114725E-51.7710787E-43.10091451.2E-46.540996E-46.951525E-48.6503435E-41.24438071.7E-40.00652177630.00693007370.00722799451.04298963.0E-4
6.71.1504083E-51.2212661E-51.0221156E-48.3693119.0E-54.930228E-55.2338935E-51.6233318E-43.10157591.1E-46.0008996E-46.370422E-47.969403E-41.25100081.6E-40.0059847210.00635238270.0066306041.0437982.8E-4
6.81.012739E-51.0735759E-58.073501E-57.52019557.0E-54.340238E-54.600959E-51.3600544E-42.9560249.0E-55.282958E-45.600243E-46.9994584E-41.24984921.4E-40.00527041640.0055862940.0058348971.04450242.5E-4
6.98.9607865E-69.486945E-67.948628E-58.378497.0E-53.8402806E-54.0657706E-51.3065405E-43.21351249.0E-54.6745385E-44.948962E-46.348269E-41.28274761.4E-40.00466471770.00493805670.00518682231.05037722.5E-4
7.08.046829E-68.511766E-67.851117E-59.223847.0E-53.4485955E-53.6478494E-51.264752E-43.4671179.0E-54.1978562E-44.4403595E-45.839738E-41.31514981.4E-40.0041899350.0044315750.0046605561.05167032.3E-4
7.17.136131E-67.54307E-67.754254E-510.2799717.0E-53.0583058E-53.2327047E-51.2232414E-43.78395659.0E-53.7228514E-43.9351138E-45.334563E-41.35563111.4E-40.00371662060.00392822040.0041473561.05578512.2E-4
7.26.362014E-66.721356E-67.6720884E-511.4144957.0E-52.726549E-52.8805496E-51.18802905E-44.1243149.0E-53.3190678E-43.506511E-44.90602E-41.39911721.4E-40.00331411490.00350104480.00372027471.06261842.2E-4
7.35.004101E-65.2860037E-66.528568E-512.350676.0E-52.1445969E-52.2654107E-51.02652295E-44.53128868.0E-52.6107338E-42.7577937E-43.8574904E-41.39875961.1E-40.0026076690.00275442470.00292395641.06154881.7E-4
7.43.4901443E-63.6862266E-66.3686006E-517.2767476.0E-51.4957676E-51.5798021E-58.579691E-55.4308657.0E-51.8209449E-41.923243E-42.8230698E-41.46786969.0E-50.00181945340.00192161610.00205136631.06752131.3E-4
7.51.1215045E-61.1764857E-61.1764857E-61.00.04.806439E-65.042072E-65.042072E-61.00.05.851682E-56.138553E-57.1384915E-51.16289481.0E-55.850142E-46.136887E-46.636581E-41.08142455.0E-5
7.62.8599047E-72.9703958E-72.9703958E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2730261E-61.2730261E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5498985E-52.549883E-51.64519361.0E-51.4921463E-41.5497916E-41.8497452E-41.19354443.0E-5
7.72.0781519E-72.156798E-72.156798E-71.00.08.906362E-79.243417E-79.243417E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.1253803E-51.1253803E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1253243E-41.225313E-41.08885321.0E-5
7.83.614776E-83.7368963E-83.7368963E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.601527E-71.601527E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9498573E-61.9498573E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9498415E-51.9498415E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-42.3430967E-44.4426045E-41.89603982.1E-45.2857865E-40.00100381810.00129352711.28860692.9E-40.0064164720.012156750.0125716451.03412874.2E-40.062343370.115410840.1159239041.00444565.8E-4
6.11.2336002E-42.3430967E-44.4426045E-41.89603982.1E-45.2857865E-40.00100381810.00129352711.28860692.9E-40.0064164720.012156750.0125716451.03412874.2E-40.062343370.115410840.1159239041.00444565.8E-4
6.21.2336002E-42.3430967E-44.4426045E-41.89603982.1E-45.2857865E-40.00100381810.00129352711.28860692.9E-40.0064164720.012156750.0125716451.03412874.2E-40.062343370.115410840.1159239041.00444565.8E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.2302673E-44.329799E-41.94138122.1E-45.018573E-49.5549866E-40.00124522161.30321652.9E-40.0060930080.0115748110.011989951.03586574.2E-40.0592863220.1102935450.110809581.00467875.8E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.2302673E-44.329799E-41.94138122.1E-45.018573E-49.5549866E-40.00124522161.30321652.9E-40.0060930080.0115748110.011989951.03586574.2E-40.0592863220.1102935450.110809581.00467875.8E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.0452504E-44.1448209E-42.0265592.1E-44.5802278E-48.762607E-40.00115601531.31925962.8E-40.00556217830.0106197820.0110254281.03819724.1E-40.054250030.10182490.10231891.00485155.5E-4
6.69.7648895E-51.8830529E-43.9826575E-42.11500022.1E-44.1842813E-48.067913E-40.00108656541.34677392.8E-40.0050824690.00978174250.010177831.04049254.0E-40.0496778860.094307790.094796861.0051865.4E-4
6.78.757013E-51.7036399E-43.7032992E-42.1737572.0E-43.7524657E-47.2994415E-49.997471E-41.36962132.7E-40.004559060.0088539310.0092305661.04253883.8E-40.044666560.085915190.0863813761.0054265.1E-4
6.88.562978E-51.665005E-43.664672E-42.20099762.0E-43.6693315E-47.133955E-49.832028E-41.37820172.7E-40.0044582630.0086540630.0090307741.043533.8E-40.0436987580.084090280.084557391.00555495.1E-4
6.96.124075E-51.1722602E-43.0720377E-42.62061051.9E-42.6243398E-45.023011E-47.621705E-41.51735782.6E-40.00319045270.00609848650.00645629131.0586713.6E-40.0314503460.0604546140.06089621.00730444.7E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.1219919E-43.0217785E-42.6932271.9E-42.5111332E-44.807656E-47.406406E-41.5405442.6E-40.00305301860.0058377240.00619562251.06130793.6E-40.030114140.0580134580.058456191.00763154.7E-4
7.15.613814E-51.0703428E-42.9701393E-42.77494221.9E-42.4056983E-44.586382E-47.18519E-41.56663562.6E-40.00292500390.00556972760.00592772241.06427513.6E-40.0288680210.055520950.0559648571.00799524.7E-4
7.24.991222E-59.467819E-52.7466114E-42.90099721.8E-42.1389198E-44.057008E-46.5559935E-41.61596762.5E-40.0026010250.0049282690.0052765441.07066883.5E-40.0257079120.0495022460.0499394761.00883254.6E-4
7.34.7410045E-58.7998786E-52.5798383E-42.93167471.7E-42.0317009E-43.7708334E-46.169928E-41.6362242.4E-40.00247078970.0045813650.0049198071.07387363.4E-40.0244349820.046277050.0466966851.0090684.4E-4
7.44.5556746E-58.312073E-52.4310742E-42.9247511.6E-41.952286E-43.5618324E-45.761049E-41.61743962.2E-40.0023743170.0043279450.0046366031.07131763.1E-40.0234910860.0439074450.0442898831.008714.0E-4
7.54.3084514E-57.674603E-52.1673528E-42.82405851.4E-41.8463485E-43.2887026E-45.088111E-41.54714831.8E-40.00224561150.0039966780.0042655991.06728612.7E-40.0222305450.0407788050.0411241241.00846823.6E-4
7.63.408608E-55.6673685E-51.7666689E-43.11726471.2E-41.4607502E-42.4286467E-44.028258E-41.65864311.6E-40.00177701250.00295287810.00320213991.08441322.5E-40.0176286960.0306982790.031018151.01041983.3E-4
7.72.8315713E-54.4225417E-51.6422011E-43.71325181.2E-41.2134742E-41.8952374E-43.494934E-41.84406151.6E-40.00147640340.00230501170.00255443551.10820942.5E-40.014666330.0243703050.0246922631.0132113.3E-4
7.82.6222975E-53.9329072E-51.4932474E-43.7968031.1E-41.1237934E-41.6854229E-42.9852038E-41.77118981.3E-40.00136735970.00205007270.00224966251.09735752.0E-40.0135897680.021826550.0220906571.01210022.7E-4
7.92.1469694E-52.9462575E-51.0946022E-43.71522938.0E-59.200973E-51.2626206E-42.2624944E-41.79190351.0E-40.00111964280.00153615760.00167594241.09099651.4E-40.0111401840.0165881120.0167749621.0112641.9E-4
8.01.2420249E-51.5452148E-55.5451528E-53.5885974.0E-55.322855E-56.622181E-51.162185E-41.75498835.0E-56.478649E-48.059525E-48.8588806E-41.09918148.0E-50.00645979350.0087843280.0088735371.01015569.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-62.8262998E-62.8262998E-61.00.02.1084568E-51.2112658E-51.2112658E-51.00.02.566744E-41.4746164E-41.4746164E-41.00.00.0025637810.00173922120.00173922121.00.0
8.22.5634774E-67.7726907E-77.7726907E-71.00.01.0986286E-53.3311487E-63.3311487E-61.00.01.3374983E-44.0555984E-54.0555984E-51.00.00.00133669345.180598E-45.180598E-41.00.0
8.35.2850464E-76.623571E-86.623571E-81.00.02.2650179E-62.8386728E-72.8386728E-71.00.02.7576245E-53.4560794E-63.4560794E-61.00.02.7572823E-44.6338613E-54.6338613E-51.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.0817386E-52.2081511E-420.4129812.1E-45.0777642E-54.6359415E-53.463455E-47.4708773.0E-46.180424E-45.6428195E-40.00100403371.7793124.4E-40.00616326370.00563093650.006177841.09712475.5E-4
6.11.1848348E-51.0817386E-52.2081511E-420.4129812.1E-45.0777642E-54.6359415E-53.463455E-47.4708773.0E-46.180424E-45.6428195E-40.00100403371.7793124.4E-40.00616326370.00563093650.006177841.09712475.5E-4
6.21.1848348E-51.0817386E-52.2081511E-420.4129812.1E-45.0777642E-54.6359415E-53.463455E-47.4708773.0E-46.180424E-45.6428195E-40.00100403371.7793124.4E-40.00616326370.00563093650.006177841.09712475.5E-4
6.31.1848348E-51.0817386E-52.2081511E-420.4129812.1E-45.0777642E-54.6359415E-53.463455E-47.4708773.0E-46.180424E-45.6428195E-40.00100403371.7793124.4E-40.00616326370.00563093650.006177841.09712475.5E-4
6.41.1848348E-51.0817386E-52.2081511E-420.4129812.1E-45.0777642E-54.6359415E-53.463455E-47.4708773.0E-46.180424E-45.6428195E-40.00100403371.7793124.4E-40.00616326370.00563093650.006177841.09712475.5E-4
6.51.16988695E-51.06585685E-52.2065634E-420.7022482.1E-45.013705E-54.5678793E-53.456651E-47.5672993.0E-46.102476E-45.5599964E-49.95755E-41.79092744.4E-40.0060857450.00554852750.0060954761.09857545.5E-4
6.61.16988695E-51.06585685E-52.2065634E-420.7022482.1E-45.013705E-54.5678793E-53.456651E-47.5672993.0E-46.102476E-45.5599964E-49.95755E-41.79092744.4E-40.0060857450.00554852750.0060954761.09857545.5E-4
6.71.1397107E-51.0224036E-52.2022189E-421.5396252.1E-44.884383E-54.3816573E-53.4380343E-47.84642463.0E-45.9451134E-45.333382E-49.7310357E-41.82455244.4E-40.0059292340.0053230070.0058700791.10277515.5E-4
6.81.058387E-59.011521E-62.1900963E-424.3032932.1E-44.5358654E-53.8620237E-53.3860866E-48.7676483.0E-45.521017E-44.701009E-49.0989406E-41.93552924.4E-40.005507320.0046933770.00524079571.11663645.5E-4
6.99.690046E-67.882459E-62.0788088E-426.3725952.0E-44.1528107E-53.378153E-53.2377173E-49.5842832.9E-45.054874E-44.1121285E-48.3104015E-42.0209494.2E-40.0050433910.004106770.0046345931.12852535.3E-4
7.09.381461E-67.5105877E-62.0750909E-427.6288742.0E-44.020564E-53.218784E-53.221785E-410.0093242.9E-44.893937E-43.9181678E-48.116522E-42.07150964.2E-40.00488317340.00391350550.00444143131.13489845.3E-4
7.18.946492E-67.1218815E-62.0712045E-429.0822682.0E-43.8341543E-53.0521995E-53.2051315E-410.5010562.9E-44.667083E-43.7154218E-47.913861E-42.13000354.2E-40.00465729370.00371145250.0042295231.13958695.2E-4
7.28.251016E-66.3664356E-61.9636523E-430.8438261.9E-43.5361016E-52.7284439E-53.072768E-411.261982.8E-44.3043532E-43.3213763E-47.4200146E-42.2340184.1E-40.00429602530.00331864760.00381698831.15016385.0E-4
7.37.717881E-65.898707E-61.9589759E-433.210261.9E-43.3076216E-52.527993E-53.0527284E-412.0757012.8E-44.026285E-43.0773986E-47.0761674E-42.29939914.0E-40.0040189980.00307536430.00356385741.15884084.9E-4
7.47.275623E-65.4704374E-61.954694E-435.731951.9E-43.118087E-52.3444523E-53.0343796E-412.9428082.8E-43.7956095E-42.8539984E-46.652914E-42.33108523.8E-40.00378913320.00285255350.00332121271.16429464.7E-4
7.56.5109502E-64.6084037E-61.5460771E-433.5490841.5E-42.7903774E-51.9750152E-52.397458E-412.1389352.2E-43.3967546E-42.4043169E-45.6035473E-42.33061933.2E-40.00339156740.00240392170.00281293621.17014474.1E-4
7.65.4495326E-63.4778066E-61.1347742E-432.629021.1E-42.335493E-51.49048E-51.9490212E-413.0764661.8E-42.8430918E-41.8145089E-44.3140553E-42.37753322.5E-40.00283945720.00181521980.0021246571.17046823.1E-4
7.74.7997164E-62.8183554E-69.28181E-532.9334269.0E-52.057005E-51.2078611E-51.5207691E-412.5905971.4E-42.504116E-41.4704718E-43.270207E-42.2239171.8E-40.0025012960.0014715720.00171121891.16285092.4E-4
7.83.3941733E-61.858472E-65.185838E-527.9037725.0E-51.4546376E-57.964855E-66.796438E-58.5330336.0E-51.7708774E-49.6967815E-51.6696102E-41.7218197.0E-50.00176946689.695621E-40.00108944581.12364721.2E-4
7.99.750552E-74.7110532E-71.0471101E-522.2266671.0E-54.178801E-62.0190212E-62.2018981E-510.905772.0E-55.0875715E-52.458131E-54.458082E-51.81360632.0E-55.086407E-42.4578624E-42.7577888E-41.12202733.0E-5
8.01.133857E-75.5658628E-81.0055658E-5180.666661.0E-54.8593864E-72.3853696E-71.0238535E-542.922221.0E-55.9162867E-62.9041837E-61.2904155E-54.44329831.0E-55.916129E-52.904147E-53.904118E-51.34432521.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2188602E-41.654072E-43.1538238E-41.90670291.5E-45.2226405E-47.0869667E-49.185478E-41.29610862.1E-40.00634004270.0085945210.0089712561.04383423.8E-40.0616218450.085705340.08620821.00586745.5E-4
6.11.2188602E-41.654072E-43.1538238E-41.90670291.5E-45.2226405E-47.0869667E-49.185478E-41.29610862.1E-40.00634004270.0085945210.0089712561.04383423.8E-40.0616218450.085705340.08620821.00586745.5E-4
6.21.2188602E-41.654072E-43.1538238E-41.90670291.5E-45.2226405E-47.0869667E-49.185478E-41.29610862.1E-40.00634004270.0085945210.0089712561.04383423.8E-40.0616218450.085705340.08620821.00586745.5E-4
6.31.2142645E-41.6463871E-43.14614E-41.91093591.5E-45.202953E-47.0540496E-49.152568E-41.29749132.1E-40.0063162120.008554760.008931511.04403973.8E-40.061396770.085345360.085848421.00589445.5E-4
6.41.1865206E-41.5955146E-42.995291E-41.87731981.4E-45.0840975E-46.83614E-48.834773E-41.29236282.0E-40.0061723350.00829150.00865843151.04425413.7E-40.0600368680.08299360.083488781.00596655.4E-4
6.51.17443946E-41.5700879E-42.969868E-41.89152981.4E-45.032341E-46.7272247E-48.7258796E-41.29709942.0E-40.0061096770.0081598920.0085268731.04497373.7E-40.0594440770.0818400760.0823266951.0059465.3E-4
6.61.13579066E-41.4986222E-42.8984123E-41.93405151.4E-44.866766E-46.4210966E-48.4198127E-41.31127322.0E-40.00590920170.0077899020.0081470971.04585373.6E-40.0575451850.078537260.0790164251.0061015.2E-4
6.71.1271412E-41.4822421E-42.8820348E-41.9443751.4E-44.829711E-46.3509314E-48.349661E-41.31471442.0E-40.0058643310.00770508270.0080623091.04636243.6E-40.0571196970.077779210.078258771.00616565.2E-4
6.81.1217975E-41.470931E-42.870725E-41.95163811.4E-44.8068175E-46.302479E-48.301218E-41.31713552.0E-40.0058366080.0076465070.0080037551.04672033.6E-40.0568567250.077251720.077731551.00621135.2E-4
6.91.1146753E-41.4567042E-42.8565002E-41.96093371.4E-44.7763053E-46.2415353E-48.2402874E-41.3202342.0E-40.00579965770.00757282740.0079301011.04717843.6E-40.0565061270.076582230.0770624061.006275.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-41.4192787E-42.81908E-41.98627651.4E-44.698779E-46.081216E-48.0800004E-41.32868162.0E-40.0057057680.0073789770.007736321.04842723.6E-40.0556147360.0748202950.075301391.006435.2E-4
7.19.927982E-51.2104766E-42.610307E-42.15642931.4E-44.2541555E-45.186732E-47.185695E-41.38539922.0E-40.00516714060.00629669570.0066345551.05365663.4E-40.050486340.064881860.065349421.00720635.0E-4
7.29.696786E-51.168634E-42.5684704E-42.197841.4E-44.1551032E-45.0074764E-47.006475E-41.39920282.0E-40.005047110.006079690.0064176231.0555843.4E-40.049340090.062851720.0633202941.00745525.0E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.1224762E-42.522319E-42.24710251.4E-44.0591392E-44.8097316E-46.8087695E-41.41562372.0E-40.00493080870.00584025080.0061782651.05787673.4E-40.0482282680.0605737050.061043421.00775445.0E-4
7.49.220358E-51.0731009E-42.4729507E-42.30449031.4E-43.9509835E-44.598199E-46.5972796E-41.4347532.0E-40.0047997170.00558405460.0059221561.06054773.4E-40.0469736530.058117470.058588411.00810335.0E-4
7.57.71631E-57.6731485E-52.0672151E-42.694091.3E-43.306571E-43.2880783E-45.187454E-41.57765511.9E-40.00401832070.00399590330.00431462471.0797623.2E-40.039464330.0427745470.043214871.01029414.6E-4
7.67.5634416E-57.430634E-52.0429668E-42.74938421.3E-43.241072E-43.1841695E-45.0835643E-41.5965121.9E-40.00393886720.00386985040.0041886121.08237053.2E-40.0386977940.0415176230.0419585261.01061964.6E-4
7.76.3783E-55.668947E-51.566838E-42.7638961.0E-42.7332708E-42.4293226E-44.028934E-41.65845981.6E-40.00332267980.0029536910.0032328641.09451662.8E-40.0327343640.032289150.0326568821.01138873.8E-4
7.85.863422E-55.260323E-51.5259798E-42.9009241.0E-42.512653E-42.2542293E-43.7538912E-41.66526591.5E-40.0030548640.00274107190.0030103321.09823162.7E-40.0301320940.0299134830.0302530141.01135043.5E-4
7.94.595283E-53.888169E-51.0887897E-42.80026327.0E-51.9692584E-41.6662518E-42.6660852E-41.60004941.0E-40.00239493580.0020267750.00219643051.08370711.7E-40.0236928910.0220172090.0222421461.01021642.3E-4
8.03.2950178E-52.270738E-56.270647E-52.7615024.0E-51.412074E-49.731371E-51.4730885E-41.51375225.0E-50.00171784440.00118415080.00128403241.08434871.0E-40.0170462560.0129131190.0130315691.00917291.2E-4
8.11.9177472E-57.000289E-67.000289E-61.00.08.218658E-53.0000894E-53.0000894E-51.00.00.00100016223.6519978E-43.7519613E-41.02737221.0E-50.0099567280.0041376010.0041575181.00481372.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5600464E-49.4196957E-40.00104187531.10606051.0E-40.00195284210.0040262350.00416567131.0346321.4E-40.0235181320.047178820.0474741941.00626083.1E-40.211790190.340054750.34036491.00091224.7E-4
6.11.9252734E-43.475817E-44.3755042E-41.25884199.0E-58.248562E-40.00148753540.0016173421.08726291.3E-40.0099964680.01775820.0179742931.01216862.2E-40.095585670.150480670.15076951.00191943.4E-4
6.29.4269315E-51.2588769E-42.0587762E-41.63540718.0E-54.039488E-45.393992E-46.5933453E-41.22234981.2E-40.00490699150.0065462930.0067350491.02883411.9E-40.0480004360.065566090.0658557641.0044183.1E-4
6.39.283051E-51.2299135E-42.0298151E-41.65037238.0E-53.9778434E-45.2699726E-46.4693403E-41.22758521.2E-40.00483227470.0063969430.00658572741.02951171.9E-40.0472853850.064228170.064518261.00451663.1E-4
6.49.138826E-51.20087876E-42.0007827E-41.66609888.0E-53.916052E-45.1455956E-46.3449785E-41.23308911.2E-40.00475737450.00624653320.0064353471.03022681.9E-40.0465680920.06288570.063176211.00461963.1E-4
6.59.000255E-51.17187155E-41.9717778E-41.68258878.0E-53.8566816E-45.021334E-46.2207313E-41.23886041.2E-40.00468540470.0060962120.0062850541.03097691.9E-40.0458784030.0615431260.061824661.00457473.0E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.13310314E-41.9330125E-41.70594578.0E-53.7755648E-44.8552497E-46.054667E-41.24703511.2E-40.00458706540.00589518670.00608406641.03203961.9E-40.044935290.059754460.0600365361.00472063.0E-4
6.78.738073E-51.11828944E-41.9182E-41.71529838.0E-53.7443507E-44.7917964E-45.9912214E-41.2503081.2E-40.00454922160.0058185490.00600744361.03246411.9E-40.044572130.0590725240.05935481.00477853.0E-4
6.88.710195E-51.11149355E-41.9114047E-41.71967238.0E-53.7324068E-44.762683E-45.962112E-41.25183881.2E-40.00453474050.005783320.0059722211.03266311.9E-40.044433130.058757970.059040341.00480573.0E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.1046583E-41.90457E-41.72412598.0E-53.7195362E-44.7334E-45.932832E-41.25339761.2E-40.00451913570.00574786080.0059367691.03286581.9E-40.0442833270.058437560.058720031.00483373.0E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.0775292E-41.877443E-41.74235938.0E-53.6668387E-44.617175E-45.8166205E-41.25977921.2E-40.0044552410.0056071010.00579603581.03369561.9E-40.0436697270.0571511540.0574340081.00494923.0E-4
7.17.82589E-59.231748E-51.7231009E-41.86649488.0E-53.3535215E-43.955869E-45.1553943E-41.30322671.2E-40.00407527060.0048057360.00498487061.03727521.8E-40.0400134180.0497336570.0500092321.00554112.9E-4
7.27.690929E-59.008674E-51.7007953E-41.8879538.0E-53.2956956E-43.8602942E-45.059831E-41.31073711.2E-40.0040051290.00468987970.0048690361.03820051.8E-40.03933710.048631690.048907591.00567322.9E-4
7.37.5543794E-58.722294E-51.6721597E-41.91710988.0E-53.2371894E-43.737596E-44.9371476E-41.3209421.2E-40.0039341570.0045411260.0047203091.03945781.8E-40.0386523340.0472224840.047498791.00585112.9E-4
7.47.4214564E-58.447346E-51.644667E-41.9469638.0E-53.1802364E-43.6197942E-44.8193597E-41.33139061.2E-40.0038650650.004398290.00457749841.0407451.8E-40.037985290.0458581520.0461348521.00603392.9E-4
7.56.149578E-55.7850782E-51.3784616E-42.3827888.0E-52.6352672E-42.4790844E-43.6787867E-41.48392981.2E-40.00320371780.0030141180.00318360561.05623131.7E-40.031579230.0323986370.0326598921.00806372.7E-4
7.66.0643448E-55.6467703E-51.3646319E-42.4166598.0E-52.598746E-42.4198205E-43.6195302E-41.49578451.2E-40.00315938280.00294216140.00311166141.05761061.7E-40.0311484170.0316859220.0319473671.00825122.7E-4
7.75.1652263E-54.26525E-51.1264951E-42.64117.0E-52.2134806E-41.8278362E-42.9276352E-41.60169451.1E-40.0026915820.00222312080.0023827651.07181081.6E-40.0265921410.024410330.0246249591.00879252.2E-4
7.84.8090482E-53.963756E-51.09634784E-42.76593167.0E-52.060858E-41.698642E-42.7984552E-41.64746611.1E-40.00250620720.00206613630.00222580581.07727921.6E-40.0247813050.0226694550.0228746941.00905362.1E-4
7.93.970278E-53.07127E-59.0710855E-52.95352916.0E-51.7014367E-41.3161922E-42.2160738E-41.68370079.0E-50.0020695310.00160128680.00174106271.08728971.4E-40.0205036360.0175209660.0177076371.01065411.9E-4
8.02.8982335E-51.7605124E-55.760442E-53.27202584.0E-51.2420409E-47.544835E-51.2544458E-41.6626555.0E-50.00151113579.181968E-49.981233E-41.08704738.0E-50.0150090120.0100959270.0101850181.00882459.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-56.7754063E-66.7754063E-61.00.08.0724014E-52.9037134E-52.9037134E-51.00.09.823717E-43.5346986E-43.6346633E-41.0282811.0E-50.0097804030.00401304760.0040329671.00496382.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Los Alamos extension

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.14.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.24.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.34.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.44.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.54.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.64.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.74.0146506E-64.0566338E-67.405635E-518.2556177.0E-51.7205533E-51.7385462E-51.5738302E-49.0525651.4E-42.0945723E-42.1164854E-45.915681E-42.79504943.8E-40.00209259920.00211457770.0026334781.2453925.2E-4
6.83.6584688E-63.691342E-67.369108E-519.9632237.0E-51.5679057E-51.5819947E-51.3581805E-48.585241.2E-41.9087581E-41.9259176E-45.0253206E-42.60931233.1E-40.00190711940.00192433980.0023734741.23339644.5E-4
6.93.644631E-63.677134E-67.367688E-520.0364957.0E-51.5619753E-51.5759055E-51.3575716E-48.614551.2E-41.901539E-41.9185053E-45.017911E-42.61553123.1E-40.00189991270.00191694040.00236607791.23429914.5E-4
7.03.6318522E-63.6639788E-67.366372E-520.1048457.0E-51.5564989E-51.5702677E-51.3570079E-48.641891.2E-41.8948725E-41.9116423E-45.01105E-42.62133223.1E-40.00189325760.00191008930.00235922981.2351414.5E-4
7.13.5001724E-63.528818E-67.352857E-520.83667.0E-51.5000653E-51.51234235E-51.351216E-48.9345911.2E-41.8261763E-41.8411303E-44.94056E-42.68343833.1E-40.00182467640.00183969460.0022788851.23873024.4E-4
7.22.5204702E-62.5229042E-66.2522755E-524.7820576.0E-51.080197E-51.0812401E-51.0081143E-49.3236869.0E-51.3150605E-41.3163309E-43.5160413E-42.67109232.2E-40.00131428250.00131555670.00161516211.22774033.0E-4
7.32.1399692E-62.131714E-66.2131585E-529.1463056.0E-59.1712645E-69.135885E-69.913506E-510.8511729.0E-51.1165442E-41.1122376E-43.012026E-42.70807811.9E-40.00111598340.00111168410.00137139511.23361932.6E-4
7.41.9660122E-61.9529025E-66.1952785E-531.723446.0E-58.42574E-68.369556E-68.8368884E-510.55837258.0E-51.0257855E-41.01894606E-42.8187627E-42.76635121.8E-40.00102531210.00101848190.00126822741.24521342.5E-4
7.51.7204633E-61.6995307E-65.1699444E-530.4198365.0E-57.373393E-67.283683E-67.728317E-510.6104537.0E-58.976737E-58.867526E-52.4866106E-42.80417631.6E-48.9731114E-48.864017E-40.00111619781.2592462.3E-4
7.61.3717638E-61.3407383E-65.134067E-538.2928355.0E-55.878974E-65.746009E-67.574561E-513.1822997.0E-57.157416E-56.995544E-51.7994775E-42.57231951.1E-47.1551115E-46.9933676E-48.592249E-41.22862821.6E-4
7.78.272564E-77.873448E-74.0787312E-551.8036234.0E-53.5453797E-63.3743304E-66.337413E-518.7812446.0E-54.3164142E-54.10817E-51.2107842E-42.9472598.0E-54.315576E-44.1074125E-45.007043E-41.21902619.0E-5
7.83.9708277E-73.6255278E-73.0362542E-583.7465443.0E-51.7017821E-61.5537968E-65.1553718E-533.179195.0E-52.0719E-51.8917312E-56.8916364E-53.64303165.0E-52.071707E-41.8915707E-42.4914573E-41.31713666.0E-5
7.99.292528E-87.7697386E-81.0077697E-5129.704451.0E-53.9825116E-73.3298875E-73.0332978E-591.09313.0E-54.848697E-64.0541304E-63.405401E-58.3998313.0E-54.8485912E-54.0540577E-58.053896E-51.98662584.0E-5
8.07.880441E-118.1704865E-118.1704865E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.5016356E-103.5016356E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.263241E-94.263241E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2632408E-84.2632408E-81.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.586062E-53.9274382E-51.2927085E-43.291489.0E-51.5367931E-41.683085E-43.0828494E-41.83166591.4E-40.00186943980.00204733360.00229682171.121862.5E-40.0185379140.0202957220.0207757761.0236534.9E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.2988359E-57.298721E-53.1749645.0E-59.0259375E-59.8517965E-51.7851009E-41.81195468.0E-50.00109835390.00119882260.00138859491.15829891.9E-40.010929410.0119263310.0122523951.02733983.3E-4
6.22.1061249E-52.2988359E-57.298721E-53.1749645.0E-59.0259375E-59.8517965E-51.7851009E-41.81195468.0E-50.00109835390.00119882260.00138859491.15829891.9E-40.010929410.0119263310.0122523951.02733983.3E-4
6.31.5158236E-51.6499243E-56.649842E-54.0303925.0E-56.496225E-57.070919E-51.4070424E-41.98990047.0E-57.906284E-48.605554E-40.00101042631.17415611.5E-40.0078782140.0085733860.0088113281.02775362.4E-4
6.41.2341918E-51.3409091E-56.340842E-54.72876365.0E-55.2892858E-55.746631E-51.2746229E-42.2180357.0E-56.437803E-46.9943524E-48.4933033E-41.21430871.5E-40.0064191840.0069731140.00721144021.03417792.4E-4
6.59.061158E-69.815237E-64.9814844E-55.0752574.0E-53.883296E-54.206465E-59.2062546E-52.18859655.0E-54.726887E-45.120217E-46.119705E-41.19520431.0E-40.0047168450.00510891950.0052780511.03310511.7E-4
6.67.5461685E-68.159118E-64.8158792E-55.9024514.0E-53.2340322E-53.49672E-58.496545E-52.42986155.0E-53.936723E-44.256465E-45.156082E-41.21135319.0E-50.0039297560.00424871130.00440803121.03749851.6E-4
6.75.5023775E-65.9255667E-63.592539E-56.06277663.0E-52.3581404E-52.5395057E-56.5394044E-52.57506974.0E-52.8706578E-43.0914397E-43.591285E-41.16168695.0E-50.00286695220.00308743720.00319709771.03551831.1E-4
6.83.7351679E-63.992165E-63.3992044E-58.5146893.0E-51.6007763E-51.710918E-55.7108493E-53.33788634.0E-51.948771E-42.0828666E-42.5827624E-41.24000385.0E-50.00194706290.00208114160.00218093331.04795051.0E-4
6.92.456366E-62.5925383E-62.2592487E-58.7144272.0E-51.0527241E-51.1110831E-53.111061E-52.80002522.0E-51.2816161E-41.35266E-41.5526329E-41.14783682.0E-50.00128087730.00135183950.00141175841.04432396.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.449818E-62.2449769E-59.1638512.0E-59.962172E-61.0499179E-53.0498968E-52.9048912.0E-51.2128269E-41.2782002E-41.4781747E-41.156452.0E-50.00121216520.00127746720.00133739061.04690796.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.3426678E-62.2342621E-59.5372552.0E-59.53497E-61.0039967E-53.0039766E-52.99201852.0E-51.1608207E-41.2222974E-41.422273E-41.16360632.0E-50.00116021440.00122162710.00128155391.04905496.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.247132E-62.2247086E-59.9002132.0E-59.150141E-69.63053E-62.9630337E-53.07670882.0E-51.1139726E-41.17245414E-41.3724307E-41.17056242.0E-50.00111341440.00117183740.00123176711.05114166.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.082142E-61.2082121E-55.80273681.0E-58.482932E-68.9234345E-61.8923345E-52.12063481.0E-51.032748E-41.0863742E-41.1863633E-41.09203931.0E-50.00103226820.00108584480.00113579061.04599715.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.7820928E-61.1782075E-56.611371.0E-57.264777E-67.637518E-61.7637441E-52.3093161.0E-58.844508E-59.298283E-51.029819E-41.10753681.0E-58.840988E-49.294409E-49.694037E-41.04299664.0E-5
7.58.987207E-79.4059027E-79.4059027E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0310947E-64.0310947E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9077487E-54.9077487E-51.00.04.688299E-44.9066765E-45.206529E-41.06111123.0E-5
7.63.8783037E-74.0173785E-74.0173785E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7217325E-61.7217325E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.0961897E-52.0961897E-51.00.02.023439E-42.0959985E-42.1959776E-41.04769991.0E-5
7.76.181804E-86.296266E-86.296266E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.6983994E-72.6983994E-71.00.03.225572E-63.2852965E-63.2852965E-61.00.03.225525E-53.2852487E-53.2852487E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3917351E-91.3917351E-91.00.05.873335E-95.964579E-95.964579E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.261875E-87.261875E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.261873E-77.261873E-71.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.16.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.26.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.36.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.46.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.56.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.66.894797E-67.073243E-61.3707232E-419.3789921.3E-42.9548795E-53.0313562E-51.8030901E-45.948131.5E-43.596972E-43.6900802E-46.6889735E-41.81269043.0E-40.00359115540.00368424410.00416247551.12980454.8E-4
6.76.0867933E-66.2485537E-61.0624793E-417.0036031.0E-42.6085996E-52.6779253E-51.4677604E-45.4809611.2E-43.1755073E-43.2599075E-45.759093E-41.76664292.5E-40.00317097340.0032553390.0036540371.1224754.0E-4
6.85.6530425E-65.8044548E-61.05803876E-418.2280481.0E-42.42271E-52.4876008E-51.4487302E-45.8238051.2E-42.94925E-43.028253E-45.527496E-41.82530842.5E-40.0029453390.0030243260.00342311621.13186094.0E-4
6.94.6015225E-64.7247313E-61.0472426E-422.1651251.0E-41.9720663E-52.0248699E-51.4024627E-46.9261871.2E-42.4007261E-42.465014E-44.4645212E-41.81115442.0E-40.00239813420.00246241970.00277165631.12558253.1E-4
7.04.4875965E-64.608823E-69.460841E-520.5276729.0E-51.9232413E-51.9751958E-51.2974978E-46.56895831.1E-42.3412947E-42.4045495E-44.3040927E-41.78997871.9E-40.00233882950.0024020870.00269139051.12043832.9E-4
7.13.203907E-63.296982E-66.3296786E-519.1984026.0E-51.3730958E-51.412985E-57.4129E-55.24626976.0E-51.6716159E-41.7201797E-42.8199903E-41.6393581.1E-40.00167035890.00171891050.00189860111.10453751.8E-4
7.22.2060601E-62.2764534E-63.2276384E-514.1783643.0E-59.4545085E-69.756195E-63.97559E-54.07493933.0E-51.15102564E-41.18775635E-41.787685E-41.50509426.0E-50.00115042960.00118716450.00128704581.08413431.0E-4
7.31.3765207E-61.4302378E-62.1430209E-514.9836692.0E-55.899361E-66.1295764E-62.6129454E-54.26284842.0E-57.182235E-57.462512E-51.1462213E-41.53597264.0E-57.1799144E-47.460082E-47.8597834E-41.05357874.0E-5
7.41.1245983E-61.1768451E-61.1176833E-59.4972851.0E-54.819698E-65.043613E-61.5043563E-52.98269581.0E-55.8678244E-56.1404324E-59.140248E-51.48853493.0E-55.866275E-46.1388046E-46.4386206E-41.04883943.0E-5
7.58.031682E-78.511703E-78.511703E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.6478677E-63.6478677E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.441194E-55.4411496E-51.22515461.0E-54.1899405E-44.44036E-44.5403154E-41.02251061.0E-5
7.64.8953444E-75.3206094E-75.3206094E-71.00.02.098003E-62.2802594E-62.2802594E-61.00.02.5542888E-52.776184E-53.776156E-51.36019671.0E-52.5539953E-42.775872E-42.8758444E-41.03601471.0E-5
7.76.634529E-86.760766E-86.760766E-81.00.02.843369E-72.8974708E-72.8974708E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5276655E-63.5276655E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.527614E-53.527614E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.44214E-99.44214E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0466315E-84.0466315E-81.00.04.818991E-74.9267726E-74.9267726E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.9267637E-64.9267637E-61.00.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.14.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.24.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.34.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.44.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.54.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.64.6284417E-64.7219182E-64.4721728E-59.4710934.0E-51.9836029E-52.0236645E-58.023543E-53.96485836.0E-52.4147688E-42.4635505E-44.862959E-41.97396372.4E-40.00241214670.00246099150.00282010551.14592253.6E-4
6.74.062321E-64.1400244E-64.413986E-510.6617384.0E-51.7409831E-51.774285E-57.774179E-54.3815846.0E-52.1194408E-42.1599927E-44.1595608E-41.9257292.0E-40.00211742050.00215804130.00246737221.14333883.1E-4
6.84.062321E-64.1400244E-64.413986E-510.6617384.0E-51.7409831E-51.774285E-57.774179E-54.3815846.0E-52.1194408E-42.1599927E-44.1595608E-41.9257292.0E-40.00211742050.00215804130.00246737221.14333883.1E-4
6.93.2936077E-63.351097E-64.3350963E-512.936354.0E-51.4115385E-51.436177E-57.4360905E-55.1776986.0E-51.7184127E-41.7484145E-43.748065E-42.14369342.0E-40.00171708440.00174713040.00204660631.17141013.0E-4
7.03.1687898E-63.2235532E-64.3223423E-513.40862754.0E-51.3580457E-51.381516E-57.381433E-55.3429956.0E-51.6532952E-41.681875E-43.6815388E-42.18894892.0E-40.00165206570.00168069280.00198018851.17819793.0E-4
7.12.9379228E-62.9872583E-64.298714E-514.3901644.0E-51.25910365E-51.2802478E-57.280171E-55.6865336.0E-51.5328509E-41.5585992E-43.5582873E-42.28300362.0E-40.0015317940.00155759420.00184714251.18589462.9E-4
7.22.0020686E-62.0269592E-63.20269E-515.8004653.0E-58.580266E-68.6869395E-63.8686678E-54.453433.0E-51.0445973E-41.057584E-42.1574677E-42.03999641.1E-40.00104410640.00105708510.0012169161.15119961.6E-4
7.31.7364243E-61.7546768E-63.1754626E-518.0971363.0E-57.441797E-67.520022E-63.7519796E-54.98932033.0E-59.0600115E-59.155245E-51.8154421E-41.98295319.0E-59.0563187E-49.1515045E-40.00104503151.14192321.3E-4
7.41.5718434E-61.5860172E-63.158597E-519.9152763.0E-56.7364545E-66.797199E-63.6796995E-55.41355283.0E-58.201325E-58.2752784E-51.7274533E-42.08748679.0E-58.198299E-48.2722266E-49.5711515E-41.15702241.3E-4
7.51.3841119E-61.3931309E-62.1393103E-515.35613252.0E-55.9318945E-65.9705476E-62.5970428E-54.34975672.0E-57.221842E-57.268902E-51.526832E-42.1004998.0E-57.2194956E-47.2665524E-48.465681E-41.16502021.2E-4
7.61.0843726E-61.0843277E-62.1084306E-519.444592.0E-54.647303E-64.6471105E-62.4647017E-55.30372952.0E-55.6579443E-55.6577126E-59.657486E-51.70695954.0E-55.656504E-45.656298E-46.355902E-41.12368587.0E-5
7.75.544814E-75.4526447E-72.0545254E-537.679432.0E-52.3763469E-62.3368457E-62.2336799E-59.5585262.0E-52.8931638E-52.8450726E-55.844987E-52.05442483.0E-52.8927872E-42.84471E-43.244596E-41.14057184.0E-5
7.82.0707465E-71.9562776E-72.0195625E-5103.2349552.0E-58.874625E-78.384044E-72.0838388E-524.8548162.0E-51.08048025E-51.0207526E-53.0207322E-52.95931862.0E-51.0804277E-41.0207062E-41.3206755E-41.29388423.0E-5
7.93.9821284E-83.386149E-81.0033861E-5296.320741.0E-51.7066264E-71.4512065E-71.014512E-569.9081651.0E-52.0778157E-61.7668426E-61.1766825E-56.6598041.0E-52.0777963E-51.7668292E-53.7667938E-52.13195132.0E-5
8.07.880441E-118.1704865E-118.1704865E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.5016356E-103.5016356E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.263241E-94.263241E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2632408E-84.2632408E-81.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-51.7593881E-43.2591244E-41.85241911.5E-43.5633717E-47.538011E-49.336654E-41.23860981.8E-40.0043297780.0091388620.0093667591.02493732.3E-40.0424638280.08793860.08824871.00352633.4E-4
6.18.31567E-51.7593881E-43.2591244E-41.85241911.5E-43.5633717E-47.538011E-49.336654E-41.23860981.8E-40.0043297780.0091388620.0093667591.02493732.3E-40.0424638280.08793860.08824871.00352633.4E-4
6.28.31567E-51.7593881E-43.2591244E-41.85241911.5E-43.5633717E-47.538011E-49.336654E-41.23860981.8E-40.0043297780.0091388620.0093667591.02493732.3E-40.0424638280.08793860.08824871.00352633.4E-4
6.38.31567E-51.7593881E-43.2591244E-41.85241911.5E-43.5633717E-47.538011E-49.336654E-41.23860981.8E-40.0043297780.0091388620.0093667591.02493732.3E-40.0424638280.08793860.08824871.00352633.4E-4
6.48.059055E-51.7184828E-43.218225E-41.8727131.5E-43.4534236E-47.36283E-49.161505E-41.24429121.8E-40.00419643940.0089275370.0091554841.0255332.3E-40.0411807450.08601010.0863208551.0036133.4E-4
6.58.059055E-51.7184828E-43.218225E-41.8727131.5E-43.4534236E-47.36283E-49.161505E-41.24429121.8E-40.00419643940.0089275370.0091554841.0255332.3E-40.0411807450.08601010.0863208551.0036133.4E-4
6.67.619237E-51.6481159E-43.1478686E-41.90998021.5E-43.2649786E-47.0614566E-48.8601856E-41.25472491.8E-40.00396786770.0085637460.0087917761.02662742.3E-40.038977640.082681590.0829843061.00366123.3E-4
6.77.440636E-51.6177126E-43.11747E-41.92708521.5E-43.188454E-46.9312257E-48.729978E-41.25951431.8E-40.00387503460.0084064190.0086344861.027132.3E-40.0380815640.081239980.081543181.00373213.3E-4
6.87.3735864E-51.6035755E-43.103335E-41.93525961.5E-43.1597257E-46.870671E-48.669434E-41.26180321.8E-40.00384018150.008333260.0085613441.02737022.3E-40.037744950.08057360.080877011.00376563.3E-4
6.97.27575E-51.5818556E-42.9816342E-41.88489651.4E-43.117806E-46.777634E-48.4764825E-41.25065491.7E-40.0037893230.0082208490.008439041.02654122.2E-40.0372535620.0795543640.079848911.00370243.2E-4
7.07.102591E-51.5433799E-42.9431639E-41.90696011.4E-43.0436125E-46.612823E-48.3116983E-41.25690631.7E-40.0036993030.00802168250.0082399171.02720572.2E-40.036383250.077742270.0780373961.00379623.2E-4
7.17.028513E-51.528404E-42.92819E-41.91584831.4E-43.0118722E-46.548672E-48.2475593E-41.25942461.7E-40.00366078970.0079441520.0081624041.02747332.2E-40.0360106860.077030350.07732571.00383423.2E-4
7.26.8498244E-51.4929463E-42.7927523E-41.87063131.3E-42.9353087E-46.396787E-47.995763E-41.24996551.6E-40.0035678830.0077605610.0079689311.02684992.1E-40.0351114050.0753416050.075628251.00380463.1E-4
7.36.622592E-51.4248963E-42.724711E-41.9122171.3E-42.8379448E-46.105283E-47.704306E-41.2619081.6E-40.00344972430.00740812160.00761656561.02813732.1E-40.0339666120.072139040.072426681.00398733.1E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.0130556E-42.212934E-42.1844151.2E-42.1877038E-44.3409498E-45.7403423E-41.322371.4E-40.0026602760.0052724030.0054614011.03584671.9E-40.026286540.052423540.0526793861.00488032.7E-4
7.53.9302922E-57.312721E-51.9311842E-42.6408561.2E-41.6843023E-43.1336487E-44.53321E-41.44662361.4E-40.00204870920.0038085790.00399785541.04969741.9E-40.0202992470.0384902730.038749881.00674472.7E-4
7.62.9851626E-55.2113515E-51.521083E-42.9187881.0E-41.2792926E-42.2332459E-43.4329778E-41.53721451.2E-40.00155642590.00271559930.00288513751.06243131.7E-40.01545569950.0279045120.0281378141.00836072.4E-4
7.72.1135214E-53.521366E-51.2521048E-43.55573639.0E-59.0576345E-51.5090697E-42.6089037E-41.72881591.1E-40.00110220910.00183574580.0019954521.0869981.6E-40.0109675820.0192831550.0194989131.01118892.2E-4
7.81.883379E-53.0013975E-51.1001158E-43.6653458.0E-58.0713755E-51.2862499E-42.2861212E-41.77735391.0E-49.822468E-40.00156488530.00170466621.08932341.4E-40.00977916550.0165855120.016772361.01126581.9E-4
7.91.5156185E-52.1294489E-58.129321E-53.81757046.0E-56.495346E-59.12589E-51.7125161E-41.87654678.0E-57.9052144E-40.00111051120.0012203891.09894351.1E-40.0078771520.01198048050.0121188031.01154571.4E-4
8.01.1405907E-51.5039052E-55.503845E-53.6597024.0E-54.8881542E-56.445149E-51.1444827E-41.77572735.0E-55.9497025E-47.8441465E-48.643519E-41.10190698.0E-50.0059337980.0085249050.0086141381.01046739.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-62.7353246E-62.7353246E-61.00.01.8647626E-51.1722767E-51.1722767E-51.00.02.2701119E-41.4271536E-41.4271536E-41.00.00.00226779420.00167863620.00167863621.00.0
8.22.3042528E-67.4935923E-77.4935923E-71.00.09.875332E-63.2115356E-63.2115356E-61.00.01.2022553E-43.909975E-53.909975E-51.00.00.00120160514.977215E-44.977215E-41.00.0
8.35.202968E-76.5346896E-86.5346896E-81.00.02.2298414E-62.800581E-72.800581E-71.00.02.714798E-53.4097025E-63.4097025E-61.00.02.7144665E-44.5695724E-54.5695724E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.16.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.26.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.36.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.46.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.56.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.66.0213506E-66.2115105E-66.6211134E-510.6594276.0E-52.5805533E-52.6620512E-51.1661812E-44.38076169.0E-53.1413708E-43.2406094E-45.139994E-41.58611941.9E-40.00313693380.00323632080.0035552851.09855773.2E-4
6.75.313309E-65.485781E-65.5485507E-510.1144225.0E-52.2771126E-52.3510302E-51.0350842E-44.40268378.0E-52.772032E-42.8620436E-44.4615858E-41.5588811.6E-40.00276857660.00285875660.00314792761.10115272.9E-4
6.85.313309E-65.485781E-65.5485507E-510.1144225.0E-52.2771126E-52.3510302E-51.0350842E-44.40268378.0E-52.772032E-42.8620436E-44.4615858E-41.5588811.6E-40.00276857660.00285875660.00314792761.10115272.9E-4
6.94.744377E-64.9030173E-64.4902823E-59.1582014.0E-52.0332885E-52.1012784E-59.1011316E-54.33123547.0E-52.4752476E-42.558043E-44.0576592E-41.58623581.5E-40.00247249220.00255546180.00283474641.10928932.8E-4
7.04.722209E-64.8802035E-64.488001E-59.196344.0E-52.0237881E-52.091501E-59.091355E-54.34680847.0E-52.4636835E-42.546142E-44.0457599E-41.58897661.5E-40.0024609540.00254358820.0028228761.10980072.8E-4
7.14.611174E-64.7658714E-64.4765682E-59.3929694.0E-51.9762025E-52.0425025E-59.042359E-54.42709887.0E-52.4057609E-42.4864997E-43.8861518E-41.56290041.4E-40.0024031580.00248408060.002753411.10842222.7E-4
7.24.043994E-64.1805297E-64.4180364E-510.5681264.0E-51.7331287E-51.7916453E-58.79152E-54.90695337.0E-52.10988E-42.1811451E-43.5808395E-41.64172471.4E-40.0021078780.00217935120.00242880641.11446312.5E-4
7.32.1233036E-62.2094355E-62.2209391E-510.0520672.0E-59.099841E-69.468975E-62.9468785E-53.11214112.0E-51.1078493E-41.1527872E-41.6527296E-41.43368145.0E-50.00110729710.00115219470.00126206791.09535991.1E-4
7.41.9051884E-61.9830234E-61.1983004E-56.04279471.0E-58.165067E-68.498645E-61.849856E-52.17664811.0E-59.940516E-51.0346613E-41.2346407E-41.193282.0E-59.93607E-40.00103418480.00110411251.06761617.0E-5
7.51.2408497E-61.2917134E-61.2917134E-61.00.05.317916E-65.535903E-65.535903E-61.00.06.4743705E-56.739755E-57.739688E-51.14836341.0E-56.4724847E-46.737733E-47.337328E-41.08899076.0E-5
7.66.5440025E-76.8199114E-76.8199114E-71.00.02.8045695E-62.9228158E-62.9228158E-61.00.03.4145098E-53.5584715E-54.5584362E-51.28100961.0E-53.4139853E-43.5579156E-44.0577378E-41.14048175.0E-5
7.73.985963E-74.1527994E-74.1527994E-71.00.01.7082689E-61.7797701E-61.7797701E-61.00.02.0797976E-52.1668497E-52.1668497E-51.00.02.0796029E-42.1666498E-42.4665848E-41.13843263.0E-5
7.83.706329E-83.8313313E-83.8313313E-81.00.01.5884267E-71.641999E-71.641999E-71.00.01.9339077E-61.999132E-61.999132E-61.00.01.933891E-51.9991154E-51.9991154E-51.00.0

North Salt Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.849599E-61.9162442E-69.1916074E-547.9667859.0E-57.926829E-68.21246E-61.08211636E-413.176521.0E-49.650487E-59.998404E-52.9996404E-43.00011922.0E-49.646297E-49.995801E-40.00129928021.2998263.0E-4
6.11.849599E-61.9162442E-69.1916074E-547.9667859.0E-57.926829E-68.21246E-61.08211636E-413.176521.0E-49.650487E-59.998404E-52.9996404E-43.00011922.0E-49.646297E-49.995801E-40.00129928021.2998263.0E-4
6.21.849599E-61.9162442E-69.1916074E-547.9667859.0E-57.926829E-68.21246E-61.08211636E-413.176521.0E-49.650487E-59.998404E-52.9996404E-43.00011922.0E-49.646297E-49.995801E-40.00129928021.2998263.0E-4
6.31.849599E-61.9162442E-69.1916074E-547.9667859.0E-57.926829E-68.21246E-61.08211636E-413.176521.0E-49.650487E-59.998404E-52.9996404E-43.00011922.0E-49.646297E-49.995801E-40.00129928021.2998263.0E-4
6.41.7803909E-61.846804E-67.1846676E-538.9032487.0E-57.630225E-67.914861E-68.791423E-511.1074888.0E-59.289402E-59.63611E-52.7634375E-42.86779361.8E-49.28552E-49.6338213E-40.00124311241.29036272.8E-4
6.55.9157696E-76.174277E-73.0617408E-549.5886573.0E-52.5353274E-62.6461162E-64.264601E-516.1164554.0E-53.0867173E-53.2216027E-51.1221345E-43.48315628.0E-53.0862886E-43.2211732E-44.4207866E-41.37241511.2E-4
6.65.9157696E-76.174277E-73.0617408E-549.5886573.0E-52.5353274E-62.6461162E-64.264601E-516.1164554.0E-53.0867173E-53.2216027E-51.1221345E-43.48315628.0E-53.0862886E-43.2211732E-44.4207866E-41.37241511.2E-4
6.75.9157696E-76.174277E-73.0617408E-549.5886573.0E-52.5353274E-62.6461162E-64.264601E-516.1164554.0E-53.0867173E-53.2216027E-51.1221345E-43.48315628.0E-53.0862886E-43.2211732E-44.4207866E-41.37241511.2E-4
6.84.7536267E-74.964154E-73.04964E-561.433233.0E-52.037267E-62.1274927E-64.212741E-519.8014344.0E-52.4803443E-52.5901942E-59.5900126E-53.70243027.0E-52.4800675E-42.5899155E-43.5896566E-41.38601291.0E-4
6.93.6345344E-73.797009E-71.0379697E-527.336511.0E-51.5576567E-61.6272886E-62.1627257E-513.2903622.0E-51.8964305E-51.9812076E-54.9811482E-52.5141983.0E-51.8962687E-41.9810472E-42.4809482E-41.25234175.0E-5
7.02.4087325E-72.5184985E-71.0251847E-540.7061841.0E-51.0323135E-61.0793561E-62.1079335E-519.5295452.0E-51.25683455E-51.3141094E-53.314083E-52.52192332.0E-51.2567634E-41.3140438E-41.7139912E-41.30436384.0E-5
7.18.551555E-88.894192E-88.894192E-81.00.03.6649516E-73.8117958E-73.8117958E-71.00.04.4620692E-64.6408527E-64.6408527E-61.00.04.46198E-54.6407673E-56.640674E-51.43094332.0E-5
7.22.475279E-82.5585278E-82.5585278E-81.00.01.0608338E-71.0965119E-71.0965119E-71.00.01.2915643E-61.3350025E-61.3350025E-61.00.01.2915569E-51.3349951E-51.3349951E-51.00.0
7.31.5212393E-81.568923E-81.568923E-81.00.06.519597E-86.7239554E-86.7239554E-81.00.07.9376065E-78.1864124E-78.1864124E-71.00.07.937579E-68.1863855E-68.1863855E-61.00.0
7.48.182E-98.391506E-98.391506E-91.00.03.5065714E-83.5963602E-83.5963602E-81.00.04.26925E-74.3785676E-74.3785676E-71.00.04.269242E-64.3785594E-64.3785594E-61.00.0
7.55.479913E-95.6283973E-95.6283973E-91.00.02.3485342E-82.4121704E-82.4121704E-81.00.02.85934E-72.9368172E-72.9368172E-71.00.02.8593363E-62.9368136E-62.9368136E-61.00.0
7.62.6813562E-102.7543523E-102.7543523E-101.00.01.1491527E-91.1804369E-91.1804369E-91.00.01.3990933E-81.4371818E-81.4371818E-81.00.01.3990932E-71.4371818E-71.4371818E-71.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-57.737207E-51.9736278E-42.55082731.2E-42.8631336E-43.315552E-44.615121E-41.39196161.3E-40.0034802940.00402970430.00421893881.04695991.9E-40.034262910.039620420.039889331.00678712.8E-4
6.16.681379E-57.737207E-51.9736278E-42.55082731.2E-42.8631336E-43.315552E-44.615121E-41.39196161.3E-40.0034802940.00402970430.00421893881.04695991.9E-40.034262910.039620420.039889331.00678712.8E-4
6.23.9400576E-54.466584E-58.4664054E-51.8954994.0E-51.6884868E-41.914113E-42.3140364E-41.20893414.0E-50.00205379450.00232799840.00241778881.03856989.0E-50.0203491670.0230430460.023170051.00551161.3E-4
6.33.2590255E-53.6652036E-54.665167E-51.27282621.0E-51.3966505E-41.5707086E-41.6706929E-41.06365551.0E-50.00169909560.00191069060.00195061421.02089494.0E-50.016861630.0189463740.0190052371.00310686.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.3012228E-54.3011896E-51.30290811.0E-51.2622811E-41.4147344E-41.5147202E-41.07067471.0E-50.00153574380.00172110360.00176103471.02320094.0E-50.0152517390.0170807950.017139771.00345276.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.1240204E-54.123989E-51.32009031.0E-51.1960178E-41.3387986E-41.4387851E-41.07468381.0E-50.0014551790.0016287930.00165874421.01838853.0E-50.0144568680.016171430.0162107831.00243354.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5025554E-53.5025303E-51.39958161.0E-59.639138E-51.07248045E-41.1724697E-41.09323181.0E-50.00117293310.00130497680.00131496371.0076531.0E-50.0116676150.0129747560.0129944971.00152152.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.204229E-53.204207E-51.45366331.0E-58.512331E-59.44636E-51.04462655E-41.10585091.0E-50.00103588360.00114949820.00115948661.00868941.0E-50.0103106820.0114367390.011456511.00172882.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.847659E-52.8476405E-51.54121541.0E-57.155907E-57.918303E-58.918224E-51.12627971.0E-58.7088346E-49.6363586E-49.736263E-41.01036741.0E-50.0086747840.0095955440.0096153521.00206432.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.6820724E-52.6820557E-51.59449471.0E-56.522015E-57.208688E-58.208615E-51.13871151.0E-57.93766E-48.773126E-48.8730385E-41.01138841.0E-50.0079093670.0087393870.0087592121.00226842.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.36764365E-51.36764365E-51.00.05.3111595E-55.8612022E-55.8612022E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.1337493E-47.1337493E-41.00.00.00644564540.0071115940.00712152341.00139621.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.206235E-51.206235E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.1694802E-55.1694802E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.292094E-46.292094E-41.00.00.00568905850.0062749860.00628492331.00158361.0E-5
7.29.5798805E-61.0570342E-51.0570342E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.530072E-54.530072E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.514035E-45.514035E-41.00.00.00498619630.00550103930.00551098451.00180781.0E-5
7.38.0167365E-68.851871E-68.851871E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.7936075E-53.7936075E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.6178055E-44.6178055E-41.00.00.00417429860.0046088760.0046088761.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.273467E-63.273467E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4029096E-51.4029096E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7079564E-41.7079564E-41.00.00.0015423070.00170711290.00170711291.00.0

Redondo Canyon alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0346246E-51.0788993E-56.0788454E-55.6343035.0E-54.43403E-54.6238154E-51.4623353E-43.16261631.0E-45.3970946E-45.6288065E-47.32785E-41.30184781.7E-40.00538400560.0056220570.00590048261.04952382.8E-4
6.11.0346246E-51.0788993E-56.0788454E-55.6343035.0E-54.43403E-54.6238154E-51.4623353E-43.16261631.0E-45.3970946E-45.6288065E-47.32785E-41.30184781.7E-40.00538400560.0056220570.00590048261.04952382.8E-4
6.21.0346246E-51.0788993E-56.0788454E-55.6343035.0E-54.43403E-54.6238154E-51.4623353E-43.16261631.0E-45.3970946E-45.6288065E-47.32785E-41.30184781.7E-40.00538400560.0056220570.00590048261.04952382.8E-4
6.33.2052794E-63.157549E-63.3157456E-510.5010113.0E-51.373684E-51.35323035E-55.3531763E-53.955854.0E-51.6723319E-41.6474714E-42.147389E-41.30344555.0E-50.0016710740.00164662290.00171650761.04244127.0E-5
6.43.2052794E-63.157549E-63.3157456E-510.5010113.0E-51.373684E-51.35323035E-55.3531763E-53.955854.0E-51.6723319E-41.6474714E-42.147389E-41.30344555.0E-50.0016710740.00164662290.00171650761.04244127.0E-5
6.53.2052794E-63.157549E-63.3157456E-510.5010113.0E-51.373684E-51.35323035E-55.3531763E-53.955854.0E-51.6723319E-41.6474714E-42.147389E-41.30344555.0E-50.0016710740.00164662290.00171650761.04244127.0E-5
6.61.948328E-61.7793378E-62.1779302E-512.2401162.0E-58.349951E-67.6257197E-63.762549E-54.9340253.0E-51.016559E-49.284061E-51.328369E-41.43080594.0E-50.00101609419.2815823E-49.681211E-41.04305614.0E-5
6.71.948328E-61.7793378E-62.1779302E-512.2401162.0E-58.349951E-67.6257197E-63.762549E-54.9340253.0E-51.016559E-49.284061E-51.328369E-41.43080594.0E-50.00101609419.2815823E-49.681211E-41.04305614.0E-5
6.81.1278219E-68.741982E-71.087419E-512.4390441.0E-54.8335132E-63.7465604E-61.3746523E-53.66910481.0E-55.8846435E-54.5613822E-56.561291E-51.43844352.0E-55.8830855E-44.5608424E-44.760751E-41.04383162.0E-5
6.91.1278219E-68.741982E-71.087419E-512.4390441.0E-54.8335132E-63.7465604E-61.3746523E-53.66910481.0E-55.8846435E-54.5613822E-56.561291E-51.43844352.0E-55.8830855E-44.5608424E-44.760751E-41.04383162.0E-5
7.01.1278219E-68.741982E-71.087419E-512.4390441.0E-54.8335132E-63.7465604E-61.3746523E-53.66910481.0E-55.8846435E-54.5613822E-56.561291E-51.43844352.0E-55.8830855E-44.5608424E-44.760751E-41.04383162.0E-5
7.11.0545139E-68.3035513E-71.0830347E-513.043031.0E-54.5193374E-63.5586622E-61.3558627E-53.81003481.0E-55.5021545E-54.3326254E-56.332539E-51.46159392.0E-55.500792E-44.3321747E-44.532088E-41.04614622.0E-5
7.21.0545139E-68.3035513E-71.0830347E-513.043031.0E-54.5193374E-63.5586622E-61.3558627E-53.81003481.0E-55.5021545E-54.3326254E-56.332539E-51.46159392.0E-55.500792E-44.3321747E-44.532088E-41.04614622.0E-5
7.39.505161E-85.6389784E-85.6389784E-81.00.04.0736398E-72.4167048E-72.4167048E-71.00.04.959645E-62.9423354E-62.9423354E-61.00.04.9595343E-52.9423074E-52.9423074E-51.00.0
7.43.9520785E-82.5499725E-82.5499725E-81.00.01.6937479E-71.09284535E-71.09284535E-71.00.02.062136E-61.3305387E-61.3305387E-61.00.02.062117E-51.3305331E-51.3305331E-51.00.0
7.55.6133214E-93.5435619E-93.5435619E-91.00.02.4057092E-81.5186695E-81.5186695E-81.00.02.9289507E-71.8489798E-71.8489798E-71.00.02.9289467E-61.8489785E-61.8489785E-61.00.0
7.64.1064334E-92.4531495E-92.4531495E-91.00.01.7599E-81.0513498E-81.0513498E-81.00.02.142678E-71.2800183E-71.2800183E-71.00.02.1426758E-61.2800177E-61.2800177E-61.00.0
7.71.361975E-95.8449734E-105.8449734E-101.00.05.8370353E-92.5049887E-92.5049887E-91.00.07.1065905E-83.049824E-83.049824E-81.00.07.106588E-73.0498236E-73.0498236E-71.00.0
7.81.361975E-95.8449734E-105.8449734E-101.00.05.8370353E-92.5049887E-92.5049887E-91.00.07.1065905E-83.049824E-83.049824E-81.00.07.106588E-73.0498236E-73.0498236E-71.00.0

Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.516028E-67.750012E-68.7749395E-511.3224868.0E-53.221115E-53.3213913E-51.5320993E-44.61282351.2E-43.9210016E-44.04305E-45.542443E-41.3708571.5E-40.00391409030.0040357630.0042847541.06169622.5E-4
6.17.199952E-67.425684E-68.742509E-511.7733388.0E-53.0856572E-53.1823976E-51.5182016E-44.7706221.2E-43.75614E-43.873886E-45.373305E-41.38705811.5E-40.00374979760.00386719730.00411623061.06439632.5E-4
6.26.3721413E-66.573029E-67.657257E-511.6495097.0E-52.7308892E-52.8169823E-51.3816672E-44.9047781.1E-43.3243504E-43.4291396E-44.8286596E-41.40812561.4E-40.00331938150.0034238870.00366306541.06985582.4E-4
6.36.016345E-66.206103E-66.620573E-510.6678426.0E-52.578408E-52.6597316E-51.2659466E-44.7596781.0E-43.1387596E-43.2377453E-44.4373565E-41.37050831.2E-40.003134330.0032330630.00345235181.06782692.2E-4
6.45.8104883E-65.9933354E-66.599298E-511.011066.0E-52.4901856E-52.5685473E-51.256829E-44.89315131.0E-43.031379E-43.1267607E-44.3263854E-41.38366381.2E-40.00302724730.0031223950.00334170791.07023872.2E-4
6.55.476925E-65.6466583E-66.5646316E-511.6256946.0E-52.3472323E-52.419974E-51.2419732E-45.13217541.0E-42.8573806E-42.945923E-44.1455694E-41.40722261.2E-40.00285370930.00294204870.0031514311.07116882.1E-4
6.65.222387E-65.38198E-66.538166E-512.1482536.0E-52.2381464E-52.3065426E-51.2306312E-45.33539341.0E-42.7246025E-42.8078567E-44.0075195E-41.42725231.2E-40.00272126450.00280433870.00300377771.07111812.0E-4
6.75.0337076E-65.185719E-66.5185406E-512.5701786.0E-52.1572854E-52.2224322E-51.222221E-45.4994751.0E-42.6261783E-42.7054778E-43.8051803E-41.40647241.1E-40.0026230770.00270221340.00289171.07012271.9E-4
6.84.5675624E-64.6930472E-66.4692766E-513.7848116.0E-51.9575122E-52.0112904E-51.201109E-45.97183231.0E-42.3830103E-42.4484727E-43.448228E-41.40831781.0E-40.00238045650.00244579420.0026253541.07341581.8E-4
6.94.2802412E-64.3912096E-66.4390944E-514.6636016.0E-51.8343762E-51.8819335E-59.881783E-55.25086748.0E-52.2331243E-42.2910145E-43.0908312E-41.34911028.0E-50.00223088150.00228866890.00244830271.06974961.6E-4
7.03.9794063E-64.0738128E-66.407357E-515.7281586.0E-51.7054486E-51.745908E-59.745768E-55.58206278.0E-52.0761859E-42.125437E-42.925267E-41.37631328.0E-50.00207424720.00212341730.00227309881.07049081.5E-4
7.13.7730424E-63.8577937E-66.3857566E-516.552876.0E-51.6170083E-51.6533299E-59.653198E-55.838648.0E-51.9685295E-42.0127442E-42.812583E-41.39738738.0E-50.00196678680.00201093380.00216063231.07444231.5E-4
7.23.424985E-63.493132E-66.3492924E-518.1765026.0E-51.4678424E-51.4970481E-59.4969284E-56.34376968.0E-51.7869516E-41.8225047E-42.622359E-41.43887648.0E-50.00178551530.00182102180.0019507851.07125851.3E-4
7.32.6966375E-62.722684E-66.272252E-523.0370186.0E-51.15569665E-51.1668594E-59.166766E-57.855938.0E-51.4069698E-41.4205591E-42.2204455E-41.56307858.0E-50.00140607940.0014196550.0015294991.07737361.1E-4
7.42.215957E-62.2195045E-65.2219395E-523.52755.0E-59.496924E-69.512128E-67.951146E-58.3589567.0E-51.1561892E-41.1580404E-41.8579593E-41.60439947.0E-50.00115558780.00115744050.00125732481.08629751.0E-4
7.51.2040218E-61.2056777E-63.120564E-525.8822423.0E-55.160083E-65.16718E-65.516692E-510.6764085.0E-56.2822204E-56.290862E-51.1290547E-41.79475375.0E-56.280445E-46.289099E-47.088596E-41.12712428.0E-5
7.66.6157446E-76.591372E-72.0659125E-531.3426782.0E-52.835316E-62.8248705E-64.282476E-515.1599014.0E-53.4519428E-53.4392273E-57.43909E-52.1630124.0E-53.4514067E-43.4387098E-44.0385034E-41.1744246.0E-5
7.72.6012302E-72.406399E-71.02406375E-542.555861.0E-51.1148124E-61.0313136E-61.1031303E-510.69636251.0E-51.3572758E-51.255618E-52.2556054E-51.79641061.0E-51.3571928E-41.2555576E-41.4555325E-41.15927182.0E-5
7.82.8323132E-82.0014925E-81.0020015E-5500.627141.0E-51.2138484E-78.577825E-81.0085778E-5117.5796661.0E-51.4778595E-61.0443497E-61.1044339E-510.5753261.0E-51.4778497E-51.0443457E-52.0443353E-51.95752741.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-42.569786E-43.569529E-41.38903751.0E-45.110118E-40.00110087520.0012207431.10888421.2E-40.00620383540.013321580.0134893161.01259121.7E-40.0603347530.124482020.1247009041.00175832.5E-4
6.11.1925945E-42.569786E-43.569529E-41.38903751.0E-45.110118E-40.00110087520.0012207431.10888421.2E-40.00620383540.013321580.0134893161.01259121.7E-40.0603347530.124482020.1247009041.00175832.5E-4
6.21.07432395E-42.3247252E-43.3244927E-41.43005841.0E-44.603433E-49.95933E-40.00111581341.120371.2E-40.0055902860.0120586830.0122266331.01392771.7E-40.054517310.1134894940.113711121.00195292.5E-4
6.31.0718766E-42.3193125E-43.3190806E-41.43106221.0E-44.592948E-49.93615E-40.00111349571.12065111.2E-40.0055775860.0120307740.01219872851.01396051.7E-40.0543965550.113252010.113473691.00195742.5E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.2412052E-43.240981E-41.44608861.0E-44.4375064E-49.601654E-40.00108005021.12485851.2E-40.00538928850.011627940.0117959631.014451.7E-40.0526044960.109744460.109967021.0020282.5E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.2135138E-43.2132925E-41.45167041.0E-44.382655E-49.4830635E-40.00106819251.12642131.2E-40.00532283540.0114850870.0116531351.01463171.7E-40.0519713160.108493910.1087167861.00205432.5E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.1907069E-43.190488E-41.45637371.0E-44.3350324E-49.38539E-40.00105842631.12773841.2E-40.00526513670.0113674150.0115354831.0147851.7E-40.0514212470.10746420.107687341.00207642.5E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.1768987E-43.176681E-41.4592691.0E-44.3067214E-49.326255E-40.00105251361.1285491.2E-40.0052308340.0112961670.0114642471.01487931.7E-40.0510940850.106842450.107065741.00208992.5E-4
6.89.976819E-52.1586502E-43.158434E-41.46315251.0E-44.2750788E-49.248102E-40.00104469921.12963641.2E-40.00519249360.0112019980.01137009451.01500581.7E-40.0507282950.106020410.106243911.0021082.5E-4
6.99.77719E-52.115913E-43.0157226E-41.42525839.0E-54.1895514E-49.0650714E-40.00101640741.12123491.1E-40.00508885550.0109814270.0111396691.014411.6E-40.0497388880.104065960.1042809861.00206632.4E-4
7.08.500761E-51.8463642E-42.746198E-41.48735459.0E-53.6426744E-47.91061E-49.009739E-41.13894381.1E-40.00442594060.00958906950.0097475351.01652561.6E-40.043388230.0916738660.091891861.0023782.4E-4
7.18.319876E-51.8168509E-42.7166874E-41.49527269.0E-53.5651738E-47.7842E-48.883344E-41.14120191.1E-40.0043319630.009436510.0095951.01679541.6E-40.0424848460.090271630.090489961.00241862.4E-4
7.27.563917E-51.6489608E-42.5488125E-41.54570839.0E-53.2412758E-47.06508E-48.1643026E-41.15558531.1E-40.00393911450.0085681980.0087268281.01851371.6E-40.038700180.082524040.082735061.0025572.3E-4
7.37.082985E-51.5108388E-42.4107029E-41.59560569.0E-53.0352117E-46.4734346E-47.5727224E-41.16981531.1E-40.00368910960.0078532810.0080120241.02021361.6E-40.036284650.0760648550.076277361.00279382.3E-4
7.45.146215E-59.922378E-51.8921484E-41.90695069.0E-52.2053342E-44.25176E-45.351292E-41.25860641.1E-40.00268168840.0051643340.0053235081.03082171.6E-40.026495570.0512322670.0514411.00407422.2E-4
7.54.0285166E-57.30683E-51.6306172E-42.23163449.0E-51.7263928E-43.1311245E-44.2307802E-41.35120141.1E-40.0020998570.0038055170.00396490841.04188421.6E-40.0208012540.0382693630.038480941.00552872.2E-4
7.63.1168736E-55.314526E-51.2314154E-42.31707487.0E-51.3357346E-42.277456E-43.177251E-41.39508789.0E-50.00162504370.002769290.00290890221.05041441.4E-40.0161321160.028223930.0284085681.00654181.9E-4
7.72.2100989E-53.5740675E-59.573853E-52.67869956.0E-59.4715084E-51.5316534E-42.3315308E-41.52223138.0E-50.0011525460.00186319530.00199295321.06964271.3E-40.0114658670.0193471670.0195138771.00861681.7E-4
7.81.7484861E-52.8360724E-58.8359026E-53.1155426.0E-57.493296E-51.215403E-42.0153058E-41.65813798.0E-59.1192697E-40.00147874970.00159857221.08102971.2E-40.0090819380.0155477650.0157052781.01013091.6E-4
7.91.3967285E-51.9708821E-55.9708032E-53.0295084.0E-55.985842E-58.4463645E-51.4445858E-41.71030496.0E-57.2853256E-40.00102786010.00111776751.08747059.0E-50.00726148770.0109983730.01110716351.00989151.1E-4
8.01.1887396E-51.5612382E-54.5611912E-52.92152173.0E-55.094499E-56.69085E-51.0690582E-41.59779144.0E-56.200787E-48.143067E-48.8424975E-41.08589277.0E-50.0061835130.0087782330.0088476191.00790437.0E-5
8.15.100864E-63.5009464E-63.5009464E-61.00.02.1860664E-51.500397E-51.500397E-51.00.02.6612106E-41.8265804E-41.8265804E-41.00.00.0026580260.00206708810.00206708811.00.0
8.22.3004484E-67.808399E-77.808399E-71.00.09.859027E-63.3464526E-63.3464526E-61.00.01.2002704E-44.07423E-54.07423E-51.00.00.00119962235.0380256E-45.0380256E-41.00.0
8.31.0424446E-71.2012623E-81.2012623E-81.00.04.4676187E-75.148267E-85.148267E-81.00.05.439312E-66.268013E-76.268013E-71.00.05.4391792E-56.842574E-66.842574E-61.00.0

Pleito

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.11.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.21.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.31.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.41.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.51.6763008E-51.729663E-58.729542E-55.04696137.0E-57.183948E-57.41267E-51.8411854E-42.48383571.1E-48.742947E-49.0218795E-40.00105205261.16611241.5E-40.008708630.0091269060.0093548071.02497022.3E-4
6.69.910213E-69.880206E-66.9879614E-57.0726886.0E-54.247165E-54.234307E-51.1234011E-42.6530937.0E-55.169696E-45.1540806E-45.953668E-41.15513688.0E-50.00515768630.00527780130.00538722051.0207321.1E-4
6.79.910213E-69.880206E-66.9879614E-57.0726886.0E-54.247165E-54.234307E-51.1234011E-42.6530937.0E-55.169696E-45.1540806E-45.953668E-41.15513688.0E-50.00515768630.00527780130.00538722051.0207321.1E-4
6.88.300162E-68.164309E-64.8163984E-55.89933354.0E-53.557164E-53.4989433E-57.4988035E-52.14316234.0E-54.3299864E-44.2591398E-44.6589694E-41.09387564.0E-50.0043215590.00438654840.0044562411.01588797.0E-5
6.98.183114E-68.040127E-64.8039805E-55.9750064.0E-53.5070017E-53.4457236E-57.445586E-52.16081934.0E-54.2689382E-44.1943698E-44.594202E-41.0953264.0E-50.00426074680.00432203150.0043917291.0161267.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-66.9777693E-64.697749E-56.7324514.0E-53.0749135E-52.9904384E-56.990319E-52.33755664.0E-53.743064E-43.640252E-44.0401064E-41.10984254.0E-50.00373676540.00376928850.00382906251.01585826.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-66.9694397E-64.6969162E-56.73930264.0E-53.0716128E-52.9868685E-56.986749E-52.33915524.0E-53.7390468E-43.6359075E-44.0357618E-41.10997384.0E-50.00373276180.00376495860.00382473271.01587646.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-66.8540453E-64.6853773E-56.83592944.0E-53.0278077E-52.937415E-56.9372974E-52.36170154.0E-53.6857324E-43.5757176E-43.9755745E-41.11182574.0E-50.00367962550.00370463940.00376441731.01613596.0E-5
7.37.02082E-66.815862E-64.681559E-56.86862334.0E-53.008888E-52.921051E-56.9209345E-52.36933024.0E-53.6627054E-43.555801E-43.9556588E-41.11245234.0E-50.00365667440.00368454730.0037443261.01622436.0E-5
7.46.987146E-66.785375E-64.6785102E-56.8949924.0E-52.9944567E-52.9079854E-56.907869E-52.37548284.0E-53.6451413E-43.5398986E-43.939757E-41.11295764.0E-50.00363916790.00366856270.00372834251.01629526.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-66.7499745E-64.6749705E-56.9259084.0E-52.9783041E-52.8928143E-56.892699E-52.38269664.0E-53.625482E-43.521434E-43.921293E-41.11355014.0E-50.00361957260.00365009720.0037098781.01637796.0E-5
7.66.92694E-66.722972E-64.6722704E-56.94970944.0E-52.9686547E-52.8812421E-56.881127E-52.388254.0E-53.6137376E-43.5073492E-43.9072087E-41.11400634.0E-50.00360786660.0036358930.0036956751.01644226.0E-5
7.76.395867E-65.962456E-64.5962217E-57.70860534.0E-52.741057E-52.5553132E-56.555211E-52.56532574.0E-53.336726E-43.1106506E-43.5105261E-41.12855044.0E-50.00333172010.00323534940.00329515551.01848526.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-65.4354305E-64.5435212E-58.3590834.0E-52.5141611E-52.3294495E-56.329356E-52.7171044.0E-53.060561E-42.835736E-43.2356227E-41.14101684.0E-50.00305634950.00295062920.0030104521.02027466.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-63.4146035E-64.3414468E-512.7143514.0E-51.592882E-51.46339335E-55.4633347E-53.7333334.0E-51.9391612E-41.7815361E-42.1814648E-41.22448544.0E-50.00193746990.00185575850.00190566561.02689315.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-65.717053E-75.717053E-71.00.04.6730665E-62.4501635E-62.4501635E-61.00.05.68931E-52.9830335E-52.9830335E-51.00.05.6878536E-43.1325972E-43.2325657E-41.03191241.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-72.1444126E-82.1444126E-81.00.01.1526245E-69.19034E-89.19034E-81.00.01.4033113E-51.1189234E-61.1189234E-61.00.01.4032227E-41.3199692E-51.3199692E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-93.4907133E-103.4907133E-101.00.02.2700148E-81.4960195E-91.4960195E-91.00.02.7637427E-71.821404E-81.821404E-81.00.02.7637393E-62.303528E-72.303528E-71.00.0

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.4267689E-51.6996339E-57.699532E-54.5301126.0E-51.0400023E-47.283943E-51.6283288E-42.23550449.0E-50.00126546738.8646146E-40.00100635521.13524961.2E-40.01258285250.0089076620.0091257021.02447782.2E-4
6.12.4267689E-51.6996339E-57.699532E-54.5301126.0E-51.0400023E-47.283943E-51.6283288E-42.23550449.0E-50.00126546738.8646146E-40.00100635521.13524961.2E-40.01258285250.0089076620.0091257021.02447782.2E-4
6.22.4267689E-51.6996339E-57.699532E-54.5301126.0E-51.0400023E-47.283943E-51.6283288E-42.23550449.0E-50.00126546738.8646146E-40.00100635521.13524961.2E-40.01258285250.0089076620.0091257021.02447782.2E-4
6.32.4170902E-51.6996339E-57.699532E-54.5301126.0E-51.03585466E-47.283943E-51.6283288E-42.23550449.0E-50.00126042338.8646146E-40.00100635521.13524961.2E-40.0125329830.0089076620.0091257021.02447782.2E-4
6.42.2870605E-51.671139E-56.6710556E-53.99192125.0E-59.8013195E-57.161829E-51.5161256E-42.11695318.0E-50.00119265748.71606E-49.815102E-41.12609391.1E-40.0118627680.008760280.008968441.02376192.1E-4
6.52.2672486E-51.661248E-56.661165E-54.00973565.0E-59.716418E-57.119441E-51.5118871E-42.12360388.0E-50.00118233188.664493E-49.76354E-41.12684491.1E-40.0117606110.0087091190.008917291.02390272.1E-4
6.62.1276646E-51.5464626E-54.5464163E-52.93988133.0E-59.118244E-56.6275294E-51.2627132E-41.90525476.0E-50.00110958078.066046E-48.865401E-41.09910128.0E-50.0110405690.0081151670.0082937061.02200071.8E-4
6.71.9706355E-51.4199101E-54.4198674E-53.11277993.0E-58.445307E-56.085188E-51.2084823E-41.98594086.0E-50.00102773117.406209E-48.2056166E-41.10793758.0E-50.0102299110.0074599080.0076187141.0212881.6E-4
6.81.8744462E-51.3750474E-54.375006E-53.18171293.0E-58.033094E-55.892928E-51.0892633E-41.84842475.0E-59.775903E-47.1722886E-47.871787E-41.09752797.0E-50.0097330090.00722752330.0073764391.0206041.5E-4
6.91.7559682E-51.2858261E-54.2857875E-53.33310063.0E-57.5253614E-55.5105673E-51.0510292E-41.90729765.0E-59.158276E-46.707059E-47.4065896E-41.10429767.0E-50.00912062450.00676513650.00691412161.02202251.5E-4
7.01.6794445E-51.2189894E-54.2189527E-53.4610253.0E-57.197421E-55.224136E-51.0223875E-41.9570465.0E-58.759337E-46.358538E-47.058093E-41.11001837.0E-50.0087248910.00641843020.00656746751.02322021.5E-4
7.11.6337795E-51.1739278E-54.1738927E-53.55549343.0E-57.0017246E-55.0310227E-51.0030771E-41.99378375.0E-58.521265E-46.1235565E-46.8231276E-41.11424277.0E-50.0084886640.00618457560.00633364781.02410391.5E-4
7.21.5780008E-51.123147E-54.123113E-53.67103623.0E-56.762685E-54.8133985E-59.813158E-52.0387175.0E-58.2304585E-45.858745E-46.5583346E-41.11940967.0E-50.0082000420.0059210460.0060502761.02182561.3E-4
7.31.5058865E-51.0753801E-54.075348E-53.78968143.0E-56.45364E-54.6086905E-59.60846E-52.08485675.0E-57.854473E-45.609643E-46.30925E-41.12471517.0E-50.007826770.00567270440.00580196731.02278671.3E-4
7.41.4887923E-51.0619593E-54.0619274E-53.82493693.0E-56.380382E-54.551175E-59.550948E-52.09856725.0E-57.7653467E-45.539654E-46.239266E-41.12629167.0E-50.00773826750.0056027760.00572210361.02129791.2E-4
7.51.4509299E-51.02836E-54.0283292E-53.91723633.0E-56.218123E-54.4071832E-59.4069626E-52.13446165.0E-57.567935E-45.364431E-46.0640555E-41.13041917.0E-50.00754221340.00542788950.00553729251.02015571.1E-4
7.61.2756717E-58.655835E-63.8655573E-54.46584033.0E-55.4670498E-53.7095906E-57.7094424E-52.0782464.0E-56.6541E-44.515494E-45.115223E-41.13281586.0E-50.0066342110.0045795790.00465921271.01738888.0E-5
7.71.0328985E-56.5262975E-63.65261E-55.5967573.0E-54.4266326E-52.7969549E-55.7968708E-52.0725653.0E-55.388092E-43.4047617E-43.9045914E-41.14680315.0E-50.00537504670.00346793680.00352772881.01724146.0E-5
7.87.0306583E-64.9876808E-61.49876305E-53.004931.0E-53.0131043E-52.13756E-53.1375384E-51.46781311.0E-53.667837E-42.6021688E-42.9020908E-41.11525853.0E-50.0036617890.00265445890.00269435251.0150294.0E-5
7.94.060633E-63.1431132E-61.3143082E-54.1815491.0E-51.7402595E-51.3470416E-52.3470282E-51.74235761.0E-52.11856E-41.6399E-41.8398672E-41.12193872.0E-50.00211654140.00167141970.00169138631.01194582.0E-5
8.01.6729537E-61.266753E-61.126674E-58.8941891.0E-57.169782E-65.4289303E-61.5428875E-52.84197351.0E-58.7288594E-56.6095236E-57.609457E-51.15128681.0E-58.7254314E-46.7326706E-46.832603E-41.0148431.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-71.9814091E-71.9814091E-71.00.01.5742813E-68.491751E-78.491751E-71.00.01.9166706E-51.0338664E-51.0338664E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.0501122E-41.0501122E-41.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.304427E-69.779858E-65.977937E-56.11249835.0E-53.9875507E-54.191312E-51.1191019E-42.67005137.0E-54.8537613E-45.1019335E-46.3013216E-41.23508491.2E-40.00484317350.00509582270.0053047531.04100022.1E-4
6.17.536929E-67.927707E-64.792739E-56.0455554.0E-53.2300723E-53.397555E-58.397385E-52.47159655.0E-53.9319033E-44.135922E-45.135509E-41.24168411.0E-40.00392495380.0041336130.00431286871.04336551.8E-4
6.26.923899E-67.2853722E-64.728508E-56.49041374.0E-52.9673516E-53.1222753E-58.122119E-52.60134635.0E-53.6121515E-43.8008866E-44.7005445E-41.23669689.0E-50.0036062860.00379972970.0039690841.044571.7E-4
6.32.728396E-62.8925517E-61.2892523E-54.4571451.0E-51.1693074E-51.2396596E-52.239647E-51.80666321.0E-51.4235388E-41.5091887E-41.7091585E-41.13250152.0E-50.00142262720.00151182860.00155176821.0264184.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-62.8770821E-61.2877053E-54.47573381.0E-51.1630066E-51.2330298E-52.2330176E-51.81100031.0E-51.4158686E-41.5011182E-41.7010882E-41.1332142.0E-50.00141496690.0015037690.00154370881.02655984.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-62.8597196E-61.2859691E-54.4968361.0E-51.1559327E-51.2255889E-52.2255766E-51.81592431.0E-51.4072572E-41.49206E-41.6920302E-41.13402282.0E-50.00140636640.0014947230.00153466331.02672084.0E-5
6.62.669092E-62.83022E-61.2830192E-54.5332841.0E-51.1438916E-51.21294615E-52.2129341E-51.82442891.0E-51.3925991E-41.4766697E-41.6766401E-41.135422.0E-50.00139172670.00147935330.00151929411.02699894.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-62.8006261E-61.2800598E-54.570621.0E-51.1317691E-51.20026325E-52.2002512E-51.83314061.0E-51.3778417E-41.4612303E-41.5612156E-41.06842551.0E-50.00137698770.00146393430.00149389041.02046283.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.326883E-61.232686E-55.29758451.0E-59.337228E-69.972321E-61.9972222E-52.00276571.0E-51.1367482E-41.2140688E-41.3140567E-41.08235761.0E-50.00113616690.00121705770.00124702111.02461963.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-61.5705504E-61.1570534E-57.36718461.0E-56.1764263E-66.730914E-61.6730846E-52.48567221.0E-57.51954E-58.194599E-59.194517E-51.12202161.0E-57.5169955E-48.227675E-48.527428E-41.03643233.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.1271813E-61.112717E-59.8716761.0E-54.317169E-64.8307693E-61.4830721E-53.07005381.0E-55.2560266E-55.8813137E-56.881255E-51.170021.0E-55.2547833E-45.91578E-46.1156624E-41.03378782.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.010405E-61.1010395E-510.8970121.0E-53.834468E-64.3303003E-61.4330257E-53.30929881.0E-54.6683643E-55.272024E-56.271971E-51.18967041.0E-54.6673836E-45.306796E-45.50669E-41.03766752.0E-5
7.25.215166E-76.2962005E-76.2962005E-71.00.02.2350691E-62.698369E-62.698369E-61.00.02.7211627E-53.2852164E-53.2852164E-51.00.02.7208295E-43.320674E-43.320674E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-75.529882E-75.529882E-71.00.01.8867761E-62.3699472E-62.3699472E-61.00.02.2971257E-52.8853743E-52.8853743E-51.00.02.2968883E-42.920943E-42.920943E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-74.792952E-74.792952E-71.00.01.5484665E-62.0541206E-62.0541206E-61.00.01.8852415E-52.5008647E-52.5008647E-51.00.01.8850817E-42.53646E-42.53646E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-74.6230437E-74.6230437E-71.00.01.4606494E-61.981303E-61.981303E-61.00.01.7783263E-52.4122113E-52.4122113E-51.00.01.778184E-42.4476176E-42.4476176E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-74.374364E-74.374364E-71.00.01.3469405E-61.8747262E-61.8747262E-61.00.01.6398877E-52.2824568E-52.2824568E-51.00.01.6397667E-42.3173736E-42.3173736E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-72.565504E-72.565504E-71.00.07.70262E-71.0995012E-61.0995012E-61.00.09.377899E-61.3386349E-51.3386349E-51.00.09.377503E-51.3722414E-41.3722414E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-86.1936596E-86.1936596E-81.00.02.1098968E-72.654425E-72.654425E-71.00.02.5687964E-63.2317582E-63.2317582E-61.00.02.5687666E-53.301786E-53.301786E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-92.024543E-92.024543E-91.00.01.5773987E-88.676613E-98.676613E-91.00.01.9204828E-71.0563775E-71.0563775E-71.00.01.920481E-61.0908037E-61.0908037E-61.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.074642E-56.0745497E-51.97569333.0E-51.3147724E-41.3176487E-41.717596E-41.3035314.0E-50.00159955990.00160326160.00170310121.06227291.0E-40.0158809520.015937310.0161144421.01111421.8E-4
6.13.0679566E-53.074642E-56.0745497E-51.97569333.0E-51.3147724E-41.3176487E-41.717596E-41.3035314.0E-50.00159955990.00160326160.00170310121.06227291.0E-40.0158809520.015937310.0161144421.01111421.8E-4
6.21.514536E-51.3373083E-52.337295E-51.74776081.0E-56.490707E-55.731202E-56.731145E-51.17447351.0E-57.8995706E-46.975618E-47.275409E-41.0429773.0E-50.0078715480.00695487160.00699459341.00571134.0E-5
6.31.514536E-51.3373083E-52.337295E-51.74776081.0E-56.490707E-55.731202E-56.731145E-51.17447351.0E-57.8995706E-46.975618E-47.275409E-41.0429773.0E-50.0078715480.00695487160.00699459341.00571134.0E-5
6.41.2532521E-51.0492516E-52.049241E-51.95305031.0E-55.37097E-54.4967182E-55.496673E-51.22237441.0E-56.537194E-45.473435E-45.6733255E-41.03652012.0E-50.00651799650.00546052170.00548041241.00364272.0E-5
6.51.1094058E-58.918899E-61.8918809E-52.12120461.0E-54.7545094E-53.8223312E-54.822293E-51.26161041.0E-55.787078E-44.6527336E-44.8526406E-41.04296552.0E-50.00577203040.00464338530.00466329231.00428722.0E-5
6.69.688328E-67.394953E-67.394953E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.1692285E-53.1692285E-51.00.05.053978E-43.8578772E-43.9578386E-41.0259111.0E-50.00504249940.00385142840.00386138981.00258651.0E-5
6.78.974824E-66.6257676E-66.6257676E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.839585E-52.839585E-51.00.04.6818596E-43.4566678E-43.556633E-41.02891961.0E-50.0046720080.00345150470.00346147041.00288721.0E-5
6.87.4780046E-65.0183958E-65.0183958E-61.00.03.20482E-52.150724E-52.150724E-51.00.03.9011694E-42.6182053E-42.718179E-41.0381841.0E-50.00389432810.00261525460.00262522861.00381371.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.8274534E-63.8274534E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6403274E-51.6403274E-51.00.03.3080703E-41.9969253E-42.0969052E-41.0500671.0E-50.00330315020.0019952260.0020052061.0050021.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.5444276E-62.5444276E-61.00.02.195953E-51.0904645E-51.0904645E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.327562E-41.327562E-41.00.00.00267003130.00132679350.00132679351.00.0
7.14.438899E-62.0462892E-62.0462892E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.769782E-68.769782E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0676708E-41.0676708E-41.00.00.0023134790.0010671790.0010671791.00.0
7.23.50367E-61.2220278E-61.2220278E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.237252E-65.237252E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.3761756E-56.3761756E-51.00.00.00182649826.374425E-46.374425E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-66.842616E-76.842616E-71.00.01.0978401E-52.9325465E-62.9325465E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.5703186E-53.5703186E-51.00.00.00133573493.569764E-43.569764E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.087159E-75.087159E-71.00.08.729483E-62.1802093E-62.1802093E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.654373E-52.654373E-51.00.00.00106225472.654061E-42.654061E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.4656847E-73.4656847E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.4852926E-61.4852926E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8083292E-51.8083292E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8081865E-41.8081865E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-76.90732E-86.90732E-81.00.05.6375933E-72.96028E-72.96028E-71.00.06.863748E-63.6041363E-63.6041363E-61.00.06.863536E-53.6040925E-53.6040925E-51.00.0

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.09007115E-56.0900165E-55.58680635.0E-54.250036E-54.6716617E-51.06713815E-42.28427966.0E-55.173191E-45.6864717E-46.8857893E-41.21090711.2E-40.00516116430.0056864570.0058753761.03322271.9E-4
6.19.916913E-61.09007115E-56.0900165E-55.58680635.0E-54.250036E-54.6716617E-51.06713815E-42.28427966.0E-55.173191E-45.6864717E-46.8857893E-41.21090711.2E-40.00516116430.0056864570.0058753761.03322271.9E-4
6.29.916913E-61.09007115E-56.0900165E-55.58680635.0E-54.250036E-54.6716617E-51.06713815E-42.28427966.0E-55.173191E-45.6864717E-46.8857893E-41.21090711.2E-40.00516116430.0056864570.0058753761.03322271.9E-4
6.35.479711E-66.2460203E-64.6245772E-57.4040384.0E-52.3484265E-52.6768395E-56.676732E-52.49425944.0E-52.858834E-43.258588E-43.8583923E-41.18406886.0E-50.00285515890.00326655010.00337619081.03356471.1E-4
6.45.465009E-66.2305508E-64.6230303E-57.4199384.0E-52.3421257E-52.67021E-56.670103E-52.49796964.0E-52.851165E-43.2505186E-43.8503238E-41.1845266.0E-50.00284750970.00325850470.00336814631.03364781.1E-4
6.54.826767E-65.562456E-62.5562345E-54.59551432.0E-52.068598E-52.383889E-54.3838412E-51.83894532.0E-52.518227E-42.9020171E-43.20193E-41.10334633.0E-50.00251537510.00291093140.00298072771.02397737.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-65.0276717E-62.5027572E-54.97796442.0E-51.8491375E-52.1546995E-54.1546566E-51.92818372.0E-52.2510924E-42.6230467E-42.922968E-41.11434083.0E-50.00224881340.0026326260.00270244181.02651947.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-64.294076E-62.429399E-55.65755942.0E-51.5843378E-51.8403058E-53.840269E-52.0867562.0E-51.9287605E-42.2403516E-42.4403067E-41.08925182.0E-50.00192708730.0022507120.00230059941.02216525.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-64.057579E-62.4057497E-55.92902762.0E-51.4858972E-51.7389515E-53.7389167E-52.15009832.0E-51.8089297E-42.1169767E-42.3169344E-41.09445442.0E-50.00180745790.0021275750.00217746871.0234515.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-63.3425258E-61.3342492E-53.99173951.0E-51.1865792E-51.43250345E-52.432489E-51.69806861.0E-51.4445644E-41.7439378E-41.8439203E-41.05733141.0E-50.00144362570.00175514340.00179507321.02275014.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-62.6705661E-61.2670539E-54.74451451.0E-59.20252E-61.1445235E-52.1445121E-51.87371611.0E-51.12034926E-41.3933713E-41.4933574E-41.07175841.0E-50.00111978450.00140502630.00143498421.02132193.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-62.1690198E-61.2168998E-55.61036731.0E-57.293552E-69.295767E-61.9295674E-52.07574841.0E-58.879537E-51.13170296E-41.2316916E-41.08835241.0E-58.87599E-40.00114360820.0011735741.02620283.0E-5
7.21.25603E-61.6995115E-61.6995115E-61.00.05.3829745E-67.2836006E-67.2836006E-61.00.06.553574E-58.867433E-58.867433E-51.00.06.551642E-48.9883513E-49.088261E-41.01111561.0E-5
7.31.112297E-61.578354E-61.578354E-61.00.04.7669787E-66.7643577E-66.7643577E-61.00.05.803642E-58.2353035E-58.2353035E-51.00.05.802127E-48.354835E-48.454752E-41.01195911.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-61.4966478E-61.4966478E-61.00.04.3444993E-66.4141896E-66.4141896E-61.00.05.2892992E-57.809005E-57.809005E-51.00.05.288041E-47.926E-48.025921E-41.01260671.0E-5
7.59.598608E-71.4499559E-61.4499559E-61.00.04.1136827E-66.2140825E-66.2140825E-61.00.05.0082934E-57.565392E-57.565392E-51.00.05.007165E-47.679944E-47.7798666E-41.0130111.0E-5
7.67.929459E-71.2077671E-61.2077671E-61.00.03.3983351E-65.176135E-65.176135E-61.00.04.1373947E-56.3017695E-56.3017695E-51.00.04.1366243E-46.405066E-46.5050024E-41.01560261.0E-5
7.74.155788E-75.888308E-75.888308E-71.00.01.7810507E-62.5235584E-62.5235584E-61.00.02.1684076E-53.07239E-53.07239E-51.00.02.1681961E-43.1580107E-43.1580107E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-71.3484717E-71.3484717E-71.00.04.914296E-75.779163E-75.779163E-71.00.05.9831386E-67.0361093E-67.0361093E-61.00.05.9829777E-57.1971335E-57.1971335E-51.00.0
7.92.9231824E-82.193909E-82.193909E-81.00.01.2527924E-79.402467E-89.402467E-81.00.01.5252737E-61.1447498E-61.1447498E-61.00.01.5252632E-51.1690889E-51.1690889E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-43.0303642E-43.6301825E-41.1979366.0E-59.6485513E-40.00129810120.00137799731.06154858.0E-50.0116839880.015693580.0158116971.00752641.2E-40.110884230.1493170.149478611.00108241.9E-4
6.12.2521618E-43.0303642E-43.6301825E-41.1979366.0E-59.6485513E-40.00129810120.00137799731.06154858.0E-50.0116839880.015693580.0158116971.00752641.2E-40.110884230.1493170.149478611.00108241.9E-4
6.22.198148E-42.9946194E-43.5944398E-41.20029946.0E-59.417233E-40.00128279710.00136269451.06228388.0E-50.0114053430.01550851950.0156266581.00761771.2E-40.108374280.147317960.147479971.00109971.9E-4
6.32.1704129E-42.9517547E-43.5515777E-41.20320896.0E-59.298453E-40.00126444440.00134434331.06318898.0E-50.0112622340.0152883150.015406481.00772921.2E-40.1070827250.145447850.145610211.00111631.9E-4
6.41.876142E-42.4613173E-43.0611697E-41.2437126.0E-58.038131E-40.00105442890.00113434451.07579048.0E-50.009742590.012765890.0128843581.00928011.2E-40.0932636860.1240848750.1242513061.00134121.9E-4
6.51.7390939E-42.2977302E-42.8975925E-41.26106736.0E-57.45113E-49.843739E-40.00106429511.081198.0E-50.0090340780.0119215560.0120401251.00994581.2E-40.0867552160.116347410.11651531.0014431.9E-4
6.61.591791E-42.1567354E-42.756606E-41.27813836.0E-56.8201777E-49.239908E-40.00100391681.0865018.0E-50.0082719960.0111934420.0113120991.01060061.2E-40.079707740.109247780.109417021.00154911.9E-4
6.71.4268003E-42.0123889E-42.612268E-41.29809316.0E-56.1134255E-48.6216984E-49.421008E-41.09270928.0E-50.0074177230.0104473070.0105660521.01136621.2E-40.071749560.1016877140.101858391.00167851.9E-4
6.81.239713E-41.9420868E-42.5419702E-41.3088866.0E-55.3119735E-48.320598E-49.1199327E-41.0960678.0E-50.00644816740.0100837890.0102025791.01178031.2E-40.062642430.097120020.097291571.00176631.9E-4
6.91.0180238E-41.8873929E-42.4872797E-41.31783886.0E-54.3622297E-48.086343E-48.885696E-41.09885238.0E-50.0052980890.0098011780.0099200021.01212351.2E-40.051735430.093634530.093806741.00183921.9E-4
7.07.6619996E-51.6763556E-42.276255E-41.35785936.0E-53.283301E-47.1824226E-47.981848E-41.11130318.0E-50.00399009320.0087099440.0088288991.01365731.2E-40.0391920660.0834689140.083643061.00208631.9E-4
7.17.5127435E-51.6545111E-42.254412E-41.36258486.0E-53.2193496E-47.088855E-47.8882877E-41.11277328.0E-50.00391251550.008596930.0087158981.01383851.2E-40.0384434420.0824124740.082586821.00211551.9E-4
7.26.788582E-51.4941291E-42.0940395E-41.40151176.0E-52.9090676E-46.401858E-47.201346E-41.12488388.0E-50.00353603860.0077667750.0078858431.01533041.2E-40.0348030.074954350.075120871.00222151.8E-4
7.36.399602E-51.3846942E-41.9846112E-41.43324866.0E-52.7423984E-45.933072E-46.732597E-41.13475748.0E-50.00333375860.00719993240.0073190681.01654681.2E-40.032841880.069808410.069975841.00239851.8E-4
7.44.506759E-58.7915665E-51.479104E-41.68241236.0E-51.9313251E-43.7672752E-44.566974E-41.2122758.0E-50.00234885260.00457710960.004696561.02609741.2E-40.0232418050.045447970.0456102451.00357061.7E-4
7.53.43289E-56.2999214E-51.2299544E-41.95233296.0E-51.4711556E-42.6996888E-43.4994728E-41.29625058.0E-50.00178966030.0032819510.00340155721.03644361.2E-40.017753160.0330224520.0331868381.00497811.7E-4
7.62.5980507E-54.5023247E-58.502145E-51.888394.0E-51.1134028E-41.9294258E-42.52931E-41.31091336.0E-50.0013547250.0023465580.00244632341.04251561.0E-40.0134649590.0239033160.024039971.00571691.4E-4
7.71.7292105E-52.839036E-55.838951E-52.05666693.0E-57.4106916E-51.21667304E-41.7166122E-41.41090685.0E-59.018782E-40.00148029520.0015701621.06070869.0E-50.0089822670.01537933850.0154974931.00768271.2E-4
7.81.2927471E-52.1660351E-55.1659703E-52.3849893.0E-55.5402274E-59.2826784E-51.4282214E-41.53858775.0E-56.743139E-40.0011295810.00121947941.07958569.0E-50.00672271430.0118977940.0120163661.00996591.2E-4
7.91.0200774E-51.4708348E-52.47082E-51.6798761.0E-54.371687E-56.3034255E-59.3032366E-51.47590173.0E-55.321229E-47.671722E-48.2712615E-41.07814936.0E-50.0053085050.0082311640.0083105051.00963918.0E-5
8.08.650396E-61.1573759E-52.1573644E-51.86401361.0E-53.70726E-54.9600883E-56.959989E-51.40319862.0E-54.5126543E-46.0372363E-46.5369345E-41.08276945.0E-50.00450350160.0065295360.00657920961.00760755.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-62.9019798E-62.9019798E-61.00.01.6871985E-51.2436997E-51.2436997E-51.00.02.0539707E-41.5140994E-41.5140994E-41.00.00.00205207310.00170741630.00170741631.00.0
8.21.7101195E-66.364471E-76.364471E-71.00.07.329063E-62.7276276E-62.7276276E-61.00.08.922769E-53.3208365E-53.3208365E-51.00.08.9191867E-44.094491E-44.094491E-41.00.0
8.33.0346666E-83.5567147E-93.5567147E-91.00.01.3005713E-71.5243064E-81.5243064E-81.00.01.5834444E-61.8558428E-71.8558428E-71.00.01.5834332E-51.9895688E-61.9895688E-61.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7059663E-52.378858E-57.378739E-53.10179885.0E-51.1596483E-41.0194757E-41.7194042E-41.68655757.0E-50.00141095730.00124059160.00139040561.12076011.5E-40.0140203230.0123530580.0125308341.01439131.8E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.378858E-57.378739E-53.10179885.0E-59.2163704E-51.0194757E-41.7194042E-41.68655757.0E-50.00112151540.00124059160.00139040561.12076011.5E-40.0111587220.0123530580.0125308341.01439131.8E-4
6.22.1505624E-52.378858E-57.378739E-53.10179885.0E-59.2163704E-51.0194757E-41.7194042E-41.68655757.0E-50.00112151540.00124059160.00139040561.12076011.5E-40.0111587220.0123530580.0125308341.01439131.8E-4
6.31.4290785E-51.59048E-55.5904162E-53.51492434.0E-56.1244784E-56.816183E-51.1815842E-41.73349835.0E-57.454001E-48.295882E-49.195136E-41.10839769.0E-50.0074290480.0082760520.0083752251.0119831.0E-4
6.41.4290785E-51.59048E-55.5904162E-53.51492434.0E-56.1244784E-56.816183E-51.1815842E-41.73349835.0E-57.454001E-48.295882E-49.195136E-41.10839769.0E-50.0074290480.0082760520.0083752251.0119831.0E-4
6.51.3017944E-51.4507896E-55.4507316E-53.75707944.0E-55.5789995E-56.21754E-51.0217291E-41.64330124.0E-56.790315E-47.567551E-48.0671726E-41.06602165.0E-50.00676960360.00755278160.00761232851.00788416.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.0396433E-53.0396226E-52.92371682.0E-54.058515E-54.455552E-56.455463E-51.44885812.0E-54.940122E-45.4235314E-45.723369E-41.05528453.0E-50.0049291540.00541897720.00545876051.00734154.0E-5
6.78.314155E-68.978998E-62.8978819E-53.22742.0E-53.5631605E-53.8480986E-55.8480215E-51.51971722.0E-54.3372845E-44.684287E-44.884194E-41.0426762.0E-50.0043288290.0046821650.00471202471.00637733.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.3664528E-63.3664528E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.4427584E-51.4427584E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.7564316E-41.7564316E-41.00.00.00181710560.00175617040.00176615281.00568431.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-61.9722354E-61.9722354E-61.00.09.705372E-68.452411E-68.452411E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.02903425E-41.02903425E-41.00.00.00118093690.00102916970.00102916971.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.4110369E-61.4110369E-61.00.07.655979E-66.0472876E-66.0472876E-61.00.09.3207556E-57.362328E-57.362328E-51.00.09.316847E-47.3629856E-47.3629856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.3473384E-61.3473384E-61.00.07.420889E-65.774295E-65.774295E-61.00.09.034557E-57.029982E-57.029982E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.0307753E-47.0307753E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.2406687E-61.2406687E-61.00.06.860698E-65.3171407E-65.3171407E-61.00.08.352579E-56.473431E-56.473431E-51.00.08.34944E-46.474468E-46.474468E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.0303654E-61.0303654E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.4158446E-64.4158446E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.376162E-55.376162E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.375668E-45.375668E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-68.5110753E-78.5110753E-71.00.04.775537E-63.6475988E-63.6475988E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.440864E-54.440864E-51.00.05.81254E-44.4400763E-44.4400763E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.046981E-77.046981E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.0201313E-63.0201313E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.6769507E-53.6769507E-51.00.04.879637E-43.676371E-43.676371E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.357429E-76.357429E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.7246097E-62.7246097E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.3171644E-53.3171644E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.316696E-43.316696E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.2861169E-71.2861169E-71.00.09.344408E-75.511929E-75.511929E-71.00.01.1376757E-56.7107608E-66.7107608E-61.00.01.13761744E-46.710637E-56.710637E-51.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3198957E-57.319766E-51.69443123.0E-51.604705E-41.8512618E-42.3511692E-41.27003615.0E-50.00195197760.00225174610.00236149851.0487411.1E-40.0193492060.0223065450.0224727541.0074511.7E-4
6.13.744542E-54.3198957E-57.319766E-51.69443123.0E-51.604705E-41.8512618E-42.3511692E-41.27003615.0E-50.00195197760.00225174610.00236149851.0487411.1E-40.0193492060.0223065450.0224727541.0074511.7E-4
6.23.744542E-54.3198957E-57.319766E-51.69443123.0E-51.604705E-41.8512618E-42.3511692E-41.27003615.0E-50.00195197760.00225174610.00236149851.0487411.1E-40.0193492060.0223065450.0224727541.0074511.7E-4
6.32.1079984E-52.4960493E-55.4959743E-52.20186923.0E-59.0339665E-51.0696926E-41.4696499E-41.37389924.0E-50.00109933040.0013015920.00138148781.06138328.0E-50.0109390790.0129418170.0130306521.00686429.0E-5
6.42.1079984E-52.4960493E-55.4959743E-52.20186923.0E-59.0339665E-51.0696926E-41.4696499E-41.37389924.0E-50.00109933040.0013015920.00138148781.06138328.0E-50.0109390790.0129418170.0130306521.00686429.0E-5
6.51.7397282E-52.0348958E-54.034855E-51.98283142.0E-57.455765E-58.7206965E-51.0720522E-41.22931952.0E-59.073613E-40.00106123890.00111118591.04706485.0E-50.0090366540.0105629570.01062232351.00562026.0E-5
6.61.52050325E-51.7407536E-53.7407186E-52.14890772.0E-56.51628E-57.460163E-59.460014E-51.26807072.0E-57.9306826E-49.07904E-49.3787676E-41.03301313.0E-50.0079024390.0090427760.0090824141.00438344.0E-5
6.71.332523E-51.5029493E-53.5029192E-52.33069682.0E-55.7106878E-56.441055E-58.4409265E-51.31048812.0E-56.950544E-47.83922E-48.1389846E-41.03823913.0E-50.0069288450.00781217120.0078419371.00381023.0E-5
6.81.1525329E-51.2841201E-53.2840944E-52.55746672.0E-54.9393333E-55.5032582E-57.503148E-51.3634012.0E-56.011979E-46.698198E-46.997997E-41.04475823.0E-50.005995740.00667844430.0067082441.00446213.0E-5
6.91.0253909E-51.1347151E-52.1347038E-51.88126851.0E-54.3944583E-54.8629758E-55.862927E-51.20562541.0E-55.3489394E-45.9191E-46.1189814E-41.03376892.0E-50.00533608250.00590369940.0059235821.00336772.0E-5
7.08.104563E-68.86875E-68.86875E-61.00.03.4733377E-53.800839E-53.800839E-51.00.04.2279682E-44.6265623E-44.726516E-41.02160431.0E-50.00421993340.0046171710.00462712441.00215581.0E-5
7.16.7986157E-67.412032E-67.412032E-61.00.02.91366E-53.1765478E-53.1765478E-51.00.03.5468035E-43.8667812E-43.9667427E-41.02585121.0E-50.0035411480.00386026270.0038702241.00258051.0E-5
7.25.6893327E-66.1932055E-66.1932055E-61.00.02.4382627E-52.654205E-52.654205E-51.00.02.9681803E-43.2310348E-43.3310024E-41.03093981.0E-50.0029642190.00322652960.00323649731.00308931.0E-5
7.34.253348E-64.6392133E-64.6392133E-61.00.01.8228506E-51.98822E-51.98822E-51.00.02.2190946E-42.4204068E-42.4204068E-41.00.00.002216880.0024179460.0024179461.00.0
7.42.5448119E-62.8058057E-62.8058057E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2024835E-51.2024835E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4639413E-41.4639413E-41.00.00.0013269670.00146313410.00146313411.00.0
7.54.3706837E-84.5278192E-84.5278192E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9404939E-71.9404939E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3625494E-62.3625494E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3625296E-52.3625296E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.399087E-51.929455E-56.929359E-53.59135535.0E-51.4566703E-48.268831E-51.5268252E-41.84648257.0E-50.00177205320.00100626630.00111615561.1092051.1E-40.017579890.0106051580.0107634621.0149271.6E-4
6.13.399087E-51.929455E-56.929359E-53.59135535.0E-51.4566703E-48.268831E-51.5268252E-41.84648257.0E-50.00177205320.00100626630.00111615561.1092051.1E-40.017579890.0106051580.0107634621.0149271.6E-4
6.23.399087E-51.929455E-56.929359E-53.59135535.0E-51.4566703E-48.268831E-51.5268252E-41.84648257.0E-50.00177205320.00100626630.00111615561.1092051.1E-40.017579890.0106051580.0107634621.0149271.6E-4
6.33.399087E-51.929455E-56.929359E-53.59135535.0E-51.4566703E-48.268831E-51.5268252E-41.84648257.0E-50.00177205320.00100626630.00111615561.1092051.1E-40.017579890.0106051580.0107634621.0149271.6E-4
6.43.399087E-51.929455E-56.929359E-53.59135535.0E-51.4566703E-48.268831E-51.5268252E-41.84648257.0E-50.00177205320.00100626630.00111615561.1092051.1E-40.017579890.0106051580.0107634621.0149271.6E-4
6.53.341482E-51.8607358E-56.860642E-53.68705925.0E-51.4319851E-47.974338E-51.497378E-41.87774577.0E-50.00174204779.7044377E-40.0010803371.11324021.1E-40.0172845460.0102502660.0104086261.01544941.6E-4
6.63.3364955E-51.8547316E-56.854639E-53.69575795.0E-51.4298483E-47.948608E-51.4948052E-41.88058737.0E-50.00173945019.673139E-40.00107720751.11360691.1E-40.0172589760.0102192590.0103776241.01549671.6E-4
6.73.335922E-51.85377E-56.853677E-53.69715645.0E-51.4296026E-47.9444864E-51.4943931E-41.88104417.0E-50.00173915149.6681254E-40.00107670621.11366591.1E-40.0172560350.010214310.0103726761.01550421.6E-4
6.83.327683E-51.8436798E-56.8435875E-53.71191765.0E-51.4260718E-47.901246E-51.4900693E-41.88586627.0E-50.00173485979.6155267E-40.00107144691.11428831.1E-40.0172137840.0101621980.0103205711.01558461.6E-4
6.93.3235785E-51.838117E-56.838025E-53.72012525.0E-51.4243131E-47.8774065E-51.4876855E-41.88854737.0E-50.00173272179.5865276E-40.00106854731.11463441.1E-40.0171927340.0101335290.0102919071.01562921.6E-4
7.03.3197095E-51.832514E-56.8324225E-53.72844225.0E-51.422655E-47.853395E-51.4852844E-41.89126437.0E-50.00173070639.557319E-40.00106562671.1149851.1E-40.0171728940.0101046750.0102630581.01567421.6E-4
7.13.3129716E-51.8214812E-56.82139E-53.74496875.0E-51.4197677E-47.8061144E-51.4805568E-41.8966637.0E-50.00172719669.499806E-40.0010598761.11568191.1E-40.0171383380.0100479480.010206341.01576361.6E-4
7.23.3034008E-51.8089375E-56.808847E-53.76400355.0E-51.4156665E-47.752359E-51.4751816E-41.90288097.0E-50.00172221119.434415E-40.00105333771.11648441.1E-40.0170892530.0099833310.0101417341.01586681.6E-4
7.33.2956614E-51.797178E-55.797106E-53.22567154.0E-51.4123498E-47.701965E-51.3701503E-41.7789626.0E-50.00171817969.373113E-40.00103721761.10658811.0E-40.0170495570.0099227710.0100712831.01496671.5E-4
7.43.2915937E-51.790509E-55.7904374E-53.23396164.0E-51.4106068E-47.673385E-51.3672924E-41.78186366.0E-50.00171606089.338347E-40.00103374131.10698531.0E-40.0170286930.0098883880.0100369051.01501931.5E-4
7.53.281791E-51.7790117E-55.7789406E-53.24839934.0E-51.406406E-47.624114E-51.3623656E-41.78691676.0E-50.00171095429.2784106E-40.00102774821.10767711.0E-40.0169784110.0098287650.009977291.01511131.5E-4
7.63.2521442E-51.756531E-55.7564608E-53.2771764.0E-51.3937015E-47.527773E-51.352732E-41.79698856.0E-50.00169551099.1612147E-40.0010060391.09815039.0E-50.0168263280.009711010.0098496511.01427661.4E-4
7.73.0287873E-51.6354754E-54.6354264E-52.8342993.0E-51.297987E-47.0089925E-51.2008642E-41.71331935.0E-50.00157915378.530111E-49.3294284E-41.09370548.0E-50.015679790.0090741770.0092029971.01419641.3E-4
7.82.6316151E-51.4297918E-54.429749E-53.09817773.0E-51.1277862E-46.127535E-51.1127229E-41.81593875.0E-50.00137221497.4577227E-48.2571263E-41.10719138.0E-50.0136377240.0079857250.0081047671.01490681.2E-4
7.92.0761147E-51.0398871E-53.0398664E-52.92326572.0E-58.897331E-54.456583E-58.4564046E-51.89750864.0E-50.00108271175.424541E-46.1241613E-41.12897317.0E-50.0107745170.005888710.0059881211.01688171.0E-4
8.01.5738568E-56.696893E-62.6696758E-53.98643972.0E-56.744926E-52.8700653E-54.870008E-51.69682822.0E-58.2088535E-43.4937455E-43.893606E-41.11445034.0E-50.0081785960.00382754670.00387735531.01301325.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-53.3232388E-63.3232388E-61.00.04.3309992E-51.4242375E-51.4242375E-51.00.05.2717153E-41.7338723E-41.8338549E-41.05766441.0E-50.0052592270.0019170130.00193697461.01041292.0E-5
8.24.189207E-63.3328914E-73.3328914E-71.00.01.7953622E-51.4283812E-61.4283812E-61.00.02.1856341E-41.7390405E-51.7390405E-51.00.00.00218348582.1658067E-42.1658067E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-65.2374972E-85.2374972E-81.00.05.4677976E-62.2446415E-72.2446415E-71.00.06.65684E-52.7328476E-62.7328476E-61.00.06.6548464E-43.6924714E-53.6924714E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.151163E-49.4656314E-49.965159E-41.05277265.0E-50.0022057740.00404680430.00410656171.01476656.0E-50.0265267770.047552240.0476284331.00160248.0E-50.235741810.351279080.351382851.00029551.6E-4
6.14.7540772E-48.689319E-49.188885E-41.05749195.0E-50.0020358710.00371548810.0037752651.01608866.0E-50.0245067070.0437580980.0438345971.00174828.0E-50.219733660.32928440.329391721.00032591.6E-4
6.23.9647578E-46.911447E-47.411102E-41.07229385.0E-50.00169807540.00295630070.00301612331.02023576.0E-50.0204790380.0349921660.0350693651.00220628.0E-50.186912390.27472790.274843961.00042241.6E-4
6.33.4640636E-45.796975E-46.2966853E-41.08620195.0E-50.0014837540.00248022380.0025400751.02413146.0E-50.0179156920.0294631220.0295407641.00263528.0E-50.165382060.238657220.238771421.00047851.5E-4
6.42.935057E-44.5985778E-45.098348E-41.10867935.0E-50.00125727510.00196806040.00202794231.03042696.0E-50.0152002480.0234797260.0235578471.00332738.0E-50.142015770.197673530.197793871.00060881.5E-4
6.52.3409708E-43.2683517E-43.7681882E-41.15293235.0E-50.00100288750.00139928270.00145919881.04281916.0E-50.0121419650.0167846570.0168633141.00468628.0E-50.114995730.148860510.148988191.00085771.5E-4
6.61.5842178E-41.5658994E-42.0658212E-41.31925545.0E-56.7877385E-46.7092053E-47.3088025E-41.08936946.0E-50.00823280.008136890.00821623951.00975188.0E-50.079343960.0811398850.081277711.00169861.5E-4
6.71.5616413E-41.5217435E-42.0216675E-41.32852045.0E-56.691031E-46.520099E-47.119708E-41.09196326.0E-50.00811594350.0079089590.0079883261.01003528.0E-50.07825860.0791463550.079284481.00174521.5E-4
6.81.5538467E-41.5064237E-42.0063485E-41.3318625.0E-56.6576427E-46.454479E-47.0540915E-41.09289876.0E-50.0080755960.0078297260.00790911.01013748.0E-50.077883580.078434660.07857291.00176241.5E-4
6.91.5153569E-41.430911E-41.9308396E-41.34937785.0E-56.49277E-46.1310455E-46.7306776E-41.09780266.0E-50.0078763330.0074392140.00751861841.01067398.0E-50.076029520.0748730450.075011811.00185331.5E-4
7.01.4588932E-41.3361331E-41.8360662E-41.37416425.0E-56.250901E-45.7250384E-46.324695E-41.10474286.0E-50.00758394740.0069481720.00702761631.01143388.0E-50.0733028950.070319470.070458921.00198321.5E-4
7.11.1565079E-49.1238806E-51.4123425E-41.54796245.0E-54.955521E-43.9096538E-44.509419E-41.15340636.0E-50.0060166690.00474971070.00482933041.01676318.0E-50.0585635380.0494371060.049579691.00288411.5E-4
7.21.0393792E-48.0941994E-51.3093794E-41.61767635.0E-54.4537216E-43.4684862E-44.068278E-41.17292616.0E-50.0054089330.0042147930.00429445551.01890088.0E-50.0527915950.044124690.044268071.00324941.5E-4
7.39.332884E-57.390245E-51.2389876E-41.67651765.0E-53.999194E-43.166868E-43.766678E-41.18940166.0E-50.00485815340.003848930.00392862181.0207058.0E-50.0475331020.0401391350.0402831141.0035871.5E-4
7.48.670252E-56.618899E-51.16185685E-41.75536265.0E-53.715293E-42.836367E-43.436197E-41.21147826.0E-50.0045139910.00344788730.00352761151.02312278.0E-50.0442339370.036177630.0363222061.00399631.5E-4
7.57.3036405E-54.4195396E-59.419319E-52.13128955.0E-53.129756E-41.8939514E-42.4938377E-41.3167386.0E-50.00380382170.00230345550.00237329421.03031917.0E-50.037393670.024914780.0250512921.00547911.4E-4
7.66.3935775E-54.1289062E-59.1286995E-52.21092445.0E-52.7398168E-41.7694116E-42.3693054E-41.33903576.0E-50.00333062540.00215213840.00222198781.03245587.0E-50.0328114740.0233156630.0234523971.00586451.4E-4
7.75.5050095E-52.9393883E-56.939271E-52.36078744.0E-52.3590765E-41.2596771E-41.7596141E-41.39687725.0E-50.00286839270.00153257870.00159248671.03908976.0E-50.02831650.0170076730.0171158021.00635771.1E-4
7.85.027131E-52.6958343E-56.695726E-52.48373084.0E-52.1543067E-41.15530645E-41.6552486E-41.43273565.0E-50.00261971350.00140567870.00146559441.0426246.0E-50.0258904530.0155921440.015700431.00694481.1E-4
7.93.7271806E-52.1734168E-55.1733514E-52.38028533.0E-51.5972654E-49.3143106E-51.3313939E-41.42940684.0E-50.00194293590.00113342780.00118337121.04406395.0E-50.0192603620.0125366220.0126353681.00787661.0E-4
8.02.7310243E-51.2890576E-53.289032E-52.5515012.0E-51.17038646E-45.5244152E-57.524305E-51.36200932.0E-50.00142401416.7239016E-46.9237675E-41.02972462.0E-50.0141492350.00747655750.00750633331.00398253.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-56.1876235E-66.1876235E-61.00.07.688579E-52.6518117E-52.6518117E-51.00.09.3568244E-43.2281035E-43.2281035E-41.00.00.0093175250.00368604830.00369601141.0027031.0E-5
8.28.643924E-61.2920423E-61.2920423E-61.00.03.704486E-55.537312E-65.537312E-61.00.04.5092785E-46.7414694E-56.7414694E-51.00.00.00450013958.5056486E-48.5056486E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Anacapa-Dume alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.15.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.25.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.35.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.45.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.55.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.65.1871802E-65.329297E-64.5329085E-58.5056414.0E-52.2230583E-52.2839647E-58.2838276E-53.62695076.0E-52.7062374E-42.7803806E-44.080019E-41.46743191.3E-40.0027029440.00277698650.0029365421.05745641.6E-4
6.74.7693475E-64.9009222E-64.4900728E-59.161694.0E-52.04399E-52.1003787E-58.100252E-53.85656796.0E-52.4882736E-42.5569185E-43.7566115E-41.46919491.2E-40.00248548920.00255405160.00270366851.05858021.5E-4
6.84.753408E-64.8845695E-64.4884375E-59.18901354.0E-52.037159E-52.0933705E-58.093245E-53.86613136.0E-52.4799586E-42.548388E-43.6481075E-41.43153551.1E-40.0024771930.00254554070.00267520971.05093971.3E-4
6.93.800069E-63.906847E-64.390669E-511.2383964.0E-51.6285909E-51.6743523E-57.6742515E-54.58341556.0E-51.9826289E-42.0383354E-42.8381724E-41.39239728.0E-50.0019808610.00203648930.00213628561.04900411.0E-4
7.03.6671938E-63.770435E-64.3770284E-511.6088154.0E-51.571645E-51.6158909E-57.6157936E-54.71306236.0E-51.9133097E-41.9671717E-42.7670144E-41.40659528.0E-50.00191166320.00196545340.00206525671.05077891.0E-4
7.13.2394885E-63.3317529E-63.3331653E-510.0042393.0E-51.3883448E-51.4278863E-56.427815E-54.50162945.0E-51.6901788E-41.7383139E-42.4381923E-41.4026197.0E-50.00168889380.00173696510.00182680891.05172469.0E-5
7.23.0935948E-63.181827E-63.3181732E-510.4285153.0E-51.3258196E-51.363633E-56.363565E-54.66662555.0E-51.6140658E-41.6600978E-42.3599816E-41.42159197.0E-50.0016128940.00165886840.00174871911.05416389.0E-5
7.32.5604163E-62.626107E-63.2626027E-512.4237243.0E-51.0973167E-51.1254696E-55.1254247E-54.55403234.0E-51.3359012E-41.3701734E-41.8701049E-41.36486735.0E-50.00133509840.00136933320.0014292511.0437576.0E-5
7.42.1429005E-62.193178E-62.2193135E-510.1191662.0E-59.1838265E-69.3993E-63.939902E-54.19169663.0E-51.11807356E-41.144305E-41.5442593E-41.34951714.0E-50.00111751120.00114371840.00119366121.04366715.0E-5
7.51.7237151E-61.7622224E-62.1762187E-512.3492852.0E-57.3873293E-67.55236E-63.7552134E-54.9722383.0E-58.993702E-59.194612E-51.3194245E-41.43499734.0E-58.990063E-49.1908313E-49.690372E-41.0543525.0E-5
7.69.541696E-79.746923E-71.09746825E-511.2596381.0E-54.089292E-64.177246E-62.4177163E-55.78782372.0E-54.9785995E-55.0856794E-58.085527E-51.58986163.0E-54.9774844E-45.084528E-45.4843246E-41.07863014.0E-5
7.72.7226676E-72.700573E-72.700573E-71.00.01.166857E-61.1573879E-61.1573879E-61.00.01.4206392E-51.4091108E-52.4090967E-51.70965741.0E-51.4205484E-41.4090221E-41.509008E-41.07096121.0E-5
7.84.5017995E-84.193805E-84.193805E-81.00.01.9293425E-71.797345E-71.797345E-71.00.02.348972E-62.1882654E-62.1882654E-61.00.02.348947E-52.188246E-52.188246E-51.00.0
7.98.007447E-106.1097116E-106.1097116E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.6184477E-92.6184477E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.1879598E-83.1879598E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.1879594E-73.1879594E-71.00.0

Owl Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.1740924E-59.173907E-51.48587143.0E-52.1564208E-42.645827E-43.1456945E-41.18892685.0E-50.00262228120.00321744750.00330715811.02788259.0E-50.025915530.031816650.0319618771.00456451.5E-4
6.15.0320643E-56.1740924E-59.173907E-51.48587143.0E-52.1564208E-42.645827E-43.1456945E-41.18892685.0E-50.00262228120.00321744750.00330715811.02788259.0E-50.025915530.031816650.0319618771.00456451.5E-4
6.22.4125871E-52.8347278E-54.8346712E-51.70551512.0E-51.0339249E-41.21483725E-41.6147886E-41.32922224.0E-50.00125807660.0014782410.0015181821.02701914.0E-50.0125097810.0147191310.0147782481.00401636.0E-5
6.31.7433485E-52.0134918E-53.0134715E-51.49663971.0E-57.471279E-58.629045E-59.628959E-51.11587761.0E-59.0924866E-40.00105021930.00106020881.00951181.0E-50.0090553730.01048366350.0105133491.00283163.0E-5
6.41.7433485E-52.0134918E-53.0134715E-51.49663971.0E-57.471279E-58.629045E-59.628959E-51.11587761.0E-59.0924866E-40.00105021930.00106020881.00951181.0E-50.0090553730.01048366350.0105133491.00283163.0E-5
6.51.5182742E-51.7351536E-52.7351361E-51.57630791.0E-56.506727E-57.4362375E-58.436163E-51.13446661.0E-57.919061E-49.051199E-49.151108E-41.01103831.0E-50.00789090.00904494150.009064761.00219122.0E-5
6.66.7271576E-66.9856837E-66.9856837E-61.00.02.8830356E-52.9938325E-52.9938325E-51.00.03.5095305E-43.6444215E-43.6444215E-41.00.00.00350399320.00365650720.00366647051.00272491.0E-5
6.76.682835E-66.9216026E-66.9216026E-61.00.02.8640408E-52.9663695E-52.9663695E-51.00.03.4864116E-43.6109964E-43.6109964E-41.00.00.0034809470.00362319640.00363316011.002751.0E-5
6.86.5774975E-66.779474E-66.779474E-61.00.02.8188972E-52.9054589E-52.9054589E-51.00.03.4314668E-43.536862E-43.536862E-41.00.00.00342617280.00354916880.00355913351.00280761.0E-5
6.96.363419E-66.4797873E-66.4797873E-61.00.02.727151E-52.7770244E-52.7770244E-51.00.03.3198006E-43.380542E-43.380542E-41.00.00.00331484550.00339301680.00340298281.00293721.0E-5
7.06.1342453E-66.1463365E-66.1463365E-61.00.02.6289357E-52.6341198E-52.6341198E-51.00.03.2002592E-43.2066077E-43.2066077E-41.00.00.00319565440.00321924430.0032292121.00309631.0E-5
7.15.842926E-65.708193E-65.708193E-61.00.02.504087E-52.4463476E-52.4463476E-51.00.03.0482994E-42.978059E-42.978059E-41.00.00.00304412140.00299092270.00300089271.00333341.0E-5
7.24.77173E-64.1209437E-64.1209437E-61.00.02.045011E-51.7661083E-51.7661083E-51.00.02.4895166E-42.150052E-42.150052E-41.00.00.00248672930.00216281160.002172791.00461361.0E-5
7.33.0494948E-61.9511103E-61.9511103E-61.00.01.3069198E-58.361875E-68.361875E-61.00.01.5910587E-41.01801175E-41.01801175E-41.00.00.00158991990.00102531010.00103529991.00974311.0E-5
7.42.7263884E-61.6323593E-61.6323593E-61.00.01.1684469E-56.995807E-66.995807E-61.00.01.4224913E-48.5170686E-58.5170686E-51.00.00.00142158118.5818936E-48.681808E-41.01164251.0E-5
7.52.6090431E-61.5172662E-61.5172662E-61.00.01.1181565E-56.502554E-66.502554E-61.00.01.3612706E-47.916577E-57.916577E-51.00.00.0013604377.980075E-47.980075E-41.00.0
7.62.3008756E-61.2684197E-61.2684197E-61.00.09.860858E-65.4360735E-65.4360735E-61.00.01.20049335E-46.6182234E-56.6182234E-51.00.00.0011998456.680106E-46.680106E-41.00.0
7.71.7184348E-68.0926014E-78.0926014E-71.00.07.3646997E-63.4682532E-63.4682532E-61.00.08.966153E-54.222518E-54.222518E-51.00.08.962536E-44.2828228E-44.2828228E-41.00.0
7.88.4612907E-74.773492E-74.773492E-71.00.03.6262625E-62.0457808E-62.0457808E-61.00.04.4148852E-52.4907102E-52.4907102E-51.00.04.414008E-42.533674E-42.533674E-41.00.0
7.92.716738E-72.1815431E-72.1815431E-71.00.01.1643157E-69.3494674E-79.3494674E-71.00.01.4175452E-51.138292E-51.138292E-51.00.01.4174548E-41.1539312E-41.1539312E-41.00.0
8.02.1995428E-81.9634514E-81.9634514E-81.00.09.426611E-88.414792E-88.414792E-81.00.01.1476893E-61.0245006E-61.0245006E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.0523165E-51.0523165E-51.00.0

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2243486E-54.222772E-57.222645E-51.71040383.0E-51.8103095E-41.8096353E-42.2095628E-41.2209994.0E-50.00220182380.00220102860.00228085251.03626678.0E-50.0218013530.0218884090.0220351261.00670291.5E-4
6.14.2243486E-54.222772E-57.222645E-51.71040383.0E-51.8103095E-41.8096353E-42.2095628E-41.2209994.0E-50.00220182380.00220102860.00228085251.03626678.0E-50.0218013530.0218884090.0220351261.00670291.5E-4
6.24.216245E-54.210165E-57.210038E-51.71253123.0E-51.806837E-41.8042329E-42.2041607E-41.22166094.0E-50.00219760460.00219446440.0022742891.03637548.0E-50.0217599890.0218249620.0219716881.00672281.5E-4
6.34.216245E-54.210165E-57.210038E-51.71253123.0E-51.806837E-41.8042329E-42.2041607E-41.22166094.0E-50.00219760460.00219446440.0022742891.03637548.0E-50.0217599890.0218249620.0219716881.00672281.5E-4
6.43.6858168E-53.53048E-56.530374E-51.84971273.0E-51.5795401E-41.5129763E-41.9129158E-41.26433964.0E-50.00192139370.00184051110.00191038221.03796297.0E-50.0190486550.0183460620.0184834931.00749111.4E-4
6.53.39199E-53.1658677E-56.165773E-51.94757753.0E-51.453629E-41.3567308E-41.7566765E-41.29478634.0E-50.00176835650.00165058450.00171048541.03629086.0E-50.0175435080.0164694380.0165972971.00776341.3E-4
6.63.3571985E-53.114075E-56.113981E-51.9633383.0E-51.4387199E-41.3345362E-41.7344828E-41.29968974.0E-50.00175023420.00162360290.00168350561.03689486.0E-50.0173651330.0162056740.0163335671.00789191.3E-4
6.73.2580007E-52.9895731E-55.989483E-52.00345783.0E-51.3962112E-41.2811835E-41.6811323E-41.31217134.0E-50.00169856170.00155874090.00161864741.03843266.0E-50.0168563720.0155645430.0156925191.00822231.3E-4
6.83.2185937E-52.9378452E-55.937757E-52.02112653.0E-51.3793244E-41.2590167E-41.6589664E-41.31766834.0E-50.00167803370.0015317910.00159169911.03910986.0E-50.0166541920.0152984990.015426511.00836751.3E-4
6.93.165394E-52.8661958E-55.86611E-52.04665353.0E-51.3565269E-41.2283126E-41.6282636E-41.325614.0E-50.00165032020.00149446070.0015543711.04008836.0E-50.016381180.0149298390.0150578981.00857731.3E-4
7.03.0903822E-52.7678501E-55.7677673E-52.08384373.0E-51.3243823E-41.18616845E-41.586121E-41.33718034.0E-50.00161124280.00144321910.00150313261.04151376.0E-50.0159961040.0144241290.0145522541.00888261.3E-4
7.13.0069863E-52.6569778E-55.656898E-52.12907243.0E-51.2886449E-41.1386559E-41.5386104E-41.35125144.0E-50.00156779590.00138544770.00144536461.04324736.0E-50.015567810.0138530050.0139713431.00854241.2E-4
7.22.7957109E-52.377331E-55.3772597E-52.26188953.0E-51.1981068E-41.0188171E-41.4187764E-41.39257224.0E-50.00145771880.00123971850.00129964411.0483386.0E-50.0144819370.01241038550.0125091451.00795781.0E-4
7.32.4519275E-51.9972345E-54.9971746E-52.5020473.0E-51.0507837E-48.559302E-51.2558959E-41.46728784.0E-50.00127857830.00104160790.00110154541.05754336.0E-50.0127124690.0104404330.010539391.00947811.0E-4
7.42.3225532E-51.869477E-54.8694208E-52.6046973.0E-59.95342E-58.011804E-51.2011484E-41.49922344.0E-50.00121115519.750116E-40.0010349531.06147786.0E-50.0120457530.0097784870.0098676071.00911399.0E-5
7.52.097765E-51.6510954E-54.651046E-52.81694563.0E-58.9901114E-57.0759364E-51.1075654E-41.56525614.0E-50.00109399658.6116407E-49.211124E-41.06961316.0E-50.0108862640.0086444690.0087237771.00917458.0E-5
7.61.511254E-51.0773964E-54.077364E-53.78446033.0E-56.476642E-54.617335E-57.6171964E-51.64969543.0E-57.882459E-45.620217E-46.1199354E-41.08891455.0E-50.0078545580.0056697970.00573939971.01227627.0E-5
7.79.934069E-66.1008004E-63.6100617E-55.91735743.0E-54.2573887E-52.6146026E-55.6145243E-52.14737183.0E-55.182138E-43.182815E-43.6826558E-41.15704375.0E-50.005170070.00323922350.00329902931.0184636.0E-5
7.86.7562896E-64.7298568E-61.472981E-53.1142191.0E-52.8955206E-52.0270658E-53.0270456E-51.49331391.0E-53.5247262E-42.4676736E-42.7675997E-41.1215423.0E-50.00351914060.00251601990.00255591931.01585824.0E-5
7.93.975453E-63.089391E-61.308936E-54.2368741.0E-51.7037546E-51.324018E-52.3240047E-51.75526681.0E-52.0741238E-41.611873E-41.8118408E-41.12405922.0E-50.0020721890.00164227750.00166224471.01215822.0E-5
8.01.6729537E-61.266753E-61.126674E-58.8941891.0E-57.169782E-65.4289303E-61.5428875E-52.84197351.0E-58.7288594E-56.6095236E-57.609457E-51.15128681.0E-58.7254314E-46.7326706E-46.832603E-41.0148431.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-71.9814091E-71.9814091E-71.00.01.5742813E-68.491751E-78.491751E-71.00.01.9166706E-51.0338664E-51.0338664E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.0501122E-41.0501122E-41.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.6875173E-42.9066482E-43.5064737E-41.20636336.0E-50.00115128470.00124513170.00131504461.0561497.0E-50.0139270740.015057950.0151367451.00523288.0E-50.130858780.144513070.144641381.0008881.5E-4
6.12.5356023E-42.9066482E-43.5064737E-41.20636336.0E-50.0010862340.00124513170.00131504461.0561497.0E-50.0131449280.015057950.0151367451.00523288.0E-50.1239401550.144513070.144641381.0008881.5E-4
6.22.4820742E-42.8719747E-43.4718023E-41.20885556.0E-50.00106331240.00123028570.00130019971.05682737.0E-50.012869190.01487827950.0149570891.0052978.0E-50.121489270.142548410.142677041.00090231.5E-4
6.32.3205351E-42.833201E-43.4330314E-41.21171466.0E-59.94136E-40.00121368410.00128359911.05760567.0E-50.0120365990.0146788710.0147576971.005378.0E-50.114051330.140427080.140556021.00091811.5E-4
6.42.0304754E-42.3520568E-42.9519157E-41.25503596.0E-58.6991355E-40.00100763990.00107756941.06939927.0E-50.0105398690.0122028250.0122818491.00647588.0E-50.1005376350.1193444360.1194765341.00110691.5E-4
6.51.854992E-42.1931643E-42.7930326E-41.27351746.0E-57.9475436E-49.3959284E-40.00100952711.07443037.0E-50.0096332810.011382210.01146131.00694858.0E-50.09226230.1116703750.111803621.00119331.5E-4
6.61.6586106E-42.0564918E-42.6563683E-41.2916996.0E-57.106394E-48.81059E-49.509973E-41.07937987.0E-50.0086177630.010675990.0107551361.00741358.0E-50.082911320.104633550.104767851.00128351.5E-4
6.71.4224656E-41.9156018E-42.5154868E-41.31315766.0E-56.094856E-48.207164E-48.9065894E-41.08522137.0E-50.00739526930.0099473350.010026541.00796238.0E-50.071539550.097116740.097252171.00139451.5E-4
6.81.2317259E-41.8490593E-42.4489485E-41.32442936.0E-55.2777573E-47.922157E-48.621603E-41.08828977.0E-50.00640675470.0096030710.0096823031.00825078.0E-50.062251660.092693870.092829971.00146821.5E-4
6.99.859898E-51.8011326E-42.4010245E-41.33306376.0E-54.2249862E-47.7168795E-48.4163394E-41.09064027.0E-50.00513179460.0093553130.0094345651.00847138.0E-50.050148930.0894952340.089631811.00152611.5E-4
7.07.3191884E-51.6010946E-42.2009986E-41.37468366.0E-53.136418E-46.8600493E-47.559569E-41.10197017.0E-50.0038119040.00832052250.0083998571.00953488.0E-50.0374717640.079784730.0799227651.00173011.5E-4
7.17.1760296E-51.5810183E-42.1809235E-41.37944226.0E-53.0750787E-46.7740533E-47.473579E-41.10326557.0E-50.0037374820.0082166170.0082959591.00965638.0E-50.036752450.078804780.078942971.00175341.5E-4
7.26.46614E-51.4245807E-42.0244952E-41.42111666.0E-52.7709085E-46.103936E-46.803509E-41.11461017.0E-50.00336836280.00740658170.0074859891.01072128.0E-50.0331776250.071500660.071630651.00181811.4E-4
7.36.088115E-51.3189312E-41.9188519E-41.45485386.0E-52.6089314E-45.651355E-46.3509593E-41.12379417.0E-50.00317174760.00685915540.0069386071.01158328.0E-50.0312685850.066516120.0666468141.00196481.4E-4
7.44.199346E-58.146637E-51.4146148E-41.73644026.0E-51.7995955E-43.4909538E-44.1907094E-41.20044837.0E-50.00218880570.004242050.00432171071.01877888.0E-50.021673720.042131750.0422562731.00295561.3E-4
7.53.130448E-55.6700756E-51.1669735E-42.0581276.0E-51.3415517E-42.429808E-43.129638E-41.28801867.0E-50.00163211530.00295431170.00303407531.02699918.0E-50.0162018030.0297377180.0298638531.00424161.3E-4
7.62.3074248E-53.9024962E-57.9023404E-52.0249454.0E-59.888588E-51.672392E-42.1723083E-41.2989235.0E-50.00120327060.00203424860.00209412651.02943496.0E-50.0119677610.0207392760.0208372031.00472181.0E-4
7.71.45864815E-52.2754188E-55.2753505E-52.31840873.0E-56.2511994E-59.751431E-51.375104E-41.41015624.0E-57.608177E-40.00118659230.00123653291.04208745.0E-50.0075821820.0123731180.0124521281.00638578.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-51.643652E-54.6436027E-52.8251743.0E-54.4369157E-57.044033E-51.1043751E-41.56781654.0E-55.400606E-48.5727434E-49.072315E-41.05827445.0E-50.00538750.0090914160.009170691.00871968.0E-5
7.98.137906E-61.0939737E-52.0939628E-51.91408871.0E-53.4876273E-54.6883746E-56.688281E-51.42656712.0E-54.2453592E-45.706604E-46.006433E-41.05254073.0E-50.0042372580.0061755970.00622528841.00804645.0E-5
8.06.93792E-68.630303E-61.8630217E-52.15869781.0E-52.9733603E-53.698649E-54.698612E-51.2703591.0E-53.6194647E-44.5021766E-44.7020864E-41.0444032.0E-50.00361357510.00491285370.00493275561.0040512.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-62.5014588E-62.5014588E-61.00.01.4694053E-51.0720494E-51.0720494E-51.00.01.7888541E-41.3051422E-41.3051422E-41.00.00.00178741480.00147349560.00147349561.00.0
8.21.4906886E-65.4934725E-75.4934725E-71.00.06.3886496E-62.3543432E-62.3543432E-61.00.07.7779034E-52.8663755E-52.8663755E-51.00.07.775182E-43.548112E-43.548112E-41.00.0
8.32.5758007E-82.966711E-92.966711E-91.00.01.10391454E-71.2714477E-81.2714477E-81.00.01.3440151E-61.5479876E-71.5479876E-71.00.01.344007E-51.6590238E-61.6590238E-61.00.0

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-55.743529E-51.0743242E-41.8704955.0E-51.9323928E-42.4613034E-43.2611066E-41.3249518.0E-50.00235014970.00299293250.0030926331.03331211.0E-40.0232545040.0295905380.0297263951.00459121.4E-4
6.14.5092507E-55.743529E-51.0743242E-41.8704955.0E-51.9323928E-42.4613034E-43.2611066E-41.3249518.0E-50.00235014970.00299293250.0030926331.03331211.0E-40.0232545040.0295905380.0297263951.00459121.4E-4
6.22.6674514E-53.0093177E-56.0092276E-51.99687373.0E-51.1431433E-41.2896454E-41.5896067E-41.23259213.0E-50.00139088840.00156904070.00160897791.02545334.0E-50.013822150.0156253130.015694221.00440997.0E-5
6.32.6674514E-53.0093177E-56.0092276E-51.99687373.0E-51.1431433E-41.2896454E-41.5896067E-41.23259213.0E-50.00139088840.00156904070.00160897791.02545334.0E-50.013822150.0156253130.015694221.00440997.0E-5
6.42.5312667E-52.801062E-54.801006E-51.71399492.0E-51.0847834E-41.2004013E-41.4003774E-41.16659092.0E-50.00131992370.00146053370.00149048991.02051043.0E-50.0131211120.0145701260.0146292521.0040586.0E-5
6.52.5312667E-52.801062E-54.801006E-51.71399492.0E-51.0847834E-41.2004013E-41.4003774E-41.16659092.0E-50.00131992370.00146053370.00149048991.02051043.0E-50.0131211120.0145701260.0146292521.0040586.0E-5
6.62.246556E-52.3987905E-54.3987424E-51.83373362.0E-59.627742E-51.02801365E-41.227993E-41.19452992.0E-50.00117154720.00125090750.00128086991.02395263.0E-50.0116539010.0124860160.0125452671.00474546.0E-5
6.72.2241198E-52.3671708E-54.3671233E-51.84487042.0E-59.531594E-51.0144634E-41.2144431E-41.19712852.0E-50.00115985380.00123442880.00126439181.02427273.0E-50.0115381870.0123236720.0123829331.00480876.0E-5
6.81.9528685E-52.0048969E-54.004857E-51.99753752.0E-58.369167E-58.592141E-51.05919695E-41.23275092.0E-50.00101846980.00104560740.00107557611.02866153.0E-50.0101381470.0104468510.0104963291.00473625.0E-5
6.91.3318621E-51.1941836E-53.1941596E-52.67476442.0E-55.7078556E-55.117832E-57.1177295E-51.39077042.0E-56.9470983E-46.229221E-46.529034E-41.04813023.0E-50.00692542040.00624782870.00629751661.00795285.0E-5
7.01.1760853E-59.988527E-62.9988327E-53.00227712.0E-55.0402683E-54.2807293E-56.280644E-51.46719012.0E-56.134799E-45.210577E-45.510421E-41.05754523.0E-50.00611789060.00523411950.00528385771.00950265.0E-5
7.11.0064758E-57.9165375E-62.791638E-53.5263372.0E-54.3133965E-53.392759E-55.3926913E-51.58947072.0E-55.2502943E-44.1299235E-44.4297997E-41.07261063.0E-50.0052379070.00415727360.00419710761.00958174.0E-5
7.29.768808E-67.5412727E-62.7541122E-53.65205242.0E-54.186565E-53.2319353E-55.2318705E-51.61880432.0E-55.095951E-43.934193E-44.2340747E-41.07622463.0E-50.00508428040.00396205350.00400189541.01005584.0E-5
7.39.344516E-67.065425E-62.7065284E-53.8306662.0E-54.004731E-53.0280053E-55.0279446E-51.66048092.0E-54.8746695E-43.685995E-43.9858843E-41.08135913.0E-50.00486399050.00371406040.00375391171.01072994.0E-5
7.49.023491E-66.697098E-62.6696964E-53.98634822.0E-53.867153E-52.8701545E-54.870097E-51.69680662.0E-54.7072413E-43.493874E-43.7937693E-41.08583463.0E-50.0046972830.00352167520.00356153421.01131824.0E-5
7.57.081253E-64.782586E-62.478249E-55.1818182.0E-53.0347876E-52.049664E-54.049623E-51.97574972.0E-53.6942272E-42.4951846E-42.7951098E-41.12020163.0E-50.0036880920.00252088530.00256078431.01582744.0E-5
7.66.116396E-63.854347E-62.385427E-56.1889262.0E-52.6212863E-51.6518527E-53.6518195E-52.21074182.0E-53.1909486E-42.0109465E-42.3108862E-41.14915353.0E-50.00318637070.00203633290.00207625141.01960314.0E-5
7.74.797145E-62.8309E-62.2830844E-58.0648712.0E-52.055903E-51.2132372E-53.213213E-52.64846232.0E-52.5027743E-41.4770166E-41.7769723E-41.20308213.0E-50.00249995760.00150175230.00154169231.02659564.0E-5
7.83.4028885E-62.2981174E-61.2298095E-55.3513781.0E-51.4583726E-59.849037E-61.9848938E-52.01531771.0E-51.775424E-41.1990545E-41.3990306E-41.16677812.0E-50.00177400620.00122214280.00125210621.0245173.0E-5
7.92.5928412E-61.956819E-61.1956799E-56.1103251.0E-51.1112129E-58.38634E-61.8386256E-52.19240521.0E-51.3528178E-41.0209893E-41.1209791E-41.09793421.0E-50.00135199450.0010410480.00105103761.00959581.0E-5
8.01.3743648E-61.0205329E-61.1020523E-510.7987931.0E-55.8901214E-64.373705E-61.43736615E-53.2863811.0E-57.1709874E-55.324857E-56.324804E-51.18778851.0E-57.1686733E-45.4233416E-45.5232877E-41.01842881.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-71.9814091E-71.9814091E-71.00.01.5742813E-68.491751E-78.491751E-71.00.01.9166706E-51.0338664E-51.0338664E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.0501122E-41.0501122E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-53.9322043E-56.9320864E-51.76290083.0E-51.503772E-41.6851352E-42.0850678E-41.23732974.0E-50.00182930470.00204996560.0020998631.02434065.0E-50.0181431940.0203351170.020442881.00529931.1E-4
6.13.5090034E-53.9322043E-56.9320864E-51.76290083.0E-51.503772E-41.6851352E-42.0850678E-41.23732974.0E-50.00182930470.00204996560.0020998631.02434065.0E-50.0181431940.0203351170.020442881.00529931.1E-4
6.21.841879E-52.0540641E-53.0540436E-51.48682981.0E-57.8935285E-58.80289E-51.0802714E-41.22717812.0E-59.606133E-40.0010713220.00109130051.01864852.0E-50.00956471450.0106711660.0107107391.00370844.0E-5
6.31.841879E-52.0540641E-53.0540436E-51.48682981.0E-57.8935285E-58.80289E-51.0802714E-41.22717812.0E-59.606133E-40.0010713220.00109130051.01864852.0E-50.00956471450.0106711660.0107107391.00370844.0E-5
6.41.712201E-51.9085184E-52.9084993E-51.52395671.0E-57.337798E-58.179162E-51.01789985E-41.24450392.0E-58.930107E-49.954537E-40.00101543381.02007142.0E-50.0088943070.009919380.0099589831.00399264.0E-5
6.51.4744935E-51.6426162E-52.6425998E-51.60877491.0E-56.3191044E-57.039644E-58.039574E-51.14204261.0E-57.6907943E-48.568286E-48.6682E-41.01166091.0E-50.0076642320.0085439970.0085737411.00348133.0E-5
6.61.2017839E-51.3389003E-51.3389003E-51.00.05.150401E-55.738065E-55.738065E-51.00.06.268809E-46.9846975E-46.9846975E-41.00.00.00625115450.0069710130.00699087331.0028492.0E-5
6.71.00956095E-51.1251043E-51.1251043E-51.00.04.326618E-54.8218335E-54.8218335E-51.00.05.266384E-45.869828E-45.869828E-41.00.00.0052539210.00586243350.0058723751.00169581.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-51.9123667E-56.912271E-53.61451155.0E-51.5653463E-48.1956E-51.5195027E-41.85404687.0E-50.00190414319.973587E-40.0011072491.11018131.1E-40.0188790990.0104618770.0105905171.01229611.3E-4
6.13.652694E-51.9123667E-56.912271E-53.61451155.0E-51.5653463E-48.1956E-51.5195027E-41.85404687.0E-50.00190414319.973587E-40.0011072491.11018131.1E-40.0188790990.0104618770.0105905171.01229611.3E-4
6.23.652694E-51.9123667E-56.912271E-53.61451155.0E-51.5653463E-48.1956E-51.5195027E-41.85404687.0E-50.00190414319.973587E-40.0011072491.11018131.1E-40.0188790990.0104618770.0105905171.01229611.3E-4
6.33.652694E-51.9123667E-56.912271E-53.61451155.0E-51.5653463E-48.1956E-51.5195027E-41.85404687.0E-50.00190414319.973587E-40.0011072491.11018131.1E-40.0188790990.0104618770.0105905171.01229611.3E-4
6.43.646941E-51.9049783E-56.904883E-53.6246525.0E-51.5628811E-48.163938E-51.5163366E-41.85735947.0E-50.00190114689.935074E-40.00110339821.11060881.1E-40.0188496450.0104237410.0105523861.01234151.3E-4
6.53.646941E-51.9049783E-56.904883E-53.6246525.0E-51.5628811E-48.163938E-51.5163366E-41.85735947.0E-50.00190114689.935074E-40.00110339821.11060881.1E-40.0188496450.0104237410.0105523861.01234151.3E-4
6.63.6442503E-51.9015279E-56.901433E-53.62941435.0E-51.561728E-48.149152E-51.5148582E-41.85891517.0E-50.00189974559.917088E-40.00110159981.11080971.1E-40.0188358690.0104059310.0105345781.01236281.3E-4
6.73.6432113E-51.9001733E-56.900078E-53.6312895.0E-51.5612828E-48.143346E-51.5142777E-41.85952757.0E-50.00189920449.910028E-40.00110089371.11088871.1E-40.0188305490.0103989390.01052758751.01237131.3E-4
6.83.6409598E-51.8972696E-56.897175E-53.63531615.0E-51.560318E-48.130902E-51.5130333E-41.86084317.0E-50.00189803189.894891E-40.00109938031.11105851.1E-40.0188190230.0103839460.0105125961.01238931.3E-4
6.93.638078E-51.893555E-56.8934605E-53.64048585.0E-51.5590832E-48.114985E-51.5114417E-41.86253187.0E-50.00189653119.875528E-40.00109744421.11127641.1E-40.0188042690.0103647660.0104934181.01241251.3E-4
7.03.6294874E-51.8824827E-56.882389E-53.6560175.0E-51.5554018E-48.067534E-51.5066969E-41.86760537.0E-50.00189205699.817809E-40.0010916731.11193131.1E-40.0187602840.0103075890.0104362491.0124821.3E-4
7.13.6260717E-51.8783401E-56.8782465E-53.66187455.0E-51.5539382E-48.049782E-51.5049218E-41.86951887.0E-50.0018902789.796215E-40.00108951381.11217821.1E-40.0187427960.0102862050.0104148681.01250831.3E-4
7.23.6210204E-51.8721825E-56.872089E-53.67062975.0E-51.5517735E-48.0233935E-51.5022831E-41.87237887.0E-50.0018876479.764117E-40.00108630431.11254741.1E-40.018716930.01025437750.0103830441.01254751.3E-4
7.33.6119454E-51.8623065E-55.862232E-53.1478344.0E-51.5478847E-47.98107E-51.3980591E-41.75171896.0E-50.00188292069.7126345E-40.00107116641.10285871.0E-40.0186704620.0102031450.0103219221.0116411.2E-4
7.43.607848E-51.8578636E-55.857789E-53.15297084.0E-51.5461289E-47.9620295E-51.3961553E-41.75351676.0E-50.00188078669.6894737E-40.00106885041.10310481.0E-40.0186494810.0101800550.0102988341.01166771.2E-4
7.53.5856774E-51.8425952E-55.8425216E-53.17081124.0E-51.5366284E-47.896598E-51.3896124E-41.75976096.0E-50.00186923969.609881E-40.00105090161.09356369.0E-50.0185359440.0100998670.0102087561.01078131.1E-4
7.63.286655E-51.7355145E-55.7354453E-53.30475194.0E-51.4084904E-47.437708E-51.3437262E-41.80664016.0E-50.0017134889.051658E-49.950843E-41.09933929.0E-50.0170033610.0095279310.0096368831.0114351.1E-4
7.72.8882527E-51.49309E-54.493045E-53.0092263.0E-51.237764E-46.3988E-51.139848E-41.78134645.0E-50.00150593577.787758E-48.5871347E-41.10264538.0E-50.0149577130.0082549910.0083541661.01201391.0E-4
7.82.4950225E-51.29115015E-54.2911113E-53.323483.0E-51.0692515E-45.5333832E-51.0533106E-41.90355635.0E-50.00130103626.734814E-47.534275E-41.11870578.0E-50.0129344550.0071868350.00728611651.01381431.0E-4
7.91.9881603E-59.548364E-62.9548173E-53.09457972.0E-58.520408E-54.092092E-58.0919286E-51.97745514.0E-50.0010368664.980985E-45.680636E-41.14046447.0E-50.0103204150.0053984350.0054879491.01658159.0E-5
8.01.563292E-56.66906E-62.6668926E-53.99890332.0E-56.6996516E-52.8581373E-54.85808E-51.69973652.0E-58.153773E-43.479228E-43.8790886E-41.1149284.0E-50.008123920.0038103820.00386019141.0130725.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-53.3191834E-63.3191834E-61.00.04.305063E-51.4224995E-51.4224995E-51.00.05.2401534E-41.7317565E-41.8317392E-41.05773481.0E-50.00522781440.00191398710.00193394881.01042942.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-63.3162064E-73.3162064E-71.00.01.7808914E-51.4212305E-61.4212305E-61.00.02.1680194E-41.7303346E-51.7303346E-51.00.00.00216590542.1531824E-42.1531824E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-65.2374972E-85.2374972E-81.00.05.4677976E-62.2446415E-72.2446415E-71.00.06.65684E-52.7328476E-62.7328476E-61.00.06.6548464E-43.6924714E-53.6924714E-51.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5457945E-51.1745627E-54.1745276E-53.55411223.0E-56.6246655E-55.0337436E-59.033542E-51.79459734.0E-58.062545E-46.1268726E-47.026321E-41.14680399.0E-50.0080333560.006110140.00623934581.0211461.3E-4
6.11.331886E-51.1745627E-54.1745276E-53.55411223.0E-55.707958E-55.0337436E-59.033542E-51.79459734.0E-56.947222E-46.1268726E-47.026321E-41.14680399.0E-50.0069255440.006110140.00623934581.0211461.3E-4
6.21.2250852E-51.0627708E-54.062739E-53.822783.0E-55.2502597E-54.554653E-58.554471E-51.87818284.0E-56.3903164E-45.543888E-46.343444E-41.14422318.0E-50.0063719710.00553016360.00564951.02157911.2E-4
6.31.2106258E-51.0473884E-54.047357E-53.86423683.0E-55.1882926E-54.4887307E-58.488551E-51.89108054.0E-56.3149154E-45.463668E-46.2632305E-41.14634188.0E-50.00629700070.0054503370.0055696831.0218971.2E-4
6.41.1348758E-59.680159E-63.9679868E-54.0990933.0E-54.8636626E-54.148574E-58.148408E-51.96414674.0E-55.919901E-45.049725E-45.849321E-41.15834458.0E-50.0059041550.00503833270.00515772771.02369741.2E-4
6.51.100837E-59.321686E-63.9321407E-54.2182723.0E-54.7177873E-53.994947E-57.994787E-52.00122484.0E-55.7423924E-44.8627693E-45.66238E-41.16443538.0E-50.0057275760.0048522070.00497162441.0246111.2E-4
6.61.0634696E-58.932177E-63.893191E-54.3586143.0E-54.557647E-53.82802E-57.827867E-52.04488664.0E-55.5475225E-44.6596237E-45.459251E-41.17160778.0E-50.00553369430.00464992740.0047693691.02568691.2E-4
6.79.9780855E-68.268147E-63.82679E-54.62835263.0E-54.276252E-53.5434437E-57.543302E-52.12880544.0E-55.205093E-44.3132948E-45.11295E-41.18539318.0E-50.00519291820.00430498920.0044244731.02775471.2E-4
6.89.59546E-67.882864E-63.788263E-54.8056933.0E-54.1122752E-53.378327E-57.378192E-52.1839784.0E-55.0055445E-44.1123424E-44.9120135E-41.19445638.0E-50.0049942850.0041047960.00422430361.02911411.2E-4
6.99.000614E-67.3437395E-63.7343518E-55.0850823.0E-53.857349E-53.1472795E-57.1471535E-52.2708994.0E-54.6953102E-43.831144E-44.6308376E-41.20873498.0E-50.0046854020.0038245990.00394414041.03125581.2E-4
7.07.4070194E-65.907011E-63.5906833E-56.07868053.0E-53.1743984E-52.5315518E-56.53145E-52.58001854.0E-53.8641447E-43.0817298E-43.8814833E-41.25951458.0E-50.00385743220.00307747420.0031971051.03887311.2E-4
7.16.299615E-64.865665E-63.486552E-57.16562273.0E-52.699807E-52.0852684E-56.085185E-52.91817834.0E-53.2865192E-42.5385196E-43.3383165E-41.31506438.0E-50.0032816630.00253563330.0026553291.04720541.2E-4
7.25.096653E-63.745131E-63.374502E-59.0103713.0E-52.1842614E-51.6050462E-55.604982E-53.49214.0E-52.6590136E-41.9539695E-42.7538132E-41.4093438.0E-50.00265583420.00195226170.00207202741.06134711.2E-4
7.33.9753018E-62.8022782E-63.2802192E-511.7055453.0E-51.7036897E-51.2009708E-54.200935E-53.49794913.0E-52.0740448E-41.4620846E-42.1619823E-41.47869857.0E-50.002072110.00146113010.00157096941.07517421.1E-4
7.43.0568392E-62.0642317E-62.206419E-510.6888152.0E-51.3100675E-58.846677E-62.88465E-53.26071572.0E-51.5948903E-41.07703025E-41.6769656E-41.55702756.0E-50.00159374610.0010765140.00116641711.08351319.0E-5
7.51.7279019E-61.1033513E-62.110333E-519.1265742.0E-57.405273E-64.72864E-62.4728546E-55.2295262.0E-59.015547E-55.756971E-51.17566255E-42.04215486.0E-59.01189E-45.755515E-46.6549965E-41.15628179.0E-5
7.61.1156416E-66.9338444E-71.0693378E-515.4220051.0E-54.7813123E-62.971644E-61.29716145E-54.36513041.0E-55.821092E-53.617919E-57.617774E-52.1055684.0E-55.8195676E-43.6173512E-44.3170978E-41.19344177.0E-5
7.79.117973E-86.597516E-81.00659745E-5152.572191.0E-53.907702E-72.8275065E-71.0282748E-536.366841.0E-54.757617E-63.442484E-61.344245E-53.9048691.0E-54.7575148E-53.4424334E-54.4423992E-51.29048221.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-52.9666668E-57.966519E-52.68534335.0E-51.1448149E-41.2713773E-41.7713137E-41.39322445.0E-50.0013929210.00154698980.00163685051.05808759.0E-50.0138422220.0153807820.0154989371.0076821.2E-4
6.12.671352E-52.9666668E-57.966519E-52.68534335.0E-51.1448149E-41.2713773E-41.7713137E-41.39322445.0E-50.0013929210.00154698980.00163685051.05808759.0E-50.0138422220.0153807820.0154989371.0076821.2E-4
6.21.4197047E-51.5732929E-51.5732929E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.742562E-56.742562E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.206919E-48.406755E-41.02434972.0E-50.0073804980.0081858640.0082057011.00242332.0E-5
6.31.4197047E-51.5732929E-51.5732929E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.742562E-56.742562E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.206919E-48.406755E-41.02434972.0E-50.0073804980.0081858640.0082057011.00242332.0E-5
6.41.3238931E-51.4670482E-51.4670482E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.287251E-56.287251E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.6529745E-47.852822E-41.02611362.0E-50.0068841260.00763580670.0076556541.00259922.0E-5
6.51.3238931E-51.4670482E-51.4670482E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.287251E-56.287251E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.6529745E-47.852822E-41.02611362.0E-50.0068841260.00763580670.0076556541.00259922.0E-5
6.61.1328278E-51.2564341E-51.2564341E-51.00.04.8548856E-55.384658E-55.384658E-51.00.05.90922E-46.5547624E-46.754631E-41.03049222.0E-50.00589353130.0065443890.00656425771.0030362.0E-5
6.78.651175E-69.602674E-69.602674E-61.00.03.707594E-54.1154155E-54.1154155E-51.00.04.5130608E-45.010231E-45.2101305E-41.03989832.0E-50.00450390620.00500740760.00502730771.00397412.0E-5
6.81.0215377E-61.1525608E-61.1525608E-61.00.04.378012E-64.9395376E-64.9395376E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.013732E-56.013732E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.0122134E-46.0122134E-41.00.0
6.97.9360774E-79.0904507E-79.0904507E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.895902E-63.895902E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.743164E-54.743164E-51.00.04.140076E-44.742219E-44.742219E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.5615466E-78.5615466E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.6692295E-63.6692295E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.467202E-54.467202E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.4663675E-44.4663675E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.5383247E-77.5383247E-71.00.02.773262E-63.2307069E-63.2307069E-61.00.03.376394E-53.9333205E-53.9333205E-51.00.03.375881E-43.932681E-43.932681E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.4170106E-77.4170106E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.1787154E-63.1787154E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.870023E-53.870023E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.8694058E-43.8694058E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.7445126E-76.7445126E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.8905024E-62.8905024E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.5191355E-53.5191355E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.518633E-43.518633E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.061468E-76.061468E-71.00.02.232704E-62.5977697E-62.5977697E-61.00.02.718283E-53.162744E-53.162744E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.162347E-43.162347E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.234057E-75.234057E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2431655E-62.2431655E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.731025E-52.731025E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7307402E-42.7307402E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.558734E-72.558734E-71.00.09.478797E-71.0965999E-61.0965999E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.335105E-51.335105E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.335052E-41.335052E-41.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9156345E-55.915547E-52.02890563.0E-51.235932E-41.2494993E-41.5494617E-41.24006623.0E-50.00150370850.00152023010.00157015411.03283985.0E-50.014935740.0151017660.0152101051.00717391.1E-4
6.12.883978E-52.9156345E-55.915547E-52.02890563.0E-51.235932E-41.2494993E-41.5494617E-41.24006623.0E-50.00150370850.00152023010.00157015411.03283985.0E-50.014935740.0151017660.0152101051.00717391.1E-4
6.22.883978E-52.9156345E-55.915547E-52.02890563.0E-51.235932E-41.2494993E-41.5494617E-41.24006623.0E-50.00150370850.00152023010.00157015411.03283985.0E-50.014935740.0151017660.0152101051.00717391.1E-4
6.32.2914428E-52.2776656E-53.277643E-51.4390361.0E-59.8200995E-59.761062E-51.0760964E-41.10243791.0E-50.00119494130.00118776610.00121773051.02522753.0E-50.0118853630.0118153440.0118943981.00669098.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9874205E-52.9874007E-51.50315481.0E-58.65503E-58.5172396E-59.517154E-51.1173991.0E-50.00105324050.00103648250.00106645141.02891413.0E-50.0104826260.0103173050.0103865821.00671477.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9588952E-52.9588755E-51.51048181.0E-58.53872E-58.3949955E-59.3949115E-51.11910861.0E-50.00103909340.00102161340.00105158261.02933533.0E-50.0103424810.010169980.0102392681.0068137.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7655795E-52.7655618E-51.56637631.0E-57.7556004E-57.5665506E-58.566475E-51.13215071.0E-59.438353E-49.208395E-49.5081184E-41.0325493.0E-50.0093983660.0091709570.0092304071.00648246.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6246962E-52.6246798E-51.61548971.0E-57.182612E-56.962798E-57.962729E-51.14361041.0E-58.7413215E-48.4739213E-48.773667E-41.03537273.0E-50.0087070170.008442290.0085017831.0070476.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4816686E-52.4816538E-51.67490471.0E-56.6003166E-56.349854E-57.349791E-51.15747391.0E-58.032922E-47.728214E-48.0279825E-41.03878883.0E-50.0080039470.00770197760.00776151571.00773026.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2884615E-52.2884486E-51.77610951.0E-55.8136946E-55.521861E-56.521806E-51.18108831.0E-57.0758746E-46.720797E-47.020595E-41.04460753.0E-50.0070533860.00670105130.00674078331.00592924.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1272167E-51.1272167E-51.00.05.155963E-54.8308393E-54.8308393E-51.00.06.275577E-45.879961E-45.979902E-41.01699691.0E-50.0062578840.00586493870.00588482151.00339012.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0166116E-51.0166116E-51.00.04.7025E-54.356834E-54.356834E-51.00.05.72379E-45.303155E-45.403102E-41.01884681.0E-50.00570906930.0052910270.0053109211.003762.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.110644E-69.110644E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.9045033E-53.9045033E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7526963E-44.8526487E-41.02103071.0E-50.005184530.0047430520.00476295731.00419662.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.795794E-67.795794E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.3410117E-53.3410117E-51.00.04.53901E-44.066923E-44.1668824E-41.02457861.0E-50.004529750.0040599930.0040799121.0049062.0E-5
7.47.866285E-66.9289754E-66.9289754E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9695271E-52.9695271E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6147996E-43.7147637E-41.0276541.0E-50.0040961190.003609430.00362935781.0055212.0E-5
7.56.8381305E-65.85832E-65.85832E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5106843E-52.5106843E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.0563297E-43.156299E-41.0327091.0E-50.00356169320.0030526340.00307257291.00653172.0E-5
7.65.503376E-64.4696103E-64.4696103E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9155332E-51.9155332E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.3319123E-42.3319123E-41.00.00.0028674720.0023299710.00233994771.00428191.0E-5
7.73.6144982E-62.519414E-62.519414E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.0797444E-51.0797444E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3145096E-41.3145096E-41.00.00.00188421960.00131423560.00131423561.00.0
7.81.9853494E-69.942676E-79.942676E-71.00.08.508612E-64.2611396E-64.2611396E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.1878138E-55.1878138E-51.00.00.00103539165.191614E-45.191614E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-64.0911448E-74.0911448E-71.00.05.0651715E-61.7533465E-61.7533465E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.1346785E-52.1346785E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.139205E-42.139205E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-71.8500897E-71.8500897E-71.00.02.9841215E-67.928954E-77.928954E-71.00.03.6331072E-59.653458E-69.653458E-61.00.03.6325134E-49.69381E-59.69381E-51.00.0
8.11.5033264E-74.5969944E-84.5969944E-81.00.06.442826E-71.9701405E-71.9701405E-71.00.07.844113E-62.3986433E-62.3986433E-61.00.07.843835E-52.400027E-52.400027E-51.00.0

San Pedro Escarpment

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.11.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.21.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.31.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.41.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.51.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.61.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.71.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.81.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
6.91.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
7.01.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
7.11.1740281E-61.03105E-64.103101E-539.795364.0E-55.031539E-64.4187786E-65.4418557E-512.3152935.0E-56.125726E-55.379737E-51.4379252E-42.67285429.0E-56.124038E-45.378498E-46.477906E-41.2044081.1E-4
7.21.1722314E-61.0292401E-64.1029198E-539.8635834.0E-55.023839E-64.411022E-65.44108E-512.3351915.0E-56.116352E-55.3702937E-51.436981E-42.6757969.0E-56.114669E-45.3690595E-46.468469E-41.20476761.1E-4
7.31.1515234E-61.008353E-63.1008323E-530.7514553.0E-54.935091E-64.321506E-64.4321332E-510.2559924.0E-56.008308E-55.261313E-51.3260893E-42.5204538.0E-56.0066837E-45.260131E-46.2596047E-41.19000941.0E-4
7.41.1103637E-69.667978E-73.096677E-532.0302473.0E-54.7586927E-64.1434128E-64.4143246E-510.6538384.0E-55.793554E-55.0444945E-51.3044091E-42.58580738.0E-55.792044E-45.0434127E-46.042908E-41.19817841.0E-4
7.51.0425391E-69.0545143E-73.0905423E-534.1326143.0E-54.4680173E-63.8805006E-64.3880344E-511.3079084.0E-55.439675E-54.7244135E-51.1724083E-42.48159557.0E-55.438344E-44.723472E-45.623047E-41.19044789.0E-5
7.67.0184194E-75.838369E-72.0583826E-535.2561262.0E-53.0078907E-62.502156E-63.250208E-512.9896313.0E-53.6620455E-53.0463369E-58.046185E-52.64126545.0E-53.661442E-43.0459667E-43.5458143E-41.16410155.0E-5
7.73.0871365E-72.2157847E-72.0221574E-591.261462.0E-51.3230577E-69.4962166E-72.0949603E-522.0609992.0E-51.610811E-51.1561583E-53.156135E-52.7298472.0E-51.6106942E-41.1560993E-41.3560761E-41.17297552.0E-5
7.85.7512665E-84.05028E-81.0040502E-5247.89651.0E-52.464828E-71.7358342E-71.0173581E-558.609181.0E-53.0009242E-62.1133762E-61.2113355E-55.73175531.0E-53.0008836E-52.1133581E-53.113337E-51.47317051.0E-5
7.96.040053E-93.3137102E-93.3137102E-91.00.02.5885942E-81.4201615E-81.4201615E-81.00.03.151613E-71.7290465E-71.7290465E-71.00.03.1516086E-61.7290453E-61.7290453E-61.00.0

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.264803E-56.264705E-51.91886163.0E-51.3160157E-41.3991338E-41.9990497E-41.42877676.0E-50.00160107140.00170224680.00178211071.04691678.0E-50.0158958510.0169054960.0170136351.00639681.1E-4
6.13.0708583E-53.264803E-56.264705E-51.91886163.0E-51.3160157E-41.3991338E-41.9990497E-41.42877676.0E-50.00160107140.00170224680.00178211071.04691678.0E-50.0158958510.0169054960.0170136351.00639681.1E-4
6.21.1707779E-51.2388914E-53.2388667E-52.61432652.0E-55.017523E-55.3094318E-59.3092196E-51.75333634.0E-56.107122E-46.4624095E-46.862151E-41.06185644.0E-50.0060903660.0064445620.00649424041.00770845.0E-5
6.31.1707779E-51.2388914E-53.2388667E-52.61432652.0E-55.017523E-55.3094318E-59.3092196E-51.75333634.0E-56.107122E-46.4624095E-46.862151E-41.06185644.0E-50.0060903660.0064445620.00649424041.00770845.0E-5
6.47.929244E-68.377521E-62.8377353E-53.3873212.0E-53.3982033E-53.590319E-57.590176E-52.1140674.0E-54.136527E-44.3703758E-44.770201E-41.09148534.0E-50.00412883560.0043621760.0044020021.00912984.0E-5
6.55.8832115E-66.2110544E-62.621093E-54.2200452.0E-52.521352E-52.6618547E-55.6617748E-52.12700373.0E-53.0693135E-43.240351E-43.540254E-41.09255253.0E-50.00306507780.00323587330.00326577641.00924113.0E-5
6.65.8832115E-66.2110544E-62.621093E-54.2200452.0E-52.521352E-52.6618547E-55.6617748E-52.12700373.0E-53.0693135E-43.240351E-43.540254E-41.09255253.0E-50.00306507780.00323587330.00326577641.00924113.0E-5
6.73.0715053E-63.2424093E-61.3242377E-54.08411651.0E-51.3163528E-51.3895972E-53.3895692E-52.4392462.0E-51.6025416E-41.6917146E-41.8916807E-41.11820332.0E-50.00160138650.00169053860.00171050491.01181052.0E-5
6.82.2722281E-62.3996254E-62.3996254E-61.00.09.738084E-61.0284074E-51.0284074E-51.00.01.1855473E-41.2520229E-41.2520229E-41.00.00.0011849150.00125140560.00125140561.00.0
6.99.952399E-71.052287E-61.052287E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5097963E-64.5097963E-61.00.05.1928873E-55.490589E-55.490589E-51.00.05.191674E-45.4897263E-45.4897263E-41.00.0
7.04.7385504E-75.01274E-75.01274E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.148317E-62.148317E-61.00.02.4724779E-52.615576E-52.615576E-51.00.02.4722028E-42.6155758E-42.6155758E-41.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.4160125E-52.5073885E-56.507288E-52.59524544.0E-51.03539285E-41.0745516E-41.6744871E-41.55831246.0E-50.00125986170.00130749470.0013973771.0687449.0E-50.012527430.0129995750.0130982751.00759261.0E-4
6.12.1156782E-52.1919479E-56.19186E-52.8248214.0E-59.066878E-59.39373E-51.3393354E-41.42577594.0E-50.00110333330.00114309750.0012030291.0524296.0E-50.0109787130.0113734250.0114426291.00608477.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.6707181E-52.6707015E-51.5985351.0E-56.9405796E-57.160026E-58.1599545E-51.13965431.0E-58.44688E-48.7138783E-48.913704E-41.02293192.0E-50.0084148440.0086801110.0087098511.00342623.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.3942421E-52.394228E-51.71722561.0E-55.811018E-55.975187E-56.975127E-51.16734871.0E-57.072618E-47.272375E-47.472229E-41.02748132.0E-50.00705015050.00724874760.007278531.00410873.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.2435047E-52.2434924E-51.80416871.0E-55.1944477E-55.3291977E-56.3291445E-51.18763551.0E-56.322405E-46.486374E-46.686244E-41.03081382.0E-50.0063044470.00646754770.0064973541.00460853.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-51.1631366E-52.163125E-51.85973421.0E-54.8647056E-54.9847764E-55.9847265E-51.20060091.0E-55.9211696E-46.067282E-46.2671606E-41.03294372.0E-50.00590541730.006050810.00608062841.0049283.0E-5
6.69.850605E-61.0065567E-52.0065467E-51.9934761.0E-54.2216197E-54.3137432E-55.3137002E-51.23180721.0E-55.1386096E-45.250721E-45.450616E-41.038072.0E-50.00512674360.00523837330.0052682161.0056973.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-69.030379E-61.9030289E-52.10736321.0E-53.7953152E-53.8701055E-54.8700666E-51.25838091.0E-54.6198163E-44.710838E-44.910744E-41.04243532.0E-50.0046102240.0047008990.00473075831.00635173.0E-5
6.87.67136E-67.798887E-61.779881E-52.28222441.0E-53.2876844E-53.3423374E-54.342304E-51.29918181.0E-54.0020206E-44.0685388E-44.2684574E-41.04913772.0E-50.0039948210.00406112940.00409100761.00735713.0E-5
6.96.534529E-66.618213E-61.6618147E-52.51097181.0E-52.8004823E-52.8363464E-53.8363178E-51.35255621.0E-53.4090536E-43.452707E-43.652638E-41.05790562.0E-50.00340382870.00344737460.0034772711.00867223.0E-5
7.05.460525E-65.503753E-61.5503698E-52.8169321.0E-52.3402039E-52.3587301E-53.3587065E-51.4239471.0E-52.8488258E-42.8713778E-43.0713205E-41.0696332.0E-50.00284517650.0028676940.00289760791.01043143.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-64.4894946E-61.4489449E-53.22741221.0E-51.9210609E-51.924055E-52.9240357E-51.51972571.0E-52.3386406E-42.3422872E-42.442264E-41.04268341.0E-50.0023361810.00233984130.00234981811.00426381.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.7639396E-62.7639396E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.1845402E-51.1845402E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.4420824E-41.4420824E-41.00.00.00147124570.00144114940.00144114941.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.981728E-61.981728E-61.00.08.847723E-68.4930925E-68.4930925E-61.00.01.0771569E-41.033985E-41.033985E-41.00.00.0010766350.00103350540.00103350541.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.6035897E-61.6035897E-61.00.07.27728E-66.872509E-66.872509E-61.00.08.8597284E-58.366958E-58.366958E-51.00.08.8561967E-48.3638215E-48.3638215E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.2571804E-61.2571804E-61.00.05.844708E-65.387905E-65.387905E-61.00.07.1156996E-56.559577E-56.559577E-51.00.07.1134215E-46.5576524E-46.5576524E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-78.583902E-78.583902E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.67881E-63.67881E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.478859E-54.478859E-51.00.05.113757E-44.4779672E-44.4779672E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.594542E-74.594542E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.9690879E-61.9690879E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.3973382E-52.3973382E-51.00.03.123022E-42.3970896E-42.3970896E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.6414165E-71.6414165E-71.00.01.2509914E-67.03464E-77.03464E-71.00.01.5230714E-58.564641E-68.564641E-61.00.01.522967E-48.564406E-58.564406E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.525278E-84.525278E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9394048E-71.9394048E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.3612226E-62.3612226E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.3612916E-52.3612916E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-96.0324845E-106.0324845E-101.00.01.4488451E-82.5853495E-92.5853495E-91.00.01.7639688E-73.147663E-83.147663E-81.00.01.7639674E-63.1562323E-73.1562323E-71.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.969502E-62.8969323E-53.2297582.0E-53.787163E-53.8440205E-55.8439433E-51.52026862.0E-54.609895E-44.679168E-45.078981E-41.08544534.0E-50.00460034380.0046700930.00475967261.01918169.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.969502E-62.8969323E-53.2297582.0E-53.787163E-53.8440205E-55.8439433E-51.52026862.0E-54.609895E-44.679168E-45.078981E-41.08544534.0E-50.00460034380.0046700930.00475967261.01918169.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.969502E-62.8969323E-53.2297582.0E-53.787163E-53.8440205E-55.8439433E-51.52026862.0E-54.609895E-44.679168E-45.078981E-41.08544534.0E-50.00460034380.0046700930.00475967261.01918169.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.969502E-62.8969323E-53.2297582.0E-53.787163E-53.8440205E-55.8439433E-51.52026862.0E-54.609895E-44.679168E-45.078981E-41.08544534.0E-50.00460034380.0046700930.00475967261.01918169.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.962593E-63.962593E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6982432E-51.6982432E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0674178E-42.2673764E-41.0967192.0E-50.00203780390.0020655230.00210544051.01932564.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.962593E-63.962593E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6982432E-51.6982432E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0674178E-42.2673764E-41.0967192.0E-50.00203780390.0020655230.00210544051.01932564.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0995086E-63.0995086E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3283541E-51.3283541E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6171523E-41.6171523E-41.00.00.00159475340.00161598740.00163595521.01235632.0E-5
6.72.6160574E-62.6506127E-62.6506127E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.135972E-51.135972E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3829587E-41.3829587E-41.00.00.00136409190.00138210420.00140207671.01445072.0E-5
6.82.5110312E-62.5439988E-62.5439988E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.0902807E-51.0902807E-51.00.01.310136E-41.3273364E-41.3273364E-41.00.00.00130936390.00132654960.0013465231.01505672.0E-5
6.91.8564405E-61.8803554E-61.8803554E-61.00.07.95615E-68.0586415E-68.0586415E-61.00.09.686181E-59.810956E-59.810956E-51.00.09.68196E-49.806645E-49.906547E-41.01018711.0E-5
7.01.546127E-61.5657929E-61.5657929E-61.00.06.626242E-66.710524E-66.710524E-61.00.08.06715E-58.1697566E-58.1697566E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.1667607E-48.2666794E-41.01223481.0E-5
7.11.3368208E-61.3531732E-61.3531732E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.7993007E-65.7993007E-61.00.06.975101E-57.0604205E-57.0604205E-51.00.06.972912E-47.058182E-47.058182E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0741112E-61.0741112E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.6033256E-64.6033256E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.604405E-55.604405E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.6029944E-45.6029944E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.901722E-77.901722E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3864478E-63.3864478E-61.00.04.086376E-54.1229225E-54.1229225E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.122159E-44.122159E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.9936565E-75.9936565E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5687075E-62.5687075E-61.00.03.107648E-53.1273565E-53.1273565E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.1269173E-43.1269173E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1695623E-74.1695623E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.786954E-61.786954E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1755948E-52.1755948E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1753824E-42.1753824E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3576203E-72.3576203E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0104083E-61.0104083E-61.00.01.242678E-51.2301652E-51.2301652E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.2300973E-41.2300973E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.4099455E-89.4099455E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.032833E-74.032833E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.9099635E-64.9099635E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.909855E-54.909855E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.8401407E-82.8401407E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.2172032E-71.2172032E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.4819439E-61.4819439E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.481934E-51.481934E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.0360129E-81.0360129E-81.00.07.12496E-84.4400554E-84.4400554E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.405766E-75.405766E-71.00.08.674601E-65.405753E-65.405753E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-92.4474296E-92.4474296E-91.00.02.715099E-81.0488982E-81.0488982E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.2770336E-71.2770336E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.2770329E-61.2770329E-61.00.0

San Jose

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0851277E-64.0097516E-66.400951E-515.963466.0E-52.1793223E-51.7184551E-57.718352E-54.4914486.0E-52.653002E-42.0920442E-42.8918768E-41.38232118.0E-50.00264983670.00209049830.00219028931.04773551.0E-4
6.15.0851277E-64.0097516E-66.400951E-515.963466.0E-52.1793223E-51.7184551E-57.718352E-54.4914486.0E-52.653002E-42.0920442E-42.8918768E-41.38232118.0E-50.00264983670.00209049830.00219028931.04773551.0E-4
6.25.0851277E-64.0097516E-66.400951E-515.963466.0E-52.1793223E-51.7184551E-57.718352E-54.4914486.0E-52.653002E-42.0920442E-42.8918768E-41.38232118.0E-50.00264983670.00209049830.00219028931.04773551.0E-4
6.35.0851277E-64.0097516E-66.400951E-515.963466.0E-52.1793223E-51.7184551E-57.718352E-54.4914486.0E-52.653002E-42.0920442E-42.8918768E-41.38232118.0E-50.00264983670.00209049830.00219028931.04773551.0E-4
6.44.3115124E-63.212993E-66.32128E-519.6741166.0E-51.8477778E-51.376991E-57.3769086E-55.3572676.0E-52.2494372E-41.6763793E-42.4762453E-41.4771398.0E-50.00224716170.00167549750.00177532991.05958381.0E-4
6.54.3115124E-63.212993E-66.32128E-519.6741166.0E-51.8477778E-51.376991E-57.3769086E-55.3572676.0E-52.2494372E-41.6763793E-42.4762453E-41.4771398.0E-50.00224716170.00167549750.00177532991.05958381.0E-4
6.63.110396E-61.9769354E-64.1976855E-521.2332954.0E-51.33302E-58.472554E-64.8472215E-55.7210864.0E-51.622831E-41.0314874E-41.4314461E-41.38774964.0E-50.00162164650.00103120410.00109114221.05812446.0E-5
6.73.110396E-61.9769354E-64.1976855E-521.2332954.0E-51.33302E-58.472554E-64.8472215E-55.7210864.0E-51.622831E-41.0314874E-41.4314461E-41.38774964.0E-50.00162164650.00103120410.00109114221.05812446.0E-5
6.82.856651E-61.8018864E-64.1801813E-523.1989174.0E-51.2242733E-57.7223485E-64.772204E-56.17973144.0E-51.4904508E-49.401578E-51.3401202E-41.42542054.0E-50.00148945159.399526E-49.998962E-41.0637736.0E-5
6.92.1618725E-61.3253589E-62.1325332E-516.0902332.0E-59.265135E-65.6800977E-62.5679983E-54.5210462.0E-51.12797185E-46.915307E-58.915169E-51.28919352.0E-50.00112739956.914927E-47.2147197E-41.04335443.0E-5
7.01.9684312E-61.234092E-62.1234067E-517.2062282.0E-58.436106E-65.2889554E-62.528885E-54.7814452.0E-51.02704755E-46.4391206E-58.438992E-51.31058142.0E-50.0010265736.439021E-46.738828E-41.04656093.0E-5
7.11.6070337E-61.0297958E-62.1029775E-520.4213072.0E-56.887269E-64.4134035E-62.4413315E-55.531632.0E-58.384928E-55.3731917E-57.3730844E-51.37219822.0E-58.3817646E-45.3736405E-45.673479E-41.0557983.0E-5
7.21.0631658E-65.7826776E-71.0578262E-518.2930161.0E-54.556417E-62.478288E-61.2478264E-55.0350331.0E-55.5472963E-53.0172752E-54.017245E-51.33141481.0E-55.545912E-43.018571E-43.1185406E-41.03311821.0E-5
7.37.060711E-74.0879536E-71.0408791E-525.4621091.0E-53.0260155E-61.751979E-61.1751961E-56.70782141.0E-53.6841117E-52.1330143E-53.1329928E-51.46881011.0E-53.6835007E-42.1345109E-42.2344895E-41.04683911.0E-5
7.43.3677085E-71.9813471E-71.9813471E-71.00.01.4433028E-68.4914853E-78.4914853E-71.00.01.757207E-51.0338336E-51.0338336E-51.00.01.7570681E-41.03548155E-41.03548155E-41.00.0
7.53.129161E-71.673457E-71.673457E-71.00.01.3410682E-67.171957E-77.171957E-71.00.01.6327383E-58.731825E-68.731825E-61.00.01.6326184E-48.748439E-58.748439E-51.00.0
7.62.8008668E-71.2314749E-71.2314749E-71.00.01.2003709E-65.277749E-75.277749E-71.00.01.46144175E-56.4256415E-66.4256415E-61.00.01.4613457E-46.442392E-56.442392E-51.00.0
7.72.7852005E-71.2118555E-71.2118555E-71.00.01.1936568E-65.1936655E-75.1936655E-71.00.01.4532674E-56.323271E-66.323271E-61.00.01.4531724E-46.340027E-56.340027E-51.00.0
7.81.1810797E-76.8152076E-86.8152076E-81.00.05.0617695E-72.920803E-72.920803E-71.00.06.1626865E-63.5560724E-63.5560724E-61.00.06.162516E-53.5715348E-53.5715348E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Lower CFM)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1766498E-62.0915231E-63.209146E-515.3435833.0E-59.328466E-68.963648E-66.896311E-57.6936436.0E-51.1356815E-41.0912839E-41.6912185E-41.5497516.0E-50.00113510130.00109088940.00119078031.09156841.0E-4
6.12.1766498E-62.0915231E-63.209146E-515.3435833.0E-59.328466E-68.963648E-66.896311E-57.6936436.0E-51.1356815E-41.0912839E-41.6912185E-41.5497516.0E-50.00113510130.00109088940.00119078031.09156841.0E-4
6.21.0031182E-69.08423E-72.0908405E-523.0161552.0E-54.299071E-63.8932358E-65.389304E-513.8427375.0E-55.2339932E-54.7399215E-59.739685E-52.05481985.0E-55.2327604E-44.7390084E-45.4386765E-41.14764027.0E-5
6.31.0031182E-69.08423E-72.0908405E-523.0161552.0E-54.299071E-63.8932358E-65.389304E-513.8427375.0E-55.2339932E-54.7399215E-59.739685E-52.05481985.0E-55.2327604E-44.7390084E-45.4386765E-41.14764027.0E-5
6.46.9606244E-75.994164E-72.0599404E-534.3657652.0E-52.9831212E-62.5689249E-65.2568797E-520.4633455.0E-53.6318896E-53.1276213E-58.127465E-52.5986095.0E-53.6312963E-43.1271836E-43.7269958E-41.1918066.0E-5
6.56.901879E-75.934982E-72.0593487E-534.698482.0E-52.9579448E-62.5435613E-65.2543433E-520.6574295.0E-53.6012385E-53.096742E-58.0965874E-52.614555.0E-53.600655E-43.096313E-43.696127E-41.19371896.0E-5
6.66.4198554E-75.4499327E-72.0544983E-537.6976782.0E-52.7513638E-62.3356833E-65.2335567E-522.4069615.0E-53.3497337E-52.8436574E-57.843515E-52.7582495.0E-53.349229E-42.843295E-43.4431243E-41.21096286.0E-5
6.76.138733E-75.167145E-72.0516703E-539.7060742.0E-52.6308828E-62.2144889E-65.221438E-523.5785245.0E-53.203053E-52.696107E-57.6959725E-52.85447575.0E-53.2025913E-42.695781E-43.2956194E-41.222516.0E-5
6.85.84778E-74.907346E-72.0490725E-541.7552072.0E-52.506189E-62.1031465E-65.210304E-524.7738535.0E-53.0512423E-52.5605508E-57.560423E-52.95265485.0E-53.0508233E-42.5602567E-43.1601032E-41.23429146.0E-5
6.95.322785E-74.486244E-72.0448615E-545.58072.0E-52.2811914E-61.9226745E-65.192258E-527.0053925.0E-52.7773152E-52.3408313E-57.3407144E-53.13594345.0E-52.7769682E-42.3405855E-42.8404687E-41.21357185.0E-5
7.04.8147206E-74.020342E-72.0402025E-550.746992.0E-52.06345E-61.7230025E-64.1722935E-524.2152484.0E-52.5122214E-52.0977353E-56.0976516E-52.9067784.0E-52.5119373E-42.0975382E-42.4974544E-41.19065984.0E-5
7.14.1932955E-73.462453E-71.0346242E-529.8812481.0E-51.7971255E-61.4839075E-63.148386E-521.2168643.0E-52.1879783E-51.8066425E-54.8065882E-52.66050893.0E-52.1877629E-41.806496E-42.1064418E-41.16603733.0E-5
7.23.426051E-72.7116866E-71.0271166E-537.8774071.0E-51.4683067E-61.1621507E-62.1162128E-518.2094522.0E-51.7876488E-51.4149094E-53.4148812E-52.41349822.0E-51.787505E-41.4148196E-41.6147913E-41.14134072.0E-5
7.32.7771645E-72.150054E-71.0215003E-547.510451.0E-51.1902127E-69.214514E-72.0921432E-522.704872.0E-51.4490744E-51.1218613E-53.1218387E-52.78273182.0E-51.4489799E-41.1218048E-41.3217823E-41.17826412.0E-5
7.42.2756493E-71.7303724E-71.0173036E-558.791021.0E-59.752779E-77.415879E-72.0741572E-527.9691352.0E-51.1873944E-59.028795E-62.9028615E-53.2151152.0E-51.18733085E-49.02843E-51.102825E-41.22150242.0E-5
7.51.7874558E-71.3086895E-71.0130868E-577.412311.0E-57.660522E-75.608668E-72.0560856E-536.659072.0E-59.326646E-66.828532E-62.6828395E-53.9288672.0E-59.326255E-56.828324E-58.828187E-51.29287772.0E-5
7.61.3124549E-78.888898E-81.0088888E-5113.499871.0E-55.624805E-73.809527E-72.0380945E-553.4999352.0E-56.8481786E-64.6380896E-62.4637997E-55.31210042.0E-56.8479676E-54.637994E-56.637901E-51.43120092.0E-5
7.78.439993E-84.7951108E-84.7951108E-81.00.03.6171392E-72.0550472E-72.0550472E-71.00.04.403858E-62.5020172E-62.5020172E-61.00.04.4037708E-52.5019903E-52.5019903E-51.00.0
7.81.2591407E-86.7557115E-96.7557115E-91.00.05.3963173E-82.8953046E-82.8953046E-81.00.06.570014E-73.525033E-73.525033E-71.00.06.5699946E-63.5250273E-63.5250273E-61.00.0
7.92.8324232E-112.050693E-112.050693E-111.00.01.2138957E-108.78867E-118.78867E-111.00.01.4779177E-91.0700206E-91.0700206E-91.00.01.4779177E-81.0700206E-81.0700206E-81.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.86988E-53.5734723E-54.5734367E-51.27982991.0E-51.6584145E-41.5314025E-41.6313871E-41.06528961.0E-50.00201724980.00186296410.00190288971.02143124.0E-50.019990360.0184788350.0185769871.00531161.0E-4
6.13.86988E-53.5734723E-54.5734367E-51.27982991.0E-51.6584145E-41.5314025E-41.6313871E-41.06528961.0E-50.00201724980.00186296410.00190288971.02143124.0E-50.019990360.0184788350.0185769871.00531161.0E-4
6.22.8844734E-52.582607E-53.582581E-51.38719571.0E-51.2361443E-41.1067861E-41.206775E-41.09034171.0E-50.00150396650.00134670560.00138665181.02966214.0E-50.01493828650.0133867330.01346566251.00589618.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.023381E-53.0233608E-51.49421231.0E-59.9302975E-58.67135E-59.671263E-51.11531231.0E-50.00120834310.0010552350.00109519291.03786624.0E-50.0120179380.0105037970.0105730611.00659437.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.7274737E-52.7274564E-51.578871.0E-58.599689E-57.403253E-58.403179E-51.13506581.0E-50.00104650929.009803E-49.309533E-41.0332673.0E-50.0104159460.0089692540.0090287151.00662956.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.5125665E-52.5125513E-51.66111791.0E-57.615444E-56.48227E-57.482205E-51.15425691.0E-59.267859E-47.889355E-48.189118E-41.03799593.0E-50.0092293030.0078699310.0079294591.0075646.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.2808197E-52.280807E-51.780741.0E-56.52585E-55.489114E-56.489059E-51.18216871.0E-57.942326E-46.680985E-46.980785E-41.04487363.0E-50.0079140.00666130330.0067209041.00894736.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.0593359E-52.0593254E-51.94397761.0E-55.4444143E-54.5399338E-55.5398883E-51.22025751.0E-56.626558E-45.525999E-45.825833E-41.05425883.0E-50.0066068330.00551258630.00557225571.01082426.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-59.6989E-61.9698802E-52.03103471.0E-54.9520135E-54.156607E-55.1565654E-51.24057091.0E-56.0274085E-45.059524E-45.359372E-41.05926413.0E-50.00601108650.00504831640.00510801331.01182526.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.3492033E-61.734913E-52.36068181.0E-53.7422655E-53.1496216E-54.1495903E-51.31748841.0E-54.5552556E-43.834012E-44.133897E-41.0782173.0E-50.00454592940.00382762170.00388739191.01561566.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-64.885518E-61.488547E-53.04685571.0E-52.5430107E-52.0937769E-53.0937557E-51.47759581.0E-53.0956755E-42.5488762E-42.8488E-41.11766893.0E-50.00309136670.00254596680.0026058141.02350666.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.004297E-61.4004257E-53.49730731.0E-52.1485863E-51.7161161E-52.7160988E-51.58270121.0E-52.6155898E-42.0891719E-42.3891093E-41.14356763.0E-50.00261251330.00208721850.00214709321.02868646.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.1486293E-61.3148598E-54.17597531.0E-51.7660293E-51.3494056E-52.3493922E-51.7410571.0E-52.1499286E-41.6427782E-41.942729E-41.18258753.0E-50.00214784990.00164157250.0017014741.03649036.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.3441114E-61.2344088E-55.2659991.0E-51.374903E-51.0046154E-52.0046053E-51.99539581.0E-51.6738157E-41.2230512E-41.5230145E-41.24525823.0E-50.00167255560.00122238440.0012823111.04902436.0E-5
7.42.4194755E-61.696546E-61.1696529E-56.8943191.0E-51.0369139E-57.270891E-61.7270819E-52.37533741.0E-51.2623696E-48.851955E-51.18516895E-41.33887823.0E-50.00126165278.848478E-49.447947E-41.06774836.0E-5
7.51.3842889E-68.986295E-71.08986205E-512.1280471.0E-55.9326535E-63.8512635E-61.3851225E-53.59654051.0E-57.222766E-54.688816E-57.6886754E-51.63979043.0E-57.220419E-44.6878585E-45.287577E-41.12793026.0E-5
7.61.0021575E-66.13585E-71.06135785E-517.2976511.0E-54.2949537E-62.6296473E-61.2629621E-54.80278161.0E-55.2289808E-53.2015505E-56.2014544E-51.9370163.0E-55.2277505E-43.2011085E-43.8009166E-41.18737516.0E-5
7.78.7620116E-86.313557E-81.0063135E-5159.389311.0E-53.7551473E-72.7058098E-71.0270578E-537.95751.0E-54.5718825E-63.294319E-61.3294286E-54.03551861.0E-54.5717883E-53.2942728E-54.29424E-51.30354711.0E-5

Casmalia 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1704893E-64.2369616E-62.4236877E-55.7203442.0E-51.7873403E-51.815828E-53.815792E-52.10140592.0E-52.1758694E-42.2105484E-42.8104158E-41.27136596.0E-50.00217374020.00220837020.00230814961.04518221.0E-4
6.14.1704893E-64.2369616E-62.4236877E-55.7203442.0E-51.7873403E-51.815828E-53.815792E-52.10140592.0E-52.1758694E-42.2105484E-42.8104158E-41.27136596.0E-50.00217374020.00220837020.00230814961.04518221.0E-4
6.23.457312E-63.5136957E-62.3513625E-56.69199282.0E-51.4816967E-51.5058609E-53.5058307E-52.32812382.0E-51.8038164E-41.8332322E-42.4331223E-41.32723086.0E-50.0018023530.00183172930.00193154611.05449321.0E-4
6.33.457312E-63.5136957E-62.3513625E-56.69199282.0E-51.4816967E-51.5058609E-53.5058307E-52.32812382.0E-51.8038164E-41.8332322E-42.4331223E-41.32723086.0E-50.0018023530.00183172930.00193154611.05449321.0E-4
6.43.0957337E-63.1470106E-62.3146948E-57.35521752.0E-51.3267363E-51.3487119E-53.348685E-52.48287632.0E-51.6151817E-41.6419336E-42.241835E-41.36536286.0E-50.00161400830.00164072660.00174056251.06084861.0E-4
6.53.0957337E-63.1470106E-62.3146948E-57.35521752.0E-51.3267363E-51.3487119E-53.348685E-52.48287632.0E-51.6151817E-41.6419336E-42.241835E-41.36536286.0E-50.00161400830.00164072660.00174056251.06084861.0E-4
6.62.9459152E-62.9948671E-62.2994807E-57.67807252.0E-51.262529E-51.2835082E-53.2834825E-52.55820922.0E-51.5370206E-41.5625596E-42.162466E-41.38392536.0E-50.00153595790.00156146660.00166131041.06394231.0E-4
6.72.8634809E-62.9110638E-62.2911006E-57.8703212.0E-51.2272003E-51.2475928E-53.247568E-52.60306722.0E-51.4940138E-41.5188388E-42.1187478E-41.39497866.0E-50.00149300990.00151780620.00161765451.06578461.0E-4
6.82.7999822E-62.8464353E-62.2846378E-58.0263122.0E-51.1999869E-51.21989515E-53.2198706E-52.6394652.0E-51.460886E-41.4851216E-42.0850325E-41.40394746.0E-50.0014599260.00148413440.0015839861.06727931.0E-4
6.92.551052E-62.5920115E-62.259196E-58.7159952.0E-51.0933034E-51.1108574E-53.1108353E-52.80039122.0E-51.3310155E-41.3523853E-41.9523042E-41.44360056.0E-50.00133021860.00135156630.00145143121.07388821.0E-4
7.02.3081875E-62.3436628E-62.2343616E-59.533632.0E-59.892195E-61.0044231E-53.004403E-52.99117282.0E-51.20430814E-41.2228168E-41.8227434E-41.49061046.0E-50.00120365570.00122214670.00132202451.08172321.0E-4
7.12.093245E-62.124014E-62.2123972E-510.4161152.0E-58.971019E-69.102885E-62.9102703E-53.19708562.0E-51.09216686E-41.10822E-41.7081536E-41.54134876.0E-50.00109163020.00110766940.00120755871.09017971.0E-4
7.21.9714576E-61.9994181E-62.1999378E-511.0028912.0E-58.449076E-68.568906E-62.8568735E-53.3342.0E-51.0286264E-41.0432146E-41.643152E-41.57508536.0E-50.00102815040.00104272670.00114262241.09580241.0E-4
7.31.6689512E-61.6893033E-62.168927E-512.839182.0E-57.1526288E-67.239851E-62.7239706E-53.76246762.0E-58.7079774E-58.814163E-51.3813723E-41.56721885.0E-58.7045657E-48.810675E-49.60997E-41.0907198.0E-5
7.41.4490954E-61.4637442E-62.1463715E-514.6635692.0E-56.210394E-66.2731747E-62.6273048E-54.18815852.0E-57.560892E-57.637323E-51.2636941E-41.65462975.0E-57.55832E-47.634704E-48.4340933E-41.10470468.0E-5
7.51.226873E-61.235387E-61.1235375E-59.0946191.0E-55.2580162E-65.294505E-61.5294452E-52.88874051.0E-56.401447E-56.44587E-51.0445612E-41.62051244.0E-56.399603E-46.4440054E-47.1435544E-41.1085587.0E-5
7.69.2561345E-79.253663E-71.0925357E-511.8065211.0E-53.966909E-63.96585E-61.396581E-53.52151781.0E-54.8296046E-54.8283153E-55.8282672E-51.20710161.0E-54.828555E-44.8272702E-45.127125E-41.0621173.0E-5
7.75.4367933E-75.3120135E-71.05311965E-519.8252431.0E-52.3300522E-62.2765753E-61.2276552E-55.3925531.0E-52.8368017E-52.7716953E-53.7716676E-51.360781.0E-52.8364395E-42.7713508E-42.871323E-41.03607341.0E-5
7.81.8825742E-71.681611E-71.016816E-560.4667741.0E-58.068173E-77.206902E-71.0720683E-514.8755771.0E-59.822956E-68.774368E-61.877428E-52.13967321.0E-59.822522E-58.774024E-59.7739365E-51.11396281.0E-5
7.96.342771E-84.2887848E-81.0042887E-5234.166281.0E-52.7183304E-71.8380506E-71.0183803E-555.405461.0E-53.3095623E-62.2378242E-61.22378015E-55.4686161.0E-53.309513E-52.237802E-53.2377797E-51.44685711.0E-5
8.01.2574819E-85.2366627E-95.2366627E-91.00.05.3892084E-82.2442842E-82.2442842E-81.00.06.561359E-72.7324157E-72.7324157E-71.00.06.56134E-62.7324124E-62.7324124E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6490888E-55.196961E-57.196857E-51.38482022.0E-51.9923145E-42.2270852E-42.8269517E-41.26935046.0E-50.00242294440.00270821480.0027780251.02577737.0E-50.0239669640.0267650150.0268623381.00363621.0E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.2355172E-54.2355172E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.8151E-42.1150455E-41.16525023.0E-50.00197775240.0022077250.0022476371.01807824.0E-50.0196024310.0218669850.0219256731.00268396.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.174732E-53.174732E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.3605299E-41.660489E-41.22047233.0E-50.00149357390.001655210.00169514391.02412624.0E-50.01483575350.0164316370.016470981.00239434.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.174732E-53.174732E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.3605299E-41.660489E-41.22047233.0E-50.00149357390.001655210.00169514391.02412624.0E-50.01483575350.0164316370.016470981.00239434.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.4447794E-52.4447794E-51.00.09.5159E-51.047721E-41.3476897E-41.28630583.0E-50.0011579450.0012748630.00130482471.0235023.0E-50.0115192980.01267662550.0127062451.00233653.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.3103496E-52.3103496E-51.00.09.0017624E-59.901127E-51.290083E-41.30296583.0E-50.00109541360.0012048040.00123476781.02487033.0E-50.0109002960.0119837490.0120133911.00247343.0E-5
6.61.820557E-51.9963418E-51.9963418E-51.00.07.802154E-58.555473E-51.0555302E-41.23374842.0E-59.4949827E-40.00104113610.00106111531.01918982.0E-50.0094545160.0103632050.0103829991.00190992.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7372024E-51.7372024E-51.00.06.807459E-57.444942E-58.444867E-51.13430941.0E-58.284929E-49.060473E-49.1603823E-41.0110271.0E-50.0082541090.00902386850.0090337781.00109821.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.5660573E-51.5660573E-51.00.06.141786E-56.711503E-57.711436E-51.14898791.0E-57.4750587E-48.1682095E-48.268128E-41.01223251.0E-50.00744996450.0081384320.0081483511.00121881.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.3736672E-51.3736672E-51.00.05.3888325E-55.8870133E-56.886954E-51.16985551.0E-56.558929E-47.165095E-47.2650233E-41.01394651.0E-50.00653960370.0071421650.00715209361.00139011.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.1886011E-51.1886011E-51.00.04.664421E-55.0939056E-56.0938546E-51.1963031.0E-55.677453E-46.2000746E-46.3000125E-41.01611891.0E-50.005662970.0061828950.0061928331.00160741.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.0258423E-51.0258423E-51.00.04.025547E-54.3963933E-55.3963493E-51.22744921.0E-54.900001E-45.3513015E-45.4512476E-41.0186771.0E-50.00488921070.00533850440.0053484511.00186321.0E-5
7.28.190791E-68.952273E-68.952273E-61.00.03.510292E-53.8366325E-54.836594E-51.26063531.0E-54.2729423E-44.670105E-44.7700584E-41.02140281.0E-50.00426473560.0046603650.00467031871.00213581.0E-5
7.36.268162E-66.8563936E-66.8563936E-61.00.02.6863276E-52.9384215E-52.9384215E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.5769446E-43.5769446E-41.00.00.0032653050.003571230.003571231.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.456278E-65.456278E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.338384E-52.338384E-51.00.02.600867E-42.8466142E-42.8466142E-41.00.00.0025978250.00284300650.00284300651.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9070897E-61.9070897E-61.00.07.495527E-68.173217E-68.173217E-61.00.09.125422E-59.950458E-59.950458E-51.00.09.1216754E-49.946207E-49.946207E-41.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7429355E-71.7429355E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.4697215E-77.4697215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.0943495E-69.0943495E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.093997E-59.093997E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-52.0156462E-54.015606E-51.99221772.0E-51.742787E-48.638199E-51.2637852E-41.46301954.0E-50.00211977820.00105119430.00113111011.07602398.0E-50.0209967140.0109931820.0110920821.00899661.0E-4
6.14.0667746E-52.0156462E-54.015606E-51.99221772.0E-51.742787E-48.638199E-51.2637852E-41.46301954.0E-50.00211977820.00105119430.00113111011.07602398.0E-50.0209967140.0109931820.0110920821.00899661.0E-4
6.24.0667746E-52.0156462E-54.015606E-51.99221772.0E-51.742787E-48.638199E-51.2637852E-41.46301954.0E-50.00211977820.00105119430.00113111011.07602398.0E-50.0209967140.0109931820.0110920821.00899661.0E-4
6.34.0667746E-52.0156462E-54.015606E-51.99221772.0E-51.742787E-48.638199E-51.2637852E-41.46301954.0E-50.00211977820.00105119430.00113111011.07602398.0E-50.0209967140.0109931820.0110920821.00899661.0E-4
6.44.0577226E-52.0036545E-54.0036142E-51.99815622.0E-51.738908E-48.586808E-51.2586465E-41.46579094.0E-50.00211506480.00104494390.00112486031.07647918.0E-50.0209504720.0109313430.011030251.0090481.0E-4
6.54.0577226E-52.0036545E-54.0036142E-51.99815622.0E-51.738908E-48.586808E-51.2586465E-41.46579094.0E-50.00211506480.00104494390.00112486031.07647918.0E-50.0209504720.0109313430.011030251.0090481.0E-4
6.64.053861E-51.9985373E-53.9984974E-52.0007122.0E-51.7372532E-48.56488E-51.2564537E-41.46698344.0E-50.00211305380.00104227690.00112219341.0766758.0E-50.0209307430.0109049560.0110038651.00907021.0E-4
6.74.0516545E-51.9956375E-53.9955976E-52.0021662.0E-51.7363077E-48.552452E-51.2552111E-41.46766214.0E-50.0021119050.00104076530.00112068211.07678658.0E-50.0209194680.010890.0109889111.00908281.0E-4
6.84.049434E-51.9930187E-53.992979E-52.00348282.0E-51.7353562E-48.54123E-51.2540889E-41.46827664.0E-50.00211074880.00103940030.00111931711.07688758.0E-50.0209081250.0108764570.010975371.00909411.0E-4
6.94.046386E-51.9896024E-53.9895625E-52.00520592.0E-51.73405E-48.52659E-51.252625E-41.46908074.0E-50.00210916160.00103761970.00111753661.07701968.0E-50.0208925530.0108587720.0109576871.00910911.0E-4
7.04.036382E-51.9787587E-53.978719E-52.01071482.0E-51.7297632E-48.48012E-51.247978E-41.47165144.0E-50.00210395250.00103196720.00111188461.07744188.0E-50.020841440.010802580.01090150051.00915711.0E-4
7.14.0343282E-51.9768724E-53.976833E-52.01167922.0E-51.7288832E-48.472036E-51.2471697E-41.47210164.0E-50.0021028830.0010309840.00111090151.07751578.0E-50.0208309480.010792770.0108916921.00916541.0E-4
7.24.0257353E-51.9684221E-53.9683826E-52.01602222.0E-51.725201E-48.435823E-51.2435486E-41.47412844.0E-50.00209840850.00102657920.0011064971.07784878.0E-50.0207870420.0107487960.0108477211.00920331.0E-4
7.33.9940667E-51.9558363E-53.955797E-52.02256042.0E-51.7116306E-48.381887E-51.2381552E-41.47717954.0E-50.00208191850.00102001870.0010999371.078358.0E-50.0206252170.0106815930.0107805251.00926181.0E-4
7.43.9721202E-51.9478262E-53.9477873E-52.02676562.0E-51.7022261E-48.34756E-51.2347226E-41.4791424.0E-50.00207049030.00101584320.0010957621.07867238.0E-50.0205130520.0106386190.0107375551.00929981.0E-4
7.53.7036873E-51.8874274E-53.8873895E-52.05962352.0E-51.5871979E-48.088724E-51.2088401E-41.49447564.0E-50.00193070069.843588E-40.00105428991.07104237.0E-50.0191401240.0103121810.0104012531.00863759.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-51.7178096E-53.7177753E-52.16425352.0E-51.4116794E-47.3618336E-51.13615395E-41.54330294.0E-50.00171736458.959359E-49.658732E-41.07806067.0E-50.017041530.0094118070.009500961.00947259.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-51.4310572E-53.4310287E-52.39754822.0E-51.2100645E-46.1329585E-51.0132713E-41.65217384.0E-50.00147225797.464322E-48.1637996E-41.09370957.0E-50.0146254210.00790561550.0079949041.01129449.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-51.2314284E-53.2314038E-52.62411022.0E-51.042642E-45.2774434E-59.277232E-51.75790274.0E-50.00126867746.423395E-47.1229454E-41.10890667.0E-50.0126145890.00684931640.00693871.013059.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-59.0575295E-62.9057348E-53.20808772.0E-58.301561E-53.8817405E-57.881585E-52.03042554.0E-50.00101024654.7249958E-45.424665E-41.14807837.0E-50.01005666050.0051199350.00520947441.01748849.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-56.652629E-62.6652497E-54.00631052.0E-56.6782646E-52.8510956E-54.8510385E-51.70146472.0E-58.127754E-43.4706574E-43.8705184E-41.1152124.0E-50.0080980910.00380051370.00385032361.01310615.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-53.3175816E-63.3175816E-61.00.04.2963035E-51.421813E-51.421813E-51.00.05.229494E-41.7309209E-41.8309036E-41.05776271.0E-50.00521720430.00191290470.00193286641.01043532.0E-5
8.24.142796E-63.3096242E-73.3096242E-71.00.01.775472E-51.4184096E-61.4184096E-61.00.02.1614227E-41.7269002E-51.7269002E-51.00.00.00215932172.1485973E-42.1485973E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-65.2312302E-85.2312302E-81.00.05.4646503E-62.2419556E-72.2419556E-71.00.06.653009E-52.7295775E-62.7295775E-61.00.06.6510175E-43.6884867E-53.6884867E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.8154984E-54.8154438E-52.65240883.0E-59.189928E-57.7804856E-51.0780252E-41.385553.0E-50.00111829949.4688055E-40.00101681431.0738577.0E-50.0111268850.0094379190.00952706951.0094469.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.8154984E-54.8154438E-52.65240883.0E-59.189928E-57.7804856E-51.0780252E-41.385553.0E-50.00111829949.4688055E-40.00101681431.0738577.0E-50.0111268850.0094379190.00952706951.0094469.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.8154984E-54.8154438E-52.65240883.0E-59.189928E-57.7804856E-51.0780252E-41.385553.0E-50.00111829949.4688055E-40.00101681431.0738577.0E-50.0111268850.0094379190.00952706951.0094469.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.6202543E-53.620222E-52.2343542.0E-58.4646774E-56.94377E-58.943631E-51.2880082.0E-50.00103008728.450895E-49.050388E-41.07093836.0E-50.0102532540.00842773450.008507061.00941258.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.6202543E-53.620222E-52.2343542.0E-58.4646774E-56.94377E-58.943631E-51.2880082.0E-50.00103008728.450895E-49.050388E-41.07093836.0E-50.0102532540.00842773450.008507061.00941258.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.6202543E-53.620222E-52.2343542.0E-58.4646774E-56.94377E-58.943631E-51.2880082.0E-50.00103008728.450895E-49.050388E-41.07093836.0E-50.0102532540.00842773450.008507061.00941258.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.5502152E-53.5501842E-52.29012352.0E-58.2234634E-56.643618E-58.643485E-51.30102072.0E-50.00100074678.0857374E-48.585333E-41.06178725.0E-50.009962520.0080653160.0081347521.00860927.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.3452425E-53.3452157E-52.48670082.0E-57.546184E-55.7652025E-57.7650875E-51.34688892.0E-59.183606E-47.016955E-47.4166746E-41.05696484.0E-50.0091457460.00700216140.00705181161.00709075.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.2628612E-53.262836E-52.58368542.0E-57.273361E-55.412154E-57.412046E-51.36951862.0E-58.8517193E-46.5873796E-46.8871817E-41.04551163.0E-50.0088165430.0065738070.00661354371.00604474.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.175066E-53.1750424E-52.7020122.0E-56.858527E-55.0359035E-57.035803E-51.39712822.0E-58.347058E-46.1295537E-46.4293697E-41.04891323.0E-50.0083157750.0061182430.00615799851.00649794.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-59.538158E-62.9537967E-53.09682082.0E-55.7061243E-54.0877192E-56.0876373E-51.48925042.0E-56.944992E-44.975684E-45.175584E-41.04017542.0E-50.0069233270.00496821760.00499806831.00600843.0E-5
7.11.2865345E-59.081994E-62.9081813E-53.20213962.0E-55.5136024E-53.8922262E-55.8921483E-51.51382472.0E-56.710743E-44.7377762E-44.9376814E-41.04219392.0E-50.00669051430.00473079230.0047506981.00420762.0E-5
7.21.1650051E-57.911785E-62.7911627E-53.52785472.0E-54.9927836E-53.3907218E-55.390654E-51.58982492.0E-56.0770183E-44.1274366E-44.327354E-41.04843632.0E-50.00606042660.0041210660.0041409841.00483312.0E-5
7.31.0008533E-56.614794E-62.6614662E-54.02350572.0E-54.2893007E-52.8348817E-54.834825E-51.70547682.0E-55.220972E-43.450934E-43.650865E-41.05793542.0E-50.0052087230.00344588330.00346581431.0057842.0E-5
7.49.116759E-65.8981514E-62.5898033E-54.3908732.0E-53.907124E-52.5277554E-54.5277047E-51.79119592.0E-54.7558855E-43.0771192E-43.2770575E-41.06497592.0E-50.004745720.00307298240.0030929211.00648832.0E-5
7.57.870524E-64.953509E-61.4953459E-53.01876121.0E-53.3730383E-52.1229156E-53.1228945E-51.47104021.0E-54.1059E-42.584354E-42.684328E-41.03868441.0E-50.00409832220.00258145550.00259142971.00386381.0E-5
7.66.9774537E-64.2973743E-61.4297331E-53.32699231.0E-52.990303E-51.8417195E-52.8417011E-51.54296091.0E-53.640086E-42.2420727E-42.3420501E-41.04459151.0E-50.0036341290.00223990860.00224988631.00445451.0E-5
7.74.1616954E-62.1180194E-62.1180194E-61.00.01.7835715E-59.077197E-69.077197E-61.00.02.171282E-41.105099E-41.105099E-41.00.00.00216916160.00110461070.00110461071.00.0
7.82.2692414E-78.558292E-88.558292E-81.00.09.725317E-73.667839E-73.667839E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.4655876E-64.4655876E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.4655248E-54.4655248E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.260672E-93.260672E-91.00.02.861498E-81.3974308E-81.3974308E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.701372E-71.701372E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7013708E-61.7013708E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.28807E-52.509372E-54.5093217E-51.79699222.0E-52.6946087E-41.0754011E-41.3753689E-41.27893573.0E-50.00327575110.001308520.00137842841.05342567.0E-50.0322788320.0136878170.0137765851.00648529.0E-5
6.16.28807E-52.509372E-54.5093217E-51.79699222.0E-52.6946087E-41.0754011E-41.3753689E-41.27893573.0E-50.00327575110.001308520.00137842841.05342567.0E-50.0322788320.0136878170.0137765851.00648529.0E-5
6.26.28807E-52.509372E-54.5093217E-51.79699222.0E-52.6946087E-41.0754011E-41.3753689E-41.27893573.0E-50.00327575110.001308520.00137842841.05342567.0E-50.0322788320.0136878170.0137765851.00648529.0E-5
6.36.28807E-52.509372E-54.5093217E-51.79699222.0E-52.6946087E-41.0754011E-41.3753689E-41.27893573.0E-50.00327575110.001308520.00137842841.05342567.0E-50.0322788320.0136878170.0137765851.00648529.0E-5
6.46.28807E-52.509372E-54.5093217E-51.79699222.0E-52.6946087E-41.0754011E-41.3753689E-41.27893573.0E-50.00327575110.001308520.00137842841.05342567.0E-50.0322788320.0136878170.0137765851.00648529.0E-5
6.55.811017E-52.2987904E-54.2987445E-51.87000272.0E-52.4901982E-49.8515884E-51.2851293E-41.30448943.0E-50.00302760140.00119877340.00126868951.0583237.0E-50.029866840.0125484590.0126373291.00708229.0E-5
6.65.811017E-52.2987904E-54.2987445E-51.87000272.0E-52.4901982E-49.8515884E-51.2851293E-41.30448943.0E-50.00302760140.00119877340.00126868951.0583237.0E-50.029866840.0125484590.0126373291.00708229.0E-5
6.75.712442E-52.2636055E-54.2635602E-51.88352622.0E-52.4479596E-49.700807E-51.2700516E-41.30922263.0E-50.00297631770.00118043580.00125035321.05923017.0E-50.0293676930.0123544830.0124433711.00719489.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-52.2535383E-54.253493E-51.88747322.0E-52.4412372E-49.657666E-51.2657375E-41.31060413.0E-50.00296815530.00117518890.00124510671.05949497.0E-50.0292882290.0123011350.0123900281.00722639.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-52.2375305E-54.2374857E-51.89382262.0E-52.4088343E-49.589065E-51.2588777E-41.31282643.0E-50.00292881160.00116684590.00123676411.05992087.0E-50.0289051090.0122120010.0123009011.00727989.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-52.1710199E-54.1709765E-51.9212062.0E-52.3305144E-49.3040406E-51.2303761E-41.32241063.0E-50.00283370940.00113218040.00120210121.06175767.0E-50.0279784650.0118458580.0119347921.00750769.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-52.0876052E-54.0875635E-51.95801562.0E-52.2023996E-48.9465735E-51.1946305E-41.33529393.0E-50.00267812420.0010887030.00115862691.06422667.0E-50.0264607820.01138440150.0114733771.00781569.0E-5
7.24.785222E-51.997866E-53.997826E-52.0010482.0E-52.0506482E-48.562003E-51.15617455E-41.35035533.0E-50.00249380550.00104192710.00111185421.06711327.0E-50.0246600490.0108885860.0109776051.00817559.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-51.9468673E-53.9468283E-52.02727132.0E-51.8060145E-48.343451E-51.1343201E-41.35953343.0E-50.0021966050.00101534360.00108527251.06887227.0E-50.021750190.0106129820.0107020281.00839029.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-51.925167E-53.9251285E-52.03885082.0E-51.7255165E-48.250456E-51.12502086E-41.36358633.0E-50.0020987920.00100403190.00107396161.06964897.0E-50.0207908040.0104956430.0105846991.0084859.0E-5
7.53.694492E-51.835788E-53.8357513E-52.08943062.0E-51.5832575E-47.867426E-51.086719E-41.38128913.0E-50.00192591189.574398E-40.00101738241.06260726.0E-50.019093060.0100164210.010095621.00790698.0E-5
7.63.200565E-51.6286074E-53.628575E-52.2280232.0E-51.3715986E-46.9795606E-59.9793506E-51.42979653.0E-50.0016686428.494314E-49.093804E-41.07057556.0E-50.016561680.0089171920.0089964791.00889158.0E-5
7.72.731642E-51.3438388E-53.343812E-52.48825382.0E-51.1706512E-45.759182E-58.7590095E-51.52087723.0E-50.0014243367.0095516E-47.609131E-41.08553746.0E-50.0141524120.0074205580.00749996441.01070088.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-51.150152E-53.150129E-52.73888062.0E-51.0056651E-44.92913E-57.928982E-51.60859673.0E-50.00122370945.999565E-46.599205E-41.09994726.0E-50.0121699280.00639507270.0064745611.01242968.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-58.341428E-62.8341261E-53.39765122.0E-57.9762955E-53.5748486E-56.5747416E-51.83916643.0E-59.7068126E-44.3515104E-44.9512496E-41.13782316.0E-50.00966452250.0047178850.00479750751.01687678.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-56.584059E-62.6583928E-54.037622.0E-56.6258784E-52.8217091E-54.8216527E-51.70877032.0E-58.0640207E-43.4348905E-43.834753E-41.1164124.0E-50.0080348210.00376238120.00381219321.01323955.0E-5
8.19.983884E-63.3128224E-63.3128224E-61.00.04.2787375E-51.4197733E-51.4197733E-51.00.05.2081177E-41.728438E-41.8284206E-41.05784571.0E-50.00519592830.00190981440.00192977631.01045232.0E-5
8.24.1226E-63.2970664E-73.2970664E-71.00.01.7668166E-51.4130277E-61.4130277E-61.00.02.1508869E-41.7203478E-51.7203478E-51.00.00.00214880642.1398446E-42.1398446E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-65.2312302E-85.2312302E-81.00.05.4646503E-62.2419556E-72.2419556E-71.00.06.653009E-52.7295775E-62.7295775E-61.00.06.6510175E-43.6884867E-53.6884867E-51.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.867833E-57.8676865E-51.61626063.0E-51.893932E-42.0860559E-42.3859933E-41.1437823.0E-50.00230342360.00253696950.00259681741.02359026.0E-50.0227969380.025096870.0251846091.0034969.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.867833E-57.8676865E-51.61626063.0E-51.893932E-42.0860559E-42.3859933E-41.1437823.0E-50.00230342360.00253696950.00259681741.02359026.0E-50.0227969380.025096870.0251846091.0034969.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.867833E-57.8676865E-51.61626063.0E-51.893932E-42.0860559E-42.3859933E-41.1437823.0E-50.00230342360.00253696950.00259681741.02359026.0E-50.0227969380.025096870.0251846091.0034969.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.867833E-57.8676865E-51.61626063.0E-51.893932E-42.0860559E-42.3859933E-41.1437823.0E-50.00230342360.00253696950.00259681741.02359026.0E-50.0227969380.025096870.0251846091.0034969.0E-5
6.43.729929E-54.070401E-56.0703194E-51.4913322.0E-51.5984432E-41.744346E-41.944311E-41.11463622.0E-50.00194436730.00212176120.00215169741.01410933.0E-50.0192744270.0210247110.021083451.00279386.0E-5
6.53.729929E-54.070401E-56.0703194E-51.4913322.0E-51.5984432E-41.744346E-41.944311E-41.11463622.0E-50.00194436730.00212176120.00215169741.01410933.0E-50.0192744270.0210247110.021083451.00279386.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.256969E-54.2569365E-51.30702391.0E-51.2944164E-41.3957711E-41.4957572E-41.0716351.0E-50.00157481270.00169806020.00171802621.01175812.0E-50.0156369920.0168546750.0169038331.00291665.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.2187585E-54.218726E-51.31066881.0E-51.2795553E-41.3793969E-41.479383E-41.07248541.0E-50.00155674530.00167815540.00169812181.01189782.0E-50.0154588480.0166586250.0167077911.00295155.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.6534583E-53.653432E-51.37685671.0E-51.0636595E-41.137148E-41.2371366E-41.08792921.0E-50.00129423620.00138361960.0014035921.01443482.0E-50.0128672440.0137524210.0138017341.00358575.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.4894274E-53.4894027E-51.40168881.0E-59.990149E-51.066855E-41.1668443E-41.09372341.0E-50.0012156220.00129814190.0013181161.01538662.0E-50.0120899360.01290778350.0129571381.00382365.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.3271728E-53.3271495E-51.4296961.0E-59.3504656E-59.973227E-51.0973128E-41.10025851.0E-50.00113782460.00121358340.00123355921.01646012.0E-50.0113201630.0120716590.0121210551.0040925.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.2005142E-53.2004922E-51.45442931.0E-58.854332E-59.430445E-51.0430351E-41.10602951.0E-50.00107748180.0011475710.00116754811.01740812.0E-50.0107227240.0114184920.0114679211.00432885.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-52.0286565E-53.0286363E-51.49292711.0E-58.138417E-58.693963E-59.693876E-51.11501231.0E-59.904018E-40.00105799490.00107797371.01888372.0E-50.0098599950.0105315560.0105810291.00469775.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4760834E-51.4760834E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.325926E-56.325926E-51.00.06.956093E-47.6992135E-47.6992135E-41.00.00.0069343590.00767377250.0076936191.00258622.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.0569628E-51.0569628E-51.00.04.0345374E-54.5297667E-54.5297667E-51.00.04.910942E-45.513679E-45.513679E-41.00.00.00490010340.00550083020.00552072051.00361592.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-67.951209E-67.951209E-61.00.03.090013E-53.40762E-53.40762E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.1480557E-44.1480557E-41.00.00.00375508070.00414098470.00415094341.00240491.0E-5
7.63.296375E-63.4837558E-63.4837558E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.49303005E-51.49303005E-51.00.01.7198564E-41.8176199E-41.8176199E-41.00.00.00171852590.00181620660.00181620661.00.0
7.72.5741092E-62.5975346E-62.5975346E-61.00.01.103185E-51.1132247E-51.1132247E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.3552736E-41.3552736E-41.00.00.00134223350.00135451420.00135451421.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.828942E-55.828869E-53.18701674.0E-57.439883E-57.838114E-51.18378004E-41.51028684.0E-59.0542925E-49.5391995E-40.00101386271.06283836.0E-50.0090174910.009502970.0095822091.00833858.0E-5
6.19.062689E-69.494356E-62.9494167E-53.10649442.0E-53.8839516E-54.0689512E-56.06887E-51.49150722.0E-54.727685E-44.952909E-45.2527606E-41.06054043.0E-50.00471763960.00494273430.0049725861.00603953.0E-5
6.29.062689E-69.494356E-62.9494167E-53.10649442.0E-53.8839516E-54.0689512E-56.06887E-51.49150722.0E-54.727685E-44.952909E-45.2527606E-41.06054043.0E-50.00471763960.00494273430.0049725861.00603953.0E-5
6.37.2575485E-67.592045E-62.7591894E-53.63431622.0E-53.110341E-53.253697E-55.253632E-51.61466542.0E-53.786182E-43.960726E-44.260607E-41.07571363.0E-50.00377973750.0039543570.00398423851.00755663.0E-5
6.47.2575485E-67.592045E-62.7591894E-53.63431622.0E-53.110341E-53.253697E-55.253632E-51.61466542.0E-53.786182E-43.960726E-44.260607E-41.07571363.0E-50.00377973750.0039543570.00398423851.00755663.0E-5
6.56.06582E-66.341556E-62.634143E-54.153782.0E-52.5996113E-52.717785E-54.7177306E-51.73587332.0E-53.164567E-43.3084644E-43.608365E-41.09064653.0E-50.00316006430.00330416440.00333406521.00904943.0E-5
6.65.598744E-65.852839E-62.5852722E-54.4171252.0E-52.3994397E-52.508339E-54.508289E-51.79732042.0E-52.9209262E-43.0535375E-43.3534458E-41.09821673.0E-50.00291708970.00304995780.00307986651.00980623.0E-5
6.75.246996E-65.485305E-61.548525E-52.82304261.0E-52.2486933E-52.3508273E-53.3508037E-51.42537211.0E-52.73744E-42.8618184E-43.0617614E-41.06986562.0E-50.00273407040.00285874420.0028786871.00697612.0E-5
6.84.02324E-64.2056745E-61.4205632E-53.37773011.0E-51.7242342E-51.8024226E-52.8024046E-51.55479881.0E-52.099053E-42.194287E-42.394243E-41.09112572.0E-50.00209707140.00219269260.00221264871.00910122.0E-5
6.96.835972E-77.0844214E-77.0844214E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.036179E-63.036179E-61.00.03.56685E-53.6965164E-53.6965164E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.6962095E-43.6962095E-41.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.175387E-53.175387E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.3608106E-41.6607698E-41.22042683.0E-50.00157519230.00165555310.00169548681.02412124.0E-50.0156407360.016437720.0165164041.00478688.0E-5
6.13.0211835E-53.175387E-53.175387E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.3608106E-41.6607698E-41.22042683.0E-50.00157519230.00165555310.00169548681.02412124.0E-50.0156407360.016437720.0165164041.00478688.0E-5
6.23.0211835E-53.175387E-53.175387E-51.00.01.2947287E-41.3608106E-41.6607698E-41.22042683.0E-50.00157519230.00165555310.00169548681.02412124.0E-50.0156407360.016437720.0165164041.00478688.0E-5
6.32.8573924E-52.9932222E-52.9932222E-51.00.01.2245393E-41.2827478E-41.5827094E-41.2338433.0E-50.0014898570.00156065040.0016005881.02559034.0E-50.014799080.0155025280.0155812871.00508058.0E-5
6.42.8573924E-52.9932222E-52.9932222E-51.00.01.2245393E-41.2827478E-41.5827094E-41.2338433.0E-50.0014898570.00156065040.0016005881.02559034.0E-50.014799080.0155025280.0155812871.00508058.0E-5
6.52.7468774E-52.8705112E-52.8705112E-51.00.01.1771801E-41.2301625E-41.5301254E-41.24384023.0E-50.00143227450.0014967170.00153665721.02668514.0E-50.0142307820.0148718970.0149408561.00463697.0E-5
6.62.6135967E-52.7185597E-52.7185597E-51.00.01.1200648E-41.1650463E-41.4650113E-41.25747053.0E-50.00136282570.00141754340.00145748671.02817794.0E-50.0135449820.0140904650.0141594781.0048987.0E-5
6.72.4498746E-52.5344914E-52.5344914E-51.00.01.04990395E-41.0861666E-41.3861341E-41.27617073.0E-50.00127750840.00132162680.00136157391.03022584.0E-50.0127018930.0131429220.0132120021.0052567.0E-5
6.82.2244329E-52.3063696E-52.3063696E-51.00.09.532935E-59.884077E-51.2883781E-41.30348853.0E-50.00116001690.00120274020.00124269211.03321744.0E-50.0115398020.0119671980.012036361.00577937.0E-5
6.91.9902658E-52.0648222E-52.0648222E-51.00.08.529431E-58.848947E-51.084877E-41.22599572.0E-50.00103796350.00107684230.00110680991.02782933.0E-50.0103312880.0107207790.0107801361.00553666.0E-5
7.01.8353881E-51.9043153E-51.9043153E-51.00.07.865712E-58.161105E-59.161023E-51.12252251.0E-59.5722964E-49.931764E-40.00101315651.02011742.0E-50.0095311680.0098918020.0099413081.00500465.0E-5
7.11.7667631E-51.8299621E-51.8299621E-51.00.07.571623E-57.842467E-58.842389E-51.12750091.0E-59.2145515E-49.544168E-49.7439776E-41.02093522.0E-50.0091764370.0095075430.0095570671.0052095.0E-5
7.21.6381597E-51.679172E-51.679172E-51.00.07.020495E-57.196261E-58.1961894E-51.13895111.0E-58.544101E-48.7580713E-48.957896E-41.02281612.0E-50.0085113250.0087275560.0087771191.0056795.0E-5
7.31.4520491E-51.4810977E-51.4810977E-51.00.06.222919E-56.347415E-57.3473515E-51.15753451.0E-57.57377E-47.7253743E-47.92522E-41.02586872.0E-50.00754800950.00770098250.00773075181.00386563.0E-5
7.41.2852287E-51.3076816E-51.3076816E-51.00.05.5080065E-55.604237E-56.604181E-51.17842641.0E-56.7039346E-46.8211555E-47.021019E-41.02930062.0E-50.00668374640.0068025210.00683231741.00438013.0E-5
7.51.1637851E-51.182451E-51.182451E-51.00.04.987555E-55.0675557E-56.067505E-51.19732381.0E-56.070656E-46.168135E-46.368011E-41.03240472.0E-50.0060540990.0061532620.0061830781.00484553.0E-5
7.63.0068115E-62.9939413E-62.9939413E-61.00.01.2886271E-51.2831147E-51.2831147E-51.00.01.5687906E-41.562139E-41.562139E-41.00.00.00156768350.00156191820.00157190251.00639241.0E-5

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-68.657436E-63.8657177E-54.4651993.0E-53.39712E-53.710283E-56.710172E-51.80853373.0E-54.1352084E-44.5164375E-44.8163018E-41.06639413.0E-50.0041275220.00452929460.00459897751.01538497.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-68.657436E-63.8657177E-54.4651993.0E-53.39712E-53.710283E-56.710172E-51.80853373.0E-54.1352084E-44.5164375E-44.8163018E-41.06639413.0E-50.0041275220.00452929460.00459897751.01538497.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-68.657436E-63.8657177E-54.4651993.0E-53.39712E-53.710283E-56.710172E-51.80853373.0E-54.1352084E-44.5164375E-44.8163018E-41.06639413.0E-50.0041275220.00452929460.00459897751.01538497.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-68.657436E-63.8657177E-54.4651993.0E-53.39712E-53.710283E-56.710172E-51.80853373.0E-54.1352084E-44.5164375E-44.8163018E-41.06639413.0E-50.0041275220.00452929460.00459897751.01538497.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-64.94614E-63.494599E-57.06530573.0E-51.8619241E-52.1197577E-55.119694E-52.41522623.0E-52.2666567E-42.580509E-42.8804314E-41.11622623.0E-50.00226434620.00259865630.00266847461.0268677.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-64.94614E-63.494599E-57.06530573.0E-51.8619241E-52.1197577E-55.119694E-52.41522623.0E-52.2666567E-42.580509E-42.8804314E-41.11622623.0E-50.00226434620.00259865630.00266847461.0268677.0E-5
6.64.040109E-64.6309524E-63.4630815E-57.4781193.0E-51.7314638E-51.9846793E-54.98462E-52.51154923.0E-52.1078532E-42.416088E-42.7160154E-41.12413763.0E-50.0021058550.00243460040.002504431.02868217.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-63.929806E-63.392969E-58.6339353.0E-51.4413658E-51.6841917E-54.6841415E-52.78123973.0E-51.7547216E-42.0503133E-42.3502517E-41.14628913.0E-50.00175333660.00206950840.00213936371.03375457.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-63.8527337E-63.385262E-58.7866493.0E-51.4101111E-51.6511613E-54.651112E-52.8168733.0E-51.716675E-42.0101061E-42.3100457E-41.14921583.0E-50.00171534950.00202937470.00209923271.03442347.0E-5
6.93.031547E-63.5618268E-63.356172E-59.4226143.0E-51.299228E-51.5264884E-54.5264427E-52.9652653.0E-51.5816953E-41.8583433E-42.1582877E-41.16140413.0E-50.001580570.00187787540.0019477441.03720627.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-63.2633704E-63.3263274E-510.192923.0E-51.211125E-51.3985799E-54.398538E-53.14500283.0E-51.4744449E-41.70264E-42.0025889E-41.1761673.0E-50.0014734670.00172242180.00179230121.04057057.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-62.971631E-63.297154E-511.0954363.0E-51.1126809E-51.2735501E-54.273512E-53.355593.0E-51.3546048E-41.5504386E-41.8503921E-41.19346373.0E-50.00135377930.00157044580.00164033591.04450337.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-62.6028256E-63.2602748E-512.5259063.0E-59.96307E-61.115492E-54.1154584E-53.68936633.0E-51.21293626E-41.3580284E-41.6579876E-41.22087853.0E-50.00121227440.0013783030.00144820661.05071717.0E-5
7.32.056928E-62.2076622E-63.2207598E-514.5890053.0E-58.815376E-69.461376E-63.946109E-54.17075633.0E-51.0732192E-41.15186296E-41.4518284E-41.26041773.0E-50.0010727010.00117239940.00124231741.05963667.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-61.8469145E-63.184686E-517.2432773.0E-57.738263E-67.915325E-63.7915088E-54.79008633.0E-59.4209274E-59.6364936E-51.2636204E-41.31128663.0E-59.4169343E-49.843907E-40.00104433171.06089146.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-61.4677173E-63.1467673E-521.4398733.0E-56.292889E-66.2902022E-63.6290014E-55.7692923.0E-57.661323E-57.6580596E-51.0657829E-41.39171423.0E-57.658682E-47.86686E-48.466388E-41.07620936.0E-5
7.69.804088E-79.572432E-73.0957213E-532.339973.0E-54.201745E-64.1024646E-63.410234E-58.3126483.0E-55.1155046E-54.9946386E-57.994489E-51.60061413.0E-55.114327E-45.204607E-45.8042945E-41.11522256.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-77.0038897E-73.070037E-543.8333133.0E-53.1471714E-63.0016636E-63.3001572E-510.9944283.0E-53.831614E-53.6544643E-56.654355E-51.82088383.0E-53.8309532E-43.863915E-44.4636833E-41.15522296.0E-5
7.86.434184E-76.307972E-76.307972E-71.00.02.7575045E-62.7034139E-62.7034139E-61.00.03.35721E-53.291357E-53.291357E-51.00.03.3567028E-43.495566E-43.695496E-41.05719532.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-73.053177E-73.053177E-71.00.01.497596E-61.3085038E-61.3085038E-61.00.01.8233079E-51.5930918E-51.5930918E-51.00.01.8231584E-41.6961036E-41.6961036E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-81.5745131E-81.5745131E-81.00.02.8789387E-76.7479135E-86.7479135E-81.00.03.505102E-68.2155816E-78.2155816E-71.00.03.5050467E-59.162306E-69.162306E-61.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.5273874E-91.5273874E-91.00.01.370782E-76.5459473E-96.5459473E-91.00.01.6689258E-67.96969E-87.96969E-81.00.01.6689133E-51.0128059E-61.0128059E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.3800085E-103.3800085E-101.00.05.2237567E-81.4485748E-91.4485748E-91.00.06.359922E-71.7636397E-81.7636397E-81.00.06.3599036E-62.3895802E-72.3895802E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-63.828007E-61.3827968E-53.61231541.0E-52.8688235E-51.6405642E-54.6405148E-52.82860923.0E-53.492233E-41.9972041E-42.5970844E-41.300366.0E-50.003486750.0020581890.00213802421.03878928.0E-5
6.16.693995E-63.828007E-61.3827968E-53.61231541.0E-52.8688235E-51.6405642E-54.6405148E-52.82860923.0E-53.492233E-41.9972041E-42.5970844E-41.300366.0E-50.003486750.0020581890.00213802421.03878928.0E-5
6.26.693995E-63.828007E-61.3827968E-53.61231541.0E-52.8688235E-51.6405642E-54.6405148E-52.82860923.0E-53.492233E-41.9972041E-42.5970844E-41.300366.0E-50.003486750.0020581890.00213802421.03878928.0E-5
6.36.693995E-63.828007E-61.3827968E-53.61231541.0E-52.8688235E-51.6405642E-54.6405148E-52.82860923.0E-53.492233E-41.9972041E-42.5970844E-41.300366.0E-50.003486750.0020581890.00213802421.03878928.0E-5
6.46.693995E-63.828007E-61.3827968E-53.61231541.0E-52.8688235E-51.6405642E-54.6405148E-52.82860923.0E-53.492233E-41.9972041E-42.5970844E-41.300366.0E-50.003486750.0020581890.00213802421.03878928.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-63.7885877E-61.378855E-53.6394961.0E-52.8526205E-51.6236703E-54.6236215E-52.84763573.0E-53.472512E-41.9766396E-42.576521E-41.30348556.0E-50.00346709070.00203766230.00211749921.03918068.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-63.7885877E-61.378855E-53.6394961.0E-52.8526205E-51.6236703E-54.6236215E-52.84763573.0E-53.472512E-41.9766396E-42.576521E-41.30348556.0E-50.00346709070.00203766230.00211749921.03918068.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-63.708629E-63.708629E-61.00.02.8200653E-51.5894027E-53.589371E-52.25831442.0E-53.4328885E-41.9349264E-42.4348297E-41.25835785.0E-50.00342759020.00199602430.00206588441.03499977.0E-5
6.86.575632E-63.7033242E-63.7033242E-61.00.02.8180975E-51.5871294E-53.5870977E-52.26011682.0E-53.4304935E-41.9321589E-42.4320623E-41.25872795.0E-50.00342520260.00199326170.00206312231.03504847.0E-5
6.96.570433E-63.6953084E-63.6953084E-61.00.02.8158694E-51.583694E-53.5836623E-52.26285032.0E-53.4277816E-41.9279771E-42.4278807E-41.25928915.0E-50.00342249920.00198908760.00205894821.0351227.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-63.6861236E-63.6861236E-61.00.02.8132765E-51.5797577E-53.579726E-52.2659972.0E-53.424626E-41.9231855E-42.4230893E-41.25993535.0E-50.00341935320.00198430450.00205416561.03520687.0E-5
7.16.557402E-63.6755498E-63.6755498E-61.00.02.8102848E-51.575226E-53.5751946E-52.2696392.0E-53.4209844E-41.9176693E-42.4175734E-41.26068325.0E-50.00341572290.0019787990.00204866051.0353057.0E-5
7.26.546394E-63.6589247E-63.6589247E-61.00.02.8055672E-51.5681013E-53.56807E-52.27540782.0E-53.4152428E-41.9089962E-42.4089008E-41.26186785.0E-50.00340999870.00197014450.00204000651.03546047.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-63.6422812E-63.6422812E-61.00.02.8012933E-51.5609683E-53.560937E-52.2812362.0E-53.4100408E-41.9003135E-42.4002185E-41.26306455.0E-50.0034048130.00196148220.0020313451.03561747.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-63.6263282E-63.6263282E-61.00.02.7972354E-51.5541313E-53.5541E-52.28687262.0E-53.4051016E-41.891991E-42.3918963E-41.26422195.0E-50.00339988880.00195318720.00202305061.03576897.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-63.605779E-63.605779E-61.00.02.7904773E-51.5453246E-53.5452937E-52.29420642.0E-53.3968766E-41.8812707E-42.3811766E-41.26572785.0E-50.00339168870.00194248150.00201234551.03596647.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-63.5697178E-63.5697178E-61.00.02.7757764E-51.5298701E-53.5298395E-52.30728052.0E-53.3789838E-41.862458E-42.3623649E-41.26841255.0E-50.00337385040.00192367840.00199354371.03631877.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-63.394524E-63.394524E-61.00.02.642346E-51.4547878E-53.454759E-52.37475092.0E-53.2165812E-41.7710605E-42.2709719E-41.28226675.0E-50.00321192950.00183198390.00190185571.03813997.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-63.0474937E-63.0474937E-61.00.02.3589868E-51.3060621E-53.306036E-52.53130082.0E-52.871688E-41.5900149E-42.0899353E-41.31441255.0E-50.00286797970.00164976010.00170966111.03630896.0E-5
7.93.889249E-61.96676E-61.96676E-61.00.01.6668104E-58.428944E-62.8428776E-53.37275652.0E-52.0291525E-41.02617574E-41.4261347E-41.38975684.0E-50.00202730070.0010754440.00112539031.04644245.0E-5
8.02.668535E-61.1351061E-61.1351061E-61.00.01.1436528E-54.8647316E-64.8647316E-61.00.01.3923083E-45.9226506E-56.922591E-51.16883341.0E-50.00139143636.261712E-46.4615865E-41.03192022.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-65.249031E-75.249031E-71.00.06.8191785E-62.2495828E-62.2495828E-61.00.08.3020335E-52.7388332E-52.7388332E-51.00.08.298933E-42.9140408E-43.0140116E-41.03430661.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-74.7896666E-84.7896666E-81.00.02.6269242E-62.0527142E-72.0527142E-71.00.03.1982334E-52.4991766E-62.4991766E-61.00.03.1977732E-42.9453406E-52.9453406E-51.00.0
8.31.762871E-77.639083E-97.639083E-91.00.07.5551594E-73.2738928E-83.2738928E-81.00.09.1983675E-63.9859637E-73.9859637E-71.00.09.197987E-54.97181E-64.97181E-61.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.795572E-57.795464E-54.34149366.0E-57.412385E-57.695093E-51.3694631E-41.77965776.0E-59.0208417E-49.364952E-40.00100642971.07467687.0E-50.0089843110.0093275640.0094068181.00849688.0E-5
6.11.7296055E-51.795572E-57.795464E-54.34149366.0E-57.412385E-57.695093E-51.3694631E-41.77965776.0E-59.0208417E-49.364952E-40.00100642971.07467687.0E-50.0089843110.0093275640.0094068181.00849688.0E-5
6.21.7296055E-51.795572E-57.795464E-54.34149366.0E-57.412385E-57.695093E-51.3694631E-41.77965776.0E-59.0208417E-49.364952E-40.00100642971.07467687.0E-50.0089843110.0093275640.0094068181.00849688.0E-5
6.31.0669118E-51.1050212E-54.104988E-53.714853.0E-54.5723988E-54.735721E-57.735579E-51.63345323.0E-55.5654737E-45.7642424E-46.164012E-41.06935334.0E-50.00555155570.00574958230.00579929441.00864625.0E-5
6.41.0669118E-51.1050212E-54.104988E-53.714853.0E-54.5723988E-54.735721E-57.735579E-51.63345323.0E-55.5654737E-45.7642424E-46.164012E-41.06935334.0E-50.00555155570.00574958230.00579929441.00864625.0E-5
6.58.790038E-69.100753E-63.910048E-54.29640053.0E-53.767105E-53.9002654E-56.9001486E-51.76914833.0E-54.585485E-44.747554E-45.0474115E-41.06316043.0E-50.00457603440.0047375730.00477738351.00840324.0E-5
6.67.396949E-67.657348E-63.765712E-54.91777563.0E-53.1700827E-53.28168E-56.2815816E-51.91413593.0E-53.858892E-43.9947225E-44.2946028E-41.07506913.0E-50.0038521980.0039876470.0040175271.00749333.0E-5
6.76.4600285E-66.687256E-63.6687055E-55.4861153.0E-52.7685543E-52.8659357E-55.8658497E-52.04674863.0E-53.3701936E-43.4887256E-43.788621E-41.08596133.0E-50.00336508690.00348332920.00351322471.00858253.0E-5
6.85.600104E-65.792973E-63.57928E-56.1786583.0E-52.4000226E-52.4826793E-55.482605E-52.20834183.0E-52.9216358E-43.022249E-43.322158E-41.09923393.0E-50.00291779750.0030181990.00304810871.00990973.0E-5
6.94.839122E-65.0029807E-61.5002931E-52.99879841.0E-52.0738931E-52.1441172E-53.144096E-51.46638241.0E-52.5246723E-42.6101546E-42.7101286E-41.0383021.0E-50.0025218060.00260713580.00261710961.00382571.0E-5
7.03.6937633E-63.817615E-63.817615E-61.00.01.5830317E-51.6361106E-51.6361106E-51.00.01.9271708E-41.9917857E-41.9917857E-41.00.00.00192550030.00199003150.00199003151.00.0
7.12.7858857E-62.8774707E-62.8774707E-61.00.01.1939455E-51.23319605E-51.23319605E-51.00.01.4535317E-41.5013148E-41.5013148E-41.00.00.00145258140.00150032180.00150032181.00.0
7.22.1672065E-62.2382135E-62.2382135E-61.00.09.2879945E-69.59231E-69.59231E-61.00.01.1307546E-41.1678029E-41.1678029E-41.00.00.00113017940.00116720710.00116720711.00.0
7.31.4823496E-61.531313E-61.531313E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.5627546E-66.5627546E-61.00.07.734395E-57.989876E-57.989876E-51.00.07.731704E-47.987152E-47.987152E-41.00.0
7.44.2321457E-74.3782947E-74.3782947E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8764109E-61.8764109E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.2845108E-52.2845108E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.2843207E-42.2843207E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.8964336E-85.8964336E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5270427E-72.5270427E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.076671E-63.076671E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.076636E-53.076636E-51.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.1778334E-56.177781E-51.1931211.0E-51.9328714E-42.2188907E-42.4188463E-41.09011512.0E-50.0023507310.0026983380.002738231.0147844.0E-50.0232601950.0266765040.0267446361.0025547.0E-5
6.14.5103672E-55.1778334E-56.177781E-51.1931211.0E-51.9328714E-42.2188907E-42.4188463E-41.09011512.0E-50.0023507310.0026983380.002738231.0147844.0E-50.0232601950.0266765040.0267446361.0025547.0E-5
6.23.9363465E-54.465175E-55.4651307E-51.22394541.0E-51.6868966E-41.9135127E-42.1134745E-41.10449982.0E-50.0020518620.00232734930.00236725621.0171474.0E-50.0203301960.0230451880.0231135751.00296757.0E-5
6.33.9363465E-54.465175E-55.4651307E-51.22394541.0E-51.6868966E-41.9135127E-42.1134745E-41.10449982.0E-50.0020518620.00232734930.00236725621.0171474.0E-50.0203301960.0230451880.0231135751.00296757.0E-5
6.43.2311684E-53.598084E-54.598048E-51.27791571.0E-51.384713E-41.5419484E-41.7419177E-41.1296862.0E-50.00168458430.00187577090.00191569581.02128464.0E-50.0167187140.0186073720.018676071.00369197.0E-5
6.53.2311684E-53.598084E-54.598048E-51.27791571.0E-51.384713E-41.5419484E-41.7419177E-41.1296862.0E-50.00168458430.00187577090.00191569581.02128464.0E-50.0167187140.0186073720.018676071.00369197.0E-5
6.62.9305844E-53.2372496E-54.2372172E-51.30889421.0E-51.2559042E-41.3873221E-41.5872944E-41.14414262.0E-50.00152799090.00168781260.00172774521.02365934.0E-50.0151752720.016756910.0168257371.00410747.0E-5
6.72.7826512E-53.06099E-54.0609593E-51.32668171.0E-51.19251024E-41.31179E-41.5117637E-41.15244342.0E-50.00145091420.00159598880.00163592491.02502294.0E-50.0144147760.0158519610.0159208511.00434597.0E-5
6.82.3389874E-52.5349931E-52.5349931E-51.00.01.0023846E-41.08638276E-41.1863719E-41.09203861.0E-50.001219720.0013219110.00135187141.02266443.0E-50.012130470.0131458180.0132050291.00450426.0E-5
6.92.069209E-52.2177424E-52.2177424E-51.00.08.867737E-59.504282E-51.0504187E-41.10520581.0E-50.00107911230.00115656430.00118652961.0259093.0E-50.0107388710.0115097030.0115690121.0051536.0E-5
7.01.7462342E-51.8387127E-51.8387127E-51.00.07.483646E-57.8799705E-58.8798915E-51.1268941.0E-59.1075303E-49.589838E-49.789646E-41.02083542.0E-50.0090702950.0095514160.0096009381.00518485.0E-5
7.11.4807709E-51.5305239E-51.5305239E-51.00.06.3460066E-56.559231E-57.5591655E-51.15244691.0E-57.723524E-47.983077E-48.1829174E-41.0250332.0E-50.0076967350.0079567620.0080063641.00623395.0E-5
7.21.4180048E-51.4585256E-51.4585256E-51.00.06.077022E-56.250682E-57.250619E-51.15997251.0E-57.396263E-47.6076854E-47.807533E-41.02626922.0E-50.00737169430.00758397070.00763359151.00654285.0E-5
7.31.3730402E-51.4075255E-51.4075255E-51.00.05.8843252E-56.0321207E-57.03206E-51.16576921.0E-57.161811E-47.341768E-47.541621E-41.02722142.0E-50.0071387740.00731982570.00734960571.00406853.0E-5
7.41.2810095E-51.3045821E-51.3045821E-51.00.05.489925E-55.590954E-56.590898E-51.17885041.0E-56.681934E-46.8049936E-47.004857E-41.02937022.0E-50.0066618780.0067864340.00681623021.00439063.0E-5
7.51.1595659E-51.1793514E-51.1793514E-51.00.04.9694736E-55.0542727E-56.054222E-51.19784241.0E-56.0486543E-46.151972E-46.351849E-41.03248992.0E-50.0060322170.00613716430.006166981.00485833.0E-5
7.62.997694E-62.987096E-62.987096E-61.00.01.28471975E-51.2801811E-51.2801811E-51.00.01.564034E-41.5585677E-41.5585677E-41.00.00.00156293370.00155834310.00156832751.0064071.0E-5

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6543423E-55.654276E-53.41783934.0E-56.6286244E-57.089876E-51.1089592E-41.56414484.0E-58.067362E-48.629036E-49.2285185E-41.06947276.0E-50.0080381370.0086007820.0086800941.00922148.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6543423E-55.654276E-53.41783934.0E-56.6286244E-57.089876E-51.1089592E-41.56414484.0E-58.067362E-48.629036E-49.2285185E-41.06947276.0E-50.0080381370.0086007820.0086800941.00922148.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.3482031E-55.3481494E-53.9668724.0E-55.410444E-55.777912E-59.777681E-51.69225164.0E-56.585225E-47.0328085E-47.4325275E-41.05683624.0E-50.00656574450.00701519330.00707477241.00849286.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3482031E-55.3481494E-53.9668724.0E-55.410444E-55.777912E-59.777681E-51.69225164.0E-56.585225E-47.0328085E-47.4325275E-41.05683624.0E-50.00656574450.00701519330.00707477241.00849286.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0028388E-55.0027986E-54.9886374.0E-54.036088E-54.297832E-58.29766E-51.93066184.0E-54.912829E-45.2317523E-45.631543E-41.07641634.0E-50.0049019820.00522334180.00528302841.01142696.0E-5
6.59.368219E-69.976392E-64.997599E-55.00942564.0E-54.014889E-54.2755488E-58.275378E-51.93551244.0E-54.8870314E-45.204635E-45.604427E-41.07681454.0E-50.0048762980.00519635160.005256041.01148656.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.321582E-64.832125E-55.8067394.0E-53.3444423E-53.5663652E-57.5662225E-52.121554.0E-54.0710976E-44.3415706E-44.741397E-41.09209254.0E-50.00406364720.0043368790.0043966191.01377496.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4192843E-62.2419235E-59.2668882.0E-59.903678E-61.03683205E-53.0368114E-52.92893272.0E-51.205706E-41.2622718E-41.4622466E-41.15842452.0E-50.0012050520.0012615730.00128154781.01583332.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.184521E-61.21845E-55.57765251.0E-58.949753E-69.3622E-61.9362107E-52.0681151.0E-51.08957785E-41.13979E-41.2397785E-41.08772551.0E-50.00108904380.0011392220.00114921051.0087681.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.9618697E-61.196185E-56.09716841.0E-58.043982E-68.407987E-61.8407904E-52.18933531.0E-59.7931086E-51.0236259E-41.12361566E-41.0976821.0E-59.788794E-40.00102317010.00103315981.00976361.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6047147E-61.1604699E-57.23162751.0E-56.5817944E-66.877331E-61.6877262E-52.45404241.0E-58.01304E-58.372842E-59.3727576E-51.11942371.0E-58.010151E-48.369809E-48.469725E-41.01193771.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1388626E-61.1388626E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.880831E-64.880831E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9422597E-55.9422597E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.9407664E-45.9407664E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.328345E-76.328345E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7121453E-62.7121453E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3019936E-53.3019936E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3015703E-43.3015703E-41.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.918016E-61.0277405E-54.0277097E-53.9189953.0E-54.2505093E-54.404534E-58.4043575E-51.90811514.0E-55.1737664E-45.361315E-45.960993E-41.11185296.0E-50.0051617370.0053495160.00541914161.01301537.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.1672453E-61.7167173E-52.39522621.0E-52.9721E-53.0716426E-55.071581E-51.65109742.0E-53.617931E-43.7391225E-44.03901E-41.08020273.0E-50.00361204640.00373322210.0037730731.01067464.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.1672453E-61.7167173E-52.39522621.0E-52.9721E-53.0716426E-55.071581E-51.65109742.0E-53.617931E-43.7391225E-44.03901E-41.08020273.0E-50.00361204640.00373322210.0037730731.01067464.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.679181E-61.4679134E-53.1371161.0E-51.9493287E-52.0053481E-53.0053281E-51.49865651.0E-52.3730492E-42.441242E-42.641193E-41.08190552.0E-50.00237051680.00243860130.0024685281.01227213.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.3336922E-61.4333649E-53.3074911.0E-51.8077424E-51.8572837E-52.8572651E-51.53841071.0E-52.2007042E-42.2610114E-42.4609664E-41.0884362.0E-50.0021985260.00225874340.00228867561.01325173.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.8098062E-61.38097685E-53.62479541.0E-51.5931506E-51.632764E-52.6327476E-51.61244851.0E-51.9394881E-41.9877106E-42.1876708E-41.10059822.0E-50.00193779620.00198595090.00201589131.01507623.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.5386838E-61.3538648E-53.82589941.0E-51.4830645E-51.51657005E-52.516555E-51.65937271.0E-51.8054814E-41.8462689E-42.046232E-41.10830652.0E-50.00180401520.00184474920.00186471231.01082162.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.1833176E-61.3183286E-54.1413671.0E-51.33860985E-51.3642719E-52.3642582E-51.73298171.0E-51.6296357E-41.6608754E-41.8608423E-41.12039842.0E-50.0016284410.00165964480.00167961151.01203072.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.8724924E-61.2872463E-54.48128751.0E-51.2124565E-51.2310624E-52.2310502E-51.81229651.0E-51.4760658E-41.4987162E-41.6986862E-41.13342752.0E-50.00147508570.00149771380.0015176841.01333372.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.476613E-61.2476588E-55.03776261.0E-51.0517581E-51.0614012E-52.0613907E-51.94214081.0E-51.2804402E-41.29218E-41.4921541E-41.15475732.0E-50.00127970280.00129143450.00131140871.01546672.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1037054E-62.1037054E-61.00.09.003459E-69.015849E-69.015849E-61.00.01.096116E-41.0976247E-41.0976247E-41.00.00.00109557550.00109708620.00109708621.00.0
7.11.744384E-61.7278869E-61.7278869E-61.00.07.47591E-67.4052086E-67.4052086E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.01547E-59.01547E-51.00.09.097813E-49.0118294E-49.0118294E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.5184911E-61.5184911E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.507803E-66.507803E-61.00.08.064707E-57.9229634E-57.9229634E-51.00.08.0617814E-47.9201505E-47.9201505E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3411898E-61.3411898E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.7479438E-65.7479438E-61.00.07.187409E-56.9978974E-56.9978974E-51.00.07.185085E-46.9957034E-46.9957034E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.1692053E-61.1692053E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.01087E-65.01087E-61.00.06.336844E-56.1005645E-56.1005645E-51.00.06.335037E-46.098898E-46.098898E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.538285E-79.538285E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.08783E-64.08783E-61.00.05.2704854E-54.97682E-54.97682E-51.00.05.2692357E-44.9757113E-44.9757113E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.4875607E-77.4875607E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.2089506E-63.2089506E-61.00.04.255502E-53.9068276E-53.9068276E-51.00.04.2546875E-43.9061453E-43.9061453E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-73.8986053E-73.8986053E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.6708298E-61.6708298E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.0342164E-52.0342164E-51.00.02.482253E-42.0340313E-42.0340313E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-71.8019303E-71.8019303E-71.00.01.1926223E-67.722556E-77.722556E-71.00.01.452008E-59.402172E-69.402172E-61.00.01.4519131E-49.401777E-59.401777E-51.00.0
7.91.6948086E-77.464042E-87.464042E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.1988748E-73.1988748E-71.00.08.843231E-63.8946228E-63.8946228E-61.00.08.842879E-53.8945553E-53.8945553E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-73.2540463E-83.2540463E-81.00.04.382353E-71.3945913E-71.3945913E-71.00.05.335502E-61.6979135E-61.6979135E-61.00.05.335374E-51.6979007E-51.6979007E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-83.985626E-93.985626E-91.00.06.1590576E-81.7081256E-81.7081256E-81.00.07.4986497E-72.0796426E-72.0796426E-71.00.07.4986247E-62.0796408E-62.0796408E-61.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3426928E-57.3425756E-53.1342465.0E-59.602906E-51.00397505E-41.5039249E-41.49797035.0E-50.00116852670.00122169740.00128162411.0490526.0E-50.0116240130.0121542270.0122233761.00568937.0E-5
6.12.2407607E-52.3426928E-57.3425756E-53.1342465.0E-59.602906E-51.00397505E-41.5039249E-41.49797035.0E-50.00116852670.00122169740.00128162411.0490526.0E-50.0116240130.0121542270.0122233761.00568937.0E-5
6.21.0781252E-51.1258082E-55.125763E-54.55296334.0E-54.620455E-54.8248054E-58.8246125E-51.8290094.0E-55.623952E-45.8726565E-46.2724215E-41.06807234.0E-50.005609740.00585754770.0059072551.0084865.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1258082E-55.125763E-54.55296334.0E-54.620455E-54.8248054E-58.8246125E-51.8290094.0E-55.623952E-45.8726565E-46.2724215E-41.06807234.0E-50.005609740.00585754770.0059072551.0084865.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.159802E-63.8159556E-54.676533.0E-53.3490025E-53.497012E-56.496907E-51.85784533.0E-54.0766477E-44.256794E-44.5566662E-41.07044553.0E-50.00406917740.0042487840.0042886141.00937454.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.7860597E-63.6785856E-55.4207983.0E-52.7851002E-52.9082794E-55.908192E-52.03150773.0E-53.390332E-43.540264E-43.8401576E-41.08470943.0E-50.0033851640.00353471840.0035745771.01127644.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.830054E-63.582988E-56.145723.0E-52.3923398E-52.4985711E-55.498496E-52.20065623.0E-52.9122844E-43.0415927E-43.3415013E-41.09860253.0E-50.00290847060.00303750160.00307738011.01312884.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.893558E-63.489341E-57.1304793.0E-52.0082172E-52.0972226E-55.0971597E-52.43043333.0E-52.4447302E-42.5530747E-42.8529982E-41.11747543.0E-50.00244204230.0025501970.0025900951.0156454.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7163902E-62.3716317E-56.3815462.0E-51.5250586E-51.5927291E-53.5926972E-52.25568632.0E-51.8566006E-41.9389793E-42.1389405E-41.1031272.0E-50.00185505020.00193732780.00196726971.01545523.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6455673E-61.2645541E-54.77989771.0E-51.0854958E-51.1338098E-52.1337984E-51.88197221.0E-51.3215111E-41.3803288E-41.480315E-41.07243651.0E-50.00132072540.00137949840.00138948461.0072391.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.7847071E-61.1784689E-56.60315041.0E-57.3213873E-67.648723E-61.7648646E-52.30739781.0E-58.913424E-59.3119386E-51.0311846E-41.10737911.0E-58.9098496E-49.308199E-49.408106E-41.01073321.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1388626E-61.1388626E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.880831E-64.880831E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9422597E-55.9422597E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.9407664E-45.9407664E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.328345E-76.328345E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7121453E-62.7121453E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3019936E-53.3019936E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3015703E-43.3015703E-41.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.753342E-57.8551544E-51.0854919E-41.38188483.0E-52.8939685E-43.3660818E-43.6659808E-41.08909443.0E-50.0035177150.00409088050.0041307171.00973784.0E-50.0346254970.040199310.04024731.00119385.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-54.801134E-56.801038E-51.41654832.0E-51.7916178E-42.0574717E-42.2574306E-41.09718672.0E-50.00217911230.00250218340.00253210851.01195963.0E-50.0215786770.0247505180.0247895291.00157624.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-54.801134E-56.801038E-51.41654832.0E-51.7916178E-42.0574717E-42.2574306E-41.09718672.0E-50.00217911230.00250218340.00253210851.01195963.0E-50.0215786770.0247505180.0247895291.00157624.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.615755E-53.615755E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.5495192E-41.5495192E-41.00.00.00165756980.00188494110.00189492221.00529521.0E-50.0164526030.0186935920.0187132171.00104992.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.392261E-53.392261E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.453747E-41.453747E-41.00.00.00155780030.00176853230.00177851461.00564441.0E-50.0154692530.0175483660.0175680151.00111972.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.7696608E-52.7696608E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.1869449E-41.1869449E-41.00.00.00127822870.0014441730.00145415861.00691441.0E-50.0127090120.0143507180.0143704311.00137362.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4019928E-52.4019928E-51.00.09.135714E-51.029386E-41.029386E-41.00.00.00111170560.00125257780.00125257781.00.00.0110616050.0124574410.0124574411.00.0
6.71.8585655E-52.089129E-52.089129E-51.00.07.9650374E-58.953113E-58.953113E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00108951540.00108951541.00.00.00965094750.0108437390.0108437391.00.0
6.81.5862879E-51.7799866E-51.7799866E-51.00.06.798199E-57.628301E-57.628301E-51.00.08.273665E-49.283678E-49.283678E-41.00.00.0082429280.0092467310.0092467311.00.0
6.91.3021509E-51.4592785E-51.4592785E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.2539104E-56.2539104E-51.00.06.792174E-47.611644E-47.611644E-41.00.00.0067714520.0075872630.0075872631.00.0
7.01.0974371E-51.2295069E-51.2295069E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.269218E-55.269218E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.4135477E-46.4135477E-41.00.00.00570993730.0063966590.0063966591.00.0
7.18.766221E-69.819962E-69.819962E-61.00.03.7568978E-54.208496E-54.208496E-51.00.04.573063E-45.122799E-45.122799E-41.00.00.00456366360.0051125650.0051125651.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.198846E-78.198846E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5137864E-63.5137864E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.277952E-54.277952E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.2771388E-44.2771388E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.646374E-73.646374E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5627307E-61.5627307E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9026082E-51.9026082E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.902446E-41.902446E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9382593E-71.9382593E-71.00.08.810155E-78.3068227E-78.3068227E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.011351E-51.011351E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.0113053E-41.0113053E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.1802034E-86.1802034E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6486583E-72.6486583E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2247367E-63.2247367E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.224691E-53.224691E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.459142E-95.459142E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3396321E-82.3396321E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.848502E-72.848502E-71.00.03.181591E-62.8484992E-62.8484992E-61.00.0

Santa Monica Bay

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.16.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.26.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.36.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.46.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.56.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.66.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.76.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.86.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
6.96.493459E-76.557104E-71.0655704E-516.2506261.0E-52.782908E-62.8101845E-62.2810129E-58.1169512.0E-53.388138E-53.4213477E-56.421245E-51.87681753.0E-53.3876215E-43.4208386E-44.0206334E-41.17533556.0E-5
7.06.3621707E-76.425284E-76.425284E-71.00.02.726642E-62.7536903E-61.2753662E-54.63148071.0E-53.319636E-53.352568E-55.352501E-51.59653762.0E-53.31914E-43.35208E-43.8519123E-41.14911125.0E-5
7.15.796316E-75.8564524E-75.8564524E-71.00.02.4841331E-62.5099057E-62.5099057E-61.00.03.0243902E-53.055769E-54.0557385E-51.32723991.0E-53.0239785E-43.0553644E-43.4552423E-41.13087734.0E-5
7.25.2654514E-75.322372E-75.322372E-71.00.02.25662E-62.2810148E-62.2810148E-61.00.02.7474003E-52.7771015E-53.7770737E-51.36007761.0E-52.7470608E-42.7767685E-43.0766852E-41.10800923.0E-5
7.34.582996E-74.6350223E-74.6350223E-71.00.01.9641398E-61.9864367E-61.9864367E-61.00.02.3913139E-52.4184612E-53.418437E-51.41347611.0E-52.3910566E-42.4182104E-42.618162E-41.08268582.0E-5
7.43.9690556E-74.0159335E-74.0159335E-71.00.01.7010227E-61.7211132E-61.7211132E-61.00.02.0709755E-52.0954365E-53.0954154E-51.47721761.0E-52.0707825E-42.0952502E-42.2952083E-41.0954342.0E-5
7.52.514765E-72.54706E-72.54706E-71.00.01.077756E-61.0915968E-61.0915968E-61.00.01.31216E-51.3290115E-51.3290115E-51.00.01.3120825E-41.3289378E-41.3289378E-41.00.0
7.61.6412821E-71.6640527E-71.6640527E-71.00.07.0340644E-77.1316526E-77.1316526E-71.00.08.563939E-68.682753E-68.682753E-61.00.08.56361E-58.6824184E-58.6824184E-51.00.0
7.71.2030355E-71.2205176E-71.2205176E-71.00.05.155865E-75.230789E-75.230789E-71.00.06.277248E-66.368467E-66.368467E-61.00.06.2770705E-56.3682885E-56.3682885E-51.00.0
7.83.0539674E-83.1019276E-83.1019276E-81.00.01.308843E-71.3293975E-71.3293975E-71.00.01.5935152E-61.6185404E-61.6185404E-61.00.01.5935038E-51.6185308E-51.6185308E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.0469117E-56.0468297E-52.95412354.0E-51.264867E-48.772194E-51.2771843E-41.45594624.0E-50.00153888760.00106751060.00111745721.0467885.0E-50.0152827450.0106469980.01070635951.00557546.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.0469117E-56.0468297E-52.95412354.0E-51.264867E-48.772194E-51.2771843E-41.45594624.0E-50.00153888760.00106751060.00111745721.0467885.0E-50.0152827450.0106469980.01070635951.00557546.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.0469117E-56.0468297E-52.95412354.0E-51.264867E-48.772194E-51.2771843E-41.45594624.0E-50.00153888760.00106751060.00111745721.0467885.0E-50.0152827450.0106469980.01070635951.00557546.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.6849435E-54.684893E-52.7804453.0E-59.952613E-57.220996E-51.0220779E-41.41542523.0E-50.0012110578.7881676E-49.187816E-41.04547574.0E-50.0120447830.0087599420.0088095031.00565785.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.6849435E-54.684893E-52.7804453.0E-59.952613E-57.220996E-51.0220779E-41.41542523.0E-50.0012110578.7881676E-49.187816E-41.04547574.0E-50.0120447830.0087599420.0088095031.00565785.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.3531852E-54.3531447E-53.21696143.0E-57.8592806E-55.7992405E-58.7990666E-51.51727913.0E-59.5644733E-47.058363E-47.4580807E-41.05663044.0E-50.0095234120.00703772250.0070873711.00705465.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.3398849E-54.3398446E-53.23896843.0E-57.809766E-55.7422418E-58.7420696E-51.52241413.0E-59.504242E-46.9890113E-47.3887315E-41.05719274.0E-50.0094636960.0069688060.00701845761.00712485.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.2870461E-53.2870204E-52.5539262.0E-57.505249E-55.5157994E-57.515689E-51.36257482.0E-59.13381E-46.7134894E-47.013288E-41.04465623.0E-50.009096360.00669909270.0067388251.00593094.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.2800598E-53.280034E-52.5624072.0E-57.4642754E-55.4858592E-57.48575E-51.36455372.0E-59.083966E-46.6770596E-46.9768593E-41.04493.0E-50.0090469220.00666220350.0067019371.0059644.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.1898953E-53.1898715E-52.68080022.0E-57.0294926E-55.0994553E-57.0993534E-51.39217882.0E-58.5550465E-46.206883E-46.506697E-41.04830353.0E-50.0085221860.00619485280.0062346051.00641694.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-59.943968E-62.9943769E-53.01124952.0E-55.9623577E-54.261632E-56.2615465E-51.46928382.0E-57.2567526E-45.187324E-45.3872203E-41.03853552.0E-50.00723310140.00517889530.005208741.00576273.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-59.4487905E-62.9448602E-53.11665322.0E-55.7449364E-54.0494197E-56.049339E-51.49387792.0E-56.9922156E-44.929075E-45.128976E-41.04055562.0E-50.00697025560.0049212650.00494116641.00404392.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.254646E-62.825448E-53.42285822.0E-55.202839E-53.537658E-55.5375873E-51.56532572.0E-56.332616E-44.3062624E-44.5061763E-41.0464242.0E-50.00631460.0042992150.0043191291.0046322.0E-5
7.31.05047775E-56.964818E-62.6964679E-53.87155532.0E-54.5019697E-52.9848885E-54.9848288E-51.67002182.0E-55.4797693E-43.6335082E-43.8334355E-41.05502322.0E-50.0054662770.0036278770.00364780451.00549292.0E-5
7.49.624483E-66.25371E-62.6253585E-54.19808152.0E-54.124713E-52.6801345E-54.680081E-51.74621122.0E-55.0206814E-43.2625868E-43.4625217E-41.06128112.0E-50.0050093530.00325792280.00327785781.00611892.0E-5
7.58.215151E-65.191826E-61.5191774E-52.92609451.0E-53.5207315E-52.2250499E-53.225028E-51.44941811.0E-54.2856473E-42.7086723E-42.8086454E-41.03690851.0E-50.0042773920.00270547880.00271545191.00368621.0E-5
7.66.975058E-64.295868E-61.4295825E-53.32780811.0E-52.9892764E-51.841074E-52.8410555E-51.54315131.0E-53.6388362E-42.2412867E-42.3412643E-41.04460731.0E-50.00363288350.00223912440.00224910191.0044561.0E-5
7.74.159604E-62.116721E-62.116721E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.071632E-69.071632E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.1044215E-41.1044215E-41.00.00.00216807260.00110393390.00110393391.00.0
7.82.2692414E-78.558292E-88.558292E-81.00.09.725317E-73.667839E-73.667839E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.4655876E-64.4655876E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.4655248E-54.4655248E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.260672E-93.260672E-91.00.02.861498E-81.3974308E-81.3974308E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.701372E-71.701372E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7013708E-61.7013708E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7335038E-51.5710206E-51.5710206E-51.00.01.17144904E-46.7327725E-57.732705E-51.14851731.0E-50.0014253068.1940845E-48.593757E-41.04877574.0E-50.0141619890.0084589460.0085085231.00586095.0E-5
6.12.7335038E-51.5710206E-51.5710206E-51.00.01.17144904E-46.7327725E-57.732705E-51.14851731.0E-50.0014253068.1940845E-48.593757E-41.04877574.0E-50.0141619890.0084589460.0085085231.00586095.0E-5
6.22.7335038E-51.5710206E-51.5710206E-51.00.01.17144904E-46.7327725E-57.732705E-51.14851731.0E-50.0014253068.1940845E-48.593757E-41.04877574.0E-50.0141619890.0084589460.0085085231.00586095.0E-5
6.32.7335038E-51.5710206E-51.5710206E-51.00.01.17144904E-46.7327725E-57.732705E-51.14851731.0E-50.0014253068.1940845E-48.593757E-41.04877574.0E-50.0141619890.0084589460.0085085231.00586095.0E-5
6.42.7335038E-51.5710206E-51.5710206E-51.00.01.17144904E-46.7327725E-57.732705E-51.14851731.0E-50.0014253068.1940845E-48.593757E-41.04877574.0E-50.0141619890.0084589460.0085085231.00586095.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-51.5647722E-51.5647722E-51.00.01.16919524E-46.705995E-57.705928E-51.14911031.0E-50.00142256578.1615074E-48.561181E-41.04897064.0E-50.0141349340.0084266180.0084761971.00588365.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-51.5647722E-51.5647722E-51.00.01.16919524E-46.705995E-57.705928E-51.14911031.0E-50.00142256578.1615074E-48.561181E-41.04897064.0E-50.0141349340.0084266180.0084761971.00588365.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-51.5576426E-51.5576426E-51.00.01.1663563E-46.6754415E-57.675375E-51.14979281.0E-50.00141911378.124337E-48.524012E-41.04919484.0E-50.0141008550.0083897090.0084392891.00590975.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-51.5499534E-51.5499534E-51.00.01.1604605E-46.6424895E-57.642423E-51.1505361.0E-50.0014119458.084247E-48.483924E-41.0494394.0E-50.0140300750.0083497460.0083993271.00593825.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-51.5426702E-51.5426702E-51.00.01.15636096E-46.611277E-57.611211E-51.15124671.0E-50.00140696028.0462743E-48.4459526E-41.04967254.0E-50.0139808560.0083118630.0083614481.00596555.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-51.502157E-51.502157E-51.00.01.1335209E-46.4376574E-57.437593E-51.1553261.0E-50.0013791887.835046E-48.2347327E-41.05101264.0E-50.01370659750.0081015620.0081511571.00612165.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-51.4860489E-51.4860489E-51.00.01.1252879E-46.368626E-57.3685624E-51.15700971.0E-50.00136917697.75106E-48.15075E-41.05156594.0E-50.0136077170.0080177440.0080673431.00618615.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-51.413291E-51.413291E-51.00.01.0829568E-46.0568218E-57.0567614E-51.16509311.0E-50.00131770247.3717005E-47.7714055E-41.05422154.0E-50.0130991620.0076376010.0076872191.00649655.0E-5
7.32.339701E-51.3002423E-51.3002423E-51.00.01.0026905E-45.5723485E-56.572293E-51.17944751.0E-50.0012200926.782235E-47.1819633E-41.05893774.0E-50.0121341490.007046020.0070956681.00704625.0E-5
7.42.296333E-51.2770401E-51.2770401E-51.00.09.841056E-55.472915E-56.47286E-51.1827081.0E-50.00119748996.6612486E-47.060982E-41.06000884.0E-50.0119105750.00692423950.0069738931.0071715.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-51.2376186E-51.2376186E-51.00.09.50918E-55.3039726E-56.3039195E-51.1885281.0E-50.00115712776.4556854E-46.855427E-41.06192094.0E-50.0115112090.0067163670.0067660311.00739465.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.11978325E-51.11978325E-51.00.08.5767984E-54.7989834E-55.7989353E-51.20836751.0E-50.0010437255.841206E-46.240972E-41.0684394.0E-50.0103883650.006094860.00614455531.00815375.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-59.281346E-69.281346E-61.00.07.384417E-53.977659E-54.9776194E-51.25139421.0E-58.986819E-44.841727E-45.241533E-41.08257524.0E-50.0089505620.0050873260.00513707151.00977845.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-57.865375E-67.865375E-61.00.06.205057E-53.3708315E-54.370798E-51.29665271.0E-57.552038E-44.103216E-44.503052E-41.09744454.0E-50.00752642420.00433872830.00438851161.01147415.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-55.477785E-65.477785E-61.00.04.7632562E-52.3476012E-53.3475775E-51.42595671.0E-55.797721E-42.8578308E-43.2577166E-41.13992634.0E-50.00578261870.00307295660.0031228031.01622095.0E-5
8.09.327402E-64.405218E-64.405218E-61.00.03.9973966E-51.887937E-51.887937E-51.00.04.8657437E-42.298322E-42.498276E-41.0872.0E-50.00485510330.00249526140.00252518641.01199283.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-62.935685E-62.935685E-61.00.03.0100724E-51.2581447E-51.2581447E-51.00.03.664147E-41.5316845E-41.6316693E-41.06527761.0E-50.0036581110.00167596580.00169593221.01191342.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-62.2909046E-72.2909046E-71.00.08.724915E-69.818159E-79.818159E-71.00.01.06220665E-41.1953543E-51.1953543E-51.00.00.0010616991.4381319E-41.4381319E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-71.2995463E-81.2995463E-81.00.08.5933965E-75.569484E-85.569484E-81.00.01.046241E-56.7808446E-76.7808446E-71.00.01.0461917E-48.522226E-68.522226E-61.00.0

San Vicente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0851268E-73.840025E-73.0383992E-579.124463.0E-51.7507675E-61.645724E-64.1645657E-525.3053724.0E-52.1315385E-52.0036512E-56.003571E-52.99631554.0E-52.1313342E-42.0034773E-42.503377E-41.24951615.0E-5
6.14.0851268E-73.840025E-73.0383992E-579.124463.0E-51.7507675E-61.645724E-64.1645657E-525.3053724.0E-52.1315385E-52.0036512E-56.003571E-52.99631554.0E-52.1313342E-42.0034773E-42.503377E-41.24951615.0E-5
6.23.9200887E-73.674567E-73.0367446E-582.642243.0E-51.680037E-61.5748135E-64.157475E-526.3997944.0E-52.0454258E-51.9173192E-55.9172424E-53.08620624.0E-52.0452376E-41.9171603E-42.4170644E-41.26075245.0E-5
6.33.9200887E-73.674567E-73.0367446E-582.642243.0E-51.680037E-61.5748135E-64.157475E-526.3997944.0E-52.0454258E-51.9173192E-55.9172424E-53.08620624.0E-52.0452376E-41.9171603E-42.4170644E-41.26075245.0E-5
6.43.2280067E-72.980166E-71.0298014E-534.555171.0E-51.3834307E-61.2772133E-62.1277188E-516.6590712.0E-51.684314E-51.5549962E-53.5549652E-52.2861572.0E-51.6841863E-41.5548879E-41.8548412E-41.192913.0E-5
6.53.2280067E-72.980166E-71.0298014E-534.555171.0E-51.3834307E-61.2772133E-62.1277188E-516.6590712.0E-51.684314E-51.5549962E-53.5549652E-52.2861572.0E-51.6841863E-41.5548879E-41.8548412E-41.192913.0E-5
6.63.1973437E-72.9494197E-71.0294939E-534.9049641.0E-51.3702895E-61.2640363E-62.1264012E-516.822312.0E-51.6683147E-51.5389534E-53.5389225E-52.29956462.0E-51.6681894E-41.5388474E-41.8388013E-41.19492113.0E-5
6.73.0841164E-72.8355586E-71.0283553E-536.2664071.0E-51.3217634E-61.2152389E-62.1215215E-517.4576512.0E-51.6092352E-51.4795432E-53.4795135E-52.35174852.0E-51.6091186E-41.4794452E-41.7794008E-41.20274883.0E-5
6.82.883202E-72.633195E-71.0263317E-538.976671.0E-51.2356575E-61.1285116E-62.112849E-518.7224392.0E-51.50440255E-51.3739543E-53.3739267E-52.45563272.0E-51.5043007E-41.3738696E-41.6738284E-41.21833133.0E-5
6.92.66663E-72.414862E-72.414862E-71.00.01.1428409E-61.0349404E-61.103493E-510.6623821.0E-51.3914E-51.2600326E-52.26002E-51.79362021.0E-51.3913128E-41.2599614E-41.4599362E-41.1587152.0E-5
7.02.3733546E-72.1209026E-72.1209026E-71.00.01.0171515E-69.089579E-71.0908949E-512.00161.0E-51.238375E-51.1066506E-52.1066395E-51.90361761.0E-51.238306E-41.1065956E-41.3065735E-41.18071452.0E-5
7.12.123689E-71.8709768E-71.8709768E-71.00.09.1015215E-78.018469E-71.08018385E-513.4711981.0E-51.1081046E-59.7624425E-61.9762345E-52.0243241.0E-51.1080493E-49.762014E-51.1761819E-41.20485582.0E-5
7.21.8244859E-71.5719704E-71.5719704E-71.00.07.8192227E-76.737014E-71.0673694E-515.8433621.0E-59.519862E-68.2022825E-61.8202201E-52.21916271.0E-59.519454E-58.201981E-59.2018985E-51.12191181.0E-5
7.31.611936E-71.3784177E-71.3784177E-71.00.06.9082955E-75.907503E-71.0590745E-517.9276161.0E-58.410817E-67.192361E-61.719229E-52.39035421.0E-58.410499E-57.1921284E-58.192057E-51.13903091.0E-5
7.41.414892E-71.2082995E-71.2082995E-71.00.06.063821E-75.178425E-71.0517837E-520.310881.0E-57.3826773E-66.304714E-61.6304652E-52.58610461.0E-57.382432E-56.304536E-57.304473E-51.15860591.0E-5
7.51.0709291E-79.0604225E-89.0604225E-81.00.04.5896954E-73.8830376E-71.03883E-526.7530251.0E-55.5879395E-64.727588E-61.47275405E-53.11523371.0E-55.5877994E-54.7274876E-55.7274403E-51.21151891.0E-5
7.66.746737E-85.3744337E-85.3744337E-81.00.02.8914585E-72.3033286E-71.023033E-544.415421.0E-53.5203448E-62.804299E-61.2804271E-54.56594371.0E-53.520289E-52.8042637E-53.8042355E-51.35658981.0E-5
7.72.8940264E-81.8494754E-81.8494754E-81.00.01.240297E-77.926322E-87.926322E-81.00.01.5100605E-69.650292E-79.650292E-71.00.01.5100502E-59.650252E-69.650252E-61.00.0
7.81.0151455E-85.9531127E-95.9531127E-91.00.04.3506233E-82.5513335E-82.5513335E-81.00.05.296883E-73.1062484E-73.1062484E-71.00.05.2968703E-63.106244E-63.106244E-61.00.0
7.92.8324232E-112.050693E-112.050693E-111.00.01.2138957E-108.78867E-118.78867E-111.00.01.4779177E-91.0700206E-91.0700206E-91.00.01.4779177E-81.0700206E-81.0700206E-81.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0995786E-56.0647595E-57.064699E-51.1648771.0E-52.1853506E-42.5989334E-42.6989073E-41.03846731.0E-50.0026574180.0031598380.00317977491.00630942.0E-50.0262586360.0311738720.0312126241.00124314.0E-5
6.14.2256117E-54.9654063E-55.965357E-51.20138341.0E-51.8108507E-42.1278654E-42.2278442E-41.04698551.0E-50.00220248130.00258774330.00260769161.00770882.0E-50.02180780.0255916710.0256306471.0015234.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.249684E-53.249684E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.3926503E-41.3926503E-41.00.00.00148792170.00169429150.00170427441.00589221.0E-50.0147799860.0168197660.016839431.00116912.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.650602E-52.650602E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.1359247E-41.1359247E-41.00.00.00123581860.00138215340.00139213961.0072251.0E-50.0122896860.0137398470.0137595711.00143562.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.0912516E-52.0912516E-51.00.08.2245395E-58.9622146E-58.9622146E-51.00.00.00100087770.00109063670.00110062581.0091591.0E-50.0099638180.0108561390.0108759221.00182222.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6005468E-51.6005468E-51.00.06.5155116E-56.859321E-56.859321E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.3482754E-48.3482754E-41.00.00.0079015120.0083194220.0083293381.0011921.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.0857807E-51.0857807E-51.00.04.70774E-54.653265E-54.653265E-51.00.05.730166E-45.663915E-45.663915E-41.00.00.0057154130.00564987170.00564987171.00.0
6.79.134616E-68.728251E-68.728251E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.7406266E-53.7406266E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.5532832E-44.5532832E-41.00.00.0047549930.00454418270.00454418271.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.2104635E-67.2104635E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.090163E-53.090163E-51.00.04.0616E-43.7616427E-43.7616427E-41.00.00.00405418450.00375546580.00375546581.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.736073E-64.736073E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0297306E-52.0297306E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.4709298E-42.4709298E-41.00.00.0029068670.00246831030.00246831031.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.4716604E-61.4716604E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.307101E-66.307101E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.678633E-57.678633E-51.00.00.00139827997.6760625E-47.6760625E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.156185E-77.156185E-71.00.08.55041E-63.066933E-63.066933E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.733931E-53.733931E-51.00.00.00104047523.7333422E-43.7333422E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.156185E-77.156185E-71.00.08.55041E-63.066933E-63.066933E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.733931E-53.733931E-51.00.00.00104047523.7333422E-43.7333422E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.3323796E-76.3323796E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.7138742E-62.7138742E-61.00.08.915652E-53.3040957E-53.3040957E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.3036422E-43.3036422E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-65.8659816E-75.8659816E-71.00.05.916349E-62.51399E-62.51399E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.0607436E-53.0607436E-51.00.07.200583E-43.0603594E-43.0603594E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-65.8659816E-75.8659816E-71.00.05.916349E-62.51399E-62.51399E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.0607436E-53.0607436E-51.00.07.200583E-43.0603594E-43.0603594E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.456938E-53.4569133E-51.40700071.0E-59.571891E-51.0529399E-41.2529189E-41.18992442.0E-50.00116475460.00128136140.00130133591.01558842.0E-50.0115866860.0127556230.0128049861.00386995.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.456938E-53.4569133E-51.40700071.0E-59.571891E-51.0529399E-41.2529189E-41.18992442.0E-50.00116475460.00128136140.00130133591.01558842.0E-50.0115866860.0127556230.0128049861.00386995.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.456938E-53.4569133E-51.40700071.0E-59.571891E-51.0529399E-41.2529189E-41.18992442.0E-50.00116475460.00128136140.00130133591.01558842.0E-50.0115866860.0127556230.0128049861.00386995.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.456938E-53.4569133E-51.40700071.0E-59.571891E-51.0529399E-41.2529189E-41.18992442.0E-50.00116475460.00128136140.00130133591.01558842.0E-50.0115866860.0127556230.0128049861.00386995.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3492248E-52.3492114E-51.74115631.0E-55.2662188E-55.7823145E-56.782257E-51.17293111.0E-56.409735E-47.038593E-47.1385223E-41.01419731.0E-50.0063912790.0070251220.00705491151.00424043.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3492248E-52.3492114E-51.74115631.0E-55.2662188E-55.7823145E-56.782257E-51.17293111.0E-56.409735E-47.038593E-47.1385223E-41.01419731.0E-50.0063912790.0070251220.00705491151.00424043.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.430301E-61.9430207E-52.06040141.0E-53.6782953E-54.04154E-55.0414998E-51.24742041.0E-54.4774043E-44.9202616E-45.020212E-41.02031411.0E-50.00446839350.0049171870.00493708861.00404742.0E-5
6.77.205685E-67.917421E-61.7917342E-52.26302771.0E-53.088114E-53.3931803E-54.3931464E-51.29469871.0E-53.7591302E-44.131197E-44.231156E-41.0241961.0E-50.00375277760.0041311970.00415111471.00482122.0E-5

South Cuyama

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.11.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.21.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.31.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.41.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.51.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.61.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.71.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.81.2747308E-61.2806056E-62.128058E-516.6175922.0E-55.4631205E-65.4882985E-62.5488189E-54.6440972.0E-56.6511464E-56.681806E-51.16814714E-41.74825075.0E-56.649156E-46.6798663E-47.179532E-41.07480185.0E-5
6.98.4566324E-78.498804E-72.0849864E-524.5327032.0E-53.624266E-63.6423394E-62.3642266E-56.49095632.0E-54.4124543E-54.434459E-59.434237E-52.12748345.0E-54.4115784E-44.4335844E-44.933363E-41.11272565.0E-5
7.08.2277904E-78.268957E-72.082688E-525.1868272.0E-53.526191E-63.5438338E-62.3543764E-56.6435852.0E-54.293053E-54.3145334E-59.314318E-52.1588245.0E-54.292224E-44.3137057E-44.81349E-41.11585965.0E-5
7.16.7661887E-76.8015214E-71.0680145E-515.7025831.0E-52.899792E-62.9149344E-61.2914905E-54.43059871.0E-53.5304394E-53.5488752E-56.5487686E-51.84530833.0E-53.5298787E-43.5483125E-43.848206E-41.08451723.0E-5
7.25.783336E-75.814482E-71.0581442E-518.1984271.0E-52.4785702E-62.4919184E-61.2491893E-55.01296231.0E-53.0176174E-53.0338688E-56.0337778E-51.98880653.0E-53.0172078E-43.033457E-43.3333662E-41.0988673.0E-5
7.35.136759E-75.16488E-75.16488E-71.00.02.2014663E-62.2135182E-62.2135182E-61.00.02.6802521E-52.6949252E-54.6948713E-51.74211562.0E-52.679929E-42.6946006E-42.8945465E-41.07420252.0E-5
7.44.3370295E-74.3613056E-74.3613056E-71.00.01.8587256E-61.8691297E-61.8691297E-61.00.02.2629749E-52.2756418E-54.2755964E-51.8788532.0E-52.2627445E-42.2754105E-42.475365E-41.08787622.0E-5
7.53.3242574E-73.3434995E-73.3434995E-71.00.01.4246809E-61.4329275E-61.4329275E-61.00.01.7345352E-51.7445755E-51.7445755E-51.00.01.7343998E-41.7444398E-41.7444398E-41.00.0
7.62.0627535E-72.0752056E-72.0752056E-71.00.08.840369E-78.893735E-78.893735E-71.00.01.0763096E-51.0828069E-51.0828069E-51.00.01.0762575E-41.08275504E-41.08275504E-41.00.0
7.76.15236E-86.190154E-86.190154E-81.00.02.6367252E-72.6529227E-72.6529227E-71.00.03.2102084E-63.2299288E-63.2299288E-61.00.03.210162E-53.2298827E-53.2298827E-51.00.0
7.81.1765573E-81.1854249E-81.1854249E-81.00.05.0423886E-85.0803926E-85.0803926E-81.00.06.1391063E-76.185376E-76.185376E-71.00.06.1390897E-66.1853607E-66.1853607E-61.00.0
7.96.0381755E-106.089489E-106.089489E-101.00.02.5877895E-92.6097813E-92.6097813E-91.00.03.1506335E-83.1774086E-83.1774086E-81.00.03.1506332E-73.1774084E-73.1774084E-71.00.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.288568E-54.288522E-51.8738892.0E-59.2335285E-59.8078235E-51.3807432E-41.40779774.0E-50.00112360230.00119352620.00123347841.03347414.0E-50.0111793810.0118789180.0119283251.00415915.0E-5
6.12.1545662E-52.288568E-54.288522E-51.8738892.0E-59.2335285E-59.8078235E-51.3807432E-41.40779774.0E-50.00112360230.00119352620.00123347841.03347414.0E-50.0111793810.0118789180.0119283251.00415915.0E-5
6.22.1545662E-52.288568E-54.288522E-51.8738892.0E-59.2335285E-59.8078235E-51.3807432E-41.40779774.0E-50.00112360230.00119352620.00123347841.03347414.0E-50.0111793810.0118789180.0119283251.00415915.0E-5
6.31.0025529E-51.061236E-52.0612253E-51.94228741.0E-54.2965847E-54.548082E-55.5480366E-51.21986291.0E-55.229836E-45.5360125E-45.635957E-41.01805351.0E-50.0052175450.00552350050.00553344561.00180041.0E-5
6.41.0025529E-51.061236E-52.0612253E-51.94228741.0E-54.2965847E-54.548082E-55.5480366E-51.21986291.0E-55.229836E-45.5360125E-45.635957E-41.01805351.0E-50.0052175450.00552350050.00553344561.00180041.0E-5
6.56.9617327E-67.364381E-67.364381E-61.00.02.9835655E-53.15613E-53.15613E-51.00.03.6318856E-43.8419952E-43.8419952E-41.00.00.00362595570.00383618610.00383618611.00.0
6.64.9919777E-65.280571E-65.280571E-61.00.02.1394015E-52.2630858E-52.2630858E-51.00.02.60441E-42.7550242E-42.7550242E-41.00.00.00260135970.00275225080.00275225081.00.0
6.73.6630722E-63.8758585E-63.8758585E-61.00.01.5698786E-51.6610747E-51.6610747E-51.00.01.9111596E-42.0222267E-42.0222267E-41.00.00.00190951680.00202093550.00202093551.00.0
6.82.5599613E-62.7104177E-62.7104177E-61.00.01.0971216E-51.1616051E-51.1616051E-51.00.01.3356637E-41.4142106E-41.4142106E-41.00.00.00133486130.00141378350.00141378351.00.0
6.91.7684905E-61.8729137E-61.8729137E-61.00.07.579223E-68.026773E-68.026773E-61.00.09.2273134E-59.7725955E-59.7725955E-51.00.09.223483E-49.772596E-49.772596E-41.00.0

San Gorgonio Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.17.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.27.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.37.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.47.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.57.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.67.644328E-61.0565244E-53.0565032E-52.89297942.0E-53.2760996E-54.527887E-56.527796E-51.44168712.0E-53.987921E-45.511374E-45.7112635E-41.03626862.0E-50.0039807720.00550719160.00555691641.0090295.0E-5
6.76.987586E-69.876719E-62.987652E-53.0249442.0E-52.9946454E-54.232814E-56.232729E-51.47247892.0E-53.645371E-45.152294E-45.352191E-41.03879762.0E-50.00363939670.0051497910.00519953341.00965925.0E-5
6.86.987586E-69.876719E-62.987652E-53.0249442.0E-52.9946454E-54.232814E-56.232729E-51.47247892.0E-53.645371E-45.152294E-45.352191E-41.03879762.0E-50.00363939670.0051497910.00519953341.00965925.0E-5
6.95.504702E-68.323499E-62.8323333E-53.40281562.0E-52.3591367E-53.567167E-55.5670956E-51.5606492.0E-52.8718702E-44.3421914E-44.5421047E-41.04603972.0E-50.00286816180.0043428580.0043826851.00917054.0E-5
7.05.4825764E-68.30013E-62.8299963E-53.4095812.0E-52.3496545E-53.5571516E-55.5570803E-51.56222762.0E-52.8603288E-44.3300027E-44.529916E-41.04616942.0E-50.002856650.0043307170.00437054361.00919644.0E-5
7.15.4692787E-68.286027E-62.8285862E-53.4136822.0E-52.3439556E-53.551108E-55.551037E-51.56318452.0E-52.8533922E-44.3226473E-44.522561E-41.0462482.0E-50.00284973110.00432339030.00436321741.0092124.0E-5
7.25.453661E-68.269311E-62.8269145E-53.41856122.0E-52.3372622E-53.543944E-55.5438733E-51.5643232.0E-52.8452452E-44.313929E-44.5138426E-41.04634142.0E-50.0028416050.00431470570.00435453331.00923064.0E-5
7.35.4422303E-68.256729E-62.8256563E-53.42224672.0E-52.3323635E-53.538552E-55.538481E-51.56518292.0E-52.8392827E-44.3073666E-44.5072805E-41.04641212.0E-50.00283565770.00430816920.0043479971.00924474.0E-5
7.45.398595E-68.206053E-62.8205888E-53.43720532.0E-52.313663E-53.516834E-55.516764E-51.56867332.0E-52.8165206E-44.2809357E-44.4808502E-41.04669882.0E-50.00281295340.00428184080.0043216691.00930184.0E-5
7.55.3578788E-68.139322E-62.8139159E-53.4571872.0E-52.2962136E-53.488236E-55.4881664E-51.57333562.0E-52.7952815E-44.2461313E-44.446046E-41.04708172.0E-50.0027917680.00424717830.00428700871.00937814.0E-5
7.64.8091474E-67.062153E-62.7062011E-53.83197762.0E-52.0610469E-53.0266036E-55.026543E-51.66078672.0E-52.5090357E-43.684296E-43.8842225E-41.05426442.0E-50.00250620460.0036871310.00372698371.01080864.0E-5
7.71.5991155E-62.1014678E-61.2101447E-55.7585691.0E-56.853334E-69.00626E-61.9006171E-52.11032871.0E-58.343615E-51.09645836E-41.19644734E-41.09119271.0E-58.340483E-40.00110183350.00112181161.01813162.0E-5
7.89.258398E-71.1557488E-61.1557488E-61.00.03.967879E-64.9532E-64.9532E-61.00.04.8307855E-56.0303548E-56.0303548E-51.00.04.8297356E-46.087659E-46.1875983E-41.01641671.0E-5
7.95.975575E-76.009496E-76.009496E-71.00.02.5609581E-62.5754957E-62.5754957E-61.00.03.117922E-53.1356212E-53.1356212E-51.00.03.1174847E-43.1891104E-43.1891104E-41.00.0
8.03.4413725E-73.1455477E-73.1455477E-71.00.01.4748731E-61.3480911E-61.3480911E-61.00.01.7956432E-51.6412887E-51.6412887E-51.00.01.7954981E-41.6748761E-41.6748761E-41.00.0
8.11.1787731E-82.4961688E-92.4961688E-91.00.05.0518846E-81.06978675E-81.06978675E-81.00.06.1506677E-71.3024653E-71.3024653E-71.00.06.1506507E-61.3973696E-61.3973696E-61.00.0

North Frontal (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.14.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.24.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.34.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.44.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.54.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.64.7316266E-64.827568E-62.4827472E-55.1428532.0E-52.0278241E-52.0689422E-54.0689007E-51.96665762.0E-52.4685962E-42.5186603E-42.818585E-41.11908093.0E-50.00246585580.00251595070.0025658251.01982325.0E-5
6.73.5382777E-63.6108904E-62.3610819E-56.538782.0E-51.516396E-51.5475156E-53.5474848E-52.29237412.0E-51.8460557E-41.8839451E-42.1838886E-41.15921033.0E-50.00184452290.00188242420.00193233011.02651155.0E-5
6.83.5382777E-63.6108904E-62.3610819E-56.538782.0E-51.516396E-51.5475156E-53.5474848E-52.29237412.0E-51.8460557E-41.8839451E-42.1838886E-41.15921033.0E-50.00184452290.00188242420.00193233011.02651155.0E-5
6.93.0428037E-63.1050413E-62.310498E-57.44111822.0E-51.30405215E-51.3307255E-53.330699E-52.50291942.0E-51.5875678E-41.6200446E-41.919996E-41.185153.0E-50.00158643410.001618930.00165886531.02466764.0E-5
7.02.538778E-62.590645E-61.2590619E-54.86003261.0E-51.0880432E-51.1102719E-52.1102609E-51.90067021.0E-51.324612E-41.3516769E-41.4516634E-41.07397221.0E-50.00132382280.00135090110.0013708741.01478492.0E-5
7.12.2418935E-62.287203E-61.228718E-55.3721431.0E-59.60808E-69.802264E-61.9802166E-52.02016261.0E-51.1697209E-41.19336466E-41.2933527E-41.08378671.0E-50.00116910540.00119276730.00121274331.01674772.0E-5
7.21.6526745E-61.6820117E-61.6820117E-61.00.07.082872E-67.208603E-67.208603E-61.00.08.623055E-58.776146E-58.776146E-51.00.08.61971E-48.7729277E-48.87284E-41.01138871.0E-5
7.31.0246019E-61.037404E-61.037404E-61.00.04.391144E-64.4460103E-64.4460103E-61.00.05.3460866E-55.4128945E-55.4128945E-51.00.05.344801E-45.4116896E-45.511635E-41.01846851.0E-5
7.48.9045164E-78.9963396E-78.9963396E-71.00.03.8162157E-63.855569E-63.855569E-61.00.04.646144E-54.694065E-54.694065E-51.00.04.6451724E-44.693181E-44.793134E-41.02129751.0E-5
7.56.3357E-76.357876E-76.357876E-71.00.02.7152971E-62.7248016E-62.7248016E-61.00.03.305824E-53.317402E-53.317402E-51.00.03.3053322E-43.3169717E-43.4169384E-41.0301381.0E-5
7.62.5087024E-72.4166192E-72.4166192E-71.00.01.0751578E-61.0356937E-61.0356937E-61.00.01.3089967E-51.2609518E-51.2609518E-51.00.01.3089196E-41.2609006E-41.360888E-41.07929841.0E-5
7.73.282987E-82.25388E-82.25388E-81.00.01.4069944E-79.659485E-89.659485E-81.00.01.7130144E-61.1760418E-61.1760418E-61.00.01.7130013E-51.1760364E-52.1760246E-51.85030381.0E-5
7.88.77499E-95.547422E-95.547422E-91.00.03.7607098E-82.3774668E-82.3774668E-81.00.04.578663E-72.8945655E-72.8945655E-71.00.04.5786537E-62.8945628E-61.2894534E-54.4547431.0E-5

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.0945738E-53.094552E-52.82717512.0E-54.509713E-54.6909754E-56.690882E-51.42633062.0E-55.4891926E-45.7102833E-46.010112E-41.05250683.0E-50.00547565330.0057006880.005740461.00697674.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.0945738E-53.094552E-52.82717512.0E-54.509713E-54.6909754E-56.690882E-51.42633062.0E-55.4891926E-45.7102833E-46.010112E-41.05250683.0E-50.00547565330.0057006880.005740461.00697674.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.1892101E-62.1892101E-61.00.09.019617E-69.382319E-69.382319E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1422787E-41.1422787E-41.00.00.00109754060.00114209590.00114209591.00.0
6.32.1045846E-62.1892101E-62.1892101E-61.00.09.019617E-69.382319E-69.382319E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1422787E-41.1422787E-41.00.00.00109754060.00114209590.00114209591.00.0
6.41.7259927E-61.7953192E-61.7953192E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.694225E-67.694225E-61.00.09.005586E-59.367719E-59.367719E-51.00.09.001937E-49.367719E-49.367719E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-51.1698484E-53.169825E-52.70960332.0E-51.9209793E-45.0135415E-57.013441E-51.39889962.0E-50.00233628346.1023165E-46.402133E-41.04913163.0E-50.023118740.00643007220.0064698151.00618084.0E-5
6.14.482615E-51.1698484E-53.169825E-52.70960332.0E-51.9209793E-45.0135415E-57.013441E-51.39889962.0E-50.00233628346.1023165E-46.402133E-41.04913163.0E-50.023118740.00643007220.0064698151.00618084.0E-5
6.24.482615E-51.1698484E-53.169825E-52.70960332.0E-51.9209793E-45.0135415E-57.013441E-51.39889962.0E-50.00233628346.1023165E-46.402133E-41.04913163.0E-50.023118740.00643007220.0064698151.00618084.0E-5
6.34.482615E-51.1698484E-53.169825E-52.70960332.0E-51.9209793E-45.0135415E-57.013441E-51.39889962.0E-50.00233628346.1023165E-46.402133E-41.04913163.0E-50.023118740.00643007220.0064698151.00618084.0E-5
6.44.482615E-51.1698484E-53.169825E-52.70960332.0E-51.9209793E-45.0135415E-57.013441E-51.39889962.0E-50.00233628346.1023165E-46.402133E-41.04913163.0E-50.023118740.00643007220.0064698151.00618084.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-59.095819E-62.9095638E-53.19879222.0E-51.5982533E-43.898151E-55.898073E-51.51304382.0E-50.00194413664.7449808E-45.044838E-41.06319483.0E-50.019272160.0050435580.0050833561.00789094.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-59.095819E-62.9095638E-53.19879222.0E-51.5982533E-43.898151E-55.898073E-51.51304382.0E-50.00194413664.7449808E-45.044838E-41.06319483.0E-50.019272160.0050435580.0050833561.00789094.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-58.569108E-62.8568937E-53.3339452.0E-51.5444479E-43.672424E-55.6723507E-51.54457942.0E-50.00187874344.4702727E-44.7701385E-41.067083.0E-50.018629390.00476354170.0048033511.00835724.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-58.355365E-62.8355198E-53.39365172.0E-51.5012783E-43.580822E-55.5807504E-51.55851092.0E-50.00182627394.3587925E-44.6586618E-41.06879643.0E-50.018113380.0046464570.0046862711.00856884.0E-5
6.93.435112E-58.266087E-62.8265922E-53.41950442.0E-51.4721078E-43.5425615E-55.5424905E-51.56454322.0E-50.00179081784.3122284E-44.6120991E-41.06953953.0E-50.0177645480.004596950.00463676641.00866144.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-57.3422057E-62.734206E-53.7239572.0E-51.241074E-43.146622E-55.146559E-51.63558222.0E-50.00150996033.830349E-44.130234E-41.07829193.0E-50.0149974160.00408658940.00412642631.00974814.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-56.531453E-62.6531323E-54.06208562.0E-51.11436144E-42.7991646E-54.7991085E-51.71447892.0E-50.00135589073.4074578E-43.7073556E-41.08801223.0E-50.0134764750.00363390610.00367376071.01096754.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-55.7019147E-62.57018E-54.50757362.0E-59.661716E-52.4436553E-54.4436063E-51.8184262.0E-50.0011756792.97475E-43.2746608E-41.10081883.0E-50.0116947850.00317001090.0032098841.01257824.0E-5
7.31.75334E-55.5637233E-62.5563611E-54.5946952.0E-57.514098E-52.3844314E-54.3843836E-51.83875442.0E-59.144575E-42.9026644E-43.2025774E-41.10332333.0E-50.0091070360.003088190.00312806641.01291254.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-55.4780985E-62.547799E-54.6508822.0E-56.82463E-52.3477358E-54.3476888E-51.85186462.0E-58.305819E-42.8579994E-43.1579135E-41.10493853.0E-50.0082748440.00303942240.0030793011.01312044.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-55.0214985E-62.5021398E-54.9828552.0E-55.7551293E-52.1520535E-54.1520103E-51.9293252.0E-57.004617E-42.6198148E-42.8197624E-41.07632122.0E-50.0069825790.00278786480.00281778121.0107313.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-54.155505E-62.4155423E-55.81287242.0E-54.5808283E-51.7809187E-53.780883E-52.12299592.0E-55.5757316E-42.1680548E-42.3680115E-41.09222852.0E-50.0055617620.002319270.00234920071.01290513.0E-5
7.78.81236E-63.2611995E-62.3261135E-57.1326932.0E-53.776671E-51.3976494E-53.3976215E-52.4309542.0E-54.597127E-41.7015057E-41.9014717E-41.1175232.0E-50.00458762840.00184390380.00187384841.01623993.0E-5
7.87.780431E-62.7897916E-62.2789736E-58.1689742.0E-53.3344273E-51.1956195E-53.1955955E-52.6727532.0E-54.0589093E-41.4555697E-41.6555407E-41.13738322.0E-50.00405150370.0015900220.00161997441.01883773.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-62.2031945E-62.220315E-510.0777072.0E-52.8044553E-59.4422285E-62.9442039E-53.1181242.0E-53.4138895E-41.1495309E-41.349508E-41.1739642.0E-50.00340864950.00127565430.00130561611.02348733.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-61.7254588E-62.1725424E-512.59112.0E-52.3351862E-57.3948027E-62.7394655E-53.70458222.0E-52.8427184E-49.002802E-51.1002622E-41.2221332.0E-50.00283908450.00101280250.00103278231.01972722.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-63.564062E-73.564062E-71.00.01.217019E-51.5274542E-61.5274542E-61.00.01.4816198E-41.8596596E-51.8596596E-51.00.00.00148063252.2143817E-42.2143817E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-69.693613E-89.693613E-81.00.08.701017E-64.1544047E-74.1544047E-71.00.01.05929736E-45.057976E-65.057976E-61.00.00.00105879256.766323E-56.766323E-51.00.0
8.31.0659804E-63.892697E-83.892697E-81.00.04.568479E-61.6682986E-71.6682986E-71.00.05.5619817E-52.0311518E-62.0311518E-61.00.05.5605895E-42.8102135E-52.8102135E-51.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4538361E-54.4537923E-53.06347633.0E-55.906953E-56.2305866E-51.0230338E-41.64195414.0E-57.189342E-47.5832696E-47.9829665E-41.05270774.0E-50.00716612770.0075591080.00759880571.00525164.0E-5
6.11.3783202E-51.4538361E-54.4537923E-53.06347633.0E-55.906953E-56.2305866E-51.0230338E-41.64195414.0E-57.189342E-47.5832696E-47.9829665E-41.05270774.0E-50.00716612770.0075591080.00759880571.00525164.0E-5
6.21.3783202E-51.4538361E-54.4537923E-53.06347633.0E-55.906953E-56.2305866E-51.0230338E-41.64195414.0E-57.189342E-47.5832696E-47.9829665E-41.05270774.0E-50.00716612770.0075591080.00759880571.00525164.0E-5
6.31.10494875E-51.1654667E-53.1654436E-52.71603082.0E-54.7354086E-54.9947674E-57.994618E-51.60059863.0E-55.763835E-46.079534E-46.379352E-41.04931593.0E-50.0057489080.00606391860.00609373671.00491733.0E-5
6.41.10494875E-51.1654667E-53.1654436E-52.71603082.0E-54.7354086E-54.9947674E-57.994618E-51.60059863.0E-55.763835E-46.079534E-46.379352E-41.04931593.0E-50.0057489080.00606391860.00609373671.00491733.0E-5
6.59.788949E-61.0330346E-53.033014E-52.93602352.0E-54.1951964E-54.4272216E-57.427089E-51.6775963.0E-55.1064545E-45.3888996E-45.6887383E-41.055643.0E-50.00509473630.00537673760.0054065761.00554963.0E-5
6.68.810006E-69.3011E-62.9300914E-53.1502632.0E-53.775662E-53.98613E-56.986011E-51.75257973.0E-54.5958988E-44.8521193E-45.151974E-41.06179873.0E-50.00458640560.00484238750.0048722421.00616533.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.291731E-62.9291545E-53.15243152.0E-53.7719226E-53.9821145E-56.981995E-51.75333863.0E-54.591348E-44.8472328E-45.1470875E-41.0618613.0E-50.0045818740.0048375220.00486737681.00617153.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.290396E-62.729025E-53.74331522.0E-52.9568899E-53.1244224E-55.12436E-51.64009832.0E-53.5994186E-43.8034003E-44.003324E-41.05256452.0E-50.0035935940.00379767730.00381760141.00524642.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.2079067E-62.5207803E-54.8402952.0E-52.1140417E-52.2319442E-54.2318996E-51.89605982.0E-52.5735417E-42.7171135E-42.9170592E-41.07358752.0E-50.00257056350.00271438320.00273432891.00734822.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.5447617E-63.5447617E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.519177E-51.519177E-51.00.01.746775E-41.849481E-41.849481E-41.00.00.00174540250.00184833510.00184833511.00.0
7.11.2073567E-61.2774252E-61.2774252E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.474677E-65.474677E-61.00.06.29962E-56.6653745E-56.6653745E-51.00.06.297835E-46.664937E-46.664937E-41.00.0

Hector Mine

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8760093E-52.0295112E-52.0295112E-51.00.08.039792E-58.697657E-59.69757E-51.11496351.0E-59.78405E-40.00105850.00107847891.01887462.0E-50.0097410860.01054198950.0105815681.00375444.0E-5
6.11.8760093E-52.0295112E-52.0295112E-51.00.08.039792E-58.697657E-59.69757E-51.11496351.0E-59.78405E-40.00105850.00107847891.01887462.0E-50.0097410860.01054198950.0105815681.00375444.0E-5
6.21.8760093E-52.0295112E-52.0295112E-51.00.08.039792E-58.697657E-59.69757E-51.11496351.0E-59.78405E-40.00105850.00107847891.01887462.0E-50.0097410860.01054198950.0105815681.00375444.0E-5
6.31.8760093E-52.0295112E-52.0295112E-51.00.08.039792E-58.697657E-59.69757E-51.11496351.0E-59.78405E-40.00105850.00107847891.01887462.0E-50.0097410860.01054198950.0105815681.00375444.0E-5
6.41.0888055E-51.1763727E-51.1763727E-51.00.04.666226E-55.0415165E-56.041466E-51.1983431.0E-55.679649E-46.1366084E-46.336486E-41.03257132.0E-50.00566515470.00612252950.0061523461.00486993.0E-5
6.51.0888055E-51.1763727E-51.1763727E-51.00.04.666226E-55.0415165E-56.041466E-51.1983431.0E-55.679649E-46.1366084E-46.336486E-41.03257132.0E-50.00566515470.00612252950.0061523461.00486993.0E-5
6.61.0730738E-51.1592768E-51.1592768E-51.00.04.5988065E-54.968251E-55.968201E-51.20126811.0E-55.5976084E-46.047457E-46.247336E-41.03305172.0E-50.00558352940.00603386430.00606368341.00494193.0E-5
6.77.881326E-68.512061E-68.512061E-61.00.03.3776672E-53.647986E-54.6479498E-51.27411391.0E-54.111534E-44.4407113E-44.6406226E-41.04501782.0E-50.00410393530.00443374040.00446360741.00673633.0E-5
6.87.5683483E-68.174487E-68.174487E-61.00.03.2435375E-53.5033157E-54.5032804E-51.28543391.0E-53.9482914E-44.264645E-44.4645596E-41.04687732.0E-50.00394128360.00425835840.00428823061.0070153.0E-5
6.96.473048E-66.9934968E-66.9934968E-61.00.02.7741338E-52.997189E-53.997159E-51.33363591.0E-53.3769844E-43.6486558E-43.848583E-41.05479472.0E-50.00337185730.00364452250.00367441331.00820153.0E-5
7.04.9959954E-65.3980793E-65.3980793E-61.00.02.1411232E-52.313452E-53.313429E-51.43224441.0E-52.6065056E-42.8164402E-43.0163839E-41.07099162.0E-50.00260345060.00281460190.00284451741.01062873.0E-5
7.11.2997541E-61.3967242E-61.3967242E-61.00.05.5703626E-65.985949E-65.985949E-61.00.06.7817055E-57.287684E-58.287611E-51.13720771.0E-56.779636E-47.2856364E-47.385564E-41.01371561.0E-5
7.28.392699E-79.043682E-79.043682E-71.00.03.596866E-63.8758594E-63.8758594E-61.00.04.3790962E-54.7187797E-55.7187324E-51.21190921.0E-54.3782333E-44.7180042E-44.817957E-41.02118541.0E-5
7.33.13015E-73.380899E-73.380899E-71.00.01.3414921E-61.4489561E-61.4489561E-61.00.01.6332544E-51.7640948E-51.7640948E-51.00.01.6331344E-41.7640031E-41.7640031E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.228442E-51.9869969E-51.9869969E-51.00.01.3835446E-48.5154286E-59.515343E-51.11742391.0E-50.00168316390.00103626940.00106623831.028923.0E-50.0167047230.010617030.0106566051.00372764.0E-5
6.13.226985E-51.9869969E-51.9869969E-51.00.01.3829203E-48.5154286E-59.515343E-51.11742391.0E-50.0016824050.00103626940.00106623831.028923.0E-50.0166972480.010617030.0106566051.00372764.0E-5
6.23.2120504E-51.9869969E-51.9869969E-51.00.01.3765205E-48.5154286E-59.515343E-51.11742391.0E-50.00167462530.00103626940.00106623831.028923.0E-50.0166206170.010617030.0106566051.00372764.0E-5
6.33.206246E-51.9826055E-51.9826055E-51.00.01.374033E-48.496609E-59.496524E-51.1176841.0E-50.00167160160.00103398020.00106394921.02898413.0E-50.0165908320.0105944810.0106340571.00373554.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-51.9792162E-51.9792162E-51.00.01.364017E-48.4820844E-59.4819996E-51.11788561.0E-50.00165942540.00103221360.00106218261.02903383.0E-50.0164708850.0105771550.0106167321.00374174.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-51.9532206E-51.9532206E-51.00.01.3526545E-48.3706815E-59.370598E-51.11945461.0E-50.00164561280.00101866290.00104863241.02942043.0E-50.01633480.0104435320.0104831151.00379014.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-51.9379582E-51.9379582E-51.00.01.3485427E-48.305276E-59.305193E-51.12039541.0E-50.00164061420.00101070720.0010406771.02965223.0E-50.0162855480.0103650690.0104046551.00381914.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-51.9010247E-51.9010247E-51.00.01.3380898E-48.1469996E-59.146918E-51.12273451.0E-50.00162790689.914547E-40.0010214251.03022863.0E-50.016160330.0101750640.0102146571.00389124.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-51.8843368E-51.8843368E-51.00.01.3291716E-48.075484E-59.075403E-51.12382161.0E-50.0016170659.827556E-40.00101272611.03049643.0E-50.0160534870.0100882180.0101278151.0039254.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-51.4797885E-51.4797885E-51.00.01.1417485E-46.341798E-57.3417345E-51.1576741.0E-50.00138919247.718429E-48.018197E-41.0388383.0E-50.01380540150.00796205550.0080017361.00498384.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-51.33958565E-51.33958565E-51.00.01.02228936E-45.740956E-56.740898E-51.1741771.0E-50.00124392666.9873885E-47.287179E-41.04290453.0E-50.0123698660.0072186930.0072584041.00550124.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-51.3243312E-51.3243312E-51.00.01.0145135E-45.675583E-56.675526E-51.17618331.0E-50.00123447026.907848E-47.2076404E-41.04339893.0E-50.01227635050.0071392790.0071789941.00556284.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.2543086E-51.2543086E-51.00.09.735599E-55.3754982E-56.375444E-51.18601931.0E-50.00118466466.5427186E-46.842522E-41.04582253.0E-50.011783690.00677311840.00681284771.00586574.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.1496899E-51.1496899E-51.00.09.006634E-54.92715E-55.927101E-51.2029471.0E-50.0010960065.997166E-46.296986E-41.04999363.0E-50.0109061630.00622554170.00626529241.00638514.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.1322907E-51.1322907E-51.00.08.86411E-54.8525846E-55.8525362E-51.20606581.0E-50.0010786715.9064326E-46.206255E-41.0507623.0E-50.0107345010.0061342320.00617398651.00648084.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.0989722E-51.0989722E-51.00.08.568561E-54.709796E-55.709749E-51.21231341.0E-50.0010427235.73268E-46.032508E-41.05230153.0E-50.0103784380.0059582050.0059979671.00667354.0E-5
7.61.788966E-59.869514E-69.869514E-61.00.07.666772E-54.2297233E-55.229681E-51.2364121.0E-59.3302975E-45.1484816E-45.4483267E-41.05823963.0E-50.009291220.00536667740.00540646261.00741344.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-57.970792E-67.970792E-61.00.06.4823165E-53.416009E-54.4159748E-51.29272931.0E-57.889362E-44.1582E-44.458075E-41.07211663.0E-50.0078614120.00436768450.00440750971.00911824.0E-5
7.81.250089E-56.661645E-66.661645E-61.00.05.3574146E-52.8549593E-53.8549308E-51.35025761.0E-56.5207E-43.4753603E-43.775256E-41.0862923.0E-50.0065015990.00367487360.00371472651.01084474.0E-5
7.99.561E-64.59787E-64.59787E-61.00.04.0975072E-51.9705009E-52.9704812E-51.50747511.0E-54.987573E-42.398822E-42.6987502E-41.12503143.0E-50.00497639370.00258040340.00262031.01546144.0E-5
8.08.01699E-63.6845422E-63.6845422E-61.00.03.4358076E-51.57908E-51.57908E-51.00.04.1822926E-41.9223614E-42.0223422E-41.05200931.0E-50.00417443040.0020889530.00210891131.00955412.0E-5
8.16.541947E-62.8017735E-62.8017735E-61.00.02.8036617E-51.2007546E-51.2007546E-51.00.03.4129233E-41.4618217E-41.561807E-41.06839781.0E-50.00340768650.00159758880.00161755681.01249892.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-62.0638223E-72.0638223E-71.00.07.70063E-68.8449497E-78.8449497E-71.00.09.3751136E-51.0768675E-51.0768675E-51.00.09.371159E-41.291672E-41.291672E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-79.686525E-99.686525E-91.00.06.500522E-74.151368E-84.151368E-81.00.07.9143565E-65.0542894E-75.0542894E-71.00.07.914075E-56.336597E-66.336597E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.11.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.21.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.31.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.41.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.51.3079164E-51.4873959E-52.487381E-51.6723061.0E-55.6052355E-56.374399E-57.374335E-51.15686751.0E-56.822237E-47.758086E-47.8580086E-41.01287971.0E-50.0068013310.00777890070.007818591.00510224.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-51.4869088E-52.486894E-51.67252621.0E-55.6032466E-56.372311E-57.372248E-51.15691891.0E-56.8198174E-47.755546E-47.8554684E-41.0128841.0E-50.0067989260.00777637870.0078160681.00510384.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-51.4845097E-52.4844949E-51.67361311.0E-55.59283E-56.3620304E-57.361967E-51.15717261.0E-56.8071426E-47.743038E-47.84296E-41.01290491.0E-50.00678632870.00776395760.00780364731.0051124.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-51.46957245E-52.4695577E-51.680461.0E-55.530571E-56.2980165E-57.2979536E-51.15877021.0E-56.73139E-47.665156E-47.7650795E-41.0130361.0E-50.00671103640.0076866160.0077263091.00516394.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-51.4656732E-52.4656585E-51.68227031.0E-55.51447E-56.2813066E-57.2812436E-51.15919261.0E-56.711799E-47.6448254E-47.7447493E-41.01307071.0E-50.0066915640.00766642620.00770611971.00517754.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-51.4126339E-52.4126197E-51.70788751.0E-55.3553173E-56.0540056E-57.053945E-51.16516981.0E-56.518148E-47.368275E-47.468201E-41.01356171.0E-50.00649906230.0073917240.00743142841.00537154.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-51.407457E-52.4074428E-51.71049131.0E-55.3364907E-56.0318198E-57.031759E-51.16577741.0E-56.4952404E-47.341282E-47.441208E-41.01361161.0E-50.00647628870.007364910.00740461561.00539114.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-51.3507213E-52.3507078E-51.74033521.0E-55.143946E-55.788678E-56.78862E-51.1727411.0E-56.2609545E-47.0454506E-47.14538E-41.01418351.0E-50.0062433440.0070709920.00711070931.00561694.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-51.338849E-52.3388357E-51.74690021.0E-55.109939E-55.7377987E-56.737741E-51.17427291.0E-56.219575E-46.983545E-47.0834754E-41.01430941.0E-50.00620219620.00700948950.00704920941.00566654.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-51.2882456E-52.2882326E-51.77623951.0E-54.975841E-55.5209366E-56.520881E-51.18111871.0E-56.0564023E-46.7196804E-46.8196136E-41.01487171.0E-50.0060399230.00674727560.0067870061.00588834.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.1974523E-52.1974403E-51.83509641.0E-54.7301706E-55.131838E-56.131786E-51.1948521.0E-55.757461E-46.246233E-46.346171E-41.01599971.0E-50.0057425670.00627551130.006315261.0063344.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.1534035E-52.153392E-51.86698931.0E-54.5945973E-54.9430648E-55.9430153E-51.20229361.0E-55.592486E-46.016531E-46.1164715E-41.01661091.0E-50.0055784330.0060470790.00608683661.00657474.0E-5
7.79.276279E-69.415184E-61.9415089E-52.06210421.0E-53.9754876E-54.0350165E-55.0349765E-51.24782051.0E-54.839081E-44.911534E-45.0114846E-41.02035021.0E-50.00482855740.00494740340.0049772551.00603383.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-65.6176477E-65.6176477E-61.00.02.5005522E-52.407541E-52.407541E-51.00.03.043997E-42.9307872E-42.9307872E-41.00.00.00303983080.00297322330.0029931641.00670672.0E-5
7.94.690204E-64.0012387E-64.0012387E-61.00.02.0100719E-51.7148053E-51.7148053E-51.00.02.4469878E-42.0875757E-42.0875757E-41.00.00.0024442950.00212791630.00213789521.00468951.0E-5
8.02.9570454E-62.2103363E-62.2103363E-61.00.01.267299E-59.472836E-69.472836E-61.00.01.5428272E-41.15325674E-41.15325674E-41.00.00.00154175660.00116969560.00116969561.00.0
8.11.6376824E-68.994977E-78.994977E-71.00.07.01862E-63.8549842E-63.8549842E-61.00.08.544835E-54.6933426E-54.6933426E-51.00.08.54155E-44.77813E-44.77813E-41.00.0
8.26.9631557E-71.12239235E-71.12239235E-71.00.02.984206E-64.810252E-74.810252E-71.00.03.63321E-55.856466E-65.856466E-61.00.03.6326164E-46.18383E-56.18383E-51.00.0
8.31.7876137E-71.8049045E-81.8049045E-81.00.07.661199E-77.735305E-87.735305E-81.00.09.32747E-69.4177295E-79.4177295E-71.00.09.3270784E-51.0168614E-51.0168614E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.618514E-56.4799904E-58.479861E-51.30862252.0E-52.4077125E-42.7768526E-43.0767694E-41.1080063.0E-50.00292744950.00337575050.00341561551.01180924.0E-50.0288918410.0332656430.0333043151.00116244.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.393927E-57.3938194E-51.37076742.0E-52.0124791E-42.3114859E-42.6114166E-41.12975673.0E-50.002447440.00281073550.00284065121.01064343.0E-50.0242066030.0277671650.0277963321.00105053.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-53.9866998E-55.98662E-51.50164812.0E-51.5033272E-41.7084759E-42.0084246E-41.17556513.0E-50.00182876420.00207812320.00210806081.01440613.0E-50.0181378760.0205916040.0206209871.00142693.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-53.9866998E-55.98662E-51.50164812.0E-51.5033272E-41.7084759E-42.0084246E-41.17556513.0E-50.00182876420.00207812320.00210806081.01440613.0E-50.0181378760.0205916040.0206209871.00142693.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.062138E-55.062077E-51.65311842.0E-51.16552954E-41.3122798E-41.6122404E-41.22857983.0E-50.00141810850.00159654450.00162649661.01876063.0E-50.0140909290.015852660.0158821831.00186243.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-52.8760905E-54.876033E-51.69536842.0E-51.0964406E-41.2325527E-41.5325157E-41.24336733.0E-50.00133409890.00149961360.00152956861.01997523.0E-50.0132611810.0148966580.0149262111.00198393.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.4667375E-54.4666882E-51.81076752.0E-59.443096E-51.0571308E-41.3570991E-41.2837573.0E-50.00114909050.00128630440.00131626591.02329273.0E-50.0114316680.0127895870.0128192031.00231563.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.1642103E-54.164167E-51.92410462.0E-58.311815E-59.27486E-51.2274581E-41.3234253.0E-50.00101149360.0011286340.00115860021.02655083.0E-50.010069020.01122965850.0112593221.00264143.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-51.9611773E-51.9611773E-51.00.07.549201E-58.4047766E-59.4046925E-51.11896991.0E-59.1872766E-40.00102280510.0010327951.0097671.0E-50.0091493870.0101814920.010191391.00097221.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.7346916E-51.7346916E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.434183E-58.434108E-51.13450381.0E-58.147778E-49.0473914E-49.147301E-41.0110431.0E-50.0081179690.0090109630.0090208731.00109971.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.4883985E-51.4883985E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.378696E-57.378632E-51.15676191.0E-57.0126704E-47.763321E-47.863243E-41.0128711.0E-50.0069905820.0077365060.00774642871.00128261.0E-5
7.11.2268361E-51.3564157E-51.3564157E-51.00.05.2577634E-55.813082E-56.813024E-51.17201581.0E-56.399447E-47.0751534E-47.1750826E-41.01412391.0E-50.00638104930.0070529080.0070628381.00140791.0E-5
7.21.0922655E-51.2063284E-51.2063284E-51.00.04.681054E-55.1698775E-56.169826E-51.19341811.0E-55.697693E-46.2925316E-46.3924683E-41.01588191.0E-50.00568310640.0062749720.00628490931.00158361.0E-5
7.36.1106753E-66.6962043E-66.6962043E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.8697705E-52.8697705E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.4933892E-43.4933892E-41.00.00.00318339510.00348793970.00348793971.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.4033567E-65.4033567E-61.00.02.114206E-52.315704E-52.315704E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.8190084E-42.8190084E-41.00.00.0025707630.00281547080.00281547081.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9070897E-61.9070897E-61.00.07.495527E-68.173217E-68.173217E-61.00.09.125422E-59.950458E-59.950458E-51.00.09.1216754E-49.946207E-49.946207E-41.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7429355E-71.7429355E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.4697215E-77.4697215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.0943495E-69.0943495E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.093997E-59.093997E-51.00.0

Peralta Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.8850067E-63.7424275E-63.7424275E-61.00.01.6649923E-51.6038917E-53.6038597E-52.2469472.0E-52.0269395E-41.9526364E-42.3525582E-41.20481124.0E-50.00202509160.0019516380.001991561.02045564.0E-5
6.13.8850067E-63.7424275E-63.7424275E-61.00.01.6649923E-51.6038917E-53.6038597E-52.2469472.0E-52.0269395E-41.9526364E-42.3525582E-41.20481124.0E-50.00202509160.0019516380.001991561.02045564.0E-5
6.23.8850067E-63.7424275E-63.7424275E-61.00.01.6649923E-51.6038917E-53.6038597E-52.2469472.0E-52.0269395E-41.9526364E-42.3525582E-41.20481124.0E-50.00202509160.0019516380.001991561.02045564.0E-5
6.33.8850067E-63.7424275E-63.7424275E-61.00.01.6649923E-51.6038917E-53.6038597E-52.2469472.0E-52.0269395E-41.9526364E-42.3525582E-41.20481124.0E-50.00202509160.0019516380.001991561.02045564.0E-5
6.43.8850067E-63.7424275E-63.7424275E-61.00.01.6649923E-51.6038917E-53.6038597E-52.2469472.0E-52.0269395E-41.9526364E-42.3525582E-41.20481124.0E-50.00202509160.0019516380.001991561.02045564.0E-5
6.51.5587785E-61.3586709E-61.3586709E-61.00.06.6804623E-65.822864E-65.822864E-61.00.08.133159E-57.089128E-57.089128E-51.00.08.1301836E-47.0870767E-47.0870767E-41.00.0
6.61.5587785E-61.3586709E-61.3586709E-61.00.06.6804623E-65.822864E-65.822864E-61.00.08.133159E-57.089128E-57.089128E-51.00.08.1301836E-47.0870767E-47.0870767E-41.00.0
6.71.5018579E-61.2997417E-61.2997417E-61.00.06.436518E-65.5703113E-65.5703113E-61.00.07.836179E-56.781664E-56.781664E-51.00.07.833416E-46.779801E-46.779801E-41.00.0
6.81.4584314E-61.2545731E-61.2545731E-61.00.06.250405E-65.376732E-65.376732E-61.00.07.6096025E-56.545996E-56.545996E-51.00.07.6069974E-46.544273E-46.544273E-41.00.0
6.91.1382393E-69.244465E-79.244465E-71.00.04.8781594E-63.961908E-63.961908E-61.00.05.9389975E-54.8235237E-54.8235237E-51.00.05.93741E-44.822548E-44.822548E-41.00.0
7.09.970413E-77.780893E-77.780893E-71.00.04.273027E-63.3346646E-63.3346646E-61.00.05.2022864E-54.0598847E-54.0598847E-51.00.05.2010687E-44.0592017E-44.0592017E-41.00.0
7.19.684443E-77.481945E-77.481945E-71.00.04.150469E-63.2065443E-63.2065443E-61.00.05.053079E-53.9039034E-53.9039034E-51.00.05.05193E-43.903276E-43.903276E-41.00.0
7.29.240811E-77.012308E-77.012308E-71.00.03.960342E-63.0052718E-63.0052718E-61.00.04.8216094E-53.6588626E-53.6588626E-51.00.04.8205635E-43.658317E-43.658317E-41.00.0
7.38.158643E-75.9178274E-75.9178274E-71.00.03.4965567E-62.5362096E-62.5362096E-61.00.04.2569747E-53.0877967E-53.0877967E-51.00.04.2561593E-43.0874208E-43.0874208E-41.00.0
7.46.3822824E-74.4599395E-74.4599395E-71.00.02.7352612E-61.9114016E-61.9114016E-61.00.03.3301294E-52.327111E-52.327111E-51.00.03.3296304E-42.3269115E-42.3269115E-41.00.0
7.54.0292628E-72.575831E-72.575831E-71.00.01.7268258E-61.1039273E-61.1039273E-61.00.02.1023901E-51.3440256E-51.3440256E-51.00.02.1021912E-41.3439679E-41.3439679E-41.00.0
7.63.672993E-72.2959362E-72.2959362E-71.00.01.5741389E-69.839724E-79.839724E-71.00.01.9164972E-51.1979822E-51.1979822E-51.00.01.916332E-41.1979406E-41.1979406E-41.00.0
7.72.8466823E-71.6383298E-71.6383298E-71.00.01.2200061E-67.021413E-77.021413E-71.00.01.4853474E-58.548559E-68.548559E-61.00.01.485248E-48.5484484E-58.5484484E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.921579E-57.7135795E-57.7135795E-51.00.02.5375726E-43.305488E-43.405455E-41.03024271.0E-50.00308511780.00401849670.0040483761.00743543.0E-50.0304263760.0395182450.0395566631.00097224.0E-5
6.15.921579E-57.7135795E-57.7135795E-51.00.02.5375726E-43.305488E-43.405455E-41.03024271.0E-50.00308511780.00401849670.0040483761.00743543.0E-50.0304263760.0395182450.0395566631.00097224.0E-5
6.25.6963574E-57.393456E-57.393456E-51.00.02.4410675E-43.1683253E-43.2682938E-41.03155241.0E-50.00296794950.00385212940.00388201371.00775793.0E-50.0292862230.0379155840.0379540661.0010154.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-57.3890646E-57.3890646E-51.00.02.4400617E-43.1664438E-43.2664122E-41.03157111.0E-50.0029667280.00384984680.00387973131.00776263.0E-50.0292743310.0378936570.0379321431.00101554.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-56.859843E-56.859843E-51.00.02.3214328E-42.9396865E-43.039657E-41.03400721.0E-50.00282268130.00357470220.0036045951.00836233.0E-50.027870960.035269170.035307761.00109414.0E-5
6.54.375144E-54.8339978E-54.8339978E-51.00.01.874927E-42.0716092E-42.1715884E-41.04826161.0E-50.00228033380.00252033680.00255026131.01187313.0E-50.0225707570.0251105730.0251495671.00155294.0E-5
6.62.772192E-51.8816798E-51.8816798E-51.00.01.1880282E-48.0641E-59.06402E-51.12399641.0E-50.00144546469.81376E-40.00101134661.03053933.0E-50.0143609860.010030380.0100699791.00394794.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-51.8097933E-51.8097933E-51.00.01.1624106E-47.756034E-58.7559565E-51.12892191.0E-50.00141431619.4390195E-49.7387366E-41.0317533.0E-50.0140534870.0096582280.00969784151.00410154.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-51.5960964E-51.5960964E-51.00.01.0917746E-46.840239E-57.840171E-51.14618371.0E-50.0013284258.3248975E-48.624648E-41.03600653.0E-50.01320511850.0085439350.0085835931.00464174.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.1952499E-51.1952499E-51.00.09.069123E-55.1224008E-56.1223494E-51.19521091.0E-50.00110360646.234762E-46.5345754E-41.04808743.0E-50.0109814170.00643369930.0064734421.00617734.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.0783458E-51.0783458E-51.00.08.037304E-54.621401E-55.6213546E-51.21637461.0E-59.781026E-45.6251185E-45.92495E-41.05330223.0E-50.0097380870.0058105710.00585033841.0068444.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.0714749E-51.0714749E-51.00.08.0048376E-54.591955E-55.5919092E-51.21776211.0E-59.7415317E-45.589287E-45.8891193E-41.05364413.0E-50.0096989390.00577464470.00581441351.00688684.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.0078759E-51.0078759E-51.00.07.6303106E-54.3193973E-55.3193544E-51.23150371.0E-59.285943E-45.2576116E-45.557454E-41.05703013.0E-50.0092472360.0054414290.00548121151.0073114.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-59.28878E-69.28878E-61.00.07.1070994E-53.9808456E-54.980806E-51.25119291.0E-58.649459E-44.8456137E-45.145468E-41.06188173.0E-50.008615870.005027570.00506736851.00791614.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-59.1647125E-69.1647125E-61.00.07.023047E-53.9276754E-54.927636E-51.25459351.0E-58.5472054E-44.7809075E-45.080764E-41.06271963.0E-50.0085144050.00496256260.0050023641.00802044.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-58.868667E-68.868667E-61.00.06.767291E-53.8008024E-54.8007645E-51.26309231.0E-58.236062E-44.6265058E-44.926367E-41.06481373.0E-50.0082056040.00480598260.004845791.0082834.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-58.058052E-68.058052E-61.00.06.106431E-53.4534056E-54.453371E-51.28955921.0E-57.432043E-44.20372E-44.503594E-41.07133533.0E-50.0074072370.0043769320.0044167571.00909884.0E-5
7.71.15449975E-56.200618E-66.200618E-61.00.04.947762E-52.6573807E-53.6573543E-51.37630051.0E-56.022235E-43.2348835E-43.5347865E-41.09270913.0E-50.0060059410.00339862120.00343848531.01172954.0E-5
7.89.1391985E-65.049241E-65.049241E-61.00.03.9167408E-52.1639426E-53.163921E-51.46210941.0E-54.767588E-42.6342832E-42.934204E-41.1138533.0E-50.00475737270.0027886550.00282854331.01430384.0E-5
7.96.973017E-63.5056653E-63.5056653E-61.00.02.9884017E-51.5024194E-52.5024045E-51.66558311.0E-53.6377716E-41.8290433E-42.1289884E-41.16399013.0E-50.00363182250.00196971460.00200963581.02026754.0E-5
8.05.7638235E-62.7857711E-62.7857711E-61.00.02.4701867E-51.1938965E-51.1938965E-51.00.03.0070372E-41.4534731E-41.5534586E-41.06879071.0E-50.00300297140.0015828920.00160286031.01261512.0E-5
8.15.1124434E-62.394633E-62.394633E-61.00.02.1910288E-51.0262673E-51.0262673E-51.00.02.6672508E-41.2494097E-41.3493972E-41.08002781.0E-50.00266405170.00136707570.00138704841.01460982.0E-5
8.21.1075938E-61.4583036E-71.4583036E-71.00.04.7468216E-66.249871E-76.249871E-71.00.05.779102E-57.6091924E-67.6091924E-61.00.05.777599E-49.050604E-59.050604E-51.00.0
8.31.3584393E-81.0168847E-91.0168847E-91.00.05.8218827E-84.358077E-94.358077E-91.00.07.0881396E-75.3059587E-85.3059587E-81.00.07.0881174E-66.245385E-76.245385E-71.00.0

San Joaquin Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.13.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.23.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.33.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.43.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.53.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.63.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.73.4525704E-62.7844412E-62.2784385E-58.182752.0E-51.4796647E-51.1933265E-53.193303E-52.67596722.0E-51.8013427E-41.4527795E-41.752736E-41.20647073.0E-50.00179988330.00145184270.00149178471.02751124.0E-5
6.83.388654E-62.7191757E-62.2719121E-58.355152.0E-51.4522722E-51.1653558E-53.1653326E-52.7161942.0E-51.767998E-41.4187297E-41.718687E-41.21142673.0E-50.0017665920.00141783650.00145777981.0281724.0E-5
6.93.2694352E-62.5996278E-62.2599575E-58.6933892.0E-51.401179E-51.1141215E-53.1140993E-52.79511642.0E-51.7058018E-41.3563596E-41.656319E-41.22115033.0E-50.00170449310.00135554280.00139548851.02946844.0E-5
7.03.246912E-62.5784104E-62.2578359E-58.7566982.0E-51.39152635E-51.1050284E-53.105006E-52.80988842.0E-51.6940516E-41.3452901E-41.6452497E-41.22297023.0E-50.00169276070.00134448670.00138443291.02971114.0E-5
7.13.1864927E-62.5239833E-62.2523933E-58.9239632.0E-51.3656326E-51.0817027E-53.0816813E-52.84891682.0E-51.6625308E-41.3168946E-41.616855E-41.22777873.0E-50.00166128760.0013161250.00135607241.03035224.0E-5
7.23.0220644E-62.3718187E-62.237177E-59.4323272.0E-51.295164E-51.0164898E-53.0164694E-52.96753532.0E-51.576748E-41.2375071E-41.53747E-41.24239293.0E-50.00157562980.0012368280.00127677861.03230084.0E-5
7.32.787619E-62.192195E-62.2192151E-510.1232552.0E-51.1946884E-59.395089E-62.9394902E-53.12875182.0E-51.454436E-41.143793E-41.4437587E-41.26225523.0E-50.00145348450.0011432140.00117317961.02621193.0E-5
7.42.4593792E-61.9001128E-61.1900094E-56.26283551.0E-51.0540153E-58.143315E-61.8143235E-52.2279911.0E-51.2831882E-49.9140445E-51.19138465E-41.2017142.0E-50.00128244749.909708E-40.00101095091.02016222.0E-5
7.51.926764E-61.4205306E-61.1420517E-58.0396141.0E-58.257534E-66.0879743E-61.6087914E-52.64257241.0E-51.00530844E-47.411863E-59.4117146E-51.26981772.0E-50.00100485387.409453E-47.609305E-41.02697252.0E-5
7.61.1609359E-68.0440293E-78.0440293E-71.00.04.97543E-63.447437E-63.447437E-61.00.06.0574173E-54.197178E-55.1971358E-51.23824541.0E-56.055767E-44.1964275E-44.2963855E-41.02381981.0E-5
7.75.1168536E-72.668508E-72.668508E-71.00.02.1929354E-61.1436459E-61.1436459E-61.00.02.669866E-51.3923814E-51.3923814E-51.00.02.6695454E-41.3923072E-41.3923072E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.757093E-99.757093E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1816115E-84.1816115E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.091112E-75.091112E-71.00.06.05567E-65.0911117E-65.0911117E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.776857E-51.776857E-51.00.07.037136E-57.614909E-58.614832E-51.13131131.0E-58.5643446E-49.267727E-49.567449E-41.03234043.0E-50.0085314130.0092342290.009273861.00429174.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.776857E-51.776857E-51.00.07.037136E-57.614909E-58.614832E-51.13131131.0E-58.5643446E-49.267727E-49.567449E-41.03234043.0E-50.0085314130.0092342290.009273861.00429174.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.776857E-51.776857E-51.00.07.037136E-57.614909E-58.614832E-51.13131131.0E-58.5643446E-49.267727E-49.567449E-41.03234043.0E-50.0085314130.0092342290.009273861.00429174.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-51.3026026E-51.3026026E-51.00.05.1628023E-55.582484E-56.582428E-51.17912171.0E-56.283899E-46.7949283E-46.8948604E-41.01470691.0E-50.00626615950.00677783230.0067976971.00293082.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-51.3026026E-51.3026026E-51.00.05.1628023E-55.582484E-56.582428E-51.17912171.0E-56.283899E-46.7949283E-46.8948604E-41.01470691.0E-50.00626615950.00677783230.0067976971.00293082.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-51.1077539E-51.1077539E-51.00.04.390359E-54.74745E-55.7474026E-51.21062931.0E-55.343951E-45.778837E-45.878779E-41.01729451.0E-50.0053311180.00576724340.0057871281.00344792.0E-5
6.69.605408E-61.0387575E-51.0387575E-51.00.04.1165385E-54.4517612E-55.4517164E-51.22462021.0E-55.010733E-45.4190174E-45.518963E-41.01844361.0E-50.004999450.00540920250.00542909471.00367742.0E-5
6.78.60418E-69.306163E-69.306163E-61.00.03.687454E-53.9883136E-54.9882736E-51.25072251.0E-54.48855E-44.8550274E-44.954979E-41.02058721.0E-50.0044794950.00484773560.00486763851.00410572.0E-5
6.85.187994E-65.621261E-65.621261E-61.00.02.223407E-52.4091001E-53.409076E-51.41508271.0E-52.7066618E-42.9328724E-43.032843E-41.03408621.0E-50.00270336750.00293084140.0029507831.0068042.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-64.90917E-64.90917E-61.00.01.9415156E-52.1039235E-53.1039024E-51.47529241.0E-52.3635388E-42.5614107E-42.661385E-41.0390311.0E-50.00236102660.00256027050.00258021921.00779162.0E-5
7.03.431668E-63.7190312E-63.7190312E-61.00.01.4707065E-51.5938705E-52.5938545E-51.62739361.0E-51.7904381E-41.9405373E-42.0405179E-41.05152211.0E-50.00178899620.00194053740.00196049851.01028652.0E-5

Oceanside alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.11.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.21.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.31.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.41.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.51.1617542E-51.1292549E-53.1292322E-52.77105932.0E-54.9788516E-54.8395832E-56.839486E-51.41323882.0E-56.060066E-45.8907573E-46.0906395E-41.03393152.0E-50.00604356640.0058767060.0059164711.00676664.0E-5
6.67.561768E-67.04591E-62.704577E-53.83850622.0E-53.2407173E-53.0196412E-55.019581E-51.66231042.0E-53.9448592E-43.6758036E-43.87573E-41.05438982.0E-50.00393786370.0036698330.0036997231.00814473.0E-5
6.77.1042605E-66.572647E-62.6572516E-54.0428942.0E-53.0446476E-52.8168188E-54.8167625E-51.71000092.0E-53.706228E-43.428945E-43.6288763E-41.05830692.0E-50.00370005290.0034237360.00345363331.00873233.0E-5
6.86.285554E-65.7235598E-62.5723446E-54.4943092.0E-52.693781E-52.4529314E-54.4528824E-51.8153312.0E-53.2791847E-42.9860402E-43.1859803E-41.06695832.0E-50.00327435020.00298208420.00301199481.010033.0E-5
6.96.148883E-65.5817663E-62.5581654E-54.5830752.0E-52.635209E-52.3921639E-54.392116E-51.83604312.0E-53.2078946E-42.9120757E-43.1120176E-41.06865952.0E-50.0032032680.00290831550.00293822821.01028533.0E-5
7.05.253857E-64.6554846E-62.4655392E-55.2959882.0E-52.2516335E-51.9951927E-53.9951527E-52.00238942.0E-52.7410188E-42.4288792E-42.6288308E-41.08232252.0E-50.00273764040.00242625550.00245618261.01233473.0E-5
7.14.730754E-64.1174026E-62.411732E-55.85741142.0E-52.0274503E-51.7645893E-53.764554E-52.13338832.0E-52.468141E-42.1481782E-42.3481353E-41.09308222.0E-50.00246540150.00214612760.00217606311.01394873.0E-5
7.23.7998386E-63.1649408E-62.3164877E-57.31921342.0E-51.6284921E-51.3563962E-53.356369E-52.47447542.0E-51.9825088E-41.6512885E-41.8512554E-41.12109762.0E-50.0019807410.00165007330.00167004031.01210072.0E-5
7.33.2656465E-62.659339E-62.2659286E-58.5206452.0E-51.3995553E-51.1397118E-53.1396892E-52.75480962.0E-51.7038253E-41.3875119E-41.5874841E-41.1441232.0E-50.00170251960.00138665640.00140662861.01440322.0E-5
7.42.593703E-62.0435616E-62.0435616E-61.00.01.1115822E-58.758092E-68.758092E-61.00.01.3532673E-41.0662464E-41.0662464E-41.00.00.00135244360.00106574350.00106574351.00.0
7.51.8715585E-61.3964117E-61.3964117E-61.00.08.020941E-65.9846084E-65.9846084E-61.00.09.7650576E-57.286023E-57.286023E-51.00.09.7607676E-47.2836934E-47.2836934E-41.00.0
7.61.2246786E-68.412786E-78.412786E-71.00.05.248612E-63.605475E-63.605475E-61.00.06.389998E-54.389582E-54.389582E-51.00.06.3881604E-44.3887584E-44.3887584E-41.00.0
7.75.140719E-72.6875566E-72.6875566E-71.00.02.2031636E-61.1518096E-61.1518096E-61.00.02.6823185E-51.4023204E-51.4023204E-51.00.02.6819948E-41.402245E-41.402245E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.757093E-99.757093E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1816115E-84.1816115E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.091112E-75.091112E-71.00.06.05567E-65.0911117E-65.0911117E-61.00.0

Los Osos 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8871775E-64.953993E-61.4953944E-53.01856371.0E-52.0944879E-52.123124E-53.123103E-51.4709941.0E-52.5497406E-42.5846245E-42.884547E-41.11604113.0E-50.0025468170.00258189040.0026118131.01158943.0E-5
6.14.8871775E-64.953993E-61.4953944E-53.01856371.0E-52.0944879E-52.123124E-53.123103E-51.4709941.0E-52.5497406E-42.5846245E-42.884547E-41.11604113.0E-50.0025468170.00258189040.0026118131.01158943.0E-5
6.24.8871775E-64.953993E-61.4953944E-53.01856371.0E-52.0944879E-52.123124E-53.123103E-51.4709941.0E-52.5497406E-42.5846245E-42.884547E-41.11604113.0E-50.0025468170.00258189040.0026118131.01158943.0E-5
6.34.8871775E-64.953993E-61.4953944E-53.01856371.0E-52.0944879E-52.123124E-53.123103E-51.4709941.0E-52.5497406E-42.5846245E-42.884547E-41.11604113.0E-50.0025468170.00258189040.0026118131.01158943.0E-5
6.44.8871775E-64.953993E-61.4953944E-53.01856371.0E-52.0944879E-52.123124E-53.123103E-51.4709941.0E-52.5497406E-42.5846245E-42.884547E-41.11604113.0E-50.0025468170.00258189040.0026118131.01158943.0E-5
6.53.1724062E-63.2036999E-61.3203668E-54.12138131.0E-51.3595956E-51.373007E-52.3729934E-51.72831831.0E-51.6551818E-41.6715091E-41.971459E-41.17944853.0E-50.00165394960.00167026520.00170021521.01793123.0E-5
6.63.1022591E-63.1318075E-61.31317765E-54.1930341.0E-51.3295328E-51.3421964E-52.342183E-51.74503741.0E-51.618586E-41.6340028E-41.9339538E-41.18356823.0E-50.00161740770.00163281410.0016627651.01834323.0E-5
6.72.611518E-62.6319212E-61.2631895E-54.7994961.0E-51.1192172E-51.1279613E-52.12795E-51.88654521.0E-51.3625617E-41.3732068E-41.5731793E-41.14562452.0E-50.00136172660.00137236270.00139233531.01455342.0E-5
6.82.4780884E-62.4955875E-61.2495562E-55.00706241.0E-51.0620336E-51.0695331E-52.0695225E-51.93497741.0E-51.2929492E-41.3020792E-41.5020532E-41.15358052.0E-50.00129219720.00130132030.00132129431.0153492.0E-5
6.92.1376322E-62.148504E-61.2148483E-55.65439131.0E-59.161248E-69.207843E-61.920775E-52.08602071.0E-51.1153249E-41.1209973E-41.3209748E-41.17839252.0E-50.00111476530.00112043370.00114041121.01783032.0E-5
7.01.9282882E-61.9353279E-61.1935308E-56.16707321.0E-58.264066E-68.294236E-61.8294153E-52.20564651.0E-51.0061036E-41.0097765E-41.2097564E-41.19804362.0E-50.00100564820.00100931910.00102929891.01979532.0E-5
7.11.6353226E-61.6371521E-61.1637136E-57.1081581.0E-57.0085066E-67.016347E-61.7016277E-52.42523311.0E-58.532523E-58.542068E-59.5419826E-51.11705771.0E-58.529247E-48.5387926E-48.638707E-41.01170121.0E-5
7.21.4446276E-61.443116E-61.1443101E-57.92943951.0E-56.191247E-66.1847686E-61.6184707E-52.61686541.0E-57.537582E-57.529696E-58.5296204E-51.13279751.0E-57.535026E-47.5271504E-47.627075E-41.01327531.0E-5
7.31.2014582E-61.1956441E-61.1956441E-61.00.05.149096E-65.124179E-65.124179E-61.00.06.268844E-56.23851E-56.23851E-51.00.06.267076E-46.236762E-46.236762E-41.00.0
7.49.707733E-79.606654E-79.606654E-71.00.04.16045E-64.1171306E-64.1171306E-61.00.05.0652303E-55.0124916E-55.0124916E-51.00.05.064076E-45.0113635E-45.0113635E-41.00.0
7.57.174908E-77.023079E-77.023079E-71.00.03.074957E-63.0098875E-63.0098875E-61.00.03.743696E-53.6644768E-53.6644768E-51.00.03.7430652E-43.6638742E-43.6638742E-41.00.0
7.64.5535776E-74.342247E-74.342247E-71.00.01.9515319E-61.8609616E-61.8609616E-61.00.02.3759641E-52.2656974E-52.2656974E-51.00.02.37571E-42.2654672E-42.2654672E-41.00.0
7.72.1173553E-71.8418785E-71.8418785E-71.00.09.0743765E-77.8937626E-77.8937626E-71.00.01.1047998E-59.610614E-69.610614E-61.00.01.1047449E-49.610201E-59.610201E-51.00.0
7.89.873608E-86.817046E-86.817046E-81.00.04.2315455E-72.9215906E-72.9215906E-71.00.05.1518946E-63.5570306E-63.5570306E-61.00.05.1517753E-53.5569745E-53.5569745E-51.00.0
7.95.4399106E-82.7280954E-82.7280954E-81.00.02.33139E-71.16918365E-71.16918365E-71.00.02.8384638E-61.4234802E-61.4234802E-61.00.02.8384275E-51.4234712E-51.4234712E-51.00.0
8.01.817203E-86.555191E-96.555191E-91.00.07.7880124E-82.8093675E-82.8093675E-81.00.09.481901E-73.4204044E-73.4204044E-71.00.09.481861E-63.4203995E-63.4203995E-61.00.0

Shoreline

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.9888673E-64.0269074E-61.4026867E-53.48328541.0E-51.7095033E-51.7258091E-52.7257918E-51.57942831.0E-52.0811215E-42.1010255E-42.2010045E-41.04758581.0E-50.00207917370.00209958360.00211954161.00950572.0E-5
6.13.9888673E-64.0269074E-61.4026867E-53.48328541.0E-51.7095033E-51.7258091E-52.7257918E-51.57942831.0E-52.0811215E-42.1010255E-42.2010045E-41.04758581.0E-50.00207917370.00209958360.00211954161.00950572.0E-5
6.21.4039653E-61.3985568E-61.13985425E-58.1502181.0E-56.0169805E-65.9938016E-61.599374E-52.66838031.0E-57.325427E-57.297215E-58.297142E-51.13702861.0E-57.3230127E-47.2948786E-47.3948054E-41.01369821.0E-5
6.31.4039653E-61.3985568E-61.13985425E-58.1502181.0E-56.0169805E-65.9938016E-61.599374E-52.66838031.0E-57.325427E-57.297215E-58.297142E-51.13702861.0E-57.3230127E-47.2948786E-47.3948054E-41.01369821.0E-5
6.41.3314152E-61.3248749E-61.1324862E-58.5478731.0E-55.7060524E-65.678023E-61.5677966E-52.76116631.0E-56.946897E-56.91278E-57.91271E-51.14464961.0E-56.9447263E-46.9106824E-47.0106133E-41.01446031.0E-5
6.51.1187026E-61.1096284E-61.1109618E-510.0120151.0E-54.794431E-64.7555422E-61.4755495E-53.10279971.0E-55.8370628E-55.789721E-56.789663E-51.172711.0E-55.83553E-45.788238E-45.88818E-41.01726641.0E-5
6.69.793089E-79.682002E-71.09681905E-511.3284321.0E-54.1970316E-64.1494227E-61.4149381E-53.40996361.0E-55.1097657E-55.0518065E-56.051756E-51.1979391.0E-55.108591E-45.0506706E-45.15062E-41.01978931.0E-5
6.78.995986E-78.872575E-78.872575E-71.00.03.8554167E-63.8025266E-63.8025266E-61.00.04.693869E-54.6294786E-54.6294786E-51.00.04.6928777E-44.6285236E-44.6285236E-41.00.0
6.87.931612E-77.785224E-77.785224E-71.00.03.3992578E-63.3365202E-63.3365202E-61.00.04.1385178E-54.062138E-54.062138E-51.00.04.1377472E-44.061401E-44.061401E-41.00.0
6.97.1465956E-76.9859504E-76.9859504E-71.00.03.062823E-62.9939754E-62.9939754E-61.00.03.7289232E-53.6451045E-53.6451045E-51.00.03.7282976E-43.6445103E-43.6445103E-41.00.0
7.06.389046E-76.211194E-76.211194E-71.00.02.7381598E-62.6619375E-62.6619375E-61.00.03.3336586E-53.240861E-53.240861E-51.00.03.3331584E-43.2403908E-43.2403908E-41.00.0
7.15.4300875E-75.228187E-75.228187E-71.00.02.3271782E-62.2406498E-62.2406498E-61.00.02.8333026E-52.727957E-52.727957E-51.00.02.8329415E-42.7276232E-42.7276232E-41.00.0
7.24.6768855E-74.4561273E-74.4561273E-71.00.02.0043778E-61.9097674E-61.9097674E-61.00.02.4403027E-52.325117E-52.325117E-51.00.02.4400349E-42.3248744E-42.3248744E-41.00.0
7.34.0966103E-73.8627002E-73.8627002E-71.00.01.7556889E-61.6554418E-61.6554418E-61.00.02.1375303E-52.0154817E-52.0154817E-51.00.02.1373246E-42.0152994E-42.0152994E-41.00.0
7.43.5105785E-73.2634534E-73.2634534E-71.00.01.5045327E-61.3986221E-61.3986221E-61.00.01.8317533E-51.7028091E-51.7028091E-51.00.01.8316023E-41.7026789E-41.7026789E-41.00.0
7.52.8737534E-72.612244E-72.612244E-71.00.01.2316079E-61.1195326E-61.1195326E-61.00.01.4994724E-51.3630224E-51.3630224E-51.00.01.4993713E-41.3629391E-41.3629391E-41.00.0
7.62.0924051E-71.8122799E-71.8122799E-71.00.08.967448E-77.7669114E-77.7669114E-71.00.01.0917813E-59.456174E-69.456174E-61.00.01.0917276E-49.455773E-59.455773E-51.00.0
7.71.392265E-71.0930015E-71.0930015E-71.00.05.9668486E-74.6842914E-74.6842914E-71.00.07.2646135E-65.7031098E-65.7031098E-61.00.07.2643765E-55.702964E-55.702964E-51.00.0
7.88.1080074E-85.0233947E-85.0233947E-81.00.03.4748598E-72.1528834E-72.1528834E-71.00.04.2306337E-62.6211321E-62.6211321E-61.00.04.230553E-52.6211013E-52.6211013E-51.00.0
7.95.0859036E-82.2211747E-82.2211747E-81.00.02.1796728E-79.51932E-89.51932E-81.00.02.6537484E-61.1589766E-61.1589766E-61.00.02.6537167E-51.15897055E-51.15897055E-51.00.0
8.03.1760536E-89.79942E-99.79942E-91.00.01.3611657E-74.1997513E-84.1997513E-81.00.01.6572179E-65.1131957E-75.1131957E-71.00.01.6572056E-55.113184E-65.113184E-61.00.0
8.11.2947896E-84.0235295E-94.0235295E-91.00.05.5490982E-81.7243698E-81.7243698E-81.00.06.756025E-72.0994202E-72.0994202E-71.00.06.7560045E-62.0994182E-62.0994182E-61.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2029313E-53.2029093E-51.45393061.0E-58.603206E-59.440796E-51.04407016E-41.10591331.0E-50.0010469370.0011488180.00115880651.00869461.0E-50.0104201830.0114296630.011459321.00259473.0E-5
6.12.0074807E-52.2029313E-53.2029093E-51.45393061.0E-58.603206E-59.440796E-51.04407016E-41.10591331.0E-50.0010469370.0011488180.00115880651.00869461.0E-50.0104201830.0114296630.011459321.00259473.0E-5
6.22.0074807E-52.2029313E-53.2029093E-51.45393061.0E-58.603206E-59.440796E-51.04407016E-41.10591331.0E-50.0010469370.0011488180.00115880651.00869461.0E-50.0104201830.0114296630.011459321.00259473.0E-5
6.31.9050609E-52.0893332E-53.0893123E-51.47861161.0E-58.164292E-58.953982E-59.953892E-51.11167221.0E-59.935491E-40.00108960850.00109959771.00916761.0E-50.0098911880.0108434470.0108731221.00273673.0E-5
6.41.9050609E-52.0893332E-53.0893123E-51.47861161.0E-58.164292E-58.953982E-59.953892E-51.11167221.0E-59.935491E-40.00108960850.00109959771.00916761.0E-50.0098911880.0108434470.0108731221.00273673.0E-5
6.51.8367004E-52.0135434E-53.0135232E-51.4966271.0E-57.8713354E-58.62919E-59.6291034E-51.11587571.0E-59.5791375E-40.00105010380.00106009331.00951291.0E-50.0095379510.0104521670.0104818541.00284023.0E-5
6.61.779439E-51.9500492E-52.9500297E-51.51279761.0E-57.625944E-58.357089E-59.357006E-51.11964891.0E-59.280632E-40.00101700680.00102699661.00982271.0E-50.0092419690.0101242490.01015394651.00293313.0E-5
6.71.7025437E-51.8652223E-52.8652035E-51.53611911.0E-57.296412E-57.993568E-58.993488E-51.12509061.0E-58.87976E-49.7278826E-49.827785E-41.01026981.0E-50.0088443620.0096859870.0097057931.00204482.0E-5
6.81.6545107E-51.813117E-52.8130988E-51.55152641.0E-57.090568E-57.770273E-58.770195E-51.12868561.0E-58.629347E-49.45626E-49.5561653E-41.0105651.0E-50.0085959150.0094166940.0094365051.00210392.0E-5
6.91.615478E-51.7712911E-52.7712733E-51.56454991.0E-56.9232934E-57.59103E-58.590954E-51.13172451.0E-58.4258494E-49.238218E-49.338126E-41.01081451.0E-50.0083939730.0092004770.0092202931.00215382.0E-5
7.01.5894311E-51.7435013E-52.743484E-51.57354841.0E-56.81167E-57.4719384E-58.471863E-51.13382411.0E-58.2900526E-49.0933463E-49.193255E-41.0109871.0E-50.0082591950.0090567950.0090766141.00218832.0E-5
7.11.5602263E-51.7118777E-52.7118605E-51.58414391.0E-56.6865134E-57.336416E-58.3363426E-51.13629641.0E-58.137789E-48.928484E-49.0283947E-41.011191.0E-50.0081080520.0088932640.0089130871.00222892.0E-5
7.21.5323829E-51.6812606E-52.6812437E-51.59478181.0E-56.56719E-57.205207E-58.2051345E-51.13877861.0E-57.99262E-48.7688665E-48.868779E-41.0113941.0E-50.0079639340.0087349130.0087547381.00226962.0E-5
7.31.4556212E-51.5964048E-52.596389E-51.62639751.0E-56.238227E-56.841558E-57.84149E-51.14615551.0E-57.592395E-48.32647E-48.426387E-41.01199981.0E-50.00756650740.0082958880.0083157221.00239092.0E-5
7.41.411725E-51.5480371E-52.5480216E-51.64596941.0E-56.0501097E-56.634279E-57.634213E-51.15072231.0E-57.363519E-48.074297E-48.1742165E-41.0123751.0E-50.00733916740.0080455670.0080654061.00246582.0E-5
7.51.3503312E-51.4811811E-52.4811663E-51.67512691.0E-55.7870053E-56.347767E-57.347704E-51.15752571.0E-57.043401E-47.725722E-47.8256446E-41.01293371.0E-50.0070211190.0076994610.0077093841.00128881.0E-5
7.61.1279839E-51.2365616E-52.2365493E-51.8086841.0E-54.834127E-55.2994452E-56.2993924E-51.1886891.0E-55.88396E-46.4502156E-46.5501506E-41.01549341.0E-50.0058684050.00643202150.00644195731.00154471.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0071512E-52.0071411E-51.99288951.0E-53.93813E-54.3162938E-55.3162505E-51.23167031.0E-54.7936183E-45.253869E-45.353816E-41.01902351.0E-50.0047832910.00524193650.00525188451.00189771.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6132118E-71.0361317E-528.6761971.0E-51.4822873E-61.5485185E-61.1548503E-57.4577751.0E-51.80467E-51.8853054E-52.8852866E-51.5304081.0E-51.8045233E-41.8851498E-41.985131E-41.05303621.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6495033E-92.6495033E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1355014E-81.1355014E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3824729E-71.3824729E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3824729E-61.3824729E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1484351E-53.1484135E-51.4654451.0E-58.525106E-59.207304E-51.120712E-41.21719882.0E-50.00103743740.00112050040.00114047811.01782922.0E-50.0103260750.0111572040.011186871.00265883.0E-5
6.11.9892565E-52.1484351E-53.1484135E-51.4654451.0E-58.525106E-59.207304E-51.120712E-41.21719882.0E-50.00103743740.00112050040.00114047811.01782922.0E-50.0103260750.0111572040.011186871.00265883.0E-5
6.21.9892565E-52.1484351E-53.1484135E-51.4654451.0E-58.525106E-59.207304E-51.120712E-41.21719882.0E-50.00103743740.00112050040.00114047811.01782922.0E-50.0103260750.0111572040.011186871.00265883.0E-5
6.31.1117327E-51.197543E-52.1975311E-51.8350331.0E-54.764482E-55.1322437E-56.132192E-51.19483661.0E-55.7992124E-46.2470196E-46.346957E-41.01599761.0E-50.00578410220.00623246050.0062423981.00159451.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.197543E-52.1975311E-51.8350331.0E-54.764482E-55.1322437E-56.132192E-51.19483661.0E-55.7992124E-46.2470196E-46.346957E-41.01599761.0E-50.00578410220.00623246050.0062423981.00159451.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.564122E-66.564122E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8131717E-52.8131717E-51.00.03.1840094E-43.4246195E-43.4246195E-41.00.00.00317945120.00342053520.00342053521.00.0
6.65.817237E-66.261584E-66.261584E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.6835152E-52.6835152E-51.00.03.034899E-43.26681E-43.26681E-41.00.00.00303075770.00326318950.00326318951.00.0
6.74.8846314E-65.254099E-65.254099E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2517437E-52.2517437E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.741267E-42.741267E-41.00.00.00254549180.00273900270.00273900271.00.0
6.81.7788773E-61.9094311E-61.9094311E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.1832595E-68.1832595E-61.00.09.281505E-59.962816E-59.962816E-51.00.09.2776294E-49.95985E-49.95985E-41.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.1539775E-78.1539775E-71.00.03.233799E-63.494559E-63.494559E-61.00.03.937079E-54.2545747E-54.2545747E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.2540784E-44.2540784E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.411565E-77.411565E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.176383E-63.176383E-61.00.03.578281E-53.8672097E-53.8672097E-51.00.03.577705E-43.8668502E-43.8668502E-41.00.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.667793E-68.667793E-61.00.03.72115E-53.714718E-54.714681E-51.26918951.0E-54.5295584E-44.5217783E-44.8216427E-41.06631553.0E-50.0045203370.0045130920.00454295661.00661733.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.667793E-68.667793E-61.00.03.72115E-53.714718E-54.714681E-51.26918951.0E-54.5295584E-44.5217783E-44.8216427E-41.06631553.0E-50.0045203370.0045130920.00454295661.00661733.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.667793E-68.667793E-61.00.03.72115E-53.714718E-54.714681E-51.26918951.0E-54.5295584E-44.5217783E-44.8216427E-41.06631553.0E-50.0045203370.0045130920.00454295661.00661733.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.2174213E-66.2174213E-61.00.02.7022963E-52.6645826E-53.664556E-51.37528321.0E-53.2895492E-43.2436603E-43.543563E-41.09245813.0E-50.0032846840.0032391040.00326900671.00923183.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.055682E-66.055682E-61.00.02.6352795E-52.5952673E-53.5952413E-51.38530671.0E-53.2079802E-43.1592933E-43.4591986E-41.09492793.0E-50.00320335340.00315497680.0031848821.00947883.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.085215E-65.085215E-61.00.02.23063E-52.1793601E-53.1793385E-51.45884031.0E-52.7154534E-42.6530575E-42.9529777E-41.11304713.0E-50.00271213780.0026500230.00267994361.01129073.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.377793E-64.377793E-61.00.01.9362706E-51.8761839E-52.8761651E-51.53298681.0E-52.3571544E-42.2840223E-42.583954E-41.13131733.0E-50.00235465590.00228179130.00231172281.01311763.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.7889652E-63.7889652E-61.00.01.6903869E-51.6238324E-52.6238162E-51.61581711.0E-52.0578515E-41.9768433E-42.2767839E-41.15172713.0E-50.0020559470.00197518920.00200512981.01515843.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.2877383E-63.2877383E-61.00.01.4801163E-51.4090234E-52.4090094E-51.70970141.0E-51.8018926E-41.715357E-42.0153055E-41.17486073.0E-50.00180043220.00171413130.00174407991.01747163.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.8851919E-62.8851919E-61.00.01.3113641E-51.23650525E-52.2364928E-51.8087211.0E-51.596469E-41.5053467E-41.8053016E-41.19925963.0E-50.00159532240.00150442120.00153437611.01991123.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.466841E-62.466841E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.0572135E-51.0572135E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.2870868E-41.3870739E-41.07768491.0E-50.00138200520.00128643270.00129641991.00776341.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.009917E-62.009917E-61.00.09.445387E-68.613903E-68.613903E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.0486975E-41.1486871E-41.09534631.0E-50.00114932030.00104829230.00105828171.00952941.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.57829E-78.57829E-71.00.04.622866E-63.6764047E-63.6764047E-61.00.05.628194E-54.475932E-54.475932E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.4754232E-44.4754232E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.6507634E-74.6507634E-71.00.02.9341822E-61.9931829E-61.9931829E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.4266732E-52.4266732E-51.00.03.571734E-42.42664E-42.42664E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.0294163E-73.0294163E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.2983205E-61.2983205E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.5806938E-51.5806938E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.5808009E-41.5808009E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.4982745E-72.4982745E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.0706885E-61.0706885E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.3035557E-51.3035557E-51.00.02.425198E-41.3036827E-41.3036827E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.0263813E-72.0263813E-71.00.01.7102802E-68.684488E-78.684488E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.0573314E-51.0573314E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.05744955E-41.05744955E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-74.622153E-84.622153E-81.00.08.0505407E-71.9809227E-71.9809227E-71.00.09.80149E-62.4117705E-62.4117705E-61.00.09.801057E-52.4121056E-52.4121056E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-79.744901E-99.744901E-91.00.04.2923529E-74.176387E-84.176387E-81.00.05.225927E-65.0847495E-75.0847495E-71.00.05.225804E-55.085745E-65.085745E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-82.7718277E-92.7718277E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.1879264E-81.1879264E-81.00.03.2201583E-61.4463E-71.4463E-71.00.03.2201115E-51.4472488E-61.4472488E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-87.212142E-117.212142E-111.00.05.989102E-83.0908875E-103.0908875E-101.00.07.2917294E-73.7631533E-93.7631533E-91.00.07.2917055E-63.8496875E-83.8496875E-81.00.0
8.11.8403477E-93.367584E-113.367584E-111.00.07.887204E-91.4432322E-101.4432322E-101.00.09.602671E-81.7571362E-91.7571362E-91.00.09.602667E-71.8002453E-81.8002453E-81.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2441352E-53.244113E-51.4455961.0E-59.097391E-59.6174E-51.06173036E-41.10396831.0E-50.00110704450.00117034590.00119032261.0170692.0E-50.0110154580.0116475070.0116771571.00254573.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2441352E-53.244113E-51.4455961.0E-59.097391E-59.6174E-51.06173036E-41.10396831.0E-50.00110704450.00117034590.00119032261.0170692.0E-50.0110154580.0116475070.0116771571.00254573.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2441352E-53.244113E-51.4455961.0E-59.097391E-59.6174E-51.06173036E-41.10396831.0E-50.00110704450.00117034590.00119032261.0170692.0E-50.0110154580.0116475070.0116771571.00254573.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.22163965E-52.2216274E-51.8185621.0E-54.9773254E-55.2355E-56.235448E-51.19099371.0E-56.0582085E-46.3724787E-46.4724154E-41.01568251.0E-50.00604171960.00635542440.00636536071.00156341.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.22163965E-52.2216274E-51.8185621.0E-54.9773254E-55.2355E-56.235448E-51.19099371.0E-56.0582085E-46.3724787E-46.4724154E-41.01568251.0E-50.00604171960.00635542440.00636536071.00156341.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.379747E-61.9379653E-52.06611681.0E-53.8276554E-54.0198345E-55.0197945E-51.24875641.0E-54.6591737E-44.893139E-44.9930904E-41.02042681.0E-50.00464941750.0048832550.0048932061.00203781.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.708001E-67.708001E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.3033917E-53.3033917E-51.00.03.83198E-44.0212157E-44.0212157E-41.00.00.00382537880.00401471370.00401471371.00.0
6.76.2775666E-66.5853505E-66.5853505E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8222667E-52.8222667E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.4356414E-43.4356414E-41.00.00.00327019630.00343105520.00343105521.00.0
6.85.5234095E-65.793799E-65.793799E-61.00.02.367154E-52.4830371E-52.4830371E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0227497E-43.0227497E-41.00.00.0028778950.0030193390.0030193391.00.0
6.94.7780054E-65.012291E-65.012291E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1481108E-52.1481108E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.6150802E-42.6150802E-41.00.00.00248999570.00261268020.00261268021.00.0
7.03.883171E-64.0749737E-64.0749737E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7464095E-51.7464095E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1261134E-42.1261134E-41.00.00.00202413560.00212474070.00212474071.00.0
7.12.8358215E-62.9775433E-62.9775433E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2760874E-51.2760874E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.55359E-41.55359E-41.00.00.0014785990.00155313530.00155313531.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-53.2997465E-53.2997465E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.4141061E-41.4141061E-41.00.00.00157670080.00172041640.00173039921.00580251.0E-50.0156556090.0170814380.0171109251.00172633.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-53.2997465E-53.2997465E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.4141061E-41.4141061E-41.00.00.00157670080.00172041640.00173039921.00580251.0E-50.0156556090.0170814380.0171109251.00172633.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-53.2997465E-53.2997465E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.4141061E-41.4141061E-41.00.00.00157670080.00172041640.00173039921.00580251.0E-50.0156556090.0170814380.0171109251.00172633.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-52.2189495E-52.2189495E-51.00.08.784654E-59.5094496E-59.5094496E-51.00.00.00106900690.00115718180.00116717021.00863171.0E-50.010638790.0115138190.0115434731.00257553.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-52.2189495E-52.2189495E-51.00.08.784654E-59.5094496E-59.5094496E-51.00.00.00106900690.00115718180.00116717021.00863171.0E-50.010638790.0115138190.0115434731.00257553.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.8711857E-51.8711857E-51.00.07.42101E-58.019129E-58.019129E-51.00.09.0313336E-49.7590685E-49.858971E-41.01023691.0E-50.0089947180.0097178010.0097475091.00305713.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-51.646456E-51.646456E-51.00.06.536012E-57.056056E-57.056056E-51.00.07.9546886E-48.5874874E-48.6874014E-41.01163481.0E-50.0079262740.0085555970.00857542551.00231772.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-51.4018757E-51.4018757E-51.00.05.570206E-56.007906E-56.007906E-51.00.06.7796157E-47.31227E-47.412197E-41.01366571.0E-50.00675896930.0072892220.00730907641.00272382.0E-5
6.81.035386E-51.1148168E-51.1148168E-51.00.04.437293E-54.7777008E-54.7777008E-51.00.05.401065E-45.8153365E-45.9152785E-41.01718591.0E-50.00538795670.0058005170.0058204011.0034282.0E-5
6.98.816252E-69.488487E-69.488487E-61.00.03.778339E-54.0664327E-54.0664327E-51.00.04.5991567E-44.9497874E-45.049738E-41.02019291.0E-50.004589650.00493907280.0049589741.00402942.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-67.3394513E-67.3394513E-61.00.02.9242048E-53.1454423E-53.1454423E-51.00.03.5596377E-43.8289244E-43.928886E-41.0261071.0E-50.00355394110.00382254180.00384246531.00521212.0E-5
7.15.837013E-66.2821464E-66.2821464E-61.00.02.501553E-52.6923217E-52.6923217E-51.00.03.045215E-43.2774286E-43.377396E-41.03050171.0E-50.00304104550.00327279420.00328276141.00304541.0E-5
7.24.278052E-64.61197E-64.61197E-61.00.01.833438E-51.9765443E-51.9765443E-51.00.02.231982E-42.406193E-42.506169E-41.04154941.0E-50.00222974180.00240374570.00241372151.00415021.0E-5
7.31.8803692E-62.0324123E-62.0324123E-61.00.08.0587E-68.7103135E-68.7103135E-61.00.09.811026E-51.0604364E-41.0604364E-41.00.09.806695E-40.00106000260.00106000261.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0141945E-51.0141945E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.346481E-54.346481E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.2906584E-45.490552E-41.03778242.0E-50.00515936830.005279080.0053089221.00565283.0E-5
6.19.913453E-61.0141945E-51.0141945E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.346481E-54.346481E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.2906584E-45.490552E-41.03778242.0E-50.00515936830.005279080.0053089221.00565283.0E-5
6.24.5596407E-64.671598E-64.671598E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0020989E-52.0020989E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4372953E-42.4372953E-41.00.00.00237633290.00243474680.00244472251.00409721.0E-5
6.34.5596407E-64.671598E-64.671598E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0020989E-52.0020989E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4372953E-42.4372953E-41.00.00.00237633290.00243474680.00244472251.00409721.0E-5
6.43.4025713E-63.4904617E-63.4904617E-61.00.01.4582367E-51.49590405E-51.49590405E-51.00.01.7752586E-41.8211194E-41.8211194E-41.00.00.0017738410.00181970890.00181970891.00.0
6.52.8352947E-62.9110784E-62.9110784E-61.00.01.2151207E-51.24759945E-51.24759945E-51.00.01.479309E-41.5188538E-41.5188538E-41.00.00.00147832460.00151788870.00151788871.00.0
6.62.251518E-62.3149914E-62.3149914E-61.00.09.649328E-69.921358E-69.921358E-61.00.01.1747423E-41.20786455E-41.20786455E-41.00.00.00117412140.00120726890.00120726891.00.0
6.71.8911853E-61.946792E-61.946792E-61.00.08.105055E-68.3433715E-68.3433715E-61.00.09.867457E-51.01576385E-41.01576385E-41.00.09.863076E-40.00101535630.00101535631.00.0
6.81.4874814E-61.5335781E-61.5335781E-61.00.06.374905E-66.572464E-66.572464E-61.00.07.76117E-58.001732E-58.001732E-51.00.07.75846E-47.999355E-47.999355E-41.00.0
6.96.835972E-77.0844214E-77.0844214E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.036179E-63.036179E-61.00.03.56685E-53.6965164E-53.6965164E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.6962095E-43.6962095E-41.00.0

La Panza 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6754544E-64.706526E-64.706526E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.017068E-52.017068E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4555234E-42.7554497E-41.12214353.0E-50.00243661760.00245300380.00248293021.01219993.0E-5
6.14.6754544E-64.706526E-64.706526E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.017068E-52.017068E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4555234E-42.7554497E-41.12214353.0E-50.00243661760.00245300380.00248293021.01219993.0E-5
6.24.6754544E-64.706526E-64.706526E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.017068E-52.017068E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4555234E-42.7554497E-41.12214353.0E-50.00243661760.00245300380.00248293021.01219993.0E-5
6.34.6754544E-64.706526E-64.706526E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.017068E-52.017068E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4555234E-42.7554497E-41.12214353.0E-50.00243661760.00245300380.00248293021.01219993.0E-5
6.44.6754544E-64.706526E-64.706526E-61.00.02.0037509E-52.017068E-52.017068E-51.00.02.4392935E-42.4555234E-42.7554497E-41.12214353.0E-50.00243661760.00245300380.00248293021.01219993.0E-5
6.52.485343E-62.4943222E-62.4943222E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0689911E-51.0689911E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3014227E-41.5013966E-41.15365792.0E-50.00129597750.00130069880.00132067281.01535632.0E-5
6.62.485343E-62.4943222E-62.4943222E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0689911E-51.0689911E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3014227E-41.5013966E-41.15365792.0E-50.00129597750.00130069880.00132067281.01535632.0E-5
6.71.5108508E-61.5104013E-61.5104013E-61.00.06.4750584E-66.4731325E-66.4731325E-61.00.07.8830984E-57.880765E-59.880607E-51.25376252.0E-57.880303E-47.878078E-48.07792E-41.02536692.0E-5
6.81.3865837E-61.3846058E-61.3846058E-61.00.05.942488E-65.934012E-65.934012E-61.00.07.234739E-57.22443E-59.224285E-51.27681852.0E-57.232384E-47.222179E-47.4220344E-41.02767252.0E-5
6.99.826583E-79.766065E-79.766065E-71.00.04.2113857E-64.18545E-64.18545E-61.00.05.1272415E-55.0956718E-56.095621E-51.1962351.0E-55.126059E-45.094557E-45.194506E-41.01961871.0E-5
7.06.7797646E-76.6869865E-76.6869865E-71.00.02.9056102E-62.8658483E-62.8658483E-61.00.03.537523E-53.4891174E-54.489083E-51.28659551.0E-53.5369597E-43.4886005E-43.5885657E-41.02865481.0E-5
7.13.4979826E-73.3714693E-73.3714693E-71.00.01.4991346E-61.4449147E-61.4449147E-61.00.01.825181E-51.7591705E-51.7591705E-51.00.01.825031E-41.759043E-41.759043E-41.00.0
7.22.5088332E-72.3699583E-72.3699583E-71.00.01.0752137E-61.0156961E-61.0156961E-61.00.01.3090649E-51.2366038E-51.2366038E-51.00.01.3089878E-41.2365435E-41.2365435E-41.00.0
7.31.0159086E-78.5584645E-88.5584645E-81.00.04.3538932E-73.6679128E-73.6679128E-71.00.05.300852E-64.465675E-64.465675E-61.00.05.3007258E-54.4655895E-54.4655895E-51.00.0
7.43.5006252E-81.7711573E-81.7711573E-81.00.01.5002678E-77.590673E-87.590673E-81.00.01.8265745E-69.241641E-79.241641E-71.00.01.8265595E-59.241605E-69.241605E-61.00.0
7.52.592274E-88.499545E-98.499545E-91.00.01.1109746E-73.642662E-83.642662E-81.00.01.3526106E-64.43494E-74.43494E-71.00.01.3526024E-54.434932E-64.434932E-61.00.0
7.61.9016717E-84.049299E-94.049299E-91.00.08.150022E-81.735414E-81.735414E-81.00.09.922647E-72.1128662E-72.1128662E-71.00.09.922603E-62.1128644E-62.1128644E-61.00.0
7.71.17738495E-87.363208E-107.363208E-101.00.05.0459356E-83.1556617E-93.1556617E-91.00.06.1434247E-73.842018E-83.842018E-81.00.06.143408E-63.8420174E-73.8420174E-71.00.0
7.85.489079E-96.793899E-116.793899E-111.00.02.3524624E-82.911683E-102.911683E-101.00.02.8641225E-73.5449719E-93.5449719E-91.00.02.8641189E-63.5449716E-83.5449716E-81.00.0
7.92.5081048E-91.7308821E-111.7308821E-111.00.01.0749021E-87.4180884E-117.4180884E-111.00.01.3086932E-79.0314956E-109.0314956E-101.00.01.3086925E-69.0314956E-99.0314956E-91.00.0

Lions Head 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.889363E-78.876939E-71.0887685E-512.2651351.0E-53.8097214E-63.8043972E-62.3804321E-56.2570552.0E-54.638237E-54.6317615E-56.631669E-51.43178122.0E-54.637269E-44.630859E-44.93072E-41.06475283.0E-5
6.18.889363E-78.876939E-71.0887685E-512.2651351.0E-53.8097214E-63.8043972E-62.3804321E-56.2570552.0E-54.638237E-54.6317615E-56.631669E-51.43178122.0E-54.637269E-44.630859E-44.93072E-41.06475283.0E-5
6.25.7435483E-75.7232705E-71.0572321E-518.4725171.0E-52.4615185E-62.4528279E-62.245278E-59.1538332.0E-52.9968574E-52.9862786E-54.986219E-51.66970992.0E-52.9964533E-42.9858918E-43.285802E-41.10044253.0E-5
6.35.7435483E-75.7232705E-71.0572321E-518.4725171.0E-52.4615185E-62.4528279E-62.245278E-59.1538332.0E-52.9968574E-52.9862786E-54.986219E-51.66970992.0E-52.9964533E-42.9858918E-43.285802E-41.10044253.0E-5
6.44.1835764E-74.1595453E-74.1595453E-71.00.01.7929601E-61.7826611E-61.1782643E-56.60958151.0E-52.1829072E-52.1703685E-53.170347E-51.46074131.0E-52.1826927E-42.1701588E-42.2701372E-41.04606961.0E-5
6.54.1835764E-74.1595453E-74.1595453E-71.00.01.7929601E-61.7826611E-61.1782643E-56.60958151.0E-52.1829072E-52.1703685E-53.170347E-51.46074131.0E-52.1826927E-42.1701588E-42.2701372E-41.04606961.0E-5
6.63.6896213E-73.6644397E-73.6644397E-71.00.01.5812653E-61.5704732E-61.1570458E-57.36749741.0E-51.9251736E-51.9120345E-52.9120154E-51.52299311.0E-51.9250068E-41.9118712E-42.011852E-41.05229471.0E-5
6.73.3283942E-73.3024065E-73.3024065E-71.00.01.4264539E-61.4153162E-61.4153162E-61.00.01.7366938E-51.723134E-51.723134E-51.00.01.736558E-41.723001E-41.723001E-41.00.0
6.82.9684807E-72.9417322E-72.9417322E-71.00.01.2722054E-61.2607418E-61.2607418E-61.00.01.5488991E-51.5349422E-51.5349422E-51.00.01.5487912E-41.5348366E-41.5348366E-41.00.0
6.92.8254823E-72.7983373E-72.7983373E-71.00.01.2109203E-61.1992868E-61.1992868E-61.00.01.4742856E-51.4601219E-51.4601219E-51.00.01.4741877E-41.4600263E-41.4600263E-41.00.0
7.02.5794475E-72.551549E-72.551549E-71.00.01.105477E-61.0935206E-61.0935206E-61.00.01.34591E-51.3313532E-51.3313532E-51.00.01.3458285E-41.3312737E-41.3312737E-41.00.0
7.12.2678832E-72.2387196E-72.2387196E-71.00.09.719496E-79.594509E-79.594509E-71.00.01.1833421E-51.1681252E-51.1681252E-51.00.01.1832791E-41.1680639E-41.1680639E-41.00.0
7.21.968546E-71.9381628E-71.9381628E-71.00.08.436623E-78.306409E-78.306409E-71.00.01.027154E-51.0113005E-51.0113005E-51.00.01.0271065E-41.01125464E-41.01125464E-41.00.0
7.31.6101195E-71.5778265E-71.5778265E-71.00.06.90051E-76.762112E-76.762112E-71.00.08.401339E-68.23284E-68.23284E-61.00.08.4010215E-58.232536E-58.232536E-51.00.0
7.41.304744E-71.2705334E-71.2705334E-71.00.05.591759E-75.4451414E-75.4451414E-71.00.06.807945E-66.6294397E-66.6294397E-61.00.06.807737E-56.629243E-56.629243E-51.00.0
7.59.410614E-89.0405834E-89.0405834E-81.00.04.0331196E-73.874535E-73.874535E-71.00.04.910312E-64.717236E-64.717236E-61.00.04.9102036E-54.717136E-54.717136E-51.00.0
7.66.6360826E-86.2405626E-86.2405626E-81.00.02.844035E-72.6745263E-72.6745263E-71.00.03.462607E-63.2562311E-63.2562311E-61.00.03.4625533E-53.2561835E-53.2561835E-51.00.0
7.73.9100893E-83.4823103E-83.4823103E-81.00.01.6757524E-71.4924186E-71.4924186E-71.00.02.0402267E-61.8170181E-61.8170181E-61.00.02.040208E-51.8170032E-51.8170032E-51.00.0
7.81.9858547E-81.5320948E-81.5320948E-81.00.08.5108056E-86.5661204E-86.5661204E-81.00.01.0361902E-67.9942487E-77.9942487E-71.00.01.0361853E-57.99422E-67.99422E-61.00.0
7.99.717722E-95.8155853E-95.8155853E-91.00.04.1647375E-82.4923935E-82.4923935E-81.00.05.070567E-73.0344887E-73.0344887E-71.00.05.0705553E-63.0344847E-63.0344847E-61.00.0
8.03.8397716E-91.5517387E-91.5517387E-91.00.01.6456164E-86.6503087E-96.6503087E-91.00.02.0035378E-78.096751E-88.096751E-81.00.02.0035359E-68.096748E-78.096748E-71.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.1616357E-53.1616142E-51.46260261.0E-58.4091465E-59.263897E-51.0263804E-41.10793591.0E-50.00102333270.00112742490.00113741371.00885981.0E-50.010186330.011229780.0112594421.00264143.0E-5
6.11.9621975E-52.1616357E-53.1616142E-51.46260261.0E-58.4091465E-59.263897E-51.0263804E-41.10793591.0E-50.00102333270.00112742490.00113741371.00885981.0E-50.010186330.011229780.0112594421.00264143.0E-5
6.29.9971285E-61.1011339E-51.1011339E-51.00.04.2844134E-54.7190875E-54.7190875E-51.00.05.2150246E-45.744473E-45.744473E-41.00.00.00520280330.00573451030.0057444531.00173381.0E-5
6.39.589428E-61.0563642E-51.0563642E-51.00.04.10969E-54.5272245E-54.5272245E-51.00.05.002399E-45.5109983E-45.5109983E-41.00.00.00499115330.0055022040.00551214861.00180751.0E-5
6.49.589428E-61.0563642E-51.0563642E-51.00.04.10969E-54.5272245E-54.5272245E-51.00.05.002399E-45.5109983E-45.5109983E-41.00.00.00499115330.0055022040.00551214861.00180751.0E-5
6.55.557707E-66.1438154E-66.1438154E-61.00.02.3818526E-52.6330516E-52.6330516E-51.00.02.8995197E-43.2055256E-43.2055256E-41.00.00.00289573940.00320342020.00320342021.00.0
6.64.8742945E-65.3888093E-65.3888093E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3094834E-52.3094834E-51.00.02.54302E-42.8116835E-42.8116835E-41.00.00.0025401120.002810580.002810581.00.0
6.73.991108E-64.4136473E-64.4136473E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.891563E-51.891563E-51.00.02.0822904E-42.302978E-42.302978E-41.00.00.00208034040.0023029780.0023029781.00.0

Anaheim

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9952497E-61.2074922E-61.120748E-59.2816171.0E-58.551043E-65.1749585E-62.5174855E-54.8647452.0E-51.04103965E-46.300371E-59.3001814E-51.47613253.0E-50.00104055226.2989857E-46.5987965E-41.04759673.0E-5
6.11.6729715E-61.2074922E-61.120748E-59.2816171.0E-57.1698582E-65.1749585E-62.5174855E-54.8647452.0E-58.7289525E-56.300371E-59.3001814E-51.47613253.0E-58.7255245E-46.2989857E-46.5987965E-41.04759673.0E-5
6.21.6729715E-61.2074922E-61.120748E-59.2816171.0E-57.1698582E-65.1749585E-62.5174855E-54.8647452.0E-58.7289525E-56.300371E-59.3001814E-51.47613253.0E-58.7255245E-46.2989857E-46.5987965E-41.04759673.0E-5
6.31.1444064E-66.7384093E-71.0673834E-515.8402881.0E-54.9045893E-62.8878867E-62.2887829E-57.92545942.0E-55.971174E-53.5159508E-56.515845E-51.85322433.0E-55.96957E-43.5154462E-43.8153408E-41.08530773.0E-5
6.41.1444064E-66.7384093E-71.0673834E-515.8402881.0E-54.9045893E-62.8878867E-62.2887829E-57.92545942.0E-55.971174E-53.5159508E-56.515845E-51.85322433.0E-55.96957E-43.5154462E-43.8153408E-41.08530773.0E-5
6.51.1385318E-66.6792273E-71.0667916E-515.9717821.0E-54.879413E-62.8625232E-62.2862467E-57.9868232.0E-55.9405233E-53.4850713E-56.484967E-51.86078453.0E-55.938936E-43.4845766E-43.784472E-41.08606363.0E-5
6.61.1165511E-66.45777E-71.064577E-516.4852121.0E-54.78521E-62.767613E-62.2767557E-58.2264242.0E-55.8258374E-53.3695218E-56.3694206E-51.8903043.0E-55.8243104E-43.3690623E-43.6689613E-41.08901563.0E-5
6.71.1098243E-66.390098E-71.0639003E-516.6492021.0E-54.7563813E-62.7386106E-62.2738555E-58.3029532.0E-55.7907404E-53.3342127E-56.3341125E-51.89973263.0E-55.7892315E-43.3337637E-43.633664E-41.08995843.0E-5
6.81.1077587E-66.369333E-71.0636927E-516.7002221.0E-54.7475287E-62.7297115E-62.2729657E-58.3267612.0E-55.779963E-53.3233784E-56.323279E-51.90266593.0E-55.77846E-43.3229325E-43.622833E-41.09025173.0E-5
6.91.1024468E-66.315974E-71.0631591E-516.832861.0E-54.7247636E-62.7068434E-62.2706789E-58.388662.0E-55.752248E-53.2955373E-56.295439E-51.9102923.0E-55.750759E-43.2950996E-43.595001E-41.09101433.0E-5
7.01.0993066E-66.290331E-71.0629027E-516.8974061.0E-54.7113053E-62.6958535E-62.26958E-58.418782.0E-55.7358633E-53.2821576E-56.282059E-51.91400293.0E-55.734383E-43.281724E-43.5816256E-41.09138543.0E-5
7.18.334877E-74.2306738E-74.2306738E-71.00.03.5720855E-61.8131448E-61.1813127E-56.51526931.0E-54.348927E-52.2074835E-54.2074393E-51.9059892.0E-54.3480762E-42.2072847E-42.4072407E-41.0905892.0E-5
7.27.794411E-73.8372457E-73.8372457E-71.00.03.3404576E-61.6445329E-61.1644516E-57.0807441.0E-54.0669314E-52.0022024E-54.0021623E-51.998882.0E-54.066187E-42.0020407E-42.2020006E-41.09987812.0E-5
7.35.01704E-72.4544875E-72.4544875E-71.00.02.150158E-61.0519229E-61.1051912E-510.5063911.0E-52.617786E-51.2807098E-53.280684E-52.5616142.0E-52.6174777E-41.2806474E-41.4806217E-41.1561512.0E-5
7.42.4008182E-71.19057454E-71.19057454E-71.00.01.0289217E-65.102462E-71.0510241E-520.5983731.0E-51.252705E-56.2122367E-62.6212112E-54.21943242.0E-51.2526344E-46.212133E-58.212009E-51.32193062.0E-5
7.52.0263876E-81.5834335E-81.5834335E-81.00.08.684518E-86.786143E-81.0067861E-5148.35911.0E-51.0573395E-68.2621267E-71.0826205E-513.1034111.0E-51.0573345E-58.2621045E-61.8262022E-52.21033531.0E-5
7.61.4871431E-91.5042142E-91.5042142E-91.00.06.37347E-96.4466312E-91.0006446E-51552.19781.0E-57.7596994E-87.848773E-81.0078487E-5128.408431.0E-57.759697E-77.8487705E-71.0784869E-513.7408391.0E-5
7.71.5093293E-101.5287094E-101.5287094E-101.00.06.4685546E-106.5516026E-106.5516026E-101.00.07.875465E-97.976578E-97.976578E-91.00.07.8754645E-87.976577E-87.976577E-81.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0533147E-41.6255843E-41.6255843E-41.00.04.5134246E-46.9647515E-46.9647515E-41.00.00.0054812580.0084457640.008455681.0011741.0E-50.0534801630.0811066250.0811250061.00022662.0E-5
6.11.0510782E-41.6244376E-41.6244376E-41.00.04.503843E-46.95984E-46.95984E-41.00.00.0054696510.0084398330.0084497491.00117481.0E-50.053369690.0810518860.081070271.00022672.0E-5
6.27.595682E-51.1610908E-41.1610908E-41.00.03.254886E-44.9750635E-44.9750635E-41.00.00.00395562450.0060389970.0060489371.00164591.0E-50.038859510.0585305020.0585399161.00016081.0E-5
6.36.787612E-51.03515216E-41.03515216E-41.00.02.9086522E-44.435515E-44.435515E-41.00.00.00353553450.00538580860.00539575471.00184681.0E-50.0347981150.05235610.052365581.0001811.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-59.429479E-59.429479E-51.00.02.6639478E-44.040514E-44.040514E-41.00.00.00323853320.00490742640.00491737761.00202781.0E-50.031917420.0478299930.0478395151.00019911.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-58.170704E-58.170704E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.5012525E-43.5012525E-41.00.00.00283290590.0042539760.00426393331.00234081.0E-50.0279706330.041613710.041623291.00023031.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.0481845E-57.0481845E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.0202934E-43.0202934E-41.00.00.0024650340.00367078020.00368074351.00271421.0E-50.024378690.0360269730.036036611.00026761.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-55.4015574E-55.4015574E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.314766E-42.314766E-41.00.00.00192228750.00281464220.00281464221.00.00.0190574420.0277656240.0277656241.00.0
6.82.0292036E-52.6857611E-52.6857611E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.1509897E-41.1509897E-41.00.00.00105825990.00140043340.00140043341.00.00.0105323440.0139067590.0139067591.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.2852333E-52.2852333E-51.00.07.658793E-59.793492E-59.793492E-51.00.09.320591E-40.00119170970.00119170971.00.00.0092815950.01185087950.01185087951.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.055941E-52.055941E-51.00.07.035038E-58.81088E-58.81088E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00107219970.00107219971.00.00.0085288820.010670510.010670511.00.0
7.11.5409885E-51.9141655E-51.9141655E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.20331E-58.20331E-51.00.08.0374884E-49.982983E-49.982983E-41.00.00.008008480.0099386130.0099386131.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.79417E-51.79417E-51.00.06.213033E-57.689075E-57.689075E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.3574554E-49.3574554E-41.00.00.00753606340.009318580.009318581.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.6790491E-51.6790491E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.195728E-57.195728E-51.00.07.101729E-48.757303E-48.757303E-41.00.00.00707907650.008723260.008723261.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.5093812E-51.5093812E-51.00.05.251105E-56.468617E-56.468617E-51.00.06.391345E-47.872721E-47.872721E-41.00.00.00637299430.0078453220.0078453221.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.3416159E-51.3416159E-51.00.04.6770452E-55.749657E-55.749657E-51.00.05.6928146E-46.9979834E-46.9979834E-41.00.00.00567825320.00697643640.00697643641.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.0584253E-51.0584253E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.536031E-54.536031E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.5212405E-45.5212405E-41.00.00.004489370.00550784870.00550784871.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.5284621E-62.5284621E-61.00.08.997241E-61.0836222E-51.0836222E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3192308E-41.3192308E-41.00.00.00109481930.00131844850.00131844851.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1007418E-72.1007418E-71.00.07.897844E-79.003176E-79.003176E-71.00.09.615583E-61.0961315E-51.0961315E-51.00.09.615166E-51.0960285E-41.0960285E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-54.9125745E-55.9125254E-51.20354931.0E-51.7530227E-42.1052397E-42.2052188E-41.04749051.0E-50.00213221580.00256048890.00257046331.00389551.0E-50.021118730.025347680.025376921.00115363.0E-5
6.14.0906612E-54.9125745E-55.9125254E-51.20354931.0E-51.7530227E-42.1052397E-42.2052188E-41.04749051.0E-50.00213221580.00256048890.00257046331.00389551.0E-50.021118730.025347680.025376921.00115363.0E-5
6.24.0906612E-54.9125745E-55.9125254E-51.20354931.0E-51.7530227E-42.1052397E-42.2052188E-41.04749051.0E-50.00213221580.00256048890.00257046331.00389551.0E-50.021118730.025347680.025376921.00115363.0E-5
6.32.4242801E-52.9280567E-52.9280567E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2548229E-41.2548229E-41.00.00.00126417040.0015267080.0015267081.00.00.012570030.0151656950.01518539151.00129882.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-52.9280567E-52.9280567E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2548229E-41.2548229E-41.00.00.00126417040.0015267080.0015267081.00.00.012570030.0151656950.01518539151.00129882.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.4655821E-52.4655821E-51.00.08.694118E-51.0566362E-41.0566362E-41.00.00.00105799490.00128571150.00128571151.00.00.0105297190.0127845590.0128043031.00154442.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.4637018E-52.4637018E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.05583036E-41.05583036E-41.00.00.00105707070.00128473170.00128473171.00.00.0105205650.01277487350.0127946181.00154552.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.1945261E-52.1945261E-51.00.07.713423E-59.4047806E-59.4047806E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00114444450.00114444451.00.00.0093474930.0113870280.0114068011.00173642.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1266496E-52.1266496E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.1139016E-59.1139016E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00110906640.00110906641.00.00.0090684590.011036810.0110565891.00179212.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.8530576E-51.8530576E-51.00.06.612192E-57.941441E-57.941441E-51.00.08.04737E-49.66454E-49.66454E-41.00.00.0080182910.0096238320.0096436391.00205812.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.7559685E-51.7559685E-51.00.06.292361E-57.5253694E-57.5253694E-51.00.07.658257E-49.1584097E-49.1584097E-41.00.00.00763191840.0091219590.0091417771.00217252.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.576511E-51.576511E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.756307E-56.756307E-51.00.06.853584E-48.2228193E-48.2228193E-41.00.00.00683248560.00819362050.0082134571.00242092.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.347205E-51.347205E-51.00.04.7688E-55.773614E-55.773614E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.02721E-47.02721E-41.00.00.00578932980.0070060330.00702589241.00283472.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.18325315E-51.18325315E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.070992E-55.070992E-51.00.05.11647E-46.172285E-46.172285E-41.00.00.00510470570.00615615540.00617603261.00322882.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.523858E-69.523858E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.0815947E-54.0815947E-51.00.04.1434157E-44.968298E-44.968298E-41.00.00.00413569850.00495807870.00497797971.00401382.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.6154313E-65.6154313E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4065954E-52.4065954E-51.00.02.4584212E-42.9297083E-42.9297083E-41.00.00.00245570320.00292655690.00293652761.0034071.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.558734E-72.558734E-71.00.09.478797E-71.0965999E-61.0965999E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.335105E-51.335105E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.335052E-41.335052E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.11.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.21.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.31.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.41.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.51.15488665E-51.0975028E-52.0974918E-51.91114941.0E-54.9494203E-54.7035057E-56.703412E-51.42519472.0E-56.024253E-45.725139E-45.925024E-41.03491372.0E-50.0060079480.0057116360.00574146441.00522243.0E-5
6.67.587044E-66.864397E-61.686433E-52.4567821.0E-53.2515498E-52.941853E-53.9418235E-51.33991181.0E-53.9580427E-43.5811463E-43.6811104E-41.0279141.0E-50.0039510.00357566240.00359559081.00557342.0E-5
6.77.587044E-66.864397E-61.686433E-52.4567821.0E-53.2515498E-52.941853E-53.9418235E-51.33991181.0E-53.9580427E-43.5811463E-43.6811104E-41.0279141.0E-50.0039510.00357566240.00359559081.00557342.0E-5
6.85.9026956E-65.1212837E-61.51212325E-52.95262531.0E-52.5297022E-52.194818E-53.1947962E-51.45560861.0E-53.0794772E-42.6718748E-42.7718482E-41.03741691.0E-50.00307521320.0026687770.00268872361.00747412.0E-5
6.95.0118915E-64.2009046E-61.4200863E-53.38042951.0E-52.1479358E-51.8003757E-52.8003577E-51.55542961.0E-52.614798E-42.1917441E-42.2917222E-41.04561581.0E-50.00261172350.00218965420.00220961031.00911392.0E-5
7.04.4924795E-63.6659164E-61.366588E-53.72782091.0E-51.925334E-51.5710979E-52.5710822E-51.63648761.0E-52.3438422E-41.91265E-42.012631E-41.05227351.0E-50.00234137170.00191106610.0019210471.00522271.0E-5
7.13.9118436E-63.0681797E-61.3068149E-54.25925161.0E-51.6764936E-51.3149278E-52.3149147E-51.7604881.0E-52.0409399E-41.6008127E-41.7007966E-41.06245831.0E-50.00203906630.00159971490.00160969891.00624111.0E-5
7.23.4200818E-62.5650618E-61.2565036E-54.8985321.0E-51.4657411E-51.0993078E-52.0992968E-51.90965331.0E-51.7843937E-41.33833E-41.4383167E-41.074711.0E-50.00178296150.00133757320.00134755991.00746621.0E-5
7.32.6593618E-61.793164E-61.793164E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.684967E-67.684967E-61.00.01.3875226E-49.356075E-59.356075E-51.00.00.00138665659.352422E-49.352422E-41.00.0
7.42.2577992E-61.4043651E-61.4043651E-61.00.09.676246E-66.0186953E-66.0186953E-61.00.01.1780193E-47.32754E-57.32754E-51.00.00.0011773957.325371E-47.325371E-41.00.0
7.51.489319E-67.1034543E-77.1034543E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.044334E-63.044334E-61.00.07.770758E-53.706414E-53.706414E-51.00.07.7680405E-43.7058E-43.7058E-41.00.0
7.61.0680322E-64.4758767E-74.4758767E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9182314E-61.9182314E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.335422E-52.335422E-51.00.05.5712904E-42.335179E-42.335179E-41.00.0
7.75.509146E-71.4656432E-71.4656432E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.281326E-76.281326E-71.00.02.8745531E-57.647489E-67.647489E-61.00.02.8741814E-47.647236E-57.647236E-51.00.0

Ozena

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.11.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.21.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.31.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.41.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.51.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.61.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.71.4377547E-61.4489534E-61.14489385E-57.9015231.0E-56.161791E-66.209787E-61.6209726E-52.6103511.0E-57.5017226E-57.5601805E-59.560029E-51.2645242.0E-57.4991904E-47.557874E-47.857647E-41.03966373.0E-5
6.89.223257E-79.300802E-71.0930071E-511.7517511.0E-53.9528186E-63.986052E-61.3986012E-53.50873781.0E-54.81245E-54.8529146E-56.852818E-51.41210342.0E-54.811408E-44.851895E-45.1517494E-41.06180163.0E-5
6.99.141515E-79.21864E-71.09218545E-511.8475771.0E-53.917786E-63.95084E-61.39508E-53.53109741.0E-54.7698002E-54.8100454E-56.809949E-51.41577652.0E-54.7687767E-44.8090445E-45.0089485E-41.04156832.0E-5
7.08.767648E-78.842365E-71.0884228E-512.3091811.0E-53.757558E-63.7895798E-61.3789542E-53.6388051.0E-54.5747307E-54.6137196E-56.613627E-51.43346972.0E-54.5737892E-44.6128008E-44.8127086E-41.04333762.0E-5
7.18.199402E-78.270062E-71.0826998E-513.0917971.0E-53.5140247E-63.544308E-61.3544272E-53.82141541.0E-54.2782412E-54.315113E-56.315027E-51.46346722.0E-54.2774176E-44.3143122E-44.514226E-41.04633742.0E-5
7.27.38705E-77.4505226E-71.0745045E-514.4218671.0E-53.1658747E-63.1930774E-61.3193046E-54.1317651.0E-53.8543843E-53.887506E-55.8874284E-51.51444862.0E-53.853716E-43.8868608E-44.0867832E-41.05143542.0E-5
7.36.490017E-76.5457436E-71.0654568E-516.2770921.0E-52.7814328E-62.805316E-61.2805288E-54.5646511.0E-53.386342E-53.415422E-55.4153537E-51.58555912.0E-53.3858258E-43.4149305E-43.6148622E-41.05854632.0E-5
7.45.346736E-75.392386E-71.0539233E-519.5446571.0E-52.291456E-62.3110208E-61.2310998E-55.3270821.0E-52.789812E-52.8136346E-54.8135782E-51.71080432.0E-52.789462E-42.8133087E-43.0132523E-41.07107072.0E-5
7.52.939325E-72.961758E-72.961758E-71.00.01.25971E-61.2693243E-61.2693243E-61.00.01.5336862E-51.545393E-51.545393E-51.00.01.5335804E-41.5453016E-41.5453016E-41.00.0
7.61.4151905E-71.4235295E-71.4235295E-71.00.06.065101E-76.1008393E-76.1008393E-71.00.07.3842357E-67.4277473E-67.4277473E-61.00.07.38399E-57.427506E-57.427506E-51.00.0
7.74.4957577E-84.520004E-84.520004E-81.00.01.9267533E-71.9371444E-71.9371444E-71.00.02.3458194E-62.3584707E-62.3584707E-61.00.02.3457947E-52.3584467E-52.3584467E-51.00.0
7.85.9993255E-96.0338587E-96.0338587E-91.00.02.5711394E-82.5859395E-82.5859395E-81.00.03.1303617E-73.148381E-73.148381E-71.00.03.1303573E-63.1483776E-63.1483776E-61.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.4548097E-53.454785E-51.40735351.0E-58.864371E-51.0520197E-41.1520092E-41.09504521.0E-50.00107870290.00128009660.00129008391.00780191.0E-50.0107348170.0127306790.0127504241.0015512.0E-5
6.12.0684236E-52.4548097E-53.454785E-51.40735351.0E-58.864371E-51.0520197E-41.1520092E-41.09504521.0E-50.00107870290.00128009660.00129008391.00780191.0E-50.0107348170.0127306790.0127504241.0015512.0E-5
6.22.0684236E-52.4548097E-53.454785E-51.40735351.0E-58.864371E-51.0520197E-41.1520092E-41.09504521.0E-50.00107870290.00128009660.00129008391.00780191.0E-50.0107348170.0127306790.0127504241.0015512.0E-5
6.32.0240292E-52.4059062E-53.405882E-51.41563381.0E-58.6741224E-51.0310627E-41.1310524E-41.09697741.0E-50.00105556260.00125461110.00126459851.00796061.0E-50.0105056280.0124787030.0124984521.00158272.0E-5
6.42.0240292E-52.4059062E-53.405882E-51.41563381.0E-58.6741224E-51.0310627E-41.1310524E-41.09697741.0E-50.00105556260.00125461110.00126459851.00796061.0E-50.0105056280.0124787030.0124984521.00158272.0E-5
6.51.9962767E-52.3754741E-53.3754503E-51.42095861.0E-58.55519E-51.0180214E-41.1180113E-41.09821981.0E-50.00104109680.00123875150.00124873911.00806261.0E-50.0103623270.0123218730.0123416261.00160312.0E-5
6.61.8937297E-52.2312273E-53.231205E-51.44817391.0E-58.115732E-59.56206E-51.0561964E-41.104571.0E-59.876423E-40.00116357210.00117356041.00858431.0E-50.0098326450.0115779780.0115977461.00170742.0E-5
6.71.8621096E-52.1924227E-53.1924006E-51.45610641.0E-57.980225E-59.3957664E-51.0395672E-41.10642091.0E-59.711593E-40.00114334720.00115333581.00873631.0E-50.0096692610.0113778210.0113975931.00173782.0E-5
6.81.7830353E-52.0882897E-53.088269E-51.47885071.0E-57.641356E-58.949513E-59.949424E-51.1117281.0E-59.29938E-40.00108907120.00109906031.00917211.0E-50.0092605610.010841150.0108609331.00182492.0E-5
6.91.3135183E-51.4799853E-52.4799705E-51.67567241.0E-55.6292425E-56.3426436E-57.34258E-51.1576531.0E-56.8514474E-47.7194924E-47.819415E-41.01294421.0E-50.0068303620.00769425560.0077141021.00257932.0E-5
7.01.1507512E-51.2784228E-52.27841E-51.78220391.0E-54.9316975E-55.4788426E-56.478788E-51.18251031.0E-56.002687E-46.6685036E-46.768437E-41.01498591.0E-50.00598649870.00664976470.0066696321.00298762.0E-5
7.19.715903E-61.0624341E-52.0624235E-51.94122491.0E-54.1638916E-54.5532117E-55.553166E-51.21961521.0E-55.068359E-45.5421656E-45.6421105E-41.01803351.0E-50.00505681480.005528890.005548781.00359742.0E-5
7.29.233269E-61.0069095E-52.0068994E-51.9931281.0E-53.9570554E-54.3152573E-55.3152144E-51.23172591.0E-54.81665E-45.2526E-45.352547E-41.01902821.0E-50.00480622330.00524059780.00526049271.00379632.0E-5
7.38.8041315E-69.614178E-61.9614083E-52.04012041.0E-53.7731446E-54.1202995E-55.120258E-51.24269081.0E-54.592835E-45.01535E-45.1153E-41.01992881.0E-50.00458335460.00500443950.00502433951.00397652.0E-5
7.48.708749E-69.5142495E-61.9514155E-52.0510451.0E-53.7322676E-54.0774743E-55.0774335E-51.24523991.0E-54.5430884E-44.963234E-45.0631847E-41.02013811.0E-50.0045338120.00495255740.00497245841.00401832.0E-5
7.58.612678E-69.413084E-61.941299E-52.06234121.0E-53.6910955E-54.0341187E-55.0340783E-51.24787561.0E-54.492982E-44.910473E-45.0104235E-41.02035461.0E-50.0044839090.004900030.0049099811.00203081.0E-5
7.68.319024E-69.097402E-61.9097311E-52.0992051.0E-53.5652476E-53.8988306E-54.8987917E-51.25647711.0E-54.3398244E-44.7458324E-44.8457852E-41.02106111.0E-50.00433135870.0047361030.00474605571.00210141.0E-5
7.77.4718328E-68.176285E-61.8176203E-52.22303941.0E-53.2021748E-53.504077E-54.5040422E-51.28537191.0E-53.8979502E-44.2654175E-44.365375E-41.02343441.0E-50.003891120.00425761840.0042675761.00233881.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6132118E-71.0361317E-528.6761971.0E-51.4822873E-61.5485185E-61.1548503E-57.4577751.0E-51.80467E-51.8853054E-52.8852866E-51.5304081.0E-51.8045233E-41.8851498E-41.985131E-41.05303621.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6495033E-92.6495033E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1355014E-81.1355014E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3824729E-71.3824729E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3824729E-61.3824729E-61.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1578536E-51.0530428E-52.0530322E-51.9496191.0E-54.9621354E-54.512999E-55.5129538E-51.22157221.0E-56.039725E-45.493842E-45.593787E-41.01819221.0E-50.0060233360.0054866430.0055065331.00362532.0E-5
6.19.852767E-61.0530428E-52.0530322E-51.9496191.0E-54.222546E-54.512999E-55.5129538E-51.22157221.0E-55.139737E-45.493842E-45.593787E-41.01819221.0E-50.0051278660.0054866430.0055065331.00362532.0E-5
6.29.852767E-61.0530428E-52.0530322E-51.9496191.0E-54.222546E-54.512999E-55.5129538E-51.22157221.0E-55.139737E-45.493842E-45.593787E-41.01819221.0E-50.0051278660.0054866430.0055065331.00362532.0E-5
6.34.3167724E-64.6343675E-64.6343675E-61.00.01.8500323E-51.9861545E-51.9861545E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4180916E-42.4180916E-41.00.00.00224990030.00241758630.00241758631.00.0
6.44.3167724E-64.6343675E-64.6343675E-61.00.01.8500323E-51.9861545E-51.9861545E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4180916E-42.4180916E-41.00.00.00224990030.00241758630.00241758631.00.0
6.54.3167724E-64.6343675E-64.6343675E-61.00.01.8500323E-51.9861545E-51.9861545E-51.00.02.2521814E-42.4180916E-42.4180916E-41.00.00.00224990030.00241758630.00241758631.00.0
6.64.301311E-64.617744E-64.617744E-61.00.01.8434059E-51.9790303E-51.9790303E-51.00.02.2441156E-42.4094197E-42.4094197E-41.00.00.00224185060.00240893310.00240893311.00.0
6.73.8599724E-64.1440026E-64.1440026E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.776001E-51.776001E-51.00.02.0138794E-42.1622813E-42.1622813E-41.00.00.00201205540.00216228140.00216228141.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2287335E-53.2287335E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.3836753E-41.3836753E-41.00.00.0015710.00168342450.00169340771.00593031.0E-50.0155994020.0167171360.0167368021.00117642.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2287335E-53.2287335E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.3836753E-41.3836753E-41.00.00.0015710.00168342450.00169340771.00593031.0E-50.0155994020.0167171360.0167368021.00117642.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2287335E-53.2287335E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.3836753E-41.3836753E-41.00.00.0015710.00168342450.00169340771.00593031.0E-50.0155994020.0167171360.0167368021.00117642.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8074326E-51.8074326E-51.00.07.28476E-57.7459204E-57.7459204E-51.00.08.865586E-49.426759E-49.5266645E-41.01059811.0E-50.00883030050.0093886370.0093985421.00105511.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8074326E-51.8074326E-51.00.07.28476E-57.7459204E-57.7459204E-51.00.08.865586E-49.426759E-49.5266645E-41.01059811.0E-50.00883030050.0093886370.0093985421.00105511.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3510013E-51.3510013E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.7898826E-55.7898826E-51.00.06.649074E-47.0470024E-47.146932E-41.01418041.0E-50.00662921460.00702567860.00703560841.00141331.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.35021455E-51.35021455E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.7865112E-55.7865112E-51.00.06.645082E-47.0429005E-47.14283E-41.01418861.0E-50.00662524670.00702160270.00703153251.00141421.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0744042E-51.0744042E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6045123E-54.6045123E-51.00.05.300022E-45.60462E-45.7045644E-41.01783241.0E-50.0052873990.00559117740.00560112161.00177851.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.817696E-68.817696E-61.00.03.578462E-53.7789607E-53.7789607E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.5999687E-44.5999687E-41.00.00.0043473780.00459099650.00459099651.00.0
6.95.193639E-65.4664492E-65.4664492E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.3427447E-52.3427447E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.8519498E-42.8519498E-41.00.00.00270630510.00284860240.00284860241.00.0
7.04.359381E-64.584358E-64.584358E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9647117E-51.9647117E-51.00.02.274409E-42.391803E-42.391803E-41.00.00.00227208270.0023895140.0023895141.00.0
7.13.0398533E-63.1893417E-63.1893417E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.366855E-51.366855E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6640444E-41.6640444E-41.00.00.0015848970.00166304910.00166304911.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.7103301E-61.7103301E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.3299766E-67.3299766E-61.00.08.569109E-58.924083E-58.924083E-51.00.08.5658056E-48.9224713E-48.9224713E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.247201E-73.247201E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.3916568E-61.3916568E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.6943291E-51.6943291E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.6942009E-41.6942009E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.0590635E-72.0590635E-71.00.09.417204E-78.824555E-78.824555E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.0743843E-51.0743843E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0743327E-41.0743327E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0346542E-71.0346542E-71.00.05.118914E-74.4342312E-74.4342312E-71.00.06.23226E-65.3986632E-65.3986632E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.3985335E-55.3985335E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.060018E-83.060018E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.3114362E-71.3114362E-71.00.02.419026E-61.5966724E-61.5966724E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.596661E-51.596661E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-86.2812946E-96.2812946E-91.00.07.9665305E-82.6919833E-82.6919833E-81.00.09.699246E-73.2774892E-73.2774892E-71.00.09.699204E-63.2774847E-63.2774847E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-94.87123E-104.87123E-101.00.01.1982923E-82.0876694E-92.0876694E-91.00.01.4589209E-72.5417373E-82.5417373E-81.00.01.4589199E-62.5417373E-72.5417373E-71.00.0

Trinidad (alt1)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.13.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.23.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.33.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.43.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.53.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.63.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.73.0167168E-53.3280565E-53.3280565E-51.00.01.2928146E-41.4262409E-41.4262409E-41.00.00.00157286530.00173522580.00173522581.00.00.01561779250.0172329230.017242751.00057031.0E-5
6.81.717077E-51.8804545E-51.8804545E-51.00.07.358694E-58.058866E-58.058866E-51.00.08.9555274E-49.807679E-49.807679E-41.00.00.0089195220.0097686590.0097785611.00101361.0E-5
6.91.717077E-51.8804545E-51.8804545E-51.00.07.358694E-58.058866E-58.058866E-51.00.08.9555274E-49.807679E-49.807679E-41.00.00.0089195220.0097686590.0097785611.00101361.0E-5
7.01.2858572E-51.4052311E-51.4052311E-51.00.05.5107E-56.022297E-56.022297E-51.00.06.707212E-47.3299883E-47.3299883E-41.00.00.0066870040.00730886030.00731878731.00135821.0E-5
7.11.0588431E-51.1567552E-51.1567552E-51.00.04.53782E-54.957444E-54.957444E-51.00.05.5233954E-46.034294E-46.034294E-41.00.00.0055096870.0060206420.0060305821.00165091.0E-5
7.28.138061E-68.88816E-68.88816E-61.00.03.487694E-53.8091694E-53.8091694E-51.00.04.2454398E-44.636915E-44.636915E-41.00.00.00423733840.00462958120.00463953471.002151.0E-5
7.35.787542E-66.3305115E-66.3305115E-61.00.02.4803514E-52.7130598E-52.7130598E-51.00.03.0194095E-43.302856E-43.302856E-41.00.00.003015310.00329997130.00330993841.00302031.0E-5
7.44.303563E-64.7049193E-64.7049193E-61.00.01.844371E-52.016389E-52.016389E-51.00.02.2452902E-42.4548668E-42.4548668E-41.00.00.00224302310.00245401330.00246398871.00406491.0E-5
7.55.6063425E-76.0405404E-76.0405404E-71.00.02.402716E-62.5888005E-62.5888005E-61.00.02.9252675E-53.1518208E-53.1518208E-51.00.02.9248823E-43.1513887E-43.1513887E-41.00.0
7.64.6699128E-75.0385955E-75.0385955E-71.00.02.0013897E-62.1593962E-62.1593962E-61.00.02.4366647E-52.6290347E-52.6290347E-51.00.02.4363975E-42.6287374E-42.6287374E-41.00.0
7.72.2080937E-72.3910493E-72.3910493E-71.00.09.4632554E-71.0247351E-61.0247351E-61.00.01.15214525E-51.24760845E-51.24760845E-51.00.01.1520855E-41.2475441E-41.2475441E-41.00.0
7.81.1438307E-81.2440114E-81.2440114E-81.00.04.9021317E-85.3314775E-85.3314775E-81.00.05.9683435E-76.491074E-76.491074E-71.00.05.9683275E-66.4910737E-66.4910737E-61.00.0

Yorba Linda

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9346849E-61.6734572E-61.167344E-56.97564361.0E-58.29148E-67.1719446E-62.7171802E-53.78862382.0E-51.009441E-48.731587E-51.07314125E-41.22903352.0E-50.00100898258.729083E-48.928908E-41.02289192.0E-5
6.11.9346849E-61.6734572E-61.167344E-56.97564361.0E-58.29148E-67.1719446E-62.7171802E-53.78862382.0E-51.009441E-48.731587E-51.07314125E-41.22903352.0E-50.00100898258.729083E-48.928908E-41.02289192.0E-5
6.21.9346849E-61.6734572E-61.167344E-56.97564361.0E-58.29148E-67.1719446E-62.7171802E-53.78862382.0E-51.009441E-48.731587E-51.07314125E-41.22903352.0E-50.00100898258.729083E-48.928908E-41.02289192.0E-5
6.31.1028608E-68.3267366E-78.3267366E-71.00.04.7265376E-63.5685969E-61.3568561E-53.80221181.0E-55.754407E-54.3446867E-55.344643E-51.23015621.0E-55.7529175E-44.3439015E-44.443858E-41.02301071.0E-5
6.41.1028608E-68.3267366E-78.3267366E-71.00.04.7265376E-63.5685969E-61.3568561E-53.80221181.0E-55.754407E-54.3446867E-55.344643E-51.23015621.0E-55.7529175E-44.3439015E-44.443858E-41.02301071.0E-5
6.58.4451364E-75.7191914E-75.7191914E-71.00.03.619339E-62.4510798E-61.2451055E-55.07982441.0E-54.406456E-52.9841509E-53.984121E-51.33509371.0E-54.4055824E-42.983771E-43.0837412E-41.03350461.0E-5
6.68.422957E-75.6948227E-75.6948227E-71.00.03.6098338E-62.440636E-61.24406115E-55.0972831.0E-54.3948843E-52.971436E-53.971406E-51.33652761.0E-54.394015E-42.9710593E-43.0710298E-41.0336481.0E-5
6.78.4119705E-75.68276E-75.68276E-71.00.03.6051254E-62.4354665E-61.2435442E-55.10597941.0E-54.3891516E-52.9651423E-53.9651128E-51.3372421.0E-54.388285E-42.9647673E-43.0647378E-41.03371941.0E-5
6.87.5919155E-74.848175E-74.848175E-71.00.03.253674E-62.0777877E-61.2077767E-55.81280141.0E-53.961276E-52.529679E-53.5296536E-51.3952971.0E-53.9605703E-42.5294075E-42.6293824E-41.03952491.0E-5
6.97.5804564E-74.8345635E-74.8345635E-71.00.03.248763E-62.0719542E-61.2071933E-55.8263511.0E-53.955297E-52.5225769E-53.5225516E-51.396411.0E-53.9545933E-42.522307E-42.622282E-41.03963631.0E-5
7.07.539293E-74.796918E-74.796918E-71.00.03.2311218E-62.0558205E-61.20558E-55.86422821.0E-53.9338196E-52.5029343E-53.5029094E-51.39952111.0E-53.9331234E-42.502669E-42.602644E-41.03994741.0E-5
7.16.0900885E-73.648546E-73.648546E-71.00.02.6100352E-61.5636616E-61.1563646E-57.39523551.0E-53.1776715E-51.9037418E-52.9037226E-51.52527131.0E-53.1772171E-41.903582E-42.003563E-41.05252251.0E-5
7.25.849925E-73.4565846E-73.4565846E-71.00.02.5071083E-61.4813926E-61.1481377E-57.75039531.0E-53.0523614E-51.8035807E-52.8035627E-51.55444251.0E-53.0519423E-41.8034375E-41.9034195E-41.05543971.0E-5
7.34.89808E-72.9300605E-72.9300605E-71.00.02.0991754E-61.2557397E-61.1255727E-58.9634251.0E-52.5557161E-51.5288524E-52.5288373E-51.65407541.0E-52.5554223E-41.5287494E-41.6287342E-41.0654031.0E-5
7.43.8700415E-72.3873392E-72.3873392E-71.00.01.6585881E-61.023145E-61.1023135E-510.7737761.0E-52.0193123E-51.24567205E-52.2456596E-51.80276951.0E-52.0191289E-41.2456033E-41.345591E-41.08027231.0E-5
7.52.900565E-71.8106088E-71.8106088E-71.00.01.2430987E-67.7597497E-71.0775967E-513.8870031.0E-51.5134622E-59.447455E-61.9447361E-52.0584761.0E-51.5133592E-49.447062E-51.0446967E-41.10584311.0E-5
7.62.2770318E-71.4431374E-71.4431374E-71.00.09.758704E-76.184873E-71.0618482E-517.168471.0E-51.1881158E-57.530058E-61.7529983E-52.3280011.0E-51.1880523E-47.529808E-58.5297324E-51.13279561.0E-5
7.71.5017194E-78.467984E-88.467984E-81.00.06.4359386E-73.6291354E-73.6291354E-71.00.07.835727E-64.418464E-64.418464E-61.00.07.835451E-54.4183784E-54.4183784E-51.00.0
7.83.895753E-81.7362863E-81.7362863E-81.00.01.6696083E-77.441226E-87.441226E-81.00.02.0327461E-69.05969E-79.05969E-71.00.02.0327276E-59.059654E-69.059654E-61.00.0
7.96.648505E-93.240165E-93.240165E-91.00.02.8493591E-81.3886422E-81.3886422E-81.00.03.4690942E-71.6906718E-71.6906718E-71.00.03.4690888E-61.6906706E-61.6906706E-61.00.0

Richfield

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5166896E-61.535077E-61.1535061E-57.51432131.0E-56.5000822E-66.578891E-62.6578758E-54.0400062.0E-57.913562E-58.009614E-51.0009454E-41.24967992.0E-57.910745E-48.007801E-48.2076405E-41.02495562.0E-5
6.11.5166896E-61.535077E-61.1535061E-57.51432131.0E-56.5000822E-66.578891E-62.6578758E-54.0400062.0E-57.913562E-58.009614E-51.0009454E-41.24967992.0E-57.910745E-48.007801E-48.2076405E-41.02495562.0E-5
6.26.473272E-76.574459E-76.574459E-71.00.02.7742565E-62.8176232E-61.2817595E-54.5490811.0E-53.377605E-53.4304154E-54.430381E-51.29149991.0E-53.3770915E-43.4300153E-43.529981E-41.02914441.0E-5
6.36.473272E-76.574459E-76.574459E-71.00.02.7742565E-62.8176232E-61.2817595E-54.5490811.0E-53.377605E-53.4304154E-54.430381E-51.29149991.0E-53.3770915E-43.4300153E-43.529981E-41.02914441.0E-5
6.46.473272E-76.574459E-76.574459E-71.00.02.7742565E-62.8176232E-61.2817595E-54.5490811.0E-53.377605E-53.4304154E-54.430381E-51.29149991.0E-53.3770915E-43.4300153E-43.529981E-41.02914441.0E-5
6.52.7954403E-72.8412256E-72.8412256E-71.00.01.1980452E-61.2176679E-61.2176679E-61.00.01.4586103E-51.4825048E-51.4825048E-51.00.01.4585146E-41.482448E-41.482448E-41.00.0
6.62.7954403E-72.8412256E-72.8412256E-71.00.01.1980452E-61.2176679E-61.2176679E-61.00.01.4586103E-51.4825048E-51.4825048E-51.00.01.4585146E-41.482448E-41.482448E-41.00.0
6.71.0777299E-71.084519E-71.084519E-71.00.04.6188418E-74.647938E-74.647938E-71.00.05.6234253E-65.658854E-65.658854E-61.00.05.623283E-55.6587527E-55.6587527E-51.00.0
6.82.1301874E-82.0625466E-82.0625466E-81.00.09.129375E-88.8394856E-88.8394856E-81.00.01.1115008E-61.0762068E-61.0762068E-61.00.01.1114952E-51.0762021E-51.0762021E-51.00.0
6.91.8413502E-81.7715164E-81.7715164E-81.00.07.891501E-87.592213E-87.592213E-81.00.09.607899E-79.243516E-79.243516E-71.00.09.607857E-69.24348E-69.24348E-61.00.0
7.01.2290541E-81.1547936E-81.1547936E-81.00.05.2673748E-84.9491156E-84.9491156E-81.00.06.413027E-76.025547E-76.025547E-71.00.06.4130086E-66.0255315E-66.0255315E-61.00.0
7.16.373573E-96.1431593E-96.1431593E-91.00.02.7315311E-82.6327827E-82.6327827E-81.00.03.3256384E-73.2054123E-73.2054123E-71.00.03.3256335E-63.2054083E-63.2054083E-61.00.0
7.23.6989944E-93.7293537E-93.7293537E-91.00.01.5852834E-81.5982945E-81.5982945E-81.00.01.9300822E-71.9459233E-71.9459233E-71.00.01.9300805E-61.945922E-61.945922E-61.00.0
7.32.097397E-92.1159494E-92.1159494E-91.00.08.9888434E-99.068354E-99.068354E-91.00.01.0943917E-71.1040721E-71.1040721E-71.00.01.0943911E-61.1040717E-61.1040717E-61.00.0
7.45.8314464E-125.8806293E-125.8806293E-121.00.02.4991786E-112.5202618E-112.5202618E-111.00.03.0427527E-103.0684189E-103.0684189E-101.00.03.0427532E-93.0684184E-93.0684184E-91.00.0

Big Pine (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8306974E-76.8726786E-76.8726786E-71.00.02.9274386E-62.945431E-62.945431E-61.00.03.564098E-53.586013E-54.5859768E-51.27885131.0E-53.5635266E-43.585528E-43.785456E-41.05575982.0E-5
6.16.8306974E-76.8726786E-76.8726786E-71.00.02.9274386E-62.945431E-62.945431E-61.00.03.564098E-53.586013E-54.5859768E-51.27885131.0E-53.5635266E-43.585528E-43.785456E-41.05575982.0E-5
6.26.8306974E-76.8726786E-76.8726786E-71.00.02.9274386E-62.945431E-62.945431E-61.00.03.564098E-53.586013E-54.5859768E-51.27885131.0E-53.5635266E-43.585528E-43.785456E-41.05575982.0E-5
6.34.227652E-74.2595713E-74.2595713E-71.00.01.8118495E-61.8255294E-61.8255294E-61.00.02.2059045E-52.2225613E-53.222539E-51.44992141.0E-52.2056856E-42.2223571E-42.4223127E-41.08997452.0E-5
6.44.227652E-74.2595713E-74.2595713E-71.00.01.8118495E-61.8255294E-61.8255294E-61.00.02.2059045E-52.2225613E-53.222539E-51.44992141.0E-52.2056856E-42.2223571E-42.4223127E-41.08997452.0E-5
6.53.1538403E-73.182223E-73.182223E-71.00.01.3516451E-61.3638092E-61.3638092E-61.00.01.6456155E-51.6604256E-52.6604088E-51.60224531.0E-51.6454936E-41.6603054E-41.8602722E-41.12043982.0E-5
6.63.1538403E-73.182223E-73.182223E-71.00.01.3516451E-61.3638092E-61.3638092E-61.00.01.6456155E-51.6604256E-52.6604088E-51.60224531.0E-51.6454936E-41.6603054E-41.8602722E-41.12043982.0E-5
6.73.1538403E-73.182223E-73.182223E-71.00.01.3516451E-61.3638092E-61.3638092E-61.00.01.6456155E-51.6604256E-52.6604088E-51.60224531.0E-51.6454936E-41.6603054E-41.8602722E-41.12043982.0E-5
6.83.1538403E-73.182223E-73.182223E-71.00.01.3516451E-61.3638092E-61.3638092E-61.00.01.6456155E-51.6604256E-52.6604088E-51.60224531.0E-51.6454936E-41.6603054E-41.8602722E-41.12043982.0E-5
6.93.0402092E-73.0678996E-73.0678996E-71.00.01.3029462E-61.3148134E-61.3148134E-61.00.01.5863254E-51.600774E-52.600758E-51.62468781.0E-51.5862122E-41.6006625E-41.7006465E-41.06246411.0E-5
7.02.3673063E-72.3895475E-72.3895475E-71.00.01.0145594E-61.0240915E-61.0240915E-61.00.01.235219E-51.2468245E-52.246812E-51.80202751.0E-51.2351504E-41.2467573E-41.3467448E-41.0801981.0E-5
7.11.632138E-71.6479902E-71.6479902E-71.00.06.9948754E-77.062813E-77.062813E-71.00.08.516227E-68.598943E-61.8598857E-52.16292361.0E-58.5159016E-58.598627E-59.5985415E-51.11628761.0E-5
7.21.1523723E-71.163336E-71.163336E-71.00.04.9387376E-74.985725E-74.985725E-71.00.06.0128964E-66.070104E-61.6070044E-52.64740821.0E-56.0127335E-56.069949E-57.069889E-51.1647361.0E-5
7.37.777805E-87.847384E-87.847384E-81.00.03.3333444E-73.3631642E-73.3631642E-71.00.04.0583395E-64.094645E-61.4094604E-53.4422041.0E-54.0582654E-54.0945753E-55.0945346E-51.24421561.0E-5
7.44.609946E-84.644704E-84.644704E-81.00.01.975691E-71.9905873E-71.9905873E-71.00.02.4054011E-62.4235376E-61.2423513E-55.12618971.0E-52.405375E-52.4235129E-53.4234887E-51.41261421.0E-5
7.52.3439137E-82.3578295E-82.3578295E-81.00.01.00453434E-71.0104983E-71.0104983E-71.00.01.2230199E-61.230281E-61.230281E-61.00.01.2230132E-51.2302744E-51.2302744E-51.00.0
7.61.6699769E-81.679628E-81.679628E-81.00.07.157044E-87.1984054E-87.1984054E-81.00.08.713697E-78.764055E-78.764055E-71.00.08.713663E-68.764023E-68.764023E-61.00.0
7.77.4061512E-97.4456583E-97.4456583E-91.00.03.1740647E-83.1909963E-83.1909963E-81.00.03.864423E-73.8850374E-73.8850374E-71.00.03.8644166E-63.885031E-63.885031E-61.00.0
7.81.2189427E-91.2256353E-91.2256353E-91.00.05.2240403E-95.2527223E-95.2527223E-91.00.06.3602684E-86.3951894E-86.3951894E-81.00.06.360267E-76.395188E-76.395188E-71.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.728982E-62.6728847E-53.97219782.0E-52.8398761E-52.883822E-54.8837643E-51.69350412.0E-53.4570007E-43.510567E-43.7104968E-41.05695082.0E-50.00345162770.00350580180.00352573161.00568492.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.728982E-62.6728847E-53.97219782.0E-52.8398761E-52.883822E-54.8837643E-51.69350412.0E-53.4570007E-43.510567E-43.7104968E-41.05695082.0E-50.00345162770.00350580180.00352573161.00568492.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.728982E-62.6728847E-53.97219782.0E-52.8398761E-52.883822E-54.8837643E-51.69350412.0E-53.4570007E-43.510567E-43.7104968E-41.05695082.0E-50.00345162770.00350580180.00352573161.00568492.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.728982E-62.6728847E-53.97219782.0E-52.8398761E-52.883822E-54.8837643E-51.69350412.0E-53.4570007E-43.510567E-43.7104968E-41.05695082.0E-50.00345162770.00350580180.00352573161.00568492.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.728982E-62.6728847E-53.97219782.0E-52.8398761E-52.883822E-54.8837643E-51.69350412.0E-53.4570007E-43.510567E-43.7104968E-41.05695082.0E-50.00345162770.00350580180.00352573161.00568492.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2449584E-61.3244926E-54.08169361.0E-51.3783738E-51.3906895E-52.3906756E-51.71905781.0E-51.6780409E-41.693041E-41.793024E-41.05905531.0E-50.00167677440.00169183010.00170181321.00590071.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2449584E-61.3244926E-54.08169361.0E-51.3783738E-51.3906895E-52.3906756E-51.71905781.0E-51.6780409E-41.693041E-41.793024E-41.05905531.0E-50.00167677440.00169183010.00170181321.00590071.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.1994065E-61.2199384E-55.5466711.0E-59.389223E-69.425995E-61.9425901E-52.0608861.0E-51.1430779E-41.1475564E-41.2475449E-41.08713171.0E-50.00114249010.0011469830.00115697161.00870851.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.7306558E-61.7306558E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4170753E-67.4170753E-61.00.09.028525E-59.029925E-59.029925E-51.00.09.024858E-49.026352E-49.026352E-41.00.0
6.91.3700314E-61.3642791E-61.3642791E-61.00.05.87155E-65.8468977E-65.8468977E-61.00.07.148377E-57.11837E-57.11837E-51.00.07.146078E-47.116135E-47.116135E-41.00.0
7.01.1467797E-61.1375544E-61.1375544E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8752245E-64.8752245E-61.00.05.983557E-55.935427E-55.935427E-51.00.05.981946E-45.933873E-45.933873E-41.00.0
7.19.3952065E-79.2713225E-79.2713225E-71.00.04.026511E-63.9734177E-63.9734177E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.8375307E-54.8375307E-51.00.04.901085E-44.8364952E-44.8364952E-41.00.0
7.26.858055E-76.6962025E-76.6962025E-71.00.02.939163E-62.869798E-62.869798E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.493924E-53.493924E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.493383E-43.493383E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.921951E-74.921951E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.109406E-62.109406E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.568172E-52.568172E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5678801E-42.5678801E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2875099E-73.2875099E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4089321E-61.4089321E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7153616E-51.7153616E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7152316E-41.7152316E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4688558E-71.4688558E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.295095E-76.295095E-71.00.08.881548E-67.664252E-67.664252E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.663995E-57.663995E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.724369E-81.724369E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.3901525E-87.3901525E-81.00.01.3421597E-68.997507E-78.997507E-71.00.01.3421517E-58.997476E-68.997476E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.498138E-68.498138E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6420184E-53.6420184E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4334316E-44.5333873E-41.02254591.0E-50.00429979850.00442632240.0044462341.00449852.0E-5
6.13.649988E-63.7526115E-63.7526115E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6082548E-51.6082548E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9579213E-41.9579213E-41.00.00.00190270260.00195665820.00196663851.00510071.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7526115E-63.7526115E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6082548E-51.6082548E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9579213E-41.9579213E-41.00.00.00190270260.00195665820.00196663851.00510071.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.432304E-61.432304E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.138439E-66.138439E-61.00.07.265574E-57.473433E-57.473433E-51.00.07.263199E-47.4722903E-47.572216E-41.01337281.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.432304E-61.432304E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.138439E-66.138439E-61.00.07.265574E-57.473433E-57.473433E-51.00.07.263199E-47.4722903E-47.572216E-41.01337281.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0159364E-61.0159364E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.354013E-64.354013E-61.00.05.153449E-55.301011E-55.301011E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.3010107E-45.400958E-41.01885441.0E-5

Superstition Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.687118E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.02.4371086E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00296314255.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0292394220.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.15.687118E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.02.4371086E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00296314255.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0292394220.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.25.687118E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.02.4371086E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00296314255.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0292394220.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.35.22535E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.02.2392436E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00272287065.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0268974860.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.44.542238E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.01.9465282E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00236732235.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0234226170.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.52.9672969E-51.0588989E-51.0588989E-51.00.01.2716366E-44.538066E-54.538066E-51.00.00.00154711815.5238104E-45.623755E-41.01809351.0E-50.0153639120.0056545590.0056744461.00351692.0E-5
6.62.6056105E-51.0310071E-51.0310071E-51.00.01.1166424E-44.4185337E-54.4185337E-51.00.00.00135866425.378352E-45.478298E-41.0185831.0E-50.0135038740.0055076790.00552756941.00361132.0E-5
6.71.4611248E-59.948518E-69.948518E-61.00.06.261813E-54.2635875E-54.2635875E-51.00.07.6210906E-45.1897956E-45.2897434E-41.01925861.0E-50.00759500730.0053185390.0053384331.00374042.0E-5
6.81.30607E-57.933525E-67.933525E-61.00.05.597323E-53.4000415E-53.4000415E-51.00.06.8126095E-44.1388278E-44.2387864E-41.02415141.0E-50.0067917620.004263250.0042831651.00467122.0E-5
6.91.0443096E-55.4836914E-65.4836914E-61.00.04.4755358E-52.350133E-52.350133E-51.00.05.447602E-42.8609252E-42.9608965E-41.03494371.0E-50.0054342670.00296804570.00298798621.00671842.0E-5
7.08.045912E-64.322904E-64.322904E-61.00.03.4482026E-51.8526602E-51.8526602E-51.00.04.197378E-42.2553856E-42.3553631E-41.04432831.0E-50.00418945870.0023470850.0023670381.00850122.0E-5
7.18.045912E-64.322904E-64.322904E-61.00.03.4482026E-51.8526602E-51.8526602E-51.00.04.197378E-42.2553856E-42.3553631E-41.04432831.0E-50.00418945870.0023470850.0023670381.00850122.0E-5
7.27.375506E-63.8855237E-63.8855237E-61.00.03.1608928E-51.665214E-51.665214E-51.00.03.8477074E-42.0272135E-42.1271931E-41.04931881.0E-50.0038410520.00211665430.00213661181.00942892.0E-5
7.36.6063913E-63.4763827E-63.4763827E-61.00.02.8312797E-51.48987E-51.48987E-51.00.03.446538E-41.8137686E-41.9137505E-41.05512381.0E-50.00344119730.00190098990.0019209521.01050082.0E-5
7.46.4313126E-63.3665567E-63.3665567E-61.00.02.7562477E-51.4428022E-51.4428022E-51.00.03.355215E-41.7564728E-41.8564552E-41.05692231.0E-50.00335015360.00184329160.00186325471.01083022.0E-5
7.56.0742927E-63.1978539E-63.1978539E-61.00.02.6032423E-51.3705017E-51.3705017E-51.00.03.1689866E-41.6684606E-41.7684439E-41.05992541.0E-50.00316447110.00175379180.00177375681.01138392.0E-5
7.65.6987187E-63.0538524E-63.0538524E-61.00.02.4422852E-51.3087875E-51.3087875E-51.00.02.9730765E-41.5933347E-41.6933188E-41.06275141.0E-50.0029691020.0016769880.00169695441.01190612.0E-5
7.75.1658035E-62.7393717E-62.7393717E-61.00.02.2138971E-51.1740112E-51.1740112E-51.00.02.6950863E-41.429267E-41.5292528E-41.0699561.0E-50.002691820.00151056440.00153053421.01322012.0E-5
7.83.6864697E-62.1287888E-62.1287888E-61.00.01.579906E-59.12335E-69.12335E-61.00.01.9233658E-41.11071226E-41.21070116E-41.09002231.0E-50.00192170180.00118593760.00120591381.01684432.0E-5
7.93.0265903E-61.6875579E-61.6875579E-61.00.01.2971037E-57.2323714E-67.2323714E-61.00.01.5791094E-48.8050656E-59.804978E-51.1135611.0E-50.00157798779.5061347E-49.7059447E-41.02101912.0E-5
8.02.5271493E-61.399921E-61.399921E-61.00.01.0830595E-55.999648E-65.999648E-61.00.01.3185451E-47.304335E-58.304262E-51.13689511.0E-50.00131776317.9468614E-48.1467023E-41.02514722.0E-5
8.12.3749135E-61.3199964E-61.3199964E-61.00.01.0178161E-55.6571157E-65.6571157E-61.00.01.2391206E-46.887329E-57.88726E-51.14518421.0E-50.00123842997.500004E-47.6998543E-41.02664662.0E-5
8.21.7186406E-93.9648962E-103.9648962E-101.00.07.3656024E-91.6992412E-91.6992412E-91.00.08.9676206E-82.0688262E-82.0688262E-81.00.08.9676166E-72.2824246E-72.2824246E-71.00.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.063325E-53.063325E-51.00.01.2181328E-41.3127948E-41.5127685E-41.15232672.0E-50.00148206770.00159728360.00161725171.01250122.0E-50.0147222230.0158708990.0158905821.00124012.0E-5
6.12.8424427E-53.063325E-53.063325E-51.00.01.2181328E-41.3127948E-41.5127685E-41.15232672.0E-50.00148206770.00159728360.00161725171.01250122.0E-50.0147222230.0158708990.0158905821.00124012.0E-5
6.22.8424427E-53.063325E-53.063325E-51.00.01.2181328E-41.3127948E-41.5127685E-41.15232672.0E-50.00148206770.00159728360.00161725171.01250122.0E-50.0147222230.0158708990.0158905821.00124012.0E-5
6.31.48860645E-51.5814909E-51.5814909E-51.00.06.379586E-56.777657E-57.77759E-51.14753371.0E-57.7643775E-48.248946E-48.3488633E-41.01211271.0E-50.0077373050.0082210420.0082309611.00120641.0E-5
6.41.48860645E-51.5814909E-51.5814909E-51.00.06.379586E-56.777657E-57.77759E-51.14753371.0E-57.7643775E-48.248946E-48.3488633E-41.01211271.0E-50.0077373050.0082210420.0082309611.00120641.0E-5
6.51.2797581E-51.3542677E-51.3542677E-51.00.05.4845623E-55.803889E-56.803831E-51.17228831.0E-56.675408E-47.064192E-47.1641215E-41.01414591.0E-50.0066553920.00704419470.00705412451.00140961.0E-5
6.69.661896E-61.0131485E-51.0131485E-51.00.04.1407468E-54.342002E-55.3419582E-51.23029851.0E-55.040193E-45.2852614E-45.3852086E-41.01891051.0E-50.0050287770.00527424040.0052841881.0018861.0E-5
6.77.767871E-68.079454E-68.079454E-61.00.03.329045E-53.462585E-54.4625504E-51.28879151.0E-54.0523586E-44.215014E-44.314972E-41.02371471.0E-50.0040449770.0042083240.0042182821.00236621.0E-5
6.86.4235196E-66.6382026E-66.6382026E-61.00.02.752908E-52.84492E-53.8448914E-51.35149371.0E-53.35115E-43.4632633E-43.5632288E-41.02886451.0E-50.0033461010.00345908220.00346904761.00288091.0E-5
6.93.1283696E-63.0773763E-63.0773763E-61.00.01.3407229E-51.3188697E-52.3188566E-51.7582151.0E-51.6322079E-41.6056203E-41.7056044E-41.06227121.0E-50.00163100950.00160460560.00161458961.0062221.0E-5
7.02.290603E-62.2022991E-62.2022991E-61.00.09.816834E-69.438397E-61.9438303E-52.05949191.0E-51.19513395E-41.1490744E-41.2490629E-41.08701661.0E-50.00119449140.00114858030.00115856891.00869641.0E-5
7.11.293693E-61.1612598E-61.1612598E-61.00.05.5443866E-64.9768223E-61.4976772E-53.00930431.0E-56.750081E-56.059181E-57.05912E-51.16502881.0E-56.7480316E-46.0582E-46.158139E-41.01649651.0E-5
7.24.715842E-73.0131238E-73.0131238E-71.00.02.0210737E-61.2913381E-61.2913381E-61.00.02.4606294E-51.5721935E-51.5721935E-51.00.02.460357E-41.5720875E-41.5720875E-41.00.0
7.33.9430947E-72.2373548E-72.2373548E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.588659E-79.588659E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.1674131E-51.1674131E-51.00.02.0572392E-41.1673525E-41.1673525E-41.00.0
7.43.547123E-71.900747E-71.900747E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.1460564E-78.1460564E-71.00.01.8508214E-59.917779E-69.917779E-61.00.01.8506673E-49.917343E-59.917343E-51.00.0
7.52.6354266E-71.3956311E-71.3956311E-71.00.01.129468E-65.981275E-75.981275E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.2821786E-67.2821786E-61.00.01.3750336E-47.281945E-57.281945E-51.00.0
7.61.269913E-77.3741624E-87.3741624E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.1603548E-73.1603548E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.8477256E-63.8477256E-61.00.06.626006E-53.8476624E-53.8476624E-51.00.0

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8397822E-51.913092E-51.913092E-51.00.01.21699275E-48.198726E-51.0198562E-41.24392032.0E-50.00148068169.9777E-40.001017751.02002472.0E-50.0147085450.0099361560.00995595751.00199282.0E-5
6.11.7796336E-51.913092E-51.913092E-51.00.07.626778E-58.198726E-51.0198562E-41.24392032.0E-59.281647E-49.9777E-40.001017751.02002472.0E-50.0092429750.0099361560.00995595751.00199282.0E-5
6.21.7796336E-51.913092E-51.913092E-51.00.07.626778E-58.198726E-51.0198562E-41.24392032.0E-59.281647E-49.9777E-40.001017751.02002472.0E-50.0092429750.0099361560.00995595751.00199282.0E-5
6.31.3515912E-51.4493955E-51.4493955E-51.00.05.792405E-56.2115585E-58.211434E-51.32196032.0E-57.049971E-47.5601495E-47.759998E-41.02643452.0E-50.0070276470.00753643970.0075562891.00263382.0E-5
6.41.0870146E-51.1624836E-51.1624836E-51.00.04.658551E-54.9819857E-56.981886E-51.40142632.0E-55.67031E-46.06403E-46.2639086E-41.03296142.0E-50.0056558630.00604897740.0060688561.00328642.0E-5
6.57.964826E-68.467228E-68.467228E-61.00.03.4134522E-53.6287667E-55.628694E-51.55113152.0E-54.1550855E-44.4172167E-44.6171283E-41.04525732.0E-50.00414732470.0044093150.0044292271.00451592.0E-5
6.66.6317E-67.0126407E-67.0126407E-61.00.02.8421264E-53.0053872E-55.005327E-51.66545162.0E-53.4597394E-43.6585206E-43.8584473E-41.05464682.0E-50.00345435790.00365324570.00367317261.00545452.0E-5
6.74.793663E-65.01131E-65.01131E-61.00.02.0544108E-52.1476886E-54.1476454E-51.93121372.0E-52.500958E-42.614533E-42.8144807E-41.07647552.0E-50.00249814520.0026118120.00263175971.00763752.0E-5
6.84.382823E-64.591421E-64.591421E-61.00.01.8783392E-51.967739E-53.9676997E-52.0163752.0E-52.286638E-42.3954941E-42.595446E-41.08347012.0E-50.00228428650.00239325760.00241320981.00833682.0E-5
6.92.729601E-62.8869626E-62.8869626E-61.00.01.1698237E-51.2372644E-52.237252E-51.80822471.0E-51.4241673E-41.506276E-41.606261E-41.0663791.0E-50.0014232550.0015053610.0015153461.00663291.0E-5
7.01.8987357E-62.016014E-62.016014E-61.00.08.137413E-68.640034E-68.640034E-61.00.09.90685E-51.0518797E-41.0518797E-41.00.09.902435E-40.00105144410.00105144411.00.0
7.11.4928986E-61.5862103E-61.5862103E-61.00.06.398121E-66.7980295E-66.7980295E-61.00.07.789434E-58.276341E-58.276341E-51.00.07.786704E-48.273789E-48.273789E-41.00.0
7.21.069082E-61.1333002E-61.1333002E-61.00.04.581772E-64.8569946E-64.8569946E-61.00.05.5781646E-55.9132795E-55.9132795E-51.00.05.576765E-45.912187E-45.912187E-41.00.0
7.38.776551E-79.382915E-79.382915E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.021246E-64.021246E-61.00.04.579376E-54.895805E-54.895805E-51.00.04.5784327E-44.895196E-44.895196E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.158793E-78.158793E-71.00.03.2388E-63.4966233E-63.4966233E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.2571035E-54.2571035E-51.00.03.942468E-44.2567565E-44.2567565E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.055366E-76.055366E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.595157E-62.595157E-61.00.02.915522E-53.159604E-53.159604E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.1596038E-43.1596038E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.8290722E-52.8290538E-51.54671531.0E-57.160038E-57.8386496E-58.838571E-51.1275631.0E-58.71386E-49.53945E-49.6393545E-41.01047281.0E-50.008679770.0094993170.0095191271.00208542.0E-5
6.11.6707214E-51.8290722E-52.8290538E-51.54671531.0E-57.160038E-57.8386496E-58.838571E-51.1275631.0E-58.71386E-49.53945E-49.6393545E-41.01047281.0E-50.008679770.0094993170.0095191271.00208542.0E-5
6.21.6707214E-51.8290722E-52.8290538E-51.54671531.0E-57.160038E-57.8386496E-58.838571E-51.1275631.0E-58.71386E-49.53945E-49.6393545E-41.01047281.0E-50.008679770.0094993170.0095191271.00208542.0E-5
6.31.6707214E-51.8290722E-52.8290538E-51.54671531.0E-57.160038E-57.8386496E-58.838571E-51.1275631.0E-58.71386E-49.53945E-49.6393545E-41.01047281.0E-50.008679770.0094993170.0095191271.00208542.0E-5
6.41.5515609E-51.698577E-52.6985601E-51.5887181.0E-56.649377E-57.279416E-58.2793435E-51.13736371.0E-58.0926094E-48.859144E-48.9590554E-41.01127781.0E-50.0080632020.0088244820.0088443051.00224642.0E-5
6.51.5515609E-51.698577E-52.6985601E-51.5887181.0E-56.649377E-57.279416E-58.2793435E-51.13736371.0E-58.0926094E-48.859144E-48.9590554E-41.01127781.0E-50.0080632020.0088244820.0088443051.00224642.0E-5
6.61.5041828E-51.6467362E-52.6467198E-51.60725181.0E-56.4463384E-57.057253E-58.057183E-51.14168821.0E-57.8455906E-48.588875E-48.6887897E-41.01163291.0E-50.007817950.0085563070.0085761361.00231742.0E-5
6.71.4634985E-51.6023141E-52.602298E-51.62408731.0E-56.271985E-56.866883E-57.866814E-51.14561651.0E-57.6334673E-48.3572784E-48.457195E-41.01195561.0E-50.0076072990.0083264580.0083462911.0023822.0E-5
6.81.4209158E-51.5558433E-52.5558276E-51.64272831.0E-56.089497E-56.667732E-57.667665E-51.1499661.0E-57.4114406E-48.114994E-48.214913E-41.01231291.0E-50.0073867710.0080859490.0081057871.00245342.0E-5
6.91.3780098E-51.5090283E-52.5090132E-51.66266811.0E-55.9056227E-56.467107E-57.4670425E-51.15461861.0E-57.1877235E-47.870911E-47.970832E-41.0126951.0E-50.00716451930.0078436020.0078634461.00252992.0E-5
7.01.3585064E-51.4877953E-52.4877803E-51.67212551.0E-55.8220405E-56.376112E-57.3760486E-51.15682541.0E-57.086029E-47.760204E-47.860127E-41.01287631.0E-50.0070634760.00773367150.0077535171.00256612.0E-5
7.11.3398601E-51.4675041E-52.4674893E-51.68141911.0E-55.742131E-56.2891544E-57.2890914E-51.15899381.0E-56.9888023E-47.6544075E-47.754331E-41.01305441.0E-50.00696686380.0076286060.00764845361.00260172.0E-5
7.21.3126312E-51.43789175E-52.4378774E-51.69545271.0E-55.6254412E-56.162251E-57.162189E-51.16226841.0E-56.846822E-47.5000094E-47.5999345E-41.01332331.0E-50.0068257650.00747525650.00749510671.00265552.0E-5
7.31.2922429E-51.4157345E-52.4157203E-51.70633721.0E-55.5380664E-56.067295E-57.0672344E-51.1648081.0E-56.74051E-47.38448E-47.484406E-41.01353191.0E-50.0067201010.0073604980.00738035051.00269722.0E-5
7.41.2768878E-51.3990502E-52.3990362E-51.71476071.0E-55.4722615E-55.9957947E-56.995735E-51.16677361.0E-56.660441E-47.2974875E-47.3974143E-41.01369331.0E-50.00664051440.00727407770.0072939321.00272952.0E-5
7.51.2521929E-51.3723525E-52.3723387E-51.72866571.0E-55.366431E-55.881381E-56.881322E-51.17001811.0E-56.531671E-47.158281E-47.2582095E-41.01395991.0E-50.0065125060.0071357740.0071457031.00139141.0E-5
7.61.1301089E-51.2387336E-52.2387212E-51.80726611.0E-54.8432343E-55.308753E-56.3087E-51.18835821.0E-55.895042E-46.461541E-46.561476E-41.01546621.0E-50.00587942820.00644328170.0064532171.0015421.0E-5
7.79.189108E-61.0071512E-52.0071411E-51.99288951.0E-53.93813E-54.3162938E-55.3162505E-51.23167031.0E-54.7936183E-45.253869E-45.353816E-41.01902351.0E-50.0047832910.00524193650.00525188451.00189771.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6132118E-71.0361317E-528.6761971.0E-51.4822873E-61.5485185E-61.1548503E-57.4577751.0E-51.80467E-51.8853054E-52.8852866E-51.5304081.0E-51.8045233E-41.8851498E-41.985131E-41.05303621.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6495033E-92.6495033E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1355014E-81.1355014E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3824729E-71.3824729E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3824729E-61.3824729E-61.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6420376E-51.6420376E-51.00.06.364676E-57.037127E-57.037127E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.5645635E-48.5645635E-41.00.00.00771929140.0085338610.008553691.00232362.0E-5
6.11.4851273E-51.6420376E-51.6420376E-51.00.06.364676E-57.037127E-57.037127E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.5645635E-48.5645635E-41.00.00.00771929140.0085338610.008553691.00232362.0E-5
6.21.4851273E-51.6420376E-51.6420376E-51.00.06.364676E-57.037127E-57.037127E-51.00.07.7462377E-48.5645635E-48.5645635E-41.00.00.00771929140.0085338610.008553691.00232362.0E-5
6.31.0426831E-51.16863475E-51.16863475E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.0083418E-55.0083418E-51.00.05.43912E-46.0960074E-46.0960074E-41.00.00.00542582660.00607987540.00607987541.00.0
6.41.0426831E-51.16863475E-51.16863475E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.0083418E-55.0083418E-51.00.05.43912E-46.0960074E-46.0960074E-41.00.00.00542582660.00607987540.00607987541.00.0
6.59.25027E-61.0434967E-51.0434967E-51.00.03.964341E-54.472055E-54.472055E-51.00.04.8255164E-45.4434146E-45.4434146E-41.00.00.00481505130.0054305650.0054305651.00.0
6.67.904275E-68.996141E-68.996141E-61.00.03.3875025E-53.8554343E-53.8554343E-51.00.04.1235037E-44.6930186E-44.6930186E-41.00.00.00411586040.00468349270.00468349271.00.0
6.77.2061953E-68.254033E-68.254033E-61.00.03.088333E-53.5373967E-53.5373967E-51.00.03.7593965E-44.305965E-44.305965E-41.00.00.0037530430.00429797960.00429797961.00.0
6.86.6948724E-67.696965E-67.696965E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.2986598E-53.2986598E-51.00.03.4926904E-44.015413E-44.015413E-41.00.00.0034872060.0040085040.0040085041.00.0
6.96.0421025E-66.9949447E-66.9949447E-61.00.02.5894467E-52.9978008E-52.9978008E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.649244E-43.649244E-41.00.00.00314772780.00364357980.00364357981.00.0
7.04.134091E-64.9686205E-64.9686205E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1293921E-52.1293921E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.5922412E-42.5922412E-41.00.00.00215478920.00258936450.00258936451.00.0
7.13.7674888E-64.5279203E-64.5279203E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9405237E-51.9405237E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.362346E-42.362346E-41.00.00.00196389460.00235997960.00235997961.00.0
7.23.4065345E-64.062671E-64.062671E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7411337E-51.7411337E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1196387E-42.1196387E-41.00.00.00177590530.00211775930.00211775931.00.0
7.32.9934936E-63.5493424E-63.5493424E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5211387E-51.5211387E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8518431E-41.8518431E-41.00.00.00156074530.00185043970.00185043971.00.0
7.42.4049796E-62.8297707E-62.8297707E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.212754E-51.212754E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.4764417E-41.4764417E-41.00.00.00125409850.00147559680.00147559681.00.0
7.51.2710091E-61.4832208E-61.4832208E-61.00.05.44717E-66.3566517E-66.3566517E-61.00.06.631728E-57.739069E-57.739069E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.737553E-47.737553E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.558734E-72.558734E-71.00.09.478797E-71.0965999E-61.0965999E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.335105E-51.335105E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.335052E-41.335052E-41.00.0

East Huasna 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4658423E-61.4733212E-61.4733212E-61.00.06.282166E-66.3142184E-66.3142184E-61.00.07.6482684E-57.6872966E-58.68722E-51.13007471.0E-57.645637E-47.6847075E-47.884554E-41.02600572.0E-5
6.11.4658423E-61.4733212E-61.4733212E-61.00.06.282166E-66.3142184E-66.3142184E-61.00.07.6482684E-57.6872966E-58.68722E-51.13007471.0E-57.645637E-47.6847075E-47.884554E-41.02600572.0E-5
6.21.4658423E-61.4733212E-61.4733212E-61.00.06.282166E-66.3142184E-66.3142184E-61.00.07.6482684E-57.6872966E-58.68722E-51.13007471.0E-57.645637E-47.6847075E-47.884554E-41.02600572.0E-5
6.31.4658423E-61.4733212E-61.4733212E-61.00.06.282166E-66.3142184E-66.3142184E-61.00.07.6482684E-57.6872966E-58.68722E-51.13007471.0E-57.645637E-47.6847075E-47.884554E-41.02600572.0E-5
6.41.0488257E-61.0548246E-61.0548246E-61.00.04.4949593E-64.520669E-64.520669E-61.00.05.472476E-55.5037774E-55.5037774E-51.00.05.4711284E-45.502433E-45.6023785E-41.01816381.0E-5
6.51.0488257E-61.0548246E-61.0548246E-61.00.04.4949593E-64.520669E-64.520669E-61.00.05.472476E-55.5037774E-55.5037774E-51.00.05.4711284E-45.502433E-45.6023785E-41.01816381.0E-5
6.68.463064E-78.515904E-78.515904E-71.00.03.6270226E-63.649668E-63.649668E-61.00.04.4158103E-54.443381E-54.443381E-51.00.04.414933E-44.4425015E-44.5424572E-41.02249981.0E-5
6.77.876149E-77.925551E-77.925551E-71.00.03.375488E-63.3966603E-63.3966603E-61.00.04.109579E-54.135356E-54.135356E-51.00.04.108819E-44.134593E-44.2345515E-41.02417611.0E-5
6.86.9940785E-77.040289E-77.040289E-71.00.02.9974588E-63.0172632E-63.0172632E-61.00.03.649345E-53.6734564E-53.6734564E-51.00.03.6487455E-43.672854E-43.7728174E-41.02721681.0E-5
6.95.899658E-75.9404823E-75.9404823E-71.00.02.5284223E-62.5459185E-62.5459185E-61.00.03.0783107E-53.099612E-53.099612E-51.00.03.0778843E-43.0991825E-43.0991825E-41.00.0
7.04.793814E-74.829323E-74.829323E-71.00.02.05449E-62.0697082E-62.0697082E-61.00.02.501313E-52.5198407E-52.5198407E-51.00.02.5010316E-42.519557E-42.519557E-41.00.0
7.14.1256908E-74.1569425E-74.1569425E-71.00.01.768152E-61.7815455E-61.7815455E-61.00.02.1527037E-52.1690103E-52.1690103E-51.00.02.1524953E-42.1688E-42.1688E-41.00.0
7.22.822599E-72.8451112E-72.8451112E-71.00.01.2096847E-61.2193328E-61.2193328E-61.00.01.47278115E-51.4845276E-51.4845276E-51.00.01.4726835E-41.4844292E-41.4844292E-41.00.0
7.31.5261652E-71.538749E-71.538749E-71.00.06.540707E-76.5946364E-76.5946364E-71.00.07.963281E-68.02894E-68.02894E-61.00.07.962996E-58.0286525E-58.0286525E-51.00.0
7.47.976414E-88.042775E-88.042775E-81.00.03.418463E-73.446903E-73.446903E-71.00.04.1619705E-64.1965964E-64.1965964E-61.00.04.161893E-54.196518E-54.196518E-51.00.0
7.54.2715055E-84.3112067E-84.3112067E-81.00.01.830645E-71.8476598E-71.8476598E-71.00.02.228808E-62.2495235E-62.2495235E-61.00.02.2287857E-52.249501E-52.249501E-51.00.0
7.62.1807532E-82.2011273E-82.2011273E-81.00.09.346085E-89.433402E-89.433402E-81.00.01.1378852E-61.148516E-61.148516E-61.00.01.1378794E-51.1485103E-51.1485103E-51.00.0
7.74.7196043E-94.758547E-94.758547E-91.00.02.0226874E-82.0393772E-82.0393772E-81.00.02.4626218E-72.4829416E-72.4829416E-71.00.02.462619E-62.4829387E-62.4829387E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.45356E-117.45356E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1943848E-103.1943848E-101.00.03.861218E-93.8891637E-93.8891637E-91.00.03.861218E-83.8891635E-83.8891635E-81.00.0

San Luis Range - Oceano 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6025788E-61.6169968E-61.161698E-57.1842941.0E-56.8681766E-66.92997E-61.69299E-52.44299771.0E-58.361684E-58.436953E-59.436869E-51.11851621.0E-58.3585386E-48.434157E-48.5340725E-41.01184651.0E-5
6.11.6025788E-61.6169968E-61.161698E-57.1842941.0E-56.8681766E-66.92997E-61.69299E-52.44299771.0E-58.361684E-58.436953E-59.436869E-51.11851621.0E-58.3585386E-48.434157E-48.5340725E-41.01184651.0E-5
6.21.6025788E-61.6169968E-61.161698E-57.1842941.0E-56.8681766E-66.92997E-61.69299E-52.44299771.0E-58.361684E-58.436953E-59.436869E-51.11851621.0E-58.3585386E-48.434157E-48.5340725E-41.01184651.0E-5
6.31.6025788E-61.6169968E-61.161698E-57.1842941.0E-56.8681766E-66.92997E-61.69299E-52.44299771.0E-58.361684E-58.436953E-59.436869E-51.11851621.0E-58.3585386E-48.434157E-48.5340725E-41.01184651.0E-5
6.41.1621186E-61.1726971E-61.1172686E-59.5273411.0E-54.980499E-65.025837E-61.50257865E-52.98970841.0E-56.0635884E-56.118812E-57.11875E-51.16342041.0E-56.0619344E-46.117392E-46.217331E-41.01633681.0E-5
6.51.1621186E-61.1726971E-61.1172686E-59.5273411.0E-54.980499E-65.025837E-61.50257865E-52.98970841.0E-56.0635884E-56.118812E-57.11875E-51.16342041.0E-56.0619344E-46.117392E-46.217331E-41.01633681.0E-5
6.67.164729E-77.233625E-71.0723355E-514.8243171.0E-53.0705946E-63.1001216E-61.3100091E-54.225671.0E-53.738385E-53.7743346E-54.7742968E-51.26493741.0E-53.737756E-43.773711E-43.8736733E-41.02648911.0E-5
6.77.164729E-77.233625E-71.0723355E-514.8243171.0E-53.0705946E-63.1001216E-61.3100091E-54.225671.0E-53.738385E-53.7743346E-54.7742968E-51.26493741.0E-53.737756E-43.773711E-43.8736733E-41.02648911.0E-5
6.86.700177E-76.7636614E-71.0676359E-515.7848821.0E-52.8715012E-62.8987088E-61.2898679E-54.4498021.0E-53.495997E-53.5291225E-54.529087E-51.28334651.0E-53.495447E-43.5285784E-43.628543E-41.028331.0E-5
6.95.657865E-75.7103836E-71.0571032E-518.5119481.0E-52.424797E-62.447305E-61.2447281E-55.08611731.0E-52.9521503E-52.9795543E-53.9795243E-51.33561061.0E-52.9517582E-42.9791653E-43.0791355E-41.03355651.0E-5
7.04.608413E-74.6509314E-71.0465088E-522.5010591.0E-51.9750328E-61.993255E-61.1993235E-56.016911.0E-52.4045758E-52.426761E-53.4267367E-51.41206191.0E-52.4043156E-42.426499E-42.5264747E-41.04120161.0E-5
7.13.9177846E-73.9542365E-71.039542E-526.2893221.0E-51.6790494E-61.6946717E-61.1694655E-56.9008381.0E-52.0442236E-52.0632435E-53.063223E-51.48466371.0E-52.0440355E-42.0630534E-42.1630328E-41.04846181.0E-5
7.23.3974752E-73.4296542E-71.0342962E-530.1574481.0E-51.45606E-61.469851E-61.1469836E-57.80340051.0E-51.7727387E-51.789529E-52.7895112E-51.55879631.0E-51.7725973E-41.789386E-41.8893681E-41.05587511.0E-5
7.32.8900928E-72.917449E-72.917449E-71.00.01.2386106E-61.2503347E-61.2503347E-61.00.01.5079979E-51.5222719E-51.5222719E-51.00.01.5078956E-41.5221685E-41.5221685E-41.00.0
7.42.1881527E-72.209344E-72.209344E-71.00.09.3777936E-79.4686135E-79.4686135E-71.00.01.14174045E-51.1527976E-51.1527976E-51.00.01.1416818E-41.1527384E-41.1527384E-41.00.0
7.51.356398E-71.3690956E-71.3690956E-71.00.05.813133E-75.8675516E-75.8675516E-71.00.07.0774663E-67.143721E-67.143721E-61.00.07.077241E-57.1434944E-57.1434944E-51.00.0
7.65.9269272E-85.9880136E-85.9880136E-81.00.02.5401116E-72.566291E-72.566291E-71.00.03.0925814E-63.1244551E-63.1244551E-61.00.03.0925385E-53.1244123E-53.1244123E-51.00.0
7.75.946232E-96.020588E-96.020588E-91.00.02.5483851E-82.5802521E-82.5802521E-81.00.03.1026585E-73.1414564E-73.1414564E-71.00.03.102654E-63.141453E-63.141453E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.4392266E-52.2733419E-52.2733419E-51.00.01.473871E-49.742574E-59.742574E-51.00.00.00179296090.00118559130.00119557951.00842461.0E-50.0177856370.0118004850.0118103661.00083741.0E-5
6.13.4392266E-52.2733419E-52.2733419E-51.00.01.473871E-49.742574E-59.742574E-51.00.00.00179296090.00118559130.00119557951.00842461.0E-50.0177856370.0118004850.0118103661.00083741.0E-5
6.22.3413893E-52.2733419E-52.2733419E-51.00.01.0034139E-49.742574E-59.742574E-51.00.00.00122097180.00118559130.00119557951.00842461.0E-50.0121428510.0118004850.0118103661.00083741.0E-5
6.32.3413893E-52.2733419E-52.2733419E-51.00.01.0034139E-49.742574E-59.742574E-51.00.00.00122097180.00118559130.00119557951.00842461.0E-50.0121428510.0118004850.0118103661.00083741.0E-5
6.41.6894814E-51.5398684E-51.5398684E-51.00.07.240433E-56.599287E-56.599287E-51.00.08.811662E-48.032002E-48.1319216E-41.01244021.0E-50.00877680350.00800626350.0080161831.00123911.0E-5
6.51.6894814E-51.5398684E-51.5398684E-51.00.07.240433E-56.599287E-56.599287E-51.00.08.811662E-48.032002E-48.1319216E-41.01244021.0E-50.00877680350.00800626350.0080161831.00123911.0E-5
6.61.1910969E-59.803295E-69.803295E-61.00.05.1046012E-54.201351E-54.201351E-51.00.06.21308E-45.1140616E-45.1140616E-41.00.00.00619573750.0051034530.0051034531.00.0
6.79.1486E-66.708833E-66.708833E-61.00.03.9207694E-52.8751843E-52.8751843E-51.00.04.7724912E-43.5000077E-43.5000077E-41.00.00.00476225470.00349482470.00349482471.00.0
6.87.90441E-65.32678E-65.32678E-61.00.03.3875604E-52.2828863E-52.2828863E-51.00.04.1235742E-42.7790703E-42.7790703E-41.00.00.00411593080.00277570470.00277570471.00.0
6.97.77015E-65.183392E-65.183392E-61.00.03.3300217E-52.2214355E-52.2214355E-51.00.04.0535472E-42.704273E-42.704273E-41.00.00.0040461610.00270109020.00270109021.00.0
7.07.675798E-65.082453E-65.082453E-61.00.03.289586E-52.1781763E-52.1781763E-51.00.04.004335E-42.651618E-42.651618E-41.00.00.0039971270.00264856150.00264856151.00.0
7.17.447814E-64.8470597E-64.8470597E-61.00.03.191881E-52.0772954E-52.0772954E-51.00.03.8854225E-42.5288243E-42.5288243E-41.00.00.0038786360.00252605230.00252605231.00.0
7.27.128185E-64.521886E-64.521886E-61.00.03.0549007E-51.9379371E-51.9379371E-51.00.03.7187067E-42.359193E-42.359193E-41.00.00.003712490.00235678860.00235678861.00.0
7.37.0913875E-64.49177E-64.49177E-61.00.03.0391306E-51.9250307E-51.9250307E-51.00.03.6995133E-42.3434829E-42.3434829E-41.00.00.00369336040.00234111140.00234111141.00.0
7.47.051521E-64.456832E-64.456832E-61.00.03.0220453E-51.9100575E-51.9100575E-51.00.03.6787192E-42.3252568E-42.3252568E-41.00.00.00367263520.00232292360.00232292361.00.0
7.56.910666E-64.3580385E-64.3580385E-61.00.02.9616802E-51.8677181E-51.8677181E-51.00.03.605249E-42.2737194E-42.2737194E-41.00.00.00359940580.00227149270.00227149271.00.0
7.66.341753E-63.9547567E-63.9547567E-61.00.02.7178658E-51.6948852E-51.6948852E-51.00.03.3084993E-42.0633373E-42.0633373E-41.00.00.00330357770.00206151880.00206151881.00.0
7.73.9205916E-62.041523E-62.041523E-61.00.01.6802427E-58.749358E-68.749358E-61.00.02.0455034E-41.06518855E-41.06518855E-41.00.00.00204362160.00106473920.00106473921.00.0
7.82.0846227E-77.7120404E-87.7120404E-81.00.08.9340944E-73.30516E-73.30516E-71.00.01.0877206E-54.0240275E-64.0240275E-61.00.01.0876673E-44.0239815E-54.0239815E-51.00.0
7.94.4969806E-92.1438629E-92.1438629E-91.00.01.9272775E-89.187984E-99.187984E-91.00.02.3464601E-71.118637E-71.118637E-71.00.02.3464577E-61.1186365E-61.1186365E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.346503E-51.346503E-51.00.04.9496433E-55.7706075E-55.7706075E-51.00.06.0245243E-47.0235896E-47.1235193E-41.01422771.0E-50.0060082180.00704306220.0070529921.00140991.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.1012249E-51.1012249E-51.00.03.9439463E-54.7194546E-54.7194546E-51.00.04.800697E-45.744502E-45.8444444E-41.0173981.0E-50.0047903390.0057707850.0057807271.00172281.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.0819916E-51.0819916E-51.00.03.8652986E-54.637029E-54.637029E-51.00.04.7049852E-45.644201E-45.7441444E-41.01770731.0E-50.0046950360.0056709980.0056809411.00175331.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.0448689E-51.0448689E-51.00.03.717186E-54.4779372E-54.4779372E-51.00.04.524734E-45.450604E-45.550549E-41.01833651.0E-50.00451553240.00547835740.00548830261.00181531.0E-5
6.97.002255E-68.676511E-68.676511E-61.00.03.000932E-53.7184553E-53.7184553E-51.00.03.653022E-44.5263383E-44.626293E-41.02208291.0E-50.00364702290.00455808130.00456803571.00218391.0E-5
7.05.84644E-67.0460087E-67.0460087E-61.00.02.5055931E-53.0196854E-53.0196854E-51.00.03.0501327E-43.6758883E-43.7758515E-41.02719431.0E-50.00304594960.00371062340.00372058641.0026851.0E-5
7.15.54703E-66.7114856E-66.7114856E-61.00.02.377277E-52.8763216E-52.8763216E-51.00.02.8939504E-43.5013992E-43.6013644E-41.028551.0E-50.00289018450.00353669420.0035466591.00281751.0E-5
7.24.384709E-65.2038586E-65.2038586E-61.00.01.8791474E-52.230208E-52.230208E-51.00.02.2876218E-42.7149738E-42.8149466E-41.03682281.0E-50.00228526820.0027524120.00276238471.00362311.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-64.4942294E-64.4942294E-61.00.01.623781E-51.9260859E-51.9260859E-51.00.01.9767738E-42.3447884E-42.4447648E-41.04263781.0E-50.00197501620.00238304030.00239301641.00418631.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-62.6844023E-62.6844023E-61.00.09.421021E-61.1504531E-51.1504531E-51.00.01.1469489E-41.4005875E-41.5005736E-41.07138861.0E-50.00114635720.0014401850.00145017061.00693361.0E-5
7.52.051923E-62.3549164E-62.3549164E-61.00.08.793926E-61.009246E-51.009246E-51.00.01.0706078E-41.2286883E-41.328676E-41.08137761.0E-50.00107009220.00126857150.00127855871.00787291.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-61.9607332E-61.9607332E-61.00.08.028587E-68.403115E-68.403115E-61.00.09.774366E-51.0230315E-41.1230213E-41.09773871.0E-59.770069E-40.00106323790.00107322731.00939521.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-61.8986012E-61.8986012E-61.00.07.890813E-68.136837E-68.136837E-61.00.09.606641E-59.906151E-51.09060515E-41.10093741.0E-59.6024893E-40.0010308120.00104080181.00969111.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-61.7281411E-61.7281411E-61.00.07.368944E-67.406298E-67.406298E-61.00.08.97132E-59.016797E-51.0016707E-41.11089411.0E-58.967699E-49.40165E-49.5015566E-41.01062641.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-61.3543902E-61.3543902E-61.00.06.0150082E-65.8045166E-65.8045166E-61.00.07.3230265E-57.066771E-58.066701E-51.14149741.0E-57.3206134E-47.397189E-47.4971153E-41.01350871.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-72.224763E-72.224763E-71.00.01.6850913E-69.534695E-79.534695E-71.00.02.0515794E-51.1608431E-51.1608431E-51.00.02.0513899E-41.2260007E-41.2260007E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-72.0893092E-82.0893092E-81.00.06.8433974E-78.954182E-88.954182E-81.00.08.331805E-61.0901712E-61.0901712E-61.00.08.331492E-51.30717535E-51.30717535E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-83.6113734E-93.6113734E-91.00.02.10013E-71.5477315E-81.5477315E-81.00.02.5569052E-61.884363E-71.884363E-71.00.02.556876E-52.3521034E-62.3521034E-61.00.0

Reliz 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6002472E-51.616533E-52.6165168E-51.61859791.0E-56.8580215E-56.9278256E-57.927756E-51.14433541.0E-58.3464425E-48.431559E-48.531474E-41.01185021.0E-50.0083151640.0084016490.0084115661.00118031.0E-5
6.11.6002472E-51.616533E-52.6165168E-51.61859791.0E-56.8580215E-56.9278256E-57.927756E-51.14433541.0E-58.3464425E-48.431559E-48.531474E-41.01185021.0E-50.0083151640.0084016490.0084115661.00118031.0E-5
6.21.6002472E-51.616533E-52.6165168E-51.61859791.0E-56.8580215E-56.9278256E-57.927756E-51.14433541.0E-58.3464425E-48.431559E-48.531474E-41.01185021.0E-50.0083151640.0084016490.0084115661.00118031.0E-5
6.37.792404E-67.735077E-61.7735E-52.29280191.0E-53.339559E-53.3149914E-54.3149583E-51.30164991.0E-54.0651546E-44.035262E-44.1352218E-41.02477161.0E-50.00405772640.0040281230.00403808241.00247251.0E-5
6.47.792404E-67.735077E-61.7735E-52.29280191.0E-53.339559E-53.3149914E-54.3149583E-51.30164991.0E-54.0651546E-44.035262E-44.1352218E-41.02477161.0E-50.00405772640.0040281230.00403808241.00247251.0E-5
6.55.9659374E-65.868798E-65.868798E-61.00.02.5568053E-52.5151749E-52.5151749E-51.00.03.1124658E-43.0617972E-43.0617972E-41.00.00.003108110.00305770850.00305770851.00.0
6.65.2350692E-65.1224897E-65.1224897E-61.00.02.2435817E-52.1953343E-52.1953343E-51.00.02.7312184E-42.672493E-42.672493E-41.00.00.0027278640.0026694010.0026694011.00.0
6.74.580206E-64.4529197E-64.4529197E-61.00.01.9629308E-51.9083804E-51.9083804E-51.00.02.389606E-42.323206E-42.323206E-41.00.00.0023870380.0023208910.0023208911.00.0
6.84.0765017E-63.937647E-63.937647E-61.00.01.7470604E-51.687552E-51.687552E-51.00.02.1268385E-42.0544011E-42.0544011E-41.00.00.0021248040.0020526120.0020526121.00.0
6.93.5752896E-63.4246139E-63.4246139E-61.00.01.532258E-51.4676834E-51.4676834E-51.00.01.8653645E-41.7867582E-41.7867582E-41.00.00.00186379940.00178542990.00178542991.00.0
7.03.0259848E-62.8628674E-62.8628674E-61.00.01.2968442E-51.2269374E-51.2269374E-51.00.01.5787935E-41.493694E-41.493694E-41.00.00.00157767220.0014927970.0014927971.00.0
7.12.5861116E-62.4124965E-62.4124965E-61.00.01.1083288E-51.0339229E-51.0339229E-51.00.01.3493067E-41.2587286E-41.2587286E-41.00.00.00134848780.00125812220.00125812221.00.0
7.22.1482588E-61.9632193E-61.9632193E-61.00.09.20679E-68.41377E-68.41377E-61.00.01.12086906E-41.02432845E-41.02432845E-41.00.00.00112030390.00102396240.00102396241.00.0
7.31.7194744E-61.5237239E-61.5237239E-61.00.07.3691554E-66.530229E-66.530229E-61.00.08.971577E-57.950264E-57.950264E-51.00.08.967956E-47.948478E-47.948478E-41.00.0
7.41.2755178E-61.0710876E-61.0710876E-61.00.05.4664933E-64.590367E-64.590367E-61.00.06.655252E-55.5886285E-55.5886285E-51.00.06.6532596E-45.5882795E-45.5882795E-41.00.0
7.58.8463224E-76.7393194E-76.7393194E-71.00.03.7912755E-62.8882764E-62.8882764E-61.00.04.6157802E-53.51642E-53.51642E-51.00.04.6148215E-43.5169206E-43.5169206E-41.00.0
7.65.291355E-73.2144138E-73.2144138E-71.00.02.2677216E-61.3776051E-61.3776051E-61.00.02.760916E-51.6772214E-51.6772214E-51.00.02.760573E-41.6781448E-41.6781448E-41.00.0
7.72.9663357E-71.1237742E-71.1237742E-71.00.01.2712861E-64.8161746E-74.8161746E-71.00.01.5477797E-55.8636765E-65.8636765E-61.00.01.547672E-45.8733214E-55.8733214E-51.00.0
7.81.2509386E-71.5232667E-81.5232667E-81.00.05.3611643E-76.528286E-86.528286E-81.00.06.527198E-67.948185E-77.948185E-71.00.06.527006E-58.027451E-68.027451E-61.00.0
7.96.213493E-85.3336717E-95.3336717E-91.00.02.6629255E-72.2858591E-82.2858591E-81.00.03.242107E-62.783033E-72.783033E-71.00.03.2420594E-52.8512086E-62.8512086E-61.00.0
8.05.92383E-99.163601E-109.163601E-101.00.02.5387841E-83.927258E-93.927258E-91.00.03.0909692E-74.7814368E-84.7814368E-81.00.03.090965E-64.9347847E-74.9347847E-71.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4563478E-51.4928068E-51.4928068E-51.00.06.241341E-56.397587E-56.397587E-51.00.07.5961836E-47.786299E-47.786299E-41.00.00.007570270.0077592650.00776918741.00127881.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1237799E-51.1237799E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.816111E-54.816111E-51.00.05.720366E-45.8620446E-45.8620446E-41.00.00.00570566350.00584667640.0058566181.00170041.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1237799E-51.1237799E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.816111E-54.816111E-51.00.05.720366E-45.8620446E-45.8620446E-41.00.00.00570566350.00584667640.0058566181.00170041.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.144834E-69.144834E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.919156E-53.919156E-51.00.04.6564735E-44.7705308E-44.7705308E-41.00.00.00464672830.00476033430.00477028641.00209071.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.862838E-67.862838E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3697444E-53.3697444E-51.00.04.0049385E-44.1018933E-44.1018933E-41.00.00.00399772870.0040943480.0041043071.00243231.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.313926E-66.313926E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.7059403E-52.7059403E-51.00.03.2173982E-43.2939852E-43.2939852E-41.00.00.0032127440.00328911450.00329908151.00303031.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.684697E-65.684697E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.436276E-52.436276E-51.00.02.897302E-42.9657627E-42.9657627E-41.00.00.00289352770.00296181320.00297178371.00336641.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.8993693E-64.8993693E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.0997128E-52.0997128E-51.00.02.4979294E-42.556101E-42.556101E-41.00.00.00249512350.00255316640.00256314081.00390671.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.0861737E-64.0861737E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7512055E-51.7512055E-51.00.02.0845905E-42.1318844E-42.1318844E-41.00.00.0020826360.00212984280.00212984281.00.0
6.93.4250072E-63.5002035E-63.5002035E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5000786E-51.5000786E-51.00.01.7869633E-41.8261929E-41.8261929E-41.00.00.0017855270.00182469460.00182469461.00.0
7.02.7712713E-62.8297136E-62.8297136E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.2127288E-51.2127288E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4763974E-41.4763974E-41.00.00.00144496680.00147541810.00147541811.00.0
7.12.227358E-62.2726651E-62.2726651E-61.00.09.545785E-69.739957E-69.739957E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1857753E-41.1857753E-41.00.00.00116152980.00118514370.00118514371.00.0
7.21.581796E-61.6122702E-61.6122702E-61.00.06.779108E-66.9097114E-66.9097114E-61.00.08.253252E-58.412249E-58.412249E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4090704E-48.4090704E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.0493779E-61.0493779E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.4973262E-64.4973262E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.475357E-55.475357E-51.00.05.376376E-45.47401E-45.47401E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.6489974E-76.6489974E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8495672E-62.8495672E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.469293E-53.469293E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.4687525E-43.4687525E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.313929E-73.313929E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4202545E-61.4202545E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.729146E-51.729146E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.729012E-41.729012E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.760589E-89.760589E-81.00.04.180432E-74.1831086E-74.1831086E-71.00.05.089664E-65.092923E-65.092923E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.0928073E-55.0928073E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.814713E-95.814713E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.4920197E-82.4920197E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.0340337E-73.0340337E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0340298E-63.0340298E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.45356E-117.45356E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1943848E-103.1943848E-101.00.03.861218E-93.8891637E-93.8891637E-91.00.03.861218E-83.8891635E-83.8891635E-81.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.1001294E-64.1001294E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7571867E-51.7571867E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1391713E-42.2391498E-41.04673711.0E-50.00213968130.00213717550.00214715421.00466911.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.1001294E-64.1001294E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7571867E-51.7571867E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1391713E-42.2391498E-41.04673711.0E-50.00213968130.00213717550.00214715421.00466911.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.1001294E-64.1001294E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7571867E-51.7571867E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1391713E-42.2391498E-41.04673711.0E-50.00213968130.00213717550.00214715421.00466911.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.1001294E-64.1001294E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7571867E-51.7571867E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1391713E-42.2391498E-41.04673711.0E-50.00213968130.00213717550.00214715421.00466911.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.1001294E-64.1001294E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7571867E-51.7571867E-51.00.02.1417443E-42.1391713E-42.2391498E-41.04673711.0E-50.00213968130.00213717550.00214715421.00466911.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.9632201E-62.9632201E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2699454E-51.2699454E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.5460502E-41.6460348E-41.06467091.0E-50.00155631030.00154498980.00155497421.00646261.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.9632201E-62.9632201E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2699454E-51.2699454E-51.00.01.5574014E-41.5460502E-41.6460348E-41.06467091.0E-50.00155631030.00154498980.00155497421.00646261.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6492921E-62.6492921E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.135406E-51.135406E-51.00.01.396032E-41.3822703E-41.4822563E-41.07233481.0E-50.00139515530.00138142130.00139140751.0072291.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.2969482E-62.2969482E-61.00.09.9787E-69.844027E-69.844027E-61.00.01.214839E-41.1984451E-41.298433E-41.08343151.0E-50.0012141750.00119780620.00120779421.00833861.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0625314E-62.0625314E-61.00.08.988259E-68.839391E-68.839391E-61.00.01.0942656E-41.0761432E-41.1761324E-41.09291451.0E-50.00109372680.00107562790.00108561711.00928691.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6728266E-61.6728266E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.169237E-67.169237E-61.00.08.938967E-58.7282E-59.728113E-51.11456121.0E-58.935372E-48.7248103E-48.824723E-41.01145161.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.376675E-61.376675E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.900022E-65.900022E-61.00.07.417196E-57.183043E-58.182971E-51.13920681.0E-57.414721E-47.180748E-47.280676E-41.01391611.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.5716397E-78.5716397E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6735548E-63.6735548E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4724624E-54.4724624E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.471573E-44.471573E-41.00.0
7.36.144169E-75.6060014E-75.6060014E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4025699E-62.4025699E-61.00.03.205889E-52.92509E-52.92509E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.92471E-42.92471E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.557675E-73.557675E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.524717E-61.524717E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.8563274E-51.8563274E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.8561748E-41.8561748E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5750463E-71.5750463E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.7501963E-76.7501963E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.218334E-68.218334E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.2180384E-58.2180384E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.724369E-81.724369E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.3901525E-87.3901525E-81.00.01.3421597E-68.997507E-78.997507E-71.00.01.3421517E-58.997476E-68.997476E-61.00.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4793655E-55.6955734E-55.6955734E-51.00.01.9195868E-42.4407345E-42.4407345E-41.00.00.0023345920.00296760770.00296760771.00.00.0231021750.029287590.0292972961.00033141.0E-5
6.14.4793655E-55.6955734E-55.6955734E-51.00.01.9195868E-42.4407345E-42.4407345E-41.00.00.0023345920.00296760770.00296760771.00.00.0231021750.029287590.0292972961.00033141.0E-5
6.24.472471E-55.6868543E-55.6868543E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.4369986E-42.4369986E-41.00.00.00233100260.00296307150.00296307151.00.00.023067030.0292434340.0292531421.0003321.0E-5
6.34.472471E-55.6868543E-55.6868543E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.4369986E-42.4369986E-41.00.00.00233100260.00296307150.00296307151.00.00.023067030.0292434340.0292531421.0003321.0E-5
6.44.0001003E-55.0582606E-55.0582606E-51.00.01.714216E-42.1676463E-42.1676463E-41.00.00.00208506030.0026359550.0026359551.00.00.020656050.0260519890.0260617291.00037381.0E-5
6.53.8033053E-54.7976242E-54.7976242E-51.00.01.6298861E-42.0559641E-42.0559641E-41.00.00.00198258020.0025003040.0025003041.00.00.0196498560.0247267730.0247365251.00039451.0E-5
6.63.653754E-54.600441E-54.600441E-51.00.01.5658008E-41.9714714E-41.9714714E-41.00.00.00190469540.00239766670.00239766671.00.00.0188845270.0237230790.0237328411.00041151.0E-5
6.73.372024E-54.230862E-54.230862E-51.00.01.4450731E-41.8131026E-41.8131026E-41.00.00.00175795670.00220525680.00220525681.00.00.0174411480.0218383020.0218383021.00.0
6.82.9650024E-53.7008376E-53.7008376E-51.00.01.2706534E-41.5859772E-41.5859772E-41.00.00.00154592270.00192922540.00192922541.00.00.0153521240.0191259510.0191259511.00.0
6.92.860775E-53.5559857E-53.5559857E-51.00.01.2259888E-41.5239055E-41.5239055E-41.00.00.00149161940.00185378770.00185378771.00.00.0148164690.0183847880.0183847881.00.0
7.02.6696067E-53.3027318E-53.3027318E-51.00.01.144067E-41.4153802E-41.4153802E-41.00.00.00139201150.00172187310.00172187311.00.00.0138332420.0170867350.0170867351.00.0
7.12.456087E-53.020102E-53.020102E-51.00.01.0525662E-41.2942657E-41.2942657E-41.00.00.0012807460.00157463810.00157463811.00.00.0127338970.015636240.015636241.00.0
7.22.295761E-52.8150727E-52.8150727E-51.00.09.8386045E-51.2064044E-41.2064044E-41.00.00.00119719190.0014678160.0014678161.00.00.0119076270.0145825930.0145825931.00.0
7.32.1256936E-52.600138E-52.600138E-51.00.09.109797E-51.1142977E-41.1142977E-41.00.00.00110855350.0013558210.0013558211.00.00.0110303970.0134767510.0134767511.00.0
7.41.8784336E-52.2947528E-52.2947528E-51.00.08.050181E-59.8342876E-59.8342876E-51.00.09.796688E-40.00119667360.00119667361.00.00.0097536120.0119033820.0119033821.00.0
7.51.7248298E-52.1031648E-52.1031648E-51.00.07.391918E-59.0132555E-59.0132555E-51.00.08.9959445E-40.00109681810.00109681811.00.00.0089596150.0109150660.0109150661.00.0
7.61.0653709E-51.2966225E-51.2966225E-51.00.04.5657955E-55.5568365E-55.5568365E-51.00.05.557438E-46.763372E-46.763372E-41.00.00.00554356030.0067431440.0067431441.00.0
7.73.286316E-63.902296E-63.902296E-61.00.01.4084137E-51.672402E-51.672402E-51.00.01.7146087E-42.0359605E-42.0359605E-41.00.00.00171328630.00203410440.00203410441.00.0
7.85.1855085E-75.810576E-75.810576E-71.00.02.222359E-62.4902445E-62.4902445E-61.00.02.7056883E-53.0318313E-53.0318313E-51.00.02.705359E-43.0313747E-43.0313747E-41.00.0

Carlsbad

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.9038536E-64.924519E-64.924519E-61.00.02.1016345E-52.1104914E-52.1104914E-51.00.02.5584397E-42.5692247E-42.5692247E-41.00.00.0025554960.00256630060.00257627481.00388671.0E-5
6.14.9038536E-64.924519E-64.924519E-61.00.02.1016345E-52.1104914E-52.1104914E-51.00.02.5584397E-42.5692247E-42.5692247E-41.00.00.0025554960.00256630060.00257627481.00388671.0E-5
6.24.3820614E-64.3945884E-64.3945884E-61.00.01.8780129E-51.8833816E-51.8833816E-51.00.02.2862408E-42.2927792E-42.2927792E-41.00.00.002283890.00229044890.0023004261.00435591.0E-5
6.34.302872E-64.31345E-64.31345E-61.00.01.8440749E-51.8486086E-51.8486086E-51.00.02.24493E-42.2504518E-42.2504518E-41.00.00.00224266340.00224820730.00225818481.0044381.0E-5
6.44.0835243E-64.089566E-64.089566E-61.00.01.75007E-51.7526596E-51.7526596E-51.00.02.1305021E-42.1336574E-42.1336574E-41.00.00.00212846070.00213164230.0021416211.00468121.0E-5
6.53.987806E-63.9915344E-63.9915344E-61.00.01.7090486E-51.7106466E-51.7106466E-51.00.02.080568E-42.0825163E-42.0825163E-41.00.00.0020786210.0020805980.0020905771.00479631.0E-5
6.63.8707576E-63.8713315E-63.8713315E-61.00.01.6588854E-51.6591317E-51.6591317E-51.00.02.0195059E-42.0198089E-42.0198089E-41.00.00.00201767150.0020180060.00202798591.00494541.0E-5
6.73.3093434E-63.2926876E-63.2926876E-61.00.01.4182823E-51.4111442E-51.4111442E-51.00.01.7266218E-41.7179332E-41.7179332E-41.00.00.0017252810.00171661110.00172659391.00581541.0E-5
6.83.136983E-63.1199504E-63.1199504E-61.00.01.3444143E-51.3371148E-51.3371148E-51.00.01.6367015E-41.6278162E-41.6278162E-41.00.00.00163549660.00162662940.00163661321.00613771.0E-5
6.92.9056644E-62.8841723E-62.8841723E-61.00.01.2452788E-51.236068E-51.236068E-51.00.01.5160214E-41.5048093E-41.5048093E-41.00.00.00151498760.00150379550.00151378041.00663981.0E-5
7.02.5071035E-62.4744086E-62.4744086E-61.00.01.0744685E-51.0604565E-51.0604565E-51.00.01.308087E-41.2910296E-41.2910296E-41.00.00.00130731720.00129028270.00130026991.00774031.0E-5
7.12.1786877E-62.13576E-62.13576E-61.00.09.3372E-69.153225E-69.153225E-61.00.01.13674476E-41.1143484E-41.1143484E-41.00.00.00113616350.00111379240.00112378131.00896841.0E-5
7.21.6628418E-61.5978175E-61.5978175E-61.00.07.1264453E-66.847771E-66.847771E-61.00.08.676102E-58.3368446E-58.3368446E-51.00.08.672715E-48.3337387E-48.433655E-41.01198951.0E-5
7.31.0595926E-69.685223E-79.685223E-71.00.04.541103E-64.150803E-64.150803E-61.00.05.5286528E-55.0534865E-55.0534865E-51.00.05.527277E-45.0523464E-45.1522953E-41.01978281.0E-5
7.47.956623E-77.081335E-77.081335E-71.00.03.4099767E-63.0348542E-63.0348542E-61.00.04.1515676E-53.694873E-53.694873E-51.00.04.150792E-43.6942656E-43.7942288E-41.0270591.0E-5
7.55.1043804E-74.3907522E-74.3907522E-71.00.02.1875896E-61.8817495E-61.8817495E-61.00.02.663358E-52.2910066E-52.2910066E-51.00.02.6630386E-42.290776E-42.390753E-41.04364341.0E-5
7.62.3723294E-71.9703563E-71.9703563E-71.00.01.0167122E-68.444382E-78.444382E-71.00.01.2378401E-51.0280989E-51.0280989E-51.00.01.237771E-41.028054E-41.1280438E-41.09726121.0E-5
7.71.9992152E-89.688903E-99.688903E-91.00.08.568065E-84.1523872E-84.1523872E-81.00.01.0431614E-65.0555315E-75.0555315E-71.00.01.0431565E-55.0555313E-65.0555313E-61.00.0

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.2970957E-51.2970957E-51.00.05.3086325E-55.558879E-56.558823E-51.17988241.0E-56.461343E-46.766111E-46.8660435E-41.01476961.0E-50.00644258880.00674825950.0067581921.00147191.0E-5
6.11.2387061E-51.2970957E-51.2970957E-51.00.05.3086325E-55.558879E-56.558823E-51.17988241.0E-56.461343E-46.766111E-46.8660435E-41.01476961.0E-50.00644258880.00674825950.0067581921.00147191.0E-5
6.21.2387061E-51.2970957E-51.2970957E-51.00.05.3086325E-55.558879E-56.558823E-51.17988241.0E-56.461343E-46.766111E-46.8660435E-41.01476961.0E-50.00644258880.00674825950.0067581921.00147191.0E-5
6.31.2387061E-51.2970957E-51.2970957E-51.00.05.3086325E-55.558879E-56.558823E-51.17988241.0E-56.461343E-46.766111E-46.8660435E-41.01476961.0E-50.00644258880.00674825950.0067581921.00147191.0E-5
6.41.2387061E-51.2970957E-51.2970957E-51.00.05.3086325E-55.558879E-56.558823E-51.17988241.0E-56.461343E-46.766111E-46.8660435E-41.01476961.0E-50.00644258880.00674825950.0067581921.00147191.0E-5
6.56.9922594E-67.3125466E-67.3125466E-61.00.02.996648E-53.133914E-54.1338826E-51.31907991.0E-53.6478083E-43.8149254E-43.9148872E-41.02620281.0E-50.0036418260.0038089030.0038188651.00261551.0E-5
6.66.9922594E-67.3125466E-67.3125466E-61.00.02.996648E-53.133914E-54.1338826E-51.31907991.0E-53.6478083E-43.8149254E-43.9148872E-41.02620281.0E-50.0036418260.0038089030.0038188651.00261551.0E-5
6.75.477277E-65.7291422E-65.7291422E-61.00.02.3473833E-52.4553256E-53.455301E-51.40726791.0E-52.8575645E-42.988987E-43.0889572E-41.03344621.0E-50.00285389270.0029853430.00299531341.00333961.0E-5
6.83.9950432E-64.1777976E-64.1777976E-61.00.01.7121502E-51.790474E-52.790456E-51.55850141.0E-52.0843433E-42.179711E-42.2796892E-41.04586771.0E-50.00208238930.00217783870.0021878171.00458171.0E-5
6.92.95695E-63.0924168E-63.0924168E-61.00.01.2672582E-51.32531595E-52.3253027E-51.75452711.0E-51.5427776E-41.6134749E-41.7134588E-41.06196811.0E-50.0015417070.00161252160.00162250551.00619151.0E-5
7.01.456072E-61.5251712E-61.5251712E-61.00.06.2402937E-66.5364375E-61.6536373E-52.52987531.0E-57.597293E-57.957921E-58.957841E-51.1256511.0E-57.594696E-47.95604E-48.0559606E-41.0125591.0E-5
7.16.995192E-77.3325464E-77.3325464E-71.00.02.997936E-63.14252E-61.3142489E-54.18214941.0E-53.649926E-53.826018E-54.8259797E-51.26135841.0E-53.6493264E-43.826018E-43.9259798E-41.02612691.0E-5

Fontana (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.1789214E-67.4834747E-67.4834747E-61.00.03.076644E-53.2071865E-53.2071865E-51.00.03.7451705E-43.9044506E-43.9044506E-41.00.00.0037388650.00390151840.00391147941.00255311.0E-5
6.17.1789214E-67.4834747E-67.4834747E-61.00.03.076644E-53.2071865E-53.2071865E-51.00.03.7451705E-43.9044506E-43.9044506E-41.00.00.0037388650.00390151840.00391147941.00255311.0E-5
6.27.1789214E-67.4834747E-67.4834747E-61.00.03.076644E-53.2071865E-53.2071865E-51.00.03.7451705E-43.9044506E-43.9044506E-41.00.00.0037388650.00390151840.00391147941.00255311.0E-5
6.37.1789214E-67.4834747E-67.4834747E-61.00.03.076644E-53.2071865E-53.2071865E-51.00.03.7451705E-43.9044506E-43.9044506E-41.00.00.0037388650.00390151840.00391147941.00255311.0E-5
6.47.1789214E-67.4834747E-67.4834747E-61.00.03.076644E-53.2071865E-53.2071865E-51.00.03.7451705E-43.9044506E-43.9044506E-41.00.00.0037388650.00390151840.00391147941.00255311.0E-5
6.55.2611317E-65.4828542E-65.4828542E-61.00.02.2547512E-52.3497947E-52.3497947E-51.00.02.744814E-42.860875E-42.860875E-41.00.00.0027414260.0028608750.00287084651.00348541.0E-5
6.65.2611317E-65.4828542E-65.4828542E-61.00.02.2547512E-52.3497947E-52.3497947E-51.00.02.744814E-42.860875E-42.860875E-41.00.00.0027414260.0028608750.00287084651.00348541.0E-5

North Frontal (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.17.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.27.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.37.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.47.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.57.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.67.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.77.135738E-67.4146E-61.7414526E-52.34868051.0E-53.0581377E-53.177658E-54.1776264E-51.31468711.0E-53.7226462E-43.8683077E-43.9682692E-41.02584111.0E-50.00371641640.0038634970.00387345841.00257841.0E-5
6.85.959142E-66.1858645E-61.6185802E-52.61657881.0E-52.553893E-52.651068E-53.6510413E-51.37719641.0E-53.108921E-43.2273747E-43.3273423E-41.0309751.0E-50.00310457520.00322442920.0032343971.00309131.0E-5
6.92.2946929E-62.3664945E-61.236647E-55.22564941.0E-59.834361E-61.0142083E-52.014198E-51.98598071.0E-51.1972676E-41.2347332E-41.3347209E-41.08097911.0E-50.00119662280.00123409310.00124408071.00809311.0E-5
7.02.2468673E-62.3166435E-61.231662E-55.316581.0E-59.629396E-69.928437E-61.9928337E-52.00719791.0E-51.1723159E-41.2087248E-41.3087127E-41.08272181.0E-50.00117169760.0012081130.0012181011.00826741.0E-5
7.11.9921076E-62.0514408E-61.20514205E-55.8746131.0E-58.537577E-68.791862E-61.8791774E-52.13740541.0E-51.0394004E-41.0703609E-41.1703502E-41.09341651.0E-50.00103891430.00106988750.00107987691.00933681.0E-5
7.21.4524545E-61.4950677E-61.4950677E-61.00.06.2247905E-66.407419E-66.407419E-61.00.07.5784184E-57.800778E-57.800778E-51.00.07.575835E-47.798281E-47.798281E-41.00.0
7.38.9802575E-79.2490944E-79.2490944E-71.00.03.848676E-63.963892E-63.963892E-61.00.04.685662E-54.8259433E-54.8259433E-51.00.04.6846745E-44.825007E-44.825007E-41.00.0
7.47.776139E-78.0088586E-78.0088586E-71.00.03.3326266E-63.432364E-63.432364E-61.00.04.0573974E-54.178834E-54.178834E-51.00.04.0566566E-44.1781546E-44.1781546E-41.00.0
7.55.244417E-75.4054715E-75.4054715E-71.00.02.2476054E-62.316629E-62.316629E-61.00.02.7364253E-52.8204659E-52.8204659E-51.00.02.7360884E-42.8201722E-42.8201722E-41.00.0
7.61.5489647E-71.5980454E-71.5980454E-71.00.06.6384183E-76.8487657E-76.8487657E-71.00.08.082245E-68.33836E-68.33836E-61.00.08.08195E-58.3382445E-58.3382445E-51.00.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.5063375E-53.5063375E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5026394E-41.5026394E-41.00.00.00162575780.0018281030.00183808471.00546011.0E-50.0161391530.0181482750.0181580931.0005411.0E-5
6.13.1182444E-53.5063375E-53.5063375E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5026394E-41.5026394E-41.00.00.00162575780.0018281030.00183808471.00546011.0E-50.0161391530.0181482750.0181580931.0005411.0E-5
6.23.1182444E-53.5063375E-53.5063375E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5026394E-41.5026394E-41.00.00.00162575780.0018281030.00183808471.00546011.0E-50.0161391530.0181482750.0181580931.0005411.0E-5
6.32.106934E-52.3304035E-52.3304035E-51.00.09.0294045E-59.987078E-59.987078E-51.00.00.00109877550.0012152780.00122526591.00821851.0E-50.0109335850.0120894110.012099291.00081721.0E-5
6.42.106934E-52.3304035E-52.3304035E-51.00.09.0294045E-59.987078E-59.987078E-51.00.00.00109877550.0012152780.00122526591.00821851.0E-50.0109335850.0120894110.012099291.00081721.0E-5
6.51.9389783E-52.139614E-52.139614E-51.00.08.309642E-59.169467E-59.169467E-51.00.00.00101122940.00111583730.0011258261.00895191.0E-50.0100664010.0111050770.0111149671.00089051.0E-5
6.61.9370193E-52.1376161E-52.1376161E-51.00.08.301247E-59.160906E-59.160906E-51.00.00.00101020820.00111479590.00112478481.00896021.0E-50.0100562810.0110947690.0111046581.00089131.0E-5
6.71.6723505E-51.8394094E-51.8394094E-51.00.07.16702E-57.882955E-57.882955E-51.00.08.722353E-49.593458E-49.693362E-41.01041381.0E-50.0086881970.0095539580.0095638611.00103661.0E-5
6.81.426937E-51.56607E-51.56607E-51.00.06.115301E-56.711564E-56.711564E-51.00.07.4428355E-48.1684033E-48.1684033E-41.00.00.0074179570.008139790.008139791.00.0
6.91.2469891E-51.3667722E-51.3667722E-51.00.05.3441294E-55.85747E-55.85747E-51.00.06.504535E-47.1292516E-47.1292516E-41.00.00.0064855290.00710755030.00710755031.00.0
7.08.7746275E-69.594256E-69.594256E-61.00.03.7605005E-54.111763E-54.111763E-51.00.04.5774475E-45.004992E-45.004992E-41.00.00.004568030.00499442130.00499442131.00.0
7.16.1067153E-66.6764073E-66.6764073E-61.00.02.6171374E-52.8612889E-52.8612889E-51.00.03.1858988E-43.483116E-43.483116E-41.00.00.00318133530.00347818390.00347818391.00.0
7.22.939283E-63.2089383E-63.2089383E-61.00.01.2596866E-51.3752529E-51.3752529E-51.00.01.5335606E-41.6742585E-41.6742585E-41.00.00.00153250270.00167316210.00167316211.00.0
7.37.2387763E-77.8566745E-77.8566745E-71.00.03.102329E-63.3671445E-63.3671445E-61.00.03.77702E-54.099465E-54.099465E-51.00.03.7763783E-44.0991395E-44.0991395E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.1806376E-83.1806376E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.3631303E-71.3631303E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6596099E-61.6596099E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6595983E-51.6595983E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-63.98574E-63.98574E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.708164E-51.708164E-51.00.02.2114732E-42.0795099E-42.1794891E-41.04807831.0E-50.00220927360.00207774640.00208772561.0048031.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-63.98574E-63.98574E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.708164E-51.708164E-51.00.02.2114732E-42.0795099E-42.1794891E-41.04807831.0E-50.00220927360.00207774640.00208772561.0048031.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-63.98574E-63.98574E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.708164E-51.708164E-51.00.02.2114732E-42.0795099E-42.1794891E-41.04807831.0E-50.00220927360.00207774640.00208772561.0048031.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-63.98574E-63.98574E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.708164E-51.708164E-51.00.02.2114732E-42.0795099E-42.1794891E-41.04807831.0E-50.00220927360.00207774640.00208772561.0048031.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-63.98574E-63.98574E-61.00.01.8165894E-51.708164E-51.708164E-51.00.02.2114732E-42.0795099E-42.1794891E-41.04807831.0E-50.00220927360.00207774640.00208772561.0048031.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.507488E-62.507488E-61.00.01.1938888E-51.0746336E-51.0746336E-51.00.01.4534626E-41.3082911E-41.408278E-41.07642561.0E-50.00145251230.00130755340.00131754031.00763791.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.9357735E-61.9357735E-61.00.09.528543E-68.296146E-68.296146E-61.00.01.1600384E-41.0100099E-41.1099997E-41.09899891.0E-50.0011594330.00100955940.00101954931.00989531.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8752955E-61.8752955E-61.00.09.272164E-68.036956E-68.036956E-61.00.01.1288274E-49.784564E-51.0784466E-41.10219181.0E-50.00112825429.780336E-49.880239E-41.01021461.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.5759041E-61.5759041E-61.00.08.008137E-66.753857E-66.753857E-61.00.09.74947E-58.222516E-59.2224334E-51.12160731.0E-59.745194E-48.2195224E-48.3194405E-41.01215611.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3003045E-61.3003045E-61.00.06.77787E-65.572722E-65.572722E-61.00.08.251744E-56.78458E-57.784512E-51.14738311.0E-58.248681E-46.7825353E-46.882468E-41.01473381.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1157039E-61.1157039E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.7815793E-64.7815793E-61.00.07.186073E-55.8214195E-56.821361E-51.17176941.0E-57.18375E-45.8199145E-45.9198565E-41.01717231.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7228506E-78.7228506E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7383593E-63.7383593E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.5513585E-55.551313E-51.21970461.0E-55.6947145E-44.5504398E-44.6503943E-41.02196591.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.873816E-75.873816E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5173472E-62.5173472E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0648276E-53.0648276E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.064411E-43.064411E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3628876E-74.3628876E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8698076E-61.8698076E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2764674E-52.2764674E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2762381E-42.2762381E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-72.9933875E-72.9933875E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2828798E-61.2828798E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.561895E-51.561895E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.5617875E-41.5617875E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4170476E-71.4170476E-71.00.07.850152E-76.07306E-76.07306E-71.00.09.557518E-67.393926E-67.393926E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.393688E-57.393688E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.724369E-81.724369E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.3901525E-87.3901525E-81.00.01.3421597E-68.997507E-78.997507E-71.00.01.3421517E-58.997476E-68.997476E-61.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1289805E-52.1289805E-51.00.08.486947E-59.123922E-59.123922E-51.00.00.00103279590.00111034060.00112032951.00899621.0E-50.0102800910.0110548130.0110647031.00089451.0E-5
6.11.980352E-52.1289805E-52.1289805E-51.00.08.486947E-59.123922E-59.123922E-51.00.00.00103279590.00111034060.00112032951.00899621.0E-50.0102800910.0110548130.0110647031.00089451.0E-5
6.21.980352E-52.1289805E-52.1289805E-51.00.08.486947E-59.123922E-59.123922E-51.00.00.00103279590.00111034060.00112032951.00899621.0E-50.0102800910.0110548130.0110647031.00089451.0E-5
6.31.5344787E-51.6484886E-51.6484886E-51.00.06.576172E-57.0647926E-57.0647926E-51.00.08.003548E-48.5985777E-48.5985777E-41.00.00.0079747840.00857109950.00857109951.00.0
6.41.5344787E-51.6484886E-51.6484886E-51.00.06.576172E-57.0647926E-57.0647926E-51.00.08.003548E-48.5985777E-48.5985777E-41.00.00.0079747840.00857109950.00857109951.00.0
6.51.4189697E-51.52425955E-51.52425955E-51.00.06.081157E-56.53241E-56.53241E-51.00.07.401293E-47.950885E-47.950885E-41.00.00.00737669130.007928130.007928131.00.0
6.61.3469301E-51.4468871E-51.4468871E-51.00.05.7724297E-56.2008294E-56.2008294E-51.00.07.025667E-47.5474696E-47.5474696E-41.00.00.00700349640.0075274920.0075274921.00.0
6.71.3027966E-51.3995134E-51.3995134E-51.00.05.5832945E-55.997809E-55.997809E-51.00.06.7955407E-47.3004584E-47.3004584E-41.00.00.0067747980.00728210570.00728210571.00.0
6.85.695434E-66.1241913E-66.1241913E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6246435E-52.6246435E-51.00.02.971363E-43.1953253E-43.1953253E-41.00.00.00296739330.00319357780.00319357781.00.0
6.94.385688E-64.7158715E-64.7158715E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0210879E-52.0210879E-51.00.02.2881327E-42.4606744E-42.4606744E-41.00.00.0022857780.00246067440.00246067441.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.620697E-55.4549088E-55.4549088E-51.00.02.4086477E-42.3376304E-42.3376304E-41.00.00.0029285850.00284273150.0028527031.00350771.0E-50.0289029010.0281027830.0281125031.00034581.0E-5
6.14.607858E-55.4549088E-55.4549088E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.3376304E-42.3376304E-41.00.00.00240148180.00284273150.0028527031.00350771.0E-50.0237569530.0281027830.0281125031.00034581.0E-5
6.24.607858E-55.4549088E-55.4549088E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.3376304E-42.3376304E-41.00.00.00240148180.00284273150.0028527031.00350771.0E-50.0237569530.0281027830.0281125031.00034581.0E-5
6.33.327423E-53.9092887E-53.9092887E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.6753159E-41.6753159E-41.00.00.00173472440.00203803530.0020480151.00489661.0E-50.0172124520.0202181470.0202279441.00048461.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.2324126E-53.2324126E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.3852582E-41.3852582E-41.00.00.0014460160.00168545990.0016954431.00592321.0E-50.0143664280.016747920.0167577531.00058711.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.2275755E-53.2275755E-51.00.01.186648E-41.3831853E-41.3831853E-41.00.00.00144378640.001682940.00169292331.0059321.0E-50.0143444210.0167231020.0167329351.00058791.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.6594726E-52.6594726E-51.00.09.846873E-51.13973554E-41.13973554E-41.00.00.00119819750.00138694690.00139693311.00720011.0E-50.0119175740.0138028720.0138127351.00071451.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.3033865E-52.3033865E-51.00.08.516096E-59.871395E-59.871395E-51.00.00.00103634150.00120137820.00121136621.00831381.0E-50.0103152180.01196837050.0119782511.00082551.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.3474157E-67.3474157E-61.00.02.813133E-53.148856E-53.148856E-51.00.03.424451E-43.8330845E-43.933046E-41.02607871.0E-50.00341917880.00382673970.00383670141.00260321.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.2831273E-66.2831273E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.6927424E-52.6927424E-51.00.02.933041E-43.2779446E-43.377912E-41.0304971.0E-50.00292917270.00327334860.00328331581.0030451.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.3292707E-64.3292707E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.8553897E-51.8553897E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.2587224E-42.3586999E-41.04426281.0E-50.00202018860.00225662020.00226659771.00442141.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.7891591E-61.7891591E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.667808E-67.667808E-61.00.08.357586E-59.335255E-51.0335162E-41.10711091.0E-58.3544437E-49.332302E-49.4322086E-41.01070551.0E-5

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7078515E-64.7078515E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0176381E-52.0176381E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4562524E-42.5562278E-41.04070251.0E-50.00237546280.00245407530.00246405071.00406481.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7078515E-64.7078515E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0176381E-52.0176381E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4562524E-42.5562278E-41.04070251.0E-50.00237546280.00245407530.00246405071.00406481.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7655115E-62.7655115E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1852144E-51.1852144E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4429136E-41.4429136E-41.00.00.00139103640.00144208120.00144208121.00.0
6.32.6677674E-62.7655115E-62.7655115E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1852144E-51.1852144E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4429136E-41.4429136E-41.00.00.00139103640.00144208120.00144208121.00.0
6.42.2159759E-62.3032896E-62.3032896E-61.00.09.497005E-69.871209E-69.871209E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2017613E-41.2017613E-41.00.00.00115559760.00120118960.00120118961.00.0
6.52.1986082E-62.2853071E-62.2853071E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.794142E-69.794142E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.1923794E-41.1923794E-41.00.00.00114654580.00119181780.00119181781.00.0
6.61.5232331E-61.5874456E-61.5874456E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.803322E-66.803322E-61.00.07.947703E-58.282748E-58.282748E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.279845E-48.279845E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.3701232E-61.3701232E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.8719443E-65.8719443E-61.00.06.854657E-57.1488714E-57.1488714E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.146708E-47.146708E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2803915E-61.2803915E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.4873813E-65.4873813E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.6806955E-56.6806955E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.678818E-46.678818E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2346346E-61.2346346E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.291281E-65.291281E-61.00.06.176237E-56.4419575E-56.4419575E-51.00.06.17452E-46.4402196E-46.4402196E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.02713E-61.02713E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.401979E-64.401979E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.3592874E-55.3592874E-51.00.05.137943E-45.358094E-45.358094E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.513157E-78.513157E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6484912E-63.6484912E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.441956E-54.441956E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4411529E-44.4411529E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-75.9743934E-75.9743934E-71.00.02.45553E-62.5604522E-62.5604522E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1173127E-53.1173127E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.116941E-43.116941E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.548233E-55.5481876E-51.21985551.0E-51.6594635E-41.9491104E-42.049091E-41.05129541.0E-50.00201852460.00237072030.00238069661.00420811.0E-50.020002880.0234808050.023490571.00041591.0E-5
6.13.872328E-54.548233E-55.5481876E-51.21985551.0E-51.6594635E-41.9491104E-42.049091E-41.05129541.0E-50.00201852460.00237072030.00238069661.00420811.0E-50.020002880.0234808050.023490571.00041591.0E-5
6.23.872328E-54.548233E-55.5481876E-51.21985551.0E-51.6594635E-41.9491104E-42.049091E-41.05129541.0E-50.00201852460.00237072030.00238069661.00420811.0E-50.020002880.0234808050.023490571.00041591.0E-5
6.32.8356371E-53.253538E-54.253505E-51.30734781.0E-51.2152165E-41.394303E-41.494289E-41.07171051.0E-50.00147852190.00169631270.00170629581.00588511.0E-50.0146872350.0168410330.0168508651.00058381.0E-5
6.42.8356371E-53.253538E-54.253505E-51.30734781.0E-51.2152165E-41.394303E-41.494289E-41.07171051.0E-50.00147852190.00169631270.00170629581.00588511.0E-50.0146872350.0168410330.0168508651.00058381.0E-5
6.52.4448687E-52.7766318E-53.776604E-51.36013851.0E-51.0477588E-41.1899334E-41.2899215E-41.08402841.0E-50.00127489980.00144782760.00145781311.00689691.0E-50.0126761050.0143887820.0143986381.0006851.0E-5
6.62.1298161E-52.3986573E-53.3986333E-51.41688991.0E-59.127464E-51.02795726E-41.12794696E-41.09727041.0E-50.00111070220.00125085090.00126083841.00798451.0E-50.0110516720.0124413860.0124512611.00079381.0E-5
6.71.8959729E-52.1220041E-53.1219828E-51.47124271.0E-58.125345E-59.094E-51.0093908E-41.10995261.0E-59.888117E-40.0011066560.00111664491.00902631.0E-50.0098442340.0110139420.0110238321.00089791.0E-5
6.81.6691629E-51.8559653E-52.8559469E-51.53879321.0E-57.153359E-57.953904E-58.953824E-51.12571441.0E-58.7057345E-49.6797344E-49.779638E-41.01032091.0E-50.0086717080.0096392260.009649131.00102751.0E-5
6.91.450505E-51.6021335E-52.6021175E-51.62415771.0E-56.216302E-56.866111E-57.866042E-51.14563291.0E-57.5657194E-48.356367E-48.456284E-41.01195691.0E-50.0075400130.0083258290.0083357461.00119111.0E-5
7.01.2940855E-51.4227853E-52.4227711E-51.70283681.0E-55.545963E-56.097512E-57.097451E-51.16399131.0E-56.750118E-47.4212474E-47.521173E-41.01346481.0E-50.0067296510.00739705470.00740698071.00134191.0E-5
7.11.2544658E-51.3780735E-52.3780596E-51.72564081.0E-55.3761712E-55.9058984E-56.905839E-51.16931221.0E-56.5435225E-47.188113E-47.288041E-41.01390181.0E-50.0065242880.00716542960.0071753581.00138561.0E-5
7.21.2489416E-51.3719627E-52.3719489E-51.72887281.0E-55.3524967E-55.8797104E-56.8796515E-51.17006641.0E-56.514716E-47.15625E-47.256178E-41.01396381.0E-50.0064956510.00713377170.00714370051.00139181.0E-5
7.31.2368307E-51.3586646E-52.358651E-51.73600691.0E-55.3005948E-55.822721E-56.822663E-51.1717311.0E-56.451563E-47.086911E-47.18684E-41.01410061.0E-50.00643286530.00706487570.00707480541.00140551.0E-5
7.41.2161707E-51.3359642E-52.335951E-51.7485131.0E-55.212056E-55.7254383E-56.7253815E-51.17464911.0E-56.3438306E-46.9685455E-47.068476E-41.01434021.0E-50.0063257510.00694725660.00695718731.00142941.0E-5
7.51.1707948E-51.2866702E-52.2866572E-51.777191.0E-55.0175953E-55.514187E-56.514132E-51.18134031.0E-56.10721E-46.7115086E-46.811441E-41.01488981.0E-50.00609045340.00669179670.00670172971.00148441.0E-5
7.61.0319538E-51.1335449E-52.1335336E-51.88217821.0E-54.4225842E-54.857962E-55.8579135E-51.20583761.0E-55.383166E-45.913013E-46.012954E-41.01690191.0E-50.00537014430.00589778830.00590772931.00168551.0E-5
7.78.937764E-69.812609E-61.981251E-52.01908681.0E-53.830414E-54.205339E-55.2052972E-51.2377831.0E-54.6625308E-45.118846E-45.2187947E-41.01952561.0E-50.00465276050.00510754250.00511749141.00194791.0E-5
7.83.108007E-73.251954E-71.0325192E-531.7507341.0E-51.3320023E-61.3936938E-61.1393679E-58.1751671.0E-51.6217007E-51.6968093E-52.6967924E-51.58933141.0E-51.6215823E-41.6966835E-41.7966666E-41.05892851.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6495033E-92.6495033E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1355014E-81.1355014E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3824729E-71.3824729E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3824729E-61.3824729E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.08484E-53.025926E-53.025926E-51.00.01.3220073E-41.2967638E-41.2967638E-41.00.00.00160835560.00157771680.00158770091.00632821.0E-50.0159676470.015670490.0156803341.00062811.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.025926E-53.025926E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.2967638E-41.2967638E-41.00.00.00142347430.00157771680.00158770091.00632821.0E-50.0141439060.015670490.0156803341.00062811.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.025926E-53.025926E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.2967638E-41.2967638E-41.00.00.00142347430.00157771680.00158770091.00632821.0E-50.0141439060.015670490.0156803341.00062811.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.2803575E-52.2803575E-51.00.08.805317E-59.772604E-59.772604E-51.00.00.001071520.00118918270.00119917081.00839911.0E-50.0106636810.0118300980.0118399791.00083531.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.2803575E-52.2803575E-51.00.08.805317E-59.772604E-59.772604E-51.00.00.001071520.00118918270.00119917081.00839911.0E-50.0106636810.0118300980.0118399791.00083531.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-51.9753039E-51.9753039E-51.00.07.619603E-58.4653206E-58.4653206E-51.00.09.272918E-40.0010301780.00104016781.00969711.0E-50.0092343190.010255390.0102652871.00096511.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8087254E-51.8087254E-51.00.06.973618E-57.751457E-57.751457E-51.00.08.487073E-49.4334263E-49.533332E-41.01059061.0E-50.0084547330.00939459450.0094045011.00105441.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.453472E-51.453472E-51.00.05.593373E-56.229022E-56.229022E-51.00.06.807804E-47.581284E-47.6812087E-41.01318041.0E-50.0067869860.0075563380.00756626251.00131341.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1594E-51.1594E-51.00.04.4689557E-54.9687664E-54.9687664E-51.00.05.439595E-46.047863E-46.147803E-41.01652481.0E-50.00542629930.0060321090.00604204831.00164781.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.5005495E-68.5005495E-61.00.03.274231E-53.643045E-53.643045E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.4345594E-44.534515E-41.02254021.0E-50.0039785060.00442625770.00443621351.00224921.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.376891E-64.376891E-61.00.01.679917E-51.875798E-51.875798E-51.00.02.045107E-42.2835645E-42.3835417E-41.04378121.0E-50.00204322580.00228141180.00229138881.00437321.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.7891591E-61.7891591E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.667808E-67.667808E-61.00.08.357586E-59.335255E-51.0335162E-41.10711091.0E-58.3544437E-49.332302E-49.4322086E-41.01070551.0E-5

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.938062E-51.598762E-41.598762E-41.00.04.2584742E-46.850011E-46.850011E-41.00.00.00517237330.0083079490.0083178651.00119361.0E-50.0505362860.079546820.079556021.00011581.0E-5
6.19.862786E-51.5850514E-41.5850514E-41.00.04.2262237E-46.7912816E-46.7912816E-41.00.00.0051332940.008236990.0082469081.0012041.0E-50.0501632470.078901410.078910621.00011671.0E-5
6.29.695835E-51.5555849E-41.5555849E-41.00.04.154696E-46.665062E-46.665062E-41.00.00.00504661630.0080845190.0080944381.00122691.0E-50.0493353750.077507440.077516661.0001191.0E-5
6.39.274664E-51.4772052E-41.4772052E-41.00.03.9742506E-46.329314E-46.329314E-41.00.00.004827920.00767866570.0076885891.00129231.0E-50.0472436920.073786740.0737960041.00012551.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.3260286E-41.3260286E-41.00.03.595861E-45.6817423E-45.6817423E-41.00.00.0043691750.0068956650.00690559621.00144021.0E-50.042842650.066526810.0665361361.00014031.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.067193E-59.067193E-51.00.02.5505814E-43.885386E-43.885386E-41.00.00.00310091120.00472008440.00473003741.00210861.0E-50.0305799660.046049620.0460591581.00020721.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-56.691222E-56.691222E-51.00.01.9439218E-42.867365E-42.867365E-41.00.00.00236415580.00348533740.00349530251.00285911.0E-50.0233916230.034244750.0342544061.0002821.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-55.6332592E-55.6332592E-51.00.01.6630985E-42.4140492E-42.4140492E-41.00.00.00202294180.00293520740.00293520741.00.00.0200462560.0289402640.0289402641.00.0
6.82.2284667E-52.9268136E-52.9268136E-51.00.09.550222E-51.2542888E-41.2542888E-41.00.00.00116211920.00152603830.00152603831.00.00.0115606070.0151461420.0151461421.00.0
6.91.8050168E-52.298917E-52.298917E-51.00.07.735557E-59.8521334E-59.8521334E-51.00.09.4139716E-40.00119884270.00119884271.00.00.0093741910.0119210090.0119210091.00.0
7.01.4763166E-51.8478282E-51.8478282E-51.00.06.326917E-57.919025E-57.919025E-51.00.07.7002996E-49.6371723E-49.6371723E-41.00.00.0076736720.0095950430.0095950431.00.0
7.11.2399713E-51.5404315E-51.5404315E-51.00.05.3140546E-56.601683E-56.601683E-51.00.06.467941E-48.0346037E-48.0346037E-41.00.00.0064491480.0080054720.0080054721.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.3139902E-51.3139902E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.6312656E-55.6312656E-51.00.05.521186E-46.8539236E-46.8539236E-41.00.00.00550748870.00683342250.00683342251.00.0
7.37.998173E-69.9291665E-69.9291665E-61.00.03.4277433E-54.255288E-54.255288E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.179591E-45.179591E-41.00.00.0041646530.00516793640.00516793641.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.401485E-68.401485E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.6005873E-53.6005873E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.3828413E-44.3828413E-41.00.00.00351956860.004374480.004374481.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.0702604E-67.0702604E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.030077E-53.030077E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.688502E-43.688502E-41.00.00.0029691340.00368267410.00368267411.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.5815744E-65.5815744E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.3920818E-52.3920818E-51.00.02.3496768E-42.9119776E-42.9119776E-41.00.00.0023471940.00290832060.00290832061.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.3329216E-61.3329216E-61.00.04.6600826E-65.7125085E-65.7125085E-61.00.05.6735033E-56.95476E-56.95476E-51.00.05.672055E-46.952551E-46.952551E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-85.932011E-85.932011E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.5422904E-72.5422904E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.0952353E-63.0952353E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.094681E-53.094681E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-56.02928E-66.02928E-61.00.03.6937918E-42.5839516E-52.5839516E-51.00.00.00448792153.1455074E-43.245476E-41.03178131.0E-50.0439836120.00383308090.00384304251.00259891.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-56.02928E-66.02928E-61.00.03.6937918E-42.5839516E-52.5839516E-51.00.00.00448792153.1455074E-43.245476E-41.03178131.0E-50.0439836120.00383308090.00384304251.00259891.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-56.02928E-66.02928E-61.00.03.6937918E-42.5839516E-52.5839516E-51.00.00.00448792153.1455074E-43.245476E-41.03178131.0E-50.0439836120.00383308090.00384304251.00259891.0E-5
6.38.551163E-55.9152558E-65.9152558E-61.00.03.6642692E-42.535085E-52.535085E-51.00.00.0044521253.0860293E-43.1859984E-41.0323941.0E-50.0436397940.00376221190.00377217421.0026481.0E-5
6.48.551163E-55.9152558E-65.9152558E-61.00.03.6642692E-42.535085E-52.535085E-51.00.00.0044521253.0860293E-43.1859984E-41.0323941.0E-50.0436397940.00376221190.00377217421.0026481.0E-5
6.58.511146E-55.8485607E-65.8485607E-61.00.03.647124E-42.506502E-52.506502E-51.00.00.0044313363.0512392E-43.1512088E-41.03276361.0E-50.043440070.00372095760.00373092041.00267741.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-55.814024E-65.814024E-61.00.03.6417096E-42.4917008E-52.4917008E-51.00.00.00442477043.033224E-43.1331938E-41.03295831.0E-50.0433769860.00370103560.00371099871.0026921.0E-5
6.78.462618E-55.7394705E-65.7394705E-61.00.03.6263323E-42.4597497E-52.4597497E-51.00.00.0044061252.9943345E-43.0943044E-41.03338631.0E-50.0431978070.00365673870.00366670221.00272461.0E-5
6.88.42337E-55.699653E-65.699653E-61.00.03.6095164E-42.4426854E-52.4426854E-51.00.00.0043857342.9735643E-43.0735345E-41.03361961.0E-50.0430018230.00363350080.00364346431.00274221.0E-5
6.98.365989E-55.5919927E-65.5919927E-61.00.03.5849313E-42.3965462E-52.3965462E-51.00.00.0043559222.917405E-43.0173757E-41.03426711.0E-50.042715230.00357450960.00358447391.00278761.0E-5
7.08.30936E-55.4371267E-65.4371267E-61.00.03.560668E-42.3301764E-52.3301764E-51.00.00.0043264992.8366208E-42.9365925E-41.03524321.0E-50.0424322970.00349120470.00350116981.00285431.0E-5
7.18.041264E-55.2793266E-65.2793266E-61.00.03.4458007E-42.2625489E-52.2625489E-51.00.00.00418719462.7543056E-42.8542778E-41.03629681.0E-50.0410917250.0034039750.0034139411.00292781.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-54.9293285E-64.9293285E-61.00.03.3607247E-42.1125521E-52.1125521E-51.00.00.0040840082.571729E-42.6717034E-41.03887441.0E-50.0400976350.00321464820.00322461621.00310081.0E-5
7.37.721087E-54.782341E-64.782341E-61.00.03.3086175E-42.0495585E-52.0495585E-51.00.00.0040208032.4950522E-42.5950273E-41.04006931.0E-50.039488270.00313712170.00314709031.00317761.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-54.4094177E-64.4094177E-61.00.03.1511846E-41.8897366E-51.8897366E-51.00.00.00382981942.3005118E-42.4004887E-41.04345861.0E-50.0376448520.00288875730.00289872821.00345171.0E-5
7.56.806207E-54.0308228E-64.0308228E-61.00.02.9166197E-41.727484E-51.727484E-51.00.00.00354520352.103009E-42.202988E-41.04754091.0E-50.0348917660.00263676190.00264673561.00378251.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-53.4202062E-63.4202062E-61.00.02.43112E-41.4657943E-51.4657943E-51.00.00.00295587121.7844586E-41.8844407E-41.05602941.0E-50.029168620.00221130.0022212781.00451221.0E-5
7.74.946994E-53.2671683E-63.2671683E-61.00.02.1199681E-41.4002074E-51.4002074E-51.00.00.0025780061.7046192E-41.8046022E-41.05865411.0E-50.025483030.002112430.0021224091.00472391.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-53.2420473E-63.2420473E-61.00.01.7020974E-41.3894414E-51.3894414E-51.00.00.00207033381.6915136E-41.7914968E-41.05910861.0E-50.0205115150.00209531560.00210529471.00476251.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-53.1558923E-63.1558923E-61.00.01.0334639E-41.3525182E-51.3525182E-51.00.00.0012575161.6465665E-41.7465501E-41.06072251.0E-50.0125042380.0020309870.00204096691.00491371.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-53.0312256E-63.0312256E-61.00.07.6097356E-51.2990901E-51.2990901E-51.00.09.260915E-41.5815276E-41.5815276E-41.00.00.0092224160.00194328980.00194328981.00.0
8.11.3159258E-52.6084847E-62.6084847E-61.00.05.6395602E-51.1179171E-51.1179171E-51.00.06.864001E-41.3609792E-41.3609792E-41.00.00.00684283860.00166884110.00166884111.00.0
8.28.635426E-61.2884558E-61.2884558E-61.00.03.700844E-55.5219416E-65.5219416E-61.00.04.5048463E-46.722757E-56.722757E-51.00.00.0044957258.4866595E-48.4866595E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.11.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.21.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.31.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.41.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.51.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.61.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.71.8699735E-51.9636527E-51.9636527E-51.00.08.013926E-58.415404E-58.415404E-51.00.09.752587E-40.00102413060.00102413061.00.00.0097098970.0101978190.0102077171.00097061.0E-5
6.81.18505095E-51.2380013E-51.2380013E-51.00.05.078691E-55.3056145E-55.3056145E-51.00.06.181552E-46.457718E-46.457718E-41.00.00.0061643850.0064394450.00644938041.00154291.0E-5
6.91.18505095E-51.2380013E-51.2380013E-51.00.05.078691E-55.3056145E-55.3056145E-51.00.06.181552E-46.457718E-46.457718E-41.00.00.0061643850.0064394450.00644938041.00154291.0E-5
7.09.719786E-61.0140498E-51.0140498E-51.00.04.1655563E-54.3458564E-54.3458564E-51.00.05.0703844E-45.2898185E-45.2898185E-41.00.00.0050588310.00527746840.00528741531.00188481.0E-5
7.18.523418E-68.887351E-68.887351E-61.00.03.652842E-53.8088103E-53.8088103E-51.00.04.4464276E-44.6362547E-44.6362547E-41.00.00.00443754160.0046267430.00463669651.00215141.0E-5
7.27.378894E-67.690775E-67.690775E-61.00.03.162345E-53.2960055E-53.2960055E-51.00.03.8494746E-44.0121566E-44.0121566E-41.00.00.00384281320.0040050070.0040149671.00248681.0E-5
7.36.4640294E-66.7320716E-66.7320716E-61.00.02.7702688E-52.885142E-52.885142E-51.00.03.3722803E-43.5121007E-43.5121007E-41.00.00.00336716740.0035066190.0035165841.00284171.0E-5
7.45.9959093E-66.2431354E-66.2431354E-61.00.02.5696501E-52.6756023E-52.6756023E-51.00.03.1280998E-43.2570647E-43.2570647E-41.00.00.00312370020.00325235210.00326231961.00306481.0E-5
7.54.929265E-65.1310108E-65.1310108E-61.00.02.112525E-52.1989863E-52.1989863E-51.00.02.5716957E-42.6769406E-42.6769406E-41.00.00.00256872150.0026737560.00268372941.003731.0E-5
7.63.8982403E-64.053962E-64.053962E-61.00.01.6706637E-51.737401E-51.737401E-51.00.02.0338432E-42.115083E-42.115083E-41.00.00.00203198290.00211309730.00212307621.00472241.0E-5
7.72.820968E-62.9322505E-62.9322505E-61.00.01.2089806E-51.25667275E-51.25667275E-51.00.01.4718344E-41.5298935E-41.5298935E-41.00.00.001470860.00152885760.00153884231.00653091.0E-5
7.81.9314455E-62.0086843E-62.0086843E-61.00.08.277597E-68.608619E-68.608619E-61.00.01.0077508E-41.04805025E-41.04805025E-41.00.00.00100729390.00104756860.00105755821.00953591.0E-5
7.94.9586197E-75.171086E-75.171086E-71.00.02.125121E-62.216178E-62.216178E-61.00.02.5873042E-52.6981654E-52.6981654E-51.00.02.5870028E-42.6978584E-42.6978584E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.685526E-61.9685429E-52.03245851.0E-54.0420677E-54.1508807E-55.1508392E-51.24090271.0E-54.920106E-45.052655E-45.1526044E-41.01978161.0E-50.0049092270.00504244350.0050523931.00197321.0E-5
6.19.431637E-69.685526E-61.9685429E-52.03245851.0E-54.0420677E-54.1508807E-55.1508392E-51.24090271.0E-54.920106E-45.052655E-45.1526044E-41.01978161.0E-50.0049092270.00504244350.0050523931.00197321.0E-5
6.29.431637E-69.685526E-61.9685429E-52.03245851.0E-54.0420677E-54.1508807E-55.1508392E-51.24090271.0E-54.920106E-45.052655E-45.1526044E-41.01978161.0E-50.0049092270.00504244350.0050523931.00197321.0E-5
6.39.431637E-69.685526E-61.9685429E-52.03245851.0E-54.0420677E-54.1508807E-55.1508392E-51.24090271.0E-54.920106E-45.052655E-45.1526044E-41.01978161.0E-50.0049092270.00504244350.0050523931.00197321.0E-5
6.45.144063E-65.2718897E-61.5271837E-52.89684321.0E-52.2045799E-52.2593636E-53.259341E-51.44259251.0E-52.6837454E-42.7504622E-42.8504347E-41.03634751.0E-50.00268050660.00274739460.0027573671.00362981.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.2718897E-61.5271837E-52.89684321.0E-52.2045799E-52.2593636E-53.259341E-51.44259251.0E-52.6837454E-42.7504622E-42.8504347E-41.03634751.0E-50.00268050660.00274739460.0027573671.00362981.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4811371E-61.34811025E-53.87261461.0E-51.4575549E-51.4919083E-52.4918932E-51.67027251.0E-51.7744285E-41.8162628E-41.9162447E-41.05504811.0E-50.00177301230.00181493440.00182491621.00549981.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4680386E-61.3468004E-53.88346431.0E-51.4520103E-51.4862947E-52.4862798E-51.67280411.0E-51.767679E-41.8094294E-41.9094114E-41.0552561.0E-50.00176627360.00180811210.0018180941.00552061.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7200797E-62.7200797E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.165744E-51.165744E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4192141E-41.4192141E-41.00.00.00138605120.00141843840.00141843841.00.0
6.92.406011E-62.462004E-62.462004E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.055141E-51.055141E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2845715E-41.2845715E-41.00.00.00125463590.00128395720.00128395721.00.0
7.01.6953097E-61.7343457E-61.7343457E-61.00.07.265593E-67.4328946E-67.4328946E-61.00.08.8455E-59.049277E-59.049277E-51.00.08.84198E-49.0466085E-49.0466085E-41.00.0
7.13.5013824E-73.5589255E-73.5589255E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5252529E-61.5252529E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8569799E-51.8569799E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.8568271E-41.8568271E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2673696E-72.2673696E-71.00.09.56618E-79.717295E-79.717295E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1830743E-51.1830743E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.18301235E-41.18301235E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6007138E-71.6007138E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8602003E-76.8602003E-71.00.08.223522E-68.352262E-68.352262E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3519546E-58.3519546E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.13931854E-71.13931854E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.882793E-74.882793E-71.00.05.852591E-65.944785E-65.944785E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9446298E-55.9446298E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9620223E-84.9620223E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1265808E-72.1265808E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5891093E-62.5891093E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.589081E-52.589081E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5269355E-91.5269355E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.544009E-96.544009E-91.00.07.851001E-87.967331E-87.967331E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.967331E-77.967331E-71.00.0

McKinleyville (alt1)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.11.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.21.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.31.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.41.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.51.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.61.1028524E-51.1596684E-51.1596684E-51.00.04.7264242E-54.969927E-54.969927E-51.00.05.7529024E-46.0494547E-46.0494547E-41.00.00.0057380320.0060354440.00604538341.00164691.0E-5
6.76.483374E-66.8350814E-66.8350814E-61.00.02.7785592E-52.9292913E-52.9292913E-51.00.03.3823706E-43.5658892E-43.5658892E-41.00.00.0033772270.00356076870.0035707331.00279841.0E-5
6.86.483374E-66.8350814E-66.8350814E-61.00.02.7785592E-52.9292913E-52.9292913E-51.00.03.3823706E-43.5658892E-43.5658892E-41.00.00.0033772270.00356076870.0035707331.00279841.0E-5
6.94.0394048E-64.2868273E-64.2868273E-61.00.01.731162E-51.8371991E-51.8371991E-51.00.02.1074859E-42.2365656E-42.2365656E-41.00.00.00210548820.00223436860.00223436861.00.0
7.03.7791233E-64.016042E-64.016042E-61.00.01.6196142E-51.7211498E-51.7211498E-51.00.01.9717019E-42.0953032E-42.0953032E-41.00.00.00196995330.00209337660.00209337661.00.0
7.13.675443E-63.9082624E-63.9082624E-61.00.01.5751802E-51.6749591E-51.6749591E-51.00.01.9176133E-42.0390768E-42.0390768E-41.00.00.00191595930.00203725440.00203725441.00.0
7.23.0165843E-63.2228309E-63.2228309E-61.00.01.2928153E-51.381206E-51.381206E-51.00.01.573889E-41.6814904E-41.6814904E-41.00.00.00157277480.00168023640.00168023641.00.0
7.32.307633E-62.4778542E-62.4778542E-61.00.09.889818E-61.0619333E-51.0619333E-51.00.01.2040188E-41.2928278E-41.2928278E-41.00.00.00120336670.00129208390.00129208391.00.0
7.42.0568484E-62.2137103E-62.2137103E-61.00.08.8150355E-69.487296E-69.487296E-61.00.01.0731777E-41.15501774E-41.15501774E-41.00.00.00107265950.00115442490.00115442491.00.0
7.51.7674889E-61.9073275E-61.9073275E-61.00.07.5749304E-68.1742355E-68.1742355E-61.00.09.222087E-59.951684E-59.951684E-51.00.09.218261E-49.947291E-49.947291E-41.00.0
7.61.2944297E-61.4028954E-61.4028954E-61.00.05.547544E-66.012395E-66.012395E-61.00.06.753925E-57.31985E-57.31985E-51.00.06.7518733E-47.317485E-47.317485E-41.00.0
7.75.806243E-76.3302275E-76.3302275E-71.00.02.4883875E-62.712952E-62.712952E-61.00.03.0295698E-53.3029704E-53.3029704E-51.00.03.0291567E-43.3024958E-43.3024958E-41.00.0
7.81.6121008E-71.7765439E-71.7765439E-71.00.06.909002E-77.6137576E-77.6137576E-71.00.08.411677E-69.269713E-69.269713E-61.00.08.411359E-59.2693495E-59.2693495E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6520628E-47.2110364E-57.2110364E-51.00.07.078348E-43.090089E-43.090089E-41.00.00.0085838860.00375588660.0037658491.00265251.0E-50.082597890.0384169970.038426611.00025031.0E-5
6.11.6520628E-47.2110364E-57.2110364E-51.00.07.078348E-43.090089E-43.090089E-41.00.00.0085838860.00375588660.0037658491.00265251.0E-50.082597890.0384169970.038426611.00025031.0E-5
6.21.6520628E-47.2110364E-57.2110364E-51.00.07.078348E-43.090089E-43.090089E-41.00.00.0085838860.00375588660.0037658491.00265251.0E-50.082597890.0384169970.038426611.00025031.0E-5
6.31.6520628E-47.2110364E-57.2110364E-51.00.07.078348E-43.090089E-43.090089E-41.00.00.0085838860.00375588660.0037658491.00265251.0E-50.082597890.0384169970.038426611.00025031.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-47.2110364E-57.2110364E-51.00.07.02367E-43.090089E-43.090089E-41.00.00.0085178390.00375588660.0037658491.00265251.0E-50.081986540.0384169970.038426611.00025031.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-46.568342E-56.568342E-51.00.06.745133E-42.8147092E-42.8147092E-41.00.00.008181320.00342168470.00343165031.00291251.0E-50.0788659450.0351056570.035115311.00027491.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-45.8601887E-55.8601887E-51.00.05.5865536E-42.5112732E-42.5112732E-41.00.00.0067804380.00305328870.0030632581.00326511.0E-50.06577250.0316445340.031654221.0003061.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-45.6346424E-55.6346424E-51.00.05.5135164E-42.4146288E-42.4146288E-41.00.00.00669206540.00293594580.00294591651.0033961.0E-50.064940930.0305480340.030557731.00031731.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-45.586004E-55.586004E-51.00.05.485117E-42.3937876E-42.3937876E-41.00.00.00665770050.00291063990.00292061061.00342571.0E-50.064617380.0303140230.030323721.00031981.0E-5
6.91.269149E-45.4633634E-55.4633634E-51.00.05.4380763E-42.3412368E-42.3412368E-41.00.00.0066007770.00284682820.00285679961.00350271.0E-50.064081220.0297100250.0297197271.00032661.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-45.288131E-55.288131E-51.00.05.154837E-42.2661505E-42.2661505E-41.00.00.0062579690.00275564520.00276561761.0036191.0E-50.060846480.0288200750.0288297871.0003371.0E-5
7.18.049617E-51.7315606E-51.7315606E-51.00.03.4493793E-47.420766E-57.420766E-51.00.00.00419153469.0310856E-49.1309956E-41.01106291.0E-50.0411335160.0104605390.0104704341.00094591.0E-5
7.27.093979E-51.1786566E-51.1786566E-51.00.03.0399222E-45.051288E-55.051288E-51.00.00.00369482536.148224E-46.248162E-41.01625491.0E-50.036339940.0073962970.0074062231.0013421.0E-5
7.36.193693E-57.993939E-67.993939E-61.00.02.6541698E-43.4259287E-53.4259287E-51.00.00.00322666374.1702707E-44.270229E-41.02396931.0E-50.0318021330.00497231260.0049822631.00200121.0E-5
7.45.906492E-57.6098663E-67.6098663E-61.00.02.5311083E-43.2613305E-53.2613305E-51.00.00.00307726983.969947E-44.0699073E-41.02517931.0E-50.0303500440.00471899840.00472895151.0021091.0E-5
7.55.424296E-57.067492E-67.067492E-61.00.02.324491E-43.0288898E-53.0288898E-51.00.00.0028263953.68705E-43.787013E-41.0271121.0E-50.0279071650.0043851310.00439508721.00227051.0E-5
7.64.43084E-56.236185E-66.236185E-61.00.01.8987931E-42.6726233E-52.6726233E-51.00.00.00230932963.2534334E-43.353401E-41.03072681.0E-50.0228547830.0038482670.00385822871.00258861.0E-5
7.74.118098E-55.8435794E-65.8435794E-61.00.01.7647797E-42.5043671E-52.5043671E-51.00.00.0021465023.0486405E-43.14861E-41.03279151.0E-50.0212588660.0036277090.00363767291.00274661.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-55.7131933E-65.7131933E-61.00.01.5174363E-42.4484883E-52.4484883E-51.00.00.00184591312.9806272E-43.0805974E-41.033541.0E-50.0183065520.00354865680.00355862151.0028081.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-55.3618755E-65.3618755E-61.00.01.10827445E-42.2979264E-52.2979264E-51.00.00.0013484892.7973665E-42.8973387E-41.03573791.0E-50.0134033540.00332369770.00333366451.00299871.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-54.4934723E-64.4934723E-61.00.08.4757245E-51.9257595E-51.9257595E-51.00.00.00103143092.3443601E-42.3443601E-41.00.00.0102665670.00279304340.00279304341.00.0
8.11.468494E-53.6194672E-63.6194672E-61.00.06.293394E-51.551191E-51.551191E-51.00.07.6595135E-41.8884116E-41.8884116E-41.00.00.00763316640.00225575970.00225575971.00.0
8.28.63836E-61.2889557E-61.2889557E-61.00.03.7021015E-55.524084E-65.524084E-61.00.04.5063766E-46.7253655E-56.7253655E-51.00.00.0044972498.4895577E-48.4895577E-41.00.0
8.31.983087E-61.3665972E-71.3665972E-71.00.08.498917E-65.856844E-75.856844E-71.00.01.034694E-47.1306845E-67.1306845E-61.00.00.00103421249.3429386E-59.3429386E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Julian)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.11.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.21.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.31.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.41.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.51.1710231E-58.203258E-61.8203176E-52.21901771.0E-55.0185736E-53.5156358E-54.5156004E-51.28443361.0E-56.1084004E-44.27946E-44.3794172E-41.02335741.0E-50.0060916370.0042713850.0042813421.00233111.0E-5
6.61.1650619E-58.1369035E-61.8136821E-52.22895881.0E-54.993027E-53.4871984E-54.487164E-51.28675321.0E-56.0773146E-44.2448516E-44.344809E-41.0235481.0E-50.00606072140.00423690860.0042468661.00235021.0E-5
6.71.1650619E-58.1369035E-61.8136821E-52.22895881.0E-54.993027E-53.4871984E-54.487164E-51.28675321.0E-56.0773146E-44.2448516E-44.344809E-41.0235481.0E-50.00606072140.00423690860.0042468661.00235021.0E-5
6.81.1442698E-57.9246565E-61.7924578E-52.26187441.0E-54.9039216E-53.396238E-54.396204E-51.29443351.0E-55.968889E-44.1341493E-44.2341082E-41.02417871.0E-50.00595288160.0041266220.00413658051.00241331.0E-5
6.91.1300589E-57.775678E-61.77756E-52.28605151.0E-54.8430196E-53.3323915E-54.332358E-51.30007481.0E-55.894781E-44.0564453E-44.1564048E-41.02464211.0E-50.0058791690.0040492020.00405916151.00245961.0E-5
7.01.1117729E-57.5990047E-61.7598928E-52.31595181.0E-54.764654E-53.2566764E-54.256644E-51.30705151.0E-55.799422E-43.9642962E-44.0642565E-41.02521511.0E-50.00578431040.00395738470.00396734481.00251691.0E-5
7.11.08053955E-57.295285E-61.7295211E-52.37073851.0E-54.6308014E-53.126514E-54.1264826E-51.31983511.0E-55.6365423E-43.8058797E-43.9058417E-41.02626511.0E-50.0056222670.00379951930.00380948121.00262191.0E-5
7.21.032804E-56.8337704E-61.6833701E-52.4633111.0E-54.4262277E-52.9287265E-53.9286973E-51.34143531.0E-55.387599E-43.5651543E-43.6651187E-41.02803921.0E-50.00537455640.00355958470.00356954921.00279931.0E-5
7.39.622426E-66.347355E-61.6347292E-52.57544951.0E-54.1238312E-52.7202672E-53.72024E-51.36760091.0E-55.019608E-43.311434E-43.4114008E-41.03018841.0E-50.0050082850.0033066370.00331660381.00301421.0E-5
7.49.144434E-65.9871218E-61.5987061E-52.67024161.0E-53.9189843E-52.5658848E-53.565859E-51.38971911.0E-54.7703186E-43.1235284E-43.2234972E-41.03200511.0E-50.00476009170.0031192560.0031292251.00319591.0E-5
7.57.988981E-65.0645376E-61.5064486E-52.9745041.0E-53.4238044E-52.1704986E-53.170477E-51.46071361.0E-54.1676845E-42.6422724E-42.7422459E-41.03783621.0E-50.00415987660.00263923830.0026492121.00377891.0E-5
7.66.9554876E-64.2829074E-61.4282865E-53.33485251.0E-52.9808893E-51.8355195E-52.835501E-51.54479491.0E-53.6286283E-42.2345256E-42.3345034E-41.04474221.0E-50.00362270880.0022323770.00224235441.00446951.0E-5
7.74.1557314E-62.1144685E-62.1144685E-61.00.01.7810156E-59.061981E-69.061981E-61.00.02.1681708E-41.1032465E-41.1032465E-41.00.00.00216605650.00110276010.00110276011.00.0
7.82.2597293E-78.5081766E-88.5081766E-81.00.09.684551E-73.646361E-73.646361E-71.00.01.1790877E-54.4394383E-64.4394383E-61.00.01.17902506E-44.4393764E-54.4393764E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.260672E-93.260672E-91.00.02.861498E-81.3974308E-81.3974308E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.701372E-71.701372E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7013708E-61.7013708E-61.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.80967E-61.5809612E-52.72125821.0E-52.4409164E-52.4898369E-53.489812E-51.40162281.0E-52.9714106E-43.0309946E-43.1309642E-41.03298251.0E-50.00296744050.00302725260.00303722221.00329331.0E-5
6.15.695525E-65.80967E-61.5809612E-52.72125821.0E-52.4409164E-52.4898369E-53.489812E-51.40162281.0E-52.9714106E-43.0309946E-43.1309642E-41.03298251.0E-50.00296744050.00302725260.00303722221.00329331.0E-5
6.25.695525E-65.80967E-61.5809612E-52.72125821.0E-52.4409164E-52.4898369E-53.489812E-51.40162281.0E-52.9714106E-43.0309946E-43.1309642E-41.03298251.0E-50.00296744050.00302725260.00303722221.00329331.0E-5
6.33.2995713E-63.368428E-61.3368394E-53.96873381.0E-51.4140943E-51.4436043E-52.4435898E-51.69270061.0E-51.7215237E-41.7574512E-41.8574337E-41.05689061.0E-50.00172019070.00175610810.00176609051.00568441.0E-5
6.43.2995713E-63.368428E-61.3368394E-53.96873381.0E-51.4140943E-51.4436043E-52.4435898E-51.69270061.0E-51.7215237E-41.7574512E-41.8574337E-41.05689061.0E-50.00172019070.00175610810.00176609051.00568441.0E-5
6.52.782202E-62.8424765E-61.2842448E-54.5180491.0E-51.1923668E-51.2181988E-52.2181865E-51.82087411.0E-51.4516099E-41.4830593E-41.5830445E-41.06741821.0E-50.0014506620.00148210210.00149208731.00673721.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.3691787E-61.2369155E-55.2208621.0E-59.927136E-61.0153585E-52.0153484E-51.98486391.0E-51.20856166E-41.2361309E-41.3361184E-41.08088761.0E-50.00120790470.00123546330.0012454511.00808421.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0856783E-61.20856575E-55.79459331.0E-58.7302105E-68.938591E-61.8938501E-52.11873461.0E-51.0628513E-41.08822074E-41.18820986E-41.09188311.0E-50.00106234310.00108770390.0010976931.00918361.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8813486E-61.188133E-56.3153261.0E-57.867153E-68.062898E-61.8062818E-52.2402391.0E-59.577837E-59.81615E-51.0816052E-41.10186291.0E-59.57371E-49.811952E-49.911855E-41.01018171.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6736894E-61.1673673E-56.97481441.0E-56.9902153E-67.1729355E-61.7172864E-52.39411931.0E-58.510255E-58.7327106E-59.732623E-51.1145021.0E-58.5069967E-48.7293907E-48.829303E-41.01144551.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2426154E-61.1242603E-59.0475321.0E-55.1677193E-65.325484E-61.5325431E-52.87775371.0E-56.291517E-56.483586E-57.483521E-51.15422561.0E-56.289736E-46.4817176E-46.5816526E-41.0154181.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0873173E-61.1087306E-510.1969381.0E-54.5102006E-64.659923E-61.4659876E-53.14594821.0E-55.491031E-55.6733094E-56.673252E-51.17625391.0E-55.4896745E-45.67187E-45.771813E-41.01762091.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0410623E-61.1041052E-510.6055631.0E-54.3146156E-64.461688E-61.4461643E-53.24129411.0E-55.252918E-55.4319706E-56.431916E-51.18408521.0E-55.251676E-45.4306514E-45.530597E-41.0184041.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.692815E-71.0969272E-511.316911.0E-54.0112645E-64.154057E-61.4154016E-53.40727521.0E-54.8836053E-55.057448E-56.0573973E-51.19771811.0E-54.8825322E-45.0563045E-45.156254E-41.01976731.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.134946E-71.0913485E-511.9469621.0E-53.7764542E-63.914971E-61.39149315E-53.55428741.0E-54.5977362E-54.7663736E-55.766326E-51.20979311.0E-54.596785E-44.7653588E-44.8653112E-41.02097481.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6043553E-71.0860427E-512.6220111.0E-53.5538749E-63.6875756E-61.3687539E-53.71179871.0E-54.326757E-54.4895314E-55.4894866E-51.22273041.0E-54.3259145E-44.488632E-44.588587E-41.02226851.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.8481355E-71.0784805E-513.741871.0E-53.2373566E-63.3634824E-61.33634485E-53.97309921.0E-53.9414106E-54.0949635E-55.0949224E-51.24419251.0E-53.9407116E-44.0942157E-44.1941748E-41.02441471.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.793075E-71.06793E-515.7208631.0E-52.797941E-62.9113148E-61.2911286E-54.4348641.0E-53.40644E-53.5444686E-54.5444332E-51.28211981.0E-53.405918E-43.5439097E-43.6438744E-41.02820741.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6132118E-71.0361317E-528.6761971.0E-51.4822873E-61.5485185E-61.1548503E-57.4577751.0E-51.80467E-51.8853054E-52.8852866E-51.5304081.0E-51.8045233E-41.8851498E-41.985131E-41.05303621.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6495033E-92.6495033E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1355014E-81.1355014E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3824729E-71.3824729E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3824729E-61.3824729E-61.00.0

San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.687423E-61.6856677E-61.1685651E-56.93235731.0E-57.231793E-67.224272E-61.72242E-52.38421251.0E-58.804352E-58.7952205E-59.795132E-51.11368811.0E-58.8008645E-48.791978E-48.8918896E-41.0113641.0E-5
6.11.687423E-61.6856677E-61.1685651E-56.93235731.0E-57.231793E-67.224272E-61.72242E-52.38421251.0E-58.804352E-58.7952205E-59.795132E-51.11368811.0E-58.8008645E-48.791978E-48.8918896E-41.0113641.0E-5
6.21.0765672E-61.0712868E-61.1071276E-510.33455851.0E-54.613851E-64.5912216E-61.4591175E-53.17805961.0E-55.617219E-55.589675E-56.5896194E-51.17889131.0E-55.6157995E-45.588331E-45.6882756E-41.01788441.0E-5
6.38.523104E-78.4579983E-71.0845792E-512.8231181.0E-53.6527538E-63.6248516E-61.3624815E-53.75872371.0E-54.447137E-54.4131706E-55.4131266E-51.22658441.0E-54.4462472E-44.412326E-44.512282E-41.02265381.0E-5
6.48.523104E-78.4579983E-71.0845792E-512.8231181.0E-53.6527538E-63.6248516E-61.3624815E-53.75872371.0E-54.447137E-54.4131706E-55.4131266E-51.22658441.0E-54.4462472E-44.412326E-44.512282E-41.02265381.0E-5
6.57.0029404E-76.9243345E-71.0692426E-515.4418111.0E-53.0012568E-62.9675687E-61.2967539E-54.3697521.0E-53.6539688E-53.6129568E-54.6129204E-51.27677171.0E-53.653368E-43.612386E-43.71235E-41.02767251.0E-5
6.65.583906E-75.493317E-71.0549326E-519.203931.0E-52.3931002E-62.3542764E-61.2354253E-55.24757961.0E-52.9135606E-52.8662946E-53.866266E-51.34887251.0E-52.9131788E-42.8659322E-42.9659035E-41.03488271.0E-5
6.74.73441E-74.6353804E-74.6353804E-71.00.02.0290313E-61.9865902E-61.9865902E-61.00.02.4703175E-52.4186471E-52.4186471E-51.00.02.470043E-42.4183883E-42.4183883E-41.00.0
6.84.1466086E-74.04144E-74.04144E-71.00.01.7771167E-61.7320447E-61.7320447E-61.00.02.1636182E-52.1087442E-52.1087442E-51.00.02.1634075E-42.1085476E-42.1085476E-41.00.0
6.93.2056641E-73.089059E-73.089059E-71.00.01.3738553E-61.3238817E-61.3238817E-61.00.01.6726559E-51.6118142E-51.6118142E-51.00.01.67253E-41.6116988E-41.6116988E-41.00.0
7.02.6315942E-72.5068647E-72.5068647E-71.00.01.1278256E-61.0743702E-61.0743702E-61.00.01.3731191E-51.3080379E-51.3080379E-51.00.01.3730342E-41.3079618E-41.3079618E-41.00.0
7.12.1832436E-72.0512205E-72.0512205E-71.00.09.356755E-78.790942E-78.790942E-71.00.01.13917895E-51.070292E-51.070292E-51.00.01.1391206E-41.070241E-41.070241E-41.00.0
7.21.7393015E-71.5989674E-71.5989674E-71.00.07.454147E-76.852716E-76.852716E-71.00.09.075386E-68.34315E-68.34315E-61.00.09.075015E-58.342839E-58.342839E-51.00.0
7.31.3744894E-71.2267861E-71.2267861E-71.00.05.890667E-75.2576536E-75.2576536E-71.00.07.1718637E-66.4011747E-66.4011747E-61.00.07.171632E-56.400992E-56.400992E-51.00.0
7.41.0915278E-79.371475E-89.371475E-81.00.04.6779755E-74.016346E-74.016346E-71.00.05.6954204E-64.8898905E-64.8898905E-61.00.05.6952744E-54.8897833E-54.8897833E-51.00.0
7.59.490291E-87.9092885E-87.9092885E-81.00.04.0672668E-73.3896947E-73.3896947E-71.00.04.9518862E-64.1269454E-64.1269454E-61.00.04.951776E-54.1268693E-54.1268693E-51.00.0
7.67.256678E-85.6093874E-85.6093874E-81.00.03.1100043E-72.404023E-72.404023E-71.00.03.7864236E-62.926894E-62.926894E-61.00.03.7863592E-52.9268556E-52.9268556E-51.00.0
7.75.446273E-83.7383117E-83.7383117E-81.00.02.3341168E-71.6021335E-71.6021335E-71.00.02.8417835E-61.9505958E-61.9505958E-61.00.02.8417471E-51.9505787E-51.9505787E-51.00.0
7.83.5850867E-81.8504748E-81.8504748E-81.00.01.5364655E-77.930606E-87.930606E-81.00.01.8706452E-69.655508E-79.655508E-71.00.01.8706294E-59.655467E-69.655467E-61.00.0
7.92.45879E-88.683762E-98.683762E-91.00.01.0537671E-73.721613E-83.721613E-81.00.01.2829606E-64.5310622E-74.5310622E-71.00.01.2829532E-54.531053E-64.531053E-61.00.0
8.01.8151761E-85.274786E-95.274786E-91.00.07.779326E-82.2606228E-82.2606228E-81.00.09.4713255E-72.7523078E-72.7523078E-71.00.09.471285E-62.7523045E-62.7523045E-61.00.0
8.19.559205E-92.930885E-92.930885E-91.00.04.096802E-81.2560937E-81.2560937E-81.00.04.9878554E-71.529294E-71.529294E-71.00.04.987844E-61.5292931E-61.5292931E-61.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.0983577E-55.0983577E-51.00.01.794396E-42.1848796E-42.2848578E-41.04575911.0E-50.0021824880.00265776440.00266773771.00375261.0E-50.0216117760.0263500270.0263597631.00036951.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.0983577E-55.0983577E-51.00.01.794396E-42.1848796E-42.2848578E-41.04575911.0E-50.0021824880.00265776440.00266773771.00375261.0E-50.0216117760.0263500270.0263597631.00036951.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.1133957E-52.1133957E-51.00.07.436919E-59.057305E-51.0057214E-41.11039821.0E-59.050688E-40.00110253950.00111252851.009061.0E-50.0090139150.0110068660.0110167561.00089851.0E-5
6.31.7353306E-52.1133957E-52.1133957E-51.00.07.436919E-59.057305E-51.0057214E-41.11039821.0E-59.050688E-40.00110253950.00111252851.009061.0E-50.0090139150.0110068660.0110167561.00089851.0E-5
6.41.4028824E-51.7078088E-51.7078088E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.3191804E-58.319107E-51.13661731.0E-57.3174125E-48.911071E-49.010982E-41.0112121.0E-50.00729336450.0089106260.0089205371.00111221.0E-5

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.403162E-58.403162E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.6009017E-43.6009017E-41.00.00.00354431270.00437613760.00437613761.00.00.034883140.0429882220.0429977921.00022261.0E-5
6.16.8044945E-58.403162E-58.403162E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.6009017E-43.6009017E-41.00.00.00354431270.00437613760.00437613761.00.00.034883140.0429882220.0429977921.00022261.0E-5
6.26.8044945E-58.403162E-58.403162E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.6009017E-43.6009017E-41.00.00.00354431270.00437613760.00437613761.00.00.034883140.0429882220.0429977921.00022261.0E-5
6.36.8044945E-58.403162E-58.403162E-51.00.02.9158857E-43.6009017E-43.6009017E-41.00.00.00354431270.00437613760.00437613761.00.00.034883140.0429882220.0429977921.00022261.0E-5
6.44.5830013E-55.4713866E-55.4713866E-51.00.01.9639956E-42.3446821E-42.3446821E-41.00.00.00238854230.00285134670.00285134671.00.00.0236303210.0281906330.028200351.00034481.0E-5
6.54.5830013E-55.4713866E-55.4713866E-51.00.01.9639956E-42.3446821E-42.3446821E-41.00.00.00238854230.00285134670.00285134671.00.00.0236303210.0281906330.028200351.00034481.0E-5
6.63.222194E-53.697075E-53.697075E-51.00.01.3808672E-41.5843702E-41.5843702E-41.00.00.00167990920.00192736160.00192736161.00.00.0166726650.0191165430.0191263541.00051311.0E-5
6.72.4155654E-52.7011394E-52.7011394E-51.00.01.0352012E-41.1575803E-41.1575803E-41.00.00.00125962870.00140845040.00140845041.00.00.0125251260.0139963420.0140062031.00070451.0E-5
6.82.1814667E-52.4270836E-52.4270836E-51.00.09.348808E-51.04013736E-41.04013736E-41.00.00.0011376230.00126563510.00126563511.00.00.0113181690.0125848840.0125947581.00078461.0E-5
6.92.0700467E-52.2999127E-52.2999127E-51.00.08.871327E-59.856398E-59.856398E-51.00.00.00107954880.00119935880.00119935881.00.00.0107431940.0119293880.0119392691.00082831.0E-5
7.02.0104066E-52.2326118E-52.2326118E-51.00.08.615744E-59.567987E-59.567987E-51.00.00.00104846190.00116428280.00116428281.00.00.0104352910.0115823270.0115922111.00085341.0E-5
7.11.8225232E-52.021933E-52.021933E-51.00.07.81058E-58.66514E-58.66514E-51.00.09.5052324E-40.00105447170.00105447171.00.00.0094646770.0104949910.01050488651.00094281.0E-5
7.21.7526572E-51.9455878E-51.9455878E-51.00.07.511172E-58.337967E-58.337967E-51.00.09.141015E-40.00101467620.00101467621.00.00.0091035060.010100720.01011061951.000981.0E-5
7.31.5727232E-51.7517832E-51.7517832E-51.00.06.740067E-57.507427E-57.507427E-51.00.08.2029426E-49.136471E-49.136471E-41.00.00.0081727290.0090991430.0091090521.0010891.0E-5
7.41.4457361E-51.612562E-51.612562E-51.00.06.195865E-56.910797E-56.910797E-51.00.07.540854E-48.410656E-48.410656E-41.00.00.0075153170.0083790030.008388921.00118351.0E-5
7.51.33280955E-51.4898298E-51.4898298E-51.00.05.711916E-56.3848296E-56.3848296E-51.00.06.9520384E-47.770765E-47.770765E-41.00.00.006930330.0077437530.00775367531.00128141.0E-5
7.61.0699478E-51.201023E-51.201023E-51.00.04.5854096E-55.14714E-55.14714E-51.00.05.581306E-46.2648463E-46.2648463E-41.00.00.0055673090.006247290.00625722761.00159071.0E-5
7.75.9390236E-66.649781E-66.649781E-61.00.02.545271E-52.8498753E-52.8498753E-51.00.03.0984267E-43.469173E-43.469173E-41.00.00.00309411020.0034638010.00347376641.0028771.0E-5
7.82.1622036E-62.297066E-62.297066E-61.00.09.266554E-69.8445325E-69.8445325E-61.00.01.1281446E-41.1985066E-41.1985066E-41.00.00.0011275720.00119786220.00120785031.00833821.0E-5
7.94.9586197E-75.171086E-75.171086E-71.00.02.125121E-62.216178E-62.216178E-61.00.02.5873042E-52.6981654E-52.6981654E-51.00.02.5870028E-42.6978584E-42.6978584E-41.00.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.6540124E-53.180636E-54.180604E-51.31439261.0E-52.4229231E-41.36308E-41.4630663E-41.07335331.0E-50.00294591860.00165869770.0016686811.00601891.0E-50.0290717070.0165287350.016538571.0005951.0E-5
6.13.8306698E-53.180636E-54.180604E-51.31439261.0E-51.6416123E-41.36308E-41.4630663E-41.07335331.0E-50.00199683060.00165869770.0016686811.00601891.0E-50.0197898280.0165287350.016538571.0005951.0E-5
6.23.8306698E-53.180636E-54.180604E-51.31439261.0E-51.6416123E-41.36308E-41.4630663E-41.07335331.0E-50.00199683060.00165869770.0016686811.00601891.0E-50.0197898280.0165287350.016538571.0005951.0E-5
6.33.3197924E-52.7998416E-53.7998136E-51.3571531.0E-51.4226905E-41.1998983E-41.2998864E-41.08333041.0E-50.00173074950.00146029840.00147028371.0068381.0E-50.0171733180.0145647270.0145745821.00067661.0E-5
6.42.5148964E-52.0737723E-52.0737723E-51.00.01.0777682E-48.8875E-58.8875E-51.00.00.00131139290.0010818840.0010818841.00.00.013036810.010791610.010791611.00.0
6.52.5148964E-52.0737723E-52.0737723E-51.00.01.0777682E-48.8875E-58.8875E-51.00.00.00131139290.0010818840.0010818841.00.00.013036810.010791610.010791611.00.0

Burnt Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5673151E-51.129354E-52.1293428E-51.88545191.0E-56.716892E-54.840066E-55.8400175E-51.20659881.0E-58.1747473E-45.892376E-45.9923175E-41.01696111.0E-50.0081447410.00588841270.0058983541.00168821.0E-5
6.11.5673151E-51.129354E-52.1293428E-51.88545191.0E-56.716892E-54.840066E-55.8400175E-51.20659881.0E-58.1747473E-45.892376E-45.9923175E-41.01696111.0E-50.0081447410.00588841270.0058983541.00168821.0E-5
6.21.5673151E-51.129354E-52.1293428E-51.88545191.0E-56.716892E-54.840066E-55.8400175E-51.20659881.0E-58.1747473E-45.892376E-45.9923175E-41.01696111.0E-50.0081447410.00588841270.0058983541.00168821.0E-5
6.31.5673151E-51.129354E-52.1293428E-51.88545191.0E-56.716892E-54.840066E-55.8400175E-51.20659881.0E-58.1747473E-45.892376E-45.9923175E-41.01696111.0E-50.0081447410.00588841270.0058983541.00168821.0E-5
6.41.5673151E-51.129354E-52.1293428E-51.88545191.0E-56.716892E-54.840066E-55.8400175E-51.20659881.0E-58.1747473E-45.892376E-45.9923175E-41.01696111.0E-50.0081447410.00588841270.0058983541.00168821.0E-5
6.51.36191375E-59.677575E-61.9677478E-52.03330661.0E-55.8366426E-54.1475323E-55.1474908E-51.24109721.0E-57.103795E-45.0496205E-45.14957E-41.01979351.0E-50.00708112960.00504962030.005059571.00197031.0E-5