Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03332967 | 1085.9895 | 0.0333 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.040406227 | 307.21106 | 0.04028 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05427597 | 33.913837 | 0.05276 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.078541405 | 4.9353085 | 0.06364 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03332967 | 1085.9895 | 0.0333 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.040406227 | 307.21106 | 0.04028 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05427597 | 33.913837 | 0.05276 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.078541405 | 4.9353085 | 0.06364 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03332967 | 1085.9895 | 0.0333 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.040406227 | 307.21106 | 0.04028 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05427597 | 33.913837 | 0.05276 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.078541405 | 4.9353085 | 0.06364 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017799221 | 909.5916 | 0.01778 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.021532064 | 256.75497 | 0.02145 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029081978 | 28.493631 | 0.02809 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.043794483 | 4.306261 | 0.03397 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017799221 | 909.5916 | 0.01778 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.021532064 | 256.75497 | 0.02145 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029081978 | 28.493631 | 0.02809 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.043794483 | 4.306261 | 0.03397 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017799221 | 909.5916 | 0.01778 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.021532064 | 256.75497 | 0.02145 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029081978 | 28.493631 | 0.02809 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.043794483 | 4.306261 | 0.03397 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017799221 | 909.5916 | 0.01778 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.021532064 | 256.75497 | 0.02145 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029081978 | 28.493631 | 0.02809 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.043794483 | 4.306261 | 0.03397 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 1.9556857E-5 | 0.01778921 | 909.6149 | 0.01777 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.381299E-5 | 0.02149202 | 256.42825 | 0.02141 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010200485 | 0.029031446 | 28.460848 | 0.02804 | 0.010073971 | 0.010164012 | 0.043739248 | 4.3033447 | 0.03392 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009747398 | 203.65404 | 0.0097 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.01354503 | 23.249832 | 0.01297 | 0.0063546924 | 0.005812315 | 0.021341527 | 3.6717775 | 0.01562 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009747398 | 203.65404 | 0.0097 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.01354503 | 23.249832 | 0.01297 | 0.0063546924 | 0.005812315 | 0.021341527 | 3.6717775 | 0.01562 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 7.761541E-6 | 0.004687725 | 603.9684 | 0.00468 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.326334E-5 | 0.0057130745 | 171.75287 | 0.00568 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.0490908E-4 | 0.008011828 | 19.786732 | 0.00761 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0040422147 | 0.013175148 | 3.2593882 | 0.00917 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.6492615E-6 | 0.004637614 | 606.28253 | 0.00463 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.2782158E-5 | 0.0056325984 | 171.81903 | 0.0056 | 4.7629757E-4 | 3.9905283E-4 | 0.007906056 | 19.812054 | 0.00751 | 0.00475278 | 0.0039838636 | 0.012987849 | 3.260114 | 0.00904 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.4561726E-6 | 0.004497423 | 603.18115 | 0.00449 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.1954653E-5 | 0.0054417816 | 170.29701 | 0.00541 | 4.6172875E-4 | 3.8898157E-4 | 0.0076361615 | 19.631165 | 0.00725 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0038835055 | 0.012589564 | 3.241804 | 0.00874 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.2711273E-6 | 0.0043372395 | 596.50165 | 0.00433 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.116162E-5 | 0.005240999 | 168.18764 | 0.00521 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.793298E-4 | 0.007366678 | 19.420246 | 0.00699 | 0.004463301 | 0.0037873127 | 0.012155499 | 3.2095315 | 0.0084 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.562192E-6 | 0.0038265372 | 583.1188 | 0.00382 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.8123392E-5 | 0.004637994 | 164.91588 | 0.00461 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.4235127E-4 | 0.0064202696 | 18.753456 | 0.00608 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0034186998 | 0.01065388 | 3.1163545 | 0.00726 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.1412295E-6 | 0.0023441315 | 566.04724 | 0.00234 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.7748014E-5 | 0.0028476978 | 160.45163 | 0.00283 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.160622E-4 | 0.00383528 | 17.750814 | 0.00362 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0021586353 | 0.0064892666 | 3.0061896 | 0.00434 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1265222E-6 | 5.9112586E-4 | 524.73517 | 5.9E-4 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.827945E-6 | 7.048246E-4 | 145.98854 | 7.0E-4 | 7.249717E-5 | 5.8778853E-5 | 9.2872774E-4 | 15.800372 | 8.7E-4 | 7.247352E-4 | 5.876537E-4 | 0.001657025 | 2.81973 | 0.00107 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.299393E-7 | 8.022992E-5 | 348.91782 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2824837E-6 | 9.854539E-7 | 1.0098536E-4 | 102.47599 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.1997841E-5 | 1.2199652E-4 | 10.168206 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.1997262E-4 | 2.3995823E-4 | 2.0001082 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.021378078 | 1157.3456 | 0.02136 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.026097104 | 329.6603 | 0.02602 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.035360534 | 36.691895 | 0.03443 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05138128 | 5.3371177 | 0.04216 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.021378078 | 1157.3456 | 0.02136 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.026097104 | 329.6603 | 0.02602 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.035360534 | 36.691895 | 0.03443 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05138128 | 5.3371177 | 0.04216 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.021378078 | 1157.3456 | 0.02136 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.026097104 | 329.6603 | 0.02602 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.035360534 | 36.691895 | 0.03443 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05138128 | 5.3371177 | 0.04216 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.021378078 | 1157.3456 | 0.02136 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.026097104 | 329.6603 | 0.02602 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.035360534 | 36.691895 | 0.03443 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05138128 | 5.3371177 | 0.04216 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.0022523932 | 939.0543 | 0.00225 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027402516 | 266.57233 | 0.00273 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280283 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.0057353172 | 4.584828 | 0.00449 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.0022523932 | 939.0543 | 0.00225 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027402516 | 266.57233 | 0.00273 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280283 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.0057353172 | 4.584828 | 0.00449 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.0022523932 | 939.0543 | 0.00225 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027402516 | 266.57233 | 0.00273 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280283 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.0057353172 | 4.584828 | 0.00449 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.2910082E-6 | 8.9128985E-4 | 690.3828 | 8.9E-4 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.532881E-6 | 0.0010255273 | 185.35141 | 0.00102 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.73608E-5 | 0.0015572604 | 23.1182 | 0.00149 | 0.0012132917 | 6.734094E-4 | 0.0024622038 | 3.6563258 | 0.00179 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1564804E-6 | 7.9115556E-4 | 684.1064 | 7.9E-4 | 8.711692E-6 | 4.956335E-6 | 8.8495197E-4 | 178.54967 | 8.8E-4 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.0341754E-5 | 0.0013402646 | 22.21123 | 0.00128 | 0.0010600908 | 6.0325814E-4 | 0.002152323 | 3.567831 | 0.00155 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0339999E-6 | 6.510333E-4 | 629.6261 | 6.5E-4 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.4314206E-6 | 7.344282E-4 | 165.732 | 7.3E-4 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.395124E-5 | 0.0010838957 | 20.090282 | 0.00103 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.393843E-4 | 0.0018286885 | 3.3903258 | 0.00129 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 9.942491E-7 | 6.409936E-4 | 644.7012 | 6.4E-4 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.261061E-6 | 7.24258E-4 | 169.97128 | 7.2E-4 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.187721E-5 | 0.0010718243 | 20.660793 | 0.00102 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.186537E-4 | 0.001787995 | 3.4473772 | 0.00127 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.361385E-7 | 5.909356E-4 | 631.248 | 5.9E-4 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.0120162E-6 | 6.6400936E-4 | 165.50516 | 6.6E-4 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.8845228E-5 | 9.887993E-4 | 20.243519 | 9.4E-4 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.883474E-4 | 0.0016677711 | 3.4151328 | 0.00118 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.208754E-7 | 4.6072053E-4 | 639.1126 | 4.6E-4 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.0894623E-6 | 5.130879E-4 | 166.07675 | 5.1E-4 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.761357E-5 | 7.275876E-4 | 19.343754 | 6.9E-4 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.7607353E-4 | 0.00123575 | 3.285927 | 8.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.567934E-7 | 3.3055662E-4 | 593.6791 | 3.3E-4 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.3862553E-6 | 3.8238536E-4 | 160.24493 | 3.8E-4 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9052284E-5 | 5.1903806E-4 | 17.865654 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9048612E-4 | 9.303002E-4 | 3.2025635 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.324827E-7 | 2.6043237E-4 | 602.1799 | 2.6E-4 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.853496E-6 | 2.9185295E-4 | 157.4608 | 2.9E-4 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.2566092E-5 | 4.0255752E-4 | 17.839045 | 3.8E-4 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.2563916E-4 | 7.0553087E-4 | 3.1268103 | 4.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2088996E-7 | 8.0220874E-5 | 363.1712 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.466709E-7 | 9.094659E-5 | 96.06991 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1525659E-5 | 1.4152416E-4 | 12.279051 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.1525078E-4 | 3.052289E-4 | 2.6483889 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.1790112E-7 | 4.0117895E-5 | 340.26727 | 4.0E-5 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.052905E-7 | 4.050527E-5 | 80.16235 | 4.0E-5 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.151895E-6 | 5.6151588E-5 | 9.127527 | 5.0E-5 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.151736E-5 | 1.4151244E-4 | 2.300366 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.5686547E-8 | 3.5686547E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.5294233E-7 | 1.5294233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 1.8620714E-6 | 1.8620714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 1.8620567E-5 | 1.8620567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.0500136E-8 | 3.0500136E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.3071485E-7 | 1.3071485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.5914524E-6 | 1.5914524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.5914418E-5 | 1.5914418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.250214E-9 | 3.250214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.02024561 | 774.5793 | 0.02022 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024569275 | 219.34134 | 0.02446 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.033289444 | 24.423294 | 0.03197 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.05175229 | 3.817321 | 0.03872 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018639E-5 | 0.020125495 | 773.503 | 0.0201 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.11504276E-4 | 0.024418794 | 218.99423 | 0.02431 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568236 | 0.033093702 | 24.390572 | 0.03178 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496017 | 0.051486284 | 3.8149245 | 0.03851 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018639E-5 | 0.020125495 | 773.503 | 0.0201 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.11504276E-4 | 0.024418794 | 218.99423 | 0.02431 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568236 | 0.033093702 | 24.390572 | 0.03178 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496017 | 0.051486284 | 3.8149245 | 0.03851 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.6973776E-5 | 0.009986805 | 588.3667 | 0.00997 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.274282E-5 | 0.012231858 | 168.1521 | 0.01216 | 9.947256E-4 | 8.853008E-4 | 0.017011013 | 19.214952 | 0.01614 | 0.009902848 | 0.008819629 | 0.028127823 | 3.1892295 | 0.01948 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.6956998E-5 | 0.009976788 | 588.35815 | 0.00996 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.267092E-5 | 0.012221788 | 168.1799 | 0.01215 | 9.930939E-4 | 8.8442606E-4 | 0.017000161 | 19.221685 | 0.01613 | 0.0098866755 | 0.008810951 | 0.028109403 | 3.19028 | 0.01947 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3340829E-5 | 0.0065632532 | 491.96744 | 0.00655 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.7173755E-5 | 0.008076715 | 141.26614 | 0.00802 | 8.302132E-4 | 6.958724E-4 | 0.0112685105 | 16.193357 | 0.01058 | 0.008271185 | 0.00693757 | 0.019668631 | 2.8350892 | 0.01282 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3225725E-5 | 0.00652314 | 493.21606 | 0.00651 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.6680467E-5 | 0.00799623 | 141.07559 | 0.00794 | 8.2293496E-4 | 6.898705E-4 | 0.011152647 | 16.166292 | 0.01047 | 0.008198941 | 0.0068779234 | 0.019470712 | 2.8308997 | 0.01268 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.2964973E-5 | 0.0063628824 | 490.77484 | 0.00635 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.556301E-5 | 0.007775134 | 139.93364 | 0.00772 | 8.0409093E-4 | 6.7627395E-4 | 0.010849389 | 16.04289 | 0.01018 | 0.008011877 | 0.0067427857 | 0.019009512 | 2.8192372 | 0.01235 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2245817E-5 | 0.0060721715 | 495.8568 | 0.00606 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.248104E-5 | 0.0073820963 | 140.66216 | 0.00733 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.3877343E-4 | 0.010342571 | 16.191298 | 0.00971 | 0.007555048 | 0.006369988 | 0.018065013 | 2.835957 | 0.01177 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.0822026E-5 | 0.0052407654 | 484.2684 | 0.00523 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.6379308E-5 | 0.0064260834 | 138.55496 | 0.00638 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.6452537E-4 | 0.008999761 | 15.942172 | 0.00844 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0056314785 | 0.015793925 | 2.8045785 | 0.01022 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.556859E-6 | 0.0035275302 | 466.79846 | 0.00352 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.238615E-5 | 0.004322247 | 133.45975 | 0.00429 | 4.605111E-4 | 3.9423234E-4 | 0.0059020603 | 14.97102 | 0.00551 | 0.0045955796 | 0.003935522 | 0.010639036 | 2.7033355 | 0.00673 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8017014E-6 | 0.0011227985 | 400.75598 | 0.00112 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2007238E-5 | 0.0013819907 | 115.09647 | 0.00137 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4617867E-4 | 0.0019059214 | 13.0383 | 0.00176 | 0.0016961104 | 0.00146086 | 0.0036676317 | 2.5105975 | 0.00221 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1204551E-6 | 3.5112005E-4 | 313.3727 | 3.5E-4 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.801942E-6 | 4.148E-4 | 86.381714 | 4.1E-4 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.846216E-5 | 5.484335E-4 | 9.381 | 4.9E-4 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.844761E-4 | 0.0012141078 | 2.0772583 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.201457E-7 | 9.0320114E-5 | 282.12192 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3720522E-6 | 9.137193E-5 | 66.59508 | 9.0E-5 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6704618E-5 | 1.2670278E-4 | 7.584895 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6703462E-4 | 2.970129E-4 | 1.7781518 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.172395E-6 | 2.4172312E-5 | 5.79339 | 2.0E-5 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.172337E-5 | 7.172212E-5 | 1.7189915 | 3.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.00667844 | 233.26186 | 0.00665 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008361686 | 68.148926 | 0.00824 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012506385 | 8.377516 | 0.01103 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02817149 | 1.8993313 | 0.01354 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.7989014E-5 | 0.006677803 | 238.58658 | 0.00665 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.199476E-4 | 0.00834896 | 69.605064 | 0.00823 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0014594194 | 0.0124433655 | 8.526244 | 0.011 | 0.016039822 | 0.014502382 | 0.027816454 | 1.9180611 | 0.01351 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.7381237E-5 | 0.0066472 | 242.76479 | 0.00662 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.1734308E-4 | 0.00832638 | 70.95757 | 0.00821 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014277508 | 0.012382088 | 8.672443 | 0.01097 | 0.015762992 | 0.014189743 | 0.027478466 | 1.936502 | 0.01348 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.3471006E-5 | 0.0065133185 | 277.50488 | 0.00649 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.00586265E-4 | 0.008149777 | 81.02276 | 0.00805 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012239701 | 0.011930849 | 9.7476635 | 0.01072 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012174691 | 0.025144838 | 2.0653367 | 0.01313 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1173697E-5 | 0.006471037 | 305.6168 | 0.00645 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.074135E-5 | 0.0080600185 | 88.82409 | 0.00797 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011042327 | 0.011702517 | 10.597872 | 0.01061 | 0.012905477 | 0.010989455 | 0.023807032 | 2.1663523 | 0.01296 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.6778384E-5 | 0.0061466754 | 366.3449 | 0.00613 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.19054E-5 | 0.007611363 | 105.852455 | 0.00754 | 0.0010923136 | 8.75101E-4 | 0.010826385 | 12.371583 | 0.00996 | 0.0108696 | 0.008717263 | 0.020721696 | 2.3770876 | 0.01211 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6246646E-5 | 0.006126147 | 377.07153 | 0.00611 | 8.7594504E-5 | 6.962665E-5 | 0.0075791036 | 108.85349 | 0.00751 | 0.0010659413 | 8.4737904E-4 | 0.0107489815 | 12.684975 | 0.00991 | 0.010608427 | 0.008442176 | 0.020380532 | 2.4141326 | 0.01204 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.4870068E-5 | 0.0058447835 | 393.05692 | 0.00583 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.372733E-5 | 0.007173274 | 112.56197 | 0.00711 | 9.6293533E-4 | 7.7560806E-4 | 0.010228271 | 13.187422 | 0.00946 | 0.009587734 | 0.007729658 | 0.019130845 | 2.4749923 | 0.01149 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4032814E-5 | 0.0053839576 | 383.66913 | 0.00537 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.0139264E-5 | 0.0066397437 | 110.406136 | 0.00658 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.319532E-4 | 0.00944557 | 12.90461 | 0.00872 | 0.009157699 | 0.007296016 | 0.01777897 | 2.4368052 | 0.01056 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.0831783E-5 | 0.0037107917 | 342.58365 | 0.0037 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.6421115E-5 | 0.004576211 | 98.580376 | 0.00453 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.650329E-4 | 0.0064716935 | 11.453659 | 0.00591 | 0.007068595 | 0.0056361756 | 0.012845313 | 2.2790833 | 0.00725 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.5077944E-6 | 0.0012655009 | 229.76544 | 0.00126 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.3604622E-5 | 0.0015935675 | 67.510826 | 0.00157 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.8734878E-4 | 0.0023767482 | 8.271301 | 0.00209 | 0.0036401073 | 0.002869814 | 0.005472324 | 1.9068567 | 0.00261 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2147848E-6 | 5.232131E-4 | 162.75215 | 5.2E-4 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.3777577E-5 | 6.637686E-4 | 48.177456 | 6.5E-4 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.6772922E-4 | 9.9759E-4 | 5.9476223 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0016760388 | 0.0026943292 | 1.6075578 | 0.00102 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4143629E-6 | 1.5141415E-4 | 107.054665 | 1.5E-4 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.0615416E-6 | 2.0606033E-4 | 33.99471 | 2.0E-4 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.379679E-5 | 3.4377686E-4 | 4.6584253 | 2.7E-4 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.377256E-4 | 0.0010674822 | 1.4469908 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2207414E-7 | 1.0222072E-5 | 46.03 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.5174596E-7 | 3.0951716E-5 | 32.520985 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1587448E-5 | 7.158675E-5 | 6.1779566 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.15868716E-4 | 1.9585945E-4 | 1.6903566 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.0029816844 | 137.09726 | 0.00296 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.0041928235 | 44.984703 | 0.0041 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0073172078 | 6.451264 | 0.00619 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.01954438 | 1.7313316 | 0.00835 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.0029816844 | 137.09726 | 0.00296 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.0041928235 | 44.984703 | 0.0041 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0073172078 | 6.451264 | 0.00619 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.01954438 | 1.7313316 | 0.00835 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021362267 | 131.36975 | 0.00212 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0030294827 | 43.47143 | 0.00296 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0052244468 | 6.1597295 | 0.00438 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014232757 | 1.683945 | 0.00583 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021362267 | 131.36975 | 0.00212 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0030294827 | 43.47143 | 0.00296 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0052244468 | 6.1597295 | 0.00438 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014232757 | 1.683945 | 0.00583 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0017236767 | 125.814896 | 0.00171 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024485732 | 41.70373 | 0.00239 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.0042820754 | 5.992047 | 0.00357 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.011851726 | 1.6632499 | 0.00476 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0017236767 | 125.814896 | 0.00171 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024485732 | 41.70373 | 0.00239 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.0042820754 | 5.992047 | 0.00357 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.011851726 | 1.6632499 | 0.00476 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3383776E-5 | 0.0016933613 | 126.52344 | 0.00168 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.735791E-5 | 0.0024172226 | 42.14279 | 0.00236 | 7.4992597E-4 | 6.981325E-4 | 0.004205682 | 6.024189 | 0.00351 | 0.007474003 | 0.006961746 | 0.011579374 | 1.6632859 | 0.00465 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.2873106E-5 | 0.0016428521 | 127.61894 | 0.00163 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.516942E-5 | 0.0023350436 | 42.324963 | 0.00228 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.7150424E-4 | 0.004029248 | 6.0003314 | 0.00336 | 0.007217 | 0.0066970866 | 0.011107352 | 1.6585349 | 0.00444 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 8.9083605E-6 | 0.0011488982 | 128.96854 | 0.00114 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.817822E-5 | 0.0016581164 | 43.43095 | 0.00162 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.6473645E-4 | 0.002863621 | 6.1618176 | 0.0024 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004639199 | 0.0075954203 | 1.6372267 | 0.00297 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.540374E-6 | 0.0011285308 | 132.14067 | 0.00112 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.660118E-5 | 0.001626543 | 44.439632 | 0.00159 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.4554388E-4 | 0.0028044924 | 6.294537 | 0.00236 | 0.005048454 | 0.004448045 | 0.007365012 | 1.6557864 | 0.00293 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.3828425E-6 | 0.0010663761 | 167.06915 | 0.00106 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.735482E-5 | 0.0015173141 | 55.467888 | 0.00149 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.3300606E-4 | 0.0025122801 | 7.5442476 | 0.00218 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0033262526 | 0.0059973383 | 1.8030316 | 0.00268 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.6775854E-6 | 7.526756E-4 | 281.10236 | 7.5E-4 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1475317E-5 | 9.814642E-4 | 85.52829 | 9.7E-4 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.3970325E-4 | 0.0015495062 | 11.091413 | 0.00141 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0013961758 | 0.0030638443 | 2.1944544 | 0.00167 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.2940294E-6 | 6.522925E-4 | 284.34357 | 6.5E-4 | 1.4647229E-5 | 9.831519E-6 | 8.4982323E-4 | 86.43865 | 8.4E-4 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.1969238E-4 | 0.0013795416 | 11.525726 | 0.00126 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0011962996 | 0.002684517 | 2.2440174 | 0.00149 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.3626363E-6 | 4.0136208E-4 | 294.5482 | 4.0E-4 | 8.152474E-6 | 5.8398573E-6 | 5.5583665E-4 | 95.17983 | 5.5E-4 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.1097966E-5 | 9.210375E-4 | 12.954486 | 8.5E-4 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.107543E-4 | 0.0017100435 | 2.405956 | 0.001 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.0638711E-6 | 2.9106357E-4 | 273.58914 | 2.9E-4 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.5594393E-6 | 4.245575E-4 | 93.116165 | 4.2E-4 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.5509772E-5 | 7.1547314E-4 | 12.889138 | 6.6E-4 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.5496016E-4 | 0.0013145384 | 2.3687077 | 7.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.190882E-7 | 2.1081892E-4 | 257.38245 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.5103733E-6 | 2.8350938E-4 | 80.76332 | 2.8E-4 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.2737964E-5 | 4.927187E-4 | 11.528831 | 4.5E-4 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.2729836E-4 | 9.370804E-4 | 2.1930354 | 5.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.513583E-7 | 9.0451314E-5 | 200.39804 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9452417E-6 | 1.9343913E-6 | 1.3193414E-4 | 68.204475 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.355096E-5 | 2.635453E-4 | 11.190427 | 2.4E-4 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.3548475E-4 | 4.8542587E-4 | 2.06139 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.411935E-7 | 5.0341176E-5 | 147.54436 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.462257E-6 | 8.146214E-5 | 55.70986 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.7802835E-5 | 1.4780051E-4 | 8.302077 | 1.3E-4 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.7801418E-4 | 3.0799105E-4 | 1.7301489 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 1.8514093E-7 | 1.8514093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 7.9346086E-7 | 1.0793453E-5 | 13.603005 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 9.6603435E-6 | 1.9660247E-5 | 2.0351498 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 9.659928E-5 | 1.06598316E-4 | 1.1035104 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.331386E-7 | 1.331386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 5.7059384E-7 | 1.05705885E-5 | 18.52559 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4586617E-5 | 6.9469584E-6 | 1.694689E-5 | 2.4394689 | 1.0E-5 | 1.458566E-4 | 6.9467445E-5 | 7.946675E-5 | 1.1439424 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0037873217 | 217.81987 | 0.00377 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.0046741725 | 62.72766 | 0.0046 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0072610825 | 8.006928 | 0.00636 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.016900308 | 1.8711543 | 0.00794 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7163808E-5 | 0.0037770993 | 220.06186 | 0.00376 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.3557116E-5 | 0.0046632197 | 63.395897 | 0.00459 | 0.0012120095 | 8.9519325E-4 | 0.007239509 | 8.0870905 | 0.00635 | 0.012054204 | 0.008916465 | 0.016765846 | 1.8803244 | 0.00792 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.6673963E-5 | 0.0037766113 | 226.49751 | 0.00376 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.145791E-5 | 0.0046511306 | 65.089096 | 0.00458 | 0.0011869454 | 8.6965587E-4 | 0.0072041424 | 8.2839 | 0.00634 | 0.011806256 | 0.008663096 | 0.016484745 | 1.9028698 | 0.00789 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.6319964E-5 | 0.0037762586 | 231.3889 | 0.00376 | 9.600859E-5 | 6.994085E-5 | 0.0046396214 | 66.33636 | 0.00457 | 0.0011682777 | 8.5120025E-4 | 0.007175812 | 8.430228 | 0.00633 | 0.011621549 | 0.008479954 | 0.01629313 | 1.9213704 | 0.00788 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.5862253E-5 | 0.0037758027 | 238.03697 | 0.00376 | 9.373015E-5 | 6.797933E-5 | 0.004637669 | 68.22175 | 0.00457 | 0.0011405671 | 8.273371E-4 | 0.0071521 | 8.644723 | 0.00633 | 0.011347309 | 0.008243113 | 0.016038323 | 1.9456632 | 0.00786 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.4886441E-5 | 0.0036848318 | 247.5294 | 0.00367 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.379749E-5 | 0.0045435117 | 71.21772 | 0.00448 | 0.0010802611 | 7.7646057E-4 | 0.0069816387 | 8.99162 | 0.00621 | 0.010750249 | 0.007737995 | 0.015388335 | 1.9886721 | 0.00771 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3411255E-5 | 0.0035933633 | 267.93637 | 0.00358 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.7475558E-5 | 0.0044072256 | 76.67999 | 0.00435 | 9.600714E-4 | 6.995429E-4 | 0.00667536 | 9.542459 | 0.00598 | 0.009559342 | 0.006973898 | 0.014342152 | 2.0565474 | 0.00742 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.23230175E-5 | 0.0032222834 | 261.48495 | 0.00321 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.2811876E-5 | 0.0040026032 | 75.78983 | 0.00395 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.427975E-4 | 0.0060892943 | 9.473115 | 0.00545 | 0.00875714 | 0.006409857 | 0.01316627 | 2.0540662 | 0.0068 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.206626E-6 | 0.0021591869 | 234.52531 | 0.00215 | 5.495361E-5 | 3.945638E-5 | 0.0026993514 | 68.41356 | 0.00266 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.80277E-4 | 0.0040485626 | 8.429641 | 0.00357 | 0.006668452 | 0.0047925077 | 0.009300798 | 1.9406954 | 0.00453 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.7182235E-6 | 8.137152E-4 | 218.84515 | 8.1E-4 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.5935148E-5 | 0.0010159193 | 63.753365 | 0.001 | 2.9358055E-4 | 1.9399323E-4 | 0.0015737255 | 8.11227 | 0.00138 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0019382489 | 0.0038046243 | 1.9629184 | 0.00187 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.2564568E-6 | 4.8225536E-4 | 213.72241 | 4.8E-4 | 1.5111918E-5 | 9.6704935E-6 | 6.196646E-4 | 64.077866 | 6.1E-4 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.17731965E-4 | 9.576331E-4 | 8.134011 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0011767027 | 0.0022853964 | 1.9422039 | 0.00111 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0219906E-6 | 1.6102183E-4 | 157.55705 | 1.6E-4 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.3799523E-6 | 1.9437911E-4 | 44.379276 | 1.9E-4 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.3324635E-5 | 3.4330916E-4 | 6.438097 | 2.9E-4 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.331203E-4 | 9.4290177E-4 | 1.7686472 | 4.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6227031E-7 | 4.0162264E-5 | 247.50223 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 6.95444E-7 | 5.069541E-5 | 72.89646 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.466998E-6 | 9.846623E-5 | 11.629415 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.466679E-5 | 1.8465832E-4 | 2.1810007 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.4657128E-8 | 1.0024657E-5 | 406.56223 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.056734E-7 | 1.0105672E-5 | 95.63119 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.2865729E-6 | 2.1286547E-5 | 16.545155 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.2865658E-5 | 3.2865402E-5 | 2.554506 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.002315532 | 65.01903 | 0.00228 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.003302141 | 21.63609 | 0.00315 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.00693768 | 3.7356942 | 0.00509 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025693815 | 1.3911294 | 0.00736 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.002315532 | 65.01903 | 0.00228 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.003302141 | 21.63609 | 0.00315 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.00693768 | 3.7356942 | 0.00509 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025693815 | 1.3911294 | 0.00736 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.002315532 | 65.01903 | 0.00228 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.003302141 | 21.63609 | 0.00315 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.00693768 | 3.7356942 | 0.00509 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025693815 | 1.3911294 | 0.00736 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.002315532 | 65.01903 | 0.00228 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.003302141 | 21.63609 | 0.00315 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.00693768 | 3.7356942 | 0.00509 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025693815 | 1.3911294 | 0.00736 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.845421E-4 | 33.304302 | 4.7E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 7.3230936E-4 | 11.744928 | 6.7E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.0018980001 | 2.501103 | 0.00114 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.009290103 | 1.2283194 | 0.00174 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.845421E-4 | 33.304302 | 4.7E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 7.3230936E-4 | 11.744928 | 6.7E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.0018980001 | 2.501103 | 0.00114 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.009290103 | 1.2283194 | 0.00174 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.2757924E-5 | 3.827532E-4 | 30.001213 | 3.7E-4 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.4675682E-5 | 5.2465E-4 | 9.595674 | 4.7E-4 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.654748E-4 | 0.0014949224 | 2.2463999 | 8.3E-4 | 0.006657724 | 0.0066350214 | 0.00793633 | 1.1961272 | 0.00131 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2381868E-5 | 3.5237765E-4 | 28.459167 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.306408E-5 | 4.730418E-4 | 8.914538 | 4.2E-4 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.458653E-4 | 0.0014153679 | 2.1914291 | 7.7E-4 | 0.00647886 | 0.006440071 | 0.007672085 | 1.1913044 | 0.00124 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.1991233E-5 | 3.5198717E-4 | 29.353708 | 3.4E-4 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.1389994E-5 | 4.713684E-4 | 9.172377 | 4.2E-4 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.254951E-4 | 0.001375026 | 2.1983001 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006237526 | 0.007449916 | 1.1943704 | 0.00122 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.0934387E-5 | 3.4093077E-4 | 31.179688 | 3.3E-4 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.6860827E-5 | 4.3684256E-4 | 9.322126 | 3.9E-4 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.703824E-4 | 0.0012400002 | 2.1739805 | 6.7E-4 | 0.005777207 | 0.0056893234 | 0.0067731217 | 1.1904969 | 0.00109 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0368694E-5 | 3.3036538E-4 | 31.86181 | 3.2E-4 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.443651E-5 | 4.2441962E-4 | 9.5511465 | 3.8E-4 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.4088136E-4 | 0.0012005244 | 2.2195706 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0053957812 | 0.0064102774 | 1.1880165 | 0.00102 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.777159E-6 | 3.0977422E-4 | 31.68346 | 3.0E-4 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.1901443E-5 | 3.9188677E-4 | 9.352584 | 3.5E-4 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.1003176E-4 | 0.0011197206 | 2.1953938 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0050887386 | 0.0060339044 | 1.1857368 | 9.5E-4 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.565193E-6 | 2.6856296E-4 | 31.355158 | 2.6E-4 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.6707457E-5 | 3.466961E-4 | 9.44484 | 3.1E-4 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.468227E-4 | 0.0010065725 | 2.2527335 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0046197 | 0.0044593555 | 0.0053155203 | 1.191993 | 8.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.353895E-6 | 2.373522E-4 | 32.275715 | 2.3E-4 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.1516316E-5 | 3.115075E-4 | 9.8840065 | 2.8E-4 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.8364457E-4 | 8.934489E-4 | 2.3288455 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0038299249 | 0.004587014 | 1.1976773 | 7.6E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.0538605E-6 | 2.0605265E-4 | 34.03657 | 2.0E-4 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.5944863E-5 | 2.6593864E-4 | 10.250146 | 2.4E-4 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.1583384E-4 | 7.157075E-4 | 2.2660887 | 4.0E-4 | 0.003286749 | 0.0031539425 | 0.0037321132 | 1.1833168 | 5.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.3449745E-6 | 1.6434428E-4 | 37.82399 | 1.6E-4 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.8621191E-5 | 2.0861765E-4 | 11.203239 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.2669007E-4 | 5.5661524E-4 | 2.4554021 | 3.3E-4 | 0.002402707 | 0.0022646545 | 0.0027236128 | 1.2026615 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.2855426E-6 | 8.128544E-5 | 63.230453 | 8.0E-5 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.509457E-6 | 8.550902E-5 | 15.520408 | 8.0E-5 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.707564E-5 | 1.7706826E-4 | 2.6398296 | 1.1E-4 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.705607E-4 | 8.2046015E-4 | 1.2235434 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.5595507E-7 | 2.0555945E-5 | 36.97411 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.3826626E-6 | 2.2382615E-5 | 9.39395 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9008568E-5 | 4.9007987E-5 | 1.6894314 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.900513E-4 | 3.200426E-4 | 1.1034 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0030326867 | 92.50194 | 0.003 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003969963 | 28.255676 | 0.00383 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.006930565 | 4.0541344 | 0.00523 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023780253 | 1.3998564 | 0.00691 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0030326867 | 92.50194 | 0.003 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003969963 | 28.255676 | 0.00383 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.006930565 | 4.0541344 | 0.00523 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023780253 | 1.3998564 | 0.00691 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0030326867 | 92.50194 | 0.003 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003969963 | 28.255676 | 0.00383 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.006930565 | 4.0541344 | 0.00523 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023780253 | 1.3998564 | 0.00691 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0030326867 | 92.50194 | 0.003 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003969963 | 28.255676 | 0.00383 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.006930565 | 4.0541344 | 0.00523 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023780253 | 1.3998564 | 0.00691 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6525459E-5 | 0.0028464787 | 172.2481 | 0.00283 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.0821596E-5 | 0.0036405688 | 51.40478 | 0.00357 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.61934E-4 | 0.005637814 | 6.5408883 | 0.00478 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588106 | 0.0147348605 | 1.7157286 | 0.0062 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6525459E-5 | 0.0028464787 | 172.2481 | 0.00283 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.0821596E-5 | 0.0036405688 | 51.40478 | 0.00357 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.61934E-4 | 0.005637814 | 6.5408883 | 0.00478 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588106 | 0.0147348605 | 1.7157286 | 0.0062 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725238E-5 | 0.0026016948 | 221.88844 | 0.00259 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.0250066E-5 | 0.0032600889 | 64.877304 | 0.00321 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.116249E-4 | 0.0048490316 | 7.928113 | 0.00424 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006099615 | 0.011466677 | 1.8799018 | 0.0054 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725238E-5 | 0.0026016948 | 221.88844 | 0.00259 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.0250066E-5 | 0.0032600889 | 64.877304 | 0.00321 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.116249E-4 | 0.0048490316 | 7.928113 | 0.00424 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006099615 | 0.011466677 | 1.8799018 | 0.0054 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.0962816E-5 | 0.0025809347 | 235.42624 | 0.00257 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.6982663E-5 | 0.0032368328 | 68.894196 | 0.00319 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.718656E-4 | 0.004779458 | 8.35766 | 0.00421 | 0.007104293 | 0.0057041 | 0.01101364 | 1.9308288 | 0.00534 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.0941342E-5 | 0.0025809132 | 235.88635 | 0.00257 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.6890633E-5 | 0.003236741 | 69.02746 | 0.00319 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.707457E-4 | 0.004778343 | 8.372105 | 0.00421 | 0.007094092 | 0.0056929584 | 0.011002558 | 1.9326609 | 0.00534 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.0863233E-5 | 0.0025808353 | 237.57526 | 0.00257 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.655589E-5 | 0.0032364074 | 69.5166 | 0.00319 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.6667236E-4 | 0.004774287 | 8.425127 | 0.00421 | 0.007055073 | 0.005652433 | 0.010962249 | 1.939386 | 0.00534 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0358185E-5 | 0.0025803316 | 249.1104 | 0.00257 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.4391476E-5 | 0.0032242504 | 72.632195 | 0.00318 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.403339E-4 | 0.0047380645 | 8.768771 | 0.0042 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0053903507 | 0.010671728 | 1.9797837 | 0.00531 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.660144E-6 | 0.0025496357 | 263.9335 | 0.00254 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.139997E-5 | 0.0031912695 | 77.08386 | 0.00315 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.039297E-4 | 0.0046618334 | 9.25096 | 0.00416 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0050280076 | 0.010251611 | 2.0389013 | 0.00525 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.560656E-6 | 0.0024785395 | 289.52682 | 0.00247 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.668802E-5 | 0.0031065755 | 84.675476 | 0.00307 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.4658652E-4 | 0.0044847825 | 10.042359 | 0.00404 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0044570053 | 0.0095143635 | 2.1346989 | 0.00508 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.158592E-6 | 0.002418139 | 296.3917 | 0.00241 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.4964934E-5 | 0.0030348601 | 86.79725 | 0.003 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.2561634E-4 | 0.0043639396 | 10.253223 | 0.00394 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0042481227 | 0.009167137 | 2.1579266 | 0.00494 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.0766923E-6 | 0.0021170618 | 299.1598 | 0.00211 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.0328338E-5 | 0.0026302496 | 86.72581 | 0.0026 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.6918625E-4 | 0.0037279457 | 10.097737 | 0.00336 | 0.004693329 | 0.0036858239 | 0.007840454 | 2.1271918 | 0.00417 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.793403E-6 | 6.3379103E-4 | 167.07716 | 6.3E-4 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.625734E-5 | 7.862448E-4 | 48.36245 | 7.7E-4 | 2.556514E-4 | 1.9791527E-4 | 0.0012976975 | 6.556834 | 0.0011 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0019774032 | 0.0033646545 | 1.7015522 | 0.00139 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.0657038E-6 | 4.2306443E-4 | 137.99911 | 4.2E-4 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3138665E-5 | 5.131321E-4 | 39.055115 | 5.0E-4 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.599516E-4 | 9.1983005E-4 | 5.7506776 | 7.6E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.0015983736 | 0.0025568393 | 1.5996505 | 9.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 1.9923536E-6 | 1.81992E-4 | 91.34522 | 1.8E-4 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.538631E-6 | 2.4853658E-4 | 29.107311 | 2.4E-4 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.03952916E-4 | 4.839134E-4 | 4.6551213 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010390474 | 0.0015085591 | 1.4518673 | 4.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2172093E-7 | 4.032171E-5 | 125.33132 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.3788033E-6 | 7.137871E-5 | 51.768597 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.6786804E-5 | 1.5678446E-4 | 9.339745 | 1.4E-4 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.6785566E-4 | 3.278288E-4 | 1.95304 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0029056899 | 509.20453 | 0.0029 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.0036643664 | 149.83789 | 0.00364 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005236246 | 17.588005 | 0.00494 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009215678 | 3.098439 | 0.00626 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7094034E-6 | 8.227072E-4 | 303.64883 | 8.2E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611678E-5 | 0.0010216 | 87.98039 | 0.00101 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4136317E-4 | 0.0015311667 | 10.83144 | 0.00139 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127492 | 0.0031902345 | 2.2581747 | 0.00178 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7094034E-6 | 8.227072E-4 | 303.64883 | 8.2E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611678E-5 | 0.0010216 | 87.98039 | 0.00101 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4136317E-4 | 0.0015311667 | 10.83144 | 0.00139 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127492 | 0.0031902345 | 2.2581747 | 0.00178 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.699859E-6 | 8.2269765E-4 | 304.71878 | 8.2E-4 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1570773E-5 | 0.0010215591 | 88.28789 | 0.00101 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4086522E-4 | 0.0015306694 | 10.866199 | 0.00139 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014077759 | 0.0031852701 | 2.2626257 | 0.00178 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.5828845E-6 | 8.025808E-4 | 310.73044 | 8.0E-4 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1069458E-5 | 9.810587E-4 | 88.627525 | 9.7E-4 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3476248E-4 | 0.0014845806 | 11.016275 | 0.00135 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013468231 | 0.003034547 | 2.2531147 | 0.00169 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.253191E-6 | 6.0225185E-4 | 267.2884 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.656498E-6 | 7.4964936E-4 | 77.6316 | 7.4E-4 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.1756154E-4 | 0.0011574393 | 9.84539 | 0.00104 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0011749959 | 0.0024834566 | 2.1135876 | 0.00131 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2293557E-6 | 5.92228E-4 | 265.64987 | 5.9E-4 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.554346E-6 | 7.3954737E-4 | 77.40428 | 7.3E-4 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.16317984E-4 | 0.0011461981 | 9.854007 | 0.00103 | 0.0015166114 | 0.0011625733 | 0.002461062 | 2.116909 | 0.0013 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.1898559E-6 | 5.821886E-4 | 265.85706 | 5.8E-4 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.385062E-6 | 7.293783E-4 | 77.716934 | 7.2E-4 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.14257164E-4 | 0.0011341406 | 9.92621 | 0.00102 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011419865 | 0.0024205248 | 2.1195738 | 0.00128 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.138971E-6 | 5.7213777E-4 | 267.4827 | 5.7E-4 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.166986E-6 | 6.991607E-4 | 76.26941 | 6.9E-4 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1160236E-4 | 0.0010814941 | 9.690602 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011154653 | 0.0023341044 | 2.092494 | 0.00122 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.05614E-6 | 5.52055E-4 | 268.49097 | 5.5E-4 | 1.1501375E-5 | 8.811999E-6 | 6.788061E-4 | 77.03203 | 6.7E-4 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.07280815E-4 | 0.0010271821 | 9.574704 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010722923 | 0.0022410378 | 2.0899503 | 0.00117 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.8726306E-6 | 5.018717E-4 | 268.00357 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.025535E-6 | 5.7802093E-4 | 72.02273 | 5.7E-4 | 1.2702055E-4 | 9.770653E-5 | 8.976284E-4 | 9.186984 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0012694797 | 9.766377E-4 | 0.0019656708 | 2.012692 | 9.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.5369392E-6 | 4.0153632E-4 | 261.25714 | 4.0E-4 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.5868658E-6 | 4.6658385E-4 | 70.83549 | 4.6E-4 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.0192156E-5 | 7.101416E-4 | 8.8555 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0010385747 | 8.0163364E-4 | 0.0015810084 | 1.972233 | 7.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.162375E-6 | 2.8116204E-4 | 241.88582 | 2.8E-4 | 6.526913E-6 | 4.981598E-6 | 3.2498E-4 | 65.2361 | 3.2E-4 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.064928E-5 | 4.806238E-4 | 7.9246416 | 4.2E-4 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.063285E-4 | 0.0010960314 | 1.8076528 | 4.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.5596448E-7 | 9.045592E-5 | 198.38371 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7209726E-6 | 1.954132E-6 | 1.219539E-4 | 62.40822 | 1.2E-4 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.37913E-5 | 1.8378749E-4 | 7.724988 | 1.6E-4 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.3788768E-4 | 4.5783535E-4 | 1.9245862 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 9.783716E-8 | 1.0097836E-5 | 103.21064 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.1930204E-7 | 2.0419293E-5 | 48.69829 | 2.0E-5 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.1049906E-6 | 4.5104785E-5 | 8.83543 | 4.0E-5 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.104875E-5 | 9.1046706E-5 | 1.7835248 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 8.935006E-9 | 8.935006E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 3.829288E-8 | 3.829288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 4.6621574E-7 | 4.6621574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 4.662148E-6 | 4.662148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre (San Fernando)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.1 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.2 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.3 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.4 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053338245 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.5 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0053338245 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.6 | 9.9035515E-6 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.002916006 | 484.1082 | 0.00291 | 4.2443102E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0036057222 | 139.67776 | 0.00358 | 5.166222E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0052826866 | 16.810556 | 0.00497 | 0.0051542283 | 0.003138143 | 0.009119314 | 2.9059587 | 0.006 |
6.7 | 9.87217E-6 | 6.011952E-6 | 0.0029059944 | 483.36954 | 0.0029 | 4.2308613E-5 | 2.5765261E-5 | 0.003565674 | 138.39076 | 0.00354 | 5.149856E-4 | 3.1364794E-4 | 0.0052321046 | 16.681458 | 0.00492 | 0.005137938 | 0.0031321577 | 0.009063521 | 2.893699 | 0.00595 |
6.8 | 9.4359175E-6 | 5.9234444E-6 | 0.002795907 | 472.00693 | 0.00279 | 4.043902E-5 | 2.5385949E-5 | 0.0034352995 | 135.32286 | 0.00341 | 4.9223384E-4 | 3.0903114E-4 | 0.0050475663 | 16.33352 | 0.00474 | 0.0049114493 | 0.0030861183 | 0.008818373 | 2.857432 | 0.00575 |
6.9 | 8.700447E-6 | 5.79582E-6 | 0.0026657805 | 459.9488 | 0.00266 | 3.72871E-5 | 2.4838999E-5 | 0.0032947578 | 132.64455 | 0.00327 | 4.5387587E-4 | 3.0237384E-4 | 0.0048110103 | 15.910801 | 0.00451 | 0.0045295 | 0.0030197268 | 0.008523058 | 2.82246 | 0.00552 |
7.0 | 8.648878E-6 | 5.7718153E-6 | 0.0026257567 | 454.92734 | 0.00262 | 3.7066096E-5 | 2.4736122E-5 | 0.0032546562 | 131.57503 | 0.00323 | 4.5118626E-4 | 3.011217E-4 | 0.0047697756 | 15.840027 | 0.00447 | 0.004502713 | 0.0030072392 | 0.00846079 | 2.813474 | 0.00547 |
7.1 | 8.505786E-6 | 5.685071E-6 | 0.0025856704 | 454.8176 | 0.00258 | 3.645286E-5 | 2.4364368E-5 | 0.0031942872 | 131.10486 | 0.00317 | 4.437232E-4 | 2.9659682E-4 | 0.0046952916 | 15.830554 | 0.0044 | 0.0044283825 | 0.0029621117 | 0.008326176 | 2.8108916 | 0.00538 |
7.2 | 8.139752E-6 | 5.468387E-6 | 0.002455455 | 449.02728 | 0.00245 | 3.4884186E-5 | 2.343574E-5 | 0.0030133657 | 128.57993 | 0.00299 | 4.246322E-4 | 2.8529376E-4 | 0.004424113 | 15.507218 | 0.00414 | 0.004238217 | 0.0028493747 | 0.0078949565 | 2.7707684 | 0.00506 |
7.3 | 7.8816E-6 | 5.326282E-6 | 0.0023253139 | 436.57355 | 0.00232 | 3.3777847E-5 | 2.2826729E-5 | 0.0028527621 | 124.97463 | 0.00283 | 4.111677E-4 | 2.77881E-4 | 0.0042267833 | 15.210769 | 0.00395 | 0.004104078 | 0.0027754342 | 0.007572084 | 2.7282522 | 0.00481 |
7.4 | 7.5810603E-6 | 5.135267E-6 | 0.002235124 | 435.24976 | 0.00223 | 3.2489854E-5 | 2.2008107E-5 | 0.0027219488 | 123.67936 | 0.0027 | 3.9549218E-4 | 2.6791677E-4 | 0.0039969175 | 14.918505 | 0.00373 | 0.0039478904 | 0.0026760362 | 0.007163994 | 2.6770916 | 0.0045 |
7.5 | 6.349153E-6 | 4.218989E-6 | 0.001644212 | 389.71707 | 0.00164 | 2.7210372E-5 | 1.808126E-5 | 0.0020080453 | 111.05671 | 0.00199 | 3.312359E-4 | 2.2011789E-4 | 0.0030294994 | 13.763077 | 0.00281 | 0.0033074263 | 0.002199076 | 0.005581621 | 2.5381665 | 0.00339 |
7.6 | 4.430576E-6 | 2.742006E-6 | 9.3273947E-4 | 340.16684 | 9.3E-4 | 1.8988047E-5 | 1.1751402E-5 | 0.0011617378 | 98.85951 | 0.00115 | 2.3115493E-4 | 1.4306414E-4 | 0.0017228381 | 12.042418 | 0.00158 | 0.0023091463 | 0.0014297417 | 0.003406911 | 2.3828855 | 0.00198 |
7.7 | 3.005066E-6 | 1.6326172E-6 | 3.4163205E-4 | 209.25424 | 3.4E-4 | 1.2878791E-5 | 6.996912E-6 | 4.669937E-4 | 66.74283 | 4.6E-4 | 1.56788E-4 | 8.518408E-5 | 7.55127E-4 | 8.864649 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0015667742 | 8.5151533E-4 | 0.0016708171 | 1.9621692 | 8.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8459098E-6 | 9.749174E-7 | 1.209748E-4 | 124.087234 | 1.2E-4 | 7.911018E-6 | 4.1782105E-6 | 1.741775E-4 | 41.687103 | 1.7E-4 | 9.631238E-5 | 5.086853E-5 | 3.108553E-4 | 6.110955 | 2.6E-4 | 9.627065E-4 | 5.0856924E-4 | 8.4839633E-4 | 1.6682022 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 9.839262E-7 | 4.8230385E-7 | 3.048229E-5 | 63.201424 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2168194E-6 | 2.0670147E-6 | 5.2066913E-5 | 25.189425 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1338568E-5 | 2.5165617E-5 | 1.15163355E-4 | 4.576218 | 9.0E-5 | 5.132671E-4 | 2.516279E-4 | 3.5160274E-4 | 1.3973122 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0262014E-5 | 39.165455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 2.3189988E-5 | 7.2694697 | 2.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 5.1899442E-5 | 1.6269376 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.0021568125 | 3.8673012 | 0.0016 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.004552911 | 1.9065048 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032169685 | 1.1166399 | 0.00346 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24893147 | 1.014924 | 0.00485 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.0021568125 | 3.8673012 | 0.0016 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.004552911 | 1.9065048 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032169685 | 1.1166399 | 0.00346 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24893147 | 1.014924 | 0.00485 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.0021568125 | 3.8673012 | 0.0016 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.004552911 | 1.9065048 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032169685 | 1.1166399 | 0.00346 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24893147 | 1.014924 | 0.00485 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.0021568125 | 3.8673012 | 0.0016 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.004552911 | 1.9065048 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032169685 | 1.1166399 | 0.00346 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24893147 | 1.014924 | 0.00485 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 3.236843E-4 | 0.0014233283 | 4.397273 | 0.0011 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0013865066 | 0.0028844269 | 2.0803556 | 0.0015 | 0.010316478 | 0.016755031 | 0.019065658 | 1.1379063 | 0.00235 | 0.098504856 | 0.15343072 | 0.15620747 | 1.0180978 | 0.00328 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765473E-4 | 7.3755154E-4 | 3.9303646 | 5.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.0398907E-4 | 0.0015533861 | 1.9320985 | 7.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.009745139 | 0.010903737 | 1.1188898 | 0.00117 | 0.065152965 | 0.0945379 | 0.09602285 | 1.0157075 | 0.00164 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765473E-4 | 7.3755154E-4 | 3.9303646 | 5.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.0398907E-4 | 0.0015533861 | 1.9320985 | 7.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.009745139 | 0.010903737 | 1.1188898 | 0.00117 | 0.065152965 | 0.0945379 | 0.09602285 | 1.0157075 | 0.00164 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 1.4581115E-4 | 6.057441E-4 | 4.1543055 | 4.6E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 6.247557E-4 | 0.0012343746 | 1.9757717 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0075799753 | 0.008552547 | 1.128308 | 9.8E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.075650126 | 0.076861024 | 1.0160066 | 0.00131 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 1.4139932E-4 | 5.913357E-4 | 4.1820264 | 4.5E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 6.0585665E-4 | 0.0012054931 | 1.9897332 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.007351447 | 0.00830439 | 1.1296265 | 9.6E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.07365151 | 0.0748465 | 1.0162249 | 0.00129 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 1.3564328E-4 | 5.655849E-4 | 4.1696496 | 4.3E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 5.8119907E-4 | 0.001160862 | 1.9973569 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.007053218 | 0.0079865875 | 1.1323326 | 9.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.07102705 | 0.07219756 | 1.0164797 | 0.00126 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 1.2995074E-4 | 5.4989615E-4 | 4.231574 | 4.2E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 5.568131E-4 | 0.0011165013 | 2.0051634 | 5.6E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.006758193 | 0.0076521104 | 1.1322716 | 9.0E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.06840132 | 0.06953788 | 1.0166159 | 0.00122 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 1.2352421E-4 | 5.4347236E-4 | 4.399723 | 4.2E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 5.2928226E-4 | 0.0010889859 | 2.0574765 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.006425025 | 0.0073093064 | 1.1376308 | 8.9E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.0654076 | 0.06652911 | 1.0171465 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 1.177998E-4 | 5.1775266E-4 | 4.3951917 | 4.0E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 5.047588E-4 | 0.0010344912 | 2.0494764 | 5.3E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.006128168 | 0.0069630207 | 1.1362319 | 8.4E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.06271953 | 0.063788034 | 1.0170362 | 0.00114 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.03625665E-4 | 4.2359252E-4 | 4.087718 | 3.2E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 4.4403443E-4 | 8.738435E-4 | 1.9679633 | 4.3E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.0053927354 | 0.0060591223 | 1.1235712 | 6.7E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.05596556 | 0.056834072 | 1.0155187 | 9.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 9.757253E-5 | 3.9754325E-4 | 4.074336 | 3.0E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 4.1810097E-4 | 8.1793376E-4 | 1.9563067 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.005078511 | 0.005695362 | 1.1214631 | 6.2E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.0530534 | 0.053858306 | 1.0151716 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 9.2217655E-5 | 3.6219275E-4 | 3.9275858 | 2.7E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 3.9515866E-4 | 7.550164E-4 | 1.9106665 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.0048004533 | 0.0053677172 | 1.1181688 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.050447542 | 0.051207185 | 1.015058 | 8.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 8.76761E-5 | 3.2765506E-4 | 3.7371082 | 2.4E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 3.757006E-4 | 6.955804E-4 | 1.8514221 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0045645684 | 0.0050722403 | 1.1112201 | 5.1E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.04818084 | 0.048856635 | 1.0140262 | 7.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 8.420954E-5 | 3.0419102E-4 | 3.6123106 | 2.2E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 3.6084812E-4 | 6.507435E-4 | 1.8033723 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.004384482 | 0.0048623774 | 1.108997 | 4.8E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.046441395 | 0.04707074 | 1.0135515 | 6.6E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 7.538641E-5 | 2.4537358E-4 | 3.2548783 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 3.2304463E-4 | 5.5297033E-4 | 1.711746 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0039259796 | 0.004324409 | 1.1014854 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.041735906 | 0.04226295 | 1.0126281 | 5.5E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 4.789402E-5 | 1.4788922E-4 | 3.0878434 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 2.0524394E-4 | 3.452152E-4 | 1.6819751 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0024959822 | 0.0027254082 | 1.0919181 | 2.3E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.026780728 | 0.027082426 | 1.0112655 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 2.4723882E-5 | 7.4722644E-5 | 3.0222862 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 1.05955194E-4 | 1.6594883E-4 | 1.5662171 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0012892415 | 0.0013990997 | 1.0852115 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.013982885 | 0.014111067 | 1.0091671 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 7.178803E-6 | 7.178803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 3.0765936E-5 | 3.0765936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 3.7451103E-4 | 3.845073E-4 | 1.0266914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.0042274687 | 0.004247384 | 1.0047109 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 1.2894421E-6 | 1.2894421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 5.5261685E-6 | 5.5261685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 6.7279034E-5 | 6.7279034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 8.4906194E-4 | 8.4906194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0027172493 | 373.81042 | 0.00271 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0034010478 | 109.17331 | 0.00337 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0049774763 | 13.125545 | 0.0046 | 0.008033488 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009265102 | 2.4472494 | 0.0055 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.1414726E-6 | 0.0013561331 | 220.81563 | 0.00135 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.6320335E-5 | 0.0016662772 | 63.307602 | 0.00164 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.2040334E-4 | 0.0025996729 | 8.11375 | 0.00228 | 0.0065210275 | 0.003199452 | 0.0059705577 | 1.8661188 | 0.00278 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.1125916E-6 | 0.0013561044 | 221.85423 | 0.00135 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.6196562E-5 | 0.0016561538 | 63.22028 | 0.00163 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.1889684E-4 | 0.002588173 | 8.116019 | 0.00227 | 0.005950495 | 0.0031844303 | 0.0059456094 | 1.8670872 | 0.00277 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.052993E-6 | 0.001336045 | 220.72469 | 0.00133 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.5941143E-5 | 0.0016358994 | 63.061962 | 0.00161 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.1578803E-4 | 0.0025650775 | 8.122783 | 0.00225 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0031534308 | 0.0058847903 | 1.8661549 | 0.00274 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 5.8904666E-6 | 0.0012958829 | 219.99664 | 0.00129 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.5244615E-5 | 0.001555206 | 61.605457 | 0.00153 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.0731023E-4 | 0.0024666465 | 8.026568 | 0.00216 | 0.0055211177 | 0.0030688953 | 0.005710763 | 1.860853 | 0.00265 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 5.785265E-6 | 0.0012857779 | 222.25047 | 0.00128 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.4793759E-5 | 0.0015447561 | 62.30423 | 0.00152 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.0182258E-4 | 0.0024511737 | 8.12124 | 0.00215 | 0.0053428668 | 0.003014169 | 0.0056362418 | 1.8699157 | 0.00263 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.6071067E-6 | 0.0012256003 | 218.57979 | 0.00122 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.4030238E-5 | 0.0014639957 | 60.923058 | 0.00144 | 5.171009E-4 | 2.9252926E-4 | 0.0023119384 | 7.903272 | 0.00202 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0029214832 | 0.005394238 | 1.8464038 | 0.00248 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.0080853E-6 | 9.850032E-4 | 196.68259 | 9.8E-4 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.1463047E-5 | 0.001191438 | 55.511124 | 0.00117 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.612815E-4 | 0.0019608373 | 7.5046926 | 0.0017 | 0.00442326 | 0.0026097675 | 0.004724235 | 1.810213 | 0.00212 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.804588E-6 | 9.248002E-4 | 192.48271 | 9.2E-4 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.0590931E-5 | 0.0011305681 | 54.906116 | 0.00111 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.5066597E-4 | 0.0018702599 | 7.461164 | 0.00162 | 0.0042096223 | 0.002503856 | 0.0045287735 | 1.8087194 | 0.00203 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.1086896E-6 | 6.7410595E-4 | 164.06834 | 6.7E-4 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.7608552E-5 | 8.1759447E-4 | 46.431667 | 8.0E-4 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.1436322E-4 | 0.0014241039 | 6.643415 | 0.00121 | 0.0035533418 | 0.002141584 | 0.0037182001 | 1.7361916 | 0.00158 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.8169534E-6 | 4.128158E-4 | 146.5469 | 4.1E-4 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.2072603E-5 | 5.520661E-4 | 45.72884 | 5.4E-4 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.4697413E-4 | 9.6685364E-4 | 6.5783935 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0014687802 | 0.002547194 | 1.734224 | 0.00108 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.5614945E-6 | 1.8156122E-4 | 116.274 | 1.8E-4 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.6921025E-6 | 2.2669062E-4 | 33.87435 | 2.2E-4 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.147334E-5 | 3.914481E-4 | 4.8046155 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0013190953 | 8.144392E-4 | 0.0012241052 | 1.5030038 | 4.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.5924154E-7 | 3.0859217E-5 | 35.914482 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.6824588E-6 | 5.3682274E-5 | 14.577835 | 5.0E-5 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.4833025E-5 | 1.2482944E-4 | 2.784319 | 8.0E-5 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.4824104E-4 | 5.5819174E-4 | 1.2452936 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.422426E-7 | 1.422426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.09611E-7 | 1.0609605E-5 | 17.403893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.4219897E-6 | 1.7421915E-5 | 2.3473377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.421749E-5 | 9.421601E-5 | 1.2694583 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 4.929394E-9 | 4.929394E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.0015374E-8 | 6.0015374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.001537E-7 | 6.001537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.2620168E-5 | 0.0016925824 | 74.826256 | 0.00167 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.6940246E-5 | 0.0022067358 | 22.763876 | 0.00211 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0011796562 | 0.004455787 | 3.7771912 | 0.00328 | 0.012139114 | 0.011738819 | 0.015948812 | 1.3586385 | 0.00426 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.613911E-5 | 0.0015961137 | 98.89724 | 0.00158 | 7.4489166E-5 | 6.916584E-5 | 0.0020290304 | 29.335728 | 0.00196 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.41778E-4 | 0.0038192696 | 4.5371456 | 0.00298 | 0.009028391 | 0.008386904 | 0.012214531 | 1.4563813 | 0.00386 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3186457E-5 | 0.0015531662 | 117.78495 | 0.00154 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.651218E-5 | 0.001956405 | 34.61917 | 0.0019 | 7.6267915E-4 | 6.878222E-4 | 0.0035058826 | 5.097077 | 0.00282 | 0.007600669 | 0.0068573514 | 0.010502185 | 1.531522 | 0.00367 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2049737E-5 | 0.0015320315 | 127.14231 | 0.00152 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.1640724E-5 | 0.0019215442 | 37.20986 | 0.00187 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.2854734E-4 | 0.0034068 | 5.4201164 | 0.00278 | 0.00704657 | 0.006268043 | 0.009805729 | 1.5644003 | 0.00356 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.15670855E-5 | 0.0015315495 | 132.40582 | 0.00152 | 5.613192E-5 | 4.9572296E-5 | 0.0019194796 | 38.720814 | 0.00187 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.0337834E-4 | 0.003361713 | 5.5714846 | 0.00276 | 0.006810953 | 0.006017732 | 0.009536429 | 1.5847214 | 0.00354 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.0670732E-5 | 0.0015306545 | 143.44418 | 0.00152 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.573092E-5 | 0.0019056458 | 41.670837 | 0.00186 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.566342E-4 | 0.003245137 | 5.829927 | 0.00269 | 0.006372592 | 0.0055526984 | 0.008983541 | 1.6178695 | 0.00345 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 9.718047E-6 | 0.0015197034 | 156.37949 | 0.00151 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.1648123E-5 | 0.0018815715 | 45.177822 | 0.00184 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.0694984E-4 | 0.0031256217 | 6.165544 | 0.00262 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0050581736 | 0.00837133 | 1.6550103 | 0.00333 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.19215E-6 | 0.0014791787 | 160.91759 | 0.00147 | 4.6559664E-5 | 3.939435E-5 | 0.0018293238 | 46.436203 | 0.00179 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.7952245E-4 | 0.0030382948 | 6.336085 | 0.00256 | 0.005652734 | 0.004785105 | 0.008029506 | 1.6780207 | 0.00326 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 8.9801415E-6 | 0.0014789669 | 164.69305 | 0.00147 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.8485763E-5 | 0.0018184172 | 47.24909 | 0.00178 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.684653E-4 | 0.0030172707 | 6.4407563 | 0.00255 | 0.005550127 | 0.0046750037 | 0.00790981 | 1.6919366 | 0.00325 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.291955E-6 | 0.0014682799 | 177.07281 | 0.00146 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.5536475E-5 | 0.001795474 | 50.524815 | 0.00176 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.3257236E-4 | 0.002961478 | 6.8462024 | 0.00253 | 0.005224364 | 0.0043175095 | 0.0075036935 | 1.737968 | 0.0032 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 7.743802E-6 | 0.0014677325 | 189.53642 | 0.00146 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.318731E-5 | 0.0017931289 | 54.03056 | 0.00176 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.0398215E-4 | 0.002922964 | 7.2353797 | 0.00252 | 0.00496445 | 0.0040326733 | 0.0071998495 | 1.7853788 | 0.00318 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.3835213E-6 | 0.0014673728 | 198.73618 | 0.00146 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.164329E-5 | 0.0017915876 | 56.61825 | 0.00176 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.8519048E-4 | 0.0028942237 | 7.5137467 | 0.00251 | 0.004792784 | 0.0038454207 | 0.006993269 | 1.8185966 | 0.00316 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.7287752E-6 | 0.0014457206 | 252.36119 | 0.00144 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.4551664E-5 | 0.0017545092 | 71.46192 | 0.00173 | 3.984668E-4 | 2.988758E-4 | 0.0027381466 | 9.161487 | 0.00244 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0029848034 | 0.0059957895 | 2.008772 | 0.00302 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.405752E-6 | 0.001435398 | 265.53162 | 0.00143 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3167302E-5 | 0.0017431275 | 75.240845 | 0.00172 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.8202566E-4 | 0.002691346 | 9.542912 | 0.00241 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0028167416 | 0.0057883477 | 2.05498 | 0.00298 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.7587564E-6 | 0.0011747532 | 246.86139 | 0.00117 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.0394511E-5 | 0.001470365 | 72.09611 | 0.00145 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.4827506E-4 | 0.002317761 | 9.335457 | 0.00207 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002480031 | 0.0050536324 | 2.0377295 | 0.00258 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 3.9599277E-6 | 8.8395644E-4 | 223.22542 | 8.8E-4 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.6971007E-5 | 0.0010969527 | 64.63686 | 0.00108 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.0660252E-4 | 0.0017162906 | 8.30721 | 0.00151 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002064115 | 0.0039901314 | 1.9330955 | 0.00193 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 2.9969597E-6 | 6.929949E-4 | 231.23264 | 6.9E-4 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.2844051E-5 | 8.72833E-4 | 67.956215 | 8.6E-4 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.5636516E-4 | 0.0013261822 | 8.481315 | 0.00117 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0015625588 | 0.0030701994 | 1.9648536 | 0.00151 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.7745335E-6 | 4.4177377E-4 | 248.95206 | 4.4E-4 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.6051215E-6 | 5.776008E-4 | 75.94892 | 5.7E-4 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.258848E-5 | 8.225209E-4 | 8.88362 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0013248142 | 9.2550466E-4 | 0.0018246718 | 1.9715424 | 9.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.420449E-7 | 1.0034201E-4 | 293.3592 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.4659058E-6 | 1.2146573E-4 | 82.86053 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.7847258E-5 | 1.6784458E-4 | 9.404502 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.7845837E-4 | 3.8842089E-4 | 2.1765351 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2131488E-8 | 1.2131488E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.199209E-8 | 5.199209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.330035E-7 | 6.330035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.3300176E-6 | 6.3300176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 7.822383E-9 | 7.822383E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 9.52375E-8 | 9.52375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 9.523747E-7 | 9.523747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0020005202 | 189.7822 | 0.00199 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025150639 | 55.67315 | 0.00247 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0040279613 | 7.3252354 | 0.00348 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.009801676 | 1.7868392 | 0.00434 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0020005202 | 189.7822 | 0.00199 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025150639 | 55.67315 | 0.00247 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0040279613 | 7.3252354 | 0.00348 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.009801676 | 1.7868392 | 0.00434 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0020005202 | 189.7822 | 0.00199 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025150639 | 55.67315 | 0.00247 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0040279613 | 7.3252354 | 0.00348 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.009801676 | 1.7868392 | 0.00434 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0020005202 | 189.7822 | 0.00199 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025150639 | 55.67315 | 0.00247 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0040279613 | 7.3252354 | 0.00348 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.009801676 | 1.7868392 | 0.00434 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0020005202 | 189.7822 | 0.00199 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025150639 | 55.67315 | 0.00247 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0040279613 | 7.3252354 | 0.00348 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.009801676 | 1.7868392 | 0.00434 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.779409E-6 | 0.00199976 | 204.48679 | 0.00199 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1911087E-5 | 0.0024918085 | 59.454636 | 0.00245 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.1014905E-4 | 0.003958389 | 7.7592797 | 0.00345 | 0.006582173 | 0.00509008 | 0.009368192 | 1.8404804 | 0.0043 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.779409E-6 | 0.00199976 | 204.48679 | 0.00199 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1911087E-5 | 0.0024918085 | 59.454636 | 0.00245 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.1014905E-4 | 0.003958389 | 7.7592797 | 0.00345 | 0.006582173 | 0.00509008 | 0.009368192 | 1.8404804 | 0.0043 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 9.61741E-6 | 0.0019895984 | 206.87466 | 0.00198 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.1216827E-5 | 0.0024811162 | 60.196686 | 0.00244 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.017003E-4 | 0.0039399746 | 7.853243 | 0.00344 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0050059753 | 0.0092744995 | 1.8526859 | 0.00429 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 9.570333E-6 | 0.0019895514 | 207.88739 | 0.00198 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.101507E-5 | 0.002480915 | 60.48789 | 0.00244 | 6.4967526E-4 | 4.9924507E-4 | 0.0039375275 | 7.8869634 | 0.00344 | 0.006477792 | 0.004981533 | 0.009250162 | 1.8568907 | 0.00429 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.346992E-6 | 0.0019893285 | 212.83089 | 0.00198 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.0057927E-5 | 0.0024799602 | 61.90935 | 0.00244 | 6.3771347E-4 | 4.875971E-4 | 0.0039259195 | 8.051565 | 0.00344 | 0.006358865 | 0.0048655677 | 0.009124743 | 1.8753706 | 0.00428 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 8.958317E-6 | 0.0019589409 | 218.67287 | 0.00195 | 5.06967E-5 | 3.8392227E-5 | 0.0024482997 | 63.770714 | 0.00241 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.6732608E-4 | 0.0038757324 | 8.293423 | 0.00341 | 0.006153469 | 0.0046637245 | 0.00888395 | 1.9049046 | 0.00424 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.557883E-6 | 0.0019185415 | 224.18411 | 0.00191 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.6676134E-5 | 0.00238659 | 65.072014 | 0.00235 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.4644135E-4 | 0.0037949458 | 8.500435 | 0.00335 | 0.005949879 | 0.004455731 | 0.00860715 | 1.9317034 | 0.00417 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 7.984888E-6 | 0.0018579701 | 232.68582 | 0.00185 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.4220502E-5 | 0.002324142 | 67.91666 | 0.00229 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.1655585E-4 | 0.0036452103 | 8.750833 | 0.00323 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0041580284 | 0.008131438 | 1.9555994 | 0.00399 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 7.614851E-6 | 0.0017476015 | 229.49911 | 0.00174 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.263467E-5 | 0.0022125635 | 67.79794 | 0.00218 | 5.426921E-4 | 3.9725556E-4 | 0.003486028 | 8.775278 | 0.00309 | 0.005413687 | 0.0039657303 | 0.0077506606 | 1.9544094 | 0.0038 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.0225024E-6 | 0.0016670108 | 237.38132 | 0.00166 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.0096096E-5 | 0.0020800345 | 69.1131 | 0.00205 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.663592E-4 | 0.0032553005 | 8.885543 | 0.00289 | 0.0050843097 | 0.003657825 | 0.007174913 | 1.9615244 | 0.00353 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.083385E-6 | 0.0014560745 | 239.35268 | 0.00145 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.6071395E-5 | 0.0018360242 | 70.422935 | 0.00181 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.173738E-4 | 0.0028865582 | 9.095137 | 0.00257 | 0.004522561 | 0.0031694742 | 0.0062596486 | 1.9749802 | 0.0031 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.127954E-6 | 8.0412463E-4 | 194.7998 | 8.0E-4 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.7691113E-5 | 0.0010476729 | 59.220295 | 0.00103 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.1536826E-4 | 0.0016350624 | 7.591938 | 0.00142 | 0.003308182 | 0.002151805 | 0.003927975 | 1.8254325 | 0.00178 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.670201E-6 | 2.8266944E-4 | 105.86074 | 2.8E-4 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.1443669E-5 | 4.014392E-4 | 35.07959 | 3.9E-4 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.3931778E-4 | 7.1923697E-4 | 5.1625643 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0024089129 | 0.001392489 | 0.0020915142 | 1.501997 | 7.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.7668137E-6 | 1.0176664E-4 | 57.59896 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3776359E-5 | 7.5720372E-6 | 1.4757097E-4 | 19.48894 | 1.4E-4 | 1.6771426E-4 | 9.218566E-5 | 3.121654E-4 | 3.3862681 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0016758774 | 9.215546E-4 | 0.0012112873 | 1.3143957 | 2.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.1473125E-7 | 2.051472E-5 | 39.85521 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.2059892E-6 | 3.2205924E-5 | 14.599312 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.685759E-5 | 8.685598E-5 | 3.2339454 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.685438E-4 | 3.3852502E-4 | 1.2605951 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0262014E-5 | 39.165455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 2.3189988E-5 | 7.2694697 | 2.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 5.1899442E-5 | 1.6269376 | 2.0E-5 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0010661121 | 23.096445 | 0.00102 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0015675398 | 7.9244413 | 0.00137 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0045706206 | 1.8998014 | 0.00217 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026869992 | 1.1283023 | 0.00313 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0010661121 | 23.096445 | 0.00102 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0015675398 | 7.9244413 | 0.00137 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0045706206 | 1.8998014 | 0.00217 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026869992 | 1.1283023 | 0.00313 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0010661121 | 23.096445 | 0.00102 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0015675398 | 7.9244413 | 0.00137 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0045706206 | 1.8998014 | 0.00217 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026869992 | 1.1283023 | 0.00313 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0010661121 | 23.096445 | 0.00102 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0015675398 | 7.9244413 | 0.00137 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0045706206 | 1.8998014 | 0.00217 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026869992 | 1.1283023 | 0.00313 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0010661121 | 23.096445 | 0.00102 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0015675398 | 7.9244413 | 0.00137 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0045706206 | 1.8998014 | 0.00217 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026869992 | 1.1283023 | 0.00313 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.4327848E-5 | 9.6429593E-4 | 28.090778 | 9.3E-4 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.4711154E-4 | 0.0013869291 | 9.427739 | 0.00124 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0017896983 | 0.0037661546 | 2.1043518 | 0.00198 | 0.01632528 | 0.017761922 | 0.0204729 | 1.1526285 | 0.00276 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.4317563E-5 | 9.6428563E-4 | 28.098894 | 9.3E-4 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.4706748E-4 | 0.0013868851 | 9.4302635 | 0.00124 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0017891628 | 0.0037656203 | 2.104683 | 0.00198 | 0.01632056 | 0.017756652 | 0.020467645 | 1.1526747 | 0.00276 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.0567066E-5 | 9.1054017E-4 | 29.788275 | 8.8E-4 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3099558E-4 | 0.0012908436 | 9.8541 | 0.00116 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0015937844 | 0.0034707882 | 2.1777024 | 0.00188 | 0.014641452 | 0.015831772 | 0.018390609 | 1.1616267 | 0.0026 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.050675E-5 | 9.104799E-4 | 29.845196 | 8.8E-4 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3073711E-4 | 0.0012905855 | 9.871608 | 0.00116 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0015906421 | 0.0034676518 | 2.1800327 | 0.00188 | 0.014613459 | 0.015800796 | 0.018359713 | 1.1619487 | 0.0026 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.5953357E-5 | 8.5593184E-4 | 32.979618 | 8.3E-4 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1122434E-4 | 0.001211102 | 10.888822 | 0.0011 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013533866 | 0.003120991 | 2.3060603 | 0.00177 | 0.012562336 | 0.013458669 | 0.015806638 | 1.1744577 | 0.00238 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5112235E-5 | 8.550914E-4 | 34.05079 | 8.3E-4 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.07619824E-4 | 0.0012075014 | 11.220065 | 0.0011 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013095549 | 0.0030472763 | 2.3269558 | 0.00174 | 0.012179627 | 0.013025557 | 0.015344947 | 1.1780646 | 0.00235 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.378175E-5 | 8.2376273E-4 | 34.63844 | 8.0E-4 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.019182E-4 | 0.0011718092 | 11.497545 | 0.00107 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012402181 | 0.0029281222 | 2.3609736 | 0.00169 | 0.01157452 | 0.012340033 | 0.014591899 | 1.1824845 | 0.00228 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7206585E-5 | 7.4719405E-4 | 43.42489 | 7.3E-4 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.374076E-5 | 0.0010536684 | 14.288821 | 9.8E-4 | 8.623549E-4 | 8.9748367E-4 | 0.0023461822 | 2.6141782 | 0.00145 | 0.008590161 | 0.0089445 | 0.010857237 | 1.213845 | 0.00193 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.515201E-5 | 7.4514095E-4 | 49.177696 | 7.3E-4 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.49359E-5 | 0.0010148742 | 15.628862 | 9.5E-4 | 7.668978E-4 | 7.9036574E-4 | 0.0021892593 | 2.7699318 | 0.0014 | 0.0076425658 | 0.007881265 | 0.009736527 | 1.2354015 | 0.00187 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.4147326E-6 | 5.854116E-4 | 108.11459 | 5.8E-4 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3205792E-5 | 7.4318907E-4 | 32.026016 | 7.2E-4 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.824944E-4 | 0.0012522204 | 4.4327264 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028214057 | 0.004097794 | 1.4523946 | 0.00128 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.227635E-6 | 5.852246E-4 | 111.94826 | 5.8E-4 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.240396E-5 | 7.3238806E-4 | 32.690117 | 7.1E-4 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.727346E-4 | 0.0012224754 | 4.48229 | 9.5E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027240508 | 0.0039806184 | 1.4612864 | 0.00126 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.2200572E-6 | 5.7421764E-4 | 136.0687 | 5.7E-4 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8085835E-5 | 6.9807353E-4 | 38.597805 | 6.8E-4 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2017313E-4 | 0.0011399706 | 5.17761 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0021995832 | 0.0033969437 | 1.5443579 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.791024E-6 | 4.027899E-4 | 144.31618 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.1961478E-5 | 5.019556E-4 | 41.964348 | 4.9E-4 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4562151E-4 | 8.3552103E-4 | 5.737621 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014552862 | 0.0023340054 | 1.6038121 | 8.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 9.936133E-7 | 1.3099349E-4 | 131.83548 | 1.3E-4 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.258336E-6 | 1.542577E-4 | 36.224876 | 1.5E-4 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.1844036E-5 | 3.0183108E-4 | 5.8219056 | 2.5E-4 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.183222E-4 | 8.2816154E-4 | 1.5977736 | 3.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8277082E-7 | 2.0182768E-5 | 110.42664 | 2.0E-5 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.833033E-7 | 3.078328E-5 | 39.299313 | 3.0E-5 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.536679E-6 | 7.953601E-5 | 8.340012 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.536297E-5 | 1.7535534E-4 | 1.83882 | 8.0E-5 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0017984592 | 212.22275 | 0.00179 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.002136242 | 58.819775 | 0.0021 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0036606828 | 8.280095 | 0.00322 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.008565712 | 1.940526 | 0.00417 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0017984592 | 212.22275 | 0.00179 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.002136242 | 58.819775 | 0.0021 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0036606828 | 8.280095 | 0.00322 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.008565712 | 1.940526 | 0.00417 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0017984592 | 212.22275 | 0.00179 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.002136242 | 58.819775 | 0.0021 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0036606828 | 8.280095 | 0.00322 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.008565712 | 1.940526 | 0.00417 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001494625 | 322.68393 | 0.00149 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.0017398165 | 87.64529 | 0.00172 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.0027910394 | 11.549656 | 0.00255 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.0056162183 | 2.3265514 | 0.00321 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001494625 | 322.68393 | 0.00149 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.0017398165 | 87.64529 | 0.00172 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.0027910394 | 11.549656 | 0.00255 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.0056162183 | 2.3265514 | 0.00321 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001494625 | 322.68393 | 0.00149 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.0017398165 | 87.64529 | 0.00172 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.0027910394 | 11.549656 | 0.00255 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.0056162183 | 2.3265514 | 0.00321 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001494625 | 322.68393 | 0.00149 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.0017398165 | 87.64529 | 0.00172 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.0027910394 | 11.549656 | 0.00255 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.0056162183 | 2.3265514 | 0.00321 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.6293735E-6 | 0.0014846225 | 320.6962 | 0.00148 | 3.0525585E-5 | 1.9840027E-5 | 0.0017298061 | 87.18769 | 0.00171 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.4152621E-4 | 0.0027809127 | 11.513917 | 0.00254 | 0.003709649 | 0.0024126756 | 0.005604955 | 2.3231282 | 0.0032 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.3338096E-6 | 0.0013843279 | 319.42514 | 0.00138 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.857334E-5 | 0.001598544 | 86.06658 | 0.00158 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.2610754E-4 | 0.002575576 | 11.390935 | 0.00235 | 0.0035189227 | 0.0022588032 | 0.005212117 | 2.3074684 | 0.00296 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.2809033E-6 | 0.0013742751 | 321.02454 | 0.00137 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.8346602E-5 | 0.0015883178 | 86.57286 | 0.00157 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.2334755E-4 | 0.0025628249 | 11.474605 | 0.00234 | 0.003474293 | 0.002231259 | 0.005174677 | 2.3191736 | 0.00295 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 3.8879484E-6 | 0.0010638838 | 273.6363 | 0.00106 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.6662532E-5 | 0.0012566418 | 75.41722 | 0.00124 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.0284782E-4 | 0.0020624704 | 10.167576 | 0.00186 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0020266357 | 0.004411792 | 2.1769044 | 0.00239 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 3.8257667E-6 | 0.0010538218 | 275.45374 | 0.00105 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.6396043E-5 | 0.001236376 | 75.406975 | 0.00122 | 3.2599916E-4 | 1.996039E-4 | 0.0020192405 | 10.116238 | 0.00182 | 0.0032552136 | 0.001994255 | 0.0043295883 | 2.1710305 | 0.00234 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.6710633E-6 | 9.836674E-4 | 267.95166 | 9.8E-4 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.5733036E-5 | 0.0011657149 | 74.09345 | 0.00115 | 3.1517216E-4 | 1.9153324E-4 | 0.0019212019 | 10.030645 | 0.00173 | 0.0031472554 | 0.0019136893 | 0.0041494025 | 2.168274 | 0.00224 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 2.9322903E-6 | 9.0292963E-4 | 307.92642 | 9.0E-4 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.25668985E-5 | 0.0010625537 | 84.55179 | 0.00105 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.5299144E-4 | 0.0017027543 | 11.129736 | 0.00155 | 0.00248537 | 0.001528864 | 0.0035557605 | 2.3257532 | 0.00203 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.0912903E-6 | 5.4209016E-4 | 259.21323 | 5.4E-4 | 1.5224792E-5 | 8.962643E-6 | 6.689567E-4 | 74.638336 | 6.6E-4 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.09114786E-4 | 0.0011390024 | 10.438571 | 0.00103 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0010906196 | 0.0025090708 | 2.3005922 | 0.00142 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5223354E-6 | 4.015217E-4 | 263.75378 | 4.0E-4 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.5242784E-6 | 5.06521E-4 | 77.63633 | 5.0E-4 | 1.415686E-4 | 7.943021E-5 | 8.1937143E-4 | 10.315615 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0014147845 | 7.9401996E-4 | 0.0018331942 | 2.3087506 | 0.00104 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1250784E-6 | 3.5112468E-4 | 312.08908 | 3.5E-4 | 8.208566E-6 | 4.8217557E-6 | 4.348197E-4 | 90.1787 | 4.3E-4 | 9.993471E-5 | 5.8703303E-5 | 6.486687E-4 | 11.0499525 | 5.9E-4 | 9.988978E-4 | 5.868788E-4 | 0.00143638 | 2.44749 | 8.5E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 6.8656345E-7 | 2.0068642E-4 | 292.30573 | 2.0E-4 | 5.194467E-6 | 2.9424114E-6 | 2.7294163E-4 | 92.7612 | 2.7E-4 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.5823272E-5 | 4.3580894E-4 | 12.165525 | 4.0E-4 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.5817534E-4 | 8.979819E-4 | 2.5071015 | 5.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.7518836E-7 | 9.037516E-5 | 240.87941 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6079492E-6 | 1.2160776E-4 | 75.629105 | 1.2E-4 | 3.272786E-5 | 1.9576608E-5 | 1.9957309E-4 | 10.194468 | 1.8E-4 | 3.272304E-4 | 1.9574897E-4 | 4.35702E-4 | 2.22582 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.1356267E-7 | 3.0113559E-5 | 265.17126 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6968373E-7 | 4.8669705E-7 | 4.0486677E-5 | 83.18661 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0588348E-5 | 5.925521E-6 | 7.5925105E-5 | 12.813237 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0587843E-4 | 5.925365E-5 | 1.392489E-4 | 2.3500478 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.0095253E-8 | 1.0020095E-5 | 498.6299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8747821E-7 | 8.612252E-8 | 1.0086122E-5 | 117.11365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.0485412E-6 | 2.104852E-5 | 20.0741 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.0485365E-5 | 3.0485156E-5 | 2.9074004 | 2.0E-5 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0017034933 | 486.81857 | 0.0017 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0021349648 | 142.36285 | 0.00212 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0032120158 | 17.593441 | 0.00303 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.005517452 | 3.0245848 | 0.0037 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.497464E-6 | 0.0017034916 | 487.0648 | 0.0017 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.4989046E-5 | 0.0021349574 | 142.43451 | 0.00212 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8247646E-4 | 0.0032119236 | 17.60185 | 0.00303 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018232784 | 0.0055165323 | 3.0256116 | 0.0037 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.2448952E-6 | 0.00148324 | 457.09952 | 0.00148 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.3906621E-5 | 0.0018938804 | 136.18553 | 0.00188 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.6929998E-4 | 0.0028688428 | 16.945322 | 0.0027 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0016917143 | 0.004996115 | 2.9532852 | 0.00331 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.1837071E-6 | 0.0014331791 | 450.1605 | 0.00143 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.3644388E-5 | 0.0018236197 | 133.65346 | 0.00181 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.661078E-4 | 0.0027756742 | 16.710077 | 0.00261 | 0.0024967908 | 0.0016598402 | 0.0048545287 | 2.9246964 | 0.0032 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 2.9960013E-6 | 0.0012429922 | 414.88376 | 0.00124 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.2839942E-5 | 0.0015728199 | 122.49431 | 0.00156 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.5631512E-4 | 0.0024459572 | 15.647605 | 0.00229 | 0.0023869718 | 0.001562055 | 0.0043976186 | 2.8152778 | 0.00284 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.7608357E-6 | 0.0010927578 | 395.8069 | 0.00109 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.18320995E-5 | 0.0013918157 | 117.6305 | 0.00138 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4404631E-4 | 0.002173754 | 15.09066 | 0.00203 | 0.0022359942 | 0.0014395323 | 0.0039758757 | 2.761922 | 0.00254 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.5697607E-6 | 9.7256724E-4 | 378.4661 | 9.7E-4 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1013213E-5 | 0.0012409997 | 112.68279 | 0.00123 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3407765E-4 | 0.0019338363 | 14.423257 | 0.0018 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013399702 | 0.003566982 | 2.661986 | 0.00223 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.18884E-6 | 7.521872E-4 | 343.64648 | 7.5E-4 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.380709E-6 | 9.593718E-4 | 102.27071 | 9.5E-4 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.1420416E-4 | 0.0015140442 | 13.257348 | 0.0014 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011414562 | 0.0028894586 | 2.5313795 | 0.00175 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.7655631E-6 | 5.7176454E-4 | 323.84262 | 5.7E-4 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.5666767E-6 | 7.2756124E-4 | 96.153336 | 7.2E-4 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.2120405E-5 | 0.0011520227 | 12.50562 | 0.00106 | 0.0015636457 | 9.208229E-4 | 0.0022396075 | 2.4321804 | 0.00132 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.369577E-6 | 3.8136906E-4 | 278.45755 | 3.8E-4 | 1.05183235E-5 | 5.869603E-6 | 5.158666E-4 | 87.887825 | 5.1E-4 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.1460076E-5 | 8.3140575E-4 | 11.634549 | 7.6E-4 | 0.001279793 | 7.1437145E-4 | 0.001643707 | 2.3009138 | 9.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 7.54056E-7 | 1.5075394E-4 | 199.92407 | 1.5E-4 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.2316643E-6 | 2.1323099E-4 | 65.98179 | 2.1E-4 | 7.108106E-5 | 3.9344806E-5 | 3.493326E-4 | 8.878748 | 3.1E-4 | 7.1058323E-4 | 3.9337858E-4 | 7.9322123E-4 | 2.0164323 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 3.9070625E-7 | 4.039069E-5 | 103.37867 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.6744542E-6 | 6.167436E-5 | 36.83251 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.0386291E-5 | 1.20384255E-4 | 5.905157 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.038443E-4 | 3.138219E-4 | 1.5395175 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.121901E-8 | 1.0061219E-5 | 164.34795 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.6236717E-7 | 1.0262364E-5 | 39.114517 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.1943155E-6 | 2.3194252E-5 | 7.261102 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.1942713E-5 | 5.1942072E-5 | 1.6261009 | 2.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.5569604E-4 | 23.952065 | 8.2E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0014429047 | 9.424454 | 0.00129 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0040388084 | 2.1680574 | 0.00218 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.021647234 | 1.1690906 | 0.00319 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.5569604E-4 | 23.952065 | 8.2E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0014429047 | 9.424454 | 0.00129 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0040388084 | 2.1680574 | 0.00218 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.021647234 | 1.1690906 | 0.00319 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.5569604E-4 | 23.952065 | 8.2E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0014429047 | 9.424454 | 0.00129 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0040388084 | 2.1680574 | 0.00218 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.021647234 | 1.1690906 | 0.00319 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.5569604E-4 | 23.952065 | 8.2E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0014429047 | 9.424454 | 0.00129 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0040388084 | 2.1680574 | 0.00218 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.021647234 | 1.1690906 | 0.00319 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.0056307E-4 | 24.33112 | 4.8E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816774E-5 | 9.180946E-4 | 10.413044 | 8.3E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0025315075 | 2.3591168 | 0.00146 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012821739 | 1.1988835 | 0.00215 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.0056307E-4 | 24.33112 | 4.8E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816774E-5 | 9.180946E-4 | 10.413044 | 8.3E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0025315075 | 2.3591168 | 0.00146 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012821739 | 1.1988835 | 0.00215 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.464951E-6 | 2.2946286E-4 | 24.24343 | 2.2E-4 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.0563486E-5 | 4.5054685E-4 | 11.107203 | 4.1E-4 | 5.119132E-4 | 4.9375545E-4 | 0.0012034049 | 2.4372487 | 7.1E-4 | 0.005107356 | 0.0049272776 | 0.0058825477 | 1.1938738 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.452646E-6 | 2.2945057E-4 | 24.273687 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.051075E-5 | 4.5049415E-4 | 11.12036 | 4.1E-4 | 5.112989E-4 | 4.931137E-4 | 0.0012027636 | 2.43912 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0049208887 | 0.0058761644 | 1.1941267 | 9.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.6072884E-6 | 2.0760577E-4 | 27.290377 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.2602282E-5 | 3.9259053E-4 | 12.041811 | 3.6E-4 | 4.2268867E-4 | 3.9686525E-4 | 9.966271E-4 | 2.511248 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004218856 | 0.0039620367 | 0.0047688275 | 1.2036303 | 8.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.368838E-6 | 1.4536809E-4 | 27.076265 | 1.4E-4 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3009106E-5 | 2.8300312E-4 | 12.299614 | 2.6E-4 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8010062E-4 | 6.6999136E-4 | 2.3919668 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0027975505 | 0.0033160958 | 1.1853569 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.8796405E-6 | 1.0487915E-4 | 21.493214 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.0912581E-5 | 2.3090819E-4 | 11.041592 | 2.1E-4 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5458157E-4 | 5.745001E-4 | 2.2566445 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025429642 | 0.0029818453 | 1.1725864 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0006043E-6 | 9.400024E-5 | 23.496511 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7145338E-5 | 2.0714207E-4 | 12.08154 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.0872487E-4 | 4.9866433E-4 | 2.389099 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002454537 | 0.0020853283 | 0.0024645359 | 1.1818455 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9111181E-6 | 6.291094E-5 | 21.610579 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2476161E-5 | 1.4247454E-4 | 11.419742 | 1.3E-4 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5188678E-4 | 3.6185488E-4 | 2.3823988 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015178404 | 0.0017774458 | 1.171036 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0484472E-6 | 5.2048345E-5 | 25.408684 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.7790295E-6 | 1.0877815E-4 | 12.39068 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0687952E-4 | 2.3686561E-4 | 2.216193 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0012885736 | 0.001068288 | 0.001228117 | 1.1496123 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0044416E-6 | 1.0044416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.304743E-6 | 2.4304656E-5 | 5.646018 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.2409014E-5 | 9.240692E-5 | 1.7631875 | 4.0E-5 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.2396936E-4 | 5.839379E-4 | 1.1144505 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.0689533E-6 | 2.0689533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.518923E-5 | 4.5188728E-5 | 1.7939701 | 2.0E-5 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5186528E-4 | 2.818577E-4 | 1.1190813 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2664835E-5 | 2.2664708E-5 | 1.789578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2664148E-4 | 1.4663895E-4 | 1.1579062 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.118303E-8 | 7.118303E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 1.3714186E-5 | 3.6923428 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 4.714135E-5 | 1.2692289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 6.721104E-8 | 6.721104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 8.182942E-7 | 8.182942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 8.182924E-6 | 8.182924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 5.326209E-4 | 10.116992 | 4.8E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560832E-4 | 9.254504E-4 | 4.102022 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0040200646 | 1.4652643 | 0.00128 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.0291183 | 1.0735291 | 0.00205 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 5.326209E-4 | 10.116992 | 4.8E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560832E-4 | 9.254504E-4 | 4.102022 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0040200646 | 1.4652643 | 0.00128 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.0291183 | 1.0735291 | 0.00205 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 4.2280531E-4 | 12.883287 | 3.9E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 7.105616E-4 | 5.0522814 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0027492233 | 1.6067907 | 0.00104 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018633705 | 1.0972469 | 0.00168 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 4.2280531E-4 | 12.883287 | 3.9E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 7.105616E-4 | 5.0522814 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0027492233 | 1.6067907 | 0.00104 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018633705 | 1.0972469 | 0.00168 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.709625E-5 | 3.7708678E-4 | 13.916566 | 3.5E-4 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1612172E-4 | 6.260625E-4 | 5.3914332 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014128834 | 0.0023515553 | 1.6643661 | 9.4E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01404112 | 0.015510199 | 1.1046269 | 0.00149 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.4439178E-5 | 3.6443086E-4 | 14.911748 | 3.4E-4 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.04735205E-4 | 5.8468495E-4 | 5.582506 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0012744191 | 0.0021832595 | 1.7131408 | 9.1E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.012672705 | 0.014084582 | 1.111411 | 0.00143 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 1.9854022E-5 | 3.2984786E-4 | 16.613655 | 3.1E-4 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.5085936E-5 | 5.150493E-4 | 6.053284 | 4.3E-4 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010354364 | 0.0018545873 | 1.7911166 | 8.2E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010306979 | 0.011593579 | 1.1248281 | 0.0013 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.7723358E-5 | 3.077182E-4 | 17.362299 | 2.9E-4 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.595506E-5 | 4.759247E-4 | 6.2658715 | 4.0E-4 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.2436577E-4 | 0.0017036448 | 1.8430418 | 7.8E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.0092058135 | 0.010394767 | 1.1291524 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.55779E-5 | 3.0557337E-4 | 19.615828 | 2.9E-4 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.6760746E-5 | 4.467354E-4 | 6.691588 | 3.8E-4 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.1251294E-4 | 0.0015419198 | 1.8977172 | 7.3E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008095881 | 0.009206814 | 1.1372219 | 0.00112 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3064728E-5 | 2.830612E-4 | 21.666063 | 2.7E-4 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.59905E-5 | 4.059709E-4 | 7.2507105 | 3.5E-4 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.8147323E-4 | 0.001371003 | 2.0118222 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006794082 | 0.007866745 | 1.1578819 | 0.00108 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1704644E-5 | 2.717016E-4 | 23.213144 | 2.6E-4 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.0161805E-5 | 3.9014476E-4 | 7.7777257 | 3.4E-4 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.1055046E-4 | 0.0012601536 | 2.0639632 | 6.5E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.006088914 | 0.007092764 | 1.1648653 | 0.00101 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0347842E-5 | 2.5034536E-4 | 24.193 | 2.4E-4 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.4347147E-5 | 3.6433295E-4 | 8.215477 | 3.2E-4 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.3979387E-4 | 0.0011494646 | 2.129451 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0053849523 | 0.0063298363 | 1.1754675 | 9.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.280211E-6 | 2.2927817E-4 | 24.706137 | 2.2E-4 | 4.11042E-5 | 3.9771734E-5 | 3.397598E-4 | 8.542746 | 3.0E-4 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.8411428E-4 | 0.0010538383 | 2.176838 | 5.7E-4 | 0.004992037 | 0.00483071 | 0.005716411 | 1.183348 | 8.9E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.215215E-6 | 2.0821358E-4 | 25.344873 | 2.0E-4 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5207595E-5 | 3.0519807E-4 | 8.66853 | 2.7E-4 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.2856912E-4 | 9.483463E-4 | 2.2128198 | 5.2E-4 | 0.004470094 | 0.0042775325 | 0.0050840676 | 1.1885515 | 8.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.8082304E-6 | 1.7680708E-4 | 25.969608 | 1.7E-4 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9177809E-5 | 2.491714E-4 | 8.539757 | 2.2E-4 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.5518283E-4 | 7.7503367E-4 | 2.1820695 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0035462473 | 0.004174013 | 1.1770226 | 6.3E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.138535E-6 | 1.2513791E-4 | 24.35284 | 1.2E-4 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.202211E-5 | 1.8201859E-4 | 8.265265 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.6808688E-4 | 6.1799306E-4 | 2.305197 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0026777033 | 0.003206284 | 1.1974008 | 5.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0284167E-6 | 4.2028336E-5 | 20.719772 | 4.0E-5 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.693186E-6 | 5.8692753E-5 | 6.751581 | 5.0E-5 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.05834486E-4 | 2.1582285E-4 | 2.0392487 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010578493 | 0.0012476483 | 1.1794198 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.0813932E-6 | 3.108136E-5 | 28.741962 | 3.0E-5 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.634534E-6 | 4.4634347E-5 | 9.630817 | 4.0E-5 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.6424014E-5 | 1.16420626E-4 | 2.063317 | 6.0E-5 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.640992E-4 | 6.4405403E-4 | 1.141739 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 5.9400514E-7 | 3.0593987E-5 | 51.50458 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.5457339E-6 | 3.2545657E-5 | 12.78439 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.0993884E-5 | 7.0992646E-5 | 2.2905374 | 4.0E-5 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.0989686E-4 | 3.5988138E-4 | 1.161294 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.0010797792 | 110.297295 | 0.00107 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0014718954 | 35.082455 | 0.00143 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007974077 | 1.5608542 | 0.00288 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.0010797792 | 110.297295 | 0.00107 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0014718954 | 35.082455 | 0.00143 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007974077 | 1.5608542 | 0.00288 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.0010797792 | 110.297295 | 0.00107 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0014718954 | 35.082455 | 0.00143 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007974077 | 1.5608542 | 0.00288 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.0010797792 | 110.297295 | 0.00107 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0014718954 | 35.082455 | 0.00143 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007974077 | 1.5608542 | 0.00288 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.0010797792 | 110.297295 | 0.00107 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0014718954 | 35.082455 | 0.00143 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007974077 | 1.5608542 | 0.00288 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.5510095E-6 | 6.355475E-4 | 114.49224 | 6.3E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789826E-5 | 8.7376963E-4 | 36.72871 | 8.5E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960322E-4 | 0.0014692615 | 5.0733604 | 0.00118 | 0.003506398 | 0.002904842 | 0.004480252 | 1.5423394 | 0.00158 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.5510095E-6 | 6.355475E-4 | 114.49224 | 6.3E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789826E-5 | 8.7376963E-4 | 36.72871 | 8.5E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960322E-4 | 0.0014692615 | 5.0733604 | 0.00118 | 0.003506398 | 0.002904842 | 0.004480252 | 1.5423394 | 0.00158 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 5.0824915E-6 | 6.1507936E-4 | 121.019264 | 6.1E-4 | 2.6892068E-5 | 2.1781929E-5 | 8.317643E-4 | 38.18598 | 8.1E-4 | 3.2736175E-4 | 2.651632E-4 | 0.0013848662 | 5.222694 | 0.00112 | 0.0032687993 | 0.002661046 | 0.004147081 | 1.5584402 | 0.00149 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 4.7967674E-6 | 5.84794E-4 | 121.91419 | 5.8E-4 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.0557414E-5 | 7.70542E-4 | 37.482437 | 7.5E-4 | 3.128256E-4 | 2.5025825E-4 | 0.001289998 | 5.1546674 | 0.00104 | 0.003123856 | 0.0025123404 | 0.0038689235 | 1.5399679 | 0.00136 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 4.4761628E-6 | 5.344738E-4 | 119.404465 | 5.3E-4 | 2.4369761E-5 | 1.9183415E-5 | 6.991704E-4 | 36.446606 | 6.8E-4 | 2.9666146E-4 | 2.3353349E-4 | 0.0011533187 | 4.9385576 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0023454563 | 0.0035426416 | 1.5104275 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 4.008388E-6 | 3.3400705E-4 | 83.327034 | 3.3E-4 | 2.242688E-5 | 1.7178692E-5 | 4.5717115E-4 | 26.612684 | 4.4E-4 | 2.7301308E-4 | 2.0913081E-4 | 7.990074E-4 | 3.8206108 | 5.9E-4 | 0.002726779 | 0.0021019045 | 0.0029002228 | 1.3798072 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 3.907748E-6 | 3.1390652E-4 | 80.32927 | 3.1E-4 | 2.2009834E-5 | 1.6747385E-5 | 4.2674053E-4 | 25.481024 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6793676E-4 | 2.0388063E-4 | 7.6376647E-4 | 3.7461452 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0020495006 | 0.0028179225 | 1.3749313 | 7.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 3.7566624E-6 | 2.6375568E-4 | 70.21011 | 2.6E-4 | 2.1381518E-5 | 1.6099884E-5 | 3.5609442E-4 | 22.117825 | 3.4E-4 | 2.6028889E-4 | 1.9599874E-4 | 6.759047E-4 | 3.4485152 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0019708239 | 0.0026494837 | 1.3443534 | 6.8E-4 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 3.6011643E-6 | 2.6360023E-4 | 73.19861 | 2.6E-4 | 2.0665291E-5 | 1.5433472E-5 | 3.454284E-4 | 22.381767 | 3.3E-4 | 2.5157086E-4 | 1.878866E-4 | 6.4780016E-4 | 3.4478252 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0018898431 | 0.0025286337 | 1.3380125 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 3.5013322E-6 | 2.4350049E-4 | 69.5451 | 2.4E-4 | 2.0193436E-5 | 1.5005625E-5 | 3.1500112E-4 | 20.992203 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4582737E-4 | 1.8267846E-4 | 6.125999E-4 | 3.3534327 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002455556 | 0.0018378472 | 0.0024467262 | 1.3313 | 6.1E-4 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 3.3624813E-6 | 2.4336168E-4 | 72.37562 | 2.4E-4 | 1.9502659E-5 | 1.4410556E-5 | 2.9440652E-4 | 20.42992 | 2.8E-4 | 2.37419E-4 | 1.7543469E-4 | 5.753645E-4 | 3.279651 | 4.0E-4 | 0.002371655 | 0.0017655249 | 0.0023145538 | 1.3109721 | 5.5E-4 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 3.1805982E-6 | 2.231799E-4 | 70.16916 | 2.2E-4 | 1.861545E-5 | 1.3631066E-5 | 2.6362765E-4 | 19.340208 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2661954E-4 | 1.6594588E-4 | 5.2588613E-4 | 3.169022 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0016707646 | 0.002159946 | 1.2927889 | 4.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 1.5475988E-6 | 1.5154737E-4 | 97.924194 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2583803E-5 | 6.6325492E-6 | 1.7663142E-4 | 26.631 | 1.7E-4 | 1.5319703E-4 | 8.074831E-5 | 3.1072972E-4 | 3.848127 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0015309147 | 8.1033556E-4 | 0.0011200843 | 1.3822476 | 3.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 4.7823335E-7 | 2.0478225E-5 | 42.820564 | 2.0E-5 | 6.232116E-6 | 2.04957E-6 | 3.204951E-5 | 15.637187 | 3.0E-5 | 7.587337E-5 | 2.495323E-5 | 6.495223E-5 | 2.602959 | 4.0E-5 | 7.584747E-4 | 2.5096384E-4 | 3.3094376E-4 | 1.318691 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 9.639755E-8 | 9.639755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 4.1313226E-7 | 4.1313226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 5.0298736E-6 | 1.5029824E-5 | 2.9881115 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2250296E-4 | 5.0817445E-5 | 6.081694E-5 | 1.1967728 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 1.587662E-8 | 1.587662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 6.804265E-8 | 6.804265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 8.2841893E-7 | 8.2841893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 8.625902E-6 | 8.625902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 7.372433E-9 | 7.372433E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 3.1596144E-8 | 3.1596144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 3.8468298E-7 | 3.8468298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 4.0893624E-6 | 4.0893624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 2.600127E-9 | 2.600127E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 1.1143401E-8 | 1.1143401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 1.356709E-7 | 1.356709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 1.5042067E-6 | 1.5042067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.858196 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 8.962196E-4 | 13.52282 | 8.3E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.002125554 | 2.635141 | 0.00132 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.009963721 | 1.239374 | 0.00194 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.858196 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 8.962196E-4 | 13.52282 | 8.3E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.002125554 | 2.635141 | 0.00132 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.009963721 | 1.239374 | 0.00194 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.858196 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 8.962196E-4 | 13.52282 | 8.3E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.002125554 | 2.635141 | 0.00132 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.009963721 | 1.239374 | 0.00194 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.858196 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 8.962196E-4 | 13.52282 | 8.3E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.002125554 | 2.635141 | 0.00132 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.009963721 | 1.239374 | 0.00194 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135955E-5 | 5.6412816E-4 | 39.907326 | 5.5E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581384E-5 | 8.605329E-4 | 14.2045765 | 8.0E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.3735113E-4 | 0.0020164074 | 2.7346635 | 0.00128 | 0.007248361 | 0.007351277 | 0.009177751 | 1.2484566 | 0.00184 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135955E-5 | 5.6412816E-4 | 39.907326 | 5.5E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581384E-5 | 8.605329E-4 | 14.2045765 | 8.0E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.3735113E-4 | 0.0020164074 | 2.7346635 | 0.00128 | 0.007248361 | 0.007351277 | 0.009177751 | 1.2484566 | 0.00184 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.04262635E-5 | 4.9042125E-4 | 47.037106 | 4.8E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468325E-5 | 7.146533E-4 | 15.993763 | 6.7E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.43888E-4 | 0.0015633332 | 2.874366 | 0.00102 | 0.005485909 | 0.0054260963 | 0.0068582823 | 1.2639441 | 0.00144 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.04262635E-5 | 4.9042125E-4 | 47.037106 | 4.8E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468325E-5 | 7.146533E-4 | 15.993763 | 6.7E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.43888E-4 | 0.0015633332 | 2.874366 | 0.00102 | 0.005485909 | 0.0054260963 | 0.0068582823 | 1.2639441 | 0.00144 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 9.937658E-6 | 4.899329E-4 | 49.30064 | 4.8E-4 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.2589298E-5 | 6.925616E-4 | 16.2614 | 6.5E-4 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.1840645E-4 | 0.0015078932 | 2.9087083 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0051724873 | 0.006565246 | 1.2692628 | 0.0014 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.3623673E-6 | 4.2735928E-4 | 58.046448 | 4.2E-4 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.1552627E-5 | 5.815353E-4 | 18.430645 | 5.5E-4 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.840867E-4 | 0.0011737833 | 3.0560372 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0038343477 | 0.0049102064 | 1.2805846 | 0.00108 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.734972E-6 | 3.8673243E-4 | 57.42153 | 3.8E-4 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.8863853E-5 | 5.288494E-4 | 18.322205 | 5.0E-4 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.5136178E-4 | 0.0010611123 | 3.0199993 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0035081666 | 0.0044747638 | 1.2755277 | 9.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.147661E-6 | 3.1514606E-4 | 61.221214 | 3.1E-4 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2061218E-5 | 4.120526E-4 | 18.67769 | 3.9E-4 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.6856243E-4 | 8.1841473E-4 | 3.047391 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0026823985 | 0.0034303868 | 1.2788506 | 7.5E-4 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.3862055E-6 | 2.7438503E-4 | 62.55635 | 2.7E-4 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.879789E-5 | 3.687913E-4 | 19.618761 | 3.5E-4 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.288404E-4 | 7.0873054E-4 | 3.0970516 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0022860589 | 0.0029046414 | 1.2705891 | 6.2E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.67571E-6 | 2.0367498E-4 | 55.411053 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.5752948E-5 | 2.9574853E-4 | 18.77417 | 2.8E-4 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9177537E-4 | 5.717025E-4 | 2.9811049 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019161068 | 0.0024051678 | 1.2552369 | 4.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 2.9270643E-6 | 1.6292659E-4 | 55.662117 | 1.6E-4 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.2544501E-5 | 2.3254174E-4 | 18.537344 | 2.2E-4 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5271868E-4 | 4.5267286E-4 | 2.9640963 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015261424 | 0.0019355166 | 1.2682412 | 4.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.2024703E-6 | 1.0220225E-4 | 46.40346 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.439125E-6 | 1.3943789E-4 | 14.772333 | 1.3E-4 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.1491535E-4 | 3.1489236E-4 | 2.7402115 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014276401 | 0.001148563 | 0.0014482185 | 1.260896 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.3720088E-6 | 4.1371954E-5 | 30.154293 | 4.0E-5 | 7.794145E-6 | 5.8800247E-6 | 7.5879616E-5 | 12.904642 | 7.0E-5 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.158698E-5 | 1.815791E-4 | 2.536482 | 1.1E-4 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.156403E-4 | 8.555401E-4 | 1.195489 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.093197E-7 | 7.093197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.0399383E-6 | 3.0399383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.7010635E-5 | 4.7010264E-5 | 1.2701826 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.7004345E-4 | 3.9003603E-4 | 1.0540277 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 3.8653977E-7 | 3.8653977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.656598E-6 | 1.656598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.0168898E-5 | 2.0168898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.0166763E-4 | 2.0166763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 4.940265E-8 | 4.940265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.1172563E-7 | 2.1172563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.5777579E-6 | 2.5777579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.577739E-5 | 2.577739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 0.0010137586 | 269.44257 | 0.00101 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012561046 | 77.899895 | 0.00124 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0018359777 | 9.352935 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.0039174496 | 1.9973803 | 0.00196 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.7604038E-6 | 0.0010137566 | 269.58716 | 0.00101 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6115919E-5 | 0.001256096 | 77.941315 | 0.00124 | 2.3697925E-4 | 1.9619396E-4 | 0.0018358722 | 9.357435 | 0.00164 | 0.002367267 | 0.0019602391 | 0.003916397 | 1.997918 | 0.00196 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.7455707E-6 | 0.0010137418 | 270.65082 | 0.00101 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6052349E-5 | 0.0012560325 | 78.246025 | 0.00124 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9542013E-4 | 0.0018350997 | 9.390535 | 0.00164 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019525145 | 0.0039086877 | 2.0018737 | 0.00196 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.7304717E-6 | 0.0010137267 | 271.74222 | 0.00101 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.598764E-5 | 0.0012559678 | 78.55868 | 0.00124 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9463243E-4 | 0.0018343133 | 9.4244995 | 0.00164 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019446514 | 0.00390084 | 2.0059328 | 0.00196 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.6635147E-6 | 0.0010136599 | 276.69052 | 0.00101 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.5700683E-5 | 0.0012556813 | 79.97621 | 0.00124 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.9113938E-4 | 0.0018308259 | 9.578486 | 0.00164 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019097811 | 0.003866038 | 2.0243356 | 0.00196 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.558509E-6 | 0.0010035549 | 282.01556 | 0.001 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.52506655E-5 | 0.001245232 | 81.650986 | 0.00123 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8566134E-4 | 0.0018153588 | 9.777796 | 0.00163 | 0.0022632615 | 0.0018550936 | 0.0037914948 | 2.0438292 | 0.00194 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.4599636E-6 | 9.834566E-4 | 284.23898 | 9.8E-4 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.4828333E-5 | 0.0012248104 | 82.59933 | 0.00121 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.805203E-4 | 0.0017902297 | 9.917054 | 0.00161 | 0.0021988105 | 0.001803768 | 0.0037103228 | 2.0569844 | 0.00191 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.2787932E-6 | 9.3327573E-4 | 284.64 | 9.3E-4 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4051897E-5 | 0.0011440361 | 81.41506 | 0.00113 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7106872E-4 | 0.0016908087 | 9.883799 | 0.00152 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017094013 | 0.0035262902 | 2.0628803 | 0.00182 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3111554E-6 | 5.923098E-4 | 256.283 | 5.9E-4 | 1.1903058E-5 | 9.904915E-6 | 7.2989776E-4 | 73.69047 | 7.2E-4 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2058573E-4 | 0.0010904687 | 9.043099 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012052105 | 0.0023638124 | 1.9613276 | 0.00116 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.566324E-6 | 3.2156584E-4 | 205.29967 | 3.2E-4 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.7128003E-6 | 4.2670997E-4 | 63.566612 | 4.2E-4 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.1725324E-5 | 6.216812E-4 | 7.606959 | 5.4E-4 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.1695727E-4 | 0.0014864099 | 1.8194463 | 6.7E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3011238E-7 | 7.0430084E-5 | 163.7481 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8433375E-6 | 1.1184313E-4 | 60.67426 | 1.1E-4 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2442404E-5 | 1.3243993E-4 | 5.9013257 | 1.1E-4 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2440155E-4 | 3.5437237E-4 | 1.5791886 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0195635E-7 | 1.0101955E-5 | 99.08117 | 1.0E-5 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.3695573E-7 | 3.0436942E-5 | 69.65681 | 3.0E-5 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3199233E-6 | 3.5319765E-5 | 6.639149 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.319799E-5 | 9.3195864E-5 | 1.7518681 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 6.9576913E-9 | 6.9576913E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.470989E-8 | 8.470989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.470986E-7 | 8.470986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.34127E-4 | 177.75272 | 7.3E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.1768417E-4 | 51.846317 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015651868 | 7.2638 | 0.00135 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0039488594 | 1.8343459 | 0.0018 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.34127E-4 | 177.75272 | 7.3E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.1768417E-4 | 51.846317 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015651868 | 7.2638 | 0.00135 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0039488594 | 1.8343459 | 0.0018 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.34127E-4 | 177.75272 | 7.3E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.1768417E-4 | 51.846317 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015651868 | 7.2638 | 0.00135 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0039488594 | 1.8343459 | 0.0018 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.34127E-4 | 177.75272 | 7.3E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.1768417E-4 | 51.846317 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015651868 | 7.2638 | 0.00135 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0039488594 | 1.8343459 | 0.0018 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.34127E-4 | 177.75272 | 7.3E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.1768417E-4 | 51.846317 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015651868 | 7.2638 | 0.00135 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0039488594 | 1.8343459 | 0.0018 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389933E-6 | 7.136364E-4 | 196.10818 | 7.1E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595593E-5 | 8.7558216E-4 | 56.14292 | 8.6E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986E-4 | 0.0014496208 | 7.6352086 | 0.00126 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969983 | 0.0035837924 | 1.8891912 | 0.00169 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389933E-6 | 7.136364E-4 | 196.10818 | 7.1E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595593E-5 | 8.7558216E-4 | 56.14292 | 8.6E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986E-4 | 0.0014496208 | 7.6352086 | 0.00126 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969983 | 0.0035837924 | 1.8891912 | 0.00169 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.537784E-6 | 7.135353E-4 | 201.68988 | 7.1E-4 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5161845E-5 | 8.751488E-4 | 57.72047 | 8.6E-4 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8458001E-4 | 0.0014443474 | 7.825048 | 0.00126 | 0.0025102948 | 0.001844286 | 0.0035311691 | 1.9146538 | 0.00169 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.2271769E-6 | 6.9322495E-4 | 214.80849 | 6.9E-4 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.3830685E-5 | 8.3381933E-4 | 60.287636 | 8.2E-4 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.6837571E-4 | 0.0013481771 | 8.006956 | 0.00118 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0016824952 | 0.0032498536 | 1.9315679 | 0.00157 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.0824551E-6 | 6.8308035E-4 | 221.60269 | 6.8E-4 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3210456E-5 | 8.2319975E-4 | 62.31426 | 8.1E-4 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6082554E-4 | 0.0013106406 | 8.149455 | 0.00115 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016071034 | 0.0031246606 | 1.944281 | 0.00152 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9068485E-6 | 6.6290493E-4 | 228.04936 | 6.6E-4 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2457863E-5 | 8.02448E-4 | 64.41297 | 7.9E-4 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5166403E-4 | 0.0012814926 | 8.449549 | 0.00113 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015156161 | 0.002993373 | 1.9750206 | 0.00148 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8068564E-6 | 6.52805E-4 | 232.57513 | 6.5E-4 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.202933E-5 | 7.8202004E-4 | 65.009445 | 7.7E-4 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.4644735E-4 | 0.0012562848 | 8.578405 | 0.00111 | 0.0021060838 | 0.001463519 | 0.0028914262 | 1.975667 | 0.00143 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.628971E-6 | 6.1262737E-4 | 233.02933 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1266971E-5 | 7.312589E-4 | 64.90288 | 7.2E-4 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.3716683E-4 | 0.0011970215 | 8.726755 | 0.00106 | 0.0019967605 | 0.001370832 | 0.0027189814 | 1.9834534 | 0.00135 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.4423916E-6 | 5.324411E-4 | 217.9999 | 5.3E-4 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0467351E-5 | 6.5046066E-4 | 62.141857 | 6.4E-4 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.2743265E-4 | 0.0010673129 | 8.375505 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0012736059 | 0.002492052 | 1.9566902 | 0.00122 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.27386E-6 | 5.0227274E-4 | 220.8899 | 5.0E-4 | 1.4361368E-5 | 9.745079E-6 | 6.197391E-4 | 63.595085 | 6.1E-4 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.18639975E-4 | 0.0010185333 | 8.585076 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0011857763 | 0.002364377 | 1.9939487 | 0.00118 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 1.9792624E-6 | 4.319784E-4 | 218.25223 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.482526E-6 | 5.184782E-4 | 61.12309 | 5.1E-4 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0326996E-4 | 8.7319047E-4 | 8.455416 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010322294 | 0.002061166 | 1.9968102 | 0.00103 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4061362E-6 | 3.014057E-4 | 214.3503 | 3.0E-4 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.0262846E-6 | 3.8602398E-4 | 64.05672 | 3.8E-4 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.336763E-5 | 6.433258E-4 | 8.768524 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0010500296 | 7.334425E-4 | 0.0014828924 | 2.021825 | 7.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 3.90457E-7 | 8.0390426E-5 | 205.88805 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.6733861E-6 | 8.167325E-5 | 48.807175 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.037331E-5 | 1.20371275E-4 | 5.9082823 | 1.0E-4 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.0371685E-4 | 3.5368628E-4 | 1.7361661 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0033607E-7 | 1.0033607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.3001162E-7 | 4.3001162E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.2353794E-6 | 5.2353794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.2352592E-5 | 5.2352592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 2.977693E-8 | 2.977693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.2761541E-7 | 1.2761541E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5537166E-6 | 1.5537166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.553707E-5 | 1.553707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.8304835E-4 | 6.6100087 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.6295465E-4 | 3.074978 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004782833 | 1.2564701 | 9.8E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038865436 | 1.0372479 | 0.00145 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.8304835E-4 | 6.6100087 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.6295465E-4 | 3.074978 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004782833 | 1.2564701 | 9.8E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038865436 | 1.0372479 | 0.00145 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.8304835E-4 | 6.6100087 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.6295465E-4 | 3.074978 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004782833 | 1.2564701 | 9.8E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038865436 | 1.0372479 | 0.00145 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 2.778876E-4 | 5.8015795 | 2.3E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.7518884E-4 | 2.80218 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030550407 | 1.2237595 | 5.6E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025485536 | 1.0315818 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 2.778876E-4 | 5.8015795 | 2.3E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.7518884E-4 | 2.80218 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030550407 | 1.2237595 | 5.6E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025485536 | 1.0315818 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.5319634E-5 | 1.9531399E-4 | 5.529898 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.513617E-4 | 4.3131932E-4 | 2.8495934 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0018413815 | 0.0022506265 | 1.2222489 | 4.1E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.018272636 | 0.01880277 | 1.0290124 | 5.4E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.3941466E-5 | 1.8393637E-4 | 5.419223 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.4545594E-4 | 4.1541667E-4 | 2.8559623 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0017695955 | 0.0021688878 | 1.2256403 | 4.0E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.017566137 | 0.018086826 | 1.0296417 | 5.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.6353702E-5 | 1.2635106E-4 | 4.794433 | 1.0E-4 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.12940026E-4 | 3.329152E-4 | 2.9477165 | 2.2E-4 | 0.001192729 | 0.001374263 | 0.0016738507 | 1.2179989 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.013666247 | 0.01406078 | 1.0288692 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.4592096E-5 | 9.4590374E-5 | 3.846373 | 7.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.05390915E-4 | 2.8537193E-4 | 2.707747 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001112141 | 0.0012824632 | 0.0015421298 | 1.2024748 | 2.6E-4 | 0.011065915 | 0.012759039 | 0.013114446 | 1.0278553 | 3.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.1877471E-5 | 8.187616E-5 | 3.7424872 | 6.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.3757684E-5 | 2.6374173E-4 | 2.8130147 | 1.7E-4 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011409834 | 0.0013906981 | 1.2188592 | 2.5E-4 | 0.009869894 | 0.011359346 | 0.011695484 | 1.0295913 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 1.9661622E-5 | 7.966044E-5 | 4.0515704 | 6.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.426182E-5 | 2.4424834E-4 | 2.8986833 | 1.6E-4 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010254843 | 0.0012552484 | 1.2240543 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008882134 | 0.010215383 | 0.010532114 | 1.0310053 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8379606E-5 | 6.8378686E-5 | 3.7203565 | 5.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 7.876781E-5 | 2.1875677E-4 | 2.7772357 | 1.4E-4 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.586551E-4 | 0.0011584633 | 1.2084256 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008304977 | 0.00955299 | 0.00984022 | 1.030067 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.6639548E-5 | 6.663871E-5 | 4.0048394 | 5.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.131084E-5 | 2.1130085E-4 | 2.963096 | 1.4E-4 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.679419E-4 | 0.0010677683 | 1.2302302 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007520827 | 0.008653227 | 0.00892089 | 1.0309322 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.016325E-6 | 1.6016265E-5 | 2.6621342 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.578418E-5 | 7.578289E-5 | 2.9391236 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.1390967E-4 | 4.0388142E-4 | 1.2866167 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0031378502 | 0.003277411 | 1.0444765 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.38535E-7 | 8.38535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.593717E-6 | 3.593717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.37527E-5 | 6.3751824E-5 | 1.4570947 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3744803E-4 | 4.8742615E-4 | 1.1142493 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6480425E-7 | 6.6480425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8491581E-6 | 2.8491581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4688015E-5 | 3.4688015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4683262E-4 | 3.6682567E-4 | 1.0576447 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5512568E-7 | 3.5512568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5219665E-6 | 1.5219665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8529832E-5 | 1.8529832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8528744E-4 | 1.8528744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 5.313092E-4 | 8.661981 | 4.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.626965E-4 | 3.2820344 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0041231466 | 1.2900479 | 9.3E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032983012 | 1.0451088 | 0.00147 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 5.313092E-4 | 8.661981 | 4.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.626965E-4 | 3.2820344 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0041231466 | 1.2900479 | 9.3E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032983012 | 1.0451088 | 0.00147 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.3594206E-4 | 9.093053 | 2.1E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.8116908E-4 | 3.4278069 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0017924579 | 1.3247504 | 4.4E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.014094041 | 1.0476671 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.3594206E-4 | 9.093053 | 2.1E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.8116908E-4 | 3.4278069 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0017924579 | 1.3247504 | 4.4E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.014094041 | 1.0476671 | 6.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.18999E-5 | 1.7189661E-4 | 7.8491964 | 1.5E-4 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.385355E-5 | 3.0383383E-4 | 3.2373185 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011421061 | 0.0015016949 | 1.3148471 | 3.6E-4 | 0.010206259 | 0.011366243 | 0.0119001055 | 1.046969 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9262101E-5 | 1.4925959E-4 | 7.748874 | 1.3E-4 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.254944E-5 | 2.7253377E-4 | 3.3014607 | 1.9E-4 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010046111 | 0.0013442695 | 1.3380995 | 3.4E-4 | 0.009008561 | 0.010004225 | 0.010509123 | 1.0504684 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.5934824E-5 | 1.1593323E-4 | 7.2754636 | 1.0E-4 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.829049E-5 | 2.1828024E-4 | 3.1963494 | 1.5E-4 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.311499E-4 | 0.0011109172 | 1.3366027 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0074845953 | 0.0082834475 | 0.008699968 | 1.0502836 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.395179E-5 | 1.0395054E-4 | 7.4506955 | 9.0E-5 | 5.414838E-5 | 5.9792175E-5 | 1.79785E-4 | 3.0068316 | 1.2E-4 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.277554E-4 | 9.6758077E-4 | 1.3295411 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006571059 | 0.0072565824 | 0.0076238974 | 1.0506182 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2634907E-5 | 9.26339E-5 | 7.3315854 | 8.0E-5 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.4148633E-5 | 1.6414268E-4 | 3.0313356 | 1.1E-4 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.590884E-4 | 8.7894336E-4 | 1.3335744 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006574121 | 0.0069019515 | 1.0498668 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0005037E-5 | 8.0004334E-5 | 7.9964056 | 7.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.2878175E-5 | 1.3287432E-4 | 3.0988798 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.2194326E-4 | 7.1184407E-4 | 1.3638343 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0052097817 | 0.005488323 | 1.053465 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.448277E-6 | 6.644789E-5 | 10.304751 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.7635306E-5 | 9.763337E-5 | 3.5329216 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.3643027E-4 | 4.963764E-4 | 1.4754214 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0033614028 | 0.0035607305 | 1.059299 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.1921103E-6 | 1.2192088E-5 | 5.5618043 | 1.0E-5 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.394726E-6 | 2.9394538E-5 | 3.128834 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1437493E-4 | 1.7436808E-4 | 1.5245304 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011431758 | 0.0012130957 | 1.061163 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.160658E-6 | 1.2160636E-5 | 5.62821 | 1.0E-5 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.25993E-6 | 2.9259745E-5 | 3.1598234 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1273397E-4 | 1.727272E-4 | 1.5321665 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011267829 | 0.001196704 | 1.0620538 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7312143E-6 | 1.1731197E-5 | 6.7762823 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4194695E-6 | 1.7419396E-5 | 2.3477952 | 1.0E-5 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.032839E-5 | 1.3032477E-4 | 1.4427887 | 4.0E-5 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0292573E-4 | 9.528806E-4 | 1.0553255 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4533775E-6 | 1.1453363E-5 | 7.8805146 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2287468E-6 | 1.6228685E-5 | 2.6054494 | 1.0E-5 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.5832424E-5 | 1.1582939E-4 | 1.5274389 | 4.0E-5 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.580727E-4 | 8.080348E-4 | 1.0659068 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2835433E-6 | 1.12835305E-5 | 8.790923 | 1.0E-5 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5008886E-6 | 1.5500833E-5 | 2.817878 | 1.0E-5 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.697133E-5 | 9.696932E-5 | 1.4479228 | 3.0E-5 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.695185E-4 | 7.094917E-4 | 1.0597044 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5047466E-5 | 4.5047116E-5 | 1.2853173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5042508E-4 | 3.6042157E-4 | 1.0285268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.1970242E-9 | 6.1970242E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.5448774E-8 | 7.5448774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.5448776E-7 | 7.5448776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 5.0714693E-4 | 29.562065 | 4.9E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 7.134738E-4 | 9.704372 | 6.4E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0019138539 | 2.1389422 | 0.00102 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010340607 | 1.1601137 | 0.00144 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 5.0714693E-4 | 29.562065 | 4.9E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 7.134738E-4 | 9.704372 | 6.4E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0019138539 | 2.1389422 | 0.00102 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010340607 | 1.1601137 | 0.00144 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1304176E-5 | 3.3130057E-4 | 29.307804 | 3.2E-4 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.8445585E-5 | 4.6842525E-4 | 9.669101 | 4.2E-4 | 5.782728E-4 | 5.896687E-4 | 0.0012792618 | 2.1694586 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0057677035 | 0.005881389 | 0.0068357433 | 1.1622667 | 9.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0369718E-5 | 2.9036682E-4 | 28.001417 | 2.8E-4 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.444091E-5 | 4.24424E-4 | 9.550301 | 3.8E-4 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.409365E-4 | 0.0011805904 | 2.1824932 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0053125503 | 0.0053964877 | 0.006291631 | 1.1658752 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.156676E-6 | 2.491545E-4 | 27.210144 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8863272E-5 | 3.9242317E-5 | 3.6922935E-4 | 9.408959 | 3.3E-4 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.776724E-4 | 0.0010274097 | 2.1508667 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0047205184 | 0.0047666584 | 0.0055528926 | 1.1649445 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.6047945E-6 | 2.0760327E-4 | 27.298998 | 2.0E-4 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.2591575E-5 | 3.225821E-4 | 9.897715 | 2.9E-4 | 3.9678233E-4 | 3.9673146E-4 | 8.6654496E-4 | 2.1842105 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0039607463 | 0.003960362 | 0.004627709 | 1.1685065 | 6.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.7849484E-6 | 1.5578407E-4 | 26.929209 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.47924E-5 | 2.547867E-4 | 10.276807 | 2.3E-4 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.0180576E-4 | 6.8169105E-4 | 2.258708 | 3.8E-4 | 0.003068543 | 0.003013971 | 0.003522434 | 1.168702 | 5.1E-4 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.5509804E-6 | 1.5555015E-4 | 28.022104 | 1.5E-4 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.3789698E-5 | 2.5378424E-4 | 10.66782 | 2.3E-4 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.896012E-4 | 6.59494E-4 | 2.277249 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0028922493 | 0.0033908032 | 1.1723758 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.401033E-6 | 1.5540022E-4 | 28.772316 | 1.5E-4 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.3147079E-5 | 2.5314174E-4 | 10.936229 | 2.3E-4 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8177933E-4 | 6.416779E-4 | 2.2772355 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0028769306 | 0.0028142317 | 0.0032928807 | 1.1700816 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.1660422E-6 | 1.3516538E-4 | 26.164202 | 1.3E-4 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2139993E-5 | 2.2213557E-4 | 10.033226 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.6952114E-4 | 5.794376E-4 | 2.149878 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0027603607 | 0.0026919527 | 0.003100849 | 1.1518958 | 4.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 4.9671926E-6 | 1.3496654E-4 | 27.171597 | 1.3E-4 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1287793E-5 | 2.2128354E-4 | 10.3948555 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.5914813E-4 | 5.590704E-4 | 2.157339 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0025884686 | 0.0029874332 | 1.1541315 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.695057E-6 | 1.1469454E-4 | 24.428785 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0121517E-5 | 1.901181E-4 | 9.448497 | 1.7E-4 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.44952E-4 | 5.148859E-4 | 2.1019866 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0025258875 | 0.002446828 | 0.0028159225 | 1.1508462 | 3.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.3778105E-6 | 1.14377326E-4 | 26.126606 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.876191E-5 | 1.7875891E-4 | 9.527756 | 1.6E-4 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.2840238E-4 | 4.5834985E-4 | 2.006765 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0022816835 | 0.0025909762 | 1.1355546 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.5950852E-6 | 1.0359473E-4 | 28.815653 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5407417E-5 | 1.654051E-4 | 10.73542 | 1.5E-4 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.875692E-4 | 3.575373E-4 | 1.9061621 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001977751 | 0.0018741133 | 0.0021036824 | 1.1224947 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.679258E-6 | 6.26791E-5 | 23.3942 | 6.0E-5 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1482483E-5 | 1.11481335E-4 | 9.7088175 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.397903E-4 | 2.4977492E-4 | 1.786783 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0013970262 | 0.0015568027 | 1.114369 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.7940209E-6 | 4.179395E-5 | 23.296244 | 4.0E-5 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.688638E-6 | 7.76881E-5 | 10.104273 | 7.0E-5 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.360517E-5 | 1.7359768E-4 | 1.8545736 | 8.0E-5 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.356594E-4 | 0.0010555472 | 1.1281317 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.0844291E-6 | 2.1084408E-5 | 19.442863 | 2.0E-5 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.6475448E-6 | 5.4647313E-5 | 11.758318 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.6582405E-5 | 1.1657901E-4 | 2.0603404 | 6.0E-5 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.656816E-4 | 6.4563635E-4 | 1.1413423 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.5284366E-7 | 1.0452839E-5 | 23.082666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.940757E-6 | 1.1940738E-5 | 6.152618 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.3628474E-5 | 4.3628002E-5 | 1.8464164 | 2.0E-5 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.3626072E-4 | 2.6625363E-4 | 1.1269484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 1.00636125E-5 | 158.19963 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 1.0272626E-5 | 37.67991 | 1.0E-5 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.3192498E-6 | 1.3319217E-5 | 4.0127187 | 1.0E-5 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 4.319169E-5 | 1.3012673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.3944817E-4 | 14.916657 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0024051822 | 1.5653449 | 8.7E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016583627 | 1.0836477 | 0.0013 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.3944817E-4 | 14.916657 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0024051822 | 1.5653449 | 8.7E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016583627 | 1.0836477 | 0.0013 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.3944817E-4 | 14.916657 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0024051822 | 1.5653449 | 8.7E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016583627 | 1.0836477 | 0.0013 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.3944817E-4 | 14.916657 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0024051822 | 1.5653449 | 8.7E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016583627 | 1.0836477 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.00162915E-5 | 1.2001519E-4 | 11.981998 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.292628E-5 | 1.8292027E-4 | 4.2612653 | 1.4E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.5238594E-4 | 1.4399562 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.0055613574 | 1.0667875 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.00162915E-5 | 1.2001519E-4 | 11.981998 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.292628E-5 | 1.8292027E-4 | 4.2612653 | 1.4E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.5238594E-4 | 1.4399562 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.0055613574 | 1.0667875 | 3.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.442547E-6 | 8.844187E-5 | 10.475733 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.6181857E-5 | 1.3617823E-4 | 3.7637162 | 1.0E-4 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.4042667E-4 | 6.103518E-4 | 1.3858193 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005855706 | 0.004395708 | 0.004674477 | 1.0634185 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.695583E-6 | 8.769497E-5 | 11.3954935 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.298066E-5 | 1.3297737E-4 | 4.03198 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.0146674E-4 | 5.713985E-4 | 1.4232773 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0040075392 | 0.0042764572 | 1.067103 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.67753E-6 | 8.767692E-5 | 11.419937 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.2903296E-5 | 1.3290001E-4 | 4.039109 | 1.0E-4 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.0052517E-4 | 5.704571E-4 | 1.4242728 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005451347 | 0.0039981576 | 0.004267078 | 1.0672611 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.3104753E-6 | 7.631003E-5 | 12.092597 | 7.0E-5 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7044614E-5 | 1.0704245E-4 | 3.957995 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.2921875E-4 | 4.6917266E-4 | 1.4251091 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004724967 | 0.0032873454 | 0.0034966553 | 1.0636714 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.039872E-6 | 7.603945E-5 | 12.58958 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.588491E-5 | 1.0588284E-4 | 4.0905237 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.1510348E-4 | 4.5505937E-4 | 1.4441584 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0031465965 | 0.0033459673 | 1.0633607 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.7905345E-6 | 7.579013E-5 | 13.088624 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.4816341E-5 | 1.0481436E-4 | 4.2236023 | 8.0E-5 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.0209732E-4 | 4.4205502E-4 | 1.4632868 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004368907 | 0.0030168942 | 0.0032162908 | 1.0660933 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.34302E-6 | 7.534264E-5 | 14.101135 | 7.0E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.2898455E-5 | 1.0289662E-4 | 4.493605 | 8.0E-5 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.7875323E-4 | 4.08717E-4 | 1.4662323 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0027840582 | 0.0029735293 | 1.0680557 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.5221045E-6 | 5.452188E-5 | 12.056749 | 5.0E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9380304E-5 | 6.937933E-5 | 3.5798888 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.3592981E-4 | 3.359062E-4 | 1.4237549 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033722918 | 0.002356809 | 0.002496479 | 1.0592624 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.783853E-6 | 3.378374E-5 | 8.928397 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6216412E-5 | 4.6215926E-5 | 2.8499477 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 1.9741706E-4 | 2.7740127E-4 | 1.4051535 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0019724306 | 0.0020822135 | 1.0556587 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5130112E-6 | 3.2512937E-5 | 12.93784 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.0770003E-5 | 4.076968E-5 | 3.7854843 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.31117E-4 | 2.1110651E-4 | 1.6100621 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013104064 | 0.0014202622 | 1.0838335 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5087E-6 | 1.1508685E-5 | 7.628213 | 1.0E-5 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.4658416E-6 | 1.6465778E-5 | 2.5465791 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1951787E-4 | 7.871884E-5 | 1.287149E-4 | 1.635122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011945361 | 7.8691595E-4 | 8.66853E-4 | 1.1015826 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3360695E-7 | 1.0333603E-5 | 30.975386 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4297433E-6 | 1.1429729E-5 | 7.9942527 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7407E-5 | 2.7406824E-5 | 1.5744716 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7405768E-4 | 1.8405594E-4 | 1.0574422 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.4233386E-4 | 27.746437 | 3.3E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.7284837E-4 | 10.833839 | 5.2E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.0016029598 | 2.4907014 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007739071 | 1.2059124 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.4233386E-4 | 27.746437 | 3.3E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.7284837E-4 | 10.833839 | 5.2E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.0016029598 | 2.4907014 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007739071 | 1.2059124 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.4233386E-4 | 27.746437 | 3.3E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.7284837E-4 | 10.833839 | 5.2E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.0016029598 | 2.4907014 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007739071 | 1.2059124 | 0.00133 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.4233386E-4 | 27.746437 | 3.3E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.7284837E-4 | 10.833839 | 5.2E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.0016029598 | 2.4907014 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007739071 | 1.2059124 | 0.00133 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2318866E-5 | 3.423148E-4 | 27.787851 | 3.3E-4 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.2794094E-5 | 5.7276664E-4 | 10.849067 | 5.2E-4 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.42583E-4 | 0.0016019661 | 2.4930105 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0064077172 | 0.007729195 | 1.2062322 | 0.00133 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1089502E-5 | 3.010863E-4 | 27.15057 | 2.9E-4 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.7525584E-5 | 5.275028E-4 | 11.099343 | 4.8E-4 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.78473E-4 | 0.0014379754 | 2.4858127 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0058488925 | 0.005769947 | 0.0069331964 | 1.2016048 | 0.00117 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1080753E-5 | 3.0107755E-4 | 27.171215 | 2.9E-4 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.7488094E-5 | 5.274653E-4 | 11.107317 | 4.8E-4 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.7801674E-4 | 0.0014375197 | 2.4869862 | 8.6E-4 | 0.005844661 | 0.0057654087 | 0.0069286632 | 1.2017645 | 0.00117 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1075612E-5 | 3.010724E-4 | 27.183365 | 2.9E-4 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.746606E-5 | 5.2744325E-4 | 11.112009 | 4.8E-4 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.777486E-4 | 0.0014372517 | 2.4876766 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0057627414 | 0.0069259987 | 1.2018584 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0012425E-5 | 2.8000973E-4 | 27.966223 | 2.7E-4 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.29097E-5 | 4.828908E-4 | 11.253652 | 4.4E-4 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.223024E-4 | 0.0012819055 | 2.4543357 | 7.6E-4 | 0.005335517 | 0.0052109663 | 0.006265443 | 1.2023572 | 0.00106 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 8.926039E-6 | 2.589238E-4 | 29.007694 | 2.5E-4 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.82539E-5 | 4.5823783E-4 | 11.978852 | 4.2E-4 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.656433E-4 | 0.0011253359 | 2.416734 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0048161 | 0.0046468433 | 0.005542661 | 1.1927799 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.089273E-6 | 2.2808749E-4 | 28.19629 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.4667864E-5 | 4.146547E-4 | 11.96078 | 3.8E-4 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.2200089E-4 | 9.917603E-4 | 2.3501382 | 5.7E-4 | 0.004412184 | 0.00421214 | 0.0049888548 | 1.184399 | 7.8E-4 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.13498E-6 | 1.5613406E-4 | 25.449806 | 1.5E-4 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.629251E-5 | 2.962854E-4 | 11.268814 | 2.7E-4 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.200647E-4 | 7.299335E-4 | 2.280581 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0031960816 | 0.0037642599 | 1.1777734 | 5.7E-4 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 4.9948494E-6 | 1.2499424E-4 | 25.02463 | 1.2E-4 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1406322E-5 | 2.3140182E-4 | 10.809976 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6059095E-4 | 5.8050756E-4 | 2.2276583 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026028694 | 0.0030118022 | 1.1571084 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.867589E-6 | 1.13867165E-4 | 29.441383 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6575275E-5 | 2.0657212E-4 | 12.4626665 | 1.9E-4 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0178538E-4 | 4.4173695E-4 | 2.1891425 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020160312 | 0.0023154265 | 1.1485072 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.6334849E-6 | 5.2633353E-5 | 19.986198 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1286315E-5 | 1.1128519E-4 | 9.860188 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.3740227E-4 | 2.673844E-4 | 1.945997 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0014886294 | 0.001373178 | 0.0015529308 | 1.1309028 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8468428E-6 | 4.1846768E-5 | 22.658545 | 4.0E-5 | 8.540134E-6 | 7.915017E-6 | 7.791446E-5 | 9.843879 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.63611E-5 | 1.9635147E-4 | 2.0376632 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010392254 | 9.6319657E-4 | 0.0011030617 | 1.1452093 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.1863077E-6 | 2.1186284E-5 | 17.859013 | 2.0E-5 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.0841663E-6 | 5.508391E-5 | 10.834404 | 5.0E-5 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.189798E-5 | 1.2189427E-4 | 1.9692769 | 6.0E-5 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.188093E-4 | 6.987598E-4 | 1.1292006 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.0112507E-7 | 1.0601119E-5 | 17.635464 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.5762479E-6 | 1.2576222E-5 | 4.881604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.136538E-5 | 5.1364754E-5 | 1.6376257 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.1361092E-4 | 3.436015E-4 | 1.0956299 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.2322857E-7 | 1.0223226E-5 | 45.797123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5669474E-6 | 9.566935E-7 | 1.0956684E-5 | 11.452659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.1647684E-5 | 2.1647567E-5 | 1.8585298 | 1.0E-5 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.1647104E-4 | 1.2646988E-4 | 1.0858482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 4.9993115E-8 | 4.9993115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.142562E-7 | 2.142562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.6085672E-6 | 2.6085672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.6085478E-5 | 2.6085478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 3.312846E-4 | 29.347862 | 3.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.7835155E-4 | 11.955047 | 5.3E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014083637 | 2.391733 | 8.2E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.007047274 | 1.1996982 | 0.00118 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 3.312846E-4 | 29.347862 | 3.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.7835155E-4 | 11.955047 | 5.3E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014083637 | 2.391733 | 8.2E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.007047274 | 1.1996982 | 0.00118 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 3.312846E-4 | 29.347862 | 3.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.7835155E-4 | 11.955047 | 5.3E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014083637 | 2.391733 | 8.2E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.007047274 | 1.1996982 | 0.00118 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 3.312846E-4 | 29.347862 | 3.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.7835155E-4 | 11.955047 | 5.3E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014083637 | 2.391733 | 8.2E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.007047274 | 1.1996982 | 0.00118 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 3.312846E-4 | 29.347862 | 3.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.7835155E-4 | 11.955047 | 5.3E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014083637 | 2.391733 | 8.2E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.007047274 | 1.1996982 | 0.00118 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.192975E-6 | 2.1819126E-4 | 26.631504 | 2.1E-4 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.5112287E-5 | 3.9509963E-4 | 11.252461 | 3.6E-4 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.2740977E-4 | 0.0010171576 | 2.3798182 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0042609703 | 0.0042660376 | 0.0050626243 | 1.1867276 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.1617545E-6 | 2.0816013E-4 | 25.504335 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.4978486E-5 | 3.8496623E-4 | 11.0058 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.257814E-4 | 0.0010055344 | 2.3616214 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0042457907 | 0.004249816 | 0.0050364584 | 1.1851004 | 7.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.115877E-6 | 2.0811426E-4 | 25.642857 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.478187E-5 | 3.847697E-4 | 11.062363 | 3.5E-4 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.2338856E-4 | 0.001003143 | 2.3693202 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0042232145 | 0.0042259786 | 0.0050126403 | 1.186149 | 7.9E-4 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.61843E-6 | 2.076169E-4 | 27.251928 | 2.0E-4 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.2650012E-5 | 3.7263893E-4 | 11.413132 | 3.4E-4 | 3.9877684E-4 | 3.9744278E-4 | 9.472242E-4 | 2.383297 | 5.5E-4 | 0.00398062 | 0.003967461 | 0.0047144853 | 1.1882877 | 7.5E-4 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.328486E-6 | 1.8732717E-4 | 25.56151 | 1.8E-4 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.1407424E-5 | 3.5139738E-4 | 11.188354 | 3.2E-4 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8231967E-4 | 8.821285E-4 | 2.307306 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0038381014 | 0.0038167578 | 0.0044941623 | 1.1774817 | 6.8E-4 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.1614854E-6 | 1.871602E-4 | 26.13427 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.0691728E-5 | 3.5068192E-4 | 11.425942 | 3.2E-4 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.7360904E-4 | 8.6342596E-4 | 2.3110414 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037299471 | 0.004397448 | 1.1789572 | 6.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.431076E-6 | 1.2543042E-4 | 23.09495 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3275834E-5 | 2.4327071E-4 | 10.451644 | 2.2E-4 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.833468E-4 | 6.3324766E-4 | 2.2348855 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028298956 | 0.003318509 | 1.1726613 | 4.9E-4 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5138563E-6 | 1.04513405E-4 | 23.153906 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9344956E-5 | 1.9934148E-4 | 10.304571 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3549951E-4 | 5.1543355E-4 | 2.188682 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023525131 | 0.0027216428 | 1.1569086 | 3.7E-4 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.573333E-6 | 9.357301E-5 | 26.18648 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5314195E-5 | 1.853116E-4 | 12.100642 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8643445E-4 | 3.963953E-4 | 2.1261914 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0019959346 | 0.001862789 | 0.002132286 | 1.144674 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.4599751E-6 | 4.2459877E-5 | 17.260288 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0542708E-5 | 1.0054176E-4 | 9.536616 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.2834994E-4 | 2.4833455E-4 | 1.9348239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001361329 | 0.0012827625 | 0.0014525444 | 1.1323565 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7316805E-6 | 4.173161E-5 | 24.098907 | 4.0E-5 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.421467E-6 | 7.742095E-5 | 10.432027 | 7.0E-5 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.0352645E-5 | 1.903436E-4 | 2.1066744 | 1.0E-4 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.031622E-4 | 0.0010430358 | 1.1548709 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.0853746E-6 | 2.1085352E-5 | 19.426798 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.6515975E-6 | 5.4651366E-5 | 11.748946 | 5.0E-5 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.6631743E-5 | 1.1662835E-4 | 2.0594165 | 6.0E-5 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.661747E-4 | 6.461294E-4 | 1.1412191 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.6454264E-7 | 1.0464538E-5 | 22.526539 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2846775E-6 | 1.9908955E-6 | 1.19908755E-5 | 6.0228553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4238894E-5 | 4.4238408E-5 | 1.8251002 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4236362E-4 | 2.7235635E-4 | 1.1237509 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 7.760243E-8 | 1.00776015E-5 | 129.86194 | 1.0E-5 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 1.0332578E-5 | 31.067781 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.049176E-6 | 1.4049136E-5 | 3.469628 | 1.0E-5 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 5.0490646E-5 | 1.2469581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 5.6796335E-4 | 2.4906209 | 3.4E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.001456488 | 1.4908415 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.0125717595 | 1.0626447 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.11380138 | 1.0084114 | 0.00107 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 5.6796335E-4 | 2.4906209 | 3.4E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.001456488 | 1.4908415 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.0125717595 | 1.0626447 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.11380138 | 1.0084114 | 0.00107 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 5.6796335E-4 | 2.4906209 | 3.4E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.001456488 | 1.4908415 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.0125717595 | 1.0626447 | 7.5E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.11380138 | 1.0084114 | 0.00107 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.1769927E-4 | 5.5762526E-4 | 2.5614476 | 3.4E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326681E-4 | 0.0014122204 | 1.5141726 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297097 | 0.012038625 | 1.0656388 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10817854 | 0.10912387 | 1.0087386 | 0.00106 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.1769927E-4 | 5.5762526E-4 | 2.5614476 | 3.4E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326681E-4 | 0.0014122204 | 1.5141726 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297097 | 0.012038625 | 1.0656388 | 7.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10817854 | 0.10912387 | 1.0087386 | 0.00106 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.0273947E-4 | 5.4267055E-4 | 2.6766891 | 3.4E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 8.6859846E-4 | 0.0013381902 | 1.5406315 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.010524785 | 0.011247102 | 1.0686301 | 7.3E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.101369254 | 0.10229484 | 1.0091308 | 0.00103 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 1.694489E-4 | 4.99393E-4 | 2.9471598 | 3.3E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 7.2600937E-4 | 0.0011756826 | 1.6193767 | 4.5E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.008803735 | 0.009477749 | 1.0765599 | 6.8E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.08593525 | 0.08680361 | 1.0101048 | 9.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 1.5170743E-4 | 4.716589E-4 | 3.1090033 | 3.2E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 6.5001374E-4 | 0.0010797342 | 1.6610945 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.00788543 | 0.008530305 | 1.0817806 | 6.5E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.07775072 | 0.07857152 | 1.0105568 | 8.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 1.385122E-4 | 4.4846928E-4 | 3.2377598 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 5.934892E-4 | 0.00101324 | 1.7072593 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.007201912 | 0.007837303 | 1.0882252 | 6.4E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.07150425 | 0.07231204 | 1.0112971 | 8.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 1.3354333E-4 | 4.235046E-4 | 3.17129 | 2.9E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 5.722035E-4 | 9.7197463E-4 | 1.698652 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0069444343 | 0.007560129 | 1.0886601 | 6.2E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.069193766 | 0.069975644 | 1.0112998 | 8.4E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 1.2751021E-4 | 4.1747323E-4 | 3.2740376 | 2.9E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 5.463583E-4 | 9.461398E-4 | 1.7317203 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.006631724 | 0.0072476123 | 1.09287 | 6.2E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.06634519 | 0.067129456 | 1.011821 | 8.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.2007749E-4 | 4.1004267E-4 | 3.414817 | 2.9E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 5.145167E-4 | 9.143109E-4 | 1.7770286 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.006246334 | 0.0068525234 | 1.0970473 | 6.1E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.0628421 | 0.06361994 | 1.0123777 | 8.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.0585385E-4 | 3.7582527E-4 | 3.5504167 | 2.7E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 4.5358058E-4 | 8.2341273E-4 | 1.8153616 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.0055083875 | 0.0060653025 | 1.1011032 | 5.6E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.05601383 | 0.0567407 | 1.0129766 | 7.7E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 9.711282E-5 | 3.4708853E-4 | 3.5740755 | 2.5E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 4.1613146E-4 | 7.659858E-4 | 1.8407304 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.005054646 | 0.005591917 | 1.1062924 | 5.4E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.051845446 | 0.052547082 | 1.0135332 | 7.4E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 9.074717E-5 | 3.207263E-4 | 3.5342844 | 2.3E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 3.888585E-4 | 7.0873403E-4 | 1.8226014 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0047240863 | 0.0052117715 | 1.1032338 | 4.9E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.048767596 | 0.049404923 | 1.0130687 | 6.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 8.494174E-5 | 2.749256E-4 | 3.236637 | 1.9E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 3.6398528E-4 | 6.33887E-4 | 1.7415183 | 2.7E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.004422525 | 0.004850623 | 1.0967995 | 4.3E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.04592855 | 0.046510532 | 1.0126715 | 6.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 8.147963E-5 | 2.7146415E-4 | 3.331681 | 1.9E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 3.4915173E-4 | 6.1905745E-4 | 1.7730328 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.004242644 | 0.0046708197 | 1.1009219 | 4.3E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.04421748 | 0.04479095 | 1.0129693 | 6.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 7.302787E-5 | 2.5301473E-4 | 3.4646325 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 3.1293905E-4 | 5.628608E-4 | 1.7986276 | 2.5E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0038033808 | 0.004211821 | 1.1073889 | 4.1E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.039980542 | 0.040518153 | 1.0134468 | 5.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 6.626636E-5 | 2.1625642E-4 | 3.2634418 | 1.5E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 2.839678E-4 | 4.83911E-4 | 1.7041053 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0034518295 | 0.0037806905 | 1.0952715 | 3.3E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.036498 | 0.03694121 | 1.0121434 | 4.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 4.6971752E-5 | 1.4696705E-4 | 3.128839 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 2.0129199E-4 | 3.412638E-4 | 1.6953671 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0024479765 | 0.002667438 | 1.0896502 | 2.2E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.026215866 | 0.026508002 | 1.0111434 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 2.459583E-5 | 7.45946E-5 | 3.0328147 | 5.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 1.0540645E-4 | 1.6540012E-4 | 1.5691651 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0012825684 | 0.0013924272 | 1.0856555 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.013892246 | 0.014020441 | 1.0092278 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 7.1220934E-6 | 7.1220934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 3.05229E-5 | 3.05229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 3.7155306E-4 | 3.8154935E-4 | 1.0269041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.004182602 | 0.004202518 | 1.0047617 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 1.2529747E-6 | 1.2529747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 5.3698805E-6 | 5.3698805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 6.5376335E-5 | 6.5376335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 8.1965735E-4 | 8.1965735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.37744E-4 | 43.599277 | 3.3E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.931838E-4 | 14.855345 | 4.6E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011438255 | 2.8303785 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0050598206 | 1.2543013 | 0.00103 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.696464E-6 | 3.3769393E-4 | 43.876503 | 3.3E-4 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.2984433E-5 | 4.9296924E-4 | 14.945513 | 4.6E-4 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.015122E-4 | 0.0011412151 | 2.8422925 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0042193993 | 0.004007946 | 0.0050238576 | 1.2534745 | 0.00102 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.43476E-6 | 3.374323E-4 | 45.38577 | 3.3E-4 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.1862874E-5 | 4.918482E-4 | 15.436405 | 4.6E-4 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.878621E-4 | 0.0011275751 | 2.9071546 | 7.4E-4 | 0.00408937 | 0.0038719256 | 0.004887976 | 1.2624148 | 0.00102 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.348091E-6 | 3.3734567E-4 | 45.909294 | 3.3E-4 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1491443E-5 | 4.9147697E-4 | 15.606683 | 4.6E-4 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8334154E-4 | 0.0011130617 | 2.903577 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038268764 | 0.0048330114 | 1.2629129 | 0.00101 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 6.949363E-6 | 3.2694713E-4 | 47.047066 | 3.2E-4 | 3.1690477E-5 | 2.9782646E-5 | 4.5976983E-4 | 15.437508 | 4.3E-4 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.62544E-4 | 0.0010522938 | 2.902527 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036195915 | 0.0045860806 | 1.267016 | 9.7E-4 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.4957403E-6 | 3.0649378E-4 | 47.183815 | 3.0E-4 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.7838592E-5 | 4.3782717E-4 | 15.727346 | 4.1E-4 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.3888262E-4 | 9.98659E-4 | 2.946917 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0033837105 | 0.0043105637 | 1.2739162 | 9.3E-4 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.1683877E-6 | 2.961666E-4 | 48.013615 | 2.9E-4 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6435682E-5 | 4.264251E-4 | 16.130665 | 4.0E-4 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2180737E-4 | 9.616014E-4 | 2.9881275 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032134638 | 0.0041205394 | 1.2822735 | 9.1E-4 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.0747735E-6 | 2.8507336E-4 | 56.174595 | 2.8E-4 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.174885E-5 | 4.0174057E-4 | 18.471807 | 3.8E-4 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6476037E-4 | 8.546042E-4 | 3.2278402 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026444802 | 0.0034623118 | 1.3092599 | 8.2E-4 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9332476E-6 | 2.6393222E-4 | 67.102875 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.6856668E-5 | 3.6685076E-4 | 21.762947 | 3.5E-4 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0521083E-4 | 7.3510205E-4 | 3.5821798 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020502368 | 0.002738822 | 1.3358564 | 6.9E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1441435E-6 | 2.0214371E-4 | 94.27714 | 2.0E-4 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.189154E-6 | 2.5918687E-4 | 28.205736 | 2.5E-4 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1187225E-4 | 4.9182976E-4 | 4.3963513 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011181639 | 0.0015776495 | 1.4109287 | 4.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.183823E-7 | 3.0318373E-5 | 95.22631 | 3.0E-5 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3644949E-6 | 6.1364415E-5 | 44.972256 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6612601E-5 | 1.4661044E-4 | 8.825254 | 1.3E-4 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.661139E-4 | 3.16089E-4 | 1.9028449 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.0370927E-4 | 12.806139 | 2.8E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.5160067E-4 | 4.443303 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0017961292 | 1.4522134 | 5.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013238036 | 1.0754231 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1223966E-5 | 1.4122251E-4 | 12.582229 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.810185E-5 | 2.4809223E-4 | 5.1576443 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.854874E-4 | 8.6532347E-4 | 1.477954 | 2.8E-4 | 0.005516363 | 0.005839936 | 0.0062674247 | 1.073201 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0846996E-5 | 1.4084559E-4 | 12.9847555 | 1.3E-4 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.6486322E-5 | 2.4647702E-4 | 5.3021407 | 2.0E-4 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.6582864E-4 | 8.4567023E-4 | 1.4945694 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005644355 | 0.006071928 | 1.0757523 | 4.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.569821E-6 | 1.3956858E-4 | 14.584242 | 1.3E-4 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1012892E-5 | 2.310051E-4 | 5.6324997 | 1.9E-4 | 4.7208337E-4 | 4.9922155E-4 | 7.4909674E-4 | 1.5005296 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0047108172 | 0.004981406 | 0.005369463 | 1.0779011 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.150835E-6 | 1.3914965E-4 | 15.206224 | 1.3E-4 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9217295E-5 | 2.2920984E-4 | 5.844611 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.773699E-4 | 7.272506E-4 | 1.5234529 | 2.5E-4 | 0.004505487 | 0.0047638444 | 0.005132082 | 1.0772984 | 3.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.873088E-6 | 1.3887194E-4 | 15.650914 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8026985E-5 | 2.2801977E-4 | 5.9962616 | 1.9E-4 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6288417E-4 | 7.127684E-4 | 1.5398419 | 2.5E-4 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046195984 | 0.0049679815 | 1.0754142 | 3.5E-4 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.2891986E-6 | 1.1628851E-4 | 18.490194 | 1.1E-4 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.6953432E-5 | 1.7694938E-4 | 6.565004 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.2810916E-4 | 5.1804684E-4 | 1.5788856 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00310772 | 0.0032763039 | 0.0035354518 | 1.0790977 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.139128E-6 | 1.0513861E-4 | 20.458454 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2024651E-5 | 1.5202179E-4 | 6.9023476 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.6811755E-4 | 4.2807465E-4 | 1.5965931 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002677986 | 0.0028774503 | 1.074483 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.0887894E-6 | 9.408842E-5 | 23.011316 | 9.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7523267E-5 | 1.3752116E-4 | 7.847918 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1332529E-4 | 3.4329755E-4 | 1.609268 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021312458 | 0.0023008834 | 1.0795956 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4096697E-6 | 2.1409642E-5 | 15.187701 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.0414277E-6 | 4.6041187E-5 | 7.6209116 | 4.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.3551935E-5 | 1.13548995E-4 | 1.5437934 | 4.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.352798E-4 | 8.15221E-4 | 1.1087221 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.2733176E-7 | 2.062732E-5 | 32.88104 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.688562E-6 | 4.2688454E-5 | 15.877802 | 4.0E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.2732765E-5 | 7.2731455E-5 | 2.221977 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.27281E-4 | 3.872614E-4 | 1.1832687 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 1.0223498E-5 | 45.742626 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.578588E-7 | 1.095785E-5 | 11.439942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1661879E-5 | 2.1661763E-5 | 1.8574847 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1661376E-4 | 1.4661025E-4 | 1.2572296 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.001532E-5 | 653.7189 | 1.0E-5 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 1.0065659E-5 | 153.30107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1277401E-6 | 7.994032E-7 | 1.0799396E-5 | 13.509322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1277344E-5 | 7.994011E-6 | 1.799393E-5 | 2.2509265 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.3112672E-4 | 7.4238625 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.4337948E-4 | 3.3231652 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0021025403 | 1.2952104 | 4.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016954307 | 1.0512438 | 8.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.3112672E-4 | 7.4238625 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.4337948E-4 | 3.3231652 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0021025403 | 1.2952104 | 4.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016954307 | 1.0512438 | 8.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.3112672E-4 | 7.4238625 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.4337948E-4 | 3.3231652 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0021025403 | 1.2952104 | 4.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016954307 | 1.0512438 | 8.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.5757687E-4 | 8.963759 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.953213E-4 | 3.9199572 | 2.2E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0012565589 | 1.3704866 | 3.4E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.0097074 | 1.0629281 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.5757687E-4 | 8.963759 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.953213E-4 | 3.9199572 | 2.2E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0012565589 | 1.3704866 | 3.4E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.0097074 | 1.0629281 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.2886588E-5 | 1.128853E-4 | 8.759907 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5227083E-5 | 2.1521824E-4 | 3.8969693 | 1.6E-4 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.721859E-4 | 9.2201785E-4 | 1.371671 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006701915 | 0.0071191005 | 1.0622487 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1026053E-5 | 9.102517E-5 | 8.255464 | 8.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7253667E-5 | 1.67248E-4 | 3.5393655 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.751637E-4 | 7.8504294E-4 | 1.3649035 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005458487 | 0.0057369857 | 0.0060750353 | 1.0589246 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.130385E-6 | 7.912974E-5 | 8.666638 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9129634E-5 | 1.4912534E-4 | 3.8110585 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.7629973E-4 | 6.5621396E-4 | 1.3777333 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004752855 | 0.0050414763 | 1.0607259 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.715896E-6 | 7.871528E-5 | 9.031233 | 7.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7353304E-5 | 1.473492E-4 | 3.9447432 | 1.1E-4 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.54682E-4 | 6.346002E-4 | 1.395701 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045375694 | 0.0048262537 | 1.0636209 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.467425E-6 | 7.846683E-5 | 9.266906 | 7.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.628846E-5 | 1.4628447E-4 | 4.0311565 | 1.1E-4 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4172286E-4 | 6.216433E-4 | 1.4073154 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044084988 | 0.0046872646 | 1.0632337 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 7.984549E-6 | 7.798399E-5 | 9.766863 | 7.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4219047E-5 | 1.4421529E-4 | 4.2144737 | 1.1E-4 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.1653763E-4 | 5.964627E-4 | 1.4319538 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003966579 | 0.0041576154 | 0.0044364515 | 1.0670663 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.462611E-6 | 7.7462086E-5 | 10.380025 | 7.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.198223E-5 | 1.4197871E-4 | 4.4393 | 1.1E-4 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.893144E-4 | 5.692443E-4 | 1.4621712 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003709526 | 0.0038863658 | 0.0041553164 | 1.0692036 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.7512983E-6 | 7.6750825E-5 | 11.368306 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.8933815E-5 | 1.3893063E-4 | 4.80167 | 1.1E-4 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.522125E-4 | 5.2215264E-4 | 1.4824932 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035165704 | 0.0037756562 | 1.0736756 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.7555812E-6 | 7.5755175E-5 | 13.162038 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4666546E-5 | 1.2466407E-4 | 5.053974 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.00274E-4 | 4.5022895E-4 | 1.4993937 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002862736 | 0.0029987053 | 0.0032080754 | 1.0698202 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.2658967E-6 | 6.426564E-5 | 15.064979 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8282286E-5 | 9.828083E-5 | 5.3757405 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2256417E-4 | 3.2254192E-4 | 1.4492086 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022234216 | 0.0023531325 | 1.0583384 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.451732E-6 | 2.2451683E-5 | 9.157478 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.05073805E-5 | 5.0506962E-5 | 4.806808 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2791989E-4 | 1.779135E-4 | 1.3908195 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012784676 | 0.0013583653 | 1.0624949 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.781816E-7 | 1.0978172E-5 | 11.223041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.1922E-6 | 3.4192075E-5 | 8.156117 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1038853E-5 | 9.103681E-5 | 1.7836766 | 4.0E-5 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1027257E-4 | 5.6024705E-4 | 1.0979369 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3702629E-5 | 2.3702492E-5 | 1.729777 | 1.0E-5 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3701791E-4 | 1.4701654E-4 | 1.0729731 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.509805E-4 | 4.4644527 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.826585E-4 | 2.039163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.005913808 | 1.1248803 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056079715 | 1.0159175 | 9.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.509805E-4 | 4.4644527 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.826585E-4 | 2.039163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.005913808 | 1.1248803 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056079715 | 1.0159175 | 9.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.509805E-4 | 4.4644527 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.826585E-4 | 2.039163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.005913808 | 1.1248803 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056079715 | 1.0159175 | 9.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.509805E-4 | 4.4644527 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.826585E-4 | 2.039163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.005913808 | 1.1248803 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056079715 | 1.0159175 | 9.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.509805E-4 | 4.4644527 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.826585E-4 | 2.039163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.005913808 | 1.1248803 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056079715 | 1.0159175 | 9.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.007959E-4 | 4.5076062E-4 | 4.4720135 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.31911E-4 | 8.8171667E-4 | 2.0414314 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.00524586 | 0.005902398 | 1.1251535 | 6.6E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.05509187 | 0.055970635 | 1.0159509 | 9.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.007959E-4 | 4.5076062E-4 | 4.4720135 | 3.5E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.31911E-4 | 8.8171667E-4 | 2.0414314 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.00524586 | 0.005902398 | 1.1251535 | 6.6E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.05509187 | 0.055970635 | 1.0159509 | 9.3E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.00711666E-4 | 4.5067642E-4 | 4.474918 | 3.5E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 4.3155008E-4 | 8.813559E-4 | 2.0423026 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.005241487 | 0.005898028 | 1.1252584 | 6.6E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.05505019 | 0.055928994 | 1.0159637 | 9.3E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.0060553E-4 | 4.505703E-4 | 4.478584 | 3.5E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 4.310954E-4 | 8.809014E-4 | 2.0434024 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.005235978 | 0.005892522 | 1.125391 | 6.6E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.054996233 | 0.05587509 | 1.0159802 | 9.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.0036321E-4 | 4.4032908E-4 | 4.3873553 | 3.4E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 4.300572E-4 | 8.69868E-4 | 2.0226796 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.005223399 | 0.005860056 | 1.1218855 | 6.4E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.054874435 | 0.0557345 | 1.0156733 | 9.1E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 9.984247E-5 | 4.3980853E-4 | 4.4050245 | 3.4E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 4.2782622E-4 | 8.67638E-4 | 2.028015 | 4.4E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.005196366 | 0.0058330405 | 1.122523 | 6.4E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.05461561 | 0.05547591 | 1.015752 | 9.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 9.907841E-5 | 4.2904573E-4 | 4.330365 | 3.3E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 4.2455274E-4 | 8.543702E-4 | 2.0124006 | 4.3E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.005156701 | 0.005783452 | 1.1215411 | 6.3E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.054236326 | 0.055087514 | 1.015694 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 9.8544944E-5 | 4.185134E-4 | 4.246929 | 3.2E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 4.2226719E-4 | 8.3209405E-4 | 1.9705392 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0051290058 | 0.005745826 | 1.1202611 | 6.2E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.05397074 | 0.054803245 | 1.0154251 | 8.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 9.824337E-5 | 3.982139E-4 | 4.0533414 | 3.0E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 4.2097515E-4 | 8.1081095E-4 | 1.9260305 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.0051133493 | 0.005710281 | 1.1167399 | 6.0E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.05381769 | 0.054631405 | 1.0151199 | 8.6E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 9.783604E-5 | 3.8780767E-4 | 3.963853 | 2.9E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 4.1923E-4 | 7.990707E-4 | 1.9060436 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0050922013 | 0.005679197 | 1.1152735 | 5.9E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.05361244 | 0.054416873 | 1.0150045 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 9.747535E-5 | 3.8744707E-4 | 3.974821 | 2.9E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 4.176847E-4 | 7.97526E-4 | 1.9093971 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.005073475 | 0.0056604818 | 1.1157011 | 5.9E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.053429123 | 0.054233707 | 1.0150589 | 8.5E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 9.508911E-5 | 3.5506437E-4 | 3.7340174 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 4.074612E-4 | 7.473226E-4 | 1.8340954 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.0049495758 | 0.0054769525 | 1.1065499 | 5.3E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.052220885 | 0.052941196 | 1.0137936 | 7.6E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 7.708729E-5 | 2.870711E-4 | 3.7239747 | 2.1E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 3.3033226E-4 | 6.1023975E-4 | 1.8473514 | 2.8E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.004014383 | 0.0044725365 | 1.114128 | 4.6E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.042923823 | 0.04353635 | 1.0142702 | 6.4E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 7.0050744E-5 | 2.3003953E-4 | 3.2838986 | 1.6E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 3.0018293E-4 | 5.201169E-4 | 1.7326665 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0036486057 | 0.004037183 | 1.1065001 | 3.9E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.0390345 | 0.03954381 | 1.0130477 | 5.3E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 4.7969657E-5 | 1.4796486E-4 | 3.084551 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 2.0556804E-4 | 3.4553927E-4 | 1.6808997 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0024999194 | 0.0027293444 | 1.0917729 | 2.3E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.026826832 | 0.027128518 | 1.0112456 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 2.4751243E-5 | 7.475001E-5 | 3.0200505 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 1.06072446E-4 | 1.6606608E-4 | 1.5655911 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0012906673 | 0.0014005253 | 1.0851172 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.0140003795 | 0.014128559 | 1.0091555 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 7.1908084E-6 | 7.1908084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 3.0817388E-5 | 3.0817388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 3.751372E-4 | 3.8513346E-4 | 1.026647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0042354404 | 0.004255356 | 1.0047021 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 3.5536464E-4 | 66.21898 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 4.7298876E-4 | 20.565514 | 4.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 9.297976E-4 | 3.3209481 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.0036839102 | 1.3173765 | 8.9E-4 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 3.5536464E-4 | 66.21898 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 4.7298876E-4 | 20.565514 | 4.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 9.297976E-4 | 3.3209481 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.0036839102 | 1.3173765 | 8.9E-4 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 3.5536464E-4 | 66.21898 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 4.7298876E-4 | 20.565514 | 4.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 9.297976E-4 | 3.3209481 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.0036839102 | 1.3173765 | 8.9E-4 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 3.5536464E-4 | 66.21898 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 4.7298876E-4 | 20.565514 | 4.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 9.297976E-4 | 3.3209481 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.0036839102 | 1.3173765 | 8.9E-4 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 3.5536464E-4 | 66.21898 | 3.5E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 4.7298876E-4 | 20.565514 | 4.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 9.297976E-4 | 3.3209481 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.0036839102 | 1.3173765 | 8.9E-4 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088792E-6 | 3.0440756E-4 | 69.044205 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895063E-5 | 4.088877E-4 | 21.639921 | 3.9E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.3002393E-4 | 8.198882E-4 | 3.5643604 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979479 | 0.0031260406 | 1.3603618 | 8.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088792E-6 | 3.0440756E-4 | 69.044205 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895063E-5 | 4.088877E-4 | 21.639921 | 3.9E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.3002393E-4 | 8.198882E-4 | 3.5643604 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979479 | 0.0031260406 | 1.3603618 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 3.931152E-6 | 2.8393004E-4 | 72.22566 | 2.8E-4 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.6847689E-5 | 3.8684145E-4 | 22.961098 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.0510201E-4 | 7.749851E-4 | 3.778535 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0020492044 | 0.0028176263 | 1.3749856 | 7.7E-4 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 3.7992254E-6 | 2.8379817E-4 | 74.69896 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.6282296E-5 | 3.7627644E-4 | 23.109543 | 3.6E-4 | 2.1485193E-4 | 1.9821961E-4 | 7.581086E-4 | 3.8245893 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0019805045 | 0.0027389994 | 1.3829806 | 7.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.5388914E-6 | 2.7353794E-4 | 77.29481 | 2.7E-4 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.5166593E-5 | 3.5516144E-4 | 23.417353 | 3.4E-4 | 2.0159081E-4 | 1.8463828E-4 | 7.245386E-4 | 3.9240973 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0020140803 | 0.0018449215 | 0.0025536115 | 1.3841302 | 7.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.3656888E-6 | 2.633648E-4 | 78.2499 | 2.6E-4 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.4424304E-5 | 3.4441953E-4 | 23.877724 | 3.3E-4 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.756024E-4 | 7.0550933E-4 | 4.017652 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0019260074 | 0.001754708 | 0.0024434973 | 1.3925378 | 6.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.234407E-6 | 2.6323355E-4 | 81.38542 | 2.6E-4 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.3861674E-5 | 3.438571E-4 | 24.806318 | 3.3E-4 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.6875345E-4 | 6.786674E-4 | 4.0216503 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0018603588 | 0.0016863241 | 0.0023551942 | 1.3966439 | 6.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.4444316E-6 | 2.3244387E-4 | 95.09118 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.0476094E-5 | 3.0047307E-4 | 28.681784 | 2.9E-4 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.2753907E-4 | 5.6748296E-4 | 4.4494834 | 4.4E-4 | 0.001461157 | 0.0012746754 | 0.0018339616 | 1.4387676 | 5.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.2177012E-6 | 2.2221722E-4 | 100.2016 | 2.2E-4 | 1.1075529E-5 | 9.5044E-6 | 2.7950184E-4 | 29.407627 | 2.7E-4 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.1571E-4 | 5.156637E-4 | 4.456518 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0011565131 | 0.0016759117 | 1.4491074 | 5.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.0746018E-6 | 2.2207414E-4 | 107.04423 | 2.2E-4 | 1.04847295E-5 | 8.89112E-6 | 2.788887E-4 | 31.367107 | 2.7E-4 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.0824409E-4 | 4.982019E-4 | 4.602578 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0012757082 | 0.0010819292 | 0.0015913773 | 1.4708703 | 5.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.6173759E-6 | 2.1161704E-4 | 130.83974 | 2.1E-4 | 8.751514E-6 | 6.931593E-6 | 2.5692987E-4 | 37.066498 | 2.5E-4 | 1.0654447E-4 | 8.43889E-5 | 4.5435768E-4 | 5.384093 | 3.7E-4 | 0.001064934 | 8.435793E-4 | 0.0013131828 | 1.5566797 | 4.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.3901606E-6 | 1.913899E-4 | 137.67467 | 1.9E-4 | 7.854232E-6 | 5.957818E-6 | 2.3595645E-4 | 39.60451 | 2.3E-4 | 9.562107E-5 | 7.2534036E-5 | 4.2250866E-4 | 5.8249707 | 3.5E-4 | 9.5579936E-4 | 7.251134E-4 | 0.0011647943 | 1.6063616 | 4.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.0297911E-6 | 1.5102964E-4 | 146.66046 | 1.5E-4 | 6.3372695E-6 | 4.4133826E-6 | 1.844126E-4 | 41.784863 | 1.8E-4 | 7.715353E-5 | 5.373162E-5 | 3.0371817E-4 | 5.652504 | 2.5E-4 | 7.7126746E-4 | 5.371933E-4 | 8.3703216E-4 | 1.5581582 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 4.301621E-7 | 2.0430154E-5 | 47.49408 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2989474E-6 | 1.8435505E-6 | 3.1843494E-5 | 17.272917 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0163945E-5 | 2.2444998E-5 | 6.24441E-5 | 2.7820942 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0156685E-4 | 2.2442998E-4 | 2.844165E-4 | 1.2672839 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 4.9939924E-8 | 4.9939924E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 2.1402822E-7 | 2.1402822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 2.6057905E-6 | 1.2605765E-5 | 4.837597 | 1.0E-5 | 9.206964E-5 | 2.6058495E-5 | 3.6058234E-5 | 1.383742 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 8.509559E-9 | 8.509559E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 3.6469537E-8 | 3.6469537E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 4.4401654E-7 | 4.4401654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 4.44105E-6 | 4.44105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 3.5770447E-9 | 3.5770447E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 1.533019E-8 | 1.533019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 1.8664505E-7 | 1.8664505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 1.8673426E-6 | 1.8673426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 3.505023E-10 | 3.505023E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 1.5021523E-9 | 1.5021523E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 1.8288704E-8 | 1.8288704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 1.8329055E-7 | 1.8329055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.870308E-4 | 10.98005 | 1.7E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.5297926E-4 | 4.8353524 | 2.8E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013480348 | 1.5172994 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009675031 | 1.0929301 | 8.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.870308E-4 | 10.98005 | 1.7E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.5297926E-4 | 4.8353524 | 2.8E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013480348 | 1.5172994 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009675031 | 1.0929301 | 8.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.870308E-4 | 10.98005 | 1.7E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.5297926E-4 | 4.8353524 | 2.8E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013480348 | 1.5172994 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009675031 | 1.0929301 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 1.4002481E-4 | 13.966011 | 1.3E-4 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 2.6295893E-4 | 6.1198244 | 2.2E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.9282583E-4 | 1.7070608 | 3.7E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0058749355 | 1.125816 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 1.4002481E-4 | 13.966011 | 1.3E-4 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 2.6295893E-4 | 6.1198244 | 2.2E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.9282583E-4 | 1.7070608 | 3.7E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0058749355 | 1.125816 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.2589787E-6 | 8.72584E-5 | 12.020755 | 8.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1109546E-5 | 1.611055E-4 | 5.178652 | 1.3E-4 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.7869444E-4 | 6.585884E-4 | 1.7391024 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0036884616 | 0.00378065 | 0.0042787595 | 1.1317524 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0001234E-6 | 8.599964E-5 | 14.332979 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5714566E-5 | 1.5571123E-4 | 6.0553703 | 1.3E-4 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.130307E-4 | 5.529556E-4 | 1.7664579 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031259838 | 0.003574577 | 1.1435047 | 4.5E-4 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.0643466E-6 | 8.506394E-5 | 16.796627 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1704165E-5 | 1.5170134E-4 | 6.989504 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6421662E-4 | 5.041532E-4 | 1.9081055 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026390732 | 0.0030579646 | 1.1587268 | 4.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.464621E-6 | 8.446426E-5 | 18.918575 | 8.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9133951E-5 | 1.3913166E-4 | 7.271455 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3293128E-4 | 4.628777E-4 | 1.9871857 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023269062 | 0.0027259754 | 1.1715021 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.5620867E-6 | 7.356184E-5 | 20.651333 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5265998E-5 | 1.2526431E-4 | 8.205446 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8584782E-4 | 3.8581065E-4 | 2.0759494 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018569398 | 0.0022262528 | 1.1988826 | 3.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2369335E-6 | 7.3236704E-5 | 22.625336 | 7.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.3872499E-5 | 1.2387097E-4 | 8.929247 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.6888473E-4 | 3.6885095E-4 | 2.1840398 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0016875777 | 0.0020469702 | 1.2129635 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5098152E-6 | 7.250964E-5 | 28.890429 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0756307E-5 | 1.20755125E-4 | 11.226448 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3095023E-4 | 3.2092535E-4 | 2.450743 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013087365 | 0.0016283178 | 1.2441907 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0347275E-6 | 6.20346E-5 | 30.487919 | 6.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.720232E-6 | 1.0871936E-4 | 12.467485 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0616369E-4 | 2.8614458E-4 | 2.695315 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010611339 | 0.0013408368 | 1.2635887 | 2.8E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.653429E-6 | 6.165333E-5 | 37.288162 | 6.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.086105E-6 | 1.070854E-4 | 15.112025 | 1.0E-4 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.626994E-5 | 2.5625527E-4 | 2.970389 | 1.7E-4 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.623673E-4 | 0.001122143 | 1.3012357 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3130332E-6 | 6.131295E-5 | 46.695663 | 6.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.627273E-6 | 8.562682E-5 | 15.216397 | 8.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.8509915E-5 | 1.9850102E-4 | 2.8974054 | 1.3E-4 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.8489014E-4 | 8.7476E-4 | 1.2772268 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.1325774E-7 | 4.0913223E-5 | 44.799206 | 4.0E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.913956E-6 | 6.391372E-5 | 16.329699 | 6.0E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.765139E-5 | 1.376471E-4 | 2.8886273 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.7641335E-4 | 6.063514E-4 | 1.2727423 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7017312E-7 | 3.0470159E-5 | 64.80625 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0150262E-6 | 5.2014926E-5 | 25.813524 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4532676E-5 | 9.453096E-5 | 3.8532674 | 7.0E-5 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4530038E-4 | 3.4527585E-4 | 1.4075634 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5427528E-7 | 2.025427E-5 | 79.6549 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.0897506E-6 | 4.108971E-5 | 37.705605 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3267634E-5 | 5.3267104E-5 | 4.014816 | 4.0E-5 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3266846E-4 | 1.7266315E-4 | 1.3014635 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5230466E-7 | 1.0152303E-5 | 66.65786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.527341E-7 | 3.0652714E-5 | 46.96049 | 3.0E-5 | 8.893623E-6 | 7.947009E-6 | 3.794677E-5 | 4.7749753 | 3.0E-5 | 8.893267E-5 | 7.946727E-5 | 1.0946488E-4 | 1.377484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0251063E-8 | 4.0251063E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7250454E-7 | 2.0172502E-5 | 116.93895 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1002409E-6 | 2.21002E-5 | 10.522697 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1002214E-5 | 4.1001793E-5 | 1.9522605 | 2.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.2019395E-4 | 1.92478 | 2.5E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0014774554 | 1.2760601 | 3.2E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014537856 | 1.0365562 | 5.2E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13071555 | 1.0049492 | 7.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.2019395E-4 | 1.92478 | 2.5E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0014774554 | 1.2760601 | 3.2E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014537856 | 1.0365562 | 5.2E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13071555 | 1.0049492 | 7.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.2019395E-4 | 1.92478 | 2.5E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0014774554 | 1.2760601 | 3.2E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014537856 | 1.0365562 | 5.2E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13071555 | 1.0049492 | 7.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324295E-4 | 3.5321194E-4 | 2.1637194 | 1.9E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.995264E-4 | 9.293655E-4 | 1.3285639 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501447 | 0.008858386 | 1.0419858 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099146 | 0.08141421 | 1.0052196 | 4.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324295E-4 | 3.5321194E-4 | 2.1637194 | 1.9E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.995264E-4 | 9.293655E-4 | 1.3285639 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501447 | 0.008858386 | 1.0419858 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099146 | 0.08141421 | 1.0052196 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.151993E-5 | 1.01517435E-4 | 2.4450293 | 6.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.7793209E-4 | 2.4791964E-4 | 1.3933386 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.002164468 | 0.00227423 | 1.0507108 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.021366281 | 0.021513076 | 1.0068704 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.3197488E-5 | 5.3196793E-5 | 2.2932134 | 3.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 9.94142E-5 | 1.2941122E-4 | 1.3017378 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0012097292 | 0.0012696566 | 1.0495379 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.012046812 | 0.012125848 | 1.0065608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 1.9576632E-5 | 4.9576043E-5 | 2.5324094 | 3.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 8.38973E-5 | 1.13894785E-4 | 1.35755 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0010209978 | 0.001060957 | 1.0391374 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.010175766 | 0.010235156 | 1.0058364 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.3060505E-5 | 3.3060245E-5 | 2.5313144 | 2.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 5.5972414E-5 | 7.597129E-5 | 1.3572989 | 2.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 6.8125513E-4 | 7.012415E-4 | 1.0293375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.006796265 | 0.006835993 | 1.0058455 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.125129E-5 | 3.1251064E-5 | 2.777554 | 2.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 4.8218935E-5 | 6.8217974E-5 | 1.4147549 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 5.8691E-4 | 6.068983E-4 | 1.0340568 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.005857585 | 0.005887409 | 1.0050915 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.0446838E-5 | 3.0446628E-5 | 2.914435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.477141E-5 | 6.477052E-5 | 1.4466937 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.44958E-4 | 5.649471E-4 | 1.0366801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005439774 | 0.005469611 | 1.0054849 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 9.354852E-6 | 2.9354665E-5 | 3.137908 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.009162E-5 | 6.0090817E-5 | 1.4988374 | 2.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 4.8800823E-4 | 5.0799845E-4 | 1.0409629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0048725144 | 0.0048924168 | 1.0040847 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 7.787714E-6 | 2.7787557E-5 | 3.5681279 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.3375494E-5 | 5.3374828E-5 | 1.5992221 | 2.0E-5 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.062723E-4 | 4.262642E-4 | 1.049208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.004056584 | 0.0040765028 | 1.0049102 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 6.6462635E-6 | 2.664613E-5 | 4.0091896 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3502816E-5 | 2.8483682E-5 | 4.848311E-5 | 1.7021364 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.4673486E-4 | 3.6672794E-4 | 1.0576609 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.003462246 | 0.0034821767 | 1.0057566 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 5.8420455E-6 | 2.584193E-5 | 4.4234385 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.5037105E-5 | 4.5036602E-5 | 1.7987944 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.0478527E-4 | 3.2477916E-4 | 1.0655999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0030437957 | 0.0030637346 | 1.0065508 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 4.804945E-6 | 1.4804897E-5 | 3.0811794 | 1.0E-5 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.0592464E-5 | 3.059226E-5 | 1.4856045 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.5068547E-4 | 2.6068295E-4 | 1.0398806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0025041322 | 0.0025141074 | 1.0039834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.3070513E-6 | 1.4307008E-5 | 3.321764 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9957167E-5 | 1.8458666E-5 | 2.8458482E-5 | 1.5417409 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.2471207E-4 | 2.3470982E-4 | 1.0444914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0022449465 | 0.002254924 | 1.0044445 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.1191724E-6 | 2.1191724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.0821395E-6 | 9.0821395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.10570065E-4 | 1.10570065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0011052118 | 0.0011052118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 4.264609E-4 | 4.4196167 | 3.3E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 8.233053E-4 | 1.991186 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005619448 | 1.1188633 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.053780824 | 1.015195 | 8.5E-4 |
6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 4.264609E-4 | 4.4196167 | 3.3E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 8.233053E-4 | 1.991186 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005619448 | 1.1188633 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.053780824 | 1.015195 | 8.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 4.264609E-4 | 4.4196167 | 3.3E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 8.233053E-4 | 1.991186 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005619448 | 1.1188633 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.053780824 | 1.015195 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 4.264609E-4 | 4.4196167 | 3.3E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 8.233053E-4 | 1.991186 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005619448 | 1.1188633 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.053780824 | 1.015195 | 8.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6440905E-5 | 4.264091E-4 | 4.4214544 | 3.3E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.132528E-4 | 8.230834E-4 | 1.9917188 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019771 | 0.005616759 | 1.1189274 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052949928 | 0.05375492 | 1.0152029 | 8.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6440905E-5 | 4.264091E-4 | 4.4214544 | 3.3E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.132528E-4 | 8.230834E-4 | 1.9917188 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019771 | 0.005616759 | 1.1189274 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052949928 | 0.05375492 | 1.0152029 | 8.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 9.495193E-5 | 4.1492155E-4 | 4.3698063 | 3.2E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 4.0687347E-4 | 8.0671074E-4 | 1.9827067 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.004942456 | 0.0055195894 | 1.1167705 | 5.8E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.05219701 | 0.052983686 | 1.0150713 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 9.424799E-5 | 4.1421782E-4 | 4.394978 | 3.2E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 4.0385753E-4 | 8.03696E-4 | 1.9900483 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.0049059023 | 0.005483057 | 1.1176449 | 5.8E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.051848717 | 0.0526262 | 1.0149952 | 8.2E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 9.3862946E-5 | 4.138329E-4 | 4.408906 | 3.2E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 4.0220784E-4 | 8.0204697E-4 | 1.9941107 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.0048859073 | 0.0054630735 | 1.1181288 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.05165475 | 0.05243239 | 1.0150546 | 8.2E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 9.293477E-5 | 3.929069E-4 | 4.2277703 | 3.0E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 3.9823118E-4 | 7.7807985E-4 | 1.9538397 | 3.8E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.004837707 | 0.0053850464 | 1.1131402 | 5.5E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.051192086 | 0.051941644 | 1.0146421 | 7.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 9.170469E-5 | 3.916772E-4 | 4.27107 | 3.0E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 3.92961E-4 | 7.728117E-4 | 1.966637 | 3.8E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.004773826 | 0.0053212 | 1.1146616 | 5.5E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.050579146 | 0.051319696 | 1.0146414 | 7.8E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 9.104478E-5 | 3.8101838E-4 | 4.184956 | 2.9E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 3.9013362E-4 | 7.5998926E-4 | 1.948023 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.0047395527 | 0.0052769934 | 1.1133949 | 5.4E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.050248664 | 0.050979972 | 1.0145538 | 7.7E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 9.017492E-5 | 3.601506E-4 | 3.9939106 | 2.7E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 3.8640678E-4 | 7.2627544E-4 | 1.8795617 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0046943747 | 0.0052019805 | 1.1081307 | 5.1E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.049813133 | 0.050497267 | 1.013734 | 7.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 8.982027E-5 | 3.4979693E-4 | 3.8944097 | 2.6E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 3.848873E-4 | 7.147603E-4 | 1.8570639 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.0046759546 | 0.0051736166 | 1.10643 | 5.0E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.049629547 | 0.05030431 | 1.0135959 | 7.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 8.9589776E-5 | 3.3956737E-4 | 3.790247 | 2.5E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 3.8389975E-4 | 7.037769E-4 | 1.833231 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.004663983 | 0.0051516974 | 1.1045704 | 4.9E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.049510498 | 0.05017584 | 1.0134385 | 7.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 8.8698325E-5 | 3.3867615E-4 | 3.8182924 | 2.5E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 3.8008037E-4 | 6.9995876E-4 | 1.8416072 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00461768 | 0.005105417 | 1.1056238 | 4.9E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.049048595 | 0.04971426 | 1.0135716 | 7.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 8.487096E-5 | 3.048523E-4 | 3.5919507 | 2.2E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 3.6368205E-4 | 6.535766E-4 | 1.7971098 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.0044188565 | 0.0048569124 | 1.0991333 | 4.4E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.047080424 | 0.04769982 | 1.0131562 | 6.5E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 6.6217704E-5 | 2.3620646E-4 | 3.5671191 | 1.7E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 2.8375932E-4 | 5.2369124E-4 | 1.8455472 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0034492996 | 0.0038279889 | 1.1097873 | 3.8E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.03738323 | 0.037903044 | 1.0139049 | 5.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 6.0825343E-5 | 2.0081682E-4 | 3.3015323 | 1.4E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 2.60654E-4 | 4.6060188E-4 | 1.7671007 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0031688467 | 0.003497801 | 1.1038089 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.034304265 | 0.034738827 | 1.0126679 | 4.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 4.383111E-5 | 1.3382717E-4 | 3.053246 | 9.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 1.878341E-4 | 3.1780967E-4 | 1.6919701 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0022844826 | 0.0024840257 | 1.0873471 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.024679938 | 0.024953028 | 1.0110652 | 2.8E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 2.3446533E-5 | 6.3445594E-5 | 2.705969 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 1.0048127E-4 | 1.5047625E-4 | 1.4975551 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0012226732 | 0.001322551 | 1.081688 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.013319317 | 0.013437719 | 1.0088894 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 6.9991265E-6 | 6.9991265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 2.9995912E-5 | 2.9995912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 3.6513916E-4 | 3.751355E-4 | 1.0273768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0041366457 | 0.004156563 | 1.0048149 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Clamshell-Sawpit
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 2.9298116E-4 | 98.249504 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.1277488E-4 | 32.298527 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 7.055005E-4 | 4.5344706 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0023935437 | 1.5394051 | 8.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 2.9298116E-4 | 98.249504 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.1277488E-4 | 32.298527 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 7.055005E-4 | 4.5344706 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0023935437 | 1.5394051 | 8.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 2.9298116E-4 | 98.249504 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.1277488E-4 | 32.298527 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 7.055005E-4 | 4.5344706 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0023935437 | 1.5394051 | 8.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 2.9298116E-4 | 98.249504 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.1277488E-4 | 32.298527 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 7.055005E-4 | 4.5344706 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0023935437 | 1.5394051 | 8.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 2.9298116E-4 | 98.249504 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.1277488E-4 | 32.298527 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 7.055005E-4 | 4.5344706 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0023935437 | 1.5394051 | 8.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 2.7235213E-4 | 115.75827 | 2.7E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 3.7007962E-4 | 36.702427 | 3.6E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 6.1269675E-4 | 4.991139 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0019859883 | 1.6186769 | 7.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 2.7235213E-4 | 115.75827 | 2.7E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 3.7007962E-4 | 36.702427 | 3.6E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 6.1269675E-4 | 4.991139 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0019859883 | 1.6186769 | 7.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 2.7235213E-4 | 115.75827 | 2.7E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 3.7007962E-4 | 36.702427 | 3.6E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 6.1269675E-4 | 4.991139 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0019859883 | 1.6186769 | 7.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4098806E-6 | 2.1709307E-6 | 2.7217035E-4 | 125.37036 | 2.7E-4 | 1.0328019E-5 | 9.303956E-6 | 3.693006E-4 | 39.692856 | 3.6E-4 | 1.2573638E-4 | 1.1327005E-4 | 6.0321455E-4 | 5.325455 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0012566525 | 0.0011321492 | 0.0018912888 | 1.6705296 | 7.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0073985E-6 | 1.754691E-6 | 2.6175423E-4 | 149.17398 | 2.6E-4 | 8.603109E-6 | 7.520083E-6 | 3.5751745E-4 | 47.54169 | 3.5E-4 | 1.0473781E-4 | 9.155328E-5 | 5.615103E-4 | 6.1331525 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0010468846 | 9.151672E-4 | 0.0016345083 | 1.7860215 | 7.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8166766E-6 | 1.5582452E-6 | 2.5155785E-4 | 161.43663 | 2.5E-4 | 7.785734E-6 | 6.6781777E-6 | 3.466759E-4 | 51.911755 | 3.4E-4 | 9.478718E-5 | 8.130388E-5 | 5.4126646E-4 | 6.6573267 | 4.6E-4 | 9.4746763E-4 | 8.127511E-4 | 0.0015121822 | 1.8605722 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5471421E-6 | 1.2852723E-6 | 2.4128496E-4 | 187.73062 | 2.4E-4 | 6.6305925E-6 | 5.5082987E-6 | 3.3550648E-4 | 60.909275 | 3.3E-4 | 8.072447E-5 | 6.7061526E-5 | 5.1703135E-4 | 7.709806 | 4.5E-4 | 8.0695155E-4 | 6.704182E-4 | 0.001339969 | 1.9987062 | 6.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3608037E-6 | 1.0969891E-6 | 2.3109674E-4 | 210.66457 | 2.3E-4 | 5.8320024E-6 | 4.7013737E-6 | 3.2469988E-4 | 69.064896 | 3.2E-4 | 7.1002316E-5 | 5.7237765E-5 | 4.972126E-4 | 8.686792 | 4.4E-4 | 7.097964E-4 | 5.722347E-4 | 0.0012018742 | 2.1003168 | 6.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0749634E-6 | 8.230922E-7 | 1.9082293E-4 | 231.83664 | 1.9E-4 | 4.6069777E-6 | 3.5275334E-6 | 2.8352655E-4 | 80.3753 | 2.8E-4 | 5.608851E-5 | 4.29469E-5 | 4.2293058E-4 | 9.847755 | 3.8E-4 | 5.6074356E-4 | 4.2938872E-4 | 9.791525E-4 | 2.2803407 | 5.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.416856E-7 | 6.074442E-7 | 1.9060733E-4 | 313.78574 | 1.9E-4 | 3.607219E-6 | 2.6033297E-6 | 2.7260263E-4 | 104.713066 | 2.7E-4 | 4.3917007E-5 | 3.1695097E-5 | 3.916837E-4 | 12.357863 | 3.6E-4 | 4.390833E-4 | 3.1690765E-4 | 8.3674287E-4 | 2.6403365 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.2779594E-7 | 4.3984852E-7 | 1.5043978E-4 | 342.02637 | 1.5E-4 | 2.6905511E-6 | 1.8850637E-6 | 2.1188468E-4 | 112.401855 | 2.1E-4 | 3.275697E-5 | 2.2950428E-5 | 3.1294377E-4 | 13.63564 | 2.9E-4 | 3.275214E-4 | 2.2948236E-4 | 6.293906E-4 | 2.7426534 | 4.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.3822078E-7 | 2.9849917E-7 | 9.0298476E-5 | 302.5083 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8780877E-6 | 1.2792816E-6 | 1.21279125E-4 | 94.80253 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2865479E-5 | 1.5575157E-5 | 2.055722E-4 | 13.198724 | 1.9E-4 | 2.2863125E-4 | 1.5574212E-4 | 4.3569852E-4 | 2.7975638 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8704569E-7 | 1.0951559E-7 | 4.010951E-5 | 366.24478 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0162414E-7 | 4.6935244E-7 | 5.046933E-5 | 107.52971 | 5.0E-5 | 9.75973E-6 | 5.7143516E-6 | 8.5713895E-5 | 14.999759 | 8.0E-5 | 9.7593016E-5 | 5.7142104E-5 | 1.6713582E-4 | 2.9249153 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.5378733E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5162313E-7 | 9.09982E-8 | 9.09982E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.84601E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8459947E-5 | 1.1078973E-5 | 2.1078862E-5 | 1.9026008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.504945E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2164053E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9159727E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.915966E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6554036E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0945894E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.637662E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6376616E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Compton
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 2.5613906E-4 | 41.71242 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.363084E-4 | 12.779335 | 3.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 8.60187E-4 | 2.6850638 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.110212E-6 | 1.541096E-4 | 37.494316 | 1.5E-4 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.7615079E-5 | 2.0761174E-4 | 11.786023 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.1444306E-4 | 4.8438515E-4 | 2.2588055 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0039954064 | 0.0021424184 | 0.0025016472 | 1.1676744 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.731567E-6 | 1.53731E-4 | 41.19744 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.5992335E-5 | 2.059893E-4 | 12.880502 | 1.9E-4 | 3.7373835E-4 | 1.946898E-4 | 4.6463724E-4 | 2.3865514 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0037311043 | 0.0019452446 | 0.0023045442 | 1.1847067 | 3.6E-4 |
7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.1791976E-6 | 1.4317875E-4 | 45.03613 | 1.4E-4 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.3625064E-5 | 1.8362275E-4 | 13.476835 | 1.7E-4 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.658729E-4 | 3.858364E-4 | 2.3260965 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0033177056 | 0.0016575292 | 0.001957032 | 1.1806923 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.3562798E-6 | 1.0235605E-4 | 43.439682 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0098304E-5 | 1.200972E-4 | 11.892808 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.229402E-4 | 2.8292052E-4 | 2.3012857 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002344655 | 0.0012287494 | 0.0014484791 | 1.1788238 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.6793913E-6 | 4.1679323E-5 | 24.818113 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.197372E-6 | 5.7197012E-5 | 7.9469304 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5586092E-4 | 8.762453E-5 | 1.6761752E-4 | 1.9129064 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015575165 | 8.7590516E-4 | 9.858088E-4 | 1.1254743 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.3991428E-6 | 4.1399086E-5 | 29.588894 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0333543E-5 | 5.9963127E-6 | 5.5996014E-5 | 9.3384075 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.30027E-5 | 1.429976E-4 | 1.9587985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012573242 | 7.297916E-4 | 8.297186E-4 | 1.1369255 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.0976365E-6 | 1.1097625E-5 | 10.110474 | 1.0E-5 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.7041485E-6 | 2.4704055E-5 | 5.2515464 | 2.0E-5 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.727154E-5 | 9.726925E-5 | 1.6983871 | 4.0E-5 | 9.795959E-4 | 5.725715E-4 | 6.4253144E-4 | 1.1221855 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.4842952E-7 | 1.0348426E-5 | 29.700197 | 1.0E-5 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.4932687E-6 | 1.1493254E-5 | 7.6967087 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8180408E-5 | 2.8180226E-5 | 1.5500327 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4769322E-4 | 1.817905E-4 | 1.9178867E-4 | 1.0549984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 3.9965265E-8 | 1.0039965E-5 | 251.21727 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.712797E-7 | 1.0171278E-5 | 59.384026 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.0853283E-6 | 1.2085307E-5 | 5.7953978 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6809684E-5 | 2.0853098E-5 | 3.085289E-5 | 1.4795351 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872125E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.0538058E-4 | 4.5250134 | 1.6E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.7445207E-4 | 2.4392605 | 2.8E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.002834737 | 1.1981902 | 4.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024073951 | 1.0270814 | 6.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.0538058E-4 | 4.5250134 | 1.6E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.7445207E-4 | 2.4392605 | 2.8E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.002834737 | 1.1981902 | 4.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024073951 | 1.0270814 | 6.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.0538058E-4 | 4.5250134 | 1.6E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.7445207E-4 | 2.4392605 | 2.8E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.002834737 | 1.1981902 | 4.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024073951 | 1.0270814 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.7161612E-5 | 6.7160756E-5 | 3.913429 | 5.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.3547795E-5 | 1.5354191E-4 | 2.0876482 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 8.950941E-4 | 0.0010149867 | 1.1339442 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.008918432 | 0.009057183 | 1.0155579 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.2626102E-5 | 4.2625725E-5 | 3.3760002 | 3.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.4110773E-5 | 1.14107526E-4 | 2.1087766 | 6.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 6.586048E-4 | 7.1856525E-4 | 1.0910417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.006568824 | 0.00662843 | 1.0090741 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.2132733E-5 | 4.2132368E-5 | 3.4726198 | 3.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.199642E-5 | 1.0199382E-4 | 1.9615546 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.3287764E-4 | 6.82846E-4 | 1.0789542 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0063130343 | 0.0063627185 | 1.0078701 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 9.582907E-6 | 2.9582716E-5 | 3.0870292 | 2.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.1068964E-5 | 8.106732E-5 | 1.9739314 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 4.999016E-4 | 5.398816E-4 | 1.0799757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.0049891076 | 0.0050289077 | 1.0079775 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.12494E-6 | 2.9124758E-5 | 3.191775 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 3.910631E-5 | 7.910475E-5 | 2.0228128 | 4.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 4.7601692E-4 | 5.159979E-4 | 1.0839906 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0047512264 | 0.0047910362 | 1.0083789 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 8.749737E-6 | 2.8749562E-5 | 3.285763 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 3.7498343E-5 | 7.749684E-5 | 2.0666738 | 4.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.5644827E-4 | 4.9643E-4 | 1.0875932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004556276 | 0.0045960937 | 1.0087391 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.076869E-6 | 2.8076707E-5 | 3.4761872 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.46147E-5 | 7.4613316E-5 | 2.1555383 | 4.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.2135388E-4 | 4.61337E-4 | 1.094892 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.004206622 | 0.0042464538 | 1.0094688 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 7.429607E-6 | 2.7429458E-5 | 3.6919124 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.184079E-5 | 6.183983E-5 | 1.9421576 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 3.8759396E-4 | 4.1758234E-4 | 1.0773706 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0038701445 | 0.0039000285 | 1.0077217 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 6.7359465E-6 | 2.6735812E-5 | 3.9691246 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 2.886803E-5 | 5.8867165E-5 | 2.039182 | 3.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.5141266E-4 | 3.8140212E-4 | 1.0853397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0035096793 | 0.003539574 | 1.0085177 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.0102057E-6 | 2.6010086E-5 | 4.3276534 | 2.0E-5 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.5757774E-5 | 5.5757002E-5 | 2.164667 | 3.0E-5 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.135568E-4 | 3.435474E-4 | 1.0956465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0031321887 | 0.0031620949 | 1.009548 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.1453976E-6 | 2.5145295E-5 | 4.8869486 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.2051523E-5 | 4.205108E-5 | 1.9069468 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.684451E-4 | 2.8843974E-4 | 1.0744832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0026814663 | 0.0027014127 | 1.0074387 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 4.6199916E-6 | 2.46199E-5 | 5.3289924 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2278298E-5 | 1.9799818E-5 | 3.9799423E-5 | 2.0100904 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.4103698E-4 | 2.6103217E-4 | 1.0829548 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0024078474 | 0.0024277994 | 1.0082861 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.6101314E-6 | 1.3610095E-5 | 3.769972 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.5471905E-5 | 2.547175E-5 | 1.6463228 | 1.0E-5 | 3.208294E-4 | 1.8835491E-4 | 1.9835304E-4 | 1.0530813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.0018820278 | 0.001892009 | 1.0053034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.1108325E-6 | 1.3110802E-5 | 4.2145634 | 1.0E-5 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.33320755E-5 | 2.3331942E-5 | 1.7500608 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.623066E-4 | 1.72305E-4 | 1.0616018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0016219486 | 0.0016319323 | 1.0061554 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.1228193E-6 | 2.1228193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.097768E-6 | 9.097768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.10760324E-4 | 1.10760324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0011071125 | 0.0011071125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.5916027E-4 | 2.4073758 | 2.1E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008211597 | 1.0588553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07923686 | 1.0076157 | 6.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.5916027E-4 | 2.4073758 | 2.1E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008211597 | 1.0588553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07923686 | 1.0076157 | 6.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.5916027E-4 | 2.4073758 | 2.1E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008211597 | 1.0588553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07923686 | 1.0076157 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.5916027E-4 | 2.4073758 | 2.1E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008211597 | 1.0588553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07923686 | 1.0076157 | 6.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.5916027E-4 | 2.4073758 | 2.1E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008211597 | 1.0588553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07923686 | 1.0076157 | 6.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310867E-4 | 3.5307862E-4 | 2.4672062 | 2.1E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131797E-4 | 9.0300187E-4 | 1.4726546 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.007440115 | 0.0078966925 | 1.061367 | 4.6E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.075759284 | 0.07636004 | 1.0079298 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310867E-4 | 3.5307862E-4 | 2.4672062 | 2.1E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131797E-4 | 9.0300187E-4 | 1.4726546 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.007440115 | 0.0078966925 | 1.061367 | 4.6E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.075759284 | 0.07636004 | 1.0079298 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 1.4034602E-4 | 3.5031655E-4 | 2.4960916 | 2.1E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 6.0134527E-4 | 8.911709E-4 | 1.4819621 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.0072970022 | 0.0077536455 | 1.0625796 | 4.6E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.07445594 | 0.075057544 | 1.00808 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 1.3954814E-4 | 3.4951884E-4 | 2.504647 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 5.979273E-4 | 8.877539E-4 | 1.4847188 | 2.9E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.0072556664 | 0.007712329 | 1.0629387 | 4.6E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.07407085 | 0.0746727 | 1.0081254 | 6.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 1.3867211E-4 | 3.48643E-4 | 2.5141537 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 5.941746E-4 | 8.740083E-4 | 1.4709619 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0072102807 | 0.007657036 | 1.0619609 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.07364873 | 0.07424159 | 1.0080498 | 6.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 1.3786521E-4 | 3.4783626E-4 | 2.523017 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 5.9071806E-4 | 8.7055267E-4 | 1.4737194 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.0071684746 | 0.0076152487 | 1.0623249 | 4.5E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.07325853 | 0.073851645 | 1.0080962 | 6.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 1.2578245E-4 | 3.2575728E-4 | 2.589847 | 2.0E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 5.389569E-4 | 8.088114E-4 | 1.5006977 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.0065421956 | 0.0069693825 | 1.0652971 | 4.3E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.06739956 | 0.06797777 | 1.0085789 | 6.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 1.20964236E-4 | 3.2094005E-4 | 2.6531813 | 2.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 5.183158E-4 | 7.8817585E-4 | 1.5206479 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.0062923674 | 0.0067196614 | 1.0679067 | 4.3E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.06504894 | 0.06562861 | 1.0089113 | 6.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 1.1680691E-4 | 3.1678355E-4 | 2.7120275 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 5.005056E-4 | 7.703705E-4 | 1.5391845 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.006076758 | 0.0065041445 | 1.0703315 | 4.3E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.06299142 | 0.06357236 | 1.0092226 | 6.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.11887115E-4 | 3.1186474E-4 | 2.787316 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 4.7942868E-4 | 7.4929924E-4 | 1.5629003 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.0058215414 | 0.006249038 | 1.0734336 | 4.3E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.060548518 | 0.06113098 | 1.0096197 | 6.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 8.124358E-5 | 2.7122814E-4 | 3.3384562 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 3.481404E-4 | 6.080499E-4 | 1.7465651 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.004230389 | 0.004638654 | 1.0965078 | 4.1E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.045209058 | 0.045762837 | 1.0122492 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 7.8794015E-5 | 2.6877905E-4 | 3.4111605 | 1.9E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 3.37645E-4 | 5.975572E-4 | 1.7697794 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.0041030957 | 0.004511413 | 1.0995146 | 4.1E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.04394186 | 0.044496372 | 1.0126193 | 5.8E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 6.1122264E-5 | 2.2111248E-4 | 3.6175442 | 1.6E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 2.6192627E-4 | 4.91866E-4 | 1.8778797 | 2.3E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0031842915 | 0.0035531132 | 1.1158254 | 3.7E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.034706768 | 0.035189416 | 1.0139064 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 5.6466404E-5 | 1.8645906E-4 | 3.302124 | 1.3E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 2.4197644E-4 | 4.3193044E-4 | 1.7850105 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.002942085 | 0.0032611436 | 1.1084464 | 3.2E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.03201021 | 0.032426447 | 1.0130032 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 4.126484E-5 | 1.2126154E-4 | 2.9386165 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 1.7683732E-4 | 2.968161E-4 | 1.6784698 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0021508695 | 0.0023404607 | 1.0881463 | 1.9E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.023309505 | 0.023563445 | 1.0108943 | 2.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 2.3383629E-5 | 6.338269E-5 | 2.7105584 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 1.00211706E-4 | 1.502067E-4 | 1.4988937 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.001219395 | 0.001319273 | 1.0819079 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.013286302 | 0.013404707 | 1.0089118 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 7.000261E-6 | 7.000261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 3.0000774E-5 | 3.0000774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 3.6519833E-4 | 3.7519468E-4 | 1.0273724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.0041375807 | 0.004157498 | 1.0048138 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.2476612E-4 | 47.148724 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.0042487E-4 | 14.704664 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.185974E-4 | 2.8892488 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.003132776 | 1.2609836 | 6.5E-4 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.7583912E-6 | 2.2475734E-4 | 47.233894 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0392947E-5 | 3.0038724E-4 | 14.729958 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.4825614E-4 | 7.1813946E-4 | 2.892736 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0027334841 | 0.0024798198 | 0.003128208 | 1.2614658 | 6.5E-4 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.738467E-6 | 2.2473742E-4 | 47.4283 | 2.2E-4 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.030756E-5 | 3.0030188E-4 | 14.787689 | 2.8E-4 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.4721678E-4 | 7.171006E-4 | 2.9006953 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002723483 | 0.0024694495 | 0.0031178442 | 1.2625666 | 6.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7218223E-6 | 2.2472079E-4 | 47.59196 | 2.2E-4 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0236226E-5 | 3.0023055E-4 | 14.836292 | 2.8E-4 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.463485E-4 | 6.9623766E-4 | 2.8262305 | 4.5E-4 | 0.002715153 | 0.002460786 | 0.0030892356 | 1.2553858 | 6.3E-4 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.6304554E-6 | 2.1462949E-4 | 46.3517 | 2.1E-4 | 2.1953823E-5 | 1.984466E-5 | 2.898393E-4 | 14.605406 | 2.7E-4 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4158224E-4 | 6.8147597E-4 | 2.820886 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024132272 | 0.003031731 | 1.2562973 | 6.2E-4 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.377694E-6 | 2.0437682E-4 | 46.685955 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.8761411E-5 | 2.7875655E-4 | 14.857972 | 2.6E-4 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.2839654E-4 | 6.582983E-4 | 2.8822606 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0025429246 | 0.0022816479 | 0.002890256 | 1.2667407 | 6.1E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.5503435E-6 | 2.0354963E-4 | 57.33238 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.5215671E-5 | 2.7521173E-4 | 18.087387 | 2.6E-4 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8523527E-4 | 6.151556E-4 | 3.3209422 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0021284167 | 0.0018508319 | 0.002419777 | 1.3073996 | 5.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.0827488E-6 | 1.720824E-4 | 82.622734 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0905142E-5 | 8.926036E-6 | 2.1892416E-4 | 24.526472 | 2.1E-4 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.0866911E-4 | 4.4863217E-4 | 4.128424 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0010861643 | 0.0015156972 | 1.3954586 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.269078E-7 | 4.0326893E-5 | 123.35861 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4010327E-6 | 7.140094E-5 | 50.963074 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7057444E-5 | 1.5705505E-4 | 9.20742 | 1.4E-4 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.7056165E-4 | 3.3053436E-4 | 1.9379172 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904003 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 3.234419E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.7701133E-4 | 2.1537464 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.004692547 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.127297E-6 | 1.2612656E-4 | 20.584372 | 1.2E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259595E-5 | 2.162546E-4 | 8.235261 | 1.9E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966603E-4 | 6.095733E-4 | 1.9069068 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0031922967 | 0.0036009878 | 1.1280242 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.127297E-6 | 1.2612656E-4 | 20.584372 | 1.2E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259595E-5 | 2.162546E-4 | 8.235261 | 1.9E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966603E-4 | 6.095733E-4 | 1.9069068 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0031922967 | 0.0036009878 | 1.1280242 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 4.779935E-6 | 1.1477941E-4 | 24.012756 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.0485277E-5 | 1.9048179E-4 | 9.298473 | 1.7E-4 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.4938022E-4 | 4.893204E-4 | 1.9621459 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004496431 | 0.0024910555 | 0.0028002833 | 1.1241353 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.5941506E-6 | 1.0459369E-4 | 22.766708 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4570177E-5 | 1.968907E-5 | 1.7968591E-4 | 9.126176 | 1.6E-4 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.3968857E-4 | 4.6963344E-4 | 1.9593486 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0042001465 | 0.00239435 | 0.0026836556 | 1.1208285 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.186383E-6 | 8.4186046E-5 | 20.109495 | 8.0E-5 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.794152E-5 | 1.479392E-4 | 8.245632 | 1.3E-4 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.1841654E-4 | 4.0837502E-4 | 1.8697075 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0021820604 | 0.0024315147 | 1.1143206 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.60759E-6 | 7.3607334E-5 | 20.403463 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.5461012E-5 | 1.3545915E-4 | 8.761339 | 1.2E-4 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.8822188E-4 | 3.581899E-4 | 1.9030193 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0018806581 | 0.0021002444 | 1.1167604 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.6314951E-6 | 6.2631334E-5 | 23.800665 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1277788E-5 | 1.1127666E-4 | 9.866887 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.3729851E-4 | 2.8727792E-4 | 2.09236 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002680074 | 0.0013721455 | 0.0015518984 | 1.1310015 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 1.9600484E-6 | 5.195995E-5 | 26.509525 | 5.0E-5 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.40018E-6 | 7.839959E-5 | 9.333084 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.02267455E-4 | 1.8225927E-4 | 1.7821826 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010222096 | 0.0011221074 | 1.0977273 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.2478722E-6 | 2.1247848E-5 | 17.027262 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.348013E-6 | 3.5347854E-5 | 6.60953 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4553878E-4 | 6.511015E-5 | 9.51082E-5 | 1.4607277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001454435 | 6.509143E-4 | 6.9088826E-4 | 1.061412 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 7.973086E-7 | 1.0797301E-5 | 13.542185 | 1.0E-5 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.4170325E-6 | 1.3416999E-5 | 3.9265058 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.1601605E-5 | 5.160119E-5 | 1.2403654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010647819 | 4.1594089E-4 | 4.259367E-4 | 1.0240319 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.02168E-7 | 1.0602162E-5 | 17.606653 | 1.0E-5 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.5807174E-6 | 1.2580692E-5 | 4.8748817 | 1.0E-5 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.1419804E-5 | 4.141949E-5 | 1.3182606 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.141559E-4 | 3.241528E-4 | 1.0318214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 4.8297255E-7 | 4.8297255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.0698808E-6 | 2.0698808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.5200528E-5 | 2.5200528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.5197875E-4 | 2.5197875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 6.5881565E-8 | 6.5881565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.5832258E-5 | 2.558244E-4 | 7.139499 | 2.2E-4 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5355866E-4 | 4.1351875E-4 | 2.692904 | 2.6E-4 | 0.00171175 | 0.0018681306 | 0.0022474208 | 1.2030319 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016986247 | 0.01854024 | 0.019099673 | 1.0301739 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.6130786E-4 | 7.5692825 | 1.4E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.6131363E-4 | 2.8612292 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013411287 | 1.2067192 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011436098 | 1.0339772 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.6130786E-4 | 7.5692825 | 1.4E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.6131363E-4 | 2.8612292 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013411287 | 1.2067192 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011436098 | 1.0339772 | 3.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.3678441E-4 | 8.148517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 2.2192905E-4 | 3.0849254 | 1.5E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0010753464 | 1.2282352 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.009058411 | 1.0386447 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.3678441E-4 | 8.148517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 2.2192905E-4 | 3.0849254 | 1.5E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0010753464 | 1.2282352 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.009058411 | 1.0386447 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4589136E-5 | 1.1458768E-4 | 7.8543153 | 1.0E-4 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.2523395E-5 | 1.9251526E-4 | 3.0790918 | 1.3E-4 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.6095987E-4 | 9.408229E-4 | 1.2363634 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007583927 | 0.007891576 | 1.040566 | 3.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3327058E-5 | 1.0332586E-4 | 7.7530885 | 9.0E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7114725E-5 | 1.7710787E-4 | 3.1009145 | 1.2E-4 | 6.540996E-4 | 6.951525E-4 | 8.6503435E-4 | 1.2443807 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0069300737 | 0.0072279945 | 1.0429896 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2212661E-5 | 1.0221156E-4 | 8.369311 | 9.0E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.2338935E-5 | 1.6233318E-4 | 3.1015759 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.370422E-4 | 7.969403E-4 | 1.2510008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005984721 | 0.0063523827 | 0.006630604 | 1.043798 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0735759E-5 | 8.073501E-5 | 7.5201955 | 7.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.600959E-5 | 1.3600544E-4 | 2.956024 | 9.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.600243E-4 | 6.9994584E-4 | 1.2498492 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005586294 | 0.005834897 | 1.0445024 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.486945E-6 | 7.948628E-5 | 8.37849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.0657706E-5 | 1.3065405E-4 | 3.2135124 | 9.0E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 4.948962E-4 | 6.348269E-4 | 1.2827476 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0049380567 | 0.0051868223 | 1.0503772 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.511766E-6 | 7.851117E-5 | 9.22384 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6478494E-5 | 1.264752E-4 | 3.467117 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4403595E-4 | 5.839738E-4 | 1.3151498 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004189935 | 0.004431575 | 0.004660556 | 1.0516703 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.54307E-6 | 7.754254E-5 | 10.279971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2327047E-5 | 1.2232414E-4 | 3.7839565 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9351138E-4 | 5.334563E-4 | 1.3556311 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039282204 | 0.004147356 | 1.0557851 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.721356E-6 | 7.6720884E-5 | 11.414495 | 7.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.8805496E-5 | 1.18802905E-4 | 4.124314 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.506511E-4 | 4.90602E-4 | 1.3991172 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035010448 | 0.0037202747 | 1.0626184 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.2860037E-6 | 6.528568E-5 | 12.35067 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2654107E-5 | 1.02652295E-4 | 4.5312886 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7577937E-4 | 3.8574904E-4 | 1.3987596 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027544247 | 0.0029239564 | 1.0615488 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.6862266E-6 | 6.3686006E-5 | 17.276747 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5798021E-5 | 8.579691E-5 | 5.430865 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.923243E-4 | 2.8230698E-4 | 1.4678696 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019216161 | 0.0020513663 | 1.0675213 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.138553E-5 | 7.1384915E-5 | 1.1628948 | 1.0E-5 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.136887E-4 | 6.636581E-4 | 1.0814245 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 2.549883E-5 | 1.6451936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.8497452E-4 | 1.1935444 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.225313E-4 | 1.0888532 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.4426045E-4 | 1.8960398 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0012935271 | 1.2886069 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012571645 | 1.0341287 | 4.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115923904 | 1.0044456 | 5.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.4426045E-4 | 1.8960398 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0012935271 | 1.2886069 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012571645 | 1.0341287 | 4.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115923904 | 1.0044456 | 5.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.4426045E-4 | 1.8960398 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0012935271 | 1.2886069 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012571645 | 1.0341287 | 4.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115923904 | 1.0044456 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302673E-4 | 4.329799E-4 | 1.9413812 | 2.1E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5549866E-4 | 0.0012452216 | 1.3032165 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.011574811 | 0.01198995 | 1.0358657 | 4.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.110293545 | 0.11080958 | 1.0046787 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302673E-4 | 4.329799E-4 | 1.9413812 | 2.1E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5549866E-4 | 0.0012452216 | 1.3032165 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.011574811 | 0.01198995 | 1.0358657 | 4.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.110293545 | 0.11080958 | 1.0046787 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.0452504E-4 | 4.1448209E-4 | 2.026559 | 2.1E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 8.762607E-4 | 0.0011560153 | 1.3192596 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.010619782 | 0.011025428 | 1.0381972 | 4.1E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1018249 | 0.1023189 | 1.0048515 | 5.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 1.8830529E-4 | 3.9826575E-4 | 2.1150002 | 2.1E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 8.067913E-4 | 0.0010865654 | 1.3467739 | 2.8E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.0097817425 | 0.01017783 | 1.0404925 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.09430779 | 0.09479686 | 1.005186 | 5.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 1.7036399E-4 | 3.7032992E-4 | 2.173757 | 2.0E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 7.2994415E-4 | 9.997471E-4 | 1.3696213 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.008853931 | 0.009230566 | 1.0425388 | 3.8E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.08591519 | 0.086381376 | 1.005426 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 1.665005E-4 | 3.664672E-4 | 2.2009976 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 7.133955E-4 | 9.832028E-4 | 1.3782017 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.008654063 | 0.009030774 | 1.04353 | 3.8E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.08409028 | 0.08455739 | 1.0055549 | 5.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.1722602E-4 | 3.0720377E-4 | 2.6206105 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 5.023011E-4 | 7.621705E-4 | 1.5173578 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.0060984865 | 0.0064562913 | 1.058671 | 3.6E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.060454614 | 0.0608962 | 1.0073044 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.1219919E-4 | 3.0217785E-4 | 2.693227 | 1.9E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 4.807656E-4 | 7.406406E-4 | 1.540544 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.005837724 | 0.0061956225 | 1.0613079 | 3.6E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.058013458 | 0.05845619 | 1.0076315 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.0703428E-4 | 2.9701393E-4 | 2.7749422 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 4.586382E-4 | 7.18519E-4 | 1.5666356 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.0055697276 | 0.0059277224 | 1.0642751 | 3.6E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.05552095 | 0.055964857 | 1.0079952 | 4.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 9.467819E-5 | 2.7466114E-4 | 2.9009972 | 1.8E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 4.057008E-4 | 6.5559935E-4 | 1.6159676 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.004928269 | 0.005276544 | 1.0706688 | 3.5E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.049502246 | 0.049939476 | 1.0088325 | 4.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 8.7998786E-5 | 2.5798383E-4 | 2.9316747 | 1.7E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 3.7708334E-4 | 6.169928E-4 | 1.636224 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.004581365 | 0.004919807 | 1.0738736 | 3.4E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.04627705 | 0.046696685 | 1.009068 | 4.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 8.312073E-5 | 2.4310742E-4 | 2.924751 | 1.6E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 3.5618324E-4 | 5.761049E-4 | 1.6174396 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.004327945 | 0.004636603 | 1.0713176 | 3.1E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.043907445 | 0.044289883 | 1.00871 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 7.674603E-5 | 2.1673528E-4 | 2.8240585 | 1.4E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 3.2887026E-4 | 5.088111E-4 | 1.5471483 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.003996678 | 0.004265599 | 1.0672861 | 2.7E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.040778805 | 0.041124124 | 1.0084682 | 3.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 5.6673685E-5 | 1.7666689E-4 | 3.1172647 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 2.4286467E-4 | 4.028258E-4 | 1.6586431 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0029528781 | 0.0032021399 | 1.0844132 | 2.5E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.030698279 | 0.03101815 | 1.0104198 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 4.4225417E-5 | 1.6422011E-4 | 3.7132518 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 1.8952374E-4 | 3.494934E-4 | 1.8440615 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0023050117 | 0.0025544355 | 1.1082094 | 2.5E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.024370305 | 0.024692263 | 1.013211 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 3.9329072E-5 | 1.4932474E-4 | 3.796803 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 1.6854229E-4 | 2.9852038E-4 | 1.7711898 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0020500727 | 0.0022496625 | 1.0973575 | 2.0E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.02182655 | 0.022090657 | 1.0121002 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 2.9462575E-5 | 1.0946022E-4 | 3.7152293 | 8.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 1.2626206E-4 | 2.2624944E-4 | 1.7919035 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0015361576 | 0.0016759424 | 1.0909965 | 1.4E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.016588112 | 0.016774962 | 1.011264 | 1.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 1.5452148E-5 | 5.5451528E-5 | 3.588597 | 4.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 6.622181E-5 | 1.162185E-4 | 1.7549883 | 5.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 8.059525E-4 | 8.8588806E-4 | 1.0991814 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.008784328 | 0.008873537 | 1.0101556 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 2.8262998E-6 | 2.8262998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 1.2112658E-5 | 1.2112658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 1.4746164E-4 | 1.4746164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0017392212 | 0.0017392212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 7.7726907E-7 | 7.7726907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 3.3311487E-6 | 3.3311487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 4.0555984E-5 | 4.0555984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 5.180598E-4 | 5.180598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 6.623571E-8 | 6.623571E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 2.8386728E-7 | 2.8386728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 3.4560794E-6 | 3.4560794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 4.6338613E-5 | 4.6338613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.2081511E-4 | 20.412981 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.463455E-4 | 7.470877 | 3.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0010040337 | 1.779312 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.00617784 | 1.0971247 | 5.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.2081511E-4 | 20.412981 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.463455E-4 | 7.470877 | 3.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0010040337 | 1.779312 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.00617784 | 1.0971247 | 5.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.2081511E-4 | 20.412981 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.463455E-4 | 7.470877 | 3.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0010040337 | 1.779312 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.00617784 | 1.0971247 | 5.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.2081511E-4 | 20.412981 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.463455E-4 | 7.470877 | 3.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0010040337 | 1.779312 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.00617784 | 1.0971247 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.2081511E-4 | 20.412981 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.463455E-4 | 7.470877 | 3.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0010040337 | 1.779312 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.00617784 | 1.0971247 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.06585685E-5 | 2.2065634E-4 | 20.702248 | 2.1E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.5678793E-5 | 3.456651E-4 | 7.567299 | 3.0E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5599964E-4 | 9.95755E-4 | 1.7909274 | 4.4E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485275 | 0.006095476 | 1.0985754 | 5.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.06585685E-5 | 2.2065634E-4 | 20.702248 | 2.1E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.5678793E-5 | 3.456651E-4 | 7.567299 | 3.0E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5599964E-4 | 9.95755E-4 | 1.7909274 | 4.4E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485275 | 0.006095476 | 1.0985754 | 5.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.0224036E-5 | 2.2022189E-4 | 21.539625 | 2.1E-4 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.3816573E-5 | 3.4380343E-4 | 7.8464246 | 3.0E-4 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.333382E-4 | 9.7310357E-4 | 1.8245524 | 4.4E-4 | 0.005929234 | 0.005323007 | 0.005870079 | 1.1027751 | 5.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.011521E-6 | 2.1900963E-4 | 24.303293 | 2.1E-4 | 4.5358654E-5 | 3.8620237E-5 | 3.3860866E-4 | 8.767648 | 3.0E-4 | 5.521017E-4 | 4.701009E-4 | 9.0989406E-4 | 1.9355292 | 4.4E-4 | 0.00550732 | 0.004693377 | 0.0052407957 | 1.1166364 | 5.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 7.882459E-6 | 2.0788088E-4 | 26.372595 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.378153E-5 | 3.2377173E-4 | 9.584283 | 2.9E-4 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.1121285E-4 | 8.3104015E-4 | 2.020949 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005043391 | 0.00410677 | 0.004634593 | 1.1285253 | 5.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 7.5105877E-6 | 2.0750909E-4 | 27.628874 | 2.0E-4 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.218784E-5 | 3.221785E-4 | 10.009324 | 2.9E-4 | 4.893937E-4 | 3.9181678E-4 | 8.116522E-4 | 2.0715096 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0039135055 | 0.0044414313 | 1.1348984 | 5.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.1218815E-6 | 2.0712045E-4 | 29.082268 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.0521995E-5 | 3.2051315E-4 | 10.501056 | 2.9E-4 | 4.667083E-4 | 3.7154218E-4 | 7.913861E-4 | 2.1300035 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0037114525 | 0.004229523 | 1.1395869 | 5.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.3664356E-6 | 1.9636523E-4 | 30.843826 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.7284439E-5 | 3.072768E-4 | 11.26198 | 2.8E-4 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.3213763E-4 | 7.4200146E-4 | 2.234018 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0033186476 | 0.0038169883 | 1.1501638 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 5.898707E-6 | 1.9589759E-4 | 33.21026 | 1.9E-4 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.527993E-5 | 3.0527284E-4 | 12.075701 | 2.8E-4 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.0773986E-4 | 7.0761674E-4 | 2.2993991 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004018998 | 0.0030753643 | 0.0035638574 | 1.1588408 | 4.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 5.4704374E-6 | 1.954694E-4 | 35.73195 | 1.9E-4 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.3444523E-5 | 3.0343796E-4 | 12.942808 | 2.8E-4 | 3.7956095E-4 | 2.8539984E-4 | 6.652914E-4 | 2.3310852 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0028525535 | 0.0033212127 | 1.1642946 | 4.7E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 4.6084037E-6 | 1.5460771E-4 | 33.549084 | 1.5E-4 | 2.7903774E-5 | 1.9750152E-5 | 2.397458E-4 | 12.138935 | 2.2E-4 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.4043169E-4 | 5.6035473E-4 | 2.3306193 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0024039217 | 0.0028129362 | 1.1701447 | 4.1E-4 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.4778066E-6 | 1.1347742E-4 | 32.62902 | 1.1E-4 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.49048E-5 | 1.9490212E-4 | 13.076466 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8430918E-4 | 1.8145089E-4 | 4.3140553E-4 | 2.3775332 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0018152198 | 0.002124657 | 1.1704682 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 2.8183554E-6 | 9.28181E-5 | 32.933426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.2078611E-5 | 1.5207691E-4 | 12.590597 | 1.4E-4 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.4704718E-4 | 3.270207E-4 | 2.223917 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002501296 | 0.001471572 | 0.0017112189 | 1.1628509 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 1.858472E-6 | 5.185838E-5 | 27.903772 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4546376E-5 | 7.964855E-6 | 6.796438E-5 | 8.533033 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7708774E-4 | 9.6967815E-5 | 1.6696102E-4 | 1.721819 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017694668 | 9.695621E-4 | 0.0010894458 | 1.1236472 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 4.7110532E-7 | 1.0471101E-5 | 22.226667 | 1.0E-5 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.0190212E-6 | 2.2018981E-5 | 10.90577 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.458131E-5 | 4.458082E-5 | 1.8136063 | 2.0E-5 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.4578624E-4 | 2.7577888E-4 | 1.1220273 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 5.5658628E-8 | 1.0055658E-5 | 180.66666 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.3853696E-7 | 1.0238535E-5 | 42.92222 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9162867E-6 | 2.9041837E-6 | 1.2904155E-5 | 4.4432983 | 1.0E-5 | 5.916129E-5 | 2.904147E-5 | 3.904118E-5 | 1.3443252 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.1538238E-4 | 1.9067029 | 1.5E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.185478E-4 | 1.2961086 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.008971256 | 1.0438342 | 3.8E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.0862082 | 1.0058674 | 5.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.1538238E-4 | 1.9067029 | 1.5E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.185478E-4 | 1.2961086 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.008971256 | 1.0438342 | 3.8E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.0862082 | 1.0058674 | 5.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.1538238E-4 | 1.9067029 | 1.5E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.185478E-4 | 1.2961086 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.008971256 | 1.0438342 | 3.8E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.0862082 | 1.0058674 | 5.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 1.6463871E-4 | 3.14614E-4 | 1.9109359 | 1.5E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 7.0540496E-4 | 9.152568E-4 | 1.2974913 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.00855476 | 0.00893151 | 1.0440397 | 3.8E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.08534536 | 0.08584842 | 1.0058944 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 1.5955146E-4 | 2.995291E-4 | 1.8773198 | 1.4E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 6.83614E-4 | 8.834773E-4 | 1.2923628 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.0082915 | 0.0086584315 | 1.0442541 | 3.7E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.0829936 | 0.08348878 | 1.0059665 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 1.5700879E-4 | 2.969868E-4 | 1.8915298 | 1.4E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 6.7272247E-4 | 8.7258796E-4 | 1.2970994 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.008159892 | 0.008526873 | 1.0449737 | 3.7E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.081840076 | 0.082326695 | 1.005946 | 5.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 1.4986222E-4 | 2.8984123E-4 | 1.9340515 | 1.4E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 6.4210966E-4 | 8.4198127E-4 | 1.3112732 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.007789902 | 0.008147097 | 1.0458537 | 3.6E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.07853726 | 0.079016425 | 1.006101 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 1.4822421E-4 | 2.8820348E-4 | 1.944375 | 1.4E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 6.3509314E-4 | 8.349661E-4 | 1.3147144 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.0077050827 | 0.008062309 | 1.0463624 | 3.6E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.07777921 | 0.07825877 | 1.0061656 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 1.470931E-4 | 2.870725E-4 | 1.9516381 | 1.4E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 6.302479E-4 | 8.301218E-4 | 1.3171355 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.007646507 | 0.008003755 | 1.0467203 | 3.6E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.07725172 | 0.07773155 | 1.0062113 | 5.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 1.4567042E-4 | 2.8565002E-4 | 1.9609337 | 1.4E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 6.2415353E-4 | 8.2402874E-4 | 1.320234 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.0075728274 | 0.007930101 | 1.0471784 | 3.6E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.07658223 | 0.077062406 | 1.00627 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 1.4192787E-4 | 2.81908E-4 | 1.9862765 | 1.4E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 6.081216E-4 | 8.0800004E-4 | 1.3286816 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.007378977 | 0.00773632 | 1.0484272 | 3.6E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.074820295 | 0.07530139 | 1.00643 | 5.2E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.2104766E-4 | 2.610307E-4 | 2.1564293 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 5.186732E-4 | 7.185695E-4 | 1.3853992 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.0062966957 | 0.006634555 | 1.0536566 | 3.4E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.06488186 | 0.06534942 | 1.0072063 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 1.168634E-4 | 2.5684704E-4 | 2.19784 | 1.4E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 5.0074764E-4 | 7.006475E-4 | 1.3992028 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.00607969 | 0.006417623 | 1.055584 | 3.4E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.06285172 | 0.063320294 | 1.0074552 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.1224762E-4 | 2.522319E-4 | 2.2471025 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 4.8097316E-4 | 6.8087695E-4 | 1.4156237 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.0058402508 | 0.006178265 | 1.0578767 | 3.4E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.060573705 | 0.06104342 | 1.0077544 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.0731009E-4 | 2.4729507E-4 | 2.3044903 | 1.4E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 4.598199E-4 | 6.5972796E-4 | 1.434753 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.0055840546 | 0.005922156 | 1.0605477 | 3.4E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.05811747 | 0.05858841 | 1.0081033 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 7.6731485E-5 | 2.0672151E-4 | 2.69409 | 1.3E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 3.2880783E-4 | 5.187454E-4 | 1.5776551 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.0039959033 | 0.0043146247 | 1.079762 | 3.2E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.042774547 | 0.04321487 | 1.0102941 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 7.430634E-5 | 2.0429668E-4 | 2.7493842 | 1.3E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 3.1841695E-4 | 5.0835643E-4 | 1.596512 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0038698504 | 0.004188612 | 1.0823705 | 3.2E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.041517623 | 0.041958526 | 1.0106196 | 4.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 5.668947E-5 | 1.566838E-4 | 2.763896 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 2.4293226E-4 | 4.028934E-4 | 1.6584598 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.002953691 | 0.003232864 | 1.0945166 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.03228915 | 0.032656882 | 1.0113887 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 5.260323E-5 | 1.5259798E-4 | 2.900924 | 1.0E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 2.2542293E-4 | 3.7538912E-4 | 1.6652659 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0027410719 | 0.003010332 | 1.0982316 | 2.7E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.029913483 | 0.030253014 | 1.0113504 | 3.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 3.888169E-5 | 1.0887897E-4 | 2.8002632 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 1.6662518E-4 | 2.6660852E-4 | 1.6000494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.002026775 | 0.0021964305 | 1.0837071 | 1.7E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.022017209 | 0.022242146 | 1.0102164 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 2.270738E-5 | 6.270647E-5 | 2.761502 | 4.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 9.731371E-5 | 1.4730885E-4 | 1.5137522 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0011841508 | 0.0012840324 | 1.0843487 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.012913119 | 0.013031569 | 1.0091729 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 7.000289E-6 | 7.000289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 3.0000894E-5 | 3.0000894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 3.6519978E-4 | 3.7519613E-4 | 1.0273722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.004137601 | 0.004157518 | 1.0048137 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 9.4196957E-4 | 0.0010418753 | 1.1060605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019528421 | 0.004026235 | 0.0041656713 | 1.034632 | 1.4E-4 | 0.023518132 | 0.04717882 | 0.047474194 | 1.0062608 | 3.1E-4 | 0.21179019 | 0.34005475 | 0.3403649 | 1.0009122 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 3.475817E-4 | 4.3755042E-4 | 1.2588419 | 9.0E-5 | 8.248562E-4 | 0.0014875354 | 0.001617342 | 1.0872629 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009996468 | 0.0177582 | 0.017974293 | 1.0121686 | 2.2E-4 | 0.09558567 | 0.15048067 | 0.1507695 | 1.0019194 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.2588769E-4 | 2.0587762E-4 | 1.6354071 | 8.0E-5 | 4.039488E-4 | 5.393992E-4 | 6.5933453E-4 | 1.2223498 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049069915 | 0.006546293 | 0.006735049 | 1.0288341 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048000436 | 0.06556609 | 0.065855764 | 1.004418 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.2299135E-4 | 2.0298151E-4 | 1.6503723 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 5.2699726E-4 | 6.4693403E-4 | 1.2275852 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.006396943 | 0.0065857274 | 1.0295117 | 1.9E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.06422817 | 0.06451826 | 1.0045166 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.20087876E-4 | 2.0007827E-4 | 1.6660988 | 8.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 5.1455956E-4 | 6.3449785E-4 | 1.2330891 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.0062465332 | 0.006435347 | 1.0302268 | 1.9E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0628857 | 0.06317621 | 1.0046196 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.17187155E-4 | 1.9717778E-4 | 1.6825887 | 8.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 5.021334E-4 | 6.2207313E-4 | 1.2388604 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.006096212 | 0.006285054 | 1.0309769 | 1.9E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.061543126 | 0.06182466 | 1.0045747 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.13310314E-4 | 1.9330125E-4 | 1.7059457 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 4.8552497E-4 | 6.054667E-4 | 1.2470351 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.0058951867 | 0.0060840664 | 1.0320396 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.05975446 | 0.060036536 | 1.0047206 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.11828944E-4 | 1.9182E-4 | 1.7152983 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 4.7917964E-4 | 5.9912214E-4 | 1.250308 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.005818549 | 0.0060074436 | 1.0324641 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.059072524 | 0.0593548 | 1.0047785 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.11149355E-4 | 1.9114047E-4 | 1.7196723 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 4.762683E-4 | 5.962112E-4 | 1.2518388 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.00578332 | 0.005972221 | 1.0326631 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.05875797 | 0.05904034 | 1.0048057 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.1046583E-4 | 1.90457E-4 | 1.7241259 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 4.7334E-4 | 5.932832E-4 | 1.2533976 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0057478608 | 0.005936769 | 1.0328658 | 1.9E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.05843756 | 0.05872003 | 1.0048337 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.0775292E-4 | 1.877443E-4 | 1.7423593 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 4.617175E-4 | 5.8166205E-4 | 1.2597792 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.005607101 | 0.0057960358 | 1.0336956 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.057151154 | 0.057434008 | 1.0049492 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 9.231748E-5 | 1.7231009E-4 | 1.8664948 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 3.955869E-4 | 5.1553943E-4 | 1.3032267 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.004805736 | 0.0049848706 | 1.0372752 | 1.8E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.049733657 | 0.050009232 | 1.0055411 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 9.008674E-5 | 1.7007953E-4 | 1.887953 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 3.8602942E-4 | 5.059831E-4 | 1.3107371 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0046898797 | 0.004869036 | 1.0382005 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.04863169 | 0.04890759 | 1.0056732 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 8.722294E-5 | 1.6721597E-4 | 1.9171098 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 3.737596E-4 | 4.9371476E-4 | 1.320942 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.004541126 | 0.004720309 | 1.0394578 | 1.8E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.047222484 | 0.04749879 | 1.0058511 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 8.447346E-5 | 1.644667E-4 | 1.946963 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 3.6197942E-4 | 4.8193597E-4 | 1.3313906 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.00439829 | 0.0045774984 | 1.040745 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.045858152 | 0.046134852 | 1.0060339 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 5.7850782E-5 | 1.3784616E-4 | 2.382788 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 2.4790844E-4 | 3.6787867E-4 | 1.4839298 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.003014118 | 0.0031836056 | 1.0562313 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.032398637 | 0.032659892 | 1.0080637 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 5.6467703E-5 | 1.3646319E-4 | 2.416659 | 8.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 2.4198205E-4 | 3.6195302E-4 | 1.4957845 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0029421614 | 0.0031116614 | 1.0576106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.031685922 | 0.031947367 | 1.0082512 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 4.26525E-5 | 1.1264951E-4 | 2.6411 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 1.8278362E-4 | 2.9276352E-4 | 1.6016945 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0022231208 | 0.002382765 | 1.0718108 | 1.6E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.02441033 | 0.024624959 | 1.0087925 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 3.963756E-5 | 1.09634784E-4 | 2.7659316 | 7.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 1.698642E-4 | 2.7984552E-4 | 1.6474661 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0020661363 | 0.0022258058 | 1.0772792 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.022669455 | 0.022874694 | 1.0090536 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 3.07127E-5 | 9.0710855E-5 | 2.9535291 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 1.3161922E-4 | 2.2160738E-4 | 1.6837007 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0016012868 | 0.0017410627 | 1.0872897 | 1.4E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.017520966 | 0.017707637 | 1.0106541 | 1.9E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 1.7605124E-5 | 5.760442E-5 | 3.2720258 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 7.544835E-5 | 1.2544458E-4 | 1.662655 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 9.181968E-4 | 9.981233E-4 | 1.0870473 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.010095927 | 0.010185018 | 1.0088245 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 6.7754063E-6 | 6.7754063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 2.9037134E-5 | 2.9037134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 3.5346986E-4 | 3.6346633E-4 | 1.028281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.0040130476 | 0.004032967 | 1.0049638 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 7.405635E-5 | 18.255617 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.5738302E-4 | 9.052565 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 5.915681E-4 | 2.7950494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002633478 | 1.245392 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.691342E-6 | 7.369108E-5 | 19.963223 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5819947E-5 | 1.3581805E-4 | 8.58524 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9259176E-4 | 5.0253206E-4 | 2.6093123 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019243398 | 0.002373474 | 1.2333964 | 4.5E-4 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.677134E-6 | 7.367688E-5 | 20.036495 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5759055E-5 | 1.3575716E-4 | 8.61455 | 1.2E-4 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9185053E-4 | 5.017911E-4 | 2.6155312 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019169404 | 0.0023660779 | 1.2342991 | 4.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6639788E-6 | 7.366372E-5 | 20.104845 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5702677E-5 | 1.3570079E-4 | 8.64189 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9116423E-4 | 5.01105E-4 | 2.6213322 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019100893 | 0.0023592298 | 1.235141 | 4.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.528818E-6 | 7.352857E-5 | 20.8366 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.51234235E-5 | 1.351216E-4 | 8.934591 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8411303E-4 | 4.94056E-4 | 2.6834383 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018396946 | 0.002278885 | 1.2387302 | 4.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5229042E-6 | 6.2522755E-5 | 24.782057 | 6.0E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0812401E-5 | 1.0081143E-4 | 9.323686 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3163309E-4 | 3.5160413E-4 | 2.6710923 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013155567 | 0.0016151621 | 1.2277403 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.131714E-6 | 6.2131585E-5 | 29.146305 | 6.0E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.135885E-6 | 9.913506E-5 | 10.851172 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1122376E-4 | 3.012026E-4 | 2.7080781 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011116841 | 0.0013713951 | 1.2336193 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9529025E-6 | 6.1952785E-5 | 31.72344 | 6.0E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.369556E-6 | 8.8368884E-5 | 10.5583725 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.01894606E-4 | 2.8187627E-4 | 2.7663512 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010184819 | 0.0012682274 | 1.2452134 | 2.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.6995307E-6 | 5.1699444E-5 | 30.419836 | 5.0E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.283683E-6 | 7.728317E-5 | 10.610453 | 7.0E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.867526E-5 | 2.4866106E-4 | 2.8041763 | 1.6E-4 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.864017E-4 | 0.0011161978 | 1.259246 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3407383E-6 | 5.134067E-5 | 38.292835 | 5.0E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.746009E-6 | 7.574561E-5 | 13.182299 | 7.0E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 6.995544E-5 | 1.7994775E-4 | 2.5723195 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1551115E-4 | 6.9933676E-4 | 8.592249E-4 | 1.2286282 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.873448E-7 | 4.0787312E-5 | 51.803623 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.3743304E-6 | 6.337413E-5 | 18.781244 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.10817E-5 | 1.2107842E-4 | 2.947259 | 8.0E-5 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.1074125E-4 | 5.007043E-4 | 1.2190261 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6255278E-7 | 3.0362542E-5 | 83.746544 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5537968E-6 | 5.1553718E-5 | 33.17919 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.8917312E-5 | 6.8916364E-5 | 3.6430316 | 5.0E-5 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.8915707E-4 | 2.4914573E-4 | 1.3171366 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.7697386E-8 | 1.0077697E-5 | 129.70445 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3298875E-7 | 3.0332978E-5 | 91.0931 | 3.0E-5 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.0541304E-6 | 3.405401E-5 | 8.399831 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.0540577E-5 | 8.053896E-5 | 1.9866258 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.586062E-5 | 3.9274382E-5 | 1.2927085E-4 | 3.29148 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5367931E-4 | 1.683085E-4 | 3.0828494E-4 | 1.8316659 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0018694398 | 0.0020473336 | 0.0022968217 | 1.12186 | 2.5E-4 | 0.018537914 | 0.020295722 | 0.020775776 | 1.023653 | 4.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 7.298721E-5 | 3.174964 | 5.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.7851009E-4 | 1.8119546 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013885949 | 1.1582989 | 1.9E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012252395 | 1.0273398 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 7.298721E-5 | 3.174964 | 5.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.7851009E-4 | 1.8119546 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013885949 | 1.1582989 | 1.9E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012252395 | 1.0273398 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.6499243E-5 | 6.649842E-5 | 4.030392 | 5.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.070919E-5 | 1.4070424E-4 | 1.9899004 | 7.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.605554E-4 | 0.0010104263 | 1.1741561 | 1.5E-4 | 0.007878214 | 0.008573386 | 0.008811328 | 1.0277536 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3409091E-5 | 6.340842E-5 | 4.7287636 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.746631E-5 | 1.2746229E-4 | 2.218035 | 7.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 6.9943524E-4 | 8.4933033E-4 | 1.2143087 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006419184 | 0.006973114 | 0.0072114402 | 1.0341779 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 9.815237E-6 | 4.9814844E-5 | 5.075257 | 4.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.206465E-5 | 9.2062546E-5 | 2.1885965 | 5.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.120217E-4 | 6.119705E-4 | 1.1952043 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004716845 | 0.0051089195 | 0.005278051 | 1.0331051 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.159118E-6 | 4.8158792E-5 | 5.902451 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.49672E-5 | 8.496545E-5 | 2.4298615 | 5.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.256465E-4 | 5.156082E-4 | 1.2113531 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0042487113 | 0.0044080312 | 1.0374985 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 5.9255667E-6 | 3.592539E-5 | 6.0627766 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.5395057E-5 | 6.5394044E-5 | 2.5750697 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.0914397E-4 | 3.591285E-4 | 1.1616869 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0030874372 | 0.0031970977 | 1.0355183 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 3.992165E-6 | 3.3992044E-5 | 8.514689 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.710918E-5 | 5.7108493E-5 | 3.3378863 | 4.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.0828666E-4 | 2.5827624E-4 | 1.2400038 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0020811416 | 0.0021809333 | 1.0479505 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.5925383E-6 | 2.2592487E-5 | 8.714427 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1110831E-5 | 3.111061E-5 | 2.8000252 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.35266E-4 | 1.5526329E-4 | 1.1478368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013518395 | 0.0014117584 | 1.0443239 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.449818E-6 | 2.2449769E-5 | 9.163851 | 2.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0499179E-5 | 3.0498968E-5 | 2.904891 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2782002E-4 | 1.4781747E-4 | 1.15645 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012774672 | 0.0013373906 | 1.0469079 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3426678E-6 | 2.2342621E-5 | 9.537255 | 2.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0039967E-5 | 3.0039766E-5 | 2.9920185 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2222974E-4 | 1.422273E-4 | 1.1636063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012216271 | 0.0012815539 | 1.0490549 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.247132E-6 | 2.2247086E-5 | 9.900213 | 2.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.63053E-6 | 2.9630337E-5 | 3.0767088 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.17245414E-4 | 1.3724307E-4 | 1.1705624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011718374 | 0.0012317671 | 1.0511416 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.082142E-6 | 1.2082121E-5 | 5.8027368 | 1.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 8.9234345E-6 | 1.8923345E-5 | 2.1206348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.0863742E-4 | 1.1863633E-4 | 1.0920393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010858448 | 0.0011357906 | 1.0459971 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.7820928E-6 | 1.1782075E-5 | 6.61137 | 1.0E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.637518E-6 | 1.7637441E-5 | 2.309316 | 1.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.298283E-5 | 1.029819E-4 | 1.1075368 | 1.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.294409E-4 | 9.694037E-4 | 1.0429966 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9066765E-4 | 5.206529E-4 | 1.0611112 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 2.1959776E-4 | 1.0476999 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.3707232E-4 | 19.378992 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 1.8030901E-4 | 5.94813 | 1.5E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041624755 | 1.1298045 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.2485537E-6 | 1.0624793E-4 | 17.003603 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.6779253E-5 | 1.4677604E-4 | 5.480961 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.2599075E-4 | 5.759093E-4 | 1.7666429 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0031709734 | 0.003255339 | 0.003654037 | 1.122475 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.8044548E-6 | 1.05803876E-4 | 18.228048 | 1.0E-4 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.4876008E-5 | 1.4487302E-4 | 5.823805 | 1.2E-4 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.028253E-4 | 5.527496E-4 | 1.8253084 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002945339 | 0.003024326 | 0.0034231162 | 1.1318609 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.7247313E-6 | 1.0472426E-4 | 22.165125 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0248699E-5 | 1.4024627E-4 | 6.926187 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.465014E-4 | 4.4645212E-4 | 1.8111544 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0024624197 | 0.0027716563 | 1.1255825 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.608823E-6 | 9.460841E-5 | 20.527672 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 1.9751958E-5 | 1.2974978E-4 | 6.5689583 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4045495E-4 | 4.3040927E-4 | 1.7899787 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0023388295 | 0.002402087 | 0.0026913905 | 1.1204383 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.296982E-6 | 6.3296786E-5 | 19.198402 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.412985E-5 | 7.4129E-5 | 5.2462697 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7201797E-4 | 2.8199903E-4 | 1.639358 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017189105 | 0.0018986011 | 1.1045375 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.2764534E-6 | 3.2276384E-5 | 14.178364 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 9.756195E-6 | 3.97559E-5 | 4.0749393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.18775635E-4 | 1.787685E-4 | 1.5050942 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0011871645 | 0.0012870458 | 1.0841343 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.4302378E-6 | 2.1430209E-5 | 14.983669 | 2.0E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.1295764E-6 | 2.6129454E-5 | 4.2628484 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.462512E-5 | 1.1462213E-4 | 1.5359726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.460082E-4 | 7.8597834E-4 | 1.0535787 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.1768451E-6 | 1.1176833E-5 | 9.497285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.043613E-6 | 1.5043563E-5 | 2.9826958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.1404324E-5 | 9.140248E-5 | 1.4885349 | 3.0E-5 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.1388046E-4 | 6.4386206E-4 | 1.0488394 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 8.511703E-7 | 8.511703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.6478677E-6 | 3.6478677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.441194E-5 | 5.4411496E-5 | 1.2251546 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.44036E-4 | 4.5403154E-4 | 1.0225106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 2.776184E-5 | 3.776156E-5 | 1.3601967 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5539953E-4 | 2.775872E-4 | 2.8758444E-4 | 1.0360147 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 4.4721728E-5 | 9.471093 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 8.023543E-5 | 3.9648583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.862959E-4 | 1.9739637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0028201055 | 1.1459225 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 4.413986E-5 | 10.661738 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 7.774179E-5 | 4.381584 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 4.1595608E-4 | 1.925729 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0024673722 | 1.1433388 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 4.413986E-5 | 10.661738 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 7.774179E-5 | 4.381584 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 4.1595608E-4 | 1.925729 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0024673722 | 1.1433388 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.351097E-6 | 4.3350963E-5 | 12.93635 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.436177E-5 | 7.4360905E-5 | 5.177698 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7484145E-4 | 3.748065E-4 | 2.1436934 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017471304 | 0.0020466063 | 1.1714101 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2235532E-6 | 4.3223423E-5 | 13.4086275 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.381516E-5 | 7.381433E-5 | 5.342995 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.681875E-4 | 3.6815388E-4 | 2.1889489 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016806928 | 0.0019801885 | 1.1781979 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 2.9872583E-6 | 4.298714E-5 | 14.390164 | 4.0E-5 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2802478E-5 | 7.280171E-5 | 5.686533 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5585992E-4 | 3.5582873E-4 | 2.2830036 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015575942 | 0.0018471425 | 1.1858946 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0269592E-6 | 3.20269E-5 | 15.800465 | 3.0E-5 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.6869395E-6 | 3.8686678E-5 | 4.45343 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.057584E-4 | 2.1574677E-4 | 2.0399964 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010570851 | 0.001216916 | 1.1511996 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7546768E-6 | 3.1754626E-5 | 18.097136 | 3.0E-5 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.520022E-6 | 3.7519796E-5 | 4.9893203 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.155245E-5 | 1.8154421E-4 | 1.9829531 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.1515045E-4 | 0.0010450315 | 1.1419232 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5860172E-6 | 3.158597E-5 | 19.915276 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.797199E-6 | 3.6796995E-5 | 5.4135528 | 3.0E-5 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.2752784E-5 | 1.7274533E-4 | 2.0874867 | 9.0E-5 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.2722266E-4 | 9.5711515E-4 | 1.1570224 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.3931309E-6 | 2.1393103E-5 | 15.3561325 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9318945E-6 | 5.9705476E-6 | 2.5970428E-5 | 4.3497567 | 2.0E-5 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.268902E-5 | 1.526832E-4 | 2.100499 | 8.0E-5 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.2665524E-4 | 8.465681E-4 | 1.1650202 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0843277E-6 | 2.1084306E-5 | 19.44459 | 2.0E-5 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6471105E-6 | 2.4647017E-5 | 5.3037295 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.6577126E-5 | 9.657486E-5 | 1.7069595 | 4.0E-5 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.656298E-4 | 6.355902E-4 | 1.1236858 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.4526447E-7 | 2.0545254E-5 | 37.67943 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3368457E-6 | 2.2336799E-5 | 9.558526 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8450726E-5 | 5.844987E-5 | 2.0544248 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.84471E-4 | 3.244596E-4 | 1.1405718 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9562776E-7 | 2.0195625E-5 | 103.234955 | 2.0E-5 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.384044E-7 | 2.0838388E-5 | 24.854816 | 2.0E-5 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0207526E-5 | 3.0207322E-5 | 2.9593186 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0207062E-4 | 1.3206755E-4 | 1.2938842 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 1.0033861E-5 | 296.32074 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.014512E-5 | 69.908165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.1766825E-5 | 6.659804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 3.7667938E-5 | 2.1319513 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 3.2591244E-4 | 1.8524191 | 1.5E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.336654E-4 | 1.2386098 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009366759 | 1.0249373 | 2.3E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.0882487 | 1.0035263 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 3.2591244E-4 | 1.8524191 | 1.5E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.336654E-4 | 1.2386098 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009366759 | 1.0249373 | 2.3E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.0882487 | 1.0035263 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 3.2591244E-4 | 1.8524191 | 1.5E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.336654E-4 | 1.2386098 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009366759 | 1.0249373 | 2.3E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.0882487 | 1.0035263 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 3.2591244E-4 | 1.8524191 | 1.5E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.336654E-4 | 1.2386098 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009366759 | 1.0249373 | 2.3E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.0882487 | 1.0035263 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184828E-4 | 3.218225E-4 | 1.872713 | 1.5E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.36283E-4 | 9.161505E-4 | 1.2442912 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927537 | 0.009155484 | 1.025533 | 2.3E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.0860101 | 0.086320855 | 1.003613 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184828E-4 | 3.218225E-4 | 1.872713 | 1.5E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.36283E-4 | 9.161505E-4 | 1.2442912 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927537 | 0.009155484 | 1.025533 | 2.3E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.0860101 | 0.086320855 | 1.003613 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 1.6481159E-4 | 3.1478686E-4 | 1.9099802 | 1.5E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 7.0614566E-4 | 8.8601856E-4 | 1.2547249 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.008563746 | 0.008791776 | 1.0266274 | 2.3E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.08268159 | 0.082984306 | 1.0036612 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 1.6177126E-4 | 3.11747E-4 | 1.9270852 | 1.5E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 6.9312257E-4 | 8.729978E-4 | 1.2595143 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.008406419 | 0.008634486 | 1.02713 | 2.3E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.08123998 | 0.08154318 | 1.0037321 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 1.6035755E-4 | 3.103335E-4 | 1.9352596 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 6.870671E-4 | 8.669434E-4 | 1.2618032 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.00833326 | 0.008561344 | 1.0273702 | 2.3E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.0805736 | 0.08087701 | 1.0037656 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 1.5818556E-4 | 2.9816342E-4 | 1.8848965 | 1.4E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 6.777634E-4 | 8.4764825E-4 | 1.2506549 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.008220849 | 0.00843904 | 1.0265412 | 2.2E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.079554364 | 0.07984891 | 1.0037024 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 1.5433799E-4 | 2.9431639E-4 | 1.9069601 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 6.612823E-4 | 8.3116983E-4 | 1.2569063 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.0080216825 | 0.008239917 | 1.0272057 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.07774227 | 0.078037396 | 1.0037962 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 1.528404E-4 | 2.92819E-4 | 1.9158483 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 6.548672E-4 | 8.2475593E-4 | 1.2594246 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.007944152 | 0.008162404 | 1.0274733 | 2.2E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.07703035 | 0.0773257 | 1.0038342 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 1.4929463E-4 | 2.7927523E-4 | 1.8706313 | 1.3E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 6.396787E-4 | 7.995763E-4 | 1.2499655 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.007760561 | 0.007968931 | 1.0268499 | 2.1E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.075341605 | 0.07562825 | 1.0038046 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.4248963E-4 | 2.724711E-4 | 1.912217 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 6.105283E-4 | 7.704306E-4 | 1.261908 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.0074081216 | 0.0076165656 | 1.0281373 | 2.1E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.07213904 | 0.07242668 | 1.0039873 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.0130556E-4 | 2.212934E-4 | 2.184415 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 4.3409498E-4 | 5.7403423E-4 | 1.32237 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.005272403 | 0.005461401 | 1.0358467 | 1.9E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.05242354 | 0.052679386 | 1.0048803 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 7.312721E-5 | 1.9311842E-4 | 2.640856 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 3.1336487E-4 | 4.53321E-4 | 1.4466236 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.003808579 | 0.0039978554 | 1.0496974 | 1.9E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.038490273 | 0.03874988 | 1.0067447 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 5.2113515E-5 | 1.521083E-4 | 2.918788 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 2.2332459E-4 | 3.4329778E-4 | 1.5372145 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0027155993 | 0.0028851375 | 1.0624313 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.027904512 | 0.028137814 | 1.0083607 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 3.521366E-5 | 1.2521048E-4 | 3.5557363 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 1.5090697E-4 | 2.6089037E-4 | 1.7288159 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0018357458 | 0.001995452 | 1.086998 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.019283155 | 0.019498913 | 1.0111889 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 3.0013975E-5 | 1.1001158E-4 | 3.665345 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 1.2862499E-4 | 2.2861212E-4 | 1.7773539 | 1.0E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0015648853 | 0.0017046662 | 1.0893234 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.016585512 | 0.01677236 | 1.0112658 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 2.1294489E-5 | 8.129321E-5 | 3.8175704 | 6.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 9.12589E-5 | 1.7125161E-4 | 1.8765467 | 8.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0011105112 | 0.001220389 | 1.0989435 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.0119804805 | 0.012118803 | 1.0115457 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 1.5039052E-5 | 5.503845E-5 | 3.659702 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 6.445149E-5 | 1.1444827E-4 | 1.7757273 | 5.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 7.8441465E-4 | 8.643519E-4 | 1.1019069 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.008524905 | 0.008614138 | 1.0104673 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 2.7353246E-6 | 2.7353246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 1.1722767E-5 | 1.1722767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 1.4271536E-4 | 1.4271536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0016786362 | 0.0016786362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 7.4935923E-7 | 7.4935923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 3.2115356E-6 | 3.2115356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 3.909975E-5 | 3.909975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 4.977215E-4 | 4.977215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 6.5346896E-8 | 6.5346896E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 2.800581E-7 | 2.800581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 3.4097025E-6 | 3.4097025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 4.5695724E-5 | 4.5695724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 6.6211134E-5 | 10.659427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.139994E-4 | 1.5861194 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003555285 | 1.0985577 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 5.5485507E-5 | 10.114422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.0350842E-4 | 4.4026837 | 8.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.4615858E-4 | 1.558881 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0031479276 | 1.1011527 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 5.5485507E-5 | 10.114422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.0350842E-4 | 4.4026837 | 8.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.4615858E-4 | 1.558881 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0031479276 | 1.1011527 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9030173E-6 | 4.4902823E-5 | 9.158201 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1012784E-5 | 9.1011316E-5 | 4.3312354 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.558043E-4 | 4.0576592E-4 | 1.5862358 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025554618 | 0.0028347464 | 1.1092893 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.8802035E-6 | 4.488001E-5 | 9.19634 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.091501E-5 | 9.091355E-5 | 4.3468084 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.546142E-4 | 4.0457599E-4 | 1.5889766 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025435882 | 0.002822876 | 1.1098007 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.7658714E-6 | 4.4765682E-5 | 9.392969 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0425025E-5 | 9.042359E-5 | 4.4270988 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.4864997E-4 | 3.8861518E-4 | 1.5629004 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002403158 | 0.0024840806 | 0.00275341 | 1.1084222 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.1805297E-6 | 4.4180364E-5 | 10.568126 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.7916453E-5 | 8.79152E-5 | 4.9069533 | 7.0E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1811451E-4 | 3.5808395E-4 | 1.6417247 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021793512 | 0.0024288064 | 1.1144631 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2094355E-6 | 2.2209391E-5 | 10.052067 | 2.0E-5 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.468975E-6 | 2.9468785E-5 | 3.1121411 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1527872E-4 | 1.6527296E-4 | 1.4336814 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011521947 | 0.0012620679 | 1.0953599 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 1.9830234E-6 | 1.1983004E-5 | 6.0427947 | 1.0E-5 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.498645E-6 | 1.849856E-5 | 2.1766481 | 1.0E-5 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0346613E-4 | 1.2346407E-4 | 1.19328 | 2.0E-5 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010341848 | 0.0011041125 | 1.0676161 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.535903E-6 | 5.535903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.739755E-5 | 7.739688E-5 | 1.1483634 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.737733E-4 | 7.337328E-4 | 1.0889907 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9228158E-6 | 2.9228158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5584715E-5 | 4.5584362E-5 | 1.2810096 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5579156E-4 | 4.0577378E-4 | 1.1404817 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1666498E-4 | 2.4665848E-4 | 1.1384326 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 9.1916074E-5 | 47.966785 | 9.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 1.08211636E-4 | 13.17652 | 1.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.9996404E-4 | 3.0001192 | 2.0E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012992802 | 1.299826 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 9.1916074E-5 | 47.966785 | 9.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 1.08211636E-4 | 13.17652 | 1.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.9996404E-4 | 3.0001192 | 2.0E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012992802 | 1.299826 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 9.1916074E-5 | 47.966785 | 9.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 1.08211636E-4 | 13.17652 | 1.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.9996404E-4 | 3.0001192 | 2.0E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012992802 | 1.299826 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 9.1916074E-5 | 47.966785 | 9.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 1.08211636E-4 | 13.17652 | 1.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.9996404E-4 | 3.0001192 | 2.0E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012992802 | 1.299826 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.846804E-6 | 7.1846676E-5 | 38.903248 | 7.0E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 7.914861E-6 | 8.791423E-5 | 11.107488 | 8.0E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.63611E-5 | 2.7634375E-4 | 2.8677936 | 1.8E-4 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.6338213E-4 | 0.0012431124 | 1.2903627 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 3.0617408E-5 | 49.588657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 4.264601E-5 | 16.116455 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 1.1221345E-4 | 3.4831562 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.4207866E-4 | 1.3724151 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 3.0617408E-5 | 49.588657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 4.264601E-5 | 16.116455 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 1.1221345E-4 | 3.4831562 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.4207866E-4 | 1.3724151 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 3.0617408E-5 | 49.588657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 4.264601E-5 | 16.116455 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 1.1221345E-4 | 3.4831562 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.4207866E-4 | 1.3724151 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 4.964154E-7 | 3.04964E-5 | 61.43323 | 3.0E-5 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1274927E-6 | 4.212741E-5 | 19.801434 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.5901942E-5 | 9.5900126E-5 | 3.7024302 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.5899155E-4 | 3.5896566E-4 | 1.3860129 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.797009E-7 | 1.0379697E-5 | 27.33651 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6272886E-6 | 2.1627257E-5 | 13.290362 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8964305E-5 | 1.9812076E-5 | 4.9811482E-5 | 2.514198 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8962687E-4 | 1.9810472E-4 | 2.4809482E-4 | 1.2523417 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.5184985E-7 | 1.0251847E-5 | 40.706184 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.0793561E-6 | 2.1079335E-5 | 19.529545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3141094E-5 | 3.314083E-5 | 2.5219233 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3140438E-4 | 1.7139912E-4 | 1.3043638 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 6.640674E-5 | 1.4309433 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.9736278E-4 | 2.5508273 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.615121E-4 | 1.3919616 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0042189388 | 1.0469599 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.03988933 | 1.0067871 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.9736278E-4 | 2.5508273 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.615121E-4 | 1.3919616 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0042189388 | 1.0469599 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.03988933 | 1.0067871 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.466584E-5 | 8.4664054E-5 | 1.895499 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.914113E-4 | 2.3140364E-4 | 1.2089341 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0023279984 | 0.0024177888 | 1.0385698 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023043046 | 0.02317005 | 1.0055116 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.6652036E-5 | 4.665167E-5 | 1.2728262 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.5707086E-4 | 1.6706929E-4 | 1.0636555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019106906 | 0.0019506142 | 1.0208949 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.018946374 | 0.019005237 | 1.0031068 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.3012228E-5 | 4.3011896E-5 | 1.3029081 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4147344E-4 | 1.5147202E-4 | 1.0706747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017211036 | 0.0017610347 | 1.0232009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017080795 | 0.01713977 | 1.0034527 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.1240204E-5 | 4.123989E-5 | 1.3200903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3387986E-4 | 1.4387851E-4 | 1.0746838 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.001628793 | 0.0016587442 | 1.0183885 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.01617143 | 0.016210783 | 1.0024335 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5025554E-5 | 3.5025303E-5 | 1.3995816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.07248045E-4 | 1.1724697E-4 | 1.0932318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013049768 | 0.0013149637 | 1.007653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.012974756 | 0.012994497 | 1.0015215 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.204229E-5 | 3.204207E-5 | 1.4536633 | 1.0E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.44636E-5 | 1.04462655E-4 | 1.1058509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011494982 | 0.0011594866 | 1.0086894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011436739 | 0.01145651 | 1.0017288 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 2.8476405E-5 | 1.5412154 | 1.0E-5 | 7.155907E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 8.918224E-5 | 1.1262797 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 9.736263E-4 | 1.0103674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.009595544 | 0.009615352 | 1.0020643 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 2.6820557E-5 | 1.5944947 | 1.0E-5 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 8.208615E-5 | 1.1387115 | 1.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 8.8730385E-4 | 1.0113884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008739387 | 0.008759212 | 1.0022684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007111594 | 0.0071215234 | 1.0013962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006274986 | 0.0062849233 | 1.0015836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0055010393 | 0.0055109845 | 1.0018078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004608876 | 0.004608876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017071129 | 0.0017071129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 6.0788454E-5 | 5.634303 | 5.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.32785E-4 | 1.3018478 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 6.0788454E-5 | 5.634303 | 5.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.32785E-4 | 1.3018478 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 6.0788454E-5 | 5.634303 | 5.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.32785E-4 | 1.3018478 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.3157456E-5 | 10.501011 | 3.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.3157456E-5 | 10.501011 | 3.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.3157456E-5 | 10.501011 | 3.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793378E-6 | 2.1779302E-5 | 12.240116 | 2.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 3.762549E-5 | 4.934025 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.328369E-4 | 1.4308059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.681211E-4 | 1.0430561 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793378E-6 | 2.1779302E-5 | 12.240116 | 2.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 3.762549E-5 | 4.934025 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.328369E-4 | 1.4308059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.681211E-4 | 1.0430561 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 6.561291E-5 | 1.4384435 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.760751E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 6.561291E-5 | 1.4384435 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.760751E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 6.561291E-5 | 1.4384435 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.760751E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 6.332539E-5 | 1.4615939 | 2.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.532088E-4 | 1.0461462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 6.332539E-5 | 1.4615939 | 2.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.532088E-4 | 1.0461462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.6389784E-8 | 5.6389784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.4167048E-7 | 2.4167048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 2.9423354E-6 | 2.9423354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 2.9423074E-5 | 2.9423074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.516028E-6 | 7.750012E-6 | 8.7749395E-5 | 11.322486 | 8.0E-5 | 3.221115E-5 | 3.3213913E-5 | 1.5320993E-4 | 4.6128235 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9210016E-4 | 4.04305E-4 | 5.542443E-4 | 1.370857 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0039140903 | 0.004035763 | 0.004284754 | 1.0616962 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.425684E-6 | 8.742509E-5 | 11.773338 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.1823976E-5 | 1.5182016E-4 | 4.770622 | 1.2E-4 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.873886E-4 | 5.373305E-4 | 1.3870581 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0038671973 | 0.0041162306 | 1.0643963 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.573029E-6 | 7.657257E-5 | 11.649509 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8169823E-5 | 1.3816672E-4 | 4.904778 | 1.1E-4 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4291396E-4 | 4.8286596E-4 | 1.4081256 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033193815 | 0.003423887 | 0.0036630654 | 1.0698558 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.206103E-6 | 6.620573E-5 | 10.667842 | 6.0E-5 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6597316E-5 | 1.2659466E-4 | 4.759678 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2377453E-4 | 4.4373565E-4 | 1.3705083 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00313433 | 0.003233063 | 0.0034523518 | 1.0678269 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 5.9933354E-6 | 6.599298E-5 | 11.01106 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.5685473E-5 | 1.256829E-4 | 4.8931513 | 1.0E-4 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1267607E-4 | 4.3263854E-4 | 1.3836638 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0030272473 | 0.003122395 | 0.0033417079 | 1.0702387 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.6466583E-6 | 6.5646316E-5 | 11.625694 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.419974E-5 | 1.2419732E-4 | 5.1321754 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.945923E-4 | 4.1455694E-4 | 1.4072226 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028537093 | 0.0029420487 | 0.003151431 | 1.0711688 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.38198E-6 | 6.538166E-5 | 12.148253 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3065426E-5 | 1.2306312E-4 | 5.3353934 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8078567E-4 | 4.0075195E-4 | 1.4272523 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028043387 | 0.0030037777 | 1.0711181 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.185719E-6 | 6.5185406E-5 | 12.570178 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2224322E-5 | 1.222221E-4 | 5.499475 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.7054778E-4 | 3.8051803E-4 | 1.4064724 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027022134 | 0.0028917 | 1.0701227 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.6930472E-6 | 6.4692766E-5 | 13.784811 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0112904E-5 | 1.201109E-4 | 5.9718323 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4484727E-4 | 3.448228E-4 | 1.4083178 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024457942 | 0.002625354 | 1.0734158 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.3912096E-6 | 6.4390944E-5 | 14.663601 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.8819335E-5 | 9.881783E-5 | 5.2508674 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.2910145E-4 | 3.0908312E-4 | 1.3491102 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022308815 | 0.0022886689 | 0.0024483027 | 1.0697496 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.0738128E-6 | 6.407357E-5 | 15.728158 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.745908E-5 | 9.745768E-5 | 5.5820627 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.125437E-4 | 2.925267E-4 | 1.3763132 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021234173 | 0.0022730988 | 1.0704908 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.8577937E-6 | 6.3857566E-5 | 16.55287 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6533299E-5 | 9.653198E-5 | 5.83864 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0127442E-4 | 2.812583E-4 | 1.3973873 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020109338 | 0.0021606323 | 1.0744423 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.493132E-6 | 6.3492924E-5 | 18.176502 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.4970481E-5 | 9.4969284E-5 | 6.3437696 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8225047E-4 | 2.622359E-4 | 1.4388764 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018210218 | 0.001950785 | 1.0712585 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.722684E-6 | 6.272252E-5 | 23.037018 | 6.0E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1668594E-5 | 9.166766E-5 | 7.85593 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4205591E-4 | 2.2204455E-4 | 1.5630785 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014060794 | 0.001419655 | 0.001529499 | 1.0773736 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2195045E-6 | 5.2219395E-5 | 23.5275 | 5.0E-5 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.512128E-6 | 7.951146E-5 | 8.358956 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1580404E-4 | 1.8579593E-4 | 1.6043994 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011574405 | 0.0012573248 | 1.0862975 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2056777E-6 | 3.120564E-5 | 25.882242 | 3.0E-5 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.16718E-6 | 5.516692E-5 | 10.676408 | 5.0E-5 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.290862E-5 | 1.1290547E-4 | 1.7947537 | 5.0E-5 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.289099E-4 | 7.088596E-4 | 1.1271242 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.591372E-7 | 2.0659125E-5 | 31.342678 | 2.0E-5 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8248705E-6 | 4.282476E-5 | 15.159901 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4392273E-5 | 7.43909E-5 | 2.163012 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.4387098E-4 | 4.0385034E-4 | 1.174424 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 1.02406375E-5 | 42.55586 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0313136E-6 | 1.1031303E-5 | 10.6963625 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.255618E-5 | 2.2556054E-5 | 1.7964106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2555576E-4 | 1.4555325E-4 | 1.1592718 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0014925E-8 | 1.0020015E-5 | 500.62714 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.577825E-8 | 1.0085778E-5 | 117.579666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0443497E-6 | 1.1044339E-5 | 10.575326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 2.0443353E-5 | 1.9575274 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.569786E-4 | 3.569529E-4 | 1.3890375 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008752 | 0.001220743 | 1.1088842 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01332158 | 0.013489316 | 1.0125912 | 1.7E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.12448202 | 0.124700904 | 1.0017583 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.569786E-4 | 3.569529E-4 | 1.3890375 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008752 | 0.001220743 | 1.1088842 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01332158 | 0.013489316 | 1.0125912 | 1.7E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.12448202 | 0.124700904 | 1.0017583 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 2.3247252E-4 | 3.3244927E-4 | 1.4300584 | 1.0E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 9.95933E-4 | 0.0011158134 | 1.12037 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.012058683 | 0.012226633 | 1.0139277 | 1.7E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.113489494 | 0.11371112 | 1.0019529 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 2.3193125E-4 | 3.3190806E-4 | 1.4310622 | 1.0E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 9.93615E-4 | 0.0011134957 | 1.1206511 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.012030774 | 0.0121987285 | 1.0139605 | 1.7E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.11325201 | 0.11347369 | 1.0019574 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.2412052E-4 | 3.240981E-4 | 1.4460886 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 9.601654E-4 | 0.0010800502 | 1.1248585 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.01162794 | 0.011795963 | 1.01445 | 1.7E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.10974446 | 0.10996702 | 1.002028 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.2135138E-4 | 3.2132925E-4 | 1.4516704 | 1.0E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 9.4830635E-4 | 0.0010681925 | 1.1264213 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.011485087 | 0.011653135 | 1.0146317 | 1.7E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.10849391 | 0.108716786 | 1.0020543 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.1907069E-4 | 3.190488E-4 | 1.4563737 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 9.38539E-4 | 0.0010584263 | 1.1277384 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.011367415 | 0.011535483 | 1.014785 | 1.7E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.1074642 | 0.10768734 | 1.0020764 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.1768987E-4 | 3.176681E-4 | 1.459269 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 9.326255E-4 | 0.0010525136 | 1.128549 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.011296167 | 0.011464247 | 1.0148793 | 1.7E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.10684245 | 0.10706574 | 1.0020899 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.1586502E-4 | 3.158434E-4 | 1.4631525 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 9.248102E-4 | 0.0010446992 | 1.1296364 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.011201998 | 0.0113700945 | 1.0150058 | 1.7E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.10602041 | 0.10624391 | 1.002108 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.115913E-4 | 3.0157226E-4 | 1.4252583 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 9.0650714E-4 | 0.0010164074 | 1.1212349 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.010981427 | 0.011139669 | 1.01441 | 1.6E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.10406596 | 0.104280986 | 1.0020663 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 1.8463642E-4 | 2.746198E-4 | 1.4873545 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 7.91061E-4 | 9.009739E-4 | 1.1389438 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.0095890695 | 0.009747535 | 1.0165256 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.091673866 | 0.09189186 | 1.002378 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 1.8168509E-4 | 2.7166874E-4 | 1.4952726 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 7.7842E-4 | 8.883344E-4 | 1.1412019 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.00943651 | 0.009595 | 1.0167954 | 1.6E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.09027163 | 0.09048996 | 1.0024186 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 1.6489608E-4 | 2.5488125E-4 | 1.5457083 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 7.06508E-4 | 8.1643026E-4 | 1.1555853 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.008568198 | 0.008726828 | 1.0185137 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.08252404 | 0.08273506 | 1.002557 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 1.5108388E-4 | 2.4107029E-4 | 1.5956056 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 6.4734346E-4 | 7.5727224E-4 | 1.1698153 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.007853281 | 0.008012024 | 1.0202136 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.076064855 | 0.07627736 | 1.0027938 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 9.922378E-5 | 1.8921484E-4 | 1.9069506 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 4.25176E-4 | 5.351292E-4 | 1.2586064 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.005164334 | 0.005323508 | 1.0308217 | 1.6E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.051232267 | 0.051441 | 1.0040742 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 7.30683E-5 | 1.6306172E-4 | 2.2316344 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 3.1311245E-4 | 4.2307802E-4 | 1.3512014 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.003805517 | 0.0039649084 | 1.0418842 | 1.6E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.038269363 | 0.03848094 | 1.0055287 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 5.314526E-5 | 1.2314154E-4 | 2.3170748 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 2.277456E-4 | 3.177251E-4 | 1.3950878 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.00276929 | 0.0029089022 | 1.0504144 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.02822393 | 0.028408568 | 1.0065418 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 3.5740675E-5 | 9.573853E-5 | 2.6786995 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 1.5316534E-4 | 2.3315308E-4 | 1.5222313 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0018631953 | 0.0019929532 | 1.0696427 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.019347167 | 0.019513877 | 1.0086168 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 2.8360724E-5 | 8.8359026E-5 | 3.115542 | 6.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 1.215403E-4 | 2.0153058E-4 | 1.6581379 | 8.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0014787497 | 0.0015985722 | 1.0810297 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.015547765 | 0.015705278 | 1.0101309 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 1.9708821E-5 | 5.9708032E-5 | 3.029508 | 4.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 8.4463645E-5 | 1.4445858E-4 | 1.7103049 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0010278601 | 0.0011177675 | 1.0874705 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.010998373 | 0.0111071635 | 1.0098915 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 1.5612382E-5 | 4.5611912E-5 | 2.9215217 | 3.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 6.69085E-5 | 1.0690582E-4 | 1.5977914 | 4.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 8.143067E-4 | 8.8424975E-4 | 1.0858927 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.008778233 | 0.008847619 | 1.0079043 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 3.5009464E-6 | 3.5009464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 1.500397E-5 | 1.500397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 1.8265804E-4 | 1.8265804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0020670881 | 0.0020670881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 7.808399E-7 | 7.808399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 3.3464526E-6 | 3.3464526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 4.07423E-5 | 4.07423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 5.0380256E-4 | 5.0380256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 1.2012623E-8 | 1.2012623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 5.148267E-8 | 5.148267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 6.268013E-7 | 6.268013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 6.842574E-6 | 6.842574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 8.729542E-5 | 5.0469613 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.8411854E-4 | 2.4838357 | 1.1E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010520526 | 1.1661124 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009354807 | 1.0249702 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880206E-6 | 6.9879614E-5 | 7.072688 | 6.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234307E-5 | 1.1234011E-4 | 2.653093 | 7.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1540806E-4 | 5.953668E-4 | 1.1551368 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052778013 | 0.0053872205 | 1.020732 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880206E-6 | 6.9879614E-5 | 7.072688 | 6.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234307E-5 | 1.1234011E-4 | 2.653093 | 7.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1540806E-4 | 5.953668E-4 | 1.1551368 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052778013 | 0.0053872205 | 1.020732 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 8.164309E-6 | 4.8163984E-5 | 5.8993335 | 4.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 3.4989433E-5 | 7.4988035E-5 | 2.1431623 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 4.2591398E-4 | 4.6589694E-4 | 1.0938756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.0043865484 | 0.004456241 | 1.0158879 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 8.040127E-6 | 4.8039805E-5 | 5.975006 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 3.4457236E-5 | 7.445586E-5 | 2.1608193 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 4.1943698E-4 | 4.594202E-4 | 1.095326 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.0043220315 | 0.004391729 | 1.016126 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 6.9777693E-6 | 4.697749E-5 | 6.732451 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 2.9904384E-5 | 6.990319E-5 | 2.3375566 | 4.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 3.640252E-4 | 4.0401064E-4 | 1.1098425 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0037692885 | 0.0038290625 | 1.0158582 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 6.9694397E-6 | 4.6969162E-5 | 6.7393026 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 2.9868685E-5 | 6.986749E-5 | 2.3391552 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 3.6359075E-4 | 4.0357618E-4 | 1.1099738 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0037649586 | 0.0038247327 | 1.0158764 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 6.8540453E-6 | 4.6853773E-5 | 6.8359294 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 2.937415E-5 | 6.9372974E-5 | 2.3617015 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 3.5757176E-4 | 3.9755745E-4 | 1.1118257 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0037046394 | 0.0037644173 | 1.0161359 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 6.815862E-6 | 4.681559E-5 | 6.8686233 | 4.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 2.921051E-5 | 6.9209345E-5 | 2.3693302 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 3.555801E-4 | 3.9556588E-4 | 1.1124523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0036845473 | 0.003744326 | 1.0162243 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 6.785375E-6 | 4.6785102E-5 | 6.894992 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 2.9079854E-5 | 6.907869E-5 | 2.3754828 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 3.5398986E-4 | 3.939757E-4 | 1.1129576 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0036685627 | 0.0037283425 | 1.0162952 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 6.7499745E-6 | 4.6749705E-5 | 6.925908 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 2.8928143E-5 | 6.892699E-5 | 2.3826966 | 4.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 3.521434E-4 | 3.921293E-4 | 1.1135501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0036500972 | 0.003709878 | 1.0163779 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 6.722972E-6 | 4.6722704E-5 | 6.9497094 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 2.8812421E-5 | 6.881127E-5 | 2.38825 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 3.5073492E-4 | 3.9072087E-4 | 1.1140063 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.003635893 | 0.003695675 | 1.0164422 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 5.962456E-6 | 4.5962217E-5 | 7.7086053 | 4.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 2.5553132E-5 | 6.555211E-5 | 2.5653257 | 4.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 3.1106506E-4 | 3.5105261E-4 | 1.1285504 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0032353494 | 0.0032951555 | 1.0184852 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 5.4354305E-6 | 4.5435212E-5 | 8.359083 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 2.3294495E-5 | 6.329356E-5 | 2.717104 | 4.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 2.835736E-4 | 3.2356227E-4 | 1.1410168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0029506292 | 0.003010452 | 1.0202746 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 3.4146035E-6 | 4.3414468E-5 | 12.714351 | 4.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 1.46339335E-5 | 5.4633347E-5 | 3.733333 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 1.7815361E-4 | 2.1814648E-4 | 1.2244854 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0018557585 | 0.0019056656 | 1.0268931 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 5.717053E-7 | 5.717053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 2.4501635E-6 | 2.4501635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 2.9830335E-5 | 2.9830335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 3.1325972E-4 | 3.2325657E-4 | 1.0319124 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 2.1444126E-8 | 2.1444126E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 9.19034E-8 | 9.19034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 1.1189234E-6 | 1.1189234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 1.3199692E-5 | 1.3199692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 3.4907133E-10 | 3.4907133E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.4960195E-9 | 1.4960195E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.821404E-8 | 1.821404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 2.303528E-7 | 2.303528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 7.699532E-5 | 4.530112 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 1.6283288E-4 | 2.2355044 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010063552 | 1.1352496 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009125702 | 1.0244778 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 7.699532E-5 | 4.530112 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 1.6283288E-4 | 2.2355044 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010063552 | 1.1352496 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009125702 | 1.0244778 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 7.699532E-5 | 4.530112 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 1.6283288E-4 | 2.2355044 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010063552 | 1.1352496 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009125702 | 1.0244778 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 7.699532E-5 | 4.530112 | 6.0E-5 | 1.03585466E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 1.6283288E-4 | 2.2355044 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012604233 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010063552 | 1.1352496 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012532983 | 0.008907662 | 0.009125702 | 1.0244778 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 1.671139E-5 | 6.6710556E-5 | 3.9919212 | 5.0E-5 | 9.8013195E-5 | 7.161829E-5 | 1.5161256E-4 | 2.1169531 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011926574 | 8.71606E-4 | 9.815102E-4 | 1.1260939 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011862768 | 0.00876028 | 0.00896844 | 1.0237619 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 1.661248E-5 | 6.661165E-5 | 4.0097356 | 5.0E-5 | 9.716418E-5 | 7.119441E-5 | 1.5118871E-4 | 2.1236038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011823318 | 8.664493E-4 | 9.76354E-4 | 1.1268449 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011760611 | 0.008709119 | 0.00891729 | 1.0239027 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 1.5464626E-5 | 4.5464163E-5 | 2.9398813 | 3.0E-5 | 9.118244E-5 | 6.6275294E-5 | 1.2627132E-4 | 1.9052547 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011095807 | 8.066046E-4 | 8.865401E-4 | 1.0991012 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011040569 | 0.008115167 | 0.008293706 | 1.0220007 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 1.4199101E-5 | 4.4198674E-5 | 3.1127799 | 3.0E-5 | 8.445307E-5 | 6.085188E-5 | 1.2084823E-4 | 1.9859408 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010277311 | 7.406209E-4 | 8.2056166E-4 | 1.1079375 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010229911 | 0.007459908 | 0.007618714 | 1.021288 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.3750474E-5 | 4.375006E-5 | 3.1817129 | 3.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 5.892928E-5 | 1.0892633E-4 | 1.8484247 | 5.0E-5 | 9.775903E-4 | 7.1722886E-4 | 7.871787E-4 | 1.0975279 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009733009 | 0.0072275233 | 0.007376439 | 1.020604 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.2858261E-5 | 4.2857875E-5 | 3.3331006 | 3.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 5.5105673E-5 | 1.0510292E-4 | 1.9072976 | 5.0E-5 | 9.158276E-4 | 6.707059E-4 | 7.4065896E-4 | 1.1042976 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0067651365 | 0.0069141216 | 1.0220225 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.2189894E-5 | 4.2189527E-5 | 3.461025 | 3.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 5.224136E-5 | 1.0223875E-4 | 1.957046 | 5.0E-5 | 8.759337E-4 | 6.358538E-4 | 7.058093E-4 | 1.1100183 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008724891 | 0.0064184302 | 0.0065674675 | 1.0232202 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.1739278E-5 | 4.1738927E-5 | 3.5554934 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 5.0310227E-5 | 1.0030771E-4 | 1.9937837 | 5.0E-5 | 8.521265E-4 | 6.1235565E-4 | 6.8231276E-4 | 1.1142427 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008488664 | 0.0061845756 | 0.0063336478 | 1.0241039 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.123147E-5 | 4.123113E-5 | 3.6710362 | 3.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 4.8133985E-5 | 9.813158E-5 | 2.038717 | 5.0E-5 | 8.2304585E-4 | 5.858745E-4 | 6.5583346E-4 | 1.1194096 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008200042 | 0.005921046 | 0.006050276 | 1.0218256 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.0753801E-5 | 4.075348E-5 | 3.7896814 | 3.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 4.6086905E-5 | 9.60846E-5 | 2.0848567 | 5.0E-5 | 7.854473E-4 | 5.609643E-4 | 6.30925E-4 | 1.1247151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00782677 | 0.0056727044 | 0.0058019673 | 1.0227867 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.0619593E-5 | 4.0619274E-5 | 3.8249369 | 3.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 4.551175E-5 | 9.550948E-5 | 2.0985672 | 5.0E-5 | 7.7653467E-4 | 5.539654E-4 | 6.239266E-4 | 1.1262916 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0077382675 | 0.005602776 | 0.0057221036 | 1.0212979 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.02836E-5 | 4.0283292E-5 | 3.9172363 | 3.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 4.4071832E-5 | 9.4069626E-5 | 2.1344616 | 5.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 5.364431E-4 | 6.0640555E-4 | 1.1304191 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0054278895 | 0.0055372925 | 1.0201557 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 8.655835E-6 | 3.8655573E-5 | 4.4658403 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 3.7095906E-5 | 7.7094424E-5 | 2.078246 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 4.515494E-4 | 5.115223E-4 | 1.1328158 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006634211 | 0.004579579 | 0.0046592127 | 1.0173888 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 6.5262975E-6 | 3.65261E-5 | 5.596757 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 2.7969549E-5 | 5.7968708E-5 | 2.072565 | 3.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 3.4047617E-4 | 3.9045914E-4 | 1.1468031 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0034679368 | 0.0035277288 | 1.0172414 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 4.9876808E-6 | 1.49876305E-5 | 3.00493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 2.13756E-5 | 3.1375384E-5 | 1.4678131 | 1.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 2.6021688E-4 | 2.9020908E-4 | 1.1152585 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003661789 | 0.0026544589 | 0.0026943525 | 1.015029 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 3.1431132E-6 | 1.3143082E-5 | 4.181549 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 1.3470416E-5 | 2.3470282E-5 | 1.7423576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 1.6399E-4 | 1.8398672E-4 | 1.1219387 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0016714197 | 0.0016913863 | 1.0119458 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.266753E-6 | 1.126674E-5 | 8.894189 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289303E-6 | 1.5428875E-5 | 2.8419735 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.6095236E-5 | 7.609457E-5 | 1.1512868 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7326706E-4 | 6.832603E-4 | 1.014843 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.304427E-6 | 9.779858E-6 | 5.977937E-5 | 6.1124983 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9875507E-5 | 4.191312E-5 | 1.1191019E-4 | 2.6700513 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8537613E-4 | 5.1019335E-4 | 6.3013216E-4 | 1.2350849 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0048431735 | 0.0050958227 | 0.005304753 | 1.0410002 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 7.536929E-6 | 7.927707E-6 | 4.792739E-5 | 6.045555 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2300723E-5 | 3.397555E-5 | 8.397385E-5 | 2.4715965 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9319033E-4 | 4.135922E-4 | 5.135509E-4 | 1.2416841 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039249538 | 0.004133613 | 0.0043128687 | 1.0433655 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.2853722E-6 | 4.728508E-5 | 6.4904137 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.1222753E-5 | 8.122119E-5 | 2.6013463 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 3.8008866E-4 | 4.7005445E-4 | 1.2366968 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0037997297 | 0.003969084 | 1.04457 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 2.8925517E-6 | 1.2892523E-5 | 4.457145 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.2396596E-5 | 2.239647E-5 | 1.8066632 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.5091887E-4 | 1.7091585E-4 | 1.1325015 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0015118286 | 0.0015517682 | 1.026418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 2.8770821E-6 | 1.2877053E-5 | 4.4757338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.2330298E-5 | 2.2330176E-5 | 1.8110003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.5011182E-4 | 1.7010882E-4 | 1.133214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.001503769 | 0.0015437088 | 1.0265598 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 2.8597196E-6 | 1.2859691E-5 | 4.496836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.2255889E-5 | 2.2255766E-5 | 1.8159243 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.49206E-4 | 1.6920302E-4 | 1.1340228 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.001494723 | 0.0015346633 | 1.0267208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 2.83022E-6 | 1.2830192E-5 | 4.533284 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.21294615E-5 | 2.2129341E-5 | 1.8244289 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.4766697E-4 | 1.6766401E-4 | 1.13542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0014793533 | 0.0015192941 | 1.0269989 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 2.8006261E-6 | 1.2800598E-5 | 4.57062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.20026325E-5 | 2.2002512E-5 | 1.8331406 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.4612303E-4 | 1.5612156E-4 | 1.0684255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0014639343 | 0.0014938904 | 1.0204628 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.326883E-6 | 1.232686E-5 | 5.2975845 | 1.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 9.972321E-6 | 1.9972222E-5 | 2.0027657 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.2140688E-4 | 1.3140567E-4 | 1.0823576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0012170577 | 0.0012470211 | 1.0246196 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 1.5705504E-6 | 1.1570534E-5 | 7.3671846 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1764263E-6 | 6.730914E-6 | 1.6730846E-5 | 2.4856722 | 1.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 8.194599E-5 | 9.194517E-5 | 1.1220216 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 8.227675E-4 | 8.527428E-4 | 1.0364323 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.1271813E-6 | 1.112717E-5 | 9.871676 | 1.0E-5 | 4.317169E-6 | 4.8307693E-6 | 1.4830721E-5 | 3.0700538 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 5.8813137E-5 | 6.881255E-5 | 1.17002 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 5.91578E-4 | 6.1156624E-4 | 1.0337878 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.010405E-6 | 1.1010395E-5 | 10.897012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.834468E-6 | 4.3303003E-6 | 1.4330257E-5 | 3.3092988 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 5.272024E-5 | 6.271971E-5 | 1.1896704 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 5.306796E-4 | 5.50669E-4 | 1.0376675 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 6.2962005E-7 | 6.2962005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 2.698369E-6 | 2.698369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 3.2852164E-5 | 3.2852164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 3.320674E-4 | 3.320674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 5.529882E-7 | 5.529882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 2.3699472E-6 | 2.3699472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 2.8853743E-5 | 2.8853743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 2.920943E-4 | 2.920943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 4.792952E-7 | 4.792952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 2.0541206E-6 | 2.0541206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 2.5008647E-5 | 2.5008647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 2.53646E-4 | 2.53646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 4.6230437E-7 | 4.6230437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 1.981303E-6 | 1.981303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 2.4122113E-5 | 2.4122113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 2.4476176E-4 | 2.4476176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 4.374364E-7 | 4.374364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 1.8747262E-6 | 1.8747262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 2.2824568E-5 | 2.2824568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 2.3173736E-4 | 2.3173736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 2.565504E-7 | 2.565504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 1.0995012E-6 | 1.0995012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 1.3386349E-5 | 1.3386349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 1.3722414E-4 | 1.3722414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 6.1936596E-8 | 6.1936596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 2.654425E-7 | 2.654425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 3.2317582E-6 | 3.2317582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 3.301786E-5 | 3.301786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 2.024543E-9 | 2.024543E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 8.676613E-9 | 8.676613E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 1.0563775E-7 | 1.0563775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 1.0908037E-6 | 1.0908037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 6.0745497E-5 | 1.9756933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 1.717596E-4 | 1.303531 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017031012 | 1.0622729 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 6.0745497E-5 | 1.9756933 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 1.717596E-4 | 1.303531 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017031012 | 1.0622729 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 2.337295E-5 | 1.7477608 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 6.731145E-5 | 1.1744735 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.975618E-4 | 7.275409E-4 | 1.042977 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0069945934 | 1.0057113 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 2.337295E-5 | 1.7477608 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 6.731145E-5 | 1.1744735 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.975618E-4 | 7.275409E-4 | 1.042977 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0069945934 | 1.0057113 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0492516E-5 | 2.049241E-5 | 1.9530503 | 1.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.4967182E-5 | 5.496673E-5 | 1.2223744 | 1.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.473435E-4 | 5.6733255E-4 | 1.0365201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0054605217 | 0.0054804124 | 1.0036427 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 8.918899E-6 | 1.8918809E-5 | 2.1212046 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8223312E-5 | 4.822293E-5 | 1.2616104 | 1.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.6527336E-4 | 4.8526406E-4 | 1.0429655 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0046433853 | 0.0046632923 | 1.0042872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.394953E-6 | 7.394953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.1692285E-5 | 3.1692285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.8578772E-4 | 3.9578386E-4 | 1.025911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0038514284 | 0.0038613898 | 1.0025865 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.6257676E-6 | 6.6257676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.839585E-5 | 2.839585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.4566678E-4 | 3.556633E-4 | 1.0289196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0034515047 | 0.0034614704 | 1.0028872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.0183958E-6 | 5.0183958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.150724E-5 | 2.150724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6182053E-4 | 2.718179E-4 | 1.038184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026152546 | 0.0026252286 | 1.0038137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.8274534E-6 | 3.8274534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6403274E-5 | 1.6403274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 1.9969253E-4 | 2.0969052E-4 | 1.050067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.001995226 | 0.002005206 | 1.005002 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.5444276E-6 | 2.5444276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.0904645E-5 | 1.0904645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.327562E-4 | 1.327562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013267935 | 0.0013267935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0462892E-6 | 2.0462892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.769782E-6 | 8.769782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0676708E-4 | 1.0676708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.001067179 | 0.001067179 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2220278E-6 | 1.2220278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.237252E-6 | 5.237252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.3761756E-5 | 6.3761756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.374425E-4 | 6.374425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 6.842616E-7 | 6.842616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 2.9325465E-6 | 2.9325465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.5703186E-5 | 3.5703186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.569764E-4 | 3.569764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.087159E-7 | 5.087159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.654373E-5 | 2.654373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.654061E-4 | 2.654061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 6.0900165E-5 | 5.5868063 | 5.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.06713815E-4 | 2.2842796 | 6.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 6.8857893E-4 | 1.2109071 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005875376 | 1.0332227 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 6.0900165E-5 | 5.5868063 | 5.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.06713815E-4 | 2.2842796 | 6.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 6.8857893E-4 | 1.2109071 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005875376 | 1.0332227 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 6.0900165E-5 | 5.5868063 | 5.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.06713815E-4 | 2.2842796 | 6.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 6.8857893E-4 | 1.2109071 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005875376 | 1.0332227 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 6.2460203E-6 | 4.6245772E-5 | 7.404038 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 2.6768395E-5 | 6.676732E-5 | 2.4942594 | 4.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 3.258588E-4 | 3.8583923E-4 | 1.1840688 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0032665501 | 0.0033761908 | 1.0335647 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 6.2305508E-6 | 4.6230303E-5 | 7.419938 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 2.67021E-5 | 6.670103E-5 | 2.4979696 | 4.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 3.2505186E-4 | 3.8503238E-4 | 1.184526 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0032585047 | 0.0033681463 | 1.0336478 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 5.562456E-6 | 2.5562345E-5 | 4.5955143 | 2.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 2.383889E-5 | 4.3838412E-5 | 1.8389453 | 2.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 2.9020171E-4 | 3.20193E-4 | 1.1033463 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0029109314 | 0.0029807277 | 1.0239773 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 5.0276717E-6 | 2.5027572E-5 | 4.9779644 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.1546995E-5 | 4.1546566E-5 | 1.9281837 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 2.6230467E-4 | 2.922968E-4 | 1.1143408 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.002632626 | 0.0027024418 | 1.0265194 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 4.294076E-6 | 2.429399E-5 | 5.6575594 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 1.8403058E-5 | 3.840269E-5 | 2.086756 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 2.2403516E-4 | 2.4403067E-4 | 1.0892518 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.002250712 | 0.0023005994 | 1.0221652 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 4.057579E-6 | 2.4057497E-5 | 5.9290276 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 1.7389515E-5 | 3.7389167E-5 | 2.1500983 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.1169767E-4 | 2.3169344E-4 | 1.0944544 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002127575 | 0.0021774687 | 1.023451 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 3.3425258E-6 | 1.3342492E-5 | 3.9917395 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 1.43250345E-5 | 2.432489E-5 | 1.6980686 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 1.7439378E-4 | 1.8439203E-4 | 1.0573314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0017551434 | 0.0017950732 | 1.0227501 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 2.6705661E-6 | 1.2670539E-5 | 4.7445145 | 1.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.1445235E-5 | 2.1445121E-5 | 1.8737161 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 1.3933713E-4 | 1.4933574E-4 | 1.0717584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0014050263 | 0.0014349842 | 1.0213219 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 2.1690198E-6 | 1.2168998E-5 | 5.6103673 | 1.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 9.295767E-6 | 1.9295674E-5 | 2.0757484 | 1.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.13170296E-4 | 1.2316916E-4 | 1.0883524 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0011436082 | 0.001173574 | 1.0262028 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 1.6995115E-6 | 1.6995115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 7.2836006E-6 | 7.2836006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 8.867433E-5 | 8.867433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 8.9883513E-4 | 9.088261E-4 | 1.0111156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 1.578354E-6 | 1.578354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 6.7643577E-6 | 6.7643577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 8.2353035E-5 | 8.2353035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 8.354835E-4 | 8.454752E-4 | 1.0119591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 1.4966478E-6 | 1.4966478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 6.4141896E-6 | 6.4141896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 7.809005E-5 | 7.809005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 7.926E-4 | 8.025921E-4 | 1.0126067 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 1.4499559E-6 | 1.4499559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 6.2140825E-6 | 6.2140825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 7.565392E-5 | 7.565392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 7.679944E-4 | 7.7798666E-4 | 1.013011 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 1.2077671E-6 | 1.2077671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 5.176135E-6 | 5.176135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 6.3017695E-5 | 6.3017695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 6.405066E-4 | 6.5050024E-4 | 1.0156026 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 5.888308E-7 | 5.888308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 2.5235584E-6 | 2.5235584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 3.07239E-5 | 3.07239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 3.1580107E-4 | 3.1580107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 1.3484717E-7 | 1.3484717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 5.779163E-7 | 5.779163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 7.0361093E-6 | 7.0361093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 7.1971335E-5 | 7.1971335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 2.193909E-8 | 2.193909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 9.402467E-8 | 9.402467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 1.1447498E-6 | 1.1447498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 1.1690889E-5 | 1.1690889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303642E-4 | 3.6301825E-4 | 1.197936 | 6.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981012 | 0.0013779973 | 1.0615485 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.01569358 | 0.015811697 | 1.0075264 | 1.2E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.149317 | 0.14947861 | 1.0010824 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303642E-4 | 3.6301825E-4 | 1.197936 | 6.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981012 | 0.0013779973 | 1.0615485 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.01569358 | 0.015811697 | 1.0075264 | 1.2E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.149317 | 0.14947861 | 1.0010824 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 2.9946194E-4 | 3.5944398E-4 | 1.2002994 | 6.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0012827971 | 0.0013626945 | 1.0622838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.0155085195 | 0.015626658 | 1.0076177 | 1.2E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.14731796 | 0.14747997 | 1.0010997 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 2.9517547E-4 | 3.5515777E-4 | 1.2032089 | 6.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0012644444 | 0.0013443433 | 1.0631889 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.015288315 | 0.01540648 | 1.0077292 | 1.2E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.14544785 | 0.14561021 | 1.0011163 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 2.4613173E-4 | 3.0611697E-4 | 1.243712 | 6.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0010544289 | 0.0011343445 | 1.0757904 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.01276589 | 0.012884358 | 1.0092801 | 1.2E-4 | 0.093263686 | 0.124084875 | 0.124251306 | 1.0013412 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 2.2977302E-4 | 2.8975925E-4 | 1.2610673 | 6.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 9.843739E-4 | 0.0010642951 | 1.08119 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.011921556 | 0.012040125 | 1.0099458 | 1.2E-4 | 0.086755216 | 0.11634741 | 0.1165153 | 1.001443 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 2.1567354E-4 | 2.756606E-4 | 1.2781383 | 6.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 9.239908E-4 | 0.0010039168 | 1.086501 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.011193442 | 0.011312099 | 1.0106006 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07970774 | 0.10924778 | 0.10941702 | 1.0015491 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 2.0123889E-4 | 2.612268E-4 | 1.2980931 | 6.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 8.6216984E-4 | 9.421008E-4 | 1.0927092 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.010447307 | 0.010566052 | 1.0113662 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07174956 | 0.101687714 | 0.10185839 | 1.0016785 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 1.9420868E-4 | 2.5419702E-4 | 1.308886 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 8.320598E-4 | 9.1199327E-4 | 1.096067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.010083789 | 0.010202579 | 1.0117803 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06264243 | 0.09712002 | 0.09729157 | 1.0017663 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 1.8873929E-4 | 2.4872797E-4 | 1.3178388 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 8.086343E-4 | 8.885696E-4 | 1.0988523 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.009801178 | 0.009920002 | 1.0121235 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05173543 | 0.09363453 | 0.09380674 | 1.0018392 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 1.6763556E-4 | 2.276255E-4 | 1.3578593 | 6.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 7.1824226E-4 | 7.981848E-4 | 1.1113031 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.008709944 | 0.008828899 | 1.0136573 | 1.2E-4 | 0.039192066 | 0.083468914 | 0.08364306 | 1.0020863 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 1.6545111E-4 | 2.254412E-4 | 1.3625848 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 7.088855E-4 | 7.8882877E-4 | 1.1127732 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.00859693 | 0.008715898 | 1.0138385 | 1.2E-4 | 0.038443442 | 0.082412474 | 0.08258682 | 1.0021155 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 1.4941291E-4 | 2.0940395E-4 | 1.4015117 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 6.401858E-4 | 7.201346E-4 | 1.1248838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.007766775 | 0.007885843 | 1.0153304 | 1.2E-4 | 0.034803 | 0.07495435 | 0.07512087 | 1.0022215 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.3846942E-4 | 1.9846112E-4 | 1.4332486 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 5.933072E-4 | 6.732597E-4 | 1.1347574 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.0071999324 | 0.007319068 | 1.0165468 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03284188 | 0.06980841 | 0.06997584 | 1.0023985 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 8.7915665E-5 | 1.479104E-4 | 1.6824123 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 3.7672752E-4 | 4.566974E-4 | 1.212275 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0045771096 | 0.00469656 | 1.0260974 | 1.2E-4 | 0.023241805 | 0.04544797 | 0.045610245 | 1.0035706 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 6.2999214E-5 | 1.2299544E-4 | 1.9523329 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 2.6996888E-4 | 3.4994728E-4 | 1.2962505 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.003281951 | 0.0034015572 | 1.0364436 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.033022452 | 0.033186838 | 1.0049781 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 4.5023247E-5 | 8.502145E-5 | 1.88839 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 1.9294258E-4 | 2.52931E-4 | 1.3109133 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.002346558 | 0.0024463234 | 1.0425156 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.023903316 | 0.02403997 | 1.0057169 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 2.839036E-5 | 5.838951E-5 | 2.0566669 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 1.21667304E-4 | 1.7166122E-4 | 1.4109068 | 5.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0014802952 | 0.001570162 | 1.0607086 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.0153793385 | 0.015497493 | 1.0076827 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 2.1660351E-5 | 5.1659703E-5 | 2.384989 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 9.2826784E-5 | 1.4282214E-4 | 1.5385877 | 5.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.001129581 | 0.0012194794 | 1.0795856 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.011897794 | 0.012016366 | 1.0099659 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 1.4708348E-5 | 2.47082E-5 | 1.679876 | 1.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 6.3034255E-5 | 9.3032366E-5 | 1.4759017 | 3.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 7.671722E-4 | 8.2712615E-4 | 1.0781493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.008231164 | 0.008310505 | 1.0096391 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 1.1573759E-5 | 2.1573644E-5 | 1.8640136 | 1.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 4.9600883E-5 | 6.959989E-5 | 1.4031986 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 6.0372363E-4 | 6.5369345E-4 | 1.0827694 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.006529536 | 0.0065792096 | 1.0076075 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 2.9019798E-6 | 2.9019798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 1.2436997E-5 | 1.2436997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 1.5140994E-4 | 1.5140994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0017074163 | 0.0017074163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 6.364471E-7 | 6.364471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 2.7276276E-6 | 2.7276276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 3.3208365E-5 | 3.3208365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 4.094491E-4 | 4.094491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 3.5567147E-9 | 3.5567147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 1.5243064E-8 | 1.5243064E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 1.8558428E-7 | 1.8558428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 1.9895688E-6 | 1.9895688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7059663E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 7.378739E-5 | 3.1017988 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1596483E-4 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.7194042E-4 | 1.6865575 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014109573 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.014020323 | 0.012353058 | 0.012530834 | 1.0143913 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 7.378739E-5 | 3.1017988 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.7194042E-4 | 1.6865575 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353058 | 0.012530834 | 1.0143913 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 7.378739E-5 | 3.1017988 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.7194042E-4 | 1.6865575 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353058 | 0.012530834 | 1.0143913 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 5.5904162E-5 | 3.5149243 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816183E-5 | 1.1815842E-4 | 1.7334983 | 5.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295882E-4 | 9.195136E-4 | 1.1083976 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276052 | 0.008375225 | 1.011983 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 5.5904162E-5 | 3.5149243 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816183E-5 | 1.1815842E-4 | 1.7334983 | 5.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295882E-4 | 9.195136E-4 | 1.1083976 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276052 | 0.008375225 | 1.011983 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.4507896E-5 | 5.4507316E-5 | 3.7570794 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 6.21754E-5 | 1.0217291E-4 | 1.6433012 | 4.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 7.567551E-4 | 8.0671726E-4 | 1.0660216 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.0075527816 | 0.0076123285 | 1.0078841 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.0396433E-5 | 3.0396226E-5 | 2.9237168 | 2.0E-5 | 4.058515E-5 | 4.455552E-5 | 6.455463E-5 | 1.4488581 | 2.0E-5 | 4.940122E-4 | 5.4235314E-4 | 5.723369E-4 | 1.0552845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.0054189772 | 0.0054587605 | 1.0073415 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 8.978998E-6 | 2.8978819E-5 | 3.2274 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5631605E-5 | 3.8480986E-5 | 5.8480215E-5 | 1.5197172 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3372845E-4 | 4.684287E-4 | 4.884194E-4 | 1.042676 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.004682165 | 0.0047120247 | 1.0063773 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.3664528E-6 | 3.3664528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.4427584E-5 | 1.4427584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.7564316E-4 | 1.7564316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0017561704 | 0.0017661528 | 1.0056843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 1.9722354E-6 | 1.9722354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 8.452411E-6 | 8.452411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.02903425E-4 | 1.02903425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0010291697 | 0.0010291697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.4110369E-6 | 1.4110369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.0472876E-6 | 6.0472876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 7.362328E-5 | 7.362328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 7.3629856E-4 | 7.3629856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.3473384E-6 | 1.3473384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 5.774295E-6 | 5.774295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.029982E-5 | 7.029982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.0307753E-4 | 7.0307753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.2406687E-6 | 1.2406687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.3171407E-6 | 5.3171407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 6.473431E-5 | 6.473431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 6.474468E-4 | 6.474468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.0303654E-6 | 1.0303654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.4158446E-6 | 4.4158446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.376162E-5 | 5.376162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.375668E-4 | 5.375668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 8.5110753E-7 | 8.5110753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.6475988E-6 | 3.6475988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.440864E-5 | 4.440864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.4400763E-4 | 4.4400763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.046981E-7 | 7.046981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.0201313E-6 | 3.0201313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.6769507E-5 | 3.6769507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.676371E-4 | 3.676371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.357429E-7 | 6.357429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.7246097E-6 | 2.7246097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.3171644E-5 | 3.3171644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.316696E-4 | 3.316696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 6.7107608E-6 | 6.7107608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 6.710637E-5 | 6.710637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 7.319766E-5 | 1.6944312 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.3511692E-4 | 1.2700361 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022472754 | 1.007451 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 7.319766E-5 | 1.6944312 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.3511692E-4 | 1.2700361 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022472754 | 1.007451 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 7.319766E-5 | 1.6944312 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.3511692E-4 | 1.2700361 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022472754 | 1.007451 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 5.4959743E-5 | 2.2018692 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.4696499E-4 | 1.3738992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013030652 | 1.0068642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 5.4959743E-5 | 2.2018692 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.4696499E-4 | 1.3738992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013030652 | 1.0068642 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0348958E-5 | 4.034855E-5 | 1.9828314 | 2.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.7206965E-5 | 1.0720522E-4 | 1.2293195 | 2.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010612389 | 0.0011111859 | 1.0470648 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010562957 | 0.0106223235 | 1.0056202 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7407536E-5 | 3.7407186E-5 | 2.1489077 | 2.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.460163E-5 | 9.460014E-5 | 1.2680707 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.07904E-4 | 9.3787676E-4 | 1.0330131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009042776 | 0.009082414 | 1.0043834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5029493E-5 | 3.5029192E-5 | 2.3306968 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.441055E-5 | 8.4409265E-5 | 1.3104881 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.83922E-4 | 8.1389846E-4 | 1.0382391 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.0078121712 | 0.007841937 | 1.0038102 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.2841201E-5 | 3.2840944E-5 | 2.5574667 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5032582E-5 | 7.503148E-5 | 1.363401 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.698198E-4 | 6.997997E-4 | 1.0447582 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0066784443 | 0.006708244 | 1.0044621 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1347151E-5 | 2.1347038E-5 | 1.8812685 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.8629758E-5 | 5.862927E-5 | 1.2056254 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 5.9191E-4 | 6.1189814E-4 | 1.0337689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059036994 | 0.005923582 | 1.0033677 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.86875E-6 | 8.86875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.800839E-5 | 3.800839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6265623E-4 | 4.726516E-4 | 1.0216043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004617171 | 0.0046271244 | 1.0021558 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.412032E-6 | 7.412032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.1765478E-5 | 3.1765478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.8667812E-4 | 3.9667427E-4 | 1.0258512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0038602627 | 0.003870224 | 1.0025805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.1932055E-6 | 6.1932055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.654205E-5 | 2.654205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2310348E-4 | 3.3310024E-4 | 1.0309398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032265296 | 0.0032364973 | 1.0030893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 1.98822E-5 | 1.98822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4204068E-4 | 2.4204068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221688 | 0.002417946 | 0.002417946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014631341 | 0.0014631341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 6.929359E-5 | 3.5913553 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.5268252E-4 | 1.8464825 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010763462 | 1.014927 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 6.929359E-5 | 3.5913553 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.5268252E-4 | 1.8464825 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010763462 | 1.014927 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 6.929359E-5 | 3.5913553 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.5268252E-4 | 1.8464825 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010763462 | 1.014927 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 6.929359E-5 | 3.5913553 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.5268252E-4 | 1.8464825 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010763462 | 1.014927 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 6.929359E-5 | 3.5913553 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.5268252E-4 | 1.8464825 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010763462 | 1.014927 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 1.8607358E-5 | 6.860642E-5 | 3.6870592 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 7.974338E-5 | 1.497378E-4 | 1.8777457 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 9.7044377E-4 | 0.001080337 | 1.1132402 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.010250266 | 0.010408626 | 1.0154494 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 1.8547316E-5 | 6.854639E-5 | 3.6957579 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 7.948608E-5 | 1.4948052E-4 | 1.8805873 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 9.673139E-4 | 0.0010772075 | 1.1136069 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.010219259 | 0.010377624 | 1.0154967 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 1.85377E-5 | 6.853677E-5 | 3.6971564 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 7.9444864E-5 | 1.4943931E-4 | 1.8810441 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 9.6681254E-4 | 0.0010767062 | 1.1136659 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.01021431 | 0.010372676 | 1.0155042 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 1.8436798E-5 | 6.8435875E-5 | 3.7119176 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 7.901246E-5 | 1.4900693E-4 | 1.8858662 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 9.6155267E-4 | 0.0010714469 | 1.1142883 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.010162198 | 0.010320571 | 1.0155846 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 1.838117E-5 | 6.838025E-5 | 3.7201252 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 7.8774065E-5 | 1.4876855E-4 | 1.8885473 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 9.5865276E-4 | 0.0010685473 | 1.1146344 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.010133529 | 0.010291907 | 1.0156292 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 1.832514E-5 | 6.8324225E-5 | 3.7284422 | 5.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 7.853395E-5 | 1.4852844E-4 | 1.8912643 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 9.557319E-4 | 0.0010656267 | 1.114985 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.010104675 | 0.010263058 | 1.0156742 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 1.8214812E-5 | 6.82139E-5 | 3.7449687 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 7.8061144E-5 | 1.4805568E-4 | 1.896663 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 9.499806E-4 | 0.001059876 | 1.1156819 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.010047948 | 0.01020634 | 1.0157636 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 1.8089375E-5 | 6.808847E-5 | 3.7640035 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 7.752359E-5 | 1.4751816E-4 | 1.9028809 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 9.434415E-4 | 0.0010533377 | 1.1164844 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.009983331 | 0.010141734 | 1.0158668 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 1.797178E-5 | 5.797106E-5 | 3.2256715 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 7.701965E-5 | 1.3701503E-4 | 1.778962 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 9.373113E-4 | 0.0010372176 | 1.1065881 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.009922771 | 0.010071283 | 1.0149667 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 1.790509E-5 | 5.7904374E-5 | 3.2339616 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 7.673385E-5 | 1.3672924E-4 | 1.7818636 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 9.338347E-4 | 0.0010337413 | 1.1069853 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.009888388 | 0.010036905 | 1.0150193 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 1.7790117E-5 | 5.7789406E-5 | 3.2483993 | 4.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 7.624114E-5 | 1.3623656E-4 | 1.7869167 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 9.2784106E-4 | 0.0010277482 | 1.1076771 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.009828765 | 0.00997729 | 1.0151113 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 1.756531E-5 | 5.7564608E-5 | 3.277176 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 7.527773E-5 | 1.352732E-4 | 1.7969885 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 9.1612147E-4 | 0.001006039 | 1.0981503 | 9.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.00971101 | 0.009849651 | 1.0142766 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 1.6354754E-5 | 4.6354264E-5 | 2.834299 | 3.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 7.0089925E-5 | 1.2008642E-4 | 1.7133193 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 8.530111E-4 | 9.3294284E-4 | 1.0937054 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.009074177 | 0.009202997 | 1.0141964 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 1.4297918E-5 | 4.429749E-5 | 3.0981777 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 6.127535E-5 | 1.1127229E-4 | 1.8159387 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 7.4577227E-4 | 8.2571263E-4 | 1.1071913 | 8.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.007985725 | 0.008104767 | 1.0149068 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 1.0398871E-5 | 3.0398664E-5 | 2.9232657 | 2.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 4.456583E-5 | 8.4564046E-5 | 1.8975086 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 5.424541E-4 | 6.1241613E-4 | 1.1289731 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.00588871 | 0.005988121 | 1.0168817 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 6.696893E-6 | 2.6696758E-5 | 3.9864397 | 2.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 2.8700653E-5 | 4.870008E-5 | 1.6968282 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 3.4937455E-4 | 3.893606E-4 | 1.1144503 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.0038275467 | 0.0038773553 | 1.0130132 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 3.3232388E-6 | 3.3232388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 1.4242375E-5 | 1.4242375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 1.7338723E-4 | 1.8338549E-4 | 1.0576644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.001917013 | 0.0019369746 | 1.0104129 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 3.3328914E-7 | 3.3328914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 1.4283812E-6 | 1.4283812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 1.7390405E-5 | 1.7390405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 2.1658067E-4 | 2.1658067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2374972E-8 | 5.2374972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446415E-7 | 2.2446415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328476E-6 | 2.7328476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6924714E-5 | 3.6924714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 9.4656314E-4 | 9.965159E-4 | 1.0527726 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002205774 | 0.0040468043 | 0.0041065617 | 1.0147665 | 6.0E-5 | 0.026526777 | 0.04755224 | 0.047628433 | 1.0016024 | 8.0E-5 | 0.23574181 | 0.35127908 | 0.35138285 | 1.0002955 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 8.689319E-4 | 9.188885E-4 | 1.0574919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002035871 | 0.0037154881 | 0.003775265 | 1.0160886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024506707 | 0.043758098 | 0.043834597 | 1.0017482 | 8.0E-5 | 0.21973366 | 0.3292844 | 0.32939172 | 1.0003259 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 6.911447E-4 | 7.411102E-4 | 1.0722938 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0029563007 | 0.0030161233 | 1.0202357 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020479038 | 0.034992166 | 0.035069365 | 1.0022062 | 8.0E-5 | 0.18691239 | 0.2747279 | 0.27484396 | 1.0004224 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 5.796975E-4 | 6.2966853E-4 | 1.0862019 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001483754 | 0.0024802238 | 0.002540075 | 1.0241314 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017915692 | 0.029463122 | 0.029540764 | 1.0026352 | 8.0E-5 | 0.16538206 | 0.23865722 | 0.23877142 | 1.0004785 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 4.5985778E-4 | 5.098348E-4 | 1.1086793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0019680604 | 0.0020279423 | 1.0304269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.023479726 | 0.023557847 | 1.0033273 | 8.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.19767353 | 0.19779387 | 1.0006088 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 3.2683517E-4 | 3.7681882E-4 | 1.1529323 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0013992827 | 0.0014591988 | 1.0428191 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.016784657 | 0.016863314 | 1.0046862 | 8.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.14886051 | 0.14898819 | 1.0008577 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 1.5658994E-4 | 2.0658212E-4 | 1.3192554 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 6.7092053E-4 | 7.3088025E-4 | 1.0893694 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.00813689 | 0.0082162395 | 1.0097518 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.081139885 | 0.08127771 | 1.0016986 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 1.5217435E-4 | 2.0216675E-4 | 1.3285204 | 5.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 6.520099E-4 | 7.119708E-4 | 1.0919632 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.007908959 | 0.007988326 | 1.0100352 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.079146355 | 0.07928448 | 1.0017452 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 1.5064237E-4 | 2.0063485E-4 | 1.331862 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 6.454479E-4 | 7.0540915E-4 | 1.0928987 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.007829726 | 0.0079091 | 1.0101374 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.07843466 | 0.0785729 | 1.0017624 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 1.430911E-4 | 1.9308396E-4 | 1.3493778 | 5.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 6.1310455E-4 | 6.7306776E-4 | 1.0978026 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.007439214 | 0.0075186184 | 1.0106739 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.074873045 | 0.07501181 | 1.0018533 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 1.3361331E-4 | 1.8360662E-4 | 1.3741642 | 5.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 5.7250384E-4 | 6.324695E-4 | 1.1047428 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.006948172 | 0.0070276163 | 1.0114338 | 8.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.07031947 | 0.07045892 | 1.0019832 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 9.1238806E-5 | 1.4123425E-4 | 1.5479624 | 5.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 3.9096538E-4 | 4.509419E-4 | 1.1534063 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0047497107 | 0.0048293304 | 1.0167631 | 8.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.049437106 | 0.04957969 | 1.0028841 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 8.0941994E-5 | 1.3093794E-4 | 1.6176763 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 3.4684862E-4 | 4.068278E-4 | 1.1729261 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.004214793 | 0.0042944555 | 1.0189008 | 8.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.04412469 | 0.04426807 | 1.0032494 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 7.390245E-5 | 1.2389876E-4 | 1.6765176 | 5.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 3.166868E-4 | 3.766678E-4 | 1.1894016 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.00384893 | 0.0039286218 | 1.020705 | 8.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.040139135 | 0.040283114 | 1.003587 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 6.618899E-5 | 1.16185685E-4 | 1.7553626 | 5.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 2.836367E-4 | 3.436197E-4 | 1.2114782 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0034478873 | 0.0035276115 | 1.0231227 | 8.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.03617763 | 0.036322206 | 1.0039963 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 4.4195396E-5 | 9.419319E-5 | 2.1312895 | 5.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 1.8939514E-4 | 2.4938377E-4 | 1.316738 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0023034555 | 0.0023732942 | 1.0303191 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.02491478 | 0.025051292 | 1.0054791 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 4.1289062E-5 | 9.1286995E-5 | 2.2109244 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 1.7694116E-4 | 2.3693054E-4 | 1.3390357 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0021521384 | 0.0022219878 | 1.0324558 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.023315663 | 0.023452397 | 1.0058645 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 2.9393883E-5 | 6.939271E-5 | 2.3607874 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 1.2596771E-4 | 1.7596141E-4 | 1.3968772 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0015325787 | 0.0015924867 | 1.0390897 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.017007673 | 0.017115802 | 1.0063577 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 2.6958343E-5 | 6.695726E-5 | 2.4837308 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 1.15530645E-4 | 1.6552486E-4 | 1.4327356 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0014056787 | 0.0014655944 | 1.042624 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.015592144 | 0.01570043 | 1.0069448 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 2.1734168E-5 | 5.1733514E-5 | 2.3802853 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 9.3143106E-5 | 1.3313939E-4 | 1.4294068 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0011334278 | 0.0011833712 | 1.0440639 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.012536622 | 0.012635368 | 1.0078766 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 1.2890576E-5 | 3.289032E-5 | 2.551501 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 5.5244152E-5 | 7.524305E-5 | 1.3620093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 6.7239016E-4 | 6.9237675E-4 | 1.0297246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.0074765575 | 0.0075063333 | 1.0039825 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 6.1876235E-6 | 6.1876235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 2.6518117E-5 | 2.6518117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 3.2281035E-4 | 3.2281035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.0036860483 | 0.0036960114 | 1.002703 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 4.5329085E-5 | 8.505641 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 8.2838276E-5 | 3.6269507 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.080019E-4 | 1.4674319 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.002936542 | 1.0574564 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.9009222E-6 | 4.4900728E-5 | 9.16169 | 4.0E-5 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1003787E-5 | 8.100252E-5 | 3.8565679 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5569185E-4 | 3.7566115E-4 | 1.4691949 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0024854892 | 0.0025540516 | 0.0027036685 | 1.0585802 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.8845695E-6 | 4.4884375E-5 | 9.1890135 | 4.0E-5 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.0933705E-5 | 8.093245E-5 | 3.8661313 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.548388E-4 | 3.6481075E-4 | 1.4315355 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002477193 | 0.0025455407 | 0.0026752097 | 1.0509397 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.906847E-6 | 4.390669E-5 | 11.238396 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.6743523E-5 | 7.6742515E-5 | 4.5834155 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0383354E-4 | 2.8381724E-4 | 1.3923972 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001980861 | 0.0020364893 | 0.0021362856 | 1.0490041 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.770435E-6 | 4.3770284E-5 | 11.608815 | 4.0E-5 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6158909E-5 | 7.6157936E-5 | 4.7130623 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9671717E-4 | 2.7670144E-4 | 1.4065952 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019116632 | 0.0019654534 | 0.0020652567 | 1.0507789 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.3317529E-6 | 3.3331653E-5 | 10.004239 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.4278863E-5 | 6.427815E-5 | 4.5016294 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.7383139E-4 | 2.4381923E-4 | 1.402619 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0016888938 | 0.0017369651 | 0.0018268089 | 1.0517246 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.181827E-6 | 3.3181732E-5 | 10.428515 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.363633E-5 | 6.363565E-5 | 4.6666255 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6600978E-4 | 2.3599816E-4 | 1.4215919 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001612894 | 0.0016588684 | 0.0017487191 | 1.0541638 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.626107E-6 | 3.2626027E-5 | 12.423724 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.1254696E-5 | 5.1254247E-5 | 4.5540323 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3701734E-4 | 1.8701049E-4 | 1.3648673 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013350984 | 0.0013693332 | 0.001429251 | 1.043757 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.193178E-6 | 2.2193135E-5 | 10.119166 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.3993E-6 | 3.939902E-5 | 4.1916966 | 3.0E-5 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.144305E-4 | 1.5442593E-4 | 1.3495171 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011175112 | 0.0011437184 | 0.0011936612 | 1.0436671 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7622224E-6 | 2.1762187E-5 | 12.349285 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.55236E-6 | 3.7552134E-5 | 4.972238 | 3.0E-5 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.194612E-5 | 1.3194245E-4 | 1.4349973 | 4.0E-5 | 8.990063E-4 | 9.1908313E-4 | 9.690372E-4 | 1.054352 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.746923E-7 | 1.09746825E-5 | 11.259638 | 1.0E-5 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.177246E-6 | 2.4177163E-5 | 5.7878237 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.0856794E-5 | 8.085527E-5 | 1.5898616 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9774844E-4 | 5.084528E-4 | 5.4843246E-4 | 1.0786301 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4091108E-5 | 2.4090967E-5 | 1.7096574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4205484E-4 | 1.4090221E-4 | 1.509008E-4 | 1.0709612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348947E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 9.173907E-5 | 1.4858714 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.1456945E-4 | 1.1889268 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174475 | 0.0033071581 | 1.0278825 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03181665 | 0.031961877 | 1.0045645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 9.173907E-5 | 1.4858714 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.1456945E-4 | 1.1889268 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174475 | 0.0033071581 | 1.0278825 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03181665 | 0.031961877 | 1.0045645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 2.8347278E-5 | 4.8346712E-5 | 1.7055151 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.21483725E-4 | 1.6147886E-4 | 1.3292222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.001478241 | 0.001518182 | 1.0270191 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.014719131 | 0.014778248 | 1.0040163 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134918E-5 | 3.0134715E-5 | 1.4966397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629045E-5 | 9.628959E-5 | 1.1158776 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502193 | 0.0010602088 | 1.0095118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0104836635 | 0.010513349 | 1.0028316 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134918E-5 | 3.0134715E-5 | 1.4966397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629045E-5 | 9.628959E-5 | 1.1158776 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502193 | 0.0010602088 | 1.0095118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0104836635 | 0.010513349 | 1.0028316 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.7351536E-5 | 2.7351361E-5 | 1.5763079 | 1.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 7.4362375E-5 | 8.436163E-5 | 1.1344666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 9.051199E-4 | 9.151108E-4 | 1.0110383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.0090449415 | 0.00906476 | 1.0021912 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 6.9856837E-6 | 6.9856837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 2.9938325E-5 | 2.9938325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5095305E-4 | 3.6444215E-4 | 3.6444215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0036565072 | 0.0036664705 | 1.0027249 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 6.9216026E-6 | 6.9216026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 2.9663695E-5 | 2.9663695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4864116E-4 | 3.6109964E-4 | 3.6109964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480947 | 0.0036231964 | 0.0036331601 | 1.00275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 6.779474E-6 | 6.779474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 2.9054589E-5 | 2.9054589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4314668E-4 | 3.536862E-4 | 3.536862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0035491688 | 0.0035591335 | 1.0028076 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 6.4797873E-6 | 6.4797873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 2.7770244E-5 | 2.7770244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3198006E-4 | 3.380542E-4 | 3.380542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0033930168 | 0.0034029828 | 1.0029372 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 6.1463365E-6 | 6.1463365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 2.6341198E-5 | 2.6341198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.2066077E-4 | 3.2066077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0032192443 | 0.003229212 | 1.0030963 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 5.708193E-6 | 5.708193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 2.4463476E-5 | 2.4463476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0482994E-4 | 2.978059E-4 | 2.978059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0029909227 | 0.0030008927 | 1.0033334 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 4.1209437E-6 | 4.1209437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 1.7661083E-5 | 1.7661083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.150052E-4 | 2.150052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0021628116 | 0.00217279 | 1.0046136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 1.9511103E-6 | 1.9511103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 8.361875E-6 | 8.361875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.01801175E-4 | 1.01801175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0010253101 | 0.0010352999 | 1.0097431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 1.6323593E-6 | 1.6323593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 6.995807E-6 | 6.995807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 8.5170686E-5 | 8.5170686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 8.5818936E-4 | 8.681808E-4 | 1.0116425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 1.5172662E-6 | 1.5172662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 6.502554E-6 | 6.502554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 7.916577E-5 | 7.916577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 7.980075E-4 | 7.980075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.2684197E-6 | 1.2684197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 5.4360735E-6 | 5.4360735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 6.6182234E-5 | 6.6182234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 6.680106E-4 | 6.680106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 8.0926014E-7 | 8.0926014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 3.4682532E-6 | 3.4682532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 4.222518E-5 | 4.222518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 4.2828228E-4 | 4.2828228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 4.773492E-7 | 4.773492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 2.0457808E-6 | 2.0457808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 2.4907102E-5 | 2.4907102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 2.533674E-4 | 2.533674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 2.1815431E-7 | 2.1815431E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 9.3494674E-7 | 9.3494674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.138292E-5 | 1.138292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.1539312E-4 | 1.1539312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.222772E-5 | 7.222645E-5 | 1.7104038 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096353E-4 | 2.2095628E-4 | 1.220999 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010286 | 0.0022808525 | 1.0362667 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888409 | 0.022035126 | 1.0067029 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.222772E-5 | 7.222645E-5 | 1.7104038 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096353E-4 | 2.2095628E-4 | 1.220999 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010286 | 0.0022808525 | 1.0362667 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888409 | 0.022035126 | 1.0067029 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.210165E-5 | 7.210038E-5 | 1.7125312 | 3.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042329E-4 | 2.2041607E-4 | 1.2216609 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944644 | 0.002274289 | 1.0363754 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824962 | 0.021971688 | 1.0067228 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.210165E-5 | 7.210038E-5 | 1.7125312 | 3.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042329E-4 | 2.2041607E-4 | 1.2216609 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944644 | 0.002274289 | 1.0363754 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824962 | 0.021971688 | 1.0067228 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 3.53048E-5 | 6.530374E-5 | 1.8497127 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.5129763E-4 | 1.9129158E-4 | 1.2643396 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0018405111 | 0.0019103822 | 1.0379629 | 7.0E-5 | 0.019048655 | 0.018346062 | 0.018483493 | 1.0074911 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.1658677E-5 | 6.165773E-5 | 1.9475775 | 3.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.3567308E-4 | 1.7566765E-4 | 1.2947863 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0016505845 | 0.0017104854 | 1.0362908 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017543508 | 0.016469438 | 0.016597297 | 1.0077634 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.114075E-5 | 6.113981E-5 | 1.963338 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.3345362E-4 | 1.7344828E-4 | 1.2996897 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0016236029 | 0.0016835056 | 1.0368948 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017365133 | 0.016205674 | 0.016333567 | 1.0078919 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 2.9895731E-5 | 5.989483E-5 | 2.0034578 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.2811835E-4 | 1.6811323E-4 | 1.3121713 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0015587409 | 0.0016186474 | 1.0384326 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016856372 | 0.015564543 | 0.015692519 | 1.0082223 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 2.9378452E-5 | 5.937757E-5 | 2.0211265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.2590167E-4 | 1.6589664E-4 | 1.3176683 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016780337 | 0.001531791 | 0.0015916991 | 1.0391098 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016654192 | 0.015298499 | 0.01542651 | 1.0083675 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 2.8661958E-5 | 5.86611E-5 | 2.0466535 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.2283126E-4 | 1.6282636E-4 | 1.32561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0014944607 | 0.001554371 | 1.0400883 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01638118 | 0.014929839 | 0.015057898 | 1.0085773 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 2.7678501E-5 | 5.7677673E-5 | 2.0838437 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.18616845E-4 | 1.586121E-4 | 1.3371803 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0014432191 | 0.0015031326 | 1.0415137 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015996104 | 0.014424129 | 0.014552254 | 1.0088826 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 2.6569778E-5 | 5.656898E-5 | 2.1290724 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.1386559E-4 | 1.5386104E-4 | 1.3512514 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0013854477 | 0.0014453646 | 1.0432473 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01556781 | 0.013853005 | 0.013971343 | 1.0085424 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 2.377331E-5 | 5.3772597E-5 | 2.2618895 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.0188171E-4 | 1.4187764E-4 | 1.3925722 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0012397185 | 0.0012996441 | 1.048338 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.0124103855 | 0.012509145 | 1.0079578 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 1.9972345E-5 | 4.9971746E-5 | 2.502047 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 8.559302E-5 | 1.2558959E-4 | 1.4672878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0010416079 | 0.0011015454 | 1.0575433 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012712469 | 0.010440433 | 0.01053939 | 1.0094781 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 1.869477E-5 | 4.8694208E-5 | 2.604697 | 3.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 8.011804E-5 | 1.2011484E-4 | 1.4992234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012111551 | 9.750116E-4 | 0.001034953 | 1.0614778 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.009778487 | 0.009867607 | 1.0091139 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 1.6510954E-5 | 4.651046E-5 | 2.8169456 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 7.0759364E-5 | 1.1075654E-4 | 1.5652561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010939965 | 8.6116407E-4 | 9.211124E-4 | 1.0696131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.008644469 | 0.008723777 | 1.0091745 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.0773964E-5 | 4.077364E-5 | 3.7844603 | 3.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 4.617335E-5 | 7.6171964E-5 | 1.6496954 | 3.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 5.620217E-4 | 6.1199354E-4 | 1.0889145 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.005669797 | 0.0057393997 | 1.0122762 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 6.1008004E-6 | 3.6100617E-5 | 5.9173574 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 2.6146026E-5 | 5.6145243E-5 | 2.1473718 | 3.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 3.182815E-4 | 3.6826558E-4 | 1.1570437 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00517007 | 0.0032392235 | 0.0032990293 | 1.018463 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 4.7298568E-6 | 1.472981E-5 | 3.114219 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 2.0270658E-5 | 3.0270456E-5 | 1.4933139 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 2.4676736E-4 | 2.7675997E-4 | 1.121542 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0025160199 | 0.0025559193 | 1.0158582 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 3.089391E-6 | 1.308936E-5 | 4.236874 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 1.324018E-5 | 2.3240047E-5 | 1.7552668 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 1.611873E-4 | 1.8118408E-4 | 1.1240592 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0016422775 | 0.0016622447 | 1.0121582 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.266753E-6 | 1.126674E-5 | 8.894189 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289303E-6 | 1.5428875E-5 | 2.8419735 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.6095236E-5 | 7.609457E-5 | 1.1512868 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7326706E-4 | 6.832603E-4 | 1.014843 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6875173E-4 | 2.9066482E-4 | 3.5064737E-4 | 1.2063633 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011512847 | 0.0012451317 | 0.0013150446 | 1.056149 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013927074 | 0.01505795 | 0.015136745 | 1.0052328 | 8.0E-5 | 0.13085878 | 0.14451307 | 0.14464138 | 1.000888 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 2.9066482E-4 | 3.5064737E-4 | 1.2063633 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0012451317 | 0.0013150446 | 1.056149 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.01505795 | 0.015136745 | 1.0052328 | 8.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.14451307 | 0.14464138 | 1.000888 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 2.8719747E-4 | 3.4718023E-4 | 1.2088555 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0012302857 | 0.0013001997 | 1.0568273 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.0148782795 | 0.014957089 | 1.005297 | 8.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.14254841 | 0.14267704 | 1.0009023 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 2.833201E-4 | 3.4330314E-4 | 1.2117146 | 6.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0012136841 | 0.0012835991 | 1.0576056 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.014678871 | 0.014757697 | 1.00537 | 8.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.14042708 | 0.14055602 | 1.0009181 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 2.3520568E-4 | 2.9519157E-4 | 1.2550359 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0010076399 | 0.0010775694 | 1.0693992 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.012202825 | 0.012281849 | 1.0064758 | 8.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.119344436 | 0.119476534 | 1.0011069 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 2.1931643E-4 | 2.7930326E-4 | 1.2735174 | 6.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 9.3959284E-4 | 0.0010095271 | 1.0744303 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01138221 | 0.0114613 | 1.0069485 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.111670375 | 0.11180362 | 1.0011933 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 2.0564918E-4 | 2.6563683E-4 | 1.291699 | 6.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 8.81059E-4 | 9.509973E-4 | 1.0793798 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.01067599 | 0.010755136 | 1.0074135 | 8.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.10463355 | 0.10476785 | 1.0012835 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 1.9156018E-4 | 2.5154868E-4 | 1.3131576 | 6.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 8.207164E-4 | 8.9065894E-4 | 1.0852213 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.009947335 | 0.01002654 | 1.0079623 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.09711674 | 0.09725217 | 1.0013945 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 1.8490593E-4 | 2.4489485E-4 | 1.3244293 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 7.922157E-4 | 8.621603E-4 | 1.0882897 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.009603071 | 0.009682303 | 1.0082507 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.09269387 | 0.09282997 | 1.0014682 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 1.8011326E-4 | 2.4010245E-4 | 1.3330637 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 7.7168795E-4 | 8.4163394E-4 | 1.0906402 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.009355313 | 0.009434565 | 1.0084713 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.089495234 | 0.08963181 | 1.0015261 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 1.6010946E-4 | 2.2009986E-4 | 1.3746836 | 6.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 6.8600493E-4 | 7.559569E-4 | 1.1019701 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.0083205225 | 0.008399857 | 1.0095348 | 8.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.07978473 | 0.079922765 | 1.0017301 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 1.5810183E-4 | 2.1809235E-4 | 1.3794422 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 6.7740533E-4 | 7.473579E-4 | 1.1032655 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.008216617 | 0.008295959 | 1.0096563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.07880478 | 0.07894297 | 1.0017534 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.4245807E-4 | 2.0244952E-4 | 1.4211166 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 6.103936E-4 | 6.803509E-4 | 1.1146101 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.0074065817 | 0.007485989 | 1.0107212 | 8.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.07150066 | 0.07163065 | 1.0018181 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.3189312E-4 | 1.9188519E-4 | 1.4548538 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 5.651355E-4 | 6.3509593E-4 | 1.1237941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.0068591554 | 0.006938607 | 1.0115832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.06651612 | 0.066646814 | 1.0019648 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 8.146637E-5 | 1.4146148E-4 | 1.7364402 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 3.4909538E-4 | 4.1907094E-4 | 1.2004483 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.00424205 | 0.0043217107 | 1.0187788 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.04213175 | 0.042256273 | 1.0029556 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 5.6700756E-5 | 1.1669735E-4 | 2.058127 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 2.429808E-4 | 3.129638E-4 | 1.2880186 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0029543117 | 0.0030340753 | 1.0269991 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.029737718 | 0.029863853 | 1.0042416 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 3.9024962E-5 | 7.9023404E-5 | 2.024945 | 4.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 1.672392E-4 | 2.1723083E-4 | 1.298923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0020342486 | 0.0020941265 | 1.0294349 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.020739276 | 0.020837203 | 1.0047218 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 2.2754188E-5 | 5.2753505E-5 | 2.3184087 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 9.751431E-5 | 1.375104E-4 | 1.4101562 | 4.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0011865923 | 0.0012365329 | 1.0420874 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.012373118 | 0.012452128 | 1.0063857 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 1.643652E-5 | 4.6436027E-5 | 2.825174 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 7.044033E-5 | 1.1043751E-4 | 1.5678165 | 4.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 8.5727434E-4 | 9.072315E-4 | 1.0582744 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.009091416 | 0.00917069 | 1.0087196 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 1.0939737E-5 | 2.0939628E-5 | 1.9140887 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 4.6883746E-5 | 6.688281E-5 | 1.4265671 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 5.706604E-4 | 6.006433E-4 | 1.0525407 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.006175597 | 0.0062252884 | 1.0080464 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 8.630303E-6 | 1.8630217E-5 | 2.1586978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 3.698649E-5 | 4.698612E-5 | 1.270359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 4.5021766E-4 | 4.7020864E-4 | 1.044403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.0049128537 | 0.0049327556 | 1.004051 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 2.5014588E-6 | 2.5014588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 1.0720494E-5 | 1.0720494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 1.3051422E-4 | 1.3051422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0014734956 | 0.0014734956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 5.4934725E-7 | 5.4934725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 2.3543432E-6 | 2.3543432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 2.8663755E-5 | 2.8663755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 3.548112E-4 | 3.548112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 2.966711E-9 | 2.966711E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 1.2714477E-8 | 1.2714477E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 1.5479876E-7 | 1.5479876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 1.6590238E-6 | 1.6590238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.743529E-5 | 1.0743242E-4 | 1.870495 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613034E-4 | 3.2611066E-4 | 1.324951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929325 | 0.003092633 | 1.0333121 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.029590538 | 0.029726395 | 1.0045912 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.743529E-5 | 1.0743242E-4 | 1.870495 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613034E-4 | 3.2611066E-4 | 1.324951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929325 | 0.003092633 | 1.0333121 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.029590538 | 0.029726395 | 1.0045912 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093177E-5 | 6.0092276E-5 | 1.9968737 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896454E-4 | 1.5896067E-4 | 1.2325921 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690407 | 0.0016089779 | 1.0254533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625313 | 0.01569422 | 1.0044099 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093177E-5 | 6.0092276E-5 | 1.9968737 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896454E-4 | 1.5896067E-4 | 1.2325921 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690407 | 0.0016089779 | 1.0254533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625313 | 0.01569422 | 1.0044099 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801062E-5 | 4.801006E-5 | 1.7139949 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004013E-4 | 1.4003774E-4 | 1.1665909 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605337 | 0.0014904899 | 1.0205104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570126 | 0.014629252 | 1.004058 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801062E-5 | 4.801006E-5 | 1.7139949 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004013E-4 | 1.4003774E-4 | 1.1665909 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605337 | 0.0014904899 | 1.0205104 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570126 | 0.014629252 | 1.004058 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.3987905E-5 | 4.3987424E-5 | 1.8337336 | 2.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.02801365E-4 | 1.227993E-4 | 1.1945299 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0012509075 | 0.0012808699 | 1.0239526 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.012486016 | 0.012545267 | 1.0047454 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.3671708E-5 | 4.3671233E-5 | 1.8448704 | 2.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.0144634E-4 | 1.2144431E-4 | 1.1971285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0012344288 | 0.0012643918 | 1.0242727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.012323672 | 0.012382933 | 1.0048087 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.0048969E-5 | 4.004857E-5 | 1.9975375 | 2.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 8.592141E-5 | 1.05919695E-4 | 1.2327509 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0010456074 | 0.0010755761 | 1.0286615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.010446851 | 0.010496329 | 1.0047362 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.1941836E-5 | 3.1941596E-5 | 2.6747644 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 5.117832E-5 | 7.1177295E-5 | 1.3907704 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9470983E-4 | 6.229221E-4 | 6.529034E-4 | 1.0481302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0062478287 | 0.0062975166 | 1.0079528 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 9.988527E-6 | 2.9988327E-5 | 3.0022771 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 4.2807293E-5 | 6.280644E-5 | 1.4671901 | 2.0E-5 | 6.134799E-4 | 5.210577E-4 | 5.510421E-4 | 1.0575452 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0052341195 | 0.0052838577 | 1.0095026 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 7.9165375E-6 | 2.791638E-5 | 3.526337 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 3.392759E-5 | 5.3926913E-5 | 1.5894707 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2502943E-4 | 4.1299235E-4 | 4.4297997E-4 | 1.0726106 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005237907 | 0.0041572736 | 0.0041971076 | 1.0095817 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 7.5412727E-6 | 2.7541122E-5 | 3.6520524 | 2.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 3.2319353E-5 | 5.2318705E-5 | 1.6188043 | 2.0E-5 | 5.095951E-4 | 3.934193E-4 | 4.2340747E-4 | 1.0762246 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0039620535 | 0.0040018954 | 1.0100558 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 7.065425E-6 | 2.7065284E-5 | 3.830666 | 2.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 3.0280053E-5 | 5.0279446E-5 | 1.6604809 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8746695E-4 | 3.685995E-4 | 3.9858843E-4 | 1.0813591 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0037140604 | 0.0037539117 | 1.0107299 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 6.697098E-6 | 2.6696964E-5 | 3.9863482 | 2.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 2.8701545E-5 | 4.870097E-5 | 1.6968066 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 3.493874E-4 | 3.7937693E-4 | 1.0858346 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004697283 | 0.0035216752 | 0.0035615342 | 1.0113182 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 4.782586E-6 | 2.478249E-5 | 5.181818 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 2.049664E-5 | 4.049623E-5 | 1.9757497 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 2.4951846E-4 | 2.7951098E-4 | 1.1202016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003688092 | 0.0025208853 | 0.0025607843 | 1.0158274 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 3.854347E-6 | 2.385427E-5 | 6.188926 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 1.6518527E-5 | 3.6518195E-5 | 2.2107418 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 2.0109465E-4 | 2.3108862E-4 | 1.1491535 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0020363329 | 0.0020762514 | 1.0196031 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 2.8309E-6 | 2.2830844E-5 | 8.064871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 1.2132372E-5 | 3.213213E-5 | 2.6484623 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 1.4770166E-4 | 1.7769723E-4 | 1.2030821 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0015017523 | 0.0015416923 | 1.0265956 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 2.2981174E-6 | 1.2298095E-5 | 5.351378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 9.849037E-6 | 1.9848938E-5 | 2.0153177 | 1.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 1.1990545E-4 | 1.3990306E-4 | 1.1667781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0012221428 | 0.0012521062 | 1.024517 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 1.956819E-6 | 1.1956799E-5 | 6.110325 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 8.38634E-6 | 1.8386256E-5 | 2.1924052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.0209893E-4 | 1.1209791E-4 | 1.0979342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.001041048 | 0.0010510376 | 1.0095958 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.0205329E-6 | 1.1020523E-5 | 10.798793 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 4.373705E-6 | 1.43736615E-5 | 3.286381 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 5.324857E-5 | 6.324804E-5 | 1.1877885 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 5.4233416E-4 | 5.5232877E-4 | 1.0184288 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 6.9320864E-5 | 1.7629008 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.0850678E-4 | 1.2373297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.002099863 | 1.0243406 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.02044288 | 1.0052993 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 6.9320864E-5 | 1.7629008 | 3.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.0850678E-4 | 1.2373297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.002099863 | 1.0243406 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.02044288 | 1.0052993 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 3.0540436E-5 | 1.4868298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.0802714E-4 | 1.2271781 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0010913005 | 1.0186485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010710739 | 1.0037084 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 3.0540436E-5 | 1.4868298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.0802714E-4 | 1.2271781 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0010913005 | 1.0186485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010710739 | 1.0037084 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9085184E-5 | 2.9084993E-5 | 1.5239567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.179162E-5 | 1.01789985E-4 | 1.2445039 | 2.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 9.954537E-4 | 0.0010154338 | 1.0200714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.00991938 | 0.009958983 | 1.0039926 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6426162E-5 | 2.6425998E-5 | 1.6087749 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.039644E-5 | 8.039574E-5 | 1.1420426 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.568286E-4 | 8.6682E-4 | 1.0116609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008543997 | 0.008573741 | 1.0034813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3389003E-5 | 1.3389003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.738065E-5 | 5.738065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 6.9846975E-4 | 6.9846975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062511545 | 0.006971013 | 0.0069908733 | 1.002849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1251043E-5 | 1.1251043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.8218335E-5 | 4.8218335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 5.869828E-4 | 5.869828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005253921 | 0.0058624335 | 0.005872375 | 1.0016958 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 6.912271E-5 | 3.6145115 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.5195027E-4 | 1.8540468 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.001107249 | 1.1101813 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010590517 | 1.0122961 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 6.912271E-5 | 3.6145115 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.5195027E-4 | 1.8540468 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.001107249 | 1.1101813 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010590517 | 1.0122961 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 6.912271E-5 | 3.6145115 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.5195027E-4 | 1.8540468 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.001107249 | 1.1101813 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010590517 | 1.0122961 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 6.912271E-5 | 3.6145115 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.5195027E-4 | 1.8540468 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.001107249 | 1.1101813 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010590517 | 1.0122961 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049783E-5 | 6.904883E-5 | 3.624652 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.163938E-5 | 1.5163366E-4 | 1.8573594 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935074E-4 | 0.0011033982 | 1.1106088 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423741 | 0.010552386 | 1.0123415 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049783E-5 | 6.904883E-5 | 3.624652 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.163938E-5 | 1.5163366E-4 | 1.8573594 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935074E-4 | 0.0011033982 | 1.1106088 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423741 | 0.010552386 | 1.0123415 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 1.9015279E-5 | 6.901433E-5 | 3.6294143 | 5.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 8.149152E-5 | 1.5148582E-4 | 1.8589151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 9.917088E-4 | 0.0011015998 | 1.1108097 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.010405931 | 0.010534578 | 1.0123628 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 1.9001733E-5 | 6.900078E-5 | 3.631289 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 8.143346E-5 | 1.5142777E-4 | 1.8595275 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 9.910028E-4 | 0.0011008937 | 1.1108887 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.010398939 | 0.0105275875 | 1.0123713 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 1.8972696E-5 | 6.897175E-5 | 3.6353161 | 5.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 8.130902E-5 | 1.5130333E-4 | 1.8608431 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 9.894891E-4 | 0.0010993803 | 1.1110585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.010383946 | 0.010512596 | 1.0123893 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 1.893555E-5 | 6.8934605E-5 | 3.6404858 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 8.114985E-5 | 1.5114417E-4 | 1.8625318 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 9.875528E-4 | 0.0010974442 | 1.1112764 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.010364766 | 0.010493418 | 1.0124125 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 1.8824827E-5 | 6.882389E-5 | 3.656017 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 8.067534E-5 | 1.5066969E-4 | 1.8676053 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 9.817809E-4 | 0.001091673 | 1.1119313 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.010307589 | 0.010436249 | 1.012482 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 1.8783401E-5 | 6.8782465E-5 | 3.6618745 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 8.049782E-5 | 1.5049218E-4 | 1.8695188 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 9.796215E-4 | 0.0010895138 | 1.1121782 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.010286205 | 0.010414868 | 1.0125083 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 1.8721825E-5 | 6.872089E-5 | 3.6706297 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 8.0233935E-5 | 1.5022831E-4 | 1.8723788 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 9.764117E-4 | 0.0010863043 | 1.1125474 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.0102543775 | 0.010383044 | 1.0125475 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 1.8623065E-5 | 5.862232E-5 | 3.147834 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 7.98107E-5 | 1.3980591E-4 | 1.7517189 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 9.7126345E-4 | 0.0010711664 | 1.1028587 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.010203145 | 0.010321922 | 1.011641 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 1.8578636E-5 | 5.857789E-5 | 3.1529708 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 7.9620295E-5 | 1.3961553E-4 | 1.7535167 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 9.6894737E-4 | 0.0010688504 | 1.1031048 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.010180055 | 0.010298834 | 1.0116677 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 1.8425952E-5 | 5.8425216E-5 | 3.1708112 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 7.896598E-5 | 1.3896124E-4 | 1.7597609 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 9.609881E-4 | 0.0010509016 | 1.0935636 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.010099867 | 0.010208756 | 1.0107813 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 1.7355145E-5 | 5.7354453E-5 | 3.3047519 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 7.437708E-5 | 1.3437262E-4 | 1.8066401 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 9.051658E-4 | 9.950843E-4 | 1.0993392 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.009527931 | 0.009636883 | 1.011435 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 1.49309E-5 | 4.493045E-5 | 3.009226 | 3.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 6.3988E-5 | 1.139848E-4 | 1.7813464 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 7.787758E-4 | 8.5871347E-4 | 1.1026453 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.008254991 | 0.008354166 | 1.0120139 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 1.29115015E-5 | 4.2911113E-5 | 3.32348 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 5.5333832E-5 | 1.0533106E-4 | 1.9035563 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 6.734814E-4 | 7.534275E-4 | 1.1187057 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.007186835 | 0.0072861165 | 1.0138143 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 9.548364E-6 | 2.9548173E-5 | 3.0945797 | 2.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 4.092092E-5 | 8.0919286E-5 | 1.9774551 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 4.980985E-4 | 5.680636E-4 | 1.1404644 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.005398435 | 0.005487949 | 1.0165815 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 6.66906E-6 | 2.6668926E-5 | 3.9989033 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 2.8581373E-5 | 4.85808E-5 | 1.6997365 | 2.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 3.479228E-4 | 3.8790886E-4 | 1.114928 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.003810382 | 0.0038601914 | 1.013072 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 3.3191834E-6 | 3.3191834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 1.4224995E-5 | 1.4224995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 1.7317565E-4 | 1.8317392E-4 | 1.0577348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0019139871 | 0.0019339488 | 1.0104294 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 3.3162064E-7 | 3.3162064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 1.4212305E-6 | 1.4212305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 1.7303346E-5 | 1.7303346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 2.1531824E-4 | 2.1531824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2374972E-8 | 5.2374972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446415E-7 | 2.2446415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328476E-6 | 2.7328476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6924714E-5 | 3.6924714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5457945E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 4.1745276E-5 | 3.5541122 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6246655E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 9.033542E-5 | 1.7945973 | 4.0E-5 | 8.062545E-4 | 6.1268726E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008033356 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062393458 | 1.021146 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 4.1745276E-5 | 3.5541122 | 3.0E-5 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 9.033542E-5 | 1.7945973 | 4.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.1268726E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062393458 | 1.021146 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.0627708E-5 | 4.062739E-5 | 3.82278 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.554653E-5 | 8.554471E-5 | 1.8781828 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.543888E-4 | 6.343444E-4 | 1.1442231 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0055301636 | 0.0056495 | 1.0215791 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0473884E-5 | 4.047357E-5 | 3.8642368 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.4887307E-5 | 8.488551E-5 | 1.8910805 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.463668E-4 | 6.2632305E-4 | 1.1463418 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005450337 | 0.005569683 | 1.021897 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 9.680159E-6 | 3.9679868E-5 | 4.099093 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.148574E-5 | 8.148408E-5 | 1.9641467 | 4.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.049725E-4 | 5.849321E-4 | 1.1583445 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.0050383327 | 0.0051577277 | 1.0236974 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.321686E-6 | 3.9321407E-5 | 4.218272 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7177873E-5 | 3.994947E-5 | 7.994787E-5 | 2.0012248 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 4.8627693E-4 | 5.66238E-4 | 1.1644353 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.004852207 | 0.0049716244 | 1.024611 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 8.932177E-6 | 3.893191E-5 | 4.358614 | 3.0E-5 | 4.557647E-5 | 3.82802E-5 | 7.827867E-5 | 2.0448866 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.6596237E-4 | 5.459251E-4 | 1.1716077 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0046499274 | 0.004769369 | 1.0256869 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.268147E-6 | 3.82679E-5 | 4.6283526 | 3.0E-5 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.5434437E-5 | 7.543302E-5 | 2.1288054 | 4.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.3132948E-4 | 5.11295E-4 | 1.1853931 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0043049892 | 0.004424473 | 1.0277547 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 7.882864E-6 | 3.788263E-5 | 4.805693 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.378327E-5 | 7.378192E-5 | 2.183978 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.1123424E-4 | 4.9120135E-4 | 1.1944563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.004104796 | 0.0042243036 | 1.0291141 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.3437395E-6 | 3.7343518E-5 | 5.085082 | 3.0E-5 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.1472795E-5 | 7.1471535E-5 | 2.270899 | 4.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 3.831144E-4 | 4.6308376E-4 | 1.2087349 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.003824599 | 0.0039441404 | 1.0312558 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 5.907011E-6 | 3.5906833E-5 | 6.0786805 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.5315518E-5 | 6.53145E-5 | 2.5800185 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.0817298E-4 | 3.8814833E-4 | 1.2595145 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0030774742 | 0.003197105 | 1.0388731 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 4.865665E-6 | 3.486552E-5 | 7.1656227 | 3.0E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.0852684E-5 | 6.085185E-5 | 2.9181783 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.5385196E-4 | 3.3383165E-4 | 1.3150643 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0025356333 | 0.002655329 | 1.0472054 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.745131E-6 | 3.374502E-5 | 9.010371 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6050462E-5 | 5.604982E-5 | 3.4921 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 1.9539695E-4 | 2.7538132E-4 | 1.409343 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0019522617 | 0.0020720274 | 1.0613471 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.8022782E-6 | 3.2802192E-5 | 11.705545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2009708E-5 | 4.200935E-5 | 3.4979491 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.4620846E-4 | 2.1619823E-4 | 1.4786985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0014611301 | 0.0015709694 | 1.0751742 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.0642317E-6 | 2.206419E-5 | 10.688815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3100675E-5 | 8.846677E-6 | 2.88465E-5 | 3.2607157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.07703025E-4 | 1.6769656E-4 | 1.5570275 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015937461 | 0.001076514 | 0.0011664171 | 1.0835131 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1033513E-6 | 2.110333E-5 | 19.126574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.72864E-6 | 2.4728546E-5 | 5.229526 | 2.0E-5 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.756971E-5 | 1.17566255E-4 | 2.0421548 | 6.0E-5 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.755515E-4 | 6.6549965E-4 | 1.1562817 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 6.9338444E-7 | 1.0693378E-5 | 15.422005 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7813123E-6 | 2.971644E-6 | 1.29716145E-5 | 4.3651304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.617919E-5 | 7.617774E-5 | 2.105568 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.6173512E-4 | 4.3170978E-4 | 1.1934417 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 1.00659745E-5 | 152.57219 | 1.0E-5 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 1.0282748E-5 | 36.36684 | 1.0E-5 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 1.344245E-5 | 3.904869 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 4.4423992E-5 | 1.2904822 | 1.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 7.966519E-5 | 2.6853433 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.7713137E-4 | 1.3932244 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0016368505 | 1.0580875 | 9.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.015498937 | 1.007682 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 7.966519E-5 | 2.6853433 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.7713137E-4 | 1.3932244 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0016368505 | 1.0580875 | 9.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.015498937 | 1.007682 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008205701 | 1.0024233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008205701 | 1.0024233 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.852822E-4 | 1.0261136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007655654 | 1.0025992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.852822E-4 | 1.0261136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007655654 | 1.0025992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.5547624E-4 | 6.754631E-4 | 1.0304922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006544389 | 0.0065642577 | 1.003036 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.010231E-4 | 5.2101305E-4 | 1.0398983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0050074076 | 0.0050273077 | 1.0039741 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 5.915547E-5 | 2.0289056 | 3.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.5494617E-4 | 1.2400662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015210105 | 1.0071739 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 5.915547E-5 | 2.0289056 | 3.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.5494617E-4 | 1.2400662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015210105 | 1.0071739 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 5.915547E-5 | 2.0289056 | 3.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.5494617E-4 | 1.2400662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015210105 | 1.0071739 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2776656E-5 | 3.277643E-5 | 1.439036 | 1.0E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.761062E-5 | 1.0760964E-4 | 1.1024379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011877661 | 0.0012177305 | 1.0252275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011815344 | 0.011894398 | 1.0066909 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 2.9874007E-5 | 1.5031548 | 1.0E-5 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 9.517154E-5 | 1.117399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010364825 | 0.0010664514 | 1.0289141 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.010317305 | 0.010386582 | 1.0067147 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 2.9588755E-5 | 1.5104818 | 1.0E-5 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3949955E-5 | 9.3949115E-5 | 1.1191086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010216134 | 0.0010515826 | 1.0293353 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.01016998 | 0.010239268 | 1.006813 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7655795E-5 | 2.7655618E-5 | 1.5663763 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.5665506E-5 | 8.566475E-5 | 1.1321507 | 1.0E-5 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.208395E-4 | 9.5081184E-4 | 1.032549 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009398366 | 0.009170957 | 0.009230407 | 1.0064824 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 2.6246798E-5 | 1.6154897 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.962798E-5 | 7.962729E-5 | 1.1436104 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 8.773667E-4 | 1.0353727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008707017 | 0.00844229 | 0.008501783 | 1.007047 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4816686E-5 | 2.4816538E-5 | 1.6749047 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.349854E-5 | 7.349791E-5 | 1.1574739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.728214E-4 | 8.0279825E-4 | 1.0387888 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008003947 | 0.0077019776 | 0.0077615157 | 1.0077302 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2884615E-5 | 2.2884486E-5 | 1.7761095 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.521861E-5 | 6.521806E-5 | 1.1810883 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.720797E-4 | 7.020595E-4 | 1.0446075 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007053386 | 0.0067010513 | 0.0067407833 | 1.0059292 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1272167E-5 | 1.1272167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.8308393E-5 | 4.8308393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.879961E-4 | 5.979902E-4 | 1.0169969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257884 | 0.0058649387 | 0.0058848215 | 1.0033901 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0166116E-5 | 1.0166116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.356834E-5 | 4.356834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.303155E-4 | 5.403102E-4 | 1.0188468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005291027 | 0.005310921 | 1.00376 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.110644E-6 | 9.110644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.9045033E-5 | 3.9045033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7526963E-4 | 4.8526487E-4 | 1.0210307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00518453 | 0.004743052 | 0.0047629573 | 1.0041966 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.795794E-6 | 7.795794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3410117E-5 | 3.3410117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.066923E-4 | 4.1668824E-4 | 1.0245786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00452975 | 0.004059993 | 0.004079912 | 1.004906 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9289754E-6 | 6.9289754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9695271E-5 | 2.9695271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6147996E-4 | 3.7147637E-4 | 1.027654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004096119 | 0.00360943 | 0.0036293578 | 1.005521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.85832E-6 | 5.85832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5106843E-5 | 2.5106843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.0563297E-4 | 3.156299E-4 | 1.032709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003052634 | 0.0030725729 | 1.0065317 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.4696103E-6 | 4.4696103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9155332E-5 | 1.9155332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3319123E-4 | 2.3319123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.002329971 | 0.0023399477 | 1.0042819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.519414E-6 | 2.519414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.0797444E-5 | 1.0797444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3145096E-4 | 1.3145096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013142356 | 0.0013142356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 9.942676E-7 | 9.942676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.2611396E-6 | 4.2611396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.1878138E-5 | 5.1878138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.191614E-4 | 5.191614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 4.0911448E-7 | 4.0911448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 1.7533465E-6 | 1.7533465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.1346785E-5 | 2.1346785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.139205E-4 | 2.139205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 1.8500897E-7 | 1.8500897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 7.928954E-7 | 7.928954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 9.653458E-6 | 9.653458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 9.69381E-5 | 9.69381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 4.5969944E-8 | 4.5969944E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 1.9701405E-7 | 1.9701405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 2.3986433E-6 | 2.3986433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 2.400027E-5 | 2.400027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Escarpment
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 4.103101E-5 | 39.79536 | 4.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 5.4418557E-5 | 12.315293 | 5.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 1.4379252E-4 | 2.6728542 | 9.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 6.477906E-4 | 1.204408 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1722314E-6 | 1.0292401E-6 | 4.1029198E-5 | 39.863583 | 4.0E-5 | 5.023839E-6 | 4.411022E-6 | 5.44108E-5 | 12.335191 | 5.0E-5 | 6.116352E-5 | 5.3702937E-5 | 1.436981E-4 | 2.675796 | 9.0E-5 | 6.114669E-4 | 5.3690595E-4 | 6.468469E-4 | 1.2047676 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1515234E-6 | 1.008353E-6 | 3.1008323E-5 | 30.751455 | 3.0E-5 | 4.935091E-6 | 4.321506E-6 | 4.4321332E-5 | 10.255992 | 4.0E-5 | 6.008308E-5 | 5.261313E-5 | 1.3260893E-4 | 2.520453 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0066837E-4 | 5.260131E-4 | 6.2596047E-4 | 1.1900094 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1103637E-6 | 9.667978E-7 | 3.096677E-5 | 32.030247 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7586927E-6 | 4.1434128E-6 | 4.4143246E-5 | 10.653838 | 4.0E-5 | 5.793554E-5 | 5.0444945E-5 | 1.3044091E-4 | 2.5858073 | 8.0E-5 | 5.792044E-4 | 5.0434127E-4 | 6.042908E-4 | 1.1981784 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.0425391E-6 | 9.0545143E-7 | 3.0905423E-5 | 34.132614 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4680173E-6 | 3.8805006E-6 | 4.3880344E-5 | 11.307908 | 4.0E-5 | 5.439675E-5 | 4.7244135E-5 | 1.1724083E-4 | 2.4815955 | 7.0E-5 | 5.438344E-4 | 4.723472E-4 | 5.623047E-4 | 1.1904478 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.0184194E-7 | 5.838369E-7 | 2.0583826E-5 | 35.256126 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0078907E-6 | 2.502156E-6 | 3.250208E-5 | 12.989631 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6620455E-5 | 3.0463369E-5 | 8.046185E-5 | 2.6412654 | 5.0E-5 | 3.661442E-4 | 3.0459667E-4 | 3.5458143E-4 | 1.1641015 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0871365E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 2.0221574E-5 | 91.26146 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3230577E-6 | 9.4962166E-7 | 2.0949603E-5 | 22.060999 | 2.0E-5 | 1.610811E-5 | 1.1561583E-5 | 3.156135E-5 | 2.729847 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6106942E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.3560761E-4 | 1.1729755 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.7512665E-8 | 4.05028E-8 | 1.0040502E-5 | 247.8965 | 1.0E-5 | 2.464828E-7 | 1.7358342E-7 | 1.0173581E-5 | 58.60918 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0009242E-6 | 2.1133762E-6 | 1.2113355E-5 | 5.7317553 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0008836E-5 | 2.1133581E-5 | 3.113337E-5 | 1.4731705 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.040053E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5885942E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.151613E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1516086E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 6.264705E-5 | 1.9188616 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.9990497E-4 | 1.4287767 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017821107 | 1.0469167 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017013635 | 1.0063968 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 6.264705E-5 | 1.9188616 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.9990497E-4 | 1.4287767 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017821107 | 1.0469167 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017013635 | 1.0063968 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 3.2388667E-5 | 2.6143265 | 2.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 9.3092196E-5 | 1.7533363 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.862151E-4 | 1.0618564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0064942404 | 1.0077084 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 3.2388667E-5 | 2.6143265 | 2.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 9.3092196E-5 | 1.7533363 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.862151E-4 | 1.0618564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0064942404 | 1.0077084 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.377521E-6 | 2.8377353E-5 | 3.387321 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.590319E-5 | 7.590176E-5 | 2.114067 | 4.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.3703758E-4 | 4.770201E-4 | 1.0914853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004362176 | 0.004402002 | 1.0091298 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 2.621093E-5 | 4.220045 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 5.6617748E-5 | 2.1270037 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.540254E-4 | 1.0925525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032657764 | 1.0092411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 2.621093E-5 | 4.220045 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 5.6617748E-5 | 2.1270037 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.540254E-4 | 1.0925525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032657764 | 1.0092411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2424093E-6 | 1.3242377E-5 | 4.0841165 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.3895972E-5 | 3.3895692E-5 | 2.439246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.6917146E-4 | 1.8916807E-4 | 1.1182033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0016905386 | 0.0017105049 | 1.0118105 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0284074E-5 | 1.0284074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012514056 | 0.0012514056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4160125E-5 | 2.5073885E-5 | 6.507288E-5 | 2.5952454 | 4.0E-5 | 1.03539285E-4 | 1.0745516E-4 | 1.6744871E-4 | 1.5583124 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012598617 | 0.0013074947 | 0.001397377 | 1.068744 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01252743 | 0.012999575 | 0.013098275 | 1.0075926 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 2.1919479E-5 | 6.19186E-5 | 2.824821 | 4.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 9.39373E-5 | 1.3393354E-4 | 1.4257759 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 0.0011430975 | 0.001203029 | 1.052429 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.011373425 | 0.011442629 | 1.0060847 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.6707181E-5 | 2.6707015E-5 | 1.598535 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 7.160026E-5 | 8.1599545E-5 | 1.1396543 | 1.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 8.7138783E-4 | 8.913704E-4 | 1.0229319 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.008680111 | 0.008709851 | 1.0034262 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.3942421E-5 | 2.394228E-5 | 1.7172256 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 5.975187E-5 | 6.975127E-5 | 1.1673487 | 1.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 7.272375E-4 | 7.472229E-4 | 1.0274813 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0072487476 | 0.00727853 | 1.0041087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.2435047E-5 | 2.2434924E-5 | 1.8041687 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 5.3291977E-5 | 6.3291445E-5 | 1.1876355 | 1.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 6.486374E-4 | 6.686244E-4 | 1.0308138 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0064675477 | 0.006497354 | 1.0046085 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 1.1631366E-5 | 2.163125E-5 | 1.8597342 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.9847764E-5 | 5.9847265E-5 | 1.2006009 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 6.067282E-4 | 6.2671606E-4 | 1.0329437 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.00605081 | 0.0060806284 | 1.004928 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 1.0065567E-5 | 2.0065467E-5 | 1.993476 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 4.3137432E-5 | 5.3137002E-5 | 1.2318072 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 5.250721E-4 | 5.450616E-4 | 1.03807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0052383733 | 0.005268216 | 1.005697 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 1.9030289E-5 | 2.1073632 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.8701055E-5 | 4.8700666E-5 | 1.2583809 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 4.710838E-4 | 4.910744E-4 | 1.0424353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.004700899 | 0.0047307583 | 1.0063517 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 1.779881E-5 | 2.2822244 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2876844E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 4.342304E-5 | 1.2991818 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 4.2684574E-4 | 1.0491377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0040611294 | 0.0040910076 | 1.0073571 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 1.6618147E-5 | 2.5109718 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 3.8363178E-5 | 1.3525562 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 3.652638E-4 | 1.0579056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0034473746 | 0.003477271 | 1.0086722 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 5.503753E-6 | 1.5503698E-5 | 2.816932 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3402039E-5 | 2.3587301E-5 | 3.3587065E-5 | 1.423947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 3.0713205E-4 | 1.069633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002867694 | 0.0028976079 | 1.0104314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 1.4489449E-5 | 3.2274122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 2.9240357E-5 | 1.5197257 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 2.3422872E-4 | 2.442264E-4 | 1.0426834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.0023398413 | 0.0023498181 | 1.0042638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0014411494 | 0.0014411494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.981728E-6 | 1.981728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 8.4930925E-6 | 8.4930925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 1.033985E-4 | 1.033985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 0.0010335054 | 0.0010335054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.872509E-6 | 6.872509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 8.366958E-5 | 8.366958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 8.3638215E-4 | 8.3638215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.2571804E-6 | 1.2571804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 5.387905E-6 | 5.387905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 6.5576524E-4 | 6.5576524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 8.583902E-7 | 8.583902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.67881E-6 | 3.67881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.478859E-5 | 4.478859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.4779672E-4 | 4.4779672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.594542E-7 | 4.594542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.9690879E-6 | 1.9690879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.3973382E-5 | 2.3973382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.3970896E-4 | 2.3970896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.6414165E-7 | 1.6414165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 7.03464E-7 | 7.03464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.564641E-6 | 8.564641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.564406E-5 | 8.564406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.525278E-8 | 4.525278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9394048E-7 | 1.9394048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.3612226E-6 | 2.3612226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.3612916E-5 | 2.3612916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 6.0324845E-10 | 6.0324845E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 2.5853495E-9 | 2.5853495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 3.147663E-8 | 3.147663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 3.1562323E-7 | 3.1562323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047596726 | 1.0191816 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047596726 | 1.0191816 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047596726 | 1.0191816 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047596726 | 1.0191816 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.2673764E-4 | 1.096719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0021054405 | 1.0193256 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.2673764E-4 | 1.096719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0021054405 | 1.0193256 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016159874 | 0.0016359552 | 1.0123563 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013821042 | 0.0014020767 | 1.0144507 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3273364E-4 | 1.3273364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013265496 | 0.001346523 | 1.0150567 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 9.906547E-4 | 1.0101871 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 8.2666794E-4 | 1.0122348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3576203E-7 | 2.3576203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0104083E-6 | 1.0104083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.4099455E-8 | 9.4099455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.032833E-7 | 4.032833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.909855E-5 | 4.909855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.8401407E-8 | 2.8401407E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2172032E-7 | 1.2172032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.4819439E-6 | 1.4819439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.481934E-5 | 1.481934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.0360129E-8 | 1.0360129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.4400554E-8 | 4.4400554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.405766E-7 | 5.405766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.405753E-6 | 5.405753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 2.4474296E-9 | 2.4474296E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.0488982E-8 | 1.0488982E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.2770336E-7 | 1.2770336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.2770329E-6 | 1.2770329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 6.400951E-5 | 15.96346 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 7.718352E-5 | 4.491448 | 6.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.8918768E-4 | 1.3823211 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021902893 | 1.0477355 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 6.400951E-5 | 15.96346 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 7.718352E-5 | 4.491448 | 6.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.8918768E-4 | 1.3823211 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021902893 | 1.0477355 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 6.400951E-5 | 15.96346 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 7.718352E-5 | 4.491448 | 6.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.8918768E-4 | 1.3823211 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021902893 | 1.0477355 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 6.400951E-5 | 15.96346 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 7.718352E-5 | 4.491448 | 6.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.8918768E-4 | 1.3823211 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021902893 | 1.0477355 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.212993E-6 | 6.32128E-5 | 19.674116 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.376991E-5 | 7.3769086E-5 | 5.357267 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.4762453E-4 | 1.477139 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754975 | 0.0017753299 | 1.0595838 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.212993E-6 | 6.32128E-5 | 19.674116 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.376991E-5 | 7.3769086E-5 | 5.357267 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.4762453E-4 | 1.477139 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754975 | 0.0017753299 | 1.0595838 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769354E-6 | 4.1976855E-5 | 21.233295 | 4.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472554E-6 | 4.8472215E-5 | 5.721086 | 4.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314874E-4 | 1.4314461E-4 | 1.3877496 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010312041 | 0.0010911422 | 1.0581244 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769354E-6 | 4.1976855E-5 | 21.233295 | 4.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472554E-6 | 4.8472215E-5 | 5.721086 | 4.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314874E-4 | 1.4314461E-4 | 1.3877496 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010312041 | 0.0010911422 | 1.0581244 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.8018864E-6 | 4.1801813E-5 | 23.198917 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2242733E-5 | 7.7223485E-6 | 4.772204E-5 | 6.1797314 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.401578E-5 | 1.3401202E-4 | 1.4254205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014894515 | 9.399526E-4 | 9.998962E-4 | 1.063773 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.3253589E-6 | 2.1325332E-5 | 16.090233 | 2.0E-5 | 9.265135E-6 | 5.6800977E-6 | 2.5679983E-5 | 4.521046 | 2.0E-5 | 1.12797185E-4 | 6.915307E-5 | 8.915169E-5 | 1.2891935 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011273995 | 6.914927E-4 | 7.2147197E-4 | 1.0433544 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.234092E-6 | 2.1234067E-5 | 17.206228 | 2.0E-5 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.2889554E-6 | 2.528885E-5 | 4.781445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.4391206E-5 | 8.438992E-5 | 1.3105814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001026573 | 6.439021E-4 | 6.738828E-4 | 1.0465609 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.0297958E-6 | 2.1029775E-5 | 20.421307 | 2.0E-5 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.4134035E-6 | 2.4413315E-5 | 5.53163 | 2.0E-5 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.3731917E-5 | 7.3730844E-5 | 1.3721982 | 2.0E-5 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.3736405E-4 | 5.673479E-4 | 1.055798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 5.7826776E-7 | 1.0578262E-5 | 18.293016 | 1.0E-5 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.478288E-6 | 1.2478264E-5 | 5.035033 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.0172752E-5 | 4.017245E-5 | 1.3314148 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.018571E-4 | 3.1185406E-4 | 1.0331182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.0879536E-7 | 1.0408791E-5 | 25.462109 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.751979E-6 | 1.1751961E-5 | 6.7078214 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.1330143E-5 | 3.1329928E-5 | 1.4688101 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.1345109E-4 | 2.2344895E-4 | 1.0468391 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 1.9813471E-7 | 1.9813471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 8.4914853E-7 | 8.4914853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.0338336E-5 | 1.0338336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.03548155E-4 | 1.03548155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.673457E-7 | 1.673457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 7.171957E-7 | 7.171957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 8.731825E-6 | 8.731825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 8.748439E-5 | 8.748439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.2314749E-7 | 1.2314749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 5.277749E-7 | 5.277749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 6.4256415E-6 | 6.4256415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 6.442392E-5 | 6.442392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 5.1936655E-7 | 5.1936655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 6.323271E-6 | 6.323271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 6.340027E-5 | 6.340027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 6.8152076E-8 | 6.8152076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915231E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963648E-6 | 6.896311E-5 | 7.693643 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.6912185E-4 | 1.549751 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011907803 | 1.0915684 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915231E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963648E-6 | 6.896311E-5 | 7.693643 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.6912185E-4 | 1.549751 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011907803 | 1.0915684 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.08423E-7 | 2.0908405E-5 | 23.016155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.8932358E-6 | 5.389304E-5 | 13.842737 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7399215E-5 | 9.739685E-5 | 2.0548198 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.4386765E-4 | 1.1476402 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.08423E-7 | 2.0908405E-5 | 23.016155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.8932358E-6 | 5.389304E-5 | 13.842737 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7399215E-5 | 9.739685E-5 | 2.0548198 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.4386765E-4 | 1.1476402 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 5.994164E-7 | 2.0599404E-5 | 34.365765 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.5689249E-6 | 5.2568797E-5 | 20.463345 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.1276213E-5 | 8.127465E-5 | 2.598609 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6312963E-4 | 3.1271836E-4 | 3.7269958E-4 | 1.191806 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 5.934982E-7 | 2.0593487E-5 | 34.69848 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5435613E-6 | 5.2543433E-5 | 20.657429 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.096742E-5 | 8.0965874E-5 | 2.61455 | 5.0E-5 | 3.600655E-4 | 3.096313E-4 | 3.696127E-4 | 1.1937189 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.4499327E-7 | 2.0544983E-5 | 37.697678 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3356833E-6 | 5.2335567E-5 | 22.406961 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.8436574E-5 | 7.843515E-5 | 2.758249 | 5.0E-5 | 3.349229E-4 | 2.843295E-4 | 3.4431243E-4 | 1.2109628 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.167145E-7 | 2.0516703E-5 | 39.706074 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.2144889E-6 | 5.221438E-5 | 23.578524 | 5.0E-5 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.696107E-5 | 7.6959725E-5 | 2.8544757 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2025913E-4 | 2.695781E-4 | 3.2956194E-4 | 1.22251 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 4.907346E-7 | 2.0490725E-5 | 41.755207 | 2.0E-5 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1031465E-6 | 5.210304E-5 | 24.773853 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.5605508E-5 | 7.560423E-5 | 2.9526548 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0508233E-4 | 2.5602567E-4 | 3.1601032E-4 | 1.2342914 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.486244E-7 | 2.0448615E-5 | 45.5807 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9226745E-6 | 5.192258E-5 | 27.005392 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3408313E-5 | 7.3407144E-5 | 3.1359434 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7769682E-4 | 2.3405855E-4 | 2.8404687E-4 | 1.2135718 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.020342E-7 | 2.0402025E-5 | 50.74699 | 2.0E-5 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.7230025E-6 | 4.1722935E-5 | 24.215248 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.0977353E-5 | 6.0976516E-5 | 2.906778 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5119373E-4 | 2.0975382E-4 | 2.4974544E-4 | 1.1906598 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.462453E-7 | 1.0346242E-5 | 29.881248 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.4839075E-6 | 3.148386E-5 | 21.216864 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8066425E-5 | 4.8065882E-5 | 2.6605089 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1877629E-4 | 1.806496E-4 | 2.1064418E-4 | 1.1660373 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.7116866E-7 | 1.0271166E-5 | 37.877407 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1621507E-6 | 2.1162128E-5 | 18.209452 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.4149094E-5 | 3.4148812E-5 | 2.4134982 | 2.0E-5 | 1.787505E-4 | 1.4148196E-4 | 1.6147913E-4 | 1.1413407 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.150054E-7 | 1.0215003E-5 | 47.51045 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.214514E-7 | 2.0921432E-5 | 22.70487 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.1218613E-5 | 3.1218387E-5 | 2.7827318 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4489799E-4 | 1.1218048E-4 | 1.3217823E-4 | 1.1782641 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.7303724E-7 | 1.0173036E-5 | 58.79102 | 1.0E-5 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.415879E-7 | 2.0741572E-5 | 27.969135 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.028795E-6 | 2.9028615E-5 | 3.215115 | 2.0E-5 | 1.18733085E-4 | 9.02843E-5 | 1.102825E-4 | 1.2215024 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3086895E-7 | 1.0130868E-5 | 77.41231 | 1.0E-5 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.608668E-7 | 2.0560856E-5 | 36.65907 | 2.0E-5 | 9.326646E-6 | 6.828532E-6 | 2.6828395E-5 | 3.928867 | 2.0E-5 | 9.326255E-5 | 6.828324E-5 | 8.828187E-5 | 1.2928777 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 8.888898E-8 | 1.0088888E-5 | 113.49987 | 1.0E-5 | 5.624805E-7 | 3.809527E-7 | 2.0380945E-5 | 53.499935 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.6380896E-6 | 2.4637997E-5 | 5.3121004 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8479676E-5 | 4.637994E-5 | 6.637901E-5 | 1.4312009 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 4.7951108E-8 | 4.7951108E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.0550472E-7 | 2.0550472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.5020172E-6 | 2.5020172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4037708E-5 | 2.5019903E-5 | 2.5019903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 6.7557115E-9 | 6.7557115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 2.8953046E-8 | 2.8953046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.525033E-7 | 3.525033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699946E-6 | 3.5250273E-6 | 3.5250273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 4.5734367E-5 | 1.2798299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 1.6313871E-4 | 1.0652896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019028897 | 1.0214312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018576987 | 1.0053116 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 4.5734367E-5 | 1.2798299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 1.6313871E-4 | 1.0652896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019028897 | 1.0214312 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018576987 | 1.0053116 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.582607E-5 | 3.582581E-5 | 1.3871957 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.1067861E-4 | 1.206775E-4 | 1.0903417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0013467056 | 0.0013866518 | 1.0296621 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.013386733 | 0.0134656625 | 1.0058961 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.023381E-5 | 3.0233608E-5 | 1.4942123 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 8.67135E-5 | 9.671263E-5 | 1.1153123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001055235 | 0.0010951929 | 1.0378662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.010503797 | 0.010573061 | 1.0065943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.7274737E-5 | 2.7274564E-5 | 1.57887 | 1.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 7.403253E-5 | 8.403179E-5 | 1.1350658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 9.009803E-4 | 9.309533E-4 | 1.033267 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.008969254 | 0.009028715 | 1.0066295 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.5125665E-5 | 2.5125513E-5 | 1.6611179 | 1.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 6.48227E-5 | 7.482205E-5 | 1.1542569 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 7.889355E-4 | 8.189118E-4 | 1.0379959 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.007869931 | 0.007929459 | 1.007564 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.2808197E-5 | 2.280807E-5 | 1.78074 | 1.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 5.489114E-5 | 6.489059E-5 | 1.1821687 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 6.680985E-4 | 6.980785E-4 | 1.0448736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0066613033 | 0.006720904 | 1.0089473 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.0593359E-5 | 2.0593254E-5 | 1.9439776 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.5399338E-5 | 5.5398883E-5 | 1.2202575 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 5.525999E-4 | 5.825833E-4 | 1.0542588 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0055125863 | 0.0055722557 | 1.0108242 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 9.6989E-6 | 1.9698802E-5 | 2.0310347 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.156607E-5 | 5.1565654E-5 | 1.2405709 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.059524E-4 | 5.359372E-4 | 1.0592641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0050483164 | 0.0051080133 | 1.0118252 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.3492033E-6 | 1.734913E-5 | 2.3606818 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.1496216E-5 | 4.1495903E-5 | 1.3174884 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 3.834012E-4 | 4.133897E-4 | 1.078217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0038276217 | 0.0038873919 | 1.0156156 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 4.885518E-6 | 1.488547E-5 | 3.0468557 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.0937769E-5 | 3.0937557E-5 | 1.4775958 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.5488762E-4 | 2.8488E-4 | 1.1176689 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0025459668 | 0.002605814 | 1.0235066 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.004297E-6 | 1.4004257E-5 | 3.4973073 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7161161E-5 | 2.7160988E-5 | 1.5827012 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.0891719E-4 | 2.3891093E-4 | 1.1435676 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0020872185 | 0.0021470932 | 1.0286864 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.1486293E-6 | 1.3148598E-5 | 4.1759753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.3494056E-5 | 2.3493922E-5 | 1.741057 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.6427782E-4 | 1.942729E-4 | 1.1825875 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0016415725 | 0.001701474 | 1.0364903 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.3441114E-6 | 1.2344088E-5 | 5.265999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0046154E-5 | 2.0046053E-5 | 1.9953958 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2230512E-4 | 1.5230145E-4 | 1.2452582 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012223844 | 0.001282311 | 1.0490243 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.696546E-6 | 1.1696529E-5 | 6.894319 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.270891E-6 | 1.7270819E-5 | 2.3753374 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 8.851955E-5 | 1.18516895E-4 | 1.3388782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 8.848478E-4 | 9.447947E-4 | 1.0677483 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 8.986295E-7 | 1.08986205E-5 | 12.128047 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9326535E-6 | 3.8512635E-6 | 1.3851225E-5 | 3.5965405 | 1.0E-5 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.688816E-5 | 7.6886754E-5 | 1.6397904 | 3.0E-5 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.6878585E-4 | 5.287577E-4 | 1.1279302 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.13585E-7 | 1.06135785E-5 | 17.297651 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.6296473E-6 | 1.2629621E-5 | 4.8027816 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.2015505E-5 | 6.2014544E-5 | 1.937016 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.2011085E-4 | 3.8009166E-4 | 1.1873751 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 1.0063135E-5 | 159.38931 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 1.0270578E-5 | 37.9575 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 1.3294286E-5 | 4.0355186 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 4.29424E-5 | 1.3035471 | 1.0E-5 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 2.4236877E-5 | 5.720344 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 3.815792E-5 | 2.1014059 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0023081496 | 1.0451822 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 2.4236877E-5 | 5.720344 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 3.815792E-5 | 2.1014059 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0023081496 | 1.0451822 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 2.3513625E-5 | 6.6919928 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 3.5058307E-5 | 2.3281238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019315461 | 1.0544932 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 2.3513625E-5 | 6.6919928 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 3.5058307E-5 | 2.3281238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019315461 | 1.0544932 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 2.3146948E-5 | 7.3552175 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 3.348685E-5 | 2.4828763 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017405625 | 1.0608486 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 2.3146948E-5 | 7.3552175 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 3.348685E-5 | 2.4828763 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017405625 | 1.0608486 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 2.9948671E-6 | 2.2994807E-5 | 7.6780725 | 2.0E-5 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2835082E-5 | 3.2834825E-5 | 2.5582092 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.5625596E-4 | 2.162466E-4 | 1.3839253 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015614666 | 0.0016613104 | 1.0639423 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9110638E-6 | 2.2911006E-5 | 7.870321 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2475928E-5 | 3.247568E-5 | 2.6030672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5188388E-4 | 2.1187478E-4 | 1.3949786 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015178062 | 0.0016176545 | 1.0657846 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.8464353E-6 | 2.2846378E-5 | 8.026312 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.21989515E-5 | 3.2198706E-5 | 2.639465 | 2.0E-5 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4851216E-4 | 2.0850325E-4 | 1.4039474 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014841344 | 0.001583986 | 1.0672793 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.5920115E-6 | 2.259196E-5 | 8.715995 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1108574E-5 | 3.1108353E-5 | 2.8003912 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3523853E-4 | 1.9523042E-4 | 1.4436005 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013515663 | 0.0014514312 | 1.0738882 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3436628E-6 | 2.2343616E-5 | 9.53363 | 2.0E-5 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0044231E-5 | 3.004403E-5 | 2.9911728 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2228168E-4 | 1.8227434E-4 | 1.4906104 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012221467 | 0.0013220245 | 1.0817232 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.124014E-6 | 2.2123972E-5 | 10.416115 | 2.0E-5 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.102885E-6 | 2.9102703E-5 | 3.1970856 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.10822E-4 | 1.7081536E-4 | 1.5413487 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010916302 | 0.0011076694 | 0.0012075587 | 1.0901797 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 1.9994181E-6 | 2.1999378E-5 | 11.002891 | 2.0E-5 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.568906E-6 | 2.8568735E-5 | 3.334 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0432146E-4 | 1.643152E-4 | 1.5750853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010427267 | 0.0011426224 | 1.0958024 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.6893033E-6 | 2.168927E-5 | 12.83918 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.239851E-6 | 2.7239706E-5 | 3.7624676 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.814163E-5 | 1.3813723E-4 | 1.5672188 | 5.0E-5 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.810675E-4 | 9.60997E-4 | 1.090719 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.4637442E-6 | 2.1463715E-5 | 14.663569 | 2.0E-5 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.2731747E-6 | 2.6273048E-5 | 4.1881585 | 2.0E-5 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.637323E-5 | 1.2636941E-4 | 1.6546297 | 5.0E-5 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.634704E-4 | 8.4340933E-4 | 1.1047046 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.235387E-6 | 1.1235375E-5 | 9.094619 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.294505E-6 | 1.5294452E-5 | 2.8887405 | 1.0E-5 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.44587E-5 | 1.0445612E-4 | 1.6205124 | 4.0E-5 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.4440054E-4 | 7.1435544E-4 | 1.108558 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.253663E-7 | 1.0925357E-5 | 11.806521 | 1.0E-5 | 3.966909E-6 | 3.96585E-6 | 1.396581E-5 | 3.5215178 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8283153E-5 | 5.8282672E-5 | 1.2071016 | 1.0E-5 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.8272702E-4 | 5.127125E-4 | 1.062117 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.3120135E-7 | 1.05311965E-5 | 19.825243 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.2765753E-6 | 1.2276552E-5 | 5.392553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.7716953E-5 | 3.7716676E-5 | 1.36078 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.7713508E-4 | 2.871323E-4 | 1.0360734 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.681611E-7 | 1.016816E-5 | 60.466774 | 1.0E-5 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.206902E-7 | 1.0720683E-5 | 14.875577 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822956E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 1.877428E-5 | 2.1396732 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822522E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 9.7739365E-5 | 1.1139628 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.2887848E-8 | 1.0042887E-5 | 234.16628 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7183304E-7 | 1.8380506E-7 | 1.0183803E-5 | 55.40546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.2378242E-6 | 1.22378015E-5 | 5.468616 | 1.0E-5 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.237802E-5 | 3.2377797E-5 | 1.4468571 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 5.2366627E-9 | 5.2366627E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.2442842E-8 | 2.2442842E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 2.7324157E-7 | 2.7324157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 2.7324124E-6 | 2.7324124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6490888E-5 | 5.196961E-5 | 7.196857E-5 | 1.3848202 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9923145E-4 | 2.2270852E-4 | 2.8269517E-4 | 1.2693504 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024229444 | 0.0027082148 | 0.002778025 | 1.0257773 | 7.0E-5 | 0.023966964 | 0.026765015 | 0.026862338 | 1.0036362 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.2355172E-5 | 4.2355172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.8151E-4 | 2.1150455E-4 | 1.1652502 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002207725 | 0.002247637 | 1.0180782 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.021866985 | 0.021925673 | 1.0026839 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.660489E-4 | 1.2204723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0016951439 | 1.0241262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.01647098 | 1.0023943 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.660489E-4 | 1.2204723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0016951439 | 1.0241262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.01647098 | 1.0023943 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.047721E-4 | 1.3476897E-4 | 1.2863058 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.001274863 | 0.0013048247 | 1.023502 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.0126766255 | 0.012706245 | 1.0023365 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 9.901127E-5 | 1.290083E-4 | 1.3029658 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001204804 | 0.0012347678 | 1.0248703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.011983749 | 0.012013391 | 1.0024734 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 1.0555302E-4 | 1.2337484 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010411361 | 0.0010611153 | 1.0191898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010363205 | 0.010382999 | 1.0019099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 8.444867E-5 | 1.1343094 | 1.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.060473E-4 | 9.1603823E-4 | 1.011027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.0090238685 | 0.009033778 | 1.0010982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 7.711436E-5 | 1.1489879 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.1682095E-4 | 8.268128E-4 | 1.0122325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008138432 | 0.008148351 | 1.0012188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 6.886954E-5 | 1.1698555 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.165095E-4 | 7.2650233E-4 | 1.0139465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007142165 | 0.0071520936 | 1.0013901 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 6.0938546E-5 | 1.196303 | 1.0E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.2000746E-4 | 6.3000125E-4 | 1.0161189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006182895 | 0.006192833 | 1.0016074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 5.3963493E-5 | 1.2274492 | 1.0E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.3513015E-4 | 5.4512476E-4 | 1.018677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0053385044 | 0.005348451 | 1.0018632 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 4.836594E-5 | 1.2606353 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.670105E-4 | 4.7700584E-4 | 1.0214028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004660365 | 0.0046703187 | 1.0021358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.00357123 | 0.00357123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0028430065 | 0.0028430065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 4.015606E-5 | 1.9922177 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.2637852E-4 | 1.4630195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011092082 | 1.0089966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 4.015606E-5 | 1.9922177 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.2637852E-4 | 1.4630195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011092082 | 1.0089966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 4.015606E-5 | 1.9922177 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.2637852E-4 | 1.4630195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011092082 | 1.0089966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 4.015606E-5 | 1.9922177 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.2637852E-4 | 1.4630195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011092082 | 1.0089966 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.0036545E-5 | 4.0036142E-5 | 1.9981562 | 2.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.586808E-5 | 1.2586465E-4 | 1.4657909 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449439 | 0.0011248603 | 1.0764791 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931343 | 0.01103025 | 1.009048 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.0036545E-5 | 4.0036142E-5 | 1.9981562 | 2.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.586808E-5 | 1.2586465E-4 | 1.4657909 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449439 | 0.0011248603 | 1.0764791 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931343 | 0.01103025 | 1.009048 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 1.9985373E-5 | 3.9984974E-5 | 2.000712 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 8.56488E-5 | 1.2564537E-4 | 1.4669834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0010422769 | 0.0011221934 | 1.076675 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.010904956 | 0.011003865 | 1.0090702 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 1.9956375E-5 | 3.9955976E-5 | 2.002166 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 8.552452E-5 | 1.2552111E-4 | 1.4676621 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0010407653 | 0.0011206821 | 1.0767865 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.01089 | 0.010988911 | 1.0090828 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 1.9930187E-5 | 3.992979E-5 | 2.0034828 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 8.54123E-5 | 1.2540889E-4 | 1.4682766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0010394003 | 0.0011193171 | 1.0768875 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.010876457 | 0.01097537 | 1.0090941 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 1.9896024E-5 | 3.9895625E-5 | 2.0052059 | 2.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 8.52659E-5 | 1.252625E-4 | 1.4690807 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0010376197 | 0.0011175366 | 1.0770196 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.010858772 | 0.010957687 | 1.0091091 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 1.9787587E-5 | 3.978719E-5 | 2.0107148 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 8.48012E-5 | 1.247978E-4 | 1.4716514 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0010319672 | 0.0011118846 | 1.0774418 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.01080258 | 0.0109015005 | 1.0091571 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 1.9768724E-5 | 3.976833E-5 | 2.0116792 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 8.472036E-5 | 1.2471697E-4 | 1.4721016 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.001030984 | 0.0011109015 | 1.0775157 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.01079277 | 0.010891692 | 1.0091654 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 1.9684221E-5 | 3.9683826E-5 | 2.0160222 | 2.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 8.435823E-5 | 1.2435486E-4 | 1.4741284 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0010265792 | 0.001106497 | 1.0778487 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.010748796 | 0.010847721 | 1.0092033 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 1.9558363E-5 | 3.955797E-5 | 2.0225604 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 8.381887E-5 | 1.2381552E-4 | 1.4771795 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0010200187 | 0.001099937 | 1.07835 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.010681593 | 0.010780525 | 1.0092618 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 1.9478262E-5 | 3.9477873E-5 | 2.0267656 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 8.34756E-5 | 1.2347226E-4 | 1.479142 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0010158432 | 0.001095762 | 1.0786723 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.010638619 | 0.010737555 | 1.0092998 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 1.8874274E-5 | 3.8873895E-5 | 2.0596235 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 8.088724E-5 | 1.2088401E-4 | 1.4944756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 9.843588E-4 | 0.0010542899 | 1.0710423 | 7.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.010312181 | 0.010401253 | 1.0086375 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 1.7178096E-5 | 3.7177753E-5 | 2.1642535 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 7.3618336E-5 | 1.13615395E-4 | 1.5433029 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 8.959359E-4 | 9.658732E-4 | 1.0780606 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.009411807 | 0.00950096 | 1.0094725 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 1.4310572E-5 | 3.4310287E-5 | 2.3975482 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 6.1329585E-5 | 1.0132713E-4 | 1.6521738 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 7.464322E-4 | 8.1637996E-4 | 1.0937095 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.0079056155 | 0.007994904 | 1.0112944 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 1.2314284E-5 | 3.2314038E-5 | 2.6241102 | 2.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 5.2774434E-5 | 9.277232E-5 | 1.7579027 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 6.423395E-4 | 7.1229454E-4 | 1.1089066 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.0068493164 | 0.0069387 | 1.01305 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 9.0575295E-6 | 2.9057348E-5 | 3.2080877 | 2.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 3.8817405E-5 | 7.881585E-5 | 2.0304255 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 4.7249958E-4 | 5.424665E-4 | 1.1480783 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.005119935 | 0.0052094744 | 1.0174884 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 6.652629E-6 | 2.6652497E-5 | 4.0063105 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 2.8510956E-5 | 4.8510385E-5 | 1.7014647 | 2.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 3.4706574E-4 | 3.8705184E-4 | 1.115212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.0038005137 | 0.0038503236 | 1.0131061 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 3.3175816E-6 | 3.3175816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 1.421813E-5 | 1.421813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 1.7309209E-4 | 1.8309036E-4 | 1.0577627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0019129047 | 0.0019328664 | 1.0104353 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 3.3096242E-7 | 3.3096242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 1.4184096E-6 | 1.4184096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 1.7269002E-5 | 1.7269002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 2.1485973E-4 | 2.1485973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312302E-8 | 5.2312302E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419556E-7 | 2.2419556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7295775E-6 | 2.7295775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6884867E-5 | 3.6884867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 4.8154438E-5 | 2.6524088 | 3.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 1.0780252E-4 | 1.38555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 0.0010168143 | 1.073857 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.0095270695 | 1.009446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 4.8154438E-5 | 2.6524088 | 3.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 1.0780252E-4 | 1.38555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 0.0010168143 | 1.073857 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.0095270695 | 1.009446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 4.8154438E-5 | 2.6524088 | 3.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 1.0780252E-4 | 1.38555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 0.0010168143 | 1.073857 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.0095270695 | 1.009446 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 9.050388E-4 | 1.0709383 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.00850706 | 1.0094125 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 9.050388E-4 | 1.0709383 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.00850706 | 1.0094125 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 9.050388E-4 | 1.0709383 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.00850706 | 1.0094125 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.5502152E-5 | 3.5501842E-5 | 2.2901235 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2234634E-5 | 6.643618E-5 | 8.643485E-5 | 1.3010207 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.0857374E-4 | 8.585333E-4 | 1.0617872 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008065316 | 0.008134752 | 1.0086092 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.3452425E-5 | 3.3452157E-5 | 2.4867008 | 2.0E-5 | 7.546184E-5 | 5.7652025E-5 | 7.7650875E-5 | 1.3468889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.016955E-4 | 7.4166746E-4 | 1.0569648 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.0070021614 | 0.0070518116 | 1.0070907 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.2628612E-5 | 3.262836E-5 | 2.5836854 | 2.0E-5 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.412154E-5 | 7.412046E-5 | 1.3695186 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8517193E-4 | 6.5873796E-4 | 6.8871817E-4 | 1.0455116 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.006573807 | 0.0066135437 | 1.0060447 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.175066E-5 | 3.1750424E-5 | 2.702012 | 2.0E-5 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.0359035E-5 | 7.035803E-5 | 1.3971282 | 2.0E-5 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.1295537E-4 | 6.4293697E-4 | 1.0489132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006118243 | 0.0061579985 | 1.0064979 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 9.538158E-6 | 2.9537967E-5 | 3.0968208 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.0877192E-5 | 6.0876373E-5 | 1.4892504 | 2.0E-5 | 6.944992E-4 | 4.975684E-4 | 5.175584E-4 | 1.0401754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.0049682176 | 0.0049980683 | 1.0060084 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.081994E-6 | 2.9081813E-5 | 3.2021396 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5136024E-5 | 3.8922262E-5 | 5.8921483E-5 | 1.5138247 | 2.0E-5 | 6.710743E-4 | 4.7377762E-4 | 4.9376814E-4 | 1.0421939 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0047307923 | 0.004750698 | 1.0042076 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 7.911785E-6 | 2.7911627E-5 | 3.5278547 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.3907218E-5 | 5.390654E-5 | 1.5898249 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.1274366E-4 | 4.327354E-4 | 1.0484363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004121066 | 0.004140984 | 1.0048331 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 6.614794E-6 | 2.6614662E-5 | 4.0235057 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2893007E-5 | 2.8348817E-5 | 4.834825E-5 | 1.7054768 | 2.0E-5 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.450934E-4 | 3.650865E-4 | 1.0579354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.0034458833 | 0.0034658143 | 1.005784 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 5.8981514E-6 | 2.5898033E-5 | 4.390873 | 2.0E-5 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.5277554E-5 | 4.5277047E-5 | 1.7911959 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.0771192E-4 | 3.2770575E-4 | 1.0649759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00474572 | 0.0030729824 | 0.003092921 | 1.0064883 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 4.953509E-6 | 1.4953459E-5 | 3.0187612 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.1229156E-5 | 3.1228945E-5 | 1.4710402 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.584354E-4 | 2.684328E-4 | 1.0386844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0025814555 | 0.0025914297 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.2973743E-6 | 1.4297331E-5 | 3.3269923 | 1.0E-5 | 2.990303E-5 | 1.8417195E-5 | 2.8417011E-5 | 1.5429609 | 1.0E-5 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.2420727E-4 | 2.3420501E-4 | 1.0445915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003634129 | 0.0022399086 | 0.0022498863 | 1.0044545 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.1180194E-6 | 2.1180194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.077197E-6 | 9.077197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.105099E-4 | 1.105099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0011046107 | 0.0011046107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 4.5093217E-5 | 1.7969922 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.3753689E-4 | 1.2789357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013784284 | 1.0534256 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013776585 | 1.0064852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 4.5093217E-5 | 1.7969922 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.3753689E-4 | 1.2789357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013784284 | 1.0534256 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013776585 | 1.0064852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 4.5093217E-5 | 1.7969922 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.3753689E-4 | 1.2789357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013784284 | 1.0534256 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013776585 | 1.0064852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 4.5093217E-5 | 1.7969922 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.3753689E-4 | 1.2789357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013784284 | 1.0534256 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013776585 | 1.0064852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 4.5093217E-5 | 1.7969922 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.3753689E-4 | 1.2789357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013784284 | 1.0534256 | 7.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013776585 | 1.0064852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987904E-5 | 4.2987445E-5 | 1.8700027 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.8515884E-5 | 1.2851293E-4 | 1.3044894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987734 | 0.0012686895 | 1.058323 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548459 | 0.012637329 | 1.0070822 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987904E-5 | 4.2987445E-5 | 1.8700027 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.8515884E-5 | 1.2851293E-4 | 1.3044894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987734 | 0.0012686895 | 1.058323 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548459 | 0.012637329 | 1.0070822 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 2.2636055E-5 | 4.2635602E-5 | 1.8835262 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 9.700807E-5 | 1.2700516E-4 | 1.3092226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0011804358 | 0.0012503532 | 1.0592301 | 7.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.012354483 | 0.012443371 | 1.0071948 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 2.2535383E-5 | 4.253493E-5 | 1.8874732 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 9.657666E-5 | 1.2657375E-4 | 1.3106041 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0011751889 | 0.0012451067 | 1.0594949 | 7.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.012301135 | 0.012390028 | 1.0072263 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 2.2375305E-5 | 4.2374857E-5 | 1.8938226 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 9.589065E-5 | 1.2588777E-4 | 1.3128264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0011668459 | 0.0012367641 | 1.0599208 | 7.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.012212001 | 0.012300901 | 1.0072798 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 2.1710199E-5 | 4.1709765E-5 | 1.921206 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 9.3040406E-5 | 1.2303761E-4 | 1.3224106 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0011321804 | 0.0012021012 | 1.0617576 | 7.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.011845858 | 0.011934792 | 1.0075076 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 2.0876052E-5 | 4.0875635E-5 | 1.9580156 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 8.9465735E-5 | 1.1946305E-4 | 1.3352939 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.001088703 | 0.0011586269 | 1.0642266 | 7.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.0113844015 | 0.011473377 | 1.0078156 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 1.997866E-5 | 3.997826E-5 | 2.001048 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 8.562003E-5 | 1.15617455E-4 | 1.3503553 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0010419271 | 0.0011118542 | 1.0671132 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.010888586 | 0.010977605 | 1.0081755 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 1.9468673E-5 | 3.9468283E-5 | 2.0272713 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 8.343451E-5 | 1.1343201E-4 | 1.3595334 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0010153436 | 0.0010852725 | 1.0688722 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.010612982 | 0.010702028 | 1.0083902 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 1.925167E-5 | 3.9251285E-5 | 2.0388508 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 8.250456E-5 | 1.12502086E-4 | 1.3635863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0010040319 | 0.0010739616 | 1.0696489 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.010495643 | 0.010584699 | 1.008485 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 1.835788E-5 | 3.8357513E-5 | 2.0894306 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 7.867426E-5 | 1.086719E-4 | 1.3812891 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 9.574398E-4 | 0.0010173824 | 1.0626072 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.010016421 | 0.01009562 | 1.0079069 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 1.6286074E-5 | 3.628575E-5 | 2.228023 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 6.9795606E-5 | 9.9793506E-5 | 1.4297965 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 8.494314E-4 | 9.093804E-4 | 1.0705755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.008917192 | 0.008996479 | 1.0088915 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 1.3438388E-5 | 3.343812E-5 | 2.4882538 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 5.759182E-5 | 8.7590095E-5 | 1.5208772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 7.0095516E-4 | 7.609131E-4 | 1.0855374 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.007420558 | 0.0074999644 | 1.0107008 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 1.150152E-5 | 3.150129E-5 | 2.7388806 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 4.92913E-5 | 7.928982E-5 | 1.6085967 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 5.999565E-4 | 6.599205E-4 | 1.0999472 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.0063950727 | 0.006474561 | 1.0124296 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 8.341428E-6 | 2.8341261E-5 | 3.3976512 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 3.5748486E-5 | 6.5747416E-5 | 1.8391664 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 4.3515104E-4 | 4.9512496E-4 | 1.1378231 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.004717885 | 0.0047975075 | 1.0168767 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 6.584059E-6 | 2.6583928E-5 | 4.03762 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 2.8217091E-5 | 4.8216527E-5 | 1.7087703 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 3.4348905E-4 | 3.834753E-4 | 1.116412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0037623812 | 0.0038121932 | 1.0132395 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 3.3128224E-6 | 3.3128224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 1.4197733E-5 | 1.4197733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 1.728438E-4 | 1.8284206E-4 | 1.0578457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0019098144 | 0.0019297763 | 1.0104523 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 3.2970664E-7 | 3.2970664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 1.4130277E-6 | 1.4130277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 1.7203478E-5 | 1.7203478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 2.1398446E-4 | 2.1398446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312302E-8 | 5.2312302E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419556E-7 | 2.2419556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7295775E-6 | 2.7295775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6884867E-5 | 3.6884867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025968174 | 1.0235902 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025184609 | 1.003496 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025968174 | 1.0235902 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025184609 | 1.003496 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025968174 | 1.0235902 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025184609 | 1.003496 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025968174 | 1.0235902 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025184609 | 1.003496 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 6.0703194E-5 | 1.491332 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.944311E-4 | 1.1146362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516974 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.02108345 | 1.0027938 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 6.0703194E-5 | 1.491332 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.944311E-4 | 1.1146362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516974 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.02108345 | 1.0027938 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.256969E-5 | 4.2569365E-5 | 1.3070239 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3957711E-4 | 1.4957572E-4 | 1.071635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016980602 | 0.0017180262 | 1.0117581 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016854675 | 0.016903833 | 1.0029166 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.2187585E-5 | 4.218726E-5 | 1.3106688 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3793969E-4 | 1.479383E-4 | 1.0724854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016781554 | 0.0016981218 | 1.0118978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.016658625 | 0.016707791 | 1.0029515 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.6534583E-5 | 3.653432E-5 | 1.3768567 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.137148E-4 | 1.2371366E-4 | 1.0879292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013836196 | 0.001403592 | 1.0144348 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.013752421 | 0.013801734 | 1.0035857 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.4894274E-5 | 3.4894027E-5 | 1.4016888 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.066855E-4 | 1.1668443E-4 | 1.0937234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012981419 | 0.001318116 | 1.0153866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.0129077835 | 0.012957138 | 1.0038236 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.3271728E-5 | 3.3271495E-5 | 1.429696 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.973227E-5 | 1.0973128E-4 | 1.1002585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0012135834 | 0.0012335592 | 1.0164601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.012071659 | 0.012121055 | 1.004092 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.2005142E-5 | 3.2004922E-5 | 1.4544293 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 9.430445E-5 | 1.0430351E-4 | 1.1060295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.001147571 | 0.0011675481 | 1.0174081 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.011418492 | 0.011467921 | 1.0043288 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 2.0286565E-5 | 3.0286363E-5 | 1.4929271 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.693963E-5 | 9.693876E-5 | 1.1150123 | 1.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0010779737 | 1.0188837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.010531556 | 0.010581029 | 1.0046977 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4760834E-5 | 1.4760834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.325926E-5 | 6.325926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.6992135E-4 | 7.6992135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0076737725 | 0.007693619 | 1.0025862 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.0569628E-5 | 1.0569628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 4.5297667E-5 | 4.5297667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 5.513679E-4 | 5.513679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0055008302 | 0.0055207205 | 1.0036159 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 7.951209E-6 | 7.951209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.40762E-5 | 3.40762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.1480557E-4 | 4.1480557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0041409847 | 0.0041509434 | 1.0024049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 3.4837558E-6 | 3.4837558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.49303005E-5 | 1.49303005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 1.8176199E-4 | 1.8176199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0018162066 | 0.0018162066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 2.5975346E-6 | 2.5975346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.1132247E-5 | 1.1132247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.3552736E-4 | 1.3552736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0013545142 | 0.0013545142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.828942E-5 | 5.828869E-5 | 3.1870167 | 4.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.838114E-5 | 1.18378004E-4 | 1.5102868 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.5391995E-4 | 0.0010138627 | 1.0628383 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.00950297 | 0.009582209 | 1.0083385 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 2.9494167E-5 | 3.1064944 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 6.06887E-5 | 1.4915072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.2527606E-4 | 1.0605404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.004972586 | 1.0060395 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 2.9494167E-5 | 3.1064944 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 6.06887E-5 | 1.4915072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.2527606E-4 | 1.0605404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.004972586 | 1.0060395 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 2.7591894E-5 | 3.6343162 | 2.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.0039842385 | 1.0075566 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 2.7591894E-5 | 3.6343162 | 2.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.0039842385 | 1.0075566 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 2.634143E-5 | 4.15378 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.717785E-5 | 4.7177306E-5 | 1.7358733 | 2.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3084644E-4 | 3.608365E-4 | 1.0906465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033041644 | 0.0033340652 | 1.0090494 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 2.5852722E-5 | 4.417125 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.508339E-5 | 4.508289E-5 | 1.7973204 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0535375E-4 | 3.3534458E-4 | 1.0982167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030499578 | 0.0030798665 | 1.0098062 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 1.548525E-5 | 2.8230426 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3508273E-5 | 3.3508037E-5 | 1.4253721 | 1.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8618184E-4 | 3.0617614E-4 | 1.0698656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028587442 | 0.002878687 | 1.0069761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 1.4205632E-5 | 3.3777301 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8024226E-5 | 2.8024046E-5 | 1.5547988 | 1.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.194287E-4 | 2.394243E-4 | 1.0911257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0021926926 | 0.0022126487 | 1.0091012 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0016954868 | 1.0241212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016516404 | 1.0047868 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0016954868 | 1.0241212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016516404 | 1.0047868 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0016954868 | 1.0241212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016516404 | 1.0047868 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.2827478E-4 | 1.5827094E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606504 | 0.001600588 | 1.0255903 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.015502528 | 0.015581287 | 1.0050805 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.2827478E-4 | 1.5827094E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606504 | 0.001600588 | 1.0255903 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.015502528 | 0.015581287 | 1.0050805 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 2.8705112E-5 | 2.8705112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.2301625E-4 | 1.5301254E-4 | 1.2438402 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014322745 | 0.001496717 | 0.0015366572 | 1.0266851 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014230782 | 0.014871897 | 0.014940856 | 1.0046369 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.7185597E-5 | 2.7185597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.1650463E-4 | 1.4650113E-4 | 1.2574705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0014175434 | 0.0014574867 | 1.0281779 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013544982 | 0.014090465 | 0.014159478 | 1.004898 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.5344914E-5 | 2.5344914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.0861666E-4 | 1.3861341E-4 | 1.2761707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0013216268 | 0.0013615739 | 1.0302258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012701893 | 0.013142922 | 0.013212002 | 1.005256 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.3063696E-5 | 2.3063696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532935E-5 | 9.884077E-5 | 1.2883781E-4 | 1.3034885 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0012027402 | 0.0012426921 | 1.0332174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011539802 | 0.011967198 | 0.01203636 | 1.0057793 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.0648222E-5 | 2.0648222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529431E-5 | 8.848947E-5 | 1.084877E-4 | 1.2259957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0010768423 | 0.0011068099 | 1.0278293 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010331288 | 0.010720779 | 0.010780136 | 1.0055366 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 1.9043153E-5 | 1.9043153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.161105E-5 | 9.161023E-5 | 1.1225225 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5722964E-4 | 9.931764E-4 | 0.0010131565 | 1.0201174 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009531168 | 0.009891802 | 0.009941308 | 1.0050046 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.8299621E-5 | 1.8299621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.571623E-5 | 7.842467E-5 | 8.842389E-5 | 1.1275009 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2145515E-4 | 9.544168E-4 | 9.7439776E-4 | 1.0209352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009176437 | 0.009507543 | 0.009557067 | 1.005209 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.196261E-5 | 8.1961894E-5 | 1.1389511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 8.7580713E-4 | 8.957896E-4 | 1.0228161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008511325 | 0.008727556 | 0.008777119 | 1.005679 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.4810977E-5 | 1.4810977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.347415E-5 | 7.3473515E-5 | 1.1575345 | 1.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 7.7253743E-4 | 7.92522E-4 | 1.0258687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075480095 | 0.0077009825 | 0.0077307518 | 1.0038656 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5080065E-5 | 5.604237E-5 | 6.604181E-5 | 1.1784264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 6.8211555E-4 | 7.021019E-4 | 1.0293006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066837464 | 0.006802521 | 0.0068323174 | 1.0043801 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.0675557E-5 | 6.067505E-5 | 1.1973238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.168135E-4 | 6.368011E-4 | 1.0324047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006054099 | 0.006153262 | 0.006183078 | 1.0048455 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.2831147E-5 | 1.2831147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.562139E-4 | 1.562139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0015619182 | 0.0015719025 | 1.0063924 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 3.8657177E-5 | 4.465199 | 3.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 6.710172E-5 | 1.8085337 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.8163018E-4 | 1.0663941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.0045989775 | 1.0153849 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 3.8657177E-5 | 4.465199 | 3.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 6.710172E-5 | 1.8085337 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.8163018E-4 | 1.0663941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.0045989775 | 1.0153849 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 3.8657177E-5 | 4.465199 | 3.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 6.710172E-5 | 1.8085337 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.8163018E-4 | 1.0663941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.0045989775 | 1.0153849 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 3.8657177E-5 | 4.465199 | 3.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 6.710172E-5 | 1.8085337 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.8163018E-4 | 1.0663941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.0045989775 | 1.0153849 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.94614E-6 | 3.494599E-5 | 7.0653057 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197577E-5 | 5.119694E-5 | 2.4152262 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.580509E-4 | 2.8804314E-4 | 1.1162262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0025986563 | 0.0026684746 | 1.026867 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.94614E-6 | 3.494599E-5 | 7.0653057 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197577E-5 | 5.119694E-5 | 2.4152262 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.580509E-4 | 2.8804314E-4 | 1.1162262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0025986563 | 0.0026684746 | 1.026867 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 4.6309524E-6 | 3.4630815E-5 | 7.478119 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 1.9846793E-5 | 4.98462E-5 | 2.5115492 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 2.416088E-4 | 2.7160154E-4 | 1.1241376 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0024346004 | 0.00250443 | 1.0286821 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 3.929806E-6 | 3.392969E-5 | 8.633935 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 1.6841917E-5 | 4.6841415E-5 | 2.7812397 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.0503133E-4 | 2.3502517E-4 | 1.1462891 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0020695084 | 0.0021393637 | 1.0337545 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 3.8527337E-6 | 3.385262E-5 | 8.786649 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 1.6511613E-5 | 4.651112E-5 | 2.816873 | 3.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.0101061E-4 | 2.3100457E-4 | 1.1492158 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0020293747 | 0.0020992327 | 1.0344234 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 3.5618268E-6 | 3.356172E-5 | 9.422614 | 3.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 1.5264884E-5 | 4.5264427E-5 | 2.965265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 1.8583433E-4 | 2.1582877E-4 | 1.1614041 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0018778754 | 0.001947744 | 1.0372062 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 3.2633704E-6 | 3.3263274E-5 | 10.19292 | 3.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.3985799E-5 | 4.398538E-5 | 3.1450028 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 1.70264E-4 | 2.0025889E-4 | 1.176167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0017224218 | 0.0017923012 | 1.0405705 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 2.971631E-6 | 3.297154E-5 | 11.095436 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.2735501E-5 | 4.273512E-5 | 3.35559 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 1.5504386E-4 | 1.8503921E-4 | 1.1934637 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0015704458 | 0.0016403359 | 1.0445033 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 2.6028256E-6 | 3.2602748E-5 | 12.525906 | 3.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.115492E-5 | 4.1154584E-5 | 3.6893663 | 3.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.3580284E-4 | 1.6579876E-4 | 1.2208785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.001378303 | 0.0014482066 | 1.0507171 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 2.2076622E-6 | 3.2207598E-5 | 14.589005 | 3.0E-5 | 8.815376E-6 | 9.461376E-6 | 3.946109E-5 | 4.1707563 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.15186296E-4 | 1.4518284E-4 | 1.2604177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0011723994 | 0.0012423174 | 1.0596366 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 1.8469145E-6 | 3.184686E-5 | 17.243277 | 3.0E-5 | 7.738263E-6 | 7.915325E-6 | 3.7915088E-5 | 4.7900863 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4209274E-5 | 9.6364936E-5 | 1.2636204E-4 | 1.3112866 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 9.843907E-4 | 0.0010443317 | 1.0608914 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 1.4677173E-6 | 3.1467673E-5 | 21.439873 | 3.0E-5 | 6.292889E-6 | 6.2902022E-6 | 3.6290014E-5 | 5.769292 | 3.0E-5 | 7.661323E-5 | 7.6580596E-5 | 1.0657829E-4 | 1.3917142 | 3.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 7.86686E-4 | 8.466388E-4 | 1.0762093 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 9.572432E-7 | 3.0957213E-5 | 32.33997 | 3.0E-5 | 4.201745E-6 | 4.1024646E-6 | 3.410234E-5 | 8.312648 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1155046E-5 | 4.9946386E-5 | 7.994489E-5 | 1.6006141 | 3.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 5.204607E-4 | 5.8042945E-4 | 1.1152225 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 7.0038897E-7 | 3.070037E-5 | 43.833313 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1471714E-6 | 3.0016636E-6 | 3.3001572E-5 | 10.994428 | 3.0E-5 | 3.831614E-5 | 3.6544643E-5 | 6.654355E-5 | 1.8208838 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8309532E-4 | 3.863915E-4 | 4.4636833E-4 | 1.1552229 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 6.307972E-7 | 6.307972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 2.7034139E-6 | 2.7034139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 3.291357E-5 | 3.291357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 3.495566E-4 | 3.695496E-4 | 1.0571953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 3.053177E-7 | 3.053177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 1.3085038E-6 | 1.3085038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 1.5930918E-5 | 1.5930918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 1.6961036E-4 | 1.6961036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 1.5745131E-8 | 1.5745131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 6.7479135E-8 | 6.7479135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 8.2155816E-7 | 8.2155816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 9.162306E-6 | 9.162306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.5273874E-9 | 1.5273874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 6.5459473E-9 | 6.5459473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.96969E-8 | 7.96969E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 1.0128059E-6 | 1.0128059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.3800085E-10 | 3.3800085E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.4485748E-9 | 1.4485748E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.7636397E-8 | 1.7636397E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.3895802E-7 | 2.3895802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 1.3827968E-5 | 3.6123154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.5970844E-4 | 1.30036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021380242 | 1.0387892 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 1.3827968E-5 | 3.6123154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.5970844E-4 | 1.30036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021380242 | 1.0387892 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 1.3827968E-5 | 3.6123154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.5970844E-4 | 1.30036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021380242 | 1.0387892 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 1.3827968E-5 | 3.6123154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.5970844E-4 | 1.30036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021380242 | 1.0387892 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 1.3827968E-5 | 3.6123154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.5970844E-4 | 1.30036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021380242 | 1.0387892 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7885877E-6 | 1.378855E-5 | 3.639496 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236703E-5 | 4.6236215E-5 | 2.8476357 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766396E-4 | 2.576521E-4 | 1.3034855 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0020376623 | 0.0021174992 | 1.0391806 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7885877E-6 | 1.378855E-5 | 3.639496 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236703E-5 | 4.6236215E-5 | 2.8476357 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766396E-4 | 2.576521E-4 | 1.3034855 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0020376623 | 0.0021174992 | 1.0391806 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 3.708629E-6 | 3.708629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 1.5894027E-5 | 3.589371E-5 | 2.2583144 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 1.9349264E-4 | 2.4348297E-4 | 1.2583578 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0019960243 | 0.0020658844 | 1.0349997 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 3.7033242E-6 | 3.7033242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 1.5871294E-5 | 3.5870977E-5 | 2.2601168 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 1.9321589E-4 | 2.4320623E-4 | 1.2587279 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0019932617 | 0.0020631223 | 1.0350484 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 3.6953084E-6 | 3.6953084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 1.583694E-5 | 3.5836623E-5 | 2.2628503 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 1.9279771E-4 | 2.4278807E-4 | 1.2592891 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0019890876 | 0.0020589482 | 1.035122 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 3.6861236E-6 | 3.6861236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 1.5797577E-5 | 3.579726E-5 | 2.265997 | 2.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 1.9231855E-4 | 2.4230893E-4 | 1.2599353 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0019843045 | 0.0020541656 | 1.0352068 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 3.6755498E-6 | 3.6755498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 1.575226E-5 | 3.5751946E-5 | 2.269639 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 1.9176693E-4 | 2.4175734E-4 | 1.2606832 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.001978799 | 0.0020486605 | 1.035305 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 3.6589247E-6 | 3.6589247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 1.5681013E-5 | 3.56807E-5 | 2.2754078 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 1.9089962E-4 | 2.4089008E-4 | 1.2618678 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0019701445 | 0.0020400065 | 1.0354604 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 3.6422812E-6 | 3.6422812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 1.5609683E-5 | 3.560937E-5 | 2.281236 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 1.9003135E-4 | 2.4002185E-4 | 1.2630645 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0019614822 | 0.002031345 | 1.0356174 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 3.6263282E-6 | 3.6263282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 1.5541313E-5 | 3.5541E-5 | 2.2868726 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 1.891991E-4 | 2.3918963E-4 | 1.2642219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0019531872 | 0.0020230506 | 1.0357689 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 3.605779E-6 | 3.605779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 1.5453246E-5 | 3.5452937E-5 | 2.2942064 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 1.8812707E-4 | 2.3811766E-4 | 1.2657278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0019424815 | 0.0020123455 | 1.0359664 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 3.5697178E-6 | 3.5697178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 1.5298701E-5 | 3.5298395E-5 | 2.3072805 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 1.862458E-4 | 2.3623649E-4 | 1.2684125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0019236784 | 0.0019935437 | 1.0363187 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 3.394524E-6 | 3.394524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 1.4547878E-5 | 3.454759E-5 | 2.3747509 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 1.7710605E-4 | 2.2709719E-4 | 1.2822667 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0018319839 | 0.0019018557 | 1.0381399 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 3.0474937E-6 | 3.0474937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 1.3060621E-5 | 3.306036E-5 | 2.5313008 | 2.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 1.5900149E-4 | 2.0899353E-4 | 1.3144125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0016497601 | 0.0017096611 | 1.0363089 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 1.96676E-6 | 1.96676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 8.428944E-6 | 2.8428776E-5 | 3.3727565 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 1.02617574E-4 | 1.4261347E-4 | 1.3897568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.001075444 | 0.0011253903 | 1.0464424 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 1.1351061E-6 | 1.1351061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 4.8647316E-6 | 4.8647316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 5.9226506E-5 | 6.922591E-5 | 1.1688334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 6.261712E-4 | 6.4615865E-4 | 1.0319202 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 5.249031E-7 | 5.249031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 2.2495828E-6 | 2.2495828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 2.7388332E-5 | 2.7388332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 3.0140116E-4 | 1.0343066 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 4.7896666E-8 | 4.7896666E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 2.0527142E-7 | 2.0527142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 2.4991766E-6 | 2.4991766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 2.9453406E-5 | 2.9453406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 7.639083E-9 | 7.639083E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 3.2738928E-8 | 3.2738928E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 3.9859637E-7 | 3.9859637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 4.97181E-6 | 4.97181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 7.795464E-5 | 4.3414936 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.3694631E-4 | 1.7796577 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 7.795464E-5 | 4.3414936 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.3694631E-4 | 1.7796577 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 7.795464E-5 | 4.3414936 | 6.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.3694631E-4 | 1.7796577 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 4.104988E-5 | 3.71485 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 7.735579E-5 | 1.6334532 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.164012E-4 | 1.0693533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.0057992944 | 1.0086462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 4.104988E-5 | 3.71485 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 7.735579E-5 | 1.6334532 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.164012E-4 | 1.0693533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.0057992944 | 1.0086462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.100753E-6 | 3.910048E-5 | 4.2964005 | 3.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9002654E-5 | 6.9001486E-5 | 1.7691483 | 3.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.747554E-4 | 5.0474115E-4 | 1.0631604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004737573 | 0.0047773835 | 1.0084032 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.657348E-6 | 3.765712E-5 | 4.9177756 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.28168E-5 | 6.2815816E-5 | 1.9141359 | 3.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 3.9947225E-4 | 4.2946028E-4 | 1.0750691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.003987647 | 0.004017527 | 1.0074933 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.687256E-6 | 3.6687055E-5 | 5.486115 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8659357E-5 | 5.8658497E-5 | 2.0467486 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.4887256E-4 | 3.788621E-4 | 1.0859613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0034833292 | 0.0035132247 | 1.0085825 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 3.57928E-5 | 6.178658 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 5.482605E-5 | 2.2083418 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.022249E-4 | 3.322158E-4 | 1.0992339 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003018199 | 0.0030481087 | 1.0099097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 1.5002931E-5 | 2.9987984 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 3.144096E-5 | 1.4663824 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6101546E-4 | 2.7101286E-4 | 1.038302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026071358 | 0.0026171096 | 1.0038257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0019900315 | 0.0019900315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015003218 | 0.0015003218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011672071 | 0.0011672071 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.4188463E-4 | 1.0901151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.00273823 | 1.014784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676504 | 0.026744636 | 1.002554 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.4188463E-4 | 1.0901151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.00273823 | 1.014784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676504 | 0.026744636 | 1.002554 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.1134745E-4 | 1.1044998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023672562 | 1.017147 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.023045188 | 0.023113575 | 1.0029675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.1134745E-4 | 1.1044998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023672562 | 1.017147 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.023045188 | 0.023113575 | 1.0029675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.7419177E-4 | 1.129686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019156958 | 1.0212846 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607372 | 0.01867607 | 1.0036919 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.7419177E-4 | 1.129686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019156958 | 1.0212846 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607372 | 0.01867607 | 1.0036919 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.2372496E-5 | 4.2372172E-5 | 1.3088942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.3873221E-4 | 1.5872944E-4 | 1.1441426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0016878126 | 0.0017277452 | 1.0236593 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015175272 | 0.01675691 | 0.016825737 | 1.0041074 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.06099E-5 | 4.0609593E-5 | 1.3266817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.31179E-4 | 1.5117637E-4 | 1.1524434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0015959888 | 0.0016359249 | 1.0250229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014414776 | 0.015851961 | 0.015920851 | 1.0043459 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.5349931E-5 | 2.5349931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.08638276E-4 | 1.1863719E-4 | 1.0920386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.001321911 | 0.0013518714 | 1.0226644 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01213047 | 0.013145818 | 0.013205029 | 1.0045042 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867737E-5 | 9.504282E-5 | 1.0504187E-4 | 1.1052058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0011565643 | 0.0011865296 | 1.025909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010738871 | 0.011509703 | 0.011569012 | 1.005153 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.483646E-5 | 7.8799705E-5 | 8.8798915E-5 | 1.126894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 9.589838E-4 | 9.789646E-4 | 1.0208354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009070295 | 0.009551416 | 0.009600938 | 1.0051848 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3460066E-5 | 6.559231E-5 | 7.5591655E-5 | 1.1524469 | 1.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 7.983077E-4 | 8.1829174E-4 | 1.025033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007696735 | 0.007956762 | 0.008006364 | 1.0062339 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.250682E-5 | 7.250619E-5 | 1.1599725 | 1.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 7.6076854E-4 | 7.807533E-4 | 1.0262692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073716943 | 0.0075839707 | 0.0076335915 | 1.0065428 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.0321207E-5 | 7.03206E-5 | 1.1657692 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.341768E-4 | 7.541621E-4 | 1.0272214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007138774 | 0.0073198257 | 0.0073496057 | 1.0040685 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.489925E-5 | 5.590954E-5 | 6.590898E-5 | 1.1788504 | 1.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 6.8049936E-4 | 7.004857E-4 | 1.0293702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006661878 | 0.006786434 | 0.0068162302 | 1.0043906 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.0542727E-5 | 6.054222E-5 | 1.1978424 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.151972E-4 | 6.351849E-4 | 1.0324899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032217 | 0.0061371643 | 0.00616698 | 1.0048583 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.5585677E-4 | 1.5585677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0015583431 | 0.0015683275 | 1.006407 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 5.654276E-5 | 3.4178393 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 1.1089592E-4 | 1.5641448 | 4.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.2285185E-4 | 1.0694727 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008680094 | 1.0092214 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 5.654276E-5 | 3.4178393 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 1.1089592E-4 | 1.5641448 | 4.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.2285185E-4 | 1.0694727 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008680094 | 1.0092214 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 5.3481494E-5 | 3.966872 | 4.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 9.777681E-5 | 1.6922516 | 4.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.4325275E-4 | 1.0568362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.0070747724 | 1.0084928 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 5.3481494E-5 | 3.966872 | 4.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 9.777681E-5 | 1.6922516 | 4.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.4325275E-4 | 1.0568362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.0070747724 | 1.0084928 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0028388E-5 | 5.0027986E-5 | 4.988637 | 4.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.297832E-5 | 8.29766E-5 | 1.9306618 | 4.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.2317523E-4 | 5.631543E-4 | 1.0764163 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052233418 | 0.0052830284 | 1.0114269 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 9.976392E-6 | 4.997599E-5 | 5.0094256 | 4.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.2755488E-5 | 8.275378E-5 | 1.9355124 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.204635E-4 | 5.604427E-4 | 1.0768145 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0051963516 | 0.00525604 | 1.0114865 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.321582E-6 | 4.832125E-5 | 5.806739 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.5663652E-5 | 7.5662225E-5 | 2.12155 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.3415706E-4 | 4.741397E-4 | 1.0920925 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004336879 | 0.004396619 | 1.0137749 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 2.2419235E-5 | 9.266888 | 2.0E-5 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.03683205E-5 | 3.0368114E-5 | 2.9289327 | 2.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.4622466E-4 | 1.1584245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.001261573 | 0.0012815478 | 1.0158333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 1.21845E-5 | 5.5776525 | 1.0E-5 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 1.9362107E-5 | 2.068115 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.2397785E-4 | 1.0877255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.001139222 | 0.0011492105 | 1.008768 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.196185E-5 | 6.0971684 | 1.0E-5 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 1.8407904E-5 | 2.1893353 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.12361566E-4 | 1.097682 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010231701 | 0.0010331598 | 1.0097636 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.1604699E-5 | 7.2316275 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 1.6877262E-5 | 2.4540424 | 1.0E-5 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 9.3727576E-5 | 1.1194237 | 1.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 8.469725E-4 | 1.0119377 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.918016E-6 | 1.0277405E-5 | 4.0277097E-5 | 3.918995 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2505093E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 8.4043575E-5 | 1.9081151 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1737664E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 5.960993E-4 | 1.1118529 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005161737 | 0.005349516 | 0.0054191416 | 1.0130153 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.7167173E-5 | 2.3952262 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 5.071581E-5 | 1.6510974 | 2.0E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 4.03901E-4 | 1.0802027 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332221 | 0.003773073 | 1.0106746 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.7167173E-5 | 2.3952262 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 5.071581E-5 | 1.6510974 | 2.0E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 4.03901E-4 | 1.0802027 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332221 | 0.003773073 | 1.0106746 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.679181E-6 | 1.4679134E-5 | 3.137116 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0053481E-5 | 3.0053281E-5 | 1.4986565 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 2.641193E-4 | 1.0819055 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024386013 | 0.002468528 | 1.0122721 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.3336922E-6 | 1.4333649E-5 | 3.307491 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8572837E-5 | 2.8572651E-5 | 1.5384107 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.2610114E-4 | 2.4609664E-4 | 1.088436 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002198526 | 0.0022587434 | 0.0022886756 | 1.0132517 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 1.38097685E-5 | 3.6247954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 2.6327476E-5 | 1.6124485 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9394881E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 2.1876708E-4 | 1.1005982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0019859509 | 0.0020158913 | 1.0150762 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 1.3538648E-5 | 3.8258994 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 2.516555E-5 | 1.6593727 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8462689E-4 | 2.046232E-4 | 1.1083065 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018447492 | 0.0018647123 | 1.0108216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.1833176E-6 | 1.3183286E-5 | 4.141367 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3642719E-5 | 2.3642582E-5 | 1.7329817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6608754E-4 | 1.8608423E-4 | 1.1203984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016596448 | 0.0016796115 | 1.0120307 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.8724924E-6 | 1.2872463E-5 | 4.4812875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2310624E-5 | 2.2310502E-5 | 1.8122965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.4987162E-4 | 1.6986862E-4 | 1.1334275 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0014977138 | 0.001517684 | 1.0133337 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 1.2476588E-5 | 5.0377626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0614012E-5 | 2.0613907E-5 | 1.9421408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.29218E-4 | 1.4921541E-4 | 1.1547573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0012914345 | 0.0013114087 | 1.0154667 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1037054E-6 | 2.1037054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.015849E-6 | 9.015849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.0976247E-4 | 1.0976247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0010970862 | 0.0010970862 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7278869E-6 | 1.7278869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.4052086E-6 | 7.4052086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.0118294E-4 | 9.0118294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5184911E-6 | 1.5184911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.507803E-6 | 6.507803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 7.9229634E-5 | 7.9229634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 7.9201505E-4 | 7.9201505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3411898E-6 | 1.3411898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.7479438E-6 | 5.7479438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 6.9978974E-5 | 6.9978974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 6.9957034E-4 | 6.9957034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.1692053E-6 | 1.1692053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.01087E-6 | 5.01087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.1005645E-5 | 6.1005645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.098898E-4 | 6.098898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.538285E-7 | 9.538285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.08783E-6 | 4.08783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 4.97682E-5 | 4.97682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 4.9757113E-4 | 4.9757113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.4875607E-7 | 7.4875607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.2089506E-6 | 3.2089506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 3.9068276E-5 | 3.9068276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 3.9061453E-4 | 3.9061453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 3.8986053E-7 | 3.8986053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.6708298E-6 | 1.6708298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.0342164E-5 | 2.0342164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.0340313E-4 | 2.0340313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 1.8019303E-7 | 1.8019303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 7.722556E-7 | 7.722556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 9.402172E-6 | 9.402172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 9.401777E-5 | 9.401777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 7.464042E-8 | 7.464042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.1988748E-7 | 3.1988748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 3.8946228E-6 | 3.8946228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 3.8945553E-5 | 3.8945553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 3.2540463E-8 | 3.2540463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.3945913E-7 | 1.3945913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 1.6979135E-6 | 1.6979135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 1.6979007E-5 | 1.6979007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 3.985626E-9 | 3.985626E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 1.7081256E-8 | 1.7081256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 2.0796426E-7 | 2.0796426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 2.0796408E-6 | 2.0796408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 7.3425756E-5 | 3.134246 | 5.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.5039249E-4 | 1.4979703 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012816241 | 1.049052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012223376 | 1.0056893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 7.3425756E-5 | 3.134246 | 5.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.5039249E-4 | 1.4979703 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012816241 | 1.049052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012223376 | 1.0056893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 5.125763E-5 | 4.5529633 | 4.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 8.8246125E-5 | 1.829009 | 4.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 6.2724215E-4 | 1.0680723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005907255 | 1.008486 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 5.125763E-5 | 4.5529633 | 4.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 8.8246125E-5 | 1.829009 | 4.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 6.2724215E-4 | 1.0680723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005907255 | 1.008486 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 3.8159556E-5 | 4.67653 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 6.496907E-5 | 1.8578453 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.256794E-4 | 4.5566662E-4 | 1.0704455 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004248784 | 0.004288614 | 1.0093745 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 3.6785856E-5 | 5.420798 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 5.908192E-5 | 2.0315077 | 3.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.540264E-4 | 3.8401576E-4 | 1.0847094 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035347184 | 0.003574577 | 1.0112764 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 3.582988E-5 | 6.14572 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 5.498496E-5 | 2.2006562 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0415927E-4 | 3.3415013E-4 | 1.0986025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030375016 | 0.0030773801 | 1.0131288 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 3.489341E-5 | 7.130479 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 5.0971597E-5 | 2.4304333 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5530747E-4 | 2.8529982E-4 | 1.1174754 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002550197 | 0.002590095 | 1.015645 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 2.3716317E-5 | 6.381546 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 3.5926972E-5 | 2.2556863 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9389793E-4 | 2.1389405E-4 | 1.103127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019373278 | 0.0019672697 | 1.0154552 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 1.2645541E-5 | 4.7798977 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 2.1337984E-5 | 1.8819722 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.480315E-4 | 1.0724365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013794984 | 0.0013894846 | 1.007239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.1784689E-5 | 6.6031504 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 1.7648646E-5 | 2.3073978 | 1.0E-5 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 1.0311846E-4 | 1.1073791 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 9.408106E-4 | 1.0107332 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.753342E-5 | 7.8551544E-5 | 1.0854919E-4 | 1.3818848 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8939685E-4 | 3.3660818E-4 | 3.6659808E-4 | 1.0890944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003517715 | 0.0040908805 | 0.004130717 | 1.0097378 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034625497 | 0.04019931 | 0.0402473 | 1.0011938 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025321085 | 1.0119596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024789529 | 1.0015762 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025321085 | 1.0119596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024789529 | 1.0015762 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.615755E-5 | 3.615755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.5495192E-4 | 1.5495192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0018849411 | 0.0018949222 | 1.0052952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.018693592 | 0.018713217 | 1.0010499 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.392261E-5 | 3.392261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.453747E-4 | 1.453747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0017685323 | 0.0017785146 | 1.0056444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.017548366 | 0.017568015 | 1.0011197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.7696608E-5 | 2.7696608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.1869449E-4 | 1.1869449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.001444173 | 0.0014541586 | 1.0069144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014350718 | 0.014370431 | 1.0013736 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4019928E-5 | 2.4019928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.029386E-4 | 1.029386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012525778 | 0.0012525778 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012457441 | 0.012457441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0010895154 | 0.0010895154 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.010843739 | 0.010843739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.283678E-4 | 9.283678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009246731 | 0.009246731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.611644E-4 | 7.611644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007587263 | 0.007587263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.4135477E-4 | 6.4135477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006396659 | 0.006396659 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.122799E-4 | 5.122799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005112565 | 0.005112565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3396321E-8 | 2.3396321E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica Bay
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 1.0655704E-5 | 16.250626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 6.421245E-5 | 1.8768175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.0206334E-4 | 1.1753355 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3621707E-7 | 6.425284E-7 | 6.425284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726642E-6 | 2.7536903E-6 | 1.2753662E-5 | 4.6314807 | 1.0E-5 | 3.319636E-5 | 3.352568E-5 | 5.352501E-5 | 1.5965376 | 2.0E-5 | 3.31914E-4 | 3.35208E-4 | 3.8519123E-4 | 1.1491112 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.796316E-7 | 5.8564524E-7 | 5.8564524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4841331E-6 | 2.5099057E-6 | 2.5099057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0243902E-5 | 3.055769E-5 | 4.0557385E-5 | 1.3272399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0239785E-4 | 3.0553644E-4 | 3.4552423E-4 | 1.1308773 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2654514E-7 | 5.322372E-7 | 5.322372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.25662E-6 | 2.2810148E-6 | 2.2810148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7474003E-5 | 2.7771015E-5 | 3.7770737E-5 | 1.3600776 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7470608E-4 | 2.7767685E-4 | 3.0766852E-4 | 1.1080092 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.582996E-7 | 4.6350223E-7 | 4.6350223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9641398E-6 | 1.9864367E-6 | 1.9864367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3913139E-5 | 2.4184612E-5 | 3.418437E-5 | 1.4134761 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3910566E-4 | 2.4182104E-4 | 2.618162E-4 | 1.0826858 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9690556E-7 | 4.0159335E-7 | 4.0159335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7010227E-6 | 1.7211132E-6 | 1.7211132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0709755E-5 | 2.0954365E-5 | 3.0954154E-5 | 1.4772176 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0707825E-4 | 2.0952502E-4 | 2.2952083E-4 | 1.095434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.514765E-7 | 2.54706E-7 | 2.54706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.077756E-6 | 1.0915968E-6 | 1.0915968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.31216E-5 | 1.3290115E-5 | 1.3290115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3120825E-4 | 1.3289378E-4 | 1.3289378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6412821E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0340644E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.563939E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.56361E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2030355E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155865E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.277248E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2770705E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0539674E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308843E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935152E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935038E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 6.0468297E-5 | 2.9541235 | 4.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.2771843E-4 | 1.4559462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011174572 | 1.046788 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 6.0468297E-5 | 2.9541235 | 4.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.2771843E-4 | 1.4559462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011174572 | 1.046788 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 6.0468297E-5 | 2.9541235 | 4.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.2771843E-4 | 1.4559462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011174572 | 1.046788 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849435E-5 | 4.684893E-5 | 2.780445 | 3.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.220996E-5 | 1.0220779E-4 | 1.4154252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.7881676E-4 | 9.187816E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759942 | 0.008809503 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849435E-5 | 4.684893E-5 | 2.780445 | 3.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.220996E-5 | 1.0220779E-4 | 1.4154252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.7881676E-4 | 9.187816E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759942 | 0.008809503 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.3531852E-5 | 4.3531447E-5 | 3.2169614 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8592806E-5 | 5.7992405E-5 | 8.7990666E-5 | 1.5172791 | 3.0E-5 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.058363E-4 | 7.4580807E-4 | 1.0566304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0070377225 | 0.007087371 | 1.0070546 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.3398849E-5 | 4.3398446E-5 | 3.2389684 | 3.0E-5 | 7.809766E-5 | 5.7422418E-5 | 8.7420696E-5 | 1.5224141 | 3.0E-5 | 9.504242E-4 | 6.9890113E-4 | 7.3887315E-4 | 1.0571927 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.006968806 | 0.0070184576 | 1.0071248 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.2870461E-5 | 3.2870204E-5 | 2.553926 | 2.0E-5 | 7.505249E-5 | 5.5157994E-5 | 7.515689E-5 | 1.3625748 | 2.0E-5 | 9.13381E-4 | 6.7134894E-4 | 7.013288E-4 | 1.0446562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.0066990927 | 0.006738825 | 1.0059309 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.2800598E-5 | 3.280034E-5 | 2.562407 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.4858592E-5 | 7.48575E-5 | 1.3645537 | 2.0E-5 | 9.083966E-4 | 6.6770596E-4 | 6.9768593E-4 | 1.0449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0066622035 | 0.006701937 | 1.005964 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.1898953E-5 | 3.1898715E-5 | 2.6808002 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.0994553E-5 | 7.0993534E-5 | 1.3921788 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.206883E-4 | 6.506697E-4 | 1.0483035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.0061948528 | 0.006234605 | 1.0064169 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 9.943968E-6 | 2.9943769E-5 | 3.0112495 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.261632E-5 | 6.2615465E-5 | 1.4692838 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.187324E-4 | 5.3872203E-4 | 1.0385355 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0051788953 | 0.00520874 | 1.0057627 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 9.4487905E-6 | 2.9448602E-5 | 3.1166532 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.0494197E-5 | 6.049339E-5 | 1.4938779 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9922156E-4 | 4.929075E-4 | 5.128976E-4 | 1.0405556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.004921265 | 0.0049411664 | 1.0040439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.254646E-6 | 2.825448E-5 | 3.4228582 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.537658E-5 | 5.5375873E-5 | 1.5653257 | 2.0E-5 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.3062624E-4 | 4.5061763E-4 | 1.046424 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063146 | 0.004299215 | 0.004319129 | 1.004632 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 6.964818E-6 | 2.6964679E-5 | 3.8715553 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5019697E-5 | 2.9848885E-5 | 4.9848288E-5 | 1.6700218 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.6335082E-4 | 3.8334355E-4 | 1.0550232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005466277 | 0.003627877 | 0.0036478045 | 1.0054929 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.25371E-6 | 2.6253585E-5 | 4.1980815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.6801345E-5 | 4.680081E-5 | 1.7462112 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.2625868E-4 | 3.4625217E-4 | 1.0612811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005009353 | 0.0032579228 | 0.0032778578 | 1.0061189 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.191826E-6 | 1.5191774E-5 | 2.9260945 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.2250499E-5 | 3.225028E-5 | 1.4494181 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.7086723E-4 | 2.8086454E-4 | 1.0369085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004277392 | 0.0027054788 | 0.0027154519 | 1.0036862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.295868E-6 | 1.4295825E-5 | 3.3278081 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9892764E-5 | 1.841074E-5 | 2.8410555E-5 | 1.5431513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.2412867E-4 | 2.3412643E-4 | 1.0446073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0022391244 | 0.0022491019 | 1.004456 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.116721E-6 | 2.116721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.071632E-6 | 9.071632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.1044215E-4 | 1.1044215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0011039339 | 0.0011039339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 7.732705E-5 | 1.1485173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 7.732705E-5 | 1.1485173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 7.732705E-5 | 1.1485173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 7.732705E-5 | 1.1485173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 7.732705E-5 | 1.1485173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.705995E-5 | 7.705928E-5 | 1.1491103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.1615074E-4 | 8.561181E-4 | 1.0489706 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426618 | 0.008476197 | 1.0058836 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.705995E-5 | 7.705928E-5 | 1.1491103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.1615074E-4 | 8.561181E-4 | 1.0489706 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426618 | 0.008476197 | 1.0058836 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 1.5576426E-5 | 1.5576426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 6.6754415E-5 | 7.675375E-5 | 1.1497928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 8.124337E-4 | 8.524012E-4 | 1.0491948 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.008389709 | 0.008439289 | 1.0059097 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 1.5499534E-5 | 1.5499534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 6.6424895E-5 | 7.642423E-5 | 1.150536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 8.084247E-4 | 8.483924E-4 | 1.049439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.008349746 | 0.008399327 | 1.0059382 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 1.5426702E-5 | 1.5426702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 6.611277E-5 | 7.611211E-5 | 1.1512467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 8.0462743E-4 | 8.4459526E-4 | 1.0496725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.008311863 | 0.008361448 | 1.0059655 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 1.502157E-5 | 1.502157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 6.4376574E-5 | 7.437593E-5 | 1.155326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 7.835046E-4 | 8.2347327E-4 | 1.0510126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.008101562 | 0.008151157 | 1.0061216 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 1.4860489E-5 | 1.4860489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 6.368626E-5 | 7.3685624E-5 | 1.1570097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 7.75106E-4 | 8.15075E-4 | 1.0515659 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.008017744 | 0.008067343 | 1.0061861 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 1.413291E-5 | 1.413291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 6.0568218E-5 | 7.0567614E-5 | 1.1650931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 7.3717005E-4 | 7.7714055E-4 | 1.0542215 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.007637601 | 0.007687219 | 1.0064965 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 1.3002423E-5 | 1.3002423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 5.5723485E-5 | 6.572293E-5 | 1.1794475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 6.782235E-4 | 7.1819633E-4 | 1.0589377 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.00704602 | 0.007095668 | 1.0070462 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 1.2770401E-5 | 1.2770401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 5.472915E-5 | 6.47286E-5 | 1.182708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 6.6612486E-4 | 7.060982E-4 | 1.0600088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.0069242395 | 0.006973893 | 1.007171 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 1.2376186E-5 | 1.2376186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 5.3039726E-5 | 6.3039195E-5 | 1.188528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 6.4556854E-4 | 6.855427E-4 | 1.0619209 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.006716367 | 0.006766031 | 1.0073946 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.11978325E-5 | 1.11978325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 4.7989834E-5 | 5.7989353E-5 | 1.2083675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 5.841206E-4 | 6.240972E-4 | 1.068439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.00609486 | 0.0061445553 | 1.0081537 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 9.281346E-6 | 9.281346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 3.977659E-5 | 4.9776194E-5 | 1.2513942 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 4.841727E-4 | 5.241533E-4 | 1.0825752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.005087326 | 0.0051370715 | 1.0097784 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 7.865375E-6 | 7.865375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 3.3708315E-5 | 4.370798E-5 | 1.2966527 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 4.103216E-4 | 4.503052E-4 | 1.0974445 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.0043387283 | 0.0043885116 | 1.0114741 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 5.477785E-6 | 5.477785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 2.3476012E-5 | 3.3475775E-5 | 1.4259567 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 2.8578308E-4 | 3.2577166E-4 | 1.1399263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0030729566 | 0.003122803 | 1.0162209 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 4.405218E-6 | 4.405218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 1.887937E-5 | 1.887937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 2.298322E-4 | 2.498276E-4 | 1.087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0024952614 | 0.0025251864 | 1.0119928 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 2.935685E-6 | 2.935685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 1.2581447E-5 | 1.2581447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 1.5316845E-4 | 1.6316693E-4 | 1.0652776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0016759658 | 0.0016959322 | 1.0119134 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 2.2909046E-7 | 2.2909046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 9.818159E-7 | 9.818159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 1.1953543E-5 | 1.1953543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 1.4381319E-4 | 1.4381319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 1.2995463E-8 | 1.2995463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 5.569484E-8 | 5.569484E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 6.7808446E-7 | 6.7808446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 8.522226E-6 | 8.522226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Vicente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 3.0383992E-5 | 79.12446 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 4.1645657E-5 | 25.305372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 6.003571E-5 | 2.9963155 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034773E-4 | 2.503377E-4 | 1.2495161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 3.0383992E-5 | 79.12446 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 4.1645657E-5 | 25.305372 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 6.003571E-5 | 2.9963155 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034773E-4 | 2.503377E-4 | 1.2495161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.674567E-7 | 3.0367446E-5 | 82.64224 | 3.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 4.157475E-5 | 26.399794 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 5.9172424E-5 | 3.0862062 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.4170644E-4 | 1.2607524 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.674567E-7 | 3.0367446E-5 | 82.64224 | 3.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 4.157475E-5 | 26.399794 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 5.9172424E-5 | 3.0862062 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.4170644E-4 | 1.2607524 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0298014E-5 | 34.55517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772133E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 3.5549652E-5 | 2.286157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.5548879E-4 | 1.8548412E-4 | 1.19291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0298014E-5 | 34.55517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772133E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 3.5549652E-5 | 2.286157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.5548879E-4 | 1.8548412E-4 | 1.19291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1973437E-7 | 2.9494197E-7 | 1.0294939E-5 | 34.904964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3702895E-6 | 1.2640363E-6 | 2.1264012E-5 | 16.82231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6683147E-5 | 1.5389534E-5 | 3.5389225E-5 | 2.2995646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6681894E-4 | 1.5388474E-4 | 1.8388013E-4 | 1.1949211 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0841164E-7 | 2.8355586E-7 | 1.0283553E-5 | 36.266407 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3217634E-6 | 1.2152389E-6 | 2.1215215E-5 | 17.457651 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6092352E-5 | 1.4795432E-5 | 3.4795135E-5 | 2.3517485 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6091186E-4 | 1.4794452E-4 | 1.7794008E-4 | 1.2027488 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.883202E-7 | 2.633195E-7 | 1.0263317E-5 | 38.97667 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2356575E-6 | 1.1285116E-6 | 2.112849E-5 | 18.722439 | 2.0E-5 | 1.50440255E-5 | 1.3739543E-5 | 3.3739267E-5 | 2.4556327 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5043007E-4 | 1.3738696E-4 | 1.6738284E-4 | 1.2183313 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.66663E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1428409E-6 | 1.0349404E-6 | 1.103493E-5 | 10.662382 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3914E-5 | 1.2600326E-5 | 2.26002E-5 | 1.7936202 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3913128E-4 | 1.2599614E-4 | 1.4599362E-4 | 1.158715 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3733546E-7 | 2.1209026E-7 | 2.1209026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0171515E-6 | 9.089579E-7 | 1.0908949E-5 | 12.0016 | 1.0E-5 | 1.238375E-5 | 1.1066506E-5 | 2.1066395E-5 | 1.9036176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.238306E-4 | 1.1065956E-4 | 1.3065735E-4 | 1.1807145 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.123689E-7 | 1.8709768E-7 | 1.8709768E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015215E-7 | 8.018469E-7 | 1.08018385E-5 | 13.471198 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1081046E-5 | 9.7624425E-6 | 1.9762345E-5 | 2.024324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1080493E-4 | 9.762014E-5 | 1.1761819E-4 | 1.2048558 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8244859E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8192227E-7 | 6.737014E-7 | 1.0673694E-5 | 15.843362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.519862E-6 | 8.2022825E-6 | 1.8202201E-5 | 2.2191627 | 1.0E-5 | 9.519454E-5 | 8.201981E-5 | 9.2018985E-5 | 1.1219118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.611936E-7 | 1.3784177E-7 | 1.3784177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9082955E-7 | 5.907503E-7 | 1.0590745E-5 | 17.927616 | 1.0E-5 | 8.410817E-6 | 7.192361E-6 | 1.719229E-5 | 2.3903542 | 1.0E-5 | 8.410499E-5 | 7.1921284E-5 | 8.192057E-5 | 1.1390309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.414892E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.063821E-7 | 5.178425E-7 | 1.0517837E-5 | 20.31088 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3826773E-6 | 6.304714E-6 | 1.6304652E-5 | 2.5861046 | 1.0E-5 | 7.382432E-5 | 6.304536E-5 | 7.304473E-5 | 1.1586059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0709291E-7 | 9.0604225E-8 | 9.0604225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5896954E-7 | 3.8830376E-7 | 1.03883E-5 | 26.753025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5879395E-6 | 4.727588E-6 | 1.47275405E-5 | 3.1152337 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5877994E-5 | 4.7274876E-5 | 5.7274403E-5 | 1.2115189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.746737E-8 | 5.3744337E-8 | 5.3744337E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8914585E-7 | 2.3033286E-7 | 1.023033E-5 | 44.41542 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5203448E-6 | 2.804299E-6 | 1.2804271E-5 | 4.5659437 | 1.0E-5 | 3.520289E-5 | 2.8042637E-5 | 3.8042355E-5 | 1.3565898 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8940264E-8 | 1.8494754E-8 | 1.8494754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.240297E-7 | 7.926322E-8 | 7.926322E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100605E-6 | 9.650292E-7 | 9.650292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100502E-5 | 9.650252E-6 | 9.650252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0151455E-8 | 5.9531127E-9 | 5.9531127E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3506233E-8 | 2.5513335E-8 | 2.5513335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.296883E-7 | 3.1062484E-7 | 3.1062484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2968703E-6 | 3.106244E-6 | 3.106244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 7.064699E-5 | 1.164877 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.5989334E-4 | 2.6989073E-4 | 1.0384673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002657418 | 0.003159838 | 0.0031797749 | 1.0063094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026258636 | 0.031173872 | 0.031212624 | 1.0012431 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 5.965357E-5 | 1.2013834 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 2.2278442E-4 | 1.0469855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022024813 | 0.0025877433 | 0.0026076916 | 1.0077088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0218078 | 0.025591671 | 0.025630647 | 1.001523 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0016942915 | 0.0017042744 | 1.0058922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.016819766 | 0.01683943 | 1.0011691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0013821534 | 0.0013921396 | 1.007225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.013739847 | 0.013759571 | 1.0014356 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0010906367 | 0.0011006258 | 1.009159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009963818 | 0.010856139 | 0.010875922 | 1.0018222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008319422 | 0.008329338 | 1.001192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0056498717 | 0.0056498717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0045441827 | 0.0045441827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0037554658 | 0.0037554658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0024683103 | 0.0024683103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.307101E-6 | 6.307101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.678633E-5 | 7.678633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.6760625E-4 | 7.6760625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.3323796E-7 | 6.3323796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012804986 | 1.0038699 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012804986 | 1.0038699 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012804986 | 1.0038699 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012804986 | 1.0038699 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 2.3492114E-5 | 1.7411563 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 6.782257E-5 | 1.1729311 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.1385223E-4 | 1.0141973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070549115 | 1.0042404 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 2.3492114E-5 | 1.7411563 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 6.782257E-5 | 1.1729311 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.1385223E-4 | 1.0141973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070549115 | 1.0042404 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.430301E-6 | 1.9430207E-5 | 2.0604014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.04154E-5 | 5.0414998E-5 | 1.2474204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 4.9202616E-4 | 5.020212E-4 | 1.0203141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.004917187 | 0.0049370886 | 1.0040474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 7.917421E-6 | 1.7917342E-5 | 2.2630277 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.3931803E-5 | 4.3931464E-5 | 1.2946987 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.131197E-4 | 4.231156E-4 | 1.024196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004131197 | 0.0041511147 | 1.0048212 | 2.0E-5 |
South Cuyama
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 2.128058E-5 | 16.617592 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 2.5488189E-5 | 4.644097 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 1.16814714E-4 | 1.7482507 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 7.179532E-4 | 1.0748018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.4566324E-7 | 8.498804E-7 | 2.0849864E-5 | 24.532703 | 2.0E-5 | 3.624266E-6 | 3.6423394E-6 | 2.3642266E-5 | 6.4909563 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4124543E-5 | 4.434459E-5 | 9.434237E-5 | 2.1274834 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4115784E-4 | 4.4335844E-4 | 4.933363E-4 | 1.1127256 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.2277904E-7 | 8.268957E-7 | 2.082688E-5 | 25.186827 | 2.0E-5 | 3.526191E-6 | 3.5438338E-6 | 2.3543764E-5 | 6.643585 | 2.0E-5 | 4.293053E-5 | 4.3145334E-5 | 9.314318E-5 | 2.158824 | 5.0E-5 | 4.292224E-4 | 4.3137057E-4 | 4.81349E-4 | 1.1158596 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7661887E-7 | 6.8015214E-7 | 1.0680145E-5 | 15.702583 | 1.0E-5 | 2.899792E-6 | 2.9149344E-6 | 1.2914905E-5 | 4.4305987 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5304394E-5 | 3.5488752E-5 | 6.5487686E-5 | 1.8453083 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5298787E-4 | 3.5483125E-4 | 3.848206E-4 | 1.0845172 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.783336E-7 | 5.814482E-7 | 1.0581442E-5 | 18.198427 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4785702E-6 | 2.4919184E-6 | 1.2491893E-5 | 5.0129623 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0176174E-5 | 3.0338688E-5 | 6.0337778E-5 | 1.9888065 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0172078E-4 | 3.033457E-4 | 3.3333662E-4 | 1.098867 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.136759E-7 | 5.16488E-7 | 5.16488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2014663E-6 | 2.2135182E-6 | 2.2135182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6802521E-5 | 2.6949252E-5 | 4.6948713E-5 | 1.7421156 | 2.0E-5 | 2.679929E-4 | 2.6946006E-4 | 2.8945465E-4 | 1.0742025 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.3370295E-7 | 4.3613056E-7 | 4.3613056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8587256E-6 | 1.8691297E-6 | 1.8691297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2629749E-5 | 2.2756418E-5 | 4.2755964E-5 | 1.878853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2627445E-4 | 2.2754105E-4 | 2.475365E-4 | 1.0878762 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.3242574E-7 | 3.3434995E-7 | 3.3434995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4246809E-6 | 1.4329275E-6 | 1.4329275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7345352E-5 | 1.7445755E-5 | 1.7445755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7343998E-4 | 1.7444398E-4 | 1.7444398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0627535E-7 | 2.0752056E-7 | 2.0752056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840369E-7 | 8.893735E-7 | 8.893735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0763096E-5 | 1.0828069E-5 | 1.0828069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0762575E-4 | 1.08275504E-4 | 1.08275504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.15236E-8 | 6.190154E-8 | 6.190154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6367252E-7 | 2.6529227E-7 | 2.6529227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2102084E-6 | 3.2299288E-6 | 3.2299288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.210162E-5 | 3.2298827E-5 | 3.2298827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1765573E-8 | 1.1854249E-8 | 1.1854249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0423886E-8 | 5.0803926E-8 | 5.0803926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1391063E-7 | 6.185376E-7 | 6.185376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1390897E-6 | 6.1853607E-6 | 6.1853607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.0381755E-10 | 6.089489E-10 | 6.089489E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5877895E-9 | 2.6097813E-9 | 2.6097813E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506335E-8 | 3.1774086E-8 | 3.1774086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506332E-7 | 3.1774084E-7 | 3.1774084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.3807432E-4 | 1.4077977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011928325 | 1.0041591 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.3807432E-4 | 1.4077977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011928325 | 1.0041591 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.3807432E-4 | 1.4077977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011928325 | 1.0041591 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 2.0612253E-5 | 1.9422874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 5.5480366E-5 | 1.2198629 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.635957E-4 | 1.0180535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055334456 | 1.0018004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 2.0612253E-5 | 1.9422874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 5.5480366E-5 | 1.2198629 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.635957E-4 | 1.0180535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055334456 | 1.0018004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038361861 | 0.0038361861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027522508 | 0.0027522508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020209355 | 0.0020209355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014137835 | 0.0014137835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 3.0565032E-5 | 2.8929794 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 6.527796E-5 | 1.4416871 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.7112635E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.0055569164 | 1.009029 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 2.987652E-5 | 3.024944 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 6.232729E-5 | 1.4724789 | 2.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 5.352191E-4 | 1.0387976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.005149791 | 0.0051995334 | 1.0096592 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 2.987652E-5 | 3.024944 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 6.232729E-5 | 1.4724789 | 2.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 5.352191E-4 | 1.0387976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.005149791 | 0.0051995334 | 1.0096592 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 8.323499E-6 | 2.8323333E-5 | 3.4028156 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3591367E-5 | 3.567167E-5 | 5.5670956E-5 | 1.560649 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8718702E-4 | 4.3421914E-4 | 4.5421047E-4 | 1.0460397 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028681618 | 0.004342858 | 0.004382685 | 1.0091705 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 8.30013E-6 | 2.8299963E-5 | 3.409581 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3496545E-5 | 3.5571516E-5 | 5.5570803E-5 | 1.5622276 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8603288E-4 | 4.3300027E-4 | 4.529916E-4 | 1.0461694 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00285665 | 0.004330717 | 0.0043705436 | 1.0091964 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 8.286027E-6 | 2.8285862E-5 | 3.413682 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3439556E-5 | 3.551108E-5 | 5.551037E-5 | 1.5631845 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8533922E-4 | 4.3226473E-4 | 4.522561E-4 | 1.046248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028497311 | 0.0043233903 | 0.0043632174 | 1.009212 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 8.269311E-6 | 2.8269145E-5 | 3.4185612 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3372622E-5 | 3.543944E-5 | 5.5438733E-5 | 1.564323 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8452452E-4 | 4.313929E-4 | 4.5138426E-4 | 1.0463414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002841605 | 0.0043147057 | 0.0043545333 | 1.0092306 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 8.256729E-6 | 2.8256563E-5 | 3.4222467 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3323635E-5 | 3.538552E-5 | 5.538481E-5 | 1.5651829 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8392827E-4 | 4.3073666E-4 | 4.5072805E-4 | 1.0464121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028356577 | 0.0043081692 | 0.004347997 | 1.0092447 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 8.206053E-6 | 2.8205888E-5 | 3.4372053 | 2.0E-5 | 2.313663E-5 | 3.516834E-5 | 5.516764E-5 | 1.5686733 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8165206E-4 | 4.2809357E-4 | 4.4808502E-4 | 1.0466988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0042818408 | 0.004321669 | 1.0093018 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 8.139322E-6 | 2.8139159E-5 | 3.457187 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2962136E-5 | 3.488236E-5 | 5.4881664E-5 | 1.5733356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7952815E-4 | 4.2461313E-4 | 4.446046E-4 | 1.0470817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002791768 | 0.0042471783 | 0.0042870087 | 1.0093781 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 7.062153E-6 | 2.7062011E-5 | 3.8319776 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0610469E-5 | 3.0266036E-5 | 5.026543E-5 | 1.6607867 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5090357E-4 | 3.684296E-4 | 3.8842225E-4 | 1.0542644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025062046 | 0.003687131 | 0.0037269837 | 1.0108086 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 2.1014678E-6 | 1.2101447E-5 | 5.758569 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853334E-6 | 9.00626E-6 | 1.9006171E-5 | 2.1103287 | 1.0E-5 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.09645836E-4 | 1.19644734E-4 | 1.0911927 | 1.0E-5 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0011018335 | 0.0011218116 | 1.0181316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 1.1557488E-6 | 1.1557488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 4.9532E-6 | 4.9532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 6.0303548E-5 | 6.0303548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 6.087659E-4 | 6.1875983E-4 | 1.0164167 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 6.009496E-7 | 6.009496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 2.5754957E-6 | 2.5754957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 3.1356212E-5 | 3.1356212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 3.1891104E-4 | 3.1891104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 3.1455477E-7 | 3.1455477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 1.3480911E-6 | 1.3480911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 1.6412887E-5 | 1.6412887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 1.6748761E-4 | 1.6748761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 2.4961688E-9 | 2.4961688E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 1.06978675E-8 | 1.06978675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 1.3024653E-7 | 1.3024653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 1.3973696E-6 | 1.3973696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.818585E-4 | 1.1190809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002565825 | 1.0198232 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.1838886E-4 | 1.1592103 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019323301 | 1.0265115 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.1838886E-4 | 1.1592103 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019323301 | 1.0265115 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1050413E-6 | 2.310498E-5 | 7.4411182 | 2.0E-5 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3307255E-5 | 3.330699E-5 | 2.5029194 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6200446E-4 | 1.919996E-4 | 1.18515 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015864341 | 0.00161893 | 0.0016588653 | 1.0246676 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.590645E-6 | 1.2590619E-5 | 4.8600326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1102719E-5 | 2.1102609E-5 | 1.9006702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3516769E-4 | 1.4516634E-4 | 1.0739722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013509011 | 0.001370874 | 1.0147849 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.287203E-6 | 1.228718E-5 | 5.372143 | 1.0E-5 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.802264E-6 | 1.9802166E-5 | 2.0201626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.19336466E-4 | 1.2933527E-4 | 1.0837867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0011927673 | 0.0012127433 | 1.0167477 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.776146E-5 | 8.776146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.7729277E-4 | 8.87284E-4 | 1.0113887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4128945E-5 | 5.4128945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4116896E-4 | 5.511635E-4 | 1.0184685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.694065E-5 | 4.694065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.693181E-4 | 4.793134E-4 | 1.0212975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.317402E-5 | 3.317402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3169717E-4 | 3.4169384E-4 | 1.030138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2609518E-5 | 1.2609518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2609006E-4 | 1.360888E-4 | 1.0792984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.659485E-8 | 9.659485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1760364E-5 | 2.1760246E-5 | 1.8503038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 1.2894534E-5 | 4.454743 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 3.094552E-5 | 2.8271751 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 6.690882E-5 | 1.4263306 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 6.010112E-4 | 1.0525068 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.00574046 | 1.0069767 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 3.094552E-5 | 2.8271751 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 6.690882E-5 | 1.4263306 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 6.010112E-4 | 1.0525068 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.00574046 | 1.0069767 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011420959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011420959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 3.169825E-5 | 2.7096033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 7.013441E-5 | 1.3988996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.402133E-4 | 1.0491316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006469815 | 1.0061808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 3.169825E-5 | 2.7096033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 7.013441E-5 | 1.3988996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.402133E-4 | 1.0491316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006469815 | 1.0061808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 3.169825E-5 | 2.7096033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 7.013441E-5 | 1.3988996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.402133E-4 | 1.0491316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006469815 | 1.0061808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 3.169825E-5 | 2.7096033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 7.013441E-5 | 1.3988996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.402133E-4 | 1.0491316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006469815 | 1.0061808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 3.169825E-5 | 2.7096033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 7.013441E-5 | 1.3988996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.402133E-4 | 1.0491316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006469815 | 1.0061808 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095819E-6 | 2.9095638E-5 | 3.1987922 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898151E-5 | 5.898073E-5 | 1.5130438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449808E-4 | 5.044838E-4 | 1.0631948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043558 | 0.005083356 | 1.0078909 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095819E-6 | 2.9095638E-5 | 3.1987922 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898151E-5 | 5.898073E-5 | 1.5130438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449808E-4 | 5.044838E-4 | 1.0631948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043558 | 0.005083356 | 1.0078909 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 8.569108E-6 | 2.8568937E-5 | 3.333945 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 3.672424E-5 | 5.6723507E-5 | 1.5445794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 4.4702727E-4 | 4.7701385E-4 | 1.06708 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.0047635417 | 0.004803351 | 1.0083572 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 8.355365E-6 | 2.8355198E-5 | 3.3936517 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 3.580822E-5 | 5.5807504E-5 | 1.5585109 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 4.3587925E-4 | 4.6586618E-4 | 1.0687964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.004646457 | 0.004686271 | 1.0085688 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 8.266087E-6 | 2.8265922E-5 | 3.4195044 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 3.5425615E-5 | 5.5424905E-5 | 1.5645432 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 4.3122284E-4 | 4.6120991E-4 | 1.0695395 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.00459695 | 0.0046367664 | 1.0086614 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 7.3422057E-6 | 2.734206E-5 | 3.723957 | 2.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 3.146622E-5 | 5.146559E-5 | 1.6355822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 3.830349E-4 | 4.130234E-4 | 1.0782919 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.0040865894 | 0.0041264263 | 1.0097481 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 6.531453E-6 | 2.6531323E-5 | 4.0620856 | 2.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 2.7991646E-5 | 4.7991085E-5 | 1.7144789 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 3.4074578E-4 | 3.7073556E-4 | 1.0880122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0036339061 | 0.0036737607 | 1.0109675 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 5.7019147E-6 | 2.57018E-5 | 4.5075736 | 2.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 2.4436553E-5 | 4.4436063E-5 | 1.818426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 2.97475E-4 | 3.2746608E-4 | 1.1008188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0031700109 | 0.003209884 | 1.0125782 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 5.5637233E-6 | 2.5563611E-5 | 4.594695 | 2.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 2.3844314E-5 | 4.3843836E-5 | 1.8387544 | 2.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 2.9026644E-4 | 3.2025774E-4 | 1.1033233 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.00308819 | 0.0031280664 | 1.0129125 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 5.4780985E-6 | 2.547799E-5 | 4.650882 | 2.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 2.3477358E-5 | 4.3476888E-5 | 1.8518646 | 2.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 2.8579994E-4 | 3.1579135E-4 | 1.1049385 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0030394224 | 0.003079301 | 1.0131204 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 5.0214985E-6 | 2.5021398E-5 | 4.982855 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 2.1520535E-5 | 4.1520103E-5 | 1.929325 | 2.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 2.6198148E-4 | 2.8197624E-4 | 1.0763212 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0027878648 | 0.0028177812 | 1.010731 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 4.155505E-6 | 2.4155423E-5 | 5.8128724 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 1.7809187E-5 | 3.780883E-5 | 2.1229959 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 2.1680548E-4 | 2.3680115E-4 | 1.0922285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.00231927 | 0.0023492007 | 1.0129051 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 3.2611995E-6 | 2.3261135E-5 | 7.132693 | 2.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 1.3976494E-5 | 3.3976215E-5 | 2.430954 | 2.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 1.7015057E-4 | 1.9014717E-4 | 1.117523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0018439038 | 0.0018738484 | 1.0162399 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 2.7897916E-6 | 2.2789736E-5 | 8.168974 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 1.1956195E-5 | 3.1955955E-5 | 2.672753 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 1.4555697E-4 | 1.6555407E-4 | 1.1373832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.001590022 | 0.0016199744 | 1.0188377 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 2.2031945E-6 | 2.220315E-5 | 10.077707 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 9.4422285E-6 | 2.9442039E-5 | 3.118124 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 1.1495309E-4 | 1.349508E-4 | 1.173964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0012756543 | 0.0013056161 | 1.0234873 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 1.7254588E-6 | 2.1725424E-5 | 12.5911 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 7.3948027E-6 | 2.7394655E-5 | 3.7045822 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 9.002802E-5 | 1.1002622E-4 | 1.222133 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0010128025 | 0.0010327823 | 1.0197272 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 3.564062E-7 | 3.564062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 1.5274542E-6 | 1.5274542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 1.8596596E-5 | 1.8596596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 2.2143817E-4 | 2.2143817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 9.693613E-8 | 9.693613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 4.1544047E-7 | 4.1544047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 5.057976E-6 | 5.057976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 6.766323E-5 | 6.766323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.892697E-8 | 3.892697E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.6682986E-7 | 1.6682986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 2.0311518E-6 | 2.0311518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 2.8102135E-5 | 2.8102135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 4.4537923E-5 | 3.0634763 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0230338E-4 | 1.6419541 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.9829665E-4 | 1.0527077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 4.4537923E-5 | 3.0634763 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0230338E-4 | 1.6419541 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.9829665E-4 | 1.0527077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 4.4537923E-5 | 3.0634763 | 3.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0230338E-4 | 1.6419541 | 4.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.9829665E-4 | 1.0527077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 3.1654436E-5 | 2.7160308 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 7.994618E-5 | 1.6005986 | 3.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.379352E-4 | 1.0493159 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.0060937367 | 1.0049173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 3.1654436E-5 | 2.7160308 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 7.994618E-5 | 1.6005986 | 3.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.379352E-4 | 1.0493159 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.0060937367 | 1.0049173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0330346E-5 | 3.033014E-5 | 2.9360235 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 7.427089E-5 | 1.677596 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.3888996E-4 | 5.6887383E-4 | 1.05564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0053767376 | 0.005406576 | 1.0055496 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 2.9300914E-5 | 3.150263 | 2.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 6.986011E-5 | 1.7525797 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 5.151974E-4 | 1.0617987 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0048423875 | 0.004872242 | 1.0061653 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 2.9291545E-5 | 3.1524315 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 6.981995E-5 | 1.7533386 | 3.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 5.1470875E-4 | 1.061861 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004837522 | 0.0048673768 | 1.0061715 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 2.729025E-5 | 3.7433152 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 5.12436E-5 | 1.6400983 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 4.003324E-4 | 1.0525645 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0037976773 | 0.0038176014 | 1.0052464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 2.5207803E-5 | 4.840295 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 4.2318996E-5 | 1.8960598 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 2.9170592E-4 | 1.0735875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027143832 | 0.0027343289 | 1.0073482 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018483351 | 0.0018483351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hector Mine
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010581568 | 1.0037544 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010581568 | 1.0037544 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010581568 | 1.0037544 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010581568 | 1.0037544 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 6.041466E-5 | 1.198343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.336486E-4 | 1.0325713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.006152346 | 1.0048699 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 6.041466E-5 | 1.198343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.336486E-4 | 1.0325713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.006152346 | 1.0048699 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0730738E-5 | 1.1592768E-5 | 1.1592768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5988065E-5 | 4.968251E-5 | 5.968201E-5 | 1.2012681 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5976084E-4 | 6.047457E-4 | 6.247336E-4 | 1.0330517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055835294 | 0.0060338643 | 0.0060636834 | 1.0049419 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.881326E-6 | 8.512061E-6 | 8.512061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3776672E-5 | 3.647986E-5 | 4.6479498E-5 | 1.2741139 | 1.0E-5 | 4.111534E-4 | 4.4407113E-4 | 4.6406226E-4 | 1.0450178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041039353 | 0.0044337404 | 0.0044636074 | 1.0067363 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5683483E-6 | 8.174487E-6 | 8.174487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2435375E-5 | 3.5033157E-5 | 4.5032804E-5 | 1.2854339 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9482914E-4 | 4.264645E-4 | 4.4645596E-4 | 1.0468773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039412836 | 0.0042583584 | 0.0042882306 | 1.007015 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.473048E-6 | 6.9934968E-6 | 6.9934968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7741338E-5 | 2.997189E-5 | 3.997159E-5 | 1.3336359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3769844E-4 | 3.6486558E-4 | 3.848583E-4 | 1.0547947 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033718573 | 0.0036445225 | 0.0036744133 | 1.0082015 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9959954E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1411232E-5 | 2.313452E-5 | 3.313429E-5 | 1.4322444 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6065056E-4 | 2.8164402E-4 | 3.0163839E-4 | 1.0709916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026034506 | 0.0028146019 | 0.0028445174 | 1.0106287 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2997541E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5703626E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7817055E-5 | 7.287684E-5 | 8.287611E-5 | 1.1372077 | 1.0E-5 | 6.779636E-4 | 7.2856364E-4 | 7.385564E-4 | 1.0137156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.392699E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596866E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3790962E-5 | 4.7187797E-5 | 5.7187324E-5 | 1.2119092 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3782333E-4 | 4.7180042E-4 | 4.817957E-4 | 1.0211854 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.13015E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3414921E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6332544E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6331344E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.228442E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3835446E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 9.515343E-5 | 1.1174239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016831639 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010662383 | 1.02892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016704723 | 0.01061703 | 0.010656605 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.226985E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829203E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 9.515343E-5 | 1.1174239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001682405 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010662383 | 1.02892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016697248 | 0.01061703 | 0.010656605 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2120504E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3765205E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 9.515343E-5 | 1.1174239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016746253 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010662383 | 1.02892 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016620617 | 0.01061703 | 0.010656605 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.206246E-5 | 1.9826055E-5 | 1.9826055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374033E-4 | 8.496609E-5 | 9.496524E-5 | 1.117684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016716016 | 0.0010339802 | 0.0010639492 | 1.0289841 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016590832 | 0.010594481 | 0.010634057 | 1.0037355 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 1.9792162E-5 | 1.9792162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 8.4820844E-5 | 9.4819996E-5 | 1.1178856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0010322136 | 0.0010621826 | 1.0290338 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.010577155 | 0.010616732 | 1.0037417 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 1.9532206E-5 | 1.9532206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 8.3706815E-5 | 9.370598E-5 | 1.1194546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0010186629 | 0.0010486324 | 1.0294204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.010443532 | 0.010483115 | 1.0037901 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 1.9379582E-5 | 1.9379582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 8.305276E-5 | 9.305193E-5 | 1.1203954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0010107072 | 0.001040677 | 1.0296522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.010365069 | 0.010404655 | 1.0038191 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 1.9010247E-5 | 1.9010247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 8.1469996E-5 | 9.146918E-5 | 1.1227345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 9.914547E-4 | 0.001021425 | 1.0302286 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.010175064 | 0.010214657 | 1.0038912 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 1.8843368E-5 | 1.8843368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 8.075484E-5 | 9.075403E-5 | 1.1238216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 9.827556E-4 | 0.0010127261 | 1.0304964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.010088218 | 0.010127815 | 1.003925 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 1.4797885E-5 | 1.4797885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 6.341798E-5 | 7.3417345E-5 | 1.157674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 7.718429E-4 | 8.018197E-4 | 1.038838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.0079620555 | 0.008001736 | 1.0049838 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.33958565E-5 | 1.33958565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 5.740956E-5 | 6.740898E-5 | 1.174177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 6.9873885E-4 | 7.287179E-4 | 1.0429045 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.007218693 | 0.007258404 | 1.0055012 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.3243312E-5 | 1.3243312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 5.675583E-5 | 6.675526E-5 | 1.1761833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 6.907848E-4 | 7.2076404E-4 | 1.0433989 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.007139279 | 0.007178994 | 1.0055628 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.2543086E-5 | 1.2543086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 5.3754982E-5 | 6.375444E-5 | 1.1860193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 6.5427186E-4 | 6.842522E-4 | 1.0458225 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.0067731184 | 0.0068128477 | 1.0058657 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.1496899E-5 | 1.1496899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 4.92715E-5 | 5.927101E-5 | 1.202947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 5.997166E-4 | 6.296986E-4 | 1.0499936 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.0062255417 | 0.0062652924 | 1.0063851 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.1322907E-5 | 1.1322907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 4.8525846E-5 | 5.8525362E-5 | 1.2060658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 5.9064326E-4 | 6.206255E-4 | 1.050762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.006134232 | 0.0061739865 | 1.0064808 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.0989722E-5 | 1.0989722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 4.709796E-5 | 5.709749E-5 | 1.2123134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 5.73268E-4 | 6.032508E-4 | 1.0523015 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.005958205 | 0.005997967 | 1.0066735 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 9.869514E-6 | 9.869514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 4.2297233E-5 | 5.229681E-5 | 1.236412 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 5.1484816E-4 | 5.4483267E-4 | 1.0582396 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.0053666774 | 0.0054064626 | 1.0074134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 7.970792E-6 | 7.970792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 3.416009E-5 | 4.4159748E-5 | 1.2927293 | 1.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 4.1582E-4 | 4.458075E-4 | 1.0721166 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.0043676845 | 0.0044075097 | 1.0091182 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 6.661645E-6 | 6.661645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 2.8549593E-5 | 3.8549308E-5 | 1.3502576 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 3.4753603E-4 | 3.775256E-4 | 1.086292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.0036748736 | 0.0037147265 | 1.0108447 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 4.59787E-6 | 4.59787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 1.9705009E-5 | 2.9704812E-5 | 1.5074751 | 1.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 2.398822E-4 | 2.6987502E-4 | 1.1250314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0025804034 | 0.0026203 | 1.0154614 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 3.6845422E-6 | 3.6845422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 1.57908E-5 | 1.57908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 1.9223614E-4 | 2.0223422E-4 | 1.0520093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.002088953 | 0.0021089113 | 1.0095541 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 2.8017735E-6 | 2.8017735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 1.2007546E-5 | 1.2007546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 1.4618217E-4 | 1.561807E-4 | 1.0683978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0015975888 | 0.0016175568 | 1.0124989 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 2.0638223E-7 | 2.0638223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 8.8449497E-7 | 8.8449497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 1.0768675E-5 | 1.0768675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 1.291672E-4 | 1.291672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 9.686525E-9 | 9.686525E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 4.151368E-8 | 4.151368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 5.0542894E-7 | 5.0542894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 6.336597E-6 | 6.336597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 7.374335E-5 | 1.1568675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 7.8580086E-4 | 1.0128797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.00781859 | 1.0051022 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 1.4869088E-5 | 2.486894E-5 | 1.6725262 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 6.372311E-5 | 7.372248E-5 | 1.1569189 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 7.755546E-4 | 7.8554684E-4 | 1.012884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.0077763787 | 0.007816068 | 1.0051038 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 1.4845097E-5 | 2.4844949E-5 | 1.6736131 | 1.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 6.3620304E-5 | 7.361967E-5 | 1.1571726 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 7.743038E-4 | 7.84296E-4 | 1.0129049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.0077639576 | 0.0078036473 | 1.005112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 1.46957245E-5 | 2.4695577E-5 | 1.68046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 6.2980165E-5 | 7.2979536E-5 | 1.1587702 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 7.665156E-4 | 7.7650795E-4 | 1.013036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.007686616 | 0.007726309 | 1.0051639 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 1.4656732E-5 | 2.4656585E-5 | 1.6822703 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 6.2813066E-5 | 7.2812436E-5 | 1.1591926 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 7.6448254E-4 | 7.7447493E-4 | 1.0130707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.0076664262 | 0.0077061197 | 1.0051775 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 1.4126339E-5 | 2.4126197E-5 | 1.7078875 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 6.0540056E-5 | 7.053945E-5 | 1.1651698 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 7.368275E-4 | 7.468201E-4 | 1.0135617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.007391724 | 0.0074314284 | 1.0053715 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 1.407457E-5 | 2.4074428E-5 | 1.7104913 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 6.0318198E-5 | 7.031759E-5 | 1.1657774 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 7.341282E-4 | 7.441208E-4 | 1.0136116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.00736491 | 0.0074046156 | 1.0053911 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 1.3507213E-5 | 2.3507078E-5 | 1.7403352 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 5.788678E-5 | 6.78862E-5 | 1.172741 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 7.0454506E-4 | 7.14538E-4 | 1.0141835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.007070992 | 0.0071107093 | 1.0056169 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 1.338849E-5 | 2.3388357E-5 | 1.7469002 | 1.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 5.7377987E-5 | 6.737741E-5 | 1.1742729 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 6.983545E-4 | 7.0834754E-4 | 1.0143094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.0070094895 | 0.0070492094 | 1.0056665 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 1.2882456E-5 | 2.2882326E-5 | 1.7762395 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 5.5209366E-5 | 6.520881E-5 | 1.1811187 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 6.7196804E-4 | 6.8196136E-4 | 1.0148717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.0067472756 | 0.006787006 | 1.0058883 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.1974523E-5 | 2.1974403E-5 | 1.8350964 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 5.131838E-5 | 6.131786E-5 | 1.194852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 6.246233E-4 | 6.346171E-4 | 1.0159997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.0062755113 | 0.00631526 | 1.006334 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.1534035E-5 | 2.153392E-5 | 1.8669893 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 4.9430648E-5 | 5.9430153E-5 | 1.2022936 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 6.016531E-4 | 6.1164715E-4 | 1.0166109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.006047079 | 0.0060868366 | 1.0065747 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 9.415184E-6 | 1.9415089E-5 | 2.0621042 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 4.0350165E-5 | 5.0349765E-5 | 1.2478205 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 4.911534E-4 | 5.0114846E-4 | 1.0203502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.0049474034 | 0.004977255 | 1.0060338 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 5.6176477E-6 | 5.6176477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 2.407541E-5 | 2.407541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 2.9307872E-4 | 2.9307872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0029732233 | 0.002993164 | 1.0067067 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 4.0012387E-6 | 4.0012387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 1.7148053E-5 | 1.7148053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 2.0875757E-4 | 2.0875757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002444295 | 0.0021279163 | 0.0021378952 | 1.0046895 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 2.2103363E-6 | 2.2103363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 9.472836E-6 | 9.472836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 1.15325674E-4 | 1.15325674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0011696956 | 0.0011696956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 8.994977E-7 | 8.994977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 3.8549842E-6 | 3.8549842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 4.6933426E-5 | 4.6933426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 4.77813E-4 | 4.77813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 1.12239235E-7 | 1.12239235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 4.810252E-7 | 4.810252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 5.856466E-6 | 5.856466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 6.18383E-5 | 6.18383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 1.8049045E-8 | 1.8049045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 7.735305E-8 | 7.735305E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 9.4177295E-7 | 9.4177295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 1.0168614E-5 | 1.0168614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.618514E-5 | 6.4799904E-5 | 8.479861E-5 | 1.3086225 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4077125E-4 | 2.7768526E-4 | 3.0767694E-4 | 1.108006 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029274495 | 0.0033757505 | 0.0034156155 | 1.0118092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028891841 | 0.033265643 | 0.033304315 | 1.0011624 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 7.3938194E-5 | 1.3707674 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 2.6114166E-4 | 1.1297567 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.0028107355 | 0.0028406512 | 1.0106434 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.027767165 | 0.027796332 | 1.0010505 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 5.98662E-5 | 1.5016481 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 2.0084246E-4 | 1.1755651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0021080608 | 1.0144061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020620987 | 1.0014269 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 5.98662E-5 | 1.5016481 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 2.0084246E-4 | 1.1755651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0021080608 | 1.0144061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020620987 | 1.0014269 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 5.062077E-5 | 1.6531184 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.6122404E-4 | 1.2285798 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0015965445 | 0.0016264966 | 1.0187606 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.01585266 | 0.015882183 | 1.0018624 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 4.876033E-5 | 1.6953684 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.5325157E-4 | 1.2433673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0014996136 | 0.0015295686 | 1.0199752 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.014896658 | 0.014926211 | 1.0019839 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 4.4666882E-5 | 1.8107675 | 2.0E-5 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.3570991E-4 | 1.283757 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0012863044 | 0.0013162659 | 1.0232927 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.012789587 | 0.012819203 | 1.0023156 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 4.164167E-5 | 1.9241046 | 2.0E-5 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 1.2274581E-4 | 1.323425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010114936 | 0.001128634 | 0.0011586002 | 1.0265508 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.0112296585 | 0.011259322 | 1.0026414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 9.4046925E-5 | 1.1189699 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010228051 | 0.001032795 | 1.009767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010181492 | 0.01019139 | 1.0009722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 8.434108E-5 | 1.1345038 | 1.0E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.0473914E-4 | 9.147301E-4 | 1.011043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009010963 | 0.009020873 | 1.0010997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 7.378632E-5 | 1.1567619 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 7.763321E-4 | 7.863243E-4 | 1.012871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.007736506 | 0.0077464287 | 1.0012826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 6.813024E-5 | 1.1720158 | 1.0E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.0751534E-4 | 7.1750826E-4 | 1.0141239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007052908 | 0.007062838 | 1.0014079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 6.169826E-5 | 1.1934181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.2925316E-4 | 6.3924683E-4 | 1.0158819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006274972 | 0.0062849093 | 1.0015836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0034879397 | 0.0034879397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0028154708 | 0.0028154708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.3525582E-4 | 1.2048112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.00199156 | 1.0204556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.3525582E-4 | 1.2048112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.00199156 | 1.0204556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.3525582E-4 | 1.2048112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.00199156 | 1.0204556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.3525582E-4 | 1.2048112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.00199156 | 1.0204556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.3525582E-4 | 1.2048112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.00199156 | 1.0204556 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.244465E-7 | 9.244465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 9.839724E-7 | 9.839724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.021413E-7 | 7.021413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 8.548559E-6 | 8.548559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 8.5484484E-5 | 8.5484484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.305488E-4 | 3.405455E-4 | 1.0302427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040184967 | 0.004048376 | 1.0074354 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.039518245 | 0.039556663 | 1.0009722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.305488E-4 | 3.405455E-4 | 1.0302427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040184967 | 0.004048376 | 1.0074354 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.039518245 | 0.039556663 | 1.0009722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6963574E-5 | 7.393456E-5 | 7.393456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4410675E-4 | 3.1683253E-4 | 3.2682938E-4 | 1.0315524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029679495 | 0.0038521294 | 0.0038820137 | 1.0077579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029286223 | 0.037915584 | 0.037954066 | 1.001015 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 7.3890646E-5 | 7.3890646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.1664438E-4 | 3.2664122E-4 | 1.0315711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0038498468 | 0.0038797313 | 1.0077626 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.037893657 | 0.037932143 | 1.0010155 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 6.859843E-5 | 6.859843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 2.9396865E-4 | 3.039657E-4 | 1.0340072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0035747022 | 0.003604595 | 1.0083623 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.03526917 | 0.03530776 | 1.0010941 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 4.8339978E-5 | 4.8339978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.0716092E-4 | 2.1715884E-4 | 1.0482616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0025203368 | 0.0025502613 | 1.0118731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.025110573 | 0.025149567 | 1.0015529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 1.8816798E-5 | 1.8816798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 8.0641E-5 | 9.06402E-5 | 1.1239964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 9.81376E-4 | 0.0010113466 | 1.0305393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.01003038 | 0.010069979 | 1.0039479 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 1.8097933E-5 | 1.8097933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 7.756034E-5 | 8.7559565E-5 | 1.1289219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 9.4390195E-4 | 9.7387366E-4 | 1.031753 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.009658228 | 0.0096978415 | 1.0041015 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 1.5960964E-5 | 1.5960964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 6.840239E-5 | 7.840171E-5 | 1.1461837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 8.3248975E-4 | 8.624648E-4 | 1.0360065 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.008543935 | 0.008583593 | 1.0046417 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.1952499E-5 | 1.1952499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 5.1224008E-5 | 6.1223494E-5 | 1.1952109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 6.234762E-4 | 6.5345754E-4 | 1.0480874 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.0064336993 | 0.006473442 | 1.0061773 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.0783458E-5 | 1.0783458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 4.621401E-5 | 5.6213546E-5 | 1.2163746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 5.6251185E-4 | 5.92495E-4 | 1.0533022 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.005810571 | 0.0058503384 | 1.006844 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.0714749E-5 | 1.0714749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 4.591955E-5 | 5.5919092E-5 | 1.2177621 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 5.589287E-4 | 5.8891193E-4 | 1.0536441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.0057746447 | 0.0058144135 | 1.0068868 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.0078759E-5 | 1.0078759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 4.3193973E-5 | 5.3193544E-5 | 1.2315037 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 5.2576116E-4 | 5.557454E-4 | 1.0570301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.005441429 | 0.0054812115 | 1.007311 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 9.28878E-6 | 9.28878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 3.9808456E-5 | 4.980806E-5 | 1.2511929 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 4.8456137E-4 | 5.145468E-4 | 1.0618817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.00502757 | 0.0050673685 | 1.0079161 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 9.1647125E-6 | 9.1647125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 3.9276754E-5 | 4.927636E-5 | 1.2545935 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 4.7809075E-4 | 5.080764E-4 | 1.0627196 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0049625626 | 0.005002364 | 1.0080204 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 8.868667E-6 | 8.868667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 3.8008024E-5 | 4.8007645E-5 | 1.2630923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 4.6265058E-4 | 4.926367E-4 | 1.0648137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.0048059826 | 0.00484579 | 1.008283 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 8.058052E-6 | 8.058052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 3.4534056E-5 | 4.453371E-5 | 1.2895592 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 4.20372E-4 | 4.503594E-4 | 1.0713353 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.004376932 | 0.004416757 | 1.0090988 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 6.200618E-6 | 6.200618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 2.6573807E-5 | 3.6573543E-5 | 1.3763005 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 3.2348835E-4 | 3.5347865E-4 | 1.0927091 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0033986212 | 0.0034384853 | 1.0117295 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 5.049241E-6 | 5.049241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 2.1639426E-5 | 3.163921E-5 | 1.4621094 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 2.6342832E-4 | 2.934204E-4 | 1.113853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.002788655 | 0.0028285433 | 1.0143038 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 3.5056653E-6 | 3.5056653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 1.5024194E-5 | 2.5024045E-5 | 1.6655831 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 1.8290433E-4 | 2.1289884E-4 | 1.1639901 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0019697146 | 0.0020096358 | 1.0202675 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 2.7857711E-6 | 2.7857711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 1.1938965E-5 | 1.1938965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 1.4534731E-4 | 1.5534586E-4 | 1.0687907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.001582892 | 0.0016028603 | 1.0126151 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 2.394633E-6 | 2.394633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 1.0262673E-5 | 1.0262673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 1.2494097E-4 | 1.3493972E-4 | 1.0800278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0013670757 | 0.0013870484 | 1.0146098 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 1.4583036E-7 | 1.4583036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 6.249871E-7 | 6.249871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 7.6091924E-6 | 7.6091924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 9.050604E-5 | 9.050604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 4.358077E-9 | 4.358077E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 5.3059587E-8 | 5.3059587E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 6.245385E-7 | 6.245385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Joaquin Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.752736E-4 | 1.2064707 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0014917847 | 1.0275112 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.388654E-6 | 2.7191757E-6 | 2.2719121E-5 | 8.35515 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4522722E-5 | 1.1653558E-5 | 3.1653326E-5 | 2.716194 | 2.0E-5 | 1.767998E-4 | 1.4187297E-4 | 1.718687E-4 | 1.2114267 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001766592 | 0.0014178365 | 0.0014577798 | 1.028172 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2694352E-6 | 2.5996278E-6 | 2.2599575E-5 | 8.693389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.401179E-5 | 1.1141215E-5 | 3.1140993E-5 | 2.7951164 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7058018E-4 | 1.3563596E-4 | 1.656319E-4 | 1.2211503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017044931 | 0.0013555428 | 0.0013954885 | 1.0294684 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.246912E-6 | 2.5784104E-6 | 2.2578359E-5 | 8.756698 | 2.0E-5 | 1.39152635E-5 | 1.1050284E-5 | 3.105006E-5 | 2.8098884 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940516E-4 | 1.3452901E-4 | 1.6452497E-4 | 1.2229702 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016927607 | 0.0013444867 | 0.0013844329 | 1.0297111 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.1864927E-6 | 2.5239833E-6 | 2.2523933E-5 | 8.923963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3656326E-5 | 1.0817027E-5 | 3.0816813E-5 | 2.8489168 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6625308E-4 | 1.3168946E-4 | 1.616855E-4 | 1.2277787 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016612876 | 0.001316125 | 0.0013560724 | 1.0303522 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0220644E-6 | 2.3718187E-6 | 2.237177E-5 | 9.432327 | 2.0E-5 | 1.295164E-5 | 1.0164898E-5 | 3.0164694E-5 | 2.9675353 | 2.0E-5 | 1.576748E-4 | 1.2375071E-4 | 1.53747E-4 | 1.2423929 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015756298 | 0.001236828 | 0.0012767786 | 1.0323008 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.787619E-6 | 2.192195E-6 | 2.2192151E-5 | 10.123255 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1946884E-5 | 9.395089E-6 | 2.9394902E-5 | 3.1287518 | 2.0E-5 | 1.454436E-4 | 1.143793E-4 | 1.4437587E-4 | 1.2622552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014534845 | 0.001143214 | 0.0011731796 | 1.0262119 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4593792E-6 | 1.9001128E-6 | 1.1900094E-5 | 6.2628355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0540153E-5 | 8.143315E-6 | 1.8143235E-5 | 2.227991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2831882E-4 | 9.9140445E-5 | 1.19138465E-4 | 1.201714 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012824474 | 9.909708E-4 | 0.0010109509 | 1.0201622 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.926764E-6 | 1.4205306E-6 | 1.1420517E-5 | 8.039614 | 1.0E-5 | 8.257534E-6 | 6.0879743E-6 | 1.6087914E-5 | 2.6425724 | 1.0E-5 | 1.00530844E-4 | 7.411863E-5 | 9.4117146E-5 | 1.2698177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010048538 | 7.409453E-4 | 7.609305E-4 | 1.0269725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1609359E-6 | 8.0440293E-7 | 8.0440293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.97543E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0574173E-5 | 4.197178E-5 | 5.1971358E-5 | 1.2382454 | 1.0E-5 | 6.055767E-4 | 4.1964275E-4 | 4.2963855E-4 | 1.0238198 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1168536E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1929354E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.669866E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6695454E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 8.614832E-5 | 1.1313113 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.567449E-4 | 1.0323404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.00927386 | 1.0042917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 8.614832E-5 | 1.1313113 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.567449E-4 | 1.0323404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.00927386 | 1.0042917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 8.614832E-5 | 1.1313113 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.567449E-4 | 1.0323404 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.00927386 | 1.0042917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 6.582428E-5 | 1.1791217 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 6.8948604E-4 | 1.0147069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006797697 | 1.0029308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 6.582428E-5 | 1.1791217 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 6.8948604E-4 | 1.0147069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006797697 | 1.0029308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 1.1077539E-5 | 1.1077539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 4.74745E-5 | 5.7474026E-5 | 1.2106293 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 5.778837E-4 | 5.878779E-4 | 1.0172945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0057672434 | 0.005787128 | 1.0034479 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 1.0387575E-5 | 1.0387575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 4.4517612E-5 | 5.4517164E-5 | 1.2246202 | 1.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 5.4190174E-4 | 5.518963E-4 | 1.0184436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0054092025 | 0.0054290947 | 1.0036774 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 9.306163E-6 | 9.306163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 3.9883136E-5 | 4.9882736E-5 | 1.2507225 | 1.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 4.8550274E-4 | 4.954979E-4 | 1.0205872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0048477356 | 0.0048676385 | 1.0041057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 5.621261E-6 | 5.621261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 2.4091001E-5 | 3.409076E-5 | 1.4150827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7066618E-4 | 2.9328724E-4 | 3.032843E-4 | 1.0340862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0029308414 | 0.002950783 | 1.006804 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 4.90917E-6 | 4.90917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 2.1039235E-5 | 3.1039024E-5 | 1.4752924 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3635388E-4 | 2.5614107E-4 | 2.661385E-4 | 1.039031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0025602705 | 0.0025802192 | 1.0077916 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 1.5938705E-5 | 2.5938545E-5 | 1.6273936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7904381E-4 | 1.9405373E-4 | 2.0405179E-4 | 1.0515221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017889962 | 0.0019405374 | 0.0019604985 | 1.0102865 | 2.0E-5 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 6.839486E-5 | 1.4132388 | 2.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.0906395E-4 | 1.0339315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.005916471 | 1.0067666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.04591E-6 | 2.704577E-5 | 3.8385062 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0196412E-5 | 5.019581E-5 | 1.6623104 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.6758036E-4 | 3.87573E-4 | 1.0543898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.003669833 | 0.003699723 | 1.0081447 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.572647E-6 | 2.6572516E-5 | 4.042894 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8168188E-5 | 4.8167625E-5 | 1.7100009 | 2.0E-5 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.428945E-4 | 3.6288763E-4 | 1.0583069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.003423736 | 0.0034536333 | 1.0087323 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7235598E-6 | 2.5723446E-5 | 4.494309 | 2.0E-5 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4529314E-5 | 4.4528824E-5 | 1.815331 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2791847E-4 | 2.9860402E-4 | 3.1859803E-4 | 1.0669583 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0029820842 | 0.0030119948 | 1.01003 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.5817663E-6 | 2.5581654E-5 | 4.583075 | 2.0E-5 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.3921639E-5 | 4.392116E-5 | 1.8360431 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.9120757E-4 | 3.1120176E-4 | 1.0686595 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003203268 | 0.0029083155 | 0.0029382282 | 1.0102853 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.6554846E-6 | 2.4655392E-5 | 5.295988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 1.9951927E-5 | 3.9951527E-5 | 2.0023894 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4288792E-4 | 2.6288308E-4 | 1.0823225 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024262555 | 0.0024561826 | 1.0123347 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1174026E-6 | 2.411732E-5 | 5.8574114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7645893E-5 | 3.764554E-5 | 2.1333883 | 2.0E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1481782E-4 | 2.3481353E-4 | 1.0930822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021461276 | 0.0021760631 | 1.0139487 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.1649408E-6 | 2.3164877E-5 | 7.3192134 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3563962E-5 | 3.356369E-5 | 2.4744754 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6512885E-4 | 1.8512554E-4 | 1.1210976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001980741 | 0.0016500733 | 0.0016700403 | 1.0121007 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.659339E-6 | 2.2659286E-5 | 8.520645 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1397118E-5 | 3.1396892E-5 | 2.7548096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.3875119E-4 | 1.5874841E-4 | 1.144123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0013866564 | 0.0014066286 | 1.0144032 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.758092E-6 | 8.758092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0662464E-4 | 1.0662464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010657435 | 0.0010657435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.020941E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.286023E-5 | 7.286023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.2836934E-4 | 7.2836934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.412786E-7 | 8.412786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.389582E-5 | 4.389582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.3887584E-4 | 4.3887584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.884547E-4 | 1.1160411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002611813 | 1.0115894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.884547E-4 | 1.1160411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002611813 | 1.0115894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.884547E-4 | 1.1160411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002611813 | 1.0115894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.884547E-4 | 1.1160411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002611813 | 1.0115894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.884547E-4 | 1.1160411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002611813 | 1.0115894 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 1.3203668E-5 | 4.1213813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 2.3729934E-5 | 1.7283183 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6715091E-4 | 1.971459E-4 | 1.1794485 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016539496 | 0.0016702652 | 0.0017002152 | 1.0179312 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.1318075E-6 | 1.31317765E-5 | 4.193034 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.3421964E-5 | 2.342183E-5 | 1.7450374 | 1.0E-5 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.9339538E-4 | 1.1835682 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016174077 | 0.0016328141 | 0.001662765 | 1.0183432 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 1.2631895E-5 | 4.799496 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1279613E-5 | 2.12795E-5 | 1.8865452 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3732068E-4 | 1.5731793E-4 | 1.1456245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013617266 | 0.0013723627 | 0.0013923353 | 1.0145534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 1.2495562E-5 | 5.0070624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0695331E-5 | 2.0695225E-5 | 1.9349774 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.5020532E-4 | 1.1535805 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012921972 | 0.0013013203 | 0.0013212943 | 1.015349 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 1.2148483E-5 | 5.6543913 | 1.0E-5 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 1.920775E-5 | 2.0860207 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.3209748E-4 | 1.1783925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011147653 | 0.0011204337 | 0.0011404112 | 1.0178303 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.1935308E-5 | 6.1670732 | 1.0E-5 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 1.8294153E-5 | 2.2056465 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.0097765E-4 | 1.2097564E-4 | 1.1980436 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010056482 | 0.0010093191 | 0.0010292989 | 1.0197953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.1637136E-5 | 7.108158 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.016347E-6 | 1.7016277E-5 | 2.4252331 | 1.0E-5 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.542068E-5 | 9.5419826E-5 | 1.1170577 | 1.0E-5 | 8.529247E-4 | 8.5387926E-4 | 8.638707E-4 | 1.0117012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.443116E-6 | 1.1443101E-5 | 7.9294395 | 1.0E-5 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.1847686E-6 | 1.6184707E-5 | 2.6168654 | 1.0E-5 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.529696E-5 | 8.5296204E-5 | 1.1327975 | 1.0E-5 | 7.535026E-4 | 7.5271504E-4 | 7.627075E-4 | 1.0132753 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.1956441E-6 | 1.1956441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.124179E-6 | 5.124179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.267076E-4 | 6.236762E-4 | 6.236762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.606654E-7 | 9.606654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.1171306E-6 | 4.1171306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.0124916E-5 | 5.0124916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.064076E-4 | 5.0113635E-4 | 5.0113635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.023079E-7 | 7.023079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.0098875E-6 | 3.0098875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.6644768E-5 | 3.6644768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7430652E-4 | 3.6638742E-4 | 3.6638742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.342247E-7 | 4.342247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.8609616E-6 | 1.8609616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.2656974E-5 | 2.2656974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37571E-4 | 2.2654672E-4 | 2.2654672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.8418785E-7 | 1.8418785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 7.8937626E-7 | 7.8937626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047998E-5 | 9.610614E-6 | 9.610614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047449E-4 | 9.610201E-5 | 9.610201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 6.817046E-8 | 6.817046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 2.9215906E-7 | 2.9215906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.5570306E-6 | 3.5570306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1517753E-5 | 3.5569745E-5 | 3.5569745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 2.7280954E-8 | 2.7280954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.16918365E-7 | 1.16918365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.4234802E-6 | 1.4234802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384275E-5 | 1.4234712E-5 | 1.4234712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 6.555191E-9 | 6.555191E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 2.8093675E-8 | 2.8093675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 3.4204044E-7 | 3.4204044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481861E-6 | 3.4203995E-6 | 3.4203995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.4026867E-5 | 3.4832854 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 2.7257918E-5 | 1.5794283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021195416 | 1.0095057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.4026867E-5 | 3.4832854 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 2.7257918E-5 | 1.5794283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021195416 | 1.0095057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.13985425E-5 | 8.150218 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.599374E-5 | 2.6683803 | 1.0E-5 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 8.297142E-5 | 1.1370286 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.3948054E-4 | 1.0136982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.13985425E-5 | 8.150218 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.599374E-5 | 2.6683803 | 1.0E-5 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 8.297142E-5 | 1.1370286 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.3948054E-4 | 1.0136982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.1324862E-5 | 8.547873 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 1.5677966E-5 | 2.7611663 | 1.0E-5 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 7.91271E-5 | 1.1446496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 7.0106133E-4 | 1.0144603 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1096284E-6 | 1.1109618E-5 | 10.012015 | 1.0E-5 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 1.4755495E-5 | 3.1027997 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.789721E-5 | 6.789663E-5 | 1.17271 | 1.0E-5 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 5.88818E-4 | 1.0172664 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 1.09681905E-5 | 11.328432 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 1.4149381E-5 | 3.4099636 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 6.051756E-5 | 1.197939 | 1.0E-5 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 5.15062E-4 | 1.0197893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.6285236E-4 | 4.6285236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.062138E-5 | 4.062138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 6.9859504E-7 | 6.9859504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6554418E-6 | 1.6554418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0154817E-5 | 2.0154817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0152994E-4 | 2.0152994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.7026789E-4 | 1.7026789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.612244E-7 | 2.612244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1195326E-6 | 1.1195326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.3630224E-5 | 1.3630224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8122799E-7 | 1.8122799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 7.7669114E-7 | 7.7669114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.456174E-6 | 9.456174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.455773E-5 | 9.455773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.0930015E-7 | 1.0930015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.6842914E-7 | 4.6842914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 5.7031098E-6 | 5.7031098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 5.702964E-5 | 5.702964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.0233947E-8 | 5.0233947E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.1528834E-7 | 2.1528834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.6211321E-6 | 2.6211321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.6211013E-5 | 2.6211013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.2211747E-8 | 2.2211747E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 9.51932E-8 | 9.51932E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.1589766E-6 | 1.1589766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.15897055E-5 | 1.15897055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 9.79942E-9 | 9.79942E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 4.1997513E-8 | 4.1997513E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 5.1131957E-7 | 5.1131957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 5.113184E-6 | 5.113184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 4.0235295E-9 | 4.0235295E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.0994202E-7 | 2.0994202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.0994182E-6 | 2.0994182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.01145932 | 1.0025947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.01145932 | 1.0025947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.01145932 | 1.0025947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 3.0893123E-5 | 1.4786116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010873122 | 1.0027367 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 3.0893123E-5 | 1.4786116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010873122 | 1.0027367 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0135434E-5 | 3.0135232E-5 | 1.496627 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.62919E-5 | 9.6291034E-5 | 1.1158757 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010501038 | 0.0010600933 | 1.0095129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010452167 | 0.010481854 | 1.0028402 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9500492E-5 | 2.9500297E-5 | 1.5127976 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.357089E-5 | 9.357006E-5 | 1.1196489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010170068 | 0.0010269966 | 1.0098227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010124249 | 0.0101539465 | 1.0029331 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.8652223E-5 | 2.8652035E-5 | 1.5361191 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 7.993568E-5 | 8.993488E-5 | 1.1250906 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.7278826E-4 | 9.827785E-4 | 1.0102698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009685987 | 0.009705793 | 1.0020448 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.813117E-5 | 2.8130988E-5 | 1.5515264 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.770273E-5 | 8.770195E-5 | 1.1286856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.45626E-4 | 9.5561653E-4 | 1.010565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009416694 | 0.009436505 | 1.0021039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.7712911E-5 | 2.7712733E-5 | 1.5645499 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.59103E-5 | 8.590954E-5 | 1.1317245 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.238218E-4 | 9.338126E-4 | 1.0108145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009200477 | 0.009220293 | 1.0021538 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7435013E-5 | 2.743484E-5 | 1.5735484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.4719384E-5 | 8.471863E-5 | 1.1338241 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.0933463E-4 | 9.193255E-4 | 1.010987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009056795 | 0.009076614 | 1.0021883 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7118777E-5 | 2.7118605E-5 | 1.5841439 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.336416E-5 | 8.3363426E-5 | 1.1362964 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 8.928484E-4 | 9.0283947E-4 | 1.01119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.008893264 | 0.008913087 | 1.0022289 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.6812606E-5 | 2.6812437E-5 | 1.5947818 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.205207E-5 | 8.2051345E-5 | 1.1387786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.7688665E-4 | 8.868779E-4 | 1.011394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008734913 | 0.008754738 | 1.0022696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.5964048E-5 | 2.596389E-5 | 1.6263975 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.841558E-5 | 7.84149E-5 | 1.1461555 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.32647E-4 | 8.426387E-4 | 1.0119998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008295888 | 0.008315722 | 1.0023909 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5480371E-5 | 2.5480216E-5 | 1.6459694 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.634279E-5 | 7.634213E-5 | 1.1507223 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.074297E-4 | 8.1742165E-4 | 1.012375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008045567 | 0.008065406 | 1.0024658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.4811811E-5 | 2.4811663E-5 | 1.6751269 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.347767E-5 | 7.347704E-5 | 1.1575257 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.725722E-4 | 7.8256446E-4 | 1.0129337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007699461 | 0.007709384 | 1.0012888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2365616E-5 | 2.2365493E-5 | 1.808684 | 1.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.2994452E-5 | 6.2993924E-5 | 1.188689 | 1.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.4502156E-4 | 6.5501506E-4 | 1.0154934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0064320215 | 0.0064419573 | 1.0015447 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 2.0071411E-5 | 1.9928895 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 5.3162505E-5 | 1.2316703 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.353816E-4 | 1.0190235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0361317E-5 | 28.676197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.1548503E-5 | 7.457775 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 2.8852866E-5 | 1.530408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.985131E-4 | 1.0530362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 3.1484135E-5 | 1.465445 | 1.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.120712E-4 | 1.2171988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.01118687 | 1.0026588 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 3.1484135E-5 | 1.465445 | 1.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.120712E-4 | 1.2171988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.01118687 | 1.0026588 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 3.1484135E-5 | 1.465445 | 1.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.120712E-4 | 1.2171988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.01118687 | 1.0026588 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 2.1975311E-5 | 1.835033 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 6.132192E-5 | 1.1948366 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.346957E-4 | 1.0159976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.006242398 | 1.0015945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 2.1975311E-5 | 1.835033 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 6.132192E-5 | 1.1948366 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.346957E-4 | 1.0159976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.006242398 | 1.0015945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034205352 | 0.0034205352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0032631895 | 0.0032631895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027390027 | 0.0027390027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2174213E-6 | 6.2174213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6645826E-5 | 3.664556E-5 | 1.3752832 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2436603E-4 | 3.543563E-4 | 1.0924581 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.003239104 | 0.0032690067 | 1.0092318 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.5952673E-5 | 3.5952413E-5 | 1.3853067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1592933E-4 | 3.4591986E-4 | 1.0949279 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031549768 | 0.003184882 | 1.0094788 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.085215E-6 | 5.085215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.1793601E-5 | 3.1793385E-5 | 1.4588403 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 2.9529777E-4 | 1.1130471 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.002650023 | 0.0026799436 | 1.0112907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8761839E-5 | 2.8761651E-5 | 1.5329868 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.2840223E-4 | 2.583954E-4 | 1.1313173 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0022817913 | 0.0023117228 | 1.0131176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.7889652E-6 | 3.7889652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6238324E-5 | 2.6238162E-5 | 1.6158171 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 2.2767839E-4 | 1.1517271 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019751892 | 0.0020051298 | 1.0151584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.2877383E-6 | 3.2877383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4090234E-5 | 2.4090094E-5 | 1.7097014 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 2.0153055E-4 | 1.1748607 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017141313 | 0.0017440799 | 1.0174716 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.8851919E-6 | 2.8851919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.23650525E-5 | 2.2364928E-5 | 1.808721 | 1.0E-5 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5053467E-4 | 1.8053016E-4 | 1.1992596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015044212 | 0.0015343761 | 1.0199112 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0572135E-5 | 1.0572135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.2870868E-4 | 1.3870739E-4 | 1.0776849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0012864327 | 0.0012964199 | 1.0077634 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.009917E-6 | 2.009917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.613903E-6 | 8.613903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0486975E-4 | 1.1486871E-4 | 1.0953463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010482923 | 0.0010582817 | 1.0095294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.57829E-7 | 8.57829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.6764047E-6 | 3.6764047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.475932E-5 | 4.475932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.4754232E-4 | 4.4754232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.6507634E-7 | 4.6507634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 1.9931829E-6 | 1.9931829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.4266732E-5 | 2.4266732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.42664E-4 | 2.42664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.0294163E-7 | 3.0294163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.2983205E-6 | 1.2983205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.5806938E-5 | 1.5806938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.5808009E-4 | 1.5808009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.4982745E-7 | 2.4982745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.0706885E-6 | 1.0706885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.3035557E-5 | 1.3035557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.3036827E-4 | 1.3036827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.0263813E-7 | 2.0263813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 8.684488E-7 | 8.684488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.0573314E-5 | 1.0573314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.05744955E-4 | 1.05744955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 4.622153E-8 | 4.622153E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 1.9809227E-7 | 1.9809227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.4117705E-6 | 2.4117705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.4121056E-5 | 2.4121056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 9.744901E-9 | 9.744901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 4.176387E-8 | 4.176387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 5.0847495E-7 | 5.0847495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 5.085745E-6 | 5.085745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 2.7718277E-9 | 2.7718277E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.1879264E-8 | 1.1879264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 1.4463E-7 | 1.4463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 1.4472488E-6 | 1.4472488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 7.212142E-11 | 7.212142E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 3.0908875E-10 | 3.0908875E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 3.7631533E-9 | 3.7631533E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 3.8496875E-8 | 3.8496875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 3.367584E-11 | 3.367584E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 1.4432322E-10 | 1.4432322E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 1.7571362E-9 | 1.7571362E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 1.8002453E-8 | 1.8002453E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011677157 | 1.0025457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011677157 | 1.0025457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011677157 | 1.0025457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063653607 | 1.0015634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063653607 | 1.0015634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.379747E-6 | 1.9379653E-5 | 2.0661168 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0198345E-5 | 5.0197945E-5 | 1.2487564 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.893139E-4 | 4.9930904E-4 | 1.0204268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004883255 | 0.004893206 | 1.0020378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040147137 | 0.0040147137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034310552 | 0.0034310552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003019339 | 0.003019339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026126802 | 0.0026126802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021247407 | 0.0021247407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015531353 | 0.0015531353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017110925 | 1.0017263 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017110925 | 1.0017263 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017110925 | 1.0017263 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011671702 | 1.0086317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011543473 | 1.0025755 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011671702 | 1.0086317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011543473 | 1.0025755 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 9.858971E-4 | 1.0102369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.009717801 | 0.009747509 | 1.0030571 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 8.6874014E-4 | 1.0116348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.008555597 | 0.0085754255 | 1.0023177 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 7.412197E-4 | 1.0136657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.007289222 | 0.0073090764 | 1.0027238 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 5.9152785E-4 | 1.0171859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.005800517 | 0.005820401 | 1.003428 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 5.049738E-4 | 1.0201929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0049390728 | 0.004958974 | 1.0040294 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 3.928886E-4 | 1.026107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0038225418 | 0.0038424653 | 1.0052121 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 3.377396E-4 | 1.0305017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0032727942 | 0.0032827614 | 1.0030454 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 2.506169E-4 | 1.0415494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022297418 | 0.0024037457 | 0.0024137215 | 1.0041502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 0.0010600026 | 0.0010600026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.490552E-4 | 1.0377824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.005308922 | 1.0056528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.490552E-4 | 1.0377824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.005308922 | 1.0056528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024447225 | 1.0040972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024447225 | 1.0040972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018197089 | 0.0018197089 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015178887 | 0.0015178887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012072689 | 0.0012072689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010153563 | 0.0010153563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024829302 | 1.0121999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024829302 | 1.0121999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024829302 | 1.0121999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024829302 | 1.0121999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024829302 | 1.0121999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.5013966E-4 | 1.1536579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013206728 | 1.0153563 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.5013966E-4 | 1.1536579 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013206728 | 1.0153563 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 9.880607E-5 | 1.2537625 | 2.0E-5 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 8.07792E-4 | 1.0253669 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 9.224285E-5 | 1.2768185 | 2.0E-5 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 7.4220344E-4 | 1.0276725 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 6.095621E-5 | 1.196235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 5.194506E-4 | 1.0196187 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 4.489083E-5 | 1.2865955 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.4886005E-4 | 3.5885657E-4 | 1.0286548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.5584645E-8 | 8.5584645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.465675E-6 | 4.465675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.7711573E-8 | 1.7711573E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 7.590673E-8 | 7.590673E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 9.241641E-7 | 9.241641E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 9.241605E-6 | 9.241605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 8.499545E-9 | 8.499545E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 3.642662E-8 | 3.642662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 4.43494E-7 | 4.43494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 4.434932E-6 | 4.434932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 4.049299E-9 | 4.049299E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 1.735414E-8 | 1.735414E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.1128662E-7 | 2.1128662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.1128644E-6 | 2.1128644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 7.363208E-10 | 7.363208E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 3.1556617E-9 | 3.1556617E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 3.842018E-8 | 3.842018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 3.8420174E-7 | 3.8420174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 6.793899E-11 | 6.793899E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 2.911683E-10 | 2.911683E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 3.5449719E-9 | 3.5449719E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 3.5449716E-8 | 3.5449716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 7.4180884E-11 | 7.4180884E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 9.0314956E-10 | 9.0314956E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 9.0314956E-9 | 9.0314956E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lions Head 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0887685E-5 | 12.265135 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 2.3804321E-5 | 6.257055 | 2.0E-5 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 6.631669E-5 | 1.4317812 | 2.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.93072E-4 | 1.0647528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0887685E-5 | 12.265135 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 2.3804321E-5 | 6.257055 | 2.0E-5 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 6.631669E-5 | 1.4317812 | 2.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.93072E-4 | 1.0647528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0572321E-5 | 18.472517 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.245278E-5 | 9.153833 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 4.986219E-5 | 1.6697099 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.285802E-4 | 1.1004425 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0572321E-5 | 18.472517 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.245278E-5 | 9.153833 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 4.986219E-5 | 1.6697099 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.285802E-4 | 1.1004425 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.1782643E-5 | 6.6095815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 3.170347E-5 | 1.4607413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.2701372E-4 | 1.0460696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.1782643E-5 | 6.6095815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 3.170347E-5 | 1.4607413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.2701372E-4 | 1.0460696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6896213E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5812653E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.1570458E-5 | 7.3674974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9251736E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 2.9120154E-5 | 1.5229931 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9250068E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 2.011852E-4 | 1.0522947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3283942E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264539E-6 | 1.4153162E-6 | 1.4153162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7366938E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736558E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.9684807E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722054E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5488991E-5 | 1.5349422E-5 | 1.5349422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5487912E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.8254823E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2109203E-6 | 1.1992868E-6 | 1.1992868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4742856E-5 | 1.4601219E-5 | 1.4601219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741877E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.5794475E-7 | 2.551549E-7 | 2.551549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.105477E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34591E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3458285E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2678832E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.719496E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1833421E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1832791E-4 | 1.1680639E-4 | 1.1680639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.968546E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436623E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.027154E-5 | 1.0113005E-5 | 1.0113005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0271065E-4 | 1.01125464E-4 | 1.01125464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6101195E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.90051E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.401339E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4010215E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.304744E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.591759E-7 | 5.4451414E-7 | 5.4451414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807945E-6 | 6.6294397E-6 | 6.6294397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807737E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.410614E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0331196E-7 | 3.874535E-7 | 3.874535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910312E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9102036E-5 | 4.717136E-5 | 4.717136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6360826E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.844035E-7 | 2.6745263E-7 | 2.6745263E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.462607E-6 | 3.2562311E-6 | 3.2562311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4625533E-5 | 3.2561835E-5 | 3.2561835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9100893E-8 | 3.4823103E-8 | 3.4823103E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757524E-7 | 1.4924186E-7 | 1.4924186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0402267E-6 | 1.8170181E-6 | 1.8170181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.040208E-5 | 1.8170032E-5 | 1.8170032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9858547E-8 | 1.5320948E-8 | 1.5320948E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5108056E-8 | 6.5661204E-8 | 6.5661204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361902E-6 | 7.9942487E-7 | 7.9942487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361853E-5 | 7.99422E-6 | 7.99422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.717722E-9 | 5.8155853E-9 | 5.8155853E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1647375E-8 | 2.4923935E-8 | 2.4923935E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.070567E-7 | 3.0344887E-7 | 3.0344887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0705553E-6 | 3.0344847E-6 | 3.0344847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.8397716E-9 | 1.5517387E-9 | 1.5517387E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456164E-8 | 6.6503087E-9 | 6.6503087E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035378E-7 | 8.096751E-8 | 8.096751E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035359E-6 | 8.096748E-7 | 8.096748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 3.1616142E-5 | 1.4626026 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.0263804E-4 | 1.1079359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011374137 | 1.0088598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011259442 | 1.0026414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 3.1616142E-5 | 1.4626026 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.0263804E-4 | 1.1079359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011374137 | 1.0088598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011259442 | 1.0026414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1011339E-5 | 1.1011339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.7190875E-5 | 4.7190875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.744473E-4 | 5.744473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0057345103 | 0.005744453 | 1.0017338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 1.0563642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055121486 | 1.0018075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 1.0563642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055121486 | 1.0018075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032034202 | 0.0032034202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002540112 | 0.00281058 | 0.00281058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002302978 | 0.002302978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anaheim
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9952497E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551043E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.04103965E-4 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010405522 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0673834E-5 | 15.840288 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.2887829E-5 | 7.9254594 | 2.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 6.515845E-5 | 1.8532243 | 3.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.8153408E-4 | 1.0853077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0673834E-5 | 15.840288 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.2887829E-5 | 7.9254594 | 2.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 6.515845E-5 | 1.8532243 | 3.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.8153408E-4 | 1.0853077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.6792273E-7 | 1.0667916E-5 | 15.971782 | 1.0E-5 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.8625232E-6 | 2.2862467E-5 | 7.986823 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.4850713E-5 | 6.484967E-5 | 1.8607845 | 3.0E-5 | 5.938936E-4 | 3.4845766E-4 | 3.784472E-4 | 1.0860636 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.45777E-7 | 1.064577E-5 | 16.485212 | 1.0E-5 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.767613E-6 | 2.2767557E-5 | 8.226424 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.3695218E-5 | 6.3694206E-5 | 1.890304 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8243104E-4 | 3.3690623E-4 | 3.6689613E-4 | 1.0890156 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.390098E-7 | 1.0639003E-5 | 16.649202 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.7386106E-6 | 2.2738555E-5 | 8.302953 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.3342127E-5 | 6.3341125E-5 | 1.8997326 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7892315E-4 | 3.3337637E-4 | 3.633664E-4 | 1.0899584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.369333E-7 | 1.0636927E-5 | 16.700222 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.7297115E-6 | 2.2729657E-5 | 8.326761 | 2.0E-5 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.3233784E-5 | 6.323279E-5 | 1.9026659 | 3.0E-5 | 5.77846E-4 | 3.3229325E-4 | 3.622833E-4 | 1.0902517 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.315974E-7 | 1.0631591E-5 | 16.83286 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.7068434E-6 | 2.2706789E-5 | 8.38866 | 2.0E-5 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.2955373E-5 | 6.295439E-5 | 1.910292 | 3.0E-5 | 5.750759E-4 | 3.2950996E-4 | 3.595001E-4 | 1.0910143 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.290331E-7 | 1.0629027E-5 | 16.897406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.6958535E-6 | 2.26958E-5 | 8.41878 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.2821576E-5 | 6.282059E-5 | 1.9140029 | 3.0E-5 | 5.734383E-4 | 3.281724E-4 | 3.5816256E-4 | 1.0913854 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8131448E-6 | 1.1813127E-5 | 6.5152693 | 1.0E-5 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.2074835E-5 | 4.2074393E-5 | 1.905989 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3480762E-4 | 2.2072847E-4 | 2.4072407E-4 | 1.090589 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.6445329E-6 | 1.1644516E-5 | 7.080744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.0022024E-5 | 4.0021623E-5 | 1.99888 | 2.0E-5 | 4.066187E-4 | 2.0020407E-4 | 2.2020006E-4 | 1.0998781 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0519229E-6 | 1.1051912E-5 | 10.506391 | 1.0E-5 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.2807098E-5 | 3.280684E-5 | 2.561614 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6174777E-4 | 1.2806474E-4 | 1.4806217E-4 | 1.156151 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.102462E-7 | 1.0510241E-5 | 20.598373 | 1.0E-5 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.2122367E-6 | 2.6212112E-5 | 4.2194324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2526344E-4 | 6.212133E-5 | 8.212009E-5 | 1.3219306 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 1.0067861E-5 | 148.3591 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.2621267E-7 | 1.0826205E-5 | 13.103411 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0573345E-5 | 8.2621045E-6 | 1.8262022E-5 | 2.2103353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 1.0006446E-5 | 1552.1978 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 1.0078487E-5 | 128.40843 | 1.0E-5 | 7.759697E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 1.0784869E-5 | 13.740839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8754645E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0533147E-4 | 1.6255843E-4 | 1.6255843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5134246E-4 | 6.9647515E-4 | 6.9647515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005481258 | 0.008445764 | 0.00845568 | 1.001174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053480163 | 0.081106625 | 0.081125006 | 1.0002266 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0510782E-4 | 1.6244376E-4 | 1.6244376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.503843E-4 | 6.95984E-4 | 6.95984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005469651 | 0.008439833 | 0.008449749 | 1.0011748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05336969 | 0.081051886 | 0.08107027 | 1.0002267 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.595682E-5 | 1.1610908E-4 | 1.1610908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.254886E-4 | 4.9750635E-4 | 4.9750635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039556245 | 0.006038997 | 0.006048937 | 1.0016459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03885951 | 0.058530502 | 0.058539916 | 1.0001608 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.787612E-5 | 1.03515216E-4 | 1.03515216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9086522E-4 | 4.435515E-4 | 4.435515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035355345 | 0.0053858086 | 0.0053957547 | 1.0018468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034798115 | 0.0523561 | 0.05236558 | 1.000181 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 9.429479E-5 | 9.429479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.040514E-4 | 4.040514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0049074264 | 0.0049173776 | 1.0020278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.047829993 | 0.047839515 | 1.0001991 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 8.170704E-5 | 8.170704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.5012525E-4 | 3.5012525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004253976 | 0.0042639333 | 1.0023408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.04161371 | 0.04162329 | 1.0002303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.0481845E-5 | 7.0481845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.0202934E-4 | 3.0202934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.0036707802 | 0.0036807435 | 1.0027142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02437869 | 0.036026973 | 0.03603661 | 1.0002676 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 5.4015574E-5 | 5.4015574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.314766E-4 | 2.314766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0028146422 | 0.0028146422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.027765624 | 0.027765624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.6857611E-5 | 2.6857611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.1509897E-4 | 1.1509897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0014004334 | 0.0014004334 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.013906759 | 0.013906759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.2852333E-5 | 2.2852333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 9.793492E-5 | 9.793492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0011917097 | 0.0011917097 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.0118508795 | 0.0118508795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.055941E-5 | 2.055941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 8.81088E-5 | 8.81088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0010721997 | 0.0010721997 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.01067051 | 0.01067051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 1.9141655E-5 | 1.9141655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.20331E-5 | 8.20331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 9.982983E-4 | 9.982983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.009938613 | 0.009938613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.79417E-5 | 1.79417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 7.689075E-5 | 7.689075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.3574554E-4 | 9.3574554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.00931858 | 0.00931858 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.6790491E-5 | 1.6790491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.195728E-5 | 7.195728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 8.757303E-4 | 8.757303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.00872326 | 0.00872326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.5093812E-5 | 1.5093812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.468617E-5 | 6.468617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 7.872721E-4 | 7.872721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.007845322 | 0.007845322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.3416159E-5 | 1.3416159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 5.749657E-5 | 5.749657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 6.9979834E-4 | 6.9979834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0069764364 | 0.0069764364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.0584253E-5 | 1.0584253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.536031E-5 | 4.536031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.5212405E-4 | 5.5212405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.0055078487 | 0.0055078487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.5284621E-6 | 2.5284621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.0836222E-5 | 1.0836222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3192308E-4 | 1.3192308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013184485 | 0.0013184485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1007418E-7 | 2.1007418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.003176E-7 | 9.003176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.0961315E-5 | 1.0961315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.0960285E-4 | 1.0960285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025704633 | 1.0038955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025704633 | 1.0038955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025704633 | 1.0038955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.001526708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.0151853915 | 1.0012988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.001526708 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.0151853915 | 1.0012988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.4655821E-5 | 2.4655821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0566362E-4 | 1.0566362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0012857115 | 0.0012857115 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.012784559 | 0.012804303 | 1.0015444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.4637018E-5 | 2.4637018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.05583036E-4 | 1.05583036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0012847317 | 0.0012847317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.0127748735 | 0.012794618 | 1.0015455 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.1945261E-5 | 2.1945261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.4047806E-5 | 9.4047806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011444445 | 0.0011444445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011387028 | 0.011406801 | 1.0017364 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1266496E-5 | 2.1266496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.1139016E-5 | 9.1139016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011090664 | 0.0011090664 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.01103681 | 0.011056589 | 1.0017921 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.8530576E-5 | 1.8530576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 7.941441E-5 | 7.941441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.66454E-4 | 9.66454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.009623832 | 0.009643639 | 1.0020581 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.7559685E-5 | 1.7559685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.5253694E-5 | 7.5253694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.1584097E-4 | 9.1584097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009121959 | 0.009141777 | 1.0021725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.576511E-5 | 1.576511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.756307E-5 | 6.756307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.2228193E-4 | 8.2228193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.0081936205 | 0.008213457 | 1.0024209 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.347205E-5 | 1.347205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.773614E-5 | 5.773614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.02721E-4 | 7.02721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007006033 | 0.0070258924 | 1.0028347 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.18325315E-5 | 1.18325315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.070992E-5 | 5.070992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.172285E-4 | 6.172285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0061561554 | 0.0061760326 | 1.0032288 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.523858E-6 | 9.523858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.0815947E-5 | 4.0815947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 4.968298E-4 | 4.968298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0049580787 | 0.0049779797 | 1.0040138 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.6154313E-6 | 5.6154313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4065954E-5 | 2.4065954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 2.9297083E-4 | 2.9297083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0029265569 | 0.0029365276 | 1.003407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0057414644 | 1.0052224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.864397E-6 | 1.686433E-5 | 2.456782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 3.9418235E-5 | 1.3399118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.6811104E-4 | 1.027914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0035955908 | 1.0055734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.864397E-6 | 1.686433E-5 | 2.456782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 3.9418235E-5 | 1.3399118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.6811104E-4 | 1.027914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0035955908 | 1.0055734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1212837E-6 | 1.51212325E-5 | 2.9526253 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.194818E-5 | 3.1947962E-5 | 1.4556086 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.6718748E-4 | 2.7718482E-4 | 1.0374169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002668777 | 0.0026887236 | 1.0074741 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2009046E-6 | 1.4200863E-5 | 3.3804295 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8003757E-5 | 2.8003577E-5 | 1.5554296 | 1.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.1917441E-4 | 2.2917222E-4 | 1.0456158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0021896542 | 0.0022096103 | 1.0091139 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 1.366588E-5 | 3.7278209 | 1.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 2.5710822E-5 | 1.6364876 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.91265E-4 | 2.012631E-4 | 1.0522735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019110661 | 0.001921047 | 1.0052227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.0681797E-6 | 1.3068149E-5 | 4.2592516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3149278E-5 | 2.3149147E-5 | 1.760488 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.7007966E-4 | 1.0624583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0015997149 | 0.0016096989 | 1.0062411 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 1.2565036E-5 | 4.898532 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.0993078E-5 | 2.0992968E-5 | 1.9096533 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.4383167E-4 | 1.07471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013375732 | 0.0013475599 | 1.0074662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.793164E-6 | 1.793164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.684967E-6 | 7.684967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.356075E-5 | 9.356075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013866565 | 9.352422E-4 | 9.352422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4043651E-6 | 1.4043651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.0186953E-6 | 6.0186953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.32754E-5 | 7.32754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.325371E-4 | 7.325371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.1034543E-7 | 7.1034543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.044334E-6 | 3.044334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.706414E-5 | 3.706414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.7058E-4 | 3.7058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.4758767E-7 | 4.4758767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.281326E-7 | 6.281326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 7.647489E-6 | 7.647489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 7.647236E-5 | 7.647236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ozena
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.857647E-4 | 1.0396637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.223257E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 1.0930071E-5 | 11.751751 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9528186E-6 | 3.986052E-6 | 1.3986012E-5 | 3.5087378 | 1.0E-5 | 4.81245E-5 | 4.8529146E-5 | 6.852818E-5 | 1.4121034 | 2.0E-5 | 4.811408E-4 | 4.851895E-4 | 5.1517494E-4 | 1.0618016 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.141515E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 1.09218545E-5 | 11.847577 | 1.0E-5 | 3.917786E-6 | 3.95084E-6 | 1.39508E-5 | 3.5310974 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7698002E-5 | 4.8100454E-5 | 6.809949E-5 | 1.4157765 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7687767E-4 | 4.8090445E-4 | 5.0089485E-4 | 1.0415683 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.767648E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 1.0884228E-5 | 12.309181 | 1.0E-5 | 3.757558E-6 | 3.7895798E-6 | 1.3789542E-5 | 3.638805 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5747307E-5 | 4.6137196E-5 | 6.613627E-5 | 1.4334697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5737892E-4 | 4.6128008E-4 | 4.8127086E-4 | 1.0433376 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.199402E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 1.0826998E-5 | 13.091797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5140247E-6 | 3.544308E-6 | 1.3544272E-5 | 3.8214154 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2782412E-5 | 4.315113E-5 | 6.315027E-5 | 1.4634672 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2774176E-4 | 4.3143122E-4 | 4.514226E-4 | 1.0463374 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.38705E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 1.0745045E-5 | 14.421867 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1658747E-6 | 3.1930774E-6 | 1.3193046E-5 | 4.131765 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8543843E-5 | 3.887506E-5 | 5.8874284E-5 | 1.5144486 | 2.0E-5 | 3.853716E-4 | 3.8868608E-4 | 4.0867832E-4 | 1.0514354 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.490017E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 1.0654568E-5 | 16.277092 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7814328E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 1.2805288E-5 | 4.564651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.386342E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 5.4153537E-5 | 1.5855591 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3858258E-4 | 3.4149305E-4 | 3.6148622E-4 | 1.0585463 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.346736E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 1.0539233E-5 | 19.544657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.291456E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 1.2310998E-5 | 5.327082 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789812E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 4.8135782E-5 | 1.7108043 | 2.0E-5 | 2.789462E-4 | 2.8133087E-4 | 3.0132523E-4 | 1.0710707 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.939325E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25971E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5336862E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335804E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4151905E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065101E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3842357E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.38399E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.4957577E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9267533E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3458194E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3457947E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.9993255E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5711394E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303617E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303573E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012750424 | 1.001551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012750424 | 1.001551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012750424 | 1.001551 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478703 | 0.012498452 | 1.0015827 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478703 | 0.012498452 | 1.0015827 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.3754741E-5 | 3.3754503E-5 | 1.4209586 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0180214E-4 | 1.1180113E-4 | 1.0982198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012387515 | 0.0012487391 | 1.0080626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012321873 | 0.012341626 | 1.0016031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.2312273E-5 | 3.231205E-5 | 1.4481739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.56206E-5 | 1.0561964E-4 | 1.10457 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0011635721 | 0.0011735604 | 1.0085843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.011577978 | 0.011597746 | 1.0017074 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.1924227E-5 | 3.1924006E-5 | 1.4561064 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.3957664E-5 | 1.0395672E-4 | 1.1064209 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011433472 | 0.0011533358 | 1.0087363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011377821 | 0.011397593 | 1.0017378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.0882897E-5 | 3.088269E-5 | 1.4788507 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 8.949513E-5 | 9.949424E-5 | 1.111728 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0010890712 | 0.0010990603 | 1.0091721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.01084115 | 0.010860933 | 1.0018249 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 2.4799705E-5 | 1.6756724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 7.34258E-5 | 1.157653 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 7.819415E-4 | 1.0129442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006830362 | 0.0076942556 | 0.007714102 | 1.0025793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 2.27841E-5 | 1.7822039 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 6.478788E-5 | 1.1825103 | 1.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 6.768437E-4 | 1.0149859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0066497647 | 0.006669632 | 1.0029876 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0624341E-5 | 2.0624235E-5 | 1.9412249 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 5.553166E-5 | 1.2196152 | 1.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 5.6421105E-4 | 1.0180335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.00552889 | 0.00554878 | 1.0035974 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0069095E-5 | 2.0068994E-5 | 1.993128 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 5.3152144E-5 | 1.2317259 | 1.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 5.352547E-4 | 1.0190282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0052405978 | 0.0052604927 | 1.0037963 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 1.9614083E-5 | 2.0401204 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 5.120258E-5 | 1.2426908 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 5.1153E-4 | 1.0199288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0050044395 | 0.0050243395 | 1.0039765 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 1.9514155E-5 | 2.051045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 5.0774335E-5 | 1.2452399 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 5.0631847E-4 | 1.0201381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0049525574 | 0.0049724584 | 1.0040183 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 1.941299E-5 | 2.0623412 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 5.0340783E-5 | 1.2478756 | 1.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 5.0104235E-4 | 1.0203546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.00490003 | 0.004909981 | 1.0020308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 1.9097311E-5 | 2.099205 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 4.8987917E-5 | 1.2564771 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 4.8457852E-4 | 1.0210611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004736103 | 0.0047460557 | 1.0021014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 1.8176203E-5 | 2.2230394 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 4.5040422E-5 | 1.2853719 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 4.365375E-4 | 1.0234344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0042576184 | 0.004267576 | 1.0023388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0361317E-5 | 28.676197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.1548503E-5 | 7.457775 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 2.8852866E-5 | 1.530408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.985131E-4 | 1.0530362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1578536E-5 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9621354E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 6.039725E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.593787E-4 | 1.0181922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006023336 | 0.005486643 | 0.005506533 | 1.0036253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.593787E-4 | 1.0181922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.005506533 | 1.0036253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.593787E-4 | 1.0181922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.005506533 | 1.0036253 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024175863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024175863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024175863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.617744E-6 | 4.617744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 1.9790303E-5 | 1.9790303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4094197E-4 | 2.4094197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024089331 | 0.0024089331 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.776001E-5 | 1.776001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.1622813E-4 | 2.1622813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0021622814 | 0.0021622814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016934077 | 1.0059303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016934077 | 1.0059303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016934077 | 1.0059303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.5266645E-4 | 1.0105981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009398542 | 1.0010551 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.5266645E-4 | 1.0105981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009398542 | 1.0010551 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3510013E-5 | 1.3510013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.7898826E-5 | 5.7898826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.0470024E-4 | 7.146932E-4 | 1.0141804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0070256786 | 0.0070356084 | 1.0014133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.35021455E-5 | 1.35021455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.7865112E-5 | 5.7865112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.0429005E-4 | 7.14283E-4 | 1.0141886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0070216027 | 0.0070315325 | 1.0014142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0744042E-5 | 1.0744042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6045123E-5 | 4.6045123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.60462E-4 | 5.7045644E-4 | 1.0178324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0055911774 | 0.0056011216 | 1.0017785 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0045909965 | 0.0045909965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028486024 | 0.0028486024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002389514 | 0.002389514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016630491 | 0.0016630491 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.3299766E-6 | 7.3299766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.247201E-7 | 3.247201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.3916568E-6 | 1.3916568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.6943291E-5 | 1.6943291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.6942009E-4 | 1.6942009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.0590635E-7 | 2.0590635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 8.824555E-7 | 8.824555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0743843E-5 | 1.0743843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0743327E-4 | 1.0743327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0346542E-7 | 1.0346542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.4342312E-7 | 4.4342312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.3986632E-6 | 5.3986632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.3985335E-5 | 5.3985335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.060018E-8 | 3.060018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.3114362E-7 | 1.3114362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.5966724E-6 | 1.5966724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.596661E-5 | 1.596661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 6.2812946E-9 | 6.2812946E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 2.6919833E-8 | 2.6919833E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 3.2774892E-7 | 3.2774892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 3.2774847E-6 | 3.2774847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 4.87123E-10 | 4.87123E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 2.0876694E-9 | 2.0876694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 2.5417373E-8 | 2.5417373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 2.5417373E-7 | 2.5417373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009768659 | 0.009778561 | 1.0010136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009768659 | 0.009778561 | 1.0010136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4052311E-5 | 1.4052311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.022297E-5 | 6.022297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.3299883E-4 | 7.3299883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006687004 | 0.0073088603 | 0.0073187873 | 1.0013582 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.1567552E-5 | 1.1567552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 4.957444E-5 | 4.957444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.034294E-4 | 6.034294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005509687 | 0.006020642 | 0.006030582 | 1.0016509 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 8.88816E-6 | 8.88816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.8091694E-5 | 3.8091694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.636915E-4 | 4.636915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042373384 | 0.0046295812 | 0.0046395347 | 1.00215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.3305115E-6 | 6.3305115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7130598E-5 | 2.7130598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.302856E-4 | 3.302856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00301531 | 0.0032999713 | 0.0033099384 | 1.0030203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.7049193E-6 | 4.7049193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.016389E-5 | 2.016389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.4548668E-4 | 2.4548668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022430231 | 0.0024540133 | 0.0024639887 | 1.0040649 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.0405404E-7 | 6.0405404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.5888005E-6 | 2.5888005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.1518208E-5 | 3.1518208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.1513887E-4 | 3.1513887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.0385955E-7 | 5.0385955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.1593962E-6 | 2.1593962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.6290347E-5 | 2.6290347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.6287374E-4 | 2.6287374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.3910493E-7 | 2.3910493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0247351E-6 | 1.0247351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.24760845E-5 | 1.24760845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.2475441E-4 | 1.2475441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2440114E-8 | 1.2440114E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.3314775E-8 | 5.3314775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.491074E-7 | 6.491074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.4910737E-6 | 6.4910737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Yorba Linda
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 2.7171802E-5 | 3.7886238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.928908E-4 | 1.0228919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 2.7171802E-5 | 3.7886238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.928908E-4 | 1.0228919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 2.7171802E-5 | 3.7886238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.928908E-4 | 1.0228919 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.3267366E-7 | 8.3267366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.5685969E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022118 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.3446867E-5 | 5.344643E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.3439015E-4 | 4.443858E-4 | 1.0230107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.3267366E-7 | 8.3267366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.5685969E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022118 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.3446867E-5 | 5.344643E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.3439015E-4 | 4.443858E-4 | 1.0230107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4451364E-7 | 5.7191914E-7 | 5.7191914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.619339E-6 | 2.4510798E-6 | 1.2451055E-5 | 5.0798244 | 1.0E-5 | 4.406456E-5 | 2.9841509E-5 | 3.984121E-5 | 1.3350937 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4055824E-4 | 2.983771E-4 | 3.0837412E-4 | 1.0335046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.422957E-7 | 5.6948227E-7 | 5.6948227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6098338E-6 | 2.440636E-6 | 1.24406115E-5 | 5.097283 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3948843E-5 | 2.971436E-5 | 3.971406E-5 | 1.3365276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.394015E-4 | 2.9710593E-4 | 3.0710298E-4 | 1.033648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.4119705E-7 | 5.68276E-7 | 5.68276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6051254E-6 | 2.4354665E-6 | 1.2435442E-5 | 5.1059794 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3891516E-5 | 2.9651423E-5 | 3.9651128E-5 | 1.337242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.388285E-4 | 2.9647673E-4 | 3.0647378E-4 | 1.0337194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5919155E-7 | 4.848175E-7 | 4.848175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.253674E-6 | 2.0777877E-6 | 1.2077767E-5 | 5.8128014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.961276E-5 | 2.529679E-5 | 3.5296536E-5 | 1.395297 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9605703E-4 | 2.5294075E-4 | 2.6293824E-4 | 1.0395249 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5804564E-7 | 4.8345635E-7 | 4.8345635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.248763E-6 | 2.0719542E-6 | 1.2071933E-5 | 5.826351 | 1.0E-5 | 3.955297E-5 | 2.5225769E-5 | 3.5225516E-5 | 1.39641 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9545933E-4 | 2.522307E-4 | 2.622282E-4 | 1.0396363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.539293E-7 | 4.796918E-7 | 4.796918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2311218E-6 | 2.0558205E-6 | 1.20558E-5 | 5.8642282 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9338196E-5 | 2.5029343E-5 | 3.5029094E-5 | 1.3995211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9331234E-4 | 2.502669E-4 | 2.602644E-4 | 1.0399474 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.0900885E-7 | 3.648546E-7 | 3.648546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6100352E-6 | 1.5636616E-6 | 1.1563646E-5 | 7.3952355 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1776715E-5 | 1.9037418E-5 | 2.9037226E-5 | 1.5252713 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1772171E-4 | 1.903582E-4 | 2.003563E-4 | 1.0525225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.849925E-7 | 3.4565846E-7 | 3.4565846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5071083E-6 | 1.4813926E-6 | 1.1481377E-5 | 7.7503953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0523614E-5 | 1.8035807E-5 | 2.8035627E-5 | 1.5544425 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0519423E-4 | 1.8034375E-4 | 1.9034195E-4 | 1.0554397 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.89808E-7 | 2.9300605E-7 | 2.9300605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0991754E-6 | 1.2557397E-6 | 1.1255727E-5 | 8.963425 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5557161E-5 | 1.5288524E-5 | 2.5288373E-5 | 1.6540754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5554223E-4 | 1.5287494E-4 | 1.6287342E-4 | 1.065403 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8700415E-7 | 2.3873392E-7 | 2.3873392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6585881E-6 | 1.023145E-6 | 1.1023135E-5 | 10.773776 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0193123E-5 | 1.24567205E-5 | 2.2456596E-5 | 1.8027695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0191289E-4 | 1.2456033E-4 | 1.345591E-4 | 1.0802723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.900565E-7 | 1.8106088E-7 | 1.8106088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2430987E-6 | 7.7597497E-7 | 1.0775967E-5 | 13.887003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5134622E-5 | 9.447455E-6 | 1.9447361E-5 | 2.058476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5133592E-4 | 9.447062E-5 | 1.0446967E-4 | 1.1058431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2770318E-7 | 1.4431374E-7 | 1.4431374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.758704E-7 | 6.184873E-7 | 1.0618482E-5 | 17.16847 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1881158E-5 | 7.530058E-6 | 1.7529983E-5 | 2.328001 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880523E-4 | 7.529808E-5 | 8.5297324E-5 | 1.1327956 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5017194E-7 | 8.467984E-8 | 8.467984E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4359386E-7 | 3.6291354E-7 | 3.6291354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835727E-6 | 4.418464E-6 | 4.418464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835451E-5 | 4.4183784E-5 | 4.4183784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.895753E-8 | 1.7362863E-8 | 1.7362863E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696083E-7 | 7.441226E-8 | 7.441226E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327461E-6 | 9.05969E-7 | 9.05969E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327276E-5 | 9.059654E-6 | 9.059654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.648505E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8493591E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690942E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690888E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Richfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 2.6578758E-5 | 4.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 1.0009454E-4 | 1.2496799 | 2.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.2076405E-4 | 1.0249556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 2.6578758E-5 | 4.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 1.0009454E-4 | 1.2496799 | 2.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.2076405E-4 | 1.0249556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0777299E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6188418E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6234253E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623283E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1301874E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.129375E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115008E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1114952E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8413502E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.891501E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607899E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607857E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2290541E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2673748E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.413027E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4130086E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.373573E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7315311E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256384E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256335E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6989944E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5852834E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300822E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300805E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.097397E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9888434E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943917E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943911E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.8314464E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4991786E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427527E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427532E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.785456E-4 | 1.0557598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.785456E-4 | 1.0557598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.785456E-4 | 1.0557598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2225613E-5 | 3.222539E-5 | 1.4499214 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2223571E-4 | 2.4223127E-4 | 1.0899745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2225613E-5 | 3.222539E-5 | 1.4499214 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2223571E-4 | 2.4223127E-4 | 1.0899745 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.8602722E-4 | 1.1204398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.8602722E-4 | 1.1204398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.8602722E-4 | 1.1204398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.8602722E-4 | 1.1204398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0402092E-7 | 3.0678996E-7 | 3.0678996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3029462E-6 | 1.3148134E-6 | 1.3148134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5863254E-5 | 1.600774E-5 | 2.600758E-5 | 1.6246878 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5862122E-4 | 1.6006625E-4 | 1.7006465E-4 | 1.0624641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3673063E-7 | 2.3895475E-7 | 2.3895475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145594E-6 | 1.0240915E-6 | 1.0240915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235219E-5 | 1.2468245E-5 | 2.246812E-5 | 1.8020275 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2351504E-4 | 1.2467573E-4 | 1.3467448E-4 | 1.080198 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.632138E-7 | 1.6479902E-7 | 1.6479902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9948754E-7 | 7.062813E-7 | 7.062813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516227E-6 | 8.598943E-6 | 1.8598857E-5 | 2.1629236 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5159016E-5 | 8.598627E-5 | 9.5985415E-5 | 1.1162876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1523723E-7 | 1.163336E-7 | 1.163336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9387376E-7 | 4.985725E-7 | 4.985725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0128964E-6 | 6.070104E-6 | 1.6070044E-5 | 2.6474082 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0127335E-5 | 6.069949E-5 | 7.069889E-5 | 1.164736 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.777805E-8 | 7.847384E-8 | 7.847384E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3333444E-7 | 3.3631642E-7 | 3.3631642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0583395E-6 | 4.094645E-6 | 1.4094604E-5 | 3.442204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0582654E-5 | 4.0945753E-5 | 5.0945346E-5 | 1.2442156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.609946E-8 | 4.644704E-8 | 4.644704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975691E-7 | 1.9905873E-7 | 1.9905873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4054011E-6 | 2.4235376E-6 | 1.2423513E-5 | 5.1261897 | 1.0E-5 | 2.405375E-5 | 2.4235129E-5 | 3.4234887E-5 | 1.4126142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3439137E-8 | 2.3578295E-8 | 2.3578295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00453434E-7 | 1.0104983E-7 | 1.0104983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230199E-6 | 1.230281E-6 | 1.230281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230132E-5 | 1.2302744E-5 | 1.2302744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6699769E-8 | 1.679628E-8 | 1.679628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157044E-8 | 7.1984054E-8 | 7.1984054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713697E-7 | 8.764055E-7 | 8.764055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713663E-6 | 8.764023E-6 | 8.764023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4061512E-9 | 7.4456583E-9 | 7.4456583E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1740647E-8 | 3.1909963E-8 | 3.1909963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.864423E-7 | 3.8850374E-7 | 3.8850374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8644166E-6 | 3.885031E-6 | 3.885031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2189427E-9 | 1.2256353E-9 | 1.2256353E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2240403E-9 | 5.2527223E-9 | 5.2527223E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3602684E-8 | 6.3951894E-8 | 6.3951894E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.360267E-7 | 6.395188E-7 | 6.395188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 2.6728847E-5 | 3.9721978 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 4.8837643E-5 | 1.6935041 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 2.6728847E-5 | 3.9721978 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 4.8837643E-5 | 1.6935041 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 2.6728847E-5 | 3.9721978 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 4.8837643E-5 | 1.6935041 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 2.6728847E-5 | 3.9721978 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 4.8837643E-5 | 1.6935041 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 2.6728847E-5 | 3.9721978 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 4.8837643E-5 | 1.6935041 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.3244926E-5 | 4.0816936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 2.3906756E-5 | 1.7190578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.793024E-4 | 1.0590553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017018132 | 1.0059007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.3244926E-5 | 4.0816936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 2.3906756E-5 | 1.7190578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.793024E-4 | 1.0590553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017018132 | 1.0059007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.1994065E-6 | 1.2199384E-5 | 5.546671 | 1.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.425995E-6 | 1.9425901E-5 | 2.060886 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1475564E-4 | 1.2475449E-4 | 1.0871317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001146983 | 0.0011569716 | 1.0087085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.029925E-5 | 9.029925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.026352E-4 | 9.026352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.11837E-5 | 7.11837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.116135E-4 | 7.116135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1375544E-6 | 1.1375544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.935427E-5 | 5.935427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.933873E-4 | 5.933873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9734177E-6 | 3.9734177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8375307E-5 | 4.8375307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8364952E-4 | 4.8364952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.493924E-5 | 3.493924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.493383E-4 | 3.493383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.921951E-7 | 4.921951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.568172E-5 | 2.568172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5678801E-4 | 2.5678801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2875099E-7 | 3.2875099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7153616E-5 | 1.7153616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7152316E-4 | 1.7152316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.664252E-6 | 7.664252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.663995E-5 | 7.663995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6420184E-5 | 3.6420184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4334316E-4 | 4.5333873E-4 | 1.0225459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044263224 | 0.004446234 | 1.0044985 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.0019666385 | 1.0051007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.0019666385 | 1.0051007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3010107E-4 | 5.400958E-4 | 1.0188544 | 1.0E-5 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029631425 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029239422 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029631425 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029239422 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029631425 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029239422 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.22535E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2392436E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027228706 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026897486 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9465282E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023673223 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023422617 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0588989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2716366E-4 | 4.538066E-5 | 4.538066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015471181 | 5.5238104E-4 | 5.623755E-4 | 1.0180935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015363912 | 0.005654559 | 0.005674446 | 1.0035169 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.0310071E-5 | 1.0310071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1166424E-4 | 4.4185337E-5 | 4.4185337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013586642 | 5.378352E-4 | 5.478298E-4 | 1.018583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013503874 | 0.005507679 | 0.0055275694 | 1.0036113 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 9.948518E-6 | 9.948518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.261813E-5 | 4.2635875E-5 | 4.2635875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6210906E-4 | 5.1897956E-4 | 5.2897434E-4 | 1.0192586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075950073 | 0.005318539 | 0.005338433 | 1.0037404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 7.933525E-6 | 7.933525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.597323E-5 | 3.4000415E-5 | 3.4000415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8126095E-4 | 4.1388278E-4 | 4.2387864E-4 | 1.0241514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006791762 | 0.00426325 | 0.004283165 | 1.0046712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 5.4836914E-6 | 5.4836914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4755358E-5 | 2.350133E-5 | 2.350133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447602E-4 | 2.8609252E-4 | 2.9608965E-4 | 1.0349437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005434267 | 0.0029680457 | 0.0029879862 | 1.0067184 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 4.322904E-6 | 4.322904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 1.8526602E-5 | 1.8526602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 2.2553856E-4 | 2.3553631E-4 | 1.0443283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.002347085 | 0.002367038 | 1.0085012 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 4.322904E-6 | 4.322904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4482026E-5 | 1.8526602E-5 | 1.8526602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.197378E-4 | 2.2553856E-4 | 2.3553631E-4 | 1.0443283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.002347085 | 0.002367038 | 1.0085012 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 3.8855237E-6 | 3.8855237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1608928E-5 | 1.665214E-5 | 1.665214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8477074E-4 | 2.0272135E-4 | 2.1271931E-4 | 1.0493188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003841052 | 0.0021166543 | 0.0021366118 | 1.0094289 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 3.4763827E-6 | 3.4763827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8312797E-5 | 1.48987E-5 | 1.48987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.446538E-4 | 1.8137686E-4 | 1.9137505E-4 | 1.0551238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034411973 | 0.0019009899 | 0.001920952 | 1.0105008 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 3.3665567E-6 | 3.3665567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7562477E-5 | 1.4428022E-5 | 1.4428022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.355215E-4 | 1.7564728E-4 | 1.8564552E-4 | 1.0569223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033501536 | 0.0018432916 | 0.0018632547 | 1.0108302 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 3.1978539E-6 | 3.1978539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6032423E-5 | 1.3705017E-5 | 1.3705017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1689866E-4 | 1.6684606E-4 | 1.7684439E-4 | 1.0599254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031644711 | 0.0017537918 | 0.0017737568 | 1.0113839 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 3.0538524E-6 | 3.0538524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4422852E-5 | 1.3087875E-5 | 1.3087875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9730765E-4 | 1.5933347E-4 | 1.6933188E-4 | 1.0627514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002969102 | 0.001676988 | 0.0016969544 | 1.0119061 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 2.7393717E-6 | 2.7393717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138971E-5 | 1.1740112E-5 | 1.1740112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6950863E-4 | 1.429267E-4 | 1.5292528E-4 | 1.069956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00269182 | 0.0015105644 | 0.0015305342 | 1.0132201 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 2.1287888E-6 | 2.1287888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.579906E-5 | 9.12335E-6 | 9.12335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9233658E-4 | 1.11071226E-4 | 1.21070116E-4 | 1.0900223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019217018 | 0.0011859376 | 0.0012059138 | 1.0168443 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 1.6875579E-6 | 1.6875579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2971037E-5 | 7.2323714E-6 | 7.2323714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5791094E-4 | 8.8050656E-5 | 9.804978E-5 | 1.113561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015779877 | 9.5061347E-4 | 9.7059447E-4 | 1.0210191 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 1.399921E-6 | 1.399921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0830595E-5 | 5.999648E-6 | 5.999648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3185451E-4 | 7.304335E-5 | 8.304262E-5 | 1.1368951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177631 | 7.9468614E-4 | 8.1467023E-4 | 1.0251472 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 1.3199964E-6 | 1.3199964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178161E-5 | 5.6571157E-6 | 5.6571157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2391206E-4 | 6.887329E-5 | 7.88726E-5 | 1.1451842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012384299 | 7.500004E-4 | 7.6998543E-4 | 1.0266466 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 3.9648962E-10 | 3.9648962E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 1.6992412E-9 | 1.6992412E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 2.0688262E-8 | 2.0688262E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676166E-7 | 2.2824246E-7 | 2.2824246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.5127685E-4 | 1.1523267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0016172517 | 1.0125012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.5127685E-4 | 1.1523267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0016172517 | 1.0125012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.5127685E-4 | 1.1523267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0016172517 | 1.0125012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 7.77759E-5 | 1.1475337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 8.3488633E-4 | 1.0121127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007737305 | 0.008221042 | 0.008230961 | 1.0012064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 7.77759E-5 | 1.1475337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 8.3488633E-4 | 1.0121127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007737305 | 0.008221042 | 0.008230961 | 1.0012064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3542677E-5 | 1.3542677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.803889E-5 | 6.803831E-5 | 1.1722883 | 1.0E-5 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.064192E-4 | 7.1641215E-4 | 1.0141459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006655392 | 0.0070441947 | 0.0070541245 | 1.0014096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0131485E-5 | 1.0131485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.342002E-5 | 5.3419582E-5 | 1.2302985 | 1.0E-5 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.2852614E-4 | 5.3852086E-4 | 1.0189105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005028777 | 0.0052742404 | 0.005284188 | 1.001886 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.079454E-6 | 8.079454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.462585E-5 | 4.4625504E-5 | 1.2887915 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.215014E-4 | 4.314972E-4 | 1.0237147 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004044977 | 0.004208324 | 0.004218282 | 1.0023662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.6382026E-6 | 6.6382026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.84492E-5 | 3.8448914E-5 | 1.3514937 | 1.0E-5 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.4632633E-4 | 3.5632288E-4 | 1.0288645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003346101 | 0.0034590822 | 0.0034690476 | 1.0028809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.0773763E-6 | 3.0773763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3188697E-5 | 2.3188566E-5 | 1.758215 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6056203E-4 | 1.7056044E-4 | 1.0622712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016046056 | 0.0016145896 | 1.006222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2022991E-6 | 2.2022991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.438397E-6 | 1.9438303E-5 | 2.0594919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1490744E-4 | 1.2490629E-4 | 1.0870166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011485803 | 0.0011585689 | 1.0086964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1612598E-6 | 1.1612598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 4.9768223E-6 | 1.4976772E-5 | 3.0093043 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.059181E-5 | 7.05912E-5 | 1.1650288 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.0582E-4 | 6.158139E-4 | 1.0164965 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0131238E-7 | 3.0131238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.2913381E-6 | 1.2913381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.5721935E-5 | 1.5721935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.5720875E-4 | 1.5720875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.2373548E-7 | 2.2373548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.588659E-7 | 9.588659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.1674131E-5 | 1.1674131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.1673525E-4 | 1.1673525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.900747E-7 | 1.900747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.1460564E-7 | 8.1460564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 9.917779E-6 | 9.917779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 9.917343E-5 | 9.917343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.3956311E-7 | 1.3956311E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 5.981275E-7 | 5.981275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.2821786E-6 | 7.2821786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.281945E-5 | 7.281945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.3741624E-8 | 7.3741624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.1603548E-7 | 3.1603548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.8477256E-6 | 3.8477256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.8476624E-5 | 3.8476624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0198562E-4 | 1.2439203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014806816 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.00101775 | 1.0200247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014708545 | 0.009936156 | 0.0099559575 | 1.0019928 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0198562E-4 | 1.2439203 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.00101775 | 1.0200247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.0099559575 | 1.0019928 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0198562E-4 | 1.2439203 | 2.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.00101775 | 1.0200247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.0099559575 | 1.0019928 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.2115585E-5 | 8.211434E-5 | 1.3219603 | 2.0E-5 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.5601495E-4 | 7.759998E-4 | 1.0264345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007027647 | 0.0075364397 | 0.007556289 | 1.0026338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658551E-5 | 4.9819857E-5 | 6.981886E-5 | 1.4014263 | 2.0E-5 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.06403E-4 | 6.2639086E-4 | 1.0329614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005655863 | 0.0060489774 | 0.006068856 | 1.0032864 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.6287667E-5 | 5.628694E-5 | 1.5511315 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.4172167E-4 | 4.6171283E-4 | 1.0452573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004409315 | 0.004429227 | 1.0045159 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.0053872E-5 | 5.005327E-5 | 1.6654516 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.6585206E-4 | 3.8584473E-4 | 1.0546468 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0036532457 | 0.0036731726 | 1.0054545 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.1476886E-5 | 4.1476454E-5 | 1.9312137 | 2.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.614533E-4 | 2.8144807E-4 | 1.0764755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002611812 | 0.0026317597 | 1.0076375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 1.967739E-5 | 3.9676997E-5 | 2.016375 | 2.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.3954941E-4 | 2.595446E-4 | 1.0834701 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0023932576 | 0.0024132098 | 1.0083368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 2.237252E-5 | 1.8082247 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.606261E-4 | 1.066379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001423255 | 0.001505361 | 0.001515346 | 1.0066329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0010514441 | 0.0010514441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.5862103E-6 | 1.5862103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 2.6985601E-5 | 1.588718 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 2.6985601E-5 | 1.588718 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6467362E-5 | 2.6467198E-5 | 1.6072518 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.057253E-5 | 8.057183E-5 | 1.1416882 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.588875E-4 | 8.6887897E-4 | 1.0116329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008556307 | 0.008576136 | 1.0023174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6023141E-5 | 2.602298E-5 | 1.6240873 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 6.866883E-5 | 7.866814E-5 | 1.1456165 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.3572784E-4 | 8.457195E-4 | 1.0119556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008326458 | 0.008346291 | 1.002382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5558433E-5 | 2.5558276E-5 | 1.6427283 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.667732E-5 | 7.667665E-5 | 1.149966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.114994E-4 | 8.214913E-4 | 1.0123129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008085949 | 0.008105787 | 1.0024534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5090283E-5 | 2.5090132E-5 | 1.6626681 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.467107E-5 | 7.4670425E-5 | 1.1546186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 7.870911E-4 | 7.970832E-4 | 1.012695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.007843602 | 0.007863446 | 1.0025299 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.4877953E-5 | 2.4877803E-5 | 1.6721255 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.376112E-5 | 7.3760486E-5 | 1.1568254 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.760204E-4 | 7.860127E-4 | 1.0128763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.0077336715 | 0.007753517 | 1.0025661 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4675041E-5 | 2.4674893E-5 | 1.6814191 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.2891544E-5 | 7.2890914E-5 | 1.1589938 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.6544075E-4 | 7.754331E-4 | 1.0130544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007628606 | 0.0076484536 | 1.0026017 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.43789175E-5 | 2.4378774E-5 | 1.6954527 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.162251E-5 | 7.162189E-5 | 1.1622684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.5000094E-4 | 7.5999345E-4 | 1.0133233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0074752565 | 0.0074951067 | 1.0026555 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4157345E-5 | 2.4157203E-5 | 1.7063372 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.067295E-5 | 7.0672344E-5 | 1.164808 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.38448E-4 | 7.484406E-4 | 1.0135319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007360498 | 0.0073803505 | 1.0026972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.3990502E-5 | 2.3990362E-5 | 1.7147607 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 5.9957947E-5 | 6.995735E-5 | 1.1667736 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.2974875E-4 | 7.3974143E-4 | 1.0136933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0072740777 | 0.007293932 | 1.0027295 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.3723525E-5 | 2.3723387E-5 | 1.7286657 | 1.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 5.881381E-5 | 6.881322E-5 | 1.1700181 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.158281E-4 | 7.2582095E-4 | 1.0139599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007135774 | 0.007145703 | 1.0013914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2387336E-5 | 2.2387212E-5 | 1.8072661 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.308753E-5 | 6.3087E-5 | 1.1883582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.461541E-4 | 6.561476E-4 | 1.0154662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0064432817 | 0.006453217 | 1.001542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 2.0071411E-5 | 1.9928895 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 5.3162505E-5 | 1.2316703 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.353816E-4 | 1.0190235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0361317E-5 | 28.676197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.1548503E-5 | 7.457775 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 2.8852866E-5 | 1.530408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.985131E-4 | 1.0530362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.00855369 | 1.0023236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.00855369 | 1.0023236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.00855369 | 1.0023236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060798754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060798754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005430565 | 0.005430565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0046834927 | 0.0046834927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0042979796 | 0.0042979796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004008504 | 0.004008504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0036435798 | 0.0036435798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0025893645 | 0.0025893645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0023599796 | 0.0023599796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021177593 | 0.0021177593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018504397 | 0.0018504397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0014755968 | 0.0014755968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.6023785E-4 | 1.0181638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.6023785E-4 | 1.0181638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414933E-4 | 4.4425015E-4 | 4.5424572E-4 | 1.0224998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.108819E-4 | 4.134593E-4 | 4.2345515E-4 | 1.0241761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6487455E-4 | 3.672854E-4 | 3.7728174E-4 | 1.0272168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0778843E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5010316E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4726835E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.962996E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.161893E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2287857E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378794E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462619E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range - Oceano 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6169968E-6 | 1.161698E-5 | 7.184294 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.92997E-6 | 1.69299E-5 | 2.4429977 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.436953E-5 | 9.436869E-5 | 1.1185162 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.434157E-4 | 8.5340725E-4 | 1.0118465 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6169968E-6 | 1.161698E-5 | 7.184294 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.92997E-6 | 1.69299E-5 | 2.4429977 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.436953E-5 | 9.436869E-5 | 1.1185162 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.434157E-4 | 8.5340725E-4 | 1.0118465 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6169968E-6 | 1.161698E-5 | 7.184294 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.92997E-6 | 1.69299E-5 | 2.4429977 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.436953E-5 | 9.436869E-5 | 1.1185162 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.434157E-4 | 8.5340725E-4 | 1.0118465 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.6169968E-6 | 1.161698E-5 | 7.184294 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.92997E-6 | 1.69299E-5 | 2.4429977 | 1.0E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.436953E-5 | 9.436869E-5 | 1.1185162 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3585386E-4 | 8.434157E-4 | 8.5340725E-4 | 1.0118465 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.1726971E-6 | 1.1172686E-5 | 9.527341 | 1.0E-5 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.025837E-6 | 1.50257865E-5 | 2.9897084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.118812E-5 | 7.11875E-5 | 1.1634204 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0619344E-4 | 6.117392E-4 | 6.217331E-4 | 1.0163368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.1726971E-6 | 1.1172686E-5 | 9.527341 | 1.0E-5 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.025837E-6 | 1.50257865E-5 | 2.9897084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.118812E-5 | 7.11875E-5 | 1.1634204 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0619344E-4 | 6.117392E-4 | 6.217331E-4 | 1.0163368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.233625E-7 | 1.0723355E-5 | 14.824317 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.1001216E-6 | 1.3100091E-5 | 4.22567 | 1.0E-5 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.7743346E-5 | 4.7742968E-5 | 1.2649374 | 1.0E-5 | 3.737756E-4 | 3.773711E-4 | 3.8736733E-4 | 1.0264891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.233625E-7 | 1.0723355E-5 | 14.824317 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.1001216E-6 | 1.3100091E-5 | 4.22567 | 1.0E-5 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.7743346E-5 | 4.7742968E-5 | 1.2649374 | 1.0E-5 | 3.737756E-4 | 3.773711E-4 | 3.8736733E-4 | 1.0264891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.700177E-7 | 6.7636614E-7 | 1.0676359E-5 | 15.784882 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8715012E-6 | 2.8987088E-6 | 1.2898679E-5 | 4.449802 | 1.0E-5 | 3.495997E-5 | 3.5291225E-5 | 4.529087E-5 | 1.2833465 | 1.0E-5 | 3.495447E-4 | 3.5285784E-4 | 3.628543E-4 | 1.02833 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.657865E-7 | 5.7103836E-7 | 1.0571032E-5 | 18.511948 | 1.0E-5 | 2.424797E-6 | 2.447305E-6 | 1.2447281E-5 | 5.0861173 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9521503E-5 | 2.9795543E-5 | 3.9795243E-5 | 1.3356106 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9517582E-4 | 2.9791653E-4 | 3.0791355E-4 | 1.0335565 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.608413E-7 | 4.6509314E-7 | 1.0465088E-5 | 22.501059 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9750328E-6 | 1.993255E-6 | 1.1993235E-5 | 6.01691 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4045758E-5 | 2.426761E-5 | 3.4267367E-5 | 1.4120619 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4043156E-4 | 2.426499E-4 | 2.5264747E-4 | 1.0412016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9177846E-7 | 3.9542365E-7 | 1.039542E-5 | 26.289322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6790494E-6 | 1.6946717E-6 | 1.1694655E-5 | 6.900838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0442236E-5 | 2.0632435E-5 | 3.063223E-5 | 1.4846637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0440355E-4 | 2.0630534E-4 | 2.1630328E-4 | 1.0484618 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3974752E-7 | 3.4296542E-7 | 1.0342962E-5 | 30.157448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.45606E-6 | 1.469851E-6 | 1.1469836E-5 | 7.8034005 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7727387E-5 | 1.789529E-5 | 2.7895112E-5 | 1.5587963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7725973E-4 | 1.789386E-4 | 1.8893681E-4 | 1.0558751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.8900928E-7 | 2.917449E-7 | 2.917449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2386106E-6 | 1.2503347E-6 | 1.2503347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5079979E-5 | 1.5222719E-5 | 1.5222719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5078956E-4 | 1.5221685E-4 | 1.5221685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1881527E-7 | 2.209344E-7 | 2.209344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3777936E-7 | 9.4686135E-7 | 9.4686135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14174045E-5 | 1.1527976E-5 | 1.1527976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1416818E-4 | 1.1527384E-4 | 1.1527384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.356398E-7 | 1.3690956E-7 | 1.3690956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.813133E-7 | 5.8675516E-7 | 5.8675516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0774663E-6 | 7.143721E-6 | 7.143721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077241E-5 | 7.1434944E-5 | 7.1434944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.9269272E-8 | 5.9880136E-8 | 5.9880136E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5401116E-7 | 2.566291E-7 | 2.566291E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0925814E-6 | 3.1244551E-6 | 3.1244551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0925385E-5 | 3.1244123E-5 | 3.1244123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.946232E-9 | 6.020588E-9 | 6.020588E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5483851E-8 | 2.5802521E-8 | 2.5802521E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1026585E-7 | 3.1414564E-7 | 3.1414564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102654E-6 | 3.141453E-6 | 3.141453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032002E-4 | 8.1319216E-4 | 1.0124402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.0080062635 | 0.008016183 | 1.0012391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032002E-4 | 8.1319216E-4 | 1.0124402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.0080062635 | 0.008016183 | 1.0012391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 9.803295E-6 | 9.803295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.201351E-5 | 4.201351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.1140616E-4 | 5.1140616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.005103453 | 0.005103453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 6.708833E-6 | 6.708833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 2.8751843E-5 | 2.8751843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.5000077E-4 | 3.5000077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047622547 | 0.0034948247 | 0.0034948247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.32678E-6 | 5.32678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.2828863E-5 | 2.2828863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.7790703E-4 | 2.7790703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041159308 | 0.0027757047 | 0.0027757047 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.183392E-6 | 5.183392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.2214355E-5 | 2.2214355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.704273E-4 | 2.704273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004046161 | 0.0027010902 | 0.0027010902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.082453E-6 | 5.082453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.1781763E-5 | 2.1781763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.651618E-4 | 2.651618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003997127 | 0.0026485615 | 0.0026485615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 4.8470597E-6 | 4.8470597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.0772954E-5 | 2.0772954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.5288243E-4 | 2.5288243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003878636 | 0.0025260523 | 0.0025260523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.521886E-6 | 4.521886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 1.9379371E-5 | 1.9379371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.359193E-4 | 2.359193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.0023567886 | 0.0023567886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.49177E-6 | 4.49177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 1.9250307E-5 | 1.9250307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.3434829E-4 | 2.3434829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0023411114 | 0.0023411114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.456832E-6 | 4.456832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 1.9100575E-5 | 1.9100575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.3252568E-4 | 2.3252568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0023229236 | 0.0023229236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.3580385E-6 | 4.3580385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 1.8677181E-5 | 1.8677181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.2737194E-4 | 2.2737194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.0022714927 | 0.0022714927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 3.9547567E-6 | 3.9547567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.6948852E-5 | 1.6948852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.0633373E-4 | 2.0633373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.0020615188 | 0.0020615188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 8.749358E-6 | 8.749358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.0010647392 | 0.0010647392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 7.7120404E-8 | 7.7120404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.0240275E-6 | 4.0240275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.0239815E-5 | 4.0239815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.187984E-9 | 9.187984E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.1235193E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.007052992 | 1.0014099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.1012249E-5 | 1.1012249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 4.7194546E-5 | 4.7194546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 5.744502E-4 | 5.8444444E-4 | 1.017398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.005770785 | 0.005780727 | 1.0017228 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.0819916E-5 | 1.0819916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 4.637029E-5 | 4.637029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 5.644201E-4 | 5.7441444E-4 | 1.0177073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.005670998 | 0.005680941 | 1.0017533 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.0448689E-5 | 1.0448689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 4.4779372E-5 | 4.4779372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 5.450604E-4 | 5.550549E-4 | 1.0183365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0054783574 | 0.0054883026 | 1.0018153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 8.676511E-6 | 8.676511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 3.7184553E-5 | 3.7184553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 4.5263383E-4 | 4.626293E-4 | 1.0220829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0045580813 | 0.0045680357 | 1.0021839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 7.0460087E-6 | 7.0460087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 3.0196854E-5 | 3.0196854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 3.6758883E-4 | 3.7758515E-4 | 1.0271943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0037106234 | 0.0037205864 | 1.002685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 6.7114856E-6 | 6.7114856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 2.8763216E-5 | 2.8763216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 3.5013992E-4 | 3.6013644E-4 | 1.02855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0035366942 | 0.003546659 | 1.0028175 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 5.2038586E-6 | 5.2038586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 2.230208E-5 | 2.230208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 2.7149738E-4 | 2.8149466E-4 | 1.0368228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.002752412 | 0.0027623847 | 1.0036231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 4.4942294E-6 | 4.4942294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 1.9260859E-5 | 1.9260859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 2.3447884E-4 | 2.4447648E-4 | 1.0426378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0023830403 | 0.0023930164 | 1.0041863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 2.6844023E-6 | 2.6844023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 1.1504531E-5 | 1.1504531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 1.4005875E-4 | 1.5005736E-4 | 1.0713886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.001440185 | 0.0014501706 | 1.0069336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 2.3549164E-6 | 2.3549164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.009246E-5 | 1.009246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 1.2286883E-4 | 1.328676E-4 | 1.0813776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0012685715 | 0.0012785587 | 1.0078729 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 1.9607332E-6 | 1.9607332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 8.403115E-6 | 8.403115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 1.0230315E-4 | 1.1230213E-4 | 1.0977387 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0010632379 | 0.0010732273 | 1.0093952 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 1.8986012E-6 | 1.8986012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 8.136837E-6 | 8.136837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 9.906151E-5 | 1.09060515E-4 | 1.1009374 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.001030812 | 0.0010408018 | 1.0096911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 1.7281411E-6 | 1.7281411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 7.406298E-6 | 7.406298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 9.016797E-5 | 1.0016707E-4 | 1.1108941 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 9.40165E-4 | 9.5015566E-4 | 1.0106264 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 1.3543902E-6 | 1.3543902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 5.8045166E-6 | 5.8045166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 7.066771E-5 | 8.066701E-5 | 1.1414974 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 7.397189E-4 | 7.4971153E-4 | 1.0135087 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 2.224763E-7 | 2.224763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 9.534695E-7 | 9.534695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 1.1608431E-5 | 1.1608431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 1.2260007E-4 | 1.2260007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 2.0893092E-8 | 2.0893092E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 8.954182E-8 | 8.954182E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 1.0901712E-6 | 1.0901712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 1.30717535E-5 | 1.30717535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 3.6113734E-9 | 3.6113734E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.5477315E-8 | 1.5477315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.884363E-7 | 1.884363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 2.3521034E-6 | 2.3521034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Reliz 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 2.6165168E-5 | 1.6185979 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 7.927756E-5 | 1.1443354 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.531474E-4 | 1.0118502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008401649 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 2.6165168E-5 | 1.6185979 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 7.927756E-5 | 1.1443354 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.531474E-4 | 1.0118502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008401649 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 2.6165168E-5 | 1.6185979 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 7.927756E-5 | 1.1443354 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.531474E-4 | 1.0118502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008401649 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 1.7735E-5 | 2.2928019 | 1.0E-5 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 4.3149583E-5 | 1.3016499 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.035262E-4 | 4.1352218E-4 | 1.0247716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.004028123 | 0.0040380824 | 1.0024725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 1.7735E-5 | 2.2928019 | 1.0E-5 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 4.3149583E-5 | 1.3016499 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.035262E-4 | 4.1352218E-4 | 1.0247716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.004028123 | 0.0040380824 | 1.0024725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9659374E-6 | 5.868798E-6 | 5.868798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5568053E-5 | 2.5151749E-5 | 2.5151749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1124658E-4 | 3.0617972E-4 | 3.0617972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310811 | 0.0030577085 | 0.0030577085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.2350692E-6 | 5.1224897E-6 | 5.1224897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2435817E-5 | 2.1953343E-5 | 2.1953343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7312184E-4 | 2.672493E-4 | 2.672493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002727864 | 0.002669401 | 0.002669401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.580206E-6 | 4.4529197E-6 | 4.4529197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9629308E-5 | 1.9083804E-5 | 1.9083804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.389606E-4 | 2.323206E-4 | 2.323206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002387038 | 0.002320891 | 0.002320891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.0765017E-6 | 3.937647E-6 | 3.937647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7470604E-5 | 1.687552E-5 | 1.687552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1268385E-4 | 2.0544011E-4 | 2.0544011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002124804 | 0.002052612 | 0.002052612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5752896E-6 | 3.4246139E-6 | 3.4246139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532258E-5 | 1.4676834E-5 | 1.4676834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653645E-4 | 1.7867582E-4 | 1.7867582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018637994 | 0.0017854299 | 0.0017854299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0259848E-6 | 2.8628674E-6 | 2.8628674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2968442E-5 | 1.2269374E-5 | 1.2269374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5787935E-4 | 1.493694E-4 | 1.493694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015776722 | 0.001492797 | 0.001492797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5861116E-6 | 2.4124965E-6 | 2.4124965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1083288E-5 | 1.0339229E-5 | 1.0339229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3493067E-4 | 1.2587286E-4 | 1.2587286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013484878 | 0.0012581222 | 0.0012581222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1482588E-6 | 1.9632193E-6 | 1.9632193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20679E-6 | 8.41377E-6 | 8.41377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12086906E-4 | 1.02432845E-4 | 1.02432845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011203039 | 0.0010239624 | 0.0010239624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7194744E-6 | 1.5237239E-6 | 1.5237239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3691554E-6 | 6.530229E-6 | 6.530229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971577E-5 | 7.950264E-5 | 7.950264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967956E-4 | 7.948478E-4 | 7.948478E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2755178E-6 | 1.0710876E-6 | 1.0710876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4664933E-6 | 4.590367E-6 | 4.590367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.655252E-5 | 5.5886285E-5 | 5.5886285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6532596E-4 | 5.5882795E-4 | 5.5882795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.8463224E-7 | 6.7393194E-7 | 6.7393194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7912755E-6 | 2.8882764E-6 | 2.8882764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6157802E-5 | 3.51642E-5 | 3.51642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6148215E-4 | 3.5169206E-4 | 3.5169206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.291355E-7 | 3.2144138E-7 | 3.2144138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2677216E-6 | 1.3776051E-6 | 1.3776051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760916E-5 | 1.6772214E-5 | 1.6772214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760573E-4 | 1.6781448E-4 | 1.6781448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9663357E-7 | 1.1237742E-7 | 1.1237742E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2712861E-6 | 4.8161746E-7 | 4.8161746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5477797E-5 | 5.8636765E-6 | 5.8636765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.547672E-4 | 5.8733214E-5 | 5.8733214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2509386E-7 | 1.5232667E-8 | 1.5232667E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611643E-7 | 6.528286E-8 | 6.528286E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527198E-6 | 7.948185E-7 | 7.948185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527006E-5 | 8.027451E-6 | 8.027451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.213493E-8 | 5.3336717E-9 | 5.3336717E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6629255E-7 | 2.2858591E-8 | 2.2858591E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.242107E-6 | 2.783033E-7 | 2.783033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2420594E-5 | 2.8512086E-6 | 2.8512086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.92383E-9 | 9.163601E-10 | 9.163601E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5387841E-8 | 3.927258E-9 | 3.927258E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0909692E-7 | 4.7814368E-8 | 4.7814368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090965E-6 | 4.9347847E-7 | 4.9347847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4563478E-5 | 1.4928068E-5 | 1.4928068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.241341E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5961836E-4 | 7.786299E-4 | 7.786299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00757027 | 0.007759265 | 0.0077691874 | 1.0012788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005856618 | 1.0017004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005856618 | 1.0017004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.144834E-6 | 9.144834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.919156E-5 | 3.919156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.7705308E-4 | 4.7705308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047603343 | 0.0047702864 | 1.0020907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.862838E-6 | 7.862838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3697444E-5 | 3.3697444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1018933E-4 | 4.1018933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004094348 | 0.004104307 | 1.0024323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.313926E-6 | 6.313926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7059403E-5 | 2.7059403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.2939852E-4 | 3.2939852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0032891145 | 0.0032990815 | 1.0030303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029618132 | 0.0029717837 | 1.0033664 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025531664 | 0.0025631408 | 1.0039067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021298428 | 0.0021298428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018246946 | 0.0018246946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014754181 | 0.0014754181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011851437 | 0.0011851437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.2391498E-4 | 1.0467371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021471542 | 1.0046691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.2391498E-4 | 1.0467371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021471542 | 1.0046691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.2391498E-4 | 1.0467371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021471542 | 1.0046691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.2391498E-4 | 1.0467371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021471542 | 1.0046691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.2391498E-4 | 1.0467371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021471542 | 1.0046691 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5460502E-4 | 1.6460348E-4 | 1.0646709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015449898 | 0.0015549742 | 1.0064626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5460502E-4 | 1.6460348E-4 | 1.0646709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015449898 | 0.0015549742 | 1.0064626 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6492921E-6 | 2.6492921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.135406E-5 | 1.135406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3822703E-4 | 1.4822563E-4 | 1.0723348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013814213 | 0.0013914075 | 1.007229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.2969482E-6 | 2.2969482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.844027E-6 | 9.844027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.1984451E-4 | 1.298433E-4 | 1.0834315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0011978062 | 0.0012077942 | 1.0083386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0625314E-6 | 2.0625314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.839391E-6 | 8.839391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0761432E-4 | 1.1761324E-4 | 1.0929145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010756279 | 0.0010856171 | 1.0092869 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6728266E-6 | 1.6728266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.169237E-6 | 7.169237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.7282E-5 | 9.728113E-5 | 1.1145612 | 1.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7248103E-4 | 8.824723E-4 | 1.0114516 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.376675E-6 | 1.376675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.900022E-6 | 5.900022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.183043E-5 | 8.182971E-5 | 1.1392068 | 1.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.180748E-4 | 7.280676E-4 | 1.0139161 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.5716397E-7 | 8.5716397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6735548E-6 | 3.6735548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4724624E-5 | 4.4724624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.471573E-4 | 4.471573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6060014E-7 | 5.6060014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4025699E-6 | 2.4025699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.92509E-5 | 2.92509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.92471E-4 | 2.92471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.557675E-7 | 3.557675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.524717E-6 | 1.524717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8563274E-5 | 1.8563274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8561748E-4 | 1.8561748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5750463E-7 | 1.5750463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.7501963E-7 | 6.7501963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.218334E-6 | 8.218334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.2180384E-5 | 8.2180384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4793655E-5 | 5.6955734E-5 | 5.6955734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.4407345E-4 | 2.4407345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002334592 | 0.0029676077 | 0.0029676077 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023102175 | 0.02928759 | 0.029297296 | 1.0003314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4793655E-5 | 5.6955734E-5 | 5.6955734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.4407345E-4 | 2.4407345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002334592 | 0.0029676077 | 0.0029676077 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023102175 | 0.02928759 | 0.029297296 | 1.0003314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 5.6868543E-5 | 5.6868543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.4369986E-4 | 2.4369986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0029630715 | 0.0029630715 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02306703 | 0.029243434 | 0.029253142 | 1.000332 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 5.6868543E-5 | 5.6868543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.4369986E-4 | 2.4369986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0029630715 | 0.0029630715 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02306703 | 0.029243434 | 0.029253142 | 1.000332 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.0582606E-5 | 5.0582606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.1676463E-4 | 2.1676463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.002635955 | 0.002635955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02065605 | 0.026051989 | 0.026061729 | 1.0003738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 4.7976242E-5 | 4.7976242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.0559641E-4 | 2.0559641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.002500304 | 0.002500304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019649856 | 0.024726773 | 0.024736525 | 1.0003945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.600441E-5 | 4.600441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 1.9714714E-4 | 1.9714714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0023976667 | 0.0023976667 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018884527 | 0.023723079 | 0.023732841 | 1.0004115 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.230862E-5 | 4.230862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.8131026E-4 | 1.8131026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0022052568 | 0.0022052568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017441148 | 0.021838302 | 0.021838302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.7008376E-5 | 3.7008376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.5859772E-4 | 1.5859772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.0019292254 | 0.0019292254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015352124 | 0.019125951 | 0.019125951 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.5559857E-5 | 3.5559857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.5239055E-4 | 1.5239055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0018537877 | 0.0018537877 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014816469 | 0.018384788 | 0.018384788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.3027318E-5 | 3.3027318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.4153802E-4 | 1.4153802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.0017218731 | 0.0017218731 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013833242 | 0.017086735 | 0.017086735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.020102E-5 | 3.020102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.2942657E-4 | 1.2942657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0015746381 | 0.0015746381 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733897 | 0.01563624 | 0.01563624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.8150727E-5 | 2.8150727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.2064044E-4 | 1.2064044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.001467816 | 0.001467816 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011907627 | 0.014582593 | 0.014582593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.600138E-5 | 2.600138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.1142977E-4 | 1.1142977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.001355821 | 0.001355821 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011030397 | 0.013476751 | 0.013476751 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.2947528E-5 | 2.2947528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 9.8342876E-5 | 9.8342876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0011966736 | 0.0011966736 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009753612 | 0.011903382 | 0.011903382 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.1031648E-5 | 2.1031648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.0132555E-5 | 9.0132555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0010968181 | 0.0010968181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008959615 | 0.010915066 | 0.010915066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.2966225E-5 | 1.2966225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.5568365E-5 | 5.5568365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 6.763372E-4 | 6.763372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055435603 | 0.006743144 | 0.006743144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 3.902296E-6 | 3.902296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.672402E-5 | 1.672402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.0359605E-4 | 2.0359605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017132863 | 0.0020341044 | 0.0020341044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.810576E-7 | 5.810576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.4902445E-6 | 2.4902445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.0318313E-5 | 3.0318313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.0313747E-4 | 3.0313747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carlsbad
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025762748 | 1.0038867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025762748 | 1.0038867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.3945884E-6 | 4.3945884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.8833816E-5 | 1.8833816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.2927792E-4 | 2.2927792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00228389 | 0.0022904489 | 0.002300426 | 1.0043559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.31345E-6 | 4.31345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.8486086E-5 | 1.8486086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.2504518E-4 | 2.2504518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022426634 | 0.0022482073 | 0.0022581848 | 1.004438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.089566E-6 | 4.089566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.7526596E-5 | 1.7526596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1336574E-4 | 2.1336574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021284607 | 0.0021316423 | 0.002141621 | 1.0046812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 3.9915344E-6 | 3.9915344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7106466E-5 | 1.7106466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.0825163E-4 | 2.0825163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002078621 | 0.002080598 | 0.002090577 | 1.0047963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.8713315E-6 | 3.8713315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.6591317E-5 | 1.6591317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0198089E-4 | 2.0198089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020176715 | 0.002018006 | 0.0020279859 | 1.0049454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.2926876E-6 | 3.2926876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.4111442E-5 | 1.4111442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7179332E-4 | 1.7179332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001725281 | 0.0017166111 | 0.0017265939 | 1.0058154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1199504E-6 | 3.1199504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3371148E-5 | 1.3371148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.6278162E-4 | 1.6278162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016354966 | 0.0016266294 | 0.0016366132 | 1.0061377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.8841723E-6 | 2.8841723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.236068E-5 | 1.236068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.5048093E-4 | 1.5048093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015149876 | 0.0015037955 | 0.0015137804 | 1.0066398 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.4744086E-6 | 2.4744086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0604565E-5 | 1.0604565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.2910296E-4 | 1.2910296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013073172 | 0.0012902827 | 0.0013002699 | 1.0077403 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361635 | 0.0011137924 | 0.0011237813 | 1.0089684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672715E-4 | 8.3337387E-4 | 8.433655E-4 | 1.0119895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.685223E-7 | 9.685223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527277E-4 | 5.0523464E-4 | 5.1522953E-4 | 1.0197828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150792E-4 | 3.6942656E-4 | 3.7942288E-4 | 1.027059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6630386E-4 | 2.290776E-4 | 2.390753E-4 | 1.0436434 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.444382E-7 | 8.444382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237771E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.1280438E-4 | 1.0972612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.688903E-9 | 9.688903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.0555315E-7 | 5.0555315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431565E-5 | 5.0555313E-6 | 5.0555313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.8660435E-4 | 1.0147696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.006758192 | 1.0014719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.8660435E-4 | 1.0147696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.006758192 | 1.0014719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.8660435E-4 | 1.0147696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.006758192 | 1.0014719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.8660435E-4 | 1.0147696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.006758192 | 1.0014719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.8660435E-4 | 1.0147696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.006758192 | 1.0014719 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 4.1338826E-5 | 1.3190799 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8149254E-4 | 3.9148872E-4 | 1.0262028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003641826 | 0.003808903 | 0.003818865 | 1.0026155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 4.1338826E-5 | 1.3190799 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8149254E-4 | 3.9148872E-4 | 1.0262028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003641826 | 0.003808903 | 0.003818865 | 1.0026155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7291422E-6 | 5.7291422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4553256E-5 | 3.455301E-5 | 1.4072679 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8575645E-4 | 2.988987E-4 | 3.0889572E-4 | 1.0334462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028538927 | 0.002985343 | 0.0029953134 | 1.0033396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.1777976E-6 | 4.1777976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.790474E-5 | 2.790456E-5 | 1.5585014 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.179711E-4 | 2.2796892E-4 | 1.0458677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021778387 | 0.002187817 | 1.0045817 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.0924168E-6 | 3.0924168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.32531595E-5 | 2.3253027E-5 | 1.7545271 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6134749E-4 | 1.7134588E-4 | 1.0619681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016125216 | 0.0016225055 | 1.0061915 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5251712E-6 | 1.5251712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.5364375E-6 | 1.6536373E-5 | 2.5298753 | 1.0E-5 | 7.597293E-5 | 7.957921E-5 | 8.957841E-5 | 1.125651 | 1.0E-5 | 7.594696E-4 | 7.95604E-4 | 8.0559606E-4 | 1.012559 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.3325464E-7 | 7.3325464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.14252E-6 | 1.3142489E-5 | 4.1821494 | 1.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.826018E-5 | 4.8259797E-5 | 1.2613584 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.826018E-4 | 3.9259798E-4 | 1.0261269 | 1.0E-5 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039114794 | 1.0025531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039114794 | 1.0025531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039114794 | 1.0025531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039114794 | 1.0025531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039114794 | 1.0025531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.0028708465 | 1.0034854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.0028708465 | 1.0034854 | 1.0E-5 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.1858645E-6 | 1.6185802E-5 | 2.6165788 | 1.0E-5 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.651068E-5 | 3.6510413E-5 | 1.3771964 | 1.0E-5 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.2273747E-4 | 3.3273423E-4 | 1.030975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032244292 | 0.003234397 | 1.0030913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3664945E-6 | 1.236647E-5 | 5.2256494 | 1.0E-5 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0142083E-5 | 2.014198E-5 | 1.9859807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2347332E-4 | 1.3347209E-4 | 1.0809791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012340931 | 0.0012440807 | 1.0080931 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.3166435E-6 | 1.231662E-5 | 5.31658 | 1.0E-5 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.928437E-6 | 1.9928337E-5 | 2.0071979 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2087248E-4 | 1.3087127E-4 | 1.0827218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011716976 | 0.001208113 | 0.001218101 | 1.0082674 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0514408E-6 | 1.20514205E-5 | 5.874613 | 1.0E-5 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.791862E-6 | 1.8791774E-5 | 2.1374054 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0703609E-4 | 1.1703502E-4 | 1.0934165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010698875 | 0.0010798769 | 1.0093368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.800778E-5 | 7.800778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.798281E-4 | 7.798281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8259433E-5 | 4.8259433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.825007E-4 | 4.825007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.178834E-5 | 4.178834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.1781546E-4 | 4.1781546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8204659E-5 | 2.8204659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8201722E-4 | 2.8201722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.33836E-6 | 8.33836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.3382445E-5 | 8.3382445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018158093 | 1.000541 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018158093 | 1.000541 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018158093 | 1.000541 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.001215278 | 0.0012252659 | 1.0082185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012089411 | 0.01209929 | 1.0008172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.001215278 | 0.0012252659 | 1.0082185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012089411 | 0.01209929 | 1.0008172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.139614E-5 | 2.139614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.169467E-5 | 9.169467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011158373 | 0.001125826 | 1.0089519 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066401 | 0.011105077 | 0.011114967 | 1.0008905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1376161E-5 | 2.1376161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.160906E-5 | 9.160906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011147959 | 0.0011247848 | 1.0089602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010056281 | 0.011094769 | 0.011104658 | 1.0008913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8394094E-5 | 1.8394094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 7.882955E-5 | 7.882955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.593458E-4 | 9.693362E-4 | 1.0104138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008688197 | 0.009553958 | 0.009563861 | 1.0010366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.56607E-5 | 1.56607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.711564E-5 | 6.711564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.1684033E-4 | 8.1684033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417957 | 0.00813979 | 0.00813979 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3667722E-5 | 1.3667722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.85747E-5 | 5.85747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.1292516E-4 | 7.1292516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006485529 | 0.0071075503 | 0.0071075503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.594256E-6 | 9.594256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.111763E-5 | 4.111763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.004992E-4 | 5.004992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.0049944213 | 0.0049944213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.6764073E-6 | 6.6764073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.8612889E-5 | 2.8612889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.483116E-4 | 3.483116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0034781839 | 0.0034781839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2089383E-6 | 3.2089383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.3752529E-5 | 1.3752529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.6742585E-4 | 1.6742585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0016731621 | 0.0016731621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 7.8566745E-7 | 7.8566745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.3671445E-6 | 3.3671445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.099465E-5 | 4.099465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.0991395E-4 | 4.0991395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3082911E-4 | 1.408278E-4 | 1.0764256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013075534 | 0.0013175403 | 1.0076379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0100099E-4 | 1.1099997E-4 | 1.0989989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010095594 | 0.0010195493 | 1.0098953 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.784564E-5 | 1.0784466E-4 | 1.1021918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.780336E-4 | 9.880239E-4 | 1.0102146 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.222516E-5 | 9.2224334E-5 | 1.1216073 | 1.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2195224E-4 | 8.3194405E-4 | 1.0121561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3003045E-6 | 1.3003045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.78458E-5 | 7.784512E-5 | 1.1473831 | 1.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.7825353E-4 | 6.882468E-4 | 1.0147338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8214195E-5 | 6.821361E-5 | 1.1717694 | 1.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8199145E-4 | 5.9198565E-4 | 1.0171723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7228506E-7 | 8.7228506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5513585E-5 | 5.551313E-5 | 1.2197046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5504398E-4 | 4.6503943E-4 | 1.0219659 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0648276E-5 | 3.0648276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.064411E-4 | 3.064411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2764674E-5 | 2.2764674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2762381E-4 | 2.2762381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.561895E-5 | 1.561895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5617875E-4 | 1.5617875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4170476E-7 | 1.4170476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.393926E-6 | 7.393926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.393688E-5 | 7.393688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011203295 | 1.0089962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011064703 | 1.0008945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011203295 | 1.0089962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011064703 | 1.0008945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011203295 | 1.0089962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011064703 | 1.0008945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.0085710995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.0085710995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.52425955E-5 | 1.52425955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.53241E-5 | 6.53241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 7.950885E-4 | 7.950885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073766913 | 0.00792813 | 0.00792813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4468871E-5 | 1.4468871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.2008294E-5 | 6.2008294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.5474696E-4 | 7.5474696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007527492 | 0.007527492 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 5.997809E-5 | 5.997809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.3004584E-4 | 7.3004584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006774798 | 0.0072821057 | 0.0072821057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0031935778 | 0.0031935778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0024606744 | 0.0024606744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.620697E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086477E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002928585 | 0.0028427315 | 0.002852703 | 1.0035077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028902901 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.002852703 | 1.0035077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.002852703 | 1.0035077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0020380353 | 0.002048015 | 1.0048966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.020218147 | 0.020227944 | 1.0004846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0016854599 | 0.001695443 | 1.0059232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.01674792 | 0.016757753 | 1.0005871 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.00168294 | 0.0016929233 | 1.005932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.016723102 | 0.016732935 | 1.0005879 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0013869469 | 0.0013969331 | 1.0072001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.013802872 | 0.013812735 | 1.0007145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012013782 | 0.0012113662 | 1.0083138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.0119683705 | 0.011978251 | 1.0008255 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.8330845E-4 | 3.933046E-4 | 1.0260787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0038267397 | 0.0038367014 | 1.0026032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.2779446E-4 | 3.377912E-4 | 1.030497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0032733486 | 0.0032833158 | 1.003045 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.2587224E-4 | 2.3586999E-4 | 1.0442628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0022566202 | 0.0022665977 | 1.0044214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0335162E-4 | 1.1071109 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.4322086E-4 | 1.0107055 | 1.0E-5 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.5562278E-4 | 1.0407025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024640507 | 1.0040648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.5562278E-4 | 1.0407025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024640507 | 1.0040648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014420812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014420812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012011896 | 0.0012011896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0011918178 | 0.0011918178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 4.253505E-5 | 1.3073478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 4.253505E-5 | 1.3073478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 3.776604E-5 | 1.3601385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.1899334E-4 | 1.2899215E-4 | 1.0840284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014478276 | 0.0014578131 | 1.0068969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014388782 | 0.014398638 | 1.000685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 3.3986333E-5 | 1.4168899 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.02795726E-4 | 1.12794696E-4 | 1.0972704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012508509 | 0.0012608384 | 1.0079845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012441386 | 0.012451261 | 1.0007938 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 3.1219828E-5 | 1.4712427 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 1.0093908E-4 | 1.1099526 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001106656 | 0.0011166449 | 1.0090263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011013942 | 0.011023832 | 1.0008979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 2.8559469E-5 | 1.5387932 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 8.953824E-5 | 1.1257144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 9.779638E-4 | 1.0103209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009639226 | 0.00964913 | 1.0010275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 2.6021175E-5 | 1.6241577 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 7.866042E-5 | 1.1456329 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 8.456284E-4 | 1.0119569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008325829 | 0.008335746 | 1.0011911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 2.4227711E-5 | 1.7028368 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 7.097451E-5 | 1.1639913 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 7.521173E-4 | 1.0134648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0073970547 | 0.0074069807 | 1.0013419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 2.3780596E-5 | 1.7256408 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 6.905839E-5 | 1.1693122 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 7.288041E-4 | 1.0139018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0071654296 | 0.007175358 | 1.0013856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 2.3719489E-5 | 1.7288728 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 6.8796515E-5 | 1.1700664 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 7.256178E-4 | 1.0139638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0071337717 | 0.0071437005 | 1.0013918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 2.358651E-5 | 1.7360069 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 6.822663E-5 | 1.171731 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 7.18684E-4 | 1.0141006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0070648757 | 0.0070748054 | 1.0014055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 2.335951E-5 | 1.748513 | 1.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 6.7253815E-5 | 1.1746491 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 7.068476E-4 | 1.0143402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0069472566 | 0.0069571873 | 1.0014294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 2.2866572E-5 | 1.77719 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 6.514132E-5 | 1.1813403 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 6.811441E-4 | 1.0148898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0066917967 | 0.0067017297 | 1.0014844 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 2.1335336E-5 | 1.8821782 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 5.8579135E-5 | 1.2058376 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 6.012954E-4 | 1.0169019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0058977883 | 0.0059077293 | 1.0016855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 1.981251E-5 | 2.0190868 | 1.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 5.2052972E-5 | 1.237783 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 5.2187947E-4 | 1.0195256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0051075425 | 0.0051174914 | 1.0019479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 1.0325192E-5 | 31.750734 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.1393679E-5 | 8.175167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 2.6967924E-5 | 1.5893314 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.7966666E-4 | 1.0589285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.08484E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3220073E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016083556 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015967647 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011991708 | 1.0083991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011839979 | 1.0008353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011991708 | 1.0083991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011839979 | 1.0008353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.001030178 | 0.0010401678 | 1.0096971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.01025539 | 0.010265287 | 1.0009651 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 9.533332E-4 | 1.0105906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.0093945945 | 0.009404501 | 1.0010544 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 7.6812087E-4 | 1.0131804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007556338 | 0.0075662625 | 1.0013134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 6.147803E-4 | 1.0165248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006032109 | 0.0060420483 | 1.0016478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 4.534515E-4 | 1.0225402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003978506 | 0.0044262577 | 0.0044362135 | 1.0022492 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 2.3835417E-4 | 1.0437812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0022814118 | 0.0022913888 | 1.0043732 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0335162E-4 | 1.1071109 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.4322086E-4 | 1.0107055 | 1.0E-5 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.938062E-5 | 1.598762E-4 | 1.598762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2584742E-4 | 6.850011E-4 | 6.850011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051723733 | 0.008307949 | 0.008317865 | 1.0011936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050536286 | 0.07954682 | 0.07955602 | 1.0001158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.862786E-5 | 1.5850514E-4 | 1.5850514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2262237E-4 | 6.7912816E-4 | 6.7912816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005133294 | 0.00823699 | 0.008246908 | 1.001204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050163247 | 0.07890141 | 0.07891062 | 1.0001167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.695835E-5 | 1.5555849E-4 | 1.5555849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.154696E-4 | 6.665062E-4 | 6.665062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050466163 | 0.008084519 | 0.008094438 | 1.0012269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049335375 | 0.07750744 | 0.07751666 | 1.000119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.274664E-5 | 1.4772052E-4 | 1.4772052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9742506E-4 | 6.329314E-4 | 6.329314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00482792 | 0.0076786657 | 0.007688589 | 1.0012923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047243692 | 0.07378674 | 0.073796004 | 1.0001255 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.3260286E-4 | 1.3260286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 5.6817423E-4 | 5.6817423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004369175 | 0.006895665 | 0.0069055962 | 1.0014402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.06652681 | 0.066536136 | 1.0001403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.067193E-5 | 9.067193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 3.885386E-4 | 3.885386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0047200844 | 0.0047300374 | 1.0021086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.04604962 | 0.046059158 | 1.0002072 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 6.691222E-5 | 6.691222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 2.867365E-4 | 2.867365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0034853374 | 0.0034953025 | 1.0028591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023391623 | 0.03424475 | 0.034254406 | 1.000282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 5.6332592E-5 | 5.6332592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.4140492E-4 | 2.4140492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0029352074 | 0.0029352074 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.028940264 | 0.028940264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 2.9268136E-5 | 2.9268136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.2542888E-4 | 1.2542888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0015260383 | 0.0015260383 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.015146142 | 0.015146142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.298917E-5 | 2.298917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 9.8521334E-5 | 9.8521334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0011988427 | 0.0011988427 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.011921009 | 0.011921009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.8478282E-5 | 1.8478282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 7.919025E-5 | 7.919025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 9.6371723E-4 | 9.6371723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.009595043 | 0.009595043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.5404315E-5 | 1.5404315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.601683E-5 | 6.601683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.0346037E-4 | 8.0346037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008005472 | 0.008005472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3139902E-5 | 1.3139902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.6312656E-5 | 5.6312656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 6.8539236E-4 | 6.8539236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.0068334225 | 0.0068334225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 9.9291665E-6 | 9.9291665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.255288E-5 | 4.255288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.179591E-4 | 5.179591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0051679364 | 0.0051679364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.401485E-6 | 8.401485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.6005873E-5 | 3.6005873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.3828413E-4 | 4.3828413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.00437448 | 0.00437448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.0702604E-6 | 7.0702604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.030077E-5 | 3.030077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.688502E-4 | 3.688502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0036826741 | 0.0036826741 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.5815744E-6 | 5.5815744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.3920818E-5 | 2.3920818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 2.9119776E-4 | 2.9119776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0029083206 | 0.0029083206 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.3329216E-6 | 1.3329216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 5.7125085E-6 | 5.7125085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 6.95476E-5 | 6.95476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 6.952551E-4 | 6.952551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 5.932011E-8 | 5.932011E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.5422904E-7 | 2.5422904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.0952353E-6 | 3.0952353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.094681E-5 | 3.094681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.9152558E-6 | 5.9152558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.535085E-5 | 2.535085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.0860293E-4 | 3.1859984E-4 | 1.032394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622119 | 0.0037721742 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.9152558E-6 | 5.9152558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.535085E-5 | 2.535085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.0860293E-4 | 3.1859984E-4 | 1.032394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622119 | 0.0037721742 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 5.8485607E-6 | 5.8485607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 2.506502E-5 | 2.506502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004431336 | 3.0512392E-4 | 3.1512088E-4 | 1.0327636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.0037209576 | 0.0037309204 | 1.0026774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 5.814024E-6 | 5.814024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 2.4917008E-5 | 2.4917008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044247704 | 3.033224E-4 | 3.1331938E-4 | 1.0329583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.0037010356 | 0.0037109987 | 1.002692 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 5.7394705E-6 | 5.7394705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 2.4597497E-5 | 2.4597497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004406125 | 2.9943345E-4 | 3.0943044E-4 | 1.0333863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.0036567387 | 0.0036667022 | 1.0027246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 5.699653E-6 | 5.699653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 2.4426854E-5 | 2.4426854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004385734 | 2.9735643E-4 | 3.0735345E-4 | 1.0336196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.0036335008 | 0.0036434643 | 1.0027422 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 5.5919927E-6 | 5.5919927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 2.3965462E-5 | 2.3965462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004355922 | 2.917405E-4 | 3.0173757E-4 | 1.0342671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.0035745096 | 0.0035844739 | 1.0027876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 5.4371267E-6 | 5.4371267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 2.3301764E-5 | 2.3301764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004326499 | 2.8366208E-4 | 2.9365925E-4 | 1.0352432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.0034912047 | 0.0035011698 | 1.0028543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 5.2793266E-6 | 5.2793266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 2.2625489E-5 | 2.2625489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041871946 | 2.7543056E-4 | 2.8542778E-4 | 1.0362968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.003403975 | 0.003413941 | 1.0029278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 4.9293285E-6 | 4.9293285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 2.1125521E-5 | 2.1125521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004084008 | 2.571729E-4 | 2.6717034E-4 | 1.0388744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.0032146482 | 0.0032246162 | 1.0031008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 4.782341E-6 | 4.782341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 2.0495585E-5 | 2.0495585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004020803 | 2.4950522E-4 | 2.5950273E-4 | 1.0400693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.0031371217 | 0.0031470903 | 1.0031776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 4.4094177E-6 | 4.4094177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 1.8897366E-5 | 1.8897366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038298194 | 2.3005118E-4 | 2.4004887E-4 | 1.0434586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.0028887573 | 0.0028987282 | 1.0034517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 4.0308228E-6 | 4.0308228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 1.727484E-5 | 1.727484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035452035 | 2.103009E-4 | 2.202988E-4 | 1.0475409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.0026367619 | 0.0026467356 | 1.0037825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 3.4202062E-6 | 3.4202062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 1.4657943E-5 | 1.4657943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029558712 | 1.7844586E-4 | 1.8844407E-4 | 1.0560294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.0022113 | 0.002221278 | 1.0045122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 3.2671683E-6 | 3.2671683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 1.4002074E-5 | 1.4002074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002578006 | 1.7046192E-4 | 1.8046022E-4 | 1.0586541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.00211243 | 0.002122409 | 1.0047239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 3.2420473E-6 | 3.2420473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 1.3894414E-5 | 1.3894414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020703338 | 1.6915136E-4 | 1.7914968E-4 | 1.0591086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.0020953156 | 0.0021052947 | 1.0047625 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 3.1558923E-6 | 3.1558923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 1.3525182E-5 | 1.3525182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001257516 | 1.6465665E-4 | 1.7465501E-4 | 1.0607225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.002030987 | 0.0020409669 | 1.0049137 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 3.0312256E-6 | 3.0312256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 1.2990901E-5 | 1.2990901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260915E-4 | 1.5815276E-4 | 1.5815276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009222416 | 0.0019432898 | 0.0019432898 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 2.6084847E-6 | 2.6084847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 1.1179171E-5 | 1.1179171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.864001E-4 | 1.3609792E-4 | 1.3609792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0016688411 | 0.0016688411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 1.2884558E-6 | 1.2884558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 5.5219416E-6 | 5.5219416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 6.722757E-5 | 6.722757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 8.4866595E-4 | 8.4866595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006439445 | 0.0064493804 | 1.0015429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006439445 | 0.0064493804 | 1.0015429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0140498E-5 | 1.0140498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3458564E-5 | 4.3458564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.2898185E-4 | 5.2898185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005058831 | 0.0052774684 | 0.0052874153 | 1.0018848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.887351E-6 | 8.887351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8088103E-5 | 3.8088103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6362547E-4 | 4.6362547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044375416 | 0.004626743 | 0.0046366965 | 1.0021514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.690775E-6 | 7.690775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.2960055E-5 | 3.2960055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.0121566E-4 | 4.0121566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038428132 | 0.004005007 | 0.004014967 | 1.0024868 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7320716E-6 | 6.7320716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.885142E-5 | 2.885142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5121007E-4 | 3.5121007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033671674 | 0.003506619 | 0.003516584 | 1.0028417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.2431354E-6 | 6.2431354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.6756023E-5 | 2.6756023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2570647E-4 | 3.2570647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032523521 | 0.0032623196 | 1.0030648 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.1310108E-6 | 5.1310108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.1989863E-5 | 2.1989863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.6769406E-4 | 2.6769406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.002673756 | 0.0026837294 | 1.00373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.053962E-6 | 4.053962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.737401E-5 | 1.737401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.115083E-4 | 2.115083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021130973 | 0.0021230762 | 1.0047224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.9322505E-6 | 2.9322505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.25667275E-5 | 1.25667275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5298935E-4 | 1.5298935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015288576 | 0.0015388423 | 1.0065309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0086843E-6 | 2.0086843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.608619E-6 | 8.608619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.04805025E-4 | 1.04805025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010475686 | 0.0010575582 | 1.0095359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.5271837E-5 | 2.8968432 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 3.259341E-5 | 1.4425925 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.8504347E-4 | 1.0363475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.002757367 | 1.0036298 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.5271837E-5 | 2.8968432 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 3.259341E-5 | 1.4425925 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.8504347E-4 | 1.0363475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.002757367 | 1.0036298 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 1.34811025E-5 | 3.8726146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 2.4918932E-5 | 1.6702725 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.9162447E-4 | 1.0550481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018149344 | 0.0018249162 | 1.0054998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 1.3468004E-5 | 3.8834643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 2.4862798E-5 | 1.6728041 | 1.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.9094114E-4 | 1.055256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018081121 | 0.001818094 | 1.0055206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014184384 | 0.0014184384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012839572 | 0.0012839572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McKinleyville (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.0035607687 | 0.003570733 | 1.0027984 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.0035607687 | 0.003570733 | 1.0027984 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.0394048E-6 | 4.2868273E-6 | 4.2868273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731162E-5 | 1.8371991E-5 | 1.8371991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1074859E-4 | 2.2365656E-4 | 2.2365656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021054882 | 0.0022343686 | 0.0022343686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.7791233E-6 | 4.016042E-6 | 4.016042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6196142E-5 | 1.7211498E-5 | 1.7211498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9717019E-4 | 2.0953032E-4 | 2.0953032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019699533 | 0.0020933766 | 0.0020933766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.675443E-6 | 3.9082624E-6 | 3.9082624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5751802E-5 | 1.6749591E-5 | 1.6749591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9176133E-4 | 2.0390768E-4 | 2.0390768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019159593 | 0.0020372544 | 0.0020372544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.0165843E-6 | 3.2228309E-6 | 3.2228309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928153E-5 | 1.381206E-5 | 1.381206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.573889E-4 | 1.6814904E-4 | 1.6814904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015727748 | 0.0016802364 | 0.0016802364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.307633E-6 | 2.4778542E-6 | 2.4778542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.889818E-6 | 1.0619333E-5 | 1.0619333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2040188E-4 | 1.2928278E-4 | 1.2928278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012033667 | 0.0012920839 | 0.0012920839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0568484E-6 | 2.2137103E-6 | 2.2137103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8150355E-6 | 9.487296E-6 | 9.487296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0731777E-4 | 1.15501774E-4 | 1.15501774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010726595 | 0.0011544249 | 0.0011544249 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7674889E-6 | 1.9073275E-6 | 1.9073275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5749304E-6 | 8.1742355E-6 | 8.1742355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.222087E-5 | 9.951684E-5 | 9.951684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.218261E-4 | 9.947291E-4 | 9.947291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2944297E-6 | 1.4028954E-6 | 1.4028954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.547544E-6 | 6.012395E-6 | 6.012395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.753925E-5 | 7.31985E-5 | 7.31985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7518733E-4 | 7.317485E-4 | 7.317485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.806243E-7 | 6.3302275E-7 | 6.3302275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4883875E-6 | 2.712952E-6 | 2.712952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0295698E-5 | 3.3029704E-5 | 3.3029704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0291567E-4 | 3.3024958E-4 | 3.3024958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6121008E-7 | 1.7765439E-7 | 1.7765439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.909002E-7 | 7.6137576E-7 | 7.6137576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411677E-6 | 9.269713E-6 | 9.269713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411359E-5 | 9.2693495E-5 | 9.2693495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 7.2110364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.003765849 | 1.0026525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.03842661 | 1.0002503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 7.2110364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.003765849 | 1.0026525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.03842661 | 1.0002503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 7.2110364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.003765849 | 1.0026525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.03842661 | 1.0002503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 7.2110364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.003765849 | 1.0026525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.03842661 | 1.0002503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 7.2110364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.0037558866 | 0.003765849 | 1.0026525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.038416997 | 0.03842661 | 1.0002503 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 6.568342E-5 | 6.568342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 2.8147092E-4 | 2.8147092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.0034216847 | 0.0034316503 | 1.0029125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.035105657 | 0.03511531 | 1.0002749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 5.8601887E-5 | 5.8601887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 2.5112732E-4 | 2.5112732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.0030532887 | 0.003063258 | 1.0032651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.031644534 | 0.03165422 | 1.000306 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 5.6346424E-5 | 5.6346424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 2.4146288E-4 | 2.4146288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0029359458 | 0.0029459165 | 1.003396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.030548034 | 0.03055773 | 1.0003173 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 5.586004E-5 | 5.586004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 2.3937876E-4 | 2.3937876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0029106399 | 0.0029206106 | 1.0034257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.030314023 | 0.03032372 | 1.0003198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 5.4633634E-5 | 5.4633634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 2.3412368E-4 | 2.3412368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.0028468282 | 0.0028567996 | 1.0035027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.029710025 | 0.029719727 | 1.0003266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 5.288131E-5 | 5.288131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 2.2661505E-4 | 2.2661505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.0027556452 | 0.0027656176 | 1.003619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.028820075 | 0.028829787 | 1.000337 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 1.7315606E-5 | 1.7315606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 7.420766E-5 | 7.420766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 9.0310856E-4 | 9.1309956E-4 | 1.0110629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.010460539 | 0.010470434 | 1.0009459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 1.1786566E-5 | 1.1786566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 5.051288E-5 | 5.051288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 6.148224E-4 | 6.248162E-4 | 1.0162549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.007396297 | 0.007406223 | 1.001342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 7.993939E-6 | 7.993939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 3.4259287E-5 | 3.4259287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032266637 | 4.1702707E-4 | 4.270229E-4 | 1.0239693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.0049723126 | 0.004982263 | 1.0020012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 7.6098663E-6 | 7.6098663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 3.2613305E-5 | 3.2613305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030772698 | 3.969947E-4 | 4.0699073E-4 | 1.0251793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.0047189984 | 0.0047289515 | 1.002109 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 7.067492E-6 | 7.067492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 3.0288898E-5 | 3.0288898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002826395 | 3.68705E-4 | 3.787013E-4 | 1.027112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.004385131 | 0.0043950872 | 1.0022705 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 6.236185E-6 | 6.236185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 2.6726233E-5 | 2.6726233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093296 | 3.2534334E-4 | 3.353401E-4 | 1.0307268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.003848267 | 0.0038582287 | 1.0025886 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 5.8435794E-6 | 5.8435794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 2.5043671E-5 | 2.5043671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002146502 | 3.0486405E-4 | 3.14861E-4 | 1.0327915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.003627709 | 0.0036376729 | 1.0027466 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 5.7131933E-6 | 5.7131933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 2.4484883E-5 | 2.4484883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018459131 | 2.9806272E-4 | 3.0805974E-4 | 1.03354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.0035486568 | 0.0035586215 | 1.002808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 5.3618755E-6 | 5.3618755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 2.2979264E-5 | 2.2979264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 2.7973665E-4 | 2.8973387E-4 | 1.0357379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.0033236977 | 0.0033336645 | 1.0029987 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 4.4934723E-6 | 4.4934723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 1.9257595E-5 | 1.9257595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 2.3443601E-4 | 2.3443601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010266567 | 0.0027930434 | 0.0027930434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 3.6194672E-6 | 3.6194672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 1.551191E-5 | 1.551191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 1.8884116E-4 | 1.8884116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0022557597 | 0.0022557597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 1.2889557E-6 | 1.2889557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 5.524084E-6 | 5.524084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 6.7253655E-5 | 6.7253655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 8.4895577E-4 | 8.4895577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Julian)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.203258E-6 | 1.8203176E-5 | 2.2190177 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156358E-5 | 4.5156004E-5 | 1.2844336 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.27946E-4 | 4.3794172E-4 | 1.0233574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271385 | 0.004281342 | 1.0023311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.1369035E-6 | 1.8136821E-5 | 2.2289588 | 1.0E-5 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.4871984E-5 | 4.487164E-5 | 1.2867532 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.2448516E-4 | 4.344809E-4 | 1.023548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.0042369086 | 0.004246866 | 1.0023502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.1369035E-6 | 1.8136821E-5 | 2.2289588 | 1.0E-5 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.4871984E-5 | 4.487164E-5 | 1.2867532 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.2448516E-4 | 4.344809E-4 | 1.023548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.0042369086 | 0.004246866 | 1.0023502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1442698E-5 | 7.9246565E-6 | 1.7924578E-5 | 2.2618744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9039216E-5 | 3.396238E-5 | 4.396204E-5 | 1.2944335 | 1.0E-5 | 5.968889E-4 | 4.1341493E-4 | 4.2341082E-4 | 1.0241787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059528816 | 0.004126622 | 0.0041365805 | 1.0024133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1300589E-5 | 7.775678E-6 | 1.77756E-5 | 2.2860515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8430196E-5 | 3.3323915E-5 | 4.332358E-5 | 1.3000748 | 1.0E-5 | 5.894781E-4 | 4.0564453E-4 | 4.1564048E-4 | 1.0246421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005879169 | 0.004049202 | 0.0040591615 | 1.0024596 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1117729E-5 | 7.5990047E-6 | 1.7598928E-5 | 2.3159518 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764654E-5 | 3.2566764E-5 | 4.256644E-5 | 1.3070515 | 1.0E-5 | 5.799422E-4 | 3.9642962E-4 | 4.0642565E-4 | 1.0252151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057843104 | 0.0039573847 | 0.0039673448 | 1.0025169 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.08053955E-5 | 7.295285E-6 | 1.7295211E-5 | 2.3707385 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6308014E-5 | 3.126514E-5 | 4.1264826E-5 | 1.3198351 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6365423E-4 | 3.8058797E-4 | 3.9058417E-4 | 1.0262651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005622267 | 0.0037995193 | 0.0038094812 | 1.0026219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.032804E-5 | 6.8337704E-6 | 1.6833701E-5 | 2.463311 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4262277E-5 | 2.9287265E-5 | 3.9286973E-5 | 1.3414353 | 1.0E-5 | 5.387599E-4 | 3.5651543E-4 | 3.6651187E-4 | 1.0280392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053745564 | 0.0035595847 | 0.0035695492 | 1.0027993 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.622426E-6 | 6.347355E-6 | 1.6347292E-5 | 2.5754495 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1238312E-5 | 2.7202672E-5 | 3.72024E-5 | 1.3676009 | 1.0E-5 | 5.019608E-4 | 3.311434E-4 | 3.4114008E-4 | 1.0301884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005008285 | 0.003306637 | 0.0033166038 | 1.0030142 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.144434E-6 | 5.9871218E-6 | 1.5987061E-5 | 2.6702416 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9189843E-5 | 2.5658848E-5 | 3.565859E-5 | 1.3897191 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7703186E-4 | 3.1235284E-4 | 3.2234972E-4 | 1.0320051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047600917 | 0.003119256 | 0.003129225 | 1.0031959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.988981E-6 | 5.0645376E-6 | 1.5064486E-5 | 2.974504 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4238044E-5 | 2.1704986E-5 | 3.170477E-5 | 1.4607136 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1676845E-4 | 2.6422724E-4 | 2.7422459E-4 | 1.0378362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041598766 | 0.0026392383 | 0.002649212 | 1.0037789 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9554876E-6 | 4.2829074E-6 | 1.4282865E-5 | 3.3348525 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9808893E-5 | 1.8355195E-5 | 2.835501E-5 | 1.5447949 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6286283E-4 | 2.2345256E-4 | 2.3345034E-4 | 1.0447422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036227088 | 0.002232377 | 0.0022423544 | 1.0044695 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1557314E-6 | 2.1144685E-6 | 2.1144685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810156E-5 | 9.061981E-6 | 9.061981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681708E-4 | 1.1032465E-4 | 1.1032465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021660565 | 0.0011027601 | 0.0011027601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2597293E-7 | 8.5081766E-8 | 8.5081766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.684551E-7 | 3.646361E-7 | 3.646361E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790877E-5 | 4.4394383E-6 | 4.4394383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17902506E-4 | 4.4393764E-5 | 4.4393764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 3.489812E-5 | 1.4016228 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.1309642E-4 | 1.0329825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030372222 | 1.0032933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 3.489812E-5 | 1.4016228 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.1309642E-4 | 1.0329825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030372222 | 1.0032933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 3.489812E-5 | 1.4016228 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.1309642E-4 | 1.0329825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030372222 | 1.0032933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.368428E-6 | 1.3368394E-5 | 3.9687338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4436043E-5 | 2.4435898E-5 | 1.6927006 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7574512E-4 | 1.8574337E-4 | 1.0568906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017561081 | 0.0017660905 | 1.0056844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.368428E-6 | 1.3368394E-5 | 3.9687338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4436043E-5 | 2.4435898E-5 | 1.6927006 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7574512E-4 | 1.8574337E-4 | 1.0568906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017561081 | 0.0017660905 | 1.0056844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8424765E-6 | 1.2842448E-5 | 4.518049 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2181988E-5 | 2.2181865E-5 | 1.8208741 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4830593E-4 | 1.5830445E-4 | 1.0674182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014821021 | 0.0014920873 | 1.0067372 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3691787E-6 | 1.2369155E-5 | 5.220862 | 1.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0153585E-5 | 2.0153484E-5 | 1.9848639 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2361309E-4 | 1.3361184E-4 | 1.0808876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012354633 | 0.001245451 | 1.0080842 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0856783E-6 | 1.20856575E-5 | 5.7945933 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.938591E-6 | 1.8938501E-5 | 2.1187346 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.08822074E-4 | 1.18820986E-4 | 1.0918831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010877039 | 0.001097693 | 1.0091836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8813486E-6 | 1.188133E-5 | 6.315326 | 1.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.062898E-6 | 1.8062818E-5 | 2.240239 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.81615E-5 | 1.0816052E-4 | 1.1018629 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.811952E-4 | 9.911855E-4 | 1.0101817 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6736894E-6 | 1.1673673E-5 | 6.9748144 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.1729355E-6 | 1.7172864E-5 | 2.3941193 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.7327106E-5 | 9.732623E-5 | 1.114502 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7293907E-4 | 8.829303E-4 | 1.0114455 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2426154E-6 | 1.1242603E-5 | 9.047532 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.325484E-6 | 1.5325431E-5 | 2.8777537 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.483586E-5 | 7.483521E-5 | 1.1542256 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.4817176E-4 | 6.5816526E-4 | 1.015418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0873173E-6 | 1.1087306E-5 | 10.196938 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.659923E-6 | 1.4659876E-5 | 3.1459482 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.6733094E-5 | 6.673252E-5 | 1.1762539 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.67187E-4 | 5.771813E-4 | 1.0176209 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0410623E-6 | 1.1041052E-5 | 10.605563 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.461688E-6 | 1.4461643E-5 | 3.2412941 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4319706E-5 | 6.431916E-5 | 1.1840852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4306514E-4 | 5.530597E-4 | 1.018404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.692815E-7 | 1.0969272E-5 | 11.31691 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.154057E-6 | 1.4154016E-5 | 3.4072752 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.057448E-5 | 6.0573973E-5 | 1.1977181 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0563045E-4 | 5.156254E-4 | 1.0197673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.134946E-7 | 1.0913485E-5 | 11.946962 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.914971E-6 | 1.39149315E-5 | 3.5542874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.7663736E-5 | 5.766326E-5 | 1.2097931 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.7653588E-4 | 4.8653112E-4 | 1.0209748 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6043553E-7 | 1.0860427E-5 | 12.622011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.6875756E-6 | 1.3687539E-5 | 3.7117987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.4895314E-5 | 5.4894866E-5 | 1.2227304 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.488632E-4 | 4.588587E-4 | 1.0222685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.8481355E-7 | 1.0784805E-5 | 13.74187 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3634824E-6 | 1.33634485E-5 | 3.9730992 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.0949635E-5 | 5.0949224E-5 | 1.2441925 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.0942157E-4 | 4.1941748E-4 | 1.0244147 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.793075E-7 | 1.06793E-5 | 15.720863 | 1.0E-5 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9113148E-6 | 1.2911286E-5 | 4.434864 | 1.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5444686E-5 | 4.5444332E-5 | 1.2821198 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5439097E-4 | 3.6438744E-4 | 1.0282074 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0361317E-5 | 28.676197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.1548503E-5 | 7.457775 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 2.8852866E-5 | 1.530408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.985131E-4 | 1.0530362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.687423E-6 | 1.6856677E-6 | 1.1685651E-5 | 6.9323573 | 1.0E-5 | 7.231793E-6 | 7.224272E-6 | 1.72242E-5 | 2.3842125 | 1.0E-5 | 8.804352E-5 | 8.7952205E-5 | 9.795132E-5 | 1.1136881 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8008645E-4 | 8.791978E-4 | 8.8918896E-4 | 1.011364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.687423E-6 | 1.6856677E-6 | 1.1685651E-5 | 6.9323573 | 1.0E-5 | 7.231793E-6 | 7.224272E-6 | 1.72242E-5 | 2.3842125 | 1.0E-5 | 8.804352E-5 | 8.7952205E-5 | 9.795132E-5 | 1.1136881 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8008645E-4 | 8.791978E-4 | 8.8918896E-4 | 1.011364 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0765672E-6 | 1.0712868E-6 | 1.1071276E-5 | 10.3345585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.613851E-6 | 4.5912216E-6 | 1.4591175E-5 | 3.1780596 | 1.0E-5 | 5.617219E-5 | 5.589675E-5 | 6.5896194E-5 | 1.1788913 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6157995E-4 | 5.588331E-4 | 5.6882756E-4 | 1.0178844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.523104E-7 | 8.4579983E-7 | 1.0845792E-5 | 12.823118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6527538E-6 | 3.6248516E-6 | 1.3624815E-5 | 3.7587237 | 1.0E-5 | 4.447137E-5 | 4.4131706E-5 | 5.4131266E-5 | 1.2265844 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4462472E-4 | 4.412326E-4 | 4.512282E-4 | 1.0226538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.523104E-7 | 8.4579983E-7 | 1.0845792E-5 | 12.823118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6527538E-6 | 3.6248516E-6 | 1.3624815E-5 | 3.7587237 | 1.0E-5 | 4.447137E-5 | 4.4131706E-5 | 5.4131266E-5 | 1.2265844 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4462472E-4 | 4.412326E-4 | 4.512282E-4 | 1.0226538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.0029404E-7 | 6.9243345E-7 | 1.0692426E-5 | 15.441811 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0012568E-6 | 2.9675687E-6 | 1.2967539E-5 | 4.369752 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6539688E-5 | 3.6129568E-5 | 4.6129204E-5 | 1.2767717 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653368E-4 | 3.612386E-4 | 3.71235E-4 | 1.0276725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.583906E-7 | 5.493317E-7 | 1.0549326E-5 | 19.20393 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3931002E-6 | 2.3542764E-6 | 1.2354253E-5 | 5.2475796 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9135606E-5 | 2.8662946E-5 | 3.866266E-5 | 1.3488725 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9131788E-4 | 2.8659322E-4 | 2.9659035E-4 | 1.0348827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.73441E-7 | 4.6353804E-7 | 4.6353804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0290313E-6 | 1.9865902E-6 | 1.9865902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4703175E-5 | 2.4186471E-5 | 2.4186471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.470043E-4 | 2.4183883E-4 | 2.4183883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.1466086E-7 | 4.04144E-7 | 4.04144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7771167E-6 | 1.7320447E-6 | 1.7320447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1636182E-5 | 2.1087442E-5 | 2.1087442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1634075E-4 | 2.1085476E-4 | 2.1085476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.2056641E-7 | 3.089059E-7 | 3.089059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3738553E-6 | 1.3238817E-6 | 1.3238817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6726559E-5 | 1.6118142E-5 | 1.6118142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.67253E-4 | 1.6116988E-4 | 1.6116988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6315942E-7 | 2.5068647E-7 | 2.5068647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1278256E-6 | 1.0743702E-6 | 1.0743702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3731191E-5 | 1.3080379E-5 | 1.3080379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730342E-4 | 1.3079618E-4 | 1.3079618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1832436E-7 | 2.0512205E-7 | 2.0512205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.356755E-7 | 8.790942E-7 | 8.790942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13917895E-5 | 1.070292E-5 | 1.070292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391206E-4 | 1.070241E-4 | 1.070241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.7393015E-7 | 1.5989674E-7 | 1.5989674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454147E-7 | 6.852716E-7 | 6.852716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.075386E-6 | 8.34315E-6 | 8.34315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.075015E-5 | 8.342839E-5 | 8.342839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3744894E-7 | 1.2267861E-7 | 1.2267861E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890667E-7 | 5.2576536E-7 | 5.2576536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1718637E-6 | 6.4011747E-6 | 6.4011747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.171632E-5 | 6.400992E-5 | 6.400992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0915278E-7 | 9.371475E-8 | 9.371475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6779755E-7 | 4.016346E-7 | 4.016346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6954204E-6 | 4.8898905E-6 | 4.8898905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6952744E-5 | 4.8897833E-5 | 4.8897833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.490291E-8 | 7.9092885E-8 | 7.9092885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0672668E-7 | 3.3896947E-7 | 3.3896947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9518862E-6 | 4.1269454E-6 | 4.1269454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.951776E-5 | 4.1268693E-5 | 4.1268693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.256678E-8 | 5.6093874E-8 | 5.6093874E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1100043E-7 | 2.404023E-7 | 2.404023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7864236E-6 | 2.926894E-6 | 2.926894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7863592E-5 | 2.9268556E-5 | 2.9268556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.446273E-8 | 3.7383117E-8 | 3.7383117E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3341168E-7 | 1.6021335E-7 | 1.6021335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8417835E-6 | 1.9505958E-6 | 1.9505958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8417471E-5 | 1.9505787E-5 | 1.9505787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.5850867E-8 | 1.8504748E-8 | 1.8504748E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5364655E-7 | 7.930606E-8 | 7.930606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8706452E-6 | 9.655508E-7 | 9.655508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8706294E-5 | 9.655467E-6 | 9.655467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.45879E-8 | 8.683762E-9 | 8.683762E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0537671E-7 | 3.721613E-8 | 3.721613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829606E-6 | 4.5310622E-7 | 4.5310622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829532E-5 | 4.531053E-6 | 4.531053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.8151761E-8 | 5.274786E-9 | 5.274786E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.779326E-8 | 2.2606228E-8 | 2.2606228E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4713255E-7 | 2.7523078E-7 | 2.7523078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.471285E-6 | 2.7523045E-6 | 2.7523045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 9.559205E-9 | 2.930885E-9 | 2.930885E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096802E-8 | 1.2560937E-8 | 1.2560937E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9878554E-7 | 1.529294E-7 | 1.529294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987844E-6 | 1.5292931E-6 | 1.5292931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.2848578E-4 | 1.0457591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026677377 | 1.0037526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.026359763 | 1.0003695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.2848578E-4 | 1.0457591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026677377 | 1.0037526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.026359763 | 1.0003695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0057214E-4 | 1.1103982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011125285 | 1.00906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011016756 | 1.0008985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0057214E-4 | 1.1103982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011125285 | 1.00906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011016756 | 1.0008985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.3191804E-5 | 8.319107E-5 | 1.1366173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3174125E-4 | 8.911071E-4 | 9.010982E-4 | 1.011212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072933645 | 0.008910626 | 0.008920537 | 1.0011122 | 1.0E-5 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0043761376 | 0.0043761376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03488314 | 0.042988222 | 0.042997792 | 1.0002226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0043761376 | 0.0043761376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03488314 | 0.042988222 | 0.042997792 | 1.0002226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0043761376 | 0.0043761376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03488314 | 0.042988222 | 0.042997792 | 1.0002226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 8.403162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 3.6009017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0043761376 | 0.0043761376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03488314 | 0.042988222 | 0.042997792 | 1.0002226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.4713866E-5 | 5.4713866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.3446821E-4 | 2.3446821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0028513467 | 0.0028513467 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023630321 | 0.028190633 | 0.02820035 | 1.0003448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.4713866E-5 | 5.4713866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.3446821E-4 | 2.3446821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0028513467 | 0.0028513467 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023630321 | 0.028190633 | 0.02820035 | 1.0003448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.697075E-5 | 3.697075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.5843702E-4 | 1.5843702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016799092 | 0.0019273616 | 0.0019273616 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016672665 | 0.019116543 | 0.019126354 | 1.0005131 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.7011394E-5 | 2.7011394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.1575803E-4 | 1.1575803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014084504 | 0.0014084504 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012525126 | 0.013996342 | 0.014006203 | 1.0007045 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.4270836E-5 | 2.4270836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.04013736E-4 | 1.04013736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001137623 | 0.0012656351 | 0.0012656351 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011318169 | 0.012584884 | 0.012594758 | 1.0007846 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.2999127E-5 | 2.2999127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.871327E-5 | 9.856398E-5 | 9.856398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0011993588 | 0.0011993588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010743194 | 0.011929388 | 0.011939269 | 1.0008283 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.2326118E-5 | 2.2326118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.567987E-5 | 9.567987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0011642828 | 0.0011642828 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010435291 | 0.011582327 | 0.011592211 | 1.0008534 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.021933E-5 | 2.021933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.66514E-5 | 8.66514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010544717 | 0.0010544717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009464677 | 0.010494991 | 0.0105048865 | 1.0009428 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 1.9455878E-5 | 1.9455878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.337967E-5 | 8.337967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.0010146762 | 0.0010146762 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009103506 | 0.01010072 | 0.0101106195 | 1.00098 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.7517832E-5 | 1.7517832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.507427E-5 | 7.507427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.136471E-4 | 9.136471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008172729 | 0.009099143 | 0.009109052 | 1.001089 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.612562E-5 | 1.612562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.195865E-5 | 6.910797E-5 | 6.910797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.410656E-4 | 8.410656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007515317 | 0.008379003 | 0.00838892 | 1.0011835 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.4898298E-5 | 1.4898298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.3848296E-5 | 6.3848296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9520384E-4 | 7.770765E-4 | 7.770765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00693033 | 0.007743753 | 0.0077536753 | 1.0012814 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.201023E-5 | 1.201023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.14714E-5 | 5.14714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.2648463E-4 | 6.2648463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005567309 | 0.00624729 | 0.0062572276 | 1.0015907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.649781E-6 | 6.649781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.8498753E-5 | 2.8498753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.469173E-4 | 3.469173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030941102 | 0.003463801 | 0.0034737664 | 1.002877 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.297066E-6 | 2.297066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 9.8445325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.1985066E-4 | 1.1985066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001127572 | 0.0011978622 | 0.0012078503 | 1.0083382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6540124E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 4.180604E-5 | 1.3143926 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4229231E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.4630663E-4 | 1.0733533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029459186 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029071707 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 4.180604E-5 | 1.3143926 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.4630663E-4 | 1.0733533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 4.180604E-5 | 1.3143926 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.4630663E-4 | 1.0733533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 2.7998416E-5 | 3.7998136E-5 | 1.357153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.1998983E-4 | 1.2998864E-4 | 1.0833304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0014602984 | 0.0014702837 | 1.006838 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017173318 | 0.014564727 | 0.014574582 | 1.0006766 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 8.8875E-5 | 8.8875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.001081884 | 0.001081884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01303681 | 0.01079161 | 0.01079161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 8.8875E-5 | 8.8875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.001081884 | 0.001081884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01303681 | 0.01079161 | 0.01079161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Burnt Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.129354E-5 | 2.1293428E-5 | 1.8854519 | 1.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 4.840066E-5 | 5.8400175E-5 | 1.2065988 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 5.892376E-4 | 5.9923175E-4 | 1.0169611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0058884127 | 0.005898354 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.129354E-5 | 2.1293428E-5 | 1.8854519 | 1.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 4.840066E-5 | 5.8400175E-5 | 1.2065988 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 5.892376E-4 | 5.9923175E-4 | 1.0169611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0058884127 | 0.005898354 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.129354E-5 | 2.1293428E-5 | 1.8854519 | 1.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 4.840066E-5 | 5.8400175E-5 | 1.2065988 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 5.892376E-4 | 5.9923175E-4 | 1.0169611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0058884127 | 0.005898354 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.129354E-5 | 2.1293428E-5 | 1.8854519 | 1.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 4.840066E-5 | 5.8400175E-5 | 1.2065988 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 5.892376E-4 | 5.9923175E-4 | 1.0169611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0058884127 | 0.005898354 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.129354E-5 | 2.1293428E-5 | 1.8854519 | 1.0E-5 | 6.716892E-5 | 4.840066E-5 | 5.8400175E-5 | 1.2065988 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1747473E-4 | 5.892376E-4 | 5.9923175E-4 | 1.0169611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008144741 | 0.0058884127 | 0.005898354 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.36191375E-5 | 9.677575E-6 | 1.9677478E-5 | 2.0333066 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8366426E-5 | 4.1475323E-5 | 5.1474908E-5 | 1.2410972 | 1.0E-5 | 7.103795E-4 | 5.0496205E-4 | 5.14957E-4 | 1.0197935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070811296 | 0.0050496203 | 0.00505957 | 1.0019703 | 1.0E-5 |