Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03360966 | 1095.1125 | 0.03358 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041016147 | 311.84833 | 0.04089 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05439578 | 33.988697 | 0.05288 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.07884647 | 4.9544783 | 0.06395 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03360966 | 1095.1125 | 0.03358 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041016147 | 311.84833 | 0.04089 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05439578 | 33.988697 | 0.05288 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.07884647 | 4.9544783 | 0.06395 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03360966 | 1095.1125 | 0.03358 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041016147 | 311.84833 | 0.04089 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05439578 | 33.988697 | 0.05288 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914183 | 0.07884647 | 4.9544783 | 0.06395 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017919218 | 915.7238 | 0.0179 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.022311999 | 266.05515 | 0.02223 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029821223 | 29.217922 | 0.02883 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.044942684 | 4.4191623 | 0.03513 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017919218 | 915.7238 | 0.0179 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.022311999 | 266.05515 | 0.02223 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029821223 | 29.217922 | 0.02883 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.044942684 | 4.4191623 | 0.03513 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017919218 | 915.7238 | 0.0179 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.022311999 | 266.05515 | 0.02223 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029821223 | 29.217922 | 0.02883 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.044942684 | 4.4191623 | 0.03513 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017919218 | 915.7238 | 0.0179 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.38623E-5 | 0.022311999 | 266.05515 | 0.02223 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206483 | 0.029821223 | 29.217922 | 0.02883 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169956 | 0.044942684 | 4.4191623 | 0.03513 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 1.9556857E-5 | 0.017909206 | 915.75073 | 0.01789 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.381299E-5 | 0.02229195 | 265.9725 | 0.02221 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010200485 | 0.02980066 | 29.214945 | 0.02881 | 0.010073971 | 0.010164012 | 0.044907257 | 4.4182606 | 0.0351 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008001079 | 716.42194 | 0.00799 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.010077382 | 210.54845 | 0.01003 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.013814873 | 23.713015 | 0.01324 | 0.0063546924 | 0.005812315 | 0.021957923 | 3.7778275 | 0.01624 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008001079 | 716.42194 | 0.00799 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.010077382 | 210.54845 | 0.01003 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.013814873 | 23.713015 | 0.01324 | 0.0063546924 | 0.005812315 | 0.021957923 | 3.7778275 | 0.01624 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 7.761541E-6 | 0.0044277273 | 570.47015 | 0.00442 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.326334E-5 | 0.0056430767 | 169.64853 | 0.00561 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.0490908E-4 | 0.0080718035 | 19.934855 | 0.00767 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0040422147 | 0.013573531 | 3.357944 | 0.00957 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.6492615E-6 | 0.0043076165 | 563.1414 | 0.0043 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.2782158E-5 | 0.005502603 | 167.85359 | 0.00547 | 4.7629757E-4 | 3.9905283E-4 | 0.007866072 | 19.711855 | 0.00747 | 0.00475278 | 0.0039838636 | 0.013266734 | 3.3301177 | 0.00932 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.4561726E-6 | 0.0041174255 | 552.21704 | 0.00411 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.1954653E-5 | 0.0052617877 | 164.66422 | 0.00523 | 4.6172875E-4 | 3.8898157E-4 | 0.0075661885 | 19.451277 | 0.00718 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0038835055 | 0.012778826 | 3.2905388 | 0.00893 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.2711273E-6 | 0.003917243 | 538.7394 | 0.00391 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.116162E-5 | 0.0050110063 | 160.80699 | 0.00498 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.793298E-4 | 0.0072367275 | 19.077665 | 0.00686 | 0.004463301 | 0.0037873127 | 0.012314893 | 3.251618 | 0.00856 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.562192E-6 | 0.0034065398 | 519.11615 | 0.0034 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.8123392E-5 | 0.004308003 | 153.1822 | 0.00428 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.4235127E-4 | 0.0063502938 | 18.549059 | 0.00601 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0034186998 | 0.010863162 | 3.1775713 | 0.00747 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.1412295E-6 | 0.0018641335 | 450.14014 | 0.00186 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.7748014E-5 | 0.0024377052 | 137.35086 | 0.00242 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.160622E-4 | 0.0036653168 | 16.964174 | 0.00345 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0021586353 | 0.006559116 | 3.0385475 | 0.00441 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1265222E-6 | 4.3112604E-4 | 382.70532 | 4.3E-4 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.827945E-6 | 5.248254E-4 | 108.70577 | 5.2E-4 | 7.249717E-5 | 5.8778853E-5 | 8.287336E-4 | 14.09918 | 7.7E-4 | 7.247352E-4 | 5.876537E-4 | 0.0015470895 | 2.6326551 | 9.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.299393E-7 | 9.022992E-5 | 392.40756 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2824837E-6 | 9.854539E-7 | 1.0098536E-4 | 102.47599 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.1997841E-5 | 1.4199628E-4 | 11.835153 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.1997262E-4 | 2.8995224E-4 | 2.41682 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.12618145E-5 | 8.925004 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 2.2618084E-5 | 1.7924954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.022058064 | 1194.1581 | 0.02204 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027367003 | 345.70175 | 0.02729 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.037288673 | 38.69263 | 0.03636 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05374827 | 5.5829835 | 0.04455 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.022058064 | 1194.1581 | 0.02204 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027367003 | 345.70175 | 0.02729 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.037288673 | 38.69263 | 0.03636 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05374827 | 5.5829835 | 0.04455 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.022058064 | 1194.1581 | 0.02204 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027367003 | 345.70175 | 0.02729 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.037288673 | 38.69263 | 0.03636 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05374827 | 5.5829835 | 0.04455 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471645E-5 | 0.022058064 | 1194.1581 | 0.02204 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027367003 | 345.70175 | 0.02729 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.037288673 | 38.69263 | 0.03636 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.05374827 | 5.5829835 | 0.04455 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.2382 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027602513 | 268.5179 | 0.00275 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003984665 | 31.83955 | 0.00386 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.00596503 | 4.7684608 | 0.00472 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.2382 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027602513 | 268.5179 | 0.00275 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003984665 | 31.83955 | 0.00386 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.00596503 | 4.7684608 | 0.00472 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.398576E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.2382 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.027958E-5 | 0.0027602513 | 268.5179 | 0.00275 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514829E-4 | 0.003984665 | 31.83955 | 0.00386 | 0.002379829 | 0.001250934 | 0.00596503 | 4.7684608 | 0.00472 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.2910082E-6 | 0.0011412895 | 884.02966 | 0.00114 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.532881E-6 | 0.0013355255 | 241.37978 | 0.00133 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.73608E-5 | 0.001977232 | 29.352861 | 0.00191 | 0.0012132917 | 6.734094E-4 | 0.0030617998 | 4.5467143 | 0.00239 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1564804E-6 | 0.0010211553 | 882.9855 | 0.00102 | 8.711692E-6 | 4.956335E-6 | 0.0011849505 | 239.07796 | 0.00118 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.0341754E-5 | 0.0017402404 | 28.839739 | 0.00168 | 0.0010600908 | 6.0325814E-4 | 0.0027019912 | 4.4789968 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0339999E-6 | 8.610331E-4 | 832.7207 | 8.6E-4 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.4314206E-6 | 9.84427E-4 | 222.14705 | 9.8E-4 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.395124E-5 | 0.0014438763 | 26.762613 | 0.00139 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.393843E-4 | 0.0023184242 | 4.298279 | 0.00178 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 9.942491E-7 | 8.409934E-4 | 845.85785 | 8.4E-4 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.261061E-6 | 9.64257E-4 | 226.29504 | 9.6E-4 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.187721E-5 | 0.0014118067 | 27.214392 | 0.00136 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.186537E-4 | 0.0022577513 | 4.3530993 | 0.00174 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.361385E-7 | 7.309355E-4 | 780.7984 | 7.3E-4 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.0120162E-6 | 8.4400864E-4 | 210.3702 | 8.4E-4 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.8845228E-5 | 0.0012487866 | 25.566195 | 0.0012 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.883474E-4 | 0.0020575807 | 4.2133546 | 0.00157 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.208754E-7 | 5.507205E-4 | 763.9607 | 5.5E-4 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.0894623E-6 | 6.230876E-4 | 201.68155 | 6.2E-4 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.761357E-5 | 9.375797E-4 | 24.926634 | 9.0E-4 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.7607353E-4 | 0.001565626 | 4.163085 | 0.00119 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.567934E-7 | 3.7055658E-4 | 665.519 | 3.7E-4 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.3862553E-6 | 4.2238526E-4 | 177.00757 | 4.2E-4 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9052284E-5 | 6.59034E-4 | 22.684412 | 6.3E-4 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9048612E-4 | 0.0011102479 | 3.8220344 | 8.2E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.324827E-7 | 2.6043237E-4 | 602.1799 | 2.6E-4 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.853496E-6 | 2.9185295E-4 | 157.4608 | 2.9E-4 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.2566092E-5 | 4.425566E-4 | 19.611576 | 4.2E-4 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.2563916E-4 | 7.455218E-4 | 3.3040445 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2088996E-7 | 9.022087E-5 | 408.4426 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.466709E-7 | 1.0094658E-4 | 106.633224 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1525659E-5 | 1.6152393E-4 | 14.01429 | 1.5E-4 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.1525078E-4 | 3.1522772E-4 | 2.735146 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.1790112E-7 | 6.0117894E-5 | 509.90094 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.052905E-7 | 7.050525E-5 | 139.53412 | 7.0E-5 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.151895E-6 | 9.615134E-5 | 15.629548 | 9.0E-5 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.151736E-5 | 1.6151121E-4 | 2.6254573 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.5686547E-8 | 1.00356865E-5 | 281.21762 | 1.0E-5 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.5294233E-7 | 1.015294E-5 | 66.38411 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7401915E-6 | 1.8620714E-6 | 1.1862053E-5 | 6.370353 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7401285E-5 | 1.8620567E-5 | 2.8620381E-5 | 1.5370306 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.0500136E-8 | 3.0500136E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.3071485E-7 | 1.3071485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.5914524E-6 | 1.5914524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.5914418E-5 | 1.5914418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.250214E-9 | 3.250214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137555E-5 | 0.019955616 | 763.48444 | 0.01993 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201388E-4 | 0.024939233 | 222.64413 | 0.02483 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630203 | 0.03387864 | 24.855566 | 0.03256 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557228 | 0.052985344 | 3.9082727 | 0.03997 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018639E-5 | 0.019865502 | 763.51044 | 0.01984 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.11504276E-4 | 0.024838747 | 222.76048 | 0.02473 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568236 | 0.033732835 | 24.861622 | 0.03242 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496017 | 0.05272928 | 3.9070253 | 0.03977 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018639E-5 | 0.019865502 | 763.51044 | 0.01984 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.11504276E-4 | 0.024838747 | 222.76048 | 0.02473 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568236 | 0.033732835 | 24.861622 | 0.03242 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496017 | 0.05272928 | 3.9070253 | 0.03977 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.6973776E-5 | 0.009756808 | 574.8166 | 0.00974 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.274282E-5 | 0.012391847 | 170.35147 | 0.01232 | 9.947256E-4 | 8.853008E-4 | 0.017330728 | 19.576092 | 0.01646 | 0.009902848 | 0.008819629 | 0.028960414 | 3.2836318 | 0.02032 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.6956998E-5 | 0.009696793 | 571.84607 | 0.00968 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.267092E-5 | 0.01232178 | 169.55586 | 0.01225 | 9.930939E-4 | 8.8442606E-4 | 0.017259931 | 19.515402 | 0.01639 | 0.0098866755 | 0.008810951 | 0.02888253 | 3.278026 | 0.02025 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3340829E-5 | 0.0062732575 | 470.22995 | 0.00626 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.7173755E-5 | 0.008076715 | 141.26614 | 0.00802 | 8.302132E-4 | 6.958724E-4 | 0.011658238 | 16.753414 | 0.01097 | 0.008271185 | 0.00693757 | 0.020482942 | 2.9524662 | 0.01364 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3225725E-5 | 0.0061331447 | 463.72845 | 0.00612 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.6680467E-5 | 0.007916235 | 139.66425 | 0.00786 | 8.2293496E-4 | 6.898705E-4 | 0.011412468 | 16.542913 | 0.01073 | 0.008198941 | 0.0068779234 | 0.020155966 | 2.9305305 | 0.01337 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.2964973E-5 | 0.0059028887 | 455.2951 | 0.00589 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.556301E-5 | 0.0076251426 | 137.23415 | 0.00757 | 8.0409093E-4 | 6.7627395E-4 | 0.011019275 | 16.2941 | 0.01035 | 0.008011877 | 0.0067427857 | 0.019555803 | 2.900256 | 0.0129 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2245817E-5 | 0.005602177 | 457.47684 | 0.00559 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.248104E-5 | 0.0072421036 | 137.99467 | 0.00719 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.3877343E-4 | 0.010482482 | 16.410328 | 0.00985 | 0.007555048 | 0.006369988 | 0.018551892 | 2.9123905 | 0.01226 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.0822026E-5 | 0.004710771 | 435.29474 | 0.0047 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.6379308E-5 | 0.006046101 | 130.36203 | 0.006 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.6452537E-4 | 0.008979772 | 15.906764 | 0.00842 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0056314785 | 0.016112123 | 2.861082 | 0.01054 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.556859E-6 | 0.002917535 | 386.0777 | 0.00291 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.238615E-5 | 0.003802264 | 117.404015 | 0.00377 | 4.605111E-4 | 3.9423234E-4 | 0.005762115 | 14.616039 | 0.00537 | 0.0045955796 | 0.003935522 | 0.010738642 | 2.728645 | 0.00683 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8017014E-6 | 8.3279936E-4 | 297.2477 | 8.3E-4 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2007238E-5 | 0.0010719945 | 89.27902 | 0.00106 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4617867E-4 | 0.0017159492 | 11.73871 | 0.00157 | 0.0016961104 | 0.00146086 | 0.0034878945 | 2.3875625 | 0.00203 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1204551E-6 | 3.1112012E-4 | 277.67297 | 3.1E-4 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.801942E-6 | 3.7480018E-4 | 78.05179 | 3.7E-4 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.846216E-5 | 6.0843E-4 | 10.407245 | 5.5E-4 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.844761E-4 | 0.0012940611 | 2.2140532 | 7.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.201457E-7 | 6.0320126E-5 | 188.41463 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3720522E-6 | 6.137197E-5 | 44.730053 | 6.0E-5 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6704618E-5 | 1.2670278E-4 | 7.584895 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6703462E-4 | 2.970129E-4 | 1.7781518 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.172395E-6 | 2.4172312E-5 | 5.79339 | 2.0E-5 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.172337E-5 | 8.17217E-5 | 1.9586552 | 4.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.8630657E-5 | 0.0063484497 | 221.73608 | 0.00632 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269725E-4 | 0.008201706 | 66.84507 | 0.00808 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928514 | 0.012865848 | 8.618304 | 0.01139 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832321 | 0.02898918 | 1.9544601 | 0.01437 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.7989014E-5 | 0.0063478122 | 226.79657 | 0.00632 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.199476E-4 | 0.00818898 | 68.27131 | 0.00807 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0014594194 | 0.012792855 | 8.765716 | 0.01135 | 0.016039822 | 0.014502382 | 0.028604852 | 1.9724245 | 0.01431 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.7381237E-5 | 0.0063272086 | 231.07826 | 0.0063 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.1734308E-4 | 0.008156399 | 69.508995 | 0.00804 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014277508 | 0.012721603 | 8.91024 | 0.01131 | 0.015762992 | 0.014189743 | 0.028257256 | 1.9913859 | 0.01427 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.3471006E-5 | 0.006203326 | 264.2974 | 0.00618 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.00586265E-4 | 0.0079797935 | 79.33284 | 0.00788 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012239701 | 0.0121805435 | 9.951667 | 0.01097 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012174691 | 0.025846194 | 2.1229444 | 0.01384 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1173697E-5 | 0.006111045 | 288.61493 | 0.00609 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.074135E-5 | 0.007860037 | 86.620224 | 0.00777 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011042327 | 0.011922274 | 10.796885 | 0.01083 | 0.012905477 | 0.010989455 | 0.024449889 | 2.22485 | 0.01361 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.6778384E-5 | 0.0058066812 | 346.0811 | 0.00579 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.19054E-5 | 0.0074813724 | 104.044655 | 0.00741 | 0.0010923136 | 8.75101E-4 | 0.011126122 | 12.714101 | 0.01026 | 0.0108696 | 0.008717263 | 0.021435421 | 2.4589622 | 0.01283 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6246646E-5 | 0.0057561533 | 354.29794 | 0.00574 | 8.7594504E-5 | 6.962665E-5 | 0.007409116 | 106.41207 | 0.00734 | 0.0010659413 | 8.4737904E-4 | 0.011018753 | 13.003334 | 0.01018 | 0.010608427 | 0.008442176 | 0.021074623 | 2.4963496 | 0.01274 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.4870068E-5 | 0.0055447877 | 372.88248 | 0.00553 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.372733E-5 | 0.0071232775 | 111.777435 | 0.00706 | 9.6293533E-4 | 7.7560806E-4 | 0.010558015 | 13.612564 | 0.00979 | 0.009587734 | 0.007729658 | 0.019875048 | 2.5712712 | 0.01224 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4032814E-5 | 0.0050639617 | 360.86575 | 0.00505 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.0139264E-5 | 0.0064597544 | 107.41326 | 0.0064 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.319532E-4 | 0.009715373 | 13.273216 | 0.00899 | 0.009157699 | 0.007296016 | 0.018434156 | 2.5266056 | 0.01122 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.0831783E-5 | 0.0033807952 | 312.11807 | 0.00337 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.6421115E-5 | 0.0043462217 | 93.62596 | 0.0043 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.650329E-4 | 0.0067315465 | 11.913548 | 0.00617 | 0.007068595 | 0.0056361756 | 0.01338227 | 2.374353 | 0.00779 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.5077944E-6 | 0.0011855013 | 215.24066 | 0.00118 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.3604622E-5 | 0.0014835702 | 62.850834 | 0.00146 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.8734878E-4 | 0.0025167079 | 8.758374 | 0.00223 | 0.0036401073 | 0.002869814 | 0.005681721 | 1.9798222 | 0.00282 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2147848E-6 | 5.73213E-4 | 178.30524 | 5.7E-4 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.3777577E-5 | 6.8376836E-4 | 49.62907 | 6.7E-4 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.6772922E-4 | 0.0011975565 | 7.1398206 | 0.00103 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0016760388 | 0.0029538935 | 1.7624254 | 0.00128 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4143629E-6 | 1.9141409E-4 | 135.3359 | 1.9E-4 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.0615416E-6 | 2.0606033E-4 | 33.99471 | 2.0E-4 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.379679E-5 | 4.2377098E-4 | 5.7424035 | 3.5E-4 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.377256E-4 | 0.001177401 | 1.5959877 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2207414E-7 | 2.2207414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.5174596E-7 | 1.0951737E-5 | 11.506995 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1587448E-5 | 6.158687E-5 | 5.314964 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.15868716E-4 | 1.858606E-4 | 1.604062 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.003221679 | 148.13217 | 0.0032 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.004252818 | 45.628384 | 0.00416 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.007706765 | 6.79472 | 0.00658 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.020157382 | 1.7856342 | 0.00897 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.003221679 | 148.13217 | 0.0032 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.004252818 | 45.628384 | 0.00416 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.007706765 | 6.79472 | 0.00658 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.020157382 | 1.7856342 | 0.00897 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0023362234 | 143.6688 | 0.00232 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.00306948 | 44.045372 | 0.003 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0056041246 | 6.607377 | 0.00476 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014827685 | 1.7543339 | 0.00643 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0023362234 | 143.6688 | 0.00232 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.00306948 | 44.045372 | 0.003 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0056041246 | 6.607377 | 0.00476 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014827685 | 1.7543339 | 0.00643 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0019336737 | 141.14305 | 0.00192 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0025585666 | 43.577126 | 0.0025 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.0046018464 | 6.439513 | 0.00389 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.012308448 | 1.7273453 | 0.00522 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0019336737 | 141.14305 | 0.00192 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0025585666 | 43.577126 | 0.0025 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.0046018464 | 6.439513 | 0.00389 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.012308448 | 1.7273453 | 0.00522 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3383776E-5 | 0.0019033585 | 142.21387 | 0.00189 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.735791E-5 | 0.0025172168 | 43.88613 | 0.00246 | 7.4992597E-4 | 6.981325E-4 | 0.0045354515 | 6.4965487 | 0.00384 | 0.007474003 | 0.006961746 | 0.012056032 | 1.7317541 | 0.00513 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.2873106E-5 | 0.00180285 | 140.04779 | 0.00179 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.516942E-5 | 0.002365042 | 42.868713 | 0.00231 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.7150424E-4 | 0.0042790803 | 6.37238 | 0.00361 | 0.007217 | 0.0066970866 | 0.0115245385 | 1.7208287 | 0.00486 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 8.9083605E-6 | 0.0012588972 | 141.31638 | 0.00125 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.817822E-5 | 0.0016781156 | 43.954792 | 0.00164 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.6473645E-4 | 0.003003556 | 6.4629235 | 0.00254 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004639199 | 0.007993565 | 1.7230486 | 0.00337 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.540374E-6 | 0.00122853 | 143.84966 | 0.00122 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.660118E-5 | 0.0016465422 | 44.986042 | 0.00161 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.4554388E-4 | 0.002924439 | 6.5637507 | 0.00248 | 0.005048454 | 0.004448045 | 0.0077234106 | 1.7363608 | 0.00329 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.3828425E-6 | 0.0011363756 | 178.036 | 0.00113 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.735482E-5 | 0.0014973147 | 54.736774 | 0.00147 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.3300606E-4 | 0.0026422369 | 7.9345007 | 0.00231 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0033262526 | 0.0062963404 | 1.8929231 | 0.00298 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.6775854E-6 | 8.4267533E-4 | 314.71466 | 8.4E-4 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1475317E-5 | 0.0010714631 | 93.37112 | 0.00106 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.3970325E-4 | 0.0017994713 | 12.88067 | 0.00166 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0013961758 | 0.0034433138 | 2.4662464 | 0.00205 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.2940294E-6 | 7.422923E-4 | 323.57578 | 7.4E-4 | 1.4647229E-5 | 9.831519E-6 | 9.2982245E-4 | 94.57567 | 9.2E-4 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.1969238E-4 | 0.0015995152 | 13.363552 | 0.00148 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0011962996 | 0.0029841582 | 2.4944909 | 0.00179 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.3626363E-6 | 5.313619E-4 | 389.95135 | 5.3E-4 | 8.152474E-6 | 5.8398573E-6 | 6.858359E-4 | 117.44052 | 6.8E-4 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.1097966E-5 | 0.0011510212 | 16.189228 | 0.00108 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.107543E-4 | 0.0019998373 | 2.813683 | 0.00129 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.0638711E-6 | 4.310634E-4 | 405.1839 | 4.3E-4 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.5594393E-6 | 5.6455686E-4 | 123.821556 | 5.6E-4 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.5509772E-5 | 8.9546316E-4 | 16.13163 | 8.4E-4 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.5496016E-4 | 0.0015044329 | 2.7108846 | 9.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.190882E-7 | 3.1081884E-4 | 379.46933 | 3.1E-4 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.5103733E-6 | 3.8350903E-4 | 109.25022 | 3.8E-4 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.2737964E-5 | 6.227132E-4 | 14.570492 | 5.8E-4 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.2729836E-4 | 0.0010970121 | 2.567321 | 6.7E-4 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.513583E-7 | 1.204513E-4 | 266.86404 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9452417E-6 | 1.9343913E-6 | 1.6193408E-4 | 83.713196 | 1.6E-4 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.355096E-5 | 2.5354556E-4 | 10.765826 | 2.3E-4 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.3548475E-4 | 4.8542587E-4 | 2.06139 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.411935E-7 | 5.0341176E-5 | 147.54436 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.462257E-6 | 7.146216E-5 | 48.871128 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.7802835E-5 | 1.4780051E-4 | 8.302077 | 1.3E-4 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.7801418E-4 | 3.1798927E-4 | 1.7863142 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 1.8514093E-7 | 2.0185138E-5 | 109.025795 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4511525E-6 | 7.9346086E-7 | 2.0793444E-5 | 26.20601 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 9.6603435E-6 | 3.9660055E-5 | 4.1054497 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 9.659928E-5 | 1.3659542E-4 | 1.4140418 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.331386E-7 | 1.0133137E-5 | 76.10969 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1980875E-6 | 5.7059384E-7 | 1.05705885E-5 | 18.52559 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4586617E-5 | 6.9469584E-6 | 1.694689E-5 | 2.4394689 | 1.0E-5 | 1.458566E-4 | 6.9467445E-5 | 8.9466055E-5 | 1.2878846 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387403E-5 | 0.0038173213 | 219.54523 | 0.0038 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451533E-5 | 0.005074143 | 68.09528 | 0.005 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0684986E-4 | 0.0077806106 | 8.579823 | 0.00688 | 0.012175002 | 0.009032023 | 0.017643534 | 1.9534422 | 0.00869 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7163808E-5 | 0.0038170987 | 222.3923 | 0.0038 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.3557116E-5 | 0.0050731893 | 68.96938 | 0.005 | 0.0012120095 | 8.9519325E-4 | 0.0077690342 | 8.678612 | 0.00688 | 0.012054204 | 0.008916465 | 0.017528981 | 1.9659115 | 0.00869 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.6673963E-5 | 0.0038066108 | 228.29669 | 0.00379 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.145791E-5 | 0.005051102 | 70.6864 | 0.00498 | 0.0011869454 | 8.6965587E-4 | 0.00772369 | 8.881318 | 0.00686 | 0.011806256 | 0.008663096 | 0.017248074 | 1.9909827 | 0.00866 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.6319964E-5 | 0.0037962582 | 232.61436 | 0.00378 | 9.600859E-5 | 6.994085E-5 | 0.005039593 | 72.05508 | 0.00497 | 0.0011682777 | 8.5120025E-4 | 0.0076953694 | 9.04061 | 0.00685 | 0.011621549 | 0.008479954 | 0.017056603 | 2.0114028 | 0.00865 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.5862253E-5 | 0.0037658028 | 237.40656 | 0.00375 | 9.373015E-5 | 6.797933E-5 | 0.004987645 | 73.37002 | 0.00492 | 0.0011405671 | 8.273371E-4 | 0.007591736 | 9.176109 | 0.00677 | 0.011347309 | 0.008243113 | 0.016732553 | 2.0298827 | 0.00856 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.4886441E-5 | 0.0037148313 | 249.54463 | 0.0037 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.379749E-5 | 0.004903489 | 76.860214 | 0.00484 | 0.0010802611 | 7.7646057E-4 | 0.007411305 | 9.544986 | 0.00664 | 0.010750249 | 0.007737995 | 0.016053151 | 2.0745878 | 0.00838 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3411255E-5 | 0.0035833635 | 267.19077 | 0.00357 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.7475558E-5 | 0.0046972088 | 81.72533 | 0.00464 | 9.600714E-4 | 6.995429E-4 | 0.007055094 | 10.08529 | 0.00636 | 0.009559342 | 0.006973898 | 0.014868456 | 2.132015 | 0.00795 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.23230175E-5 | 0.003172284 | 257.42755 | 0.00316 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.2811876E-5 | 0.0041325963 | 78.251274 | 0.00408 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.427975E-4 | 0.0062891655 | 9.784055 | 0.00565 | 0.00875714 | 0.006409857 | 0.013504091 | 2.1067693 | 0.00714 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.206626E-6 | 0.0019991882 | 217.1467 | 0.00199 | 5.495361E-5 | 3.945638E-5 | 0.0026793522 | 67.90669 | 0.00264 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.80277E-4 | 0.004168505 | 8.679377 | 0.00369 | 0.006668452 | 0.0047925077 | 0.009489887 | 1.9801506 | 0.00472 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.7182235E-6 | 6.837157E-4 | 183.88235 | 6.8E-4 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.5935148E-5 | 9.159208E-4 | 57.478027 | 9.0E-4 | 2.9358055E-4 | 1.9399323E-4 | 0.0014537488 | 7.493812 | 0.00126 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0019382489 | 0.0035650895 | 1.8393353 | 0.00163 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.2564568E-6 | 4.1225553E-4 | 182.7004 | 4.1E-4 | 1.5111918E-5 | 9.6704935E-6 | 5.4966524E-4 | 56.839424 | 5.4E-4 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.17731965E-4 | 8.376472E-4 | 7.1148663 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0011767027 | 0.0021056083 | 1.789414 | 9.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0219906E-6 | 1.7102182E-4 | 167.34187 | 1.7E-4 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.3799523E-6 | 2.24379E-4 | 51.228638 | 2.2E-4 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.3324635E-5 | 3.2331023E-4 | 6.063056 | 2.7E-4 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.331203E-4 | 8.629444E-4 | 1.6186672 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6227031E-7 | 3.0162266E-5 | 185.87666 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 6.95444E-7 | 3.0695424E-5 | 44.13788 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.466998E-6 | 4.846666E-5 | 5.7241845 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.466679E-5 | 1.3466255E-4 | 1.5905004 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.4657128E-8 | 1.0024657E-5 | 406.56223 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.056734E-7 | 1.0105672E-5 | 95.63119 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.2865729E-6 | 1.128656E-5 | 8.772577 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.2865658E-5 | 2.286553E-5 | 1.777253 | 1.0E-5 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0029126906 | 88.84186 | 0.00288 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0039499663 | 28.11335 | 0.00381 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.007250018 | 4.241003 | 0.00555 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023986686 | 1.4120083 | 0.00712 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0029126906 | 88.84186 | 0.00288 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0039499663 | 28.11335 | 0.00381 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.007250018 | 4.241003 | 0.00555 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023986686 | 1.4120083 | 0.00712 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0029126906 | 88.84186 | 0.00288 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0039499663 | 28.11335 | 0.00381 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.007250018 | 4.241003 | 0.00555 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023986686 | 1.4120083 | 0.00712 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.2785116E-5 | 0.0029126906 | 88.84186 | 0.00288 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0039499663 | 28.11335 | 0.00381 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095054 | 0.007250018 | 4.241003 | 0.00555 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987637 | 0.023986686 | 1.4120083 | 0.00712 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6525459E-5 | 0.0027564801 | 166.80203 | 0.00274 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.0821596E-5 | 0.003650568 | 51.54597 | 0.00358 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.61934E-4 | 0.0059675295 | 6.9234185 | 0.00511 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588106 | 0.014962885 | 1.7422799 | 0.00643 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.6525459E-5 | 0.0027564801 | 166.80203 | 0.00274 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.0821596E-5 | 0.003650568 | 51.54597 | 0.00358 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.61934E-4 | 0.0059675295 | 6.9234185 | 0.00511 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588106 | 0.014962885 | 1.7422799 | 0.00643 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725238E-5 | 0.0025416955 | 216.77133 | 0.00253 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.0250066E-5 | 0.0033200858 | 66.07127 | 0.00327 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.116249E-4 | 0.0051388545 | 8.40197 | 0.00453 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006099615 | 0.011695274 | 1.9173791 | 0.00563 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725238E-5 | 0.0025416955 | 216.77133 | 0.00253 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.0250066E-5 | 0.0033200858 | 66.07127 | 0.00327 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.116249E-4 | 0.0051388545 | 8.40197 | 0.00453 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006099615 | 0.011695274 | 1.9173791 | 0.00563 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.0962816E-5 | 0.0025309352 | 230.86542 | 0.00252 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.6982663E-5 | 0.0033068296 | 70.38404 | 0.00326 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.718656E-4 | 0.0050592977 | 8.847006 | 0.00449 | 0.007104293 | 0.0057041 | 0.011242327 | 1.9709207 | 0.00557 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.0941342E-5 | 0.0025309138 | 231.31657 | 0.00252 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.6890633E-5 | 0.0033067379 | 70.52022 | 0.00326 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.707457E-4 | 0.005058183 | 8.8624115 | 0.00449 | 0.007094092 | 0.0056929584 | 0.011231248 | 1.9728317 | 0.00557 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.0863233E-5 | 0.0025308358 | 232.97263 | 0.00252 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.655589E-5 | 0.0033064042 | 71.0201 | 0.00326 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.6667236E-4 | 0.005044134 | 8.901323 | 0.00448 | 0.007055073 | 0.005652433 | 0.011181005 | 1.9780873 | 0.00556 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0358185E-5 | 0.0025003324 | 241.38712 | 0.00249 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.4391476E-5 | 0.003274248 | 73.758484 | 0.00323 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.403339E-4 | 0.00496794 | 9.194204 | 0.00443 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0053903507 | 0.010850757 | 2.0129967 | 0.00549 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.660144E-6 | 0.0024696363 | 255.65213 | 0.00246 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.139997E-5 | 0.0032412675 | 78.29154 | 0.0032 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.039297E-4 | 0.0048817224 | 9.687308 | 0.00438 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0050280076 | 0.010410806 | 2.070563 | 0.00541 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.560656E-6 | 0.00242854 | 283.6862 | 0.00242 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.668802E-5 | 0.0031765727 | 86.58338 | 0.00314 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.4658652E-4 | 0.004744666 | 10.624293 | 0.0043 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0044570053 | 0.009683606 | 2.172671 | 0.00525 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.158592E-6 | 0.0023881393 | 292.7146 | 0.00238 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.4964934E-5 | 0.0031148572 | 89.085175 | 0.00308 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.2561634E-4 | 0.0046338243 | 10.887327 | 0.00421 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0042481227 | 0.009356329 | 2.2024622 | 0.00513 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.0766923E-6 | 0.0020170624 | 285.029 | 0.00201 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.0328338E-5 | 0.0026202498 | 86.396095 | 0.00259 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.6918625E-4 | 0.0039478648 | 10.693422 | 0.00358 | 0.004693329 | 0.0036858239 | 0.008029753 | 2.1785505 | 0.00436 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.793403E-6 | 5.537913E-4 | 145.988 | 5.5E-4 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.625734E-5 | 7.062461E-4 | 43.441677 | 6.9E-4 | 2.556514E-4 | 1.9791527E-4 | 0.0012377094 | 6.253734 | 0.00104 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0019774032 | 0.0032648523 | 1.6510807 | 0.00129 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.0657038E-6 | 4.0306448E-4 | 131.47534 | 4.0E-4 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3138665E-5 | 5.0313224E-4 | 38.294014 | 4.9E-4 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.599516E-4 | 9.2982844E-4 | 5.8131866 | 7.7E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.0015983736 | 0.0025368712 | 1.5871578 | 9.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 1.9923536E-6 | 2.319919E-4 | 116.441124 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.538631E-6 | 2.6853642E-4 | 31.449587 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.03952916E-4 | 5.0391135E-4 | 4.847496 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010390474 | 0.0015585071 | 1.4999384 | 5.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2172093E-7 | 1.0321718E-5 | 32.08283 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.3788033E-6 | 2.1378775E-5 | 15.505313 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.6786804E-5 | 8.678563E-5 | 5.1698723 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.6785566E-4 | 2.6783886E-4 | 1.59565 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.001975544 | 55.47233 | 0.00194 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0028922036 | 18.95012 | 0.00274 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0061391657 | 3.3057225 | 0.00429 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.024565056 | 1.3300154 | 0.00621 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.001975544 | 55.47233 | 0.00194 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0028922036 | 18.95012 | 0.00274 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0061391657 | 3.3057225 | 0.00429 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.024565056 | 1.3300154 | 0.00621 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.001975544 | 55.47233 | 0.00194 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0028922036 | 18.95012 | 0.00274 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0061391657 | 3.3057225 | 0.00429 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.024565056 | 1.3300154 | 0.00621 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.001975544 | 55.47233 | 0.00194 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0028922036 | 18.95012 | 0.00274 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0061391657 | 3.3057225 | 0.00429 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.024565056 | 1.3300154 | 0.00621 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.645424E-4 | 31.92965 | 4.5E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 7.023112E-4 | 11.263812 | 6.4E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.0018780153 | 2.474768 | 0.00112 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.0091412375 | 1.2086368 | 0.00159 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.645424E-4 | 31.92965 | 4.5E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 7.023112E-4 | 11.263812 | 6.4E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.0018780153 | 2.474768 | 0.00112 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.0091412375 | 1.2086368 | 0.00159 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.2757924E-5 | 3.527536E-4 | 27.649763 | 3.4E-4 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.4675682E-5 | 5.646478E-4 | 10.32722 | 5.1E-4 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.654748E-4 | 0.0015149091 | 2.2764335 | 8.5E-4 | 0.006657724 | 0.0066350214 | 0.007836993 | 1.1811557 | 0.00121 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2381868E-5 | 3.323779E-4 | 26.843922 | 3.2E-4 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.306408E-5 | 5.4303807E-4 | 10.233628 | 4.9E-4 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.458653E-4 | 0.0014653356 | 2.2687945 | 8.2E-4 | 0.00647886 | 0.006440071 | 0.007602536 | 1.180505 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.1991233E-5 | 3.2198752E-4 | 26.85191 | 3.1E-4 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.1389994E-5 | 5.2136584E-4 | 10.145279 | 4.7E-4 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.254951E-4 | 0.001415001 | 2.2622094 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006237526 | 0.007380353 | 1.183218 | 0.00115 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.0934387E-5 | 3.109311E-4 | 28.436079 | 3.0E-4 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.6860827E-5 | 4.6684116E-4 | 9.96229 | 4.2E-4 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.703824E-4 | 0.0012699831 | 2.2265468 | 7.0E-4 | 0.005777207 | 0.0056893234 | 0.0066637476 | 1.1712725 | 9.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0368694E-5 | 2.803659E-4 | 27.039654 | 2.7E-4 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.443651E-5 | 4.2441962E-4 | 9.5511465 | 3.8E-4 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.4088136E-4 | 0.0011805352 | 2.1826138 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0053957812 | 0.006310817 | 1.1695836 | 9.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.777159E-6 | 2.697746E-4 | 27.592333 | 2.6E-4 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.1901443E-5 | 4.1188594E-4 | 9.829875 | 3.7E-4 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.1003176E-4 | 0.0011297156 | 2.2149906 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0050887386 | 0.0059841587 | 1.1759611 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.565193E-6 | 2.3856323E-4 | 27.85264 | 2.3E-4 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.6707457E-5 | 3.7669498E-4 | 10.262083 | 3.4E-4 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.468227E-4 | 0.001016568 | 2.2751038 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0046197 | 0.0044593555 | 0.0052956096 | 1.187528 | 8.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.353895E-6 | 1.9735249E-4 | 26.836458 | 1.9E-4 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.1516316E-5 | 3.115075E-4 | 9.8840065 | 2.8E-4 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.8364457E-4 | 8.5346424E-4 | 2.2246222 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0038299249 | 0.004547167 | 1.1872733 | 7.2E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.0538605E-6 | 1.5605295E-4 | 25.777428 | 1.5E-4 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.5944863E-5 | 2.6593864E-4 | 10.250146 | 2.4E-4 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.1583384E-4 | 7.0571067E-4 | 2.2344365 | 3.9E-4 | 0.003286749 | 0.0031539425 | 0.0037620186 | 1.1927987 | 6.1E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.3449745E-6 | 1.3434442E-4 | 30.919493 | 1.3E-4 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.8621191E-5 | 2.2861728E-4 | 12.277265 | 2.1E-4 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.2669007E-4 | 5.866085E-4 | 2.5877113 | 3.6E-4 | 0.002402707 | 0.0022646545 | 0.0028034316 | 1.2379069 | 5.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.2855426E-6 | 5.128548E-5 | 39.89403 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.509457E-6 | 8.550902E-5 | 15.520408 | 8.0E-5 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.707564E-5 | 1.8706759E-4 | 2.788905 | 1.2E-4 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.705607E-4 | 8.304534E-4 | 1.2384462 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.5595507E-7 | 2.0555945E-5 | 36.97411 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.3826626E-6 | 3.238259E-5 | 13.590925 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9008568E-5 | 6.900741E-5 | 2.3788629 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.900513E-4 | 3.300397E-4 | 1.1378666 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre (San Fernando)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.1 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.2 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.3 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053840918 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.4 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053338245 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.5 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0053338245 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.6 | 9.9035515E-6 | 6.0234593E-6 | 0.0029560057 | 490.74887 | 0.00295 | 4.2443102E-5 | 2.5814576E-5 | 0.0037157193 | 143.93881 | 0.00369 | 5.166222E-4 | 3.1424817E-4 | 0.0055126143 | 17.542233 | 0.0052 | 0.0051542283 | 0.003138143 | 0.009607777 | 3.061612 | 0.00649 |
6.7 | 9.87217E-6 | 6.011952E-6 | 0.0029459943 | 490.02292 | 0.00294 | 4.2308613E-5 | 2.5765261E-5 | 0.0036956707 | 143.43619 | 0.00367 | 5.149856E-4 | 3.1364794E-4 | 0.005492023 | 17.510153 | 0.00518 | 0.005137938 | 0.0031321577 | 0.009571924 | 3.056016 | 0.00646 |
6.8 | 9.4359175E-6 | 5.9234444E-6 | 0.0028359066 | 478.75974 | 0.00283 | 4.043902E-5 | 2.5385949E-5 | 0.003565296 | 140.44368 | 0.00354 | 4.9223384E-4 | 3.0903114E-4 | 0.005307486 | 17.1746 | 0.005 | 0.0049114493 | 0.0030861183 | 0.009306861 | 3.0157175 | 0.00624 |
6.9 | 8.700447E-6 | 5.79582E-6 | 0.0026857802 | 463.39954 | 0.00268 | 3.72871E-5 | 2.4838999E-5 | 0.0033847555 | 136.26779 | 0.00336 | 4.5387587E-4 | 3.0237384E-4 | 0.005040941 | 16.671219 | 0.00474 | 0.0045295 | 0.0030197268 | 0.00896173 | 2.9677284 | 0.00596 |
7.0 | 8.648878E-6 | 5.7718153E-6 | 0.0026757563 | 463.5901 | 0.00267 | 3.7066096E-5 | 2.4736122E-5 | 0.0033546537 | 135.6176 | 0.00333 | 4.5118626E-4 | 3.011217E-4 | 0.0049997065 | 16.603607 | 0.0047 | 0.004502713 | 0.0030072392 | 0.008899466 | 2.9593477 | 0.00591 |
7.1 | 8.505786E-6 | 5.685071E-6 | 0.0025856704 | 454.8176 | 0.00258 | 3.645286E-5 | 2.4364368E-5 | 0.0032542858 | 133.56741 | 0.00323 | 4.437232E-4 | 2.9659682E-4 | 0.0048552444 | 16.369846 | 0.00456 | 0.0044283825 | 0.0029621117 | 0.008665169 | 2.9253347 | 0.00572 |
7.2 | 8.139752E-6 | 5.468387E-6 | 0.0023654555 | 432.56912 | 0.00236 | 3.4884186E-5 | 2.343574E-5 | 0.002963367 | 126.44648 | 0.00294 | 4.246322E-4 | 2.8529376E-4 | 0.0045040897 | 15.787551 | 0.00422 | 0.004238217 | 0.0028493747 | 0.008144245 | 2.8582568 | 0.00531 |
7.3 | 7.8816E-6 | 5.326282E-6 | 0.0021453148 | 402.77905 | 0.00214 | 3.3777847E-5 | 2.2826729E-5 | 0.002722765 | 119.279686 | 0.0027 | 4.111677E-4 | 2.77881E-4 | 0.004216786 | 15.174792 | 0.00394 | 0.004104078 | 0.0027754342 | 0.0077515845 | 2.792927 | 0.00499 |
7.4 | 7.5810603E-6 | 5.135267E-6 | 0.0020751245 | 404.09283 | 0.00207 | 3.2489854E-5 | 2.2008107E-5 | 0.002571952 | 116.86384 | 0.00255 | 3.9549218E-4 | 2.6791677E-4 | 0.004006915 | 14.95582 | 0.00374 | 0.0039478904 | 0.0026760362 | 0.007373432 | 2.7553558 | 0.00471 |
7.5 | 6.349153E-6 | 4.218989E-6 | 0.0015042126 | 356.5339 | 0.0015 | 2.7210372E-5 | 1.808126E-5 | 0.0018980473 | 104.97317 | 0.00188 | 3.312359E-4 | 2.2011789E-4 | 0.002999506 | 13.626816 | 0.00278 | 0.0033074263 | 0.002199076 | 0.0057911593 | 2.6334512 | 0.0036 |
7.6 | 4.430576E-6 | 2.742006E-6 | 8.527397E-4 | 310.99118 | 8.5E-4 | 1.8988047E-5 | 1.1751402E-5 | 0.0010817389 | 92.051895 | 0.00107 | 2.3115493E-4 | 1.4306414E-4 | 0.0017328367 | 12.112306 | 0.00159 | 0.0023091463 | 0.0014297417 | 0.003396925 | 2.3759012 | 0.00197 |
7.7 | 3.005066E-6 | 1.6326172E-6 | 4.3163192E-4 | 264.38037 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2878791E-5 | 6.996912E-6 | 5.1699334E-4 | 73.88879 | 5.1E-4 | 1.56788E-4 | 8.518408E-5 | 8.051228E-4 | 9.451563 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0015667742 | 8.5151533E-4 | 0.001710783 | 2.0091043 | 8.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.8459098E-6 | 9.749174E-7 | 2.1097471E-4 | 216.40266 | 2.1E-4 | 7.911018E-6 | 4.1782105E-6 | 2.441772E-4 | 58.440617 | 2.4E-4 | 9.631238E-5 | 5.086853E-5 | 4.0085072E-4 | 7.8801317 | 3.5E-4 | 9.627065E-4 | 5.0856924E-4 | 9.3835057E-4 | 1.8450793 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 9.839262E-7 | 4.8230385E-7 | 6.0482274E-5 | 125.40285 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2168194E-6 | 2.0670147E-6 | 6.2066894E-5 | 30.027308 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1338568E-5 | 2.5165617E-5 | 9.516386E-5 | 3.781503 | 7.0E-5 | 5.132671E-4 | 2.516279E-4 | 3.4160525E-4 | 1.357581 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0262014E-5 | 39.165455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 1.3190021E-5 | 4.1347346 | 1.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 4.1899762E-5 | 1.3134688 | 1.0E-5 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706331E-6 | 0.0028156904 | 493.43268 | 0.00281 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455541E-5 | 0.003604368 | 147.38452 | 0.00358 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.977169E-4 | 0.005146273 | 17.285793 | 0.00485 | 0.0032686873 | 0.002974297 | 0.009385172 | 3.1554253 | 0.00643 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7094034E-6 | 7.7270734E-4 | 285.19464 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611678E-5 | 9.816004E-4 | 84.53562 | 9.7E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4136317E-4 | 0.0015511638 | 10.972899 | 0.00141 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127492 | 0.0032801074 | 2.3217902 | 0.00187 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7094034E-6 | 7.7270734E-4 | 285.19464 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611678E-5 | 9.816004E-4 | 84.53562 | 9.7E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4136317E-4 | 0.0015511638 | 10.972899 | 0.00141 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127492 | 0.0032801074 | 2.3217902 | 0.00187 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.699859E-6 | 7.6269783E-4 | 282.49545 | 7.6E-4 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1570773E-5 | 9.7155967E-4 | 83.966705 | 9.6E-4 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4086522E-4 | 0.001540668 | 10.937179 | 0.0014 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014077759 | 0.0032551715 | 2.3122797 | 0.00185 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.5828845E-6 | 6.925811E-4 | 268.14252 | 6.9E-4 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1069458E-5 | 8.8105985E-4 | 79.593765 | 8.7E-4 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3476248E-4 | 0.0014145899 | 10.496913 | 0.00128 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013468231 | 0.003034547 | 2.2531147 | 0.00169 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.253191E-6 | 6.0225185E-4 | 267.2884 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.656498E-6 | 7.7964907E-4 | 80.73828 | 7.7E-4 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.1756154E-4 | 0.001227431 | 10.440753 | 0.00111 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0011749959 | 0.0026332804 | 2.2410975 | 0.00146 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2293557E-6 | 5.92228E-4 | 265.64987 | 5.9E-4 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.554346E-6 | 7.6954707E-4 | 80.54419 | 7.6E-4 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.16317984E-4 | 0.00121619 | 10.455735 | 0.0011 | 0.0015166114 | 0.0011625733 | 0.0026008992 | 2.2371914 | 0.00144 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.1898559E-6 | 5.821886E-4 | 265.85706 | 5.8E-4 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.385062E-6 | 7.393782E-4 | 78.78245 | 7.3E-4 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.14257164E-4 | 0.0011741361 | 10.2762575 | 0.00106 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011419865 | 0.0025204106 | 2.2070405 | 0.00138 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.138971E-6 | 5.7213777E-4 | 267.4827 | 5.7E-4 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.166986E-6 | 7.091606E-4 | 77.360275 | 7.0E-4 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1160236E-4 | 0.0011314885 | 10.138572 | 0.00102 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011154653 | 0.0024140151 | 2.1641328 | 0.0013 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.05614E-6 | 5.52055E-4 | 268.49097 | 5.5E-4 | 1.1501375E-5 | 8.811999E-6 | 6.788061E-4 | 77.03203 | 6.7E-4 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.07280815E-4 | 0.001057179 | 9.854314 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010722923 | 0.0022909842 | 2.1365294 | 0.00122 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.8726306E-6 | 5.1187165E-4 | 273.34363 | 5.1E-4 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.025535E-6 | 6.2802056E-4 | 78.25279 | 6.2E-4 | 1.2702055E-4 | 9.770653E-5 | 9.676215E-4 | 9.903346 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0012694797 | 9.766377E-4 | 0.0020555828 | 2.104755 | 0.00108 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.5369392E-6 | 4.4153625E-4 | 287.28284 | 4.4E-4 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.5868658E-6 | 5.3658336E-4 | 81.46262 | 5.3E-4 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.0192156E-5 | 7.8013603E-4 | 9.728333 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0010385747 | 8.0163364E-4 | 0.0016309683 | 2.0345557 | 8.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.162375E-6 | 3.21162E-4 | 276.2981 | 3.2E-4 | 6.526913E-6 | 4.981598E-6 | 3.849797E-4 | 77.280365 | 3.8E-4 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.064928E-5 | 5.706184E-4 | 9.408493 | 5.1E-4 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.063285E-4 | 0.0012159586 | 2.0054452 | 6.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.5596448E-7 | 1.00455916E-4 | 220.31523 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7209726E-6 | 1.954132E-6 | 1.219539E-4 | 62.40822 | 1.2E-4 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.37913E-5 | 1.9378726E-4 | 8.1453 | 1.7E-4 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.3788768E-4 | 4.3784012E-4 | 1.8405329 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 9.783716E-8 | 9.783716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.1930204E-7 | 4.1930204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.1049906E-6 | 2.5104888E-5 | 4.917715 | 2.0E-5 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.104875E-5 | 7.104773E-5 | 1.3917624 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 8.935006E-9 | 8.935006E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 3.829288E-8 | 3.829288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 4.6621574E-7 | 4.6621574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 4.662148E-6 | 4.662148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.002406673 | 4.315317 | 0.00185 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.0048322426 | 2.023473 | 0.00245 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032334786 | 1.1223707 | 0.00363 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24904467 | 1.0153856 | 0.005 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.002406673 | 4.315317 | 0.00185 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.0048322426 | 2.023473 | 0.00245 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032334786 | 1.1223707 | 0.00363 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24904467 | 1.0153856 | 0.005 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.002406673 | 4.315317 | 0.00185 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.0048322426 | 2.023473 | 0.00245 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032334786 | 1.1223707 | 0.00363 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24904467 | 1.0153856 | 0.005 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.5770477E-4 | 0.002406673 | 4.315317 | 0.00185 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0023880934 | 0.0048322426 | 2.023473 | 0.00245 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809365 | 0.032334786 | 1.1223707 | 0.00363 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527103 | 0.24904467 | 1.0153856 | 0.005 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 3.236843E-4 | 0.0015532862 | 4.798769 | 0.00123 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0013865066 | 0.003034219 | 2.1883912 | 0.00165 | 0.010316478 | 0.016755031 | 0.019104987 | 1.1402537 | 0.00239 | 0.098504856 | 0.15343072 | 0.15624133 | 1.0183184 | 0.00332 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765473E-4 | 8.57529E-4 | 4.569717 | 6.7E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.0398907E-4 | 0.0016632976 | 2.0688064 | 8.6E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.009745139 | 0.010943347 | 1.1229545 | 0.00121 | 0.065152965 | 0.0945379 | 0.096095294 | 1.0164738 | 0.00172 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765473E-4 | 8.57529E-4 | 4.569717 | 6.7E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.0398907E-4 | 0.0016632976 | 2.0688064 | 8.6E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.009745139 | 0.010943347 | 1.1229545 | 0.00121 | 0.065152965 | 0.0945379 | 0.096095294 | 1.0164738 | 0.00172 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 1.4581115E-4 | 5.85747E-4 | 4.017162 | 4.4E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 6.247557E-4 | 0.001214387 | 1.9437792 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0075799753 | 0.008443381 | 1.1139061 | 8.7E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.075650126 | 0.07681481 | 1.0153956 | 0.00126 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 1.4139932E-4 | 5.813371E-4 | 4.111315 | 4.4E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 6.0585665E-4 | 0.0011855053 | 1.9567422 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.007351447 | 0.008185272 | 1.1134232 | 8.4E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.07365151 | 0.07477239 | 1.0152187 | 0.00121 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 1.3564328E-4 | 5.455877E-4 | 4.022224 | 4.1E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 5.8119907E-4 | 0.0011208853 | 1.9285736 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.007053218 | 0.007837646 | 1.1112156 | 7.9E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.07102705 | 0.072104655 | 1.0151718 | 0.00116 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 1.2995074E-4 | 5.1990006E-4 | 4.000747 | 3.9E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 5.568131E-4 | 0.0010765236 | 1.9333661 | 5.2E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.006758193 | 0.007522989 | 1.1131657 | 7.7E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.06840132 | 0.06946335 | 1.0155263 | 0.00114 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 1.2352421E-4 | 4.934785E-4 | 3.9949942 | 3.7E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 5.2928226E-4 | 0.0010290176 | 1.9441755 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.006425025 | 0.0071602706 | 1.1144346 | 7.4E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.0654076 | 0.06643565 | 1.0157176 | 0.0011 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 1.177998E-4 | 4.4776092E-4 | 3.801033 | 3.3E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 5.047588E-4 | 9.645266E-4 | 1.9108664 | 4.6E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.006128168 | 0.0068139397 | 1.1119049 | 6.9E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.06271953 | 0.06368493 | 1.0153923 | 0.00103 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.03625665E-4 | 3.935956E-4 | 3.7982445 | 2.9E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 4.4403443E-4 | 8.4385683E-4 | 1.900431 | 4.0E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.0053927354 | 0.0059696077 | 1.1069721 | 5.8E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.05596556 | 0.056796312 | 1.014844 | 8.8E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 9.757253E-5 | 3.675462E-4 | 3.7669024 | 2.7E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 4.1810097E-4 | 7.879463E-4 | 1.8845837 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.005078511 | 0.0056157685 | 1.1057904 | 5.4E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.0530534 | 0.053839367 | 1.0148146 | 8.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 9.2217655E-5 | 3.521937E-4 | 3.819157 | 2.6E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 3.9515866E-4 | 7.4502034E-4 | 1.8853701 | 3.5E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.0048004533 | 0.005308005 | 1.1057299 | 5.1E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.050447542 | 0.051188193 | 1.0146816 | 7.8E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 8.76761E-5 | 3.1765594E-4 | 3.6230621 | 2.3E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 3.757006E-4 | 6.855841E-4 | 1.8248152 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0045645684 | 0.005012514 | 1.0981355 | 4.5E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.04818084 | 0.048828077 | 1.0134335 | 6.8E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 8.420954E-5 | 3.0419102E-4 | 3.6123106 | 2.2E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 3.6084812E-4 | 6.507435E-4 | 1.8033723 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.004384482 | 0.0048026405 | 1.0953724 | 4.2E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.046441395 | 0.047042135 | 1.0129355 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 7.538641E-5 | 2.7537133E-4 | 3.6527982 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 3.2304463E-4 | 5.829606E-4 | 1.8045824 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0039259796 | 0.0043044877 | 1.0964111 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.041735906 | 0.042291697 | 1.0133169 | 5.8E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 4.789402E-5 | 1.8788732E-4 | 3.9229808 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 2.0524394E-4 | 3.9520493E-4 | 1.9255377 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0024959822 | 0.0027553334 | 1.1039073 | 2.6E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.026780728 | 0.02714082 | 1.0134459 | 3.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 2.4723882E-5 | 1.04721905E-4 | 4.2356577 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 1.05955194E-4 | 2.059446E-4 | 1.9436952 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0012892415 | 0.0013990997 | 1.0852115 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.013982885 | 0.014120927 | 1.0098722 | 1.4E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 7.178803E-6 | 2.717866E-5 | 3.7859597 | 2.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 3.0765936E-5 | 5.076532E-5 | 1.6500496 | 2.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 3.7451103E-4 | 3.9450353E-4 | 1.053383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.0042274687 | 0.004247384 | 1.0047109 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 1.2894421E-6 | 1.2894421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 5.5261685E-6 | 5.5261685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 6.7279034E-5 | 6.7279034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 8.4906194E-4 | 8.4906194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.269057E-6 | 0.0025672505 | 353.17517 | 0.00256 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.115274E-5 | 0.0031610553 | 101.469574 | 0.00313 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.7922052E-4 | 0.0047475635 | 12.519268 | 0.00437 | 0.008033488 | 0.0037859245 | 0.009285026 | 2.4525123 | 0.00552 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.1414726E-6 | 0.001386133 | 225.70042 | 0.00138 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.6320335E-5 | 0.0017362753 | 65.96707 | 0.00171 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.2040334E-4 | 0.0027596215 | 8.612961 | 0.00244 | 0.0065210275 | 0.003199452 | 0.006429086 | 2.0094335 | 0.00324 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.1125916E-6 | 0.0013861042 | 226.7621 | 0.00138 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.6196562E-5 | 0.0017361518 | 66.27403 | 0.00171 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.1889684E-4 | 0.0027581188 | 8.648937 | 0.00244 | 0.005950495 | 0.0031844303 | 0.0064141126 | 2.0142105 | 0.00324 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.052993E-6 | 0.001326045 | 219.07262 | 0.00132 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.5941143E-5 | 0.0016658986 | 64.2184 | 0.00164 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.1578803E-4 | 0.0026750427 | 8.471007 | 0.00236 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0031534308 | 0.0062934975 | 1.995762 | 0.00315 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 5.8904666E-6 | 0.0012758829 | 216.60135 | 0.00127 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.5244615E-5 | 0.0016052048 | 63.586025 | 0.00158 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.0731023E-4 | 0.0025766126 | 8.384402 | 0.00227 | 0.0055211177 | 0.0030688953 | 0.006099566 | 1.9875444 | 0.00304 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 5.785265E-6 | 0.001255778 | 217.06491 | 0.00125 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.4793759E-5 | 0.001584755 | 63.9175 | 0.00156 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.0182258E-4 | 0.0025311494 | 8.386216 | 0.00223 | 0.0053428668 | 0.003014169 | 0.0060051265 | 1.9922992 | 0.003 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.6071067E-6 | 0.0011556007 | 206.0957 | 0.00115 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.4030238E-5 | 0.0014739954 | 61.33919 | 0.00145 | 5.171009E-4 | 2.9252926E-4 | 0.0023519266 | 8.03997 | 0.00206 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0029214832 | 0.005653478 | 1.9351398 | 0.00274 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.0080853E-6 | 0.0010450028 | 208.66315 | 0.00104 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.1463047E-5 | 0.0013514345 | 62.965637 | 0.00133 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.612815E-4 | 0.0021207954 | 8.116899 | 0.00186 | 0.00442326 | 0.0026097675 | 0.0050633475 | 1.9401528 | 0.00246 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.804588E-6 | 9.5480005E-4 | 198.72672 | 9.5E-4 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.0590931E-5 | 0.0012605654 | 61.219444 | 0.00124 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.5066597E-4 | 0.0019702348 | 7.860001 | 0.00172 | 0.0042096223 | 0.002503856 | 0.0047581973 | 1.9003477 | 0.00226 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.1086896E-6 | 7.4410567E-4 | 181.10535 | 7.4E-4 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.7608552E-5 | 9.875915E-4 | 56.0859 | 9.7E-4 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.1436322E-4 | 0.0015740717 | 7.343012 | 0.00136 | 0.0035533418 | 0.002141584 | 0.003917772 | 1.8293805 | 0.00178 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.8169534E-6 | 4.6281566E-4 | 164.29652 | 4.6E-4 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.2072603E-5 | 6.1206537E-4 | 50.698708 | 6.0E-4 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.4697413E-4 | 0.0010068477 | 6.85051 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0014687802 | 0.0025871352 | 1.7614175 | 0.00112 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.5614945E-6 | 2.4156112E-4 | 154.69867 | 2.4E-4 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.6921025E-6 | 2.8669022E-4 | 42.840084 | 2.8E-4 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.147334E-5 | 4.8144074E-4 | 5.909181 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0013190953 | 8.144392E-4 | 0.0012940483 | 1.5888826 | 4.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.5924154E-7 | 7.085918E-5 | 82.467125 | 7.0E-5 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.6824588E-6 | 8.3682164E-5 | 22.724535 | 8.0E-5 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.4833025E-5 | 1.8482674E-4 | 4.122558 | 1.4E-4 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.4824104E-4 | 6.381559E-4 | 1.4236891 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.422426E-7 | 1.422426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.09611E-7 | 1.0609605E-5 | 17.403893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.4219897E-6 | 2.7421842E-5 | 3.6946752 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.421749E-5 | 9.421601E-5 | 1.2694583 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 4.929394E-9 | 4.929394E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.0015374E-8 | 6.0015374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.001537E-7 | 6.001537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.2620168E-5 | 0.001622584 | 71.73174 | 0.0016 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.6940246E-5 | 0.002296727 | 23.692194 | 0.0022 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0011796562 | 0.00449574 | 3.8110592 | 0.00332 | 0.012139114 | 0.011738819 | 0.01593893 | 1.3577967 | 0.00425 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.613911E-5 | 0.0015461145 | 95.799225 | 0.00153 | 7.4489166E-5 | 6.916584E-5 | 0.002119024 | 30.636858 | 0.00205 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.41778E-4 | 0.003879219 | 4.608363 | 0.00304 | 0.009028391 | 0.008386904 | 0.012274028 | 1.4634753 | 0.00392 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3186457E-5 | 0.0015031669 | 113.99323 | 0.00149 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.651218E-5 | 0.001986403 | 35.149998 | 0.00193 | 7.6267915E-4 | 6.878222E-4 | 0.0035158757 | 5.1116056 | 0.00283 | 0.007600669 | 0.0068573514 | 0.010502185 | 1.531522 | 0.00367 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2049737E-5 | 0.0014720322 | 122.16301 | 0.00146 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.1640724E-5 | 0.0019315437 | 37.403496 | 0.00188 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.2854734E-4 | 0.0033968063 | 5.404217 | 0.00277 | 0.00704657 | 0.006268043 | 0.009845478 | 1.5707419 | 0.0036 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.15670855E-5 | 0.0014615504 | 126.35424 | 0.00145 | 5.613192E-5 | 4.9572296E-5 | 0.0019194796 | 38.720814 | 0.00187 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.0337834E-4 | 0.003361713 | 5.5714846 | 0.00276 | 0.006810953 | 0.006017732 | 0.009556309 | 1.588025 | 0.00356 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.0670732E-5 | 0.0014506554 | 135.94713 | 0.00144 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.573092E-5 | 0.0019056458 | 41.670837 | 0.00186 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.566342E-4 | 0.0032951091 | 5.9197025 | 0.00274 | 0.006372592 | 0.0055526984 | 0.009043208 | 1.6286151 | 0.00351 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 9.718047E-6 | 0.0014397041 | 148.14746 | 0.00143 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.1648123E-5 | 0.0018815715 | 45.177822 | 0.00184 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.0694984E-4 | 0.003225571 | 6.3627024 | 0.00272 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0050581736 | 0.008500672 | 1.6805813 | 0.00346 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.19215E-6 | 0.0014391791 | 156.56609 | 0.00143 | 4.6559664E-5 | 3.939435E-5 | 0.001849323 | 46.94387 | 0.00181 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.7952245E-4 | 0.0031682325 | 6.6070576 | 0.00269 | 0.005652734 | 0.004785105 | 0.00818874 | 1.7112979 | 0.00342 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 8.9801415E-6 | 0.0014389673 | 160.23882 | 0.00143 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.8485763E-5 | 0.001848416 | 48.028564 | 0.00181 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.684653E-4 | 0.0031472098 | 6.718128 | 0.00268 | 0.005550127 | 0.0046750037 | 0.008059109 | 1.7238722 | 0.0034 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.291955E-6 | 0.0014382801 | 173.45488 | 0.00143 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.5536475E-5 | 0.0018454721 | 51.93177 | 0.00181 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.3257236E-4 | 0.003081426 | 7.1234927 | 0.00265 | 0.005224364 | 0.0043175095 | 0.0076729595 | 1.7771726 | 0.00337 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 7.743802E-6 | 0.0014277328 | 184.37103 | 0.00142 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.318731E-5 | 0.0018331276 | 55.2358 | 0.0018 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.0398215E-4 | 0.0030329197 | 7.507559 | 0.00263 | 0.00496445 | 0.0040326733 | 0.007359204 | 1.8248948 | 0.00334 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.3835213E-6 | 0.001427373 | 193.31874 | 0.00142 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.164329E-5 | 0.0018315864 | 57.8823 | 0.0018 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.8519048E-4 | 0.0030041812 | 7.7992096 | 0.00262 | 0.004792784 | 0.0038454207 | 0.0071526538 | 1.8600446 | 0.00332 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.7287752E-6 | 0.0013957208 | 243.63336 | 0.00139 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.4551664E-5 | 0.0017845085 | 72.68381 | 0.00176 | 3.984668E-4 | 2.988758E-4 | 0.0028481137 | 9.529422 | 0.00255 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0029848034 | 0.0062051625 | 2.0789182 | 0.00323 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.405752E-6 | 0.0013953983 | 258.13214 | 0.00139 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3167302E-5 | 0.0017831265 | 76.96738 | 0.00176 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.8202566E-4 | 0.0028313065 | 10.03918 | 0.00255 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0028167416 | 0.0060276715 | 2.1399448 | 0.00322 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.7587564E-6 | 0.0011947531 | 251.06415 | 0.00119 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.0394511E-5 | 0.0014803647 | 72.586426 | 0.00146 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.4827506E-4 | 0.0023977412 | 9.657599 | 0.00215 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002480031 | 0.0052331863 | 2.1101294 | 0.00276 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 3.9599277E-6 | 8.8395644E-4 | 223.22542 | 8.8E-4 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.6971007E-5 | 0.0011169524 | 65.81532 | 0.0011 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.0660252E-4 | 0.0017862761 | 8.645955 | 0.00158 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002064115 | 0.004149801 | 2.0104504 | 0.00209 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 2.9969597E-6 | 6.829949E-4 | 227.89594 | 6.8E-4 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.2844051E-5 | 8.72833E-4 | 67.956215 | 8.6E-4 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.5636516E-4 | 0.0013261822 | 8.481315 | 0.00117 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0015625588 | 0.0031001526 | 1.9840229 | 0.00154 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.7745335E-6 | 4.5177373E-4 | 254.58733 | 4.5E-4 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.6051215E-6 | 5.676009E-4 | 74.634026 | 5.6E-4 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.258848E-5 | 8.225209E-4 | 8.88362 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0013248142 | 9.2550466E-4 | 0.0018346625 | 1.9823374 | 9.1E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.420449E-7 | 1.20342E-4 | 351.83102 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.4659058E-6 | 1.5146569E-4 | 103.32566 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.7847258E-5 | 2.0784387E-4 | 11.645703 | 1.9E-4 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.7845837E-4 | 3.8842089E-4 | 2.1765351 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2131488E-8 | 2.0012132E-5 | 1649.6024 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.199209E-8 | 2.0051992E-5 | 385.6739 | 2.0E-5 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.330035E-7 | 2.0632991E-5 | 32.595383 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.3300176E-6 | 2.6329892E-5 | 4.1595287 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.0001825E-5 | 5479.783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043922E-8 | 7.822383E-9 | 1.0007822E-5 | 1279.3828 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3185973E-7 | 9.52375E-8 | 1.0095237E-5 | 106.00064 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3185949E-6 | 9.523747E-7 | 1.0952365E-5 | 11.500059 | 1.0E-5 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0019905202 | 188.83354 | 0.00198 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025250635 | 55.8945 | 0.00248 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0042378455 | 7.70693 | 0.00369 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.010129865 | 1.846668 | 0.00467 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0019905202 | 188.83354 | 0.00198 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025250635 | 55.8945 | 0.00248 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0042378455 | 7.70693 | 0.00369 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.010129865 | 1.846668 | 0.00467 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0019905202 | 188.83354 | 0.00198 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025250635 | 55.8945 | 0.00248 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0042378455 | 7.70693 | 0.00369 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.010129865 | 1.846668 | 0.00467 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0019905202 | 188.83354 | 0.00198 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025250635 | 55.8945 | 0.00248 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0042378455 | 7.70693 | 0.00369 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.010129865 | 1.846668 | 0.00467 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541137E-5 | 0.0019905202 | 188.83354 | 0.00198 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175526E-5 | 0.0025250635 | 55.8945 | 0.00248 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498747E-4 | 0.0042378455 | 7.70693 | 0.00369 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854825 | 0.010129865 | 1.846668 | 0.00467 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.779409E-6 | 0.0019797601 | 202.4417 | 0.00197 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1911087E-5 | 0.0025018079 | 59.693226 | 0.00246 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.1014905E-4 | 0.0041382974 | 8.1119375 | 0.00363 | 0.006582173 | 0.00509008 | 0.009666665 | 1.8991185 | 0.0046 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.779409E-6 | 0.0019797601 | 202.4417 | 0.00197 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1911087E-5 | 0.0025018079 | 59.693226 | 0.00246 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.1014905E-4 | 0.0041382974 | 8.1119375 | 0.00363 | 0.006582173 | 0.00509008 | 0.009666665 | 1.8991185 | 0.0046 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 9.61741E-6 | 0.0019795985 | 205.83488 | 0.00197 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.1216827E-5 | 0.0025011154 | 60.681904 | 0.00246 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.017003E-4 | 0.004119884 | 8.211843 | 0.00362 | 0.0065024206 | 0.0050059753 | 0.009553098 | 1.908339 | 0.00457 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 9.570333E-6 | 0.0019795515 | 206.8425 | 0.00197 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.101507E-5 | 0.0025009143 | 60.975494 | 0.00246 | 6.4967526E-4 | 4.9924507E-4 | 0.0041174376 | 8.247328 | 0.00362 | 0.006477792 | 0.004981533 | 0.009528767 | 1.9128183 | 0.00457 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.346992E-6 | 0.0019693286 | 210.69118 | 0.00196 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.0057927E-5 | 0.0024899598 | 62.15898 | 0.00245 | 6.3771347E-4 | 4.875971E-4 | 0.0040858416 | 8.379545 | 0.0036 | 0.006358865 | 0.0048655677 | 0.009353624 | 1.9224116 | 0.00451 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 8.958317E-6 | 0.0019589409 | 218.67287 | 0.00195 | 5.06967E-5 | 3.8392227E-5 | 0.0024582993 | 64.03117 | 0.00242 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.6732608E-4 | 0.004015667 | 8.592859 | 0.00355 | 0.006153469 | 0.0046637245 | 0.009083018 | 1.9475888 | 0.00444 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.557883E-6 | 0.0019285415 | 225.35262 | 0.00192 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.6676134E-5 | 0.0024265884 | 66.162605 | 0.00239 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.4644135E-4 | 0.003944879 | 8.836275 | 0.0035 | 0.005949879 | 0.004455731 | 0.0087963035 | 1.9741552 | 0.00436 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 7.984888E-6 | 0.0018479702 | 231.43346 | 0.00184 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.4220502E-5 | 0.0023141424 | 67.62444 | 0.00228 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.1655585E-4 | 0.0037951479 | 9.110778 | 0.00338 | 0.0056383642 | 0.0041580284 | 0.0083704395 | 2.0130792 | 0.00423 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 7.614851E-6 | 0.0017776014 | 233.43877 | 0.00177 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.263467E-5 | 0.0022225631 | 68.104355 | 0.00219 | 5.426921E-4 | 3.9725556E-4 | 0.0036559606 | 9.203045 | 0.00326 | 0.005413687 | 0.0039657303 | 0.008039511 | 2.027246 | 0.00409 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.0225024E-6 | 0.0016570109 | 235.95734 | 0.00165 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.0096096E-5 | 0.0020700346 | 68.78084 | 0.00204 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.663592E-4 | 0.0034252382 | 9.349399 | 0.00306 | 0.0050843097 | 0.003657825 | 0.007483779 | 2.0459642 | 0.00384 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.083385E-6 | 0.001386075 | 227.84601 | 0.00138 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.6071395E-5 | 0.0017460266 | 66.97097 | 0.00172 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.173738E-4 | 0.0028765614 | 9.063638 | 0.00256 | 0.004522561 | 0.0031694742 | 0.006459015 | 2.037882 | 0.0033 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.127954E-6 | 7.841247E-4 | 189.95482 | 7.8E-4 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.7691113E-5 | 9.87674E-4 | 55.82882 | 9.7E-4 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.1536826E-4 | 0.0016350624 | 7.591938 | 0.00142 | 0.003308182 | 0.002151805 | 0.0038780824 | 1.8022462 | 0.00173 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.670201E-6 | 3.5266927E-4 | 132.07593 | 3.5E-4 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.1443669E-5 | 4.2143898E-4 | 36.827263 | 4.1E-4 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.3931778E-4 | 7.0923835E-4 | 5.090796 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0024089129 | 0.001392489 | 0.002081528 | 1.4948256 | 6.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.7668137E-6 | 1.6176653E-4 | 91.558334 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3776359E-5 | 7.5720372E-6 | 1.8757068E-4 | 24.771494 | 1.8E-4 | 1.6771426E-4 | 9.218566E-5 | 3.4216262E-4 | 3.7116685 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0016758774 | 9.215546E-4 | 0.0012512505 | 1.3577605 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.1473125E-7 | 5.0514707E-5 | 98.13802 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.2059892E-6 | 5.220588E-5 | 23.66552 | 5.0E-5 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.685759E-5 | 7.6856246E-5 | 2.8616211 | 5.0E-5 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.685438E-4 | 3.3852502E-4 | 1.2605951 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56625 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0262014E-5 | 39.165455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 1.3190021E-5 | 4.1347346 | 1.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 4.1899762E-5 | 1.3134688 | 1.0E-5 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0019284581 | 227.56294 | 0.00192 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.0025162285 | 69.2824 | 0.00248 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0039205677 | 8.867929 | 0.00348 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.00895399 | 2.0284889 | 0.00456 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0019284581 | 227.56294 | 0.00192 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.0025162285 | 69.2824 | 0.00248 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0039205677 | 8.867929 | 0.00348 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.00895399 | 2.0284889 | 0.00456 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474394E-6 | 0.0019284581 | 227.56294 | 0.00192 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.6318434E-5 | 0.0025162285 | 69.2824 | 0.00248 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210633E-4 | 0.0039205677 | 8.867929 | 0.00348 | 0.0055759475 | 0.004414119 | 0.00895399 | 2.0284889 | 0.00456 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001504625 | 324.84286 | 0.0015 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.001919813 | 96.712814 | 0.0019 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.002851025 | 11.797884 | 0.00261 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.005825711 | 2.413335 | 0.00342 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001504625 | 324.84286 | 0.0015 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.001919813 | 96.712814 | 0.0019 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.002851025 | 11.797884 | 0.00261 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.005825711 | 2.413335 | 0.00342 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001504625 | 324.84286 | 0.0015 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.001919813 | 96.712814 | 0.0019 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.002851025 | 11.797884 | 0.00261 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.005825711 | 2.413335 | 0.00342 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.6318546E-6 | 0.001504625 | 324.84286 | 0.0015 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850657E-5 | 0.001919813 | 96.712814 | 0.0019 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.4165562E-4 | 0.002851025 | 11.797884 | 0.00261 | 0.0037131102 | 0.002413967 | 0.005825711 | 2.413335 | 0.00342 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.6293735E-6 | 0.0015046224 | 325.01642 | 0.0015 | 3.0525585E-5 | 1.9840027E-5 | 0.0019198023 | 96.76411 | 0.0019 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.4152621E-4 | 0.0028508957 | 11.803671 | 0.00261 | 0.003709649 | 0.0024126756 | 0.0058244243 | 2.4140935 | 0.00342 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.3338096E-6 | 0.0014443275 | 333.2697 | 0.00144 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.857334E-5 | 0.0018585392 | 100.06488 | 0.00184 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.2610754E-4 | 0.0027455378 | 12.142619 | 0.00252 | 0.0035189227 | 0.0022588032 | 0.0054914844 | 2.4311478 | 0.00324 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.2809033E-6 | 0.0014242749 | 332.70428 | 0.00142 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.8346602E-5 | 0.0018283133 | 99.65406 | 0.00181 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.2334755E-4 | 0.0027127913 | 12.146053 | 0.00249 | 0.003474293 | 0.002231259 | 0.0054141413 | 2.426496 | 0.00319 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 3.8879484E-6 | 0.001273883 | 327.64914 | 0.00127 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.6662532E-5 | 0.0016566352 | 99.422775 | 0.00164 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.0284782E-4 | 0.0024323955 | 11.991233 | 0.00223 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0020266357 | 0.0048309406 | 2.3837245 | 0.00281 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 3.8257667E-6 | 0.0012038212 | 314.6614 | 0.0012 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.6396043E-5 | 0.0015763704 | 96.14335 | 0.00156 | 3.2599916E-4 | 1.996039E-4 | 0.0023291789 | 11.6690035 | 0.00213 | 0.0032552136 | 0.001994255 | 0.0046888706 | 2.3511891 | 0.0027 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.6710633E-6 | 0.0011536669 | 314.25958 | 0.00115 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.5733036E-5 | 0.0015057096 | 95.70369 | 0.00149 | 3.1517216E-4 | 1.9153324E-4 | 0.0022111463 | 11.544453 | 0.00202 | 0.0031472554 | 0.0019136893 | 0.0044588093 | 2.3299546 | 0.00255 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 2.9322903E-6 | 0.0010129294 | 345.43967 | 0.00101 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.25668985E-5 | 0.0013325503 | 106.03653 | 0.00132 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.5299144E-4 | 0.0019327191 | 12.632857 | 0.00178 | 0.00248537 | 0.001528864 | 0.0037155158 | 2.430246 | 0.00219 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.0912903E-6 | 6.4208993E-4 | 307.03052 | 6.4E-4 | 1.5224792E-5 | 8.962643E-6 | 8.0895546E-4 | 90.25859 | 8.0E-4 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.09114786E-4 | 0.0012389915 | 11.354937 | 0.00113 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0010906196 | 0.002529049 | 2.3189104 | 0.00144 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5223354E-6 | 4.5152166E-4 | 296.598 | 4.5E-4 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.5242784E-6 | 5.765206E-4 | 88.36541 | 5.7E-4 | 1.415686E-4 | 7.943021E-5 | 8.9936506E-4 | 11.322708 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0014147845 | 7.9401996E-4 | 0.0018631704 | 2.3465033 | 0.00107 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1250784E-6 | 3.311247E-4 | 294.31256 | 3.3E-4 | 8.208566E-6 | 4.8217557E-6 | 4.548196E-4 | 94.32655 | 4.5E-4 | 9.993471E-5 | 5.8703303E-5 | 6.9866574E-4 | 11.901643 | 6.4E-4 | 9.988978E-4 | 5.868788E-4 | 0.0014163917 | 2.4134314 | 8.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 6.8656345E-7 | 2.0068642E-4 | 292.30573 | 2.0E-4 | 5.194467E-6 | 2.9424114E-6 | 2.7294163E-4 | 92.7612 | 2.7E-4 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.5823272E-5 | 3.8581074E-4 | 10.7698345 | 3.5E-4 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.5817534E-4 | 7.980177E-4 | 2.2280085 | 4.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.7518836E-7 | 1.3037513E-4 | 347.4925 | 1.3E-4 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6079492E-6 | 1.6160769E-4 | 100.50547 | 1.6E-4 | 3.272786E-5 | 1.9576608E-5 | 2.1957268E-4 | 11.216075 | 2.0E-4 | 3.272304E-4 | 1.9574897E-4 | 4.4570005E-4 | 2.276896 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.1356267E-7 | 3.0113559E-5 | 265.17126 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6968373E-7 | 4.8669705E-7 | 3.0486683E-5 | 62.639954 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0588348E-5 | 5.925521E-6 | 3.5925343E-5 | 6.062816 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0587843E-4 | 5.925365E-5 | 9.925128E-5 | 1.6750239 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.0095253E-8 | 1.0020095E-5 | 498.6299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8747821E-7 | 8.612252E-8 | 1.0086122E-5 | 117.11365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.0485412E-6 | 1.1048531E-5 | 10.53705 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.0485365E-5 | 2.048526E-5 | 1.9537002 | 1.0E-5 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.4992365E-6 | 0.0023134912 | 661.1417 | 0.00231 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.4996642E-5 | 0.0027649554 | 184.37163 | 0.00275 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256894E-4 | 0.0039518806 | 21.645964 | 0.00377 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242016 | 0.0064058285 | 3.5115793 | 0.00459 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.497464E-6 | 0.0023134893 | 661.47626 | 0.00231 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.4989046E-5 | 0.0027649477 | 184.46457 | 0.00275 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8247646E-4 | 0.0039517884 | 21.65643 | 0.00377 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018232784 | 0.0064049093 | 3.5128534 | 0.00459 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.2448952E-6 | 0.0019632385 | 605.0237 | 0.00196 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.3906621E-5 | 0.002353874 | 169.26285 | 0.00234 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.6929998E-4 | 0.0034387463 | 20.311558 | 0.00327 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0016917143 | 0.0056949304 | 3.3663666 | 0.00401 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.1837071E-6 | 0.0018731777 | 588.3637 | 0.00187 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.3644388E-5 | 0.002253614 | 165.16782 | 0.00224 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.661078E-4 | 0.0033055863 | 19.900248 | 0.00314 | 0.0024967908 | 0.0016598402 | 0.0055234167 | 3.3276796 | 0.00387 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 2.9960013E-6 | 0.0017229909 | 575.0968 | 0.00172 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.2839942E-5 | 0.0020728135 | 161.4348 | 0.00206 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.5631512E-4 | 0.0030658601 | 19.61333 | 0.00291 | 0.0023869718 | 0.001562055 | 0.0050965254 | 3.2627056 | 0.00354 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.7608357E-6 | 0.0014427569 | 522.5798 | 0.00144 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.18320995E-5 | 0.0017518115 | 148.05585 | 0.00174 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4404631E-4 | 0.0026336876 | 18.283617 | 0.00249 | 0.0022359942 | 0.0014395323 | 0.0044651707 | 3.1018202 | 0.00303 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.5697607E-6 | 0.0013525663 | 526.3394 | 0.00135 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1013213E-5 | 0.0016409953 | 149.00241 | 0.00163 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3407765E-4 | 0.0024037734 | 17.928219 | 0.00227 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013399702 | 0.004036352 | 3.0122702 | 0.0027 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.18884E-6 | 0.0010721865 | 489.84235 | 0.00107 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.380709E-6 | 0.0012793688 | 136.38295 | 0.00127 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.1420416E-4 | 0.001884002 | 16.49679 | 0.00177 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011414562 | 0.003289002 | 2.881409 | 0.00215 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.7655631E-6 | 7.317643E-4 | 414.46512 | 7.3E-4 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.5666767E-6 | 8.975599E-4 | 118.6201 | 8.9E-4 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.2120405E-5 | 0.001312008 | 14.242317 | 0.00122 | 0.0015636457 | 9.208229E-4 | 0.0023694877 | 2.5732286 | 0.00145 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.369577E-6 | 5.013689E-4 | 366.0757 | 5.0E-4 | 1.05183235E-5 | 5.869603E-6 | 5.858662E-4 | 99.81361 | 5.8E-4 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.1460076E-5 | 8.6140365E-4 | 12.054335 | 7.9E-4 | 0.001279793 | 7.1437145E-4 | 0.0016237214 | 2.272937 | 9.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 7.54056E-7 | 2.6075385E-4 | 345.80173 | 2.6E-4 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.2316643E-6 | 2.9323073E-4 | 90.73675 | 2.9E-4 | 7.108106E-5 | 3.9344806E-5 | 4.3932907E-4 | 11.166126 | 4.0E-4 | 7.1058323E-4 | 3.9337858E-4 | 8.7318977E-4 | 2.2197187 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 3.9070625E-7 | 6.039068E-5 | 154.568 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.6744542E-6 | 6.167436E-5 | 36.83251 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.0386291E-5 | 9.038486E-5 | 4.43361 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.038443E-4 | 2.9382596E-4 | 1.4414234 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.121901E-8 | 1.0061219E-5 | 164.34795 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.6236717E-7 | 1.0262364E-5 | 39.114517 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.1943155E-6 | 1.3194283E-5 | 4.130551 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.1942713E-5 | 4.1942392E-5 | 1.3130505 | 1.0E-5 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.861158E-4 | 21.36339 | 9.4E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014775576 | 7.469551 | 0.00128 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0044908132 | 1.866629 | 0.00209 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026674755 | 1.1201041 | 0.00293 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.861158E-4 | 21.36339 | 9.4E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014775576 | 7.469551 | 0.00128 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0044908132 | 1.866629 | 0.00209 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026674755 | 1.1201041 | 0.00293 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.861158E-4 | 21.36339 | 9.4E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014775576 | 7.469551 | 0.00128 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0044908132 | 1.866629 | 0.00209 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026674755 | 1.1201041 | 0.00293 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.861158E-4 | 21.36339 | 9.4E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014775576 | 7.469551 | 0.00128 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0044908132 | 1.866629 | 0.00209 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026674755 | 1.1201041 | 0.00293 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.861158E-4 | 21.36339 | 9.4E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014775576 | 7.469551 | 0.00128 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.0044908132 | 1.866629 | 0.00209 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026674755 | 1.1201041 | 0.00293 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.4327848E-5 | 8.6429936E-4 | 25.177792 | 8.3E-4 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.4711154E-4 | 0.0012769453 | 8.680117 | 0.00113 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0017896983 | 0.0036264053 | 2.0262663 | 0.00184 | 0.01632528 | 0.017761922 | 0.02022734 | 1.1388035 | 0.00251 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.4317563E-5 | 8.6428906E-4 | 25.185036 | 8.3E-4 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.4706748E-4 | 0.0012769013 | 8.682418 | 0.00113 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0017891628 | 0.0036258707 | 2.026574 | 0.00184 | 0.01632056 | 0.017756652 | 0.020222083 | 1.1388454 | 0.00251 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.0567066E-5 | 8.205429E-4 | 26.844019 | 7.9E-4 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3099558E-4 | 0.0011908567 | 9.090816 | 0.00106 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0015937844 | 0.0033110431 | 2.0774724 | 0.00172 | 0.014641452 | 0.015831772 | 0.018154409 | 1.1467073 | 0.00236 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.050675E-5 | 8.204827E-4 | 26.895119 | 7.9E-4 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3073711E-4 | 0.0011905985 | 9.106813 | 0.00106 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0015906421 | 0.0033079062 | 2.0796044 | 0.00172 | 0.014613459 | 0.015800796 | 0.018123506 | 1.1469996 | 0.00236 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.5953357E-5 | 7.159354E-4 | 27.585464 | 6.9E-4 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1122434E-4 | 0.0010611187 | 9.540346 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013533866 | 0.0028713294 | 2.1215885 | 0.00152 | 0.012562336 | 0.013458669 | 0.015569868 | 1.1568654 | 0.00214 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5112235E-5 | 7.150949E-4 | 28.475958 | 6.9E-4 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.07619824E-4 | 0.0010475187 | 9.733511 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013095549 | 0.0028075906 | 2.1439273 | 0.0015 | 0.012179627 | 0.013025557 | 0.015108072 | 1.1598792 | 0.00211 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.378175E-5 | 6.8376603E-4 | 28.751713 | 6.6E-4 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.019182E-4 | 0.0010118254 | 9.927819 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012402181 | 0.0026984073 | 2.1757524 | 0.00146 | 0.01157452 | 0.012340033 | 0.01435486 | 1.1632756 | 0.00204 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7206585E-5 | 5.671971E-4 | 32.963955 | 5.5E-4 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.374076E-5 | 8.636825E-4 | 11.712417 | 7.9E-4 | 8.623549E-4 | 8.9748367E-4 | 0.0021563529 | 2.4026654 | 0.00126 | 0.008590161 | 0.0089445 | 0.010698668 | 1.1961169 | 0.00177 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.515201E-5 | 5.551438E-4 | 36.638294 | 5.4E-4 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.49359E-5 | 8.3488587E-4 | 12.857078 | 7.7E-4 | 7.668978E-4 | 7.9036574E-4 | 0.0019994094 | 2.5297267 | 0.00121 | 0.0076425658 | 0.007881265 | 0.009567867 | 1.2140014 | 0.0017 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.4147326E-6 | 4.554123E-4 | 84.10615 | 4.5E-4 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3205792E-5 | 6.331916E-4 | 27.28593 | 6.1E-4 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.824944E-4 | 0.0012222289 | 4.3265595 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028214057 | 0.004117738 | 1.4594632 | 0.0013 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.227635E-6 | 4.552253E-4 | 87.08054 | 4.5E-4 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.240396E-5 | 6.323903E-4 | 28.226719 | 6.1E-4 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.727346E-4 | 0.0012124783 | 4.4456344 | 9.4E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027240508 | 0.0040205093 | 1.4759305 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.2200572E-6 | 4.3421824E-4 | 102.89393 | 4.3E-4 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8085835E-5 | 5.9807533E-4 | 33.068714 | 5.8E-4 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2017313E-4 | 0.0010999794 | 4.995975 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0021995832 | 0.0033869657 | 1.5398216 | 0.00119 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.791024E-6 | 3.327901E-4 | 119.23585 | 3.3E-4 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.1961478E-5 | 4.4195633E-4 | 36.948307 | 4.3E-4 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4562151E-4 | 7.655312E-4 | 5.256993 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014552862 | 0.0022840784 | 1.5695045 | 8.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 9.936133E-7 | 1.10993504E-4 | 111.70694 | 1.1E-4 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.258336E-6 | 1.542577E-4 | 36.224876 | 1.5E-4 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.1844036E-5 | 2.7183263E-4 | 5.243277 | 2.2E-4 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.183222E-4 | 7.981771E-4 | 1.5399245 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8277082E-7 | 1.0182769E-5 | 55.71332 | 1.0E-5 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.833033E-7 | 2.0783287E-5 | 26.532875 | 2.0E-5 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.536679E-6 | 5.95362E-5 | 6.2428656 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.536297E-5 | 1.653563E-4 | 1.7339675 | 7.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.1569393E-4 | 25.631483 | 8.8E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013529185 | 8.836701 | 0.0012 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0038491625 | 2.0662544 | 0.00199 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02144112 | 1.1579592 | 0.00298 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.1569393E-4 | 25.631483 | 8.8E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013529185 | 8.836701 | 0.0012 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0038491625 | 2.0662544 | 0.00199 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02144112 | 1.1579592 | 0.00298 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.1569393E-4 | 25.631483 | 8.8E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013529185 | 8.836701 | 0.0012 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0038491625 | 2.0662544 | 0.00199 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02144112 | 1.1579592 | 0.00298 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.1569393E-4 | 25.631483 | 8.8E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013529185 | 8.836701 | 0.0012 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0038491625 | 2.0662544 | 0.00199 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02144112 | 1.1579592 | 0.00298 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 6.0056103E-4 | 29.19177 | 5.8E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816774E-5 | 8.181034E-4 | 9.278942 | 7.3E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.00236169 | 2.2008634 | 0.00129 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012554626 | 1.1739075 | 0.00188 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 6.0056103E-4 | 29.19177 | 5.8E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816774E-5 | 8.181034E-4 | 9.278942 | 7.3E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.00236169 | 2.2008634 | 0.00129 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012554626 | 1.1739075 | 0.00188 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.464951E-6 | 3.6946154E-4 | 39.034702 | 3.6E-4 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.0563486E-5 | 4.6054643E-4 | 11.35372 | 4.2E-4 | 5.119132E-4 | 4.9375545E-4 | 0.0012133999 | 2.4574916 | 7.2E-4 | 0.005107356 | 0.0049272776 | 0.0059223506 | 1.2019519 | 0.001 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.452646E-6 | 3.6944923E-4 | 39.084213 | 3.6E-4 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.051075E-5 | 4.6049373E-4 | 11.367198 | 4.2E-4 | 5.112989E-4 | 4.931137E-4 | 0.0012127587 | 2.4593894 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0049208887 | 0.0059159677 | 1.2022153 | 0.001 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.6072884E-6 | 2.976051E-4 | 39.121048 | 2.9E-4 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.2602282E-5 | 3.6259153E-4 | 11.12166 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2268867E-4 | 3.9686525E-4 | 9.966271E-4 | 2.511248 | 6.0E-4 | 0.004218856 | 0.0039620367 | 0.004798709 | 1.2111721 | 8.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.368838E-6 | 1.9536781E-4 | 36.389217 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3009106E-5 | 2.3300428E-4 | 10.126611 | 2.1E-4 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8010062E-4 | 6.8998575E-4 | 2.4633498 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0027975505 | 0.003395872 | 1.2138734 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.8796405E-6 | 1.8487877E-4 | 37.887783 | 1.8E-4 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.0912581E-5 | 2.209084E-4 | 10.563421 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5458157E-4 | 6.544797E-4 | 2.5708055 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025429642 | 0.0031115147 | 1.2235779 | 5.7E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0006043E-6 | 1.5400001E-4 | 38.494186 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7145338E-5 | 1.8714242E-4 | 10.915062 | 1.7E-4 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.0872487E-4 | 5.486539E-4 | 2.6285985 | 3.4E-4 | 0.002454537 | 0.0020853283 | 0.00253439 | 1.2153434 | 4.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9111181E-6 | 1.129108E-4 | 38.78606 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2476161E-5 | 1.4247454E-4 | 11.419742 | 1.3E-4 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5188678E-4 | 3.8185186E-4 | 2.5140557 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015178404 | 0.0018473396 | 1.2170842 | 3.3E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0484472E-6 | 9.204826E-5 | 44.93563 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.7790295E-6 | 1.0877815E-4 | 12.39068 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0687952E-4 | 2.8686028E-4 | 2.6839595 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012885736 | 0.001068288 | 0.0013280102 | 1.2431201 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0044416E-6 | 5.100439E-5 | 50.77885 | 5.0E-5 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.304743E-6 | 6.4304484E-5 | 14.938055 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.2409014E-5 | 1.6240324E-4 | 3.0987656 | 1.1E-4 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.2396936E-4 | 6.7389075E-4 | 1.2861263 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 4.0482737E-5 | 83.85753 | 4.0E-5 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.0689533E-6 | 4.206887E-5 | 20.333408 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.518923E-5 | 9.518747E-5 | 3.7788954 | 7.0E-5 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5186528E-4 | 3.3184513E-4 | 1.3175502 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 2.0242718E-5 | 83.39863 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 2.1040218E-5 | 20.22634 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2664835E-5 | 3.2664582E-5 | 2.579156 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2664148E-4 | 1.4663895E-4 | 1.1579062 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.118303E-8 | 1.0071182E-5 | 141.48291 | 1.0E-5 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 1.0305067E-5 | 33.77934 | 1.0E-5 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 1.3714186E-5 | 3.6923428 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 4.714135E-5 | 1.2692289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 6.721104E-8 | 6.721104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 8.182942E-7 | 8.182942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 8.182924E-6 | 8.182924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.3617 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0013918987 | 33.175743 | 0.00135 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007914384 | 1.5491698 | 0.00282 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.3617 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0013918987 | 33.175743 | 0.00135 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007914384 | 1.5491698 | 0.00282 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.3617 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0013918987 | 33.175743 | 0.00135 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007914384 | 1.5491698 | 0.00282 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.3617 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0013918987 | 33.175743 | 0.00135 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007914384 | 1.5491698 | 0.00282 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789716E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.3617 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955314E-5 | 0.0013918987 | 33.175743 | 0.00135 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.106969E-4 | 0.002649604 | 5.1882124 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108791 | 0.007914384 | 1.5491698 | 0.00282 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.5510095E-6 | 6.655473E-4 | 119.89664 | 6.6E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789826E-5 | 8.5377006E-4 | 35.888035 | 8.3E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960322E-4 | 0.0015592354 | 5.3840404 | 0.00127 | 0.003506398 | 0.002904842 | 0.0044902232 | 1.545772 | 0.00159 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.5510095E-6 | 6.655473E-4 | 119.89664 | 6.6E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789826E-5 | 8.5377006E-4 | 35.888035 | 8.3E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960322E-4 | 0.0015592354 | 5.3840404 | 0.00127 | 0.003506398 | 0.002904842 | 0.0044902232 | 1.545772 | 0.00159 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 5.0824915E-6 | 5.950795E-4 | 117.084206 | 5.9E-4 | 2.6892068E-5 | 2.1781929E-5 | 7.4176624E-4 | 34.054203 | 7.2E-4 | 3.2736175E-4 | 2.651632E-4 | 0.0013848662 | 5.222694 | 0.00112 | 0.0032687993 | 0.002661046 | 0.0040573208 | 1.5247089 | 0.0014 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 4.7967674E-6 | 5.9479394E-4 | 123.99892 | 5.9E-4 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.0557414E-5 | 7.305428E-4 | 35.53671 | 7.1E-4 | 3.128256E-4 | 2.5025825E-4 | 0.0013199905 | 5.2745137 | 0.00107 | 0.003123856 | 0.0025123404 | 0.003829024 | 1.5240865 | 0.00132 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 4.4761628E-6 | 5.144739E-4 | 114.93637 | 5.1E-4 | 2.4369761E-5 | 1.9183415E-5 | 6.391715E-4 | 33.318966 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9666146E-4 | 2.3353349E-4 | 0.0011733139 | 5.0241785 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0023454563 | 0.003492759 | 1.4891597 | 0.00115 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 4.008388E-6 | 4.0400677E-4 | 100.790344 | 4.0E-4 | 2.242688E-5 | 1.7178692E-5 | 5.171701E-4 | 30.105324 | 5.0E-4 | 2.7301308E-4 | 2.0913081E-4 | 9.48976E-4 | 4.537715 | 7.4E-4 | 0.002726779 | 0.0021019045 | 0.0029900337 | 1.4225355 | 8.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 3.907748E-6 | 3.9390623E-4 | 100.80134 | 3.9E-4 | 2.2009834E-5 | 1.6747385E-5 | 5.067392E-4 | 30.257809 | 4.9E-4 | 2.6793676E-4 | 2.0388063E-4 | 9.037379E-4 | 4.4326816 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0020495006 | 0.00286782 | 1.3992774 | 8.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 3.7566624E-6 | 3.637553E-4 | 96.829384 | 3.6E-4 | 2.1381518E-5 | 1.6099884E-5 | 4.6609264E-4 | 28.950062 | 4.5E-4 | 2.6028889E-4 | 1.9599874E-4 | 8.558694E-4 | 4.3667088 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0019708239 | 0.0027393063 | 1.3899295 | 7.7E-4 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 3.6011643E-6 | 3.2360002E-4 | 89.859825 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0665291E-5 | 1.5433472E-5 | 4.2542713E-4 | 27.565226 | 4.1E-4 | 2.5157086E-4 | 1.878866E-4 | 7.8777387E-4 | 4.1928153 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0018898431 | 0.0025885203 | 1.3697011 | 7.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 3.5013322E-6 | 3.2350022E-4 | 92.39346 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0193436E-5 | 1.5005625E-5 | 4.149996E-4 | 27.656271 | 4.0E-4 | 2.4582737E-4 | 1.8267846E-4 | 7.625725E-4 | 4.1743975 | 5.8E-4 | 0.002455556 | 0.0018378472 | 0.0024966341 | 1.3584558 | 6.6E-4 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 3.3624813E-6 | 3.0336148E-4 | 90.21953 | 3.0E-4 | 1.9502659E-5 | 1.4410556E-5 | 3.7440538E-4 | 25.981327 | 3.6E-4 | 2.37419E-4 | 1.7543469E-4 | 6.953435E-4 | 3.963546 | 5.2E-4 | 0.002371655 | 0.0017655249 | 0.002344501 | 1.3279341 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 3.1805982E-6 | 2.6317977E-4 | 82.74537 | 2.6E-4 | 1.861545E-5 | 1.3631066E-5 | 3.2362685E-4 | 23.741858 | 3.1E-4 | 2.2661954E-4 | 1.6594588E-4 | 5.858762E-4 | 3.5305257 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0016707646 | 0.0021399793 | 1.2808384 | 4.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 1.5475988E-6 | 1.5154737E-4 | 97.924194 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2583803E-5 | 6.6325492E-6 | 1.8663135E-4 | 28.138706 | 1.8E-4 | 1.5319703E-4 | 8.074831E-5 | 3.3072813E-4 | 4.09579 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0015309147 | 8.1033556E-4 | 0.0011001006 | 1.3575864 | 2.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 4.7823335E-7 | 4.0478215E-5 | 84.64113 | 4.0E-5 | 6.232116E-6 | 2.04957E-6 | 4.2049487E-5 | 20.516249 | 4.0E-5 | 7.587337E-5 | 2.495323E-5 | 6.495223E-5 | 2.602959 | 4.0E-5 | 7.584747E-4 | 2.5096384E-4 | 2.9095382E-4 | 1.1593455 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 9.639755E-8 | 9.639755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 4.1313226E-7 | 4.1313226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 5.0298736E-6 | 5.0298736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 5.0817445E-5 | 5.0817445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 1.587662E-8 | 1.587662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 6.804265E-8 | 6.804265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 8.2841893E-7 | 8.2841893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 8.625902E-6 | 8.625902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 7.372433E-9 | 7.372433E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 3.1596144E-8 | 3.1596144E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 3.8468298E-7 | 3.8468298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 4.0893624E-6 | 4.0893624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 2.600127E-9 | 2.600127E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 1.1143401E-8 | 1.1143401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 1.356709E-7 | 1.356709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 1.5042067E-6 | 1.5042067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 7.454532E-4 | 48.204353 | 7.3E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 9.66215E-4 | 14.578962 | 9.0E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.0022454571 | 2.78379 | 0.00144 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.010251389 | 1.2751567 | 0.00223 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 7.454532E-4 | 48.204353 | 7.3E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 9.66215E-4 | 14.578962 | 9.0E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.0022454571 | 2.78379 | 0.00144 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.010251389 | 1.2751567 | 0.00223 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 7.454532E-4 | 48.204353 | 7.3E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 9.66215E-4 | 14.578962 | 9.0E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.0022454571 | 2.78379 | 0.00144 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.010251389 | 1.2751567 | 0.00223 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464435E-5 | 7.454532E-4 | 48.204353 | 7.3E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.62746E-5 | 9.66215E-4 | 14.578962 | 9.0E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661866E-4 | 0.0022454571 | 2.78379 | 0.00144 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039317 | 0.010251389 | 1.2751567 | 0.00223 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135955E-5 | 7.041262E-4 | 49.811012 | 6.9E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581384E-5 | 9.1052987E-4 | 15.029863 | 8.5E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.3735113E-4 | 0.0020763632 | 2.815976 | 0.00134 | 0.007248361 | 0.007351277 | 0.00940606 | 1.2795137 | 0.00207 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135955E-5 | 7.041262E-4 | 49.811012 | 6.9E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581384E-5 | 9.1052987E-4 | 15.029863 | 8.5E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.3735113E-4 | 0.0020763632 | 2.815976 | 0.00134 | 0.007248361 | 0.007351277 | 0.00940606 | 1.2795137 | 0.00207 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.04262635E-5 | 5.3042086E-4 | 50.87353 | 5.2E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468325E-5 | 7.0465374E-4 | 15.769976 | 6.6E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.43888E-4 | 0.001613306 | 2.9662468 | 0.00107 | 0.005485909 | 0.0054260963 | 0.0070770886 | 1.304269 | 0.00166 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.04262635E-5 | 5.3042086E-4 | 50.87353 | 5.2E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468325E-5 | 7.0465374E-4 | 15.769976 | 6.6E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.43888E-4 | 0.001613306 | 2.9662468 | 0.00107 | 0.005485909 | 0.0054260963 | 0.0070770886 | 1.304269 | 0.00166 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 9.937658E-6 | 5.099327E-4 | 51.313164 | 5.0E-4 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.2589298E-5 | 6.625629E-4 | 15.557028 | 6.2E-4 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.1840645E-4 | 0.0015278829 | 2.9472682 | 0.00101 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0051724873 | 0.0067443145 | 1.3038824 | 0.00158 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.3623673E-6 | 3.8735956E-4 | 52.613453 | 3.8E-4 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.1552627E-5 | 5.015378E-4 | 15.895278 | 4.7E-4 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.840867E-4 | 0.001153791 | 3.0039856 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0038343477 | 0.005099478 | 1.3299468 | 0.00127 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.734972E-6 | 3.6673254E-4 | 54.451977 | 3.6E-4 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.8863853E-5 | 4.7885085E-4 | 16.589985 | 4.5E-4 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.5136178E-4 | 0.0010911018 | 3.1053512 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0035081666 | 0.004713922 | 1.3436995 | 0.00121 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.147661E-6 | 3.0514612E-4 | 59.278595 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2061218E-5 | 4.120526E-4 | 18.67769 | 3.9E-4 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.6856243E-4 | 8.8839594E-4 | 3.307968 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0026823985 | 0.00365977 | 1.3643646 | 9.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.3862055E-6 | 2.8438497E-4 | 64.83621 | 2.8E-4 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.879789E-5 | 3.7879113E-4 | 20.150726 | 3.6E-4 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.288404E-4 | 7.9871E-4 | 3.490249 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0022860589 | 0.0031939785 | 1.397155 | 9.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.67571E-6 | 2.5367478E-4 | 69.01382 | 2.5E-4 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.5752948E-5 | 3.357479E-4 | 21.313337 | 3.2E-4 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9177537E-4 | 7.016776E-4 | 3.6588511 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019161068 | 0.0026646696 | 1.3906687 | 7.5E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 2.9270643E-6 | 1.6292659E-4 | 55.662117 | 1.6E-4 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.2544501E-5 | 2.4254162E-4 | 19.334496 | 2.3E-4 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5271868E-4 | 5.4265914E-4 | 3.5533252 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015261424 | 0.002115242 | 1.3860056 | 5.9E-4 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.2024703E-6 | 1.1220223E-4 | 50.94381 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.439125E-6 | 1.7943751E-4 | 19.009974 | 1.7E-4 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.1491535E-4 | 4.3487857E-4 | 3.7843385 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014276401 | 0.001148563 | 0.0015880576 | 1.3826474 | 4.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.3720088E-6 | 5.137194E-5 | 37.442867 | 5.0E-5 | 7.794145E-6 | 5.8800247E-6 | 9.587949E-5 | 16.30597 | 9.0E-5 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.158698E-5 | 2.2157625E-4 | 3.095203 | 1.5E-4 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.156403E-4 | 9.154972E-4 | 1.27927 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.093197E-7 | 7.093197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.0399383E-6 | 3.0399383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.7010635E-5 | 5.7009893E-5 | 1.5403652 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.7004345E-4 | 4.0003232E-4 | 1.0810416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 3.8653977E-7 | 3.8653977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.656598E-6 | 1.656598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.0168898E-5 | 2.0168898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.0166763E-4 | 2.0166763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 4.940265E-8 | 4.940265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.1172563E-7 | 2.1172563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.5777579E-6 | 2.5777579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.577739E-5 | 2.577739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.7624293E-6 | 9.937587E-4 | 264.12686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124599E-5 | 0.0012661044 | 78.52006 | 0.00125 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629963E-4 | 0.0020659326 | 10.524384 | 0.00187 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612939 | 0.004236822 | 2.1602178 | 0.00228 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.7604038E-6 | 9.937567E-4 | 264.2686 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6115919E-5 | 0.0012660958 | 78.56181 | 0.00125 | 2.3697925E-4 | 1.9619396E-4 | 0.0020658271 | 10.529514 | 0.00187 | 0.002367267 | 0.0019602391 | 0.0042357696 | 2.1608434 | 0.00228 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.7455707E-6 | 9.937419E-4 | 265.3112 | 9.9E-4 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6052349E-5 | 0.0012660323 | 78.86897 | 0.00125 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9542013E-4 | 0.0020650546 | 10.567257 | 0.00187 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019525145 | 0.004228063 | 2.165445 | 0.00228 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.7304717E-6 | 9.937268E-4 | 266.381 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.598764E-5 | 0.0012559678 | 78.55868 | 0.00124 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9463243E-4 | 0.0020542704 | 10.554615 | 0.00186 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019446514 | 0.004210237 | 2.1650343 | 0.00227 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.6635147E-6 | 9.936598E-4 | 271.23132 | 9.9E-4 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.5700683E-5 | 0.0012456814 | 79.3393 | 0.00123 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.9113938E-4 | 0.0020407857 | 10.676951 | 0.00185 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019097811 | 0.004165465 | 2.1811216 | 0.00226 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.558509E-6 | 9.93555E-4 | 279.2054 | 9.9E-4 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.52506655E-5 | 0.001245232 | 81.650986 | 0.00123 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8566134E-4 | 0.002035318 | 10.962529 | 0.00185 | 0.0022632615 | 0.0018550936 | 0.0041009197 | 2.2106268 | 0.00225 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.4599636E-6 | 9.834566E-4 | 284.23898 | 9.8E-4 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.4828333E-5 | 0.0012348102 | 83.273705 | 0.00122 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.805203E-4 | 0.0020001917 | 11.080148 | 0.00182 | 0.0021988105 | 0.001803768 | 0.004019764 | 2.228537 | 0.00222 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.2787932E-6 | 9.232758E-4 | 281.59012 | 9.2E-4 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4051897E-5 | 0.0011440361 | 81.41506 | 0.00113 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7106872E-4 | 0.0018807761 | 10.994273 | 0.00171 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017094013 | 0.0037958287 | 2.2205603 | 0.00209 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3111554E-6 | 5.923098E-4 | 256.283 | 5.9E-4 | 1.1903058E-5 | 9.904915E-6 | 7.3989766E-4 | 74.70006 | 7.3E-4 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2058573E-4 | 0.0012304519 | 10.2039585 | 0.00111 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012052105 | 0.0025435954 | 2.110499 | 0.00134 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.566324E-6 | 3.5156577E-4 | 224.45277 | 3.5E-4 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.7128003E-6 | 4.2670997E-4 | 63.566612 | 4.2E-4 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.1725324E-5 | 7.6166977E-4 | 9.319874 | 6.8E-4 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.1695727E-4 | 0.0015963201 | 1.9539824 | 7.8E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3011238E-7 | 6.0430088E-5 | 140.49837 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8433375E-6 | 6.1843224E-5 | 33.549595 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2442404E-5 | 1.424397E-4 | 6.346901 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2440155E-4 | 3.5437237E-4 | 1.5791886 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0195635E-7 | 1.0195635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.3695573E-7 | 4.3695573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3199233E-6 | 2.5319818E-5 | 4.759433 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.319799E-5 | 7.319693E-5 | 1.375934 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 6.9576913E-9 | 6.9576913E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.470989E-8 | 8.470989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.470986E-7 | 8.470986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 4.3262617E-4 | 8.217619 | 3.8E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560832E-4 | 7.5548876E-4 | 3.348674 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.003710915 | 1.3525832 | 9.7E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028573489 | 1.0534431 | 0.00149 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 4.3262617E-4 | 8.217619 | 3.8E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560832E-4 | 7.5548876E-4 | 3.348674 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.003710915 | 1.3525832 | 9.7E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028573489 | 1.0534431 | 0.00149 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 3.7280697E-4 | 11.359789 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 6.105756E-4 | 4.341355 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0025395826 | 1.4842657 | 8.3E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018220836 | 1.0729352 | 0.00126 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 3.7280697E-4 | 11.359789 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 6.105756E-4 | 4.341355 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0025395826 | 1.4842657 | 8.3E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018220836 | 1.0729352 | 0.00126 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.709625E-5 | 3.170884E-4 | 11.702298 | 2.9E-4 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1612172E-4 | 5.260741E-4 | 4.530368 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014128834 | 0.0021817954 | 1.5442148 | 7.7E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01404112 | 0.015184833 | 1.0814545 | 0.00116 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.4439178E-5 | 3.0443232E-4 | 12.456734 | 2.8E-4 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.04735205E-4 | 5.046933E-4 | 4.818755 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0012744191 | 0.0020234634 | 1.5877534 | 7.5E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.012672705 | 0.013798257 | 1.0888171 | 0.00114 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 1.9854022E-5 | 2.8984866E-4 | 14.5989895 | 2.7E-4 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.5085936E-5 | 4.5505445E-4 | 5.348175 | 3.7E-4 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010354364 | 0.001724722 | 1.6656957 | 6.9E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010306979 | 0.01136595 | 1.1027431 | 0.00107 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.7723358E-5 | 2.8771858E-4 | 16.233864 | 2.7E-4 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.595506E-5 | 4.4592697E-4 | 5.870931 | 3.7E-4 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.2436577E-4 | 0.0015837557 | 1.713343 | 6.6E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.0092058135 | 0.010236239 | 1.111932 | 0.00104 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.55779E-5 | 2.8557368E-4 | 18.331976 | 2.7E-4 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.6760746E-5 | 4.3673604E-4 | 6.541809 | 3.7E-4 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.1251294E-4 | 0.0014519929 | 1.7870398 | 6.4E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008095881 | 0.009087785 | 1.1225196 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3064728E-5 | 2.6306146E-4 | 20.135242 | 2.5E-4 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.59905E-5 | 4.059709E-4 | 7.2507105 | 3.5E-4 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.8147323E-4 | 0.0013010508 | 1.9091736 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006794082 | 0.0077177635 | 1.1359538 | 9.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1704644E-5 | 2.6170173E-4 | 22.358793 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.0161805E-5 | 4.0014426E-4 | 7.9770703 | 3.5E-4 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.1055046E-4 | 0.001220178 | 1.9984884 | 6.1E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.006088914 | 0.007003312 | 1.1501743 | 9.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0347842E-5 | 2.6034526E-4 | 25.159376 | 2.5E-4 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.4347147E-5 | 3.9433164E-4 | 8.891928 | 3.5E-4 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.3979387E-4 | 0.0011294754 | 2.0924199 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0053849523 | 0.0062701595 | 1.1643853 | 8.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.280211E-6 | 2.2927817E-4 | 24.706137 | 2.2E-4 | 4.11042E-5 | 3.9771734E-5 | 3.59759E-4 | 9.045595 | 3.2E-4 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.8411428E-4 | 0.0010238528 | 2.1148992 | 5.4E-4 | 0.004992037 | 0.00483071 | 0.005646749 | 1.1689273 | 8.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.215215E-6 | 1.8821373E-4 | 22.910385 | 1.8E-4 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5207595E-5 | 3.0519807E-4 | 8.66853 | 2.7E-4 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.2856912E-4 | 8.983677E-4 | 2.0962026 | 4.7E-4 | 0.004470094 | 0.0042775325 | 0.00500441 | 1.1699291 | 7.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.8082304E-6 | 1.568072E-4 | 23.032007 | 1.5E-4 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9177809E-5 | 2.691708E-4 | 9.225189 | 2.4E-4 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.5518283E-4 | 7.550408E-4 | 2.1257806 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0035462473 | 0.004183978 | 1.1798325 | 6.4E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.138535E-6 | 1.4513782E-4 | 28.24498 | 1.4E-4 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.202211E-5 | 2.4201727E-4 | 10.98974 | 2.2E-4 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.6808688E-4 | 6.47985E-4 | 2.4170709 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0026777033 | 0.0032661234 | 1.219748 | 5.9E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0284167E-6 | 8.202825E-5 | 40.439545 | 8.0E-5 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.693186E-6 | 1.08692315E-4 | 12.503162 | 1.0E-4 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.05834486E-4 | 2.6581757E-4 | 2.5116346 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010578493 | 0.0012975953 | 1.2266355 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.0813932E-6 | 4.1081348E-5 | 37.98928 | 4.0E-5 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.634534E-6 | 5.4634304E-5 | 11.788522 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.6424014E-5 | 1.4641894E-4 | 2.5949755 | 9.0E-5 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.640992E-4 | 7.040202E-4 | 1.2480433 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 5.9400514E-7 | 4.0593983E-5 | 68.33945 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.5457339E-6 | 5.2545605E-5 | 20.640652 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.0993884E-5 | 1.109914E-4 | 3.5810745 | 8.0E-5 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.0989686E-4 | 4.3985658E-4 | 1.4193645 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.2412705E-4 | 175.33144 | 7.2E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.376838E-4 | 52.976234 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015951804 | 7.402996 | 0.00138 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0040586223 | 1.8853338 | 0.00191 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.2412705E-4 | 175.33144 | 7.2E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.376838E-4 | 52.976234 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015951804 | 7.402996 | 0.00138 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0040586223 | 1.8853338 | 0.00191 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.2412705E-4 | 175.33144 | 7.2E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.376838E-4 | 52.976234 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015951804 | 7.402996 | 0.00138 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0040586223 | 1.8853338 | 0.00191 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.2412705E-4 | 175.33144 | 7.2E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.376838E-4 | 52.976234 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015951804 | 7.402996 | 0.00138 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0040586223 | 1.8853338 | 0.00191 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.130047E-6 | 7.2412705E-4 | 175.33144 | 7.2E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700084E-5 | 9.376838E-4 | 52.976234 | 9.2E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547767E-4 | 0.0015951804 | 7.402996 | 0.00138 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527342 | 0.0040586223 | 1.8853338 | 0.00191 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389933E-6 | 7.0363644E-4 | 193.36018 | 7.0E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595593E-5 | 9.055817E-4 | 58.06651 | 8.9E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986E-4 | 0.0015196075 | 8.003831 | 0.00133 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969983 | 0.0037035646 | 1.952329 | 0.00181 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389933E-6 | 7.0363644E-4 | 193.36018 | 7.0E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595593E-5 | 9.055817E-4 | 58.06651 | 8.9E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986E-4 | 0.0015196075 | 8.003831 | 0.00133 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969983 | 0.0037035646 | 1.952329 | 0.00181 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.537784E-6 | 7.0353533E-4 | 198.86327 | 7.0E-4 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5161845E-5 | 9.0514834E-4 | 59.69909 | 8.9E-4 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8458001E-4 | 0.0015143345 | 8.204217 | 0.00133 | 0.0025102948 | 0.001844286 | 0.0036210031 | 1.9633632 | 0.00178 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.2271769E-6 | 6.432251E-4 | 199.31511 | 6.4E-4 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.3830685E-5 | 8.238195E-4 | 59.564617 | 8.1E-4 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.6837571E-4 | 0.001378172 | 8.1851 | 0.00121 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0016824952 | 0.0032997695 | 1.9612356 | 0.00162 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.0824551E-6 | 6.2308053E-4 | 202.13776 | 6.2E-4 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3210456E-5 | 7.9320016E-4 | 60.04336 | 7.8E-4 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6082554E-4 | 0.0013406358 | 8.335963 | 0.00118 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016071034 | 0.0031945482 | 1.9877676 | 0.00159 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9068485E-6 | 6.029051E-4 | 207.40851 | 6.0E-4 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2457863E-5 | 7.724484E-4 | 62.004887 | 7.6E-4 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5166403E-4 | 0.0013014897 | 8.581399 | 0.00115 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015156161 | 0.0030632669 | 2.0211365 | 0.00155 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8068564E-6 | 5.928052E-4 | 211.19897 | 5.9E-4 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.202933E-5 | 7.620203E-4 | 63.346863 | 7.5E-4 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.4644735E-4 | 0.0012662833 | 8.64668 | 0.00112 | 0.0021060838 | 0.001463519 | 0.002971309 | 2.0302498 | 0.00151 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.628971E-6 | 5.626275E-4 | 214.01053 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1266971E-5 | 7.312589E-4 | 64.90288 | 7.2E-4 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.3716683E-4 | 0.0011770242 | 8.580968 | 0.00104 | 0.0019967605 | 0.001370832 | 0.0027788992 | 2.0271623 | 0.00141 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.4423916E-6 | 5.324411E-4 | 217.9999 | 5.3E-4 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0467351E-5 | 6.904602E-4 | 65.96323 | 6.8E-4 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.2743265E-4 | 0.0010773116 | 8.453968 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0012736059 | 0.002561963 | 2.0115824 | 0.00129 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.27386E-6 | 4.4227287E-4 | 194.50311 | 4.4E-4 | 1.4361368E-5 | 9.745079E-6 | 5.997393E-4 | 61.54279 | 5.9E-4 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.18639975E-4 | 9.585403E-4 | 8.079404 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0011857763 | 0.0023244245 | 1.9602555 | 0.00114 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 1.9792624E-6 | 3.7197853E-4 | 187.93796 | 3.7E-4 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.482526E-6 | 5.184782E-4 | 61.12309 | 5.1E-4 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0326996E-4 | 8.331946E-4 | 8.068122 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010322294 | 0.002001228 | 1.9387436 | 9.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4061362E-6 | 2.9140574E-4 | 207.23863 | 2.9E-4 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.0262846E-6 | 4.160238E-4 | 69.03488 | 4.1E-4 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.336763E-5 | 6.13328E-4 | 8.359654 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0010500296 | 7.334425E-4 | 0.0014229364 | 1.9400791 | 6.9E-4 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 3.90457E-7 | 8.0390426E-5 | 205.88805 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.6733861E-6 | 1.2167318E-4 | 72.71076 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.037331E-5 | 1.8037004E-4 | 8.853252 | 1.6E-4 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.0371685E-4 | 3.736822E-4 | 1.8343216 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0033607E-7 | 1.0033607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.3001162E-7 | 1.0430007E-5 | 24.255175 | 1.0E-5 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.2353794E-6 | 1.5235327E-5 | 2.9100711 | 1.0E-5 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.2352592E-5 | 6.235207E-5 | 1.1910025 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 2.977693E-8 | 2.977693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.2761541E-7 | 1.0127614E-5 | 79.360435 | 1.0E-5 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5537166E-6 | 1.1553701E-5 | 7.43617 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.553707E-5 | 2.5536916E-5 | 1.643612 | 1.0E-5 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 4.7714743E-4 | 27.813366 | 4.6E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.8347604E-4 | 9.296354 | 6.1E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0019738001 | 2.2059388 | 0.00108 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010439715 | 1.1712327 | 0.00154 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 4.7714743E-4 | 27.813366 | 4.6E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.8347604E-4 | 9.296354 | 6.1E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0019738001 | 2.2059388 | 0.00108 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010439715 | 1.1712327 | 0.00154 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1304176E-5 | 3.3130057E-4 | 29.307804 | 3.2E-4 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.8445585E-5 | 4.484262E-4 | 9.256287 | 4.0E-4 | 5.782728E-4 | 5.896687E-4 | 0.0013192382 | 2.2372532 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0057677035 | 0.005881389 | 0.0069649788 | 1.1842403 | 0.00109 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0369718E-5 | 3.0036672E-4 | 28.965754 | 2.9E-4 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.444091E-5 | 3.9442535E-4 | 8.875277 | 3.5E-4 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.409365E-4 | 0.0012005795 | 2.2194462 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0053125503 | 0.0053964877 | 0.0063910913 | 1.1843057 | 0.001 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.156676E-6 | 2.491545E-4 | 27.210144 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8863272E-5 | 3.9242317E-5 | 3.3923055E-4 | 8.644508 | 3.0E-4 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.776724E-4 | 9.97424E-4 | 2.088092 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0047205184 | 0.0047666584 | 0.0056026545 | 1.175384 | 8.4E-4 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.6047945E-6 | 2.0760327E-4 | 27.298998 | 2.0E-4 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.2591575E-5 | 2.525844E-4 | 7.7499905 | 2.2E-4 | 3.9678233E-4 | 3.9673146E-4 | 7.865767E-4 | 1.9826428 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0039607463 | 0.003960362 | 0.004607788 | 1.1634763 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.7849484E-6 | 1.6578402E-4 | 28.657824 | 1.6E-4 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.47924E-5 | 1.9478818E-4 | 7.85677 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.0180576E-4 | 5.6172727E-4 | 1.8612213 | 2.6E-4 | 0.003068543 | 0.003013971 | 0.0034825546 | 1.1554705 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.5509804E-6 | 1.5555015E-4 | 28.022104 | 1.5E-4 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.3789698E-5 | 1.8378589E-4 | 7.72544 | 1.6E-4 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.896012E-4 | 5.395288E-4 | 1.8630061 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0028922493 | 0.0033509189 | 1.1585858 | 4.6E-4 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.401033E-6 | 1.5540022E-4 | 28.772316 | 1.5E-4 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.3147079E-5 | 1.8314338E-4 | 7.9121594 | 1.6E-4 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8177933E-4 | 5.217117E-4 | 1.8514904 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0028769306 | 0.0028142317 | 0.0032529933 | 1.1559082 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.1660422E-6 | 1.5516527E-4 | 30.035618 | 1.5E-4 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2139993E-5 | 1.8213646E-4 | 8.226581 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.6952114E-4 | 5.094565E-4 | 1.8902282 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0027603607 | 0.0026919527 | 0.0031307682 | 1.1630101 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 4.9671926E-6 | 1.5496644E-4 | 31.197996 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1287793E-5 | 1.8128438E-4 | 8.515884 | 1.6E-4 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.5914813E-4 | 4.9908593E-4 | 1.9258713 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0025884686 | 0.0030173557 | 1.1656914 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.695057E-6 | 1.446944E-4 | 30.818455 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0121517E-5 | 1.701185E-4 | 8.4545555 | 1.5E-4 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.44952E-4 | 4.7489567E-4 | 1.9387294 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0025258875 | 0.002446828 | 0.0028558245 | 1.1671538 | 4.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.3778105E-6 | 1.3437725E-4 | 30.69508 | 1.3E-4 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.876191E-5 | 1.5875929E-4 | 8.461786 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.2840238E-4 | 4.4835213E-4 | 1.9629924 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0022816835 | 0.0026707936 | 1.1705364 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.5950852E-6 | 1.1359469E-4 | 31.597218 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5407417E-5 | 1.3540557E-4 | 8.788337 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.875692E-4 | 3.7753355E-4 | 2.0127695 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001977751 | 0.0018741133 | 0.0021935136 | 1.1704274 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.679258E-6 | 8.267904E-5 | 30.858932 | 8.0E-5 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1482483E-5 | 1.0148145E-4 | 8.837935 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.397903E-4 | 2.9976794E-4 | 2.1444116 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0013970262 | 0.0016267049 | 1.1644055 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.7940209E-6 | 7.17939E-5 | 40.018425 | 7.0E-5 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.688638E-6 | 7.76881E-5 | 10.104273 | 7.0E-5 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.360517E-5 | 2.1359394E-4 | 2.2818604 | 1.2E-4 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.356594E-4 | 0.0010855191 | 1.1601647 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.0844291E-6 | 4.1084386E-5 | 37.885727 | 4.0E-5 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.6475448E-6 | 4.464736E-5 | 9.606654 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.6582405E-5 | 1.2657845E-4 | 2.2370636 | 7.0E-5 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.656816E-4 | 6.5563066E-4 | 1.15901 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.5284366E-7 | 1.0452839E-5 | 23.082666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.940757E-6 | 1.1940738E-5 | 6.152618 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.3628474E-5 | 6.362753E-5 | 2.6928327 | 4.0E-5 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.3626072E-4 | 2.862489E-4 | 1.2115806 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.3192498E-6 | 3.3192498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.6304983E-4 | 6.33635 | 3.9E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.229672E-4 | 2.947287 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0047330232 | 1.2433848 | 9.3E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038923185 | 1.0387892 | 0.00151 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.6304983E-4 | 6.33635 | 3.9E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.229672E-4 | 2.947287 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0047330232 | 1.2433848 | 9.3E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038923185 | 1.0387892 | 0.00151 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.6304983E-4 | 6.33635 | 3.9E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.229672E-4 | 2.947287 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0047330232 | 1.2433848 | 9.3E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038923185 | 1.0387892 | 0.00151 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 3.278852E-4 | 6.8454013 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.8518676E-4 | 2.8508875 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030749906 | 1.231751 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.02563183 | 1.0375032 | 9.5E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 3.278852E-4 | 6.8454013 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.8518676E-4 | 2.8508875 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030749906 | 1.231751 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.02563183 | 1.0375032 | 9.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.5319634E-5 | 2.1531328E-4 | 6.0961356 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.513617E-4 | 4.2132084E-4 | 2.7835367 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0018413815 | 0.0022206819 | 1.2059867 | 3.8E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.018272636 | 0.018891124 | 1.0338478 | 6.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.3941466E-5 | 2.0393569E-4 | 6.008453 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.4545594E-4 | 4.054181E-4 | 2.7872229 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0017695955 | 0.0021289585 | 1.2030764 | 3.6E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.017566137 | 0.01816542 | 1.0341159 | 6.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.6353702E-5 | 1.6635002E-4 | 6.3122067 | 1.4E-4 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.12940026E-4 | 3.229163E-4 | 2.8591838 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001192729 | 0.001374263 | 0.0016738507 | 1.2179989 | 3.0E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.013666247 | 0.014169277 | 1.0368083 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.4592096E-5 | 1.4458914E-4 | 5.8794966 | 1.2E-4 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.05390915E-4 | 2.953709E-4 | 2.8026218 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001112141 | 0.0012824632 | 0.0015621041 | 1.2180499 | 2.8E-4 | 0.011065915 | 0.012759039 | 0.013232915 | 1.0371404 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.1877471E-5 | 1.4187484E-4 | 6.4849744 | 1.2E-4 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.3757684E-5 | 2.737408E-4 | 2.9196627 | 1.8E-4 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011409834 | 0.0014106754 | 1.236368 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009869894 | 0.011359346 | 0.01181412 | 1.0400352 | 4.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 1.9661622E-5 | 1.3965926E-4 | 7.1031404 | 1.2E-4 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.426182E-5 | 2.6424666E-4 | 3.1360188 | 1.8E-4 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010254843 | 0.0012852177 | 1.2532787 | 2.6E-4 | 0.008882134 | 0.010215383 | 0.010650888 | 1.0426323 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8379606E-5 | 1.2837758E-4 | 6.984784 | 1.1E-4 | 6.849585E-5 | 7.876781E-5 | 2.3875521E-4 | 3.0311267 | 1.6E-4 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.586551E-4 | 0.001198425 | 1.2501107 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008304977 | 0.00955299 | 0.009968978 | 1.0435452 | 4.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.6639548E-5 | 1.16637886E-4 | 7.009679 | 1.0E-4 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.131084E-5 | 2.2130014E-4 | 3.1033173 | 1.5E-4 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.679419E-4 | 0.0010977422 | 1.2647647 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007520827 | 0.008653227 | 0.009059679 | 1.0469712 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.016325E-6 | 5.6016026E-5 | 9.310671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.578418E-5 | 1.05782114E-4 | 4.1025977 | 8.0E-5 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.1390967E-4 | 4.1387827E-4 | 1.318463 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0031378502 | 0.003327254 | 1.060361 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.38535E-7 | 2.0838519E-5 | 24.8511 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.593717E-6 | 4.3593573E-5 | 12.130497 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.37527E-5 | 8.375095E-5 | 1.9141893 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3744803E-4 | 5.074174E-4 | 1.1599491 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6480425E-7 | 2.0664791E-5 | 31.084024 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8491581E-6 | 3.284907E-5 | 11.529396 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4688015E-5 | 6.4686974E-5 | 1.864822 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4683262E-4 | 3.8681875E-4 | 1.1152894 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5512568E-7 | 1.0355122E-5 | 29.159035 | 1.0E-5 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5219665E-6 | 2.1521937E-5 | 14.140873 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8529832E-5 | 3.8529462E-5 | 2.0793207 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8528744E-4 | 2.1528188E-4 | 1.1618806 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.0121603E-5 | 83.23425 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 1.0521154E-5 | 20.18799 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 1.634503E-5 | 2.576011 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 8.34479E-5 | 1.3151929 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 7.079314E-4 | 3.104406 | 4.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.0016263219 | 1.6646812 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.012729867 | 1.0760089 | 9.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.114032045 | 1.0104554 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 7.079314E-4 | 3.104406 | 4.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.0016263219 | 1.6646812 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.012729867 | 1.0760089 | 9.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.114032045 | 1.0104554 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804085E-4 | 7.079314E-4 | 3.104406 | 4.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769569E-4 | 0.0016263219 | 1.6646812 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.011830633 | 0.012729867 | 1.0760089 | 9.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.112852134 | 0.114032045 | 1.0104554 | 0.00133 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.1769927E-4 | 6.775991E-4 | 3.1125467 | 4.6E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326681E-4 | 0.0015520898 | 1.6641395 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297097 | 0.012167156 | 1.0770161 | 8.8E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10817854 | 0.10933791 | 1.0107172 | 0.0013 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.1769927E-4 | 6.775991E-4 | 3.1125467 | 4.6E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326681E-4 | 0.0015520898 | 1.6641395 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297097 | 0.012167156 | 1.0770161 | 8.8E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10817854 | 0.10933791 | 1.0107172 | 0.0013 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.0273947E-4 | 6.526482E-4 | 3.2191474 | 4.5E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 8.6859846E-4 | 0.0014680773 | 1.690168 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.010524785 | 0.011355945 | 1.0789716 | 8.4E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.101369254 | 0.10250153 | 1.0111698 | 0.00126 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 1.694489E-4 | 5.9937604E-4 | 3.537208 | 4.3E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 7.2600937E-4 | 0.0013055883 | 1.7983078 | 5.8E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.008803735 | 0.0096066035 | 1.0911964 | 8.1E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.08593525 | 0.08702299 | 1.0126576 | 0.00119 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 1.5170743E-4 | 5.5164675E-4 | 3.636254 | 4.0E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 6.5001374E-4 | 0.0012096497 | 1.8609602 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.00788543 | 0.00865928 | 1.0981367 | 7.8E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.07775072 | 0.07879286 | 1.0134037 | 0.00113 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 1.385122E-4 | 5.384568E-4 | 3.887432 | 4.0E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 5.934892E-4 | 0.0011431628 | 1.9261729 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.007201912 | 0.007926654 | 1.100632 | 7.3E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.07150425 | 0.07246061 | 1.0133747 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 1.3354333E-4 | 5.1349256E-4 | 3.8451385 | 3.8E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 5.722035E-4 | 0.001091906 | 1.9082476 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0069444343 | 0.007639573 | 1.1001002 | 7.0E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.069193766 | 0.070124574 | 1.0134522 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 1.2751021E-4 | 4.874643E-4 | 3.8229434 | 3.6E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 5.463583E-4 | 0.0010460851 | 1.9146503 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.006631724 | 0.0073072147 | 1.1018574 | 6.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.06634519 | 0.06726017 | 1.0137912 | 9.8E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.2007749E-4 | 4.6003668E-4 | 3.8311648 | 3.4E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 5.145167E-4 | 9.942697E-4 | 1.9324343 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.006246334 | 0.0069022113 | 1.1050019 | 6.6E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.0628421 | 0.06374177 | 1.0143164 | 9.6E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.0585385E-4 | 4.2581998E-4 | 4.022716 | 3.2E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 4.5358058E-4 | 9.133719E-4 | 2.0136929 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.0055083875 | 0.006134917 | 1.113741 | 6.3E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.05601383 | 0.05686342 | 1.0151675 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 9.711282E-5 | 3.9708367E-4 | 4.0888906 | 3.0E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 4.1613146E-4 | 8.459525E-4 | 2.0328972 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.005054646 | 0.0056317146 | 1.1141659 | 5.8E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.051845446 | 0.052632414 | 1.0151792 | 8.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 9.074717E-5 | 3.7072177E-4 | 4.085216 | 2.8E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 3.888585E-4 | 7.887029E-4 | 2.028252 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0047240863 | 0.0052615353 | 1.1137679 | 5.4E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.048767596 | 0.04950956 | 1.0152142 | 7.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 8.494174E-5 | 3.549188E-4 | 4.178379 | 2.7E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 3.6398528E-4 | 7.4384693E-4 | 2.0436182 | 3.8E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.004422525 | 0.0049302694 | 1.1148088 | 5.1E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.04592855 | 0.04662502 | 1.0151643 | 7.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 8.147963E-5 | 3.4145845E-4 | 4.1907215 | 2.6E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 3.4915173E-4 | 7.09026E-4 | 2.0307105 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.004242644 | 0.004730565 | 1.1150041 | 4.9E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.04421748 | 0.04487697 | 1.0149146 | 6.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 7.302787E-5 | 3.1301033E-4 | 4.2861767 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 3.1293905E-4 | 6.428358E-4 | 2.0541885 | 3.3E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0038033808 | 0.004261631 | 1.1204851 | 4.6E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.039980542 | 0.040585354 | 1.0151277 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 6.626636E-5 | 2.662531E-4 | 4.0179224 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 2.839678E-4 | 5.4389396E-4 | 1.9153368 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0034518295 | 0.0038105869 | 1.1039325 | 3.6E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.036498 | 0.03699902 | 1.0137273 | 5.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 4.6971752E-5 | 1.8696518E-4 | 3.9803746 | 1.4E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 2.0129199E-4 | 3.9125374E-4 | 1.9437125 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0024479765 | 0.0026973647 | 1.1018752 | 2.5E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.026215866 | 0.026566429 | 1.0133722 | 3.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 2.459583E-5 | 1.0459386E-4 | 4.252504 | 8.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 1.0540645E-4 | 2.053959E-4 | 1.9486085 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0012825684 | 0.0013824401 | 1.0778686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.013892246 | 0.014020441 | 1.0092278 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 7.1220934E-6 | 2.712195E-5 | 3.8081431 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 3.05229E-5 | 5.052229E-5 | 1.6552258 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 3.7155306E-4 | 3.9154562E-4 | 1.0538081 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.004182602 | 0.004202518 | 1.0047617 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 1.2529747E-6 | 1.2529747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 5.3698805E-6 | 5.3698805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 6.5376335E-5 | 6.5376335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 8.1965735E-4 | 8.1965735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 4.3128346E-4 | 38.20657 | 4.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.583525E-4 | 11.541649 | 5.1E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014783225 | 2.5105393 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071963933 | 1.2250836 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 4.3128346E-4 | 38.20657 | 4.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.583525E-4 | 11.541649 | 5.1E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014783225 | 2.5105393 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071963933 | 1.2250836 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 4.3128346E-4 | 38.20657 | 4.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.583525E-4 | 11.541649 | 5.1E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014783225 | 2.5105393 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071963933 | 1.2250836 | 0.00133 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 4.3128346E-4 | 38.20657 | 4.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.583525E-4 | 11.541649 | 5.1E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014783225 | 2.5105393 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071963933 | 1.2250836 | 0.00133 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288202E-5 | 4.3128346E-4 | 38.20657 | 4.2E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 5.583525E-4 | 11.541649 | 5.1E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014783225 | 2.5105393 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071963933 | 1.2250836 | 0.00133 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.192975E-6 | 2.6819084E-4 | 32.734245 | 2.6E-4 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.5112287E-5 | 3.3510177E-4 | 9.543717 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.2740977E-4 | 9.871704E-4 | 2.309658 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0042609703 | 0.0042660376 | 0.005142283 | 1.2054005 | 8.8E-4 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.1617545E-6 | 2.6815964E-4 | 32.855637 | 2.6E-4 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.4978486E-5 | 3.34968E-4 | 9.576401 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.257814E-4 | 9.7554724E-4 | 2.2911928 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0042457907 | 0.004249816 | 0.0051161186 | 1.2038448 | 8.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.115877E-6 | 2.6811377E-4 | 33.035713 | 2.6E-4 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.478187E-5 | 3.247718E-4 | 9.337386 | 2.9E-4 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.2338856E-4 | 9.6315995E-4 | 2.2748842 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0042232145 | 0.0042259786 | 0.005082344 | 1.2026432 | 8.6E-4 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.61843E-6 | 2.3761668E-4 | 31.189716 | 2.3E-4 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.2650012E-5 | 2.7264218E-4 | 8.350446 | 2.4E-4 | 3.9877684E-4 | 3.9744278E-4 | 8.77252E-4 | 2.207241 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00398062 | 0.003967461 | 0.004754327 | 1.1983298 | 7.9E-4 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.328486E-6 | 2.373268E-4 | 32.38415 | 2.3E-4 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.1407424E-5 | 2.7139988E-4 | 8.641265 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8231967E-4 | 8.6213613E-4 | 2.255014 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0038381014 | 0.0038167578 | 0.0045937807 | 1.2035819 | 7.8E-4 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.1614854E-6 | 2.3715984E-4 | 33.116013 | 2.3E-4 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.0691728E-5 | 2.7068437E-4 | 8.819457 | 2.4E-4 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.7360904E-4 | 8.534297E-4 | 2.2842855 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037299471 | 0.004497075 | 1.2056673 | 7.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.431076E-6 | 1.9543004E-4 | 35.98367 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3275834E-5 | 2.2327118E-4 | 9.592403 | 2.0E-4 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.833468E-4 | 6.832335E-4 | 2.4112976 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028298956 | 0.0034381694 | 1.2149457 | 6.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5138563E-6 | 1.5451318E-4 | 34.230858 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9344956E-5 | 1.7934186E-4 | 9.27073 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3549951E-4 | 5.2543124E-4 | 2.2311351 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023525131 | 0.0028413604 | 1.2077979 | 4.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.573333E-6 | 1.3357287E-4 | 37.38047 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5314195E-5 | 1.5531205E-4 | 10.1417055 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8643445E-4 | 4.3638784E-4 | 2.340704 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0019959346 | 0.001862789 | 0.0022520625 | 1.2089735 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.4599751E-6 | 8.245978E-5 | 33.520576 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0542708E-5 | 1.0054176E-4 | 9.536616 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.2834994E-4 | 3.1832556E-4 | 2.4801378 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001361329 | 0.0012827625 | 0.001542429 | 1.2024276 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7316805E-6 | 7.1731556E-5 | 41.423088 | 7.0E-5 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.421467E-6 | 7.742095E-5 | 10.432027 | 7.0E-5 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.0352645E-5 | 2.403391E-4 | 2.6600118 | 1.5E-4 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.031622E-4 | 0.0010829996 | 1.1991198 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.0853746E-6 | 4.108533E-5 | 37.853596 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.6515975E-6 | 4.465141E-5 | 9.599156 | 4.0E-5 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.6631743E-5 | 1.2662778E-4 | 2.235986 | 7.0E-5 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.661747E-4 | 6.5612374E-4 | 1.1588715 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.6454264E-7 | 1.0464538E-5 | 22.526539 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2846775E-6 | 1.9908955E-6 | 1.19908755E-5 | 6.0228553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4238894E-5 | 6.4237924E-5 | 2.6502004 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4236362E-4 | 2.923515E-4 | 1.2062516 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 7.760243E-8 | 7.760243E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.049176E-6 | 4.049176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.9233326E-4 | 31.798927 | 3.8E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.128515E-4 | 9.699166 | 4.6E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.001483037 | 2.3043637 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007719199 | 1.2028159 | 0.00131 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.9233326E-4 | 31.798927 | 3.8E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.128515E-4 | 9.699166 | 4.6E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.001483037 | 2.3043637 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007719199 | 1.2028159 | 0.00131 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.9233326E-4 | 31.798927 | 3.8E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.128515E-4 | 9.699166 | 4.6E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.001483037 | 2.3043637 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007719199 | 1.2028159 | 0.00131 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.233794E-5 | 3.9233326E-4 | 31.798927 | 3.8E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875836E-5 | 5.128515E-4 | 9.699166 | 4.6E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.4357766E-4 | 0.001483037 | 2.3043637 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176065 | 0.007719199 | 1.2028159 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2318866E-5 | 3.923142E-4 | 31.846617 | 3.8E-4 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.2794094E-5 | 5.127698E-4 | 9.712636 | 4.6E-4 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.42583E-4 | 0.0014820432 | 2.306384 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0064077172 | 0.0077093234 | 1.203131 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1089502E-5 | 3.4108583E-4 | 30.757544 | 3.3E-4 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.7525584E-5 | 4.575061E-4 | 9.626522 | 4.1E-4 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.78473E-4 | 0.0013180448 | 2.27849 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0058488925 | 0.005769947 | 0.0069033694 | 1.1964355 | 0.00114 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1080753E-5 | 3.410771E-4 | 30.781038 | 3.3E-4 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.7488094E-5 | 4.5746862E-4 | 9.633333 | 4.1E-4 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.7801674E-4 | 0.001317589 | 2.2794998 | 7.4E-4 | 0.005844661 | 0.0057654087 | 0.006898836 | 1.196591 | 0.00114 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1075612E-5 | 3.4107195E-4 | 30.794865 | 3.3E-4 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.746606E-5 | 4.574466E-4 | 9.6373415 | 4.1E-4 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.777486E-4 | 0.0013173211 | 2.280094 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0057627414 | 0.0068961717 | 1.1966826 | 0.00114 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0012425E-5 | 2.8000973E-4 | 27.966223 | 2.7E-4 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.29097E-5 | 3.7289553E-4 | 8.690239 | 3.3E-4 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.223024E-4 | 0.0011619682 | 2.2247038 | 6.4E-4 | 0.005335517 | 0.0052109663 | 0.006235599 | 1.1966301 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 8.926039E-6 | 2.589238E-4 | 29.007694 | 2.5E-4 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.82539E-5 | 3.182432E-4 | 8.319235 | 2.8E-4 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.656433E-4 | 0.0010253825 | 2.2020774 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0048161 | 0.0046468433 | 0.005572522 | 1.1992059 | 9.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.089273E-6 | 2.380874E-4 | 29.432484 | 2.3E-4 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.4667864E-5 | 2.9465885E-4 | 8.499481 | 2.6E-4 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.2200089E-4 | 9.517772E-4 | 2.2553916 | 5.3E-4 | 0.004412184 | 0.00421214 | 0.0050685178 | 1.2033118 | 8.6E-4 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.13498E-6 | 1.9613381E-4 | 31.969755 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.629251E-5 | 2.462867E-4 | 9.367182 | 2.2E-4 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.200647E-4 | 7.599239E-4 | 2.3742821 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0031960816 | 0.0038639402 | 1.2089617 | 6.7E-4 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 4.9948494E-6 | 1.549941E-4 | 31.030787 | 1.5E-4 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1406322E-5 | 1.9140268E-4 | 8.941409 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6059095E-4 | 5.8050756E-4 | 2.2276583 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026028694 | 0.00313149 | 1.2030914 | 5.3E-4 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.867589E-6 | 1.3386708E-4 | 34.612545 | 1.3E-4 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6575275E-5 | 1.5657296E-4 | 9.446175 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0178538E-4 | 4.717309E-4 | 2.3377852 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020160312 | 0.0024351845 | 1.2079101 | 4.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.6334849E-6 | 7.26333E-5 | 27.580679 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1286315E-5 | 9.1285416E-5 | 8.08815 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.3740227E-4 | 3.1737753E-4 | 2.309842 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0014886294 | 0.001373178 | 0.0016428073 | 1.1963542 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8468428E-6 | 6.184673E-5 | 33.487816 | 6.0E-5 | 8.540134E-6 | 7.915017E-6 | 6.7914545E-5 | 8.580467 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.63611E-5 | 2.3634761E-4 | 2.4527285 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0010392254 | 9.6319657E-4 | 0.0011430233 | 1.1866977 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.1863077E-6 | 4.118626E-5 | 34.718025 | 4.0E-5 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.0841663E-6 | 4.508396E-5 | 8.867523 | 4.0E-5 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.189798E-5 | 1.3189366E-4 | 2.1308231 | 7.0E-5 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.188093E-4 | 7.087536E-4 | 1.1453506 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.0112507E-7 | 1.0601119E-5 | 17.635464 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.5762479E-6 | 1.2576222E-5 | 4.881604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.136538E-5 | 7.136413E-5 | 2.2752514 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.1361092E-4 | 3.6359523E-4 | 1.1593832 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.2322857E-7 | 2.2322857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 9.566935E-7 | 9.566935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.1647684E-5 | 1.1647684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.1647104E-4 | 1.1647104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 4.9993115E-8 | 4.9993115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.142562E-7 | 2.142562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.6085672E-6 | 2.6085672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.6085478E-5 | 2.6085478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.0944904E-4 | 13.898365 | 3.8E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.361902E-4 | 5.0389476 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0023452744 | 1.5263556 | 8.1E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016514698 | 1.0791436 | 0.00123 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.0944904E-4 | 13.898365 | 3.8E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.361902E-4 | 5.0389476 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0023452744 | 1.5263556 | 8.1E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016514698 | 1.0791436 | 0.00123 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.0944904E-4 | 13.898365 | 3.8E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.361902E-4 | 5.0389476 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0023452744 | 1.5263556 | 8.1E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016514698 | 1.0791436 | 0.00123 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.0944904E-4 | 13.898365 | 3.8E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.361902E-4 | 5.0389476 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.001536519 | 0.0023452744 | 1.5263556 | 8.1E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016514698 | 1.0791436 | 0.00123 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.00162915E-5 | 1.4001499E-4 | 13.978725 | 1.3E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.292628E-5 | 2.2291855E-4 | 5.193055 | 1.8E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.723755E-4 | 1.4782133 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.005591201 | 1.0725121 | 3.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.00162915E-5 | 1.4001499E-4 | 13.978725 | 1.3E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.292628E-5 | 2.2291855E-4 | 5.193055 | 1.8E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.723755E-4 | 1.4782133 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.005591201 | 1.0725121 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.442547E-6 | 1.2844153E-4 | 15.213599 | 1.2E-4 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.6181857E-5 | 1.8617643E-4 | 5.1455746 | 1.5E-4 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.4042667E-4 | 6.503342E-4 | 1.4766004 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005855706 | 0.004395708 | 0.0047143013 | 1.0724783 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.695583E-6 | 1.0769481E-4 | 13.994368 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.298066E-5 | 1.6297637E-4 | 4.941574 | 1.3E-4 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.0146674E-4 | 5.913905E-4 | 1.4730746 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0040075392 | 0.0042764572 | 1.067103 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.67753E-6 | 1.07676766E-4 | 14.024921 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.2903296E-5 | 1.6289901E-4 | 4.9508424 | 1.3E-4 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.0052517E-4 | 5.904491E-4 | 1.4741871 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005451347 | 0.0039981576 | 0.004267078 | 1.0672611 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.3104753E-6 | 7.631003E-5 | 12.092597 | 7.0E-5 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7044614E-5 | 1.2704192E-4 | 4.6974936 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.2921875E-4 | 4.6917266E-4 | 1.4251091 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004724967 | 0.0032873454 | 0.0034966553 | 1.0636714 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.039872E-6 | 7.603945E-5 | 12.58958 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.588491E-5 | 1.2588232E-4 | 4.8631544 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.1510348E-4 | 4.5505937E-4 | 1.4441584 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0031465965 | 0.0033559357 | 1.0665288 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.7905345E-6 | 7.579013E-5 | 13.088624 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.4816341E-5 | 1.2481386E-4 | 5.029503 | 1.0E-4 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.0209732E-4 | 4.4205502E-4 | 1.4632868 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004368907 | 0.0030168942 | 0.0032262607 | 1.069398 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.34302E-6 | 6.53427E-5 | 12.229545 | 6.0E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.2898455E-5 | 1.1289639E-4 | 4.930306 | 9.0E-5 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.7875323E-4 | 4.08717E-4 | 1.4662323 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0027840582 | 0.0029735293 | 1.0680557 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.5221045E-6 | 5.452188E-5 | 12.056749 | 5.0E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9380304E-5 | 9.9378754E-5 | 5.127822 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.3592981E-4 | 3.4590386E-4 | 1.4661304 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0033722918 | 0.002356809 | 0.0025264083 | 1.0719614 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.783853E-6 | 5.3783664E-5 | 14.213995 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6216412E-5 | 8.6215274E-5 | 5.3165445 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 1.9741706E-4 | 2.7740127E-4 | 1.4051535 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0019724306 | 0.0021121544 | 1.0708385 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5130112E-6 | 5.2512885E-5 | 20.8964 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.0770003E-5 | 7.0769354E-5 | 6.5709686 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.31117E-4 | 2.0110782E-4 | 1.5338043 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013104064 | 0.0014302491 | 1.0914546 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5087E-6 | 3.1508655E-5 | 20.884638 | 3.0E-5 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.4658416E-6 | 4.6465582E-5 | 7.1863165 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1951787E-4 | 7.871884E-5 | 1.287149E-4 | 1.635122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011945361 | 7.8691595E-4 | 8.66853E-4 | 1.1015826 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3360695E-7 | 3.3360695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4297433E-6 | 1.4297433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7407E-5 | 1.7407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7405768E-4 | 1.7405768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.8370976E-4 | 11.962843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.7158846E-4 | 5.623864 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019958818 | 1.6137182 | 7.6E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1223966E-5 | 1.512224E-4 | 13.473169 | 1.4E-4 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.810185E-5 | 2.6809127E-4 | 5.5734086 | 2.2E-4 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.854874E-4 | 9.053E-4 | 1.5462332 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005516363 | 0.005839936 | 0.0063171326 | 1.0817127 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0846996E-5 | 1.4084559E-4 | 12.9847555 | 1.3E-4 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.6486322E-5 | 2.5647655E-4 | 5.5172477 | 2.1E-4 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.6582864E-4 | 8.7565323E-4 | 1.547559 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005644355 | 0.0061017587 | 1.0810374 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.569821E-6 | 7.956915E-5 | 8.314592 | 7.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1012892E-5 | 1.6100798E-4 | 3.925789 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7208337E-4 | 4.9922155E-4 | 6.891267E-4 | 1.3804026 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047108172 | 0.004981406 | 0.005309762 | 1.0659163 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.150835E-6 | 6.915029E-5 | 7.5567193 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9217295E-5 | 1.4921298E-4 | 3.804775 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.773699E-4 | 6.57284E-4 | 1.3768861 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004505487 | 0.0047638444 | 0.00508232 | 1.0668527 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.873088E-6 | 6.8872556E-5 | 7.7619605 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8026985E-5 | 1.4802281E-4 | 3.8925726 | 1.1E-4 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6288417E-4 | 6.428008E-4 | 1.3886862 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046195984 | 0.004928166 | 1.0667953 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.2891986E-6 | 5.6288885E-5 | 8.9500885 | 5.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.6953432E-5 | 8.695182E-5 | 3.2260015 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.2810916E-4 | 4.3807307E-4 | 1.3351443 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00310772 | 0.0032763039 | 0.0034357796 | 1.0486755 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.139128E-6 | 5.513887E-5 | 10.729227 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2024651E-5 | 8.2023325E-5 | 3.7241604 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.6811755E-4 | 3.7808807E-4 | 1.4101578 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002677986 | 0.0028375573 | 1.0595864 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.0887894E-6 | 4.4088625E-5 | 10.782807 | 4.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7523267E-5 | 6.752239E-5 | 3.8532991 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1332529E-4 | 3.1330396E-4 | 1.4686676 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021312458 | 0.002280926 | 1.0702313 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4096697E-6 | 3.140963E-5 | 22.281551 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.0414277E-6 | 3.6041245E-5 | 5.9656835 | 3.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.3551935E-5 | 1.3354752E-4 | 1.81569 | 6.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.352798E-4 | 8.352063E-4 | 1.1359026 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.2733176E-7 | 1.06273255E-5 | 16.94052 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.688562E-6 | 1.2688535E-5 | 4.7194505 | 1.0E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.2732765E-5 | 6.2731786E-5 | 1.9164828 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.27281E-4 | 3.7726466E-4 | 1.1527239 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 1.0223498E-5 | 45.742626 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.578588E-7 | 1.095785E-5 | 11.439942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1661879E-5 | 3.1661646E-5 | 2.7149694 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1661376E-4 | 1.4661025E-4 | 1.2572296 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 7.994032E-7 | 7.994032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 7.994011E-6 | 7.994011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 4.313154E-4 | 7.031772 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.127096E-4 | 3.0918648 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0040035304 | 1.2526224 | 8.1E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032653745 | 1.0346755 | 0.00113 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 4.313154E-4 | 7.031772 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.127096E-4 | 3.0918648 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0040035304 | 1.2526224 | 8.1E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032653745 | 1.0346755 | 0.00113 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 1.5594413E-4 | 6.009985 | 1.3E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.4117355E-4 | 3.0681317 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0017225526 | 1.2730856 | 3.7E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.013926328 | 1.0352004 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 1.5594413E-4 | 6.009985 | 1.3E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.4117355E-4 | 3.0681317 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0017225526 | 1.2730856 | 3.7E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.013926328 | 1.0352004 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.18999E-5 | 1.4189727E-4 | 6.4793572 | 1.2E-4 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.385355E-5 | 2.8383572E-4 | 3.0242405 | 1.9E-4 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011421061 | 0.0014617406 | 1.2798641 | 3.2E-4 | 0.010206259 | 0.011366243 | 0.011791356 | 1.0374013 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9262101E-5 | 1.0926037E-4 | 5.6722975 | 9.0E-5 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.254944E-5 | 2.3253706E-4 | 2.8169427 | 1.5E-4 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010046111 | 0.0012743399 | 1.2684907 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009008561 | 0.010004225 | 0.010350724 | 1.0346352 | 3.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.5934824E-5 | 7.5933865E-5 | 4.7652783 | 6.0E-5 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.829049E-5 | 1.7828298E-4 | 2.6106563 | 1.1E-4 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.311499E-4 | 0.001050967 | 1.2644736 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0074845953 | 0.0082834475 | 0.008551211 | 1.0323251 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.395179E-5 | 7.395095E-5 | 5.3004637 | 6.0E-5 | 5.414838E-5 | 5.9792175E-5 | 1.597862E-4 | 2.6723597 | 1.0E-4 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.277554E-4 | 9.276099E-4 | 1.2746176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006571059 | 0.0072565824 | 0.007504768 | 1.0342015 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2634907E-5 | 7.2634146E-5 | 5.748689 | 6.0E-5 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.4148633E-5 | 1.5414321E-4 | 2.8466687 | 1.0E-4 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.590884E-4 | 8.5895654E-4 | 1.3032495 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006574121 | 0.006822477 | 1.0377779 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0005037E-5 | 5.0004637E-5 | 4.9979463 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.2878175E-5 | 1.028756E-4 | 2.3992531 | 6.0E-5 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.2194326E-4 | 6.7186495E-4 | 1.2872375 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0052097817 | 0.0053987917 | 1.0362799 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.448277E-6 | 3.6448084E-5 | 5.6523757 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.7635306E-5 | 7.763392E-5 | 2.8092299 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.3643027E-4 | 4.264E-4 | 1.2674246 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0033614028 | 0.003471033 | 1.0326145 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.1921103E-6 | 2.2192067E-5 | 10.123609 | 2.0E-5 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.394726E-6 | 3.9394443E-5 | 4.193251 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1437493E-4 | 1.443715E-4 | 1.2622652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011431758 | 0.0011831301 | 1.0349503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.160658E-6 | 2.2160615E-5 | 10.25642 | 2.0E-5 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.25993E-6 | 3.9259652E-5 | 4.239735 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1273397E-4 | 1.4273058E-4 | 1.2660832 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011267829 | 0.0011567491 | 1.0265945 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7312143E-6 | 2.1731179E-5 | 12.552565 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4194695E-6 | 3.7419246E-5 | 5.043386 | 3.0E-5 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.032839E-5 | 1.20325676E-4 | 1.3320915 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0292573E-4 | 9.3289866E-4 | 1.0331954 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4533775E-6 | 2.1453348E-5 | 14.761029 | 2.0E-5 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2287468E-6 | 3.622856E-5 | 5.8163486 | 3.0E-5 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.5832424E-5 | 1.0583015E-4 | 1.3955791 | 3.0E-5 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.580727E-4 | 7.8804995E-4 | 1.039544 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2835433E-6 | 2.1283518E-5 | 16.581846 | 2.0E-5 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5008886E-6 | 2.5500778E-5 | 4.635756 | 2.0E-5 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.697133E-5 | 8.6969994E-5 | 1.2986152 | 2.0E-5 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.695185E-4 | 6.8950513E-4 | 1.0298523 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5047466E-5 | 3.5047466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5042508E-4 | 3.5042508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.1970242E-9 | 6.1970242E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.5448774E-8 | 7.5448774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.5448776E-7 | 7.5448776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 4.353642E-4 | 81.12617 | 4.3E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 5.729865E-4 | 24.913406 | 5.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 0.0010897528 | 3.8922584 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.003863407 | 1.381565 | 0.00107 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 4.353642E-4 | 81.12617 | 4.3E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 5.729865E-4 | 24.913406 | 5.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 0.0010897528 | 3.8922584 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.003863407 | 1.381565 | 0.00107 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 4.353642E-4 | 81.12617 | 4.3E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 5.729865E-4 | 24.913406 | 5.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 0.0010897528 | 3.8922584 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.003863407 | 1.381565 | 0.00107 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 4.353642E-4 | 81.12617 | 4.3E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 5.729865E-4 | 24.913406 | 5.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 0.0010897528 | 3.8922584 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.003863407 | 1.381565 | 0.00107 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.3665076E-6 | 4.353642E-4 | 81.12617 | 4.3E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999122E-5 | 5.729865E-4 | 24.913406 | 5.5E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997955E-4 | 0.0010897528 | 3.8922584 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0027963992 | 0.003863407 | 1.381565 | 0.00107 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088792E-6 | 3.844072E-4 | 87.18933 | 3.8E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895063E-5 | 4.98886E-4 | 26.40298 | 4.8E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.3002393E-4 | 9.4985834E-4 | 4.1293893 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979479 | 0.0032457646 | 1.4124624 | 9.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088792E-6 | 3.844072E-4 | 87.18933 | 3.8E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895063E-5 | 4.98886E-4 | 26.40298 | 4.8E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.3002393E-4 | 9.4985834E-4 | 4.1293893 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979479 | 0.0032457646 | 1.4124624 | 9.5E-4 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 3.931152E-6 | 3.6392975E-4 | 92.57585 | 3.6E-4 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.6847689E-5 | 4.5684027E-4 | 27.115902 | 4.4E-4 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.0510201E-4 | 8.6496666E-4 | 4.217251 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0020492044 | 0.002907442 | 1.4188151 | 8.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 3.7992254E-6 | 3.537979E-4 | 93.123695 | 3.5E-4 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.6282296E-5 | 4.4627528E-4 | 27.40862 | 4.3E-4 | 2.1485193E-4 | 1.9821961E-4 | 8.280947E-4 | 4.177663 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0019805045 | 0.0028088607 | 1.4182551 | 8.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.5388914E-6 | 3.5353765E-4 | 99.90068 | 3.5E-4 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.5166593E-5 | 4.4516008E-4 | 29.351357 | 4.3E-4 | 2.0159081E-4 | 1.8463828E-4 | 8.045238E-4 | 4.357297 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0020140803 | 0.0018449215 | 0.0026434455 | 1.4328228 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.3656888E-6 | 3.533645E-4 | 104.99025 | 3.5E-4 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.4424304E-5 | 4.444181E-4 | 30.810366 | 4.3E-4 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.756024E-4 | 7.9549354E-4 | 4.5300837 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0019260074 | 0.001754708 | 0.0025333394 | 1.4437383 | 7.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.234407E-6 | 3.2323337E-4 | 99.9359 | 3.2E-4 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.3861674E-5 | 4.1385612E-4 | 29.856144 | 4.0E-4 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.6875345E-4 | 7.486556E-4 | 4.4363866 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0018603588 | 0.0016863241 | 0.0024250762 | 1.4380842 | 7.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.4444316E-6 | 3.1244368E-4 | 127.81854 | 3.1E-4 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.0476094E-5 | 3.9047212E-4 | 37.272682 | 3.8E-4 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.2753907E-4 | 6.4747274E-4 | 5.076662 | 5.2E-4 | 0.001461157 | 0.0012746754 | 0.0018938851 | 1.4857783 | 6.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.2177012E-6 | 2.8221708E-4 | 127.256584 | 2.8E-4 | 1.1075529E-5 | 9.5044E-6 | 3.5950108E-4 | 37.8247 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.1571E-4 | 5.956545E-4 | 5.147822 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0011565131 | 0.0017158655 | 1.4836541 | 5.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.0746018E-6 | 2.7207404E-4 | 131.14519 | 2.7E-4 | 1.04847295E-5 | 8.89112E-6 | 3.2888827E-4 | 36.990646 | 3.2E-4 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.0824409E-4 | 5.581954E-4 | 5.156821 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0012757082 | 0.0010819292 | 0.0016013666 | 1.480103 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.6173759E-6 | 2.6161695E-4 | 161.75395 | 2.6E-4 | 8.751514E-6 | 6.931593E-6 | 3.0692952E-4 | 44.279797 | 3.0E-4 | 1.0654447E-4 | 8.43889E-5 | 5.1435264E-4 | 6.0950265 | 4.3E-4 | 0.001064934 | 8.435793E-4 | 0.0013331659 | 1.5803683 | 4.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.3901606E-6 | 2.4138983E-4 | 173.64168 | 2.4E-4 | 7.854232E-6 | 5.957818E-6 | 2.759562E-4 | 46.318336 | 2.7E-4 | 9.562107E-5 | 7.2534036E-5 | 4.5250647E-4 | 6.2385397 | 3.8E-4 | 9.5579936E-4 | 7.251134E-4 | 0.0011647943 | 1.6063616 | 4.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.0297911E-6 | 1.4102965E-4 | 136.94977 | 1.4E-4 | 6.3372695E-6 | 4.4133826E-6 | 1.6441268E-4 | 37.253212 | 1.6E-4 | 7.715353E-5 | 5.373162E-5 | 2.8371927E-4 | 5.2803035 | 2.3E-4 | 7.7126746E-4 | 5.371933E-4 | 8.070483E-4 | 1.5023423 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 4.301621E-7 | 4.0430146E-5 | 93.98816 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2989474E-6 | 1.8435505E-6 | 4.1843476E-5 | 22.697222 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0163945E-5 | 2.2444998E-5 | 6.24441E-5 | 2.7820942 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0156685E-4 | 2.2442998E-4 | 2.6442102E-4 | 1.1781893 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 4.9939924E-8 | 4.9939924E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 2.1402822E-7 | 2.1402822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 2.6057905E-6 | 2.6057905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 2.6058495E-5 | 2.6058495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 8.509559E-9 | 8.509559E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 3.6469537E-8 | 3.6469537E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 4.4401654E-7 | 4.4401654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 4.44105E-6 | 4.44105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 3.5770447E-9 | 3.5770447E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 1.533019E-8 | 1.533019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 1.8664505E-7 | 1.8664505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 1.8673426E-6 | 1.8673426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 3.505023E-10 | 3.505023E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 1.5021523E-9 | 1.5021523E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 1.8288704E-8 | 1.8288704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 1.8329055E-7 | 1.8329055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 3.1112423E-4 | 9.993407 | 2.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 5.533648E-4 | 4.1475143 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022423132 | 1.3813134 | 6.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016964145 | 1.0518539 | 8.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 3.1112423E-4 | 9.993407 | 2.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 5.533648E-4 | 4.1475143 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022423132 | 1.3813134 | 6.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016964145 | 1.0518539 | 8.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 3.1112423E-4 | 9.993407 | 2.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 5.533648E-4 | 4.1475143 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022423132 | 1.3813134 | 6.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.016964145 | 1.0518539 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 2.575751E-4 | 14.65216 | 2.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 4.0531304E-4 | 5.3799357 | 3.3E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0013964305 | 1.5230398 | 4.8E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009747035 | 1.0672679 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 2.575751E-4 | 14.65216 | 2.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 4.0531304E-4 | 5.3799357 | 3.3E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0013964305 | 1.5230398 | 4.8E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009747035 | 1.0672679 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.2886588E-5 | 1.428849E-4 | 11.087878 | 1.3E-4 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5227083E-5 | 2.452166E-4 | 4.440151 | 1.9E-4 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.721859E-4 | 9.6199097E-4 | 1.4311383 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006701915 | 0.0070793685 | 1.0563202 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1026053E-5 | 1.3102473E-4 | 11.883195 | 1.2E-4 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7253667E-5 | 2.1724563E-4 | 4.5974345 | 1.7E-4 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.751637E-4 | 8.250199E-4 | 1.4344089 | 2.5E-4 | 0.005458487 | 0.0057369857 | 0.0060750353 | 1.0589246 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.130385E-6 | 1.1912938E-4 | 13.047575 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9129634E-5 | 1.7912415E-4 | 4.5777106 | 1.4E-4 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.7629973E-4 | 6.7620445E-4 | 1.4197037 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004752855 | 0.0050016665 | 1.0523499 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.715896E-6 | 1.0871502E-4 | 12.47319 | 1.0E-4 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7353304E-5 | 1.6734845E-4 | 4.480151 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.54682E-4 | 6.445956E-4 | 1.4176844 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045375694 | 0.0047764806 | 1.0526518 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.467425E-6 | 1.0846658E-4 | 12.809866 | 1.0E-4 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.628846E-5 | 1.6628375E-4 | 4.582276 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4172286E-4 | 6.316389E-4 | 1.4299439 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044084988 | 0.0046474407 | 1.0542003 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 7.984549E-6 | 1.0798375E-4 | 13.52409 | 1.0E-4 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4219047E-5 | 1.642146E-4 | 4.798924 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.1653763E-4 | 6.064585E-4 | 1.4559512 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003966579 | 0.0041576154 | 0.0043966174 | 1.0574853 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.462611E-6 | 1.0746186E-4 | 14.400036 | 1.0E-4 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.198223E-5 | 1.5197838E-4 | 4.7519636 | 1.2E-4 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.893144E-4 | 5.692443E-4 | 1.4621712 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003709526 | 0.0038863658 | 0.0041055107 | 1.0563881 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.7512983E-6 | 9.675069E-5 | 14.330679 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.8933815E-5 | 1.3893063E-4 | 4.80167 | 1.1E-4 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.522125E-4 | 5.121561E-4 | 1.4541112 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035165704 | 0.0037158672 | 1.0566736 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.7555812E-6 | 7.5755175E-5 | 13.162038 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4666546E-5 | 1.14664326E-4 | 4.6485767 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.00274E-4 | 4.3023497E-4 | 1.4328079 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002862736 | 0.0029987053 | 0.0031482554 | 1.0498716 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.2658967E-6 | 7.42656E-5 | 17.409142 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8282286E-5 | 1.0828064E-4 | 5.922708 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2256417E-4 | 3.5253525E-4 | 1.5839711 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022234216 | 0.002373088 | 1.0673136 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.451732E-6 | 7.245156E-5 | 29.551174 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.05073805E-5 | 9.050654E-5 | 8.613616 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2791989E-4 | 2.279071E-4 | 1.7816392 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012784676 | 0.0013983141 | 1.0937424 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.781816E-7 | 3.0978154E-5 | 31.669123 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.1922E-6 | 4.419203E-5 | 10.54149 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1038853E-5 | 1.010363E-4 | 1.9795959 | 5.0E-5 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1027257E-4 | 5.7024194E-4 | 1.1175243 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 1.0262609E-5 | 39.078976 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.11254685E-5 | 9.885091 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3702629E-5 | 3.3702356E-5 | 2.459554 | 2.0E-5 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3701791E-4 | 1.670138E-4 | 1.2189195 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.3098253E-4 | 4.266484 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.726629E-4 | 2.0160706 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.0059038606 | 1.1229881 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056126956 | 1.0167733 | 9.8E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.3098253E-4 | 4.266484 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.726629E-4 | 2.0160706 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.0059038606 | 1.1229881 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056126956 | 1.0167733 | 9.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.3098253E-4 | 4.266484 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.726629E-4 | 2.0160706 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.0059038606 | 1.1229881 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056126956 | 1.0167733 | 9.8E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.3098253E-4 | 4.266484 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.726629E-4 | 2.0160706 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.0059038606 | 1.1229881 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056126956 | 1.0167733 | 9.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101585E-4 | 4.3098253E-4 | 4.266484 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.3285333E-4 | 8.726629E-4 | 2.0160706 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052572777 | 0.0059038606 | 1.1229881 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.055201054 | 0.056126956 | 1.0167733 | 9.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.007959E-4 | 4.3076265E-4 | 4.2736125 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.31911E-4 | 8.7172096E-4 | 2.0182884 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.00524586 | 0.0058924505 | 1.1232573 | 6.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.05509187 | 0.05601788 | 1.0168085 | 9.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.007959E-4 | 4.3076265E-4 | 4.2736125 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.31911E-4 | 8.7172096E-4 | 2.0182884 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.00524586 | 0.0058924505 | 1.1232573 | 6.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.05509187 | 0.05601788 | 1.0168085 | 9.8E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.00711666E-4 | 4.3067842E-4 | 4.276351 | 3.3E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 4.3155008E-4 | 8.7136024E-4 | 2.0191402 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.005241487 | 0.00588808 | 1.1233606 | 6.5E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.05505019 | 0.05597624 | 1.016822 | 9.8E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.0060553E-4 | 4.3057234E-4 | 4.2798076 | 3.3E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 4.310954E-4 | 8.709057E-4 | 2.0202157 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.005235978 | 0.0058825747 | 1.123491 | 6.5E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.054996233 | 0.055922337 | 1.0168394 | 9.8E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.0036321E-4 | 4.3033008E-4 | 4.2877274 | 3.3E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 4.300572E-4 | 8.69868E-4 | 2.0226796 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.005223399 | 0.0058700037 | 1.12379 | 6.5E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.054874435 | 0.05580066 | 1.016879 | 9.8E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 9.984247E-5 | 4.1981053E-4 | 4.204729 | 3.2E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 4.2782622E-4 | 8.5764227E-4 | 2.004651 | 4.3E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.005196366 | 0.0058330405 | 1.122523 | 6.4E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.05461561 | 0.05553263 | 1.0167905 | 9.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 9.907841E-5 | 4.090477E-4 | 4.128525 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 4.2455274E-4 | 8.443744E-4 | 1.9888564 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.005156701 | 0.005783452 | 1.1215411 | 6.3E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.054236326 | 0.055134803 | 1.0165659 | 9.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 9.8544944E-5 | 4.085144E-4 | 4.1454625 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 4.2226719E-4 | 8.3209405E-4 | 1.9705392 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0051290058 | 0.005735877 | 1.1183214 | 6.1E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.05397074 | 0.054850545 | 1.0163015 | 9.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 9.824337E-5 | 3.982139E-4 | 4.0533414 | 3.0E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 4.2097515E-4 | 8.208068E-4 | 1.9497749 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.0051133493 | 0.005700332 | 1.1147943 | 5.9E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.05381769 | 0.054669254 | 1.0158231 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 9.783604E-5 | 3.8780767E-4 | 3.963853 | 2.9E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 4.1923E-4 | 8.090665E-4 | 1.9298869 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0050922013 | 0.005669248 | 1.1133196 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.05361244 | 0.05445473 | 1.0157106 | 8.9E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 9.747535E-5 | 3.8744707E-4 | 3.974821 | 2.9E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 4.176847E-4 | 8.075218E-4 | 1.9333286 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.005073475 | 0.005640583 | 1.111779 | 5.7E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.053429123 | 0.054233707 | 1.0150589 | 8.5E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 9.508911E-5 | 3.5506437E-4 | 3.7340174 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 4.074612E-4 | 7.673145E-4 | 1.8831598 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.0049495758 | 0.005467002 | 1.1045395 | 5.2E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.052220885 | 0.052941196 | 1.0137936 | 7.6E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 7.708729E-5 | 2.9707034E-4 | 3.8536878 | 2.2E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 3.3033226E-4 | 6.3023315E-4 | 1.9078765 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.004014383 | 0.004432697 | 1.1042038 | 4.2E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.042923823 | 0.04353635 | 1.0142702 | 6.4E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 7.0050744E-5 | 2.5003814E-4 | 3.569386 | 1.8E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 3.0018293E-4 | 5.4011086E-4 | 1.7992725 | 2.4E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0036486057 | 0.0039973287 | 1.095577 | 3.5E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.0390345 | 0.03956303 | 1.0135401 | 5.5E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 4.7969657E-5 | 1.8796294E-4 | 3.9183717 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 2.0556804E-4 | 3.9552897E-4 | 1.9240782 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0024999194 | 0.0027592694 | 1.1037433 | 2.6E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.026826832 | 0.027186908 | 1.0134221 | 3.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 2.4751243E-5 | 1.0474926E-4 | 4.232081 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 1.06072446E-4 | 2.0606184E-4 | 1.9426519 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0012906673 | 0.0014005253 | 1.0851172 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.0140003795 | 0.014138419 | 1.0098597 | 1.4E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 7.1908084E-6 | 2.7190665E-5 | 3.7813084 | 2.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 3.0817388E-5 | 5.081677E-5 | 1.6489643 | 2.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 3.751372E-4 | 3.951297E-4 | 1.0532938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0042354404 | 0.004255356 | 1.0047021 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.6774375E-4 | 47.47194 | 3.6E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.319908E-5 | 4.8318415E-4 | 14.554141 | 4.5E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0011138377 | 2.7561738 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049701836 | 1.2320807 | 9.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.696464E-6 | 3.676937E-4 | 47.77437 | 3.6E-4 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.2984433E-5 | 4.829696E-4 | 14.642349 | 4.5E-4 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.015122E-4 | 0.0011112271 | 2.7676048 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0042193993 | 0.004007946 | 0.0049441783 | 1.2335941 | 9.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.43476E-6 | 3.5743215E-4 | 48.075817 | 3.5E-4 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.1862874E-5 | 4.7184885E-4 | 14.808736 | 4.4E-4 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.878621E-4 | 0.0010875906 | 2.8040652 | 7.0E-4 | 0.00408937 | 0.0038719256 | 0.0047784024 | 1.2341151 | 9.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.348091E-6 | 3.5734553E-4 | 48.63107 | 3.5E-4 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1491443E-5 | 4.714776E-4 | 14.97161 | 4.4E-4 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8334154E-4 | 0.0010830732 | 2.825348 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038268764 | 0.0047234325 | 1.2342788 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 6.949363E-6 | 3.46947E-4 | 49.925007 | 3.4E-4 | 3.1690477E-5 | 2.9782646E-5 | 4.5976983E-4 | 15.437508 | 4.3E-4 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.62544E-4 | 0.0010522938 | 2.902527 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036195915 | 0.0044864425 | 1.2394886 | 8.7E-4 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.4957403E-6 | 3.4649353E-4 | 53.341656 | 3.4E-4 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.7838592E-5 | 4.5782662E-4 | 16.445753 | 4.3E-4 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.3888262E-4 | 0.0010186522 | 3.0059144 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0033837105 | 0.0042408006 | 1.2532989 | 8.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.1683877E-6 | 3.3616635E-4 | 54.498253 | 3.3E-4 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6435682E-5 | 4.3642483E-4 | 16.50893 | 4.1E-4 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2180737E-4 | 9.616014E-4 | 2.9881275 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032134638 | 0.004030829 | 1.2543564 | 8.2E-4 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.0747735E-6 | 3.0507325E-4 | 60.11564 | 3.0E-4 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.174885E-5 | 3.8174103E-4 | 17.552238 | 3.6E-4 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6476037E-4 | 8.3460944E-4 | 3.1523201 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026444802 | 0.0033326554 | 1.2602309 | 6.9E-4 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9332476E-6 | 2.6393222E-4 | 67.102875 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.6856668E-5 | 3.3685128E-4 | 19.983267 | 3.2E-4 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0521083E-4 | 7.1510614E-4 | 3.484739 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020502368 | 0.002658986 | 1.2969166 | 6.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1441435E-6 | 2.0214371E-4 | 94.27714 | 2.0E-4 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.189154E-6 | 2.5918687E-4 | 28.205736 | 2.5E-4 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1187225E-4 | 5.018286E-4 | 4.485729 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011181639 | 0.0015976272 | 1.4287952 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.183823E-7 | 2.0318375E-5 | 63.817543 | 2.0E-5 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3644949E-6 | 3.1364452E-5 | 22.986128 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6612601E-5 | 9.661127E-5 | 5.8155413 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.661139E-4 | 2.6609728E-4 | 1.6018966 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.3019123E-4 | 1.9617712 | 2.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015273974 | 1.3191944 | 3.7E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014567436 | 1.0386653 | 5.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13075905 | 1.0052836 | 7.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.3019123E-4 | 1.9617712 | 2.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015273974 | 1.3191944 | 3.7E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014567436 | 1.0386653 | 5.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13075905 | 1.0052836 | 7.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.3019123E-4 | 1.9617712 | 2.6E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015273974 | 1.3191944 | 3.7E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014567436 | 1.0386653 | 5.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1300718 | 0.13075905 | 1.0052836 | 7.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324295E-4 | 3.2321684E-4 | 1.9799742 | 1.6E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.995264E-4 | 9.093795E-4 | 1.2999932 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501447 | 0.008828642 | 1.038487 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099146 | 0.08145097 | 1.0056735 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324295E-4 | 3.2321684E-4 | 1.9799742 | 1.6E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.995264E-4 | 9.093795E-4 | 1.2999932 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501447 | 0.008828642 | 1.038487 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099146 | 0.08145097 | 1.0056735 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.151993E-5 | 9.151785E-5 | 2.204191 | 5.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.7793209E-4 | 2.4791964E-4 | 1.3933386 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.002164468 | 0.0022842083 | 1.0553209 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.021366281 | 0.021493504 | 1.0059544 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.3197488E-5 | 5.3196793E-5 | 2.2932134 | 3.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 9.94142E-5 | 1.3941023E-4 | 1.402317 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0012097292 | 0.0012796446 | 1.0577942 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.012046812 | 0.012125848 | 1.0065608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 1.9576632E-5 | 4.9576043E-5 | 2.5324094 | 3.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 8.38973E-5 | 1.2389394E-4 | 1.4767333 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0010209978 | 0.0010909262 | 1.0684904 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.010175766 | 0.010254952 | 1.0077819 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.3060505E-5 | 3.3060245E-5 | 2.5313144 | 2.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 5.5972414E-5 | 7.597129E-5 | 1.3572989 | 2.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 6.8125513E-4 | 7.2122784E-4 | 1.0586752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.006796265 | 0.006845925 | 1.0073069 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.125129E-5 | 3.1251064E-5 | 2.777554 | 2.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 4.8218935E-5 | 6.8217974E-5 | 1.4147549 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 5.8691E-4 | 6.268865E-4 | 1.0681136 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.005857585 | 0.005907292 | 1.0084859 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.0446838E-5 | 3.0446628E-5 | 2.914435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.477141E-5 | 6.477052E-5 | 1.4466937 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.44958E-4 | 5.849362E-4 | 1.0733602 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005439774 | 0.005489502 | 1.0091416 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 9.354852E-6 | 1.9354758E-5 | 2.068954 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.009162E-5 | 5.0091217E-5 | 1.2494187 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 4.8800823E-4 | 5.0799845E-4 | 1.0409629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0048725144 | 0.004902368 | 1.006127 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 7.787714E-6 | 7.787714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.3375494E-5 | 3.3375494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.062723E-4 | 4.062723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004056584 | 0.0040665437 | 1.0024551 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 6.6462635E-6 | 6.6462635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 2.8483682E-5 | 2.8483682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.4673486E-4 | 3.4673486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003462246 | 0.0034722113 | 1.0028783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 5.8420455E-6 | 5.8420455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.5037105E-5 | 2.5037105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.0478527E-4 | 3.0478527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0030437957 | 0.0030537653 | 1.0032754 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 4.804945E-6 | 4.804945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.0592464E-5 | 2.0592464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.5068547E-4 | 2.5068547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0025041322 | 0.0025041322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.3070513E-6 | 4.3070513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 1.8458666E-5 | 1.8458666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.2471207E-4 | 2.2471207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0022449465 | 0.0022449465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.1191724E-6 | 2.1191724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.0821395E-6 | 9.0821395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.10570065E-4 | 1.10570065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0011052118 | 0.0011052118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Clamshell-Sawpit
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 4.029808E-4 | 135.13725 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.7277412E-4 | 36.993305 | 4.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 8.2548184E-4 | 5.305628 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0024734193 | 1.590777 | 9.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 4.029808E-4 | 135.13725 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.7277412E-4 | 36.993305 | 4.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 8.2548184E-4 | 5.305628 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0024734193 | 1.590777 | 9.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 4.029808E-4 | 135.13725 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.7277412E-4 | 36.993305 | 4.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 8.2548184E-4 | 5.305628 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0024734193 | 1.590777 | 9.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 4.029808E-4 | 135.13725 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.7277412E-4 | 36.993305 | 4.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 8.2548184E-4 | 5.305628 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0024734193 | 1.590777 | 9.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.9820114E-6 | 4.029808E-4 | 135.13725 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779991E-5 | 4.7277412E-4 | 36.993305 | 4.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5558608E-4 | 8.2548184E-4 | 5.305628 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548499 | 0.0024734193 | 1.590777 | 9.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 3.9235185E-4 | 166.76195 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 4.400789E-4 | 43.644566 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 7.6267833E-4 | 6.212916 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0021158287 | 1.7245033 | 8.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 3.9235185E-4 | 166.76195 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 4.400789E-4 | 43.644566 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 7.6267833E-4 | 6.212916 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0021158287 | 1.7245033 | 8.9E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527662E-6 | 3.9235185E-4 | 166.76195 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083246E-5 | 4.400789E-4 | 43.644566 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.227569E-4 | 7.6267833E-4 | 6.212916 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.0012269208 | 0.0021158287 | 1.7245033 | 8.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4098806E-6 | 2.1709307E-6 | 3.9217007E-4 | 180.64607 | 3.9E-4 | 1.0328019E-5 | 9.303956E-6 | 4.3929997E-4 | 47.21647 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2573638E-4 | 1.1327005E-4 | 7.431987E-4 | 6.5612993 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0012566525 | 0.0011321492 | 0.0020011642 | 1.7675799 | 8.7E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0073985E-6 | 1.754691E-6 | 3.7175405E-4 | 211.86298 | 3.7E-4 | 8.603109E-6 | 7.520083E-6 | 4.17517E-4 | 55.520264 | 4.1E-4 | 1.0473781E-4 | 9.155328E-5 | 6.9149834E-4 | 7.552961 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0010468846 | 9.151672E-4 | 0.001714435 | 1.8733572 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8166766E-6 | 1.5582452E-6 | 3.7155766E-4 | 238.4462 | 3.7E-4 | 7.785734E-6 | 6.6781777E-6 | 4.1667544E-4 | 62.393585 | 4.1E-4 | 9.478718E-5 | 8.130388E-5 | 6.812551E-4 | 8.379122 | 6.0E-4 | 9.4746763E-4 | 8.127511E-4 | 0.0016121009 | 1.9835112 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5471421E-6 | 1.2852723E-6 | 3.3128486E-4 | 257.7546 | 3.3E-4 | 6.6305925E-6 | 5.5082987E-6 | 3.7550626E-4 | 68.171005 | 3.7E-4 | 8.072447E-5 | 6.7061526E-5 | 6.070253E-4 | 9.051767 | 5.4E-4 | 8.0695155E-4 | 6.704182E-4 | 0.0013799422 | 2.0583305 | 7.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3608037E-6 | 1.0969891E-6 | 3.310966E-4 | 301.8231 | 3.3E-4 | 5.8320024E-6 | 4.7013737E-6 | 3.646997E-4 | 77.573006 | 3.6E-4 | 7.1002316E-5 | 5.7237765E-5 | 5.8720744E-4 | 10.25909 | 5.3E-4 | 7.097964E-4 | 5.722347E-4 | 0.0012618399 | 2.205109 | 6.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0749634E-6 | 8.230922E-7 | 2.8082286E-4 | 341.18033 | 2.8E-4 | 4.6069777E-6 | 3.5275334E-6 | 3.1352643E-4 | 88.87979 | 3.1E-4 | 5.608851E-5 | 4.29469E-5 | 5.129267E-4 | 11.943276 | 4.7E-4 | 5.6074356E-4 | 4.2938872E-4 | 0.0010091397 | 2.3501775 | 5.8E-4 |
7.4 | 8.416856E-7 | 6.074442E-7 | 2.306073E-4 | 379.63538 | 2.3E-4 | 3.607219E-6 | 2.6033297E-6 | 2.5260268E-4 | 97.03062 | 2.5E-4 | 4.3917007E-5 | 3.1695097E-5 | 4.3168242E-4 | 13.619848 | 4.0E-4 | 4.390833E-4 | 3.1690765E-4 | 8.167492E-4 | 2.5772467 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 6.2779594E-7 | 4.3984852E-7 | 1.9043976E-4 | 432.9667 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6905511E-6 | 1.8850637E-6 | 2.1188468E-4 | 112.401855 | 2.1E-4 | 3.275697E-5 | 2.2950428E-5 | 3.6294264E-4 | 15.8141985 | 3.4E-4 | 3.275214E-4 | 2.2948236E-4 | 6.393883E-4 | 2.7862196 | 4.1E-4 |
7.6 | 4.3822078E-7 | 2.9849917E-7 | 1.1029847E-4 | 369.51013 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8780877E-6 | 1.2792816E-6 | 1.1127914E-4 | 86.98565 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2865479E-5 | 1.5575157E-5 | 2.055722E-4 | 13.198724 | 1.9E-4 | 2.2863125E-4 | 1.5574212E-4 | 4.0570318E-4 | 2.6049676 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8704569E-7 | 1.0951559E-7 | 3.0109511E-5 | 274.93356 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0162414E-7 | 4.6935244E-7 | 3.0469339E-5 | 64.91782 | 3.0E-5 | 9.75973E-6 | 5.7143516E-6 | 3.571418E-5 | 6.2499094 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7593016E-5 | 5.7142104E-5 | 9.713982E-5 | 1.6999692 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5378733E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 2.0021233E-5 | 942.9338 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5162313E-7 | 9.09982E-8 | 2.0090996E-5 | 220.78455 | 2.0E-5 | 1.84601E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 2.110788E-5 | 19.052109 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8459947E-5 | 1.1078973E-5 | 3.107875E-5 | 2.8052015 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.504945E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 1.0005073E-5 | 1972.228 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2164053E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 1.0021741E-5 | 460.9532 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9159727E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 1.0264698E-5 | 38.77849 | 1.0E-5 | 3.915966E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 1.26469795E-5 | 4.7778435 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6554036E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0945894E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.637662E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6376616E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 3.3646956E-4 | 3.486994 | 2.4E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 7.433384E-4 | 1.7977839 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005579649 | 1.1109391 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.05373347 | 1.0143012 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 3.3646956E-4 | 3.486994 | 2.4E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 7.433384E-4 | 1.7977839 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005579649 | 1.1109391 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.05373347 | 1.0143012 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 3.3646956E-4 | 3.486994 | 2.4E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 7.433384E-4 | 1.7977839 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005579649 | 1.1109391 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.05373347 | 1.0143012 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649273E-5 | 3.3646956E-4 | 3.486994 | 2.4E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347483E-4 | 7.433384E-4 | 1.7977839 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224615 | 0.005579649 | 1.1109391 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052975852 | 0.05373347 | 1.0143012 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6440905E-5 | 3.3641775E-4 | 3.4883306 | 2.4E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.132528E-4 | 7.431164E-4 | 1.7982126 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019771 | 0.00557696 | 1.1109989 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052949928 | 0.053707566 | 1.0143086 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6440905E-5 | 3.3641775E-4 | 3.4883306 | 2.4E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.132528E-4 | 7.431164E-4 | 1.7982126 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019771 | 0.00557696 | 1.1109989 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052949928 | 0.053707566 | 1.0143086 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 9.495193E-5 | 3.3492915E-4 | 3.5273547 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 4.0687347E-4 | 7.367392E-4 | 1.810733 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.004942456 | 0.005479787 | 1.1087174 | 5.4E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.05219701 | 0.052936297 | 1.0141634 | 7.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 9.424799E-5 | 3.3422536E-4 | 3.5462334 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 4.0385753E-4 | 7.337243E-4 | 1.8167899 | 3.3E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.0049059023 | 0.005443253 | 1.1095315 | 5.4E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.051848717 | 0.052588273 | 1.0142637 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 9.3862946E-5 | 3.338404E-4 | 3.5566795 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 4.0220784E-4 | 7.3207513E-4 | 1.8201413 | 3.3E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.0048859073 | 0.005413318 | 1.1079452 | 5.3E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.05165475 | 0.052384973 | 1.0141367 | 7.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 9.293477E-5 | 3.3291246E-4 | 3.5822163 | 2.4E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 3.9823118E-4 | 7.280998E-4 | 1.8283345 | 3.3E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.004837707 | 0.0053651435 | 1.1090261 | 5.3E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.051192086 | 0.051922668 | 1.0142714 | 7.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 9.170469E-5 | 3.216836E-4 | 3.5078204 | 2.3E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 3.92961E-4 | 7.1283523E-4 | 1.8140101 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.004773826 | 0.005291343 | 1.1084073 | 5.2E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.050579146 | 0.051291212 | 1.0140783 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 9.104478E-5 | 3.1102475E-4 | 3.4161735 | 2.2E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 3.9013362E-4 | 7.0001266E-4 | 1.7942896 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.0047395527 | 0.005247135 | 1.1070951 | 5.1E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.050248664 | 0.05094198 | 1.0137978 | 7.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 9.017492E-5 | 3.101551E-4 | 3.4394827 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 3.8640678E-4 | 6.8629085E-4 | 1.7760838 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0046943747 | 0.0051820744 | 1.1038903 | 4.9E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.049813133 | 0.050487768 | 1.0135432 | 7.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 8.982027E-5 | 3.098005E-4 | 3.4491158 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 3.848873E-4 | 6.8477186E-4 | 1.7791489 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.0046759546 | 0.00515371 | 1.1021729 | 4.8E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.049629547 | 0.050285302 | 1.013213 | 6.9E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 8.9589776E-5 | 2.9957097E-4 | 3.3438075 | 2.1E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 3.8389975E-4 | 6.737884E-4 | 1.7551155 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.004663983 | 0.0051317904 | 1.1003022 | 4.7E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.049510498 | 0.050156828 | 1.0130545 | 6.8E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 8.8698325E-5 | 2.986797E-4 | 3.3673656 | 2.1E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 3.8008037E-4 | 6.699702E-4 | 1.7627065 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00461768 | 0.0050755558 | 1.0991571 | 4.6E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.049048595 | 0.049676225 | 1.012796 | 6.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 8.487096E-5 | 2.6485568E-4 | 3.1206868 | 1.8E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 3.6368205E-4 | 6.235875E-4 | 1.7146502 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.0044188565 | 0.004827045 | 1.0923742 | 4.1E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.047080424 | 0.047633115 | 1.0117394 | 5.8E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 6.6217704E-5 | 2.0620844E-4 | 3.114098 | 1.4E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 2.8375932E-4 | 4.8370258E-4 | 1.7046226 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0034492996 | 0.0037582305 | 1.0895634 | 3.1E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.03738323 | 0.037835658 | 1.0121025 | 4.7E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 6.0825343E-5 | 1.8081804E-4 | 2.9727418 | 1.2E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 2.60654E-4 | 4.3060968E-4 | 1.6520356 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0031688467 | 0.0034479594 | 1.0880802 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.034304265 | 0.034709856 | 1.0118234 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 4.383111E-5 | 1.4382674E-4 | 3.2813845 | 1.0E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 1.878341E-4 | 3.278078E-4 | 1.7451986 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0022844826 | 0.002494003 | 1.0917145 | 2.1E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.024679938 | 0.024962781 | 1.0114604 | 2.9E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 2.3446533E-5 | 9.344489E-5 | 3.985446 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 1.0048127E-4 | 1.9047223E-4 | 1.8955994 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0012226732 | 0.001322551 | 1.081688 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.013319317 | 0.0134475855 | 1.0096302 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 6.9991265E-6 | 2.6998987E-5 | 3.8574793 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 2.9995912E-5 | 4.9995313E-5 | 1.6667376 | 2.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 3.6513916E-4 | 3.8513183E-4 | 1.0547537 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0041366457 | 0.004156563 | 1.0048149 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.9081435E-4 | 26.883976 | 2.8E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.9634318E-4 | 8.549356 | 3.5E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0011339603 | 2.0095632 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.0063767135 | 1.1324427 | 7.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.9081435E-4 | 26.883976 | 2.8E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.9634318E-4 | 8.549356 | 3.5E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0011339603 | 2.0095632 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.0063767135 | 1.1324427 | 7.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.9081435E-4 | 26.883976 | 2.8E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.9634318E-4 | 8.549356 | 3.5E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0011339603 | 2.0095632 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.0063767135 | 1.1324427 | 7.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.9081435E-4 | 26.883976 | 2.8E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.9634318E-4 | 8.549356 | 3.5E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0011339603 | 2.0095632 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.0063767135 | 1.1324427 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817386E-5 | 2.9081435E-4 | 26.883976 | 2.8E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359415E-5 | 3.9634318E-4 | 8.549356 | 3.5E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.6428195E-4 | 0.0011339603 | 2.0095632 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309365 | 0.0063767135 | 1.1324427 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.06585685E-5 | 2.906556E-4 | 27.269663 | 2.8E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.5678793E-5 | 3.956628E-4 | 8.661849 | 3.5E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5599964E-4 | 0.0011256827 | 2.0246105 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485275 | 0.006294366 | 1.134421 | 7.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.06585685E-5 | 2.906556E-4 | 27.269663 | 2.8E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.5678793E-5 | 3.956628E-4 | 8.661849 | 3.5E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5599964E-4 | 0.0011256827 | 2.0246105 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485275 | 0.006294366 | 1.134421 | 7.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.0224036E-5 | 2.9022119E-4 | 28.386166 | 2.8E-4 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.3816573E-5 | 3.9380122E-4 | 8.987495 | 3.5E-4 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.333382E-4 | 0.0011030342 | 2.06817 | 5.7E-4 | 0.005929234 | 0.005323007 | 0.006069015 | 1.1401478 | 7.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.011521E-6 | 2.89009E-4 | 32.071056 | 2.8E-4 | 4.5358654E-5 | 3.8620237E-5 | 3.886067E-4 | 10.062256 | 3.5E-4 | 5.521017E-4 | 4.701009E-4 | 0.001039833 | 2.2119358 | 5.7E-4 | 0.00550732 | 0.004693377 | 0.005439857 | 1.1590496 | 7.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 7.882459E-6 | 2.8788025E-4 | 36.521633 | 2.8E-4 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.378153E-5 | 3.8376971E-4 | 11.360341 | 3.5E-4 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.1121285E-4 | 9.809785E-4 | 2.3855734 | 5.7E-4 | 0.005043391 | 0.00410677 | 0.0048536896 | 1.1818752 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 7.5105877E-6 | 2.8750848E-4 | 38.280422 | 2.8E-4 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.218784E-5 | 3.8217657E-4 | 11.8733225 | 3.5E-4 | 4.893937E-4 | 3.9181678E-4 | 9.615934E-4 | 2.4541917 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0039135055 | 0.0046605705 | 1.190894 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.1218815E-6 | 2.8711988E-4 | 40.315174 | 2.8E-4 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.0521995E-5 | 3.805113E-4 | 12.466791 | 3.5E-4 | 4.667083E-4 | 3.7154218E-4 | 9.413304E-4 | 2.5335763 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0037114525 | 0.004458669 | 1.2013272 | 7.5E-4 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.3664356E-6 | 2.8636467E-4 | 44.980373 | 2.8E-4 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.7284439E-5 | 3.7727488E-4 | 13.827475 | 3.5E-4 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.3213763E-4 | 9.019483E-4 | 2.7155862 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0033186476 | 0.004056192 | 1.2222424 | 7.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 5.898707E-6 | 2.7589712E-4 | 46.772472 | 2.7E-4 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.527993E-5 | 3.6527132E-4 | 14.449064 | 3.4E-4 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.0773986E-4 | 8.575706E-4 | 2.7866738 | 5.5E-4 | 0.004018998 | 0.0030753643 | 0.0037632422 | 1.2236737 | 6.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 5.4704374E-6 | 2.6546902E-4 | 48.52793 | 2.6E-4 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.3444523E-5 | 3.5343677E-4 | 15.075453 | 3.3E-4 | 3.7956095E-4 | 2.8539984E-4 | 8.152486E-4 | 2.8565137 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0028525535 | 0.0035106707 | 1.2307117 | 6.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 4.6084037E-6 | 2.5460726E-4 | 55.24847 | 2.5E-4 | 2.7903774E-5 | 1.9750152E-5 | 3.3974383E-4 | 17.202087 | 3.2E-4 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.4043169E-4 | 7.503091E-4 | 3.1206746 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0024039217 | 0.0030324073 | 1.2614417 | 6.3E-4 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.4778066E-6 | 1.9347714E-4 | 55.631947 | 1.9E-4 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.49048E-5 | 2.7490093E-4 | 18.443785 | 2.6E-4 | 2.8430918E-4 | 1.8145089E-4 | 5.613819E-4 | 3.0938506 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0018152198 | 0.0022743847 | 1.2529528 | 4.6E-4 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 2.8183554E-6 | 1.5281793E-4 | 54.222378 | 1.5E-4 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.2078611E-5 | 2.0207632E-4 | 16.730097 | 1.9E-4 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.4704718E-4 | 4.1700748E-4 | 2.8358753 | 2.7E-4 | 0.002501296 | 0.001471572 | 0.0018110716 | 1.2307055 | 3.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 1.858472E-6 | 1.01858284E-4 | 54.807545 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4546376E-5 | 7.964855E-6 | 1.1796398E-4 | 14.810561 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7708774E-4 | 9.6967815E-5 | 2.569523E-4 | 2.649872 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0017694668 | 9.695621E-4 | 0.0011893488 | 1.2266866 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 4.7110532E-7 | 4.0471088E-5 | 85.90667 | 4.0E-5 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.0190212E-6 | 4.201894E-5 | 20.81154 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.458131E-5 | 6.458032E-5 | 2.6272125 | 4.0E-5 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.4578624E-4 | 3.057715E-4 | 1.2440546 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 5.5658628E-8 | 1.0055658E-5 | 180.66666 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.3853696E-7 | 1.0238535E-5 | 42.92222 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9162867E-6 | 2.9041837E-6 | 1.2904155E-5 | 4.4432983 | 1.0E-5 | 5.916129E-5 | 2.904147E-5 | 3.904118E-5 | 1.3443252 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 1.9299093E-4 | 2.6437225 | 1.2E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0012481237 | 1.404843 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009437155 | 1.0660588 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 1.9299093E-4 | 2.6437225 | 1.2E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0012481237 | 1.404843 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009437155 | 1.0660588 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 1.9299093E-4 | 2.6437225 | 1.2E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0012481237 | 1.404843 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009437155 | 1.0660588 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 6.0025613E-5 | 5.9869275 | 5.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 1.6296322E-4 | 3.7926314 | 1.2E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.328572E-4 | 1.5924023 | 3.1E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0057157706 | 1.0953152 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 6.0025613E-5 | 5.9869275 | 5.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 1.6296322E-4 | 3.7926314 | 1.2E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.328572E-4 | 1.5924023 | 3.1E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0057157706 | 1.0953152 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.2589787E-6 | 5.7258614E-5 | 7.8879714 | 5.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1109546E-5 | 1.3110644E-4 | 4.2143474 | 1.0E-4 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.7869444E-4 | 6.38596E-4 | 1.6863093 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0036884616 | 0.00378065 | 0.0041891 | 1.108037 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0001234E-6 | 5.5999823E-5 | 9.333112 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5714566E-5 | 1.1571225E-4 | 4.4998717 | 9.0E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.130307E-4 | 5.4295873E-4 | 1.7345222 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031259838 | 0.0034848582 | 1.1148038 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.0643466E-6 | 5.5064094E-5 | 10.872892 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1704165E-5 | 1.1170221E-4 | 5.1465797 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6421662E-4 | 4.841585E-4 | 1.8324301 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026390732 | 0.0029881494 | 1.1322724 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.464621E-6 | 5.44644E-5 | 12.199109 | 5.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9133951E-5 | 1.0913223E-4 | 5.703591 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3293128E-4 | 4.4288236E-4 | 1.9013435 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023269062 | 0.0026461615 | 1.1372017 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.5620867E-6 | 5.3561907E-5 | 15.036667 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5265998E-5 | 1.05264626E-4 | 6.895365 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8584782E-4 | 3.9580878E-4 | 2.1297467 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018569398 | 0.002166364 | 1.1666313 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2369335E-6 | 5.323677E-5 | 16.446669 | 5.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.3872499E-5 | 1.0387125E-4 | 7.487566 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.6888473E-4 | 3.7884925E-4 | 2.2432418 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0016875777 | 0.0019870715 | 1.1774696 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5098152E-6 | 5.250969E-5 | 20.921736 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0756307E-5 | 8.0755555E-5 | 7.5077395 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3095023E-4 | 3.1092667E-4 | 2.374388 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013087365 | 0.0015584093 | 1.190774 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0347275E-6 | 2.2034686E-5 | 10.829307 | 2.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.720232E-6 | 4.871988E-5 | 5.586994 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0616369E-4 | 2.3614989E-4 | 2.224394 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010611339 | 0.0012309535 | 1.160036 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.653429E-6 | 2.1653395E-5 | 13.096055 | 2.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.086105E-6 | 3.708589E-5 | 5.233608 | 3.0E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.626994E-5 | 2.0625959E-4 | 2.3908627 | 1.2E-4 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.623673E-4 | 0.0010222293 | 1.1853758 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3130332E-6 | 2.1313006E-5 | 16.231888 | 2.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.627273E-6 | 3.5627105E-5 | 6.331149 | 3.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.8509915E-5 | 1.7850238E-4 | 2.605497 | 1.1E-4 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.8489014E-4 | 8.347874E-4 | 1.2188632 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.1325774E-7 | 2.091324E-5 | 22.899603 | 2.0E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.913956E-6 | 3.391384E-5 | 8.664849 | 3.0E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.765139E-5 | 1.376471E-4 | 2.8886273 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.7641335E-4 | 6.063514E-4 | 1.2727423 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7017312E-7 | 2.0470165E-5 | 43.537502 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0150262E-6 | 2.2014985E-5 | 10.925409 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4532676E-5 | 7.453145E-5 | 3.0380483 | 5.0E-5 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4530038E-4 | 3.1528322E-4 | 1.2852944 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5427528E-7 | 2.025427E-5 | 79.6549 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.0897506E-6 | 2.1089729E-5 | 19.352802 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3267634E-5 | 5.3267104E-5 | 4.014816 | 4.0E-5 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3266846E-4 | 1.7266315E-4 | 1.3014635 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5230466E-7 | 2.0152302E-5 | 132.31572 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.527341E-7 | 2.065272E-5 | 31.640327 | 2.0E-5 | 8.893623E-6 | 7.947009E-6 | 4.794669E-5 | 6.0333004 | 4.0E-5 | 8.893267E-5 | 7.946727E-5 | 1.19464086E-4 | 1.5033119 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0251063E-8 | 4.0251063E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7250454E-7 | 1.7250454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1002409E-6 | 2.21002E-5 | 10.522697 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1002214E-5 | 4.1001793E-5 | 1.9522605 | 2.0E-5 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.3537922E-4 | 5.185953 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.64454E-4 | 2.3878582 | 2.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028247607 | 1.1939734 | 4.6E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024093483 | 1.0279146 | 6.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.3537922E-4 | 5.185953 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.64454E-4 | 2.3878582 | 2.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028247607 | 1.1939734 | 4.6E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024093483 | 1.0279146 | 6.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.3537922E-4 | 5.185953 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.64454E-4 | 2.3878582 | 2.7E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028247607 | 1.1939734 | 4.6E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439188 | 0.024093483 | 1.0279146 | 6.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.7161612E-5 | 6.7160756E-5 | 3.913429 | 5.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.3547795E-5 | 1.3354338E-4 | 1.815736 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 8.950941E-4 | 9.950045E-4 | 1.1116201 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.008918432 | 0.009077005 | 1.0177804 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.2626102E-5 | 3.262585E-5 | 2.584 | 2.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.4110773E-5 | 7.4109696E-5 | 1.3695922 | 2.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 6.586048E-4 | 7.0857187E-4 | 1.075868 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.006568824 | 0.006648299 | 1.0120988 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.2132733E-5 | 2.2132612E-5 | 1.8242066 | 1.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.199642E-5 | 6.1995896E-5 | 1.1923109 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.3287764E-4 | 6.7285233E-4 | 1.0631634 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0063130343 | 0.006382592 | 1.0110182 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 9.582907E-6 | 9.582907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.1068964E-5 | 4.1068964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 4.999016E-4 | 5.098966E-4 | 1.0199939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.0049891076 | 0.005018958 | 1.0059831 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.12494E-6 | 9.12494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 3.910631E-5 | 3.910631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 4.7601692E-4 | 4.8601217E-4 | 1.0209976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0047512264 | 0.004781084 | 1.0062841 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 8.749737E-6 | 8.749737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 3.7498343E-5 | 3.7498343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.5644827E-4 | 4.664437E-4 | 1.0218983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004556276 | 0.004586139 | 1.0065544 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.076869E-6 | 8.076869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.46147E-5 | 3.46147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.2135388E-4 | 4.3134965E-4 | 1.023723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.004206622 | 0.0042364956 | 1.0071017 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 7.429607E-6 | 7.429607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.184079E-5 | 3.184079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 3.8759396E-4 | 3.9759008E-4 | 1.0257902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0038701445 | 0.003890067 | 1.0051478 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 6.7359465E-6 | 6.7359465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 2.886803E-5 | 2.886803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.5141266E-4 | 3.5141266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0035096793 | 0.0035196443 | 1.0028392 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.0102057E-6 | 6.0102057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.5757774E-5 | 2.5757774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.135568E-4 | 3.135568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0031321887 | 0.0031421573 | 1.0031826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.1453976E-6 | 5.1453976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.2051523E-5 | 2.2051523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.684451E-4 | 2.684451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0026814663 | 0.0026914396 | 1.0037193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 4.6199916E-6 | 4.6199916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 1.9799818E-5 | 1.9799818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.4103698E-4 | 2.4103698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0024078474 | 0.0024178233 | 1.0041431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.6101314E-6 | 3.6101314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.5471905E-5 | 1.5471905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 1.8835491E-4 | 1.8835491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0018820278 | 0.0018820278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.1108325E-6 | 3.1108325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.33320755E-5 | 1.33320755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.623066E-4 | 1.623066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0016219486 | 0.0016219486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.1228193E-6 | 2.1228193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.097768E-6 | 9.097768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.10760324E-4 | 1.10760324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0011071125 | 0.0011071125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.3780445E-4 | 17.65486 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.345161E-5 | 2.1344559E-4 | 6.380727 | 1.8E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720272E-4 | 8.370276E-4 | 2.055555 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004065108 | 0.0047722217 | 1.1739471 | 7.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.127297E-6 | 1.0612668E-4 | 17.320309 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259595E-5 | 1.4625644E-4 | 5.5696383 | 1.2E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966603E-4 | 6.095733E-4 | 1.9069068 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0031922967 | 0.0036308921 | 1.1373918 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.127297E-6 | 1.0612668E-4 | 17.320309 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259595E-5 | 1.4625644E-4 | 5.5696383 | 1.2E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966603E-4 | 6.095733E-4 | 1.9069068 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0031922967 | 0.0036308921 | 1.1373918 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 4.779935E-6 | 6.477965E-5 | 13.552413 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.0485277E-5 | 9.0483845E-5 | 4.4170184 | 7.0E-5 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.4938022E-4 | 4.5932783E-4 | 1.8418777 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004496431 | 0.0024910555 | 0.0028002833 | 1.1241353 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.5941506E-6 | 6.459388E-5 | 14.060025 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4570177E-5 | 1.968907E-5 | 8.9687695E-5 | 4.555202 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.3968857E-4 | 4.4963823E-4 | 1.875927 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0042001465 | 0.00239435 | 0.0027036078 | 1.1291615 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.186383E-6 | 4.4186214E-5 | 10.554748 | 4.0E-5 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.794152E-5 | 6.794062E-5 | 3.7867818 | 5.0E-5 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.1841654E-4 | 4.0837502E-4 | 1.8697075 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0021820604 | 0.0024714274 | 1.1326119 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.60759E-6 | 4.3607444E-5 | 12.087694 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.5461012E-5 | 6.546024E-5 | 4.233891 | 5.0E-5 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.8822188E-4 | 3.68188E-4 | 1.9561381 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0018806581 | 0.0021301878 | 1.1326822 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.6314951E-6 | 2.2631442E-5 | 8.600222 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1277788E-5 | 4.127745E-5 | 3.6600661 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.3729851E-4 | 2.2728615E-4 | 1.655416 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002680074 | 0.0013721455 | 0.0015319259 | 1.1164457 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 1.9600484E-6 | 1.1960029E-5 | 6.101905 | 1.0E-5 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.40018E-6 | 2.8400013E-5 | 3.3808813 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.02267455E-4 | 1.5226234E-4 | 1.4888641 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010222096 | 0.0011420869 | 1.1172727 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.2478722E-6 | 1.2478722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.348013E-6 | 1.534796E-5 | 2.8698435 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4553878E-4 | 6.511015E-5 | 9.51082E-5 | 1.4607277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001454435 | 6.509143E-4 | 7.1087526E-4 | 1.092118 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 7.973086E-7 | 7.973086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.4170325E-6 | 3.4170325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.1601605E-5 | 4.1601605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.1594089E-4 | 4.1594089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.02168E-7 | 6.02168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.5807174E-6 | 2.5807174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.1419804E-5 | 3.1419804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.141559E-4 | 3.141559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 4.8297255E-7 | 4.8297255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.0698808E-6 | 2.0698808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.5200528E-5 | 2.5200528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.5197875E-4 | 2.5197875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 6.5881565E-8 | 6.5881565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.767173E-6 | 2.9476578E-4 | 61.83241 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.8042324E-4 | 18.620283 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.885799E-4 | 3.1706262 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.0024843907 | 0.0031726765 | 1.277044 | 6.9E-4 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.7583912E-6 | 2.9475702E-4 | 61.94468 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0392947E-5 | 3.803856E-4 | 18.652802 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.4825614E-4 | 7.8812207E-4 | 3.1746328 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027334841 | 0.0024798198 | 0.0031681089 | 1.2775561 | 6.9E-4 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.738467E-6 | 2.9473708E-4 | 62.20094 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.030756E-5 | 3.8030025E-4 | 18.727028 | 3.6E-4 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.4721678E-4 | 7.870833E-4 | 3.1837776 | 5.4E-4 | 0.002723483 | 0.0024694495 | 0.0031577456 | 1.2787246 | 6.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7218223E-6 | 2.9472046E-4 | 62.416676 | 2.9E-4 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0236226E-5 | 3.8022894E-4 | 18.789518 | 3.6E-4 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.463485E-4 | 7.862155E-4 | 3.1914766 | 5.4E-4 | 0.002715153 | 0.002460786 | 0.003149088 | 1.2797083 | 6.9E-4 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.6304554E-6 | 2.8462915E-4 | 61.468933 | 2.8E-4 | 2.1953823E-5 | 1.984466E-5 | 3.698377E-4 | 18.636637 | 3.5E-4 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4158224E-4 | 7.614566E-4 | 3.151956 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024132272 | 0.0030816102 | 1.2769666 | 6.7E-4 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.377694E-6 | 2.8437647E-4 | 64.960335 | 2.8E-4 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.8761411E-5 | 3.5875503E-4 | 19.121964 | 3.4E-4 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.2839654E-4 | 7.3828007E-4 | 3.2324486 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0025429246 | 0.0022816479 | 0.0029201875 | 1.2798591 | 6.4E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.5503435E-6 | 2.435495E-4 | 68.598854 | 2.4E-4 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.5215671E-5 | 3.0521126E-4 | 20.059008 | 2.9E-4 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8523527E-4 | 6.451501E-4 | 3.4828684 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0021284167 | 0.0018508319 | 0.002419777 | 1.3073996 | 5.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.0827488E-6 | 1.9208236E-4 | 92.22541 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0905142E-5 | 8.926036E-6 | 2.2892407E-4 | 25.64678 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.0866911E-4 | 4.4863217E-4 | 4.128424 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0010861643 | 0.0015256864 | 1.4046552 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.269078E-7 | 2.0326901E-5 | 62.179306 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4010327E-6 | 3.1400992E-5 | 22.412746 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7057444E-5 | 9.705608E-5 | 5.6899548 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.7056165E-4 | 2.8054288E-4 | 1.6448182 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.342628E-4 | 1.8533713 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0013334869 | 1.3284148 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012591401 | 1.0357538 | 4.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115976974 | 1.0049055 | 6.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.342628E-4 | 1.8533713 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0013334869 | 1.3284148 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012591401 | 1.0357538 | 4.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115976974 | 1.0049055 | 6.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3430967E-4 | 4.342628E-4 | 1.8533713 | 2.0E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038181 | 0.0013334869 | 1.3284148 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.01215675 | 0.012591401 | 1.0357538 | 4.4E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.11541084 | 0.115976974 | 1.0049055 | 6.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302673E-4 | 4.2298212E-4 | 1.8965535 | 2.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5549866E-4 | 0.0012851834 | 1.3450394 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.011574811 | 0.012009718 | 1.0375736 | 4.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.110293545 | 0.11086296 | 1.0051627 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302673E-4 | 4.2298212E-4 | 1.8965535 | 2.0E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5549866E-4 | 0.0012851834 | 1.3450394 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.011574811 | 0.012009718 | 1.0375736 | 4.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.110293545 | 0.11086296 | 1.0051627 | 6.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.0452504E-4 | 4.0448413E-4 | 1.9776753 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 8.762607E-4 | 0.0011959802 | 1.3648682 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.010619782 | 0.011045216 | 1.0400605 | 4.3E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1018249 | 0.10239973 | 1.0056453 | 6.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 1.8830529E-4 | 3.8826762E-4 | 2.0619051 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 8.067913E-4 | 0.0011265331 | 1.396313 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.0097817425 | 0.010207537 | 1.0435294 | 4.3E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.09430779 | 0.09488743 | 1.0061463 | 6.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 1.7036399E-4 | 3.7032992E-4 | 2.173757 | 2.0E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 7.2994415E-4 | 0.0010297252 | 1.4106903 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.008853931 | 0.009250389 | 1.0447776 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.08591519 | 0.08647279 | 1.00649 | 6.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 1.665005E-4 | 3.664672E-4 | 2.2009976 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 7.133955E-4 | 0.0010131815 | 1.4202241 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.008654063 | 0.009050601 | 1.0458211 | 4.0E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.08409028 | 0.08464898 | 1.0066441 | 6.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.1722602E-4 | 3.172026E-4 | 2.705906 | 2.0E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 5.023011E-4 | 7.9215545E-4 | 1.577053 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.0060984865 | 0.006476169 | 1.0619305 | 3.8E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.060454614 | 0.060971364 | 1.0085478 | 5.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.1219919E-4 | 3.0217785E-4 | 2.693227 | 1.9E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 4.807656E-4 | 7.60631E-4 | 1.5821244 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.005837724 | 0.0062055644 | 1.0630108 | 3.7E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.058013458 | 0.05852213 | 1.0087682 | 5.4E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.0703428E-4 | 2.8701502E-4 | 2.6815243 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 4.586382E-4 | 7.285144E-4 | 1.5884293 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.0055697276 | 0.0059277224 | 1.0642751 | 3.6E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.05552095 | 0.056021526 | 1.0090159 | 5.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 9.467819E-5 | 2.6466209E-4 | 2.795386 | 1.7E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 4.057008E-4 | 6.655953E-4 | 1.6406064 | 2.6E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.004928269 | 0.0052665933 | 1.0686498 | 3.4E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.049502246 | 0.049977496 | 1.0096005 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 8.7998786E-5 | 2.5798383E-4 | 2.9316747 | 1.7E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 3.7708334E-4 | 6.2698906E-4 | 1.6627334 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.004581365 | 0.004899899 | 1.0695282 | 3.2E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.04627705 | 0.046734836 | 1.0098923 | 4.8E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 8.312073E-5 | 2.4310742E-4 | 2.924751 | 1.6E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 3.5618324E-4 | 5.861013E-4 | 1.6455051 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.004327945 | 0.004626646 | 1.0690169 | 3.0E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.043907445 | 0.04434725 | 1.0100166 | 4.6E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 7.674603E-5 | 2.3673374E-4 | 3.0846384 | 1.6E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 3.2887026E-4 | 5.487979E-4 | 1.6687368 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.003996678 | 0.004275559 | 1.0697782 | 2.8E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.040778805 | 0.041181676 | 1.0098795 | 4.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 5.6673685E-5 | 2.0666518E-4 | 3.646581 | 1.5E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 2.4286467E-4 | 4.428161E-4 | 1.8233039 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0029528781 | 0.0032121104 | 1.0877897 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.030698279 | 0.031076308 | 1.0123143 | 3.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 4.4225417E-5 | 1.9421878E-4 | 4.391565 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 1.8952374E-4 | 3.8948582E-4 | 2.0550768 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0023050117 | 0.0025644123 | 1.1125377 | 2.6E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.024370305 | 0.024731288 | 1.0148125 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 3.9329072E-5 | 1.6932396E-4 | 4.3053126 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 1.6854229E-4 | 3.3851364E-4 | 2.0084789 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0020500727 | 0.0022696215 | 1.1070933 | 2.2E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.02182655 | 0.022139564 | 1.014341 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 2.9462575E-5 | 1.2945963E-4 | 4.3940363 | 1.0E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 1.2626206E-4 | 2.662444E-4 | 2.108665 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0015361576 | 0.0017058963 | 1.1104957 | 1.7E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.016588112 | 0.016824132 | 1.0142282 | 2.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 1.5452148E-5 | 5.5451528E-5 | 3.588597 | 4.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 6.622181E-5 | 1.2621784E-4 | 1.905986 | 6.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 8.059525E-4 | 8.659042E-4 | 1.0743861 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.008784328 | 0.008863625 | 1.0090271 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 2.8262998E-6 | 2.8262998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 1.2112658E-5 | 1.2112658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 1.4746164E-4 | 1.4746164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0017392212 | 0.0017392212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 7.7726907E-7 | 7.7726907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 3.3311487E-6 | 3.3311487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 4.0555984E-5 | 4.0555984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 5.180598E-4 | 5.180598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 6.623571E-8 | 6.623571E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 2.8386728E-7 | 2.8386728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 3.4560794E-6 | 3.4560794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 4.6338613E-5 | 4.6338613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.586062E-5 | 3.9274382E-5 | 1.6926927E-4 | 4.3099155 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5367931E-4 | 1.683085E-4 | 3.8827147E-4 | 2.3069036 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0018694398 | 0.0020473336 | 0.0023866375 | 1.1657296 | 3.4E-4 | 0.018537914 | 0.020295722 | 0.020844357 | 1.027032 | 5.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 8.298698E-5 | 3.6099567 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.9850812E-4 | 2.0149434 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013586308 | 1.1333042 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012232633 | 1.0256829 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 8.298698E-5 | 3.6099567 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.9850812E-4 | 2.0149434 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013586308 | 1.1333042 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012232633 | 1.0256829 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.6499243E-5 | 6.649842E-5 | 4.030392 | 5.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.070919E-5 | 1.5070353E-4 | 2.1313148 | 8.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.605554E-4 | 9.904435E-4 | 1.1509352 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007878214 | 0.008573386 | 0.008831156 | 1.0300664 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3409091E-5 | 6.340842E-5 | 4.7287636 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.746631E-5 | 1.3746171E-4 | 2.39204 | 8.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 6.9943524E-4 | 8.293443E-4 | 1.1857343 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006419184 | 0.006973114 | 0.0072313007 | 1.037026 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 9.815237E-6 | 4.9814844E-5 | 5.075257 | 4.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.206465E-5 | 1.0206213E-4 | 2.4263158 | 6.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.120217E-4 | 6.119705E-4 | 1.1952043 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004716845 | 0.0051089195 | 0.0053078975 | 1.0389472 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.159118E-6 | 4.8158792E-5 | 5.902451 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.49672E-5 | 9.49651E-5 | 2.7158337 | 6.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.256465E-4 | 5.156082E-4 | 1.2113531 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0042487113 | 0.0044080312 | 1.0374985 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 5.9255667E-6 | 3.592539E-5 | 6.0627766 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.5395057E-5 | 7.5393786E-5 | 2.968837 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.0914397E-4 | 3.6912542E-4 | 1.1940243 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0030874372 | 0.0031970977 | 1.0355183 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 3.992165E-6 | 2.3992085E-5 | 6.0097933 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.710918E-5 | 5.7108493E-5 | 3.3378863 | 4.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.0828666E-4 | 2.5827624E-4 | 1.2400038 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0020811416 | 0.002150996 | 1.0335654 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.5925383E-6 | 2.2592487E-5 | 8.714427 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1110831E-5 | 3.111061E-5 | 2.8000252 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.35266E-4 | 1.6526194E-4 | 1.2217553 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013518395 | 0.0013917855 | 1.0295494 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.449818E-6 | 2.2449769E-5 | 9.163851 | 2.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0499179E-5 | 3.0498968E-5 | 2.904891 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2782002E-4 | 1.5781619E-4 | 1.234675 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012774672 | 0.0013174161 | 1.0312719 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3426678E-6 | 2.2342621E-5 | 9.537255 | 2.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0039967E-5 | 3.0039766E-5 | 2.9920185 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2222974E-4 | 1.5222609E-4 | 1.2454094 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012216271 | 0.0012615783 | 1.0327032 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.247132E-6 | 1.2247109E-5 | 5.4501066 | 1.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.63053E-6 | 1.9630434E-5 | 2.0383544 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.17245414E-4 | 1.3724307E-4 | 1.1705624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011718374 | 0.0012018023 | 1.0255709 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.082142E-6 | 1.2082121E-5 | 5.8027368 | 1.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 8.9234345E-6 | 1.8923345E-5 | 2.1206348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.0863742E-4 | 1.2863525E-4 | 1.1840786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010858448 | 0.0011158123 | 1.0275983 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.7820928E-6 | 1.1782075E-5 | 6.61137 | 1.0E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.637518E-6 | 1.7637441E-5 | 2.309316 | 1.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.298283E-5 | 1.1298097E-4 | 1.2150735 | 2.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.294409E-4 | 9.59413E-4 | 1.0322474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 1.0940581E-5 | 11.631612 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 1.4031055E-5 | 3.4807055 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 5.9076996E-5 | 1.2037494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9066765E-4 | 5.106578E-4 | 1.0407408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.7537247E-4 | 2.2693841 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.785054E-4 | 1.3807111 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.009020826 | 1.0496019 | 4.3E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.08624478 | 1.006294 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.7537247E-4 | 2.2693841 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.785054E-4 | 1.3807111 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.009020826 | 1.0496019 | 4.3E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.08624478 | 1.006294 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.654072E-4 | 3.7537247E-4 | 2.2693841 | 2.1E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.0869667E-4 | 9.785054E-4 | 1.3807111 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594521 | 0.009020826 | 1.0496019 | 4.3E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570534 | 0.08624478 | 1.006294 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 1.6463871E-4 | 3.7460413E-4 | 2.27531 | 2.1E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 7.0540496E-4 | 9.7521447E-4 | 1.3824888 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.00855476 | 0.008971168 | 1.0486754 | 4.2E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.08534536 | 0.08587586 | 1.0062159 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 1.5955146E-4 | 3.6951795E-4 | 2.3159797 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 6.83614E-4 | 9.534294E-4 | 1.3946898 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.0082915 | 0.008708017 | 1.0502343 | 4.2E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.0829936 | 0.08352546 | 1.0064085 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 1.5700879E-4 | 3.6697582E-4 | 2.3372946 | 2.1E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 6.7272247E-4 | 9.425409E-4 | 1.4010842 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.008159892 | 0.008576465 | 1.0510513 | 4.2E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.081840076 | 0.08236343 | 1.0063947 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 1.4986222E-4 | 3.5983074E-4 | 2.4010773 | 2.1E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 6.4210966E-4 | 9.119363E-4 | 1.420219 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.007789902 | 0.00820663 | 1.053496 | 4.2E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.07853726 | 0.07905328 | 1.0065703 | 5.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 1.4822421E-4 | 3.581931E-4 | 2.4165626 | 2.1E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 6.3509314E-4 | 9.049216E-4 | 1.4248645 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.0077050827 | 0.008121846 | 1.0540894 | 4.2E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.07777921 | 0.078295656 | 1.0066398 | 5.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 1.470931E-4 | 3.570622E-4 | 2.427457 | 2.1E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 6.302479E-4 | 9.000777E-4 | 1.4281329 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.007646507 | 0.008063296 | 1.054507 | 4.2E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.07725172 | 0.07775923 | 1.0065696 | 5.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 1.4567042E-4 | 3.5563982E-4 | 2.4414005 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 6.2415353E-4 | 8.9398504E-4 | 1.4323158 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.0075728274 | 0.007989647 | 1.0550414 | 4.2E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.07658223 | 0.07709011 | 1.0066319 | 5.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 1.4192787E-4 | 3.5189808E-4 | 2.4794147 | 2.1E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 6.081216E-4 | 8.7795744E-4 | 1.4437201 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.007378977 | 0.0077958773 | 1.0564984 | 4.2E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.074820295 | 0.07532915 | 1.0068009 | 5.5E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.2104766E-4 | 3.3102225E-4 | 2.7346437 | 2.1E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 5.186732E-4 | 7.885332E-4 | 1.520289 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.0062966957 | 0.006714051 | 1.0662817 | 4.2E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.06488186 | 0.065396175 | 1.007927 | 5.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 1.168634E-4 | 3.068412E-4 | 2.62564 | 1.9E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 5.0074764E-4 | 7.506225E-4 | 1.4990034 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.00607969 | 0.006477258 | 1.0653929 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.06285172 | 0.06334841 | 1.0079025 | 5.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.1224762E-4 | 2.9222743E-4 | 2.6034174 | 1.8E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 4.8097316E-4 | 7.2085776E-4 | 1.4987483 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.0058402508 | 0.0062279734 | 1.066388 | 3.9E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.060573705 | 0.061062206 | 1.0080646 | 5.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.0731009E-4 | 2.8729078E-4 | 2.677202 | 1.8E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 4.598199E-4 | 6.997095E-4 | 1.5217035 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.0055840546 | 0.0059718764 | 1.0694517 | 3.9E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.05811747 | 0.05860725 | 1.0084274 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 7.6731485E-5 | 2.367192E-4 | 3.0850337 | 1.6E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 3.2880783E-4 | 5.487355E-4 | 1.6688638 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.0039959033 | 0.004354465 | 1.0897323 | 3.6E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.042774547 | 0.043234013 | 1.0107416 | 4.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 7.430634E-5 | 2.3429445E-4 | 3.1530883 | 1.6E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 3.1841695E-4 | 5.383469E-4 | 1.690698 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0038698504 | 0.0042284573 | 1.0926669 | 3.6E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.041517623 | 0.041977692 | 1.0110813 | 4.8E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 5.668947E-5 | 1.866821E-4 | 3.2930648 | 1.3E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 2.4293226E-4 | 4.2288852E-4 | 1.7407672 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.002953691 | 0.0032428345 | 1.0978923 | 2.9E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.03228915 | 0.032685913 | 1.0122877 | 4.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 5.260323E-5 | 1.7259692E-4 | 3.2811089 | 1.2E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 2.2542293E-4 | 3.9538462E-4 | 1.753968 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0027410719 | 0.0030203045 | 1.1018698 | 2.8E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.029913483 | 0.030291818 | 1.0126476 | 3.9E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 3.888169E-5 | 1.388778E-4 | 3.5718045 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9692584E-4 | 1.6662518E-4 | 3.0660187E-4 | 1.8400692 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.002026775 | 0.0022363493 | 1.1034029 | 2.1E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.022017209 | 0.022281265 | 1.0119932 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 2.270738E-5 | 9.270579E-5 | 4.0826283 | 7.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 9.731371E-5 | 1.8730495E-4 | 1.924754 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0011841508 | 0.0012840324 | 1.0843487 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.012913119 | 0.01304144 | 1.0099373 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 7.000289E-6 | 2.700015E-5 | 3.857005 | 2.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 3.0000894E-5 | 5.0000293E-5 | 1.6666268 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 3.6519978E-4 | 3.8519248E-4 | 1.0547446 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.004137601 | 0.004157518 | 1.0048137 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.791573E-4 | 2.5414116 | 2.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008191751 | 1.0562963 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07917236 | 1.0067955 | 5.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.791573E-4 | 2.5414116 | 2.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008191751 | 1.0562963 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07917236 | 1.0067955 | 5.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.791573E-4 | 2.5414116 | 2.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008191751 | 1.0562963 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07917236 | 1.0067955 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.791573E-4 | 2.5414116 | 2.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008191751 | 1.0562963 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07917236 | 1.0067955 | 5.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919162E-4 | 3.791573E-4 | 2.5414116 | 2.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.39237E-4 | 9.290516E-4 | 1.4533758 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.007755164 | 0.008191751 | 1.0562963 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.07863797 | 0.07917236 | 1.0067955 | 5.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310867E-4 | 3.7307575E-4 | 2.6069403 | 2.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131797E-4 | 9.0300187E-4 | 1.4726546 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.007440115 | 0.007876841 | 1.0586989 | 4.4E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.075759284 | 0.076295346 | 1.0070758 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310867E-4 | 3.7307575E-4 | 2.6069403 | 2.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131797E-4 | 9.0300187E-4 | 1.4726546 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.007440115 | 0.007876841 | 1.0586989 | 4.4E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.075759284 | 0.076295346 | 1.0070758 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 1.4034602E-4 | 3.7031373E-4 | 2.6385767 | 2.3E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 6.0134527E-4 | 8.911709E-4 | 1.4819621 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.0072970022 | 0.0077337916 | 1.0598587 | 4.4E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.07445594 | 0.07499275 | 1.0072099 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 1.3954814E-4 | 3.6951606E-4 | 2.6479468 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 5.979273E-4 | 8.877539E-4 | 1.4847188 | 2.9E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.0072556664 | 0.007692474 | 1.0602022 | 4.4E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.07407085 | 0.07460789 | 1.0072503 | 5.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 1.3867211E-4 | 3.686402E-4 | 2.6583588 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 5.941746E-4 | 8.840023E-4 | 1.487782 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0072102807 | 0.0076471083 | 1.060584 | 4.4E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.07364873 | 0.07418601 | 1.0072953 | 5.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 1.3786521E-4 | 3.678335E-4 | 2.6680663 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 5.9071806E-4 | 8.8054675E-4 | 1.4906379 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.0071684746 | 0.0076053203 | 1.0609399 | 4.4E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.07325853 | 0.073796034 | 1.0073372 | 5.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 1.2578245E-4 | 3.457548E-4 | 2.7488317 | 2.2E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 5.389569E-4 | 8.18806E-4 | 1.519242 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.0065421956 | 0.0069693825 | 1.0652971 | 4.3E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.06739956 | 0.067931145 | 1.007887 | 5.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 1.20964236E-4 | 3.2094005E-4 | 2.6531813 | 2.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 5.183158E-4 | 7.78181E-4 | 1.5013647 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.0062923674 | 0.0066997875 | 1.0647483 | 4.1E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.06504894 | 0.065563165 | 1.0079051 | 5.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 1.1680691E-4 | 3.0678473E-4 | 2.6264262 | 1.9E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 5.005056E-4 | 7.503805E-4 | 1.4992449 | 2.5E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.006076758 | 0.006474327 | 1.0654246 | 4.0E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.06299142 | 0.0634974 | 1.0080326 | 5.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.11887115E-4 | 3.0186586E-4 | 2.6979501 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 4.7942868E-4 | 7.293088E-4 | 1.521204 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.0058215414 | 0.006219213 | 1.0683104 | 4.0E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.060548518 | 0.061055824 | 1.0083785 | 5.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 8.124358E-5 | 2.5122977E-4 | 3.0923028 | 1.7E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 3.481404E-4 | 5.7806034E-4 | 1.660423 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.004230389 | 0.0045988234 | 1.0870924 | 3.7E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.045209058 | 0.045686454 | 1.0105597 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 7.8794015E-5 | 2.4878062E-4 | 3.157354 | 1.7E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 3.37645E-4 | 5.6756736E-4 | 1.6809587 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.0041030957 | 0.0044715772 | 1.0898058 | 3.7E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.04394186 | 0.04441989 | 1.0108787 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 6.1122264E-5 | 2.0111371E-4 | 3.2903512 | 1.4E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 2.6192627E-4 | 4.518765E-4 | 1.7252051 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0031842915 | 0.0034833362 | 1.0939125 | 3.0E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.034706768 | 0.035121843 | 1.0119596 | 4.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 5.6466404E-5 | 1.7645962E-4 | 3.1250374 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 2.4197644E-4 | 4.119353E-4 | 1.7023778 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.002942085 | 0.0032212613 | 1.0948906 | 2.8E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.03201021 | 0.032397404 | 1.012096 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 4.126484E-5 | 1.4126071E-4 | 3.4232707 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 1.7683732E-4 | 3.1681257E-4 | 1.791548 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0021508695 | 0.0023604177 | 1.097425 | 2.1E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.023309505 | 0.023582978 | 1.0117322 | 2.8E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 2.3383629E-5 | 9.338199E-5 | 3.9934773 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 1.00211706E-4 | 1.9020269E-4 | 1.8980087 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.001219395 | 0.001319273 | 1.0819079 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.013286302 | 0.013414575 | 1.0096545 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 7.000261E-6 | 2.700012E-5 | 3.8570163 | 2.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 3.0000774E-5 | 5.0000173E-5 | 1.6666294 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 3.6519833E-4 | 3.8519103E-4 | 1.0547447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.0041375807 | 0.004157498 | 1.0048138 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Compton
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.140594E-6 | 1.5613968E-4 | 25.427454 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.3631105E-4 | 8.979549 | 2.1E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2035998E-4 | 6.8024464E-4 | 2.123376 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003757459 | 1.174481 | 5.6E-4 |
7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.110212E-6 | 9.410984E-5 | 22.89659 | 9.0E-5 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.7615079E-5 | 1.5761261E-4 | 8.947596 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.1444306E-4 | 4.0440232E-4 | 1.8858261 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0039954064 | 0.0021424184 | 0.00241184 | 1.1257558 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.731567E-6 | 9.373123E-5 | 25.118464 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.5992335E-5 | 1.4599026E-4 | 9.128764 | 1.3E-4 | 3.7373835E-4 | 1.946898E-4 | 3.7465477E-4 | 1.9243677 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0037311043 | 0.0019452446 | 0.0021947583 | 1.1282686 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.1791976E-6 | 9.317891E-5 | 29.308939 | 9.0E-5 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.3625064E-5 | 1.3362343E-4 | 9.8071785 | 1.2E-4 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.658729E-4 | 3.2584637E-4 | 1.9644339 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0033177056 | 0.0016575292 | 0.0018871479 | 1.1385307 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.3562798E-6 | 5.235616E-5 | 22.219841 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0098304E-5 | 9.00975E-5 | 8.922042 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.229402E-4 | 2.3292667E-4 | 1.8946339 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002344655 | 0.0012287494 | 0.0013785651 | 1.1219254 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.6793913E-6 | 5.1679308E-5 | 30.772642 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.197372E-6 | 6.719694E-5 | 9.336316 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5586092E-4 | 8.762453E-5 | 1.7761665E-4 | 2.0270197 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015575165 | 8.7590516E-4 | 9.958E-4 | 1.1368811 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.3991428E-6 | 5.1399074E-5 | 36.73612 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0333543E-5 | 5.9963127E-6 | 6.5995955E-5 | 11.006089 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.30027E-5 | 1.5299686E-4 | 2.09577 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012573242 | 7.297916E-4 | 8.3971134E-4 | 1.150618 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.0976365E-6 | 3.1097603E-5 | 28.33142 | 3.0E-5 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.7041485E-6 | 4.470396E-5 | 9.503093 | 4.0E-5 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.727154E-5 | 1.172681E-4 | 2.0475807 | 6.0E-5 | 9.795959E-4 | 5.725715E-4 | 6.525257E-4 | 1.1396406 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.4842952E-7 | 3.4842952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.4932687E-6 | 1.4932687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8180408E-5 | 2.8180226E-5 | 1.5500327 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4769322E-4 | 1.817905E-4 | 1.9178867E-4 | 1.0549984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 3.9965265E-8 | 3.9965265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.712797E-7 | 1.712797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.0853283E-6 | 2.0853283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6809684E-5 | 2.0853098E-5 | 2.0853098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872125E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 9.4196957E-4 | 0.0010818377 | 1.1484847 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0019528421 | 0.004026235 | 0.00421547 | 1.0470005 | 1.9E-4 | 0.023518132 | 0.04717882 | 0.047483724 | 1.0064627 | 3.2E-4 | 0.21179019 | 0.34005475 | 0.34037152 | 1.0009315 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 3.475817E-4 | 4.3755042E-4 | 1.2588419 | 9.0E-5 | 8.248562E-4 | 0.0014875354 | 0.001617342 | 1.0872629 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009996468 | 0.0177582 | 0.017993938 | 1.0132749 | 2.4E-4 | 0.09558567 | 0.15048067 | 0.150778 | 1.0019759 | 3.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.2588769E-4 | 2.1587635E-4 | 1.714833 | 9.0E-5 | 4.039488E-4 | 5.393992E-4 | 6.5933453E-4 | 1.2223498 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049069915 | 0.006546293 | 0.0067549185 | 1.0318692 | 2.1E-4 | 0.048000436 | 0.06556609 | 0.06584642 | 1.0042756 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.2299135E-4 | 2.1298027E-4 | 1.7316688 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 5.2699726E-4 | 6.4693403E-4 | 1.2275852 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.006396943 | 0.0066055995 | 1.0326182 | 2.1E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.06422817 | 0.0645089 | 1.0043708 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.20087876E-4 | 2.1007707E-4 | 1.7493612 | 9.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 5.1455956E-4 | 6.3449785E-4 | 1.2330891 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.0062465332 | 0.0064552217 | 1.0334086 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0628857 | 0.063166834 | 1.0044706 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.17187155E-4 | 2.071766E-4 | 1.7679123 | 9.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 5.021334E-4 | 6.2207313E-4 | 1.2388604 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.006096212 | 0.0063049323 | 1.0342376 | 2.1E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.061543126 | 0.061815277 | 1.0044222 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.13310314E-4 | 2.0330011E-4 | 1.794189 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 4.8552497E-4 | 6.054667E-4 | 1.2470351 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.0058951867 | 0.0061039487 | 1.0354123 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.05975446 | 0.060027134 | 1.0045632 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.11828944E-4 | 2.0181888E-4 | 1.8047106 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 4.7917964E-4 | 5.9912214E-4 | 1.250308 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.005818549 | 0.006027327 | 1.0358815 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.059072524 | 0.05934539 | 1.0046192 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.11149355E-4 | 2.0113935E-4 | 1.8096313 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 4.762683E-4 | 5.962112E-4 | 1.2518388 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.00578332 | 0.0059921057 | 1.0361013 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.05875797 | 0.059030928 | 1.0046455 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.1046583E-4 | 2.0045589E-4 | 1.8146416 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 4.7334E-4 | 5.932832E-4 | 1.2533976 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0057478608 | 0.005956654 | 1.0363253 | 2.1E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.05843756 | 0.058710616 | 1.0046725 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.0775292E-4 | 1.9774323E-4 | 1.8351542 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 4.617175E-4 | 5.8166205E-4 | 1.2597792 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.005607101 | 0.0058159237 | 1.0372425 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.057151154 | 0.05742458 | 1.0047842 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 9.231748E-5 | 1.8230917E-4 | 1.9748067 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 3.955869E-4 | 5.1553943E-4 | 1.3032267 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.004805736 | 0.0050147264 | 1.0434878 | 2.1E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.049733657 | 0.050009232 | 1.0055411 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 9.008674E-5 | 1.8007863E-4 | 1.9989471 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 3.8602942E-4 | 5.059831E-4 | 1.3107371 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0046898797 | 0.004898895 | 1.0445672 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.04863169 | 0.04890759 | 1.0056732 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 8.722294E-5 | 1.6721597E-4 | 1.9171098 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 3.737596E-4 | 4.8371847E-4 | 1.2941968 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.004541126 | 0.004740218 | 1.043842 | 2.0E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.047222484 | 0.047489263 | 1.0056493 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 8.447346E-5 | 1.644667E-4 | 1.946963 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 3.6197942E-4 | 4.719396E-4 | 1.3037747 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.00439829 | 0.0045974106 | 1.0452722 | 2.0E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.045858152 | 0.04612531 | 1.0058258 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 5.7850782E-5 | 1.3784616E-4 | 2.382788 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 2.4790844E-4 | 3.5788116E-4 | 1.4436022 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.003014118 | 0.0032035452 | 1.0628467 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.032398637 | 0.032650214 | 1.007765 | 2.6E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 5.6467703E-5 | 1.3646319E-4 | 2.416659 | 8.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 2.4198205E-4 | 3.5195544E-4 | 1.4544692 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0029421614 | 0.0031316024 | 1.0643884 | 1.9E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.031685922 | 0.03193768 | 1.0079455 | 2.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 4.26525E-5 | 1.02649945E-4 | 2.406657 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 1.8278362E-4 | 2.7276718E-4 | 1.4922955 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0022231208 | 0.002382765 | 1.0718108 | 1.6E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.02441033 | 0.024634715 | 1.0091922 | 2.3E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 3.963756E-5 | 9.963518E-5 | 2.5136557 | 6.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 1.698642E-4 | 2.5984892E-4 | 1.529745 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0020661363 | 0.0022258058 | 1.0772792 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.022669455 | 0.02289424 | 1.0099158 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 3.07127E-5 | 8.0711165E-5 | 2.627941 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 1.3161922E-4 | 2.116087E-4 | 1.607734 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0016012868 | 0.0017410627 | 1.0872897 | 1.4E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.017520966 | 0.017707637 | 1.0106541 | 1.9E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 1.7605124E-5 | 5.760442E-5 | 3.2720258 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 7.544835E-5 | 1.3544383E-4 | 1.795186 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 9.181968E-4 | 9.881326E-4 | 1.0761664 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.010095927 | 0.010194917 | 1.009805 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 6.7754063E-6 | 2.6775271E-5 | 3.9518323 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 2.9037134E-5 | 4.9036553E-5 | 1.6887532 | 2.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 3.5346986E-4 | 3.734628E-4 | 1.056562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.0040130476 | 0.004032967 | 1.0049638 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.5832258E-5 | 2.1582581E-4 | 6.0232267 | 1.8E-4 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5355866E-4 | 3.8352335E-4 | 2.4975688 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00171175 | 0.0018681306 | 0.0022274582 | 1.192346 | 3.6E-4 | 0.016986247 | 0.01854024 | 0.019001529 | 1.0248803 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.413083E-4 | 6.6308136 | 1.2E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.4131544E-4 | 2.642261 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013710954 | 1.2336825 | 2.6E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011376762 | 1.0286123 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.413083E-4 | 6.6308136 | 1.2E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.4131544E-4 | 2.642261 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013710954 | 1.2336825 | 2.6E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011376762 | 1.0286123 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.0678491E-4 | 6.3613873 | 9.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 1.919312E-4 | 2.6679404 | 1.2E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0010753464 | 1.2282352 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.008979109 | 1.0295519 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.0678491E-4 | 6.3613873 | 9.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 1.919312E-4 | 2.6679404 | 1.2E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0010753464 | 1.2282352 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.008979109 | 1.0295519 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4589136E-5 | 8.4588115E-5 | 5.798021 | 7.0E-5 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.2523395E-5 | 1.6251714E-4 | 2.5993013 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.6095987E-4 | 9.408229E-4 | 1.2363634 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007583927 | 0.0078022582 | 1.0287887 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3327058E-5 | 7.332626E-5 | 5.502059 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7114725E-5 | 1.4710959E-4 | 2.5756857 | 9.0E-5 | 6.540996E-4 | 6.951525E-4 | 8.5504126E-4 | 1.2300053 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0069300737 | 0.0071286876 | 1.0286597 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2212661E-5 | 7.221193E-5 | 5.912874 | 6.0E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.2338935E-5 | 1.3233475E-4 | 2.5284188 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.370422E-4 | 7.869466E-4 | 1.2353132 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005984721 | 0.0063523827 | 0.006541176 | 1.0297201 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0735759E-5 | 6.0735223E-5 | 5.657283 | 5.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.600959E-5 | 1.1600637E-4 | 2.5213518 | 7.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.600243E-4 | 6.8995147E-4 | 1.2320029 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005586294 | 0.0057553444 | 1.0302616 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.486945E-6 | 5.948647E-5 | 6.2703505 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.0657706E-5 | 1.0065527E-4 | 2.4756749 | 6.0E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 4.948962E-4 | 6.148368E-4 | 1.2423551 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0049380567 | 0.0050972668 | 1.0322415 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.511766E-6 | 4.8511425E-5 | 5.699337 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6478494E-5 | 8.647667E-5 | 2.3706207 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4403595E-4 | 5.539871E-4 | 1.2476177 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004189935 | 0.004431575 | 0.0045809103 | 1.033698 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.54307E-6 | 3.7542843E-5 | 4.9771304 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2327047E-5 | 7.2325754E-5 | 2.237314 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9351138E-4 | 4.9347203E-4 | 1.2540222 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039282204 | 0.0040577096 | 1.0329639 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.721356E-6 | 3.6721154E-5 | 5.463355 | 3.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.8805496E-5 | 6.8804344E-5 | 2.388584 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.506511E-4 | 4.4061954E-4 | 1.2565753 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035010448 | 0.0036106599 | 1.0313092 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.2860037E-6 | 2.5285897E-5 | 4.783557 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2654107E-5 | 5.2653428E-5 | 2.3242333 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7577937E-4 | 3.3576283E-4 | 1.2175052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027544247 | 0.0028242317 | 1.0253437 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.6862266E-6 | 1.368619E-5 | 3.7127912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5798021E-5 | 3.5797704E-5 | 2.2659614 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.923243E-4 | 2.4231468E-4 | 1.2599275 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019216161 | 0.0019815008 | 1.0311637 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.1176474E-5 | 9.49988 | 1.0E-5 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 1.5042022E-5 | 2.9833014 | 1.0E-5 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.138553E-5 | 7.1384915E-5 | 1.1628948 | 1.0E-5 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.136887E-4 | 6.2368263E-4 | 1.016285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073243E-6 | 1.17072464E-4 | 16.551456 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313562E-5 | 2.103081E-4 | 6.937756 | 1.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6900802E-4 | 6.6889735E-4 | 1.8126904 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842441 | 0.0041525126 | 1.1271002 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.2485537E-6 | 9.624799E-5 | 15.403243 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.6779253E-5 | 1.7677524E-4 | 6.6012015 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.2599075E-4 | 5.659125E-4 | 1.7359772 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031709734 | 0.003255339 | 0.0036440694 | 1.1194131 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.8044548E-6 | 9.580393E-5 | 16.505243 | 9.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.4876008E-5 | 1.7487227E-4 | 7.0297565 | 1.5E-4 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.028253E-4 | 5.327557E-4 | 1.7592838 | 2.3E-4 | 0.002945339 | 0.003024326 | 0.0034031766 | 1.1252679 | 3.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.7247313E-6 | 8.472435E-5 | 17.9321 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0248699E-5 | 1.4024627E-4 | 6.926187 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.465014E-4 | 4.3645457E-4 | 1.7705966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0024624197 | 0.0027217793 | 1.1053272 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.608823E-6 | 7.46085E-5 | 16.188189 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 1.9751958E-5 | 1.2974978E-4 | 6.5689583 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4045495E-4 | 4.2041167E-4 | 1.7484009 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0023388295 | 0.002402087 | 0.0026514865 | 1.1038262 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.296982E-6 | 3.3296885E-5 | 10.099201 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.412985E-5 | 5.4129283E-5 | 3.8308465 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7201797E-4 | 2.620025E-4 | 1.5231111 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017189105 | 0.0018586699 | 1.0813069 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.2764534E-6 | 2.2276408E-5 | 9.785576 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 9.756195E-6 | 3.97559E-5 | 4.0749393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.18775635E-4 | 1.8876731E-4 | 1.5892764 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0011871645 | 0.001307022 | 1.1009612 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.4302378E-6 | 1.1430224E-5 | 7.9918346 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.1295764E-6 | 2.6129454E-5 | 4.2628484 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.462512E-5 | 1.0462288E-4 | 1.4019794 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.460082E-4 | 8.15956E-4 | 1.0937628 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.1768451E-6 | 1.1768451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.043613E-6 | 1.5043563E-5 | 2.9826958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.1404324E-5 | 8.1403094E-5 | 1.3256899 | 2.0E-5 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.1388046E-4 | 6.6384976E-4 | 1.0813991 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 8.511703E-7 | 8.511703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.6478677E-6 | 1.3647831E-5 | 3.7413175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.441194E-5 | 6.441105E-5 | 1.4503094 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.44036E-4 | 4.940138E-4 | 1.1125535 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 1.2280237E-5 | 5.385456 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5542888E-5 | 2.776184E-5 | 4.7761285E-5 | 1.7203933 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5539953E-4 | 2.775872E-4 | 3.0757888E-4 | 1.1080441 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 1.0405623E-4 | 25.650883 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.4738321E-4 | 8.477382 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.9158925E-4 | 2.3226678 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.002503753 | 1.184044 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.691342E-6 | 9.369101E-5 | 25.381287 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5819947E-5 | 1.258182E-4 | 7.953137 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9259176E-4 | 4.0255132E-4 | 2.0901794 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019243398 | 0.002203801 | 1.1452245 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.677134E-6 | 9.3676805E-5 | 25.475494 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5759055E-5 | 1.2575732E-4 | 7.980004 | 1.1E-4 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9185053E-4 | 4.0181025E-4 | 2.094392 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019169404 | 0.0021964037 | 1.145786 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6639788E-6 | 9.366365E-5 | 25.563372 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5702677E-5 | 1.2570094E-4 | 8.005065 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9116423E-4 | 4.011241E-4 | 2.098322 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019100893 | 0.0021895545 | 1.14631 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.528818E-6 | 8.352854E-5 | 23.6704 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.51234235E-5 | 1.1512191E-4 | 7.6121597 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8411303E-4 | 3.840762E-4 | 2.0860891 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018396946 | 0.002109198 | 1.1464934 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5229042E-6 | 8.25227E-5 | 32.709408 | 8.0E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0812401E-5 | 1.1081132E-4 | 10.248539 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3163309E-4 | 3.116094E-4 | 2.3672574 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013155567 | 0.0015152936 | 1.1518269 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.131714E-6 | 8.213154E-5 | 38.528408 | 8.0E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.135885E-6 | 9.913506E-5 | 10.851172 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1122376E-4 | 2.7120596E-4 | 2.4383817 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011116841 | 0.001291484 | 1.1617365 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9529025E-6 | 8.195275E-5 | 41.96459 | 8.0E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.369556E-6 | 9.83688E-5 | 11.753169 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.01894606E-4 | 2.5187933E-4 | 2.4719594 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010184819 | 0.0011883088 | 1.1667451 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.6995307E-6 | 8.169939E-5 | 48.07174 | 8.0E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.283683E-6 | 9.7283024E-5 | 13.356297 | 9.0E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.867526E-5 | 2.2866284E-4 | 2.5786543 | 1.4E-4 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.864017E-4 | 0.0010462599 | 1.180345 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3407383E-6 | 7.134065E-5 | 53.20997 | 7.0E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.746009E-6 | 8.574555E-5 | 14.922627 | 8.0E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 6.995544E-5 | 1.7994775E-4 | 2.5723195 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1551115E-4 | 6.9933676E-4 | 8.1925286E-4 | 1.1714711 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.873448E-7 | 5.0787305E-5 | 64.50453 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.3743304E-6 | 6.337413E-5 | 18.781244 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.10817E-5 | 1.2107842E-4 | 2.947259 | 8.0E-5 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.1074125E-4 | 4.907084E-4 | 1.1946899 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6255278E-7 | 3.0362542E-5 | 83.746544 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5537968E-6 | 3.155375E-5 | 20.307514 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.8917312E-5 | 6.8916364E-5 | 3.6430316 | 5.0E-5 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.8915707E-4 | 2.3914762E-4 | 1.2642806 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.7697386E-8 | 7.7697386E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3298875E-7 | 3.3298875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.0541304E-6 | 2.405405E-5 | 5.9332204 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.0540577E-5 | 6.0539765E-5 | 1.493313 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.516028E-6 | 7.750012E-6 | 1.4774893E-4 | 19.06435 | 1.4E-4 | 3.221115E-5 | 3.3213913E-5 | 1.932086E-4 | 5.817098 | 1.6E-4 | 3.9210016E-4 | 4.04305E-4 | 6.9418777E-4 | 1.7169902 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0039140903 | 0.004035763 | 0.0044341483 | 1.0987139 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.425684E-6 | 1.4742464E-4 | 19.853342 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.1823976E-5 | 1.818192E-4 | 5.7132773 | 1.5E-4 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.873886E-4 | 6.672801E-4 | 1.7225084 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0038671973 | 0.004255689 | 1.1004583 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.573029E-6 | 1.3657217E-4 | 20.77766 | 1.3E-4 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8169823E-5 | 1.6816588E-4 | 5.969717 | 1.4E-4 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4291396E-4 | 5.9282826E-4 | 1.7287959 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0033193815 | 0.003423887 | 0.0037826546 | 1.1047837 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.206103E-6 | 1.362053E-4 | 21.946991 | 1.3E-4 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6597316E-5 | 1.5659386E-4 | 5.8875813 | 1.3E-4 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2377453E-4 | 5.6369684E-4 | 1.7410166 | 2.4E-4 | 0.00313433 | 0.003233063 | 0.0035819316 | 1.1079065 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 5.9933354E-6 | 1.2599262E-4 | 21.02212 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.5685473E-5 | 1.456824E-4 | 5.6717815 | 1.2E-4 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1267607E-4 | 5.4260413E-4 | 1.7353556 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0030272473 | 0.003122395 | 0.0034613332 | 1.1085508 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.6466583E-6 | 1.15646035E-4 | 20.480438 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.419974E-5 | 1.3419708E-4 | 5.5453935 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.945923E-4 | 4.8453631E-4 | 1.6447692 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0028537093 | 0.0029420487 | 0.0032411662 | 1.1016698 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.38198E-6 | 1.1538139E-4 | 21.438465 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3065426E-5 | 1.3306289E-4 | 5.768933 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8078567E-4 | 4.6073511E-4 | 1.6408784 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028043387 | 0.0030735815 | 1.0960094 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.185719E-6 | 1.051852E-4 | 20.283628 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2224322E-5 | 1.222221E-4 | 5.499475 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.7054778E-4 | 4.405018E-4 | 1.6281848 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027022134 | 0.0029615108 | 1.0959574 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.6930472E-6 | 9.469262E-5 | 20.177216 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0112904E-5 | 1.101111E-4 | 5.474649 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4484727E-4 | 3.9481054E-4 | 1.6124768 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024457942 | 0.0026652562 | 1.0897304 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.3912096E-6 | 8.439086E-5 | 19.218136 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.8819335E-5 | 9.881783E-5 | 5.2508674 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.2910145E-4 | 3.4907396E-4 | 1.5236654 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022308815 | 0.0022886689 | 0.002478234 | 1.0828277 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.0738128E-6 | 7.407353E-5 | 18.18285 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.745908E-5 | 8.745786E-5 | 5.009305 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.125437E-4 | 3.2252033E-4 | 1.5174307 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021234173 | 0.002303035 | 1.084589 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.8577937E-6 | 7.3857525E-5 | 19.145016 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6533299E-5 | 8.653214E-5 | 5.23381 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0127442E-4 | 3.1125228E-4 | 1.5464075 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020109338 | 0.0021905717 | 1.0893307 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.493132E-6 | 7.349289E-5 | 21.039251 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.4970481E-5 | 8.496943E-5 | 5.6757984 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8225047E-4 | 2.9223043E-4 | 1.603455 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018210218 | 0.002000694 | 1.0986656 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.722684E-6 | 6.272252E-5 | 23.037018 | 6.0E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1668594E-5 | 7.166789E-5 | 6.1419477 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4205591E-4 | 2.420417E-4 | 1.7038481 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014060794 | 0.001419655 | 0.001579428 | 1.1125435 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2195045E-6 | 5.2219395E-5 | 23.5275 | 5.0E-5 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.512128E-6 | 5.951165E-5 | 6.2563972 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1580404E-4 | 2.0579362E-4 | 1.777085 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011574405 | 0.00128729 | 1.1121868 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2056777E-6 | 4.120563E-5 | 34.176323 | 4.0E-5 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.16718E-6 | 4.5166973E-5 | 8.741126 | 4.0E-5 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.290862E-5 | 1.4290359E-4 | 2.2716057 | 8.0E-5 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.289099E-4 | 7.388407E-4 | 1.1747959 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.591372E-7 | 3.0659117E-5 | 46.514015 | 3.0E-5 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8248705E-6 | 3.2824784E-5 | 11.6199255 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4392273E-5 | 8.439055E-5 | 2.453765 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.4387098E-4 | 4.138469E-4 | 1.2034947 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 1.02406375E-5 | 42.55586 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0313136E-6 | 1.1031303E-5 | 10.6963625 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.255618E-5 | 4.2555803E-5 | 3.3892317 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2555576E-4 | 1.6555072E-4 | 1.3185436 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0014925E-8 | 2.0014925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.577825E-8 | 8.577825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0443497E-6 | 1.0443497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 9.621095E-5 | 15.48914 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.6661678E-4 | 6.2589626 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035453176 | 1.0954778 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 7.54854E-5 | 13.760191 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.3350771E-4 | 5.67869 | 1.1E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.8614712E-4 | 1.6986014 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0031180133 | 1.0906886 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 7.54854E-5 | 13.760191 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.3350771E-4 | 5.67869 | 1.1E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.8614712E-4 | 1.6986014 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0031180133 | 1.0906886 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9030173E-6 | 6.490272E-5 | 13.237302 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1012784E-5 | 1.21010686E-4 | 5.758908 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.558043E-4 | 4.257608E-4 | 1.6644006 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025554618 | 0.002784874 | 1.0897733 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.8802035E-6 | 6.487991E-5 | 13.29451 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.091501E-5 | 1.2091292E-4 | 5.781155 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.546142E-4 | 4.245709E-4 | 1.6675068 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025435882 | 0.002773003 | 1.0901934 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.7658714E-6 | 6.476558E-5 | 13.589453 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0425025E-5 | 1.20422985E-4 | 5.895855 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.4864997E-4 | 4.186077E-4 | 1.683522 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002403158 | 0.0024840806 | 0.0027135094 | 1.0923595 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.1805297E-6 | 6.4180276E-5 | 15.352188 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.7916453E-5 | 1.0791484E-4 | 6.023226 | 9.0E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1811451E-4 | 3.780796E-4 | 1.7333996 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021793512 | 0.0023988718 | 1.1007274 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2094355E-6 | 2.2209391E-5 | 10.052067 | 2.0E-5 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.468975E-6 | 3.946869E-5 | 4.1682115 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1527872E-4 | 1.952695E-4 | 1.6938902 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011521947 | 0.0012620679 | 1.0953599 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 1.9830234E-6 | 2.1982984E-5 | 11.085589 | 2.0E-5 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.498645E-6 | 3.849839E-5 | 4.5299444 | 3.0E-5 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0346613E-4 | 1.8345786E-4 | 1.7731198 | 8.0E-5 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010341848 | 0.0011440711 | 1.106254 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 2.1291688E-5 | 16.483292 | 2.0E-5 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.535903E-6 | 2.5535792E-5 | 4.61276 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.739755E-5 | 1.273935E-4 | 1.89018 | 6.0E-5 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.737733E-4 | 7.637126E-4 | 1.133486 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 1.0681984E-5 | 15.662937 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9228158E-6 | 1.29227865E-5 | 4.421348 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5584715E-5 | 8.5582935E-5 | 2.4050477 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5579156E-4 | 4.2576666E-4 | 1.1966743 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 1.0415276E-5 | 25.080132 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.1779753E-5 | 6.6186934 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 5.166785E-5 | 2.3844686 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1666498E-4 | 2.5665632E-4 | 1.1845769 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 1.1699464E-4 | 6.88352 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 2.1282924E-4 | 2.9218957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010862842 | 1.2254161 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009204989 | 1.0333788 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 1.1699464E-4 | 6.88352 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 2.1282924E-4 | 2.9218957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010862842 | 1.2254161 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009204989 | 1.0333788 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 1.1699464E-4 | 6.88352 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 2.1282924E-4 | 2.9218957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010862842 | 1.2254161 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907662 | 0.009204989 | 1.0333788 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 1.6996339E-5 | 1.1699464E-4 | 6.88352 | 1.0E-4 | 1.03585466E-4 | 7.283943E-5 | 2.1282924E-4 | 2.9218957 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0012604233 | 8.8646146E-4 | 0.0010862842 | 1.2254161 | 2.0E-4 | 0.012532983 | 0.008907662 | 0.009204989 | 1.0333788 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 1.671139E-5 | 1.1670972E-4 | 6.9838424 | 1.0E-4 | 9.8013195E-5 | 7.161829E-5 | 2.1160826E-4 | 2.9546678 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011926574 | 8.71606E-4 | 0.0010514491 | 1.2063353 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011862768 | 0.00876028 | 0.009037827 | 1.0316825 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 1.661248E-5 | 1.1661082E-4 | 7.019471 | 1.0E-4 | 9.716418E-5 | 7.119441E-5 | 2.1118444E-4 | 2.9663067 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011823318 | 8.664493E-4 | 0.0010462933 | 1.2075644 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011760611 | 0.008709119 | 0.00898668 | 1.0318702 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 1.5464626E-5 | 9.546339E-5 | 6.1730165 | 8.0E-5 | 9.118244E-5 | 6.6275294E-5 | 1.8626734E-4 | 2.8105094 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011095807 | 8.066046E-4 | 9.664756E-4 | 1.1982024 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011040569 | 0.008115167 | 0.008363138 | 1.0305566 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 1.4199101E-5 | 7.419825E-5 | 5.2255597 | 6.0E-5 | 8.445307E-5 | 6.085188E-5 | 1.608458E-4 | 2.6432347 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010277311 | 7.406209E-4 | 8.6053205E-4 | 1.1619062 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010229911 | 0.007459908 | 0.007668341 | 1.0279405 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.3750474E-5 | 6.374979E-5 | 4.6361885 | 5.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 5.892928E-5 | 1.4892398E-4 | 2.5271645 | 9.0E-5 | 9.775903E-4 | 7.1722886E-4 | 8.2714995E-4 | 1.1532581 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.0072275233 | 0.007426078 | 1.027472 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.2858261E-5 | 6.2857616E-5 | 4.8885007 | 5.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 5.5105673E-5 | 1.4510071E-4 | 2.6331358 | 9.0E-5 | 9.158276E-4 | 6.707059E-4 | 7.706388E-4 | 1.1489966 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0067651365 | 0.006953851 | 1.0278952 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.2189894E-5 | 6.218928E-5 | 5.1017084 | 5.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 5.224136E-5 | 1.3223718E-4 | 2.5312736 | 8.0E-5 | 8.759337E-4 | 6.358538E-4 | 7.2579656E-4 | 1.141452 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008724891 | 0.0064184302 | 0.006587339 | 1.0263163 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.1739278E-5 | 6.173869E-5 | 5.2591558 | 5.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 5.0310227E-5 | 1.303062E-4 | 2.590054 | 8.0E-5 | 8.521265E-4 | 6.1235565E-4 | 7.023005E-4 | 1.1468834 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008488664 | 0.0061845756 | 0.006353524 | 1.0273178 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.123147E-5 | 6.123091E-5 | 5.451727 | 5.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 4.8133985E-5 | 1.2813014E-4 | 2.6619473 | 8.0E-5 | 8.2304585E-4 | 5.858745E-4 | 6.7582174E-4 | 1.1535265 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008200042 | 0.005921046 | 0.006090039 | 1.0285411 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.0753801E-5 | 6.0753264E-5 | 5.649469 | 5.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 4.6086905E-5 | 1.1608368E-4 | 2.5187995 | 7.0E-5 | 7.854473E-4 | 5.609643E-4 | 6.4091943E-4 | 1.1425316 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00782677 | 0.0056727044 | 0.005831797 | 1.0280453 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.0619593E-5 | 6.0619062E-5 | 5.708228 | 5.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 4.551175E-5 | 1.1550857E-4 | 2.5379941 | 7.0E-5 | 7.7653467E-4 | 5.539654E-4 | 6.3392107E-4 | 1.1443334 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0077382675 | 0.005602776 | 0.0057618795 | 1.0283973 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.02836E-5 | 6.0283084E-5 | 5.8620605 | 5.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 4.4071832E-5 | 1.14068745E-4 | 2.588246 | 7.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 5.364431E-4 | 6.1640015E-4 | 1.1490505 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0054278895 | 0.0055770753 | 1.027485 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 8.655835E-6 | 5.86554E-5 | 6.7764006 | 5.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 3.7095906E-5 | 1.07093314E-4 | 2.8869307 | 7.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 4.515494E-4 | 5.3151324E-4 | 1.1770878 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006634211 | 0.004579579 | 0.004718938 | 1.0304304 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 6.5262975E-6 | 5.6525972E-5 | 8.661262 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 2.7969549E-5 | 9.796759E-5 | 3.502652 | 7.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 3.4047617E-4 | 4.2044892E-4 | 1.2348851 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0034679368 | 0.003597486 | 1.0373563 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 4.9876808E-6 | 4.4987482E-5 | 9.01972 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 2.13756E-5 | 7.137453E-5 | 3.3390658 | 5.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 2.6021688E-4 | 3.1020388E-4 | 1.1920974 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003661789 | 0.0026544589 | 0.0027541933 | 1.0375725 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 3.1431132E-6 | 4.3142987E-5 | 13.726195 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 1.3470416E-5 | 6.346974E-5 | 4.7117877 | 5.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 1.6399E-4 | 2.1398181E-4 | 1.3048466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0016714197 | 0.0017512861 | 1.0477835 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.266753E-6 | 1.126674E-5 | 8.894189 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289303E-6 | 1.5428875E-5 | 2.8419735 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.6095236E-5 | 7.609457E-5 | 1.1512868 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7326706E-4 | 6.832603E-4 | 1.014843 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 2.8591946E-4 | 1.6251074 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.136805E-4 | 1.2120976 | 1.6E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009327125 | 1.0206003 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.088203095 | 1.0030078 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 2.8591946E-4 | 1.6251074 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.136805E-4 | 1.2120976 | 1.6E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009327125 | 1.0206003 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.088203095 | 1.0030078 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 2.8591946E-4 | 1.6251074 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.136805E-4 | 1.2120976 | 1.6E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009327125 | 1.0206003 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.088203095 | 1.0030078 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593881E-4 | 2.8591946E-4 | 1.6251074 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538011E-4 | 9.136805E-4 | 1.2120976 | 1.6E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138862 | 0.009327125 | 1.0206003 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.0879386 | 0.088203095 | 1.0030078 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184828E-4 | 2.818294E-4 | 1.6399895 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.36283E-4 | 8.961652E-4 | 1.2171477 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927537 | 0.009115841 | 1.0210924 | 1.9E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.0860101 | 0.08627515 | 1.0030817 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184828E-4 | 2.818294E-4 | 1.6399895 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.36283E-4 | 8.961652E-4 | 1.2171477 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927537 | 0.009115841 | 1.0210924 | 1.9E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.0860101 | 0.08627515 | 1.0030817 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 1.6481159E-4 | 2.7479345E-4 | 1.6673188 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 7.0614566E-4 | 8.660327E-4 | 1.2264222 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.008563746 | 0.008752119 | 1.0219965 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.08268159 | 0.08294761 | 1.0032175 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 1.6177126E-4 | 2.7175347E-4 | 1.6798625 | 1.1E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 6.9312257E-4 | 8.530117E-4 | 1.2306794 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.008406419 | 0.008594822 | 1.0224118 | 1.9E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.08123998 | 0.08150642 | 1.0032797 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 1.6035755E-4 | 2.7033992E-4 | 1.685857 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 6.870671E-4 | 8.4695715E-4 | 1.2327139 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.00833326 | 0.008521677 | 1.0226102 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.0805736 | 0.08084024 | 1.0033092 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 1.5818556E-4 | 2.6816817E-4 | 1.6952758 | 1.1E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 6.777634E-4 | 8.37655E-4 | 1.2359105 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.008220849 | 0.008409287 | 1.0229219 | 1.9E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.079554364 | 0.079821296 | 1.0033553 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 1.5433799E-4 | 2.6432102E-4 | 1.7126116 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 6.612823E-4 | 8.2117645E-4 | 1.2417942 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.0080216825 | 0.008210158 | 1.0234958 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.07774227 | 0.07800973 | 1.0034403 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 1.528404E-4 | 2.6282357E-4 | 1.7195951 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 6.548672E-4 | 8.1476243E-4 | 1.2441643 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.007944152 | 0.008132642 | 1.0237269 | 1.9E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.07703035 | 0.077298015 | 1.0034747 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 1.4929463E-4 | 2.5927823E-4 | 1.736688 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 6.396787E-4 | 7.995763E-4 | 1.2499655 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.007760561 | 0.007949087 | 1.0242927 | 1.9E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.075341605 | 0.07560051 | 1.0034364 | 2.8E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.4248963E-4 | 2.5247395E-4 | 1.771876 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 6.105283E-4 | 7.704306E-4 | 1.261908 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.0074081216 | 0.007596714 | 1.0254575 | 1.9E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.07213904 | 0.072398834 | 1.0036014 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.0130556E-4 | 2.0129544E-4 | 1.9870126 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 4.3409498E-4 | 5.840299E-4 | 1.3453965 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.005272403 | 0.005451454 | 1.03396 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.05242354 | 0.052679386 | 1.0048803 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 7.312721E-5 | 1.7311989E-4 | 2.3673801 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 3.1336487E-4 | 4.53321E-4 | 1.4466236 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.003808579 | 0.0039679697 | 1.0418504 | 1.6E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.038490273 | 0.038721036 | 1.0059954 | 2.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 5.2113515E-5 | 1.4210882E-4 | 2.7269092 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 2.2332459E-4 | 3.4329778E-4 | 1.5372145 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0027155993 | 0.002855219 | 1.051414 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.027904512 | 0.028118372 | 1.0076641 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 3.521366E-5 | 1.2521048E-4 | 3.5557363 | 9.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 1.5090697E-4 | 2.7088885E-4 | 1.795072 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0018357458 | 0.0019754888 | 1.0761232 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.019283155 | 0.019489106 | 1.0106803 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 3.0013975E-5 | 1.20011275E-4 | 3.9985132 | 9.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 1.2862499E-4 | 2.3861084E-4 | 1.8550893 | 1.1E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0015648853 | 0.0016946818 | 1.0829432 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.016585512 | 0.01677236 | 1.0112658 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 2.1294489E-5 | 8.129321E-5 | 3.8175704 | 6.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 9.12589E-5 | 1.7125161E-4 | 1.8765467 | 8.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0011105112 | 0.0012004112 | 1.0809537 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.0119804805 | 0.012108923 | 1.010721 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 1.5039052E-5 | 5.503845E-5 | 3.659702 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 6.445149E-5 | 1.2444763E-4 | 1.9308727 | 6.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 7.8441465E-4 | 8.443676E-4 | 1.0764302 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.008524905 | 0.008604223 | 1.0093043 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 2.7353246E-6 | 2.7353246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 1.1722767E-5 | 1.1722767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 1.4271536E-4 | 1.4271536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0016786362 | 0.0016786362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 7.4935923E-7 | 7.4935923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 3.2115356E-6 | 3.2115356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 3.909975E-5 | 3.909975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 4.977215E-4 | 4.977215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 6.5346896E-8 | 6.5346896E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 2.800581E-7 | 2.800581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 3.4097025E-6 | 3.4097025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 4.5695724E-5 | 4.5695724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.729663E-5 | 9.729525E-5 | 5.6250987 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.41267E-5 | 1.941178E-4 | 2.61873 | 1.2E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0218795E-4 | 0.0010420616 | 1.1550384 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.009126906 | 0.009384533 | 1.0282272 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880206E-6 | 2.9880008E-5 | 3.0242293 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234307E-5 | 7.23418E-5 | 1.7084684 | 3.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1540806E-4 | 5.5538747E-4 | 1.0775684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052778013 | 0.005357379 | 1.0150778 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880206E-6 | 2.9880008E-5 | 3.0242293 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234307E-5 | 7.23418E-5 | 1.7084684 | 3.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1540806E-4 | 5.5538747E-4 | 1.0775684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052778013 | 0.005357379 | 1.0150778 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 8.164309E-6 | 2.8164146E-5 | 3.4496667 | 2.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 3.4989433E-5 | 6.498838E-5 | 1.8573717 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 4.2591398E-4 | 4.6589694E-4 | 1.0938756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.0043865484 | 0.004456241 | 1.0158879 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 8.040127E-6 | 2.8039965E-5 | 3.487503 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 3.4457236E-5 | 6.44562E-5 | 1.8706144 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 4.1943698E-4 | 4.594202E-4 | 1.095326 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.0043220315 | 0.004391729 | 1.016126 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 6.9777693E-6 | 2.697763E-5 | 3.8662255 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 2.9904384E-5 | 5.9903487E-5 | 2.0031674 | 3.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 3.640252E-4 | 4.0401064E-4 | 1.1098425 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0037692885 | 0.0038290625 | 1.0158582 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 6.9694397E-6 | 2.6969301E-5 | 3.8696513 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 2.9868685E-5 | 5.986779E-5 | 2.0043664 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 3.6359075E-4 | 4.0357618E-4 | 1.1099738 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0037649586 | 0.0038247327 | 1.0158764 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 6.8540453E-6 | 2.6853908E-5 | 3.9179647 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 2.937415E-5 | 5.937327E-5 | 2.0212762 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 3.5757176E-4 | 3.9755745E-4 | 1.1118257 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0037046394 | 0.0037644173 | 1.0161359 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 6.815862E-6 | 1.6815793E-5 | 2.467156 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 2.921051E-5 | 4.9209928E-5 | 1.6846651 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 3.555801E-4 | 3.8556944E-4 | 1.0843391 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0036845473 | 0.003734363 | 1.0135202 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 6.785375E-6 | 1.6785307E-5 | 2.473748 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 2.9079854E-5 | 4.9079274E-5 | 1.6877414 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 3.5398986E-4 | 3.8397923E-4 | 1.0847182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0036685627 | 0.0037183792 | 1.0135794 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 6.7499745E-6 | 1.6749907E-5 | 2.481477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 2.8928143E-5 | 4.8927566E-5 | 1.6913483 | 2.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 3.521434E-4 | 3.7213633E-4 | 1.0567751 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0036500972 | 0.0036799875 | 1.008189 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 6.722972E-6 | 1.6722905E-5 | 2.4874275 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 2.8812421E-5 | 4.8811846E-5 | 1.694125 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 3.5073492E-4 | 3.707279E-4 | 1.0570031 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.003635893 | 0.0036657841 | 1.008221 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 5.962456E-6 | 1.5962396E-5 | 2.6771512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 2.5553132E-5 | 4.555262E-5 | 1.7826629 | 2.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 3.1106506E-4 | 3.3105884E-4 | 1.0642753 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0032353494 | 0.0032652526 | 1.0092425 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 5.4354305E-6 | 1.5435377E-5 | 2.8397708 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 2.3294495E-5 | 4.329403E-5 | 1.858552 | 2.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 2.835736E-4 | 3.0356794E-4 | 1.0705085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0029506292 | 0.0029805405 | 1.0101373 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 3.4146035E-6 | 1.3414569E-5 | 3.9285877 | 1.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 1.46339335E-5 | 3.4633642E-5 | 2.3666666 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 1.7815361E-4 | 1.9815005E-4 | 1.1122427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0018557585 | 0.0018757214 | 1.0107572 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 5.717053E-7 | 5.717053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 2.4501635E-6 | 2.4501635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 2.9830335E-5 | 2.9830335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 3.1325972E-4 | 3.1325972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 2.1444126E-8 | 2.1444126E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 9.19034E-8 | 9.19034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 1.1189234E-6 | 1.1189234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 1.3199692E-5 | 1.3199692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 3.4907133E-10 | 3.4907133E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.4960195E-9 | 1.4960195E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.821404E-8 | 1.821404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 2.303528E-7 | 2.303528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.222772E-5 | 1.6222266E-4 | 3.8416152 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096353E-4 | 3.4093458E-4 | 1.8839961 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010286 | 0.0023806323 | 1.0816 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888409 | 0.022162281 | 1.0125122 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.222772E-5 | 1.6222266E-4 | 3.8416152 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096353E-4 | 3.4093458E-4 | 1.8839961 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010286 | 0.0023806323 | 1.0816 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888409 | 0.022162281 | 1.0125122 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.210165E-5 | 1.6209659E-4 | 3.8501248 | 1.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042329E-4 | 3.403944E-4 | 1.8866435 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944644 | 0.0023740695 | 1.0818446 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824962 | 0.02209885 | 1.0125494 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.210165E-5 | 1.6209659E-4 | 3.8501248 | 1.2E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042329E-4 | 3.403944E-4 | 1.8866435 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944644 | 0.0023740695 | 1.0818446 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824962 | 0.02209885 | 1.0125494 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 3.53048E-5 | 1.3530128E-4 | 3.832376 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.5129763E-4 | 2.9127643E-4 | 1.9251884 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0018405111 | 0.001990235 | 1.0813491 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019048655 | 0.018346062 | 0.018571842 | 1.0123068 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.1658677E-5 | 1.2165583E-4 | 3.8427324 | 9.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.3567308E-4 | 2.6565546E-4 | 1.9580556 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0016505845 | 0.0017903534 | 1.0846784 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017543508 | 0.016469438 | 0.016675979 | 1.0125409 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.114075E-5 | 1.2113795E-4 | 3.890014 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.3345362E-4 | 2.6343626E-4 | 1.9739913 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0016236029 | 0.0017633757 | 1.086088 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017365133 | 0.016205674 | 0.016412271 | 1.0127485 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 2.9895731E-5 | 9.989364E-5 | 3.3414016 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.2811835E-4 | 2.3810426E-4 | 1.8584712 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0015587409 | 0.0016785539 | 1.0768652 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016856372 | 0.015564543 | 0.015751585 | 1.0120173 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 2.9378452E-5 | 9.93764E-5 | 3.3826287 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.2590167E-4 | 2.3588781E-4 | 1.8735877 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.001531791 | 0.0016516071 | 1.0782197 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016654192 | 0.015298499 | 0.015485592 | 1.0122296 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 2.8661958E-5 | 9.865995E-5 | 3.4421916 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.2283126E-4 | 2.3281775E-4 | 1.8954275 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0014944607 | 0.0016142813 | 1.0801765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01638118 | 0.014929839 | 0.015117003 | 1.0125362 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 2.7678501E-5 | 9.7676566E-5 | 3.5289686 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.18616845E-4 | 2.1860498E-4 | 1.8429506 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0014432191 | 0.0015530604 | 1.0761085 | 1.1E-4 | 0.015996104 | 0.014424129 | 0.014591677 | 1.0116158 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 2.6569778E-5 | 9.656792E-5 | 3.6345022 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.1386559E-4 | 2.138542E-4 | 1.8781284 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0013854477 | 0.0014952953 | 1.0792867 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01556781 | 0.013853005 | 0.01402065 | 1.0121017 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 2.377331E-5 | 9.377165E-5 | 3.9444084 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.0188171E-4 | 2.0187153E-4 | 1.9814304 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0012397185 | 0.0013495821 | 1.0886198 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014481937 | 0.0124103855 | 0.012578276 | 1.0135282 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 1.9972345E-5 | 8.997095E-5 | 4.5047765 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 8.559302E-5 | 1.7558532E-4 | 2.0513976 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0010416079 | 0.0011415038 | 1.0959054 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012712469 | 0.010440433 | 0.010598764 | 1.0151651 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 1.869477E-5 | 7.869365E-5 | 4.209394 | 6.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 8.011804E-5 | 1.6011164E-4 | 1.9984467 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012111551 | 9.750116E-4 | 0.0010649238 | 1.0922166 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.009778487 | 0.0099270195 | 1.0151898 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 1.6510954E-5 | 7.650996E-5 | 4.633891 | 6.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 7.0759364E-5 | 1.5075371E-4 | 2.1305122 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010939965 | 8.6116407E-4 | 9.510866E-4 | 1.1044197 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.008644469 | 0.0087832585 | 1.0160553 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.0773964E-5 | 7.077332E-5 | 6.5689206 | 6.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 4.617335E-5 | 1.2616966E-4 | 2.732521 | 8.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 5.620217E-4 | 6.519711E-4 | 1.1600462 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.005669797 | 0.0057990598 | 1.0227985 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 6.1008004E-6 | 5.6100496E-5 | 9.195596 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 2.6146026E-5 | 9.61442E-5 | 3.677201 | 7.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 3.182815E-4 | 3.9825603E-4 | 1.2512698 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00517007 | 0.0032392235 | 0.003358835 | 1.0369259 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 4.7298568E-6 | 4.4729666E-5 | 9.456876 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 2.0270658E-5 | 7.026964E-5 | 3.4665694 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 2.4676736E-4 | 2.9675502E-4 | 1.20257 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0025160199 | 0.0026057935 | 1.0356808 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 3.089391E-6 | 4.308927E-5 | 13.947495 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 1.324018E-5 | 6.323952E-5 | 4.776334 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 1.611873E-4 | 2.1117924E-4 | 1.3101481 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0016422775 | 0.0017221461 | 1.0486329 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.266753E-6 | 1.126674E-5 | 8.894189 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289303E-6 | 1.5428875E-5 | 2.8419735 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.6095236E-5 | 7.609457E-5 | 1.1512868 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7326706E-4 | 6.832603E-4 | 1.014843 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.304427E-6 | 9.779858E-6 | 3.9779567E-5 | 4.067499 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9875507E-5 | 4.191312E-5 | 1.01910606E-4 | 2.4314725 | 6.0E-5 | 4.8537613E-4 | 5.1019335E-4 | 6.8010663E-4 | 1.333037 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0048431735 | 0.0050958227 | 0.005354498 | 1.0507622 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 7.536929E-6 | 7.927707E-6 | 3.7927468E-5 | 4.7841663 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2300723E-5 | 3.397555E-5 | 8.397385E-5 | 2.4715965 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9319033E-4 | 4.135922E-4 | 5.635302E-4 | 1.362526 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0039249538 | 0.004133613 | 0.004352703 | 1.0530022 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.2853722E-6 | 3.7285154E-5 | 5.1178102 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.1222753E-5 | 8.122119E-5 | 2.6013463 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 3.8008866E-4 | 5.2003545E-4 | 1.368195 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003606286 | 0.0037997297 | 0.0039989697 | 1.0524353 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 2.8925517E-6 | 1.2892523E-5 | 4.457145 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.2396596E-5 | 3.2396347E-5 | 2.6133263 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.5091887E-4 | 2.1090981E-4 | 1.3975046 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0015118286 | 0.0015817228 | 1.0462315 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 2.8770821E-6 | 1.2877053E-5 | 4.4757338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.2330298E-5 | 3.2330052E-5 | 2.6220007 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.5011182E-4 | 2.1010281E-4 | 1.399642 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.001503769 | 0.0015736638 | 1.0464797 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 2.8597196E-6 | 1.2859691E-5 | 4.496836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.2255889E-5 | 3.2255644E-5 | 2.6318486 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.49206E-4 | 2.0919705E-4 | 1.4020686 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.001494723 | 0.0015646184 | 1.0467614 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 2.83022E-6 | 1.2830192E-5 | 4.533284 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.21294615E-5 | 3.212922E-5 | 2.6488578 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.4766697E-4 | 2.076581E-4 | 1.4062598 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0014793533 | 0.0015492497 | 1.047248 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 2.8006261E-6 | 1.2800598E-5 | 4.57062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.20026325E-5 | 3.2002394E-5 | 2.6662812 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.4612303E-4 | 2.0611426E-4 | 1.4105529 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0014639343 | 0.0015338318 | 1.0477463 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.326883E-6 | 1.232686E-5 | 5.2975845 | 1.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 9.972321E-6 | 2.9972121E-5 | 3.005531 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.2140688E-4 | 1.7140081E-4 | 1.4117882 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0012170577 | 0.0012769847 | 1.0492393 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 1.5705504E-6 | 1.1570534E-5 | 7.3671846 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1764263E-6 | 6.730914E-6 | 2.6730779E-5 | 3.9713447 | 2.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 8.194599E-5 | 1.319419E-4 | 1.610108 | 5.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 8.227675E-4 | 8.727264E-4 | 1.0607206 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.1271813E-6 | 1.112717E-5 | 9.871676 | 1.0E-5 | 4.317169E-6 | 4.8307693E-6 | 2.4830673E-5 | 5.1401076 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 5.8813137E-5 | 1.088102E-4 | 1.8501002 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 5.91578E-4 | 6.415485E-4 | 1.0844697 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.010405E-6 | 1.1010395E-5 | 10.897012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.834468E-6 | 4.3303003E-6 | 2.4330213E-5 | 5.6185975 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 5.272024E-5 | 1.02717604E-4 | 1.9483523 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 5.306796E-4 | 5.80653E-4 | 1.0941688 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 6.2962005E-7 | 1.0629614E-5 | 16.882586 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350691E-6 | 2.698369E-6 | 2.2698316E-5 | 8.411865 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7211627E-5 | 3.2852164E-5 | 7.285085E-5 | 2.2175357 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 3.320674E-4 | 3.7205414E-4 | 1.1204175 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 5.529882E-7 | 1.05529825E-5 | 19.083559 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8867761E-6 | 2.3699472E-6 | 2.2369899E-5 | 9.438987 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2971257E-5 | 2.8853743E-5 | 5.885288E-5 | 2.0396965 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2968883E-4 | 2.920943E-4 | 3.2208554E-4 | 1.1026765 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 4.792952E-7 | 1.0479291E-5 | 21.86396 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5484665E-6 | 2.0541206E-6 | 2.2054079E-5 | 10.736506 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8852415E-5 | 2.5008647E-5 | 5.50079E-5 | 2.1995552 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8850817E-4 | 2.53646E-4 | 2.836384E-4 | 1.1182451 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 4.6230437E-7 | 1.04622995E-5 | 22.630762 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4606494E-6 | 1.981303E-6 | 2.1981263E-5 | 11.094347 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7783263E-5 | 2.4122113E-5 | 5.412139E-5 | 2.243642 | 3.0E-5 | 1.778184E-4 | 2.4476176E-4 | 2.7475442E-4 | 1.1225382 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 4.374364E-7 | 4.374364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 1.8747262E-6 | 1.18747075E-5 | 6.334102 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6398877E-5 | 2.2824568E-5 | 4.282411E-5 | 1.8762288 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6397667E-4 | 2.3173736E-4 | 2.517327E-4 | 1.0862846 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 2.565504E-7 | 2.565504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 1.0995012E-6 | 1.0995012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 1.3386349E-5 | 1.3386349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 1.3722414E-4 | 1.3722414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 6.1936596E-8 | 6.1936596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 2.654425E-7 | 2.654425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 3.2317582E-6 | 3.2317582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 3.301786E-5 | 3.301786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 2.024543E-9 | 2.024543E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 8.676613E-9 | 8.676613E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 1.0563775E-7 | 1.0563775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 1.0908037E-6 | 1.0908037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 1.1532871E-4 | 21.640512 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.82836E-4 | 8.005202 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.6798523E-4 | 1.6831696 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030362643 | 1.0933666 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.9009222E-6 | 1.04900435E-4 | 21.404224 | 1.0E-4 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1003787E-5 | 1.7100063E-4 | 8.141419 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5569185E-4 | 4.356458E-4 | 1.7037925 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0024854892 | 0.0025540516 | 0.002783464 | 1.089823 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.8845695E-6 | 1.0488408E-4 | 21.472534 | 1.0E-4 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.0933705E-5 | 1.7093057E-4 | 8.165328 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.548388E-4 | 4.3479292E-4 | 1.7061489 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002477193 | 0.0025455407 | 0.0027749552 | 1.0901241 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.906847E-6 | 9.390649E-5 | 24.036392 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.6743523E-5 | 1.3674151E-4 | 8.166831 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0383354E-4 | 3.43805E-4 | 1.686695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001980861 | 0.0020364893 | 0.0022161228 | 1.0882074 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.770435E-6 | 9.37701E-5 | 24.869835 | 9.0E-5 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6158909E-5 | 1.3615697E-4 | 8.426125 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9671717E-4 | 3.3668964E-4 | 1.7115417 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0019116632 | 0.0019654534 | 0.0021450995 | 1.0914019 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.3317529E-6 | 9.333145E-5 | 28.012718 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.4278863E-5 | 1.2427729E-4 | 8.703585 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.7383139E-4 | 3.038088E-4 | 1.7477211 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016888938 | 0.0017369651 | 0.0019066699 | 1.0977019 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.181827E-6 | 9.318154E-5 | 29.285547 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.363633E-5 | 1.2363483E-4 | 9.066577 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6600978E-4 | 2.959882E-4 | 1.7829564 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001612894 | 0.0016588684 | 0.001818603 | 1.0962913 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.626107E-6 | 8.26259E-5 | 31.463264 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.1254696E-5 | 1.1125357E-4 | 9.88508 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3701734E-4 | 2.570009E-4 | 1.8756815 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013350984 | 0.0013693332 | 0.0015091415 | 1.1020995 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.193178E-6 | 8.2193E-5 | 37.476665 | 8.0E-5 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.3993E-6 | 1.0939836E-4 | 11.638989 | 1.0E-4 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.144305E-4 | 2.3441677E-4 | 2.0485516 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011175112 | 0.0011437184 | 0.0012735698 | 1.1135343 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7622224E-6 | 6.176212E-5 | 35.047855 | 6.0E-5 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.55236E-6 | 7.7551835E-5 | 10.268556 | 7.0E-5 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.194612E-5 | 1.8193785E-4 | 1.978744 | 9.0E-5 | 8.990063E-4 | 9.1908313E-4 | 0.0010189912 | 1.1087041 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.746923E-7 | 3.0974665E-5 | 31.778915 | 3.0E-5 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.177246E-6 | 4.417708E-5 | 10.575647 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.0856794E-5 | 1.1085375E-4 | 2.1797233 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9774844E-4 | 5.084528E-4 | 5.784172E-4 | 1.1376026 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 1.0270054E-5 | 38.029167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.1157376E-5 | 9.640136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4091108E-5 | 4.4090684E-5 | 3.1289723 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4205484E-4 | 1.4090221E-4 | 1.8089658E-4 | 1.2838448 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348947E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 7.821189E-5 | 9.523564 | 7.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 7.821189E-5 | 9.523564 | 7.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 7.821189E-5 | 9.523564 | 7.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 7.821189E-5 | 9.523564 | 7.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.846804E-6 | 7.1846676E-5 | 38.903248 | 7.0E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 7.914861E-6 | 7.791431E-5 | 9.844052 | 7.0E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.63611E-5 | 2.3634761E-4 | 2.4527283 | 1.4E-4 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.6338213E-4 | 0.0011931605 | 1.2385123 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 2.2646063E-5 | 8.558228 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 5.2215382E-5 | 1.620789 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.6210445E-4 | 1.1241384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 2.2646063E-5 | 8.558228 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 5.2215382E-5 | 1.620789 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.6210445E-4 | 1.1241384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 2.2646063E-5 | 8.558228 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 5.2215382E-5 | 1.620789 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.6210445E-4 | 1.1241384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 4.964154E-7 | 1.049641E-5 | 21.144411 | 1.0E-5 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1274927E-6 | 1.2127472E-5 | 5.7003584 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.5901942E-5 | 3.590168E-5 | 1.3860614 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.5899155E-4 | 2.8898378E-4 | 1.1158038 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.797009E-7 | 1.0379697E-5 | 27.33651 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6272886E-6 | 1.1627272E-5 | 7.145181 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8964305E-5 | 1.9812076E-5 | 2.9811878E-5 | 1.5047326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8962687E-4 | 1.9810472E-4 | 2.2809877E-4 | 1.1514051 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.5184985E-7 | 1.0251847E-5 | 40.706184 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.0793561E-6 | 1.1079345E-5 | 10.264772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3141094E-5 | 2.3140963E-5 | 1.7609617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3140438E-4 | 1.5140175E-4 | 1.152182 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 7.472159E-5 | 15.824413 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.10234825E-4 | 5.4472876 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.0631564E-4 | 1.6493092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027103764 | 1.101335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 7.413974E-5 | 17.908043 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 1.0774125E-4 | 6.072376 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.759647E-4 | 1.7405832 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0023975235 | 1.1109719 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 7.413974E-5 | 17.908043 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 1.0774125E-4 | 6.072376 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.759647E-4 | 1.7405832 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0023975235 | 1.1109719 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.351097E-6 | 7.3350864E-5 | 21.888613 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.436177E-5 | 1.0436048E-4 | 7.266547 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7484145E-4 | 3.2481522E-4 | 1.8577702 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017471304 | 0.0019567634 | 1.1199871 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2235532E-6 | 7.322333E-5 | 22.7151 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.381516E-5 | 1.03813916E-4 | 7.5144925 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.681875E-4 | 3.181623E-4 | 1.8917117 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016806928 | 0.0018903398 | 1.1247385 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 2.9872583E-6 | 6.298708E-5 | 21.085247 | 6.0E-5 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2802478E-5 | 9.2801456E-5 | 7.2487106 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5585992E-4 | 2.9583808E-4 | 1.8981025 | 1.4E-4 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015575942 | 0.0017572826 | 1.1282032 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0269592E-6 | 6.202684E-5 | 30.60093 | 6.0E-5 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.6869395E-6 | 7.868633E-5 | 9.058003 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.057584E-4 | 2.1574677E-4 | 2.0399964 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010570851 | 0.0011869477 | 1.1228497 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7546768E-6 | 6.1754574E-5 | 35.19427 | 6.0E-5 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.520022E-6 | 7.751949E-5 | 10.3084135 | 7.0E-5 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.155245E-5 | 1.915433E-4 | 2.09217 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.1515045E-4 | 0.0010350406 | 1.131006 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5860172E-6 | 6.1585924E-5 | 38.83055 | 6.0E-5 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.797199E-6 | 7.679672E-5 | 11.298289 | 7.0E-5 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.2752784E-5 | 1.7274533E-4 | 2.0874867 | 9.0E-5 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.2722266E-4 | 9.371317E-4 | 1.1328651 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.3931309E-6 | 6.1393046E-5 | 44.068398 | 6.0E-5 | 5.9318945E-6 | 5.9705476E-6 | 7.597013E-5 | 12.724148 | 7.0E-5 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.268902E-5 | 1.6268248E-4 | 2.2380612 | 9.0E-5 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.2665524E-4 | 8.3657535E-4 | 1.1512685 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0843277E-6 | 5.1084273E-5 | 47.111473 | 5.0E-5 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6471105E-6 | 6.464683E-5 | 13.911189 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.6577126E-5 | 1.2657317E-4 | 2.237179 | 7.0E-5 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.656298E-4 | 6.4558454E-4 | 1.1413553 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.4526447E-7 | 3.054525E-5 | 56.019142 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3368457E-6 | 4.2336753E-5 | 18.117052 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8450726E-5 | 6.844959E-5 | 2.4058995 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.84471E-4 | 3.244596E-4 | 1.1405718 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9562776E-7 | 1.0195626E-5 | 52.117477 | 1.0E-5 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.384044E-7 | 1.0838396E-5 | 12.927408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0207526E-5 | 2.0207424E-5 | 1.9796593 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0207062E-4 | 1.12069596E-4 | 1.0979614 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 7.090006E-5 | 6.5041676 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.2671288E-4 | 2.7123728 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 7.385505E-4 | 1.2987851 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005925092 | 1.0419656 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 7.090006E-5 | 6.5041676 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.2671288E-4 | 2.7123728 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 7.385505E-4 | 1.2987851 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005925092 | 1.0419656 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007115E-5 | 7.090006E-5 | 6.5041676 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.6716617E-5 | 1.2671288E-4 | 2.7123728 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.6864717E-4 | 7.385505E-4 | 1.2987851 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.005686457 | 0.005925092 | 1.0419656 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 6.2460203E-6 | 4.6245772E-5 | 7.404038 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 2.6768395E-5 | 7.676706E-5 | 2.8678243 | 5.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 3.258588E-4 | 4.258262E-4 | 1.3067814 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0032665501 | 0.0034160602 | 1.04577 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 6.2305508E-6 | 4.6230303E-5 | 7.419938 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 2.67021E-5 | 7.6700766E-5 | 2.8724618 | 5.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 3.2505186E-4 | 4.2501936E-4 | 1.3075432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0032585047 | 0.003408016 | 1.0458834 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 5.562456E-6 | 4.5562232E-5 | 8.191029 | 4.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 2.383889E-5 | 7.38377E-5 | 3.0973632 | 5.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 2.9020171E-4 | 3.901727E-4 | 1.3444879 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0029109314 | 0.003040553 | 1.0445292 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 5.0276717E-6 | 3.5027522E-5 | 6.9669466 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.1546995E-5 | 6.154613E-5 | 2.8563673 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 2.6230467E-4 | 3.422837E-4 | 1.3049089 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.002632626 | 0.0027423366 | 1.0416734 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 4.294076E-6 | 3.4293946E-5 | 7.986339 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 1.8403058E-5 | 5.8402322E-5 | 3.1735117 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 2.2403516E-4 | 3.0401725E-4 | 1.3570068 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.002250712 | 0.0023504868 | 1.0443304 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 4.057579E-6 | 3.405746E-5 | 8.393541 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 1.7389515E-5 | 5.7388817E-5 | 3.3001966 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.1169767E-4 | 2.9168074E-4 | 1.3778174 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002127575 | 0.0022273622 | 1.0469018 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 3.3425258E-6 | 3.3342425E-5 | 9.975219 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 1.43250345E-5 | 5.432446E-5 | 3.7922745 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 1.7439378E-4 | 2.5437982E-4 | 1.4586519 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0017551434 | 0.0018549679 | 1.0568753 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 2.6705661E-6 | 3.2670487E-5 | 12.233543 | 3.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.1445235E-5 | 5.144478E-5 | 4.4948645 | 4.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 1.3933713E-4 | 2.1932599E-4 | 1.574067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0014050263 | 0.0015048858 | 1.071073 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 2.1690198E-6 | 2.2168977E-5 | 10.220735 | 2.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 9.295767E-6 | 3.929549E-5 | 4.2272453 | 3.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.13170296E-4 | 1.731635E-4 | 1.5301144 | 6.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0011436082 | 0.0012135282 | 1.0611398 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 1.6995115E-6 | 2.1699478E-5 | 12.768068 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3829745E-6 | 7.2836006E-6 | 3.7283382E-5 | 5.118812 | 3.0E-5 | 6.553574E-5 | 8.867433E-5 | 1.386699E-4 | 1.5638111 | 5.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 8.9883513E-4 | 9.5878117E-4 | 1.0666931 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 1.578354E-6 | 2.1578322E-5 | 13.671408 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7669787E-6 | 6.7643577E-6 | 3.6764155E-5 | 5.434981 | 3.0E-5 | 5.803642E-5 | 8.2353035E-5 | 1.2234974E-4 | 1.4856737 | 4.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 8.354835E-4 | 8.854417E-4 | 1.0597956 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 1.4966478E-6 | 2.1496619E-5 | 14.363178 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3444993E-6 | 6.4141896E-6 | 3.6413996E-5 | 5.6771 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2892992E-5 | 7.809005E-5 | 1.1808693E-4 | 1.5121891 | 4.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 7.926E-4 | 8.425604E-4 | 1.0630336 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 1.4499559E-6 | 2.1449927E-5 | 14.793503 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1136827E-6 | 6.2140825E-6 | 3.6213896E-5 | 5.827714 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0082934E-5 | 7.565392E-5 | 1.15650895E-4 | 1.5286834 | 4.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 7.679944E-4 | 8.1795594E-4 | 1.0650547 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 1.2077671E-6 | 1.1207755E-5 | 9.279732 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3983351E-6 | 5.176135E-6 | 2.5176032E-5 | 4.863867 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1373947E-5 | 6.3017695E-5 | 9.3015806E-5 | 1.4760268 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1366243E-4 | 6.405066E-4 | 6.704874E-4 | 1.0468079 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 5.888308E-7 | 5.888308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 2.5235584E-6 | 2.5235584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 3.07239E-5 | 3.07239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 3.1580107E-4 | 3.1580107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 1.3484717E-7 | 1.3484717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 5.779163E-7 | 5.779163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 7.0361093E-6 | 7.0361093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 7.1971335E-5 | 7.1971335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 2.193909E-8 | 2.193909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 9.402467E-8 | 9.402467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 1.1447498E-6 | 1.1447498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 1.1690889E-5 | 1.1690889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 1.0078802E-4 | 9.341745 | 9.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.0280186E-4 | 1.2485806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058408203 | 1.0389116 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 1.0078802E-4 | 9.341745 | 9.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.0280186E-4 | 1.2485806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058408203 | 1.0389116 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 1.0078802E-4 | 9.341745 | 9.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.4623353E-4 | 3.1626163 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.0280186E-4 | 1.2485806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058408203 | 1.0389116 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 4.3157423E-5 | 13.668015 | 4.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 4.3157423E-5 | 13.668015 | 4.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 4.3157423E-5 | 13.668015 | 4.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 5.3531763E-5 | 3.95585 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 2.147389E-4 | 1.3034455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793378E-6 | 3.1779284E-5 | 17.860174 | 3.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 3.762549E-5 | 4.934025 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.2283782E-4 | 1.3231045 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.781119E-4 | 1.0538201 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793378E-6 | 3.1779284E-5 | 17.860174 | 3.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 3.762549E-5 | 4.934025 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.2283782E-4 | 1.3231045 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.781119E-4 | 1.0538201 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.6320446E-4 | 1.0692192 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.6320446E-4 | 1.0692192 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.6389784E-8 | 5.6389784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.4167048E-7 | 2.4167048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 2.9423354E-6 | 2.9423354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 2.9423074E-5 | 3.942278E-5 | 1.3398594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.569786E-4 | 3.569529E-4 | 1.3890375 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008752 | 0.001220743 | 1.1088842 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01332158 | 0.013459715 | 1.0103693 | 1.4E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.12448202 | 0.12467463 | 1.0015473 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.569786E-4 | 3.569529E-4 | 1.3890375 | 1.0E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008752 | 0.001220743 | 1.1088842 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01332158 | 0.013459715 | 1.0103693 | 1.4E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.12448202 | 0.12467463 | 1.0015473 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 2.3247252E-4 | 3.224516E-4 | 1.3870525 | 9.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 9.95933E-4 | 0.0011058234 | 1.1103392 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.012058683 | 0.012187115 | 1.0106506 | 1.3E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.113489494 | 0.11367566 | 1.0016404 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 2.3193125E-4 | 3.2191037E-4 | 1.387956 | 9.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 9.93615E-4 | 0.0011035056 | 1.1105969 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.012030774 | 0.01215921 | 1.0106757 | 1.3E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.11325201 | 0.11343823 | 1.0016443 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.2412052E-4 | 3.1410035E-4 | 1.4014796 | 9.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 9.601654E-4 | 0.0010700598 | 1.1144536 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.01162794 | 0.0117564285 | 1.01105 | 1.3E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.10974446 | 0.10993142 | 1.0017035 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.2135138E-4 | 3.1133147E-4 | 1.4065033 | 9.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 9.4830635E-4 | 0.001058202 | 1.1158862 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.011485087 | 0.011613594 | 1.011189 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.10849391 | 0.10868113 | 1.0017256 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.1907069E-4 | 3.0905099E-4 | 1.4107363 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 9.38539E-4 | 0.0010484358 | 1.1170934 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.011367415 | 0.011495938 | 1.0113062 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.1074642 | 0.107651636 | 1.0017442 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.1768987E-4 | 3.0767027E-4 | 1.4133422 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 9.326255E-4 | 0.0010425228 | 1.1178366 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.011296167 | 0.011424698 | 1.0113783 | 1.3E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.10684245 | 0.10703001 | 1.0017555 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.1586502E-4 | 3.0584558E-4 | 1.4168372 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 9.248102E-4 | 0.0010347085 | 1.1188333 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.011201998 | 0.011330542 | 1.0114751 | 1.3E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.10602041 | 0.106208146 | 1.0017707 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.115913E-4 | 3.0157226E-4 | 1.4252583 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 9.0650714E-4 | 0.0010164074 | 1.1212349 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.010981427 | 0.011109998 | 1.0117081 | 1.3E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.10406596 | 0.104254104 | 1.0018079 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 1.8463642E-4 | 2.6462163E-4 | 1.4332039 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 7.91061E-4 | 8.909819E-4 | 1.1263125 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.0095890695 | 0.009707918 | 1.0123942 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.091673866 | 0.091855526 | 1.0019816 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 1.8168509E-4 | 2.6167056E-4 | 1.4402423 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 7.7842E-4 | 8.783422E-4 | 1.1283654 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.00943651 | 0.009555377 | 1.0125966 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.09027163 | 0.09045357 | 1.0020156 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 1.6489608E-4 | 2.448829E-4 | 1.485074 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 7.06508E-4 | 8.0643734E-4 | 1.1414412 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.008568198 | 0.00868717 | 1.0138853 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.08252404 | 0.08270754 | 1.0022235 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 1.5108388E-4 | 2.310718E-4 | 1.5294272 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 6.4734346E-4 | 7.4727874E-4 | 1.1543775 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.007853281 | 0.007972338 | 1.0151602 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.076064855 | 0.07624964 | 1.0024294 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 9.922378E-5 | 1.7921584E-4 | 1.8061783 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 4.25176E-4 | 5.251335E-4 | 1.2350967 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.005164334 | 0.0052837143 | 1.0231164 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.051232267 | 0.051422022 | 1.0037038 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 7.30683E-5 | 1.5306246E-4 | 2.094786 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 3.1311245E-4 | 4.1308114E-4 | 1.3192741 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.003805517 | 0.0039250604 | 1.0314132 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.038269363 | 0.038452093 | 1.0047748 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 5.314526E-5 | 1.33141E-4 | 2.5052283 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 2.277456E-4 | 3.277228E-4 | 1.4389864 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.00276929 | 0.0028889577 | 1.0432124 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.02822393 | 0.028408568 | 1.0065418 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 3.5740675E-5 | 1.15737814E-4 | 3.2382662 | 8.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 1.5316534E-4 | 2.5315004E-4 | 1.6527892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0018631953 | 0.0019829718 | 1.0642855 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.019347167 | 0.019523684 | 1.0091237 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 2.8360724E-5 | 1.0835846E-4 | 3.8207223 | 8.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 1.215403E-4 | 2.2152816E-4 | 1.8226724 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0014787497 | 0.0015885871 | 1.0742772 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.015547765 | 0.015715122 | 1.010764 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 1.9708821E-5 | 6.9707836E-5 | 3.536885 | 5.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 8.4463645E-5 | 1.5445772E-4 | 1.828689 | 7.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0010278601 | 0.0010977881 | 1.0680326 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.010998373 | 0.0111071635 | 1.0098915 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 1.5612382E-5 | 6.56116E-5 | 4.202536 | 5.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 6.69085E-5 | 1.3690381E-4 | 2.046135 | 7.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 8.143067E-4 | 8.8424975E-4 | 1.0858927 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.008778233 | 0.008867444 | 1.0101626 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 3.5009464E-6 | 1.3500911E-5 | 3.8563607 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 1.500397E-5 | 2.500382E-5 | 1.6664803 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 1.8265804E-4 | 1.9265621E-4 | 1.0547371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.0020670881 | 0.0020770675 | 1.0048277 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 7.808399E-7 | 7.808399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 3.3464526E-6 | 3.3464526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 4.07423E-5 | 4.07423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 5.0380256E-4 | 5.0380256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 1.2012623E-8 | 1.2012623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 5.148267E-8 | 5.148267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 6.268013E-7 | 6.268013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 6.842574E-6 | 6.842574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.3736742E-4 | 1.7754136 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.2152536E-4 | 1.271358 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0041890596 | 1.0395452 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.0398221 | 1.0050904 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.3736742E-4 | 1.7754136 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.2152536E-4 | 1.271358 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0041890596 | 1.0395452 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.0398221 | 1.0050904 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.466584E-5 | 4.466584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.914113E-4 | 2.2140556E-4 | 1.1567006 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0023279984 | 0.0023878587 | 1.0257132 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023043046 | 0.023130972 | 1.0038158 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.6652036E-5 | 3.6652036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.5707086E-4 | 1.7706772E-4 | 1.1273111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019106906 | 0.0019506142 | 1.0208949 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.018946374 | 0.019015048 | 1.0036247 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.3012228E-5 | 3.3012228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4147344E-4 | 1.4147344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017211036 | 0.0017410691 | 1.0116005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017080795 | 0.01712994 | 1.0028772 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.1240204E-5 | 3.1240204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3387986E-4 | 1.3387986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.001628793 | 0.0016487604 | 1.012259 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.01617143 | 0.016220622 | 1.0030419 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5025554E-5 | 2.5025554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.07248045E-4 | 1.07248045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013049768 | 0.0013149637 | 1.007653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.012974756 | 0.013014237 | 1.0030429 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.204229E-5 | 2.204229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.44636E-5 | 9.44636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011494982 | 0.0011594866 | 1.0086894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011436739 | 0.011476281 | 1.0034575 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009595544 | 0.009615352 | 1.0020643 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008739387 | 0.008759212 | 1.0022684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007111594 | 0.0071215234 | 1.0013962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006274986 | 0.0062849233 | 1.0015836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0055010393 | 0.0055109845 | 1.0018078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004608876 | 0.00461883 | 1.0021597 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017071129 | 0.0017071129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7059663E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 1.1378644E-4 | 4.783238 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1596483E-4 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.2193533E-4 | 2.1769557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0014109573 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0014103807 | 1.1368614 | 1.7E-4 | 0.014020323 | 0.012353058 | 0.012550588 | 1.0159904 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 1.1378644E-4 | 4.783238 | 9.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.2193533E-4 | 2.1769557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0014103807 | 1.1368614 | 1.7E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353058 | 0.012550588 | 1.0159904 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.378858E-5 | 1.1378644E-4 | 4.783238 | 9.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.2193533E-4 | 2.1769557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405916 | 0.0014103807 | 1.1368614 | 1.7E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353058 | 0.012550588 | 1.0159904 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 4.5904322E-5 | 2.8861933 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816183E-5 | 1.081591E-4 | 1.5867987 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295882E-4 | 8.8953844E-4 | 1.072265 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276052 | 0.00835539 | 1.0095865 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 4.5904322E-5 | 2.8861933 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816183E-5 | 1.081591E-4 | 1.5867987 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295882E-4 | 8.8953844E-4 | 1.072265 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276052 | 0.00835539 | 1.0095865 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.4507896E-5 | 4.4507462E-5 | 3.0678096 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 6.21754E-5 | 1.0217291E-4 | 1.6433012 | 4.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 7.567551E-4 | 8.167097E-4 | 1.0792259 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.0075527816 | 0.0076321773 | 1.0105121 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.0396433E-5 | 2.039633E-5 | 1.9618584 | 1.0E-5 | 4.058515E-5 | 4.455552E-5 | 6.455463E-5 | 1.4488581 | 2.0E-5 | 4.940122E-4 | 5.4235314E-4 | 5.823315E-4 | 1.0737127 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.0054189772 | 0.0054687066 | 1.0091769 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 8.978998E-6 | 1.8978908E-5 | 2.1137 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5631605E-5 | 3.8480986E-5 | 5.8480215E-5 | 1.5197172 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3372845E-4 | 4.684287E-4 | 5.0841E-4 | 1.0853518 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.004682165 | 0.004731931 | 1.0106288 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.3664528E-6 | 3.3664528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.4427584E-5 | 1.4427584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.7564316E-4 | 1.7564316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0017561704 | 0.0017661528 | 1.0056843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 1.9722354E-6 | 1.9722354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 8.452411E-6 | 8.452411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.02903425E-4 | 1.02903425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0010291697 | 0.0010391594 | 1.0097066 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.4110369E-6 | 1.4110369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.0472876E-6 | 6.0472876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 7.362328E-5 | 7.362328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 7.3629856E-4 | 7.3629856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.3473384E-6 | 1.3473384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 5.774295E-6 | 5.774295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.029982E-5 | 7.029982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.0307753E-4 | 7.0307753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.2406687E-6 | 1.2406687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.3171407E-6 | 5.3171407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 6.473431E-5 | 6.473431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 6.474468E-4 | 6.474468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.0303654E-6 | 1.0303654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.4158446E-6 | 4.4158446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.376162E-5 | 5.376162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.375668E-4 | 5.375668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 8.5110753E-7 | 8.5110753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.6475988E-6 | 3.6475988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.440864E-5 | 4.440864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.4400763E-4 | 4.4400763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.046981E-7 | 7.046981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.0201313E-6 | 3.0201313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.6769507E-5 | 3.6769507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.676371E-4 | 3.676371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.357429E-7 | 6.357429E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.7246097E-6 | 2.7246097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.3171644E-5 | 3.3171644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.316696E-4 | 3.316696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 6.7107608E-6 | 6.7107608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 6.710637E-5 | 6.710637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.317366E-4 | 2.1337 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.645562E-4 | 1.3778536 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174475 | 0.0033370615 | 1.0371766 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.03181665 | 0.03198124 | 1.0051731 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.317366E-4 | 2.1337 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.645562E-4 | 1.3778536 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174475 | 0.0033370615 | 1.0371766 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.03181665 | 0.03198124 | 1.0051731 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 2.8347278E-5 | 5.8346428E-5 | 2.0582726 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.21483725E-4 | 1.7147766E-4 | 1.4115278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.001478241 | 0.0015481376 | 1.0472835 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.014719131 | 0.014827512 | 1.0073633 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134918E-5 | 5.0134313E-5 | 2.489919 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629045E-5 | 1.3628614E-4 | 1.5793884 | 5.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502193 | 0.0011001668 | 1.0475591 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0104836635 | 0.01055293 | 1.006607 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134918E-5 | 5.0134313E-5 | 2.489919 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629045E-5 | 1.3628614E-4 | 1.5793884 | 5.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502193 | 0.0011001668 | 1.0475591 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.0104836635 | 0.01055293 | 1.006607 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.7351536E-5 | 3.735119E-5 | 2.1526158 | 2.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 7.4362375E-5 | 1.143594E-4 | 1.5378665 | 4.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 9.051199E-4 | 9.450836E-4 | 1.0441531 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.0090449415 | 0.009114308 | 1.0076691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 6.9856837E-6 | 1.6985614E-5 | 2.431489 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 2.9938325E-5 | 4.9937727E-5 | 1.66802 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 3.6444215E-4 | 3.8443485E-4 | 1.0548584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0036565072 | 0.0036863976 | 1.0081745 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 6.9216026E-6 | 1.6921533E-5 | 2.4447422 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 2.9663695E-5 | 4.9663104E-5 | 1.6742048 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 3.6109964E-4 | 3.8109242E-4 | 1.0553664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480947 | 0.0036231964 | 0.0036530877 | 1.00825 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 6.779474E-6 | 1.6779406E-5 | 2.4750307 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 2.9054589E-5 | 4.9054008E-5 | 1.6883395 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 3.536862E-4 | 3.736791E-4 | 1.0565273 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0035491688 | 0.0035790624 | 1.0084227 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 6.4797873E-6 | 1.6479722E-5 | 2.5432506 | 1.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 2.7770244E-5 | 4.776969E-5 | 1.7201753 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 3.380542E-4 | 3.5804746E-4 | 1.0591421 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0033930168 | 0.003422915 | 1.0088117 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 6.1463365E-6 | 1.6146276E-5 | 2.6269753 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 2.6341198E-5 | 4.6340672E-5 | 1.759247 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.2066077E-4 | 3.4065437E-4 | 1.0623512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0032192443 | 0.0032491477 | 1.0092889 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 5.708193E-6 | 1.5708136E-5 | 2.751858 | 1.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 2.4463476E-5 | 4.4462988E-5 | 1.8175253 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 2.978059E-4 | 3.1779995E-4 | 1.0671378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0029909227 | 0.003020833 | 1.0100003 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 4.1209437E-6 | 1.4120903E-5 | 3.4266186 | 1.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 1.7661083E-5 | 3.766073E-5 | 2.1324134 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.150052E-4 | 2.350009E-4 | 1.093001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0021628116 | 0.0021927468 | 1.0138408 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 1.9511103E-6 | 1.19510905E-5 | 6.1252766 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 8.361875E-6 | 2.8361708E-5 | 3.391788 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.01801175E-4 | 1.2179914E-4 | 1.1964414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0010253101 | 0.0010552794 | 1.0292294 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 1.6323593E-6 | 1.6323593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 6.995807E-6 | 1.6995737E-5 | 2.4294176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 8.5170686E-5 | 9.516983E-5 | 1.1174012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014215811 | 8.5818936E-4 | 8.781722E-4 | 1.0232849 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 1.5172662E-6 | 1.5172662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 6.502554E-6 | 1.6502489E-5 | 2.5378473 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 7.916577E-5 | 8.9164976E-5 | 1.1263072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001360437 | 7.980075E-4 | 8.179915E-4 | 1.0250424 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.2684197E-6 | 1.2684197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 5.4360735E-6 | 1.5436019E-5 | 2.839553 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 6.6182234E-5 | 7.618157E-5 | 1.151088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001199845 | 6.680106E-4 | 6.8799726E-4 | 1.0299196 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 8.0926014E-7 | 8.0926014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 3.4682532E-6 | 1.3468219E-5 | 3.8832858 | 1.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 4.222518E-5 | 5.2224757E-5 | 1.2368155 | 1.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 4.2828228E-4 | 4.4827373E-4 | 1.0466782 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 4.773492E-7 | 4.773492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 2.0457808E-6 | 2.0457808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 2.4907102E-5 | 2.4907102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 2.533674E-4 | 2.6336487E-4 | 1.0394584 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 2.1815431E-7 | 2.1815431E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 9.3494674E-7 | 9.3494674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.138292E-5 | 1.138292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.1539312E-4 | 1.1539312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 9.4656314E-4 | 9.965159E-4 | 1.0527726 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002205774 | 0.0040468043 | 0.00413644 | 1.0221498 | 9.0E-5 | 0.026526777 | 0.04755224 | 0.047685582 | 1.0028042 | 1.4E-4 | 0.23574181 | 0.35127908 | 0.35139585 | 1.0003324 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 8.689319E-4 | 9.188885E-4 | 1.0574919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002035871 | 0.0037154881 | 0.0038051538 | 1.024133 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024506707 | 0.043758098 | 0.04389197 | 1.0030594 | 1.4E-4 | 0.21973366 | 0.3292844 | 0.32940513 | 1.0003667 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 6.911447E-4 | 7.411102E-4 | 1.0722938 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0029563007 | 0.0030460346 | 1.0303534 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020479038 | 0.034992166 | 0.035127267 | 1.003861 | 1.4E-4 | 0.18691239 | 0.2747279 | 0.27485844 | 1.0004752 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 5.796975E-4 | 6.2966853E-4 | 1.0862019 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001483754 | 0.0024802238 | 0.0025700005 | 1.0361971 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017915692 | 0.029463122 | 0.029598996 | 1.0046117 | 1.4E-4 | 0.16538206 | 0.23865722 | 0.23879425 | 1.0005742 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 4.5985778E-4 | 5.098348E-4 | 1.1086793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0019680604 | 0.0020578832 | 1.0456403 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.023479726 | 0.023616439 | 1.0058225 | 1.4E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.19767353 | 0.19781794 | 1.0007306 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 3.2683517E-4 | 3.668221E-4 | 1.1223458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0013992827 | 0.0014791708 | 1.0570922 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.016784657 | 0.016912475 | 1.0076152 | 1.3E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.14886051 | 0.1490052 | 1.000972 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 1.5658994E-4 | 1.9658369E-4 | 1.2554042 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 6.7092053E-4 | 7.4087357E-4 | 1.1042643 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.00813689 | 0.008255914 | 1.0146277 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.081139885 | 0.0812869 | 1.0018119 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 1.5217435E-4 | 1.9216827E-4 | 1.2628164 | 4.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 6.520099E-4 | 7.219643E-4 | 1.1072904 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.007908959 | 0.008028009 | 1.0150527 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.079146355 | 0.07929369 | 1.0018616 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 1.5064237E-4 | 1.9063635E-4 | 1.2654896 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 6.454479E-4 | 7.154027E-4 | 1.1083819 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.007829726 | 0.007948786 | 1.0152062 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.07843466 | 0.078582115 | 1.0018799 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 1.430911E-4 | 1.8308539E-4 | 1.2795022 | 4.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 6.1310455E-4 | 6.830616E-4 | 1.1141031 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.007439214 | 0.007558321 | 1.0160108 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.074873045 | 0.075021066 | 1.001977 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 1.3361331E-4 | 1.7360796E-4 | 1.2993314 | 4.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 5.7250384E-4 | 6.424638E-4 | 1.1221999 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.006948172 | 0.007067338 | 1.0171508 | 1.2E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.07031947 | 0.07046822 | 1.0021154 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 9.1238806E-5 | 1.3123515E-4 | 1.43837 | 4.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 3.9096538E-4 | 4.60938E-4 | 1.178974 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0047497107 | 0.0048691407 | 1.0251447 | 1.2E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.049437106 | 0.049589194 | 1.0030764 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 8.0941994E-5 | 1.2093876E-4 | 1.494141 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 3.4684862E-4 | 4.1682436E-4 | 1.2017472 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.004214793 | 0.0043342873 | 1.0283512 | 1.2E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.04412469 | 0.04427763 | 1.0034661 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 7.390245E-5 | 1.1389949E-4 | 1.541214 | 4.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 3.166868E-4 | 3.8666464E-4 | 1.2209686 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.00384893 | 0.003968468 | 1.0310575 | 1.2E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.040139135 | 0.040292714 | 1.0038261 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 6.618899E-5 | 1.06186344E-4 | 1.6042901 | 4.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 2.836367E-4 | 3.5361687E-4 | 1.2467246 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0034478873 | 0.0035674735 | 1.034684 | 1.2E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.03617763 | 0.036331844 | 1.0042626 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 4.4195396E-5 | 8.419363E-5 | 1.9050317 | 4.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 1.8939514E-4 | 2.5938186E-4 | 1.3695277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0023034555 | 0.002413202 | 1.0476444 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03739367 | 0.02491478 | 0.025061043 | 1.0058706 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 4.1289062E-5 | 8.128741E-5 | 1.9687396 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 1.7694116E-4 | 2.4692877E-4 | 1.3955418 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0021521384 | 0.0022619015 | 1.0510019 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.023315663 | 0.023462165 | 1.0062834 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 2.9393883E-5 | 6.939271E-5 | 2.3607874 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 1.2596771E-4 | 1.9595888E-4 | 1.555628 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0015325787 | 0.0016424102 | 1.0716645 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0283165 | 0.017007673 | 0.017155122 | 1.0086695 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 2.6958343E-5 | 6.695726E-5 | 2.4837308 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 1.15530645E-4 | 1.8552256E-4 | 1.6058298 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0014056787 | 0.0015155241 | 1.078144 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.015592144 | 0.015739806 | 1.0094702 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 2.1734168E-5 | 6.17333E-5 | 2.8403802 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 9.3143106E-5 | 1.6313659E-4 | 1.7514617 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0011334278 | 0.0012433032 | 1.0969408 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019260362 | 0.012536622 | 0.012674867 | 1.0110273 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 1.2890576E-5 | 4.2890188E-5 | 3.3272517 | 3.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 5.5244152E-5 | 1.0524139E-4 | 1.9050231 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 6.7239016E-4 | 7.323498E-4 | 1.0891739 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.0074765575 | 0.0075559593 | 1.0106201 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 6.1876235E-6 | 2.61875E-5 | 4.232239 | 2.0E-5 | 7.688579E-5 | 2.6518117E-5 | 4.6517587E-5 | 1.7541814 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 3.2281035E-4 | 3.4280386E-4 | 1.0619359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.0036860483 | 0.0037059744 | 1.0054059 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.2920423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.537312E-6 | 5.537312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7414694E-5 | 6.7414694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.5056486E-4 | 8.5056486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 1.09292814E-4 | 5.6644397 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.7268087E-4 | 2.0883346 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010773355 | 1.01586 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 1.09292814E-4 | 5.6644397 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.7268087E-4 | 2.0883346 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010773355 | 1.01586 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 1.09292814E-4 | 5.6644397 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.7268087E-4 | 2.0883346 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010773355 | 1.01586 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 1.09292814E-4 | 5.6644397 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.7268087E-4 | 2.0883346 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010773355 | 1.01586 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.929455E-5 | 1.09292814E-4 | 5.6644397 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268831E-5 | 1.7268087E-4 | 2.0883346 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062663 | 0.0011161556 | 1.109205 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605158 | 0.010773355 | 1.01586 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 1.8607358E-5 | 1.0860568E-4 | 5.8367066 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 7.974338E-5 | 1.697362E-4 | 2.1285303 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 9.7044377E-4 | 0.001080337 | 1.1132402 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.010250266 | 0.010408626 | 1.0154494 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 1.8547316E-5 | 1.08545646E-4 | 5.852364 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 7.948608E-5 | 1.6947892E-4 | 2.1321838 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 9.673139E-4 | 0.0010772075 | 1.1136069 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.010219259 | 0.010377624 | 1.0154967 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 1.85377E-5 | 1.0853603E-4 | 5.8548813 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 7.9444864E-5 | 1.6943771E-4 | 2.132771 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 9.6681254E-4 | 0.0010767062 | 1.1136659 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.01021431 | 0.010372676 | 1.0155042 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 1.8436798E-5 | 1.0843514E-4 | 5.8814516 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 7.901246E-5 | 1.6900535E-4 | 2.1389709 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 9.6155267E-4 | 0.0010714469 | 1.1142883 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.010162198 | 0.010320571 | 1.0155846 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 1.838117E-5 | 1.08379514E-4 | 5.8962255 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 7.8774065E-5 | 1.6876697E-4 | 2.1424181 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 9.5865276E-4 | 0.0010685473 | 1.1146344 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.010133529 | 0.010291907 | 1.0156292 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 1.832514E-5 | 1.0832349E-4 | 5.911196 | 9.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 7.853395E-5 | 1.6852688E-4 | 2.1459112 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 9.557319E-4 | 0.0010656267 | 1.114985 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.010104675 | 0.010263058 | 1.0156742 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 1.8214812E-5 | 1.0821317E-4 | 5.9409437 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 7.8061144E-5 | 1.6805412E-4 | 2.1528523 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 9.499806E-4 | 0.001059876 | 1.1156819 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.010047948 | 0.01020634 | 1.0157636 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 1.8089375E-5 | 1.0808775E-4 | 5.9752064 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 7.752359E-5 | 1.6751661E-4 | 2.160847 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 9.434415E-4 | 0.0010533377 | 1.1164844 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.009983331 | 0.010141734 | 1.0158668 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 1.797178E-5 | 1.0797016E-4 | 6.007761 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 7.701965E-5 | 1.6701272E-4 | 2.168443 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 9.373113E-4 | 0.0010472082 | 1.117247 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.009922771 | 0.010081183 | 1.0159645 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 1.790509E-5 | 1.0790348E-4 | 6.0264134 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 7.673385E-5 | 1.6672694E-4 | 2.1727953 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 9.338347E-4 | 0.0010437319 | 1.1176839 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.009888388 | 0.010046806 | 1.0160205 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 1.7790117E-5 | 1.0778852E-4 | 6.0588984 | 9.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 7.624114E-5 | 1.6623427E-4 | 2.180375 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 9.2784106E-4 | 0.001037739 | 1.1184448 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.009828765 | 0.009987192 | 1.0161188 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 1.756531E-5 | 1.0756373E-4 | 6.123646 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 7.527773E-5 | 1.6527095E-4 | 2.1954827 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 9.1612147E-4 | 0.0010260207 | 1.1199614 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.00971101 | 0.009869457 | 1.0163162 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 1.6354754E-5 | 1.0635328E-4 | 6.502897 | 9.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 7.0089925E-5 | 1.6008361E-4 | 2.2839746 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 8.530111E-4 | 9.629172E-4 | 1.128845 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.009074177 | 0.009232725 | 1.0174725 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 1.4297918E-5 | 1.0429663E-4 | 7.294533 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 6.127535E-5 | 1.5126984E-4 | 2.4686897 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 7.4577227E-4 | 8.556903E-4 | 1.1473881 | 1.1E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.007985725 | 0.008144447 | 1.0198758 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 1.0398871E-5 | 8.0398146E-5 | 7.73143 | 7.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 4.456583E-5 | 1.1456271E-4 | 2.57064 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 5.424541E-4 | 6.324053E-4 | 1.1658226 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.00588871 | 0.0060080034 | 1.020258 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 6.696893E-6 | 4.6696623E-5 | 6.9728794 | 4.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 2.8700653E-5 | 6.8699504E-5 | 2.3936565 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 3.4937455E-4 | 3.893606E-4 | 1.1144503 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.0038275467 | 0.0038773553 | 1.0130132 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 3.3232388E-6 | 1.3323206E-5 | 4.0091023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 1.4242375E-5 | 2.4242232E-5 | 1.7021201 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 1.7338723E-4 | 1.8338549E-4 | 1.0576644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.001917013 | 0.0019269937 | 1.0052065 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 3.3328914E-7 | 3.3328914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 1.4283812E-6 | 1.4283812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 1.7390405E-5 | 1.7390405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 2.1658067E-4 | 2.1658067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2374972E-8 | 5.2374972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446415E-7 | 2.2446415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328476E-6 | 2.7328476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6924714E-5 | 3.6924714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303642E-4 | 3.730152E-4 | 1.2309253 | 7.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981012 | 0.0013879844 | 1.069242 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.01569358 | 0.015801854 | 1.0068992 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.149317 | 0.1494446 | 1.0008546 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303642E-4 | 3.730152E-4 | 1.2309253 | 7.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981012 | 0.0013879844 | 1.069242 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.01569358 | 0.015801854 | 1.0068992 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.149317 | 0.1494446 | 1.0008546 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 2.9946194E-4 | 3.69441E-4 | 1.2336825 | 7.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0012827971 | 0.0013726817 | 1.0700692 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.0155085195 | 0.015616813 | 1.0069829 | 1.1E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.14731796 | 0.14744586 | 1.0008682 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 2.9517547E-4 | 3.6515482E-4 | 1.2370771 | 7.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0012644444 | 0.0013543306 | 1.0710875 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.015288315 | 0.015396632 | 1.0070851 | 1.1E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.14544785 | 0.14557603 | 1.0008813 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 2.4613173E-4 | 3.0611697E-4 | 1.243712 | 6.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0010544289 | 0.0011343445 | 1.0757904 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.01276589 | 0.012864614 | 1.0077333 | 1.0E-4 | 0.093263686 | 0.124084875 | 0.124207504 | 1.0009882 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 2.2977302E-4 | 2.8975925E-4 | 1.2610673 | 6.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 9.843739E-4 | 0.0010642951 | 1.08119 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.011921556 | 0.0120203635 | 1.0082881 | 1.0E-4 | 0.086755216 | 0.11634741 | 0.11647112 | 1.0010633 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 2.1567354E-4 | 2.756606E-4 | 1.2781383 | 6.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 9.239908E-4 | 0.0010039168 | 1.086501 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.011193442 | 0.0112923235 | 1.0088338 | 1.0E-4 | 0.07970774 | 0.10924778 | 0.10937249 | 1.0011415 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 2.0123889E-4 | 2.612268E-4 | 1.2980931 | 6.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 8.6216984E-4 | 9.421008E-4 | 1.0927092 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.010447307 | 0.010546261 | 1.0094719 | 1.0E-4 | 0.07174956 | 0.101687714 | 0.10181348 | 1.0012368 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 1.9420868E-4 | 2.5419702E-4 | 1.308886 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 8.320598E-4 | 9.1199327E-4 | 1.096067 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.010083789 | 0.01018278 | 1.0098169 | 1.0E-4 | 0.06264243 | 0.09712002 | 0.09724642 | 1.0013015 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 1.8873929E-4 | 2.4872797E-4 | 1.3178388 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 8.086343E-4 | 8.885696E-4 | 1.0988523 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.009801178 | 0.009900198 | 1.0101029 | 1.0E-4 | 0.05173543 | 0.09363453 | 0.09376142 | 1.0013552 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 1.6763556E-4 | 2.276255E-4 | 1.3578593 | 6.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 7.1824226E-4 | 7.981848E-4 | 1.1113031 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.008709944 | 0.008809073 | 1.0113811 | 1.0E-4 | 0.039192066 | 0.083468914 | 0.083597235 | 1.0015373 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 1.6545111E-4 | 2.254412E-4 | 1.3625848 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 7.088855E-4 | 7.8882877E-4 | 1.1127732 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.00859693 | 0.00869607 | 1.0115321 | 1.0E-4 | 0.038443442 | 0.082412474 | 0.08254094 | 1.0015588 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 1.4941291E-4 | 2.0940395E-4 | 1.4015117 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 6.401858E-4 | 7.201346E-4 | 1.1248838 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.007766775 | 0.007865998 | 1.0127753 | 1.0E-4 | 0.034803 | 0.07495435 | 0.07508386 | 1.0017278 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.3846942E-4 | 1.9846112E-4 | 1.4332486 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 5.933072E-4 | 6.732597E-4 | 1.1347574 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.0071999324 | 0.0072992123 | 1.013789 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03284188 | 0.06980841 | 0.06993863 | 1.0018655 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 8.7915665E-5 | 1.479104E-4 | 1.6824123 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 3.7672752E-4 | 4.566974E-4 | 1.212275 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0045771096 | 0.0046766517 | 1.0217478 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023241805 | 0.04544797 | 0.04558161 | 1.0029404 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 6.2999214E-5 | 1.2299544E-4 | 1.9523329 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 2.6996888E-4 | 3.4994728E-4 | 1.2962505 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.003281951 | 0.0033816227 | 1.0303696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.033022452 | 0.03315783 | 1.0040995 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 4.5023247E-5 | 1.0502055E-4 | 2.3325849 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 1.9294258E-4 | 2.7292714E-4 | 1.4145511 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.002346558 | 0.0024463234 | 1.0425156 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.023903316 | 0.02403997 | 1.0057169 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 2.839036E-5 | 8.838865E-5 | 3.1133335 | 6.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 1.21667304E-4 | 2.0165757E-4 | 1.6574508 | 8.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0014802952 | 0.0015801472 | 1.0674541 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008982267 | 0.0153793385 | 0.015507339 | 1.008323 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 2.1660351E-5 | 8.1659055E-5 | 3.769978 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 9.2826784E-5 | 1.7281936E-4 | 1.8617402 | 8.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.001129581 | 0.0012194794 | 1.0795856 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.011897794 | 0.012016366 | 1.0099659 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 1.4708348E-5 | 5.470776E-5 | 3.7195039 | 4.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 6.3034255E-5 | 1.2303048E-4 | 1.9518033 | 6.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 7.671722E-4 | 8.2712615E-4 | 1.0781493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.008231164 | 0.008310505 | 1.0096391 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 1.1573759E-5 | 5.1573297E-5 | 4.456054 | 4.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 4.9600883E-5 | 1.0959791E-4 | 2.209596 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 6.0372363E-4 | 6.636874E-4 | 1.0993233 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.006529536 | 0.006609014 | 1.012172 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 2.9019798E-6 | 1.2901951E-5 | 4.4459133 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6871985E-5 | 1.2436997E-5 | 2.2436872E-5 | 1.8040426 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 1.5140994E-4 | 1.6140843E-4 | 1.0660359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0017074163 | 0.0017173992 | 1.0058469 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 6.364471E-7 | 6.364471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 2.7276276E-6 | 2.7276276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 3.3208365E-5 | 3.3208365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 4.094491E-4 | 4.094491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 3.5567147E-9 | 3.5567147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 1.5243064E-8 | 1.5243064E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 1.8558428E-7 | 1.8558428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 1.9895688E-6 | 1.9895688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.743529E-5 | 1.2743127E-4 | 2.218693 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613034E-4 | 3.1611312E-4 | 1.2843322 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929325 | 0.003072693 | 1.0266496 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.029590538 | 0.029716691 | 1.0042633 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.743529E-5 | 1.2743127E-4 | 2.218693 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613034E-4 | 3.1611312E-4 | 1.2843322 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929325 | 0.003072693 | 1.0266496 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.029590538 | 0.029716691 | 1.0042633 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093177E-5 | 7.009197E-5 | 2.329165 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896454E-4 | 1.6895938E-4 | 1.3101227 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690407 | 0.0016089779 | 1.0254533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625313 | 0.01569422 | 1.0044099 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093177E-5 | 7.009197E-5 | 2.329165 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896454E-4 | 1.6895938E-4 | 1.3101227 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690407 | 0.0016089779 | 1.0254533 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625313 | 0.01569422 | 1.0044099 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801062E-5 | 6.8009496E-5 | 2.4279897 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004013E-4 | 1.6003533E-4 | 1.3331819 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605337 | 0.0015004753 | 1.0273472 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570126 | 0.014639107 | 1.0047344 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801062E-5 | 6.8009496E-5 | 2.4279897 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004013E-4 | 1.6003533E-4 | 1.3331819 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605337 | 0.0015004753 | 1.0273472 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570126 | 0.014639107 | 1.0047344 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.3987905E-5 | 6.398695E-5 | 2.667467 | 4.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.02801365E-4 | 1.4279725E-4 | 1.3890599 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0012509075 | 0.0012908574 | 1.0319368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.012486016 | 0.012545267 | 1.0047454 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.3671708E-5 | 6.367076E-5 | 2.689741 | 4.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.0144634E-4 | 1.4144229E-4 | 1.3942571 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0012344288 | 0.0012743794 | 1.0323637 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.012323672 | 0.012382933 | 1.0048087 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.0048969E-5 | 6.004817E-5 | 2.995075 | 4.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 8.592141E-5 | 1.2591798E-4 | 1.4655017 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0010456074 | 0.0010855655 | 1.0382153 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.010446851 | 0.010506224 | 1.0056833 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.1941836E-5 | 5.194136E-5 | 4.349529 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 5.117832E-5 | 9.117627E-5 | 1.781541 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9470983E-4 | 6.229221E-4 | 6.6289713E-4 | 1.0641735 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0062478287 | 0.006307454 | 1.0095433 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 9.988527E-6 | 4.9988128E-5 | 5.0045543 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 4.2807293E-5 | 8.280558E-5 | 1.9343803 | 4.0E-5 | 6.134799E-4 | 5.210577E-4 | 5.6103687E-4 | 1.0767269 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.0052341195 | 0.0052838577 | 1.0095026 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 7.9165375E-6 | 4.7916223E-5 | 6.052674 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 3.392759E-5 | 7.392623E-5 | 2.1789415 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2502943E-4 | 4.1299235E-4 | 4.5297583E-4 | 1.096814 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005237907 | 0.0041572736 | 0.004207066 | 1.0119771 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 7.5412727E-6 | 4.7540972E-5 | 6.304105 | 4.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 3.2319353E-5 | 7.231806E-5 | 2.2376087 | 4.0E-5 | 5.095951E-4 | 3.934193E-4 | 4.3340356E-4 | 1.1016327 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0039620535 | 0.0040118555 | 1.0125697 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 7.065425E-6 | 4.7065143E-5 | 6.661332 | 4.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 3.0280053E-5 | 7.027884E-5 | 2.3209617 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8746695E-4 | 3.685995E-4 | 4.0858475E-4 | 1.1084789 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0037140604 | 0.0037638745 | 1.0134124 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 6.697098E-6 | 4.669683E-5 | 6.9726963 | 4.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 2.8701545E-5 | 6.87004E-5 | 2.393613 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 3.493874E-4 | 3.8937342E-4 | 1.114446 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004697283 | 0.0035216752 | 0.0035714991 | 1.0141478 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 4.782586E-6 | 4.4782395E-5 | 9.363636 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 2.049664E-5 | 6.049582E-5 | 2.9514995 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 2.4951846E-4 | 2.895085E-4 | 1.1602688 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003688092 | 0.0025208853 | 0.0025707593 | 1.0197843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 3.854347E-6 | 4.3854194E-5 | 11.377852 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 1.6518527E-5 | 5.6517867E-5 | 3.4214835 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 2.0109465E-4 | 2.4108661E-4 | 1.1988713 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0020363329 | 0.0020762514 | 1.0196031 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 2.8309E-6 | 4.2830787E-5 | 15.129743 | 4.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 1.2132372E-5 | 5.2131887E-5 | 4.2969246 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 1.4770166E-4 | 1.8769577E-4 | 1.2707762 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0015017523 | 0.0015416923 | 1.0265956 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 2.2981174E-6 | 3.229805E-5 | 14.054134 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 9.849037E-6 | 3.9848743E-5 | 4.0459533 | 3.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 1.1990545E-4 | 1.4990185E-4 | 1.2501671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0012221428 | 0.0012521062 | 1.024517 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 1.956819E-6 | 3.195676E-5 | 16.330975 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 8.38634E-6 | 3.838609E-5 | 4.5772157 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.0209893E-4 | 1.3209587E-4 | 1.2938026 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.001041048 | 0.0010710168 | 1.0287871 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.0205329E-6 | 1.0205329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 4.373705E-6 | 4.373705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 5.324857E-5 | 5.324857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 5.4233416E-4 | 5.4233416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.9814091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.491751E-7 | 8.491751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0338664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0501122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6490888E-5 | 5.196961E-5 | 8.196806E-5 | 1.5772305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9923145E-4 | 2.2270852E-4 | 2.626996E-4 | 1.179567 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024229444 | 0.0027082148 | 0.002797971 | 1.0331422 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023966964 | 0.026765015 | 0.026901267 | 1.0050907 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.2355172E-5 | 7.23539E-5 | 1.708266 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.8151E-4 | 2.1150455E-4 | 1.1652502 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002207725 | 0.0022675926 | 1.0271173 | 6.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.021866985 | 0.021964798 | 1.0044731 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 5.1746687E-5 | 1.6299545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.5605027E-4 | 1.1469816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0016951439 | 1.0241262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.016510323 | 1.0047886 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 5.1746687E-5 | 1.6299545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.5605027E-4 | 1.1469816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0016951439 | 1.0241262 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.016510323 | 1.0047886 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.047721E-4 | 1.047721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.001274863 | 0.0012848503 | 1.007834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.0126766255 | 0.012725991 | 1.0038942 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 9.901127E-5 | 9.901127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001204804 | 0.0012147919 | 1.00829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.011983749 | 0.0120331505 | 1.0041223 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010411361 | 0.0010511257 | 1.0095949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010363205 | 0.010402791 | 1.0038198 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.060473E-4 | 9.1603823E-4 | 1.011027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.0090238685 | 0.009053598 | 1.0032945 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.1682095E-4 | 8.268128E-4 | 1.0122325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008138432 | 0.008168188 | 1.0036563 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.165095E-4 | 7.2650233E-4 | 1.0139465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007142165 | 0.007171951 | 1.0041704 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.2000746E-4 | 6.3000125E-4 | 1.0161189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006182895 | 0.0062027713 | 1.0032147 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.3513015E-4 | 5.4512476E-4 | 1.018677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0053385044 | 0.005348451 | 1.0018632 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.670105E-4 | 4.7700584E-4 | 1.0214028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004660365 | 0.0046703187 | 1.0021358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.00357123 | 0.00357123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0028430065 | 0.0028430065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.231955E-4 | 2.8518167 | 8.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.6511136E-4 | 1.4320577 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022443423 | 1.0061362 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.231955E-4 | 2.8518167 | 8.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.6511136E-4 | 1.4320577 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022443423 | 1.0061362 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.231955E-4 | 2.8518167 | 8.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.6511136E-4 | 1.4320577 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0023614985 | 1.048741 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022443423 | 1.0061362 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 8.495899E-5 | 3.4037387 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.6696284E-4 | 1.5608488 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013040522 | 1.0076269 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 8.495899E-5 | 3.4037387 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.6696284E-4 | 1.5608488 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013040522 | 1.0076269 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0348958E-5 | 6.0348142E-5 | 2.9656627 | 4.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.7206965E-5 | 1.2720347E-4 | 1.4586389 | 4.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010612389 | 0.0011211752 | 1.0564777 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010562957 | 0.010632218 | 1.006557 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7407536E-5 | 5.740684E-5 | 3.2978153 | 4.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.460163E-5 | 1.14598646E-4 | 1.5361413 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.07904E-4 | 9.578586E-4 | 1.0550219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009042776 | 0.009102234 | 1.0065751 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5029493E-5 | 5.5028893E-5 | 3.6613936 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.441055E-5 | 1.04407976E-4 | 1.6209762 | 4.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.83922E-4 | 8.338828E-4 | 1.0637319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.0078121712 | 0.007871702 | 1.0076203 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.2841201E-5 | 5.284069E-5 | 4.1149335 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5032582E-5 | 9.503038E-5 | 1.7268021 | 4.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.698198E-4 | 7.1978633E-4 | 1.074597 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0066784443 | 0.0067380434 | 1.0089241 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1347151E-5 | 5.1346695E-5 | 4.525074 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.8629758E-5 | 8.8627814E-5 | 1.8225017 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 5.9191E-4 | 6.418804E-4 | 1.0844223 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059036994 | 0.0059633455 | 1.0101031 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.86875E-6 | 4.8868395E-5 | 5.510178 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.800839E-5 | 7.8006866E-5 | 2.0523593 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6265623E-4 | 5.1263307E-4 | 1.1080216 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004617171 | 0.00466694 | 1.0107791 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.412032E-6 | 3.741181E-5 | 5.047443 | 3.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.1765478E-5 | 6.176453E-5 | 1.9443915 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.8667812E-4 | 4.1666653E-4 | 1.0775539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0038602627 | 0.003890147 | 1.0077415 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.1932055E-6 | 3.6193018E-5 | 5.8439884 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.654205E-5 | 5.6541252E-5 | 2.130252 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2310348E-4 | 3.5309378E-4 | 1.0928196 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032265296 | 0.0032564327 | 1.0092679 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 3.4639073E-5 | 7.4665837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 1.98822E-5 | 4.9881604E-5 | 2.5088573 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4204068E-4 | 2.7203342E-4 | 1.1239161 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.002417946 | 0.0024478734 | 1.0123773 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 1.2805777E-5 | 4.5640287 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 2.2024715E-5 | 1.8316022 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.5639266E-4 | 1.0682987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014631341 | 0.0014731195 | 1.0068246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5457945E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6246655E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.3033341E-4 | 2.5891945 | 8.0E-5 | 8.062545E-4 | 6.1268726E-4 | 7.1262603E-4 | 1.1631154 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008033356 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062393458 | 1.021146 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.3033341E-4 | 2.5891945 | 8.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.1268726E-4 | 7.1262603E-4 | 1.1631154 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006925544 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062393458 | 1.021146 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.0627708E-5 | 6.0627175E-5 | 5.704633 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.554653E-5 | 1.2554288E-4 | 2.7563655 | 8.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.543888E-4 | 6.5433333E-4 | 1.1802788 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006371971 | 0.0055301636 | 0.0056594447 | 1.0233774 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0473884E-5 | 6.047336E-5 | 5.7737284 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.4887307E-5 | 1.2488372E-4 | 2.782161 | 8.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.463668E-4 | 6.4631214E-4 | 1.1829273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005450337 | 0.0055796285 | 1.0237217 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 9.680159E-6 | 5.9679674E-5 | 6.1651545 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.148574E-5 | 1.2148242E-4 | 2.9282935 | 8.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.049725E-4 | 6.04922E-4 | 1.1979306 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005904155 | 0.0050383327 | 0.0051577277 | 1.0236974 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.321686E-6 | 5.932122E-5 | 6.3637867 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7177873E-5 | 3.994947E-5 | 1.1994628E-4 | 3.0024495 | 8.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 4.8627693E-4 | 5.7623314E-4 | 1.1849897 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.004852207 | 0.004961673 | 1.0225601 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 8.932177E-6 | 4.893182E-5 | 5.478152 | 4.0E-5 | 4.557647E-5 | 3.82802E-5 | 1.0827752E-4 | 2.8285518 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.6596237E-4 | 5.459251E-4 | 1.1716077 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0046499274 | 0.004749462 | 1.0214057 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.268147E-6 | 4.8267815E-5 | 5.8378034 | 4.0E-5 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.5434437E-5 | 1.0543196E-4 | 2.9754093 | 7.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.3132948E-4 | 5.11295E-4 | 1.1853931 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0043049892 | 0.004404559 | 1.0231289 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 7.882864E-6 | 4.788255E-5 | 6.0742574 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.378327E-5 | 1.03780905E-4 | 3.0719614 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.1123424E-4 | 4.9120135E-4 | 1.1944563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.004104796 | 0.0042043854 | 1.0242617 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.3437395E-6 | 4.7343445E-5 | 6.4467764 | 4.0E-5 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.1472795E-5 | 1.0147059E-4 | 3.2240732 | 7.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 3.831144E-4 | 4.6308376E-4 | 1.2087349 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.003824599 | 0.0039242166 | 1.0260465 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 5.907011E-6 | 4.5906774E-5 | 7.771574 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.5315518E-5 | 9.531375E-5 | 3.7650323 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.0817298E-4 | 3.8814833E-4 | 1.2595145 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0030774742 | 0.0031771665 | 1.0323942 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 4.865665E-6 | 3.486552E-5 | 7.1656227 | 3.0E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.0852684E-5 | 8.085143E-5 | 3.8772676 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.5385196E-4 | 3.238342E-4 | 1.2756813 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0025356333 | 0.002625405 | 1.0354041 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.745131E-6 | 3.374502E-5 | 9.010371 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6050462E-5 | 7.60495E-5 | 4.73815 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 1.9539695E-4 | 2.6538328E-4 | 1.358175 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0019522617 | 0.0020420859 | 1.0460104 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.8022782E-6 | 3.2802192E-5 | 11.705545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2009708E-5 | 7.200899E-5 | 5.9958982 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.4620846E-4 | 2.1619823E-4 | 1.4786985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0014611301 | 0.0015509985 | 1.0615062 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.0642317E-6 | 3.206417E-5 | 15.533223 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3100675E-5 | 8.846677E-6 | 5.8846235E-5 | 6.6517897 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.07703025E-4 | 1.5769764E-4 | 1.4641895 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015937461 | 0.001076514 | 0.0011464386 | 1.0649548 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1033513E-6 | 3.1103318E-5 | 28.18986 | 3.0E-5 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.72864E-6 | 4.472845E-5 | 9.459052 | 4.0E-5 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.756971E-5 | 9.7567405E-5 | 1.6947699 | 4.0E-5 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.755515E-4 | 6.3551695E-4 | 1.1041878 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 6.9338444E-7 | 2.0693371E-5 | 29.84401 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7813123E-6 | 2.971644E-6 | 3.2971555E-5 | 11.095391 | 3.0E-5 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.617919E-5 | 6.61781E-5 | 1.829176 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.6173512E-4 | 4.1171702E-4 | 1.1381727 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 5.0745806E-5 | 1.6504623 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 1.9175696E-4 | 1.4552965 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017031012 | 1.0622729 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016075078 | 1.0086445 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 5.0745806E-5 | 1.6504623 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 1.9175696E-4 | 1.4552965 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017031012 | 1.0622729 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016075078 | 1.0086445 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 7.731087E-5 | 1.3489469 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.975618E-4 | 7.1754784E-4 | 1.0286512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0070045236 | 1.0071392 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 1.3373083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 7.731087E-5 | 1.3489469 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.975618E-4 | 7.1754784E-4 | 1.0286512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0070045236 | 1.0071392 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0492516E-5 | 1.0492516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.4967182E-5 | 5.496673E-5 | 1.2223744 | 1.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.473435E-4 | 5.5733806E-4 | 1.0182601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0054605217 | 0.005490358 | 1.005464 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 8.918899E-6 | 8.918899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8223312E-5 | 3.8223312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.6527336E-4 | 4.6527336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0046433853 | 0.004653339 | 1.0021436 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.394953E-6 | 7.394953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.1692285E-5 | 3.1692285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.8578772E-4 | 3.8578772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0038514284 | 0.0038613898 | 1.0025865 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.6257676E-6 | 6.6257676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.839585E-5 | 2.839585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.4566678E-4 | 3.4566678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004672008 | 0.0034515047 | 0.0034614704 | 1.0028872 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.0183958E-6 | 5.0183958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.150724E-5 | 2.150724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6182053E-4 | 2.6182053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026152546 | 0.0026152546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.8274534E-6 | 3.8274534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6403274E-5 | 1.6403274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 1.9969253E-4 | 1.9969253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.001995226 | 0.001995226 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.5444276E-6 | 2.5444276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.0904645E-5 | 1.0904645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.327562E-4 | 1.327562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013267935 | 0.0013267935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0462892E-6 | 2.0462892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.769782E-6 | 8.769782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0676708E-4 | 1.0676708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.001067179 | 0.001067179 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2220278E-6 | 1.2220278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.237252E-6 | 5.237252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.3761756E-5 | 6.3761756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.374425E-4 | 6.374425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 6.842616E-7 | 6.842616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 2.9325465E-6 | 2.9325465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.5703186E-5 | 3.5703186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.569764E-4 | 3.569764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.087159E-7 | 5.087159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.654373E-5 | 2.654373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.654061E-4 | 2.654061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 3.1292322E-5 | 2.7710593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 1.1839244E-4 | 2.4463356 | 7.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.890168E-4 | 1.1696575 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0060059424 | 1.0219913 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.04591E-6 | 1.7045839E-5 | 2.419253 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0196412E-5 | 8.0194906E-5 | 2.6557758 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.6758036E-4 | 4.3755464E-4 | 1.1903646 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.003669833 | 0.003769466 | 1.0271492 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.572647E-6 | 1.6572581E-5 | 2.521447 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8168188E-5 | 7.816678E-5 | 2.775002 | 5.0E-5 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.428945E-4 | 4.128705E-4 | 1.2040744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.003423736 | 0.0035233938 | 1.0291078 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7235598E-6 | 1.5723503E-5 | 2.7471545 | 1.0E-5 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4529314E-5 | 6.4528336E-5 | 2.630662 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2791847E-4 | 2.9860402E-4 | 3.5858608E-4 | 1.200875 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0029820842 | 0.0030718157 | 1.0300902 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.5817663E-6 | 1.558171E-5 | 2.7915375 | 1.0E-5 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.3921639E-5 | 6.3920685E-5 | 2.6720862 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.9120757E-4 | 3.511901E-4 | 1.2059786 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003203268 | 0.0029083155 | 0.0029980538 | 1.0308558 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.6554846E-6 | 1.46554385E-5 | 3.147994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 1.9951927E-5 | 4.995133E-5 | 2.5035841 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4288792E-4 | 2.9287577E-4 | 1.2058063 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024262555 | 0.0025060615 | 1.0328926 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1174026E-6 | 4.1174026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7645893E-5 | 3.764554E-5 | 2.1333883 | 2.0E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1481782E-4 | 2.5480925E-4 | 1.1861643 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021461276 | 0.0022159773 | 1.0325469 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.1649408E-6 | 3.1649408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3563962E-5 | 3.356369E-5 | 2.4744754 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6512885E-4 | 2.0512224E-4 | 1.2421951 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001980741 | 0.0016500733 | 0.0017199578 | 1.0423523 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.659339E-6 | 2.659339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1397118E-5 | 3.1396892E-5 | 2.7548096 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.3875119E-4 | 1.7874564E-4 | 1.2882458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0013866564 | 0.0014565593 | 1.0504111 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.758092E-6 | 1.8758004E-5 | 2.141791 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0662464E-4 | 1.2662252E-4 | 1.1875539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010657435 | 0.0011156902 | 1.0468656 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.020941E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.286023E-5 | 8.28595E-5 | 1.1372391 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.2836934E-4 | 7.583475E-4 | 1.0411578 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.412786E-7 | 8.412786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.389582E-5 | 5.389538E-5 | 1.2278022 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.3887584E-4 | 4.5886709E-4 | 1.045551 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 1.09121946E-4 | 5.7061205 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.7194863E-4 | 2.0980601 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.0010872689 | 1.0901483 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010600412 | 1.0132419 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 1.09121946E-4 | 5.7061205 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.7194863E-4 | 2.0980601 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.0010872689 | 1.0901483 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010600412 | 1.0132419 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 1.09121946E-4 | 5.7061205 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.7194863E-4 | 2.0980601 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.0010872689 | 1.0901483 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010600412 | 1.0132419 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.9123667E-5 | 1.09121946E-4 | 5.7061205 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956E-5 | 1.7194863E-4 | 2.0980601 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973587E-4 | 0.0010872689 | 1.0901483 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.010461877 | 0.010600412 | 1.0132419 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049783E-5 | 1.09048065E-4 | 5.7243733 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.163938E-5 | 1.7163203E-4 | 2.1023192 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935074E-4 | 0.001083418 | 1.0904982 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423741 | 0.010562282 | 1.0132909 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049783E-5 | 1.09048065E-4 | 5.7243733 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.163938E-5 | 1.7163203E-4 | 2.1023192 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935074E-4 | 0.001083418 | 1.0904982 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423741 | 0.010562282 | 1.0132909 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 1.9015279E-5 | 1.0901357E-4 | 5.732946 | 9.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 8.149152E-5 | 1.7148418E-4 | 2.1043193 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 9.917088E-4 | 0.0010816196 | 1.0906625 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.010405931 | 0.010544474 | 1.0133139 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 1.9001733E-5 | 1.0900002E-4 | 5.73632 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 8.143346E-5 | 1.7142613E-4 | 2.1051068 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 9.910028E-4 | 0.0010809136 | 1.0907271 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.010398939 | 0.010537484 | 1.013323 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 1.8972696E-5 | 1.0897099E-4 | 5.743569 | 9.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 8.130902E-5 | 1.7130171E-4 | 2.1067982 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 9.894891E-4 | 0.0010794001 | 1.090866 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.010383946 | 0.010522492 | 1.0133424 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 1.893555E-5 | 1.0893385E-4 | 5.7528744 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 8.114985E-5 | 1.7114254E-4 | 2.1089694 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 9.875528E-4 | 0.001077464 | 1.0910443 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.010364766 | 0.010503315 | 1.0133673 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 1.8824827E-5 | 1.0882313E-4 | 5.7808304 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 8.067534E-5 | 1.7066808E-4 | 2.1154926 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 9.817809E-4 | 0.0010716927 | 1.0915802 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.010307589 | 0.010446146 | 1.0134423 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 1.8783401E-5 | 1.08781715E-4 | 5.791374 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 8.049782E-5 | 1.7049057E-4 | 2.1179528 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 9.796215E-4 | 0.0010695334 | 1.0917822 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.010286205 | 0.010424765 | 1.0134704 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 1.8721825E-5 | 1.0872014E-4 | 5.8071337 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 8.0233935E-5 | 1.7022672E-4 | 2.12163 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 9.764117E-4 | 0.0010663238 | 1.0920843 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.0102543775 | 0.010392942 | 1.0135127 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 1.8623065E-5 | 1.0862139E-4 | 5.832627 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 7.98107E-5 | 1.6980352E-4 | 2.1275783 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 9.7126345E-4 | 0.0010611761 | 1.0925728 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.010203145 | 0.010341717 | 1.0135813 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 1.8578636E-5 | 1.0857696E-4 | 5.844184 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 7.9620295E-5 | 1.6961314E-4 | 2.130275 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 9.6894737E-4 | 0.0010588601 | 1.0927943 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.010180055 | 0.01031863 | 1.0136124 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 1.8425952E-5 | 1.084243E-4 | 5.884325 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 7.896598E-5 | 1.6895888E-4 | 2.1396413 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 9.609881E-4 | 0.0010509016 | 1.0935636 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.010099867 | 0.010238453 | 1.0137216 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 1.7355145E-5 | 1.0735358E-4 | 6.185692 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 7.437708E-5 | 1.6437039E-4 | 2.2099602 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 9.051658E-4 | 9.950843E-4 | 1.0993392 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.009527931 | 0.009666597 | 1.0145537 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 1.49309E-5 | 1.0492955E-4 | 7.027678 | 9.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 6.3988E-5 | 1.5398224E-4 | 2.4064238 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 7.787758E-4 | 8.687057E-4 | 1.115476 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.008254991 | 0.008393835 | 1.0168195 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 1.29115015E-5 | 1.0291034E-4 | 7.9704394 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 5.5333832E-5 | 1.4532886E-4 | 2.6264014 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 6.734814E-4 | 7.634208E-4 | 1.133544 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.007186835 | 0.007325829 | 1.01934 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 9.548364E-6 | 7.9547695E-5 | 8.331029 | 7.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 4.092092E-5 | 1.1091805E-4 | 2.7105465 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 4.980985E-4 | 5.680636E-4 | 1.1404644 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.005398435 | 0.005497895 | 1.0184239 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 6.66906E-6 | 4.6668792E-5 | 6.9978065 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 2.8581373E-5 | 6.858023E-5 | 2.399473 | 4.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 3.479228E-4 | 3.8790886E-4 | 1.114928 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.003810382 | 0.0038601914 | 1.013072 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 3.3191834E-6 | 1.331915E-5 | 4.012779 | 1.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 1.4224995E-5 | 2.4224852E-5 | 1.702978 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 1.7317565E-4 | 1.8317392E-4 | 1.0577348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0019139871 | 0.001923968 | 1.0052147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 3.3162064E-7 | 3.3162064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 1.4212305E-6 | 1.4212305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 1.7303346E-5 | 1.7303346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 2.1531824E-4 | 2.1531824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2374972E-8 | 5.2374972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446415E-7 | 2.2446415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328476E-6 | 2.7328476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6924714E-5 | 3.6924714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.753342E-5 | 7.8551544E-5 | 9.854997E-5 | 1.2545899 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8939685E-4 | 3.3660818E-4 | 3.8659136E-4 | 1.1484907 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003517715 | 0.0040908805 | 0.0041904715 | 1.0243446 | 1.0E-4 | 0.034625497 | 0.04019931 | 0.040314484 | 1.0028651 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025520583 | 1.0199325 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024818785 | 1.0027583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025520583 | 1.0199325 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024818785 | 1.0027583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.615755E-5 | 4.615719E-5 | 1.2765574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.5495192E-4 | 1.6495037E-4 | 1.0645262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0018849411 | 0.0019148845 | 1.0158856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.018693592 | 0.018742656 | 1.0026248 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.392261E-5 | 4.3922268E-5 | 1.2947787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.453747E-4 | 1.5537323E-4 | 1.0687778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0017685323 | 0.0017984792 | 1.0169332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.017548366 | 0.017597487 | 1.0027993 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.7696608E-5 | 3.769633E-5 | 1.361045 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.1869449E-4 | 1.286933E-4 | 1.08424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.001444173 | 0.0014741297 | 1.0207431 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014350718 | 0.014400001 | 1.0034342 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4019928E-5 | 3.4019686E-5 | 1.416311 | 1.0E-5 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.029386E-4 | 1.12937574E-4 | 1.0971353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012525778 | 0.0012825403 | 1.0239207 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012457441 | 0.012506818 | 1.0039637 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0010895154 | 0.0011094937 | 1.0183368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.010843739 | 0.010883305 | 1.0036488 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.283678E-4 | 9.383585E-4 | 1.0107616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009246731 | 0.009266546 | 1.0021429 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.611644E-4 | 7.7115675E-4 | 1.0131278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007587263 | 0.0076071112 | 1.002616 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.4135477E-4 | 6.513483E-4 | 1.015582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006396659 | 0.0064165313 | 1.0031066 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.122799E-4 | 5.2227476E-4 | 1.0195106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005112565 | 0.005132463 | 1.003892 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3396321E-8 | 2.3396321E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 1.0015485E-4 | 4.9688706 | 8.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.6637507E-4 | 1.926039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011101972 | 1.0098962 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 1.0015485E-4 | 4.9688706 | 8.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.6637507E-4 | 1.926039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011101972 | 1.0098962 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 1.0015485E-4 | 4.9688706 | 8.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.6637507E-4 | 1.926039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011101972 | 1.0098962 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156462E-5 | 1.0015485E-4 | 4.9688706 | 8.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.638199E-5 | 1.6637507E-4 | 1.926039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511943 | 0.0011311101 | 1.0760239 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993182 | 0.011101972 | 1.0098962 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.0036545E-5 | 1.00034944E-4 | 4.9926248 | 8.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.586808E-5 | 1.6586122E-4 | 1.9315816 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449439 | 0.0011248603 | 1.0764791 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931343 | 0.011040141 | 1.0099528 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.0036545E-5 | 1.00034944E-4 | 4.9926248 | 8.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.586808E-5 | 1.6586122E-4 | 1.9315816 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449439 | 0.0011248603 | 1.0764791 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931343 | 0.011040141 | 1.0099528 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 1.9985373E-5 | 9.998377E-5 | 5.002847 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 8.56488E-5 | 1.6564195E-4 | 1.933967 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0010422769 | 0.0011221934 | 1.076675 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.010904956 | 0.0110137565 | 1.0099771 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 1.9956375E-5 | 9.995478E-5 | 5.008664 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 8.552452E-5 | 1.6551769E-4 | 1.9353242 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0010407653 | 0.0011206821 | 1.0767865 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.01089 | 0.010998801 | 1.009991 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 1.9930187E-5 | 9.992859E-5 | 5.0139318 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 8.54123E-5 | 1.6540546E-4 | 1.9365532 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0010394003 | 0.0011193171 | 1.0768875 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.010876457 | 0.010985261 | 1.0100036 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 1.9896024E-5 | 9.989443E-5 | 5.0208235 | 8.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 8.52659E-5 | 1.6525907E-4 | 1.9381614 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0010376197 | 0.0011175366 | 1.0770196 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.010858772 | 0.010967578 | 1.01002 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 1.9787587E-5 | 9.9786004E-5 | 5.0428586 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 8.48012E-5 | 1.6479442E-4 | 1.9433029 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0010319672 | 0.0011118846 | 1.0774418 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.01080258 | 0.010911392 | 1.0100727 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 1.9768724E-5 | 9.9767145E-5 | 5.046716 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 8.472036E-5 | 1.6471358E-4 | 1.944203 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.001030984 | 0.0011109015 | 1.0775157 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.01079277 | 0.010901583 | 1.010082 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 1.9684221E-5 | 9.968265E-5 | 5.064089 | 8.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 8.435823E-5 | 1.6435148E-4 | 1.9482566 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0010265792 | 0.001106497 | 1.0778487 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.010748796 | 0.010857614 | 1.0101237 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 1.9558363E-5 | 9.95568E-5 | 5.090242 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 8.381887E-5 | 1.6381216E-4 | 1.954359 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0010200187 | 0.001099937 | 1.07835 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.010681593 | 0.010790418 | 1.0101881 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 1.9478262E-5 | 9.94767E-5 | 5.107063 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 8.34756E-5 | 1.6346893E-4 | 1.9582839 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0010158432 | 0.001095762 | 1.0786723 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.010638619 | 0.010747449 | 1.0102297 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 1.8874274E-5 | 9.887276E-5 | 5.238494 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 8.088724E-5 | 1.6088078E-4 | 1.9889511 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 9.843588E-4 | 0.00106428 | 1.0811912 | 8.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.010312181 | 0.010421046 | 1.010557 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 1.7178096E-5 | 9.717672E-5 | 5.657014 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 7.3618336E-5 | 1.5361245E-4 | 2.0866058 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 8.959359E-4 | 9.7586424E-4 | 1.0892121 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.009411807 | 0.009520772 | 1.0115775 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 1.4310572E-5 | 9.430943E-5 | 6.590193 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 6.1329585E-5 | 1.4132468E-4 | 2.3043475 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 7.464322E-4 | 8.263725E-4 | 1.1070966 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.0079056155 | 0.008014746 | 1.0138042 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 1.2314284E-5 | 9.23133E-5 | 7.496441 | 8.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 5.2774434E-5 | 1.3277022E-4 | 2.5158055 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 6.423395E-4 | 7.2228815E-4 | 1.1244648 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.0068493164 | 0.006958563 | 1.01595 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 9.0575295E-6 | 7.9056896E-5 | 8.728307 | 7.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 3.8817405E-5 | 1.0881469E-4 | 2.8032448 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 4.7249958E-4 | 5.424665E-4 | 1.1480783 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.005119935 | 0.0052094744 | 1.0174884 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 6.652629E-6 | 4.6652363E-5 | 7.0126204 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 2.8510956E-5 | 6.850981E-5 | 2.4029293 | 4.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 3.4706574E-4 | 3.8705184E-4 | 1.115212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.0038005137 | 0.0038503236 | 1.0131061 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 3.3175816E-6 | 1.3317548E-5 | 4.0142336 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 1.421813E-5 | 2.4217989E-5 | 1.7033174 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 1.7309209E-4 | 1.8309036E-4 | 1.0577627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0019129047 | 0.0019228855 | 1.0052177 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 3.3096242E-7 | 3.3096242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 1.4184096E-6 | 1.4184096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 1.7269002E-5 | 1.7269002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 2.1485973E-4 | 2.1485973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312302E-8 | 5.2312302E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419556E-7 | 2.2419556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7295775E-6 | 2.7295775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6884867E-5 | 3.6884867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 1.0509171E-4 | 4.1879687 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.875315E-4 | 1.7438284 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013884152 | 1.0610578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013796312 | 1.0079263 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 1.0509171E-4 | 4.1879687 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.875315E-4 | 1.7438284 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013884152 | 1.0610578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013796312 | 1.0079263 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 1.0509171E-4 | 4.1879687 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.875315E-4 | 1.7438284 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013884152 | 1.0610578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013796312 | 1.0079263 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 1.0509171E-4 | 4.1879687 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.875315E-4 | 1.7438284 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013884152 | 1.0610578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013796312 | 1.0079263 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.509372E-5 | 1.0509171E-4 | 4.1879687 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0754011E-4 | 1.875315E-4 | 1.7438284 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0032757511 | 0.00130852 | 0.0013884152 | 1.0610578 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687817 | 0.013796312 | 1.0079263 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987904E-5 | 1.02986065E-4 | 4.480011 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.8515884E-5 | 1.7850801E-4 | 1.8119718 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987734 | 0.0012786775 | 1.0666549 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548459 | 0.012657079 | 1.008656 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987904E-5 | 1.02986065E-4 | 4.480011 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.8515884E-5 | 1.7850801E-4 | 1.8119718 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987734 | 0.0012786775 | 1.0666549 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548459 | 0.012657079 | 1.008656 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 2.2636055E-5 | 1.0263424E-4 | 4.534105 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 9.700807E-5 | 1.7700031E-4 | 1.8245937 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0011804358 | 0.0012603414 | 1.0676916 | 8.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.012354483 | 0.012463124 | 1.0087936 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 2.2535383E-5 | 1.0253358E-4 | 4.549893 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 9.657666E-5 | 1.7656892E-4 | 1.8282775 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0011751889 | 0.0012550949 | 1.0679941 | 8.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.012301135 | 0.012409782 | 1.0088322 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 2.2375305E-5 | 1.0237352E-4 | 4.57529 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 9.589065E-5 | 1.7588299E-4 | 1.8342036 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0011668459 | 0.0012467526 | 1.0684808 | 8.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.012212001 | 0.012320657 | 1.0088975 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 2.1710199E-5 | 1.01708465E-4 | 4.684824 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 9.3040406E-5 | 1.7303295E-4 | 1.8597615 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0011321804 | 0.0012120899 | 1.0705801 | 8.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.011845858 | 0.011954554 | 1.0091759 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 2.0876052E-5 | 1.0087438E-4 | 4.8320622 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 8.9465735E-5 | 1.6945858E-4 | 1.8941171 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.001088703 | 0.001168616 | 1.0734019 | 8.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.0113844015 | 0.011493149 | 1.0095524 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 1.997866E-5 | 9.9977064E-5 | 5.004193 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 8.562003E-5 | 1.6561318E-4 | 1.9342809 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0010419271 | 0.0011218437 | 1.0767008 | 8.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.010888586 | 0.010997388 | 1.0099924 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 1.9468673E-5 | 9.946711E-5 | 5.1090856 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 8.343451E-5 | 1.6342783E-4 | 1.9587559 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0010153436 | 0.0010952624 | 1.078711 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.010612982 | 0.010721816 | 1.0102546 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 1.925167E-5 | 9.925013E-5 | 5.1554036 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 8.250456E-5 | 1.6249796E-4 | 1.9695634 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0010040319 | 0.0010839516 | 1.0795988 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.010495643 | 0.010604489 | 1.0103705 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 1.835788E-5 | 9.835641E-5 | 5.357722 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 7.867426E-5 | 1.5866797E-4 | 2.016771 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 9.574398E-4 | 0.0010373632 | 1.0834762 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.010016421 | 0.010125319 | 1.010872 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 1.6286074E-5 | 9.628477E-5 | 5.912092 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 6.9795606E-5 | 1.4979002E-4 | 2.1461241 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 8.494314E-4 | 9.293634E-4 | 1.0941006 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.008917192 | 0.009026212 | 1.0122257 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 1.3438388E-5 | 9.343732E-5 | 6.953015 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 5.759182E-5 | 1.3758721E-4 | 2.3890061 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 7.0095516E-4 | 7.808991E-4 | 1.11405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.007420558 | 0.0075297416 | 1.0147136 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 1.150152E-5 | 9.15006E-5 | 7.9555225 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 4.92913E-5 | 1.2928735E-4 | 2.6229246 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 5.999565E-4 | 6.799085E-4 | 1.133263 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.0063950727 | 0.0065043694 | 1.0170908 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 8.341428E-6 | 7.834085E-5 | 9.391779 | 7.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 3.5748486E-5 | 1.0574598E-4 | 2.9580548 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 4.3515104E-4 | 5.051206E-4 | 1.1607937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.004717885 | 0.0048074606 | 1.0189863 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 6.584059E-6 | 4.6583795E-5 | 7.0752397 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 2.8217091E-5 | 6.821596E-5 | 2.4175406 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 3.4348905E-4 | 3.834753E-4 | 1.116412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0037623812 | 0.0038121932 | 1.0132395 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 3.3128224E-6 | 1.331279E-5 | 4.018564 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 1.4197733E-5 | 2.4197592E-5 | 1.7043278 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 1.728438E-4 | 1.8284206E-4 | 1.0578457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0019098144 | 0.0019197953 | 1.0052261 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 3.2970664E-7 | 3.2970664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 1.4130277E-6 | 1.4130277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 1.7203478E-5 | 1.7203478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 2.1398446E-4 | 2.1398446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312302E-8 | 5.2312302E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419556E-7 | 2.2419556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7295775E-6 | 2.7295775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6884867E-5 | 3.6884867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 5.5734006E-5 | 1.5596597 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 2.1313106E-4 | 1.3917377 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019228524 | 1.0321467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018586803 | 1.0058428 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 5.5734006E-5 | 1.5596597 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 2.1313106E-4 | 1.3917377 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019228524 | 1.0321467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018586803 | 1.0058428 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.582607E-5 | 4.5825553E-5 | 1.7743913 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.1067861E-4 | 1.7067196E-4 | 1.5420501 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0013467056 | 0.0014066248 | 1.0444932 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.013386733 | 0.013495261 | 1.0081071 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.023381E-5 | 4.0233404E-5 | 1.9884245 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 8.67135E-5 | 1.467083E-4 | 1.6918738 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001055235 | 0.0011151718 | 1.0567994 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.010503797 | 0.010592852 | 1.0084783 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.7274737E-5 | 3.7274393E-5 | 2.15774 | 2.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 7.403253E-5 | 1.3402809E-4 | 1.8103945 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 9.009803E-4 | 9.609263E-4 | 1.0665342 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.008969254 | 0.009058447 | 1.0099443 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.5125665E-5 | 3.5125362E-5 | 2.3222358 | 2.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 6.48227E-5 | 1.248188E-4 | 1.9255418 | 6.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 7.889355E-4 | 8.488882E-4 | 1.0759919 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.007869931 | 0.007959223 | 1.011346 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.2808197E-5 | 3.280794E-5 | 2.56148 | 2.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 5.489114E-5 | 1.048884E-4 | 1.9108438 | 5.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 6.680985E-4 | 7.180651E-4 | 1.0747893 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0066613033 | 0.0067308373 | 1.0104384 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.0593359E-5 | 3.0593146E-5 | 2.8879552 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.5399338E-5 | 9.539707E-5 | 2.1012876 | 5.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 5.525999E-4 | 6.025723E-4 | 1.0904313 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0055125863 | 0.005582201 | 1.0126282 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 9.6989E-6 | 2.9698705E-5 | 3.0620697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.156607E-5 | 9.156399E-5 | 2.2028542 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.059524E-4 | 5.559271E-4 | 1.0987735 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0050483164 | 0.005117963 | 1.013796 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.3492033E-6 | 2.7349057E-5 | 3.7213635 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.1496216E-5 | 8.149464E-5 | 2.5874422 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 3.834012E-4 | 4.3338203E-4 | 1.1303617 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0038276217 | 0.0038973535 | 1.0182182 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 4.885518E-6 | 2.4885421E-5 | 5.0937114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.0937769E-5 | 7.093672E-5 | 3.387979 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.5488762E-4 | 3.0487488E-4 | 1.1961149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0025459668 | 0.0026157885 | 1.0274245 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.004297E-6 | 2.4004217E-5 | 5.9946146 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7161161E-5 | 6.7160305E-5 | 3.9135058 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.0891719E-4 | 2.5890674E-4 | 1.2392793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0020872185 | 0.0021570723 | 1.0334674 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.1486293E-6 | 2.3148566E-5 | 7.3519506 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.3494056E-5 | 6.349338E-5 | 4.705285 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.6427782E-4 | 2.142696E-4 | 1.3043125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0016415725 | 0.0017114575 | 1.042572 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.3441114E-6 | 2.2344064E-5 | 9.531998 | 2.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0046154E-5 | 6.004565E-5 | 5.9769793 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2230512E-4 | 1.72299E-4 | 1.4087636 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012223844 | 0.0012922989 | 1.0571952 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.696546E-6 | 2.1696513E-5 | 12.788638 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.270891E-6 | 4.72706E-5 | 6.501349 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 8.851955E-5 | 1.2851601E-4 | 1.4518375 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 8.848478E-4 | 9.447947E-4 | 1.0677483 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 8.986295E-7 | 2.0898611E-5 | 23.256094 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9326535E-6 | 3.8512635E-6 | 3.385115E-5 | 8.789621 | 3.0E-5 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.688816E-5 | 7.6886754E-5 | 1.6397904 | 3.0E-5 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.6878585E-4 | 5.187624E-4 | 1.1066085 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.13585E-7 | 2.0613572E-5 | 33.595303 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.6296473E-6 | 3.2629567E-5 | 12.408344 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.2015505E-5 | 6.2014544E-5 | 1.937016 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.2011085E-4 | 3.7009484E-4 | 1.1561459 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 4.4568886E-5 | 1.8140014 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013213102 | 1.0311768 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012844475 | 1.0069658 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 4.4568886E-5 | 1.8140014 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013213102 | 1.0311768 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012844475 | 1.0069658 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 4.4568886E-5 | 1.8140014 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013213102 | 1.0311768 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012844475 | 1.0069658 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 4.4568886E-5 | 1.8140014 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.2529189E-4 | 1.1899244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013213102 | 1.0311768 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012844475 | 1.0069658 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 3.349198E-5 | 2.4823127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 7.782199E-5 | 1.3458623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.338382E-4 | 1.0425922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070549115 | 1.0042404 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 3.349198E-5 | 2.4823127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 7.782199E-5 | 1.3458623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.338382E-4 | 1.0425922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070549115 | 1.0042404 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.430301E-6 | 1.9430207E-5 | 2.0604014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.04154E-5 | 5.0414998E-5 | 1.2474204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 4.9202616E-4 | 5.120163E-4 | 1.0406282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.004917187 | 0.0049370886 | 1.0040474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 7.917421E-6 | 7.917421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.3931803E-5 | 3.3931803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.131197E-4 | 4.231156E-4 | 1.024196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004131197 | 0.0041411556 | 1.0024107 | 1.0E-5 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 5.2647378E-5 | 1.6125745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.7990777E-4 | 1.2858512 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017721277 | 1.0410521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017003806 | 1.0058153 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 5.2647378E-5 | 1.6125745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.7990777E-4 | 1.2858512 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017721277 | 1.0410521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017003806 | 1.0058153 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 2.2388791E-5 | 1.8071632 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 8.3092724E-5 | 1.5650022 | 3.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.962087E-4 | 1.0773206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.006524047 | 1.0123335 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 2.2388791E-5 | 1.8071632 | 1.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 8.3092724E-5 | 1.5650022 | 3.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.962087E-4 | 1.0773206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.006524047 | 1.0123335 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.377521E-6 | 1.8377437E-5 | 2.1936605 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.590319E-5 | 5.590247E-5 | 1.5570335 | 2.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.3703758E-4 | 4.770201E-4 | 1.0914853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004362176 | 0.0044219145 | 1.0136946 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 1.6210992E-5 | 2.6100225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 4.6618014E-5 | 1.7513357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.6402215E-4 | 1.1234034 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032956793 | 1.0184821 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 1.6210992E-5 | 2.6100225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 4.6618014E-5 | 1.7513357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.6402215E-4 | 1.1234034 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032956793 | 1.0184821 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2424093E-6 | 3.2424093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.3895972E-5 | 1.3895972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.6917146E-4 | 1.6917146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0016905386 | 0.0017105049 | 1.0118105 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0284074E-5 | 1.0284074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012514056 | 0.0012613931 | 1.0079811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.2617111E-4 | 1.3119047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0012302757 | 1.051207 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011736458 | 1.007637 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.2617111E-4 | 1.3119047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0012302757 | 1.051207 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011736458 | 1.007637 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.2617111E-4 | 1.3119047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0012302757 | 1.051207 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011736458 | 1.007637 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.5723516E-4 | 1.0313649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063852337 | 1.0046904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.5723516E-4 | 1.0313649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063852337 | 1.0046904 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.379747E-6 | 1.9379653E-5 | 2.0661168 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0198345E-5 | 5.0197945E-5 | 1.2487564 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.893139E-4 | 5.093041E-4 | 1.0408535 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004883255 | 0.004903157 | 1.0040756 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040147137 | 0.0040147137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034310552 | 0.0034310552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003019339 | 0.003019339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026126802 | 0.0026126802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021247407 | 0.0021247407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015531353 | 0.0015531353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6875173E-4 | 2.9066482E-4 | 3.306532E-4 | 1.1375755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011512847 | 0.0012451317 | 0.0013050571 | 1.0481277 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013927074 | 0.01505795 | 0.015136745 | 1.0052328 | 8.0E-5 | 0.13085878 | 0.14451307 | 0.14459862 | 1.000592 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 2.9066482E-4 | 3.306532E-4 | 1.1375755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0012451317 | 0.0013050571 | 1.0481277 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.01505795 | 0.015136745 | 1.0052328 | 8.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.14451307 | 0.14459862 | 1.000592 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 2.8719747E-4 | 3.27186E-4 | 1.139237 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0012302857 | 0.0012902119 | 1.0487092 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.0148782795 | 0.014957089 | 1.005297 | 8.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.14254841 | 0.14263417 | 1.0006015 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 2.833201E-4 | 3.2330878E-4 | 1.1411431 | 4.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0012136841 | 0.0012736112 | 1.0493762 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.014678871 | 0.014757697 | 1.00537 | 8.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.14042708 | 0.14051305 | 1.0006121 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 2.3520568E-4 | 2.651986E-4 | 1.1275179 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0010076399 | 0.0010575895 | 1.0495709 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.012202825 | 0.012271971 | 1.0056664 | 7.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.119344436 | 0.119423695 | 1.0006641 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 2.1931643E-4 | 2.4930984E-4 | 1.1367587 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 9.3959284E-4 | 9.895458E-4 | 1.0531645 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01138221 | 0.011451414 | 1.0060799 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.111670375 | 0.11175033 | 1.000716 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 2.0564918E-4 | 2.35643E-4 | 1.1458495 | 3.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 8.81059E-4 | 9.3101495E-4 | 1.0566999 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.01067599 | 0.010745243 | 1.0064868 | 7.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.10463355 | 0.10471413 | 1.0007701 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 1.9156018E-4 | 2.2155442E-4 | 1.1565788 | 3.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 8.207164E-4 | 8.706753E-4 | 1.0608724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.009947335 | 0.01001664 | 1.0069671 | 7.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.09711674 | 0.097197995 | 1.0008367 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 1.8490593E-4 | 2.1490038E-4 | 1.1622146 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 7.922157E-4 | 8.421761E-4 | 1.0630641 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.009603071 | 0.009672399 | 1.0072193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.09269387 | 0.09277553 | 1.000881 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 1.8011326E-4 | 2.1010786E-4 | 1.1665318 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 7.7168795E-4 | 8.216494E-4 | 1.064743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.009355313 | 0.0094246585 | 1.0074124 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.089495234 | 0.089577176 | 1.0009156 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 1.6010946E-4 | 1.9010465E-4 | 1.1873418 | 3.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 6.8600493E-4 | 7.359706E-4 | 1.0728358 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.0083205225 | 0.0083899405 | 1.008343 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.07978473 | 0.07986755 | 1.0010381 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 1.5810183E-4 | 1.880971E-4 | 1.1897211 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 6.7740533E-4 | 7.273714E-4 | 1.0737611 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.008216617 | 0.008286041 | 1.0084493 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.07880478 | 0.07888769 | 1.001052 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.4245807E-4 | 1.724538E-4 | 1.2105583 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 6.103936E-4 | 6.6036306E-4 | 1.0818644 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.0074065817 | 0.007476063 | 1.009381 | 7.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.07150066 | 0.071584225 | 1.0011687 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.3189312E-4 | 1.6188915E-4 | 1.2274269 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 5.651355E-4 | 6.1510724E-4 | 1.0884243 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.0068591554 | 0.0069286753 | 1.0101353 | 7.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.06651612 | 0.06660014 | 1.001263 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 8.146637E-5 | 1.1146392E-4 | 1.3682201 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 3.4909538E-4 | 3.9907795E-4 | 1.1431773 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.00424205 | 0.004311753 | 1.0164315 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.04213175 | 0.04221796 | 1.0020461 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 5.6700756E-5 | 8.669905E-5 | 1.5290635 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 2.429808E-4 | 2.9296865E-4 | 1.2057276 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0029543117 | 0.0030241047 | 1.0236242 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.029737718 | 0.029825041 | 1.0029365 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 3.9024962E-5 | 6.9023794E-5 | 1.7687087 | 3.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 1.672392E-4 | 2.1723083E-4 | 1.298923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0020342486 | 0.0021041061 | 1.0343407 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.020739276 | 0.020827409 | 1.0042496 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 2.2754188E-5 | 5.2753505E-5 | 2.3184087 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 9.751431E-5 | 1.4750943E-4 | 1.5126952 | 5.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0011865923 | 0.0012565092 | 1.0589224 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.012373118 | 0.012452128 | 1.0063857 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 1.643652E-5 | 4.6436027E-5 | 2.825174 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 7.044033E-5 | 1.204368E-4 | 1.7097707 | 5.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 8.5727434E-4 | 9.1722293E-4 | 1.0699292 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.009091416 | 0.00916078 | 1.0076295 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 1.0939737E-5 | 3.093952E-5 | 2.8281775 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 4.6883746E-5 | 8.6881875E-5 | 1.8531342 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 5.706604E-4 | 6.1063754E-4 | 1.0700542 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.006175597 | 0.0062252884 | 1.0080464 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 8.630303E-6 | 2.8630131E-5 | 3.3173957 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 3.698649E-5 | 7.698501E-5 | 2.081436 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 4.5021766E-4 | 4.9019966E-4 | 1.0888059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.0049128537 | 0.004962608 | 1.0101274 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 2.5014588E-6 | 1.2501434E-5 | 4.9976573 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4694053E-5 | 1.0720494E-5 | 2.0720387E-5 | 1.9327829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7888541E-4 | 1.3051422E-4 | 1.4051292E-4 | 1.07661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0014734956 | 0.0014834809 | 1.0067766 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 5.4934725E-7 | 5.4934725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 2.3543432E-6 | 2.3543432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 2.8663755E-5 | 2.8663755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 3.548112E-4 | 3.548112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 2.966711E-9 | 2.966711E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 1.2714477E-8 | 1.2714477E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 1.5479876E-7 | 1.5479876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 1.6590238E-6 | 1.6590238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 3.4236833E-5 | 8.080516 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 4.8157737E-5 | 2.6521087 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0022981716 | 1.0406641 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 3.4236833E-5 | 8.080516 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 4.8157737E-5 | 2.6521087 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0022981716 | 1.0406641 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 3.3513592E-5 | 9.537989 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 4.5058157E-5 | 2.9921858 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019215645 | 1.0490439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 3.3513592E-5 | 9.537989 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 4.5058157E-5 | 2.9921858 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019215645 | 1.0490439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 3.3146916E-5 | 10.532826 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 4.3486714E-5 | 3.2243145 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017305788 | 1.0547638 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 3.3146916E-5 | 10.532826 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 4.3486714E-5 | 3.2243145 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017305788 | 1.0547638 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 2.9948671E-6 | 3.2994776E-5 | 11.017109 | 3.0E-5 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2835082E-5 | 4.2834698E-5 | 3.337314 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.5625596E-4 | 2.162466E-4 | 1.3839253 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015614666 | 0.0016413416 | 1.0511539 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9110638E-6 | 3.2910975E-5 | 11.305481 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2475928E-5 | 4.2475553E-5 | 3.4046006 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5188388E-4 | 2.1187478E-4 | 1.3949786 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015178062 | 0.0015976848 | 1.0526277 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.8464353E-6 | 3.284635E-5 | 11.539469 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.21989515E-5 | 4.2198586E-5 | 3.4591978 | 3.0E-5 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4851216E-4 | 2.0850325E-4 | 1.4039474 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014841344 | 0.0015640156 | 1.0538235 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.5920115E-6 | 3.2591935E-5 | 12.573993 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1108574E-5 | 4.110824E-5 | 3.7005868 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3523853E-4 | 1.9523042E-4 | 1.4436005 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013515663 | 0.0014314582 | 1.0591106 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3436628E-6 | 3.2343592E-5 | 13.800446 | 3.0E-5 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0044231E-5 | 4.004393E-5 | 3.9867592 | 3.0E-5 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2228168E-4 | 1.8227434E-4 | 1.4906104 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012221467 | 0.0013020489 | 1.0653785 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.124014E-6 | 3.212395E-5 | 15.124171 | 3.0E-5 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.102885E-6 | 3.910261E-5 | 4.2956285 | 3.0E-5 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.10822E-4 | 1.7081536E-4 | 1.5413487 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010916302 | 0.0011076694 | 0.0011875808 | 1.0721437 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 1.9994181E-6 | 3.199936E-5 | 16.004335 | 3.0E-5 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.568906E-6 | 3.856865E-5 | 4.501 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0432146E-4 | 1.643152E-4 | 1.5750853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010427267 | 0.0011226434 | 1.0766419 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.6893033E-6 | 3.168925E-5 | 18.75877 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.239851E-6 | 3.7239635E-5 | 5.1437016 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.814163E-5 | 1.3813723E-4 | 1.5672188 | 5.0E-5 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.810675E-4 | 9.510058E-4 | 1.0793791 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.4637442E-6 | 3.14637E-5 | 21.495354 | 3.0E-5 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.2731747E-6 | 3.6272988E-5 | 5.7822375 | 3.0E-5 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.637323E-5 | 1.16370175E-4 | 1.5237037 | 4.0E-5 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.634704E-4 | 8.234246E-4 | 1.0785285 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.235387E-6 | 3.123535E-5 | 25.283857 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.294505E-6 | 3.5294346E-5 | 6.666222 | 3.0E-5 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.44587E-5 | 1.0445612E-4 | 1.6205124 | 4.0E-5 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.4440054E-4 | 7.043619E-4 | 1.0930498 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.253663E-7 | 2.0925349E-5 | 22.613043 | 2.0E-5 | 3.966909E-6 | 3.96585E-6 | 2.3965771E-5 | 6.0430355 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8283153E-5 | 6.8282185E-5 | 1.4142032 | 2.0E-5 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.8272702E-4 | 5.127125E-4 | 1.062117 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.3120135E-7 | 1.05311965E-5 | 19.825243 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.2765753E-6 | 1.2276552E-5 | 5.392553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.7716953E-5 | 3.7716676E-5 | 1.36078 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.7713508E-4 | 2.871323E-4 | 1.0360734 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.681611E-7 | 1.681611E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.206902E-7 | 7.206902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822956E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822522E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.2887848E-8 | 4.2887848E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 1.8380506E-7 | 1.8380506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.2378242E-6 | 2.2378242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.237802E-5 | 2.237802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 5.2366627E-9 | 5.2366627E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.2442842E-8 | 2.2442842E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 2.7324157E-7 | 2.7324157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 2.7324124E-6 | 2.7324124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 4.9155762E-5 | 1.685937 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.4494742E-4 | 1.1600441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015180558 | 1.0052174 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 4.9155762E-5 | 1.685937 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.4494742E-4 | 1.1600441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015180558 | 1.0052174 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156345E-5 | 4.9155762E-5 | 1.685937 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.4494742E-4 | 1.1600441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015701541 | 1.0328398 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101766 | 0.015180558 | 1.0052174 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2776656E-5 | 4.2776202E-5 | 1.878072 | 2.0E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.761062E-5 | 1.17608666E-4 | 1.2048757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011877661 | 0.0012377067 | 1.0420458 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011815344 | 0.011884517 | 1.0058545 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 3.987381E-5 | 2.0063095 | 2.0E-5 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 1.0517069E-4 | 1.2347978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010364825 | 0.001076441 | 1.038552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.010317305 | 0.010376685 | 1.0057554 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 3.9588558E-5 | 2.0209637 | 2.0E-5 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3949955E-5 | 1.03948274E-4 | 1.2382171 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010216134 | 0.0010615725 | 1.0391138 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.01016998 | 0.01022937 | 1.0058397 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7655795E-5 | 3.765544E-5 | 2.1327527 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.5665506E-5 | 9.566399E-5 | 1.2643012 | 2.0E-5 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.208395E-4 | 9.408211E-4 | 1.0216993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009398366 | 0.009170957 | 0.00921059 | 1.0043216 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 3.6246638E-5 | 2.2309794 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.962798E-5 | 8.962659E-5 | 1.2872208 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 8.673752E-4 | 1.0235819 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008707017 | 0.00844229 | 0.008481952 | 1.004698 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4816686E-5 | 3.481639E-5 | 2.3498094 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.349854E-5 | 8.3497274E-5 | 1.3149478 | 2.0E-5 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.728214E-4 | 7.92806E-4 | 1.0258592 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008003947 | 0.0077019776 | 0.0077317464 | 1.0038651 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2884615E-5 | 3.2884356E-5 | 2.552219 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.521861E-5 | 7.5217504E-5 | 1.3621768 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.720797E-4 | 6.920662E-4 | 1.0297384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007053386 | 0.0067010513 | 0.0067308503 | 1.0044469 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1272167E-5 | 3.1271942E-5 | 2.7742617 | 2.0E-5 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.8308393E-5 | 6.8307425E-5 | 1.4139867 | 2.0E-5 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.879961E-4 | 6.079843E-4 | 1.0339938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006257884 | 0.0058649387 | 0.005894763 | 1.0050851 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0166116E-5 | 3.0165913E-5 | 2.9672997 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.356834E-5 | 6.3567466E-5 | 1.459029 | 2.0E-5 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.303155E-4 | 5.503049E-4 | 1.0376934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005291027 | 0.005320868 | 1.00564 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.110644E-6 | 2.911046E-5 | 3.1952145 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.9045033E-5 | 5.904425E-5 | 1.512209 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7526963E-4 | 4.952601E-4 | 1.0420613 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00518453 | 0.004743052 | 0.00477291 | 1.0062951 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.795794E-6 | 1.7795715E-5 | 2.282733 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3410117E-5 | 4.3409786E-5 | 1.2993006 | 1.0E-5 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.066923E-4 | 4.1668824E-4 | 1.0245786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00452975 | 0.004059993 | 0.004079912 | 1.004906 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9289754E-6 | 1.6928907E-5 | 2.4432049 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9695271E-5 | 3.9694973E-5 | 1.336744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6147996E-4 | 3.7147637E-4 | 1.027654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004096119 | 0.00360943 | 0.0036293578 | 1.005521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.85832E-6 | 1.585826E-5 | 2.706964 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5106843E-5 | 3.5106594E-5 | 1.3982878 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.0563297E-4 | 3.156299E-4 | 1.032709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003052634 | 0.0030725729 | 1.0065317 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.4696103E-6 | 4.4696103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9155332E-5 | 1.9155332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3319123E-4 | 2.3319123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.002329971 | 0.002329971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.519414E-6 | 2.519414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.0797444E-5 | 1.0797444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3145096E-4 | 1.3145096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013142356 | 0.0013142356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 9.942676E-7 | 9.942676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.2611396E-6 | 4.2611396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.1878138E-5 | 5.1878138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.191614E-4 | 5.191614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 4.0911448E-7 | 4.0911448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 1.7533465E-6 | 1.7533465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.1346785E-5 | 2.1346785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.139205E-4 | 2.139205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 1.8500897E-7 | 1.8500897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 7.928954E-7 | 7.928954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 9.653458E-6 | 9.653458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 9.69381E-5 | 9.69381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 4.5969944E-8 | 4.5969944E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 1.9701405E-7 | 1.9701405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 2.3986433E-6 | 2.3986433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 2.400027E-5 | 2.400027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 5.0974588E-5 | 4.6445975 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 8.703317E-5 | 1.8503895 | 4.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 6.2248524E-4 | 1.0872841 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.0058011217 | 1.0156673 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.864397E-6 | 3.6864192E-5 | 5.3703465 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 5.941765E-5 | 2.0197353 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.981003E-4 | 1.1116561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0036254837 | 1.0139334 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.864397E-6 | 3.6864192E-5 | 5.3703465 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 5.941765E-5 | 2.0197353 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.981003E-4 | 1.1116561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0036254837 | 1.0139334 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1212837E-6 | 1.51212325E-5 | 2.9526253 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.194818E-5 | 3.1947962E-5 | 1.4556086 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.6718748E-4 | 2.8718213E-4 | 1.0748338 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002668777 | 0.002698697 | 1.0112112 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2009046E-6 | 1.4200863E-5 | 3.3804295 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8003757E-5 | 2.8003577E-5 | 1.5554296 | 1.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.1917441E-4 | 2.2917222E-4 | 1.0456158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0021896542 | 0.0021996323 | 1.0045569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 1.366588E-5 | 3.7278209 | 1.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 2.5710822E-5 | 1.6364876 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.91265E-4 | 2.012631E-4 | 1.0522735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019110661 | 0.001921047 | 1.0052227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.0681797E-6 | 3.0681797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3149278E-5 | 1.3149278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0015997149 | 0.0015997149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.0993078E-5 | 1.0993078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013375732 | 0.0013375732 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.793164E-6 | 1.793164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.684967E-6 | 7.684967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.356075E-5 | 9.356075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013866565 | 9.352422E-4 | 9.352422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4043651E-6 | 1.4043651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.0186953E-6 | 6.0186953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.32754E-5 | 7.32754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.325371E-4 | 7.325371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.1034543E-7 | 7.1034543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.044334E-6 | 3.044334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.706414E-5 | 3.706414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.7058E-4 | 3.7058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.4758767E-7 | 4.4758767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.281326E-7 | 6.281326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 7.647489E-6 | 7.647489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 7.647236E-5 | 7.647236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.664671E-4 | 1.0320044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.664671E-4 | 1.0320044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.664671E-4 | 1.0320044 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009406818 | 1.0084968 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 5.864185E-4 | 1.0173383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.005789352 | 1.006917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 5.864185E-4 | 1.0173383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.005789352 | 1.006917 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.100753E-6 | 9.100753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9002654E-5 | 3.9002654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.747554E-4 | 4.8475064E-4 | 1.0210534 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004737573 | 0.004767431 | 1.0063024 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.657348E-6 | 7.657348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.28168E-5 | 3.28168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 3.9947225E-4 | 4.0946828E-4 | 1.025023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.003987647 | 0.004017527 | 1.0074933 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.687256E-6 | 6.687256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8659357E-5 | 2.8659357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.4887256E-4 | 3.588691E-4 | 1.0286537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0034833292 | 0.0035132247 | 1.0085825 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.022249E-4 | 3.1222185E-4 | 1.033078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003018199 | 0.0030481087 | 1.0099097 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6101546E-4 | 2.7101286E-4 | 1.038302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026071358 | 0.0026370576 | 1.0114769 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 2.0917656E-4 | 1.0501962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0019900315 | 0.0020199718 | 1.0150452 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015003218 | 0.0015103068 | 1.0066552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011672071 | 0.0011771955 | 1.0085574 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 8.0870726E-4 | 1.0125101 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 5.9321257E-5 | 1.5086006 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 1.9850847E-4 | 1.1779972 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0020898834 | 1.0194725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.02041349 | 1.003854 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 5.9321257E-5 | 1.5086006 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 1.9850847E-4 | 1.1779972 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0020898834 | 1.0194725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.02041349 | 1.003854 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 3.0540436E-5 | 1.4868298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.0802714E-4 | 1.2271781 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011012898 | 1.0279728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010700846 | 1.0027813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 3.0540436E-5 | 1.4868298 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.0802714E-4 | 1.2271781 | 2.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011012898 | 1.0279728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010700846 | 1.0027813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9085184E-5 | 2.9084993E-5 | 1.5239567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.179162E-5 | 1.01789985E-4 | 1.2445039 | 2.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 9.954537E-4 | 0.0010254239 | 1.030107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.00991938 | 0.0099490825 | 1.0029944 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6426162E-5 | 2.6425998E-5 | 1.6087749 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.039644E-5 | 9.0395035E-5 | 1.2840853 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.568286E-4 | 8.8680285E-4 | 1.0349828 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008543997 | 0.008573741 | 1.0034813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3389003E-5 | 2.3388868E-5 | 1.7468716 | 1.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.738065E-5 | 7.73795E-5 | 1.3485296 | 2.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 6.9846975E-4 | 7.284488E-4 | 1.0429211 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.006971013 | 0.0070008035 | 1.0042735 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1251043E-5 | 2.1250931E-5 | 1.8887964 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.8218335E-5 | 6.821737E-5 | 1.41476 | 2.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 5.869828E-4 | 6.169652E-4 | 1.0510788 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.0058624335 | 0.0058922577 | 1.0050874 | 3.0E-5 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025868427 | 1.0196586 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.02517486 | 1.0031077 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025868427 | 1.0196586 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.02517486 | 1.0031077 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025868427 | 1.0196586 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.02517486 | 1.0031077 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 7.8676865E-5 | 1.6162606 | 3.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0860559E-4 | 2.3859933E-4 | 1.143782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369695 | 0.0025868427 | 1.0196586 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.02517486 | 1.0031077 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 6.0703194E-5 | 1.491332 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.944311E-4 | 1.1146362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516974 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.02105408 | 1.0013969 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 6.0703194E-5 | 1.491332 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.944311E-4 | 1.1146362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516974 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.02105408 | 1.0013969 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.256969E-5 | 4.2569365E-5 | 1.3070239 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3957711E-4 | 1.4957572E-4 | 1.071635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016980602 | 0.0017180262 | 1.0117581 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016854675 | 0.016874338 | 1.0011666 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.2187585E-5 | 4.218726E-5 | 1.3106688 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3793969E-4 | 1.479383E-4 | 1.0724854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016781554 | 0.0016981218 | 1.0118978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.016658625 | 0.01667829 | 1.0011805 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.6534583E-5 | 2.6534583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.137148E-4 | 1.137148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013836196 | 0.0013936057 | 1.0072174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.013752421 | 0.013762284 | 1.0007172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.4894274E-5 | 2.4894274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.066855E-4 | 1.066855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012981419 | 0.0013081289 | 1.0076933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.0129077835 | 0.012917655 | 1.0007647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.3271728E-5 | 2.3271728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.973227E-5 | 9.973227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0012135834 | 0.0012135834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.012071659 | 0.012071659 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.2005142E-5 | 2.2005142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 9.430445E-5 | 9.430445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.001147571 | 0.001147571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.011418492 | 0.011418492 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 2.0286565E-5 | 2.0286565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.693963E-5 | 8.693963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0010579949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.010531556 | 0.010531556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4760834E-5 | 1.4760834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.325926E-5 | 6.325926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.6992135E-4 | 7.6992135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0076737725 | 0.0076737725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.0569628E-5 | 1.0569628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 4.5297667E-5 | 4.5297667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 5.513679E-4 | 5.513679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0055008302 | 0.0055008302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 7.951209E-6 | 7.951209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.40762E-5 | 3.40762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.1480557E-4 | 4.1480557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.0041409847 | 0.0041409847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 3.4837558E-6 | 3.4837558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.49303005E-5 | 1.49303005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 1.8176199E-4 | 1.8176199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0018162066 | 0.0018162066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 2.5975346E-6 | 2.5975346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.1132247E-5 | 1.1132247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.3552736E-4 | 1.3552736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0013545142 | 0.0013545142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica Bay
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 5.2810043E-5 | 18.792377 | 5.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 8.4211766E-5 | 2.4613624 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 4.220565E-4 | 1.2337807 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3621707E-7 | 6.425284E-7 | 2.0642516E-5 | 32.12701 | 2.0E-5 | 2.726642E-6 | 2.7536903E-6 | 5.2753552E-5 | 19.157402 | 5.0E-5 | 3.319636E-5 | 3.352568E-5 | 8.3524006E-5 | 2.491344 | 5.0E-5 | 3.31914E-4 | 3.35208E-4 | 4.151812E-4 | 1.2385778 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.796316E-7 | 5.8564524E-7 | 1.058564E-5 | 18.075174 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4841331E-6 | 2.5099057E-6 | 3.250983E-5 | 12.95261 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0243902E-5 | 3.055769E-5 | 6.0556773E-5 | 1.9817196 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0239785E-4 | 3.0553644E-4 | 3.6551812E-4 | 1.1963159 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2654514E-7 | 5.322372E-7 | 1.05322315E-5 | 19.788605 | 1.0E-5 | 2.25662E-6 | 2.2810148E-6 | 3.2280946E-5 | 14.152011 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7474003E-5 | 2.7771015E-5 | 5.7770183E-5 | 2.080233 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7470608E-4 | 2.7767685E-4 | 3.3766017E-4 | 1.2160186 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.582996E-7 | 4.6350223E-7 | 1.0463497E-5 | 22.57486 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9641398E-6 | 1.9864367E-6 | 3.1986376E-5 | 16.102388 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3913139E-5 | 2.4184612E-5 | 5.4183885E-5 | 2.2404282 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3910566E-4 | 2.4182104E-4 | 3.0180652E-4 | 1.2480574 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9690556E-7 | 4.0159335E-7 | 1.0401589E-5 | 25.9008 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7010227E-6 | 1.7211132E-6 | 3.172106E-5 | 18.430548 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0709755E-5 | 2.0954365E-5 | 5.0953735E-5 | 2.4316528 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0707825E-4 | 2.0952502E-4 | 2.6951244E-4 | 1.286302 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.514765E-7 | 2.54706E-7 | 1.0254704E-5 | 40.26094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.077756E-6 | 1.0915968E-6 | 2.1091575E-5 | 19.321764 | 2.0E-5 | 1.31216E-5 | 1.3290115E-5 | 3.328985E-5 | 2.5048578 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3120825E-4 | 1.3289378E-4 | 1.6288979E-4 | 1.2257142 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6412821E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.0166404E-5 | 61.09424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0340644E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 2.071315E-5 | 29.04397 | 2.0E-5 | 8.563939E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 2.868258E-5 | 3.303397 | 2.0E-5 | 8.56361E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 1.1682158E-4 | 1.3454958 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2030355E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.012205E-5 | 82.93244 | 1.0E-5 | 5.155865E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 1.0523074E-5 | 20.117567 | 1.0E-5 | 6.277248E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 1.6368404E-5 | 2.5702267 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2770705E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 8.368161E-5 | 1.3140361 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.0539674E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308843E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935152E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935038E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.828942E-5 | 1.828942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.838114E-5 | 1.0837879E-4 | 1.3827151 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.5391995E-4 | 0.0010038723 | 1.0523653 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.00950297 | 0.009582209 | 1.0083385 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 6.06887E-5 | 1.4915072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.3527113E-4 | 1.0807207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049825367 | 1.0080527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 6.06887E-5 | 1.4915072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.3527113E-4 | 1.0807207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049825367 | 1.0080527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.0039842385 | 1.0075566 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.0039842385 | 1.0075566 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.717785E-5 | 4.7177306E-5 | 1.7358733 | 2.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3084644E-4 | 3.608365E-4 | 1.0906465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033041644 | 0.0033340652 | 1.0090494 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.508339E-5 | 4.508289E-5 | 1.7973204 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0535375E-4 | 3.3534458E-4 | 1.0982167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030499578 | 0.0030798665 | 1.0098062 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3508273E-5 | 4.3507804E-5 | 1.8507444 | 2.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8618184E-4 | 3.1617327E-4 | 1.1047984 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028587442 | 0.0028886585 | 1.0104641 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8024226E-5 | 3.8023867E-5 | 2.1095977 | 2.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.194287E-4 | 2.494221E-4 | 1.1366887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0021926926 | 0.002222627 | 1.0136518 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 2.718438E-5 | 1.581908 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.4919605E-4 | 1.1911606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.002160352 | 1.0334148 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 2.718438E-5 | 1.581908 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.4919605E-4 | 1.1911606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.002160352 | 1.0334148 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 2.718438E-5 | 1.581908 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.4919605E-4 | 1.1911606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.002160352 | 1.0334148 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.0097516E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184551E-5 | 2.718438E-5 | 1.581908 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920442E-4 | 2.4919605E-4 | 1.1911606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.002160352 | 1.0334148 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.212993E-6 | 1.3212961E-5 | 4.112353 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.376991E-5 | 2.3769773E-5 | 1.7262112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.0763122E-4 | 1.2385695 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754975 | 0.0017453802 | 1.0417086 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.212993E-6 | 1.3212961E-5 | 4.112353 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.376991E-5 | 2.3769773E-5 | 1.7262112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.0763122E-4 | 1.2385695 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754975 | 0.0017453802 | 1.0417086 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769354E-6 | 1.1976916E-5 | 6.058324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472554E-6 | 1.847247E-5 | 2.1802716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314874E-4 | 1.3314564E-4 | 1.2908121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010312041 | 0.0010811526 | 1.048437 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769354E-6 | 1.1976916E-5 | 6.058324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472554E-6 | 1.847247E-5 | 2.1802716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314874E-4 | 1.3314564E-4 | 1.2908121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010312041 | 0.0010811526 | 1.048437 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.8018864E-6 | 1.1801869E-5 | 6.5497293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2242733E-5 | 7.7223485E-6 | 1.7722272E-5 | 2.2949328 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.401578E-5 | 1.2401295E-4 | 1.3190653 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014894515 | 9.399526E-4 | 9.899056E-4 | 1.0531442 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.3253589E-6 | 1.1325345E-5 | 8.545116 | 1.0E-5 | 9.265135E-6 | 5.6800977E-6 | 1.5680042E-5 | 2.760523 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12797185E-4 | 6.915307E-5 | 9.9150995E-5 | 1.4337902 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011273995 | 6.914927E-4 | 7.4145815E-4 | 1.0722574 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.234092E-6 | 1.234092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.2889554E-6 | 5.2889554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.4391206E-5 | 8.438992E-5 | 1.3105814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001026573 | 6.439021E-4 | 6.8387634E-4 | 1.0620812 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.0297958E-6 | 1.0297958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.4134035E-6 | 4.4134035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.3731917E-5 | 7.3730844E-5 | 1.3721982 | 2.0E-5 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.3736405E-4 | 5.773425E-4 | 1.0743974 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 5.7826776E-7 | 5.7826776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.478288E-6 | 2.478288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.0172752E-5 | 5.0172148E-5 | 1.6628298 | 2.0E-5 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.018571E-4 | 3.3184804E-4 | 1.0993547 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.0879536E-7 | 4.0879536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.751979E-6 | 1.751979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.1330143E-5 | 3.1329928E-5 | 1.4688101 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.1345109E-4 | 2.3344682E-4 | 1.0936782 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 1.9813471E-7 | 1.9813471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 8.4914853E-7 | 8.4914853E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.0338336E-5 | 1.0338336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.03548155E-4 | 1.03548155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.673457E-7 | 1.673457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 7.171957E-7 | 7.171957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 8.731825E-6 | 8.731825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 8.748439E-5 | 8.748439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.2314749E-7 | 1.2314749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 5.277749E-7 | 5.277749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 6.4256415E-6 | 6.4256415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 6.442392E-5 | 6.442392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 5.1936655E-7 | 5.1936655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 6.323271E-6 | 6.323271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 6.340027E-5 | 6.340027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 6.8152076E-8 | 6.8152076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Joaquin Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 1.2784413E-5 | 4.591375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 3.193303E-5 | 2.6759672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.8527215E-4 | 1.2752943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518427 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.388654E-6 | 2.7191757E-6 | 1.2719149E-5 | 4.677575 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4522722E-5 | 1.1653558E-5 | 3.1653326E-5 | 2.716194 | 2.0E-5 | 1.767998E-4 | 1.4187297E-4 | 1.8186729E-4 | 1.2819024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001766592 | 0.0014178365 | 0.0014877373 | 1.049301 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2694352E-6 | 2.5996278E-6 | 1.2599602E-5 | 4.8466945 | 1.0E-5 | 1.401179E-5 | 1.1141215E-5 | 3.1140993E-5 | 2.7951164 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7058018E-4 | 1.3563596E-4 | 1.7563053E-4 | 1.294867 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017044931 | 0.0013555428 | 0.0014254479 | 1.0515698 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.246912E-6 | 2.5784104E-6 | 1.25783845E-5 | 4.878349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.39152635E-5 | 1.1050284E-5 | 3.105006E-5 | 2.8098884 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940516E-4 | 1.3452901E-4 | 1.7452362E-4 | 1.2972937 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016927607 | 0.0013444867 | 0.0014143926 | 1.0519944 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.1864927E-6 | 2.5239833E-6 | 1.25239585E-5 | 4.9619813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3656326E-5 | 1.0817027E-5 | 3.0816813E-5 | 2.8489168 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6625308E-4 | 1.3168946E-4 | 1.716842E-4 | 1.3037049 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016612876 | 0.001316125 | 0.0013860329 | 1.0531164 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0220644E-6 | 2.3718187E-6 | 1.2371795E-5 | 5.2161636 | 1.0E-5 | 1.295164E-5 | 1.0164898E-5 | 3.0164694E-5 | 2.9675353 | 2.0E-5 | 1.576748E-4 | 1.2375071E-4 | 1.6374576E-4 | 1.3231905 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015756298 | 0.001236828 | 0.0013067415 | 1.0565264 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.787619E-6 | 2.192195E-6 | 1.2192173E-5 | 5.5616274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1946884E-5 | 9.395089E-6 | 2.9394902E-5 | 3.1287518 | 2.0E-5 | 1.454436E-4 | 1.143793E-4 | 1.5437472E-4 | 1.3496736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014534845 | 0.001143214 | 0.0012131339 | 1.0611609 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4593792E-6 | 1.9001128E-6 | 1.1900094E-5 | 6.2628355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0540153E-5 | 8.143315E-6 | 2.8143153E-5 | 3.455982 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2831882E-4 | 9.9140445E-5 | 1.2913746E-4 | 1.302571 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012824474 | 9.909708E-4 | 0.0010509113 | 1.0604867 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.926764E-6 | 1.4205306E-6 | 1.1420517E-5 | 8.039614 | 1.0E-5 | 8.257534E-6 | 6.0879743E-6 | 1.6087914E-5 | 2.6425724 | 1.0E-5 | 1.00530844E-4 | 7.411863E-5 | 9.4117146E-5 | 1.2698177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010048538 | 7.409453E-4 | 7.8091567E-4 | 1.0539451 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1609359E-6 | 8.0440293E-7 | 8.0440293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.97543E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0574173E-5 | 4.197178E-5 | 5.1971358E-5 | 1.2382454 | 1.0E-5 | 6.055767E-4 | 4.1964275E-4 | 4.3963434E-4 | 1.0476396 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1168536E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1929354E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.669866E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6695454E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 4.6542926E-5 | 2.8133795 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 1.0089663E-4 | 1.4231086 | 3.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.1286044E-4 | 1.0578939 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.00867018 | 1.0080688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 4.6542926E-5 | 2.8133795 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 1.0089663E-4 | 1.4231086 | 3.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.1286044E-4 | 1.0578939 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.00867018 | 1.0080688 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 4.348163E-5 | 3.225154 | 3.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 8.7777385E-5 | 1.5191886 | 3.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.532457E-4 | 1.0710454 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.0070747724 | 1.0084928 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 4.348163E-5 | 3.225154 | 3.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 8.7777385E-5 | 1.5191886 | 3.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.532457E-4 | 1.0710454 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.0070747724 | 1.0084928 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0028388E-5 | 4.0028088E-5 | 3.9914777 | 3.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.297832E-5 | 7.297703E-5 | 1.6979964 | 3.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.2317523E-4 | 5.7314907E-4 | 1.0955203 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052233418 | 0.0052730804 | 1.0095224 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 9.976392E-6 | 3.9976094E-5 | 4.007069 | 3.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.2755488E-5 | 7.275421E-5 | 1.7016343 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.204635E-4 | 5.7043746E-4 | 1.0960182 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0051963516 | 0.005246092 | 1.0095721 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.321582E-6 | 3.832133E-5 | 4.605054 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.5663652E-5 | 6.566258E-5 | 1.8411627 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.3415706E-4 | 4.741397E-4 | 1.0920925 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004336879 | 0.0043767057 | 1.0091832 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.001261573 | 0.001261573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.001139222 | 0.001139222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010231701 | 0.0010231701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ozena
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 1.6209726E-5 | 2.610351 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 1.15598785E-4 | 1.5290478 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.223257E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9528186E-6 | 3.986052E-6 | 3.986052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81245E-5 | 4.8529146E-5 | 6.852818E-5 | 1.4121034 | 2.0E-5 | 4.811408E-4 | 4.851895E-4 | 5.2517006E-4 | 1.082402 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.141515E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.917786E-6 | 3.95084E-6 | 3.95084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7698002E-5 | 4.8100454E-5 | 6.809949E-5 | 1.4157765 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7687767E-4 | 4.8090445E-4 | 5.208852E-4 | 1.0831366 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.767648E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.757558E-6 | 3.7895798E-6 | 3.7895798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5747307E-5 | 4.6137196E-5 | 6.613627E-5 | 1.4334697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5737892E-4 | 4.6128008E-4 | 5.012617E-4 | 1.0866752 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.199402E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5140247E-6 | 3.544308E-6 | 3.544308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2782412E-5 | 4.315113E-5 | 6.315027E-5 | 1.4634672 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2774176E-4 | 4.3143122E-4 | 4.7141398E-4 | 1.0926746 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.38705E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1658747E-6 | 3.1930774E-6 | 3.1930774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8543843E-5 | 3.887506E-5 | 4.887467E-5 | 1.2572243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.853716E-4 | 3.8868608E-4 | 4.1867443E-4 | 1.0771531 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.490017E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7814328E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.386342E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3858258E-4 | 3.4149305E-4 | 3.5148964E-4 | 1.0292732 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.346736E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.291456E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789812E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789462E-4 | 2.8133087E-4 | 2.9132803E-4 | 1.0355353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.939325E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25971E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5336862E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335804E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.6452862E-4 | 1.0647023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4151905E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065101E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3842357E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.38399E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.4957577E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9267533E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3458194E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3457947E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.9993255E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5711394E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303617E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303573E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 6.1615494E-5 | 2.8504105 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.3263526E-4 | 1.4317437 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011673798 | 1.0354391 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011289106 | 1.0052829 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 6.1615494E-5 | 2.8504105 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.3263526E-4 | 1.4317437 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011673798 | 1.0354391 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011289106 | 1.0052829 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1011339E-5 | 2.1011228E-5 | 1.9081448 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.7190875E-5 | 5.7190406E-5 | 1.2118953 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.744473E-4 | 5.844415E-4 | 1.017398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0057345103 | 0.0057543954 | 1.0034677 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 2.0563537E-5 | 1.9466332 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 5.5271794E-5 | 1.2208759 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.610943E-4 | 1.0181355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055220937 | 1.0036149 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 2.0563537E-5 | 1.9466332 | 1.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 5.5271794E-5 | 1.2208759 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.610943E-4 | 1.0181355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055220937 | 1.0036149 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032034202 | 0.0032034202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002540112 | 0.00281058 | 0.00281058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002302978 | 0.002302978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 3.382789E-5 | 8.8369465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.3971242E-4 | 1.20024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021180653 | 1.0290918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 3.382789E-5 | 8.8369465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.3971242E-4 | 1.20024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021180653 | 1.0290918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 3.382789E-5 | 8.8369465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.3971242E-4 | 1.20024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021180653 | 1.0290918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 3.382789E-5 | 8.8369465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.3971242E-4 | 1.20024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021180653 | 1.0290918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.828007E-6 | 3.382789E-5 | 8.8369465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405642E-5 | 4.6405148E-5 | 2.8286092 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972041E-4 | 2.3971242E-4 | 1.20024 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.002058189 | 0.0021180653 | 1.0290918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7885877E-6 | 3.3788474E-5 | 8.9184885 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236703E-5 | 4.6236215E-5 | 2.8476357 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766396E-4 | 2.3765606E-4 | 1.2023237 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0020376623 | 0.00209754 | 1.0293856 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7885877E-6 | 3.3788474E-5 | 8.9184885 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236703E-5 | 4.6236215E-5 | 2.8476357 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766396E-4 | 2.3765606E-4 | 1.2023237 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0020376623 | 0.00209754 | 1.0293856 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 3.708629E-6 | 3.370852E-5 | 9.089212 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 1.5894027E-5 | 4.589355E-5 | 2.8874714 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 1.9349264E-4 | 2.2348683E-4 | 1.1550146 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0019960243 | 0.0020459243 | 1.0249997 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 3.7033242E-6 | 3.3703214E-5 | 9.1008 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 1.5871294E-5 | 4.5870816E-5 | 2.890175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 1.9321589E-4 | 2.232101E-4 | 1.1552367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0019932617 | 0.002043162 | 1.0250345 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 3.6953084E-6 | 3.3695196E-5 | 9.118372 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 1.583694E-5 | 4.5836467E-5 | 2.8942754 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 1.9279771E-4 | 2.2279193E-4 | 1.1555735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0019890876 | 0.002038988 | 1.0250871 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 3.6861236E-6 | 3.3686014E-5 | 9.138601 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 1.5797577E-5 | 4.5797104E-5 | 2.8989954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 1.9231855E-4 | 2.2231278E-4 | 1.1559612 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0019843045 | 0.0020342052 | 1.0251478 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 3.6755498E-6 | 3.367544E-5 | 9.162014 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 1.575226E-5 | 4.575179E-5 | 2.9044585 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 1.9176693E-4 | 2.2176118E-4 | 1.1564099 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.001978799 | 0.0020287 | 1.0252179 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 3.6589247E-6 | 3.3658816E-5 | 9.1991 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 1.5681013E-5 | 4.5680543E-5 | 2.913112 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 1.9089962E-4 | 2.208939E-4 | 1.1571207 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0019701445 | 0.0020200459 | 1.0253289 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 3.6422812E-6 | 3.3642173E-5 | 9.236567 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 1.5609683E-5 | 4.5609217E-5 | 2.921854 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 1.9003135E-4 | 2.2002566E-4 | 1.1578387 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0019614822 | 0.0020113841 | 1.0254409 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 3.6263282E-6 | 3.362622E-5 | 9.272801 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 1.5541313E-5 | 4.5540848E-5 | 2.9303088 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 1.891991E-4 | 2.1919342E-4 | 1.1585331 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0019531872 | 0.0020030895 | 1.0255492 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 3.605779E-6 | 3.360567E-5 | 9.319947 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 1.5453246E-5 | 4.5452784E-5 | 2.9413097 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 1.8812707E-4 | 2.1812142E-4 | 1.1594367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0019424815 | 0.0019923844 | 1.0256903 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 3.5697178E-6 | 3.356961E-5 | 9.4039955 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 1.5298701E-5 | 4.5298242E-5 | 2.9609208 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 1.862458E-4 | 2.1624021E-4 | 1.1610475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0019236784 | 0.0019735822 | 1.0259418 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 3.394524E-6 | 2.3394456E-5 | 6.8918223 | 2.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 1.4547878E-5 | 3.454759E-5 | 2.3747509 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 1.7710605E-4 | 1.971025E-4 | 1.1129067 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0018319839 | 0.0018719106 | 1.0217942 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 3.0474937E-6 | 2.3047432E-5 | 7.5627503 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 1.3060621E-5 | 3.306036E-5 | 2.5313008 | 2.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 1.5900149E-4 | 1.789983E-4 | 1.125765 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0016497601 | 0.001689694 | 1.0242059 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 1.96676E-6 | 1.196674E-5 | 6.084494 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 8.428944E-6 | 1.842886E-5 | 2.1863782 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 1.02617574E-4 | 1.1261655E-4 | 1.0974392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.001075444 | 0.0010954225 | 1.018577 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 1.1351061E-6 | 1.1135095E-5 | 9.809739 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 4.8647316E-6 | 1.4864683E-5 | 3.0556018 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 5.9226506E-5 | 6.922591E-5 | 1.1688334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 6.261712E-4 | 6.361649E-4 | 1.0159601 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 5.249031E-7 | 5.249031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 2.2495828E-6 | 2.2495828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 2.7388332E-5 | 2.7388332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 4.7896666E-8 | 4.7896666E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 2.0527142E-7 | 2.0527142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 2.4991766E-6 | 2.4991766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 2.9453406E-5 | 2.9453406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 7.639083E-9 | 7.639083E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 3.2738928E-8 | 3.2738928E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 3.9859637E-7 | 3.9859637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 4.97181E-6 | 4.97181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 3.966637E-5 | 1.3370687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.3713645E-4 | 1.0786449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0015769433 | 1.0193624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.01543986 | 1.0038409 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 3.966637E-5 | 1.3370687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.3713645E-4 | 1.0786449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0015769433 | 1.0193624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.01543986 | 1.0038409 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 2.573277E-5 | 1.6355996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 7.742495E-5 | 1.1483016 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008225537 | 1.0048465 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 2.573277E-5 | 1.6355996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 7.742495E-5 | 1.1483016 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008225537 | 1.0048465 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.7528984E-4 | 1.0130568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007655654 | 1.0025992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.7528984E-4 | 1.0130568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007655654 | 1.0025992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.5547624E-4 | 6.654697E-4 | 1.015246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006544389 | 0.0065642577 | 1.003036 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.010231E-4 | 5.010231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0050074076 | 0.0050074076 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 5.1753235E-5 | 1.6298245 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0017054703 | 1.0301514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016496733 | 1.0035901 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 5.1753235E-5 | 1.6298245 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0017054703 | 1.0301514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016496733 | 1.0035901 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.175387E-5 | 5.1753235E-5 | 1.6298245 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608106E-4 | 1.6607698E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555531 | 0.0017054703 | 1.0301514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.01643772 | 0.016496733 | 1.0035901 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 4.9931623E-5 | 1.6681563 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.2827478E-4 | 1.5827094E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606504 | 0.0016105723 | 1.0319879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.015502528 | 0.015561597 | 1.0038103 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932222E-5 | 4.9931623E-5 | 1.6681563 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.2827478E-4 | 1.5827094E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606504 | 0.0016105723 | 1.0319879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.015502528 | 0.015561597 | 1.0038103 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 2.8705112E-5 | 4.8704536E-5 | 1.69672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.2301625E-4 | 1.5301254E-4 | 1.2438402 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014322745 | 0.001496717 | 0.0015466422 | 1.0333564 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014230782 | 0.014871897 | 0.0149310045 | 1.0039744 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.7185597E-5 | 4.7185054E-5 | 1.7356637 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.1650463E-4 | 1.4650113E-4 | 1.2574705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0014175434 | 0.0014674725 | 1.0352223 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013544982 | 0.014090465 | 0.014149619 | 1.0041982 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.5344914E-5 | 4.5344408E-5 | 1.7890929 | 2.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.0861666E-4 | 1.2861448E-4 | 1.1841139 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0013216268 | 0.0013615739 | 1.0302258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012701893 | 0.013142922 | 0.013192264 | 1.0037544 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.3063696E-5 | 4.3063235E-5 | 1.8671436 | 2.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 9.884077E-5 | 1.1883879E-4 | 1.2023257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0012027402 | 0.0012327041 | 1.0249131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011539802 | 0.011967198 | 0.01200672 | 1.0033025 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.0648222E-5 | 4.064781E-5 | 1.9685864 | 2.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 8.848947E-5 | 1.084877E-4 | 1.2259957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0010768423 | 0.0011068099 | 1.0278293 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010331288 | 0.010720779 | 0.01076035 | 1.0036911 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 1.9043153E-5 | 3.9042774E-5 | 2.0502262 | 2.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.161105E-5 | 1.0160941E-4 | 1.2450448 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5722964E-4 | 9.931764E-4 | 0.0010231466 | 1.0301762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009531168 | 0.009891802 | 0.009931407 | 1.0040038 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.8299621E-5 | 3.8299255E-5 | 2.0928988 | 2.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 7.842467E-5 | 9.84231E-5 | 1.2550018 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2145515E-4 | 9.544168E-4 | 9.843882E-4 | 1.0314028 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009176437 | 0.009507543 | 0.009547163 | 1.0041672 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 2.6791553E-5 | 1.5955216 | 1.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.196261E-5 | 8.1961894E-5 | 1.1389511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 8.7580713E-4 | 8.957896E-4 | 1.0228161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008511325 | 0.008727556 | 0.008757294 | 1.0034074 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.4810977E-5 | 2.4810828E-5 | 1.6751649 | 1.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.347415E-5 | 7.3473515E-5 | 1.1575345 | 1.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 7.7253743E-4 | 7.92522E-4 | 1.0258687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075480095 | 0.0077009825 | 0.0077307518 | 1.0038656 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 2.3076685E-5 | 1.7647022 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 5.604237E-5 | 6.604181E-5 | 1.1784264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 6.8211555E-4 | 7.021019E-4 | 1.0293006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066837464 | 0.006802521 | 0.0068323174 | 1.0043801 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 2.1824391E-5 | 1.8456911 | 1.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.0675557E-5 | 6.067505E-5 | 1.1973238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.168135E-4 | 6.368011E-4 | 1.0324047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006054099 | 0.006153262 | 0.006183078 | 1.0048455 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 1.2993912E-5 | 4.340069 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.2831147E-5 | 2.2831018E-5 | 1.7793436 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.562139E-4 | 1.6621232E-4 | 1.0640048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0015619182 | 0.0015719025 | 1.0063924 | 1.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915231E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963648E-6 | 3.896338E-5 | 4.346822 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.4912403E-4 | 1.3665007 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.001150824 | 1.0549409 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915231E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963648E-6 | 3.896338E-5 | 4.346822 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.4912403E-4 | 1.3665007 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.001150824 | 1.0549409 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.08423E-7 | 3.0908395E-5 | 34.024235 | 3.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.8932358E-6 | 3.389312E-5 | 8.705642 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7399215E-5 | 8.739732E-5 | 1.8438559 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.2387716E-4 | 1.1054573 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.08423E-7 | 3.0908395E-5 | 34.024235 | 3.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.8932358E-6 | 3.389312E-5 | 8.705642 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.7399215E-5 | 8.739732E-5 | 1.8438559 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.2387716E-4 | 1.1054573 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 5.994164E-7 | 3.05994E-5 | 51.04865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.5689249E-6 | 3.256885E-5 | 12.678007 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.1276213E-5 | 7.127496E-5 | 2.2788873 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6312963E-4 | 3.1271836E-4 | 3.5270586E-4 | 1.1278707 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 5.934982E-7 | 3.059348E-5 | 51.54772 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5435613E-6 | 3.2543485E-5 | 12.794457 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.096742E-5 | 7.096618E-5 | 2.29164 | 4.0E-5 | 3.600655E-4 | 3.096313E-4 | 3.496189E-4 | 1.1291459 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.4499327E-7 | 3.0544976E-5 | 56.04652 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3356833E-6 | 3.2335614E-5 | 13.844176 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.8436574E-5 | 6.843544E-5 | 2.406599 | 4.0E-5 | 3.349229E-4 | 2.843295E-4 | 3.2431813E-4 | 1.1406418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.167145E-7 | 3.05167E-5 | 59.05911 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.2144889E-6 | 3.2214422E-5 | 14.547114 | 3.0E-5 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.696107E-5 | 6.695999E-5 | 2.4835806 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2025913E-4 | 2.695781E-4 | 3.0956732E-4 | 1.14834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 4.907346E-7 | 3.049072E-5 | 62.132812 | 3.0E-5 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1031465E-6 | 3.2103082E-5 | 15.264312 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.5605508E-5 | 6.560449E-5 | 2.562124 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0508233E-4 | 2.5602567E-4 | 2.9601544E-4 | 1.1561943 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.486244E-7 | 3.0448611E-5 | 67.871056 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9226745E-6 | 3.1922616E-5 | 16.603235 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3408313E-5 | 6.340737E-5 | 2.7087548 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7769682E-4 | 2.3405855E-4 | 2.740492E-4 | 1.1708574 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.020342E-7 | 3.0402021E-5 | 75.62048 | 3.0E-5 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.7230025E-6 | 3.172295E-5 | 18.411436 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.0977353E-5 | 6.0976516E-5 | 2.906778 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5119373E-4 | 2.0975382E-4 | 2.4974544E-4 | 1.1906598 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.462453E-7 | 3.0346235E-5 | 87.643745 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.4839075E-6 | 3.148386E-5 | 21.216864 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8066425E-5 | 5.8065703E-5 | 3.214012 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1877629E-4 | 1.806496E-4 | 2.2064238E-4 | 1.2213831 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.7116866E-7 | 3.027116E-5 | 111.632225 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1621507E-6 | 3.1162115E-5 | 26.814177 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.4149094E-5 | 5.4148528E-5 | 3.826996 | 4.0E-5 | 1.787505E-4 | 1.4148196E-4 | 1.814763E-4 | 1.2826816 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.150054E-7 | 3.0214998E-5 | 140.53134 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.214514E-7 | 3.0921423E-5 | 33.557304 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.1218613E-5 | 5.1218165E-5 | 4.5654635 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4489799E-4 | 1.1218048E-4 | 1.52176E-4 | 1.3565283 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.7303724E-7 | 3.0173032E-5 | 174.37306 | 3.0E-5 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.415879E-7 | 3.0741565E-5 | 41.453705 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.028795E-6 | 3.9028524E-5 | 4.3226724 | 3.0E-5 | 1.18733085E-4 | 9.02843E-5 | 1.2028159E-4 | 1.3322537 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3086895E-7 | 2.0130867E-5 | 153.82462 | 2.0E-5 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.608668E-7 | 2.0560856E-5 | 36.65907 | 2.0E-5 | 9.326646E-6 | 6.828532E-6 | 2.6828395E-5 | 3.928867 | 2.0E-5 | 9.326255E-5 | 6.828324E-5 | 8.828187E-5 | 1.2928777 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 8.888898E-8 | 1.0088888E-5 | 113.49987 | 1.0E-5 | 5.624805E-7 | 3.809527E-7 | 1.0380949E-5 | 27.249968 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.6380896E-6 | 1.46380435E-5 | 3.1560502 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8479676E-5 | 4.637994E-5 | 5.6379475E-5 | 1.2156005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 4.7951108E-8 | 4.7951108E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.0550472E-7 | 2.0550472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.5020172E-6 | 2.5020172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4037708E-5 | 2.5019903E-5 | 2.5019903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 6.7557115E-9 | 6.7557115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 2.8953046E-8 | 2.8953046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.525033E-7 | 3.525033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699946E-6 | 3.5250273E-6 | 3.5250273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 5.04685E-5 | 2.4655926 | 3.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.1771931E-4 | 1.3419597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011074679 | 1.0374304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 5.04685E-5 | 2.4655926 | 3.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.1771931E-4 | 1.3419597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011074679 | 1.0374304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469117E-5 | 5.04685E-5 | 2.4655926 | 3.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772194E-5 | 1.1771931E-4 | 1.3419597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0010675106 | 0.0011074679 | 1.0374304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010646998 | 0.0107063595 | 1.0055754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849435E-5 | 4.684893E-5 | 2.780445 | 3.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.220996E-5 | 1.0220779E-4 | 1.4154252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.7881676E-4 | 9.187816E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759942 | 0.008809503 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849435E-5 | 4.684893E-5 | 2.780445 | 3.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.220996E-5 | 1.0220779E-4 | 1.4154252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.7881676E-4 | 9.187816E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759942 | 0.008809503 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.3531852E-5 | 3.353158E-5 | 2.4779742 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8592806E-5 | 5.7992405E-5 | 7.7991244E-5 | 1.3448527 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.058363E-4 | 7.358151E-4 | 1.0424727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0070377225 | 0.0070675113 | 1.0042328 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.3398849E-5 | 3.339858E-5 | 2.4926455 | 2.0E-5 | 7.809766E-5 | 5.7422418E-5 | 7.742127E-5 | 1.348276 | 2.0E-5 | 9.504242E-4 | 6.9890113E-4 | 7.288801E-4 | 1.0428945 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.006968806 | 0.0069985967 | 1.0042748 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.2870461E-5 | 3.2870204E-5 | 2.553926 | 2.0E-5 | 7.505249E-5 | 5.5157994E-5 | 7.515689E-5 | 1.3625748 | 2.0E-5 | 9.13381E-4 | 6.7134894E-4 | 7.013288E-4 | 1.0446562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.0066990927 | 0.0067288917 | 1.0044482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.2800598E-5 | 3.280034E-5 | 2.562407 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.4858592E-5 | 7.48575E-5 | 1.3645537 | 2.0E-5 | 9.083966E-4 | 6.6770596E-4 | 6.9768593E-4 | 1.0449 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0066622035 | 0.0066920035 | 1.004473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.1898953E-5 | 3.1898715E-5 | 2.6808002 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.0994553E-5 | 7.0993534E-5 | 1.3921788 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.206883E-4 | 6.506697E-4 | 1.0483035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.0061948528 | 0.0062246667 | 1.0048127 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 9.943968E-6 | 2.9943769E-5 | 3.0112495 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.261632E-5 | 6.2615465E-5 | 1.4692838 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.187324E-4 | 5.4871687E-4 | 1.0578033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0051788953 | 0.00520874 | 1.0057627 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 9.4487905E-6 | 1.9448697E-5 | 2.0583265 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.0494197E-5 | 5.0493793E-5 | 1.246939 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9922156E-4 | 4.929075E-4 | 5.128976E-4 | 1.0405556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.004921265 | 0.0049411664 | 1.0040439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.254646E-6 | 8.254646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.537658E-5 | 3.537658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.3062624E-4 | 4.3062624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.004299215 | 0.004299215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 6.964818E-6 | 6.964818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 2.9848885E-5 | 2.9848885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.6335082E-4 | 3.6335082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.003627877 | 0.003627877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.25371E-6 | 6.25371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.6801345E-5 | 2.6801345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.2625868E-4 | 3.2625868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0032579228 | 0.0032579228 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.191826E-6 | 5.191826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.2250499E-5 | 2.2250499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.7086723E-4 | 2.7086723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.0027054788 | 0.0027054788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.295868E-6 | 4.295868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 1.841074E-5 | 1.841074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.2412867E-4 | 2.2412867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0022391244 | 0.0022391244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.116721E-6 | 2.116721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.071632E-6 | 9.071632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.1044215E-4 | 1.1044215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0011039339 | 0.0011039339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047298125 | 1.0127877 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047298125 | 1.0127877 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047298125 | 1.0127877 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 2.8969323E-5 | 3.229758 | 2.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 5.8439433E-5 | 1.5202686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.078981E-4 | 1.0854453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.0047298125 | 1.0127877 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 2.3962513E-5 | 6.04718 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 3.6982092E-5 | 2.1776676 | 2.0E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.2673764E-4 | 1.096719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020954611 | 1.0144942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 2.3962513E-5 | 6.04718 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 3.6982092E-5 | 2.1776676 | 2.0E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.2673764E-4 | 1.096719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020954611 | 1.0144942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 1.3099478E-5 | 4.226308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 2.3283408E-5 | 1.7528013 | 1.0E-5 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.7171362E-4 | 1.0618271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016159874 | 0.0016259713 | 1.0061781 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 1.26505865E-5 | 4.772702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 2.1359607E-5 | 1.8802934 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.482945E-4 | 1.0722988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013821042 | 0.0013920905 | 1.0072254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 1.2543974E-5 | 4.9308095 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 2.0902698E-5 | 1.9171851 | 1.0E-5 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3273364E-4 | 1.4273231E-4 | 1.0753288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013265496 | 0.0013365363 | 1.0075283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3576203E-7 | 2.3576203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0104083E-6 | 1.0104083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.4099455E-8 | 9.4099455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.032833E-7 | 4.032833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.909855E-5 | 4.909855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.8401407E-8 | 2.8401407E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2172032E-7 | 1.2172032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.4819439E-6 | 1.4819439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.481934E-5 | 1.481934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.0360129E-8 | 1.0360129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.4400554E-8 | 4.4400554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.405766E-7 | 5.405766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.405753E-6 | 5.405753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 2.4474296E-9 | 2.4474296E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.0488982E-8 | 1.0488982E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.2770336E-7 | 1.2770336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.2770329E-6 | 1.2770329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 2.8497969E-5 | 3.3534367 | 2.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6420184E-5 | 7.641873E-5 | 2.098252 | 4.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4334316E-4 | 4.8332542E-4 | 1.0901836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044263224 | 0.004486057 | 1.0134953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 2.6082387E-5 | 1.6217821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.0579017E-4 | 1.0510646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 2.6082387E-5 | 1.6217821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.0579017E-4 | 1.0510646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 1.4353969E-5 | 3.2967217 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 6.300958E-5 | 1.1886332 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3010107E-4 | 5.400958E-4 | 1.0188544 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.228442E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 5.9869173E-5 | 3.0130482 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3835446E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 1.2515088E-4 | 1.4696956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016831639 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010762279 | 1.03856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016704723 | 0.01061703 | 0.010666499 | 1.0046594 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.226985E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 5.9869173E-5 | 3.0130482 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3829203E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 1.2515088E-4 | 1.4696956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001682405 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010762279 | 1.03856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016697248 | 0.01061703 | 0.010666499 | 1.0046594 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2120504E-5 | 1.9869969E-5 | 5.9869173E-5 | 3.0130482 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3765205E-4 | 8.5154286E-5 | 1.2515088E-4 | 1.4696956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016746253 | 0.0010362694 | 0.0010762279 | 1.03856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016620617 | 0.01061703 | 0.010666499 | 1.0046594 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.206246E-5 | 1.9826055E-5 | 5.9825263E-5 | 3.017507 | 4.0E-5 | 1.374033E-4 | 8.496609E-5 | 1.249627E-4 | 1.470736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016716016 | 0.0010339802 | 0.0010739388 | 1.0386455 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016590832 | 0.010594481 | 0.010643951 | 1.0046694 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 1.9792162E-5 | 5.979137E-5 | 3.020962 | 4.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 8.4820844E-5 | 1.2481745E-4 | 1.4715422 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0010322136 | 0.0010721723 | 1.0387117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.010577155 | 0.010626626 | 1.0046772 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 1.9532206E-5 | 5.9531423E-5 | 3.04786 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 8.3706815E-5 | 1.2370347E-4 | 1.4778184 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0010186629 | 0.0010586223 | 1.0392271 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.010443532 | 0.01049301 | 1.0047376 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 1.9379582E-5 | 5.9378806E-5 | 3.063988 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 8.305276E-5 | 1.2304944E-4 | 1.4815816 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0010107072 | 0.0010506668 | 1.0395362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.010365069 | 0.010414551 | 1.0047739 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 1.9010247E-5 | 5.9009486E-5 | 3.1040883 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 8.1469996E-5 | 1.21466735E-4 | 1.4909383 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 9.914547E-4 | 0.0010314151 | 1.0403048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.010175064 | 0.010224555 | 1.004864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 1.8843368E-5 | 5.8842616E-5 | 3.1227229 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 8.075484E-5 | 1.2075161E-4 | 1.4952863 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 9.827556E-4 | 0.0010227163 | 1.0406619 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.010088218 | 0.010137714 | 1.0049063 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 1.4797885E-5 | 5.4797292E-5 | 3.703049 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 6.341798E-5 | 1.0341545E-4 | 1.6306959 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 7.718429E-4 | 8.1181206E-4 | 1.051784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.0079620555 | 0.008011657 | 1.0062298 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.33958565E-5 | 5.339532E-5 | 3.9859579 | 4.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 5.740956E-5 | 9.740726E-5 | 1.6967081 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 6.9873885E-4 | 7.387109E-4 | 1.057206 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.007218693 | 0.007268332 | 1.0068765 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.3243312E-5 | 5.3242784E-5 | 4.0203524 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 5.675583E-5 | 9.675356E-5 | 1.7047334 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 6.907848E-4 | 7.3075714E-4 | 1.0578651 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.007139279 | 0.0071889223 | 1.0069535 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.2543086E-5 | 5.2542586E-5 | 4.1889677 | 4.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 5.3754982E-5 | 9.375283E-5 | 1.7440771 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 6.5427186E-4 | 6.942457E-4 | 1.0610967 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.0067731184 | 0.00682278 | 1.0073321 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.1496899E-5 | 5.1496438E-5 | 4.479159 | 4.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 4.92715E-5 | 8.926953E-5 | 1.8117883 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 5.997166E-4 | 6.3969265E-4 | 1.0666581 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.0062255417 | 0.00627523 | 1.0079814 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.1322907E-5 | 5.1322455E-5 | 4.532622 | 4.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 4.8525846E-5 | 8.8523906E-5 | 1.824263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 5.9064326E-4 | 6.3061964E-4 | 1.0676827 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.006134232 | 0.006183925 | 1.008101 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.0989722E-5 | 5.098928E-5 | 4.6397247 | 4.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 4.709796E-5 | 8.709608E-5 | 1.8492537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 5.73268E-4 | 6.1324507E-4 | 1.0697354 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.005958205 | 0.0060079074 | 1.0083418 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 9.869514E-6 | 4.986912E-5 | 5.052845 | 4.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 4.2297233E-5 | 8.229554E-5 | 1.9456483 | 4.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 5.1484816E-4 | 5.5482757E-4 | 1.0776528 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.0053666774 | 0.005416409 | 1.0092667 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 7.970792E-6 | 4.7970472E-5 | 6.0182824 | 4.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 3.416009E-5 | 7.415872E-5 | 2.1709173 | 4.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 4.1582E-4 | 4.5580335E-4 | 1.0961555 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.0043676845 | 0.004417466 | 1.0113977 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 6.661645E-6 | 4.666138E-5 | 7.004483 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3574146E-5 | 2.8549593E-5 | 6.8548456E-5 | 2.4010308 | 4.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 3.4753603E-4 | 3.8752213E-4 | 1.115056 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.0036748736 | 0.0037246898 | 1.0135559 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 4.59787E-6 | 3.459773E-5 | 7.52473 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0975072E-5 | 1.9705009E-5 | 4.9704417E-5 | 2.5224254 | 3.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 2.398822E-4 | 2.6987502E-4 | 1.1250314 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0025804034 | 0.0026203 | 1.0154614 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 3.6845422E-6 | 1.3684506E-5 | 3.7140315 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4358076E-5 | 1.57908E-5 | 2.5790643E-5 | 1.6332701 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1822926E-4 | 1.9223614E-4 | 2.0223422E-4 | 1.0520093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.002088953 | 0.0020989322 | 1.0047771 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 2.8017735E-6 | 1.28017455E-5 | 4.569158 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8036617E-5 | 1.2007546E-5 | 2.2007425E-5 | 1.8327997 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4129233E-4 | 1.4618217E-4 | 1.561807E-4 | 1.0683978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0015975888 | 0.0016075728 | 1.0062494 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 2.0638223E-7 | 2.0638223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 8.8449497E-7 | 8.8449497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 1.0768675E-5 | 1.0768675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 1.291672E-4 | 1.291672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 9.686525E-9 | 9.686525E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 4.151368E-8 | 4.151368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 5.0542894E-7 | 5.0542894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 6.336597E-6 | 6.336597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 2.8657263E-5 | 3.3101327 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 5.7102086E-5 | 1.5390224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.916257E-4 | 1.0885254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.004579068 | 1.0109892 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 2.8657263E-5 | 3.3101327 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 5.7102086E-5 | 1.5390224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.916257E-4 | 1.0885254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.004579068 | 1.0109892 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 2.8657263E-5 | 3.3101327 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 5.7102086E-5 | 1.5390224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.916257E-4 | 1.0885254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.004579068 | 1.0109892 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657436E-6 | 2.8657263E-5 | 3.3101327 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.710283E-5 | 5.7102086E-5 | 1.5390224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164375E-4 | 4.916257E-4 | 1.0885254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045292946 | 0.004579068 | 1.0109892 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.94614E-6 | 2.494604E-5 | 5.043537 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197577E-5 | 4.1197152E-5 | 1.9434841 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.580509E-4 | 2.9804057E-4 | 1.1549681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0025986563 | 0.0026485263 | 1.0191907 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.94614E-6 | 2.494604E-5 | 5.043537 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197577E-5 | 4.1197152E-5 | 1.9434841 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.580509E-4 | 2.9804057E-4 | 1.1549681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0025986563 | 0.0026485263 | 1.0191907 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 4.6309524E-6 | 2.463086E-5 | 5.318746 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 1.9846793E-5 | 3.9846396E-5 | 2.0076995 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 2.416088E-4 | 2.8159915E-4 | 1.1655169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0024346004 | 0.0024745031 | 1.0163898 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 3.929806E-6 | 2.3929728E-5 | 6.0892897 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 1.6841917E-5 | 3.6841582E-5 | 2.187493 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.0503133E-4 | 2.4502314E-4 | 1.1950521 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0020695084 | 0.0021094256 | 1.0192883 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 3.8527337E-6 | 2.3852657E-5 | 6.191099 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 1.6511613E-5 | 3.6511283E-5 | 2.2112486 | 2.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.0101061E-4 | 2.4100256E-4 | 1.1989545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0020293747 | 0.0020692935 | 1.0196705 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 3.5618268E-6 | 2.3561755E-5 | 6.615076 | 2.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 1.5264884E-5 | 3.526458E-5 | 2.3101766 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 1.8583433E-4 | 2.2582691E-4 | 1.2152054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0018778754 | 0.0019178004 | 1.0212606 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 3.2633704E-6 | 2.3263305E-5 | 7.128613 | 2.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.3985799E-5 | 3.398552E-5 | 2.430002 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 1.70264E-4 | 2.1025719E-4 | 1.2348893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0017224218 | 0.0017623529 | 1.0231831 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 2.971631E-6 | 2.2971572E-5 | 7.730291 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.2735501E-5 | 3.2735246E-5 | 2.5703933 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 1.5504386E-4 | 1.9503766E-4 | 1.2579515 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0015704458 | 0.001610383 | 1.0254304 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 2.6028256E-6 | 2.2602773E-5 | 8.683937 | 2.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.115492E-5 | 3.1154697E-5 | 2.7929108 | 2.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.3580284E-4 | 1.6579876E-4 | 1.2208785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.001378303 | 0.0014082617 | 1.0217359 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 2.2076622E-6 | 2.2207618E-5 | 10.059337 | 2.0E-5 | 8.815376E-6 | 9.461376E-6 | 2.9461187E-5 | 3.1138375 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.15186296E-4 | 1.4518284E-4 | 1.2604177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0011723994 | 0.0012023642 | 1.0255586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 1.8469145E-6 | 2.1846878E-5 | 11.828852 | 2.0E-5 | 7.738263E-6 | 7.915325E-6 | 2.7915166E-5 | 3.526724 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4209274E-5 | 9.6364936E-5 | 1.2636204E-4 | 1.3112866 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 9.843907E-4 | 0.0010143613 | 1.0304457 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 1.4677173E-6 | 2.1467687E-5 | 14.626582 | 2.0E-5 | 6.292889E-6 | 6.2902022E-6 | 2.6290076E-5 | 4.179528 | 2.0E-5 | 7.661323E-5 | 7.6580596E-5 | 1.0657829E-4 | 1.3917142 | 3.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 7.86686E-4 | 8.1666245E-4 | 1.0381047 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 9.572432E-7 | 2.0957224E-5 | 21.893312 | 2.0E-5 | 4.201745E-6 | 4.1024646E-6 | 2.4102383E-5 | 5.875098 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1155046E-5 | 4.9946386E-5 | 7.994489E-5 | 1.6006141 | 3.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 5.204607E-4 | 5.5044505E-4 | 1.0576112 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 7.0038897E-7 | 1.0700382E-5 | 15.277771 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1471714E-6 | 3.0016636E-6 | 1.3001633E-5 | 4.331476 | 1.0E-5 | 3.831614E-5 | 3.6544643E-5 | 4.654428E-5 | 1.2736279 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8309532E-4 | 3.863915E-4 | 3.9638765E-4 | 1.0258704 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 6.307972E-7 | 1.0630791E-5 | 16.852945 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7575045E-6 | 2.7034139E-6 | 1.2703387E-5 | 4.6990166 | 1.0E-5 | 3.35721E-5 | 3.291357E-5 | 4.291324E-5 | 1.3038161 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3567028E-4 | 3.495566E-4 | 3.595531E-4 | 1.0285977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 3.053177E-7 | 3.053177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 1.3085038E-6 | 1.3085038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 1.5930918E-5 | 1.5930918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 1.6961036E-4 | 1.6961036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 1.5745131E-8 | 1.5745131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 6.7479135E-8 | 6.7479135E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 8.2155816E-7 | 8.2155816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 9.162306E-6 | 9.162306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.5273874E-9 | 1.5273874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 6.5459473E-9 | 6.5459473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.96969E-8 | 7.96969E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 1.0128059E-6 | 1.0128059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.3800085E-10 | 3.3800085E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.4485748E-9 | 1.4485748E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.7636397E-8 | 1.7636397E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.3895802E-7 | 2.3895802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 4.489787E-5 | 1.8032454 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.2309338E-4 | 1.0659649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030771012 | 1.0164666 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 4.489787E-5 | 1.8032454 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.2309338E-4 | 1.0659649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030771012 | 1.0164666 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.80967E-6 | 1.5809612E-5 | 2.7212582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.4898369E-5 | 4.489787E-5 | 1.8032454 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0309946E-4 | 3.2309338E-4 | 1.0659649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030272526 | 0.0030771012 | 1.0164666 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.368428E-6 | 1.3368394E-5 | 3.9687338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4436043E-5 | 2.4435898E-5 | 1.6927006 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7574512E-4 | 1.8574337E-4 | 1.0568906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017561081 | 0.001776073 | 1.0113689 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.368428E-6 | 1.3368394E-5 | 3.9687338 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4436043E-5 | 2.4435898E-5 | 1.6927006 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7574512E-4 | 1.8574337E-4 | 1.0568906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017561081 | 0.001776073 | 1.0113689 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8424765E-6 | 2.8424765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2181988E-5 | 1.2181988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4830593E-4 | 1.4830593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014821021 | 0.0014920873 | 1.0067372 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3691787E-6 | 2.3691787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0153585E-5 | 1.0153585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2361309E-4 | 1.2361309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012354633 | 0.001245451 | 1.0080842 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0856783E-6 | 2.0856783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.938591E-6 | 8.938591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.08822074E-4 | 1.08822074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010877039 | 0.001097693 | 1.0091836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8813486E-6 | 1.8813486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.062898E-6 | 8.062898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.81615E-5 | 9.81615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.811952E-4 | 9.911855E-4 | 1.0101817 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6736894E-6 | 1.6736894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.1729355E-6 | 7.1729355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.7327106E-5 | 8.7327106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7293907E-4 | 8.829303E-4 | 1.0114455 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2426154E-6 | 1.2426154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.325484E-6 | 5.325484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.483586E-5 | 6.483586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.4817176E-4 | 6.5816526E-4 | 1.015418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0873173E-6 | 1.0873173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.659923E-6 | 4.659923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.6733094E-5 | 5.6733094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.67187E-4 | 5.771813E-4 | 1.0176209 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0410623E-6 | 1.0410623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.461688E-6 | 4.461688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4319706E-5 | 5.4319706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4306514E-4 | 5.530597E-4 | 1.018404 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.692815E-7 | 9.692815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.154057E-6 | 4.154057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.057448E-5 | 5.057448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0563045E-4 | 5.156254E-4 | 1.0197673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.134946E-7 | 9.134946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.914971E-6 | 3.914971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.7663736E-5 | 4.7663736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.7653588E-4 | 4.8653112E-4 | 1.0209748 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6043553E-7 | 8.6043553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.6875756E-6 | 3.6875756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.4895314E-5 | 4.4895314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.488632E-4 | 4.588587E-4 | 1.0222685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.8481355E-7 | 7.8481355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3634824E-6 | 3.3634824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.0949635E-5 | 4.0949635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.0942157E-4 | 4.1941748E-4 | 1.0244147 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.793075E-7 | 6.793075E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9113148E-6 | 2.9113148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5444686E-5 | 3.5444686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5439097E-4 | 3.5439097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346503E-5 | 2.3464896E-5 | 1.7426544 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.7706075E-5 | 6.77055E-5 | 1.173282 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0235896E-4 | 7.223449E-4 | 1.0284555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.0070430622 | 0.00709271 | 1.0070492 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.1012249E-5 | 2.101214E-5 | 1.9080697 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 4.7194546E-5 | 5.7194073E-5 | 1.2118789 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 5.744502E-4 | 5.944387E-4 | 1.0347959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.005770785 | 0.0058204965 | 1.0086143 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.0819916E-5 | 2.0819807E-5 | 1.9242116 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 4.637029E-5 | 5.6369823E-5 | 1.2156453 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 5.644201E-4 | 5.8440876E-4 | 1.0354146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.005670998 | 0.005720714 | 1.0087668 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.0448689E-5 | 2.0448584E-5 | 1.9570478 | 1.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 4.4779372E-5 | 5.4778924E-5 | 1.2233071 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 5.450604E-4 | 5.650495E-4 | 1.0366732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0054783574 | 0.0055280835 | 1.0090768 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 8.676511E-6 | 1.8676425E-5 | 2.152527 | 1.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 3.7184553E-5 | 4.718418E-5 | 1.2689189 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 4.5263383E-4 | 4.726248E-4 | 1.0441658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0045580813 | 0.0046078535 | 1.0109196 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 7.0460087E-6 | 1.7045939E-5 | 2.419233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 3.0196854E-5 | 4.019655E-5 | 1.3311503 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 3.6758883E-4 | 3.875815E-4 | 1.0543886 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0037106234 | 0.003760438 | 1.0134249 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 6.7114856E-6 | 1.6711418E-5 | 2.489973 | 1.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 2.8763216E-5 | 3.8762926E-5 | 1.3476562 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 3.5013992E-4 | 3.7013294E-4 | 1.0571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0035366942 | 0.0035865174 | 1.0140874 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 5.2038586E-6 | 1.52038065E-5 | 2.921641 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 2.230208E-5 | 3.2301858E-5 | 1.4483787 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 2.7149738E-4 | 2.9149195E-4 | 1.0736456 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.002752412 | 0.0028022744 | 1.0181159 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 4.4942294E-6 | 1.4494185E-5 | 3.2250655 | 1.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 1.9260859E-5 | 2.9260667E-5 | 1.5191777 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 2.3447884E-4 | 2.5447414E-4 | 1.0852755 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0023830403 | 0.002432921 | 1.0209316 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 2.6844023E-6 | 1.2684375E-5 | 4.725214 | 1.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 1.1504531E-5 | 2.1504417E-5 | 1.8692127 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 1.4005875E-4 | 1.6005595E-4 | 1.1427772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.001440185 | 0.001490113 | 1.0346677 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 2.3549164E-6 | 1.23548925E-5 | 5.246425 | 1.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.009246E-5 | 2.0092359E-5 | 1.9908288 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 1.2286883E-4 | 1.4286637E-4 | 1.1627553 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0012685715 | 0.0013185081 | 1.0393645 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 1.9607332E-6 | 1.1960714E-5 | 6.100123 | 1.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 8.403115E-6 | 1.8403032E-5 | 2.1900249 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 1.0230315E-4 | 1.223011E-4 | 1.1954774 | 2.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0010632379 | 0.0011131847 | 1.0469762 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 1.8986012E-6 | 1.1898583E-5 | 6.2670255 | 1.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 8.136837E-6 | 1.8136756E-5 | 2.2289689 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 9.906151E-5 | 1.1905953E-4 | 1.2018747 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.001030812 | 0.0010807605 | 1.0484555 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 1.7281411E-6 | 1.7281411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 7.406298E-6 | 7.406298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 9.016797E-5 | 1.0016707E-4 | 1.1108941 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 9.40165E-4 | 9.801275E-4 | 1.0425057 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 1.3543902E-6 | 1.3543902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 5.8045166E-6 | 5.8045166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 7.066771E-5 | 8.066701E-5 | 1.1414974 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 7.397189E-4 | 7.696967E-4 | 1.0405259 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 2.224763E-7 | 2.224763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 9.534695E-7 | 9.534695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 1.1608431E-5 | 1.1608431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 1.2260007E-4 | 1.2260007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 2.0893092E-8 | 2.0893092E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 8.954182E-8 | 8.954182E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 1.0901712E-6 | 1.0901712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 1.30717535E-5 | 1.30717535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 3.6113734E-9 | 3.6113734E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.5477315E-8 | 1.5477315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.884363E-7 | 1.884363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 2.3521034E-6 | 2.3521034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4873959E-5 | 2.487381E-5 | 1.672306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.374399E-5 | 8.3742714E-5 | 1.313735 | 2.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.758086E-4 | 8.0578536E-4 | 1.0386393 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.0077789007 | 0.007828511 | 1.0063777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 1.4869088E-5 | 2.486894E-5 | 1.6725262 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 6.372311E-5 | 8.372184E-5 | 1.3138379 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 7.755546E-4 | 8.0553134E-4 | 1.038652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.0077763787 | 0.00782599 | 1.0063797 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 1.4845097E-5 | 2.4844949E-5 | 1.6736131 | 1.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 6.3620304E-5 | 8.361903E-5 | 1.314345 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 7.743038E-4 | 8.042806E-4 | 1.0387145 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.0077639576 | 0.00781357 | 1.00639 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 1.46957245E-5 | 2.4695577E-5 | 1.68046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 6.2980165E-5 | 8.2978906E-5 | 1.3175403 | 2.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 7.665156E-4 | 7.964926E-4 | 1.0391082 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.007686616 | 0.0077362317 | 1.0064548 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 1.4656732E-5 | 2.4656585E-5 | 1.6822703 | 1.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 6.2813066E-5 | 8.2811806E-5 | 1.3183851 | 2.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 7.6448254E-4 | 7.944596E-4 | 1.0392122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.0076664262 | 0.007716043 | 1.006472 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 1.4126339E-5 | 2.4126197E-5 | 1.7078875 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 6.0540056E-5 | 8.053885E-5 | 1.3303398 | 2.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 7.368275E-4 | 7.668054E-4 | 1.040685 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.007391724 | 0.0074413544 | 1.0067143 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 1.407457E-5 | 2.4074428E-5 | 1.7104913 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 6.0318198E-5 | 8.031699E-5 | 1.3315549 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 7.341282E-4 | 7.641061E-4 | 1.0408348 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.00736491 | 0.0074145417 | 1.0067389 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 1.3507213E-5 | 2.3507078E-5 | 1.7403352 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 5.788678E-5 | 7.788562E-5 | 1.345482 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 7.0454506E-4 | 7.345239E-4 | 1.0425507 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.007070992 | 0.0071206386 | 1.0070212 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 1.338849E-5 | 2.3388357E-5 | 1.7469002 | 1.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 5.7377987E-5 | 7.737684E-5 | 1.3485457 | 2.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 6.983545E-4 | 7.2833354E-4 | 1.0429281 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.0070094895 | 0.007059139 | 1.0070832 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 1.2882456E-5 | 2.2882326E-5 | 1.7762395 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 5.5209366E-5 | 7.520826E-5 | 1.3622373 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 6.7196804E-4 | 7.019479E-4 | 1.044615 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.0067472756 | 0.0067969384 | 1.0073603 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.1974523E-5 | 2.1974403E-5 | 1.8350964 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 5.131838E-5 | 7.131735E-5 | 1.3897039 | 2.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 6.246233E-4 | 6.546046E-4 | 1.0479989 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.0062755113 | 0.0063251974 | 1.0079175 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.1534035E-5 | 2.153392E-5 | 1.8669893 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 4.9430648E-5 | 6.942966E-5 | 1.4045873 | 2.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 6.016531E-4 | 6.316351E-4 | 1.0498326 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.006047079 | 0.006096776 | 1.0082184 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 9.415184E-6 | 1.9415089E-5 | 2.0621042 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 4.0350165E-5 | 6.034936E-5 | 1.4956409 | 2.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 4.911534E-4 | 5.2113866E-4 | 1.0610508 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.0049474034 | 0.004997156 | 1.0100563 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 5.6176477E-6 | 1.5617592E-5 | 2.7800946 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 2.407541E-5 | 4.4074928E-5 | 1.8307031 | 2.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 2.9307872E-4 | 3.1307287E-4 | 1.0682211 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0029732233 | 0.0030131044 | 1.0134134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 4.0012387E-6 | 1.4001199E-5 | 3.4992158 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 1.7148053E-5 | 3.714771E-5 | 2.1662931 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 2.0875757E-4 | 2.287534E-4 | 1.0957849 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0021279163 | 0.0021678314 | 1.0187577 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 2.2103363E-6 | 1.2210315E-5 | 5.524188 | 1.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 9.472836E-6 | 1.947274E-5 | 2.0556402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 1.15325674E-4 | 1.2532453E-4 | 1.0867009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0011696956 | 0.001179684 | 1.0085392 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 8.994977E-7 | 1.0899489E-5 | 12.117306 | 1.0E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 3.8549842E-6 | 1.3854946E-5 | 3.5940342 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 4.6933426E-5 | 5.6932957E-5 | 1.2130578 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 4.77813E-4 | 4.8780823E-4 | 1.0209187 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 1.12239235E-7 | 1.12239235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 4.810252E-7 | 4.810252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 5.856466E-6 | 5.856466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 6.18383E-5 | 6.18383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 1.8049045E-8 | 1.8049045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 7.735305E-8 | 7.735305E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 9.4177295E-7 | 9.4177295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 1.0168614E-5 | 1.0168614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Vicente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 1.0383998E-5 | 27.041487 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 2.164569E-5 | 13.152686 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 4.003611E-5 | 1.9981577 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034773E-4 | 2.503377E-4 | 1.2495161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 1.0383998E-5 | 27.041487 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 2.164569E-5 | 13.152686 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 4.003611E-5 | 1.9981577 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034773E-4 | 2.503377E-4 | 1.2495161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.674567E-7 | 1.0367453E-5 | 28.21408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 2.1574782E-5 | 13.699897 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 3.917281E-5 | 2.0431032 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.4170644E-4 | 1.2607524 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.674567E-7 | 1.0367453E-5 | 28.21408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 2.1574782E-5 | 13.699897 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 3.917281E-5 | 2.0431032 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.4170644E-4 | 1.2607524 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0298014E-5 | 34.55517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772133E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 3.5549652E-5 | 2.286157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.5548879E-4 | 1.8548412E-4 | 1.19291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0298014E-5 | 34.55517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772133E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 3.5549652E-5 | 2.286157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.5548879E-4 | 1.8548412E-4 | 1.19291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1973437E-7 | 2.9494197E-7 | 1.0294939E-5 | 34.904964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3702895E-6 | 1.2640363E-6 | 2.1264012E-5 | 16.82231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6683147E-5 | 1.5389534E-5 | 3.5389225E-5 | 2.2995646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6681894E-4 | 1.5388474E-4 | 1.8388013E-4 | 1.1949211 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0841164E-7 | 2.8355586E-7 | 1.0283553E-5 | 36.266407 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3217634E-6 | 1.2152389E-6 | 1.1215227E-5 | 9.228826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6092352E-5 | 1.4795432E-5 | 2.4795285E-5 | 1.6758742 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6091186E-4 | 1.4794452E-4 | 1.6794156E-4 | 1.1351658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.883202E-7 | 2.633195E-7 | 1.0263317E-5 | 38.97667 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2356575E-6 | 1.1285116E-6 | 1.1128501E-5 | 9.861219 | 1.0E-5 | 1.50440255E-5 | 1.3739543E-5 | 2.3739405E-5 | 1.7278163 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5043007E-4 | 1.3738696E-4 | 1.5738422E-4 | 1.1455542 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.66663E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 1.0241483E-5 | 42.410225 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1428409E-6 | 1.0349404E-6 | 1.103493E-5 | 10.662382 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3914E-5 | 1.2600326E-5 | 2.26002E-5 | 1.7936202 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3913128E-4 | 1.2599614E-4 | 1.4599362E-4 | 1.158715 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3733546E-7 | 2.1209026E-7 | 1.02120885E-5 | 48.149727 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0171515E-6 | 9.089579E-7 | 1.0908949E-5 | 12.0016 | 1.0E-5 | 1.238375E-5 | 1.1066506E-5 | 2.1066395E-5 | 1.9036176 | 1.0E-5 | 1.238306E-4 | 1.1065956E-4 | 1.3065735E-4 | 1.1807145 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.123689E-7 | 1.8709768E-7 | 1.01870955E-5 | 54.448006 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1015215E-7 | 8.018469E-7 | 1.08018385E-5 | 13.471198 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1081046E-5 | 9.7624425E-6 | 1.9762345E-5 | 2.024324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1080493E-4 | 9.762014E-5 | 1.1761819E-4 | 1.2048558 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8244859E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 1.0157196E-5 | 64.614426 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8192227E-7 | 6.737014E-7 | 1.0673694E-5 | 15.843362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.519862E-6 | 8.2022825E-6 | 1.8202201E-5 | 2.2191627 | 1.0E-5 | 9.519454E-5 | 8.201981E-5 | 1.02018166E-4 | 1.2438235 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.611936E-7 | 1.3784177E-7 | 1.013784E-5 | 73.546936 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9082955E-7 | 5.907503E-7 | 1.0590745E-5 | 17.927616 | 1.0E-5 | 8.410817E-6 | 7.192361E-6 | 1.719229E-5 | 2.3903542 | 1.0E-5 | 8.410499E-5 | 7.1921284E-5 | 9.191985E-5 | 1.2780617 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.414892E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 1.0120829E-5 | 83.760925 | 1.0E-5 | 6.063821E-7 | 5.178425E-7 | 1.0517837E-5 | 20.31088 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3826773E-6 | 6.304714E-6 | 1.6304652E-5 | 2.5861046 | 1.0E-5 | 7.382432E-5 | 6.304536E-5 | 7.304473E-5 | 1.1586059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0709291E-7 | 9.0604225E-8 | 1.0090604E-5 | 111.37012 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5896954E-7 | 3.8830376E-7 | 1.03883E-5 | 26.753025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5879395E-6 | 4.727588E-6 | 1.47275405E-5 | 3.1152337 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5877994E-5 | 4.7274876E-5 | 5.7274403E-5 | 1.2115189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.746737E-8 | 5.3744337E-8 | 5.3744337E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8914585E-7 | 2.3033286E-7 | 2.3033286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5203448E-6 | 2.804299E-6 | 2.804299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.520289E-5 | 2.8042637E-5 | 2.8042637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8940264E-8 | 1.8494754E-8 | 1.8494754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.240297E-7 | 7.926322E-8 | 7.926322E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100605E-6 | 9.650292E-7 | 9.650292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100502E-5 | 9.650252E-6 | 9.650252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0151455E-8 | 5.9531127E-9 | 5.9531127E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3506233E-8 | 2.5513335E-8 | 2.5513335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.296883E-7 | 3.1062484E-7 | 3.1062484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2968703E-6 | 3.106244E-6 | 3.106244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 3.815462E-5 | 2.101606 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 9.78033E-5 | 1.2570333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 9.768521E-4 | 1.0316529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.009487446 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 3.815462E-5 | 2.101606 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 9.78033E-5 | 1.2570333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 9.768521E-4 | 1.0316529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.009487446 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154984E-5 | 3.815462E-5 | 2.101606 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.7804856E-5 | 9.78033E-5 | 1.2570333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688055E-4 | 9.768521E-4 | 1.0316529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.009437919 | 0.009487446 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 8.750641E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.008467397 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 8.750641E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.008467397 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202543E-5 | 3.620222E-5 | 2.234354 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.94377E-5 | 8.943631E-5 | 1.288008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450895E-4 | 8.750641E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0084277345 | 0.008467397 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.5502152E-5 | 3.5501842E-5 | 2.2901235 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2234634E-5 | 6.643618E-5 | 8.643485E-5 | 1.3010207 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.0857374E-4 | 8.3854946E-4 | 1.0370724 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008065316 | 0.008104994 | 1.0049195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.3452425E-5 | 3.3452157E-5 | 2.4867008 | 2.0E-5 | 7.546184E-5 | 5.7652025E-5 | 7.7650875E-5 | 1.3468889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.016955E-4 | 7.316745E-4 | 1.0427235 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.0070021614 | 0.0070418813 | 1.0056726 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.2628612E-5 | 3.262836E-5 | 2.5836854 | 2.0E-5 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.412154E-5 | 7.412046E-5 | 1.3695186 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8517193E-4 | 6.5873796E-4 | 6.8871817E-4 | 1.0455116 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.006573807 | 0.0066135437 | 1.0060447 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.175066E-5 | 3.1750424E-5 | 2.702012 | 2.0E-5 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.0359035E-5 | 7.035803E-5 | 1.3971282 | 2.0E-5 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.1295537E-4 | 6.4293697E-4 | 1.0489132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006118243 | 0.0061579985 | 1.0064979 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 9.538158E-6 | 2.9537967E-5 | 3.0968208 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.0877192E-5 | 6.0876373E-5 | 1.4892504 | 2.0E-5 | 6.944992E-4 | 4.975684E-4 | 5.2755343E-4 | 1.0602633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.0049682176 | 0.005008019 | 1.0080112 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.081994E-6 | 1.9081903E-5 | 2.1010697 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5136024E-5 | 3.8922262E-5 | 4.8921873E-5 | 1.2569124 | 1.0E-5 | 6.710743E-4 | 4.7377762E-4 | 4.9376814E-4 | 1.0421939 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0047307923 | 0.0047606505 | 1.0063114 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 7.911785E-6 | 7.911785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.3907218E-5 | 3.3907218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.1274366E-4 | 4.1274366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004121066 | 0.004131025 | 1.0024166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 6.614794E-6 | 6.614794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 2.8348817E-5 | 2.8348817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.450934E-4 | 3.450934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.0034458833 | 0.0034558487 | 1.002892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 5.8981514E-6 | 5.8981514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.5277554E-5 | 2.5277554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.0771192E-4 | 3.0771192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0030729824 | 0.0030829518 | 1.0032442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 4.953509E-6 | 4.953509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.1229156E-5 | 2.1229156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.584354E-4 | 2.584354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0025814555 | 0.0025814555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.2973743E-6 | 4.2973743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 1.8417195E-5 | 1.8417195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.2420727E-4 | 2.2420727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0022399086 | 0.0022399086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.1180194E-6 | 2.1180194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.077197E-6 | 9.077197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.105099E-4 | 1.105099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0011046107 | 0.0011046107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.558292E-8 | 8.558292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 3.667839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.4655876E-6 | 4.4655876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.4655248E-5 | 4.4655248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anaheim
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9952497E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551043E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.04103965E-4 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010405522 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.7986705E-4 | 1.0793278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.7986705E-4 | 1.0793278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 2.5174855E-5 | 4.864745 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 9.3001814E-5 | 1.4761325 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.7986705E-4 | 1.0793278 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.2887829E-5 | 7.9254594 | 2.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 6.515845E-5 | 1.8532243 | 3.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.9153057E-4 | 1.1137435 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.2887829E-5 | 7.9254594 | 2.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 6.515845E-5 | 1.8532243 | 3.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.9153057E-4 | 1.1137435 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.6792273E-7 | 6.6792273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.8625232E-6 | 2.2862467E-5 | 7.986823 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.4850713E-5 | 6.484967E-5 | 1.8607845 | 3.0E-5 | 5.938936E-4 | 3.4845766E-4 | 3.8844373E-4 | 1.1147516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.45777E-7 | 6.45777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.767613E-6 | 2.2767557E-5 | 8.226424 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.3695218E-5 | 6.3694206E-5 | 1.890304 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8243104E-4 | 3.3690623E-4 | 3.7689277E-4 | 1.1186874 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.390098E-7 | 6.390098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.7386106E-6 | 2.2738555E-5 | 8.302953 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.3342127E-5 | 6.3341125E-5 | 1.8997326 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7892315E-4 | 3.3337637E-4 | 3.7336306E-4 | 1.1199445 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.369333E-7 | 6.369333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.7297115E-6 | 2.2729657E-5 | 8.326761 | 2.0E-5 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.3233784E-5 | 6.323279E-5 | 1.9026659 | 3.0E-5 | 5.77846E-4 | 3.3229325E-4 | 3.7227996E-4 | 1.1203356 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.315974E-7 | 6.315974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.7068434E-6 | 2.2706789E-5 | 8.38866 | 2.0E-5 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.2955373E-5 | 6.295439E-5 | 1.910292 | 3.0E-5 | 5.750759E-4 | 3.2950996E-4 | 3.694968E-4 | 1.1213524 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.290331E-7 | 6.290331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.6958535E-6 | 2.26958E-5 | 8.41878 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.2821576E-5 | 6.282059E-5 | 1.9140029 | 3.0E-5 | 5.734383E-4 | 3.281724E-4 | 3.6815926E-4 | 1.1218472 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8131448E-6 | 1.1813127E-5 | 6.5152693 | 1.0E-5 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.2074835E-5 | 4.2074393E-5 | 1.905989 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3480762E-4 | 2.2072847E-4 | 2.4072407E-4 | 1.090589 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.6445329E-6 | 1.1644516E-5 | 7.080744 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.0022024E-5 | 4.0021623E-5 | 1.99888 | 2.0E-5 | 4.066187E-4 | 2.0020407E-4 | 2.2020006E-4 | 1.0998781 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0519229E-6 | 1.1051912E-5 | 10.506391 | 1.0E-5 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.2807098E-5 | 3.280684E-5 | 2.561614 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6174777E-4 | 1.2806474E-4 | 1.4806217E-4 | 1.156151 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.102462E-7 | 5.102462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.2122367E-6 | 1.6212174E-5 | 2.6097162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2526344E-4 | 6.212133E-5 | 7.212071E-5 | 1.1609653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.2621267E-7 | 8.2621267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573345E-5 | 8.2621045E-6 | 8.2621045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759697E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8754645E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 5.5709577E-5 | 3.5460756 | 4.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 1.0732503E-4 | 1.5940689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 5.5709577E-5 | 3.5460756 | 4.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 1.0732503E-4 | 1.5940689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 5.5709577E-5 | 3.5460756 | 4.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 1.0732503E-4 | 1.5940689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 5.5709577E-5 | 3.5460756 | 4.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 1.0732503E-4 | 1.5940689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710206E-5 | 5.5709577E-5 | 3.5460756 | 4.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7327725E-5 | 1.0732503E-4 | 1.5940689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.1940845E-4 | 8.593757E-4 | 1.0487757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008458946 | 0.008508523 | 1.0058609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 5.5647095E-5 | 3.5562427 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.705995E-5 | 1.0705727E-4 | 1.5964413 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.1615074E-4 | 8.561181E-4 | 1.0489706 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426618 | 0.008476197 | 1.0058836 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647722E-5 | 5.5647095E-5 | 3.5562427 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.705995E-5 | 1.0705727E-4 | 1.5964413 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.1615074E-4 | 8.561181E-4 | 1.0489706 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426618 | 0.008476197 | 1.0058836 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 1.5576426E-5 | 5.5575805E-5 | 3.5679429 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 6.6754415E-5 | 1.0675175E-4 | 1.5991713 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 8.124337E-4 | 8.524012E-4 | 1.0491948 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.008389709 | 0.008439289 | 1.0059097 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 1.5499534E-5 | 5.5498913E-5 | 3.5806828 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 6.6424895E-5 | 1.0642224E-4 | 1.6021439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 8.084247E-4 | 8.483924E-4 | 1.049439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.008349746 | 0.008399327 | 1.0059382 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 1.5426702E-5 | 5.5426084E-5 | 3.592867 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 6.611277E-5 | 1.0611013E-4 | 1.6049868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 8.0462743E-4 | 8.4459526E-4 | 1.0496725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.008311863 | 0.008361448 | 1.0059655 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 1.502157E-5 | 5.502097E-5 | 3.6627975 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 6.4376574E-5 | 1.04374005E-4 | 1.621304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 7.835046E-4 | 8.2347327E-4 | 1.0510126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.008101562 | 0.008151157 | 1.0061216 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 1.4860489E-5 | 5.4859895E-5 | 3.6916616 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 6.368626E-5 | 1.0368371E-4 | 1.6280389 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 7.75106E-4 | 8.15075E-4 | 1.0515659 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.008017744 | 0.008067343 | 1.0061861 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 1.413291E-5 | 5.4132346E-5 | 3.8302333 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 6.0568218E-5 | 1.005658E-4 | 1.6603724 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 7.3717005E-4 | 7.7714055E-4 | 1.0542215 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.007637601 | 0.007687219 | 1.0064965 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 1.3002423E-5 | 5.3001902E-5 | 4.0763097 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 5.5723485E-5 | 9.5721254E-5 | 1.7177901 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 6.782235E-4 | 7.1819633E-4 | 1.0589377 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.00704602 | 0.007095668 | 1.0070462 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 1.2770401E-5 | 5.276989E-5 | 4.132203 | 4.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 5.472915E-5 | 9.472696E-5 | 1.730832 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 6.6612486E-4 | 7.060982E-4 | 1.0600088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.0069242395 | 0.006973893 | 1.007171 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 1.2376186E-5 | 5.237569E-5 | 4.2319736 | 4.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 5.3039726E-5 | 9.3037605E-5 | 1.7541118 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 6.4556854E-4 | 6.855427E-4 | 1.0619209 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.006716367 | 0.006766031 | 1.0073946 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.11978325E-5 | 5.1197385E-5 | 4.57208 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 4.7989834E-5 | 8.7987915E-5 | 1.8334699 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 5.841206E-4 | 6.240972E-4 | 1.068439 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.00609486 | 0.0061445553 | 1.0081537 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 9.281346E-6 | 4.9280974E-5 | 5.3096795 | 4.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 3.977659E-5 | 7.9775E-5 | 2.0055766 | 4.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 4.841727E-4 | 5.241533E-4 | 1.0825752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.005087326 | 0.0051370715 | 1.0097784 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 7.865375E-6 | 4.786506E-5 | 6.085541 | 4.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 3.3708315E-5 | 7.3706964E-5 | 2.1866107 | 4.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 4.103216E-4 | 4.503052E-4 | 1.0974445 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.0043387283 | 0.0043885116 | 1.0114741 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 5.477785E-6 | 3.547762E-5 | 6.476636 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 2.3476012E-5 | 5.347531E-5 | 2.2778702 | 3.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 2.8578308E-4 | 3.157745E-4 | 1.1049447 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0030729566 | 0.0031128337 | 1.0129768 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 4.405218E-6 | 1.4405174E-5 | 3.2700253 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 1.887937E-5 | 2.8879182E-5 | 1.5296687 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 2.298322E-4 | 2.398299E-4 | 1.0435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0024952614 | 0.0025052363 | 1.0039976 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 2.935685E-6 | 1.2935656E-5 | 4.40635 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0100724E-5 | 1.2581447E-5 | 2.2581322E-5 | 1.7948111 | 1.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 1.5316845E-4 | 1.6316693E-4 | 1.0652776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0016759658 | 0.001685949 | 1.0059566 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 2.2909046E-7 | 2.2909046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 9.818159E-7 | 9.818159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 1.1953543E-5 | 1.1953543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 1.4381319E-4 | 1.4381319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 1.2995463E-8 | 1.2995463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 5.569484E-8 | 5.569484E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 6.7808446E-7 | 6.7808446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 8.522226E-6 | 8.522226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 5.1698014E-5 | 4.4192066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 9.013341E-5 | 1.7977992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.502072E-4 | 1.0655088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006479751 | 1.007726 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 5.1698014E-5 | 4.4192066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 9.013341E-5 | 1.7977992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.502072E-4 | 1.0655088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006479751 | 1.007726 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 5.1698014E-5 | 4.4192066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 9.013341E-5 | 1.7977992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.502072E-4 | 1.0655088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006479751 | 1.007726 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 5.1698014E-5 | 4.4192066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 9.013341E-5 | 1.7977992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.502072E-4 | 1.0655088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006479751 | 1.007726 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698484E-5 | 5.1698014E-5 | 4.4192066 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135415E-5 | 9.013341E-5 | 1.7977992 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023165E-4 | 6.502072E-4 | 1.0655088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064300722 | 0.006479751 | 1.007726 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095819E-6 | 4.9095455E-5 | 5.3975844 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898151E-5 | 7.897995E-5 | 2.0260875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449808E-4 | 5.144791E-4 | 1.0842596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043558 | 0.0050933054 | 1.0098636 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095819E-6 | 4.9095455E-5 | 5.3975844 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898151E-5 | 7.897995E-5 | 2.0260875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449808E-4 | 5.144791E-4 | 1.0842596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043558 | 0.0050933054 | 1.0098636 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 8.569108E-6 | 4.8568767E-5 | 5.66789 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 3.672424E-5 | 7.672277E-5 | 2.0891588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 4.4702727E-4 | 4.8700938E-4 | 1.08944 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.0047635417 | 0.0048133032 | 1.0104464 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 8.355365E-6 | 4.8355032E-5 | 5.7873034 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 3.580822E-5 | 7.580679E-5 | 2.1170218 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 4.3587925E-4 | 4.758618E-4 | 1.0917286 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.004646457 | 0.0046962244 | 1.0107108 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 8.266087E-6 | 4.8265756E-5 | 5.839009 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 3.5425615E-5 | 7.54242E-5 | 2.1290865 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 4.3122284E-4 | 4.712056E-4 | 1.0927194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.00459695 | 0.0046467204 | 1.0108268 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 7.3422057E-6 | 4.7341913E-5 | 6.447914 | 4.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 3.146622E-5 | 7.1464965E-5 | 2.2711644 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 3.830349E-4 | 4.2301958E-4 | 1.1043891 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.0040865894 | 0.0041363854 | 1.0121851 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 6.531453E-6 | 4.6531193E-5 | 7.1241713 | 4.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 2.7991646E-5 | 6.799053E-5 | 2.4289577 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 3.4074578E-4 | 3.8073215E-4 | 1.1173496 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0036339061 | 0.0036837244 | 1.0137093 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 5.7019147E-6 | 4.5701687E-5 | 8.015147 | 4.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 2.4436553E-5 | 6.4435575E-5 | 2.636852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 2.97475E-4 | 3.374631E-4 | 1.134425 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0031700109 | 0.0032198522 | 1.0157229 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 5.5637233E-6 | 4.55635E-5 | 8.18939 | 4.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 2.3844314E-5 | 6.384336E-5 | 2.6775088 | 4.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 2.9026644E-4 | 3.3025484E-4 | 1.1377645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.00308819 | 0.0031380355 | 1.0161407 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 5.4780985E-6 | 4.547788E-5 | 8.301764 | 4.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 2.3477358E-5 | 6.347642E-5 | 2.7037292 | 4.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 2.8579994E-4 | 3.2578848E-4 | 1.1399181 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0030394224 | 0.0030892706 | 1.0164005 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 5.0214985E-6 | 4.5021297E-5 | 8.96571 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 2.1520535E-5 | 6.151967E-5 | 2.85865 | 4.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 2.6198148E-4 | 3.01971E-4 | 1.1526425 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0027878648 | 0.0028377254 | 1.0178849 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 4.155505E-6 | 4.415534E-5 | 10.625745 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 1.7809187E-5 | 5.7808476E-5 | 3.2459917 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 2.1680548E-4 | 2.567968E-4 | 1.1844572 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.00231927 | 0.0023691542 | 1.0215085 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 3.2611995E-6 | 4.326107E-5 | 13.265386 | 4.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 1.3976494E-5 | 5.3975935E-5 | 3.861908 | 4.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 1.7015057E-4 | 2.1014377E-4 | 1.2350459 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0018439038 | 0.0018938115 | 1.0270663 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 2.7897916E-6 | 4.278968E-5 | 15.337949 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 1.1956195E-5 | 5.1955718E-5 | 4.345506 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 1.4555697E-4 | 1.8555115E-4 | 1.2747664 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.001590022 | 0.0016399425 | 1.0313962 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 2.2031945E-6 | 4.2203108E-5 | 19.155415 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 9.4422285E-6 | 4.944185E-5 | 5.236248 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 1.1495309E-4 | 1.5494849E-4 | 1.347928 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0012756543 | 0.0013255905 | 1.0391456 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 1.7254588E-6 | 3.1725405E-5 | 18.38665 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 7.3948027E-6 | 3.739458E-5 | 5.0568733 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 9.002802E-5 | 1.2002532E-4 | 1.3331996 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0010128025 | 0.001052762 | 1.0394543 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 3.564062E-7 | 3.564062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 1.5274542E-6 | 1.5274542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 1.8596596E-5 | 1.8596596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 2.2143817E-4 | 2.2143817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 9.693613E-8 | 9.693613E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 4.1544047E-7 | 4.1544047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 5.057976E-6 | 5.057976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 6.766323E-5 | 6.766323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.892697E-8 | 3.892697E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.6682986E-7 | 1.6682986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 2.0311518E-6 | 2.0311518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 2.8102135E-5 | 2.8102135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Escarpment
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 3.103102E-5 | 30.09652 | 3.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4187786E-6 | 3.4418645E-5 | 7.789176 | 3.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 9.379521E-5 | 1.7434908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.878229E-4 | 1.0929128 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1722314E-6 | 1.0292401E-6 | 3.102921E-5 | 30.147686 | 3.0E-5 | 5.023839E-6 | 4.411022E-6 | 3.441089E-5 | 7.8011146 | 3.0E-5 | 6.116352E-5 | 5.3702937E-5 | 9.3700786E-5 | 1.7447982 | 4.0E-5 | 6.114669E-4 | 5.3690595E-4 | 5.868791E-4 | 1.0930762 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1515234E-6 | 1.008353E-6 | 2.1008333E-5 | 20.834305 | 2.0E-5 | 4.935091E-6 | 4.321506E-6 | 2.432142E-5 | 5.627996 | 2.0E-5 | 6.008308E-5 | 5.261313E-5 | 8.261155E-5 | 1.5701699 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0066837E-4 | 5.260131E-4 | 5.65992E-4 | 1.0760038 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1103637E-6 | 9.667978E-7 | 2.0966778E-5 | 21.68683 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7586927E-6 | 4.1434128E-6 | 2.414333E-5 | 5.826919 | 2.0E-5 | 5.793554E-5 | 5.0444945E-5 | 8.044343E-5 | 1.5946778 | 3.0E-5 | 5.792044E-4 | 5.0434127E-4 | 5.443211E-4 | 1.0792714 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0425391E-6 | 9.0545143E-7 | 2.0905432E-5 | 23.08841 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4680173E-6 | 3.8805006E-6 | 2.3880422E-5 | 6.153954 | 2.0E-5 | 5.439675E-5 | 4.7244135E-5 | 7.7242716E-5 | 1.6349695 | 3.0E-5 | 5.438344E-4 | 4.723472E-4 | 5.123283E-4 | 1.0846435 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.0184194E-7 | 5.838369E-7 | 1.0583831E-5 | 18.128063 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0078907E-6 | 2.502156E-6 | 1.2502131E-5 | 4.996544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6620455E-5 | 3.0463369E-5 | 5.046276E-5 | 1.6565062 | 2.0E-5 | 3.661442E-4 | 3.0459667E-4 | 3.2459057E-4 | 1.0656406 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0871365E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3230577E-6 | 9.4962166E-7 | 9.4962166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.610811E-5 | 1.1561583E-5 | 2.1561467E-5 | 1.8649235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6106942E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.2560877E-4 | 1.0864878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.7512665E-8 | 4.05028E-8 | 4.05028E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.464828E-7 | 1.7358342E-7 | 1.7358342E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0009242E-6 | 2.1133762E-6 | 2.1133762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0008836E-5 | 2.1133581E-5 | 2.1133581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.040053E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5885942E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.151613E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1516086E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.618514E-5 | 6.4799904E-5 | 7.479926E-5 | 1.1543112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4077125E-4 | 2.7768526E-4 | 2.876825E-4 | 1.036002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029274495 | 0.0033757505 | 0.0034056492 | 1.0088569 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028891841 | 0.033265643 | 0.033304315 | 1.0011624 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0028107355 | 0.0028306793 | 1.0070956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.027767165 | 0.027786609 | 1.0007002 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0020980816 | 1.0096041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020611193 | 1.0009513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0020980816 | 1.0096041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020611193 | 1.0009513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0015965445 | 0.0016165125 | 1.0125071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.01585266 | 0.015872343 | 1.0012416 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0014996136 | 0.0015195836 | 1.0133168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.014896658 | 0.01491636 | 1.0013226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0012863044 | 0.0013062787 | 1.0155284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.012789587 | 0.012809331 | 1.0015438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.001128634 | 0.0011486114 | 1.0177006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.0112296585 | 0.011249434 | 1.001761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010228051 | 0.0010427847 | 1.0195341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010181492 | 0.010201288 | 1.0019443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.0473914E-4 | 9.24721E-4 | 1.0220858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009010963 | 0.009030784 | 1.0021995 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 7.763321E-4 | 7.9631654E-4 | 1.0257422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.007736506 | 0.007756351 | 1.0025651 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.0751534E-4 | 7.1750826E-4 | 1.0141239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007052908 | 0.007062838 | 1.0014079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.2925316E-4 | 6.3924683E-4 | 1.0158819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006274972 | 0.0062849093 | 1.0015836 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0034879397 | 0.0034879397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0028154708 | 0.0028154708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.3123557E-4 | 1.438368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011502962 | 1.035985 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.3123557E-4 | 1.438368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011502962 | 1.035985 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.3123557E-4 | 1.438368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011502962 | 1.035985 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 3.6484555E-5 | 2.2132125 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 1.0064581E-4 | 1.4246109 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.89832E-4 | 1.0348595 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008600842 | 1.0034702 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 3.6484555E-5 | 2.2132125 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 1.0064581E-4 | 1.4246109 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.89832E-4 | 1.0348595 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008600842 | 1.0034702 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.52425955E-5 | 2.5242443E-5 | 1.6560463 | 1.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.53241E-5 | 8.532279E-5 | 1.3061457 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 7.950885E-4 | 8.1507256E-4 | 1.0251344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.00792813 | 0.007947972 | 1.0025027 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4468871E-5 | 2.4468727E-5 | 1.691129 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.2008294E-5 | 8.2007056E-5 | 1.3225175 | 2.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.5474696E-4 | 7.7473186E-4 | 1.026479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007527492 | 0.0075473418 | 1.0026369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 5.997809E-5 | 6.997749E-5 | 1.1667175 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.3004584E-4 | 7.400385E-4 | 1.0136877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0072821057 | 0.007292033 | 1.0013633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0031935778 | 0.0031935778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0024606744 | 0.0024606744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 8.713503E-5 | 1.1296315 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.305488E-4 | 3.505422E-4 | 1.0604855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040184967 | 0.0040384163 | 1.004957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.039518245 | 0.039556663 | 1.0009722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.7135795E-5 | 8.713503E-5 | 1.1296315 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.305488E-4 | 3.505422E-4 | 1.0604855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040184967 | 0.0040384163 | 1.004957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.039518245 | 0.039556663 | 1.0009722 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6963574E-5 | 7.393456E-5 | 8.3933824E-5 | 1.1352447 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4410675E-4 | 3.1683253E-4 | 3.368262E-4 | 1.0631049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029679495 | 0.0038521294 | 0.0038720523 | 1.0051719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029286223 | 0.037915584 | 0.037954066 | 1.001015 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 7.3890646E-5 | 8.388991E-5 | 1.1353251 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.1664438E-4 | 3.3663807E-4 | 1.0631423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0038498468 | 0.0038697699 | 1.005175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.037893657 | 0.037932143 | 1.0010155 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 6.859843E-5 | 7.8597746E-5 | 1.1457659 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 2.9396865E-4 | 3.1396278E-4 | 1.0680145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0035747022 | 0.0035946306 | 1.0055748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.03526917 | 0.03530776 | 1.0010941 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 4.8339978E-5 | 5.8339494E-5 | 1.2068582 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.0716092E-4 | 2.2715676E-4 | 1.0965233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0025203368 | 0.0025402864 | 1.0079155 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.025110573 | 0.025149567 | 1.0015529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 1.8816798E-5 | 2.8816608E-5 | 1.53143 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 8.0641E-5 | 9.06402E-5 | 1.1239964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 9.81376E-4 | 9.913662E-4 | 1.0101798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.01003038 | 0.0100402795 | 1.0009869 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 1.8097933E-5 | 2.8097751E-5 | 1.5525393 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 7.756034E-5 | 8.7559565E-5 | 1.1289219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 9.4390195E-4 | 9.5389254E-4 | 1.0105844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.009658228 | 0.009668131 | 1.0010254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 1.5960964E-5 | 2.5960806E-5 | 1.6265185 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0917746E-4 | 6.840239E-5 | 7.840171E-5 | 1.1461837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 8.3248975E-4 | 8.424814E-4 | 1.0120021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.008543935 | 0.008553849 | 1.0011604 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.1952499E-5 | 2.195238E-5 | 1.8366351 | 1.0E-5 | 9.069123E-5 | 5.1224008E-5 | 6.1223494E-5 | 1.1952109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 6.234762E-4 | 6.3347E-4 | 1.0160291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.0064336993 | 0.006443635 | 1.0015444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.0783458E-5 | 2.078335E-5 | 1.9273363 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037304E-5 | 4.621401E-5 | 5.6213546E-5 | 1.2163746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 5.6251185E-4 | 5.725062E-4 | 1.0177674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.005810571 | 0.005820513 | 1.001711 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.0714749E-5 | 2.0714642E-5 | 1.933283 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0048376E-5 | 4.591955E-5 | 5.5919092E-5 | 1.2177621 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 5.589287E-4 | 5.6892313E-4 | 1.0178814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.0057746447 | 0.005784587 | 1.0017217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.0078759E-5 | 2.0078658E-5 | 1.9921756 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6303106E-5 | 4.3193973E-5 | 5.3193544E-5 | 1.2315037 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 5.2576116E-4 | 5.357559E-4 | 1.0190101 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.005441429 | 0.0054513747 | 1.0018277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 9.28878E-6 | 1.9288687E-5 | 2.0765576 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1070994E-5 | 3.9808456E-5 | 4.980806E-5 | 1.2511929 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 4.8456137E-4 | 4.945565E-4 | 1.0206273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.00502757 | 0.0050375196 | 1.001979 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 9.1647125E-6 | 1.9164621E-5 | 2.0911317 | 1.0E-5 | 7.023047E-5 | 3.9276754E-5 | 4.927636E-5 | 1.2545935 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 4.7809075E-4 | 4.8808596E-4 | 1.0209066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0049625626 | 0.004972513 | 1.0020051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 8.868667E-6 | 1.8868577E-5 | 2.1275551 | 1.0E-5 | 6.767291E-5 | 3.8008024E-5 | 4.8007645E-5 | 1.2630923 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 4.6265058E-4 | 4.7264597E-4 | 1.0216045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.0048059826 | 0.004815934 | 1.0020708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 8.058052E-6 | 1.8057972E-5 | 2.2409847 | 1.0E-5 | 6.106431E-5 | 3.4534056E-5 | 4.453371E-5 | 1.2895592 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 4.20372E-4 | 4.303678E-4 | 1.0237784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.004376932 | 0.0043868884 | 1.0022748 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 6.200618E-6 | 1.6200556E-5 | 2.6127324 | 1.0E-5 | 4.947762E-5 | 2.6573807E-5 | 3.6573543E-5 | 1.3763005 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 3.2348835E-4 | 3.334851E-4 | 1.030903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0033986212 | 0.0034085873 | 1.0029323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 5.049241E-6 | 1.5049191E-5 | 2.9804857 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9167408E-5 | 2.1639426E-5 | 3.163921E-5 | 1.4621094 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 2.6342832E-4 | 2.7342566E-4 | 1.037951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.002788655 | 0.0027986271 | 1.0035759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 3.5056653E-6 | 1.3505631E-5 | 3.8525155 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9884017E-5 | 1.5024194E-5 | 2.5024045E-5 | 1.6655831 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 1.8290433E-4 | 1.929025E-4 | 1.0546634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0019697146 | 0.001979695 | 1.0050669 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 2.7857711E-6 | 1.2785743E-5 | 4.58966 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4701867E-5 | 1.1938965E-5 | 2.1938846E-5 | 1.8375835 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0070372E-4 | 1.4534731E-4 | 1.5534586E-4 | 1.0687907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.001582892 | 0.0015928762 | 1.0063076 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 2.394633E-6 | 1.2394609E-5 | 5.1759953 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1910288E-5 | 1.0262673E-5 | 2.026257E-5 | 1.974395 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6672508E-4 | 1.2494097E-4 | 1.3493972E-4 | 1.0800278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0013670757 | 0.001377062 | 1.0073049 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 1.4583036E-7 | 1.4583036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 6.249871E-7 | 6.249871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 7.6091924E-6 | 7.6091924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 9.050604E-5 | 9.050604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 4.358077E-9 | 4.358077E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 5.3059587E-8 | 5.3059587E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 6.245385E-7 | 6.245385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4160125E-5 | 2.5073885E-5 | 3.5073634E-5 | 1.3988113 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03539285E-4 | 1.0745516E-4 | 1.3745193E-4 | 1.2791562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012598617 | 0.0013074947 | 0.0013474424 | 1.0305529 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01252743 | 0.012999575 | 0.013039055 | 1.003037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 2.1919479E-5 | 3.191926E-5 | 1.4562052 | 1.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 9.39373E-5 | 1.1393542E-4 | 1.212888 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 0.0011430975 | 0.0011730633 | 1.0262145 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.011373425 | 0.011403084 | 1.0026077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.6707181E-5 | 2.6707015E-5 | 1.598535 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 7.160026E-5 | 9.159883E-5 | 1.2793086 | 2.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 8.7138783E-4 | 9.013617E-4 | 1.0343978 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.008680111 | 0.008709851 | 1.0034262 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.3942421E-5 | 2.394228E-5 | 1.7172256 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 5.975187E-5 | 7.975067E-5 | 1.3346976 | 2.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 7.272375E-4 | 7.5721566E-4 | 1.041222 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0072487476 | 0.00727853 | 1.0041087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.2435047E-5 | 2.2434924E-5 | 1.8041687 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 5.3291977E-5 | 7.329091E-5 | 1.375271 | 2.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 6.486374E-4 | 6.786179E-4 | 1.0462208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0064675477 | 0.006497354 | 1.0046085 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 1.1631366E-5 | 2.163125E-5 | 1.8597342 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.9847764E-5 | 6.984677E-5 | 1.4012016 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 6.067282E-4 | 6.3670997E-4 | 1.0494156 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.00605081 | 0.0060806284 | 1.004928 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 1.0065567E-5 | 1.0065567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 4.3137432E-5 | 5.3137002E-5 | 1.2318072 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 5.250721E-4 | 5.450616E-4 | 1.03807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0052383733 | 0.005258268 | 1.003798 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.8701055E-5 | 4.8700666E-5 | 1.2583809 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 4.710838E-4 | 4.910744E-4 | 1.0424353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.004700899 | 0.004720805 | 1.0042346 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 4.342304E-5 | 1.2991818 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 4.2684574E-4 | 1.0491377 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0040611294 | 0.004081048 | 1.0049047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 3.8363178E-5 | 1.3525562 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 3.652638E-4 | 1.0579056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0034473746 | 0.0034673056 | 1.0057815 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 5.503753E-6 | 5.503753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 2.3587301E-5 | 3.3587065E-5 | 1.423947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 2.9713492E-4 | 1.0348165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002867694 | 0.0028776652 | 1.0034771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 2.9240357E-5 | 1.5197257 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 2.3422872E-4 | 2.442264E-4 | 1.0426834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.0023398413 | 0.0023498181 | 1.0042638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0014411494 | 0.0014411494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.981728E-6 | 1.981728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 8.4930925E-6 | 8.4930925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 1.033985E-4 | 1.033985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 0.0010335054 | 0.0010335054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.872509E-6 | 6.872509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 8.366958E-5 | 8.366958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 8.3638215E-4 | 8.3638215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.2571804E-6 | 1.2571804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 5.387905E-6 | 5.387905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 6.5576524E-4 | 6.5576524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 8.583902E-7 | 8.583902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.67881E-6 | 3.67881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.478859E-5 | 4.478859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.4779672E-4 | 4.4779672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.594542E-7 | 4.594542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.9690879E-6 | 1.9690879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.3973382E-5 | 2.3973382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.3970896E-4 | 2.3970896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.6414165E-7 | 1.6414165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 7.03464E-7 | 7.03464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.564641E-6 | 8.564641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.564406E-5 | 8.564406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.525278E-8 | 4.525278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9394048E-7 | 1.9394048E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.3612226E-6 | 2.3612226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.3612916E-5 | 2.3612916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 6.0324845E-10 | 6.0324845E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 2.5853495E-9 | 2.5853495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 3.147663E-8 | 3.147663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 3.1562323E-7 | 3.1562323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 4.6419882E-5 | 2.8269684 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0036916E-4 | 1.4262804 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 4.6419882E-5 | 2.8269684 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0036916E-4 | 1.4262804 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 4.6419882E-5 | 2.8269684 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 1.0036916E-4 | 1.4262804 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 2.168623E-5 | 1.8556894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 6.0082915E-5 | 1.1996568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 2.168623E-5 | 1.8556894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 6.0082915E-5 | 1.1996568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005430565 | 0.005430565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0046834927 | 0.0046834927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0042979796 | 0.0042979796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004008504 | 0.004008504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0036435798 | 0.0036435798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0025893645 | 0.0025893645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0023599796 | 0.0023599796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021177593 | 0.0021177593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018504397 | 0.0018504397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0014755968 | 0.0014755968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.3188685E-4 | 1.0450575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002718284 | 1.0073919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676504 | 0.026715437 | 1.0014595 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.3188685E-4 | 1.0450575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002718284 | 1.0073919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676504 | 0.026715437 | 1.0014595 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.0134936E-4 | 1.0522499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023473026 | 1.0085734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.023045188 | 0.023084266 | 1.0016958 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.0134936E-4 | 1.0522499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023473026 | 1.0085734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.023045188 | 0.023084266 | 1.0016958 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.641933E-4 | 1.064843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0018957334 | 1.0106423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607372 | 0.018636815 | 1.0015823 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.641933E-4 | 1.064843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0018957334 | 1.0106423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607372 | 0.018636815 | 1.0015823 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.2372496E-5 | 4.2372172E-5 | 1.3088942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.3873221E-4 | 1.4873082E-4 | 1.0720713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0016878126 | 0.0017077789 | 1.0118296 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015175272 | 0.01675691 | 0.016786408 | 1.0017604 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.06099E-5 | 4.0609593E-5 | 1.3266817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.31179E-4 | 1.4117768E-4 | 1.0762217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0015959888 | 0.0016159568 | 1.0125114 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014414776 | 0.015851961 | 0.015881484 | 1.0018625 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.5349931E-5 | 3.5349676E-5 | 1.3944684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.08638276E-4 | 1.1863719E-4 | 1.0920386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.001321911 | 0.0013418846 | 1.0151097 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01213047 | 0.013145818 | 0.013175424 | 1.0022521 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 3.2177202E-5 | 1.450899 | 1.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 9.504282E-5 | 1.0504187E-4 | 1.1052058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0011565643 | 0.0011765412 | 1.0172726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010738871 | 0.011509703 | 0.011539357 | 1.0025765 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 2.8386943E-5 | 1.5438488 | 1.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 7.8799705E-5 | 8.8798915E-5 | 1.126894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 9.589838E-4 | 9.789646E-4 | 1.0208354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009070295 | 0.009551416 | 0.009581129 | 1.0031109 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 2.5305086E-5 | 1.6533611 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 6.559231E-5 | 7.5591655E-5 | 1.1524469 | 1.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 7.983077E-4 | 8.1829174E-4 | 1.025033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007696735 | 0.007956762 | 0.007986523 | 1.0037404 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 2.458511E-5 | 1.6856139 | 1.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.250682E-5 | 7.250619E-5 | 1.1599725 | 1.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 7.6076854E-4 | 7.807533E-4 | 1.0262692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073716943 | 0.0075839707 | 0.007613743 | 1.0039257 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 2.4075114E-5 | 1.7104567 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.0321207E-5 | 7.03206E-5 | 1.1657692 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.341768E-4 | 7.541621E-4 | 1.0272214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007138774 | 0.0073198257 | 0.0073496057 | 1.0040685 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 2.304569E-5 | 1.766519 | 1.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 5.590954E-5 | 6.590898E-5 | 1.1788504 | 1.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 6.8049936E-4 | 7.004857E-4 | 1.0293702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006661878 | 0.006786434 | 0.0068162302 | 1.0043906 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 2.1793396E-5 | 1.8479137 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.0542727E-5 | 6.054222E-5 | 1.1978424 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.151972E-4 | 6.351849E-4 | 1.0324899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032217 | 0.0061371643 | 0.00616698 | 1.0048583 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 1.2987066E-5 | 4.347723 | 1.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 2.2801683E-5 | 1.7811295 | 1.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.5585677E-4 | 1.6585522E-4 | 1.0641515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0015583431 | 0.0015683275 | 1.006407 | 1.0E-5 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024929056 | 1.0162666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024929056 | 1.0162666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024929056 | 1.0162666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024929056 | 1.0162666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.7554497E-4 | 1.1221435 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024929056 | 1.0162666 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.4014097E-4 | 1.076829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013106858 | 1.0076782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.4014097E-4 | 1.076829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013106858 | 1.0076782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 8.880686E-5 | 1.1268812 | 1.0E-5 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 7.977999E-4 | 1.0126835 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 8.2243576E-5 | 1.1384093 | 1.0E-5 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 7.322107E-4 | 1.0138363 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 6.095621E-5 | 1.196235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 5.194506E-4 | 1.0196187 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.4886005E-4 | 3.4886005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.5584645E-8 | 8.5584645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.465675E-6 | 4.465675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.7711573E-8 | 1.7711573E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 7.590673E-8 | 7.590673E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 9.241641E-7 | 9.241641E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 9.241605E-6 | 9.241605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 8.499545E-9 | 8.499545E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 3.642662E-8 | 3.642662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 4.43494E-7 | 4.43494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 4.434932E-6 | 4.434932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 4.049299E-9 | 4.049299E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 1.735414E-8 | 1.735414E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.1128662E-7 | 2.1128662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.1128644E-6 | 2.1128644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 7.363208E-10 | 7.363208E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 3.1556617E-9 | 3.1556617E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 3.842018E-8 | 3.842018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 3.8420174E-7 | 3.8420174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 6.793899E-11 | 6.793899E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 2.911683E-10 | 2.911683E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 3.5449719E-9 | 3.5449719E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 3.5449716E-8 | 3.5449716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 7.4180884E-11 | 7.4180884E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 9.0314956E-10 | 9.0314956E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 9.0314956E-9 | 9.0314956E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.00255585 | 1.0158585 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.2838698E-4 | 1.2122804 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019223489 | 1.0212092 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.2838698E-4 | 1.2122804 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019223489 | 1.0212092 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1050413E-6 | 2.310498E-5 | 7.4411182 | 2.0E-5 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3307255E-5 | 3.330699E-5 | 2.5029194 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6200446E-4 | 2.0199799E-4 | 1.2468668 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015864341 | 0.00161893 | 0.0016588653 | 1.0246676 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.590645E-6 | 1.2590619E-5 | 4.8600326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1102719E-5 | 2.1102609E-5 | 1.9006702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3516769E-4 | 1.6516364E-4 | 1.2219166 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013509011 | 0.0013808605 | 1.0221775 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.287203E-6 | 2.287203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.802264E-6 | 9.802264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.19336466E-4 | 1.3933408E-4 | 1.1675733 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0011927673 | 0.0012127433 | 1.0167477 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.776146E-5 | 9.776058E-5 | 1.1139352 | 1.0E-5 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.7729277E-4 | 8.87284E-4 | 1.0113887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4128945E-5 | 6.4128406E-5 | 1.184734 | 1.0E-5 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4116896E-4 | 5.511635E-4 | 1.0184685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.694065E-5 | 5.6940182E-5 | 1.213025 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.693181E-4 | 4.793134E-4 | 1.0212975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.317402E-5 | 4.3173688E-5 | 1.3014307 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3169717E-4 | 3.4169384E-4 | 1.030138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2609518E-5 | 2.2609393E-5 | 1.7930417 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2609006E-4 | 1.360888E-4 | 1.0792984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.659485E-8 | 9.659485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1760364E-5 | 1.1760364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carlsbad
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.492447E-5 | 3.0306451 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 4.110449E-5 | 1.9476266 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.7691733E-4 | 1.0778245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025962235 | 1.01166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.492447E-5 | 3.0306451 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 4.110449E-5 | 1.9476266 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.7691733E-4 | 1.0778245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025962235 | 1.01166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.3945884E-6 | 1.4394544E-5 | 3.275516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.8833816E-5 | 3.883344E-5 | 2.0618997 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.2927792E-4 | 2.4927335E-4 | 1.0872104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00228389 | 0.0022904489 | 0.00232038 | 1.0130678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.31345E-6 | 1.4313407E-5 | 3.3183198 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.8486086E-5 | 3.8485716E-5 | 2.0818748 | 2.0E-5 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.2504518E-4 | 2.450407E-4 | 1.0888511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022426634 | 0.0022482073 | 0.00227814 | 1.013314 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.089566E-6 | 1.4089525E-5 | 3.4452372 | 1.0E-5 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.7526596E-5 | 3.7526246E-5 | 2.1411028 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1336574E-4 | 2.3336148E-4 | 1.0937158 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021284607 | 0.0021316423 | 0.0021615783 | 1.0140437 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 3.9915344E-6 | 1.3991495E-5 | 3.5052924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7106466E-5 | 3.710612E-5 | 2.1691287 | 2.0E-5 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.0825163E-4 | 2.2824747E-4 | 1.0960177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002078621 | 0.002080598 | 0.0021105355 | 1.0143889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.8713315E-6 | 1.3871293E-5 | 3.5830805 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.6591317E-5 | 3.6590987E-5 | 2.2054298 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0198089E-4 | 2.2197685E-4 | 1.0989993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020176715 | 0.002018006 | 0.0020479455 | 1.0148362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.2926876E-6 | 1.3292654E-5 | 4.0370226 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.4111442E-5 | 3.411116E-5 | 2.4172695 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7179332E-4 | 1.9178988E-4 | 1.1163989 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001725281 | 0.0017166111 | 0.0017465595 | 1.0174463 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1199504E-6 | 1.31199195E-5 | 4.205169 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3371148E-5 | 3.337088E-5 | 2.4957378 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.6278162E-4 | 1.8277836E-4 | 1.122844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016354966 | 0.0016266294 | 0.0016565806 | 1.0184131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.8841723E-6 | 1.2884143E-5 | 4.4671893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.236068E-5 | 3.2360433E-5 | 2.6180139 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.5048093E-4 | 1.7047793E-4 | 1.1328872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015149876 | 0.0015037955 | 0.0015337504 | 1.0199195 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.4744086E-6 | 1.2474384E-5 | 5.04136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0604565E-5 | 3.0604355E-5 | 2.88596 | 2.0E-5 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.2910296E-4 | 1.4910038E-4 | 1.1548951 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013073172 | 0.0012902827 | 0.001320244 | 1.0232207 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361635 | 0.0011137924 | 0.0011237813 | 1.0089684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672715E-4 | 8.3337387E-4 | 8.433655E-4 | 1.0119895 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.685223E-7 | 9.685223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527277E-4 | 5.0523464E-4 | 5.1522953E-4 | 1.0197828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150792E-4 | 3.6942656E-4 | 3.7942288E-4 | 1.027059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6630386E-4 | 2.290776E-4 | 2.390753E-4 | 1.0436434 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.444382E-7 | 8.444382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237771E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.1280438E-4 | 1.0972612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.688903E-9 | 9.688903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.0555315E-7 | 5.0555315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431565E-5 | 5.0555313E-6 | 5.0555313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 5.910169E-4 | 1.0350045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.0057305167 | 1.0052326 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 5.910169E-4 | 1.0350045 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.0057305167 | 1.0052326 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011420959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011420959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1578536E-5 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9621354E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 6.039725E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006023336 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055164783 | 1.0054379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055164783 | 1.0054379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055164783 | 1.0054379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.617744E-6 | 1.4617697E-5 | 3.1655498 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 1.9790303E-5 | 3.9789906E-5 | 2.010576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4094197E-4 | 2.6093714E-4 | 1.0829875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024089331 | 0.002428885 | 1.0082824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.776001E-5 | 2.7759834E-5 | 1.5630528 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.1622813E-4 | 2.2622597E-4 | 1.0462375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0021622814 | 0.0021722596 | 1.0046147 | 1.0E-5 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 7.064699E-5 | 1.164877 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.5989334E-4 | 2.7988813E-4 | 1.0769347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002657418 | 0.003159838 | 0.0031897433 | 1.0094641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026258636 | 0.031173872 | 0.031202937 | 1.0009323 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 5.965357E-5 | 1.2013834 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 2.327823E-4 | 1.0939709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022024813 | 0.0025877433 | 0.0026176658 | 1.0115631 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0218078 | 0.025591671 | 0.025620904 | 1.0011423 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0016942915 | 0.0016942915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.016819766 | 0.016819766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0013821534 | 0.0013821534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.013739847 | 0.013739847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0010906367 | 0.0010906367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.010856139 | 0.010856139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008319422 | 0.008319422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0056498717 | 0.0056498717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0045441827 | 0.0045441827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0037554658 | 0.0037554658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0024683103 | 0.0024683103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.307101E-6 | 6.307101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.678633E-5 | 7.678633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.6760625E-4 | 7.6760625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.3323796E-7 | 6.3323796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012760297 | 1.0023265 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012760297 | 1.0023265 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.012730679 | 0.012760297 | 1.0023265 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478703 | 0.012508328 | 1.002374 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478703 | 0.012508328 | 1.002374 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.3754741E-5 | 3.3754503E-5 | 1.4209586 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0180214E-4 | 1.1180113E-4 | 1.0982198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012387515 | 0.0012487391 | 1.0080626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012321873 | 0.012351503 | 1.0024047 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.2312273E-5 | 3.231205E-5 | 1.4481739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.56206E-5 | 1.0561964E-4 | 1.10457 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0011635721 | 0.0011735604 | 1.0085843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.011577978 | 0.01160763 | 1.0025611 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.1924227E-5 | 3.1924006E-5 | 1.4561064 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.3957664E-5 | 1.0395672E-4 | 1.1064209 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011433472 | 0.0011533358 | 1.0087363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011377821 | 0.011407479 | 1.0026067 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.0882897E-5 | 3.088269E-5 | 1.4788507 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 8.949513E-5 | 9.949424E-5 | 1.111728 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0010890712 | 0.0010990603 | 1.0091721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.01084115 | 0.010870825 | 1.0027373 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006830362 | 0.0076942556 | 0.007714102 | 1.0025793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0066497647 | 0.006659698 | 1.0014938 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050568148 | 0.00552889 | 0.005538835 | 1.0017986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0052405978 | 0.005250545 | 1.0018982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0050044395 | 0.0050143898 | 1.0019882 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.0049525574 | 0.0049625076 | 1.0020092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.00490003 | 0.004909981 | 1.0020308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004736103 | 0.0047460557 | 1.0021014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.0042576184 | 0.0042576184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.918016E-6 | 1.0277405E-5 | 1.0277405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505093E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1737664E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005161737 | 0.005349516 | 0.0053793555 | 1.005578 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332221 | 0.003743185 | 1.0026686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332221 | 0.003743185 | 1.0026686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.679181E-6 | 4.679181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0053481E-5 | 2.0053481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024386013 | 0.002448577 | 1.0040907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.3336922E-6 | 4.3336922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8572837E-5 | 1.8572837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.2610114E-4 | 2.2610114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0022587434 | 0.002268721 | 1.0044172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0019859509 | 0.001995931 | 1.0050254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8462689E-4 | 1.8462689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018447492 | 0.0018547308 | 1.0054108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.1833176E-6 | 3.1833176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3642719E-5 | 1.3642719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6608754E-4 | 1.6608754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016596448 | 0.0016696282 | 1.0060154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.8724924E-6 | 2.8724924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2310624E-5 | 1.2310624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.4987162E-4 | 1.4987162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0014977138 | 0.0014977138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0614012E-5 | 1.0614012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.29218E-4 | 1.29218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0012914345 | 0.0012914345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1037054E-6 | 2.1037054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.015849E-6 | 9.015849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.0976247E-4 | 1.0976247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0010970862 | 0.0010970862 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7278869E-6 | 1.7278869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.4052086E-6 | 7.4052086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.0118294E-4 | 9.0118294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5184911E-6 | 1.5184911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.507803E-6 | 6.507803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 7.9229634E-5 | 7.9229634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 7.9201505E-4 | 7.9201505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3411898E-6 | 1.3411898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.7479438E-6 | 5.7479438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 6.9978974E-5 | 6.9978974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 6.9957034E-4 | 6.9957034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.1692053E-6 | 1.1692053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.01087E-6 | 5.01087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.1005645E-5 | 6.1005645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.098898E-4 | 6.098898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.538285E-7 | 9.538285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.08783E-6 | 4.08783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 4.97682E-5 | 4.97682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 4.9757113E-4 | 4.9757113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.4875607E-7 | 7.4875607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.2089506E-6 | 3.2089506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 3.9068276E-5 | 3.9068276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 3.9061453E-4 | 3.9061453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 3.8986053E-7 | 3.8986053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.6708298E-6 | 1.6708298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.0342164E-5 | 2.0342164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.0340313E-4 | 2.0340313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 1.8019303E-7 | 1.8019303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 7.722556E-7 | 7.722556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 9.402172E-6 | 9.402172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 9.401777E-5 | 9.401777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 7.464042E-8 | 7.464042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.1988748E-7 | 3.1988748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 3.8946228E-6 | 3.8946228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 3.8945553E-5 | 3.8945553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 3.2540463E-8 | 3.2540463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.3945913E-7 | 1.3945913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 1.6979135E-6 | 1.6979135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 1.6979007E-5 | 1.6979007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 3.985626E-9 | 3.985626E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 1.7081256E-8 | 1.7081256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 2.0796426E-7 | 2.0796426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 2.0796408E-6 | 2.0796408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.1807628E-4 | 1.2038988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012135023 | 1.0167371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.1807628E-4 | 1.2038988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012135023 | 1.0167371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 4.288522E-5 | 1.873889 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.1807628E-4 | 1.2038988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012135023 | 1.0167371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055235005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055235005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038361861 | 0.0038361861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027522508 | 0.0027522508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020209355 | 0.0020209355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014137835 | 0.0014137835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 3.6038597E-5 | 2.246947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.244465E-7 | 9.244465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 9.839724E-7 | 9.839724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.021413E-7 | 7.021413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 8.548559E-6 | 8.548559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 8.5484484E-5 | 8.5484484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 2.8667619E-5 | 3.3073726 | 2.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 5.7146437E-5 | 1.5383788 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 2.8667619E-5 | 3.3073726 | 2.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 5.7146437E-5 | 1.5383788 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 2.8667619E-5 | 3.3073726 | 2.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 5.7146437E-5 | 1.5383788 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.8216427E-4 | 1.0663155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045429566 | 1.0066173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2174213E-6 | 1.6217358E-5 | 2.6083739 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6645826E-5 | 3.664556E-5 | 1.3752832 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2436603E-4 | 3.4435955E-4 | 1.0616387 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.003239104 | 0.0032590393 | 1.0061545 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 1.6055621E-5 | 2.6513317 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.5952673E-5 | 3.5952413E-5 | 1.3853067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1592933E-4 | 3.3592302E-4 | 1.0632854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031549768 | 0.0031749136 | 1.0063192 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.085215E-6 | 5.085215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.1793601E-5 | 2.1793601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 2.753031E-4 | 1.0376824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.002650023 | 0.0026599965 | 1.0037636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8761839E-5 | 1.8761839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.2840223E-4 | 2.2840223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0022817913 | 0.0022817913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.7889652E-6 | 3.7889652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6238324E-5 | 1.6238324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019751892 | 0.0019751892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.2877383E-6 | 3.2877383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4090234E-5 | 1.4090234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017141313 | 0.0017141313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.8851919E-6 | 2.8851919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.23650525E-5 | 1.23650525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5053467E-4 | 1.5053467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015044212 | 0.0015044212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0572135E-5 | 1.0572135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.2870868E-4 | 1.2870868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0012864327 | 0.0012864327 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.009917E-6 | 2.009917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.613903E-6 | 8.613903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0486975E-4 | 1.0486975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010482923 | 0.0010482923 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.57829E-7 | 8.57829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.6764047E-6 | 3.6764047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.475932E-5 | 4.475932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.4754232E-4 | 4.4754232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.6507634E-7 | 4.6507634E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 1.9931829E-6 | 1.9931829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.4266732E-5 | 2.4266732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.42664E-4 | 2.42664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.0294163E-7 | 3.0294163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.2983205E-6 | 1.2983205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.5806938E-5 | 1.5806938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.5808009E-4 | 1.5808009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.4982745E-7 | 2.4982745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.0706885E-6 | 1.0706885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.3035557E-5 | 1.3035557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.3036827E-4 | 1.3036827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.0263813E-7 | 2.0263813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 8.684488E-7 | 8.684488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.0573314E-5 | 1.0573314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.05744955E-4 | 1.05744955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 4.622153E-8 | 4.622153E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 1.9809227E-7 | 1.9809227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.4117705E-6 | 2.4117705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.4121056E-5 | 2.4121056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 9.744901E-9 | 9.744901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 4.176387E-8 | 4.176387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 5.0847495E-7 | 5.0847495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 5.085745E-6 | 5.085745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 2.7718277E-9 | 2.7718277E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.1879264E-8 | 1.1879264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 1.4463E-7 | 1.4463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 1.4472488E-6 | 1.4472488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 7.212142E-11 | 7.212142E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 3.0908875E-10 | 3.0908875E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 3.7631533E-9 | 3.7631533E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 3.8496875E-8 | 3.8496875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 3.367584E-11 | 3.367584E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 1.4432322E-10 | 1.4432322E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 1.7571362E-9 | 1.7571362E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 1.8002453E-8 | 1.8002453E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Yorba Linda
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.167344E-5 | 6.9756436 | 1.0E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.1719446E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731587E-5 | 1.07314125E-4 | 1.2290335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.3267366E-7 | 1.0832665E-5 | 13.009497 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.5685969E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022118 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.3446867E-5 | 5.344643E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.3439015E-4 | 4.543815E-4 | 1.0460216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.3267366E-7 | 1.0832665E-5 | 13.009497 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.5685969E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022118 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.3446867E-5 | 5.344643E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.3439015E-4 | 4.543815E-4 | 1.0460216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4451364E-7 | 5.7191914E-7 | 1.0571914E-5 | 18.48498 | 1.0E-5 | 3.619339E-6 | 2.4510798E-6 | 1.2451055E-5 | 5.0798244 | 1.0E-5 | 4.406456E-5 | 2.9841509E-5 | 3.984121E-5 | 1.3350937 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4055824E-4 | 2.983771E-4 | 3.1837114E-4 | 1.0670093 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.422957E-7 | 5.6948227E-7 | 1.0569476E-5 | 18.5598 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6098338E-6 | 2.440636E-6 | 1.24406115E-5 | 5.097283 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3948843E-5 | 2.971436E-5 | 3.971406E-5 | 1.3365276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.394015E-4 | 2.9710593E-4 | 3.171E-4 | 1.067296 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.4119705E-7 | 5.68276E-7 | 1.056827E-5 | 18.597073 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6051254E-6 | 2.4354665E-6 | 1.2435442E-5 | 5.1059794 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3891516E-5 | 2.9651423E-5 | 3.9651128E-5 | 1.337242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.388285E-4 | 2.9647673E-4 | 3.164708E-4 | 1.067439 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5919155E-7 | 4.848175E-7 | 1.0484812E-5 | 21.626308 | 1.0E-5 | 3.253674E-6 | 2.0777877E-6 | 1.2077767E-5 | 5.8128014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.961276E-5 | 2.529679E-5 | 3.5296536E-5 | 1.395297 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9605703E-4 | 2.5294075E-4 | 2.729357E-4 | 1.07905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5804564E-7 | 4.8345635E-7 | 1.0483452E-5 | 21.68438 | 1.0E-5 | 3.248763E-6 | 2.0719542E-6 | 1.2071933E-5 | 5.826351 | 1.0E-5 | 3.955297E-5 | 2.5225769E-5 | 3.5225516E-5 | 1.39641 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9545933E-4 | 2.522307E-4 | 2.7222568E-4 | 1.0792725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.539293E-7 | 4.796918E-7 | 1.0479687E-5 | 21.846708 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2311218E-6 | 2.0558205E-6 | 1.20558E-5 | 5.8642282 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9338196E-5 | 2.5029343E-5 | 3.5029094E-5 | 1.3995211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9331234E-4 | 2.502669E-4 | 2.702619E-4 | 1.0798947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.0900885E-7 | 3.648546E-7 | 1.0364851E-5 | 28.408169 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6100352E-6 | 1.5636616E-6 | 1.1563646E-5 | 7.3952355 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1776715E-5 | 1.9037418E-5 | 2.9037226E-5 | 1.5252713 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1772171E-4 | 1.903582E-4 | 2.103544E-4 | 1.1050451 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.849925E-7 | 3.4565846E-7 | 1.0345655E-5 | 29.930283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5071083E-6 | 1.4813926E-6 | 1.1481377E-5 | 7.7503953 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0523614E-5 | 1.8035807E-5 | 2.8035627E-5 | 1.5544425 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0519423E-4 | 1.8034375E-4 | 2.0034015E-4 | 1.1108793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.89808E-7 | 2.9300605E-7 | 1.02930035E-5 | 35.12898 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0991754E-6 | 1.2557397E-6 | 1.1255727E-5 | 8.963425 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5557161E-5 | 1.5288524E-5 | 2.5288373E-5 | 1.6540754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5554223E-4 | 1.5287494E-4 | 1.7287189E-4 | 1.1308059 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8700415E-7 | 2.3873392E-7 | 1.0238731E-5 | 42.887627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6585881E-6 | 1.023145E-6 | 1.1023135E-5 | 10.773776 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0193123E-5 | 1.24567205E-5 | 2.2456596E-5 | 1.8027695 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0191289E-4 | 1.2456033E-4 | 1.345591E-4 | 1.0802723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.900565E-7 | 1.8106088E-7 | 1.0181059E-5 | 56.23003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2430987E-6 | 7.7597497E-7 | 1.0775967E-5 | 13.887003 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5134622E-5 | 9.447455E-6 | 1.9447361E-5 | 2.058476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5133592E-4 | 9.447062E-5 | 1.0446967E-4 | 1.1058431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2770318E-7 | 1.4431374E-7 | 1.0144312E-5 | 70.29346 | 1.0E-5 | 9.758704E-7 | 6.184873E-7 | 1.0618482E-5 | 17.16847 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1881158E-5 | 7.530058E-6 | 1.7529983E-5 | 2.328001 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880523E-4 | 7.529808E-5 | 8.5297324E-5 | 1.1327956 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5017194E-7 | 8.467984E-8 | 8.467984E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4359386E-7 | 3.6291354E-7 | 3.6291354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835727E-6 | 4.418464E-6 | 4.418464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835451E-5 | 4.4183784E-5 | 4.4183784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.895753E-8 | 1.7362863E-8 | 1.7362863E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696083E-7 | 7.441226E-8 | 7.441226E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327461E-6 | 9.05969E-7 | 9.05969E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327276E-5 | 9.059654E-6 | 9.059654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.648505E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8493591E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690942E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690888E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012416729 | 1.0163506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012183863 | 1.0024383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012416729 | 1.0163506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012183863 | 1.0024383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 5.972598E-4 | 1.0170181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005867489 | 1.0016972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 5.972598E-4 | 1.0170181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005867489 | 1.0016972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.256794E-4 | 4.3567515E-4 | 1.0234818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004248784 | 0.004258741 | 1.0023437 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.540264E-4 | 3.6402285E-4 | 1.0282365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035347184 | 0.003544683 | 1.0028191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0415927E-4 | 3.1415623E-4 | 1.0328676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030375016 | 0.0030474712 | 1.0032822 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5530747E-4 | 2.6530493E-4 | 1.0391585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002550197 | 0.0025601715 | 1.0039113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9389793E-4 | 2.0389598E-4 | 1.0515635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019373278 | 0.0019473084 | 1.0051517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013794984 | 0.0013794984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 3.017618E-5 | 1.495619 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.5562278E-4 | 1.0407025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024740263 | 1.0081297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 3.017618E-5 | 1.495619 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.5562278E-4 | 1.0407025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024740263 | 1.0081297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 2.1852025E-5 | 1.8437192 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.5428991E-4 | 1.0692942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014520667 | 1.0069244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 2.1852025E-5 | 1.8437192 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.5428991E-4 | 1.0692942 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014520667 | 1.0069244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012011896 | 0.0012011896 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0011918178 | 0.0011918178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.3009835E-4 | 1.0951716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021195416 | 1.0095057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.3009835E-4 | 1.0951716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021195416 | 1.0095057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1096284E-6 | 1.1096284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.789721E-5 | 5.789721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.6285236E-4 | 4.6285236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.062138E-5 | 4.062138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 6.9859504E-7 | 6.9859504E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6554418E-6 | 1.6554418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0154817E-5 | 2.0154817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0152994E-4 | 2.0152994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.7026789E-4 | 1.7026789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.612244E-7 | 2.612244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1195326E-6 | 1.1195326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.3630224E-5 | 1.3630224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8122799E-7 | 1.8122799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 7.7669114E-7 | 7.7669114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.456174E-6 | 9.456174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.455773E-5 | 9.455773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.0930015E-7 | 1.0930015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.6842914E-7 | 4.6842914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 5.7031098E-6 | 5.7031098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 5.702964E-5 | 5.702964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.0233947E-8 | 5.0233947E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.1528834E-7 | 2.1528834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.6211321E-6 | 2.6211321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.6211013E-5 | 2.6211013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.2211747E-8 | 2.2211747E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 9.51932E-8 | 9.51932E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.1589766E-6 | 1.1589766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.15897055E-5 | 1.15897055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 9.79942E-9 | 9.79942E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 4.1997513E-8 | 4.1997513E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 5.1131957E-7 | 5.1131957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 5.113184E-6 | 5.113184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 4.0235295E-9 | 4.0235295E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.0994202E-7 | 2.0994202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.0994182E-6 | 2.0994182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.3391284E-4 | 1.0934741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021571328 | 1.0093381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.3391284E-4 | 1.0934741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021571328 | 1.0093381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.3391284E-4 | 1.0934741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021571328 | 1.0093381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.3391284E-4 | 1.0934741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021571328 | 1.0093381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 4.1001294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.7571867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1391713E-4 | 2.3391284E-4 | 1.0934741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021371755 | 0.0021571328 | 1.0093381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5460502E-4 | 1.7460193E-4 | 1.129342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015449898 | 0.0015649588 | 1.012925 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 2.9632201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.2699454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5460502E-4 | 1.7460193E-4 | 1.129342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015449898 | 0.0015649588 | 1.012925 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6492921E-6 | 2.6492921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.135406E-5 | 1.135406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3822703E-4 | 1.4822563E-4 | 1.0723348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013814213 | 0.0013914075 | 1.007229 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.2969482E-6 | 2.2969482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.844027E-6 | 9.844027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.1984451E-4 | 1.298433E-4 | 1.0834315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0011978062 | 0.0012077942 | 1.0083386 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0625314E-6 | 2.0625314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.839391E-6 | 8.839391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0761432E-4 | 1.1761324E-4 | 1.0929145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010756279 | 0.0010856171 | 1.0092869 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6728266E-6 | 1.6728266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.169237E-6 | 7.169237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.7282E-5 | 9.728113E-5 | 1.1145612 | 1.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7248103E-4 | 8.824723E-4 | 1.0114516 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.376675E-6 | 1.376675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.900022E-6 | 5.900022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.183043E-5 | 8.182971E-5 | 1.1392068 | 1.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.180748E-4 | 7.280676E-4 | 1.0139161 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.5716397E-7 | 8.5716397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6735548E-6 | 3.6735548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4724624E-5 | 5.4724176E-5 | 1.2235805 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.471573E-4 | 4.571528E-4 | 1.0223535 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6060014E-7 | 5.6060014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4025699E-6 | 2.4025699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.92509E-5 | 3.9250608E-5 | 1.3418598 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.92471E-4 | 3.0246808E-4 | 1.0341815 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.557675E-7 | 3.557675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.524717E-6 | 1.524717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8563274E-5 | 2.8563089E-5 | 1.5386881 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8561748E-4 | 1.9561562E-4 | 1.0538642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5750463E-7 | 1.5750463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.7501963E-7 | 6.7501963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.218334E-6 | 1.8218252E-5 | 2.2167816 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.2180384E-5 | 9.2179565E-5 | 1.1216736 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.0050623426 | 1.0039463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.0050623426 | 1.0039463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.0050623426 | 1.0039463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.0050623426 | 1.0039463 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018149344 | 0.0018149344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018081121 | 0.0018081121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014184384 | 0.0014184384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012839572 | 0.0012839572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Thirty Mile Bank
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 3.8424016E-5 | 1.3518016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.6600832E-4 | 1.057781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5261137E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111828E-5 | 1.5404206E-5 | 2.5404051E-5 | 1.6491634 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8397097E-4 | 1.875307E-4 | 1.9752883E-4 | 1.0533146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381875 | 0.0018737891 | 0.0018837703 | 1.0053267 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.370743E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445961E-5 | 1.4725733E-5 | 2.4725585E-5 | 1.6790733 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7586538E-4 | 1.7927166E-4 | 1.8926988E-4 | 1.0557712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017572626 | 0.0017913319 | 0.001801314 | 1.0055724 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2756835E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752893E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18735006E-4 | 1.21169534E-4 | 1.21169534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011867158 | 0.0012110592 | 0.0012110592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1617404E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.264569E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1279029E-4 | 1.1508764E-4 | 1.1508764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273306 | 0.0011503043 | 0.0011503043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5900777E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.814601E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.296461E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.293364E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.2971728E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5593005E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.768238E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7661767E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.2454284E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5337503E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302256E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.301423E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2619024E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265283E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2237757E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223553E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.993922E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831089E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621737E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.562064E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 8.210964E-5 | 1.1386663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.190058E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.0037758113 | 1.0053049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.038436227 | 1.0005006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 8.210964E-5 | 1.1386663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.190058E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.0037758113 | 1.0053049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.038436227 | 1.0005006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 8.210964E-5 | 1.1386663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.190058E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.0037758113 | 1.0053049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.038436227 | 1.0005006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 8.210964E-5 | 1.1386663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.190058E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0037558866 | 0.0037758113 | 1.0053049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.038416997 | 0.038436227 | 1.0005006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 7.2110364E-5 | 8.210964E-5 | 1.1386663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 3.090089E-4 | 3.190058E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.0037558866 | 0.0037758113 | 1.0053049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.038416997 | 0.038436227 | 1.0005006 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 6.568342E-5 | 7.568277E-5 | 1.1522354 | 1.0E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 2.8147092E-4 | 2.914681E-4 | 1.0355177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0034216847 | 0.0034416162 | 1.005825 | 2.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.035105657 | 0.035124958 | 1.0005497 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 5.8601887E-5 | 6.86013E-5 | 1.170633 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 2.5112732E-4 | 2.611248E-4 | 1.0398104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0030532887 | 0.0030732276 | 1.0065303 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.031644534 | 0.031663902 | 1.000612 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 5.6346424E-5 | 6.634586E-5 | 1.1774635 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 2.4146288E-4 | 2.5146047E-4 | 1.0414042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0029359458 | 0.0029558872 | 1.0067921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.030548034 | 0.030567424 | 1.0006347 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 5.586004E-5 | 6.585948E-5 | 1.1790088 | 1.0E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 2.3937876E-4 | 2.4937637E-4 | 1.0417649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0029106399 | 0.0029305816 | 1.0068513 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.030314023 | 0.030333417 | 1.0006398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 5.4633634E-5 | 6.463309E-5 | 1.1830274 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 2.3412368E-4 | 2.4412134E-4 | 1.0427024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.0028468282 | 0.002866771 | 1.0070053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.029710025 | 0.029729431 | 1.0006531 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 5.288131E-5 | 6.288078E-5 | 1.1890928 | 1.0E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 2.2661505E-4 | 2.3661279E-4 | 1.0441177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0027556452 | 0.0027755902 | 1.0072378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.028820075 | 0.028839499 | 1.000674 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 1.7315606E-5 | 2.7315433E-5 | 1.5775037 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 7.420766E-5 | 8.420691E-5 | 1.134747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 9.0310856E-4 | 9.2309056E-4 | 1.0221257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.010460539 | 0.010480329 | 1.001892 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 1.1786566E-5 | 2.1786447E-5 | 1.8484136 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 5.051288E-5 | 6.0512375E-5 | 1.1979593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 6.148224E-4 | 6.348101E-4 | 1.0325097 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.007396297 | 0.007416149 | 1.002684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 7.993939E-6 | 1.799386E-5 | 2.2509377 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 3.4259287E-5 | 4.4258944E-5 | 1.2918817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 4.1702707E-4 | 4.3701872E-4 | 1.0479385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.0049723126 | 0.0049922136 | 1.0040023 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 7.6098663E-6 | 1.7609791E-5 | 2.3140736 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 3.2613305E-5 | 4.2612977E-5 | 1.3066133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 3.969947E-4 | 4.1698676E-4 | 1.0503585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.0047189984 | 0.004738904 | 1.0042182 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 7.067492E-6 | 1.7067421E-5 | 2.4149191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 3.0288898E-5 | 4.0288596E-5 | 1.3301439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 3.68705E-4 | 3.8869763E-4 | 1.0542239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.004385131 | 0.0044050436 | 1.0045409 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 6.236185E-6 | 1.6236123E-5 | 2.6035345 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 2.6726233E-5 | 3.6725967E-5 | 1.3741542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 3.2534334E-4 | 3.4533683E-4 | 1.0614535 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.003848267 | 0.00386819 | 1.0051771 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 5.8435794E-6 | 1.5843521E-5 | 2.7112699 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 2.5043671E-5 | 3.504342E-5 | 1.3992925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 3.0486405E-4 | 3.2485797E-4 | 1.065583 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.003627709 | 0.0036476366 | 1.0054932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 5.7131933E-6 | 1.5713136E-5 | 2.7503247 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 2.4484883E-5 | 3.4484638E-5 | 1.4084053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 2.9806272E-4 | 3.1805676E-4 | 1.06708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.0035486568 | 0.003568586 | 1.005616 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 5.3618755E-6 | 1.5361822E-5 | 2.865009 | 1.0E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 2.2979264E-5 | 3.2979035E-5 | 1.4351649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 2.7973665E-4 | 2.9973107E-4 | 1.0714759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.0033236977 | 0.0033436313 | 1.0059974 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 4.4934723E-6 | 1.4493427E-5 | 3.2254405 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 1.9257595E-5 | 2.9257402E-5 | 1.5192657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 2.3443601E-4 | 2.5443133E-4 | 1.0852911 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.0027930434 | 0.0028129877 | 1.0071406 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 3.6194672E-6 | 1.3619431E-5 | 3.7628276 | 1.0E-5 | 6.293394E-5 | 1.551191E-5 | 2.5511756E-5 | 1.644656 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 1.8884116E-4 | 1.9883928E-4 | 1.0529445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0022557597 | 0.0022657372 | 1.0044231 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 1.2889557E-6 | 1.2889557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 5.524084E-6 | 5.524084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 6.7253655E-5 | 6.7253655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 8.4895577E-4 | 8.4895577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.54828E-5 | 2.8238575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 3.3497712E-5 | 1.425559 | 1.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.0608178E-4 | 1.0698887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.002880818 | 1.0069709 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.54828E-5 | 2.8238575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 3.3497712E-5 | 1.425559 | 1.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.0608178E-4 | 1.0698887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.002880818 | 1.0069709 | 2.0E-5 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.3906057E-4 | 1.0188912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.0052989745 | 1.0037686 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.3906057E-4 | 1.0188912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.0052989745 | 1.0037686 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024347468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024347468 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018197089 | 0.0018197089 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015178887 | 0.0015178887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012072689 | 0.0012072689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010153563 | 0.0010153563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.651756E-6 | 1.56517E-5 | 2.7693515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4221603E-5 | 4.4221117E-5 | 1.8256892 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.948608E-4 | 3.1485493E-4 | 1.0678086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029449638 | 0.0029649048 | 1.0067712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.651756E-6 | 1.56517E-5 | 2.7693515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4221603E-5 | 4.4221117E-5 | 1.8256892 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.948608E-4 | 3.1485493E-4 | 1.0678086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029449638 | 0.0029649048 | 1.0067712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.651756E-6 | 1.56517E-5 | 2.7693515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4221603E-5 | 4.4221117E-5 | 1.8256892 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.948608E-4 | 3.1485493E-4 | 1.0678086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029449638 | 0.0029649048 | 1.0067712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.651756E-6 | 1.56517E-5 | 2.7693515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4221603E-5 | 4.4221117E-5 | 1.8256892 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.948608E-4 | 3.1485493E-4 | 1.0678086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.0029449638 | 0.0029649048 | 1.0067712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8426775E-6 | 2.8685479E-6 | 2.8685479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182847E-5 | 1.2293721E-5 | 1.2293721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831607E-4 | 1.4966616E-4 | 1.4966616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014821711 | 0.001495692 | 0.001495692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9377999E-6 | 1.9377999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.304831E-6 | 8.304831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01106765E-4 | 1.01106765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.001010621 | 0.001010621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9377999E-6 | 1.9377999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.304831E-6 | 8.304831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01106765E-4 | 1.01106765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010018905 | 0.001010621 | 0.001010621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4667394E-6 | 1.4792003E-6 | 1.4792003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.286011E-6 | 6.3394145E-6 | 6.3394145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.65295E-5 | 7.717972E-5 | 7.717972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6503144E-4 | 7.7153684E-4 | 7.7153684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1076943E-6 | 1.1169528E-6 | 1.1169528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.747252E-6 | 4.786932E-6 | 4.786932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7796264E-5 | 5.8279387E-5 | 5.8279387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.778124E-4 | 5.826454E-4 | 5.826454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.514296E-7 | 8.5848507E-7 | 8.5848507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.648979E-6 | 3.6792167E-6 | 3.6792167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.442541E-5 | 4.479357E-5 | 4.479357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.441653E-4 | 4.478483E-4 | 4.478483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8544706E-7 | 4.894625E-7 | 4.894625E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0804857E-6 | 2.0976947E-6 | 2.0976947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.532962E-5 | 2.5539148E-5 | 2.5539148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5326732E-4 | 2.553634E-4 | 2.553634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.829186E-7 | 3.8610037E-7 | 3.8610037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6410787E-6 | 1.6547149E-6 | 1.6547149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.997995E-5 | 2.0145979E-5 | 2.0145979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9978154E-4 | 2.0144257E-4 | 2.0144257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4726595E-7 | 1.4852276E-7 | 1.4852276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3113964E-7 | 6.3652595E-7 | 6.3652595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.684098E-6 | 7.749682E-6 | 7.749682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6838325E-5 | 7.7494646E-5 | 7.7494646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.1880604E-8 | 4.224544E-8 | 4.224544E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7948828E-7 | 1.8105189E-7 | 1.8105189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852677E-6 | 2.2043068E-6 | 2.2043068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852462E-5 | 2.2043067E-5 | 2.2043067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4873758E-4 | 1.9321612E-4 | 2.032142E-4 | 1.0517455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3729106E-4 | 8.278119E-4 | 8.4779534E-4 | 1.0241401 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077314493 | 0.010028756 | 0.010048555 | 1.0019742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.074679315 | 0.09646044 | 0.096478514 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4409686E-4 | 1.9317798E-4 | 2.0317605E-4 | 1.0517558 | 1.0E-5 | 6.174118E-4 | 8.276485E-4 | 8.4763195E-4 | 1.0241449 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074911113 | 0.010026786 | 0.0100465845 | 1.0019747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07243565 | 0.096441515 | 0.09645958 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4297929E-4 | 1.9278107E-4 | 2.0277913E-4 | 1.0518624 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1262446E-4 | 8.2594866E-4 | 8.4593217E-4 | 1.0241946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007433224 | 0.010006302 | 0.010026102 | 1.0019788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07189451 | 0.09624816 | 0.09626623 | 1.0001878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536085E-4 | 1.8741841E-4 | 1.9741654E-4 | 1.0533465 | 1.0E-5 | 5.79989E-4 | 8.029839E-4 | 8.2296785E-4 | 1.0248871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070385267 | 0.009729626 | 0.009749431 | 1.0020356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.068197265 | 0.09370553 | 0.093723655 | 1.0001935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 1.8337941E-4 | 1.9337758E-4 | 1.0545218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5673666E-4 | 7.8568456E-4 | 8.056688E-4 | 1.0254356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.009520908 | 0.009540717 | 1.0020807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.09172044 | 0.091738604 | 1.000198 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.4222121E-4 | 1.4222121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 6.093771E-4 | 6.19371E-4 | 1.0164002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.0073939473 | 0.0074038734 | 1.0013424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.072257325 | 0.0722666 | 1.0001284 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.3800741E-4 | 1.3800741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 5.9132633E-4 | 6.0132047E-4 | 1.0169011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.007175654 | 0.0071855825 | 1.0013835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.07020895 | 0.07021825 | 1.0001324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.3170502E-4 | 1.3170502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 5.6432805E-4 | 5.743224E-4 | 1.0177102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.0068490854 | 0.006859017 | 1.0014501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.06713573 | 0.06714506 | 1.000139 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.2289277E-4 | 1.2289277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 5.265773E-4 | 5.36572E-4 | 1.0189806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.006392264 | 0.0064021996 | 1.0015544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.062840186 | 0.06284956 | 1.0001491 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 9.61405E-5 | 9.61405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 4.1196603E-4 | 4.2196191E-4 | 1.0242639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038295772 | 0.005004224 | 0.005014174 | 1.0019883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.049606305 | 0.04961581 | 1.0001916 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 7.28221E-5 | 7.28221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 3.1205761E-4 | 3.220545E-4 | 1.0320354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0037927262 | 0.0038026883 | 1.0026267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.037876513 | 0.03788613 | 1.000254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 6.198599E-5 | 6.198599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 2.6562743E-4 | 2.7562477E-4 | 1.0376368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0032292577 | 0.0032392254 | 1.0030867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.032382354 | 0.03239203 | 1.0002989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 4.4543256E-5 | 4.4543256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 1.9088581E-4 | 2.0088391E-4 | 1.0523773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0023215758 | 0.0023315526 | 1.0042974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.023503369 | 0.023513133 | 1.0004154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 3.12784E-5 | 3.12784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.3404345E-4 | 1.4404212E-4 | 1.0745927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0016307684 | 0.0016407521 | 1.0061221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.016600437 | 0.01661027 | 1.0005924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.1378419E-5 | 2.1378419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 9.161859E-5 | 9.161859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0011148871 | 0.0011148871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.011427098 | 0.011427098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 1.8279714E-5 | 1.8279714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 7.833929E-5 | 7.833929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 9.5336506E-4 | 9.5336506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.009811096 | 0.009811096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 9.650935E-6 | 9.650935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 4.1360498E-5 | 4.1360498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 5.034484E-4 | 5.034484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.005255443 | 0.005255443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 3.0635229E-6 | 3.0635229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 1.3129317E-5 | 1.3129317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 1.5983773E-4 | 1.5983773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0017578749 | 0.0017578749 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 2.5523557E-6 | 2.5523557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 1.0938621E-5 | 1.0938621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 1.3316958E-4 | 1.3316958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0014735251 | 0.0014735251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 1.9887586E-6 | 1.9887586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 8.523223E-6 | 8.523223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 1.0376531E-4 | 1.0376531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0011430377 | 0.0011430377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 1.2801906E-6 | 1.2801906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 5.4865195E-6 | 5.4865195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 6.679634E-5 | 6.679634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 7.2590605E-4 | 7.2590605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 7.868179E-7 | 7.868179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 3.3720723E-6 | 3.3720723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 4.1054212E-5 | 4.1054212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 4.4351304E-4 | 4.4351304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0026018387 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0026018387 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0026018387 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0026018387 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0026018387 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6715091E-4 | 1.6715091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016539496 | 0.0016702652 | 0.0016702652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.1318075E-6 | 3.1318075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.3421964E-5 | 1.3421964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016174077 | 0.0016328141 | 0.0016328141 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1279613E-5 | 1.1279613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3732068E-4 | 1.3732068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013617266 | 0.0013723627 | 0.0013723627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0695331E-5 | 1.0695331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012921972 | 0.0013013203 | 0.0013013203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011147653 | 0.0011204337 | 0.0011204337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.0097765E-4 | 1.0097765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010056482 | 0.0010093191 | 0.0010093191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.016347E-6 | 7.016347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.542068E-5 | 8.542068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529247E-4 | 8.5387926E-4 | 8.5387926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.443116E-6 | 1.443116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.1847686E-6 | 6.1847686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.529696E-5 | 7.529696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.535026E-4 | 7.5271504E-4 | 7.5271504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.1956441E-6 | 1.1956441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.124179E-6 | 5.124179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.267076E-4 | 6.236762E-4 | 6.236762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.606654E-7 | 9.606654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.1171306E-6 | 4.1171306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.0124916E-5 | 5.0124916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.064076E-4 | 5.0113635E-4 | 5.0113635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.023079E-7 | 7.023079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.0098875E-6 | 3.0098875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.6644768E-5 | 3.6644768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7430652E-4 | 3.6638742E-4 | 3.6638742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.342247E-7 | 4.342247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.8609616E-6 | 1.8609616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.2656974E-5 | 2.2656974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37571E-4 | 2.2654672E-4 | 2.2654672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.8418785E-7 | 1.8418785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 7.8937626E-7 | 7.8937626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047998E-5 | 9.610614E-6 | 9.610614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047449E-4 | 9.610201E-5 | 9.610201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 6.817046E-8 | 6.817046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 2.9215906E-7 | 2.9215906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.5570306E-6 | 3.5570306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1517753E-5 | 3.5569745E-5 | 3.5569745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 2.7280954E-8 | 2.7280954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.16918365E-7 | 1.16918365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.4234802E-6 | 1.4234802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384275E-5 | 1.4234712E-5 | 1.4234712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 6.555191E-9 | 6.555191E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 2.8093675E-8 | 2.8093675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 3.4204044E-7 | 3.4204044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481861E-6 | 3.4203995E-6 | 3.4203995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6467362E-5 | 1.6467362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.057253E-5 | 8.057183E-5 | 1.1416882 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.588875E-4 | 8.6887897E-4 | 1.0116329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008556307 | 0.008576136 | 1.0023174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6023141E-5 | 1.6023141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 6.866883E-5 | 7.866814E-5 | 1.1456165 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.3572784E-4 | 8.457195E-4 | 1.0119556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008326458 | 0.008346291 | 1.002382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5558433E-5 | 1.5558433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.667732E-5 | 7.667665E-5 | 1.149966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.114994E-4 | 8.214913E-4 | 1.0123129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008085949 | 0.008105787 | 1.0024534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5090283E-5 | 1.5090283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.467107E-5 | 7.4670425E-5 | 1.1546186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 7.870911E-4 | 7.970832E-4 | 1.012695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.007843602 | 0.007863446 | 1.0025299 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.4877953E-5 | 1.4877953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.376112E-5 | 7.3760486E-5 | 1.1568254 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.760204E-4 | 7.860127E-4 | 1.0128763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.0077336715 | 0.007753517 | 1.0025661 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4675041E-5 | 1.4675041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.2891544E-5 | 7.2890914E-5 | 1.1589938 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.6544075E-4 | 7.754331E-4 | 1.0130544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007628606 | 0.0076484536 | 1.0026017 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.43789175E-5 | 1.43789175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.162251E-5 | 7.162189E-5 | 1.1622684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.5000094E-4 | 7.5999345E-4 | 1.0133233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0074752565 | 0.0074951067 | 1.0026555 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4157345E-5 | 1.4157345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.067295E-5 | 7.0672344E-5 | 1.164808 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.38448E-4 | 7.484406E-4 | 1.0135319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007360498 | 0.0073803505 | 1.0026972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.3990502E-5 | 1.3990502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 5.9957947E-5 | 6.995735E-5 | 1.1667736 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.2974875E-4 | 7.3974143E-4 | 1.0136933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0072740777 | 0.007293932 | 1.0027295 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.3723525E-5 | 1.3723525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 5.881381E-5 | 6.881322E-5 | 1.1700181 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.158281E-4 | 7.2582095E-4 | 1.0139599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007135774 | 0.007155631 | 1.0027828 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2387336E-5 | 1.2387336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.308753E-5 | 6.3087E-5 | 1.1883582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.461541E-4 | 6.561476E-4 | 1.0154662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0064432817 | 0.006463153 | 1.0030841 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 5.3162505E-5 | 1.2316703 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.353816E-4 | 1.0190235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.5113E-5 | 7.5113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.218758E-4 | 3.218758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0039122845 | 0.0039322064 | 1.0050921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.03848687 | 0.038506098 | 1.0004996 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.5113E-5 | 7.5113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.218758E-4 | 3.218758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0039122845 | 0.0039322064 | 1.0050921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.03848687 | 0.038506098 | 1.0004996 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 4.9926126E-5 | 4.9926126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.139524E-4 | 2.139524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0026019264 | 0.0026119004 | 1.0038333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.0257326 | 0.025742343 | 1.0003786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 4.9926126E-5 | 4.9926126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.139524E-4 | 2.139524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0026019264 | 0.0026119004 | 1.0038333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.0257326 | 0.025742343 | 1.0003786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 3.8924438E-5 | 3.8924438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.6680898E-4 | 1.6680898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016888566 | 0.002029118 | 0.0020390975 | 1.0049182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016760793 | 0.020117447 | 0.020127246 | 1.0004871 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.2607753E-5 | 3.2607753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.3974056E-4 | 1.3974056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017001056 | 0.0017100887 | 1.005872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014095354 | 0.016880447 | 0.016890278 | 1.0005825 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.4757852E-5 | 2.4757852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.0610121E-4 | 1.0610121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0012910946 | 0.0013010817 | 1.0077354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010739161 | 0.01284375 | 0.012853622 | 1.0007685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.1610595E-5 | 2.1610595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.261397E-5 | 9.261397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011270656 | 0.0011370543 | 1.0088626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009379748 | 0.011220844 | 0.011230732 | 1.0008812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.733526E-5 | 1.733526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.429225E-5 | 7.429225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.0420246E-4 | 9.141934E-4 | 1.0110495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007524277 | 0.00901211 | 0.00902202 | 1.0010996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0285598E-5 | 1.0285598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.408073E-5 | 4.408073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.366111E-4 | 5.4660573E-4 | 1.0186255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044589094 | 0.005359077 | 0.005369023 | 1.001856 | 1.0E-5 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.6026243E-4 | 1.0665395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018167913 | 1.0010821 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.6026243E-4 | 1.0665395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018167913 | 1.0010821 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 3.5063375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5026394E-4 | 1.6026243E-4 | 1.0665395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.001828103 | 0.0018380847 | 1.0054601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.018148275 | 0.018167913 | 1.0010821 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.001215278 | 0.001215278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012089411 | 0.01209929 | 1.0008172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 2.3304035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0294045E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 9.987078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010987755 | 0.001215278 | 0.001215278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010933585 | 0.012089411 | 0.01209929 | 1.0008172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.139614E-5 | 2.139614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.169467E-5 | 9.169467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011158373 | 0.0011158373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010066401 | 0.011105077 | 0.011114967 | 1.0008905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1376161E-5 | 2.1376161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.160906E-5 | 9.160906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011147959 | 0.0011147959 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010056281 | 0.011094769 | 0.011104658 | 1.0008913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8394094E-5 | 1.8394094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.16702E-5 | 7.882955E-5 | 7.882955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.593458E-4 | 9.593458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008688197 | 0.009553958 | 0.009553958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.56607E-5 | 1.56607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.711564E-5 | 6.711564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.1684033E-4 | 8.1684033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417957 | 0.00813979 | 0.00813979 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.3667722E-5 | 1.3667722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3441294E-5 | 5.85747E-5 | 5.85747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.1292516E-4 | 7.1292516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006485529 | 0.0071075503 | 0.0071075503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.594256E-6 | 9.594256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.111763E-5 | 4.111763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.004992E-4 | 5.004992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.0049944213 | 0.0049944213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.6764073E-6 | 6.6764073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.8612889E-5 | 2.8612889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.483116E-4 | 3.483116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0034781839 | 0.0034781839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.2089383E-6 | 3.2089383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.3752529E-5 | 1.3752529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.6742585E-4 | 1.6742585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0016731621 | 0.0016731621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 7.8566745E-7 | 7.8566745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.3671445E-6 | 3.3671445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.099465E-5 | 4.099465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.0991395E-4 | 4.0991395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.7104968E-4 | 1.0569508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035257316 | 1.0056849 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.893007E-4 | 1.1181107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017117963 | 1.0118015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.893007E-4 | 1.1181107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017117963 | 1.0118015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.1994065E-6 | 2.1994065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.425995E-6 | 9.425995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1475564E-4 | 1.2475449E-4 | 1.0871317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001146983 | 0.0011569716 | 1.0087085 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.029925E-5 | 1.0029835E-4 | 1.1107329 | 1.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.026352E-4 | 9.126262E-4 | 1.0110687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.11837E-5 | 8.118299E-5 | 1.1404716 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.116135E-4 | 7.216064E-4 | 1.0140426 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1375544E-6 | 1.1375544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.935427E-5 | 6.935368E-5 | 1.1684699 | 1.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.933873E-4 | 6.0338137E-4 | 1.0168424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9734177E-6 | 3.9734177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8375307E-5 | 5.8374822E-5 | 1.206707 | 1.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8364952E-4 | 4.936447E-4 | 1.0206661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.493924E-5 | 4.493889E-5 | 1.2862011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.493383E-4 | 3.5933484E-4 | 1.0286156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.921951E-7 | 4.921951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.568172E-5 | 3.5681463E-5 | 1.389372 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5678801E-4 | 2.6678544E-4 | 1.0389327 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2875099E-7 | 3.2875099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7153616E-5 | 2.7153445E-5 | 1.5829575 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7152316E-4 | 1.8152143E-4 | 1.0582912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.664252E-6 | 1.7664175E-5 | 2.3047488 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.663995E-5 | 8.6639186E-5 | 1.1304703 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4563478E-5 | 1.4928068E-5 | 1.4928068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.241341E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5961836E-4 | 7.786299E-4 | 7.986143E-4 | 1.0256661 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00757027 | 0.007759265 | 0.0077791098 | 1.0025575 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.961986E-4 | 1.0170488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005856618 | 1.0017004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.961986E-4 | 1.0170488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005856618 | 1.0017004 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.144834E-6 | 9.144834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.919156E-5 | 3.919156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.7705308E-4 | 4.870483E-4 | 1.020952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047603343 | 0.0047702864 | 1.0020907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.862838E-6 | 7.862838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3697444E-5 | 3.3697444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1018933E-4 | 4.201852E-4 | 1.024369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004094348 | 0.004104307 | 1.0024323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.313926E-6 | 6.313926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7059403E-5 | 2.7059403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.2939852E-4 | 3.3939522E-4 | 1.0303484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0032891145 | 0.0032990815 | 1.0030303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029618132 | 0.0029618132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025531664 | 0.0025531664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021298428 | 0.0021298428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018246946 | 0.0018246946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014754181 | 0.0014754181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011851437 | 0.0011851437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 02
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2243487E-6 | 2.2685547E-6 | 2.2685547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532888E-6 | 9.722344E-6 | 9.722344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1605673E-4 | 1.1836361E-4 | 1.1836361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011599615 | 0.0011830552 | 0.0011930433 | 1.0084426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2243487E-6 | 2.2685547E-6 | 2.2685547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.532888E-6 | 9.722344E-6 | 9.722344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1605673E-4 | 1.1836361E-4 | 1.1836361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011599615 | 0.0011830552 | 0.0011930433 | 1.0084426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5787732E-6 | 1.6163798E-6 | 1.6163798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7661535E-6 | 6.9273237E-6 | 6.9273237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2374805E-5 | 8.433695E-5 | 8.433695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2344277E-4 | 8.4305415E-4 | 8.530457E-4 | 1.0118517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4850314E-6 | 1.5217249E-6 | 1.5217249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3644047E-6 | 6.521662E-6 | 6.521662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.748387E-5 | 7.939838E-5 | 7.939838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.745686E-4 | 7.937039E-4 | 8.03696E-4 | 1.0125892 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4266972E-6 | 1.4630118E-6 | 1.4630118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.114402E-6 | 6.270036E-6 | 6.270036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.44403E-5 | 7.633505E-5 | 7.633505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441537E-4 | 7.630916E-4 | 7.73084E-4 | 1.0130945 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2728015E-6 | 1.3072583E-6 | 1.3072583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4548523E-6 | 5.602524E-6 | 5.602524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.64108E-5 | 6.820862E-5 | 6.820862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.639096E-4 | 6.818794E-4 | 6.918726E-4 | 1.0146554 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1857247E-6 | 1.2193475E-6 | 1.2193475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0816675E-6 | 5.2257647E-6 | 5.2257647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.186755E-5 | 6.362185E-5 | 6.362185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1850325E-4 | 6.360388E-4 | 6.460324E-4 | 1.0157123 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0550715E-6 | 1.0864038E-6 | 1.0864038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.521727E-6 | 4.656008E-6 | 4.656008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5050637E-5 | 5.6685443E-5 | 5.6685443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5037E-4 | 5.6671194E-4 | 5.6671194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.9881183E-7 | 9.2744045E-7 | 9.2744045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8520448E-6 | 3.974739E-6 | 3.974739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.689764E-5 | 4.839139E-5 | 4.839139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688774E-4 | 4.8381023E-4 | 4.8381023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5417256E-7 | 7.7987767E-7 | 7.7987767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.232164E-6 | 3.3423285E-6 | 3.3423285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9350885E-5 | 4.0692103E-5 | 4.0692103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.934392E-4 | 4.0684795E-4 | 4.0684795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.909726E-7 | 6.1189235E-7 | 6.1189235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5327372E-6 | 2.6223931E-6 | 2.6223931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.083564E-5 | 3.192718E-5 | 3.192718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.083136E-4 | 3.192269E-4 | 3.192269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4054178E-7 | 4.570646E-7 | 4.570646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8880348E-6 | 1.958847E-6 | 1.958847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2986582E-5 | 2.3848706E-5 | 2.3848706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2984203E-4 | 2.3846218E-4 | 2.3846218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.029834E-7 | 3.148749E-7 | 3.148749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2984997E-6 | 1.3494632E-6 | 1.3494632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5809119E-5 | 1.6429594E-5 | 1.6429594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5807994E-4 | 1.6428424E-4 | 1.6428424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8700909E-7 | 1.946502E-7 | 1.946502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0146725E-7 | 8.3421486E-7 | 8.3421486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.75782E-6 | 1.0156521E-5 | 1.0156521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.757392E-5 | 1.0156084E-4 | 1.0156084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 3.1806376E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.3631303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.6596099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.6595983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lions Head 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.3804359E-5 | 3.6285274 | 1.0E-5 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.3804359E-5 | 3.6285274 | 1.0E-5 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6896213E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5812653E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9251736E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9250068E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3283942E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264539E-6 | 1.4153162E-6 | 1.4153162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7366938E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736558E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.9684807E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722054E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5488991E-5 | 1.5349422E-5 | 1.5349422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5487912E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.8254823E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2109203E-6 | 1.1992868E-6 | 1.1992868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4742856E-5 | 1.4601219E-5 | 1.4601219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741877E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.5794475E-7 | 2.551549E-7 | 2.551549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.105477E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34591E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3458285E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2678832E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.719496E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1833421E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1832791E-4 | 1.1680639E-4 | 1.1680639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.968546E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436623E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.027154E-5 | 1.0113005E-5 | 1.0113005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0271065E-4 | 1.01125464E-4 | 1.01125464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6101195E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.90051E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.401339E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4010215E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.304744E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.591759E-7 | 5.4451414E-7 | 5.4451414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807945E-6 | 6.6294397E-6 | 6.6294397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807737E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.410614E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0331196E-7 | 3.874535E-7 | 3.874535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910312E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9102036E-5 | 4.717136E-5 | 4.717136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6360826E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.844035E-7 | 2.6745263E-7 | 2.6745263E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.462607E-6 | 3.2562311E-6 | 3.2562311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4625533E-5 | 3.2561835E-5 | 3.2561835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9100893E-8 | 3.4823103E-8 | 3.4823103E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757524E-7 | 1.4924186E-7 | 1.4924186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0402267E-6 | 1.8170181E-6 | 1.8170181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.040208E-5 | 1.8170032E-5 | 1.8170032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9858547E-8 | 1.5320948E-8 | 1.5320948E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5108056E-8 | 6.5661204E-8 | 6.5661204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361902E-6 | 7.9942487E-7 | 7.9942487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361853E-5 | 7.99422E-6 | 7.99422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.717722E-9 | 5.8155853E-9 | 5.8155853E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1647375E-8 | 2.4923935E-8 | 2.4923935E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.070567E-7 | 3.0344887E-7 | 3.0344887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0705553E-6 | 3.0344847E-6 | 3.0344847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.8397716E-9 | 1.5517387E-9 | 1.5517387E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456164E-8 | 6.6503087E-9 | 6.6503087E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035378E-7 | 8.096751E-8 | 8.096751E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035359E-6 | 8.096748E-7 | 8.096748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016834245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016726969 | 1.0005882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016834245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016726969 | 1.0005882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0016834245 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016726969 | 1.0005882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009388637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009388637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3510013E-5 | 1.3510013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.7898826E-5 | 5.7898826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.0470024E-4 | 7.0470024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0070256786 | 0.0070256786 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.35021455E-5 | 1.35021455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.7865112E-5 | 5.7865112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.0429005E-4 | 7.0429005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0070216027 | 0.0070216027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0744042E-5 | 1.0744042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6045123E-5 | 4.6045123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.60462E-4 | 5.60462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005287399 | 0.0055911774 | 0.0055911774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0045909965 | 0.0045909965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028486024 | 0.0028486024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002389514 | 0.002389514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016630491 | 0.0016630491 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.3299766E-6 | 7.3299766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.247201E-7 | 3.247201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.3916568E-6 | 1.3916568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.6943291E-5 | 1.6943291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.6942009E-4 | 1.6942009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.0590635E-7 | 2.0590635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 8.824555E-7 | 8.824555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0743843E-5 | 1.0743843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0743327E-4 | 1.0743327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0346542E-7 | 1.0346542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.4342312E-7 | 4.4342312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.3986632E-6 | 5.3986632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.3985335E-5 | 5.3985335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.060018E-8 | 3.060018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.3114362E-7 | 1.3114362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.5966724E-6 | 1.5966724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.596661E-5 | 1.596661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 6.2812946E-9 | 6.2812946E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 2.6919833E-8 | 2.6919833E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 3.2774892E-7 | 3.2774892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 3.2774847E-6 | 3.2774847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 4.87123E-10 | 4.87123E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 2.0876694E-9 | 2.0876694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 2.5417373E-8 | 2.5417373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 2.5417373E-7 | 2.5417373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011439548 | 1.0008649 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011439548 | 1.0008649 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011439548 | 1.0008649 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010853339 | 1.0009122 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010853339 | 1.0009122 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0135434E-5 | 2.0135434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.62919E-5 | 9.6291034E-5 | 1.1158757 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010501038 | 0.0010600933 | 1.0095129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010452167 | 0.010462063 | 1.0009468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9500492E-5 | 1.9500492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.357089E-5 | 9.357006E-5 | 1.1196489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010170068 | 0.0010269966 | 1.0098227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010124249 | 0.010134148 | 1.0009778 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.8652223E-5 | 1.8652223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 7.993568E-5 | 8.993488E-5 | 1.1250906 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.7278826E-4 | 9.827785E-4 | 1.0102698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009685987 | 0.009695889 | 1.0010225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.813117E-5 | 1.813117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.770273E-5 | 8.770195E-5 | 1.1286856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.45626E-4 | 9.5561653E-4 | 1.010565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009416694 | 0.009426599 | 1.0010519 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.7712911E-5 | 1.7712911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.59103E-5 | 8.590954E-5 | 1.1317245 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.238218E-4 | 9.338126E-4 | 1.0108145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009200477 | 0.009210385 | 1.0010769 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7435013E-5 | 1.7435013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.4719384E-5 | 8.471863E-5 | 1.1338241 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.0933463E-4 | 9.193255E-4 | 1.010987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009056795 | 0.009066705 | 1.0010941 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7118777E-5 | 1.7118777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.336416E-5 | 8.3363426E-5 | 1.1362964 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 8.928484E-4 | 9.0283947E-4 | 1.01119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.008893264 | 0.008903176 | 1.0011145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.6812606E-5 | 1.6812606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.205207E-5 | 8.2051345E-5 | 1.1387786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.7688665E-4 | 8.868779E-4 | 1.011394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008734913 | 0.008744825 | 1.0011349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.5964048E-5 | 1.5964048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.841558E-5 | 7.84149E-5 | 1.1461555 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.32647E-4 | 8.426387E-4 | 1.0119998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008295888 | 0.008305806 | 1.0011954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5480371E-5 | 1.5480371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.634279E-5 | 7.634213E-5 | 1.1507223 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.074297E-4 | 8.1742165E-4 | 1.012375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008045567 | 0.008055487 | 1.0012329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.4811811E-5 | 1.4811811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.347767E-5 | 7.347704E-5 | 1.1575257 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.725722E-4 | 7.8256446E-4 | 1.0129337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007699461 | 0.007709384 | 1.0012888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2365616E-5 | 1.2365616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.2994452E-5 | 6.2993924E-5 | 1.188689 | 1.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.4502156E-4 | 6.5501506E-4 | 1.0154934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0064320215 | 0.0064419573 | 1.0015447 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 5.3162505E-5 | 1.2316703 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.353816E-4 | 1.0190235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977703E-4 | 2.4977463E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154825 | 0.0029254532 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.028999245 | 0.029008955 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977703E-4 | 2.4977463E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154825 | 0.0029254532 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.028999245 | 0.029008955 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 5.595325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977703E-4 | 2.4977463E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154825 | 0.0029254532 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.028999245 | 0.029008955 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 5.5622255E-5 | 5.5622255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.3835873E-4 | 2.4835634E-4 | 1.0419436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0028982607 | 0.0029082317 | 1.0034404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024082264 | 0.02883075 | 0.028840462 | 1.0003369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 5.5030774E-5 | 5.5030774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.3582428E-4 | 2.4582192E-4 | 1.0423944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0028674875 | 0.0028774587 | 1.0034773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02385771 | 0.028531244 | 0.02854096 | 1.0003405 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 5.429144E-5 | 5.429144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.3265628E-4 | 2.4265394E-4 | 1.0429718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002382867 | 0.0028290206 | 0.0028389925 | 1.0035248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023574775 | 0.028156584 | 0.028166303 | 1.0003451 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 5.3980715E-5 | 5.3980715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.3132483E-4 | 2.4132252E-4 | 1.0432192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0028128524 | 0.0028228243 | 1.0035452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023457756 | 0.027998703 | 0.028008424 | 1.0003471 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 4.2463187E-5 | 4.2463187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860666E-4 | 1.8197256E-4 | 1.9197074E-4 | 1.0549433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0022132949 | 0.0022232728 | 1.0045081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019126613 | 0.022132423 | 0.022142202 | 1.0004418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.064901E-5 | 4.064901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5223498E-4 | 1.7419858E-4 | 1.8419683E-4 | 1.0573957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0021188348 | 0.0021288134 | 1.0047096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018365284 | 0.021202728 | 0.021212516 | 1.0004616 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 3.742356E-5 | 3.742356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.60377E-4 | 1.703754E-4 | 1.0623431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0019508706 | 0.001960851 | 1.0051159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017044188 | 0.019544978 | 0.019554783 | 1.0005016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.070378E-5 | 3.070378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.3158111E-4 | 1.4157979E-4 | 1.0759888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0016008429 | 0.0016108269 | 1.0062367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01434065 | 0.016086759 | 0.0160966 | 1.0006117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 2.7477912E-5 | 2.7477912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.1775728E-4 | 1.277561E-4 | 1.0849104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0014327713 | 0.001442757 | 1.0069695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0128157 | 0.014415226 | 0.014425082 | 1.0006837 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.1751393E-5 | 2.1751393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 9.3217015E-5 | 1.0321608E-4 | 1.1072665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0011343416 | 0.0011443303 | 1.0088056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01025145 | 0.011448846 | 0.011458732 | 1.0008634 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.2638754E-5 | 1.2638754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 5.4165015E-5 | 6.416447E-5 | 1.184611 | 1.0E-5 | 6.052865E-4 | 6.5926876E-4 | 6.692622E-4 | 1.0151583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060364045 | 0.006682802 | 0.0066927355 | 1.0014864 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 4.659366E-6 | 4.659366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 1.996856E-5 | 1.996856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 2.4309021E-4 | 2.4309021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0024876609 | 0.0024876609 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 2.9100495E-6 | 2.9100495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.2471582E-5 | 1.2471582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 1.5183097E-4 | 1.5183097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0015751291 | 0.0015751291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 1.6300692E-6 | 1.6300692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 6.985992E-6 | 6.985992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 8.505117E-5 | 8.505117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.205016E-4 | 9.076462E-4 | 9.076462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 1.0420545E-6 | 1.0420545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 4.46594E-6 | 4.46594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 5.4371467E-5 | 5.4371467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8715087E-4 | 5.9443276E-4 | 5.9443276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 7.3010193E-7 | 7.3010193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 3.1290044E-6 | 3.1290044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 3.8094964E-5 | 3.8094964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.926005E-4 | 4.2241134E-4 | 4.2241134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 5.2221867E-7 | 5.2221867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 2.2380782E-6 | 2.2380782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 2.7248263E-5 | 2.7248263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 3.0191193E-4 | 3.0191193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 2.8184357E-7 | 2.8184357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 1.2079004E-6 | 1.2079004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 1.4706089E-5 | 1.4706089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 1.5983215E-4 | 1.5983215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 1.3812058E-7 | 1.3812058E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 5.9194525E-7 | 5.9194525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 7.2069097E-6 | 7.2069097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 7.7707475E-5 | 7.7707475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Franklin 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.2683975E-5 | 9.268315E-5 | 1.1209325 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010062405 | 0.0010162304 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031962 | 0.010041861 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.2683975E-5 | 9.268315E-5 | 1.1209325 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010062405 | 0.0010162304 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031962 | 0.010041861 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.9293502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.2683975E-5 | 9.268315E-5 | 1.1209325 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010062405 | 0.0010162304 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031962 | 0.010041861 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.4314205E-5 | 1.4314205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.134519E-5 | 7.134458E-5 | 1.163002 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.4662914E-4 | 7.5662165E-4 | 1.0133835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.0074542733 | 0.007464199 | 1.0013316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.4314205E-5 | 1.4314205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.134519E-5 | 7.134458E-5 | 1.163002 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.4662914E-4 | 7.5662165E-4 | 1.0133835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.0074542733 | 0.007464199 | 1.0013316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1308949E-5 | 1.1621222E-5 | 1.1621222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8466023E-5 | 4.9804297E-5 | 5.9803802E-5 | 1.2007759 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899141E-4 | 6.0620054E-4 | 6.1619445E-4 | 1.0164862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058835056 | 0.006057998 | 0.0060679377 | 1.0016407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0813164E-5 | 1.1088189E-5 | 1.1088189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6341313E-5 | 4.7519956E-5 | 5.7519483E-5 | 1.2104279 | 1.0E-5 | 5.640594E-4 | 5.7840365E-4 | 5.8839784E-4 | 1.0172789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005626298 | 0.0057814955 | 0.005791438 | 1.0017197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0706348E-5 | 1.0972213E-5 | 1.0972213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5883542E-5 | 4.7022935E-5 | 5.7022462E-5 | 1.2126522 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5848894E-4 | 5.723556E-4 | 5.8234984E-4 | 1.0174617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005570874 | 0.005721328 | 0.0057312706 | 1.0017378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.443655E-6 | 9.593111E-6 | 9.593111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0472176E-5 | 4.1112693E-5 | 5.111228E-5 | 1.2432239 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9263734E-4 | 5.0043326E-4 | 5.104283E-4 | 1.0199727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049154665 | 0.0050055287 | 0.0050154785 | 1.0019878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.7001645E-6 | 8.783545E-6 | 8.783545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.728589E-5 | 3.764323E-5 | 4.7642854E-5 | 1.265642 | 1.0E-5 | 4.538611E-4 | 4.5821103E-4 | 4.6820645E-4 | 1.021814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045293528 | 0.004585112 | 0.0045950664 | 1.0021709 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.074731E-6 | 8.094266E-6 | 8.094266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.460553E-5 | 3.4689256E-5 | 4.468891E-5 | 1.2882637 | 1.0E-5 | 4.212409E-4 | 4.222608E-4 | 4.3225658E-4 | 1.0236721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004204433 | 0.004227019 | 0.004236977 | 1.0023557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.3370957E-6 | 7.27979E-6 | 7.27979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1444317E-5 | 3.119873E-5 | 4.1198422E-5 | 1.3205159 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276732E-4 | 3.7977926E-4 | 3.8977547E-4 | 1.026321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038210868 | 0.003803568 | 0.0038135299 | 1.0026191 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.1750103E-6 | 4.901643E-6 | 4.901643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2178427E-5 | 2.1006874E-5 | 3.1006664E-5 | 1.4760246 | 1.0E-5 | 2.699889E-4 | 2.5572896E-4 | 2.6572638E-4 | 1.0390939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002696611 | 0.0025660463 | 0.0025760205 | 1.003887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5221371E-6 | 3.335425E-6 | 3.335425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5094786E-5 | 1.42946E-5 | 2.4294457E-5 | 1.6995548 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8376352E-4 | 1.7402295E-4 | 1.840212E-4 | 1.0574536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018361164 | 0.0017501413 | 0.0017601238 | 1.0057038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5749775E-6 | 2.4305277E-6 | 2.4305277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1035571E-5 | 1.04165065E-5 | 1.04165065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.343498E-4 | 1.2681364E-4 | 1.2681364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001342686 | 0.0012775618 | 0.0012775618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3642131E-6 | 1.2515754E-6 | 1.2515754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8466144E-6 | 5.3638837E-6 | 5.3638837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1180206E-5 | 6.530334E-5 | 6.530334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.115741E-4 | 6.6170964E-4 | 6.6170964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.329124E-7 | 4.2422784E-7 | 4.2422784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2839083E-6 | 1.818118E-6 | 1.818118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7806227E-5 | 2.2135364E-5 | 2.2135364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.780275E-4 | 2.2991898E-4 | 2.2991898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.199127E-7 | 3.1189668E-7 | 3.1189668E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7996247E-6 | 1.3366994E-6 | 1.3366994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.191021E-5 | 1.6274194E-5 | 1.6274194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.190805E-4 | 1.7109045E-4 | 1.7109045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2586491E-7 | 1.5514081E-7 | 1.5514081E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.67992E-7 | 6.6488906E-7 | 6.6488906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.178524E-5 | 8.094994E-6 | 8.094994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17846146E-4 | 8.619274E-5 | 8.619274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4568845E-7 | 1.0242755E-7 | 1.0242755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.243789E-7 | 4.3897512E-7 | 4.3897512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.601787E-6 | 5.344509E-6 | 5.344509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.601527E-5 | 5.7302896E-5 | 5.7302896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2868224E-8 | 4.71011E-8 | 4.71011E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2657808E-7 | 2.0186184E-7 | 2.0186184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7585847E-6 | 2.457665E-6 | 2.457665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7585504E-5 | 2.6479745E-5 | 2.6479745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.654434E-9 | 2.450213E-9 | 2.450213E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376145E-8 | 1.0500912E-8 | 1.0500912E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3850456E-7 | 1.278486E-7 | 1.278486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3850448E-6 | 1.3577909E-6 | 1.3577909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8170693E-5 | 2.1669506E-5 | 3.166929E-5 | 1.461468 | 1.0E-5 | 7.787207E-5 | 9.286595E-5 | 1.0286502E-4 | 1.1076721 | 1.0E-5 | 9.476801E-4 | 0.0011300339 | 0.0011400225 | 1.0088392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009436488 | 0.011298514 | 0.011308401 | 1.0008751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7048891E-5 | 2.0465388E-5 | 3.0465184E-5 | 1.4886199 | 1.0E-5 | 7.306463E-5 | 8.77058E-5 | 9.770492E-5 | 1.1140076 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8919874E-4 | 0.001067272 | 0.0010772613 | 1.0093597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008856491 | 0.010677074 | 0.0106869675 | 1.0009266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6137668E-5 | 1.9480574E-5 | 2.948038E-5 | 1.5133219 | 1.0E-5 | 6.91596E-5 | 8.348544E-5 | 9.348461E-5 | 1.1197714 | 1.0E-5 | 8.416928E-4 | 0.0010159381 | 0.001025928 | 1.0098331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008385119 | 0.010168539 | 0.010178437 | 1.0009735 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5083093E-5 | 1.8354474E-5 | 2.835429E-5 | 1.5448163 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4640226E-5 | 7.86596E-5 | 8.865881E-5 | 1.12712 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8671053E-4 | 9.572363E-4 | 9.672267E-4 | 1.0104368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007839313 | 0.009586711 | 0.009596616 | 1.0010331 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 1.7646815E-5 | 2.764664E-5 | 1.5666645 | 1.0E-5 | 6.186637E-5 | 7.562696E-5 | 8.56262E-5 | 1.132218 | 1.0E-5 | 7.529627E-4 | 9.2034595E-4 | 9.303367E-4 | 1.0108554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007504165 | 0.009221364 | 0.009231271 | 1.0010744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.5576717E-5 | 1.5576717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576793E-5 | 6.6755594E-5 | 6.6755594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.78763E-4 | 8.1244216E-4 | 8.1244216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067669353 | 0.008153192 | 0.008153192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.3218038E-5 | 1.3218038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8087906E-5 | 5.664751E-5 | 5.664751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8531296E-4 | 6.8946666E-4 | 6.8946666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005837737 | 0.0069324267 | 0.0069324267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 9.208978E-6 | 9.208978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4654473E-5 | 3.9466453E-5 | 3.9466453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2183654E-4 | 4.803986E-4 | 4.803986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004210367 | 0.00484838 | 0.00484838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 7.973516E-6 | 7.973516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9297524E-5 | 3.4171768E-5 | 3.4171768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5663895E-4 | 4.1596228E-4 | 4.1596228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035606713 | 0.0042010094 | 0.0042010094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 6.106963E-6 | 6.106963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2507242E-5 | 2.6172438E-5 | 2.6172438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.739912E-4 | 3.1860298E-4 | 3.1860298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027365363 | 0.0032234103 | 0.0032234103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 5.1692027E-6 | 5.1692027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.2153537E-5 | 2.2153537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.327044E-4 | 2.6968605E-4 | 2.6968605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023246086 | 0.0027321351 | 0.0027321351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 4.8020365E-6 | 4.8020365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.0579995E-5 | 2.0579995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1647944E-4 | 2.5053273E-4 | 2.5053273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021626868 | 0.0025398487 | 0.0025398487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 2.4203991E-6 | 2.4203991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.0373098E-5 | 1.0373098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.2628517E-4 | 1.2628517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011541754 | 0.0012925857 | 0.0012925857 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 1.9293295E-6 | 1.9293295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4411373E-6 | 8.268528E-6 | 8.268528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.006647E-4 | 1.006647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0555154E-4 | 0.0010337839 | 0.0010337839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.247833E-6 | 1.247833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9835944E-6 | 5.3478443E-6 | 5.3478443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0673574E-5 | 6.510807E-5 | 6.510807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065701E-4 | 6.7349646E-4 | 6.7349646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 5.2503935E-7 | 5.2503935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3833122E-6 | 2.2501665E-6 | 2.2501665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9016439E-5 | 2.7395436E-5 | 2.7395436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.901265E-4 | 2.9231908E-4 | 2.9231908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 3.9991383E-7 | 3.9991383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988985E-6 | 1.7139153E-6 | 1.7139153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3118844E-5 | 2.0866719E-5 | 2.0866719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3116439E-4 | 2.2632928E-4 | 2.2632928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 2.9609095E-7 | 2.9609095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5596215E-6 | 1.2689605E-6 | 1.2689605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988227E-5 | 1.5449485E-5 | 1.5449485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8986604E-4 | 1.7060601E-4 | 1.7060601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 2.5493975E-7 | 2.5493975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3351254E-6 | 1.0925984E-6 | 1.0925984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6255031E-5 | 1.3302304E-5 | 1.3302304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6253842E-4 | 1.4629964E-4 | 1.4629964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 1.7832993E-7 | 1.7832993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.729696E-7 | 7.6427085E-7 | 7.6427085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.410865E-6 | 9.304958E-6 | 9.304958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.410465E-5 | 1.0220597E-4 | 1.0220597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.0088664E-7 | 1.0088664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 4.3237122E-7 | 4.3237122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 5.264107E-6 | 5.264107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.841707E-5 | 5.6678473E-5 | 5.6678473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 6.3113575E-8 | 6.3113575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 2.704867E-7 | 2.704867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 3.2931707E-6 | 3.2931707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917407E-5 | 3.5147285E-5 | 3.5147285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.006073858 | 1.0016391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.006073858 | 1.0016391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.3888996E-4 | 5.3888996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0053767376 | 0.0053866836 | 1.0018499 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0048423875 | 0.0048423875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004581874 | 0.004837522 | 0.004837522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0037976773 | 0.0037976773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027143832 | 0.0027143832 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018483351 | 0.0018483351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 3.3280565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.4262409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017352258 | 0.0017352258 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017232923 | 0.01724275 | 1.0005703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009768659 | 0.009778561 | 1.0010136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.8804545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 8.058866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 9.807679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009768659 | 0.009778561 | 1.0010136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4052311E-5 | 1.4052311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.022297E-5 | 6.022297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.3299883E-4 | 7.3299883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006687004 | 0.0073088603 | 0.0073187873 | 1.0013582 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.1567552E-5 | 1.1567552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 4.957444E-5 | 4.957444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.034294E-4 | 6.034294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005509687 | 0.006020642 | 0.006030582 | 1.0016509 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 8.88816E-6 | 8.88816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.8091694E-5 | 3.8091694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.636915E-4 | 4.636915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042373384 | 0.0046295812 | 0.0046395347 | 1.00215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.3305115E-6 | 6.3305115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7130598E-5 | 2.7130598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.302856E-4 | 3.302856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00301531 | 0.0032999713 | 0.0033099384 | 1.0030203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.7049193E-6 | 4.7049193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.016389E-5 | 2.016389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.4548668E-4 | 2.4548668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022430231 | 0.0024540133 | 0.0024639887 | 1.0040649 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.0405404E-7 | 6.0405404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.5888005E-6 | 2.5888005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.1518208E-5 | 3.1518208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.1513887E-4 | 3.1513887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.0385955E-7 | 5.0385955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.1593962E-6 | 2.1593962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.6290347E-5 | 2.6290347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.6287374E-4 | 2.6287374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.3910493E-7 | 2.3910493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0247351E-6 | 1.0247351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.24760845E-5 | 1.24760845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.2475441E-4 | 1.2475441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2440114E-8 | 1.2440114E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.3314775E-8 | 5.3314775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.491074E-7 | 6.491074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.4910737E-6 | 6.4910737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.1572016E-6 | 4.1572016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668773 | 0.0021768555 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.1572016E-6 | 4.1572016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668773 | 0.0021768555 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.1572016E-6 | 4.1572016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668773 | 0.0021768555 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.1572016E-6 | 4.1572016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.781646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 2.1689432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668773 | 0.0021768555 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.599602E-6 | 3.599602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5426776E-5 | 1.5426776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.8780516E-4 | 1.8780516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001876498 | 0.0018864793 | 1.0053191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.599602E-6 | 3.599602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5426776E-5 | 1.5426776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.8780516E-4 | 1.8780516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041566887 | 0.001876498 | 0.0018864793 | 1.0053191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.3448682E-6 | 3.3448682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4335073E-5 | 1.4335073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7451584E-4 | 1.7451584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017438184 | 0.001753801 | 1.0057245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.28348E-6 | 3.28348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4071983E-5 | 1.4071983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7131322E-4 | 1.7131322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017118417 | 0.0017218245 | 1.0058317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.043597E-6 | 3.043597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3043923E-5 | 1.3043923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.5879847E-4 | 1.5879847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0015868775 | 0.0015868775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.8617353E-6 | 2.8617353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2264524E-5 | 1.2264524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.4931062E-4 | 1.4931062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003184194 | 0.0014921298 | 0.0014921298 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.5782372E-6 | 2.5782372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1049543E-5 | 1.1049543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3452013E-4 | 1.3452013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013444114 | 0.0013444114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.0798602E-6 | 2.0798602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 8.913657E-6 | 8.913657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.0851859E-4 | 1.0851859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0010846772 | 0.0010846772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.252296E-6 | 1.252296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.366972E-6 | 5.366972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.5341E-5 | 6.5341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.532258E-4 | 6.532258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.092642E-7 | 7.092642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.0397005E-6 | 3.0397005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.7007743E-5 | 3.7007743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.700177E-4 | 3.700177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.2361474E-7 | 5.2361474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.7321108E-5 | 2.7321108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.73178E-4 | 2.73178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Eureka Peak
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.555427E-6 | 1.7555352E-5 | 2.3235419 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 4.237996E-5 | 1.3088199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.0040047136 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.555427E-6 | 1.7555352E-5 | 2.3235419 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 4.237996E-5 | 1.3088199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.0040047136 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.555427E-6 | 1.7555352E-5 | 2.3235419 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 4.237996E-5 | 1.3088199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.0040047136 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7339745E-5 | 6.393458E-6 | 1.6393395E-5 | 2.5640888 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1716507E-4 | 2.7400522E-5 | 3.740025E-5 | 1.3649466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014255513 | 3.3359887E-4 | 3.4359554E-4 | 1.0299661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0033867164 | 0.0033966824 | 1.0029427 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7339745E-5 | 6.393458E-6 | 1.6393395E-5 | 2.5640888 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1716507E-4 | 2.7400522E-5 | 3.740025E-5 | 1.3649466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014255513 | 3.3359887E-4 | 3.4359554E-4 | 1.0299661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0033867164 | 0.0033966824 | 1.0029427 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.738388E-8 | 1.561981E-7 | 1.561981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1735944E-7 | 6.694202E-7 | 6.694202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.081339E-6 | 8.150161E-6 | 8.150161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0812232E-5 | 8.149868E-5 | 8.149868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.5339909E-7 | 1.5339909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 6.574245E-7 | 6.574245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 8.004114E-6 | 8.004114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8783666E-5 | 8.003831E-5 | 8.003831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.5339909E-7 | 1.5339909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 6.574245E-7 | 6.574245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 8.004114E-6 | 8.004114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8783666E-5 | 8.003831E-5 | 8.003831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.591428E-8 | 1.505855E-7 | 1.505855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68204E-7 | 6.453663E-7 | 6.453663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4828744E-6 | 7.857307E-6 | 7.857307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.482784E-5 | 7.8570345E-5 | 7.8570345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.749723E-8 | 1.4499385E-7 | 1.4499385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3213098E-7 | 6.21402E-7 | 6.21402E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.043687E-6 | 7.565544E-6 | 7.565544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0436134E-5 | 7.565291E-5 | 7.565291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.897872E-8 | 1.3563475E-7 | 1.3563475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9562307E-7 | 5.812916E-7 | 5.812916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5992048E-6 | 7.077203E-6 | 7.077203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5991467E-5 | 7.076982E-5 | 7.076982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.859318E-8 | 1.2085403E-7 | 1.2085403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111362E-7 | 5.1794575E-7 | 5.1794575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.057304E-6 | 6.3059715E-6 | 6.3059715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0572617E-5 | 6.305797E-5 | 6.305797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.1375338E-8 | 1.08362E-7 | 1.08362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2018E-7 | 4.6440852E-7 | 4.6440852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.680688E-6 | 5.6541594E-6 | 5.6541594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6806558E-5 | 5.654019E-5 | 5.654019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.5441396E-8 | 9.235654E-8 | 9.235654E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474882E-7 | 3.9581366E-7 | 3.9581366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3710643E-6 | 4.819021E-6 | 4.819021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.371039E-5 | 4.81892E-5 | 4.81892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.981918E-8 | 5.064721E-8 | 5.064721E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2779647E-7 | 2.1705945E-7 | 2.1705945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5559209E-6 | 2.6426958E-6 | 2.6426958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.55591E-5 | 2.6426667E-5 | 2.6426667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 5.6670304E-9 | 5.6670304E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 2.4287273E-8 | 2.4287273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 2.9569753E-7 | 2.9569753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134857E-6 | 2.9569744E-6 | 2.9569744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0263006E-4 | 1.7579994E-4 | 1.8579818E-4 | 1.0568728 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3976895E-4 | 7.5324235E-4 | 7.632348E-4 | 1.013266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00534105 | 0.009125201 | 0.00913511 | 1.0010859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05214491 | 0.08685496 | 0.086864084 | 1.0001051 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.1584851E-4 | 1.2584735E-4 | 1.0863097 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9960944E-4 | 4.964098E-4 | 5.0640485E-4 | 1.0201347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.006024369 | 0.006034309 | 1.00165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.058308125 | 0.05831754 | 1.0001615 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.1584851E-4 | 1.2584735E-4 | 1.0863097 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9960944E-4 | 4.964098E-4 | 5.0640485E-4 | 1.0201347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.006024369 | 0.006034309 | 1.00165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.058308125 | 0.05831754 | 1.0001615 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.1554971E-4 | 1.2554855E-4 | 1.0865328 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9871898E-4 | 4.9513E-4 | 5.0512503E-4 | 1.0201867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0060088974 | 0.0060188374 | 1.0016541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035720866 | 0.05816382 | 0.05817324 | 1.0001619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.1524721E-4 | 1.2524606E-4 | 1.08676 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9789665E-4 | 4.938342E-4 | 5.038293E-4 | 1.0202397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036208609 | 0.005993236 | 0.0060031763 | 1.0016586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03562429 | 0.058018085 | 0.058027502 | 1.0001624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 7.638488E-5 | 7.638488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 3.2732432E-4 | 3.2732432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0039781854 | 0.0039781854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02466527 | 0.039052345 | 0.039052345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 7.1704846E-5 | 7.1704846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.0727196E-4 | 3.0727196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0037349144 | 0.0037349144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02303517 | 0.03671827 | 0.03671827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 6.272858E-5 | 6.272858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 2.6881063E-4 | 2.6881063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.0032681373 | 0.0032681373 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020065336 | 0.032246128 | 0.032246128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 5.467684E-5 | 5.467684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.3430976E-4 | 2.3430976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0028492545 | 0.0028492545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017698295 | 0.0281873 | 0.0281873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 2.4004663E-5 | 2.4004663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.02873266E-4 | 1.02873266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0012517975 | 0.0012517975 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.012565794 | 0.012565794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 1.7639415E-5 | 1.7639415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 7.5595446E-5 | 7.5595446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 9.2001155E-4 | 9.2001155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.009267341 | 0.009267341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.1840349E-5 | 1.1840349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 5.0743387E-5 | 5.0743387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 6.176292E-4 | 6.176292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.006236391 | 0.006236391 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 8.812111E-6 | 8.812111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 3.776566E-5 | 3.776566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 4.5970271E-4 | 4.5970271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.004662325 | 0.004662325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 6.668588E-6 | 6.668588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 2.8579363E-5 | 2.8579363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 3.4790047E-4 | 3.4790047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.00353268 | 0.00353268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 6.059444E-6 | 6.059444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 2.5968799E-5 | 2.5968799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 3.1612648E-4 | 3.1612648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0032095555 | 0.0032095555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.0309177E-6 | 3.0309177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.2989591E-5 | 1.2989591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 1.5813833E-4 | 1.5813833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.00160406 | 0.00160406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.176894E-8 | 3.176894E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.361526E-7 | 1.361526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 1.6576566E-6 | 1.6576566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 1.668067E-5 | 1.668067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 1.8974399E-8 | 1.8974399E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 8.131885E-8 | 8.131885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 9.900566E-7 | 9.900566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 9.9727795E-6 | 9.9727795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.02928E-6 | 6.02928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.5839516E-5 | 2.5839516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.1455074E-4 | 3.245476E-4 | 1.0317813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038330809 | 0.0038430425 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.9152558E-6 | 5.9152558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.535085E-5 | 2.535085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.0860293E-4 | 3.1859984E-4 | 1.032394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622119 | 0.0037721742 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.9152558E-6 | 5.9152558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.535085E-5 | 2.535085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.0860293E-4 | 3.1859984E-4 | 1.032394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622119 | 0.0037721742 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 5.8485607E-6 | 5.8485607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 2.506502E-5 | 2.506502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004431336 | 3.0512392E-4 | 3.1512088E-4 | 1.0327636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.0037209576 | 0.0037309204 | 1.0026774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 5.814024E-6 | 5.814024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 2.4917008E-5 | 2.4917008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044247704 | 3.033224E-4 | 3.1331938E-4 | 1.0329583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.0037010356 | 0.0037109987 | 1.002692 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 5.7394705E-6 | 5.7394705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 2.4597497E-5 | 2.4597497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004406125 | 2.9943345E-4 | 3.0943044E-4 | 1.0333863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.0036567387 | 0.0036667022 | 1.0027246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 5.699653E-6 | 5.699653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 2.4426854E-5 | 2.4426854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004385734 | 2.9735643E-4 | 3.0735345E-4 | 1.0336196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.0036335008 | 0.0036434643 | 1.0027422 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 5.5919927E-6 | 5.5919927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 2.3965462E-5 | 2.3965462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004355922 | 2.917405E-4 | 3.0173757E-4 | 1.0342671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.0035745096 | 0.0035844739 | 1.0027876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 5.4371267E-6 | 5.4371267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 2.3301764E-5 | 2.3301764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004326499 | 2.8366208E-4 | 2.9365925E-4 | 1.0352432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.0034912047 | 0.0035011698 | 1.0028543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 5.2793266E-6 | 5.2793266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 2.2625489E-5 | 2.2625489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041871946 | 2.7543056E-4 | 2.8542778E-4 | 1.0362968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.003403975 | 0.003413941 | 1.0029278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 4.9293285E-6 | 4.9293285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 2.1125521E-5 | 2.1125521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004084008 | 2.571729E-4 | 2.6717034E-4 | 1.0388744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.0032146482 | 0.0032246162 | 1.0031008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 4.782341E-6 | 4.782341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 2.0495585E-5 | 2.0495585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004020803 | 2.4950522E-4 | 2.5950273E-4 | 1.0400693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.0031371217 | 0.0031470903 | 1.0031776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 4.4094177E-6 | 4.4094177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 1.8897366E-5 | 1.8897366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038298194 | 2.3005118E-4 | 2.4004887E-4 | 1.0434586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.0028887573 | 0.0028987282 | 1.0034517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 4.0308228E-6 | 4.0308228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 1.727484E-5 | 1.727484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035452035 | 2.103009E-4 | 2.202988E-4 | 1.0475409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.0026367619 | 0.0026467356 | 1.0037825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 3.4202062E-6 | 3.4202062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 1.4657943E-5 | 1.4657943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029558712 | 1.7844586E-4 | 1.8844407E-4 | 1.0560294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.0022113 | 0.002221278 | 1.0045122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 3.2671683E-6 | 3.2671683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 1.4002074E-5 | 1.4002074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002578006 | 1.7046192E-4 | 1.8046022E-4 | 1.0586541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.00211243 | 0.002122409 | 1.0047239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 3.2420473E-6 | 3.2420473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 1.3894414E-5 | 1.3894414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020703338 | 1.6915136E-4 | 1.7914968E-4 | 1.0591086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.0020953156 | 0.0021052947 | 1.0047625 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 3.1558923E-6 | 3.1558923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 1.3525182E-5 | 1.3525182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001257516 | 1.6465665E-4 | 1.7465501E-4 | 1.0607225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.002030987 | 0.0020409669 | 1.0049137 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 3.0312256E-6 | 3.0312256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 1.2990901E-5 | 1.2990901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260915E-4 | 1.5815276E-4 | 1.6815118E-4 | 1.06322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.0019432898 | 0.0019532703 | 1.0051359 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 2.6084847E-6 | 2.6084847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 1.1179171E-5 | 1.1179171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.864001E-4 | 1.3609792E-4 | 1.3609792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0016688411 | 0.0016688411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 1.2884558E-6 | 1.2884558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 5.5219416E-6 | 5.5219416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 6.722757E-5 | 6.722757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 8.4866595E-4 | 8.4866595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.3665972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.856844E-7 | 5.856844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.1306845E-6 | 7.1306845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.3429386E-5 | 9.3429386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.2848578E-4 | 1.0457591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026677377 | 1.0037526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.026359763 | 1.0003695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.2848578E-4 | 1.0457591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026677377 | 1.0037526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.026359763 | 1.0003695 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0057214E-4 | 1.1103982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011125285 | 1.00906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011016756 | 1.0008985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0057214E-4 | 1.1103982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011125285 | 1.00906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011016756 | 1.0008985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.3191804E-5 | 8.319107E-5 | 1.1366173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3174125E-4 | 8.911071E-4 | 9.010982E-4 | 1.011212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072933645 | 0.008910626 | 0.008920537 | 1.0011122 | 1.0E-5 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 7.096745E-5 | 1.1640103 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.712667E-4 | 1.0382646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.3785683E-5 | 5.3785243E-5 | 1.2283752 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4978478E-4 | 1.8764217E-4 | 1.976403E-4 | 1.053283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0022826365 | 0.0022926137 | 1.0043709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018072363 | 0.022640212 | 0.022649985 | 1.0004317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.430819E-5 | 3.430819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.4702923E-4 | 1.4702923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0017890426 | 0.0017890426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014255894 | 0.017788876 | 0.017788876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.422804E-5 | 3.422804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.466858E-4 | 1.466858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001431093 | 0.0017848681 | 0.0017848681 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014219119 | 0.017747799 | 0.017747799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.3457154E-5 | 2.3457154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.0052883E-4 | 1.0052883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0012236129 | 0.0012236129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009877323 | 0.012204213 | 0.012204213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.322353E-6 | 6.322353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.7095539E-5 | 2.7095539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.2984227E-4 | 3.2984227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002900493 | 0.0032939245 | 0.0032939245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.5421875E-6 | 4.5421875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 1.946639E-5 | 1.946639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.3698076E-4 | 2.3698076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0023675992 | 0.0023675992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.3714326E-6 | 2.3714326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0163256E-5 | 1.0163256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2373299E-4 | 1.2373299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012368725 | 0.0012368725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.198726E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806816 | 9.9777E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014708545 | 0.009936156 | 0.009946057 | 1.0009965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.009946057 | 1.0009965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.009946057 | 1.0009965 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.2115585E-5 | 6.2115585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.5601495E-4 | 7.5601495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007027647 | 0.0075364397 | 0.0075463643 | 1.0013169 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658551E-5 | 4.9819857E-5 | 4.9819857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.06403E-4 | 6.06403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005655863 | 0.0060489774 | 0.0060589164 | 1.0016432 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.6287667E-5 | 3.6287667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.4172167E-4 | 4.4172167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004409315 | 0.004419271 | 1.002258 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.0053872E-5 | 3.0053872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.6585206E-4 | 3.6585206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0036532457 | 0.0036532457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.1476886E-5 | 2.1476886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.614533E-4 | 2.614533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002611812 | 0.002611812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 1.967739E-5 | 1.967739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.3954941E-4 | 2.3954941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0023932576 | 0.0023932576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001423255 | 0.001505361 | 0.001505361 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0010514441 | 0.0010514441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.5862103E-6 | 1.5862103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.358289E-4 | 2.1495085E-4 | 2.1495085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8199395E-4 | 9.2084124E-4 | 9.3083206E-4 | 1.0108496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070627797 | 0.0111370385 | 0.011146927 | 1.0008879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06842483 | 0.10507305 | 0.105082 | 1.0000851 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2634568E-4 | 1.9993636E-4 | 1.9993636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4136914E-4 | 8.565505E-4 | 8.6654193E-4 | 1.0116647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065712677 | 0.010363592 | 0.010373488 | 1.0009549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06380317 | 0.09818637 | 0.09819539 | 1.0000918 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1466059E-4 | 1.7943201E-4 | 1.7943201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9130997E-4 | 7.687568E-4 | 7.7874906E-4 | 1.012998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005965305 | 0.009307483 | 0.009317391 | 1.0010644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05807694 | 0.088796146 | 0.08880526 | 1.0001026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.2697688E-4 | 1.2697688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 5.4405554E-4 | 5.540501E-4 | 1.0183705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004525038 | 0.0066008307 | 0.0066107647 | 1.001505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.06440706 | 0.064416416 | 1.0001453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.2479369E-4 | 1.2479369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 5.347029E-4 | 5.446975E-4 | 1.018692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044306475 | 0.006487644 | 0.0064975787 | 1.0015314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.06332687 | 0.06333624 | 1.0001479 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.2342045E-4 | 1.2342045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 5.2882003E-4 | 5.3881475E-4 | 1.0189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004376863 | 0.0064165066 | 0.0064264424 | 1.0015485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.06265836 | 0.06266774 | 1.0001496 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.2044705E-4 | 1.2044705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 5.160851E-4 | 5.2607997E-4 | 1.0193666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042669317 | 0.006262599 | 0.0062725367 | 1.0015868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.061219778 | 0.061229166 | 1.0001533 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.1750418E-4 | 1.1750418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 5.0347904E-4 | 5.13474E-4 | 1.0198518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004172157 | 0.0061102672 | 0.006120206 | 1.0016266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.059803408 | 0.05981281 | 1.0001572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.01052785E-4 | 1.01052785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 4.33006E-4 | 4.4300169E-4 | 1.0230844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0052578016 | 0.005267749 | 1.001892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.05180804 | 0.05181752 | 1.000183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 7.633014E-5 | 7.633014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 3.2708838E-4 | 3.370851E-4 | 1.0305628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029876942 | 0.003975069 | 0.0039850296 | 1.0025057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.039629024 | 0.039638627 | 1.0002424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 6.308594E-5 | 6.308594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 2.7034053E-4 | 2.8033784E-4 | 1.0369804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0032864693 | 0.0032964365 | 1.0030328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.032955922 | 0.03296559 | 1.0002935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 5.479921E-5 | 5.479921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 2.3483283E-4 | 2.4483047E-4 | 1.0425735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002241108 | 0.0028553791 | 0.0028653506 | 1.0034921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.028745065 | 0.028754776 | 1.0003378 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 3.945199E-5 | 3.945199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 1.690691E-4 | 1.790674E-4 | 1.0591375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0020564904 | 0.0020664698 | 1.0048527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.02090549 | 0.02091528 | 1.0004684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 2.8582444E-5 | 2.8582444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.224905E-4 | 1.3248927E-4 | 1.081629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0014903123 | 0.0015002975 | 1.0067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.0152198495 | 0.015229697 | 1.0006471 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 1.9018702E-5 | 1.9018702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 8.150618E-5 | 8.150618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 9.918873E-4 | 9.918873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.010214759 | 0.010214759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 1.6790134E-5 | 1.6790134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 7.1955736E-5 | 7.1955736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 8.7571034E-4 | 8.7571034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.0090548415 | 0.0090548415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.0359015E-5 | 1.0359015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 4.4395027E-5 | 4.4395027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 5.403761E-4 | 5.403761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.0056599663 | 0.0056599663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 3.7628834E-6 | 3.7628834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 1.6126543E-5 | 1.6126543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 1.9632299E-4 | 1.9632299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.00215899 | 0.00215899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 3.247493E-6 | 3.247493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 1.3917753E-5 | 1.3917753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 1.6943547E-4 | 1.6943547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0018708099 | 0.0018708099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 2.5666764E-6 | 2.5666764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 1.0999995E-5 | 1.0999995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 1.3391672E-4 | 1.3391672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0014701776 | 0.0014701776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 1.6587425E-6 | 1.6587425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 7.1088766E-6 | 7.1088766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 8.6547145E-5 | 8.6547145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 9.3751185E-4 | 9.3751185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 1.0440656E-6 | 1.0440656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 4.4745593E-6 | 4.4745593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 5.4476404E-5 | 5.4476404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 5.871309E-4 | 5.871309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Richfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 1.6578824E-5 | 2.520003 | 1.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 9.0095346E-5 | 1.1248399 | 1.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.1077206E-4 | 1.0124779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 1.6578824E-5 | 2.520003 | 1.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 9.0095346E-5 | 1.1248399 | 1.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.1077206E-4 | 1.0124779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.065744E-5 | 16.210365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.065744E-5 | 16.210365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.065744E-5 | 16.210365 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0777299E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6188418E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6234253E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623283E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1301874E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.129375E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115008E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1114952E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8413502E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.891501E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607899E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607857E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2290541E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2673748E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.413027E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4130086E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.373573E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7315311E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256384E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256335E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6989944E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5852834E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300822E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300805E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.097397E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9888434E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943917E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943911E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.8314464E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4991786E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427527E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427532E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.08484E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3220073E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016083556 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015967647 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011891827 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011830098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011891827 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011830098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.001030178 | 0.001030178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.01025539 | 0.01025539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.0093945945 | 0.0093945945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007556338 | 0.007556338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006032109 | 0.006032109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0044262577 | 0.0044262577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0022814118 | 0.0022814118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194182E-4 | 8.2941E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892142 | 0.009902043 | 1.0010009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.091976956 | 0.09198603 | 1.0000987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194182E-4 | 8.2941E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892142 | 0.009902043 | 1.0010009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.091976956 | 0.09198603 | 1.0000987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1656485E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.9130806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.99468E-4 | 8.194182E-4 | 8.2941E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060640806 | 0.009892142 | 0.009902043 | 1.0010009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059012495 | 0.091976956 | 0.09198603 | 1.0000987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.152476E-4 | 1.9014826E-4 | 1.9014826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.938248E-4 | 8.1445166E-4 | 8.244435E-4 | 1.0122682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005995755 | 0.009832341 | 0.009842243 | 1.0010071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058365438 | 0.0914397 | 0.09144879 | 1.0000994 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 1.730484E-4 | 1.730484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 7.4124953E-4 | 7.5124216E-4 | 1.0134808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.008957614 | 0.008967524 | 1.0011064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.08412348 | 0.08413264 | 1.0001088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.5327997E-4 | 1.5327997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 6.56613E-4 | 6.666064E-4 | 1.0152197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.007941971 | 0.007951891 | 1.0012491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.075275786 | 0.07528504 | 1.0001228 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.17263764E-4 | 1.17263764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 5.0244655E-4 | 5.124415E-4 | 1.0198926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.0060973316 | 0.0061072707 | 1.0016301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.05968651 | 0.059695914 | 1.0001576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.1305129E-4 | 1.1305129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 4.844024E-4 | 4.9439754E-4 | 1.0206339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.0058792727 | 0.005889214 | 1.0016909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.057662796 | 0.05767222 | 1.0001634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 9.6919444E-5 | 9.6919444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 4.1529746E-4 | 4.2529328E-4 | 1.0240691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0050432193 | 0.005053169 | 1.0019729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.049817387 | 0.049826887 | 1.0001907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 7.508753E-5 | 7.508753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 3.2176427E-4 | 3.3176105E-4 | 1.0310687 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.003910491 | 0.0039204517 | 1.0025473 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.039085913 | 0.039095525 | 1.0002458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 6.2290615E-5 | 6.2290615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 2.6693274E-4 | 2.7693005E-4 | 1.0374526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0032451116 | 0.0032550793 | 1.0030715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.03264067 | 0.032650344 | 1.0002964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 5.1399467E-5 | 5.1399467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 2.2026504E-4 | 2.3026283E-4 | 1.0453899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0026784635 | 0.0026884368 | 1.0037235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.027099146 | 0.027108874 | 1.000359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 3.899351E-5 | 3.899351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 1.6710443E-4 | 1.7710276E-4 | 1.0598328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0020326152 | 0.002042595 | 1.0049098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.020759376 | 0.020769168 | 1.0004717 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 2.8093871E-5 | 2.8093871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.20396806E-4 | 1.3039561E-4 | 1.0830487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0014648561 | 0.0014748415 | 1.0068166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.015028835 | 0.015038685 | 1.0006554 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 1.8721707E-5 | 1.8721707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 8.0233425E-5 | 8.0233425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 9.764054E-4 | 9.764054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.010117976 | 0.010117976 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 1.6547792E-5 | 1.6547792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 7.091719E-5 | 7.091719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 8.630759E-4 | 8.630759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.008982463 | 0.008982463 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.1684615E-5 | 1.1684615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 5.0075963E-5 | 5.0075963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 6.0950505E-4 | 6.0950505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.006413473 | 0.006413473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 5.071161E-6 | 5.071161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 2.1733365E-5 | 2.1733365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 2.6457163E-4 | 2.6457163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0029050508 | 0.0029050508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 4.5252314E-6 | 4.5252314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 1.9393703E-5 | 1.9393703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 2.3609279E-4 | 2.3609279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0025987544 | 0.0025987544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 3.6112162E-6 | 3.6112162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 1.547655E-5 | 1.547655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 1.884107E-4 | 1.884107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0020602879 | 0.0020602879 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 2.2398783E-6 | 2.2398783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 9.599443E-6 | 9.599443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 1.1686696E-4 | 1.1686696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0012613797 | 0.0012613797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 1.2020915E-6 | 1.2020915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 5.1518105E-6 | 5.1518105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 6.27215E-5 | 6.27215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 6.748689E-4 | 6.748689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017091267 | 1.0005754 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017091267 | 1.0005754 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017303992 | 1.0058025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017091267 | 1.0005754 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011671702 | 1.0086317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011523704 | 1.0008585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011671702 | 1.0086317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011523704 | 1.0008585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.009717801 | 0.009717801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.008555597 | 0.008555597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.007289222 | 0.007289222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.005800517 | 0.005800517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0049390728 | 0.0049390728 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0038225418 | 0.0038225418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0032727942 | 0.0032727942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 0.0024037457 | 0.0024037457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 0.0010600026 | 0.0010600026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 2.2733419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742574E-5 | 9.742574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855913 | 0.0011955795 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800485 | 0.011810366 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032002E-4 | 8.1319216E-4 | 1.0124402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.0080062635 | 0.008016183 | 1.0012391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.5398684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 6.599287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032002E-4 | 8.1319216E-4 | 1.0124402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.0080062635 | 0.008016183 | 1.0012391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 9.803295E-6 | 9.803295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.201351E-5 | 4.201351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.1140616E-4 | 5.1140616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.005103453 | 0.005103453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 6.708833E-6 | 6.708833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 2.8751843E-5 | 2.8751843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.5000077E-4 | 3.5000077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047622547 | 0.0034948247 | 0.0034948247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.32678E-6 | 5.32678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.2828863E-5 | 2.2828863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.7790703E-4 | 2.7790703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041159308 | 0.0027757047 | 0.0027757047 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.183392E-6 | 5.183392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.2214355E-5 | 2.2214355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.704273E-4 | 2.704273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004046161 | 0.0027010902 | 0.0027010902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.082453E-6 | 5.082453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.1781763E-5 | 2.1781763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.651618E-4 | 2.651618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003997127 | 0.0026485615 | 0.0026485615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 4.8470597E-6 | 4.8470597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.0772954E-5 | 2.0772954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.5288243E-4 | 2.5288243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003878636 | 0.0025260523 | 0.0025260523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.521886E-6 | 4.521886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 1.9379371E-5 | 1.9379371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.359193E-4 | 2.359193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.0023567886 | 0.0023567886 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.49177E-6 | 4.49177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 1.9250307E-5 | 1.9250307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.3434829E-4 | 2.3434829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0023411114 | 0.0023411114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.456832E-6 | 4.456832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 1.9100575E-5 | 1.9100575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.3252568E-4 | 2.3252568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0023229236 | 0.0023229236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.3580385E-6 | 4.3580385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 1.8677181E-5 | 1.8677181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.2737194E-4 | 2.2737194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.0022714927 | 0.0022714927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 3.9547567E-6 | 3.9547567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.6948852E-5 | 1.6948852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.0633373E-4 | 2.0633373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.0020615188 | 0.0020615188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 8.749358E-6 | 8.749358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.0010647392 | 0.0010647392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 7.7120404E-8 | 7.7120404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.0240275E-6 | 4.0240275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.0239815E-5 | 4.0239815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.187984E-9 | 9.187984E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2635813E-6 | 1.9293707E-6 | 1.1929351E-5 | 6.1830273 | 1.0E-5 | 9.701026E-6 | 8.268708E-6 | 1.8268625E-5 | 2.2093687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1810359E-4 | 1.0066756E-4 | 1.1066656E-4 | 1.0993268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011804085 | 0.0010062869 | 0.0010162769 | 1.0099275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 6.544499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4697183E-6 | 1.4697183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.2987806E-6 | 6.2987806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.6685435E-5 | 7.6685435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.6663704E-4 | 7.6663704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.8680423E-7 | 8.8680423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8005844E-6 | 3.8005844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.627122E-5 | 4.627122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6262427E-4 | 4.6262427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.48138E-7 | 7.48138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2063022E-6 | 3.2063022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.90361E-5 | 3.90361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.902992E-4 | 3.902992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.398696E-7 | 6.398696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.742296E-6 | 2.742296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3387E-5 | 3.3387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3382574E-4 | 3.3382574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.5376717E-7 | 5.5376717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.3732862E-6 | 2.3732862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.8894432E-5 | 2.8894432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.8891224E-4 | 2.8891224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.0323857E-7 | 4.0323857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7281643E-6 | 1.7281643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1040236E-5 | 2.1040236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1038615E-4 | 2.1038615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.4454064E-7 | 3.4454064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.476602E-6 | 1.476602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.7977516E-5 | 1.7977516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.7976397E-4 | 1.7976397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 2.9789941E-8 | 2.9789941E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.2767117E-7 | 1.2767117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.5543955E-6 | 1.5543955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.5543852E-5 | 1.5543852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5053352E-8 | 1.5053352E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.451437E-8 | 6.451437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 7.8546213E-7 | 7.8546213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 7.854596E-6 | 7.854596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.552578E-9 | 4.552578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 1.9511049E-8 | 1.9511049E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.3754701E-7 | 2.3754701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.3754685E-6 | 2.3754685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.708164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.1794891E-4 | 1.0480783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3082911E-4 | 1.408278E-4 | 1.0764256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013075534 | 0.0013175403 | 1.0076379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0100099E-4 | 1.1099997E-4 | 1.0989989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010095594 | 0.0010195493 | 1.0098953 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.784564E-5 | 1.0784466E-4 | 1.1021918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.780336E-4 | 9.880239E-4 | 1.0102146 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.222516E-5 | 9.2224334E-5 | 1.1216073 | 1.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2195224E-4 | 8.3194405E-4 | 1.0121561 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3003045E-6 | 1.3003045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.78458E-5 | 7.784512E-5 | 1.1473831 | 1.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.7825353E-4 | 6.882468E-4 | 1.0147338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8214195E-5 | 6.821361E-5 | 1.1717694 | 1.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8199145E-4 | 5.9198565E-4 | 1.0171723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7228506E-7 | 8.7228506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5513585E-5 | 5.551313E-5 | 1.2197046 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.5504398E-4 | 4.6503943E-4 | 1.0219659 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0648276E-5 | 4.064797E-5 | 1.3262726 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.064411E-4 | 3.1643803E-4 | 1.0326227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2764674E-5 | 3.276445E-5 | 1.439267 | 1.0E-5 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2762381E-4 | 2.3762153E-4 | 1.0439222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.561895E-5 | 2.5618796E-5 | 1.6402378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5617875E-4 | 1.661772E-4 | 1.0640192 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4170476E-7 | 1.4170476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.393926E-6 | 1.7393852E-5 | 2.3524516 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.393688E-5 | 8.393614E-5 | 1.1352406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0565244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 4.527887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 5.511374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003980772 | 0.0055071916 | 0.005517137 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036393967 | 0.005149791 | 0.0051597394 | 1.0019318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 9.876719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 4.232814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 5.152294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036393967 | 0.005149791 | 0.0051597394 | 1.0019318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 8.323499E-6 | 8.323499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3591367E-5 | 3.567167E-5 | 3.567167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8718702E-4 | 4.3421914E-4 | 4.3421914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028681618 | 0.004342858 | 0.004352815 | 1.0022926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 8.30013E-6 | 8.30013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496545E-5 | 3.5571516E-5 | 3.5571516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8603288E-4 | 4.3300027E-4 | 4.3300027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00285665 | 0.004330717 | 0.004340674 | 1.0022991 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 8.286027E-6 | 8.286027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3439556E-5 | 3.551108E-5 | 3.551108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8533922E-4 | 4.3226473E-4 | 4.3226473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028497311 | 0.0043233903 | 0.004333347 | 1.002303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 8.269311E-6 | 8.269311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3372622E-5 | 3.543944E-5 | 3.543944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8452452E-4 | 4.313929E-4 | 4.313929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002841605 | 0.0043147057 | 0.004324663 | 1.0023077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 8.256729E-6 | 8.256729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3323635E-5 | 3.538552E-5 | 3.538552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8392827E-4 | 4.3073666E-4 | 4.3073666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028356577 | 0.0043081692 | 0.004318126 | 1.0023112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 8.206053E-6 | 8.206053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.313663E-5 | 3.516834E-5 | 3.516834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8165206E-4 | 4.2809357E-4 | 4.2809357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0042818408 | 0.0042917975 | 1.0023254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 8.139322E-6 | 8.139322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2962136E-5 | 3.488236E-5 | 3.488236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7952815E-4 | 4.2461313E-4 | 4.2461313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002791768 | 0.0042471783 | 0.004257136 | 1.0023445 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 7.062153E-6 | 7.062153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0610469E-5 | 3.0266036E-5 | 3.0266036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5090357E-4 | 3.684296E-4 | 3.684296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062046 | 0.003687131 | 0.0036970943 | 1.0027021 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 2.1014678E-6 | 2.1014678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853334E-6 | 9.00626E-6 | 9.00626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.09645836E-4 | 1.09645836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0011018335 | 0.0011018335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 1.1557488E-6 | 1.1557488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.967879E-6 | 4.9532E-6 | 4.9532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8307855E-5 | 6.0303548E-5 | 6.0303548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8297356E-4 | 6.087659E-4 | 6.087659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 6.009496E-7 | 6.009496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5609581E-6 | 2.5754957E-6 | 2.5754957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117922E-5 | 3.1356212E-5 | 3.1356212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1174847E-4 | 3.1891104E-4 | 3.1891104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 3.1455477E-7 | 3.1455477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4748731E-6 | 1.3480911E-6 | 1.3480911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7956432E-5 | 1.6412887E-5 | 1.6412887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7954981E-4 | 1.6748761E-4 | 1.6748761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 2.4961688E-9 | 2.4961688E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 1.06978675E-8 | 1.06978675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 1.3024653E-7 | 1.3024653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 1.3973696E-6 | 1.3973696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 4.562157E-5 | 1.280716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.6265774E-4 | 1.0654954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018478058 | 1.0005314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 4.562157E-5 | 1.280716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.6265774E-4 | 1.0654954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018478058 | 1.0005314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 4.562157E-5 | 1.280716 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.6265774E-4 | 1.0654954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018478058 | 1.0005314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009308227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009308227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009308227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 7.6715434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009308227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.2770866E-5 | 1.2770866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.4731543E-5 | 5.4731543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.662248E-4 | 6.662248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059115817 | 0.006649345 | 0.006649345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.005872473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.005872473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 4.831328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.005872473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.122195E-6 | 9.122195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.7593983E-4 | 4.7593983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004755428 | 0.004755428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.3247481E-7 | 1.3247481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 5.6774905E-7 | 5.6774905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 6.912326E-6 | 6.912326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 6.912142E-5 | 6.912142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.3149926E-7 | 1.3149926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 5.6356816E-7 | 5.6356816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 6.861424E-6 | 6.861424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 6.861243E-5 | 6.861243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.3097097E-7 | 1.3097097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 5.613041E-7 | 5.613041E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 6.8338586E-6 | 6.8338586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 6.83368E-5 | 6.83368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 9.399462E-8 | 9.399462E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.0283405E-7 | 4.0283405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 4.9044957E-6 | 4.9044957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 4.9044058E-5 | 4.9044058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 8.616201E-8 | 8.616201E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.692657E-7 | 3.692657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.4958024E-6 | 4.4958024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.4957298E-5 | 4.4957298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.3340193E-7 | 5.3340193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.334011E-6 | 5.334011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 4.7525903E-9 | 4.7525903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 5.786279E-8 | 5.786279E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 5.7862786E-7 | 5.7862786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.8951435E-6 | 1.6895074E-5 | 2.4502861 | 1.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9550478E-5 | 3.9550185E-5 | 1.338394 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.5975294E-4 | 3.6974932E-4 | 1.0277869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0035951629 | 0.0036051269 | 1.0027715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.5786123E-6 | 1.5786123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.765464E-6 | 6.765464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.2366445E-5 | 8.2366445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013833415 | 8.233626E-4 | 8.233626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5142915E-6 | 1.5142915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.4898045E-6 | 6.4898045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 7.901053E-5 | 7.901053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013506424 | 7.898274E-4 | 7.898274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5112549E-6 | 1.5112549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.476791E-6 | 6.476791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 7.885211E-5 | 7.885211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013481114 | 7.882442E-4 | 7.882442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.3871149E-6 | 1.3871149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 5.944765E-6 | 5.944765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.237513E-5 | 7.237513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818627 | 7.235175E-4 | 7.235175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3642474E-6 | 1.3642474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.8467617E-6 | 5.8467617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.118202E-5 | 7.118202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012692984 | 7.11594E-4 | 7.11594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.2996901E-6 | 1.2996901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.570089E-6 | 5.570089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.781374E-5 | 6.781374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012333926 | 6.779321E-4 | 6.779321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2168182E-6 | 1.2168182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.214925E-6 | 5.214925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.3489875E-5 | 6.3489875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011848784 | 6.347188E-4 | 6.347188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1095786E-6 | 1.1095786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.7553285E-6 | 4.7553285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.78946E-5 | 5.78946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001115068 | 5.787963E-4 | 5.787963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.269304E-7 | 9.269304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 3.972553E-6 | 3.972553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.8364764E-5 | 4.8364764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.8354303E-4 | 4.8354303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.3003963E-7 | 7.3003963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.1287375E-6 | 3.1287375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.809172E-5 | 3.809172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.8085235E-4 | 3.8085235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.4758767E-7 | 4.4758767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.9182314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 2.335422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 2.335179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.4656432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.281326E-7 | 6.281326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 7.647489E-6 | 7.647489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 7.647236E-5 | 7.647236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 14 (Kettleman Hills)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.2057843E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 2.801903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6595946E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.2008114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2375753E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.4619128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032328626 | 0.001461177 | 0.0014711624 | 1.0068338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.95113E-6 | 1.49694E-6 | 1.49694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1218955E-5 | 6.415442E-6 | 6.415442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5831014E-4 | 7.810538E-5 | 7.810538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025801011 | 7.807966E-4 | 7.807966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.95113E-6 | 1.49694E-6 | 1.49694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1218955E-5 | 6.415442E-6 | 6.415442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5831014E-4 | 7.810538E-5 | 7.810538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025801011 | 7.807966E-4 | 7.807966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.5549086E-6 | 1.364136E-6 | 1.364136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9520892E-5 | 5.846285E-6 | 5.846285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3764092E-4 | 7.117635E-5 | 7.117635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023738695 | 7.115506E-4 | 7.115506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.4468555E-7 | 9.4468555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.0486466E-6 | 4.0486466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 4.929122E-5 | 4.929122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012951613 | 4.92809E-4 | 4.92809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.321804E-7 | 6.321804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3129793E-5 | 3.312956E-5 | 1.4323329 | 1.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 9.912674E-5 | 1.0912574E-4 | 1.100871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012067007 | 0.0012166885 | 1.008277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012050598 | 0.012060477 | 1.0008198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3129793E-5 | 3.312956E-5 | 1.4323329 | 1.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 9.912674E-5 | 1.0912574E-4 | 1.100871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012067007 | 0.0012166885 | 1.008277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012050598 | 0.012060477 | 1.0008198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3129793E-5 | 3.312956E-5 | 1.4323329 | 1.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 9.912674E-5 | 1.0912574E-4 | 1.100871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012067007 | 0.0012166885 | 1.008277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012050598 | 0.012060477 | 1.0008198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3129793E-5 | 3.312956E-5 | 1.4323329 | 1.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 9.912674E-5 | 1.0912574E-4 | 1.100871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012067007 | 0.0012166885 | 1.008277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012050598 | 0.012060477 | 1.0008198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 1.9891666E-5 | 2.9891466E-5 | 1.5027131 | 1.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.5249994E-5 | 9.524914E-5 | 1.117292 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010379186 | 0.0010479082 | 1.0096247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010379183 | 0.010389079 | 1.0009534 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 1.9891666E-5 | 2.9891466E-5 | 1.5027131 | 1.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.5249994E-5 | 9.524914E-5 | 1.117292 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010379186 | 0.0010479082 | 1.0096247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010379183 | 0.010389079 | 1.0009534 | 1.0E-5 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.784631E-4 | 1.0130029 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.784631E-4 | 1.0130029 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.784631E-4 | 1.0130029 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.784631E-4 | 1.0130029 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414933E-4 | 4.4425015E-4 | 4.4425015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.108819E-4 | 4.134593E-4 | 4.134593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6487455E-4 | 3.672854E-4 | 3.672854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0778843E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5010316E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4726835E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.962996E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.161893E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2287857E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378794E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462619E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Breckenridge 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.690372E-7 | 6.690372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.490883E-5 | 4.490848E-5 | 1.2864505 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.490355E-4 | 3.59032E-4 | 1.0286404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.690372E-7 | 6.690372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.490883E-5 | 4.490848E-5 | 1.2864505 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.490355E-4 | 3.59032E-4 | 1.0286404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.690372E-7 | 6.690372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 2.8672991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.490883E-5 | 4.490848E-5 | 1.2864505 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.490355E-4 | 3.59032E-4 | 1.0286404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.840079E-7 | 5.840079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0472256E-5 | 4.047195E-5 | 1.3281573 | 1.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0468195E-4 | 3.1467888E-4 | 1.0328112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.840079E-7 | 5.840079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0472256E-5 | 4.047195E-5 | 1.3281573 | 1.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0468195E-4 | 3.1467888E-4 | 1.0328112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.840079E-7 | 5.840079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0472256E-5 | 4.047195E-5 | 1.3281573 | 1.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0468195E-4 | 3.1467888E-4 | 1.0328112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.840079E-7 | 5.840079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 2.5028887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0472256E-5 | 4.047195E-5 | 1.3281573 | 1.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0468195E-4 | 3.1467888E-4 | 1.0328112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.4219524E-7 | 4.9142113E-7 | 4.9142113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.037973E-6 | 2.106089E-6 | 2.106089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.916122E-5 | 2.5641337E-5 | 3.5641082E-5 | 1.3899853 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9150345E-4 | 2.5638443E-4 | 2.6638186E-4 | 1.038994 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.556422E-7 | 4.2752959E-7 | 4.2752959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667033E-6 | 1.8322684E-6 | 1.8322684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464521E-5 | 2.2307642E-5 | 3.230742E-5 | 1.4482669 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4636242E-4 | 2.2305443E-4 | 2.330522E-4 | 1.0448221 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.7357794E-7 | 3.809233E-7 | 3.809233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3153299E-6 | 1.6325274E-6 | 1.6325274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0363393E-5 | 1.9875844E-5 | 2.9875644E-5 | 1.5031133 | 1.0E-5 | 4.035606E-4 | 1.9874096E-4 | 2.0873897E-4 | 1.0503068 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8172454E-7 | 3.3186734E-7 | 3.3186734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216735E-6 | 1.4222878E-6 | 1.4222878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5570793E-5 | 1.7316219E-5 | 2.7316046E-5 | 1.5774833 | 1.0E-5 | 3.55651E-4 | 1.7314892E-4 | 1.8314719E-4 | 1.0577438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.5936397E-7 | 2.8687114E-7 | 2.8687114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.397272E-6 | 1.2294472E-6 | 1.2294472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9186394E-5 | 1.4968418E-5 | 2.4968269E-5 | 1.6680633 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9182562E-4 | 1.4967428E-4 | 1.5967278E-4 | 1.0668018 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8420822E-7 | 2.0315359E-7 | 2.0315359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6466057E-6 | 8.706579E-7 | 8.706579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.004724E-5 | 1.060021E-5 | 2.0600104E-5 | 1.9433676 | 1.0E-5 | 2.004543E-4 | 1.05997126E-4 | 1.1599607E-4 | 1.0943322 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6405158E-7 | 1.6365404E-7 | 1.6365404E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1316491E-6 | 7.013743E-7 | 7.013743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.37777415E-5 | 8.5391985E-6 | 1.8539113E-5 | 2.17106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3776887E-4 | 8.5388776E-5 | 9.538792E-5 | 1.1171014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.792114E-7 | 1.2649927E-7 | 1.2649927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6804866E-7 | 5.421396E-7 | 5.421396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3509525E-6 | 6.60053E-6 | 1.6600465E-5 | 2.51502 | 1.0E-5 | 9.350559E-5 | 6.600339E-5 | 7.600273E-5 | 1.1514974 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3548703E-7 | 9.327369E-8 | 9.327369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8065854E-7 | 3.9974432E-7 | 3.9974432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0694946E-6 | 4.8668767E-6 | 1.4866828E-5 | 3.0546958 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0692695E-5 | 4.8667735E-5 | 5.8667247E-5 | 1.205465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.724369E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.3901525E-8 | 7.3901525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.997507E-7 | 8.997507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.997476E-6 | 8.997476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Likely 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.6690945E-5 | 3.669068E-5 | 1.3746489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1438499E-4 | 1.2438385E-4 | 1.087414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0013917903 | 0.0014017764 | 1.007175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.013835216 | 0.013845078 | 1.0007128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.6690945E-5 | 3.669068E-5 | 1.3746489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1438499E-4 | 1.2438385E-4 | 1.087414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0013917903 | 0.0014017764 | 1.007175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.013835216 | 0.013845078 | 1.0007128 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6375941E-5 | 1.7224967E-5 | 2.7224796E-5 | 1.5805426 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0180715E-5 | 7.381927E-5 | 8.381853E-5 | 1.135456 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5411523E-4 | 8.983909E-4 | 9.083819E-4 | 1.011121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008508399 | 0.008948835 | 0.008958745 | 1.0011075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1945543E-5 | 1.2547012E-5 | 2.2546887E-5 | 1.7969925 | 1.0E-5 | 5.119418E-5 | 5.377183E-5 | 6.3771295E-5 | 1.185961 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2311086E-4 | 6.5448054E-4 | 6.64474E-4 | 1.0152693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062136655 | 0.0065260692 | 0.0065360037 | 1.0015223 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.192729E-6 | 9.646012E-6 | 1.9645915E-5 | 2.0366879 | 1.0E-5 | 3.939681E-5 | 4.1339412E-5 | 5.1338997E-5 | 1.24189 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7955062E-4 | 5.0319376E-4 | 5.131887E-4 | 1.019863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004785171 | 0.0050208173 | 0.005030767 | 1.0019817 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.67906E-6 | 8.052741E-6 | 1.805266E-5 | 2.2418032 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2909844E-5 | 3.45113E-5 | 4.4510954E-5 | 1.2897502 | 1.0E-5 | 4.006037E-4 | 4.200959E-4 | 4.300917E-4 | 1.023794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039988225 | 0.0041932054 | 0.0042031636 | 1.0023748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4884057E-6 | 6.8015793E-6 | 1.680151E-5 | 2.4702368 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7807157E-5 | 2.9149307E-5 | 3.9149018E-5 | 1.3430513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3849955E-4 | 3.548364E-4 | 3.6483287E-4 | 1.028172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003379844 | 0.0035428395 | 0.0035528042 | 1.0028126 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6060636E-6 | 4.826069E-6 | 1.4826021E-5 | 3.0720696 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9740122E-5 | 2.0682994E-5 | 3.0682786E-5 | 1.483479 | 1.0E-5 | 2.403095E-4 | 2.5178716E-4 | 2.6178465E-4 | 1.0397061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002400498 | 0.0025151 | 0.0025250746 | 1.003966 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2795615E-6 | 3.4361844E-6 | 1.343615E-5 | 3.9101946 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4055187E-5 | 1.47264245E-5 | 2.4726278E-5 | 1.6790414 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7110848E-4 | 1.7928002E-4 | 1.8927822E-4 | 1.0557686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017097679 | 0.0017914077 | 0.0018013899 | 1.0055722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.3289967E-6 | 2.4410133E-6 | 1.2440989E-5 | 5.096649 | 1.0E-5 | 9.981376E-6 | 1.0461446E-5 | 2.046134E-5 | 1.9558808 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151648E-4 | 1.2736108E-4 | 1.373598E-4 | 1.078507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012145005 | 0.0012729228 | 0.0012829101 | 1.0078459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.211292E-6 | 1.27058E-6 | 1.27058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1912407E-6 | 5.445333E-6 | 5.445333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.320152E-5 | 6.629521E-5 | 6.629521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3183554E-4 | 6.6278345E-4 | 6.6278345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.1899334E-4 | 1.2899215E-4 | 1.0840284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014478276 | 0.0014578131 | 1.0068969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014388782 | 0.014398638 | 1.000685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.02795726E-4 | 1.12794696E-4 | 1.0972704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012508509 | 0.0012608384 | 1.0079845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012441386 | 0.012451261 | 1.0007938 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 1.0093908E-4 | 1.1099526 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001106656 | 0.0011166449 | 1.0090263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011013942 | 0.011023832 | 1.0008979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 8.953824E-5 | 1.1257144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 9.779638E-4 | 1.0103209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009639226 | 0.00964913 | 1.0010275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 7.866042E-5 | 1.1456329 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 8.456284E-4 | 1.0119569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008325829 | 0.008335746 | 1.0011911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 7.097451E-5 | 1.1639913 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 7.521173E-4 | 1.0134648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0073970547 | 0.0074069807 | 1.0013419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 6.905839E-5 | 1.1693122 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 7.288041E-4 | 1.0139018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.0071654296 | 0.007175358 | 1.0013856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 6.8796515E-5 | 1.1700664 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 7.256178E-4 | 1.0139638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0071337717 | 0.0071437005 | 1.0013918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 6.822663E-5 | 1.171731 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 7.18684E-4 | 1.0141006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0070648757 | 0.0070748054 | 1.0014055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 6.7253815E-5 | 1.1746491 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 7.068476E-4 | 1.0143402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0069472566 | 0.0069571873 | 1.0014294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 6.514132E-5 | 1.1813403 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 6.811441E-4 | 1.0148898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0066917967 | 0.0067017297 | 1.0014844 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 5.8579135E-5 | 1.2058376 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 6.012954E-4 | 1.0169019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0058977883 | 0.0059077293 | 1.0016855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 5.2052972E-5 | 1.237783 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 5.2187947E-4 | 1.0195256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0051075425 | 0.0051174914 | 1.0019479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McKinleyville (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.1596684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 4.969927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 6.0494547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006035444 | 0.0060453834 | 1.0016469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.0035607687 | 0.0035607687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 6.8350814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 2.9292913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 3.5658892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.0035607687 | 0.0035607687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.0394048E-6 | 4.2868273E-6 | 4.2868273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731162E-5 | 1.8371991E-5 | 1.8371991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1074859E-4 | 2.2365656E-4 | 2.2365656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021054882 | 0.0022343686 | 0.0022343686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.7791233E-6 | 4.016042E-6 | 4.016042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6196142E-5 | 1.7211498E-5 | 1.7211498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9717019E-4 | 2.0953032E-4 | 2.0953032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019699533 | 0.0020933766 | 0.0020933766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.675443E-6 | 3.9082624E-6 | 3.9082624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5751802E-5 | 1.6749591E-5 | 1.6749591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9176133E-4 | 2.0390768E-4 | 2.0390768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019159593 | 0.0020372544 | 0.0020372544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.0165843E-6 | 3.2228309E-6 | 3.2228309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928153E-5 | 1.381206E-5 | 1.381206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.573889E-4 | 1.6814904E-4 | 1.6814904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015727748 | 0.0016802364 | 0.0016802364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.307633E-6 | 2.4778542E-6 | 2.4778542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.889818E-6 | 1.0619333E-5 | 1.0619333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2040188E-4 | 1.2928278E-4 | 1.2928278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012033667 | 0.0012920839 | 0.0012920839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0568484E-6 | 2.2137103E-6 | 2.2137103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8150355E-6 | 9.487296E-6 | 9.487296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0731777E-4 | 1.15501774E-4 | 1.15501774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010726595 | 0.0011544249 | 0.0011544249 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7674889E-6 | 1.9073275E-6 | 1.9073275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5749304E-6 | 8.1742355E-6 | 8.1742355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.222087E-5 | 9.951684E-5 | 9.951684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.218261E-4 | 9.947291E-4 | 9.947291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2944297E-6 | 1.4028954E-6 | 1.4028954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.547544E-6 | 6.012395E-6 | 6.012395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.753925E-5 | 7.31985E-5 | 7.31985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7518733E-4 | 7.317485E-4 | 7.317485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.806243E-7 | 6.3302275E-7 | 6.3302275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4883875E-6 | 2.712952E-6 | 2.712952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0295698E-5 | 3.3029704E-5 | 3.3029704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0291567E-4 | 3.3024958E-4 | 3.3024958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6121008E-7 | 1.7765439E-7 | 1.7765439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.909002E-7 | 7.6137576E-7 | 7.6137576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411677E-6 | 9.269713E-6 | 9.269713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411359E-5 | 9.2693495E-5 | 9.2693495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011205004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011167093 | 1.0008863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011205004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011167093 | 1.0008863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011205004 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011167093 | 1.0008863 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062324605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062324605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034205352 | 0.0034205352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0032631895 | 0.0032631895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027390027 | 0.0027390027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038734584 | 1.0025784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.1858645E-6 | 6.1858645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.651068E-5 | 2.651068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.2273747E-4 | 3.3273423E-4 | 1.030975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032244292 | 0.003234397 | 1.0030913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3664945E-6 | 2.3664945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0142083E-5 | 1.0142083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2347332E-4 | 1.3347209E-4 | 1.0809791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012340931 | 0.0012440807 | 1.0080931 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.3166435E-6 | 2.3166435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.928437E-6 | 9.928437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2087248E-4 | 1.3087127E-4 | 1.0827218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011716976 | 0.001208113 | 0.001218101 | 1.0082674 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0514408E-6 | 2.0514408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.791862E-6 | 8.791862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0703609E-4 | 1.1703502E-4 | 1.0934165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010698875 | 0.0010798769 | 1.0093368 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.800778E-5 | 8.8007E-5 | 1.1281823 | 1.0E-5 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.798281E-4 | 7.8982033E-4 | 1.0128133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8259433E-5 | 5.825895E-5 | 1.2072034 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.825007E-4 | 4.924959E-4 | 1.0207154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.178834E-5 | 5.1787923E-5 | 1.2392912 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.1781546E-4 | 4.278113E-4 | 1.023924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8204659E-5 | 3.8204376E-5 | 1.3545414 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8201722E-4 | 2.920144E-4 | 1.0354488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.33836E-6 | 1.8338276E-5 | 2.1992664 | 1.0E-5 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.3382445E-5 | 9.338161E-5 | 1.1199193 | 1.0E-5 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.9636527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 8.415404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010241306 | 0.0010241306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009709897 | 0.010197819 | 0.010207717 | 1.0009706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006439445 | 0.0064493804 | 1.0015429 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.2380013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 5.3056145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 6.457718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006164385 | 0.006439445 | 0.0064493804 | 1.0015429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0140498E-5 | 1.0140498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3458564E-5 | 4.3458564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.2898185E-4 | 5.2898185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005058831 | 0.0052774684 | 0.0052874153 | 1.0018848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.887351E-6 | 8.887351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8088103E-5 | 3.8088103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6362547E-4 | 4.6362547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044375416 | 0.004626743 | 0.0046366965 | 1.0021514 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.690775E-6 | 7.690775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.2960055E-5 | 3.2960055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.0121566E-4 | 4.0121566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038428132 | 0.004005007 | 0.004014967 | 1.0024868 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.7320716E-6 | 6.7320716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.885142E-5 | 2.885142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5121007E-4 | 3.5121007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033671674 | 0.003506619 | 0.003516584 | 1.0028417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.2431354E-6 | 6.2431354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.6756023E-5 | 2.6756023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2570647E-4 | 3.2570647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032523521 | 0.0032623196 | 1.0030648 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.1310108E-6 | 5.1310108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.1989863E-5 | 2.1989863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.6769406E-4 | 2.6769406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025687215 | 0.002673756 | 0.0026837294 | 1.00373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.053962E-6 | 4.053962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.737401E-5 | 1.737401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.115083E-4 | 2.115083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021130973 | 0.0021230762 | 1.0047224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.9322505E-6 | 2.9322505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.25667275E-5 | 1.25667275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5298935E-4 | 1.5298935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015288576 | 0.0015388423 | 1.0065309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0086843E-6 | 2.0086843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.608619E-6 | 8.608619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.04805025E-4 | 1.04805025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010475686 | 0.0010475686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 5.171086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 2.216178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 2.6981654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 2.6978584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |