Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.033489663 | 1091.2026 | 0.03346 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.04083617 | 310.47995 | 0.04071 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05512461 | 34.4441 | 0.05361 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.079869926 | 5.0187874 | 0.06499 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.033489663 | 1091.2026 | 0.03346 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.04083617 | 310.47995 | 0.04071 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05512461 | 34.4441 | 0.05361 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.079869926 | 5.0187874 | 0.06499 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.033489663 | 1091.2026 | 0.03346 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.04083617 | 310.47995 | 0.04071 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.05512461 | 34.4441 | 0.05361 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.079869926 | 5.0187874 | 0.06499 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017509226 | 894.77203 | 0.01749 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.02157206 | 257.2319 | 0.02149 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029211845 | 28.620872 | 0.02822 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04417062 | 4.343244 | 0.03435 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017509226 | 894.77203 | 0.01749 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.02157206 | 257.2319 | 0.02149 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029211845 | 28.620872 | 0.02822 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04417062 | 4.343244 | 0.03435 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017509226 | 894.77203 | 0.01749 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.02157206 | 257.2319 | 0.02149 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029211845 | 28.620872 | 0.02822 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04417062 | 4.343244 | 0.03435 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017509226 | 894.77203 | 0.01749 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.02157206 | 257.2319 | 0.02149 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029211845 | 28.620872 | 0.02822 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04417062 | 4.343244 | 0.03435 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 1.9556857E-5 | 0.017499216 | 894.7866 | 0.01748 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.381299E-5 | 0.021562012 | 257.26337 | 0.02148 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010200485 | 0.029201273 | 28.627337 | 0.02821 | 0.010073971 | 0.010164017 | 0.044145085 | 4.3432717 | 0.03433 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009947388 | 207.83246 | 0.0099 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.0133351525 | 22.889582 | 0.01276 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0058123195 | 0.021311706 | 3.6666439 | 0.01559 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009947388 | 207.83246 | 0.0099 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.0133351525 | 22.889582 | 0.01276 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0058123195 | 0.021311706 | 3.6666439 | 0.01559 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 7.761541E-6 | 0.0048677237 | 627.1594 | 0.00486 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.3263343E-5 | 0.006083062 | 182.87585 | 0.00605 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.0490908E-4 | 0.008171763 | 20.181723 | 0.00777 | 0.0048284214 | 0.00404222 | 0.013434102 | 3.3234465 | 0.00943 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.649262E-6 | 0.0047076135 | 615.43365 | 0.0047 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.2782158E-5 | 0.00589259 | 179.74991 | 0.00586 | 4.7629757E-4 | 3.9905283E-4 | 0.007966032 | 19.962349 | 0.00757 | 0.00475278 | 0.0039838683 | 0.013177097 | 3.3076136 | 0.00923 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.4561726E-6 | 0.0045474223 | 609.88696 | 0.00454 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.1954653E-5 | 0.0056517753 | 176.8686 | 0.00562 | 4.6172875E-4 | 3.8898157E-4 | 0.007676146 | 19.733957 | 0.00729 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0038835104 | 0.012679219 | 3.2648861 | 0.00883 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.2711277E-6 | 0.0043872395 | 603.3781 | 0.00438 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.116162E-5 | 0.0054809917 | 175.88918 | 0.00545 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.7932984E-4 | 0.0074866326 | 19.736473 | 0.00711 | 0.004463301 | 0.0037873175 | 0.012344784 | 3.259506 | 0.00859 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.562192E-6 | 0.0038665368 | 589.21423 | 0.00386 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.8123393E-5 | 0.0048179887 | 171.31606 | 0.00479 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.423513E-4 | 0.0067101703 | 19.600248 | 0.00637 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0034187047 | 0.011072449 | 3.2387848 | 0.00768 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.1412295E-6 | 0.002254132 | 544.31464 | 0.00225 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.7748014E-5 | 0.0028576977 | 161.01506 | 0.00284 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.160622E-4 | 0.003945256 | 18.259817 | 0.00373 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0021586353 | 0.006708792 | 3.1078858 | 0.00456 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1265222E-6 | 5.411259E-4 | 480.35086 | 5.4E-4 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.827945E-6 | 6.348249E-4 | 131.48969 | 6.3E-4 | 7.249717E-5 | 5.8778853E-5 | 9.387271E-4 | 15.970491 | 8.8E-4 | 7.247352E-4 | 5.876537E-4 | 0.0016970014 | 2.8877573 | 0.00111 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.299393E-7 | 1.10229914E-4 | 479.387 | 1.1E-4 | 1.2824837E-6 | 9.854539E-7 | 1.4098531E-4 | 143.06639 | 1.4E-4 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.1997841E-5 | 1.7199593E-4 | 14.335572 | 1.6E-4 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.1997262E-4 | 3.1994862E-4 | 2.666847 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021988066 | 1190.3685 | 0.02197 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027067026 | 341.91245 | 0.02699 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.03665928 | 38.03954 | 0.03573 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052916355 | 5.49657 | 0.04371 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021988066 | 1190.3685 | 0.02197 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027067026 | 341.91245 | 0.02699 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.03665928 | 38.03954 | 0.03573 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052916355 | 5.49657 | 0.04371 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021988066 | 1190.3685 | 0.02197 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027067026 | 341.91245 | 0.02699 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.03665928 | 38.03954 | 0.03573 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052916355 | 5.49657 | 0.04371 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021988066 | 1190.3685 | 0.02197 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027067026 | 341.91245 | 0.02699 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.03665928 | 38.03954 | 0.03573 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052916355 | 5.49657 | 0.04371 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.23804 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002790251 | 271.43622 | 0.00278 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280277 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.005905105 | 4.720556 | 0.00466 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.23804 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002790251 | 271.43622 | 0.00278 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280277 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.005905105 | 4.720556 | 0.00466 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002322393 | 968.23804 | 0.00232 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002790251 | 271.43622 | 0.00278 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003914674 | 31.280277 | 0.00379 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.005905105 | 4.720556 | 0.00466 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.2910086E-6 | 0.0010112897 | 783.333 | 0.00101 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.532883E-6 | 0.0011855264 | 214.2692 | 0.00118 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.736082E-5 | 0.001607257 | 23.860413 | 0.00154 | 0.0012132917 | 6.734096E-4 | 0.0025421504 | 3.7750432 | 0.00187 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1564808E-6 | 9.2115544E-4 | 796.5159 | 9.2E-4 | 8.711692E-6 | 4.9563373E-6 | 0.0010449511 | 210.83133 | 0.00104 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.034178E-5 | 0.0014202597 | 23.53692 | 0.00136 | 0.0010600908 | 6.032584E-4 | 0.002252263 | 3.7334964 | 0.00165 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0340004E-6 | 7.1103324E-4 | 687.6528 | 7.1E-4 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.431423E-6 | 8.344277E-4 | 188.29793 | 8.3E-4 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.3951266E-5 | 0.0011538919 | 21.38767 | 0.0011 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.3938455E-4 | 0.0018786618 | 3.4829729 | 0.00134 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 9.942496E-7 | 6.809936E-4 | 684.9322 | 6.8E-4 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.261063E-6 | 8.0425764E-4 | 188.74577 | 8.0E-4 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.1877236E-5 | 0.0011118222 | 21.431795 | 0.00106 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.18654E-4 | 0.0018179797 | 3.505188 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.3613903E-7 | 6.3093554E-4 | 673.9763 | 6.3E-4 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.0120185E-6 | 7.4400904E-4 | 185.44507 | 7.4E-4 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.8845253E-5 | 0.0010087984 | 20.652946 | 9.6E-4 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.883476E-4 | 0.0016877616 | 3.456066 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.2087585E-7 | 4.8072054E-4 | 666.8562 | 4.8E-4 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.0894644E-6 | 5.830877E-4 | 188.73422 | 5.8E-4 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.7613594E-5 | 8.075846E-4 | 21.47055 | 7.7E-4 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.7607376E-4 | 0.0013157203 | 3.4985697 | 9.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.567935E-7 | 2.9055664E-4 | 521.8391 | 2.9E-4 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.3862556E-6 | 3.5238542E-4 | 147.67296 | 3.5E-4 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9052288E-5 | 5.1903806E-4 | 17.865652 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9048615E-4 | 8.9031184E-4 | 3.064903 | 6.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.3248272E-7 | 2.3043239E-4 | 532.8129 | 2.3E-4 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.8534962E-6 | 2.9185295E-4 | 157.46078 | 2.9E-4 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.2566093E-5 | 4.3255684E-4 | 19.168442 | 4.1E-4 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.2563917E-4 | 7.0553087E-4 | 3.12681 | 4.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2089E-7 | 1.5022086E-4 | 680.07086 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.466711E-7 | 1.9094649E-4 | 201.7031 | 1.9E-4 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1525661E-5 | 2.6152277E-4 | 22.69048 | 2.5E-4 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.15250805E-4 | 4.0521738E-4 | 3.5159614 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.1790116E-7 | 6.0117894E-5 | 509.9008 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.052906E-7 | 8.050525E-5 | 159.32465 | 8.0E-5 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.1518967E-6 | 1.0615128E-4 | 17.255049 | 1.0E-4 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.1517385E-5 | 2.0150877E-4 | 3.2756395 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.5686583E-8 | 3.5686583E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.5294249E-7 | 1.5294249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 1.8620733E-6 | 1.8620733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 1.8620585E-5 | 2.86204E-5 | 1.53703 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.050017E-8 | 3.050017E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.3071501E-7 | 1.3071501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.5914542E-6 | 1.5914542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.5914437E-5 | 2.5914278E-5 | 1.6283503 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.250214E-9 | 3.250214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.01981562 | 758.1282 | 0.01979 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.0243393 | 217.28824 | 0.02423 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.033259485 | 24.401312 | 0.03194 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.052127145 | 3.844969 | 0.0391 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018643E-5 | 0.019775504 | 760.0514 | 0.01975 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1150429E-4 | 0.024278808 | 217.73878 | 0.02417 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568238 | 0.033143636 | 24.427368 | 0.03183 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496023 | 0.05193022 | 3.8478162 | 0.03896 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018643E-5 | 0.019775504 | 760.0514 | 0.01975 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1150429E-4 | 0.024278808 | 217.73878 | 0.02417 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568238 | 0.033143636 | 24.427368 | 0.03183 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496023 | 0.05193022 | 3.8478162 | 0.03896 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.697378E-5 | 0.010026804 | 590.7231 | 0.01001 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.2742834E-5 | 0.012291854 | 168.97684 | 0.01222 | 9.947256E-4 | 8.853009E-4 | 0.016771225 | 18.944094 | 0.0159 | 0.009902848 | 0.008819636 | 0.028246772 | 3.202714 | 0.0196 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.6957001E-5 | 0.010016788 | 590.7169 | 0.01 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.267093E-5 | 0.012281784 | 169.00545 | 0.01221 | 9.930939E-4 | 8.8442623E-4 | 0.016760373 | 18.95056 | 0.01589 | 0.0098866755 | 0.008810958 | 0.028208528 | 3.2015278 | 0.01957 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3340832E-5 | 0.006753251 | 506.2091 | 0.00674 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.7173766E-5 | 0.008316701 | 145.4636 | 0.00826 | 8.302132E-4 | 6.958726E-4 | 0.011388427 | 16.365679 | 0.0107 | 0.008271185 | 0.0069375765 | 0.02003607 | 2.8880503 | 0.01319 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3225727E-5 | 0.006593139 | 498.5086 | 0.00658 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.668048E-5 | 0.008126223 | 143.36899 | 0.00807 | 8.2293496E-4 | 6.898706E-4 | 0.011172634 | 16.19526 | 0.01049 | 0.008198941 | 0.00687793 | 0.019768653 | 2.8742158 | 0.01298 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.2964976E-5 | 0.006422882 | 495.40253 | 0.00641 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.5563025E-5 | 0.007875129 | 141.73326 | 0.00782 | 8.0409093E-4 | 6.762741E-4 | 0.010849389 | 16.042889 | 0.01018 | 0.008011877 | 0.0067427917 | 0.019218102 | 2.85017 | 0.01256 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.224582E-5 | 0.0060021724 | 490.14053 | 0.00599 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.2481053E-5 | 0.0074220942 | 141.42427 | 0.00737 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.387736E-4 | 0.010322584 | 16.160004 | 0.00969 | 0.007555048 | 0.0063699945 | 0.018224 | 2.860913 | 0.01193 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.0822028E-5 | 0.005270765 | 487.0404 | 0.00526 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.6379315E-5 | 0.006476081 | 139.63295 | 0.00643 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.645255E-4 | 0.009109699 | 16.136913 | 0.00855 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0056314846 | 0.016052466 | 2.8504858 | 0.01048 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.5568596E-6 | 0.0033075318 | 437.68604 | 0.0033 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.238615E-5 | 0.0040922547 | 126.35816 | 0.00406 | 4.605111E-4 | 3.9423234E-4 | 0.0057921037 | 14.692106 | 0.0054 | 0.0045955796 | 0.003935522 | 0.010639036 | 2.7033353 | 0.00673 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8017014E-6 | 0.0010827987 | 386.47897 | 0.00108 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2007239E-5 | 0.0012619923 | 105.102615 | 0.00125 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4617867E-4 | 0.0018359317 | 12.559504 | 0.00169 | 0.0016961104 | 0.00146086 | 0.0035677776 | 2.4422445 | 0.00211 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1204551E-6 | 3.311201E-4 | 295.52286 | 3.3E-4 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.801942E-6 | 4.0480003E-4 | 84.29923 | 4.0E-4 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.846216E-5 | 5.684323E-4 | 9.723082 | 5.1E-4 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.844761E-4 | 0.0011941196 | 2.0430596 | 6.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.201457E-7 | 5.032013E-5 | 157.17885 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3720522E-6 | 7.137196E-5 | 52.018394 | 7.0E-5 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6704618E-5 | 9.670328E-5 | 5.789015 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6703462E-4 | 2.6701792E-4 | 1.5985782 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 2.0342695E-5 | 59.35966 | 2.0E-5 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.172395E-6 | 3.417227E-5 | 8.190084 | 3.0E-5 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.172337E-5 | 7.172212E-5 | 1.7189915 | 3.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.00669844 | 233.96036 | 0.00667 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.008351687 | 68.06743 | 0.00823 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.012346624 | 8.270497 | 0.01087 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.028398085 | 1.9146075 | 0.01377 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.7989017E-5 | 0.0066878027 | 238.94382 | 0.00666 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.1994762E-4 | 0.008338962 | 69.5217 | 0.00822 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0014594195 | 0.012293585 | 8.423613 | 0.01085 | 0.016039822 | 0.014502388 | 0.028023414 | 1.9323311 | 0.01372 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.738124E-5 | 0.006677199 | 243.86037 | 0.00665 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.17343094E-4 | 0.00832638 | 70.957565 | 0.00821 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001427751 | 0.012252274 | 8.58152 | 0.01084 | 0.015762992 | 0.01418975 | 0.02770521 | 1.9524804 | 0.01371 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.347101E-5 | 0.006543318 | 278.783 | 0.00652 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0058628E-4 | 0.00811978 | 80.724525 | 0.00802 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012239703 | 0.011761057 | 9.60894 | 0.01055 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012174698 | 0.02528314 | 2.0766954 | 0.01327 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1173699E-5 | 0.0064910366 | 306.56128 | 0.00647 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.074136E-5 | 0.0080600185 | 88.82408 | 0.00797 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011042329 | 0.0115626715 | 10.471226 | 0.01047 | 0.012905477 | 0.010989461 | 0.023965279 | 2.180751 | 0.01312 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.6778387E-5 | 0.006186675 | 368.72882 | 0.00617 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.1905415E-5 | 0.007681358 | 106.82587 | 0.00761 | 0.0010923136 | 8.751012E-4 | 0.010806403 | 12.348746 | 0.00994 | 0.0108696 | 0.00871727 | 0.020939786 | 2.4021037 | 0.01233 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.624665E-5 | 0.0061661466 | 379.53345 | 0.00615 | 8.7594504E-5 | 6.962666E-5 | 0.007659098 | 110.00237 | 0.00759 | 0.0010659413 | 8.473792E-4 | 0.01073899 | 12.673181 | 0.0099 | 0.010608427 | 0.008442182 | 0.02057885 | 2.437622 | 0.01224 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.4870072E-5 | 0.0059547815 | 400.45413 | 0.00594 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.372734E-5 | 0.0074232584 | 116.484665 | 0.00736 | 9.6293533E-4 | 7.7560823E-4 | 0.010408131 | 13.419315 | 0.00964 | 0.009587734 | 0.0077296644 | 0.01952776 | 2.5263398 | 0.01189 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4032817E-5 | 0.005513956 | 392.93292 | 0.0055 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.013928E-5 | 0.006819733 | 113.39898 | 0.00676 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.3195336E-4 | 0.009685395 | 13.232257 | 0.00896 | 0.009157699 | 0.0072960225 | 0.018265402 | 2.5034738 | 0.01105 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.08317845E-5 | 0.0037107917 | 342.58362 | 0.0037 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.642112E-5 | 0.0046262085 | 99.65741 | 0.00458 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.6503294E-4 | 0.006651592 | 11.772043 | 0.00609 | 0.007068595 | 0.005636176 | 0.013223172 | 2.3461246 | 0.00763 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.507795E-6 | 0.0014354999 | 260.6306 | 0.00143 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.3604623E-5 | 0.0017135647 | 72.59445 | 0.00169 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.8734878E-4 | 0.0025666936 | 8.932328 | 0.00228 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0028698142 | 0.0057515204 | 2.004144 | 0.00289 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.214785E-6 | 6.132128E-4 | 190.7477 | 6.1E-4 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.3777578E-5 | 7.637672E-4 | 55.435524 | 7.5E-4 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.6772922E-4 | 0.0011875582 | 7.08021 | 0.00102 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0016760388 | 0.002933927 | 1.7505125 | 0.00126 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.414363E-6 | 1.9141409E-4 | 135.33589 | 1.9E-4 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.061542E-6 | 2.4606008E-4 | 40.593643 | 2.4E-4 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.379681E-5 | 4.0377246E-4 | 5.4714084 | 3.3E-4 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.377257E-4 | 0.0011474233 | 1.5553521 | 4.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2207425E-7 | 4.0222065E-5 | 181.11989 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.517465E-7 | 7.095168E-5 | 74.54893 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.15874545E-5 | 9.1586524E-5 | 7.903939 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.15868774E-4 | 2.0585835E-4 | 1.7766508 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.0040773167 | 234.49826 | 0.00406 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.005124139 | 68.76622 | 0.00505 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007790602 | 8.5908375 | 0.00689 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.01740571 | 1.9271094 | 0.00845 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7163811E-5 | 0.004077094 | 237.54013 | 0.00406 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.355714E-5 | 0.0051131863 | 69.51312 | 0.00504 | 0.0012120095 | 8.951935E-4 | 0.0077590435 | 8.667448 | 0.00687 | 0.012054204 | 0.008916472 | 0.017261395 | 1.9358996 | 0.00842 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.6673968E-5 | 0.004076606 | 244.48926 | 0.00406 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.145792E-5 | 0.005111098 | 71.52598 | 0.00504 | 0.0011869454 | 8.696561E-4 | 0.007713699 | 8.869826 | 0.00685 | 0.011806256 | 0.008663103 | 0.016990334 | 1.9612294 | 0.0084 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.631997E-5 | 0.0040762536 | 249.77092 | 0.00406 | 9.600859E-5 | 6.994087E-5 | 0.005109588 | 73.05583 | 0.00504 | 0.0011682777 | 8.512005E-4 | 0.00769537 | 9.040607 | 0.00685 | 0.011621549 | 0.008479961 | 0.016798815 | 1.9810014 | 0.00839 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.5862257E-5 | 0.004055798 | 255.68858 | 0.00404 | 9.373015E-5 | 6.797935E-5 | 0.0050776387 | 74.69384 | 0.00501 | 0.0011405671 | 8.273374E-4 | 0.007641695 | 9.236492 | 0.00682 | 0.011347309 | 0.00824312 | 0.016514372 | 2.0034127 | 0.00834 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.4886446E-5 | 0.003954828 | 265.66635 | 0.00394 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.379751E-5 | 0.004963485 | 77.800606 | 0.0049 | 0.0010802611 | 7.764608E-4 | 0.0074013127 | 9.532114 | 0.00663 | 0.010750249 | 0.007738002 | 0.015805092 | 2.0425289 | 0.00813 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.341126E-5 | 0.003693362 | 275.3926 | 0.00368 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.7475576E-5 | 0.0046172133 | 80.33349 | 0.00456 | 9.600714E-4 | 6.995432E-4 | 0.006935178 | 9.913867 | 0.00624 | 0.009559342 | 0.006973905 | 0.014610276 | 2.094992 | 0.00769 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2323021E-5 | 0.0034322808 | 278.52594 | 0.00342 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.281189E-5 | 0.0043025874 | 81.47005 | 0.00425 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.427977E-4 | 0.0064590564 | 10.04835 | 0.00582 | 0.00875714 | 0.0064098635 | 0.013494161 | 2.1052182 | 0.00713 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.2066275E-6 | 0.002149187 | 233.43912 | 0.00214 | 5.495361E-5 | 3.9456383E-5 | 0.0026693526 | 67.65325 | 0.00263 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.8027706E-4 | 0.004068553 | 8.471262 | 0.00359 | 0.006668452 | 0.0047925087 | 0.009251039 | 1.9303123 | 0.00448 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.7182242E-6 | 7.937153E-4 | 213.46623 | 7.9E-4 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.593515E-5 | 9.6592E-4 | 60.61569 | 9.5E-4 | 2.9358055E-4 | 1.9399327E-4 | 0.0015337333 | 7.9061165 | 0.00134 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0019382492 | 0.003634954 | 1.8753802 | 0.0017 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.256457E-6 | 5.4225523E-4 | 240.3127 | 5.4E-4 | 1.5111918E-5 | 9.670494E-6 | 6.396644E-4 | 66.14599 | 6.3E-4 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.1773197E-4 | 9.876295E-4 | 8.388797 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0011767028 | 0.002305373 | 1.9591805 | 0.00113 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0219908E-6 | 1.5102184E-4 | 147.77222 | 1.5E-4 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.379953E-6 | 1.9437911E-4 | 44.37927 | 1.9E-4 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.3324642E-5 | 3.1331077E-4 | 5.8755345 | 2.6E-4 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.331204E-4 | 9.229125E-4 | 1.731152 | 3.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6227038E-7 | 3.0162266E-5 | 185.87659 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 6.954443E-7 | 3.0695424E-5 | 44.13786 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.467002E-6 | 3.8466747E-5 | 4.5431366 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.4666826E-5 | 1.4466174E-4 | 1.7086 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.465713E-8 | 2.465713E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.0567341E-7 | 1.0567341E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.286573E-6 | 1.286573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.2865659E-5 | 1.2865659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.0029216856 | 134.33853 | 0.0029 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.003942847 | 42.30271 | 0.00385 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0069975704 | 6.169454 | 0.00587 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.019208219 | 1.7015529 | 0.00801 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.0029216856 | 134.33853 | 0.0029 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.003942847 | 42.30271 | 0.00385 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0069975704 | 6.169454 | 0.00587 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.019208219 | 1.7015529 | 0.00801 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021362267 | 131.36975 | 0.00212 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0028794932 | 41.319164 | 0.00281 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.004994642 | 5.888785 | 0.00415 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014133601 | 1.6722136 | 0.00573 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021362267 | 131.36975 | 0.00212 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0028794932 | 41.319164 | 0.00281 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.004994642 | 5.888785 | 0.00415 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014133601 | 1.6722136 | 0.00573 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0018236754 | 133.11401 | 0.00181 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024085755 | 41.0225 | 0.00235 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.004042247 | 5.656447 | 0.00333 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.011682937 | 1.6395624 | 0.00459 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0018236754 | 133.11401 | 0.00181 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024085755 | 41.0225 | 0.00235 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.004042247 | 5.656447 | 0.00333 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.011682937 | 1.6395624 | 0.00459 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3383776E-5 | 0.0018233595 | 136.23656 | 0.00181 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.735791E-5 | 0.0023872242 | 41.619793 | 0.00233 | 7.4992597E-4 | 6.981325E-4 | 0.0039858357 | 5.7092824 | 0.00329 | 0.007474003 | 0.006961746 | 0.0114502795 | 1.6447424 | 0.00452 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.2873106E-5 | 0.0017228511 | 133.83337 | 0.00171 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.516942E-5 | 0.0022550481 | 40.874966 | 0.0022 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.7150424E-4 | 0.0037994024 | 5.6580467 | 0.00313 | 0.007217 | 0.0066970866 | 0.011017955 | 1.6451862 | 0.00435 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 8.9083605E-6 | 0.0012988969 | 145.8065 | 0.00129 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.817822E-5 | 0.0016981148 | 44.47863 | 0.00166 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.6473645E-4 | 0.0027236862 | 5.860711 | 0.00226 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004639199 | 0.0077745854 | 1.6758466 | 0.00315 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.540374E-6 | 0.0012685296 | 148.53325 | 0.00126 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.660118E-5 | 0.0016565418 | 45.259247 | 0.00162 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.4554388E-4 | 0.0026545592 | 5.9580197 | 0.00221 | 0.005048454 | 0.004448045 | 0.0075342557 | 1.6938354 | 0.0031 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.3828425E-6 | 0.0011663755 | 182.73605 | 0.00116 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.735482E-5 | 0.0015373136 | 56.199 | 0.00151 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.3300606E-4 | 0.0023823234 | 7.153994 | 0.00205 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0033262526 | 0.0061368723 | 1.844981 | 0.00282 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.6775854E-6 | 7.926755E-4 | 296.04114 | 7.9E-4 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1475317E-5 | 0.0010414635 | 90.75684 | 0.00103 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.3970325E-4 | 0.0014495202 | 10.37571 | 0.00131 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0013961759 | 0.0031736908 | 2.273131 | 0.00178 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.2940294E-6 | 7.222924E-4 | 314.85748 | 7.2E-4 | 1.4647229E-5 | 9.831519E-6 | 9.5982215E-4 | 97.627045 | 9.5E-4 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.1969238E-4 | 0.0013295475 | 11.108039 | 0.00121 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0011962996 | 0.0028143616 | 2.3525558 | 0.00162 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.3626365E-6 | 4.9136195E-4 | 360.59653 | 4.9E-4 | 8.152474E-6 | 5.8398573E-6 | 6.858359E-4 | 117.44052 | 6.8E-4 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.1097966E-5 | 9.1103825E-4 | 12.813844 | 8.4E-4 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.1075436E-4 | 0.0018499441 | 2.6027896 | 0.00114 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.0638711E-6 | 3.9106346E-4 | 367.5854 | 3.9E-4 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.5594397E-6 | 5.6455686E-4 | 123.82155 | 5.6E-4 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.5509772E-5 | 7.654704E-4 | 13.78983 | 7.1E-4 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.5496016E-4 | 0.0014644552 | 2.6388474 | 9.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.190882E-7 | 2.9081886E-4 | 355.05194 | 2.9E-4 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.5103733E-6 | 4.235089E-4 | 120.64497 | 4.2E-4 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.2737967E-5 | 5.427166E-4 | 12.6987 | 5.0E-4 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.2729836E-4 | 0.0010770207 | 2.5205352 | 6.5E-4 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.5135832E-7 | 1.1045131E-4 | 244.7087 | 1.1E-4 | 2.9452417E-6 | 1.9343913E-6 | 1.519341E-4 | 78.54362 | 1.5E-4 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.3550961E-5 | 2.1354649E-4 | 9.067421 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.3548477E-4 | 5.2541646E-4 | 2.2312121 | 2.9E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.4119353E-7 | 9.0341164E-5 | 264.77982 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.4622572E-6 | 1.114621E-4 | 76.22606 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.7802837E-5 | 1.5780034E-4 | 8.863775 | 1.4E-4 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.7801419E-4 | 3.5798215E-4 | 2.0109754 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 1.8514095E-7 | 1.0185139E-5 | 55.012894 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4511525E-6 | 7.9346097E-7 | 1.0793453E-5 | 13.603004 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 9.660344E-6 | 2.9660152E-5 | 3.0702996 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 9.6599295E-5 | 1.3659542E-4 | 1.4140418 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.3313861E-7 | 1.0133137E-5 | 76.10968 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1980875E-6 | 5.705939E-7 | 1.05705885E-5 | 18.525589 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4586617E-5 | 6.9469593E-6 | 1.694689E-5 | 2.4394689 | 1.0E-5 | 1.458566E-4 | 6.946745E-5 | 9.946537E-5 | 1.431827 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 3.6195033E-5 | 2.2349017 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0022855331 | 64.17667 | 0.00225 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0035621014 | 23.339384 | 0.00341 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.007476677 | 4.025925 | 0.00563 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025939198 | 1.404415 | 0.00761 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0022855331 | 64.17667 | 0.00225 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0035621014 | 23.339384 | 0.00341 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.007476677 | 4.025925 | 0.00563 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025939198 | 1.404415 | 0.00761 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0022855331 | 64.17667 | 0.00225 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0035621014 | 23.339384 | 0.00341 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.007476677 | 4.025925 | 0.00563 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025939198 | 1.404415 | 0.00761 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0022855331 | 64.17667 | 0.00225 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0035621014 | 23.339384 | 0.00341 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.007476677 | 4.025925 | 0.00563 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.025939198 | 1.404415 | 0.00761 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.0454327E-4 | 27.805696 | 3.9E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 6.723131E-4 | 10.782696 | 6.1E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.001868023 | 2.4616003 | 0.00111 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.009210709 | 1.217822 | 0.00166 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 4.0454327E-4 | 27.805696 | 3.9E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 6.723131E-4 | 10.782696 | 6.1E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.001868023 | 2.4616003 | 0.00111 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.009210709 | 1.217822 | 0.00166 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.2757924E-5 | 2.6275474E-4 | 20.595415 | 2.5E-4 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.4675682E-5 | 4.4465435E-4 | 8.13258 | 3.9E-4 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.654748E-4 | 0.0014749358 | 2.216366 | 8.1E-4 | 0.006657724 | 0.0066350214 | 0.0078071924 | 1.1766642 | 0.00118 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2381868E-5 | 2.523789E-4 | 20.38294 | 2.4E-4 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.306408E-5 | 4.2304443E-4 | 7.9723315 | 3.7E-4 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.458653E-4 | 0.0014053744 | 2.175956 | 7.6E-4 | 0.00647886 | 0.006440071 | 0.007542922 | 1.1712483 | 0.00111 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.1991233E-5 | 2.319886E-4 | 19.346518 | 2.2E-4 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.1389998E-5 | 3.8137304E-4 | 7.421153 | 3.3E-4 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.2549516E-4 | 0.001335051 | 2.1343908 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006237526 | 0.0072809765 | 1.1672859 | 0.00105 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.0934387E-5 | 1.8093253E-4 | 16.547112 | 1.7E-4 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.6860827E-5 | 3.1684816E-4 | 6.761472 | 2.7E-4 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.703824E-4 | 0.0011800345 | 2.068848 | 6.1E-4 | 0.005777207 | 0.0056893234 | 0.006604089 | 1.1607864 | 9.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0368694E-5 | 1.8036693E-4 | 17.395338 | 1.7E-4 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.443651E-5 | 3.144245E-4 | 7.0758147 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.4088136E-4 | 0.0011305623 | 2.0902221 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0053957812 | 0.006251141 | 1.1585238 | 8.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.777159E-6 | 1.597757E-4 | 16.34173 | 1.5E-4 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.1901443E-5 | 2.8189138E-4 | 6.727486 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.1003176E-4 | 0.0010597513 | 2.077814 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0050887386 | 0.005904566 | 1.1603202 | 8.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.565193E-6 | 1.48564E-4 | 17.345085 | 1.4E-4 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.6707457E-5 | 2.4669975E-4 | 6.7206984 | 2.1E-4 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.468227E-4 | 8.966216E-4 | 2.006661 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0046197 | 0.0044593555 | 0.005156234 | 1.1562734 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.353895E-6 | 1.3735294E-4 | 18.677576 | 1.3E-4 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.1516316E-5 | 2.3151001E-4 | 7.345719 | 2.0E-4 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.8364457E-4 | 7.834911E-4 | 2.0422318 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0038299249 | 0.004467474 | 1.166465 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.0538605E-6 | 1.2605313E-4 | 20.821941 | 1.2E-4 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.5944864E-5 | 1.9594045E-4 | 7.5521865 | 1.7E-4 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.1583384E-4 | 6.557265E-4 | 2.0761755 | 3.4E-4 | 0.003286749 | 0.0031539425 | 0.0036723025 | 1.164353 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.344975E-6 | 9.4344585E-5 | 21.713493 | 9.0E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.8621191E-5 | 1.4861877E-4 | 7.9811635 | 1.3E-4 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.2669008E-4 | 4.766334E-4 | 2.1025772 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002402707 | 0.0022646545 | 0.0026238393 | 1.1586046 | 3.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.2855426E-6 | 5.128548E-5 | 39.89403 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.509457E-6 | 5.5509183E-5 | 10.075254 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.707564E-5 | 1.7706826E-4 | 2.6398296 | 1.1E-4 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.705607E-4 | 8.2046015E-4 | 1.2235434 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.5595507E-7 | 3.0555937E-5 | 54.961163 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.3826626E-6 | 3.238259E-5 | 13.590925 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9008568E-5 | 6.900741E-5 | 2.3788629 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.900513E-4 | 3.300397E-4 | 1.1378666 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.002812694 | 85.791794 | 0.00278 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0037899886 | 26.97473 | 0.00365 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.006720924 | 3.9315016 | 0.00502 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02347552 | 1.3819178 | 0.0066 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.002812694 | 85.791794 | 0.00278 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0037899886 | 26.97473 | 0.00365 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.006720924 | 3.9315016 | 0.00502 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02347552 | 1.3819178 | 0.0066 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.002812694 | 85.791794 | 0.00278 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0037899886 | 26.97473 | 0.00365 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.006720924 | 3.9315016 | 0.00502 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02347552 | 1.3819178 | 0.0066 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.002812694 | 85.791794 | 0.00278 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.0037899886 | 26.97473 | 0.00365 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.006720924 | 3.9315016 | 0.00502 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02347552 | 1.3819178 | 0.0066 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.652546E-5 | 0.002646482 | 160.14574 | 0.00263 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.08216E-5 | 0.0034605814 | 48.86336 | 0.00339 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.6193404E-4 | 0.005348064 | 6.2047253 | 0.00449 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588107 | 0.014318468 | 1.6672437 | 0.00578 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.652546E-5 | 0.002646482 | 160.14574 | 0.00263 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.08216E-5 | 0.0034605814 | 48.86336 | 0.00339 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.6193404E-4 | 0.005348064 | 6.2047253 | 0.00449 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588107 | 0.014318468 | 1.6672437 | 0.00578 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725239E-5 | 0.0024016972 | 204.83139 | 0.00239 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.025007E-5 | 0.0031500943 | 62.688354 | 0.0031 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.1162503E-4 | 0.004719111 | 7.7156935 | 0.00411 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0060996157 | 0.0112480195 | 1.8440539 | 0.00518 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725239E-5 | 0.0024016972 | 204.83139 | 0.00239 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.025007E-5 | 0.0031500943 | 62.688354 | 0.0031 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.1162503E-4 | 0.004719111 | 7.7156935 | 0.00411 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0060996157 | 0.0112480195 | 1.8440539 | 0.00518 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.0962818E-5 | 0.0023909367 | 218.0951 | 0.00238 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.698267E-5 | 0.0031368374 | 66.76585 | 0.00309 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.7186565E-4 | 0.0046595265 | 8.14794 | 0.00409 | 0.007104293 | 0.0057041002 | 0.010814781 | 1.8959662 | 0.00514 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.0941343E-5 | 0.0023909153 | 218.52118 | 0.00238 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.689064E-5 | 0.0031367457 | 66.89493 | 0.00309 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.707458E-4 | 0.0046584113 | 8.161973 | 0.00409 | 0.007094092 | 0.005692959 | 0.010803698 | 1.8977296 | 0.00514 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.0863234E-5 | 0.0023908373 | 220.08522 | 0.00238 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.65559E-5 | 0.003136412 | 67.36874 | 0.00309 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.666724E-4 | 0.004654355 | 8.213484 | 0.00409 | 0.007055073 | 0.0056524333 | 0.01076338 | 1.9042028 | 0.00514 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0358186E-5 | 0.0023703338 | 228.83675 | 0.00236 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.4391483E-5 | 0.0031042555 | 69.929085 | 0.00306 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.40334E-4 | 0.0045881458 | 8.491314 | 0.00405 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0053903516 | 0.010452915 | 1.9391898 | 0.00509 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.660145E-6 | 0.0023596375 | 244.2652 | 0.00235 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.1399977E-5 | 0.0030912736 | 74.66849 | 0.00305 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.0392974E-4 | 0.004521904 | 8.973282 | 0.00402 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005028008 | 0.010022768 | 1.9933873 | 0.00502 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.560658E-6 | 0.002328541 | 272.00488 | 0.00232 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.6688027E-5 | 0.0030165787 | 82.222435 | 0.00298 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.465866E-4 | 0.0043748314 | 9.796155 | 0.00393 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0044570058 | 0.009345122 | 2.0967264 | 0.00491 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.158593E-6 | 0.00227814 | 279.232 | 0.00227 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.4964938E-5 | 0.002924864 | 83.651344 | 0.00289 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.2561637E-4 | 0.0042539863 | 9.9948845 | 0.00383 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0042481227 | 0.009007817 | 2.1204228 | 0.00478 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.076693E-6 | 0.0019170631 | 270.89816 | 0.00191 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.0328338E-5 | 0.0024402551 | 80.46123 | 0.00241 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.6918625E-4 | 0.00360799 | 9.772818 | 0.00324 | 0.004693329 | 0.003685824 | 0.0077408226 | 2.1001606 | 0.00407 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.793403E-6 | 6.43791E-4 | 169.7133 | 6.4E-4 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6257341E-5 | 8.36244E-4 | 51.43793 | 8.2E-4 | 2.556514E-4 | 1.9791527E-4 | 0.0013176936 | 6.657867 | 0.00112 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0019774032 | 0.0034744372 | 1.7570707 | 0.0015 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.065704E-6 | 4.5306433E-4 | 147.78476 | 4.5E-4 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3138666E-5 | 5.731313E-4 | 43.621727 | 5.6E-4 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.599516E-4 | 9.5982366E-4 | 6.000713 | 8.0E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.0015983736 | 0.0026866314 | 1.6808531 | 0.00109 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 1.9923539E-6 | 2.1199194E-4 | 106.402756 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.538632E-6 | 2.6853642E-4 | 31.449585 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0395292E-4 | 4.7391446E-4 | 4.5589333 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010390475 | 0.0015784864 | 1.5191667 | 5.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.217211E-7 | 5.0321705E-5 | 156.41406 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.378804E-6 | 8.137869E-5 | 59.02122 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.6786813E-5 | 1.067853E-4 | 6.3612614 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.6785575E-4 | 2.9783393E-4 | 1.7743446 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre (San Fernando)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.1 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.2 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.3 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.4 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053338245 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.5 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0053338245 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.6 | 9.9035515E-6 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.0033060035 | 548.85443 | 0.0033 | 4.2443102E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0040357113 | 156.33453 | 0.00401 | 5.166222E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005532608 | 17.60585 | 0.00522 | 0.0051542283 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009607778 | 3.0616112 | 0.00649 |
6.7 | 9.87217E-6 | 6.011954E-6 | 0.0032959923 | 548.23975 | 0.00329 | 4.2308613E-5 | 2.576527E-5 | 0.0040256623 | 156.24374 | 0.004 | 5.149856E-4 | 3.1364805E-4 | 0.005522014 | 17.605766 | 0.00521 | 0.005137938 | 0.003132159 | 0.009591863 | 3.0623806 | 0.00648 |
6.8 | 9.4359175E-6 | 5.9234467E-6 | 0.0032159043 | 542.911 | 0.00321 | 4.043902E-5 | 2.5385958E-5 | 0.0039052875 | 153.83652 | 0.00388 | 4.9223384E-4 | 3.0903125E-4 | 0.0053474735 | 17.303991 | 0.00504 | 0.0049114493 | 0.0030861194 | 0.009356707 | 3.0318682 | 0.00629 |
6.9 | 8.700447E-6 | 5.7958223E-6 | 0.0030357782 | 523.78735 | 0.00303 | 3.72871E-5 | 2.4839008E-5 | 0.003724747 | 149.95555 | 0.0037 | 4.5387587E-4 | 3.0237396E-4 | 0.0051209163 | 16.935705 | 0.00482 | 0.0045295 | 0.003019728 | 0.0090215495 | 2.987537 | 0.00602 |
7.0 | 8.648878E-6 | 5.7718175E-6 | 0.0030057544 | 520.7639 | 0.003 | 3.7066096E-5 | 2.4736133E-5 | 0.0036946454 | 149.36229 | 0.00367 | 4.5118626E-4 | 3.0112182E-4 | 0.0050896793 | 16.902393 | 0.00479 | 0.004502713 | 0.0030072404 | 0.008979227 | 2.9858694 | 0.00599 |
7.1 | 8.505786E-6 | 5.685073E-6 | 0.0028856688 | 507.5869 | 0.00288 | 3.645286E-5 | 2.4364377E-5 | 0.0035642781 | 146.29054 | 0.00354 | 4.437232E-4 | 2.9659693E-4 | 0.004955215 | 16.706898 | 0.00466 | 0.0044283825 | 0.002962113 | 0.008804755 | 2.9724574 | 0.00586 |
7.2 | 8.139752E-6 | 5.468389E-6 | 0.0027354534 | 500.2302 | 0.00273 | 3.4884186E-5 | 2.3435749E-5 | 0.0033233585 | 141.80722 | 0.0033 | 4.246322E-4 | 2.8529388E-4 | 0.004654047 | 16.31317 | 0.00437 | 0.004238217 | 0.0028493756 | 0.008293818 | 2.9107492 | 0.00546 |
7.3 | 7.8816E-6 | 5.326284E-6 | 0.0026153123 | 491.02008 | 0.00261 | 3.3777847E-5 | 2.2826736E-5 | 0.003202754 | 140.30714 | 0.00318 | 4.111677E-4 | 2.7788107E-4 | 0.004516703 | 16.254086 | 0.00424 | 0.004104078 | 0.002775435 | 0.008040781 | 2.8971245 | 0.00528 |
7.4 | 7.5810603E-6 | 5.135269E-6 | 0.0024651226 | 480.0377 | 0.00246 | 3.2489854E-5 | 2.2008115E-5 | 0.003021942 | 137.31035 | 0.003 | 3.9549218E-4 | 2.6791685E-4 | 0.0042768423 | 15.963321 | 0.00401 | 0.0039478904 | 0.0026760371 | 0.007612791 | 2.8448002 | 0.00495 |
7.5 | 6.349153E-6 | 4.218991E-6 | 0.0018542112 | 439.49164 | 0.00185 | 2.7210372E-5 | 1.8081268E-5 | 0.00230804 | 127.64812 | 0.00229 | 3.312359E-4 | 2.2011797E-4 | 0.0032694465 | 14.853155 | 0.00305 | 0.0033074263 | 0.002199077 | 0.0059807426 | 2.7196603 | 0.00379 |
7.6 | 4.430576E-6 | 2.7420076E-6 | 0.0010427391 | 380.28308 | 0.00104 | 1.8988047E-5 | 1.175141E-5 | 0.0012317371 | 104.81611 | 0.00122 | 2.3115493E-4 | 1.4306423E-4 | 0.0018028268 | 12.60152 | 0.00166 | 0.0023091463 | 0.0014297427 | 0.0035167544 | 2.4597116 | 0.00209 |
7.7 | 3.005066E-6 | 1.6326188E-6 | 5.3163175E-4 | 325.6313 | 5.3E-4 | 1.2878791E-5 | 6.9969187E-6 | 6.269926E-4 | 89.60981 | 6.2E-4 | 1.56788E-4 | 8.518417E-5 | 8.85116E-4 | 10.390616 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0015667742 | 8.5151615E-4 | 0.0018506646 | 2.1733758 | 0.001 |
7.8 | 1.8459098E-6 | 9.74919E-7 | 1.9097474E-4 | 195.8878 | 1.9E-4 | 7.911018E-6 | 4.1782173E-6 | 2.241773E-4 | 53.653816 | 2.2E-4 | 9.631238E-5 | 5.0868613E-5 | 3.4085385E-4 | 6.7006717 | 2.9E-4 | 9.627065E-4 | 5.0857005E-4 | 9.0836664E-4 | 1.786119 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 9.839262E-7 | 4.823051E-7 | 6.0482274E-5 | 125.40252 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2168194E-6 | 2.0670202E-6 | 6.2066894E-5 | 30.027231 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1338568E-5 | 2.5165684E-5 | 8.5164174E-5 | 3.384139 | 6.0E-5 | 5.132671E-4 | 2.5162857E-4 | 3.516034E-4 | 1.3973111 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 5.1899446E-5 | 1.6269376 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0022567573 | 4.0465045 | 0.0017 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0046227467 | 1.9357457 | 0.00224 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032470785 | 1.1270901 | 0.00377 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24913694 | 1.0157547 | 0.00512 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0022567573 | 4.0465045 | 0.0017 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0046227467 | 1.9357457 | 0.00224 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032470785 | 1.1270901 | 0.00377 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24913694 | 1.0157547 | 0.00512 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0022567573 | 4.0465045 | 0.0017 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0046227467 | 1.9357457 | 0.00224 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032470785 | 1.1270901 | 0.00377 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24913694 | 1.0157547 | 0.00512 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0022567573 | 4.0465045 | 0.0017 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0046227467 | 1.9357457 | 0.00224 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032470785 | 1.1270901 | 0.00377 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24913694 | 1.0157547 | 0.00512 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 3.2368494E-4 | 0.0014333256 | 4.4281507 | 0.00111 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0013865093 | 0.002924374 | 2.109163 | 0.00154 | 0.010316478 | 0.016755063 | 0.019114852 | 1.1408403 | 0.0024 | 0.098504856 | 0.15343264 | 0.15619245 | 1.0179871 | 0.00326 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765534E-4 | 7.175559E-4 | 3.8237967 | 5.3E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.039917E-4 | 0.0015334048 | 1.9072396 | 7.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.00974517 | 0.010943378 | 1.122954 | 0.00121 | 0.065152965 | 0.09453995 | 0.0960249 | 1.0157071 | 0.00164 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765534E-4 | 7.175559E-4 | 3.8237967 | 5.3E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.039917E-4 | 0.0015334048 | 1.9072396 | 7.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.00974517 | 0.010943378 | 1.122954 | 0.00121 | 0.065152965 | 0.09453995 | 0.0960249 | 1.0157071 | 0.00164 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 1.4581176E-4 | 5.5575196E-4 | 3.8114343 | 4.1E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 6.247583E-4 | 0.0011744146 | 1.8797904 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.007580007 | 0.008493033 | 1.1204519 | 9.2E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.07565223 | 0.07676144 | 1.014662 | 0.0012 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 1.4139994E-4 | 5.313448E-4 | 3.7577443 | 3.9E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 6.058593E-4 | 0.0011255443 | 1.8577651 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.007351479 | 0.00822501 | 1.1188238 | 8.8E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.07365361 | 0.07471891 | 1.0144637 | 0.00115 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 1.3564389E-4 | 5.055937E-4 | 3.7273607 | 3.7E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 5.8120175E-4 | 0.0010709169 | 1.8425908 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.0070532495 | 0.007887325 | 1.1182541 | 8.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.07102916 | 0.072051026 | 1.0143867 | 0.0011 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 1.2995135E-4 | 4.7990587E-4 | 3.6929655 | 3.5E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 5.5681576E-4 | 0.001026554 | 1.8436153 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.0067582247 | 0.007562751 | 1.119044 | 8.1E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.06840344 | 0.06940024 | 1.0145725 | 0.00107 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 1.2352483E-4 | 4.3348654E-4 | 3.509307 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 5.2928494E-4 | 9.590573E-4 | 1.8119869 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.0064250566 | 0.007170238 | 1.1159805 | 7.5E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.06540972 | 0.06635366 | 1.0144311 | 0.00101 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 1.1780042E-4 | 4.1776508E-4 | 3.5463803 | 3.0E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 5.047614E-4 | 9.045595E-4 | 1.7920536 | 4.0E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.0061282 | 0.006833849 | 1.1151478 | 7.1E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.06272166 | 0.06362145 | 1.0143458 | 9.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.03626284E-4 | 3.0360554E-4 | 2.9298124 | 2.0E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 4.4403708E-4 | 7.2391273E-4 | 1.630298 | 2.8E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.0053927675 | 0.005909963 | 1.0959054 | 5.2E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.0559663 | 0.056646004 | 1.0121449 | 7.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 9.757314E-5 | 2.875546E-4 | 2.9470673 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 4.181036E-4 | 6.879907E-4 | 1.6455029 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.0050785425 | 0.005566054 | 1.0959944 | 4.9E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.05305408 | 0.053688534 | 1.0119586 | 6.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 9.221826E-5 | 2.8220075E-4 | 3.0601394 | 1.9E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 3.9516127E-4 | 6.650546E-4 | 1.6829953 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.004800485 | 0.0052781804 | 1.09951 | 4.8E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.05044823 | 0.051074933 | 1.0124227 | 6.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 8.767669E-5 | 2.6766091E-4 | 3.052817 | 1.8E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 3.7570315E-4 | 6.356055E-4 | 1.6917757 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.004564599 | 0.0050224997 | 1.1003156 | 4.6E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.04818152 | 0.048762128 | 1.0120505 | 6.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 8.421013E-5 | 2.2419835E-4 | 2.6623678 | 1.4E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 3.6085065E-4 | 5.707749E-4 | 1.5817482 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0043845125 | 0.0047827587 | 1.0908302 | 4.0E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.046442077 | 0.046966534 | 1.0112927 | 5.5E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 7.538696E-5 | 1.8537867E-4 | 2.4590282 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 3.2304696E-4 | 4.9299205E-4 | 1.5260693 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.003926008 | 0.004264673 | 1.086262 | 3.4E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.041736443 | 0.042177245 | 1.0105616 | 4.6E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 4.7894395E-5 | 1.1789104E-4 | 2.461479 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 2.0524554E-4 | 3.1522298E-4 | 1.5358335 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0024960018 | 0.0026655775 | 1.0679389 | 1.7E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.026781207 | 0.026985582 | 1.0076313 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 2.472408E-5 | 8.47226E-5 | 3.426724 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 1.0595604E-4 | 1.8594756E-4 | 1.75495 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0012892517 | 0.0013891228 | 1.0774643 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.01398304 | 0.014101362 | 1.0084618 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 7.1788686E-6 | 3.7178652E-5 | 5.178901 | 3.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 3.0766216E-5 | 7.076499E-5 | 2.3000872 | 4.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 3.7451443E-4 | 4.1449946E-4 | 1.1067649 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.0042275316 | 0.0042673624 | 1.0094218 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 1.2894578E-6 | 1.2894578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 5.5262362E-6 | 5.5262362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 6.727985E-5 | 6.727985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 8.490771E-4 | 8.490771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.0027756905 | 486.4229 | 0.00277 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.003564369 | 145.74892 | 0.00354 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.0053362167 | 17.923792 | 0.00504 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.0092755 | 3.1185517 | 0.00632 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.709404E-6 | 7.9270726E-4 | 292.57626 | 7.9E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611681E-5 | 9.816004E-4 | 84.53561 | 9.7E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.413632E-4 | 0.0015511638 | 10.972898 | 0.00141 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127494 | 0.0032301783 | 2.286448 | 0.00182 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.709404E-6 | 7.9270726E-4 | 292.57626 | 7.9E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611681E-5 | 9.816004E-4 | 84.53561 | 9.7E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.413632E-4 | 0.0015511638 | 10.972898 | 0.00141 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127494 | 0.0032301783 | 2.286448 | 0.00182 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.6998594E-6 | 7.926977E-4 | 293.60706 | 7.9E-4 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1570775E-5 | 9.815595E-4 | 84.830925 | 9.7E-4 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4086525E-4 | 0.0015506666 | 11.008156 | 0.00141 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014077763 | 0.003225214 | 2.2909992 | 0.00182 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.582885E-6 | 6.825811E-4 | 264.2708 | 6.8E-4 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1069461E-5 | 8.6106005E-4 | 77.786995 | 8.5E-4 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3476251E-4 | 0.0013445994 | 9.977549 | 0.00121 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013468234 | 0.0029246954 | 2.1715508 | 0.00158 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.2531917E-6 | 5.1225204E-4 | 227.34508 | 5.1E-4 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.6565E-6 | 6.6965015E-4 | 69.347084 | 6.6E-4 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.1756157E-4 | 0.0010174557 | 8.654663 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0011749961 | 0.0023835744 | 2.0285807 | 0.00121 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2293564E-6 | 5.1222823E-4 | 229.76508 | 5.1E-4 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.554349E-6 | 6.6954806E-4 | 70.07783 | 6.6E-4 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.1631801E-4 | 0.0010162133 | 8.736508 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0015166114 | 0.0011625737 | 0.0023611786 | 2.0309927 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.1898563E-6 | 4.921888E-4 | 224.75848 | 4.9E-4 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.385065E-6 | 6.3937914E-4 | 68.127304 | 6.3E-4 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.1425719E-4 | 9.7415893E-4 | 8.526018 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011419868 | 0.0022906736 | 2.005867 | 0.00115 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.1389715E-6 | 4.8213796E-4 | 225.40643 | 4.8E-4 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.166989E-6 | 6.091615E-4 | 66.451645 | 6.0E-4 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1160239E-4 | 9.415098E-4 | 8.436287 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011154657 | 0.0022242274 | 1.9939902 | 0.00111 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.0561404E-6 | 4.7205517E-4 | 229.58313 | 4.7E-4 | 1.1501375E-5 | 8.8120005E-6 | 5.9880683E-4 | 67.95356 | 5.9E-4 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.07280845E-4 | 9.1719395E-4 | 8.549466 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010722927 | 0.0021411453 | 1.9967918 | 0.00107 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.8726312E-6 | 3.818719E-4 | 203.92265 | 3.8E-4 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.025538E-6 | 4.980216E-4 | 62.05461 | 4.9E-4 | 1.2702055E-4 | 9.770656E-5 | 7.676411E-4 | 7.8565974 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0012694797 | 9.766379E-4 | 0.001875759 | 1.9206288 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.5369394E-6 | 3.1153645E-4 | 202.69925 | 3.1E-4 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.586866E-6 | 3.965843E-4 | 60.208344 | 3.9E-4 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.019216E-5 | 6.2014884E-4 | 7.7332854 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0010385747 | 8.0163375E-4 | 0.0015310486 | 1.9099103 | 7.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.1623752E-6 | 2.1116213E-4 | 181.66435 | 2.1E-4 | 6.526913E-6 | 4.9815985E-6 | 2.7498027E-4 | 55.199203 | 2.7E-4 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.0649283E-5 | 4.5062564E-4 | 7.430024 | 3.9E-4 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.0632854E-4 | 0.001165989 | 1.9230317 | 5.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.5596454E-7 | 8.045593E-5 | 176.45216 | 8.0E-5 | 2.7209726E-6 | 1.9541324E-6 | 9.195396E-5 | 47.056156 | 9.0E-5 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.3791303E-5 | 1.537882E-4 | 6.4640517 | 1.3E-4 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.3788773E-4 | 4.6783302E-4 | 1.9666127 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 9.783722E-8 | 1.0097836E-5 | 103.21058 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.1930232E-7 | 1.0419298E-5 | 24.84913 | 1.0E-5 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.1049938E-6 | 1.5104943E-5 | 2.958856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.104878E-5 | 9.104674E-5 | 1.7835243 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 8.935007E-9 | 8.935007E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 3.8292885E-8 | 3.8292885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 4.662158E-7 | 4.662158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 4.6621485E-6 | 4.6621485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0028672484 | 394.44553 | 0.00286 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.003521044 | 113.02513 | 0.00349 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.005087435 | 13.415499 | 0.00471 | 0.008033488 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009593855 | 2.5340838 | 0.00583 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.1414758E-6 | 0.001566132 | 255.00905 | 0.00156 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.6320347E-5 | 0.0019162706 | 72.80567 | 0.00189 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.204035E-4 | 0.0027796153 | 8.675359 | 0.00246 | 0.0065210275 | 0.0031994537 | 0.0062297275 | 1.9471222 | 0.00304 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.1125947E-6 | 0.0015661031 | 256.2092 | 0.00156 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.6196574E-5 | 0.0019161471 | 73.14495 | 0.00189 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.1889701E-4 | 0.0027781124 | 8.711629 | 0.00246 | 0.005950495 | 0.003184432 | 0.0062147514 | 1.9516044 | 0.00304 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.052996E-6 | 0.0015460437 | 255.41792 | 0.00154 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.5941155E-5 | 0.0018958927 | 73.08436 | 0.00187 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.157882E-4 | 0.0027550177 | 8.724258 | 0.00244 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0031534324 | 0.0061439723 | 1.9483443 | 0.003 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 5.8904698E-6 | 0.0014858817 | 252.25183 | 0.00148 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.5244628E-5 | 0.001835199 | 72.69662 | 0.00181 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.0731037E-4 | 0.0026365945 | 8.579581 | 0.00233 | 0.0055211177 | 0.003068897 | 0.005930089 | 1.9323194 | 0.00287 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 5.785268E-6 | 0.0014557769 | 251.63518 | 0.00145 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.4793771E-5 | 0.0018047496 | 72.79044 | 0.00178 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.0182276E-4 | 0.0025811347 | 8.551823 | 0.00228 | 0.0053428668 | 0.0030141703 | 0.0058256704 | 1.9327608 | 0.00282 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.60711E-6 | 0.0013355997 | 238.19753 | 0.00133 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.403025E-5 | 0.0016739906 | 69.661804 | 0.00165 | 5.171009E-4 | 2.925294E-4 | 0.0024319035 | 8.313363 | 0.00214 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0029214849 | 0.005563743 | 1.904423 | 0.00265 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.0080885E-6 | 0.0011350025 | 226.63387 | 0.00113 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.146306E-5 | 0.0014114332 | 65.76104 | 0.00139 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.6128165E-4 | 0.0021107984 | 8.078631 | 0.00185 | 0.00442326 | 0.0026097689 | 0.004893793 | 1.8751823 | 0.00229 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.8045913E-6 | 0.0010947994 | 227.86525 | 0.00109 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.0590944E-5 | 0.0013605633 | 66.07581 | 0.00134 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.506661E-4 | 0.0020202224 | 8.059416 | 0.00177 | 0.0042096223 | 0.0025038577 | 0.0046584494 | 1.8605088 | 0.00216 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.1086905E-6 | 8.7410514E-4 | 212.74544 | 8.7E-4 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.7608556E-5 | 0.0010875898 | 61.764847 | 0.00107 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.1436326E-4 | 0.0016040653 | 7.48293 | 0.00139 | 0.0035533418 | 0.0021415844 | 0.0038479222 | 1.7967643 | 0.00171 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.816954E-6 | 5.528154E-4 | 196.2458 | 5.5E-4 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.20726045E-5 | 7.1206415E-4 | 58.981815 | 7.0E-4 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.4697415E-4 | 0.0010468418 | 7.1226254 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0014687806 | 0.0026071062 | 1.775014 | 0.00114 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.5614947E-6 | 2.515611E-4 | 161.10275 | 2.5E-4 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.6921034E-6 | 3.2668997E-4 | 48.817234 | 3.2E-4 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.147336E-5 | 5.0143915E-4 | 6.1546397 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0013190953 | 8.144393E-4 | 0.0013440077 | 1.6502244 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.592417E-7 | 1.10859146E-4 | 129.01974 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.6824595E-6 | 1.3368198E-4 | 36.302364 | 1.3E-4 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.4833036E-5 | 2.3482452E-4 | 5.2377567 | 1.9E-4 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.4824113E-4 | 7.081246E-4 | 1.5797849 | 2.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.4224273E-7 | 3.0142239E-5 | 211.90707 | 3.0E-5 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.096115E-7 | 4.0609586E-5 | 66.61552 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.4219956E-6 | 4.7421698E-5 | 6.389346 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.4217554E-5 | 1.342131E-4 | 1.808374 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 4.929394E-9 | 4.929394E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.0015374E-8 | 6.0015374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.001537E-7 | 6.001537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.2620168E-5 | 0.0015325861 | 67.753075 | 0.00151 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.6940246E-5 | 0.001986757 | 20.494656 | 0.00189 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0011796562 | 0.0040762355 | 3.4554431 | 0.0029 | 0.012139114 | 0.011738825 | 0.015454686 | 1.3165447 | 0.00376 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6139113E-5 | 0.0014761155 | 91.462006 | 0.00146 | 7.4489166E-5 | 6.916584E-5 | 0.0018190448 | 26.299757 | 0.00175 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.4177806E-4 | 0.0034995389 | 4.1573176 | 0.00266 | 0.009028391 | 0.00838691 | 0.011748478 | 1.4008113 | 0.00339 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3186458E-5 | 0.0014331677 | 108.684814 | 0.00142 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.6512185E-5 | 0.0017464167 | 30.903364 | 0.00169 | 7.6267915E-4 | 6.878222E-4 | 0.0032360682 | 4.7048035 | 0.00255 | 0.007600669 | 0.0068573565 | 0.01008507 | 1.4706936 | 0.00325 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2049738E-5 | 0.0014220327 | 118.01358 | 0.00141 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.1640727E-5 | 0.0017415534 | 33.724415 | 0.00169 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.285474E-4 | 0.0031569572 | 5.022624 | 0.00253 | 0.00704657 | 0.006268048 | 0.009467865 | 1.5104965 | 0.00322 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1567086E-5 | 0.0014215508 | 122.89619 | 0.00141 | 5.613192E-5 | 4.95723E-5 | 0.0017394886 | 35.089928 | 0.00169 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.033784E-4 | 0.0031218578 | 5.1739635 | 0.00252 | 0.006810953 | 0.006017737 | 0.009178601 | 1.5252578 | 0.00318 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.0670733E-5 | 0.0014206556 | 133.13571 | 0.00141 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.5730925E-5 | 0.0017356536 | 37.95361 | 0.00169 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.566343E-4 | 0.0030552426 | 5.4887795 | 0.0025 | 0.006372592 | 0.0055527035 | 0.008675268 | 1.5623503 | 0.00314 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 9.718048E-6 | 0.0013897046 | 143.00244 | 0.00138 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.1648127E-5 | 0.0016915794 | 40.61598 | 0.00165 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.069499E-4 | 0.0028957382 | 5.71208 | 0.00239 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0050581787 | 0.0080529535 | 1.5920658 | 0.00301 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.192151E-6 | 0.0013791795 | 150.03882 | 0.00137 | 4.6559664E-5 | 3.9394352E-5 | 0.0016793298 | 42.628696 | 0.00164 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.795225E-4 | 0.002848386 | 5.940047 | 0.00237 | 0.005652734 | 0.0047851102 | 0.007760803 | 1.6218649 | 0.00299 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 8.980142E-6 | 0.0013789679 | 153.55745 | 0.00137 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.8485767E-5 | 0.0016784227 | 43.611515 | 0.00164 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.6846532E-4 | 0.0028273598 | 6.035366 | 0.00236 | 0.005550127 | 0.004675009 | 0.007631124 | 1.6323229 | 0.00297 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.291956E-6 | 0.0013782806 | 166.219 | 0.00137 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.553648E-5 | 0.0016754782 | 47.14812 | 0.00164 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.3257241E-4 | 0.0027515688 | 6.360944 | 0.00232 | 0.005224364 | 0.0043175146 | 0.0072348644 | 1.6757011 | 0.00293 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 7.743803E-6 | 0.0013777332 | 177.91429 | 0.00137 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.3187313E-5 | 0.0016731329 | 50.414833 | 0.00164 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.0398218E-4 | 0.002703053 | 6.6910205 | 0.0023 | 0.00496445 | 0.0040326784 | 0.0069010644 | 1.7112856 | 0.00288 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.3835217E-6 | 0.0013673735 | 185.19258 | 0.00136 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.164329E-5 | 0.0016615917 | 52.51008 | 0.00163 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.851905E-4 | 0.0026743084 | 6.94282 | 0.00229 | 0.004792784 | 0.003845426 | 0.0067043896 | 1.7434713 | 0.00287 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.728776E-6 | 0.001355721 | 236.65108 | 0.00135 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.4551668E-5 | 0.0016445119 | 66.98168 | 0.00162 | 3.984668E-4 | 2.9887582E-4 | 0.0025282092 | 8.459063 | 0.00223 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0029848085 | 0.0057465406 | 1.9252627 | 0.00277 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.4057523E-6 | 0.0013553984 | 250.73262 | 0.00135 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3167306E-5 | 0.00163313 | 70.492874 | 0.00161 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.820257E-4 | 0.0024914024 | 8.833955 | 0.00221 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0028167467 | 0.0055490285 | 1.9700135 | 0.00274 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.758757E-6 | 0.0011947531 | 251.06412 | 0.00119 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.0394515E-5 | 0.0014503653 | 71.11546 | 0.00143 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.482751E-4 | 0.0022077884 | 8.8925085 | 0.00196 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002480036 | 0.0049040094 | 1.9773945 | 0.00243 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 3.959928E-6 | 9.3395624E-4 | 235.85182 | 9.3E-4 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.697101E-5 | 0.001136952 | 66.993774 | 0.00112 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.0660255E-4 | 0.0016762988 | 8.113641 | 0.00147 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0020641154 | 0.0038703792 | 1.875079 | 0.00181 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 2.9969601E-6 | 6.829949E-4 | 227.8959 | 6.8E-4 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.28440515E-5 | 7.9283403E-4 | 61.727722 | 7.8E-4 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.5636517E-4 | 0.0012161995 | 7.777943 | 0.00106 | 0.0021511333 | 0.001562559 | 0.0028804964 | 1.8434482 | 0.00132 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.7745335E-6 | 4.4177377E-4 | 248.95204 | 4.4E-4 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.605122E-6 | 5.1760126E-4 | 68.059555 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.258848E-5 | 8.0252276E-4 | 8.66763 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0013248142 | 9.255047E-4 | 0.001774718 | 1.9175678 | 8.5E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.4204496E-7 | 6.0342023E-5 | 176.41548 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.4659062E-6 | 1.0146576E-4 | 69.217094 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.7847262E-5 | 1.6784458E-4 | 9.4045 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.784584E-4 | 3.5842627E-4 | 2.0084584 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2131496E-8 | 1.2131496E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.1992124E-8 | 5.1992124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.3300394E-7 | 6.3300394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.330022E-6 | 6.330022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 7.822383E-9 | 7.822383E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 9.52375E-8 | 9.52375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 9.523747E-7 | 9.523747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0022605173 | 214.4471 | 0.00225 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.00282505 | 62.53493 | 0.00278 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.0043078074 | 7.834159 | 0.00376 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010189539 | 1.8575456 | 0.00473 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0022605173 | 214.4471 | 0.00225 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.00282505 | 62.53493 | 0.00278 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.0043078074 | 7.834159 | 0.00376 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010189539 | 1.8575456 | 0.00473 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0022605173 | 214.4471 | 0.00225 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.00282505 | 62.53493 | 0.00278 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.0043078074 | 7.834159 | 0.00376 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010189539 | 1.8575456 | 0.00473 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0022605173 | 214.4471 | 0.00225 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.00282505 | 62.53493 | 0.00278 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.0043078074 | 7.834159 | 0.00376 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010189539 | 1.8575456 | 0.00473 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0022605173 | 214.4471 | 0.00225 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.00282505 | 62.53493 | 0.00278 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.0043078074 | 7.834159 | 0.00376 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010189539 | 1.8575456 | 0.00473 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.7794145E-6 | 0.0022397577 | 229.02779 | 0.00223 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.191111E-5 | 0.0028017955 | 66.85091 | 0.00276 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.101493E-4 | 0.0042282515 | 8.288263 | 0.00372 | 0.006582173 | 0.005090083 | 0.00975621 | 1.9167095 | 0.00469 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.7794145E-6 | 0.0022397577 | 229.02779 | 0.00223 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.191111E-5 | 0.0028017955 | 66.85091 | 0.00276 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.101493E-4 | 0.0042282515 | 8.288263 | 0.00372 | 0.006582173 | 0.005090083 | 0.00975621 | 1.9167095 | 0.00469 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 9.617415E-6 | 0.0022395959 | 232.8688 | 0.00223 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.121685E-5 | 0.002801103 | 67.96015 | 0.00276 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.0170056E-4 | 0.004219834 | 8.411061 | 0.00372 | 0.0065024206 | 0.005005978 | 0.00966255 | 1.9302022 | 0.00468 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 9.570337E-6 | 0.002239549 | 234.00941 | 0.00223 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.1015093E-5 | 0.002800902 | 68.28954 | 0.00276 | 6.4967526E-4 | 4.9924536E-4 | 0.004217388 | 8.447526 | 0.00372 | 0.006477792 | 0.004981536 | 0.009638222 | 1.9347893 | 0.00468 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.346997E-6 | 0.0022293262 | 238.50723 | 0.00222 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.005795E-5 | 0.002789948 | 69.6478 | 0.00275 | 6.3771347E-4 | 4.8759737E-4 | 0.004175798 | 8.56403 | 0.00369 | 0.006358865 | 0.0048655705 | 0.009482995 | 1.9489994 | 0.00464 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 8.958322E-6 | 0.0021789388 | 243.2307 | 0.00217 | 5.06967E-5 | 3.839225E-5 | 0.0027382886 | 71.324 | 0.0027 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.6732635E-4 | 0.004105625 | 8.78535 | 0.00364 | 0.006153469 | 0.0046637272 | 0.009222368 | 1.9774671 | 0.00458 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.557889E-6 | 0.0021485395 | 251.05954 | 0.00214 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.6676156E-5 | 0.0026965786 | 73.524025 | 0.00266 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.464416E-4 | 0.004034839 | 9.037775 | 0.00359 | 0.005949879 | 0.0044557336 | 0.008965549 | 2.0121377 | 0.00453 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 7.984893E-6 | 0.0020979682 | 262.7422 | 0.00209 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.4220524E-5 | 0.0026341316 | 76.97519 | 0.0026 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.165561E-4 | 0.0039450857 | 9.470718 | 0.00353 | 0.0056383642 | 0.004158031 | 0.008549694 | 2.056188 | 0.00441 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 7.614856E-6 | 0.0020375994 | 267.58215 | 0.00203 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.2634693E-5 | 0.0025625522 | 78.52233 | 0.00253 | 5.426921E-4 | 3.972558E-4 | 0.0038458852 | 9.68113 | 0.00345 | 0.005413687 | 0.0039657326 | 0.008208838 | 2.0699425 | 0.00426 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.022507E-6 | 0.0019670087 | 280.10065 | 0.00196 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.0096116E-5 | 0.0024700228 | 82.071144 | 0.00244 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.6635945E-4 | 0.003685143 | 10.058819 | 0.00332 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0036578276 | 0.0077229035 | 2.1113362 | 0.00408 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.08339E-6 | 0.0017060731 | 280.44775 | 0.0017 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.6071415E-5 | 0.0021660156 | 83.08009 | 0.00214 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.1737407E-4 | 0.0031464759 | 9.914093 | 0.00283 | 0.004522561 | 0.0031694768 | 0.0066583836 | 2.1007833 | 0.0035 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.1279586E-6 | 9.54124E-4 | 231.13701 | 9.5E-4 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.7691133E-5 | 0.001157671 | 65.43792 | 0.00114 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.1536849E-4 | 0.001745039 | 8.102573 | 0.00153 | 0.003308182 | 0.0021518075 | 0.004067676 | 1.8903531 | 0.00192 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.6702055E-6 | 4.8266893E-4 | 180.76096 | 4.8E-4 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.1443688E-5 | 5.8143714E-4 | 50.808548 | 5.7E-4 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.3931801E-4 | 8.592177E-4 | 6.1673126 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0013924916 | 0.0022812523 | 1.638252 | 8.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.7668182E-6 | 1.9176648E-4 | 108.53776 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3776359E-5 | 7.572056E-6 | 2.2757039E-4 | 30.053976 | 2.2E-4 | 1.6771426E-4 | 9.218589E-5 | 3.7216008E-4 | 4.037061 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0016758774 | 9.215573E-4 | 0.0013012071 | 1.4119655 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.1473444E-7 | 6.0514703E-5 | 117.5649 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.2060028E-6 | 6.220587E-5 | 28.198454 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.6857757E-5 | 8.685615E-5 | 3.2339313 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.6854547E-4 | 3.685186E-4 | 1.3722764 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 5.1899446E-5 | 1.6269376 | 2.0E-5 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.002048457 | 241.72308 | 0.00204 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.0025962254 | 71.48505 | 0.00256 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.003940559 | 8.913146 | 0.0035 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008725006 | 1.976613 | 0.00433 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.002048457 | 241.72308 | 0.00204 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.0025962254 | 71.48505 | 0.00256 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.003940559 | 8.913146 | 0.0035 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008725006 | 1.976613 | 0.00433 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.002048457 | 241.72308 | 0.00204 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.0025962254 | 71.48505 | 0.00256 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.003940559 | 8.913146 | 0.0035 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008725006 | 1.976613 | 0.00433 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0018146235 | 391.77026 | 0.00181 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.0022398066 | 112.83283 | 0.00222 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.00316095 | 13.080387 | 0.00292 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005875591 | 2.4339974 | 0.00347 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0018146235 | 391.77026 | 0.00181 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.0022398066 | 112.83283 | 0.00222 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.00316095 | 13.080387 | 0.00292 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005875591 | 2.4339974 | 0.00347 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0018146235 | 391.77026 | 0.00181 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.0022398066 | 112.83283 | 0.00222 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.00316095 | 13.080387 | 0.00292 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005875591 | 2.4339974 | 0.00347 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0018146235 | 391.77026 | 0.00181 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.0022398066 | 112.83283 | 0.00222 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.00316095 | 13.080387 | 0.00292 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005875591 | 2.4339974 | 0.00347 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.6293753E-6 | 0.001814621 | 391.97968 | 0.00181 | 3.0525585E-5 | 1.9840032E-5 | 0.002239796 | 112.89276 | 0.00222 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.4152629E-4 | 0.003160821 | 13.086862 | 0.00292 | 0.003709649 | 0.0024126763 | 0.0058743046 | 2.4347668 | 0.00347 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.3338114E-6 | 0.0017043265 | 393.26273 | 0.0017 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.8573348E-5 | 0.0020985347 | 112.98635 | 0.00208 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.2610762E-4 | 0.0029554903 | 13.071167 | 0.00273 | 0.0035189227 | 0.002258804 | 0.005481508 | 2.4267304 | 0.00323 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.2809047E-6 | 0.0016742737 | 391.10278 | 0.00167 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.8346609E-5 | 0.002068309 | 112.73522 | 0.00205 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.2334764E-4 | 0.0029227445 | 13.086079 | 0.0027 | 0.003474293 | 0.0022312598 | 0.0054041645 | 2.4220238 | 0.00318 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 3.88795E-6 | 0.0014038825 | 361.08554 | 0.0014 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.6662538E-5 | 0.0017566335 | 105.424126 | 0.00174 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.0284789E-4 | 0.0024823854 | 12.237669 | 0.00228 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0020266364 | 0.004691225 | 2.3147838 | 0.00267 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 3.8257685E-6 | 0.0013438206 | 351.2551 | 0.00134 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.6396049E-5 | 0.0016763689 | 102.24224 | 0.00166 | 3.2599916E-4 | 1.99604E-4 | 0.002389167 | 11.969535 | 0.00219 | 0.0032552136 | 0.0019942557 | 0.0045691105 | 2.2911358 | 0.00258 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.6710646E-6 | 0.0012536665 | 341.49942 | 0.00125 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.5733041E-5 | 0.0015757085 | 100.15282 | 0.00156 | 3.1517216E-4 | 1.9153331E-4 | 0.0022511387 | 11.753249 | 0.00206 | 0.0031472554 | 0.00191369 | 0.00433904 | 2.267368 | 0.00243 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 2.9322916E-6 | 0.0010129294 | 345.43948 | 0.00101 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.2566905E-5 | 0.0012625512 | 100.46636 | 0.00125 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.5299152E-4 | 0.0018527315 | 12.110027 | 0.0017 | 0.00248537 | 0.0015288648 | 0.0035557612 | 2.3257525 | 0.00203 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.091291E-6 | 7.620897E-4 | 364.41113 | 7.6E-4 | 1.5224792E-5 | 8.962645E-6 | 9.5895416E-4 | 106.994545 | 9.5E-4 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.09114815E-4 | 0.0013989741 | 12.821119 | 0.00129 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0010906198 | 0.0025590167 | 2.3463874 | 0.00147 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5223358E-6 | 5.815214E-4 | 381.9929 | 5.8E-4 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.52428E-6 | 6.8651984E-4 | 105.22538 | 6.8E-4 | 1.415686E-4 | 7.943023E-5 | 0.0010193556 | 12.833345 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0014147845 | 7.9402013E-4 | 0.0018731626 | 2.359087 | 0.00108 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1250786E-6 | 4.311246E-4 | 383.1951 | 4.3E-4 | 8.208566E-6 | 4.8217566E-6 | 5.148193E-4 | 106.77007 | 5.1E-4 | 9.993471E-5 | 5.8703314E-5 | 7.7866105E-4 | 13.264346 | 7.2E-4 | 9.988978E-4 | 5.868789E-4 | 0.0014463742 | 2.464519 | 8.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 6.8656357E-7 | 3.1068636E-4 | 452.52377 | 3.1E-4 | 5.194467E-6 | 2.942412E-6 | 3.529414E-4 | 119.94968 | 3.5E-4 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.5823283E-5 | 5.0580647E-4 | 14.11949 | 4.7E-4 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.5817543E-4 | 9.1797486E-4 | 2.5629196 | 5.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.751885E-7 | 1.0037515E-4 | 267.53256 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6079498E-6 | 1.3160774E-4 | 81.84817 | 1.3E-4 | 3.272786E-5 | 1.9576615E-5 | 1.8957329E-4 | 9.6836605 | 1.7E-4 | 3.272304E-4 | 1.9574905E-4 | 3.957099E-4 | 2.0215163 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.1356269E-7 | 3.0113559E-5 | 265.17123 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6968373E-7 | 4.8669716E-7 | 3.0486683E-5 | 62.639942 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0588348E-5 | 5.925522E-6 | 3.5925343E-5 | 6.062815 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0587843E-4 | 5.925366E-5 | 8.925189E-5 | 1.5062678 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.0095255E-8 | 2.0095255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8747821E-7 | 8.612252E-8 | 8.612252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.0485412E-6 | 1.0485412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.0485366E-5 | 1.0485366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019734923 | 563.9779 | 0.00197 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0024349603 | 162.36702 | 0.00242 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.0033419922 | 18.305368 | 0.00316 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.0057570143 | 3.1559088 | 0.00394 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.4974644E-6 | 0.0019734905 | 564.26324 | 0.00197 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.49890475E-5 | 0.0024349529 | 162.44879 | 0.00242 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8247649E-4 | 0.0033419 | 18.314138 | 0.00316 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018232786 | 0.005756095 | 3.1570024 | 0.00394 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.2448959E-6 | 0.0018032391 | 555.7155 | 0.0018 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.3906622E-5 | 0.0022038762 | 158.47673 | 0.00219 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.6930001E-4 | 0.003038814 | 17.949286 | 0.00287 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0016917145 | 0.005245692 | 3.1008139 | 0.00356 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.1837078E-6 | 0.0017331782 | 544.38983 | 0.00173 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.36443905E-5 | 0.0021136156 | 154.9073 | 0.0021 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.6610783E-4 | 0.0029056526 | 17.492569 | 0.00274 | 0.0024967908 | 0.0016598406 | 0.0050641806 | 3.0510042 | 0.00341 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 2.996002E-6 | 0.0015929913 | 531.7057 | 0.00159 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.2839945E-5 | 0.0019728148 | 153.64667 | 0.00196 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.5631515E-4 | 0.0027059165 | 17.310648 | 0.00255 | 0.0023869718 | 0.0015620552 | 0.004707135 | 3.013424 | 0.00315 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.7608362E-6 | 0.001372757 | 497.2251 | 0.00137 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.1832102E-5 | 0.0017218118 | 145.52037 | 0.00171 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4404634E-4 | 0.0023737252 | 16.478899 | 0.00223 | 0.0022359942 | 0.0014395326 | 0.0041855737 | 2.9075923 | 0.00275 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.5697611E-6 | 0.0012825665 | 499.0995 | 0.00128 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1013216E-5 | 0.0016109956 | 146.27841 | 0.0016 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3407767E-4 | 0.0022437947 | 16.735037 | 0.00211 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013399705 | 0.0038665803 | 2.8855712 | 0.00253 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.1888404E-6 | 0.0011121865 | 508.1167 | 0.00111 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.380711E-6 | 0.0013693679 | 145.97699 | 0.00136 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.1420419E-4 | 0.0018440066 | 16.146576 | 0.00173 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011414564 | 0.0032090936 | 2.8114026 | 0.00207 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.7655635E-6 | 7.6176424E-4 | 431.4567 | 7.6E-4 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.566679E-6 | 9.175598E-4 | 121.263214 | 9.1E-4 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.212043E-5 | 0.0012820108 | 13.916683 | 0.00119 | 0.0015636457 | 9.2082313E-4 | 0.0024094512 | 2.6166275 | 0.00149 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.3695774E-6 | 5.9136876E-4 | 431.7892 | 5.9E-4 | 1.05183235E-5 | 5.869604E-6 | 6.8586564E-4 | 116.8504 | 6.8E-4 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.146009E-5 | 9.5139723E-4 | 13.313685 | 8.8E-4 | 0.001279793 | 7.143717E-4 | 0.0017936002 | 2.5107381 | 0.00108 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 7.540563E-7 | 2.107539E-4 | 279.4936 | 2.1E-4 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.231666E-6 | 2.5323086E-4 | 78.35923 | 2.5E-4 | 7.108106E-5 | 3.9344824E-5 | 3.6933183E-4 | 9.387051 | 3.3E-4 | 7.1058323E-4 | 3.9337875E-4 | 8.3320565E-4 | 2.118075 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 3.9070645E-7 | 7.039068E-5 | 180.16257 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.6744551E-6 | 7.167434E-5 | 42.804573 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.0386302E-5 | 9.038488E-5 | 4.433608 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.038444E-4 | 3.2381996E-4 | 1.5885643 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.121901E-8 | 6.121901E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.6236717E-7 | 2.6236717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.1943157E-6 | 3.1943157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.1942713E-5 | 5.1942076E-5 | 1.6261009 | 2.0E-5 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.561171E-4 | 20.713495 | 9.1E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014675595 | 7.4190073 | 0.00127 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004500789 | 1.8707756 | 0.0021 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.02659666 | 1.1168249 | 0.00285 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.561171E-4 | 20.713495 | 9.1E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014675595 | 7.4190073 | 0.00127 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004500789 | 1.8707756 | 0.0021 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.02659666 | 1.1168249 | 0.00285 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.561171E-4 | 20.713495 | 9.1E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014675595 | 7.4190073 | 0.00127 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004500789 | 1.8707756 | 0.0021 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.02659666 | 1.1168249 | 0.00285 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.561171E-4 | 20.713495 | 9.1E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014675595 | 7.4190073 | 0.00127 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004500789 | 1.8707756 | 0.0021 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.02659666 | 1.1168249 | 0.00285 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 9.561171E-4 | 20.713495 | 9.1E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0014675595 | 7.4190073 | 0.00127 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004500789 | 1.8707756 | 0.0021 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.02659666 | 1.1168249 | 0.00285 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.4327848E-5 | 7.9430174E-4 | 23.1387 | 7.6E-4 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.4711154E-4 | 0.0012169541 | 8.272323 | 0.00107 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0017896983 | 0.0035764948 | 1.9983786 | 0.00179 | 0.01632528 | 0.017761922 | 0.020178229 | 1.1360385 | 0.00246 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.4317567E-5 | 7.942915E-4 | 23.145332 | 7.6E-4 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.4706748E-4 | 0.0012169101 | 8.274502 | 0.00107 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0017891628 | 0.0035759602 | 1.998678 | 0.00179 | 0.01632056 | 0.017756652 | 0.020172972 | 1.1360797 | 0.00246 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.0567066E-5 | 7.6054473E-4 | 24.881182 | 7.3E-4 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3099558E-4 | 0.0011308646 | 8.632845 | 0.001 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0015937844 | 0.0032611229 | 2.0461504 | 0.00167 | 0.014641452 | 0.015831772 | 0.018065834 | 1.1411126 | 0.00227 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.050675E-5 | 7.604845E-4 | 24.9284 | 7.3E-4 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3073711E-4 | 0.0011306064 | 8.647938 | 0.001 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0015906421 | 0.0032579857 | 2.0482204 | 0.00167 | 0.014613459 | 0.015800796 | 0.01803493 | 1.1413937 | 0.00227 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.5953359E-5 | 6.8593625E-4 | 26.429575 | 6.6E-4 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1122434E-4 | 0.0010111242 | 9.090854 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013533866 | 0.0028313836 | 2.092073 | 0.00148 | 0.012562336 | 0.01345867 | 0.015412021 | 1.1451371 | 0.00198 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5112235E-5 | 6.8509567E-4 | 27.281351 | 6.6E-4 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.07619824E-4 | 9.97524E-4 | 9.268962 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013095549 | 0.0027576562 | 2.1057963 | 0.00145 | 0.012179627 | 0.013025557 | 0.014920548 | 1.1454825 | 0.00192 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.378175E-5 | 6.8376603E-4 | 28.751713 | 6.6E-4 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.019182E-4 | 9.818285E-4 | 9.633495 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012402182 | 0.0026284943 | 2.1193805 | 0.00139 | 0.01157452 | 0.012340033 | 0.014157328 | 1.1472682 | 0.00184 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7206585E-5 | 6.3719595E-4 | 37.032097 | 6.2E-4 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.374076E-5 | 8.4368396E-4 | 11.441216 | 7.7E-4 | 8.623549E-4 | 8.9748367E-4 | 0.0020964066 | 2.3358717 | 0.0012 | 0.008590161 | 0.0089445 | 0.0105202785 | 1.1761729 | 0.00159 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5152011E-5 | 6.2514277E-4 | 41.25807 | 6.1E-4 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.49359E-5 | 8.148872E-4 | 12.549102 | 7.5E-4 | 7.668978E-4 | 7.903658E-4 | 0.001959441 | 2.4791572 | 0.00117 | 0.0076425658 | 0.007881265 | 0.009409128 | 1.19386 | 0.00154 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.4147326E-6 | 5.05412E-4 | 93.340164 | 5.0E-4 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3205794E-5 | 6.131921E-4 | 26.424095 | 5.9E-4 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.824944E-4 | 0.0011522487 | 4.078837 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.002821406 | 0.0039083306 | 1.3852422 | 0.00109 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.227635E-6 | 5.0522503E-4 | 96.64504 | 5.0E-4 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2403961E-5 | 6.0239097E-4 | 26.8877 | 5.8E-4 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.727346E-4 | 0.0011225027 | 4.115733 | 8.5E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.002724051 | 0.0037911362 | 1.3917273 | 0.00107 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.2200572E-6 | 5.042179E-4 | 119.4813 | 5.0E-4 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8085837E-5 | 5.9807533E-4 | 33.068714 | 5.8E-4 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2017314E-4 | 0.0010499904 | 4.7689304 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0021995835 | 0.003227318 | 1.4672405 | 0.00103 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.7910241E-6 | 3.5279006E-4 | 126.40165 | 3.5E-4 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.1961479E-5 | 4.3195646E-4 | 36.112297 | 4.2E-4 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4562153E-4 | 7.655312E-4 | 5.2569923 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014552863 | 0.0022141803 | 1.521474 | 7.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 9.936134E-7 | 9.0993526E-5 | 91.57839 | 9.0E-5 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.2583365E-6 | 1.4425773E-4 | 33.876545 | 1.4E-4 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.1844043E-5 | 2.7183263E-4 | 5.243276 | 2.2E-4 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.1832234E-4 | 7.981772E-4 | 1.5399244 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8277098E-7 | 2.0182768E-5 | 110.426544 | 2.0E-5 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.8330396E-7 | 4.0783274E-5 | 52.065704 | 4.0E-5 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.536687E-6 | 5.953621E-5 | 6.242861 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.536306E-5 | 1.7535542E-4 | 1.8388193 | 8.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.0569427E-4 | 25.35158 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013729155 | 8.967313 | 0.00122 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.00397892 | 2.135909 | 0.00212 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.0215589 | 1.1643201 | 0.0031 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.0569427E-4 | 25.35158 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013729155 | 8.967313 | 0.00122 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.00397892 | 2.135909 | 0.00212 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.0215589 | 1.1643201 | 0.0031 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.0569427E-4 | 25.35158 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013729155 | 8.967313 | 0.00122 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.00397892 | 2.135909 | 0.00212 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.0215589 | 1.1643201 | 0.0031 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 9.0569427E-4 | 25.35158 | 8.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0013729155 | 8.967313 | 0.00122 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.00397892 | 2.135909 | 0.00212 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.0215589 | 1.1643201 | 0.0031 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.5056205E-4 | 26.761444 | 5.3E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816775E-5 | 8.081043E-4 | 9.165532 | 7.2E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0024016472 | 2.2380996 | 0.00133 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012673343 | 1.1850079 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.5056205E-4 | 26.761444 | 5.3E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816775E-5 | 8.081043E-4 | 9.165532 | 7.2E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0024016472 | 2.2380996 | 0.00133 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012673343 | 1.1850079 | 0.002 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.464951E-6 | 3.19462E-4 | 33.7521 | 3.1E-4 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.0563486E-5 | 4.4054727E-4 | 10.860685 | 4.0E-4 | 5.119132E-4 | 4.937555E-4 | 0.0011834148 | 2.3967628 | 6.9E-4 | 0.005107356 | 0.004927278 | 0.0059124 | 1.1999323 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.452646E-6 | 3.1944973E-4 | 33.79474 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.0510753E-5 | 4.4049454E-4 | 10.873522 | 4.0E-4 | 5.112989E-4 | 4.931137E-4 | 0.0011827735 | 2.3985815 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0049208887 | 0.005906017 | 1.2001932 | 9.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.6072884E-6 | 2.8760516E-4 | 37.806526 | 2.8E-4 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.2602286E-5 | 3.725912E-4 | 11.428377 | 3.4E-4 | 4.2268867E-4 | 3.9686527E-4 | 9.3665096E-4 | 2.3601234 | 5.4E-4 | 0.004218856 | 0.003962037 | 0.004778788 | 1.2061442 | 8.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.368838E-6 | 2.2536765E-4 | 41.976986 | 2.2E-4 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3009108E-5 | 2.7300336E-4 | 11.865012 | 2.5E-4 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8010062E-4 | 6.49997E-4 | 2.3205838 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0027975508 | 0.0033759282 | 1.2067442 | 5.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.879641E-6 | 1.748788E-4 | 35.83846 | 1.7E-4 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.0912583E-5 | 2.209084E-4 | 10.56342 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.545816E-4 | 5.745001E-4 | 2.2566445 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025429642 | 0.0030516672 | 1.2000433 | 5.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.000605E-6 | 1.2400013E-4 | 30.995346 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7145338E-5 | 1.5714293E-4 | 9.165345 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.0872489E-4 | 4.2867896E-4 | 2.053799 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002454537 | 0.0020853283 | 0.0024844944 | 1.1914163 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9111184E-6 | 6.291094E-5 | 21.610577 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2476163E-5 | 9.2475166E-5 | 7.412148 | 8.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.518868E-4 | 2.7186857E-4 | 1.7899421 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015178405 | 0.0017774459 | 1.171036 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0484474E-6 | 5.2048345E-5 | 25.408682 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.77903E-6 | 7.8778416E-5 | 8.973475 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.06879525E-4 | 2.1686777E-4 | 2.029086 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010682881 | 0.0012980425 | 1.2150677 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0044419E-6 | 3.1004412E-5 | 30.867304 | 3.0E-5 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.304744E-6 | 4.4304572E-5 | 10.292034 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.2409025E-5 | 1.3240484E-4 | 2.5263746 | 8.0E-5 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.239695E-4 | 6.439066E-4 | 1.228901 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.0689533E-6 | 1.2068933E-5 | 5.833352 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.518923E-5 | 5.5188473E-5 | 2.1909552 | 3.0E-5 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5186528E-4 | 2.918552E-4 | 1.1587751 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 1.1040228E-5 | 10.61317 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2664835E-5 | 3.2664582E-5 | 2.579156 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2664148E-4 | 1.4663895E-4 | 1.1579062 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.118304E-8 | 7.118304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 6.721104E-8 | 6.721104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 8.182942E-7 | 8.182942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 8.182924E-6 | 8.182924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.0010697794 | 109.27569 | 0.00106 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014118978 | 33.652378 | 0.00137 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0026496046 | 5.188207 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.008083546 | 1.5822722 | 0.00299 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.0010697794 | 109.27569 | 0.00106 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014118978 | 33.652378 | 0.00137 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0026496046 | 5.188207 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.008083546 | 1.5822722 | 0.00299 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.0010697794 | 109.27569 | 0.00106 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014118978 | 33.652378 | 0.00137 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0026496046 | 5.188207 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.008083546 | 1.5822722 | 0.00299 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.0010697794 | 109.27569 | 0.00106 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014118978 | 33.652378 | 0.00137 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0026496046 | 5.188207 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.008083546 | 1.5822722 | 0.00299 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.0010697794 | 109.27569 | 0.00106 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014118978 | 33.652378 | 0.00137 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0026496046 | 5.188207 | 0.00214 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.008083546 | 1.5822722 | 0.00299 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.551022E-6 | 7.25547E-4 | 130.70514 | 7.2E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789878E-5 | 8.937692E-4 | 37.569305 | 8.7E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960386E-4 | 0.001639213 | 5.66019 | 0.00135 | 0.003506398 | 0.0029048724 | 0.0046697306 | 1.6075511 | 0.00177 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.551022E-6 | 7.25547E-4 | 130.70514 | 7.2E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789878E-5 | 8.937692E-4 | 37.569305 | 8.7E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960386E-4 | 0.001639213 | 5.66019 | 0.00135 | 0.003506398 | 0.0029048724 | 0.0046697306 | 1.6075511 | 0.00177 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 5.082504E-6 | 6.750791E-4 | 132.82411 | 6.7E-4 | 2.6892068E-5 | 2.178198E-5 | 8.3176437E-4 | 38.18589 | 8.1E-4 | 3.2736175E-4 | 2.6516384E-4 | 0.0015148324 | 5.7128167 | 0.00125 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0026610766 | 0.0042767655 | 1.6071562 | 0.00162 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 4.796779E-6 | 6.347938E-4 | 132.3375 | 6.3E-4 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.0557467E-5 | 7.8054186E-4 | 37.968777 | 7.6E-4 | 3.128256E-4 | 2.5025886E-4 | 0.0014099686 | 5.6340404 | 0.00116 | 0.003123856 | 0.002512371 | 0.0040086024 | 1.5955456 | 0.0015 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 4.4761746E-6 | 5.344738E-4 | 119.404144 | 5.3E-4 | 2.4369761E-5 | 1.9183468E-5 | 6.69171E-4 | 34.882694 | 6.5E-4 | 2.9666146E-4 | 2.3353413E-4 | 0.0012033076 | 5.1525984 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0023454868 | 0.003612508 | 1.5401955 | 0.00127 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 4.0084E-6 | 3.3400708E-4 | 83.32678 | 3.3E-4 | 2.242688E-5 | 1.7178745E-5 | 4.3717152E-4 | 25.448397 | 4.2E-4 | 2.7301308E-4 | 2.0913145E-4 | 8.09006E-4 | 3.868409 | 6.0E-4 | 0.002726779 | 0.002101935 | 0.0029301904 | 1.3940443 | 8.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 3.90776E-6 | 3.239065E-4 | 82.88802 | 3.2E-4 | 2.2009834E-5 | 1.6747437E-5 | 4.2674056E-4 | 25.480947 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6793676E-4 | 2.0388127E-4 | 7.7376503E-4 | 3.7951748 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0026761394 | 0.002049531 | 0.0028279324 | 1.3797948 | 7.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 3.7566733E-6 | 3.137555E-4 | 83.51951 | 3.1E-4 | 2.1381518E-5 | 1.6099932E-5 | 4.1609348E-4 | 25.844427 | 4.0E-4 | 2.6028889E-4 | 1.9599932E-4 | 7.4589154E-4 | 3.8055823 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0019708537 | 0.002699415 | 1.3696679 | 7.3E-4 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 3.6011752E-6 | 3.036001E-4 | 84.30584 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0665291E-5 | 1.543352E-5 | 4.054275E-4 | 26.269285 | 3.9E-4 | 2.5157086E-4 | 1.8788717E-4 | 7.077895E-4 | 3.7670984 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0018898731 | 0.002558607 | 1.3538512 | 6.7E-4 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 3.501343E-6 | 3.035003E-4 | 86.68111 | 3.0E-4 | 2.0193436E-5 | 1.5005671E-5 | 4.0499982E-4 | 26.989784 | 3.9E-4 | 2.4582737E-4 | 1.8267901E-4 | 7.0258405E-4 | 3.8460028 | 5.2E-4 | 0.002455556 | 0.0018378772 | 0.0024667194 | 1.3421568 | 6.3E-4 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 3.362492E-6 | 2.633616E-4 | 78.32334 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9502659E-5 | 1.4410602E-5 | 3.544057E-4 | 24.593401 | 3.4E-4 | 2.37419E-4 | 1.7543524E-4 | 6.4535276E-4 | 3.6785812 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002371655 | 0.0017655548 | 0.0023345484 | 1.3222747 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 3.180609E-6 | 2.3317988E-4 | 73.31297 | 2.3E-4 | 1.861545E-5 | 1.3631111E-5 | 3.0362717E-4 | 22.274572 | 2.9E-4 | 2.2661954E-4 | 1.6594642E-4 | 5.7587837E-4 | 3.4702668 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0016707946 | 0.0021799423 | 1.304734 | 5.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 1.5476069E-6 | 1.8154732E-4 | 117.308426 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2583803E-5 | 6.632584E-6 | 2.2663112E-4 | 34.169357 | 2.2E-4 | 1.5319703E-4 | 8.074873E-5 | 3.907237E-4 | 4.83876 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0015309147 | 8.103379E-4 | 0.0012000218 | 1.4808908 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 4.7823613E-7 | 2.0478226E-5 | 42.820328 | 2.0E-5 | 6.232116E-6 | 2.0495816E-6 | 2.204954E-5 | 10.758069 | 2.0E-5 | 7.587337E-5 | 2.4953371E-5 | 6.495237E-5 | 2.6029499 | 4.0E-5 | 7.584747E-4 | 2.5096425E-4 | 3.0095168E-4 | 1.1991816 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 9.639803E-8 | 9.639803E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 4.1313436E-7 | 4.1313436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 5.029899E-6 | 5.029899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 5.081784E-5 | 5.081784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 1.5876795E-8 | 1.5876795E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 6.8043406E-8 | 6.8043406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 8.284281E-7 | 8.284281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 8.626118E-6 | 8.626118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 7.3725235E-9 | 7.3725235E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 3.159653E-8 | 3.159653E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 3.846877E-7 | 3.846877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 4.0894843E-6 | 4.0894843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 2.6001525E-9 | 2.6001525E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 1.1143511E-8 | 1.1143511E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 1.3567224E-7 | 1.3567224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 1.5043008E-6 | 1.5043008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 3.826288E-4 | 7.267932 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560834E-4 | 7.3549326E-4 | 3.2600448 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0039103664 | 1.4252807 | 0.00117 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028787522 | 1.061334 | 0.00171 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 3.826288E-4 | 7.267932 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560834E-4 | 7.3549326E-4 | 3.2600448 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0039103664 | 1.4252807 | 0.00117 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028787522 | 1.061334 | 0.00171 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 2.628106E-4 | 8.008092 | 2.3E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 5.105897E-4 | 3.6304283 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0026593772 | 1.5542799 | 9.5E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.01837812 | 1.0821968 | 0.00142 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 2.628106E-4 | 8.008092 | 2.3E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 5.105897E-4 | 3.6304283 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0026593772 | 1.5542799 | 9.5E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.01837812 | 1.0821968 | 0.00142 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.709625E-5 | 2.470903E-4 | 9.118984 | 2.2E-4 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1612172E-4 | 4.760799E-4 | 4.099835 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014128834 | 0.00229164 | 1.6219598 | 8.8E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01404112 | 0.015332727 | 1.0919874 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.4439178E-5 | 2.444338E-4 | 10.001719 | 2.2E-4 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.04735205E-4 | 4.5469854E-4 | 4.3414106 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0012744191 | 0.002133323 | 1.6739572 | 8.6E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.012672705 | 0.01392661 | 1.0989454 | 0.00127 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 1.9854022E-5 | 2.0985024E-4 | 10.569659 | 1.9E-4 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.5085936E-5 | 3.850604E-4 | 4.525547 | 3.0E-4 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010354364 | 0.0017846598 | 1.7235823 | 7.5E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010306979 | 0.011425331 | 1.1085044 | 0.00113 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.7723358E-5 | 2.0771999E-4 | 11.720126 | 1.9E-4 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.595507E-5 | 3.759323E-4 | 4.949404 | 3.0E-4 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.243658E-4 | 0.0016237188 | 1.756576 | 7.0E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.0092058135 | 0.010246147 | 1.1130084 | 0.00105 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.55779E-5 | 1.9557509E-4 | 12.554651 | 1.8E-4 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.6760746E-5 | 3.567414E-4 | 5.3435802 | 2.9E-4 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.12513E-4 | 0.0014819686 | 1.8239322 | 6.7E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008095881 | 0.009087785 | 1.1225196 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3064728E-5 | 1.7306264E-4 | 13.246555 | 1.6E-4 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.59905E-5 | 3.259754E-4 | 5.8219767 | 2.7E-4 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.814733E-4 | 0.0012910576 | 1.8945094 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006794082 | 0.0077177635 | 1.1359538 | 9.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1704644E-5 | 1.6170289E-4 | 13.815276 | 1.5E-4 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.0161805E-5 | 3.1014875E-4 | 6.1829667 | 2.6E-4 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.1055046E-4 | 0.0011702086 | 1.9166452 | 5.6E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.006088914 | 0.0069635557 | 1.1436449 | 8.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0347842E-5 | 1.503464E-4 | 14.52925 | 1.4E-4 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.4347147E-5 | 2.843365E-4 | 6.4116073 | 2.4E-4 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.3979387E-4 | 0.001089497 | 2.0183575 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0053849523 | 0.0062502674 | 1.1606914 | 8.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.280211E-6 | 1.292791E-4 | 13.93062 | 1.2E-4 | 4.11042E-5 | 3.9771734E-5 | 2.4976337E-4 | 6.279922 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.8411428E-4 | 9.638819E-4 | 1.9910214 | 4.8E-4 | 0.004992037 | 0.00483071 | 0.0056268456 | 1.1648071 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.215215E-6 | 1.2821423E-4 | 15.606923 | 1.2E-4 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5207595E-5 | 2.452002E-4 | 6.964412 | 2.1E-4 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.2856912E-4 | 8.783763E-4 | 2.0495555 | 4.5E-4 | 0.004470094 | 0.0042775325 | 0.0050243246 | 1.1745847 | 7.5E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.8082304E-6 | 1.1680748E-4 | 17.156805 | 1.1E-4 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9177809E-5 | 2.1917226E-4 | 7.511608 | 1.9E-4 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.5518286E-4 | 7.450443E-4 | 2.097636 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0035462473 | 0.004183978 | 1.1798325 | 6.4E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.138535E-6 | 8.513813E-5 | 16.56856 | 8.0E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.202211E-5 | 1.720188E-4 | 7.8111863 | 1.5E-4 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.6808688E-4 | 5.7800376E-4 | 2.1560316 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0026777033 | 0.0031763646 | 1.1862272 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0284167E-6 | 5.2028314E-5 | 25.649715 | 5.0E-5 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.693186E-6 | 8.869249E-5 | 10.20253 | 8.0E-5 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.05834486E-4 | 2.8581545E-4 | 2.700589 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010578493 | 0.0013675214 | 1.2927375 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.0813932E-6 | 4.1081348E-5 | 37.98928 | 4.0E-5 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.634534E-6 | 7.463421E-5 | 16.10393 | 7.0E-5 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.6424014E-5 | 1.6641781E-4 | 2.9494145 | 1.1E-4 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.640992E-4 | 7.53992E-4 | 1.3366302 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 5.9400514E-7 | 3.0593987E-5 | 51.50458 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.5457339E-6 | 6.254558E-5 | 24.56878 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.0993884E-5 | 1.2099109E-4 | 3.9037087 | 9.0E-5 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.0989686E-4 | 4.3985658E-4 | 1.4193645 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 1.002142E-5 | 467.846 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 1.026079E-5 | 39.344635 | 1.0E-5 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 1.2607898E-5 | 4.8344574 | 1.0E-5 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 7.254535E-4 | 46.91108 | 7.1E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 0.001026211 | 15.484224 | 9.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0023753524 | 2.9448264 | 0.00157 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010191873 | 1.2677534 | 0.00217 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 7.254535E-4 | 46.91108 | 7.1E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 0.001026211 | 15.484224 | 9.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0023753524 | 2.9448264 | 0.00157 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010191873 | 1.2677534 | 0.00217 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 7.254535E-4 | 46.91108 | 7.1E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 0.001026211 | 15.484224 | 9.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0023753524 | 2.9448264 | 0.00157 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010191873 | 1.2677534 | 0.00217 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 7.254535E-4 | 46.91108 | 7.1E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 0.001026211 | 15.484224 | 9.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0023753524 | 2.9448264 | 0.00157 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010191873 | 1.2677534 | 0.00217 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135958E-5 | 6.9412636E-4 | 49.103596 | 6.8E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581395E-5 | 9.605269E-4 | 15.855146 | 9.0E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.373513E-4 | 0.0022062673 | 2.9921525 | 0.00147 | 0.007248361 | 0.0073512783 | 0.009356429 | 1.2727622 | 0.00202 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135958E-5 | 6.9412636E-4 | 49.103596 | 6.8E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581395E-5 | 9.605269E-4 | 15.855146 | 9.0E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.373513E-4 | 0.0022062673 | 2.9921525 | 0.00147 | 0.007248361 | 0.0073512783 | 0.009356429 | 1.2727622 | 0.00202 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0426266E-5 | 6.204199E-4 | 59.505474 | 6.1E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468326E-5 | 8.34648E-4 | 18.679209 | 7.9E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.4388813E-4 | 0.0017432355 | 3.205136 | 0.0012 | 0.005485909 | 0.005426097 | 0.00700747 | 1.2914383 | 0.00159 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0426266E-5 | 6.204199E-4 | 59.505474 | 6.1E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468326E-5 | 8.34648E-4 | 18.679209 | 7.9E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.4388813E-4 | 0.0017432355 | 3.205136 | 0.0012 | 0.005485909 | 0.005426097 | 0.00700747 | 1.2914383 | 0.00159 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 9.93766E-6 | 5.999318E-4 | 60.36952 | 5.9E-4 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.258931E-5 | 8.1255654E-4 | 19.078886 | 7.7E-4 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.1840657E-4 | 0.0016878 | 3.2557456 | 0.00117 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0051724887 | 0.0066846265 | 1.2923424 | 0.00152 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.36237E-6 | 5.073587E-4 | 68.912415 | 5.0E-4 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.1552638E-5 | 6.7153247E-4 | 21.282925 | 6.4E-4 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.8408683E-4 | 0.0013337219 | 3.472449 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003834349 | 0.005049671 | 1.3169565 | 0.00122 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.7349747E-6 | 4.8673173E-4 | 72.26927 | 4.8E-4 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.8863864E-5 | 6.48846E-4 | 22.479527 | 6.2E-4 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.5136193E-4 | 0.0012510457 | 3.5605614 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0037173668 | 0.003508168 | 0.0046541337 | 1.3266565 | 0.00115 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.1476636E-6 | 4.1514557E-4 | 80.64738 | 4.1E-4 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.206123E-5 | 5.6204933E-4 | 25.47679 | 5.4E-4 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.6856258E-4 | 0.0010083638 | 3.75467 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0026824 | 0.0035899591 | 1.3383385 | 9.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.3862083E-6 | 3.5438468E-4 | 80.79522 | 3.5E-4 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.87979E-5 | 4.987889E-4 | 26.534286 | 4.8E-4 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.2884054E-4 | 8.686941E-4 | 3.7960672 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0025721465 | 0.00228606 | 0.0030642769 | 1.3404183 | 7.8E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.6757128E-6 | 2.7367473E-4 | 74.45487 | 2.7E-4 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.575296E-5 | 3.6574746E-4 | 23.217697 | 3.5E-4 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9177551E-4 | 6.7168346E-4 | 3.5024464 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019161081 | 0.0025049776 | 1.3073258 | 5.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 2.927067E-6 | 2.5292634E-4 | 86.409485 | 2.5E-4 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.2544513E-5 | 3.325405E-4 | 26.508842 | 3.2E-4 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5271881E-4 | 5.926516E-4 | 3.880672 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015261436 | 0.0020353652 | 1.3336656 | 5.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.2024728E-6 | 1.5220215E-4 | 69.10511 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.439136E-6 | 2.0943725E-4 | 22.18818 | 2.0E-4 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.14915485E-4 | 3.948833E-4 | 3.4362934 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0011485644 | 0.0014681967 | 1.2782887 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.3720113E-6 | 1.1137186E-4 | 81.17416 | 1.1E-4 | 7.794145E-6 | 5.880035E-6 | 1.4587921E-4 | 24.80924 | 1.4E-4 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.1587114E-5 | 2.5157424E-4 | 3.5142388 | 1.8E-4 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.156416E-4 | 9.055056E-4 | 1.265306 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.093221E-7 | 1.0709315E-5 | 15.097958 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.0399485E-6 | 2.3039887E-5 | 7.579039 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.701076E-5 | 5.701002E-5 | 1.5403634 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.700447E-4 | 3.9003728E-4 | 1.0540276 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 3.8654215E-7 | 3.8654215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.6566082E-6 | 1.6566082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.0169022E-5 | 2.0169022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.0166888E-4 | 2.0166888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 4.9404584E-8 | 4.9404584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.1173392E-7 | 2.1173392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.5778586E-6 | 2.5778586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.5778398E-5 | 2.5778398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 0.0010037586 | 266.78467 | 0.001 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0012461047 | 77.279724 | 0.00123 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0018359778 | 9.352934 | 0.00164 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0040571755 | 2.0686216 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.7604045E-6 | 0.0010037567 | 266.92783 | 0.001 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6115922E-5 | 0.0012460961 | 77.32081 | 0.00123 | 2.3697925E-4 | 1.96194E-4 | 0.0018358722 | 9.357433 | 0.00164 | 0.002367267 | 0.0019602394 | 0.004056123 | 2.0691977 | 0.0021 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.7455713E-6 | 0.0010037419 | 267.98096 | 0.001 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6052352E-5 | 0.0012460327 | 77.623055 | 0.00123 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9542017E-4 | 0.0018350997 | 9.390533 | 0.00164 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019525148 | 0.0040484145 | 2.073436 | 0.0021 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.7304724E-6 | 0.0010037267 | 269.06158 | 0.001 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.5987642E-5 | 0.0012459679 | 77.93319 | 0.00123 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9463248E-4 | 0.0018343133 | 9.424498 | 0.00164 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019446517 | 0.0040405677 | 2.077785 | 0.0021 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.6635151E-6 | 0.0010036598 | 273.96088 | 0.001 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.5700687E-5 | 0.0012456814 | 79.339294 | 0.00123 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.911394E-4 | 0.0018208278 | 9.526177 | 0.00163 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019097815 | 0.00399579 | 2.092276 | 0.00209 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.5585097E-6 | 0.0010035549 | 282.01553 | 0.001 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5250668E-5 | 0.0012352321 | 80.99528 | 0.00122 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8566138E-4 | 0.0018053605 | 9.723943 | 0.00162 | 0.0022632615 | 0.001855094 | 0.0039112726 | 2.1083958 | 0.00206 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.4599643E-6 | 0.0010034565 | 290.01932 | 0.001 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.4828336E-5 | 0.0012348102 | 83.27369 | 0.00122 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.8052035E-4 | 0.0018002279 | 9.972438 | 0.00162 | 0.0021988105 | 0.0018037682 | 0.0038400886 | 2.1289258 | 0.00204 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.2787937E-6 | 9.6327567E-4 | 293.78967 | 9.6E-4 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4051899E-5 | 0.0011640358 | 82.838326 | 0.00115 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7106874E-4 | 0.001700807 | 9.942243 | 0.00153 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017094015 | 0.0036460853 | 2.13296 | 0.00194 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3111554E-6 | 6.723096E-4 | 290.8976 | 6.7E-4 | 1.1903058E-5 | 9.904915E-6 | 8.0989697E-4 | 81.76718 | 8.0E-4 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2058574E-4 | 0.0011904567 | 9.872285 | 0.00107 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012052105 | 0.0025336077 | 2.1022117 | 0.00133 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5663242E-6 | 4.015657E-4 | 256.37457 | 4.0E-4 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.7128008E-6 | 4.967095E-4 | 73.99438 | 4.9E-4 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.172533E-5 | 7.4167136E-4 | 9.075171 | 6.6E-4 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.1695727E-4 | 0.0015963201 | 1.9539822 | 7.8E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3011246E-7 | 9.0430076E-5 | 210.24751 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8433377E-6 | 1.1184313E-4 | 60.674248 | 1.1E-4 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2442407E-5 | 1.6243926E-4 | 7.23805 | 1.4E-4 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2440159E-4 | 3.8436567E-4 | 1.7128475 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0195636E-7 | 2.0101954E-5 | 197.16234 | 2.0E-5 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.3695576E-7 | 3.0436942E-5 | 69.65681 | 3.0E-5 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3199237E-6 | 3.5319765E-5 | 6.6391487 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.319799E-5 | 9.3195864E-5 | 1.7518681 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 6.9576913E-9 | 6.9576913E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.470989E-8 | 8.470989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.470986E-7 | 8.470986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 9.141263E-4 | 221.33554 | 9.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 0.0011476801 | 64.84037 | 0.00113 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.001745148 | 8.098973 | 0.00153 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.004148429 | 1.927051 | 0.002 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 9.141263E-4 | 221.33554 | 9.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 0.0011476801 | 64.84037 | 0.00113 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.001745148 | 8.098973 | 0.00153 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.004148429 | 1.927051 | 0.002 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 9.141263E-4 | 221.33554 | 9.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 0.0011476801 | 64.84037 | 0.00113 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.001745148 | 8.098973 | 0.00153 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.004148429 | 1.927051 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 9.141263E-4 | 221.33554 | 9.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 0.0011476801 | 64.84037 | 0.00113 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.001745148 | 8.098973 | 0.00153 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.004148429 | 1.927051 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 9.141263E-4 | 221.33554 | 9.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 0.0011476801 | 64.84037 | 0.00113 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.001745148 | 8.098973 | 0.00153 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.004148429 | 1.927051 | 0.002 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389938E-6 | 8.836358E-4 | 242.8242 | 8.8E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595595E-5 | 0.0011155785 | 71.53163 | 0.0011 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986003E-4 | 0.001659581 | 8.7410755 | 0.00147 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969985 | 0.0038233371 | 2.0154667 | 0.00193 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389938E-6 | 8.836358E-4 | 242.8242 | 8.8E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595595E-5 | 0.0011155785 | 71.53163 | 0.0011 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986003E-4 | 0.001659581 | 8.7410755 | 0.00147 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969985 | 0.0038233371 | 2.0154667 | 0.00193 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.5377846E-6 | 8.8353467E-4 | 249.74236 | 8.8E-4 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5161847E-5 | 0.0011151452 | 73.54943 | 0.0011 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8458003E-4 | 0.0016443105 | 8.908388 | 0.00146 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018442862 | 0.0037507636 | 2.033721 | 0.00191 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.2271773E-6 | 8.532244E-4 | 264.38724 | 8.5E-4 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.3830687E-5 | 0.001073816 | 77.64011 | 0.00106 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.6837574E-4 | 0.0015881367 | 9.432099 | 0.00142 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0016824955 | 0.0034595006 | 2.0561724 | 0.00178 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.0824556E-6 | 8.230799E-4 | 267.02087 | 8.2E-4 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3210458E-5 | 0.0010431969 | 78.96751 | 0.00103 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6082557E-4 | 0.0015406036 | 9.579346 | 0.00138 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016071036 | 0.0033343234 | 2.0747406 | 0.00173 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.906849E-6 | 7.8290456E-4 | 269.33102 | 7.8E-4 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2457865E-5 | 0.0010024456 | 80.46688 | 9.9E-4 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5166405E-4 | 0.0014714638 | 9.7021265 | 0.00132 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015156163 | 0.0031731003 | 2.093604 | 0.00166 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8068569E-6 | 7.828047E-4 | 278.89014 | 7.8E-4 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2029332E-5 | 0.0010020174 | 83.297844 | 9.9E-4 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.4644738E-4 | 0.001446257 | 9.875609 | 0.0013 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0014635192 | 0.003101119 | 2.1189466 | 0.00164 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.6289715E-6 | 7.42627E-4 | 282.47815 | 7.4E-4 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1266973E-5 | 9.5125637E-4 | 84.42874 | 9.4E-4 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.3716686E-4 | 0.0013669982 | 9.96595 | 0.00123 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0013708322 | 0.0029286938 | 2.1364348 | 0.00156 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.442392E-6 | 6.624408E-4 | 271.22623 | 6.6E-4 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0467353E-5 | 8.3045877E-4 | 79.33799 | 8.2E-4 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.2743266E-4 | 0.001207295 | 9.473984 | 0.00108 | 0.0018636974 | 0.001273606 | 0.002641861 | 2.0743158 | 0.00137 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.2738604E-6 | 6.5227237E-4 | 286.8568 | 6.5E-4 | 1.4361368E-5 | 9.745081E-6 | 8.197372E-4 | 84.11805 | 8.1E-4 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.1864E-4 | 0.0011685154 | 9.849254 | 0.00105 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0011857765 | 0.0024942232 | 2.1034513 | 0.00131 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 1.9792628E-6 | 5.4197817E-4 | 273.8283 | 5.4E-4 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.482528E-6 | 6.984767E-4 | 82.34299 | 6.9E-4 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0326998E-4 | 9.831791E-4 | 9.5204735 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010322296 | 0.0021410838 | 2.074232 | 0.00111 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4061364E-6 | 4.1140555E-4 | 292.57867 | 4.1E-4 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.026286E-6 | 5.2602316E-4 | 87.28812 | 5.2E-4 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.336764E-5 | 7.2331994E-4 | 9.858841 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0010500296 | 7.3344266E-4 | 0.0015328559 | 2.0899465 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 3.9045713E-7 | 9.039042E-5 | 231.49896 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.6733868E-6 | 1.2167318E-4 | 72.71074 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.0373318E-5 | 1.6037046E-4 | 7.871593 | 1.4E-4 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.0371692E-4 | 3.736823E-4 | 1.8343213 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.00336216E-7 | 2.0100335E-5 | 200.3298 | 2.0E-5 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.3001228E-7 | 2.0430003E-5 | 47.51028 | 2.0E-5 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.235387E-6 | 2.5235282E-5 | 4.820137 | 2.0E-5 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.235267E-5 | 8.23511E-5 | 1.5730067 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 2.9777041E-8 | 1.0029777E-5 | 336.8292 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.2761589E-7 | 1.0127615E-5 | 79.36014 | 1.0E-5 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5537224E-6 | 1.1553707E-5 | 7.436146 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5537129E-5 | 2.5536974E-5 | 1.6436095 | 1.0E-5 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 5.8304105E-4 | 7.9783034 | 5.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.329641E-4 | 2.97921 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0048426045 | 1.2721723 | 0.00104 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038913563 | 1.0385323 | 0.0015 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 5.8304105E-4 | 7.9783034 | 5.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.329641E-4 | 2.97921 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0048426045 | 1.2721723 | 0.00104 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038913563 | 1.0385323 | 0.0015 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 5.8304105E-4 | 7.9783034 | 5.1E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 9.329641E-4 | 2.97921 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.0048426045 | 1.2721723 | 0.00104 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038913563 | 1.0385323 | 0.0015 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 3.5788375E-4 | 7.4716945 | 3.1E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.4519495E-4 | 2.6560574 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030749906 | 1.231751 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025475783 | 1.0311869 | 7.9E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 3.5788375E-4 | 7.4716945 | 3.1E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.4519495E-4 | 2.6560574 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0030749906 | 1.231751 | 5.8E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025475783 | 1.0311869 | 7.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.5319634E-5 | 1.9531399E-4 | 5.529898 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.513617E-4 | 3.2133597E-4 | 2.1229675 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0018413815 | 0.0021607922 | 1.1734625 | 3.2E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.018272636 | 0.018714413 | 1.024177 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.3941466E-5 | 1.9393604E-4 | 5.7138376 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.4545594E-4 | 3.154312E-4 | 2.1685688 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0017695955 | 0.002079047 | 1.1748713 | 3.1E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.017566137 | 0.017988583 | 1.0240489 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.6353702E-5 | 1.2635106E-4 | 4.794433 | 1.0E-4 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.12940026E-4 | 2.1292873E-4 | 1.8853257 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001192729 | 0.001374263 | 0.0016039469 | 1.1671325 | 2.3E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.013666247 | 0.01397201 | 1.0223737 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.4592096E-5 | 1.2458964E-4 | 5.066247 | 1.0E-4 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.05390915E-4 | 2.0538038E-4 | 1.9487484 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001112141 | 0.0012824632 | 0.001502181 | 1.1713248 | 2.2E-4 | 0.011065915 | 0.012759039 | 0.013035467 | 1.0216652 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.1877471E-5 | 1.2187528E-4 | 5.570812 | 1.0E-4 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.3757684E-5 | 1.937483E-4 | 2.0664792 | 1.0E-4 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011409834 | 0.0013407553 | 1.1750873 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009869894 | 0.011359346 | 0.011606506 | 1.0217583 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 1.9661622E-5 | 1.1965966E-4 | 6.0859504 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.426182E-5 | 1.842534E-4 | 2.1866772 | 1.0E-4 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010254843 | 0.0012252792 | 1.1948298 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008882134 | 0.010215383 | 0.010452931 | 1.023254 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8379606E-5 | 1.0837795E-4 | 5.8966417 | 9.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 7.876781E-5 | 1.6876071E-4 | 2.1425087 | 9.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.586551E-4 | 0.0011484729 | 1.1980044 | 1.9E-4 | 0.008304977 | 0.00955299 | 0.009780793 | 1.0238463 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.6639548E-5 | 9.6638214E-5 | 5.807743 | 8.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.131084E-5 | 1.5130512E-4 | 2.1217692 | 8.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.679419E-4 | 0.0010078204 | 1.1611612 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007520827 | 0.008653227 | 0.008821756 | 1.0194758 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.016325E-6 | 4.6016085E-5 | 7.6485367 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.578418E-5 | 6.578315E-5 | 2.5512989 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.1390967E-4 | 3.838877E-4 | 1.2229241 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0031378502 | 0.0032076307 | 1.0222383 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.38535E-7 | 1.0838527E-5 | 12.92555 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.593717E-6 | 1.3593681E-5 | 3.7826242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.37527E-5 | 8.375095E-5 | 1.9141893 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3744803E-4 | 4.7743053E-4 | 1.0913994 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6480425E-7 | 1.0664798E-5 | 16.042013 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8491581E-6 | 1.284913E-5 | 4.5097985 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4688015E-5 | 5.4687323E-5 | 1.576548 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4683262E-4 | 3.6682567E-4 | 1.0576447 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5512568E-7 | 1.0355122E-5 | 29.159035 | 1.0E-5 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5219665E-6 | 1.1521951E-5 | 7.5704365 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8529832E-5 | 2.8529646E-5 | 1.5396603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8528744E-4 | 1.9528558E-4 | 1.0539602 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 4.313154E-4 | 7.031772 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.2270696E-4 | 3.1298988 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.004143083 | 1.2962855 | 9.5E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032895856 | 1.0423471 | 0.00138 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 4.313154E-4 | 7.031772 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 8.2270696E-4 | 3.1298988 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.004143083 | 1.2962855 | 9.5E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.032895856 | 1.0423471 | 0.00138 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.2594232E-4 | 8.707669 | 2.0E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.91168E-4 | 3.5177255 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0018423903 | 1.3616539 | 4.9E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.014084175 | 1.0469338 | 6.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.2594232E-4 | 8.707669 | 2.0E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 3.91168E-4 | 3.5177255 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0018423903 | 1.3616539 | 4.9E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.014084175 | 1.0469338 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.18999E-5 | 2.1189573E-4 | 9.675649 | 1.9E-4 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.385355E-5 | 3.5382915E-4 | 3.7700133 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011421061 | 0.0016115693 | 1.4110504 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010206259 | 0.011366243 | 0.011959423 | 1.0521879 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9262101E-5 | 1.692592E-4 | 8.787163 | 1.5E-4 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.254944E-5 | 2.9253212E-4 | 3.5437198 | 2.1E-4 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010046111 | 0.0014141992 | 1.4077082 | 4.1E-4 | 0.009008561 | 0.010004225 | 0.010528923 | 1.0524476 | 5.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.5934824E-5 | 1.2593307E-4 | 7.9030104 | 1.1E-4 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.829049E-5 | 2.3827888E-4 | 3.4891958 | 1.7E-4 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.311499E-4 | 0.0011908507 | 1.4327749 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0074845953 | 0.0082834475 | 0.008749554 | 1.0562696 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.395179E-5 | 1.13950395E-4 | 8.167439 | 1.0E-4 | 5.414838E-5 | 5.9792175E-5 | 2.1978261E-4 | 3.6757755 | 1.6E-4 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.277554E-4 | 0.0010775008 | 1.4805808 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006571059 | 0.0072565824 | 0.0077132443 | 1.0629307 | 4.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2634907E-5 | 9.26339E-5 | 7.3315854 | 8.0E-5 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.4148633E-5 | 1.841416E-4 | 3.400669 | 1.3E-4 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.590884E-4 | 9.788775E-4 | 1.4851991 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006574121 | 0.00699136 | 1.0634669 | 4.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0005037E-5 | 7.000444E-5 | 6.996919 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.2878175E-5 | 1.5287346E-4 | 3.5652976 | 1.1E-4 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.2194326E-4 | 7.518232E-4 | 1.4404309 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0052097817 | 0.0055181663 | 1.0591935 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.448277E-6 | 5.6447956E-5 | 8.75396 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.7635306E-5 | 1.1763282E-4 | 4.2566137 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.3643027E-4 | 5.163697E-4 | 1.5348492 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0033614028 | 0.0035806631 | 1.0652288 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.1921103E-6 | 1.2192088E-5 | 5.5618043 | 1.0E-5 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.394726E-6 | 2.9394538E-5 | 3.128834 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1437493E-4 | 1.6436921E-4 | 1.4371088 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011431758 | 0.0012230844 | 1.0699005 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.160658E-6 | 1.2160636E-5 | 5.62821 | 1.0E-5 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.25993E-6 | 2.9259745E-5 | 3.1598234 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1273397E-4 | 1.6272833E-4 | 1.443472 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011267829 | 0.0012066928 | 1.0709186 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7312143E-6 | 1.7312143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4194695E-6 | 1.7419396E-5 | 2.3477952 | 1.0E-5 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.032839E-5 | 1.3032477E-4 | 1.4427887 | 4.0E-5 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0292573E-4 | 9.7286253E-4 | 1.0774558 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4533775E-6 | 1.4533775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2287468E-6 | 1.6228685E-5 | 2.6054494 | 1.0E-5 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.5832424E-5 | 1.0583015E-4 | 1.3955791 | 3.0E-5 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.580727E-4 | 8.080348E-4 | 1.0659068 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2835433E-6 | 1.2835433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5008886E-6 | 5.5008886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.697133E-5 | 8.6969994E-5 | 1.2986152 | 2.0E-5 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.695185E-4 | 7.094917E-4 | 1.0597044 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5047466E-5 | 4.5047116E-5 | 1.2853173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5042508E-4 | 3.8041457E-4 | 1.0855803 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.1970242E-9 | 6.1970242E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.5448774E-8 | 7.5448774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.5448776E-7 | 7.5448776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.994464E-4 | 16.953241 | 4.7E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 8.261662E-4 | 6.5436535 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002524998 | 1.6433235 | 9.9E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016632862 | 1.086865 | 0.00135 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.994464E-4 | 16.953241 | 4.7E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 8.261662E-4 | 6.5436535 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002524998 | 1.6433235 | 9.9E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016632862 | 1.086865 | 0.00135 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.994464E-4 | 16.953241 | 4.7E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 8.261662E-4 | 6.5436535 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002524998 | 1.6433235 | 9.9E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016632862 | 1.086865 | 0.00135 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.994464E-4 | 16.953241 | 4.7E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 8.261662E-4 | 6.5436535 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002524998 | 1.6433235 | 9.9E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.016632862 | 1.086865 | 0.00135 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0016292E-5 | 1.2001519E-4 | 11.9819975 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.2926284E-5 | 2.2291855E-4 | 5.193055 | 1.8E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.4239116E-4 | 1.4208277 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.005511618 | 1.0572464 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0016292E-5 | 1.2001519E-4 | 11.9819975 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.2926284E-5 | 2.2291855E-4 | 5.193055 | 1.8E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.4239116E-4 | 1.4208277 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.005511618 | 1.0572464 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.442548E-6 | 1.1844162E-4 | 14.029132 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.6181857E-5 | 2.0617571E-4 | 5.6983175 | 1.7E-4 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.404267E-4 | 6.503342E-4 | 1.4766003 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005855706 | 0.004395708 | 0.004664521 | 1.0611535 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.695583E-6 | 1.1769473E-4 | 15.293803 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.298066E-5 | 2.0297505E-4 | 6.154366 | 1.7E-4 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.0146674E-4 | 6.113824E-4 | 1.522872 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0040075392 | 0.0042764572 | 1.067103 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.67753E-6 | 1.1767669E-4 | 15.327414 | 1.1E-4 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.2903296E-5 | 2.028977E-4 | 6.166486 | 1.7E-4 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.0052517E-4 | 6.104411E-4 | 1.5241016 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005451347 | 0.0039981576 | 0.004267078 | 1.0672611 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.3104753E-6 | 7.631003E-5 | 12.092597 | 7.0E-5 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7044616E-5 | 1.4704137E-4 | 5.4369926 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.2921875E-4 | 4.7916936E-4 | 1.4554741 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004724967 | 0.0032873456 | 0.003476721 | 1.0576074 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.0398725E-6 | 7.603945E-5 | 12.589579 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.5884912E-5 | 1.458818E-4 | 5.635785 | 1.2E-4 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.151035E-4 | 4.6505622E-4 | 1.4758841 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0031465967 | 0.0033260302 | 1.0570247 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.790535E-6 | 7.579013E-5 | 13.088624 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.4816343E-5 | 1.4481337E-4 | 5.835403 | 1.2E-4 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.0209732E-4 | 4.5205202E-4 | 1.4963787 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004368907 | 0.0030168945 | 0.0031963512 | 1.059484 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.34302E-6 | 7.534264E-5 | 14.101135 | 7.0E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.2898457E-5 | 1.428957E-4 | 6.240408 | 1.2E-4 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.7875326E-4 | 4.2871144E-4 | 1.5379603 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0027840585 | 0.0029635574 | 1.0644739 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.5221045E-6 | 6.452183E-5 | 14.268099 | 6.0E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9380304E-5 | 1.0937856E-4 | 5.6438 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.3592981E-4 | 3.559015E-4 | 1.5085058 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033722918 | 0.002356809 | 0.0025064556 | 1.0634954 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.783853E-6 | 4.37837E-5 | 11.571196 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6216412E-5 | 8.621528E-5 | 5.3165445 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 1.9741706E-4 | 2.9739732E-4 | 1.5064418 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0019724306 | 0.0021021743 | 1.0657785 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5130112E-6 | 3.2512937E-5 | 12.9378395 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.0770004E-5 | 6.0769464E-5 | 5.6424737 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.31117E-4 | 2.0110783E-4 | 1.5338043 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013104064 | 0.0014102753 | 1.0762122 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5087E-6 | 2.150867E-5 | 14.256426 | 2.0E-5 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.4658416E-6 | 4.6465582E-5 | 7.1863165 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1951787E-4 | 7.871884E-5 | 1.3871412E-4 | 1.7621464 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011945361 | 7.8691595E-4 | 8.66853E-4 | 1.1015826 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3360695E-7 | 1.0333603E-5 | 30.975386 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4297433E-6 | 2.1429714E-5 | 14.988505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7407E-5 | 3.740665E-5 | 2.1489432 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7405768E-4 | 2.0405247E-4 | 1.1723267 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 4.5233252E-4 | 36.66191 | 4.4E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 6.92842E-4 | 13.103185 | 6.4E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.0016129535 | 2.5062294 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0078284945 | 1.2198462 | 0.00142 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 4.5233252E-4 | 36.66191 | 4.4E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 6.92842E-4 | 13.103185 | 6.4E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.0016129535 | 2.5062294 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0078284945 | 1.2198462 | 0.00142 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 4.5233252E-4 | 36.66191 | 4.4E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 6.92842E-4 | 13.103185 | 6.4E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.0016129535 | 2.5062294 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0078284945 | 1.2198462 | 0.00142 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 4.5233252E-4 | 36.66191 | 4.4E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 6.92842E-4 | 13.103185 | 6.4E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.0016129535 | 2.5062294 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0078284945 | 1.2198462 | 0.00142 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2318867E-5 | 4.5231346E-4 | 36.71713 | 4.4E-4 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.2794105E-5 | 6.9276034E-4 | 13.121926 | 6.4E-4 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.425831E-4 | 0.0016119598 | 2.5085623 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0064077186 | 0.007808684 | 1.2186371 | 0.00141 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1089504E-5 | 3.6108564E-4 | 32.561024 | 3.5E-4 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.7525595E-5 | 5.375023E-4 | 11.309744 | 4.9E-4 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.784731E-4 | 0.0013580219 | 2.3475974 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0057699485 | 0.006923255 | 1.1998817 | 0.00116 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1080756E-5 | 3.6107688E-4 | 32.585945 | 3.5E-4 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.74881E-5 | 5.3746486E-4 | 11.3178835 | 4.9E-4 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.7801686E-4 | 0.001357566 | 2.3486617 | 7.8E-4 | 0.005844661 | 0.00576541 | 0.0069187223 | 1.2000399 | 0.00116 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1075614E-5 | 3.6107172E-4 | 32.60061 | 3.5E-4 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.7466066E-5 | 5.374428E-4 | 11.322674 | 4.9E-4 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.777487E-4 | 0.0013572981 | 2.349288 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0057627424 | 0.006916058 | 1.2001331 | 0.00116 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0012428E-5 | 3.2000933E-4 | 31.961212 | 3.1E-4 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.290971E-5 | 4.7289126E-4 | 11.020612 | 4.3E-4 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.223025E-4 | 0.0012119422 | 2.3203833 | 6.9E-4 | 0.005335517 | 0.0052109673 | 0.006255496 | 1.200448 | 0.00105 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 8.926041E-6 | 2.8892353E-4 | 32.36861 | 2.8E-4 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.825391E-5 | 4.0823975E-4 | 10.671844 | 3.7E-4 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.6564342E-4 | 0.0010553687 | 2.266474 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0048161 | 0.0046468447 | 0.0055227554 | 1.1884959 | 8.8E-4 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.089276E-6 | 2.4808734E-4 | 30.66867 | 2.4E-4 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.466787E-5 | 3.5465678E-4 | 10.230128 | 3.2E-4 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.2200097E-4 | 9.317858E-4 | 2.208018 | 5.1E-4 | 0.004412184 | 0.004212141 | 0.00496894 | 1.1796708 | 7.6E-4 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.1349824E-6 | 1.8613388E-4 | 30.339756 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6292519E-5 | 2.7628595E-4 | 10.508158 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.200648E-4 | 6.799496E-4 | 2.124412 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0031960828 | 0.003734357 | 1.1684169 | 5.4E-4 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 4.9948517E-6 | 1.14994305E-4 | 23.022568 | 1.1E-4 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1406331E-5 | 2.0140248E-4 | 9.408547 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6059104E-4 | 5.005285E-4 | 1.9207432 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026028706 | 0.0029818814 | 1.1456127 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.867591E-6 | 9.3867246E-5 | 24.27021 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6575284E-5 | 1.5657296E-4 | 9.44617 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.017855E-4 | 3.9174716E-4 | 1.941404 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020160323 | 0.0023254075 | 1.1534574 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.6334872E-6 | 6.263333E-5 | 23.78342 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.12863245E-5 | 1.112852E-4 | 9.86018 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.3740239E-4 | 2.873818E-4 | 2.0915341 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0013731791 | 0.0015629182 | 1.138175 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8468447E-6 | 2.1846809E-5 | 11.829261 | 2.0E-5 | 8.540134E-6 | 7.915025E-6 | 5.791463E-5 | 7.3170495 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.6361204E-5 | 1.6635445E-4 | 1.7263634 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010392254 | 9.631976E-4 | 0.0010531109 | 1.0933487 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.1863096E-6 | 2.1186286E-5 | 17.858984 | 2.0E-5 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.0841745E-6 | 5.508392E-5 | 10.834389 | 5.0E-5 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.1898085E-5 | 1.2189437E-4 | 1.9692754 | 6.0E-5 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.188103E-4 | 6.7877315E-4 | 1.0969002 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.01127E-7 | 1.0601121E-5 | 17.63541 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.576256E-6 | 2.2576205E-5 | 8.763184 | 2.0E-5 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.1365482E-5 | 5.1364852E-5 | 1.6376237 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.136119E-4 | 3.3360565E-4 | 1.0637531 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.232305E-7 | 2.232305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 9.567018E-7 | 9.567018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.1647785E-5 | 1.1647785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.16472045E-4 | 1.16472045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 4.9995048E-8 | 4.9995048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.1426447E-7 | 2.1426447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.608668E-6 | 2.608668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.6086485E-5 | 2.6086485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 4.4714796E-4 | 26.064669 | 4.3E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.8347604E-4 | 9.296354 | 6.1E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0018039523 | 2.016115 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010251409 | 1.1501067 | 0.00135 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 4.4714796E-4 | 26.064669 | 4.3E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.8347604E-4 | 9.296354 | 6.1E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.0018039523 | 2.016115 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010251409 | 1.1501067 | 0.00135 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1304176E-5 | 2.9130102E-4 | 25.769327 | 2.8E-4 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.844559E-5 | 4.5842573E-4 | 9.462693 | 4.1E-4 | 5.782728E-4 | 5.896687E-4 | 0.0011893149 | 2.0169206 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0057677035 | 0.0058813896 | 0.00672639 | 1.1436737 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0369718E-5 | 2.8036692E-4 | 27.03708 | 2.7E-4 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.444091E-5 | 4.4442315E-4 | 10.000316 | 4.0E-4 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.4093654E-4 | 0.0011106281 | 2.053158 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0053125503 | 0.005396488 | 0.0062120627 | 1.1511307 | 8.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.156676E-6 | 2.591544E-4 | 28.302233 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8863272E-5 | 3.924232E-5 | 4.192274E-4 | 10.6830435 | 3.8E-4 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.7767244E-4 | 0.0010174145 | 2.129942 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0047205184 | 0.0047666584 | 0.0055329883 | 1.1607687 | 7.7E-4 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.6047945E-6 | 2.0760327E-4 | 27.298998 | 2.0E-4 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.2591575E-5 | 3.5258115E-4 | 10.818168 | 3.2E-4 | 3.9678233E-4 | 3.9673146E-4 | 8.5654896E-4 | 2.1590145 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0039607463 | 0.003960362 | 0.0046177483 | 1.1659914 | 6.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.7849484E-6 | 1.4578414E-4 | 25.200594 | 1.4E-4 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.4792402E-5 | 2.747862E-4 | 11.083485 | 2.5E-4 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.0180576E-4 | 6.9168804E-4 | 2.2918317 | 3.9E-4 | 0.003068543 | 0.0030139713 | 0.0035623135 | 1.1819335 | 5.5E-4 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.5509804E-6 | 1.455502E-4 | 26.220629 | 1.4E-4 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.37897E-5 | 2.7378375E-4 | 11.508499 | 2.5E-4 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.896012E-4 | 6.7948824E-4 | 2.3462896 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0028922495 | 0.0034406588 | 1.1896133 | 5.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.401033E-6 | 1.4540028E-4 | 26.920826 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.314708E-5 | 2.5314177E-4 | 10.936229 | 2.3E-4 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8177933E-4 | 6.416779E-4 | 2.2772355 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0028769306 | 0.0028142317 | 0.0033327683 | 1.1842551 | 5.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.1660427E-6 | 1.4516532E-4 | 28.099909 | 1.4E-4 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2139995E-5 | 2.2213557E-4 | 10.033226 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.6952117E-4 | 5.994322E-4 | 2.2240636 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0027603607 | 0.002691953 | 0.0031706607 | 1.1778293 | 4.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 4.9671926E-6 | 1.449665E-4 | 29.184795 | 1.4E-4 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1287795E-5 | 2.1128375E-4 | 9.925112 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.5914816E-4 | 5.6906784E-4 | 2.195917 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0025884688 | 0.00302733 | 1.1695447 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.695057E-6 | 1.3469445E-4 | 28.688562 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0121519E-5 | 2.001179E-4 | 9.945467 | 1.8E-4 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.44952E-4 | 5.4487854E-4 | 2.2244296 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0025258875 | 0.002446828 | 0.0028757758 | 1.1753078 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.377811E-6 | 1.3437725E-4 | 30.695078 | 1.3E-4 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.8761912E-5 | 1.9875853E-4 | 10.593725 | 1.8E-4 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.284024E-4 | 4.983407E-4 | 2.1818542 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0022816837 | 0.002680771 | 1.1749091 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.5950854E-6 | 1.0359473E-4 | 28.81565 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5407419E-5 | 1.5540526E-4 | 10.086392 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.8756921E-4 | 4.0752796E-4 | 2.1726804 | 2.2E-4 | 0.001977751 | 0.0018741135 | 0.0022134762 | 1.1810791 | 3.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.6792582E-6 | 6.26791E-5 | 23.394197 | 6.0E-5 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1482485E-5 | 1.11481335E-4 | 9.708817 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.3979031E-4 | 3.0976653E-4 | 2.2159371 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0013970264 | 0.0016167191 | 1.1572573 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.7940209E-6 | 3.1793967E-5 | 17.722183 | 3.0E-5 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.688638E-6 | 6.7688175E-5 | 8.803662 | 6.0E-5 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.360517E-5 | 1.9359581E-4 | 2.068217 | 1.0E-4 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.356594E-4 | 0.0010555472 | 1.1281317 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.0844291E-6 | 2.1084408E-5 | 19.442863 | 2.0E-5 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.6475448E-6 | 5.4647313E-5 | 11.758318 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.6582405E-5 | 1.3657787E-4 | 2.4137871 | 8.0E-5 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.656816E-4 | 6.4563635E-4 | 1.1413423 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.5284366E-7 | 1.0452839E-5 | 23.082666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.9407573E-6 | 2.194072E-5 | 11.305236 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.3628474E-5 | 4.3628002E-5 | 1.8464164 | 2.0E-5 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.3626072E-4 | 2.56256E-4 | 1.0846323 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.31925E-6 | 3.31925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 4.2128356E-4 | 37.320698 | 4.1E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 6.183496E-4 | 12.781843 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014883167 | 2.5275116 | 9.0E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071765105 | 1.2216989 | 0.00131 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 4.2128356E-4 | 37.320698 | 4.1E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 6.183496E-4 | 12.781843 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014883167 | 2.5275116 | 9.0E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071765105 | 1.2216989 | 0.00131 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 4.2128356E-4 | 37.320698 | 4.1E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 6.183496E-4 | 12.781843 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014883167 | 2.5275116 | 9.0E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071765105 | 1.2216989 | 0.00131 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 4.2128356E-4 | 37.320698 | 4.1E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 6.183496E-4 | 12.781843 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014883167 | 2.5275116 | 9.0E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071765105 | 1.2216989 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 4.2128356E-4 | 37.320698 | 4.1E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 6.183496E-4 | 12.781843 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0014883167 | 2.5275116 | 9.0E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.0071765105 | 1.2216989 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.192976E-6 | 2.5819094E-4 | 31.513695 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.5112287E-5 | 3.9509966E-4 | 11.2524605 | 3.6E-4 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.274098E-4 | 9.971661E-4 | 2.3330448 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0042609703 | 0.0042660376 | 0.0050924965 | 1.19373 | 8.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.1617545E-6 | 2.581597E-4 | 31.630419 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.497849E-5 | 3.949659E-4 | 11.29168 | 3.6E-4 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.257814E-4 | 9.955387E-4 | 2.338145 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0042457907 | 0.004249816 | 0.0050762887 | 1.1944726 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.115877E-6 | 2.5811384E-4 | 31.80357 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.4781875E-5 | 3.9476936E-4 | 11.349858 | 3.6E-4 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.2338856E-4 | 9.931473E-4 | 2.345711 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0042232145 | 0.0042259786 | 0.005052471 | 1.1955742 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.61843E-6 | 2.2761675E-4 | 29.87712 | 2.2E-4 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.2650016E-5 | 3.5263956E-4 | 10.800594 | 3.2E-4 | 3.9877684E-4 | 3.9744278E-4 | 9.1723615E-4 | 2.3078444 | 5.2E-4 | 0.00398062 | 0.003967461 | 0.0047344062 | 1.1933088 | 7.7E-4 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.328486E-6 | 2.1732695E-4 | 29.655094 | 2.1E-4 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.1407428E-5 | 3.1139865E-4 | 9.914809 | 2.8E-4 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8231967E-4 | 8.6213613E-4 | 2.255014 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0038381014 | 0.003816758 | 0.00453401 | 1.1879218 | 7.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.161486E-6 | 2.1715998E-4 | 30.323315 | 2.1E-4 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.0691728E-5 | 3.0068343E-4 | 9.796888 | 2.7E-4 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.7360907E-4 | 8.434335E-4 | 2.2575295 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037299474 | 0.004417374 | 1.1842992 | 6.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.431076E-6 | 1.654302E-4 | 30.459932 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3275834E-5 | 2.4327071E-4 | 10.451643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.8334683E-4 | 6.232505E-4 | 2.1996028 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028298958 | 0.003318509 | 1.1726613 | 4.9E-4 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5138568E-6 | 1.1451336E-4 | 25.369293 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9344958E-5 | 1.8934166E-4 | 9.78765 | 1.7E-4 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3549952E-4 | 4.75443E-4 | 2.0188704 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023525134 | 0.0027216428 | 1.1569086 | 3.7E-4 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.5733333E-6 | 9.357301E-5 | 26.186478 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5314195E-5 | 1.5531205E-4 | 10.141705 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8643447E-4 | 3.8639718E-4 | 2.072563 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019959346 | 0.0018627892 | 0.002182193 | 1.1714654 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.4599753E-6 | 6.2459825E-5 | 25.390429 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0542709E-5 | 1.1054165E-4 | 10.485128 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.2834996E-4 | 2.8832944E-4 | 2.2464318 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001361329 | 0.0012827626 | 0.001482506 | 1.1557134 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7316805E-6 | 2.1731646E-5 | 12.549454 | 2.0E-5 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.421467E-6 | 5.7421097E-5 | 7.737162 | 5.0E-5 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.0352645E-5 | 1.7034542E-4 | 1.8853395 | 8.0E-5 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.031622E-4 | 0.0010030719 | 1.110622 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.0853746E-6 | 2.1085352E-5 | 19.426798 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.6515975E-6 | 5.4651366E-5 | 11.748946 | 5.0E-5 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.6631743E-5 | 1.2662778E-4 | 2.235986 | 7.0E-5 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.661747E-4 | 6.3613505E-4 | 1.1235667 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.6454264E-7 | 1.0464538E-5 | 22.526539 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2846775E-6 | 1.9908955E-6 | 2.1990856E-5 | 11.045711 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4238894E-5 | 4.423841E-5 | 1.8251002 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4236362E-4 | 2.6235878E-4 | 1.0825007 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 7.760243E-8 | 7.760243E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.0491764E-6 | 4.0491764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 2.4371069E-4 | 10.276252 | 2.2E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 4.915966E-4 | 4.8368235 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019659188 | 1.5894924 | 7.3E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013425698 | 1.0906682 | 0.00113 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1223966E-5 | 1.01222955E-4 | 9.018466 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.810185E-5 | 2.380927E-4 | 4.949762 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.854874E-4 | 9.252883E-4 | 1.5803728 | 3.4E-4 | 0.005516363 | 0.005839936 | 0.006337016 | 1.0851173 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0846996E-5 | 1.0084602E-4 | 9.297138 | 9.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.6486322E-5 | 2.3647748E-4 | 5.0870337 | 1.9E-4 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.6582864E-4 | 8.956419E-4 | 1.5828854 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005644355 | 0.0061216457 | 1.0845608 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.569821E-6 | 9.956896E-5 | 10.404475 | 9.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1012892E-5 | 2.2100551E-4 | 5.388684 | 1.8E-4 | 4.7208337E-4 | 4.9922155E-4 | 8.190618E-4 | 1.6406779 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0047108172 | 0.004981406 | 0.0054192143 | 1.0878885 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.150835E-6 | 8.9150104E-5 | 9.742292 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9217295E-5 | 1.8921141E-4 | 4.824693 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.773699E-4 | 7.6723145E-4 | 1.6072054 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004505487 | 0.0047638444 | 0.005161939 | 1.0835658 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.873088E-6 | 8.887238E-5 | 10.015947 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8026985E-5 | 1.8802128E-4 | 4.944417 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6288417E-4 | 7.4275455E-4 | 1.604623 | 2.8E-4 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046195984 | 0.004997843 | 1.0818782 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.2891986E-6 | 7.628876E-5 | 12.130124 | 7.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.6953432E-5 | 1.469502E-4 | 5.452003 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.2810916E-4 | 5.580337E-4 | 1.7007562 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00310772 | 0.0032763039 | 0.0035753208 | 1.0912666 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.139128E-6 | 5.513887E-5 | 10.729227 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2024651E-5 | 1.2202245E-4 | 5.540267 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.6811755E-4 | 4.580666E-4 | 1.7084544 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002677986 | 0.0029273164 | 1.0931038 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.0887894E-6 | 4.4088625E-5 | 10.782807 | 4.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7523267E-5 | 1.0752169E-4 | 6.1359386 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1332529E-4 | 3.8328904E-4 | 1.796735 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021312458 | 0.002350777 | 1.103006 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4096697E-6 | 1.4096697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.0414277E-6 | 3.6041245E-5 | 5.9656835 | 3.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.3551935E-5 | 1.5354605E-4 | 2.0875869 | 8.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.352798E-4 | 8.252136E-4 | 1.1223124 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.2733176E-7 | 6.2733176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.688562E-6 | 2.2688508E-5 | 8.438901 | 2.0E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.2732765E-5 | 9.27308E-5 | 2.8329656 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.27281E-4 | 3.872614E-4 | 1.1832687 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.578588E-7 | 1.095785E-5 | 11.439942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1661879E-5 | 2.1661763E-5 | 1.8574847 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1661376E-4 | 1.2661259E-4 | 1.0857432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 7.994032E-7 | 7.994032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 7.994011E-6 | 7.994011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.1795244E-4 | 2.709826 | 3.9E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.0015464023 | 1.582873 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012680486 | 1.0718324 | 8.6E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.1138832 | 1.0091188 | 0.00116 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.1795244E-4 | 2.709826 | 3.9E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.0015464023 | 1.582873 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012680486 | 1.0718324 | 8.6E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.1138832 | 1.0091188 | 0.00116 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.1795244E-4 | 2.709826 | 3.9E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.0015464023 | 1.582873 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012680486 | 1.0718324 | 8.6E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.1138832 | 1.0091188 | 0.00116 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.176998E-4 | 5.9761707E-4 | 2.745143 | 3.8E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326704E-4 | 0.001492148 | 1.5998665 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297125 | 0.012137522 | 1.0743904 | 8.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10818052 | 0.10918828 | 1.0093155 | 0.00113 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.176998E-4 | 5.9761707E-4 | 2.745143 | 3.8E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326704E-4 | 0.001492148 | 1.5998665 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297125 | 0.012137522 | 1.0743904 | 8.5E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10818052 | 0.10918828 | 1.0093155 | 0.00113 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.0273999E-4 | 5.6266703E-4 | 2.7753134 | 3.6E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 8.6860073E-4 | 0.0013981403 | 1.6096468 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.010524813 | 0.011306498 | 1.0742707 | 7.9E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.10137125 | 0.10233278 | 1.0094852 | 0.00107 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 1.6944943E-4 | 4.893952E-4 | 2.888149 | 3.2E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 7.2601164E-4 | 0.0011956705 | 1.6469026 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.0088037625 | 0.009517424 | 1.0810633 | 7.2E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.085937284 | 0.0868422 | 1.01053 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 1.5170795E-4 | 4.5166243E-4 | 2.9771838 | 3.0E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 6.50016E-4 | 0.00108973 | 1.6764665 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.007885458 | 0.0085501745 | 1.0842966 | 6.7E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.07775277 | 0.078564346 | 1.010438 | 8.8E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 1.3851274E-4 | 4.0847535E-4 | 2.9490092 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 5.934915E-4 | 9.932541E-4 | 1.6735777 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.0072019394 | 0.007807546 | 1.0840894 | 6.1E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.071506314 | 0.0722584 | 1.0105177 | 8.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 1.3354386E-4 | 4.035078E-4 | 3.0215378 | 2.7E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 5.7220575E-4 | 9.7197684E-4 | 1.6986493 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0069444617 | 0.007540295 | 1.0857998 | 6.0E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.06919584 | 0.069921866 | 1.0104923 | 7.8E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 1.2751074E-4 | 3.8747757E-4 | 3.038784 | 2.6E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 5.4636056E-4 | 9.361475E-4 | 1.7134243 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0066317515 | 0.007207905 | 1.0868781 | 5.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.066347264 | 0.06705684 | 1.0106949 | 7.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.20078024E-4 | 3.600492E-4 | 2.9984605 | 2.4E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 5.14519E-4 | 8.843286E-4 | 1.7187482 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.0062463614 | 0.0067929258 | 1.0875013 | 5.5E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.06284419 | 0.06352831 | 1.0108861 | 7.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.0585438E-4 | 3.3583003E-4 | 3.1725664 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 4.5358282E-4 | 7.8343315E-4 | 1.7272108 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.005508415 | 0.0060156053 | 1.0920756 | 5.1E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.05601582 | 0.056648288 | 1.0112909 | 6.7E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 9.711334E-5 | 2.8709488E-4 | 2.9562867 | 1.9E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 4.161337E-4 | 7.06013E-4 | 1.6966014 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.0050546736 | 0.0055123484 | 1.0905449 | 4.6E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.051846027 | 0.05240544 | 1.0107899 | 5.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 9.074769E-5 | 2.7073137E-4 | 2.9833415 | 1.8E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 3.8886073E-4 | 6.6875183E-4 | 1.7197721 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0047241133 | 0.005152082 | 1.0905924 | 4.3E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.04876812 | 0.0492913 | 1.0107279 | 5.5E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 8.4942265E-5 | 2.6492696E-4 | 3.1189065 | 1.8E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 3.639875E-4 | 6.438856E-4 | 1.7689772 | 2.8E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.004422552 | 0.0048406944 | 1.0945477 | 4.2E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.04592908 | 0.04644428 | 1.0112172 | 5.4E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 8.1480146E-5 | 2.6146547E-4 | 3.2089472 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 3.491539E-4 | 6.290561E-4 | 1.8016586 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0042426707 | 0.004650931 | 1.0962273 | 4.1E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.044218007 | 0.04472457 | 1.011456 | 5.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 7.302836E-5 | 2.230174E-4 | 3.0538466 | 1.5E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 3.1294115E-4 | 5.52866E-4 | 1.7666774 | 2.4E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0038034061 | 0.004162037 | 1.094292 | 3.6E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.039981093 | 0.0404323 | 1.0112855 | 4.7E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 6.6266824E-5 | 1.8625887E-4 | 2.810741 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 2.8396977E-4 | 4.6391864E-4 | 1.6336904 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0034518535 | 0.003730887 | 1.0808358 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.03649854 | 0.036855035 | 1.0097674 | 3.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 4.697212E-5 | 1.1696883E-4 | 2.4901757 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 2.0129356E-4 | 3.112714E-4 | 1.5463556 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0024479956 | 0.0026175794 | 1.0692745 | 1.7E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.026216341 | 0.026420835 | 1.0078002 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 2.4596027E-5 | 8.4594554E-5 | 3.4393585 | 6.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 1.05407285E-4 | 1.8539885E-4 | 1.7588809 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0012825786 | 0.0013824503 | 1.077868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.013892401 | 0.014010734 | 1.0085179 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 7.122158E-6 | 3.7121943E-5 | 5.212177 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 3.0523177E-5 | 7.052196E-5 | 2.3104396 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 3.7155644E-4 | 4.1154158E-4 | 1.1076152 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.004182664 | 0.004222497 | 1.0095233 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 1.2529899E-6 | 1.2529899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 5.3699455E-6 | 5.3699455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 6.537713E-5 | 6.537713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 8.196723E-4 | 8.196723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.2112703E-4 | 7.1026692 | 1.9E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.633768E-4 | 3.4730468 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022023781 | 1.3567126 | 5.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01701334 | 1.0549041 | 9.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.2112703E-4 | 7.1026692 | 1.9E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.633768E-4 | 3.4730468 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022023781 | 1.3567126 | 5.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01701334 | 1.0549041 | 9.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.2112703E-4 | 7.1026692 | 1.9E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.633768E-4 | 3.4730468 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.0022023781 | 1.3567126 | 5.8E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01701334 | 1.0549041 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.275774E-4 | 7.25724 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.7532282E-4 | 3.6545064 | 2.0E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0012965222 | 1.4140732 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009677674 | 1.0596732 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.275774E-4 | 7.25724 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.7532282E-4 | 3.6545064 | 2.0E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0012965222 | 1.4140732 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009677674 | 1.0596732 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.2886588E-5 | 1.02885424E-4 | 7.983916 | 9.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5227083E-5 | 2.3521714E-4 | 4.2590904 | 1.8E-4 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.721859E-4 | 0.0010119573 | 1.5054724 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006701915 | 0.007178698 | 1.0711414 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1026053E-5 | 1.0102506E-4 | 9.162396 | 9.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7253667E-5 | 2.1724563E-4 | 4.5974345 | 1.7E-4 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.751637E-4 | 8.9497963E-4 | 1.5560434 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005458487 | 0.0057369857 | 0.006164519 | 1.0745223 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.130385E-6 | 8.912965E-5 | 9.761873 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9129634E-5 | 1.8912376E-4 | 4.8332615 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.7629973E-4 | 7.3617586E-4 | 1.5456147 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004752855 | 0.005121096 | 1.0774779 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.715896E-6 | 8.87152E-5 | 10.178553 | 8.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7353304E-5 | 1.873477E-4 | 5.0155587 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.54682E-4 | 7.145638E-4 | 1.5715683 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045375694 | 0.0049058907 | 1.0811714 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.467425E-6 | 8.8466746E-5 | 10.447893 | 8.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.628846E-5 | 1.8628302E-4 | 5.133395 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4172286E-4 | 7.01608E-4 | 1.5883443 | 2.6E-4 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044084988 | 0.0047669117 | 1.0813005 | 3.6E-4 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 7.984549E-6 | 8.7983906E-5 | 11.019272 | 8.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4219047E-5 | 1.8421392E-4 | 5.3833737 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.1653763E-4 | 6.664335E-4 | 1.5999359 | 2.5E-4 | 0.003966579 | 0.0041576154 | 0.0045061605 | 1.0838329 | 3.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.462611E-6 | 8.746202E-5 | 11.720029 | 8.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.198223E-5 | 1.8197743E-4 | 5.6899548 | 1.5E-4 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.893144E-4 | 6.392171E-4 | 1.6419045 | 2.5E-4 | 0.003709526 | 0.0038863658 | 0.0042250445 | 1.0871453 | 3.4E-4 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.7512983E-6 | 8.6750755E-5 | 12.849493 | 8.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.8933815E-5 | 1.6892976E-4 | 5.838489 | 1.4E-4 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.522125E-4 | 5.7213503E-4 | 1.6244029 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035165704 | 0.0038254804 | 1.087844 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.7555812E-6 | 7.5755175E-5 | 13.162038 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4666546E-5 | 1.5466334E-4 | 6.2701664 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.00274E-4 | 5.102109E-4 | 1.6991513 | 2.1E-4 | 0.002862736 | 0.0029987053 | 0.0032778657 | 1.0930936 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.2658967E-6 | 6.426564E-5 | 15.064979 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8282286E-5 | 1.2828027E-4 | 7.016643 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2256417E-4 | 3.9252633E-4 | 1.7636546 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022234216 | 0.0024329545 | 1.094239 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.451732E-6 | 4.2451633E-5 | 17.314957 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.05073805E-5 | 8.0506645E-5 | 7.661914 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2791989E-4 | 2.279071E-4 | 1.7816392 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012784676 | 0.0013983141 | 1.0937424 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.781816E-7 | 3.0978154E-5 | 31.669123 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.1922E-6 | 4.419203E-5 | 10.54149 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1038853E-5 | 1.1103579E-4 | 2.175515 | 6.0E-5 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1027257E-4 | 5.9023174E-4 | 1.156699 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 1.0262609E-5 | 39.078976 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.11254685E-5 | 9.885091 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3702629E-5 | 2.3702492E-5 | 1.729777 | 1.0E-5 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3701791E-4 | 1.4701654E-4 | 1.0729731 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 3.053649E-4 | 56.901947 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 4.4298946E-4 | 19.261135 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010197725 | 3.6423085 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.0038235206 | 1.3673006 | 0.00103 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 3.053649E-4 | 56.901947 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 4.4298946E-4 | 19.261135 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010197725 | 3.6423085 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.0038235206 | 1.3673006 | 0.00103 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 3.053649E-4 | 56.901947 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 4.4298946E-4 | 19.261135 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010197725 | 3.6423085 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.0038235206 | 1.3673006 | 0.00103 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 3.053649E-4 | 56.901947 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 4.4298946E-4 | 19.261135 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010197725 | 3.6423085 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.0038235206 | 1.3673006 | 0.00103 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 3.053649E-4 | 56.901947 | 3.0E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 4.4298946E-4 | 19.261135 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010197725 | 3.6423085 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.0038235206 | 1.3673006 | 0.00103 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088824E-6 | 2.744077E-4 | 62.239742 | 2.7E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895078E-5 | 3.888881E-4 | 20.58145 | 3.7E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.300241E-4 | 8.698769E-4 | 3.781677 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979497 | 0.0032158354 | 1.399437 | 9.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088824E-6 | 2.744077E-4 | 62.239742 | 2.7E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895078E-5 | 3.888881E-4 | 20.58145 | 3.7E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.300241E-4 | 8.698769E-4 | 3.781677 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979497 | 0.0032158354 | 1.399437 | 9.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 3.9311553E-6 | 2.6393012E-4 | 67.13806 | 2.6E-4 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.6847704E-5 | 3.5684198E-4 | 21.180452 | 3.4E-4 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.0510217E-4 | 8.049791E-4 | 3.924771 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0020492063 | 0.0028775053 | 1.4042048 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 3.7992286E-6 | 2.6379825E-4 | 69.434685 | 2.6E-4 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.628231E-5 | 3.5627678E-4 | 21.881218 | 3.4E-4 | 2.1485193E-4 | 1.9821979E-4 | 7.781048E-4 | 3.9254649 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0019805063 | 0.002778922 | 1.4031371 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.5388946E-6 | 2.5353802E-4 | 71.64328 | 2.5E-4 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.5166606E-5 | 3.451616E-4 | 22.757998 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0159081E-4 | 1.8463844E-4 | 7.4453506E-4 | 4.0323944 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0020140803 | 0.0018449234 | 0.0026135028 | 1.4165915 | 7.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.365692E-6 | 2.5336485E-4 | 75.27868 | 2.5E-4 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.4424319E-5 | 3.4441956E-4 | 23.8777 | 3.3E-4 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.7560257E-4 | 7.25506E-4 | 4.1315227 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0019260074 | 0.00175471 | 0.0025133763 | 1.43236 | 7.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.2344103E-6 | 2.532336E-4 | 78.293594 | 2.5E-4 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.3861688E-5 | 3.3385726E-4 | 24.084892 | 3.2E-4 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.6875363E-4 | 6.886659E-4 | 4.0808954 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0018603588 | 0.001686326 | 0.002415095 | 1.4321637 | 7.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.4444348E-6 | 2.4244384E-4 | 99.18197 | 2.4E-4 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.04761075E-5 | 3.2047287E-4 | 30.590834 | 3.1E-4 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.2753923E-4 | 5.974793E-4 | 4.6846704 | 4.7E-4 | 0.001461157 | 0.0012746772 | 0.0019138615 | 1.5014479 | 6.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.2177046E-6 | 2.322172E-4 | 104.71061 | 2.3E-4 | 1.1075529E-5 | 9.504413E-6 | 3.0950157E-4 | 32.563984 | 3.0E-4 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.1571017E-4 | 5.656581E-4 | 4.8885775 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0013475444 | 0.001156515 | 0.0017458326 | 1.5095633 | 5.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.074605E-6 | 2.3207413E-4 | 111.86425 | 2.3E-4 | 1.04847295E-5 | 8.891135E-6 | 3.0888847E-4 | 34.741177 | 3.0E-4 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.0824426E-4 | 5.581956E-4 | 5.156814 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0012757082 | 0.001081931 | 0.0016712927 | 1.5447313 | 5.9E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.6173791E-6 | 2.2161703E-4 | 137.02231 | 2.2E-4 | 8.751514E-6 | 6.9316065E-6 | 2.8692966E-4 | 41.394398 | 2.8E-4 | 1.0654447E-4 | 8.4389074E-5 | 5.043536E-4 | 5.9765277 | 4.2E-4 | 0.001064934 | 8.4358116E-4 | 0.0013931171 | 1.6514323 | 5.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.3901619E-6 | 2.1138987E-4 | 152.06134 | 2.1E-4 | 7.854232E-6 | 5.957823E-6 | 2.6595627E-4 | 44.639843 | 2.6E-4 | 9.562107E-5 | 7.25341E-5 | 4.6250582E-4 | 6.3763914 | 3.9E-4 | 9.5579936E-4 | 7.251141E-4 | 0.0012347443 | 1.7028276 | 5.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.0297922E-6 | 1.8102961E-4 | 175.79237 | 1.8E-4 | 6.3372695E-6 | 4.4133876E-6 | 2.2441242E-4 | 50.84811 | 2.2E-4 | 7.715353E-5 | 5.3731677E-5 | 3.6371502E-4 | 6.7690988 | 3.1E-4 | 7.7126746E-4 | 5.371939E-4 | 9.269844E-4 | 1.7256048 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 4.3016306E-7 | 2.0430154E-5 | 47.493977 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2989474E-6 | 1.8435546E-6 | 2.1843518E-5 | 11.848587 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0163945E-5 | 2.2445049E-5 | 5.2444375E-5 | 2.3365676 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0156685E-4 | 2.2443048E-4 | 2.644215E-4 | 1.1781889 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 4.994006E-8 | 4.994006E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 2.140288E-7 | 2.140288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 2.6057976E-6 | 2.6057976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 2.605857E-5 | 2.605857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 8.509623E-9 | 8.509623E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 3.646981E-8 | 3.646981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 4.4401983E-7 | 4.4401983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 4.4410867E-6 | 4.4410867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 3.577074E-9 | 3.577074E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 1.5330317E-8 | 1.5330317E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 1.8664657E-7 | 1.8664657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 1.8673614E-6 | 1.8673614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 3.5050984E-10 | 3.5050984E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 1.5021846E-9 | 1.5021846E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 1.8289096E-8 | 1.8289096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 1.8329779E-7 | 1.8329779E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.501858E-4 | 2.0357537 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015573627 | 1.3450751 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014626594 | 1.0428833 | 6.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13087268 | 1.006153 | 9.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.501858E-4 | 2.0357537 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015573627 | 1.3450751 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014626594 | 1.0428833 | 6.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13087268 | 1.006153 | 9.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 5.501858E-4 | 2.0357537 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.0015573627 | 1.3450751 | 4.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014626594 | 1.0428833 | 6.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13087268 | 1.006153 | 9.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324296E-4 | 3.1321848E-4 | 1.9187257 | 1.5E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.9952646E-4 | 9.3935855E-4 | 1.3428493 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501448 | 0.008898047 | 1.0466508 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099204 | 0.08155264 | 1.0069216 | 6.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324296E-4 | 3.1321848E-4 | 1.9187257 | 1.5E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.9952646E-4 | 9.3935855E-4 | 1.3428493 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501448 | 0.008898047 | 1.0466508 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099204 | 0.08155264 | 1.0069216 | 6.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.1519936E-5 | 8.151827E-5 | 1.9633527 | 4.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.7793213E-4 | 2.2792323E-4 | 1.280956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0021644684 | 0.0022742304 | 1.0507108 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.021366905 | 0.02154306 | 1.0082443 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.3197495E-5 | 5.31968E-5 | 2.2932131 | 3.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 9.941424E-5 | 1.2941126E-4 | 1.3017377 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0012097296 | 0.0012796449 | 1.0577942 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.012047484 | 0.012156159 | 1.0090206 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 1.9576639E-5 | 3.9576247E-5 | 2.0216057 | 2.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 8.3897336E-5 | 1.03895654E-4 | 1.2383666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0010209981 | 0.0010809369 | 1.058706 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.010176432 | 0.010275414 | 1.0097266 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.3060513E-5 | 2.3060382E-5 | 1.7656567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 5.5972447E-5 | 6.5971886E-5 | 1.1786493 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 6.812555E-4 | 7.2122825E-4 | 1.0586752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.006796266 | 0.00686579 | 1.0102298 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.1251297E-5 | 2.1251184E-5 | 1.8887764 | 1.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 4.8218968E-5 | 5.8218488E-5 | 1.2073773 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 5.869104E-4 | 6.268869E-4 | 1.0681134 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.005857584 | 0.005927174 | 1.0118803 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.0446845E-5 | 2.0446741E-5 | 1.9572167 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.477144E-5 | 5.4770993E-5 | 1.2233467 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.4495834E-4 | 5.7494204E-4 | 1.0550201 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0054397727 | 0.0054994463 | 1.0109699 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 9.35486E-6 | 1.9354766E-5 | 2.068953 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.009165E-5 | 5.009125E-5 | 1.2494185 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 4.8800863E-4 | 5.17994E-4 | 1.0614443 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.00487254 | 0.0049222964 | 1.0102116 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 7.78772E-6 | 1.7787643E-5 | 2.2840629 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.3375527E-5 | 4.3375192E-5 | 1.2996107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.0627268E-4 | 4.362605E-4 | 1.073812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.0040565925 | 0.00410639 | 1.0122756 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 6.646271E-6 | 1.6646205E-5 | 2.5045931 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3502816E-5 | 2.8483713E-5 | 3.8483427E-5 | 1.3510678 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.4673524E-4 | 3.667283E-4 | 1.0576609 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.0034622527 | 0.0035021142 | 1.0115131 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 5.8420524E-6 | 1.5841993E-5 | 2.7117171 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.5037134E-5 | 3.5036883E-5 | 1.3993968 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.0478562E-4 | 3.2477954E-4 | 1.0655999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0030437992 | 0.0030836775 | 1.0131015 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 4.804952E-6 | 1.4804904E-5 | 3.0811763 | 1.0E-5 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.0592493E-5 | 3.0592288E-5 | 1.4856038 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.506858E-4 | 2.7068082E-4 | 1.0797611 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002504136 | 0.0025340607 | 1.0119501 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.307058E-6 | 1.4307015E-5 | 3.3217604 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9957167E-5 | 1.8458695E-5 | 2.8458511E-5 | 1.5417401 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.2471242E-4 | 2.4470792E-4 | 1.0889827 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036406964 | 0.00224495 | 0.0022748827 | 1.0133333 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.1191727E-6 | 2.1191727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.08214E-6 | 9.08214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.1057008E-4 | 1.2056897E-4 | 1.0904304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0011052119 | 0.0011152008 | 1.0090381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Clamshell-Sawpit
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 4.429807E-4 | 148.55095 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.727728E-4 | 44.817932 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 9.954554E-4 | 6.3981 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.0025632796 | 1.6485703 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 4.429807E-4 | 148.55095 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.727728E-4 | 44.817932 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 9.954554E-4 | 6.3981 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.0025632796 | 1.6485703 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 4.429807E-4 | 148.55095 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.727728E-4 | 44.817932 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 9.954554E-4 | 6.3981 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.0025632796 | 1.6485703 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 4.429807E-4 | 148.55095 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.727728E-4 | 44.817932 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 9.954554E-4 | 6.3981 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.0025632796 | 1.6485703 | 0.00101 |
6.4 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 4.429807E-4 | 148.55095 | 4.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.727728E-4 | 44.817932 | 5.6E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 9.954554E-4 | 6.3981 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.0025632796 | 1.6485703 | 0.00101 |
6.5 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 4.223518E-4 | 179.51283 | 4.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 5.30078E-4 | 52.570164 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 8.926624E-4 | 7.271788 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.0021258167 | 1.7326436 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 4.223518E-4 | 179.51283 | 4.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 5.30078E-4 | 52.570164 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 8.926624E-4 | 7.271788 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.0021258167 | 1.7326436 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 4.223518E-4 | 179.51283 | 4.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 5.30078E-4 | 52.570164 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 8.926624E-4 | 7.271788 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.0021258167 | 1.7326436 | 9.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4098806E-6 | 2.1709309E-6 | 4.0217006E-4 | 185.25235 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0328019E-5 | 9.303958E-6 | 5.092993E-4 | 54.740067 | 5.0E-4 | 1.2573638E-4 | 1.1327007E-4 | 8.631851E-4 | 7.620593 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0012566525 | 0.0011321495 | 0.0020111531 | 1.7764026 | 8.8E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0073985E-6 | 1.7546913E-6 | 3.81754E-4 | 217.56192 | 3.8E-4 | 8.603109E-6 | 7.5200846E-6 | 4.7751656E-4 | 63.498825 | 4.7E-4 | 1.0473781E-4 | 9.15533E-5 | 7.7149103E-4 | 8.426687 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0010468846 | 9.1516745E-4 | 0.0017044444 | 1.86244 | 7.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8166766E-6 | 1.5582457E-6 | 3.6155767E-4 | 232.02867 | 3.6E-4 | 7.785734E-6 | 6.6781795E-6 | 4.566752E-4 | 68.38319 | 4.5E-4 | 9.478718E-5 | 8.13039E-5 | 7.4125023E-4 | 9.117032 | 6.6E-4 | 9.4746763E-4 | 8.127513E-4 | 0.0015621418 | 1.9220415 | 7.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5471421E-6 | 1.2852727E-6 | 3.3128486E-4 | 257.75452 | 3.3E-4 | 6.6305925E-6 | 5.5083E-6 | 4.1550605E-4 | 75.43272 | 4.1E-4 | 8.072447E-5 | 6.706155E-5 | 6.7702064E-4 | 10.095512 | 6.1E-4 | 8.0695155E-4 | 6.704184E-4 | 0.0013599558 | 2.028518 | 6.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3608037E-6 | 1.0969895E-6 | 3.2109662E-4 | 292.70712 | 3.2E-4 | 5.8320024E-6 | 4.7013755E-6 | 4.046995E-4 | 86.081085 | 4.0E-4 | 7.1002316E-5 | 5.7237787E-5 | 6.47204E-4 | 11.307286 | 5.9E-4 | 7.097964E-4 | 5.722349E-4 | 0.0012418515 | 2.1701777 | 6.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0749634E-6 | 8.230922E-7 | 3.2082282E-4 | 389.7775 | 3.2E-4 | 4.6069777E-6 | 3.5275334E-6 | 3.9352616E-4 | 111.55845 | 3.9E-4 | 5.608851E-5 | 4.29469E-5 | 6.0292287E-4 | 14.038798 | 5.6E-4 | 5.6074356E-4 | 4.2938872E-4 | 0.0010691138 | 2.489851 | 6.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.416856E-7 | 6.074442E-7 | 3.0060727E-4 | 494.87222 | 3.0E-4 | 3.607219E-6 | 2.6033297E-6 | 3.7260237E-4 | 143.1253 | 3.7E-4 | 4.3917007E-5 | 3.1695097E-5 | 5.416789E-4 | 17.090307 | 5.1E-4 | 4.390833E-4 | 3.1690765E-4 | 9.067207E-4 | 2.8611512 | 5.9E-4 |
7.5 | 6.2779594E-7 | 4.3984852E-7 | 2.7043972E-4 | 614.8474 | 2.7E-4 | 2.6905511E-6 | 1.8850637E-6 | 3.3188445E-4 | 176.06006 | 3.3E-4 | 3.275697E-5 | 2.2950428E-5 | 4.5294056E-4 | 19.735603 | 4.3E-4 | 3.275214E-4 | 2.2948236E-4 | 7.293676E-4 | 3.1783166 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 4.3822078E-7 | 2.9849917E-7 | 1.7029844E-4 | 570.5157 | 1.7E-4 | 1.8780877E-6 | 1.2792816E-6 | 2.0127902E-4 | 157.33754 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2865479E-5 | 1.5575157E-5 | 2.955708E-4 | 18.977066 | 2.8E-4 | 2.2863125E-4 | 1.5574212E-4 | 4.8569072E-4 | 3.1185572 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8704569E-7 | 1.0951559E-7 | 8.010951E-5 | 731.48956 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0162414E-7 | 4.6935244E-7 | 1.00469304E-4 | 214.05942 | 1.0E-4 | 9.75973E-6 | 5.7143516E-6 | 1.1571372E-4 | 20.249668 | 1.1E-4 | 9.7593016E-5 | 5.7142108E-5 | 1.7713525E-4 | 3.0999076 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.5378733E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 2.0021233E-5 | 942.9338 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5162313E-7 | 9.09982E-8 | 4.0090996E-5 | 440.5691 | 4.0E-5 | 1.84601E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 4.1107858E-5 | 37.104218 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8459947E-5 | 1.1078973E-5 | 5.107853E-5 | 4.610403 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.504945E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2164053E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9159727E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.915966E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6554036E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0945894E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.637662E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6376616E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 2.577446E-4 | 33.27218 | 2.5E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 3.731878E-4 | 11.240907 | 3.4E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010838498 | 2.6819694 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.0049403044 | 1.2246739 | 9.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.696464E-6 | 2.5769454E-4 | 33.482197 | 2.5E-4 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.2984433E-5 | 3.729732E-4 | 11.307552 | 3.4E-4 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.015122E-4 | 0.0010712432 | 2.6680214 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0042193993 | 0.004007946 | 0.0049043386 | 1.2236539 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.4347604E-6 | 2.574329E-4 | 34.62558 | 2.5E-4 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.1862874E-5 | 3.7185205E-4 | 11.670386 | 3.4E-4 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.8786212E-4 | 0.0010576022 | 2.726748 | 6.7E-4 | 0.00408937 | 0.0038719259 | 0.004768441 | 1.2315425 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.3480915E-6 | 2.5734626E-4 | 35.02219 | 2.5E-4 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1491443E-5 | 3.7148074E-4 | 11.796244 | 3.4E-4 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8334154E-4 | 0.0010330924 | 2.6949658 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038268766 | 0.004703509 | 1.2290726 | 8.8E-4 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 6.949363E-6 | 2.469477E-4 | 35.535297 | 2.4E-4 | 3.1690477E-5 | 2.9782648E-5 | 3.5977282E-4 | 12.079947 | 3.3E-4 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6254403E-4 | 9.923156E-4 | 2.73709 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036195917 | 0.004476479 | 1.2367358 | 8.6E-4 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.4957403E-6 | 2.464942E-4 | 37.94705 | 2.4E-4 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.7838592E-5 | 3.578294E-4 | 12.853718 | 3.3E-4 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.3888264E-4 | 9.486759E-4 | 2.7994232 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0033837105 | 0.004220868 | 1.2474082 | 8.4E-4 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.168388E-6 | 2.4616692E-4 | 39.907818 | 2.4E-4 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6435684E-5 | 3.4642723E-4 | 13.10453 | 3.2E-4 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2180737E-4 | 9.016207E-4 | 2.8017404 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032134638 | 0.004020861 | 1.2512544 | 8.1E-4 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.074774E-6 | 2.4507355E-4 | 48.292507 | 2.4E-4 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.174885E-5 | 3.317421E-4 | 15.253317 | 3.1E-4 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6476037E-4 | 8.1461476E-4 | 3.0768 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026444802 | 0.0034124441 | 1.2904025 | 7.7E-4 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9332476E-6 | 2.1393242E-4 | 54.39078 | 2.1E-4 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.6856668E-5 | 2.9685194E-4 | 17.610357 | 2.8E-4 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0521083E-4 | 6.551185E-4 | 3.1924167 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020502368 | 0.0026989041 | 1.3163866 | 6.5E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1441438E-6 | 1.8214376E-4 | 84.94942 | 1.8E-4 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.189155E-6 | 2.4918694E-4 | 27.117504 | 2.4E-4 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.11872265E-4 | 4.5183423E-4 | 4.0388403 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013596788 | 0.001118164 | 0.0015976273 | 1.4287951 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.183825E-7 | 5.0318366E-5 | 158.04376 | 5.0E-5 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3644957E-6 | 8.1364386E-5 | 59.629642 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.661261E-5 | 1.06611114E-4 | 6.417481 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6611398E-4 | 2.8609406E-4 | 1.7222755 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.709892E-4 | 3.6725612 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 8.0269587E-4 | 1.8544177 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005854156 | 1.1135268 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.055967055 | 1.0138634 | 8.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.709892E-4 | 3.6725612 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 8.0269587E-4 | 1.8544177 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005854156 | 1.1135268 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.055967055 | 1.0138634 | 8.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.709892E-4 | 3.6725612 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 8.0269587E-4 | 1.8544177 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005854156 | 1.1135268 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.055967055 | 1.0138634 | 8.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.709892E-4 | 3.6725612 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 8.0269587E-4 | 1.8544177 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005854156 | 1.1135268 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.055967055 | 1.0138634 | 8.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.709892E-4 | 3.6725612 | 2.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 8.0269587E-4 | 1.8544177 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005854156 | 1.1135268 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.055967055 | 1.0138634 | 8.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.00796526E-4 | 3.6077033E-4 | 3.5791938 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.3191368E-4 | 7.917582E-4 | 1.8331399 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.005245893 | 0.005832798 | 1.111879 | 5.9E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.055092588 | 0.055848513 | 1.013721 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.00796526E-4 | 3.6077033E-4 | 3.5791938 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.3191368E-4 | 7.917582E-4 | 1.8331399 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.005245893 | 0.005832798 | 1.111879 | 5.9E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.055092588 | 0.055848513 | 1.013721 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.0071229E-4 | 3.606861E-4 | 3.5813515 | 2.6E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 4.315528E-4 | 7.913974E-4 | 1.8338369 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.00524152 | 0.0058284276 | 1.1119728 | 5.9E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.05505091 | 0.055806868 | 1.013732 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.0060616E-4 | 3.6058002E-4 | 3.5840747 | 2.6E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 4.3109807E-4 | 7.9094287E-4 | 1.8347168 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.0052360105 | 0.005822921 | 1.1120912 | 5.9E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.054996952 | 0.055752955 | 1.0137463 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.0036384E-4 | 3.6033776E-4 | 3.5903146 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 4.300599E-4 | 7.899051E-4 | 1.8367327 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.005223431 | 0.0058103497 | 1.1123626 | 5.9E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.054875154 | 0.055631254 | 1.0137786 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 9.98431E-5 | 3.5981715E-4 | 3.6038258 | 2.6E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 4.278289E-4 | 7.8767486E-4 | 1.841098 | 3.6E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.0051963986 | 0.005783333 | 1.1129502 | 5.9E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.054616317 | 0.055372626 | 1.0138476 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 9.9079036E-5 | 3.4905426E-4 | 3.522988 | 2.5E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 4.2455542E-4 | 7.744068E-4 | 1.8240417 | 3.5E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.0051567336 | 0.005723794 | 1.1099651 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.054237034 | 0.054965273 | 1.0134269 | 7.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 9.854557E-5 | 3.3852193E-4 | 3.4351814 | 2.4E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 4.2226986E-4 | 7.621263E-4 | 1.8048323 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0051290384 | 0.005686166 | 1.1086223 | 5.6E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.05397144 | 0.054690424 | 1.0133215 | 7.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 9.824399E-5 | 3.282214E-4 | 3.3408802 | 2.3E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 4.2097783E-4 | 7.508389E-4 | 1.7835593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.0051133814 | 0.00565062 | 1.1050652 | 5.4E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.053818393 | 0.054518566 | 1.0130099 | 7.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 9.783666E-5 | 3.2781417E-4 | 3.350627 | 2.3E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 4.1923267E-4 | 7.490943E-4 | 1.7868224 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.005092234 | 0.005629484 | 1.1055038 | 5.4E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.053613145 | 0.054304007 | 1.012886 | 7.3E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 9.7475975E-5 | 3.2745354E-4 | 3.359326 | 2.3E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 4.1768735E-4 | 7.475495E-4 | 1.7897346 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.0050735073 | 0.0056107678 | 1.1058953 | 5.4E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.053429827 | 0.05412082 | 1.0129328 | 7.3E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 9.508973E-5 | 3.0506976E-4 | 3.2082303 | 2.1E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 4.0746384E-4 | 7.073416E-4 | 1.7359617 | 3.0E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.004949608 | 0.0054570837 | 1.1025285 | 5.1E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.052221585 | 0.052856594 | 1.01216 | 6.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 7.708788E-5 | 2.2707632E-4 | 2.945681 | 1.5E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 3.3033482E-4 | 5.5026216E-4 | 1.6657709 | 2.2E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.0040144143 | 0.004422768 | 1.101722 | 4.1E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.04292442 | 0.04345081 | 1.0122632 | 5.5E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 7.005126E-5 | 1.7004425E-4 | 2.427426 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 3.0018517E-4 | 4.6013712E-4 | 1.5328443 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.003648633 | 0.0039774287 | 1.0901148 | 3.3E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.03903501 | 0.039457835 | 1.010832 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 4.7970032E-5 | 1.1796667E-4 | 2.4591744 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 2.0556965E-4 | 3.1554705E-4 | 1.5349884 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.002499939 | 0.002669514 | 1.0678316 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.026827313 | 0.027031679 | 1.0076178 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 2.4751442E-5 | 8.4749954E-5 | 3.4240413 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 1.0607329E-4 | 1.860648E-4 | 1.7541155 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0012906776 | 0.0013905485 | 1.0773786 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.014000535 | 0.014118855 | 1.0084511 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 7.190874E-6 | 3.7190657E-5 | 5.1719246 | 3.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 3.0817668E-5 | 7.081644E-5 | 2.2979167 | 4.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 3.7514063E-4 | 4.1512563E-4 | 1.1065867 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0042355033 | 0.0042753336 | 1.009404 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.5476597E-4 | 53.44173 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.3042426E-4 | 16.173021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.785825E-4 | 3.1304293 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032524779 | 1.3091651 | 7.7E-4 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.7583912E-6 | 2.547572E-4 | 53.538513 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0392948E-5 | 3.3038663E-4 | 16.201023 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.4825617E-4 | 7.781246E-4 | 3.1343617 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0027334841 | 0.00247982 | 0.0032479104 | 1.3097364 | 7.7E-4 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.7384674E-6 | 2.5473727E-4 | 53.759426 | 2.5E-4 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.030756E-5 | 3.3030126E-4 | 16.26494 | 3.1E-4 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.472168E-4 | 7.770858E-4 | 3.1433372 | 5.3E-4 | 0.002723483 | 0.0024694495 | 0.003237548 | 1.3110404 | 7.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7218227E-6 | 2.5472065E-4 | 53.945408 | 2.5E-4 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0236228E-5 | 3.3022996E-4 | 16.31875 | 3.1E-4 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.4634853E-4 | 7.7621796E-4 | 3.1508934 | 5.3E-4 | 0.002715153 | 0.002460786 | 0.0032288912 | 1.3121382 | 7.7E-4 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.630456E-6 | 2.546293E-4 | 54.990116 | 2.5E-4 | 2.1953823E-5 | 1.984466E-5 | 3.298385E-4 | 16.621021 | 3.1E-4 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4158225E-4 | 7.714542E-4 | 3.1933398 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024132272 | 0.003181369 | 1.3183048 | 7.7E-4 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.377694E-6 | 2.543766E-4 | 58.10744 | 2.5E-4 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.8761413E-5 | 3.287556E-4 | 17.522966 | 3.1E-4 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.2839654E-4 | 7.4827776E-4 | 3.276222 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0025429246 | 0.002281648 | 0.003039914 | 1.3323326 | 7.6E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.5503438E-6 | 2.2354956E-4 | 62.96561 | 2.2E-4 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.5215672E-5 | 2.9521142E-4 | 19.4018 | 2.8E-4 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8523529E-4 | 6.451501E-4 | 3.4828682 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0021284167 | 0.001850832 | 0.0025295734 | 1.3667223 | 6.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.082749E-6 | 2.0208233E-4 | 97.02673 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0905142E-5 | 8.926037E-6 | 2.6892373E-4 | 30.128008 | 2.6E-4 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.08669126E-4 | 4.786289E-4 | 4.404461 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0010861644 | 0.0016155887 | 1.4874256 | 5.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.2690798E-7 | 5.0326893E-5 | 153.94818 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4010335E-6 | 8.140092E-5 | 58.100624 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7057453E-5 | 1.07055916E-4 | 6.276196 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.7056173E-4 | 3.0053957E-4 | 1.7620574 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 3.464692E-4 | 3.5906029 | 2.5E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 7.433409E-4 | 1.797779 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.00554983 | 1.1049953 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053686745 | 1.0134072 | 7.5E-4 |
6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 3.464692E-4 | 3.5906029 | 2.5E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 7.433409E-4 | 1.797779 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.00554983 | 1.1049953 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053686745 | 1.0134072 | 7.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 3.464692E-4 | 3.5906029 | 2.5E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 7.433409E-4 | 1.797779 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.00554983 | 1.1049953 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053686745 | 1.0134072 | 7.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 3.464692E-4 | 3.5906029 | 2.5E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 7.433409E-4 | 1.797779 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.00554983 | 1.1049953 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053686745 | 1.0134072 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6441494E-5 | 3.464174E-4 | 3.5919952 | 2.5E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.1325533E-4 | 7.4311893E-4 | 1.7982078 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019801 | 0.0055471407 | 1.1050519 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052950554 | 0.05366084 | 1.0134141 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6441494E-5 | 3.464174E-4 | 3.5919952 | 2.5E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.1325533E-4 | 7.4311893E-4 | 1.7982078 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019801 | 0.0055471407 | 1.1050519 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052950554 | 0.05366084 | 1.0134141 | 7.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 9.495252E-5 | 3.449288E-4 | 3.632645 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 4.06876E-4 | 7.367417E-4 | 1.810728 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0049424865 | 0.005469867 | 1.1067035 | 5.3E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.052197635 | 0.052908488 | 1.0136185 | 7.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 9.424858E-5 | 3.4422503E-4 | 3.65231 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 4.0386003E-4 | 7.337268E-4 | 1.8167847 | 3.3E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.0049059326 | 0.0054333326 | 1.1075025 | 5.3E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.051849343 | 0.052560456 | 1.013715 | 7.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 9.3863535E-5 | 3.3384102E-4 | 3.5566635 | 2.4E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 4.0221034E-4 | 7.2208163E-4 | 1.7952836 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.004885938 | 0.005403397 | 1.1059079 | 5.2E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.051655374 | 0.05235715 | 1.0135857 | 7.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 9.293536E-5 | 3.3291307E-4 | 3.5822 | 2.4E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 3.982337E-4 | 7.181063E-4 | 1.8032283 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.004837738 | 0.005355222 | 1.1069683 | 5.2E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.051192712 | 0.051885344 | 1.0135299 | 7.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 9.170528E-5 | 3.216842E-4 | 3.5078044 | 2.3E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 3.9296353E-4 | 7.0284173E-4 | 1.7885673 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.004773856 | 0.0052814214 | 1.1063219 | 5.1E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.050579768 | 0.05124436 | 1.0131395 | 7.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 9.104536E-5 | 3.2102442E-4 | 3.525983 | 2.3E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 3.9013615E-4 | 7.000152E-4 | 1.7942845 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.004739583 | 0.0052372133 | 1.1049945 | 5.0E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.050249282 | 0.050895113 | 1.0128525 | 6.8E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 9.017551E-5 | 3.1015568E-4 | 3.4394667 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 3.8640932E-4 | 6.862934E-4 | 1.7760788 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.004694405 | 0.005172152 | 1.1017693 | 4.8E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.04981375 | 0.050440874 | 1.0125893 | 6.6E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 8.982085E-5 | 2.99802E-4 | 3.3377771 | 2.1E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 3.848898E-4 | 6.747782E-4 | 1.7531724 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.004675985 | 0.0051437872 | 1.1000435 | 4.7E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.049630165 | 0.050247904 | 1.0124469 | 6.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 8.959036E-5 | 2.9957155E-4 | 3.3437922 | 2.1E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 3.8390228E-4 | 6.737909E-4 | 1.7551106 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.004664013 | 0.005131821 | 1.1003016 | 4.7E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.049511112 | 0.05012893 | 1.0124784 | 6.5E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 8.869891E-5 | 2.9868027E-4 | 3.36735 | 2.1E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 3.8008287E-4 | 6.699727E-4 | 1.7627015 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00461771 | 0.0050855395 | 1.101312 | 4.7E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.04904921 | 0.04966733 | 1.012602 | 6.5E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 8.4871535E-5 | 2.748554E-4 | 3.2384875 | 1.9E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 3.6368452E-4 | 6.2358996E-4 | 1.7146453 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.0044188867 | 0.004856942 | 1.0991325 | 4.4E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.04708105 | 0.04763374 | 1.0117391 | 5.8E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 6.6218265E-5 | 1.9620966E-4 | 2.9630747 | 1.3E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 2.8376168E-4 | 4.7370777E-4 | 1.6693859 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0034493285 | 0.0037981214 | 1.101119 | 3.5E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.037383776 | 0.037836205 | 1.0121022 | 4.7E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 6.0825827E-5 | 1.6081975E-4 | 2.6439385 | 1.0E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 2.606561E-4 | 4.1061698E-4 | 1.575321 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.003168872 | 0.0034679214 | 1.094371 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.034304727 | 0.03468135 | 1.0109787 | 3.9E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 4.383147E-5 | 1.13828406E-4 | 2.596956 | 7.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 1.8783564E-4 | 2.8781686E-4 | 1.5322803 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0022845014 | 0.002444136 | 1.0698771 | 1.6E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.024680397 | 0.024875462 | 1.0079036 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 2.3446726E-5 | 8.344532E-5 | 3.5589328 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 1.004821E-4 | 1.8047406E-4 | 1.7960817 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0012226833 | 0.0013225611 | 1.0816873 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017302496 | 0.013319461 | 0.0134378625 | 1.0088893 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 6.999192E-6 | 3.6998983E-5 | 5.286179 | 3.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 2.9996192E-5 | 6.9994996E-5 | 2.3334625 | 4.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 3.6514256E-4 | 4.0512797E-4 | 1.1095062 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0041367095 | 0.004176544 | 1.0096295 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.4537876E-4 | 5.406266 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.8445014E-4 | 2.4906626 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028546897 | 1.2066238 | 4.9E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024103228 | 1.0283313 | 6.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.4537876E-4 | 5.406266 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.8445014E-4 | 2.4906626 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028546897 | 1.2066238 | 4.9E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024103228 | 1.0283313 | 6.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.4537876E-4 | 5.406266 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 4.8445014E-4 | 2.4906626 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028546897 | 1.2066238 | 4.9E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024103228 | 1.0283313 | 6.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.7161614E-5 | 5.7160927E-5 | 3.330743 | 4.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.35478E-5 | 1.6354118E-4 | 2.223604 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 8.950942E-4 | 0.0010449599 | 1.1674302 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.008918412 | 0.0091364505 | 1.024448 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.2626104E-5 | 3.2625852E-5 | 2.5839999 | 2.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.411078E-5 | 8.410915E-5 | 1.5543882 | 3.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 6.5860484E-4 | 7.2855875E-4 | 1.1062152 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0065688044 | 0.006678082 | 1.0166358 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.2132734E-5 | 3.213249E-5 | 2.6484132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.1996423E-5 | 8.199486E-5 | 1.5769328 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.328777E-4 | 7.028334E-4 | 1.1105359 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0063130143 | 0.00642232 | 1.0173143 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 9.582908E-6 | 1.9582812E-5 | 2.0435145 | 1.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.106897E-5 | 6.106815E-5 | 1.4869657 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 4.9990165E-4 | 5.5987167E-4 | 1.1199636 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.0049890876 | 0.0050885887 | 1.0199437 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.124942E-6 | 1.9124851E-5 | 2.0958874 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 3.910632E-5 | 5.9105536E-5 | 1.5114063 | 2.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 4.7601698E-4 | 5.359884E-4 | 1.125986 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0047512045 | 0.0048507294 | 1.0209473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 8.749738E-6 | 1.8749652E-5 | 2.1428814 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 3.749835E-5 | 5.74976E-5 | 1.5333369 | 2.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.5644832E-4 | 5.164209E-4 | 1.1313897 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004556254 | 0.004655798 | 1.0218478 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.07687E-6 | 1.807679E-5 | 2.2380934 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.4614706E-5 | 5.4614015E-5 | 1.5777692 | 2.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.2135394E-4 | 4.8132867E-4 | 1.1423382 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.004206598 | 0.004306177 | 1.0236722 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 7.429608E-6 | 1.7429535E-5 | 2.345956 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.18408E-5 | 5.184016E-5 | 1.6281049 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 3.8759405E-4 | 4.3757466E-4 | 1.128951 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0038701205 | 0.003959772 | 1.0231651 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 6.735948E-6 | 1.6735881E-5 | 2.4845622 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 2.8868035E-5 | 4.8867456E-5 | 1.6927878 | 2.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.5141272E-4 | 4.0139514E-4 | 1.1422329 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0035096821 | 0.0035894015 | 1.0227141 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.0102066E-6 | 1.6010146E-5 | 2.6638265 | 1.0E-5 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.575778E-5 | 3.5757523E-5 | 1.3882222 | 1.0E-5 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.1355687E-4 | 3.535443E-4 | 1.1275285 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0031321917 | 0.0032019725 | 1.0222785 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.1453985E-6 | 5.1453985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.2051527E-5 | 2.2051527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.6844515E-4 | 2.7844246E-4 | 1.0372416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0026814698 | 0.0027213625 | 1.0148772 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 4.6199925E-6 | 4.6199925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 1.9799822E-5 | 1.9799822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.4103702E-4 | 2.5103462E-4 | 1.0414774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002407848 | 0.0024477516 | 1.0165724 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.6101321E-6 | 3.6101321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.5471907E-5 | 1.5471907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 1.8835496E-4 | 1.9835307E-4 | 1.0530813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.0018820282 | 0.0019119717 | 1.0159103 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.1108332E-6 | 3.1108332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.3332078E-5 | 1.3332078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.6230665E-4 | 1.7230502E-4 | 1.0616018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0016219489 | 0.0016419165 | 1.0123109 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.1228195E-6 | 2.1228195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.097769E-6 | 9.097769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.1076034E-4 | 1.2075923E-4 | 1.090275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0011071126 | 0.0011171015 | 1.0090225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Compton
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 1.9613943E-4 | 31.94144 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 2.9630947E-4 | 11.25942 | 2.7E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 7.702158E-4 | 2.4042199 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.003926915 | 1.2274485 | 7.3E-4 |
7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.1102126E-6 | 8.410988E-5 | 20.463634 | 8.0E-5 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.761508E-5 | 1.6761244E-4 | 9.515281 | 1.5E-4 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.1444306E-4 | 4.4439375E-4 | 2.0723157 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0039954064 | 0.0021424184 | 0.0025116259 | 1.172332 | 3.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.7315672E-6 | 8.373127E-5 | 22.438635 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.5992335E-5 | 1.559901E-4 | 9.754054 | 1.4E-4 | 3.7373835E-4 | 1.9468981E-4 | 4.14647E-4 | 2.1297827 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0037311043 | 0.0019452446 | 0.0023045444 | 1.1847067 | 3.6E-4 |
7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.1791978E-6 | 6.317901E-5 | 19.872625 | 6.0E-5 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.3625065E-5 | 1.3362343E-4 | 9.807178 | 1.2E-4 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.6587292E-4 | 3.558414E-4 | 2.1452653 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0033177056 | 0.0016575292 | 0.0019470485 | 1.1746693 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.35628E-6 | 5.235616E-5 | 22.21984 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0098305E-5 | 1.0009739E-4 | 9.912296 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.2294021E-4 | 2.7292175E-4 | 2.2199552 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002344655 | 0.0012287495 | 0.0014384915 | 1.1706954 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.6793914E-6 | 2.1679358E-5 | 12.909056 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.1973723E-6 | 5.7197012E-5 | 7.94693 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5586092E-4 | 8.762454E-5 | 1.576184E-4 | 1.798793 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015575165 | 8.759052E-4 | 9.858089E-4 | 1.1254743 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.3991429E-6 | 2.1399115E-5 | 15.294446 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0333543E-5 | 5.996313E-6 | 4.5996072E-5 | 7.670726 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.300271E-5 | 1.3299834E-4 | 1.8218273 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012573242 | 7.2979165E-4 | 8.2971866E-4 | 1.1369255 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.0976366E-6 | 2.1097614E-5 | 19.220947 | 2.0E-5 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.7041485E-6 | 4.470396E-5 | 9.503093 | 4.0E-5 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.727154E-5 | 1.1726811E-4 | 2.0475807 | 6.0E-5 | 9.795959E-4 | 5.7257153E-4 | 6.525257E-4 | 1.1396406 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.4842955E-7 | 1.0348426E-5 | 29.700197 | 1.0E-5 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.4932687E-6 | 2.1493239E-5 | 14.393417 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8180408E-5 | 3.8180046E-5 | 2.1000652 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4769322E-4 | 1.817905E-4 | 2.1178505E-4 | 1.1649951 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 3.9965272E-8 | 3.9965272E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.7127972E-7 | 1.7127972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.0853288E-6 | 2.0853288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6809684E-5 | 2.0853102E-5 | 2.0853102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872125E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 2.6298582E-4 | 3.6025605 | 1.9E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013180615 | 1.4835625 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009476801 | 1.0705373 | 6.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 2.6298582E-4 | 3.6025605 | 1.9E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013180615 | 1.4835625 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009476801 | 1.0705373 | 6.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 7.703267E-5 | 4.5223703 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 2.6298582E-4 | 3.6025605 | 1.9E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.0013180615 | 1.4835625 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009476801 | 1.0705373 | 6.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 6.0025613E-5 | 5.9869275 | 5.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 1.9296193E-4 | 4.4907894 | 1.5E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.528467E-4 | 1.6306218 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0057257186 | 1.0972215 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 6.0025613E-5 | 5.9869275 | 5.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 1.9296193E-4 | 4.4907894 | 1.5E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.528467E-4 | 1.6306218 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.0057257186 | 1.0972215 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.2589787E-6 | 4.7258687E-5 | 6.5103774 | 4.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1109546E-5 | 1.2110674E-4 | 3.8929126 | 9.0E-5 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.7869444E-4 | 5.886149E-4 | 1.5543268 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0036884616 | 0.00378065 | 0.0040795156 | 1.0790514 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0001234E-6 | 4.5999885E-5 | 7.6664896 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5714566E-5 | 1.0571251E-4 | 4.110997 | 8.0E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.130307E-4 | 4.9297436E-4 | 1.5748434 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031259838 | 0.0033752022 | 1.0797248 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.0643466E-6 | 4.5064146E-5 | 8.8983135 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1704165E-5 | 1.01702426E-4 | 4.6858487 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6421662E-4 | 4.2417436E-4 | 1.6054037 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026390732 | 0.0028485188 | 1.0793633 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.464621E-6 | 4.4464443E-5 | 9.959288 | 4.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9133951E-5 | 9.913242E-5 | 5.1809697 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3293128E-4 | 3.9289403E-4 | 1.6867379 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023269062 | 0.0025264407 | 1.085751 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.5620867E-6 | 3.356198E-5 | 9.422 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5265998E-5 | 8.526493E-5 | 5.5852838 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8584782E-4 | 3.258218E-4 | 1.7531645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018569398 | 0.0020366055 | 1.0967537 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2369335E-6 | 3.3236836E-5 | 10.268002 | 3.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.3872499E-5 | 8.387153E-5 | 6.0458846 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.6888473E-4 | 3.0886108E-4 | 1.8288279 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0016875777 | 0.0018672739 | 1.1064818 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5098152E-6 | 3.250974E-5 | 12.953041 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0756307E-5 | 7.075566E-5 | 6.5780625 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3095023E-4 | 2.509345E-4 | 1.9162587 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013087365 | 0.0014685271 | 1.1220953 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0347275E-6 | 2.2034686E-5 | 10.829307 | 2.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.720232E-6 | 5.8719797E-5 | 6.7337427 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0616369E-4 | 2.0615307E-4 | 1.9418416 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010611339 | 0.0012009854 | 1.1317943 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.653429E-6 | 2.1653395E-5 | 13.096055 | 2.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.086105E-6 | 5.7085752E-5 | 8.056012 | 5.0E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.626994E-5 | 1.7626217E-4 | 2.043147 | 9.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.623673E-4 | 9.722724E-4 | 1.1274458 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3130332E-6 | 2.1313006E-5 | 16.231888 | 2.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.6272734E-6 | 5.562699E-5 | 9.885248 | 5.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.8509915E-5 | 1.4850443E-4 | 2.1676342 | 8.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.8489014E-4 | 7.748285E-4 | 1.131318 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.1325774E-7 | 2.091324E-5 | 22.899603 | 2.0E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.913956E-6 | 5.391376E-5 | 13.774749 | 5.0E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.765139E-5 | 1.1764805E-4 | 2.4689324 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.7641335E-4 | 5.5637525E-4 | 1.1678414 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7017315E-7 | 1.04701685E-5 | 22.268751 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0150262E-6 | 2.2014985E-5 | 10.925409 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4532676E-5 | 6.453169E-5 | 2.6304386 | 4.0E-5 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4530038E-4 | 2.9528813E-4 | 1.2037817 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5427528E-7 | 1.0254273E-5 | 40.327446 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.0897508E-6 | 2.1089729E-5 | 19.352802 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3267634E-5 | 3.326737E-5 | 2.5074077 | 2.0E-5 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3266846E-4 | 1.526658E-4 | 1.1507317 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5230466E-7 | 1.0152303E-5 | 66.65786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.527341E-7 | 2.065272E-5 | 31.640327 | 2.0E-5 | 8.893623E-6 | 7.947009E-6 | 2.794685E-5 | 3.5166502 | 2.0E-5 | 8.893267E-5 | 7.946727E-5 | 9.946568E-5 | 1.2516559 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0251066E-8 | 1.004025E-5 | 249.44061 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7250456E-7 | 1.0172503E-5 | 58.96947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.100241E-6 | 1.210022E-5 | 5.7613482 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1002215E-5 | 3.1002004E-5 | 1.4761302 | 1.0E-5 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 3.4081383E-4 | 31.50609 | 3.3E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 4.463409E-4 | 9.62783 | 4.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.0010540059 | 1.8678695 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.006287219 | 1.1165496 | 6.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 3.4081383E-4 | 31.50609 | 3.3E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 4.463409E-4 | 9.62783 | 4.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.0010540059 | 1.8678695 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.006287219 | 1.1165496 | 6.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 3.4081383E-4 | 31.50609 | 3.3E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 4.463409E-4 | 9.62783 | 4.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.0010540059 | 1.8678695 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.006287219 | 1.1165496 | 6.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 3.4081383E-4 | 31.50609 | 3.3E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 4.463409E-4 | 9.62783 | 4.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.0010540059 | 1.8678695 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.006287219 | 1.1165496 | 6.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 3.4081383E-4 | 31.50609 | 3.3E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 4.463409E-4 | 9.62783 | 4.0E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.0010540059 | 1.8678695 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.006287219 | 1.1165496 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.0658578E-5 | 3.4065507E-4 | 31.96065 | 3.3E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.567883E-5 | 4.4566055E-4 | 9.756392 | 4.0E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5600004E-4 | 0.0010457276 | 1.8808049 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485265 | 0.00619492 | 1.1164982 | 6.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.0658578E-5 | 3.4065507E-4 | 31.96065 | 3.3E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.567883E-5 | 4.4566055E-4 | 9.756392 | 4.0E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5600004E-4 | 0.0010457276 | 1.8808049 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485265 | 0.00619492 | 1.1164982 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.0224045E-5 | 3.3022076E-4 | 32.29845 | 3.2E-4 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.381661E-5 | 4.3379952E-4 | 9.900345 | 3.9E-4 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.333387E-4 | 0.0010130827 | 1.899511 | 4.8E-4 | 0.005929234 | 0.005323006 | 0.0059595993 | 1.1195928 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.01153E-6 | 3.2900865E-4 | 36.509747 | 3.2E-4 | 4.5358654E-5 | 3.8620274E-5 | 4.286052E-4 | 11.097933 | 3.9E-4 | 5.521017E-4 | 4.7010134E-4 | 9.498757E-4 | 2.0205765 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00550732 | 0.004693376 | 0.005330372 | 1.1357224 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 7.882467E-6 | 3.2787994E-4 | 41.596107 | 3.2E-4 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.3781565E-5 | 4.237684E-4 | 12.544368 | 3.9E-4 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.112133E-4 | 8.910159E-4 | 2.1667974 | 4.8E-4 | 0.005043391 | 0.0041067675 | 0.0047341804 | 1.1527753 | 6.3E-4 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 7.5105963E-6 | 3.275082E-4 | 43.60615 | 3.2E-4 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.2187876E-5 | 4.2217533E-4 | 13.115973 | 3.9E-4 | 4.893937E-4 | 3.9181722E-4 | 8.6163305E-4 | 2.199069 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0048831734 | 0.003913505 | 0.0045310785 | 1.1578058 | 6.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.12189E-6 | 3.271196E-4 | 45.931572 | 3.2E-4 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.052203E-5 | 4.2051013E-4 | 13.7772665 | 3.9E-4 | 4.667083E-4 | 3.715426E-4 | 8.41368E-4 | 2.2645261 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0046572937 | 0.003711452 | 0.004329151 | 1.1664305 | 6.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.366444E-6 | 3.2636442E-4 | 51.263218 | 3.2E-4 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.7284475E-5 | 4.072741E-4 | 14.926953 | 3.8E-4 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.3213806E-4 | 7.9198525E-4 | 2.3845062 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0033186467 | 0.003926622 | 1.1831999 | 6.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 5.8987157E-6 | 3.1589688E-4 | 53.553505 | 3.1E-4 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.5279965E-5 | 3.9527062E-4 | 15.635726 | 3.7E-4 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.077403E-4 | 7.576018E-4 | 2.4618218 | 4.5E-4 | 0.004018998 | 0.0030753633 | 0.0036535796 | 1.1880156 | 5.8E-4 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 5.470446E-6 | 3.054688E-4 | 55.839836 | 3.0E-4 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.344456E-5 | 3.8343613E-4 | 16.355015 | 3.6E-4 | 3.7956095E-4 | 2.854003E-4 | 7.1527757E-4 | 2.5062258 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0028525526 | 0.0034109552 | 1.1957554 | 5.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 4.608412E-6 | 2.6460722E-4 | 57.41831 | 2.6E-4 | 2.7903774E-5 | 1.9750189E-5 | 3.2974407E-4 | 16.695744 | 3.1E-4 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.4043213E-4 | 6.2034075E-4 | 2.5801077 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0024039207 | 0.0029027187 | 1.2074935 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.4778127E-6 | 2.4347698E-4 | 70.00865 | 2.4E-4 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.4904827E-5 | 3.0490052E-4 | 20.456493 | 2.9E-4 | 2.8430918E-4 | 1.814512E-4 | 5.0139317E-4 | 2.7632394 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0018152178 | 0.0022444373 | 1.2364562 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 2.8183613E-6 | 2.4281768E-4 | 86.155624 | 2.4E-4 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.2078635E-5 | 2.9207524E-4 | 24.181147 | 2.8E-4 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.470475E-4 | 4.570019E-4 | 3.1078525 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002501296 | 0.0014715698 | 0.0018809664 | 1.2782041 | 4.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 1.8584764E-6 | 1.4185821E-4 | 76.33038 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4546376E-5 | 7.964874E-6 | 1.4796376E-4 | 18.577036 | 1.4E-4 | 1.7708774E-4 | 9.696805E-5 | 2.469535E-4 | 2.5467513 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017694668 | 9.695649E-4 | 0.0011893515 | 1.2266859 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 4.711085E-7 | 5.0471084E-5 | 107.132614 | 5.0E-5 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.019035E-6 | 5.2018935E-5 | 25.764257 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.4581477E-5 | 7.4580246E-5 | 3.034002 | 5.0E-5 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.4578793E-4 | 3.2576825E-4 | 1.3254038 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 5.5658628E-8 | 5.5658628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.3853696E-7 | 2.3853696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 2.9041837E-6 | 2.9041837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 2.9041472E-5 | 4.904089E-5 | 1.6886504 | 2.0E-5 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 2.1780383E-4 | 27.904001 | 2.1E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 3.2344193E-4 | 9.668948 | 2.9E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 8.4702356E-4 | 2.0801027 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046925475 | 1.1543474 | 6.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.1272976E-6 | 1.7612625E-4 | 28.744524 | 1.7E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259597E-5 | 2.2625434E-4 | 8.616063 | 2.0E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966605E-4 | 6.1957014E-4 | 1.9381794 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003192297 | 0.0036209242 | 1.1342692 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.1272976E-6 | 1.7612625E-4 | 28.744524 | 1.7E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259597E-5 | 2.2625434E-4 | 8.616063 | 2.0E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966605E-4 | 6.1957014E-4 | 1.9381794 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003192297 | 0.0036209242 | 1.1342692 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 4.7799354E-6 | 1.5477922E-4 | 32.381027 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.0485279E-5 | 1.9048179E-4 | 9.298472 | 1.7E-4 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.4938025E-4 | 4.793229E-4 | 1.9220564 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004496431 | 0.0024910558 | 0.002830209 | 1.1361483 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.594151E-6 | 1.3459356E-4 | 29.296719 | 1.3E-4 | 3.4570177E-5 | 1.9689074E-5 | 1.6968611E-4 | 8.618289 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.396886E-4 | 4.4963826E-4 | 1.8759269 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0042001465 | 0.0023943505 | 0.002713584 | 1.133328 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.1863836E-6 | 9.4186005E-5 | 22.498178 | 9.0E-5 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.7941524E-5 | 1.2793955E-4 | 7.130919 | 1.1E-4 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.1841656E-4 | 3.8837944E-4 | 1.7781593 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0021820606 | 0.0024514715 | 1.1234663 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.6075908E-6 | 9.360727E-5 | 25.947308 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.5461013E-5 | 1.15459465E-4 | 7.467781 | 1.0E-4 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.8822191E-4 | 3.481918E-4 | 1.8499005 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0018806583 | 0.0021401695 | 1.1379894 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.6314958E-6 | 5.2631363E-5 | 20.000551 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1277791E-5 | 6.127723E-5 | 5.4334426 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.3729854E-4 | 2.3728481E-4 | 1.7282399 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002680074 | 0.0013721457 | 0.0015518988 | 1.1310014 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 1.9600488E-6 | 4.195997E-5 | 21.407614 | 4.0E-5 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.400183E-6 | 4.839985E-5 | 5.761761 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.02267484E-4 | 1.822593E-4 | 1.7821823 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010222099 | 0.0011820464 | 1.1563636 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.2478727E-6 | 2.1247848E-5 | 17.027256 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.348015E-6 | 2.5347908E-5 | 4.7396855 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4553878E-4 | 6.511017E-5 | 1.15106915E-4 | 1.7678791 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001454435 | 6.5091456E-4 | 7.308625E-4 | 1.122824 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 7.973088E-7 | 7.973088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.4170334E-6 | 3.4170334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.1601616E-5 | 5.16012E-5 | 1.2403653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010647819 | 4.1594097E-4 | 4.3593266E-4 | 1.0480638 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.0216814E-7 | 6.0216814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.5807183E-6 | 2.5807183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.1419815E-5 | 4.1419502E-5 | 1.3182604 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.1415603E-4 | 3.241529E-4 | 1.0318214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 4.829728E-7 | 4.829728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.0698817E-6 | 2.0698817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.520054E-5 | 3.5200286E-5 | 1.396807 | 1.0E-5 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.5197884E-4 | 2.6197633E-4 | 1.0396758 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 6.5881565E-8 | 6.5881565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 3.191669E-4 | 2.1392994 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 8.790864E-4 | 1.375206 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.0081818625 | 1.0550166 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07920965 | 1.0072641 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 3.191669E-4 | 2.1392994 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 8.790864E-4 | 1.375206 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.0081818625 | 1.0550166 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07920965 | 1.0072641 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 3.191669E-4 | 2.1392994 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 8.790864E-4 | 1.375206 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.0081818625 | 1.0550166 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07920965 | 1.0072641 | 6.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 3.191669E-4 | 2.1392994 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 8.790864E-4 | 1.375206 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.0081818625 | 1.0550166 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07920965 | 1.0072641 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 3.191669E-4 | 2.1392994 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 8.790864E-4 | 1.375206 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.0081818625 | 1.0550166 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07920965 | 1.0072641 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310933E-4 | 3.1308498E-4 | 2.1877332 | 1.7E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131825E-4 | 8.530353E-4 | 1.3911606 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0074401484 | 0.007857024 | 1.0560305 | 4.2E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.07575972 | 0.07630502 | 1.0071977 | 5.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310933E-4 | 3.1308498E-4 | 2.1877332 | 1.7E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131825E-4 | 8.530353E-4 | 1.3911606 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0074401484 | 0.007857024 | 1.0560305 | 4.2E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.07575972 | 0.07630502 | 1.0071977 | 5.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 1.4034667E-4 | 3.0032423E-4 | 2.1398742 | 1.6E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 6.0134806E-4 | 8.3120976E-4 | 1.382244 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.007297036 | 0.0077040438 | 1.0557772 | 4.1E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.07445637 | 0.07499319 | 1.0072098 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 1.3954878E-4 | 2.9952647E-4 | 2.1463923 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 5.979301E-4 | 8.2779257E-4 | 1.3844303 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.0072557 | 0.007662725 | 1.0560973 | 4.1E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.07407128 | 0.07460832 | 1.0072503 | 5.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 1.3867275E-4 | 2.9865056E-4 | 2.1536355 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 5.941774E-4 | 8.2404073E-4 | 1.3868598 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0072103143 | 0.007617358 | 1.056453 | 4.1E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.07364916 | 0.074186444 | 1.0072951 | 5.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 1.3786585E-4 | 2.978438E-4 | 2.1603885 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 5.9072085E-4 | 8.2058494E-4 | 1.3891249 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.007168508 | 0.007575569 | 1.0567846 | 4.1E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.07325896 | 0.07379647 | 1.0073371 | 5.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 1.2578309E-4 | 2.7576424E-4 | 2.1923792 | 1.5E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 5.389597E-4 | 7.488465E-4 | 1.3894296 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.006542229 | 0.006929678 | 1.0592227 | 3.9E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.06739999 | 0.06792225 | 1.0077486 | 5.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 1.2096488E-4 | 2.7094674E-4 | 2.2398794 | 1.5E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 5.1831856E-4 | 7.2820974E-4 | 1.4049462 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.006292401 | 0.0066600726 | 1.058431 | 3.7E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.06504938 | 0.065554254 | 1.0077614 | 5.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 1.1680755E-4 | 2.6679004E-4 | 2.2840135 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 5.0050835E-4 | 7.1040326E-4 | 1.4193634 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.006076791 | 0.0064445427 | 1.0605174 | 3.7E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.06299187 | 0.063497856 | 1.0080326 | 5.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.1188774E-4 | 2.6187097E-4 | 2.3404794 | 1.5E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 4.794314E-4 | 6.893307E-4 | 1.4378089 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.005821574 | 0.0061894204 | 1.0631866 | 3.7E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.06054898 | 0.06104689 | 1.0082233 | 5.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 8.1244136E-5 | 2.3123196E-4 | 2.846137 | 1.5E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 3.4814278E-4 | 5.580697E-4 | 1.6029907 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0042304173 | 0.0045988522 | 1.0870918 | 3.7E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.04520968 | 0.045706168 | 1.0109819 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 7.879456E-5 | 2.1878353E-4 | 2.7766323 | 1.4E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 3.3764736E-4 | 5.375798E-4 | 1.592134 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.004103124 | 0.004461647 | 1.087378 | 3.6E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.04394248 | 0.04442051 | 1.0108786 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 6.112279E-5 | 1.6111668E-4 | 2.635951 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 2.619285E-4 | 4.1188922E-4 | 1.5725254 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0031843188 | 0.0034833634 | 1.0939116 | 3.0E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.034707297 | 0.03511272 | 1.0116812 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 5.6466863E-5 | 1.3646235E-4 | 2.41668 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 2.4197841E-4 | 3.7194695E-4 | 1.5371081 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.002942109 | 0.0032113148 | 1.0915009 | 2.7E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.032010663 | 0.03235914 | 1.0108863 | 3.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 4.126519E-5 | 1.0126271E-4 | 2.4539502 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 1.7683883E-4 | 2.668229E-4 | 1.508848 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0021508876 | 0.0022905865 | 1.0649494 | 1.4E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.023309954 | 0.02348576 | 1.007542 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 2.3383824E-5 | 8.338242E-5 | 3.5658164 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 1.00212535E-4 | 1.8020452E-4 | 1.7982234 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0012194051 | 0.0013192832 | 1.0819072 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017356034 | 0.013286445 | 0.013404851 | 1.0089117 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 7.0003266E-6 | 3.7000118E-5 | 5.2854843 | 3.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 3.0001054E-5 | 6.9999856E-5 | 2.3332465 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 3.6520173E-4 | 4.0518714E-4 | 1.1094885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.004137644 | 0.0041774786 | 1.0096273 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.586062E-5 | 3.9274382E-5 | 2.092677E-4 | 5.3283515 | 1.7E-4 | 1.5367931E-4 | 1.683085E-4 | 4.482614E-4 | 2.6633317 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0018694398 | 0.0020473336 | 0.0024764533 | 1.2095993 | 4.3E-4 | 0.018537914 | 0.020295722 | 0.020854153 | 1.0275147 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 1.2298606E-4 | 5.349928 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 2.485032E-4 | 2.522415 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.001428547 | 1.1916249 | 2.3E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012232633 | 1.0256829 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 1.2298606E-4 | 5.349928 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 2.485032E-4 | 2.522415 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.001428547 | 1.1916249 | 2.3E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012232633 | 1.0256829 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.6499243E-5 | 7.6498254E-5 | 4.6364703 | 6.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.070919E-5 | 1.807014E-4 | 2.5555577 | 1.1E-4 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.605554E-4 | 0.0010304091 | 1.1973768 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007878214 | 0.008573386 | 0.008811328 | 1.0277536 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3409091E-5 | 7.3408286E-5 | 5.4745164 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.746631E-5 | 1.6745999E-4 | 2.914055 | 1.1E-4 | 6.437803E-4 | 6.9943524E-4 | 8.6931634E-4 | 1.2428832 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006419184 | 0.006973114 | 0.00720151 | 1.0327538 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 9.815237E-6 | 4.9814844E-5 | 5.075257 | 4.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.206465E-5 | 1.2206128E-4 | 2.9017544 | 8.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.120217E-4 | 6.419551E-4 | 1.2537655 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004716845 | 0.0051089195 | 0.005278051 | 1.0331051 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.159118E-6 | 4.8158792E-5 | 5.902451 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.49672E-5 | 1.04964754E-4 | 3.001806 | 7.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.256465E-4 | 5.455954E-4 | 1.2818041 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003929756 | 0.0042487113 | 0.0044080312 | 1.0374985 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 5.9255667E-6 | 4.592533E-5 | 7.750369 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.5395057E-5 | 9.5393276E-5 | 3.756372 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.0914397E-4 | 4.2910688E-4 | 1.3880486 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0030874372 | 0.003227005 | 1.045205 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 3.992165E-6 | 3.3992044E-5 | 8.514689 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.710918E-5 | 6.7108325E-5 | 3.9223578 | 5.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.0828666E-4 | 3.0826582E-4 | 1.4800075 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0020811416 | 0.0022008917 | 1.0575407 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.5925383E-6 | 3.259246E-5 | 12.571641 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1110831E-5 | 6.111027E-5 | 5.5000634 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.35266E-4 | 2.2525383E-4 | 1.6652657 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013518395 | 0.0014616908 | 1.0812606 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.449818E-6 | 3.2449745E-5 | 13.245777 | 3.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0499179E-5 | 6.0498653E-5 | 5.762227 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2782002E-4 | 2.1780851E-4 | 1.704025 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012774672 | 0.0013873267 | 1.0859979 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3426678E-6 | 3.23426E-5 | 13.805883 | 3.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0039967E-5 | 6.0039463E-5 | 5.9800463 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2222974E-4 | 2.1221874E-4 | 1.7362282 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012216271 | 0.0013314928 | 1.0899339 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.247132E-6 | 3.2247066E-5 | 14.350321 | 3.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.63053E-6 | 5.963005E-5 | 6.191772 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.17245414E-4 | 2.0723486E-4 | 1.7675307 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011718374 | 0.0012817086 | 1.0937597 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.082142E-6 | 3.208208E-5 | 15.40821 | 3.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 8.9234345E-6 | 5.892299E-5 | 6.6031737 | 5.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.0863742E-4 | 1.9862765E-4 | 1.8283539 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010858448 | 0.0011957254 | 1.1011935 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.7820928E-6 | 3.1782038E-5 | 17.83411 | 3.0E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.637518E-6 | 5.7637135E-5 | 7.5465794 | 5.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.298283E-5 | 1.8297446E-4 | 1.9678307 | 9.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.294409E-4 | 0.0010293479 | 1.1074916 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 2.0940572E-5 | 22.263224 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 4.4030934E-5 | 10.922822 | 4.0E-5 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 9.9075034E-5 | 2.018747 | 5.0E-5 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9066765E-4 | 5.506382E-4 | 1.1222224 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 1.0401734E-5 | 25.891844 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.1721715E-5 | 6.808093 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 4.096148E-5 | 1.954092 | 2.0E-5 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 2.3959356E-4 | 1.1430999 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 1.0062962E-5 | 159.82428 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 1.0269837E-5 | 38.058994 | 1.0E-5 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 1.3285264E-5 | 4.043855 | 1.0E-5 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 4.285216E-5 | 1.304381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.5832258E-5 | 1.658276E-4 | 4.627886 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5355866E-4 | 3.5352795E-4 | 2.3022337 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00171175 | 0.0018681306 | 0.0022673835 | 1.2137178 | 4.0E-4 | 0.016986247 | 0.01854024 | 0.019119304 | 1.0312327 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 9.130936E-5 | 4.2846413 | 7.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.1131818E-4 | 2.313809 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013710954 | 1.2336825 | 2.6E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011445987 | 1.0348712 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 9.130936E-5 | 4.2846413 | 7.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.1131818E-4 | 2.313809 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0013710954 | 1.2336825 | 2.6E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.011445987 | 1.0348712 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 8.678524E-5 | 5.1699677 | 7.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 1.8193193E-4 | 2.5289452 | 1.1E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.001095329 | 1.2510588 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.009068324 | 1.0397813 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 8.678524E-5 | 5.1699677 | 7.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 1.8193193E-4 | 2.5289452 | 1.1E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.001095329 | 1.2510588 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.009068324 | 1.0397813 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4589136E-5 | 8.4588115E-5 | 5.798021 | 7.0E-5 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.2523395E-5 | 1.7251652E-4 | 2.7592316 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.6095987E-4 | 9.7080006E-4 | 1.2757573 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007583927 | 0.007921348 | 1.0444916 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3327058E-5 | 8.332612E-5 | 6.2524023 | 7.0E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7114725E-5 | 1.6710845E-4 | 2.9258382 | 1.1E-4 | 6.540996E-4 | 6.951525E-4 | 9.0500654E-4 | 1.301882 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0069300737 | 0.0072677173 | 1.0487216 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2212661E-5 | 8.221181E-5 | 6.7316866 | 7.0E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.2338935E-5 | 1.6233318E-4 | 3.1015759 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.370422E-4 | 8.469084E-4 | 1.3294384 | 2.1E-4 | 0.005984721 | 0.0063523827 | 0.0066802865 | 1.051619 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0735759E-5 | 7.0735114E-5 | 6.588739 | 6.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.600959E-5 | 1.46005E-4 | 3.1733599 | 1.0E-4 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.600243E-4 | 7.5991225E-4 | 1.3569274 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005586294 | 0.005894562 | 1.0551829 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.486945E-6 | 6.948638E-5 | 7.324421 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.0657706E-5 | 1.4065365E-4 | 3.4594584 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6745385E-4 | 4.948962E-4 | 6.947972E-4 | 1.4039252 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0049380567 | 0.0052266247 | 1.0584376 | 2.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.511766E-6 | 6.851125E-5 | 8.0490055 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6478494E-5 | 1.3647485E-4 | 3.7412412 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4403595E-4 | 6.4394716E-4 | 1.450214 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004189935 | 0.004431575 | 0.00472029 | 1.0651494 | 2.9E-4 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.54307E-6 | 6.754262E-5 | 8.954261 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2327047E-5 | 1.3232381E-4 | 4.093285 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9351138E-4 | 5.8343663E-4 | 1.4826423 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039282204 | 0.0042071203 | 1.0709991 | 2.8E-4 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.721356E-6 | 5.672102E-5 | 8.438926 | 5.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.8805496E-5 | 1.18802905E-4 | 4.124314 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.506511E-4 | 5.10595E-4 | 1.456134 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035010448 | 0.0037501696 | 1.0711572 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.2860037E-6 | 3.5285844E-5 | 6.675335 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2654107E-5 | 9.2652524E-5 | 4.0898776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7577937E-4 | 3.9574626E-4 | 1.4350104 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027544247 | 0.0029339287 | 1.0651695 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.6862266E-6 | 3.3686116E-5 | 9.138373 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5798021E-5 | 6.5797234E-5 | 4.1649036 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.923243E-4 | 2.8230698E-4 | 1.4678696 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019216161 | 0.0020413855 | 1.0623274 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 1.5042022E-5 | 2.9833014 | 1.0E-5 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.138553E-5 | 9.138369E-5 | 1.4886845 | 3.0E-5 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.136887E-4 | 6.436703E-4 | 1.0488547 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 2.549883E-5 | 1.6451936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.6497762E-4 | 1.0645148 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 9.707261E-5 | 13.723916 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 1.9030871E-4 | 6.2780046 | 1.6E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 6.9888635E-4 | 1.8939593 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004222255 | 1.1460301 | 5.4E-4 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.2485547E-6 | 7.6248114E-5 | 12.20252 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.6779257E-5 | 1.7677524E-4 | 6.6012 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.259908E-4 | 6.3588977E-4 | 1.950637 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0032553396 | 0.0037437445 | 1.1500319 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.8044557E-6 | 7.580405E-5 | 13.05963 | 7.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.4876013E-5 | 1.7487229E-4 | 7.029755 | 1.5E-4 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.0282539E-4 | 6.127315E-4 | 2.0233822 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002945339 | 0.0030243264 | 0.0035128447 | 1.1615295 | 4.9E-4 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.724732E-6 | 6.472445E-5 | 13.699072 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0248703E-5 | 1.5024607E-4 | 7.420034 | 1.3E-4 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.4650147E-4 | 5.264325E-4 | 2.1356158 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0024624201 | 0.002881386 | 1.1701438 | 4.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.6088244E-6 | 6.460855E-5 | 14.018444 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 1.9751962E-5 | 1.497494E-4 | 7.5814943 | 1.3E-4 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4045502E-4 | 5.2038766E-4 | 2.164179 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024020877 | 0.0028210788 | 1.1744279 | 4.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.296983E-6 | 2.3296918E-5 | 7.066132 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4129854E-5 | 8.4128864E-5 | 5.9539795 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7201803E-4 | 3.5198705E-4 | 2.046222 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017189111 | 0.0020183953 | 1.1742291 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.2764546E-6 | 2.2276408E-5 | 9.785572 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 9.7562E-6 | 4.975581E-5 | 5.099917 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.1877569E-4 | 2.2876263E-4 | 1.9260054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011504296 | 0.001187165 | 0.0013969158 | 1.176682 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.4302381E-6 | 1.1430224E-5 | 7.9918327 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.1295777E-6 | 2.6129455E-5 | 4.2628474 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.462513E-5 | 1.246214E-4 | 1.6699656 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.4600836E-4 | 8.4593374E-4 | 1.1339468 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.1768453E-6 | 1.1176833E-5 | 9.497284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.0436133E-6 | 2.5043513E-5 | 4.965391 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.140433E-5 | 1.0140188E-4 | 1.6513798 | 4.0E-5 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.138805E-4 | 7.0382527E-4 | 1.1465183 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 8.5117034E-7 | 8.5117034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.647868E-6 | 1.3647831E-5 | 3.7413173 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.4411943E-5 | 7.441061E-5 | 1.675464 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.44036E-4 | 5.0400937E-4 | 1.1350641 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 2.776184E-5 | 4.7761285E-5 | 1.7203933 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5539953E-4 | 2.775872E-4 | 3.175761E-4 | 1.1440588 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 9.419701E-4 | 0.00111181 | 1.1803029 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0019528421 | 0.0040262374 | 0.004235392 | 1.0519478 | 2.1E-4 | 0.023518132 | 0.047178846 | 0.047531392 | 1.0074725 | 3.7E-4 | 0.21179019 | 0.3400549 | 0.34040466 | 1.0010285 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 3.4758222E-4 | 4.57544E-4 | 1.3163619 | 1.1E-4 | 8.248562E-4 | 0.0014875376 | 0.0016373146 | 1.1006877 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009996468 | 0.017758228 | 0.018033255 | 1.0154873 | 2.8E-4 | 0.09558567 | 0.15048087 | 0.15080367 | 1.0021453 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.2588821E-4 | 2.0587814E-4 | 1.6354045 | 8.0E-5 | 4.039488E-4 | 5.394015E-4 | 6.493422E-4 | 1.2038198 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049069915 | 0.0065463204 | 0.006774815 | 1.0349042 | 2.3E-4 | 0.048000436 | 0.0655663 | 0.065874666 | 1.004703 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.2299187E-4 | 2.0298203E-4 | 1.6503695 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 5.2699953E-4 | 6.369415E-4 | 1.2086189 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.0063969702 | 0.006625499 | 1.0357245 | 2.3E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.064228386 | 0.06453719 | 1.004808 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.2008841E-4 | 2.000788E-4 | 1.6660959 | 8.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 5.1456183E-4 | 6.245052E-4 | 1.213664 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.006246561 | 0.006475124 | 1.0365902 | 2.3E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.06288582 | 0.063195065 | 1.0049176 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.1718769E-4 | 1.9717832E-4 | 1.6825856 | 8.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 5.0213566E-4 | 6.1208045E-4 | 1.2189543 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.00609624 | 0.006324838 | 1.0374981 | 2.3E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.06154324 | 0.061852932 | 1.0050321 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.13310845E-4 | 1.9330178E-4 | 1.7059425 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 4.8552724E-4 | 5.9547386E-4 | 1.2264478 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.005895214 | 0.006123858 | 1.0387847 | 2.3E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.059754543 | 0.060064822 | 1.0051926 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.11829475E-4 | 1.9182054E-4 | 1.7152948 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 4.791819E-4 | 5.8912917E-4 | 1.229448 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0058185766 | 0.006047238 | 1.0392985 | 2.3E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.059072603 | 0.05938311 | 1.0052563 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.11149886E-4 | 1.9114099E-4 | 1.7196689 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 4.7627056E-4 | 5.862182E-4 | 1.2308512 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.0057833474 | 0.0060120174 | 1.0395393 | 2.3E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.058758046 | 0.059068654 | 1.0052862 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.1046636E-4 | 1.9045752E-4 | 1.7241224 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 4.7334228E-4 | 5.832902E-4 | 1.23228 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0057478882 | 0.005976566 | 1.0397847 | 2.3E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.058437638 | 0.058748353 | 1.0053171 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.07753454E-4 | 1.8774484E-4 | 1.7423556 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 4.6171976E-4 | 5.7166896E-4 | 1.2381297 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.0056071286 | 0.005835839 | 1.0407892 | 2.3E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.05715123 | 0.05746237 | 1.0054442 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 9.2318005E-5 | 1.7231063E-4 | 1.8664899 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 3.9558913E-4 | 5.0554564E-4 | 1.2779562 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.004805763 | 0.0050247055 | 1.0455583 | 2.2E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.04973369 | 0.050037775 | 1.0061142 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 9.008726E-5 | 1.7008005E-4 | 1.8879479 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 3.8603166E-4 | 4.959892E-4 | 1.2848407 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.004689907 | 0.004908875 | 1.0466893 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.048631735 | 0.048936173 | 1.00626 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 8.722346E-5 | 1.6721648E-4 | 1.9171045 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 3.737618E-4 | 4.8372068E-4 | 1.294195 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.004541153 | 0.004760154 | 1.0482259 | 2.2E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.047222544 | 0.047527432 | 1.0064564 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 8.447397E-5 | 1.6446722E-4 | 1.9469572 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 3.619816E-4 | 4.7194178E-4 | 1.3037728 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0043983166 | 0.004617349 | 1.0497991 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.04585822 | 0.046163544 | 1.0066581 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 5.7851215E-5 | 1.3784658E-4 | 2.3827777 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 2.4791027E-4 | 3.57883E-4 | 1.443599 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0030141403 | 0.0032334772 | 1.0727693 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.032398857 | 0.032698814 | 1.0092583 | 3.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 5.646813E-5 | 1.3646361E-4 | 2.4166484 | 8.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 2.4198387E-4 | 3.5195725E-4 | 1.4544657 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0029421835 | 0.0031615363 | 1.0745544 | 2.2E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.031686142 | 0.031976636 | 1.0091679 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 4.2652908E-5 | 1.02650345E-4 | 2.4066436 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 1.8278537E-4 | 2.7276893E-4 | 1.4922907 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.002223142 | 0.0024226974 | 1.0897628 | 2.0E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.024410447 | 0.024673855 | 1.0107908 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 3.9637907E-5 | 8.963593E-5 | 2.2613688 | 5.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 1.698657E-4 | 2.498521E-4 | 1.4708803 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0020661545 | 0.0022457824 | 1.0869384 | 1.8E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.022669608 | 0.022894394 | 1.0099157 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 3.071296E-5 | 7.071173E-5 | 2.302342 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 1.3162033E-4 | 2.0161112E-4 | 1.5317627 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0016013003 | 0.0017211082 | 1.0748191 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.017521115 | 0.017668488 | 1.008411 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 1.7605264E-5 | 5.7604557E-5 | 3.272008 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 7.5448945E-5 | 1.3544442E-4 | 1.7951797 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 9.18204E-4 | 9.981305E-4 | 1.0870466 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.010096046 | 0.010185137 | 1.0088243 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 6.7754645E-6 | 2.677533E-5 | 3.951807 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 2.9037383E-5 | 5.9036513E-5 | 2.0331209 | 3.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 3.534729E-4 | 3.834623E-4 | 1.0848421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.004013118 | 0.0040429975 | 1.0074455 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 3.0538466E-4 | 1.8462529 | 1.4E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.9856464E-4 | 1.2679068 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008941546 | 1.0403734 | 3.5E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.08618138 | 1.0055473 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 3.0538466E-4 | 1.8462529 | 1.4E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.9856464E-4 | 1.2679068 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008941546 | 1.0403734 | 3.5E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.08618138 | 1.0055473 | 5.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 3.0538466E-4 | 1.8462529 | 1.4E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.9856464E-4 | 1.2679068 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008941546 | 1.0403734 | 3.5E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.08618138 | 1.0055473 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 1.6463934E-4 | 3.046163E-4 | 1.8502036 | 1.4E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 7.054076E-4 | 8.952736E-4 | 1.2691578 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.008554793 | 0.008901798 | 1.0405627 | 3.5E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.08534597 | 0.08582159 | 1.0055728 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 1.5955207E-4 | 2.9952973E-4 | 1.8773165 | 1.4E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 6.836166E-4 | 8.7348674E-4 | 1.2777436 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.008291531 | 0.00863863 | 1.0418618 | 3.5E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.08299412 | 0.083470955 | 1.0057455 | 5.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 1.5700942E-4 | 2.9698742E-4 | 1.8915262 | 1.4E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 6.7272515E-4 | 8.625973E-4 | 1.2822434 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.008159924 | 0.008507068 | 1.0425426 | 3.5E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.08184059 | 0.08231803 | 1.0058339 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 1.4986283E-4 | 2.8984185E-4 | 1.9340476 | 1.4E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 6.4211234E-4 | 8.319903E-4 | 1.2957084 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.007789934 | 0.0081372075 | 1.0445797 | 3.5E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.07853775 | 0.0790169 | 1.006101 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 1.4822483E-4 | 2.882041E-4 | 1.9443711 | 1.4E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 6.3509576E-4 | 8.249751E-4 | 1.2989775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.007705115 | 0.008052418 | 1.0450743 | 3.5E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.07777969 | 0.078259245 | 1.0061655 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 1.4709373E-4 | 2.8707314E-4 | 1.9516342 | 1.4E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 6.302505E-4 | 8.2013075E-4 | 1.3012774 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.0076465392 | 0.007993863 | 1.0454223 | 3.5E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.0772522 | 0.07773203 | 1.0062112 | 5.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 1.4567103E-4 | 2.8565063E-4 | 1.9609296 | 1.4E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 6.241562E-4 | 8.1403763E-4 | 1.304221 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.007572859 | 0.007920208 | 1.0458677 | 3.5E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.07658271 | 0.07706288 | 1.00627 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 1.419285E-4 | 2.819086E-4 | 1.9862722 | 1.4E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 6.081243E-4 | 7.9800875E-4 | 1.3122461 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.007379009 | 0.0077264262 | 1.0470818 | 3.5E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.07482078 | 0.07530187 | 1.0064299 | 5.2E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.2104828E-4 | 2.5103253E-4 | 2.0738215 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 5.1867584E-4 | 6.985825E-4 | 1.3468575 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.006296728 | 0.006634587 | 1.0536563 | 3.4E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.06488231 | 0.06535921 | 1.0073504 | 5.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 1.16864016E-4 | 2.4684882E-4 | 2.112274 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 5.0075026E-4 | 6.8066013E-4 | 1.3592806 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.0060797217 | 0.0064077154 | 1.0539488 | 3.3E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.06285217 | 0.06332074 | 1.0074552 | 5.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.1224823E-4 | 2.4223364E-4 | 2.1580174 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 4.8097578E-4 | 6.608892E-4 | 1.3740592 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.0058402824 | 0.0061683552 | 1.0561742 | 3.3E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.060574166 | 0.06104388 | 1.0077543 | 5.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.0731068E-4 | 2.3729673E-4 | 2.2113059 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 4.5982248E-4 | 6.397397E-4 | 1.3912754 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.0055840854 | 0.005912243 | 1.0587665 | 3.3E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.05811794 | 0.058579464 | 1.0079411 | 4.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 7.6732E-5 | 2.0672203E-4 | 2.6940784 | 1.3E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 3.2881007E-4 | 5.087509E-4 | 1.5472485 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.0039959303 | 0.0043246117 | 1.082254 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.042775173 | 0.043234643 | 1.0107415 | 4.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 7.430685E-5 | 2.0429719E-4 | 2.7493722 | 1.3E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 3.1841913E-4 | 4.983618E-4 | 1.5651126 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0038698772 | 0.0041986 | 1.084944 | 3.3E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.041518256 | 0.04196874 | 1.0108503 | 4.7E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 5.6689965E-5 | 1.566843E-4 | 2.7638807 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 2.4293437E-4 | 3.8290035E-4 | 1.5761473 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0029537166 | 0.0032328896 | 1.0945158 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.032289688 | 0.03267677 | 1.0119878 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 5.2603664E-5 | 1.3259945E-4 | 2.5207267 | 8.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 2.254248E-4 | 3.4539774E-4 | 1.5322083 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0027410947 | 0.0029904093 | 1.0909544 | 2.5E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.029913943 | 0.030243771 | 1.0110259 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 3.8882026E-5 | 9.887969E-5 | 2.5430696 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 1.666266E-4 | 2.5661162E-4 | 1.5400398 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0020267921 | 0.0021665085 | 1.0689347 | 1.4E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.022017656 | 0.022193693 | 1.0079952 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 2.2707569E-5 | 8.270621E-5 | 3.6422307 | 6.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 9.731453E-5 | 1.7730673E-4 | 1.8219967 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0011841607 | 0.0012840424 | 1.084348 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017046256 | 0.012913256 | 0.013031706 | 1.0091728 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 7.0003543E-6 | 3.7000143E-5 | 5.285467 | 3.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 3.0001174E-5 | 6.999997E-5 | 2.3332412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 3.652032E-4 | 4.051886E-4 | 1.109488 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.0041376646 | 0.004177499 | 1.0096273 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.9427253E-4 | 1.682696 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.0012136089 | 1.2089909 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012482757 | 1.0268154 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.11580107 | 1.0033724 | 4.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.9427253E-4 | 1.682696 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.0012136089 | 1.2089909 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012482757 | 1.0268154 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.11580107 | 1.0033724 | 4.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.9427253E-4 | 1.682696 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.0012136089 | 1.2089909 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012482757 | 1.0268154 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.11580107 | 1.0033724 | 4.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302708E-4 | 3.829914E-4 | 1.7172416 | 1.6E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5550023E-4 | 0.0011652996 | 1.2195702 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01157483 | 0.011901011 | 1.0281801 | 3.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.11029457 | 0.11068604 | 1.0035493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302708E-4 | 3.829914E-4 | 1.7172416 | 1.6E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5550023E-4 | 0.0011652996 | 1.2195702 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01157483 | 0.011901011 | 1.0281801 | 3.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.11029457 | 0.11068604 | 1.0035493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.045254E-4 | 3.6449268E-4 | 1.782139 | 1.6E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 8.762622E-4 | 0.0010860781 | 1.2394443 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.0106198 | 0.010946295 | 1.0307441 | 3.3E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.10182594 | 0.10221215 | 1.0037929 | 4.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 1.8830564E-4 | 3.382774E-4 | 1.7964272 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 8.067928E-4 | 0.0010066314 | 1.2476951 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.009781761 | 0.010098631 | 1.0323939 | 3.2E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.09430883 | 0.09468922 | 1.0040334 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 1.7036434E-4 | 3.203388E-4 | 1.880316 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 7.2994566E-4 | 9.297997E-4 | 1.273793 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.008853949 | 0.009161204 | 1.0347027 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.08591624 | 0.08628188 | 1.0042557 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 1.6650086E-4 | 3.164759E-4 | 1.9007462 | 1.5E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 7.13397E-4 | 9.1325433E-4 | 1.2801489 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.008654081 | 0.008961398 | 1.0355113 | 3.1E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.084091336 | 0.084457695 | 1.0043567 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.1722638E-4 | 2.5720996E-4 | 2.1941304 | 1.4E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 5.023026E-4 | 6.922072E-4 | 1.3780681 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.006098505 | 0.0063966755 | 1.0488924 | 3.0E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.06045571 | 0.060822133 | 1.006061 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.1219954E-4 | 2.5218382E-4 | 2.247637 | 1.4E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 4.807671E-4 | 6.7067577E-4 | 1.3950118 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.0058377427 | 0.0061359913 | 1.0510898 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.058014564 | 0.05838194 | 1.0063324 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.0703463E-4 | 2.4701963E-4 | 2.307848 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 4.5863973E-4 | 6.485526E-4 | 1.4140785 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.005569746 | 0.005868075 | 1.0535624 | 3.0E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.055522066 | 0.05589041 | 1.0066342 | 3.9E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 9.467854E-5 | 2.2466623E-4 | 2.3729372 | 1.3E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 4.057023E-4 | 5.8562926E-4 | 1.443495 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0049282876 | 0.0052069076 | 1.0565349 | 2.8E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.049503252 | 0.049835928 | 1.0067202 | 3.5E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 8.7999135E-5 | 1.9798946E-4 | 2.2499022 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 3.7708483E-4 | 5.370245E-4 | 1.4241477 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.004581383 | 0.0048302375 | 1.0543187 | 2.5E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.046278063 | 0.046583254 | 1.0065948 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 8.312108E-5 | 1.8311276E-4 | 2.2029643 | 1.0E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 3.5618473E-4 | 5.061313E-4 | 1.4209797 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0043279626 | 0.0045569674 | 1.0529128 | 2.3E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.043908406 | 0.044185676 | 1.0063146 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 7.674637E-5 | 1.767387E-4 | 2.3028932 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 3.2887174E-4 | 4.788224E-4 | 1.4559549 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.003996696 | 0.0042257765 | 1.0573175 | 2.3E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.040779732 | 0.041057907 | 1.0068214 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 5.6674E-5 | 1.5666833E-4 | 2.7643776 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 2.4286601E-4 | 3.9282956E-4 | 1.6174746 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0029528944 | 0.0031722449 | 1.0742831 | 2.2E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.030698707 | 0.030970111 | 1.0088409 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 4.4225708E-5 | 1.1422261E-4 | 2.5827198 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 1.89525E-4 | 2.9950414E-4 | 1.5802884 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.002305027 | 0.0024846122 | 1.0779102 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.024370719 | 0.02460487 | 1.0096079 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 3.932935E-5 | 8.932738E-5 | 2.2712653 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 1.6854347E-4 | 2.4853E-4 | 1.4745749 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0020500869 | 0.0021898 | 1.0681498 | 1.4E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.021826955 | 0.022012807 | 1.0085149 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 2.9462803E-5 | 5.946192E-5 | 2.018203 | 3.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 1.2626305E-4 | 1.7625674E-4 | 1.3959486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0015361694 | 0.0016260311 | 1.0584973 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.01658849 | 0.016716333 | 1.0077068 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 1.5452273E-5 | 4.545181E-5 | 2.941432 | 3.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 6.622235E-5 | 1.062197E-4 | 1.6039857 | 4.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 8.059591E-4 | 8.659107E-4 | 1.0743855 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.008784413 | 0.008863711 | 1.009027 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 2.8263285E-6 | 1.28263E-5 | 4.538149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1084568E-5 | 1.21127805E-5 | 2.211266E-5 | 1.8255643 | 1.0E-5 | 2.566744E-4 | 1.4746314E-4 | 1.5746166E-4 | 1.0678035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0017392477 | 0.0017492303 | 1.0057396 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 7.7727907E-7 | 7.7727907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 3.3311917E-6 | 3.3311917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 4.0556508E-5 | 4.0556508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 5.180661E-4 | 5.180661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 6.623643E-8 | 6.623643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 2.8387038E-7 | 2.8387038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 3.4561172E-6 | 3.4561172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 4.6338424E-5 | 4.6338424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.516028E-6 | 7.750012E-6 | 9.774931E-5 | 12.612796 | 9.0E-5 | 3.221115E-5 | 3.3213917E-5 | 1.8320893E-4 | 5.5160294 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9210016E-4 | 4.04305E-4 | 6.741958E-4 | 1.6675427 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0039140903 | 0.004035763 | 0.004414229 | 1.0937781 | 3.8E-4 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.4256845E-6 | 7.742517E-5 | 10.42667 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.1823976E-5 | 1.6181984E-4 | 5.0848403 | 1.3E-4 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.8738863E-4 | 6.3729176E-4 | 1.6450968 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0038671975 | 0.0042258054 | 1.0927306 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.5730296E-6 | 7.657257E-5 | 11.649509 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8169825E-5 | 1.5816616E-4 | 5.614737 | 1.3E-4 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.42914E-4 | 5.728351E-4 | 1.6704922 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034238873 | 0.0037627232 | 1.0989623 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.2061035E-6 | 7.6205666E-5 | 12.279149 | 7.0E-5 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6597318E-5 | 1.5659386E-4 | 5.887581 | 1.3E-4 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2377453E-4 | 5.537001E-4 | 1.7101408 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00313433 | 0.0032330633 | 0.0035619964 | 1.1017404 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 5.993336E-6 | 7.599292E-5 | 12.679569 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.5685475E-5 | 1.5568214E-4 | 6.0610967 | 1.3E-4 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1267607E-4 | 5.426042E-4 | 1.7353555 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031223951 | 0.0034513646 | 1.1053581 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.6466583E-6 | 7.564626E-5 | 13.396643 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.4199742E-5 | 1.5419659E-4 | 6.371828 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.9459232E-4 | 5.2452454E-4 | 1.78051 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0028537093 | 0.002942049 | 0.003271078 | 1.1118367 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.3819804E-6 | 6.538166E-5 | 12.1482525 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3065428E-5 | 1.4306266E-4 | 6.2024717 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8078567E-4 | 5.007239E-4 | 1.7832958 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028043387 | 0.0031234415 | 1.1137888 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.185719E-6 | 6.5185406E-5 | 12.570177 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2224323E-5 | 1.4222166E-4 | 6.3993697 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.705478E-4 | 4.904883E-4 | 1.812945 | 2.2E-4 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027022136 | 0.0030213487 | 1.1181015 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.6930472E-6 | 6.4692766E-5 | 13.78481 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0112906E-5 | 1.301107E-4 | 6.469015 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.448473E-4 | 4.4479832E-4 | 1.8166356 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024457944 | 0.002735085 | 1.1182809 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.3912096E-6 | 6.4390944E-5 | 14.663601 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.8819335E-5 | 1.2881726E-4 | 6.844942 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.2910147E-4 | 4.2905565E-4 | 1.8727757 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0022308815 | 0.002288669 | 0.0025680282 | 1.1220618 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.0738128E-6 | 5.407361E-5 | 13.273464 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.7459082E-5 | 1.0745751E-4 | 6.1548204 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.1254372E-4 | 3.9250546E-4 | 1.8467046 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021234173 | 0.0023728865 | 1.1174847 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.857794E-6 | 5.3857602E-5 | 13.960725 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6533299E-5 | 1.06531814E-4 | 6.4434695 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0127444E-4 | 3.812382E-4 | 1.8941213 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020109338 | 0.0022604312 | 1.1240703 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.4931325E-6 | 5.3492957E-5 | 15.31375 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.4970482E-5 | 1.04969135E-4 | 7.0117407 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8225049E-4 | 3.622177E-4 | 1.9874717 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018210219 | 0.0020705666 | 1.1370356 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.7226845E-6 | 4.2722575E-5 | 15.691343 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1668595E-5 | 9.1667665E-5 | 7.8559294 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4205593E-4 | 3.020332E-4 | 2.126157 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014060794 | 0.0014196552 | 0.0016493287 | 1.1617812 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2195047E-6 | 1.2219482E-5 | 5.5054994 | 1.0E-5 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.512129E-6 | 5.9511654E-5 | 6.256397 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1580405E-4 | 2.3579015E-4 | 2.0361133 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011574407 | 0.0013172554 | 1.1380761 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2056777E-6 | 1.2056777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.16718E-6 | 3.5167024E-5 | 6.805845 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.290862E-5 | 1.2290485E-4 | 1.9537044 | 6.0E-5 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.289099E-4 | 6.988659E-4 | 1.1112337 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.591372E-7 | 6.591372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8248705E-6 | 3.2824784E-5 | 11.6199255 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4392273E-5 | 8.439055E-5 | 2.453765 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.4387098E-4 | 3.9385378E-4 | 1.1453533 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0313136E-6 | 1.1031303E-5 | 10.6963625 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.255618E-5 | 2.2556054E-5 | 1.7964106 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2555576E-4 | 1.355545E-4 | 1.0796359 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0014927E-8 | 2.0014927E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.577825E-8 | 8.577825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0443498E-6 | 1.0443498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 3.6211324E-5 | 5.8297133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.4661731E-4 | 5.5076823 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 5.6398317E-4 | 1.7403615 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.0035652528 | 1.1016376 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 3.5485617E-5 | 6.468653 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.4350748E-4 | 6.1040254 | 1.2E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 5.261357E-4 | 1.8383216 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.003187813 | 1.1151048 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 3.5485617E-5 | 6.468653 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.4350748E-4 | 6.1040254 | 1.2E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 5.261357E-4 | 1.8383216 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.003187813 | 1.1151048 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9030173E-6 | 2.490292E-5 | 5.0791006 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1012784E-5 | 1.21010686E-4 | 5.758908 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.558043E-4 | 4.6575058E-4 | 1.8207301 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025554618 | 0.0028147975 | 1.1014829 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.8802035E-6 | 2.4880106E-5 | 5.09817 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.091501E-5 | 1.2091292E-4 | 5.781155 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.546142E-4 | 4.6456073E-4 | 1.8245673 | 2.1E-4 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025435882 | 0.0028029268 | 1.1019578 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.7658714E-6 | 2.4765775E-5 | 5.1964846 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0425025E-5 | 1.20422985E-4 | 5.895855 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.4864997E-4 | 4.5859776E-4 | 1.8443507 | 2.1E-4 | 0.002403158 | 0.0024840806 | 0.0027434349 | 1.1044065 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.1805297E-6 | 2.4180446E-5 | 5.784063 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.7916453E-5 | 8.79152E-5 | 4.9069533 | 7.0E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1811451E-4 | 3.8807743E-4 | 1.7792372 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021793512 | 0.0023988718 | 1.1007274 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2094355E-6 | 2.2094355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.468975E-6 | 5.94685E-5 | 6.2803526 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1527872E-4 | 2.4526374E-4 | 2.1275716 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011521947 | 0.0013120103 | 1.1387054 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 1.9830234E-6 | 1.9830234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.498645E-6 | 4.8498303E-5 | 5.706593 | 4.0E-5 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0346613E-4 | 2.2345372E-4 | 2.1596797 | 1.2E-4 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010341848 | 0.0011640504 | 1.1255729 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.535903E-6 | 1.5535847E-5 | 2.80638 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.739755E-5 | 1.4739216E-4 | 2.1869068 | 8.0E-5 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.737733E-4 | 7.5371936E-4 | 1.1186543 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9228158E-6 | 1.29227865E-5 | 4.421348 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5584715E-5 | 9.558258E-5 | 2.686057 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5579156E-4 | 4.1577022E-4 | 1.168578 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.1779753E-5 | 6.6186934 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 3.166828E-5 | 1.4614894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1666498E-4 | 2.2666281E-4 | 1.0461442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 3.4056513E-5 | 8.395265 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 6.738459E-5 | 3.875916 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.3160198E-4 | 2.0392392 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0024738163 | 1.1698867 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.691342E-6 | 3.369123E-5 | 9.127095 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5819947E-5 | 5.5819313E-5 | 3.5284135 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9259176E-4 | 3.5256095E-4 | 1.8306129 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019243398 | 0.002203801 | 1.1452245 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.677134E-6 | 3.3677024E-5 | 9.158498 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5759055E-5 | 5.5758424E-5 | 3.5381832 | 4.0E-5 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9185053E-4 | 3.5181985E-4 | 1.8338226 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019169404 | 0.0021964037 | 1.145786 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6639788E-6 | 3.366387E-5 | 9.187791 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5702677E-5 | 5.5702047E-5 | 3.5472965 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9116423E-4 | 3.5113364E-4 | 1.8368167 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019100893 | 0.0021895545 | 1.14631 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.528818E-6 | 3.352871E-5 | 9.5014 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.51234235E-5 | 5.512282E-5 | 3.6448638 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8411303E-4 | 3.440836E-4 | 1.8688713 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018396946 | 0.002109198 | 1.1464934 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5229042E-6 | 3.252283E-5 | 12.891028 | 3.0E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0812401E-5 | 5.081197E-5 | 4.6994157 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3163309E-4 | 2.4161862E-4 | 1.8355461 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013155567 | 0.0015152936 | 1.1518269 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.131714E-6 | 3.213165E-5 | 15.073153 | 3.0E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.135885E-6 | 4.913552E-5 | 5.3782988 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1122376E-4 | 2.1121264E-4 | 1.8989885 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011116841 | 0.0012814952 | 1.1527511 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9529025E-6 | 3.1952844E-5 | 16.36172 | 3.0E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.369556E-6 | 4.836922E-5 | 5.7791862 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.01894606E-4 | 2.0188441E-4 | 1.9813062 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010184819 | 0.001178319 | 1.1569365 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.6995307E-6 | 3.169948E-5 | 18.651901 | 3.0E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.283683E-6 | 4.7283393E-5 | 6.4916873 | 4.0E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.867526E-5 | 1.7866728E-4 | 2.0148492 | 9.0E-5 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.864017E-4 | 0.0010162864 | 1.1465304 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3407383E-6 | 3.13407E-5 | 23.3757 | 3.0E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.746009E-6 | 4.574578E-5 | 7.9613137 | 4.0E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 6.995544E-5 | 1.5994914E-4 | 2.2864432 | 9.0E-5 | 7.1551115E-4 | 6.9933676E-4 | 8.2924584E-4 | 1.1857604 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.873448E-7 | 3.078732E-5 | 39.10272 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.3743306E-6 | 4.3374195E-5 | 12.854163 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.10817E-5 | 1.0107923E-4 | 2.4604442 | 6.0E-5 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.1074125E-4 | 4.907084E-4 | 1.1946899 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6255278E-7 | 2.0362546E-5 | 56.16436 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5537968E-6 | 3.155375E-5 | 20.307514 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.8917312E-5 | 4.8916743E-5 | 2.585819 | 3.0E-5 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.8915709E-4 | 2.2914952E-4 | 1.2114245 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.7697386E-8 | 2.0077696E-5 | 258.4089 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3298875E-7 | 2.0332982E-5 | 61.06207 | 2.0E-5 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.054131E-6 | 2.405405E-5 | 5.93322 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.0540577E-5 | 6.0539765E-5 | 1.4933128 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 1.1191603E-4 | 58.40385 | 1.1E-4 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 2.0821081E-4 | 25.35304 | 2.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 3.4995904E-4 | 3.500149 | 2.5E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0013292503 | 1.3298086 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 1.1191603E-4 | 58.40385 | 1.1E-4 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 2.0821081E-4 | 25.35304 | 2.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 3.4995904E-4 | 3.500149 | 2.5E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0013292503 | 1.3298086 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 1.1191603E-4 | 58.40385 | 1.1E-4 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 2.0821081E-4 | 25.35304 | 2.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 3.4995904E-4 | 3.500149 | 2.5E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0013292503 | 1.3298086 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 1.1191603E-4 | 58.40385 | 1.1E-4 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 2.0821081E-4 | 25.35304 | 2.0E-4 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 3.4995904E-4 | 3.500149 | 2.5E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0013292503 | 1.3298086 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.846804E-6 | 1.118466E-4 | 60.562244 | 1.1E-4 | 7.630225E-6 | 7.914861E-6 | 2.0791328E-4 | 26.26872 | 2.0E-4 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.63611E-5 | 3.3633798E-4 | 3.4903915 | 2.4E-4 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.6338213E-4 | 0.0012830738 | 1.3318431 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 5.2645984E-5 | 19.895569 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.9209478E-4 | 1.2172421 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 5.2645984E-5 | 19.895569 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.9209478E-4 | 1.2172421 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 2.0617415E-5 | 33.392437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 5.2645984E-5 | 19.895569 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 3.9209478E-4 | 1.2172421 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 4.964154E-7 | 1.049641E-5 | 21.144411 | 1.0E-5 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1274927E-6 | 4.212741E-5 | 19.801434 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.5901942E-5 | 6.59009E-5 | 2.5442457 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.5899155E-4 | 3.1897603E-4 | 1.2316078 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.797009E-7 | 1.0379697E-5 | 27.33651 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6272886E-6 | 2.1627257E-5 | 13.290362 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8964305E-5 | 1.9812076E-5 | 3.981168E-5 | 2.0094652 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8962687E-4 | 1.9810472E-4 | 2.2809877E-4 | 1.1514051 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.5184985E-7 | 1.0251847E-5 | 40.706184 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.0793561E-6 | 1.1079345E-5 | 10.264772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3141094E-5 | 2.3140963E-5 | 1.7609617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3140438E-4 | 1.4140307E-4 | 1.0760909 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.304427E-6 | 9.779861E-6 | 9.977898E-5 | 10.202495 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9875507E-5 | 4.1913136E-5 | 1.5190852E-4 | 3.6243656 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8537613E-4 | 5.101935E-4 | 6.6011696E-4 | 1.2938561 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0048431735 | 0.0050958227 | 0.0053445487 | 1.0488098 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 7.536929E-6 | 7.92771E-6 | 8.7927074E-5 | 11.091106 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2300723E-5 | 3.397556E-5 | 1.2397251E-4 | 3.6488729 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9319033E-4 | 4.1359235E-4 | 5.435386E-4 | 1.3141892 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0039249538 | 0.004133613 | 0.004332786 | 1.0481838 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.285375E-6 | 8.7284796E-5 | 11.9808235 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.1222764E-5 | 1.2121996E-4 | 3.8824222 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 3.800888E-4 | 5.100394E-4 | 1.3418953 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003606286 | 0.00379973 | 0.00399897 | 1.0524353 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 2.8925542E-6 | 2.2892496E-5 | 7.914284 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.23966065E-5 | 3.2396358E-5 | 2.6133246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.5091902E-4 | 1.8091449E-4 | 1.1987522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0015118287 | 0.0015617531 | 1.0330225 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 2.8770849E-6 | 2.2877028E-5 | 7.951461 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.233031E-5 | 3.2330063E-5 | 2.6219993 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.5011196E-4 | 1.8010745E-4 | 1.1998209 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0015037691 | 0.001543709 | 1.0265598 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 2.8597224E-6 | 2.2859665E-5 | 7.9936657 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.22559E-5 | 3.2255655E-5 | 2.6318471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.4920614E-4 | 1.7920167E-4 | 1.2010341 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0014947231 | 0.0015346634 | 1.0267208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 2.8302227E-6 | 2.2830165E-5 | 8.066562 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.2129473E-5 | 3.2129232E-5 | 2.6488562 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.476671E-4 | 1.7766267E-4 | 1.2031296 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0014793533 | 0.0015192941 | 1.0269989 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 2.8006289E-6 | 2.2800572E-5 | 8.141233 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.2002644E-5 | 3.2002405E-5 | 2.6662796 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.4612317E-4 | 1.7611879E-4 | 1.2052763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0014639343 | 0.0015038758 | 1.0272837 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.3268858E-6 | 2.232684E-5 | 9.59516 | 2.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 9.972333E-6 | 2.9972134E-5 | 3.0055287 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.2140703E-4 | 1.5140338E-4 | 1.2470727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0012170578 | 0.0012570091 | 1.0328262 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 1.5705531E-6 | 2.1570522E-5 | 13.734347 | 2.0E-5 | 6.1764263E-6 | 6.7309256E-6 | 2.6730791E-5 | 3.9713395 | 2.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 8.1946135E-5 | 1.0194449E-4 | 1.2440428 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 8.227676E-4 | 8.5274293E-4 | 1.0364323 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.127184E-6 | 1.1127173E-5 | 9.871656 | 1.0E-5 | 4.317169E-6 | 4.8307797E-6 | 1.4830732E-5 | 3.070049 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 5.8813268E-5 | 6.881268E-5 | 1.1700196 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 5.91578E-4 | 6.015721E-4 | 1.016894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.0104075E-6 | 1.1010397E-5 | 10.896988 | 1.0E-5 | 3.834468E-6 | 4.330311E-6 | 1.4330268E-5 | 3.309293 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 5.272037E-5 | 6.2719846E-5 | 1.18967 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 5.3067954E-4 | 5.4067426E-4 | 1.0188338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 6.2962255E-7 | 1.0629617E-5 | 16.882523 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350691E-6 | 2.6983796E-6 | 1.2698352E-5 | 4.705918 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7211627E-5 | 3.28523E-5 | 4.2851967E-5 | 1.3043827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 3.320674E-4 | 3.4206407E-4 | 1.0301044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 5.5298983E-7 | 5.5298983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 2.3699542E-6 | 2.3699542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 2.885383E-5 | 2.885383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 2.920938E-4 | 2.920938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 4.792966E-7 | 4.792966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 2.054127E-6 | 2.054127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 2.5008723E-5 | 2.5008723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 2.536456E-4 | 2.536456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 4.623057E-7 | 4.623057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 1.9813087E-6 | 1.9813087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 2.4122182E-5 | 2.4122182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 2.447614E-4 | 2.447614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 4.3743765E-7 | 4.3743765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 1.8747315E-6 | 1.8747315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 2.2824634E-5 | 2.2824634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 2.3173692E-4 | 2.3173692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 2.565511E-7 | 2.565511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 1.0995042E-6 | 1.0995042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 1.3386384E-5 | 1.3386384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 1.372268E-4 | 1.372268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 6.1936845E-8 | 6.1936845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 2.654436E-7 | 2.654436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 3.2317712E-6 | 3.2317712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 3.301746E-5 | 3.301746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 2.0245459E-9 | 2.0245459E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 8.676626E-9 | 8.676626E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 1.0563791E-7 | 1.0563791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 1.0908021E-6 | 1.0908021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 2.4721823E-5 | 5.2355466 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 4.0236242E-5 | 1.9882861 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 3.76323E-4 | 1.5275637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.002700401 | 1.0972817 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 2.4139941E-5 | 5.830869 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 3.7742495E-5 | 2.1271946 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.459712E-4 | 1.6017239 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0023975235 | 1.1109719 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 2.4139941E-5 | 5.830869 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 3.7742495E-5 | 2.1271946 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.459712E-4 | 1.6017239 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.0023975235 | 1.1109719 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.351097E-6 | 2.3351029E-5 | 6.968175 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.436177E-5 | 3.436148E-5 | 2.392566 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7484145E-4 | 2.9482046E-4 | 1.6862161 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017471304 | 0.0019767287 | 1.1314144 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2235532E-6 | 2.3223489E-5 | 7.2043138 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.381516E-5 | 3.3814882E-5 | 2.447665 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.681875E-4 | 2.8816733E-4 | 1.7133694 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016806928 | 0.0019103062 | 1.1366184 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 2.9872583E-6 | 2.2987198E-5 | 7.695082 | 2.0E-5 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2802478E-5 | 3.280222E-5 | 2.5621777 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5585992E-4 | 2.7584122E-4 | 1.7698022 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015575942 | 0.0017772515 | 1.1410235 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0269592E-6 | 2.202692E-5 | 10.866976 | 2.0E-5 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.6869395E-6 | 2.8686765E-5 | 3.3022866 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.057584E-4 | 1.8574994E-4 | 1.7563611 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010570851 | 0.001216916 | 1.1511996 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7546768E-6 | 2.1754642E-5 | 12.39809 | 2.0E-5 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.520022E-6 | 2.751987E-5 | 3.6595466 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.155245E-5 | 1.7154512E-4 | 1.873736 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.1515045E-4 | 0.0010650131 | 1.1637574 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5860172E-6 | 2.1585985E-5 | 13.610184 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.797199E-6 | 2.6797063E-5 | 3.9423683 | 2.0E-5 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.2752784E-5 | 1.52747E-4 | 1.8458229 | 7.0E-5 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.2722266E-4 | 9.5711515E-4 | 1.1570224 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.3931309E-6 | 2.1393103E-5 | 15.3561325 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9318945E-6 | 5.9705476E-6 | 2.5970428E-5 | 4.3497567 | 2.0E-5 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.268902E-5 | 1.3268465E-4 | 1.8253741 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.2665524E-4 | 8.265826E-4 | 1.1375169 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0843277E-6 | 2.1084306E-5 | 19.44459 | 2.0E-5 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6471105E-6 | 2.4647017E-5 | 5.3037295 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.6577126E-5 | 1.16573734E-4 | 2.0604393 | 6.0E-5 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.656298E-4 | 6.655732E-4 | 1.176694 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.4526447E-7 | 2.0545254E-5 | 37.67943 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3368457E-6 | 2.2336799E-5 | 9.558526 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8450726E-5 | 6.844959E-5 | 2.4058995 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.84471E-4 | 3.444539E-4 | 1.2108579 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9562776E-7 | 1.0195626E-5 | 52.117477 | 1.0E-5 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.384044E-7 | 1.0838396E-5 | 12.927408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0207526E-5 | 2.0207424E-5 | 1.9796593 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0207062E-4 | 1.2206858E-4 | 1.1959227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 1.0033861E-5 | 296.32074 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.014512E-5 | 69.908165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.1766825E-5 | 6.659804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 2.7668115E-5 | 1.5659757 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7059663E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1596483E-4 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.0193738E-4 | 1.9807963 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014109573 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.014020323 | 0.012353715 | 0.012580873 | 1.0183879 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.0193738E-4 | 1.9807963 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353715 | 0.012580873 | 1.0183879 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 2.0193738E-4 | 1.9807963 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353715 | 0.012580873 | 1.0183879 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 4.5904322E-5 | 2.886193 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816184E-5 | 1.0815911E-4 | 1.5867987 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295883E-4 | 8.795468E-4 | 1.0602208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276711 | 0.008365966 | 1.0107839 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 4.5904322E-5 | 2.886193 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816184E-5 | 1.0815911E-4 | 1.5867987 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295883E-4 | 8.795468E-4 | 1.0602208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276711 | 0.008365966 | 1.0107839 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.4507897E-5 | 3.4507608E-5 | 2.3785396 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 6.21754E-5 | 9.217353E-5 | 1.4824759 | 3.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 7.567552E-4 | 7.9672487E-4 | 1.0528172 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.0075534414 | 0.0076229125 | 1.0091974 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.0396434E-5 | 3.0396226E-5 | 2.9237165 | 2.0E-5 | 4.058515E-5 | 4.4555523E-5 | 7.455419E-5 | 1.6732872 | 3.0E-5 | 4.940122E-4 | 5.423532E-4 | 5.823315E-4 | 1.0737127 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.005419682 | 0.0054694107 | 1.0091757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 8.978999E-6 | 2.897882E-5 | 3.2273998 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5631605E-5 | 3.848099E-5 | 6.8479836E-5 | 1.7795757 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3372845E-4 | 4.6842877E-4 | 5.0841004E-4 | 1.0853518 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0046828403 | 0.0047326065 | 1.0106273 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.3664537E-6 | 1.336642E-5 | 3.970475 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.4427587E-5 | 3.44273E-5 | 2.386213 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.756432E-4 | 1.9563969E-4 | 1.1138473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001756178 | 0.0017761429 | 1.0113684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 1.9722363E-6 | 1.1972216E-5 | 6.0703764 | 1.0E-5 | 9.705372E-6 | 8.452415E-6 | 2.8452247E-5 | 3.3661675 | 2.0E-5 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.0290347E-4 | 1.2290142E-4 | 1.1943369 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0010291763 | 0.0010491557 | 1.019413 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.4110378E-6 | 1.14110235E-5 | 8.086972 | 1.0E-5 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.047291E-6 | 2.604717E-5 | 4.3072457 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3207556E-5 | 7.3623334E-5 | 9.362186E-5 | 1.271633 | 2.0E-5 | 9.316847E-4 | 7.363051E-4 | 7.562904E-4 | 1.0271426 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.3473393E-6 | 1.1347326E-5 | 8.422026 | 1.0E-5 | 7.420889E-6 | 5.7742986E-6 | 2.5774183E-5 | 4.463604 | 2.0E-5 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.0299866E-5 | 9.029846E-5 | 1.2844756 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.0308393E-4 | 7.230699E-4 | 1.028426 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.2406695E-6 | 1.1240657E-5 | 9.060154 | 1.0E-5 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.3171443E-6 | 1.5317091E-5 | 2.8806987 | 1.0E-5 | 8.352579E-5 | 6.4734355E-5 | 7.473371E-5 | 1.1544675 | 1.0E-5 | 8.34944E-4 | 6.474527E-4 | 6.574463E-4 | 1.0154351 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.0303663E-6 | 1.0303663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.4158483E-6 | 4.4158483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.3761665E-5 | 5.3761665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.375702E-4 | 5.375702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 8.511083E-7 | 8.511083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.6476024E-6 | 3.6476024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.4408684E-5 | 4.4408684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.440081E-4 | 4.440081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.046987E-7 | 7.046987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.020134E-6 | 3.020134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.676954E-5 | 3.676954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.6763746E-4 | 3.6763746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.357435E-7 | 6.357435E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.7246124E-6 | 2.7246124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.3171676E-5 | 3.3171676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.3166996E-4 | 3.3166996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 6.7107608E-6 | 6.7107608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 6.710637E-5 | 6.710637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 8.089996E-5 | 7.421523 | 7.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.4671199E-4 | 3.140464 | 1.0E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 7.285567E-4 | 1.2812092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.0059250956 | 1.0419655 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 8.089996E-5 | 7.421523 | 7.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.4671199E-4 | 3.140464 | 1.0E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 7.285567E-4 | 1.2812092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.0059250956 | 1.0419655 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 8.089996E-5 | 7.421523 | 7.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.4671199E-4 | 3.140464 | 1.0E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 7.285567E-4 | 1.2812092 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.0059250956 | 1.0419655 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 6.2460304E-6 | 3.624584E-5 | 5.803021 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 2.6768439E-5 | 5.6767636E-5 | 2.1206927 | 3.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 3.2585932E-4 | 3.8583975E-4 | 1.1840686 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.003266554 | 0.0033861622 | 1.036616 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 6.2305608E-6 | 3.6230373E-5 | 5.8149457 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 2.6702142E-5 | 5.670134E-5 | 2.1234753 | 3.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 3.250524E-4 | 3.850329E-4 | 1.1845256 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0032585086 | 0.0033681502 | 1.0336478 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 5.562466E-6 | 3.5562298E-5 | 6.3932614 | 3.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 2.3838933E-5 | 5.3838216E-5 | 2.2584157 | 3.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 2.9020224E-4 | 3.4018772E-4 | 1.1722436 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0029109353 | 0.0030006734 | 1.0308279 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 5.027682E-6 | 3.502753E-5 | 6.9669347 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.1547039E-5 | 5.1546394E-5 | 2.3922727 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 2.623052E-4 | 3.022947E-4 | 1.1524541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.00263263 | 0.0027124195 | 1.0303079 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 4.294086E-6 | 3.4293957E-5 | 7.986323 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 1.8403101E-5 | 4.8402548E-5 | 2.63013 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 2.2403568E-4 | 2.6402672E-4 | 1.178503 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0022507159 | 0.0023305358 | 1.0354643 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 4.057589E-6 | 3.4057466E-5 | 8.393522 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 1.7389557E-5 | 4.7389036E-5 | 2.7251432 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.116982E-4 | 2.5168972E-4 | 1.1889082 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002127579 | 0.0022074087 | 1.0375215 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 3.3425358E-6 | 3.3342436E-5 | 9.975192 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 1.4325077E-5 | 4.4324646E-5 | 3.0941994 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 1.743943E-4 | 2.1438733E-4 | 1.2293253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0017551474 | 0.001815042 | 1.0341252 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 2.6705757E-6 | 2.2670522E-5 | 8.489002 | 2.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.1445276E-5 | 3.1445048E-5 | 2.7474258 | 2.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 1.3933763E-4 | 1.6933345E-4 | 1.2152743 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0014050226 | 0.0014449663 | 1.0284293 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 2.1690294E-6 | 2.2168986E-5 | 10.220694 | 2.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 9.295809E-6 | 2.9295623E-5 | 3.1514874 | 2.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.1317079E-4 | 1.3316853E-4 | 1.176704 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0011436045 | 0.0011635816 | 1.0174686 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 1.699521E-6 | 2.1699487E-5 | 12.768002 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3829745E-6 | 7.283642E-6 | 2.7283497E-5 | 3.7458591 | 2.0E-5 | 6.553574E-5 | 8.867483E-5 | 1.08673055E-4 | 1.2255231 | 2.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 8.988302E-4 | 9.1881223E-4 | 1.0222311 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 1.5783628E-6 | 1.1578347E-5 | 7.335669 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7669787E-6 | 6.764395E-6 | 1.6764327E-5 | 2.478319 | 1.0E-5 | 5.803642E-5 | 8.2353494E-5 | 9.235267E-5 | 1.1214178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 8.3547813E-4 | 8.454698E-4 | 1.0119592 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 1.4966562E-6 | 1.14966415E-5 | 7.6815515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3444993E-6 | 6.4142255E-6 | 1.6414162E-5 | 2.5590248 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2892992E-5 | 7.809049E-5 | 8.8089706E-5 | 1.1280465 | 1.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 7.9259253E-4 | 8.025846E-4 | 1.0126069 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 1.449964E-6 | 1.144995E-5 | 7.8967133 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1136827E-6 | 6.214117E-6 | 1.6214055E-5 | 2.609229 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0082934E-5 | 7.5654345E-5 | 8.5653584E-5 | 1.1321701 | 1.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 7.679877E-4 | 7.7798E-4 | 1.0130111 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 1.207774E-6 | 1.1207762E-5 | 9.279685 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3983351E-6 | 5.1761644E-6 | 1.5176112E-5 | 2.9319224 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1373947E-5 | 6.301806E-5 | 7.301743E-5 | 1.1586747 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1366243E-4 | 6.405046E-4 | 6.504982E-4 | 1.0156027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 5.8883455E-7 | 5.8883455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 2.5235745E-6 | 2.5235745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 3.0724095E-5 | 3.0724095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 3.1580802E-4 | 3.1580802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 1.348476E-7 | 1.348476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 5.779182E-7 | 5.779182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 7.036132E-6 | 7.036132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 7.197374E-5 | 7.197374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 2.1939217E-8 | 2.1939217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 9.402521E-8 | 9.402521E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 1.1447563E-6 | 1.1447563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 1.1690929E-5 | 1.1690929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 6.5328975E-5 | 12.258461 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 1.12837595E-4 | 4.940426 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 4.3799359E-4 | 1.5753008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0030063477 | 1.0825936 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.9009222E-6 | 6.4900625E-5 | 13.242535 | 6.0E-5 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1003787E-5 | 1.1100189E-4 | 5.2848516 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5569185E-4 | 4.1565092E-4 | 1.6255932 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0024854892 | 0.0025540516 | 0.0027834643 | 1.089823 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.8845695E-6 | 6.4884276E-5 | 13.283521 | 6.0E-5 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.0933705E-5 | 1.1093182E-4 | 5.2991967 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.548388E-4 | 4.14798E-4 | 1.6276879 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002477193 | 0.0025455407 | 0.0027749552 | 1.0901241 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.906847E-6 | 5.390665E-5 | 13.797996 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.6743523E-5 | 9.674218E-5 | 5.7778873 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0383354E-4 | 3.5380296E-4 | 1.7357446 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001980861 | 0.0020364893 | 0.0022460616 | 1.1029086 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.770435E-6 | 5.3770247E-5 | 14.26102 | 5.0E-5 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6158909E-5 | 9.6157615E-5 | 5.9507494 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9671717E-4 | 3.3668964E-4 | 1.7115417 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0019116632 | 0.0019654534 | 0.0021650603 | 1.1015577 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.3317529E-6 | 4.333162E-5 | 13.005652 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.4278863E-5 | 8.427786E-5 | 5.9022813 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.7383139E-4 | 2.8381226E-4 | 1.6326871 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016888938 | 0.0017369651 | 0.0019066699 | 1.0977019 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.181827E-6 | 4.31817E-5 | 13.571354 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.363633E-5 | 8.363537E-5 | 6.133276 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6600978E-4 | 2.759915E-4 | 1.6625016 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001612894 | 0.0016588684 | 0.0018285864 | 1.1023095 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.626107E-6 | 4.2626E-5 | 16.231632 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.1254696E-5 | 8.125391E-5 | 7.2195563 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3701734E-4 | 2.470023E-4 | 1.802708 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013350984 | 0.0013693332 | 0.0015391004 | 1.123978 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.193178E-6 | 4.219309E-5 | 19.238333 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.3993E-6 | 7.939864E-5 | 8.447292 | 7.0E-5 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.144305E-4 | 2.1441907E-4 | 1.8737929 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011175112 | 0.0011437184 | 0.0012735698 | 1.1135343 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7622224E-6 | 4.1762152E-5 | 23.69857 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.55236E-6 | 6.7551904E-5 | 8.944476 | 6.0E-5 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.194612E-5 | 1.8193785E-4 | 1.978744 | 9.0E-5 | 8.990063E-4 | 9.1908313E-4 | 0.0010389729 | 1.1304449 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.746923E-7 | 3.0974665E-5 | 31.778915 | 3.0E-5 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.177246E-6 | 4.417708E-5 | 10.575647 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.0856794E-5 | 1.1085375E-4 | 2.1797233 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9774844E-4 | 5.084528E-4 | 5.8841216E-4 | 1.1572601 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 1.0270054E-5 | 38.029167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.1157376E-5 | 9.640136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4091108E-5 | 2.4090967E-5 | 1.7096574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4205484E-4 | 1.4090221E-4 | 1.509008E-4 | 1.0709612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348947E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 8.729548E-5 | 5.046948 | 7.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.7411953E-4 | 2.3489373 | 1.0E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010320736 | 1.1439637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009334982 | 1.0227989 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880262E-6 | 3.9879964E-5 | 4.036327 | 3.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234331E-5 | 8.234162E-5 | 1.9446193 | 4.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1541097E-4 | 5.553904E-4 | 1.0775679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052777943 | 0.005367319 | 1.0169625 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880262E-6 | 3.9879964E-5 | 4.036327 | 3.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234331E-5 | 8.234162E-5 | 1.9446193 | 4.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1541097E-4 | 5.553904E-4 | 1.0775679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052777943 | 0.005367319 | 1.0169625 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 8.164366E-6 | 2.8164202E-5 | 3.4496498 | 2.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 3.4989673E-5 | 6.498862E-5 | 1.8573658 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 4.2591692E-4 | 4.5590414E-4 | 1.0704063 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.0043865414 | 0.0044462783 | 1.0136182 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 8.040182E-6 | 2.8040022E-5 | 3.4874856 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 3.4457476E-5 | 6.445644E-5 | 1.8706083 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 4.194399E-4 | 4.4942732E-4 | 1.071494 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.0043220245 | 0.004381765 | 1.0138224 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 6.9778253E-6 | 1.6977756E-5 | 2.4331012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 2.9904624E-5 | 4.9904025E-5 | 1.6687729 | 2.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 3.6402815E-4 | 3.8402085E-4 | 1.0549208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.003769282 | 0.0038091312 | 1.0105721 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 6.9694956E-6 | 1.6969427E-5 | 2.434814 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 2.9868925E-5 | 4.986833E-5 | 1.6695722 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 3.6359366E-4 | 3.835864E-4 | 1.0549865 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.003764952 | 0.0038048013 | 1.0105844 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 6.8541017E-6 | 1.6854034E-5 | 2.4589705 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 2.937439E-5 | 4.9373804E-5 | 1.6808451 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 3.5757467E-4 | 3.7756754E-4 | 1.0559124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0037046324 | 0.0037444844 | 1.0107573 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 6.815918E-6 | 1.681585E-5 | 2.4671438 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 2.921075E-5 | 4.9210164E-5 | 1.6846595 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 3.55583E-4 | 3.7557588E-4 | 1.0562257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0036845407 | 0.0037243932 | 1.0108162 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 6.7854303E-6 | 1.6785363E-5 | 2.4737358 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 2.9080093E-5 | 4.907951E-5 | 1.6877357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 3.5399277E-4 | 3.7398568E-4 | 1.0564784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0036685565 | 0.0037084096 | 1.0108634 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 6.75003E-6 | 1.6749962E-5 | 2.4814649 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 2.8928382E-5 | 4.8927803E-5 | 1.6913426 | 2.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 3.5214628E-4 | 3.7213924E-4 | 1.0567746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0036500907 | 0.0036899447 | 1.0109186 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 6.7230276E-6 | 1.6722961E-5 | 2.487415 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 2.8812658E-5 | 4.8812082E-5 | 1.6941193 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 3.507378E-4 | 3.707308E-4 | 1.0570027 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.003635887 | 0.0036757416 | 1.0109614 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 5.9625067E-6 | 1.5962447E-5 | 2.677137 | 1.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 2.555335E-5 | 4.555284E-5 | 1.7826562 | 2.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 3.110677E-4 | 3.3106148E-4 | 1.0642747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0032353592 | 0.0032752298 | 1.0123234 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 5.435479E-6 | 5.435479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 2.3294702E-5 | 3.329447E-5 | 1.4292722 | 1.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 2.8357614E-4 | 2.935733E-4 | 1.0352539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0029506364 | 0.002980548 | 1.0101373 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 3.414632E-6 | 3.414632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 1.4634055E-5 | 2.463391E-5 | 1.6833276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 1.781551E-4 | 1.8815331E-4 | 1.0561209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.001855763 | 0.0018757259 | 1.0107572 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 5.717106E-7 | 5.717106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 2.4501858E-6 | 2.4501858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 2.9830608E-5 | 2.9830608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 3.1325794E-4 | 3.2325482E-4 | 1.0319126 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 2.1444642E-8 | 2.1444642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 9.1905605E-8 | 9.1905605E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 1.1189502E-6 | 1.1189502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 1.3199958E-5 | 1.3199958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 3.490771E-10 | 3.490771E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.4960444E-9 | 1.4960444E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.8214342E-8 | 1.8214342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 2.3035352E-7 | 2.3035352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.5736588E-4 | 2.033885 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.3152206E-4 | 1.3015089 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0041392613 | 1.0271872 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.039812498 | 1.0048479 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.5736588E-4 | 2.033885 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.3152206E-4 | 1.3015089 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0041392613 | 1.0271872 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.039812498 | 1.0048479 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.466584E-5 | 7.46645E-5 | 1.6716242 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.914113E-4 | 2.2140556E-4 | 1.1567006 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0023279984 | 0.0023778821 | 1.0214276 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023043046 | 0.023140742 | 1.0042397 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.6652036E-5 | 5.66513E-5 | 1.5456523 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.5707086E-4 | 1.7706772E-4 | 1.1273111 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019106906 | 0.0019506142 | 1.0208949 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.018946374 | 0.019005237 | 1.0031068 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.3012228E-5 | 5.3011565E-5 | 1.6058161 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4147344E-4 | 1.6147061E-4 | 1.1413493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017211036 | 0.0017610347 | 1.0232009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017080795 | 0.01713977 | 1.0034527 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.1240204E-5 | 5.1239578E-5 | 1.6401807 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3387986E-4 | 1.5387718E-4 | 1.1493677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.001628793 | 0.0016687278 | 1.024518 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.01617143 | 0.016230458 | 1.0036502 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5025554E-5 | 3.5025303E-5 | 1.3995816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.07248045E-4 | 1.1724697E-4 | 1.0932318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013049768 | 0.0013249507 | 1.015306 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.012974756 | 0.013004367 | 1.0022821 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.204229E-5 | 3.204207E-5 | 1.4536633 | 1.0E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.44636E-5 | 1.04462655E-4 | 1.1058509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011494982 | 0.0011694751 | 1.0173789 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011436739 | 0.011466396 | 1.0025932 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009595544 | 0.009605448 | 1.0010321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008739387 | 0.008749299 | 1.0011343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007111594 | 0.007111594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006274986 | 0.006274986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0055010393 | 0.0055010393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004608876 | 0.004608876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017071129 | 0.0017071129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 9.465636E-4 | 9.765352E-4 | 1.0316635 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002205774 | 0.004046806 | 0.004096604 | 1.0123054 | 5.0E-5 | 0.026526777 | 0.04755226 | 0.04765703 | 1.0022032 | 1.1E-4 | 0.23574181 | 0.35127935 | 0.3513961 | 1.0003324 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 8.6893234E-4 | 8.989063E-4 | 1.0344951 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002035871 | 0.00371549 | 0.0037653043 | 1.0134072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024506707 | 0.04375812 | 0.043863308 | 1.0024039 | 1.1E-4 | 0.21973366 | 0.3292847 | 0.32940543 | 1.0003667 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 6.911452E-4 | 7.2112447E-4 | 1.0433762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0029563028 | 0.003006155 | 1.016863 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020479038 | 0.03499219 | 0.035098337 | 1.0030335 | 1.1E-4 | 0.18691239 | 0.2747282 | 0.2748515 | 1.0004488 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 5.7969795E-4 | 6.0968054E-4 | 1.0517211 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001483754 | 0.0024802256 | 0.0025301017 | 1.0201094 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017915692 | 0.029463144 | 0.029569903 | 1.0036235 | 1.1E-4 | 0.16538206 | 0.23865753 | 0.23878697 | 1.0005423 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 4.5985822E-4 | 4.898444E-4 | 1.0652075 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0019680622 | 0.002017964 | 1.0253557 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.023479749 | 0.023587165 | 1.0045749 | 1.1E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.19767386 | 0.19781026 | 1.00069 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 3.268356E-4 | 3.5682583E-4 | 1.0917592 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0013992847 | 0.0014492148 | 1.0356826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.01678468 | 0.016892834 | 1.0064436 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.14886087 | 0.14900556 | 1.000972 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 1.5659041E-4 | 1.865857E-4 | 1.1915526 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 6.709225E-4 | 7.2088896E-4 | 1.0744742 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.008136914 | 0.008246019 | 1.0134087 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.081140116 | 0.08129632 | 1.0019251 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 1.5217482E-4 | 1.8217025E-4 | 1.1971117 | 3.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 6.520119E-4 | 7.0197927E-4 | 1.0766357 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.007908982 | 0.008018113 | 1.0137982 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.07914659 | 0.07930313 | 1.0019779 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 1.5064284E-4 | 1.8063832E-4 | 1.1991166 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 6.4544985E-4 | 6.954176E-4 | 1.0774153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.007829749 | 0.007938888 | 1.013939 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.0784349 | 0.07859156 | 1.0019974 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 1.4309157E-4 | 1.7308728E-4 | 1.209626 | 3.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 6.131065E-4 | 6.630758E-4 | 1.081502 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.0074392376 | 0.0075484193 | 1.0146765 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.07487328 | 0.07503056 | 1.0021005 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 1.3361376E-4 | 1.6360976E-4 | 1.2244978 | 3.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 5.725058E-4 | 6.224772E-4 | 1.0872854 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.006948196 | 0.007057431 | 1.0157214 | 1.1E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.07031969 | 0.07047773 | 1.0022476 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 9.123924E-5 | 1.212365E-4 | 1.3287759 | 3.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 3.9096724E-4 | 4.4094768E-4 | 1.127838 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.004749733 | 0.0048592105 | 1.0230492 | 1.1E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.049437184 | 0.04959878 | 1.0032687 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 8.09424E-5 | 1.10939975E-4 | 1.3706039 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 3.4685037E-4 | 3.9683303E-4 | 1.1441044 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.004214814 | 0.0043243505 | 1.0259885 | 1.1E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.0441248 | 0.044287298 | 1.0036827 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 7.390285E-5 | 1.03900624E-4 | 1.4059083 | 3.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 3.166885E-4 | 3.6667267E-4 | 1.1578338 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0038489504 | 0.003958527 | 1.0284692 | 1.1E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.040139243 | 0.040302422 | 1.0040653 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 6.618938E-5 | 9.618739E-5 | 1.4532149 | 3.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 2.8363836E-4 | 3.3362416E-4 | 1.1762308 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0034479073 | 0.003557528 | 1.0317934 | 1.1E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.036177754 | 0.036341604 | 1.004529 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 4.419572E-5 | 7.4194395E-5 | 1.6787688 | 3.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 1.8939652E-4 | 2.3938705E-4 | 1.2639464 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0023034723 | 0.002413219 | 1.047644 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03739367 | 0.024914986 | 0.025070999 | 1.0062618 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 4.128937E-5 | 7.128813E-5 | 1.7265493 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 1.7694249E-4 | 2.2693364E-4 | 1.2825277 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0021521545 | 0.0022619176 | 1.0510015 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.023315867 | 0.02346237 | 1.0062834 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 2.9394176E-5 | 5.9393293E-5 | 2.0205803 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 1.2596896E-4 | 1.7596266E-4 | 1.3968731 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.001532594 | 0.0016424254 | 1.0716637 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0283165 | 0.01700776 | 0.01715521 | 1.0086695 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 2.6958587E-5 | 5.695778E-5 | 2.112788 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 1.15531686E-4 | 1.6552591E-4 | 1.4327317 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0014056914 | 0.0015155368 | 1.0781434 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.015592271 | 0.015730089 | 1.0088388 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 2.1734368E-5 | 4.1733932E-5 | 1.9201816 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 9.3143964E-5 | 1.3314025E-4 | 1.4294027 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0011334383 | 0.0012233362 | 1.0793145 | 9.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.01253672 | 0.012635467 | 1.0078765 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 1.289068E-5 | 3.2890424E-5 | 2.5514884 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 5.5244604E-5 | 9.5242394E-5 | 1.7240126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 6.723957E-4 | 7.3235534E-4 | 1.0891732 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.0074766334 | 0.00754611 | 1.0092925 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 6.1876794E-6 | 2.6187556E-5 | 4.232209 | 2.0E-5 | 7.688579E-5 | 2.6518357E-5 | 5.651756E-5 | 2.1312618 | 3.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 3.2281326E-4 | 3.528036E-4 | 1.092903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.003686113 | 0.0037160025 | 1.0081086 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 6.7415516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.505801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 8.5732936E-5 | 2.3991494 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 2.1313106E-4 | 1.3917377 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.001962778 | 1.0535779 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018665325 | 1.010092 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 8.5732936E-5 | 2.3991494 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 2.1313106E-4 | 1.3917377 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.001962778 | 1.0535779 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018665325 | 1.010092 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.582607E-5 | 6.5825036E-5 | 2.5487826 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.1067861E-4 | 1.6067308E-4 | 1.4517084 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0013467056 | 0.0014265978 | 1.0593243 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.013386733 | 0.013534726 | 1.0110551 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.023381E-5 | 6.0233E-5 | 2.976849 | 4.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 8.67135E-5 | 1.3670916E-4 | 1.5765615 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001055235 | 0.0011251612 | 1.066266 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.010503797 | 0.010632431 | 1.0122465 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.7274737E-5 | 5.7274046E-5 | 3.31548 | 4.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 7.403253E-5 | 1.2402883E-4 | 1.6753289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 9.009803E-4 | 9.709173E-4 | 1.0776231 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.008969254 | 0.009088177 | 1.013259 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.5125665E-5 | 5.512506E-5 | 3.644472 | 4.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 6.48227E-5 | 1.1481946E-4 | 1.7712848 | 5.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 7.889355E-4 | 8.588803E-4 | 1.0886571 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.007869931 | 0.007979065 | 1.0138673 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.2808197E-5 | 5.2807685E-5 | 4.12296 | 4.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 5.489114E-5 | 1.048884E-4 | 1.9108438 | 5.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 6.680985E-4 | 7.380517E-4 | 1.104705 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0066613033 | 0.0067606373 | 1.0149121 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.0593359E-5 | 4.059304E-5 | 3.831933 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.5399338E-5 | 8.539752E-5 | 1.8810301 | 4.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 5.525999E-4 | 6.125668E-4 | 1.1085176 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.005512587 | 0.0055921455 | 1.0144322 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 9.6989E-6 | 3.9698607E-5 | 4.0931044 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.156607E-5 | 8.156441E-5 | 1.9622834 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.059524E-4 | 5.6592206E-4 | 1.1185282 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0050483164 | 0.0051279124 | 1.0157669 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.3492033E-6 | 3.7348982E-5 | 5.082045 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.1496216E-5 | 7.149496E-5 | 2.2699537 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 3.834012E-4 | 4.433782E-4 | 1.156434 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0038276217 | 0.0039073154 | 1.0208207 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 4.885518E-6 | 3.4885372E-5 | 7.1405673 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.0937769E-5 | 6.093693E-5 | 2.9103832 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.5488762E-4 | 3.1487233E-4 | 1.2353379 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0025459668 | 0.0026257632 | 1.0313423 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.004297E-6 | 3.4004177E-5 | 8.491921 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7161161E-5 | 5.7160472E-5 | 3.3308048 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.0891719E-4 | 2.6890467E-4 | 1.2871351 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0020872185 | 0.0021670514 | 1.0382485 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.1486293E-6 | 2.3148566E-5 | 7.3519506 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.3494056E-5 | 4.3493652E-5 | 3.2231712 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.6427782E-4 | 2.1426962E-4 | 1.3043125 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0016415725 | 0.0017114575 | 1.042572 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.3441114E-6 | 2.2344064E-5 | 9.531998 | 2.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0046154E-5 | 4.0045852E-5 | 3.9861875 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2230512E-4 | 1.72299E-4 | 1.4087636 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012223844 | 0.001282311 | 1.0490243 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.696546E-6 | 2.1696513E-5 | 12.788638 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.270891E-6 | 3.7270675E-5 | 5.126012 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 8.851955E-5 | 1.3851513E-4 | 1.5647969 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 8.848478E-4 | 9.447947E-4 | 1.0677483 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 8.986295E-7 | 1.08986205E-5 | 12.128047 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9326535E-6 | 3.8512635E-6 | 2.3851186E-5 | 6.193081 | 2.0E-5 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.688816E-5 | 7.6886754E-5 | 1.6397904 | 3.0E-5 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.6878585E-4 | 5.087671E-4 | 1.0852869 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.13585E-7 | 1.06135785E-5 | 17.297651 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.6296473E-6 | 2.2629594E-5 | 8.605563 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.2015505E-5 | 6.2014544E-5 | 1.937016 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.2011085E-4 | 3.5010127E-4 | 1.0936875 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.8510767E-4 | 1.5400721 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024213633 | 1.0753269 | 1.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022492308 | 1.0083277 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.8510767E-4 | 1.5400721 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024213633 | 1.0753269 | 1.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022492308 | 1.0083277 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 2.8510767E-4 | 1.5400721 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024213633 | 1.0753269 | 1.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.022492308 | 1.0083277 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 6.4959495E-5 | 2.6024926 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.5696391E-4 | 1.467374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013020781 | 1.0061015 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 6.4959495E-5 | 2.6024926 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.5696391E-4 | 1.467374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013814878 | 1.0613832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013020781 | 1.0061015 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0348958E-5 | 6.0348142E-5 | 2.9656627 | 4.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.7206965E-5 | 1.372026E-4 | 1.5732987 | 5.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010612389 | 0.0011311647 | 1.0658907 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010562957 | 0.010632218 | 1.006557 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7407536E-5 | 5.740684E-5 | 3.2978153 | 4.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.460163E-5 | 1.2459791E-4 | 1.6701766 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.07904E-4 | 9.678495E-4 | 1.0660263 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009042776 | 0.009102234 | 1.0065751 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5029493E-5 | 4.5029043E-5 | 2.9960454 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.441055E-5 | 1.04407976E-4 | 1.6209762 | 4.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.83922E-4 | 8.338828E-4 | 1.0637319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.0078121712 | 0.007861781 | 1.0063503 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.2841201E-5 | 3.2840944E-5 | 2.5574667 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5032582E-5 | 8.503093E-5 | 1.5451016 | 3.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.698198E-4 | 7.09793E-4 | 1.0596776 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0066784443 | 0.0067181773 | 1.0059494 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1347151E-5 | 3.1346925E-5 | 2.762537 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.8629758E-5 | 7.86283E-5 | 1.6168762 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 5.9191E-4 | 6.318863E-4 | 1.0675379 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059036994 | 0.0059434636 | 1.0067354 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.86875E-6 | 2.8868573E-5 | 3.255089 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.800839E-5 | 6.800725E-5 | 1.7892694 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6265623E-4 | 5.026377E-4 | 1.0864173 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004617171 | 0.004656986 | 1.0086234 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.412032E-6 | 2.7411885E-5 | 3.6982954 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.1765478E-5 | 6.176453E-5 | 1.9443915 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.8667812E-4 | 4.2666265E-4 | 1.1034052 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0038602627 | 0.0039001084 | 1.010322 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.1932055E-6 | 2.6193082E-5 | 4.2293253 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.654205E-5 | 5.6541252E-5 | 2.130252 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2310348E-4 | 3.6309054E-4 | 1.1237594 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032265296 | 0.0032664004 | 1.0123572 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 1.98822E-5 | 2.9882001E-5 | 1.5029525 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4204068E-4 | 2.5203827E-4 | 1.0413054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.002417946 | 0.0024279219 | 1.0041257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 2.2024715E-5 | 1.8316022 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.5639266E-4 | 1.0682987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014631341 | 0.0014731195 | 1.0068246 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 1.1074396E-4 | 3.6018488 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 2.2175301E-4 | 1.6829449 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.001763005 | 1.0996366 | 1.6E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 1.1074396E-4 | 3.6018488 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 2.2175301E-4 | 1.6829449 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.001763005 | 1.0996366 | 1.6E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373084E-5 | 4.3372682E-5 | 3.243282 | 3.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 8.73103E-5 | 1.5234205 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.9756183E-4 | 7.67513E-4 | 1.1002796 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0070343153 | 1.0114228 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373084E-5 | 4.3372682E-5 | 3.243282 | 3.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 8.73103E-5 | 1.5234205 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.9756183E-4 | 7.67513E-4 | 1.1002796 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.0070343153 | 1.0114228 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0492516E-5 | 3.0492307E-5 | 2.9061005 | 2.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.4967182E-5 | 6.496628E-5 | 1.4447488 | 2.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.473435E-4 | 5.973162E-4 | 1.0913002 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005460522 | 0.0055201943 | 1.0109279 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 8.918899E-6 | 2.8918721E-5 | 3.2424092 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8223316E-5 | 5.822255E-5 | 1.5232209 | 2.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.6527336E-4 | 5.1525014E-4 | 1.1074136 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0046433853 | 0.004703107 | 1.0128616 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.3949536E-6 | 2.7394806E-5 | 3.7045271 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.169229E-5 | 5.169165E-5 | 1.6310483 | 2.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.8578775E-4 | 4.0578004E-4 | 1.051822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0038514286 | 0.003881313 | 1.0077593 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.625768E-6 | 1.6625701E-5 | 2.509249 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8395852E-5 | 3.8395567E-5 | 1.3521541 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.4566678E-4 | 3.5566333E-4 | 1.0289196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.003451505 | 0.003471436 | 1.0057746 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.018396E-6 | 5.018396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1507241E-5 | 2.1507241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6182056E-4 | 2.6182056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026152548 | 0.0026152548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.827454E-6 | 3.827454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6403275E-5 | 1.6403275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 1.9969254E-4 | 1.9969254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0019952261 | 0.0019952261 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.5444278E-6 | 2.5444278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.0904647E-5 | 1.0904647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3275623E-4 | 1.3275623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013267937 | 0.0013267937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0462894E-6 | 2.0462894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.769784E-6 | 8.769784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.067671E-4 | 1.067671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010671793 | 0.0010671793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2220281E-6 | 1.2220281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.2372534E-6 | 5.2372534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.376177E-5 | 6.376177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.374427E-4 | 6.374427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 6.842619E-7 | 6.842619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 2.9325479E-6 | 2.9325479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.5703204E-5 | 3.5703204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.5697655E-4 | 3.5697655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.087159E-7 | 5.087159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.654373E-5 | 2.654373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.654061E-4 | 2.654061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6490888E-5 | 5.196961E-5 | 8.196806E-5 | 1.5772305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9923145E-4 | 2.2270852E-4 | 2.5270184E-4 | 1.1346753 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024229444 | 0.0027082148 | 0.0028079438 | 1.0368247 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023966964 | 0.026765015 | 0.026940197 | 1.0065452 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.2355172E-5 | 6.2354324E-5 | 1.4721774 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.8151E-4 | 2.0150637E-4 | 1.1101668 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002207725 | 0.0022875485 | 1.0361564 | 8.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.021866985 | 0.021994142 | 1.005815 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 5.1746687E-5 | 1.6299545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.5605027E-4 | 1.1469816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0017051273 | 1.0301577 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.016500488 | 1.0041901 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 5.1746687E-5 | 1.6299545 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.5605027E-4 | 1.1469816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0017051273 | 1.0301577 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.016500488 | 1.0041901 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 4.4447304E-5 | 1.8180497 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.047721E-4 | 1.2477001E-4 | 1.1908705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.001274863 | 0.0013247993 | 1.0391699 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.0126766255 | 0.012745738 | 1.0054519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 3.3103264E-5 | 1.432825 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 9.901127E-5 | 1.0901028E-4 | 1.1009886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001204804 | 0.0012447558 | 1.0331604 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.011983749 | 0.012043031 | 1.0049468 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010411361 | 0.0010711049 | 1.0287846 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010363205 | 0.010412687 | 1.0047748 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.060473E-4 | 9.360201E-4 | 1.0330808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.0090238685 | 0.009063507 | 1.0043927 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.1682095E-4 | 8.368046E-4 | 1.0244652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008138432 | 0.008158269 | 1.0024375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.165095E-4 | 7.3649513E-4 | 1.0278931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007142165 | 0.007162022 | 1.0027803 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.2000746E-4 | 6.3999504E-4 | 1.0322376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006182895 | 0.0062027713 | 1.0032147 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.3513015E-4 | 5.551194E-4 | 1.0373541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0053385044 | 0.0053583975 | 1.0037264 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.670105E-4 | 4.8700118E-4 | 1.0428056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004660365 | 0.004680272 | 1.0042715 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.00357123 | 0.00357123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0028430065 | 0.0028430065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 3.078878E-5 | 2.8537211 | 2.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 7.623676E-5 | 1.6487849 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 6.428356E-4 | 1.1420461 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058109886 | 1.0336055 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 3.078878E-5 | 2.8537211 | 2.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 7.623676E-5 | 1.6487849 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 6.428356E-4 | 1.1420461 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058109886 | 1.0336055 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 3.078878E-5 | 2.8537211 | 2.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 7.623676E-5 | 1.6487849 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 6.428356E-4 | 1.1420461 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0058109886 | 1.0336055 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.8474384E-4 | 1.1213782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.8474384E-4 | 1.1213782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.8474384E-4 | 1.1213782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.0017165076 | 1.0424412 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.0283968E-4 | 1.1077015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.781119E-4 | 1.0538201 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.0283968E-4 | 1.1077015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.781119E-4 | 1.0538201 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.8607055E-4 | 1.0657474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.6320446E-4 | 1.0692192 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.6320446E-4 | 1.0692192 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.6389794E-8 | 5.6389794E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.4167053E-7 | 2.4167053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 2.9423359E-6 | 2.9423359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 2.942308E-5 | 2.942308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.2173722E-4 | 1.9717427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.4456153E-4 | 1.3022829 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174478 | 0.003366965 | 1.0464708 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.031816635 | 0.03198123 | 1.0051731 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.2173722E-4 | 1.9717427 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.4456153E-4 | 1.3022829 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174478 | 0.003366965 | 1.0464708 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.031816635 | 0.03198123 | 1.0051731 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 2.8347282E-5 | 6.834615E-5 | 2.41103 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.2148374E-4 | 1.8147645E-4 | 1.4938333 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0014782413 | 0.0015880787 | 1.0743028 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012509781 | 0.014719119 | 0.0148275 | 1.0073633 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134921E-5 | 5.0134317E-5 | 2.4899187 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629046E-5 | 1.2628702E-4 | 1.4635106 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502195 | 0.0011301355 | 1.0760945 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.010483651 | 0.010562813 | 1.007551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134921E-5 | 5.0134317E-5 | 2.4899187 | 3.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629046E-5 | 1.2628702E-4 | 1.4635106 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502195 | 0.0011301355 | 1.0760945 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.010483651 | 0.010562813 | 1.007551 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.735154E-5 | 4.735102E-5 | 2.7289233 | 3.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 7.436239E-5 | 1.1435941E-4 | 1.5378664 | 4.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 9.0512005E-4 | 9.850477E-4 | 1.0883061 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.0090449285 | 0.009124205 | 1.0087647 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 6.9856874E-6 | 3.698548E-5 | 5.294465 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 2.993834E-5 | 5.993744E-5 | 2.0020297 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 3.6444233E-4 | 4.0442776E-4 | 1.1097168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0036564944 | 0.0036963483 | 1.0108994 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 6.9216057E-6 | 3.69214E-5 | 5.334224 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 2.966371E-5 | 5.966282E-5 | 2.0113068 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 3.610998E-4 | 4.0108536E-4 | 1.1107327 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003480947 | 0.003623184 | 0.003663039 | 1.011 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 6.779477E-6 | 3.6779275E-5 | 5.42509 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 2.9054601E-5 | 5.905373E-5 | 2.0325086 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 3.5368634E-4 | 3.936722E-4 | 1.1130545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0035491572 | 0.0035890152 | 1.0112302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 6.4797905E-6 | 3.6479596E-5 | 5.6297493 | 3.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 2.7770257E-5 | 5.7769423E-5 | 2.0802624 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 3.3805438E-4 | 3.7804086E-4 | 1.1182841 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0033930016 | 0.003432866 | 1.011749 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 6.1463397E-6 | 3.6146157E-5 | 5.8809237 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 2.6341211E-5 | 5.634042E-5 | 2.1388698 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.2066094E-4 | 3.6064812E-4 | 1.1247023 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0032192294 | 0.0032591005 | 1.0123854 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 5.7081957E-6 | 3.5708024E-5 | 6.255571 | 3.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 2.4463488E-5 | 5.4462755E-5 | 2.2262874 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 2.9780608E-4 | 3.3779416E-4 | 1.1342756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0029909078 | 0.0030307882 | 1.0133339 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 4.120947E-6 | 2.4120864E-5 | 5.8532333 | 2.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 1.7661097E-5 | 3.7660742E-5 | 2.1324124 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.1500536E-4 | 2.3500106E-4 | 1.0930009 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002162798 | 0.002182755 | 1.0092273 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 1.9511133E-6 | 2.1951075E-5 | 11.250538 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 8.361888E-6 | 2.8361721E-5 | 3.3917844 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.0180132E-4 | 1.2179929E-4 | 1.196441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0010253051 | 0.0010452847 | 1.0194864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 1.6323621E-6 | 1.1632345E-5 | 7.1260815 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 6.995819E-6 | 1.699575E-5 | 2.4294152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 8.517083E-5 | 9.516998E-5 | 1.1174011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014215811 | 8.581843E-4 | 8.681757E-4 | 1.0116425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 1.517269E-6 | 1.1517253E-5 | 7.5907793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 6.502565E-6 | 1.65025E-5 | 2.5378447 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 7.916591E-5 | 8.916512E-5 | 1.126307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001360437 | 7.980046E-4 | 8.0799666E-4 | 1.0125213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.268422E-6 | 1.1268409E-5 | 8.883801 | 1.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 5.436083E-6 | 1.543603E-5 | 2.8395498 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 6.618235E-5 | 7.6181685E-5 | 1.1510876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001199845 | 6.680103E-4 | 6.7800365E-4 | 1.0149598 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 8.0926236E-7 | 1.08092545E-5 | 13.356922 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 3.4682625E-6 | 1.3468228E-5 | 3.883278 | 1.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 4.2225296E-5 | 5.2224874E-5 | 1.2368149 | 1.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 4.2828268E-4 | 4.382784E-4 | 1.023339 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 4.7735136E-7 | 4.7735136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 2.04579E-6 | 2.04579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 2.4907216E-5 | 2.4907216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 2.533619E-4 | 2.533619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 2.1815576E-7 | 2.1815576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 9.3495294E-7 | 9.3495294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.13829965E-5 | 1.13829965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.15388546E-4 | 1.15388546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.559251E-4 | 1.4546226 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009287508 | 1.0162634 | 1.5E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.0881039 | 1.0018668 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.559251E-4 | 1.4546226 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009287508 | 1.0162634 | 1.5E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.0881039 | 1.0018668 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.559251E-4 | 1.4546226 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009287508 | 1.0162634 | 1.5E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.0881039 | 1.0018668 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.559251E-4 | 1.4546226 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009287508 | 1.0162634 | 1.5E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.0881039 | 1.0018668 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184863E-4 | 2.518349E-4 | 1.465446 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.3628454E-4 | 8.262183E-4 | 1.1221453 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927555 | 0.009066305 | 1.0155418 | 1.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.08601122 | 0.086166605 | 1.0018065 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184863E-4 | 2.518349E-4 | 1.465446 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.3628454E-4 | 8.262183E-4 | 1.1221453 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927555 | 0.009066305 | 1.0155418 | 1.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.08601122 | 0.086166605 | 1.0018065 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 1.6481194E-4 | 2.4479875E-4 | 1.4853218 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 7.061471E-4 | 7.960836E-4 | 1.1273621 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.008563763 | 0.008702565 | 1.0162079 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.08268275 | 0.08283869 | 1.001886 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 1.617716E-4 | 2.4175865E-4 | 1.4944444 | 8.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 6.931241E-4 | 7.8306167E-4 | 1.1297569 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.008406438 | 0.008545261 | 1.016514 | 1.4E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.081241146 | 0.08139733 | 1.0019225 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 1.603579E-4 | 2.4034506E-4 | 1.4988041 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 6.8706856E-4 | 7.7700673E-4 | 1.1309013 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.008333279 | 0.008472112 | 1.0166601 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.08057477 | 0.08073108 | 1.0019399 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 1.5818591E-4 | 2.3817326E-4 | 1.5056541 | 8.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 6.7776494E-4 | 7.677039E-4 | 1.1326994 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.008220866 | 0.008359715 | 1.0168898 | 1.4E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.0795556 | 0.07971208 | 1.0019668 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 1.5433833E-4 | 2.3432597E-4 | 1.5182618 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 6.612837E-4 | 7.512242E-4 | 1.136009 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.0080217 | 0.008160577 | 1.0173126 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.07774361 | 0.077900395 | 1.0020167 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 1.5284073E-4 | 2.328285E-4 | 1.5233407 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 6.5486867E-4 | 7.4480975E-4 | 1.1373421 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.007944169 | 0.008083058 | 1.017483 | 1.4E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.077031694 | 0.077188596 | 1.0020369 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 1.4929497E-4 | 2.2928303E-4 | 1.535772 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 6.396801E-4 | 7.2962255E-4 | 1.1406053 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.0077605783 | 0.007899492 | 1.0178999 | 1.4E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.07534284 | 0.07550003 | 1.0020864 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.4248997E-4 | 2.2247857E-4 | 1.5613631 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 6.1052974E-4 | 7.004748E-4 | 1.147323 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.007408139 | 0.0075471015 | 1.0187582 | 1.4E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.07214033 | 0.072298065 | 1.0021865 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.0130585E-4 | 1.7129876E-4 | 1.6909069 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 4.3409623E-4 | 5.140615E-4 | 1.1842109 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.005272418 | 0.0053917854 | 1.02264 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.052424293 | 0.052566428 | 1.0027113 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 7.312748E-5 | 1.4312236E-4 | 1.9571625 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 3.1336604E-4 | 3.9334095E-4 | 1.2552125 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.003808593 | 0.003928136 | 1.0313877 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.038490962 | 0.038635187 | 1.003747 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 5.211376E-5 | 1.2211011E-4 | 2.3431454 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 2.2332564E-4 | 3.0330778E-4 | 1.3581413 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0027156118 | 0.0028253132 | 1.0403966 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.027904706 | 0.028040798 | 1.0048771 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 3.5213878E-5 | 9.521176E-5 | 2.7038136 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 1.509079E-4 | 2.2089733E-4 | 1.4637891 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0018357572 | 0.0019355735 | 1.0543734 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.019283293 | 0.019410785 | 1.0066116 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 3.0014178E-5 | 8.001268E-5 | 2.6658294 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 1.2862586E-4 | 1.7861942E-4 | 1.3886744 | 5.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0015648959 | 0.0016447706 | 1.0510416 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.016585648 | 0.016693823 | 1.0065223 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 2.1294647E-5 | 6.1293795E-5 | 2.8783665 | 4.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 9.125958E-5 | 1.3125593E-4 | 1.4382701 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0011105194 | 0.0011704528 | 1.0539688 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.011980588 | 0.012059629 | 1.0065975 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 1.50391725E-5 | 5.503857E-5 | 3.6596808 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 6.4452004E-5 | 1.0444943E-4 | 1.6205769 | 4.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 7.8442093E-4 | 8.4437383E-4 | 1.0764296 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.00852499 | 0.008604308 | 1.0093042 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 2.735352E-6 | 1.2735324E-5 | 4.6558266 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8647626E-5 | 1.1722884E-5 | 2.1722766E-5 | 1.8530225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2701119E-4 | 1.4271679E-4 | 1.5271535E-4 | 1.0700588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0016786614 | 0.0016886446 | 1.0059471 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 7.493689E-7 | 7.493689E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 3.2115768E-6 | 3.2115768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 3.910025E-5 | 3.910025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 4.9772713E-4 | 4.9772713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 6.5347606E-8 | 6.5347606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 2.8006116E-7 | 2.8006116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 3.4097397E-6 | 3.4097397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 4.5695506E-5 | 4.5695506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.7435307E-5 | 1.2743128E-4 | 2.2186925 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613042E-4 | 3.361083E-4 | 1.3655698 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929334 | 0.0031325144 | 1.0466368 | 1.4E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.02959054 | 0.029736102 | 1.0049192 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.7435307E-5 | 1.2743128E-4 | 2.2186925 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613042E-4 | 3.361083E-4 | 1.3655698 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929334 | 0.0031325144 | 1.0466368 | 1.4E-4 | 0.023254504 | 0.02959054 | 0.029736102 | 1.0049192 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093197E-5 | 6.0092294E-5 | 1.996873 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896463E-4 | 1.7895817E-4 | 1.3876532 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690417 | 0.0016389319 | 1.0445433 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625317 | 0.015704066 | 1.0050399 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093197E-5 | 6.0092294E-5 | 1.996873 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896463E-4 | 1.7895817E-4 | 1.3876532 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690417 | 0.0016389319 | 1.0445433 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625317 | 0.015704066 | 1.0050399 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801064E-5 | 4.801008E-5 | 1.7139944 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004022E-4 | 1.6003542E-4 | 1.3331816 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605348 | 0.0015204471 | 1.0410209 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570129 | 0.014639109 | 1.0047344 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801064E-5 | 4.801008E-5 | 1.7139944 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004022E-4 | 1.6003542E-4 | 1.3331816 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605348 | 0.0015204471 | 1.0410209 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570129 | 0.014639109 | 1.0047344 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.3987925E-5 | 4.3987446E-5 | 1.8337328 | 2.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.02801445E-4 | 1.4279733E-4 | 1.3890595 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0012509085 | 0.0013108335 | 1.0479051 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.012486035 | 0.0125551615 | 1.0055363 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.3671726E-5 | 4.3671254E-5 | 1.8448697 | 2.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.0144642E-4 | 1.4144236E-4 | 1.3942568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0012344299 | 0.0012943558 | 1.0485455 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.0123236915 | 0.012392829 | 1.0056101 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.0048989E-5 | 4.0048588E-5 | 1.9975365 | 2.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 8.59215E-5 | 1.2591806E-4 | 1.4655012 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0010456084 | 0.0011055457 | 1.0573229 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.01044687 | 0.010516139 | 1.0066305 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.19418555E-5 | 2.1941736E-5 | 1.8373808 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 5.1178402E-5 | 8.117687E-5 | 1.5861548 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9470983E-4 | 6.229231E-4 | 6.728919E-4 | 1.0802168 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0062478483 | 0.0062975357 | 1.0079528 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 9.9885465E-6 | 1.9988447E-5 | 2.0011365 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 4.2807376E-5 | 7.280609E-5 | 1.7007838 | 3.0E-5 | 6.134799E-4 | 5.2105874E-4 | 5.710327E-4 | 1.0959085 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.005234135 | 0.005283873 | 1.0095026 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 7.9165575E-6 | 7.9165575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3133965E-5 | 3.3927674E-5 | 5.3926997E-5 | 1.5894693 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2502943E-4 | 4.1299337E-4 | 4.5297685E-4 | 1.0968138 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005237907 | 0.0041572894 | 0.004197123 | 1.0095817 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 7.541292E-6 | 7.541292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.186565E-5 | 3.2319436E-5 | 5.231879E-5 | 1.6188027 | 2.0E-5 | 5.095951E-4 | 3.934203E-4 | 4.3340455E-4 | 1.1016325 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050842804 | 0.00396207 | 0.0040019117 | 1.0100558 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 7.065444E-6 | 7.065444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004731E-5 | 3.0280136E-5 | 5.027953E-5 | 1.660479 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8746695E-4 | 3.686005E-4 | 4.0858577E-4 | 1.1084785 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0037140772 | 0.0037539287 | 1.0107298 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 6.6971165E-6 | 6.6971165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.867153E-5 | 2.8701625E-5 | 4.870105E-5 | 1.6968046 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 3.4938837E-4 | 3.8937439E-4 | 1.1144458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004697283 | 0.0035216487 | 0.003561508 | 1.0113183 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 4.782604E-6 | 4.782604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0347876E-5 | 2.0496715E-5 | 3.049651E-5 | 1.4878731 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 2.495194E-4 | 2.795119E-4 | 1.1202011 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003688092 | 0.0025208627 | 0.002550787 | 1.0118707 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 3.8543644E-6 | 3.8543644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6212863E-5 | 1.65186E-5 | 2.6518435E-5 | 1.6053681 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 2.0109554E-4 | 2.310895E-4 | 1.1491529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0020363154 | 0.0020662542 | 1.0147024 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 2.830915E-6 | 2.830915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.055903E-5 | 1.2132437E-5 | 2.2132315E-5 | 1.8242267 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 1.4770246E-4 | 1.676995E-4 | 1.1353873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0015017535 | 0.0015217235 | 1.0132978 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 2.2981253E-6 | 2.2981253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 9.849072E-6 | 1.9848972E-5 | 2.015314 | 1.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 1.19905875E-4 | 1.3990348E-4 | 1.1667775 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0012221687 | 0.0012421443 | 1.0163443 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 1.9568251E-6 | 1.9568251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 8.386367E-6 | 1.8386283E-5 | 2.1924014 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.0209926E-4 | 1.12098234E-4 | 1.0979339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0010410616 | 0.0010510512 | 1.0095956 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.0205364E-6 | 1.0205364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 4.37372E-6 | 4.37372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1709874E-5 | 5.3248754E-5 | 5.3248754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1686733E-4 | 5.4234767E-4 | 5.4234767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.0929293E-4 | 5.664411 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 1.8268055E-4 | 2.2092533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011161618 | 1.1092043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010773448 | 1.0158598 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.0929293E-4 | 5.664411 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 1.8268055E-4 | 2.2092533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011161618 | 1.1092043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010773448 | 1.0158598 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.0929293E-4 | 5.664411 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 1.8268055E-4 | 2.2092533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011161618 | 1.1092043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010773448 | 1.0158598 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.0929293E-4 | 5.664411 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 1.8268055E-4 | 2.2092533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011161618 | 1.1092043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010773448 | 1.0158598 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.0929293E-4 | 5.664411 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 1.8268055E-4 | 2.2092533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011161618 | 1.1092043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010773448 | 1.0158598 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 1.8607474E-5 | 1.08605804E-4 | 5.836676 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 7.9743884E-5 | 1.7973591E-4 | 2.2539146 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 9.704499E-4 | 0.0010803432 | 1.1132395 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.01025036 | 0.010418617 | 1.0164148 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 1.8547435E-5 | 1.0854576E-4 | 5.852333 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 7.9486585E-5 | 1.7947864E-4 | 2.257974 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 9.6732005E-4 | 0.0010772137 | 1.1136062 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.010219352 | 0.010387614 | 1.0164651 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 1.8537818E-5 | 1.0853615E-4 | 5.854851 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 7.944537E-5 | 1.7943743E-4 | 2.2586265 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 9.668187E-4 | 0.0010767124 | 1.1136652 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.010214403 | 0.010382667 | 1.0164732 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 1.8436916E-5 | 1.08435255E-4 | 5.8814206 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 7.901296E-5 | 1.7900506E-4 | 2.265515 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 9.6155884E-4 | 0.0010714531 | 1.1142876 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.01016229 | 0.0103305625 | 1.0165585 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 1.8381286E-5 | 1.0837963E-4 | 5.896194 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 7.877457E-5 | 1.7876668E-4 | 2.2693453 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 9.586589E-4 | 0.0010685534 | 1.1146337 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.010133621 | 0.010301898 | 1.0166059 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 1.8325256E-5 | 1.08323606E-4 | 5.9111648 | 9.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 7.853445E-5 | 1.7852659E-4 | 2.2732265 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 9.5573807E-4 | 0.0010656329 | 1.1149843 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.010104767 | 0.01027305 | 1.0166538 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 1.821493E-5 | 1.0821329E-4 | 5.940912 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 7.8061654E-5 | 1.7805384E-4 | 2.2809386 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 9.4998674E-4 | 0.0010598822 | 1.115681 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.010048039 | 0.010216331 | 1.0167487 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 1.8089493E-5 | 1.08087865E-4 | 5.975174 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 7.75241E-5 | 1.7751634E-4 | 2.2898216 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 9.434477E-4 | 0.0010533439 | 1.1164837 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.009983423 | 0.010151726 | 1.0168582 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 1.7971899E-5 | 1.0797028E-4 | 6.007728 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 7.702015E-5 | 1.7701245E-4 | 2.2982614 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 9.373175E-4 | 0.0010472144 | 1.1172462 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.009922863 | 0.010091176 | 1.0169622 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 1.7905208E-5 | 1.07903594E-4 | 6.0263805 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 7.673435E-5 | 1.7672668E-4 | 2.3030972 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 9.338408E-4 | 0.0010437381 | 1.117683 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.00988848 | 0.010056799 | 1.0170218 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 1.7790235E-5 | 1.0778863E-4 | 6.058865 | 9.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 7.624164E-5 | 1.7623401E-4 | 2.3115191 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 9.2784717E-4 | 0.0010377452 | 1.118444 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.009828857 | 0.009997186 | 1.017126 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 1.7565426E-5 | 1.0756384E-4 | 6.1236115 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 7.527823E-5 | 1.752707E-4 | 2.3283052 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 9.161276E-4 | 0.0010260268 | 1.1199607 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.009711096 | 0.009879446 | 1.0173358 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 1.6354872E-5 | 1.063534E-4 | 6.5028577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 7.009043E-5 | 1.7008341E-4 | 2.4266284 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 8.5301715E-4 | 9.6292334E-4 | 1.128844 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.009074262 | 0.00924272 | 1.0185643 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 1.429802E-5 | 1.04296734E-4 | 7.294488 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 6.127579E-5 | 1.6126967E-4 | 2.631866 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 7.457776E-4 | 8.556956E-4 | 1.147387 | 1.1E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.007985817 | 0.008154459 | 1.0211177 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 1.0398953E-5 | 8.0398226E-5 | 7.7313766 | 7.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 4.4566183E-5 | 1.2456262E-4 | 2.7950032 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 5.424583E-4 | 6.224149E-4 | 1.1473968 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.0058887703 | 0.0059981225 | 1.0185696 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 6.6969446E-6 | 1.6696878E-5 | 2.4932082 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 2.8700877E-5 | 4.87003E-5 | 1.6968228 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 3.4937728E-4 | 3.693703E-4 | 1.0572248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.0038275963 | 0.0038674432 | 1.0104104 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 3.323268E-6 | 1.3323235E-5 | 4.009076 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 1.42425E-5 | 3.4242214E-5 | 2.404228 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 1.7338875E-4 | 1.9338528E-4 | 1.1153277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.001917039 | 0.0019370007 | 1.0104128 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 3.3329258E-7 | 3.3329258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 1.428396E-6 | 1.428396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 1.7390583E-5 | 1.7390583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 2.1658598E-4 | 2.1658598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2375647E-8 | 5.2375647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446704E-7 | 2.2446704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328829E-6 | 2.7328829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6926303E-5 | 3.6926303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.0752975E-4 | 1.9297822 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014183809 | 1.0839541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013845779 | 1.0115291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.0752975E-4 | 1.9297822 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014183809 | 1.0839541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013845779 | 1.0115291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.0752975E-4 | 1.9297822 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014183809 | 1.0839541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013845779 | 1.0115291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.0752975E-4 | 1.9297822 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014183809 | 1.0839541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013845779 | 1.0115291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.0752975E-4 | 1.9297822 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014183809 | 1.0839541 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013845779 | 1.0115291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987999E-5 | 1.1298593E-4 | 4.914996 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.851629E-5 | 1.9850643E-4 | 2.0149605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987783 | 0.0013086464 | 1.0916501 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548611 | 0.012706603 | 1.0125904 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987999E-5 | 1.1298593E-4 | 4.914996 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.851629E-5 | 1.9850643E-4 | 2.0149605 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987783 | 0.0013086464 | 1.0916501 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548611 | 0.012706603 | 1.0125904 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 2.263615E-5 | 1.1263411E-4 | 4.9758515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 9.700847E-5 | 1.9699878E-4 | 2.0307379 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0011804407 | 0.0012903108 | 1.0930755 | 1.1E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.012354635 | 0.012512658 | 1.0127906 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 2.2535478E-5 | 1.1253345E-4 | 4.993613 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 9.657706E-5 | 1.965674E-4 | 2.0353427 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0011751938 | 0.0012850646 | 1.0934916 | 1.1E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.012301286 | 0.012459318 | 1.0128468 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 2.23754E-5 | 1.1237338E-4 | 5.022185 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 9.589105E-5 | 1.9588147E-4 | 2.0427501 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0011668508 | 0.0012767224 | 1.0941608 | 1.1E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.012212152 | 0.012370197 | 1.0129417 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 2.1710292E-5 | 1.1170834E-4 | 5.145409 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 9.3040806E-5 | 1.930315E-4 | 2.0746973 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0011321853 | 0.0012420608 | 1.0970472 | 1.1E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.011846009 | 0.012004113 | 1.0133467 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 2.0876145E-5 | 1.10874265E-4 | 5.3110504 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 8.9466135E-5 | 1.8945719E-4 | 2.1176412 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0010887079 | 0.0011985882 | 1.1009272 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.011384552 | 0.011542731 | 1.0138941 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 1.9978752E-5 | 1.0997696E-4 | 5.504696 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 8.562043E-5 | 1.8561186E-4 | 2.1678455 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024938055 | 0.001041932 | 0.0011518174 | 1.1054631 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.010888737 | 0.0110469945 | 1.0145341 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 1.9468765E-5 | 1.09467015E-4 | 5.6226993 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 8.343491E-5 | 1.8342657E-4 | 2.1984391 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002196605 | 0.0010153484 | 0.0011252367 | 1.1082273 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.010613128 | 0.01077143 | 1.0149157 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 1.9251764E-5 | 1.0925003E-4 | 5.6748066 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 8.250496E-5 | 1.824967E-4 | 2.2119484 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002098792 | 0.0010040367 | 0.0011139263 | 1.1094477 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.010495788 | 0.0106541095 | 1.0150843 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 1.835797E-5 | 1.0835632E-4 | 5.9024124 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 7.867465E-5 | 1.7866679E-4 | 2.2709572 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019259118 | 9.5744466E-4 | 0.0010673393 | 1.1147791 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.010016567 | 0.010174965 | 1.0158136 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 1.6286167E-5 | 1.062847E-4 | 6.5260725 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 6.9796E-5 | 1.6978901E-4 | 2.432647 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001668642 | 8.4943615E-4 | 9.593427E-4 | 1.1293876 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.00891727 | 0.009075843 | 1.0177827 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 1.3438478E-5 | 1.0343727E-4 | 7.697097 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 5.7592206E-5 | 1.5758644E-4 | 2.736246 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001424336 | 7.009599E-4 | 8.108828E-4 | 1.1568177 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.0074206213 | 0.007579434 | 1.0214015 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 1.15015955E-5 | 1.0150056E-4 | 8.824911 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 4.929162E-5 | 1.4928669E-4 | 3.0286424 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012237094 | 5.9996045E-4 | 7.098944E-4 | 1.1832354 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.006395143 | 0.0065541198 | 1.024859 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 8.341491E-6 | 7.8340905E-5 | 9.391716 | 7.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 3.5748755E-5 | 1.157459E-4 | 3.23776 | 8.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 4.3515433E-4 | 5.151195E-4 | 1.1837628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.0047179367 | 0.004827418 | 1.0232053 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 6.58411E-6 | 1.6584045E-5 | 2.518798 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 2.821731E-5 | 4.8216745E-5 | 1.7087648 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 3.4349173E-4 | 3.6348487E-4 | 1.0582056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0037624293 | 0.003802279 | 1.0105914 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 3.3128513E-6 | 1.3312818E-5 | 4.018538 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 1.4197857E-5 | 3.4197572E-5 | 2.4086432 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 1.728453E-4 | 1.9284185E-4 | 1.1156904 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0019098404 | 0.0019298022 | 1.010452 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 3.2971002E-7 | 3.2971002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 1.4130421E-6 | 1.4130421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 1.7203654E-5 | 1.7203654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 2.139897E-4 | 2.139897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312977E-8 | 5.2312977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419846E-7 | 2.2419846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7296128E-6 | 2.7296128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6886457E-5 | 3.6886457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.8637376E-4 | 2.1575432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0011610836 | 1.1045324 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011151584 | 1.0143943 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.8637376E-4 | 2.1575432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0011610836 | 1.1045324 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011151584 | 1.0143943 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.8637376E-4 | 2.1575432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0011610836 | 1.1045324 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011151584 | 1.0143943 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.8637376E-4 | 2.1575432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0011610836 | 1.1045324 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011151584 | 1.0143943 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.003664E-5 | 1.1003484E-4 | 5.491681 | 9.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.5868494E-5 | 1.8585991E-4 | 2.1644714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449489 | 0.0011548339 | 1.1051583 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931505 | 0.011089756 | 1.0144765 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.003664E-5 | 1.1003484E-4 | 5.491681 | 9.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.5868494E-5 | 1.8585991E-4 | 2.1644714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449489 | 0.0011548339 | 1.1051583 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931505 | 0.011089756 | 1.0144765 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 1.998547E-5 | 1.0998367E-4 | 5.5031815 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 8.564921E-5 | 1.8564065E-4 | 2.167453 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0010422819 | 0.0011521672 | 1.1054276 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.010905118 | 0.011063373 | 1.0145121 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 1.9956471E-5 | 1.0995467E-4 | 5.5097256 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 8.552494E-5 | 1.8551639E-4 | 2.1691496 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002111905 | 0.0010407704 | 0.0011506559 | 1.1055809 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.010890161 | 0.0110484185 | 1.0145322 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 1.9930283E-5 | 1.0992849E-4 | 5.515651 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 8.5412714E-5 | 1.8540418E-4 | 2.170686 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0010394054 | 0.0011492909 | 1.1057197 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.010876619 | 0.011034879 | 1.0145504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 1.989612E-5 | 1.0989433E-4 | 5.5234046 | 9.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 8.5266314E-5 | 1.8525778E-4 | 2.172696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0010376247 | 0.0011475105 | 1.1059014 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.010858934 | 0.011017197 | 1.0145744 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 1.9787683E-5 | 1.09785906E-4 | 5.548194 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 8.4801606E-5 | 1.8479313E-4 | 2.179123 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0010319722 | 0.0011418588 | 1.106482 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.010802742 | 0.010961014 | 1.0146511 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 1.976882E-5 | 1.0976704E-4 | 5.5525336 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 8.472078E-5 | 1.847123E-4 | 2.180248 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002102883 | 0.001030989 | 0.0011408756 | 1.1065837 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.0107929325 | 0.010951206 | 1.0146645 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 1.9684318E-5 | 1.0968254E-4 | 5.5720778 | 9.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 8.435864E-5 | 1.8435021E-4 | 2.1853151 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0010265842 | 0.0011364713 | 1.1070415 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.010748958 | 0.010907238 | 1.0147252 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 1.9558458E-5 | 1.095567E-4 | 5.6014996 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 8.381928E-5 | 1.838109E-4 | 2.1929429 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0010200237 | 0.0011299115 | 1.1077306 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.010681754 | 0.010840045 | 1.0148188 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 1.9478357E-5 | 1.09476605E-4 | 5.620423 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 8.3476014E-5 | 1.8346767E-4 | 2.197849 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0010158482 | 0.0011257365 | 1.1081738 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.01063878 | 0.010797078 | 1.0148793 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 1.8874369E-5 | 1.0887267E-4 | 5.7682815 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 8.088765E-5 | 1.8087956E-4 | 2.2361827 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019307006 | 9.843638E-4 | 0.0010942555 | 1.1116374 | 1.1E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.010312342 | 0.010470692 | 1.0153553 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 1.717819E-5 | 1.07176646E-4 | 6.2391114 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 7.361875E-5 | 1.7361139E-4 | 2.3582497 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017173645 | 8.959409E-4 | 0.0010058424 | 1.122666 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.009411893 | 0.009570387 | 1.0168397 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 1.4310665E-5 | 1.0430938E-4 | 7.2889256 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 6.1329985E-5 | 1.6132386E-4 | 2.6304238 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014722579 | 7.4643706E-4 | 8.5635495E-4 | 1.1472567 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.007905688 | 0.008064423 | 1.0200785 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 1.2314362E-5 | 1.0231325E-4 | 8.30845 | 9.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 5.277477E-5 | 1.527695E-4 | 2.8947449 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012686774 | 6.423436E-4 | 7.5227296E-4 | 1.1711379 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.0068493956 | 0.0070082997 | 1.0231997 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 9.057595E-6 | 7.905696E-5 | 8.7282505 | 7.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 3.881769E-5 | 1.1881458E-4 | 3.060836 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 4.7250302E-4 | 5.524652E-4 | 1.169231 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.0051199943 | 0.0052294307 | 1.0213743 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 6.6526804E-6 | 1.6652613E-5 | 2.5031435 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 2.8511178E-5 | 4.8510607E-5 | 1.7014593 | 2.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 3.4706842E-4 | 3.670615E-4 | 1.0576055 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.003800563 | 0.003840411 | 1.0104848 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 3.3176107E-6 | 1.3317577E-5 | 4.0142074 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 1.4218254E-5 | 3.421797E-5 | 2.4066224 | 2.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 1.730936E-4 | 1.9309013E-4 | 1.1155244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0019129307 | 0.0019328925 | 1.0104351 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 3.3096583E-7 | 3.3096583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 1.4184242E-6 | 1.4184242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 1.726918E-5 | 1.726918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 2.1486501E-4 | 2.1486501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312977E-8 | 5.2312977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419846E-7 | 2.2419846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7296128E-6 | 2.7296128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6886457E-5 | 3.6886457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.8194826E-4 | 2.2200603 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011072544 | 1.1101807 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.01062034 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.8194826E-4 | 2.2200603 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011072544 | 1.1101807 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.01062034 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.8194826E-4 | 2.2200603 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011072544 | 1.1101807 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.01062034 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.8194826E-4 | 2.2200603 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011072544 | 1.1101807 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.01062034 | 1.0151334 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049887E-5 | 1.09048175E-4 | 5.7243476 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.1639824E-5 | 1.8163167E-4 | 2.2247925 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935128E-4 | 0.0011034035 | 1.1106082 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423877 | 0.01058221 | 1.0151894 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049887E-5 | 1.09048175E-4 | 5.7243476 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.1639824E-5 | 1.8163167E-4 | 2.2247925 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935128E-4 | 0.0011034035 | 1.1106082 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423877 | 0.01058221 | 1.0151894 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 1.9015384E-5 | 1.0901367E-4 | 5.73292 | 9.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 8.149196E-5 | 1.8148382E-4 | 2.2270148 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018997455 | 9.917143E-4 | 0.0011016052 | 1.1108091 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.010406068 | 0.010564403 | 1.0152156 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 1.9001836E-5 | 1.09000124E-4 | 5.7362943 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 8.143391E-5 | 1.8142577E-4 | 2.2278898 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018992044 | 9.910081E-4 | 0.0011008992 | 1.1108881 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.010399076 | 0.010557412 | 1.015226 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 1.89728E-5 | 1.0897109E-4 | 5.743543 | 9.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 8.1309474E-5 | 1.8130134E-4 | 2.229769 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018980318 | 9.894945E-4 | 0.0010993857 | 1.1110579 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.010384083 | 0.010542422 | 1.0152482 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 1.8935656E-5 | 1.0893395E-4 | 5.752848 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 8.115029E-5 | 1.8114218E-4 | 2.2321815 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018965311 | 9.875583E-4 | 0.0010974497 | 1.1112758 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.010364903 | 0.010523245 | 1.0152767 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 1.882493E-5 | 1.0882324E-4 | 5.780804 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 8.067579E-5 | 1.8066772E-4 | 2.2394292 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018920569 | 9.817864E-4 | 0.0010916784 | 1.1119306 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.0103077255 | 0.010466076 | 1.0153624 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 1.8783507E-5 | 1.0878182E-4 | 5.791348 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 8.049826E-5 | 1.8049021E-4 | 2.242163 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001890278 | 9.79627E-4 | 0.0010895192 | 1.1121776 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.010286341 | 0.010444696 | 1.0153946 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 1.8721928E-5 | 1.0872025E-4 | 5.807107 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 8.023438E-5 | 1.8022636E-4 | 2.2462485 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001887647 | 9.764171E-4 | 0.0010863097 | 1.1125468 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.010254514 | 0.010412874 | 1.0154428 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 1.862317E-5 | 1.0862149E-4 | 5.8325996 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 7.981115E-5 | 1.7980317E-4 | 2.2528577 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018829206 | 9.7126886E-4 | 0.001081162 | 1.1131439 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.010203282 | 0.01036165 | 1.0155213 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 1.857874E-5 | 1.08577064E-4 | 5.8441567 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 7.9620746E-5 | 1.7961278E-4 | 2.2558541 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018807866 | 9.689528E-4 | 0.0010788462 | 1.1134146 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.010180192 | 0.010338563 | 1.0155568 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 1.8426057E-5 | 1.084244E-4 | 5.8842974 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 7.896643E-5 | 1.7895854E-4 | 2.2662609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018692396 | 9.609935E-4 | 0.0010708879 | 1.1143548 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.010100003 | 0.010258388 | 1.0156816 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 1.7355249E-5 | 1.07353684E-4 | 6.185661 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 7.437752E-5 | 1.7437009E-4 | 2.344392 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001713488 | 9.051712E-4 | 0.0010150716 | 1.121414 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.009528014 | 0.00968649 | 1.0166326 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 1.4931001E-5 | 1.04929655E-4 | 7.027637 | 9.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 6.398844E-5 | 1.6398204E-4 | 2.5626824 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015059357 | 7.787811E-4 | 8.886954E-4 | 1.1411364 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.008255059 | 0.008413739 | 1.019222 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 1.2911588E-5 | 1.02910424E-4 | 7.9703927 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 5.5334203E-5 | 1.5532867E-4 | 2.8071005 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013010362 | 6.734859E-4 | 7.834118E-4 | 1.1632193 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.007186911 | 0.007345761 | 1.0221027 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 9.548437E-6 | 7.954777E-5 | 8.330973 | 7.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 4.0921233E-5 | 1.2091796E-4 | 2.9548953 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 4.981023E-4 | 5.7806243E-4 | 1.1605296 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.005398491 | 0.005507897 | 1.020266 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 6.669112E-6 | 1.6669046E-5 | 2.49944 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 2.8581595E-5 | 4.8581023E-5 | 1.699731 | 2.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 3.479255E-4 | 3.6791855E-4 | 1.0574635 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.0038104316 | 0.0038502791 | 1.0104575 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 3.3192123E-6 | 1.3319179E-5 | 4.012753 | 1.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 1.4225118E-5 | 3.4224835E-5 | 2.4059436 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 1.7317716E-4 | 1.9317369E-4 | 1.1154686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0019140132 | 0.0019339749 | 1.0104293 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 3.3162408E-7 | 3.3162408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 1.4212452E-6 | 1.4212452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 1.7303524E-5 | 1.7303524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 2.1532353E-4 | 2.1532353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2375647E-8 | 5.2375647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446704E-7 | 2.2446704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328829E-6 | 2.7328829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6926303E-5 | 3.6926303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.2227755E-5 | 7.222649E-5 | 1.7104032 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096367E-4 | 2.3095463E-4 | 1.2762486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010305 | 0.0023107885 | 1.0498666 | 1.1E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888392 | 0.022035109 | 1.0067029 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.2227755E-5 | 7.222649E-5 | 1.7104032 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096367E-4 | 2.3095463E-4 | 1.2762486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010305 | 0.0023107885 | 1.0498666 | 1.1E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888392 | 0.022035109 | 1.0067029 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.2101685E-5 | 7.210042E-5 | 1.7125306 | 3.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042345E-4 | 2.3041441E-4 | 1.2770759 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944663 | 0.002304225 | 1.050016 | 1.1E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824945 | 0.02197167 | 1.0067229 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.2101685E-5 | 7.210042E-5 | 1.7125306 | 3.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042345E-4 | 2.3041441E-4 | 1.2770759 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944663 | 0.002304225 | 1.050016 | 1.1E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824945 | 0.02197167 | 1.0067229 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 3.5304838E-5 | 6.530378E-5 | 1.8497119 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.5129778E-4 | 2.0129021E-4 | 1.3304241 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019213937 | 0.001840513 | 0.0019403289 | 1.0542327 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019048655 | 0.018346045 | 0.018473659 | 1.006956 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.1658714E-5 | 6.165777E-5 | 1.9475764 | 3.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.3567324E-4 | 1.8566646E-4 | 1.3684825 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0016505864 | 0.0017504214 | 1.0604845 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017543508 | 0.016469419 | 0.016597278 | 1.0077634 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.1140786E-5 | 6.113985E-5 | 1.9633368 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.3345377E-4 | 1.834471E-4 | 1.3746116 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0016236049 | 0.0017234425 | 1.0614914 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017365133 | 0.016205663 | 0.016333556 | 1.0078919 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 2.9895766E-5 | 5.9894868E-5 | 2.0034566 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.2811851E-4 | 1.7811211E-4 | 1.3902137 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0015587427 | 0.0016486024 | 1.0576489 | 9.0E-5 | 0.016856372 | 0.015564532 | 0.01567282 | 1.0069573 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 2.9378487E-5 | 5.9377606E-5 | 2.0211253 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.2590182E-4 | 1.7589552E-4 | 1.3970848 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0015317928 | 0.001621655 | 1.0586647 | 9.0E-5 | 0.016654192 | 0.01529849 | 0.015406807 | 1.0070802 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 2.8661992E-5 | 5.8661135E-5 | 2.0466523 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.2283142E-4 | 1.7282528E-4 | 1.407012 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0014944626 | 0.001584328 | 1.0601323 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01638118 | 0.014929827 | 0.015038185 | 1.0072578 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 2.7678538E-5 | 5.7677706E-5 | 2.0838423 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.18617E-4 | 1.6861106E-4 | 1.4214747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016112428 | 0.001443221 | 0.0015330912 | 1.0622705 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015996104 | 0.014424115 | 0.014532528 | 1.0075161 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 2.6569813E-5 | 5.6569017E-5 | 2.129071 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.13865746E-4 | 1.6386005E-4 | 1.4390637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0013854495 | 0.0014753249 | 1.0648708 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01556781 | 0.013852995 | 0.013961471 | 1.0078305 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 2.3773342E-5 | 4.3772867E-5 | 1.8412584 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.0188185E-4 | 1.4187777E-4 | 1.3925717 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0012397201 | 0.0013096334 | 1.0563943 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.012410434 | 0.012489441 | 1.0063661 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 1.9972376E-5 | 3.9971976E-5 | 2.001363 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 8.559315E-5 | 1.2558972E-4 | 1.4672871 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0010416096 | 0.0011115366 | 1.0671337 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012712469 | 0.01044049 | 0.010519655 | 1.0075824 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 1.86948E-5 | 2.8694612E-5 | 1.5348982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 8.0118174E-5 | 1.1011577E-4 | 1.3744168 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012111551 | 9.750132E-4 | 0.0010349547 | 1.0614777 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.009778501 | 0.009847816 | 1.0070885 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 1.6510985E-5 | 2.651082E-5 | 1.6056474 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 7.0759495E-5 | 9.0758076E-5 | 1.2826276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010939965 | 8.6116564E-4 | 9.1112254E-4 | 1.0580108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.008644489 | 0.00870397 | 1.0068809 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.07739925E-5 | 2.0773885E-5 | 1.928151 | 1.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 4.617347E-5 | 6.617255E-5 | 1.4331292 | 2.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 5.6202314E-4 | 6.1199506E-4 | 1.0889143 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.005669823 | 0.005729483 | 1.0105224 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 6.1008263E-6 | 1.6100765E-5 | 2.6391122 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 2.6146137E-5 | 4.6145615E-5 | 1.7649113 | 2.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 3.1828287E-4 | 3.4827332E-4 | 1.0942258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00517007 | 0.003239262 | 0.0032791323 | 1.0123085 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 4.729875E-6 | 4.729875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 2.0270734E-5 | 3.0270532E-5 | 1.493312 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 2.467683E-4 | 2.6676335E-4 | 1.0810277 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035191406 | 0.00251606 | 0.0025459845 | 1.0118934 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 3.0894023E-6 | 3.0894023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 1.3240229E-5 | 2.3240096E-5 | 1.7552639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 1.611879E-4 | 1.7118629E-4 | 1.0620294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0016422946 | 0.0016522781 | 1.0060791 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 8.932008E-5 | 2.2715015 | 5.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.2850341E-4 | 1.3559945 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0021298015 | 1.0389451 | 8.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.020462474 | 1.0062629 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 8.932008E-5 | 2.2715015 | 5.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.2850341E-4 | 1.3559945 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0021298015 | 1.0389451 | 8.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.020462474 | 1.0062629 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 4.054023E-5 | 1.9736594 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.1802626E-4 | 1.3407671 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011112791 | 1.037297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.0107305255 | 1.0055627 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 4.054023E-5 | 1.9736594 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.1802626E-4 | 1.3407671 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011112791 | 1.037297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.0107305255 | 1.0055627 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9085184E-5 | 3.9084804E-5 | 2.0479133 | 2.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.179162E-5 | 1.11789166E-4 | 1.3667557 | 3.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 9.954537E-4 | 0.0010354139 | 1.0401427 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.00991938 | 0.009978784 | 1.0059887 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6426162E-5 | 3.6425834E-5 | 2.2175498 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.039644E-5 | 1.00394325E-4 | 1.4261279 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.568286E-4 | 8.8680285E-4 | 1.0349828 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008543997 | 0.0085935695 | 1.005802 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3389003E-5 | 3.3388733E-5 | 2.4937432 | 2.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.738065E-5 | 8.737893E-5 | 1.5227944 | 3.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 6.9846975E-4 | 7.284488E-4 | 1.0429211 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.006971013 | 0.0070206644 | 1.0071225 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1251043E-5 | 3.125082E-5 | 2.777593 | 2.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.8218335E-5 | 7.8216886E-5 | 1.6221399 | 3.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 5.869828E-4 | 6.169652E-4 | 1.0510788 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.0058624335 | 0.0059121405 | 1.0084789 | 5.0E-5 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.753342E-5 | 7.8551544E-5 | 1.1854841E-4 | 1.5091797 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8939685E-4 | 3.3660818E-4 | 3.96588E-4 | 1.1781888 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003517715 | 0.0040908805 | 0.004160594 | 1.0170412 | 7.0E-5 | 0.034625497 | 0.04019931 | 0.04033368 | 1.0033426 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 5.801086E-5 | 1.2082741 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.35741E-4 | 1.14578 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025420834 | 1.015946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024828538 | 1.0031523 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 5.801086E-5 | 1.2082741 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.35741E-4 | 1.14578 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025420834 | 1.015946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024828538 | 1.0031523 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.615755E-5 | 4.615719E-5 | 1.2765574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.5495192E-4 | 1.7494881E-4 | 1.1290523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0018849411 | 0.0019148845 | 1.0158856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.018693592 | 0.018732844 | 1.0020998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.392261E-5 | 4.3922268E-5 | 1.2947787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.453747E-4 | 1.6537178E-4 | 1.1375555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0017685323 | 0.0017984792 | 1.0169332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.017548366 | 0.017587664 | 1.0022395 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.7696608E-5 | 3.769633E-5 | 1.361045 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.1869449E-4 | 1.386921E-4 | 1.1684798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.001444173 | 0.0014741297 | 1.0207431 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014350718 | 0.014390144 | 1.0027473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4019928E-5 | 3.4019686E-5 | 1.416311 | 1.0E-5 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.029386E-4 | 1.2293654E-4 | 1.1942706 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012525778 | 0.0012825403 | 1.0239207 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012457441 | 0.012496943 | 1.003171 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 3.0891082E-5 | 1.4786584 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9650374E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 1.0952934E-4 | 1.223366 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0010895154 | 0.0011194827 | 1.0275052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.010843739 | 0.010873414 | 1.0027366 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 2.7799688E-5 | 1.561792 | 1.0E-5 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 9.628149E-5 | 1.2621616 | 2.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.283678E-4 | 9.5833995E-4 | 1.0322847 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009246731 | 0.009276453 | 1.0032144 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 2.4592639E-5 | 1.6852602 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 8.253785E-5 | 1.3197799 | 2.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.611644E-4 | 7.9114153E-4 | 1.0393833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007587263 | 0.007617035 | 1.003924 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 2.2294946E-5 | 1.8133242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 7.2691124E-5 | 1.379543 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.4135477E-4 | 6.713355E-4 | 1.046746 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006396659 | 0.006426467 | 1.0046599 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 1.9819863E-5 | 2.018324 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 6.208412E-5 | 1.4752091 | 2.0E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.122799E-4 | 5.3226965E-4 | 1.0390211 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005112565 | 0.005132463 | 1.003892 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3396323E-8 | 2.3396323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 7.456815E-5 | 3.0350034 | 5.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.5528873E-4 | 1.4748108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013612589 | 1.0623536 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012883965 | 1.0100616 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 7.456815E-5 | 3.0350034 | 5.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.5528873E-4 | 1.4748108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013612589 | 1.0623536 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012883965 | 1.0100616 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 7.456815E-5 | 3.0350034 | 5.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.5528873E-4 | 1.4748108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013612589 | 1.0623536 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012883965 | 1.0100616 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 7.456815E-5 | 3.0350034 | 5.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.5528873E-4 | 1.4748108 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013612589 | 1.0623536 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.012883965 | 1.0100616 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 3.349198E-5 | 2.4823127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 7.782199E-5 | 1.3458623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.4383116E-4 | 1.0567895 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070847007 | 1.0084808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 3.349198E-5 | 2.4823127 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 7.782199E-5 | 1.3458623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.4383116E-4 | 1.0567895 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.0070847007 | 1.0084808 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.430301E-6 | 1.9430207E-5 | 2.0604014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.04154E-5 | 5.0414998E-5 | 1.2474204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 4.9202616E-4 | 5.120163E-4 | 1.0406282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.004917187 | 0.0049470393 | 1.0060711 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 7.917421E-6 | 1.7917342E-5 | 2.2630277 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.3931803E-5 | 4.3931464E-5 | 1.2946987 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.131197E-4 | 4.3311145E-4 | 1.0483922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004131197 | 0.0041610734 | 1.0072318 | 3.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 3.6996033E-5 | 2.1767015 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.02837395E-4 | 1.411834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 9.7638345E-4 | 1.1014371 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.009026646 | 1.0133514 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 3.6996033E-5 | 2.1767015 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.02837395E-4 | 1.411834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 9.7638345E-4 | 1.1014371 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.009026646 | 1.0133514 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 3.6996033E-5 | 2.1767015 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.02837395E-4 | 1.411834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 9.7638345E-4 | 1.1014371 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.009026646 | 1.0133514 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 3.6996033E-5 | 2.1767015 | 2.0E-5 | 1.03585466E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.02837395E-4 | 1.411834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012604233 | 8.8646327E-4 | 9.7638345E-4 | 1.1014371 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012532983 | 0.008907714 | 0.009026646 | 1.0133514 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 1.6711425E-5 | 3.671109E-5 | 2.1967661 | 2.0E-5 | 9.8013195E-5 | 7.161844E-5 | 1.01616286E-4 | 1.4188565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011926574 | 8.7160774E-4 | 9.615293E-4 | 1.1031674 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011862768 | 0.008760332 | 0.008879281 | 1.013578 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 1.6612512E-5 | 3.6612182E-5 | 2.2038918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.716418E-5 | 7.1194554E-5 | 1.0119242E-4 | 1.4213506 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011823318 | 8.6645107E-4 | 9.563731E-4 | 1.1037819 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011760611 | 0.008709171 | 0.008828126 | 1.0136585 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 1.5464659E-5 | 3.546435E-5 | 2.2932513 | 2.0E-5 | 9.118244E-5 | 6.627544E-5 | 9.627345E-5 | 1.4526263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011095807 | 8.066064E-4 | 8.965338E-4 | 1.1114886 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011040569 | 0.008115219 | 0.008224326 | 1.0134448 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 1.4199135E-5 | 3.4198853E-5 | 2.4085164 | 2.0E-5 | 8.445307E-5 | 6.0852024E-5 | 9.08502E-5 | 1.4929692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010277311 | 7.406227E-4 | 8.205634E-4 | 1.1079372 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010229911 | 0.00745996 | 0.007559214 | 1.013305 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.3750508E-5 | 2.375037E-5 | 1.7272359 | 1.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 5.8929425E-5 | 7.892824E-5 | 1.339369 | 2.0E-5 | 9.775903E-4 | 7.1723067E-4 | 7.8718044E-4 | 1.0975276 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009733009 | 0.0072275754 | 0.007316925 | 1.0123624 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.2858294E-5 | 2.2858167E-5 | 1.7776982 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 5.510582E-5 | 7.510471E-5 | 1.3629181 | 2.0E-5 | 9.158276E-4 | 6.7070767E-4 | 7.206741E-4 | 1.0744982 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0067651886 | 0.006834715 | 1.010277 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.2189928E-5 | 2.2189806E-5 | 1.8203394 | 1.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 5.2241507E-5 | 7.2240466E-5 | 1.3828174 | 2.0E-5 | 8.759337E-4 | 6.3585554E-4 | 6.858238E-4 | 1.0785842 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008724891 | 0.00641848 | 0.006488031 | 1.010836 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.1739312E-5 | 2.1739195E-5 | 1.8518287 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 5.0310373E-5 | 7.030937E-5 | 1.3975123 | 2.0E-5 | 8.521265E-4 | 6.123574E-4 | 6.623268E-4 | 1.0816016 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008488664 | 0.0061846236 | 0.0062541906 | 1.0112484 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.1231504E-5 | 2.1231392E-5 | 1.8903427 | 1.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 4.813413E-5 | 6.8133166E-5 | 1.4154856 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2304585E-4 | 5.8587623E-4 | 6.358469E-4 | 1.0852922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008200042 | 0.005921092 | 0.0059807366 | 1.0100733 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.0753834E-5 | 2.0753727E-5 | 1.9298909 | 1.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 4.608705E-5 | 6.6086126E-5 | 1.4339414 | 2.0E-5 | 7.854473E-4 | 5.6096603E-4 | 6.10938E-4 | 1.089082 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00782677 | 0.0056727505 | 0.00573241 | 1.0105169 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.0619627E-5 | 2.061952E-5 | 1.9416426 | 1.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 4.5511897E-5 | 6.551098E-5 | 1.4394256 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7653467E-4 | 5.5396714E-4 | 6.039394E-4 | 1.090208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0056028217 | 0.0056624855 | 1.0106488 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.0283633E-5 | 2.028353E-5 | 1.972409 | 1.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 4.4071974E-5 | 6.407109E-5 | 1.4537832 | 2.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 5.3644483E-4 | 5.86418E-4 | 1.0931562 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0054279375 | 0.005487612 | 1.010994 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 8.655867E-6 | 1.8655779E-5 | 2.1552758 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 3.7096044E-5 | 5.70953E-5 | 1.539121 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 4.5155105E-4 | 5.015285E-4 | 1.1106795 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006634211 | 0.0045796237 | 0.004639349 | 1.0130415 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 6.5263257E-6 | 1.652626E-5 | 2.5322459 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 2.7969667E-5 | 4.7969108E-5 | 1.7150403 | 2.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 3.4047762E-4 | 3.8046401E-4 | 1.117442 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0034679777 | 0.0035178044 | 1.0143676 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 4.9877E-6 | 4.9877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 2.1375681E-5 | 3.1375468E-5 | 1.4678113 | 1.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 2.602179E-4 | 2.802127E-4 | 1.0768386 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003661789 | 0.0026544991 | 0.0026844195 | 1.0112716 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 3.1431246E-6 | 3.1431246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 1.3470465E-5 | 2.347033E-5 | 1.7423549 | 1.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 1.639906E-4 | 1.7398896E-4 | 1.0609691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0016714368 | 0.0016814201 | 1.0059729 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 5.3827833E-5 | 14.06152 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.597093E-4 | 1.3003587 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 5.3827833E-5 | 14.06152 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.597093E-4 | 1.3003587 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 5.3827833E-5 | 14.06152 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.597093E-4 | 1.3003587 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 5.3827833E-5 | 14.06152 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.597093E-4 | 1.3003587 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 5.3827833E-5 | 14.06152 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.597093E-4 | 1.3003587 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7886043E-6 | 5.3788415E-5 | 14.197422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236774E-5 | 6.623596E-5 | 4.079379 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766483E-4 | 2.5765298E-4 | 1.3034841 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.002037683 | 0.0021574385 | 1.0587704 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7886043E-6 | 5.3788415E-5 | 14.197422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236774E-5 | 6.623596E-5 | 4.079379 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766483E-4 | 2.5765298E-4 | 1.3034841 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.002037683 | 0.0021574385 | 1.0587704 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 3.7086459E-6 | 5.370846E-5 | 14.48196 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 1.58941E-5 | 6.5893306E-5 | 4.1457715 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 1.9349351E-4 | 2.534819E-4 | 1.310028 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.001996045 | 0.0021158054 | 1.0599989 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 3.703341E-6 | 5.3703156E-5 | 14.501272 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 1.5871365E-5 | 6.587057E-5 | 4.1502776 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 1.9321677E-4 | 2.5320516E-4 | 1.310472 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0019932825 | 0.0021130433 | 1.0600822 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 3.6953252E-6 | 5.369514E-5 | 14.53056 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 1.5837011E-5 | 6.583622E-5 | 4.157111 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 1.9279859E-4 | 2.5278702E-4 | 1.3111455 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0019891083 | 0.0021088696 | 1.0602086 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 3.6861404E-6 | 5.3685955E-5 | 14.564274 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 1.5797648E-5 | 6.5796856E-5 | 4.164978 | 5.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 1.9231942E-4 | 2.523079E-4 | 1.311921 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0019843252 | 0.0021040873 | 1.060354 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 3.6755666E-6 | 5.3675383E-5 | 14.603295 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 1.5752334E-5 | 6.575155E-5 | 4.1740828 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 1.917678E-4 | 2.517563E-4 | 1.3128184 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0019788197 | 0.0020985822 | 1.0605222 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 3.6589415E-6 | 5.3658758E-5 | 14.665104 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 1.5681084E-5 | 6.56803E-5 | 4.188505 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 1.909005E-4 | 2.5088905E-4 | 1.3142399 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0019701647 | 0.0020899284 | 1.0607886 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 3.642298E-6 | 5.3642118E-5 | 14.727548 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 1.5609756E-5 | 6.5608976E-5 | 4.2030754 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 1.9003222E-4 | 2.5002082E-4 | 1.315676 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0019615027 | 0.0020812673 | 1.0610576 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 3.6263448E-6 | 5.3626165E-5 | 14.787939 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 1.5541385E-5 | 6.554061E-5 | 4.2171664 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 1.8919996E-4 | 2.491886E-4 | 1.3170648 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0019532074 | 0.002072973 | 1.0613174 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 3.6057957E-6 | 5.3605614E-5 | 14.866515 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 1.5453319E-5 | 6.545254E-5 | 4.2355013 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 1.8812793E-4 | 2.4811664E-4 | 1.3188719 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0019425019 | 0.0020622688 | 1.061656 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 3.5697344E-6 | 5.3569554E-5 | 15.006594 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 1.5298772E-5 | 6.529801E-5 | 4.268186 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 1.8624666E-4 | 2.462355E-4 | 1.3220934 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0019236988 | 0.002043468 | 1.0622598 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 3.3945405E-6 | 5.339437E-5 | 15.729485 | 5.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 1.4547949E-5 | 6.4547225E-5 | 4.4368606 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 1.7710691E-4 | 2.3709628E-4 | 1.3387184 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0018320046 | 0.0019517848 | 1.065382 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 3.0475096E-6 | 5.304736E-5 | 17.40679 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 1.30606895E-5 | 6.306003E-5 | 4.828232 | 5.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 1.5900232E-4 | 2.1899278E-4 | 1.377293 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0016497811 | 0.0017695831 | 1.0726169 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 1.966772E-6 | 4.1966694E-5 | 21.337852 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 8.428996E-6 | 4.8428657E-5 | 5.745484 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 1.0261821E-4 | 1.426141E-4 | 1.3897544 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0010754566 | 0.0011453814 | 1.0650187 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 1.1351125E-6 | 1.1135101E-5 | 9.8096895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 4.8647585E-6 | 1.486471E-5 | 3.0555904 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 5.9226833E-5 | 6.922624E-5 | 1.1688324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 6.2617677E-4 | 6.5615796E-4 | 1.0478798 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 5.24906E-7 | 1.0524901E-5 | 20.05102 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 2.2495951E-6 | 1.2249573E-5 | 5.4452343 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 2.7388483E-5 | 3.738821E-5 | 1.3651069 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 3.0140116E-4 | 1.0343066 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 4.7897217E-8 | 4.7897217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 2.0527378E-7 | 2.0527378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 2.4992053E-6 | 2.4992053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 2.9453728E-5 | 2.9453728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 7.63923E-9 | 7.63923E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 3.2739553E-8 | 3.2739553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 3.98604E-7 | 3.98604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 4.971855E-6 | 4.971855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.5697902E-4 | 3.1696362E-4 | 1.233422 | 6.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008771 | 0.0011608109 | 1.054442 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.013321603 | 0.013420271 | 1.0074066 | 1.0E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.124482766 | 0.12458783 | 1.000844 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.5697902E-4 | 3.1696362E-4 | 1.233422 | 6.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008771 | 0.0011608109 | 1.054442 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.013321603 | 0.013420271 | 1.0074066 | 1.0E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.124482766 | 0.12458783 | 1.000844 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 2.3247297E-4 | 2.92459E-4 | 1.2580345 | 6.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 9.959348E-4 | 0.0010558751 | 1.060185 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.012058705 | 0.0121575 | 1.0081928 | 1.0E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.11349024 | 0.11359662 | 1.0009373 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 2.319317E-4 | 2.9191776E-4 | 1.2586368 | 6.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 9.936169E-4 | 0.0010535573 | 1.0603255 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.012030796 | 0.012129593 | 1.008212 | 1.0E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.11325275 | 0.11335916 | 1.0009396 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.2412096E-4 | 2.8410752E-4 | 1.2676526 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 9.601673E-4 | 0.0010201096 | 1.0624291 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.011627963 | 0.0117268 | 1.0085 | 1.0E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.10974522 | 0.10985205 | 1.0009735 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.2135182E-4 | 2.8133855E-4 | 1.2710017 | 6.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 9.483082E-4 | 0.0010082513 | 1.0632106 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.01148511 | 0.011583962 | 1.0086069 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.10849467 | 0.10860165 | 1.0009861 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.1907112E-4 | 2.7905797E-4 | 1.2738236 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 9.385409E-4 | 9.984846E-4 | 1.063869 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.011367438 | 0.011466301 | 1.008697 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.10746498 | 0.10757208 | 1.0009966 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.176903E-4 | 2.7767726E-4 | 1.2755609 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 9.3262736E-4 | 9.925714E-4 | 1.0642744 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.011296189 | 0.0113950595 | 1.0087526 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.106843226 | 0.1069504 | 1.0010031 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.1586545E-4 | 2.758525E-4 | 1.2778909 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 9.248121E-4 | 9.847566E-4 | 1.064818 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.0112020215 | 0.011300901 | 1.008827 | 1.0E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.10602119 | 0.10612847 | 1.0010118 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.1159173E-4 | 2.7157905E-4 | 1.283505 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 9.06509E-4 | 9.664546E-4 | 1.066128 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.010981448 | 0.01108035 | 1.0090063 | 1.0E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.10406683 | 0.10417434 | 1.0010331 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 1.8463682E-4 | 2.4462576E-4 | 1.3249023 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 7.910627E-4 | 8.5101527E-4 | 1.0757873 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.009589091 | 0.0096881315 | 1.0103285 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.09167477 | 0.09178377 | 1.001189 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 1.8168548E-4 | 2.4167458E-4 | 1.330181 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 7.784217E-4 | 8.38375E-4 | 1.0770191 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.00943653 | 0.009535586 | 1.0104971 | 1.0E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.09027257 | 0.090381734 | 1.0012093 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 1.6489647E-4 | 2.2488658E-4 | 1.3638047 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 7.065096E-4 | 7.6646724E-4 | 1.0848645 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.008568218 | 0.008667361 | 1.011571 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.08252502 | 0.08263512 | 1.0013341 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 1.5108423E-4 | 2.1107517E-4 | 1.3970695 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 6.47345E-4 | 7.0730614E-4 | 1.0926263 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.007853298 | 0.007952513 | 1.0126336 | 1.0E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.07606601 | 0.07617688 | 1.0014576 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 9.9224046E-5 | 1.5921809E-4 | 1.6046321 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 4.2517713E-4 | 4.8515163E-4 | 1.1410576 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0051643476 | 0.0052638315 | 1.0192635 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.051233016 | 0.05134687 | 1.0022222 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 7.306855E-5 | 1.3306417E-4 | 1.8210866 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 3.1311356E-4 | 3.7309475E-4 | 1.1915637 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0038055303 | 0.0039051496 | 1.0261775 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.038270026 | 0.038385432 | 1.0030156 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 5.3145486E-5 | 1.131423E-4 | 2.1289163 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 2.2774657E-4 | 2.877329E-4 | 1.2633908 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0027693019 | 0.0028690249 | 1.0360101 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.028224107 | 0.028340722 | 1.0041317 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 3.5740875E-5 | 8.573909E-5 | 2.3989084 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 1.531662E-4 | 2.0315855E-4 | 1.3263928 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0018632058 | 0.0019530382 | 1.0482138 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.019347286 | 0.019455157 | 1.0055755 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 2.8360912E-5 | 7.8359495E-5 | 2.76294 | 5.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 1.215411E-4 | 1.7153502E-4 | 1.4113334 | 5.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0014787595 | 0.0015686264 | 1.0607718 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.015547891 | 0.01565618 | 1.0069649 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 1.9708965E-5 | 5.9708178E-5 | 3.0294933 | 4.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 8.446426E-5 | 1.2446089E-4 | 1.473533 | 4.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0010278675 | 0.0010977957 | 1.0680321 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.01099847 | 0.01107759 | 1.0071937 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 1.5612504E-5 | 5.561188E-5 | 3.562009 | 4.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 6.6909015E-5 | 1.06906344E-4 | 1.5977868 | 4.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 8.1431307E-4 | 8.742642E-4 | 1.0736217 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.0087783225 | 0.008847709 | 1.0079042 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 3.5009782E-6 | 2.3500908E-5 | 6.7126694 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 1.5004106E-5 | 3.5003806E-5 | 2.3329484 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 1.826597E-4 | 2.0265604E-4 | 1.1094732 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.0020671196 | 0.0020870783 | 1.0096554 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 7.8084986E-7 | 7.8084986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 3.346495E-6 | 3.346495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 4.074282E-5 | 4.074282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 5.0381024E-4 | 5.0381024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 1.2013074E-8 | 1.2013074E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 5.14846E-8 | 5.14846E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 6.2682483E-7 | 6.2682483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 6.8427653E-6 | 6.8427653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5457945E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6246655E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.2033391E-4 | 2.3905451 | 7.0E-5 | 8.062545E-4 | 6.126873E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008033356 | 0.00611014 | 0.006219468 | 1.0178928 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.2033391E-4 | 2.3905451 | 7.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.126873E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.00611014 | 0.006219468 | 1.0178928 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.0627708E-5 | 5.0627285E-5 | 4.7637067 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.554653E-5 | 1.055438E-4 | 2.317274 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.543888E-4 | 6.3434447E-4 | 1.1442231 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0055301636 | 0.0056296107 | 1.0179826 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0473885E-5 | 5.0473467E-5 | 4.8189826 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.4887307E-5 | 1.0488462E-4 | 2.3366208 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.463668E-4 | 6.2632305E-4 | 1.1463418 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005450337 | 0.005549792 | 1.0182475 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 9.680159E-6 | 4.9679773E-5 | 5.1321235 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.148574E-5 | 1.0148325E-4 | 2.4462202 | 6.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.049725E-4 | 5.849321E-4 | 1.1583445 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.0050383327 | 0.0051378286 | 1.0197479 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.321686E-6 | 4.9321312E-5 | 5.2910295 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7177873E-5 | 3.9949475E-5 | 9.994708E-5 | 2.5018373 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 4.8627696E-4 | 5.66238E-4 | 1.1644353 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.004852207 | 0.0049517215 | 1.0205091 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 8.932177E-6 | 4.893182E-5 | 5.478152 | 4.0E-5 | 4.557647E-5 | 3.82802E-5 | 9.82779E-5 | 2.56733 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.659624E-4 | 5.459251E-4 | 1.1716077 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0046499274 | 0.004749462 | 1.0214057 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.268147E-6 | 4.8267815E-5 | 5.8378034 | 4.0E-5 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.5434437E-5 | 9.543231E-5 | 2.693208 | 6.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.3132948E-4 | 5.11295E-4 | 1.1853931 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0043049892 | 0.004404559 | 1.0231289 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 7.882864E-6 | 4.788255E-5 | 6.0742574 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.378327E-5 | 9.3781244E-5 | 2.775967 | 6.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.1123427E-4 | 4.9120135E-4 | 1.1944563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.004104796 | 0.0042043854 | 1.0242617 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.34374E-6 | 3.7343518E-5 | 5.085082 | 3.0E-5 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.1472795E-5 | 8.147122E-5 | 2.5886238 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 3.8311444E-4 | 4.5308762E-4 | 1.182643 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.003824599 | 0.0039242166 | 1.0260465 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 5.9070117E-6 | 3.5906833E-5 | 6.07868 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.531552E-5 | 7.531425E-5 | 2.975023 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.08173E-4 | 3.7815142E-4 | 1.2270751 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0030774742 | 0.0031771665 | 1.0323942 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 4.865665E-6 | 3.486552E-5 | 7.1656227 | 3.0E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.0852684E-5 | 7.085164E-5 | 3.397723 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.5385196E-4 | 3.238342E-4 | 1.2756813 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0025356333 | 0.0026353798 | 1.0393379 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.745131E-6 | 2.3745057E-5 | 6.340247 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6050462E-5 | 5.6049823E-5 | 3.4921 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 1.9539696E-4 | 2.5538524E-4 | 1.3070072 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0019522617 | 0.002042086 | 1.0460104 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.8022782E-6 | 2.2802222E-5 | 8.13703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2009709E-5 | 5.200923E-5 | 4.3305984 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.4620846E-4 | 2.061997E-4 | 1.4103129 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0014611302 | 0.0015410132 | 1.0546721 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.0642317E-6 | 2.206419E-5 | 10.688815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3100675E-5 | 8.846678E-6 | 4.8846323E-5 | 5.5214314 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.0770303E-4 | 1.6769658E-4 | 1.5570273 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0010765141 | 0.001156428 | 1.0742339 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1033513E-6 | 1.11033405E-5 | 10.063286 | 1.0E-5 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.7286403E-6 | 2.4728546E-5 | 5.2295256 | 2.0E-5 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.7569712E-5 | 8.756798E-5 | 1.5210774 | 3.0E-5 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.755515E-4 | 6.2552275E-4 | 1.0868232 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 6.9338444E-7 | 1.0693378E-5 | 15.422005 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7813123E-6 | 2.9716443E-6 | 2.2971584E-5 | 7.730261 | 2.0E-5 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.617919E-5 | 6.61781E-5 | 1.829176 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.6173512E-4 | 4.0172064E-4 | 1.1105381 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303828E-4 | 3.5302312E-4 | 1.1649456 | 5.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981091 | 0.0013580312 | 1.046161 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.015693182 | 0.01578177 | 1.0056449 | 9.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.1493165 | 0.14941008 | 1.0006267 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303828E-4 | 3.5302312E-4 | 1.1649456 | 5.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981091 | 0.0013580312 | 1.046161 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.015693182 | 0.01578177 | 1.0056449 | 9.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.1493165 | 0.14941008 | 1.0006267 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 2.9946378E-4 | 3.494488E-4 | 1.166915 | 5.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0012828049 | 0.0013427279 | 1.0467125 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.015508118 | 0.015596722 | 1.0057135 | 9.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.14731745 | 0.14741126 | 1.0006367 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 2.9517728E-4 | 3.4516252E-4 | 1.1693398 | 5.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0012644521 | 0.0013243763 | 1.0473914 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.015287903 | 0.015376527 | 1.005797 | 9.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.14544737 | 0.14554138 | 1.0006462 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 2.461335E-4 | 2.961212E-4 | 1.2030917 | 5.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0010544364 | 0.0011043837 | 1.0473686 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.012763681 | 0.01284266 | 1.0061878 | 8.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.12408443 | 0.124172024 | 1.000706 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 2.2977473E-4 | 2.7976325E-4 | 1.2175545 | 5.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 9.843811E-4 | 0.0010343319 | 1.0507433 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.011919481 | 0.011998527 | 1.0066317 | 8.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.11634703 | 0.1164354 | 1.0007595 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 2.156742E-4 | 2.6566343E-4 | 1.2317811 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 9.2399365E-4 | 9.7394746E-4 | 1.054063 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.011193372 | 0.011272477 | 1.0070671 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.10924895 | 0.10933802 | 1.0008154 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 2.0123943E-4 | 2.5122936E-4 | 1.2484102 | 5.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 8.621721E-4 | 9.12129E-4 | 1.0579431 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.010447317 | 0.01052648 | 1.0075774 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.1016887 | 0.10177853 | 1.0008833 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 1.9420919E-4 | 2.4419947E-4 | 1.2574043 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 8.32062E-4 | 8.820204E-4 | 1.0600417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.010083815 | 0.010163008 | 1.0078535 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.09712086 | 0.097211145 | 1.0009296 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 1.8873977E-4 | 2.3873032E-4 | 1.264865 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 8.086363E-4 | 8.585959E-4 | 1.0617825 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.009801203 | 0.009880419 | 1.0080823 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.09363539 | 0.093726024 | 1.000968 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 1.6763591E-4 | 2.1762753E-4 | 1.2982154 | 5.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 7.182438E-4 | 7.682079E-4 | 1.0695642 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.0087099625 | 0.0087892655 | 1.0091048 | 8.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.08346974 | 0.0835614 | 1.001098 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 1.6545146E-4 | 2.1544319E-4 | 1.3021535 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 7.08887E-4 | 7.588515E-4 | 1.0704831 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.008596947 | 0.00867626 | 1.0092256 | 8.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.08241333 | 0.08250509 | 1.0011134 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 1.4941324E-4 | 1.9940578E-4 | 1.3345923 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 6.4018724E-4 | 6.901552E-4 | 1.0780522 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.007766792 | 0.007846171 | 1.0102203 | 8.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.07495524 | 0.07504775 | 1.0012342 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.3846972E-4 | 1.884628E-4 | 1.3610398 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 5.933085E-4 | 6.432788E-4 | 1.0842232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.0071999477 | 0.007279372 | 1.0110312 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.069809414 | 0.06990243 | 1.0013325 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 8.791588E-5 | 1.3791148E-4 | 1.5686754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 3.7672848E-4 | 4.2670965E-4 | 1.1326716 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0045771208 | 0.004656755 | 1.0173982 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.045448564 | 0.045544017 | 1.0021003 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 6.299942E-5 | 1.1299627E-4 | 1.7936082 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 2.6996975E-4 | 3.1995625E-4 | 1.185156 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0032819617 | 0.0033616992 | 1.0242957 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.03302299 | 0.03311969 | 1.0029281 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 4.502343E-5 | 9.5021176E-5 | 2.110483 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 1.9294335E-4 | 2.429337E-4 | 1.2590934 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0023465676 | 0.0024263798 | 1.0340123 | 8.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.023903463 | 0.024001073 | 1.0040835 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 2.8390516E-5 | 7.8389094E-5 | 2.7611015 | 5.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 1.2166798E-4 | 1.716619E-4 | 1.4109045 | 5.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0014803034 | 0.001560185 | 1.053963 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.015379426 | 0.015477888 | 1.0064021 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 2.1660495E-5 | 7.1659415E-5 | 3.3082998 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 9.2827395E-5 | 1.4282276E-4 | 1.5385841 | 5.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0011295885 | 0.001209498 | 1.0707422 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.01189789 | 0.0119967 | 1.0083048 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 1.4708457E-5 | 5.4707867E-5 | 3.7194839 | 4.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 6.303472E-5 | 1.030322E-4 | 1.6345309 | 4.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 7.6717784E-4 | 8.271318E-4 | 1.0781487 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.008231228 | 0.008300652 | 1.0084342 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 1.1573851E-5 | 5.157339E-5 | 4.4560266 | 4.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 4.960128E-5 | 8.959929E-5 | 1.8063909 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 6.0372846E-4 | 6.536983E-4 | 1.0827687 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.006529593 | 0.0065892013 | 1.0091289 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 2.9020048E-6 | 2.2901946E-5 | 7.8917675 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6871985E-5 | 1.2437104E-5 | 3.2436856E-5 | 2.6080713 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 1.5141124E-4 | 1.7140822E-4 | 1.1320705 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.001707443 | 0.001727409 | 1.0116935 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 6.364556E-7 | 6.364556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 2.7276637E-6 | 2.7276637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 3.3208806E-5 | 3.3208806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 4.0945437E-4 | 4.0945437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 3.557083E-9 | 3.557083E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 1.5244643E-8 | 1.5244643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 1.8560351E-7 | 1.8560351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 1.9896427E-6 | 1.9896427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 1.4236919E-5 | 3.360172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 2.81581E-5 | 1.5507029 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.710438E-4 | 1.2261382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0023181275 | 1.0497005 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 1.4236919E-5 | 3.360172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 2.81581E-5 | 1.5507029 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.710438E-4 | 1.2261382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0023181275 | 1.0497005 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 1.3513661E-5 | 3.8459964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 2.5058458E-5 | 1.6640619 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.3331406E-4 | 1.2726923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019415278 | 1.0599425 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 1.3513661E-5 | 3.8459964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 2.5058458E-5 | 1.6640619 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.3331406E-4 | 1.2726923 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019415278 | 1.0599425 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 1.3146979E-5 | 4.1776085 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 2.3486984E-5 | 1.7414382 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.1418514E-4 | 1.304469 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.001750546 | 1.0669335 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 1.3146979E-5 | 4.1776085 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 2.3486984E-5 | 1.7414382 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.1418514E-4 | 1.304469 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.001750546 | 1.0669335 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 2.9948671E-6 | 1.2994838E-5 | 4.3390365 | 1.0E-5 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2835082E-5 | 2.2834955E-5 | 1.7791046 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.5625596E-4 | 2.0624815E-4 | 1.3199378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015614666 | 0.0016712948 | 1.0703366 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9110638E-6 | 1.2911035E-5 | 4.43516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2475928E-5 | 2.2475804E-5 | 1.8015336 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5188388E-4 | 2.0187629E-4 | 1.3291489 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015178062 | 0.0016276393 | 1.072363 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.8464353E-6 | 1.2846407E-5 | 4.513156 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.21989515E-5 | 2.219883E-5 | 1.8197325 | 1.0E-5 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4851216E-4 | 1.9850474E-4 | 1.3366227 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014841344 | 0.0015939712 | 1.0740073 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.5920115E-6 | 1.2591986E-5 | 4.8579974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1108574E-5 | 2.1108463E-5 | 1.9001956 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3523853E-4 | 1.8523177E-4 | 1.3696672 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013515663 | 0.0014614176 | 1.081277 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3436628E-6 | 1.2343639E-5 | 5.266815 | 1.0E-5 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0044231E-5 | 2.004413E-5 | 1.9955864 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2228168E-4 | 1.7227556E-4 | 1.408842 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012221467 | 0.0013320124 | 1.0898956 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.124014E-6 | 1.2123993E-5 | 5.7080574 | 1.0E-5 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.102885E-6 | 1.9102794E-5 | 2.098543 | 1.0E-5 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.1082201E-4 | 1.6081646E-4 | 1.451124 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010916302 | 0.0011076694 | 0.0012175476 | 1.0991976 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 1.9994181E-6 | 1.1999398E-5 | 6.0014453 | 1.0E-5 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.568907E-6 | 1.856882E-5 | 2.167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0432146E-4 | 1.5431625E-4 | 1.4792378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010427268 | 0.001152612 | 1.1053827 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.6893033E-6 | 1.1689286E-5 | 6.91959 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.239851E-6 | 1.723978E-5 | 2.381234 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.814163E-5 | 1.3813723E-4 | 1.5672188 | 5.0E-5 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.810675E-4 | 9.809794E-4 | 1.1133987 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.4637443E-6 | 1.146373E-5 | 7.8317847 | 1.0E-5 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.2731747E-6 | 1.6273112E-5 | 2.5940793 | 1.0E-5 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.637323E-5 | 1.16370175E-4 | 1.5237037 | 4.0E-5 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.634704E-4 | 8.4340933E-4 | 1.1047046 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.235387E-6 | 1.1235375E-5 | 9.094619 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.294505E-6 | 1.5294452E-5 | 2.8887405 | 1.0E-5 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.44587E-5 | 1.0445612E-4 | 1.6205124 | 4.0E-5 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.4440054E-4 | 7.043619E-4 | 1.0930498 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.2536635E-7 | 1.0925357E-5 | 11.806521 | 1.0E-5 | 3.966909E-6 | 3.96585E-6 | 1.39658105E-5 | 3.5215178 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8283153E-5 | 8.8281224E-5 | 1.8284063 | 4.0E-5 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.8272705E-4 | 5.426981E-4 | 1.1242338 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.3120135E-7 | 1.05311965E-5 | 19.825243 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.2765753E-6 | 1.2276552E-5 | 5.392553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.7716953E-5 | 5.7716123E-5 | 2.08234 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.7713508E-4 | 3.17124E-4 | 1.1442939 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.6816111E-7 | 1.6816111E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.2069025E-7 | 7.2069025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822956E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.822522E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.2887855E-8 | 4.2887855E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 1.8380508E-7 | 1.8380508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.2378244E-6 | 2.2378244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.2378024E-5 | 2.2378024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 5.2366684E-9 | 5.2366684E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.2442865E-8 | 2.2442865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 2.7324185E-7 | 2.7324185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 2.7324154E-6 | 2.7324154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 7.8656834E-5 | 9.085458 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 1.2709953E-4 | 3.4255989 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.416035E-4 | 1.1991819 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.004638802 | 1.0241764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 7.8656834E-5 | 9.085458 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 1.2709953E-4 | 3.4255989 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.416035E-4 | 1.1991819 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.004638802 | 1.0241764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 7.8656834E-5 | 9.085458 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 1.2709953E-4 | 3.4255989 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.416035E-4 | 1.1991819 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.004638802 | 1.0241764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 7.8656834E-5 | 9.085458 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 1.2709953E-4 | 3.4255989 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.416035E-4 | 1.1991819 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.004638802 | 1.0241764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.9461473E-6 | 7.49458E-5 | 15.152359 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197608E-5 | 1.111957E-4 | 5.245672 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.5805127E-4 | 3.4802806E-4 | 1.3486779 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.002598662 | 0.002688428 | 1.0345432 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.9461473E-6 | 7.49458E-5 | 15.152359 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197608E-5 | 1.111957E-4 | 5.245672 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.5805127E-4 | 3.4802806E-4 | 1.3486779 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.002598662 | 0.002688428 | 1.0345432 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 4.6309597E-6 | 7.463063E-5 | 16.115587 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 1.9846824E-5 | 1.0984504E-4 | 5.5346403 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 2.4160917E-4 | 3.3158742E-4 | 1.3724124 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.002434606 | 0.0025243869 | 1.0368769 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 3.9298134E-6 | 7.3929536E-5 | 18.81248 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 1.684195E-5 | 9.68406E-5 | 5.7499638 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.0503171E-4 | 2.850153E-4 | 1.3901036 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.002069514 | 0.0021493484 | 1.0385764 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 3.852741E-6 | 7.385247E-5 | 19.168814 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 1.6511643E-5 | 9.6510325E-5 | 5.844986 | 8.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.0101099E-4 | 2.809949E-4 | 1.3979082 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0020293803 | 0.002109218 | 1.0393409 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 3.561834E-6 | 7.356158E-5 | 20.652727 | 7.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 1.5264915E-5 | 9.526369E-5 | 6.240696 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 1.8583471E-4 | 2.6581984E-4 | 1.43041 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0018778809 | 0.0019577306 | 1.0425212 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 3.2633777E-6 | 7.326315E-5 | 22.450098 | 7.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.398583E-5 | 9.398471E-5 | 6.719995 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 1.7026438E-4 | 2.5025074E-4 | 1.4697776 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0017224272 | 0.0018022895 | 1.0463661 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 2.9716375E-6 | 7.297143E-5 | 24.555965 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.2735529E-5 | 8.273464E-5 | 6.4963646 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 1.5504421E-4 | 2.2503335E-4 | 1.4514141 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0015704568 | 0.0016403468 | 1.044503 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 2.6028322E-6 | 7.260265E-5 | 27.893713 | 7.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.1154948E-5 | 8.115417E-5 | 7.275172 | 7.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.3580317E-4 | 2.0579368E-4 | 1.5153818 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0013783133 | 0.0014482167 | 1.0507168 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 2.2076688E-6 | 7.220751E-5 | 32.707584 | 7.0E-5 | 8.815376E-6 | 9.461404E-6 | 7.946074E-5 | 8.398409 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.1518664E-4 | 1.8517858E-4 | 1.6076394 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0011724056 | 0.0012423235 | 1.0596364 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 1.846921E-6 | 6.184681E-5 | 33.486443 | 6.0E-5 | 7.738263E-6 | 7.915352E-6 | 6.791488E-5 | 8.580146 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4209274E-5 | 9.636527E-5 | 1.5635949E-4 | 1.622571 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 9.843938E-4 | 0.0010443346 | 1.0608913 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 1.4677237E-6 | 6.146764E-5 | 41.87957 | 6.0E-5 | 6.292889E-6 | 6.2902295E-6 | 6.628985E-5 | 10.538543 | 6.0E-5 | 7.661323E-5 | 7.658092E-5 | 1.3657633E-4 | 1.7834249 | 6.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 7.866897E-4 | 8.466425E-4 | 1.076209 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 9.572494E-7 | 6.095719E-5 | 63.67953 | 6.0E-5 | 4.201745E-6 | 4.102491E-6 | 6.410224E-5 | 15.6252 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1155046E-5 | 4.994671E-5 | 1.09943714E-4 | 2.2012203 | 6.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 5.2046444E-4 | 5.804332E-4 | 1.1152216 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 7.00395E-7 | 6.0700353E-5 | 86.665886 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1471714E-6 | 3.0016895E-6 | 6.300151E-5 | 20.988684 | 6.0E-5 | 3.831614E-5 | 3.654496E-5 | 9.654277E-5 | 2.6417532 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8309532E-4 | 3.8639567E-4 | 4.463725E-4 | 1.1552212 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 6.3080296E-7 | 1.0630797E-5 | 16.8528 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7575045E-6 | 2.7034384E-6 | 1.2703412E-5 | 4.6989827 | 1.0E-5 | 3.35721E-5 | 3.291387E-5 | 4.2913543E-5 | 1.3038132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3567028E-4 | 3.4955938E-4 | 3.5955588E-4 | 1.0285975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 3.0532004E-7 | 3.0532004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 1.3085138E-6 | 1.3085138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 1.593104E-5 | 1.593104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 1.6961453E-4 | 1.6961453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 1.5745293E-8 | 1.5745293E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 6.7479824E-8 | 6.7479824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 8.215666E-7 | 8.215666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 9.162646E-6 | 9.162646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.527424E-9 | 1.527424E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 6.5461028E-9 | 6.5461028E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.969879E-8 | 7.969879E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 1.01284E-6 | 1.01284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.3800596E-10 | 3.3800596E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.4485967E-9 | 1.4485967E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.7636662E-8 | 1.7636662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.3896067E-7 | 2.3896067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 8.2646395E-5 | 2.531436 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.8990638E-4 | 1.357314 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017821107 | 1.0469167 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.016993975 | 1.0052338 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 8.2646395E-5 | 2.531436 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 1.8990638E-4 | 1.357314 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0017821107 | 1.0469167 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.016993975 | 1.0052338 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 3.2388667E-5 | 2.6143265 | 2.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 7.309326E-5 | 1.3766681 | 2.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.862151E-4 | 1.0618564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0064843046 | 1.0061668 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 3.2388667E-5 | 2.6143265 | 2.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 7.309326E-5 | 1.3766681 | 2.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.862151E-4 | 1.0618564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0064843046 | 1.0061668 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.377521E-6 | 2.8377353E-5 | 3.387321 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.590319E-5 | 5.590247E-5 | 1.5570335 | 2.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.3703758E-4 | 4.6702448E-4 | 1.068614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004362176 | 0.0043920456 | 1.0068473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 2.621093E-5 | 4.220045 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 4.6618014E-5 | 1.7513357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.540254E-4 | 1.0925525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032657764 | 1.0092411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 2.621093E-5 | 4.220045 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 4.6618014E-5 | 1.7513357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.540254E-4 | 1.0925525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032657764 | 1.0092411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2424093E-6 | 1.3242377E-5 | 4.0841165 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.3895972E-5 | 2.3895833E-5 | 1.719623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.6917146E-4 | 1.7916977E-4 | 1.0591016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0016905386 | 0.0017005217 | 1.0059053 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 1.23996015E-5 | 5.167307 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0284074E-5 | 2.0283971E-5 | 1.9723673 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.3520104E-4 | 1.0798607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012514056 | 0.0012613931 | 1.0079811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.1052276E-5 | 10.503101 | 1.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 1.4509751E-5 | 3.217385 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 6.490534E-5 | 1.1821198 | 1.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 5.589671E-4 | 1.0182059 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 3.795536E-5 | 2.1138313 | 2.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0694862E-4 | 1.3898288 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009416725 | 1.0095588 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 3.795536E-5 | 2.1138313 | 2.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0694862E-4 | 1.3898288 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009416725 | 1.0095588 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 3.795536E-5 | 2.1138313 | 2.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.0694862E-4 | 1.3898288 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 0.0010064297 | 1.0746768 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009416725 | 1.0095588 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 3.1049993E-5 | 2.8099 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 7.735579E-5 | 1.6334532 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.3638965E-4 | 1.10403 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.005829122 | 1.013834 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 3.1049993E-5 | 2.8099 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 7.735579E-5 | 1.6334532 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.3638965E-4 | 1.10403 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.005829122 | 1.013834 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.100753E-6 | 1.9100662E-5 | 2.0988002 | 1.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9002654E-5 | 5.9001875E-5 | 1.5127656 | 2.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.747554E-4 | 5.0474115E-4 | 1.0631604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004737573 | 0.004787336 | 1.0105039 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.657348E-6 | 1.7657272E-5 | 2.3059251 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.28168E-5 | 5.2816144E-5 | 1.609424 | 2.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 3.9947225E-4 | 4.2946028E-4 | 1.0750691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.003987647 | 0.0040374477 | 1.0124887 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.687256E-6 | 1.6687189E-5 | 2.4953718 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8659357E-5 | 3.865907E-5 | 1.3489162 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.4887256E-4 | 3.588691E-4 | 1.0286537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0034833292 | 0.0035132247 | 1.0085825 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.022249E-4 | 3.022249E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003018199 | 0.0030281688 | 1.0033033 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6101546E-4 | 2.6101546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026071358 | 0.0026171096 | 1.0038257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0019900315 | 0.0020000115 | 1.005015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015003218 | 0.0015103068 | 1.0066552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011672071 | 0.0011771955 | 1.0085574 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.731704E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 2.6543257E-5 | 1.6044599 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 9.089734E-5 | 1.2820724 | 2.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.328432E-4 | 1.0810515 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008690008 | 1.0103742 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 2.6543257E-5 | 1.6044599 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 9.089734E-5 | 1.2820724 | 2.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 9.328432E-4 | 1.0810515 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008690008 | 1.0103742 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 2.3481896E-5 | 1.7417179 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 7.7777964E-5 | 1.3461258 | 2.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.732316E-4 | 1.0994635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.007094632 | 1.0113238 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 2.3481896E-5 | 1.7417179 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 7.7777964E-5 | 1.3461258 | 2.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.732316E-4 | 1.0994635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.007094632 | 1.0113238 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0028388E-5 | 1.0028388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.297832E-5 | 4.297832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.2317523E-4 | 5.631543E-4 | 1.0764163 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052233418 | 0.005263133 | 1.007618 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 9.976392E-6 | 9.976392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.2755488E-5 | 4.2755488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.204635E-4 | 5.604427E-4 | 1.0768145 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0051963516 | 0.0052361437 | 1.0076578 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.321582E-6 | 8.321582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.5663652E-5 | 3.5663652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.3415706E-4 | 4.6414405E-4 | 1.0690694 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004336879 | 0.004366749 | 1.0068874 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.3622592E-4 | 1.0792122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.001261573 | 0.0012715604 | 1.0079166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.2397785E-4 | 1.0877255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.001139222 | 0.0011492105 | 1.008768 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.12361566E-4 | 1.097682 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010231701 | 0.0010331598 | 1.0097636 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 5.9665777E-5 | 2.011206 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.6713263E-4 | 1.3145795 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0016068969 | 1.038725 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.0154595515 | 1.0051214 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 5.9665777E-5 | 2.011206 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.6713263E-4 | 1.3145795 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0016068969 | 1.038725 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.0154595515 | 1.0051214 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 2.573277E-5 | 1.6355996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 8.7424276E-5 | 1.2966032 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.6065906E-4 | 1.0486994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008245373 | 1.0072697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 2.573277E-5 | 1.6355996 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 8.7424276E-5 | 1.2966032 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.6065906E-4 | 1.0486994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008245373 | 1.0072697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 2.4670335E-5 | 1.6816308 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 8.287125E-5 | 1.318084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 8.0526684E-4 | 1.0522273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.0076953485 | 1.0077977 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 2.4670335E-5 | 1.6816308 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 8.287125E-5 | 1.318084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 8.0526684E-4 | 1.0522273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.0076953485 | 1.0077977 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 2.2564214E-5 | 1.7958933 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 7.38455E-5 | 1.3714056 | 2.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.5547624E-4 | 6.9545E-4 | 1.0609844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006544389 | 0.0065940614 | 1.0075902 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 1.9602578E-5 | 2.0413666 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 5.1153744E-5 | 1.2429788 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.010231E-4 | 5.31008E-4 | 1.0598475 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0050074076 | 0.005047207 | 1.0079482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 4.7184036E-5 | 2.745724 | 3.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.5919397E-4 | 1.2389507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021803102 | 1.042962 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 4.7184036E-5 | 2.745724 | 3.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.5919397E-4 | 1.2389507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021803102 | 1.042962 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 4.7184036E-5 | 2.745724 | 3.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.5919397E-4 | 1.2389507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021803102 | 1.042962 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.4009712E-5 | 3.4939098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 4.7184036E-5 | 2.745724 | 3.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.5919397E-4 | 1.2389507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021803102 | 1.042962 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 1.3212961E-5 | 4.1123524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 4.3769498E-5 | 3.1786335 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.1762955E-4 | 1.2982118 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754974 | 0.0017653466 | 1.0536253 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 1.3212961E-5 | 4.1123524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 4.3769498E-5 | 3.1786335 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 2.1762955E-4 | 1.2982118 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754974 | 0.0017653466 | 1.0536253 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.1976916E-5 | 6.0583234 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472555E-6 | 2.8472386E-5 | 3.360543 | 2.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.3314564E-4 | 1.2908121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001031204 | 0.0010711628 | 1.0387496 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.1976916E-5 | 6.0583234 | 1.0E-5 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472555E-6 | 2.8472386E-5 | 3.360543 | 2.0E-5 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.3314564E-4 | 1.2908121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001031204 | 0.0010711628 | 1.0387496 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.8018866E-6 | 1.1801869E-5 | 6.549729 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2242733E-5 | 7.722349E-6 | 2.7722195E-5 | 3.5898654 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.4015784E-5 | 1.2401296E-4 | 1.3190653 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014894515 | 9.3995256E-4 | 9.799149E-4 | 1.0425154 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.325359E-6 | 1.325359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.265135E-6 | 5.680098E-6 | 1.5680042E-5 | 2.7605228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12797185E-4 | 6.915308E-5 | 8.91517E-5 | 1.2891934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011273995 | 6.914927E-4 | 7.114788E-4 | 1.0289029 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.2340921E-6 | 1.2340921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.288956E-6 | 1.5288902E-5 | 2.8907223 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.439121E-5 | 8.4389925E-5 | 1.3105814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001026573 | 6.4390205E-4 | 6.6388916E-4 | 1.0310407 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.029796E-6 | 1.029796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.413404E-6 | 1.441336E-5 | 3.2658148 | 1.0E-5 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.3731925E-5 | 7.373085E-5 | 1.3721982 | 2.0E-5 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.37364E-4 | 5.5735325E-4 | 1.0371987 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 5.782679E-7 | 5.782679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.4782887E-6 | 2.4782887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.017276E-5 | 4.0172457E-5 | 1.3314148 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.0185704E-4 | 3.1185403E-4 | 1.0331182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.087955E-7 | 4.087955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.7519795E-6 | 1.7519795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.133015E-5 | 3.1329935E-5 | 1.46881 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.1345104E-4 | 2.2344891E-4 | 1.0468391 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 1.9813486E-7 | 1.9813486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 8.491491E-7 | 8.491491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.0338344E-5 | 1.0338344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.0354811E-4 | 1.0354811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.6734585E-7 | 1.6734585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 7.1719626E-7 | 7.1719626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 8.731831E-6 | 8.731831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 8.7484346E-5 | 8.7484346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.231475E-7 | 1.231475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 5.2777494E-7 | 5.2777494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 6.425642E-6 | 6.425642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 6.4423926E-5 | 6.4423926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 5.1936655E-7 | 5.1936655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 6.323271E-6 | 6.323271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 6.340027E-5 | 6.340027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 6.8152076E-8 | 6.8152076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 6.1615494E-5 | 2.8504105 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.5263341E-4 | 1.6476156 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011873572 | 1.0531586 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011318768 | 1.0079244 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 6.1615494E-5 | 2.8504105 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.5263341E-4 | 1.6476156 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011873572 | 1.0531586 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011318768 | 1.0079244 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1011339E-5 | 3.1011117E-5 | 2.8162897 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.7190875E-5 | 6.718993E-5 | 1.4237907 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.744473E-4 | 5.944358E-4 | 1.0347961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0057345103 | 0.005774281 | 1.0069354 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 3.056343E-5 | 2.8932664 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 6.527134E-5 | 1.4417517 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.710888E-4 | 1.0362711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055419835 | 1.0072298 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 3.056343E-5 | 2.8932664 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 6.527134E-5 | 1.4417517 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 5.710888E-4 | 1.0362711 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055419835 | 1.0072298 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032034202 | 0.0032133881 | 1.0031117 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002540112 | 0.00281058 | 0.0028205519 | 1.003548 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002302978 | 0.002312955 | 1.0043322 | 1.0E-5 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 4.129221E-5 | 3.6565888 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 8.839389E-5 | 1.8264775 | 4.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.3904625E-4 | 1.0848287 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059562363 | 1.0135331 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.04591E-6 | 3.70457E-5 | 5.2577596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0196414E-5 | 7.019521E-5 | 2.3246207 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.6758036E-4 | 4.17562E-4 | 1.1359746 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.003669833 | 0.0037495394 | 1.0217193 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.572647E-6 | 3.6572448E-5 | 5.564341 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8168188E-5 | 6.8167064E-5 | 2.4200017 | 4.0E-5 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.428945E-4 | 3.9287735E-4 | 1.1457675 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.003423736 | 0.003503462 | 1.0232863 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7235598E-6 | 3.5723388E-5 | 6.241463 | 3.0E-5 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4529314E-5 | 6.4528336E-5 | 2.630662 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2791847E-4 | 2.9860402E-4 | 3.485891E-4 | 1.1673958 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0029820842 | 0.0030618457 | 1.0267469 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.5817663E-6 | 3.5581597E-5 | 6.374613 | 3.0E-5 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.3921639E-5 | 6.3920685E-5 | 2.6720862 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.9120757E-4 | 3.4119302E-4 | 1.1716489 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003203268 | 0.0029083155 | 0.0029880828 | 1.0274273 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.6554846E-6 | 2.4655392E-5 | 5.295988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 1.9951927E-5 | 4.995133E-5 | 2.5035841 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4288794E-4 | 2.8287823E-4 | 1.164645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024262555 | 0.0024960856 | 1.028781 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1174026E-6 | 2.411732E-5 | 5.857411 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7645894E-5 | 4.7645364E-5 | 2.7000823 | 3.0E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1481783E-4 | 2.5480925E-4 | 1.1861643 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021461276 | 0.0022159775 | 1.0325469 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.1649408E-6 | 2.3164877E-5 | 7.3192134 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3563963E-5 | 4.3563556E-5 | 3.211713 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6512885E-4 | 2.0512224E-4 | 1.2421951 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001980741 | 0.0016500733 | 0.0017199578 | 1.0423523 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.659339E-6 | 2.2659286E-5 | 8.520645 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1397119E-5 | 4.1396775E-5 | 3.6322143 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.3875119E-4 | 1.7874564E-4 | 1.2882458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0013866564 | 0.0014465732 | 1.0432096 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 2.2043521E-5 | 10.786815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.758093E-6 | 3.875783E-5 | 4.4253736 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0662465E-4 | 1.4662038E-4 | 1.3751078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010657435 | 0.0011256796 | 1.0562388 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 2.1396383E-5 | 15.322403 | 2.0E-5 | 8.020941E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 3.5984427E-5 | 6.0128293 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.286023E-5 | 1.1285731E-4 | 1.5489564 | 4.0E-5 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.2836934E-4 | 7.883256E-4 | 1.0823158 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.412786E-7 | 1.08412705E-5 | 12.886659 | 1.0E-5 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 2.3605402E-5 | 6.547099 | 2.0E-5 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.389582E-5 | 7.38945E-5 | 1.6834064 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.3887584E-4 | 4.888539E-4 | 1.1138774 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 1.0268753E-5 | 38.208508 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 2.1151787E-5 | 18.363962 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 3.4022924E-5 | 2.4261875 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.7022029E-4 | 1.2139126 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 6.342599E-5 | 2.7073967 | 4.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.4039349E-4 | 1.3983763 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012816241 | 1.049052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012223376 | 1.0056893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 6.342599E-5 | 2.7073967 | 4.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.4039349E-4 | 1.3983763 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012816241 | 1.049052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012223376 | 1.0056893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 6.072539E-4 | 1.0340362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.0058774306 | 1.0033944 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 6.072539E-4 | 1.0340362 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.0058774306 | 1.0033944 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.256794E-4 | 4.4567088E-4 | 1.0469637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004248784 | 0.004268699 | 1.0046872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.540264E-4 | 3.7401932E-4 | 1.056473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035347184 | 0.0035546478 | 1.0056381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0415927E-4 | 3.1415623E-4 | 1.0328676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030375016 | 0.0030474712 | 1.0032822 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5530747E-4 | 2.6530493E-4 | 1.0391585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002550197 | 0.0025601715 | 1.0039113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9389793E-4 | 2.0389598E-4 | 1.0515635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019373278 | 0.0019473084 | 1.0051517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.480315E-4 | 1.0724365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013794984 | 0.0013894846 | 1.007239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Joaquin Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 3.278436E-5 | 11.774124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 5.1932788E-5 | 4.3519344 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.388654E-6 | 2.7191757E-6 | 3.2719094E-5 | 12.032725 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4522722E-5 | 1.1653558E-5 | 5.1653093E-5 | 4.432388 | 4.0E-5 | 1.767998E-4 | 1.4187297E-4 | 1.9186587E-4 | 1.352378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001766592 | 0.0014178365 | 0.0014877373 | 1.049301 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2694352E-6 | 2.5996278E-6 | 3.259955E-5 | 12.540084 | 3.0E-5 | 1.401179E-5 | 1.1141215E-5 | 5.114077E-5 | 4.590233 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7058018E-4 | 1.3563596E-4 | 1.8562918E-4 | 1.3685838 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017044931 | 0.0013555428 | 0.0014154614 | 1.0442027 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.246912E-6 | 2.5784104E-6 | 3.2578333E-5 | 12.635046 | 3.0E-5 | 1.39152635E-5 | 1.1050284E-5 | 5.1049843E-5 | 4.6197767 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6940516E-4 | 1.3452901E-4 | 1.8452229E-4 | 1.3716171 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016927607 | 0.0013444867 | 0.001404406 | 1.0445668 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.1864927E-6 | 2.5239833E-6 | 3.252391E-5 | 12.885943 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3656326E-5 | 1.0817027E-5 | 5.0816594E-5 | 4.6978335 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6625308E-4 | 1.3168946E-4 | 1.8168287E-4 | 1.3796312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016612876 | 0.001316125 | 0.001376046 | 1.0455284 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0220644E-6 | 2.3718187E-6 | 3.2371747E-5 | 13.648492 | 3.0E-5 | 1.295164E-5 | 1.0164898E-5 | 5.0164494E-5 | 4.9350705 | 4.0E-5 | 1.576748E-4 | 1.2375071E-4 | 1.7374453E-4 | 1.4039881 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015756298 | 0.001236828 | 0.0012967539 | 1.0484512 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.787619E-6 | 2.192195E-6 | 3.219213E-5 | 14.684883 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1946884E-5 | 9.395089E-6 | 4.9394712E-5 | 5.2575035 | 4.0E-5 | 1.454436E-4 | 1.143793E-4 | 1.6437357E-4 | 1.4370921 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014534845 | 0.001143214 | 0.0012031454 | 1.0524236 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4593792E-6 | 1.9001128E-6 | 2.1900074E-5 | 11.525671 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0540153E-5 | 8.143315E-6 | 3.8143073E-5 | 4.683973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2831882E-4 | 9.9140445E-5 | 1.3913648E-4 | 1.4034281 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012824474 | 9.909708E-4 | 0.0010409212 | 1.0504056 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.926764E-6 | 1.4205306E-6 | 2.1420503E-5 | 15.0792265 | 2.0E-5 | 8.257534E-6 | 6.0879743E-6 | 3.6087793E-5 | 5.9277177 | 3.0E-5 | 1.00530844E-4 | 7.411863E-5 | 1.1411566E-4 | 1.5396354 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010048538 | 7.409453E-4 | 7.9090823E-4 | 1.0674313 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1609359E-6 | 8.0440293E-7 | 1.0804395E-5 | 13.431571 | 1.0E-5 | 4.97543E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 2.3447368E-5 | 6.8013916 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0574173E-5 | 4.197178E-5 | 7.197052E-5 | 1.714736 | 3.0E-5 | 6.055767E-4 | 4.1964275E-4 | 4.5962597E-4 | 1.0952792 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1168536E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 1.0266848E-5 | 38.474113 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1929354E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 2.1143624E-5 | 18.48791 | 2.0E-5 | 2.669866E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 3.3923534E-5 | 2.436368 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6695454E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.6922654E-4 | 1.2154397 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 5.8154266E-5 | 3.2032108 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.1780178E-4 | 1.5140665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 0.0010068242 | 1.063306 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009507259 | 1.0073469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 5.8154266E-5 | 3.2032108 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.1780178E-4 | 1.5140665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 0.0010068242 | 1.063306 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009507259 | 1.0073469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 5.8154266E-5 | 3.2032108 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.1780178E-4 | 1.5140665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 0.0010068242 | 1.063306 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009507259 | 1.0073469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 4.6202065E-5 | 2.8515303 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 9.943565E-5 | 1.4320117 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.950476E-4 | 1.0591153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.00848723 | 1.0070593 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 4.6202065E-5 | 2.8515303 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 9.943565E-5 | 1.4320117 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.950476E-4 | 1.0591153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.00848723 | 1.0070593 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 4.6202065E-5 | 2.8515303 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 9.943565E-5 | 1.4320117 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.950476E-4 | 1.0591153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.00848723 | 1.0070593 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.550216E-5 | 4.5501696E-5 | 2.9351842 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2234634E-5 | 6.643621E-5 | 9.643422E-5 | 1.4515309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.0857414E-4 | 8.585337E-4 | 1.0617872 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008065318 | 0.008124834 | 1.0073793 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.3452433E-5 | 3.3452165E-5 | 2.4866998 | 2.0E-5 | 7.546184E-5 | 5.7652058E-5 | 7.7650904E-5 | 1.3468887 | 2.0E-5 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.016959E-4 | 7.416679E-4 | 1.0569648 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.007002187 | 0.007051837 | 1.0070906 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.26286195E-5 | 3.2628366E-5 | 2.5836844 | 2.0E-5 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.4121574E-5 | 7.412049E-5 | 1.3695184 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8517193E-4 | 6.587383E-4 | 6.9871196E-4 | 1.0606822 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.0065738326 | 0.0066235038 | 1.007556 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.1750667E-5 | 2.175055E-5 | 1.8510056 | 1.0E-5 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.0359067E-5 | 6.0358565E-5 | 1.1985639 | 1.0E-5 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.129557E-4 | 6.429374E-4 | 1.0489131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006118268 | 0.006158023 | 1.0064977 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 9.538166E-6 | 1.953807E-5 | 2.0484097 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.0877225E-5 | 5.0876817E-5 | 1.244625 | 1.0E-5 | 6.944992E-4 | 4.975688E-4 | 5.2755384E-4 | 1.0602632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.0049682423 | 0.0050080433 | 1.0080111 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.082002E-6 | 1.908191E-5 | 2.1010687 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5136024E-5 | 3.8922295E-5 | 4.8921906E-5 | 1.2569121 | 1.0E-5 | 6.710743E-4 | 4.7377803E-4 | 5.037638E-4 | 1.0632908 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0047308183 | 0.004770629 | 1.0084152 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 7.911793E-6 | 1.7911714E-5 | 2.263926 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.390725E-5 | 4.390691E-5 | 1.2949122 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.1274406E-4 | 4.4273166E-4 | 1.0726542 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004121075 | 0.00416091 | 1.0096662 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 6.614802E-6 | 1.6614735E-5 | 2.5117512 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2893007E-5 | 2.834885E-5 | 3.8348564E-5 | 1.352738 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.450938E-4 | 3.650869E-4 | 1.0579352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.00344589 | 0.0034757867 | 1.008676 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 5.8981586E-6 | 1.58981E-5 | 2.6954343 | 1.0E-5 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.5277584E-5 | 3.527733E-5 | 1.3955975 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.077123E-4 | 3.2770613E-4 | 1.0649757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00474572 | 0.0030729864 | 0.0031028942 | 1.0097325 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 4.953516E-6 | 1.4953466E-5 | 3.018758 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.1229187E-5 | 3.1228974E-5 | 1.4710397 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.5843576E-4 | 2.784306E-4 | 1.0773686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0025814592 | 0.0026113817 | 1.0115913 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.297381E-6 | 1.4297339E-5 | 3.3269885 | 1.0E-5 | 2.990303E-5 | 1.8417224E-5 | 2.841704E-5 | 1.54296 | 1.0E-5 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.2420762E-4 | 2.4420314E-4 | 1.0891831 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003634129 | 0.002239912 | 0.002269845 | 1.0133634 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.1180197E-6 | 2.1180197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.077199E-6 | 9.077199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.10509915E-4 | 1.2050881E-4 | 1.0904796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0011046109 | 0.0011145999 | 1.009043 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 3.094552E-5 | 2.8271751 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 6.690882E-5 | 1.4263306 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 6.110055E-4 | 1.0700091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.005770289 | 1.0122092 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 3.094552E-5 | 2.8271751 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 6.690882E-5 | 1.4263306 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 6.110055E-4 | 1.0700091 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.005770289 | 1.0122092 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.2189188E-5 | 5.5678473 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.9382225E-5 | 2.0658245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.4422444E-4 | 1.2626029 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011720617 | 1.0262375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.2189188E-5 | 5.5678473 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.9382225E-5 | 2.0658245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.4422444E-4 | 1.2626029 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011720617 | 1.0262375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.1795301E-5 | 6.57003 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 1.7694148E-5 | 2.299666 | 1.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 1.2367438E-4 | 1.3202187 | 3.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 9.6674386E-4 | 1.0319948 | 3.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963649E-6 | 1.896356E-5 | 2.1156073 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.7912076E-4 | 1.6413763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011608131 | 1.0640979 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963649E-6 | 1.896356E-5 | 2.1156073 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.7912076E-4 | 1.6413763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011608131 | 1.0640979 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.0842303E-7 | 9.0842303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.739922E-5 | 8.7397326E-5 | 1.8438557 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.138819E-4 | 1.0843658 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.0842303E-7 | 9.0842303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.739922E-5 | 8.7397326E-5 | 1.8438557 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.138819E-4 | 1.0843658 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 5.9941647E-7 | 5.9941647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.568925E-6 | 2.568925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.1276217E-5 | 6.127528E-5 | 1.9591653 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6312963E-4 | 3.127184E-4 | 3.4270898E-4 | 1.0959029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 5.9349827E-7 | 5.9349827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5435613E-6 | 2.5435613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.096742E-5 | 6.0966493E-5 | 1.96873 | 3.0E-5 | 3.600655E-4 | 3.096313E-4 | 3.39622E-4 | 1.0968595 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.449933E-7 | 5.449933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3356836E-6 | 2.3356836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.8436578E-5 | 5.8435726E-5 | 2.0549493 | 3.0E-5 | 3.349229E-4 | 2.8432952E-4 | 3.14321E-4 | 1.1054814 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.167146E-7 | 5.167146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.214489E-6 | 2.214489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.6961072E-5 | 5.6960263E-5 | 2.1126854 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2025913E-4 | 2.6957813E-4 | 2.9957003E-4 | 1.111255 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 4.9073464E-7 | 4.9073464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1031467E-6 | 2.1031467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.560551E-5 | 5.560474E-5 | 2.171593 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0508233E-4 | 2.560257E-4 | 2.86018E-4 | 1.1171458 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.4862446E-7 | 4.4862446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9226748E-6 | 1.9226748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3408315E-5 | 4.3407847E-5 | 1.8543773 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7769682E-4 | 2.3405858E-4 | 2.5405388E-4 | 1.0854287 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.0203426E-7 | 4.0203426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.7230027E-6 | 1.7230027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.0977357E-5 | 4.0976938E-5 | 1.9533889 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5119373E-4 | 2.0975384E-4 | 2.2974965E-4 | 1.0953299 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.4624534E-7 | 3.4624534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.4839077E-6 | 1.4839077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8066426E-5 | 3.8066064E-5 | 2.1070058 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1877629E-4 | 1.8064963E-4 | 2.0064601E-4 | 1.1106915 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.711687E-7 | 2.711687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1621509E-6 | 1.1621509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.41490955E-5 | 1.41490955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787505E-4 | 1.4148197E-4 | 1.4148197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.1500543E-7 | 2.1500543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.2145143E-7 | 9.2145143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.12186135E-5 | 1.12186135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4489799E-4 | 1.1218049E-4 | 1.1218049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.7303725E-7 | 1.7303725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.41588E-7 | 7.41588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.028796E-6 | 9.028796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18733085E-4 | 9.028431E-5 | 9.028431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3086897E-7 | 1.3086897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.6086685E-7 | 5.6086685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.326646E-6 | 6.8285326E-6 | 6.8285326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.326255E-5 | 6.828324E-5 | 6.828324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 8.8888996E-8 | 8.8888996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.624805E-7 | 3.8095277E-7 | 3.8095277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.63809E-6 | 4.63809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8479676E-5 | 4.6379944E-5 | 4.6379944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 4.7951115E-8 | 4.7951115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.0550476E-7 | 2.0550476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.5020177E-6 | 2.5020177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4037708E-5 | 2.5019906E-5 | 2.5019906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 6.755714E-9 | 6.755714E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 2.8953057E-8 | 2.8953057E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.525034E-7 | 3.525034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699946E-6 | 3.5250287E-6 | 3.5250287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 4.1753556E-5 | 1.3149122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.6607699E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017154539 | 1.0361817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016506514 | 1.0041885 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 4.1753556E-5 | 1.3149122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.6607699E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017154539 | 1.0361817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016506514 | 1.0041885 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 4.1753556E-5 | 1.3149122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.6607699E-4 | 1.2204268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017154539 | 1.0361817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016506514 | 1.0041885 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932227E-5 | 3.993193E-5 | 1.3340781 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.282748E-4 | 1.5827095E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606506 | 0.0016105726 | 1.0319879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.0155024715 | 0.015561542 | 1.0038104 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932227E-5 | 3.993193E-5 | 1.3340781 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.282748E-4 | 1.5827095E-4 | 1.233843 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606506 | 0.0016105726 | 1.0319879 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.0155024715 | 0.015561542 | 1.0038104 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 2.8705115E-5 | 3.8704828E-5 | 1.34836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.2301626E-4 | 1.5301256E-4 | 1.2438402 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0014967172 | 0.0015366573 | 1.0266851 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014230782 | 0.01487184 | 0.014921097 | 1.0033121 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.71856E-5 | 3.7185328E-5 | 1.3678318 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.1650464E-4 | 1.4650114E-4 | 1.2574705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0014175435 | 0.0014574869 | 1.0281779 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013544982 | 0.014090409 | 0.014139704 | 1.0034986 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.534492E-5 | 3.5344667E-5 | 1.3945464 | 1.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.0861668E-4 | 1.2861451E-4 | 1.1841137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001321627 | 0.0013515874 | 1.0226693 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012701893 | 0.013142865 | 0.013182339 | 1.0030035 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.30637E-5 | 3.306347E-5 | 1.4335718 | 1.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 9.8840785E-5 | 1.1883881E-4 | 1.2023256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0012027405 | 0.0012327044 | 1.0249131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011539802 | 0.011967143 | 0.012006665 | 1.0033025 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.0648225E-5 | 3.0648018E-5 | 1.4842931 | 1.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 8.848948E-5 | 1.08487715E-4 | 1.2259955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0010768424 | 0.0011068102 | 1.0278292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010331288 | 0.010720725 | 0.010760296 | 1.0036911 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 1.9043156E-5 | 2.9042967E-5 | 1.525113 | 1.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.161106E-5 | 1.0160943E-4 | 1.2450448 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5722964E-4 | 9.931766E-4 | 0.0010231468 | 1.0301762 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009531168 | 0.009891747 | 0.009931351 | 1.0040038 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.8299625E-5 | 2.8299442E-5 | 1.5464493 | 1.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 7.842469E-5 | 9.842312E-5 | 1.2550018 | 2.0E-5 | 9.2145515E-4 | 9.5441705E-4 | 9.843884E-4 | 1.0314028 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009176437 | 0.0095074875 | 0.009547107 | 1.0041672 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.196261E-5 | 8.1961894E-5 | 1.1389511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 8.7580713E-4 | 8.957896E-4 | 1.0228161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008511325 | 0.008727556 | 0.008757294 | 1.0034074 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.48109775E-5 | 1.48109775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.347415E-5 | 7.3473515E-5 | 1.1575345 | 1.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 7.7253743E-4 | 7.92522E-4 | 1.0258687 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075480095 | 0.007700983 | 0.0077307518 | 1.0038656 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5080065E-5 | 5.604237E-5 | 6.604181E-5 | 1.1784264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 6.8211555E-4 | 7.021019E-4 | 1.0293006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0068025216 | 0.006832318 | 1.0043801 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.067556E-5 | 6.067505E-5 | 1.1973238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.168135E-4 | 6.368011E-4 | 1.0324047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006054099 | 0.0061532627 | 0.006183078 | 1.0048455 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.2831148E-5 | 1.2831148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.562139E-4 | 1.6621234E-4 | 1.0640048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0015619185 | 0.001571903 | 1.0063924 | 1.0E-5 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6875173E-4 | 2.9066665E-4 | 3.206579E-4 | 1.103181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011512847 | 0.0012451395 | 0.0012850898 | 1.032085 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013927074 | 0.015057551 | 0.015106797 | 1.0032706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.13085878 | 0.14451255 | 0.14457244 | 1.0004144 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 2.9066665E-4 | 3.206579E-4 | 1.103181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0012451395 | 0.0012850898 | 1.032085 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.015057551 | 0.015106797 | 1.0032706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.14451255 | 0.14457244 | 1.0004144 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 2.8719925E-4 | 3.1719063E-4 | 1.1044271 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0012302934 | 0.0012702441 | 1.0324726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.014877876 | 0.014927133 | 1.0033107 | 5.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.14254789 | 0.14260791 | 1.000421 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 2.833219E-4 | 3.133134E-4 | 1.1058567 | 3.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0012136917 | 0.0012536431 | 1.0329173 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.014678458 | 0.014727724 | 1.0033563 | 5.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.14042659 | 0.14048676 | 1.0004284 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 2.3520741E-4 | 2.6520036E-4 | 1.127517 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0010076474 | 0.0010376171 | 1.0297424 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.0122006135 | 0.012240125 | 1.0032386 | 4.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.11934395 | 0.11939679 | 1.0004427 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 2.193181E-4 | 2.4931153E-4 | 1.1367576 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 9.3960005E-4 | 9.695719E-4 | 1.0318985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.011380132 | 0.011419677 | 1.003475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.111669965 | 0.11172327 | 1.0004773 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 2.0564982E-4 | 2.3564365E-4 | 1.1458491 | 3.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 8.810617E-4 | 9.110353E-4 | 1.0340198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.010675918 | 0.010715491 | 1.0037067 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.1046347 | 0.10468842 | 1.0005134 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 1.9156067E-4 | 2.2155493E-4 | 1.1565783 | 3.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 8.2071853E-4 | 8.506939E-4 | 1.0365233 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.009947345 | 0.009986946 | 1.0039812 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.0971177 | 0.09717187 | 1.0005578 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 1.8490641E-4 | 2.1490087E-4 | 1.1622143 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 7.922178E-4 | 8.22194E-4 | 1.0378383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.009603096 | 0.009642712 | 1.0041254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.092694685 | 0.092749126 | 1.0005873 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 1.8011371E-4 | 2.1010831E-4 | 1.1665314 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 7.7168987E-4 | 8.0166676E-4 | 1.0388458 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.009355336 | 0.009394962 | 1.0042356 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.08949606 | 0.0895507 | 1.0006105 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 1.6010979E-4 | 1.9010498E-4 | 1.1873415 | 3.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 6.8600633E-4 | 7.159857E-4 | 1.0437014 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.00832054 | 0.008360207 | 1.0047674 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.07978554 | 0.07984076 | 1.000692 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 1.5810215E-4 | 1.880974E-4 | 1.1897207 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 6.774067E-4 | 7.073863E-4 | 1.0442566 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.0082166325 | 0.008256304 | 1.0048282 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.078805625 | 0.0788609 | 1.0007013 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.4245838E-4 | 1.7245409E-4 | 1.2105578 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 6.1039487E-4 | 6.403766E-4 | 1.0491185 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.007406597 | 0.007446301 | 1.0053606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.07150153 | 0.071557246 | 1.0007792 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.3189338E-4 | 1.6188943E-4 | 1.2274264 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 5.6513667E-4 | 5.951197E-4 | 1.0530545 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.00685917 | 0.0068988954 | 1.0057917 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.066517115 | 0.06657313 | 1.000842 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 8.146656E-5 | 1.1146411E-4 | 1.3682193 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 3.490962E-4 | 3.7908572E-4 | 1.0859061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.00424206 | 0.00428189 | 1.0093894 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.042132325 | 0.042189796 | 1.0013641 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 5.670093E-5 | 8.669923E-5 | 1.5290618 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 2.4298155E-4 | 2.7297426E-4 | 1.1234362 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0029543207 | 0.0029942025 | 1.0134995 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.029738242 | 0.029796457 | 1.0019577 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 3.9025115E-5 | 6.902394E-5 | 1.7687057 | 3.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 1.6723984E-4 | 1.9723483E-4 | 1.1793531 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0020342562 | 0.002074175 | 1.0196232 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.02073941 | 0.020798165 | 1.002833 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 2.2754313E-5 | 5.2753632E-5 | 2.3184013 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 9.751485E-5 | 1.2751193E-4 | 1.3076154 | 3.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0011865989 | 0.0012265514 | 1.0336698 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.012373193 | 0.01243245 | 1.0047892 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 1.6436632E-5 | 4.643614E-5 | 2.8251615 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 7.044081E-5 | 1.00438694E-4 | 1.4258595 | 3.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 8.572802E-4 | 8.9724595E-4 | 1.0466192 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.009091499 | 0.009150954 | 1.0065396 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 1.0939822E-5 | 3.0939602E-5 | 2.8281634 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 4.6884106E-5 | 6.688317E-5 | 1.4265637 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 5.7066476E-4 | 5.906534E-4 | 1.0350268 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.006175652 | 0.0062054666 | 1.0048277 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 8.630375E-6 | 2.8630204E-5 | 3.3173761 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 3.6986803E-5 | 5.698606E-5 | 1.5407134 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 4.5022147E-4 | 4.7021246E-4 | 1.0444026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.0049129045 | 0.004942757 | 1.0060763 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 2.501479E-6 | 2.2501428E-5 | 8.99525 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4694053E-5 | 1.0720581E-5 | 3.0720366E-5 | 2.8655508 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7888541E-4 | 1.3051527E-4 | 1.5051266E-4 | 1.1532187 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.001473521 | 0.0014934915 | 1.0135529 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 5.493546E-7 | 5.493546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 2.3543748E-6 | 2.3543748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 2.8664137E-5 | 2.8664137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 3.5481597E-4 | 3.5481597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 2.9670795E-9 | 2.9670795E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 1.2716056E-8 | 1.2716056E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 1.5481798E-7 | 1.5481798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 1.6590303E-6 | 1.6590303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.828942E-5 | 2.8289236E-5 | 1.5467542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.838114E-5 | 1.0837879E-4 | 1.3827151 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.5391995E-4 | 9.938818E-4 | 1.0418923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.00950297 | 0.009572304 | 1.0072961 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.9494262E-5 | 2.0532472 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 7.068829E-5 | 1.7372607 | 3.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.3527113E-4 | 1.0807207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049924874 | 1.0100659 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.9494262E-5 | 2.0532472 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 7.068829E-5 | 1.7372607 | 3.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.3527113E-4 | 1.0807207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049924874 | 1.0100659 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.7591969E-5 | 2.3171582 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.003994199 | 1.0100754 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.7591969E-5 | 2.3171582 | 1.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 5.253632E-5 | 1.6146654 | 2.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.260607E-4 | 1.0757136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.003994199 | 1.0100754 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 1.6341493E-5 | 2.57689 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.717785E-5 | 4.7177306E-5 | 1.7358733 | 2.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3084644E-4 | 3.608365E-4 | 1.0906465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033041644 | 0.0033340652 | 1.0090494 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 1.585278E-5 | 2.7085626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.508339E-5 | 4.508289E-5 | 1.7973204 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0535375E-4 | 3.3534458E-4 | 1.0982167 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030499578 | 0.0030798665 | 1.0098062 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 1.548525E-5 | 2.8230426 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3508273E-5 | 4.3507804E-5 | 1.8507444 | 2.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8618184E-4 | 3.1617327E-4 | 1.1047984 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028587442 | 0.0028886585 | 1.0104641 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8024226E-5 | 2.8024046E-5 | 1.5547988 | 1.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.194287E-4 | 2.394243E-4 | 1.0911257 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0021926926 | 0.0022126487 | 1.0091012 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ozena
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 2.1448925E-5 | 14.803046 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 8.257345E-4 | 1.0925486 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.223257E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 2.0930062E-5 | 22.503502 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9528186E-6 | 3.986052E-6 | 2.3985973E-5 | 6.0174756 | 2.0E-5 | 4.81245E-5 | 4.8529146E-5 | 6.852818E-5 | 1.4121034 | 2.0E-5 | 4.811408E-4 | 4.851895E-4 | 5.451604E-4 | 1.123603 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.141515E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 2.0921845E-5 | 22.695154 | 2.0E-5 | 3.917786E-6 | 3.95084E-6 | 2.395076E-5 | 6.062195 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7698002E-5 | 4.8100454E-5 | 6.809949E-5 | 1.4157765 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7687767E-4 | 4.8090445E-4 | 5.408756E-4 | 1.124705 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.767648E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 2.088422E-5 | 23.618362 | 2.0E-5 | 3.757558E-6 | 3.7895798E-6 | 2.3789504E-5 | 6.27761 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5747307E-5 | 4.6137196E-5 | 6.613627E-5 | 1.4334697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5737892E-4 | 4.6128008E-4 | 5.212524E-4 | 1.1300129 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.199402E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 1.0826998E-5 | 13.091797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5140247E-6 | 3.544308E-6 | 1.3544272E-5 | 3.8214154 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2782412E-5 | 4.315113E-5 | 5.31507E-5 | 1.2317337 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2774176E-4 | 4.3143122E-4 | 4.8140966E-4 | 1.1158433 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.38705E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 1.0745045E-5 | 14.421867 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1658747E-6 | 3.1930774E-6 | 1.3193046E-5 | 4.131765 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8543843E-5 | 3.887506E-5 | 4.887467E-5 | 1.2572243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.853716E-4 | 3.8868608E-4 | 4.2867055E-4 | 1.1028708 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.490017E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7814328E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.386342E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3858258E-4 | 3.4149305E-4 | 3.714828E-4 | 1.0878195 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.346736E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.291456E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789812E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789462E-4 | 2.8133087E-4 | 3.1132242E-4 | 1.106606 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.939325E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25971E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5336862E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335804E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.6452862E-4 | 1.0647023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4151905E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065101E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3842357E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.38399E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.4957577E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9267533E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3458194E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3457947E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.9993255E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5711394E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303617E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303573E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 1.0713354E-4 | 1.3888942 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 3.6053912E-4 | 1.090728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040185 | 0.004048379 | 1.0074354 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.03951823 | 0.03957586 | 1.0014583 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 1.0713354E-4 | 1.3888942 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 3.6053912E-4 | 1.090728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040185 | 0.004048379 | 1.0074354 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.03951823 | 0.03957586 | 1.0014583 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6963574E-5 | 7.393462E-5 | 1.03932405E-4 | 1.405734 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4410675E-4 | 3.168328E-4 | 3.468233E-4 | 1.0946572 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029679495 | 0.0038521325 | 0.003882017 | 1.0077579 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029286223 | 0.03791557 | 0.037973296 | 1.0015224 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 7.389071E-5 | 1.03888495E-4 | 1.405975 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.1664464E-4 | 3.4663515E-4 | 1.0947134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0038498498 | 0.0038797343 | 1.0077626 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.03789364 | 0.03795137 | 1.0015234 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 6.859849E-5 | 9.859643E-5 | 1.4372975 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 2.9396891E-4 | 3.239601E-4 | 1.1020216 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0035747054 | 0.003604598 | 1.0083623 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.035269156 | 0.03532704 | 1.0016412 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 4.8340036E-5 | 5.8339556E-5 | 1.2068578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.0716118E-4 | 2.171591E-4 | 1.0482616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.00252034 | 0.002530315 | 1.0039577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.025110558 | 0.025149552 | 1.0015529 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 1.8816856E-5 | 1.8816856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 8.064126E-5 | 8.064126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 9.813791E-4 | 9.813791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014360986 | 0.010030389 | 0.010060088 | 1.0029609 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 1.8097991E-5 | 1.8097991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 7.7560595E-5 | 7.7560595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 9.4390503E-4 | 9.4390503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014053487 | 0.009658236 | 0.009687946 | 1.0030762 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 1.5961024E-5 | 1.5961024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 6.8402645E-5 | 6.8402645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 8.3249283E-4 | 8.3249283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0132051185 | 0.008543945 | 0.008573689 | 1.0034813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.195255E-5 | 1.195255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 5.1224222E-5 | 5.1224222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 6.234789E-4 | 6.234789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010981417 | 0.0064337486 | 0.0064635556 | 1.004633 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.07835085E-5 | 1.07835085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 4.6214227E-5 | 4.6214227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 5.625145E-4 | 5.625145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738087 | 0.005810622 | 0.005840448 | 1.0051329 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.0714799E-5 | 1.0714799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 4.591977E-5 | 4.591977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 5.589313E-4 | 5.589313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009698939 | 0.005774696 | 0.005804523 | 1.0051651 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.0078809E-5 | 1.0078809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 4.319419E-5 | 4.319419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 5.257638E-4 | 5.257638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009247236 | 0.0054414803 | 0.005471317 | 1.0054832 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 9.28883E-6 | 9.28883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 3.9808674E-5 | 3.9808674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 4.84564E-4 | 4.84564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00861587 | 0.005027621 | 0.0050574704 | 1.005937 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 9.1647635E-6 | 9.1647635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 3.9276973E-5 | 3.9276973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 4.780934E-4 | 4.780934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008514405 | 0.004962614 | 0.004992465 | 1.0060152 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 8.8687175E-6 | 8.8687175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 3.8008242E-5 | 3.8008242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 4.6265323E-4 | 4.6265323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008205604 | 0.004806034 | 0.0048358897 | 1.0062121 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 8.058102E-6 | 8.058102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 3.453427E-5 | 3.453427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 4.2037462E-4 | 4.2037462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007407237 | 0.004376968 | 0.004406837 | 1.006824 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 6.200666E-6 | 6.200666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 2.6574015E-5 | 2.6574015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 3.2349085E-4 | 3.2349085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006005941 | 0.003398643 | 0.0034285411 | 1.008797 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 5.0492754E-6 | 5.0492754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 2.1639573E-5 | 2.1639573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 2.634301E-4 | 2.634301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.002788691 | 0.0028186075 | 1.0107278 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 3.5056948E-6 | 3.5056948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 1.502432E-5 | 1.502432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 1.8290586E-4 | 1.8290586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0019697382 | 0.001999679 | 1.0152005 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 2.7857948E-6 | 2.7857948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 1.1939066E-5 | 1.1939066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 1.4534855E-4 | 1.4534855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.001582912 | 0.0016028804 | 1.012615 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 2.3946548E-6 | 2.3946548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 1.0262766E-5 | 1.0262766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 1.2494212E-4 | 1.2494212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0013670959 | 0.0013670959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 1.4583094E-7 | 1.4583094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 6.249896E-7 | 6.249896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 7.609223E-6 | 7.609223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 9.050793E-5 | 9.050793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 4.358077E-9 | 4.358077E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 5.3059587E-8 | 5.3059587E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 6.245385E-7 | 6.245385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 2.5710116E-5 | 1.6365162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 7.732734E-5 | 1.1485165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.294038E-4 | 1.0121939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 2.5710116E-5 | 1.6365162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 7.732734E-5 | 1.1485165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.294038E-4 | 1.0121939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 2.5710116E-5 | 1.6365162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 7.732734E-5 | 1.1485165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.294038E-4 | 1.0121939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 2.5710116E-5 | 1.6365162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 7.732734E-5 | 1.1485165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.294038E-4 | 1.0121939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 2.5710116E-5 | 1.6365162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 7.732734E-5 | 1.1485165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.294038E-4 | 1.0121939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647789E-5 | 2.5647632E-5 | 1.6390579 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.706024E-5 | 7.705957E-5 | 1.1491096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.161543E-4 | 8.261461E-4 | 1.0122426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426696 | 0.00848619 | 1.0070602 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647789E-5 | 2.5647632E-5 | 1.6390579 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.706024E-5 | 7.705957E-5 | 1.1491096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.161543E-4 | 8.261461E-4 | 1.0122426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426696 | 0.00848619 | 1.0070602 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 1.5576496E-5 | 2.5576339E-5 | 1.6419829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 6.675471E-5 | 7.675404E-5 | 1.1497922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 8.124372E-4 | 8.224291E-4 | 1.0122986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.008389787 | 0.008449283 | 1.0070915 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 1.5499601E-5 | 2.5499447E-5 | 1.6451678 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 6.6425186E-5 | 7.642452E-5 | 1.1505353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 8.084283E-4 | 8.1842014E-4 | 1.0123597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.008349822 | 0.008409321 | 1.0071257 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 1.542677E-5 | 2.5426616E-5 | 1.6482139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 6.611306E-5 | 7.61124E-5 | 1.1512461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 8.04631E-4 | 8.146229E-4 | 1.012418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.00831194 | 0.008371442 | 1.0071585 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 1.5021637E-5 | 2.5021487E-5 | 1.6656964 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 6.4376865E-5 | 7.437622E-5 | 1.1553253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 7.835081E-4 | 7.9350034E-4 | 1.0127531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.00810164 | 0.008161154 | 1.0073459 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 1.4860556E-5 | 2.4860408E-5 | 1.6729124 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 6.368655E-5 | 7.3685915E-5 | 1.157009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 7.7510957E-4 | 7.8510185E-4 | 1.0128914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.008017821 | 0.00807734 | 1.0074233 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 1.4132978E-5 | 2.4132836E-5 | 1.7075549 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 6.056851E-5 | 7.0567905E-5 | 1.1650923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 7.3717354E-4 | 7.4716617E-4 | 1.0135553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0076376777 | 0.0076972195 | 1.0077958 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 1.3002491E-5 | 2.300236E-5 | 1.7690735 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 5.5723776E-5 | 6.5723216E-5 | 1.1794466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 6.78227E-4 | 6.8822026E-4 | 1.0147343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.0070460937 | 0.007105671 | 1.0084554 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 1.2770469E-5 | 2.277034E-5 | 1.7830466 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 5.4729437E-5 | 6.472889E-5 | 1.1827071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 6.661284E-4 | 6.7612174E-4 | 1.0150021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.006924313 | 0.0069838976 | 1.0086051 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 1.2376254E-5 | 2.2376129E-5 | 1.807989 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 5.3040014E-5 | 6.3039486E-5 | 1.1885269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 6.45572E-4 | 6.555656E-4 | 1.0154802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.0067164414 | 0.006776038 | 1.0088733 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.1197899E-5 | 2.1197788E-5 | 1.8930147 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 4.799012E-5 | 5.798964E-5 | 1.2083663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 5.8412406E-4 | 5.941182E-4 | 1.0171096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.0060949195 | 0.006154554 | 1.0097842 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 9.281411E-6 | 1.9281319E-5 | 2.0774124 | 1.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 3.977687E-5 | 4.9776474E-5 | 1.2513924 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 4.8417607E-4 | 4.941712E-4 | 1.0206436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.0050873714 | 0.0051470664 | 1.0117339 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 7.865426E-6 | 1.7865348E-5 | 2.2713768 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 3.3708533E-5 | 4.3708198E-5 | 1.2966508 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 4.1032428E-4 | 4.2032017E-4 | 1.024361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.0043387865 | 0.004398526 | 1.0137688 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 5.4778284E-6 | 1.5477774E-5 | 2.825531 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 2.3476196E-5 | 3.347596E-5 | 1.4259534 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 2.8578533E-4 | 2.9578246E-4 | 1.0349813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.003072997 | 0.0031128742 | 1.0129766 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 4.4052535E-6 | 4.4052535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 1.887952E-5 | 1.887952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 2.2983404E-4 | 2.2983404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0024952958 | 0.002515246 | 1.0079951 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 2.9357104E-6 | 2.9357104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 1.2581556E-5 | 1.2581556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 1.5316978E-4 | 1.5316978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.001675989 | 0.001675989 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 2.2909215E-7 | 2.2909215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 9.818232E-7 | 9.818232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 1.1953633E-5 | 1.1953633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 1.438158E-4 | 1.438158E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 1.2995597E-8 | 1.2995597E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 5.5695413E-8 | 5.5695413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 6.7809145E-7 | 6.7809145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 8.5223455E-6 | 8.5223455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 2.0141844E-5 | 1.9859942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 6.3463944E-5 | 1.4601223 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.5904995E-4 | 1.0566738 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.0053288164 | 1.0094213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 2.0141844E-5 | 1.9859942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 6.3463944E-5 | 1.4601223 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.5904995E-4 | 1.0566738 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.0053288164 | 1.0094213 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.4671551E-5 | 3.140585 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 3.0020788E-5 | 1.4994658 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.5372708E-4 | 1.0410191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024447225 | 1.0040972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.4671551E-5 | 3.140585 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 3.0020788E-5 | 1.4994658 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.5372708E-4 | 1.0410191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024447225 | 1.0040972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 1.3490427E-5 | 3.8649404 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 2.4958892E-5 | 1.6684821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.921101E-4 | 1.0549012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018197089 | 0.0018296906 | 1.0054854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 1.2911049E-5 | 4.435143 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 2.247587E-5 | 1.8015293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.6188387E-4 | 1.0658292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015178887 | 0.0015278736 | 1.0065781 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 1.2314968E-5 | 5.31966 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 1.9921259E-5 | 2.0079167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.3078525E-4 | 1.0827807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012072689 | 0.0012172569 | 1.0082731 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.1946772E-5 | 6.1366453 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 1.8343288E-5 | 2.1985464 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.1157537E-4 | 1.098438 | 1.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010153563 | 0.0010253461 | 1.0098387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.1533562E-5 | 7.520688 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 1.6572398E-5 | 2.5214894 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 9.0016525E-5 | 1.1249629 | 1.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 8.0992753E-4 | 1.012491 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4160125E-5 | 2.5073885E-5 | 3.5073634E-5 | 1.3988113 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03539285E-4 | 1.0745516E-4 | 1.3745193E-4 | 1.2791562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012598617 | 0.0013074947 | 0.0013374555 | 1.0229146 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01252743 | 0.012999575 | 0.013048925 | 1.0037963 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 2.1919479E-5 | 3.191926E-5 | 1.4562052 | 1.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 9.39373E-5 | 1.0393636E-4 | 1.106444 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 0.0011430975 | 0.0011530861 | 1.0087382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.011373425 | 0.011403084 | 1.0026077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.6707181E-5 | 1.6707181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 7.160026E-5 | 7.160026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 8.7138783E-4 | 8.7138783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.008680111 | 0.008699937 | 1.0022842 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.3942421E-5 | 1.3942421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 5.975187E-5 | 5.975187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 7.272375E-4 | 7.272375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0072487476 | 0.0072686025 | 1.0027391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.2435048E-5 | 1.2435048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 5.3291977E-5 | 5.3291977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 6.486374E-4 | 6.486374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0064675477 | 0.0064874184 | 1.0030724 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 1.1631367E-5 | 1.1631367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.9847764E-5 | 4.9847764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 6.067282E-4 | 6.067282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.00605081 | 0.0060706893 | 1.0032853 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 1.0065567E-5 | 1.0065567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 4.3137432E-5 | 4.3137432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 5.250721E-4 | 5.250721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0052383733 | 0.0052483208 | 1.001899 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.8701055E-5 | 3.8701055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 4.710838E-4 | 4.710838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.004700899 | 0.004710852 | 1.0021173 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0040611294 | 0.0040710885 | 1.0024524 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0034473746 | 0.00345734 | 1.0028907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 5.5037535E-6 | 5.5037535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 2.3587303E-5 | 2.3587303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002867694 | 0.002867694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 2.3422873E-4 | 2.3422873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0023398416 | 0.0023398416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0014411494 | 0.0014411494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.9817282E-6 | 1.9817282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 8.493093E-6 | 8.493093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 1.0339851E-4 | 1.0339851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 0.0010335054 | 0.0010335054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.8725094E-6 | 6.8725094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 8.366959E-5 | 8.366959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 8.363822E-4 | 8.363822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.2571805E-6 | 1.2571805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 5.3879053E-6 | 5.3879053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 6.557653E-4 | 6.557653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 8.583903E-7 | 8.583903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.6788103E-6 | 3.6788103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.4788594E-5 | 4.4788594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.4779677E-4 | 4.4779677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.5945433E-7 | 4.5945433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.9690883E-6 | 1.9690883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.3973387E-5 | 2.3973387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.3970901E-4 | 2.3970901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.6414175E-7 | 1.6414175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 7.034644E-7 | 7.034644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.564646E-6 | 8.564646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.5644104E-5 | 8.5644104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.525283E-8 | 4.525283E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9394069E-7 | 1.9394069E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.3612254E-6 | 2.3612254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.3612933E-5 | 2.3612933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 6.032519E-10 | 6.032519E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 2.5853648E-9 | 2.5853648E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 3.1476816E-8 | 3.1476816E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 3.1562115E-7 | 3.1562115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 1.061468E-4 | 1.393934 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.767264E-4 | 1.0539007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009283767 | 1.0053647 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 1.061468E-4 | 1.393934 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.767264E-4 | 1.0539007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009283767 | 1.0053647 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 1.061468E-4 | 1.393934 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.767264E-4 | 1.0539007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009283767 | 1.0053647 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 3.3025764E-5 | 2.5353677 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 7.582372E-5 | 1.3582435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 7.194656E-4 | 1.0588274 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006817561 | 1.0058616 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 3.3025764E-5 | 2.5353677 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 7.582372E-5 | 1.3582435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 7.194656E-4 | 1.0588274 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006817561 | 1.0058616 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 1.1077539E-5 | 2.1077429E-5 | 1.9027176 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 4.74745E-5 | 5.7474026E-5 | 1.2106293 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 5.778837E-4 | 5.9787213E-4 | 1.034589 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0057672434 | 0.005787128 | 1.0034479 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 1.0387575E-5 | 1.0387575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 4.4517612E-5 | 4.4517612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 5.4190174E-4 | 5.518963E-4 | 1.0184436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0054092025 | 0.0054191486 | 1.0018387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 9.306163E-6 | 9.306163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 3.9883136E-5 | 3.9883136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 4.8550274E-4 | 4.954979E-4 | 1.0205872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0048477356 | 0.0048576873 | 1.0020528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 5.621261E-6 | 5.621261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 2.4091001E-5 | 2.4091001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 2.9328724E-4 | 3.032843E-4 | 1.0340862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0029308414 | 0.0029408121 | 1.003402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 4.90917E-6 | 4.90917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 2.1039235E-5 | 2.1039235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 2.5614107E-4 | 2.661385E-4 | 1.039031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0025602705 | 0.002570245 | 1.0038959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 1.5938705E-5 | 1.5938705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 1.9405373E-4 | 2.0405179E-4 | 1.0515221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017889962 | 0.0019405374 | 0.0019505179 | 1.0051432 | 1.0E-5 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017503648 | 1.0174077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017130584 | 1.0028771 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017503648 | 1.0174077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017130584 | 1.0028771 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.0017503648 | 1.0174077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017130584 | 1.0028771 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011771587 | 1.0172634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011543473 | 1.0025755 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011771587 | 1.0172634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011543473 | 1.0025755 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 9.958873E-4 | 1.0204737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.009717801 | 0.009737606 | 1.0020381 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 8.7873155E-4 | 1.0232697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.008555597 | 0.0085754255 | 1.0023177 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 7.5121236E-4 | 1.0273312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.007289222 | 0.0073090764 | 1.0027238 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 6.0152204E-4 | 1.0343719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.005800517 | 0.005820401 | 1.003428 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 5.149688E-4 | 1.0403857 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0049390728 | 0.004958974 | 1.0040294 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 3.928886E-4 | 1.026107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0038225418 | 0.0038325035 | 1.002606 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 3.377396E-4 | 1.0305017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0032727942 | 0.0032827614 | 1.0030454 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 2.506169E-4 | 1.0415494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022297418 | 0.0024037457 | 0.0024137215 | 1.0041502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.1604258E-4 | 1.0942909 | 1.0E-5 | 9.806695E-4 | 0.0010600026 | 0.001069992 | 1.009424 | 1.0E-5 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.0025668936 | 1.0117952 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025145615 | 1.0019423 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.0025668936 | 1.0117952 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025145615 | 1.0019423 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.0025668936 | 1.0117952 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025145615 | 1.0019423 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.0025668936 | 1.0117952 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025145615 | 1.0019423 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 5.0703606E-5 | 1.245666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.8443285E-4 | 1.0573181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516976 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.021073662 | 1.0023282 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 5.0703606E-5 | 1.245666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.8443285E-4 | 1.0573181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.0021516976 | 1.0141093 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.021073662 | 1.0023282 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.2569693E-5 | 3.2569693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3957711E-4 | 1.3957711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016980603 | 0.0017080433 | 1.005879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016854677 | 0.01688417 | 1.0017499 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.2187585E-5 | 3.2187585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.379397E-4 | 1.379397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016781555 | 0.0016881387 | 1.0059489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.016658626 | 0.016688125 | 1.0017709 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.6534584E-5 | 2.6534584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.13714814E-4 | 1.13714814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013836197 | 0.0013936058 | 1.0072174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.013752422 | 0.013772148 | 1.0014343 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.4894278E-5 | 2.4894278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0668551E-4 | 1.0668551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.001298142 | 0.001308129 | 1.0076933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012907784 | 0.012927527 | 1.0015295 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.327173E-5 | 2.327173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.9732286E-5 | 9.9732286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0012135835 | 0.0012235714 | 1.0082301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01207166 | 0.012091419 | 1.0016367 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.2005144E-5 | 2.2005144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 9.4304465E-5 | 9.4304465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0011475713 | 0.0011575597 | 1.0087041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0114184925 | 0.0114382645 | 1.0017315 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 2.0286569E-5 | 2.0286569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.6939646E-5 | 8.6939646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 0.001057995 | 0.0010679844 | 1.0094419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.010531557 | 0.010551346 | 1.0018791 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4760837E-5 | 1.4760837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3259264E-5 | 6.3259264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.6992146E-4 | 7.799138E-4 | 1.0129783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007673774 | 0.0076936204 | 1.0025862 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.0569631E-5 | 1.0569631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 4.529768E-5 | 4.529768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 5.51368E-4 | 5.51368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0055008316 | 0.0055008316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 7.951211E-6 | 7.951211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.4076213E-5 | 3.4076213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.148057E-4 | 4.148057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004140986 | 0.004140986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 3.483758E-6 | 3.483758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.49303105E-5 | 1.49303105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 1.8176211E-4 | 1.8176211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0018162079 | 0.0018162079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 2.5975364E-6 | 2.5975364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.1132255E-5 | 1.1132255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.3552746E-4 | 1.3552746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0013545152 | 0.0013545152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 4.0468716E-5 | 1.9770614 | 2.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 1.07720225E-4 | 1.227973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0011074684 | 1.0374303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010696493 | 1.0046462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 4.0468716E-5 | 1.9770614 | 2.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 1.07720225E-4 | 1.227973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0011074684 | 1.0374303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010696493 | 1.0046462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 4.0468716E-5 | 1.9770614 | 2.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 1.07720225E-4 | 1.227973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0011074684 | 1.0374303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010696493 | 1.0046462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849444E-5 | 3.684911E-5 | 2.1869626 | 2.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.2209994E-5 | 9.220855E-5 | 1.27695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.788172E-4 | 9.187821E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759968 | 0.00880953 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849444E-5 | 3.684911E-5 | 2.1869626 | 2.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.2209994E-5 | 9.220855E-5 | 1.27695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.788172E-4 | 9.187821E-4 | 1.0454757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759968 | 0.00880953 | 1.0056578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.3531861E-5 | 3.353159E-5 | 2.4779732 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8592806E-5 | 5.7992445E-5 | 7.799128E-5 | 1.3448526 | 2.0E-5 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.0583675E-4 | 7.4580853E-4 | 1.0566304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0070377495 | 0.0070873974 | 1.0070546 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.3398858E-5 | 3.3398588E-5 | 2.4926445 | 2.0E-5 | 7.809766E-5 | 5.7422454E-5 | 7.7421304E-5 | 1.3482758 | 2.0E-5 | 9.504242E-4 | 6.9890154E-4 | 7.388736E-4 | 1.0571927 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.006968833 | 0.007018484 | 1.0071248 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.287047E-5 | 3.287021E-5 | 2.5539248 | 2.0E-5 | 7.505249E-5 | 5.515803E-5 | 7.515693E-5 | 1.3625745 | 2.0E-5 | 9.13381E-4 | 6.713494E-4 | 7.113226E-4 | 1.0595415 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.006699119 | 0.0067487843 | 1.0074136 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.2800606E-5 | 3.280035E-5 | 2.562406 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.485863E-5 | 7.485753E-5 | 1.3645535 | 2.0E-5 | 9.083966E-4 | 6.677064E-4 | 7.076797E-4 | 1.0598665 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0066622305 | 0.0067118974 | 1.007455 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.1898962E-5 | 2.1898843E-5 | 1.8403994 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.099459E-5 | 6.099408E-5 | 1.1960893 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.206888E-4 | 6.5067015E-4 | 1.0483034 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.006194879 | 0.006234631 | 1.0064169 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 9.943977E-6 | 1.9943876E-5 | 2.0056238 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.2616357E-5 | 5.261593E-5 | 1.2346417 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.187329E-4 | 5.4871733E-4 | 1.0578033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.005178921 | 0.0052187135 | 1.0076836 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 9.448799E-6 | 1.9448704E-5 | 2.0583255 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.0494237E-5 | 5.0493833E-5 | 1.2469387 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9922156E-4 | 4.929079E-4 | 5.228931E-4 | 1.0608333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0049212915 | 0.0049610944 | 1.008088 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.254654E-6 | 1.8254572E-5 | 2.2114277 | 1.0E-5 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.537662E-5 | 4.5376262E-5 | 1.2826626 | 1.0E-5 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.306267E-4 | 4.6061378E-4 | 1.0696359 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063146 | 0.0042992244 | 0.0043390524 | 1.009264 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 6.9648268E-6 | 1.6964757E-5 | 2.435776 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5019697E-5 | 2.9848923E-5 | 3.9848623E-5 | 1.3350104 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.6335125E-4 | 3.8334398E-4 | 1.0550232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005466277 | 0.0036278844 | 0.0036577757 | 1.0082393 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.2537188E-6 | 1.6253656E-5 | 2.5990386 | 1.0E-5 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.6801383E-5 | 3.6801113E-5 | 1.373105 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.2625915E-4 | 3.462526E-4 | 1.061281 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005009353 | 0.0032579273 | 0.0032878297 | 1.0091783 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.1918346E-6 | 1.5191783E-5 | 2.9260914 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.2250535E-5 | 3.2250315E-5 | 1.4494174 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.7086766E-4 | 2.9086226E-4 | 1.0738168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004277392 | 0.0027054832 | 0.0027354022 | 1.0110586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.295875E-6 | 1.42958315E-5 | 3.3278046 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9892764E-5 | 1.8410768E-5 | 2.8410584E-5 | 1.5431504 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.2412903E-4 | 2.4412455E-4 | 1.0892143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0022391279 | 0.0022690606 | 1.0133681 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.1167211E-6 | 2.1167211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.071634E-6 | 9.071634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.1044216E-4 | 1.2044106E-4 | 1.0905352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021680726 | 0.001103934 | 0.001113923 | 1.0090485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 3.9156053E-5 | 1.3429685 | 1.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015501844 | 1.0197039 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015151012 | 1.0032609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 3.9156053E-5 | 1.3429685 | 1.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015501844 | 1.0197039 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015151012 | 1.0032609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 3.9156053E-5 | 1.3429685 | 1.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015501844 | 1.0197039 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015151012 | 1.0032609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2776658E-5 | 3.277643E-5 | 1.439036 | 1.0E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.761062E-5 | 1.07609645E-4 | 1.1024379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011877662 | 0.0012177306 | 1.0252275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011815345 | 0.011854872 | 1.0033454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010364825 | 0.0010564618 | 1.019276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.010317305 | 0.010346996 | 1.0028777 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.394996E-5 | 8.394996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010216134 | 0.0010415929 | 1.0195569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.01016998 | 0.010199675 | 1.0029199 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7655797E-5 | 1.7655797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.566551E-5 | 7.566551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.2083955E-4 | 9.2083955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009170958 | 0.009180866 | 1.0010804 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.962799E-5 | 6.962799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008442291 | 0.008452206 | 1.0011746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4816687E-5 | 1.4816687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.349855E-5 | 6.349855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.728215E-4 | 7.728215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0077019786 | 0.0077119013 | 1.0012884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2884616E-5 | 1.2884616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.5218614E-5 | 5.5218614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.7207974E-4 | 6.7207974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.006701052 | 0.006710985 | 1.0014822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1272168E-5 | 1.1272168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.8308397E-5 | 4.8308397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.8799615E-4 | 5.8799615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0058649397 | 0.005874881 | 1.001695 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0166117E-5 | 1.0166117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.3568347E-5 | 4.3568347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.3031556E-4 | 5.3031556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052910275 | 0.0053009745 | 1.00188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.110645E-6 | 9.110645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.9045037E-5 | 3.9045037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7526968E-4 | 4.7526968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004743053 | 0.0047530057 | 1.0020983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.795795E-6 | 7.795795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3410124E-5 | 3.3410124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0669236E-4 | 4.0669236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040599937 | 0.004069953 | 1.0024531 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9289763E-6 | 6.9289763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9695275E-5 | 2.9695275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6148002E-4 | 3.6148002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036094307 | 0.0036193945 | 1.0027605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.858321E-6 | 5.858321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5106849E-5 | 2.5106849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.0563303E-4 | 3.0563303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0030526347 | 0.0030526347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.469611E-6 | 4.469611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9155335E-5 | 1.9155335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3319128E-4 | 2.3319128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023299716 | 0.0023299716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.519415E-6 | 2.519415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.0797448E-5 | 1.0797448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.31451E-4 | 1.31451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013142363 | 0.0013142363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 9.942685E-7 | 9.942685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.2611437E-6 | 4.2611437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.187819E-5 | 5.187819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.1916216E-4 | 5.1916216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 4.0911516E-7 | 4.0911516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 1.7533494E-6 | 1.7533494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.134682E-5 | 2.134682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.1392084E-4 | 2.1392084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 1.8500941E-7 | 1.8500941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 7.928972E-7 | 7.928972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 9.65348E-6 | 9.65348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 9.69383E-5 | 9.69383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 4.5969962E-8 | 4.5969962E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 1.9701412E-7 | 1.9701412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 2.3986443E-6 | 2.3986443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 2.4000483E-5 | 2.4000483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 5.1698033E-5 | 4.419201 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.0013299E-4 | 1.9972473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.602021E-4 | 1.0818859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006479818 | 1.0077258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 5.1698033E-5 | 4.419201 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.0013299E-4 | 1.9972473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.602021E-4 | 1.0818859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006479818 | 1.0077258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 5.1698033E-5 | 4.419201 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.0013299E-4 | 1.9972473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.602021E-4 | 1.0818859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006479818 | 1.0077258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 5.1698033E-5 | 4.419201 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.0013299E-4 | 1.9972473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.602021E-4 | 1.0818859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006479818 | 1.0077258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 5.1698033E-5 | 4.419201 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.0013299E-4 | 1.9972473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.602021E-4 | 1.0818859 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006479818 | 1.0077258 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095838E-6 | 4.9095474E-5 | 5.3975754 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898159E-5 | 8.897964E-5 | 2.2826068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449904E-4 | 5.244753E-4 | 1.1053243 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043625 | 0.0050933724 | 1.0098635 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095838E-6 | 4.9095474E-5 | 5.3975754 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898159E-5 | 8.897964E-5 | 2.2826068 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449904E-4 | 5.244753E-4 | 1.1053243 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043625 | 0.0050933724 | 1.0098635 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 8.569127E-6 | 4.8568785E-5 | 5.66788 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 3.672432E-5 | 8.672248E-5 | 2.3614457 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 4.4702823E-4 | 4.970059E-4 | 1.1117997 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.004763609 | 0.0048133708 | 1.0104462 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 8.355383E-6 | 4.835505E-5 | 5.7872925 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 3.58083E-5 | 8.580651E-5 | 2.3962743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 4.358802E-4 | 4.858584E-4 | 1.1146604 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.004646524 | 0.004696292 | 1.0107107 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 8.266106E-6 | 4.8265774E-5 | 5.838998 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 3.5425695E-5 | 8.5423926E-5 | 2.411355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 4.3122383E-4 | 4.8120227E-4 | 1.1158991 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.0045970175 | 0.0046467874 | 1.0108266 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 7.3422243E-6 | 4.734193E-5 | 6.4479003 | 4.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 3.14663E-5 | 8.146473E-5 | 2.5889513 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 3.8303586E-4 | 4.330167E-4 | 1.1304861 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.004086657 | 0.0041364525 | 1.012185 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 6.5314716E-6 | 4.653121E-5 | 7.124154 | 4.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 2.7991726E-5 | 7.799033E-5 | 2.7861922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 3.4074677E-4 | 3.9072972E-4 | 1.1466866 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0036339732 | 0.0036837915 | 1.0137091 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 5.7019333E-6 | 4.5701705E-5 | 8.015124 | 4.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 2.4436633E-5 | 7.443541E-5 | 3.0460584 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 2.9747598E-4 | 3.4746111E-4 | 1.1680309 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0031700782 | 0.0032199195 | 1.0157225 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 5.5637415E-6 | 4.556352E-5 | 8.189366 | 4.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 2.3844392E-5 | 7.38432E-5 | 3.0968792 | 5.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 2.9026737E-4 | 3.4025288E-4 | 1.172205 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0030882559 | 0.0031381017 | 1.0161403 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 5.4781167E-6 | 4.5477896E-5 | 8.30174 | 4.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 2.3477434E-5 | 7.347626E-5 | 3.1296546 | 5.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 2.8580087E-4 | 3.3578658E-4 | 1.174897 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0030394883 | 0.0030893364 | 1.0164001 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 5.0215167E-6 | 4.5021316E-5 | 8.965681 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 2.1520611E-5 | 7.1519535E-5 | 3.3233042 | 5.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 2.619824E-4 | 3.119693E-4 | 1.1908025 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0027879307 | 0.0028377913 | 1.0178845 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 4.155523E-6 | 4.4155357E-5 | 10.625704 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 1.7809265E-5 | 6.7808374E-5 | 3.8074775 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 2.1680642E-4 | 2.6679557E-4 | 1.2305704 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0023192824 | 0.0023691664 | 1.0215083 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 3.2612174E-6 | 4.3261087E-5 | 13.265318 | 4.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 1.3976572E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 4.5773654 | 5.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 1.7015151E-4 | 2.20143E-4 | 1.2938057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0018439149 | 0.0018938227 | 1.0270662 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 2.7898088E-6 | 4.2789696E-5 | 15.33786 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 1.1956269E-5 | 6.1955674E-5 | 5.1818566 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 1.4555789E-4 | 1.955506E-4 | 1.3434559 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0015900284 | 0.0016399488 | 1.031396 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 2.2032086E-6 | 4.220312E-5 | 19.155298 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 9.442289E-6 | 5.9441816E-5 | 6.295276 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 1.1495383E-4 | 1.6494808E-4 | 1.4349072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0012756636 | 0.0013255997 | 1.0391452 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 1.7254716E-6 | 1.1725454E-5 | 6.795507 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 7.3948577E-6 | 2.739471E-5 | 3.7045622 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 9.002869E-5 | 1.1002689E-4 | 1.2221314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0010128119 | 0.0010327917 | 1.019727 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 3.5640946E-7 | 1.0356406E-5 | 29.057608 | 1.0E-5 | 1.217019E-5 | 1.5274682E-6 | 2.1527438E-5 | 14.093542 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4816198E-4 | 1.8596767E-5 | 3.8596394E-5 | 2.0754356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014806325 | 2.2144077E-4 | 2.4143634E-4 | 1.0902976 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 9.6937725E-8 | 9.6937725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 4.1544732E-7 | 4.1544732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 5.0580597E-6 | 5.0580597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 6.76658E-5 | 6.76658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.8927507E-8 | 3.8927507E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.6683217E-7 | 1.6683217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 2.0311797E-6 | 2.0311797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 2.8103586E-5 | 2.8103586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.2525778E-4 | 1.1536084 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0020015405 | 1.0255696 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.2525778E-4 | 1.1536084 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0020015405 | 1.0255696 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.2525778E-4 | 1.1536084 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0020015405 | 1.0255696 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.2525778E-4 | 1.1536084 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0020015405 | 1.0255696 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.2525778E-4 | 1.1536084 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0020015405 | 1.0255696 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 8.089057E-5 | 1.141051 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.286935E-4 | 1.0282004 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 8.089057E-5 | 1.141051 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.286935E-4 | 1.0282004 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 7.781596E-5 | 1.1474464 | 1.0E-5 | 7.833416E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 6.979665E-4 | 1.0294794 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 7.5459306E-5 | 1.1527551 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 6.7441416E-4 | 1.0305411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.244465E-7 | 9.244465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 5.8234753E-5 | 1.2073073 | 1.0E-5 | 5.93741E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 5.0224515E-4 | 1.0414518 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 5.059844E-5 | 1.2463024 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 4.2591206E-4 | 1.0492507 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 4.9038645E-5 | 1.2561439 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05193E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 4.103198E-4 | 1.051219 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 4.6588262E-5 | 1.273299 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 3.858244E-4 | 1.05465 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 3.1873898E-4 | 1.0323795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 2.4268882E-4 | 1.0429654 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.4439544E-4 | 1.0743965 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 9.839724E-7 | 9.839724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.2979285E-4 | 1.0834666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.021413E-7 | 7.021413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 8.548559E-6 | 8.548559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 8.5484484E-5 | 8.5484484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 4.148392E-5 | 1.9308901 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.22070276E-4 | 1.3257983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011604556 | 1.0356584 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 4.148392E-5 | 1.9308901 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.22070276E-4 | 1.3257983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011604556 | 1.0356584 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 4.148392E-5 | 1.9308901 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.22070276E-4 | 1.3257983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011604556 | 1.0356584 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 2.1975311E-5 | 1.835033 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 7.132141E-5 | 1.3896731 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.546832E-4 | 1.047993 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062622735 | 1.0047835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 2.1975311E-5 | 1.835033 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 7.132141E-5 | 1.3896731 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.546832E-4 | 1.047993 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062622735 | 1.0047835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 1.6564056E-5 | 2.523423 | 1.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 3.8131435E-5 | 1.3554606 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 3.6245512E-4 | 1.0583806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034205352 | 0.0034404667 | 1.0058271 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 1.6261522E-5 | 2.59703 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 3.6834885E-5 | 1.3726356 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 3.3667777E-4 | 1.0306009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0032631895 | 0.0032731567 | 1.0030545 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 1.5254047E-5 | 2.903266 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 3.251721E-5 | 1.4440902 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 2.8412396E-4 | 1.0364695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027390027 | 0.0027489753 | 1.003641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.4707804E-5 | 3.1241012 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 3.017618E-5 | 1.495619 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.8561542E-4 | 1.1628097 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.002493977 | 1.0162594 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.4707804E-5 | 3.1241012 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 3.017618E-5 | 1.495619 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.8561542E-4 | 1.1628097 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.002493977 | 1.0162594 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.7428702E-4 | 1.2078826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014720379 | 1.0207733 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.7428702E-4 | 1.2078826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014720379 | 1.0207733 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.5017253E-4 | 1.2496036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012011896 | 0.0012311536 | 1.0249453 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.4923437E-4 | 1.2515677 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0011918178 | 0.0012217821 | 1.0251416 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 1.0282583E-4 | 1.2414458 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 8.479679E-4 | 1.024135 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 8.1488E-5 | 1.1398722 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 7.2466367E-4 | 1.0139824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 7.680628E-5 | 1.149675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 6.778751E-4 | 1.0149627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 7.441893E-5 | 1.1552223 | 1.0E-5 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 6.540155E-4 | 1.0155175 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.2519986E-4 | 1.1900905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0013100583 | 1.0234057 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012770161 | 1.0031021 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.2519986E-4 | 1.1900905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0013100583 | 1.0234057 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012770161 | 1.0031021 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.2519986E-4 | 1.1900905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0013100583 | 1.0234057 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012770161 | 1.0031021 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.2310421E-4 | 1.1939546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012845735 | 1.0238818 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478693 | 0.0125181945 | 1.0031655 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.2310421E-4 | 1.1939546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012845735 | 1.0238818 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478693 | 0.0125181945 | 1.0031655 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.3754741E-5 | 3.3754503E-5 | 1.4209586 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0180214E-4 | 1.21800105E-4 | 1.1964395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012387515 | 0.0012587266 | 1.0161253 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012321864 | 0.012351494 | 1.0024047 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.2312273E-5 | 3.231205E-5 | 1.4481739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.56206E-5 | 1.0561964E-4 | 1.10457 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0011635721 | 0.0011735604 | 1.0085843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.01157798 | 0.011597749 | 1.0017074 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.1924227E-5 | 3.1924006E-5 | 1.4561064 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.3957664E-5 | 1.0395672E-4 | 1.1064209 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011433472 | 0.0011533358 | 1.0087363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011377823 | 0.0113975955 | 1.0017378 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.0882897E-5 | 3.088269E-5 | 1.4788507 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 8.949513E-5 | 9.949424E-5 | 1.111728 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0010890712 | 0.0010990603 | 1.0091721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.010841153 | 0.010860936 | 1.0018249 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 2.4799705E-5 | 1.6756724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 7.34258E-5 | 1.157653 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 7.819415E-4 | 1.0129442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006830362 | 0.007694258 | 0.0077141044 | 1.0025793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 2.27841E-5 | 1.7822039 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 6.478788E-5 | 1.1825103 | 1.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 6.768437E-4 | 1.0149859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0066497647 | 0.006669632 | 1.0029876 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050568148 | 0.00552889 | 0.005538835 | 1.0017986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0052405978 | 0.005250545 | 1.0018982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0050044395 | 0.0050143898 | 1.0019882 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.0049525574 | 0.0049625076 | 1.0020092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.00490003 | 0.004909981 | 1.0020308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004736103 | 0.0047460557 | 1.0021014 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.0042576184 | 0.004267576 | 1.0023388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1578536E-5 | 1.0530428E-5 | 4.053011E-5 | 3.8488572 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9621354E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 6.039725E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006023336 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055264235 | 1.0072504 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 4.053011E-5 | 3.8488572 | 3.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055264235 | 1.0072504 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 4.053011E-5 | 3.8488572 | 3.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 7.5128635E-5 | 1.6647165 | 3.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055264235 | 1.0072504 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 2.4634275E-5 | 5.3155637 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 2.4634275E-5 | 5.3155637 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 2.4634275E-5 | 5.3155637 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 3.986115E-5 | 2.0069509 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.6180432E-4 | 1.0826899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.002437538 | 1.0082527 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.617744E-6 | 2.4617651E-5 | 5.3310995 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 1.9790303E-5 | 3.9789906E-5 | 2.010576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4094197E-4 | 2.6093714E-4 | 1.0829875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024089331 | 0.002428885 | 1.0082824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 1.4143961E-5 | 3.413116 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.776001E-5 | 2.7759834E-5 | 1.5630528 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.1622813E-4 | 2.2622597E-4 | 1.0462375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0021622814 | 0.0021722596 | 1.0046147 | 1.0E-5 |
San Pedro Escarpment
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 8.3795756E-5 | 1.5576181 | 3.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.778283E-4 | 1.0743302 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1722314E-6 | 1.0292401E-6 | 1.102923E-5 | 10.715896 | 1.0E-5 | 5.023839E-6 | 4.411022E-6 | 1.4410978E-5 | 3.267038 | 1.0E-5 | 6.116352E-5 | 5.3702937E-5 | 8.370133E-5 | 1.5585986 | 3.0E-5 | 6.114669E-4 | 5.3690595E-4 | 5.768845E-4 | 1.074461 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1515234E-6 | 1.008353E-6 | 1.008353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.935091E-6 | 4.321506E-6 | 4.321506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.008308E-5 | 5.261313E-5 | 7.261208E-5 | 1.3801132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0066837E-4 | 5.260131E-4 | 5.559973E-4 | 1.0570028 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1103637E-6 | 9.667978E-7 | 9.667978E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7586927E-6 | 4.1434128E-6 | 4.1434128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.793554E-5 | 5.0444945E-5 | 7.044394E-5 | 1.3964518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.792044E-4 | 5.0434127E-4 | 5.3432613E-4 | 1.0594535 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0425391E-6 | 9.0545143E-7 | 9.0545143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4680173E-6 | 3.8805006E-6 | 3.8805006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439675E-5 | 4.7244135E-5 | 5.7243662E-5 | 1.2116565 | 1.0E-5 | 5.438344E-4 | 4.723472E-4 | 4.9233774E-4 | 1.0423217 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.0184194E-7 | 5.838369E-7 | 5.838369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0078907E-6 | 2.502156E-6 | 2.502156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6620455E-5 | 3.046337E-5 | 3.046337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.661442E-4 | 3.0459667E-4 | 3.0459667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.0871365E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3230577E-6 | 9.4962166E-7 | 9.4962166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.610811E-5 | 1.1561584E-5 | 1.1561584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6106942E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.7512665E-8 | 4.0502808E-8 | 4.0502808E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.464828E-7 | 1.7358344E-7 | 1.7358344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0009242E-6 | 2.1133767E-6 | 2.1133767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0008836E-5 | 2.1133586E-5 | 2.1133586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.040053E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5885942E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.151613E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1516086E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica Bay
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 7.4212105E-5 | 2.16909 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.820702E-4 | 1.1168904 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3621707E-7 | 6.425284E-7 | 1.0642522E-5 | 16.563505 | 1.0E-5 | 2.726642E-6 | 2.7536903E-6 | 1.2753662E-5 | 4.6314807 | 1.0E-5 | 3.319636E-5 | 3.352568E-5 | 6.3524676E-5 | 1.8948064 | 3.0E-5 | 3.31914E-4 | 3.35208E-4 | 3.6519795E-4 | 1.0894667 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.796316E-7 | 5.8564524E-7 | 1.058564E-5 | 18.075174 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4841331E-6 | 2.5099057E-6 | 1.250988E-5 | 4.9842033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0243902E-5 | 3.055769E-5 | 6.0556773E-5 | 1.9817196 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0239785E-4 | 3.0553644E-4 | 3.3552726E-4 | 1.098158 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2654514E-7 | 5.322372E-7 | 1.05322315E-5 | 19.788605 | 1.0E-5 | 2.25662E-6 | 2.2810148E-6 | 1.22809915E-5 | 5.3840036 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7474003E-5 | 2.7771015E-5 | 4.777046E-5 | 1.7201554 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7470608E-4 | 2.7767685E-4 | 2.976713E-4 | 1.0720062 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.582996E-7 | 4.6350223E-7 | 1.0463497E-5 | 22.57486 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9641398E-6 | 1.9864367E-6 | 1.1986417E-5 | 6.0341296 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3913139E-5 | 2.4184612E-5 | 4.418413E-5 | 1.8269521 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3910566E-4 | 2.4182104E-4 | 2.618162E-4 | 1.0826858 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9690556E-7 | 4.0159335E-7 | 1.0401589E-5 | 25.9008 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7010227E-6 | 1.7211132E-6 | 1.1721096E-5 | 6.810183 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0709755E-5 | 2.0954365E-5 | 4.0953946E-5 | 1.9544351 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0707825E-4 | 2.0952502E-4 | 2.2952083E-4 | 1.095434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.514765E-7 | 2.54706E-7 | 1.0254704E-5 | 40.26094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.077756E-6 | 1.0915968E-6 | 1.1091586E-5 | 10.160882 | 1.0E-5 | 1.31216E-5 | 1.3290115E-5 | 2.3289982E-5 | 1.7524289 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3120825E-4 | 1.3289378E-4 | 1.4289244E-4 | 1.0752381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6412821E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.0166404E-5 | 61.09424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0340644E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 1.0713158E-5 | 15.021985 | 1.0E-5 | 8.563939E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 1.8682666E-5 | 2.1516984 | 1.0E-5 | 8.56361E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 9.682332E-5 | 1.1151652 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2030355E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155865E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.277248E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2770705E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0539674E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308843E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935152E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935038E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.4188463E-4 | 1.0901151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002728257 | 1.011088 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676506 | 0.026715439 | 1.0014595 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 6.177781E-5 | 1.193121 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.4188463E-4 | 1.0901151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002728257 | 1.011088 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676506 | 0.026715439 | 1.0014595 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.1134745E-4 | 1.1044998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023572794 | 1.0128602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.02304519 | 0.023084268 | 1.0016958 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 5.4651307E-5 | 1.2239454 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.1134745E-4 | 1.1044998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023572794 | 1.0128602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.02304519 | 0.023084268 | 1.0016958 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.7419177E-4 | 1.129686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019057146 | 1.0159634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607374 | 0.01864663 | 1.0021096 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 4.598048E-5 | 1.2779157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.7419177E-4 | 1.129686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019057146 | 1.0159634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607374 | 0.01864663 | 1.0021096 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.2372496E-5 | 4.2372172E-5 | 1.3088942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.3873221E-4 | 1.5872944E-4 | 1.1441426 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0016878126 | 0.001717762 | 1.0177445 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015175272 | 0.016756913 | 0.016796242 | 1.0023471 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.06099E-5 | 4.0609593E-5 | 1.3266817 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.31179E-4 | 1.5117637E-4 | 1.1524434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0015959888 | 0.0016259408 | 1.0187671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014414776 | 0.015851963 | 0.015891328 | 1.0024834 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.5349931E-5 | 3.5349676E-5 | 1.3944684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.08638276E-4 | 1.2863611E-4 | 1.1840771 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.001321911 | 0.0013518714 | 1.0226644 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01213047 | 0.01314582 | 0.013185294 | 1.0030028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867737E-5 | 9.504282E-5 | 1.0504187E-4 | 1.1052058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0011565643 | 0.0011765412 | 1.0172726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010738871 | 0.011509704 | 0.01153936 | 1.0025765 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.483646E-5 | 7.8799705E-5 | 8.8798915E-5 | 1.126894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 9.589838E-4 | 9.789646E-4 | 1.0208354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009070295 | 0.009551418 | 0.009581132 | 1.0031109 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3460066E-5 | 6.559231E-5 | 7.5591655E-5 | 1.1524469 | 1.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 7.983077E-4 | 8.1829174E-4 | 1.025033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007696735 | 0.007956765 | 0.007986526 | 1.0037404 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.250682E-5 | 7.250619E-5 | 1.1599725 | 1.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 7.6076854E-4 | 7.807533E-4 | 1.0262692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073716943 | 0.007583973 | 0.0076137455 | 1.0039257 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.0321207E-5 | 7.03206E-5 | 1.1657692 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.341768E-4 | 7.541621E-4 | 1.0272214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007138774 | 0.0073198276 | 0.007349608 | 1.0040685 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.489925E-5 | 5.590954E-5 | 6.590898E-5 | 1.1788504 | 1.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 6.8049936E-4 | 7.004857E-4 | 1.0293702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006661878 | 0.006786436 | 0.0068162326 | 1.0043906 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.0542727E-5 | 6.054222E-5 | 1.1978424 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.151972E-4 | 6.351849E-4 | 1.0324899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032217 | 0.0061371666 | 0.0061669825 | 1.0048583 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.5585677E-4 | 1.6585522E-4 | 1.0641515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0015583453 | 0.0015683298 | 1.006407 | 1.0E-5 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 3.642005E-5 | 2.217979 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 9.036987E-5 | 1.2841868 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 3.642005E-5 | 2.217979 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 9.036987E-5 | 1.2841868 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 3.642005E-5 | 2.217979 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 9.036987E-5 | 1.2841868 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0434967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005430565 | 0.005430565 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0046834927 | 0.0046834927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0042979796 | 0.0042979796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004008504 | 0.004008504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0036435798 | 0.0036435798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0025893645 | 0.0025893645 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0023599796 | 0.0023599796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021177593 | 0.0021177593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018504397 | 0.0018504397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0014755968 | 0.0014755968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.3900022E-4 | 1.0970544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037957437 | 1.01061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.038455784 | 1.0010012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.3900022E-4 | 1.0970544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037957437 | 1.01061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.038455784 | 1.0010012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.3900022E-4 | 1.0970544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037957437 | 1.01061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.038455784 | 1.0010012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.3900022E-4 | 1.0970544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037957437 | 1.01061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.038455784 | 1.0010012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.3900022E-4 | 1.0970544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037957437 | 1.01061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.03841732 | 0.038455784 | 1.0010012 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 6.568357E-5 | 7.568291E-5 | 1.152235 | 1.0E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 2.8147156E-4 | 3.114631E-4 | 1.1065527 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0034216922 | 0.0034615553 | 1.0116501 | 4.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.035105985 | 0.03514458 | 1.0010993 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 5.8602032E-5 | 6.860145E-5 | 1.1706326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 2.5112796E-4 | 2.8112042E-4 | 1.119431 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0030532961 | 0.003093174 | 1.0130606 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.031644728 | 0.031683464 | 1.001224 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 5.634657E-5 | 6.634601E-5 | 1.177463 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 2.414635E-4 | 2.7145626E-4 | 1.1242124 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0029359534 | 0.002975836 | 1.0135841 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.030548228 | 0.030587006 | 1.0012695 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 5.5860186E-5 | 6.5859625E-5 | 1.1790084 | 1.0E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 2.3937938E-4 | 2.693722E-4 | 1.1252941 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0029106473 | 0.0029505307 | 1.0137026 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.030314216 | 0.030353004 | 1.0012795 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 5.4633776E-5 | 6.4633234E-5 | 1.1830269 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 2.341243E-4 | 2.6411726E-4 | 1.1281071 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.0028468354 | 0.0028867216 | 1.0140107 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.029710218 | 0.02974903 | 1.0013063 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 5.2881453E-5 | 6.288093E-5 | 1.1890922 | 1.0E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 2.2661567E-4 | 2.5660888E-4 | 1.1323527 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0027556526 | 0.0027955424 | 1.0144756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.028820263 | 0.02885911 | 1.0013479 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 1.7315724E-5 | 2.7315551E-5 | 1.5774997 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 7.420816E-5 | 1.0420594E-4 | 1.4042382 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 9.031148E-4 | 9.4307866E-4 | 1.0442512 | 4.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.010460592 | 0.010500174 | 1.0037838 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 1.1786662E-5 | 2.1786544E-5 | 1.8484067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 5.0513296E-5 | 8.051178E-5 | 1.593873 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 6.1482744E-4 | 6.5480283E-4 | 1.0650189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.0073963567 | 0.007436061 | 1.0053681 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 7.994023E-6 | 1.7993943E-5 | 2.2509246 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 3.4259647E-5 | 6.425862E-5 | 1.8756357 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 4.1703144E-4 | 4.5701474E-4 | 1.095876 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.0049723736 | 0.0050121746 | 1.0080044 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 7.6099473E-6 | 1.7609871E-5 | 2.3140595 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 3.261365E-5 | 6.261267E-5 | 1.9198302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 3.9699892E-4 | 4.3698304E-4 | 1.100716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.00471906 | 0.004758871 | 1.0084363 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 7.067567E-6 | 1.7067496E-5 | 2.414904 | 1.0E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 3.028922E-5 | 6.0288312E-5 | 1.9904214 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 3.687089E-4 | 4.0869415E-4 | 1.1084467 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.0043851957 | 0.0044250204 | 1.0090816 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 6.2362496E-6 | 1.6236187E-5 | 2.6035178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 2.672651E-5 | 5.672571E-5 | 2.122451 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 3.2534671E-4 | 3.653337E-4 | 1.1229057 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.0038483287 | 0.0038881747 | 1.0103542 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 5.843641E-6 | 1.5843583E-5 | 2.711252 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 2.5043935E-5 | 5.5043183E-5 | 2.1978648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 3.0486728E-4 | 3.448551E-4 | 1.1311647 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.0036277713 | 0.003667626 | 1.0109861 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 5.7132515E-6 | 1.5713194E-5 | 2.7503068 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 2.4485134E-5 | 5.44844E-5 | 2.2252033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 2.9806577E-4 | 3.3805383E-4 | 1.1341586 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.0035487202 | 0.0035885782 | 1.0112317 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 5.361932E-6 | 1.5361878E-5 | 2.8649895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 2.2979506E-5 | 5.2978816E-5 | 2.3054812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 2.797396E-4 | 3.197284E-4 | 1.1429502 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.0033237569 | 0.003363624 | 1.0119946 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 4.4935205E-6 | 1.4493476E-5 | 3.2254167 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 1.92578E-5 | 4.9257225E-5 | 2.5577803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 2.3443853E-4 | 2.644315E-4 | 1.1279353 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.0027930895 | 0.002823006 | 1.0107108 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 3.6195065E-6 | 1.361947E-5 | 3.7627976 | 1.0E-5 | 6.293394E-5 | 1.5512078E-5 | 3.5511766E-5 | 2.2892978 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 1.888432E-4 | 2.0883942E-4 | 1.105888 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0022557948 | 0.0022757498 | 1.008846 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 1.2889715E-6 | 1.2889715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 5.524151E-6 | 5.524151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 6.725447E-5 | 6.725447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 8.4897096E-4 | 8.4897096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.228442E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3835446E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 8.515458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016831639 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010362728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016704723 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010656624 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.226985E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829203E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 8.515458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001682405 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010362728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697248 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010656624 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2120504E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3765205E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 8.515458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016746253 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010362728 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016620617 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010656624 | 1.0037276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.206246E-5 | 1.9826122E-5 | 1.9826122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374033E-4 | 8.4966385E-5 | 8.4966385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016716016 | 0.0010339838 | 0.0010339838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016590832 | 0.010594499 | 0.010634076 | 1.0037355 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 1.979223E-5 | 1.979223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 8.482114E-5 | 8.482114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0010322172 | 0.0010322172 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016470885 | 0.010577174 | 0.01061675 | 1.0037417 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 1.9532274E-5 | 1.9532274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 8.370711E-5 | 8.370711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0010186665 | 0.0010186665 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0163348 | 0.0104435515 | 0.010483134 | 1.0037901 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 1.9379651E-5 | 1.9379651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 8.3053055E-5 | 8.3053055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0010107108 | 0.0010107108 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016285548 | 0.010365087 | 0.0104046725 | 1.0038191 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 1.9010316E-5 | 1.9010316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 8.147029E-5 | 8.147029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 9.914583E-4 | 9.914583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01616033 | 0.010175082 | 0.010214675 | 1.0038912 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 1.8843435E-5 | 1.8843435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 8.075513E-5 | 8.075513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 9.827592E-4 | 9.827592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016053487 | 0.010088239 | 0.010127836 | 1.003925 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 1.4797945E-5 | 1.4797945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 6.3418236E-5 | 6.3418236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 7.7184604E-4 | 7.7184604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0138054015 | 0.007962114 | 0.008001796 | 1.0049838 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.33959165E-5 | 1.33959165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 5.7409816E-5 | 5.7409816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 6.98742E-4 | 6.98742E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012369866 | 0.007218755 | 0.007258466 | 1.0055012 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.3243372E-5 | 1.3243372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 5.6756086E-5 | 5.6756086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 6.9078786E-4 | 6.9078786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122763505 | 0.007139341 | 0.0071790554 | 1.0055628 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.2543145E-5 | 1.2543145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 5.3755237E-5 | 5.3755237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 6.5427495E-4 | 6.5427495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01178369 | 0.0067731803 | 0.0068129096 | 1.0058657 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.1496959E-5 | 1.1496959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 4.9271755E-5 | 4.9271755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 5.9971976E-4 | 5.9971976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010906163 | 0.0062256 | 0.006265351 | 1.0063851 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.1322966E-5 | 1.1322966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 4.8526104E-5 | 4.8526104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 5.9064635E-4 | 5.9064635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010734501 | 0.0061342902 | 0.006174045 | 1.0064807 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.0989781E-5 | 1.0989781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 4.7098216E-5 | 4.7098216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 5.732711E-4 | 5.732711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010378438 | 0.005958264 | 0.005998026 | 1.0066733 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 9.869572E-6 | 9.869572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 4.2297488E-5 | 4.2297488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 5.1485124E-4 | 5.1485124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00929122 | 0.005366721 | 0.0054065064 | 1.0074134 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 7.970848E-6 | 7.970848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 3.4160334E-5 | 3.4160334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 4.1582296E-4 | 4.1582296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007861412 | 0.0043677143 | 0.0044075395 | 1.0091181 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 6.6616876E-6 | 6.6616876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 2.8549779E-5 | 2.8549779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 3.4753827E-4 | 3.4753827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0036749155 | 0.0037147684 | 1.0108446 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 4.5979064E-6 | 4.5979064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 1.9705165E-5 | 1.9705165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 2.398841E-4 | 2.398841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0025804315 | 0.002610354 | 1.011596 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 3.684572E-6 | 3.684572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 1.5790927E-5 | 1.5790927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 1.922377E-4 | 1.922377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0020889777 | 0.002108936 | 1.009554 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 2.8017976E-6 | 2.8017976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 1.2007649E-5 | 1.2007649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 1.4618343E-4 | 1.4618343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0015976107 | 0.0015976107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 2.0638359E-7 | 2.0638359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 8.8450076E-7 | 8.8450076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 1.0768745E-5 | 1.0768745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 1.2916955E-4 | 1.2916955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 9.68662E-9 | 9.68662E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 4.1514085E-8 | 4.1514085E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 5.054339E-7 | 5.054339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 6.3366238E-6 | 6.3366238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.918016E-6 | 1.0277405E-5 | 2.02773E-5 | 1.9729983 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2505093E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 5.40449E-5 | 1.2270287 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1737664E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 5.661154E-4 | 1.0559264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005161737 | 0.0053495164 | 0.005389302 | 1.0074373 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.7167173E-5 | 2.3952262 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 4.071612E-5 | 1.3255488 | 1.0E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.9390477E-4 | 1.0534685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332224 | 0.0037531476 | 1.0053374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.7167173E-5 | 2.3952262 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 4.071612E-5 | 1.3255488 | 1.0E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.9390477E-4 | 1.0534685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332224 | 0.0037531476 | 1.0053374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.6791815E-6 | 4.6791815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0053483E-5 | 2.0053483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024386013 | 0.0024386013 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.3336927E-6 | 4.3336927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8572839E-5 | 1.8572839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.2610115E-4 | 2.2610115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0022587434 | 0.0022587434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0019859509 | 0.0019859509 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.846269E-4 | 1.846269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018447493 | 0.0018447493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.1833179E-6 | 3.1833179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.364272E-5 | 1.364272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6608756E-4 | 1.6608756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016596448 | 0.0016596448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.8724926E-6 | 2.8724926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2310625E-5 | 1.2310625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.4987163E-4 | 1.4987163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.001497714 | 0.001497714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0614013E-5 | 1.0614013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.2921801E-4 | 1.2921801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0012914346 | 0.0012914346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1037056E-6 | 2.1037056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.01585E-6 | 9.01585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.0976248E-4 | 1.0976248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0010970862 | 0.0010970862 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.727887E-6 | 1.727887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.405209E-6 | 7.405209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.01183E-4 | 9.01183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5184913E-6 | 1.5184913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.507804E-6 | 6.507804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 7.922964E-5 | 7.922964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 7.920151E-4 | 7.920151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3411899E-6 | 1.3411899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.747944E-6 | 5.747944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 6.997898E-5 | 6.997898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 6.9957046E-4 | 6.9957046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.1692055E-6 | 1.1692055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.0108706E-6 | 5.0108706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.1005652E-5 | 6.1005652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.0988986E-4 | 6.0988986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.538286E-7 | 9.538286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.087831E-6 | 4.087831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 4.9768205E-5 | 4.9768205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 4.975712E-4 | 4.975712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.487562E-7 | 7.487562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.208951E-6 | 3.208951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 3.9068284E-5 | 3.9068284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 3.906146E-4 | 3.906146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 3.8986067E-7 | 3.8986067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.6708303E-6 | 1.6708303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.034217E-5 | 2.034217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.0340321E-4 | 2.0340321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 1.8019315E-7 | 1.8019315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 7.7225616E-7 | 7.7225616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 9.402178E-6 | 9.402178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 9.4017836E-5 | 9.4017836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 7.4640504E-8 | 7.4640504E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.1988782E-7 | 3.1988782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 3.8946273E-6 | 3.8946273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 3.8945596E-5 | 3.8945596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 3.2540527E-8 | 3.2540527E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.394594E-7 | 1.394594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 1.6979168E-6 | 1.6979168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 1.697904E-5 | 1.697904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 3.985634E-9 | 3.985634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 1.708129E-8 | 1.708129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 2.0796467E-7 | 2.0796467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 2.0796451E-6 | 2.0796451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.721688E-4 | 1.0442104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045529115 | 1.0088232 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.721688E-4 | 1.0442104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045529115 | 1.0088232 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 4.714681E-5 | 1.2691895 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.721688E-4 | 1.0442104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.0045529115 | 1.0088232 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2174217E-6 | 6.2174217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6645828E-5 | 3.664556E-5 | 1.3752832 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2436606E-4 | 3.343628E-4 | 1.0308194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.003239104 | 0.0032590393 | 1.0061545 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.5952673E-5 | 3.5952413E-5 | 1.3853067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1592936E-4 | 3.259262E-4 | 1.0316427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.003154977 | 0.0031749138 | 1.0063192 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.0852154E-6 | 5.0852154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.1793603E-5 | 2.1793603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026500232 | 0.0026599967 | 1.0037636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.876184E-5 | 1.876184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.2840225E-4 | 2.2840225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0022817913 | 0.0022917686 | 1.0043725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.7889654E-6 | 3.7889654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6238326E-5 | 1.6238326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019751892 | 0.0019851695 | 1.0050528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.2877385E-6 | 3.2877385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4090235E-5 | 1.4090235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017141314 | 0.0017141314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.885192E-6 | 2.885192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2365053E-5 | 1.2365053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5053469E-4 | 1.5053469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015044214 | 0.0015044214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0572136E-5 | 1.0572136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.2870869E-4 | 1.2870869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001286433 | 0.001286433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0099171E-6 | 2.0099171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.613904E-6 | 8.613904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0486977E-4 | 1.0486977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010482924 | 0.0010482924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.5782915E-7 | 8.5782915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.6764054E-6 | 3.6764054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.475933E-5 | 4.475933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.4754244E-4 | 4.4754244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.6507654E-7 | 4.6507654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 1.9931836E-6 | 1.9931836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.4266741E-5 | 2.4266741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.4266413E-4 | 2.4266413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.029418E-7 | 3.029418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.2983213E-6 | 1.2983213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.5806949E-5 | 1.5806949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.580802E-4 | 1.580802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.4982762E-7 | 2.4982762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.0706893E-6 | 1.0706893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.3035566E-5 | 1.3035566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.3036838E-4 | 1.3036838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.0263828E-7 | 2.0263828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 8.6844943E-7 | 8.6844943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.0573322E-5 | 1.0573322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.05745086E-4 | 1.05745086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 4.6221576E-8 | 4.6221576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 1.9809247E-7 | 1.9809247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.411773E-6 | 2.411773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.4121073E-5 | 2.4121073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 9.744924E-9 | 9.744924E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 4.1763972E-8 | 4.1763972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 5.0847626E-7 | 5.0847626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 5.085759E-6 | 5.085759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 2.771843E-9 | 2.771843E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.187933E-8 | 1.187933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 1.4463082E-7 | 1.4463082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 1.4472567E-6 | 1.4472567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 7.212331E-11 | 7.212331E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 3.0909786E-10 | 3.0909786E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 3.7632653E-9 | 3.7632653E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 3.8498037E-8 | 3.8498037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 3.3676173E-11 | 3.3676173E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 1.4432433E-10 | 1.4432433E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 1.7571503E-9 | 1.7571503E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 1.8002497E-8 | 1.8002497E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 3.487371E-5 | 2.3446078 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 9.3742274E-5 | 1.4706012 | 3.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.1577996E-4 | 1.0515189 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007818662 | 1.005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 1.4869133E-5 | 3.4868837E-5 | 2.3450482 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 6.372331E-5 | 9.37214E-5 | 1.4707553 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 7.75557E-4 | 8.15526E-4 | 1.0515358 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.007776451 | 0.00781614 | 1.0051037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 1.4845143E-5 | 3.4844845E-5 | 2.347222 | 2.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 6.36205E-5 | 9.361859E-5 | 1.4715161 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 7.743062E-4 | 8.142752E-4 | 1.0516192 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.00776403 | 0.007803719 | 1.0051119 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 1.4695771E-5 | 3.4695477E-5 | 2.360916 | 2.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 6.298036E-5 | 9.297847E-5 | 1.476309 | 3.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 7.66518E-4 | 8.0648734E-4 | 1.052144 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.007686688 | 0.0077263806 | 1.0051638 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 1.4656778E-5 | 3.4656485E-5 | 2.3645365 | 2.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 6.281326E-5 | 9.281137E-5 | 1.4775761 | 3.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 7.644849E-4 | 8.044544E-4 | 1.0522828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.007666498 | 0.0077061914 | 1.0051775 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 1.41263845E-5 | 3.4126104E-5 | 2.4157703 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 6.0540253E-5 | 9.053844E-5 | 1.4955081 | 3.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 7.368299E-4 | 7.768004E-4 | 1.0542467 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.007391796 | 0.0074315 | 1.0053715 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 1.4074615E-5 | 3.407433E-5 | 2.420978 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 6.0318394E-5 | 9.0316586E-5 | 1.4973308 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 7.3413056E-4 | 7.741012E-4 | 1.0544462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.0073649823 | 0.0074046873 | 1.0053911 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 1.3507259E-5 | 3.350699E-5 | 2.4806654 | 2.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 5.7886973E-5 | 8.788524E-5 | 1.5182213 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 7.0454745E-4 | 7.4451923E-4 | 1.0567341 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.007071065 | 0.007110782 | 1.0056169 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 1.3388535E-5 | 3.3388267E-5 | 2.4937954 | 2.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 5.7378184E-5 | 8.7376466E-5 | 1.5228168 | 3.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 6.983569E-4 | 7.3832896E-4 | 1.0572373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.0070095635 | 0.007049283 | 1.0056665 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 1.28825E-5 | 3.2882243E-5 | 2.5524738 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 5.5209555E-5 | 8.5207896E-5 | 1.5433542 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 6.7197037E-4 | 7.119435E-4 | 1.0594864 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.0067473534 | 0.0067870836 | 1.0058882 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.1974566E-5 | 3.1974327E-5 | 2.6701865 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 5.1318566E-5 | 8.1317026E-5 | 1.5845537 | 3.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 6.2462565E-4 | 6.6460064E-4 | 1.0639983 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.0062755872 | 0.0063153366 | 1.006334 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.1534078E-5 | 3.1533848E-5 | 2.733972 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 4.9430833E-5 | 7.942935E-5 | 1.6068786 | 3.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 6.016554E-4 | 6.416313E-4 | 1.0664432 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.0060471543 | 0.0060869125 | 1.0065746 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 9.415226E-6 | 2.9415038E-5 | 3.124199 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 4.0350344E-5 | 7.034913E-5 | 1.743458 | 3.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 4.9115554E-4 | 5.311359E-4 | 1.0814006 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.004947416 | 0.0049872184 | 1.0080451 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 5.617686E-6 | 2.5617574E-5 | 4.5601645 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 2.4075576E-5 | 5.407485E-5 | 2.246046 | 3.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 2.9308072E-4 | 3.33069E-4 | 1.1364411 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0029732345 | 0.0030131156 | 1.0134133 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 4.001269E-6 | 2.4001189E-5 | 5.998394 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 1.7148184E-5 | 4.714767E-5 | 2.7494264 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 2.0875916E-4 | 2.4875082E-4 | 1.1915684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0021279356 | 0.0021678505 | 1.0187576 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 2.2103518E-6 | 2.2210308E-5 | 10.048313 | 2.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 9.472902E-6 | 2.9472712E-5 | 3.1112654 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 1.1532648E-4 | 1.3532418E-4 | 1.1734008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.00116971 | 0.0011896865 | 1.0170783 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 8.995037E-7 | 1.0899495E-5 | 12.117231 | 1.0E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 3.85501E-6 | 1.3854971E-5 | 3.594017 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 4.693374E-5 | 5.693327E-5 | 1.2130563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 4.7781988E-4 | 4.878151E-4 | 1.0209184 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 1.12240535E-7 | 1.12240535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 4.810308E-7 | 4.810308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 5.856534E-6 | 5.856534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 6.1840175E-5 | 6.1840175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 1.8049551E-8 | 1.8049551E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 7.7355224E-8 | 7.7355224E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 9.4179944E-7 | 9.4179944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 1.0168895E-5 | 1.0168895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 3.9130537E-5 | 2.045408 | 2.0E-5 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.119848E-4 | 1.3658805 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014806816 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010277401 | 1.030037 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014708545 | 0.009936156 | 0.009975758 | 1.0039856 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 3.9130537E-5 | 2.045408 | 2.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.119848E-4 | 1.3658805 | 3.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010277401 | 1.030037 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.009975758 | 1.0039856 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 3.9130537E-5 | 2.045408 | 2.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.119848E-4 | 1.3658805 | 3.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010277401 | 1.030037 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.009975758 | 1.0039856 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 3.4493667E-5 | 2.3798656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.2115585E-5 | 9.2113725E-5 | 1.4829406 | 3.0E-5 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.5601495E-4 | 7.8599225E-4 | 1.0396518 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007027647 | 0.0075364397 | 0.0075761382 | 1.0052675 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 3.1624604E-5 | 2.7204344 | 2.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 4.9819857E-5 | 7.981836E-5 | 1.6021395 | 3.0E-5 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.06403E-4 | 6.363848E-4 | 1.049442 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005655863 | 0.0060489774 | 0.006088735 | 1.0065727 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 2.8467059E-5 | 3.3620281 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.6287667E-5 | 5.628694E-5 | 1.5511315 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.4172167E-4 | 4.6171283E-4 | 1.0452573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004409315 | 0.004439183 | 1.0067738 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 1.7012571E-5 | 2.4259863 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.0053872E-5 | 4.0053572E-5 | 1.3327259 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.6585206E-4 | 3.7584838E-4 | 1.0273235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0036532457 | 0.0036731726 | 1.0054545 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 1.501126E-5 | 2.9954762 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.1476886E-5 | 3.147667E-5 | 1.4656068 | 1.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.614533E-4 | 2.714507E-4 | 1.0382377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002611812 | 0.0026317597 | 1.0076375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 1.45913755E-5 | 3.177965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 1.967739E-5 | 2.9677194E-5 | 1.5081875 | 1.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.3954941E-4 | 2.49547E-4 | 1.041735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0023932576 | 0.0024132098 | 1.0083368 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 1.2886933E-5 | 4.463838 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 2.237252E-5 | 1.8082247 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.606261E-4 | 1.066379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001423255 | 0.001505361 | 0.0015253309 | 1.0132658 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 1.2015994E-5 | 5.9602733 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 1.8639948E-5 | 2.1573927 | 1.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.1518692E-4 | 1.0950578 | 1.0E-5 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0010514441 | 0.0010714231 | 1.0190015 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.5862104E-6 | 1.1586195E-5 | 7.304324 | 1.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 1.6797962E-5 | 2.4710045 | 1.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 9.276258E-5 | 1.1208163 | 1.0E-5 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 8.4736233E-4 | 1.0241528 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 6.012128E-4 | 1.0169042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 4.9951475E-4 | 1.0204182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 4.3567142E-4 | 1.0234821 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 3.2595723E-4 | 1.0316396 | 1.0E-5 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025804378 | 1.007791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025804378 | 1.007791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 5.9125254E-5 | 1.2035493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.2052188E-4 | 1.0474905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0025804378 | 1.007791 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.02537692 | 1.0011536 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 3.9280276E-5 | 1.3415134 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.3548104E-4 | 1.0796825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.0015366927 | 1.0065401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.0151853915 | 1.0012988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 3.9280276E-5 | 1.3415134 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.3548104E-4 | 1.0796825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.0015366927 | 1.0065401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.0151853915 | 1.0012988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.4655821E-5 | 3.4655575E-5 | 1.4055737 | 1.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0566362E-4 | 1.1566256E-4 | 1.09463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0012857115 | 0.0012956987 | 1.0077678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.012784559 | 0.012804303 | 1.0015444 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.4637018E-5 | 3.463677E-5 | 1.4058833 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.05583036E-4 | 1.1558198E-4 | 1.0947022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0012847317 | 0.0012947188 | 1.0077738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.0127748735 | 0.012794618 | 1.0015455 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.1945261E-5 | 3.194504E-5 | 1.4556693 | 1.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.4047806E-5 | 1.0404687E-4 | 1.106319 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011444445 | 0.001154433 | 1.0087279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011387028 | 0.011406801 | 1.0017364 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1266496E-5 | 3.126628E-5 | 1.4702132 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.1139016E-5 | 1.011381E-4 | 1.1097125 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011090664 | 0.0011190553 | 1.0090066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.01103681 | 0.011046699 | 1.0008961 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.8530576E-5 | 2.853039E-5 | 1.5396386 | 1.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 7.941441E-5 | 8.941361E-5 | 1.1259117 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.66454E-4 | 9.764443E-4 | 1.0103371 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009623832 | 0.009633736 | 1.0010291 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.7559685E-5 | 2.755951E-5 | 1.5694762 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.5253694E-5 | 8.525294E-5 | 1.1328739 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.1584097E-4 | 9.258318E-4 | 1.010909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009121959 | 0.009131867 | 1.0010862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.576511E-5 | 2.5764952E-5 | 1.6343021 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.756307E-5 | 7.75624E-5 | 1.1479999 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.2228193E-4 | 8.322737E-4 | 1.0121512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.0081936205 | 0.008203539 | 1.0012105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.347205E-5 | 2.3471915E-5 | 1.7422675 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.773614E-5 | 6.773556E-5 | 1.1731918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.02721E-4 | 7.12714E-4 | 1.0142204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007006033 | 0.0070159626 | 1.0014174 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.18325315E-5 | 2.1832413E-5 | 1.8451177 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.070992E-5 | 6.070941E-5 | 1.19719 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.172285E-4 | 6.272223E-4 | 1.0161915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0061561554 | 0.006166094 | 1.0016143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.523858E-6 | 9.523858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.0815947E-5 | 4.0815947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 4.968298E-4 | 4.968298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0049580787 | 0.0049580787 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.6154313E-6 | 5.6154313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4065954E-5 | 2.4065954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 2.9297083E-4 | 2.9297083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0029265569 | 0.0029265569 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.294104E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.09197719 | 0.09199535 | 1.0001974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.294104E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.09197719 | 0.09199535 | 1.0001974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1656485E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 4.99468E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.294104E-4 | 1.0121938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060640806 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059012495 | 0.09197719 | 0.09199535 | 1.0001974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.152476E-4 | 1.9014835E-4 | 2.0014645E-4 | 1.0525805 | 1.0E-5 | 4.938248E-4 | 8.14452E-4 | 8.244439E-4 | 1.0122682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005995755 | 0.009832346 | 0.0098521495 | 1.0020142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058365438 | 0.09143994 | 0.09145811 | 1.0001987 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 1.7304847E-4 | 1.8304674E-4 | 1.0577773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 7.4124994E-4 | 7.512425E-4 | 1.0134808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.008957619 | 0.008977439 | 1.0022128 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.084123716 | 0.08414204 | 1.0002178 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.5328005E-4 | 1.6327851E-4 | 1.06523 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 6.566133E-4 | 6.6660676E-4 | 1.0152197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.007941975 | 0.007961816 | 1.0024983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.07527603 | 0.075294524 | 1.0002457 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.1726385E-4 | 1.2726267E-4 | 1.0852678 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4517853E-4 | 5.024469E-4 | 5.1244185E-4 | 1.0198926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.006097336 | 0.006117214 | 1.0032601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.059686758 | 0.059705563 | 1.0003151 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.1305138E-4 | 1.2305025E-4 | 1.0884453 | 1.0E-5 | 3.34918E-4 | 4.8440276E-4 | 4.9439794E-4 | 1.0206339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.0058792774 | 0.0058991597 | 1.0033817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.057663042 | 0.05768189 | 1.0003269 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 9.691953E-5 | 1.0691856E-4 | 1.1031684 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9847719E-4 | 4.152978E-4 | 4.2529366E-4 | 1.0240691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.005043224 | 0.005063123 | 1.0039457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.049817633 | 0.049836636 | 1.0003815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 7.5087606E-5 | 8.508685E-5 | 1.1331677 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4854968E-4 | 3.217646E-4 | 3.3176137E-4 | 1.0310686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.003910495 | 0.0039304164 | 1.0050944 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.03908619 | 0.039105408 | 1.0004917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 6.229069E-5 | 7.2290066E-5 | 1.1605276 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369329E-4 | 2.6693303E-4 | 2.7693037E-4 | 1.0374526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0032451155 | 0.0032650505 | 1.0061431 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.03264093 | 0.03266028 | 1.0005927 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 5.139954E-5 | 6.139903E-5 | 1.1945443 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8358172E-4 | 2.2026534E-4 | 2.3026313E-4 | 1.0453898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0026784672 | 0.0026984136 | 1.007447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.027099352 | 0.027118811 | 1.000718 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 3.8993567E-5 | 4.8993177E-5 | 1.2564425 | 1.0E-5 | 1.478537E-4 | 1.6710468E-4 | 1.7710301E-4 | 1.0598327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0020326183 | 0.0020525777 | 1.0098195 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.020759623 | 0.020779207 | 1.0009434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 2.8093922E-5 | 3.809364E-5 | 1.3559389 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.20397024E-4 | 1.3039583E-4 | 1.0830486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0014648588 | 0.0014848295 | 1.0136333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.015028905 | 0.015048604 | 1.0013108 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 1.8721754E-5 | 2.8721566E-5 | 1.534128 | 1.0E-5 | 7.715383E-5 | 8.023363E-5 | 9.0232825E-5 | 1.124626 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3894306E-4 | 9.764079E-4 | 9.963884E-4 | 1.0204632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.010118043 | 0.010137841 | 1.0019567 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 1.6547838E-5 | 2.6547672E-5 | 1.6042986 | 1.0E-5 | 6.683753E-5 | 7.0917384E-5 | 8.0916674E-5 | 1.1409992 | 1.0E-5 | 8.134431E-4 | 8.6307834E-4 | 8.8306103E-4 | 1.0231528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.0089825215 | 0.009002342 | 1.0022066 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.1684657E-5 | 2.168454E-5 | 1.8558131 | 1.0E-5 | 4.761474E-5 | 5.007614E-5 | 6.0075643E-5 | 1.1996859 | 1.0E-5 | 5.795553E-4 | 6.095072E-4 | 6.29495E-4 | 1.0327934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057804612 | 0.006413511 | 0.0064333826 | 1.0030984 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 5.0711965E-6 | 1.5071146E-5 | 2.9719112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6631347E-5 | 2.1733518E-5 | 3.17333E-5 | 1.4601088 | 1.0E-5 | 3.241884E-4 | 2.6457346E-4 | 2.8456817E-4 | 1.0755733 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0029050806 | 0.0029250225 | 1.0068645 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 4.525264E-6 | 1.4525219E-5 | 3.2098057 | 1.0E-5 | 2.27378E-5 | 1.9393845E-5 | 2.9393652E-5 | 1.5156175 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7679754E-4 | 2.360945E-4 | 2.5608978E-4 | 1.0846919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027645302 | 0.002598783 | 0.002618731 | 1.0076759 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 3.6112417E-6 | 1.3611206E-5 | 3.7691205 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4414942E-5 | 1.5476659E-5 | 2.5476504E-5 | 1.6461244 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7548777E-4 | 1.8841204E-4 | 2.0840828E-4 | 1.1061304 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0020603081 | 0.0020802668 | 1.0096873 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 2.2398917E-6 | 1.223987E-5 | 5.4644914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.687599E-6 | 9.599501E-6 | 1.9599405E-5 | 2.0417109 | 1.0E-5 | 1.05766376E-4 | 1.1686767E-4 | 1.268665E-4 | 1.0855569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0012613958 | 0.0012713831 | 1.0079178 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 1.2020975E-6 | 1.1202085E-5 | 9.318783 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2311816E-6 | 5.1518364E-6 | 1.5151784E-5 | 2.9410455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3687774E-5 | 6.272181E-5 | 7.272118E-5 | 1.1594242 | 1.0E-5 | 6.366953E-4 | 6.748826E-4 | 6.848759E-4 | 1.0148073 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012035142 | 1.0083685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012035142 | 1.0083685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012035142 | 1.0083685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011908562 | 1.0024955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055235005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055235005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038361861 | 0.0038361861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027522508 | 0.0027522508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020209355 | 0.0020209355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014137835 | 0.0014137835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3266795E-5 | 4.3266464E-5 | 1.30059 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4256485E-4 | 1.5256343E-4 | 1.0701336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001734462 | 0.0017544273 | 1.011511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017221179 | 0.017250663 | 1.0017121 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3266795E-5 | 4.3266464E-5 | 1.30059 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4256485E-4 | 1.5256343E-4 | 1.0701336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001734462 | 0.0017544273 | 1.011511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017221179 | 0.017250663 | 1.0017121 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3266795E-5 | 4.3266464E-5 | 1.30059 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4256485E-4 | 1.5256343E-4 | 1.0701336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.001734462 | 0.0017544273 | 1.011511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017221179 | 0.017250663 | 1.0017121 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5676153E-5 | 2.5675996E-5 | 1.6379017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.7181856E-5 | 7.718119E-5 | 1.1488397 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.1764604E-4 | 8.2763785E-4 | 1.0122203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008147794 | 0.008157712 | 1.0012174 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5676153E-5 | 2.5675996E-5 | 1.6379017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.7181856E-5 | 7.718119E-5 | 1.1488397 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.1764604E-4 | 8.2763785E-4 | 1.0122203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008147794 | 0.008157712 | 1.0012174 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1161477E-5 | 2.1161366E-5 | 1.8959287 | 1.0E-5 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.7834063E-5 | 5.7833586E-5 | 1.209046 | 1.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.822309E-4 | 5.9222506E-4 | 1.0171653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005807741 | 0.0058176834 | 1.0017118 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.4869935E-6 | 1.848691E-5 | 2.1782634 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.637235E-5 | 4.6371984E-5 | 1.2749242 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4274758E-4 | 4.5274314E-4 | 1.0225762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.00441908 | 0.004429036 | 1.0022529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.687244E-6 | 6.687244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.865932E-5 | 2.865932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.4887446E-4 | 3.4887446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0034835767 | 0.0034835767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.845145E-6 | 4.845145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.0764748E-5 | 2.0764748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.527826E-4 | 2.527826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025250607 | 0.0025250607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.7537136E-6 | 3.7537136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6087248E-5 | 1.6087248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9584515E-4 | 1.9584515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001956777 | 0.001956777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6140026E-6 | 2.6140026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1202822E-5 | 1.1202822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3638608E-4 | 1.3638608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013630493 | 0.0013630493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8301982E-6 | 1.8301982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 7.843684E-6 | 7.843684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.549279E-5 | 9.549279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.5453E-4 | 9.5453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2331037E-6 | 1.2331037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.28472E-6 | 5.28472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.433967E-5 | 6.433967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.432202E-4 | 6.432202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 5.6655864E-7 | 5.6655864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.4281062E-6 | 2.4281062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 2.956183E-5 | 2.956183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 2.955826E-4 | 2.955826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 2.7905455E-7 | 2.7905455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.1959476E-6 | 1.1959476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.45605645E-5 | 1.45605645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.4559622E-4 | 1.4559622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.6063723E-7 | 1.6063723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 6.884451E-7 | 6.884451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 8.381788E-6 | 8.381788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 8.3814775E-5 | 8.3814775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.318193E-8 | 4.318193E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 1.8506542E-7 | 1.8506542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.2531694E-6 | 2.2531694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.2531493E-5 | 2.2531493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8831568E-6 | 1.3883118E-5 | 3.5752144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.664202E-5 | 2.6641854E-5 | 1.6008786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.026021E-4 | 2.2259804E-4 | 1.0986956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020246007 | 0.00205454 | 1.0147878 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8831568E-6 | 1.3883118E-5 | 3.5752144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.664202E-5 | 2.6641854E-5 | 1.6008786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.026021E-4 | 2.2259804E-4 | 1.0986956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020246007 | 0.00205454 | 1.0147878 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8831568E-6 | 1.3883118E-5 | 3.5752144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.664202E-5 | 2.6641854E-5 | 1.6008786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.026021E-4 | 2.2259804E-4 | 1.0986956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020246007 | 0.00205454 | 1.0147878 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8831568E-6 | 1.3883118E-5 | 3.5752144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.664202E-5 | 2.6641854E-5 | 1.6008786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.026021E-4 | 2.2259804E-4 | 1.0986956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020246007 | 0.00205454 | 1.0147878 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8831568E-6 | 1.3883118E-5 | 3.5752144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.664202E-5 | 2.6641854E-5 | 1.6008786 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.026021E-4 | 2.2259804E-4 | 1.0986956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020246007 | 0.00205454 | 1.0147878 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.1982836E-6 | 1.1982836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.135492E-6 | 5.135492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.252294E-5 | 7.2522314E-5 | 1.1599313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.250651E-4 | 6.350589E-4 | 1.0159883 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.1982836E-6 | 1.1982836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.135492E-6 | 5.135492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.252294E-5 | 7.2522314E-5 | 1.1599313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.250651E-4 | 6.350589E-4 | 1.0159883 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.370505E-7 | 8.370505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.5873547E-6 | 3.5873547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3675227E-5 | 4.3675227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.366721E-4 | 4.366721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.356078E-7 | 6.356078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.724031E-6 | 2.724031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.316461E-5 | 3.316461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.316004E-4 | 3.316004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.311465E-7 | 5.311465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2763404E-6 | 2.2763404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7714126E-5 | 2.7714126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7711E-4 | 2.7711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5029586E-7 | 3.5029586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5012672E-6 | 1.5012672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8277784E-5 | 1.8277784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8276363E-4 | 1.8276363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 2.972979E-7 | 2.972979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2741333E-6 | 1.2741333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5512469E-5 | 1.5512469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.551146E-4 | 1.551146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 1.9985316E-7 | 1.9985316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.565133E-7 | 8.565133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0428003E-5 | 1.0428003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.042756E-4 | 1.042756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0483028E-7 | 1.0483028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.4927256E-7 | 4.4927256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.4698817E-6 | 5.4698817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.4697666E-5 | 5.4697666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 1.8498053E-5 | 2.1767182 | 1.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6420184E-5 | 5.6419456E-5 | 1.549126 | 2.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4334316E-4 | 4.633343E-4 | 1.0450917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044263224 | 0.00445619 | 1.0067476 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.3752574E-5 | 3.664801 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 3.6082227E-5 | 2.2435641 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.1578823E-4 | 1.1021291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.3752574E-5 | 3.664801 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 3.6082227E-5 | 2.2435641 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.1578823E-4 | 1.1021291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.572216E-4 | 1.0133728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 1.4353969E-5 | 3.2967217 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 6.300958E-5 | 1.1886332 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3010107E-4 | 5.400958E-4 | 1.0188544 | 1.0E-5 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 5.5621214E-5 | 1.5614319 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.7265622E-4 | 1.1309907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.001887478 | 1.0161204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018497689 | 1.0015944 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 5.5621214E-5 | 1.5614319 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.7265622E-4 | 1.1309907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.001887478 | 1.0161204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018497689 | 1.0015944 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 5.5621214E-5 | 1.5614319 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.7265622E-4 | 1.1309907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.001887478 | 1.0161204 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018497689 | 1.0015944 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 3.79003E-5 | 2.1172574 | 2.0E-5 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 9.6713906E-5 | 1.2606837 | 2.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.536964E-4 | 1.0213999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009328041 | 1.0021286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 3.79003E-5 | 2.1172574 | 2.0E-5 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 9.6713906E-5 | 1.2606837 | 2.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.536964E-4 | 1.0213999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009328041 | 1.0021286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 3.79003E-5 | 2.1172574 | 2.0E-5 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 9.6713906E-5 | 1.2606837 | 2.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.536964E-4 | 1.0213999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009328041 | 1.0021286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 3.79003E-5 | 2.1172574 | 2.0E-5 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 9.6713906E-5 | 1.2606837 | 2.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.536964E-4 | 1.0213999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009328041 | 1.0021286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.2770867E-5 | 2.2770739E-5 | 1.7830222 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.4731543E-5 | 6.473099E-5 | 1.1827 | 1.0E-5 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.6622486E-4 | 6.762182E-4 | 1.015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059115817 | 0.006649345 | 0.0066592786 | 1.0014939 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 2.1273105E-5 | 1.8870482 | 1.0E-5 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 5.83128E-5 | 1.2069724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 2.1273105E-5 | 1.8870482 | 1.0E-5 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 5.83128E-5 | 1.2069724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 2.1273105E-5 | 1.8870482 | 1.0E-5 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 5.83128E-5 | 1.2069724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.1221955E-6 | 9.1221955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.7593983E-4 | 4.7593983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004755428 | 0.004755428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.324751E-7 | 1.324751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 5.677503E-7 | 5.677503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 6.912341E-6 | 6.912341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 6.9121576E-5 | 6.9121576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.3149956E-7 | 1.3149956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 5.635694E-7 | 5.635694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 6.8614395E-6 | 6.8614395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 6.8612586E-5 | 6.8612586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.3097126E-7 | 1.3097126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 5.6130534E-7 | 5.6130534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 6.833874E-6 | 6.833874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 6.833695E-5 | 6.833695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 9.399491E-8 | 9.399491E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.028353E-7 | 4.028353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 4.9045107E-6 | 4.9045107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 4.904421E-5 | 4.904421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 8.61623E-8 | 8.61623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.6926696E-7 | 3.6926696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.495818E-6 | 4.495818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.495745E-5 | 4.495745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.3340193E-7 | 5.3340193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.334011E-6 | 5.334011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 4.7525908E-9 | 4.7525908E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 5.7862792E-8 | 5.7862792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 5.7862786E-7 | 5.7862786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4873758E-4 | 1.932164E-4 | 2.0321447E-4 | 1.0517454 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3729106E-4 | 8.2781306E-4 | 8.378048E-4 | 1.0120701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077314493 | 0.01002877 | 0.01004857 | 1.0019742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.074679315 | 0.09646023 | 0.096478306 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4409686E-4 | 1.9317826E-4 | 2.0317633E-4 | 1.0517557 | 1.0E-5 | 6.174118E-4 | 8.2764967E-4 | 8.376414E-4 | 1.0120724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074911113 | 0.0100267995 | 0.010046599 | 1.0019747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07243565 | 0.096441306 | 0.096459374 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4297929E-4 | 1.9278134E-4 | 2.0277941E-4 | 1.0518622 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1262446E-4 | 8.259498E-4 | 8.359416E-4 | 1.0120972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007433224 | 0.010006317 | 0.010026117 | 1.0019788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07189451 | 0.09624795 | 0.096266024 | 1.0001878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536085E-4 | 1.8741869E-4 | 1.9741681E-4 | 1.0533465 | 1.0E-5 | 5.79989E-4 | 8.0298504E-4 | 8.12977E-4 | 1.0124435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070385267 | 0.00972964 | 0.009749445 | 1.0020356 | 2.0E-5 | 0.068197265 | 0.093705304 | 0.09372343 | 1.0001935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 1.8337966E-4 | 1.9337781E-4 | 1.0545217 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5673666E-4 | 7.8568555E-4 | 7.956777E-4 | 1.0127177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.00952092 | 0.009540729 | 1.0020807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.09172024 | 0.0917384 | 1.000198 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.4222144E-4 | 1.5222002E-4 | 1.0703028 | 1.0E-5 | 4.498764E-4 | 6.093781E-4 | 6.19372E-4 | 1.0164002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.0073939594 | 0.0074138115 | 1.002685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.07225713 | 0.07227568 | 1.0002568 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.3800764E-4 | 1.4800626E-4 | 1.0724498 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35249E-4 | 5.913274E-4 | 6.0132146E-4 | 1.0169011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.0071756663 | 0.007195523 | 1.0027672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.07020876 | 0.070227355 | 1.0002649 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.3170525E-4 | 1.4170395E-4 | 1.0759171 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1395082E-4 | 5.6432904E-4 | 5.743234E-4 | 1.0177102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.0068490976 | 0.0068689603 | 1.0029001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.06713555 | 0.06715421 | 1.0002779 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.22893E-4 | 1.3289177E-4 | 1.0813617 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8951015E-4 | 5.265783E-4 | 5.36573E-4 | 1.0189805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.0063922754 | 0.0064121475 | 1.0031087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.06284001 | 0.062858745 | 1.0002983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 9.6140626E-5 | 1.0613966E-4 | 1.1040043 | 1.0E-5 | 3.150985E-4 | 4.1196655E-4 | 4.2196244E-4 | 1.0242639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0050042304 | 0.0050241305 | 1.0039766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.049606383 | 0.04962539 | 1.0003831 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 7.2822164E-5 | 8.282143E-5 | 1.1373109 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4623662E-4 | 3.1205788E-4 | 3.2205475E-4 | 1.0320354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0037927295 | 0.0038126537 | 1.0052532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.037876707 | 0.037895948 | 1.0005081 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 6.198605E-5 | 7.1985436E-5 | 1.1613166 | 1.0E-5 | 2.123707E-4 | 2.656277E-4 | 2.7562503E-4 | 1.0376366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0032292607 | 0.003249196 | 1.0061734 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.032382544 | 0.032401897 | 1.0005976 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 4.4543307E-5 | 5.4542863E-5 | 1.2244906 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5803022E-4 | 1.9088601E-4 | 2.0088411E-4 | 1.0523772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0023215783 | 0.0023415317 | 1.0085949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.023503607 | 0.023523137 | 1.0008309 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 3.1278436E-5 | 4.1278126E-5 | 1.319699 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.3404361E-4 | 1.4404228E-4 | 1.0745926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0016307704 | 0.0016507378 | 1.0122441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.016600506 | 0.016620174 | 1.0011848 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.1378453E-5 | 3.137824E-5 | 1.4677507 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6060016E-5 | 9.1618735E-5 | 1.0161782E-4 | 1.109138 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0011148889 | 0.0011348666 | 1.0179191 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009217911 | 0.011427162 | 0.011446934 | 1.0017302 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 1.8279748E-5 | 2.8279565E-5 | 1.5470436 | 1.0E-5 | 6.378478E-5 | 7.8339435E-5 | 8.8338646E-5 | 1.1276397 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76303E-4 | 9.5336675E-4 | 9.733477E-4 | 1.0209583 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077359667 | 0.009811146 | 0.00983095 | 1.0020185 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 9.65096E-6 | 1.9650863E-5 | 2.0361564 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5000852E-5 | 4.1360607E-5 | 5.136019E-5 | 1.241766 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2605202E-4 | 5.0344976E-4 | 5.2343967E-4 | 1.0397059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004252361 | 0.005255468 | 0.005275363 | 1.0037856 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 3.0635422E-6 | 1.3063512E-5 | 4.2641854 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4510518E-5 | 1.31294E-5 | 2.3129269E-5 | 1.7616394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7665124E-4 | 1.5983875E-4 | 1.7983554E-4 | 1.1251061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0017578915 | 0.0017778564 | 1.0113573 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 2.5523734E-6 | 1.25523475E-5 | 4.917912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880637E-5 | 1.09386965E-5 | 2.0938587E-5 | 1.9141756 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4463716E-4 | 1.331705E-4 | 1.5316784E-4 | 1.1501634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0014735402 | 0.0014935108 | 1.0135528 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 1.9887723E-6 | 1.1988753E-5 | 6.028218 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4583835E-6 | 8.523281E-6 | 1.8523197E-5 | 2.173247 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0297595E-4 | 1.03766026E-4 | 1.2376395E-4 | 1.1927214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0011430503 | 0.0011630274 | 1.017477 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 1.280198E-6 | 1.1280185E-5 | 8.811282 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0431145E-6 | 5.486551E-6 | 1.5486496E-5 | 2.8226287 | 1.0E-5 | 6.139818E-5 | 6.679672E-5 | 7.679605E-5 | 1.1496979 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1381224E-4 | 7.25917E-4 | 7.3590974E-4 | 1.0137657 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 7.868212E-7 | 1.0786814E-5 | 13.709358 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2191172E-6 | 3.3720864E-6 | 1.3372052E-5 | 3.965513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9192048E-5 | 4.1054383E-5 | 5.1053976E-5 | 1.2435694 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9185135E-4 | 4.4352317E-4 | 4.5351873E-4 | 1.0225368 | 1.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0012055681 | 1.0168492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800488 | 0.011830134 | 1.0025122 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0012055681 | 1.0168492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800488 | 0.011830134 | 1.0025122 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0012055681 | 1.0168492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800488 | 0.011830134 | 1.0025122 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0012055681 | 1.0168492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800488 | 0.011830134 | 1.0025122 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 2.5398536E-5 | 1.6493958 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 7.599225E-5 | 1.1515214 | 1.0E-5 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 8.2318456E-4 | 1.0248804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008006267 | 0.008036028 | 1.0037171 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 2.5398536E-5 | 1.6493958 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 7.599225E-5 | 1.1515214 | 1.0E-5 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 8.2318456E-4 | 1.0248804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008006267 | 0.008036028 | 1.0037171 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 9.803303E-6 | 1.9803205E-5 | 2.0200543 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.2013547E-5 | 5.2013125E-5 | 1.2380085 | 1.0E-5 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.114066E-4 | 5.3139636E-4 | 1.0390878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061957375 | 0.0051034573 | 0.0051333043 | 1.0058484 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 6.708841E-6 | 1.6708775E-5 | 2.4905605 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9207694E-5 | 2.8751876E-5 | 3.875159E-5 | 1.3477933 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.5000118E-4 | 3.6999417E-4 | 1.0571227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047622547 | 0.003494829 | 0.003524724 | 1.0085541 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.3267877E-6 | 1.5326734E-5 | 2.877294 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.2828897E-5 | 3.282867E-5 | 1.4380313 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.7790747E-4 | 2.979019E-4 | 1.0719464 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041159308 | 0.002775709 | 0.0028056256 | 1.0107781 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.1834E-6 | 1.5183348E-5 | 2.9292257 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.2214388E-5 | 3.2214168E-5 | 1.4501487 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.704277E-4 | 2.904223E-4 | 1.0739369 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004046161 | 0.0027010941 | 0.002731013 | 1.0110766 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.0824606E-6 | 1.508241E-5 | 2.967541 | 1.0E-5 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.1781798E-5 | 3.178158E-5 | 1.4590889 | 1.0E-5 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.651622E-4 | 2.851569E-4 | 1.0754055 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003997127 | 0.0026485657 | 0.0026784863 | 1.0112969 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 4.8470674E-6 | 1.4847019E-5 | 3.0630932 | 1.0E-5 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.0772988E-5 | 3.077278E-5 | 1.4813844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.5288283E-4 | 2.7287778E-4 | 1.0790681 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003878636 | 0.0025260563 | 0.0025559806 | 1.0118462 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.5218935E-6 | 1.4521848E-5 | 3.211453 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0549007E-5 | 1.9379406E-5 | 2.937921E-5 | 1.5160017 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.3591972E-4 | 2.55915E-4 | 1.0847546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00371249 | 0.0023567926 | 0.002386722 | 1.0126991 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.491778E-6 | 1.4491733E-5 | 3.22628 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0391306E-5 | 1.9250341E-5 | 2.9250148E-5 | 1.5194613 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.343487E-4 | 2.5434402E-4 | 1.0853229 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0023411156 | 0.0023710453 | 1.0127844 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.45684E-6 | 1.4456796E-5 | 3.2437322 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0220453E-5 | 1.9100607E-5 | 2.9100418E-5 | 1.5235336 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.325261E-4 | 2.5252145E-4 | 1.0859919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0023229278 | 0.0023528582 | 1.0128847 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.3580467E-6 | 1.4358003E-5 | 3.294596 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9616802E-5 | 1.8677214E-5 | 2.8677028E-5 | 1.5354017 | 1.0E-5 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.2737235E-4 | 2.473678E-4 | 1.0879414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035994058 | 0.002271497 | 0.0023014287 | 1.0131772 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 3.954763E-6 | 1.3954724E-5 | 3.5285866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.694888E-5 | 2.694871E-5 | 1.5899996 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.0633405E-4 | 2.2632992E-4 | 1.0969102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033035777 | 0.002061522 | 0.0020914602 | 1.0145223 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 8.749358E-6 | 8.749358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.1651779E-4 | 1.09387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020436216 | 0.0010647392 | 0.0010747286 | 1.009382 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 7.712041E-8 | 7.712041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.0240275E-6 | 4.0240275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.0239815E-5 | 4.0239815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.187984E-9 | 9.187984E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004699953 | 1.0063939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004699953 | 1.0063939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004699953 | 1.0063939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004699953 | 1.0063939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020755024 | 1.0048314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020755024 | 1.0048314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016159874 | 0.0016159874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013821042 | 0.0013821042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3273365E-4 | 1.3273365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013265496 | 0.0013265496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3576204E-7 | 2.3576204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0104084E-6 | 1.0104084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.409946E-8 | 9.409946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0328334E-7 | 4.0328334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.9098555E-5 | 4.9098555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.8401413E-8 | 2.8401413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2172033E-7 | 1.2172033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.4819441E-6 | 1.4819441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.4819343E-5 | 1.4819343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.0360131E-8 | 1.0360131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.4400565E-8 | 4.4400565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.405767E-7 | 5.405767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.405754E-6 | 5.405754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 2.447432E-9 | 2.447432E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.0488992E-8 | 1.0488992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.2770347E-7 | 1.2770347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.277034E-6 | 1.277034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.358289E-4 | 2.1495095E-4 | 2.2494882E-4 | 1.0465122 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8199395E-4 | 9.208417E-4 | 9.3083247E-4 | 1.0108496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070627797 | 0.011137044 | 0.0111667095 | 1.0026637 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06842483 | 0.10507321 | 0.105100065 | 1.0002555 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2634568E-4 | 1.9993648E-4 | 2.0993447E-4 | 1.0500059 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4136914E-4 | 8.5655093E-4 | 8.665424E-4 | 1.0116647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065712677 | 0.010363597 | 0.010393286 | 1.0028647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06380317 | 0.098186545 | 0.0982136 | 1.0002755 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1466059E-4 | 1.7943211E-4 | 1.8943033E-4 | 1.0557214 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9130997E-4 | 7.687572E-4 | 7.787495E-4 | 1.012998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005965305 | 0.009307489 | 0.009327303 | 1.0021288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05807694 | 0.08879632 | 0.08881454 | 1.0002053 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.2697697E-4 | 1.3697571E-4 | 1.0787444 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7244044E-4 | 5.4405595E-4 | 5.540505E-4 | 1.0183705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004525038 | 0.006600836 | 0.0066207037 | 1.0030099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.06440722 | 0.06442594 | 1.0002905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.2479376E-4 | 1.3479251E-4 | 1.0801222 | 1.0E-5 | 3.646556E-4 | 5.347032E-4 | 5.446978E-4 | 1.018692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044306475 | 0.0064876475 | 0.006507518 | 1.0030627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.06332707 | 0.0633458 | 1.0002959 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.2342051E-4 | 1.3341928E-4 | 1.0810138 | 1.0E-5 | 3.602201E-4 | 5.288203E-4 | 5.3881505E-4 | 1.0189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004376863 | 0.00641651 | 0.0064363815 | 1.0030969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.062658556 | 0.0626773 | 1.0002992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.2044712E-4 | 1.3044591E-4 | 1.083014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5115483E-4 | 5.160854E-4 | 5.2608026E-4 | 1.0193666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0062626028 | 0.006282477 | 1.0031736 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.06121997 | 0.061238747 | 1.0003067 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.17504256E-4 | 1.2750308E-4 | 1.0850933 | 1.0E-5 | 3.433402E-4 | 5.034793E-4 | 5.134743E-4 | 1.0198518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004172157 | 0.0061102705 | 0.0061301487 | 1.0032532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.059803605 | 0.05982241 | 1.0003145 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.0105285E-4 | 1.1105184E-4 | 1.0989481 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0509746E-4 | 4.330063E-4 | 4.4300195E-4 | 1.0230844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0052578053 | 0.0052777003 | 1.0037838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.051808238 | 0.0518272 | 1.0003661 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 7.63302E-5 | 8.632943E-5 | 1.1309998 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4573295E-4 | 3.2708864E-4 | 3.3708537E-4 | 1.0305628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029876942 | 0.003975072 | 0.0039949925 | 1.0050113 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.039629243 | 0.03964845 | 1.0004847 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 6.3085994E-5 | 7.3085364E-5 | 1.1585038 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889717E-4 | 2.7034077E-4 | 2.8033808E-4 | 1.0369804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025403565 | 0.003286472 | 0.0033064063 | 1.0060656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.03295613 | 0.032975473 | 1.0005869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 5.479926E-5 | 6.479871E-5 | 1.1824743 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8426418E-4 | 2.3483305E-4 | 2.448307E-4 | 1.0425735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002241108 | 0.002855382 | 0.0028753248 | 1.0069844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.028745268 | 0.028764693 | 1.0006758 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 3.9452036E-5 | 4.945164E-5 | 1.2534623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3804805E-4 | 1.6906929E-4 | 1.790676E-4 | 1.0591373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0020564927 | 0.0020764514 | 1.0097053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.02090574 | 0.020925323 | 1.0009366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 2.858248E-5 | 3.8582195E-5 | 1.3498547 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.2249066E-4 | 1.3248944E-4 | 1.0816289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0014903143 | 0.0015102845 | 1.0134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.015219923 | 0.015239619 | 1.001294 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 1.9018737E-5 | 2.9018547E-5 | 1.5257872 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8559704E-5 | 8.150633E-5 | 9.150552E-5 | 1.1226798 | 1.0E-5 | 8.343947E-4 | 9.918893E-4 | 0.0010118694 | 1.0201435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008312687 | 0.01021483 | 0.010234626 | 1.001938 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 1.6790169E-5 | 2.6790001E-5 | 1.5955766 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9202768E-5 | 7.195589E-5 | 8.1955164E-5 | 1.138964 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205553E-4 | 8.7571214E-4 | 8.956946E-4 | 1.0228186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007182234 | 0.009054905 | 0.009074724 | 1.0021888 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.03590455E-5 | 2.0358942E-5 | 1.9653299 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7787922E-5 | 4.4395158E-5 | 5.4394714E-5 | 1.2252398 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5997082E-4 | 5.4037775E-4 | 5.603669E-4 | 1.0369911 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004590199 | 0.0056599956 | 0.0056798826 | 1.0035136 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 3.762908E-6 | 1.376287E-5 | 3.657509 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7293689E-5 | 1.6126649E-5 | 2.6126487E-5 | 1.6200817 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1053031E-4 | 1.9632427E-4 | 2.1632035E-4 | 1.1018523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0021590109 | 0.0021789677 | 1.0092435 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 3.2475155E-6 | 1.3247483E-5 | 4.079267 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4627784E-5 | 1.3917849E-5 | 2.391771E-5 | 1.7184918 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7807873E-4 | 1.6943665E-4 | 1.8943327E-4 | 1.1180183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0018708297 | 0.0018907924 | 1.0106704 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 2.5666934E-6 | 1.25666675E-5 | 4.8960533 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06031275E-5 | 1.1000068E-5 | 2.0999958E-5 | 1.9090753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2908543E-4 | 1.3391761E-4 | 1.5391494E-4 | 1.1493256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0014701938 | 0.0014901644 | 1.0135837 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 1.6587518E-6 | 1.1658735E-5 | 7.0286193 | 1.0E-5 | 6.527906E-6 | 7.1089166E-6 | 1.7108845E-5 | 2.4066741 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9474354E-5 | 8.654763E-5 | 9.654677E-5 | 1.1155334 | 1.0E-5 | 7.944594E-4 | 9.375262E-4 | 9.475168E-4 | 1.0106564 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 1.0440698E-6 | 1.104406E-5 | 10.577894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.330503E-6 | 4.474577E-6 | 1.4474533E-5 | 3.234838 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2722597E-5 | 5.4476623E-5 | 6.447608E-5 | 1.183555 | 1.0E-5 | 5.271009E-4 | 5.871438E-4 | 5.971379E-4 | 1.0170217 | 1.0E-5 |
Yorba Linda
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.7171873E-5 | 2.394312 | 1.0E-5 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 9.028821E-4 | 1.0343379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.326737E-7 | 8.326737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022115 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.344687E-5 | 5.3446434E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.343902E-4 | 4.6437717E-4 | 1.0690323 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.326737E-7 | 8.326737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 1.3568561E-5 | 3.8022115 | 1.0E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.344687E-5 | 5.3446434E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.343902E-4 | 4.6437717E-4 | 1.0690323 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4451364E-7 | 5.719192E-7 | 5.719192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.619339E-6 | 2.45108E-6 | 1.2451055E-5 | 5.079824 | 1.0E-5 | 4.406456E-5 | 2.9841513E-5 | 3.9841212E-5 | 1.3350936 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4055824E-4 | 2.9837713E-4 | 3.283682E-4 | 1.1005139 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.422957E-7 | 5.694823E-7 | 5.694823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6098338E-6 | 2.4406363E-6 | 1.24406115E-5 | 5.097282 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3948843E-5 | 2.9714363E-5 | 3.9714065E-5 | 1.3365276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.394015E-4 | 2.97106E-4 | 3.2709708E-4 | 1.100944 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.4119705E-7 | 5.682761E-7 | 5.682761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6051254E-6 | 2.4354667E-6 | 1.2435443E-5 | 5.105979 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3891516E-5 | 2.9651426E-5 | 3.965113E-5 | 1.3372419 | 1.0E-5 | 4.388285E-4 | 2.964768E-4 | 3.2646788E-4 | 1.1011584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5919155E-7 | 4.848176E-7 | 4.848176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.253674E-6 | 2.0777882E-6 | 1.2077768E-5 | 5.8128004 | 1.0E-5 | 3.961276E-5 | 2.5296793E-5 | 3.529654E-5 | 1.395297 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9605703E-4 | 2.5294078E-4 | 2.829332E-4 | 1.1185749 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5804564E-7 | 4.8345646E-7 | 4.8345646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.248763E-6 | 2.0719547E-6 | 1.2071934E-5 | 5.8263507 | 1.0E-5 | 3.955297E-5 | 2.5225772E-5 | 3.522552E-5 | 1.39641 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9545933E-4 | 2.5223073E-4 | 2.822232E-4 | 1.1189088 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.539293E-7 | 4.796919E-7 | 4.796919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2311218E-6 | 2.0558207E-6 | 1.2055801E-5 | 5.8642273 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9338196E-5 | 2.5029347E-5 | 3.5029097E-5 | 1.399521 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9331234E-4 | 2.5026695E-4 | 2.8025944E-4 | 1.119842 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.0900885E-7 | 3.6485469E-7 | 3.6485469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6100352E-6 | 1.563662E-6 | 1.563662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1776715E-5 | 1.9037421E-5 | 1.9037421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1772171E-4 | 1.9035823E-4 | 2.1035442E-4 | 1.1050451 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.849925E-7 | 3.4565852E-7 | 3.4565852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5071083E-6 | 1.4813928E-6 | 1.4813928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0523614E-5 | 1.8035811E-5 | 1.8035811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0519423E-4 | 1.8034379E-4 | 2.0034018E-4 | 1.1108793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.89808E-7 | 2.9300614E-7 | 2.9300614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0991754E-6 | 1.2557399E-6 | 1.2557399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5557161E-5 | 1.528853E-5 | 1.528853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5554223E-4 | 1.5287499E-4 | 1.7287192E-4 | 1.1308059 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8700415E-7 | 2.3873397E-7 | 2.3873397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6585881E-6 | 1.0231453E-6 | 1.0231453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193123E-5 | 1.2456723E-5 | 1.2456723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0191289E-4 | 1.2456038E-4 | 1.4455788E-4 | 1.1605448 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.900565E-7 | 1.8106094E-7 | 1.8106094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2430987E-6 | 7.759752E-7 | 7.759752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5134622E-5 | 9.447458E-6 | 9.447458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5133592E-4 | 9.447064E-5 | 1.14468756E-4 | 1.211686 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2770318E-7 | 1.4431377E-7 | 1.4431377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.758704E-7 | 6.1848743E-7 | 6.1848743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1881158E-5 | 7.530059E-6 | 7.530059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880523E-4 | 7.5298085E-5 | 7.5298085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5017194E-7 | 8.467986E-8 | 8.467986E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4359386E-7 | 3.6291362E-7 | 3.6291362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835727E-6 | 4.418465E-6 | 4.418465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835451E-5 | 4.4183795E-5 | 4.4183795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.895753E-8 | 1.736287E-8 | 1.736287E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696083E-7 | 7.44123E-8 | 7.44123E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327461E-6 | 9.059694E-7 | 9.059694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327276E-5 | 9.059659E-6 | 9.059659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.648505E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8493591E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690942E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690888E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 4.1932242E-5 | 1.9118613 | 2.0E-5 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.1399257E-4 | 1.2127585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.01142092 | 1.0026037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 4.1932242E-5 | 1.9118613 | 2.0E-5 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.1399257E-4 | 1.2127585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.01142092 | 1.0026037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 4.1932242E-5 | 1.9118613 | 2.0E-5 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.1399257E-4 | 1.2127585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.01142092 | 1.0026037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 4.1932242E-5 | 1.9118613 | 2.0E-5 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.1399257E-4 | 1.2127585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.01142092 | 1.0026037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 4.1932242E-5 | 1.9118613 | 2.0E-5 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.1399257E-4 | 1.2127585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.01142092 | 1.0026037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 4.190166E-5 | 1.9131346 | 2.0E-5 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 1.1386152E-4 | 1.2130556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010111968 | 0.001142301 | 0.0011622781 | 1.0174885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011375485 | 0.011405144 | 1.0026072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 4.190166E-5 | 1.9131346 | 2.0E-5 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 1.1386152E-4 | 1.2130556 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010111968 | 0.001142301 | 0.0011622781 | 1.0174885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011375485 | 0.011405144 | 1.0026072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.673707E-5 | 2.6736903E-5 | 1.5974661 | 1.0E-5 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.1728784E-5 | 8.172807E-5 | 1.139404 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7849044E-4 | 8.7302853E-4 | 8.830198E-4 | 1.0114443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007757689 | 0.008703915 | 0.008723741 | 1.0022779 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 2.519298E-5 | 1.6581821 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 7.511158E-5 | 1.153571 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0783484E-4 | 7.9253083E-4 | 8.025229E-4 | 1.0126078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070558446 | 0.007904684 | 0.007924526 | 1.0025102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 2.519298E-5 | 1.6581821 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 7.511158E-5 | 1.153571 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0783484E-4 | 7.9253083E-4 | 8.025229E-4 | 1.0126078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070558446 | 0.007904684 | 0.007924526 | 1.0025102 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.5040508E-5 | 2.5040357E-5 | 1.6648612 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.445816E-5 | 7.4457515E-5 | 1.1551294 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0069433E-4 | 7.8457326E-4 | 7.945654E-4 | 1.0127357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006984891 | 0.007825671 | 0.007845514 | 1.0025357 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.153406E-6 | 9.153406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5063567E-5 | 3.922865E-5 | 3.922865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.775676E-4 | 4.775676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042599645 | 0.004771636 | 0.004771636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.6146316E-7 | 1.6146316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.855989E-7 | 6.9198484E-7 | 6.9198484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0782113E-5 | 8.424886E-6 | 8.424886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.07815904E-4 | 8.4245985E-5 | 8.4245985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.5969916E-7 | 1.5969916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7695867E-7 | 6.8442483E-7 | 6.8442483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676919E-5 | 8.332843E-6 | 8.332843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676406E-4 | 8.332563E-5 | 8.332563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.5765538E-7 | 1.5765538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.644749E-7 | 6.756658E-7 | 6.756658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.226203E-6 | 8.226203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05244326E-4 | 8.22593E-5 | 8.22593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.1692167E-7 | 1.1692167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.0109276E-7 | 5.0109276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.1007895E-6 | 6.1007895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747146E-5 | 6.100641E-5 | 6.100641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.035385E-7 | 1.035385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.4373633E-7 | 4.4373633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.4024786E-6 | 5.4024786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8799505E-5 | 5.4023654E-5 | 5.4023654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.2988015E-8 | 1.2988015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 5.566292E-8 | 5.566292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 6.776959E-7 | 6.776959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928154E-5 | 6.7769424E-6 | 6.7769424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.7171199E-9 | 2.7171199E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.16448E-8 | 1.16448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.4177543E-7 | 1.4177543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058282E-6 | 1.4177537E-6 | 1.4177537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 6.8121164E-10 | 6.8121164E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 2.9194784E-9 | 2.9194784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.5544648E-8 | 3.5544648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301295E-7 | 3.554465E-7 | 3.554465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 6.770558E-5 | 1.1732817 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.2234595E-4 | 1.0284554 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.0070728725 | 1.0042295 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.1012269E-5 | 1.1012269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 4.719463E-5 | 5.719416E-5 | 1.2118785 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 5.7445123E-4 | 5.9443974E-4 | 1.0347959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.005770806 | 0.005800633 | 1.0051686 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.0819936E-5 | 1.0819936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 4.6370373E-5 | 5.6369907E-5 | 1.215645 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 5.644211E-4 | 5.844098E-4 | 1.0354146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.005671019 | 0.0057008495 | 1.0052601 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.0448709E-5 | 1.0448709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 4.4779455E-5 | 5.4779008E-5 | 1.2233067 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 5.450614E-4 | 5.650505E-4 | 1.0366731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0054783793 | 0.0055082147 | 1.0054461 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 8.676531E-6 | 8.676531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 3.7184636E-5 | 4.7184265E-5 | 1.2689183 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 4.5263488E-4 | 4.726258E-4 | 1.0441657 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.004558103 | 0.004587966 | 1.0065517 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 7.0460287E-6 | 7.0460287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 3.019694E-5 | 4.019664E-5 | 1.3311493 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 3.6758988E-4 | 3.8758252E-4 | 1.0543884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.003710645 | 0.0037405337 | 1.0080549 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 6.711505E-6 | 6.711505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 2.8763301E-5 | 3.8763013E-5 | 1.3476553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 3.5014097E-4 | 3.7013396E-4 | 1.0570998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0035367159 | 0.0035666097 | 1.0084524 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 5.203878E-6 | 5.203878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 2.2302163E-5 | 3.230194E-5 | 1.448377 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 2.7149843E-4 | 2.91493E-4 | 1.0736452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0027524338 | 0.002782351 | 1.0108695 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 4.4942494E-6 | 4.4942494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 1.9260944E-5 | 2.9260751E-5 | 1.5191754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 2.3447987E-4 | 2.544752E-4 | 1.0852752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.002383062 | 0.0024129904 | 1.0125588 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 2.6844218E-6 | 2.6844218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 1.1504614E-5 | 2.1504498E-5 | 1.8692064 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 1.4005977E-4 | 1.6005697E-4 | 1.1427761 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0014402068 | 0.0014601779 | 1.0138669 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 2.354935E-6 | 2.354935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.0092541E-5 | 2.009244E-5 | 1.9908208 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 1.2286981E-4 | 1.4286736E-4 | 1.1627539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0012685781 | 0.0012885528 | 1.0157456 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 1.960751E-6 | 1.960751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 8.403191E-6 | 1.8403107E-5 | 2.1900141 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 1.0230407E-4 | 1.2230202E-4 | 1.1954757 | 2.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0010632437 | 0.0010832225 | 1.0187904 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 1.8986187E-6 | 1.8986187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 8.136912E-6 | 1.813683E-5 | 2.2289574 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 9.906242E-5 | 1.1906044E-4 | 1.201873 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0010308194 | 0.0010507987 | 1.019382 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 1.7281582E-6 | 1.7281582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 7.406371E-6 | 1.7406297E-5 | 2.350179 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 9.0168855E-5 | 1.00167956E-4 | 1.110893 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 9.401702E-4 | 9.501608E-4 | 1.0106263 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 1.3544044E-6 | 1.3544044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 5.8045775E-6 | 5.8045775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 7.066845E-5 | 7.066845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3206134E-4 | 7.39725E-4 | 7.39725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 2.2247816E-7 | 2.2247816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 9.534775E-7 | 9.534775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 1.1608528E-5 | 1.1608528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 1.226002E-4 | 1.226002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 2.0893525E-8 | 2.0893525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 8.954367E-8 | 8.954367E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 1.0901937E-6 | 1.0901937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 1.3071964E-5 | 1.3071964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 3.6114707E-9 | 3.6114707E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.5477731E-8 | 1.5477731E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.8844136E-7 | 1.8844136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 2.35213E-6 | 2.35213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 1.4827519E-5 | 3.0714264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 4.0689007E-5 | 1.9666576 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.71861E-4 | 1.0793873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.002545875 | 1.0118939 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 1.3610854E-5 | 3.76939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.0839075E-4 | 1.1061403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019023865 | 1.0106046 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 1.3610854E-5 | 3.76939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 3.5474848E-5 | 2.2923741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.0839075E-4 | 1.1061403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019023865 | 1.0106046 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1050413E-6 | 1.310501E-5 | 4.220559 | 1.0E-5 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3307255E-5 | 3.330699E-5 | 2.5029194 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6200446E-4 | 1.8200123E-4 | 1.1234334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015864341 | 0.00161893 | 0.0016388977 | 1.0123339 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.590645E-6 | 1.2590619E-5 | 4.8600326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1102719E-5 | 3.1102496E-5 | 2.8013403 | 2.0E-5 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3516769E-4 | 1.5516499E-4 | 1.1479443 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013509011 | 0.001370874 | 1.0147849 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.287203E-6 | 1.228718E-5 | 5.372143 | 1.0E-5 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.802264E-6 | 1.9802166E-5 | 2.0201626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.19336466E-4 | 1.2933527E-4 | 1.0837867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0011927673 | 0.0012027553 | 1.0083739 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.1681995E-5 | 6.945252 | 1.0E-5 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 1.7208531E-5 | 2.3872213 | 1.0E-5 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.776146E-5 | 9.776058E-5 | 1.1139352 | 1.0E-5 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.7729277E-4 | 8.87284E-4 | 1.0113887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.1037394E-5 | 10.639437 | 1.0E-5 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 1.44459655E-5 | 3.2491977 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4128945E-5 | 6.4128406E-5 | 1.184734 | 1.0E-5 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4116896E-4 | 5.511635E-4 | 1.0184685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 1.0899625E-5 | 12.1156225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 1.3855531E-5 | 3.593641 | 1.0E-5 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.694065E-5 | 5.6940182E-5 | 1.213025 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.693181E-4 | 4.793134E-4 | 1.0212975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 1.0635781E-5 | 16.728514 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 1.2724774E-5 | 4.669982 | 1.0E-5 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.317402E-5 | 4.3173688E-5 | 1.3014307 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3169717E-4 | 3.4169384E-4 | 1.030138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 1.024166E-5 | 42.38011 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 1.1035683E-5 | 10.6553545 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2609518E-5 | 2.2609393E-5 | 1.7930417 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2609006E-4 | 1.360888E-4 | 1.0792984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 1.0022539E-5 | 444.67932 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.659485E-8 | 1.00965935E-5 | 104.52518 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 1.117603E-5 | 9.503089 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1760364E-5 | 2.1760246E-5 | 1.8503038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anaheim
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9952497E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.551043E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04103965E-4 | 6.300371E-5 | 7.300308E-5 | 1.1587108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010405522 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 7.300308E-5 | 1.1587108 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 7.300308E-5 | 1.1587108 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.5987965E-4 | 1.0475967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 4.5159155E-5 | 1.2844081 | 1.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.8153408E-4 | 1.0853077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 4.5159155E-5 | 1.2844081 | 1.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 3.8153408E-4 | 1.0853077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.6792273E-7 | 6.6792273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.8625232E-6 | 2.8625232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.4850713E-5 | 4.4850367E-5 | 1.2869282 | 1.0E-5 | 5.938936E-4 | 3.4845766E-4 | 3.784472E-4 | 1.0860636 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.45777E-7 | 6.45777E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.767613E-6 | 2.767613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.3695218E-5 | 4.3694883E-5 | 1.296768 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8243104E-4 | 3.3690623E-4 | 3.6689613E-4 | 1.0890156 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.390098E-7 | 6.390098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.7386106E-6 | 2.7386106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.3342127E-5 | 4.3341795E-5 | 1.2999109 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7892315E-4 | 3.3337637E-4 | 3.633664E-4 | 1.0899584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.369333E-7 | 6.369333E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.7297115E-6 | 2.7297115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.3233784E-5 | 4.323345E-5 | 1.3008887 | 1.0E-5 | 5.77846E-4 | 3.3229325E-4 | 3.622833E-4 | 1.0902517 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.315974E-7 | 6.315974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.7068434E-6 | 2.7068434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.2955373E-5 | 3.2955373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.750759E-4 | 3.2950996E-4 | 3.495034E-4 | 1.0606762 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.290331E-7 | 6.290331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.6958535E-6 | 2.6958535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.2821576E-5 | 3.2821576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.734383E-4 | 3.281724E-4 | 3.4816584E-4 | 1.0609236 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8131448E-6 | 1.8131448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.2074835E-5 | 2.2074835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3480762E-4 | 2.2072847E-4 | 2.4072407E-4 | 1.090589 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.6445329E-6 | 1.6445329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.0022024E-5 | 2.0022024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.066187E-4 | 2.0020407E-4 | 2.2020006E-4 | 1.0998781 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0519229E-6 | 1.0519229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.2807098E-5 | 1.2807098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6174777E-4 | 1.2806474E-4 | 1.3806346E-4 | 1.0780755 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.102462E-7 | 5.102462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.2122367E-6 | 6.2122367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2526344E-4 | 6.212133E-5 | 6.212133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.2621267E-7 | 8.2621267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573345E-5 | 8.2621045E-6 | 8.2621045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759697E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8754645E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Julian)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.2032675E-6 | 1.8203185E-5 | 2.2190166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.5156394E-5 | 4.515604E-5 | 1.2844332 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.2794648E-4 | 4.479379E-4 | 1.0467148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006091637 | 0.004271389 | 0.004301261 | 1.0069935 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.136913E-6 | 1.813683E-5 | 2.2289574 | 1.0E-5 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.4872024E-5 | 4.4871675E-5 | 1.2867528 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.244856E-4 | 4.444771E-4 | 1.0470959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.004236913 | 0.004266786 | 1.0070506 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.136913E-6 | 1.813683E-5 | 2.2289574 | 1.0E-5 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.4872024E-5 | 4.4871675E-5 | 1.2867528 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.244856E-4 | 4.444771E-4 | 1.0470959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060607214 | 0.004236913 | 0.004266786 | 1.0070506 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1442698E-5 | 7.924666E-6 | 1.7924585E-5 | 2.261873 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9039216E-5 | 3.3962417E-5 | 4.3962078E-5 | 1.2944331 | 1.0E-5 | 5.968889E-4 | 4.134154E-4 | 4.334071E-4 | 1.0483575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059528816 | 0.004126626 | 0.0041565024 | 1.0072398 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1300589E-5 | 7.775686E-6 | 1.7775608E-5 | 2.28605 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8430196E-5 | 3.332395E-5 | 4.3323616E-5 | 1.3000745 | 1.0E-5 | 5.894781E-4 | 4.0564497E-4 | 4.2563686E-4 | 1.0492842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005879169 | 0.0040492066 | 0.0040790853 | 1.0073788 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1117729E-5 | 7.5990133E-6 | 1.7598937E-5 | 2.3159504 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764654E-5 | 3.25668E-5 | 4.2566477E-5 | 1.3070512 | 1.0E-5 | 5.799422E-4 | 3.9643006E-4 | 4.1642215E-4 | 1.0504303 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057843104 | 0.003957389 | 0.0039872704 | 1.0075507 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.08053955E-5 | 7.2952935E-6 | 1.729522E-5 | 2.3707368 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6308014E-5 | 3.1265175E-5 | 4.1264862E-5 | 1.3198347 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6365423E-4 | 3.8058843E-4 | 4.0058082E-4 | 1.0525302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005622267 | 0.0037995237 | 0.0038294098 | 1.0078657 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.032804E-5 | 6.833779E-6 | 1.683371E-5 | 2.4633093 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4262277E-5 | 2.9287303E-5 | 3.928701E-5 | 1.341435 | 1.0E-5 | 5.387599E-4 | 3.5651587E-4 | 3.7650875E-4 | 1.0560784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053745564 | 0.0035595894 | 0.0035894825 | 1.0083979 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.622426E-6 | 6.3473635E-6 | 1.63473E-5 | 2.5754473 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1238312E-5 | 2.720271E-5 | 3.7202437E-5 | 1.3676004 | 1.0E-5 | 5.019608E-4 | 3.3114385E-4 | 3.5113725E-4 | 1.0603768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005008285 | 0.0033066415 | 0.0033365423 | 1.0090426 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.144434E-6 | 5.9871304E-6 | 1.598707E-5 | 2.6702392 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9189843E-5 | 2.5658885E-5 | 3.5658628E-5 | 1.3897185 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7703186E-4 | 3.123533E-4 | 3.3234706E-4 | 1.06401 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047600917 | 0.0031192605 | 0.0031491672 | 1.0095876 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.988981E-6 | 5.064546E-6 | 1.50644955E-5 | 2.9745007 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4238044E-5 | 2.1705022E-5 | 3.1704803E-5 | 1.4607129 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1676845E-4 | 2.6422768E-4 | 2.842224E-4 | 1.0756723 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041598766 | 0.0026392427 | 0.0026691635 | 1.0113369 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9554876E-6 | 4.2829142E-6 | 1.4282871E-5 | 3.3348486 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9808893E-5 | 1.8355224E-5 | 2.835504E-5 | 1.5447941 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6286283E-4 | 2.2345292E-4 | 2.4344845E-4 | 1.0894843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036227088 | 0.0022323804 | 0.0022623134 | 1.0134085 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1557314E-6 | 2.1144688E-6 | 2.1144688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810156E-5 | 9.0619815E-6 | 9.0619815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681708E-4 | 1.1032466E-4 | 1.2032355E-4 | 1.0906316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021660565 | 0.0011027602 | 0.0011127491 | 1.0090581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2597293E-7 | 8.508177E-8 | 8.508177E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.684551E-7 | 3.6463615E-7 | 3.6463615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790877E-5 | 4.4394387E-6 | 4.4394387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17902506E-4 | 4.4393768E-5 | 4.4393768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Thirty Mile Bank
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.5601176E-4 | 1.0288905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.003475124 | 1.0057684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5261137E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111828E-5 | 1.5404206E-5 | 1.5404206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397097E-4 | 1.875307E-4 | 1.9752883E-4 | 1.0533146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381875 | 0.0018737891 | 0.0018937516 | 1.0106536 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.370743E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445961E-5 | 1.4725733E-5 | 1.4725733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7586538E-4 | 1.7927166E-4 | 1.8926988E-4 | 1.0557712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017572626 | 0.0017913319 | 0.001811296 | 1.0111449 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2756835E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752893E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18735006E-4 | 1.21169534E-4 | 1.3116833E-4 | 1.0825189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011867158 | 0.0012110592 | 0.001221047 | 1.0082473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1617404E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.264569E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1279029E-4 | 1.1508764E-4 | 1.2508649E-4 | 1.0868803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011273306 | 0.0011503043 | 0.0011602928 | 1.0086833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5900777E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.814601E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.296461E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.293364E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.2971728E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5593005E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.768238E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7661767E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.2454284E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5337503E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302256E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.301423E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2619024E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265283E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2237757E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223553E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.993922E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831089E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621737E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.562064E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.1617208E-4 | 1.2079364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011667274 | 1.0016971 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.1617208E-4 | 1.2079364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011667274 | 1.0016971 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 4.2440905E-5 | 1.8911918 | 2.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.1617208E-4 | 1.2079364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011667274 | 1.0016971 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063653607 | 1.0015634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 2.2216274E-5 | 1.818562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 6.235448E-5 | 1.1909937 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.0063653607 | 1.0015634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.379747E-6 | 1.9379653E-5 | 2.0661168 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0198345E-5 | 5.0197945E-5 | 1.2487564 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.893139E-4 | 4.9930904E-4 | 1.0204268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004883255 | 0.004893206 | 1.0020378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 1.7707924E-5 | 2.2973433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 4.3033586E-5 | 1.3027092 | 1.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 4.1211754E-4 | 1.0248581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040147137 | 0.0040246737 | 1.0024809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034310552 | 0.0034310552 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003019339 | 0.003019339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026126802 | 0.0026126802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021247407 | 0.0021247407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015531353 | 0.0015531353 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Vicente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 4.003611E-5 | 1.9981577 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034774E-4 | 2.2034373E-4 | 1.0998064 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 4.003611E-5 | 1.9981577 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034774E-4 | 2.2034373E-4 | 1.0998064 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 3.917281E-5 | 2.0431032 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.1171219E-4 | 1.104301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 3.917281E-5 | 2.0431032 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.1171219E-4 | 1.104301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 2.5549807E-5 | 1.6430783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.554888E-4 | 1.6548725E-4 | 1.0643033 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 2.5549807E-5 | 1.6430783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.554888E-4 | 1.6548725E-4 | 1.0643033 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1973437E-7 | 2.9494197E-7 | 2.9494197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3702895E-6 | 1.2640363E-6 | 1.2640363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6683147E-5 | 1.5389534E-5 | 2.5389381E-5 | 1.6497822 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6681894E-4 | 1.5388474E-4 | 1.638832E-4 | 1.0649737 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0841164E-7 | 2.835559E-7 | 2.835559E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3217634E-6 | 1.2152389E-6 | 1.2152389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6092352E-5 | 1.4795433E-5 | 2.4795285E-5 | 1.6758742 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6091186E-4 | 1.4794452E-4 | 1.5794305E-4 | 1.0675828 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.883202E-7 | 2.6331952E-7 | 2.6331952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2356575E-6 | 1.1285116E-6 | 1.1285116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.50440255E-5 | 1.3739543E-5 | 2.3739405E-5 | 1.7278162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5043007E-4 | 1.3738696E-4 | 1.473856E-4 | 1.0727772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.66663E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1428409E-6 | 1.0349404E-6 | 1.0349404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3914E-5 | 1.2600327E-5 | 2.2600201E-5 | 1.7936202 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3913128E-4 | 1.2599614E-4 | 1.3599488E-4 | 1.0793575 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3733546E-7 | 2.1209027E-7 | 2.1209027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0171515E-6 | 9.0895793E-7 | 9.0895793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.238375E-5 | 1.1066506E-5 | 2.1066397E-5 | 1.9036175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.238306E-4 | 1.1065957E-4 | 1.2065846E-4 | 1.0903573 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.123689E-7 | 1.870977E-7 | 1.870977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015215E-7 | 8.0184697E-7 | 8.0184697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1081046E-5 | 9.7624425E-6 | 1.9762345E-5 | 2.0243237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1080493E-4 | 9.762015E-5 | 1.0761918E-4 | 1.1024278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8244859E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8192227E-7 | 6.737014E-7 | 6.737014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.519862E-6 | 8.202283E-6 | 8.202283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.519454E-5 | 8.201981E-5 | 8.201981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.611936E-7 | 1.3784178E-7 | 1.3784178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9082955E-7 | 5.9075035E-7 | 5.9075035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.410817E-6 | 7.1923614E-6 | 7.1923614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.410499E-5 | 7.192129E-5 | 7.192129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.414892E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.063821E-7 | 5.178426E-7 | 5.178426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3826773E-6 | 6.3047146E-6 | 6.3047146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.382432E-5 | 6.3045365E-5 | 6.3045365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0709291E-7 | 9.060423E-8 | 9.060423E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5896954E-7 | 3.883038E-7 | 3.883038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5879395E-6 | 4.727588E-6 | 4.727588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5877994E-5 | 4.727488E-5 | 4.727488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.746737E-8 | 5.3744344E-8 | 5.3744344E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8914585E-7 | 2.3033287E-7 | 2.3033287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5203448E-6 | 2.8042991E-6 | 2.8042991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.520289E-5 | 2.804264E-5 | 2.804264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8940264E-8 | 1.8494756E-8 | 1.8494756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.240297E-7 | 7.926323E-8 | 7.926323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100605E-6 | 9.650295E-7 | 9.650295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100502E-5 | 9.650253E-6 | 9.650253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0151455E-8 | 5.953115E-9 | 5.953115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3506233E-8 | 2.5513346E-8 | 2.5513346E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.296883E-7 | 3.1062496E-7 | 3.1062496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2968703E-6 | 3.1062452E-6 | 3.1062452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 3.0617305E-4 | 1.0337538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012787697 | 1.0078716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013006088 | 0.015288001 | 0.015307696 | 1.0012882 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.15054655 | 0.15056354 | 1.0001129 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 2.633786E-4 | 2.7337598E-4 | 1.0379581 | 1.0E-5 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0011283447 | 0.0011383333 | 1.0088525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011904482 | 0.013631771 | 0.013651499 | 1.0014472 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11286586 | 0.13622797 | 0.13624525 | 1.0001268 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 2.1180889E-4 | 2.2180677E-4 | 1.0472023 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4065786E-4 | 9.0748665E-4 | 9.174776E-4 | 1.0110095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010187071 | 0.011003413 | 0.011023194 | 1.0017977 | 2.0E-5 | 0.09732539 | 0.11308531 | 0.11310305 | 1.0001569 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 1.5182368E-4 | 1.6182217E-4 | 1.0658559 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6309475E-4 | 6.505394E-4 | 6.605329E-4 | 1.0153619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008043335 | 0.007952108 | 0.007971949 | 1.002495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07758363 | 0.0837114 | 0.08372973 | 1.0002189 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 1.05169354E-4 | 1.05169354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 4.5066315E-4 | 4.5066315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.0055353013 | 0.005545246 | 1.0017966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060947374 | 0.059656557 | 0.05966596 | 1.0001576 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 7.3278E-5 | 7.3278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 3.140198E-4 | 3.140198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.0038180854 | 0.0038280473 | 1.0026091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04750344 | 0.0424209 | 0.04243048 | 1.0002258 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 3.1535546E-5 | 3.1535546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 1.3514838E-4 | 1.3514838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0016447268 | 0.0016547104 | 1.00607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025903556 | 0.018795474 | 0.018805286 | 1.000522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.416831E-9 | 6.416831E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.7500704E-8 | 2.7500704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.3482107E-7 | 3.3482107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.3482108E-6 | 3.3482108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.618514E-5 | 6.4799904E-5 | 6.4799904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4077125E-4 | 2.7768526E-4 | 2.7768526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029274495 | 0.0033757505 | 0.0033956831 | 1.0059046 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028891841 | 0.033265643 | 0.03328498 | 1.0005813 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.0028107355 | 0.0028306793 | 1.0070956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.027767165 | 0.027786609 | 1.0007002 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0020980816 | 1.0096041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020611193 | 1.0009513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0020980816 | 1.0096041 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020611193 | 1.0009513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0015965445 | 0.0016165125 | 1.0125071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.01585266 | 0.015872343 | 1.0012416 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0014996136 | 0.0015195836 | 1.0133168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.014896658 | 0.01491636 | 1.0013226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0012863044 | 0.0013062787 | 1.0155284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.012789587 | 0.012809331 | 1.0015438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.001128634 | 0.0011486114 | 1.0177006 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.0112296585 | 0.011249434 | 1.001761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010228051 | 0.0010427847 | 1.0195341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010181492 | 0.010201288 | 1.0019443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.0473914E-4 | 9.24721E-4 | 1.0220858 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009010963 | 0.009030784 | 1.0021995 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 7.763321E-4 | 7.9631654E-4 | 1.0257422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.007736506 | 0.007756351 | 1.0025651 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.0751534E-4 | 7.275012E-4 | 1.028248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007052908 | 0.0070727672 | 1.0028157 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.2925316E-4 | 6.4924057E-4 | 1.0317637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006274972 | 0.0062948465 | 1.0031673 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0034879397 | 0.0034879397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0028154708 | 0.0028154708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 3.4514524E-5 | 1.4079074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.1505878E-4 | 1.0951738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012884774 | 1.0078118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 2.786204E-5 | 1.5598309 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 8.6549815E-5 | 1.1306226 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.316875E-4 | 9.416781E-4 | 1.0107232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008298361 | 0.009285964 | 0.009305778 | 1.0021338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 2.786204E-5 | 1.5598309 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 8.6549815E-5 | 1.1306226 | 1.0E-5 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.316875E-4 | 9.416781E-4 | 1.0107232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008298361 | 0.009285964 | 0.009305778 | 1.0021338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.7127668E-5 | 2.7127497E-5 | 1.5838406 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.340269E-5 | 8.340196E-5 | 1.1362247 | 1.0E-5 | 7.988095E-4 | 8.933934E-4 | 9.0338447E-4 | 1.0111833 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007959441 | 0.008906105 | 0.008925926 | 1.0022256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5249912E-5 | 2.524976E-5 | 1.6557314 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.535557E-5 | 7.535492E-5 | 1.1529992 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1119244E-4 | 7.954913E-4 | 8.054833E-4 | 1.0125608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007089207 | 0.007934078 | 0.0079539195 | 1.0025008 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.50958485E-5 | 2.5095696E-5 | 1.6624238 | 1.0E-5 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.469533E-5 | 7.469468E-5 | 1.1545607 | 1.0E-5 | 7.03973E-4 | 7.874586E-4 | 7.974508E-4 | 1.0126891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007017471 | 0.007854321 | 0.007874164 | 1.0025264 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.207093E-6 | 9.207093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.53258E-5 | 3.945873E-5 | 3.945873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.803676E-4 | 4.803676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004291756 | 0.0047995155 | 0.0047995155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.1246359E-7 | 2.1246359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.105579E-7 | 9.105579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.108599E-5 | 1.108599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829772E-4 | 1.1085474E-4 | 1.1085474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.0665163E-7 | 2.0665163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061633E-6 | 8.8564957E-7 | 8.8564957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.0782734E-5 | 1.0782734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.07822474E-4 | 1.07822474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.7913858E-7 | 1.7913858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71831E-7 | 7.6773654E-7 | 7.6773654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831979E-5 | 9.347156E-6 | 9.347156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831349E-4 | 9.346798E-5 | 9.346798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.2199762E-7 | 1.2199762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.228468E-7 | 5.228468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.365643E-6 | 6.365643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115482E-5 | 6.36548E-5 | 6.36548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.0506384E-7 | 1.0506384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.5027352E-7 | 4.5027352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.017278E-6 | 5.4820684E-6 | 5.4820684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0170565E-5 | 5.4819513E-5 | 5.4819513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.3366354E-8 | 1.3366354E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 5.7284375E-8 | 5.7284375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 6.974371E-7 | 6.974371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.550704E-5 | 6.9743533E-6 | 6.9743533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.018319E-9 | 3.018319E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.29356525E-8 | 1.29356525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.5749156E-7 | 1.5749156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815665E-6 | 1.5749147E-6 | 1.5749147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.0619533E-10 | 8.0619533E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.4551229E-9 | 3.4551229E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.206612E-8 | 4.206612E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0216864E-7 | 4.206612E-7 | 4.206612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.6554742E-4 | 1.081429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024729546 | 1.0081333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.6554742E-4 | 1.081429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024729546 | 1.0081333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.6554742E-4 | 1.081429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024729546 | 1.0081333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.6554742E-4 | 1.081429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024729546 | 1.0081333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.6554742E-4 | 1.081429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024729546 | 1.0081333 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013006988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013006988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.4886008E-4 | 3.4886008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.5584645E-8 | 8.5584645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.4656754E-6 | 4.4656754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.7711576E-8 | 1.7711576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 7.590675E-8 | 7.590675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 9.241643E-7 | 9.241643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 9.241607E-6 | 9.241607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 8.499548E-9 | 8.499548E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 3.6426634E-8 | 3.6426634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 4.434942E-7 | 4.434942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 4.4349335E-6 | 4.4349335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 4.0493022E-9 | 4.0493022E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 1.7354154E-8 | 1.7354154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.112868E-7 | 2.112868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.1128662E-6 | 2.1128662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 7.363242E-10 | 7.363242E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 3.1556762E-9 | 3.1556762E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 3.8420357E-8 | 3.8420357E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 3.842035E-7 | 3.842035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 6.79391E-11 | 6.79391E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 2.9116842E-10 | 2.9116842E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 3.544974E-9 | 3.544974E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 3.544974E-8 | 3.544974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 7.4180884E-11 | 7.4180884E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 9.0315044E-10 | 9.0315044E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 9.0315035E-9 | 9.0315035E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011449434 | 1.0017298 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011449434 | 1.0017298 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2029313E-5 | 3.2029093E-5 | 1.4539306 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.440796E-5 | 1.04407016E-4 | 1.1059133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.001148818 | 0.0011588065 | 1.0086946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011429663 | 0.011449434 | 1.0017298 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 3.0893123E-5 | 1.4786116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010863231 | 1.0018244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.0893332E-5 | 3.0893123E-5 | 1.4786116 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 8.953982E-5 | 9.953892E-5 | 1.1116722 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0010896085 | 0.0010995977 | 1.0091676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.010843447 | 0.010863231 | 1.0018244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0135434E-5 | 3.0135232E-5 | 1.496627 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.62919E-5 | 9.6291034E-5 | 1.1158757 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010501038 | 0.0010600933 | 1.0095129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010452167 | 0.010471959 | 1.0018935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9500492E-5 | 2.9500297E-5 | 1.5127976 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.357089E-5 | 9.357006E-5 | 1.1196489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010170068 | 0.0010269966 | 1.0098227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010124249 | 0.010144047 | 1.0019555 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.8652223E-5 | 2.8652035E-5 | 1.5361191 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 7.993568E-5 | 8.993488E-5 | 1.1250906 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.7278826E-4 | 9.827785E-4 | 1.0102698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009685987 | 0.009705793 | 1.0020448 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.813117E-5 | 2.8130988E-5 | 1.5515264 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.770273E-5 | 8.770195E-5 | 1.1286856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.45626E-4 | 9.5561653E-4 | 1.010565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.009416694 | 0.009436505 | 1.0021039 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.7712911E-5 | 2.7712733E-5 | 1.5645499 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.59103E-5 | 8.590954E-5 | 1.1317245 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.238218E-4 | 9.338126E-4 | 1.0108145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009200477 | 0.009220293 | 1.0021538 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7435013E-5 | 2.743484E-5 | 1.5735484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.4719384E-5 | 8.471863E-5 | 1.1338241 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.0933463E-4 | 9.193255E-4 | 1.010987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009056795 | 0.009076614 | 1.0021883 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7118777E-5 | 2.7118605E-5 | 1.5841439 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.336416E-5 | 8.3363426E-5 | 1.1362964 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 8.928484E-4 | 9.0283947E-4 | 1.01119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.008893264 | 0.008913087 | 1.0022289 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.6812606E-5 | 2.6812437E-5 | 1.5947818 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.205207E-5 | 8.2051345E-5 | 1.1387786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.7688665E-4 | 8.868779E-4 | 1.011394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008734913 | 0.008754738 | 1.0022696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.5964048E-5 | 2.596389E-5 | 1.6263975 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.841558E-5 | 7.84149E-5 | 1.1461555 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.32647E-4 | 8.426387E-4 | 1.0119998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008295888 | 0.008315722 | 1.0023909 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5480371E-5 | 1.5480371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.634279E-5 | 6.634279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.074297E-4 | 8.074297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008045567 | 0.008055487 | 1.0012329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.4811811E-5 | 1.4811811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.347767E-5 | 6.347767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.725722E-4 | 7.725722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007021119 | 0.007699461 | 0.007709384 | 1.0012888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2365616E-5 | 1.2365616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.2994452E-5 | 5.2994452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.4502156E-4 | 6.4502156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005868405 | 0.0064320215 | 0.0064419573 | 1.0015447 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.1054814E-5 | 10.48024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.4520624E-5 | 3.212052 | 1.0E-5 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 6.5037224E-5 | 1.1816834 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.6023785E-4 | 1.0181638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.1054814E-5 | 10.48024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.4520624E-5 | 3.212052 | 1.0E-5 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 6.5037224E-5 | 1.1816834 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.6023785E-4 | 1.0181638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 1.08515815E-5 | 12.742724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 1.3649632E-5 | 3.7399652 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 5.4433367E-5 | 1.2250439 | 1.0E-5 | 4.414933E-4 | 4.4425015E-4 | 4.5424572E-4 | 1.0224998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 1.0792547E-5 | 13.617409 | 1.0E-5 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 1.3396627E-5 | 3.9440582 | 1.0E-5 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 5.135315E-5 | 1.2418071 | 1.0E-5 | 4.108819E-4 | 4.134593E-4 | 4.2345515E-4 | 1.0241761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 1.0704021E-5 | 15.203953 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 1.3017233E-5 | 4.314252 | 1.0E-5 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 4.6734196E-5 | 1.2722132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6487455E-4 | 3.672854E-4 | 3.7728174E-4 | 1.0272168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 1.0594043E-5 | 17.83364 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 1.2545893E-5 | 4.9278455 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 4.099581E-5 | 1.322611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0778843E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 3.1991515E-4 | 1.0322566 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5010316E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4726835E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.962996E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.161893E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2287857E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378794E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462619E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hector Mine
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010561779 | 1.0018772 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010561779 | 1.0018772 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010561779 | 1.0018772 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010784789 | 1.0188746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010561779 | 1.0018772 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.336486E-4 | 1.0325713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.006142407 | 1.0032467 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.336486E-4 | 1.0325713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.006142407 | 1.0032467 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0730738E-5 | 1.1592768E-5 | 1.1592768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5988065E-5 | 4.968251E-5 | 4.968251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5976084E-4 | 6.047457E-4 | 6.247336E-4 | 1.0330517 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055835294 | 0.0060338643 | 0.006053744 | 1.0032946 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.881326E-6 | 8.512061E-6 | 8.512061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3776672E-5 | 3.647986E-5 | 3.647986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.111534E-4 | 4.4407113E-4 | 4.6406226E-4 | 1.0450178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041039353 | 0.0044337404 | 0.0044536516 | 1.0044909 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5683483E-6 | 8.174487E-6 | 8.174487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2435375E-5 | 3.5033157E-5 | 3.5033157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9482914E-4 | 4.264645E-4 | 4.4645596E-4 | 1.0468773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039412836 | 0.0042583584 | 0.004278273 | 1.0046767 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.473048E-6 | 6.9934968E-6 | 6.9934968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7741338E-5 | 2.997189E-5 | 2.997189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3769844E-4 | 3.6486558E-4 | 3.848583E-4 | 1.0547947 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033718573 | 0.0036445225 | 0.0036644498 | 1.0054677 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9959954E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1411232E-5 | 2.313452E-5 | 2.313452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6065056E-4 | 2.8164402E-4 | 2.9164122E-4 | 1.0354958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026034506 | 0.0028146019 | 0.0028245738 | 1.0035429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2997541E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5703626E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7817055E-5 | 7.287684E-5 | 7.287684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779636E-4 | 7.2856364E-4 | 7.2856364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.392699E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596866E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3790962E-5 | 4.7187797E-5 | 4.7187797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3782333E-4 | 4.7180042E-4 | 4.7180042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.13015E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3414921E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6332544E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6331344E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 4.5839282E-5 | 1.7739798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.3454792E-4 | 1.063562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038530421 | 1.0051976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 4.5839282E-5 | 1.7739798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.3454792E-4 | 1.063562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038530421 | 1.0051976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 4.5839282E-5 | 1.7739798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.3454792E-4 | 1.063562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038530421 | 1.0051976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.915322E-6 | 5.915322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.5351133E-5 | 4.5350625E-5 | 1.7888993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 3.086064E-4 | 3.2860023E-4 | 1.0647875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622498 | 0.0037821748 | 1.005296 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.915322E-6 | 5.915322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.5351133E-5 | 4.5350625E-5 | 1.7888993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 3.086064E-4 | 3.2860023E-4 | 1.0647875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622498 | 0.0037821748 | 1.005296 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 5.848627E-6 | 5.848627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 2.5065303E-5 | 4.50648E-5 | 1.7978958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004431336 | 3.0512738E-4 | 3.2512128E-4 | 1.0655264 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.0037209957 | 0.0037409214 | 1.0053549 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 5.8140904E-6 | 5.8140904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 2.4917292E-5 | 4.4916793E-5 | 1.8026354 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 3.0332585E-4 | 3.233198E-4 | 1.0659157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.0037010738 | 0.0037209997 | 1.0053838 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 5.7395364E-6 | 5.7395364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 2.459778E-5 | 4.459729E-5 | 1.8130615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004406125 | 2.9943688E-4 | 3.194309E-4 | 1.066772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.0036567766 | 0.0036767037 | 1.0054493 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 5.699714E-6 | 5.699714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 2.4427118E-5 | 4.442663E-5 | 1.8187422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004385734 | 2.9735963E-4 | 3.1735367E-4 | 1.0672386 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.0036335413 | 0.0036534688 | 1.0054842 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 5.592054E-6 | 5.592054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 2.3965726E-5 | 4.3965247E-5 | 1.8345051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004355922 | 2.917437E-4 | 3.1173785E-4 | 1.0685333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.0035745478 | 0.0035944763 | 1.0055751 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 5.437188E-6 | 5.437188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 2.3302026E-5 | 4.330156E-5 | 1.8582745 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004326499 | 2.836653E-4 | 3.0365962E-4 | 1.0704856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.00349124 | 0.0035111704 | 1.0057086 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 5.2793876E-6 | 5.2793876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 2.2625749E-5 | 4.2625295E-5 | 1.8839287 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 2.7543373E-4 | 2.954282E-4 | 1.0725927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.0034040122 | 0.003423944 | 1.0058554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 4.9293885E-6 | 4.9293885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 2.112578E-5 | 4.1125357E-5 | 1.9466907 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004084008 | 2.5717606E-4 | 2.771709E-4 | 1.0777477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.0032146832 | 0.003234619 | 1.0062015 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 4.7824E-6 | 4.7824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 2.049584E-5 | 4.049543E-5 | 1.9757878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004020803 | 2.495083E-4 | 2.6950333E-4 | 1.0801376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.0031371561 | 0.0031570934 | 1.0063552 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 4.4094745E-6 | 4.4094745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 1.889761E-5 | 3.8897233E-5 | 2.0583148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 2.3005414E-4 | 2.5004955E-4 | 1.0869161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.0028887924 | 0.0029087346 | 1.0069033 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 4.030874E-6 | 4.030874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 1.7275059E-5 | 3.7274713E-5 | 2.1577184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 2.1030357E-4 | 2.3029937E-4 | 1.0950806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.0026368 | 0.0026567474 | 1.0075649 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 3.4202478E-6 | 3.4202478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 1.4658122E-5 | 3.465783E-5 | 2.364411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 1.7844804E-4 | 1.9844447E-4 | 1.1120574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.002211336 | 0.0022312917 | 1.0090243 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 3.2672078E-6 | 3.2672078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 1.4002244E-5 | 3.4001965E-5 | 2.4283226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002578006 | 1.7046399E-4 | 1.9046059E-4 | 1.1173068 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.002112466 | 0.0021324237 | 1.0094476 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 3.2420867E-6 | 3.2420867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 1.38945825E-5 | 3.3894306E-5 | 2.43939 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 1.6915341E-4 | 1.8915003E-4 | 1.1182159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.0020953515 | 0.0021153095 | 1.009525 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 3.1559305E-6 | 3.1559305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 1.3525346E-5 | 3.3525073E-5 | 2.4786854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 1.6465865E-4 | 1.8465535E-4 | 1.1214434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.002031022 | 0.0020509814 | 1.0098273 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 3.031262E-6 | 3.031262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 1.2991058E-5 | 3.2990796E-5 | 2.5395005 | 2.0E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 1.5815465E-4 | 1.7815149E-4 | 1.1264385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.0019433239 | 0.001963285 | 1.0102717 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 2.6085165E-6 | 2.6085165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 1.1179308E-5 | 2.1179196E-5 | 1.8944998 | 1.0E-5 | 6.864001E-4 | 1.3609958E-4 | 1.4609822E-4 | 1.0734656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0016688692 | 0.0016788525 | 1.005982 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 1.2884715E-6 | 1.2884715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 5.522009E-6 | 5.522009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 6.7228386E-5 | 6.7228386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004495725 | 8.486812E-4 | 8.486812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Cuyama
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2806056E-6 | 1.1280593E-5 | 8.808796 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.4882985E-6 | 1.5488244E-5 | 2.8220484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.681806E-5 | 7.6817385E-5 | 1.1496501 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649156E-4 | 6.6798663E-4 | 6.879733E-4 | 1.0299207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.4566324E-7 | 8.498804E-7 | 8.498804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.624266E-6 | 3.6423394E-6 | 3.6423394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4124543E-5 | 4.434459E-5 | 4.434459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4115784E-4 | 4.4335844E-4 | 4.53354E-4 | 1.0225451 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.2277904E-7 | 8.268957E-7 | 8.268957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.526191E-6 | 3.5438338E-6 | 3.5438338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.293053E-5 | 4.3145334E-5 | 4.3145334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.292224E-4 | 4.3137057E-4 | 4.4136625E-4 | 1.0231719 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7661887E-7 | 6.8015214E-7 | 6.8015214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899792E-6 | 2.9149344E-6 | 2.9149344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5304394E-5 | 3.5488752E-5 | 3.5488752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5298787E-4 | 3.5483125E-4 | 3.648277E-4 | 1.0281724 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.783336E-7 | 5.814482E-7 | 5.814482E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4785702E-6 | 2.4919184E-6 | 2.4919184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0176174E-5 | 3.0338688E-5 | 3.0338688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0172078E-4 | 3.033457E-4 | 3.033457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.136759E-7 | 5.16488E-7 | 5.16488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2014663E-6 | 2.2135182E-6 | 2.2135182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6802521E-5 | 2.6949252E-5 | 2.6949252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.679929E-4 | 2.6946006E-4 | 2.6946006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.3370295E-7 | 4.3613056E-7 | 4.3613056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8587256E-6 | 1.8691297E-6 | 1.8691297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2629749E-5 | 2.2756418E-5 | 2.2756418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2627445E-4 | 2.2754105E-4 | 2.2754105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.3242574E-7 | 3.3434995E-7 | 3.3434995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4246809E-6 | 1.4329275E-6 | 1.4329275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7345352E-5 | 1.7445755E-5 | 1.7445755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7343998E-4 | 1.7444398E-4 | 1.7444398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0627535E-7 | 2.0752056E-7 | 2.0752056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840369E-7 | 8.893735E-7 | 8.893735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0763096E-5 | 1.0828069E-5 | 1.0828069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0762575E-4 | 1.08275504E-4 | 1.08275504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.15236E-8 | 6.190154E-8 | 6.190154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6367252E-7 | 2.6529227E-7 | 2.6529227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2102084E-6 | 3.2299288E-6 | 3.2299288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.210162E-5 | 3.2298827E-5 | 3.2298827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1765573E-8 | 1.1854249E-8 | 1.1854249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0423886E-8 | 5.0803926E-8 | 5.0803926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1391063E-7 | 6.185376E-7 | 6.185376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1390897E-6 | 6.1853607E-6 | 6.1853607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.0381755E-10 | 6.089489E-10 | 6.089489E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5877895E-9 | 2.6097813E-9 | 2.6097813E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506335E-8 | 3.1774086E-8 | 3.1774086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506332E-7 | 3.1774084E-7 | 3.1774084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Morales (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.3347917E-4 | 1.0218738 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.3347917E-4 | 1.0218738 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.3347917E-4 | 1.0218738 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.3347917E-4 | 1.0218738 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.798845E-7 | 1.1314032E-6 | 1.1314032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7709283E-6 | 4.8488623E-6 | 4.8488623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5910085E-5 | 5.9033377E-5 | 5.9033377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.59006E-4 | 5.901848E-4 | 6.001789E-4 | 1.0169338 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.1751725E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750705E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7438338E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743203E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.1751725E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750705E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7438338E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743203E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.159057E-7 | 9.655623E-7 | 9.655623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0681638E-6 | 4.138118E-6 | 4.138118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7354253E-5 | 5.0380466E-5 | 5.0380466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7347974E-4 | 5.03695E-4 | 5.03695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.032203E-7 | 9.499462E-7 | 9.499462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0137978E-6 | 4.0711916E-6 | 4.0711916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.669237E-5 | 4.9565675E-5 | 4.9565675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6686313E-4 | 4.9555075E-4 | 4.9555075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.941549E-7 | 9.376159E-7 | 9.376159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.974946E-6 | 4.0183477E-6 | 4.0183477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6219368E-5 | 4.892233E-5 | 4.892233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6213463E-4 | 4.8912014E-4 | 4.8912014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.2932247E-7 | 8.434189E-7 | 8.434189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6970936E-6 | 3.6146478E-6 | 3.6146478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283662E-5 | 4.4007484E-5 | 4.4007484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283177E-4 | 4.399914E-4 | 4.399914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.6200963E-7 | 7.421228E-7 | 7.421228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086105E-6 | 3.1805223E-6 | 3.1805223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9324437E-5 | 3.8722195E-5 | 3.8722195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9320567E-4 | 3.871571E-4 | 3.871571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.91044E-7 | 6.314548E-7 | 6.314548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1044725E-6 | 2.7062322E-6 | 2.7062322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5621652E-5 | 3.2947897E-5 | 3.2947897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.56187E-4 | 3.294321E-4 | 3.294321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2978448E-7 | 5.410079E-7 | 5.410079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8419321E-6 | 2.3186033E-6 | 2.3186033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2425293E-5 | 2.8228644E-5 | 2.8228644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242303E-4 | 2.8225227E-4 | 2.8225227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.774317E-7 | 4.6111546E-7 | 4.6111546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6175634E-6 | 1.9762076E-6 | 1.9762076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9693656E-5 | 2.4060075E-5 | 2.4060075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.969191E-4 | 2.4057622E-4 | 2.4057622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0603232E-7 | 6.411307E-8 | 6.411307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5442414E-7 | 2.7477026E-7 | 2.7477026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5326E-6 | 3.345323E-6 | 3.345323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.532462E-5 | 3.3452972E-5 | 3.3452972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.960384E-8 | 5.667601E-8 | 5.667601E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2687353E-7 | 2.4289716E-7 | 2.4289716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.197173E-6 | 2.957269E-6 | 2.957269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1970514E-5 | 2.9572544E-5 | 2.9572544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.499468E-8 | 2.5087862E-8 | 2.5087862E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.785486E-7 | 1.0751941E-7 | 1.0751941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3913238E-6 | 1.3090481E-6 | 1.3090481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3912722E-5 | 1.3090648E-5 | 1.3090648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2517119E-8 | 4.158356E-9 | 4.158356E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6501935E-8 | 1.7821526E-8 | 1.7821526E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1749105E-6 | 2.1697706E-7 | 2.1697706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1749043E-5 | 2.170007E-6 | 2.170007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.493023E-9 | 3.9689074E-10 | 3.9689074E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.639867E-8 | 1.7009621E-9 | 1.7009621E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4315374E-7 | 2.0709212E-8 | 2.0709212E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4315284E-6 | 2.0722564E-7 | 2.0722564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.4971842E-9 | 3.5486059E-12 | 3.5486059E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4165038E-9 | 1.5209722E-11 | 1.5209722E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.812093E-8 | 1.8517843E-10 | 1.8517843E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.81209E-7 | 1.9292257E-9 | 1.9292257E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.023500334 | 1.0008317 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.023500334 | 1.0008317 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.023500334 | 1.0008317 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0016963127 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0016963127 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.1899334E-4 | 1.1899334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014478276 | 0.0014478276 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012676105 | 0.014388782 | 0.014398638 | 1.000685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.02795726E-4 | 1.02795726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012508509 | 0.0012508509 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011051672 | 0.012441386 | 0.012451261 | 1.0007938 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001106656 | 0.001106656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009844234 | 0.011013942 | 0.011023832 | 1.0008979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008671708 | 0.009639226 | 0.00964913 | 1.0010275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007540013 | 0.008325829 | 0.008335746 | 1.0011911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006729651 | 0.0073970547 | 0.0074069807 | 1.0013419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006524288 | 0.0071654296 | 0.007175358 | 1.0013856 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006495651 | 0.0071337717 | 0.0071437005 | 1.0013918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0070648757 | 0.0070748054 | 1.0014055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006325751 | 0.0069472566 | 0.0069571873 | 1.0014294 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0066917967 | 0.0067017297 | 1.0014844 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0058977883 | 0.0059077293 | 1.0016855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0051075425 | 0.0051174914 | 1.0019479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.11237394E-4 | 1.2191839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011303184 | 1.0179925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011074592 | 1.0017892 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.11237394E-4 | 1.2191839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011303184 | 1.0179925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011074592 | 1.0017892 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.11237394E-4 | 1.2191839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011303184 | 1.0179925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011074592 | 1.0017892 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 3.6484555E-5 | 2.2132125 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 9.0646514E-5 | 1.2830739 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.798406E-4 | 1.0232396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008590927 | 1.0023134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 3.6484555E-5 | 2.2132125 | 2.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 9.0646514E-5 | 1.2830739 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.798406E-4 | 1.0232396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008590927 | 1.0023134 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.52425955E-5 | 3.524229E-5 | 2.3120925 | 2.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.53241E-5 | 8.532279E-5 | 1.3061457 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 7.950885E-4 | 8.1507256E-4 | 1.0251344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.00792813 | 0.007947972 | 1.0025027 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4468871E-5 | 3.4468583E-5 | 2.382258 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.2008294E-5 | 8.2007056E-5 | 1.3225175 | 2.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.5474696E-4 | 7.7473186E-4 | 1.026479 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007527492 | 0.0075473418 | 1.0026369 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 2.3994995E-5 | 1.714524 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 5.997809E-5 | 6.997749E-5 | 1.1667175 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.3004584E-4 | 7.400385E-4 | 1.0136877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0072821057 | 0.007292033 | 1.0013633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0031935778 | 0.0031935778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0024606744 | 0.0024606744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 11
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6349473E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 3.4951427E-5 | 1.4007647 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1292143E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.1693063E-4 | 1.0935076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013739512 | 0.0013011749 | 0.001321149 | 1.0153507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013654875 | 0.012941553 | 0.012961294 | 1.0015254 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 3.4951427E-5 | 1.4007647 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.1693063E-4 | 1.0935076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013011749 | 0.001321149 | 1.0153507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012873529 | 0.012941553 | 0.012961294 | 1.0015254 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 3.4951427E-5 | 1.4007647 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.1693063E-4 | 1.0935076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013011749 | 0.001321149 | 1.0153507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012873529 | 0.012941553 | 0.012961294 | 1.0015254 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0257901E-5 | 1.9685694E-5 | 2.9685498E-5 | 1.5079731 | 1.0E-5 | 8.681669E-5 | 8.436475E-5 | 9.436391E-5 | 1.1185229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010564806 | 0.0010266955 | 0.001046675 | 1.01946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01051472 | 0.010223415 | 0.01024321 | 1.0019363 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8054898E-5 | 1.7173845E-5 | 2.7173674E-5 | 1.5822709 | 1.0E-5 | 7.737584E-5 | 7.360031E-5 | 8.3599574E-5 | 1.135859 | 1.0E-5 | 9.416436E-4 | 8.957502E-4 | 9.157323E-4 | 1.0223076 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009376635 | 0.0089248745 | 0.008944696 | 1.0022209 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.34804895E-5 | 1.1941681E-5 | 1.1941681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777225E-5 | 5.1177652E-5 | 5.1177652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.031501E-4 | 6.229137E-4 | 6.229137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007009294 | 0.0062120873 | 0.0062120873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.294883E-5 | 1.1365457E-5 | 1.1365457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5493805E-5 | 4.8708214E-5 | 4.8708214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.754276E-4 | 5.92865E-4 | 5.92865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006733784 | 0.0059132334 | 0.0059132334 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1272237E-5 | 9.501395E-6 | 9.501395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8308695E-5 | 4.0719642E-5 | 4.0719642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.879996E-4 | 4.9565145E-4 | 4.9565145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864462 | 0.004945726 | 0.004945726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.8337505E-6 | 7.922998E-6 | 7.922998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2143965E-5 | 3.395527E-5 | 3.395527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1298196E-4 | 4.1332893E-4 | 4.1332893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005117994 | 0.0041257977 | 0.0041257977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.4224813E-6 | 5.2263026E-6 | 5.2263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1810247E-5 | 2.2398255E-5 | 2.2398255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872209E-4 | 2.7266596E-4 | 2.7266596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038654688 | 0.0027234452 | 0.0027234452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4628923E-6 | 1.9375884E-6 | 1.9375884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.912654E-5 | 8.303925E-6 | 8.303925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3284076E-4 | 1.01095706E-4 | 1.01095706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023259693 | 0.0010105079 | 0.0010105079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5546527E-6 | 1.1359789E-6 | 1.1359789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5234136E-5 | 4.8684724E-6 | 4.8684724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8545982E-4 | 5.92721E-5 | 5.92721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018530512 | 5.9256924E-4 | 5.9256924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.2039936E-6 | 1.0803296E-6 | 1.0803296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3731329E-5 | 4.6299765E-6 | 4.6299765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.671661E-4 | 5.6368568E-5 | 5.6368568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016704041 | 5.6354894E-4 | 5.6354894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.8120473E-6 | 9.913254E-7 | 9.913254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2051575E-5 | 4.2485303E-6 | 4.2485303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4671806E-4 | 5.172469E-5 | 5.172469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014662122 | 5.171327E-4 | 5.171327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.4468555E-7 | 9.4468555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.0486466E-6 | 4.0486466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 4.929122E-5 | 4.929122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012951613 | 4.92809E-4 | 4.92809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.321804E-7 | 6.321804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8290722E-5 | 2.8290538E-5 | 1.5467153 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 7.8386496E-5 | 8.838571E-5 | 1.127563 | 1.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.53945E-4 | 9.6393545E-4 | 1.0104728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00867977 | 0.009499317 | 0.009519127 | 1.0020854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 2.6985601E-5 | 1.588718 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.698577E-5 | 2.6985601E-5 | 1.588718 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.279416E-5 | 8.2793435E-5 | 1.1373637 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 8.859144E-4 | 8.9590554E-4 | 1.0112778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008063202 | 0.008824482 | 0.008844305 | 1.0022464 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6467362E-5 | 2.6467198E-5 | 1.6072518 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.057253E-5 | 8.057183E-5 | 1.1416882 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.588875E-4 | 8.6887897E-4 | 1.0116329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00781795 | 0.008556307 | 0.008576136 | 1.0023174 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6023141E-5 | 2.602298E-5 | 1.6240873 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 6.866883E-5 | 7.866814E-5 | 1.1456165 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.3572784E-4 | 8.457195E-4 | 1.0119556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008326458 | 0.008346291 | 1.002382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5558433E-5 | 2.5558276E-5 | 1.6427283 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.667732E-5 | 7.667665E-5 | 1.149966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.114994E-4 | 8.214913E-4 | 1.0123129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008085949 | 0.008105787 | 1.0024534 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5090283E-5 | 2.5090132E-5 | 1.6626681 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.467107E-5 | 7.4670425E-5 | 1.1546186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 7.870911E-4 | 7.970832E-4 | 1.012695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.007843602 | 0.007863446 | 1.0025299 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.4877953E-5 | 2.4877803E-5 | 1.6721255 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.376112E-5 | 7.3760486E-5 | 1.1568254 | 1.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.760204E-4 | 7.860127E-4 | 1.0128763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.0077336715 | 0.007753517 | 1.0025661 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4675041E-5 | 2.4674893E-5 | 1.6814191 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.2891544E-5 | 7.2890914E-5 | 1.1589938 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.6544075E-4 | 7.754331E-4 | 1.0130544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007628606 | 0.0076484536 | 1.0026017 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.43789175E-5 | 2.4378774E-5 | 1.6954527 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.162251E-5 | 7.162189E-5 | 1.1622684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.5000094E-4 | 7.5999345E-4 | 1.0133233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.0074752565 | 0.0074951067 | 1.0026555 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4157345E-5 | 2.4157203E-5 | 1.7063372 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.067295E-5 | 7.0672344E-5 | 1.164808 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.38448E-4 | 7.484406E-4 | 1.0135319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007360498 | 0.0073803505 | 1.0026972 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.3990502E-5 | 1.3990502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 5.9957947E-5 | 5.9957947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.2974875E-4 | 7.2974875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0072740777 | 0.0072840047 | 1.0013647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.3723525E-5 | 1.3723525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 5.881381E-5 | 5.881381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.158281E-4 | 7.158281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006512506 | 0.007135774 | 0.007145703 | 1.0013914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2387336E-5 | 1.2387336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.308753E-5 | 5.308753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.461541E-4 | 6.461541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0064432817 | 0.006453217 | 1.001542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0071512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 4.3162938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 5.253869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004783291 | 0.0052419365 | 0.0052518845 | 1.0018977 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 1.056526E-5 | 3.056505E-5 | 2.8929765 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2760996E-5 | 4.527894E-5 | 6.527803E-5 | 1.4416865 | 2.0E-5 | 3.987921E-4 | 5.511382E-4 | 5.7112717E-4 | 1.0362686 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003980772 | 0.005507212 | 0.005527102 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876735E-6 | 2.9876537E-5 | 3.0249407 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232821E-5 | 6.2327366E-5 | 1.4724782 | 2.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.1523023E-4 | 5.352199E-4 | 1.0387976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0051498115 | 0.0051697087 | 1.0038637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 9.876735E-6 | 2.9876537E-5 | 3.0249407 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9946454E-5 | 4.232821E-5 | 6.2327366E-5 | 1.4724782 | 2.0E-5 | 3.645371E-4 | 5.1523023E-4 | 5.352199E-4 | 1.0387976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036393967 | 0.0051498115 | 0.0051697087 | 1.0038637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 8.323515E-6 | 1.8323432E-5 | 2.2014055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3591367E-5 | 3.5671736E-5 | 4.567138E-5 | 1.280324 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8718702E-4 | 4.3421998E-4 | 4.4421564E-4 | 1.0230198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028681618 | 0.0043428787 | 0.0043528355 | 1.0022926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 8.300145E-6 | 1.8300063E-5 | 2.2047882 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3496545E-5 | 3.5571586E-5 | 4.557123E-5 | 1.2811133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8603288E-4 | 4.330011E-4 | 4.4299677E-4 | 1.0230846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00285665 | 0.0043307375 | 0.0043406943 | 1.0022991 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 8.286043E-6 | 1.828596E-5 | 2.2068386 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3439556E-5 | 3.5511148E-5 | 4.551079E-5 | 1.2815918 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8533922E-4 | 4.3226557E-4 | 4.4226125E-4 | 1.023124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028497311 | 0.004323411 | 0.0043333676 | 1.002303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 8.269327E-6 | 1.8269244E-5 | 2.2092783 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3372622E-5 | 3.543951E-5 | 4.5439156E-5 | 1.282161 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8452452E-4 | 4.3139374E-4 | 4.4138942E-4 | 1.0231707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002841605 | 0.004314726 | 0.0043246835 | 1.0023077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 8.256745E-6 | 1.8256662E-5 | 2.211121 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3323635E-5 | 3.5385587E-5 | 4.5385234E-5 | 1.282591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8392827E-4 | 4.307375E-4 | 4.407332E-4 | 1.023206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028356577 | 0.0043081897 | 0.0043181465 | 1.0023111 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 8.206069E-6 | 1.8205987E-5 | 2.2186003 | 1.0E-5 | 2.313663E-5 | 3.516841E-5 | 4.5168057E-5 | 1.2843361 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8165206E-4 | 4.280944E-4 | 4.3809012E-4 | 1.0233493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028129534 | 0.0042818612 | 0.0042918185 | 1.0023254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 8.139338E-6 | 1.8139257E-5 | 2.2285912 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2962136E-5 | 3.488243E-5 | 4.488208E-5 | 1.2866672 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7952815E-4 | 4.2461394E-4 | 4.346097E-4 | 1.0235409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002791768 | 0.004247199 | 0.0042571565 | 1.0023445 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 7.0621672E-6 | 1.7062097E-5 | 2.4159858 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0610469E-5 | 3.0266097E-5 | 4.0265793E-5 | 1.3303927 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5090357E-4 | 3.6843037E-4 | 3.784267E-4 | 1.0271322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062046 | 0.0036871738 | 0.0036971369 | 1.0027021 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 2.1014744E-6 | 1.2101454E-5 | 5.758554 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853334E-6 | 9.006289E-6 | 1.9006198E-5 | 2.1103253 | 1.0E-5 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.0964617E-4 | 1.19645076E-4 | 1.0911925 | 1.0E-5 | 8.340483E-4 | 0.0011018327 | 0.0011118217 | 1.0090657 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 1.1557548E-6 | 1.1155743E-5 | 9.652344 | 1.0E-5 | 3.967879E-6 | 4.9532255E-6 | 1.4953176E-5 | 3.0188763 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8307855E-5 | 6.030386E-5 | 7.030326E-5 | 1.1658169 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8297356E-4 | 6.087653E-4 | 6.187592E-4 | 1.0164167 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 6.0095266E-7 | 1.0600947E-5 | 17.640236 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5609581E-6 | 2.575509E-6 | 1.2575483E-5 | 4.8827176 | 1.0E-5 | 3.117922E-5 | 3.1356372E-5 | 4.135606E-5 | 1.3189044 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1174847E-4 | 3.1891535E-4 | 3.2891217E-4 | 1.0313463 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 3.1455733E-7 | 1.0314554E-5 | 32.790695 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4748731E-6 | 1.3481022E-6 | 1.1348088E-5 | 8.417826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7956432E-5 | 1.6413022E-5 | 2.6412858E-5 | 1.6092623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7954981E-4 | 1.6748621E-4 | 1.7748454E-4 | 1.0596964 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 2.496176E-9 | 2.496176E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 1.0697898E-8 | 1.0697898E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 1.302469E-7 | 1.302469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506507E-6 | 1.3973861E-6 | 1.3973861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 2.2970828E-5 | 1.7709432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.9659756E-4 | 1.0295391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.0067681246 | 1.0029438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 2.2970828E-5 | 1.7709432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.9659756E-4 | 1.0295391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.0067681246 | 1.0029438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 2.2970828E-5 | 1.7709432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.9659756E-4 | 1.0295391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.0067681246 | 1.0029438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 2.2970828E-5 | 1.7709432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.9659756E-4 | 1.0295391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.0067681246 | 1.0029438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.2970957E-5 | 2.2970828E-5 | 1.7709432 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.558879E-5 | 6.558823E-5 | 1.1798824 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.766111E-4 | 6.9659756E-4 | 1.0295391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0067482595 | 0.0067681246 | 1.0029438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8149254E-4 | 3.9148872E-4 | 1.0262028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003641826 | 0.003808903 | 0.003818865 | 1.0026155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 7.3125466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 3.133914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8149254E-4 | 3.9148872E-4 | 1.0262028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003641826 | 0.003808903 | 0.003818865 | 1.0026155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7291422E-6 | 5.7291422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4553256E-5 | 2.4553256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8575645E-4 | 2.988987E-4 | 3.0889572E-4 | 1.0334462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028538927 | 0.002985343 | 0.0029953134 | 1.0033396 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.1777976E-6 | 4.1777976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.790474E-5 | 1.790474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.179711E-4 | 2.179711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021778387 | 0.0021778387 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.0924168E-6 | 3.0924168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.32531595E-5 | 1.32531595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6134749E-4 | 1.6134749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016125216 | 0.0016125216 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5251712E-6 | 1.5251712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.5364375E-6 | 6.5364375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.597293E-5 | 7.957921E-5 | 7.957921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.594696E-4 | 7.95604E-4 | 7.95604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.3325464E-7 | 7.3325464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.14252E-6 | 3.14252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.826018E-5 | 3.826018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.826018E-4 | 3.826018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 1.74834E-5 | 2.3362677 | 1.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 4.2071544E-5 | 1.3117898 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.1043723E-4 | 1.0512036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.0039214403 | 1.0051062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.54828E-5 | 2.8238575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 3.3497712E-5 | 1.425559 | 1.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.0608178E-4 | 1.0698887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.002880818 | 1.0069709 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 1.54828E-5 | 2.8238575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 3.3497712E-5 | 1.425559 | 1.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.0608178E-4 | 1.0698887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.002880818 | 1.0069709 | 2.0E-5 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.5953285E-5 | 6.595273E-5 | 1.1787105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977718E-4 | 2.4977478E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154841 | 0.002925455 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.02899937 | 0.02900908 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.5953285E-5 | 6.595273E-5 | 1.1787105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977718E-4 | 2.4977478E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154841 | 0.002925455 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.02899937 | 0.02900908 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.698747E-5 | 5.5953285E-5 | 6.595273E-5 | 1.1787105 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.3977718E-4 | 2.4977478E-4 | 1.0416954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0029154841 | 0.002925455 | 1.00342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.02899937 | 0.02900908 | 1.0003349 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 5.562229E-5 | 6.562174E-5 | 1.179774 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.3835889E-4 | 2.483565E-4 | 1.0419436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0028982626 | 0.0029082336 | 1.0034404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024082264 | 0.028830871 | 0.028840583 | 1.0003369 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 5.5030807E-5 | 6.503026E-5 | 1.1817064 | 1.0E-5 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.3582442E-4 | 2.4582207E-4 | 1.0423944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0028674894 | 0.0028774606 | 1.0034773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02385771 | 0.028531367 | 0.028541083 | 1.0003405 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 5.4291475E-5 | 6.429093E-5 | 1.184181 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.3265643E-4 | 2.426541E-4 | 1.0429718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002382867 | 0.0028290225 | 0.0028389941 | 1.0035248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023574775 | 0.028156703 | 0.028166423 | 1.0003451 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 5.3980748E-5 | 6.398021E-5 | 1.1852412 | 1.0E-5 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.3132499E-4 | 2.4132268E-4 | 1.0432192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0028128542 | 0.002822826 | 1.0035452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023457756 | 0.027998824 | 0.028008543 | 1.0003471 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 4.246322E-5 | 5.2462798E-5 | 1.2354879 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5860666E-4 | 1.819727E-4 | 1.9197089E-4 | 1.0549433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0022132967 | 0.0022232747 | 1.0045081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019126613 | 0.022132542 | 0.022142319 | 1.0004418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.0649047E-5 | 5.064864E-5 | 1.2459983 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5223498E-4 | 1.7419874E-4 | 1.84197E-4 | 1.0573957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0021188366 | 0.0021288153 | 1.0047096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018365284 | 0.021202844 | 0.021212632 | 1.0004616 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 3.7423593E-5 | 4.742322E-5 | 1.2672011 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.6037714E-4 | 1.7037553E-4 | 1.062343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0019508722 | 0.0019608526 | 1.0051159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017044188 | 0.0195451 | 0.019554906 | 1.0005016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.0703795E-5 | 4.070349E-5 | 1.3256826 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.3158117E-4 | 1.4157986E-4 | 1.0759888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0016008437 | 0.0016108277 | 1.0062367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01434065 | 0.016086912 | 0.016096752 | 1.0006117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 2.7477929E-5 | 3.7477654E-5 | 1.3639184 | 1.0E-5 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.1775734E-4 | 1.2775617E-4 | 1.0849104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0014327721 | 0.0014427578 | 1.0069695 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0128157 | 0.014415383 | 0.0144252395 | 1.0006837 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.1751406E-5 | 3.1751188E-5 | 1.4597304 | 1.0E-5 | 8.463181E-5 | 9.321707E-5 | 1.0321614E-4 | 1.1072665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0011343423 | 0.001144331 | 1.0088056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01025145 | 0.011449034 | 0.01145892 | 1.0008634 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.2638763E-5 | 2.2638636E-5 | 1.7912067 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9729337E-5 | 5.4165055E-5 | 6.416452E-5 | 1.1846108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.052865E-4 | 6.592693E-4 | 6.6926266E-4 | 1.0151583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060364045 | 0.00668281 | 0.006692743 | 1.0014864 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 4.659374E-6 | 1.46593275E-5 | 3.1462011 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0937177E-5 | 1.9968593E-5 | 2.9968394E-5 | 1.5007764 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5488032E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.530882E-4 | 1.041127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0024876716 | 0.0024976467 | 1.0040098 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 2.910057E-6 | 1.2910028E-5 | 4.436349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.2471613E-5 | 2.2471488E-5 | 1.8018109 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5950401E-4 | 1.5183137E-4 | 1.6182986E-4 | 1.0658525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0015751325 | 0.0015851167 | 1.0063387 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 1.6300764E-6 | 1.163006E-5 | 7.1346717 | 1.0E-5 | 7.564041E-6 | 6.9860234E-6 | 1.6985954E-5 | 2.4314196 | 1.0E-5 | 9.208831E-5 | 8.505155E-5 | 9.50507E-5 | 1.1175658 | 1.0E-5 | 9.205016E-4 | 9.0764783E-4 | 9.176387E-4 | 1.0110075 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 1.042061E-6 | 1.1042051E-5 | 10.596357 | 1.0E-5 | 5.645874E-6 | 4.465968E-6 | 1.4465923E-5 | 3.2391462 | 1.0E-5 | 6.873634E-5 | 5.4371805E-5 | 6.437126E-5 | 1.1839088 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8715087E-4 | 5.9443485E-4 | 6.0442893E-4 | 1.0168127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 7.301075E-7 | 1.07301E-5 | 14.696603 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0469886E-6 | 3.1290283E-6 | 1.3128997E-5 | 4.1958704 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9270973E-5 | 3.809526E-5 | 4.8094877E-5 | 1.2624899 | 1.0E-5 | 4.926005E-4 | 4.2241233E-4 | 4.324081E-4 | 1.0236635 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 5.22223E-7 | 1.0522218E-5 | 20.148897 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7378112E-6 | 2.2380966E-6 | 1.2238074E-5 | 5.4680724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3332344E-5 | 2.7248489E-5 | 3.7248214E-5 | 1.3669828 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3327343E-4 | 3.0191193E-4 | 3.119089E-4 | 1.0331123 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 2.8184556E-7 | 1.0281843E-5 | 36.480415 | 1.0E-5 | 1.323422E-6 | 1.207909E-6 | 1.1207897E-5 | 9.27876 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6112543E-5 | 1.4706193E-5 | 2.4706045E-5 | 1.6799756 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6111376E-4 | 1.598328E-4 | 1.698312E-4 | 1.0625554 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 1.3812131E-7 | 1.013812E-5 | 73.400116 | 1.0E-5 | 7.168133E-7 | 5.919483E-7 | 1.0591943E-5 | 17.893356 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7271665E-6 | 7.206947E-6 | 1.7206876E-5 | 2.38754 | 1.0E-5 | 8.726824E-5 | 7.770814E-5 | 8.770736E-5 | 1.1286767 | 1.0E-5 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.08484E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3220073E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016083556 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015967647 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011891827 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011830098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011891827 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011830098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.001030178 | 0.001030178 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.01025539 | 0.01025539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.0093945945 | 0.0093945945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007556338 | 0.007556338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006032109 | 0.006032109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0044262577 | 0.0044262577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0022814118 | 0.0022814118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.651012E-4 | 1.0152546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.651012E-4 | 1.0152546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.651012E-4 | 1.0152546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.651012E-4 | 1.0152546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.2976172E-6 | 7.2976172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0038024844 | 0.0038024844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.2976172E-6 | 7.2976172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0038024844 | 0.0038024844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.783117E-6 | 5.783117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0030147417 | 0.0030147417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.783117E-6 | 5.783117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0030147417 | 0.0030147417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.7715062E-6 | 2.7715062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.1877858E-5 | 1.1877858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.4460844E-4 | 1.4460844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043374705 | 0.0014456447 | 0.0014456447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.1735275E-6 | 2.1735275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.315111E-6 | 9.315111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.1341034E-4 | 1.1341034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037684843 | 0.001133991 | 0.001133991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 1.9714782E-6 | 1.9714782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.792111E-5 | 8.449192E-6 | 8.449192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.02868784E-4 | 1.02868784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003393671 | 0.0010286752 | 0.0010286752 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083339E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8244875E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486625E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.6134611E-8 | 2.6134611E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.12005466E-7 | 1.12005466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.3636659E-6 | 1.3636659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817587E-4 | 1.3636589E-5 | 1.3636589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.3108795E-8 | 2.3108795E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 9.903769E-8 | 9.903769E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.2057833E-6 | 1.2057833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.20577815E-5 | 1.20577815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sargent 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3699627E-5 | 1.5263453E-5 | 1.5263453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4441897E-4 | 6.5413544E-5 | 6.5413544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017568829 | 7.96188E-4 | 8.0618006E-4 | 1.0125499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01743058 | 0.007947842 | 0.007957762 | 1.0012482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.303065E-5 | 1.5263453E-5 | 1.5263453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8699056E-5 | 6.5413544E-5 | 6.5413544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012009986 | 7.96188E-4 | 8.0618006E-4 | 1.0125499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011945285 | 0.007947842 | 0.007957762 | 1.0012482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.24246E-5 | 1.5235638E-5 | 1.5235638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.610189E-5 | 6.529435E-5 | 6.529435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011694124 | 7.9473783E-4 | 8.0472993E-4 | 1.0125728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011632777 | 0.007933443 | 0.007943365 | 1.0012505 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6621638E-5 | 8.677494E-6 | 8.677494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.123365E-5 | 3.7188944E-5 | 3.7188944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.669246E-4 | 4.5271876E-4 | 4.627142E-4 | 1.0220788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008635503 | 0.00452935 | 0.004539305 | 1.0021979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.48395575E-5 | 6.663803E-6 | 6.663803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3596555E-5 | 2.8559032E-5 | 2.8559032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401294E-4 | 3.4768417E-4 | 3.4768417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077132257 | 0.003482402 | 0.003482402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.4358964E-5 | 6.129226E-6 | 6.129226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1536964E-5 | 2.6268035E-5 | 2.6268035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.48955E-4 | 3.1979967E-4 | 3.1979967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074643586 | 0.0032043813 | 0.0032043813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.772591E-6 | 9.650661E-7 | 9.650661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.188186E-5 | 4.135991E-6 | 4.135991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.097923E-4 | 5.0354545E-5 | 5.0354545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005086244 | 5.1117653E-4 | 5.1117653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.752745E-6 | 9.440959E-7 | 9.440959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.179681E-5 | 4.046119E-6 | 4.046119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875737E-4 | 4.9260405E-5 | 4.9260405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005075942 | 5.0024013E-4 | 5.0024013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.608213E-6 | 8.3973725E-7 | 8.3973725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1177405E-5 | 3.5988692E-6 | 3.5988692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.012196E-4 | 4.3815366E-5 | 4.3815366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005000906 | 4.4560613E-4 | 4.4560613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.427164E-6 | 7.497793E-7 | 7.497793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.04015E-5 | 3.213336E-6 | 3.213336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9177726E-4 | 3.9121674E-5 | 3.9121674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004906904 | 3.9829113E-4 | 3.9829113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.247601E-6 | 6.342488E-7 | 6.342488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9631974E-5 | 2.7182061E-6 | 2.7182061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8241246E-4 | 3.3093667E-5 | 3.3093667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048136655 | 3.3773927E-4 | 3.3773927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.995454E-6 | 5.055465E-7 | 5.055465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8551374E-5 | 2.166626E-6 | 2.166626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6926187E-4 | 2.637836E-5 | 2.637836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004682722 | 2.7008707E-4 | 2.7008707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.520861E-6 | 2.6630428E-7 | 2.6630428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6517464E-5 | 1.1413035E-6 | 1.1413035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.445094E-4 | 1.3895286E-5 | 1.3895286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004436213 | 1.443005E-4 | 1.443005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.043592E-6 | 1.2180367E-7 | 1.2180367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4472083E-5 | 5.2201557E-7 | 5.2201557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.196168E-4 | 6.3555212E-6 | 6.3555212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004188253 | 6.84237E-5 | 6.84237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.662316E-6 | 9.103393E-8 | 9.103393E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2838085E-5 | 3.9014537E-7 | 3.9014537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973034E-4 | 4.7500093E-6 | 4.7500093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039901207 | 5.1836214E-5 | 5.1836214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.961638E-6 | 6.758641E-8 | 6.758641E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835252E-5 | 2.8965601E-7 | 2.8965601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318362E-4 | 3.5265564E-6 | 3.5265564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036259065 | 3.879682E-5 | 3.879682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.282332E-6 | 4.1055856E-8 | 4.1055856E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6924003E-5 | 1.7595366E-7 | 1.7595366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2775043E-4 | 2.1422336E-6 | 2.1422336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032726745 | 2.4094248E-5 | 2.4094248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.934408E-6 | 1.1942472E-8 | 1.1942472E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114729E-5 | 5.1182028E-8 | 5.1182028E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5743784E-4 | 6.23141E-7 | 6.23141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025713982 | 6.8988393E-6 | 6.8988393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.373212E-6 | 5.734117E-9 | 5.734117E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0170869E-5 | 2.4574797E-8 | 2.4574797E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.238233E-4 | 2.991981E-7 | 2.991981E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012375432 | 3.6494503E-6 | 3.6494503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.8227792E-6 | 4.5727115E-9 | 4.5727115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.811887E-6 | 1.9597334E-8 | 1.9597334E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.510558E-5 | 2.385975E-7 | 2.385975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5064886E-4 | 3.0332308E-6 | 3.0332308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9095137E-7 | 2.8722398E-9 | 2.8722398E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1836276E-7 | 1.2309598E-8 | 1.2309598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963521E-6 | 1.4986934E-7 | 1.4986934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963074E-5 | 1.8832384E-6 | 1.8832384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 2.7257918E-5 | 1.5794283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021095627 | 1.0047529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 2.7257918E-5 | 1.5794283 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021095627 | 1.0047529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1096286E-6 | 1.1096286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.7897214E-5 | 5.7897214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.628524E-4 | 4.628524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.0621384E-5 | 4.0621384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 6.985951E-7 | 6.985951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6554419E-6 | 1.6554419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.015482E-5 | 2.015482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0152995E-4 | 2.0152995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.702679E-4 | 1.702679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.6122441E-7 | 2.6122441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1195327E-6 | 1.1195327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.3630225E-5 | 1.3630225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.81228E-7 | 1.81228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 7.766912E-7 | 7.766912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.456175E-6 | 9.456175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.4557734E-5 | 9.4557734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.0930017E-7 | 1.0930017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.684292E-7 | 4.684292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 5.7031107E-6 | 5.7031107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 5.7029647E-5 | 5.7029647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.023396E-8 | 5.023396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.152884E-7 | 2.152884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.6211328E-6 | 2.6211328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.621102E-5 | 2.621102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.2211758E-8 | 2.2211758E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 9.519325E-8 | 9.519325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.1589772E-6 | 1.1589772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.1589712E-5 | 1.1589712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 9.79943E-9 | 9.79943E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 4.1997552E-8 | 4.1997552E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 5.113201E-7 | 5.113201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 5.113189E-6 | 5.113189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 4.0235317E-9 | 4.0235317E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 1.7243707E-8 | 1.7243707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.0994212E-7 | 2.0994212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.0994194E-6 | 2.0994194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.620697E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086477E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002928585 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028902901 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.028112503 | 1.0003458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0020380353 | 0.0020380353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.020218147 | 0.020218147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0016854599 | 0.0016854599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.01674792 | 0.01674792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.00168294 | 0.00168294 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.016723102 | 0.016723102 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0013869469 | 0.0013869469 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.013802872 | 0.013802872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012013782 | 0.0012013782 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.0119683705 | 0.0119683705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.8330845E-4 | 3.8330845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0038267397 | 0.0038267397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.2779446E-4 | 3.2779446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0032733486 | 0.0032733486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.2587224E-4 | 2.2587224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0022566202 | 0.0022566202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lions Head 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 3.9862487E-5 | 1.334855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.085862E-4 | 1.0334809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 3.9862487E-5 | 1.334855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.085862E-4 | 1.0334809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6896213E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5812653E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9251736E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9250068E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3283942E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264539E-6 | 1.4153163E-6 | 1.4153163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7366938E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736558E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.9684807E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722054E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5488991E-5 | 1.5349424E-5 | 1.5349424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5487912E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.8254823E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2109203E-6 | 1.1992869E-6 | 1.1992869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4742856E-5 | 1.460122E-5 | 1.460122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741877E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.5794475E-7 | 2.5515493E-7 | 2.5515493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.105477E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34591E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3458285E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2678832E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.719496E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1833421E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1832791E-4 | 1.168064E-4 | 1.168064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.968546E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436623E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.027154E-5 | 1.0113006E-5 | 1.0113006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0271065E-4 | 1.0112547E-4 | 1.0112547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6101195E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.90051E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.401339E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4010215E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.304744E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.591759E-7 | 5.445142E-7 | 5.445142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807945E-6 | 6.62944E-6 | 6.62944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807737E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.410614E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0331196E-7 | 3.8745353E-7 | 3.8745353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910312E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9102036E-5 | 4.7171365E-5 | 4.7171365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6360826E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.844035E-7 | 2.6745266E-7 | 2.6745266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.462607E-6 | 3.2562314E-6 | 3.2562314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4625533E-5 | 3.256184E-5 | 3.256184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9100893E-8 | 3.4823106E-8 | 3.4823106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757524E-7 | 1.4924187E-7 | 1.4924187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0402267E-6 | 1.8170183E-6 | 1.8170183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.040208E-5 | 1.8170034E-5 | 1.8170034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9858547E-8 | 1.5320953E-8 | 1.5320953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5108056E-8 | 6.5661226E-8 | 6.5661226E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361902E-6 | 7.994251E-7 | 7.994251E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361853E-5 | 7.994222E-6 | 7.994222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.717722E-9 | 5.8155893E-9 | 5.8155893E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1647375E-8 | 2.4923953E-8 | 2.4923953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.070567E-7 | 3.034491E-7 | 3.034491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0705553E-6 | 3.0344868E-6 | 3.0344868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.8397716E-9 | 1.55174E-9 | 1.55174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456164E-8 | 6.6503145E-9 | 6.6503145E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035378E-7 | 8.096758E-8 | 8.096758E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035359E-6 | 8.096755E-7 | 8.096755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0025918647 | 1.0038631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0025918647 | 1.0038631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0025918647 | 1.0038631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0025918647 | 1.0038631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 3.123103E-5 | 1.470994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.6845987E-4 | 1.0386803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.0025918647 | 1.0038631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6715092E-4 | 1.6715092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016539496 | 0.0016702653 | 0.0016702653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.1318077E-6 | 3.1318077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.34219645E-5 | 1.34219645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016174077 | 0.0016328141 | 0.0016328141 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1279614E-5 | 1.1279614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3732069E-4 | 1.3732069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013617266 | 0.0013723628 | 0.0013723628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0695332E-5 | 1.0695332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012921972 | 0.0013013204 | 0.0013013204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011147653 | 0.0011204338 | 0.0011204338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.0097766E-4 | 1.0097766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010056482 | 0.0010093191 | 0.0010093191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.0163474E-6 | 7.0163474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.542069E-5 | 8.542069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529247E-4 | 8.538793E-4 | 8.538793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.4431162E-6 | 1.4431162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.184769E-6 | 6.184769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.5296964E-5 | 7.5296964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.535026E-4 | 7.527151E-4 | 7.527151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.1956442E-6 | 1.1956442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.1241796E-6 | 5.1241796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.267076E-4 | 6.236763E-4 | 6.236763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.606655E-7 | 9.606655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.117131E-6 | 4.117131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.0124923E-5 | 5.0124923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.064076E-4 | 5.011364E-4 | 5.011364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.02308E-7 | 7.02308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.009888E-6 | 3.009888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.664477E-5 | 3.664477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7430652E-4 | 3.6638745E-4 | 3.6638745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.3422477E-7 | 4.3422477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.860962E-6 | 1.860962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.2656977E-5 | 2.2656977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37571E-4 | 2.2654678E-4 | 2.2654678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.8418795E-7 | 1.8418795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 7.8937666E-7 | 7.8937666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047998E-5 | 9.610619E-6 | 9.610619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047449E-4 | 9.610206E-5 | 9.610206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 6.817055E-8 | 6.817055E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 2.9215946E-7 | 2.9215946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.5570356E-6 | 3.5570356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1517753E-5 | 3.5569792E-5 | 3.5569792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 2.7281049E-8 | 2.7281049E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.1691878E-7 | 1.1691878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.4234852E-6 | 1.4234852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384275E-5 | 1.4234762E-5 | 1.4234762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 6.5551955E-9 | 6.5551955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 2.8093696E-8 | 2.8093696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 3.420407E-7 | 3.420407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481861E-6 | 3.420402E-6 | 3.420402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.8152487E-5 | 2.2265973 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 4.493886E-5 | 1.2862014 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.3531606E-4 | 1.0235016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.004256831 | 1.0023447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.8152487E-5 | 2.2265973 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 4.493886E-5 | 1.2862014 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.3531606E-4 | 1.0235016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.004256831 | 1.0023447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.8152487E-5 | 2.2265973 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 4.493886E-5 | 1.2862014 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.3531606E-4 | 1.0235016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.004256831 | 1.0023447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 1.567567E-5 | 2.7618787 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 3.4324137E-5 | 1.4111001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 3.06117E-4 | 1.0337601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029583205 | 0.0029682908 | 1.0033703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 1.567567E-5 | 2.7618787 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 3.4324137E-5 | 1.4111001 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 3.06117E-4 | 1.0337601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029583205 | 0.0029682908 | 1.0033703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.88292E-6 | 3.88292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6641017E-5 | 1.6641017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.025924E-4 | 2.025924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020247495 | 0.0020247495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.8406774E-6 | 3.8406774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.645998E-5 | 1.645998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0038869E-4 | 2.0038869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020027522 | 0.0020027522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6436198E-6 | 2.6436198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1329781E-5 | 1.1329781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.3793685E-4 | 1.3793685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0013790512 | 0.0013790512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.086151E-7 | 5.086151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.1797773E-6 | 2.1797773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.6538482E-5 | 2.6538482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.6535487E-4 | 2.6535487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.278379E-7 | 4.278379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8335899E-6 | 1.8335899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2323744E-5 | 2.2323744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2321656E-4 | 2.2321656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.925973E-7 | 2.925973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2539879E-6 | 1.2539879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5267207E-5 | 1.5267207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5266282E-4 | 1.5266282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6085234E-7 | 1.6085234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 6.89367E-7 | 6.89367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.393019E-6 | 8.393019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.3927785E-5 | 8.3927785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 3.98574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.7081642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 2.0795099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020777464 | 0.0020877256 | 1.004803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 2.507488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0746336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3082911E-4 | 1.3082911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013075534 | 0.0013175403 | 1.0076379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.9357735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 8.296146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0100099E-4 | 1.0100099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010095594 | 0.0010195493 | 1.0098953 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.8752955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 8.036956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.784564E-5 | 9.784564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.780336E-4 | 9.880239E-4 | 1.0102146 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.5759041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 6.753857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.222516E-5 | 8.222516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2195224E-4 | 8.2195224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3003046E-6 | 1.3003046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 5.572722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.78458E-5 | 6.78458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.782536E-4 | 6.782536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.1157039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 4.7815793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8214195E-5 | 5.8214195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.819915E-4 | 5.819915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7228506E-7 | 8.7228506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 3.7383593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.551359E-5 | 4.551359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.55044E-4 | 4.55044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 5.873816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 2.5173472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.064828E-5 | 3.064828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0644113E-4 | 3.0644113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 4.3628876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.8698076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2764674E-5 | 2.2764674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2762381E-4 | 2.2762381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 2.9933875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.2828798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5618953E-5 | 1.5618953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5617876E-4 | 1.5617876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4170477E-7 | 1.4170477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 6.07306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.3939264E-6 | 7.3939264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.3936884E-5 | 7.3936884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.390156E-8 | 7.390156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.9975117E-7 | 8.9975117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.99748E-6 | 8.99748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.683194E-4 | 1.0131769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.683194E-4 | 1.0131769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.683194E-4 | 1.0131769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075690323 | 1.0013129 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.179473E-4 | 1.0164386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.006073858 | 1.0016391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.179473E-4 | 1.0164386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.006073858 | 1.0016391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.3888996E-4 | 5.488846E-4 | 1.0185467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0053767376 | 0.0053866836 | 1.0018499 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0048423875 | 0.0048423875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004581874 | 0.004837522 | 0.004837522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003593594 | 0.0037976773 | 0.0037976773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027143832 | 0.0027143832 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018483351 | 0.0018483351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Eureka Peak
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.5554276E-6 | 7.5554276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 3.2380285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.004004714 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.5554276E-6 | 7.5554276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 3.2380285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.004004714 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1949054E-5 | 7.5554276E-6 | 7.5554276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3691733E-4 | 3.2380285E-5 | 3.2380285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016656938 | 3.9420894E-4 | 4.04205E-4 | 1.0253572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016532637 | 0.0039947536 | 0.004004714 | 1.0024933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7339745E-5 | 6.3934585E-6 | 6.3934585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1716507E-4 | 2.7400523E-5 | 2.7400523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014255513 | 3.335989E-4 | 3.4359557E-4 | 1.0299661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0033867166 | 0.0033966827 | 1.0029427 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7339745E-5 | 6.3934585E-6 | 6.3934585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1716507E-4 | 2.7400523E-5 | 2.7400523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014255513 | 3.335989E-4 | 3.4359557E-4 | 1.0299661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0141644105 | 0.0033867166 | 0.0033966827 | 1.0029427 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.738388E-8 | 1.561985E-7 | 1.561985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1735944E-7 | 6.694219E-7 | 6.694219E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.081339E-6 | 8.150182E-6 | 8.150182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0812232E-5 | 8.149889E-5 | 8.149889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.5339948E-7 | 1.5339948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 6.574262E-7 | 6.574262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 8.0041345E-6 | 8.0041345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8783666E-5 | 8.003852E-5 | 8.003852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.3495956E-8 | 1.5339948E-7 | 1.5339948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 6.574262E-7 | 6.574262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 8.0041345E-6 | 8.0041345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8783666E-5 | 8.003852E-5 | 8.003852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.591428E-8 | 1.505859E-7 | 1.505859E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68204E-7 | 6.45368E-7 | 6.45368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4828744E-6 | 7.857328E-6 | 7.857328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.482784E-5 | 7.857055E-5 | 7.857055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.749723E-8 | 1.4499423E-7 | 1.4499423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3213098E-7 | 6.2140373E-7 | 6.2140373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.043687E-6 | 7.565565E-6 | 7.565565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0436134E-5 | 7.565312E-5 | 7.565312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.897872E-8 | 1.3563506E-7 | 1.3563506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9562307E-7 | 5.81293E-7 | 5.81293E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5992048E-6 | 7.07722E-6 | 7.07722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5991467E-5 | 7.0769995E-5 | 7.0769995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.859318E-8 | 1.2085431E-7 | 1.2085431E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111362E-7 | 5.1794694E-7 | 5.1794694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.057304E-6 | 6.3059865E-6 | 6.3059865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0572617E-5 | 6.305811E-5 | 6.305811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.1375338E-8 | 1.08362286E-7 | 1.08362286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2018E-7 | 4.644097E-7 | 4.644097E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.680688E-6 | 5.654174E-6 | 5.654174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6806558E-5 | 5.654034E-5 | 5.654034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.5441396E-8 | 9.235678E-8 | 9.235678E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474882E-7 | 3.9581468E-7 | 3.9581468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3710643E-6 | 4.8190336E-6 | 4.8190336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.371039E-5 | 4.8189326E-5 | 4.8189326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.981918E-8 | 5.0647387E-8 | 5.0647387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2779647E-7 | 2.1706022E-7 | 2.1706022E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5559209E-6 | 2.642705E-6 | 2.642705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.55591E-5 | 2.642676E-5 | 2.642676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 5.6670304E-9 | 5.6670304E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 2.4287273E-8 | 2.4287273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 2.9569753E-7 | 2.9569753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134857E-6 | 2.9569744E-6 | 2.9569744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2611348E-5 | 3.684247E-5 | 4.6842102E-5 | 1.271416 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3975543E-4 | 1.5788693E-4 | 1.6788536E-4 | 1.0633265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017001943 | 0.0019206129 | 0.0019305936 | 1.0051967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01687245 | 0.019043649 | 0.01905346 | 1.0005151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2611348E-5 | 3.684247E-5 | 4.6842102E-5 | 1.271416 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3975543E-4 | 1.5788693E-4 | 1.6788536E-4 | 1.0633265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017001943 | 0.0019206129 | 0.0019305936 | 1.0051967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01687245 | 0.019043649 | 0.01905346 | 1.0005151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.144285E-5 | 3.684247E-5 | 4.6842102E-5 | 1.271416 | 1.0E-5 | 1.347481E-4 | 1.5788693E-4 | 1.6788536E-4 | 1.0633265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016393235 | 0.0019206129 | 0.0019305936 | 1.0051967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016272832 | 0.019043649 | 0.01905346 | 1.0005151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1108408E-5 | 3.6452882E-5 | 4.645252E-5 | 1.2743168 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3331493E-4 | 1.5621747E-4 | 1.662159E-4 | 1.0640033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016219008 | 0.0019003227 | 0.0019103037 | 1.0052522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016101142 | 0.018844204 | 0.018854015 | 1.0005207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0225197E-5 | 3.542457E-5 | 4.5424218E-5 | 1.28228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2953013E-4 | 1.5181095E-4 | 1.6180944E-4 | 1.0658613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015758885 | 0.001846765 | 0.0018567466 | 1.0054048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0156476 | 0.018317541 | 0.01832736 | 1.000536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9534416E-5 | 3.462159E-5 | 4.4621243E-5 | 1.2888271 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2656992E-4 | 1.4836999E-4 | 1.5836851E-4 | 1.0673891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015398995 | 0.0018049413 | 0.0018149234 | 1.0055304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015292724 | 0.017906101 | 0.017915923 | 1.0005485 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7345395E-5 | 3.2073902E-5 | 4.2073578E-5 | 1.31177 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1718928E-4 | 1.3745249E-4 | 1.4745111E-4 | 1.0727425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014258457 | 0.0016722278 | 0.001682211 | 1.00597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014167317 | 0.016599093 | 0.016608927 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5615784E-5 | 3.01211E-5 | 4.0120798E-5 | 1.3319832 | 1.0E-5 | 1.09777306E-4 | 1.290842E-4 | 1.3908291E-4 | 1.0774589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013357193 | 0.0015704947 | 0.0015804791 | 1.0063574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013277191 | 0.01559645 | 0.015606294 | 1.0006312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0059057E-5 | 2.3619665E-5 | 3.3619428E-5 | 1.4233661 | 1.0E-5 | 8.596455E-5 | 1.0122329E-4 | 1.11222274E-4 | 1.0987815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010461159 | 0.0012317115 | 0.0012416992 | 1.0081087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0104120495 | 0.012249855 | 0.012259732 | 1.0008063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6321746E-5 | 1.9297928E-5 | 1.9297928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9948466E-5 | 8.270284E-5 | 8.270284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5128983E-4 | 0.0010064532 | 0.0010064532 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008480361 | 0.010019514 | 0.010019514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.22527645E-5 | 1.4487267E-5 | 1.4487267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2510793E-5 | 6.208683E-5 | 6.208683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3913135E-4 | 7.556489E-4 | 7.556489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729626 | 0.007530748 | 0.007530748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.996482E-6 | 1.0684284E-5 | 1.0684284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8555783E-5 | 4.5788987E-5 | 4.5788987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6931554E-4 | 5.5733946E-4 | 5.5733946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004683256 | 0.0055591078 | 0.0055591078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.0273087E-6 | 7.22055E-6 | 7.22055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5831067E-5 | 3.094485E-5 | 3.094485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1444785E-4 | 3.7668904E-4 | 3.7668904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031400328 | 0.0037608424 | 0.0037608424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1209995E-6 | 3.7660711E-6 | 3.7660711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3375643E-5 | 1.6140206E-5 | 1.6140206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6283628E-4 | 1.9648942E-4 | 1.9648942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016271701 | 0.0019633076 | 0.0019633076 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0254208E-6 | 2.4673877E-6 | 2.4673877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.680347E-6 | 1.0574477E-5 | 1.0574477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0567809E-4 | 1.2873669E-4 | 1.2873669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010562785 | 0.0012866165 | 0.0012866165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.6763418E-6 | 2.0507696E-6 | 2.0507696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.184302E-6 | 8.788983E-6 | 8.788983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.746537E-5 | 1.0700066E-4 | 1.0700066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.743095E-4 | 0.001069504 | 0.001069504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1935462E-6 | 1.4570702E-6 | 1.4570702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.115188E-6 | 6.244572E-6 | 6.244572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2275634E-5 | 7.602505E-5 | 7.602505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2258187E-4 | 7.5996923E-4 | 7.5996923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.0464201E-7 | 3.7508343E-7 | 3.7508343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3056081E-6 | 1.6074995E-6 | 1.6074995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.589566E-5 | 1.9571135E-5 | 1.9571135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5894524E-4 | 1.9567553E-4 | 1.9567553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 10 (Panoche)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 2.6029684E-5 | 1.6238264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.863231E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 7.869687E-5 | 1.1455556 | 1.0E-5 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 8.460689E-4 | 1.0119506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008321454 | 0.008329923 | 0.00833984 | 1.0011905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 2.6029684E-5 | 1.6238264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.863231E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 7.869687E-5 | 1.1455556 | 1.0E-5 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 8.460689E-4 | 1.0119506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008321454 | 0.008329923 | 0.00833984 | 1.0011905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.56782E-5 | 1.5661253E-5 | 2.5661097E-5 | 1.6385084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.719056E-5 | 6.711796E-5 | 7.711729E-5 | 1.1489815 | 1.0E-5 | 8.17738E-4 | 8.1686024E-4 | 8.268521E-4 | 1.012232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008147354 | 0.008139172 | 0.00814909 | 1.0012187 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5263338E-5 | 1.5199419E-5 | 2.5199268E-5 | 1.6579099 | 1.0E-5 | 6.541267E-5 | 6.5138775E-5 | 7.513812E-5 | 1.1535084 | 1.0E-5 | 7.961082E-4 | 7.9278136E-4 | 8.027734E-4 | 1.0126038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007932622 | 0.007900113 | 0.007910034 | 1.0012558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4720723E-5 | 1.4593385E-5 | 2.4593239E-5 | 1.685232 | 1.0E-5 | 6.308728E-5 | 6.254161E-5 | 7.2540985E-5 | 1.1598835 | 1.0E-5 | 7.67817E-4 | 7.611833E-4 | 7.711757E-4 | 1.0131274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007651695 | 0.007586326 | 0.00759625 | 1.0013082 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.408264E-5 | 1.38738E-5 | 1.38738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0352773E-5 | 5.9457816E-5 | 5.9457816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3454727E-4 | 7.236636E-4 | 7.236636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073212404 | 0.007213616 | 0.007213616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3197086E-5 | 1.2873626E-5 | 1.2873626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6557717E-5 | 5.5171542E-5 | 5.5171542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8837265E-4 | 6.715115E-4 | 6.715115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006862442 | 0.0066953497 | 0.0066953497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.017583E-5 | 9.433005E-6 | 9.433005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.360997E-5 | 4.0426552E-5 | 4.0426552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.30822E-4 | 4.9208436E-4 | 4.9208436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052955584 | 0.0049101827 | 0.0049101827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.557912E-6 | 7.6184792E-6 | 7.6184792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667625E-5 | 3.2650227E-5 | 3.2650227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4644187E-4 | 3.9744593E-4 | 3.9744593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044554602 | 0.003967544 | 0.003967544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.14664E-6 | 4.921784E-6 | 4.921784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342475E-5 | 2.1093196E-5 | 2.1093196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2067244E-4 | 2.5678068E-4 | 2.5678068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003202101 | 0.0025649685 | 0.0025649685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.2310581E-6 | 1.6377121E-6 | 1.6377121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3847319E-5 | 7.0187475E-6 | 7.0187475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857806E-4 | 8.544999E-5 | 8.544999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016845023 | 8.5418014E-4 | 8.5418014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.544492E-6 | 8.816703E-7 | 8.816703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.090492E-5 | 3.778582E-6 | 3.778582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.327593E-4 | 4.6003308E-5 | 4.6003308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013268003 | 4.599423E-4 | 4.599423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.4479045E-6 | 8.4890013E-7 | 8.4890013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0490977E-5 | 3.6381387E-6 | 3.6381387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2772017E-4 | 4.4293483E-5 | 4.4293483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012764678 | 4.4285096E-4 | 4.4285096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0559578E-6 | 7.598957E-7 | 7.598957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811218E-6 | 3.2566923E-6 | 3.2566923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.072713E-4 | 3.964955E-5 | 3.964955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010721954 | 3.9642907E-4 | 3.9642907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.727687E-6 | 7.13256E-7 | 7.13256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.404352E-6 | 3.056808E-6 | 3.056808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0144255E-5 | 3.7216047E-5 | 3.7216047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0107694E-4 | 3.7210243E-4 | 3.7210243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.321804E-7 | 6.321804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fish Slough 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6353451E-6 | 1.3635309E-5 | 3.7507606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.557997E-5 | 2.5579813E-5 | 1.6418397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.8967171E-4 | 1.9966983E-4 | 1.0527127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0018953054 | 0.0019052865 | 1.0052662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6353451E-6 | 1.3635309E-5 | 3.7507606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.557997E-5 | 2.5579813E-5 | 1.6418397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.8967171E-4 | 1.9966983E-4 | 1.0527127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0018953054 | 0.0019052865 | 1.0052662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6353451E-6 | 1.3635309E-5 | 3.7507606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.557997E-5 | 2.5579813E-5 | 1.6418397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.8967171E-4 | 1.9966983E-4 | 1.0527127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0018953054 | 0.0019052865 | 1.0052662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6353451E-6 | 1.3635309E-5 | 3.7507606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.557997E-5 | 2.5579813E-5 | 1.6418397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.8967171E-4 | 1.9966983E-4 | 1.0527127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0018953054 | 0.0019052865 | 1.0052662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6353451E-6 | 1.3635309E-5 | 3.7507606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.557997E-5 | 2.5579813E-5 | 1.6418397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.8967171E-4 | 1.9966983E-4 | 1.0527127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022739628 | 0.0018953054 | 0.0019052865 | 1.0052662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.234872E-6 | 1.2234849E-5 | 5.4745193 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.577992E-6 | 1.9577898E-5 | 2.0440502 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1660673E-4 | 1.2660556E-4 | 1.0857483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011655447 | 0.001175533 | 1.0085697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.234872E-6 | 1.2234849E-5 | 5.4745193 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.577992E-6 | 1.9577898E-5 | 2.0440502 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1660673E-4 | 1.2660556E-4 | 1.0857483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015598187 | 0.0011655447 | 0.001175533 | 1.0085697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7890346E-6 | 2.0276627E-6 | 2.0276627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1952951E-5 | 8.689959E-6 | 8.689959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4551746E-4 | 1.05796E-4 | 1.05796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014542221 | 0.0010575438 | 0.0010575438 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.9416723E-6 | 1.162041E-6 | 1.162041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321425E-6 | 4.9801665E-6 | 4.9801665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01308644E-4 | 6.063188E-5 | 6.063188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010126247 | 6.061574E-4 | 6.061574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8567416E-6 | 1.0747133E-6 | 1.0747133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.957439E-6 | 4.6059063E-6 | 4.6059063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.687752E-5 | 5.6075503E-5 | 5.6075503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6835295E-4 | 5.606173E-4 | 5.606173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6634067E-6 | 8.7868403E-7 | 8.7868403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1288664E-6 | 3.7657835E-6 | 3.7657835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.679049E-5 | 4.584748E-5 | 4.584748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6756604E-4 | 4.5838303E-4 | 4.5838303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4281054E-6 | 6.470868E-7 | 6.470868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1204373E-6 | 2.7732262E-6 | 2.7732262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.451377E-5 | 3.3763525E-5 | 3.3763525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.44888E-4 | 3.375857E-4 | 3.375857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1810387E-6 | 4.171928E-7 | 4.171928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0615845E-6 | 1.787968E-6 | 1.787968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1623046E-5 | 2.1768301E-5 | 2.1768301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.160596E-4 | 2.1766257E-4 | 2.1766257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.918052E-7 | 2.6627671E-7 | 2.6627671E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505867E-6 | 1.1411854E-6 | 1.1411854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1749663E-5 | 1.3893845E-5 | 1.3893845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173762E-4 | 1.3892987E-4 | 1.3892987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.25252E-7 | 1.8914645E-7 | 1.8914645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5367896E-6 | 8.106274E-7 | 8.106274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3059565E-5 | 9.8693445E-6 | 9.8693445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305122E-4 | 9.868912E-5 | 9.868912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.3248567E-7 | 1.0856526E-7 | 1.0856526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2820795E-6 | 4.652796E-7 | 4.652796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7783964E-5 | 5.664765E-6 | 5.664765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778049E-4 | 5.6646237E-5 | 5.6646237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.037542E-7 | 4.2178804E-8 | 4.2178804E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.73232E-7 | 1.8076629E-7 | 1.8076629E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631547E-5 | 2.2008276E-6 | 2.2008276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631039E-4 | 2.2008075E-5 | 2.2008075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2501226E-8 | 2.7781146E-9 | 2.7781146E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6433816E-8 | 1.1906206E-8 | 1.1906206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740811E-6 | 1.4495805E-7 | 1.4495805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740749E-5 | 1.4495796E-6 | 1.4495796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.8250816E-4 | 1.0174568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005721579 | 1.0017408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0035756624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0035756624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.121284E-6 | 5.121284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.1948183E-5 | 2.1948183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.6718748E-4 | 2.6718748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026687772 | 0.0026687772 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.200905E-6 | 4.200905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8003759E-5 | 1.8003759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.1917443E-4 | 2.1917443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0021896542 | 0.0021896542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9126502E-4 | 1.9126502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019110661 | 0.0019110661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.06818E-6 | 3.06818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3149279E-5 | 1.3149279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020390663 | 0.001599715 | 0.001599715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.0993079E-5 | 1.0993079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013375733 | 0.0013375733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.7931642E-6 | 1.7931642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.684968E-6 | 7.684968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.356076E-5 | 9.356076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013866565 | 9.352423E-4 | 9.352423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4043652E-6 | 1.4043652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.018696E-6 | 6.018696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.3275405E-5 | 7.3275405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.3253724E-4 | 7.3253724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.1034555E-7 | 7.1034555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.0443346E-6 | 3.0443346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.7064146E-5 | 3.7064146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.7058006E-4 | 3.7058006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.4758775E-7 | 4.4758775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9182319E-6 | 1.9182319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.3354225E-5 | 2.3354225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.3351795E-4 | 2.3351795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.465644E-7 | 1.465644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.28133E-7 | 6.28133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 7.6474935E-6 | 7.6474935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 7.64724E-5 | 7.64724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Butano 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.561135E-6 | 5.371375E-6 | 5.371375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.3019988E-5 | 3.3019758E-5 | 1.4343951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9876433E-4 | 2.8023447E-4 | 2.9023166E-4 | 1.0356745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004976464 | 0.0028092868 | 0.0028192587 | 1.0035496 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.561135E-6 | 5.371375E-6 | 5.371375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.3019988E-5 | 3.3019758E-5 | 1.4343951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9876433E-4 | 2.8023447E-4 | 2.9023166E-4 | 1.0356745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004976464 | 0.0028092868 | 0.0028192587 | 1.0035496 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.364741E-6 | 4.133669E-6 | 4.133669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5848396E-5 | 1.771561E-5 | 2.7715434E-5 | 1.5644639 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.1566775E-4 | 2.256656E-4 | 1.0463576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043551093 | 0.0021650053 | 0.0021749837 | 1.0046089 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.364741E-6 | 4.133669E-6 | 4.133669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5848396E-5 | 1.771561E-5 | 2.7715434E-5 | 1.5644639 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.1566775E-4 | 2.256656E-4 | 1.0463576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043551093 | 0.0021650053 | 0.0021749837 | 1.0046089 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.768282E-6 | 3.5162834E-6 | 3.5162834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329221E-5 | 1.5069706E-5 | 2.5069556E-5 | 1.6635729 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0525728E-4 | 1.8345956E-4 | 1.9345773E-4 | 1.054498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040451903 | 0.0018434847 | 0.0018534663 | 1.0054145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.673437E-6 | 3.4170175E-6 | 3.4170175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2885746E-5 | 1.4644286E-5 | 2.464414E-5 | 1.6828502 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0031038E-4 | 1.7828091E-4 | 1.8827914E-4 | 1.0560813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039959005 | 0.0017917819 | 0.001801764 | 1.005571 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5244197E-6 | 3.2636492E-6 | 3.2636492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2247113E-5 | 1.3987E-5 | 2.398686E-5 | 1.7149396 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9253788E-4 | 1.7027973E-4 | 1.8027802E-4 | 1.0587169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003918452 | 0.0017118951 | 0.001721878 | 1.0058315 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4921405E-6 | 2.2161594E-6 | 2.2161594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7823162E-5 | 9.497791E-6 | 1.9497696E-5 | 2.0528665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3869434E-4 | 1.1562955E-4 | 1.2562839E-4 | 1.0864731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003381786 | 0.0011659806 | 0.0011759689 | 1.0085665 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.2890294E-6 | 2.0062487E-6 | 2.0062487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6952705E-5 | 8.598181E-6 | 1.8598095E-5 | 2.1630268 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2809976E-4 | 1.04677885E-4 | 1.1467684E-4 | 1.0955212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032761577 | 0.0010565729 | 0.0010665624 | 1.0094546 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0965517E-6 | 1.8161231E-6 | 1.8161231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6127816E-5 | 7.783362E-6 | 1.7783284E-5 | 2.284782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1805973E-4 | 9.475836E-5 | 1.0475742E-4 | 1.1055216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031760489 | 9.574664E-4 | 9.6745684E-4 | 1.0104343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.566252E-6 | 1.346645E-6 | 1.346645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3855147E-5 | 5.7713232E-6 | 1.5771266E-5 | 2.7326949 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9039773E-4 | 7.0263624E-5 | 8.026292E-5 | 1.1423111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029001853 | 7.1270013E-4 | 7.22693E-4 | 1.0140212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.878588E-6 | 9.117685E-7 | 9.117685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6622414E-5 | 3.907573E-6 | 1.3907535E-5 | 3.559123 | 1.0E-5 | 2.023591E-4 | 4.7573667E-5 | 5.757319E-5 | 1.2101903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020217493 | 4.8586773E-4 | 4.9586286E-4 | 1.0205717 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7038085E-6 | 8.0442226E-7 | 8.0442226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.587337E-5 | 3.4475195E-6 | 1.3447485E-5 | 3.9006264 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9324113E-4 | 4.197274E-5 | 5.197232E-5 | 1.2382399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307317 | 4.2987178E-4 | 4.398675E-4 | 1.0232527 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5277278E-6 | 7.23513E-7 | 7.23513E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5118746E-5 | 3.1007662E-6 | 1.31007355E-5 | 4.2249994 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8405518E-4 | 3.7751175E-5 | 4.7750797E-5 | 1.2648824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018390282 | 3.876429E-4 | 3.9763903E-4 | 1.025787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.3711294E-6 | 6.7396064E-7 | 6.7396064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4447617E-5 | 2.8883994E-6 | 1.288837E-5 | 4.462115 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7588554E-4 | 3.5165696E-5 | 4.5165343E-5 | 1.284358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017574639 | 3.6177872E-4 | 3.717751E-4 | 1.0276312 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.0496426E-6 | 5.9765955E-7 | 5.9765955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069831E-5 | 2.5613954E-6 | 1.256137E-5 | 4.904112 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5911358E-4 | 3.1184543E-5 | 4.118423E-5 | 1.3206617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001589997 | 3.219443E-4 | 3.319411E-4 | 1.0310513 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2179781E-6 | 3.6879004E-7 | 3.6879004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.505586E-6 | 1.5805277E-6 | 1.1580512E-5 | 7.3269906 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1572436E-4 | 1.9242756E-5 | 2.9242563E-5 | 1.5196661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011566412 | 2.0250437E-4 | 2.1250235E-4 | 1.0493716 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7519328E-6 | 2.3829162E-7 | 2.3829162E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.508262E-6 | 1.0212494E-6 | 1.10212395E-5 | 10.791917 | 1.0E-5 | 9.140925E-5 | 1.243364E-5 | 2.2433516E-5 | 1.8042597 | 1.0E-5 | 9.137166E-4 | 1.3402436E-4 | 1.4402303E-4 | 1.0746033 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1478974E-6 | 2.0119973E-7 | 2.0119973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9195505E-6 | 8.6228425E-7 | 1.0862275E-5 | 12.597094 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9893882E-5 | 1.049826E-5 | 2.0498155E-5 | 1.9525288 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9877743E-4 | 1.1456332E-4 | 1.2456217E-4 | 1.087278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.1154634E-7 | 1.845259E-7 | 1.845259E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6209104E-6 | 7.908251E-7 | 1.0790817E-5 | 13.645012 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1909116E-5 | 9.628252E-6 | 1.9628156E-5 | 2.0386002 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1904536E-4 | 1.0546823E-4 | 1.1546718E-4 | 1.0948052 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.6520046E-7 | 1.7290506E-7 | 1.7290506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9937147E-6 | 7.410215E-7 | 1.0741014E-5 | 14.494875 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4273206E-5 | 9.021899E-6 | 1.9021809E-5 | 2.1084042 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4270554E-4 | 9.89919E-5 | 1.08990906E-4 | 1.1010084 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8425194E-7 | 1.0919852E-7 | 1.0919852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.218222E-6 | 4.6799357E-7 | 4.6799357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831752E-5 | 5.697807E-6 | 5.697807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830762E-4 | 6.198489E-5 | 6.198489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.585778E-8 | 1.0287754E-8 | 1.0287754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3939046E-7 | 4.4090378E-8 | 4.4090378E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.914575E-6 | 5.368002E-7 | 5.368002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9145367E-5 | 6.180618E-6 | 6.180618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0371215E-10 | 1.0757728E-11 | 1.0757728E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4448079E-10 | 4.610401E-11 | 4.610401E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4115543E-9 | 5.613169E-10 | 5.613169E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4115542E-8 | 7.065631E-9 | 7.065631E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Franklin 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.929351E-5 | 2.9293316E-5 | 1.518299 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.268401E-5 | 9.2683185E-5 | 1.1209323 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001006241 | 0.0010162309 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031945 | 0.010041845 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.929351E-5 | 2.9293316E-5 | 1.518299 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.268401E-5 | 9.2683185E-5 | 1.1209323 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001006241 | 0.0010162309 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031945 | 0.010041845 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.845602E-5 | 1.929351E-5 | 2.9293316E-5 | 1.518299 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.268401E-5 | 9.2683185E-5 | 1.1209323 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001006241 | 0.0010162309 | 1.009928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010031945 | 0.010041845 | 1.0009868 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.4314212E-5 | 2.431407E-5 | 1.6985964 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.134522E-5 | 7.1344606E-5 | 1.1630019 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.466295E-4 | 7.5662206E-4 | 1.0133835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.007454257 | 0.0074641826 | 1.0013316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.4314212E-5 | 2.431407E-5 | 1.6985964 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.134522E-5 | 7.1344606E-5 | 1.1630019 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.466295E-4 | 7.5662206E-4 | 1.0133835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.007454257 | 0.0074641826 | 1.0013316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1308949E-5 | 1.16212295E-5 | 2.1621114E-5 | 1.8604841 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8466023E-5 | 4.980433E-5 | 5.980383E-5 | 1.2007757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899141E-4 | 6.0620095E-4 | 6.1619485E-4 | 1.0164862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058835056 | 0.0060579823 | 0.0060679214 | 1.0016407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0813164E-5 | 1.1088197E-5 | 2.1088086E-5 | 1.9018499 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6341313E-5 | 4.751999E-5 | 5.7519515E-5 | 1.2104278 | 1.0E-5 | 5.640594E-4 | 5.78404E-4 | 5.8839825E-4 | 1.0172789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005626298 | 0.0057814796 | 0.0057914215 | 1.0017197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0706348E-5 | 1.09722205E-5 | 2.0972111E-5 | 1.9113826 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5883542E-5 | 4.7022964E-5 | 5.7022495E-5 | 1.2126521 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5848894E-4 | 5.7235593E-4 | 5.8235024E-4 | 1.0174617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005570874 | 0.0057213116 | 0.0057312544 | 1.0017378 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.443655E-6 | 9.593118E-6 | 1.9593022E-5 | 2.042404 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0472176E-5 | 4.1112726E-5 | 5.1112314E-5 | 1.2432237 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9263734E-4 | 5.0043367E-4 | 5.104287E-4 | 1.0199727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049154665 | 0.0050055124 | 0.0050154626 | 1.0019878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.7001645E-6 | 8.783553E-6 | 1.8783465E-5 | 2.1384814 | 1.0E-5 | 3.728589E-5 | 3.764326E-5 | 4.7642883E-5 | 1.2656418 | 1.0E-5 | 4.538611E-4 | 4.5821143E-4 | 4.6820685E-4 | 1.021814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045293528 | 0.0045850957 | 0.00459505 | 1.0021709 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.074731E-6 | 8.094274E-6 | 1.8094193E-5 | 2.2354314 | 1.0E-5 | 3.460553E-5 | 3.468929E-5 | 4.468894E-5 | 1.2882634 | 1.0E-5 | 4.212409E-4 | 4.222612E-4 | 4.32257E-4 | 1.023672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004204433 | 0.004227003 | 0.004236961 | 1.0023557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.3370957E-6 | 7.2797975E-6 | 1.7279724E-5 | 2.3736546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1444317E-5 | 3.1198764E-5 | 4.119845E-5 | 1.3205155 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276732E-4 | 3.7977964E-4 | 3.8977584E-4 | 1.026321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038210868 | 0.0038035538 | 0.0038135157 | 1.0026191 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.1750103E-6 | 4.90165E-6 | 1.49016005E-5 | 3.0401194 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2178427E-5 | 2.1006903E-5 | 3.1006693E-5 | 1.476024 | 1.0E-5 | 2.699889E-4 | 2.557293E-4 | 2.6572676E-4 | 1.0390939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002696611 | 0.0025660407 | 0.002576015 | 1.003887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5221371E-6 | 3.335428E-6 | 1.3335394E-5 | 3.9981062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5094786E-5 | 1.4294613E-5 | 2.429447E-5 | 1.6995542 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8376352E-4 | 1.740231E-4 | 1.8402135E-4 | 1.0574536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018361164 | 0.0017501436 | 0.0017601261 | 1.0057038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5749775E-6 | 2.4305295E-6 | 1.2430505E-5 | 5.11432 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1035571E-5 | 1.0416514E-5 | 2.041641E-5 | 1.9600041 | 1.0E-5 | 1.343498E-4 | 1.2681373E-4 | 1.3681246E-4 | 1.0788459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001342686 | 0.0012775684 | 0.0012875557 | 1.0078174 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3642131E-6 | 1.2515773E-6 | 1.12515645E-5 | 8.989908 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8466144E-6 | 5.3638914E-6 | 1.5363838E-5 | 2.864308 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1180206E-5 | 6.530344E-5 | 7.5302785E-5 | 1.1531214 | 1.0E-5 | 7.115741E-4 | 6.617133E-4 | 6.717067E-4 | 1.0151023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.329124E-7 | 4.242295E-7 | 1.0424225E-5 | 24.572136 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2839083E-6 | 1.8181252E-6 | 1.1818107E-5 | 6.500161 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7806227E-5 | 2.2135451E-5 | 3.213523E-5 | 1.451754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.780275E-4 | 2.2992E-4 | 2.399177E-4 | 1.0434834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.199127E-7 | 3.1189833E-7 | 1.03118955E-5 | 33.061718 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7996247E-6 | 1.3367064E-6 | 1.1336693E-5 | 8.481064 | 1.0E-5 | 2.191021E-5 | 1.627428E-5 | 2.6274118E-5 | 1.6144565 | 1.0E-5 | 2.190805E-4 | 1.710912E-4 | 1.8108949E-4 | 1.0584383 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2586491E-7 | 1.5514173E-7 | 1.015514E-5 | 65.45718 | 1.0E-5 | 9.67992E-7 | 6.64893E-7 | 1.0664887E-5 | 16.040005 | 1.0E-5 | 1.178524E-5 | 8.095042E-6 | 1.8094961E-5 | 2.2353141 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17846146E-4 | 8.619365E-5 | 9.619279E-5 | 1.1160078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4568845E-7 | 1.02428196E-7 | 1.0102427E-5 | 98.62936 | 1.0E-5 | 6.243789E-7 | 4.389779E-7 | 1.0438974E-5 | 23.78018 | 1.0E-5 | 7.601787E-6 | 5.3445433E-6 | 1.5344489E-5 | 2.8710573 | 1.0E-5 | 7.601527E-5 | 5.730332E-5 | 6.7302746E-5 | 1.1745 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.2868224E-8 | 4.710143E-8 | 1.0047101E-5 | 213.30777 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2657808E-7 | 2.0186326E-7 | 1.0201861E-5 | 50.538475 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7585847E-6 | 2.4576823E-6 | 1.2457658E-5 | 5.068864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7585504E-5 | 2.648013E-5 | 3.6479865E-5 | 1.3776317 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.654434E-9 | 2.4502238E-9 | 1.000245E-5 | 4082.2598 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1376145E-8 | 1.050096E-8 | 1.0010501E-5 | 953.2939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3850456E-7 | 1.2784918E-7 | 1.0127848E-5 | 79.217155 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3850448E-6 | 1.3577837E-6 | 1.135777E-5 | 8.364933 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008869528 | 0.006226301 | 0.006226301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.085237645 | 0.063758604 | 0.06376796 | 1.0001469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008869528 | 0.006226301 | 0.006226301 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.085237645 | 0.063758604 | 0.06376796 | 1.0001469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.1479617E-4 | 1.1479617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.989222E-4 | 4.918919E-4 | 4.918919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008476226 | 0.005972537 | 0.005972537 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08160117 | 0.061144754 | 0.061154142 | 1.0001535 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.04813975E-4 | 1.04813975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.471264E-4 | 4.4912638E-4 | 4.4912638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007850339 | 0.005454582 | 0.005454582 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.075787395 | 0.055909634 | 0.055919074 | 1.0001689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.0375653E-4 | 1.0375653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4475456E-4 | 4.4459602E-4 | 4.4459602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007821669 | 0.0053996984 | 0.0053996984 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0755203 | 0.055407397 | 0.055416845 | 1.0001705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 8.322445E-5 | 8.322445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.467764E-4 | 3.56628E-4 | 3.56628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066367025 | 0.0043334053 | 0.0043334053 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.064419635 | 0.044656865 | 0.044656865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 6.8750116E-5 | 6.8750116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.740649E-4 | 2.946105E-4 | 2.946105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057564764 | 0.003581057 | 0.003581057 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05609626 | 0.03694712 | 0.03694712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 6.2423685E-5 | 6.2423685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4525467E-4 | 2.6750303E-4 | 2.6750303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054075094 | 0.0032520539 | 0.0032520539 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.052778035 | 0.033607867 | 0.033607867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 5.86196E-5 | 5.86196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3264418E-4 | 2.5120302E-4 | 2.5120302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052547283 | 0.0030541676 | 0.0030541676 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.051321987 | 0.031764794 | 0.031764794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 5.395051E-5 | 5.395051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1994374E-4 | 2.3119627E-4 | 2.3119627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051008356 | 0.0028112356 | 0.0028112356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049853306 | 0.02950845 | 0.02950845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 4.933423E-5 | 4.933423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0554712E-4 | 2.1141558E-4 | 2.1141558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004926363 | 0.0025709968 | 0.0025709968 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.048185747 | 0.02721771 | 0.02721771 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 4.431219E-5 | 4.431219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8992817E-4 | 1.8989583E-4 | 1.8989583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004737046 | 0.0023095778 | 0.0023095778 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04637333 | 0.024685038 | 0.024685038 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 4.169346E-5 | 4.169346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.791572E-4 | 1.7867428E-4 | 1.7867428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004606472 | 0.0021732352 | 0.0021732352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.045121472 | 0.023323983 | 0.023323983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 3.093777E-5 | 3.093777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973053E-4 | 1.3258385E-4 | 1.3258385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004128377 | 0.0016130413 | 0.0016130413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040525194 | 0.017495656 | 0.017495656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 1.8429619E-5 | 1.8429619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.771722E-4 | 7.8981764E-5 | 7.8981764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033693502 | 9.6119323E-4 | 9.6119323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0331872 | 0.010520507 | 0.010520507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 5.2173395E-6 | 5.2173395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129321E-4 | 2.2359838E-5 | 2.2359838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025694598 | 2.721976E-4 | 2.721976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02539953 | 0.0030235106 | 0.0030235106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 3.891636E-6 | 3.891636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9766642E-4 | 1.6678336E-5 | 1.6678336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039324 | 2.0304027E-4 | 2.0304027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023780935 | 0.0022761768 | 0.0022761768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 1.3004669E-6 | 1.3004669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6899795E-4 | 5.5734176E-6 | 5.5734176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020556084 | 6.7854286E-5 | 6.7854286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020366974 | 8.172561E-4 | 8.172561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 7.7017586E-7 | 7.7017586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1908354E-4 | 3.3007493E-6 | 3.3007493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014488777 | 4.018588E-5 | 4.018588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014394675 | 4.938526E-4 | 4.938526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 6.51966E-7 | 6.51966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.816983E-5 | 2.794137E-6 | 2.794137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2965166E-4 | 3.4018085E-5 | 3.4018085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008265611 | 4.1704605E-4 | 4.1704605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 5.4496655E-7 | 5.4496655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.940071E-5 | 2.3355688E-6 | 2.3355688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7959806E-4 | 2.8435179E-5 | 2.8435179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047856434 | 3.5537122E-4 | 3.5537122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 3.7739525E-7 | 3.7739525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4006533E-5 | 1.6174073E-6 | 1.6174073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.9691755E-5 | 1.9691755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029185633 | 2.640755E-4 | 2.640755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 3.0339805E-7 | 3.0339805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 1.3002767E-6 | 1.3002767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2699735E-4 | 1.5830754E-5 | 1.5830754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022676561 | 2.1662274E-4 | 2.1662274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 1.3369454E-7 | 1.3369454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 5.729765E-7 | 5.729765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0212552E-4 | 6.975967E-6 | 6.975967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001020786 | 9.1772185E-5 | 9.1772185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.5989334E-4 | 2.6989073E-4 | 1.0384673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002657418 | 0.003159838 | 0.0031698064 | 1.0031548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026258636 | 0.031173872 | 0.03118356 | 1.0003108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022024813 | 0.0025877433 | 0.0025877433 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0218078 | 0.025591671 | 0.025591671 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0016942915 | 0.0016942915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.016819766 | 0.016819766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0013821534 | 0.0013821534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.013739847 | 0.013739847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0010906367 | 0.0010906367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.010856139 | 0.010856139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008319422 | 0.008319422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0056498717 | 0.0056498717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0045441827 | 0.0045441827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0037554658 | 0.0037554658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0024683103 | 0.0024683103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.307101E-6 | 6.307101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.678633E-5 | 7.678633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.6760625E-4 | 7.6760625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.3323796E-7 | 6.3323796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.5886824E-5 | 2.5886666E-5 | 1.6294425 | 1.0E-5 | 7.709863E-5 | 6.808498E-5 | 7.80843E-5 | 1.1468652 | 1.0E-5 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.286834E-4 | 8.3867507E-4 | 1.0120573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008271571 | 0.008281488 | 1.001199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 6.8648146E-6 | 1.6864746E-5 | 2.4566936 | 1.0E-5 | 4.135823E-5 | 2.9420346E-5 | 3.942005E-5 | 1.3398908 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.5814143E-4 | 3.6813784E-4 | 1.0279119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005022812 | 0.0035857605 | 0.0035957245 | 1.0027788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 6.8437284E-6 | 1.684366E-5 | 2.4611819 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1263404E-5 | 2.9329978E-5 | 3.9329683E-5 | 1.3409381 | 1.0E-5 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.5704157E-4 | 3.6703798E-4 | 1.027998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0035747972 | 0.0035847614 | 1.0027874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 3.9158294E-6 | 3.9158294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.678203E-5 | 1.678203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.0430422E-4 | 2.0430422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0020507602 | 0.0020507602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.268278E-6 | 3.268278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.4006842E-5 | 1.4006842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.7052192E-4 | 1.7052192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0017134912 | 0.0017134912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 2.5127438E-6 | 2.5127438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.07688675E-5 | 1.07688675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.3110485E-4 | 1.3110485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0013198397 | 0.0013198397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 8.011221E-7 | 8.011221E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 3.433376E-6 | 3.433376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 4.180056E-5 | 4.180056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 4.273232E-4 | 4.273232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 5.1922865E-7 | 5.1922865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 2.2252636E-6 | 2.2252636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 2.7092254E-5 | 2.7092254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 2.8027728E-4 | 2.8027728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 3.4531362E-7 | 3.4531362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 1.4799147E-6 | 1.4799147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 1.8017812E-5 | 1.8017812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 1.8954423E-4 | 1.8954423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 3.210687E-7 | 3.210687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 1.3760081E-6 | 1.3760081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 1.6752769E-5 | 1.6752769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 1.7682779E-4 | 1.7682779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 2.531044E-7 | 2.531044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 1.0847326E-6 | 1.0847326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 1.320654E-5 | 1.320654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 1.4055682E-4 | 1.4055682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 2.0143422E-7 | 2.0143422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 8.6328924E-7 | 8.6328924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 1.05104955E-5 | 1.05104955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 1.1340966E-4 | 1.1340966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 1.4309569E-7 | 1.4309569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 6.1326705E-7 | 6.1326705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 7.466501E-6 | 7.466501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 8.250762E-5 | 8.250762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 1.18685556E-7 | 1.18685556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 5.0865225E-7 | 5.0865225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 6.192824E-6 | 6.192824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 6.969155E-5 | 6.969155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 1.1273507E-7 | 1.1273507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 4.8315025E-7 | 4.8315025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 5.8823384E-6 | 5.8823384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 6.609016E-5 | 6.609016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 1.06575676E-7 | 1.06575676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 4.5675282E-7 | 4.5675282E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 5.560951E-6 | 5.560951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 6.247126E-5 | 6.247126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 7.579131E-8 | 7.579131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 3.2481987E-7 | 3.2481987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 3.954675E-6 | 3.954675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 4.379736E-5 | 4.379736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 1.9078543E-9 | 1.9078543E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 8.176518E-9 | 8.176518E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 9.9549105E-8 | 9.9549105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 1.0564304E-6 | 1.0564304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8010535E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007039935 | 0.011887084 | 0.011887084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.068210475 | 0.11178281 | 0.11179169 | 1.0000795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8010535E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007039935 | 0.011887084 | 0.011887084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.068210475 | 0.11178281 | 0.11179169 | 1.0000795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 2.2935355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8010535E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 9.825452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007039935 | 0.011887084 | 0.011887084 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.068210475 | 0.11178281 | 0.11179169 | 1.0000795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 1.994768E-4 | 1.994768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1063887E-4 | 8.5458613E-4 | 8.5458613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061993203 | 0.010348436 | 0.010348436 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060292065 | 0.09816153 | 0.09816153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 1.9858837E-4 | 1.9858837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0815626E-4 | 8.5078133E-4 | 8.5078133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006169266 | 0.010302579 | 0.010302579 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06000784 | 0.09774626 | 0.09774626 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 1.8226012E-4 | 1.8226012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6925453E-4 | 7.8084756E-4 | 7.8084756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005698218 | 0.009460726 | 0.009460726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.055543028 | 0.09021182 | 0.09021182 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 1.744033E-4 | 1.744033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.500478E-4 | 7.4719614E-4 | 7.4719614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054655746 | 0.0090553425 | 0.0090553425 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053330887 | 0.08655794 | 0.08655794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.6122946E-4 | 1.6122946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.173343E-4 | 6.907774E-4 | 6.907774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050692135 | 0.008375079 | 0.008375079 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049551267 | 0.0803784 | 0.0803784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.470081E-4 | 1.470081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8435153E-4 | 6.298683E-4 | 6.298683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046694432 | 0.0076397387 | 0.0076397387 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.045725387 | 0.07361434 | 0.07361434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.2708502E-4 | 1.2708502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.358835E-4 | 5.4453313E-4 | 5.4453313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040817154 | 0.0066083465 | 0.0066083465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04007554 | 0.06402128 | 0.06402128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.1186004E-4 | 1.1186004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9833548E-4 | 4.7930924E-4 | 4.7930924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036261857 | 0.005819385 | 0.005819385 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035675827 | 0.056622453 | 0.056622453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 9.577673E-5 | 9.577673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.1040717E-4 | 4.1040717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031255994 | 0.0049850997 | 0.0049850997 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030820016 | 0.04872324 | 0.04872324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 8.1462545E-5 | 8.1462545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 3.4907935E-4 | 3.4907935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002666241 | 0.004241917 | 0.004241917 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026344774 | 0.04162802 | 0.04162802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 6.675282E-5 | 6.675282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 2.8605302E-4 | 2.8605302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0034773254 | 0.0034773254 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0217219 | 0.034248564 | 0.034248564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 4.509494E-5 | 4.509494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 1.9325105E-4 | 1.9325105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0023505287 | 0.0023505287 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015013801 | 0.023279408 | 0.023279408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.3850321E-6 | 1.3850321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 5.9358445E-6 | 5.9358445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.226762E-5 | 7.226762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.231237E-4 | 7.231237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.0440887E-7 | 3.0440887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.3046088E-6 | 1.3046088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.5883497E-5 | 1.5883497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.5934996E-4 | 1.5934996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.0099255E-7 | 1.0099255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 4.3282512E-7 | 4.3282512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 5.269633E-6 | 5.269633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 5.308836E-5 | 5.308836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 6.243912E-9 | 6.243912E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 2.6759622E-8 | 2.6759622E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 3.2579834E-7 | 3.2579834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 3.2932444E-6 | 3.2932444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.767414E-5 | 4.0432482E-5 | 5.0432078E-5 | 1.2473159 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6145062E-4 | 1.7327155E-4 | 1.8326982E-4 | 1.0577029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001963889 | 0.0021077164 | 0.0021176953 | 1.0047345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019466236 | 0.020895198 | 0.020904988 | 1.0004686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.0432482E-5 | 5.0432078E-5 | 1.2473159 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.7327155E-4 | 1.8326982E-4 | 1.0577029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017744715 | 0.0021077164 | 0.0021176953 | 1.0047345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01760369 | 0.020895198 | 0.020904988 | 1.0004686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.0432482E-5 | 5.0432078E-5 | 1.2473159 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.7327155E-4 | 1.8326982E-4 | 1.0577029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017744715 | 0.0021077164 | 0.0021176953 | 1.0047345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01760369 | 0.020895198 | 0.020904988 | 1.0004686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.5956324E-5 | 3.0656916E-5 | 4.065661E-5 | 1.3261807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.11236644E-4 | 1.3138054E-4 | 1.4137923E-4 | 1.0761048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013534647 | 0.0015984514 | 0.0016084354 | 1.0062461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013452509 | 0.015876327 | 0.015886167 | 1.0006199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1145053E-5 | 2.488674E-5 | 3.488649E-5 | 1.4018104 | 1.0E-5 | 9.061851E-5 | 1.06653264E-4 | 1.166522E-4 | 1.0937518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011027219 | 0.0012977602 | 0.0013077472 | 1.0076956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01097266 | 0.012904834 | 0.012914705 | 1.0007648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0030959E-5 | 2.3567678E-5 | 3.356744E-5 | 1.4243 | 1.0E-5 | 8.584414E-5 | 1.0100059E-4 | 1.1099958E-4 | 1.0989994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010446513 | 0.0012290175 | 0.0012390052 | 1.0081266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010397541 | 0.012225076 | 0.012234953 | 1.000808 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8395405E-5 | 2.1638425E-5 | 3.163821E-5 | 1.4621308 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8835066E-5 | 9.273296E-5 | 1.0273203E-4 | 1.1078265 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5939427E-4 | 0.0011284648 | 0.0011384535 | 1.0088516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009552629 | 0.011229856 | 0.011239744 | 1.0008805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7883482E-5 | 2.103799E-5 | 3.103778E-5 | 1.4753206 | 1.0E-5 | 7.664124E-5 | 9.015984E-5 | 1.0015894E-4 | 1.1109041 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3270757E-4 | 0.001097169 | 0.001107158 | 1.0091044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009288026 | 0.010920015 | 0.010929906 | 1.0009058 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3373564E-5 | 1.5725991E-5 | 2.5725834E-5 | 1.63588 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7314013E-5 | 6.739544E-5 | 7.739477E-5 | 1.148368 | 1.0E-5 | 6.975747E-4 | 8.202439E-4 | 8.302357E-4 | 1.0121815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069538904 | 0.008173363 | 0.008183282 | 1.0012134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.06692905E-5 | 1.2546076E-5 | 1.2546076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5724726E-5 | 5.3767846E-5 | 5.3767846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5655633E-4 | 6.5443706E-4 | 6.5443706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005551645 | 0.006525955 | 0.006525955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.157512E-6 | 9.615873E-6 | 9.615873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4960296E-5 | 4.121025E-5 | 4.121025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2555845E-4 | 5.016227E-4 | 5.016227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004247444 | 0.005005082 | 0.005005082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1467113E-6 | 7.287758E-6 | 7.287758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342783E-5 | 3.1232878E-5 | 3.1232878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.206762E-4 | 3.8019472E-4 | 3.8019472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032021382 | 0.0037953572 | 0.0037953572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.713467E-6 | 5.6392087E-6 | 5.6392087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200418E-5 | 2.4167817E-5 | 2.4167817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4591232E-4 | 2.94204E-4 | 2.94204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024564038 | 0.0029384298 | 0.0029384298 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3266216E-6 | 2.802813E-6 | 2.802813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971197E-6 | 1.2012001E-5 | 1.2012001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139256E-4 | 1.4623643E-4 | 1.4623643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012132627 | 0.0014615447 | 0.0014615447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3314E-6 | 1.6204328E-6 | 1.6204328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7059874E-6 | 6.9446937E-6 | 6.9446937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946818E-5 | 8.454841E-5 | 8.454841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9446466E-4 | 8.4515294E-4 | 8.4515294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0362941E-6 | 1.2666261E-6 | 1.2666261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4412527E-6 | 5.4283864E-6 | 5.4283864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.407091E-5 | 6.608864E-5 | 6.608864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.405776E-4 | 6.60701E-4 | 6.60701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.764784E-7 | 9.481599E-7 | 9.481599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3277602E-6 | 4.063536E-6 | 4.063536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0514726E-5 | 4.9472463E-5 | 4.9472463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.050734E-4 | 4.946092E-4 | 4.946092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.6927763E-7 | 2.0735801E-7 | 2.0735801E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2547533E-7 | 8.8867694E-7 | 8.8867694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.832627E-6 | 1.081959E-5 | 1.081959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8322755E-5 | 1.08202155E-4 | 1.08202155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 2.8032605E-6 | 1.28032325E-5 | 4.5672646 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.2013922E-5 | 2.2013803E-5 | 1.8323576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.462603E-4 | 1.5625883E-4 | 1.0683613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001476802 | 0.0014867872 | 1.0067614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 2.8032605E-6 | 1.28032325E-5 | 4.5672646 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.2013922E-5 | 2.2013803E-5 | 1.8323576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.462603E-4 | 1.5625883E-4 | 1.0683613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001476802 | 0.0014867872 | 1.0067614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 2.8032605E-6 | 1.28032325E-5 | 4.5672646 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.2013922E-5 | 2.2013803E-5 | 1.8323576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.462603E-4 | 1.5625883E-4 | 1.0683613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.001476802 | 0.0014867872 | 1.0067614 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 2.6759171E-6 | 2.6759171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.1468169E-5 | 1.1468169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.396166E-4 | 1.396166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.0014004522 | 0.0014004522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 2.6759171E-6 | 2.6759171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.1468169E-5 | 1.1468169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.396166E-4 | 1.396166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020415364 | 0.0014004522 | 0.0014004522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.6295913E-6 | 2.6295913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.1269632E-5 | 1.1269632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.3719972E-4 | 1.3719972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017878477 | 0.0013734191 | 0.0013734191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.6071589E-6 | 2.6071589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.11734935E-5 | 1.11734935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.3602938E-4 | 1.3602938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016111081 | 0.0013601639 | 0.0013601639 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.5872712E-6 | 2.5872712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.1088261E-5 | 1.1088261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.349918E-4 | 1.349918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014539397 | 0.0013492487 | 0.0013492487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.0495334E-6 | 2.0495334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 8.783687E-6 | 8.783687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.06936386E-4 | 1.06936386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01308639 | 0.001068959 | 0.001068959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.4792339E-6 | 1.4792339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.3395587E-6 | 6.3395587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 7.718141E-5 | 7.718141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011777153 | 7.716267E-4 | 7.716267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.4174087E-6 | 1.4174087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.0745947E-6 | 6.0745947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 7.395569E-5 | 7.395569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010831586 | 7.393862E-4 | 7.393862E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.2831629E-6 | 1.2831629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.499258E-6 | 5.499258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 6.695142E-5 | 6.695142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010097133 | 6.69384E-4 | 6.69384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.1586321E-6 | 1.1586321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 4.965557E-6 | 4.965557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.0453985E-5 | 6.0453985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009284316 | 6.044335E-4 | 6.044335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.0280702E-6 | 1.0280702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.406008E-6 | 4.406008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.364183E-5 | 5.364183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065626553 | 5.3634355E-4 | 5.3634355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 7.847722E-7 | 7.847722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.3633053E-6 | 3.3633053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.0947478E-5 | 4.0947478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003899234 | 4.094317E-4 | 4.094317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 5.5931787E-7 | 5.5931787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.3970742E-6 | 2.3970742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 2.9183992E-5 | 2.9183992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012897621 | 2.9180187E-4 | 2.9180187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 2.962258E-7 | 2.962258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.2695385E-6 | 1.2695385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.5456524E-5 | 1.5456524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.5455464E-4 | 1.5455464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.065298E-8 | 8.065298E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.456556E-7 | 3.456556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.2083493E-6 | 4.2083493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.208275E-5 | 4.208275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carlsbad
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.492447E-5 | 3.0306451 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 3.11047E-5 | 1.4738133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.669199E-4 | 1.0389123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025762748 | 1.0038867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 1.492447E-5 | 3.0306451 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 3.11047E-5 | 1.4738133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.669199E-4 | 1.0389123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025762748 | 1.0038867 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.3945884E-6 | 1.4394544E-5 | 3.275516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.8833816E-5 | 2.8833629E-5 | 1.5309498 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.2927792E-4 | 2.3927563E-4 | 1.0436052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00228389 | 0.0022904489 | 0.002300426 | 1.0043559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.31345E-6 | 1.4313407E-5 | 3.3183198 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.8486086E-5 | 2.84859E-5 | 1.5409374 | 1.0E-5 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.2504518E-4 | 2.3504293E-4 | 1.0444255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022426634 | 0.0022482073 | 0.0022581848 | 1.004438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.089566E-6 | 1.4089525E-5 | 3.4452372 | 1.0E-5 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.7526596E-5 | 2.7526421E-5 | 1.5705514 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1336574E-4 | 2.233636E-4 | 1.0468578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021284607 | 0.0021316423 | 0.002141621 | 1.0046812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 3.9915344E-6 | 1.3991495E-5 | 3.5052924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7106466E-5 | 2.7106295E-5 | 1.5845643 | 1.0E-5 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.0825163E-4 | 2.1824955E-4 | 1.0480088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002078621 | 0.002080598 | 0.002090577 | 1.0047963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.8713315E-6 | 1.3871293E-5 | 3.5830805 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.6591317E-5 | 2.6591151E-5 | 1.6027149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0198089E-4 | 2.1197887E-4 | 1.0494996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020176715 | 0.002018006 | 0.0020279859 | 1.0049454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.2926876E-6 | 1.3292654E-5 | 4.0370226 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.4111442E-5 | 2.4111301E-5 | 1.7086347 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7179332E-4 | 1.817916E-4 | 1.0581995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001725281 | 0.0017166111 | 0.0017265939 | 1.0058154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1199504E-6 | 1.31199195E-5 | 4.205169 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3371148E-5 | 2.3371014E-5 | 1.7478689 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.6278162E-4 | 1.7278E-4 | 1.061422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016354966 | 0.0016266294 | 0.0016366132 | 1.0061377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.8841723E-6 | 1.2884143E-5 | 4.4671893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.236068E-5 | 2.2360557E-5 | 1.8090069 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.5048093E-4 | 1.6047942E-4 | 1.0664436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015149876 | 0.0015037955 | 0.0015137804 | 1.0066398 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.4744086E-6 | 1.2474384E-5 | 5.04136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0604565E-5 | 2.0604459E-5 | 1.94298 | 1.0E-5 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.2910296E-4 | 1.3910167E-4 | 1.0774475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013073172 | 0.0012902827 | 0.0013002699 | 1.0077403 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 1.2135739E-5 | 5.682164 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 1.9153133E-5 | 2.0925012 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.21433724E-4 | 1.0897286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361635 | 0.0011137924 | 0.0011237813 | 1.0089684 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672715E-4 | 8.3337387E-4 | 8.3337387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.685223E-7 | 9.685223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527277E-4 | 5.0523464E-4 | 5.0523464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150792E-4 | 3.6942656E-4 | 3.6942656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6630386E-4 | 2.290776E-4 | 2.290776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.444382E-7 | 8.444382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237771E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.688903E-9 | 9.688903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.0555315E-7 | 5.0555315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431565E-5 | 5.0555313E-6 | 5.0555313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.9685429E-5 | 2.0324585 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 5.1508392E-5 | 1.2409027 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.1526044E-4 | 1.0197816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018149344 | 0.0018149344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018081121 | 0.0018081121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014184384 | 0.0014184384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012839572 | 0.0012839572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13440993 | 1.0000644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13440993 | 1.0000644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13440993 | 1.0000644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7308246E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.41571E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008991311 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08636101 | 0.13440128 | 0.13440993 | 1.0000644 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 2.600989E-4 | 2.600989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0011142392 | 0.0011242281 | 1.0089648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.013482758 | 0.013492623 | 1.0007317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.12708622 | 0.12709495 | 1.0000687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 2.4869258E-4 | 2.4869258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0010653957 | 0.0010753849 | 1.0093762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.012895245 | 0.012905116 | 1.0007654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.12192907 | 0.121937856 | 1.000072 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.2238235E-4 | 2.2238235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 9.5272355E-4 | 9.62714E-4 | 1.0104862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.011538641 | 0.011548526 | 1.0008566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.11001089 | 0.110019796 | 1.000081 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 1.8101795E-4 | 1.8101795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 7.755637E-4 | 7.855559E-4 | 1.0128839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.009402233 | 0.009412139 | 1.0010536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.09085678 | 0.09086587 | 1.0001 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.4631034E-4 | 1.4631034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 6.268959E-4 | 6.268959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.0076061874 | 0.0076061874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.074196085 | 0.074196085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 8.2036524E-5 | 8.2036524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 3.515381E-4 | 3.515381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.004271645 | 0.004271645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.042522777 | 0.042522777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 6.258298E-5 | 6.258298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 2.6818542E-4 | 2.6818542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0032603114 | 0.0032603114 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.03264263 | 0.03264263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 4.717861E-5 | 4.717861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.0217845E-4 | 2.0217845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0024587542 | 0.0024587542 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.024783922 | 0.024783922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 4.2234402E-5 | 4.2234402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 1.8099208E-4 | 1.8099208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0022013609 | 0.0022013609 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.022256397 | 0.022256397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 3.437181E-5 | 3.437181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.4729948E-4 | 1.4729948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0017919034 | 0.0017919034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.01813336 | 0.01813336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 2.6152682E-5 | 2.6152682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.12078145E-4 | 1.12078145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0013637029 | 0.0013637029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.013834601 | 0.013834601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 1.7227003E-5 | 1.7227003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 7.382794E-5 | 7.382794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 8.9848787E-4 | 8.9848787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.009155338 | 0.009155338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 6.4120213E-6 | 6.4120213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 2.7479806E-5 | 2.7479806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 3.3451596E-4 | 3.3451596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0034339484 | 0.0034339484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 6.180521E-7 | 6.180521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 2.6487921E-6 | 2.6487921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 3.224857E-5 | 3.224857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 3.5438943E-4 | 3.5438943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 4.6222917E-7 | 4.6222917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 1.9809806E-6 | 1.9809806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 2.4118173E-5 | 2.4118173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 2.698971E-4 | 2.698971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 3.4795897E-7 | 3.4795897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 1.4912519E-6 | 1.4912519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 1.815584E-5 | 1.815584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 2.0229566E-4 | 2.0229566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 2.6589302E-7 | 2.6589302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 1.139541E-6 | 1.139541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 1.3873824E-5 | 1.3873824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 1.5271369E-4 | 1.5271369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 1.3321896E-7 | 1.3321896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 5.709383E-7 | 5.709383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 6.9511516E-6 | 6.9511516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 7.501851E-5 | 7.501851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |