Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03389965 | 1104.5614 | 0.03387 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041266114 | 313.74884 | 0.04114 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.055753604 | 34.83712 | 0.05424 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.08017499 | 5.0379567 | 0.0653 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03389965 | 1104.5614 | 0.03387 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041266114 | 313.74884 | 0.04114 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.055753604 | 34.83712 | 0.05424 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.08017499 | 5.0379567 | 0.0653 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.0690597E-5 | 0.03389965 | 1104.5614 | 0.03387 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3152596E-4 | 0.041266114 | 313.74884 | 0.04114 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016004079 | 0.055753604 | 34.83712 | 0.05424 | 0.014804244 | 0.015914187 | 0.08017499 | 5.0379567 | 0.0653 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017979218 | 918.79 | 0.01796 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.021762045 | 259.4973 | 0.02168 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029711336 | 29.110256 | 0.02872 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04464574 | 4.389962 | 0.03483 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017979218 | 918.79 | 0.01796 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.021762045 | 259.4973 | 0.02168 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029711336 | 29.110256 | 0.02872 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04464574 | 4.389962 | 0.03483 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017979218 | 918.79 | 0.01796 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.021762045 | 259.4973 | 0.02168 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029711336 | 29.110256 | 0.02872 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04464574 | 4.389962 | 0.03483 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 1.9568364E-5 | 0.017979218 | 918.79 | 0.01796 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.386231E-5 | 0.021762045 | 259.4973 | 0.02168 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010206484 | 0.029711336 | 29.110256 | 0.02872 | 0.010090181 | 0.010169961 | 0.04464574 | 4.389962 | 0.03483 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 1.9556857E-5 | 0.017949207 | 917.796 | 0.01793 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.381299E-5 | 0.021722 | 259.1722 | 0.02164 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010200485 | 0.029650815 | 29.068043 | 0.02866 | 0.010073971 | 0.010164017 | 0.044580612 | 4.3861217 | 0.03477 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009647403 | 201.5648 | 0.0096 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.013395118 | 22.99251 | 0.01282 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0058123195 | 0.021232171 | 3.6529598 | 0.01551 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1168109E-5 | 0.008021079 | 718.21277 | 0.00801 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.7862537E-5 | 0.009647403 | 201.5648 | 0.0096 | 6.372938E-4 | 5.825861E-4 | 0.013395118 | 22.99251 | 0.01282 | 0.0063546924 | 0.0058123195 | 0.021232171 | 3.6529598 | 0.01551 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 7.761541E-6 | 0.0045577264 | 587.21924 | 0.00455 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.3263343E-5 | 0.00555308 | 166.94293 | 0.00552 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.0490908E-4 | 0.007911868 | 19.539864 | 0.00751 | 0.0048284214 | 0.00404222 | 0.013125354 | 3.247066 | 0.00912 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.649262E-6 | 0.004467615 | 584.0583 | 0.00446 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.2782158E-5 | 0.0054526045 | 166.32841 | 0.00542 | 4.7629757E-4 | 3.9905283E-4 | 0.007756116 | 19.436314 | 0.00736 | 0.00475278 | 0.0039838683 | 0.012908173 | 3.2401104 | 0.00896 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.4561726E-6 | 0.004297424 | 576.3579 | 0.00429 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.1954653E-5 | 0.0052617877 | 164.66422 | 0.00523 | 4.6172875E-4 | 3.8898157E-4 | 0.0074562314 | 19.168598 | 0.00707 | 0.0046077054 | 0.0038835104 | 0.012450112 | 3.2058914 | 0.0086 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.2711277E-6 | 0.0040572416 | 557.99347 | 0.00405 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.116162E-5 | 0.0049810074 | 159.8443 | 0.00495 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.7932984E-4 | 0.007116773 | 18.761438 | 0.00674 | 0.004463301 | 0.0037873175 | 0.011976186 | 3.1621816 | 0.00822 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.562192E-6 | 0.0035865386 | 546.54584 | 0.00358 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.8123393E-5 | 0.004388001 | 156.02672 | 0.00436 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.423513E-4 | 0.00636029 | 18.578257 | 0.00602 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0034187047 | 0.0106937485 | 3.1280117 | 0.0073 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.1412295E-6 | 0.001974133 | 476.70218 | 0.00197 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.7748014E-5 | 0.002377706 | 133.97026 | 0.00236 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.160622E-4 | 0.0034753578 | 16.084988 | 0.00326 | 0.0025466895 | 0.0021586353 | 0.006140022 | 2.8444002 | 0.00399 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1265222E-6 | 4.4112603E-4 | 391.58218 | 4.4E-4 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.827945E-6 | 5.748252E-4 | 119.062096 | 5.7E-4 | 7.249717E-5 | 5.8778853E-5 | 8.6873124E-4 | 14.779656 | 8.1E-4 | 7.247352E-4 | 5.876537E-4 | 0.0015271014 | 2.5986414 | 9.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.299393E-7 | 8.022992E-5 | 348.91782 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2824837E-6 | 9.854539E-7 | 1.0098536E-4 | 102.47599 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.1997841E-5 | 1.4199628E-4 | 11.835153 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.1997262E-4 | 2.9995103E-4 | 2.5001624 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 2.418288E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.03640915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.2618275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.261821E-5 | 2.2618084E-5 | 1.7924954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 2.7394025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.1740297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.429381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.4293811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021908067 | 1186.0376 | 0.02189 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027307007 | 344.94388 | 0.02723 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.036519416 | 37.89441 | 0.03559 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052599438 | 5.4636507 | 0.04339 |
6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021908067 | 1186.0376 | 0.02189 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027307007 | 344.94388 | 0.02723 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.036519416 | 37.89441 | 0.03559 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052599438 | 5.4636507 | 0.04339 |
6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021908067 | 1186.0376 | 0.02189 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027307007 | 344.94388 | 0.02723 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.036519416 | 37.89441 | 0.03559 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052599438 | 5.4636507 | 0.04339 |
6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.8471646E-5 | 0.021908067 | 1186.0376 | 0.02189 | 8.0422025E-5 | 7.916362E-5 | 0.027307007 | 344.94388 | 0.02723 | 9.786983E-4 | 9.6371514E-4 | 0.036519416 | 37.89441 | 0.03559 | 0.009743992 | 0.009627159 | 0.052599438 | 5.4636507 | 0.04339 |
6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002242393 | 934.885 | 0.00224 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002680252 | 260.7355 | 0.00267 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003754694 | 30.001955 | 0.00363 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.00572533 | 4.5768433 | 0.00448 |
6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002242393 | 934.885 | 0.00224 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002680252 | 260.7355 | 0.00267 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003754694 | 30.001955 | 0.00363 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.00572533 | 4.5768433 | 0.00448 |
6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.3985765E-6 | 0.002242393 | 934.885 | 0.00224 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0279582E-5 | 0.002680252 | 260.7355 | 0.00267 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.2514832E-4 | 0.003754694 | 30.001955 | 0.00363 | 0.002379829 | 0.0012509342 | 0.00572533 | 4.5768433 | 0.00448 |
6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.2910086E-6 | 9.112898E-4 | 705.87427 | 9.1E-4 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.532883E-6 | 0.0010255273 | 185.35133 | 0.00102 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.736082E-5 | 0.0015572604 | 23.118193 | 0.00149 | 0.0012132917 | 6.734096E-4 | 0.0024721974 | 3.6711645 | 0.0018 |
6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1564808E-6 | 8.011556E-4 | 692.753 | 8.0E-4 | 8.711692E-6 | 4.9563373E-6 | 8.8495197E-4 | 178.54959 | 8.8E-4 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.034178E-5 | 0.0013202657 | 21.879795 | 0.00126 | 0.0010600908 | 6.032584E-4 | 0.0021423295 | 3.5512633 | 0.00154 |
6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0340004E-6 | 6.9103326E-4 | 668.3105 | 6.9E-4 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.431423E-6 | 7.544281E-4 | 170.24512 | 7.5E-4 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.3951266E-5 | 0.0011238935 | 20.831642 | 0.00107 | 6.8780396E-4 | 5.3938455E-4 | 0.0018386834 | 3.4088542 | 0.0013 |
7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 9.942496E-7 | 6.709936E-4 | 674.8744 | 6.7E-4 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.261063E-6 | 7.24258E-4 | 169.9712 | 7.2E-4 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.1877236E-5 | 0.0010918233 | 21.04629 | 0.00104 | 6.6380535E-4 | 5.18654E-4 | 0.0017680057 | 3.4088347 | 0.00125 |
7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.3613903E-7 | 6.3093554E-4 | 673.9763 | 6.3E-4 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.0120185E-6 | 6.840093E-4 | 170.49007 | 6.8E-4 | 6.294583E-5 | 4.8845253E-5 | 0.0010287974 | 21.062382 | 9.8E-4 | 6.2928005E-4 | 4.883476E-4 | 0.0016777664 | 3.4355989 | 0.00119 |
7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.2087585E-7 | 4.8072054E-4 | 666.8562 | 4.8E-4 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.0894644E-6 | 5.2308786E-4 | 169.31345 | 5.2E-4 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.7613594E-5 | 7.375873E-4 | 19.609592 | 7.0E-4 | 4.7501532E-4 | 3.7607376E-4 | 0.0012157579 | 3.2327642 | 8.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.567935E-7 | 3.805566E-4 | 683.4789 | 3.8E-4 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.3862556E-6 | 4.023853E-4 | 168.62624 | 4.0E-4 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9052288E-5 | 5.1903806E-4 | 17.865652 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6624918E-4 | 2.9048615E-4 | 8.703177E-4 | 2.9960728 | 5.8E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.3248272E-7 | 2.9043236E-4 | 671.5467 | 2.9E-4 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.8534962E-6 | 3.0185294E-4 | 162.85599 | 3.0E-4 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.2566093E-5 | 4.0255752E-4 | 17.839043 | 3.8E-4 | 2.8120633E-4 | 2.2563917E-4 | 6.955331E-4 | 3.0825016 | 4.7E-4 |
7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.2089E-7 | 1.1022086E-4 | 498.98532 | 1.1E-4 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.466711E-7 | 1.20946555E-4 | 127.75985 | 1.2E-4 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.1525661E-5 | 1.7152382E-4 | 14.8819065 | 1.6E-4 | 1.5167553E-4 | 1.15250805E-4 | 3.1522775E-4 | 2.7351458 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.1790116E-7 | 6.0117894E-5 | 509.9008 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.052906E-7 | 7.050525E-5 | 139.53407 | 7.0E-5 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.1518967E-6 | 9.615134E-5 | 15.629544 | 9.0E-5 | 8.8197085E-5 | 6.1517385E-5 | 1.6151123E-4 | 2.6254568 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 3.5686583E-8 | 3.5686583E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.5294249E-7 | 1.5294249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401915E-6 | 1.8620733E-6 | 1.8620733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7401285E-5 | 1.8620585E-5 | 1.8620585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.050017E-8 | 3.050017E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.3071501E-7 | 1.3071501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.5914542E-6 | 1.5914542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424996E-5 | 1.5914437E-5 | 1.5914437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.250214E-9 | 3.250214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.3929489E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330256E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.6959153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2330133E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.6959148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.6137559E-5 | 0.020255608 | 774.9618 | 0.02023 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1201389E-4 | 0.024589272 | 219.51985 | 0.02448 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0013630204 | 0.03376879 | 24.774971 | 0.03245 | 0.013860362 | 0.013557235 | 0.05258091 | 3.8784392 | 0.03956 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018643E-5 | 0.020125495 | 773.5029 | 0.0201 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1150429E-4 | 0.02444879 | 219.26323 | 0.02434 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568238 | 0.033603013 | 24.765936 | 0.03229 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496023 | 0.05234455 | 3.8785167 | 0.03938 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.6018643E-5 | 0.020125495 | 773.5029 | 0.0201 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1150429E-4 | 0.02444879 | 219.26323 | 0.02434 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0013568238 | 0.033603013 | 24.765936 | 0.03229 | 0.013808494 | 0.013496023 | 0.05234455 | 3.8785167 | 0.03938 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.697378E-5 | 0.009766809 | 575.40564 | 0.00975 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.2742834E-5 | 0.011831887 | 162.65364 | 0.01176 | 9.947256E-4 | 8.853009E-4 | 0.01665133 | 18.808668 | 0.01578 | 0.009902848 | 0.008819636 | 0.027939504 | 3.167875 | 0.01929 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.6957001E-5 | 0.009756791 | 575.3843 | 0.00974 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.267093E-5 | 0.011811818 | 162.5384 | 0.01174 | 9.930939E-4 | 8.8442623E-4 | 0.016630488 | 18.803703 | 0.01576 | 0.0098866755 | 0.008810958 | 0.027911171 | 3.1677794 | 0.01927 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3340832E-5 | 0.006313257 | 473.22812 | 0.0063 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.7173766E-5 | 0.007716736 | 134.96986 | 0.00766 | 8.302132E-4 | 6.958726E-4 | 0.011008691 | 15.819982 | 0.01032 | 0.008271185 | 0.0069375765 | 0.019509746 | 2.8121848 | 0.01266 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3225727E-5 | 0.006243143 | 472.04538 | 0.00623 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.668048E-5 | 0.0076262513 | 134.54811 | 0.00757 | 8.2293496E-4 | 6.898706E-4 | 0.010862848 | 15.74621 | 0.01018 | 0.008198941 | 0.00687793 | 0.019301888 | 2.8063512 | 0.01251 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.2964976E-5 | 0.006022887 | 464.55057 | 0.00601 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.5563025E-5 | 0.0073551573 | 132.37503 | 0.0073 | 8.0409093E-4 | 6.762741E-4 | 0.010519613 | 15.55525 | 0.00985 | 0.008011877 | 0.0067427917 | 0.018771136 | 2.783882 | 0.01211 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.224582E-5 | 0.005692176 | 464.82608 | 0.00568 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.2481053E-5 | 0.0069421194 | 132.2786 | 0.00689 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.387736E-4 | 0.009972807 | 15.61243 | 0.00934 | 0.007555048 | 0.0063699945 | 0.01776693 | 2.7891595 | 0.01147 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.0822028E-5 | 0.0049407687 | 456.5474 | 0.00493 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.6379315E-5 | 0.0059961034 | 129.284 | 0.00595 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.645255E-4 | 0.008659953 | 15.340233 | 0.0081 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0056314846 | 0.015505564 | 2.7533705 | 0.00993 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.5568596E-6 | 0.0031175334 | 412.54352 | 0.00311 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.238615E-5 | 0.0037922643 | 117.095245 | 0.00376 | 4.605111E-4 | 3.9423234E-4 | 0.0054322453 | 13.7793 | 0.00504 | 0.0045955796 | 0.003935522 | 0.010141004 | 2.5767875 | 0.00623 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8017014E-6 | 9.82799E-4 | 350.78647 | 9.8E-4 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2007239E-5 | 0.0012219927 | 101.77133 | 0.00121 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4617867E-4 | 0.001785939 | 12.217506 | 0.00164 | 0.0016961104 | 0.00146086 | 0.003398026 | 2.3260448 | 0.00194 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1204551E-6 | 3.6112004E-4 | 322.29767 | 3.6E-4 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.801942E-6 | 4.3479988E-4 | 90.54668 | 4.3E-4 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.846216E-5 | 5.884312E-4 | 10.065163 | 5.3E-4 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.844761E-4 | 0.0012141078 | 2.0772583 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.201457E-7 | 8.032012E-5 | 250.88615 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3720522E-6 | 1.01371916E-4 | 73.88342 | 1.0E-4 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6704618E-5 | 1.3670261E-4 | 8.183522 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6703462E-4 | 3.1700957E-4 | 1.8978674 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 7.996389E-8 | 3.0079962E-5 | 376.1693 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4270235E-7 | 5.0342685E-5 | 146.89915 | 5.0E-5 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.172395E-6 | 6.417214E-5 | 15.38017 | 6.0E-5 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.172337E-5 | 1.1172045E-4 | 2.6776469 | 7.0E-5 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.863066E-5 | 0.0062584523 | 218.59267 | 0.00623 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2269727E-4 | 0.007881745 | 64.237335 | 0.00776 | 0.001644939 | 0.0014928515 | 0.011947221 | 8.002954 | 0.01047 | 0.01632816 | 0.014832327 | 0.027925206 | 1.8827258 | 0.01329 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.7989017E-5 | 0.006237815 | 222.86653 | 0.00621 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.1994762E-4 | 0.007829023 | 65.27035 | 0.00771 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0014594195 | 0.011844242 | 8.115721 | 0.0104 | 0.016039822 | 0.014502388 | 0.027530666 | 1.898354 | 0.01322 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.738124E-5 | 0.0062272116 | 227.42621 | 0.0062 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.17343094E-4 | 0.0078164395 | 66.61184 | 0.0077 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001427751 | 0.011802916 | 8.266789 | 0.01039 | 0.015762992 | 0.01418975 | 0.027212303 | 1.9177437 | 0.01321 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.347101E-5 | 0.006153327 | 262.1671 | 0.00613 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0058628E-4 | 0.0077098208 | 76.648834 | 0.00761 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012239703 | 0.011461425 | 9.364137 | 0.01025 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012174698 | 0.024976913 | 2.0515428 | 0.01296 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1173699E-5 | 0.006131044 | 289.55942 | 0.00611 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.074136E-5 | 0.0076400563 | 84.19596 | 0.00755 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011042329 | 0.011233036 | 10.172706 | 0.01014 | 0.012905477 | 0.010989461 | 0.023609236 | 2.1483524 | 0.01276 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.6778387E-5 | 0.0058466806 | 348.465 | 0.00583 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.1905415E-5 | 0.007211392 | 100.28997 | 0.00714 | 0.0010923136 | 8.751012E-4 | 0.010446718 | 11.937726 | 0.00958 | 0.0108696 | 0.00871727 | 0.020553185 | 2.357755 | 0.01194 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.624665E-5 | 0.0058261524 | 358.6064 | 0.00581 | 8.7594504E-5 | 6.962666E-5 | 0.007149134 | 102.67811 | 0.00708 | 0.0010659413 | 8.473792E-4 | 0.010319346 | 12.177955 | 0.00948 | 0.010608427 | 0.008442182 | 0.02015248 | 2.3871174 | 0.01181 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.4870072E-5 | 0.0056247865 | 378.26224 | 0.00561 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.372734E-5 | 0.0069032917 | 108.325424 | 0.00684 | 9.6293533E-4 | 7.7560823E-4 | 0.009948488 | 12.826693 | 0.00918 | 0.009587734 | 0.0077296644 | 0.019011779 | 2.4595864 | 0.01137 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4032817E-5 | 0.0051839603 | 369.41693 | 0.00517 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.013928E-5 | 0.0063397614 | 105.417984 | 0.00628 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.3195336E-4 | 0.009225732 | 12.604261 | 0.0085 | 0.009157699 | 0.0072960225 | 0.017749196 | 2.432722 | 0.01053 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.08317845E-5 | 0.0035307936 | 325.96603 | 0.00352 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.642112E-5 | 0.0043262225 | 93.19514 | 0.00428 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.6503294E-4 | 0.006281801 | 11.117584 | 0.00572 | 0.007068595 | 0.005636176 | 0.01272599 | 2.2579122 | 0.00713 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.507795E-6 | 0.0013155006 | 238.84341 | 0.00131 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.3604623E-5 | 0.0016435664 | 69.629 | 0.00162 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.8734878E-4 | 0.0024667224 | 8.584418 | 0.00218 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0028698142 | 0.0055620656 | 1.9381275 | 0.0027 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.214785E-6 | 6.232128E-4 | 193.8583 | 6.2E-4 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.3777578E-5 | 7.537674E-4 | 54.709717 | 7.4E-4 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.6772922E-4 | 0.0011175699 | 6.662941 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0016760388 | 0.0029139605 | 1.7385997 | 0.00124 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.414363E-6 | 1.6141414E-4 | 114.12496 | 1.6E-4 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.061542E-6 | 1.9606038E-4 | 32.344967 | 1.9E-4 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.379681E-5 | 3.3377763E-4 | 4.5229278 | 2.6E-4 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.377257E-4 | 0.0010674823 | 1.4469907 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2207425E-7 | 5.0222065E-5 | 226.14987 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.517465E-7 | 7.095168E-5 | 74.54893 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.15874545E-5 | 9.1586524E-5 | 7.903939 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.15868774E-4 | 2.0585835E-4 | 1.7766508 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 4.7265396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 2.0256598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 2.4662407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 2.4662381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.002991684 | 137.55704 | 0.00297 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.004032838 | 43.268227 | 0.00394 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0070575024 | 6.2222934 | 0.00593 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.01954438 | 1.7313316 | 0.00835 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.174868E-5 | 0.002991684 | 137.55704 | 0.00297 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.320553E-5 | 0.004032838 | 43.268227 | 0.00394 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011342285 | 0.0070575024 | 6.2222934 | 0.00593 | 0.011408163 | 0.01128864 | 0.01954438 | 1.7313316 | 0.00835 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021962258 | 135.05946 | 0.00218 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0029894856 | 42.897495 | 0.00292 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0051445146 | 6.065488 | 0.0043 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014431066 | 1.707408 | 0.00603 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6261176E-5 | 0.0021962258 | 135.05946 | 0.00218 | 7.284782E-5 | 6.968905E-5 | 0.0029894856 | 42.897495 | 0.00292 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.4816176E-4 | 0.0051445146 | 6.065488 | 0.0043 | 0.008830327 | 0.008452032 | 0.014431066 | 1.707408 | 0.00603 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0018036756 | 131.65419 | 0.00179 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024285745 | 41.363117 | 0.00237 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.004182147 | 5.8522134 | 0.00347 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.012020514 | 1.6869373 | 0.00493 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.37001E-5 | 0.0018036756 | 131.65419 | 0.00179 | 6.285358E-5 | 5.8713526E-5 | 0.0024285745 | 41.363117 | 0.00237 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.1462645E-4 | 0.004182147 | 5.8522134 | 0.00347 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007125644 | 0.012020514 | 1.6869373 | 0.00493 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3383776E-5 | 0.0017733602 | 132.50075 | 0.00176 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.735791E-5 | 0.0023872242 | 41.619793 | 0.00233 | 7.4992597E-4 | 6.981325E-4 | 0.004115745 | 5.8953633 | 0.00342 | 0.007474003 | 0.006961746 | 0.011777982 | 1.6918143 | 0.00485 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.2873106E-5 | 0.0017028514 | 132.27975 | 0.00169 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.516942E-5 | 0.0023050453 | 41.78121 | 0.00225 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.7150424E-4 | 0.003959295 | 5.8961577 | 0.00329 | 0.007217 | 0.0066970866 | 0.011335812 | 1.6926482 | 0.00467 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 8.9083605E-6 | 0.0012188975 | 136.82625 | 0.00121 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.817822E-5 | 0.0016181179 | 42.383274 | 0.00158 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.6473645E-4 | 0.0027136907 | 5.839204 | 0.00225 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004639199 | 0.0077447244 | 1.6694099 | 0.00312 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.540374E-6 | 0.0011985302 | 140.33696 | 0.00119 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.660118E-5 | 0.0015865444 | 43.34681 | 0.00155 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.4554388E-4 | 0.0026445638 | 5.935585 | 0.0022 | 0.005048454 | 0.004448045 | 0.0074844784 | 1.6826445 | 0.00305 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.3828425E-6 | 0.0011263757 | 176.4693 | 0.00112 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.735482E-5 | 0.0014373163 | 52.543438 | 0.00141 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.3300606E-4 | 0.0023223434 | 6.9738774 | 0.00199 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0033262526 | 0.006047172 | 1.8180134 | 0.00273 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.6775854E-6 | 7.926755E-4 | 296.04114 | 7.9E-4 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1475317E-5 | 9.214649E-4 | 80.299736 | 9.1E-4 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.3970325E-4 | 0.0014195244 | 10.160998 | 0.00128 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0013961759 | 0.0031037885 | 2.223064 | 0.00171 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.2940294E-6 | 6.8229245E-4 | 297.42096 | 6.8E-4 | 1.4647229E-5 | 9.831519E-6 | 7.69824E-4 | 78.301636 | 7.6E-4 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.1969238E-4 | 0.0011795656 | 9.854976 | 0.00106 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0011962996 | 0.002654553 | 2.21897 | 0.00146 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.3626365E-6 | 4.71362E-4 | 345.91913 | 4.7E-4 | 8.152474E-6 | 5.8398573E-6 | 5.458367E-4 | 93.46747 | 5.4E-4 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.1097966E-5 | 7.810475E-4 | 10.985511 | 7.1E-4 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.1075436E-4 | 0.0016500863 | 2.3215985 | 9.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.0638711E-6 | 3.9106346E-4 | 367.5854 | 3.9E-4 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.5594397E-6 | 4.6455735E-4 | 101.88913 | 4.6E-4 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.5509772E-5 | 6.4547703E-4 | 11.628169 | 5.9E-4 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.5496016E-4 | 0.0013345273 | 2.4047263 | 7.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.190882E-7 | 2.4081889E-4 | 294.00848 | 2.4E-4 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.5103733E-6 | 2.9350937E-4 | 83.61201 | 2.9E-4 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.2737967E-5 | 4.327213E-4 | 10.124986 | 3.9E-4 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.2729836E-4 | 9.270847E-4 | 2.1696424 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.5135832E-7 | 1.404513E-4 | 311.1747 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9452417E-6 | 1.9343913E-6 | 1.6193408E-4 | 83.713196 | 1.6E-4 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.3550961E-5 | 2.2354625E-4 | 9.4920225 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.3548477E-4 | 4.854259E-4 | 2.0613897 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.4119353E-7 | 1.0034116E-4 | 294.08868 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.4622572E-6 | 1.114621E-4 | 76.22606 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.7802837E-5 | 1.6780017E-4 | 9.425474 | 1.5E-4 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.7801419E-4 | 3.5798215E-4 | 2.0109754 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 1.8514095E-7 | 4.0185132E-5 | 217.05157 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4511525E-6 | 7.9346097E-7 | 5.079342E-5 | 64.01502 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 9.660344E-6 | 8.9659574E-5 | 9.2811985 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 9.6599295E-5 | 1.865906E-4 | 1.9315939 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.3313861E-7 | 4.0133134E-5 | 301.43872 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1980875E-6 | 5.705939E-7 | 5.0570565E-5 | 88.627945 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4586617E-5 | 6.9469593E-6 | 6.6946544E-5 | 9.636812 | 6.0E-5 | 1.458566E-4 | 6.946745E-5 | 1.3946259E-4 | 2.007596 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 3.1038557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.3302238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.6195464E-6 | 1.1619531E-5 | 7.174558 | 1.0E-5 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.6195358E-5 | 2.6195195E-5 | 1.6174508 | 1.0E-5 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.7387409E-5 | 0.00389732 | 224.14612 | 0.00388 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.451535E-5 | 0.004814162 | 64.606316 | 0.00474 | 0.0012242225 | 9.0685015E-4 | 0.007460901 | 8.22727 | 0.00656 | 0.012175002 | 0.00903203 | 0.017227335 | 1.9073602 | 0.00827 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7163811E-5 | 0.0038870974 | 226.47052 | 0.00387 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.355714E-5 | 0.004803209 | 65.29902 | 0.00473 | 0.0012120095 | 8.951935E-4 | 0.007409357 | 8.276821 | 0.00652 | 0.012054204 | 0.008916472 | 0.017063178 | 1.9136692 | 0.00822 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.6673968E-5 | 0.0038766095 | 232.49472 | 0.00386 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.145792E-5 | 0.0047911205 | 67.048134 | 0.00472 | 0.0011869454 | 8.696561E-4 | 0.0073440205 | 8.444741 | 0.00648 | 0.011806256 | 0.008663103 | 0.016752413 | 1.9337658 | 0.00816 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.631997E-5 | 0.003876257 | 237.51619 | 0.00386 | 9.600859E-5 | 6.994087E-5 | 0.004789611 | 68.48086 | 0.00472 | 0.0011682777 | 8.512005E-4 | 0.0073256847 | 8.6062975 | 0.00648 | 0.011621549 | 0.008479961 | 0.016570764 | 1.9541086 | 0.00816 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.5862257E-5 | 0.0038658013 | 243.71065 | 0.00385 | 9.373015E-5 | 6.797935E-5 | 0.00476766 | 70.13394 | 0.0047 | 0.0011405671 | 8.273374E-4 | 0.007272001 | 8.789644 | 0.00645 | 0.011347309 | 0.00824312 | 0.016256517 | 1.9721314 | 0.00808 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.4886446E-5 | 0.0038048301 | 255.59023 | 0.00379 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.379751E-5 | 0.004683503 | 73.412 | 0.00462 | 0.0010802611 | 7.764608E-4 | 0.007071569 | 9.107438 | 0.0063 | 0.010750249 | 0.007738002 | 0.015586794 | 2.0143178 | 0.00791 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.341126E-5 | 0.0036333627 | 270.91882 | 0.00362 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.7475576E-5 | 0.004437224 | 77.201904 | 0.00438 | 9.600714E-4 | 6.995432E-4 | 0.006635388 | 9.485315 | 0.00594 | 0.009559342 | 0.006973905 | 0.014371949 | 2.060818 | 0.00745 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2323021E-5 | 0.003342282 | 271.22263 | 0.00333 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.281189E-5 | 0.0040725996 | 77.1152 | 0.00402 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.427977E-4 | 0.00604932 | 9.410924 | 0.00541 | 0.00875714 | 0.0064098635 | 0.013116597 | 2.0463145 | 0.00675 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.2066275E-6 | 0.0020791877 | 225.83597 | 0.00207 | 5.495361E-5 | 3.9456383E-5 | 0.0025693565 | 65.118904 | 0.00253 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.8027706E-4 | 0.0038386632 | 7.992602 | 0.00336 | 0.006668452 | 0.0047925087 | 0.009061948 | 1.8908571 | 0.00429 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.7182242E-6 | 7.5371546E-4 | 202.70845 | 7.5E-4 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.593515E-5 | 9.359205E-4 | 58.733086 | 9.2E-4 | 2.9358055E-4 | 1.9399327E-4 | 0.0014237546 | 7.339196 | 0.00123 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0019382492 | 0.0035151867 | 1.8135886 | 0.00158 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.256457E-6 | 4.722554E-4 | 209.29068 | 4.7E-4 | 1.5111918E-5 | 9.670494E-6 | 5.4966524E-4 | 56.83942 | 5.4E-4 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.1773197E-4 | 8.8764133E-4 | 7.5395093 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0011767028 | 0.002215479 | 1.8827856 | 0.00104 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0219908E-6 | 1.910218E-4 | 186.91147 | 1.9E-4 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.379953E-6 | 2.1437903E-4 | 48.94551 | 2.1E-4 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.3324642E-5 | 3.6330812E-4 | 6.813137 | 3.1E-4 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.331204E-4 | 9.528965E-4 | 1.7873945 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6227038E-7 | 3.0162266E-5 | 185.87659 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 6.954443E-7 | 4.0695417E-5 | 58.517147 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.467002E-6 | 7.846641E-5 | 9.267319 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.4666826E-5 | 1.8465836E-4 | 2.1810002 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.465713E-8 | 1.0024657E-5 | 406.5622 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.0567341E-7 | 2.0105672E-5 | 190.26236 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.286573E-6 | 2.1286547E-5 | 16.545153 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.2865659E-5 | 3.2865402E-5 | 2.5545058 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0025155249 | 70.63473 | 0.00248 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0036120939 | 23.666943 | 0.00346 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0073569 | 3.961429 | 0.00551 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.026066797 | 1.4113235 | 0.00774 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0025155249 | 70.63473 | 0.00248 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0036120939 | 23.666943 | 0.00346 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0073569 | 3.961429 | 0.00551 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.026066797 | 1.4113235 | 0.00774 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0025155249 | 70.63473 | 0.00248 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0036120939 | 23.666943 | 0.00346 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0073569 | 3.961429 | 0.00551 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.026066797 | 1.4113235 | 0.00774 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.5613146E-5 | 0.0025155249 | 70.63473 | 0.00248 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5262191E-4 | 0.0036120939 | 23.666943 | 0.00346 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0018571328 | 0.0073569 | 3.961429 | 0.00551 | 0.016697178 | 0.018469753 | 0.026066797 | 1.4113235 | 0.00774 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 6.545396E-4 | 44.988834 | 6.4E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 9.4229623E-4 | 15.112741 | 8.8E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.002137818 | 2.8171246 | 0.00138 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.00941912 | 1.2453778 | 0.00187 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4548935E-5 | 6.545396E-4 | 44.988834 | 6.4E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.2351115E-5 | 9.4229623E-4 | 15.112741 | 8.8E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.5886527E-4 | 0.002137818 | 2.8171246 | 0.00138 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007563263 | 0.00941912 | 1.2453778 | 0.00187 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.2757924E-5 | 5.227514E-4 | 40.974644 | 5.1E-4 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.4675682E-5 | 7.046401E-4 | 12.887633 | 6.5E-4 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.654748E-4 | 0.0017247694 | 2.5917876 | 0.00106 | 0.006657724 | 0.0066350214 | 0.008135003 | 1.2260703 | 0.00151 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2381868E-5 | 5.123757E-4 | 41.381126 | 5.0E-4 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.306408E-5 | 6.9303013E-4 | 13.060249 | 6.4E-4 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.458653E-4 | 0.0016851936 | 2.6092029 | 0.00104 | 0.00647886 | 0.006440071 | 0.007920475 | 1.2298739 | 0.00149 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.1991233E-5 | 5.119852E-4 | 42.69663 | 5.0E-4 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.1389998E-5 | 6.913571E-4 | 13.453146 | 6.4E-4 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.2549516E-4 | 0.0016548509 | 2.6456654 | 0.00103 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006237526 | 0.0076586064 | 1.2278275 | 0.00143 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.0934387E-5 | 4.1093002E-4 | 37.581436 | 4.0E-4 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.6860827E-5 | 5.868355E-4 | 12.522944 | 5.4E-4 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.703824E-4 | 0.0014598748 | 2.5594666 | 8.9E-4 | 0.005777207 | 0.0056893234 | 0.0069222683 | 1.2167121 | 0.00124 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0368694E-5 | 4.0036466E-4 | 38.61283 | 3.9E-4 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.443651E-5 | 5.7441293E-4 | 12.9265995 | 5.3E-4 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.4088136E-4 | 0.0014104109 | 2.6076157 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0053957812 | 0.006589306 | 1.2211959 | 0.0012 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.777159E-6 | 3.8977346E-4 | 39.865715 | 3.8E-4 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.1901443E-5 | 5.318809E-4 | 12.693618 | 4.9E-4 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.1003176E-4 | 0.0013296136 | 2.6069229 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0050887386 | 0.0062328866 | 1.2248392 | 0.00115 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.565193E-6 | 3.6856212E-4 | 43.030216 | 3.6E-4 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.6707457E-5 | 5.066902E-4 | 13.803468 | 4.7E-4 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.468227E-4 | 0.001186492 | 2.655398 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0046197 | 0.0044593555 | 0.0054947175 | 1.2321776 | 0.00104 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.353895E-6 | 3.473514E-4 | 47.23366 | 3.4E-4 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.1516316E-5 | 4.6150276E-4 | 14.643296 | 4.3E-4 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.8364457E-4 | 0.0010533875 | 2.745738 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0038299249 | 0.004756363 | 1.2418946 | 9.3E-4 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.0538605E-6 | 3.0605204E-4 | 50.554855 | 3.0E-4 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.5944864E-5 | 4.0593502E-4 | 15.646064 | 3.8E-4 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.1583384E-4 | 8.6566014E-4 | 2.740872 | 5.5E-4 | 0.003286749 | 0.0031539425 | 0.0039314823 | 1.2465295 | 7.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.344975E-6 | 1.9434415E-4 | 44.728485 | 1.9E-4 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.8621191E-5 | 2.8861617E-4 | 15.499339 | 2.7E-4 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.2669008E-4 | 6.565926E-4 | 2.8964329 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002402707 | 0.0022646545 | 0.002873273 | 1.2687467 | 6.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.2855426E-6 | 3.1285505E-5 | 24.33642 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.509457E-6 | 7.550907E-5 | 13.705357 | 7.0E-5 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.707564E-5 | 2.1706558E-4 | 3.2361312 | 1.5E-4 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.705607E-4 | 9.004065E-4 | 1.3427665 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.5595507E-7 | 1.0555949E-5 | 18.987055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.3826626E-6 | 2.2382615E-5 | 9.39395 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9008568E-5 | 6.900741E-5 | 2.3788629 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.900513E-4 | 3.60031E-4 | 1.2412666 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 4.768427E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 2.0436114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 2.4880942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 2.4880674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.0028026942 | 85.486786 | 0.00277 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003630011 | 25.836111 | 0.00349 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.0066410606 | 3.8847845 | 0.00494 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02358365 | 1.3882831 | 0.00671 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.0028026942 | 85.486786 | 0.00277 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003630011 | 25.836111 | 0.00349 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.0066410606 | 3.8847845 | 0.00494 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02358365 | 1.3882831 | 0.00671 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.0028026942 | 85.486786 | 0.00277 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003630011 | 25.836111 | 0.00349 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.0066410606 | 3.8847845 | 0.00494 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02358365 | 1.3882831 | 0.00671 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.278512E-5 | 0.0028026942 | 85.486786 | 0.00277 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4050145E-4 | 0.003630011 | 25.836111 | 0.00349 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017095056 | 0.0066410606 | 3.8847845 | 0.00494 | 0.017163932 | 0.016987639 | 0.02358365 | 1.3882831 | 0.00671 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.652546E-5 | 0.0025364838 | 153.48946 | 0.00252 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.08216E-5 | 0.0032405972 | 45.757183 | 0.00317 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.6193404E-4 | 0.0052781245 | 6.1235824 | 0.00442 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588107 | 0.014427523 | 1.6799421 | 0.00589 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.652546E-5 | 0.0025364838 | 153.48946 | 0.00252 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.08216E-5 | 0.0032405972 | 45.757183 | 0.00317 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.6193404E-4 | 0.0052781245 | 6.1235824 | 0.00442 | 0.009738282 | 0.008588107 | 0.014427523 | 1.6799421 | 0.00589 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725239E-5 | 0.002331698 | 198.86143 | 0.00232 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.025007E-5 | 0.0028601089 | 56.917507 | 0.00281 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.1162503E-4 | 0.004489252 | 7.339876 | 0.00388 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0060996157 | 0.01114863 | 1.8277594 | 0.00508 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.1725239E-5 | 0.002331698 | 198.86143 | 0.00232 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.025007E-5 | 0.0028601089 | 56.917507 | 0.00281 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.1162503E-4 | 0.004489252 | 7.339876 | 0.00388 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0060996157 | 0.01114863 | 1.8277594 | 0.00508 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.0962818E-5 | 0.0023009377 | 209.8856 | 0.00229 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.698267E-5 | 0.002826852 | 60.167976 | 0.00278 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.7186565E-4 | 0.004419664 | 7.7285004 | 0.00385 | 0.007104293 | 0.0057041002 | 0.010695466 | 1.8750486 | 0.00502 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.0941343E-5 | 0.0023009162 | 210.2956 | 0.00229 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.689064E-5 | 0.0028267603 | 60.284107 | 0.00278 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.707458E-4 | 0.004418548 | 7.74171 | 0.00385 | 0.007094092 | 0.005692959 | 0.01068438 | 1.876771 | 0.00502 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.0863234E-5 | 0.0023008382 | 211.80049 | 0.00229 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.65559E-5 | 0.0028264264 | 60.710384 | 0.00278 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.666724E-4 | 0.004414491 | 7.790199 | 0.00385 | 0.007055073 | 0.0056524333 | 0.010644058 | 1.8830931 | 0.00502 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0358186E-5 | 0.0022903346 | 221.11346 | 0.00228 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.4391483E-5 | 0.0028142685 | 63.396587 | 0.00277 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.40334E-4 | 0.004378259 | 8.102876 | 0.00384 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0053903516 | 0.010343508 | 1.918893 | 0.00498 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.660145E-6 | 0.0022796383 | 235.98384 | 0.00227 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.1399977E-5 | 0.0027812866 | 67.18087 | 0.00274 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.0392974E-4 | 0.0042720297 | 8.477431 | 0.00377 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005028008 | 0.009883472 | 1.9656832 | 0.00488 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.560658E-6 | 0.0022585413 | 263.82803 | 0.00225 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.6688027E-5 | 0.002736589 | 74.5908 | 0.0027 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.465866E-4 | 0.0041149477 | 9.214221 | 0.00367 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0044570058 | 0.00917588 | 2.0587542 | 0.00474 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.158593E-6 | 0.0022081407 | 270.65216 | 0.0022 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.4964938E-5 | 0.0026848724 | 76.78756 | 0.00265 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.2561637E-4 | 0.0040140883 | 9.431236 | 0.00359 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0042481227 | 0.008848497 | 2.0829191 | 0.00462 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.076693E-6 | 0.0019270631 | 272.31125 | 0.00192 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.0328338E-5 | 0.0023202589 | 76.50465 | 0.00229 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.6918625E-4 | 0.0033680787 | 9.122979 | 0.003 | 0.004693329 | 0.003685824 | 0.00754156 | 2.0460987 | 0.00387 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.793403E-6 | 6.8379083E-4 | 180.25789 | 6.8E-4 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6257341E-5 | 8.1624434E-4 | 50.207737 | 8.0E-4 | 2.556514E-4 | 1.9791527E-4 | 0.0011677233 | 5.900117 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0019774032 | 0.003294793 | 1.6662221 | 0.00132 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.065704E-6 | 4.5306433E-4 | 147.78476 | 4.5E-4 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3138666E-5 | 5.431317E-4 | 41.33842 | 5.3E-4 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.599516E-4 | 7.998492E-4 | 5.0005703 | 6.4E-4 | 0.002025121 | 0.0015983736 | 0.0024969352 | 1.5621723 | 9.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 1.9923539E-6 | 2.319919E-4 | 116.44111 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.538632E-6 | 2.7853632E-4 | 32.620724 | 2.7E-4 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0395292E-4 | 4.5391655E-4 | 4.3665586 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010390475 | 0.0014985695 | 1.4422531 | 4.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.217211E-7 | 6.03217E-5 | 187.49689 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.378804E-6 | 9.137868E-5 | 66.27387 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.6786813E-5 | 1.367848E-4 | 8.148349 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.6785575E-4 | 3.278289E-4 | 1.9530394 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.002383E-5 | 420.6354 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0026165566 | 4.6916466 | 0.00206 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0049320064 | 2.0652463 | 0.00255 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032645598 | 1.1331581 | 0.00395 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24956714 | 1.0175086 | 0.00569 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0026165566 | 4.6916466 | 0.00206 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0049320064 | 2.0652463 | 0.00255 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032645598 | 1.1331581 | 0.00395 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24956714 | 1.0175086 | 0.00569 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0026165566 | 4.6916466 | 0.00206 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0049320064 | 2.0652463 | 0.00255 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032645598 | 1.1331581 | 0.00395 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24956714 | 1.0175086 | 0.00569 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 5.577054E-4 | 0.0026165566 | 4.6916466 | 0.00206 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002388096 | 0.0049320064 | 2.0652463 | 0.00255 | 0.016080605 | 0.028809395 | 0.032645598 | 1.1331581 | 0.00395 | 0.1496549 | 0.24527274 | 0.24956714 | 1.0175086 | 0.00569 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 3.2368494E-4 | 0.0016132673 | 4.984067 | 0.00129 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0013865093 | 0.0030142493 | 2.1739843 | 0.00163 | 0.010316478 | 0.016755063 | 0.01935083 | 1.1549243 | 0.00264 | 0.098504856 | 0.15343264 | 0.15670885 | 1.0213528 | 0.00387 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765534E-4 | 8.375334E-4 | 4.463147 | 6.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.039917E-4 | 0.0016433164 | 2.043947 | 8.4E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.00974517 | 0.01110182 | 1.1392125 | 0.00137 | 0.065152965 | 0.09453995 | 0.09639614 | 1.019634 | 0.00205 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.8765534E-4 | 8.375334E-4 | 4.463147 | 6.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 8.039917E-4 | 0.0016433164 | 2.043947 | 8.4E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.00974517 | 0.01110182 | 1.1392125 | 0.00137 | 0.065152965 | 0.09453995 | 0.09639614 | 1.019634 | 0.00205 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 1.4581176E-4 | 5.757491E-4 | 3.9485774 | 4.3E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 6.247583E-4 | 0.0011944022 | 1.9117829 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.007580007 | 0.008542654 | 1.1269982 | 9.7E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.07565223 | 0.077029504 | 1.0182054 | 0.00149 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 1.4139994E-4 | 5.313448E-4 | 3.7577443 | 3.9E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 6.058593E-4 | 0.0011255443 | 1.8577651 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.007351479 | 0.008244863 | 1.1215243 | 9.0E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.07365361 | 0.074969016 | 1.0178595 | 0.00142 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 1.3564389E-4 | 5.1559234E-4 | 3.801073 | 3.8E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 5.8120175E-4 | 0.0010809111 | 1.8597865 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.0070532495 | 0.007907184 | 1.1210697 | 8.6E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.07102916 | 0.07231113 | 1.0180486 | 0.00138 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 1.2995135E-4 | 4.8990455E-4 | 3.7699075 | 3.6E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 5.5681576E-4 | 0.001026554 | 1.8436153 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.0067582247 | 0.007572683 | 1.1205137 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.06840344 | 0.06963314 | 1.0179772 | 0.00132 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 1.2352483E-4 | 4.3348654E-4 | 3.509307 | 3.1E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 5.2928494E-4 | 9.4906264E-4 | 1.7931035 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.0064250566 | 0.007170238 | 1.1159805 | 7.5E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.06540972 | 0.06656861 | 1.0177175 | 0.00124 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 1.1780042E-4 | 3.877686E-4 | 3.2917423 | 2.7E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 5.047614E-4 | 8.845696E-4 | 1.752451 | 3.8E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.0061282 | 0.006833849 | 1.1151478 | 7.1E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.06272166 | 0.063818276 | 1.0174838 | 0.00117 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.03626284E-4 | 3.5360036E-4 | 3.4122653 | 2.5E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 4.4403708E-4 | 7.838861E-4 | 1.7653618 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.0053927675 | 0.0060193697 | 1.1161932 | 6.3E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.0559663 | 0.056919776 | 1.0170366 | 0.00101 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 9.757314E-5 | 3.4754875E-4 | 3.5619307 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 4.181036E-4 | 7.579614E-4 | 1.8128556 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.0050785425 | 0.0056854445 | 1.1195033 | 6.1E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.05305408 | 0.053982086 | 1.0174917 | 9.8E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 9.221826E-5 | 3.2219704E-4 | 3.493853 | 2.3E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 3.9516127E-4 | 7.050388E-4 | 1.7841798 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.004800485 | 0.0053677484 | 1.118168 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.05044823 | 0.051302828 | 1.0169401 | 9.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 8.767669E-5 | 3.076574E-4 | 3.5089986 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 3.7570315E-4 | 6.655942E-4 | 1.771596 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.004564599 | 0.0050722715 | 1.1112194 | 5.1E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.04818152 | 0.04895249 | 1.0160015 | 8.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 8.421013E-5 | 2.7419414E-4 | 3.2560706 | 1.9E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 3.6085065E-4 | 6.107604E-4 | 1.6925575 | 2.5E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0043845125 | 0.0048424955 | 1.1044548 | 4.6E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.046442077 | 0.047138173 | 1.0149885 | 7.3E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 7.538696E-5 | 2.4537413E-4 | 3.254862 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 3.2304696E-4 | 5.429759E-4 | 1.6807956 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.003926008 | 0.0043244376 | 1.1014847 | 4.0E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.041736443 | 0.04237848 | 1.0153831 | 6.7E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 4.7894395E-5 | 1.1789104E-4 | 2.461479 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 2.0524554E-4 | 2.7523117E-4 | 1.340985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0024960018 | 0.0026655775 | 1.0679389 | 1.7E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.026781207 | 0.027082905 | 1.0112653 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 2.472408E-5 | 6.472309E-5 | 2.617816 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 1.0595604E-4 | 1.459518E-4 | 1.377475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0012892517 | 0.0013591616 | 1.0542251 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.01398304 | 0.014111223 | 1.009167 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 7.1788686E-6 | 7.1788686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 3.0766216E-5 | 3.0766216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 3.7451443E-4 | 3.9450696E-4 | 1.0533825 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.0042275316 | 0.004247447 | 1.0047109 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 1.2894578E-6 | 1.2894578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 5.5262362E-6 | 5.5262362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 6.727985E-5 | 7.7279175E-5 | 1.1486229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044469717 | 8.490771E-4 | 8.590686E-4 | 1.0117675 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre (San Fernando)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.1 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.2 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.3 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053840918 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.4 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053338245 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.5 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0053338245 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.6 | 9.9035515E-6 | 6.0234615E-6 | 0.002906006 | 482.44785 | 0.0029 | 4.2443102E-5 | 2.5814585E-5 | 0.0035857228 | 138.90298 | 0.00356 | 5.166222E-4 | 3.142483E-4 | 0.005182718 | 16.49243 | 0.00487 | 0.0051542283 | 0.0031381443 | 0.009278813 | 2.9567835 | 0.00616 |
6.7 | 9.87217E-6 | 6.011954E-6 | 0.0028759947 | 478.37933 | 0.00287 | 4.2308613E-5 | 2.576527E-5 | 0.0035456745 | 137.6145 | 0.00352 | 5.149856E-4 | 3.1364805E-4 | 0.0051221396 | 16.33085 | 0.00481 | 0.005137938 | 0.003132159 | 0.009213053 | 2.9414384 | 0.0061 |
6.8 | 9.4359175E-6 | 5.9234467E-6 | 0.002795907 | 472.00677 | 0.00279 | 4.043902E-5 | 2.5385958E-5 | 0.0034352995 | 135.32281 | 0.00341 | 4.9223384E-4 | 3.0903125E-4 | 0.0049276035 | 15.945325 | 0.00462 | 0.0049114493 | 0.0030861194 | 0.008957942 | 2.9026556 | 0.00589 |
6.9 | 8.700447E-6 | 5.7958223E-6 | 0.0026857804 | 463.39935 | 0.00268 | 3.72871E-5 | 2.4839008E-5 | 0.0033147573 | 133.44966 | 0.00329 | 4.5387587E-4 | 3.0237396E-4 | 0.0047510285 | 15.712425 | 0.00445 | 0.0045295 | 0.003019728 | 0.008682576 | 2.875284 | 0.00568 |
7.0 | 8.648878E-6 | 5.7718175E-6 | 0.0026757563 | 463.5899 | 0.00267 | 3.7066096E-5 | 2.4736133E-5 | 0.0032846555 | 132.78775 | 0.00326 | 4.5118626E-4 | 3.0112182E-4 | 0.004719791 | 15.674026 | 0.00442 | 0.004502713 | 0.0030072404 | 0.008640249 | 2.873149 | 0.00565 |
7.1 | 8.505786E-6 | 5.685073E-6 | 0.00264567 | 465.37134 | 0.00264 | 3.645286E-5 | 2.4364377E-5 | 0.0032542858 | 133.56737 | 0.00323 | 4.437232E-4 | 2.9659693E-4 | 0.0046653007 | 15.72943 | 0.00437 | 0.0044283825 | 0.002962113 | 0.008535555 | 2.8815763 | 0.00559 |
7.2 | 8.139752E-6 | 5.468389E-6 | 0.0024854548 | 454.51315 | 0.00248 | 3.4884186E-5 | 2.3435749E-5 | 0.0030633644 | 130.71332 | 0.00304 | 4.246322E-4 | 2.8529388E-4 | 0.004354133 | 15.261922 | 0.00407 | 0.004238217 | 0.0028493756 | 0.008064473 | 2.8302598 | 0.00523 |
7.3 | 7.8816E-6 | 5.326284E-6 | 0.002335314 | 438.45087 | 0.00233 | 3.3777847E-5 | 2.2826736E-5 | 0.002862762 | 125.41267 | 0.00284 | 4.111677E-4 | 2.7788107E-4 | 0.0040968196 | 14.743069 | 0.00382 | 0.004104078 | 0.002775435 | 0.0077017243 | 2.7749612 | 0.00494 |
7.4 | 7.5810603E-6 | 5.135269E-6 | 0.002235124 | 435.2496 | 0.00223 | 3.2489854E-5 | 2.2008115E-5 | 0.002751948 | 125.04242 | 0.00273 | 3.9549218E-4 | 2.6791685E-4 | 0.003936934 | 14.69461 | 0.00367 | 0.0039478904 | 0.0026760371 | 0.007373433 | 2.7553554 | 0.00471 |
7.5 | 6.349153E-6 | 4.218991E-6 | 0.0015742123 | 373.12534 | 0.00157 | 2.7210372E-5 | 1.8081268E-5 | 0.0019380465 | 107.18532 | 0.00192 | 3.312359E-4 | 2.2011797E-4 | 0.0028195456 | 12.809247 | 0.0026 | 0.0033074263 | 0.002199077 | 0.005551688 | 2.5245538 | 0.00336 |
7.6 | 4.430576E-6 | 2.7420076E-6 | 8.827396E-4 | 321.93185 | 8.8E-4 | 1.8988047E-5 | 1.175141E-5 | 0.0011117385 | 94.60469 | 0.0011 | 2.3115493E-4 | 1.4306423E-4 | 0.0016228525 | 11.343524 | 0.00148 | 0.0023091463 | 0.0014297427 | 0.003327026 | 2.3270104 | 0.0019 |
7.7 | 3.005066E-6 | 1.6326188E-6 | 4.6163186E-4 | 282.75546 | 4.6E-4 | 1.2878791E-5 | 6.9969187E-6 | 5.5699307E-4 | 79.60548 | 5.5E-4 | 1.56788E-4 | 8.518417E-5 | 8.0512284E-4 | 9.451555 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0015667742 | 8.5151615E-4 | 0.0018806391 | 2.2085772 | 0.00103 |
7.8 | 1.8459098E-6 | 9.74919E-7 | 1.9097474E-4 | 195.8878 | 1.9E-4 | 7.911018E-6 | 4.1782173E-6 | 2.1417734E-4 | 51.26046 | 2.1E-4 | 9.631238E-5 | 5.0868613E-5 | 3.7085233E-4 | 7.290396 | 3.2E-4 | 9.627065E-4 | 5.0857005E-4 | 9.383514E-4 | 1.8450779 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 9.839262E-7 | 4.823051E-7 | 8.048226E-5 | 166.87003 | 8.0E-5 | 4.2168194E-6 | 2.0670202E-6 | 1.0206681E-4 | 49.37872 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1338568E-5 | 2.5165684E-5 | 1.5516242E-4 | 6.1656346 | 1.3E-4 | 5.132671E-4 | 2.5162857E-4 | 4.215858E-4 | 1.675429 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56624 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 2.0262012E-5 | 77.33091 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 3.3189957E-5 | 10.404204 | 3.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 6.1899125E-5 | 1.9404064 | 3.0E-5 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.706332E-6 | 0.003015689 | 528.4812 | 0.00301 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4455543E-5 | 0.0037443645 | 153.10904 | 0.00372 | 3.273505E-4 | 2.9771694E-4 | 0.00515627 | 17.319372 | 0.00486 | 0.0032686873 | 0.0029742974 | 0.009125946 | 3.0682695 | 0.00617 |
6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.709404E-6 | 7.7270734E-4 | 285.19458 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611681E-5 | 0.0010016002 | 86.25799 | 9.9E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.413632E-4 | 0.0015111695 | 10.689978 | 0.00137 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127494 | 0.003180249 | 2.251106 | 0.00177 |
6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.709404E-6 | 7.7270734E-4 | 285.19458 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1611681E-5 | 0.0010016002 | 86.25799 | 9.9E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.413632E-4 | 0.0015111695 | 10.689978 | 0.00137 | 0.0017599097 | 0.0014127494 | 0.003180249 | 2.251106 | 0.00177 |
6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.6998594E-6 | 7.726978E-4 | 286.19928 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1570775E-5 | 0.0010015593 | 86.559395 | 9.9E-4 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4086525E-4 | 0.0015106723 | 10.7242365 | 0.00137 | 0.0017550698 | 0.0014077763 | 0.0031652986 | 2.2484386 | 0.00176 |
6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.582885E-6 | 7.32581E-4 | 283.62897 | 7.3E-4 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1069461E-5 | 9.310593E-4 | 84.11063 | 9.2E-4 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3476251E-4 | 0.00141459 | 10.496911 | 0.00128 | 0.0016960226 | 0.0013468234 | 0.0030045877 | 2.2308698 | 0.00166 |
7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.2531917E-6 | 5.822519E-4 | 258.41205 | 5.8E-4 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.6565E-6 | 7.1964966E-4 | 74.524895 | 7.1E-4 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.1756157E-4 | 0.0011074452 | 9.420129 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0015295728 | 0.0011749961 | 0.002443504 | 2.0795846 | 0.00127 |
7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2293564E-6 | 5.722281E-4 | 256.67862 | 5.7E-4 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.554349E-6 | 7.0954766E-4 | 74.264366 | 7.0E-4 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.1631801E-4 | 0.001096204 | 9.424198 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0015166114 | 0.0011625737 | 0.0024111206 | 2.0739508 | 0.00125 |
7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.1898563E-6 | 5.621886E-4 | 256.72397 | 5.6E-4 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.385065E-6 | 6.993786E-4 | 74.52038 | 6.9E-4 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.1425719E-4 | 0.0010841463 | 9.488648 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0014950791 | 0.0011419868 | 0.0023705822 | 2.0758402 | 0.00123 |
7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.1389715E-6 | 5.6213775E-4 | 262.8075 | 5.6E-4 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.166989E-6 | 6.991607E-4 | 76.269394 | 6.9E-4 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1160239E-4 | 0.0010814941 | 9.690599 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0014629456 | 0.0011154657 | 0.0023440935 | 2.1014485 | 0.00123 |
7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.0561404E-6 | 5.4205506E-4 | 263.62744 | 5.4E-4 | 1.1501375E-5 | 8.8120005E-6 | 6.788061E-4 | 77.032005 | 6.7E-4 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.07280845E-4 | 0.001057179 | 9.854312 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0013993206 | 0.0010722927 | 0.0022610168 | 2.1085815 | 0.00119 |
7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.8726312E-6 | 5.018717E-4 | 268.00348 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.025538E-6 | 5.980208E-4 | 74.51473 | 5.9E-4 | 1.2702055E-4 | 9.770656E-5 | 9.376245E-4 | 9.596332 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0012694797 | 9.766379E-4 | 0.0020156223 | 2.0638378 | 0.00104 |
7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.5369394E-6 | 3.8153635E-4 | 248.24425 | 3.8E-4 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.586866E-6 | 4.4658396E-4 | 67.79916 | 4.4E-4 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.019216E-5 | 6.9014326E-4 | 8.606118 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0010385747 | 8.0163375E-4 | 0.0015710165 | 1.9597684 | 7.7E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.1623752E-6 | 2.9116202E-4 | 250.48888 | 2.9E-4 | 6.526913E-6 | 4.9815985E-6 | 3.449799E-4 | 69.25085 | 3.4E-4 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.0649283E-5 | 5.2062137E-4 | 8.584131 | 4.6E-4 | 7.943385E-4 | 6.0632854E-4 | 0.0012259526 | 2.0219278 | 6.2E-4 |
7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.5596454E-7 | 1.00455916E-4 | 220.3152 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7209726E-6 | 1.9541324E-6 | 1.11953916E-4 | 57.29086 | 1.1E-4 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.3791303E-5 | 1.837875E-4 | 7.7249866 | 1.6E-4 | 3.31224E-4 | 2.3788773E-4 | 4.4783778E-4 | 1.8825594 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 9.783722E-8 | 1.0097836E-5 | 103.21058 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.1930232E-7 | 1.0419298E-5 | 24.84913 | 1.0E-5 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.1049938E-6 | 3.510484E-5 | 6.876569 | 3.0E-5 | 8.066186E-5 | 5.104878E-5 | 8.104725E-5 | 1.5876431 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 8.935007E-9 | 8.935007E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 3.8292885E-8 | 3.8292885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 4.662158E-7 | 4.662158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.552709E-6 | 4.6621485E-6 | 4.6621485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009524435 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.009018354 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.26906E-6 | 0.0025872502 | 355.9264 | 0.00258 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.1152755E-5 | 0.0032110538 | 103.07448 | 0.00318 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.792207E-4 | 0.0045476393 | 11.992065 | 0.00417 | 0.008033488 | 0.0037859262 | 0.009255141 | 2.4446175 | 0.00549 |
6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.1414758E-6 | 0.0012461338 | 202.90463 | 0.00124 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.6320347E-5 | 0.0015462803 | 58.748478 | 0.00152 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.204035E-4 | 0.0023397563 | 7.3025303 | 0.00202 | 0.0065210275 | 0.0031994537 | 0.005990495 | 1.8723494 | 0.0028 |
6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.1125947E-6 | 0.0012461051 | 203.8586 | 0.00124 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.6196574E-5 | 0.0015461567 | 59.021336 | 0.00152 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.1889701E-4 | 0.0023382527 | 7.3323135 | 0.00202 | 0.005950495 | 0.003184432 | 0.0059755156 | 1.8764777 | 0.0028 |
6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.052996E-6 | 0.0012360455 | 204.20393 | 0.00123 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.5941155E-5 | 0.0015259022 | 58.82168 | 0.0015 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.157882E-4 | 0.0023151566 | 7.331359 | 0.002 | 0.0058295266 | 0.0031534324 | 0.005904729 | 1.8724768 | 0.00276 |
7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 5.8904698E-6 | 0.0011458838 | 194.53181 | 0.00114 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.5244628E-5 | 0.0014152095 | 56.05983 | 0.00139 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.0731037E-4 | 0.0021667387 | 7.0506525 | 0.00186 | 0.0055211177 | 0.003068897 | 0.005670887 | 1.8478584 | 0.00261 |
7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 5.785268E-6 | 0.0011257788 | 194.59407 | 0.00112 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.4793771E-5 | 0.0013747603 | 55.447807 | 0.00135 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.0182276E-4 | 0.0021112764 | 6.995087 | 0.00181 | 0.0053428668 | 0.0030141703 | 0.0055465144 | 1.8401463 | 0.00254 |
7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.60711E-6 | 0.0010256014 | 182.91087 | 0.00102 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.403025E-5 | 0.0012640004 | 52.600384 | 0.00124 | 5.171009E-4 | 2.925294E-4 | 0.0019420468 | 6.6388083 | 0.00165 | 0.0051589934 | 0.0029214849 | 0.005224736 | 1.7883838 | 0.00231 |
7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.0080885E-6 | 9.1500353E-4 | 182.70515 | 9.1E-4 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.146306E-5 | 0.0011514388 | 53.647465 | 0.00113 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.6128165E-4 | 0.0017009054 | 6.509854 | 0.00144 | 0.00442326 | 0.0026097689 | 0.0046045496 | 1.7643514 | 0.002 |
7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 4.8045913E-6 | 8.348006E-4 | 173.7506 | 8.3E-4 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.0590944E-5 | 0.00104057 | 50.53532 | 0.00102 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.506661E-4 | 0.0015603377 | 6.2247653 | 0.00131 | 0.0042096223 | 0.0025038577 | 0.0043392507 | 1.733026 | 0.00184 |
7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.1086905E-6 | 6.4410607E-4 | 156.76675 | 6.4E-4 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.7608556E-5 | 8.375941E-4 | 47.56745 | 8.2E-4 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.1436326E-4 | 0.0012841339 | 5.990457 | 0.00107 | 0.0035533418 | 0.0021415844 | 0.0036283934 | 1.6942565 | 0.00149 |
7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.816954E-6 | 4.0281581E-4 | 142.99695 | 4.0E-4 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.20726045E-5 | 5.020667E-4 | 41.587273 | 4.9E-4 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.4697415E-4 | 8.268742E-4 | 5.6259837 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0023048974 | 0.0014687806 | 0.002377444 | 1.6186516 | 9.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.5614947E-6 | 2.0156118E-4 | 129.0822 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.6921034E-6 | 2.2669064E-4 | 33.874348 | 2.2E-4 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.147336E-5 | 3.714497E-4 | 4.559156 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0013190953 | 8.144393E-4 | 0.0012041216 | 1.478467 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.592417E-7 | 5.08592E-5 | 59.190792 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.6824595E-6 | 5.3682274E-5 | 14.577832 | 5.0E-5 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.4833036E-5 | 1.34829E-4 | 3.0073583 | 9.0E-5 | 6.524452E-4 | 4.4824113E-4 | 5.5819185E-4 | 1.2452936 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.4224273E-7 | 1.0142241E-5 | 71.30236 | 1.0E-5 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.096115E-7 | 1.0609606E-5 | 17.40388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.4219956E-6 | 2.7421847E-5 | 3.694673 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1803136E-4 | 7.4217554E-5 | 9.421607E-5 | 1.269458 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.1501919E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 4.929394E-9 | 4.929394E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.0015374E-8 | 6.0015374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951038E-6 | 6.001537E-7 | 6.001537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.2620168E-5 | 0.0016925824 | 74.82625 | 0.00167 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.6940246E-5 | 0.0022067358 | 22.763876 | 0.00211 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0011796562 | 0.0042360467 | 3.590916 | 0.00306 | 0.012139114 | 0.011738825 | 0.015889522 | 1.3535872 | 0.0042 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6139113E-5 | 0.0015261148 | 94.56002 | 0.00151 | 7.4489166E-5 | 6.916584E-5 | 0.0019390365 | 28.034597 | 0.00187 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.4177806E-4 | 0.0035894632 | 4.2641444 | 0.00275 | 0.009028391 | 0.00838691 | 0.012105458 | 1.4433753 | 0.00375 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3186458E-5 | 0.0015231665 | 115.50991 | 0.00151 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.6512185E-5 | 0.0018964082 | 33.55751 | 0.00184 | 7.6267915E-4 | 6.878222E-4 | 0.0033459926 | 4.8646183 | 0.00266 | 0.007600669 | 0.0068573565 | 0.010373081 | 1.5126939 | 0.00354 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2049738E-5 | 0.001482032 | 122.99288 | 0.00147 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.1640727E-5 | 0.0018315488 | 35.467136 | 0.00178 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.285474E-4 | 0.0032069257 | 5.1021223 | 0.00258 | 0.00704657 | 0.006268048 | 0.009676549 | 1.5437897 | 0.00343 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1567086E-5 | 0.0014615504 | 126.35423 | 0.00145 | 5.613192E-5 | 4.95723E-5 | 0.0017994855 | 36.300224 | 0.00175 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.033784E-4 | 0.0031518398 | 5.223654 | 0.00255 | 0.006810953 | 0.006017737 | 0.009397277 | 1.5615964 | 0.0034 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.0670733E-5 | 0.0014306556 | 134.07285 | 0.00142 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.5730925E-5 | 0.0017656522 | 38.60959 | 0.00172 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.566343E-4 | 0.003065237 | 5.5067344 | 0.00251 | 0.006372592 | 0.0055527035 | 0.008884102 | 1.5999597 | 0.00335 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 9.718048E-6 | 0.0014297043 | 147.11845 | 0.00142 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.1648127E-5 | 0.0017415773 | 41.816463 | 0.0017 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.069499E-4 | 0.0029956875 | 5.909238 | 0.00249 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0050581787 | 0.008371335 | 1.6550097 | 0.00333 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.192151E-6 | 0.0014191791 | 154.39032 | 0.00141 | 4.6559664E-5 | 3.9394352E-5 | 0.0017193282 | 43.644028 | 0.00168 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.795225E-4 | 0.002938343 | 6.127643 | 0.00246 | 0.005652734 | 0.0047851102 | 0.008049415 | 1.6821796 | 0.00328 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 8.980142E-6 | 0.0014189675 | 158.01169 | 0.00141 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.8485767E-5 | 0.0017184211 | 44.65082 | 0.00168 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.6846532E-4 | 0.002897327 | 6.18472 | 0.00243 | 0.005550127 | 0.004675009 | 0.007870002 | 1.6834197 | 0.00321 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.291956E-6 | 0.0013982804 | 168.63095 | 0.00139 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.553648E-5 | 0.0016954775 | 47.710903 | 0.00166 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.3257241E-4 | 0.002811543 | 6.499589 | 0.00238 | 0.005224364 | 0.0043175146 | 0.007443958 | 1.7241303 | 0.00314 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 7.743803E-6 | 0.001397733 | 180.49698 | 0.00139 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.3187313E-5 | 0.0016831326 | 50.716145 | 0.00165 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.0398218E-4 | 0.0027730248 | 6.8642254 | 0.00237 | 0.00496445 | 0.0040326784 | 0.0071400963 | 1.7705593 | 0.00312 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.3835217E-6 | 0.0013973733 | 189.25565 | 0.00139 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.164329E-5 | 0.001681591 | 53.142105 | 0.00165 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.851905E-4 | 0.0027542775 | 7.1504297 | 0.00237 | 0.004792784 | 0.003845426 | 0.0069434666 | 1.8056431 | 0.00311 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.728776E-6 | 0.001355721 | 236.65108 | 0.00135 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.4551668E-5 | 0.0016245124 | 66.16709 | 0.0016 | 3.984668E-4 | 2.9887582E-4 | 0.0025681974 | 8.592857 | 0.00227 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0029848085 | 0.005955914 | 1.995409 | 0.00298 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.4057523E-6 | 0.0013553984 | 250.73262 | 0.00135 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3167306E-5 | 0.0016231303 | 70.06124 | 0.0016 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.820257E-4 | 0.002531391 | 8.975746 | 0.00225 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0028167467 | 0.005748465 | 2.0408173 | 0.00294 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.758757E-6 | 0.0011847531 | 248.96274 | 0.00118 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.0394515E-5 | 0.0014003664 | 68.66387 | 0.00138 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.482751E-4 | 0.0021578008 | 8.691169 | 0.00191 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002480036 | 0.004933935 | 1.9894611 | 0.00246 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 3.959928E-6 | 9.139563E-4 | 230.80125 | 9.1E-4 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.697101E-5 | 0.0010869529 | 64.04762 | 0.00107 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.0660255E-4 | 0.001656303 | 8.016856 | 0.00145 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0020641154 | 0.0039801523 | 1.9282606 | 0.00192 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 2.9969601E-6 | 6.7299494E-4 | 224.5592 | 6.7E-4 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.28440515E-5 | 8.028339E-4 | 62.506283 | 7.9E-4 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.5636517E-4 | 0.0012361963 | 7.9058285 | 0.00108 | 0.0021511333 | 0.001562559 | 0.0029404026 | 1.8817867 | 0.00138 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.7745335E-6 | 4.5177373E-4 | 254.58731 | 4.5E-4 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.605122E-6 | 5.2760117E-4 | 69.37445 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.258848E-5 | 8.1252184E-4 | 8.775625 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0013248142 | 9.255047E-4 | 0.0018646347 | 2.014722 | 9.4E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.4204496E-7 | 8.034202E-5 | 234.8873 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.4659062E-6 | 9.146577E-5 | 62.395382 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.7847262E-5 | 1.6784458E-4 | 9.4045 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.784584E-4 | 3.784227E-4 | 2.1205094 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2131496E-8 | 1.2131496E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.1992124E-8 | 5.1992124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.3300394E-7 | 6.3300394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.330022E-6 | 6.330022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.8252228E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 7.822383E-9 | 7.822383E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 9.52375E-8 | 9.52375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 9.523747E-7 | 9.523747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0020905193 | 198.31999 | 0.00208 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.0026350585 | 58.329308 | 0.00259 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.004107917 | 7.4706397 | 0.00356 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010020471 | 1.8267246 | 0.00456 |
6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0020905193 | 198.31999 | 0.00208 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.0026350585 | 58.329308 | 0.00259 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.004107917 | 7.4706397 | 0.00356 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010020471 | 1.8267246 | 0.00456 |
6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0020905193 | 198.31999 | 0.00208 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.0026350585 | 58.329308 | 0.00259 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.004107917 | 7.4706397 | 0.00356 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010020471 | 1.8267246 | 0.00456 |
6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0020905193 | 198.31999 | 0.00208 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.0026350585 | 58.329308 | 0.00259 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.004107917 | 7.4706397 | 0.00356 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010020471 | 1.8267246 | 0.00456 |
6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0541142E-5 | 0.0020905193 | 198.31999 | 0.00208 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.5175548E-5 | 0.0026350585 | 58.329308 | 0.00259 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.498749E-4 | 0.004107917 | 7.4706397 | 0.00356 | 0.0069569005 | 0.0054854853 | 0.010020471 | 1.8267246 | 0.00456 |
6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.7794145E-6 | 0.0020797593 | 212.66705 | 0.00207 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.191111E-5 | 0.0026018037 | 62.079098 | 0.00256 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.101493E-4 | 0.0040283534 | 7.896421 | 0.00352 | 0.006582173 | 0.005090083 | 0.009587076 | 1.8834813 | 0.00452 |
6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.7794145E-6 | 0.0020797593 | 212.66705 | 0.00207 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.191111E-5 | 0.0026018037 | 62.079098 | 0.00256 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.101493E-4 | 0.0040283534 | 7.896421 | 0.00352 | 0.006582173 | 0.005090083 | 0.009587076 | 1.8834813 | 0.00452 |
6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 9.617415E-6 | 0.0020695976 | 215.19272 | 0.00206 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.121685E-5 | 0.0025911117 | 62.865356 | 0.00255 | 6.521526E-4 | 5.0170056E-4 | 0.003999945 | 7.9727726 | 0.0035 | 0.0065024206 | 0.005005978 | 0.009483451 | 1.8944253 | 0.0045 |
6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 9.570337E-6 | 0.0020695506 | 216.24635 | 0.00206 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.1015093E-5 | 0.0025909105 | 63.169685 | 0.00255 | 6.4967526E-4 | 4.9924536E-4 | 0.003997498 | 8.007081 | 0.0035 | 0.006477792 | 0.004981536 | 0.009459118 | 1.8988359 | 0.0045 |
6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.346997E-6 | 0.0020693277 | 221.38959 | 0.00206 | 5.2394265E-5 | 4.005795E-5 | 0.0025799563 | 64.4056 | 0.00254 | 6.3771347E-4 | 4.8759737E-4 | 0.0039559053 | 8.113057 | 0.00347 | 0.006358865 | 0.0048655705 | 0.009313822 | 1.9142301 | 0.00447 |
7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 8.958322E-6 | 0.00205894 | 229.83545 | 0.00205 | 5.06967E-5 | 3.839225E-5 | 0.0025682952 | 66.89619 | 0.00253 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.6732635E-4 | 0.0039257095 | 8.40036 | 0.00346 | 0.006153469 | 0.0046637272 | 0.0091029275 | 1.9518566 | 0.00446 |
7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.557889E-6 | 0.0020385406 | 238.20601 | 0.00203 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.6676156E-5 | 0.0025365844 | 69.16168 | 0.0025 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.464416E-4 | 0.0038749103 | 8.679545 | 0.00343 | 0.005949879 | 0.0044557336 | 0.008865994 | 1.9897946 | 0.00443 |
7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 7.984893E-6 | 0.002007969 | 251.471 | 0.002 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.4220524E-5 | 0.0024841367 | 72.59201 | 0.00245 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.165561E-4 | 0.0036951897 | 8.87081 | 0.00328 | 0.0056383642 | 0.004158031 | 0.008380401 | 2.0154734 | 0.00424 |
7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 7.614856E-6 | 0.0018976005 | 249.19716 | 0.00189 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.2634693E-5 | 0.002352559 | 72.08767 | 0.00232 | 5.426921E-4 | 3.972558E-4 | 0.0035060204 | 8.825599 | 0.00311 | 0.005413687 | 0.0039657326 | 0.007959831 | 2.0071526 | 0.00401 |
7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 7.022507E-6 | 0.00178701 | 254.46895 | 0.00178 | 4.186589E-5 | 3.0096116E-5 | 0.00223003 | 74.09693 | 0.0022 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.6635945E-4 | 0.0033352713 | 9.103823 | 0.00297 | 0.0050843097 | 0.0036578276 | 0.0074339644 | 2.032344 | 0.00379 |
7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.08339E-6 | 0.0014560745 | 239.3525 | 0.00145 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.6071415E-5 | 0.0018260245 | 70.03933 | 0.0018 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.1737407E-4 | 0.002806584 | 8.843142 | 0.00249 | 0.004522561 | 0.0031694768 | 0.0063693025 | 2.0095754 | 0.00321 |
7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.1279586E-6 | 8.141246E-4 | 197.22209 | 8.1E-4 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.7691133E-5 | 0.0010376731 | 58.654984 | 0.00102 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.1536849E-4 | 0.0015950713 | 7.4062424 | 0.00138 | 0.003308182 | 0.0021518075 | 0.003937956 | 1.8300688 | 0.00179 |
7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.6702055E-6 | 4.0266913E-4 | 150.8008 | 4.0E-4 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.1443688E-5 | 5.014381E-4 | 43.817875 | 4.9E-4 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.3931801E-4 | 7.7922887E-4 | 5.593167 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0024089129 | 0.0013924916 | 0.0023311826 | 1.674109 | 9.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.7668182E-6 | 1.817665E-4 | 102.87788 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3776359E-5 | 7.572056E-6 | 2.0757054E-4 | 27.412706 | 2.0E-4 | 1.6771426E-4 | 9.218589E-5 | 3.9215822E-4 | 4.253994 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0016758774 | 9.215573E-4 | 0.0013311795 | 1.4444891 | 4.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.1473444E-7 | 8.051469E-5 | 156.41988 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.2060028E-6 | 1.02205784E-4 | 46.330757 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4221324E-5 | 2.6857757E-5 | 1.4685454E-4 | 5.4678626 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4208096E-4 | 2.6854547E-4 | 4.285025E-4 | 1.5956422 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.113731E-8 | 1.0061137E-5 | 164.56624 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.6201698E-7 | 2.0262012E-5 | 77.33091 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.1900524E-6 | 3.3189957E-5 | 10.404204 | 3.0E-5 | 6.318537E-5 | 3.1900083E-5 | 6.1899125E-5 | 1.9404064 | 3.0E-5 |
Del Valle
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.0018784585 | 221.66283 | 0.00187 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.002416232 | 66.52907 | 0.00238 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.0038505988 | 8.709665 | 0.00341 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008963947 | 2.030744 | 0.00457 |
6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.0018784585 | 221.66283 | 0.00187 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.002416232 | 66.52907 | 0.00238 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.0038505988 | 8.709665 | 0.00341 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008963947 | 2.030744 | 0.00457 |
6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.474396E-6 | 0.0018784585 | 221.66283 | 0.00187 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.631844E-5 | 0.002416232 | 66.52907 | 0.00238 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.4210642E-4 | 0.0038505988 | 8.709665 | 0.00341 | 0.0055759475 | 0.0044141193 | 0.008963947 | 2.030744 | 0.00457 |
6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0015646246 | 337.79648 | 0.00156 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.001969812 | 99.23154 | 0.00195 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.002970996 | 12.294334 | 0.00273 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005885567 | 2.43813 | 0.00348 |
6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0015646246 | 337.79648 | 0.00156 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.001969812 | 99.23154 | 0.00195 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.002970996 | 12.294334 | 0.00273 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005885567 | 2.43813 | 0.00348 |
6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0015646246 | 337.79648 | 0.00156 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.001969812 | 99.23154 | 0.00195 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.002970996 | 12.294334 | 0.00273 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005885567 | 2.43813 | 0.00348 |
6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.631856E-6 | 0.0015646246 | 337.79648 | 0.00156 | 3.055412E-5 | 1.9850664E-5 | 0.001969812 | 99.23154 | 0.00195 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.416557E-4 | 0.002970996 | 12.294334 | 0.00273 | 0.0037131102 | 0.0024139676 | 0.005885567 | 2.43813 | 0.00348 |
6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.6293753E-6 | 0.0015646222 | 337.97696 | 0.00156 | 3.0525585E-5 | 1.9840032E-5 | 0.0019698013 | 99.28418 | 0.00195 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.4152629E-4 | 0.0029708669 | 12.300387 | 0.00273 | 0.003709649 | 0.0024126763 | 0.0058842804 | 2.4389017 | 0.00348 |
6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.3338114E-6 | 0.0014243276 | 328.65475 | 0.00142 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.8573348E-5 | 0.0018285398 | 98.44966 | 0.00181 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.2610762E-4 | 0.0027855288 | 12.319483 | 0.00256 | 0.0035189227 | 0.002258804 | 0.0055014626 | 2.4355645 | 0.00325 |
6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.2809047E-6 | 0.001404275 | 328.0323 | 0.0014 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.8346609E-5 | 0.0017983139 | 98.018875 | 0.00178 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.2334764E-4 | 0.0027527825 | 12.325103 | 0.00253 | 0.003474293 | 0.0022312598 | 0.005444075 | 2.439911 | 0.00322 |
7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 3.88795E-6 | 0.0012238832 | 314.78882 | 0.00122 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.6662538E-5 | 0.001546637 | 92.82121 | 0.00153 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.0284789E-4 | 0.002332416 | 11.498349 | 0.00213 | 0.0032912986 | 0.0020266364 | 0.004701205 | 2.319708 | 0.00268 |
7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 3.8257685E-6 | 0.0011538214 | 301.59207 | 0.00115 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.6396049E-5 | 0.0014663723 | 89.43449 | 0.00145 | 3.2599916E-4 | 1.99604E-4 | 0.0022192008 | 11.118018 | 0.00202 | 0.0032552136 | 0.0019942557 | 0.0045591304 | 2.2861314 | 0.00257 |
7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.6710646E-6 | 0.001113667 | 303.3635 | 0.00111 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.5733041E-5 | 0.001415711 | 89.9833 | 0.0014 | 3.1517216E-4 | 1.9153331E-4 | 0.002151158 | 11.231247 | 0.00196 | 0.0031472554 | 0.00191369 | 0.0044089057 | 2.3038766 | 0.0025 |
7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 2.9322916E-6 | 9.4292953E-4 | 321.56744 | 9.4E-4 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.2566905E-5 | 0.0011825522 | 94.10052 | 0.00117 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.5299152E-4 | 0.0017627452 | 11.52185 | 0.00161 | 0.00248537 | 0.0015288648 | 0.0036256541 | 2.371468 | 0.0021 |
7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.091291E-6 | 6.620899E-4 | 316.59387 | 6.6E-4 | 1.5224792E-5 | 8.962645E-6 | 8.289553E-4 | 92.49003 | 8.2E-4 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.09114815E-4 | 0.0011989959 | 10.988388 | 0.00109 | 0.0018519156 | 0.0010906198 | 0.0025090713 | 2.300592 | 0.00142 |
7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5223358E-6 | 4.6152165E-4 | 303.16678 | 4.6E-4 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.52428E-6 | 5.765206E-4 | 88.365395 | 5.7E-4 | 1.415686E-4 | 7.943023E-5 | 8.093722E-4 | 10.189726 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0014147845 | 7.9402013E-4 | 0.0017932261 | 2.258414 | 0.001 |
7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1250786E-6 | 3.5112468E-4 | 312.08902 | 3.5E-4 | 8.208566E-6 | 4.8217566E-6 | 4.4481963E-4 | 92.25261 | 4.4E-4 | 9.993471E-5 | 5.8703314E-5 | 6.3866924E-4 | 10.879612 | 5.8E-4 | 9.988978E-4 | 5.868789E-4 | 0.0013864094 | 2.3623433 | 8.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 6.8656357E-7 | 2.2068642E-4 | 321.43622 | 2.2E-4 | 5.194467E-6 | 2.942412E-6 | 2.6294164E-4 | 89.36262 | 2.6E-4 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.5823283E-5 | 4.0581002E-4 | 11.328109 | 3.7E-4 | 6.322281E-4 | 3.5817543E-4 | 9.0797845E-4 | 2.5350103 | 5.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.751885E-7 | 1.0037515E-4 | 267.53256 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.6079498E-6 | 1.1160778E-4 | 69.40999 | 1.1E-4 | 3.272786E-5 | 1.9576615E-5 | 1.8957329E-4 | 9.6836605 | 1.7E-4 | 3.272304E-4 | 1.9574905E-4 | 4.3570207E-4 | 2.2258196 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.1356269E-7 | 3.0113559E-5 | 265.17123 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6968373E-7 | 4.8669716E-7 | 4.0486677E-5 | 83.18659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0588348E-5 | 5.925522E-6 | 5.5925226E-5 | 9.438025 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0587843E-4 | 5.925366E-5 | 1.3924892E-4 | 2.3500476 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.0095255E-8 | 1.0020095E-5 | 498.6299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8747821E-7 | 8.612252E-8 | 2.0086121E-5 | 233.22728 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.0485412E-6 | 2.104852E-5 | 20.0741 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2825214E-5 | 1.0485366E-5 | 3.0485156E-5 | 2.9074004 | 2.0E-5 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0011261093 | 24.396236 | 0.00108 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0016075318 | 8.126615 | 0.00141 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004470861 | 1.8583359 | 0.00207 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026899278 | 1.1295321 | 0.00316 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0011261093 | 24.396236 | 0.00108 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0016075318 | 8.126615 | 0.00141 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004470861 | 1.8583359 | 0.00207 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026899278 | 1.1295321 | 0.00316 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0011261093 | 24.396236 | 0.00108 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0016075318 | 8.126615 | 0.00141 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004470861 | 1.8583359 | 0.00207 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026899278 | 1.1295321 | 0.00316 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0011261093 | 24.396236 | 0.00108 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0016075318 | 8.126615 | 0.00141 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004470861 | 1.8583359 | 0.00207 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026899278 | 1.1295321 | 0.00316 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.615914E-5 | 0.0011261093 | 24.396236 | 0.00108 | 1.7917668E-4 | 1.9781076E-4 | 0.0016075318 | 8.126615 | 0.00141 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024058411 | 0.004470861 | 1.8583359 | 0.00207 | 0.021580452 | 0.023814531 | 0.026899278 | 1.1295321 | 0.00316 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.4327848E-5 | 0.0010042945 | 29.255974 | 9.7E-4 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.4711154E-4 | 0.0013769306 | 9.359773 | 0.00123 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0017896983 | 0.0035365664 | 1.9760685 | 0.00175 | 0.01632528 | 0.017761922 | 0.020404143 | 1.1487576 | 0.00269 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.4317567E-5 | 0.0010042842 | 29.264439 | 9.7E-4 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.4706748E-4 | 0.0013768866 | 9.362278 | 0.00123 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0017891628 | 0.0035360318 | 1.9763612 | 0.00175 | 0.01632056 | 0.017756652 | 0.020398887 | 1.1488025 | 0.00269 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.0567066E-5 | 9.5053896E-4 | 31.096832 | 9.2E-4 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3099558E-4 | 0.0013208397 | 10.083086 | 0.00119 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0015937844 | 0.0032810909 | 2.058679 | 0.00169 | 0.014641452 | 0.015831772 | 0.018341402 | 1.1585186 | 0.00255 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.050675E-5 | 9.5047866E-4 | 31.156342 | 9.2E-4 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3073711E-4 | 0.0013205815 | 10.101046 | 0.00119 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0015906421 | 0.003277954 | 2.060774 | 0.00169 | 0.014613459 | 0.015800796 | 0.018300662 | 1.1582114 | 0.00254 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.5953359E-5 | 8.959308E-4 | 34.5208 | 8.7E-4 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1122434E-4 | 0.0012410986 | 11.158517 | 0.00113 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013533866 | 0.0029212616 | 2.158483 | 0.00157 | 0.012562336 | 0.01345867 | 0.015757311 | 1.1707926 | 0.00233 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5112235E-5 | 8.550914E-4 | 34.05079 | 8.3E-4 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.07619824E-4 | 0.0011875036 | 11.034246 | 0.00108 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013095549 | 0.0028075906 | 2.1439273 | 0.0015 | 0.012179627 | 0.013025557 | 0.01523638 | 1.1697296 | 0.00224 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.378175E-5 | 8.5376203E-4 | 35.899883 | 8.3E-4 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.019182E-4 | 0.0011618101 | 11.399438 | 0.00106 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012402182 | 0.0027183825 | 2.1918585 | 0.00148 | 0.01157452 | 0.012340033 | 0.014512885 | 1.1760815 | 0.0022 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7206585E-5 | 7.2719436E-4 | 42.26256 | 7.1E-4 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.374076E-5 | 9.6367515E-4 | 13.0684185 | 8.9E-4 | 8.623549E-4 | 8.9748367E-4 | 0.0021263799 | 2.3692684 | 0.00123 | 0.008590161 | 0.0089445 | 0.010698669 | 1.1961169 | 0.00177 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5152011E-5 | 7.051416E-4 | 46.537823 | 6.9E-4 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.49359E-5 | 9.2488003E-4 | 14.2429695 | 8.6E-4 | 7.668978E-4 | 7.903658E-4 | 0.001949449 | 2.4665148 | 0.00116 | 0.0076425658 | 0.007881265 | 0.009548024 | 1.2114837 | 0.00168 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.4147326E-6 | 6.1541144E-4 | 113.655 | 6.1E-4 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3205794E-5 | 7.4318907E-4 | 32.026012 | 7.2E-4 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.824944E-4 | 0.0012522204 | 4.432726 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0031951098 | 0.002821406 | 0.004157625 | 1.4736005 | 0.00134 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.227635E-6 | 6.052245E-4 | 115.77405 | 6.0E-4 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2403961E-5 | 7.3238806E-4 | 32.690113 | 7.1E-4 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.727346E-4 | 0.0012224755 | 4.48229 | 9.5E-4 | 0.003102299 | 0.002724051 | 0.004040455 | 1.4832524 | 0.00132 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.2200572E-6 | 5.7421764E-4 | 136.06868 | 5.7E-4 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8085837E-5 | 6.880737E-4 | 38.04489 | 6.7E-4 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2017314E-4 | 0.0011299727 | 5.1322007 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0021995835 | 0.0034069219 | 1.5488942 | 0.00121 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.7910241E-6 | 4.427898E-4 | 158.64778 | 4.4E-4 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.1961479E-5 | 5.319553E-4 | 44.472366 | 5.2E-4 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4562153E-4 | 8.3552103E-4 | 5.737621 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014552863 | 0.002383933 | 1.6381196 | 9.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 9.936134E-7 | 1.6099346E-4 | 162.02826 | 1.6E-4 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.2583365E-6 | 1.9425753E-4 | 45.61817 | 1.9E-4 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.1844043E-5 | 3.1183058E-4 | 6.014781 | 2.6E-4 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.1832234E-4 | 8.581461E-4 | 1.6556225 | 3.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8277098E-7 | 4.0182764E-5 | 219.85309 | 4.0E-5 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.8330396E-7 | 6.0783255E-5 | 77.59856 | 6.0E-5 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.536687E-6 | 9.953583E-5 | 10.437149 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.536306E-5 | 2.0535257E-4 | 2.1533766 | 1.1E-4 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.499237E-6 | 0.0019934922 | 569.6934 | 0.00199 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.49966445E-5 | 0.0023749613 | 158.36618 | 0.00236 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8256897E-4 | 0.003282003 | 17.976786 | 0.0031 | 0.0026554854 | 0.0018242018 | 0.005737051 | 3.144965 | 0.00392 |
6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.4974644E-6 | 0.0019834905 | 567.12244 | 0.00198 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.49890475E-5 | 0.0023649537 | 157.7788 | 0.00235 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8247649E-4 | 0.0032719127 | 17.930597 | 0.00309 | 0.002654592 | 0.0018232786 | 0.00572615 | 3.1405785 | 0.00391 |
7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.2448959E-6 | 0.0016732395 | 515.6528 | 0.00167 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.3906622E-5 | 0.0019738793 | 141.93808 | 0.00196 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.6930001E-4 | 0.0028188513 | 16.650036 | 0.00265 | 0.0025280623 | 0.0016917145 | 0.0050759795 | 3.0004942 | 0.00339 |
7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.1837078E-6 | 0.0016131786 | 506.69806 | 0.00161 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.36443905E-5 | 0.0019136184 | 140.24947 | 0.0019 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.6610783E-4 | 0.0027456793 | 16.5295 | 0.00258 | 0.0024967908 | 0.0016598406 | 0.00497433 | 2.9968722 | 0.00332 |
7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 2.996002E-6 | 0.0014229917 | 474.96356 | 0.00142 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.2839945E-5 | 0.0016928184 | 131.84 | 0.00168 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.5631515E-4 | 0.0024359587 | 15.583638 | 0.00228 | 0.0023869718 | 0.0015620552 | 0.0044874786 | 2.872804 | 0.00293 |
7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.7608362E-6 | 0.0012727573 | 461.00427 | 0.00127 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.1832102E-5 | 0.0015218143 | 128.6174 | 0.00151 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4404634E-4 | 0.0021337597 | 14.813008 | 0.00199 | 0.0022359942 | 0.0014395326 | 0.0040258043 | 2.796605 | 0.00259 |
7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.5697611E-6 | 0.0011825667 | 460.18546 | 0.00118 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1013216E-5 | 0.0014209977 | 129.0266 | 0.00141 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.3407767E-4 | 0.0019938282 | 14.870696 | 0.00186 | 0.002098492 | 0.0013399705 | 0.003776701 | 2.8184958 | 0.00244 |
7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.1888404E-6 | 8.721869E-4 | 398.46985 | 8.7E-4 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.380711E-6 | 0.0010693708 | 113.996765 | 0.00106 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.1420419E-4 | 0.0015340421 | 13.43245 | 0.00142 | 0.0018494357 | 0.0011414564 | 0.0030193105 | 2.6451387 | 0.00188 |
7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.7655635E-6 | 6.517644E-4 | 369.15378 | 6.5E-4 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.566679E-6 | 7.8756077E-4 | 104.082756 | 7.8E-4 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.212043E-5 | 0.0011320246 | 12.28853 | 0.00104 | 0.0015636457 | 9.2082313E-4 | 0.002319534 | 2.5189788 | 0.0014 |
7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.3695774E-6 | 4.7136893E-4 | 344.17108 | 4.7E-4 | 1.05183235E-5 | 5.869604E-6 | 5.558664E-4 | 94.70253 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.146009E-5 | 8.5140433E-4 | 11.914403 | 7.8E-4 | 0.001279793 | 7.143717E-4 | 0.001803593 | 2.5247264 | 0.00109 |
7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 7.540563E-7 | 2.207539E-4 | 292.7552 | 2.2E-4 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.231666E-6 | 2.432309E-4 | 75.26486 | 2.4E-4 | 7.108106E-5 | 3.9344824E-5 | 4.0933027E-4 | 10.403663 | 3.7E-4 | 7.1058323E-4 | 3.9337875E-4 | 8.7318994E-4 | 2.219718 | 4.8E-4 |
7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 3.9070645E-7 | 8.039067E-5 | 205.75723 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.6744551E-6 | 1.0167429E-4 | 60.72082 | 1.0E-4 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.0386302E-5 | 1.5038365E-4 | 7.376701 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0256142E-4 | 2.038444E-4 | 3.8380772E-4 | 1.8828465 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.121901E-8 | 1.0061219E-5 | 164.34795 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.6236717E-7 | 2.0262361E-5 | 77.229034 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.1943157E-6 | 3.319422E-5 | 10.391653 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3226486E-5 | 3.1942713E-5 | 6.1941755E-5 | 1.9391513 | 3.0E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.0569787E-4 | 22.552547 | 7.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0012629323 | 8.248949 | 0.00111 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0035796654 | 1.9215866 | 0.00172 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02119575 | 1.1447077 | 0.00273 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.0569787E-4 | 22.552547 | 7.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0012629323 | 8.248949 | 0.00111 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0035796654 | 1.9215866 | 0.00172 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02119575 | 1.1447077 | 0.00273 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.0569787E-4 | 22.552547 | 7.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0012629323 | 8.248949 | 0.00111 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0035796654 | 1.9215866 | 0.00172 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02119575 | 1.1447077 | 0.00273 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.572536E-5 | 8.0569787E-4 | 22.552547 | 7.7E-4 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5310221E-4 | 0.0012629323 | 8.248949 | 0.00111 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0018628696 | 0.0035796654 | 1.9215866 | 0.00172 | 0.016495159 | 0.0185163 | 0.02119575 | 1.1447077 | 0.00273 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.205627E-4 | 25.30325 | 5.0E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816775E-5 | 7.9810515E-4 | 9.052121 | 7.1E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0021918726 | 2.0426102 | 0.00112 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012435909 | 1.162807 | 0.00176 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.0572958E-5 | 5.205627E-4 | 25.30325 | 5.0E-4 | 8.259794E-5 | 8.816775E-5 | 7.9810515E-4 | 9.052121 | 7.1E-4 | 0.001005166 | 0.0010730743 | 0.0021918726 | 2.0426102 | 0.00112 | 0.010006315 | 0.010694732 | 0.012435909 | 1.162807 | 0.00176 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.464951E-6 | 2.2946286E-4 | 24.243427 | 2.2E-4 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.0563486E-5 | 4.1054847E-4 | 10.121134 | 3.7E-4 | 5.119132E-4 | 4.937555E-4 | 0.0010234938 | 2.0728757 | 5.3E-4 | 0.005107356 | 0.004927278 | 0.005763139 | 1.1696395 | 8.4E-4 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.452646E-6 | 2.2945057E-4 | 24.273685 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.0510753E-5 | 4.1049576E-4 | 10.133008 | 3.7E-4 | 5.112989E-4 | 4.931137E-4 | 0.0010228524 | 2.0742729 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0049208887 | 0.0057567554 | 1.1698608 | 8.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.6072884E-6 | 1.9760584E-4 | 25.975857 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.2602286E-5 | 3.5259186E-4 | 10.814943 | 3.2E-4 | 4.2268867E-4 | 3.9686527E-4 | 8.3669065E-4 | 2.1082487 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004218856 | 0.003962037 | 0.004689145 | 1.1835186 | 7.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.368838E-6 | 1.3536814E-4 | 25.213675 | 1.3E-4 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3009108E-5 | 2.230045E-4 | 9.69201 | 2.0E-4 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8010062E-4 | 5.800166E-4 | 2.0707438 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0027975508 | 0.0032462918 | 1.160405 | 4.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.879641E-6 | 1.14879105E-4 | 23.542534 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.0912583E-5 | 1.8090924E-4 | 8.650737 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.545816E-4 | 5.045179E-4 | 1.9817535 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025429642 | 0.002921998 | 1.1490519 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.000605E-6 | 7.400032E-5 | 18.497286 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7145338E-5 | 1.3714327E-4 | 7.998867 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.0872489E-4 | 3.8868733E-4 | 1.8621992 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002454537 | 0.0020853283 | 0.002394682 | 1.1483476 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9111184E-6 | 5.291097E-5 | 18.17548 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2476163E-5 | 9.2475166E-5 | 7.412148 | 8.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.518868E-4 | 2.7186857E-4 | 1.7899421 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015178405 | 0.0017375066 | 1.1447227 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0484474E-6 | 3.2048385E-5 | 15.645208 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.77903E-6 | 4.877868E-5 | 5.5562716 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.06879525E-4 | 1.7687204E-4 | 1.654873 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010682881 | 0.0011981493 | 1.12156 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0044419E-6 | 1.1004432E-5 | 10.955768 | 1.0E-5 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.304744E-6 | 1.4304701E-5 | 3.3230085 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.2409025E-5 | 8.240745E-5 | 1.5723904 | 3.0E-5 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.239695E-4 | 5.739433E-4 | 1.0953754 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.8275615E-7 | 1.0482751E-5 | 21.714382 | 1.0E-5 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.0689533E-6 | 1.2068933E-5 | 5.833352 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.518923E-5 | 5.5188473E-5 | 2.1909552 | 3.0E-5 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5186528E-4 | 2.818577E-4 | 1.1190813 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 2.4272242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 1.0402385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2664835E-5 | 1.2664835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2664148E-4 | 1.2664148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.118304E-8 | 7.118304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 3.0507013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 3.7142236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 3.7141723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.5682577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 6.721104E-8 | 6.721104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 8.182942E-7 | 8.182942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 8.182924E-6 | 8.182924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.361565 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014418967 | 34.367393 | 0.0014 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0025596507 | 5.0120673 | 0.00205 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.007924363 | 1.5511138 | 0.00283 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.361565 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014418967 | 34.367393 | 0.0014 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0025596507 | 5.0120673 | 0.00205 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.007924363 | 1.5511138 | 0.00283 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.361565 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014418967 | 34.367393 | 0.0014 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0025596507 | 5.0120673 | 0.00205 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.007924363 | 1.5511138 | 0.00283 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.361565 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014418967 | 34.367393 | 0.0014 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0025596507 | 5.0120673 | 0.00205 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.007924363 | 1.5511138 | 0.00283 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 9.789729E-6 | 0.001109779 | 113.361565 | 0.0011 | 4.6446676E-5 | 4.1955365E-5 | 0.0014418967 | 34.367393 | 0.0014 | 5.653415E-4 | 5.1069754E-4 | 0.0025596507 | 5.0120673 | 0.00205 | 0.0056390543 | 0.005108821 | 0.007924363 | 1.5511138 | 0.00283 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.551022E-6 | 7.055471E-4 | 127.10222 | 7.0E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789878E-5 | 8.937692E-4 | 37.569305 | 8.7E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960386E-4 | 0.0015792303 | 5.4530706 | 0.00129 | 0.003506398 | 0.0029048724 | 0.004599934 | 1.5835236 | 0.0017 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 5.551022E-6 | 7.055471E-4 | 127.10222 | 7.0E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 2.3789878E-5 | 8.937692E-4 | 37.569305 | 8.7E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 2.8960386E-4 | 0.0015792303 | 5.4530706 | 0.00129 | 0.003506398 | 0.0029048724 | 0.004599934 | 1.5835236 | 0.0017 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 5.082504E-6 | 6.350793E-4 | 124.954025 | 6.3E-4 | 2.6892068E-5 | 2.178198E-5 | 8.217646E-4 | 37.726807 | 8.0E-4 | 3.2736175E-4 | 2.6516384E-4 | 0.0014248563 | 5.3734937 | 0.00116 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0026610766 | 0.0041670585 | 1.5659295 | 0.00151 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 4.796779E-6 | 5.9479394E-4 | 123.998604 | 5.9E-4 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.0557467E-5 | 7.605422E-4 | 36.995914 | 7.4E-4 | 3.128256E-4 | 2.5025886E-4 | 0.0013199911 | 5.2745028 | 0.00107 | 0.003123856 | 0.002512371 | 0.0039088535 | 1.5558425 | 0.0014 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 4.4761746E-6 | 5.544737E-4 | 123.87222 | 5.5E-4 | 2.4369761E-5 | 1.9183468E-5 | 6.991704E-4 | 36.44651 | 6.8E-4 | 2.9666146E-4 | 2.3353413E-4 | 0.0012033076 | 5.1525984 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0023454868 | 0.003592555 | 1.5316885 | 0.00125 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 4.0084E-6 | 3.8400688E-4 | 95.800545 | 3.8E-4 | 2.242688E-5 | 1.7178745E-5 | 4.6717102E-4 | 27.194712 | 4.5E-4 | 2.7301308E-4 | 2.0913145E-4 | 8.5899554E-4 | 4.107443 | 6.5E-4 | 0.002726779 | 0.002101935 | 0.0029202113 | 1.3892968 | 8.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 3.90776E-6 | 3.739063E-4 | 95.68303 | 3.7E-4 | 2.2009834E-5 | 1.6747437E-5 | 4.5674006E-4 | 27.272236 | 4.4E-4 | 2.6793676E-4 | 2.0388127E-4 | 8.337528E-4 | 4.0894036 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0026761394 | 0.002049531 | 0.0028478915 | 1.3895332 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 3.7566733E-6 | 3.5375537E-4 | 94.16718 | 3.5E-4 | 2.1381518E-5 | 1.6099932E-5 | 4.2609332E-4 | 26.465538 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6028889E-4 | 1.9599932E-4 | 7.858837E-4 | 4.0096245 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0019708537 | 0.0027193755 | 1.3797958 | 7.5E-4 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 3.6011752E-6 | 3.3359998E-4 | 92.63642 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0665291E-5 | 1.543352E-5 | 3.9542766E-4 | 25.621355 | 3.8E-4 | 2.5157086E-4 | 1.8788717E-4 | 7.277857E-4 | 3.8735251 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0018898731 | 0.002568588 | 1.3591325 | 6.8E-4 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 3.501343E-6 | 3.2350022E-4 | 92.39318 | 3.2E-4 | 2.0193436E-5 | 1.5005671E-5 | 3.850001E-4 | 25.656975 | 3.7E-4 | 2.4582737E-4 | 1.8267901E-4 | 6.9258583E-4 | 3.7912722 | 5.1E-4 | 0.002455556 | 0.0018378772 | 0.0024866825 | 1.3530189 | 6.5E-4 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 3.362492E-6 | 2.9336152E-4 | 87.24527 | 2.9E-4 | 1.9502659E-5 | 1.4410602E-5 | 3.544057E-4 | 24.593401 | 3.4E-4 | 2.37419E-4 | 1.7543524E-4 | 6.4535276E-4 | 3.6785812 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002371655 | 0.0017655548 | 0.002374478 | 1.3448905 | 6.1E-4 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 3.180609E-6 | 2.6317977E-4 | 82.745094 | 2.6E-4 | 1.861545E-5 | 1.3631111E-5 | 3.13627E-4 | 23.008177 | 3.0E-4 | 2.2661954E-4 | 1.6594642E-4 | 5.558817E-4 | 3.349766 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0016707946 | 0.002199909 | 1.3166844 | 5.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 1.5476069E-6 | 1.8154732E-4 | 117.308426 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2583803E-5 | 6.632584E-6 | 2.1663119E-4 | 32.66166 | 2.1E-4 | 1.5319703E-4 | 8.074873E-5 | 3.507269E-4 | 4.343436 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015309147 | 8.103379E-4 | 0.0012100138 | 1.4932213 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 4.7823613E-7 | 2.0478226E-5 | 42.820328 | 2.0E-5 | 6.232116E-6 | 2.0495816E-6 | 3.204952E-5 | 15.637103 | 3.0E-5 | 7.587337E-5 | 2.4953371E-5 | 5.4952623E-5 | 2.2022123 | 3.0E-5 | 7.584747E-4 | 2.5096425E-4 | 3.109492E-4 | 1.2390178 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 9.639803E-8 | 9.639803E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 4.1313436E-7 | 4.1313436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 5.029899E-6 | 5.029899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 5.081784E-5 | 5.081784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 1.5876795E-8 | 1.5876795E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 6.8043406E-8 | 6.8043406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 8.284281E-7 | 8.284281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 8.626118E-6 | 8.626118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 7.3725235E-9 | 7.3725235E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 3.159653E-8 | 3.159653E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 3.846877E-7 | 3.846877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 4.0894843E-6 | 4.0894843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 2.6001525E-9 | 2.6001525E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 1.1143511E-8 | 1.1143511E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 1.3567224E-7 | 1.3567224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 1.5043008E-6 | 1.5043008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 6.026172E-4 | 11.446553 | 5.5E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560834E-4 | 9.3544816E-4 | 4.146337 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0039602295 | 1.4434551 | 0.00122 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028972369 | 1.068149 | 0.0019 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.264617E-5 | 6.026172E-4 | 11.446553 | 5.5E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.2560834E-4 | 9.3544816E-4 | 4.146337 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0027435764 | 0.0039602295 | 1.4434551 | 0.00122 | 0.024405818 | 0.027123904 | 0.028972369 | 1.068149 | 0.0019 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 4.8280336E-4 | 14.711485 | 4.5E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 7.3055876E-4 | 5.1944666 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0027292576 | 1.5951216 | 0.00102 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018515743 | 1.0903007 | 0.00156 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.2818127E-5 | 4.8280336E-4 | 14.711485 | 4.5E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4064173E-4 | 7.3055876E-4 | 5.1944666 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017110027 | 0.0027292576 | 1.5951216 | 0.00102 | 0.015745522 | 0.016982235 | 0.018515743 | 1.0903007 | 0.00156 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.709625E-5 | 4.1708568E-4 | 15.392745 | 3.9E-4 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1612172E-4 | 6.260625E-4 | 5.3914332 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014128834 | 0.00229164 | 1.6219598 | 8.8E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01404112 | 0.015382024 | 1.0954983 | 0.00136 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.4439178E-5 | 4.0442988E-4 | 16.548424 | 3.8E-4 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.04735205E-4 | 6.0468283E-4 | 5.7734437 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0012744191 | 0.0021133486 | 1.6582838 | 8.4E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.012672705 | 0.013896991 | 1.096608 | 0.00124 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 1.9854022E-5 | 3.8984668E-4 | 19.635653 | 3.7E-4 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.5085936E-5 | 5.650451E-4 | 6.6408753 | 4.8E-4 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010354364 | 0.0018246184 | 1.7621733 | 7.9E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010306979 | 0.011455023 | 1.1113851 | 0.00116 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.7723358E-5 | 3.77717E-4 | 21.31182 | 3.6E-4 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.595507E-5 | 5.4591935E-4 | 7.1873994 | 4.7E-4 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.243658E-4 | 0.001693654 | 1.8322335 | 7.7E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.0092058135 | 0.010305595 | 1.119466 | 0.00111 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.55779E-5 | 3.755723E-4 | 24.109303 | 3.6E-4 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.6760746E-5 | 5.3672935E-4 | 8.039596 | 4.7E-4 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.12513E-4 | 0.0015619036 | 1.9223121 | 7.5E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008095881 | 0.009167138 | 1.1323211 | 0.00108 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3064728E-5 | 3.6306016E-4 | 27.78934 | 3.5E-4 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.59905E-5 | 5.059653E-4 | 9.036628 | 4.5E-4 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.814733E-4 | 0.0013710031 | 2.0118222 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006794082 | 0.007787288 | 1.146187 | 0.001 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1704644E-5 | 3.5170067E-4 | 30.047958 | 3.4E-4 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.0161805E-5 | 4.8014024E-4 | 9.571829 | 4.3E-4 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.1055046E-4 | 0.0012801414 | 2.0967004 | 6.7E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.006088914 | 0.00702319 | 1.1534389 | 9.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0347842E-5 | 3.5034431E-4 | 33.85675 | 3.4E-4 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.4347147E-5 | 4.5432895E-4 | 10.244829 | 4.1E-4 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.3979387E-4 | 0.001189443 | 2.2035134 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0053849523 | 0.006299998 | 1.1699264 | 9.2E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.280211E-6 | 3.3927715E-4 | 36.559204 | 3.3E-4 | 4.11042E-5 | 3.9771734E-5 | 4.3975582E-4 | 11.056994 | 4.0E-4 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.8411428E-4 | 0.0011238045 | 2.3213618 | 6.4E-4 | 0.004992037 | 0.00483071 | 0.0057064593 | 1.1812879 | 8.8E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.215215E-6 | 3.282126E-4 | 39.951797 | 3.2E-4 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5207595E-5 | 4.351935E-4 | 12.3607855 | 4.0E-4 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.2856912E-4 | 0.0010582991 | 2.4693778 | 6.3E-4 | 0.004470094 | 0.0042775325 | 0.0051238965 | 1.1978627 | 8.5E-4 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.8082304E-6 | 2.9680625E-4 | 43.59521 | 2.9E-4 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9177809E-5 | 3.891673E-4 | 13.337784 | 3.6E-4 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.5518286E-4 | 8.7499816E-4 | 2.4635146 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0035462473 | 0.004263694 | 1.2023115 | 7.2E-4 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.138535E-6 | 1.9513756E-4 | 37.97533 | 1.9E-4 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.202211E-5 | 2.8201638E-4 | 12.806056 | 2.6E-4 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.6808688E-4 | 6.77977E-4 | 2.528945 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0026777033 | 0.0032561503 | 1.2160236 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0284167E-6 | 5.2028314E-5 | 25.649715 | 5.0E-5 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.693186E-6 | 8.869249E-5 | 10.20253 | 8.0E-5 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.05834486E-4 | 2.5581862E-4 | 2.4171574 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010578493 | 0.0012975953 | 1.2266355 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.0813932E-6 | 3.108136E-5 | 28.741962 | 3.0E-5 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.634534E-6 | 3.4634395E-5 | 7.4731126 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.6424014E-5 | 1.16420626E-4 | 2.063317 | 6.0E-5 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.640992E-4 | 6.340597E-4 | 1.1240216 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 5.9400514E-7 | 2.0593994E-5 | 34.669724 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.5457339E-6 | 2.2545682E-5 | 8.85626 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.0993884E-5 | 6.0992952E-5 | 1.9679029 | 3.0E-5 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.0989686E-4 | 3.4988447E-4 | 1.1290352 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 4.9980793E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 2.142034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 2.607926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 2.607924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.85819 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 9.2621765E-4 | 13.9754505 | 8.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0020556105 | 2.5484288 | 0.00125 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010132356 | 1.2603501 | 0.00211 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.85819 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 9.2621765E-4 | 13.9754505 | 8.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0020556105 | 2.5484288 | 0.00125 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010132356 | 1.2603501 | 0.00211 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.85819 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 9.2621765E-4 | 13.9754505 | 8.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0020556105 | 2.5484288 | 0.00125 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010132356 | 1.2603501 | 0.00211 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5464439E-5 | 5.854556E-4 | 37.85819 | 5.7E-4 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.627462E-5 | 9.2621765E-4 | 13.9754505 | 8.6E-4 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.0661883E-4 | 0.0020556105 | 2.5484288 | 0.00125 | 0.007877788 | 0.008039318 | 0.010132356 | 1.2603501 | 0.00211 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135958E-5 | 5.541283E-4 | 39.199913 | 5.4E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581395E-5 | 8.705323E-4 | 14.369632 | 8.1E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.373513E-4 | 0.0018964959 | 2.5720387 | 0.00116 | 0.007248361 | 0.0073512783 | 0.009326649 | 1.2687112 | 0.00199 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4135958E-5 | 5.541283E-4 | 39.199913 | 5.4E-4 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.0581395E-5 | 8.705323E-4 | 14.369632 | 8.1E-4 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.373513E-4 | 0.0018964959 | 2.5720387 | 0.00116 | 0.007248361 | 0.0073512783 | 0.009326649 | 1.2687112 | 0.00199 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0426266E-5 | 4.5042168E-4 | 43.20067 | 4.4E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468326E-5 | 7.1465335E-4 | 15.993759 | 6.7E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.4388813E-4 | 0.0014733823 | 2.7089803 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005485909 | 0.005426097 | 0.00693785 | 1.2786076 | 0.00152 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0426266E-5 | 4.5042168E-4 | 43.20067 | 4.4E-4 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.468326E-5 | 7.1465335E-4 | 15.993759 | 6.7E-4 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.4388813E-4 | 0.0014733823 | 2.7089803 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005485909 | 0.005426097 | 0.00693785 | 1.2786076 | 0.00152 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 9.93766E-6 | 4.3993338E-4 | 44.26931 | 4.3E-4 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.258931E-5 | 6.925616E-4 | 16.261396 | 6.5E-4 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.1840657E-4 | 0.00141794 | 2.735189 | 9.0E-4 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0051724887 | 0.0066249366 | 1.2808026 | 0.00146 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.36237E-6 | 3.7735965E-4 | 51.255188 | 3.7E-4 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.1552638E-5 | 5.4153654E-4 | 17.162956 | 5.1E-4 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.8408683E-4 | 0.001083818 | 2.8218045 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003834349 | 0.0048902845 | 1.2753885 | 0.00106 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.7349747E-6 | 3.4673268E-4 | 51.482403 | 3.4E-4 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.8863864E-5 | 4.6885115E-4 | 16.243534 | 4.4E-4 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.5136193E-4 | 9.511511E-4 | 2.707041 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0037173668 | 0.003508168 | 0.00444487 | 1.2670062 | 9.4E-4 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.1476636E-6 | 2.8514623E-4 | 55.39333 | 2.8E-4 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.206123E-5 | 3.9205307E-4 | 17.771133 | 3.7E-4 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.6856258E-4 | 7.984202E-4 | 2.9729393 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0026824 | 0.0034902273 | 1.3011584 | 8.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.3862083E-6 | 2.343852E-4 | 53.43686 | 2.3E-4 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.87979E-5 | 3.387919E-4 | 18.022858 | 3.2E-4 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.2884054E-4 | 6.887353E-4 | 3.0096734 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0025721465 | 0.00228606 | 0.0029744827 | 1.3011394 | 6.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.6757128E-6 | 1.7367509E-4 | 47.249363 | 1.7E-4 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.575296E-5 | 2.5574918E-4 | 16.234991 | 2.4E-4 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9177551E-4 | 5.2171224E-4 | 2.720432 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019161081 | 0.0024051692 | 1.2552367 | 4.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 2.927067E-6 | 1.4292666E-4 | 48.82931 | 1.4E-4 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.2544513E-5 | 2.0254213E-4 | 16.145874 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5271881E-4 | 4.3267605E-4 | 2.833155 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015261436 | 0.0019155485 | 1.255156 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.2024728E-6 | 8.22023E-5 | 37.322727 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.439136E-6 | 1.394379E-4 | 14.772317 | 1.3E-4 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.14915485E-4 | 3.348902E-4 | 2.9142303 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0011485644 | 0.0014182542 | 1.2348061 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.3720113E-6 | 2.1371983E-5 | 15.57712 | 2.0E-5 | 7.794145E-6 | 5.880035E-6 | 5.587974E-5 | 9.503301 | 5.0E-5 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.1587114E-5 | 1.6158067E-4 | 2.2571194 | 9.0E-5 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.156416E-4 | 8.2556286E-4 | 1.1535982 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.093221E-7 | 7.093221E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.0399485E-6 | 3.0399485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.701076E-5 | 3.701076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.700447E-4 | 3.700447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 3.8654215E-7 | 3.8654215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.6566082E-6 | 1.6566082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.0169022E-5 | 2.0169022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.0166888E-4 | 2.0166888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 4.9404584E-8 | 4.9404584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.1173392E-7 | 2.1173392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.5778586E-6 | 2.5778586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.5778398E-5 | 2.5778398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.76243E-6 | 9.337589E-4 | 248.17975 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6124603E-5 | 0.0011861058 | 73.55876 | 0.00117 | 2.3708193E-4 | 1.9629966E-4 | 0.0016860071 | 8.588946 | 0.00149 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0019612943 | 0.0038276266 | 1.9515821 | 0.00187 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.7604045E-6 | 9.3375694E-4 | 248.31288 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6115922E-5 | 0.001186097 | 73.59784 | 0.00117 | 2.3697925E-4 | 1.96194E-4 | 0.0016859017 | 8.593034 | 0.00149 | 0.002367267 | 0.0019602394 | 0.0038265737 | 1.952095 | 0.00187 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.7455713E-6 | 9.337421E-4 | 249.2923 | 9.3E-4 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6052352E-5 | 0.0011860336 | 73.885345 | 0.00117 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9542017E-4 | 0.001685129 | 8.623107 | 0.00149 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019525148 | 0.0038188635 | 1.9558692 | 0.00187 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.7304724E-6 | 9.33727E-4 | 250.29726 | 9.3E-4 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.5987642E-5 | 0.001185969 | 74.18035 | 0.00117 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9463248E-4 | 0.0016843425 | 8.653964 | 0.00149 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019446517 | 0.0038110153 | 1.9597418 | 0.00187 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.6635151E-6 | 9.1366016E-4 | 249.3944 | 9.1E-4 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.5700687E-5 | 0.001145683 | 72.970245 | 0.00113 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.911394E-4 | 0.0016408622 | 8.584636 | 0.00145 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019097815 | 0.0037362867 | 1.9563948 | 0.00183 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.5585097E-6 | 9.1355527E-4 | 256.72412 | 9.1E-4 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5250668E-5 | 0.0011452334 | 75.09399 | 0.00113 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8566138E-4 | 0.001625394 | 8.754616 | 0.00144 | 0.0022632615 | 0.001855094 | 0.0036317918 | 1.9577402 | 0.00178 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.4599643E-6 | 9.1345684E-4 | 264.00757 | 9.1E-4 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.4828336E-5 | 0.0011448116 | 77.204315 | 0.00113 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.8052035E-4 | 0.0016202604 | 8.9755 | 0.00144 | 0.0021988105 | 0.0018037682 | 0.0035805576 | 1.985043 | 0.00178 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.2787937E-6 | 8.932759E-4 | 272.4404 | 8.9E-4 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4051899E-5 | 0.0011040366 | 78.5685 | 0.00109 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7106874E-4 | 0.0015708292 | 9.182445 | 0.0014 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017094015 | 0.0034464272 | 2.0161602 | 0.00174 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3111554E-6 | 5.6230987E-4 | 243.30247 | 5.6E-4 | 1.1903058E-5 | 9.904915E-6 | 6.8989815E-4 | 69.65211 | 6.8E-4 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2058574E-4 | 0.001030476 | 8.545588 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012052105 | 0.0023638124 | 1.9613274 | 0.00116 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5663242E-6 | 3.6156576E-4 | 230.83713 | 3.6E-4 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.7128008E-6 | 4.2670997E-4 | 63.56661 | 4.2E-4 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.172533E-5 | 6.11682E-4 | 7.4846077 | 5.3E-4 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.1695727E-4 | 0.0015063935 | 1.8439074 | 6.9E-4 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3011246E-7 | 4.0430095E-5 | 93.99889 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8433377E-6 | 5.1843246E-5 | 28.124659 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2442407E-5 | 1.2244016E-4 | 5.45575 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.2440159E-4 | 3.4437465E-4 | 1.5346355 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0195636E-7 | 1.0101955E-5 | 99.08117 | 1.0E-5 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.3695576E-7 | 2.0436946E-5 | 46.771206 | 2.0E-5 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3199237E-6 | 2.5319818E-5 | 4.7594323 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.319799E-5 | 7.319693E-5 | 1.375934 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.6234614E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 6.9576913E-9 | 6.9576913E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.470989E-8 | 8.470989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.470986E-7 | 8.470986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 7.141271E-4 | 172.91016 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 9.576834E-4 | 54.106148 | 9.4E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.0014652084 | 6.7998147 | 0.00125 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.0038790102 | 1.8018991 | 0.00173 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 7.141271E-4 | 172.91016 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 9.576834E-4 | 54.106148 | 9.4E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.0014652084 | 6.7998147 | 0.00125 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.0038790102 | 1.8018991 | 0.00173 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 7.141271E-4 | 172.91016 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 9.576834E-4 | 54.106148 | 9.4E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.0014652084 | 6.7998147 | 0.00125 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.0038790102 | 1.8018991 | 0.00173 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 7.141271E-4 | 172.91016 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 9.576834E-4 | 54.106148 | 9.4E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.0014652084 | 6.7998147 | 0.00125 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.0038790102 | 1.8018991 | 0.00173 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.1300473E-6 | 7.141271E-4 | 172.91016 | 7.1E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.7700086E-5 | 9.576834E-4 | 54.106148 | 9.4E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.1547769E-4 | 0.0014652084 | 6.7998147 | 0.00125 | 0.0028100356 | 0.0021527344 | 0.0038790102 | 1.8018991 | 0.00173 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389938E-6 | 6.936365E-4 | 190.61217 | 6.9E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595595E-5 | 9.255814E-4 | 59.348896 | 9.1E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986003E-4 | 0.0014096284 | 7.4245663 | 0.00122 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969985 | 0.0035538494 | 1.8734066 | 0.00166 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.6389938E-6 | 6.936365E-4 | 190.61217 | 6.9E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5595595E-5 | 9.255814E-4 | 59.348896 | 9.1E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.8986003E-4 | 0.0014096284 | 7.4245663 | 0.00122 | 0.002561549 | 0.0018969985 | 0.0035538494 | 1.8734066 | 0.00166 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.5377846E-6 | 6.8353536E-4 | 193.21 | 6.8E-4 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.5161847E-5 | 9.151482E-4 | 60.358624 | 9.0E-4 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8458003E-4 | 0.0013843585 | 7.500045 | 0.0012 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018442862 | 0.00347128 | 1.8821807 | 0.00163 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.2271773E-6 | 6.432251E-4 | 199.31508 | 6.4E-4 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.3830687E-5 | 8.538191E-4 | 61.73367 | 8.4E-4 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.6837574E-4 | 0.0012681906 | 7.5319076 | 0.0011 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0016824955 | 0.0031799716 | 1.8900329 | 0.0015 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.0824556E-6 | 6.430805E-4 | 208.62604 | 6.4E-4 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3210458E-5 | 8.3319965E-4 | 63.071217 | 8.2E-4 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6082557E-4 | 0.001220655 | 7.589932 | 0.00106 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016071036 | 0.0030447894 | 1.8945819 | 0.00144 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.906849E-6 | 6.129051E-4 | 210.84862 | 6.1E-4 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2457865E-5 | 7.824483E-4 | 62.807575 | 7.7E-4 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5166405E-4 | 0.0011615108 | 7.6584454 | 0.00101 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015156163 | 0.0028835398 | 1.9025527 | 0.00137 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.8068569E-6 | 6.028052E-4 | 214.76164 | 6.0E-4 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2029332E-5 | 7.620203E-4 | 63.346855 | 7.5E-4 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.4644738E-4 | 0.0011263038 | 7.6908436 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0014635192 | 0.0027915728 | 1.9074384 | 0.00133 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.6289715E-6 | 5.4262753E-4 | 206.40297 | 5.4E-4 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1266973E-5 | 7.012592E-4 | 62.24025 | 6.9E-4 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.3716686E-4 | 0.0010270448 | 7.4875574 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0013708322 | 0.0025791735 | 1.8814654 | 0.00121 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.442392E-6 | 4.924412E-4 | 201.6225 | 4.9E-4 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0467353E-5 | 6.5046066E-4 | 62.141846 | 6.4E-4 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.2743266E-4 | 9.4732817E-4 | 7.4339504 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0018636974 | 0.001273606 | 0.0023522305 | 1.846906 | 0.00108 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.2738604E-6 | 4.3227288E-4 | 190.10527 | 4.3E-4 | 1.4361368E-5 | 9.745081E-6 | 5.697396E-4 | 58.464333 | 5.6E-4 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.1864E-4 | 8.485534E-4 | 7.1523385 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0011857765 | 0.0021446382 | 1.8086361 | 9.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 1.9792628E-6 | 3.5197858E-4 | 177.83318 | 3.5E-4 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.482528E-6 | 4.8847846E-4 | 57.586426 | 4.8E-4 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0326998E-4 | 7.432039E-4 | 7.196708 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010322296 | 0.0018613728 | 1.8032546 | 8.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4061364E-6 | 2.7140576E-4 | 193.01523 | 2.7E-4 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.026286E-6 | 3.6602412E-4 | 60.73793 | 3.6E-4 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.336764E-5 | 5.633317E-4 | 7.6782036 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0010500296 | 7.3344266E-4 | 0.001352988 | 1.8447086 | 6.2E-4 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 3.9045713E-7 | 5.0390438E-5 | 129.05498 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.6733868E-6 | 6.167329E-5 | 36.85537 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.0373318E-5 | 9.037189E-5 | 4.4357963 | 7.0E-5 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.0371692E-4 | 2.8370062E-4 | 1.3926218 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.00336216E-7 | 1.00336216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.3001228E-7 | 4.3001228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.235387E-6 | 5.235387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.235267E-5 | 5.235267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 2.9777041E-8 | 2.9777041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.2761589E-7 | 1.2761589E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5537224E-6 | 1.5537224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5537129E-5 | 1.5537129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 5.613074E-4 | 9.151043 | 5.0E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 9.126833E-4 | 3.472204 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0042626993 | 1.333711 | 0.00107 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.03304112 | 1.04695 | 0.00153 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.1338076E-5 | 5.613074E-4 | 9.151043 | 5.0E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.6285418E-4 | 9.126833E-4 | 3.472204 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003196119 | 0.0042626993 | 1.333711 | 0.00107 | 0.027504366 | 0.031559408 | 0.03304112 | 1.04695 | 0.00153 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.1594258E-4 | 8.322286 | 1.9E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 4.2116464E-4 | 3.7874818 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0018423903 | 1.3616539 | 4.9E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.01418283 | 1.0542672 | 7.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.594751E-5 | 2.1594258E-4 | 8.322286 | 1.9E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1119912E-4 | 4.2116464E-4 | 3.7874818 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013530533 | 0.0018423903 | 1.3616539 | 4.9E-4 | 0.012027155 | 0.013452785 | 0.01418283 | 1.0542672 | 7.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.18999E-5 | 1.9189618E-4 | 8.762423 | 1.7E-4 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.385355E-5 | 3.5382915E-4 | 3.7700133 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011421061 | 0.0015316607 | 1.3410844 | 3.9E-4 | 0.010206259 | 0.011366243 | 0.011949537 | 1.051318 | 5.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9262101E-5 | 1.692592E-4 | 8.787163 | 1.5E-4 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.254944E-5 | 3.1253046E-4 | 3.7859788 | 2.3E-4 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010046111 | 0.0013442695 | 1.3380995 | 3.4E-4 | 0.009008561 | 0.010004225 | 0.010519023 | 1.051458 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.5934824E-5 | 1.3593292E-4 | 8.530557 | 1.2E-4 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.829049E-5 | 2.482782E-4 | 3.6356192 | 1.8E-4 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.311499E-4 | 0.0010909338 | 1.3125596 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0074845953 | 0.0082834475 | 0.008699968 | 1.0502836 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.395179E-5 | 1.13950395E-4 | 8.167439 | 1.0E-4 | 5.414838E-5 | 5.9792175E-5 | 1.9978381E-4 | 3.3413036 | 1.4E-4 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.277554E-4 | 9.376026E-4 | 1.2883484 | 2.1E-4 | 0.006571059 | 0.0072565824 | 0.0076040425 | 1.0478821 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2634907E-5 | 1.1263364E-4 | 8.914481 | 1.0E-4 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.4148633E-5 | 1.9414106E-4 | 3.585336 | 1.4E-4 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.590884E-4 | 8.6895E-4 | 1.318412 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006574121 | 0.0069019515 | 1.0498668 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0005037E-5 | 1.0000414E-4 | 9.9953785 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.2878175E-5 | 1.5287346E-4 | 3.5652976 | 1.1E-4 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.2194326E-4 | 6.8185973E-4 | 1.3063867 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0052097817 | 0.0054584793 | 1.0477366 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.448277E-6 | 6.644789E-5 | 10.304751 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.7635306E-5 | 9.763337E-5 | 3.5329216 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.3643027E-4 | 4.264E-4 | 1.2674246 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0033614028 | 0.0035108984 | 1.0444742 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.1921103E-6 | 2.2192067E-5 | 10.123609 | 2.0E-5 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.394726E-6 | 2.9394538E-5 | 3.128834 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1437493E-4 | 1.3437265E-4 | 1.1748434 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011431758 | 0.0011831301 | 1.0349503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.160658E-6 | 2.2160615E-5 | 10.25642 | 2.0E-5 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.25993E-6 | 2.9259745E-5 | 3.1598234 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1273397E-4 | 1.3273171E-4 | 1.1773888 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011267829 | 0.0011667378 | 1.0354593 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7312143E-6 | 2.1731179E-5 | 12.552565 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4194695E-6 | 2.741932E-5 | 3.6955905 | 2.0E-5 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.032839E-5 | 1.1032658E-4 | 1.2213943 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0292573E-4 | 9.428896E-4 | 1.0442604 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4533775E-6 | 1.1453363E-5 | 7.8805146 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2287468E-6 | 1.6228685E-5 | 2.6054494 | 1.0E-5 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.5832424E-5 | 8.583166E-5 | 1.1318597 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.580727E-4 | 7.8804995E-4 | 1.039544 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2835433E-6 | 1.12835305E-5 | 8.790923 | 1.0E-5 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5008886E-6 | 1.5500833E-5 | 2.817878 | 1.0E-5 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.697133E-5 | 7.697066E-5 | 1.1493076 | 1.0E-5 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.695185E-4 | 6.8950513E-4 | 1.0298523 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.716935E-7 | 1.0671687E-5 | 15.8877325 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.8786835E-6 | 1.2878655E-5 | 4.4738 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5047466E-5 | 4.5047116E-5 | 1.2853173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5042508E-4 | 3.7041807E-4 | 1.0570536 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 4.4772474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.9188201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 2.3361613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 2.3361386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.4459723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.1970242E-9 | 6.1970242E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.5448774E-8 | 7.5448774E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.5448776E-7 | 7.5448776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.579433E-4 | 2.8851926 | 4.3E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.001486461 | 1.5215179 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012739776 | 1.0768441 | 9.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.11408724 | 1.0109268 | 0.00139 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.579433E-4 | 2.8851926 | 4.3E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.001486461 | 1.5215179 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012739776 | 1.0768441 | 9.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.11408724 | 1.0109268 | 0.00139 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 2.2804138E-4 | 6.579433E-4 | 2.8851926 | 4.3E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 9.769592E-4 | 0.001486461 | 1.5215179 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.0118306605 | 0.012739776 | 1.0768441 | 9.2E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.11285411 | 0.11408724 | 1.0109268 | 0.00139 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.176998E-4 | 6.476062E-4 | 2.974767 | 4.3E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326704E-4 | 0.0014421947 | 1.546307 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297125 | 0.012196844 | 1.0796415 | 9.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10818052 | 0.10940232 | 1.011294 | 0.00137 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 2.176998E-4 | 6.476062E-4 | 2.974767 | 4.3E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 9.326704E-4 | 0.0014421947 | 1.546307 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.011297125 | 0.012196844 | 1.0796415 | 9.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.10818052 | 0.10940232 | 1.011294 | 0.00137 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.0273999E-4 | 6.3265284E-4 | 3.1205132 | 4.3E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 8.6860073E-4 | 0.0013781578 | 1.5866412 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.010524813 | 0.01141534 | 1.0846123 | 9.0E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.10137125 | 0.102593385 | 1.012056 | 0.00136 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 1.6944943E-4 | 5.6938163E-4 | 3.3601863 | 4.0E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 7.2601164E-4 | 0.0012056632 | 1.6606665 | 4.8E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.0088037625 | 0.009646279 | 1.0956997 | 8.5E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.085937284 | 0.08707986 | 1.0132955 | 0.00125 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 1.5170795E-4 | 5.4164877E-4 | 3.5703387 | 3.9E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 6.50016E-4 | 0.0011197105 | 1.7225891 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.007885458 | 0.00868907 | 1.1019107 | 8.1E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.07775277 | 0.0788318 | 1.0138777 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 1.3851274E-4 | 4.68467E-4 | 3.3821225 | 3.3E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 5.934915E-4 | 9.8326E-4 | 1.6567383 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.0072019394 | 0.007896898 | 1.096496 | 7.0E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.071506314 | 0.07248124 | 1.013634 | 0.00105 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 1.3354386E-4 | 4.6349977E-4 | 3.4707685 | 3.3E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 5.7220575E-4 | 9.619826E-4 | 1.681183 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0069444617 | 0.0076296697 | 1.0986698 | 6.9E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.06919584 | 0.07016387 | 1.0139898 | 0.00104 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 1.2751074E-4 | 4.374712E-4 | 3.430858 | 3.1E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 5.4636056E-4 | 9.1615843E-4 | 1.6768384 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0066317515 | 0.0072873747 | 1.0988612 | 6.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.066347264 | 0.06728092 | 1.0140722 | 0.001 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.20078024E-4 | 4.000444E-4 | 3.3315372 | 2.8E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 5.14519E-4 | 8.5434405E-4 | 1.6604713 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.0062463614 | 0.006852551 | 1.0970469 | 6.1E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.06284419 | 0.063725114 | 1.0140176 | 9.4E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.0585438E-4 | 3.4582897E-4 | 3.2670257 | 2.4E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 4.5358282E-4 | 7.534468E-4 | 1.6611007 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.005508415 | 0.006075275 | 1.102908 | 5.7E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.05601582 | 0.056837086 | 1.0146613 | 8.7E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 9.711334E-5 | 3.3709002E-4 | 3.4710991 | 2.4E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 4.161337E-4 | 7.160089E-4 | 1.7206222 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.0050546736 | 0.0055819945 | 1.1043235 | 5.3E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.051846027 | 0.052614033 | 1.0148132 | 8.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 9.074769E-5 | 3.3072592E-4 | 3.6444554 | 2.4E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 3.8886073E-4 | 6.8874407E-4 | 1.7711844 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.0047241133 | 0.005231704 | 1.1074468 | 5.1E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.04876812 | 0.049510084 | 1.0152141 | 7.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 8.4942265E-5 | 3.0492357E-4 | 3.5897746 | 2.2E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 3.639875E-4 | 6.438856E-4 | 1.7689772 | 2.8E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.004422552 | 0.004900429 | 1.1080546 | 4.8E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.04592908 | 0.04662555 | 1.015164 | 7.3E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 8.1480146E-5 | 3.0146222E-4 | 3.6998243 | 2.2E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 3.491539E-4 | 6.190596E-4 | 1.773028 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0042426707 | 0.0047106766 | 1.1103092 | 4.7E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.044218007 | 0.04489661 | 1.0153468 | 7.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 7.302836E-5 | 2.630145E-4 | 3.6015391 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 3.1294115E-4 | 5.328723E-4 | 1.7027876 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0038034061 | 0.0042118467 | 1.1073881 | 4.1E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.039981093 | 0.040585905 | 1.0151274 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 6.6266824E-5 | 2.1625689E-4 | 3.263426 | 1.5E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 2.8396977E-4 | 4.4392433E-4 | 1.5632802 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0034518535 | 0.0037607835 | 1.0894969 | 3.1E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.03649854 | 0.03699956 | 1.0137272 | 5.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 4.697212E-5 | 1.1696883E-4 | 2.4901757 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 2.0129356E-4 | 2.7127945E-4 | 1.3476808 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0024479956 | 0.002607604 | 1.0651996 | 1.6E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.026216341 | 0.026508475 | 1.0111432 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 2.4596027E-5 | 6.459504E-5 | 2.6262388 | 4.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 1.05407285E-4 | 1.4540307E-4 | 1.3794404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0012825786 | 0.0013425016 | 1.0467207 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.013892401 | 0.014010734 | 1.0085179 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 7.122158E-6 | 7.122158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 3.0523177E-5 | 3.0523177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 3.7155644E-4 | 3.815527E-4 | 1.0269039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.004182664 | 0.0041926224 | 1.0023808 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 1.2529899E-6 | 1.2529899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 5.3699455E-6 | 5.3699455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 6.537713E-5 | 6.537713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 8.196723E-4 | 8.196723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 3.971488E-4 | 23.150171 | 3.8E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.234804E-4 | 8.48032 | 5.5E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.001753997 | 1.9602846 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010231587 | 1.1478828 | 0.00133 |
6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.715533E-5 | 3.971488E-4 | 23.150171 | 3.8E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.352087E-5 | 6.234804E-4 | 8.48032 | 5.5E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 8.9476653E-4 | 0.001753997 | 1.9602846 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0086101135 | 0.0089134425 | 0.010231587 | 1.1478828 | 0.00133 |
6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1304176E-5 | 2.3130169E-4 | 20.461615 | 2.2E-4 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.844559E-5 | 3.5843058E-4 | 7.3986216 | 3.1E-4 | 5.782728E-4 | 5.896687E-4 | 0.001099368 | 1.8643824 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0057677035 | 0.0058813896 | 0.0066866255 | 1.1369126 | 8.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.0369718E-5 | 2.3036744E-4 | 22.215399 | 2.2E-4 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.444091E-5 | 3.34428E-4 | 7.525229 | 2.9E-4 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.4093654E-4 | 0.0010206769 | 1.8868699 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0053125503 | 0.005396488 | 0.0061324947 | 1.1363863 | 7.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.156676E-6 | 1.7915512E-4 | 19.56552 | 1.7E-4 | 3.8863272E-5 | 3.924232E-5 | 2.692333E-4 | 6.86079 | 2.3E-4 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.7767244E-4 | 8.874766E-4 | 1.8579189 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0047205184 | 0.0047666584 | 0.0054235123 | 1.1378018 | 6.6E-4 |
6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.6047945E-6 | 1.4760373E-4 | 19.409298 | 1.4E-4 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.2591575E-5 | 2.2258538E-4 | 6.829537 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9678233E-4 | 3.9673146E-4 | 7.365966E-4 | 1.8566629 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0039607463 | 0.003960362 | 0.004528105 | 1.1433562 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.7849484E-6 | 1.0578437E-4 | 18.286139 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.4792402E-5 | 1.5478917E-4 | 6.243412 | 1.3E-4 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.0180576E-4 | 5.6172727E-4 | 1.8612212 | 2.6E-4 | 0.003068543 | 0.0030139713 | 0.003442675 | 1.1422389 | 4.3E-4 |
6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.5509804E-6 | 9.555048E-5 | 17.213263 | 9.0E-5 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.37897E-5 | 1.4378685E-4 | 6.04408 | 1.2E-4 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.896012E-4 | 5.295317E-4 | 1.8284858 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0029520073 | 0.0028922495 | 0.0032811216 | 1.1344532 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.401033E-6 | 8.54006E-5 | 15.811901 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.314708E-5 | 1.3314454E-4 | 5.7521095 | 1.1E-4 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8177933E-4 | 5.1171455E-4 | 1.8160115 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0028769306 | 0.0028142317 | 0.0031931624 | 1.134648 | 3.8E-4 |
6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.1660427E-6 | 7.5165684E-5 | 14.549954 | 7.0E-5 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.2139995E-5 | 1.2213778E-4 | 5.516613 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.6952117E-4 | 4.7946456E-4 | 1.7789496 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0027603607 | 0.002691953 | 0.0030509837 | 1.133372 | 3.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 4.9671926E-6 | 7.496685E-5 | 15.092398 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1287795E-5 | 1.1128588E-4 | 5.2276845 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.5914816E-4 | 4.490989E-4 | 1.7329813 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0026610855 | 0.0025884688 | 0.0029176145 | 1.1271585 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.695057E-6 | 7.4694726E-5 | 15.909226 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.0121519E-5 | 1.10119705E-4 | 5.4727335 | 9.0E-5 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.44952E-4 | 4.2490792E-4 | 1.7346578 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0025258875 | 0.002446828 | 0.0027560694 | 1.1263846 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.377811E-6 | 7.43775E-5 | 16.989656 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.8761912E-5 | 1.0876022E-4 | 5.7968626 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.284024E-4 | 4.083613E-4 | 1.7879028 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0023689792 | 0.0022816837 | 0.002571022 | 1.1268091 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.5950854E-6 | 4.359494E-5 | 12.12626 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5407419E-5 | 5.5406803E-5 | 3.596112 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.8756921E-4 | 3.075467E-4 | 1.6396439 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001977751 | 0.0018741135 | 0.00208372 | 1.111843 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.6792582E-6 | 4.2679152E-5 | 15.929465 | 4.0E-5 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1482485E-5 | 5.1482024E-5 | 4.4835267 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.3979031E-4 | 2.3977633E-4 | 1.7152572 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014642165 | 0.0013970264 | 0.0015568028 | 1.114369 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.7940209E-6 | 2.1793985E-5 | 12.148122 | 2.0E-5 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.688638E-6 | 2.7688484E-5 | 3.6012208 | 2.0E-5 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.360517E-5 | 1.6359863E-4 | 1.747752 | 7.0E-5 | 9.5863023E-4 | 9.356594E-4 | 0.0010355659 | 1.1067765 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.0844291E-6 | 1.10844185E-5 | 10.221432 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.6475448E-6 | 1.4647499E-5 | 3.1516635 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.6582405E-5 | 7.658127E-5 | 1.3534467 | 2.0E-5 | 5.890623E-4 | 5.656816E-4 | 6.05659E-4 | 1.0706712 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.5284366E-7 | 4.5284366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.9407573E-6 | 1.9407573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.3628474E-5 | 2.3628474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642638E-4 | 2.3626072E-4 | 2.3626072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 6.361338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 2.7262874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.31925E-6 | 3.31925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.671434E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 3.319202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.5305057E-4 | 6.19952 | 3.8E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 8.1300165E-4 | 2.596137 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004543747 | 1.1936611 | 7.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038682554 | 1.0323671 | 0.00126 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.5305057E-4 | 6.19952 | 3.8E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 8.1300165E-4 | 2.596137 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004543747 | 1.1936611 | 7.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038682554 | 1.0323671 | 0.00126 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.307832E-5 | 4.5305057E-4 | 6.19952 | 3.8E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.1315823E-4 | 8.1300165E-4 | 2.596137 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0038065636 | 0.004543747 | 1.1936611 | 7.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.037469767 | 0.038682554 | 1.0323671 | 0.00126 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 2.8788712E-4 | 6.010344 | 2.4E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.152011E-4 | 2.5099347 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0029353402 | 1.175811 | 4.4E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025436772 | 1.0296079 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.7898608E-5 | 2.8788712E-4 | 6.010344 | 2.4E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.0526476E-4 | 5.152011E-4 | 2.5099347 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0024964386 | 0.0029353402 | 1.175811 | 4.4E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.0247053 | 0.025436772 | 1.0296079 | 7.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.5319634E-5 | 1.9531399E-4 | 5.529898 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.513617E-4 | 3.5133143E-4 | 2.3211381 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0018413815 | 0.0021308474 | 1.1572005 | 2.9E-4 | 0.015794903 | 0.018272636 | 0.018773317 | 1.0274006 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.3941466E-5 | 1.8393637E-4 | 5.419223 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.4545594E-4 | 3.3542828E-4 | 2.3060474 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0017695955 | 0.0020491001 | 1.1579483 | 2.8E-4 | 0.015149189 | 0.017566137 | 0.01804753 | 1.0274045 | 4.9E-4 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.6353702E-5 | 1.363508E-4 | 5.173877 | 1.1E-4 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.12940026E-4 | 2.4292535E-4 | 2.1509233 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001192729 | 0.001374263 | 0.0015739881 | 1.1453326 | 2.0E-4 | 0.011863477 | 0.013666247 | 0.01403119 | 1.026704 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.4592096E-5 | 1.345894E-4 | 5.472872 | 1.1E-4 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.05390915E-4 | 2.3537721E-4 | 2.233373 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001112141 | 0.0012824632 | 0.0014722195 | 1.1479625 | 1.9E-4 | 0.011065915 | 0.012759039 | 0.013094702 | 1.0263078 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.1877471E-5 | 1.2187528E-4 | 5.570812 | 1.0E-4 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.3757684E-5 | 2.1374643E-4 | 2.2797751 | 1.2E-4 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011409834 | 0.0013107895 | 1.1488243 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009869894 | 0.011359346 | 0.011675711 | 1.0278506 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 1.9661622E-5 | 1.1965966E-4 | 6.0859504 | 1.0E-4 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.426182E-5 | 2.0425172E-4 | 2.4240127 | 1.2E-4 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010254843 | 0.0011853202 | 1.1558639 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008882134 | 0.010215383 | 0.010522216 | 1.0300364 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8379606E-5 | 1.1837777E-4 | 6.440713 | 1.0E-4 | 6.849585E-5 | 7.876781E-5 | 1.9875835E-4 | 2.523345 | 1.2E-4 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.586551E-4 | 0.0011185016 | 1.1667405 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008304977 | 0.00955299 | 0.009850125 | 1.0311037 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.6639548E-5 | 8.6638385E-5 | 5.206775 | 7.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.131084E-5 | 1.6130442E-4 | 2.2619903 | 9.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.679419E-4 | 9.97829E-4 | 1.1496496 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007520827 | 0.008653227 | 0.008901063 | 1.028641 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.016325E-6 | 2.6016205E-5 | 4.3242683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.578418E-5 | 4.5783665E-5 | 1.7756494 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.1390967E-4 | 3.538971E-4 | 1.1273851 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0031378502 | 0.0032175991 | 1.0254152 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.38535E-7 | 2.0838519E-5 | 24.8511 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.593717E-6 | 2.3593646E-5 | 6.5652485 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.37527E-5 | 6.3751824E-5 | 1.4570947 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3744803E-4 | 4.674349E-4 | 1.0685496 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6480425E-7 | 2.0664791E-5 | 31.084024 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8491581E-6 | 2.28491E-5 | 8.019597 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4688015E-5 | 5.4687323E-5 | 1.576548 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4683262E-4 | 3.768222E-4 | 1.086467 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5512568E-7 | 1.0355122E-5 | 29.159035 | 1.0E-5 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5219665E-6 | 1.1521951E-5 | 7.5704365 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8529832E-5 | 2.8529646E-5 | 1.5396603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8528744E-4 | 2.0528374E-4 | 1.1079204 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.216038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 5.2115905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 6.345094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 6.3449166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 3.092328E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.3252834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.6135317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.613522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.2944844E-4 | 14.577227 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002385213 | 1.5523485 | 8.5E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.01644577 | 1.0746396 | 0.00116 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.2944844E-4 | 14.577227 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002385213 | 1.5523485 | 8.5E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.01644577 | 1.0746396 | 0.00116 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.2944844E-4 | 14.577227 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002385213 | 1.5523485 | 8.5E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.01644577 | 1.0746396 | 0.00116 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 2.946023E-5 | 4.2944844E-4 | 14.577227 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.2625458E-4 | 6.5618765E-4 | 5.1973376 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015365192 | 0.002385213 | 1.5523485 | 8.5E-4 | 0.015361829 | 0.015303522 | 0.01644577 | 1.0746396 | 0.00116 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0016292E-5 | 1.1001529E-4 | 10.983634 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.2926284E-5 | 1.8292027E-4 | 4.2612653 | 1.4E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.323964E-4 | 1.4016992 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.0054817745 | 1.0515218 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0016292E-5 | 1.1001529E-4 | 10.983634 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.2926284E-5 | 1.8292027E-4 | 4.2612653 | 1.4E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.2250613E-4 | 7.323964E-4 | 1.4016992 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005213182 | 0.0054817745 | 1.0515218 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.442548E-6 | 8.844187E-5 | 10.475733 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.6181857E-5 | 1.5617751E-4 | 4.3164597 | 1.2E-4 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.404267E-4 | 6.30343E-4 | 1.4312098 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005855706 | 0.004395708 | 0.004634653 | 1.0543587 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.695583E-6 | 8.769497E-5 | 11.3954935 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.298066E-5 | 1.529767E-4 | 4.638376 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.0146674E-4 | 5.813945E-4 | 1.4481759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0040075392 | 0.0042366176 | 1.0571618 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.67753E-6 | 8.767692E-5 | 11.419937 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.2903296E-5 | 1.5289935E-4 | 4.646931 | 1.2E-4 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.0052517E-4 | 5.804531E-4 | 1.44923 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005451347 | 0.0039981576 | 0.004227238 | 1.0572965 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.3104753E-6 | 6.6310095E-5 | 10.50794 | 6.0E-5 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7044616E-5 | 1.2704192E-4 | 4.6974936 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.2921875E-4 | 4.6917266E-4 | 1.4251091 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004724967 | 0.0032873456 | 0.0034567867 | 1.0515435 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.0398725E-6 | 6.603951E-5 | 10.933925 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.5884912E-5 | 1.2588232E-4 | 4.8631544 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.151035E-4 | 4.5505937E-4 | 1.4441584 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0031465967 | 0.0033160618 | 1.0538566 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.790535E-6 | 6.5790184E-5 | 11.361677 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.4816343E-5 | 1.2481386E-4 | 5.0295024 | 1.0E-4 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.0209732E-4 | 4.4205502E-4 | 1.4632868 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004368907 | 0.0030168945 | 0.0031863814 | 1.0561793 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.34302E-6 | 6.53427E-5 | 12.229545 | 6.0E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.2898457E-5 | 1.128964E-4 | 4.930306 | 9.0E-5 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.7875326E-4 | 4.0871702E-4 | 1.4662323 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0027840585 | 0.0029436129 | 1.0573101 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.5221045E-6 | 5.452188E-5 | 12.056748 | 5.0E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9380304E-5 | 9.9378754E-5 | 5.127822 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.3592981E-4 | 3.559015E-4 | 1.5085058 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033722918 | 0.002356809 | 0.0025064556 | 1.0634954 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.783853E-6 | 5.3783664E-5 | 14.213994 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6216412E-5 | 8.621528E-5 | 5.3165445 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 1.9741706E-4 | 2.9739732E-4 | 1.5064418 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0019724306 | 0.002092194 | 1.0607187 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5130112E-6 | 5.2512885E-5 | 20.8964 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.0770004E-5 | 8.076925E-5 | 7.4994636 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.31117E-4 | 2.311039E-4 | 1.7625775 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013104064 | 0.0014302491 | 1.0914546 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5087E-6 | 2.150867E-5 | 14.256426 | 2.0E-5 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.4658416E-6 | 3.6465648E-5 | 5.639737 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1951787E-4 | 7.871884E-5 | 1.18715696E-4 | 1.5080975 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011945361 | 7.8691595E-4 | 8.368766E-4 | 1.0634892 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3360695E-7 | 1.0333603E-5 | 30.975386 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4297433E-6 | 1.1429729E-5 | 7.9942527 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7407E-5 | 2.7406824E-5 | 1.5744716 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7405768E-4 | 1.940542E-4 | 1.1148844 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 6.501588E-4 | 2.4056656 | 3.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.001657247 | 1.4313438 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014784351 | 1.0541314 | 7.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13099447 | 1.0070893 | 0.00106 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 6.501588E-4 | 2.4056656 | 3.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.001657247 | 1.4313438 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014784351 | 1.0541314 | 7.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13099447 | 1.0070893 | 0.00106 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.702615E-4 | 6.501588E-4 | 2.4056656 | 3.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0011578259 | 0.001657247 | 1.4313438 | 5.0E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.01402515 | 0.014784351 | 1.0541314 | 7.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13007236 | 0.13099447 | 1.0070893 | 0.00106 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324296E-4 | 4.0320377E-4 | 2.4699612 | 2.4E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.9952646E-4 | 9.993166E-4 | 1.4285616 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501448 | 0.009017027 | 1.060646 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099204 | 0.08166292 | 1.0082833 | 7.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.6324296E-4 | 4.0320377E-4 | 2.4699612 | 2.4E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 6.9952646E-4 | 9.993166E-4 | 1.4285616 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.008501448 | 0.009017027 | 1.060646 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08099204 | 0.08166292 | 1.0082833 | 7.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.1519936E-5 | 8.151827E-5 | 1.9633527 | 4.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.7793213E-4 | 2.2792323E-4 | 1.280956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0021644684 | 0.002264252 | 1.0461007 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.021366905 | 0.0215137 | 1.0068702 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.3197495E-5 | 5.31968E-5 | 2.2932131 | 3.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 9.941424E-5 | 1.3941026E-4 | 1.4023168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0012097296 | 0.0012796449 | 1.0577942 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.012047484 | 0.012156159 | 1.0090206 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 1.9576639E-5 | 3.9576247E-5 | 2.0216057 | 2.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 8.3897336E-5 | 1.03895654E-4 | 1.2383666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0010209981 | 0.0010709472 | 1.0489217 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.010176432 | 0.010265516 | 1.008754 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.3060513E-5 | 2.3060382E-5 | 1.7656567 | 1.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 5.5972447E-5 | 6.5971886E-5 | 1.1786493 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 6.812555E-4 | 7.012419E-4 | 1.0293375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.006796266 | 0.006826062 | 1.0043842 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.1251297E-5 | 2.1251184E-5 | 1.8887764 | 1.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 4.8218968E-5 | 5.8218488E-5 | 1.2073773 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 5.869104E-4 | 6.068986E-4 | 1.0340568 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.005857584 | 0.0058874083 | 1.0050915 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.0446845E-5 | 2.0446741E-5 | 1.9572167 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.477144E-5 | 5.4770993E-5 | 1.2233467 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.4495834E-4 | 5.6494743E-4 | 1.0366801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.0054397727 | 0.0054696095 | 1.0054849 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 9.35486E-6 | 1.9354766E-5 | 2.068953 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.009165E-5 | 5.009125E-5 | 1.2494185 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 4.8800863E-4 | 5.0799886E-4 | 1.0409629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.00487254 | 0.004902394 | 1.006127 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 7.78772E-6 | 1.7787643E-5 | 2.2840629 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.3375527E-5 | 4.3375192E-5 | 1.2996107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.0627268E-4 | 4.2626457E-4 | 1.049208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.0040565925 | 0.0040864707 | 1.0073653 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 6.646271E-6 | 1.6646205E-5 | 2.5045931 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3502816E-5 | 2.8483713E-5 | 3.8483427E-5 | 1.3510678 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.4673524E-4 | 3.667283E-4 | 1.0576609 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.0034622527 | 0.0034821834 | 1.0057566 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 5.8420524E-6 | 1.5841993E-5 | 2.7117171 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.5037134E-5 | 3.5036883E-5 | 1.3993968 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.0478562E-4 | 3.1478258E-4 | 1.0328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0030437992 | 0.0030537688 | 1.0032754 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 4.804952E-6 | 1.4804904E-5 | 3.0811763 | 1.0E-5 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.0592493E-5 | 3.0592288E-5 | 1.4856038 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.506858E-4 | 2.6068333E-4 | 1.0398805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002504136 | 0.0025141109 | 1.0039834 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.307058E-6 | 4.307058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 1.8458695E-5 | 1.8458695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.2471242E-4 | 2.2471242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.00224495 | 0.00224495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.1191727E-6 | 2.1191727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.08214E-6 | 9.08214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.1057008E-4 | 1.1057008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0011052119 | 0.0011052119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 3.32334E-4 | 26.935934 | 3.2E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 4.8285312E-4 | 9.131827 | 4.3E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.001303153 | 2.024857 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0075304196 | 1.1733998 | 0.00112 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 3.32334E-4 | 26.935934 | 3.2E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 4.8285312E-4 | 9.131827 | 4.3E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.001303153 | 2.024857 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0075304196 | 1.1733998 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 3.32334E-4 | 26.935934 | 3.2E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 4.8285312E-4 | 9.131827 | 4.3E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.001303153 | 2.024857 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0075304196 | 1.1733998 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2337941E-5 | 3.32334E-4 | 26.935934 | 3.2E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.2875846E-5 | 4.8285312E-4 | 9.131827 | 4.3E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.435778E-4 | 0.001303153 | 2.024857 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0064176074 | 0.0075304196 | 1.1733998 | 0.00112 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2318867E-5 | 3.3231493E-4 | 26.976093 | 3.2E-4 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.2794105E-5 | 4.827714E-4 | 9.144419 | 4.3E-4 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.425831E-4 | 0.001302159 | 2.0264444 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0064077186 | 0.007520542 | 1.1736692 | 0.00112 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1089504E-5 | 2.710866E-4 | 24.445333 | 2.6E-4 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.7525595E-5 | 4.075085E-4 | 8.574506 | 3.6E-4 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.784731E-4 | 0.0011481433 | 1.9847827 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0057699485 | 0.006714467 | 1.1636962 | 9.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1080756E-5 | 2.7107788E-4 | 24.463844 | 2.6E-4 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.74881E-5 | 4.07471E-4 | 8.580486 | 3.6E-4 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.7801686E-4 | 0.0011476874 | 1.9855604 | 5.7E-4 | 0.005844661 | 0.00576541 | 0.006709933 | 1.1638258 | 9.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1075614E-5 | 2.7107273E-4 | 24.474737 | 2.6E-4 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.7466066E-5 | 4.0744897E-4 | 8.584005 | 3.6E-4 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.777487E-4 | 0.0011474194 | 1.9860181 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0057627424 | 0.006707268 | 1.163902 | 9.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0012428E-5 | 2.6000993E-4 | 25.96872 | 2.5E-4 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.290971E-5 | 3.8289512E-4 | 8.923274 | 3.4E-4 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.223025E-4 | 0.0010520257 | 2.0142076 | 5.3E-4 | 0.005335517 | 0.0052109673 | 0.0061062775 | 1.1718127 | 9.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 8.926041E-6 | 2.2892408E-4 | 25.646765 | 2.2E-4 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.825391E-5 | 3.3824245E-4 | 8.842035 | 3.0E-4 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.6564342E-4 | 9.354246E-4 | 2.008886 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0048161 | 0.0046468447 | 0.005463034 | 1.1756438 | 8.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.089276E-6 | 1.8808783E-4 | 23.251503 | 1.8E-4 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.466787E-5 | 2.5466023E-4 | 7.345713 | 2.2E-4 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.2200097E-4 | 7.7185326E-4 | 1.829032 | 3.5E-4 | 0.004412184 | 0.004212141 | 0.004869361 | 1.1560299 | 6.6E-4 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.1349824E-6 | 1.4613413E-4 | 23.81981 | 1.4E-4 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6292519E-5 | 2.0628779E-4 | 7.845874 | 1.8E-4 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.200648E-4 | 6.09972E-4 | 1.9057765 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0031960828 | 0.0037243888 | 1.165298 | 5.3E-4 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 4.9948517E-6 | 1.14994305E-4 | 23.022568 | 1.1E-4 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1406331E-5 | 1.5140355E-4 | 7.0728397 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6059104E-4 | 4.8053372E-4 | 1.8440146 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026028706 | 0.0030118034 | 1.1571084 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.867591E-6 | 5.38674E-5 | 13.927894 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6575284E-5 | 6.657446E-5 | 4.0164895 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.017855E-4 | 3.2176127E-4 | 1.5945709 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020160323 | 0.0022555485 | 1.1188058 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.6334872E-6 | 3.263341E-5 | 12.39171 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.12863245E-5 | 4.1285984E-5 | 3.658054 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.3740239E-4 | 2.2739002E-4 | 1.6549205 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0013731791 | 0.0015229732 | 1.1090856 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8468447E-6 | 3.184679E-5 | 17.24389 | 3.0E-5 | 8.540134E-6 | 7.915025E-6 | 3.7914786E-5 | 4.79023 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.6361204E-5 | 1.8635252E-4 | 1.9338958 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010392254 | 9.631976E-4 | 0.0010730916 | 1.114093 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.1863096E-6 | 1.1186298E-5 | 9.429492 | 1.0E-5 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.0841745E-6 | 1.5084123E-5 | 2.9668777 | 1.0E-5 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.1898085E-5 | 8.189685E-5 | 1.3230917 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.188103E-4 | 6.587856E-4 | 1.0646001 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.01127E-7 | 6.01127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.576256E-6 | 2.576256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.1365482E-5 | 3.1365482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.136119E-4 | 3.136119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.232305E-7 | 2.232305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 9.567018E-7 | 9.567018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.1647785E-5 | 1.1647785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.16472045E-4 | 1.16472045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 4.9995048E-8 | 4.9995048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.1426447E-7 | 2.1426447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.608668E-6 | 2.608668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.6086485E-5 | 2.6086485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.3715913E-5 | 3.1370902E-4 | 13.227786 | 2.9E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0163625E-4 | 5.115946E-4 | 5.0335836 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012368218 | 0.0019159807 | 1.5491163 | 6.8E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.012309607 | 0.013346682 | 1.0842493 | 0.00105 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1223966E-5 | 1.01222955E-4 | 9.018466 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.810185E-5 | 1.9809464E-4 | 4.118233 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.854874E-4 | 8.453352E-4 | 1.4438145 | 2.6E-4 | 0.005516363 | 0.005839936 | 0.0062475414 | 1.0697962 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0846996E-5 | 1.0084602E-4 | 9.297138 | 9.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.6486322E-5 | 1.7648027E-4 | 3.7963915 | 1.3E-4 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.6582864E-4 | 8.0569286E-4 | 1.4239167 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005644355 | 0.0060222102 | 1.0669439 | 3.8E-4 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.569821E-6 | 9.956896E-5 | 10.404475 | 9.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1012892E-5 | 1.6100798E-4 | 3.925789 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7208337E-4 | 4.9922155E-4 | 7.191117E-4 | 1.440466 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0047108172 | 0.004981406 | 0.0052998117 | 1.063919 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.150835E-6 | 9.915001E-5 | 10.835079 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9217295E-5 | 1.5921259E-4 | 4.0597544 | 1.2E-4 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.773699E-4 | 6.972649E-4 | 1.4606385 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004505487 | 0.0047638444 | 0.005072368 | 1.0647635 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.873088E-6 | 9.887229E-5 | 11.1429405 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8026985E-5 | 1.5802242E-4 | 4.155534 | 1.2E-4 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6288417E-4 | 6.827823E-4 | 1.4750609 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046195984 | 0.0049182125 | 1.0646408 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.2891986E-6 | 6.628882E-5 | 10.540107 | 6.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.6953432E-5 | 1.0695127E-4 | 3.968002 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.2810916E-4 | 4.8805666E-4 | 1.4874825 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00310772 | 0.0032763039 | 0.0034756486 | 1.0608444 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.139128E-6 | 6.513882E-5 | 12.675073 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2024651E-5 | 1.0202289E-4 | 4.6322136 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.6811755E-4 | 4.2807465E-4 | 1.5965931 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0025417898 | 0.002677986 | 0.0028774503 | 1.074483 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.0887894E-6 | 6.408854E-5 | 15.674211 | 6.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7523267E-5 | 7.7522214E-5 | 4.4239593 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1332529E-4 | 3.2330182E-4 | 1.5155344 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021312458 | 0.0022709474 | 1.0655493 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4096697E-6 | 1.1409656E-5 | 8.09385 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.0414277E-6 | 1.6041367E-5 | 2.655228 | 1.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.3551935E-5 | 9.3550465E-5 | 1.2718967 | 2.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.352798E-4 | 7.552651E-4 | 1.0271806 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.2733176E-7 | 1.06273255E-5 | 16.94052 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.688562E-6 | 1.2688535E-5 | 4.7194505 | 1.0E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.2732765E-5 | 4.2732438E-5 | 1.3054943 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.27281E-4 | 3.3727774E-4 | 1.0305448 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 2.2350045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.578588E-7 | 9.578588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1661879E-5 | 1.1661879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1661376E-4 | 1.1661376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.532053E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 6.565942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 7.994032E-7 | 7.994032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 7.994011E-6 | 7.994011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 4.8536394E-4 | 90.443115 | 4.8E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 6.429849E-4 | 27.956915 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010997502 | 3.9279635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.003913269 | 1.3993948 | 0.00112 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 4.8536394E-4 | 90.443115 | 4.8E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 6.429849E-4 | 27.956915 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010997502 | 3.9279635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.003913269 | 1.3993948 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 4.8536394E-4 | 90.443115 | 4.8E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 6.429849E-4 | 27.956915 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010997502 | 3.9279635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.003913269 | 1.3993948 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 4.8536394E-4 | 90.443115 | 4.8E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 6.429849E-4 | 27.956915 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010997502 | 3.9279635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.003913269 | 1.3993948 | 0.00112 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.366511E-6 | 4.8536394E-4 | 90.443115 | 4.8E-4 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2999136E-5 | 6.429849E-4 | 27.956915 | 6.2E-4 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.7997972E-4 | 0.0010997502 | 3.9279635 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0029430336 | 0.002796401 | 0.003913269 | 1.3993948 | 0.00112 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088824E-6 | 4.3440697E-4 | 98.52996 | 4.3E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895078E-5 | 5.588849E-4 | 29.578331 | 5.4E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.300241E-4 | 9.498585E-4 | 4.129387 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979497 | 0.0032856746 | 1.4298289 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.4088824E-6 | 4.3440697E-4 | 98.52996 | 4.3E-4 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.8895078E-5 | 5.588849E-4 | 29.578331 | 5.4E-4 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.300241E-4 | 9.498585E-4 | 4.129387 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0022979497 | 0.0032856746 | 1.4298289 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 3.9311553E-6 | 4.3392947E-4 | 110.38217 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.6847704E-5 | 5.568386E-4 | 33.051308 | 5.4E-4 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.0510217E-4 | 9.249545E-4 | 4.5097256 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0020492063 | 0.0030172186 | 1.472384 | 9.7E-4 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 3.7992286E-6 | 4.1379768E-4 | 108.91624 | 4.1E-4 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.628231E-5 | 5.362738E-4 | 32.935978 | 5.2E-4 | 2.1485193E-4 | 1.9821979E-4 | 8.78085E-4 | 4.4298553 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0019805063 | 0.0028986845 | 1.4636077 | 9.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.5388946E-6 | 4.1353743E-4 | 116.85497 | 4.1E-4 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.5166606E-5 | 5.3515873E-4 | 35.28533 | 5.2E-4 | 2.0159081E-4 | 1.8463844E-4 | 8.6451287E-4 | 4.6821933 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0020140803 | 0.0018449234 | 0.0027532445 | 1.4923354 | 9.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.365692E-6 | 3.8336442E-4 | 113.903595 | 3.8E-4 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.4424319E-5 | 5.044172E-4 | 34.96992 | 4.9E-4 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.7560257E-4 | 8.254884E-4 | 4.7008905 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0019260074 | 0.00175471 | 0.0026132008 | 1.4892495 | 8.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.2344103E-6 | 3.7323323E-4 | 115.39452 | 3.7E-4 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.3861688E-5 | 4.9385504E-4 | 35.62734 | 4.8E-4 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.6875363E-4 | 8.086456E-4 | 4.791871 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0018603588 | 0.001686326 | 0.0025348926 | 1.5032043 | 8.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.4444348E-6 | 3.3244363E-4 | 136.0002 | 3.3E-4 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.04761075E-5 | 4.304717E-4 | 41.090805 | 4.2E-4 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.2753923E-4 | 6.7746907E-4 | 5.3118486 | 5.5E-4 | 0.001461157 | 0.0012746772 | 0.002013734 | 1.579799 | 7.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.2177046E-6 | 3.3221697E-4 | 149.80219 | 3.3E-4 | 1.1075529E-5 | 9.504413E-6 | 4.0950062E-4 | 43.08531 | 4.0E-4 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.1571017E-4 | 6.2565116E-4 | 5.4070544 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0013475444 | 0.001156515 | 0.0018357285 | 1.5872934 | 6.8E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.074605E-6 | 3.0207398E-4 | 145.60555 | 3.0E-4 | 1.04847295E-5 | 8.891135E-6 | 3.7888784E-4 | 42.614117 | 3.7E-4 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.0824426E-4 | 5.781934E-4 | 5.341562 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0012757082 | 0.001081931 | 0.0017012602 | 1.5724294 | 6.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.6173791E-6 | 2.8161693E-4 | 174.11931 | 2.8E-4 | 8.751514E-6 | 6.9316065E-6 | 3.4692924E-4 | 50.05034 | 3.4E-4 | 1.0654447E-4 | 8.4389074E-5 | 5.2435196E-4 | 6.2135053 | 4.4E-4 | 0.001064934 | 8.4358116E-4 | 0.0014330834 | 1.6988093 | 5.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.3901619E-6 | 2.613898E-4 | 188.02832 | 2.6E-4 | 7.854232E-6 | 5.957823E-6 | 3.0595603E-4 | 51.353664 | 3.0E-4 | 9.562107E-5 | 7.25341E-5 | 4.4250727E-4 | 6.100679 | 3.7E-4 | 9.5579936E-4 | 7.251141E-4 | 0.0012447371 | 1.7166085 | 5.2E-4 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.0297922E-6 | 1.910296E-4 | 185.50307 | 1.9E-4 | 6.3372695E-6 | 4.4133876E-6 | 2.2441242E-4 | 50.84811 | 2.2E-4 | 7.715353E-5 | 5.3731677E-5 | 3.2371716E-4 | 6.0246987 | 2.7E-4 | 7.7126746E-4 | 5.371939E-4 | 9.469737E-4 | 1.7628154 | 4.1E-4 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 4.3016306E-7 | 2.0430154E-5 | 47.493977 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2989474E-6 | 1.8435546E-6 | 3.1843498E-5 | 17.27288 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0163945E-5 | 2.2445049E-5 | 5.2444375E-5 | 2.3365676 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0156685E-4 | 2.2443048E-4 | 2.7441926E-4 | 1.2227361 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 4.994006E-8 | 4.994006E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 2.140288E-7 | 2.140288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 2.6057976E-6 | 2.6057976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 2.605857E-5 | 2.605857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 8.509623E-9 | 8.509623E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 3.646981E-8 | 3.646981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 4.4401983E-7 | 4.4401983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 4.4410867E-6 | 4.4410867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 3.577074E-9 | 3.577074E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 1.5330317E-8 | 1.5330317E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 1.8664657E-7 | 1.8664657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 1.8673614E-6 | 1.8673614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 3.5050984E-10 | 3.5050984E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 1.5021846E-9 | 1.5021846E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 1.8289096E-8 | 1.8289096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 1.8329779E-7 | 1.8329779E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.1112735E-4 | 6.781476 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.0338482E-4 | 3.023402 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.002122508 | 1.3075109 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01693463 | 1.0500237 | 8.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.1112735E-4 | 6.781476 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.0338482E-4 | 3.023402 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.002122508 | 1.3075109 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01693463 | 1.0500237 | 8.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1132946E-5 | 2.1112735E-4 | 6.781476 | 1.8E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3342084E-4 | 4.0338482E-4 | 3.023402 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016233196 | 0.002122508 | 1.3075109 | 5.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016127853 | 0.01693463 | 1.0500237 | 8.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.1757757E-4 | 6.6884 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.1532735E-4 | 2.8581545 | 1.4E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0011866231 | 1.29421 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009608313 | 1.0520784 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7579327E-5 | 1.1757757E-4 | 6.6884 | 1.0E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.53379E-5 | 2.1532735E-4 | 2.8581545 | 1.4E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.1687066E-4 | 0.0011866231 | 1.29421 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008642701 | 0.009132697 | 0.009608313 | 1.0520784 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.2886588E-5 | 9.288556E-5 | 7.2079253 | 8.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5227083E-5 | 1.65221E-4 | 2.9916663 | 1.1E-4 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.721859E-4 | 8.620582E-4 | 1.2824699 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006701915 | 0.0070297034 | 1.0489097 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1026053E-5 | 9.102517E-5 | 8.255464 | 8.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7253667E-5 | 1.5724848E-4 | 3.3277516 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.751637E-4 | 7.450659E-4 | 1.295398 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005458487 | 0.0057369857 | 0.0060352646 | 1.0519923 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.130385E-6 | 7.912974E-5 | 8.666638 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9129634E-5 | 1.3912572E-4 | 3.5555077 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.7629973E-4 | 6.262283E-4 | 1.3147777 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004752855 | 0.004991714 | 1.050256 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.715896E-6 | 7.871528E-5 | 9.031233 | 7.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7353304E-5 | 1.3734958E-4 | 3.6770391 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.54682E-4 | 5.846229E-4 | 1.2857841 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045375694 | 0.0047565713 | 1.0482641 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.467425E-6 | 7.846683E-5 | 9.266906 | 7.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.628846E-5 | 1.3628483E-4 | 3.7555969 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4172286E-4 | 5.716654E-4 | 1.2941722 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044084988 | 0.004627529 | 1.0496836 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 7.984549E-6 | 7.798399E-5 | 9.766863 | 7.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4219047E-5 | 1.2421596E-4 | 3.6300242 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.1653763E-4 | 5.3648767E-4 | 1.2879692 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003966579 | 0.0041576154 | 0.004356784 | 1.0479045 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.462611E-6 | 7.7462086E-5 | 10.380025 | 7.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.198223E-5 | 1.2197935E-4 | 3.813973 | 9.0E-5 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.893144E-4 | 5.092677E-4 | 1.3081142 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003709526 | 0.0038863658 | 0.0040756273 | 1.0486989 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.7512983E-6 | 6.6750894E-5 | 9.887119 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.8933815E-5 | 9.893179E-5 | 3.4192445 | 7.0E-5 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.522125E-4 | 4.5217728E-4 | 1.2838196 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035165704 | 0.0036760077 | 1.0453389 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.7555812E-6 | 5.5755292E-5 | 9.68717 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4666546E-5 | 8.4665066E-5 | 3.4323845 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.00274E-4 | 3.8024999E-4 | 1.2663434 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0029987053 | 0.0031382854 | 1.0465468 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.2658967E-6 | 4.4265726E-5 | 10.376653 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8282286E-5 | 5.8281556E-5 | 3.1878703 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2256417E-4 | 2.825508E-4 | 1.2695252 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022234216 | 0.002333177 | 1.0493633 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.451732E-6 | 2.451732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.05073805E-5 | 1.05073805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2791989E-4 | 1.2791989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012784676 | 0.0013084292 | 1.0234356 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.781816E-7 | 9.781816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.1922E-6 | 4.1922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1038853E-5 | 5.1038853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1027257E-4 | 5.2026747E-4 | 1.0195874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 2.6261205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.1254797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3702629E-5 | 1.3702629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3701791E-4 | 1.3701791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 3.948588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.6922519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 2.060315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 2.0602978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 5.9046423E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 2.5305609E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 3.0809577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 3.0809574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.74655E-6 | 3.4774392E-4 | 44.890163 | 3.4E-4 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3199085E-5 | 4.4318548E-4 | 13.349328 | 4.1E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0412458E-4 | 0.0010938457 | 2.7067041 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040339753 | 0.00506978 | 1.2567701 | 0.00104 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.696464E-6 | 3.4769386E-4 | 45.17579 | 3.4E-4 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.2984433E-5 | 4.4297092E-4 | 13.429696 | 4.1E-4 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.015122E-4 | 0.0010812392 | 2.6929173 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0042193993 | 0.004007946 | 0.0050338176 | 1.2559595 | 0.00103 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.4347604E-6 | 3.374323E-4 | 45.38577 | 3.3E-4 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.1862874E-5 | 4.3185012E-4 | 13.553395 | 4.0E-4 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.8786212E-4 | 0.0010576022 | 2.726748 | 6.7E-4 | 0.00408937 | 0.0038719259 | 0.0048879767 | 1.2624148 | 0.00102 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.3480915E-6 | 3.2734574E-4 | 44.548405 | 3.2E-4 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1491443E-5 | 4.3147884E-4 | 13.701463 | 4.0E-4 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8334154E-4 | 0.0010430885 | 2.7210422 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038268766 | 0.0048230495 | 1.2603097 | 0.001 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 6.949363E-6 | 3.169472E-4 | 45.608093 | 3.1E-4 | 3.1690477E-5 | 2.9782648E-5 | 4.1977104E-4 | 14.094483 | 3.9E-4 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6254403E-4 | 0.0010123084 | 2.7922356 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036195917 | 0.004606008 | 1.2725215 | 9.9E-4 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.4957403E-6 | 3.1649374E-4 | 48.723274 | 3.1E-4 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.7838592E-5 | 4.1782774E-4 | 15.008939 | 3.9E-4 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.3888264E-4 | 9.886624E-4 | 2.9174182 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0033837105 | 0.0043404624 | 1.2827522 | 9.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.168388E-6 | 3.0616653E-4 | 49.634773 | 3.0E-4 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6435684E-5 | 4.0642565E-4 | 15.37413 | 3.8E-4 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2180737E-4 | 9.516046E-4 | 2.9570627 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032134638 | 0.0041504432 | 1.2915792 | 9.4E-4 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.074774E-6 | 2.750734E-4 | 54.20407 | 2.7E-4 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.174885E-5 | 3.6174146E-4 | 16.63267 | 3.4E-4 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6476037E-4 | 8.546042E-4 | 3.2278402 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026444802 | 0.0034722853 | 1.3130313 | 8.3E-4 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9332476E-6 | 2.439323E-4 | 62.018036 | 2.4E-4 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.6856668E-5 | 3.168516E-4 | 18.796812 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0521083E-4 | 7.051082E-4 | 3.4360185 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020502368 | 0.0027288427 | 1.330989 | 6.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1441438E-6 | 2.2214367E-4 | 103.60484 | 2.2E-4 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.189155E-6 | 2.7918667E-4 | 30.382193 | 2.7E-4 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.11872265E-4 | 5.018286E-4 | 4.4857287 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013596788 | 0.001118164 | 0.0016076161 | 1.4377284 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.183825E-7 | 5.0318366E-5 | 158.04376 | 5.0E-5 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3644957E-6 | 8.1364386E-5 | 59.629642 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.661261E-5 | 1.2661079E-4 | 7.6213655 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6611398E-4 | 3.1608908E-4 | 1.9028444 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.002383E-5 | 420.6354 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 2.512855E-4 | 22.260897 | 2.4E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 4.183593E-4 | 8.647862 | 3.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0012184756 | 2.0692582 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.006878273 | 1.1709281 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 2.512855E-4 | 22.260897 | 2.4E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 4.183593E-4 | 8.647862 | 3.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0012184756 | 2.0692582 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.006878273 | 1.1709281 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 2.512855E-4 | 22.260897 | 2.4E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 4.183593E-4 | 8.647862 | 3.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0012184756 | 2.0692582 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.006878273 | 1.1709281 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 2.512855E-4 | 22.260897 | 2.4E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 4.183593E-4 | 8.647862 | 3.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0012184756 | 2.0692582 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.006878273 | 1.1709281 | 0.00101 |
6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1288203E-5 | 2.512855E-4 | 22.260897 | 2.4E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.8377187E-5 | 4.183593E-4 | 8.647862 | 3.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 5.8884657E-4 | 0.0012184756 | 2.0692582 | 6.3E-4 | 0.005757478 | 0.005874206 | 0.006878273 | 1.1709281 | 0.00101 |
6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.192976E-6 | 2.0819134E-4 | 25.410955 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.5112287E-5 | 2.9510315E-4 | 8.404555 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.274098E-4 | 8.57226E-4 | 2.0056303 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0042609703 | 0.0042660376 | 0.004963051 | 1.1633867 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.1617545E-6 | 2.0816013E-4 | 25.504335 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.497849E-5 | 2.949694E-4 | 8.43288 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.257814E-4 | 8.555983E-4 | 2.0094779 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0042457907 | 0.004249816 | 0.0049468414 | 1.164013 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.115877E-6 | 2.0811426E-4 | 25.642855 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.4781875E-5 | 2.9477282E-4 | 8.474898 | 2.6E-4 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.2338856E-4 | 8.432107E-4 | 1.9915766 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0042232145 | 0.0042259786 | 0.004903105 | 1.1602294 | 6.8E-4 |
6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.61843E-6 | 1.8761706E-4 | 24.626734 | 1.8E-4 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.2650016E-5 | 2.626425E-4 | 8.044177 | 2.3E-4 | 3.9877684E-4 | 3.9744278E-4 | 7.772918E-4 | 1.9557325 | 3.8E-4 | 0.00398062 | 0.003967461 | 0.0045949616 | 1.1581618 | 6.3E-4 |
6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.328486E-6 | 1.7732724E-4 | 24.196981 | 1.7E-4 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.1407428E-5 | 2.5140052E-4 | 8.004493 | 2.2E-4 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8231967E-4 | 7.42182E-4 | 1.9412603 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0038381014 | 0.003816758 | 0.00442443 | 1.1592115 | 6.1E-4 |
7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.161486E-6 | 1.7716027E-4 | 24.73792 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.0691728E-5 | 2.4068529E-4 | 7.8420243 | 2.1E-4 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.7360907E-4 | 7.1348203E-4 | 1.9097022 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0037549543 | 0.0037299474 | 0.004307784 | 1.1549182 | 5.8E-4 |
7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.431076E-6 | 1.4543031E-4 | 26.777441 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.3275834E-5 | 2.0327164E-4 | 8.733163 | 1.8E-4 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.8334683E-4 | 5.7326467E-4 | 2.0231907 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0029195412 | 0.0028298958 | 0.003288594 | 1.1620902 | 4.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.5138568E-6 | 1.3451328E-4 | 29.800076 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9344958E-5 | 1.6934205E-4 | 8.753809 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.3549952E-4 | 4.8544066E-4 | 2.0613232 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0024745662 | 0.0023525134 | 0.0027515723 | 1.1696309 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.5733333E-6 | 7.357309E-5 | 20.589483 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5314195E-5 | 8.531312E-5 | 5.5708523 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.8643447E-4 | 3.364065E-4 | 1.8044223 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0019959346 | 0.0018627892 | 0.0021223049 | 1.1393156 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.4599753E-6 | 5.245985E-5 | 21.325357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0542709E-5 | 6.054218E-5 | 5.742564 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.2834996E-4 | 2.4833455E-4 | 1.9348239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001361329 | 0.0012827626 | 0.0014525445 | 1.1323565 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7316805E-6 | 4.173161E-5 | 24.098907 | 4.0E-5 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.421467E-6 | 4.742117E-5 | 6.38973 | 4.0E-5 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.0352645E-5 | 1.903436E-4 | 2.1066744 | 1.0E-4 | 9.3467993E-4 | 9.031622E-4 | 0.0010230538 | 1.1327465 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.0853746E-6 | 1.1085363E-5 | 10.213399 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.6515975E-6 | 1.4651551E-5 | 3.149789 | 1.0E-5 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.6631743E-5 | 7.663061E-5 | 1.3531388 | 2.0E-5 | 5.984669E-4 | 5.661747E-4 | 6.0615205E-4 | 1.0706096 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.6454264E-7 | 4.6454264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2846775E-6 | 1.9908955E-6 | 1.9908955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4238894E-5 | 2.4238894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812112E-4 | 2.4236362E-4 | 2.4236362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 7.760243E-8 | 7.760243E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 3.325818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.0491764E-6 | 4.0491764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.08831E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 4.049105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.4099224E-4 | 3.37561 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 7.527175E-4 | 1.7389559 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005874051 | 1.117311 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.056137122 | 1.0169442 | 9.9E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.4099224E-4 | 3.37561 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 7.527175E-4 | 1.7389559 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005874051 | 1.117311 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.056137122 | 1.0169442 | 9.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.4099224E-4 | 3.37561 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 7.527175E-4 | 1.7389559 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005874051 | 1.117311 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.056137122 | 1.0169442 | 9.9E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.4099224E-4 | 3.37561 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 7.527175E-4 | 1.7389559 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005874051 | 1.117311 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.056137122 | 1.0169442 | 9.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.0101648E-4 | 3.4099224E-4 | 3.37561 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 4.32856E-4 | 7.527175E-4 | 1.7389559 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0052573103 | 0.005874051 | 1.117311 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.05520177 | 0.056137122 | 1.0169442 | 9.9E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.00796526E-4 | 3.4077233E-4 | 3.3807943 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.3191368E-4 | 7.5177546E-4 | 1.7405688 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.005245893 | 0.00586264 | 1.1175677 | 6.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.055092588 | 0.056028046 | 1.0169797 | 9.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.00796526E-4 | 3.4077233E-4 | 3.3807943 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 4.3191368E-4 | 7.5177546E-4 | 1.7405688 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.005245893 | 0.00586264 | 1.1175677 | 6.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.055092588 | 0.056028046 | 1.0169797 | 9.9E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.0071229E-4 | 3.4068813E-4 | 3.382786 | 2.4E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 4.315528E-4 | 7.514147E-4 | 1.7411884 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.00524152 | 0.00585827 | 1.1176662 | 6.2E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.05505091 | 0.05598641 | 1.0169934 | 9.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.0060616E-4 | 3.4058202E-4 | 3.3853 | 2.4E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 4.3109807E-4 | 7.5096014E-4 | 1.7419704 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.0052360105 | 0.0058527645 | 1.1177908 | 6.2E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.054996952 | 0.055932503 | 1.017011 | 9.9E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.0036384E-4 | 3.4033976E-4 | 3.3910596 | 2.4E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 4.300599E-4 | 7.499223E-4 | 1.7437624 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.005223431 | 0.005840193 | 1.118076 | 6.2E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.054875154 | 0.055810828 | 1.017051 | 9.9E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 9.98431E-5 | 3.3981915E-4 | 3.4035316 | 2.4E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 4.278289E-4 | 7.4769196E-4 | 1.7476426 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.0051963986 | 0.005803229 | 1.116779 | 6.1E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.054616317 | 0.05553334 | 1.0167903 | 9.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 9.9079036E-5 | 3.2905626E-4 | 3.321149 | 2.3E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 4.2455542E-4 | 7.344238E-4 | 1.7298656 | 3.1E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.0051567336 | 0.0057536396 | 1.1157527 | 6.0E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.054237034 | 0.055144966 | 1.0167401 | 9.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 9.854557E-5 | 3.185239E-4 | 3.2322497 | 2.2E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 4.2226986E-4 | 7.121474E-4 | 1.6864746 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0051290384 | 0.0057060635 | 1.1125016 | 5.8E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.05397144 | 0.054860707 | 1.0164766 | 9.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 9.824399E-5 | 3.182224E-4 | 3.2391026 | 2.2E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 4.2097783E-4 | 7.108557E-4 | 1.6885824 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.0051133814 | 0.005690416 | 1.1128479 | 5.8E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.053818393 | 0.05469834 | 1.0163504 | 9.3E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 9.783666E-5 | 3.1781514E-4 | 3.248426 | 2.2E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 4.1923267E-4 | 7.091111E-4 | 1.69145 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.005092234 | 0.005659331 | 1.1113652 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.053613145 | 0.054474358 | 1.0160635 | 9.1E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 9.7475975E-5 | 3.074555E-4 | 3.1541672 | 2.1E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 4.1768735E-4 | 6.8757456E-4 | 1.6461465 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.0050735073 | 0.005620717 | 1.1078563 | 5.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.053429827 | 0.05425334 | 1.015413 | 8.7E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 9.508973E-5 | 2.8507167E-4 | 2.9979227 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 4.0746384E-4 | 6.57362E-4 | 1.6133014 | 2.5E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.004949608 | 0.005427232 | 1.0964974 | 4.8E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.052221585 | 0.052970327 | 1.0143379 | 7.9E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 7.708788E-5 | 2.3707555E-4 | 3.0753932 | 1.6E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 3.3033482E-4 | 5.5026216E-4 | 1.6657709 | 2.2E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.0040144143 | 0.004442688 | 1.106684 | 4.3E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.04292442 | 0.04357523 | 1.0151618 | 6.8E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 7.005126E-5 | 2.2004076E-4 | 3.141139 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 3.0018517E-4 | 5.101221E-4 | 1.6993582 | 2.1E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.003648633 | 0.00403721 | 1.1064993 | 3.9E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.03903501 | 0.03965003 | 1.0157555 | 6.4E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 4.7970032E-5 | 1.1796667E-4 | 2.4591744 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 2.0556965E-4 | 2.7555527E-4 | 1.3404472 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.002499939 | 0.002669514 | 1.0678316 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.026827313 | 0.027128996 | 1.0112454 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 2.4751442E-5 | 6.475045E-5 | 2.6160276 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 1.0607329E-4 | 1.4606905E-4 | 1.3770578 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0012906776 | 0.0013605873 | 1.0541651 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.014000535 | 0.014128715 | 1.0091554 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 7.190874E-6 | 7.190874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 3.0817668E-5 | 3.0817668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 3.7514063E-4 | 3.9513313E-4 | 1.0532933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.0042355033 | 0.0042554187 | 1.004702 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Clamshell-Sawpit
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 3.42981E-4 | 115.01665 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.227735E-4 | 40.905617 | 5.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 7.954865E-4 | 5.1128383 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.002393544 | 1.539405 | 8.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 3.42981E-4 | 115.01665 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.227735E-4 | 40.905617 | 5.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 7.954865E-4 | 5.1128383 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.002393544 | 1.539405 | 8.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 3.42981E-4 | 115.01665 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.227735E-4 | 40.905617 | 5.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 7.954865E-4 | 5.1128383 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.002393544 | 1.539405 | 8.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 3.42981E-4 | 115.01665 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.227735E-4 | 40.905617 | 5.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 7.954865E-4 | 5.1128383 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.002393544 | 1.539405 | 8.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.202998E-6 | 2.982012E-6 | 3.42981E-4 | 115.01665 | 3.4E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2779993E-5 | 5.227735E-4 | 40.905617 | 5.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.555861E-4 | 7.954865E-4 | 5.1128383 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0016698855 | 0.0015548501 | 0.002393544 | 1.539405 | 8.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 3.2235202E-4 | 137.00978 | 3.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 4.800785E-4 | 47.611496 | 4.7E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 7.1268453E-4 | 5.805656 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.002005964 | 1.6349578 | 7.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 3.2235202E-4 | 137.00978 | 3.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 4.800785E-4 | 47.611496 | 4.7E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 7.1268453E-4 | 5.805656 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.002005964 | 1.6349578 | 7.8E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3527666E-6 | 3.2235202E-4 | 137.00978 | 3.2E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.0083248E-5 | 4.800785E-4 | 47.611496 | 4.7E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2275693E-4 | 7.1268453E-4 | 5.805656 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0013485716 | 0.001226921 | 0.002005964 | 1.6349578 | 7.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4098806E-6 | 2.1709309E-6 | 3.1217025E-4 | 143.79556 | 3.1E-4 | 1.0328019E-5 | 9.303958E-6 | 4.6929967E-4 | 50.44086 | 4.6E-4 | 1.2573638E-4 | 1.1327007E-4 | 6.9320435E-4 | 6.1199255 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0012566525 | 0.0011321495 | 0.001891289 | 1.6705295 | 7.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0073985E-6 | 1.7546913E-6 | 3.1175415E-4 | 177.66895 | 3.1E-4 | 8.603109E-6 | 7.5200846E-6 | 4.4751677E-4 | 59.50954 | 4.4E-4 | 1.0473781E-4 | 9.15533E-5 | 6.4150296E-4 | 7.0068793 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0010468846 | 9.1516745E-4 | 0.0016345085 | 1.7860212 | 7.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8166766E-6 | 1.5582457E-6 | 3.1155776E-4 | 199.94136 | 3.1E-4 | 7.785734E-6 | 6.6781795E-6 | 4.366753E-4 | 65.388374 | 4.3E-4 | 9.478718E-5 | 8.13039E-5 | 6.2125997E-4 | 7.641208 | 5.4E-4 | 9.4746763E-4 | 8.127513E-4 | 0.0015221742 | 1.8728659 | 7.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5471421E-6 | 1.2852727E-6 | 2.912849E-4 | 226.63275 | 2.9E-4 | 6.6305925E-6 | 5.5083E-6 | 4.1550605E-4 | 75.43272 | 4.1E-4 | 8.072447E-5 | 6.706155E-5 | 5.8702665E-4 | 8.7535515 | 5.2E-4 | 8.0695155E-4 | 6.704184E-4 | 0.0013599558 | 2.028518 | 6.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3608037E-6 | 1.0969895E-6 | 2.8109667E-4 | 256.24374 | 2.8E-4 | 5.8320024E-6 | 4.7013755E-6 | 4.046995E-4 | 86.081085 | 4.0E-4 | 7.1002316E-5 | 5.7237787E-5 | 5.572092E-4 | 9.734988 | 5.0E-4 | 7.097964E-4 | 5.722349E-4 | 0.0012018745 | 2.1003165 | 6.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.0749634E-6 | 8.230922E-7 | 2.308229E-4 | 280.43384 | 2.3E-4 | 4.6069777E-6 | 3.5275334E-6 | 3.2352642E-4 | 91.71462 | 3.2E-4 | 5.608851E-5 | 4.29469E-5 | 4.429297E-4 | 10.313427 | 4.0E-4 | 5.6074356E-4 | 4.2938872E-4 | 9.4916543E-4 | 2.2105038 | 5.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.416856E-7 | 6.074442E-7 | 1.9060733E-4 | 313.78574 | 1.9E-4 | 3.607219E-6 | 2.6033297E-6 | 2.826026E-4 | 108.55428 | 2.8E-4 | 4.3917007E-5 | 3.1695097E-5 | 3.8168402E-4 | 12.042367 | 3.5E-4 | 4.390833E-4 | 3.1690765E-4 | 7.567682E-4 | 2.3879771 | 4.4E-4 |
7.5 | 6.2779594E-7 | 4.3984852E-7 | 1.3043979E-4 | 296.55618 | 1.3E-4 | 2.6905511E-6 | 1.8850637E-6 | 1.8188472E-4 | 96.487305 | 1.8E-4 | 3.275697E-5 | 2.2950428E-5 | 2.5294514E-4 | 11.02137 | 2.3E-4 | 3.275214E-4 | 2.2948236E-4 | 5.394112E-4 | 2.3505564 | 3.1E-4 |
7.6 | 4.3822078E-7 | 2.9849917E-7 | 9.0298476E-5 | 302.5083 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8780877E-6 | 1.2792816E-6 | 1.3127911E-4 | 102.61941 | 1.3E-4 | 2.2865479E-5 | 1.5575157E-5 | 1.7557267E-4 | 11.27261 | 1.6E-4 | 2.2863125E-4 | 1.5574212E-4 | 3.857063E-4 | 2.4765701 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8704569E-7 | 1.0951559E-7 | 4.010951E-5 | 366.24478 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0162414E-7 | 4.6935244E-7 | 5.046933E-5 | 107.52971 | 5.0E-5 | 9.75973E-6 | 5.7143516E-6 | 6.571401E-5 | 11.499819 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7593016E-5 | 5.7142108E-5 | 1.571364E-4 | 2.749923 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.5378733E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 2.1232914E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5162313E-7 | 9.09982E-8 | 9.09982E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.84601E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 1.1079026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8459947E-5 | 1.1078973E-5 | 1.1078973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.504945E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 5.07298E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2164053E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 2.1741343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9159727E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 2.6470082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.915966E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 2.6470059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6554036E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.3988088E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0945894E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 5.994897E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.637662E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 7.298787E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6376616E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 7.2987866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.7671733E-6 | 2.747659E-4 | 57.63707 | 2.7E-4 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0430583E-5 | 3.6042364E-4 | 17.641376 | 3.4E-4 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.4871426E-4 | 7.985775E-4 | 3.2108228 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0027379042 | 0.002484391 | 0.0032824033 | 1.3212105 | 8.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.7583912E-6 | 2.6475717E-4 | 55.640057 | 2.6E-4 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0392948E-5 | 3.5038622E-4 | 17.181734 | 3.3E-4 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.4825617E-4 | 7.881221E-4 | 3.1746325 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0027334841 | 0.00247982 | 0.003267861 | 1.3177816 | 7.9E-4 |
7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.7384674E-6 | 2.6473723E-4 | 55.869804 | 2.6E-4 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.030756E-5 | 3.5030086E-4 | 17.249775 | 3.3E-4 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.472168E-4 | 7.870833E-4 | 3.1837776 | 5.4E-4 | 0.002723483 | 0.0024694495 | 0.0032574986 | 1.3191193 | 7.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.7218227E-6 | 2.6472058E-4 | 56.063225 | 2.6E-4 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0236228E-5 | 3.5022956E-4 | 17.307058 | 3.3E-4 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.4634853E-4 | 7.862155E-4 | 3.1914763 | 5.4E-4 | 0.002715153 | 0.002460786 | 0.003248842 | 1.3202456 | 7.9E-4 |
7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.630456E-6 | 2.6462926E-4 | 57.149723 | 2.6E-4 | 2.1953823E-5 | 1.984466E-5 | 3.498381E-4 | 17.628828 | 3.3E-4 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4158225E-4 | 7.714542E-4 | 3.1933398 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0026693381 | 0.0024132272 | 0.003191345 | 1.3224386 | 7.8E-4 |
7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.377694E-6 | 2.6437655E-4 | 60.39174 | 2.6E-4 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.8761413E-5 | 3.387554E-4 | 18.055965 | 3.2E-4 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.2839654E-4 | 7.4827776E-4 | 3.276222 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0025429246 | 0.002281648 | 0.003039914 | 1.3323326 | 7.6E-4 |
7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.5503438E-6 | 2.3354952E-4 | 65.78223 | 2.3E-4 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.5215672E-5 | 3.0521126E-4 | 20.059008 | 2.9E-4 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8523529E-4 | 6.351519E-4 | 3.4288929 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0021284167 | 0.001850832 | 0.002479666 | 1.3397574 | 6.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.082749E-6 | 2.0208233E-4 | 97.02673 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0905142E-5 | 8.926037E-6 | 2.589238E-4 | 29.0077 | 2.5E-4 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.08669126E-4 | 4.5863108E-4 | 4.220436 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0013268272 | 0.0010861644 | 0.0015356756 | 1.413852 | 4.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.2690798E-7 | 6.032689E-5 | 184.53783 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4010335E-6 | 9.140091E-5 | 65.238205 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7057453E-5 | 1.3705541E-4 | 8.034928 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1744163E-4 | 1.7056173E-4 | 3.3053444E-4 | 1.9379168 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 5.5603824E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.3830209E-8 | 1.002383E-5 | 420.6354 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.901328E-7 | 1.02901295E-5 | 35.46697 | 1.0E-5 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.901326E-6 | 1.2901297E-5 | 4.44669 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 2.86475E-4 | 2.9688582 | 1.9E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 6.4338226E-4 | 1.5560278 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.0055199806 | 1.0990522 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053715155 | 1.0139436 | 7.8E-4 |
6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 2.86475E-4 | 2.9688582 | 1.9E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 6.4338226E-4 | 1.5560278 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.0055199806 | 1.0990522 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053715155 | 1.0139436 | 7.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 2.86475E-4 | 2.9688582 | 1.9E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 6.4338226E-4 | 1.5560278 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.0055199806 | 1.0990522 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053715155 | 1.0139436 | 7.8E-4 |
6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 9.649332E-5 | 2.86475E-4 | 2.9688582 | 1.9E-4 | 3.928648E-4 | 4.1347733E-4 | 6.4338226E-4 | 1.5560278 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0050224923 | 0.0055199806 | 1.0990522 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046714354 | 0.052976478 | 0.053715155 | 1.0139436 | 7.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6441494E-5 | 2.8642316E-4 | 2.9699163 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.1325533E-4 | 6.4316025E-4 | 1.5563266 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019801 | 0.0055172914 | 1.0991055 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052950554 | 0.05368925 | 1.0139507 | 7.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 9.6441494E-5 | 2.8642316E-4 | 2.9699163 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 4.1325533E-4 | 6.4316025E-4 | 1.5563266 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.005019801 | 0.0055172914 | 1.0991055 | 5.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.052950554 | 0.05368925 | 1.0139507 | 7.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 9.495252E-5 | 2.8493447E-4 | 3.0008101 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 4.06876E-4 | 6.367824E-4 | 1.5650527 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0049424865 | 0.0054300646 | 1.0986503 | 4.9E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.052197635 | 0.052927442 | 1.0139816 | 7.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 9.424858E-5 | 2.842307E-4 | 3.0157554 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 4.0386003E-4 | 6.3376717E-4 | 1.5692742 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.0049059326 | 0.005393529 | 1.0993891 | 4.9E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.051849343 | 0.052579418 | 1.0140808 | 7.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 9.3863535E-5 | 2.838457E-4 | 3.0240252 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 4.0221034E-4 | 6.3211785E-4 | 1.5716101 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.004885938 | 0.005373544 | 1.0997978 | 4.9E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.051655374 | 0.052366633 | 1.0137693 | 7.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 9.293536E-5 | 2.829177E-4 | 3.0442417 | 1.9E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 3.982337E-4 | 6.281421E-4 | 1.5773203 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.004837738 | 0.005325367 | 1.100797 | 4.9E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.051192712 | 0.051894832 | 1.0137151 | 7.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 9.170528E-5 | 2.8168786E-4 | 3.0716646 | 1.9E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 3.9296353E-4 | 6.2287314E-4 | 1.5850661 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.004773856 | 0.0052416124 | 1.0979829 | 4.7E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.050579768 | 0.051263347 | 1.013515 | 7.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 9.104536E-5 | 2.7102898E-4 | 2.9768565 | 1.8E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 3.9013615E-4 | 6.1005034E-4 | 1.5636857 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.004739583 | 0.005197403 | 1.0965949 | 4.6E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.050249282 | 0.05092361 | 1.0134195 | 7.1E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 9.017551E-5 | 2.601602E-4 | 2.8850424 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 3.8640932E-4 | 5.8633205E-4 | 1.5173858 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.004694405 | 0.0051323394 | 1.0932885 | 4.4E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.04981375 | 0.05046938 | 1.0131615 | 6.9E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 8.982085E-5 | 2.598056E-4 | 2.8924863 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 3.848898E-4 | 5.8481283E-4 | 1.5194292 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.004675985 | 0.0051139276 | 1.0936579 | 4.4E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.049630165 | 0.050276414 | 1.0130213 | 6.8E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 8.959036E-5 | 2.5957514E-4 | 2.8973556 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 3.8390228E-4 | 5.838255E-4 | 1.5207659 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.004664013 | 0.005101961 | 1.0938994 | 4.4E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.049511112 | 0.05014794 | 1.0128623 | 6.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 8.869891E-5 | 2.5868384E-4 | 2.9164262 | 1.7E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 3.8008287E-4 | 5.8000686E-4 | 1.526001 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00461771 | 0.005055678 | 1.0948453 | 4.4E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.04904921 | 0.04967684 | 1.0127959 | 6.6E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 8.4871535E-5 | 2.348588E-4 | 2.767227 | 1.5E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 3.6368452E-4 | 5.4361904E-4 | 1.4947544 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.0044188867 | 0.004787252 | 1.0833615 | 3.7E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.04708105 | 0.04762421 | 1.0115368 | 5.7E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 6.6218265E-5 | 1.9620966E-4 | 2.9630747 | 1.3E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 2.8376168E-4 | 4.437163E-4 | 1.5636934 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0034493285 | 0.0037781904 | 1.0953408 | 3.3E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.037383776 | 0.03784583 | 1.0123597 | 4.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 6.0825827E-5 | 1.8081853E-4 | 2.972726 | 1.2E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 2.606561E-4 | 4.1061698E-4 | 1.575321 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.003168872 | 0.003457953 | 1.0912253 | 2.9E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.034304727 | 0.034729633 | 1.0123862 | 4.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 4.383147E-5 | 1.0382884E-4 | 2.3688195 | 6.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 1.8783564E-4 | 2.4782438E-4 | 1.3193682 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0022845014 | 0.0024241817 | 1.0611426 | 1.4E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.024680397 | 0.024894968 | 1.0086939 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 2.3446726E-5 | 5.3446023E-5 | 2.2794664 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 1.004821E-4 | 1.3047908E-4 | 1.2985307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0012226833 | 0.00128261 | 1.0490124 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.013319461 | 0.013418129 | 1.0074078 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 6.999192E-6 | 6.999192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 2.9996192E-5 | 2.9996192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 3.6514256E-4 | 3.8513527E-4 | 1.0547532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.0041367095 | 0.0041566268 | 1.0048147 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.2537967E-4 | 4.9656396 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 5.044462E-4 | 2.5934668 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028746424 | 1.2150575 | 5.1E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024142291 | 1.0299978 | 7.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.2537967E-4 | 4.9656396 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 5.044462E-4 | 2.5934668 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028746424 | 1.2150575 | 5.1E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024142291 | 1.0299978 | 7.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.5387842E-5 | 2.2537967E-4 | 4.9656396 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8236451E-4 | 1.9450653E-4 | 5.044462E-4 | 2.5934668 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.002365849 | 0.0028746424 | 1.2150575 | 5.1E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.023439167 | 0.024142291 | 1.0299978 | 7.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.7161614E-5 | 7.7160585E-5 | 4.4961147 | 6.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.35478E-5 | 1.8353971E-4 | 2.495516 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010231105 | 8.950942E-4 | 0.0010449599 | 1.1674302 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01018413 | 0.008918412 | 0.009116628 | 1.0222255 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.2626104E-5 | 4.2625725E-5 | 3.376 | 3.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.411078E-5 | 9.410862E-5 | 1.7391843 | 4.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 6.5860484E-4 | 7.085719E-4 | 1.075868 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0065688044 | 0.0066383444 | 1.0105864 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.2132734E-5 | 4.213237E-5 | 3.4726195 | 3.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.1996423E-5 | 8.199486E-5 | 1.5769328 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.328777E-4 | 6.728524E-4 | 1.0631634 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.0063130143 | 0.0063726357 | 1.0094441 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 9.582908E-6 | 1.9582812E-5 | 2.0435145 | 1.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.106897E-5 | 5.106856E-5 | 1.2434828 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 4.9990165E-4 | 5.198917E-4 | 1.0399879 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.0049890876 | 0.005028888 | 1.0079775 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.124942E-6 | 1.9124851E-5 | 2.0958874 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 3.910632E-5 | 4.9105925E-5 | 1.2557032 | 1.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 4.7601698E-4 | 4.9600744E-4 | 1.0419953 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.0047512045 | 0.004791015 | 1.0083789 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 8.749738E-6 | 1.8749652E-5 | 2.1428814 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 3.749835E-5 | 4.7497975E-5 | 1.2666684 | 1.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.5644832E-4 | 4.764392E-4 | 1.0437965 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004556254 | 0.0045960713 | 1.0087391 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.07687E-6 | 1.807679E-5 | 2.2380934 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.4614706E-5 | 4.461436E-5 | 1.2888845 | 1.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.2135394E-4 | 4.413455E-4 | 1.047446 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.004206598 | 0.0042464295 | 1.0094689 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 7.429608E-6 | 1.7429535E-5 | 2.345956 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.18408E-5 | 4.1840478E-5 | 1.3140525 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 3.8759405E-4 | 4.0758628E-4 | 1.0515804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.0038701205 | 0.0039099655 | 1.0102956 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 6.735948E-6 | 1.6735881E-5 | 2.4845622 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 2.8868035E-5 | 3.8867747E-5 | 1.346394 | 1.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.5141272E-4 | 3.714057E-4 | 1.0568931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0035096821 | 0.0035495418 | 1.0113571 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.0102066E-6 | 1.6010146E-5 | 2.6638265 | 1.0E-5 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.575778E-5 | 3.5757523E-5 | 1.3882222 | 1.0E-5 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.1355687E-4 | 3.335506E-4 | 1.0637643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0031321917 | 0.0031720663 | 1.0127306 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.1453985E-6 | 1.5145347E-5 | 2.943474 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.2051527E-5 | 3.2051306E-5 | 1.4534733 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.6844515E-4 | 2.8843977E-4 | 1.0744832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0026814698 | 0.0027014161 | 1.0074385 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 4.6199925E-6 | 1.4619946E-5 | 3.1644957 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2278298E-5 | 1.9799822E-5 | 2.9799625E-5 | 1.505045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.4103702E-4 | 2.5103462E-4 | 1.0414774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.002407848 | 0.0024178238 | 1.0041431 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.6101321E-6 | 1.3610096E-5 | 3.7699716 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.5471907E-5 | 2.5471752E-5 | 1.6463227 | 1.0E-5 | 3.208294E-4 | 1.8835496E-4 | 1.9835307E-4 | 1.0530813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.0018820282 | 0.0018920094 | 1.0053034 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.1108332E-6 | 3.1108332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.3332078E-5 | 1.3332078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.6230665E-4 | 1.6230665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0016219489 | 0.0016219489 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.1228195E-6 | 2.1228195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.097769E-6 | 9.097769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.1076034E-4 | 1.1076034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0011071126 | 0.0011071126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 2.608147E-4 | 24.110674 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 3.863437E-4 | 8.333655 | 3.4E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.001083989 | 1.9210044 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.0063369377 | 1.1253792 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 2.608147E-4 | 24.110674 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 3.863437E-4 | 8.333655 | 3.4E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.001083989 | 1.9210044 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.0063369377 | 1.1253792 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 2.608147E-4 | 24.110674 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 3.863437E-4 | 8.333655 | 3.4E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.001083989 | 1.9210044 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.0063369377 | 1.1253792 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 2.608147E-4 | 24.110674 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 3.863437E-4 | 8.333655 | 3.4E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.001083989 | 1.9210044 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.0063369377 | 1.1253792 | 7.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.0817395E-5 | 2.608147E-4 | 24.110674 | 2.5E-4 | 5.0777642E-5 | 4.6359455E-5 | 3.863437E-4 | 8.333655 | 3.4E-4 | 6.180424E-4 | 5.642824E-4 | 0.001083989 | 1.9210044 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0056309355 | 0.0063369377 | 1.1253792 | 7.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.0658578E-5 | 2.606559E-4 | 24.455038 | 2.5E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.567883E-5 | 3.856633E-4 | 8.442933 | 3.4E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5600004E-4 | 0.001075711 | 1.9347317 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485265 | 0.006254587 | 1.1272519 | 7.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.0658578E-5 | 2.606559E-4 | 24.455038 | 2.5E-4 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.567883E-5 | 3.856633E-4 | 8.442933 | 3.4E-4 | 6.102476E-4 | 5.5600004E-4 | 0.001075711 | 1.9347317 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006085745 | 0.0055485265 | 0.006254587 | 1.1272519 | 7.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.0224045E-5 | 2.6022148E-4 | 25.451914 | 2.5E-4 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.381661E-5 | 3.838017E-4 | 8.7592745 | 3.4E-4 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.333387E-4 | 0.0010530613 | 1.9744703 | 5.2E-4 | 0.005929234 | 0.005323006 | 0.006029227 | 1.1326733 | 7.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.01153E-6 | 2.5900928E-4 | 28.74199 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5358654E-5 | 3.8620274E-5 | 3.7860713E-4 | 9.803326 | 3.4E-4 | 5.521017E-4 | 4.7010134E-4 | 9.898569E-4 | 2.1056244 | 5.2E-4 | 0.00550732 | 0.004693376 | 0.0054000434 | 1.150567 | 7.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 7.882467E-6 | 2.5788049E-4 | 32.71571 | 2.5E-4 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.3781565E-5 | 3.7377008E-4 | 11.064321 | 3.4E-4 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.112133E-4 | 9.3099946E-4 | 2.2640305 | 5.2E-4 | 0.005043391 | 0.0041067675 | 0.004813852 | 1.1721754 | 7.1E-4 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 7.5105963E-6 | 2.575087E-4 | 34.286057 | 2.5E-4 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.2187876E-5 | 3.7217693E-4 | 11.562644 | 3.4E-4 | 4.893937E-4 | 3.9181722E-4 | 9.1161346E-4 | 2.3266294 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0048831734 | 0.003913505 | 0.004620726 | 1.180713 | 7.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.12189E-6 | 2.5712012E-4 | 36.10279 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.052203E-5 | 3.7051164E-4 | 12.139155 | 3.4E-4 | 4.667083E-4 | 3.715426E-4 | 8.913494E-4 | 2.3990502 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0046572937 | 0.003711452 | 0.004418817 | 1.1905898 | 7.1E-4 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.366444E-6 | 2.5636484E-4 | 40.26814 | 2.5E-4 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.7284475E-5 | 3.672752E-4 | 13.4609585 | 3.4E-4 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.3213806E-4 | 8.5196533E-4 | 2.565094 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0033186467 | 0.0040262905 | 1.2132326 | 7.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 5.8987157E-6 | 2.5589723E-4 | 43.38186 | 2.5E-4 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.5279965E-5 | 3.6527138E-4 | 14.449045 | 3.4E-4 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.077403E-4 | 8.275803E-4 | 2.6892164 | 5.2E-4 | 0.004018998 | 0.0030753633 | 0.00378318 | 1.230157 | 7.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 5.470446E-6 | 2.554691E-4 | 46.699863 | 2.5E-4 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.344456E-5 | 3.5343683E-4 | 15.075431 | 3.3E-4 | 3.7956095E-4 | 2.854003E-4 | 7.852576E-4 | 2.7514253 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0028525526 | 0.0035206412 | 1.2342074 | 6.7E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 4.608412E-6 | 2.446073E-4 | 53.078438 | 2.4E-4 | 2.7903774E-5 | 1.9750189E-5 | 3.3974386E-4 | 17.202057 | 3.2E-4 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.4043213E-4 | 7.303143E-4 | 3.037507 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0024039207 | 0.0030423822 | 1.2655917 | 6.4E-4 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.4778127E-6 | 2.0347712E-4 | 58.50721 | 2.0E-4 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.4904827E-5 | 2.5490124E-4 | 17.101927 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8430918E-4 | 1.814512E-4 | 5.413859E-4 | 2.9836445 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0018152178 | 0.002324292 | 1.2804481 | 5.1E-4 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 2.8183613E-6 | 1.8281785E-4 | 64.86672 | 1.8E-4 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.2078635E-5 | 2.220761E-4 | 18.385859 | 2.1E-4 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.470475E-4 | 4.6700044E-4 | 3.1758478 | 3.2E-4 | 0.002501296 | 0.0014715698 | 0.0019308928 | 1.3121314 | 4.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 1.8584764E-6 | 1.21858255E-4 | 65.5689 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4546376E-5 | 7.964874E-6 | 1.3796384E-4 | 17.321533 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7708774E-4 | 9.696805E-5 | 2.9694865E-4 | 3.062335 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017694668 | 9.695649E-4 | 0.0012393032 | 1.2782054 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 4.711085E-7 | 6.047108E-5 | 128.35913 | 6.0E-5 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.019035E-6 | 7.201889E-5 | 35.66996 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.4581477E-5 | 1.1457926E-4 | 4.6612034 | 9.0E-5 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.4578793E-4 | 3.557609E-4 | 1.4474303 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 5.5658628E-8 | 1.0055658E-5 | 180.66666 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.3853696E-7 | 1.0238535E-5 | 42.922215 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9162867E-6 | 2.9041837E-6 | 2.2904125E-5 | 7.8865967 | 2.0E-5 | 5.916129E-5 | 2.9041472E-5 | 4.904089E-5 | 1.6886504 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.4703147E-4 | 8.631803 | 1.3E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.029829E-4 | 4.150468 | 2.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.001278097 | 1.4385799 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009496624 | 1.0727766 | 6.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.4703147E-4 | 8.631803 | 1.3E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.029829E-4 | 4.150468 | 2.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.001278097 | 1.4385799 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009496624 | 1.0727766 | 6.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7033693E-5 | 1.4703147E-4 | 8.631803 | 1.3E-4 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.29997E-5 | 3.029829E-4 | 4.150468 | 2.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.8844355E-4 | 0.001278097 | 1.4385799 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008852378 | 0.009496624 | 1.0727766 | 6.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 1.1002511E-4 | 10.973855 | 1.0E-4 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 2.3296021E-4 | 5.4216666 | 1.9E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.328572E-4 | 1.5924023 | 3.1E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.005695875 | 1.0915025 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0026113E-5 | 1.1002511E-4 | 10.973855 | 1.0E-4 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.296838E-5 | 2.3296021E-4 | 5.4216666 | 1.9E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.2301935E-4 | 8.328572E-4 | 1.5924023 | 3.1E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052183797 | 0.005695875 | 1.0915025 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.2589787E-6 | 9.725832E-5 | 13.398349 | 9.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1109546E-5 | 2.0110425E-4 | 6.4643908 | 1.7E-4 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.7869444E-4 | 6.285998E-4 | 1.6599128 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0036884616 | 0.00378065 | 0.0041691754 | 1.1027669 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0001234E-6 | 6.599976E-5 | 10.999734 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5714566E-5 | 1.6571097E-4 | 6.444245 | 1.4E-4 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.130307E-4 | 5.0297123E-4 | 1.6067792 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031259838 | 0.0034449834 | 1.1020478 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.0643466E-6 | 6.506404E-5 | 12.84747 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1704165E-5 | 1.6170113E-4 | 7.450235 | 1.4E-4 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6421662E-4 | 4.3417173E-4 | 1.6432414 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026390732 | 0.0029083604 | 1.1020386 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.464621E-6 | 6.446435E-5 | 14.438931 | 6.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9133951E-5 | 1.5913128E-4 | 8.316697 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3293128E-4 | 3.9289403E-4 | 1.6867379 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023269062 | 0.0025863012 | 1.1114763 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.5620867E-6 | 6.356187E-5 | 17.844 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5265998E-5 | 1.3526417E-4 | 8.860487 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8584782E-4 | 3.258218E-4 | 1.7531645 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018569398 | 0.0020964942 | 1.129005 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2369335E-6 | 6.323674E-5 | 19.536003 | 6.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.3872499E-5 | 1.3387084E-4 | 9.650088 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.6888473E-4 | 3.0886108E-4 | 1.8288279 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0016875777 | 0.0019171895 | 1.13606 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5098152E-6 | 6.2509665E-5 | 24.906082 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0756307E-5 | 1.3075501E-4 | 12.156125 | 1.2E-4 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3095023E-4 | 2.709319E-4 | 2.0689685 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013087365 | 0.0015384355 | 1.1755121 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0347275E-6 | 5.2034626E-5 | 25.573265 | 5.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.720232E-6 | 1.0871936E-4 | 12.467485 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0616369E-4 | 2.1615201E-4 | 2.0360258 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010611339 | 0.0012609217 | 1.1882776 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.653429E-6 | 5.1653347E-5 | 31.240137 | 5.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.086105E-6 | 8.708554E-5 | 12.28962 | 8.0E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.626994E-5 | 1.7626217E-4 | 2.043147 | 9.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.623673E-4 | 0.0010222293 | 1.1853758 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3130332E-6 | 4.1312982E-5 | 31.463774 | 4.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.6272734E-6 | 6.562693E-5 | 11.662298 | 6.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.8509915E-5 | 1.2850581E-4 | 1.8757256 | 6.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.8489014E-4 | 8.148011E-4 | 1.1896814 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.1325774E-7 | 2.091324E-5 | 22.899603 | 2.0E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.913956E-6 | 4.39138E-5 | 11.219799 | 4.0E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.765139E-5 | 8.764948E-5 | 1.8393899 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.7641335E-4 | 5.763657E-4 | 1.2098018 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7017315E-7 | 2.0470165E-5 | 43.537502 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0150262E-6 | 4.2014944E-5 | 20.850819 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4532676E-5 | 6.453169E-5 | 2.6304386 | 4.0E-5 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4530038E-4 | 3.1528322E-4 | 1.2852944 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5427528E-7 | 1.0254273E-5 | 40.327446 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.0897508E-6 | 1.108974E-5 | 10.176401 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3267634E-5 | 2.3267501E-5 | 1.7537038 | 1.0E-5 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3266846E-4 | 1.6266448E-4 | 1.2260976 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5230466E-7 | 1.0152303E-5 | 66.65786 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.527341E-7 | 1.0652728E-5 | 16.320164 | 1.0E-5 | 8.893623E-6 | 7.947009E-6 | 1.794693E-5 | 2.258325 | 1.0E-5 | 8.893267E-5 | 7.946727E-5 | 8.946648E-5 | 1.125828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0251066E-8 | 1.004025E-5 | 249.44061 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7250456E-7 | 1.0172503E-5 | 58.96947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.100241E-6 | 1.210022E-5 | 5.7613482 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1002215E-5 | 3.1002004E-5 | 1.4761302 | 1.0E-5 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.073244E-6 | 2.0707183E-4 | 29.27537 | 2.0E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0313568E-5 | 3.1030507E-4 | 10.236508 | 2.8E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.690081E-4 | 7.888531E-4 | 2.1377664 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0036842448 | 0.004311924 | 1.1703684 | 6.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.2485547E-6 | 1.9624736E-4 | 31.406841 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.6779257E-5 | 2.9677202E-4 | 11.082161 | 2.7E-4 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.259908E-4 | 7.258604E-4 | 2.2266285 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0032553396 | 0.003823484 | 1.1745269 | 5.7E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.8044557E-6 | 1.9580335E-4 | 33.733284 | 1.9E-4 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.4876013E-5 | 2.8486954E-4 | 11.451575 | 2.6E-4 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.0282539E-4 | 6.9270725E-4 | 2.287481 | 3.9E-4 | 0.002945339 | 0.0030243264 | 0.0035826329 | 1.1846052 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.724732E-6 | 1.14724215E-4 | 24.281631 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0248703E-5 | 2.0024506E-4 | 9.889278 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.4650147E-4 | 5.4642756E-4 | 2.2167313 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0024624201 | 0.0029013369 | 1.178246 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.6088244E-6 | 1.14608316E-4 | 24.867147 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9232413E-5 | 1.9751962E-5 | 1.997484E-4 | 10.112839 | 1.8E-4 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4045502E-4 | 5.4038287E-4 | 2.2473347 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024020877 | 0.0028410307 | 1.182734 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.296983E-6 | 8.329672E-5 | 25.264528 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4129854E-5 | 1.4412802E-4 | 10.200248 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7201803E-4 | 3.6198535E-4 | 2.1043453 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017189111 | 0.0020283782 | 1.1800368 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.2764546E-6 | 5.227634E-5 | 22.96393 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 9.7562E-6 | 1.0975522E-4 | 11.249793 | 1.0E-4 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.1877569E-4 | 2.4876025E-4 | 2.0943701 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0011504296 | 0.001187165 | 0.001416892 | 1.1935089 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.4302381E-6 | 4.143018E-5 | 28.96733 | 4.0E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.1295777E-6 | 6.612921E-5 | 10.788543 | 6.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.462513E-5 | 1.446199E-4 | 1.9379518 | 7.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.4600836E-4 | 8.859039E-4 | 1.1875255 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.1768453E-6 | 4.1176798E-5 | 34.989136 | 4.0E-5 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.0436133E-6 | 5.504336E-5 | 10.913478 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.140433E-5 | 1.2140065E-4 | 1.9770697 | 6.0E-5 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.138805E-4 | 7.3380687E-4 | 1.1953578 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 8.5117034E-7 | 1.0851162E-5 | 12.74852 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.647868E-6 | 2.3647795E-5 | 6.4826345 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.4411943E-5 | 7.441061E-5 | 1.675464 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.44036E-4 | 5.240005E-4 | 1.1800855 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 5.3206094E-7 | 1.0532056E-5 | 19.794828 | 1.0E-5 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.2802594E-6 | 2.2280214E-5 | 9.770912 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5542888E-5 | 2.776184E-5 | 5.7761008E-5 | 2.08059 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5539953E-4 | 2.775872E-4 | 3.4756778E-4 | 1.252103 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 6.760766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 2.8974708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 3.5276655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 3.527614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 9.44214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 4.0466315E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 4.9267726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 4.9267637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Compton
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.1405945E-6 | 2.2613924E-4 | 36.82693 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.6316582E-5 | 3.2630868E-4 | 12.399357 | 3.0E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.2036E-4 | 8.10203E-4 | 2.5290394 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055183303 | 0.0031992507 | 0.0038372031 | 1.1994069 | 6.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.1102126E-6 | 1.1410976E-4 | 27.762497 | 1.1E-4 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.761508E-5 | 1.6761244E-4 | 9.515281 | 1.5E-4 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.1444306E-4 | 4.743873E-4 | 2.212183 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0039954064 | 0.0021424184 | 0.0024916686 | 1.1630168 | 3.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.7315672E-6 | 1.13731156E-4 | 30.478123 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.5992335E-5 | 1.6598994E-4 | 10.379343 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7373835E-4 | 1.9468981E-4 | 4.546392E-4 | 2.3351977 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0037311043 | 0.0019452446 | 0.002294564 | 1.1795759 | 3.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.1791978E-6 | 1.0317888E-4 | 32.454376 | 1.0E-4 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.3625065E-5 | 1.5362316E-4 | 11.275041 | 1.4E-4 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.6587292E-4 | 3.7583808E-4 | 2.2658195 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0033177056 | 0.0016575292 | 0.001957032 | 1.1806923 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.35628E-6 | 7.235612E-5 | 30.707775 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0098305E-5 | 1.200972E-4 | 11.892807 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.2294021E-4 | 3.0291808E-4 | 2.4639463 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002344655 | 0.0012287495 | 0.0014884301 | 1.2113372 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.6793914E-6 | 3.167934E-5 | 18.863585 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.1973723E-6 | 6.719694E-5 | 9.336316 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5586092E-4 | 8.762454E-5 | 1.7761665E-4 | 2.0270195 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015575165 | 8.759052E-4 | 0.0010257738 | 1.1711015 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.3991429E-6 | 3.13991E-5 | 22.441668 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0333543E-5 | 5.996313E-6 | 5.5996014E-5 | 9.3384075 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.300271E-5 | 1.429976E-4 | 1.9587985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012573242 | 7.2979165E-4 | 8.2971866E-4 | 1.1369255 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.0976366E-6 | 2.1097614E-5 | 19.220947 | 2.0E-5 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.7041485E-6 | 3.4704008E-5 | 7.37732 | 3.0E-5 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.727154E-5 | 1.0726868E-4 | 1.8729839 | 5.0E-5 | 9.795959E-4 | 5.7257153E-4 | 6.4253144E-4 | 1.1221855 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.4842955E-7 | 1.0348426E-5 | 29.700197 | 1.0E-5 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.4932687E-6 | 1.1493254E-5 | 7.6967087 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8180408E-5 | 2.8180226E-5 | 1.5500326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4769322E-4 | 1.817905E-4 | 2.0178687E-4 | 1.1099968 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 3.9965272E-8 | 3.9965272E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.7127972E-7 | 1.7127972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.0853288E-6 | 2.0853288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6809684E-5 | 2.0853102E-5 | 2.0853102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 3.830629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.6416983E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.9987674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872125E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.9987658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 9.419701E-4 | 0.0010618571 | 1.1272726 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019528421 | 0.0040262374 | 0.004185593 | 1.0395794 | 1.6E-4 | 0.023518132 | 0.047178846 | 0.04747422 | 1.0062608 | 3.1E-4 | 0.21179019 | 0.3400549 | 0.34037167 | 1.0009315 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 3.4758222E-4 | 4.4754747E-4 | 1.2876017 | 1.0E-4 | 8.248562E-4 | 0.0014875376 | 0.0016073592 | 1.0805502 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009996468 | 0.017758228 | 0.017984143 | 1.0127218 | 2.3E-4 | 0.09558567 | 0.15048087 | 0.15079518 | 1.0020888 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.2588821E-4 | 2.1587689E-4 | 1.7148299 | 9.0E-5 | 4.039488E-4 | 5.394015E-4 | 6.393476E-4 | 1.1852907 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0049069915 | 0.0065463204 | 0.0067350767 | 1.028834 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048000436 | 0.0655663 | 0.065874666 | 1.004703 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.2299187E-4 | 2.129808E-4 | 1.7316656 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 5.2699953E-4 | 6.269468E-4 | 1.1896535 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.0063969702 | 0.006585755 | 1.0295116 | 1.9E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.064228386 | 0.06453719 | 1.004808 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.2008841E-4 | 2.100776E-4 | 1.7493578 | 9.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 5.1456183E-4 | 6.145104E-4 | 1.1942401 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.006246561 | 0.0064353743 | 1.0302267 | 1.9E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.06288582 | 0.063195065 | 1.0049176 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.1718769E-4 | 2.0717715E-4 | 1.7679088 | 9.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 5.0213566E-4 | 6.0208543E-4 | 1.1990494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.00609624 | 0.0062850816 | 1.0309768 | 1.9E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.06154324 | 0.061852932 | 1.0050321 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.13310845E-4 | 2.0330065E-4 | 1.7941853 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 4.8552724E-4 | 5.854787E-4 | 1.2058617 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.005895214 | 0.006084094 | 1.0320395 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.059754543 | 0.060064822 | 1.0051926 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.11829475E-4 | 2.018194E-4 | 1.8047067 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 4.791819E-4 | 5.79134E-4 | 1.208589 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0058185766 | 0.006007471 | 1.032464 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.059072603 | 0.05938311 | 1.0052563 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.11149886E-4 | 2.0113988E-4 | 1.8096274 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 4.7627056E-4 | 5.7622296E-4 | 1.2098647 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.0057833474 | 0.0059722485 | 1.032663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.058758046 | 0.059068654 | 1.0052862 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.1046636E-4 | 2.0045642E-4 | 1.8146377 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 4.7334228E-4 | 5.7329494E-4 | 1.2111636 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0057478882 | 0.0059367963 | 1.0328656 | 1.9E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.058437638 | 0.058748353 | 1.0053171 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.07753454E-4 | 1.9774375E-4 | 1.83515 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 4.6171976E-4 | 5.6167354E-4 | 1.2164816 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.0056071286 | 0.005796063 | 1.0336955 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.05715123 | 0.05746237 | 1.0054442 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 9.2318005E-5 | 1.7231063E-4 | 1.8664899 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 3.9558913E-4 | 4.8555352E-4 | 1.2274188 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.004805763 | 0.004984898 | 1.0372751 | 1.8E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.04973369 | 0.050028272 | 1.0059232 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 9.008726E-5 | 1.7008005E-4 | 1.8879479 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 3.8603166E-4 | 4.7599693E-4 | 1.2330515 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.004689907 | 0.004869063 | 1.0382003 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.048631735 | 0.04892666 | 1.0060644 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 8.722346E-5 | 1.6721648E-4 | 1.9171045 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 3.737618E-4 | 4.6372815E-4 | 1.240705 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.004541153 | 0.004720336 | 1.0394576 | 1.8E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.047222544 | 0.047517903 | 1.0062547 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 8.447397E-5 | 1.6446722E-4 | 1.9469572 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 3.619816E-4 | 4.5194902E-4 | 1.2485415 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0043983166 | 0.004577525 | 1.0407448 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.04585822 | 0.046154004 | 1.0064499 | 3.1E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 5.7851215E-5 | 1.3784658E-4 | 2.3827777 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 2.4791027E-4 | 3.3788796E-4 | 1.3629446 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0030141403 | 0.003183628 | 1.0562308 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.032398857 | 0.03267946 | 1.0086609 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 5.646813E-5 | 1.3646361E-4 | 2.4166484 | 8.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 2.4198387E-4 | 3.3196207E-4 | 1.3718356 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0029421835 | 0.0031116833 | 1.0576103 | 1.7E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.031686142 | 0.031966954 | 1.0088623 | 2.9E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 4.2652908E-5 | 1.226495E-4 | 2.8755248 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 1.8278537E-4 | 2.7276893E-4 | 1.4922907 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.002223142 | 0.002392764 | 1.0762984 | 1.7E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.024410447 | 0.024683611 | 1.0111905 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 3.9637907E-5 | 1.1963474E-4 | 3.01819 | 8.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 1.698657E-4 | 2.598504E-4 | 1.5297403 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0020661545 | 0.002235803 | 1.0821085 | 1.7E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.022669608 | 0.02294326 | 1.0120714 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 3.071296E-5 | 7.071173E-5 | 2.302342 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 1.3162033E-4 | 1.7161507E-4 | 1.3038644 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0016013003 | 0.0016811723 | 1.0498794 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.017521115 | 0.017658662 | 1.0078504 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 1.7605264E-5 | 3.760491E-5 | 2.136004 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 7.5448945E-5 | 9.544744E-5 | 1.26506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 9.18204E-4 | 9.581673E-4 | 1.0435233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.010096046 | 0.010175238 | 1.0078439 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 6.7754645E-6 | 6.7754645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 2.9037383E-5 | 2.9037383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 3.534729E-4 | 3.7346582E-4 | 1.0565615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.004013118 | 0.004033038 | 1.0049636 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.4428426E-4 | 1.4693534 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.001163659 | 1.1592312 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012522271 | 1.0300658 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.115898386 | 1.0042156 | 5.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.4428426E-4 | 1.4693534 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.001163659 | 1.1592312 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012522271 | 1.0300658 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.115898386 | 1.0042156 | 5.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 2.3431002E-4 | 3.4428426E-4 | 1.4693534 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0010038198 | 0.001163659 | 1.1592312 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.012156769 | 0.012522271 | 1.0300658 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.115411855 | 0.115898386 | 1.0042156 | 5.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302708E-4 | 3.3300254E-4 | 1.4931036 | 1.1E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5550023E-4 | 0.0011153474 | 1.1672915 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01157483 | 0.011940547 | 1.031596 | 3.7E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.11029457 | 0.11078391 | 1.0044366 | 5.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.2302708E-4 | 3.3300254E-4 | 1.4931036 | 1.1E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 9.5550023E-4 | 0.0011153474 | 1.1672915 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.01157483 | 0.011940547 | 1.031596 | 3.7E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.11029457 | 0.11078391 | 1.0044366 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.045254E-4 | 3.145029E-4 | 1.5377206 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 8.762622E-4 | 0.001036122 | 1.1824337 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.0106198 | 0.0109759765 | 1.0335389 | 3.6E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.10182594 | 0.10231095 | 1.0047631 | 5.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 1.8830564E-4 | 2.882868E-4 | 1.5309515 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 8.067928E-4 | 9.5667184E-4 | 1.1857713 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.009781761 | 0.010118435 | 1.0344186 | 3.4E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.09430883 | 0.09476168 | 1.0048018 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 1.7036434E-4 | 2.7034731E-4 | 1.5868773 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 7.2994566E-4 | 8.7983615E-4 | 1.2053448 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.008853949 | 0.009181027 | 1.0369415 | 3.3E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.08591624 | 0.08636414 | 1.0052133 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 1.6650086E-4 | 2.6648422E-4 | 1.6004975 | 1.0E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 7.13397E-4 | 8.6329E-4 | 1.2101116 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.008654081 | 0.008981225 | 1.0378023 | 3.3E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.084091336 | 0.08454013 | 1.005337 | 4.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.1722638E-4 | 2.1721465E-4 | 1.8529503 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 5.023026E-4 | 6.5222726E-4 | 1.2984748 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.006098505 | 0.0064066146 | 1.0505221 | 3.1E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.06045571 | 0.060897294 | 1.0073043 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.1219954E-4 | 2.1218832E-4 | 1.8911693 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 4.807671E-4 | 6.3069497E-4 | 1.3118514 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.0058377427 | 0.0061459327 | 1.0527927 | 3.1E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.058014564 | 0.0584573 | 1.0076314 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.0703463E-4 | 1.97025E-4 | 1.8407594 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 4.5863973E-4 | 5.985755E-4 | 1.3051105 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.005569746 | 0.0058581308 | 1.051777 | 2.9E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.055522066 | 0.05594708 | 1.0076549 | 4.5E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 9.467854E-5 | 1.8467002E-4 | 1.950495 | 9.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 4.057023E-4 | 5.456455E-4 | 1.3449407 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0049282876 | 0.0052069076 | 1.0565349 | 2.8E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.049503252 | 0.04992147 | 1.0084484 | 4.4E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 8.7999135E-5 | 1.7799121E-4 | 2.0226474 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 3.7708483E-4 | 5.1703205E-4 | 1.3711293 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.004581383 | 0.0048302375 | 1.0543187 | 2.5E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.046278063 | 0.046669092 | 1.0084494 | 4.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 8.312108E-5 | 1.731136E-4 | 2.0826678 | 9.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 3.5618473E-4 | 4.9613486E-4 | 1.3929144 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0043279626 | 0.004566924 | 1.0552133 | 2.4E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.043908406 | 0.044290844 | 1.0087099 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 7.674637E-5 | 1.5674024E-4 | 2.0423145 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 3.2887174E-4 | 4.58829E-4 | 1.3951609 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.003996696 | 0.0042158165 | 1.0548254 | 2.2E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.040779732 | 0.04112505 | 1.0084679 | 3.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 5.6674E-5 | 1.3666946E-4 | 2.4115021 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 2.4286601E-4 | 3.6283684E-4 | 1.4939796 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0029528944 | 0.0031622744 | 1.0709066 | 2.1E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.030698707 | 0.031028269 | 1.0107354 | 3.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 4.4225708E-5 | 1.2422218E-4 | 2.8088226 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 1.89525E-4 | 2.9950414E-4 | 1.5802884 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.002305027 | 0.002504566 | 1.0865669 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.024370719 | 0.02468292 | 1.0128105 | 3.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 3.932935E-5 | 1.093266E-4 | 2.7797713 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 1.6854347E-4 | 2.4853E-4 | 1.4745749 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0020500869 | 0.0021997795 | 1.0730176 | 1.5E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.021826955 | 0.022091063 | 1.0121 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 2.9462803E-5 | 6.9461625E-5 | 2.357604 | 4.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 1.2626305E-4 | 1.66258E-4 | 1.316759 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0015361694 | 0.0016260311 | 1.0584973 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.01658849 | 0.016765503 | 1.0106709 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 1.5452273E-5 | 4.545181E-5 | 2.941432 | 3.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 6.622235E-5 | 9.622036E-5 | 1.4529893 | 3.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 8.059591E-4 | 8.359349E-4 | 1.0371927 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.008784413 | 0.008843886 | 1.0067703 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 2.8263285E-6 | 2.8263285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 1.21127805E-5 | 1.21127805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 1.4746314E-4 | 1.4746314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0017392477 | 0.0017392477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 7.7727907E-7 | 7.7727907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 3.3311917E-6 | 3.3311917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 4.0556508E-5 | 4.0556508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 5.180661E-4 | 5.180661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 6.623643E-8 | 6.623643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 2.8387038E-7 | 2.8387038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 3.4561172E-6 | 3.4561172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 4.6338424E-5 | 4.6338424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 7.805469E-6 | 1.2780454E-4 | 16.373714 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.3451615E-5 | 2.0344593E-4 | 6.081797 | 1.7E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.0720275E-4 | 7.070806E-4 | 1.7364337 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0062946146 | 0.0040651085 | 0.0046029133 | 1.1322978 | 5.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.1272976E-6 | 7.612687E-5 | 12.424215 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259597E-5 | 1.3625671E-4 | 5.1888347 | 1.1E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966605E-4 | 4.996085E-4 | 1.5629077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003192297 | 0.003481371 | 1.0905536 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.1272976E-6 | 7.612687E-5 | 12.424215 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.6259597E-5 | 1.3625671E-4 | 5.1888347 | 1.1E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.1966605E-4 | 4.996085E-4 | 1.5629077 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003192297 | 0.003481371 | 1.0905536 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 4.7799354E-6 | 4.4779743E-5 | 9.368274 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.0485279E-5 | 8.048405E-5 | 3.9288726 | 6.0E-5 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.4938025E-4 | 3.493553E-4 | 1.400894 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004496431 | 0.0024910558 | 0.0026606324 | 1.0680741 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.594151E-6 | 4.4593966E-5 | 9.706682 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4570177E-5 | 1.9689074E-5 | 7.9687896E-5 | 4.0473156 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.396886E-4 | 3.3966464E-4 | 1.417108 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042001465 | 0.0023943505 | 0.0025639434 | 1.0708305 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.1863836E-6 | 3.4186258E-5 | 8.1660595 | 3.0E-5 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.7941524E-5 | 6.794063E-5 | 3.7867813 | 5.0E-5 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.1841656E-4 | 3.083969E-4 | 1.4119667 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0021820606 | 0.0023317332 | 1.0685923 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.6075908E-6 | 2.360752E-5 | 6.543846 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.5461013E-5 | 5.5460394E-5 | 3.5871124 | 4.0E-5 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.8822191E-4 | 2.5820875E-4 | 1.3718314 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0018806583 | 0.002010414 | 1.0689948 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.6314958E-6 | 1.263147E-5 | 4.80011 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1277791E-5 | 3.1277566E-5 | 2.773377 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.3729854E-4 | 1.7729304E-4 | 1.291296 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002680074 | 0.0013721457 | 0.0014720085 | 1.0727786 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 1.9600488E-6 | 1.9600488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.400183E-6 | 8.400183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.02267484E-4 | 1.2226544E-4 | 1.1955456 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010222099 | 0.0010721588 | 1.0488636 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.2478727E-6 | 1.2478727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.348015E-6 | 5.348015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4553878E-4 | 6.511017E-5 | 6.511017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001454435 | 6.5091456E-4 | 6.6090806E-4 | 1.015353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 7.973088E-7 | 7.973088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.4170334E-6 | 3.4170334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.1601616E-5 | 4.1601616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.1594097E-4 | 4.1594097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.0216814E-7 | 6.0216814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.5807183E-6 | 2.5807183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.1419815E-5 | 3.1419815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.1415603E-4 | 3.1415603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 4.829728E-7 | 4.829728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.0698817E-6 | 2.0698817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.520054E-5 | 2.520054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.5197884E-4 | 2.5197884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 6.5881565E-8 | 6.5881565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 2.8234956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 3.4376033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 3.4375767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.5832258E-5 | 2.4582475E-4 | 6.860431 | 2.1E-4 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5355866E-4 | 4.0352027E-4 | 2.6277924 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00171175 | 0.0018681306 | 0.0022474208 | 1.2030319 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016986247 | 0.01854024 | 0.01907023 | 1.0285858 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.8130745E-4 | 8.507751 | 1.6E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.913109E-4 | 3.1896815 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0014010621 | 1.2606459 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.0114657665 | 1.0366595 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1310854E-5 | 1.8130745E-4 | 8.507751 | 1.6E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.1329144E-5 | 2.913109E-4 | 3.1896815 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011113844 | 0.0014010621 | 1.2606459 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010296632 | 0.011060301 | 0.0114657665 | 1.0366595 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.667839E-4 | 9.935645 | 1.5E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 2.6192618E-4 | 3.6409056 | 1.9E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0011452851 | 1.3081176 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.00908815 | 1.0420545 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.6786418E-5 | 1.667839E-4 | 9.935645 | 1.5E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.1939845E-5 | 2.6192618E-4 | 3.6409056 | 1.9E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.755215E-4 | 0.0011452851 | 1.3081176 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008173222 | 0.008721377 | 0.00908815 | 1.0420545 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4589136E-5 | 1.3458739E-4 | 9.225178 | 1.2E-4 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.2523395E-5 | 2.1251402E-4 | 3.398952 | 1.5E-4 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.6095987E-4 | 9.907848E-4 | 1.3020198 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007583927 | 0.007911424 | 1.0431831 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3327058E-5 | 1.3332546E-4 | 10.004118 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7114725E-5 | 1.9710672E-4 | 3.4510667 | 1.4E-4 | 6.540996E-4 | 6.951525E-4 | 9.0500654E-4 | 1.301882 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0069300737 | 0.007237925 | 1.0444226 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2212661E-5 | 1.2221132E-4 | 10.006936 | 1.1E-4 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.2338935E-5 | 1.8233214E-4 | 3.4836805 | 1.3E-4 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.370422E-4 | 8.369148E-4 | 1.313751 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005984721 | 0.0063523827 | 0.006630604 | 1.043798 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0735759E-5 | 1.1073468E-4 | 10.314566 | 1.0E-4 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.600959E-5 | 1.6600407E-4 | 3.6080317 | 1.2E-4 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.600243E-4 | 7.3992345E-4 | 1.3212346 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005586294 | 0.0058448412 | 1.0462825 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.486945E-6 | 9.948609E-5 | 10.486631 | 9.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.0657706E-5 | 1.5065323E-4 | 3.705404 | 1.1E-4 | 4.6745385E-4 | 4.948962E-4 | 6.6481205E-4 | 1.3433363 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0049380567 | 0.0051868223 | 1.0503772 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.511766E-6 | 9.8511E-5 | 11.573508 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6478494E-5 | 1.4647449E-4 | 4.015365 | 1.1E-4 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4403595E-4 | 6.1396044E-4 | 1.3826818 | 1.7E-4 | 0.004189935 | 0.004431575 | 0.0046705115 | 1.0539168 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.54307E-6 | 7.754254E-5 | 10.279971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2327047E-5 | 1.1232446E-4 | 3.474628 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9351138E-4 | 5.334563E-4 | 1.3556311 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039282204 | 0.0041373954 | 1.0532494 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.721356E-6 | 7.6720884E-5 | 11.414495 | 7.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.8805496E-5 | 1.0880319E-4 | 3.7771678 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.506511E-4 | 4.90602E-4 | 1.3991172 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035010448 | 0.0037003446 | 1.0569258 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.2860037E-6 | 5.528574E-5 | 10.458892 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2654107E-5 | 8.265275E-5 | 3.6484663 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.7577937E-4 | 3.8574904E-4 | 1.3987596 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027544247 | 0.0029239564 | 1.0615488 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.6862266E-6 | 4.368608E-5 | 11.851165 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5798021E-5 | 5.5797387E-5 | 3.5319228 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.923243E-4 | 2.6231084E-4 | 1.3638985 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019216161 | 0.0020314048 | 1.0571334 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.1764857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 5.042072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.138553E-5 | 6.138553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.136887E-4 | 6.2368263E-4 | 1.016285 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 2.9703958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.2730261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 1.5498985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.5497916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 2.156798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 9.243417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.1253803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.1253243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 3.7368963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.601527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.9498573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.9498415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 2.7917288E-4 | 1.8712289 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 7.991375E-4 | 1.2501373 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.008102483 | 1.044781 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07913594 | 1.0063269 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 2.7917288E-4 | 1.8712289 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 7.991375E-4 | 1.2501373 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.008102483 | 1.044781 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07913594 | 1.0063269 | 5.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 2.7917288E-4 | 1.8712289 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 7.991375E-4 | 1.2501373 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.008102483 | 1.044781 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07913594 | 1.0063269 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 2.7917288E-4 | 1.8712289 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 7.991375E-4 | 1.2501373 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.008102483 | 1.044781 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07913594 | 1.0063269 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.4919226E-4 | 2.7917288E-4 | 1.8712289 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 6.392398E-4 | 7.991375E-4 | 1.2501373 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.0077551976 | 0.008102483 | 1.044781 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.078638405 | 0.07913594 | 1.0063269 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310933E-4 | 2.7309073E-4 | 1.9082664 | 1.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131825E-4 | 7.7308435E-4 | 1.2607738 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0074401484 | 0.0077875443 | 1.046692 | 3.5E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.07575972 | 0.07624032 | 1.0063438 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.4310933E-4 | 2.7309073E-4 | 1.9082664 | 1.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 6.131825E-4 | 7.7308435E-4 | 1.2607738 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0074401484 | 0.0077875443 | 1.046692 | 3.5E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.07575972 | 0.07624032 | 1.0063438 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 1.4034667E-4 | 2.7032843E-4 | 1.9261477 | 1.3E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 6.0134806E-4 | 7.6125184E-4 | 1.2659088 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.007297036 | 0.007644482 | 1.0476147 | 3.5E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.07445637 | 0.07493766 | 1.006464 | 5.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 1.3954878E-4 | 2.6953063E-4 | 1.9314438 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 5.979301E-4 | 7.578344E-4 | 1.2674298 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.0072557 | 0.0076031606 | 1.0478879 | 3.5E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.07407128 | 0.07455277 | 1.0065002 | 5.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 1.3867275E-4 | 2.6865472E-4 | 1.9373288 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 5.941774E-4 | 7.5408234E-4 | 1.2691199 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0072103143 | 0.0075577907 | 1.0481915 | 3.5E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.07364916 | 0.07413086 | 1.0065405 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 1.3786585E-4 | 2.6784794E-4 | 1.9428155 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 5.9072085E-4 | 7.506263E-4 | 1.2706956 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.007168508 | 0.007515999 | 1.0484747 | 3.5E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.07325896 | 0.07374087 | 1.0065781 | 5.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 1.2578309E-4 | 2.5576673E-4 | 2.0333953 | 1.3E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 5.389597E-4 | 6.988734E-4 | 1.2967082 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.006542229 | 0.0068899393 | 1.0531486 | 3.5E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.06739999 | 0.067884944 | 1.0071951 | 5.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 1.2096488E-4 | 2.5094915E-4 | 2.074562 | 1.3E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 5.1831856E-4 | 6.7823566E-4 | 1.3085304 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.006292401 | 0.0066401986 | 1.0552727 | 3.5E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.06504938 | 0.06553555 | 1.007474 | 5.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 1.1680755E-4 | 2.4679236E-4 | 2.1128118 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 5.0050835E-4 | 6.604283E-4 | 1.319515 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.006076791 | 0.006424664 | 1.0572462 | 3.5E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.06299187 | 0.06347911 | 1.007735 | 5.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.1188774E-4 | 2.418732E-4 | 2.161749 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 4.794314E-4 | 6.393547E-4 | 1.3335687 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.005821574 | 0.0061695366 | 1.0597712 | 3.5E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.06054898 | 0.061037496 | 1.0080681 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 8.1244136E-5 | 2.1123358E-4 | 2.5999854 | 1.3E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 3.4814278E-4 | 5.0808705E-4 | 1.4594215 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0042304173 | 0.004568979 | 1.0800303 | 3.4E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.04520968 | 0.045687072 | 1.0105596 | 5.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 7.879456E-5 | 2.0878432E-4 | 2.64973 | 1.3E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 3.3764736E-4 | 4.975933E-4 | 1.4737072 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.004103124 | 0.004441729 | 1.0825237 | 3.4E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.04394248 | 0.04442051 | 1.0108786 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 6.112279E-5 | 1.9111484E-4 | 3.1267364 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 2.619285E-4 | 4.218866E-4 | 1.6106937 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0031843188 | 0.0035032998 | 1.1001724 | 3.2E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.034707297 | 0.035151333 | 1.0127937 | 4.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 5.6466863E-5 | 1.7646009E-4 | 3.1250203 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 2.4197841E-4 | 3.919421E-4 | 1.61974 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.002942109 | 0.0032312558 | 1.0982788 | 2.9E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.032010663 | 0.0324269 | 1.013003 | 4.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 4.126519E-5 | 1.0126271E-4 | 2.4539502 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 1.7683883E-4 | 2.3682821E-4 | 1.339232 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0021508876 | 0.0022905865 | 1.0649494 | 1.4E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.023309954 | 0.023515059 | 1.0087991 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 2.3383824E-5 | 5.3383123E-5 | 2.2829082 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 1.00212535E-4 | 1.3020953E-4 | 1.2993337 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0012194051 | 0.001279332 | 1.0491443 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.013286445 | 0.013385117 | 1.0074265 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 7.0003266E-6 | 7.0003266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 3.0001054E-5 | 3.0001054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 3.6520173E-4 | 3.8519443E-4 | 1.0547442 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.004137644 | 0.0041575613 | 1.0048137 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 2.953863E-4 | 1.7858063 | 1.3E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.685859E-4 | 1.2256057 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008911803 | 1.0369129 | 3.2E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.086163096 | 1.0053339 | 5.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 2.953863E-4 | 1.7858063 | 1.3E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.685859E-4 | 1.2256057 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008911803 | 1.0369129 | 3.2E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.086163096 | 1.0053339 | 5.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.6540781E-4 | 2.953863E-4 | 1.7858063 | 1.3E-4 | 5.2226405E-4 | 7.086993E-4 | 8.685859E-4 | 1.2256057 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0063400427 | 0.008594554 | 0.008911803 | 1.0369129 | 3.2E-4 | 0.061621845 | 0.08570595 | 0.086163096 | 1.0053339 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 1.6463934E-4 | 2.9461793E-4 | 1.7894747 | 1.3E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 7.054076E-4 | 8.652947E-4 | 1.2266592 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.008554793 | 0.008872055 | 1.0370859 | 3.2E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.08534597 | 0.08580329 | 1.0053585 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 1.5955207E-4 | 2.8953134E-4 | 1.814651 | 1.3E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 6.836166E-4 | 8.4350724E-4 | 1.2338893 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.008291531 | 0.008608879 | 1.0382736 | 3.2E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.08299412 | 0.08345262 | 1.0055245 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 1.5700942E-4 | 2.86989E-4 | 1.8278458 | 1.3E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 6.7272515E-4 | 8.326175E-4 | 1.2376786 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.008159924 | 0.0084773125 | 1.0388961 | 3.2E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.08184059 | 0.082299665 | 1.0056094 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 1.4986283E-4 | 2.7984334E-4 | 1.86733 | 1.3E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 6.4211234E-4 | 8.020096E-4 | 1.2490176 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.007789934 | 0.0081074415 | 1.0407586 | 3.2E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.07853775 | 0.078998476 | 1.0058664 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 1.4822483E-4 | 2.7820555E-4 | 1.876916 | 1.3E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 6.3509576E-4 | 7.949941E-4 | 1.2517705 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.007705115 | 0.008022649 | 1.0412109 | 3.2E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.07777969 | 0.078240804 | 1.0059284 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 1.4709373E-4 | 2.770746E-4 | 1.8836602 | 1.3E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 6.302505E-4 | 7.901497E-4 | 1.2537073 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.0076465392 | 0.007964092 | 1.0415289 | 3.2E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.0772522 | 0.07771357 | 1.0059723 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 1.4567103E-4 | 2.756521E-4 | 1.8922918 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 6.241562E-4 | 7.840563E-4 | 1.2561861 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.007572859 | 0.007890436 | 1.0419362 | 3.2E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.07658271 | 0.07704441 | 1.0060289 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 1.419285E-4 | 2.7191004E-4 | 1.9158242 | 1.3E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 6.081243E-4 | 7.68027E-4 | 1.2629441 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.007379009 | 0.007696647 | 1.0430462 | 3.2E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.07482078 | 0.07528336 | 1.0061827 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.2104828E-4 | 2.4103375E-4 | 1.99122 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 5.1867584E-4 | 6.6859805E-4 | 1.289048 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.006296728 | 0.006604776 | 1.048922 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.06488231 | 0.06533116 | 1.006918 | 4.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 1.16864016E-4 | 2.3684998E-4 | 2.0267146 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 5.0075026E-4 | 6.5067515E-4 | 1.2994004 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.0060797217 | 0.006387837 | 1.0506792 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.06285217 | 0.063302 | 1.007157 | 4.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.1224823E-4 | 2.3223476E-4 | 2.0689392 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 4.8097578E-4 | 6.3090364E-4 | 1.3117161 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.0058402824 | 0.006148472 | 1.0527697 | 3.1E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.060574166 | 0.06102509 | 1.0074441 | 4.8E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.0731068E-4 | 2.272978E-4 | 2.1181283 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 4.5982248E-4 | 6.097535E-4 | 1.3260628 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.0055840854 | 0.0058923545 | 1.0552049 | 3.1E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.05811794 | 0.058570042 | 1.0077791 | 4.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 7.6732E-5 | 1.9672279E-4 | 2.5637646 | 1.2E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 3.2881007E-4 | 4.7876075E-4 | 1.4560404 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.0039959303 | 0.0042947317 | 1.0747764 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.042775173 | 0.0432155 | 1.010294 | 4.6E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 7.430685E-5 | 1.9429793E-4 | 2.614805 | 1.2E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 3.1841913E-4 | 4.6837138E-4 | 1.4709272 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0038698772 | 0.0041687163 | 1.0772219 | 3.0E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.041518256 | 0.041959155 | 1.0106195 | 4.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 5.6689965E-5 | 1.7668316E-4 | 3.1166568 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 2.4293437E-4 | 3.9289793E-4 | 1.6173007 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0029537166 | 0.00324286 | 1.0978913 | 2.9E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.032289688 | 0.032705802 | 1.012887 | 4.3E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 5.2603664E-5 | 1.7259736E-4 | 3.28109 | 1.2E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 2.254248E-4 | 3.7539098E-4 | 1.6652603 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0027410947 | 0.003020327 | 1.101869 | 2.8E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.029913943 | 0.030321378 | 1.0136203 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 3.8882026E-5 | 9.887969E-5 | 2.5430696 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 1.666266E-4 | 2.2661661E-4 | 1.3600266 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0020267921 | 0.0021665085 | 1.0689347 | 1.4E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.022017656 | 0.022223031 | 1.0093278 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 2.2707569E-5 | 5.2706888E-5 | 2.3211153 | 3.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 9.731453E-5 | 1.273116E-4 | 1.3082488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0011841607 | 0.0012440897 | 1.0506088 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.012913256 | 0.013011965 | 1.0076439 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 7.0003543E-6 | 7.0003543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 3.0001174E-5 | 3.0001174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 3.652032E-4 | 3.851959E-4 | 1.054744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.0041376646 | 0.004157582 | 1.0048137 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0566338E-6 | 8.405631E-5 | 20.720705 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7385462E-5 | 1.6738285E-4 | 9.6277485 | 1.5E-4 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1164854E-4 | 4.4159987E-4 | 2.0864773 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020925992 | 0.0021145777 | 0.0025237107 | 1.1934822 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.691342E-6 | 7.369108E-5 | 19.963223 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5819947E-5 | 1.5581773E-4 | 9.849447 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9259176E-4 | 3.9255322E-4 | 2.038266 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019243398 | 0.0022736664 | 1.1815306 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.677134E-6 | 7.367688E-5 | 20.036495 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5759055E-5 | 1.5575685E-4 | 9.883641 | 1.4E-4 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9185053E-4 | 3.9181215E-4 | 2.0422783 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019169404 | 0.0022662694 | 1.1822326 | 3.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6639788E-6 | 7.366372E-5 | 20.104845 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5702677E-5 | 1.5570047E-4 | 9.915538 | 1.4E-4 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9116423E-4 | 3.91126E-4 | 2.0460207 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019100893 | 0.0022594207 | 1.1828876 | 3.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.528818E-6 | 7.352857E-5 | 20.8366 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.51234235E-5 | 1.551213E-4 | 10.257023 | 1.4E-4 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8411303E-4 | 3.840762E-4 | 2.0860891 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018396946 | 0.0021890507 | 1.189899 | 3.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5229042E-6 | 6.2522755E-5 | 24.782057 | 6.0E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0812401E-5 | 1.20811215E-4 | 11.173393 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3163309E-4 | 2.9161203E-4 | 2.21534 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013142825 | 0.0013155567 | 0.0015852016 | 1.2049663 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.131714E-6 | 5.2131607E-5 | 24.455254 | 5.0E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.135885E-6 | 8.913515E-5 | 9.7565975 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1122376E-4 | 2.312104E-4 | 2.0787861 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011159834 | 0.0011116841 | 0.0013214507 | 1.1886926 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9529025E-6 | 5.1952804E-5 | 26.602867 | 5.0E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.369556E-6 | 8.8368884E-5 | 10.5583725 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.01894606E-4 | 2.118834E-4 | 2.0794368 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010184819 | 0.0012182782 | 1.1961707 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.6995307E-6 | 5.1699444E-5 | 30.419836 | 5.0E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.283683E-6 | 8.72831E-5 | 11.983375 | 8.0E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.867526E-5 | 1.9866551E-4 | 2.2403712 | 1.1E-4 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.864017E-4 | 0.0010662421 | 1.2028883 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3407383E-6 | 4.1340685E-5 | 30.834267 | 4.0E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.746009E-6 | 7.574561E-5 | 13.182299 | 7.0E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 6.995544E-5 | 1.5994914E-4 | 2.2864432 | 9.0E-5 | 7.1551115E-4 | 6.9933676E-4 | 8.3923887E-4 | 1.2000496 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.873448E-7 | 1.0787337E-5 | 13.700906 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.3743306E-6 | 2.3374263E-5 | 6.9270816 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.10817E-5 | 7.108047E-5 | 1.7302221 | 3.0E-5 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.1074125E-4 | 4.607207E-4 | 1.1216811 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.6255278E-7 | 1.0362549E-5 | 28.58218 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5537968E-6 | 2.1553766E-5 | 13.871676 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.8917312E-5 | 4.8916743E-5 | 2.585819 | 3.0E-5 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.8915709E-4 | 2.191514E-4 | 1.1585684 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.7697386E-8 | 1.0077697E-5 | 129.70445 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3298875E-7 | 1.0332986E-5 | 31.031034 | 1.0E-5 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.054131E-6 | 1.4054091E-5 | 3.46661 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.0540577E-5 | 5.0540173E-5 | 1.2466564 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.586062E-5 | 3.9274382E-5 | 1.5926966E-4 | 4.055307 | 1.2E-4 | 1.5367931E-4 | 1.683085E-4 | 3.382799E-4 | 2.00988 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0018694398 | 0.0020473336 | 0.0023068013 | 1.1267345 | 2.6E-4 | 0.018537914 | 0.020295722 | 0.020648416 | 1.0173777 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 8.298698E-5 | 3.6099567 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.7851009E-4 | 1.8119546 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013386548 | 1.1166413 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012114065 | 1.0157411 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.2988359E-5 | 8.298698E-5 | 3.6099567 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 9.8517965E-5 | 1.7851009E-4 | 1.8119546 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0011988226 | 0.0013386548 | 1.1166413 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.011926331 | 0.012114065 | 1.0157411 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.6499243E-5 | 5.6498582E-5 | 3.4243138 | 4.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.070919E-5 | 1.2070565E-4 | 1.7070717 | 5.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.605554E-4 | 9.4048656E-4 | 1.0928832 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.008573386 | 0.008692357 | 1.0138768 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3409091E-5 | 4.3408687E-5 | 3.2372582 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.746631E-5 | 9.746401E-5 | 1.69602 | 4.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 6.9943524E-4 | 7.693863E-4 | 1.1000108 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.006973114 | 0.007082347 | 1.0156648 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 9.815237E-6 | 2.981504E-5 | 3.0376284 | 2.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.206465E-5 | 7.206339E-5 | 1.7131579 | 3.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.120217E-4 | 5.6199613E-4 | 1.0976021 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0051089195 | 0.0051885108 | 1.0155789 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.159118E-6 | 1.8159037E-5 | 2.2256126 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.49672E-5 | 5.4966502E-5 | 1.5719446 | 2.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.256465E-4 | 4.6562945E-4 | 1.0939347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0042487113 | 0.004318414 | 1.0164056 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 5.9255667E-6 | 1.5925507E-5 | 2.6875923 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.5395057E-5 | 4.539455E-5 | 1.7875348 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.0914397E-4 | 3.3913468E-4 | 1.0970122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0030874372 | 0.0031472521 | 1.0193735 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 3.992165E-6 | 1.3992125E-5 | 3.5048966 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.710918E-5 | 3.7108835E-5 | 2.1689432 | 2.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.0828666E-4 | 2.3828041E-4 | 1.1440023 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0020811416 | 0.0021210583 | 1.0191802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.5925383E-6 | 1.2592513E-5 | 4.8572135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1110831E-5 | 2.111072E-5 | 1.9000126 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.35266E-4 | 1.5526329E-4 | 1.1478368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013518395 | 0.001381799 | 1.022162 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.449818E-6 | 1.2449794E-5 | 5.0819254 | 1.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0499179E-5 | 2.0499074E-5 | 1.9524455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2782002E-4 | 1.4781747E-4 | 1.15645 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012774672 | 0.0013074289 | 1.023454 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3426678E-6 | 1.2342644E-5 | 5.2686276 | 1.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0039967E-5 | 2.0039866E-5 | 1.9960092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2222974E-4 | 1.422273E-4 | 1.1636063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012216271 | 0.0012515904 | 1.0245274 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.247132E-6 | 1.2247109E-5 | 5.4501066 | 1.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.63053E-6 | 1.9630434E-5 | 2.0383544 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.17245414E-4 | 1.3724307E-4 | 1.1705624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011718374 | 0.0012018023 | 1.0255709 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.082142E-6 | 1.2082121E-5 | 5.8027368 | 1.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 8.9234345E-6 | 1.8923345E-5 | 2.1206348 | 1.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.0863742E-4 | 1.2863525E-4 | 1.1840786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010858448 | 0.0011158123 | 1.0275983 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.7820928E-6 | 1.1782075E-5 | 6.61137 | 1.0E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.637518E-6 | 1.7637441E-5 | 2.309316 | 1.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.298283E-5 | 1.1298097E-4 | 1.2150735 | 2.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.294409E-4 | 9.59413E-4 | 1.0322474 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 9.4059027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 4.0310947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 4.9077487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.9066765E-4 | 4.9066765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 4.0173785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.7217325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 2.0961897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 2.0959985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 6.296266E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 2.6983994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 3.2852965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 3.2852487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.3917351E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 5.964579E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 7.261875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 7.261873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7219182E-6 | 6.472164E-5 | 13.70664 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0236645E-5 | 1.4023422E-4 | 6.9297166 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4635505E-4 | 4.3630824E-4 | 1.7710546 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024609915 | 0.0027602531 | 1.121602 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 6.413978E-5 | 15.492608 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 1.3774072E-4 | 7.763168 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.959604E-4 | 1.8331561 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.002437437 | 1.1294672 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1400244E-6 | 6.413978E-5 | 15.492608 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.774285E-5 | 1.3774072E-4 | 7.763168 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1599927E-4 | 3.959604E-4 | 1.8331561 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021580413 | 0.002437437 | 1.1294672 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.351097E-6 | 5.335093E-5 | 15.920438 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.436177E-5 | 1.1436034E-4 | 7.96283 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7484145E-4 | 3.3481346E-4 | 1.9149548 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017471304 | 0.0019966937 | 1.1428418 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2235532E-6 | 5.3223393E-5 | 16.510784 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.381516E-5 | 1.1381378E-4 | 8.238325 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.681875E-4 | 3.281606E-4 | 1.9511591 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016806928 | 0.0019302726 | 1.1484982 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 2.9872583E-6 | 5.298711E-5 | 17.737705 | 5.0E-5 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2802478E-5 | 1.128012E-4 | 8.810888 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5585992E-4 | 3.1583497E-4 | 2.026403 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015575942 | 0.0018072048 | 1.1602539 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0269592E-6 | 4.2026877E-5 | 20.733952 | 4.0E-5 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.6869395E-6 | 7.868633E-5 | 9.058003 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.057584E-4 | 2.2574571E-4 | 2.1345415 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010570851 | 0.0012269054 | 1.1606495 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7546768E-6 | 3.1754626E-5 | 18.097136 | 3.0E-5 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.520022E-6 | 6.751957E-5 | 8.978641 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.155245E-5 | 1.915433E-4 | 2.09217 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.1515045E-4 | 0.0010650131 | 1.1637574 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5860172E-6 | 3.158597E-5 | 19.915276 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.797199E-6 | 6.679679E-5 | 9.8271055 | 6.0E-5 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.2752784E-5 | 1.7274533E-4 | 2.0874867 | 9.0E-5 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.2722266E-4 | 9.6710684E-4 | 1.169101 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.3931309E-6 | 3.139309E-5 | 22.534199 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9318945E-6 | 5.9705476E-6 | 6.597019E-5 | 11.04927 | 6.0E-5 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.268902E-5 | 1.6268248E-4 | 2.2380612 | 9.0E-5 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.2665524E-4 | 8.565608E-4 | 1.1787719 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0843277E-6 | 2.1084306E-5 | 19.44459 | 2.0E-5 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6471105E-6 | 5.4646876E-5 | 11.759324 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.6577126E-5 | 1.2657317E-4 | 2.237179 | 7.0E-5 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.656298E-4 | 6.655732E-4 | 1.176694 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.4526447E-7 | 5.4526447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3368457E-6 | 1.2336823E-5 | 5.279263 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8450726E-5 | 4.8450158E-5 | 1.7029498 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.84471E-4 | 3.044653E-4 | 1.0702859 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9562776E-7 | 1.9562776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.384044E-7 | 1.0838396E-5 | 12.927408 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0207526E-5 | 3.0207322E-5 | 2.9593186 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0207062E-4 | 1.2206858E-4 | 1.1959227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 3.386149E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.4512065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.7668426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 1.7668292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 8.1704865E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 3.5016356E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 4.263241E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 4.2632408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.7296687E-5 | 9.7295306E-5 | 5.6250834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 7.412694E-5 | 1.6412027E-4 | 2.2140436 | 9.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 9.0219086E-4 | 0.0010620465 | 1.177186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.0091269 | 0.009404344 | 1.0303985 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880262E-6 | 4.9879865E-5 | 5.0484357 | 4.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234331E-5 | 8.234162E-5 | 1.9446193 | 4.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1541097E-4 | 5.7538005E-4 | 1.116352 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052777943 | 0.005397161 | 1.0226167 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 9.880262E-6 | 4.9879865E-5 | 5.0484357 | 4.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 4.234331E-5 | 8.234162E-5 | 1.9446193 | 4.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 5.1541097E-4 | 5.7538005E-4 | 1.116352 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.0052777943 | 0.005397161 | 1.0226167 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 8.164366E-6 | 2.8164202E-5 | 3.4496498 | 2.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 3.4989673E-5 | 5.4988974E-5 | 1.5715772 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 4.2591692E-4 | 4.6589988E-4 | 1.093875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.0043865414 | 0.0044761463 | 1.0204273 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 8.040182E-6 | 2.8040022E-5 | 3.4874856 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 3.4457476E-5 | 5.4456785E-5 | 1.5804056 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 4.194399E-4 | 4.594231E-4 | 1.0953252 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.0043220245 | 0.0044116355 | 1.0207336 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 6.9778253E-6 | 2.6977687E-5 | 3.8662026 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 2.9904624E-5 | 4.9904025E-5 | 1.6687729 | 2.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 3.6402815E-4 | 4.0401358E-4 | 1.1098416 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.003769282 | 0.0038489804 | 1.0211442 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 6.9694956E-6 | 2.6969356E-5 | 3.8696282 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 2.9868925E-5 | 4.986833E-5 | 1.6695722 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 3.6359366E-4 | 4.0357912E-4 | 1.109973 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.003764952 | 0.0038446507 | 1.0211686 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 6.8541017E-6 | 2.6853964E-5 | 3.9179409 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 2.937439E-5 | 4.9373804E-5 | 1.6808451 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 3.5757467E-4 | 3.975604E-4 | 1.1118248 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0037046324 | 0.0037843361 | 1.0215145 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 6.815918E-6 | 2.6815782E-5 | 3.9342878 | 2.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 2.921075E-5 | 4.9210164E-5 | 1.6846595 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 3.55583E-4 | 3.955688E-4 | 1.1124513 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0036845407 | 0.003764246 | 1.0216323 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 6.7854303E-6 | 2.6785294E-5 | 3.9474719 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 2.9080093E-5 | 4.907951E-5 | 1.6877357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 3.5399277E-4 | 3.8398214E-4 | 1.0847175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0036685565 | 0.0037382997 | 1.019011 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 6.75003E-6 | 2.6749894E-5 | 3.9629297 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 2.8928382E-5 | 4.8927803E-5 | 1.6913426 | 2.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 3.5214628E-4 | 3.821357E-4 | 1.0851619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.0036500907 | 0.0037198353 | 1.0191076 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 6.7230276E-6 | 2.6722893E-5 | 3.9748302 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 2.8812658E-5 | 4.8812082E-5 | 1.6941193 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 3.507378E-4 | 3.807273E-4 | 1.0855039 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.003635887 | 0.0037056326 | 1.0191826 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 5.9625067E-6 | 2.5962388E-5 | 4.354274 | 2.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 2.555335E-5 | 4.555284E-5 | 1.7826562 | 2.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 3.110677E-4 | 3.410584E-4 | 1.0964121 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0032353592 | 0.003295165 | 1.0184851 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 5.435479E-6 | 2.543537E-5 | 4.6795087 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 2.3294702E-5 | 4.3294236E-5 | 1.8585443 | 2.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 2.8357614E-4 | 3.1356764E-4 | 1.1057616 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0029506364 | 0.0030104595 | 1.0202746 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 3.414632E-6 | 3.414632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 1.4634055E-5 | 1.4634055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 1.781551E-4 | 1.8815331E-4 | 1.0561209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.001855763 | 0.0018757259 | 1.0107572 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 5.717106E-7 | 5.717106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 2.4501858E-6 | 2.4501858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 2.9830608E-5 | 2.9830608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 3.1325794E-4 | 3.1325794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 2.1444642E-8 | 2.1444642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 9.1905605E-8 | 9.1905605E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 1.1189502E-6 | 1.1189502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 1.3199958E-5 | 1.3199958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 3.490771E-10 | 3.490771E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.4960444E-9 | 1.4960444E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.8214342E-8 | 1.8214342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 2.3035352E-7 | 2.3035352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2115105E-6 | 5.62112E-5 | 9.049522 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6620512E-5 | 1.1661812E-4 | 4.3807616 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2406094E-4 | 4.7401234E-4 | 1.4627259 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032363208 | 0.003505447 | 1.083158 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 5.5485507E-5 | 10.114422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.13508184E-4 | 4.828019 | 9.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.261643E-4 | 1.489021 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0030980704 | 1.0837126 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.485781E-6 | 5.5485507E-5 | 10.114422 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.3510302E-5 | 1.13508184E-4 | 4.828019 | 9.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8620436E-4 | 4.261643E-4 | 1.489021 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028587566 | 0.0030980704 | 1.0837126 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9030173E-6 | 4.4902823E-5 | 9.158201 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1012784E-5 | 8.101152E-5 | 3.8553448 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.558043E-4 | 3.3578384E-4 | 1.312659 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025554618 | 0.0027250275 | 1.0663542 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.8802035E-6 | 4.488001E-5 | 9.19634 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.091501E-5 | 8.091376E-5 | 3.868693 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.546142E-4 | 3.3459382E-4 | 1.3141209 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025435882 | 0.002703181 | 1.0627433 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.7658714E-6 | 4.4765682E-5 | 9.392969 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0425025E-5 | 8.04238E-5 | 3.937513 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.4864997E-4 | 3.286301E-4 | 1.3216574 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002403158 | 0.0024840806 | 0.0026436832 | 1.0642501 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.1805297E-6 | 3.4180404E-5 | 8.176094 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.7916453E-5 | 6.791556E-5 | 3.7906811 | 5.0E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1811451E-4 | 2.8809923E-4 | 1.3208623 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021793512 | 0.002319046 | 1.0640993 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2094355E-6 | 2.2209391E-5 | 10.052067 | 2.0E-5 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.468975E-6 | 3.946869E-5 | 4.1682115 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1527872E-4 | 1.5527412E-4 | 1.3469452 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011072971 | 0.0011521947 | 0.0012121255 | 1.0520146 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 1.9830234E-6 | 2.1982984E-5 | 11.085589 | 2.0E-5 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.498645E-6 | 2.8498474E-5 | 3.3532965 | 2.0E-5 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0346613E-4 | 1.3346304E-4 | 1.28992 | 3.0E-5 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010341848 | 0.0010841332 | 1.0482973 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.2917134E-6 | 1.12917005E-5 | 8.741646 | 1.0E-5 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.535903E-6 | 1.5535847E-5 | 2.80638 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.739755E-5 | 7.739688E-5 | 1.1483634 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.737733E-4 | 7.0375303E-4 | 1.0444953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.8199114E-7 | 1.0681984E-5 | 15.662937 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9228158E-6 | 1.29227865E-5 | 4.421348 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.5584715E-5 | 4.5584362E-5 | 1.2810096 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5579156E-4 | 3.65788E-4 | 1.0280963 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 4.1527994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.7797701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 2.1668497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1666498E-4 | 2.1666498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 3.8313313E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.641999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.999132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.9991154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.8736355E-4 | 2.4215918 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.915022E-4 | 1.4824142 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0042388584 | 1.051903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.039898932 | 1.0070294 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 7.737207E-5 | 1.8736355E-4 | 2.4215918 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.315552E-4 | 4.915022E-4 | 1.4824142 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0040297043 | 0.0042388584 | 1.051903 | 2.1E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.03962042 | 0.039898932 | 1.0070294 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.466584E-5 | 1.0466316E-4 | 2.3432484 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.914113E-4 | 2.8139408E-4 | 1.4701017 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0023279984 | 0.0024377424 | 1.0471408 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020349167 | 0.023043046 | 0.02317982 | 1.0059355 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.6652036E-5 | 8.66502E-5 | 2.3641307 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.5707086E-4 | 2.370583E-4 | 1.5092443 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019106906 | 0.0020005186 | 1.0470134 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.018946374 | 0.01905429 | 1.0056958 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.3012228E-5 | 8.301058E-5 | 2.5145404 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4147344E-4 | 2.2146212E-4 | 1.5653971 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017211036 | 0.0018109487 | 1.052202 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017080795 | 0.017188916 | 1.00633 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.1240204E-5 | 8.123864E-5 | 2.6004517 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3387986E-4 | 2.1386915E-4 | 1.5974706 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.001628793 | 0.0017186464 | 1.0551656 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.01617143 | 0.01627965 | 1.0066922 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5025554E-5 | 4.5025055E-5 | 1.7991631 | 2.0E-5 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.07248045E-4 | 1.5724268E-4 | 1.466159 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013049768 | 0.0013648985 | 1.0459179 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.012974756 | 0.013043848 | 1.0053251 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.204229E-5 | 3.204207E-5 | 1.4536633 | 1.0E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.44636E-5 | 1.3445981E-4 | 1.4234035 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011494982 | 0.0011994407 | 1.0434473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011436739 | 0.011496052 | 1.0051862 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.847659E-5 | 2.8476405E-5 | 1.5412154 | 1.0E-5 | 7.155907E-5 | 7.918303E-5 | 1.19179866E-4 | 1.5051187 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.6363586E-4 | 0.0010135877 | 1.0518368 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.009595544 | 0.009645064 | 1.0051608 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.6820724E-5 | 2.6820557E-5 | 1.5944947 | 1.0E-5 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.208688E-5 | 9.208543E-5 | 1.277423 | 2.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 8.773126E-4 | 8.972951E-4 | 1.0227768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008739387 | 0.008759212 | 1.0022684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.36764365E-5 | 2.36763E-5 | 1.7311746 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3111595E-5 | 5.8612022E-5 | 6.8611436E-5 | 1.1706035 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.1337493E-4 | 7.233678E-4 | 1.0140079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007111594 | 0.0071215234 | 1.0013962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.206235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 5.1694802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 6.292094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006274986 | 0.006274986 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0570342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 4.530072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 5.514035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0055010393 | 0.0055010393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 8.851871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 3.7936075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 4.6178055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004608876 | 0.004608876 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 3.273467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.4029096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.7079564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017071129 | 0.0017071129 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 6.6995526E-5 | 3.941754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.5283375E-4 | 2.098224 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 0.001016348 | 1.1465201 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.00918522 | 1.0311534 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 6.6995526E-5 | 3.941754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.5283375E-4 | 2.098224 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 0.001016348 | 1.1465201 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.00918522 | 1.0311534 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 6.6995526E-5 | 3.941754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0400023E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.5283375E-4 | 2.098224 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012654673 | 8.8646327E-4 | 0.001016348 | 1.1465201 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0125828525 | 0.008907714 | 0.00918522 | 1.0311534 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 1.6996373E-5 | 6.6995526E-5 | 3.941754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.03585466E-4 | 7.2839575E-5 | 1.5283375E-4 | 2.098224 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012604233 | 8.8646327E-4 | 0.001016348 | 1.1465201 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012532983 | 0.008907714 | 0.00918522 | 1.0311534 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 1.6711425E-5 | 6.671059E-5 | 3.9919152 | 5.0E-5 | 9.8013195E-5 | 7.161844E-5 | 1.5161271E-4 | 2.1169508 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011926574 | 8.7160774E-4 | 0.0010014945 | 1.1490197 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011862768 | 0.008760332 | 0.009027966 | 1.0305507 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 1.6612512E-5 | 6.661168E-5 | 4.0097294 | 5.0E-5 | 9.716418E-5 | 7.1194554E-5 | 1.5118885E-4 | 2.1236014 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011823318 | 8.6645107E-4 | 9.963384E-4 | 1.1499074 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011760611 | 0.008709171 | 0.008976819 | 1.0307318 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 1.5464659E-5 | 6.5463886E-5 | 4.233128 | 5.0E-5 | 9.118244E-5 | 6.627544E-5 | 1.4627013E-4 | 2.2070038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011095807 | 8.066064E-4 | 9.3650154E-4 | 1.1610391 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011040569 | 0.008115219 | 0.008383027 | 1.0330008 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 1.4199135E-5 | 3.4198853E-5 | 2.4085164 | 2.0E-5 | 8.445307E-5 | 6.0852024E-5 | 1.1084898E-4 | 1.8216153 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010277311 | 7.406227E-4 | 8.405486E-4 | 1.1349216 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010229911 | 0.00745996 | 0.007668393 | 1.0279403 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.3750508E-5 | 3.375023E-5 | 2.4544718 | 2.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 5.8929425E-5 | 1.0892648E-4 | 1.8484225 | 5.0E-5 | 9.775903E-4 | 7.1723067E-4 | 8.171589E-4 | 1.1393251 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.0072275754 | 0.0074360576 | 1.0288454 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.2858294E-5 | 3.285804E-5 | 2.5553963 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 5.510582E-5 | 1.0510306E-4 | 1.9072952 | 5.0E-5 | 9.158276E-4 | 6.7070767E-4 | 7.606473E-4 | 1.1340966 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0091206245 | 0.0067651886 | 0.0069638356 | 1.0293632 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.2189928E-5 | 3.2189684E-5 | 2.640679 | 2.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 5.2241507E-5 | 1.022389E-4 | 1.9570434 | 5.0E-5 | 8.759337E-4 | 6.3585554E-4 | 7.257983E-4 | 1.1414516 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008724891 | 0.00641848 | 0.0066072606 | 1.029412 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.1739312E-5 | 3.1739077E-5 | 2.7036574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 5.0310373E-5 | 1.0030786E-4 | 1.9937809 | 5.0E-5 | 8.521265E-4 | 6.123574E-4 | 7.023023E-4 | 1.146883 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008488664 | 0.0061846236 | 0.0063734483 | 1.0305314 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.1231504E-5 | 3.123128E-5 | 2.7806854 | 2.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 4.813413E-5 | 9.813173E-5 | 2.038714 | 5.0E-5 | 8.2304585E-4 | 5.8587623E-4 | 6.758235E-4 | 1.1535261 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008200042 | 0.005921092 | 0.006100026 | 1.0302198 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.0753834E-5 | 3.0753617E-5 | 2.8597817 | 2.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 4.608705E-5 | 9.608475E-5 | 2.0848534 | 5.0E-5 | 7.854473E-4 | 5.6096603E-4 | 6.5091555E-4 | 1.1603475 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00782677 | 0.0056727505 | 0.00585173 | 1.0315506 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.0619627E-5 | 3.0619416E-5 | 2.8832853 | 2.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 4.5511897E-5 | 9.550962E-5 | 2.098564 | 5.0E-5 | 7.7653467E-4 | 5.5396714E-4 | 6.4391724E-4 | 1.1623745 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0056028217 | 0.005781813 | 1.0319467 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.0283633E-5 | 3.0283427E-5 | 2.944818 | 2.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 4.4071974E-5 | 8.407021E-5 | 1.9075663 | 4.0E-5 | 7.567935E-4 | 5.3644483E-4 | 6.164019E-4 | 1.14905 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0075422134 | 0.0054279375 | 0.005587069 | 1.0293171 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 8.655867E-6 | 2.8655693E-5 | 3.3105516 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 3.7096044E-5 | 7.709456E-5 | 2.078242 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6541E-4 | 4.5155105E-4 | 5.3151493E-4 | 1.1770871 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006634211 | 0.0045796237 | 0.004738891 | 1.0347774 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 6.5263257E-6 | 1.652626E-5 | 2.5322459 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 2.7969667E-5 | 5.7968828E-5 | 2.0725605 | 3.0E-5 | 5.388092E-4 | 3.4047762E-4 | 4.104538E-4 | 1.2055235 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0034679777 | 0.0036074922 | 1.0402293 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 4.9877E-6 | 1.498765E-5 | 3.0049222 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 2.1375681E-5 | 5.1375042E-5 | 2.403434 | 3.0E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 2.602179E-4 | 3.301997E-4 | 1.2689353 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003661789 | 0.0026544991 | 0.0027941277 | 1.0526006 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 3.1431246E-6 | 1.3143093E-5 | 4.181537 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 1.3470465E-5 | 2.347033E-5 | 1.7423549 | 1.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 1.639906E-4 | 1.9398567E-4 | 1.1829073 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0016714368 | 0.0017513031 | 1.047783 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.1266745E-5 | 8.894161 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 1.5428895E-5 | 2.841967 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 7.60948E-5 | 1.1512864 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 7.032598E-4 | 1.044528 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 9.078813E-5 | 8.414885 | 8.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.5623307E-4 | 3.3788779 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.627681E-4 | 1.3551152 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 9.078813E-5 | 8.414885 | 8.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.5623307E-4 | 3.3788779 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.627681E-4 | 1.3551152 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.0788993E-5 | 9.078813E-5 | 8.414885 | 8.0E-5 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.6238154E-5 | 1.5623307E-4 | 3.3788779 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.6288065E-4 | 7.627681E-4 | 1.3551152 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053840056 | 0.005622057 | 0.0059004826 | 1.0495238 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 2.3157485E-5 | 7.3340073 | 2.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 3.3532033E-5 | 2.477925 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.947422E-4 | 1.1820673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.001706524 | 1.0363783 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 2.3157485E-5 | 7.3340073 | 2.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 3.3532033E-5 | 2.477925 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.947422E-4 | 1.1820673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.001706524 | 1.0363783 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.157549E-6 | 2.3157485E-5 | 7.3340073 | 2.0E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.35323035E-5 | 3.3532033E-5 | 2.477925 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.6474714E-4 | 1.947422E-4 | 1.1820673 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001671074 | 0.0016466229 | 0.001706524 | 1.0363783 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.177932E-5 | 6.620058 | 1.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 1.7625644E-5 | 2.3113418 | 1.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.1283875E-4 | 1.215403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.681211E-4 | 1.0430561 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.7793379E-6 | 1.177932E-5 | 6.620058 | 1.0E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.6257197E-6 | 1.7625644E-5 | 2.3113418 | 1.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.284061E-5 | 1.1283875E-4 | 1.215403 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010160941 | 9.2815823E-4 | 9.681211E-4 | 1.0430561 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.7607513E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.7607513E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 8.741982E-7 | 1.087419E-5 | 12.439044 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.7465604E-6 | 1.3746523E-5 | 3.6691048 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.5613822E-5 | 5.5613367E-5 | 1.2192218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8830855E-4 | 4.5608424E-4 | 4.7607513E-4 | 1.0438316 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.532088E-4 | 1.0461462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.3035513E-7 | 1.0830347E-5 | 13.04303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.5586622E-6 | 1.3558627E-5 | 3.8100348 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.3326254E-5 | 5.332582E-5 | 1.2307969 | 1.0E-5 | 5.500792E-4 | 4.3321747E-4 | 4.532088E-4 | 1.0461462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.6389794E-8 | 5.6389794E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.4167053E-7 | 2.4167053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.959645E-6 | 2.9423359E-6 | 2.9423359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9595343E-5 | 2.942308E-5 | 2.942308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 2.5499725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.09284535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.3305387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.062117E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.3305331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 3.5435619E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.5186695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.8489798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289467E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.8489785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 2.4531495E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0513498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.2800183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1426758E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.2800177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 5.8449734E-10 | 5.8449734E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 2.5049887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 3.049824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106588E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 3.0498236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.304427E-6 | 9.779861E-6 | 5.9779373E-5 | 6.112497 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9875507E-5 | 4.1913136E-5 | 1.4190894E-4 | 3.385787 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8537613E-4 | 5.101935E-4 | 7.1009144E-4 | 1.3918082 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0048431735 | 0.0050958227 | 0.005374396 | 1.054667 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 7.536929E-6 | 7.92771E-6 | 4.792739E-5 | 6.045553 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2300723E-5 | 3.397556E-5 | 1.1397284E-4 | 3.3545537 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9319033E-4 | 4.1359235E-4 | 5.83522E-4 | 1.4108627 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0039249538 | 0.004133613 | 0.004372621 | 1.0578206 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.285375E-6 | 4.7285084E-5 | 6.4904118 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.1222764E-5 | 1.01220576E-4 | 3.241884 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 3.800888E-4 | 5.40028E-4 | 1.4207942 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003606286 | 0.00379973 | 0.004028856 | 1.0603006 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 2.8925542E-6 | 1.2892526E-5 | 4.457142 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.23966065E-5 | 3.2396358E-5 | 2.6133246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.5091902E-4 | 1.8091449E-4 | 1.1987522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0015118287 | 0.0015517683 | 1.026418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 2.8770849E-6 | 1.2877056E-5 | 4.4757304 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.233031E-5 | 3.2330063E-5 | 2.6219993 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.5011196E-4 | 1.8010745E-4 | 1.1998209 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0015037691 | 0.001543709 | 1.0265598 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 2.8597224E-6 | 1.2859694E-5 | 4.496833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.22559E-5 | 3.2255655E-5 | 2.6318471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.4920614E-4 | 1.7920167E-4 | 1.2010341 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0014947231 | 0.0015346634 | 1.0267208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 2.8302227E-6 | 1.28301945E-5 | 4.533281 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.2129473E-5 | 3.2129232E-5 | 2.6488562 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.476671E-4 | 1.7766267E-4 | 1.2031296 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0014793533 | 0.0015192941 | 1.0269989 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 2.8006289E-6 | 1.28006E-5 | 4.5706167 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.2002644E-5 | 3.2002405E-5 | 2.6662796 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.4612317E-4 | 1.7611879E-4 | 1.2052763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0014639343 | 0.0015038758 | 1.0272837 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.3268858E-6 | 1.2326863E-5 | 5.29758 | 1.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 9.972333E-6 | 1.9972233E-5 | 2.0027645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.2140703E-4 | 1.414046E-4 | 1.164715 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0012170578 | 0.0012470213 | 1.0246196 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 1.5705531E-6 | 1.5705531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 6.7309256E-6 | 6.7309256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 8.1946135E-5 | 9.194531E-5 | 1.1220214 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 8.227676E-4 | 8.3275937E-4 | 1.0121441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.127184E-6 | 1.127184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 4.8307797E-6 | 4.8307797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 5.8813268E-5 | 6.881268E-5 | 1.1700196 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 5.91578E-4 | 6.015721E-4 | 1.016894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.0104075E-6 | 1.0104075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 4.330311E-6 | 4.330311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 5.272037E-5 | 6.2719846E-5 | 1.18967 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 5.3067954E-4 | 5.4067426E-4 | 1.0188338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 6.2962255E-7 | 6.2962255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 2.6983796E-6 | 2.6983796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 3.28523E-5 | 4.2851967E-5 | 1.3043827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 3.320674E-4 | 3.4206407E-4 | 1.0301044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 5.5298983E-7 | 5.5298983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 2.3699542E-6 | 2.3699542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 2.885383E-5 | 3.885354E-5 | 1.3465644 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2968883E-4 | 2.920938E-4 | 3.020909E-4 | 1.0342256 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 4.792966E-7 | 4.792966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 2.054127E-6 | 2.054127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 2.5008723E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 1.3998505 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8850817E-4 | 2.536456E-4 | 2.6364307E-4 | 1.0394151 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 4.623057E-7 | 4.623057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 1.9813087E-6 | 1.9813087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 2.4122182E-5 | 3.4121942E-5 | 1.4145461 | 1.0E-5 | 1.778184E-4 | 2.447614E-4 | 2.5475898E-4 | 1.0408461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 4.3743765E-7 | 4.3743765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 1.8747315E-6 | 1.8747315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 2.2824634E-5 | 3.2824406E-5 | 1.4381131 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6397667E-4 | 2.3173692E-4 | 2.4173461E-4 | 1.0431424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 2.565511E-7 | 2.565511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 1.0995042E-6 | 1.0995042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 1.3386384E-5 | 2.338625E-5 | 1.7470177 | 1.0E-5 | 9.377503E-5 | 1.372268E-4 | 1.4722542E-4 | 1.072862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 6.1936845E-8 | 6.1936845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 2.654436E-7 | 2.654436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 3.2317712E-6 | 3.2317712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 3.301746E-5 | 3.301746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 2.0245459E-9 | 2.0245459E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 8.676626E-9 | 8.676626E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 1.0563791E-7 | 1.0563791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 1.0908021E-6 | 1.0908021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.2929254E-4 | 6.700947 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 2.1267807E-4 | 2.5720294 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011860913 | 1.178698 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010872388 | 1.025189 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.2929254E-4 | 6.700947 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 2.1267807E-4 | 2.5720294 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011860913 | 1.178698 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010872388 | 1.025189 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.2929254E-4 | 6.700947 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 2.1267807E-4 | 2.5720294 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011860913 | 1.178698 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010872388 | 1.025189 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.2929254E-4 | 6.700947 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 2.1267807E-4 | 2.5720294 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011860913 | 1.178698 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010872388 | 1.025189 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.399087E-5 | 1.9294668E-5 | 1.2929254E-4 | 6.700947 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4566703E-4 | 8.268882E-5 | 2.1267807E-4 | 2.5720294 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017720532 | 0.0010062725 | 0.0011860913 | 1.178698 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01757989 | 0.010605251 | 0.010872388 | 1.025189 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 1.8607474E-5 | 1.2860543E-4 | 6.911493 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 7.9743884E-5 | 2.0973352E-4 | 2.630089 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 9.704499E-4 | 0.0011502752 | 1.185301 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.01025036 | 0.010517592 | 1.0260706 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 1.8547435E-5 | 1.2854539E-4 | 6.9306293 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 7.9486585E-5 | 2.0947625E-4 | 2.6353662 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 9.6732005E-4 | 0.0011471459 | 1.1859012 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.010219352 | 0.010486593 | 1.0261505 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 1.8537818E-5 | 1.2853577E-4 | 6.9337063 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 7.944537E-5 | 2.0943505E-4 | 2.6362145 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 9.668187E-4 | 0.0011466447 | 1.1859976 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.010214403 | 0.010481645 | 1.0261632 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 1.8436916E-5 | 1.2843488E-4 | 6.966181 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 7.901296E-5 | 2.090027E-4 | 2.6451695 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 9.6155884E-4 | 0.0011413858 | 1.187016 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.01016229 | 0.010429546 | 1.0262988 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 1.8381286E-5 | 1.2837927E-4 | 6.984237 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 7.877457E-5 | 2.0876432E-4 | 2.6501489 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 9.586589E-4 | 0.0011384863 | 1.1875823 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.010133621 | 0.010400885 | 1.026374 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 1.8325256E-5 | 1.2832324E-4 | 7.0025344 | 1.1E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 7.853445E-5 | 2.0852424E-4 | 2.6551945 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 9.5573807E-4 | 0.001135566 | 1.1881561 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.010104767 | 0.010372039 | 1.02645 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 1.821493E-5 | 1.2821292E-4 | 7.0388923 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 7.8061654E-5 | 2.080515E-4 | 2.6652203 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 9.4998674E-4 | 0.0011298157 | 1.1892964 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.010048039 | 0.010315326 | 1.026601 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 1.8089493E-5 | 1.280875E-4 | 7.080768 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 7.75241E-5 | 2.0751402E-4 | 2.676768 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 9.434477E-4 | 0.0011232778 | 1.1906096 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.009983423 | 0.010250728 | 1.0267749 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 1.7971899E-5 | 1.2796992E-4 | 7.1205564 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 7.702015E-5 | 2.0701015E-4 | 2.6877398 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 9.373175E-4 | 0.0011171488 | 1.1918573 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.009922863 | 0.010190184 | 1.0269399 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 1.7905208E-5 | 1.2790324E-4 | 7.143354 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 7.673435E-5 | 2.0672438E-4 | 2.6940265 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 9.338408E-4 | 0.0011136727 | 1.1925724 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.00988848 | 0.01015581 | 1.0270345 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 1.7790235E-5 | 1.2778828E-4 | 7.1830573 | 1.1E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 7.624164E-5 | 2.0623172E-4 | 2.7049751 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 9.2784717E-4 | 0.0011076801 | 1.1938175 | 1.8E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.009828857 | 0.010096204 | 1.0272001 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 1.7565426E-5 | 1.1756367E-4 | 6.6929016 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 7.527823E-5 | 1.952692E-4 | 2.5939665 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 9.161276E-4 | 0.0010859718 | 1.1853937 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.009711096 | 0.009968571 | 1.0265135 | 2.6E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 1.6354872E-5 | 1.16353236E-4 | 7.1142864 | 1.0E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 7.009043E-5 | 1.8008272E-4 | 2.5692914 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 8.5301715E-4 | 0.0010128807 | 1.1874095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.009074262 | 0.009321994 | 1.0273005 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 1.429802E-5 | 9.4296876E-5 | 6.5951004 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 6.127579E-5 | 1.5127027E-4 | 2.4686794 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 7.457776E-4 | 8.7568065E-4 | 1.1741847 | 1.3E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.007985817 | 0.00820406 | 1.0273288 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 1.0398953E-5 | 7.039833E-5 | 6.7697515 | 6.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 4.4566183E-5 | 1.1456306E-4 | 2.5706277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 5.424583E-4 | 6.424041E-4 | 1.184246 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.0058887703 | 0.006047828 | 1.0270103 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 6.6969446E-6 | 1.6696878E-5 | 2.4932082 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 2.8700877E-5 | 3.870059E-5 | 1.3484114 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 3.4937728E-4 | 3.793668E-4 | 1.085837 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.0038275963 | 0.0038873667 | 1.0156156 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 3.323268E-6 | 3.323268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 1.42425E-5 | 1.42425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 1.7338875E-4 | 1.83387E-4 | 1.0576639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.001917039 | 0.0019270198 | 1.0052063 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 3.3329258E-7 | 3.3329258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 1.428396E-6 | 1.428396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 1.7390583E-5 | 1.7390583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 2.1658598E-4 | 2.1658598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2375647E-8 | 5.2375647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446704E-7 | 2.2446704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328829E-6 | 2.7328829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6926303E-5 | 3.6926303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6490888E-5 | 5.196961E-5 | 1.21965975E-4 | 2.346871 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9923145E-4 | 2.2270852E-4 | 3.426818E-4 | 1.5387008 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0024229444 | 0.0027082148 | 0.0028977003 | 1.0699669 | 1.9E-4 | 0.023966964 | 0.026765015 | 0.027008323 | 1.0090905 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.2355172E-5 | 8.235348E-5 | 1.9443548 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.8151E-4 | 2.6149547E-4 | 1.440667 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002207725 | 0.002357394 | 1.0677933 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019602431 | 0.021866985 | 0.02205283 | 1.0084989 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 4.1747004E-5 | 1.3149772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.7604754E-4 | 1.2939631 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0017250943 | 1.0422207 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.01653983 | 1.0065844 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.174732E-5 | 4.1747004E-5 | 1.3149772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.3605299E-4 | 1.7604754E-4 | 1.2939631 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00165521 | 0.0017250943 | 1.0422207 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.016431637 | 0.01653983 | 1.0065844 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.4447794E-5 | 3.444755E-5 | 1.4090248 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.047721E-4 | 1.3476897E-4 | 1.2863058 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.001274863 | 0.0013347865 | 1.0470039 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.0126766255 | 0.012755611 | 1.0062308 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.3103496E-5 | 3.3103264E-5 | 1.432825 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 9.901127E-5 | 1.290083E-4 | 1.3029658 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001204804 | 0.0012647317 | 1.0497407 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.011983749 | 0.012062791 | 1.0065957 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 1.9963418E-5 | 2.996322E-5 | 1.5009062 | 1.0E-5 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.555473E-5 | 1.1555216E-4 | 1.3506228 | 3.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010411361 | 0.0011010736 | 1.0575694 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010363205 | 0.010442377 | 1.0076396 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.7372024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.444942E-5 | 8.444867E-5 | 1.1343094 | 1.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.060473E-4 | 9.4601105E-4 | 1.0441078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.0090238685 | 0.009083327 | 1.006589 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.5660573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 6.711503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.1682095E-4 | 8.368046E-4 | 1.0244652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008138432 | 0.008178107 | 1.004875 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.3736672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 5.8870133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.165095E-4 | 7.3649513E-4 | 1.0278931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007142165 | 0.007171951 | 1.0041704 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.1886011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 5.0939056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.2000746E-4 | 6.3999504E-4 | 1.0322376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006182895 | 0.0062127095 | 1.0048221 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0258423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 4.3963933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.3513015E-4 | 5.551194E-4 | 1.0373541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0053385044 | 0.0053683445 | 1.0055896 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 8.952273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 3.8366325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.670105E-4 | 4.8700118E-4 | 1.0428056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004660365 | 0.0046902252 | 1.0064073 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 6.8563936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 2.9384215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.5769446E-4 | 3.776873E-4 | 1.0558937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003265305 | 0.00357123 | 0.0036011229 | 1.0083705 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 5.456278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 2.338384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.8466142E-4 | 3.0465572E-4 | 1.070239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002597825 | 0.0028430065 | 0.002872921 | 1.0105222 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 0.0010046107 | 1.0100441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.516028E-6 | 7.750012E-6 | 4.77497E-5 | 6.1612425 | 4.0E-5 | 3.221115E-5 | 3.3213917E-5 | 9.321192E-5 | 2.8064117 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9210016E-4 | 4.04305E-4 | 5.642403E-4 | 1.3955809 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0039140903 | 0.004035763 | 0.004304673 | 1.0666318 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.4256845E-6 | 3.7425463E-5 | 5.040002 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.1823976E-5 | 8.1822385E-5 | 2.5710924 | 5.0E-5 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.8738863E-4 | 5.373305E-4 | 1.387058 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0038671975 | 0.004126192 | 1.0669721 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.5730296E-6 | 3.6572834E-5 | 5.5640755 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8169825E-5 | 7.8168414E-5 | 2.774899 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.42914E-4 | 4.82866E-4 | 1.4081256 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034238873 | 0.0036431341 | 1.0640345 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.2061035E-6 | 2.620598E-5 | 4.222614 | 2.0E-5 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6597318E-5 | 6.659625E-5 | 2.5038712 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2377453E-4 | 4.4373568E-4 | 1.3705083 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00313433 | 0.0032330633 | 0.0034224489 | 1.0585778 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 5.993336E-6 | 2.5993217E-5 | 4.33702 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.5685475E-5 | 6.568445E-5 | 2.5572605 | 4.0E-5 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1267607E-4 | 4.3263857E-4 | 1.3836638 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031223951 | 0.0033118017 | 1.0606607 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.6466583E-6 | 2.5646545E-5 | 4.541898 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.4199742E-5 | 6.419877E-5 | 2.6528702 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.9459232E-4 | 4.1455697E-4 | 1.4072226 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028537093 | 0.002942049 | 0.0031215192 | 1.0610019 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.3819804E-6 | 2.5381873E-5 | 4.7160845 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3065428E-5 | 6.306451E-5 | 2.7341573 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8078567E-4 | 4.0075197E-4 | 1.4272523 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0027212645 | 0.0028043387 | 0.002983834 | 1.0640062 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.185719E-6 | 1.51856675E-5 | 2.9283628 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2224323E-5 | 5.2223655E-5 | 2.3498423 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.705478E-4 | 3.8051806E-4 | 1.4064724 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027022136 | 0.0028617813 | 1.0590507 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.6930472E-6 | 1.4693001E-5 | 3.1308017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0112906E-5 | 3.0112706E-5 | 1.4971832 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.448473E-4 | 3.3482525E-4 | 1.367486 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024457944 | 0.0025754764 | 1.0530225 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.3912096E-6 | 1.4391166E-5 | 3.2772667 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.8819335E-5 | 2.8819148E-5 | 1.5313584 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.2910147E-4 | 3.0908315E-4 | 1.3491102 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022308815 | 0.002288669 | 0.0024083944 | 1.0523123 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.0738128E-6 | 1.4073772E-5 | 3.4546928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.7459082E-5 | 2.7458907E-5 | 1.5727578 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.1254372E-4 | 2.925267E-4 | 1.3763132 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020742472 | 0.0021234173 | 0.002233184 | 1.0516933 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.857794E-6 | 1.3857755E-5 | 3.592145 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6533299E-5 | 2.6533133E-5 | 1.6048299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0127444E-4 | 2.8125834E-4 | 1.3973873 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020109338 | 0.0021207128 | 1.054591 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.4931325E-6 | 1.3493098E-5 | 3.86275 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.4970482E-5 | 2.4970332E-5 | 1.6679711 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8225049E-4 | 2.622359E-4 | 1.4388763 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018210219 | 0.0019208399 | 1.0548142 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.7226845E-6 | 1.2722657E-5 | 4.672836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1668595E-5 | 2.1668478E-5 | 1.8569912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4205593E-4 | 2.1204598E-4 | 1.4926937 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014060794 | 0.0014196552 | 0.0015095274 | 1.0633056 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2195047E-6 | 1.2219482E-5 | 5.5054994 | 1.0E-5 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.512129E-6 | 1.9512034E-5 | 2.0512793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1580405E-4 | 1.757971E-4 | 1.5180566 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011574407 | 0.0012373481 | 1.069038 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2056777E-6 | 1.1205666E-5 | 9.294081 | 1.0E-5 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.16718E-6 | 1.5167128E-5 | 2.9352815 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.290862E-5 | 1.029061E-4 | 1.6358029 | 4.0E-5 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.289099E-4 | 6.688848E-4 | 1.0635622 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.591372E-7 | 1.0659131E-5 | 16.171339 | 1.0E-5 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8248705E-6 | 1.2824842E-5 | 4.539975 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4392273E-5 | 4.4391927E-5 | 1.290753 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.4387098E-4 | 3.5386754E-4 | 1.0290706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 2.406399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0313136E-6 | 1.0313136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.255618E-5 | 1.255618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2555576E-4 | 1.2555576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0014927E-8 | 2.0014927E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.577825E-8 | 8.577825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0443498E-6 | 1.0443498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0443457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7059663E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1596483E-4 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.919384E-4 | 1.8827168 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014109573 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.014020323 | 0.012353715 | 0.012600626 | 1.0199869 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.919384E-4 | 1.8827168 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353715 | 0.012600626 | 1.0199869 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.3788582E-5 | 8.3787156E-5 | 3.5221584 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.0194757E-4 | 1.919384E-4 | 1.8827168 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0012405918 | 0.0013904056 | 1.1207601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.012353715 | 0.012600626 | 1.0199869 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 5.5904165E-5 | 3.514924 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816184E-5 | 1.2815774E-4 | 1.880198 | 6.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295883E-4 | 9.39497E-4 | 1.1324859 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276711 | 0.008445304 | 1.0203695 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.59048E-5 | 5.5904165E-5 | 3.514924 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 6.816184E-5 | 1.2815774E-4 | 1.880198 | 6.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 8.295883E-4 | 9.39497E-4 | 1.1324859 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007429048 | 0.008276711 | 0.008445304 | 1.0203695 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.4507897E-5 | 3.4507608E-5 | 2.3785396 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 6.21754E-5 | 9.217353E-5 | 1.4824759 | 3.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 7.567552E-4 | 8.067173E-4 | 1.0660216 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.0075534414 | 0.007652686 | 1.013139 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.0396434E-5 | 2.039633E-5 | 1.9618583 | 1.0E-5 | 4.058515E-5 | 4.4555523E-5 | 6.455463E-5 | 1.4488581 | 2.0E-5 | 4.940122E-4 | 5.423532E-4 | 5.823315E-4 | 1.0737127 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.005419682 | 0.0054893023 | 1.0128459 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 8.978999E-6 | 1.897891E-5 | 2.1137 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5631605E-5 | 3.848099E-5 | 4.8480604E-5 | 1.2598586 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3372845E-4 | 4.6842877E-4 | 4.9841474E-4 | 1.0640138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0046828403 | 0.0047425595 | 1.0127528 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.3664537E-6 | 3.3664537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.4427587E-5 | 1.4427587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.756432E-4 | 1.756432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001756178 | 0.001756178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 1.9722363E-6 | 1.9722363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 8.452415E-6 | 8.452415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.0290347E-4 | 1.0290347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0010291763 | 0.0010291763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.4110378E-6 | 1.4110378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.047291E-6 | 6.047291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 7.3623334E-5 | 7.3623334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 7.363051E-4 | 7.363051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.3473393E-6 | 1.3473393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 5.7742986E-6 | 5.7742986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.0299866E-5 | 7.0299866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.0308393E-4 | 7.0308393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.2406695E-6 | 1.2406695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.3171443E-6 | 5.3171443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 6.4734355E-5 | 6.4734355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 6.474527E-4 | 6.474527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.0303663E-6 | 1.0303663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.4158483E-6 | 4.4158483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.3761665E-5 | 5.3761665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.375702E-4 | 5.375702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 8.511083E-7 | 8.511083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.6476024E-6 | 3.6476024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.4408684E-5 | 4.4408684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.440081E-4 | 4.440081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.046987E-7 | 7.046987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.020134E-6 | 3.020134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.676954E-5 | 3.676954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.6763746E-4 | 3.6763746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.357435E-7 | 6.357435E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.7246124E-6 | 2.7246124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.3171676E-5 | 3.3171676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.3166996E-4 | 3.3166996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.2861169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 5.511929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 6.7107608E-6 | 6.7107608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 6.710637E-5 | 6.710637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.317366E-4 | 2.1337 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.4456153E-4 | 1.3022829 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174478 | 0.0033470294 | 1.0402747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.031816635 | 0.032010272 | 1.006086 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.1740924E-5 | 1.317366E-4 | 2.1337 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.645827E-4 | 3.4456153E-4 | 1.3022829 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0032174478 | 0.0033470294 | 1.0402747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02591553 | 0.031816635 | 0.032010272 | 1.006086 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 2.8347282E-5 | 5.834643E-5 | 2.0582726 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.2148374E-4 | 1.6147888E-4 | 1.3292222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0014782413 | 0.0015481377 | 1.0472835 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012509781 | 0.014719119 | 0.014817648 | 1.0066938 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134921E-5 | 4.0134517E-5 | 1.9932792 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629046E-5 | 1.16287876E-4 | 1.347633 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502195 | 0.0011101564 | 1.057071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.010483651 | 0.010552918 | 1.006607 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.0134921E-5 | 4.0134517E-5 | 1.9932792 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471279E-5 | 8.629046E-5 | 1.16287876E-4 | 1.347633 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0010502195 | 0.0011101564 | 1.057071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009055373 | 0.010483651 | 0.010552918 | 1.006607 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.735154E-5 | 3.7351194E-5 | 2.1526155 | 2.0E-5 | 6.506727E-5 | 7.436239E-5 | 1.0436016E-4 | 1.4033997 | 3.0E-5 | 7.919061E-4 | 9.0512005E-4 | 9.6506573E-4 | 1.0662296 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0078909 | 0.0090449285 | 0.009114295 | 1.0076691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 6.9856874E-6 | 1.6985618E-5 | 2.4314883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8830356E-5 | 2.993834E-5 | 4.9937742E-5 | 1.6680198 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5095305E-4 | 3.6444233E-4 | 4.0442776E-4 | 1.1097168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0036564944 | 0.0036963483 | 1.0108994 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 6.9216057E-6 | 1.6921536E-5 | 2.4447415 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8640408E-5 | 2.966371E-5 | 4.9663115E-5 | 1.6742045 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4864116E-4 | 3.610998E-4 | 4.0108536E-4 | 1.1107327 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003480947 | 0.003623184 | 0.003663039 | 1.011 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 6.779477E-6 | 1.677941E-5 | 2.47503 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 2.9054601E-5 | 4.905402E-5 | 1.6883391 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4314668E-4 | 3.5368634E-4 | 3.936722E-4 | 1.1130545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0035491572 | 0.0035890152 | 1.0112302 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 6.4797905E-6 | 1.6479726E-5 | 2.5432498 | 1.0E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 2.7770257E-5 | 4.7769703E-5 | 1.720175 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3198006E-4 | 3.3805438E-4 | 3.7804086E-4 | 1.1182841 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0033930016 | 0.003432866 | 1.011749 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 6.1463397E-6 | 1.6146278E-5 | 2.6269746 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 2.6341211E-5 | 4.6340687E-5 | 1.7592465 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.2066094E-4 | 3.6064812E-4 | 1.1247023 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0032192294 | 0.0032591005 | 1.0123854 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 5.7081957E-6 | 1.570814E-5 | 2.751857 | 1.0E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 2.4463488E-5 | 4.4463E-5 | 1.8175249 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0482994E-4 | 2.9780608E-4 | 3.3779416E-4 | 1.1342756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0029909078 | 0.0030307882 | 1.0133339 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 4.120947E-6 | 1.4120906E-5 | 3.4266167 | 1.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 1.7661097E-5 | 3.7660742E-5 | 2.1324124 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.1500536E-4 | 2.4499893E-4 | 1.1395015 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002162798 | 0.0021927333 | 1.0138409 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 1.9511133E-6 | 1.9511133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 8.361888E-6 | 1.8361805E-5 | 2.195892 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.0180132E-4 | 1.2179929E-4 | 1.196441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0010253051 | 0.0010452847 | 1.0194864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 1.6323621E-6 | 1.6323621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 6.995819E-6 | 1.699575E-5 | 2.4294152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 8.517083E-5 | 1.0516913E-4 | 1.2348021 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014215811 | 8.581843E-4 | 8.7816716E-4 | 1.023285 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 1.517269E-6 | 1.517269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 6.502565E-6 | 1.65025E-5 | 2.5378447 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 7.916591E-5 | 9.9164325E-5 | 1.252614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001360437 | 7.980046E-4 | 8.179887E-4 | 1.0250425 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.268422E-6 | 1.268422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 5.436083E-6 | 1.543603E-5 | 2.8395498 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 6.618235E-5 | 8.6181026E-5 | 1.3021754 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001199845 | 6.680103E-4 | 6.87997E-4 | 1.0299196 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 8.0926236E-7 | 8.0926236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 3.4682625E-6 | 1.3468228E-5 | 3.883278 | 1.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 4.2225296E-5 | 6.222445E-5 | 1.4736297 | 2.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 4.2828268E-4 | 4.482741E-4 | 1.0466782 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 4.7735136E-7 | 4.7735136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 2.04579E-6 | 1.204577E-5 | 5.8880773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 2.4907216E-5 | 4.490672E-5 | 1.8029602 | 2.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 2.533619E-4 | 2.7335685E-4 | 1.0789185 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 2.1815576E-7 | 2.1815576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 9.3495294E-7 | 9.3495294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.13829965E-5 | 2.1382883E-5 | 1.8784933 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.15388546E-4 | 1.2538739E-4 | 1.0866537 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.9634514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 8.414792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0245006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0523165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 4.0900395E-5 | 3.7520814 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.2671293E-4 | 2.712371 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 6.985738E-4 | 1.2284825 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.005935039 | 1.043714 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 4.0900395E-5 | 3.7520814 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.2671293E-4 | 2.712371 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 6.985738E-4 | 1.2284825 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.005935039 | 1.043714 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.09007215E-5 | 4.0900395E-5 | 3.7520814 | 3.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.671666E-5 | 1.2671293E-4 | 2.712371 | 8.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.686477E-4 | 6.985738E-4 | 1.2284825 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0056864605 | 0.005935039 | 1.043714 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 6.2460304E-6 | 3.624584E-5 | 5.803021 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 2.6768439E-5 | 5.6767636E-5 | 2.1206927 | 3.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 3.2585932E-4 | 3.7584302E-4 | 1.1533904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.003266554 | 0.0033961295 | 1.0396672 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 6.2305608E-6 | 3.6230373E-5 | 5.8149457 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 2.6702142E-5 | 5.670134E-5 | 2.1234753 | 3.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 3.250524E-4 | 3.7503615E-4 | 1.1537714 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.0032585086 | 0.0033880852 | 1.0397656 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 5.562466E-6 | 3.5562298E-5 | 6.3932614 | 3.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 2.3838933E-5 | 5.3838216E-5 | 2.2584157 | 3.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 2.9020224E-4 | 3.4018772E-4 | 1.1722436 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0029109353 | 0.003020615 | 1.0376786 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 5.027682E-6 | 2.502758E-5 | 4.9779563 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.1547039E-5 | 4.154661E-5 | 1.9281818 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 2.623052E-4 | 3.022947E-4 | 1.1524541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.00263263 | 0.002722393 | 1.0340964 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 4.294086E-6 | 2.4294E-5 | 5.6575484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 1.8403101E-5 | 3.8402733E-5 | 2.0867534 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 2.2403568E-4 | 2.6402672E-4 | 1.178503 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0022507159 | 0.0023405133 | 1.0398973 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 4.057589E-6 | 2.4057508E-5 | 5.929015 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 1.7389557E-5 | 3.738921E-5 | 2.1500955 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.116982E-4 | 2.5168972E-4 | 1.1889082 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.002127579 | 0.00219743 | 1.0328312 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 3.3425358E-6 | 2.3342469E-5 | 6.983461 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 1.4325077E-5 | 3.4324792E-5 | 2.396133 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 1.743943E-4 | 2.1438733E-4 | 1.2293253 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0017551474 | 0.001815042 | 1.0341252 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 2.6705757E-6 | 2.2670522E-5 | 8.489002 | 2.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.1445276E-5 | 3.1445048E-5 | 2.7474258 | 2.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 1.3933763E-4 | 1.6933345E-4 | 1.2152743 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0014050226 | 0.0014549523 | 1.0355366 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 2.1690294E-6 | 1.2169008E-5 | 5.610347 | 1.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 9.295809E-6 | 1.9295716E-5 | 2.0757437 | 1.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.1317079E-4 | 1.3316853E-4 | 1.176704 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0011436045 | 0.0011835587 | 1.0349371 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 1.699521E-6 | 1.699521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 7.283642E-6 | 7.283642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 8.867483E-5 | 9.867394E-5 | 1.1127616 | 1.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 8.988302E-4 | 9.2880323E-4 | 1.0333468 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 1.5783628E-6 | 1.5783628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 6.764395E-6 | 6.764395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 8.2353494E-5 | 9.235267E-5 | 1.1214178 | 1.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 8.3547813E-4 | 8.5546146E-4 | 1.0239184 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 1.4966562E-6 | 1.4966562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 6.4142255E-6 | 6.4142255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 7.809049E-5 | 8.8089706E-5 | 1.1280465 | 1.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 7.9259253E-4 | 8.125767E-4 | 1.0252136 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 1.449964E-6 | 1.449964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 6.214117E-6 | 6.214117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 7.5654345E-5 | 8.5653584E-5 | 1.1321701 | 1.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 7.679877E-4 | 7.879723E-4 | 1.0260221 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 1.207774E-6 | 1.207774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 5.1761644E-6 | 5.1761644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 6.301806E-5 | 7.301743E-5 | 1.1586747 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1366243E-4 | 6.405046E-4 | 6.604918E-4 | 1.0312054 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 5.8883455E-7 | 5.8883455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 2.5235745E-6 | 2.5235745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 3.0724095E-5 | 4.072379E-5 | 1.3254675 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1681961E-4 | 3.1580802E-4 | 3.2580487E-4 | 1.0316548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 1.348476E-7 | 1.348476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 5.779182E-7 | 5.779182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 7.036132E-6 | 7.036132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 7.197374E-5 | 7.197374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 2.1939217E-8 | 2.1939217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 9.402521E-8 | 9.402521E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 1.1447563E-6 | 1.1447563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 1.1690929E-5 | 1.1690929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 8.8211804E-5 | 10.741216 | 8.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 8.8211804E-5 | 10.741216 | 8.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 8.8211804E-5 | 10.741216 | 8.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9162442E-6 | 7.191611E-5 | 37.529724 | 7.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.21246E-6 | 8.8211804E-5 | 10.741216 | 8.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 9.998404E-5 | 2.3997005E-4 | 2.4000835 | 1.4E-4 | 9.646297E-4 | 9.995801E-4 | 0.0012493302 | 1.249855 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.846804E-6 | 7.1846676E-5 | 38.903248 | 7.0E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 7.914861E-6 | 8.791423E-5 | 11.107488 | 8.0E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.63611E-5 | 2.3634761E-4 | 2.4527283 | 1.4E-4 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.6338213E-4 | 0.0012131413 | 1.2592524 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 1.0617421E-5 | 17.196218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 1.264609E-5 | 4.779114 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.0209157E-4 | 1.2482767 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 1.0617421E-5 | 17.196218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 1.264609E-5 | 4.779114 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.0209157E-4 | 1.2482767 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.174277E-7 | 1.0617421E-5 | 17.196218 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6461162E-6 | 1.264609E-5 | 4.779114 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2216027E-5 | 8.2214414E-5 | 2.5519726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.2211732E-4 | 4.0209157E-4 | 1.2482767 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 4.964154E-7 | 1.049641E-5 | 21.144411 | 1.0E-5 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1274927E-6 | 1.2127472E-5 | 5.7003584 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.5901942E-5 | 7.590064E-5 | 2.9303071 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.5899155E-4 | 3.3897083E-4 | 1.3088104 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.797009E-7 | 3.797009E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6272886E-6 | 1.6272886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8964305E-5 | 1.9812076E-5 | 4.9811482E-5 | 2.514198 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8962687E-4 | 1.9810472E-4 | 2.5809283E-4 | 1.3028101 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.5184985E-7 | 2.5184985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.0793561E-6 | 1.0793561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3141094E-5 | 3.314083E-5 | 2.5219233 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3140438E-4 | 1.7139912E-4 | 1.3043638 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 8.894192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 3.8117958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.6408527E-6 | 1.46408065E-5 | 3.1547663 | 1.0E-5 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.6407673E-5 | 6.640674E-5 | 1.4309433 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 2.5585278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0965119E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3350025E-6 | 1.1334989E-5 | 8.490613 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3349951E-5 | 2.3349818E-5 | 1.7490565 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.568923E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 6.7239554E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.1864124E-7 | 1.0818633E-5 | 13.215353 | 1.0E-5 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.1863855E-6 | 1.8186303E-5 | 2.2215304 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 8.391506E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 3.5963602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.3785676E-7 | 1.0437852E-5 | 23.83851 | 1.0E-5 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.3785594E-6 | 1.43785155E-5 | 3.2838461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 5.6283973E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 2.4121704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 2.9368172E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 2.9368136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 2.7543523E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.1804369E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.4371818E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.4371818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.2593036E-4 | 1.2841392 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009257783 | 1.0130107 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.08815862 | 1.0024891 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.2593036E-4 | 1.2841392 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009257783 | 1.0130107 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.08815862 | 1.0024891 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.2593036E-4 | 1.2841392 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009257783 | 1.0130107 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.08815862 | 1.0024891 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.7593916E-4 | 2.2593036E-4 | 1.2841392 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.538026E-4 | 8.437347E-4 | 1.1193047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.009138879 | 0.009257783 | 1.0130107 | 1.2E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.08793973 | 0.08815862 | 1.0024891 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184863E-4 | 2.2184003E-4 | 1.2909037 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.3628454E-4 | 8.262183E-4 | 1.1221453 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927555 | 0.009046484 | 1.0133215 | 1.2E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.08601122 | 0.08623058 | 1.0025504 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.7184863E-4 | 2.2184003E-4 | 1.2909037 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.3628454E-4 | 8.262183E-4 | 1.1221453 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.008927555 | 0.009046484 | 1.0133215 | 1.2E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.08601122 | 0.08623058 | 1.0025504 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 1.6481194E-4 | 2.148037E-4 | 1.3033261 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 7.061471E-4 | 7.960836E-4 | 1.1273621 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.008563763 | 0.008682736 | 1.0138925 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.08268275 | 0.08290291 | 1.0026627 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 1.617716E-4 | 2.1176352E-4 | 1.3090278 | 5.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 6.931241E-4 | 7.8306167E-4 | 1.1297569 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.008406438 | 0.008525428 | 1.0141548 | 1.2E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.081241146 | 0.081461646 | 1.0027142 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 1.603579E-4 | 2.1034988E-4 | 1.3117526 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 6.8706856E-4 | 7.7700673E-4 | 1.1309013 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.008333279 | 0.008452279 | 1.0142801 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.08057477 | 0.08079544 | 1.0027386 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 1.5818591E-4 | 2.08178E-4 | 1.3160337 | 5.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 6.7776494E-4 | 7.677039E-4 | 1.1326994 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.008220866 | 0.00833988 | 1.014477 | 1.2E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.0795556 | 0.07977651 | 1.0027767 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 1.5433833E-4 | 2.043306E-4 | 1.3239136 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 6.612837E-4 | 7.512242E-4 | 1.136009 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.0080217 | 0.008140737 | 1.0148394 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.07774361 | 0.077964954 | 1.0028471 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 1.5284073E-4 | 2.028331E-4 | 1.3270879 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 6.5486867E-4 | 7.4480975E-4 | 1.1373421 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.007944169 | 0.008053295 | 1.0137366 | 1.1E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.077031694 | 0.07724398 | 1.0027558 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 1.4929497E-4 | 1.992875E-4 | 1.3348575 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 6.396801E-4 | 7.2962255E-4 | 1.1406053 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.0077605783 | 0.007869725 | 1.0140642 | 1.1E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.07534284 | 0.07555551 | 1.0028228 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.4248997E-4 | 1.9248284E-4 | 1.3508519 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 6.1052974E-4 | 7.004748E-4 | 1.147323 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.007408139 | 0.007517324 | 1.0147386 | 1.1E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.07214033 | 0.072353736 | 1.0029582 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.0130585E-4 | 1.5130079E-4 | 1.4935049 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 4.3409623E-4 | 5.2405713E-4 | 1.2072374 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.005272418 | 0.005381838 | 1.0207533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.052424293 | 0.052642234 | 1.0041573 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 7.312748E-5 | 1.2312383E-4 | 1.6836876 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 3.1336604E-4 | 4.0333782E-4 | 1.287114 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.003808593 | 0.003918174 | 1.0287721 | 1.1E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.038490962 | 0.03869288 | 1.0052458 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 5.211376E-5 | 1.0211115E-4 | 1.9593894 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 2.2332564E-4 | 3.0330778E-4 | 1.3581413 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0027156118 | 0.0028153404 | 1.0367241 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.027904706 | 0.028089404 | 1.0066189 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 3.5213878E-5 | 8.5212116E-5 | 2.4198446 | 5.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 1.509079E-4 | 2.2089733E-4 | 1.4637891 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0018357572 | 0.0019255918 | 1.0489361 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.019283293 | 0.019459821 | 1.0091546 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 3.0014178E-5 | 8.001268E-5 | 2.6658294 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 1.2862586E-4 | 1.8861814E-4 | 1.4664092 | 6.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0015648959 | 0.0016347864 | 1.0446614 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.016585648 | 0.016742995 | 1.0094869 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 2.1294647E-5 | 4.129422E-5 | 1.9391832 | 2.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 9.125958E-5 | 1.1125776E-4 | 1.219135 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0011105194 | 0.0011304972 | 1.0179896 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.011980588 | 0.012069509 | 1.0074222 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 1.50391725E-5 | 3.5038873E-5 | 2.3298404 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 6.4452004E-5 | 8.4450716E-5 | 1.3102884 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 7.8442093E-4 | 8.0440525E-4 | 1.0254766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.00852499 | 0.008574563 | 1.0058151 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 2.735352E-6 | 2.735352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 1.1722884E-5 | 1.1722884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 1.4271679E-4 | 1.4271679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0016786614 | 0.0016786614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 7.493689E-7 | 7.493689E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 3.2115768E-6 | 3.2115768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 3.910025E-5 | 3.910025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 4.9772713E-4 | 4.9772713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 6.5347606E-8 | 6.5347606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 2.8006116E-7 | 2.8006116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 3.4097397E-6 | 3.4097397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 4.5695506E-5 | 4.5695506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.9194743E-4 | 2.3420663 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011472146 | 1.1502464 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.010699502 | 1.0227002 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.9194743E-4 | 2.3420663 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011472146 | 1.1502464 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.010699502 | 1.0227002 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.9194743E-4 | 2.3420663 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011472146 | 1.1502464 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.010699502 | 1.0227002 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.912377E-5 | 1.0912205E-4 | 5.7060947 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 8.1956445E-5 | 1.9194743E-4 | 2.3420663 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 9.973642E-4 | 0.0011472146 | 1.1502464 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.010462013 | 0.010699502 | 1.0227002 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049887E-5 | 1.09048175E-4 | 5.7243476 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.1639824E-5 | 1.9163084E-4 | 2.3472717 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935128E-4 | 0.0011433638 | 1.1508294 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423877 | 0.010661376 | 1.0227841 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.9049887E-5 | 1.09048175E-4 | 5.7243476 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 8.1639824E-5 | 1.9163084E-4 | 2.3472717 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 9.935128E-4 | 0.0011433638 | 1.1508294 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.010423877 | 0.010661376 | 1.0227841 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 1.9015384E-5 | 1.0901367E-4 | 5.73292 | 9.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 8.149196E-5 | 1.9148299E-4 | 2.3497164 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018997455 | 9.917143E-4 | 0.0011415655 | 1.1511033 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.010406068 | 0.01064357 | 1.0228235 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 1.9001836E-5 | 1.09000124E-4 | 5.7362943 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 8.143391E-5 | 1.9142494E-4 | 2.3506787 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018992044 | 9.910081E-4 | 0.0011408596 | 1.151211 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.010399076 | 0.01063658 | 1.022839 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 1.89728E-5 | 1.0897109E-4 | 5.743543 | 9.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 8.1309474E-5 | 1.9130053E-4 | 2.352746 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018980318 | 9.894945E-4 | 0.0011393462 | 1.1514425 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.010384083 | 0.010621591 | 1.0228723 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 1.8935656E-5 | 1.0893395E-4 | 5.752848 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 8.115029E-5 | 1.9114137E-4 | 2.3553996 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018965311 | 9.875583E-4 | 0.0011374102 | 1.1517397 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.010364903 | 0.010602416 | 1.0229151 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 1.882493E-5 | 1.0882324E-4 | 5.780804 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 8.067579E-5 | 1.906669E-4 | 2.363372 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018920569 | 9.817864E-4 | 0.0011316391 | 1.1526327 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.0103077255 | 0.010545252 | 1.0230435 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 1.8783507E-5 | 1.0878182E-4 | 5.791348 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 8.049826E-5 | 1.904894E-4 | 2.366379 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001890278 | 9.79627E-4 | 0.0011294801 | 1.1529695 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.010286341 | 0.010523873 | 1.0230919 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 1.8721928E-5 | 1.0872025E-4 | 5.807107 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 8.023438E-5 | 1.9022556E-4 | 2.3708735 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001887647 | 9.764171E-4 | 0.0011262706 | 1.1534729 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.010254514 | 0.010492053 | 1.0231643 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 1.862317E-5 | 1.0862149E-4 | 5.8325996 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 7.981115E-5 | 1.8980236E-4 | 2.3781435 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018829206 | 9.7126886E-4 | 0.0011211232 | 1.1542871 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.010203282 | 0.010440833 | 1.0232818 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 1.857874E-5 | 1.08577064E-4 | 5.8441567 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 7.9620746E-5 | 1.8961198E-4 | 2.3814394 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018807866 | 9.689528E-4 | 0.0011188075 | 1.1546563 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.010180192 | 0.010417748 | 1.0233352 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 1.8426057E-5 | 1.084244E-4 | 5.8842974 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 7.896643E-5 | 1.8895774E-4 | 2.392887 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0018692396 | 9.609935E-4 | 0.0011108494 | 1.1559385 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.010100003 | 0.010337579 | 1.0235224 | 2.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 1.7355249E-5 | 1.07353684E-4 | 6.185661 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 7.437752E-5 | 1.8436935E-4 | 2.4788313 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001713488 | 9.051712E-4 | 0.0010550354 | 1.1655645 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.009528014 | 0.009765727 | 1.0249488 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 1.4931001E-5 | 1.04929655E-4 | 7.027637 | 9.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 6.398844E-5 | 1.6398204E-4 | 2.5626824 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015059357 | 7.787811E-4 | 9.1867207E-4 | 1.1796281 | 1.4E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.008255059 | 0.00848316 | 1.0276318 | 2.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 1.2911588E-5 | 9.291055E-5 | 7.1959047 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 5.5334203E-5 | 1.4532922E-4 | 2.6263905 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 6.734859E-4 | 7.9340505E-4 | 1.1780574 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.007186911 | 0.0073954016 | 1.0290098 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 9.548437E-6 | 6.954787E-5 | 7.283691 | 6.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 4.0921233E-5 | 1.1091837E-4 | 2.7105334 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 4.981023E-4 | 5.9805246E-4 | 1.200662 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.005398491 | 0.005557627 | 1.029478 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 6.669112E-6 | 1.6669046E-5 | 2.49944 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 2.8581595E-5 | 3.858131E-5 | 1.3498656 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 3.479255E-4 | 3.7791504E-4 | 1.0861953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.0038104316 | 0.003870203 | 1.0156863 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 3.3192123E-6 | 3.3192123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 1.4225118E-5 | 1.4225118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 1.7317716E-4 | 1.8317543E-4 | 1.0577344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0019140132 | 0.001923994 | 1.0052146 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 3.3162408E-7 | 3.3162408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 1.4212452E-6 | 1.4212452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 1.7303524E-5 | 1.7303524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 2.1532353E-4 | 2.1532353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.2375647E-8 | 5.2375647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2446704E-7 | 2.2446704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.7328829E-6 | 2.7328829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 3.6926303E-5 | 3.6926303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.2227755E-5 | 1.122248E-4 | 2.6576076 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096367E-4 | 2.709474E-4 | 1.4972473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010305 | 0.0023407224 | 1.0634665 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888392 | 0.02212314 | 1.0107247 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.2227755E-5 | 1.122248E-4 | 2.6576076 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.8096367E-4 | 2.709474E-4 | 1.4972473 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0022010305 | 0.0023407224 | 1.0634665 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021801353 | 0.021888392 | 0.02212314 | 1.0107247 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.2101685E-5 | 1.12098736E-4 | 2.6625714 | 7.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042345E-4 | 2.704072E-4 | 1.4987365 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944663 | 0.002334159 | 1.0636568 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824945 | 0.022059707 | 1.0107566 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.2101685E-5 | 1.12098736E-4 | 2.6625714 | 7.0E-5 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.8042345E-4 | 2.704072E-4 | 1.4987365 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021944663 | 0.002334159 | 1.0636568 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021759989 | 0.021824945 | 0.022059707 | 1.0107566 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 3.5304838E-5 | 8.530307E-5 | 2.4161866 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.5129778E-4 | 2.2128719E-4 | 1.4625938 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019213937 | 0.001840513 | 0.001960292 | 1.0650792 | 1.2E-4 | 0.019048655 | 0.018346045 | 0.018562008 | 1.0117717 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.1658714E-5 | 7.165745E-5 | 2.2634351 | 4.0E-5 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.3567324E-4 | 1.956651E-4 | 1.442179 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0016505864 | 0.0017604048 | 1.066533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017543508 | 0.016469419 | 0.016666126 | 1.0119437 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.1140786E-5 | 7.113954E-5 | 2.284449 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.3345377E-4 | 1.9344577E-4 | 1.4495339 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0016236049 | 0.0017334262 | 1.0676404 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017365133 | 0.016205663 | 0.016402422 | 1.0121413 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 2.9895766E-5 | 6.989457E-5 | 2.3379421 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.2811851E-4 | 1.8811082E-4 | 1.4682564 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0015587427 | 0.0016685713 | 1.0704597 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016856372 | 0.015564532 | 0.015761418 | 1.0126498 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 2.9378487E-5 | 6.937731E-5 | 2.3615005 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.2590182E-4 | 1.8589427E-4 | 1.4765018 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0015317928 | 0.0016416243 | 1.0717013 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016654192 | 0.01529849 | 0.015495431 | 1.0128732 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 2.8661992E-5 | 6.866085E-5 | 2.3955364 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.2283142E-4 | 1.8282405E-4 | 1.4884144 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0014944626 | 0.0016042981 | 1.073495 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01638118 | 0.014929827 | 0.015126841 | 1.013196 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 2.7678538E-5 | 5.7677706E-5 | 2.0838423 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.18617E-4 | 1.6861106E-4 | 1.4214747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016112428 | 0.001443221 | 0.0015430767 | 1.0691894 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015996104 | 0.014424115 | 0.014611375 | 1.0129824 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 2.6569813E-5 | 5.6569017E-5 | 2.129071 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.13865746E-4 | 1.6386005E-4 | 1.4390637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0013854495 | 0.001485311 | 1.0720787 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01556781 | 0.013852995 | 0.014040363 | 1.0135255 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 2.3773342E-5 | 5.3772626E-5 | 2.2618878 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.0188185E-4 | 1.5187675E-4 | 1.4907146 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0012397201 | 0.0013296085 | 1.072507 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.012410434 | 0.0125783235 | 1.0135281 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 1.9972376E-5 | 3.9971976E-5 | 2.001363 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0507837E-4 | 8.559315E-5 | 1.2558972E-4 | 1.4672871 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0010416096 | 0.0011215262 | 1.0767242 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012712469 | 0.01044049 | 0.01059882 | 1.015165 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 1.86948E-5 | 3.8694427E-5 | 2.0697963 | 2.0E-5 | 9.95342E-5 | 8.0118174E-5 | 1.20114964E-4 | 1.4992225 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012111551 | 9.750132E-4 | 0.0010549352 | 1.0819702 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.009778501 | 0.009936936 | 1.0162024 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 1.6510985E-5 | 3.6510653E-5 | 2.211295 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9901114E-5 | 7.0759495E-5 | 1.10756664E-4 | 1.5652552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010939965 | 8.6116564E-4 | 9.4109675E-4 | 1.0928173 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.008644489 | 0.008803106 | 1.0183489 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.07739925E-5 | 3.0773776E-5 | 2.856302 | 2.0E-5 | 6.476642E-5 | 4.617347E-5 | 8.6171625E-5 | 1.8662583 | 4.0E-5 | 7.882459E-4 | 5.6202314E-4 | 6.419782E-4 | 1.1422629 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.005669823 | 0.005828916 | 1.0280596 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 6.1008263E-6 | 1.6100765E-5 | 2.6391122 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 2.6146137E-5 | 5.6145353E-5 | 2.147367 | 3.0E-5 | 5.182138E-4 | 3.1828287E-4 | 3.8826058E-4 | 1.2198602 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00517007 | 0.003239262 | 0.0033788085 | 1.0430797 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 4.729875E-6 | 1.4729828E-5 | 3.1142108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 2.0270734E-5 | 5.0270126E-5 | 2.4799361 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 2.467683E-4 | 3.1675101E-4 | 1.2835969 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0035191406 | 0.00251606 | 0.0026557078 | 1.0555025 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 3.0894023E-6 | 1.3089371E-5 | 4.236862 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 1.3240229E-5 | 2.3240096E-5 | 1.7552639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 1.611879E-4 | 1.9118306E-4 | 1.1860882 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002072189 | 0.0016422946 | 0.0017221632 | 1.0486324 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.2667574E-6 | 1.1266745E-5 | 8.894161 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 5.4289494E-6 | 1.5428895E-5 | 2.841967 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.609547E-5 | 7.60948E-5 | 1.1512864 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 6.7328E-4 | 7.032598E-4 | 1.044528 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 9.465636E-4 | 9.965163E-4 | 1.0527726 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002205774 | 0.004046806 | 0.004116523 | 1.0172276 | 7.0E-5 | 0.026526777 | 0.04755226 | 0.047666553 | 1.0024035 | 1.2E-4 | 0.23574181 | 0.35127935 | 0.35140908 | 1.0003693 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 8.6893234E-4 | 9.188889E-4 | 1.0574919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002035871 | 0.00371549 | 0.00378523 | 1.0187701 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024506707 | 0.04375812 | 0.04387287 | 1.0026224 | 1.2E-4 | 0.21973366 | 0.3292847 | 0.32941884 | 1.0004073 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 6.911452E-4 | 7.4111065E-4 | 1.0722938 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0029563028 | 0.0030161254 | 1.0202357 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020479038 | 0.03499219 | 0.035098337 | 1.0030335 | 1.1E-4 | 0.18691239 | 0.2747282 | 0.274866 | 1.0005016 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 5.7969795E-4 | 6.2966894E-4 | 1.0862018 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001483754 | 0.0024802256 | 0.0025400768 | 1.0241313 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017915692 | 0.029463144 | 0.029569903 | 1.0036235 | 1.1E-4 | 0.16538206 | 0.23865753 | 0.2388022 | 1.0006062 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 4.5985822E-4 | 5.0983526E-4 | 1.1086792 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0019680622 | 0.002017964 | 1.0253557 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.023479749 | 0.023577401 | 1.004159 | 1.0E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.19767386 | 0.19781828 | 1.0007306 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 3.268356E-4 | 3.7681928E-4 | 1.152932 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0013992847 | 0.0014492148 | 1.0356826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.01678468 | 0.016883 | 1.0058578 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.14886087 | 0.14900556 | 1.000972 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 1.5659041E-4 | 1.9658414E-4 | 1.2554035 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 6.709225E-4 | 7.1089563E-4 | 1.0595794 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.008136914 | 0.008226181 | 1.0109707 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.081140116 | 0.08128713 | 1.0018119 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 1.5217482E-4 | 1.9216874E-4 | 1.2628156 | 4.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 6.520119E-4 | 6.919858E-4 | 1.0613086 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.007908982 | 0.007998271 | 1.0112895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.07914659 | 0.07929392 | 1.0018616 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 1.5064284E-4 | 1.9063681E-4 | 1.2654887 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 6.4544985E-4 | 6.85424E-4 | 1.0619323 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.007829749 | 0.007919045 | 1.0114046 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.0784349 | 0.07858235 | 1.0018799 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 1.4309157E-4 | 1.8308585E-4 | 1.2795013 | 4.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 6.131065E-4 | 6.53082E-4 | 1.0652015 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.0074392376 | 0.0075285677 | 1.0120081 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.07487328 | 0.075021304 | 1.001977 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 1.3361376E-4 | 1.7360842E-4 | 1.2993304 | 4.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 5.725058E-4 | 6.124829E-4 | 1.0698283 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.006948196 | 0.0070375702 | 1.012863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.07031969 | 0.07046844 | 1.0021154 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 9.123924E-5 | 1.3123559E-4 | 1.4383678 | 4.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 3.9096724E-4 | 4.309516E-4 | 1.1022704 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.004749733 | 0.0048393053 | 1.0188584 | 9.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.049437184 | 0.049589273 | 1.0030764 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 8.09424E-5 | 1.2093916E-4 | 1.4941386 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 3.4685037E-4 | 3.868365E-4 | 1.1152835 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.004214814 | 0.0043044346 | 1.0212632 | 9.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.0441248 | 0.04427774 | 1.0034661 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 7.390285E-5 | 1.13899885E-4 | 1.5412111 | 4.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 3.166885E-4 | 3.5667582E-4 | 1.1262671 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0038489504 | 0.0039386037 | 1.023293 | 9.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.040139243 | 0.04029282 | 1.0038261 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 6.618938E-5 | 1.0618673E-4 | 1.6042866 | 4.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 2.8363836E-4 | 3.23627E-4 | 1.1409847 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0034479073 | 0.003537597 | 1.0260128 | 9.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.036177754 | 0.036331963 | 1.0042626 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 4.419572E-5 | 8.4193955E-5 | 1.905025 | 4.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 1.8939652E-4 | 2.2938894E-4 | 1.2111571 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0023034723 | 0.002383288 | 1.0346502 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.024914986 | 0.025061248 | 1.0058705 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 4.128937E-5 | 8.128772E-5 | 1.9687324 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 1.7694249E-4 | 2.1693541E-4 | 1.2260221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0021521545 | 0.0022319823 | 1.0370921 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.023315867 | 0.02346237 | 1.0062834 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 2.9394176E-5 | 6.9393E-5 | 2.3607738 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 1.2596896E-4 | 1.6596392E-4 | 1.3174986 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.001532594 | 0.0016124714 | 1.0521191 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.01700776 | 0.01715521 | 1.0086695 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 2.6958587E-5 | 6.695751E-5 | 2.4837172 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 1.15531686E-4 | 1.5552707E-4 | 1.3461853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0014056914 | 0.001485579 | 1.0568315 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.015592271 | 0.015739933 | 1.0094701 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 2.1734368E-5 | 5.1733714E-5 | 2.3802724 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 9.3143964E-5 | 1.2314117E-4 | 1.322052 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0011334383 | 0.0011933702 | 1.0528762 | 6.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.01253672 | 0.012635467 | 1.0078765 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 1.289068E-5 | 2.2890552E-5 | 1.7757442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 5.5244604E-5 | 6.524405E-5 | 1.1810032 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 6.723957E-4 | 7.023755E-4 | 1.0445865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.0074766334 | 0.007536185 | 1.007965 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 6.1876794E-6 | 6.1876794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 2.6518357E-5 | 2.6518357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 3.2281326E-4 | 3.428068E-4 | 1.0619353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.003686113 | 0.0037060392 | 1.0054058 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.292058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 5.5373794E-6 | 5.5373794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 6.7415516E-5 | 7.741484E-5 | 1.1483238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 8.505801E-4 | 8.605716E-4 | 1.0117466 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.963729E-4 | 2.2732975 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0012010416 | 1.1425442 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011210924 | 1.0197921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.963729E-4 | 2.2732975 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0012010416 | 1.1425442 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011210924 | 1.0197921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.963729E-4 | 2.2732975 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0012010416 | 1.1425442 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011210924 | 1.0197921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 2.0156558E-5 | 1.10154746E-4 | 5.4649577 | 9.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 8.6382395E-5 | 1.963729E-4 | 2.2732975 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0010511993 | 0.0012010416 | 1.1425442 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.010993343 | 0.011210924 | 1.0197921 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.003664E-5 | 1.1003484E-4 | 5.491681 | 9.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.5868494E-5 | 1.9585904E-4 | 2.2809186 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449489 | 0.0011947922 | 1.1433977 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931505 | 0.0111491 | 1.0199053 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 2.003664E-5 | 1.1003484E-4 | 5.491681 | 9.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 8.5868494E-5 | 1.9585904E-4 | 2.2809186 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0010449489 | 0.0011947922 | 1.1433977 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.010931505 | 0.0111491 | 1.0199053 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 1.998547E-5 | 1.0998367E-4 | 5.5031815 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 8.564921E-5 | 1.9563979E-4 | 2.2841985 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0010422819 | 0.0011921255 | 1.143765 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.010905118 | 0.011122718 | 1.019954 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 1.9956471E-5 | 1.0995467E-4 | 5.5097256 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 8.552494E-5 | 1.9551553E-4 | 2.2860646 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002111905 | 0.0010407704 | 0.0011906143 | 1.1439741 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.010890161 | 0.011107765 | 1.0199817 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 1.9930283E-5 | 1.0992849E-4 | 5.515651 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 8.5412714E-5 | 1.9540332E-4 | 2.2877545 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0010394054 | 0.0011892495 | 1.1441633 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.010876619 | 0.0110942265 | 1.0200069 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 1.989612E-5 | 1.0989433E-4 | 5.5234046 | 9.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 8.5266314E-5 | 1.9525693E-4 | 2.2899656 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0010376247 | 0.001187469 | 1.144411 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.010858934 | 0.011076545 | 1.0200398 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 1.9787683E-5 | 1.09785906E-4 | 5.548194 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 8.4801606E-5 | 1.9479229E-4 | 2.2970352 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0010319722 | 0.0011818174 | 1.1452028 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.010802742 | 0.011020366 | 1.0201452 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 1.976882E-5 | 1.0976704E-4 | 5.5525336 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 8.472078E-5 | 1.9471145E-4 | 2.2982728 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002102883 | 0.001030989 | 0.0011808344 | 1.1453414 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.0107929325 | 0.011010558 | 1.0201637 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 1.9684318E-5 | 1.0968254E-4 | 5.5720778 | 9.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 8.435864E-5 | 1.9434936E-4 | 2.3038466 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0010265842 | 0.0011764303 | 1.1459656 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.010748958 | 0.010966593 | 1.0202471 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 1.9558458E-5 | 1.095567E-4 | 5.6014996 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 8.381928E-5 | 1.9381006E-4 | 2.3122373 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0010200237 | 0.0011698706 | 1.1469054 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.010681754 | 0.010899404 | 1.0203758 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 1.9478357E-5 | 1.09476605E-4 | 5.620423 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 8.3476014E-5 | 1.9346683E-4 | 2.3176339 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0010158482 | 0.0011656958 | 1.1475098 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.01063878 | 0.010856439 | 1.020459 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 1.8874369E-5 | 1.0887267E-4 | 5.7682815 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 8.088765E-5 | 1.9087875E-4 | 2.3598008 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019307006 | 9.843638E-4 | 0.0011342162 | 1.1522326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.010312342 | 0.010530073 | 1.0211136 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 1.717819E-5 | 1.07176646E-4 | 6.2391114 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 7.361875E-5 | 1.8361065E-4 | 2.4940746 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0017173645 | 8.959409E-4 | 0.0010458064 | 1.1672717 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.009411893 | 0.009629822 | 1.0231547 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 1.4310665E-5 | 1.0430938E-4 | 7.2889256 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 6.1329985E-5 | 1.6132386E-4 | 2.6304238 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014722579 | 7.4643706E-4 | 8.8633253E-4 | 1.1874176 | 1.4E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.007905688 | 0.008114028 | 1.0263531 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 1.2314362E-5 | 9.231338E-5 | 7.4963994 | 8.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 5.277477E-5 | 1.4277002E-4 | 2.7052703 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 6.423436E-4 | 7.622665E-4 | 1.1866959 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.0068493956 | 0.007038094 | 1.0275496 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 9.057595E-6 | 6.905705E-5 | 7.624215 | 6.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 3.881769E-5 | 1.0881497E-4 | 2.8032317 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 4.7250302E-4 | 5.7245576E-4 | 1.2115389 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0100566605 | 0.0051199943 | 0.005269226 | 1.0291469 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 6.6526804E-6 | 1.6652613E-5 | 2.5031435 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 2.8511178E-5 | 3.851089E-5 | 1.3507296 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 3.4706842E-4 | 3.7705802E-4 | 1.0864083 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.003800563 | 0.003860335 | 1.0157272 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 3.3176107E-6 | 3.3176107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 1.4218254E-5 | 1.4218254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 1.730936E-4 | 1.8309186E-4 | 1.0577623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0019129307 | 0.0019229116 | 1.0052176 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 3.3096583E-7 | 3.3096583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 1.4184242E-6 | 1.4184242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 1.726918E-5 | 1.726918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 2.1486501E-4 | 2.1486501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312977E-8 | 5.2312977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419846E-7 | 2.2419846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7296128E-6 | 2.7296128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6886457E-5 | 3.6886457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.5697902E-4 | 3.1696362E-4 | 1.233422 | 6.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008771 | 0.001200767 | 1.0907366 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.013321603 | 0.013469605 | 1.01111 | 1.5E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.124482766 | 0.12467538 | 1.0015473 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 2.5697902E-4 | 3.1696362E-4 | 1.233422 | 6.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0011008771 | 0.001200767 | 1.0907366 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.013321603 | 0.013469605 | 1.01111 | 1.5E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.124482766 | 0.12467538 | 1.0015473 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 2.3247297E-4 | 2.92459E-4 | 1.2580345 | 6.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 9.959348E-4 | 0.0010958352 | 1.1003082 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.012058705 | 0.012206897 | 1.0122892 | 1.5E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.11349024 | 0.11368527 | 1.0017185 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 2.319317E-4 | 2.9191776E-4 | 1.2586368 | 6.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 9.936169E-4 | 0.0010935175 | 1.1005424 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.012030796 | 0.012178992 | 1.012318 | 1.5E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.11325275 | 0.11344784 | 1.0017226 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.2412096E-4 | 2.8410752E-4 | 1.2676526 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 9.601673E-4 | 0.0010600713 | 1.1040485 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.011627963 | 0.011776218 | 1.0127499 | 1.5E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.10974522 | 0.10994108 | 1.0017847 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.2135182E-4 | 2.8133855E-4 | 1.2710017 | 6.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 9.483082E-4 | 0.0010482135 | 1.105351 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.01148511 | 0.011633387 | 1.0129104 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.10849467 | 0.1086908 | 1.0018078 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.1907112E-4 | 2.7905797E-4 | 1.2738236 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 9.385409E-4 | 0.001038447 | 1.1064484 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.011367438 | 0.011515733 | 1.0130455 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.10746498 | 0.10766134 | 1.0018271 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.176903E-4 | 2.7767726E-4 | 1.2755609 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 9.3262736E-4 | 0.001032534 | 1.107124 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.011296189 | 0.011444495 | 1.0131288 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.106843226 | 0.10703972 | 1.001839 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.1586545E-4 | 2.758525E-4 | 1.2778909 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 9.248121E-4 | 0.0010247196 | 1.1080301 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.0112020215 | 0.011350341 | 1.0132405 | 1.5E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.10602119 | 0.10621787 | 1.001855 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.1159173E-4 | 2.7157905E-4 | 1.283505 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 9.06509E-4 | 0.0010064184 | 1.1102133 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.010981448 | 0.011129801 | 1.0135094 | 1.5E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.10406683 | 0.10426393 | 1.001894 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 1.8463682E-4 | 2.4462576E-4 | 1.3249023 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 7.910627E-4 | 8.909836E-4 | 1.1263123 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.009589091 | 0.009737652 | 1.0154928 | 1.5E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.09167477 | 0.0918746 | 1.0021797 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 1.8168548E-4 | 2.4167458E-4 | 1.330181 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 7.784217E-4 | 8.783439E-4 | 1.128365 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.00943653 | 0.009575209 | 1.014696 | 1.4E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.09027257 | 0.09046361 | 1.0021163 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 1.6489647E-4 | 2.2488658E-4 | 1.3638047 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 7.065096E-4 | 8.0643897E-4 | 1.1414409 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.008568218 | 0.008707019 | 1.0161995 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.08252502 | 0.082717694 | 1.0023347 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 1.5108423E-4 | 2.1107517E-4 | 1.3970695 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 6.47345E-4 | 7.472802E-4 | 1.1543771 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.007853298 | 0.007982277 | 1.0164236 | 1.3E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.07606601 | 0.0762508 | 1.0024292 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 9.9224046E-5 | 1.5921809E-4 | 1.6046321 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 4.2517713E-4 | 5.251346E-4 | 1.2350961 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0051643476 | 0.0052837282 | 1.0231162 | 1.2E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.051233016 | 0.051413283 | 1.0035186 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 7.306855E-5 | 1.3306417E-4 | 1.8210866 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 3.1311356E-4 | 4.1308225E-4 | 1.319273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0038055303 | 0.0039250734 | 1.0314131 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.038270026 | 0.038452752 | 1.0047747 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 5.3145486E-5 | 1.131423E-4 | 2.1289163 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 2.2774657E-4 | 3.1772608E-4 | 1.395086 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0027693019 | 0.0028789972 | 1.0396112 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.028224107 | 0.028399028 | 1.0061976 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 3.5740875E-5 | 9.573873E-5 | 2.6786902 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 1.531662E-4 | 2.3315394E-4 | 1.5222285 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0018632058 | 0.0019630196 | 1.053571 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.019347286 | 0.019513996 | 1.0086168 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 2.8360912E-5 | 8.835921E-5 | 3.1155279 | 6.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 1.215411E-4 | 1.915326E-4 | 1.5758668 | 7.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0014787595 | 0.0015586411 | 1.0540195 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.015547891 | 0.015695559 | 1.0094976 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 1.9708965E-5 | 4.9708375E-5 | 2.52212 | 3.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 8.446426E-5 | 1.1446173E-4 | 1.3551497 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0010278675 | 0.0010678264 | 1.0388755 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.01099847 | 0.01108748 | 1.008093 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 1.5612504E-5 | 4.5612036E-5 | 2.9215066 | 3.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 6.6909015E-5 | 9.690701E-5 | 1.44834 | 3.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 8.1431307E-4 | 8.542805E-4 | 1.0490812 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.0087783225 | 0.008847709 | 1.0079042 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 3.5009782E-6 | 3.5009782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 1.5004106E-5 | 1.5004106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 1.826597E-4 | 1.826597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0020671196 | 0.0020671196 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 7.8084986E-7 | 7.8084986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 3.346495E-6 | 3.346495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 4.074282E-5 | 4.074282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 5.0381024E-4 | 5.0381024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 1.2013074E-8 | 1.2013074E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 5.14846E-8 | 5.14846E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 6.2682483E-7 | 6.2682483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 6.8427653E-6 | 6.8427653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.1752868E-4 | 2.0227604 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014483416 | 1.1068507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013895094 | 1.015132 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.1752868E-4 | 2.0227604 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014483416 | 1.1068507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013895094 | 1.015132 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.1752868E-4 | 2.0227604 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014483416 | 1.1068507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013895094 | 1.015132 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.1752868E-4 | 2.0227604 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014483416 | 1.1068507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013895094 | 1.015132 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.5093814E-5 | 1.15091556E-4 | 4.5864515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.07540516E-4 | 2.1752868E-4 | 2.0227604 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0013085249 | 0.0014483416 | 1.1068507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.032278832 | 0.013687969 | 0.013895094 | 1.015132 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987999E-5 | 1.1298593E-4 | 4.914996 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.851629E-5 | 2.0850544E-4 | 2.1164567 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987783 | 0.0013386105 | 1.1166456 | 1.4E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548611 | 0.012755976 | 1.0165249 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.2987999E-5 | 1.1298593E-4 | 4.914996 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.851629E-5 | 2.0850544E-4 | 2.1164567 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011987783 | 0.0013386105 | 1.1166456 | 1.4E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.012548611 | 0.012755976 | 1.0165249 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 2.263615E-5 | 1.1263411E-4 | 4.9758515 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 9.700847E-5 | 2.069978E-4 | 2.1338115 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0011804407 | 0.0013202754 | 1.1184598 | 1.4E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.012354635 | 0.01256204 | 1.0167876 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 2.2535478E-5 | 1.1253345E-4 | 4.993613 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 9.657706E-5 | 2.0656643E-4 | 2.138877 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0011751938 | 0.0013150293 | 1.1189892 | 1.4E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.012301286 | 0.012508702 | 1.0168614 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 2.23754E-5 | 1.1237338E-4 | 5.022185 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 9.589105E-5 | 2.0588051E-4 | 2.147025 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0011668508 | 0.0013066874 | 1.1198411 | 1.4E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.012212152 | 0.012419587 | 1.016986 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 2.1710292E-5 | 1.1170834E-4 | 5.145409 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 9.3040806E-5 | 2.0303058E-4 | 2.182167 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0011321853 | 0.0012720268 | 1.1235147 | 1.4E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.011846009 | 0.012053521 | 1.0175174 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 2.0876145E-5 | 1.10874265E-4 | 5.3110504 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 8.9466135E-5 | 1.9945629E-4 | 2.2294054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0010887079 | 0.0012285556 | 1.1284528 | 1.4E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.011384552 | 0.011592162 | 1.018236 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 1.9978752E-5 | 1.0997696E-4 | 5.504696 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 8.562043E-5 | 1.95611E-4 | 2.28463 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0024938055 | 0.001041932 | 0.0011817861 | 1.1342257 | 1.4E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.010888737 | 0.01109645 | 1.019076 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 1.9468765E-5 | 1.09467015E-4 | 5.6226993 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 8.343491E-5 | 1.9342573E-4 | 2.318283 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002196605 | 0.0010153484 | 0.0011552062 | 1.1377437 | 1.4E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.010613128 | 0.010820899 | 1.0195768 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 1.9251764E-5 | 1.0925003E-4 | 5.6748066 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 8.250496E-5 | 1.9249588E-4 | 2.3331432 | 1.1E-4 | 0.002098792 | 0.0010040367 | 0.0011438961 | 1.1392971 | 1.4E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.010495788 | 0.010703584 | 1.019798 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 1.835797E-5 | 1.0835632E-4 | 5.9024124 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 7.867465E-5 | 1.88666E-4 | 2.3980532 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019259118 | 9.5744466E-4 | 0.0010973107 | 1.1460825 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.010016567 | 0.010224463 | 1.0207553 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 1.6286167E-5 | 1.062847E-4 | 6.5260725 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 6.9796E-5 | 1.7978832E-4 | 2.5759115 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001668642 | 8.4943615E-4 | 9.893172E-4 | 1.1646752 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.00891727 | 0.009125398 | 1.0233399 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 1.3438478E-5 | 1.0343727E-4 | 7.697097 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 5.7592206E-5 | 1.5758644E-4 | 2.736246 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001424336 | 7.009599E-4 | 8.308687E-4 | 1.18533 | 1.3E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.0074206213 | 0.0076191374 | 1.0267519 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 1.15015955E-5 | 9.1500675E-5 | 7.9554768 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 4.929162E-5 | 1.3928718E-4 | 2.8257782 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 5.9996045E-4 | 7.198884E-4 | 1.1998932 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.006395143 | 0.0065839277 | 1.02952 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 8.341491E-6 | 6.834099E-5 | 8.192899 | 6.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 3.5748755E-5 | 1.0574625E-4 | 2.95804 | 7.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 4.3515433E-4 | 5.351108E-4 | 1.2297035 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0096645225 | 0.0047179367 | 0.004867229 | 1.0316435 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 6.58411E-6 | 1.6584045E-5 | 2.518798 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 2.821731E-5 | 3.821703E-5 | 1.3543824 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 3.4349173E-4 | 3.7348142E-4 | 1.0873083 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0037624293 | 0.0038222037 | 1.0158871 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 3.3128513E-6 | 3.3128513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 1.4197857E-5 | 1.4197857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 1.728453E-4 | 1.8284358E-4 | 1.0578452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0019098404 | 0.0019198214 | 1.005226 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 3.2971002E-7 | 3.2971002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 1.4130421E-6 | 1.4130421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 1.7203654E-5 | 1.7203654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 2.139897E-4 | 2.139897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.2312977E-8 | 5.2312977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2419846E-7 | 2.2419846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.7296128E-6 | 2.7296128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 3.6886457E-5 | 3.6886457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 3.0510395E-4 | 1.6480865 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024014085 | 1.066465 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.02251186 | 1.0092043 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 3.0510395E-4 | 1.6480865 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024014085 | 1.066465 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.02251186 | 1.0092043 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3198957E-5 | 1.3319506E-4 | 3.0832937 | 9.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8512618E-4 | 3.0510395E-4 | 1.6480865 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022517461 | 0.0024014085 | 1.066465 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022306545 | 0.02251186 | 1.0092043 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 6.4959495E-5 | 2.6024926 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.6696284E-4 | 1.5608488 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013615139 | 1.0460374 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013010911 | 1.0053388 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.4960493E-5 | 6.4959495E-5 | 2.6024926 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0696926E-4 | 1.6696284E-4 | 1.5608488 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001301592 | 0.0013615139 | 1.0460374 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010939079 | 0.012941817 | 0.013010911 | 1.0053388 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0348958E-5 | 4.034855E-5 | 1.9828314 | 2.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.7206965E-5 | 1.1720435E-4 | 1.3439792 | 3.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010612389 | 0.0010912071 | 1.0282389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009036654 | 0.010562957 | 0.010602535 | 1.0037469 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7407536E-5 | 2.740736E-5 | 1.5744538 | 1.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.460163E-5 | 9.460014E-5 | 1.2680707 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.07904E-4 | 9.278858E-4 | 1.0220088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007902439 | 0.009042776 | 0.009072505 | 1.0032876 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5029493E-5 | 2.5029343E-5 | 1.6653484 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.441055E-5 | 8.4409265E-5 | 1.3104881 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.83922E-4 | 8.039063E-4 | 1.0254928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006928845 | 0.0078121712 | 0.007841937 | 1.0038102 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.2841201E-5 | 2.2841074E-5 | 1.7787334 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5032582E-5 | 7.503148E-5 | 1.363401 | 2.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.698198E-4 | 6.898064E-4 | 1.0298388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00599574 | 0.0066784443 | 0.006698311 | 1.0029747 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1347151E-5 | 2.1347038E-5 | 1.8812685 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.8629758E-5 | 6.862878E-5 | 1.4112508 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 5.9191E-4 | 6.1189814E-4 | 1.0337689 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059036994 | 0.005923582 | 1.0033677 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.86875E-6 | 1.886866E-5 | 2.1275446 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.800839E-5 | 5.800763E-5 | 1.5261797 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6265623E-4 | 4.8264698E-4 | 1.0432086 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.004617171 | 0.0046370784 | 1.0043117 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.412032E-6 | 1.7411958E-5 | 2.3491478 | 1.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.1765478E-5 | 5.176484E-5 | 1.6295943 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.8667812E-4 | 4.0667038E-4 | 1.0517026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0038602627 | 0.0038801855 | 1.005161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.1932055E-6 | 1.6193144E-5 | 2.6146626 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.654205E-5 | 4.6541518E-5 | 1.7535013 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2310348E-4 | 3.43097E-4 | 1.0618796 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032265296 | 0.003246465 | 1.0061786 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.6392133E-6 | 1.4639167E-5 | 3.155528 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 1.98822E-5 | 3.98818E-5 | 2.005905 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4204068E-4 | 2.6203584E-4 | 1.0826107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.002417946 | 0.0024378977 | 1.0082514 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 2.8058057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 1.2024835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.4639413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014631341 | 0.0014631341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 4.5278192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.9404939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 2.3625494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 2.3625296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303828E-4 | 3.5302312E-4 | 1.1649456 | 5.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981091 | 0.0013780053 | 1.0615481 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.015693182 | 0.0158113 | 1.0075266 | 1.2E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.1493165 | 0.14946963 | 1.0010254 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 3.0303828E-4 | 3.5302312E-4 | 1.1649456 | 5.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0012981091 | 0.0013780053 | 1.0615481 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.015693182 | 0.0158113 | 1.0075266 | 1.2E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.1493165 | 0.14946963 | 1.0010254 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 2.9946378E-4 | 3.494488E-4 | 1.166915 | 5.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0012828049 | 0.0013627022 | 1.0622834 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.015508118 | 0.015626257 | 1.0076178 | 1.2E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.14731745 | 0.14747095 | 1.0010419 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 2.9517728E-4 | 3.4516252E-4 | 1.1693398 | 5.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0012644521 | 0.001344351 | 1.0631886 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.015287903 | 0.015406068 | 1.0077293 | 1.2E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.14544737 | 0.1456012 | 1.0010575 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 2.461335E-4 | 2.961212E-4 | 1.2030917 | 5.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0010544364 | 0.0011343521 | 1.0757899 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.012763681 | 0.012882149 | 1.0092816 | 1.2E-4 | 0.093263686 | 0.12408443 | 0.1242421 | 1.0012707 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 2.2977473E-4 | 2.7976325E-4 | 1.2175545 | 5.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 9.843811E-4 | 0.0010643024 | 1.0811894 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.011919481 | 0.01203805 | 1.0099475 | 1.2E-4 | 0.086755216 | 0.11634703 | 0.11650609 | 1.0013671 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 2.156742E-4 | 2.6566343E-4 | 1.2317811 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 9.2399365E-4 | 0.0010039198 | 1.0865006 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.011193372 | 0.011312028 | 1.0106007 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07970774 | 0.10924895 | 0.10940929 | 1.0014676 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 2.0123943E-4 | 2.5122936E-4 | 1.2484102 | 5.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 8.621721E-4 | 9.421031E-4 | 1.092709 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.010447317 | 0.010566062 | 1.0113662 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07174956 | 0.1016887 | 0.10185039 | 1.0015901 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 1.9420919E-4 | 2.4419947E-4 | 1.2574043 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 8.32062E-4 | 9.119954E-4 | 1.0960667 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.010083815 | 0.010202605 | 1.0117803 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06264243 | 0.09712086 | 0.09728337 | 1.0016733 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 1.8873977E-4 | 2.3873032E-4 | 1.264865 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 8.086363E-4 | 8.885716E-4 | 1.098852 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.009801203 | 0.009920027 | 1.0121233 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05173543 | 0.09363539 | 0.09379853 | 1.0017424 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 1.6763591E-4 | 2.1762753E-4 | 1.2982154 | 5.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 7.182438E-4 | 7.9818635E-4 | 1.1113027 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.0087099625 | 0.0088289175 | 1.0136573 | 1.2E-4 | 0.039192066 | 0.08346974 | 0.08363472 | 1.0019765 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 1.6545146E-4 | 2.1544319E-4 | 1.3021535 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 7.08887E-4 | 7.888303E-4 | 1.112773 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.008596947 | 0.0087159155 | 1.0138384 | 1.2E-4 | 0.038443442 | 0.08241333 | 0.082578495 | 1.0020041 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 1.4941324E-4 | 1.9940578E-4 | 1.3345923 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 6.4018724E-4 | 7.20136E-4 | 1.1248834 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.007766792 | 0.00788586 | 1.0153304 | 1.2E-4 | 0.034803 | 0.07495524 | 0.07512175 | 1.0022215 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.3846972E-4 | 1.884628E-4 | 1.3610398 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 5.933085E-4 | 6.73261E-4 | 1.1347572 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.0071999477 | 0.007309156 | 1.0151678 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03284188 | 0.069809414 | 0.069967546 | 1.0022652 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 8.791588E-5 | 1.3791148E-4 | 1.5686754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 3.7672848E-4 | 4.5669833E-4 | 1.2122746 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0045771208 | 0.0046766633 | 1.0217478 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023241805 | 0.045448564 | 0.045601293 | 1.0033605 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 6.299942E-5 | 1.1299627E-4 | 1.7936082 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 2.6996975E-4 | 3.4994815E-4 | 1.2962495 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0032819617 | 0.0033816337 | 1.0303696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01775316 | 0.03302299 | 0.033177707 | 1.0046852 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 4.502343E-5 | 9.5021176E-5 | 2.110483 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 1.9294335E-4 | 2.7292792E-4 | 1.4145495 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0023465676 | 0.002446333 | 1.0425154 | 1.0E-4 | 0.013464959 | 0.023903463 | 0.024059638 | 1.0065336 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 2.8390516E-5 | 7.8389094E-5 | 2.7611015 | 5.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 1.2166798E-4 | 1.9165946E-4 | 1.5752662 | 7.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0014803034 | 0.0015701702 | 1.0607084 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.015379426 | 0.015527119 | 1.0096033 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 2.1660495E-5 | 7.1659415E-5 | 3.3082998 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 9.2827395E-5 | 1.5282183E-4 | 1.6463009 | 6.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0011295885 | 0.0011995094 | 1.0618994 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.01189789 | 0.0120263435 | 1.0107963 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 1.4708457E-5 | 3.4708162E-5 | 2.359742 | 2.0E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 6.303472E-5 | 8.303346E-5 | 1.3172654 | 2.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 7.6717784E-4 | 7.971548E-4 | 1.0390744 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.008231228 | 0.008300652 | 1.0084342 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 1.1573851E-5 | 3.157362E-5 | 2.7280133 | 2.0E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 4.960128E-5 | 6.960029E-5 | 1.4031954 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 6.0372846E-4 | 6.3371036E-4 | 1.0496612 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.006529593 | 0.0065792664 | 1.0076075 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 2.9020048E-6 | 2.9020048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 1.2437104E-5 | 1.2437104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 1.5141124E-4 | 1.5141124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.001707443 | 0.001707443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 6.364556E-7 | 6.364556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 2.7276637E-6 | 2.7276637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 3.3208806E-5 | 3.3208806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 4.0945437E-4 | 4.0945437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 3.557083E-9 | 3.557083E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 1.5244643E-8 | 1.5244643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 1.8560351E-7 | 1.8560351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 1.9896427E-6 | 1.9896427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 9.074458E-5 | 2.9513867 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 2.0175565E-4 | 1.5311793 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017230692 | 1.0747274 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.074642E-5 | 9.074458E-5 | 2.9513867 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3176487E-4 | 2.0175565E-4 | 1.5311793 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016032616 | 0.0017230692 | 1.0747274 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.01593731 | 0.016114442 | 1.0111142 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373084E-5 | 7.3372285E-5 | 5.486564 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 1.17308584E-4 | 2.046841 | 6.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.9756183E-4 | 7.87499E-4 | 1.1289308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.007044246 | 1.0128505 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3373084E-5 | 7.3372285E-5 | 5.486564 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.731202E-5 | 1.17308584E-4 | 2.046841 | 6.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 6.9756183E-4 | 7.87499E-4 | 1.1289308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007871548 | 0.0069548716 | 0.007044246 | 1.0128505 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0492516E-5 | 6.049199E-5 | 5.765251 | 5.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.4967182E-5 | 9.496493E-5 | 2.111872 | 5.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.473435E-4 | 6.173052E-4 | 1.1278204 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005460522 | 0.00553014 | 1.0127493 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 8.918899E-6 | 5.8918453E-5 | 6.6060233 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8223316E-5 | 8.82214E-5 | 2.308052 | 5.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.6527336E-4 | 5.352408E-4 | 1.1503792 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0046433853 | 0.0047130603 | 1.0150052 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.3949536E-6 | 4.7394657E-5 | 6.4090543 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.169229E-5 | 7.169102E-5 | 2.2620966 | 4.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.8578775E-4 | 4.3576845E-4 | 1.129555 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0038514286 | 0.003901236 | 1.0129322 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.625768E-6 | 3.662557E-5 | 5.527747 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8395852E-5 | 5.8395E-5 | 2.0564623 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.4566678E-4 | 3.8565297E-4 | 1.1156784 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.003451505 | 0.003491367 | 1.0115491 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.018396E-6 | 2.5018297E-5 | 4.985317 | 2.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1507241E-5 | 4.1506813E-5 | 1.9298993 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6182056E-4 | 2.8181533E-4 | 1.0763682 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026152548 | 0.0026352026 | 1.0076275 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.827454E-6 | 2.3827377E-5 | 6.2253857 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6403275E-5 | 3.6402947E-5 | 2.2192485 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 1.9969254E-4 | 2.1968855E-4 | 1.100134 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0019952261 | 0.0020151862 | 1.0100039 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.5444278E-6 | 1.2544402E-5 | 4.9301467 | 1.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.0904647E-5 | 2.0904537E-5 | 1.9170302 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3275623E-4 | 1.4275491E-4 | 1.0753161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013267937 | 0.0013367804 | 1.007527 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0462894E-6 | 1.2046269E-5 | 5.886884 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.769784E-6 | 1.8769695E-5 | 2.140269 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.067671E-4 | 1.1676603E-4 | 1.0936518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010671793 | 0.0010771685 | 1.0093606 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2220281E-6 | 1.1222016E-5 | 9.183107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.2372534E-6 | 1.5237201E-5 | 2.9093878 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.376177E-5 | 7.376113E-5 | 1.1568238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.374427E-4 | 6.474363E-4 | 1.0156777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 6.842619E-7 | 6.842619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 2.9325479E-6 | 2.9325479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.5703204E-5 | 3.5703204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.5697655E-4 | 3.5697655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.087159E-7 | 5.087159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 2.1802093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.654373E-5 | 2.654373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.654061E-4 | 2.654061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 9.931968E-5 | 2.5258017 | 6.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.3850173E-4 | 1.415327 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0021298015 | 1.0389451 | 8.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.020482067 | 1.0072263 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 3.9322043E-5 | 9.931968E-5 | 2.5258017 | 6.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.6851352E-4 | 2.3850173E-4 | 1.415327 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0020499656 | 0.0021298015 | 1.0389451 | 8.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020335117 | 0.020482067 | 1.0072263 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 5.0540028E-5 | 2.460489 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.2802538E-4 | 1.4543562 | 4.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011112791 | 1.037297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010760206 | 1.0083439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.0540641E-5 | 5.0540028E-5 | 2.460489 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 8.80289E-5 | 1.2802538E-4 | 1.4543562 | 4.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.001071322 | 0.0011112791 | 1.037297 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010671166 | 0.010760206 | 1.0083439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9085184E-5 | 4.908461E-5 | 2.5718699 | 3.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.179162E-5 | 1.2178835E-4 | 1.4890076 | 4.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 9.954537E-4 | 0.0010354139 | 1.0401427 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.00991938 | 0.010008487 | 1.0089831 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6426162E-5 | 3.6425834E-5 | 2.2175498 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.039644E-5 | 1.00394325E-4 | 1.4261279 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.568286E-4 | 8.8680285E-4 | 1.0349828 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008543997 | 0.008623313 | 1.0092833 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3389003E-5 | 2.3388868E-5 | 1.7468716 | 1.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.738065E-5 | 7.73795E-5 | 1.3485296 | 2.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 6.9846975E-4 | 7.184558E-4 | 1.028614 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.006971013 | 0.007040525 | 1.0099716 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1251043E-5 | 2.1250931E-5 | 1.8887964 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.8218335E-5 | 6.821737E-5 | 1.41476 | 2.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 5.869828E-4 | 6.0697104E-4 | 1.0340525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.0058624335 | 0.005932023 | 1.0118704 | 7.0E-5 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.7435307E-5 | 9.743301E-5 | 1.6963958 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613042E-4 | 3.0611566E-4 | 1.2437131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929334 | 0.003082664 | 1.0299808 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.02959054 | 0.029726397 | 1.0045912 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.7435307E-5 | 9.743301E-5 | 1.6963958 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.4613042E-4 | 3.0611566E-4 | 1.2437131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0029929334 | 0.003082664 | 1.0299808 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023254504 | 0.02959054 | 0.029726397 | 1.0045912 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093197E-5 | 5.0092596E-5 | 1.664582 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896463E-4 | 1.5896076E-4 | 1.2325919 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690417 | 0.0016189633 | 1.0318166 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625317 | 0.015704066 | 1.0050399 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0093197E-5 | 5.0092596E-5 | 1.664582 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.2896463E-4 | 1.5896076E-4 | 1.2325919 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0015690417 | 0.0016189633 | 1.0318166 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01382215 | 0.015625317 | 0.015704066 | 1.0050399 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801064E-5 | 4.801008E-5 | 1.7139944 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004022E-4 | 1.5003662E-4 | 1.2498863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605348 | 0.0015104617 | 1.034184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570129 | 0.014648964 | 1.0054107 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.801064E-5 | 4.801008E-5 | 1.7139944 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2004022E-4 | 1.5003662E-4 | 1.2498863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0014605348 | 0.0015104617 | 1.034184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013121112 | 0.014570129 | 0.014648964 | 1.0054107 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.3987925E-5 | 4.3987446E-5 | 1.8337328 | 2.0E-5 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.02801445E-4 | 1.3279836E-4 | 1.2917947 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0012509085 | 0.001300846 | 1.0399209 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011653901 | 0.012486035 | 0.012565036 | 1.0063272 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.3671726E-5 | 4.3671254E-5 | 1.8448697 | 2.0E-5 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.0144642E-4 | 1.3144338E-4 | 1.2956926 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0012344299 | 0.0012843682 | 1.0404545 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011538187 | 0.0123236915 | 0.012402706 | 1.0064116 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.0048989E-5 | 4.0048588E-5 | 1.9975365 | 2.0E-5 | 8.369167E-5 | 8.59215E-5 | 1.1591892E-4 | 1.3491259 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0010456084 | 0.0010955562 | 1.0477691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010138147 | 0.01044687 | 0.010526034 | 1.0075778 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.19418555E-5 | 2.1941736E-5 | 1.8373808 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 5.1178402E-5 | 7.1177376E-5 | 1.3907698 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9470983E-4 | 6.229231E-4 | 6.628982E-4 | 1.0641733 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0062478483 | 0.006317411 | 1.0111339 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 9.9885465E-6 | 1.9988447E-5 | 2.0011365 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 4.2807376E-5 | 6.280652E-5 | 1.4671892 | 2.0E-5 | 6.134799E-4 | 5.2105874E-4 | 5.610379E-4 | 1.0767268 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0061178906 | 0.005234135 | 0.0053037684 | 1.0133038 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 7.9165575E-6 | 1.7916478E-5 | 2.2631652 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 3.3927674E-5 | 5.3926997E-5 | 1.5894693 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2502943E-4 | 4.1299337E-4 | 4.5297685E-4 | 1.0968138 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005237907 | 0.0041572894 | 0.0042269984 | 1.0167679 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 7.541292E-6 | 1.7541217E-5 | 2.3260226 | 1.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 3.2319436E-5 | 5.231879E-5 | 1.6188027 | 2.0E-5 | 5.095951E-4 | 3.934203E-4 | 4.3340455E-4 | 1.1016325 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050842804 | 0.00396207 | 0.0040317927 | 1.0175976 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 7.065444E-6 | 1.7065373E-5 | 2.4153292 | 1.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 3.0280136E-5 | 5.027953E-5 | 1.660479 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8746695E-4 | 3.686005E-4 | 4.0858577E-4 | 1.1084785 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0037140772 | 0.0037838172 | 1.0187773 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 6.6971165E-6 | 1.669705E-5 | 2.49317 | 1.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 2.8701625E-5 | 4.870105E-5 | 1.6968046 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7072413E-4 | 3.4938837E-4 | 3.8937439E-4 | 1.1144458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004697283 | 0.0035216487 | 0.0035914022 | 1.0198071 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 4.782604E-6 | 1.4782556E-5 | 3.0909011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 2.0496715E-5 | 4.0496307E-5 | 1.9757462 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6942272E-4 | 2.495194E-4 | 2.8950942E-4 | 1.1602682 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003688092 | 0.0025208627 | 0.0025906863 | 1.0276983 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 3.8543644E-6 | 1.38543255E-5 | 3.5944517 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 1.65186E-5 | 3.651827E-5 | 2.2107363 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1909486E-4 | 2.0109554E-4 | 2.410875E-4 | 1.1988704 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0020363154 | 0.0021061727 | 1.0343058 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 2.830915E-6 | 1.2830887E-5 | 4.532417 | 1.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 1.2132437E-5 | 3.2132193E-5 | 2.6484535 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 1.4770246E-4 | 1.8769655E-4 | 1.2707747 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0015017535 | 0.0015716483 | 1.0465422 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 2.2981253E-6 | 1.2298103E-5 | 5.3513627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 9.849072E-6 | 2.9848874E-5 | 3.0306282 | 2.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 1.19905875E-4 | 1.5990107E-4 | 1.333555 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0012221687 | 0.0012920831 | 1.0572052 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 1.9568251E-6 | 1.1956806E-5 | 6.1103086 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 8.386367E-6 | 1.8386283E-5 | 2.1924014 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.0209926E-4 | 1.2209722E-4 | 1.1958678 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0010410616 | 0.00108102 | 1.0383823 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.0205364E-6 | 1.10205265E-5 | 10.7987585 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 4.37372E-6 | 1.4373676E-5 | 3.2863731 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 5.3248754E-5 | 6.324822E-5 | 1.1877878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 5.4234767E-4 | 5.523423E-4 | 1.0184283 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.981415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 8.4917764E-7 | 8.4917764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0338696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.05010295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.329297E-6 | 5.532903E-5 | 10.3820505 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.2839647E-5 | 9.283805E-5 | 4.064776 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.7803806E-4 | 3.6801305E-4 | 1.3236067 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002702944 | 0.0027769865 | 0.0029165975 | 1.0502744 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.9009222E-6 | 5.4900676E-5 | 11.202112 | 5.0E-5 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1003787E-5 | 8.100252E-5 | 3.8565679 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5569185E-4 | 3.2567396E-4 | 1.273697 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024854892 | 0.0025540516 | 0.0026737452 | 1.0468642 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.8845695E-6 | 5.4884324E-5 | 11.236267 | 5.0E-5 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.0933705E-5 | 8.093245E-5 | 3.8661313 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.548388E-4 | 3.2482095E-4 | 1.2746135 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002477193 | 0.0025455407 | 0.0026652352 | 1.0470213 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.906847E-6 | 3.390673E-5 | 8.678797 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.6743523E-5 | 5.6742854E-5 | 3.3889437 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0383354E-4 | 2.5382335E-4 | 1.2452482 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001980861 | 0.0020364893 | 0.002126306 | 1.0441037 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.770435E-6 | 3.377032E-5 | 8.956612 | 3.0E-5 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6158909E-5 | 4.6158424E-5 | 2.8565311 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9671717E-4 | 2.367093E-4 | 1.2032976 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019116632 | 0.0019654534 | 0.0020452961 | 1.0406231 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.3317529E-6 | 3.3331653E-5 | 10.004239 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.4278863E-5 | 4.4278433E-5 | 3.1009777 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.7383139E-4 | 2.1382445E-4 | 1.2300681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016888938 | 0.0017369651 | 0.0018168262 | 1.0459774 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.181827E-6 | 3.3181732E-5 | 10.428515 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.363633E-5 | 4.3635922E-5 | 3.1999755 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6600978E-4 | 2.0600314E-4 | 1.2409097 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001612894 | 0.0016588684 | 0.0017387357 | 1.0481457 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.626107E-6 | 3.2626027E-5 | 12.423724 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.1254696E-5 | 4.125436E-5 | 3.665524 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3701734E-4 | 1.7701187E-4 | 1.2918938 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013350984 | 0.0013693332 | 0.0014492236 | 1.0583426 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.193178E-6 | 2.2193135E-5 | 10.119166 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.3993E-6 | 2.9399112E-5 | 3.1277978 | 2.0E-5 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.144305E-4 | 1.4442707E-4 | 1.2621379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011175112 | 0.0011437184 | 0.0012136383 | 1.0611339 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7622224E-6 | 1.7622224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.55236E-6 | 7.55236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.194612E-5 | 9.194612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.990063E-4 | 9.1908313E-4 | 9.390648E-4 | 1.0217408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.746923E-7 | 9.746923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.177246E-6 | 4.177246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.0856794E-5 | 5.0856794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9774844E-4 | 5.084528E-4 | 5.184477E-4 | 1.0196575 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 2.700573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.1573879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4091108E-5 | 1.4091108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4205484E-4 | 1.4090221E-4 | 1.4090221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 4.193805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.797345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 2.1882654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348947E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 2.188246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 6.1097116E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 2.6184477E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 3.1879598E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781706E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 3.1879594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 4.8657097E-5 | 5.6202617 | 4.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 8.7101005E-5 | 2.347555 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.216125E-4 | 1.1549193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.0046487567 | 1.0263741 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 4.8657097E-5 | 5.6202617 | 4.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 8.7101005E-5 | 2.347555 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.216125E-4 | 1.1549193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.0046487567 | 1.0263741 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 4.8657097E-5 | 5.6202617 | 4.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 8.7101005E-5 | 2.347555 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.216125E-4 | 1.1549193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.0046487567 | 1.0263741 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 8.657444E-6 | 4.8657097E-5 | 5.6202617 | 4.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.7102862E-5 | 8.7101005E-5 | 2.347555 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 4.5164413E-4 | 5.216125E-4 | 1.1549193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0045293 | 0.0046487567 | 1.0263741 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.9461473E-6 | 4.494595E-5 | 9.087062 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197608E-5 | 7.119655E-5 | 3.3587067 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.5805127E-4 | 3.1803577E-4 | 1.2324519 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.002598662 | 0.002708376 | 1.0422195 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 4.9461473E-6 | 4.494595E-5 | 9.087062 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.1197608E-5 | 7.119655E-5 | 3.3587067 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 2.5805127E-4 | 3.1803577E-4 | 1.2324519 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.002598662 | 0.002708376 | 1.0422195 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 4.6309597E-6 | 4.4630775E-5 | 9.637478 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 1.9846824E-5 | 6.984583E-5 | 3.5192447 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 2.4160917E-4 | 3.0159467E-4 | 1.2482749 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.002434606 | 0.0025443381 | 1.0450718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 3.9298134E-6 | 4.3929656E-5 | 11.178561 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 1.684195E-5 | 6.684111E-5 | 3.9687276 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.0503171E-4 | 2.6501942E-4 | 1.2925776 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.002069514 | 0.0021792862 | 1.0530425 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 3.852741E-6 | 4.3852586E-5 | 11.382179 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 1.6511643E-5 | 6.651082E-5 | 4.028116 | 5.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.0101099E-4 | 2.6099893E-4 | 1.2984312 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0020293803 | 0.002139157 | 1.0540937 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 3.561834E-6 | 4.3561693E-5 | 12.230129 | 4.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 1.5264915E-5 | 6.5264154E-5 | 4.275435 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 1.8583471E-4 | 2.4582355E-4 | 1.3228076 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0018778809 | 0.0019876743 | 1.0584667 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 3.2633777E-6 | 4.3263248E-5 | 13.257199 | 4.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.398583E-5 | 6.398513E-5 | 4.574997 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 1.7026438E-4 | 2.3025415E-4 | 1.3523332 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0017224272 | 0.0018322378 | 1.0637534 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 2.9716375E-6 | 4.297152E-5 | 14.460551 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.2735529E-5 | 6.273489E-5 | 4.925975 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 1.5504421E-4 | 2.150349E-4 | 1.3869264 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0015704568 | 0.001680284 | 1.0699333 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 2.6028322E-6 | 4.260273E-5 | 16.367836 | 4.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.1154948E-5 | 6.115439E-5 | 5.482266 | 5.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.3580317E-4 | 1.9579503E-4 | 1.4417559 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0013783133 | 0.0014881616 | 1.0796977 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 2.2076688E-6 | 4.220758E-5 | 19.11862 | 4.0E-5 | 8.815376E-6 | 9.461404E-6 | 5.946093E-5 | 6.284578 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.1518664E-4 | 1.7517972E-4 | 1.5208337 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0011724056 | 0.0012722884 | 1.0851947 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 1.846921E-6 | 4.1846848E-5 | 22.657627 | 4.0E-5 | 7.738263E-6 | 7.915352E-6 | 5.7914956E-5 | 7.316788 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4209274E-5 | 9.636527E-5 | 1.5635949E-4 | 1.622571 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4169343E-4 | 9.843938E-4 | 0.0010743052 | 1.0913368 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 1.4677237E-6 | 4.1467665E-5 | 28.253046 | 4.0E-5 | 6.292889E-6 | 6.2902295E-6 | 5.6289915E-5 | 8.948786 | 5.0E-5 | 7.661323E-5 | 7.658092E-5 | 1.3657633E-4 | 1.7834249 | 6.0E-5 | 7.658682E-4 | 7.866897E-4 | 8.6662674E-4 | 1.101612 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 9.572494E-7 | 3.095722E-5 | 32.339767 | 3.0E-5 | 4.201745E-6 | 4.102491E-6 | 4.4102326E-5 | 10.7501335 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1155046E-5 | 4.994671E-5 | 9.994421E-5 | 2.0010169 | 5.0E-5 | 5.114327E-4 | 5.2046444E-4 | 5.90428E-4 | 1.1344253 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 7.00395E-7 | 1.0700388E-5 | 15.277647 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1471714E-6 | 3.0016895E-6 | 2.300163E-5 | 7.6628942 | 2.0E-5 | 3.831614E-5 | 3.654496E-5 | 6.6543864E-5 | 1.8208766 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8309532E-4 | 3.8639567E-4 | 4.3637634E-4 | 1.129351 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 6.3080296E-7 | 6.3080296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 2.7034384E-6 | 2.7034384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 3.291387E-5 | 4.2913543E-5 | 1.3038132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3567028E-4 | 3.4955938E-4 | 3.695524E-4 | 1.0571948 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 3.0532004E-7 | 3.0532004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 1.3085138E-6 | 1.3085138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 1.593104E-5 | 1.593104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 1.6961453E-4 | 1.6961453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 1.5745293E-8 | 1.5745293E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 6.7479824E-8 | 6.7479824E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 8.215666E-7 | 8.215666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 9.162646E-6 | 9.162646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.527424E-9 | 1.527424E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 6.5461028E-9 | 6.5461028E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 7.969879E-8 | 7.969879E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 1.01284E-6 | 1.01284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.3800596E-10 | 3.3800596E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.4485967E-9 | 1.4485967E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.7636662E-8 | 1.7636662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.3896067E-7 | 2.3896067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 4.382787E-5 | 11.449216 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.697073E-4 | 1.3504184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 4.382787E-5 | 11.449216 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.697073E-4 | 1.3504184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 4.382787E-5 | 11.449216 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.697073E-4 | 1.3504184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 4.382787E-5 | 11.449216 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.697073E-4 | 1.3504184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 3.8280236E-6 | 4.382787E-5 | 11.449216 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 1.6405713E-5 | 6.640489E-5 | 4.047669 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.9972128E-4 | 2.697073E-4 | 1.3504184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0020582096 | 0.0021779626 | 1.0581831 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7886043E-6 | 4.3788452E-5 | 11.557938 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236774E-5 | 6.623596E-5 | 4.079379 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766483E-4 | 2.67651E-4 | 1.3540648 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.002037683 | 0.0021574385 | 1.0587704 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 3.7886043E-6 | 4.3788452E-5 | 11.557938 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 1.6236774E-5 | 6.623596E-5 | 4.079379 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.9766483E-4 | 2.67651E-4 | 1.3540648 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.002037683 | 0.0021574385 | 1.0587704 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 3.7086459E-6 | 4.3708496E-5 | 11.785568 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 1.58941E-5 | 6.5893306E-5 | 4.1457715 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 1.9349351E-4 | 2.6347997E-4 | 1.3616992 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.001996045 | 0.0021158054 | 1.0599989 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 3.703341E-6 | 4.3703192E-5 | 11.801018 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 1.5871365E-5 | 6.587057E-5 | 4.1502776 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 1.9321677E-4 | 2.6320323E-4 | 1.3622174 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0019932825 | 0.0021130433 | 1.0600822 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 3.6953252E-6 | 4.3695178E-5 | 11.824448 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 1.5837011E-5 | 6.583622E-5 | 4.157111 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 1.9279859E-4 | 2.627851E-4 | 1.3630033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0019891083 | 0.0021088696 | 1.0602086 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 3.6861404E-6 | 4.3685992E-5 | 11.8514185 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 1.5797648E-5 | 6.5796856E-5 | 4.164978 | 5.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 1.9231942E-4 | 2.6230596E-4 | 1.3639078 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0019843252 | 0.0021040873 | 1.060354 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 3.6755666E-6 | 4.367542E-5 | 11.882636 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 1.5752334E-5 | 6.575155E-5 | 4.1740828 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 1.917678E-4 | 2.6175438E-4 | 1.3649548 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0019788197 | 0.0020985822 | 1.0605222 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 3.6589415E-6 | 4.3658794E-5 | 11.932083 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 1.5681084E-5 | 6.56803E-5 | 4.188505 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 1.909005E-4 | 2.6088714E-4 | 1.3666131 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0019701647 | 0.0020899284 | 1.0607886 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 3.642298E-6 | 4.364215E-5 | 11.982038 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 1.5609756E-5 | 6.5608976E-5 | 4.2030754 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 1.9003222E-4 | 2.6001892E-4 | 1.3682886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0019615027 | 0.0020812673 | 1.0610576 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 3.6263448E-6 | 4.3626198E-5 | 12.030351 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 1.5541385E-5 | 6.554061E-5 | 4.2171664 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 1.8919996E-4 | 2.5918672E-4 | 1.3699089 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0019532074 | 0.002072973 | 1.0613174 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 3.6057957E-6 | 4.360565E-5 | 12.093212 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 1.5453319E-5 | 6.545254E-5 | 4.2355013 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 1.8812793E-4 | 2.5811477E-4 | 1.3720173 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0019425019 | 0.0020622688 | 1.061656 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 3.5697344E-6 | 4.356959E-5 | 12.205276 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 1.5298772E-5 | 6.529801E-5 | 4.268186 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 1.8624666E-4 | 2.5623362E-4 | 1.3757757 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0019236988 | 0.002043468 | 1.0622598 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 3.3945405E-6 | 4.3394404E-5 | 12.783587 | 4.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 1.4547949E-5 | 6.4547225E-5 | 4.4368606 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 1.7710691E-4 | 2.4709452E-4 | 1.3951715 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0018320046 | 0.0019517848 | 1.065382 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 3.0475096E-6 | 4.304739E-5 | 14.125431 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 1.30606895E-5 | 6.306003E-5 | 4.828232 | 5.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 1.5900232E-4 | 2.2899118E-4 | 1.4401752 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0016497811 | 0.0017695831 | 1.0726169 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 1.966772E-6 | 4.1966694E-5 | 21.337852 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 8.428996E-6 | 5.8428574E-5 | 6.9318547 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 1.0261821E-4 | 1.7261102E-4 | 1.6820701 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0010754566 | 0.0011553705 | 1.074307 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 1.1351125E-6 | 1.1135101E-5 | 9.8096895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 4.8647585E-6 | 1.486471E-5 | 3.0555904 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 5.9226833E-5 | 7.922565E-5 | 1.3376647 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 6.2617677E-4 | 6.5615796E-4 | 1.0478798 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 5.24906E-7 | 5.24906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 2.2495951E-6 | 2.2495951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 2.7388483E-5 | 2.7388483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 2.9140408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 4.7897217E-8 | 4.7897217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 2.0527378E-7 | 2.0527378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 2.4992053E-6 | 2.4992053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 2.9453728E-5 | 2.9453728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 7.63923E-9 | 7.63923E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 3.2739553E-8 | 3.2739553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 3.98604E-7 | 3.98604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 4.971855E-6 | 4.971855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 6.175292E-5 | 1.9447366 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.8607426E-4 | 1.367378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017354208 | 1.0482422 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016555691 | 1.0071803 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 6.175292E-5 | 1.9447366 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.8607426E-4 | 1.367378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017354208 | 1.0482422 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016555691 | 1.0071803 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.1753872E-5 | 6.175292E-5 | 1.9447366 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.3608107E-4 | 1.8607426E-4 | 1.367378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0016555532 | 0.0017354208 | 1.0482422 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015640736 | 0.016437663 | 0.016555691 | 1.0071803 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932227E-5 | 4.9931627E-5 | 1.6681561 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.282748E-4 | 1.6826966E-4 | 1.3117906 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606506 | 0.0016305414 | 1.0447831 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.0155024715 | 0.015600922 | 1.0063506 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 2.9932227E-5 | 4.9931627E-5 | 1.6681561 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.282748E-4 | 1.6826966E-4 | 1.3117906 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001489857 | 0.0015606506 | 0.0016305414 | 1.0447831 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01479908 | 0.0155024715 | 0.015600922 | 1.0063506 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 2.8705115E-5 | 4.870454E-5 | 1.6967199 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.2301626E-4 | 1.6301134E-4 | 1.3251203 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0014967172 | 0.0015666125 | 1.046699 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014230782 | 0.01487184 | 0.014950651 | 1.0052993 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.71856E-5 | 4.7185058E-5 | 1.7356635 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.1650464E-4 | 1.5649998E-4 | 1.3432939 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0014175435 | 0.0014774585 | 1.0422667 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013544982 | 0.014090409 | 0.014159422 | 1.004898 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.534492E-5 | 4.534441E-5 | 1.7890928 | 2.0E-5 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.0861668E-4 | 1.4861234E-4 | 1.3682276 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001321627 | 0.001371561 | 1.0377822 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012701893 | 0.013142865 | 0.013202077 | 1.0045052 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.30637E-5 | 4.306324E-5 | 1.8671435 | 2.0E-5 | 9.532935E-5 | 9.8840785E-5 | 1.1883881E-4 | 1.2023256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0012027405 | 0.0012327044 | 1.0249131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011539802 | 0.011967143 | 0.012006665 | 1.0033025 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.0648225E-5 | 3.0648018E-5 | 1.4842931 | 1.0E-5 | 8.529431E-5 | 8.848948E-5 | 9.84886E-5 | 1.1129978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0010768424 | 0.0010868317 | 1.0092764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010331288 | 0.010720725 | 0.01074051 | 1.0018456 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 1.9043156E-5 | 2.9042967E-5 | 1.525113 | 1.0E-5 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.161106E-5 | 9.161024E-5 | 1.1225224 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5722964E-4 | 9.931766E-4 | 0.0010031667 | 1.0100588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009531168 | 0.009891747 | 0.009901647 | 1.001001 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.8299625E-5 | 2.8299442E-5 | 1.5464493 | 1.0E-5 | 7.571623E-5 | 7.842469E-5 | 8.8423905E-5 | 1.1275009 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2145515E-4 | 9.5441705E-4 | 9.644075E-4 | 1.0104676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009176437 | 0.0095074875 | 0.009517392 | 1.0010418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.679172E-5 | 2.6791553E-5 | 1.5955216 | 1.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.196261E-5 | 8.1961894E-5 | 1.1389511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544101E-4 | 8.7580713E-4 | 8.8579836E-4 | 1.0114081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008511325 | 0.008727556 | 0.008737469 | 1.0011358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.48109775E-5 | 2.4810828E-5 | 1.6751649 | 1.0E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.347415E-5 | 7.3473515E-5 | 1.1575345 | 1.0E-5 | 7.57377E-4 | 7.7253743E-4 | 7.825297E-4 | 1.0129343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075480095 | 0.007700983 | 0.007710906 | 1.0012885 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.3076816E-5 | 2.3076685E-5 | 1.7647021 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 5.604237E-5 | 6.604181E-5 | 1.1784264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7039346E-4 | 6.8211555E-4 | 6.9210876E-4 | 1.0146502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0068025216 | 0.0068124537 | 1.0014601 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.182451E-5 | 2.1824391E-5 | 1.8456911 | 1.0E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.067556E-5 | 6.067505E-5 | 1.1973238 | 1.0E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.168135E-4 | 6.2680733E-4 | 1.0162023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006054099 | 0.0061532627 | 0.0061632013 | 1.0016152 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 2.9939413E-6 | 1.2993912E-5 | 4.340069 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.2831148E-5 | 2.2831018E-5 | 1.7793435 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.562139E-4 | 1.6621234E-4 | 1.0640048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0015619185 | 0.001571903 | 1.0063924 | 1.0E-5 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 1.0264575E-4 | 3.1440103 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 2.1990218E-4 | 1.5717024 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0018120595 | 1.0645105 | 1.1E-4 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017023467 | 1.0069783 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.264803E-5 | 1.0264575E-4 | 3.1440103 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.3991338E-4 | 2.1990218E-4 | 1.5717024 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017022468 | 0.0018120595 | 1.0645105 | 1.1E-4 | 0.015895851 | 0.016905496 | 0.017023467 | 1.0069783 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 4.2388543E-5 | 3.4214897 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 9.3092196E-5 | 1.7533363 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.962087E-4 | 1.0773206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0065041757 | 1.0092502 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2388914E-5 | 4.2388543E-5 | 3.4214897 | 3.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3094318E-5 | 9.3092196E-5 | 1.7533363 | 4.0E-5 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.4624095E-4 | 6.962087E-4 | 1.0773206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006090366 | 0.006444562 | 0.0065041757 | 1.0092502 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.377521E-6 | 3.837727E-5 | 4.5809817 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.590319E-5 | 7.590176E-5 | 2.114067 | 4.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.3703758E-4 | 4.8701576E-4 | 1.1143566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004362176 | 0.004411958 | 1.0114121 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 3.621087E-5 | 5.8300676 | 3.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 6.661748E-5 | 2.5026715 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.740189E-4 | 1.1542543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032857116 | 1.0154017 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2110544E-6 | 3.621087E-5 | 5.8300676 | 3.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6618547E-5 | 6.661748E-5 | 2.5026715 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.240351E-4 | 3.740189E-4 | 1.1542543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032358733 | 0.0032857116 | 1.0154017 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2424093E-6 | 1.3242377E-5 | 4.0841165 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.3895972E-5 | 2.3895833E-5 | 1.719623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.6917146E-4 | 1.7916977E-4 | 1.0591016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0016905386 | 0.0017005217 | 1.0059053 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.3996254E-6 | 1.23996015E-5 | 5.167307 | 1.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0284074E-5 | 2.0283971E-5 | 1.9723673 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2520229E-4 | 1.3520104E-4 | 1.0798607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012514056 | 0.0012613931 | 1.0079811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.052287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 4.5097963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 5.490589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 5.4897263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 5.01274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 2.148317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 2.615576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 2.6155758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 5.9130154E-5 | 3.0908163 | 4.0E-5 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.4198234E-4 | 1.731761 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014806816 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010876802 | 1.0901111 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014708545 | 0.009936156 | 0.010035163 | 1.0099642 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 5.9130154E-5 | 3.0908163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.4198234E-4 | 1.731761 | 6.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010876802 | 1.0901111 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.010035163 | 1.0099642 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.913092E-5 | 5.9130154E-5 | 3.0908163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.198726E-5 | 1.4198234E-4 | 1.731761 | 6.0E-5 | 9.281647E-4 | 9.9777E-4 | 0.0010876802 | 1.0901111 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.009936156 | 0.010035163 | 1.0099642 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4493955E-5 | 2.4493811E-5 | 1.6899328 | 1.0E-5 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.2115585E-5 | 8.211434E-5 | 1.3219603 | 2.0E-5 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.5601495E-4 | 7.959847E-4 | 1.052869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007027647 | 0.0075364397 | 0.007586063 | 1.0065844 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.1624836E-5 | 2.1624719E-5 | 1.8602172 | 1.0E-5 | 4.658551E-5 | 4.9819857E-5 | 6.981886E-5 | 1.4014263 | 2.0E-5 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.06403E-4 | 6.463787E-4 | 1.0659227 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005655863 | 0.0060489774 | 0.0060986746 | 1.0082159 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.467228E-6 | 1.8467144E-5 | 2.181014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.6287667E-5 | 5.628694E-5 | 1.5511315 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.4172167E-4 | 4.81704E-4 | 1.0905148 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004409315 | 0.0044590947 | 1.0112896 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.0126407E-6 | 1.7012571E-5 | 2.4259863 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.0053872E-5 | 5.005327E-5 | 1.6654516 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.6585206E-4 | 4.058374E-4 | 1.1092938 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0036532457 | 0.0037030631 | 1.0136365 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.01131E-6 | 1.501126E-5 | 2.9954762 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.1476886E-5 | 4.1476454E-5 | 1.9312137 | 2.0E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.614533E-4 | 2.9144547E-4 | 1.1147132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002611812 | 0.0026517075 | 1.015275 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.591421E-6 | 1.45913755E-5 | 3.177965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 1.967739E-5 | 2.9677194E-5 | 1.5081875 | 1.0E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.3954941E-4 | 2.595446E-4 | 1.0834701 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0023932576 | 0.0024231859 | 1.0125052 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 2.8869626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 1.2372644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.506276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001423255 | 0.001505361 | 0.001515346 | 1.0066329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 2.016014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 8.640034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0518797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0010514441 | 0.0010514441 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.5862104E-6 | 1.5862104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 6.7980295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 8.276341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 8.273789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.1333002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 4.8569946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 5.9132795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 5.912187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 9.382915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 4.021246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 4.895805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 4.895196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 8.158793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 3.4966233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 4.2571035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 4.2567565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 6.055366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 2.595157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 3.159604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 3.1596038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 4.1615924E-5 | 1.9252052 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.3263526E-4 | 1.4317437 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011873572 | 1.0531586 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011338544 | 1.0096854 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.1616357E-5 | 4.1615924E-5 | 1.9252052 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.263897E-5 | 1.3263526E-4 | 1.4317437 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011274249 | 0.0011873572 | 1.0531586 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01018633 | 0.01122978 | 0.011338544 | 1.0096854 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1011339E-5 | 3.1011117E-5 | 2.8162897 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.7190875E-5 | 8.7188986E-5 | 1.8475815 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.744473E-4 | 6.2441855E-4 | 1.0869902 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0057345103 | 0.005804109 | 1.0121368 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 3.056343E-5 | 2.8932664 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 8.527043E-5 | 1.8835036 | 4.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 6.010723E-4 | 1.0906776 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055718184 | 1.0126522 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0563642E-5 | 3.056343E-5 | 2.8932664 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.5272245E-5 | 8.527043E-5 | 1.8835036 | 4.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.5109983E-4 | 6.010723E-4 | 1.0906776 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005502204 | 0.0055718184 | 1.0126522 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.1438154E-6 | 1.6143755E-5 | 2.627643 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6330516E-5 | 4.632999E-5 | 1.759555 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2055256E-4 | 3.4054613E-4 | 1.0623722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032034202 | 0.003243292 | 1.0124466 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 5.3888093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3094834E-5 | 3.3094602E-5 | 1.4329873 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8116835E-4 | 2.9116555E-4 | 1.0355558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.00281058 | 0.0028404957 | 1.010644 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 4.4136473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.891563E-5 | 2.8915441E-5 | 1.5286533 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.302978E-4 | 2.402955E-4 | 1.0434121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002302978 | 0.002332909 | 1.0129966 | 3.0E-5 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1292549E-5 | 6.129198E-5 | 5.427648 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8395832E-5 | 9.839341E-5 | 2.0330968 | 5.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.8907573E-4 | 6.690286E-4 | 1.135726 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.005876706 | 0.0059860596 | 1.018608 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.04591E-6 | 3.70457E-5 | 5.2577596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0196414E-5 | 6.0195507E-5 | 1.9934655 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.6758036E-4 | 4.17562E-4 | 1.1359746 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.003669833 | 0.003739576 | 1.0190045 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.572647E-6 | 3.6572448E-5 | 5.564341 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8168188E-5 | 5.816734E-5 | 2.0650012 | 3.0E-5 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.428945E-4 | 3.9287735E-4 | 1.1457675 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.003423736 | 0.0034934964 | 1.0203755 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7235598E-6 | 3.5723388E-5 | 6.241463 | 3.0E-5 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4529314E-5 | 5.4528577E-5 | 2.2229965 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2791847E-4 | 2.9860402E-4 | 3.485891E-4 | 1.1673958 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0029820842 | 0.0030419054 | 1.0200602 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.5817663E-6 | 3.5581597E-5 | 6.374613 | 3.0E-5 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.3921639E-5 | 5.392092E-5 | 2.2540646 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.9120757E-4 | 3.4119302E-4 | 1.1716489 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003203268 | 0.0029083155 | 0.002968141 | 1.0205705 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.6554846E-6 | 3.4655346E-5 | 7.443982 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 1.9951927E-5 | 4.995133E-5 | 2.5035841 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4288794E-4 | 2.9287577E-4 | 1.2058063 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024262555 | 0.00248611 | 1.0246694 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1174026E-6 | 3.4117278E-5 | 8.286117 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7645894E-5 | 4.7645364E-5 | 2.7000823 | 3.0E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1481783E-4 | 2.6480708E-4 | 1.2327054 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021461276 | 0.0022059989 | 1.0278974 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.1649408E-6 | 3.3164844E-5 | 10.47882 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3563963E-5 | 4.3563556E-5 | 3.211713 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6512885E-4 | 2.1512058E-4 | 1.3027439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001980741 | 0.0016500733 | 0.0017099744 | 1.036302 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.659339E-6 | 3.265926E-5 | 12.280968 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1397119E-5 | 4.1396775E-5 | 3.6322143 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.3875119E-4 | 1.8874425E-4 | 1.3603072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0013866564 | 0.0014465732 | 1.0432096 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0435616E-6 | 3.20435E-5 | 15.680222 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.758093E-6 | 3.875783E-5 | 4.4253736 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0662465E-4 | 1.5661931E-4 | 1.4688847 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010657435 | 0.0011256796 | 1.0562388 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.3964117E-6 | 3.139637E-5 | 22.483604 | 3.0E-5 | 8.020941E-6 | 5.9846084E-6 | 3.5984427E-5 | 6.0128293 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.286023E-5 | 1.1285731E-4 | 1.5489564 | 4.0E-5 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.2836934E-4 | 7.7833293E-4 | 1.0685965 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.412786E-7 | 1.08412705E-5 | 12.886659 | 1.0E-5 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.605475E-6 | 1.3605439E-5 | 3.7735496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.389582E-5 | 5.389538E-5 | 1.2278022 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.3887584E-4 | 4.5886709E-4 | 1.045551 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.6875566E-7 | 1.0268753E-5 | 38.208508 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1518096E-6 | 1.1151798E-5 | 9.681981 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4023204E-5 | 2.4023064E-5 | 1.7130938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.402245E-4 | 1.602217E-4 | 1.1426084 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 7.16978E-5 | 6.128802 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.2013199E-4 | 2.3961463 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.801899E-4 | 1.1146404 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006539432 | 1.016997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 7.16978E-5 | 6.128802 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.2013199E-4 | 2.3961463 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.801899E-4 | 1.1146404 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006539432 | 1.016997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 7.16978E-5 | 6.128802 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.2013199E-4 | 2.3961463 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.801899E-4 | 1.1146404 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006539432 | 1.016997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 7.16978E-5 | 6.128802 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.2013199E-4 | 2.3961463 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.801899E-4 | 1.1146404 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006539432 | 1.016997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.1698502E-5 | 7.16978E-5 | 6.128802 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 5.0135495E-5 | 1.2013199E-4 | 2.3961463 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 6.1023264E-4 | 6.801899E-4 | 1.1146404 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.0064301393 | 0.006539432 | 1.016997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095838E-6 | 6.9095295E-5 | 7.5963635 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898159E-5 | 1.08978864E-4 | 2.7956495 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449904E-4 | 5.4446585E-4 | 1.147454 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043625 | 0.00515307 | 1.0216997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 9.095838E-6 | 6.9095295E-5 | 7.5963635 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 3.898159E-5 | 1.08978864E-4 | 2.7956495 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 4.7449904E-4 | 5.4446585E-4 | 1.147454 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.005043625 | 0.00515307 | 1.0216997 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 8.569127E-6 | 6.856861E-5 | 8.001821 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 3.672432E-5 | 1.0672175E-4 | 2.9060237 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 4.4702823E-4 | 5.1699695E-4 | 1.1565197 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.004763609 | 0.004873085 | 1.0229818 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 8.355383E-6 | 6.835488E-5 | 8.180939 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 3.58083E-5 | 1.058058E-4 | 2.954784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 4.358802E-4 | 5.058497E-4 | 1.1605246 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.004646524 | 0.004756013 | 1.0235636 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 8.266106E-6 | 6.826561E-5 | 8.258497 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 3.5425695E-5 | 1.0542321E-4 | 2.9758968 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 4.3122383E-4 | 5.0119363E-4 | 1.1622587 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.0045970175 | 0.0047065117 | 1.0238186 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 7.3422243E-6 | 6.734178E-5 | 9.17185 | 6.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 3.14663E-5 | 1.014641E-4 | 3.2245321 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 3.8303586E-4 | 4.5300907E-4 | 1.1826805 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.004086657 | 0.004196207 | 1.0268068 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 6.5314716E-6 | 6.653108E-5 | 10.186231 | 6.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 2.7991726E-5 | 9.798977E-5 | 3.500669 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 3.4074677E-4 | 4.1072292E-4 | 1.2053611 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0036339732 | 0.0037435736 | 1.03016 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 5.7019333E-6 | 6.570159E-5 | 11.522686 | 6.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 2.4436633E-5 | 9.443492E-5 | 3.864482 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 2.9747598E-4 | 3.6745516E-4 | 1.2352431 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.0031700782 | 0.0032797293 | 1.0345894 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 5.5637415E-6 | 6.556341E-5 | 11.78405 | 6.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 2.3844392E-5 | 9.3842726E-5 | 3.9356308 | 7.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 2.9026737E-4 | 3.6024707E-4 | 1.241087 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0030882559 | 0.0031979163 | 1.0355088 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 5.4781167E-6 | 6.547779E-5 | 11.952609 | 6.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 2.3477434E-5 | 9.347579E-5 | 3.9815164 | 7.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 2.8580087E-4 | 3.5578085E-4 | 1.2448558 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0030394883 | 0.0031491541 | 1.0360802 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 5.0215167E-6 | 6.502122E-5 | 12.948522 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 2.1520611E-5 | 9.1519105E-5 | 4.252626 | 7.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 2.619824E-4 | 3.3196408E-4 | 1.2671235 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.0027879307 | 0.002897624 | 1.0393457 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 4.155523E-6 | 6.4155276E-5 | 15.438556 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 1.7809265E-5 | 8.780802E-5 | 4.9304686 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 2.1680642E-4 | 2.8679124E-4 | 1.3227987 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0023192824 | 0.0024290273 | 1.0473185 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 3.2612174E-6 | 6.3261024E-5 | 19.397978 | 6.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 1.3976572E-5 | 8.3975596E-5 | 6.0083113 | 7.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 1.7015151E-4 | 2.401396E-4 | 1.4113281 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0018439149 | 0.001953712 | 1.0595456 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 2.7898088E-6 | 6.2789644E-5 | 22.50679 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 1.1956269E-5 | 8.195543E-5 | 6.854599 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 1.4555789E-4 | 2.155477E-4 | 1.4808383 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0015900284 | 0.0016998535 | 1.0690712 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 2.2032086E-6 | 5.2203097E-5 | 23.694122 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 9.442289E-6 | 6.9441725E-5 | 7.3543315 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 1.1495383E-4 | 1.7494694E-4 | 1.5218887 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0012756636 | 0.0013655487 | 1.0704615 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 1.7254716E-6 | 1.7254716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3351862E-5 | 7.3948577E-6 | 7.3948577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8427184E-4 | 9.002869E-5 | 9.002869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0010128119 | 0.0010228017 | 1.0098635 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 3.5640946E-7 | 3.5640946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 1.5274682E-6 | 1.5274682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 1.8596767E-5 | 1.8596767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 2.2144077E-4 | 2.2144077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 9.6937725E-8 | 9.6937725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 4.1544732E-7 | 4.1544732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 5.0580597E-6 | 5.0580597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 6.76658E-5 | 6.76658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.8927507E-8 | 3.8927507E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.6683217E-7 | 1.6683217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 2.0311797E-6 | 2.0311797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 2.8103586E-5 | 2.8103586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5457945E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6246655E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.1033442E-4 | 2.1918957 | 6.0E-5 | 8.062545E-4 | 6.126873E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008033356 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062095295 | 1.0162662 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.1745627E-5 | 6.174504E-5 | 5.2568536 | 5.0E-5 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.0337436E-5 | 1.1033442E-4 | 2.1918957 | 6.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.126873E-4 | 7.026321E-4 | 1.1468039 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.00611014 | 0.0062095295 | 1.0162662 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.0627708E-5 | 6.062718E-5 | 5.704633 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.554653E-5 | 1.055438E-4 | 2.317274 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.543888E-4 | 6.3434447E-4 | 1.1442231 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0055301636 | 0.005619666 | 1.0161843 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0473885E-5 | 6.047336E-5 | 5.773728 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.4887307E-5 | 1.0488462E-4 | 2.3366208 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.463668E-4 | 6.2632305E-4 | 1.1463418 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005450337 | 0.0055398466 | 1.0164227 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 9.680159E-6 | 5.9679674E-5 | 6.1651545 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.148574E-5 | 1.0148325E-4 | 2.4462202 | 6.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.049725E-4 | 5.849321E-4 | 1.1583445 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.0050383327 | 0.005127879 | 1.017773 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.321686E-6 | 4.9321312E-5 | 5.2910295 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7177873E-5 | 3.9949475E-5 | 8.9947476E-5 | 2.251531 | 5.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 4.8627696E-4 | 5.562429E-4 | 1.1438808 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.004852207 | 0.0049318187 | 1.0164074 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 8.932177E-6 | 4.893182E-5 | 5.478152 | 4.0E-5 | 4.557647E-5 | 3.82802E-5 | 8.8278284E-5 | 2.3061082 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.659624E-4 | 5.3592975E-4 | 1.1501567 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0046499274 | 0.0047295555 | 1.0171245 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.268147E-6 | 4.8267815E-5 | 5.8378034 | 4.0E-5 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.5434437E-5 | 8.5432664E-5 | 2.4110067 | 5.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.3132948E-4 | 5.012993E-4 | 1.1622189 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0043049892 | 0.004384645 | 1.0185031 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 7.882864E-6 | 4.788255E-5 | 6.0742574 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.378327E-5 | 8.378158E-5 | 2.4799724 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.1123427E-4 | 4.8120547E-4 | 1.1701493 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.004104796 | 0.0041844677 | 1.0194094 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.34374E-6 | 4.7343445E-5 | 6.446776 | 4.0E-5 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.1472795E-5 | 8.147122E-5 | 2.5886238 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 3.8311444E-4 | 4.5308762E-4 | 1.182643 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.003824599 | 0.0039042933 | 1.0208372 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 5.9070117E-6 | 4.5906774E-5 | 7.7715735 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.531552E-5 | 7.531425E-5 | 2.975023 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.08173E-4 | 3.7815142E-4 | 1.2270751 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0030774742 | 0.0031472587 | 1.0226759 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 4.865665E-6 | 4.4865472E-5 | 9.22083 | 4.0E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.0852684E-5 | 7.085164E-5 | 3.397723 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.5385196E-4 | 3.238342E-4 | 1.2756813 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0025356333 | 0.002605456 | 1.0275365 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.745131E-6 | 3.374502E-5 | 9.01037 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6050462E-5 | 5.6049823E-5 | 3.4921 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 1.9539696E-4 | 2.5538524E-4 | 1.3070072 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0019522617 | 0.0020121445 | 1.0306736 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.8022782E-6 | 3.2802192E-5 | 11.705545 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2009709E-5 | 5.200923E-5 | 4.3305984 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.4620846E-4 | 2.061997E-4 | 1.4103129 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0014611302 | 0.0015210425 | 1.0410041 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.0642317E-6 | 3.206417E-5 | 15.533222 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3100675E-5 | 8.846678E-6 | 4.8846323E-5 | 5.5214314 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.0770303E-4 | 1.6769658E-4 | 1.5570273 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0010765141 | 0.0011364495 | 1.0556755 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1033513E-6 | 3.1103318E-5 | 28.189857 | 3.0E-5 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.7286403E-6 | 4.472845E-5 | 9.459051 | 4.0E-5 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.7569712E-5 | 1.17566255E-4 | 2.0421548 | 6.0E-5 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.755515E-4 | 6.3551695E-4 | 1.1041878 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 6.9338444E-7 | 1.0693378E-5 | 15.422005 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7813123E-6 | 2.9716443E-6 | 2.2971584E-5 | 7.730261 | 2.0E-5 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.617919E-5 | 6.61781E-5 | 1.829176 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.6173512E-4 | 3.9172426E-4 | 1.0829036 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 6.597516E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 2.8275065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 3.442484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 3.4424334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 3.8969232E-5 | 4.344637 | 3.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 8.843828E-5 | 2.3006716 | 5.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.478794E-4 | 1.1708906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004769626 | 1.0213128 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 3.8969232E-5 | 4.344637 | 3.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 8.843828E-5 | 2.3006716 | 5.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.478794E-4 | 1.1708906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004769626 | 1.0213128 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 3.8969232E-5 | 4.344637 | 3.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 8.843828E-5 | 2.3006716 | 5.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.478794E-4 | 1.1708906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004769626 | 1.0213128 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.969502E-6 | 3.8969232E-5 | 4.344637 | 3.0E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8440205E-5 | 8.843828E-5 | 2.3006716 | 5.0E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.679168E-4 | 5.478794E-4 | 1.1708906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004670093 | 0.004769626 | 1.0213128 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.3962554E-5 | 3.52359 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 4.6981924E-5 | 2.7665014 | 3.0E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.3673558E-4 | 1.1450785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020954611 | 1.0144942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.962593E-6 | 1.3962554E-5 | 3.52359 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6982432E-5 | 4.6981924E-5 | 2.7665014 | 3.0E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0674178E-4 | 2.3673558E-4 | 1.1450785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020378039 | 0.002065523 | 0.0020954611 | 1.0144942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0995086E-6 | 1.3099478E-5 | 4.226308 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3283541E-5 | 4.3283144E-5 | 3.258404 | 3.0E-5 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6171523E-4 | 1.9171038E-4 | 1.1854813 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016159874 | 0.001645939 | 1.0185345 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6506127E-6 | 1.26505865E-5 | 4.772702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.135972E-5 | 4.135938E-5 | 3.64088 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3829587E-4 | 1.6829172E-4 | 1.2168962 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013821042 | 0.0014120628 | 1.0216761 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 2.5439988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0902807E-5 | 2.0902698E-5 | 1.9171851 | 1.0E-5 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3273365E-4 | 1.4273231E-4 | 1.0753288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013265496 | 0.0013365363 | 1.0075283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.8803554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 8.0586415E-6 | 1.8058561E-5 | 2.240894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.810956E-5 | 1.0810858E-4 | 1.1019169 | 1.0E-5 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.806645E-4 | 9.906547E-4 | 1.0101871 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.5657929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.710524E-6 | 1.6710457E-5 | 2.4901867 | 1.0E-5 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.1697566E-5 | 9.1696755E-5 | 1.1223927 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.1667607E-4 | 8.2666794E-4 | 1.0122348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.3531732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 5.7993007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 7.0604205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 7.058182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0741112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 4.6033256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 5.604405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 5.6029944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 7.901722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 3.3864478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 4.1229225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 4.122159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 5.9936565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 2.5687075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 3.1273565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 3.1269173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 4.1695623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.786954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 2.1755948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 2.1753824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3576204E-7 | 2.3576204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0104084E-6 | 1.0104084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.2301652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.2300973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.409946E-8 | 9.409946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0328334E-7 | 4.0328334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 4.9099635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.9098555E-5 | 4.9098555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.8401413E-8 | 2.8401413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2172033E-7 | 1.2172033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.4819441E-6 | 1.4819441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.4819343E-5 | 1.4819343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.0360131E-8 | 1.0360131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.4400565E-8 | 4.4400565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.405767E-7 | 5.405767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.405754E-6 | 5.405754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 2.447432E-9 | 2.447432E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.0488992E-8 | 1.0488992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.2770347E-7 | 1.2770347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.277034E-6 | 1.277034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6875173E-4 | 2.9066665E-4 | 3.0066373E-4 | 1.0343937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011512847 | 0.0012451395 | 0.0012850898 | 1.032085 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013927074 | 0.015057551 | 0.015126497 | 1.0045788 | 7.0E-5 | 0.13085878 | 0.14451255 | 0.14459811 | 1.000592 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 2.9066665E-4 | 3.0066373E-4 | 1.0343937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.0012451395 | 0.0012850898 | 1.032085 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.015057551 | 0.015126497 | 1.0045788 | 7.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.14451255 | 0.14459811 | 1.000592 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 2.8719925E-4 | 2.9719638E-4 | 1.034809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0012302934 | 0.0012702441 | 1.0324726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.014877876 | 0.014946835 | 1.004635 | 7.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.14254789 | 0.14263365 | 1.0006015 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 2.833219E-4 | 2.9331906E-4 | 1.0352856 | 1.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0012136917 | 0.0012536431 | 1.0329173 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.014678458 | 0.01474743 | 1.0046989 | 7.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.14042659 | 0.14051254 | 1.0006121 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 2.3520741E-4 | 2.4520504E-4 | 1.0425056 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0010076474 | 0.001047607 | 1.0396564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.0122006135 | 0.012269759 | 1.0056674 | 7.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.11934395 | 0.11943202 | 1.0007379 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 2.193181E-4 | 2.293159E-4 | 1.0455859 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 9.3960005E-4 | 9.795624E-4 | 1.0425313 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.011380132 | 0.011449336 | 1.0060811 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.111669965 | 0.1117588 | 1.0007955 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 2.0564982E-4 | 2.1564776E-4 | 1.0486164 | 1.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 8.810617E-4 | 9.2102645E-4 | 1.0453597 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.010675918 | 0.0107451705 | 1.0064868 | 7.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.1046347 | 0.104724236 | 1.0008557 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 1.9156067E-4 | 2.0155875E-4 | 1.0521928 | 1.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 8.2071853E-4 | 8.6068566E-4 | 1.0486978 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.009947345 | 0.010016648 | 1.0069671 | 7.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.0971177 | 0.097207986 | 1.0009297 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 1.8490641E-4 | 1.9490457E-4 | 1.0540714 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 7.922178E-4 | 8.321861E-4 | 1.0504512 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.009603096 | 0.009672424 | 1.0072193 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.092694685 | 0.09278542 | 1.0009788 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 1.8011371E-4 | 1.9011191E-4 | 1.0555105 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 7.7168987E-4 | 8.1165903E-4 | 1.0517943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.009355336 | 0.009424682 | 1.0074123 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.08949606 | 0.089587115 | 1.0010173 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 1.6010979E-4 | 1.7010818E-4 | 1.0624472 | 1.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 6.8600633E-4 | 7.2597887E-4 | 1.0582685 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.00832054 | 0.008389957 | 1.0083429 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.07978554 | 0.07987756 | 1.0011533 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 1.5810215E-4 | 1.6810057E-4 | 1.0632403 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 6.774067E-4 | 7.1737956E-4 | 1.0590087 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.0082166325 | 0.008286058 | 1.0084493 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.078805625 | 0.078897744 | 1.001169 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.4245838E-4 | 1.5245695E-4 | 1.0701859 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 6.1039487E-4 | 6.503705E-4 | 1.0654913 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.007406597 | 0.007476079 | 1.009381 | 7.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.07150153 | 0.07159439 | 1.0012985 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.3189338E-4 | 1.4189206E-4 | 1.0758088 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 5.6513667E-4 | 6.051141E-4 | 1.0707394 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.00685917 | 0.006918758 | 1.0086874 | 6.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.066517115 | 0.066601135 | 1.001263 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 8.146656E-5 | 9.146574E-5 | 1.1227398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 3.490962E-4 | 3.8908224E-4 | 1.1145416 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.00424206 | 0.004291848 | 1.0117368 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.042132325 | 0.042208955 | 1.0018188 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 5.670093E-5 | 6.670036E-5 | 1.1763539 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 2.4298155E-4 | 2.8297183E-4 | 1.1645815 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0029543207 | 0.003004173 | 1.0168743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.029738242 | 0.029815862 | 1.0026101 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 3.9025115E-5 | 4.9024722E-5 | 1.2562352 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 1.6723984E-4 | 2.0723316E-4 | 1.2391374 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0020342562 | 0.0020841546 | 1.024529 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.02073941 | 0.020817751 | 1.0037774 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 2.2754313E-5 | 3.2754084E-5 | 1.4394671 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 9.751485E-5 | 1.2751193E-4 | 1.3076154 | 3.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0011865989 | 0.0012265514 | 1.0336698 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.012373193 | 0.012442327 | 1.0055873 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 1.6436632E-5 | 2.6436468E-5 | 1.6083871 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 7.044081E-5 | 9.0439404E-5 | 1.2839063 | 2.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 8.572802E-4 | 8.772631E-4 | 1.0233096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.009091499 | 0.009141045 | 1.0054497 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 1.0939822E-5 | 1.0939822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 4.6884106E-5 | 4.6884106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 5.7066476E-4 | 5.7066476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.006175652 | 0.0061955284 | 1.0032185 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 8.630375E-6 | 8.630375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 3.6986803E-5 | 3.6986803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 4.5022147E-4 | 4.5022147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.0049129045 | 0.004922855 | 1.0020255 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 2.501479E-6 | 2.501479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 1.0720581E-5 | 1.0720581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 1.3051527E-4 | 1.3051527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.001473521 | 0.001473521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 5.493546E-7 | 5.493546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 2.3543748E-6 | 2.3543748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 2.8664137E-5 | 2.8664137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 3.5481597E-4 | 3.5481597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 2.9670795E-9 | 2.9670795E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 1.2716056E-8 | 1.2716056E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 1.5481798E-7 | 1.5481798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 1.6590303E-6 | 1.6590303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 5.7955E-5 | 3.2276626 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.1694785E-4 | 1.5197718 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.96439E-4 | 1.0640087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009426631 | 1.010621 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 5.7955E-5 | 3.2276626 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.1694785E-4 | 1.5197718 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.96439E-4 | 1.0640087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009426631 | 1.010621 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.795572E-5 | 5.7955E-5 | 3.2276626 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.695093E-5 | 1.1694785E-4 | 1.5197718 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.364952E-4 | 9.96439E-4 | 1.0640087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008984311 | 0.009327564 | 0.009426631 | 1.010621 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 3.1049993E-5 | 2.8099 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 6.735626E-5 | 1.4223021 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.0640695E-4 | 1.052015 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.0058191796 | 1.0121047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1050212E-5 | 3.1049993E-5 | 2.8099 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.735721E-5 | 6.735626E-5 | 1.4223021 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.7642424E-4 | 6.0640695E-4 | 1.052015 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057495823 | 0.0058191796 | 1.0121047 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.100753E-6 | 2.910057E-5 | 3.1976001 | 2.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9002654E-5 | 5.9001875E-5 | 1.5127656 | 2.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.747554E-4 | 5.0474115E-4 | 1.0631604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004737573 | 0.0047972887 | 1.0126047 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.657348E-6 | 2.7657195E-5 | 3.6118503 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.28168E-5 | 5.2816144E-5 | 1.609424 | 2.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 3.9947225E-4 | 4.2946028E-4 | 1.0750691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.003987647 | 0.004017527 | 1.0074933 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.687256E-6 | 1.6687189E-5 | 2.4953718 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8659357E-5 | 3.865907E-5 | 1.3489162 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.4887256E-4 | 3.6886559E-4 | 1.0573075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0034833292 | 0.0035032595 | 1.0057217 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.792973E-6 | 1.5792915E-5 | 2.7262194 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.4826793E-5 | 3.4826546E-5 | 1.4027807 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.022249E-4 | 3.2221884E-4 | 1.0661559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003018199 | 0.0030381388 | 1.0066065 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0029807E-6 | 1.5002931E-5 | 2.9987984 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1441172E-5 | 3.144096E-5 | 1.4663824 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6101546E-4 | 2.7101286E-4 | 1.038302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026071358 | 0.0026171096 | 1.0038257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.817615E-6 | 1.38175765E-5 | 3.6194265 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6361106E-5 | 2.6360942E-5 | 1.6111957 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 1.9917857E-4 | 2.0917656E-4 | 1.0501962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0019900315 | 0.0020000115 | 1.005015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8774707E-6 | 1.2877442E-5 | 4.4752645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.23319605E-5 | 2.2331837E-5 | 1.8108912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5013148E-4 | 1.6012999E-4 | 1.0665983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015003218 | 0.0015103068 | 1.0066552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2382135E-6 | 1.2238191E-5 | 5.467839 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.59231E-6 | 1.9592213E-5 | 2.042492 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1678029E-4 | 1.2677912E-4 | 1.0856209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011672071 | 0.0011771955 | 1.0085574 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.531313E-6 | 1.1531298E-5 | 7.530333 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.5627546E-6 | 1.656269E-5 | 2.5237403 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 7.989876E-5 | 8.989796E-5 | 1.1251484 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 7.987152E-4 | 8.0870726E-4 | 1.0125101 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 4.3782947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.8764109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 2.2845108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 2.2843207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 5.8964336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 2.5270427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 3.076671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 3.076636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4160125E-5 | 2.5073885E-5 | 5.5073135E-5 | 2.196434 | 3.0E-5 | 1.03539285E-4 | 1.0745516E-4 | 1.5744979E-4 | 1.4652604 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012598617 | 0.0013074947 | 0.0013873901 | 1.0611057 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01252743 | 0.012999575 | 0.013098275 | 1.0075926 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 2.1919479E-5 | 5.191882E-5 | 2.3686156 | 3.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 9.39373E-5 | 1.3393354E-4 | 1.4257759 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 0.0011430975 | 0.0012130175 | 1.0611671 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.011373425 | 0.011452515 | 1.006954 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.6707181E-5 | 3.6706846E-5 | 2.19707 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 7.160026E-5 | 1.0159811E-4 | 1.4189628 | 3.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 8.7138783E-4 | 9.11353E-4 | 1.0458637 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.008680111 | 0.008729677 | 1.0057102 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.3942421E-5 | 2.394228E-5 | 1.7172256 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 5.975187E-5 | 7.975067E-5 | 1.3346976 | 2.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 7.272375E-4 | 7.5721566E-4 | 1.041222 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0072487476 | 0.00727853 | 1.0041087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.2435048E-5 | 2.2434924E-5 | 1.8041687 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 5.3291977E-5 | 7.329091E-5 | 1.375271 | 2.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 6.486374E-4 | 6.78618E-4 | 1.0462208 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0064675477 | 0.006497354 | 1.0046085 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 1.1631367E-5 | 2.163125E-5 | 1.8597342 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.9847764E-5 | 6.984677E-5 | 1.4012016 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 6.067282E-4 | 6.3670997E-4 | 1.0494156 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.00605081 | 0.006080629 | 1.004928 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 1.0065567E-5 | 2.0065467E-5 | 1.993476 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 4.3137432E-5 | 6.313657E-5 | 1.4636145 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 5.250721E-4 | 5.450616E-4 | 1.03807 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0052383733 | 0.005258268 | 1.003798 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 9.030379E-6 | 1.9030289E-5 | 2.1073632 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.8701055E-5 | 5.870028E-5 | 1.5167618 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 4.710838E-4 | 4.910744E-4 | 1.0424353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.004700899 | 0.004720805 | 1.0042346 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 7.798887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 3.3423374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 4.0685388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0040611294 | 0.0040611294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 6.618213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 2.8363464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 3.452707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0034473746 | 0.0034473746 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 5.5037535E-6 | 5.5037535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 2.3587303E-5 | 2.3587303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 2.8713778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002867694 | 0.002867694 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 4.4894946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 1.924055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 2.3422873E-4 | 2.3422873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0023398416 | 0.0023398416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 2.7639396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.1845402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.4420824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0014411494 | 0.0014411494 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.9817282E-6 | 1.9817282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 8.493093E-6 | 8.493093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 1.0339851E-4 | 1.0339851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 0.0010335054 | 0.0010335054 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.6035897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.8725094E-6 | 6.8725094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 8.366959E-5 | 8.366959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 8.363822E-4 | 8.363822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.2571805E-6 | 1.2571805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 5.3879053E-6 | 5.3879053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 6.559577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 6.557653E-4 | 6.557653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 8.583903E-7 | 8.583903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.6788103E-6 | 3.6788103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.4788594E-5 | 4.4788594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.4779677E-4 | 4.4779677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.5945433E-7 | 4.5945433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.9690883E-6 | 1.9690883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.3973387E-5 | 2.3973387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.3970901E-4 | 2.3970901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.6414175E-7 | 1.6414175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 7.034644E-7 | 7.034644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.564646E-6 | 8.564646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 8.5644104E-5 | 8.5644104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.525283E-8 | 4.525283E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9394069E-7 | 1.9394069E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.3612254E-6 | 2.3612254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.3612933E-5 | 2.3612933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 6.032519E-10 | 6.032519E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 2.5853648E-9 | 2.5853648E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 3.1476816E-8 | 3.1476816E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 3.1562115E-7 | 3.1562115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 4.9666076E-5 | 1.6741372 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.5713391E-4 | 1.2359346 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0015769433 | 1.0193624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.015469398 | 1.0057615 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 2.9666668E-5 | 4.9666076E-5 | 1.6741372 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.2713773E-4 | 1.5713391E-4 | 1.2359346 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015469898 | 0.0015769433 | 1.0193624 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.015380782 | 0.015469398 | 1.0057615 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 3.5732613E-5 | 2.2711992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 8.7424276E-5 | 1.2966032 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008265209 | 1.0096929 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.5732929E-5 | 3.5732613E-5 | 2.2711992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.742562E-5 | 8.7424276E-5 | 1.2966032 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.206919E-4 | 8.406755E-4 | 1.0243497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007380498 | 0.008185864 | 0.008265209 | 1.0096929 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 3.467019E-5 | 2.3632617 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 8.287125E-5 | 1.318084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.852822E-4 | 1.0261136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007715196 | 1.010397 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.4670482E-5 | 3.467019E-5 | 2.3632617 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.287251E-5 | 8.287125E-5 | 1.318084 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.6529745E-4 | 7.852822E-4 | 1.0261136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006884126 | 0.0076358067 | 0.007715196 | 1.010397 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2564341E-5 | 3.256409E-5 | 2.5917866 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.384658E-5 | 7.38455E-5 | 1.3714056 | 2.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.5547624E-4 | 6.754631E-4 | 1.0304922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006544389 | 0.006623865 | 1.0121442 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.602674E-6 | 2.9602483E-5 | 3.0827332 | 2.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.1154155E-5 | 6.115333E-5 | 1.4859576 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.010231E-4 | 5.2101305E-4 | 1.0398983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0050074076 | 0.005087007 | 1.0158963 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.1525608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 4.9395376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 6.013732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 6.0122134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 9.0904507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 3.895902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 4.743164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 4.742219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 8.5615466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 3.6692295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 4.467202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 4.4663675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 7.5383247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 3.2307069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 3.9333205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 3.932681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 7.4170106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 3.1787154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 3.870023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 3.8694058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 6.7445126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 2.8905024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 3.5191355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 3.518633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 6.061468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 2.5977697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 3.162744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 3.162347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 5.234057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 2.2431655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 2.731025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 2.7307402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963649E-6 | 3.896338E-5 | 4.3468213 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.7912076E-4 | 1.6413763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011907803 | 1.0915684 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.0915234E-6 | 3.209146E-5 | 15.343583 | 3.0E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 8.963649E-6 | 3.896338E-5 | 4.3468213 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.0912839E-4 | 1.7912076E-4 | 1.6413763 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011351013 | 0.0010908894 | 0.0011907803 | 1.0915684 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.0842303E-7 | 2.0908405E-5 | 23.016155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 2.3893159E-5 | 6.1370945 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.739922E-5 | 8.7397326E-5 | 1.8438557 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.2387716E-4 | 1.1054573 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.0842303E-7 | 2.0908405E-5 | 23.016155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.893236E-6 | 2.3893159E-5 | 6.1370945 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.739922E-5 | 8.7397326E-5 | 1.8438557 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2327604E-4 | 4.7390084E-4 | 5.2387716E-4 | 1.1054573 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 5.9941647E-7 | 2.0599404E-5 | 34.365765 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.568925E-6 | 2.2568875E-5 | 8.785337 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.1276217E-5 | 7.127497E-5 | 2.278887 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6312963E-4 | 3.127184E-4 | 3.6270273E-4 | 1.1598383 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 5.9349827E-7 | 2.0593487E-5 | 34.69848 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5435613E-6 | 2.254351E-5 | 8.86297 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.096742E-5 | 7.096618E-5 | 2.29164 | 4.0E-5 | 3.600655E-4 | 3.096313E-4 | 3.596158E-4 | 1.1614324 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.449933E-7 | 2.0544983E-5 | 37.697678 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3356836E-6 | 2.2335636E-5 | 9.562784 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.8436578E-5 | 6.843544E-5 | 2.406599 | 4.0E-5 | 3.349229E-4 | 2.8432952E-4 | 3.343153E-4 | 1.1758024 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.167146E-7 | 2.0516703E-5 | 39.70607 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.214489E-6 | 2.2214444E-5 | 10.031408 | 2.0E-5 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.6961072E-5 | 6.695999E-5 | 2.4835806 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2025913E-4 | 2.6957813E-4 | 3.1956466E-4 | 1.185425 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 4.9073464E-7 | 2.0490725E-5 | 41.755207 | 2.0E-5 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1031467E-6 | 2.2103104E-5 | 10.509541 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.560551E-5 | 6.560449E-5 | 2.5621238 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0508233E-4 | 2.560257E-4 | 3.060129E-4 | 1.1952429 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.4862446E-7 | 2.0448615E-5 | 45.580696 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9226748E-6 | 2.1922637E-5 | 11.402156 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3408315E-5 | 6.340738E-5 | 2.7087545 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7769682E-4 | 2.3405858E-4 | 2.740492E-4 | 1.1708574 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.0203426E-7 | 2.0402027E-5 | 50.746986 | 2.0E-5 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.7230027E-6 | 2.1722968E-5 | 12.607623 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.0977357E-5 | 6.0976516E-5 | 2.9067779 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5119373E-4 | 2.0975384E-4 | 2.4974544E-4 | 1.1906598 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.4624534E-7 | 2.0346239E-5 | 58.76249 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.4839077E-6 | 2.1483878E-5 | 14.477907 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8066426E-5 | 5.8065703E-5 | 3.2140117 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1877629E-4 | 1.8064963E-4 | 2.2064241E-4 | 1.2213831 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.711687E-7 | 2.0271164E-5 | 74.754814 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1621509E-6 | 2.1162128E-5 | 18.20945 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.41490955E-5 | 5.4148528E-5 | 3.8269958 | 4.0E-5 | 1.787505E-4 | 1.4148197E-4 | 1.8147631E-4 | 1.2826816 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.1500543E-7 | 2.0215E-5 | 94.02089 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.2145143E-7 | 2.0921432E-5 | 22.704868 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.12186135E-5 | 3.121839E-5 | 2.7827315 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4489799E-4 | 1.1218049E-4 | 1.3217825E-4 | 1.1782641 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.7303725E-7 | 2.0173034E-5 | 116.58202 | 2.0E-5 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.41588E-7 | 2.0741572E-5 | 27.969133 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.028796E-6 | 2.9028615E-5 | 3.2151146 | 2.0E-5 | 1.18733085E-4 | 9.028431E-5 | 1.10282504E-4 | 1.2215024 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3086897E-7 | 1.0130868E-5 | 77.4123 | 1.0E-5 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.6086685E-7 | 1.05608615E-5 | 18.829533 | 1.0E-5 | 9.326646E-6 | 6.8285326E-6 | 1.6828464E-5 | 2.4644334 | 1.0E-5 | 9.326255E-5 | 6.828324E-5 | 7.828256E-5 | 1.1464388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 8.8888996E-8 | 8.8888996E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.624805E-7 | 3.8095277E-7 | 3.8095277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.63809E-6 | 4.63809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8479676E-5 | 4.6379944E-5 | 4.6379944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 4.7951115E-8 | 4.7951115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.0550476E-7 | 2.0550476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.5020177E-6 | 2.5020177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4037708E-5 | 2.5019906E-5 | 2.5019906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 6.755714E-9 | 6.755714E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 2.8953057E-8 | 2.8953057E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.525034E-7 | 3.525034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699946E-6 | 3.5250287E-6 | 3.5250287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.4874005E-5 | 6.487326E-5 | 4.3615193 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6052355E-5 | 6.3744184E-5 | 1.13741E-4 | 1.7843353 | 5.0E-5 | 6.822237E-4 | 7.75811E-4 | 8.5574895E-4 | 1.103038 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006801331 | 0.007778973 | 0.007878195 | 1.0127552 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 1.4869133E-5 | 6.486839E-5 | 4.362621 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 6.372331E-5 | 1.13720125E-4 | 1.7845923 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 7.75557E-4 | 8.55495E-4 | 1.1030717 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.007776451 | 0.007875673 | 1.0127593 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 1.4845143E-5 | 6.4844404E-5 | 4.368055 | 5.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 6.36205E-5 | 1.13617316E-4 | 1.7858602 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 7.743062E-4 | 8.542442E-4 | 1.1032383 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.00776403 | 0.007863253 | 1.01278 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 1.4695771E-5 | 6.4695036E-5 | 4.4022894 | 5.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 6.298036E-5 | 1.1297721E-4 | 1.7938483 | 5.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 7.66518E-4 | 8.464567E-4 | 1.1042881 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.007686688 | 0.0077859196 | 1.0129095 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 1.4656778E-5 | 6.4656044E-5 | 4.411341 | 5.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 6.281326E-5 | 1.1281012E-4 | 1.7959603 | 5.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 7.644849E-4 | 8.444238E-4 | 1.1045656 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.007666498 | 0.0077657313 | 1.0129437 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 1.41263845E-5 | 5.412582E-5 | 3.8315408 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 6.0540253E-5 | 1.0053783E-4 | 1.6606774 | 4.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 7.368299E-4 | 8.067783E-4 | 1.0949316 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.007391796 | 0.007481131 | 1.0120857 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 1.4074615E-5 | 5.407405E-5 | 3.8419561 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 6.0318394E-5 | 1.0031598E-4 | 1.6631076 | 4.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 7.3413056E-4 | 8.040792E-4 | 1.0952809 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.0073649823 | 0.0074543194 | 1.01213 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 1.3507259E-5 | 5.350672E-5 | 3.9613307 | 4.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 5.7886973E-5 | 9.788466E-5 | 1.6909617 | 4.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 7.0454745E-4 | 7.645051E-4 | 1.085101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.007071065 | 0.00714057 | 1.0098295 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 1.3388535E-5 | 5.3388E-5 | 3.9875908 | 4.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 5.7378184E-5 | 9.737589E-5 | 1.6970891 | 4.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 6.983569E-4 | 7.5831497E-4 | 1.085856 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.0070095635 | 0.0070790728 | 1.0099163 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 1.28825E-5 | 5.2881984E-5 | 4.1049476 | 4.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 5.5209555E-5 | 9.5207346E-5 | 1.7244723 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 6.7197037E-4 | 7.319301E-4 | 1.0892297 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.0067473534 | 0.0068168812 | 1.0103045 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.1974566E-5 | 5.1974086E-5 | 4.340373 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 5.1318566E-5 | 9.131651E-5 | 1.779405 | 4.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 6.2462565E-4 | 6.8458816E-4 | 1.0959976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.0062755872 | 0.006345148 | 1.0110843 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.1534078E-5 | 5.1533618E-5 | 4.467944 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 4.9430833E-5 | 8.942885E-5 | 1.8091716 | 4.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 6.016554E-4 | 6.616193E-4 | 1.0996648 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.0060471543 | 0.006116731 | 1.0115057 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 9.415226E-6 | 4.9414848E-5 | 5.248398 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 4.0350344E-5 | 8.0348735E-5 | 1.9912775 | 4.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 4.9115554E-4 | 5.511261E-4 | 1.122101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.004947416 | 0.0050170696 | 1.0140789 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 5.617686E-6 | 3.561752E-5 | 6.340247 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 2.4075576E-5 | 5.407485E-5 | 2.246046 | 3.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 2.9308072E-4 | 3.430661E-4 | 1.1705514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0029732345 | 0.0030330562 | 1.02012 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 4.001269E-6 | 3.400115E-5 | 8.497591 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 1.7148184E-5 | 4.714767E-5 | 2.7494264 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 2.0875916E-4 | 2.587487E-4 | 1.2394605 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0021279356 | 0.0021878078 | 1.0281364 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 2.2103518E-6 | 1.221033E-5 | 5.5241566 | 1.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 9.472902E-6 | 1.9472807E-5 | 2.0556328 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 1.1532648E-4 | 1.3532418E-4 | 1.1734008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.00116971 | 0.0011896865 | 1.0170783 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 8.995037E-7 | 8.995037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 3.85501E-6 | 3.85501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 4.693374E-5 | 4.693374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 4.7781988E-4 | 4.7781988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 1.12240535E-7 | 1.12240535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 4.810308E-7 | 4.810308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 5.856534E-6 | 5.856534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 6.1840175E-5 | 6.1840175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 1.8049551E-8 | 1.8049551E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 7.7355224E-8 | 7.7355224E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 9.4179944E-7 | 9.4179944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 1.0168895E-5 | 1.0168895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 6.573365E-5 | 1.8394896 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 1.9313412E-4 | 1.2611585 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019428151 | 1.0428623 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018567173 | 1.0047804 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.5734723E-5 | 6.573365E-5 | 1.8394896 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.5314025E-4 | 1.9313412E-4 | 1.2611585 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0018629641 | 0.0019428151 | 1.0428623 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01999036 | 0.018478835 | 0.018567173 | 1.0047804 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.582607E-5 | 5.5825294E-5 | 2.161587 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.1067861E-4 | 1.5067418E-4 | 1.3613667 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0013467056 | 0.0014265978 | 1.0593243 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.013386733 | 0.013475528 | 1.006633 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.023381E-5 | 4.0233404E-5 | 1.9884245 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 8.67135E-5 | 1.167109E-4 | 1.3459369 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001055235 | 0.0011151718 | 1.0567994 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.010503797 | 0.010573061 | 1.0065943 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.7274737E-5 | 3.7274393E-5 | 2.15774 | 2.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 7.403253E-5 | 1.040303E-4 | 1.4051973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 9.009803E-4 | 9.609263E-4 | 1.0665342 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.008969254 | 0.009028715 | 1.0066295 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.5125665E-5 | 3.5125362E-5 | 2.3222358 | 2.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 6.48227E-5 | 9.482075E-5 | 1.4627708 | 3.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 7.889355E-4 | 8.488882E-4 | 1.0759919 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.007869931 | 0.007929459 | 1.007564 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.2808197E-5 | 3.280794E-5 | 2.56148 | 2.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 5.489114E-5 | 8.488949E-5 | 1.5465063 | 3.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 6.680985E-4 | 7.280584E-4 | 1.0897471 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0066613033 | 0.006720904 | 1.0089473 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.0593359E-5 | 3.0593146E-5 | 2.8879552 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.5399338E-5 | 7.539798E-5 | 1.6607726 | 3.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 5.525999E-4 | 6.125668E-4 | 1.1085176 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.005512587 | 0.0055722557 | 1.0108242 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 9.6989E-6 | 2.9698705E-5 | 3.0620697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.156607E-5 | 7.156482E-5 | 1.7217126 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.059524E-4 | 5.6592206E-4 | 1.1185282 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0050483164 | 0.0051080133 | 1.0118252 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.3492033E-6 | 2.7349057E-5 | 3.7213635 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.1496216E-5 | 6.149527E-5 | 1.9524653 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 3.834012E-4 | 4.3338203E-4 | 1.1303617 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0038276217 | 0.0038774302 | 1.0130129 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 4.885518E-6 | 2.4885421E-5 | 5.0937114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.0937769E-5 | 5.093714E-5 | 2.4327874 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.5488762E-4 | 3.0487488E-4 | 1.1961149 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0025459668 | 0.0025958396 | 1.019589 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.004297E-6 | 2.4004217E-5 | 5.9946146 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7161161E-5 | 4.7160647E-5 | 2.7481036 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.0891719E-4 | 2.5890674E-4 | 1.2392793 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0020872185 | 0.002137114 | 1.0239053 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.1486293E-6 | 1.3148598E-5 | 4.1759753 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.3494056E-5 | 3.3493787E-5 | 2.482114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.6427782E-4 | 2.0427126E-4 | 1.2434499 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0016415725 | 0.0016815068 | 1.0243269 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.3441114E-6 | 1.2344088E-5 | 5.265999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0046154E-5 | 3.0045952E-5 | 2.9907916 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2230512E-4 | 1.6230023E-4 | 1.3270109 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012223844 | 0.0012623356 | 1.0326829 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.696546E-6 | 1.1696529E-5 | 6.894319 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.270891E-6 | 2.7270746E-5 | 3.7506745 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 8.851955E-5 | 1.2851601E-4 | 1.4518375 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 8.848478E-4 | 9.2481234E-4 | 1.0451655 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 8.986295E-7 | 1.08986205E-5 | 12.128047 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9326535E-6 | 3.8512635E-6 | 2.3851186E-5 | 6.193081 | 2.0E-5 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.688816E-5 | 8.6886284E-5 | 1.8530539 | 4.0E-5 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.6878585E-4 | 5.087671E-4 | 1.0852869 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.13585E-7 | 1.06135785E-5 | 17.297651 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.6296473E-6 | 2.2629594E-5 | 8.605563 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.2015505E-5 | 6.2014544E-5 | 1.937016 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.2011085E-4 | 3.5010127E-4 | 1.0936875 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 6.313557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 2.7058098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 3.294319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 3.2942728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.753342E-5 | 7.8551544E-5 | 1.0854919E-4 | 1.3818848 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8939685E-4 | 3.3660818E-4 | 3.6659808E-4 | 1.0890944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003517715 | 0.0040908805 | 0.004140676 | 1.0121723 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034625497 | 0.04019931 | 0.04028569 | 1.0021489 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025321085 | 1.0119596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024818785 | 1.0027583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 4.801134E-5 | 6.801038E-5 | 1.4165483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.0574717E-4 | 2.2574306E-4 | 1.0971867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0025021834 | 0.0025321085 | 1.0119596 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.024750518 | 0.024818785 | 1.0027583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.615755E-5 | 5.6156827E-5 | 1.5531148 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.5495192E-4 | 1.7494881E-4 | 1.1290523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0018849411 | 0.0019148845 | 1.0158856 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.018693592 | 0.018762283 | 1.0036746 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.392261E-5 | 5.392193E-5 | 1.5895573 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.453747E-4 | 1.6537178E-4 | 1.1375555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0017685323 | 0.0017984792 | 1.0169332 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.017548366 | 0.017617136 | 1.003919 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.7696608E-5 | 3.769633E-5 | 1.361045 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.1869449E-4 | 1.286933E-4 | 1.08424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.001444173 | 0.0014641441 | 1.0138288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014350718 | 0.014409857 | 1.004121 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4019928E-5 | 3.4019686E-5 | 1.416311 | 1.0E-5 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.029386E-4 | 1.12937574E-4 | 1.0971353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012525778 | 0.0012725528 | 1.0159471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012457441 | 0.012516693 | 1.0047565 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.089129E-5 | 3.0891082E-5 | 1.4786584 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9650374E-5 | 8.953113E-5 | 9.953024E-5 | 1.111683 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0010895154 | 0.0011094937 | 1.0183368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.010843739 | 0.010883305 | 1.0036488 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.7799866E-5 | 2.7799688E-5 | 1.561792 | 1.0E-5 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.628301E-5 | 8.628225E-5 | 1.1310807 | 1.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.283678E-4 | 9.4834925E-4 | 1.0215232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009246731 | 0.009286361 | 1.0042858 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.4592785E-5 | 2.4592639E-5 | 1.6852602 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.2539104E-5 | 7.253848E-5 | 1.1598899 | 1.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.611644E-4 | 7.8114914E-4 | 1.0262555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007587263 | 0.007626959 | 1.005232 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2295069E-5 | 2.2294946E-5 | 1.8133242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.269218E-5 | 6.269165E-5 | 1.1897715 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.4135477E-4 | 6.6134194E-4 | 1.0311639 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006396659 | 0.0064364034 | 1.0062133 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 9.819962E-6 | 1.9819863E-5 | 2.018324 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.208496E-5 | 5.208454E-5 | 1.2376046 | 1.0E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.122799E-4 | 5.3226965E-4 | 1.0390211 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005112565 | 0.0051523605 | 1.0077839 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 8.198846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 3.5137864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.277952E-5 | 5.277909E-5 | 1.2337468 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.2771388E-4 | 4.3770962E-4 | 1.0233701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 3.646374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.5627307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9026082E-5 | 2.902589E-5 | 1.5255843 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.902446E-4 | 2.0024269E-4 | 1.0525539 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.9382593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 8.3068227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.011351E-5 | 2.0113408E-5 | 1.9887664 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0113053E-4 | 1.1112952E-4 | 1.0988721 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 6.1802034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 2.6486583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2247367E-6 | 1.3224704E-5 | 4.1010184 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.224691E-5 | 4.2246586E-5 | 1.3100972 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 5.459142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3396323E-8 | 2.3396323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 2.848502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 2.8484992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 3.815792E-5 | 2.1014059 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0022981716 | 1.0406641 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 4.2369616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.815828E-5 | 3.815792E-5 | 2.1014059 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2105484E-4 | 2.8104158E-4 | 1.2713659 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021737402 | 0.0022083702 | 0.0022981716 | 1.0406641 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 3.5058307E-5 | 2.3281238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019215645 | 1.0490439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 3.5136957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5058609E-5 | 3.5058307E-5 | 2.3281238 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8332322E-4 | 2.4331223E-4 | 1.3272308 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001802353 | 0.0018317293 | 0.0019215645 | 1.0490439 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 3.348685E-5 | 2.4828763 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017305788 | 1.0547638 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 3.1470106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3487119E-5 | 3.348685E-5 | 2.4828763 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6419336E-4 | 2.241835E-4 | 1.3653628 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016140083 | 0.0016407266 | 0.0017305788 | 1.0547638 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 2.9948671E-6 | 2.9948671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2835082E-5 | 3.2834825E-5 | 2.5582092 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.5625596E-4 | 2.162466E-4 | 1.3839253 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015359579 | 0.0015614666 | 0.0016513261 | 1.0575482 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.9110638E-6 | 2.9110638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.2475928E-5 | 3.247568E-5 | 2.6030672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5188388E-4 | 2.1187478E-4 | 1.3949786 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014930099 | 0.0015178062 | 0.0016076696 | 1.0592061 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.8464353E-6 | 2.8464353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.21989515E-5 | 3.2198706E-5 | 2.639465 | 2.0E-5 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.4851216E-4 | 2.0850325E-4 | 1.4039474 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001459926 | 0.0014841344 | 0.0015740008 | 1.0605514 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.5920115E-6 | 2.5920115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1108574E-5 | 3.1108353E-5 | 2.8003912 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3523853E-4 | 1.9523042E-4 | 1.4436005 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013302186 | 0.0013515663 | 0.0014414446 | 1.0664994 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3436628E-6 | 2.3436628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0044231E-5 | 3.004403E-5 | 2.9911728 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2228168E-4 | 1.8227434E-4 | 1.4906104 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012036557 | 0.0012221467 | 0.0013120368 | 1.0735509 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.124014E-6 | 2.124014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.102885E-6 | 2.9102703E-5 | 3.1970856 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.1082201E-4 | 1.7081536E-4 | 1.5413487 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010916302 | 0.0011076694 | 0.0011975698 | 1.0811617 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 1.9994181E-6 | 1.9994181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.568907E-6 | 2.8568735E-5 | 3.334 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0432146E-4 | 1.643152E-4 | 1.5750853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010281504 | 0.0010427268 | 0.0011326328 | 1.0862222 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.6893033E-6 | 1.6893033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.239851E-6 | 2.7239706E-5 | 3.7624676 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.814163E-5 | 1.3813723E-4 | 1.5672188 | 5.0E-5 | 8.7045657E-4 | 8.810675E-4 | 9.60997E-4 | 1.090719 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.4637443E-6 | 1.4637443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.2731747E-6 | 2.6273048E-5 | 4.1881585 | 2.0E-5 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.637323E-5 | 1.16370175E-4 | 1.5237037 | 4.0E-5 | 7.55832E-4 | 7.634704E-4 | 8.33417E-4 | 1.0916166 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.235387E-6 | 1.235387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.294505E-6 | 2.52944E-5 | 4.777481 | 2.0E-5 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.44587E-5 | 1.0445612E-4 | 1.6205124 | 4.0E-5 | 6.399603E-4 | 6.4440054E-4 | 7.043619E-4 | 1.0930498 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.2536635E-7 | 9.2536635E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.966909E-6 | 3.96585E-6 | 2.3965771E-5 | 6.0430355 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.8283153E-5 | 8.8281224E-5 | 1.8284063 | 4.0E-5 | 4.828555E-4 | 4.8272705E-4 | 5.327029E-4 | 1.1035283 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.3120135E-7 | 5.3120135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.2765753E-6 | 1.2276552E-5 | 5.392553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.7716953E-5 | 4.77164E-5 | 1.72156 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8364395E-4 | 2.7713508E-4 | 2.9712953E-4 | 1.072147 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.6816111E-7 | 1.6816111E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.2069025E-7 | 1.0720683E-5 | 14.875577 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822956E-6 | 8.774368E-6 | 2.8774193E-5 | 3.2793462 | 2.0E-5 | 9.822522E-5 | 8.774024E-5 | 1.0773849E-4 | 1.2279255 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.2887855E-8 | 4.2887855E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 1.8380508E-7 | 1.8380508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.2378244E-6 | 2.2378244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.309513E-5 | 2.2378024E-5 | 2.2378024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 5.2366684E-9 | 5.2366684E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.2442865E-8 | 2.2442865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 2.7324185E-7 | 2.7324185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56134E-6 | 2.7324154E-6 | 2.7324154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 6.3463944E-5 | 1.4601223 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.490552E-4 | 1.0377824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.005348711 | 1.0131899 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0141945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.346481E-5 | 6.3463944E-5 | 1.4601223 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.2906584E-4 | 5.490552E-4 | 1.0377824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051593683 | 0.00527908 | 0.005348711 | 1.0131899 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024646737 | 1.0122916 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 4.671598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 2.0020989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 2.4372953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024347468 | 0.0024646737 | 1.0122916 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 3.4904617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.49590405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.8211194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018197089 | 0.0018396724 | 1.0109707 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 2.9110784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.24759945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.5188538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015178887 | 0.0015178887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 2.3149914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 9.921358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.20786455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012072689 | 0.0012072689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.946792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 8.3433715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.01576385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010153563 | 0.0010153563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.5335781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 6.572464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 8.001732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 7.999355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.828942E-5 | 2.8289236E-5 | 1.5467542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.838114E-5 | 9.837957E-5 | 1.2551434 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.5391995E-4 | 9.938818E-4 | 1.0418923 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009017491 | 0.00950297 | 0.009582209 | 1.0083385 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 5.068911E-5 | 1.2457535 | 1.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.05286E-4 | 1.0201801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049626357 | 1.0040263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 9.494356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.0689512E-5 | 5.068911E-5 | 1.2457535 | 1.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 4.952909E-4 | 5.05286E-4 | 1.0201801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049427343 | 0.0049626357 | 1.0040263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 4.2536645E-5 | 1.3073326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.0606863E-4 | 1.0252379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.003974278 | 1.0050377 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 7.592045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.253697E-5 | 4.2536645E-5 | 1.3073326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 3.960726E-4 | 4.0606863E-4 | 1.0252379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003954357 | 0.003974278 | 1.0050377 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 6.341556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.717785E-5 | 3.717758E-5 | 1.3679367 | 1.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3084644E-4 | 3.4084314E-4 | 1.0302155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033041644 | 0.0033240982 | 1.006033 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 5.852839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.508339E-5 | 3.508314E-5 | 1.3986602 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0535375E-4 | 3.1535068E-4 | 1.0327389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030499578 | 0.003069897 | 1.0065374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 5.485305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3508273E-5 | 2.3508273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8618184E-4 | 2.8618184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028587442 | 0.0028687157 | 1.0034881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 4.2056745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8024226E-5 | 1.8024226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.194287E-4 | 2.194287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0021926926 | 0.0022026708 | 1.0045506 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 7.0844214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 3.036179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 3.6965164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 3.6962095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.0975028E-5 | 2.0974918E-5 | 1.9111494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7035057E-5 | 6.703412E-5 | 1.4251947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.725139E-4 | 5.925024E-4 | 1.0349137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.005711636 | 0.005781236 | 1.0121857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 1.686433E-5 | 2.456782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 3.9418235E-5 | 1.3399118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.6811104E-4 | 1.027914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0036055553 | 1.00836 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.8643976E-6 | 1.686433E-5 | 2.456782 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.941853E-5 | 3.9418235E-5 | 1.3399118 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.5811463E-4 | 3.6811104E-4 | 1.027914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003951 | 0.0035756624 | 0.0036055553 | 1.00836 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.121284E-6 | 1.51212325E-5 | 2.9526253 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.1948183E-5 | 3.1947962E-5 | 1.4556086 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.6718748E-4 | 2.7718482E-4 | 1.0374169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026687772 | 0.0026986971 | 1.0112112 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.200905E-6 | 4.200905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8003759E-5 | 1.8003759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.1917443E-4 | 2.1917443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0021896542 | 0.0021896542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 3.6659164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 1.5710979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9126502E-4 | 1.9126502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019110661 | 0.0019110661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.06818E-6 | 3.06818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3149279E-5 | 1.3149279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.6008127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020390663 | 0.001599715 | 0.001599715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 2.5650618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.0993079E-5 | 1.0993079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.33833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013375733 | 0.0013375733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.7931642E-6 | 1.7931642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.684968E-6 | 7.684968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.356076E-5 | 9.356076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013866565 | 9.352423E-4 | 9.352423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4043652E-6 | 1.4043652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.018696E-6 | 6.018696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.3275405E-5 | 7.3275405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.3253724E-4 | 7.3253724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.1034555E-7 | 7.1034555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.0443346E-6 | 3.0443346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.7064146E-5 | 3.7064146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.7058006E-4 | 3.7058006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.4758775E-7 | 4.4758775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9182319E-6 | 1.9182319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.3354225E-5 | 2.3354225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.3351795E-4 | 2.3351795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.465644E-7 | 1.465644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.28133E-7 | 6.28133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 7.6474935E-6 | 7.6474935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 7.64724E-5 | 7.64724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.1529294E-4 | 1.0949621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.01282473 | 1.0054178 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.1529294E-4 | 1.0949621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.01282473 | 1.0054178 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.1529294E-4 | 1.0949621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.01282473 | 1.0054178 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.456938E-5 | 3.4569133E-5 | 1.4070007 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0529399E-4 | 1.1529294E-4 | 1.0949621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0012813614 | 0.0013013359 | 1.0155884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.012755623 | 0.01282473 | 1.0054178 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 2.3492114E-5 | 1.7411563 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 6.782257E-5 | 1.1729311 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.238452E-4 | 1.0283948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.007074771 | 1.0070673 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3492248E-5 | 2.3492114E-5 | 1.7411563 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.7823145E-5 | 6.782257E-5 | 1.1729311 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.038593E-4 | 7.238452E-4 | 1.0283948 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007025122 | 0.007074771 | 1.0070673 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.430301E-6 | 1.9430207E-5 | 2.0604014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.04154E-5 | 5.0414998E-5 | 1.2474204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 4.9202616E-4 | 5.120163E-4 | 1.0406282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.004917187 | 0.0049569905 | 1.0080948 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 7.917421E-6 | 1.7917342E-5 | 2.2630277 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.3931803E-5 | 4.3931464E-5 | 1.2946987 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.131197E-4 | 4.231156E-4 | 1.024196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004131197 | 0.0041610734 | 1.0072318 | 3.0E-5 |
San Joaquin Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.7844412E-6 | 2.2784385E-5 | 8.18275 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.1933265E-5 | 4.1932908E-5 | 3.5139508 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.4527795E-4 | 1.9527068E-4 | 1.3441179 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017998833 | 0.0014518428 | 0.0015217412 | 1.0481446 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.388654E-6 | 2.7191757E-6 | 2.2719121E-5 | 8.35515 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4522722E-5 | 1.1653558E-5 | 4.165321E-5 | 3.574291 | 3.0E-5 | 1.767998E-4 | 1.4187297E-4 | 1.9186587E-4 | 1.352378 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001766592 | 0.0014178365 | 0.0014877373 | 1.049301 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2694352E-6 | 2.5996278E-6 | 2.2599575E-5 | 8.693389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.401179E-5 | 1.1141215E-5 | 4.114088E-5 | 3.6926746 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7058018E-4 | 1.3563596E-4 | 1.8562918E-4 | 1.3685838 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017044931 | 0.0013555428 | 0.0014254479 | 1.0515698 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.246912E-6 | 2.5784104E-6 | 2.2578359E-5 | 8.756698 | 2.0E-5 | 1.39152635E-5 | 1.1050284E-5 | 4.1049952E-5 | 3.7148323 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6940516E-4 | 1.3452901E-4 | 1.8452229E-4 | 1.3716171 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016927607 | 0.0013444867 | 0.0014143926 | 1.0519944 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.1864927E-6 | 2.5239833E-6 | 2.2523933E-5 | 8.923963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3656326E-5 | 1.0817027E-5 | 4.0816703E-5 | 3.7733753 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6625308E-4 | 1.3168946E-4 | 1.8168287E-4 | 1.3796312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016612876 | 0.001316125 | 0.0013860329 | 1.0531164 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0220644E-6 | 2.3718187E-6 | 2.237177E-5 | 9.432327 | 2.0E-5 | 1.295164E-5 | 1.0164898E-5 | 4.0164592E-5 | 3.951303 | 3.0E-5 | 1.576748E-4 | 1.2375071E-4 | 1.7374453E-4 | 1.4039881 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015756298 | 0.001236828 | 0.0013067415 | 1.0565264 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.787619E-6 | 2.192195E-6 | 2.2192151E-5 | 10.123255 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1946884E-5 | 9.395089E-6 | 3.9394807E-5 | 4.1931276 | 3.0E-5 | 1.454436E-4 | 1.143793E-4 | 1.6437357E-4 | 1.4370921 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014534845 | 0.001143214 | 0.0012131339 | 1.0611609 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4593792E-6 | 1.9001128E-6 | 2.1900074E-5 | 11.525671 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0540153E-5 | 8.143315E-6 | 3.8143073E-5 | 4.683973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2831882E-4 | 9.9140445E-5 | 1.4913549E-4 | 1.504285 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012824474 | 9.909708E-4 | 0.0010609014 | 1.0705678 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.926764E-6 | 1.4205306E-6 | 2.1420503E-5 | 15.0792265 | 2.0E-5 | 8.257534E-6 | 6.0879743E-6 | 3.6087793E-5 | 5.9277177 | 3.0E-5 | 1.00530844E-4 | 7.411863E-5 | 1.1411566E-4 | 1.5396354 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010048538 | 7.409453E-4 | 8.009008E-4 | 1.0809176 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1609359E-6 | 8.0440293E-7 | 1.0804395E-5 | 13.431571 | 1.0E-5 | 4.97543E-6 | 3.447437E-6 | 1.3447402E-5 | 3.9006958 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0574173E-5 | 4.197178E-5 | 5.1971358E-5 | 1.2382454 | 1.0E-5 | 6.055767E-4 | 4.1964275E-4 | 4.3963434E-4 | 1.0476396 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1168536E-7 | 2.668508E-7 | 1.0266848E-5 | 38.474113 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1929354E-6 | 1.1436459E-6 | 1.1143635E-5 | 9.743955 | 1.0E-5 | 2.669866E-5 | 1.3923814E-5 | 2.3923674E-5 | 1.718184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6695454E-4 | 1.3923072E-4 | 1.5922793E-4 | 1.1436265 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.757093E-9 | 9.757093E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 4.1816115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 5.091112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 5.0911117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.618514E-5 | 6.4799904E-5 | 7.479926E-5 | 1.1543112 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4077125E-4 | 2.7768526E-4 | 2.876825E-4 | 1.036002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029274495 | 0.0033757505 | 0.0034255818 | 1.0147616 | 5.0E-5 | 0.028891841 | 0.033265643 | 0.033333316 | 1.0020343 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.393927E-5 | 6.3938736E-5 | 1.1853837 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.3114859E-4 | 2.4114628E-4 | 1.0432522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.0028107355 | 0.0028605948 | 1.0177389 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.027767165 | 0.027835222 | 1.002451 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 4.98666E-5 | 1.250824 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.8084589E-4 | 1.0585217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0021280192 | 1.0240102 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020660162 | 1.0033294 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 3.9866998E-5 | 4.98666E-5 | 1.250824 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7084759E-4 | 1.8084589E-4 | 1.0585217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0020781232 | 0.0021280192 | 1.0240102 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.020591604 | 0.020660162 | 1.0033294 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 3.062138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.3122798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0015965445 | 0.0016364807 | 1.0250142 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.01585266 | 0.015911708 | 1.0037248 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 2.8760905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.2325527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0014996136 | 0.0015295686 | 1.0199752 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.014896658 | 0.014945913 | 1.0033065 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 2.4667375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0571308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0012863044 | 0.0013162659 | 1.0232927 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.012789587 | 0.012838948 | 1.0038594 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 2.1642103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 9.27486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.001128634 | 0.0011586002 | 1.0265508 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.0112296585 | 0.011279097 | 1.0044025 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.9611773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 8.4047766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010228051 | 0.0010527745 | 1.029301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010181492 | 0.010230984 | 1.0048609 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.7346916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 7.434183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.0473914E-4 | 9.3471195E-4 | 1.0331287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009010963 | 0.009050603 | 1.0043991 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.4883985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 6.378696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 7.763321E-4 | 8.063088E-4 | 1.0386132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.007736506 | 0.0077761966 | 1.0051303 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.3564157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 5.813082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.0751534E-4 | 7.3749415E-4 | 1.0423719 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007052908 | 0.0070926263 | 1.0056314 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.2063284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 5.1698775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.2925316E-4 | 6.592343E-4 | 1.0476456 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006274972 | 0.006314721 | 1.0063345 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 6.6962043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 2.8697705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.4933892E-4 | 3.6933194E-4 | 1.057231 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031833951 | 0.0034879397 | 0.003517835 | 1.008571 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 5.4033567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 2.315704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.8190084E-4 | 3.018952E-4 | 1.0709269 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002570763 | 0.0028154708 | 0.0028453863 | 1.0106254 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.9070897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 8.173217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 9.950458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 9.946207E-4 | 0.0010046107 | 1.0100441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anaheim
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9952497E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551043E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 3.5174802E-5 | 6.7971177 | 3.0E-5 | 1.04103965E-4 | 6.300371E-5 | 1.03001184E-4 | 1.6348432 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010405522 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.9985446E-4 | 1.111059 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 3.5174802E-5 | 6.7971177 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 1.03001184E-4 | 1.6348432 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.9985446E-4 | 1.111059 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2074922E-6 | 1.120748E-5 | 9.281617 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.1749585E-6 | 3.5174802E-5 | 6.7971177 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.300371E-5 | 1.03001184E-4 | 1.6348432 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7255245E-4 | 6.2989857E-4 | 6.9985446E-4 | 1.111059 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0673834E-5 | 15.840288 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 3.28878E-5 | 11.388189 | 3.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 7.51581E-5 | 2.1376324 | 4.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 4.2152003E-4 | 1.1990513 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.7384093E-7 | 1.0673834E-5 | 15.840288 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.8878867E-6 | 3.28878E-5 | 11.388189 | 3.0E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.5159508E-5 | 7.51581E-5 | 2.1376324 | 4.0E-5 | 5.96957E-4 | 3.5154462E-4 | 4.2152003E-4 | 1.1990513 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.6792273E-7 | 1.0667916E-5 | 15.971782 | 1.0E-5 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.8625232E-6 | 3.2862437E-5 | 11.480235 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.4850713E-5 | 7.484932E-5 | 2.1477127 | 4.0E-5 | 5.938936E-4 | 3.4845766E-4 | 4.1843328E-4 | 1.2008152 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.45777E-7 | 1.064577E-5 | 16.485212 | 1.0E-5 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.767613E-6 | 3.276753E-5 | 11.839636 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.3695218E-5 | 7.3693875E-5 | 2.187072 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8243104E-4 | 3.3690623E-4 | 4.0688264E-4 | 1.207703 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.390098E-7 | 1.0639003E-5 | 16.649202 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.7386106E-6 | 3.2738528E-5 | 11.95443 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.3342127E-5 | 7.3340794E-5 | 2.1996434 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7892315E-4 | 3.3337637E-4 | 4.0335304E-4 | 1.2099029 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.369333E-7 | 1.0636927E-5 | 16.700222 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.7297115E-6 | 3.272963E-5 | 11.990142 | 3.0E-5 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.3233784E-5 | 7.3232455E-5 | 2.2035546 | 4.0E-5 | 5.77846E-4 | 3.3229325E-4 | 4.0227E-4 | 1.2105873 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.315974E-7 | 1.0631591E-5 | 16.83286 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.7068434E-6 | 3.270676E-5 | 12.082991 | 3.0E-5 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.2955373E-5 | 7.2954055E-5 | 2.2137227 | 4.0E-5 | 5.750759E-4 | 3.2950996E-4 | 3.9948692E-4 | 1.2123667 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.290331E-7 | 1.0629027E-5 | 16.897406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.6958535E-6 | 3.2695774E-5 | 12.128171 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.2821576E-5 | 7.2820265E-5 | 2.2186706 | 4.0E-5 | 5.734383E-4 | 3.281724E-4 | 3.9814942E-4 | 1.2132325 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.2306738E-7 | 1.0423063E-5 | 24.636887 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8131448E-6 | 3.181309E-5 | 17.545809 | 3.0E-5 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.2074835E-5 | 6.207395E-5 | 2.811978 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3480762E-4 | 2.2072847E-4 | 2.90713E-4 | 1.3170617 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 3.8372457E-7 | 1.0383721E-5 | 27.06035 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.6445329E-6 | 3.1644482E-5 | 19.242231 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.0022024E-5 | 6.0021222E-5 | 2.99776 | 4.0E-5 | 4.066187E-4 | 2.0020407E-4 | 2.7019007E-4 | 1.3495733 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.4544875E-7 | 1.0245446E-5 | 41.74169 | 1.0E-5 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0519229E-6 | 3.105189E-5 | 29.51917 | 3.0E-5 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.2807098E-5 | 5.2806587E-5 | 4.123228 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6174777E-4 | 1.2806474E-4 | 1.9805577E-4 | 1.5465286 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.19057454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.102462E-7 | 1.0510241E-5 | 20.598373 | 1.0E-5 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.2122367E-6 | 2.6212112E-5 | 4.2194324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2526344E-4 | 6.212133E-5 | 1.1211822E-4 | 1.8048265 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.5834335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 6.786143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.2621267E-7 | 8.2621267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573345E-5 | 8.2621045E-6 | 8.2621045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.5042142E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 6.4466312E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 7.848773E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759697E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 7.8487705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.5287094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 6.5516026E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 7.976578E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8754645E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 7.976577E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Richfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 2.6578758E-5 | 4.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 1.10093744E-4 | 1.3745198 | 3.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.6073205E-4 | 1.0748669 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.535077E-6 | 1.1535061E-5 | 7.5143213 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.578891E-6 | 2.6578758E-5 | 4.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.009614E-5 | 1.10093744E-4 | 1.3745198 | 3.0E-5 | 7.910745E-4 | 8.007801E-4 | 8.6073205E-4 | 1.0748669 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 6.574459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8176232E-6 | 1.2817595E-5 | 4.549081 | 1.0E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4304154E-5 | 4.430381E-5 | 1.2914999 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3770915E-4 | 3.4300153E-4 | 3.529981E-4 | 1.0291444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 2.8412256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.2176679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.4825048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585146E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.482448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0777299E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.084519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6188418E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 4.647938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6234253E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 5.658854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623283E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 5.6587527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1301874E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 2.0625466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.129375E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 8.8394856E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115008E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0762068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1114952E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0762021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8413502E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.7715164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.891501E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 7.592213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607899E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 9.243516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.607857E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 9.24348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2290541E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.1547936E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2673748E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 4.9491156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.413027E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 6.025547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4130086E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 6.0255315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.373573E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 6.1431593E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7315311E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 2.6327827E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256384E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 3.2054123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256335E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 3.2054083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6989944E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 3.7293537E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5852834E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.5982945E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300822E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.9459233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300805E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.945922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.097397E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 2.1159494E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9888434E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 9.068354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943917E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.1040721E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943911E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.1040717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.8314464E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 5.8806293E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4991786E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 2.5202618E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427527E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 3.0684189E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427532E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 3.0684184E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 3.288545E-5 | 1.4369445 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.2807529E-4 | 1.3058482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011938206 | 1.0049909 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 3.288545E-5 | 1.4369445 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.2807529E-4 | 1.3058482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011938206 | 1.0049909 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.288568E-5 | 3.288545E-5 | 1.4369445 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.8078235E-5 | 1.2807529E-4 | 1.3058482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0011935262 | 0.0012334784 | 1.0334741 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.011878918 | 0.011938206 | 1.0049909 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 2.0612253E-5 | 1.9422874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 5.5480366E-5 | 1.2198629 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.635957E-4 | 1.0180535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055433903 | 1.0036008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.061236E-5 | 2.0612253E-5 | 1.9422874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.548082E-5 | 5.5480366E-5 | 1.2198629 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.5360125E-4 | 5.635957E-4 | 1.0180535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055235005 | 0.0055433903 | 1.0036008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.364381E-6 | 1.7364307E-5 | 2.3578775 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.15613E-5 | 4.1560983E-5 | 1.3168337 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8419952E-4 | 3.9419567E-4 | 1.0260181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038361861 | 0.0038561092 | 1.0051935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 5.280571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 2.2630858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 2.7550242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027522508 | 0.0027622234 | 1.0036234 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 3.8758585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.6610747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 2.0222267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020209355 | 0.0020309153 | 1.0049382 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 2.7104177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.1616051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.4142106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014137835 | 0.0014237694 | 1.0070633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.8729137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 8.026773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 9.7725955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.772596E-4 | 9.872498E-4 | 1.0102227 | 1.0E-5 |
San Vicente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 2.0383995E-5 | 53.082973 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 2.1645692E-5 | 13.152686 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 7.003551E-5 | 3.4953942 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034774E-4 | 2.603357E-4 | 1.2994193 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.840025E-7 | 2.0383995E-5 | 53.082973 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.645724E-6 | 2.1645692E-5 | 13.152686 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0036512E-5 | 7.003551E-5 | 3.4953942 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1313342E-4 | 2.0034774E-4 | 2.603357E-4 | 1.2994193 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 2.036745E-5 | 55.428158 | 2.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 2.1574782E-5 | 13.699897 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 6.917223E-5 | 3.6077578 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.5170454E-4 | 1.3129029 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.6745672E-7 | 2.036745E-5 | 55.428158 | 2.0E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5748135E-6 | 2.1574782E-5 | 13.699897 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9173192E-5 | 6.917223E-5 | 3.6077578 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0452376E-4 | 1.9171603E-4 | 2.5170454E-4 | 1.3129029 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 2.029801E-5 | 68.11034 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 6.554918E-5 | 4.215392 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.554888E-4 | 2.1547946E-4 | 1.3858199 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.980166E-7 | 2.029801E-5 | 68.11034 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2772134E-6 | 2.1277188E-5 | 16.659071 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5549962E-5 | 6.554918E-5 | 4.215392 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6841863E-4 | 1.554888E-4 | 2.1547946E-4 | 1.3858199 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1973437E-7 | 2.9494197E-7 | 2.0294936E-5 | 68.80993 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3702895E-6 | 1.2640363E-6 | 2.1264012E-5 | 16.82231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6683147E-5 | 1.5389534E-5 | 6.538876E-5 | 4.2489114 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6681894E-4 | 1.5388474E-4 | 2.1387551E-4 | 1.3898422 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0841164E-7 | 2.835559E-7 | 2.028355E-5 | 71.532814 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3217634E-6 | 1.2152389E-6 | 2.1215215E-5 | 17.45765 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6092352E-5 | 1.4795433E-5 | 6.4794694E-5 | 4.379371 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6091186E-4 | 1.4794452E-4 | 2.0793565E-4 | 1.4054974 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.883202E-7 | 2.6331952E-7 | 2.0263315E-5 | 76.95333 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2356575E-6 | 1.1285116E-6 | 2.112849E-5 | 18.722437 | 2.0E-5 | 1.50440255E-5 | 1.3739543E-5 | 6.373886E-5 | 4.6390815 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5043007E-4 | 1.3738696E-4 | 1.9737873E-4 | 1.4366627 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.66663E-7 | 2.414862E-7 | 2.0241481E-5 | 83.82045 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1428409E-6 | 1.0349404E-6 | 2.1034919E-5 | 20.324764 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3914E-5 | 1.2600327E-5 | 6.25997E-5 | 4.968101 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3913128E-4 | 1.2599614E-4 | 1.7598984E-4 | 1.3967875 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3733546E-7 | 2.1209027E-7 | 2.0212086E-5 | 95.29945 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0171515E-6 | 9.0895793E-7 | 2.090894E-5 | 23.003199 | 2.0E-5 | 1.238375E-5 | 1.1066506E-5 | 6.1065955E-5 | 5.518088 | 5.0E-5 | 1.238306E-4 | 1.1065957E-4 | 1.6065403E-4 | 1.4517863 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.123689E-7 | 1.870977E-7 | 2.0187093E-5 | 107.89601 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1015215E-7 | 8.0184697E-7 | 2.080183E-5 | 25.942396 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1081046E-5 | 9.7624425E-6 | 5.9761955E-5 | 6.1216187 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1080493E-4 | 9.762015E-5 | 1.4761527E-4 | 1.5121393 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8244859E-7 | 1.5719704E-7 | 2.0157195E-5 | 128.22884 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8192227E-7 | 6.737014E-7 | 2.0673688E-5 | 30.686724 | 2.0E-5 | 9.519862E-6 | 8.202283E-6 | 5.8201873E-5 | 7.0958133 | 5.0E-5 | 9.519454E-5 | 8.201981E-5 | 1.3201572E-4 | 1.6095588 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.611936E-7 | 1.3784178E-7 | 2.0137839E-5 | 146.09387 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9082955E-7 | 5.9075035E-7 | 2.0590738E-5 | 34.85523 | 2.0E-5 | 8.410817E-6 | 7.1923614E-6 | 3.7192145E-5 | 5.171062 | 3.0E-5 | 8.410499E-5 | 7.192129E-5 | 1.0191913E-4 | 1.4170927 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.414892E-7 | 1.2082995E-7 | 2.0120828E-5 | 166.52185 | 2.0E-5 | 6.063821E-7 | 5.178426E-7 | 2.0517833E-5 | 39.621758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3826773E-6 | 6.3047146E-6 | 3.6304526E-5 | 5.7583137 | 3.0E-5 | 7.382432E-5 | 6.3045365E-5 | 9.304347E-5 | 1.4758178 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0709291E-7 | 9.060423E-8 | 1.0090604E-5 | 111.37011 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5896954E-7 | 3.883038E-7 | 1.03883E-5 | 26.753023 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5879395E-6 | 4.727588E-6 | 1.4727541E-5 | 3.1152334 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5877994E-5 | 4.727488E-5 | 5.7274407E-5 | 1.2115189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.746737E-8 | 5.3744344E-8 | 5.3744344E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8914585E-7 | 2.3033287E-7 | 2.3033287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5203448E-6 | 2.8042991E-6 | 2.8042991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.520289E-5 | 2.804264E-5 | 2.804264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8940264E-8 | 1.8494756E-8 | 1.8494756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.240297E-7 | 7.926323E-8 | 7.926323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100605E-6 | 9.650295E-7 | 9.650295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5100502E-5 | 9.650253E-6 | 9.650253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.0151455E-8 | 5.953115E-9 | 5.953115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3506233E-8 | 2.5513346E-8 | 2.5513346E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.296883E-7 | 3.1062496E-7 | 3.1062496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2968703E-6 | 3.1062452E-6 | 3.1062452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 2.050693E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 8.78867E-11 | 8.78867E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0700206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0700206E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Escarpment
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.03105E-6 | 1.1031039E-5 | 10.69884 | 1.0E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.418779E-6 | 1.4418734E-5 | 3.2630587 | 1.0E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.379737E-5 | 7.379629E-5 | 1.3717453 | 2.0E-5 | 6.124038E-4 | 5.378498E-4 | 5.9781753E-4 | 1.1114953 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1722314E-6 | 1.0292401E-6 | 1.102923E-5 | 10.715896 | 1.0E-5 | 5.023839E-6 | 4.411022E-6 | 1.4410978E-5 | 3.267038 | 1.0E-5 | 6.116352E-5 | 5.3702937E-5 | 7.370186E-5 | 1.3723991 | 2.0E-5 | 6.114669E-4 | 5.3690595E-4 | 5.9687375E-4 | 1.1116915 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1515234E-6 | 1.008353E-6 | 1.1008343E-5 | 10.917151 | 1.0E-5 | 4.935091E-6 | 4.321506E-6 | 1.4321463E-5 | 3.313998 | 1.0E-5 | 6.008308E-5 | 5.261313E-5 | 7.261208E-5 | 1.3801132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0066837E-4 | 5.260131E-4 | 5.859815E-4 | 1.1140056 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1103637E-6 | 9.667978E-7 | 1.0966788E-5 | 11.343415 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7586927E-6 | 4.1434128E-6 | 1.4143371E-5 | 3.4134595 | 1.0E-5 | 5.793554E-5 | 5.0444945E-5 | 7.044394E-5 | 1.3964518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.792044E-4 | 5.0434127E-4 | 5.443211E-4 | 1.0792714 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0425391E-6 | 9.0545143E-7 | 1.0905443E-5 | 12.044205 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4680173E-6 | 3.8805006E-6 | 1.3880462E-5 | 3.576977 | 1.0E-5 | 5.439675E-5 | 4.7244135E-5 | 6.724319E-5 | 1.423313 | 2.0E-5 | 5.438344E-4 | 4.723472E-4 | 5.123283E-4 | 1.0846435 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.0184194E-7 | 5.838369E-7 | 1.0583831E-5 | 18.128063 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0078907E-6 | 2.502156E-6 | 1.2502131E-5 | 4.9965434 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6620455E-5 | 3.046337E-5 | 5.046276E-5 | 1.6565062 | 2.0E-5 | 3.661442E-4 | 3.0459667E-4 | 3.445845E-4 | 1.1312813 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0871365E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 2.2157847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3230577E-6 | 9.4962166E-7 | 9.4962166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.610811E-5 | 1.1561584E-5 | 1.1561584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6106942E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.1560993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.7512665E-8 | 4.0502808E-8 | 4.0502808E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.464828E-7 | 1.7358344E-7 | 1.7358344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0009242E-6 | 2.1133767E-6 | 2.1133767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0008836E-5 | 2.1133586E-5 | 2.1133586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.040053E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 3.3137102E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5885942E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.4201615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.151613E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.7290465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1516086E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.7290453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.3919815E-4 | 1.1433704 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021503728 | 1.0286413 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.3919815E-4 | 1.1433704 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021503728 | 1.0286413 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.3919815E-4 | 1.1433704 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021503728 | 1.0286413 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 4.009752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.7184553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.0920443E-4 | 2.3919815E-4 | 1.1433704 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0020904983 | 0.0021503728 | 1.0286413 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 1.8763459E-4 | 1.1192847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754974 | 0.0017054472 | 1.0178751 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 3.2129933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 1.3769911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.6763793E-4 | 1.8763459E-4 | 1.1192847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0016754974 | 0.0017054472 | 1.0178751 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472555E-6 | 8.472555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001031204 | 0.001031204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.9769357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.472555E-6 | 8.472555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.0314875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.001031204 | 0.001031204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.8018866E-6 | 1.8018866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2242733E-5 | 7.722349E-6 | 7.722349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.4015784E-5 | 9.4015784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014894515 | 9.3995256E-4 | 9.3995256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.325359E-6 | 1.325359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.265135E-6 | 5.680098E-6 | 5.680098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12797185E-4 | 6.915308E-5 | 6.915308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273995 | 6.914927E-4 | 6.914927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.2340921E-6 | 1.2340921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.288956E-6 | 5.288956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.439121E-5 | 6.439121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001026573 | 6.4390205E-4 | 6.4390205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.029796E-6 | 1.029796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.413404E-6 | 4.413404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.3731925E-5 | 5.3731925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.37364E-4 | 5.37364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 5.782679E-7 | 5.782679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.4782887E-6 | 2.4782887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.017276E-5 | 3.017276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.0185704E-4 | 3.0185704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.087955E-7 | 4.087955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.7519795E-6 | 1.7519795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.133015E-5 | 2.133015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.1345104E-4 | 2.1345104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 1.9813486E-7 | 1.9813486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 8.491491E-7 | 8.491491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.0338344E-5 | 1.0338344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.0354811E-4 | 1.0354811E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.6734585E-7 | 1.6734585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 7.1719626E-7 | 7.1719626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 8.731831E-6 | 8.731831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 8.7484346E-5 | 8.7484346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.231475E-7 | 1.231475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 5.2777494E-7 | 5.2777494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 6.425642E-6 | 6.425642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 6.4423926E-5 | 6.4423926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.2118555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 5.1936655E-7 | 5.1936655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 6.323271E-6 | 6.323271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 6.340027E-5 | 6.340027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 6.8152076E-8 | 6.8152076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 2.920803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 3.5560724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 3.5715348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 3.570996E-5 | 2.2730324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 8.732667E-5 | 1.2970332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.593792E-4 | 1.0487754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 3.570996E-5 | 2.2730324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 8.732667E-5 | 1.2970332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.593792E-4 | 1.0487754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 3.570996E-5 | 2.2730324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 8.732667E-5 | 1.2970332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.593792E-4 | 1.0487754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 3.570996E-5 | 2.2730324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 8.732667E-5 | 1.2970332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.593792E-4 | 1.0487754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.5710273E-5 | 3.570996E-5 | 2.2730324 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17144904E-4 | 6.7328016E-5 | 8.732667E-5 | 1.2970332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001425306 | 8.19412E-4 | 8.593792E-4 | 1.0487754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014161989 | 0.008459024 | 0.008518516 | 1.007033 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647789E-5 | 3.5647477E-5 | 2.2781157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.706024E-5 | 8.70589E-5 | 1.2982193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.161543E-4 | 8.5612165E-4 | 1.0489703 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426696 | 0.00848619 | 1.0070602 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.5647789E-5 | 3.5647477E-5 | 2.2781157 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 6.706024E-5 | 8.70589E-5 | 1.2982193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 8.161543E-4 | 8.5612165E-4 | 1.0489703 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.008426696 | 0.00848619 | 1.0070602 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 1.5576496E-5 | 3.5576184E-5 | 2.2839658 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 6.675471E-5 | 8.6753374E-5 | 1.2995844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 8.124372E-4 | 8.5240474E-4 | 1.0491946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.008389787 | 0.008449283 | 1.0070915 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 1.5499601E-5 | 3.549929E-5 | 2.2903357 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 6.6425186E-5 | 8.6423854E-5 | 1.3010706 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 8.084283E-4 | 8.483959E-4 | 1.0494387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.008349822 | 0.008409321 | 1.0071257 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 1.542677E-5 | 3.5426463E-5 | 2.2964277 | 2.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 6.611306E-5 | 8.611174E-5 | 1.3024921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 8.04631E-4 | 8.445988E-4 | 1.0496722 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.00831194 | 0.008371442 | 1.0071585 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 1.5021637E-5 | 3.5021338E-5 | 2.3313928 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 6.4376865E-5 | 8.437558E-5 | 1.3106506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 7.835081E-4 | 8.234768E-4 | 1.0510124 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.00810164 | 0.008161154 | 1.0073459 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 1.4860556E-5 | 3.486026E-5 | 2.3458247 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 6.368655E-5 | 8.368528E-5 | 1.314018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 7.7510957E-4 | 8.1507856E-4 | 1.0515656 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.008017821 | 0.00807734 | 1.0074233 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 1.4132978E-5 | 3.4132696E-5 | 2.4151099 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 6.056851E-5 | 8.05673E-5 | 1.3301846 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 7.3717354E-4 | 7.7714404E-4 | 1.0542213 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0076376777 | 0.0076972195 | 1.0077958 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 1.3002491E-5 | 3.300223E-5 | 2.538147 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 5.5723776E-5 | 7.572266E-5 | 1.3588933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 6.78227E-4 | 7.181999E-4 | 1.0589373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.0070460937 | 0.007105671 | 1.0084554 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 1.2770469E-5 | 3.2770215E-5 | 2.5660932 | 2.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 5.4729437E-5 | 7.472834E-5 | 1.365414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 6.661284E-4 | 7.0610177E-4 | 1.0600085 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.006924313 | 0.0069838976 | 1.0086051 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 1.2376254E-5 | 3.2376007E-5 | 2.615978 | 2.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 5.3040014E-5 | 7.303895E-5 | 1.3770539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 6.45572E-4 | 6.855462E-4 | 1.0619205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.0067164414 | 0.006776038 | 1.0088733 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.1197899E-5 | 3.1197676E-5 | 2.7860293 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 4.799012E-5 | 6.798916E-5 | 1.4167324 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 5.8412406E-4 | 6.241007E-4 | 1.0684386 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.0060949195 | 0.006154554 | 1.0097842 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 9.281411E-6 | 2.9281226E-5 | 3.1548247 | 2.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 3.977687E-5 | 5.9776074E-5 | 1.5027847 | 2.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 4.8417607E-4 | 5.241567E-4 | 1.0825746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.0050873714 | 0.0051470664 | 1.0117339 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 7.865426E-6 | 1.7865348E-5 | 2.2713768 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 3.3708533E-5 | 4.3708198E-5 | 1.2966508 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 4.1032428E-4 | 4.4031197E-4 | 1.0730829 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.0043387865 | 0.0043885694 | 1.011474 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 5.4778284E-6 | 1.5477774E-5 | 2.825531 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 2.3476196E-5 | 3.347596E-5 | 1.4259534 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 2.8578533E-4 | 3.1577676E-4 | 1.1049439 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.003072997 | 0.0031128742 | 1.0129766 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 4.4052535E-6 | 1.4405209E-5 | 3.270007 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 1.887952E-5 | 2.8879333E-5 | 1.5296644 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 2.2983404E-4 | 2.5982715E-4 | 1.130499 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0024952958 | 0.002535196 | 1.0159901 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 2.9357104E-6 | 2.9357104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 1.2581556E-5 | 1.2581556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 1.5316978E-4 | 1.6316825E-4 | 1.065277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.001675989 | 0.0016859723 | 1.0059566 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 2.2909215E-7 | 2.2909215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 9.818232E-7 | 9.818232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 1.1953633E-5 | 1.1953633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 1.438158E-4 | 1.438158E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 1.2995597E-8 | 1.2995597E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 5.5695413E-8 | 5.5695413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 6.7809145E-7 | 6.7809145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 8.5223455E-6 | 8.5223455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.827568E-6 | 2.4827472E-5 | 5.142853 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0689422E-5 | 5.06888E-5 | 2.4499865 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5186603E-4 | 2.9185598E-4 | 1.1587746 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025159507 | 0.0025757996 | 1.0237879 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 4.547469E-5 | 2.938561 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.2838698E-4 | 1.2122804 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019423112 | 1.0318137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6108904E-6 | 2.3610819E-5 | 6.53878 | 2.0E-5 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5475156E-5 | 4.547469E-5 | 2.938561 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8839451E-4 | 2.2838698E-4 | 1.2122804 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018824242 | 0.0019423112 | 1.0318137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1050413E-6 | 2.310498E-5 | 7.4411182 | 2.0E-5 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3307255E-5 | 4.3306856E-5 | 3.2543793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6200446E-4 | 2.0199799E-4 | 1.2468668 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015864341 | 0.00161893 | 0.0016788329 | 1.0370015 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.590645E-6 | 2.2590593E-5 | 8.720065 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1102719E-5 | 4.1102387E-5 | 3.7020106 | 3.0E-5 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3516769E-4 | 1.6516364E-4 | 1.2219166 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013509011 | 0.0014008335 | 1.0369624 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.287203E-6 | 2.2287157E-5 | 9.744286 | 2.0E-5 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.802264E-6 | 3.980197E-5 | 4.0604877 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.19336466E-4 | 1.4933289E-4 | 1.25136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011691054 | 0.0011927673 | 0.0012427076 | 1.0418693 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6820117E-6 | 1.1681995E-5 | 6.945252 | 1.0E-5 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.208603E-6 | 2.7208458E-5 | 3.7744427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.776146E-5 | 1.07759704E-4 | 1.2278705 | 2.0E-5 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.7729277E-4 | 9.172577E-4 | 1.0455548 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.037404E-6 | 1.1037394E-5 | 10.639437 | 1.0E-5 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.4460103E-6 | 2.444592E-5 | 5.4983954 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4128945E-5 | 7.412786E-5 | 1.3694681 | 2.0E-5 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4116896E-4 | 5.811473E-4 | 1.0738741 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 8.9963396E-7 | 1.0899625E-5 | 12.1156225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.855569E-6 | 2.3855491E-5 | 6.187282 | 2.0E-5 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.694065E-5 | 6.693971E-5 | 1.42605 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.693181E-4 | 5.0929934E-4 | 1.08519 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.357876E-7 | 1.0635781E-5 | 16.728514 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7248016E-6 | 2.2724747E-5 | 8.339964 | 2.0E-5 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.317402E-5 | 5.3173357E-5 | 1.6028614 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.3169717E-4 | 3.7168388E-4 | 1.120552 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4166192E-7 | 1.024166E-5 | 42.38011 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0356937E-6 | 2.1035674E-5 | 20.310709 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2609518E-5 | 3.2609267E-5 | 2.5860834 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2609006E-4 | 1.6608502E-4 | 1.3171935 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.25388E-8 | 1.0022539E-5 | 444.67932 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.659485E-8 | 2.0096593E-5 | 208.05035 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1760418E-6 | 2.1176018E-5 | 18.006178 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1760364E-5 | 4.176001E-5 | 3.5509114 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 5.547422E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 2.3774668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 2.8945655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 2.8945628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 6.912476E-5 | 1.4070985 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.3051977E-4 | 1.0949811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0026003865 | 1.015582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.025386665 | 1.001538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 6.912476E-5 | 1.4070985 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.3051977E-4 | 1.0949811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0026003865 | 1.015582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.025386665 | 1.001538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 4.9125745E-5 | 6.912476E-5 | 1.4070985 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1052397E-4 | 2.3051977E-4 | 1.0949811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0025604889 | 0.0026003865 | 1.015582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02534768 | 0.025386665 | 1.001538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 4.927998E-5 | 1.6830269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.4547979E-4 | 1.159365 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.0015566621 | 1.0196202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.015195239 | 1.0019481 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 2.9280567E-5 | 4.927998E-5 | 1.6830269 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2548229E-4 | 1.4547979E-4 | 1.159365 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001526708 | 0.0015566621 | 1.0196202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015165695 | 0.015195239 | 1.0019481 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.4655821E-5 | 4.4655328E-5 | 1.8111475 | 2.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0566362E-4 | 1.256615E-4 | 1.1892599 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0012857115 | 0.001315673 | 1.0233034 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.012784559 | 0.012814176 | 1.0023166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.4637018E-5 | 4.4636527E-5 | 1.8117666 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.05583036E-4 | 1.2558092E-4 | 1.1894044 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0012847317 | 0.0013146931 | 1.0233212 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.0127748735 | 0.01280449 | 1.0023184 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.1945261E-5 | 4.1944822E-5 | 1.9113384 | 2.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.4047806E-5 | 1.1404593E-4 | 1.2126378 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011444445 | 0.0011744101 | 1.0261836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011387028 | 0.011416687 | 1.0026046 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1266496E-5 | 4.126607E-5 | 1.9404265 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.1139016E-5 | 1.111372E-4 | 1.219425 | 2.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011090664 | 0.0011390331 | 1.0270197 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.01103681 | 0.011066479 | 1.0026882 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.8530576E-5 | 3.8530205E-5 | 2.0792773 | 2.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 7.941441E-5 | 9.941281E-5 | 1.2518234 | 2.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.66454E-4 | 9.964249E-4 | 1.0310113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009623832 | 0.009653543 | 1.0030873 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.7559685E-5 | 3.7559334E-5 | 2.1389525 | 2.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.5253694E-5 | 9.525219E-5 | 1.2657477 | 2.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.1584097E-4 | 9.458135E-4 | 1.0327268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009121959 | 0.009151685 | 1.0032588 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.576511E-5 | 3.5764795E-5 | 2.2686043 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.756307E-5 | 8.7561726E-5 | 1.2959996 | 2.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.2228193E-4 | 8.5225725E-4 | 1.0364538 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.0081936205 | 0.008223375 | 1.0036314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.347205E-5 | 2.3471915E-5 | 1.7422675 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.773614E-5 | 6.773556E-5 | 1.1731918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.02721E-4 | 7.12714E-4 | 1.0142204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007006033 | 0.0070159626 | 1.0014174 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.18325315E-5 | 2.1832413E-5 | 1.8451177 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.070992E-5 | 6.070941E-5 | 1.19719 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.172285E-4 | 6.272223E-4 | 1.0161915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0061561554 | 0.006166094 | 1.0016143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.523858E-6 | 1.9523763E-5 | 2.0499847 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.0815947E-5 | 5.081554E-5 | 1.2449923 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 4.968298E-4 | 5.068248E-4 | 1.0201176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0049580787 | 0.004968029 | 1.0020069 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.6154313E-6 | 1.5615375E-5 | 2.780797 | 1.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4065954E-5 | 3.4065713E-5 | 1.4155148 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 2.9297083E-4 | 3.0296788E-4 | 1.0341231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0029265569 | 0.0029365276 | 1.003407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1578536E-5 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9621354E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 6.039725E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006023336 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055363686 | 1.009063 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055363686 | 1.009063 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0530428E-5 | 2.0530322E-5 | 1.949619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.512999E-5 | 5.5129538E-5 | 1.2215722 | 1.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.493842E-4 | 5.793677E-4 | 1.0545766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005486643 | 0.0055363686 | 1.009063 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 2.9861347E-5 | 1.5034754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.5180675E-4 | 1.0413449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024275621 | 1.0041263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 2.9861347E-5 | 1.5034754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.5180675E-4 | 1.0413449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024275621 | 1.0041263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.6343675E-6 | 1.4634321E-5 | 3.1577818 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 1.9861545E-5 | 2.9861347E-5 | 1.5034754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4180916E-4 | 2.5180675E-4 | 1.0413449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024175863 | 0.0024275621 | 1.0041263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.617744E-6 | 1.4617697E-5 | 3.1655498 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 1.9790303E-5 | 2.9790104E-5 | 1.505288 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4094197E-4 | 2.5093957E-4 | 1.0414938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024089331 | 0.002418909 | 1.0041412 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.1440026E-6 | 1.4143961E-5 | 3.413116 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.776001E-5 | 2.7759834E-5 | 1.5630528 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.1622813E-4 | 2.2622597E-4 | 1.0462375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0021622814 | 0.0021722596 | 1.0046147 | 1.0E-5 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011696924 | 1.0042428 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011696924 | 1.0042428 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2441352E-5 | 3.244113E-5 | 1.445596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.6174E-5 | 1.06173036E-4 | 1.1039683 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011703459 | 0.0011903226 | 1.017069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011647507 | 0.011696924 | 1.0042428 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.00639517 | 1.0062538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 1.22163965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 5.2355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.3724787E-4 | 6.4724154E-4 | 1.0156825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0063554244 | 0.00639517 | 1.0062538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.379747E-6 | 9.379747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0198345E-5 | 4.0198345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.893139E-4 | 4.9930904E-4 | 1.0204268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004883255 | 0.004913108 | 1.0061134 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 7.708001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 3.3033917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0212157E-4 | 4.1211754E-4 | 1.0248581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040147137 | 0.0040445933 | 1.0074425 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 6.5853505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 2.8222667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 3.4356414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034310552 | 0.0034509865 | 1.0058091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 5.793799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 2.4830371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 3.0227497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.003019339 | 0.0030392786 | 1.006604 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 5.012291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 2.1481108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 2.6150802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026126802 | 0.002632628 | 1.007635 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 4.0749737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.7464095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 2.1261134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021247407 | 0.0021446983 | 1.0093929 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 2.9775433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.2760874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.55359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015531353 | 0.0015631197 | 1.0064286 | 1.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 3.8154627E-5 | 2.1016054 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.0780256E-4 | 1.3855499 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 9.868431E-4 | 1.0422039 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009487448 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 3.8154627E-5 | 2.1016054 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.0780256E-4 | 1.3855499 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 9.868431E-4 | 1.0422039 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009487448 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.8154991E-5 | 3.8154627E-5 | 2.1016054 | 2.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 7.780489E-5 | 1.0780256E-4 | 1.3855499 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 9.4688096E-4 | 9.868431E-4 | 1.0422039 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.0094379205 | 0.009487448 | 1.0052478 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 3.6202226E-5 | 2.2343535 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 8.943635E-5 | 1.2880079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.750645E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.008467399 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 3.6202226E-5 | 2.2343535 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 8.943635E-5 | 1.2880079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.750645E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.008467399 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.6202552E-5 | 3.6202226E-5 | 2.2343535 | 2.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 6.943774E-5 | 8.943635E-5 | 1.2880079 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 8.450899E-4 | 8.750645E-4 | 1.0354692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.008427736 | 0.008467399 | 1.0047063 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.550216E-5 | 3.550185E-5 | 2.2901227 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2234634E-5 | 6.643621E-5 | 8.6434884E-5 | 1.3010206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.0857414E-4 | 8.3854987E-4 | 1.0370723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008065318 | 0.008104996 | 1.0049195 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.3452433E-5 | 2.34523E-5 | 1.7433499 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546184E-5 | 5.7652058E-5 | 6.765148E-5 | 1.1734444 | 1.0E-5 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.016959E-4 | 7.216819E-4 | 1.0284823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.007002187 | 0.007031977 | 1.0042543 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.26286195E-5 | 2.2628494E-5 | 1.7918422 | 1.0E-5 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.4121574E-5 | 6.4121035E-5 | 1.1847591 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8517193E-4 | 6.587383E-4 | 6.7872513E-4 | 1.030341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.0065738326 | 0.0066036354 | 1.0045335 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.1750667E-5 | 2.175055E-5 | 1.8510056 | 1.0E-5 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.0359067E-5 | 6.0358565E-5 | 1.1985639 | 1.0E-5 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.129557E-4 | 6.3294347E-4 | 1.0326087 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006118268 | 0.0061480845 | 1.0048734 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 9.538166E-6 | 1.953807E-5 | 2.0484097 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.0877225E-5 | 5.0876817E-5 | 1.244625 | 1.0E-5 | 6.944992E-4 | 4.975688E-4 | 5.075638E-4 | 1.0200877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.0049682423 | 0.0049881428 | 1.0040056 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.082002E-6 | 1.908191E-5 | 2.1010687 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5136024E-5 | 3.8922295E-5 | 4.8921906E-5 | 1.2569121 | 1.0E-5 | 6.710743E-4 | 4.7377803E-4 | 4.8377327E-4 | 1.021097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.0047308183 | 0.0047507235 | 1.0042076 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 7.911793E-6 | 1.7911714E-5 | 2.263926 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.390725E-5 | 4.390691E-5 | 1.2949122 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.1274406E-4 | 4.2273992E-4 | 1.0242181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004121075 | 0.0041409926 | 1.0048331 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 6.614802E-6 | 1.6614735E-5 | 2.5117512 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2893007E-5 | 2.834885E-5 | 3.8348564E-5 | 1.352738 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.450938E-4 | 3.5509033E-4 | 1.0289676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.00344589 | 0.0034558557 | 1.002892 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 5.8981586E-6 | 1.58981E-5 | 2.6954343 | 1.0E-5 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.5277584E-5 | 3.527733E-5 | 1.3955975 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.077123E-4 | 3.1770923E-4 | 1.0324879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00474572 | 0.0030729864 | 0.0030829557 | 1.0032442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 4.953516E-6 | 1.4953466E-5 | 3.018758 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.1229187E-5 | 3.1228974E-5 | 1.4710397 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.5843576E-4 | 2.6843318E-4 | 1.0386844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0025814592 | 0.0025914335 | 1.0038638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.297381E-6 | 4.297381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 1.8417224E-5 | 1.8417224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.2420762E-4 | 2.2420762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.002239912 | 0.002239912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.1180197E-6 | 2.1180197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.077199E-6 | 9.077199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.10509915E-4 | 1.10509915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0011046109 | 0.0011046109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 2.1484351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 9.207304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011205004 | 0.0011404781 | 1.0178292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011157204 | 0.011206647 | 1.0044314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.346957E-4 | 1.0159976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062622735 | 1.0047835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.197543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 5.1322437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.2470196E-4 | 6.346957E-4 | 1.0159976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0062324605 | 0.0062622735 | 1.0047835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 6.564122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 2.8131717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 3.4246195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034205352 | 0.0034205352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 6.261584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 2.6835152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 3.26681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0032631895 | 0.0032631895 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 5.254099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 2.2517437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 2.741267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027390027 | 0.0027390027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.9094311E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 8.1832595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 9.962816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 9.95985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 8.1539775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 3.494559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 4.2545747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 4.2540784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 7.411565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 3.176383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 3.8672097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 3.8668502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 2.7483326E-5 | 3.6725354 | 2.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 5.2071224E-5 | 1.6235795 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.3042944E-4 | 1.1024072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.003951323 | 1.0127655 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 2.7483326E-5 | 3.6725354 | 2.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 5.2071224E-5 | 1.6235795 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.3042944E-4 | 1.1024072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.003951323 | 1.0127655 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 2.7483326E-5 | 3.6725354 | 2.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 5.2071224E-5 | 1.6235795 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.3042944E-4 | 1.1024072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.003951323 | 1.0127655 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 2.7483326E-5 | 3.6725354 | 2.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 5.2071224E-5 | 1.6235795 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.3042944E-4 | 1.1024072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.003951323 | 1.0127655 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.4834747E-6 | 2.7483326E-5 | 3.6725354 | 2.0E-5 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2071865E-5 | 5.2071224E-5 | 1.6235795 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9044506E-4 | 4.3042944E-4 | 1.1024072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003738865 | 0.0039015184 | 0.003951323 | 1.0127655 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 2.5482745E-5 | 4.647715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 4.349748E-5 | 1.8511182 | 2.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.1607892E-4 | 1.104833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.0028907892 | 1.0104563 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.4828542E-6 | 2.5482745E-5 | 4.647715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3497947E-5 | 4.349748E-5 | 1.8511182 | 2.0E-5 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.860875E-4 | 3.1607892E-4 | 1.104833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002741426 | 0.002860875 | 0.0028907892 | 1.0104563 | 3.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 3.6543093E-5 | 2.2089198 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 9.089734E-5 | 1.2820724 | 2.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 8.8288635E-4 | 1.0231576 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008640438 | 1.0046108 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6543423E-5 | 3.6543093E-5 | 2.2089198 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.089876E-5 | 9.089734E-5 | 1.2820724 | 2.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.629036E-4 | 8.8288635E-4 | 1.0231576 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008600782 | 0.008640438 | 1.0046108 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 2.3481896E-5 | 1.7417179 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 6.777854E-5 | 1.1730629 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.132738E-4 | 1.014209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.007044983 | 1.0042465 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3482031E-5 | 2.3481896E-5 | 1.7417179 | 1.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.777912E-5 | 6.777854E-5 | 1.1730629 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.0328085E-4 | 7.132738E-4 | 1.014209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0070151933 | 0.007044983 | 1.0042465 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0028388E-5 | 2.0028288E-5 | 1.9971592 | 1.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.297832E-5 | 5.297789E-5 | 1.2326654 | 1.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.2317523E-4 | 5.3316995E-4 | 1.019104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052233418 | 0.005243237 | 1.003809 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 9.976392E-6 | 1.9976293E-5 | 2.0023565 | 1.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.2755488E-5 | 5.2755062E-5 | 1.2338781 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.204635E-4 | 5.304583E-4 | 1.0192037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0051963516 | 0.005216248 | 1.0038289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.321582E-6 | 1.8321498E-5 | 2.2016847 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.5663652E-5 | 4.5663295E-5 | 1.2803875 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.3415706E-4 | 4.4415274E-4 | 1.0230231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004336879 | 0.004346836 | 1.0022959 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 2.4192843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.03683205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.2622718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.001261573 | 0.001261573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 2.184521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 9.3622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.13979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.001139222 | 0.001139222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.9618697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 8.407987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.0236259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010231701 | 0.0010231701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.6047147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 6.877331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 8.372842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 8.369809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.620697E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086477E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002928585 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028902901 | 0.028102783 | 0.02813194 | 1.0010375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.02813194 | 1.0010375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 5.4549088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 2.3376304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0028427315 | 0.0028427315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.028102783 | 0.02813194 | 1.0010375 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 3.9092887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.6753159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0020380353 | 0.0020380353 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.020218147 | 0.02024754 | 1.0014538 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 3.2324126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.3852582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0016854599 | 0.0016854599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.01674792 | 0.016777417 | 1.0017613 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 3.2275755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.3831853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.00168294 | 0.00168294 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.016723102 | 0.0167526 | 1.0017639 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 2.6594726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.13973554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0013869469 | 0.0013869469 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.013802872 | 0.0138225965 | 1.001429 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 2.3033865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 9.871395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012013782 | 0.0012013782 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.0119683705 | 0.0119683705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 7.3474157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 3.148856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.8330845E-4 | 3.8330845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0038267397 | 0.0038267397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 6.2831273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 2.6927424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.2779446E-4 | 3.2779446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0032733486 | 0.0032733486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 4.3292707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.8553897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.2587224E-4 | 2.2587224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0022566202 | 0.0022566202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.783118E-4 | 1.0263538 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.783118E-4 | 1.0263538 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.4538361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 6.2305866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.5832696E-4 | 7.783118E-4 | 1.0263538 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007559108 | 0.0075988057 | 1.0052516 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.279412E-4 | 1.0328772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.0061036763 | 1.0065564 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.1654667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 4.9947674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.079534E-4 | 6.279412E-4 | 1.0328772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0060639186 | 0.0061036763 | 1.0065564 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0330346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 4.4272216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.3888996E-4 | 5.588792E-4 | 1.0370933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0053767376 | 0.0054165223 | 1.0073994 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 9.3011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 3.98613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.8521193E-4 | 5.052022E-4 | 1.0411991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0048423875 | 0.0048821936 | 1.0082204 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 9.291731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 3.9821145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.8472328E-4 | 5.0471356E-4 | 1.0412407 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004837522 | 0.0048773284 | 1.0082287 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 7.290396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 3.1244224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8034003E-4 | 4.003324E-4 | 1.0525645 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0037976773 | 0.0038375254 | 1.0104928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 5.2079067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 2.2319442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7171135E-4 | 2.9170592E-4 | 1.0735875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027143832 | 0.0027542745 | 1.0146964 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 3.5447617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.519177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.849481E-4 | 2.0494442E-4 | 1.1081184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018483351 | 0.0018782797 | 1.0162008 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.2774252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 5.474677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.6653745E-5 | 7.665308E-5 | 1.150019 | 1.0E-5 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.664937E-4 | 6.764871E-4 | 1.0149939 | 1.0E-5 |
Thirty Mile Bank
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6324033E-6 | 3.6632206E-5 | 5.523217 | 3.0E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.84243E-5 | 5.8423448E-5 | 2.055405 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.4601524E-4 | 3.860014E-4 | 1.1155618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033923604 | 0.003455193 | 0.0034950548 | 1.0115368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5261137E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 3.5943349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111828E-5 | 1.5404206E-5 | 1.5404206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397097E-4 | 1.875307E-4 | 1.9752883E-4 | 1.0533146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381875 | 0.0018737891 | 0.0018837703 | 1.0053267 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.370743E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 3.436023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445961E-5 | 1.4725733E-5 | 1.4725733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7586538E-4 | 1.7927166E-4 | 1.7927166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017572626 | 0.0017913319 | 0.0017913319 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2756835E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 2.3223417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.752893E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 9.952857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18735006E-4 | 1.21169534E-4 | 1.21169534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011867158 | 0.0012110592 | 0.0012110592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1617404E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 2.205769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.264569E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 9.453263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1279029E-4 | 1.1508764E-4 | 1.1508764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273306 | 0.0011503043 | 0.0011503043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5900777E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.6245945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.814601E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 6.96253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.296461E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 8.4765634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.293364E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 8.473456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.2971728E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.3260753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5593005E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 5.683168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.768238E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 6.919048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7661767E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 6.916996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.2454284E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 8.4109104E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5337503E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 3.6046713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302256E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 4.388605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.301423E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 4.3877985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.2619024E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 4.362609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265283E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.8696882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2237757E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 2.276322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223553E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 2.2760927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.993922E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 3.0687394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831089E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.3151734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621737E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.6012122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.562064E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.6010994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.7429355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 7.4697215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 9.0943495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 9.093997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.394022E-4 | 1.0243876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.09197719 | 0.09201351 | 1.0003949 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1894548E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.394022E-4 | 1.0243876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.09197719 | 0.09201351 | 1.0003949 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1656485E-4 | 1.9130814E-4 | 2.0130623E-4 | 1.0522617 | 1.0E-5 | 4.99468E-4 | 8.194186E-4 | 8.394022E-4 | 1.0243876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060640806 | 0.009892147 | 0.009911949 | 1.0020018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059012495 | 0.09197719 | 0.09201351 | 1.0003949 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.152476E-4 | 1.9014835E-4 | 2.0014645E-4 | 1.0525805 | 1.0E-5 | 4.938248E-4 | 8.14452E-4 | 8.344357E-4 | 1.0245364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005995755 | 0.009832346 | 0.0098521495 | 1.0020142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058365438 | 0.09143994 | 0.091476284 | 1.0003974 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 1.7304847E-4 | 1.8304674E-4 | 1.0577773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 7.4124994E-4 | 7.512425E-4 | 1.0134808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.008957619 | 0.008967529 | 1.0011064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.084123716 | 0.08415119 | 1.0003266 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.5328005E-4 | 1.6327851E-4 | 1.06523 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 6.566133E-4 | 6.6660676E-4 | 1.0152197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.007941975 | 0.007951896 | 1.0012491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.07527603 | 0.07530377 | 1.0003685 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.1726385E-4 | 1.1726385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 5.024469E-4 | 5.024469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.006097336 | 0.006097336 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.059686758 | 0.059705563 | 1.0003151 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.1305138E-4 | 1.1305138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 4.8440276E-4 | 4.8440276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0058792774 | 0.0058792774 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.057663042 | 0.05768189 | 1.0003269 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 9.691953E-5 | 9.691953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 4.152978E-4 | 4.152978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.005043224 | 0.005043224 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.049817633 | 0.049836636 | 1.0003815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 7.5087606E-5 | 7.5087606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 3.217646E-4 | 3.217646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.003910495 | 0.003910495 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.03908619 | 0.039105408 | 1.0004917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 6.229069E-5 | 6.229069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 2.6693303E-4 | 2.6693303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0032451155 | 0.0032451155 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.03264093 | 0.03266028 | 1.0005927 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 5.139954E-5 | 5.139954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 2.2026534E-4 | 2.2026534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0026784672 | 0.0026784672 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.027099352 | 0.027118811 | 1.000718 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 3.8993567E-5 | 3.8993567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 1.6710468E-4 | 1.6710468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0020326183 | 0.0020326183 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.020759623 | 0.020779207 | 1.0009434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 2.8093922E-5 | 2.8093922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.20397024E-4 | 1.20397024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0014648588 | 0.0014648588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.015028905 | 0.015038755 | 1.0006554 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 1.8721754E-5 | 1.8721754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 8.023363E-5 | 8.023363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 9.764079E-4 | 9.764079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.010118043 | 0.010127942 | 1.0009784 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 1.6547838E-5 | 1.6547838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 7.0917384E-5 | 7.0917384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 8.6307834E-4 | 8.6307834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.0089825215 | 0.008992432 | 1.0011033 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.1684657E-5 | 1.1684657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 5.007614E-5 | 5.007614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 6.095072E-4 | 6.095072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.006413511 | 0.006423447 | 1.0015492 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 5.0711965E-6 | 5.0711965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 2.1733518E-5 | 2.1733518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 2.6457346E-4 | 2.6457346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0029050806 | 0.0029150515 | 1.0034323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 4.525264E-6 | 4.525264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 1.9393845E-5 | 1.9393845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 2.360945E-4 | 2.360945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.002598783 | 0.002608757 | 1.003838 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 3.6112417E-6 | 3.6112417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 1.5476659E-5 | 1.5476659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 1.8841204E-4 | 1.8841204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0020603081 | 0.0020603081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 2.2398917E-6 | 2.2398917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 9.599501E-6 | 9.599501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 1.1686767E-4 | 1.1686767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0012613958 | 0.0012613958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 1.2020975E-6 | 1.2020975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 5.1518364E-6 | 5.1518364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 6.272181E-5 | 6.272181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 6.748826E-4 | 6.748826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 2.6420212E-5 | 1.6089895 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 8.037057E-5 | 1.1420934 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 2.6420212E-5 | 1.6089895 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 8.037057E-5 | 1.1420934 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6420376E-5 | 2.6420212E-5 | 1.6089895 | 1.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.037127E-5 | 8.037057E-5 | 1.1420934 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.5645635E-4 | 8.864306E-4 | 1.034998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008533861 | 0.008573519 | 1.0046473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 2.168623E-5 | 1.8556894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 6.0082915E-5 | 1.1996568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.16863475E-5 | 2.168623E-5 | 1.8556894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0083418E-5 | 6.0082915E-5 | 1.1996568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.0960074E-4 | 6.1959465E-4 | 1.0163941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0060798754 | 0.0060898145 | 1.0016347 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0434967E-5 | 2.0434863E-5 | 1.9583063 | 1.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.472055E-5 | 5.47201E-5 | 1.2236009 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.4434146E-4 | 5.54336E-4 | 1.0183609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005430565 | 0.005440511 | 1.0018314 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 8.996141E-6 | 1.8996052E-5 | 2.1115777 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.8554343E-5 | 4.8553957E-5 | 1.2593641 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.6930186E-4 | 4.7929716E-4 | 1.0212983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0046834927 | 0.0046934457 | 1.0021251 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.254033E-6 | 1.825395E-5 | 2.211519 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.5373967E-5 | 4.5373614E-5 | 1.2826837 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.305965E-4 | 4.4059218E-4 | 1.0232136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0042979796 | 0.0043079364 | 1.0023167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.696965E-6 | 1.7696888E-5 | 2.2992034 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.2986598E-5 | 4.2986267E-5 | 1.3031434 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.015413E-4 | 4.1153727E-4 | 1.024894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004008504 | 0.004018464 | 1.0024847 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 6.9949447E-6 | 1.6994874E-5 | 2.4295938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 2.9978008E-5 | 3.997771E-5 | 1.3335679 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.649244E-4 | 3.7492075E-4 | 1.027393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0036435798 | 0.0036535433 | 1.0027345 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 4.9686205E-6 | 1.496857E-5 | 3.0126212 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1293921E-5 | 3.1293708E-5 | 1.4696076 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.5922412E-4 | 2.6922155E-4 | 1.0385667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0025893645 | 0.0025993388 | 1.003852 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.5279203E-6 | 1.45278755E-5 | 3.2085094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9405237E-5 | 2.9405042E-5 | 1.5153148 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.362346E-4 | 2.4623223E-4 | 1.0423208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0023599796 | 0.0023699559 | 1.0042273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 4.062671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.7411337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 2.1196387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021177593 | 0.0021177593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 3.5493424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.5211387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.8518431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018504397 | 0.0018504397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 2.8297707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.212754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.4764417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0014755968 | 0.0014755968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.4832208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 6.3566517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 7.739069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 7.737553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 2.558734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0965999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.335105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.335052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4563478E-5 | 1.4928068E-5 | 4.492762E-5 | 3.009607 | 3.0E-5 | 6.241341E-5 | 6.397587E-5 | 9.3973955E-5 | 1.4688967 | 3.0E-5 | 7.5961836E-4 | 7.786299E-4 | 8.086065E-4 | 1.0384992 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00757027 | 0.007759265 | 0.007798955 | 1.0051152 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 2.1237687E-5 | 1.889844 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 5.816063E-5 | 1.2076265 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.961986E-4 | 1.0170488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005866559 | 1.0034008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1237799E-5 | 2.1237687E-5 | 1.889844 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.816111E-5 | 5.816063E-5 | 1.2076265 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.8620446E-4 | 5.961986E-4 | 1.0170488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058466764 | 0.005866559 | 1.0034008 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.144834E-6 | 1.9144743E-5 | 2.0935035 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.919156E-5 | 4.9191167E-5 | 1.255147 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.7705308E-4 | 4.870483E-4 | 1.020952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047603343 | 0.004780239 | 1.0041814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.862838E-6 | 1.786276E-5 | 2.2717955 | 1.0E-5 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3697444E-5 | 4.3697106E-5 | 1.2967484 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1018933E-4 | 4.201852E-4 | 1.024369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004094348 | 0.0041142656 | 1.0048648 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.313926E-6 | 1.6313863E-5 | 2.5837905 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7059403E-5 | 3.7059133E-5 | 1.3695472 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.2939852E-4 | 3.3939522E-4 | 1.0303484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0032891145 | 0.0033090487 | 1.0060607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 5.684697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 2.436276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 2.9657627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029618132 | 0.0029717837 | 1.0033664 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 4.8993693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 2.0997128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 2.556101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025531664 | 0.0025631408 | 1.0039067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 4.0861737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.7512055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 2.1318844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021298428 | 0.0021298428 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 3.5002035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.5000786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.8261929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018246946 | 0.0018246946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 2.8297136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.2127288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.4763974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014754181 | 0.0014754181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 2.2726651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 9.739957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.1857753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011851437 | 0.0011851437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.6122702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 6.9097114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 8.412249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 8.4090704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0493779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 4.4973262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 5.475357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 5.47401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 6.6489974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 2.8495672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 3.469293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 3.4687525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 3.313929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.4202545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.729146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.729012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 9.760589E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 4.1831086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 5.092923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 5.0928073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 5.814713E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 2.4920197E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 3.0340337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 3.0340298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.2123649E-4 | 1.328776 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011403073 | 1.0269887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.2123649E-4 | 1.328776 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011403073 | 1.0269887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1289805E-5 | 4.128938E-5 | 1.9393967 | 2.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.123922E-5 | 1.2123649E-4 | 1.328776 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011103406 | 0.0011403073 | 1.0269887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.011054813 | 0.011094371 | 1.0035783 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 2.648472E-5 | 1.6066062 | 1.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 8.064722E-5 | 1.141537 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.698492E-4 | 1.0116198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008581013 | 1.0011567 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6484886E-5 | 2.648472E-5 | 1.6066062 | 1.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.0647926E-5 | 8.064722E-5 | 1.141537 | 1.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.5985777E-4 | 8.698492E-4 | 1.0116198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.0085710995 | 0.008581013 | 1.0011567 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.52425955E-5 | 2.5242443E-5 | 1.6560463 | 1.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.53241E-5 | 7.532345E-5 | 1.1530728 | 1.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 7.950885E-4 | 8.050805E-4 | 1.0125672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.00792813 | 0.007938052 | 1.0012513 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4468871E-5 | 2.4468727E-5 | 1.691129 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.2008294E-5 | 7.200768E-5 | 1.1612587 | 1.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.5474696E-4 | 7.647394E-4 | 1.0132395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007527492 | 0.0075374166 | 1.0013185 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.3995134E-5 | 2.3994995E-5 | 1.714524 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 5.997809E-5 | 6.997749E-5 | 1.1667175 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.3004584E-4 | 7.400385E-4 | 1.0136877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0072821057 | 0.007292033 | 1.0013633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 6.1241913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 2.6246435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 3.1953253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0031935778 | 0.0031935778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 4.7158715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 2.0210879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 2.4606744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002285778 | 0.0024606744 | 0.0024606744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ozena
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4489534E-6 | 1.14489385E-5 | 7.901523 | 1.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.209787E-6 | 2.6209664E-5 | 4.220702 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.5601805E-5 | 9.560029E-5 | 1.264524 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4991904E-4 | 7.557874E-4 | 7.9575717E-4 | 1.0528849 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.223257E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 9.300802E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9528186E-6 | 3.986052E-6 | 1.3986012E-5 | 3.5087378 | 1.0E-5 | 4.81245E-5 | 4.8529146E-5 | 5.852866E-5 | 1.2060517 | 1.0E-5 | 4.811408E-4 | 4.851895E-4 | 5.1517494E-4 | 1.0618016 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.141515E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 9.21864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.917786E-6 | 3.95084E-6 | 1.39508E-5 | 3.5310974 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7698002E-5 | 4.8100454E-5 | 5.8099973E-5 | 1.2078882 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7687767E-4 | 4.8090445E-4 | 5.1089004E-4 | 1.0623524 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.767648E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 8.842365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.757558E-6 | 3.7895798E-6 | 1.3789542E-5 | 3.638805 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5747307E-5 | 4.6137196E-5 | 5.6136734E-5 | 1.2167349 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5737892E-4 | 4.6128008E-4 | 4.9126626E-4 | 1.0650064 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.199402E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 8.270062E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5140247E-6 | 3.544308E-6 | 1.3544272E-5 | 3.8214154 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2782412E-5 | 4.315113E-5 | 5.31507E-5 | 1.2317337 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2774176E-4 | 4.3143122E-4 | 4.6141827E-4 | 1.069506 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.38705E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 7.4505226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1658747E-6 | 3.1930774E-6 | 1.3193046E-5 | 4.131765 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8543843E-5 | 3.887506E-5 | 4.887467E-5 | 1.2572243 | 1.0E-5 | 3.853716E-4 | 3.8868608E-4 | 4.1867443E-4 | 1.0771531 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.490017E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 6.5457436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7814328E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 2.805316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.386342E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 3.415422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3858258E-4 | 3.4149305E-4 | 3.6148622E-4 | 1.0585463 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.346736E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 5.392386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.291456E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 2.3110208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789812E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 2.8136346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789462E-4 | 2.8133087E-4 | 2.9132803E-4 | 1.0355353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.939325E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 2.961758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25971E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.2693243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5336862E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.545393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335804E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.5453016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.4151905E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.4235295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.065101E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 6.1008393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3842357E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 7.4277473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.38399E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 7.427506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.4957577E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 4.520004E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9267533E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.9371444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3458194E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 2.3584707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3457947E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 2.3584467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.9993255E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 6.0338587E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5711394E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 2.5859395E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303617E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 3.148381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303573E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 3.1483776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012316852 | 1.0081754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012183863 | 1.0024383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 2.3426928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.00397505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012216974 | 0.0012316852 | 1.0081754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012154227 | 0.012183863 | 1.0024383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005867489 | 1.0016972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.1258082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 4.8248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 5.8726565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.0058575477 | 0.005867489 | 1.0016972 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 8.159802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 3.497012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.256794E-4 | 4.256794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004248784 | 0.004258741 | 1.0023437 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 6.7860597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 2.9082794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.540264E-4 | 3.540264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035347184 | 0.0035347184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 5.830054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 2.4985711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0415927E-4 | 3.0415927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030375016 | 0.0030375016 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 4.893558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 2.0972226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5530747E-4 | 2.5530747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.002550197 | 0.002550197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 3.7163902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.5927291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9389793E-4 | 1.9389793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019373278 | 0.0019373278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 2.6455673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.1338098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.3803288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013794984 | 0.0013794984 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.7847071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 7.648723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 9.3119386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 9.308199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.1388626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 4.880831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 5.9422597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 5.9407664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 6.328345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 2.7121453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 3.3019936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 3.3015703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica Bay
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.557104E-7 | 2.0655698E-5 | 31.501251 | 2.0E-5 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.8101845E-6 | 2.2810129E-5 | 8.116951 | 2.0E-5 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.4213477E-5 | 5.4212793E-5 | 1.584545 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3876215E-4 | 3.4208386E-4 | 3.720736E-4 | 1.0876678 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.3621707E-7 | 6.425284E-7 | 2.0642516E-5 | 32.12701 | 2.0E-5 | 2.726642E-6 | 2.7536903E-6 | 2.2753635E-5 | 8.262961 | 2.0E-5 | 3.319636E-5 | 3.352568E-5 | 5.352501E-5 | 1.5965376 | 2.0E-5 | 3.31914E-4 | 3.35208E-4 | 3.6519795E-4 | 1.0894667 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.796316E-7 | 5.8564524E-7 | 2.0585634E-5 | 35.15035 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4841331E-6 | 2.5099057E-6 | 2.2509856E-5 | 8.968407 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0243902E-5 | 3.055769E-5 | 5.055708E-5 | 1.6544797 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0239785E-4 | 3.0553644E-4 | 3.3552726E-4 | 1.098158 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.2654514E-7 | 5.322372E-7 | 2.0532227E-5 | 38.57721 | 2.0E-5 | 2.25662E-6 | 2.2810148E-6 | 2.2280969E-5 | 9.768007 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7474003E-5 | 2.7771015E-5 | 4.777046E-5 | 1.7201554 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7470608E-4 | 2.7767685E-4 | 3.0766852E-4 | 1.1080092 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.582996E-7 | 4.6350223E-7 | 1.0463497E-5 | 22.57486 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9641398E-6 | 1.9864367E-6 | 1.1986417E-5 | 6.0341296 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3913139E-5 | 2.4184612E-5 | 3.418437E-5 | 1.4134761 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3910566E-4 | 2.4182104E-4 | 2.5181862E-4 | 1.0413429 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9690556E-7 | 4.0159335E-7 | 1.0401589E-5 | 25.9008 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7010227E-6 | 1.7211132E-6 | 1.1721096E-5 | 6.810183 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0709755E-5 | 2.0954365E-5 | 3.0954154E-5 | 1.4772176 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0707825E-4 | 2.0952502E-4 | 2.1952293E-4 | 1.047717 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.514765E-7 | 2.54706E-7 | 1.0254704E-5 | 40.26094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.077756E-6 | 1.0915968E-6 | 1.1091586E-5 | 10.160882 | 1.0E-5 | 1.31216E-5 | 1.3290115E-5 | 2.3289982E-5 | 1.7524289 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3120825E-4 | 1.3289378E-4 | 1.4289244E-4 | 1.0752381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6412821E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.6640527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0340644E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 7.1316526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.563939E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 8.682753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.56361E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 8.6824184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2030355E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.2205176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155865E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 5.230789E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.277248E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 6.368467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2770705E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 6.3682885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0539674E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 3.1019276E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308843E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.3293975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935152E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.6185404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935038E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.6185308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 8.177678E-5 | 1.579363 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.5188242E-4 | 1.1351727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002728257 | 1.011088 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676506 | 0.026705705 | 1.0010946 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.1778334E-5 | 8.177678E-5 | 1.579363 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.2188907E-4 | 2.5188242E-4 | 1.1351727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002350731 | 0.002698338 | 0.002728257 | 1.011088 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023260195 | 0.026676506 | 0.026705705 | 1.0010946 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 7.4650416E-5 | 1.6718361 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.2134553E-4 | 1.1567497 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023572794 | 1.0128602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.02304519 | 0.023074498 | 1.0012718 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.465175E-5 | 7.4650416E-5 | 1.6718361 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6868966E-4 | 1.9135127E-4 | 2.2134553E-4 | 1.1567497 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002051862 | 0.0023273493 | 0.0023572794 | 1.0128602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020330196 | 0.02304519 | 0.023074498 | 1.0012718 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 6.597976E-5 | 1.8337471 | 3.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.8419023E-4 | 1.194529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019057146 | 1.0159634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607374 | 0.018636817 | 1.0015823 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.598084E-5 | 6.597976E-5 | 1.8337471 | 3.0E-5 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.5419484E-4 | 1.8419023E-4 | 1.194529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0018757709 | 0.0019057146 | 1.0159634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016718714 | 0.018607374 | 0.018636817 | 1.0015823 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.2372496E-5 | 6.2371524E-5 | 1.9266826 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.3873221E-4 | 1.6872805E-4 | 1.216214 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0016878126 | 0.001717762 | 1.0177445 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015175272 | 0.016756913 | 0.01678641 | 1.0017604 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.06099E-5 | 6.060898E-5 | 1.9800451 | 3.0E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.31179E-4 | 1.6117506E-4 | 1.2286651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0015959888 | 0.0016259408 | 1.0187671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014414776 | 0.015851963 | 0.015881488 | 1.0018625 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.5349931E-5 | 3.5349676E-5 | 1.3944684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.08638276E-4 | 1.1863719E-4 | 1.0920386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00121972 | 0.001321911 | 0.0013318978 | 1.0075548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01213047 | 0.01314582 | 0.0131556885 | 1.0007507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.2177424E-5 | 3.2177202E-5 | 1.450899 | 1.0E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 9.504282E-5 | 1.0504187E-4 | 1.1052058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0011565643 | 0.0011665528 | 1.0086364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010738871 | 0.011509704 | 0.011519589 | 1.0008588 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.8387127E-5 | 2.8386943E-5 | 1.5438488 | 1.0E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 7.8799705E-5 | 8.8798915E-5 | 1.126894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1075303E-4 | 9.589838E-4 | 9.689742E-4 | 1.0104177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009070295 | 0.009551418 | 0.009561323 | 1.001037 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.5305239E-5 | 2.5305086E-5 | 1.6533611 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 6.559231E-5 | 7.5591655E-5 | 1.1524469 | 1.0E-5 | 7.723524E-4 | 7.983077E-4 | 8.0829975E-4 | 1.0125165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007696735 | 0.007956765 | 0.007966685 | 1.0012468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.4585256E-5 | 2.458511E-5 | 1.6856139 | 1.0E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.250682E-5 | 7.250619E-5 | 1.1599725 | 1.0E-5 | 7.396263E-4 | 7.6076854E-4 | 7.7076093E-4 | 1.0131346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073716943 | 0.007583973 | 0.007593897 | 1.0013086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.4075255E-5 | 2.4075114E-5 | 1.7104567 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.0321207E-5 | 7.03206E-5 | 1.1657692 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.341768E-4 | 7.4416946E-4 | 1.0136107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007138774 | 0.0073198276 | 0.0073297545 | 1.0013561 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.3045821E-5 | 2.304569E-5 | 1.766519 | 1.0E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 5.590954E-5 | 6.590898E-5 | 1.1788504 | 1.0E-5 | 6.681934E-4 | 6.8049936E-4 | 6.9049257E-4 | 1.014685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006661878 | 0.006786436 | 0.006796368 | 1.0014635 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.1793514E-5 | 2.1793396E-5 | 1.8479137 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.0542727E-5 | 6.054222E-5 | 1.1978424 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.151972E-4 | 6.25191E-4 | 1.016245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006032217 | 0.0061371666 | 0.0061471052 | 1.0016195 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 2.987096E-6 | 1.2987066E-5 | 4.347723 | 1.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.2801811E-5 | 2.2801683E-5 | 1.7811295 | 1.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.5585677E-4 | 1.6585522E-4 | 1.0641515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0015583453 | 0.0015683298 | 1.006407 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.1900642E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037857813 | 1.0079575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.03844617 | 1.0007509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.1900642E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037857813 | 1.0079575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.03844617 | 1.0007509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.1900642E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037857813 | 1.0079575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.03844617 | 1.0007509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.1900642E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037857813 | 1.0079575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.03841732 | 0.03844617 | 1.0007509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 7.211051E-5 | 8.2109786E-5 | 1.138666 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 3.090095E-4 | 3.1900642E-4 | 1.0323515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.003755894 | 0.0037857813 | 1.0079575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.03841732 | 0.03844617 | 1.0007509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 6.568357E-5 | 7.568291E-5 | 1.152235 | 1.0E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 2.8147156E-4 | 2.9146872E-4 | 1.0355176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0034216922 | 0.0034515895 | 1.0087376 | 3.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.035105985 | 0.03513493 | 1.0008246 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 5.8602032E-5 | 6.860145E-5 | 1.1706326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 2.5112796E-4 | 2.6112545E-4 | 1.0398103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0030532961 | 0.0030832044 | 1.0097954 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.031644728 | 0.031673778 | 1.000918 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 5.634657E-5 | 6.634601E-5 | 1.177463 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 2.414635E-4 | 2.5146108E-4 | 1.0414041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0029359534 | 0.0029658652 | 1.0101881 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.030548228 | 0.030577311 | 1.000952 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 5.5860186E-5 | 6.5859625E-5 | 1.1790084 | 1.0E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 2.3937938E-4 | 2.49377E-4 | 1.0417647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0029106473 | 0.00294056 | 1.010277 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.030314216 | 0.030343307 | 1.0009596 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 5.4633776E-5 | 6.4633234E-5 | 1.1830269 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 2.341243E-4 | 2.4412195E-4 | 1.0427023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.0028468354 | 0.0028767502 | 1.0105081 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.029710218 | 0.029739328 | 1.0009798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 5.2881453E-5 | 6.288093E-5 | 1.1890922 | 1.0E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 2.2661567E-4 | 2.366134E-4 | 1.0441176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0027556526 | 0.00278557 | 1.0108567 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.028820263 | 0.028849399 | 1.0010109 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 1.7315724E-5 | 2.7315551E-5 | 1.5774997 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 7.420816E-5 | 8.420742E-5 | 1.1347461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 9.031148E-4 | 9.3308766E-4 | 1.0331883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.010460592 | 0.010490279 | 1.0028379 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 1.1786662E-5 | 2.1786544E-5 | 1.8484067 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 5.0513296E-5 | 6.051279E-5 | 1.1979576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 6.1482744E-4 | 6.44809E-4 | 1.0487642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.0073963567 | 0.007426135 | 1.004026 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 7.994023E-6 | 1.7993943E-5 | 2.2509246 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 3.4259647E-5 | 4.4259305E-5 | 1.2918786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 4.1703144E-4 | 4.4701892E-4 | 1.071907 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.0049723736 | 0.0050022244 | 1.0060034 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 7.6099473E-6 | 1.7609871E-5 | 2.3140595 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 3.261365E-5 | 4.2613323E-5 | 1.3066101 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 3.9699892E-4 | 4.26987E-4 | 1.075537 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.00471906 | 0.0047489186 | 1.0063272 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 7.067567E-6 | 1.7067496E-5 | 2.414904 | 1.0E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 3.028922E-5 | 4.0288916E-5 | 1.3301405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 3.687089E-4 | 3.9869786E-4 | 1.081335 | 3.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.0043851957 | 0.004415064 | 1.0068111 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 6.2362496E-6 | 1.6236187E-5 | 2.6035178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 2.672651E-5 | 3.6726244E-5 | 1.3741503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 3.2534671E-4 | 3.5533696E-4 | 1.0921793 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.0038483287 | 0.0038782132 | 1.0077657 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 5.843641E-6 | 1.5843583E-5 | 2.711252 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 2.5043935E-5 | 3.5043686E-5 | 1.3992883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 3.0486728E-4 | 3.3485814E-4 | 1.0983735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.0036277713 | 0.0036576623 | 1.0082395 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 5.7132515E-6 | 1.5713194E-5 | 2.7503068 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 2.4485134E-5 | 3.448489E-5 | 1.4084011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 2.9806577E-4 | 3.280568E-4 | 1.100619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.0035487202 | 0.0035786137 | 1.0084238 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 5.361932E-6 | 1.5361878E-5 | 2.8649895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 2.2979506E-5 | 3.2979275E-5 | 1.4351604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 2.797396E-4 | 3.097312E-4 | 1.1072125 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.0033237569 | 0.0033536572 | 1.0089959 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 4.4935205E-6 | 1.4493476E-5 | 3.2254167 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 1.92578E-5 | 2.9257608E-5 | 1.51926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 2.3443853E-4 | 2.644315E-4 | 1.1279353 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.0027930895 | 0.002823006 | 1.0107108 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 3.6195065E-6 | 3.6195065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 1.5512078E-5 | 1.5512078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 1.888432E-4 | 2.0883942E-4 | 1.105888 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0022557948 | 0.0022757498 | 1.008846 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 1.2889715E-6 | 1.2889715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 5.524151E-6 | 5.524151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 6.725447E-5 | 7.72538E-5 | 1.148679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004497249 | 8.4897096E-4 | 8.589625E-4 | 1.0117689 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 8.498138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6420184E-5 | 4.641982E-5 | 1.2745631 | 1.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4334316E-4 | 4.633343E-4 | 1.0450917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044263224 | 0.00445619 | 1.0067476 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 2.6082387E-5 | 1.6217821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.0579017E-4 | 1.0510646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 3.7526115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6082548E-5 | 2.6082387E-5 | 1.6217821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9579213E-4 | 2.0579017E-4 | 1.0510646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019566582 | 0.001976619 | 1.0102015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.672141E-4 | 1.0267456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.432304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.138439E-6 | 1.6138378E-5 | 2.6290686 | 1.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.473433E-5 | 8.473358E-5 | 1.1337973 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.4722903E-4 | 7.672141E-4 | 1.0267456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0159364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 4.354013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 5.301011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3010107E-4 | 5.3010107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 3.046892E-5 | 1.4885306 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 9.77211E-5 | 1.1139865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0010874897 | 1.0187151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010676705 | 1.0027877 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 3.046892E-5 | 1.4885306 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 9.77211E-5 | 1.1139865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0010874897 | 1.0187151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010676705 | 1.0027877 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.0469124E-5 | 3.046892E-5 | 1.4885306 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 8.772198E-5 | 9.77211E-5 | 1.1139865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.001067511 | 0.0010874897 | 1.0187151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.010647025 | 0.010676705 | 1.0027877 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849444E-5 | 2.6849277E-5 | 1.5934813 | 1.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.2209994E-5 | 8.220927E-5 | 1.138475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.788172E-4 | 8.987997E-4 | 1.0227379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759968 | 0.008789705 | 1.0033947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.6849444E-5 | 2.6849277E-5 | 1.5934813 | 1.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.2209994E-5 | 8.220927E-5 | 1.138475 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 8.788172E-4 | 8.987997E-4 | 1.0227379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.008759968 | 0.008789705 | 1.0033947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.3531861E-5 | 2.3531726E-5 | 1.7389866 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8592806E-5 | 5.7992445E-5 | 6.799187E-5 | 1.1724262 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.0583675E-4 | 7.2582264E-4 | 1.0283152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0070377495 | 0.0070675383 | 1.0042328 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.3398858E-5 | 2.3398723E-5 | 1.7463223 | 1.0E-5 | 7.809766E-5 | 5.7422454E-5 | 6.742188E-5 | 1.174138 | 1.0E-5 | 9.504242E-4 | 6.9890154E-4 | 7.188876E-4 | 1.0285963 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.006968833 | 0.0069986237 | 1.0042748 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.287047E-5 | 2.2870341E-5 | 1.7769624 | 1.0E-5 | 7.505249E-5 | 5.515803E-5 | 6.515748E-5 | 1.1812873 | 1.0E-5 | 9.13381E-4 | 6.713494E-4 | 6.91336E-4 | 1.0297707 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.006699119 | 0.0067289183 | 1.0044482 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.2800606E-5 | 2.2800477E-5 | 1.781203 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.485863E-5 | 6.485808E-5 | 1.1822767 | 1.0E-5 | 9.083966E-4 | 6.677064E-4 | 6.876931E-4 | 1.0299333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0066622305 | 0.0066920305 | 1.004473 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.1898962E-5 | 2.1898843E-5 | 1.8403994 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.099459E-5 | 6.099408E-5 | 1.1960893 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.206888E-4 | 6.4067636E-4 | 1.0322022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.006194879 | 0.006224693 | 1.0048127 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 9.943977E-6 | 1.9943876E-5 | 2.0056238 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.2616357E-5 | 5.261593E-5 | 1.2346417 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.187329E-4 | 5.287277E-4 | 1.0192678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.005178921 | 0.0051988172 | 1.0038418 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 9.448799E-6 | 1.9448704E-5 | 2.0583255 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.0494237E-5 | 5.0493833E-5 | 1.2469387 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9922156E-4 | 4.929079E-4 | 5.0290296E-4 | 1.0202777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0049212915 | 0.004941193 | 1.0040439 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.254654E-6 | 1.8254572E-5 | 2.2114277 | 1.0E-5 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.537662E-5 | 4.5376262E-5 | 1.2826626 | 1.0E-5 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.306267E-4 | 4.406224E-4 | 1.023212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063146 | 0.0042992244 | 0.0043191384 | 1.004632 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 6.9648268E-6 | 1.6964757E-5 | 2.435776 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5019697E-5 | 2.9848923E-5 | 3.9848623E-5 | 1.3350104 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.6335125E-4 | 3.7334763E-4 | 1.0275116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005466277 | 0.0036278844 | 0.0036378482 | 1.0027465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.2537188E-6 | 1.6253656E-5 | 2.5990386 | 1.0E-5 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.6801383E-5 | 3.6801113E-5 | 1.373105 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.2625915E-4 | 3.3625588E-4 | 1.0306405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005009353 | 0.0032579273 | 0.0032678947 | 1.0030594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.1918346E-6 | 1.5191783E-5 | 2.9260914 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.2250535E-5 | 3.2250315E-5 | 1.4494174 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.7086766E-4 | 2.8086497E-4 | 1.0369084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004277392 | 0.0027054832 | 0.0027154563 | 1.0036862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.295875E-6 | 4.295875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 1.8410768E-5 | 1.8410768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.2412903E-4 | 2.2412903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0022391279 | 0.0022391279 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.1167211E-6 | 2.1167211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.071634E-6 | 9.071634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.1044216E-4 | 1.1044216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.001103934 | 0.001103934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 8.5582926E-8 | 8.5582926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 3.6678395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.465588E-6 | 4.465588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.465525E-5 | 4.465525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 3.260672E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.3974308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.701372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.7013708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 2.0945628E-5 | 1.9135876 | 1.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 5.6909284E-5 | 1.2131653 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 5.8102264E-4 | 1.0175023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.0057305167 | 1.0052326 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.0945738E-5 | 2.0945628E-5 | 1.9135876 | 1.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.6909754E-5 | 5.6909284E-5 | 1.2131653 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7102833E-4 | 5.8102264E-4 | 1.0175023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005700688 | 0.0057305167 | 1.0052326 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011520846 | 1.0087458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 2.1892101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 9.382319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.1422787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011420959 | 0.0011520846 | 1.0087458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.7953192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 7.694225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 9.367719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 9.367719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carlsbad
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 2.492442E-5 | 5.0612903 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 4.110449E-5 | 1.9476266 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.8691476E-4 | 1.1167368 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025962235 | 1.01166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.924519E-6 | 2.492442E-5 | 5.0612903 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1104914E-5 | 4.110449E-5 | 1.9476266 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5692247E-4 | 2.8691476E-4 | 1.1167368 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002555496 | 0.0025663006 | 0.0025962235 | 1.01166 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.3945884E-6 | 2.43945E-5 | 5.551032 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.8833816E-5 | 3.883344E-5 | 2.0618997 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.2927792E-4 | 2.5927104E-4 | 1.1308156 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00228389 | 0.0022904489 | 0.00232038 | 1.0130678 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.31345E-6 | 2.4313364E-5 | 5.6366396 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.8486086E-5 | 3.8485716E-5 | 2.0818748 | 2.0E-5 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.2504518E-4 | 2.5503844E-4 | 1.1332766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022426634 | 0.0022482073 | 0.00227814 | 1.013314 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.089566E-6 | 2.4089484E-5 | 5.8904743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.7526596E-5 | 3.7526246E-5 | 2.1411028 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1336574E-4 | 2.4335935E-4 | 1.1405736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021284607 | 0.0021316423 | 0.0021615783 | 1.0140437 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 3.9915344E-6 | 2.3991455E-5 | 6.010585 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7106466E-5 | 3.710612E-5 | 2.1691287 | 2.0E-5 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.0825163E-4 | 2.3824538E-4 | 1.1440265 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002078621 | 0.002080598 | 0.0021105355 | 1.0143889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.8713315E-6 | 2.3871255E-5 | 6.166161 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.6591317E-5 | 3.6590987E-5 | 2.2054298 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0198089E-4 | 2.3197483E-4 | 1.1484989 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020176715 | 0.002018006 | 0.0020479455 | 1.0148362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.2926876E-6 | 2.3292621E-5 | 7.074045 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.4111442E-5 | 3.411116E-5 | 2.4172695 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7179332E-4 | 2.0178816E-4 | 1.1745985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001725281 | 0.0017166111 | 0.0017465595 | 1.0174463 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1199504E-6 | 2.3119888E-5 | 7.410338 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3371148E-5 | 3.337088E-5 | 2.4957378 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.6278162E-4 | 1.9277673E-4 | 1.184266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016354966 | 0.0016266294 | 0.0016565806 | 1.0184131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.8841723E-6 | 2.2884115E-5 | 7.9343786 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.236068E-5 | 3.2360433E-5 | 2.6180139 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.5048093E-4 | 1.8047642E-4 | 1.1993308 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015149876 | 0.0015037955 | 0.0015337504 | 1.0199195 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.4744086E-6 | 2.247436E-5 | 9.08272 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0604565E-5 | 3.0604355E-5 | 2.88596 | 2.0E-5 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.2910296E-4 | 1.5909909E-4 | 1.2323427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013073172 | 0.0012902827 | 0.001320244 | 1.0232207 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.13576E-6 | 2.2135717E-5 | 10.364328 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.153225E-6 | 2.9153041E-5 | 3.1850023 | 2.0E-5 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1143484E-4 | 1.414315E-4 | 1.2691857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011361635 | 0.0011137924 | 0.001143759 | 1.0269051 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.5978175E-6 | 1.1597802E-5 | 7.2585273 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.847771E-6 | 1.6847704E-5 | 2.460319 | 1.0E-5 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.3368446E-5 | 1.0336678E-4 | 1.2398789 | 2.0E-5 | 8.672715E-4 | 8.3337387E-4 | 8.533572E-4 | 1.0239788 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.685223E-7 | 1.09685125E-5 | 11.324998 | 1.0E-5 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.150803E-6 | 1.4150762E-5 | 3.4091623 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.0534865E-5 | 7.053385E-5 | 1.3957464 | 2.0E-5 | 5.527277E-4 | 5.0523464E-4 | 5.252245E-4 | 1.0395656 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.081335E-7 | 1.0708126E-5 | 15.121622 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0348542E-6 | 1.30348235E-5 | 4.295041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.694873E-5 | 5.6947993E-5 | 1.5412706 | 2.0E-5 | 4.150792E-4 | 3.6942656E-4 | 3.8941918E-4 | 1.0541179 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.3907522E-7 | 1.0439071E-5 | 23.775131 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.8817495E-6 | 1.1881731E-5 | 6.3141932 | 1.0E-5 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.2910066E-5 | 4.2909607E-5 | 1.8729587 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6630386E-4 | 2.290776E-4 | 2.4907303E-4 | 1.0872867 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.9703563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.444382E-7 | 8.444382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0280989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237771E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.028054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.688903E-9 | 9.688903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 4.1523872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.0555315E-7 | 5.0555315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431565E-5 | 5.0555313E-6 | 5.0555313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 3.7424275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6038917E-5 | 2.6038757E-5 | 1.6234735 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269395E-4 | 1.9526364E-4 | 2.1525973E-4 | 1.1024057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.001951638 | 0.0019815795 | 1.0153418 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.3586709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 5.822864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 7.089128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 7.0870767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.2997417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 5.5703113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 6.781664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 6.779801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.2545731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 5.376732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 6.545996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 6.544273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.244465E-7 | 9.244465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 3.961908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 4.8235237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 4.822548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 7.780893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 3.3346646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 4.0598847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 4.0592017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 7.481945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 3.2065443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 3.9039034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 3.903276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 7.012308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 3.0052718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 3.6588626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 3.658317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 5.9178274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 2.5362096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 3.0877967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 3.0874208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 4.4599395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.9114016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 2.327111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 2.3269115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 2.575831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.1039273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.3440256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.3439679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 2.2959362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 9.839724E-7 | 9.839724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.1979822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.1979406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.6383298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.021413E-7 | 7.021413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 8.548559E-6 | 8.548559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 8.5484484E-5 | 8.5484484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.002556919 | 1.0078634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025126116 | 1.0011654 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.002556919 | 1.0078634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025126116 | 1.0011654 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.002556919 | 1.0078634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025126116 | 1.0011654 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.867833E-5 | 5.8677844E-5 | 1.2054203 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.086056E-4 | 2.1860351E-4 | 1.0479274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0025369697 | 0.002556919 | 1.0078634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02509687 | 0.025126116 | 1.0011654 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 5.0703606E-5 | 1.245666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.8443285E-4 | 1.0573181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.00213174 | 1.004703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.021044292 | 1.0009313 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 4.070401E-5 | 5.0703606E-5 | 1.245666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.744346E-4 | 1.8443285E-4 | 1.0573181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0021217612 | 0.00213174 | 1.004703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.021024711 | 0.021044292 | 1.0009313 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.2569693E-5 | 4.2569365E-5 | 1.3070239 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3957711E-4 | 1.4957572E-4 | 1.071635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016980603 | 0.0017080433 | 1.005879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016854677 | 0.016864508 | 1.0005833 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.2187585E-5 | 4.2187265E-5 | 1.3106688 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.379397E-4 | 1.4793832E-4 | 1.0724854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016781555 | 0.0016881387 | 1.0059489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.016658626 | 0.01666846 | 1.0005903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.6534584E-5 | 3.653432E-5 | 1.3768567 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.13714814E-4 | 1.2371367E-4 | 1.0879292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013836197 | 0.0013936058 | 1.0072174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.013752422 | 0.013762285 | 1.0007172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.4894278E-5 | 3.4894027E-5 | 1.4016887 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0668551E-4 | 1.1668444E-4 | 1.0937234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.001298142 | 0.001308129 | 1.0076933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012907784 | 0.0129176555 | 1.0007647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.327173E-5 | 3.32715E-5 | 1.429696 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.9732286E-5 | 1.09731285E-4 | 1.1002585 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0012135835 | 0.0012235714 | 1.0082301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01207166 | 0.012081539 | 1.0008184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.2005144E-5 | 3.2004926E-5 | 1.4544291 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 9.4304465E-5 | 1.0430352E-4 | 1.1060295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0011475713 | 0.0011575597 | 1.0087041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0114184925 | 0.0114283785 | 1.0008658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 2.0286569E-5 | 3.0286365E-5 | 1.492927 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.6939646E-5 | 9.693878E-5 | 1.1150123 | 1.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 0.001057995 | 0.0010679844 | 1.0094419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.010531557 | 0.010541451 | 1.0009395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4760837E-5 | 2.476069E-5 | 1.6774584 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3259264E-5 | 7.3258634E-5 | 1.1580696 | 1.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.6992146E-4 | 7.799138E-4 | 1.0129783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007673774 | 0.007683697 | 1.0012932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.0569631E-5 | 2.0569525E-5 | 1.9460969 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 4.529768E-5 | 5.5297223E-5 | 1.2207519 | 1.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 5.51368E-4 | 5.613625E-4 | 1.0181267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0055008316 | 0.005510777 | 1.0018079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 7.951211E-6 | 1.7951132E-5 | 2.25766 | 1.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.4076213E-5 | 4.4075874E-5 | 1.2934499 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.148057E-4 | 4.2480155E-4 | 1.0240977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004140986 | 0.0041509448 | 1.0024049 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 3.483758E-6 | 3.483758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.49303105E-5 | 1.49303105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 1.8176211E-4 | 1.8176211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0018162079 | 0.0018162079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 2.5975364E-6 | 2.5975364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.1132255E-5 | 1.1132255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.3552746E-4 | 1.3552746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0013545152 | 0.0013545152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 6.0647595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.5989334E-4 | 2.5989334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002657418 | 0.003159838 | 0.003159838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026258636 | 0.031173872 | 0.031193247 | 1.0006216 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 4.9654063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 2.1278654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022024813 | 0.0025877433 | 0.0025877433 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0218078 | 0.025591671 | 0.02561116 | 1.0007615 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 3.249684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.3926503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0016942915 | 0.0016942915 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.016819766 | 0.01683943 | 1.0011691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 2.650602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.1359247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0013821534 | 0.0013821534 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.013739847 | 0.013759571 | 1.0014356 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 2.0912516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 8.9622146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0010906367 | 0.0010906367 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.010856139 | 0.01086603 | 1.0009111 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.6005468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 6.859321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 8.3482754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008319422 | 0.008329338 | 1.001192 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0857807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 4.653265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 5.663915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0056498717 | 0.005659815 | 1.00176 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 8.728251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 3.7406266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 4.5532832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0045441827 | 0.004554137 | 1.0021906 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 7.2104635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 3.090163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 3.7616427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0037554658 | 0.0037654282 | 1.0026528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 4.736073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 2.0297306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 2.4709298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0024683103 | 0.0024782855 | 1.0040413 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.4716604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.307101E-6 | 6.307101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.678633E-5 | 7.678633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.6760625E-4 | 7.6760625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.156185E-7 | 7.156185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 3.066933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.733931E-5 | 3.733931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.7333422E-4 | 3.7333422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.3323796E-7 | 6.3323796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 2.7138742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 3.3040957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 3.3036422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 5.8659816E-7 | 5.8659816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 2.51399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 3.0607436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 3.0603594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024740263 | 1.0081297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 4.7078515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 2.0176381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 2.4562524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024540753 | 0.0024740263 | 1.0081297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014520667 | 1.0069244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 2.7655115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.1852144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.4429136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014420812 | 0.0014520667 | 1.0069244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 2.3032896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 9.871209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.2017613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012011896 | 0.0012111776 | 1.0083151 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 2.2853071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 9.794142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.1923794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0011918178 | 0.0012018059 | 1.0083805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.5874456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 6.803322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 8.282748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 8.279845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.3701232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 5.8719443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 7.1488714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 7.146708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.2803915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 5.4873813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 6.6806955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 6.678818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.2346346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 5.291281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 6.4419575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 6.4402196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.02713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 4.401979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 5.3592874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 5.358094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 8.513157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 3.6484912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 4.441956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 4.4411529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 5.9743934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 2.5604522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 3.1173127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 3.116941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0263006E-4 | 1.7580004E-4 | 1.8579829E-4 | 1.0568728 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3976895E-4 | 7.532428E-4 | 7.6323526E-4 | 1.013266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00534105 | 0.009125208 | 0.009135116 | 1.0010859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05214491 | 0.08685519 | 0.08687345 | 1.0002103 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.1584862E-4 | 1.2584747E-4 | 1.0863096 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9960944E-4 | 4.964103E-4 | 5.064053E-4 | 1.0201346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.006024375 | 0.0060343146 | 1.00165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.058308363 | 0.058317777 | 1.0001615 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.1584862E-4 | 1.2584747E-4 | 1.0863096 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9960944E-4 | 4.964103E-4 | 5.064053E-4 | 1.0201346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.006024375 | 0.0060343146 | 1.00165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035825435 | 0.058308363 | 0.058317777 | 1.0001615 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.15549825E-4 | 1.2554867E-4 | 1.0865327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9871898E-4 | 4.951305E-4 | 5.0512556E-4 | 1.0201867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0060089035 | 0.0060188435 | 1.0016541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035720866 | 0.05816406 | 0.058173478 | 1.0001619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.1524733E-4 | 1.2524618E-4 | 1.0867599 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9789665E-4 | 4.9383467E-4 | 5.0382974E-4 | 1.0202397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036208609 | 0.005993242 | 0.006003182 | 1.0016586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03562429 | 0.058018323 | 0.05802774 | 1.0001624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 7.6385E-5 | 8.638423E-5 | 1.1309057 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0510878E-4 | 3.2732481E-4 | 3.3732151E-4 | 1.0305407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024943394 | 0.003978191 | 0.0039881514 | 1.0025038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02466527 | 0.03905259 | 0.0390622 | 1.000246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 7.1704955E-5 | 8.170424E-5 | 1.1394504 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.0727242E-4 | 3.1726935E-4 | 1.0325344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0037349202 | 0.0037448828 | 1.0026674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02303517 | 0.03671853 | 0.036728162 | 1.0002624 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 6.2728686E-5 | 7.272806E-5 | 1.1594067 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6646975E-4 | 2.688111E-4 | 2.788084E-4 | 1.0371908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002024885 | 0.0032681432 | 0.0032781104 | 1.0030499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020065336 | 0.03224639 | 0.032256067 | 1.0003002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 5.4676937E-5 | 6.467639E-5 | 1.1828824 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.3431018E-4 | 2.4430783E-4 | 1.0426685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0028492599 | 0.0028592313 | 1.0034996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017698295 | 0.028187597 | 0.028197315 | 1.0003448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 2.40047E-5 | 2.40047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.02873426E-4 | 1.02873426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0012517995 | 0.0012517995 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.0125657255 | 0.0125657255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 1.7639435E-5 | 1.7639435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 7.559553E-5 | 7.559553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 9.2001254E-4 | 9.2001254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.009267304 | 0.009267304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.1840369E-5 | 1.1840369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 5.074347E-5 | 5.074347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 6.1763026E-4 | 6.1763026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0062363436 | 0.0062363436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 8.81213E-6 | 8.81213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 3.776574E-5 | 3.776574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 4.5970368E-4 | 4.5970368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.0046622897 | 0.0046622897 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 6.6685993E-6 | 6.6685993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 2.8579412E-5 | 2.8579412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 3.4790105E-4 | 3.4790105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.0035326607 | 0.0035326607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 6.059455E-6 | 6.059455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 2.5968846E-5 | 2.5968846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 3.1612706E-4 | 3.1612706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0032095346 | 0.0032095346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.0309243E-6 | 3.0309243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.2989619E-5 | 1.2989619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 1.5813868E-4 | 1.5813868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0016040605 | 0.0016040605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.176897E-8 | 3.176897E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.3615272E-7 | 1.3615272E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 1.6576581E-6 | 1.6576581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 1.6680766E-5 | 1.6680766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 1.8974415E-8 | 1.8974415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 8.1318916E-8 | 8.1318916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 9.900574E-7 | 9.900574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 9.972819E-6 | 9.972819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.0042667887 | 1.0046893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.0042667887 | 1.0046893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 8.152568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 3.493921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 4.253203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004029296 | 0.004246874 | 0.0042667887 | 1.0046893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029583205 | 0.0029682908 | 1.0033703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 5.6757276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 2.4324381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 2.9611995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029583205 | 0.0029682908 | 1.0033703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.88292E-6 | 3.88292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6641017E-5 | 1.6641017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.025924E-4 | 2.025924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020247495 | 0.002034729 | 1.0049288 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.8406774E-6 | 3.8406774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.645998E-5 | 1.645998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0038869E-4 | 2.0038869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020027522 | 0.002012732 | 1.0049832 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6436198E-6 | 2.6436198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1329781E-5 | 1.1329781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.3793685E-4 | 1.3793685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0013790512 | 0.0013790512 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.086151E-7 | 5.086151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.1797773E-6 | 2.1797773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.6538482E-5 | 2.6538482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.6535487E-4 | 2.6535487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.278379E-7 | 4.278379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8335899E-6 | 1.8335899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2323744E-5 | 2.2323744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2321656E-4 | 2.2321656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.925973E-7 | 2.925973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2539879E-6 | 1.2539879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5267207E-5 | 1.5267207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5266282E-4 | 1.5266282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6085234E-7 | 1.6085234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 6.89367E-7 | 6.89367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.393019E-6 | 8.393019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.3927785E-5 | 8.3927785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 5.2996806E-5 | 1.6060872 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.6140779E-4 | 1.1414121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.001740382 | 1.0116051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017101096 | 1.0011508 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 5.2996806E-5 | 1.6060872 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.6140779E-4 | 1.1414121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.001740382 | 1.0116051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017101096 | 1.0011508 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 3.2997465E-5 | 5.2996806E-5 | 1.6060872 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.4141061E-4 | 1.6140779E-4 | 1.1414121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0017204164 | 0.001740382 | 1.0116051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.017081438 | 0.017101096 | 1.0011508 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011571818 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011513819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 2.2189495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 9.5094496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 0.0011571818 | 0.0011571818 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.011513819 | 0.011513819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.8711857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 8.019129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 9.7590685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.009717801 | 0.009717801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.646456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 7.056056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 8.5874874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.008555597 | 0.008555597 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.4018757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 6.007906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 7.31227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.007289222 | 0.007289222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.1148168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 4.7777008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 5.8153365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.005800517 | 0.005800517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 9.488487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 4.0664327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 4.9497874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0049390728 | 0.0049390728 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 7.3394513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 3.1454423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 3.8289244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0038225418 | 0.0038225418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 6.2821464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 2.6923217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 3.2774286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0032727942 | 0.0032727942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 4.61197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.9765443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 2.406193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 0.0024037457 | 0.0024037457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 2.0324123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 8.7103135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0604364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 0.0010600026 | 0.0010600026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.228442E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 2.986984E-5 | 1.5032603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3835446E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 9.515373E-5 | 1.1174235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016831639 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010562522 | 1.01928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016704723 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010636836 | 1.0018637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.226985E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 2.986984E-5 | 1.5032603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829203E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 9.515373E-5 | 1.1174235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001682405 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010562522 | 1.01928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697248 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010636836 | 1.0018637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2120504E-5 | 1.9870038E-5 | 2.986984E-5 | 1.5032603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3765205E-4 | 8.515458E-5 | 9.515373E-5 | 1.1174235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016746253 | 0.0010362728 | 0.0010562522 | 1.01928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016620617 | 0.0106170485 | 0.010636836 | 1.0018637 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.206246E-5 | 1.9826122E-5 | 2.9825926E-5 | 1.5043751 | 1.0E-5 | 1.374033E-4 | 8.4966385E-5 | 9.496553E-5 | 1.1176836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016716016 | 0.0010339838 | 0.0010539631 | 1.0193226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016590832 | 0.010594499 | 0.010614288 | 1.0018678 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 1.979223E-5 | 2.9792032E-5 | 1.5052388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 8.482114E-5 | 9.4820294E-5 | 1.1178851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0010322172 | 0.0010521965 | 1.0193558 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.010577174 | 0.010596963 | 1.0018709 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 1.9532274E-5 | 2.9532079E-5 | 1.5119631 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 8.370711E-5 | 9.370627E-5 | 1.1194541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0010186665 | 0.0010386462 | 1.0196135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.0104435515 | 0.010463342 | 1.0018951 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 1.9379651E-5 | 2.9379456E-5 | 1.5159951 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 8.3053055E-5 | 9.305222E-5 | 1.120395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0010107108 | 0.0010306906 | 1.019768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.010365087 | 0.01038488 | 1.0019096 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 1.9010316E-5 | 2.9010125E-5 | 1.5260202 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 8.147029E-5 | 9.1469476E-5 | 1.1227342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 9.914583E-4 | 0.0010114384 | 1.0201523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.010175082 | 0.010194878 | 1.0019456 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 1.8843435E-5 | 2.8843247E-5 | 1.5306787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 8.075513E-5 | 9.075432E-5 | 1.1238211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 9.827592E-4 | 0.0010027395 | 1.0203309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.010088239 | 0.010108037 | 1.0019625 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 1.4797945E-5 | 2.4797797E-5 | 1.6757594 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 6.3418236E-5 | 7.341761E-5 | 1.1576734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 7.7184604E-4 | 7.918306E-4 | 1.0258919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.007962114 | 0.007981955 | 1.002492 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.33959165E-5 | 2.3395782E-5 | 1.7464862 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 5.7409816E-5 | 6.7409244E-5 | 1.1741762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 6.98742E-4 | 7.18728E-4 | 1.0286028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.007218755 | 0.00723861 | 1.0027505 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.3243372E-5 | 2.324324E-5 | 1.7550846 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 5.6756086E-5 | 6.6755514E-5 | 1.1761825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 6.9078786E-4 | 7.1077404E-4 | 1.0289325 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.007139341 | 0.007159198 | 1.0027814 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.2543145E-5 | 2.254302E-5 | 1.7972382 | 1.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 5.3755237E-5 | 6.37547E-5 | 1.1860183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 6.5427495E-4 | 6.742619E-4 | 1.0305482 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.0067731803 | 0.006793045 | 1.0029328 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.1496959E-5 | 2.1496844E-5 | 1.8697852 | 1.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 4.9271755E-5 | 5.9271264E-5 | 1.2029461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 5.9971976E-4 | 6.1970775E-4 | 1.0333289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.0062256 | 0.0062454753 | 1.0031925 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.1322966E-5 | 2.1322854E-5 | 1.8831508 | 1.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 4.8526104E-5 | 5.8525617E-5 | 1.2060647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 5.9064635E-4 | 6.1063457E-4 | 1.0338413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.0061342902 | 0.0061541675 | 1.0032403 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.0989781E-5 | 2.0989672E-5 | 1.9099263 | 1.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 4.7098216E-5 | 5.7097746E-5 | 1.2123122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 5.732711E-4 | 5.9325964E-4 | 1.0348675 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.005958264 | 0.005978145 | 1.0033367 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 9.869572E-6 | 1.9869474E-5 | 2.013205 | 1.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 4.2297488E-5 | 5.2297062E-5 | 1.2364106 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 5.1485124E-4 | 5.348409E-4 | 1.0388262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.005366721 | 0.005386614 | 1.0037067 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 7.970848E-6 | 1.797077E-5 | 2.2545617 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 3.4160334E-5 | 4.415999E-5 | 1.2927272 | 1.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 4.1582296E-4 | 4.3581464E-4 | 1.0480773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.0043677143 | 0.004387627 | 1.004559 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 6.6616876E-6 | 6.6616876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 2.8549779E-5 | 2.8549779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 3.4753827E-4 | 3.575348E-4 | 1.0287638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.0036749155 | 0.0036848788 | 1.0027112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 4.5979064E-6 | 4.5979064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 1.9705165E-5 | 1.9705165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 2.398841E-4 | 2.498817E-4 | 1.0416768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0025804315 | 0.0025904058 | 1.0038654 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 3.684572E-6 | 3.684572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 1.5790927E-5 | 1.5790927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 1.922377E-4 | 2.0223577E-4 | 1.052009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0020889777 | 0.0020989568 | 1.0047771 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 2.8017976E-6 | 2.8017976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 1.2007649E-5 | 1.2007649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 1.4618343E-4 | 1.4618343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0015976107 | 0.0015976107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 2.0638359E-7 | 2.0638359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 8.8450076E-7 | 8.8450076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 1.0768745E-5 | 1.0768745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 1.2916955E-4 | 1.2916955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 9.68662E-9 | 9.68662E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 4.1514085E-8 | 4.1514085E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 5.054339E-7 | 5.054339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 6.3366238E-6 | 6.3366238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018487873 | 1.001063 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018487873 | 1.001063 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 3.5621928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.5265927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0018575337 | 0.0018675152 | 1.0053735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.018468242 | 0.018487873 | 1.001063 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.4370573E-4 | 1.0106999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009318134 | 1.0010643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.4370573E-4 | 1.0106999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009318134 | 1.0010643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.4370573E-4 | 1.0106999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009318134 | 1.0010643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.7900658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 7.671544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.33715E-4 | 9.4370573E-4 | 1.0106999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009308227 | 0.009318134 | 1.0010643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.2770867E-5 | 1.2770867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.4731543E-5 | 5.4731543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.6622486E-4 | 6.762182E-4 | 1.015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059115817 | 0.006649345 | 0.0066592786 | 1.0014939 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.1273217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 4.8313283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 5.881247E-4 | 5.981188E-4 | 1.0169932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.005872473 | 0.0058824145 | 1.0016929 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.1221955E-6 | 9.1221955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 3.909489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.7593983E-4 | 4.8593507E-4 | 1.0210011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004755428 | 0.0047653806 | 1.0020928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.324751E-7 | 1.324751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 5.677503E-7 | 5.677503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 6.912341E-6 | 6.912341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 6.9121576E-5 | 6.9121576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.3149956E-7 | 1.3149956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 5.635694E-7 | 5.635694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 6.8614395E-6 | 6.8614395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 6.8612586E-5 | 6.8612586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.3097126E-7 | 1.3097126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 5.6130534E-7 | 5.6130534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 6.833874E-6 | 6.833874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 6.833695E-5 | 6.833695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 9.399491E-8 | 9.399491E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.028353E-7 | 4.028353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 4.9045107E-6 | 4.9045107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 4.904421E-5 | 4.904421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 8.61623E-8 | 8.61623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.6926696E-7 | 3.6926696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.495818E-6 | 4.495818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.495745E-5 | 4.495745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0222626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 4.3811255E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.3340193E-7 | 5.3340193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.334011E-6 | 5.334011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.1089378E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 4.7525908E-9 | 4.7525908E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 5.7862792E-8 | 5.7862792E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 5.7862786E-7 | 5.7862786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015302149 | 1.006568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015121465 | 1.0013044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015302149 | 1.006568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015121465 | 1.0013044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 2.9156346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2494993E-4 | 1.3494868E-4 | 1.0800221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015202301 | 0.0015302149 | 1.006568 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015101767 | 0.015121465 | 1.0013044 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2776658E-5 | 2.2776658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.761062E-5 | 1.07609645E-4 | 1.1024379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011877662 | 0.0011977543 | 1.0084091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011815345 | 0.0118351085 | 1.0016727 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 1.9874205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 8.5172396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010364825 | 0.0010364825 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010317305 | 0.010327202 | 1.0009593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 1.9588952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.394996E-5 | 8.394996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010216134 | 0.0010216134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.01016998 | 0.010179879 | 1.0009733 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7655797E-5 | 1.7655797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.566551E-5 | 7.566551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.2083955E-4 | 9.2083955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009170958 | 0.009180866 | 1.0010804 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 1.6246962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.962799E-5 | 6.962799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 8.4739213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008442291 | 0.008452206 | 1.0011746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4816687E-5 | 1.4816687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.349855E-5 | 6.349855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.728215E-4 | 7.728215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0077019786 | 0.0077119013 | 1.0012884 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2884616E-5 | 1.2884616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.5218614E-5 | 5.5218614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.7207974E-4 | 6.7207974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.006701052 | 0.006710985 | 1.0014822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1272168E-5 | 1.1272168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.8308397E-5 | 4.8308397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.8799615E-4 | 5.8799615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0058649397 | 0.005874881 | 1.001695 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0166117E-5 | 1.0166117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.3568347E-5 | 4.3568347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.3031556E-4 | 5.3031556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052910275 | 0.0053009745 | 1.00188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.110645E-6 | 9.110645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.9045037E-5 | 3.9045037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7526968E-4 | 4.7526968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004743053 | 0.0047530057 | 1.0020983 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.795795E-6 | 7.795795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3410124E-5 | 3.3410124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0669236E-4 | 4.0669236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040599937 | 0.004069953 | 1.0024531 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9289763E-6 | 6.9289763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9695275E-5 | 2.9695275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6148002E-4 | 3.6148002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036094307 | 0.0036193945 | 1.0027605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.858321E-6 | 5.858321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5106849E-5 | 2.5106849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.0563303E-4 | 3.0563303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0030526347 | 0.0030526347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.469611E-6 | 4.469611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9155335E-5 | 1.9155335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3319128E-4 | 2.3319128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023299716 | 0.0023299716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.519415E-6 | 2.519415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.0797448E-5 | 1.0797448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.31451E-4 | 1.31451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013142363 | 0.0013142363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 9.942685E-7 | 9.942685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.2611437E-6 | 4.2611437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.187819E-5 | 5.187819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.1916216E-4 | 5.1916216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 4.0911516E-7 | 4.0911516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 1.7533494E-6 | 1.7533494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.134682E-5 | 2.134682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.1392084E-4 | 2.1392084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 1.8500941E-7 | 1.8500941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 7.928972E-7 | 7.928972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 9.65348E-6 | 9.65348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 9.69383E-5 | 9.69383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 4.5969962E-8 | 4.5969962E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 1.9701412E-7 | 1.9701412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 2.3986443E-6 | 2.3986443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 2.4000483E-5 | 2.4000483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.358289E-4 | 2.1495095E-4 | 2.1495095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8199395E-4 | 9.208417E-4 | 9.208417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070627797 | 0.011137044 | 0.011137044 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06842483 | 0.10507321 | 0.10509112 | 1.0001704 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2634568E-4 | 1.9993648E-4 | 1.9993648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4136914E-4 | 8.5655093E-4 | 8.5655093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065712677 | 0.010363597 | 0.010363597 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06380317 | 0.098186545 | 0.09820458 | 1.0001837 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1466059E-4 | 1.7943211E-4 | 1.7943211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9130997E-4 | 7.687572E-4 | 7.687572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005965305 | 0.009307489 | 0.009307489 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05807694 | 0.08879632 | 0.08881454 | 1.0002053 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.2697697E-4 | 1.2697697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 5.4405595E-4 | 5.4405595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.006600836 | 0.006600836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.044339992 | 0.06440722 | 0.06442594 | 1.0002905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.2479376E-4 | 1.2479376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 5.347032E-4 | 5.347032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.0064876475 | 0.0064876475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04343345 | 0.06332707 | 0.0633458 | 1.0002959 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.2342051E-4 | 1.2342051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 5.288203E-4 | 5.288203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.00641651 | 0.00641651 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.042916555 | 0.062658556 | 0.0626773 | 1.0002992 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.2044712E-4 | 1.2044712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 5.160854E-4 | 5.160854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0062626028 | 0.0062626028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04185927 | 0.06121997 | 0.061238747 | 1.0003067 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.17504256E-4 | 1.17504256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 5.034793E-4 | 5.034793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.0061102705 | 0.0061102705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.040946912 | 0.059803605 | 0.05982241 | 1.0003145 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.0105285E-4 | 1.0105285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 4.330063E-4 | 4.330063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0052578053 | 0.0052578053 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.036469642 | 0.051808238 | 0.0518272 | 1.0003661 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 7.63302E-5 | 7.63302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 3.2708864E-4 | 3.2708864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.003975072 | 0.003975072 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02947844 | 0.039629243 | 0.03964845 | 1.0004847 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 6.3085994E-5 | 6.3085994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 2.7034077E-4 | 2.7034077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.003286472 | 0.003286472 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025115121 | 0.03295613 | 0.032975473 | 1.0005869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 5.479926E-5 | 5.479926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 2.3483305E-4 | 2.3483305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.002855382 | 0.002855382 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022186412 | 0.028745268 | 0.028764693 | 1.0006758 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 3.9452036E-5 | 3.9452036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 1.6906929E-4 | 1.6906929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0020564927 | 0.0020564927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.02090574 | 0.020925323 | 1.0009366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 2.858248E-5 | 2.858248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.2249066E-4 | 1.2249066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0014903143 | 0.0014903143 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.015219923 | 0.015229771 | 1.0006471 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 1.9018737E-5 | 1.9018737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 8.150633E-5 | 8.150633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 9.918893E-4 | 9.918893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.01021483 | 0.010224728 | 1.0009689 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 1.6790169E-5 | 1.6790169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 7.195589E-5 | 7.195589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 8.7571214E-4 | 8.7571214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.009054905 | 0.009064814 | 1.0010943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.03590455E-5 | 1.03590455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 4.4395158E-5 | 4.4395158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 5.4037775E-4 | 5.4037775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.0056599956 | 0.005669939 | 1.0017568 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 3.762908E-6 | 3.762908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 1.6126649E-5 | 1.6126649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 1.9632427E-4 | 1.9632427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0021590109 | 0.0021689893 | 1.0046217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 3.2475155E-6 | 3.2475155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 1.3917849E-5 | 1.3917849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 1.6943665E-4 | 1.6943665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0018708297 | 0.0018808111 | 1.0053352 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 2.5666934E-6 | 2.5666934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 1.1000068E-5 | 1.1000068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 1.3391761E-4 | 1.3391761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0014701938 | 0.0014701938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 1.6587518E-6 | 1.6587518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 7.1089166E-6 | 7.1089166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 8.654763E-5 | 8.654763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 9.375262E-4 | 9.375262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 1.0440698E-6 | 1.0440698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 4.474577E-6 | 4.474577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 5.4476623E-5 | 5.4476623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 5.871438E-4 | 5.871438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 6.0983068E-5 | 1.1961316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.3848358E-4 | 1.0915183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026777112 | 1.0075052 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.0263695 | 1.000739 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.0983577E-5 | 6.0983068E-5 | 1.1961316 | 1.0E-5 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.1848796E-4 | 2.3848358E-4 | 1.0915183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0026577644 | 0.0026777112 | 1.0075052 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.026350027 | 0.0263695 | 1.000739 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011025395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011006866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 2.1133957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 9.057305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011025395 | 0.0011025395 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011006866 | 0.011006866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.7078088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.3191804E-5 | 7.3191804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 8.911071E-4 | 8.911071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.008910626 | 0.008910626 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4146E-6 | 1.7414526E-5 | 2.3486805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.177658E-5 | 4.1776264E-5 | 1.3146871 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.8683077E-4 | 3.9682692E-4 | 1.0258411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037164164 | 0.003863497 | 0.0038834196 | 1.0051566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.1858645E-6 | 1.6185802E-5 | 2.6165788 | 1.0E-5 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.651068E-5 | 3.6510413E-5 | 1.3771964 | 1.0E-5 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.2273747E-4 | 3.3273423E-4 | 1.030975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031045752 | 0.0032244292 | 0.0032443646 | 1.0061827 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3664945E-6 | 1.236647E-5 | 5.2256494 | 1.0E-5 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0142083E-5 | 2.014198E-5 | 1.9859807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2347332E-4 | 1.3347209E-4 | 1.0809791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011966228 | 0.0012340931 | 0.0012540685 | 1.0161862 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.3166435E-6 | 1.231662E-5 | 5.31658 | 1.0E-5 | 9.629396E-6 | 9.928437E-6 | 1.9928337E-5 | 2.0071979 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.2087248E-4 | 1.3087127E-4 | 1.0827218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011716976 | 0.001208113 | 0.0012280889 | 1.0165347 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0514408E-6 | 1.20514205E-5 | 5.874613 | 1.0E-5 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.791862E-6 | 1.8791774E-5 | 2.1374054 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0703609E-4 | 1.1703502E-4 | 1.0934165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010389143 | 0.0010698875 | 0.0010898662 | 1.0186735 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.4950677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 6.407419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.800778E-5 | 7.800778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.575835E-4 | 7.798281E-4 | 7.8982033E-4 | 1.0128133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 9.2490944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 3.963892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.8259433E-5 | 4.8259433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6846745E-4 | 4.825007E-4 | 4.924959E-4 | 1.0207154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 8.0088586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 3.432364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.178834E-5 | 4.178834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0566566E-4 | 4.1781546E-4 | 4.278113E-4 | 1.023924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 5.4054715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 2.316629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8204659E-5 | 2.8204659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7360884E-4 | 2.8201722E-4 | 2.920144E-4 | 1.0354488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.5980454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 6.8487657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.33836E-6 | 8.33836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.08195E-5 | 8.3382445E-5 | 9.338161E-5 | 1.1199193 | 1.0E-5 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.011411034 | 1.0017357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.011411034 | 1.0017357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.011411034 | 1.0017357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.011411034 | 1.0017357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 2.1932681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 9.399445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.001143895 | 0.0011638721 | 1.0174642 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.011391262 | 0.011411034 | 1.0017357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.001142301 | 0.0011622781 | 1.0174885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011375485 | 0.011395258 | 1.0017382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 2.1902099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 9.38634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.001142301 | 0.0011622781 | 1.0174885 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.011375485 | 0.011395258 | 1.0017382 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.673707E-5 | 1.673707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.1728784E-5 | 7.1728784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7849044E-4 | 8.7302853E-4 | 8.930111E-4 | 1.0228888 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007757689 | 0.008703915 | 0.008723741 | 1.0022779 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 7.9253083E-4 | 8.12515E-4 | 1.0252156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070558446 | 0.007904684 | 0.007924526 | 1.0025102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 1.5193132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 6.511223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 7.9253083E-4 | 8.12515E-4 | 1.0252156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070558446 | 0.007904684 | 0.007924526 | 1.0025102 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.5040508E-5 | 1.5040508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.445816E-5 | 6.445816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0069433E-4 | 7.8457326E-4 | 8.045576E-4 | 1.0254716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006984891 | 0.007825671 | 0.007845514 | 1.0025357 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.153406E-6 | 9.153406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5063567E-5 | 3.922865E-5 | 3.922865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.775676E-4 | 4.8756282E-4 | 1.0209295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042599645 | 0.004771636 | 0.0047815884 | 1.0020857 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.6146316E-7 | 1.6146316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.855989E-7 | 6.9198484E-7 | 6.9198484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0782113E-5 | 8.424886E-6 | 8.424886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.07815904E-4 | 8.4245985E-5 | 8.4245985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.5969916E-7 | 1.5969916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7695867E-7 | 6.8442483E-7 | 6.8442483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676919E-5 | 8.332843E-6 | 8.332843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676406E-4 | 8.332563E-5 | 8.332563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.5765538E-7 | 1.5765538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.644749E-7 | 6.756658E-7 | 6.756658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.226203E-6 | 8.226203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05244326E-4 | 8.22593E-5 | 8.22593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.1692167E-7 | 1.1692167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.0109276E-7 | 5.0109276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.1007895E-6 | 6.1007895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747146E-5 | 6.100641E-5 | 6.100641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.035385E-7 | 1.035385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.4373633E-7 | 4.4373633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.4024786E-6 | 5.4024786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8799505E-5 | 5.4023654E-5 | 5.4023654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.2988015E-8 | 1.2988015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 5.566292E-8 | 5.566292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 6.776959E-7 | 6.776959E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928154E-5 | 6.7769424E-6 | 6.7769424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.7171199E-9 | 2.7171199E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.16448E-8 | 1.16448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.4177543E-7 | 1.4177543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058282E-6 | 1.4177537E-6 | 1.4177537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 6.8121164E-10 | 6.8121164E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 2.9194784E-9 | 2.9194784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.5544648E-8 | 3.5544648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301295E-7 | 3.554465E-7 | 3.554465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.346505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 5.770616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 7.0236E-4 | 7.12353E-4 | 1.0142277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.007043084 | 0.007062943 | 1.0028197 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.1012269E-5 | 1.1012269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 4.719463E-5 | 4.719463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 5.7445123E-4 | 5.844455E-4 | 1.0173979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.005770806 | 0.005790691 | 1.0034457 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.0819936E-5 | 1.0819936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 4.6370373E-5 | 4.6370373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 5.644211E-4 | 5.7441543E-4 | 1.0177072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.005671019 | 0.0056909057 | 1.0035067 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.0448709E-5 | 1.0448709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 4.4779455E-5 | 4.4779455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 5.450614E-4 | 5.55056E-4 | 1.0183365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0054783793 | 0.0054982696 | 1.0036308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 8.676531E-6 | 8.676531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 3.7184636E-5 | 3.7184636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 4.5263488E-4 | 4.6263033E-4 | 1.0220828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.004558103 | 0.0045780116 | 1.0043678 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 7.0460287E-6 | 7.0460287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 3.019694E-5 | 3.019694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 3.6758988E-4 | 3.775862E-4 | 1.0271943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.003710645 | 0.003730571 | 1.0053699 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 6.711505E-6 | 6.711505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 2.8763301E-5 | 2.8763301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 3.5014097E-4 | 3.6013746E-4 | 1.0285499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0035367159 | 0.003556645 | 1.005635 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 5.203878E-6 | 5.203878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 2.2302163E-5 | 2.2302163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 2.7149843E-4 | 2.7149843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0027524338 | 0.0027624064 | 1.0036231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 4.4942494E-6 | 4.4942494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 1.9260944E-5 | 1.9260944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 2.3447987E-4 | 2.3447987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019750162 | 0.002383062 | 0.002393038 | 1.0041863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 2.6844218E-6 | 2.6844218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 1.1504614E-5 | 1.1504614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 1.4005977E-4 | 1.4005977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0014402068 | 0.0014501923 | 1.0069335 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 2.354935E-6 | 2.354935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.0092541E-5 | 1.0092541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 1.2286981E-4 | 1.2286981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0012685781 | 0.0012785654 | 1.0078728 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 1.960751E-6 | 1.960751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 8.403191E-6 | 8.403191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 1.0230407E-4 | 1.0230407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0010632437 | 0.0010732331 | 1.0093951 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 1.8986187E-6 | 1.8986187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 8.136912E-6 | 8.136912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 9.906242E-5 | 9.906242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0010308194 | 0.001040809 | 1.009691 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 1.7281582E-6 | 1.7281582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 7.406371E-6 | 7.406371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 9.0168855E-5 | 9.0168855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967699E-4 | 9.401702E-4 | 9.501608E-4 | 1.0106263 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 1.3544044E-6 | 1.3544044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 5.8045775E-6 | 5.8045775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 7.066845E-5 | 7.066845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3206134E-4 | 7.39725E-4 | 7.39725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 2.2247816E-7 | 2.2247816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 9.534775E-7 | 9.534775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 1.1608528E-5 | 1.1608528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 1.226002E-4 | 1.226002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 2.0893525E-8 | 2.0893525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 8.954367E-8 | 8.954367E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 1.0901937E-6 | 1.0901937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 1.3071964E-5 | 1.3071964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 3.6114707E-9 | 3.6114707E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.5477731E-8 | 1.5477731E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.8844136E-7 | 1.8844136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 2.35213E-6 | 2.35213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0015972836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0015972836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 3.063325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.3127948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0015972836 | 0.0015972836 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014722223 | 0.015870899 | 0.015890582 | 1.0012401 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007737305 | 0.008221042 | 0.008230961 | 1.0012064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.5814909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 6.777657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 8.248946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007737305 | 0.008221042 | 0.008230961 | 1.0012064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3542677E-5 | 1.3542677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.803889E-5 | 5.803889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.064192E-4 | 7.064192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006655392 | 0.0070441947 | 0.0070441947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0131485E-5 | 1.0131485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.342002E-5 | 4.342002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.2852614E-4 | 5.2852614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005028777 | 0.0052742404 | 0.0052742404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.079454E-6 | 8.079454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.462585E-5 | 3.462585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.215014E-4 | 4.215014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004044977 | 0.004208324 | 0.004208324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.6382026E-6 | 6.6382026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.84492E-5 | 2.84492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.4632633E-4 | 3.4632633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003346101 | 0.0034590822 | 0.0034590822 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.0773763E-6 | 3.0773763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3188697E-5 | 1.3188697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6056203E-4 | 1.6056203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016046057 | 0.0016046057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2022991E-6 | 2.2022991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.438397E-6 | 9.438397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1490744E-4 | 1.1490744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011485803 | 0.0011485803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1612599E-6 | 1.1612599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 4.9768223E-6 | 4.9768223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.059181E-5 | 6.059181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.0582E-4 | 6.0582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.013124E-7 | 3.013124E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.2913383E-6 | 1.2913383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.5721935E-5 | 1.5721935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.5720876E-4 | 1.5720876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.2373551E-7 | 2.2373551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.588662E-7 | 9.588662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.1674133E-5 | 1.1674133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.1673527E-4 | 1.1673527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9007473E-7 | 1.9007473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.146057E-7 | 8.146057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 9.91778E-6 | 9.91778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 9.9173434E-5 | 9.9173434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.3956314E-7 | 1.3956314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 5.981276E-7 | 5.981276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.2821795E-6 | 7.2821795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.281946E-5 | 7.281946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.3741624E-8 | 7.3741624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.1603548E-7 | 3.1603548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.8477256E-6 | 3.8477256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.8476624E-5 | 3.8476624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 4.1230818E-5 | 1.941988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.784573E-4 | 1.0773606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002601839 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 4.1230818E-5 | 1.941988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.784573E-4 | 1.0773606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002601839 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 4.1230818E-5 | 1.941988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.784573E-4 | 1.0773606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002601839 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 4.1230818E-5 | 1.941988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.784573E-4 | 1.0773606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002601839 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.953993E-6 | 1.4953944E-5 | 3.0185637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.123124E-5 | 4.1230818E-5 | 1.941988 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.5846245E-4 | 2.784573E-4 | 1.0773606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002546817 | 0.0025818904 | 0.002601839 | 1.0077263 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 3.2036999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.373007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6715092E-4 | 1.6715092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016539496 | 0.0016702653 | 0.0016702653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.1318077E-6 | 3.1318077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.34219645E-5 | 1.34219645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.6340028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016174077 | 0.0016328141 | 0.0016328141 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 2.6319212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1279614E-5 | 1.1279614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3732069E-4 | 1.3732069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013617266 | 0.0013723628 | 0.0013723628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 2.4955875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0695332E-5 | 1.0695332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.3020792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012921972 | 0.0013013204 | 0.0013013204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 2.148504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 9.207843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.1209973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011147653 | 0.0011204338 | 0.0011204338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.9353279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 8.294236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.0097766E-4 | 1.0097766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010056482 | 0.0010093191 | 0.0010093191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.6371521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.0163474E-6 | 7.0163474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.542069E-5 | 8.542069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529247E-4 | 8.538793E-4 | 8.538793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.4431162E-6 | 1.4431162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.184769E-6 | 6.184769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.5296964E-5 | 7.5296964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.535026E-4 | 7.527151E-4 | 7.527151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.1956442E-6 | 1.1956442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.1241796E-6 | 5.1241796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 6.23851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.267076E-4 | 6.236763E-4 | 6.236763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.606655E-7 | 9.606655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.117131E-6 | 4.117131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.0124923E-5 | 5.0124923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.064076E-4 | 5.011364E-4 | 5.011364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.02308E-7 | 7.02308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.009888E-6 | 3.009888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.664477E-5 | 3.664477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7430652E-4 | 3.6638745E-4 | 3.6638745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.3422477E-7 | 4.3422477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.860962E-6 | 1.860962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.2656977E-5 | 2.2656977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37571E-4 | 2.2654678E-4 | 2.2654678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.8418795E-7 | 1.8418795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 7.8937666E-7 | 7.8937666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047998E-5 | 9.610619E-6 | 9.610619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047449E-4 | 9.610206E-5 | 9.610206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 6.817055E-8 | 6.817055E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 2.9215946E-7 | 2.9215946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.5570356E-6 | 3.5570356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1517753E-5 | 3.5569792E-5 | 3.5569792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 2.7281049E-8 | 2.7281049E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.1691878E-7 | 1.1691878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.4234852E-6 | 1.4234852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384275E-5 | 1.4234762E-5 | 1.4234762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 6.5551955E-9 | 6.5551955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 2.8093696E-8 | 2.8093696E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 3.420407E-7 | 3.420407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481861E-6 | 3.420402E-6 | 3.420402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 9.614756E-5 | 1.2626227 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.467542E-4 | 1.0215603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009254045 | 1.0021459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 9.614756E-5 | 1.2626227 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.467542E-4 | 1.0215603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009254045 | 1.0021459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.776857E-5 | 3.7768215E-5 | 2.125563 | 2.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 7.614909E-5 | 9.614756E-5 | 1.2626227 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 9.267727E-4 | 9.467542E-4 | 1.0215603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.009234229 | 0.009254045 | 1.0021459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 3.3025764E-5 | 2.5353677 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 7.582372E-5 | 1.3582435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 6.994792E-4 | 1.0294137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006797697 | 1.0029308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 1.3026026E-5 | 3.3025764E-5 | 2.5353677 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 5.582484E-5 | 7.582372E-5 | 1.3582435 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 6.7949283E-4 | 6.994792E-4 | 1.0294137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0067778323 | 0.006797697 | 1.0029308 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 1.1077539E-5 | 3.1077318E-5 | 2.8054352 | 2.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 4.74745E-5 | 6.747355E-5 | 1.4212588 | 2.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 5.778837E-4 | 5.9787213E-4 | 1.034589 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0057672434 | 0.005787128 | 1.0034479 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 1.0387575E-5 | 3.0387366E-5 | 2.9253573 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 4.4517612E-5 | 6.451672E-5 | 1.4492404 | 2.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 5.4190174E-4 | 5.618909E-4 | 1.036887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0054092025 | 0.0054290947 | 1.0036774 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 9.306163E-6 | 1.930607E-5 | 2.0745468 | 1.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 3.9883136E-5 | 4.9882736E-5 | 1.2507225 | 1.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 4.8550274E-4 | 4.954979E-4 | 1.0205872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0048477356 | 0.0048576873 | 1.0020528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 5.621261E-6 | 1.5621205E-5 | 2.7789502 | 1.0E-5 | 2.223407E-5 | 2.4091001E-5 | 3.409076E-5 | 1.4150827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7066618E-4 | 2.9328724E-4 | 3.032843E-4 | 1.0340862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0029308414 | 0.0029408121 | 1.003402 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 4.90917E-6 | 1.4909121E-5 | 3.0369942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9415156E-5 | 2.1039235E-5 | 3.1039024E-5 | 1.4752924 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3635388E-4 | 2.5614107E-4 | 2.661385E-4 | 1.039031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0025602705 | 0.002570245 | 1.0038959 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 3.7190312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 1.5938705E-5 | 1.5938705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 1.9405373E-4 | 1.9405373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 0.0019405374 | 0.0019405374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 2.4514768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0505983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0012784903 | 0.0012984647 | 1.0156235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.012724944 | 0.012744689 | 1.0015517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.316875E-4 | 9.5166883E-4 | 1.0214465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008298361 | 0.009285964 | 0.009305778 | 1.0021338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 1.7862218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 7.655058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.316875E-4 | 9.5166883E-4 | 1.0214465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008298361 | 0.009285964 | 0.009305778 | 1.0021338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.7127668E-5 | 1.7127668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.340269E-5 | 7.340269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.988095E-4 | 8.933934E-4 | 9.133755E-4 | 1.0223665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007959441 | 0.008906105 | 0.008925926 | 1.0022256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5249912E-5 | 1.5249912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.535557E-5 | 6.535557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1119244E-4 | 7.954913E-4 | 8.1547536E-4 | 1.0251217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007089207 | 0.007934078 | 0.0079539195 | 1.0025008 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.50958485E-5 | 1.50958485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.469533E-5 | 6.469533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.03973E-4 | 7.874586E-4 | 8.074429E-4 | 1.0253781 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007017471 | 0.007854321 | 0.007874164 | 1.0025264 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.207093E-6 | 9.207093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.53258E-5 | 3.945873E-5 | 3.945873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.803676E-4 | 4.903628E-4 | 1.0208074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004291756 | 0.0047995155 | 0.004809467 | 1.0020735 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.1246359E-7 | 2.1246359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.105579E-7 | 9.105579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.108599E-5 | 1.108599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829772E-4 | 1.1085474E-4 | 1.1085474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.0665163E-7 | 2.0665163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061633E-6 | 8.8564957E-7 | 8.8564957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.0782734E-5 | 1.0782734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.07822474E-4 | 1.07822474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.7913858E-7 | 1.7913858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71831E-7 | 7.6773654E-7 | 7.6773654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831979E-5 | 9.347156E-6 | 9.347156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831349E-4 | 9.346798E-5 | 9.346798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.2199762E-7 | 1.2199762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.228468E-7 | 5.228468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.365643E-6 | 6.365643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115482E-5 | 6.36548E-5 | 6.36548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.0506384E-7 | 1.0506384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.5027352E-7 | 4.5027352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.017278E-6 | 5.4820684E-6 | 5.4820684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0170565E-5 | 5.4819513E-5 | 5.4819513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.3366354E-8 | 1.3366354E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 5.7284375E-8 | 5.7284375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 6.974371E-7 | 6.974371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.550704E-5 | 6.9743533E-6 | 6.9743533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.018319E-9 | 3.018319E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.29356525E-8 | 1.29356525E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.5749156E-7 | 1.5749156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815665E-6 | 1.5749147E-6 | 1.5749147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.0619533E-10 | 8.0619533E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.4551229E-9 | 3.4551229E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.206612E-8 | 4.206612E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0216864E-7 | 4.206612E-7 | 4.206612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 3.1847223E-5 | 3.1847223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699324E-4 | 1.36481E-4 | 1.36481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007969595 | 0.0016603972 | 0.0016803639 | 1.0120254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0768977 | 0.018622072 | 0.0186417 | 1.001054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 3.1847223E-5 | 3.1847223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5699324E-4 | 1.36481E-4 | 1.36481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007969595 | 0.0016603972 | 0.0016803639 | 1.0120254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0768977 | 0.018622072 | 0.0186417 | 1.001054 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 2.673052E-5 | 2.673052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.961325E-4 | 1.1455438E-4 | 1.1455438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007233787 | 0.0013938133 | 0.0014137855 | 1.0143291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07002798 | 0.01562187 | 0.015641557 | 1.0012603 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 2.673052E-5 | 2.673052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.961325E-4 | 1.1455438E-4 | 1.1455438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007233787 | 0.0013938133 | 0.0014137855 | 1.0143291 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07002798 | 0.01562187 | 0.015641557 | 1.0012603 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 2.179073E-5 | 2.179073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4090127E-4 | 9.3385526E-5 | 9.3385526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0011363802 | 0.0011563575 | 1.0175798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06374981 | 0.0127218515 | 0.012741597 | 1.0015521 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 1.8400739E-5 | 1.8400739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.028786E-4 | 7.885795E-5 | 7.885795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006105373 | 9.5967617E-4 | 9.796569E-4 | 1.0208204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05940335 | 0.010724451 | 0.010744236 | 1.0018449 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 1.7863735E-5 | 1.7863735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.964894E-4 | 7.655664E-5 | 7.655664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006028018 | 9.3168207E-4 | 9.516635E-4 | 1.0214466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058671024 | 0.010409256 | 0.010429048 | 1.0019014 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 1.7001501E-5 | 1.7001501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.87168E-4 | 7.286156E-5 | 7.286156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005915152 | 8.8673196E-4 | 8.967231E-4 | 1.0112674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057601593 | 0.009906715 | 0.009916616 | 1.0009995 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 1.6684773E-5 | 1.6684773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8012115E-4 | 7.1504226E-5 | 7.1504226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005829819 | 8.702198E-4 | 8.8021107E-4 | 1.0114814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05679232 | 0.009718149 | 0.009728052 | 1.001019 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 1.6341308E-5 | 1.6341308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7159163E-4 | 7.0032314E-5 | 7.0032314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057265228 | 8.523134E-4 | 8.623049E-4 | 1.0117228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.055811852 | 0.009507583 | 0.009517489 | 1.0010418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 1.5678477E-5 | 1.5678477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.562608E-4 | 6.719176E-5 | 6.719176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055408357 | 8.177561E-4 | 8.277479E-4 | 1.0122186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.054047033 | 0.00909676 | 0.00910667 | 1.0010893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 1.532922E-5 | 1.532922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4904428E-4 | 6.569502E-5 | 6.569502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054534175 | 7.9954683E-4 | 8.095389E-4 | 1.0124971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053215165 | 0.0088808155 | 0.008890727 | 1.001116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 1.4916263E-5 | 1.4916263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.401716E-4 | 6.39253E-5 | 6.39253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053459285 | 7.78016E-4 | 7.880082E-4 | 1.0128433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052191395 | 0.008627138 | 0.008637052 | 1.0011492 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 1.4778535E-5 | 1.4778535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.312888E-4 | 6.333506E-5 | 6.333506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005238306 | 7.70835E-4 | 7.8082725E-4 | 1.0129629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051165357 | 0.0085406825 | 0.008550597 | 1.0011609 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 1.4486208E-5 | 1.4486208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.144878E-4 | 6.208229E-5 | 6.208229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005034718 | 7.555932E-4 | 7.6558563E-4 | 1.0132246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049221683 | 0.008350042 | 0.008359958 | 1.0011876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 9.701201E-6 | 9.701201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.753763E-4 | 4.1575917E-5 | 4.1575917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045606326 | 5.060698E-4 | 5.1606476E-4 | 1.0197501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04468165 | 0.005542008 | 0.005551953 | 1.0017945 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 7.723574E-6 | 7.723574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4093665E-4 | 3.3100612E-5 | 3.3100612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041430052 | 4.0292594E-4 | 4.1292192E-4 | 1.0248084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040666126 | 0.0044472935 | 0.004457249 | 1.0022385 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 3.678858E-6 | 3.678858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7368503E-4 | 1.576644E-5 | 1.576644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033270244 | 1.9193954E-4 | 2.0193761E-4 | 1.0520897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032776527 | 0.0022112334 | 0.0022212113 | 1.0045123 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 2.4864114E-6 | 2.4864114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231533E-4 | 1.0656005E-5 | 1.0656005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022174292 | 1.2972915E-4 | 1.3972784E-4 | 1.0770737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021954332 | 0.0015372388 | 0.0015472235 | 1.0064951 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 2.0055488E-6 | 2.0055488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7010445E-5 | 8.595181E-6 | 8.595181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011804621 | 1.046413E-4 | 1.1464026E-4 | 1.0955546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011742111 | 0.0012703282 | 0.0012803155 | 1.007862 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 1.6803821E-6 | 1.6803821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500356E-5 | 7.2016173E-6 | 7.2016173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9113094E-4 | 8.767616E-5 | 9.7675285E-5 | 1.1140461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007883203 | 0.0010926909 | 0.0011026799 | 1.0091417 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 1.4502714E-6 | 1.4502714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5775112E-5 | 6.215434E-6 | 6.215434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5716943E-4 | 7.567029E-5 | 8.5669526E-5 | 1.1321423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055577457 | 9.6073124E-4 | 9.707216E-4 | 1.0103987 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 1.1799709E-6 | 1.1799709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.52543E-5 | 5.0570084E-6 | 5.0570084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2913653E-4 | 6.156734E-5 | 7.156673E-5 | 1.1624138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004283088 | 7.8246556E-4 | 7.924577E-4 | 1.01277 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4873758E-4 | 1.932164E-4 | 1.932164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3729106E-4 | 8.2781306E-4 | 8.2781306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077314493 | 0.01002877 | 0.01002877 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.074679315 | 0.09646023 | 0.096478306 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4409686E-4 | 1.9317826E-4 | 1.9317826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.174118E-4 | 8.2764967E-4 | 8.2764967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074911113 | 0.0100267995 | 0.0100267995 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07243565 | 0.096441306 | 0.096459374 | 1.0001874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4297929E-4 | 1.9278134E-4 | 1.9278134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1262446E-4 | 8.259498E-4 | 8.259498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007433224 | 0.010006317 | 0.010006317 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07189451 | 0.09624795 | 0.096266024 | 1.0001878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536085E-4 | 1.8741869E-4 | 1.8741869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.79989E-4 | 8.0298504E-4 | 8.0298504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070385267 | 0.00972964 | 0.00972964 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.068197265 | 0.093705304 | 0.09372343 | 1.0001935 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 1.8337966E-4 | 1.8337966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 7.8568555E-4 | 7.8568555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.00952092 | 0.00952092 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06555412 | 0.09172024 | 0.0917384 | 1.000198 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.4222144E-4 | 1.4222144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 6.093781E-4 | 6.093781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.0073939594 | 0.0073939594 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053311124 | 0.07225713 | 0.07227568 | 1.0002568 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.3800764E-4 | 1.3800764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 5.913274E-4 | 5.913274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.0071756663 | 0.0071756663 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05162293 | 0.07020876 | 0.070227355 | 1.0002649 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.3170525E-4 | 1.3170525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 5.6432904E-4 | 5.6432904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.0068490976 | 0.0068490976 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049159497 | 0.06713555 | 0.06715421 | 1.0002779 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.22893E-4 | 1.22893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 5.265783E-4 | 5.265783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.0063922754 | 0.0063922754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046324775 | 0.06284001 | 0.062858745 | 1.0002983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 9.6140626E-5 | 9.6140626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 4.1196655E-4 | 4.1196655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0050042304 | 0.0050042304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037642512 | 0.049606383 | 0.04962539 | 1.0003831 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 7.2822164E-5 | 7.2822164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 3.1205788E-4 | 3.1205788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0037927295 | 0.0037927295 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02953797 | 0.037876707 | 0.037895948 | 1.0005081 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 6.198605E-5 | 6.198605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 2.656277E-4 | 2.656277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0032292607 | 0.0032292607 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0255274 | 0.032382544 | 0.032401897 | 1.0005976 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 4.4543307E-5 | 4.4543307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 1.9088601E-4 | 1.9088601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0023215783 | 0.0023215783 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.023503607 | 0.023523137 | 1.0008309 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 3.1278436E-5 | 3.1278436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.3404361E-4 | 1.3404361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0016307704 | 0.0016307704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.016600506 | 0.016610341 | 1.0005924 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.1378453E-5 | 2.1378453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 9.1618735E-5 | 9.1618735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0011148889 | 0.0011148889 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.011427162 | 0.011437048 | 1.0008651 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 1.8279748E-5 | 1.8279748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 7.8339435E-5 | 7.8339435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 9.5336675E-4 | 9.5336675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.009811146 | 0.009821048 | 1.0010092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 9.65096E-6 | 9.65096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 4.1360607E-5 | 4.1360607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 5.0344976E-4 | 5.0344976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.005255468 | 0.0052654156 | 1.0018928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 3.0635422E-6 | 3.0635422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 1.31294E-5 | 1.31294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 1.5983875E-4 | 1.5983875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0017578915 | 0.001767874 | 1.0056787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 2.5523734E-6 | 2.5523734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 1.09386965E-5 | 1.09386965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 1.331705E-4 | 1.331705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0014735402 | 0.0014835255 | 1.0067763 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 1.9887723E-6 | 1.9887723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 8.523281E-6 | 8.523281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 1.03766026E-4 | 1.03766026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0011430503 | 0.0011430503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 1.280198E-6 | 1.280198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 5.486551E-6 | 5.486551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 6.679672E-5 | 6.679672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 7.25917E-4 | 7.25917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 7.868212E-7 | 7.868212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 3.3720864E-6 | 3.3720864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 4.1054383E-5 | 4.1054383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 4.4352317E-4 | 4.4352317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.918016E-6 | 1.0277405E-5 | 1.0277405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505093E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 4.404534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1737664E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 5.361315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005161737 | 0.0053495164 | 0.005369409 | 1.0037186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332224 | 0.0037531476 | 1.0053374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 7.1672453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 3.0716426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 3.7391225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0037332224 | 0.0037531476 | 1.0053374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.6791815E-6 | 4.6791815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0053483E-5 | 2.0053483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 2.441242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024386013 | 0.0024585526 | 1.0081815 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.3336927E-6 | 4.3336927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8572839E-5 | 1.8572839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.2610115E-4 | 2.2610115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0022587434 | 0.002268721 | 1.0044172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 3.8098062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.632764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.9877106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0019859509 | 0.0019959311 | 1.0050254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 3.5386838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.51657005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.846269E-4 | 1.846269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018447493 | 0.0018547309 | 1.0054108 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.1833179E-6 | 3.1833179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.364272E-5 | 1.364272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6608756E-4 | 1.6608756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016596448 | 0.0016696282 | 1.0060154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.8724926E-6 | 2.8724926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2310625E-5 | 1.2310625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.4987163E-4 | 1.4987163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.001497714 | 0.001507699 | 1.0066669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 2.476613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0614013E-5 | 1.0614013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.2921801E-4 | 1.2921801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0012914346 | 0.0013014217 | 1.0077333 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1037056E-6 | 2.1037056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.01585E-6 | 9.01585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.0976248E-4 | 1.0976248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0010970862 | 0.0011070753 | 1.0091051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.727887E-6 | 1.727887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.405209E-6 | 7.405209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 9.01547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.01183E-4 | 9.11174E-4 | 1.0110866 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5184913E-6 | 1.5184913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.507804E-6 | 6.507804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 7.922964E-5 | 7.922964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 7.920151E-4 | 8.020072E-4 | 1.012616 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3411899E-6 | 1.3411899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.747944E-6 | 5.747944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 6.997898E-5 | 6.997898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 6.9957046E-4 | 7.0956344E-4 | 1.0142845 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.1692055E-6 | 1.1692055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.0108706E-6 | 5.0108706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.1005652E-5 | 6.1005652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.0988986E-4 | 6.1988377E-4 | 1.0163864 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.538286E-7 | 9.538286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.087831E-6 | 4.087831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 4.9768205E-5 | 4.9768205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 4.975712E-4 | 4.975712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.487562E-7 | 7.487562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.208951E-6 | 3.208951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 3.9068284E-5 | 3.9068284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 3.906146E-4 | 3.906146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 3.8986067E-7 | 3.8986067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.6708303E-6 | 1.6708303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.034217E-5 | 2.034217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.0340321E-4 | 2.0340321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 1.8019315E-7 | 1.8019315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 7.7225616E-7 | 7.7225616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 9.402178E-6 | 9.402178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 9.4017836E-5 | 9.4017836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 7.4640504E-8 | 7.4640504E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.1988782E-7 | 3.1988782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 3.8946273E-6 | 3.8946273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 3.8945596E-5 | 3.8945596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 3.2540527E-8 | 3.2540527E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.394594E-7 | 1.394594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 1.6979168E-6 | 1.6979168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 1.697904E-5 | 1.697904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 3.985634E-9 | 3.985634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 1.708129E-8 | 1.708129E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 2.0796467E-7 | 2.0796467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 2.0796451E-6 | 2.0796451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 4.228701E-5 | 1.309709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.4836613E-4 | 1.0722613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0017033909 | 1.0118605 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 4.228701E-5 | 1.309709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.4836613E-4 | 1.0722613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0017033909 | 1.0118605 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2287335E-5 | 4.228701E-5 | 1.309709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.3836753E-4 | 1.4836613E-4 | 1.0722613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0016834245 | 0.0017033909 | 1.0118605 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016717136 | 0.016736802 | 1.0011764 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 2.8074146E-5 | 1.5532609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 8.745843E-5 | 1.1290902 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.526665E-4 | 1.0105981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009398542 | 1.0010551 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8074326E-5 | 2.8074146E-5 | 1.5532609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.7459204E-5 | 8.745843E-5 | 1.1290902 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.426759E-4 | 9.526665E-4 | 1.0105981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009388637 | 0.009398542 | 1.0010551 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3510013E-5 | 2.3509878E-5 | 1.7401818 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.7898826E-5 | 6.789825E-5 | 1.172705 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.0470024E-4 | 7.146932E-4 | 1.0141804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0070256786 | 0.0070356084 | 1.0014133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.35021455E-5 | 2.350201E-5 | 1.740613 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.7865112E-5 | 6.786454E-5 | 1.1728057 | 1.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.0429005E-4 | 7.14283E-4 | 1.0141886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0070216027 | 0.0070315325 | 1.0014142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0744042E-5 | 2.0743935E-5 | 1.9307383 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6045123E-5 | 5.604466E-5 | 1.2171683 | 1.0E-5 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.60462E-4 | 5.7045644E-4 | 1.0178324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0055911774 | 0.0056011216 | 1.0017785 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 8.817696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 3.7789607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 4.5999687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0045909965 | 0.0045909965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 5.4664492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 2.3427447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 2.8519498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028486024 | 0.0028486024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 4.584358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.9647117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 2.391803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002389514 | 0.002389514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 3.1893417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.366855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.6640444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016630491 | 0.0016630491 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.7103301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.329977E-6 | 7.329977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 8.924083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 8.9224713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2472013E-7 | 3.2472013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.391657E-6 | 1.391657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.6943293E-5 | 1.6943293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.694201E-4 | 1.694201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.0590637E-7 | 2.0590637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 8.8245554E-7 | 8.8245554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0743844E-5 | 1.0743844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0743328E-4 | 1.0743328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0346543E-7 | 1.0346543E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.434232E-7 | 4.434232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.398664E-6 | 5.398664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.3985343E-5 | 5.3985343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.0600198E-8 | 3.0600198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.3114371E-7 | 1.3114371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.5966734E-6 | 1.5966734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.5966622E-5 | 1.5966622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 6.2813075E-9 | 6.2813075E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 2.691989E-8 | 2.691989E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 3.277496E-7 | 3.277496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 3.2774915E-6 | 3.2774915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 4.87123E-10 | 4.87123E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 2.0876694E-9 | 2.0876694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 2.5417373E-8 | 2.5417373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 2.5417373E-7 | 2.5417373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.4733212E-6 | 1.1473307E-5 | 7.787377 | 1.0E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.3142184E-6 | 1.6314156E-5 | 2.5837173 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.6872966E-5 | 8.68722E-5 | 1.1300747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.645637E-4 | 7.6847075E-4 | 7.884554E-4 | 1.0260057 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.1054814E-5 | 10.48024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.4520624E-5 | 3.212052 | 1.0E-5 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 6.5037224E-5 | 1.1816834 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.7023234E-4 | 1.0363276 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0548246E-6 | 1.1054814E-5 | 10.48024 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.520669E-6 | 1.4520624E-5 | 3.212052 | 1.0E-5 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.5037774E-5 | 6.5037224E-5 | 1.1816834 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4711284E-4 | 5.502433E-4 | 5.7023234E-4 | 1.0363276 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.515904E-7 | 1.08515815E-5 | 12.742724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.649668E-6 | 1.3649632E-5 | 3.7399652 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.443381E-5 | 5.4433367E-5 | 1.2250439 | 1.0E-5 | 4.414933E-4 | 4.4425015E-4 | 4.6424125E-4 | 1.0449997 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.925551E-7 | 1.0792547E-5 | 13.617409 | 1.0E-5 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.3966603E-6 | 1.3396627E-5 | 3.9440582 | 1.0E-5 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.135356E-5 | 5.135315E-5 | 1.2418071 | 1.0E-5 | 4.108819E-4 | 4.134593E-4 | 4.3345103E-4 | 1.0483524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.040289E-7 | 1.0704021E-5 | 15.203953 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.0172632E-6 | 1.3017233E-5 | 4.314252 | 1.0E-5 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6734564E-5 | 4.6734196E-5 | 1.2722132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6487455E-4 | 3.672854E-4 | 3.7728174E-4 | 1.0272168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.9404823E-7 | 1.0594043E-5 | 17.83364 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5459185E-6 | 1.2545893E-5 | 4.9278455 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.099612E-5 | 4.099581E-5 | 1.322611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0778843E-4 | 3.0991825E-4 | 3.1991515E-4 | 1.0322566 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.829323E-7 | 1.0482928E-5 | 21.706825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0697082E-6 | 1.2069688E-5 | 5.8315887 | 1.0E-5 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.5198407E-5 | 3.5198154E-5 | 1.3968405 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5010316E-4 | 2.519557E-4 | 2.6195316E-4 | 1.0396795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1569425E-7 | 1.041569E-5 | 25.056133 | 1.0E-5 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7815455E-6 | 1.1781528E-5 | 6.613094 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1690103E-5 | 3.1689884E-5 | 1.4610298 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.1688E-4 | 2.2687783E-4 | 1.0460985 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 2.8451112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.2193328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.4845276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4726835E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.4844292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.538749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 6.5946364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 8.02894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.962996E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 8.0286525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 8.042775E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 3.446903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 4.1965964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.161893E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 4.196518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 4.3112067E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.8476598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 2.2495235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2287857E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 2.249501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 2.2011273E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 9.433402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.148516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378794E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.1485103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 4.758547E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 2.0393772E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 2.4829416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462619E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 2.4829387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 7.45356E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 3.1943848E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 3.8891637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 3.8891635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.8661184E-4 | 1.0361414 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13441859 | 1.0001289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.8661184E-4 | 1.0361414 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13441859 | 1.0001289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7309593E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.8661184E-4 | 1.0361414 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.13440128 | 0.13441859 | 1.0001289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7308246E-4 | 2.766146E-4 | 2.8661184E-4 | 1.0361414 | 1.0E-5 | 7.41571E-4 | 0.0011849592 | 0.0011949474 | 1.008429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008991311 | 0.014332906 | 0.014342763 | 1.0006877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08636101 | 0.13440128 | 0.13441859 | 1.0001289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 2.600989E-4 | 2.700963E-4 | 1.0384369 | 1.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0011142392 | 0.0011242281 | 1.0089648 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.013482758 | 0.013492623 | 1.0007317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.12708622 | 0.12710369 | 1.0001373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 2.4869258E-4 | 2.586901E-4 | 1.0402002 | 1.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0010653957 | 0.0010753849 | 1.0093762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.012895245 | 0.012905116 | 1.0007654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.12192907 | 0.12194663 | 1.000144 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.2238235E-4 | 2.3238013E-4 | 1.0449576 | 1.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 9.5272355E-4 | 9.62714E-4 | 1.0104862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.011538641 | 0.011548526 | 1.0008566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.11001089 | 0.11002869 | 1.0001618 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 1.8101795E-4 | 1.9101614E-4 | 1.0552331 | 1.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 7.755637E-4 | 7.855559E-4 | 1.0128839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.009402233 | 0.009412139 | 1.0010536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.09085678 | 0.09087496 | 1.0002002 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.4631034E-4 | 1.5630889E-4 | 1.0683379 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0225635E-4 | 6.268959E-4 | 6.3688966E-4 | 1.0159416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.0076061874 | 0.007616111 | 1.0013047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.074196085 | 0.0742146 | 1.0002495 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 8.2036524E-5 | 8.2036524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 3.515381E-4 | 3.515381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.004271645 | 0.004271645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.042522777 | 0.04253235 | 1.0002252 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 6.258298E-5 | 6.258298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 2.6818542E-4 | 2.6818542E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0032603114 | 0.0032603114 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.03264263 | 0.032652304 | 1.0002964 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 4.717861E-5 | 4.717861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.0217845E-4 | 2.0217845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0024587542 | 0.0024587542 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.024783922 | 0.024793673 | 1.0003935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 4.2234402E-5 | 4.2234402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 1.8099208E-4 | 1.8099208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0022013609 | 0.0022013609 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.022256397 | 0.022266176 | 1.0004393 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 3.437181E-5 | 3.437181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.4729948E-4 | 1.4729948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0017919034 | 0.0017919034 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.01813336 | 0.01813336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 2.6152682E-5 | 2.6152682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.12078145E-4 | 1.12078145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0013637029 | 0.0013637029 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.013834601 | 0.013834601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 1.7227003E-5 | 1.7227003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 7.382794E-5 | 7.382794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 8.9848787E-4 | 8.9848787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.009155338 | 0.009155338 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 6.4120213E-6 | 6.4120213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 2.7479806E-5 | 2.7479806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 3.3451596E-4 | 3.3451596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0034339484 | 0.0034339484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 6.180521E-7 | 6.180521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 2.6487921E-6 | 2.6487921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 3.224857E-5 | 3.224857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 3.5438943E-4 | 3.5438943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 4.6222917E-7 | 4.6222917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 1.9809806E-6 | 1.9809806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 2.4118173E-5 | 2.4118173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 2.698971E-4 | 2.698971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 3.4795897E-7 | 3.4795897E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 1.4912519E-6 | 1.4912519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 1.815584E-5 | 1.815584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 2.0229566E-4 | 2.0229566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 2.6589302E-7 | 2.6589302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 1.139541E-6 | 1.139541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 1.3873824E-5 | 1.3873824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 1.5271369E-4 | 1.5271369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 1.3321896E-7 | 1.3321896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 5.709383E-7 | 5.709383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 6.9511516E-6 | 6.9511516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 7.501851E-5 | 7.501851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012740543 | 1.0007755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012740543 | 1.0007755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.4548097E-5 | 3.454785E-5 | 1.4073535 | 1.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0520197E-4 | 1.1520092E-4 | 1.0950452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0012800966 | 0.0012900839 | 1.0078019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734817 | 0.01273067 | 0.012740543 | 1.0007755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478693 | 0.012488569 | 1.0007913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.4059062E-5 | 3.405882E-5 | 1.4156338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0310627E-4 | 1.1310524E-4 | 1.0969774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0012546111 | 0.0012645985 | 1.0079606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010505628 | 0.012478693 | 0.012488569 | 1.0007913 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.3754741E-5 | 3.3754503E-5 | 1.4209586 | 1.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0180214E-4 | 1.1180113E-4 | 1.0982198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012387515 | 0.0012487391 | 1.0080626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010362327 | 0.012321864 | 0.012331741 | 1.0008016 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.2312273E-5 | 3.231205E-5 | 1.4481739 | 1.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.56206E-5 | 1.0561964E-4 | 1.10457 | 1.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0011635721 | 0.0011735604 | 1.0085843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009832645 | 0.01157798 | 0.011587864 | 1.0008537 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.1924227E-5 | 3.1924006E-5 | 1.4561064 | 1.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.3957664E-5 | 1.0395672E-4 | 1.1064209 | 1.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011433472 | 0.0011533358 | 1.0087363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009669261 | 0.011377823 | 0.011387709 | 1.0008689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.0882897E-5 | 3.088269E-5 | 1.4788507 | 1.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 8.949513E-5 | 9.949424E-5 | 1.111728 | 1.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0010890712 | 0.0010990603 | 1.0091721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009260561 | 0.010841153 | 0.010851044 | 1.0009124 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 1.4799853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 6.3426436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 7.7194924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006830362 | 0.007694258 | 0.007694258 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 1.2784228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 5.4788426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 6.6685036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0066497647 | 0.0066497647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0624341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 4.5532117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 5.5421656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050568148 | 0.00552889 | 0.00552889 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0069095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 4.3152573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 5.2526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0052405978 | 0.0052405978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 9.614178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 4.1202995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 5.01535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0050044395 | 0.0050044395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 9.5142495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 4.0774743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5430884E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 4.963234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004533812 | 0.0049525574 | 0.0049525574 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 9.413084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 4.0341187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.492982E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 4.910473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004483909 | 0.00490003 | 0.00490003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 9.097402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 3.8988306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 4.7458324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004736103 | 0.004736103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 8.176285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 3.504077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 4.2654175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00389112 | 0.0042576184 | 0.0042576184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 3.6132118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.5485185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.8853054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.8851498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.718083E-5 | 2.9096971E-5 | 2.9096971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1648407E-4 | 1.246956E-4 | 1.246956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014172709 | 0.0015171571 | 0.0015171571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01408266 | 0.015072813 | 0.015082663 | 1.0006535 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.718083E-5 | 2.9096971E-5 | 2.9096971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1648407E-4 | 1.246956E-4 | 1.246956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014172709 | 0.0015171571 | 0.0015171571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01408266 | 0.015072813 | 0.015082663 | 1.0006535 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.0579573E-5 | 2.0579573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 8.819531E-5 | 8.819531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0010732706 | 0.0010732706 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.01068313 | 0.010693023 | 1.000926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4169027E-5 | 1.4169027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.0723036E-5 | 6.0723036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.3906087E-4 | 7.3906087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.0073669213 | 0.007376848 | 1.0013474 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.358698E-6 | 8.358698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.582252E-5 | 3.582252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.360551E-4 | 4.360551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.004352317 | 0.0043622735 | 1.0022876 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.6738986E-6 | 5.6738986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4316492E-5 | 2.4316492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 2.9601506E-4 | 2.9601506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0029564064 | 0.002966377 | 1.0033724 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.849559E-6 | 3.849559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6498016E-5 | 1.6498016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.008463E-4 | 2.008463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.002006794 | 0.002016774 | 1.004973 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.71243E-6 | 2.71243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1624656E-5 | 1.1624656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4152224E-4 | 1.4152224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014144444 | 0.0014244303 | 1.0070599 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.296023E-6 | 1.296023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.554378E-6 | 5.554378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.762337E-5 | 6.762337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.76118E-4 | 6.76118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.2453209E-5 | 3.2452983E-5 | 1.4453607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.6227195E-5 | 1.0622623E-4 | 1.1039107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0011714158 | 0.0011814041 | 1.0085267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.011699426 | 0.011709309 | 1.0008447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.2453209E-5 | 3.2452983E-5 | 1.4453607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.6227195E-5 | 1.0622623E-4 | 1.1039107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0011714158 | 0.0011814041 | 1.0085267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.011699426 | 0.011709309 | 1.0008447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.2453209E-5 | 3.2452983E-5 | 1.4453607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.6227195E-5 | 1.0622623E-4 | 1.1039107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0011714158 | 0.0011814041 | 1.0085267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.011699426 | 0.011709309 | 1.0008447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.2453209E-5 | 3.2452983E-5 | 1.4453607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.6227195E-5 | 1.0622623E-4 | 1.1039107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0011714158 | 0.0011814041 | 1.0085267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.011699426 | 0.011709309 | 1.0008447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.2453209E-5 | 3.2452983E-5 | 1.4453607 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.6227195E-5 | 1.0622623E-4 | 1.1039107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0011714158 | 0.0011814041 | 1.0085267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.011699426 | 0.011709309 | 1.0008447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 1.9479572E-5 | 2.9479377E-5 | 1.5133483 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.348388E-5 | 9.3483046E-5 | 1.1197736 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010164162 | 0.0010264061 | 1.0098284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010164159 | 0.010174058 | 1.0009738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 1.9479572E-5 | 2.9479377E-5 | 1.5133483 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.348388E-5 | 9.3483046E-5 | 1.1197736 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010164162 | 0.0010264061 | 1.0098284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010164159 | 0.010174058 | 1.0009738 | 1.0E-5 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6540124E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4229231E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029459186 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029071707 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 3.180636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.36308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0016586977 | 0.001668681 | 1.0060189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.016528735 | 0.01653857 | 1.000595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 2.7998416E-5 | 2.7998416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.1998983E-4 | 1.1998983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0014602984 | 0.0014702837 | 1.006838 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017173318 | 0.014564727 | 0.014574582 | 1.0006766 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 8.8875E-5 | 8.8875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.001081884 | 0.0010918732 | 1.0092331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.01079161 | 0.0108015025 | 1.0009166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 2.0737723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 8.8875E-5 | 8.8875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.001081884 | 0.0010918732 | 1.0092331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.01079161 | 0.0108015025 | 1.0009166 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040185 | 0.0040284595 | 1.0024785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.03951823 | 0.039527833 | 1.0002431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.921579E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 7.713586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 3.3054905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030851178 | 0.0040185 | 0.0040284595 | 1.0024785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030426376 | 0.03951823 | 0.039527833 | 1.0002431 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6963574E-5 | 7.393462E-5 | 7.393462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4410675E-4 | 3.168328E-4 | 3.168328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029679495 | 0.0038521325 | 0.0038620941 | 1.002586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029286223 | 0.03791557 | 0.03792519 | 1.0002538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 7.389071E-5 | 7.389071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.1664464E-4 | 3.1664464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.0038498498 | 0.0038598115 | 1.0025876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.03789364 | 0.037903264 | 1.0002539 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 6.859849E-5 | 6.859849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 2.9396891E-4 | 2.9396891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0035747054 | 0.0035846697 | 1.0027875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.035269156 | 0.035278805 | 1.0002736 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 4.8340036E-5 | 4.8340036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.0716118E-4 | 2.0716118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.00252034 | 0.002530315 | 1.0039577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.025110558 | 0.025120307 | 1.0003883 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 1.8816856E-5 | 1.8816856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 8.064126E-5 | 8.064126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 9.813791E-4 | 9.913692E-4 | 1.0101798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.010030389 | 0.010040288 | 1.0009869 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 1.8097991E-5 | 1.8097991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 7.7560595E-5 | 7.7560595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 9.4390503E-4 | 9.538956E-4 | 1.0105842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.009658236 | 0.00966814 | 1.0010254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 1.5961024E-5 | 1.5961024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 6.8402645E-5 | 6.8402645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 8.3249283E-4 | 8.424845E-4 | 1.0120021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.008543945 | 0.00855386 | 1.0011604 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.195255E-5 | 1.195255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 5.1224222E-5 | 5.1224222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 6.234789E-4 | 6.3347263E-4 | 1.016029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.0064337486 | 0.0064436845 | 1.0015444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.07835085E-5 | 1.07835085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 4.6214227E-5 | 4.6214227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 5.625145E-4 | 5.725089E-4 | 1.0177673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.005810622 | 0.0058205645 | 1.001711 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.0714799E-5 | 1.0714799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 4.591977E-5 | 4.591977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 5.589313E-4 | 5.6892575E-4 | 1.0178813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.005774696 | 0.005784638 | 1.0017217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.0078809E-5 | 1.0078809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 4.319419E-5 | 4.319419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 5.257638E-4 | 5.357585E-4 | 1.01901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.0054414803 | 0.005451426 | 1.0018277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 9.28883E-6 | 9.28883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 3.9808674E-5 | 3.9808674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 4.84564E-4 | 4.945592E-4 | 1.0206271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.005027621 | 0.005037571 | 1.001979 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 9.1647635E-6 | 9.1647635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 3.9276973E-5 | 3.9276973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 4.780934E-4 | 4.880886E-4 | 1.0209064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.004962614 | 0.004972564 | 1.0020051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 8.8687175E-6 | 8.8687175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 3.8008242E-5 | 3.8008242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 4.6265323E-4 | 4.726486E-4 | 1.0216044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.004806034 | 0.0048159854 | 1.0020707 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 8.058102E-6 | 8.058102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 3.453427E-5 | 3.453427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 4.2037462E-4 | 4.3037042E-4 | 1.0237783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.004376968 | 0.004386924 | 1.0022746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 6.200666E-6 | 6.200666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 2.6574015E-5 | 2.6574015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 3.2349085E-4 | 3.3348764E-4 | 1.0309027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.003398643 | 0.003408609 | 1.0029323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 5.0492754E-6 | 5.0492754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 2.1639573E-5 | 2.1639573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 2.634301E-4 | 2.7342746E-4 | 1.0379508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.002788691 | 0.0027986632 | 1.0035759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 3.5056948E-6 | 3.5056948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 1.502432E-5 | 1.502432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 1.8290586E-4 | 1.9290403E-4 | 1.054663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0019697382 | 0.0019797185 | 1.0050669 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 2.7857948E-6 | 2.7857948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 1.1939066E-5 | 1.1939066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 1.4534855E-4 | 1.553471E-4 | 1.0687902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.001582912 | 0.0015928963 | 1.0063075 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 2.3946548E-6 | 2.3946548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 1.0262766E-5 | 1.0262766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 1.2494212E-4 | 1.2494212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0013670959 | 0.0013670959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 1.4583094E-7 | 1.4583094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 6.249896E-7 | 6.249896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 7.609223E-6 | 7.609223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 9.050793E-5 | 9.050793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0168847E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 4.358077E-9 | 4.358077E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 5.3059587E-8 | 5.3059587E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 6.245385E-7 | 6.245385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.3119978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.6227404E-5 | 6.622684E-5 | 1.1778393 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.843786E-4 | 6.943718E-4 | 1.0146018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066113044 | 0.006825189 | 0.0068351207 | 1.0014552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.9319354E-6 | 5.9319354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.5422354E-5 | 2.5422354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.0947707E-4 | 3.0947707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029996498 | 0.0030908424 | 0.0030908424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.9319354E-6 | 5.9319354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.5422354E-5 | 2.5422354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.0947707E-4 | 3.0947707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029996498 | 0.0030908424 | 0.0030908424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.3474828E-6 | 3.447264E-6 | 3.447264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4346277E-5 | 1.4773912E-5 | 1.4773912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7465191E-4 | 1.7985901E-4 | 1.7985901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017451472 | 0.0017972796 | 0.0017972796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.035106E-6 | 2.095621E-6 | 2.095621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721853E-6 | 8.9812065E-6 | 8.9812065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0618339E-4 | 1.0934143E-4 | 1.0934143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010613267 | 0.0010929477 | 0.0010929477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2424716E-6 | 1.2796362E-6 | 1.2796362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3248673E-6 | 5.4841457E-6 | 5.4841457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.482833E-5 | 6.6767876E-5 | 6.6767876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.480942E-4 | 6.675219E-4 | 6.675219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.6904556E-7 | 6.893901E-7 | 6.893901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.867335E-6 | 2.9545272E-6 | 2.9545272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4909244E-5 | 3.5971032E-5 | 3.5971032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.490376E-4 | 3.5967724E-4 | 3.5967724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.948168E-7 | 4.0689127E-7 | 4.0689127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6920709E-6 | 1.7438198E-6 | 1.7438198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0600768E-5 | 2.1231006E-5 | 2.1231006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0598859E-4 | 2.1231006E-4 | 2.1231006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 10 (Panoche)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863231E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008321454 | 0.008329923 | 0.00833984 | 1.0011905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 1.6029844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863231E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 6.8697555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 8.3607726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008321454 | 0.008329923 | 0.00833984 | 1.0011905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.56782E-5 | 1.5661253E-5 | 1.5661253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.719056E-5 | 6.711796E-5 | 6.711796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.17738E-4 | 8.1686024E-4 | 8.1686024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008147354 | 0.008139172 | 0.00814909 | 1.0012187 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5263338E-5 | 1.5199419E-5 | 1.5199419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.541267E-5 | 6.5138775E-5 | 6.5138775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.961082E-4 | 7.9278136E-4 | 7.9278136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007932622 | 0.007900113 | 0.007910034 | 1.0012558 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4720723E-5 | 1.4593385E-5 | 1.4593385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.308728E-5 | 6.254161E-5 | 6.254161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.67817E-4 | 7.611833E-4 | 7.611833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007651695 | 0.007586326 | 0.00759625 | 1.0013082 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.408264E-5 | 1.38738E-5 | 1.38738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0352773E-5 | 5.9457816E-5 | 5.9457816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3454727E-4 | 7.236636E-4 | 7.236636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073212404 | 0.007213616 | 0.0072235437 | 1.0013763 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3197086E-5 | 1.2873626E-5 | 1.2873626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6557717E-5 | 5.5171542E-5 | 5.5171542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8837265E-4 | 6.715115E-4 | 6.715115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006862442 | 0.0066953497 | 0.0067052827 | 1.0014836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.017583E-5 | 9.433005E-6 | 9.433005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.360997E-5 | 4.0426552E-5 | 4.0426552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.30822E-4 | 4.9208436E-4 | 4.9208436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052955584 | 0.0049101827 | 0.0049201334 | 1.0020266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.557912E-6 | 7.6184792E-6 | 7.6184792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667625E-5 | 3.2650227E-5 | 3.2650227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4644187E-4 | 3.9744593E-4 | 3.9744593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044554602 | 0.003967544 | 0.003977504 | 1.0025104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.14664E-6 | 4.921784E-6 | 4.921784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342475E-5 | 2.1093196E-5 | 2.1093196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2067244E-4 | 2.5678068E-4 | 2.5678068E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003202101 | 0.0025649685 | 0.002574943 | 1.0038887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.2310581E-6 | 1.6377121E-6 | 1.6377121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3847319E-5 | 7.0187475E-6 | 7.0187475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857806E-4 | 8.544999E-5 | 8.544999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016845023 | 8.5418014E-4 | 8.5418014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.544492E-6 | 8.816703E-7 | 8.816703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.090492E-5 | 3.778582E-6 | 3.778582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.327593E-4 | 4.6003308E-5 | 4.6003308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013268003 | 4.599423E-4 | 4.599423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.4479045E-6 | 8.4890013E-7 | 8.4890013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0490977E-5 | 3.6381387E-6 | 3.6381387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2772017E-4 | 4.4293483E-5 | 4.4293483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012764678 | 4.4285096E-4 | 4.4285096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0559578E-6 | 7.598957E-7 | 7.598957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811218E-6 | 3.2566923E-6 | 3.2566923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.072713E-4 | 3.964955E-5 | 3.964955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010721954 | 3.9642907E-4 | 3.9642907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.727687E-6 | 7.13256E-7 | 7.13256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.404352E-6 | 3.056808E-6 | 3.056808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0144255E-5 | 3.7216047E-5 | 3.7216047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0107694E-4 | 3.7210243E-4 | 3.7210243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.321804E-7 | 6.321804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.621733E-4 | 1.0221052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.004523047 | 1.0022057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.621733E-4 | 1.0221052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.004523047 | 1.0022057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 8.667793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 3.714718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5217783E-4 | 4.621733E-4 | 1.0221052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004513092 | 0.004523047 | 1.0022057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2174217E-6 | 6.2174217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6645828E-5 | 2.6645828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2436606E-4 | 3.343628E-4 | 1.0308194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.003239104 | 0.0032490718 | 1.0030773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 6.055682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.5952673E-5 | 2.5952673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1592936E-4 | 3.259262E-4 | 1.0316427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.003154977 | 0.0031649454 | 1.0031596 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.0852154E-6 | 5.0852154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.1793603E-5 | 2.1793603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 2.6530575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026500232 | 0.0026500232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 4.377793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.876184E-5 | 1.876184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.2840225E-4 | 2.2840225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0022817913 | 0.0022817913 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.7889654E-6 | 3.7889654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6238326E-5 | 1.6238326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.9768433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019751892 | 0.0019751892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.2877385E-6 | 3.2877385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4090235E-5 | 1.4090235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.715357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017141314 | 0.0017141314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.885192E-6 | 2.885192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2365053E-5 | 1.2365053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5053469E-4 | 1.5053469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015044214 | 0.0015044214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 2.466841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0572136E-5 | 1.0572136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.2870869E-4 | 1.2870869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001286433 | 0.001286433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0099171E-6 | 2.0099171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.613904E-6 | 8.613904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0486977E-4 | 1.0486977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010482924 | 0.0010482924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.5782915E-7 | 8.5782915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.6764054E-6 | 3.6764054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.475933E-5 | 4.475933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.4754244E-4 | 4.4754244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.6507654E-7 | 4.6507654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 1.9931836E-6 | 1.9931836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.4266741E-5 | 2.4266741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.4266413E-4 | 2.4266413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.029418E-7 | 3.029418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.2983213E-6 | 1.2983213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.5806949E-5 | 1.5806949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.580802E-4 | 1.580802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.4982762E-7 | 2.4982762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.0706893E-6 | 1.0706893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.3035566E-5 | 1.3035566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.3036838E-4 | 1.3036838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.0263828E-7 | 2.0263828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 8.6844943E-7 | 8.6844943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.0573322E-5 | 1.0573322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.05745086E-4 | 1.05745086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 4.6221576E-8 | 4.6221576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 1.9809247E-7 | 1.9809247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.411773E-6 | 2.411773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.4121073E-5 | 2.4121073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 9.744924E-9 | 9.744924E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 4.1763972E-8 | 4.1763972E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 5.0847626E-7 | 5.0847626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 5.085759E-6 | 5.085759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 2.771843E-9 | 2.771843E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.187933E-8 | 1.187933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 1.4463082E-7 | 1.4463082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 1.4472567E-6 | 1.4472567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 7.212331E-11 | 7.212331E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 3.0909786E-10 | 3.0909786E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 3.7632653E-9 | 3.7632653E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 3.8498037E-8 | 3.8498037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 3.3676173E-11 | 3.3676173E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 1.4432433E-10 | 1.4432433E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 1.7571503E-9 | 1.7571503E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 1.8002497E-8 | 1.8002497E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.2945402E-5 | 4.3950787 | 1.0E-5 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.685492E-4 | 1.02788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.2945402E-5 | 4.3950787 | 1.0E-5 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.685492E-4 | 1.02788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 6.8726786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.945431E-6 | 1.2945402E-5 | 4.3950787 | 1.0E-5 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.586013E-5 | 4.5859768E-5 | 1.2788513 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5635266E-4 | 3.585528E-4 | 3.685492E-4 | 1.02788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.1825511E-5 | 6.477853 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2225613E-5 | 3.222539E-5 | 1.4499214 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2223571E-4 | 2.3223349E-4 | 1.0449873 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 4.2595713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.8255294E-6 | 1.1825511E-5 | 6.477853 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2225613E-5 | 3.222539E-5 | 1.4499214 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2056856E-4 | 2.2223571E-4 | 2.3223349E-4 | 1.0449873 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.1363795E-5 | 8.332394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.7602887E-4 | 1.0602199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.1363795E-5 | 8.332394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.7602887E-4 | 1.0602199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.1363795E-5 | 8.332394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.7602887E-4 | 1.0602199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 3.182223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3638092E-6 | 1.1363795E-5 | 8.332394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.6604256E-5 | 2.6604088E-5 | 1.6022453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6454936E-4 | 1.6603054E-4 | 1.7602887E-4 | 1.0602199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0402092E-7 | 3.0678996E-7 | 3.0678996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3029462E-6 | 1.3148134E-6 | 1.13148E-5 | 8.605632 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5863254E-5 | 1.600774E-5 | 2.600758E-5 | 1.6246878 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5862122E-4 | 1.6006625E-4 | 1.7006465E-4 | 1.0624641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3673063E-7 | 2.3895475E-7 | 2.3895475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145594E-6 | 1.0240915E-6 | 1.1024081E-5 | 10.764743 | 1.0E-5 | 1.235219E-5 | 1.2468245E-5 | 2.246812E-5 | 1.8020275 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2351504E-4 | 1.2467573E-4 | 1.3467448E-4 | 1.080198 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.632138E-7 | 1.6479902E-7 | 1.6479902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9948754E-7 | 7.062813E-7 | 1.0706274E-5 | 15.158654 | 1.0E-5 | 8.516227E-6 | 8.598943E-6 | 1.8598857E-5 | 2.1629236 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5159016E-5 | 8.598627E-5 | 9.5985415E-5 | 1.1162876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1523723E-7 | 1.163336E-7 | 1.163336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9387376E-7 | 4.985725E-7 | 1.04985675E-5 | 21.057255 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0128964E-6 | 6.070104E-6 | 1.6070044E-5 | 2.6474082 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0127335E-5 | 6.069949E-5 | 7.069889E-5 | 1.164736 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.777805E-8 | 7.847384E-8 | 7.847384E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3333444E-7 | 3.3631642E-7 | 1.0336313E-5 | 30.733894 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0583395E-6 | 4.094645E-6 | 1.4094604E-5 | 3.442204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0582654E-5 | 4.0945753E-5 | 5.0945346E-5 | 1.2442156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.609946E-8 | 4.644704E-8 | 4.644704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975691E-7 | 1.9905873E-7 | 1.9905873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4054011E-6 | 2.4235376E-6 | 2.4235376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405375E-5 | 2.4235129E-5 | 2.4235129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3439137E-8 | 2.3578295E-8 | 2.3578295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00453434E-7 | 1.0104983E-7 | 1.0104983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230199E-6 | 1.230281E-6 | 1.230281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230132E-5 | 1.2302744E-5 | 1.2302744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6699769E-8 | 1.679628E-8 | 1.679628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157044E-8 | 7.1984054E-8 | 7.1984054E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713697E-7 | 8.764055E-7 | 8.764055E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713663E-6 | 8.764023E-6 | 8.764023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.4061512E-9 | 7.4456583E-9 | 7.4456583E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1740647E-8 | 3.1909963E-8 | 3.1909963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.864423E-7 | 3.8850374E-7 | 3.8850374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8644166E-6 | 3.885031E-6 | 3.885031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2189427E-9 | 1.2256353E-9 | 1.2256353E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2240403E-9 | 5.2527223E-9 | 5.2527223E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3602684E-8 | 6.3951894E-8 | 6.3951894E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.360267E-7 | 6.395188E-7 | 6.395188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 2.58398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.2455107E-4 | 1.0317811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038430805 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 2.58398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.2455107E-4 | 1.0317811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038430805 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 6.0293464E-6 | 6.0293464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6937918E-4 | 2.58398E-5 | 2.58398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044879215 | 3.145542E-4 | 3.2455107E-4 | 1.0317811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.0038331188 | 0.0038430805 | 1.0025989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.915322E-6 | 5.915322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.5351133E-5 | 2.5351133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.086064E-4 | 3.186033E-4 | 1.0323937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622498 | 0.0037722124 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 5.915322E-6 | 5.915322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6642692E-4 | 2.5351133E-5 | 2.5351133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004452125 | 3.086064E-4 | 3.186033E-4 | 1.0323937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.0037622498 | 0.0037722124 | 1.002648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 5.848627E-6 | 5.848627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.647124E-4 | 2.5065303E-5 | 2.5065303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004431336 | 3.0512738E-4 | 3.1512434E-4 | 1.0327632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.0037209957 | 0.0037309586 | 1.0026774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 5.8140904E-6 | 5.8140904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6417096E-4 | 2.4917292E-5 | 2.4917292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044247704 | 3.0332585E-4 | 3.1332282E-4 | 1.0329578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.0037010738 | 0.0037110366 | 1.0026919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 5.7395364E-6 | 5.7395364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6263323E-4 | 2.459778E-5 | 2.459778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004406125 | 2.9943688E-4 | 3.094339E-4 | 1.033386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.0036567766 | 0.0036667401 | 1.0027246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 5.699714E-6 | 5.699714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6095164E-4 | 2.4427118E-5 | 2.4427118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004385734 | 2.9735963E-4 | 3.0735665E-4 | 1.0336193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.0036335413 | 0.003643505 | 1.0027422 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 5.592054E-6 | 5.592054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5849313E-4 | 2.3965726E-5 | 2.3965726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004355922 | 2.917437E-4 | 3.0174077E-4 | 1.0342667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.0035745478 | 0.003584512 | 1.0027876 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 5.437188E-6 | 5.437188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560668E-4 | 2.3302026E-5 | 2.3302026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004326499 | 2.836653E-4 | 2.9366245E-4 | 1.0352428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.00349124 | 0.0035012052 | 1.0028543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 5.2793876E-6 | 5.2793876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4458007E-4 | 2.2625749E-5 | 2.2625749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041871946 | 2.7543373E-4 | 2.8543096E-4 | 1.0362964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.0034040122 | 0.003413978 | 1.0029277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 4.9293885E-6 | 4.9293885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3607247E-4 | 2.112578E-5 | 2.112578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004084008 | 2.5717606E-4 | 2.6717348E-4 | 1.0388739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.0032146832 | 0.003224651 | 1.0031008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 4.7824E-6 | 4.7824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3086175E-4 | 2.049584E-5 | 2.049584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004020803 | 2.495083E-4 | 2.5950582E-4 | 1.0400689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.0031371561 | 0.0031471248 | 1.0031776 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 4.4094745E-6 | 4.4094745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1511846E-4 | 1.889761E-5 | 1.889761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038298194 | 2.3005414E-4 | 2.4005184E-4 | 1.043458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.0028887924 | 0.0028987634 | 1.0034517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 4.030874E-6 | 4.030874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9166197E-4 | 1.7275059E-5 | 1.7275059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035452035 | 2.1030357E-4 | 2.2030147E-4 | 1.0475403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.0026368 | 0.0026467736 | 1.0037825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 3.4202478E-6 | 3.4202478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.43112E-4 | 1.4658122E-5 | 1.4658122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029558712 | 1.7844804E-4 | 1.8844625E-4 | 1.0560287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.002211336 | 0.0022213138 | 1.0045122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 3.2672078E-6 | 3.2672078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1199681E-4 | 1.4002244E-5 | 1.4002244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002578006 | 1.7046399E-4 | 1.8046229E-4 | 1.0586535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.002112466 | 0.0021224448 | 1.0047238 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 3.2420867E-6 | 3.2420867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7020974E-4 | 1.38945825E-5 | 1.38945825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020703338 | 1.6915341E-4 | 1.7915173E-4 | 1.0591079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.0020953515 | 0.0021053303 | 1.0047624 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 3.1559305E-6 | 3.1559305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 1.3525346E-5 | 1.3525346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001257516 | 1.6465865E-4 | 1.74657E-4 | 1.0607218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.002031022 | 0.0020410018 | 1.0049137 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 3.031262E-6 | 3.031262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 1.2991058E-5 | 1.2991058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260915E-4 | 1.5815465E-4 | 1.6815307E-4 | 1.0632193 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.0019433239 | 0.0019533045 | 1.0051358 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 2.6085165E-6 | 2.6085165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 1.1179308E-5 | 1.1179308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.864001E-4 | 1.3609958E-4 | 1.4609822E-4 | 1.0734656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0016688692 | 0.0016788525 | 1.005982 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 1.2884715E-6 | 1.2884715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 5.522009E-6 | 5.522009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5048463E-4 | 6.7228386E-5 | 7.722772E-5 | 1.1487367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004495725 | 8.486812E-4 | 8.586727E-4 | 1.011773 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.3666163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 5.8569253E-7 | 5.8569253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 7.130784E-6 | 7.130784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 9.343107E-5 | 9.343107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Morales (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.175138E-5 | 6.709715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.7505898E-5 | 2.3322625 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0138101E-4 | 1.1094208 | 1.0E-5 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.234883E-4 | 1.010937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.175138E-5 | 6.709715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.7505898E-5 | 2.3322625 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0138101E-4 | 1.1094208 | 1.0E-5 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.234883E-4 | 1.010937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.175138E-5 | 6.709715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.7505898E-5 | 2.3322625 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0138101E-4 | 1.1094208 | 1.0E-5 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.234883E-4 | 1.010937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4942771E-6 | 1.7513978E-6 | 1.175138E-5 | 6.709715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.404029E-6 | 7.505972E-6 | 1.7505898E-5 | 2.3322625 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 9.1381924E-5 | 1.0138101E-4 | 1.1094208 | 1.0E-5 | 7.793892E-4 | 9.1349747E-4 | 9.234883E-4 | 1.010937 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.798845E-7 | 1.1314032E-6 | 1.1314032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7709283E-6 | 4.8488623E-6 | 4.8488623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5910085E-5 | 5.9033377E-5 | 5.9033377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.59006E-4 | 5.901848E-4 | 5.901848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.1751725E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750705E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7438338E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743203E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.1751725E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 9.678163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750705E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 4.1477774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7438338E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 5.0498067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743203E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 5.048705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.159057E-7 | 9.655623E-7 | 9.655623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0681638E-6 | 4.138118E-6 | 4.138118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7354253E-5 | 5.0380466E-5 | 5.0380466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7347974E-4 | 5.03695E-4 | 5.03695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.032203E-7 | 9.499462E-7 | 9.499462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0137978E-6 | 4.0711916E-6 | 4.0711916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.669237E-5 | 4.9565675E-5 | 4.9565675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6686313E-4 | 4.9555075E-4 | 4.9555075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.941549E-7 | 9.376159E-7 | 9.376159E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.974946E-6 | 4.0183477E-6 | 4.0183477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6219368E-5 | 4.892233E-5 | 4.892233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6213463E-4 | 4.8912014E-4 | 4.8912014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.2932247E-7 | 8.434189E-7 | 8.434189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6970936E-6 | 3.6146478E-6 | 3.6146478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283662E-5 | 4.4007484E-5 | 4.4007484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283177E-4 | 4.399914E-4 | 4.399914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.6200963E-7 | 7.421228E-7 | 7.421228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086105E-6 | 3.1805223E-6 | 3.1805223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9324437E-5 | 3.8722195E-5 | 3.8722195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9320567E-4 | 3.871571E-4 | 3.871571E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.91044E-7 | 6.314548E-7 | 6.314548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1044725E-6 | 2.7062322E-6 | 2.7062322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5621652E-5 | 3.2947897E-5 | 3.2947897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.56187E-4 | 3.294321E-4 | 3.294321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2978448E-7 | 5.410079E-7 | 5.410079E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8419321E-6 | 2.3186033E-6 | 2.3186033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2425293E-5 | 2.8228644E-5 | 2.8228644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242303E-4 | 2.8225227E-4 | 2.8225227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.774317E-7 | 4.6111546E-7 | 4.6111546E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6175634E-6 | 1.9762076E-6 | 1.9762076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9693656E-5 | 2.4060075E-5 | 2.4060075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.969191E-4 | 2.4057622E-4 | 2.4057622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0603232E-7 | 6.411307E-8 | 6.411307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5442414E-7 | 2.7477026E-7 | 2.7477026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5326E-6 | 3.345323E-6 | 3.345323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.532462E-5 | 3.3452972E-5 | 3.3452972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.960384E-8 | 5.667601E-8 | 5.667601E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2687353E-7 | 2.4289716E-7 | 2.4289716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.197173E-6 | 2.957269E-6 | 2.957269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1970514E-5 | 2.9572544E-5 | 2.9572544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.499468E-8 | 2.5087862E-8 | 2.5087862E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.785486E-7 | 1.0751941E-7 | 1.0751941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3913238E-6 | 1.3090481E-6 | 1.3090481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3912722E-5 | 1.3090648E-5 | 1.3090648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2517119E-8 | 4.158356E-9 | 4.158356E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6501935E-8 | 1.7821526E-8 | 1.7821526E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1749105E-6 | 2.1697706E-7 | 2.1697706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1749043E-5 | 2.170007E-6 | 2.170007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.493023E-9 | 3.9689074E-10 | 3.9689074E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.639867E-8 | 1.7009621E-9 | 1.7009621E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4315374E-7 | 2.0709212E-8 | 2.0709212E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4315284E-6 | 2.0722564E-7 | 2.0722564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.4971842E-9 | 3.5486059E-12 | 3.5486059E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4165038E-9 | 1.5209722E-11 | 1.5209722E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.812093E-8 | 1.8517843E-10 | 1.8517843E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.81209E-7 | 1.9292257E-9 | 1.9292257E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.548233E-5 | 5.5481876E-5 | 1.2198555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 1.9491104E-4 | 2.049091E-4 | 1.0512954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0023707203 | 0.0023806966 | 1.0042081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.023480805 | 0.02349057 | 1.0004159 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 4.253505E-5 | 1.3073478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.253538E-5 | 4.253505E-5 | 1.3073478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.394303E-4 | 1.494289E-4 | 1.0717105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0016963127 | 0.0017062958 | 1.0058851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.016841033 | 0.016850865 | 1.0005838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.7766318E-5 | 3.776604E-5 | 1.3601385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.1899334E-4 | 1.2899215E-4 | 1.0840284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014478276 | 0.0014578131 | 1.0068969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014388782 | 0.014398638 | 1.000685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.3986573E-5 | 3.3986333E-5 | 1.4168899 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.02795726E-4 | 1.12794696E-4 | 1.0972704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012508509 | 0.0012608384 | 1.0079845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012441386 | 0.012451261 | 1.0007938 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 2.1220041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 9.094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001106656 | 0.001106656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009844234 | 0.011013942 | 0.011013942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.8559653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 7.953904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 9.6797344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008671708 | 0.009639226 | 0.009639226 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.6021335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 6.866111E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 8.356367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007540013 | 0.008325829 | 0.008325829 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.4227853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 6.097512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 7.4212474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006729651 | 0.0073970547 | 0.0073970547 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.3780735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 5.9058984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 7.188113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006524288 | 0.0071654296 | 0.0071654296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.3719627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 5.8797104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 7.15625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006495651 | 0.0071337717 | 0.0071337717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.3586646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 5.822721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 7.086911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0070648757 | 0.0070648757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.3359642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 5.7254383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3438306E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 6.9685455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006325751 | 0.0069472566 | 0.0069472566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.2866702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 5.514187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 6.7115086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0066917967 | 0.0066917967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.1335449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 4.857962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.383166E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 5.913013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0058977883 | 0.0058977883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 9.812609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 4.205339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 5.118846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0051075425 | 0.0051075425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 3.251954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.3936938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.6968093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.6966835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 2.6495033E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.1355014E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.3824729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.3824729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008869528 | 0.006226301 | 0.006236239 | 1.0015961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.085237645 | 0.063758604 | 0.06376796 | 1.0001469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.1968878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3148566E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 5.1285216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008869528 | 0.006226301 | 0.006236239 | 1.0015961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.085237645 | 0.063758604 | 0.06376796 | 1.0001469 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.1479617E-4 | 1.1479617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.989222E-4 | 4.918919E-4 | 4.918919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008476226 | 0.005972537 | 0.005982477 | 1.0016643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08160117 | 0.061144754 | 0.061154142 | 1.0001535 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.04813975E-4 | 1.04813975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.471264E-4 | 4.4912638E-4 | 4.4912638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007850339 | 0.005454582 | 0.0054645278 | 1.0018233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075787395 | 0.055909634 | 0.055919074 | 1.0001689 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.0375653E-4 | 1.0375653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4475456E-4 | 4.4459602E-4 | 4.4459602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007821669 | 0.0053996984 | 0.0054096445 | 1.0018419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0755203 | 0.055407397 | 0.055416845 | 1.0001705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 8.322445E-5 | 8.322445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.467764E-4 | 3.56628E-4 | 3.56628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066367025 | 0.0043334053 | 0.0043433616 | 1.0022976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064419635 | 0.044656865 | 0.044666417 | 1.000214 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 6.8750116E-5 | 6.8750116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.740649E-4 | 2.946105E-4 | 2.946105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057564764 | 0.003581057 | 0.0035910213 | 1.0027825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05609626 | 0.03694712 | 0.03695675 | 1.0002607 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 6.2423685E-5 | 6.2423685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4525467E-4 | 2.6750303E-4 | 2.6750303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054075094 | 0.0032520539 | 0.0032620213 | 1.003065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052778035 | 0.033607867 | 0.033617534 | 1.0002875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 5.86196E-5 | 5.86196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3264418E-4 | 2.5120302E-4 | 2.5120302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052547283 | 0.0030541676 | 0.0030641372 | 1.0032642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051321987 | 0.031764794 | 0.031774476 | 1.0003048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 5.395051E-5 | 5.395051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1994374E-4 | 2.3119627E-4 | 2.3119627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051008356 | 0.0028112356 | 0.0028212075 | 1.0035472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049853306 | 0.02950845 | 0.029518154 | 1.0003289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 4.933423E-5 | 4.933423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0554712E-4 | 2.1141558E-4 | 2.1141558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004926363 | 0.0025709968 | 0.0025809712 | 1.0038795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048185747 | 0.02721771 | 0.027227437 | 1.0003574 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 4.431219E-5 | 4.431219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8992817E-4 | 1.8989583E-4 | 1.8989583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004737046 | 0.0023095778 | 0.0023195546 | 1.0043198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04637333 | 0.024685038 | 0.024694791 | 1.000395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 4.169346E-5 | 4.169346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.791572E-4 | 1.7867428E-4 | 1.7867428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004606472 | 0.0021732352 | 0.0021832134 | 1.0045915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045121472 | 0.023323983 | 0.02333375 | 1.0004188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 3.093777E-5 | 3.093777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973053E-4 | 1.3258385E-4 | 1.3258385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004128377 | 0.0016130413 | 0.0016230252 | 1.0061895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040525194 | 0.017495656 | 0.017505482 | 1.0005616 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 1.8429619E-5 | 1.8429619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.771722E-4 | 7.8981764E-5 | 7.8981764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033693502 | 9.6119323E-4 | 9.7118365E-4 | 1.0103937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0331872 | 0.010520507 | 0.010530401 | 1.0009406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 5.2173395E-6 | 5.2173395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129321E-4 | 2.2359838E-5 | 2.2359838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025694598 | 2.721976E-4 | 2.8219484E-4 | 1.036728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02539953 | 0.0030235106 | 0.0030334804 | 1.0032974 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 3.891636E-6 | 3.891636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9766642E-4 | 1.6678336E-5 | 1.6678336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039324 | 2.0304027E-4 | 2.1303825E-4 | 1.0492413 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023780935 | 0.0022761768 | 0.002286154 | 1.0043833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 1.3004669E-6 | 1.3004669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6899795E-4 | 5.5734176E-6 | 5.5734176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020556084 | 6.7854286E-5 | 7.7853605E-5 | 1.1473646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020366974 | 8.172561E-4 | 8.272479E-4 | 1.0122261 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 7.7017586E-7 | 7.7017586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1908354E-4 | 3.3007493E-6 | 3.3007493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014488777 | 4.018588E-5 | 5.018548E-5 | 1.2488337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014394675 | 4.938526E-4 | 5.0384767E-4 | 1.020239 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 6.51966E-7 | 6.51966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.816983E-5 | 2.794137E-6 | 2.794137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2965166E-4 | 3.4018085E-5 | 4.4017746E-5 | 1.2939513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008265611 | 4.1704605E-4 | 4.2704187E-4 | 1.0239682 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 5.4496655E-7 | 5.4496655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.940071E-5 | 2.3355688E-6 | 2.3355688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7959806E-4 | 2.8435179E-5 | 3.8434893E-5 | 1.351667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047856434 | 3.5537122E-4 | 3.6536765E-4 | 1.0281296 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 3.7739525E-7 | 3.7739525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4006533E-5 | 1.6174073E-6 | 1.6174073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.9691755E-5 | 2.9691559E-5 | 1.5078168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029185633 | 2.640755E-4 | 2.7407284E-4 | 1.037858 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 3.0339805E-7 | 3.0339805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 1.3002767E-6 | 1.3002767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2699735E-4 | 1.5830754E-5 | 2.5830597E-5 | 1.6316718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022676561 | 2.1662274E-4 | 2.2662057E-4 | 1.0461532 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 1.3369454E-7 | 1.3369454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 5.729765E-7 | 5.729765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0212552E-4 | 6.975967E-6 | 6.975967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001020786 | 9.1772185E-5 | 9.1772185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.967457E-5 | 4.2498315E-5 | 4.2498315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7002279E-4 | 1.8212355E-4 | 1.8212355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002068062 | 0.0022152094 | 0.0022152094 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02048922 | 0.021943172 | 0.021952953 | 1.0004457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.6689537E-5 | 2.6689537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.1437888E-4 | 1.1437888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0013917041 | 0.0013917041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01298276 | 0.013833187 | 0.013833187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.6689537E-5 | 2.6689537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.1437888E-4 | 1.1437888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0013917041 | 0.0013917041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01298276 | 0.013833187 | 0.013833187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7653625E-5 | 1.7653625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.5656244E-5 | 7.5656244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.207339E-4 | 9.207339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009170097 | 0.009170097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7653625E-5 | 1.7653625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.5656244E-5 | 7.5656244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.207339E-4 | 9.207339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009170097 | 0.009170097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3394842E-5 | 1.4205569E-5 | 1.4205569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7405203E-5 | 6.087962E-5 | 6.087962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.986842E-4 | 7.409627E-4 | 7.409627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006964916 | 0.0073854974 | 0.0073854974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1137514E-5 | 1.1801862E-5 | 1.1801862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7731326E-5 | 5.057845E-5 | 5.057845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.809739E-4 | 6.156225E-4 | 6.156225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005794574 | 0.006139581 | 0.006139581 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.0200663E-6 | 7.4302043E-6 | 7.4302043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008565E-5 | 3.1843352E-5 | 3.1843352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6623122E-4 | 3.876254E-4 | 3.876254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036562826 | 0.0038696511 | 0.0038696511 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.940172E-6 | 6.286138E-6 | 6.286138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.545763E-5 | 2.694032E-5 | 2.694032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0990256E-4 | 3.2795026E-4 | 3.2795026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030947074 | 0.0032747884 | 0.0032747884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.129831E-6 | 4.3687824E-6 | 4.3687824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7699154E-5 | 1.8723224E-5 | 1.8723224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.154659E-4 | 2.2793216E-4 | 2.2793216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002152571 | 0.0022770602 | 0.0022770602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6512955E-6 | 2.8027298E-6 | 2.8027298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1362646E-5 | 1.2011646E-5 | 1.2011646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3833142E-4 | 1.4623239E-4 | 1.4623239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013824535 | 0.0014614032 | 0.0014614032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2992575E-6 | 1.3738501E-6 | 1.3738501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.568235E-6 | 5.887917E-6 | 5.887917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779115E-5 | 7.1683244E-5 | 7.1683244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7770475E-4 | 7.166223E-4 | 7.166223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.968191E-7 | 5.260179E-7 | 5.260179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1292228E-6 | 2.254361E-6 | 2.254361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.592298E-5 | 2.7446624E-5 | 2.7446624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919956E-4 | 2.7444438E-4 | 2.7444438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.6634865E-5 | 3.66346E-5 | 1.3754377 | 1.0E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.141451E-4 | 1.2414396E-4 | 1.0875978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0013889499 | 0.001398936 | 1.0071896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456532 | 0.01382386 | 0.013833722 | 1.0007133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.5886824E-5 | 2.5886666E-5 | 1.6294425 | 1.0E-5 | 7.709863E-5 | 6.808498E-5 | 7.80843E-5 | 1.1468652 | 1.0E-5 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.286834E-4 | 8.3867507E-4 | 1.0120573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0093431985 | 0.008271571 | 0.008281488 | 1.001199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 6.8648146E-6 | 1.6864746E-5 | 2.4566936 | 1.0E-5 | 4.135823E-5 | 2.9420346E-5 | 3.942005E-5 | 1.3398908 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.5814143E-4 | 3.6813784E-4 | 1.0279119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005022812 | 0.0035857605 | 0.0035957245 | 1.0027788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 6.8437284E-6 | 1.684366E-5 | 2.4611819 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1263404E-5 | 2.9329978E-5 | 3.9329683E-5 | 1.3409381 | 1.0E-5 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.5704157E-4 | 3.6703798E-4 | 1.027998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050113243 | 0.0035747972 | 0.0035847614 | 1.0027874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 3.9158294E-6 | 1.391579E-5 | 3.5537274 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.678203E-5 | 2.6781863E-5 | 1.5958655 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.0430422E-4 | 2.1430218E-4 | 1.0489366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035873733 | 0.0020507602 | 0.0020607398 | 1.0048662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.268278E-6 | 1.3268245E-5 | 4.0597053 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.4006842E-5 | 2.4006702E-5 | 1.7139268 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.7052192E-4 | 1.8052022E-4 | 1.0586334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003267423 | 0.0017134912 | 0.001723474 | 1.005826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 2.5127438E-6 | 2.5127438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.07688675E-5 | 1.07688675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.3110485E-4 | 1.3110485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0013198397 | 0.0013198397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 8.011221E-7 | 8.011221E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 3.433376E-6 | 3.433376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 4.180056E-5 | 4.180056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 4.273232E-4 | 4.273232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 5.1922865E-7 | 5.1922865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 2.2252636E-6 | 2.2252636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 2.7092254E-5 | 2.7092254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 2.8027728E-4 | 2.8027728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 3.4531362E-7 | 3.4531362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 1.4799147E-6 | 1.4799147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 1.8017812E-5 | 1.8017812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 1.8954423E-4 | 1.8954423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 3.210687E-7 | 3.210687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 1.3760081E-6 | 1.3760081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 1.6752769E-5 | 1.6752769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 1.7682779E-4 | 1.7682779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 2.531044E-7 | 2.531044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 1.0847326E-6 | 1.0847326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 1.320654E-5 | 1.320654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 1.4055682E-4 | 1.4055682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 2.0143422E-7 | 2.0143422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 8.6328924E-7 | 8.6328924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 1.05104955E-5 | 1.05104955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 1.1340966E-4 | 1.1340966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 1.4309569E-7 | 1.4309569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 6.1326705E-7 | 6.1326705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 7.466501E-6 | 7.466501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 8.250762E-5 | 8.250762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 1.18685556E-7 | 1.18685556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 5.0865225E-7 | 5.0865225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 6.192824E-6 | 6.192824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 6.969155E-5 | 6.969155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 1.1273507E-7 | 1.1273507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 4.8315025E-7 | 4.8315025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 5.8823384E-6 | 5.8823384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 6.609016E-5 | 6.609016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 1.06575676E-7 | 1.06575676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 4.5675282E-7 | 4.5675282E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 5.560951E-6 | 5.560951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 6.247126E-5 | 6.247126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 7.579131E-8 | 7.579131E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 3.2481987E-7 | 3.2481987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 3.954675E-6 | 3.954675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 4.379736E-5 | 4.379736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 1.9078543E-9 | 1.9078543E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 8.176518E-9 | 8.176518E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 9.9549105E-8 | 9.9549105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 1.0564304E-6 | 1.0564304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035157667 | 1.0028424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035157667 | 1.0028424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035157667 | 1.0028424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035157667 | 1.0028424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 6.728982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 2.883822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 3.510567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035058018 | 0.0035157667 | 1.0028424 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017018132 | 1.0059007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 3.2449584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.3906895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.693041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016918301 | 0.0017018132 | 1.0059007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.1994065E-6 | 2.1994065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.425995E-6 | 9.425995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1475564E-4 | 1.1475564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001146983 | 0.001146983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.7306558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 7.4170753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.029925E-5 | 9.029925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.026352E-4 | 9.026352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.3642791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 5.8468977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.11837E-5 | 7.11837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.116135E-4 | 7.116135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1375545E-6 | 1.1375545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 4.8752245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.935427E-5 | 5.935427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.933873E-4 | 5.933873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 9.2713225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.973418E-6 | 3.973418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8375307E-5 | 4.8375307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8364952E-4 | 4.8364952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 6.6962025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 2.869798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.493924E-5 | 3.493924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.4933834E-4 | 3.4933834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9219517E-7 | 4.9219517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 2.109406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5681722E-5 | 2.5681722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5678801E-4 | 2.5678801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.28751E-7 | 3.28751E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.4089321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7153616E-5 | 1.7153616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7152316E-4 | 1.7152316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.4688558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 6.295095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.664252E-6 | 7.664252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.663996E-5 | 7.663996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.7243698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.390156E-8 | 7.390156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 8.9975117E-7 | 8.9975117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 8.99748E-6 | 8.99748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2635813E-6 | 1.9293707E-6 | 1.9293707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.701026E-6 | 8.268709E-6 | 8.268709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1810359E-4 | 1.0066757E-4 | 1.1066656E-4 | 1.0993268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011804085 | 0.0010062869 | 0.0010162769 | 1.0099275 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.527053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 6.5444992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 7.967684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 7.965302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4697184E-6 | 1.4697184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.2987806E-6 | 6.2987806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.6685435E-5 | 7.6685435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.6663704E-4 | 7.6663704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.868043E-7 | 8.868043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8005846E-6 | 3.8005846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6271223E-5 | 4.6271223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.626243E-4 | 4.626243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.4813806E-7 | 7.4813806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2063024E-6 | 3.2063024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9036102E-5 | 3.9036102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9029922E-4 | 3.9029922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.3986965E-7 | 6.3986965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7422961E-6 | 2.7422961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3387005E-5 | 3.3387005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3382577E-4 | 3.3382577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.537673E-7 | 5.537673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.3732864E-6 | 2.3732864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.8894434E-5 | 2.8894434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.8891227E-4 | 2.8891227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.0323863E-7 | 4.0323863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7281646E-6 | 1.7281646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.104024E-5 | 2.104024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1038618E-4 | 2.1038618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.445407E-7 | 3.445407E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.4766023E-6 | 1.4766023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.797752E-5 | 1.797752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.7976401E-4 | 1.7976401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 2.9790003E-8 | 2.9790003E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.2767144E-7 | 1.2767144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.5543986E-6 | 1.5543986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.5543885E-5 | 1.5543885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5053413E-8 | 1.5053413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.451463E-8 | 6.451463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 7.854653E-7 | 7.854653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 7.854628E-6 | 7.854628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.5525783E-9 | 4.5525783E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 1.9511049E-8 | 1.9511049E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.3754701E-7 | 2.3754701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.3754685E-6 | 2.3754685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.6893855E-6 | 1.0080398E-5 | 1.0080398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1525276E-5 | 4.32011E-5 | 4.32011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05453E-4 | 5.258663E-4 | 5.35861E-4 | 1.0190063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050430484 | 0.0052481717 | 0.005258119 | 1.0018954 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.367569E-6 | 8.367569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.5860623E-5 | 3.5860623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.3653412E-4 | 4.3653412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004186971 | 0.004358585 | 0.004358585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.4129075E-6 | 3.4129075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.4626686E-5 | 1.4626686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.7806912E-4 | 1.7806912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0017796351 | 0.0017796351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.010614E-6 | 2.010614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 8.616904E-6 | 8.616904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.04908344E-4 | 1.04908344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0010488422 | 0.0010488422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.3659259E-6 | 1.3659259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 5.8539677E-6 | 5.8539677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.127206E-5 | 7.127206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.1272056E-4 | 7.1272056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mendocino
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7364764E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020283395 | 0.003153593 | 0.003153593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024417073 | 0.03749464 | 0.037504267 | 1.0002567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.2190164 | 0.30305216 | 0.30305913 | 1.000023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018208373 | 0.003153593 | 0.003153593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021944538 | 0.03749464 | 0.037504267 | 1.0002567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19899574 | 0.30305216 | 0.30305913 | 1.000023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 7.369996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018208373 | 0.003153593 | 0.003153593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021944538 | 0.03749464 | 0.037504267 | 1.0002567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19899574 | 0.30305216 | 0.30305913 | 1.000023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 5.4921344E-4 | 5.4921344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014038329 | 0.0023507755 | 0.0023507755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016958237 | 0.02807349 | 0.028083209 | 1.0003462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.1572094 | 0.23606248 | 0.23607013 | 1.0000323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 4.4040583E-4 | 4.4040583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011744922 | 0.0018854236 | 0.0018854236 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014205975 | 0.022584671 | 0.022594444 | 1.0004327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.13331394 | 0.19525525 | 0.1952633 | 1.0000412 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 3.722566E-4 | 3.722566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0015939132 | 0.0015939132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012438473 | 0.019129807 | 0.019139616 | 1.0005127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11764851 | 0.16844173 | 0.16845004 | 1.0000494 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.1253748E-4 | 3.1253748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.001338447 | 0.001338447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010910975 | 0.016094616 | 0.016104454 | 1.0006113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.10390546 | 0.1443489 | 0.14435746 | 1.0000592 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.331535E-4 | 1.331535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.395873E-4 | 5.704984E-4 | 5.704984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006549705 | 0.0069177593 | 0.00692769 | 1.0014355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.063599944 | 0.06772434 | 0.06773367 | 1.0001377 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.0675024E-4 | 1.0675024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8703855E-4 | 4.5741262E-4 | 4.5741262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059135845 | 0.005553515 | 0.00556346 | 1.0017906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057586733 | 0.055403262 | 0.05541271 | 1.0001705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 8.055428E-5 | 8.055428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2536893E-4 | 3.4518522E-4 | 3.4518522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051665753 | 0.0041944175 | 0.0042043757 | 1.0023742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050480947 | 0.042674057 | 0.04268363 | 1.0002244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 6.764795E-5 | 6.764795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9286047E-4 | 2.8988754E-4 | 2.8988754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004772591 | 0.0035236448 | 0.0035336094 | 1.002828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04671385 | 0.03630811 | 0.036317747 | 1.0002655 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 5.334896E-5 | 5.334896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5504074E-4 | 2.2861848E-4 | 2.2861848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004314056 | 0.0027799136 | 0.002789886 | 1.0035872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042312626 | 0.029159458 | 0.029169168 | 1.000333 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 4.6432062E-5 | 4.6432062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3533663E-4 | 1.9897964E-4 | 1.9897964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040750825 | 0.002419932 | 0.002429908 | 1.0041224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040011603 | 0.025661465 | 0.025671208 | 1.0003797 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 3.368933E-5 | 3.368933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9516246E-4 | 1.4437501E-4 | 1.4437501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035876823 | 0.0017563767 | 0.0017663591 | 1.0056835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035303112 | 0.018844992 | 0.018854802 | 1.0005206 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 1.9003173E-5 | 1.9003173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3525805E-4 | 8.1439706E-5 | 8.1439706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028605047 | 9.910918E-4 | 0.0010010819 | 1.0100799 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02823963 | 0.010780775 | 0.0107906675 | 1.0009176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 4.959426E-6 | 4.959426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757756E-4 | 2.1254511E-5 | 2.1254511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020383475 | 2.587435E-4 | 2.6874093E-4 | 1.0386384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020197518 | 0.0028544893 | 0.0028644607 | 1.0034933 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 3.6029667E-6 | 3.6029667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5603533E-4 | 1.5441197E-5 | 1.5441197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018980748 | 1.8798083E-4 | 1.9797894E-4 | 1.0531869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018819444 | 0.0020935372 | 0.0021035164 | 1.0047666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 1.0398453E-6 | 1.0398453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.342164E-4 | 4.456472E-6 | 4.456472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016328598 | 5.4256237E-5 | 6.425569E-5 | 1.1843007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016209139 | 6.551912E-4 | 6.6518463E-4 | 1.0152527 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 5.228564E-7 | 5.228564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.467832E-5 | 2.240811E-6 | 2.240811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001152099 | 2.7281534E-5 | 3.728126E-5 | 1.3665383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011461443 | 3.392321E-4 | 3.492287E-4 | 1.0294683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 4.2942676E-7 | 4.2942676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4172346E-5 | 1.840399E-6 | 1.840399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.593487E-4 | 2.2406628E-5 | 3.2406406E-5 | 1.4462866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006573958 | 2.7613706E-4 | 2.8613428E-4 | 1.0362039 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 3.477175E-7 | 3.477175E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8092087E-5 | 1.490217E-6 | 1.490217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4196748E-4 | 1.814324E-5 | 2.8143058E-5 | 1.5511595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034144172 | 2.2774715E-4 | 2.3774487E-4 | 1.0438983 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 2.314929E-7 | 2.314929E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3678517E-5 | 9.921121E-7 | 9.921121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6652321E-4 | 1.2078898E-5 | 2.2078777E-5 | 1.8278801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016639848 | 1.6334174E-4 | 1.7334011E-4 | 1.0612113 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 1.639243E-7 | 1.639243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 7.0253253E-7 | 7.0253253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1058014E-4 | 8.5533E-6 | 1.8553215E-5 | 2.1691294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011052513 | 1.2044216E-4 | 1.3044095E-4 | 1.0830175 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 7.920766E-8 | 7.920766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 3.3946137E-7 | 3.3946137E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9325594E-5 | 4.132935E-6 | 4.132935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9318635E-4 | 5.439578E-5 | 5.439578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.08484E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3220073E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016083556 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015967647 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 3.025926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.2967638E-4 | 1.3967509E-4 | 1.077105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0015777168 | 0.0015877009 | 1.0063282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.01567049 | 0.015680334 | 1.0006281 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0772506E-4 | 1.1023169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011991708 | 1.0083991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011839979 | 1.0008353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 2.2803575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 9.772604E-5 | 1.0772506E-4 | 1.1023169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0011891827 | 0.0011991708 | 1.0083991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.011830098 | 0.011839979 | 1.0008353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.9753039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.4653206E-5 | 9.465236E-5 | 1.118119 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.001030178 | 0.0010401678 | 1.0096971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.01025539 | 0.010265287 | 1.0009651 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.8087254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 7.751457E-5 | 8.751379E-5 | 1.128998 | 1.0E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.4334263E-4 | 9.533332E-4 | 1.0105906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.0093945945 | 0.009404501 | 1.0010544 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.453472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.229022E-5 | 7.22896E-5 | 1.1605289 | 1.0E-5 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.581284E-4 | 7.6812087E-4 | 1.0131804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007556338 | 0.0075662625 | 1.0013134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.1594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 4.9687664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 6.047863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006032109 | 0.006032109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 8.5005495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 4.4345594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0044262577 | 0.0044262577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 4.376891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.875798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 2.2835645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0022814118 | 0.0022814118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.7891591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 7.667808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 9.335255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 9.332302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.551078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.551078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.551078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.2558371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.3820695E-5 | 5.3820695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013441239 | 6.551078E-4 | 6.551078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013360229 | 0.006535492 | 0.006545427 | 1.0015202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.2976172E-6 | 7.2976172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0038024844 | 0.0038024844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.2976172E-6 | 7.2976172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 3.1275227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 3.8072706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007949836 | 0.0038024844 | 0.0038024844 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.783117E-6 | 5.783117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0030147417 | 0.0030147417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 5.783117E-6 | 5.783117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 2.4784644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 3.017272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069102696 | 0.0030147417 | 0.0030147417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.7715062E-6 | 2.7715062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.1877858E-5 | 1.1877858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.4460844E-4 | 1.4460844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043374705 | 0.0014456447 | 0.0014456447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.1735275E-6 | 2.1735275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.315111E-6 | 9.315111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.1341034E-4 | 1.1341034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037684843 | 0.001133991 | 0.001133991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 1.9714782E-6 | 1.9714782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.792111E-5 | 8.449192E-6 | 8.449192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.02868784E-4 | 1.02868784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003393671 | 0.0010286752 | 0.0010286752 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.083339E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8244875E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.6148971E-8 | 2.6148971E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.1206701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.3644152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6486625E-4 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.3644081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.6134611E-8 | 2.6134611E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.12005466E-7 | 1.12005466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.3636659E-6 | 1.3636659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4817587E-4 | 1.3636589E-5 | 1.3636589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.3108795E-8 | 2.3108795E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 9.903769E-8 | 9.903769E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.2057833E-6 | 1.2057833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7925001E-4 | 1.20577815E-5 | 1.20577815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 6.096806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 2.6126934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002522281 | 0.0031769678 | 0.003186936 | 1.0031377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024938442 | 0.031381197 | 0.031390883 | 1.0003086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.3785683E-5 | 4.3785683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4978478E-4 | 1.8764217E-4 | 1.8764217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0022826365 | 0.0022926137 | 1.0043709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018072363 | 0.022640212 | 0.022649985 | 1.0004317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.430819E-5 | 3.430819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.4702923E-4 | 1.4702923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0017890426 | 0.0017990248 | 1.0055796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014255894 | 0.017788876 | 0.0177987 | 1.0005522 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.422804E-5 | 3.422804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.466858E-4 | 1.466858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001431093 | 0.0017848681 | 0.0017948502 | 1.0055927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014219119 | 0.017747799 | 0.017757623 | 1.0005535 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.3457154E-5 | 2.3457154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.0052883E-4 | 1.0052883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0012236129 | 0.0012236129 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009877323 | 0.012204213 | 0.012204213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.322353E-6 | 6.322353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.7095539E-5 | 2.7095539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.2984227E-4 | 3.2984227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002900493 | 0.0032939245 | 0.0032939245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.5421875E-6 | 4.5421875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7191402E-5 | 1.946639E-5 | 1.946639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.3698076E-4 | 2.3698076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020908823 | 0.0023675992 | 0.0023675992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.3714326E-6 | 2.3714326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0163256E-5 | 1.0163256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2373299E-4 | 1.2373299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012368725 | 0.0012368725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021095627 | 1.0047529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 4.0269074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.7258091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1010255E-4 | 2.2010045E-4 | 1.0475858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020791737 | 0.0020995836 | 0.0021095627 | 1.0047529 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.3985568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0169805E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 5.9938016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 7.297215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230127E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 7.2948786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.3248749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 5.678023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 6.91278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9447263E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 6.9106824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1096286E-6 | 1.1096286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 4.7555422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.7897214E-5 | 5.7897214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.83553E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 5.788238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 9.682002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 4.1494227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 5.0518065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.108591E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 5.0506706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 8.872575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 3.8025266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 4.6294786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6928777E-4 | 4.628524E-4 | 4.628524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 7.785224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 3.3365202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.0621384E-5 | 4.0621384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1377472E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 4.061401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 6.985951E-7 | 6.985951E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 2.9939754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 3.6451045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7282976E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 3.6445103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 6.211194E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 2.6619375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 3.240861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3331584E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 3.2403908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 5.228187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 2.2406498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 2.727957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8329415E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 2.7276232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 4.4561273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.9097674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 2.325117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400349E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 2.3248744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 3.8627002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6554419E-6 | 1.6554419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.015482E-5 | 2.015482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1373246E-4 | 2.0152995E-4 | 2.0152995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 3.2634534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.3986221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.7028091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8316023E-4 | 1.702679E-4 | 1.702679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.6122441E-7 | 2.6122441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1195327E-6 | 1.1195327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.3630225E-5 | 1.3630225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4993713E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.3629391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.81228E-7 | 1.81228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 7.766912E-7 | 7.766912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.456175E-6 | 9.456175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917276E-4 | 9.4557734E-5 | 9.4557734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.0930017E-7 | 1.0930017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 4.684292E-7 | 4.684292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 5.7031107E-6 | 5.7031107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2643765E-5 | 5.7029647E-5 | 5.7029647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.023396E-8 | 5.023396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.152884E-7 | 2.152884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 2.6211328E-6 | 2.6211328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.230553E-5 | 2.621102E-5 | 2.621102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.2211758E-8 | 2.2211758E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 9.519325E-8 | 9.519325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.1589772E-6 | 1.1589772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537167E-5 | 1.1589712E-5 | 1.1589712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 9.79943E-9 | 9.79943E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 4.1997552E-8 | 4.1997552E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 5.113201E-7 | 5.113201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572056E-5 | 5.113189E-6 | 5.113189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 4.0235317E-9 | 4.0235317E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 1.7243707E-8 | 1.7243707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 2.0994212E-7 | 2.0994212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7560045E-6 | 2.0994194E-6 | 2.0994194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.69486E-6 | 9.69486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.154878E-5 | 5.1548366E-5 | 1.2406709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.057473E-4 | 5.157422E-4 | 1.0197628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005046785 | 0.0050567347 | 1.0019715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.69486E-6 | 9.69486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.154878E-5 | 5.1548366E-5 | 1.2406709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.057473E-4 | 5.157422E-4 | 1.0197628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005046785 | 0.0050567347 | 1.0019715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.69486E-6 | 9.69486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.154878E-5 | 5.1548366E-5 | 1.2406709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011141442 | 5.057473E-4 | 5.157422E-4 | 1.0197628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.005046785 | 0.0050567347 | 1.0019715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 7.849166E-6 | 7.849166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.363888E-5 | 4.3638545E-5 | 1.297265 | 1.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.094823E-4 | 4.1947822E-4 | 1.0244111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0040878616 | 0.0040978207 | 1.0024363 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 7.849166E-6 | 7.849166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.363888E-5 | 4.3638545E-5 | 1.297265 | 1.0E-5 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.094823E-4 | 4.1947822E-4 | 1.0244111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.0040878616 | 0.0040978207 | 1.0024363 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.3945467E-6 | 6.3945467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.7404938E-5 | 2.7404938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.336084E-4 | 3.336084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0033315073 | 0.0033315073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.3945467E-6 | 6.3945467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.7404938E-5 | 2.7404938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.336084E-4 | 3.336084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0033315073 | 0.0033315073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.2844325E-6 | 5.2844325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.2647393E-5 | 2.2647393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.7570073E-4 | 2.7570073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0027539448 | 0.0027539448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 4.8968745E-6 | 4.8968745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.0986456E-5 | 2.0986456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.554837E-4 | 2.554837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0025522509 | 0.0025522509 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.1289604E-6 | 4.1289604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.7695442E-5 | 1.7695442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.1542402E-4 | 2.1542402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0021524774 | 0.0021524774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.5719156E-6 | 3.5719156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5308138E-5 | 1.5308138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.8636379E-4 | 1.8636379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0018623846 | 0.0018623846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.0820531E-6 | 3.0820531E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.320875E-5 | 1.320875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6080774E-4 | 1.6080774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016072172 | 0.0016072172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1039912E-6 | 1.1039912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.7313824E-6 | 4.7313824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 5.7603113E-5 | 5.7603113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 5.758873E-4 | 5.758873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.6196617E-7 | 6.6196617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.8369948E-6 | 2.8369948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.4539873E-5 | 3.4539873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.4534602E-4 | 3.4534602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.2361474E-7 | 5.2361474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.7321108E-5 | 2.7321108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.73178E-4 | 2.73178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.863869E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001226795 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014834271 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.13882194 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 2.96176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0012687823 | 0.0012687823 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.015288001 | 0.015288001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.12270685 | 0.15054655 | 0.15055504 | 1.0000564 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 2.633786E-4 | 2.633786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0011283447 | 0.0011283447 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011904482 | 0.013631771 | 0.013631771 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11286586 | 0.13622797 | 0.13623661 | 1.0000634 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 2.1180889E-4 | 2.1180889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4065786E-4 | 9.0748665E-4 | 9.0748665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010187071 | 0.011003413 | 0.011003413 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.09732539 | 0.11308531 | 0.11309417 | 1.0000784 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 1.5182368E-4 | 1.5182368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6309475E-4 | 6.505394E-4 | 6.505394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008043335 | 0.007952108 | 0.007952108 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07758363 | 0.0837114 | 0.083720565 | 1.0001094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 1.05169354E-4 | 1.05169354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 4.5066315E-4 | 4.5066315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.0055353013 | 0.0055353013 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060947374 | 0.059656557 | 0.059656557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 7.3278E-5 | 7.3278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 3.140198E-4 | 3.140198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.0038180854 | 0.0038180854 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04750344 | 0.0424209 | 0.0424209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 3.1535546E-5 | 3.1535546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 1.3514838E-4 | 1.3514838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0016447268 | 0.0016447268 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025903556 | 0.018795474 | 0.018795474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.416831E-9 | 6.416831E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.7500704E-8 | 2.7500704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.3482107E-7 | 3.3482107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.3482108E-6 | 3.3482108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lions Head 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 8.876939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 3.8043972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6317615E-5 | 5.6317152E-5 | 1.2158905 | 1.0E-5 | 4.637269E-4 | 4.630859E-4 | 4.7308125E-4 | 1.0215843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 3.9862487E-5 | 1.334855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.085862E-4 | 1.0334809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 5.7232705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 2.4528279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9862786E-5 | 3.9862487E-5 | 1.334855 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9964533E-4 | 2.9858918E-4 | 3.085862E-4 | 1.0334809 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 3.170347E-5 | 1.4607413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.2701372E-4 | 1.0460696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 4.1595453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.7826611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1703685E-5 | 3.170347E-5 | 1.4607413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1826927E-4 | 2.1701588E-4 | 2.2701372E-4 | 1.0460696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6896213E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 3.6644397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5812653E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.5704732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9251736E-5 | 1.9120345E-5 | 2.9120154E-5 | 1.5229931 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9250068E-4 | 1.9118712E-4 | 2.0118522E-4 | 1.0522947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3283942E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 3.3024065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264539E-6 | 1.4153163E-6 | 1.4153163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7366938E-5 | 1.723134E-5 | 2.7231168E-5 | 1.5803279 | 1.0E-5 | 1.736558E-4 | 1.723001E-4 | 1.8229838E-4 | 1.0580282 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.9684807E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 2.9417322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2722054E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.2607418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5488991E-5 | 1.5349424E-5 | 2.5349269E-5 | 1.6514803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5487912E-4 | 1.5348366E-4 | 1.6348212E-4 | 1.0651435 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.8254823E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 2.7983373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2109203E-6 | 1.1992869E-6 | 1.1992869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4742856E-5 | 1.460122E-5 | 2.4601073E-5 | 1.6848643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4741877E-4 | 1.4600263E-4 | 1.5600117E-4 | 1.0684819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.5794475E-7 | 2.5515493E-7 | 2.5515493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.105477E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0935206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34591E-5 | 1.3313532E-5 | 2.33134E-5 | 1.7511054 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3458285E-4 | 1.3312737E-4 | 1.4312603E-4 | 1.075106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2678832E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 2.2387196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.719496E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 9.594509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1833421E-5 | 1.1681252E-5 | 2.1681135E-5 | 1.8560627 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1832791E-4 | 1.168064E-4 | 1.2680523E-4 | 1.0856018 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.968546E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.9381628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436623E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 8.306409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.027154E-5 | 1.0113006E-5 | 2.0112904E-5 | 1.9888157 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0271065E-4 | 1.0112547E-4 | 1.1112446E-4 | 1.0988771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6101195E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.5778265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.90051E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 6.762112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.401339E-6 | 8.23284E-6 | 1.8232759E-5 | 2.2146378 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4010215E-5 | 8.232536E-5 | 9.232453E-5 | 1.1214592 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.304744E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.2705334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.591759E-7 | 5.445142E-7 | 5.445142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807945E-6 | 6.62944E-6 | 6.62944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807737E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 6.629243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.410614E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 9.0405834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0331196E-7 | 3.8745353E-7 | 3.8745353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910312E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 4.717236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9102036E-5 | 4.7171365E-5 | 4.7171365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6360826E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 6.2405626E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.844035E-7 | 2.6745266E-7 | 2.6745266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.462607E-6 | 3.2562314E-6 | 3.2562314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4625533E-5 | 3.256184E-5 | 3.256184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9100893E-8 | 3.4823106E-8 | 3.4823106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757524E-7 | 1.4924187E-7 | 1.4924187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0402267E-6 | 1.8170183E-6 | 1.8170183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.040208E-5 | 1.8170034E-5 | 1.8170034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9858547E-8 | 1.5320953E-8 | 1.5320953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5108056E-8 | 6.5661226E-8 | 6.5661226E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361902E-6 | 7.994251E-7 | 7.994251E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361853E-5 | 7.994222E-6 | 7.994222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.717722E-9 | 5.8155893E-9 | 5.8155893E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1647375E-8 | 2.4923953E-8 | 2.4923953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.070567E-7 | 3.034491E-7 | 3.034491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0705553E-6 | 3.0344868E-6 | 3.0344868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.8397716E-9 | 1.55174E-9 | 1.55174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456164E-8 | 6.6503145E-9 | 6.6503145E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035378E-7 | 8.096758E-8 | 8.096758E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035359E-6 | 8.096755E-7 | 8.096755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.5554988E-4 | 1.0407145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024629792 | 1.0040666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.5554988E-4 | 1.0407145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024629792 | 1.0040666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.5554988E-4 | 1.0407145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024629792 | 1.0040666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.5554988E-4 | 1.0407145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024629792 | 1.0040666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.706526E-6 | 1.4706479E-5 | 3.1246994 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.017068E-5 | 3.017048E-5 | 1.4957591 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.4555234E-4 | 2.5554988E-4 | 1.0407145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024530038 | 0.0024629792 | 1.0040666 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013006988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 2.4943222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0689911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.3014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012959775 | 0.0013006988 | 0.0013006988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.5104013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 6.4731325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 7.880765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 7.878078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.3846058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 5.934012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 7.22443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 7.222179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 9.766065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 4.18545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 5.0956718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 5.094557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 6.6869865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 2.8658483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 3.4891174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.4886008E-4 | 3.4886008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 3.3714693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.4449147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.7591705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.759043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 2.3699583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0156961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.2366038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.2365435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.5584645E-8 | 8.5584645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 3.6679128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.4656754E-6 | 4.4656754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 4.4655895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.7711576E-8 | 1.7711576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 7.590675E-8 | 7.590675E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 9.241643E-7 | 9.241643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 9.241607E-6 | 9.241607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 8.499548E-9 | 8.499548E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 3.6426634E-8 | 3.6426634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 4.434942E-7 | 4.434942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 4.4349335E-6 | 4.4349335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 4.0493022E-9 | 4.0493022E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 1.7354154E-8 | 1.7354154E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.112868E-7 | 2.112868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.1128662E-6 | 2.1128662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 7.363242E-10 | 7.363242E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 3.1556762E-9 | 3.1556762E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 3.8420357E-8 | 3.8420357E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 3.842035E-7 | 3.842035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 6.79391E-11 | 6.79391E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 2.9116842E-10 | 2.9116842E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 3.544974E-9 | 3.544974E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 3.544974E-8 | 3.544974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.7308821E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 7.4180884E-11 | 7.4180884E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 9.0315044E-10 | 9.0315044E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 9.0315035E-9 | 9.0315035E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0011955799 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800488 | 0.011810371 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473871E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0011955799 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017785637 | 0.011800488 | 0.011810371 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0011955799 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800488 | 0.011810371 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.2733426E-5 | 3.2733198E-5 | 1.4398708 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0034139E-4 | 9.742578E-5 | 1.074248E-4 | 1.1026323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0011855918 | 0.0011955799 | 1.0084246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012142851 | 0.011800488 | 0.011810371 | 1.0008374 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008006267 | 0.008006267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 1.5398691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 6.599291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 8.032006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0087768035 | 0.008006267 | 0.008006267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 9.803303E-6 | 9.803303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.2013547E-5 | 4.2013547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.114066E-4 | 5.114066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061957375 | 0.0051034573 | 0.0051034573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 6.708841E-6 | 6.708841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9207694E-5 | 2.8751876E-5 | 2.8751876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.5000118E-4 | 3.5000118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047622547 | 0.003494829 | 0.003494829 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.3267877E-6 | 5.3267877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.2828897E-5 | 2.2828897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235742E-4 | 2.7790747E-4 | 2.7790747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041159308 | 0.002775709 | 0.002775709 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.1834E-6 | 5.1834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.2214388E-5 | 2.2214388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.704277E-4 | 2.704277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004046161 | 0.0027010941 | 0.0027010941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.0824606E-6 | 5.0824606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.1781798E-5 | 2.1781798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.651622E-4 | 2.651622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003997127 | 0.0026485657 | 0.0026485657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 4.8470674E-6 | 4.8470674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.0772988E-5 | 2.0772988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.5288283E-4 | 2.5288283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003878636 | 0.0025260563 | 0.0025260563 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.5218935E-6 | 4.5218935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0549007E-5 | 1.9379406E-5 | 1.9379406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.3591972E-4 | 2.3591972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00371249 | 0.0023567926 | 0.0023567926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.491778E-6 | 4.491778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0391306E-5 | 1.9250341E-5 | 1.9250341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.343487E-4 | 2.343487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036933604 | 0.0023411156 | 0.0023411156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.45684E-6 | 4.45684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0220453E-5 | 1.9100607E-5 | 1.9100607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.325261E-4 | 2.325261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036726352 | 0.0023229278 | 0.0023229278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.3580467E-6 | 4.3580467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9616802E-5 | 1.8677214E-5 | 1.8677214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.2737235E-4 | 2.2737235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035994058 | 0.002271497 | 0.002271497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 3.954763E-6 | 3.954763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.694888E-5 | 1.694888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.0633405E-4 | 2.0633405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033035777 | 0.002061522 | 0.002061522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 2.041523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6802427E-5 | 8.749358E-6 | 8.749358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.06518855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020436216 | 0.0010647392 | 0.0010647392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 7.712041E-8 | 7.712041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 3.30516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.0240275E-6 | 4.0240275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0876673E-4 | 4.0239815E-5 | 4.0239815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 2.1438629E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.187984E-9 | 9.187984E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.118637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464577E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.1186365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.157202E-6 | 1.4157161E-5 | 3.405454 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.7816461E-5 | 2.7816282E-5 | 1.5612687 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689433E-4 | 2.2689217E-4 | 1.0460954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668775 | 0.0021768557 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.157202E-6 | 1.4157161E-5 | 3.405454 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.7816461E-5 | 2.7816282E-5 | 1.5612687 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689433E-4 | 2.2689217E-4 | 1.0460954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668775 | 0.0021768557 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.157202E-6 | 1.4157161E-5 | 3.405454 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.7816461E-5 | 2.7816282E-5 | 1.5612687 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689433E-4 | 2.2689217E-4 | 1.0460954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668775 | 0.0021768557 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.157202E-6 | 1.4157161E-5 | 3.405454 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.7816461E-5 | 2.7816282E-5 | 1.5612687 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.1689433E-4 | 2.2689217E-4 | 1.0460954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0021668775 | 0.0021768557 | 1.0046049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.5996025E-6 | 1.3599567E-5 | 3.7780745 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5426778E-5 | 2.5426625E-5 | 1.6482135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.8780518E-4 | 1.978033E-4 | 1.0532367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0018764982 | 0.0018864796 | 1.0053191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.5996025E-6 | 1.3599567E-5 | 3.7780745 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5426778E-5 | 2.5426625E-5 | 1.6482135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.8780518E-4 | 1.978033E-4 | 1.0532367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0018764982 | 0.0018864796 | 1.0053191 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.3448687E-6 | 1.3344836E-5 | 3.9896438 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4335074E-5 | 2.4334931E-5 | 1.6975796 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7451587E-4 | 1.8451412E-4 | 1.0572914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017438186 | 0.0017538012 | 1.0057245 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.2834805E-6 | 1.32834475E-5 | 4.045539 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4071986E-5 | 2.4071845E-5 | 1.7106218 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7131325E-4 | 1.8131154E-4 | 1.0583626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017118419 | 0.0017218248 | 1.0058317 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.0435974E-6 | 1.3043567E-5 | 4.285576 | 1.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3043926E-5 | 2.3043794E-5 | 1.7666304 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.5879849E-4 | 1.687969E-4 | 1.0629629 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0015868777 | 0.0015968619 | 1.0062916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.8617358E-6 | 1.2861708E-5 | 4.494373 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2264526E-5 | 2.2264403E-5 | 1.8153497 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.4931064E-4 | 1.5930914E-4 | 1.0669645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.00149213 | 0.001502115 | 1.0066918 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.5782376E-6 | 1.2578212E-5 | 4.878608 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1049545E-5 | 2.1049435E-5 | 1.9050046 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3452015E-4 | 1.445188E-4 | 1.0743283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013444116 | 0.0013543982 | 1.0074282 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.0798605E-6 | 1.20798395E-5 | 5.808005 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 8.913658E-6 | 1.891357E-5 | 2.1218638 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.085186E-4 | 1.1851752E-4 | 1.0921401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0010846773 | 0.0010946664 | 1.0092093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2522963E-6 | 1.1252284E-5 | 8.985321 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.3669737E-6 | 1.536692E-5 | 2.8632376 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.5341024E-5 | 7.534037E-5 | 1.1530333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.53226E-4 | 6.632195E-4 | 1.0152986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.0926455E-7 | 7.0926455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.0397018E-6 | 3.0397018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.7007758E-5 | 3.7007758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.7001786E-4 | 3.7001786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.2361474E-7 | 5.2361474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 2.2440613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.7321108E-5 | 2.7321108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.73178E-4 | 2.73178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.4656847E-7 | 3.4656847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.4852926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.8083292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.8081865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 6.90732E-8 | 6.90732E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 2.96028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 3.6041363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 3.6040925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hector Mine
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 3.0294908E-5 | 1.4927195 | 1.0E-5 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010684894 | 1.0094373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010551885 | 1.0009385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 3.0294908E-5 | 1.4927195 | 1.0E-5 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010684894 | 1.0094373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010551885 | 1.0009385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 3.0294908E-5 | 1.4927195 | 1.0E-5 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010684894 | 1.0094373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010551885 | 1.0009385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.0295112E-5 | 3.0294908E-5 | 1.4927195 | 1.0E-5 | 8.039792E-5 | 8.697657E-5 | 9.69757E-5 | 1.1149635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.78405E-4 | 0.0010585 | 0.0010684894 | 1.0094373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009741086 | 0.0105419895 | 0.010551885 | 1.0009385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 2.176361E-5 | 1.8500607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 6.041466E-5 | 1.198343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.236547E-4 | 1.0162857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.0061324686 | 1.0016233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0888055E-5 | 1.1763727E-5 | 2.176361E-5 | 1.8500607 | 1.0E-5 | 4.666226E-5 | 5.0415165E-5 | 6.041466E-5 | 1.198343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.679649E-4 | 6.1366084E-4 | 6.236547E-4 | 1.0162857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056651547 | 0.0061225295 | 0.0061324686 | 1.0016233 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0730738E-5 | 1.1592768E-5 | 2.1592652E-5 | 1.8625968 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5988065E-5 | 4.968251E-5 | 5.968201E-5 | 1.2012681 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5976084E-4 | 6.047457E-4 | 6.1473966E-4 | 1.0165259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055835294 | 0.0060338643 | 0.006043804 | 1.0016474 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.881326E-6 | 8.512061E-6 | 1.8511977E-5 | 2.1747935 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3776672E-5 | 3.647986E-5 | 4.6479498E-5 | 1.2741139 | 1.0E-5 | 4.111534E-4 | 4.4407113E-4 | 4.540667E-4 | 1.0225089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041039353 | 0.0044337404 | 0.0044436962 | 1.0022454 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5683483E-6 | 8.174487E-6 | 1.8174405E-5 | 2.2233083 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2435375E-5 | 3.5033157E-5 | 4.5032804E-5 | 1.2854339 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9482914E-4 | 4.264645E-4 | 4.3646022E-4 | 1.0234386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039412836 | 0.0042583584 | 0.0042683156 | 1.0023383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.473048E-6 | 6.9934968E-6 | 1.6993426E-5 | 2.42989 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7741338E-5 | 2.997189E-5 | 3.997159E-5 | 1.3336359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3769844E-4 | 3.6486558E-4 | 3.7486193E-4 | 1.0273974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033718573 | 0.0036445225 | 0.003654486 | 1.0027338 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9959954E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 5.3980793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1411232E-5 | 2.313452E-5 | 2.313452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6065056E-4 | 2.8164402E-4 | 2.8164402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026034506 | 0.0028146019 | 0.0028146019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2997541E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.3967242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5703626E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 5.985949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7817055E-5 | 7.287684E-5 | 7.287684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779636E-4 | 7.2856364E-4 | 7.2856364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.392699E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 9.043682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596866E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 3.8758594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3790962E-5 | 4.7187797E-5 | 4.7187797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3782333E-4 | 4.7180042E-4 | 4.7180042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.13015E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 3.380899E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3414921E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.4489561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6332544E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.7640948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6331344E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.7640031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.4767543E-5 | 3.4767294E-5 | 1.4037442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.06142754E-4 | 1.1614169E-4 | 1.0942028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0012916032 | 0.0013015902 | 1.0077323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012849107 | 0.012858979 | 1.0007683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.4767543E-5 | 3.4767294E-5 | 1.4037442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.06142754E-4 | 1.1614169E-4 | 1.0942028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0012916032 | 0.0013015902 | 1.0077323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012849107 | 0.012858979 | 1.0007683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.4767543E-5 | 3.4767294E-5 | 1.4037442 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.06142754E-4 | 1.1614169E-4 | 1.0942028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0012916032 | 0.0013015902 | 1.0077323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.012849107 | 0.012858979 | 1.0007683 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0287287E-5 | 1.0287287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4087676E-5 | 4.4087676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.3664343E-4 | 5.3664343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005354293 | 0.005354293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0287287E-5 | 1.0287287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.4087676E-5 | 4.4087676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.3664343E-4 | 5.3664343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005104534 | 0.005354293 | 0.005354293 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.484605E-6 | 6.484605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.7790884E-5 | 2.7790884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.383042E-4 | 3.383042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032256835 | 0.0033781643 | 0.0033781643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.570988E-6 | 4.570988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9589808E-5 | 1.9589808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.3848092E-4 | 2.3848092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.0023823602 | 0.0023823602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5161356E-6 | 3.5161356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.506907E-5 | 1.506907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8345128E-4 | 1.8345128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018330767 | 0.0018330767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.6981693E-6 | 2.6981693E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.1563535E-5 | 1.1563535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4077754E-4 | 1.4077754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.0014069431 | 0.0014069431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0459477E-6 | 1.0459477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.482627E-6 | 4.482627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.457494E-5 | 5.457494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.456469E-4 | 5.456469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Yorba Linda
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.8289956E-4 | 1.011446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.8289956E-4 | 1.011446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.6734572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 7.171945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.731588E-5 | 9.7315E-5 | 1.1145167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010089825 | 8.729083E-4 | 8.8289956E-4 | 1.011446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.326737E-7 | 8.326737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.344687E-5 | 5.3446434E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.343902E-4 | 4.4438586E-4 | 1.0230107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.326737E-7 | 8.326737E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 3.568597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.344687E-5 | 5.3446434E-5 | 1.2301562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7529175E-4 | 4.343902E-4 | 4.4438586E-4 | 1.0230107 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4451364E-7 | 5.719192E-7 | 5.719192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.619339E-6 | 2.45108E-6 | 2.45108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.406456E-5 | 2.9841513E-5 | 3.9841212E-5 | 1.3350936 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4055824E-4 | 2.9837713E-4 | 3.0837415E-4 | 1.0335046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.422957E-7 | 5.694823E-7 | 5.694823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6098338E-6 | 2.4406363E-6 | 2.4406363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3948843E-5 | 2.9714363E-5 | 3.9714065E-5 | 1.3365276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.394015E-4 | 2.97106E-4 | 3.07103E-4 | 1.033648 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.4119705E-7 | 5.682761E-7 | 5.682761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6051254E-6 | 2.4354667E-6 | 2.4354667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3891516E-5 | 2.9651426E-5 | 3.965113E-5 | 1.3372419 | 1.0E-5 | 4.388285E-4 | 2.964768E-4 | 3.064738E-4 | 1.0337194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5919155E-7 | 4.848176E-7 | 4.848176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.253674E-6 | 2.0777882E-6 | 2.0777882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.961276E-5 | 2.5296793E-5 | 3.529654E-5 | 1.395297 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9605703E-4 | 2.5294078E-4 | 2.6293827E-4 | 1.0395249 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5804564E-7 | 4.8345646E-7 | 4.8345646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.248763E-6 | 2.0719547E-6 | 2.0719547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.955297E-5 | 2.5225772E-5 | 3.522552E-5 | 1.39641 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9545933E-4 | 2.5223073E-4 | 2.6222822E-4 | 1.0396363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.539293E-7 | 4.796919E-7 | 4.796919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2311218E-6 | 2.0558207E-6 | 2.0558207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9338196E-5 | 2.5029347E-5 | 3.5029097E-5 | 1.399521 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9331234E-4 | 2.5026695E-4 | 2.6026444E-4 | 1.0399474 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.0900885E-7 | 3.6485469E-7 | 3.6485469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6100352E-6 | 1.563662E-6 | 1.563662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1776715E-5 | 1.9037421E-5 | 2.9037232E-5 | 1.5252712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1772171E-4 | 1.9035823E-4 | 2.0035633E-4 | 1.0525225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.849925E-7 | 3.4565852E-7 | 3.4565852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5071083E-6 | 1.4813928E-6 | 1.4813928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0523614E-5 | 1.8035811E-5 | 2.803563E-5 | 1.5544424 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0519423E-4 | 1.8034379E-4 | 1.9034198E-4 | 1.0554397 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.89808E-7 | 2.9300614E-7 | 2.9300614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0991754E-6 | 1.2557399E-6 | 1.2557399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5557161E-5 | 1.528853E-5 | 2.5288376E-5 | 1.6540751 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5554223E-4 | 1.5287499E-4 | 1.6287346E-4 | 1.0654029 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8700415E-7 | 2.3873397E-7 | 2.3873397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6585881E-6 | 1.0231453E-6 | 1.0231453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193123E-5 | 1.2456723E-5 | 2.24566E-5 | 1.8027693 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0191289E-4 | 1.2456038E-4 | 1.3455913E-4 | 1.0802723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.900565E-7 | 1.8106094E-7 | 1.8106094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2430987E-6 | 7.759752E-7 | 7.759752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5134622E-5 | 9.447458E-6 | 1.9447363E-5 | 2.0584757 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5133592E-4 | 9.447064E-5 | 1.044697E-4 | 1.105843 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2770318E-7 | 1.4431377E-7 | 1.4431377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.758704E-7 | 6.1848743E-7 | 6.1848743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1881158E-5 | 7.530059E-6 | 1.7529983E-5 | 2.3280008 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880523E-4 | 7.5298085E-5 | 8.529733E-5 | 1.1327955 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5017194E-7 | 8.467986E-8 | 8.467986E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4359386E-7 | 3.6291362E-7 | 3.6291362E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835727E-6 | 4.418465E-6 | 4.418465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.835451E-5 | 4.4183795E-5 | 4.4183795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.895753E-8 | 1.736287E-8 | 1.736287E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696083E-7 | 7.44123E-8 | 7.44123E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327461E-6 | 9.059694E-7 | 9.059694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327276E-5 | 9.059659E-6 | 9.059659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.648505E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 3.240165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8493591E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.3886422E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690942E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.6906718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690888E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.6906706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 11
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.6349473E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1292143E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013739512 | 0.0013011749 | 0.0013011749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013654875 | 0.012941553 | 0.012951423 | 1.0007627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013011749 | 0.0013011749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012873529 | 0.012941553 | 0.012951423 | 1.0007627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 2.4951674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.069317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013011749 | 0.0013011749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012873529 | 0.012941553 | 0.012951423 | 1.0007627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0257901E-5 | 1.9685694E-5 | 1.9685694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.681669E-5 | 8.436475E-5 | 8.436475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010564806 | 0.0010266955 | 0.0010266955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01051472 | 0.010223415 | 0.010233312 | 1.0009681 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8054898E-5 | 1.7173845E-5 | 1.7173845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737584E-5 | 7.360031E-5 | 7.360031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.416436E-4 | 8.957502E-4 | 8.957502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009376635 | 0.0089248745 | 0.008934785 | 1.0011104 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.34804895E-5 | 1.1941681E-5 | 1.1941681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777225E-5 | 5.1177652E-5 | 5.1177652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.031501E-4 | 6.229137E-4 | 6.229137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007009294 | 0.0062120873 | 0.006222025 | 1.0015998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.294883E-5 | 1.1365457E-5 | 1.1365457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5493805E-5 | 4.8708214E-5 | 4.8708214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.754276E-4 | 5.92865E-4 | 5.92865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006733784 | 0.0059132334 | 0.0059231743 | 1.0016811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1272237E-5 | 9.501395E-6 | 9.501395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8308695E-5 | 4.0719642E-5 | 4.0719642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.879996E-4 | 4.9565145E-4 | 4.9565145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864462 | 0.004945726 | 0.004955677 | 1.0020119 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.8337505E-6 | 7.922998E-6 | 7.922998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2143965E-5 | 3.395527E-5 | 3.395527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1298196E-4 | 4.1332893E-4 | 4.1332893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005117994 | 0.0041257977 | 0.0041357563 | 1.0024137 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.4224813E-6 | 5.2263026E-6 | 5.2263026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1810247E-5 | 2.2398255E-5 | 2.2398255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872209E-4 | 2.7266596E-4 | 2.7266596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038654688 | 0.0027234452 | 0.0027334178 | 1.0036619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4628923E-6 | 1.9375884E-6 | 1.9375884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.912654E-5 | 8.303925E-6 | 8.303925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3284076E-4 | 1.01095706E-4 | 1.01095706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023259693 | 0.0010105079 | 0.0010105079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5546527E-6 | 1.1359789E-6 | 1.1359789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5234136E-5 | 4.8684724E-6 | 4.8684724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8545982E-4 | 5.92721E-5 | 5.92721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018530512 | 5.9256924E-4 | 5.9256924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.2039936E-6 | 1.0803296E-6 | 1.0803296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3731329E-5 | 4.6299765E-6 | 4.6299765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.671661E-4 | 5.6368568E-5 | 5.6368568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016704041 | 5.6354894E-4 | 5.6354894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.8120473E-6 | 9.913254E-7 | 9.913254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2051575E-5 | 4.2485303E-6 | 4.2485303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4671806E-4 | 5.172469E-5 | 5.172469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014662122 | 5.171327E-4 | 5.171327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.4468555E-7 | 9.4468555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.0486466E-6 | 4.0486466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 4.929122E-5 | 4.929122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012951613 | 4.92809E-4 | 4.92809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.321804E-7 | 6.321804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 2.7093417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 3.2985776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.825126E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 3.298127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Reliz 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315164 | 0.00840165 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315164 | 0.00840165 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.616533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 6.9278256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 8.431559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315164 | 0.00840165 | 0.008411566 | 1.0011803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0352624E-4 | 4.0352624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040577264 | 0.004028123 | 0.004028123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 7.735077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 3.3149914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0352624E-4 | 4.0352624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040577264 | 0.004028123 | 0.004028123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.9659374E-6 | 5.868798E-6 | 5.868798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5568053E-5 | 2.515175E-5 | 2.515175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1124658E-4 | 3.0617975E-4 | 3.0617975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310811 | 0.0030577087 | 0.0030577087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.2350692E-6 | 5.1224897E-6 | 5.1224897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2435817E-5 | 2.1953343E-5 | 2.1953343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7312184E-4 | 2.6724933E-4 | 2.6724933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002727864 | 0.0026694015 | 0.0026694015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.580206E-6 | 4.45292E-6 | 4.45292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9629308E-5 | 1.9083804E-5 | 1.9083804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.389606E-4 | 2.3232061E-4 | 2.3232061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002387038 | 0.0023208915 | 0.0023208915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.0765017E-6 | 3.937647E-6 | 3.937647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7470604E-5 | 1.6875521E-5 | 1.6875521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1268385E-4 | 2.0544013E-4 | 2.0544013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002124804 | 0.0020526124 | 0.0020526124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5752896E-6 | 3.424614E-6 | 3.424614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532258E-5 | 1.4676835E-5 | 1.4676835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653645E-4 | 1.7867584E-4 | 1.7867584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018637994 | 0.0017854304 | 0.0017854304 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0259848E-6 | 2.8628676E-6 | 2.8628676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2968442E-5 | 1.2269375E-5 | 1.2269375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5787935E-4 | 1.4936941E-4 | 1.4936941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015776722 | 0.0014927975 | 0.0014927975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5861116E-6 | 2.4124968E-6 | 2.4124968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1083288E-5 | 1.033923E-5 | 1.033923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3493067E-4 | 1.2587287E-4 | 1.2587287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013484878 | 0.0012581225 | 0.0012581225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1482588E-6 | 1.9632196E-6 | 1.9632196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20679E-6 | 8.413771E-6 | 8.413771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12086906E-4 | 1.0243285E-4 | 1.0243285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011203039 | 0.0010239627 | 0.0010239627 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7194744E-6 | 1.5237241E-6 | 1.5237241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3691554E-6 | 6.53023E-6 | 6.53023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971577E-5 | 7.950265E-5 | 7.950265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967956E-4 | 7.9484814E-4 | 7.9484814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2755178E-6 | 1.0710877E-6 | 1.0710877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4664933E-6 | 4.590368E-6 | 4.590368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.655252E-5 | 5.5886296E-5 | 5.5886296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6532596E-4 | 5.588283E-4 | 5.588283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.8463224E-7 | 6.7393216E-7 | 6.7393216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7912755E-6 | 2.8882775E-6 | 2.8882775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6157802E-5 | 3.5164212E-5 | 3.5164212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6148215E-4 | 3.5169243E-4 | 3.5169243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.291355E-7 | 3.2144158E-7 | 3.2144158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2677216E-6 | 1.377606E-6 | 1.377606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760916E-5 | 1.6772225E-5 | 1.6772225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760573E-4 | 1.6781483E-4 | 1.6781483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9663357E-7 | 1.1237757E-7 | 1.1237757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2712861E-6 | 4.816181E-7 | 4.816181E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5477797E-5 | 5.8636842E-6 | 5.8636842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.547672E-4 | 5.8733483E-5 | 5.8733483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2509386E-7 | 1.5232725E-8 | 1.5232725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611643E-7 | 6.528312E-8 | 6.528312E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527198E-6 | 7.9482163E-7 | 7.9482163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527006E-5 | 8.027499E-6 | 8.027499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.213493E-8 | 5.333698E-9 | 5.333698E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6629255E-7 | 2.2858705E-8 | 2.2858705E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.242107E-6 | 2.783047E-7 | 2.783047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2420594E-5 | 2.8512393E-6 | 2.8512393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.92383E-9 | 9.1636154E-10 | 9.1636154E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5387841E-8 | 3.9272647E-9 | 3.9272647E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0909692E-7 | 4.781445E-8 | 4.781445E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090965E-6 | 4.9349535E-7 | 4.9349535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 9.685526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 4.1508807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 5.052655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050424435 | 0.005052393 | 1.0019732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 5.2718897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 2.2593636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 2.7504622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027473946 | 0.0027473946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 3.4811371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.4919083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.8162628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018149344 | 0.0018149344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 3.4680386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.4862947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.8094294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018081121 | 0.0018081121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 2.7200797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.165744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.4192141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014184384 | 0.0014184384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 2.462004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.055141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.2845715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012839572 | 0.0012839572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.7343457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 7.4328946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 9.049277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 9.0466085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 3.5589255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.5252529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.8569799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.8568271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 2.2673696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 9.717295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.1830743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.18301235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.6007138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 6.8602003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 8.352262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 8.3519546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.13931854E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 4.882793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 5.944785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 5.9446298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 4.9620223E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 2.1265808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 2.5891093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 2.589081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.5269355E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 6.544009E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 7.967331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 7.967331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.399115E-5 | 4.399115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.8852101E-4 | 1.8852101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0022930272 | 0.0022930272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020858008 | 0.022714388 | 0.022724159 | 1.0004302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.399115E-5 | 4.399115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.8852101E-4 | 1.8852101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0022930272 | 0.0022930272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020858008 | 0.022714388 | 0.022724159 | 1.0004302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.3999559E-5 | 2.3999559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.02851365E-4 | 1.02851365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012515256 | 0.0012515256 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011566074 | 0.0124478815 | 0.0124478815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.6836768E-5 | 1.6836768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.215564E-5 | 7.215564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.78151E-4 | 8.78151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008172315 | 0.008747878 | 0.008747878 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.682462E-5 | 1.682462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.210358E-5 | 7.210358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.775177E-4 | 8.775177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008166086 | 0.008741595 | 0.008741595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3599296E-5 | 1.3599296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.8281432E-5 | 5.8281432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.0935185E-4 | 7.0935185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066221743 | 0.0070715477 | 0.0070715477 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1715683E-5 | 1.1715683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.0209135E-5 | 5.0209135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.111299E-4 | 6.111299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057148207 | 0.006095025 | 0.006095025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.700471E-6 | 9.700471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.1572806E-5 | 4.1572806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.0603517E-4 | 5.0603517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004739512 | 0.0050492138 | 0.0050492138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.611722E-6 | 6.611722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8335655E-5 | 2.8335655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.4493415E-4 | 3.4493415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003238301 | 0.0034442043 | 0.0034442043 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.441707E-6 | 4.441707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9035757E-5 | 1.9035757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.317372E-4 | 2.317372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023151042 | 0.0023151042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.921433E-6 | 2.921433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2520373E-5 | 1.2520373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5242609E-4 | 1.5242609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432759 | 0.0015233342 | 0.0015233342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.609761E-7 | 8.609761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.6898957E-6 | 3.6898957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.4924138E-5 | 4.4924138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.4920758E-4 | 4.4920758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.9178922E-8 | 4.9178922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1076679E-7 | 2.1076679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.5660827E-6 | 2.5660827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5660544E-5 | 2.5660544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.4484004E-9 | 5.4484004E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3350287E-8 | 2.3350287E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.8428974E-7 | 2.8428974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.8428951E-6 | 2.8428951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |