Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Mendocino

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7364764E-48.146999E-40.00980736812.03801250.0090.00202833950.00348539280.0150648924.3222940.011620.0244170730.0413670950.056896951.37541560.01620.21901640.328623270.342420041.04198360.02055
6.14.2515888E-48.146999E-40.00980736812.03801250.0090.00182083730.00348539280.0150648924.3222940.011620.0219445380.0413670950.056896951.37541560.01620.198995740.328623270.342420041.04198360.02055
6.24.2515888E-48.146999E-40.00980736812.03801250.0090.00182083730.00348539280.0150648924.3222940.011620.0219445380.0413670950.056896951.37541560.01620.198995740.328623270.342420041.04198360.02055
6.33.2773745E-46.177156E-40.008103088513.1178310.007490.00140383290.0026435770.012278044.64447980.009660.0169582370.031525150.044454291.41012140.013350.15720940.260984870.273518561.04802470.01696
6.42.7417165E-45.0510705E-40.006891879313.6443930.006390.00117449220.00216212120.0104441754.83052250.00830.0142059750.0258659890.0370393061.43196940.011470.133313940.220209870.231625991.05184210.01464
6.52.3984899E-44.3418695E-40.00623166914.3525020.00580.00102751920.00185878850.0094047365.0596050.007560.0124384730.0222828180.0325977361.4629090.010550.117648510.193225860.204076981.05615770.01345
6.62.1023539E-43.7223424E-40.00577022415.5015950.00549.0069766E-40.00159379010.0085826345.38504650.0070.0109109750.0191443190.0287272781.50056420.009770.103905460.169028830.179366111.06115690.01244
6.71.2592976E-41.8826137E-40.004017540321.3402270.003835.395873E-48.065404E-40.00570258827.0704310.00490.0065497050.0097659230.0162816631.66719150.006580.0635999440.0929136950.100360871.08015160.00821
6.81.13663555E-41.5883512E-40.003448312621.7100140.003294.8703855E-46.805297E-40.00487767167.16746330.00420.00591358450.0082511720.0137652951.66828370.005560.0575867330.079695290.086128231.08071910.00699
6.99.926894E-51.2909694E-40.002878741822.2990720.002754.2536893E-45.5315037E-40.00410118657.4142350.003550.00516657530.00671335960.0113321421.68799880.004650.0504809470.065735920.0712200551.08342670.00587
7.09.168125E-51.1441422E-40.002734114423.8966310.002623.9286047E-44.9025356E-40.00383861137.8298490.003350.0047725910.00595238060.0102864281.72812010.004360.046713850.0587305580.063888711.08782740.00548
7.18.2854116E-59.7980475E-50.00233776123.8594570.002243.5504074E-44.1984936E-40.0033086367.88053130.002890.0043140560.00509980230.0088207291.72962180.003740.0423126260.05078010.055260421.08822980.00472
7.27.8255274E-58.9969064E-50.001999797322.227610.001913.3533663E-43.8552567E-40.0028245857.3265810.002440.00407508250.0046838460.0078489511.67574930.003180.0400116030.0468573940.0506604351.0811620.00399
7.36.887904E-56.842559E-50.001548324422.6278550.001482.9516246E-42.932202E-40.00223265157.61424830.001940.00358768230.00356422710.00607524531.70450570.002520.0353031120.0362279340.039283091.08433150.00317
7.45.4898497E-54.148783E-50.001091444326.3075770.001052.3525805E-41.7779323E-40.00152755328.591740.001350.00286050470.00216255060.00391874461.81209370.001760.028239630.0225274880.0246681521.09502460.00219
7.53.9103943E-51.3333052E-56.333248E-447.5003626.2E-41.6757756E-45.714041E-58.570947E-414.99988.0E-40.00203834756.954644E-40.0017347412.49436380.001040.0201975180.00780142470.0090912831.16533630.0013
7.63.641042E-51.0769707E-54.7076476E-443.7119374.6E-41.5603533E-44.615508E-56.5612694E-414.2157046.1E-40.00189807485.6179485E-40.00131137352.3342577.5E-40.0188194440.00640191320.00735576731.14899529.6E-4
7.73.1318774E-55.8111254E-61.658102E-428.5332341.6E-41.342164E-42.4904586E-52.3489936E-49.4319722.1E-40.00163285983.031714E-45.630926E-41.85734072.6E-40.0162091390.0036995460.0040681771.09964233.7E-4
7.82.209241E-53.512749E-66.351254E-518.080586.0E-59.467832E-51.5054551E-51.05053194E-46.97816859.0E-50.0011520991.8327379E-43.032518E-41.6546381.2E-40.0114614430.0022495130.00243908561.08427271.9E-4
7.91.2640477E-52.5743811E-62.257433E-58.7688372.0E-55.4172346E-51.1033016E-54.1032687E-53.71908143.0E-56.593487E-41.3431873E-41.8431201E-41.37219895.0E-50.0065739580.00161471140.001714551.06183051.0E-4
8.06.5548907E-62.016969E-62.2016928E-510.915852.0E-52.8092087E-58.644124E-63.8643866E-54.47053583.0E-53.4196748E-41.0523716E-41.552319E-41.47506745.0E-50.00341441720.00124876010.00134863531.07997941.0E-4
8.13.1916707E-61.6739839E-61.16739675E-56.97376351.0E-51.3678517E-57.174197E-62.7174054E-53.78774862.0E-51.6652321E-48.734238E-51.0734063E-41.2289642.0E-50.00166398480.00104160020.00107156891.02877193.0E-5
8.22.1193785E-61.2816722E-61.2816722E-61.00.09.083019E-65.4928696E-61.5492815E-52.8205321.0E-51.1058014E-46.687367E-57.6872995E-51.14952561.0E-50.00110525137.9145434E-48.114385E-41.025252.0E-5
8.37.536878E-74.888451E-74.888451E-71.00.03.2300866E-62.0950488E-61.2095028E-55.77314851.0E-53.9325594E-52.550694E-53.5506684E-51.39204011.0E-53.9318635E-42.9454596E-43.1454006E-41.06788112.0E-5

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7072787E-42.0614572E-40.002405692111.6698630.00227.3148566E-48.831852E-40.00371068584.2014810.002830.0088695280.01070035250.0144102271.34670580.003750.0852376450.102949240.1072281751.04156350.00477
6.11.7072787E-42.0614572E-40.002405692111.6698630.00227.3148566E-48.831852E-40.00371068584.2014810.002830.0088695280.01070035250.0144102271.34670580.003750.0852376450.102949240.1072281751.04156350.00477
6.21.6312556E-41.9734679E-40.002366918611.9937020.002176.989222E-48.4550044E-40.00363314154.2970310.002790.0084762260.0102459490.0138981411.35645230.003690.081601170.0987359960.1029448961.04262780.00467
6.31.5103363E-41.8114598E-40.002300761912.7011480.002126.471264E-47.761114E-40.00351398484.5276810.002740.0078503390.0094087230.0129946631.38112940.003620.0757873950.091036260.095181131.045530.00456
6.41.5047993E-41.7999562E-40.00229961412.7759450.002126.4475456E-47.7118416E-40.00350907124.55023770.002740.0078216690.0093492480.0129354041.38357690.003620.07552030.090515660.0946538151.04571760.00455
6.51.2760791E-41.479776E-40.002157680214.5811260.002015.467764E-46.3403713E-40.00324238235.1138680.002610.00663670250.0076923930.0110860851.44117510.003420.0644196350.0751607940.079165351.05327990.00433
6.61.1063525E-41.2491347E-40.002074669816.6088580.001954.740649E-45.3523475E-40.0030538865.7056940.002520.00575647640.0064972440.0097857381.50613680.003310.056096260.0639002550.0678318741.06152750.0042
6.71.0391049E-41.1532512E-40.002035103717.6466640.001924.4525467E-44.94158E-40.00296293735.9959310.002470.00540750940.0059999920.0092404321.5400740.003260.0527780350.059217610.0631124451.06577160.00414
6.81.0096706E-41.1023466E-40.001980028617.961940.001874.3264418E-44.723498E-40.00288121156.0997410.002410.00525472830.00573589840.0088877161.54948970.003170.0513219870.0568286370.060639051.06705090.00404
6.99.800265E-51.0435744E-40.001904169618.246610.00184.1994374E-44.4717055E-40.0027661336.18585730.002320.00510083560.0054309050.0084842321.56221330.003070.0498533060.0540819350.0577993951.06873750.00393
7.09.4642375E-59.8268116E-50.001848096118.8066710.001754.0554712E-44.210821E-40.0026501436.2936490.002230.0049263630.0051148110.0080397731.57186130.002940.0481857470.051169750.0547468361.06990640.00377
7.19.0996844E-59.15434E-50.001731393318.9133590.001643.8992817E-43.9227086E-40.00249144716.35134360.00210.0047370460.00476562050.00751246741.57638810.002760.046373330.0479228420.0512931981.07032870.00354
7.28.848287E-58.761351E-50.001627478618.5756590.001543.791572E-43.7543342E-40.002354696.27192450.001980.0046064720.00456150.00715959441.56957020.002610.0451214720.0459779240.0491548181.06909610.00333
7.37.9280784E-56.778831E-50.001397698220.6185720.001333.3973053E-42.9048964E-40.00202998436.98814630.001740.0041283770.00353109580.0057631861.6321240.002240.0405251940.0361524450.0388801321.07544960.00283
7.46.468038E-54.245769E-50.00107241425.2584150.001032.771722E-41.8194923E-40.00151170728.3084010.001330.00336935020.00221304940.00393922071.77999680.001730.03318720.0231843780.0252845321.09058490.00215
7.54.930574E-51.514567E-56.3513627E-441.9351736.2E-42.1129321E-46.490841E-58.6485647E-413.3242598.0E-40.00256945987.899753E-40.00182915372.31545690.001040.025399530.0088972270.0101856621.1448130.0013
7.64.612566E-51.2505157E-54.724994E-437.7843634.6E-41.9766642E-45.3592437E-56.6355977E-412.3815936.1E-40.00240393246.5229426E-40.00140180512.14903787.5E-40.0237809350.00744553930.0083983911.12797639.6E-4
7.73.9435414E-57.22445E-61.6722329E-423.1468541.6E-41.6899795E-43.0961564E-52.4095507E-47.78239352.1E-40.00205560843.768921E-46.367941E-41.68959262.6E-40.0203669740.00454356660.0049118851.08106393.7E-4
7.82.7787428E-54.8647767E-66.4864485E-513.3334976.0E-51.1908354E-42.0848876E-51.10847E-45.31668959.0E-50.00144887772.5380554E-43.737751E-41.4726831.2E-40.0143946750.00305781510.0032472341.06194591.9E-4
7.91.590671E-53.8300795E-62.3830004E-56.22180372.0E-56.816983E-51.6414522E-54.6414032E-52.82761983.0E-58.2965166E-41.9982854E-42.4981855E-41.25016455.0E-50.0082656110.00236659940.00246636271.04215471.0E-4
8.09.193638E-63.219065E-62.3219001E-57.2129642.0E-53.940071E-51.379592E-54.3795506E-53.1745263.0E-54.7959806E-41.6795243E-42.1794402E-41.29765335.0E-50.00478564340.00196971140.00206951421.05066881.0E-4
8.15.601576E-62.792228E-61.27922E-54.58135941.0E-52.4006533E-51.19666365E-53.1966396E-52.67129352.0E-52.9224035E-41.456841E-41.656812E-41.13726332.0E-50.00291856330.00171792180.00174787021.01743293.0E-5
8.24.3508785E-62.339045E-62.339045E-61.00.01.864649E-51.002444E-52.002434E-51.99755191.0E-52.2699735E-41.22040765E-41.3203954E-41.08192981.0E-50.00226765610.00143072130.00145069271.01395892.0E-5
8.31.9573292E-69.58343E-79.58343E-71.00.08.388526E-64.1071776E-61.4107137E-53.4347521.0E-51.0212552E-45.0003768E-56.0003265E-51.19997491.0E-50.0010207865.811823E-46.011707E-41.03439262.0E-5

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-48.0875434E-58.508132E-410.5200447.7E-46.5699324E-43.4656317E-40.0012962343.7402539.5E-40.0079695950.00421128560.00545602151.29557140.001250.07689770.044362040.0458815021.03425150.00159
6.11.5333705E-48.0875434E-58.508132E-410.5200447.7E-46.5699324E-43.4656317E-40.0012962343.7402539.5E-40.0079695950.00421128560.00545602151.29557140.001250.07689770.044362040.0458815021.03425150.00159
6.21.3912938E-46.911641E-58.390632E-412.1398557.7E-45.961325E-42.9617973E-40.00124589834.2065629.5E-40.0072337870.00360005930.0048455591.34596650.001250.070027980.038174930.0397042331.04006040.00159
6.31.3912938E-46.911641E-58.390632E-412.1398557.7E-45.961325E-42.9617973E-40.00124589834.2065629.5E-40.0072337870.00360005930.0048455591.34596650.001250.070027980.038174930.0397042331.04006040.00159
6.41.2623647E-45.7996025E-58.2795136E-414.2760027.7E-45.4090127E-42.4853085E-40.00119829474.8215139.5E-40.00656560580.00302168910.0042579421.40912650.001240.063749810.0322825160.033801831.04706310.00157
6.51.1736096E-45.0345352E-58.203066E-416.293597.7E-45.028786E-42.1574806E-40.00116554315.4023349.5E-40.0061053730.00262358830.0038603351.47139510.001240.059403350.028219380.0297450761.05406550.00157
6.61.1586959E-44.912597E-58.1908813E-416.6732227.7E-44.964894E-42.10523E-40.0011603235.51162159.5E-40.0060280180.00256012430.00378697531.47921540.001230.0586710240.0275689380.0290859321.05502550.00156
6.71.13693764E-44.7265763E-58.172294E-417.2900927.7E-44.87168E-42.0255194E-40.00115235955.6892059.5E-40.0059151520.00246330020.00369027051.49810020.001230.0576015930.0265800470.0280985831.05713070.00156
6.81.1204889E-44.6353456E-58.1631774E-417.610727.7E-44.8012115E-41.9864265E-40.00114845395.78150759.5E-40.0058298190.00241581120.00364283981.50791570.001230.056792320.0260745160.027593841.05826850.00156
6.91.1005794E-44.524455E-57.952106E-417.5758327.5E-44.7159163E-41.938909E-40.00112371055.7955829.3E-40.00572652280.00235808550.0035652321.51191820.001210.0558118520.0254578480.0269586431.05895210.00154
7.01.0647948E-44.308664E-57.9305435E-418.4060387.5E-44.562608E-41.8464406E-40.00111447236.03578769.3E-40.00554083570.00224574260.00345302511.53758730.001210.0540470330.0242611540.0257637931.06193590.00154
7.11.04795035E-44.1983072E-57.919516E-418.8635927.5E-44.4904428E-41.7991515E-40.00110974786.16817339.3E-40.00545341750.0021882850.00339563731.55173440.001210.0532151650.023654440.0251482481.06315140.00153
7.21.02724036E-44.0716357E-57.906858E-419.4193657.5E-44.401716E-41.7448711E-40.00110432486.32897669.3E-40.00534592850.00212232930.00332976131.56891820.001210.0521913950.0229555980.0244504771.06512050.00153
7.31.00650694E-44.0033414E-57.900034E-419.73367.5E-44.312888E-41.715606E-40.0011014016.4198959.3E-40.0052383060.0020867680.00329424281.57863410.001210.0511653570.0225489160.0240444171.06632240.00153
7.49.672919E-53.850031E-57.884714E-420.4796127.5E-44.144878E-41.64991E-40.00109483766.6357419.3E-40.0050347180.0020069330.00321450461.60170010.001210.0492216830.0216498950.0231369881.06868820.00152
7.58.7600405E-52.6657997E-56.466415E-424.256946.2E-43.753763E-41.1424357E-49.141522E-48.0017828.0E-40.00456063260.00139003010.00242858451.74714520.001040.044681650.0153664560.0166267861.08201840.00128
7.67.9562284E-52.2762939E-54.8275245E-421.2078274.6E-43.4093665E-49.755181E-57.074923E-47.2524776.1E-40.00414300520.0011870480.00193615771.63106947.5E-40.0406661260.0132353410.0141826351.07157319.6E-4
7.76.3866544E-51.4660591E-51.7465824E-411.9134521.6E-42.7368503E-46.282959E-52.728164E-44.3421642.1E-40.00332702447.646822E-40.00102448341.33975052.6E-40.0327765270.0087902160.0091569641.04172233.7E-4
7.84.2543215E-51.1141078E-57.1140414E-56.3854156.0E-51.8231533E-44.7746606E-51.377423E-42.88486089.0E-50.00221742925.8116E-47.0109026E-41.20636361.2E-40.0219543320.0066761360.00686486761.02826951.9E-4
7.92.2636612E-59.475562E-62.9475374E-53.11067272.0E-59.7010445E-54.060892E-57.0607704E-51.7387243.0E-50.00118046214.943016E-45.4427685E-41.10110285.0E-50.0117421110.0056044310.00570387071.0177431.0E-4
8.01.5167874E-58.527474E-62.8527304E-53.34534052.0E-56.500356E-53.6545804E-56.654471E-51.82085763.0E-57.9113094E-44.4485446E-44.9483223E-41.11234635.0E-50.0078832030.00502149760.00512099551.01981441.0E-4
8.11.0681047E-57.744593E-61.7744516E-52.29121351.0E-54.5775112E-53.3190692E-55.3190026E-51.60255862.0E-55.5716943E-44.0402188E-44.240138E-41.04948222.0E-50.00555774570.00455249330.00458235671.00655983.0E-5
8.28.226114E-66.2227323E-66.2227323E-61.00.03.52543E-52.666858E-53.6668316E-51.3749631.0E-54.2913653E-43.246417E-43.3463846E-41.03079321.0E-50.0042830880.00364389360.00366382071.00546862.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Bear River fault zone

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3773342E-52.7118964E-55.3710514E-419.805525.1E-41.0188177E-41.1621948E-47.7614276E-46.678256.6E-40.00123970470.00141414830.0024127341.70613940.0010.0123281160.0140610030.0154314581.09746490.00139
6.12.3773342E-52.7118964E-55.3710514E-419.805525.1E-41.0188177E-41.1621948E-47.7614276E-46.678256.6E-40.00123970470.00141414830.0024127341.70613940.0010.0123281160.0140610030.0154314581.09746490.00139
6.21.5973403E-51.8152E-52.4814782E-413.6705492.3E-46.845564E-57.77921E-53.87768E-44.984673.1E-48.3312875E-49.467311E-40.00138631451.46431714.4E-40.0083001220.0094293960.0100336441.06408136.1E-4
6.31.5973403E-51.8152E-52.4814782E-413.6705492.3E-46.845564E-57.77921E-53.87768E-44.984673.1E-48.3312875E-49.467311E-40.00138631451.46431714.4E-40.0083001220.0094293960.0100336441.06408136.1E-4
6.41.3027338E-51.48149265E-51.648127E-411.1247741.5E-45.5830256E-56.3491076E-52.7347775E-44.30734162.1E-46.7952136E-47.727436E-40.00109249631.41378893.2E-40.00677447250.00770197950.0081187451.05411154.2E-4
6.51.2489152E-51.4215127E-51.5421314E-410.8485231.4E-45.352384E-56.092063E-52.5090904E-44.11862231.9E-46.514579E-47.4146996E-40.00102126241.37734822.8E-40.00649551440.00739134750.00776853921.05103153.8E-4
6.61.1662849E-51.3295847E-51.2329439E-49.273151.1E-44.9982682E-55.698103E-52.1697191E-43.80779221.6E-46.083692E-46.9353625E-49.333698E-41.34581262.4E-40.0060670640.006915030.00724274851.04739213.3E-4
6.71.0667623E-51.2191395E-51.1219017E-49.2024071.0E-44.5717585E-55.2247855E-51.9224054E-43.67939571.4E-45.5646943E-46.359439E-48.55804E-41.34572242.2E-40.00555078030.0063424330.00663059341.04543382.9E-4
6.89.154534E-61.0516181E-58.051544E-57.65633877.0E-53.923313E-54.5068628E-51.3506458E-42.99686469.0E-54.7755867E-45.4858305E-46.985007E-41.27328171.5E-40.0047653370.00547334460.005672251.03634072.0E-4
6.97.68501E-68.896834E-66.88963E-57.7439126.0E-53.2935342E-53.8128783E-51.1812573E-43.09807258.0E-54.0091402E-44.6412845E-45.940681E-41.27996491.3E-40.0040019150.0046325210.00480173341.0365271.7E-4
7.05.7315733E-66.746788E-65.6746452E-58.4108845.0E-52.4563653E-52.891451E-57.8913064E-52.72918565.0E-52.9902143E-43.519816E-44.2195697E-41.1988047.0E-50.00298619390.00351466750.0036143161.02835211.0E-4
7.15.566844E-66.5540667E-65.6553738E-58.6288015.0E-52.3857683E-52.808858E-57.808718E-52.78003295.0E-52.9042858E-43.419291E-44.1190517E-41.20465087.0E-50.0029004930.00341445530.00351411381.02918721.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.7038193E-63.4703677E-57.3777663.0E-51.7191402E-52.0159088E-55.0158484E-52.48813253.0E-52.0928521E-42.4541272E-42.9540047E-41.20368845.0E-50.00209088230.0024517590.0025315631.03254968.0E-5
7.32.0974871E-62.4546075E-62.2454558E-59.1479222.0E-58.989199E-61.0519719E-53.051951E-52.90117142.0E-51.09438006E-41.2807258E-41.6806746E-41.31228294.0E-50.00109384130.00128023590.0013301721.03900535.0E-5

King Range 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2462566E-51.3106756E-54.5310098E-434.570034.4E-45.34099E-55.6170804E-56.2613876E-411.1470515.7E-46.5007154E-46.837E-40.00153311892.24238518.5E-40.00648173130.0068204260.0079327871.16309260.00112
6.11.2462566E-51.3106756E-54.5310098E-434.570034.4E-45.34099E-55.6170804E-56.2613876E-411.1470515.7E-46.5007154E-46.837E-40.00153311892.24238518.5E-40.00648173130.0068204260.0079327871.16309260.00112
6.21.2462566E-51.3106756E-54.5310098E-434.570034.4E-45.34099E-55.6170804E-56.2613876E-411.1470515.7E-46.5007154E-46.837E-40.00153311892.24238518.5E-40.00648173130.0068204260.0079327871.16309260.00112
6.37.988484E-68.284332E-62.88282E-434.7984662.8E-43.423591E-53.550387E-53.6549216E-410.2944323.3E-44.1674246E-44.3218685E-49.419664E-42.17953525.1E-40.0041596180.00431574140.004982851.15457566.7E-4
6.47.988484E-68.284332E-62.88282E-434.7984662.8E-43.423591E-53.550387E-53.6549216E-410.2944323.3E-44.1674246E-44.3218685E-49.419664E-42.17953525.1E-40.0041596180.00431574140.004982851.15457566.7E-4
6.55.0522513E-65.144965E-61.7514409E-434.0418431.7E-42.1652326E-52.204967E-52.1204547E-49.6167191.9E-42.6358519E-42.684226E-45.3835014E-42.00560672.7E-40.00263272740.0026820780.0030211661.12642743.4E-4
6.64.53682E-64.6002788E-61.5459959E-433.6065671.5E-41.944337E-51.9715335E-51.8971198E-49.622561.7E-42.3669732E-42.4000838E-44.899484E-42.04138042.5E-40.00236445360.00239855330.00270780971.12893463.1E-4
6.74.1144335E-64.1574413E-61.341569E-432.2691041.3E-41.7633167E-51.7817485E-51.6781481E-49.4185471.5E-42.1466266E-42.169067E-44.2686114E-41.96794822.1E-40.00214455420.00216799040.00242742661.11966672.6E-4
6.83.8321214E-63.8662165E-61.3386572E-434.6244741.3E-41.6423275E-51.6569396E-51.5656708E-49.4491721.4E-41.9993502E-42.0171407E-44.0167372E-41.99130252.0E-40.00199755230.00201634390.00226583981.12373672.5E-4
6.93.4999944E-63.5210858E-61.3352063E-437.92031.3E-41.499989E-51.50902815E-51.5508817E-410.2773541.4E-41.8260835E-41.8370895E-43.836722E-42.08847862.0E-40.00182458360.00183659720.00208613811.13587132.5E-4
7.02.9470837E-62.94105E-61.12940725E-438.4014971.1E-41.26302975E-51.2604441E-51.2260306E-49.7269741.1E-41.5376302E-41.5344843E-43.0342542E-41.9773771.5E-40.00153656660.0015344420.00173413511.13014052.0E-4
7.12.4850247E-62.4482747E-61.0244803E-441.844991.0E-41.0650062E-51.0492565E-51.1049151E-410.5304581.0E-41.296568E-41.2773964E-42.5772303E-42.0175651.3E-40.00129581170.00127767570.00144745851.13288411.7E-4
7.22.1800304E-62.1238704E-61.0212366E-448.083751.0E-49.342954E-69.102271E-61.0910136E-411.986171.0E-41.1374453E-41.108146E-42.308013E-42.08276991.2E-40.00113686330.00110859280.00126841551.14416711.6E-4
7.32.0378504E-61.992436E-69.199225E-546.170759.0E-58.733615E-68.538984E-69.8538214E-511.5398069.0E-51.0632657E-41.0395725E-42.1394582E-42.05801731.1E-40.00106275710.00104007250.00118991651.14407071.5E-4
7.41.4577047E-61.4333372E-65.1433264E-535.8835755.0E-56.247291E-66.1428595E-65.614255E-59.1394825.0E-57.605811E-57.4786825E-51.3478234E-41.80222036.0E-57.603208E-47.4852846E-48.384611E-41.12014599.0E-5
7.58.0685743E-76.723452E-73.0672327E-545.6199073.0E-53.457956E-62.8814766E-63.288139E-511.4112993.0E-54.20998E-53.508146E-57.508006E-52.14016344.0E-54.2091825E-43.5151636E-44.1149528E-41.1706296.0E-5
7.63.1239435E-71.4569902E-71.0145697E-569.634631.0E-51.3388321E-66.244242E-71.0624418E-517.0147441.0E-51.630016E-57.6023393E-62.7602187E-53.63074922.0E-51.6298964E-47.6728385E-59.672685E-51.26063972.0E-5
7.71.7747207E-75.359964E-85.359964E-81.00.07.605944E-72.2971273E-72.2971273E-71.00.09.260198E-62.796749E-62.796749E-61.00.09.2598115E-52.8431174E-52.8431174E-51.00.0
7.82.1035538E-82.5589224E-92.5589224E-91.00.09.0152305E-81.09668115E-81.09668115E-81.00.01.0976038E-61.3352093E-71.3352093E-71.00.01.0975983E-51.3787244E-61.3787244E-61.00.0
7.91.4782963E-92.2415403E-122.2415403E-121.00.06.335555E-99.606427E-129.606427E-121.00.07.713538E-81.1696055E-101.1696055E-101.00.07.7135354E-71.64046E-91.64046E-91.00.0

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.14.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.24.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.34.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.44.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.54.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.64.8399295E-56.532863E-54.3530445E-46.66330243.7E-42.0740906E-42.7995414E-47.4982253E-42.67837644.7E-40.0025222810.00340377750.0041312931.21373767.3E-40.0249384420.033581940.0345193631.02791459.7E-4
6.73.495179E-54.6882404E-53.4686833E-47.39868933.0E-41.4978478E-42.009123E-45.70838E-42.84122943.7E-40.00182210420.00244389990.00299255571.22450025.5E-40.0180723630.0242231410.0249257011.02900367.2E-4
6.82.7517597E-53.668069E-52.9667115E-48.0879382.6E-41.1792722E-41.5719632E-44.77146E-43.0353513.2E-40.00143481830.00191266420.00237178431.24004224.6E-40.0142558940.0190088920.0195974861.03096416.0E-4
6.92.74461E-53.6597947E-52.9658843E-48.1039642.6E-41.1762084E-41.5684175E-44.7679155E-43.0399533.2E-40.0014310930.00190835490.0023674771.24058534.6E-40.0142191190.0189665350.0195551551.03103476.0E-4
7.01.9023773E-52.4991192E-52.2498619E-49.002622.0E-48.152791E-51.0710308E-43.4707738E-43.2405922.4E-49.921503E-40.00130360670.00161320251.23749183.1E-40.0098773230.0129992790.013423691.03264884.3E-4
7.15.566844E-66.5540667E-65.6553738E-58.6288015.0E-52.3857683E-52.808858E-57.808718E-52.78003295.0E-52.9042858E-43.419291E-44.1190517E-41.20465087.0E-50.0029004930.00341445530.00351411381.02918721.0E-4
7.24.011353E-64.7038193E-63.4703677E-57.3777663.0E-51.7191402E-52.0159088E-55.0158484E-52.48813253.0E-52.0928521E-42.4541272E-42.9540047E-41.20368845.0E-50.00209088230.0024517590.0025315631.03254968.0E-5
7.32.0974871E-62.4546075E-62.2454558E-59.1479222.0E-58.989199E-61.0519719E-53.051951E-52.90117142.0E-51.09438006E-41.2807258E-41.6806746E-41.31228294.0E-50.00109384130.00128023590.0013301721.03900535.0E-5

Little Salmon (Onshore)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.14.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.24.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.34.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.44.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.54.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.64.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.74.1582247E-55.3306372E-52.532957E-44.75169662.0E-41.7819746E-42.2844081E-44.5838827E-42.00659542.3E-40.00216739530.00277859280.00314756461.13279093.7E-40.0214637780.0273855890.0279010741.01882335.3E-4
6.83.4607925E-54.2157586E-52.1215042E-45.0323191.7E-41.4831126E-41.8066734E-43.8063122E-42.1068072.0E-40.0018041940.00219820020.00247758491.12709692.8E-40.017896160.0217363240.0221178481.01755233.9E-4
6.93.4607925E-54.2157586E-52.1215042E-45.0323191.7E-41.4831126E-41.8066734E-43.8063122E-42.1068072.0E-40.0018041940.00219820020.00247758491.12709692.8E-40.017896160.0217363240.0221178481.01755233.9E-4
7.01.8411014E-51.7849616E-51.0784801E-46.0420359.0E-57.8901954E-57.6496435E-51.8648802E-42.43786551.1E-49.6020795E-49.310034E-40.00108086381.16096651.5E-40.0095606960.0092983560.0095460311.02663652.5E-4
7.11.6183103E-51.4713972E-51.0471265E-47.11654579.0E-56.935431E-56.3058644E-51.6305233E-42.58572551.0E-48.440616E-47.675196E-49.0741215E-41.18226581.4E-40.0084086280.0076754080.0079135651.03102872.4E-4
7.21.4868988E-51.3053152E-51.0305198E-47.8947979.0E-56.372268E-55.594115E-51.5593556E-42.78749281.0E-47.755474E-46.809193E-48.2082395E-41.20546441.4E-40.00772846350.00681438160.0070527461.03497962.4E-4
7.39.3599865E-67.990615E-64.7990296E-56.0058324.0E-54.011361E-53.4245262E-58.424355E-52.4600065.0E-54.8827377E-44.1689473E-45.068572E-41.21579189.0E-50.0048720230.0041787150.00434800421.04051231.7E-4
7.45.941556E-65.1425686E-63.5142413E-56.83363063.0E-52.5463563E-52.203958E-56.20387E-52.81487664.0E-53.0997477E-42.6833187E-43.4831042E-41.29805838.0E-50.00309542750.00269268830.0028123651.04444521.2E-4

Little Salmon (Offshore)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.12.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.22.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.32.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.42.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.52.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.62.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.72.3052053E-52.212469E-51.6212159E-47.3276321.4E-49.879077E-59.4817326E-52.8479932E-43.0036631.9E-40.00120211390.00115390890.00144357421.25102972.9E-40.0119563190.0115125530.0119969131.04207224.9E-4
6.81.683878E-51.4857162E-58.4856125E-55.71146257.0E-57.21642E-56.3672305E-51.5366657E-42.41339769.0E-58.78245E-47.74989E-49.1488054E-41.18050771.4E-40.0087478220.00774991470.00800791.03328872.6E-4
6.91.683878E-51.4857162E-58.4856125E-55.71146257.0E-57.21642E-56.3672305E-51.5366657E-42.41339769.0E-58.78245E-47.74989E-49.1488054E-41.18050771.4E-40.0087478220.00774991470.00800791.03328872.6E-4
7.01.5051273E-51.2792186E-57.2791416E-55.69030336.0E-56.450386E-55.482278E-51.2481894E-42.27677157.0E-57.8505155E-46.6731236E-47.872323E-41.17970591.2E-40.007822840.0066796540.00688825131.03122882.1E-4
7.11.5051273E-51.2792186E-57.2791416E-55.69030336.0E-56.450386E-55.482278E-51.2481894E-42.27677157.0E-57.8505155E-46.6731236E-47.872323E-41.17970591.2E-40.007822840.0066796540.00688825131.03122882.1E-4
7.21.24301405E-51.03223E-56.0321785E-55.84383155.0E-55.3270942E-54.4237924E-51.0423527E-42.35624246.0E-56.483807E-45.385069E-46.3845306E-41.18559861.0E-40.0064649220.00539757640.00557660451.03316831.8E-4
7.39.3599865E-67.990615E-64.7990296E-56.0058324.0E-54.011361E-53.4245262E-58.424355E-52.4600065.0E-54.8827377E-44.1689473E-45.068572E-41.21579189.0E-50.0048720230.0041787150.00434800421.04051231.7E-4
7.45.941556E-65.1425686E-63.5142413E-56.83363063.0E-52.5463563E-52.203958E-56.20387E-52.81487664.0E-53.0997477E-42.6833187E-43.4831042E-41.29805838.0E-50.00309542750.00269268830.0028123651.04444521.2E-4

Trinidad (alt1)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.13.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.23.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.33.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.43.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.53.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.63.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.73.0167168E-53.4197783E-51.6419333E-44.8012861.3E-41.2928146E-41.4655465E-43.5652387E-42.43270252.1E-40.00157286530.00178301280.00213238881.19594693.5E-40.01561779250.0177042060.0181757081.02663224.8E-4
6.81.717077E-51.928099E-57.927983E-54.11181356.0E-57.358694E-58.2630446E-51.9262136E-42.33111831.1E-48.9555274E-40.00100560630.00123537511.22848772.3E-40.0089195220.0100150510.0103516461.03360893.4E-4
6.91.717077E-51.928099E-57.927983E-54.11181356.0E-57.358694E-58.2630446E-51.9262136E-42.33111831.1E-48.9555274E-40.00100560630.00123537511.22848772.3E-40.0089195220.0100150510.0103516461.03360893.4E-4
7.01.2858572E-51.4399481E-56.439876E-54.4722975.0E-55.5107E-56.171079E-51.6170462E-42.62036231.0E-46.707212E-47.511022E-49.409595E-41.25277161.9E-40.0066870040.0074888440.0077667471.03710892.8E-4
7.11.0588431E-51.1852174E-55.18517E-54.37486844.0E-54.53782E-55.0794206E-51.4078963E-42.77176579.0E-55.5233954E-46.1827316E-47.8816805E-41.27478931.7E-40.0055096870.0061684050.00641686331.04027922.5E-4
7.28.138061E-69.106194E-63.9105922E-54.2944313.0E-53.487694E-53.90261E-51.0902337E-42.79360137.0E-54.2454398E-44.7506424E-45.85012E-41.23143771.1E-40.00423733840.00474294970.0049021911.03357421.6E-4
7.35.787542E-66.4885676E-66.4885676E-61.00.02.4803514E-52.7807971E-54.7807414E-51.71919822.0E-53.0194095E-43.385312E-43.8851425E-41.14764695.0E-50.003015310.0033822850.00347198061.02651929.0E-5
7.44.303563E-64.8217044E-64.8217044E-61.00.01.844371E-52.0664396E-53.066419E-51.48391411.0E-52.2452902E-42.515799E-42.9156986E-41.15895524.0E-50.00224302310.0025149070.0025947061.03173038.0E-5
7.55.6063425E-76.16446E-76.16446E-71.00.02.402716E-62.6419088E-61.2641883E-54.7851321.0E-52.9252675E-53.2164782E-54.2164458E-51.3108891.0E-52.9248823E-43.2160283E-43.3159961E-41.03108431.0E-5
7.64.6699128E-75.1439906E-75.1439906E-71.00.02.0013897E-62.2045656E-61.2204544E-55.53603121.0E-52.4366647E-52.684027E-53.684E-51.37256461.0E-52.4363975E-42.683717E-42.78369E-41.03725171.0E-5
7.72.2080937E-72.443582E-72.443582E-71.00.09.4632554E-71.047249E-61.047249E-61.00.01.15214525E-51.2750188E-51.2750188E-51.00.01.1520855E-41.2749518E-41.2749518E-41.00.0
7.81.1438307E-81.2729346E-81.2729346E-81.00.04.9021317E-85.4554338E-85.4554338E-81.00.05.9683435E-76.6419904E-76.6419904E-71.00.05.9683275E-66.6419907E-66.6419907E-61.00.0

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.8044945E-58.933196E-52.4931767E-42.79091241.6E-42.9158857E-43.8279418E-46.0271E-41.57450142.2E-40.00354431270.0046511770.0049497821.06419983.0E-40.034883140.0456032450.046023181.00920844.4E-4
6.16.8044945E-58.933196E-52.4931767E-42.79091241.6E-42.9158857E-43.8279418E-46.0271E-41.57450142.2E-40.00354431270.0046511770.0049497821.06419983.0E-40.034883140.0456032450.046023181.00920844.4E-4
6.26.8044945E-58.933196E-52.4931767E-42.79091241.6E-42.9158857E-43.8279418E-46.0271E-41.57450142.2E-40.00354431270.0046511770.0049497821.06419983.0E-40.034883140.0456032450.046023181.00920844.4E-4
6.36.8044945E-58.933196E-52.4931767E-42.79091241.6E-42.9158857E-43.8279418E-46.0271E-41.57450142.2E-40.00354431270.0046511770.0049497821.06419983.0E-40.034883140.0456032450.046023181.00920844.4E-4
6.44.5830013E-55.7629506E-51.776226E-43.08214661.2E-41.9639956E-42.4695808E-44.0691855E-41.64772331.6E-40.00238854230.0030029370.00323224631.07636172.3E-40.0236303210.0296591610.029969671.01046923.2E-4
6.54.5830013E-55.7629506E-51.776226E-43.08214661.2E-41.9639956E-42.4695808E-44.0691855E-41.64772331.6E-40.00238854230.0030029370.00323224631.07636172.3E-40.0236303210.0296591610.029969671.01046923.2E-4
6.63.222194E-53.8485607E-51.0848291E-42.81879197.0E-51.3808672E-41.6492755E-42.6491107E-41.60622681.0E-40.00167990920.00200623370.00215593261.07461691.5E-40.0166726650.0198900960.0200959181.0103482.1E-4
6.72.4155654E-52.7894475E-58.7892804E-53.15090356.0E-51.0352012E-41.19542325E-42.0953156E-41.75278149.0E-50.00125962870.00145446440.00158427531.089251.3E-40.0125251260.0144506040.0146082921.01091221.6E-4
6.82.1814667E-52.5025707E-57.502446E-52.99789555.0E-59.348808E-51.0724864E-41.8724006E-41.74585028.0E-50.0011376230.00130497380.00141483031.08418291.1E-40.0113181690.0129737260.0131119091.0106511.4E-4
6.92.0700467E-52.3705063E-57.370388E-53.1092045.0E-58.871327E-51.0158919E-41.8158107E-41.78740548.0E-50.00107954880.00123614980.00134601391.0888761.1E-40.0107431940.0122932620.0124315411.01124841.4E-4
7.02.0104066E-52.3008504E-57.300735E-53.17305975.0E-58.615744E-59.860416E-51.7859628E-41.81124478.0E-50.00104846190.00119984770.00130971571.09156841.1E-40.0104352910.0119341860.0120725161.0115911.4E-4
7.11.8225232E-52.0832707E-56.0831873E-52.92001774.0E-57.81058E-58.927999E-51.4927462E-41.67198316.0E-59.5052324E-40.00108644330.00116635641.07355488.0E-50.0094646770.0108116080.0109204191.01006421.1E-4
7.21.7526572E-52.0049858E-56.0049057E-52.99498654.0E-57.511172E-58.5925145E-51.4591998E-41.69822226.0E-59.141015E-40.0010456380.00112555441.07642838.0E-50.0091035060.0104074480.0105163031.01045931.1E-4
7.31.5727232E-51.807123E-55.807051E-53.2134234.0E-56.740067E-57.744584E-51.374412E-41.7746756.0E-58.2029426E-49.4249647E-40.00101243051.07420097.0E-50.0081727290.0093852010.0094743571.00949959.0E-5
7.41.4457361E-51.6642314E-54.6641813E-52.8026043.0E-56.195865E-57.132226E-51.1131941E-41.56079474.0E-57.540854E-48.6800347E-49.179601E-41.05755345.0E-50.0075153170.00864628050.0087156751.0080267.0E-5
7.51.33280955E-51.5385824E-54.538536E-52.94981673.0E-55.711916E-56.593759E-51.05934945E-41.60659434.0E-56.9520384E-48.024953E-48.5245515E-41.06225565.0E-50.006930330.0079961030.0080655431.00868437.0E-5
7.61.0699478E-51.2419664E-53.2419415E-52.61032962.0E-54.5854096E-55.3226046E-58.322445E-51.56360383.0E-55.581306E-46.4783497E-46.778156E-41.04627813.0E-50.0055673090.00645953320.00648933981.00461443.0E-5
7.75.9390236E-66.871231E-66.871231E-61.00.02.545271E-52.9447801E-52.9447801E-51.00.03.0984267E-43.5846824E-43.5846824E-41.00.00.00309411020.0035789190.0035789191.00.0
7.82.1622036E-62.3357272E-62.3357272E-61.00.09.266554E-61.0010222E-51.0010222E-51.00.01.1281446E-41.21867706E-41.21867706E-41.00.00.0011275720.00121801560.00121801561.00.0
7.94.9586197E-75.2292177E-75.2292177E-71.00.02.125121E-62.2410916E-62.2410916E-61.00.02.5873042E-52.7284968E-52.7284968E-51.00.02.5870028E-42.728183E-42.728183E-41.00.0

Russ 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.12.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.22.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.32.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.42.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.52.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.62.3806366E-52.6355807E-51.5635238E-45.9323691.3E-41.0202329E-41.1294893E-42.7293086E-42.41640951.6E-40.00124142580.00137434990.00161402011.1743882.4E-40.0123451350.0136650360.0140595711.02887184.0E-4
6.71.6515693E-51.8257282E-58.8256005E-54.8340177.0E-57.077962E-57.824334E-51.6823629E-42.15016779.0E-58.6140115E-49.5223036E-40.00108210661.13639161.3E-40.0085806980.0094849210.009732551.02610772.5E-4
6.81.6515693E-51.8257282E-58.8256005E-54.8340177.0E-57.077962E-57.824334E-51.6823629E-42.15016779.0E-58.6140115E-49.5223036E-40.00108210661.13639161.3E-40.0085806980.0094849210.009732551.02610772.5E-4
6.91.2971182E-51.4327798E-56.432708E-54.489675.0E-55.5589593E-56.140355E-51.3139925E-42.1399297.0E-56.765931E-47.4735796E-48.472832E-41.13370471.0E-40.00674536820.00745103930.0076594751.0279742.1E-4
7.01.0201805E-51.12641565E-55.1263705E-54.55104734.0E-54.3721288E-54.8274178E-51.08271284E-42.24284056.0E-55.3217664E-45.876006E-46.6755357E-41.13606698.0E-50.005309040.00586253640.00603153931.02882771.7E-4
7.18.3744935E-69.247381E-63.9247105E-54.2441323.0E-53.5890193E-53.9631133E-58.962915E-52.26158435.0E-54.368755E-44.8242093E-45.5238715E-41.14503157.0E-50.0043601760.00481557570.00495490151.02893231.4E-4
7.26.649391E-67.344667E-61.7344593E-52.36152221.0E-52.8497077E-53.147686E-55.147623E-51.63536742.0E-53.4689668E-43.831801E-44.2316478E-41.10434964.0E-50.00346355650.00382683680.0039164921.02342819.0E-5
7.34.9549312E-65.4753014E-65.4753014E-61.00.02.1235246E-52.3465449E-53.3465214E-51.42614851.0E-52.5850846E-42.8566923E-43.1566064E-41.10498653.0E-50.00258207950.0028544750.00292427511.02445297.0E-5

Table Bluff

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7744695E-52.0464597E-51.6046173E-47.8409431.4E-47.6046475E-58.770281E-52.7768614E-43.16621731.9E-49.2547253E-40.00106731910.00133703091.25270022.7E-40.0092162780.0106279580.0109544511.03072023.3E-4
6.11.7744695E-52.0464597E-51.6046173E-47.8409431.4E-47.6046475E-58.770281E-52.7768614E-43.16621731.9E-49.2547253E-40.00106731910.00133703091.25270022.7E-40.0092162780.0106279580.0109544511.03072023.3E-4
6.21.7744695E-52.0464597E-51.6046173E-47.8409431.4E-47.6046475E-58.770281E-52.7768614E-43.16621731.9E-49.2547253E-40.00106731910.00133703091.25270022.7E-40.0092162780.0106279580.0109544511.03072023.3E-4
6.31.7744695E-52.0464597E-51.6046173E-47.8409431.4E-47.6046475E-58.770281E-52.7768614E-43.16621731.9E-49.2547253E-40.00106731910.00133703091.25270022.7E-40.0092162780.0106279580.0109544511.03072023.3E-4
6.41.7744695E-52.0464597E-51.6046173E-47.8409431.4E-47.6046475E-58.770281E-52.7768614E-43.16621731.9E-49.2547253E-40.00106731910.00133703091.25270022.7E-40.0092162780.0106279580.0109544511.03072023.3E-4
6.51.2822383E-51.5018002E-51.150165E-47.65857551.0E-45.4951914E-56.436145E-51.9435308E-43.01971271.3E-46.6883414E-47.833493E-49.332318E-41.19133541.5E-40.00666824730.0078088960.0079974121.02414121.9E-4
6.61.2822383E-51.5018002E-51.150165E-47.65857551.0E-45.4951914E-56.436145E-51.9435308E-43.01971271.3E-46.6883414E-47.833493E-49.332318E-41.19133541.5E-40.00666824730.0078088960.0079974121.02414121.9E-4
6.79.690175E-61.1582572E-57.1581875E-56.18013676.0E-54.1528663E-54.963877E-51.396343E-42.8130099.0E-55.054941E-46.042051E-47.041447E-41.16540671.0E-40.0050434580.006027670.0061568871.02143721.3E-4
6.89.690175E-61.1582572E-57.1581875E-56.18013676.0E-54.1528663E-54.963877E-51.396343E-42.8130099.0E-55.054941E-46.042051E-47.041447E-41.16540671.0E-40.0050434580.006027670.0061568871.02143721.3E-4
6.98.096043E-69.841161E-66.984057E-57.09678136.0E-53.4696863E-54.2175827E-51.2217245E-42.89674128.0E-54.223524E-45.1338767E-45.933466E-41.15574778.0E-50.0042155060.0051237890.00522327661.01941681.0E-4
7.07.185906E-68.849379E-65.8848935E-56.6500645.0E-53.0796375E-53.7925452E-51.079228E-42.84565627.0E-53.7488135E-44.6166166E-45.316293E-41.15155637.0E-50.00374249580.0046087070.00469829241.01943839.0E-5
7.13.4937343E-64.123303E-64.412314E-510.7009214.0E-51.497306E-51.7671222E-55.7670517E-53.26352724.0E-51.8228177E-42.1513358E-42.5512496E-41.1858914.0E-50.00182132320.00215000780.00220987881.02784696.0E-5
7.22.4388776E-62.7308793E-64.273077E-515.6472574.0E-51.0452291E-51.1703746E-55.170328E-54.41766934.0E-51.2724921E-41.4248907E-41.8248336E-41.28068334.0E-50.00127176360.0014244940.00148440851.04206036.0E-5

Maacama 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3538804E-42.608102E-43.3079193E-41.26832447.0E-55.8010535E-40.00111721960.00121710781.08940791.0E-40.0070399350.0134984640.0136858991.01388561.9E-40.0682104750.125377670.125605081.00181382.6E-4
6.11.3538804E-42.608102E-43.3079193E-41.26832447.0E-55.8010535E-40.00111721960.00121710781.08940791.0E-40.0070399350.0134984640.0136858991.01388561.9E-40.0682104750.125377670.125605081.00181382.6E-4
6.21.3538804E-42.608102E-43.3079193E-41.26832447.0E-55.8010535E-40.00111721960.00121710781.08940791.0E-40.0070399350.0134984640.0136858991.01388561.9E-40.0682104750.125377670.125605081.00181382.6E-4
6.31.1917239E-42.286178E-42.886041E-41.26238686.0E-55.1063887E-49.793561E-40.00105927781.08160638.0E-50.00619932030.0118444480.0119926711.01251411.5E-40.0602920650.1110345050.111203411.00152121.9E-4
6.41.1859289E-42.2764028E-42.8762664E-41.26351376.0E-55.0815626E-49.7517006E-40.00105509211.0819578.0E-50.0061692660.0117940930.0119423231.01256821.5E-40.060007840.110586660.1107556451.00152811.9E-4
6.51.09512424E-42.0998345E-42.6997086E-41.28567686.0E-54.6925453E-48.995662E-49.6950325E-41.07774537.0E-50.0056982180.0108859150.01101451.01181211.3E-40.0555430280.1026189550.102771511.00148671.7E-4
6.61.0502928E-42.0146157E-42.614495E-41.29776366.0E-54.500478E-48.630689E-49.330085E-41.0810367.0E-50.00546557460.0104471360.0105757781.01231361.3E-40.0533308870.098740050.098893261.00155171.7E-4
6.79.739358E-51.8713086E-42.1712526E-41.16028563.0E-54.173343E-48.01691E-48.4165897E-41.04985454.0E-50.00506921350.0097085870.00980761651.01020011.0E-40.0495512670.092155790.092273811.00128071.3E-4
6.88.969524E-51.707822E-41.807805E-41.05854421.0E-53.8435153E-47.3166616E-47.5165153E-41.02731492.0E-50.00466944320.0088651250.0089245931.00670816.0E-50.0457253870.084559410.08464181.00097439.0E-5
6.97.838291E-51.4791159E-41.5791011E-41.0675981.0E-53.358835E-46.3371676E-46.5370405E-41.03153982.0E-50.00408171540.00768359940.00771336861.00387443.0E-50.040075540.073772830.0738191461.00062785.0E-5
7.06.961957E-51.304386E-41.4043729E-41.07665441.0E-52.9833548E-45.5888505E-45.7887385E-41.03576552.0E-50.00362618570.006780020.00680981671.00439483.0E-50.0356758270.065444990.065482371.00057134.0E-5
7.15.999398E-51.12024376E-41.12024376E-41.00.02.570917E-44.8000764E-44.9000286E-41.0208231.0E-50.00312559940.0058264710.00584635461.00341262.0E-50.0308200160.056551970.0565708431.00033372.0E-5
7.25.116532E-59.5685544E-59.5685544E-51.00.02.1926152E-44.1001238E-44.2000826E-41.02437951.0E-50.0026662410.00497942140.0049993221.00399652.0E-50.0263447740.04857150.048590531.00039172.0E-5
7.34.2087835E-57.830934E-57.830934E-51.00.01.8036396E-43.3556594E-43.4556258E-41.02979041.0E-50.00219371960.00407715370.0040970721.00488542.0E-50.02172190.0399472230.0399664271.00048072.0E-5
7.42.8991652E-55.2540803E-55.2540803E-51.00.01.2424402E-42.2515474E-42.3515249E-41.04440391.0E-50.00151162130.00273766370.0027576091.00728552.0E-50.0150138010.0270166270.0270360861.00072032.0E-5
7.51.1292299E-61.5148333E-61.5148333E-61.00.04.8395473E-66.4921337E-66.4921337E-61.00.05.8919897E-57.904014E-57.904014E-51.00.05.890428E-47.907659E-47.907659E-41.00.0
7.62.6535366E-73.532596E-73.532596E-71.00.01.1372296E-61.5139688E-61.5139688E-61.00.01.3845682E-51.8432414E-51.8432414E-51.00.01.3844819E-41.8478454E-41.8478454E-41.00.0
7.79.727789E-81.2617718E-71.2617718E-71.00.04.1690518E-75.4075923E-75.4075923E-71.00.05.0758085E-66.583724E-66.583724E-61.00.05.0756928E-56.620245E-56.620245E-51.00.0
7.86.1939325E-97.9805895E-97.9805895E-91.00.02.6545425E-83.420253E-83.420253E-81.00.03.231905E-74.164157E-74.164157E-71.00.03.2319003E-64.2000233E-64.2000233E-61.00.0

Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.11.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.21.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.31.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.41.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.51.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.61.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.71.8699735E-51.9896306E-51.09894514E-45.5233639.0E-58.013926E-58.526731E-51.9525793E-42.28995061.1E-49.752587E-40.00103767310.00121748631.1732851.8E-40.0097098970.0103321180.0105597411.02203072.3E-4
6.81.18505095E-51.2525617E-57.252487E-55.7901236.0E-55.078691E-55.368014E-51.1367692E-42.11767176.0E-56.181552E-46.533646E-47.8327965E-41.198841.3E-40.0061643850.0065149430.0066739011.02439891.6E-4
6.91.18505095E-51.2525617E-57.252487E-55.7901236.0E-55.078691E-55.368014E-51.1367692E-42.11767176.0E-56.181552E-46.533646E-47.8327965E-41.198841.3E-40.0061643850.0065149430.0066739011.02439891.6E-4
7.09.719786E-61.0255948E-55.0255538E-54.9001364.0E-54.1655563E-54.3953332E-58.395158E-51.91001614.0E-55.0703844E-45.350028E-46.449439E-41.20549641.1E-40.0050588310.00533739570.0054667021.02422641.3E-4
7.18.523418E-68.987147E-63.8986876E-54.33807043.0E-53.652842E-53.8515784E-56.851463E-51.77887143.0E-54.4464276E-44.6883032E-45.5878813E-41.19187719.0E-50.00443754160.00467857670.0047781091.0212741.0E-4
7.27.378894E-67.776259E-63.7776026E-54.85786633.0E-53.162345E-53.33264E-56.33254E-51.90015723.0E-53.8494746E-44.056743E-44.9563777E-41.22176299.0E-50.00384281320.0040494340.0041490291.02459481.0E-4
7.36.4640294E-66.80544E-63.6805235E-55.4082083.0E-52.7702688E-52.9165849E-55.9164973E-52.02857023.0E-53.3722803E-43.5503702E-44.4500508E-41.25340479.0E-50.00336716740.00354476860.0036444141.02811061.0E-4
7.45.9959093E-66.3107823E-63.6310594E-55.7537393.0E-52.5696501E-52.7045933E-55.7045123E-52.1091943.0E-53.1280998E-43.2923507E-44.0920873E-41.24290758.0E-50.00312370020.00328753540.00337723951.02728629.0E-5
7.54.929265E-65.1861634E-62.518606E-54.85639522.0E-52.112525E-52.2226228E-54.2225784E-51.89981782.0E-52.5716957E-42.7057112E-43.205576E-41.18474445.0E-50.00256872150.00270245780.00275232271.01845175.0E-5
7.63.8982403E-64.0964483E-62.4096367E-55.8822582.0E-51.6706637E-51.755609E-53.755574E-52.1391862.0E-52.0338432E-42.137247E-42.437183E-41.14033753.0E-50.00203198290.00213521950.00216515551.01402013.0E-5
7.72.820968E-62.96258E-61.29625505E-54.37542631.0E-51.2089806E-51.2696711E-52.2696584E-51.78759551.0E-51.4718344E-41.5457167E-41.7456857E-41.12936992.0E-50.001470860.00154465930.00156462831.01292792.0E-5
7.81.9314455E-62.029747E-61.2029726E-55.92671251.0E-58.277597E-68.6988875E-61.86988E-52.14956241.0E-51.0077508E-41.05903935E-41.15902876E-41.09441521.0E-50.00100729390.00105854760.0010685371.0094371.0E-5
7.94.9586197E-75.2292177E-75.2292177E-71.00.02.125121E-62.2410916E-62.2410916E-61.00.02.5873042E-52.7284968E-52.7284968E-51.00.02.5870028E-42.728183E-42.728183E-41.00.0

McKinleyville (alt1)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.11.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.21.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.31.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.41.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.51.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.61.1028524E-51.1754648E-56.175406E-55.2535875.0E-54.7264242E-55.037623E-51.2037271E-42.38947427.0E-55.7529024E-46.1318354E-47.1312225E-41.16298331.0E-40.0057380320.0061174370.0063062751.03086881.9E-4
6.76.483374E-66.9333946E-63.6933186E-55.32685473.0E-52.7785592E-52.9714245E-57.971276E-52.68264465.0E-53.3823706E-43.617171E-44.316918E-41.19345147.0E-50.0033772270.00361189870.00375139321.03862081.4E-4
6.86.483374E-66.9333946E-63.6933186E-55.32685473.0E-52.7785592E-52.9714245E-57.971276E-52.68264465.0E-53.3823706E-43.617171E-44.316918E-41.19345147.0E-50.0033772270.00361189870.00375139321.03862081.4E-4
6.94.0394048E-64.356599E-64.356599E-61.00.01.731162E-51.867101E-52.8670824E-51.53557971.0E-52.1074859E-42.2729638E-42.3729411E-41.04398541.0E-50.00210548820.00227069410.00231060341.01757574.0E-5
7.03.7791233E-64.082948E-64.082948E-61.00.01.6196142E-51.7498236E-52.7498061E-51.57147621.0E-51.9717019E-42.1302068E-42.2301856E-41.04693381.0E-50.00196995330.0021282150.002168131.01875514.0E-5
7.13.675443E-63.9740507E-63.9740507E-61.00.01.5751802E-51.7031536E-52.7031367E-51.5871361.0E-51.9176133E-42.0733973E-42.1733766E-41.048221.0E-50.00191595930.00207151260.00211142981.01926964.0E-5
7.23.0165843E-63.2813678E-63.2813678E-61.00.01.2928153E-51.406293E-52.4062789E-51.71107941.0E-51.573889E-41.712029E-41.8120119E-41.05840031.0E-50.00157277480.0017107290.00173069481.0116712.0E-5
7.32.307633E-62.5264108E-62.5264108E-61.00.09.889818E-61.0827431E-52.0827323E-51.92357021.0E-51.2040188E-41.3181608E-41.4181476E-41.07585321.0E-50.00120336670.00131738730.0013373611.01516152.0E-5
7.42.0568484E-62.2585618E-62.2585618E-61.00.08.8150355E-69.679515E-69.679515E-61.00.01.0731777E-41.178418E-41.178418E-41.00.00.00107265950.00117780080.0011877891.00848041.0E-5
7.51.7674889E-61.9474237E-61.9474237E-61.00.07.5749304E-68.3460745E-68.3460745E-61.00.09.222087E-51.0160879E-41.0160879E-41.00.09.218261E-40.001015630.00102561981.00983611.0E-5
7.61.2944297E-61.4341459E-61.4341459E-61.00.05.547544E-66.1463256E-66.1463256E-61.00.06.753925E-57.482899E-57.482899E-51.00.06.7518733E-47.4804283E-47.4804283E-41.00.0
7.75.806243E-76.4822893E-76.4822893E-71.00.02.4883875E-62.7781211E-62.7781211E-61.00.03.0295698E-53.382312E-53.382312E-51.00.03.0291567E-43.381814E-43.381814E-41.00.0
7.81.6121008E-71.824903E-71.824903E-71.00.06.909002E-77.821011E-77.821011E-71.00.08.411677E-69.522041E-69.522041E-61.00.08.411359E-59.521659E-59.521659E-51.00.0

Mad River (alt1)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.11.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.21.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.31.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.41.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.51.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.61.1255216E-51.206897E-54.206861E-53.48568343.0E-54.8235746E-55.172321E-51.1172011E-42.15996076.0E-55.87112E-46.2956265E-47.095123E-41.12699238.0E-50.00585563250.0062792360.0064581061.02848591.8E-4
6.77.0564884E-67.625393E-63.7625163E-54.93419363.0E-53.0241743E-53.2679858E-57.267855E-52.22395544.0E-53.68131E-43.9780684E-44.4778697E-41.12563915.0E-50.00367521770.00397117060.00407077331.02508151.0E-4
6.87.0564884E-67.625393E-63.7625163E-54.93419363.0E-53.0241743E-53.2679858E-57.267855E-52.22395544.0E-53.68131E-43.9780684E-44.4778697E-41.12563915.0E-50.00367521770.00397117060.00407077331.02508151.0E-4
6.96.727494E-67.276483E-63.7276266E-55.1228413.0E-52.8831799E-53.1184565E-57.118332E-52.28264574.0E-53.509706E-43.796081E-44.2958913E-41.13166485.0E-50.0035041680.0037898130.0038794721.02365799.0E-5
7.06.7021124E-67.2492517E-63.7249036E-55.1383283.0E-52.8723021E-53.1067862E-57.106662E-52.28746414.0E-53.4964667E-43.7818772E-44.2816883E-41.13215955.0E-50.00349097050.00377565760.00386531771.02374689.0E-5
7.15.2784667E-65.748429E-63.5748257E-56.2187873.0E-52.2621804E-52.4635896E-56.4634914E-52.6236074.0E-52.7538565E-42.9990167E-43.498867E-41.16667135.0E-50.00275044630.00299506220.00307482251.02663068.0E-5
7.24.4085446E-64.834045E-63.48339E-57.20595263.0E-51.8893625E-52.0717172E-56.0716346E-52.93072534.0E-52.3000561E-42.522028E-43.0219016E-41.19820325.0E-50.00229767690.00251920660.00258903041.02771657.0E-5
7.33.4060627E-63.7651089E-63.3764994E-58.9678673.0E-51.459733E-51.6136082E-55.6135435E-53.47887664.0E-51.77708E-41.9643932E-42.464295E-41.25448165.0E-50.00177565950.00196268040.00202256251.03051046.0E-5
7.43.0570902E-63.3912675E-63.3391167E-59.846223.0E-51.310175E-51.4533924E-54.4533488E-53.06410623.0E-51.5950213E-41.7693637E-42.169293E-41.226034.0E-50.00159387690.00176797670.00181788821.02823095.0E-5
7.52.674048E-62.9791204E-63.297903E-511.0700573.0E-51.1460155E-51.2767598E-54.2767213E-53.34966833.0E-51.3951845E-41.5543461E-41.954284E-41.2573034.0E-50.00139430890.00155327860.0016032011.032145.0E-5
7.61.8806261E-62.1117376E-62.2111695E-510.4708542.0E-58.059801E-69.050273E-62.9050092E-53.20985822.0E-59.812366E-51.1018163E-41.3017943E-41.18149842.0E-59.808034E-40.00110128250.00112126051.01814072.0E-5
7.76.461283E-77.367531E-77.367531E-71.00.02.7691183E-63.1575098E-63.1575098E-61.00.03.371349E-53.844202E-53.844202E-51.00.03.370838E-43.8435523E-43.8435523E-41.00.0
7.83.0785324E-73.5422E-73.5422E-71.00.01.3193703E-61.5180848E-61.5180848E-61.00.01.6063215E-51.8482531E-51.8482531E-51.00.01.6062055E-41.8481059E-41.8481059E-41.00.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.2219133E-56.722146E-51.2721743E-41.89251216.0E-52.237771E-42.8806043E-43.5804027E-41.24293467.0E-50.00272108220.00350154630.00361116111.03130471.1E-40.0268800350.034473470.0346472671.00504141.8E-4
6.15.2212024E-56.722146E-51.2721743E-41.89251216.0E-52.2374663E-42.8806043E-43.5804027E-41.24293467.0E-50.0027207120.00350154630.00361116111.03130471.1E-40.0268764240.034473470.0346472671.00504141.8E-4
6.25.2204425E-56.722146E-51.2721743E-41.89251216.0E-52.2371406E-42.8806043E-43.5804027E-41.24293467.0E-50.00272031660.00350154630.00361116111.03130471.1E-40.0268725640.034473470.0346472671.00504141.8E-4
6.35.219004E-56.722146E-51.2721743E-41.89251216.0E-52.2365242E-42.8806043E-43.5804027E-41.24293467.0E-50.0027195680.00350154630.00361116111.03130471.1E-40.026865260.034473470.0346472671.00504141.8E-4
6.45.211827E-56.715639E-51.2715237E-41.8933776.0E-52.2334489E-42.8778164E-43.5776148E-41.243177.0E-50.00271583330.00349816280.00360777791.03133511.1E-40.0268288160.0344406930.0346144921.00504641.8E-4
6.55.204509E-56.7064386E-51.2706037E-41.89460276.0E-52.2303131E-42.8738743E-43.573673E-41.24350377.0E-50.00271202480.00349337860.00360299441.03137811.1E-40.0267916530.0343943420.0345681531.00505341.8E-4
6.65.0085426E-56.451656E-51.2451268E-41.92993396.0E-52.1463417E-42.7647047E-43.4645112E-41.25312167.0E-50.00261003940.00336088260.00347051281.03261951.1E-40.0257959650.0331097130.0332547461.00438031.5E-4
6.74.8930866E-56.304405E-51.2304027E-41.95165556.0E-52.0968684E-42.7016105E-43.4014214E-41.25903487.0E-50.00254994840.00328429950.00339393831.03338271.1E-40.0252088640.0323664960.032511641.00448441.5E-4
6.84.5679535E-55.8816007E-51.1881248E-42.02007036.0E-51.9575475E-42.5204444E-43.2202678E-41.27765887.0E-50.0023807090.00306436050.0031640541.03253331.0E-40.0235536530.0302280360.0303638041.00449141.4E-4
6.94.1439176E-55.3317515E-51.0331485E-41.93772825.0E-51.7758438E-42.2848374E-42.7847232E-41.2187845.0E-50.0021599460.0027782660.00285804391.02871498.0E-50.0213907210.027440310.0275375661.00354431.0E-4
7.03.5920104E-54.610543E-59.6103126E-52.0844215.0E-51.5393422E-41.9757982E-42.4756993E-41.25301235.0E-50.0018725380.00240289630.0024727281.02906167.0E-50.0185683780.023772370.023860231.0036969.0E-5
7.13.338812E-54.2773303E-59.2771166E-52.16890365.0E-51.430841E-41.8330135E-42.3329219E-41.27272495.0E-50.00174065680.00222942420.00228929051.02685276.0E-50.0172708540.0220733710.0221516061.00354438.0E-5
7.22.8619615E-53.6487803E-56.6486704E-51.82216263.0E-51.2264973E-41.5636698E-41.8636229E-41.19182633.0E-50.00149223760.00190211530.00194203921.02098924.0E-50.0148225680.0188602750.0189191441.00312136.0E-5
7.32.6376783E-53.34907E-56.34897E-51.8957413.0E-51.13038455E-41.4352374E-41.7351944E-41.20899463.0E-50.00137537430.00174601030.00178594041.02286934.0E-50.013668930.0173245930.0173835531.00340336.0E-5
7.42.3738676E-53.0030193E-56.002929E-51.99896473.0E-51.0173322E-41.2869452E-41.5869066E-41.23308013.0E-50.00123789810.00156573760.0016056751.02550714.0E-50.0123102510.015548440.0156075071.0037996.0E-5
7.52.1789481E-52.7483768E-55.7482943E-52.09152343.0E-59.338015E-51.177823E-41.4777877E-41.25467723.0E-50.00113631030.00143306410.00147300681.02787224.0E-50.0113051750.014239350.0142984961.00415376.0E-5
7.61.3895281E-51.7399087E-53.739874E-52.14946562.0E-55.9549846E-57.45654E-59.456391E-51.26820092.0E-57.2477816E-49.0745854E-49.2744036E-41.02201962.0E-50.00722418870.0090378410.009067571.00328933.0E-5
7.74.245981E-65.1775464E-65.1775464E-61.00.01.8196934E-52.2189297E-52.2189297E-51.00.02.2152514E-42.7012138E-42.7012138E-41.00.00.00221304460.00269790880.00269790881.00.0
7.86.145192E-77.0767754E-77.0767754E-71.00.02.633651E-63.0329002E-63.0329002E-61.00.03.206423E-53.6924946E-53.6924946E-51.00.03.2059604E-43.6918852E-43.6918852E-41.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0533147E-41.7910324E-42.2909428E-41.27911875.0E-54.5134246E-47.673355E-48.272895E-41.07813266.0E-50.0054812580.0092976710.0093769271.00852438.0E-50.0534801630.088579670.0886981561.00133761.3E-4
6.11.0510782E-41.7897722E-42.2896827E-41.27931515.0E-54.503843E-47.6679577E-48.267498E-41.07818776.0E-50.0054696510.0092911610.0093704171.00853048.0E-50.053369690.088520270.088638771.00133861.3E-4
6.27.595682E-51.2800831E-41.5800446E-41.23432983.0E-53.254886E-45.484506E-45.784342E-41.05466953.0E-50.00395562450.00665340150.0066832021.00447893.0E-50.038859510.064055510.064130381.0011698.0E-5
6.36.787612E-51.1414564E-41.3414335E-41.17519472.0E-52.9086522E-44.8906694E-45.0905714E-41.04087422.0E-50.00353553450.00593533270.0059552141.00334972.0E-50.0347981150.057337670.0574036581.00115087.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0405643E-41.2405435E-41.19218342.0E-52.6639478E-44.458459E-44.6583696E-41.04483852.0E-50.00323853320.0054123690.00543226071.00367522.0E-50.031917420.0524387840.0525051131.00126497.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.029268E-51.1029087E-41.22148192.0E-52.3298527E-43.8688368E-44.0687594E-41.05167512.0E-50.00283290590.00469850660.00471841261.00423672.0E-50.0279706330.0457113350.0457781371.00146147.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.801324E-58.801246E-51.12817341.0E-52.0269625E-43.342831E-43.4427975E-41.02990471.0E-50.0024650340.0040611820.0040711411.00245241.0E-50.024378690.039657770.039715391.00145296.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0026177E-56.0026177E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5722064E-42.5722064E-41.00.00.00192228750.00312670860.00312670861.00.00.0190574420.0307097770.0307485481.00126254.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.903112E-52.903112E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2441307E-41.2441307E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151366590.00151366591.00.00.0105323440.0150091640.0150190141.00065621.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4532952E-52.4532952E-51.00.07.658793E-51.0513695E-41.0513695E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127929040.00127929041.00.00.0092815950.0127117170.012721591.00077661.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.197045E-52.197045E-51.00.07.035038E-59.415568E-59.415568E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114574390.00114574391.00.00.0085288820.0113976970.0114075831.00086741.0E-5
7.11.5409885E-52.0403695E-52.0403695E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.74415E-58.74415E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.0010640830.0010640831.00.00.008008480.0105902360.010600131.00093421.0E-5
7.21.4497423E-51.9106335E-51.9106335E-51.00.06.213033E-58.1881735E-58.1881735E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.964573E-49.964573E-41.00.00.00753606340.0099204680.00993036851.0009981.0E-5
7.31.3615175E-51.7862032E-51.7862032E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.654934E-57.654934E-51.00.07.101729E-49.315926E-49.315926E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092773650.0092872731.00106791.0E-5
7.41.2252825E-51.6050762E-51.6050762E-51.00.05.251105E-56.878718E-56.878718E-51.00.06.391345E-48.37165E-48.37165E-41.00.00.00637299430.00834059250.0083505091.0011891.0E-5
7.51.0913301E-51.4258963E-51.4258963E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.1108425E-56.1108425E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.437439E-47.437439E-41.00.00.00567825320.0074128390.0074227651.0013391.0E-5
7.68.623192E-61.1246352E-51.1246352E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8197777E-54.8197777E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.866525E-45.866525E-41.00.00.004489370.00585125430.00586119571.00169911.0E-5
7.72.0993634E-62.6690077E-62.6690077E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1438555E-51.1438555E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3925557E-41.3925557E-41.00.00.00109481930.00139164810.00139164811.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1791493E-72.1791493E-71.00.07.897844E-79.3392083E-79.3392083E-71.00.09.615583E-61.137043E-51.137043E-51.00.09.615166E-51.13698086E-41.13698086E-41.00.0

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8002043E-54.0986633E-58.0984995E-51.97588794.0E-52.0570682E-41.7564521E-42.156382E-41.22769184.0E-50.0025016040.00213639830.002196271.02802476.0E-50.0247362980.0212475060.0213649551.00552771.2E-4
6.14.8002043E-54.0986633E-58.0984995E-51.97588794.0E-52.0570682E-41.7564521E-42.156382E-41.22769184.0E-50.0025016040.00213639830.002196271.02802476.0E-50.0247362980.0212475060.0213649551.00552771.2E-4
6.24.2998647E-53.5193618E-56.519256E-51.85239733.0E-51.842669E-41.5082111E-41.808166E-41.19888113.0E-50.00224114120.00183471320.00188462131.02720225.0E-50.0221867360.0182833110.01839131.00590651.1E-4
6.34.2998647E-53.5193618E-56.519256E-51.85239733.0E-51.842669E-41.5082111E-41.808166E-41.19888113.0E-50.00224114120.00183471320.00188462131.02720225.0E-50.0221867360.0182833110.01839131.00590651.1E-4
6.44.1101295E-53.3058048E-56.305706E-51.90746463.0E-51.7613651E-41.4166973E-41.7166548E-41.21173013.0E-50.00214235280.00172347780.00177339171.02896115.0E-50.021218170.017187980.0172960871.00628981.1E-4
6.54.1032585E-53.2976073E-56.297509E-51.90972053.0E-51.7584208E-41.4131845E-41.7131421E-41.21225663.0E-50.00213877530.00171920790.00176912191.02903325.0E-50.0211830750.0171459430.0172540561.00630551.1E-4
6.64.011629E-53.198616E-56.19852E-51.93787563.0E-51.7191563E-41.3707642E-41.6707231E-41.2188263.0E-50.00209106340.00166764190.00171755851.02993255.0E-50.0207149610.0166363980.0167445671.0065021.1E-4
6.73.8583938E-53.0155861E-56.0154955E-51.99480153.0E-51.6534925E-41.2923309E-41.5922921E-41.23210873.0E-50.00201126820.00157229160.00162221291.03175075.0E-50.0199316220.0156974440.0158057181.00689761.1E-4
6.83.44341E-52.5114468E-55.5113716E-52.19450043.0E-51.4756636E-41.0762906E-41.3762583E-41.27870513.0E-50.00179513990.00130960660.00135954111.03812945.0E-50.0178070780.0131032530.0132118121.00828481.1E-4
6.93.221199E-52.2419707E-55.2419033E-52.33807853.0E-51.3804408E-49.608096E-51.2607808E-41.31220663.0E-50.00167939090.00116916630.00121910791.04271555.0E-50.016667560.0117136450.0118223571.00928081.1E-4
7.02.9186718E-51.876283E-54.8762267E-52.59887583.0E-51.2507994E-48.040968E-51.10407265E-41.37305943.0E-50.00152178439.785526E-40.00102850361.05104595.0E-50.0151140530.009825050.0099339691.01108591.1E-4
7.12.6840138E-51.5881596E-53.588128E-52.25929932.0E-51.1502409E-46.806222E-58.806086E-51.29382872.0E-50.00139951868.283445E-48.683113E-41.04824914.0E-50.0139073750.0083346120.0084337791.01189821.0E-4
7.22.453002E-51.3185952E-53.318569E-52.51674582.0E-51.05124425E-45.651E-57.650887E-51.35389962.0E-50.00127913846.877927E-47.277652E-41.0581174.0E-50.0127180050.0069373460.00702672131.01288339.0E-5
7.32.3330727E-51.2056837E-53.2056596E-52.65878992.0E-59.9985E-55.1671137E-57.16701E-51.38704322.0E-50.00121663766.28915E-46.6888984E-41.06356164.0E-50.0120999810.00635047440.0064399031.01408229.0E-5
7.42.2136466E-51.092442E-53.0924202E-52.83074072.0E-59.486712E-54.6818106E-56.681717E-51.42716522.0E-50.00115439525.698616E-46.098388E-41.07015254.0E-50.0114841680.00576172020.00585120171.01553039.0E-5
7.52.0994974E-59.964151E-62.9963952E-53.00717572.0E-58.997535E-54.2702806E-56.2701954E-51.46833322.0E-50.00109489945.197829E-45.597621E-41.07691534.0E-50.0108952050.0052612890.0053508151.0170169.0E-5
7.61.7091823E-57.33021E-62.7330063E-53.72841482.0E-57.3248615E-53.1414806E-55.141418E-51.63662242.0E-58.9143694E-43.8240827E-44.2239297E-41.10456034.0E-50.0088786950.0038839580.00397360841.02308239.0E-5
7.71.2772179E-54.32972E-62.4329634E-55.6192162.0E-55.473676E-51.8555811E-53.855544E-52.07780932.0E-56.6621625E-42.2589361E-42.658846E-41.17703454.0E-50.0066422250.00230555420.00239534681.03894629.0E-5
7.87.041923E-62.137751E-62.2137709E-510.3556072.0E-53.017932E-59.161757E-62.9161574E-53.18296742.0E-53.6737128E-41.11538684E-41.5153423E-41.358584.0E-50.00366764540.00114568750.00123558451.07846559.0E-5
7.92.946768E-61.1131852E-62.1113163E-518.966442.0E-51.2628945E-54.7707854E-62.477069E-55.1921622.0E-51.5374656E-45.8082765E-59.808044E-51.68863254.0E-50.00153640235.924304E-46.72383E-41.1349578.0E-5
8.01.1433375E-65.765129E-72.05765E-535.691312.0E-54.9000087E-62.470767E-62.2470718E-59.0946322.0E-55.965597E-53.0081173E-57.007997E-52.32969554.0E-55.963996E-43.0458E-43.8455563E-41.26257688.0E-5
8.12.6675295E-71.8398238E-71.01839805E-555.3530241.0E-51.1432264E-67.8849564E-71.0788488E-513.6823681.0E-51.3918692E-59.599892E-61.9599796E-52.04166841.0E-51.391782E-49.745247E-51.07451495E-41.10260421.0E-5
8.21.2704569E-81.13165495E-81.13165495E-81.00.05.444815E-84.849949E-84.849949E-81.00.06.629061E-75.904812E-75.904812E-71.00.06.629041E-66.1096425E-66.1096425E-61.00.0

South Klamath Lake East

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3539369E-52.5107684E-55.510693E-52.19482333.0E-51.0087911E-41.076004E-41.4759609E-41.37170594.0E-50.00122751110.00130933120.00136925271.04576496.0E-50.0122075270.0130245590.0131035171.00606238.0E-5
6.12.3539369E-52.5107684E-55.510693E-52.19482333.0E-51.0087911E-41.076004E-41.4759609E-41.37170594.0E-50.00122751110.00130933120.00136925271.04576496.0E-50.0122075270.0130245590.0131035171.00606238.0E-5
6.22.3539369E-52.5107684E-55.510693E-52.19482333.0E-51.0087911E-41.076004E-41.4759609E-41.37170594.0E-50.00122751110.00130933120.00136925271.04576496.0E-50.0122075270.0130245590.0131035171.00606238.0E-5
6.39.807823E-61.0419492E-52.0419388E-51.95972971.0E-54.2032847E-54.465425E-56.465336E-51.44786572.0E-55.1162974E-45.435383E-45.8351655E-41.07355194.0E-50.0051045340.00542292930.0054726581.009175.0E-5
6.49.807823E-61.0419492E-52.0419388E-51.95972971.0E-54.2032847E-54.465425E-56.465336E-51.44786572.0E-55.1162974E-45.435383E-45.8351655E-41.07355194.0E-50.0051045340.00542292930.0054726581.009175.0E-5
6.56.191981E-66.565114E-66.565114E-61.00.02.653679E-52.8135915E-53.8135633E-51.35540761.0E-53.2303753E-43.425037E-43.525003E-41.02918671.0E-50.00322568350.0034200380.00343996961.00582792.0E-5
6.64.3693776E-64.626375E-64.626375E-61.00.01.8725768E-51.9827175E-51.9827175E-51.00.02.2796239E-42.4137026E-42.4137026E-41.00.00.00227728670.00241119410.002421171.00413731.0E-5
6.73.360834E-63.5588032E-63.5588032E-61.00.01.4403494E-51.5251929E-51.5251929E-51.00.01.7534842E-41.8567721E-41.8567721E-41.00.00.00175210140.00185530110.00186528251.00537991.0E-5
6.82.57873E-62.7309882E-62.7309882E-61.00.01.1051653E-51.1704185E-51.1704185E-51.00.01.3454557E-41.4248976E-41.4248976E-41.00.00.00134464130.0014240450.00143403071.00701221.0E-5
6.99.987825E-71.0589214E-61.0589214E-61.00.04.2804895E-64.5382285E-64.5382285E-61.00.05.211371E-55.5251858E-55.5251858E-51.00.05.210149E-45.524135E-45.62408E-41.01809241.0E-5

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3671493E-51.0456975E-53.0456766E-52.9125792.0E-55.85908E-54.4814937E-56.481404E-51.44625972.0E-57.1310945E-45.4550264E-45.854808E-41.07328694.0E-50.00710825440.0054433560.0054930841.00913555.0E-5
6.19.992795E-61.0456975E-53.0456766E-52.9125792.0E-54.2825563E-54.4814937E-56.481404E-51.44625972.0E-55.2127644E-45.4550264E-45.854808E-41.07328694.0E-50.00520055370.0054433560.0054930841.00913555.0E-5
6.29.992795E-61.0456975E-53.0456766E-52.9125792.0E-54.2825563E-54.4814937E-56.481404E-51.44625972.0E-55.2127644E-45.4550264E-45.854808E-41.07328694.0E-50.00520055370.0054433560.0054930841.00913555.0E-5
6.34.6127884E-64.8262896E-62.4826193E-55.14395052.0E-51.9768944E-52.0683958E-54.0683542E-51.9669132.0E-52.406603E-42.5180232E-42.8179478E-41.11911113.0E-50.00240399850.00251558750.0025455121.01189573.0E-5
6.44.6127884E-64.8262896E-62.4826193E-55.14395052.0E-51.9768944E-52.0683958E-54.0683542E-51.9669132.0E-52.406603E-42.5180232E-42.8179478E-41.11911113.0E-50.00240399850.00251558750.0025455121.01189573.0E-5
6.52.716712E-62.843007E-62.284295E-58.0347852.0E-51.1643E-51.2184272E-53.2184027E-52.64144042.0E-51.417443E-41.4833573E-41.6833276E-41.13480932.0E-50.00141653930.00148259410.00150256441.01346982.0E-5
6.61.3818255E-61.4447612E-61.1444747E-57.9215491.0E-55.922096E-66.191826E-61.6191763E-52.61502241.0E-57.209913E-57.538404E-58.538329E-51.1326441.0E-57.2075747E-47.536995E-47.6369196E-41.01325791.0E-5

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8770423E-51.6481798E-53.648147E-52.213442.0E-58.044219E-57.0634385E-59.063297E-51.28312832.0E-59.789435E-48.5963815E-48.9960376E-41.04649134.0E-50.0097464230.0085768760.0086561891.00924748.0E-5
6.11.8770423E-51.6481798E-53.648147E-52.213442.0E-58.044219E-57.0634385E-59.063297E-51.28312832.0E-59.789435E-48.5963815E-48.9960376E-41.04649134.0E-50.0097464230.0085768760.0086561891.00924748.0E-5
6.21.7508692E-51.509641E-53.509611E-52.32479832.0E-57.5035096E-56.469731E-58.469602E-51.30911182.0E-59.1316935E-47.8740815E-48.273767E-41.05075964.0E-50.009094260.0078598460.0079392171.01009838.0E-5
6.31.7508692E-51.509641E-53.509611E-52.32479832.0E-57.5035096E-56.469731E-58.469602E-51.30911182.0E-59.1316935E-47.8740815E-48.273767E-41.05075964.0E-50.009094260.0078598460.0079392171.01009838.0E-5
6.41.6004591E-51.34402135E-53.3439945E-52.48805172.0E-56.85893E-55.759965E-57.7598495E-51.34720432.0E-58.347548E-47.010511E-47.4102305E-41.05701724.0E-50.0083162610.00700185730.00708129681.01134558.0E-5
6.51.6004591E-51.34402135E-53.3439945E-52.48805172.0E-56.85893E-55.759965E-57.7598495E-51.34720432.0E-58.347548E-47.010511E-47.4102305E-41.05701724.0E-50.0083162610.00700185730.00708129681.01134558.0E-5
6.61.5442201E-51.2822661E-53.2822405E-52.55971862.0E-56.617918E-55.495311E-57.495201E-51.36392662.0E-58.0543366E-46.6884956E-47.088228E-41.05976414.0E-50.0080252070.0066818090.00676127431.01189288.0E-5
6.71.489921E-51.2229177E-53.222893E-52.63541322.0E-56.3852196E-55.240971E-57.240866E-51.38158872.0E-57.7712315E-46.379021E-46.778766E-41.06266564.0E-50.00774411160.00637413930.0064536291.01247078.0E-5
6.81.3876024E-51.1104133E-53.110391E-52.80111122.0E-55.9467322E-54.7588273E-56.758732E-51.42025162.0E-57.237741E-45.792336E-46.1921036E-41.06901684.0E-50.00721421330.00579063270.00587016951.01373548.0E-5
6.91.33922495E-51.0573845E-53.0573632E-52.89143942.0E-55.7394092E-54.5315694E-56.531479E-51.44132822.0E-56.9854903E-45.5157917E-45.915571E-41.0724794.0E-50.00696357250.0055154880.00559504661.01442468.0E-5
7.01.2807324E-59.931618E-62.993142E-53.01375062.0E-55.4887376E-54.256338E-56.256253E-51.46986752.0E-56.680489E-45.1808613E-45.580654E-41.07716734.0E-50.0066604420.00518216150.0052617471.01535768.0E-5
7.11.2191438E-59.237746E-62.923756E-53.16501052.0E-55.224797E-53.9589737E-55.9588947E-51.50516142.0E-56.3593336E-44.8189855E-45.218793E-41.0829654.0E-50.00634116630.00482190630.00490152041.0165118.0E-5
7.21.1769438E-58.755886E-62.875571E-53.2841582.0E-55.0439474E-53.7524682E-55.7523932E-51.53296262.0E-56.1392755E-44.567673E-44.9674907E-41.08753194.0E-50.00612234230.00457165440.0046512891.01741918.0E-5
7.31.150374E-58.470264E-62.8470095E-53.36118152.0E-54.9300812E-53.6300626E-55.62999E-51.55093472.0E-56.0007203E-44.4187056E-44.8185288E-41.09048434.0E-50.00598454240.0044232710.0045029171.01800628.0E-5
7.41.12514E-58.21513E-62.8214967E-53.43451242.0E-54.8219394E-53.5207227E-55.520652E-51.56804532.0E-55.8691297E-44.2856374E-44.6854658E-41.0932954.0E-50.0058536530.0042907110.00437036761.01856498.0E-5
7.51.059696E-57.562848E-62.7562697E-53.64448642.0E-54.5414752E-53.2411805E-55.2411157E-51.61703922.0E-55.5278436E-43.9454232E-44.3452653E-41.10134334.0E-50.00551411280.00395170040.0040313841.02016458.0E-5
7.69.018592E-65.9967037E-62.5996584E-54.33514552.0E-53.8650534E-52.5699906E-54.569939E-51.7781932.0E-54.7046866E-43.1285148E-43.5283895E-41.12781624.0E-50.0046947390.003136960.00321670921.02542258.0E-5
7.76.243489E-63.368396E-62.3368328E-56.93752432.0E-52.6757538E-51.4435903E-53.4435612E-52.38541462.0E-53.257243E-41.7574296E-42.1573593E-41.22756524.0E-50.0032524730.00176720170.00184706031.04518938.0E-5
7.83.1941963E-61.4603513E-62.1460322E-514.6953142.0E-51.368934E-56.258633E-62.6258509E-54.19556572.0E-51.6665498E-47.61962E-51.1619315E-41.52492064.0E-50.00166530057.683596E-48.482981E-41.10403798.0E-5
7.92.0098398E-67.503986E-72.0750384E-527.6524812.0E-58.6135715E-63.2159899E-62.3215925E-57.2189052.0E-51.0486518E-43.9153976E-57.915241E-52.02156764.0E-50.00104815713.969347E-44.7690293E-41.20146458.0E-5
8.08.353119E-73.4304264E-72.0343035E-559.3017732.0E-53.579903E-61.4701818E-62.1470152E-514.603742.0E-54.358445E-51.7899318E-55.78986E-53.2346824.0E-54.3575902E-41.8023977E-42.6022535E-41.44377328.0E-5
8.11.5033264E-77.010328E-81.0070103E-5143.646651.0E-56.442826E-73.0044262E-71.03004395E-534.2842181.0E-57.844113E-63.6578829E-61.36578465E-53.73381191.0E-57.843835E-53.6592897E-54.6592533E-51.2732671.0E-5

South Klamath Lake West

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3093926E-54.3093463E-51.86600862.0E-59.3169176E-59.897058E-51.2896761E-41.30309033.0E-50.00113374440.00120436690.00124431871.03317254.0E-50.0112797770.0119850320.0120541931.00577067.0E-5
6.12.174025E-52.3093926E-54.3093463E-51.86600862.0E-59.3169176E-59.897058E-51.2896761E-41.30309033.0E-50.00113374440.00120436690.00124431871.03317254.0E-50.0112797770.0119850320.0120541931.00577067.0E-5
6.29.834929E-61.041605E-53.0415842E-52.92009352.0E-54.2149015E-54.4639502E-57.463816E-51.67202063.0E-55.1304343E-45.433595E-45.8333774E-41.07357614.0E-50.00511860570.00542121570.00546099851.00733844.0E-5
6.39.834929E-61.041605E-53.0415842E-52.92009352.0E-54.2149015E-54.4639502E-57.463816E-51.67202063.0E-55.1304343E-45.433595E-45.8333774E-41.07357614.0E-50.00511860570.00542121570.00546099851.00733844.0E-5
6.46.066321E-66.4136802E-66.4136802E-61.00.02.5998259E-52.7486927E-52.7486927E-51.00.03.1648282E-43.3460467E-43.3460467E-41.00.00.00316032490.00334128020.00334128021.00.0
6.56.066321E-66.4136802E-66.4136802E-61.00.02.5998259E-52.7486927E-52.7486927E-51.00.03.1648282E-43.3460467E-43.3460467E-41.00.00.00316032490.00334128020.00334128021.00.0
6.64.2321803E-64.4703684E-64.4703684E-61.00.01.8137789E-51.9158588E-51.9158588E-51.00.02.208052E-42.3323185E-42.3323185E-41.00.00.00220585940.0023299730.0023299731.00.0
6.73.186646E-63.3671877E-63.3671877E-61.00.01.3656982E-51.4430729E-51.4430729E-51.00.01.6626107E-41.7568063E-41.7568063E-41.00.00.00166136740.0017554850.0017554851.00.0
6.82.380121E-62.5160925E-62.5160925E-61.00.01.0200479E-51.0783212E-51.0783212E-51.00.01.2418375E-41.3127817E-41.3127817E-41.00.00.00124114370.00131205210.00131205211.00.0
6.98.928287E-79.4501775E-79.4501775E-71.00.03.826403E-64.050071E-64.050071E-61.00.04.658546E-54.930872E-54.930872E-51.00.04.6575698E-44.929995E-44.929995E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.9166864E-54.916628E-51.68568972.0E-53.6937918E-41.2499487E-41.7498861E-41.39996655.0E-50.00448792150.00152075210.0015706761.03282855.0E-50.0439836120.016960730.0170295421.00405727.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.9166864E-54.916628E-51.68568972.0E-53.6937918E-41.2499487E-41.7498861E-41.39996655.0E-50.00448792150.00152075210.0015706761.03282855.0E-50.0439836120.016960730.0170295421.00405727.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.9166864E-54.916628E-51.68568972.0E-53.6937918E-41.2499487E-41.7498861E-41.39996655.0E-50.00448792150.00152075210.0015706761.03282855.0E-50.0439836120.016960730.0170295421.00405727.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.8811295E-54.8810718E-51.69415222.0E-53.6642692E-41.2347114E-41.7346497E-41.40490295.0E-50.0044521250.00150222650.00155215131.03323395.0E-50.0436397940.016763760.0168325861.00410577.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.8811295E-54.8810718E-51.69415222.0E-53.6642692E-41.2347114E-41.7346497E-41.40490295.0E-50.0044521250.00150222650.00155215131.03323395.0E-50.0436397940.016763760.0168325861.00410577.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.8605335E-54.8604765E-51.69915032.0E-53.647124E-41.2258854E-41.7258241E-41.40781845.0E-50.0044313360.00149149550.00154142091.03347345.0E-50.043440070.016649930.0167187661.00413427.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.8527906E-54.8527334E-51.70104792.0E-53.6417096E-41.2225674E-41.7225061E-41.40892545.0E-50.00442477040.00148746130.00153738691.03356435.0E-50.0433769860.0166078450.0166766811.00414497.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.8332792E-54.8332226E-51.70587592.0E-53.6263323E-41.2142061E-41.7141453E-41.41174175.0E-50.0044061250.00147729530.00152722151.03379565.0E-50.0431978070.0165005030.0165693481.00417237.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.8210654E-54.821009E-51.7089322.0E-53.6095164E-41.2089721E-41.7089117E-41.41352455.0E-50.0043857340.00147093160.0015208581.03394215.0E-50.0430018230.0164316280.0165004771.00419017.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.7992688E-54.799213E-51.71445232.0E-53.5849313E-41.1996316E-41.6995716E-41.41674465.0E-50.0043559220.00145957480.00150950181.03420655.0E-50.042715230.0163122530.0163811111.00422127.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.7731407E-54.7730853E-51.72118392.0E-53.560668E-41.1884348E-41.6883753E-41.42067155.0E-50.0043264990.0014459610.00149588861.03452915.0E-50.0424322970.0161713920.016240261.00425867.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.7362781E-54.7362235E-51.73089982.0E-53.4458007E-41.172638E-41.6725794E-41.4263395.0E-50.00418719460.00142675360.00147668231.03499465.0E-50.0410917250.0159613120.0160301941.00431567.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.6717997E-54.671746E-51.74853912.0E-53.3607247E-41.1450068E-41.6449497E-41.43662865.0E-50.0040840080.00139315620.00144308651.03583975.0E-50.0400976350.0156079210.0156768281.00441497.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.6480364E-54.6479836E-51.75525672.0E-53.3086175E-41.1348235E-41.6347668E-41.44054715.0E-50.0040208030.00138077370.00143070471.03616155.0E-50.039488270.0154791650.0155480811.00445227.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.4523897E-54.4523407E-51.81551112.0E-53.1511846E-41.0509819E-41.5509293E-41.47569565.0E-50.00382981940.00127882090.00132875691.03904865.0E-50.0376448520.0143982960.0144672891.00479177.0E-5
7.56.806207E-52.2176775E-54.2176332E-51.90182442.0E-52.9166197E-49.503986E-51.4503511E-41.52604515.0E-50.00354520350.00115649740.00120643961.0431845.0E-50.0348917660.0130715810.0131406651.00528517.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.7145847E-53.7145503E-52.1664432.0E-52.43112E-47.348013E-51.2347646E-41.68040615.0E-50.00295587128.942536E-49.4420894E-41.05586255.0E-50.029168620.0101513740.0102206641.00682567.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.5962929E-53.596261E-52.2528832.0E-52.1199681E-46.841076E-51.1840734E-41.73082925.0E-50.0025780068.3258294E-48.825413E-41.06000415.0E-50.025483030.00942742450.0094967651.00735517.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.55771E-53.5576788E-52.2839162.0E-51.7020974E-46.675729E-51.1675395E-41.74893195.0E-50.00207033388.1246713E-48.6242653E-41.06149095.0E-50.0205115150.0091564370.0092257961.00757497.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.4482015E-51.4482015E-51.00.01.0334639E-46.2064304E-57.206368E-51.16111331.0E-50.0012575167.5537106E-47.653635E-41.01322851.0E-50.0125042380.0083950920.0084149241.00236242.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.3525585E-51.3525585E-51.00.07.6097356E-55.7965506E-56.7964924E-51.17250631.0E-59.260915E-47.055017E-47.154947E-41.01416431.0E-50.0092224160.0077831960.007803041.00254962.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-51.1606871E-51.1606871E-51.00.05.6395602E-54.9742786E-55.974229E-51.20102421.0E-56.864001E-46.054503E-46.1544427E-41.01650671.0E-50.00684283860.00667669250.0066965591.00297552.0E-5
8.28.635426E-66.638607E-66.638607E-61.00.03.700844E-52.8450862E-53.8450577E-51.35147321.0E-54.5048463E-43.463343E-43.5633086E-41.02886381.0E-50.0044957250.00387684120.00389676351.00513892.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Green Valley 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.938062E-51.7345858E-41.9345511E-41.11528132.0E-54.2584742E-47.4316084E-47.63146E-41.02689212.0E-50.00517237330.0090091060.0090289261.00222.0E-50.0505362860.0857232360.085778091.00063996.0E-5
6.19.862786E-51.720227E-41.9201926E-41.11624372.0E-54.2262237E-47.370105E-47.569958E-41.02711672.0E-50.0051332940.0089348470.0089546681.00221852.0E-50.0501632470.085053860.085108761.00064546.0E-5
6.29.695835E-51.6887566E-41.8887229E-41.11841032.0E-54.154696E-47.235311E-47.4351666E-41.02762222.0E-50.00504661630.0087721610.0087919851.002262.0E-50.0493353750.0835814250.083636411.00065796.0E-5
6.39.274664E-51.6059978E-41.8059657E-41.12451312.0E-53.9742506E-46.880821E-47.080683E-41.02904632.0E-50.004827920.0083439210.00836375451.00237692.0E-50.0472436920.079690850.079746071.0006936.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4435542E-41.6435255E-41.13852692.0E-53.595861E-46.184982E-46.384858E-41.03231642.0E-50.0043691750.00750321240.0075230621.00264552.0E-50.042842650.071970490.072026181.00077376.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.947603E-51.1947404E-41.20103352.0E-52.5505814E-44.2623727E-44.4622875E-41.04690222.0E-50.00310091120.00517610460.0051960011.00384392.0E-50.0305799660.050234260.0502912441.00113446.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.383919E-58.383845E-51.13541951.0E-51.9439218E-43.1640378E-43.2640062E-41.03159521.0E-50.00236415580.00384461180.00385457321.0025911.0E-50.0233916230.0375991650.0376472851.00127985.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-56.233033E-56.233033E-51.00.01.6630985E-42.6709368E-42.6709368E-41.00.00.00202294180.00324657350.00324657351.00.00.0200462560.0318756070.031904651.00091113.0E-5
6.82.2284667E-53.144285E-53.144285E-51.00.09.550222E-51.347481E-41.347481E-41.00.00.00116211920.00163932420.00163932421.00.00.0115606070.0162489320.0162489321.00.0
6.91.8050168E-52.4566732E-52.4566732E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0528174E-41.0528174E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.00128105460.00128105461.00.00.0093741910.0127287190.0127287191.00.0
7.01.4763166E-51.9688297E-51.9688297E-51.00.06.326917E-58.4375686E-58.4375686E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.00102679120.00102679121.00.00.0076736720.0102194220.0102194221.00.0
7.11.2399713E-51.638642E-51.638642E-51.00.05.3140546E-57.022564E-57.022564E-51.00.06.467941E-48.546637E-48.546637E-41.00.00.0064491480.0085136330.0085136331.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.3988168E-51.3988168E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.994792E-55.994792E-51.00.05.521186E-47.296232E-47.296232E-41.00.00.00550748870.0072725690.0072725691.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0579936E-51.0579936E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5341803E-54.5341803E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.5189774E-45.5189774E-41.00.00.0041646530.00550541050.00550541051.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.956803E-68.956803E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.838574E-53.838574E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.672471E-44.672471E-41.00.00.00351956860.0046628880.0046628881.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.533624E-67.533624E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2286564E-53.2286564E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.930189E-43.930189E-41.00.00.0029691340.0039233070.0039233071.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.948169E-65.948169E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5491907E-52.5491907E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.103206E-43.103206E-41.00.00.0023471940.00309889930.00309889931.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.4141802E-61.4141802E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0607586E-66.0607586E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.378727E-57.378727E-51.00.05.672055E-47.3758815E-47.3758815E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.241645E-86.241645E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6749905E-72.6749905E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2567973E-63.2567973E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.256687E-53.256687E-51.00.0

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0167738E-51.6950407E-52.6950238E-51.58994631.0E-58.643029E-57.264268E-58.264195E-51.13765011.0E-50.00105178098.840828E-49.1405626E-41.03390353.0E-50.0104681660.0088074010.0088668731.00675256.0E-5
6.11.6162443E-51.6950407E-52.6950238E-51.58994631.0E-56.926578E-57.264268E-58.264195E-51.13765011.0E-58.4298453E-48.840828E-49.1405626E-41.03390353.0E-50.0083979390.0088074010.0088668731.00675256.0E-5
6.21.6162443E-51.6950407E-52.6950238E-51.58994631.0E-56.926578E-57.264268E-58.264195E-51.13765011.0E-58.4298453E-48.840828E-49.1405626E-41.03390353.0E-50.0083979390.0088074010.0088668731.00675256.0E-5
6.39.746053E-61.0216807E-52.0216705E-51.97876941.0E-54.1768133E-54.3785603E-55.3785167E-51.22837561.0E-55.0840835E-45.329633E-45.5295264E-41.0375062.0E-50.00507246750.00531725960.00534711.0056123.0E-5
6.49.746053E-61.0216807E-52.0216705E-51.97876941.0E-54.1768133E-54.3785603E-55.3785167E-51.22837561.0E-55.0840835E-45.329633E-45.5295264E-41.0375062.0E-50.00507246750.00531725960.00534711.0056123.0E-5
6.57.290083E-67.64028E-67.64028E-61.00.03.124284E-53.274366E-53.274366E-51.00.03.8031515E-43.9858327E-43.9858327E-41.00.00.00379664940.00397889970.00397889971.00.0
6.65.67907E-65.950665E-65.950665E-61.00.02.4338644E-52.5502608E-52.5502608E-51.00.02.962827E-43.1045135E-43.1045135E-41.00.00.00295887980.00310031050.00310031051.00.0
6.73.4853963E-63.6514175E-63.6514175E-61.00.01.4937327E-51.5648842E-51.5648842E-51.00.01.8184677E-41.9050861E-41.9050861E-41.00.00.00181698040.00190351410.00190351411.00.0
6.82.7535168E-62.884834E-62.884834E-61.00.01.1800733E-51.2363518E-51.2363518E-51.00.01.4366445E-41.505159E-41.505159E-41.00.00.00143571620.00150418620.00150418621.00.0
6.91.6594106E-61.738914E-61.738914E-61.00.07.1117406E-67.452469E-67.452469E-61.00.08.6582E-59.073034E-59.073034E-51.00.08.654827E-49.06963E-49.06963E-41.00.0
7.05.10215E-75.347588E-75.347588E-71.00.02.186634E-62.291822E-62.291822E-61.00.02.6621943E-52.7902703E-52.7902703E-51.00.02.6618753E-42.7900434E-42.7900434E-41.00.0

Hosgri

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9237248E-54.9236663E-51.68403892.0E-51.235932E-41.2529662E-41.4529412E-41.15960122.0E-50.00150370850.00152444630.00156438541.0261994.0E-50.014935740.0151437110.0152028031.00390216.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9237248E-54.9236663E-51.68403892.0E-51.235932E-41.2529662E-41.4529412E-41.15960122.0E-50.00150370850.00152444630.00156438541.0261994.0E-50.014935740.0151437110.0152028031.00390216.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9237248E-54.9236663E-51.68403892.0E-51.235932E-41.2529662E-41.4529412E-41.15960122.0E-50.00150370850.00152444630.00156438541.0261994.0E-50.014935740.0151437110.0152028031.00390216.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2727596E-54.272714E-51.87996752.0E-59.8200995E-59.740037E-51.1739843E-41.2053182.0E-50.00119494130.00118520940.0012251621.03370934.0E-50.0118853630.0117903090.0118496021.0050296.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9773202E-53.9772807E-52.011452.0E-58.65503E-58.473955E-51.0473786E-41.23599732.0E-50.00105324050.00103121770.00107117651.03874914.0E-50.0104826260.0102653940.0103247791.00578496.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.948591E-53.948552E-52.02636272.0E-58.53872E-58.3508385E-51.0350671E-41.23947692.0E-50.00103909340.00101624230.00105620161.03932074.0E-50.0103424810.0101170090.01017640251.00587066.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7531273E-53.753092E-52.14079862.0E-57.7556004E-57.5131866E-59.513037E-51.26617862.0E-59.438353E-49.1434794E-49.5431134E-41.0437074.0E-50.0093983660.0091068230.0091662771.00652856.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6114478E-53.6114157E-52.24109982.0E-57.182612E-56.9060225E-58.905885E-51.28958232.0E-58.7413215E-48.4048504E-48.8045147E-41.04755154.0E-50.0087070170.008373990.0084334871.0071056.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4683788E-53.4683493E-52.36202652.0E-56.6003166E-56.292901E-58.292775E-51.31779852.0E-58.032922E-47.658922E-48.058616E-41.05218674.0E-50.0080039470.0076334110.0076929531.00780026.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2756643E-53.2756387E-52.56779052.0E-55.8136946E-55.467018E-57.466909E-51.36581022.0E-57.0758746E-46.6540664E-47.0538005E-41.06007364.0E-50.0070533860.0066349680.00669456971.0089836.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1160002E-53.115978E-52.79209422.0E-55.155963E-54.7827707E-56.7826746E-51.41814772.0E-56.275577E-45.821468E-46.2212354E-41.06867124.0E-50.0062578840.0058069990.00586665051.01027246.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0084998E-53.0084797E-52.98312352.0E-54.7025E-54.3220705E-56.321984E-51.46272122.0E-55.72379E-45.260851E-45.660641E-41.07599334.0E-50.00570906930.00524916870.00530885351.01137046.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.096285E-62.9096103E-53.198682.0E-54.2693267E-53.8983493E-55.8982714E-51.51301772.0E-55.1966653E-44.7452073E-45.1450176E-41.08425564.0E-50.005184530.0047358410.00479555641.01260946.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.888858E-62.78887E-53.5352012.0E-53.7289166E-53.3808956E-55.380828E-51.59153932.0E-54.53901E-44.115463E-44.5152984E-41.09715444.0E-50.004529750.0041086010.0041683541.01454356.0E-5
7.47.866285E-67.0584874E-62.7058346E-53.83344822.0E-53.3712215E-53.025031E-55.0249706E-51.66113022.0E-54.103689E-43.682353E-44.082206E-41.10858624.0E-50.0040961190.0036770080.00373678751.01625766.0E-5
7.56.8381305E-66.018108E-62.6017988E-54.32328372.0E-52.9305946E-52.5791636E-54.579112E-51.77542522.0E-53.5674145E-43.1396793E-43.539554E-41.12736154.0E-50.00356169320.0031359980.003195811.01907276.0E-5
7.65.503376E-64.6510827E-62.465099E-55.3000542.0E-52.3585684E-51.9933059E-53.993266E-52.00333832.0E-52.8711787E-42.4265797E-42.8264828E-41.16480114.0E-50.0028674720.00242468250.0024845371.02468556.0E-5
7.73.6144982E-62.7028013E-62.2702747E-58.3997112.0E-51.5490614E-51.1583383E-53.158315E-52.72659132.0E-51.8858191E-41.4101857E-41.8101292E-41.28361064.0E-50.00188421960.00141004110.00146995651.04249196.0E-5
7.81.9853494E-61.1776416E-62.1177619E-517.9830762.0E-58.508612E-65.0470258E-62.5046924E-54.962712.0E-51.0358743E-46.1445804E-51.01443344E-41.65094024.0E-50.00103539166.150367E-46.749998E-41.09749526.0E-5
7.91.1818757E-65.613819E-72.056137E-536.626352.0E-55.0651715E-62.4059202E-62.2405871E-59.3128082.0E-56.1666724E-52.9291685E-56.9290516E-52.36553534.0E-56.1649614E-42.9358672E-43.535691E-41.20430896.0E-5
8.06.962958E-72.931694E-72.0293164E-569.2199252.0E-52.9841215E-61.2564395E-62.1256414E-516.9179762.0E-53.6331072E-51.5297044E-55.5296434E-53.6148444.0E-53.6325134E-41.5355437E-42.1354515E-41.3906816.0E-5
8.11.5033264E-77.010328E-81.0070103E-5143.646651.0E-56.442826E-73.0044262E-71.03004395E-534.2842181.0E-57.844113E-63.6578829E-61.36578465E-53.73381191.0E-57.843835E-53.6592897E-54.6592533E-51.2732671.0E-5

Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.967457E-54.3301596E-57.3300296E-51.69278513.0E-51.7002279E-41.8556572E-42.1556015E-41.16163783.0E-50.0020680620.0022570370.00228696921.01326183.0E-50.020489220.0223535970.0224024781.00218685.0E-5
6.12.5044013E-52.7153867E-53.7153593E-51.36826171.0E-51.0732707E-41.163687E-41.2636754E-41.08592381.0E-50.00130592380.00141590020.0014258861.00705271.0E-50.012982760.0140722330.0141018111.00210193.0E-5
6.22.5044013E-52.7153867E-53.7153593E-51.36826171.0E-51.0732707E-41.163687E-41.2636754E-41.08592381.0E-50.00130592380.00141590020.0014258861.00705271.0E-50.012982760.0140722330.0141018111.00210193.0E-5
6.31.6624012E-51.794246E-52.7942282E-51.55732721.0E-57.124382E-57.6894044E-58.689328E-51.13003911.0E-58.670483E-49.357915E-49.457822E-41.01067611.0E-50.0086367320.009319450.0093491711.00318913.0E-5
6.41.6624012E-51.794246E-52.7942282E-51.55732721.0E-57.124382E-57.6894044E-58.689328E-51.13003911.0E-58.670483E-49.357915E-49.457822E-41.01067611.0E-50.0086367320.009319450.0093491711.00318913.0E-5
6.51.3394842E-51.4432495E-52.4432351E-51.69287091.0E-55.7405203E-56.1852115E-57.185149E-51.16166591.0E-56.986842E-47.527949E-47.6278736E-41.01327381.0E-50.0069649160.0075030450.00753281961.00396843.0E-5
6.61.1137514E-51.1987564E-52.1987444E-51.83418791.0E-54.7731326E-55.1374285E-56.137377E-51.19463991.0E-55.809739E-46.2530645E-46.3530024E-41.01598221.0E-50.0057945740.00623589430.0062657071.00478093.0E-5
6.77.0200663E-67.544627E-61.7544551E-52.32543661.0E-53.008565E-53.2333723E-54.2333402E-51.30926471.0E-53.6623122E-43.9359357E-44.0358963E-41.0253971.0E-50.00365628260.00392912840.00395901041.00760533.0E-5
6.85.940172E-66.382625E-61.638256E-52.56674361.0E-52.545763E-52.7353828E-53.7353555E-51.36556961.0E-53.0990256E-43.3298324E-43.429799E-41.03002151.0E-50.00309470740.00332497250.00335487261.00899273.0E-5
6.94.129831E-64.4353824E-61.4435338E-53.2545871.0E-51.7699154E-51.9008648E-52.9008457E-51.52606631.0E-52.154659E-42.314065E-42.4140418E-41.0432041.0E-50.0021525710.00231173420.00233168781.00863152.0E-5
7.02.6512955E-62.844891E-62.844891E-61.00.01.1362646E-51.2192336E-51.2192336E-51.00.01.3833142E-41.4843201E-41.4843201E-41.00.00.00138245350.00148337150.00148337151.00.0
7.11.2992575E-61.3946227E-61.3946227E-61.00.05.568235E-65.976942E-65.976942E-61.00.06.779115E-57.2767056E-57.2767056E-51.00.06.7770475E-47.27454E-47.27454E-41.00.0
7.24.968191E-75.3416227E-75.3416227E-71.00.02.1292228E-62.2892657E-62.2892657E-61.00.02.592298E-52.787158E-52.787158E-51.00.02.5919956E-42.7869327E-42.7869327E-41.00.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.624579E-56.6244706E-51.82765233.0E-51.336322E-41.5533082E-41.9532461E-41.25747494.0E-50.00162575780.00188970070.0019296251.02112734.0E-50.0161391530.018755270.0188043321.00261595.0E-5
6.13.1182444E-53.624579E-56.6244706E-51.82765233.0E-51.336322E-41.5533082E-41.9532461E-41.25747494.0E-50.00162575780.00188970070.0019296251.02112734.0E-50.0161391530.018755270.0188043321.00261595.0E-5
6.23.1182444E-53.624579E-56.6244706E-51.82765233.0E-51.336322E-41.5533082E-41.9532461E-41.25747494.0E-50.00162575780.00188970070.0019296251.02112734.0E-50.0161391530.018755270.0188043321.00261595.0E-5
6.32.106934E-52.3967817E-54.396734E-51.83443222.0E-59.0294045E-51.02715356E-41.227133E-41.19469292.0E-50.00109877550.00124987340.00126984841.01598172.0E-50.0109335850.0124317180.012451471.00158882.0E-5
6.42.106934E-52.3967817E-54.396734E-51.83443222.0E-59.0294045E-51.02715356E-41.227133E-41.19469292.0E-50.00109877550.00124987340.00126984841.01598172.0E-50.0109335850.0124317180.012451471.00158882.0E-5
6.51.9389783E-52.1989868E-54.1989428E-51.90948982.0E-58.309642E-59.423905E-51.1423716E-41.21220622.0E-50.00101122940.00114678450.00116676151.017422.0E-50.0100664010.0114115720.0114313431.00173262.0E-5
6.61.9370193E-52.1969789E-54.196935E-51.9103212.0E-58.301247E-59.4152994E-51.1415111E-41.21240022.0E-50.00101020820.0011457380.0011657151.0174362.0E-50.0100562810.0114012130.0114209851.00173432.0E-5
6.71.6723505E-51.888589E-52.8885703E-51.52948581.0E-57.16702E-58.0937134E-59.093632E-51.12354271.0E-58.722353E-49.849838E-49.949739E-41.01014241.0E-50.0086881970.0098082120.0098181131.00100961.0E-5
6.81.426937E-51.6068885E-52.6068725E-51.62231081.0E-56.115301E-56.8864916E-57.886423E-51.14520181.0E-57.4428355E-48.3812245E-48.48114E-41.01192141.0E-50.0074179570.0083511090.0083610251.00118741.0E-5
6.91.2469891E-51.4018397E-52.4018258E-51.71333831.0E-55.3441294E-56.007753E-57.007693E-51.16644161.0E-56.504535E-47.312107E-47.412034E-41.01366591.0E-50.0064855290.00728928340.0072992111.00136181.0E-5
7.08.7746275E-69.833397E-69.833397E-61.00.03.7605005E-54.2142492E-54.2142492E-51.00.04.5774475E-45.129714E-45.129714E-41.00.00.004568030.0051186130.0051186131.00.0
7.16.1067153E-66.8425893E-66.8425893E-61.00.02.6171374E-52.9325085E-52.9325085E-51.00.03.1858988E-43.5698005E-43.5698005E-41.00.00.00318133530.00356462230.00356462231.00.0
7.22.939283E-63.287528E-63.287528E-61.00.01.2596866E-51.408934E-51.408934E-51.00.01.5335606E-41.7152597E-41.7152597E-41.00.00.00153250270.00171410940.00171410941.00.0
7.37.2387763E-78.036491E-78.036491E-71.00.03.102329E-63.4442082E-63.4442082E-61.00.03.77702E-54.1932894E-54.1932894E-51.00.03.7763783E-44.192952E-44.192952E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.198916E-83.198916E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.370964E-71.370964E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6691473E-61.6691473E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6691356E-51.6691356E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.971009E-46.971009E-41.00.00.00133063760.00298428440.00299425451.00334081.0E-50.0160806050.035856460.0358757451.00053782.0E-50.14965490.294246850.294268041.0000723.0E-5
6.13.1064058E-46.971009E-46.971009E-41.00.00.00133063760.00298428440.00299425451.00334081.0E-50.0160806050.035856460.0358757451.00053782.0E-50.14965490.294246850.294268041.0000723.0E-5
6.23.1064058E-46.971009E-46.971009E-41.00.00.00133063760.00298428440.00299425451.00334081.0E-50.0160806050.035856460.0358757451.00053782.0E-50.14965490.294246850.294268041.0000723.0E-5
6.33.1064058E-46.971009E-46.971009E-41.00.00.00133063760.00298428440.00299425451.00334081.0E-50.0160806050.035856460.0358757451.00053782.0E-50.14965490.294246850.294268041.0000723.0E-5
6.41.9872203E-44.5303095E-44.5303095E-41.00.08.5138786E-40.00194014520.00195012571.00514421.0E-50.0103164780.0233718290.0233913621.00083582.0E-50.0985048560.204973560.204997421.00011633.0E-5
6.51.291105E-43.074921E-43.074921E-41.00.05.5321335E-40.00131716060.00132714751.00758211.0E-50.0067145920.0159194360.0159391161.00123632.0E-50.0651529650.146226120.146251741.00017513.0E-5
6.61.291105E-43.074921E-43.074921E-41.00.05.5321335E-40.00131716060.00132714751.00758211.0E-50.0067145920.0159194360.0159391161.00123632.0E-50.0651529650.146226120.146251741.00017513.0E-5
6.71.08001186E-42.6294537E-42.6294537E-41.00.04.6278012E-40.00112642270.00113641131.00886761.0E-50.00561980160.0136283220.0136480491.00144762.0E-50.0547979060.127413440.127439621.00020543.0E-5
6.81.0624356E-42.5805458E-42.5805458E-41.00.04.5525006E-40.001105480.0011154691.00903581.0E-50.00552859250.0133764960.0133962291.00147522.0E-50.0539305660.125357720.125383961.00020933.0E-5
6.91.0393785E-42.516686E-42.516686E-41.00.04.4537184E-40.00107813440.00108812371.00926531.0E-50.00540892870.0130475920.013067331.00151292.0E-50.052791560.122649920.122676241.00021463.0E-5
7.01.0155622E-42.452616E-42.452616E-41.00.04.3516833E-40.00105069810.00106068761.00950751.0E-50.0052853110.0127174970.01273724251.00155262.0E-50.051613610.119900660.119927061.00022023.0E-5
7.19.885595E-52.3802932E-42.3802932E-41.00.04.2359953E-40.00101972720.0010297171.00979651.0E-50.00514513530.0123447550.0123645081.00160012.0E-50.050276290.116764560.116791061.0002273.0E-5
7.29.6411415E-52.315516E-42.315516E-41.00.04.1312634E-49.91987E-40.0010019771.01007081.0E-50.0050182190.01201078950.0120305491.00164522.0E-50.0490640070.113936960.1139635441.00023333.0E-5
7.39.1180635E-52.1321744E-42.1321744E-41.00.03.907156E-49.134691E-49.2346E-41.01093731.0E-50.0047465910.0110649220.0110847021.00178752.0E-50.0464647860.1059758740.106002691.00025313.0E-5
7.48.887388E-52.0544657E-42.0544657E-41.00.03.8083247E-48.8018825E-48.901795E-41.01135121.0E-50.00462678170.0106637670.0106835541.00185552.0E-50.0453162860.1025445460.102571471.00026253.0E-5
7.58.6750515E-51.9852356E-41.9852356E-41.00.03.7173493E-48.505379E-48.605294E-41.01174721.0E-50.0045164840.01030624750.0103260411.00192062.0E-50.044257870.099440320.099467341.00027173.0E-5
7.68.453092E-51.9213812E-41.9213812E-41.00.03.6222505E-48.231893E-48.33181E-41.01213791.0E-50.00440117530.0099763760.0099961761.00198472.0E-50.043150240.096516850.096543951.00028093.0E-5
7.78.259102E-51.8713283E-41.8713283E-41.00.03.539135E-48.017514E-48.117434E-41.01246271.0E-50.0043003860.0097177290.0097375341.00203812.0E-50.0421811340.094188240.0942154151.00028853.0E-5
7.87.444844E-51.687246E-41.687246E-41.00.03.1902574E-47.229051E-47.3289784E-41.0138231.0E-50.00387722230.0087659190.0087857441.00226152.0E-50.038102690.085374390.085401831.00032143.0E-5
7.95.2586525E-51.107955E-41.107955E-41.00.02.2535135E-44.747515E-44.8474674E-41.02105371.0E-50.00274020060.00576479640.00577473871.00172471.0E-50.0270665740.057183570.057202431.00032972.0E-5
8.03.379877E-56.040831E-56.040831E-51.00.01.4484383E-42.5886708E-42.6886447E-41.03861991.0E-50.00176204710.0031471540.00315712281.00316751.0E-50.0174814090.0319124270.031931791.00060672.0E-5
8.11.8668277E-52.2314034E-52.2314034E-51.00.08.000444E-59.562807E-51.05627114E-41.10456181.0E-59.736188E-40.00116365080.00117363911.00858371.0E-50.0096936420.012354240.0123739921.00159882.0E-5
8.28.541571E-66.629518E-66.629518E-61.00.03.660622E-52.841191E-53.8411625E-51.3519551.0E-54.455896E-43.4586023E-43.5585676E-41.02890341.0E-50.00444697170.00387148190.00389140431.0051462.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0396248E-54.503784E-55.5037388E-51.22202551.0E-51.7311527E-41.9300623E-42.030043E-41.05180181.0E-50.0021056410.00234753030.0023575071.00424981.0E-50.0208580080.0232492690.0232785721.00126043.0E-5
6.14.0396248E-54.503784E-55.5037388E-51.22202551.0E-51.7311527E-41.9300623E-42.030043E-41.05180181.0E-50.0021056410.00234753030.0023575071.00424981.0E-50.0208580080.0232492690.0232785721.00126043.0E-5
6.22.2295266E-52.4487388E-53.4487144E-51.40836351.0E-59.554764E-51.049419E-41.14940856E-41.09528081.0E-50.00116267170.00127694990.0012869371.00782121.0E-50.0115660740.0126993860.0127191321.00155482.0E-5
6.31.572643E-51.715205E-52.7151878E-51.58301071.0E-56.7397246E-57.350677E-58.3506035E-51.13603191.0E-58.202525E-48.9458807E-49.045791E-41.01116841.0E-50.0081723150.0089109840.0089308061.00222442.0E-5
6.41.5714395E-51.7139871E-52.71397E-51.58342491.0E-56.734567E-57.345458E-58.345385E-51.13612851.0E-58.1962504E-48.939532E-49.039443E-41.01117621.0E-50.0081660860.0089046860.00892450851.0022262.0E-5
6.51.2733495E-51.38442965E-52.3844157E-51.72230911.0E-55.457098E-55.9331385E-56.9330796E-51.16853491.0E-56.641992E-47.221269E-47.321197E-41.01383791.0E-50.00662217430.0071985030.0072183591.00275842.0E-5
6.61.0983784E-51.192245E-52.1922331E-51.83874381.0E-54.7072506E-55.109524E-56.109473E-51.19570291.0E-55.7295704E-46.2191236E-46.3190615E-41.01606941.0E-50.00571482070.00620227260.00622214841.00320462.0E-5
6.79.104806E-69.868525E-61.9868427E-52.01331261.0E-53.902001E-54.2293013E-55.229259E-51.23643571.0E-54.7496508E-45.147997E-45.2479457E-41.0194151.0E-50.0047395120.00513647170.0051563691.00387372.0E-5
6.86.2162403E-66.723144E-61.6723077E-52.48738931.0E-52.6640759E-52.8813169E-53.881288E-51.34705351.0E-53.2430296E-43.507461E-43.607426E-41.02850071.0E-50.0032383010.00350214980.003522081.00569082.0E-5
6.94.1792696E-64.5156526E-61.4515607E-53.21450921.0E-51.7911032E-51.9352663E-52.9352468E-51.51671481.0E-52.1804498E-42.3559475E-42.4559238E-41.04243581.0E-50.00217831160.00235360420.0023735571.00847762.0E-5
7.02.7478413E-62.970396E-61.2970367E-54.36654471.0E-51.177641E-51.2730214E-52.2730086E-51.78552281.0E-51.4336836E-41.5498057E-41.6497904E-41.06451421.0E-50.0014327590.00154884820.00155883271.00644641.0E-5
7.18.128648E-78.745587E-78.745587E-71.00.03.4837017E-63.7481068E-63.7481068E-61.00.04.2413245E-54.563285E-54.563285E-51.00.04.2405148E-44.56294E-44.56294E-41.00.0
7.24.8641045E-84.932046E-84.932046E-81.00.02.084616E-72.1137338E-72.1137338E-71.00.02.538017E-62.573468E-62.573468E-61.00.02.537988E-52.5734393E-52.5734393E-51.00.0
7.35.3911844E-95.463443E-95.463443E-91.00.02.3105075E-82.3414756E-82.3414756E-81.00.02.8130427E-72.8507463E-72.8507463E-71.00.02.8130391E-62.850744E-62.850744E-61.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7309593E-43.4598575E-43.5598228E-41.02889291.0E-57.4162876E-40.00148196320.00150193361.01347572.0E-50.0089920080.0178959390.0179155821.00109762.0E-50.0863674360.162081840.162106981.00015513.0E-5
6.11.7309593E-43.4598575E-43.5598228E-41.02889291.0E-57.4162876E-40.00148196320.00150193361.01347572.0E-50.0089920080.0178959390.0179155821.00109762.0E-50.0863674360.162081840.162106981.00015513.0E-5
6.21.7309593E-43.4598575E-43.5598228E-41.02889291.0E-57.4162876E-40.00148196320.00150193361.01347572.0E-50.0089920080.0178959390.0179155821.00109762.0E-50.0863674360.162081840.162106981.00015513.0E-5
6.31.7308246E-43.4598575E-43.5598228E-41.02889291.0E-57.41571E-40.00148196320.00150193361.01347572.0E-50.0089913110.0178959390.0179155821.00109762.0E-50.086361010.162081840.162106981.00015513.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2727898E-43.372757E-41.0305451.0E-56.998449E-40.0014018790.0014218511.01424662.0E-50.0084873720.0169363490.0169560091.00116092.0E-50.0817044150.154174940.154200321.00016463.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.139218E-43.2391868E-41.03184511.0E-56.684125E-40.00134469390.0013646671.01485322.0E-50.0081075980.0162506740.0162703491.00121072.0E-50.0781810360.148400680.148426221.00017213.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8393025E-42.9392738E-41.03520991.0E-56.018354E-40.00121628330.0012262711.00821171.0E-50.00730275550.0147092280.0147190811.00066981.0E-50.070673840.135458340.135466981.00006381.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3603553E-42.4603316E-41.04235651.0E-54.914658E-40.00101119370.00102118371.00987941.0E-50.00596719240.0122428670.0122527441.00080681.0E-50.0580948220.114201540.11421041.00007761.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.9149952E-42.014976E-41.05220951.0E-54.0225635E-48.204578E-48.304496E-41.01217831.0E-50.00488647870.0099440640.0099539641.00099561.0E-50.0478041730.0939022450.0939113051.00009641.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0957446E-41.19573364E-41.09125211.0E-52.3791482E-44.6952095E-44.7951625E-41.02128831.0E-50.00289276540.00570155630.0057114991.00174391.0E-50.0285539810.0552997850.0553092321.00017081.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.4262945E-59.4262105E-51.11866621.0E-51.8282588E-43.6107734E-43.7107372E-41.02768491.0E-50.00222363280.004387330.00439728561.00226931.0E-50.0220151380.0429147150.0429242851.0002231.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.467065E-57.467E-51.15461971.0E-51.4167312E-42.771306E-42.8712783E-41.0360741.0E-50.00172350560.00336886450.00337883091.00295841.0E-50.0171019980.033238790.0332484581.00029091.0E-5
7.22.9856887E-55.859033E-56.858974E-51.17066661.0E-51.2795182E-42.5107735E-42.6107483E-41.03981841.0E-50.00155670010.00305259930.00306256881.00326591.0E-50.0154584030.0302066040.03021631.0003211.0E-5
7.32.4559737E-54.7321046E-54.7321046E-51.00.01.0525176E-42.027888E-42.027888E-41.00.00.00128068690.00246617170.00246617171.00.00.0127333130.024500280.024500281.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.6163736E-53.6163736E-51.00.08.143559E-51.549783E-41.549783E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00188523820.00188523821.00.00.0098661940.0188014080.0188014081.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.4170711E-52.4170711E-51.00.05.4784563E-51.0358469E-41.0358469E-41.00.06.667979E-40.00126042010.00126042011.00.00.0066480070.0126216320.0126216321.00.0
7.64.8149627E-69.244292E-69.244292E-61.00.02.063539E-53.9617804E-53.9617804E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.822413E-44.822413E-41.00.00.00250923140.00485527660.00485527661.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.3006918E-61.3006918E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.5743817E-65.5743817E-61.00.03.174402E-56.7865985E-56.7865985E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.9843914E-46.9843914E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-71.0641218E-61.0641218E-61.00.01.9518332E-64.560514E-64.560514E-61.00.02.376331E-55.5522843E-55.5522843E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.7272456E-45.7272456E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-78.054676E-78.054676E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.4519994E-63.4519994E-61.00.01.7227521E-54.2027285E-54.2027285E-51.00.01.7226185E-44.3124746E-44.3124746E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.9762E-75.9762E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.561226E-62.561226E-61.00.01.2246436E-53.1182484E-53.1182484E-51.00.01.2245761E-43.177149E-43.177149E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.8471285E-72.8471285E-71.00.05.092405E-71.2201973E-61.2201973E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.4855803E-51.4855803E-51.00.06.199812E-51.5093607E-41.5093607E-41.00.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.0370086E-51.7196289E-41.9195945E-41.11628412.0E-53.8724288E-47.3677587E-47.6675374E-41.04068793.0E-50.0047044940.0089334490.0089631811.00332823.0E-50.046061380.08539270.085429281.00042844.0E-5
6.19.0370086E-51.7196289E-41.9195945E-41.11628412.0E-53.8724288E-47.3677587E-47.6675374E-41.04068793.0E-50.0047044940.0089334490.0089631811.00332823.0E-50.046061380.08539270.085429281.00042844.0E-5
6.29.006742E-51.7156811E-41.9156469E-41.11655182.0E-53.859461E-47.350849E-47.6506287E-41.04078163.0E-50.00468877420.0089130490.0089427821.00333583.0E-50.04591070.0852061660.085242761.00042944.0E-5
6.38.8336754E-51.6834172E-41.8833835E-41.1187862.0E-53.7853114E-47.212655E-47.412511E-41.0277092.0E-50.0045988820.0087462150.008766041.00226662.0E-50.045048660.083692860.083720351.00032843.0E-5
6.48.526157E-51.6257039E-41.8256714E-41.12300362.0E-53.6535555E-46.965447E-47.165308E-41.02869322.0E-50.00443913460.0084476220.0084674531.00234762.0E-50.0435149930.080972930.081000511.00034053.0E-5
6.58.152396E-51.5584781E-41.758447E-41.12831032.0E-53.493416E-46.6774874E-46.877354E-41.02993142.0E-50.00424494180.0080996920.008119531.00244932.0E-50.041647650.077785550.0778132161.00035573.0E-5
6.67.987405E-51.5287052E-41.7286745E-41.13080972.0E-53.4227243E-46.549955E-46.749824E-41.03051462.0E-50.00415920650.0079455750.0079654171.00249712.0E-50.040822180.076371080.076398791.00036293.0E-5
6.77.777665E-51.4922307E-41.6922009E-41.13400762.0E-53.332859E-46.393714E-46.5935863E-41.03126072.0E-50.0040502080.00775672360.00777656861.00255842.0E-50.0397718060.07463170.074659461.00037193.0E-5
6.87.3284005E-51.4059724E-41.6059443E-41.14223032.0E-53.140365E-46.0242106E-46.2240905E-41.03317942.0E-50.00381669290.00730995370.0073298071.0027162.0E-50.0375180360.07049070.070518591.00039553.0E-5
6.96.458263E-51.2370093E-41.4369846E-41.16166032.0E-52.7675333E-45.300396E-45.5002904E-41.0377132.0E-50.00336426640.0064342430.00645411431.00308842.0E-50.0331378840.062337780.062365911.00045123.0E-5
7.05.3853604E-51.02389255E-41.12388225E-41.09765651.0E-52.3078074E-44.387376E-44.4873322E-41.02278271.0E-50.00280613520.00532861470.00533856131.00186671.0E-50.0277096420.051966720.05197621.00018241.0E-5
7.14.4308683E-58.360296E-59.3602124E-51.1196031.0E-51.8988053E-43.582494E-43.6824582E-41.02790361.0E-50.00230934420.0043530070.0043629631.00228731.0E-50.0228549260.0427289230.0427384971.0002241.0E-5
7.23.295973E-56.240107E-57.240045E-51.16024361.0E-51.4124835E-42.674059E-42.7740322E-41.03738631.0E-50.00171834210.00325083060.0032607981.00306621.0E-50.0170511570.0321552340.0321649131.0003011.0E-5
7.32.452256E-54.646168E-54.646168E-51.00.01.05092455E-41.9910636E-41.9910636E-41.00.00.00127874960.00242143940.00242143941.00.00.01271416250.0240629040.0240629041.00.0
7.41.8829967E-53.5673096E-53.5673096E-51.00.08.069736E-51.528758E-41.528758E-41.00.09.820475E-40.00185968420.00185968421.00.00.0097771890.018542260.018542261.00.0
7.51.26374125E-52.3717936E-52.3717936E-51.00.05.4159216E-51.0164437E-41.0164437E-41.00.06.5918895E-40.00123682390.00123682391.00.00.006572370.0123803890.0123803891.00.0
7.64.666429E-68.792191E-68.792191E-61.00.01.9998828E-53.768028E-53.768028E-51.00.02.4345852E-44.5866214E-44.5866214E-41.00.00.00243191980.0046124650.0046124651.00.0
7.73.8399318E-77.649032E-77.649032E-71.00.01.6456839E-63.2781522E-63.2781522E-61.00.02.003602E-53.9910774E-53.9910774E-51.00.02.0034213E-44.109551E-44.109551E-41.00.0
7.82.5637698E-75.8188095E-75.8188095E-71.00.01.098758E-62.493773E-62.493773E-61.00.01.3377297E-53.0361265E-53.0361265E-51.00.01.3376492E-43.1413228E-43.1413228E-41.00.0
7.91.7141245E-74.0601816E-74.0601816E-71.00.07.3462456E-71.7400765E-61.7400765E-61.00.08.944017E-62.1185228E-52.1185228E-51.00.08.943657E-52.18303E-42.18303E-41.00.0
8.01.1808895E-72.9997298E-72.9997298E-71.00.05.060954E-71.2855978E-61.2855978E-61.00.06.161694E-61.5652042E-51.5652042E-51.00.06.161523E-51.6001606E-41.6001606E-41.00.0
8.15.138535E-81.2263925E-71.2263925E-71.00.02.2022292E-75.2559665E-75.2559665E-71.00.02.6812106E-66.399121E-66.399121E-61.00.02.6811784E-56.518551E-56.518551E-51.00.0

Point Reyes 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8644965E-68.974397E-62.8974218E-53.22854192.0E-53.7990147E-53.846117E-55.8460402E-51.5199852.0E-54.624319E-44.6817042E-44.981564E-41.06404923.0E-50.00461470750.00467246860.00471228171.00852084.0E-5
6.14.526405E-64.543008E-61.4542962E-53.20117471.0E-51.9398734E-51.9469895E-52.94697E-51.51360341.0E-52.36154E-42.3702123E-42.4701885E-41.04218031.0E-50.0023590320.00236778820.00237776461.00421331.0E-5
6.24.526405E-64.543008E-61.4542962E-53.20117471.0E-51.9398734E-51.9469895E-52.94697E-51.51360341.0E-52.36154E-42.3702123E-42.4701885E-41.04218031.0E-50.0023590320.00236778820.00237776461.00421331.0E-5
6.32.6842322E-62.663073E-61.2663047E-54.755051.0E-51.1503801E-51.1413121E-52.1413007E-51.87617461.0E-51.4004979E-41.3894608E-41.489447E-41.07196031.0E-50.00139961550.00138861160.00139859771.00719141.0E-5
6.42.6842322E-62.663073E-61.2663047E-54.755051.0E-51.1503801E-51.1413121E-52.1413007E-51.87617461.0E-51.4004979E-41.3894608E-41.489447E-41.07196031.0E-50.00139961550.00138861160.00139859771.00719141.0E-5
6.51.9281833E-61.8930334E-61.8930334E-61.00.08.263617E-68.112976E-68.112976E-61.00.01.0060489E-49.877109E-59.877109E-51.00.00.00100559369.872804E-49.872804E-41.00.0
6.61.4726726E-61.4293959E-61.4293959E-61.00.06.3114385E-66.125968E-66.125968E-61.00.07.683905E-57.4581156E-57.4581156E-51.00.07.6812494E-47.4556615E-47.4556615E-41.00.0
6.78.572307E-78.031601E-78.031601E-71.00.03.6738406E-63.4421103E-63.4421103E-61.00.04.472809E-54.19069E-54.19069E-51.00.04.471909E-44.1899164E-44.1899164E-41.00.0
6.86.6745434E-76.102226E-76.102226E-71.00.02.8605155E-62.6152372E-62.6152372E-61.00.03.482622E-53.1840056E-53.1840056E-51.00.03.4820763E-43.1835597E-43.1835597E-41.00.0
6.94.291521E-73.679059E-73.679059E-71.00.01.839222E-61.5767386E-61.5767386E-61.00.02.2392298E-51.9196626E-51.9196626E-51.00.02.2390042E-41.9195006E-41.9195006E-41.00.0
7.02.6812808E-72.0455889E-72.0455889E-71.00.01.1491198E-68.7668064E-78.7668064E-71.00.01.3990444E-51.0673535E-51.0673535E-51.00.01.3989564E-41.067303E-41.067303E-41.00.0
7.11.9451231E-71.3005237E-71.3005237E-71.00.08.336239E-75.573672E-75.573672E-71.00.01.0149324E-56.7859237E-66.7859237E-61.00.01.014886E-46.7857174E-56.7857174E-51.00.0
7.21.6715143E-71.03244574E-71.03244574E-71.00.07.1636305E-74.4247665E-74.4247665E-71.00.08.721685E-65.38714E-65.38714E-61.00.08.721343E-55.387009E-55.387009E-51.00.0
7.31.5503173E-79.29036E-89.29036E-81.00.06.644215E-73.9815822E-73.9815822E-71.00.08.089301E-64.847565E-64.847565E-61.00.08.089007E-54.8474594E-54.8474594E-51.00.0
7.41.4251614E-78.3675246E-88.3675246E-81.00.06.1078333E-73.5860813E-73.5860813E-71.00.07.4362615E-64.3660452E-64.3660452E-61.00.07.436013E-54.3659595E-54.3659595E-51.00.0
7.51.2710186E-77.289174E-87.289174E-81.00.05.447221E-73.1239313E-73.1239313E-71.00.06.6319717E-63.8033795E-63.8033795E-61.00.06.6317734E-53.8033144E-53.8033144E-51.00.0
7.61.0144708E-75.7277745E-85.7277745E-81.00.04.347731E-72.4547603E-72.4547603E-71.00.05.2933497E-62.9886664E-62.9886664E-61.00.05.293224E-52.9886263E-52.9886263E-51.00.0
7.77.090527E-84.1685382E-84.1685382E-81.00.03.038797E-71.7865162E-71.7865162E-71.00.03.699729E-62.1750811E-62.1750811E-61.00.03.6996673E-52.17506E-52.17506E-51.00.0
7.83.8712045E-82.9075348E-82.9075348E-81.00.01.6590876E-71.2460863E-71.2460863E-71.00.02.0199373E-61.5171089E-61.5171089E-61.00.02.0199188E-51.5170986E-51.5170986E-51.00.0
7.91.7068782E-81.3308413E-81.3308413E-81.00.07.315192E-85.703605E-85.703605E-81.00.08.906242E-76.9441376E-76.9441376E-71.00.08.906207E-66.9441157E-66.9441157E-61.00.0
8.01.0172592E-88.302194E-98.302194E-91.00.04.359682E-83.558082E-83.558082E-81.00.05.3079117E-74.331964E-74.331964E-71.00.05.307899E-64.3319556E-64.3319556E-61.00.0
8.13.7861243E-94.1859622E-94.1859622E-91.00.01.6226247E-81.7939833E-81.7939833E-81.00.01.9755454E-72.1841745E-72.1841745E-71.00.01.9755437E-62.1841724E-62.1841724E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.151163E-40.00104957030.00105955981.00951771.0E-50.0022057740.0044868530.0045067631.00443742.0E-50.0265267770.0526654870.0526939071.00053973.0E-50.235741810.38387120.383895841.00006434.0E-5
6.14.7540772E-49.724159E-49.824062E-41.01027371.0E-50.0020358710.0041576740.0041775911.00479042.0E-50.0245067070.0489143170.048942851.00058333.0E-50.219733660.363093640.363119131.00007024.0E-5
6.23.9647578E-47.964961E-48.064881E-41.0125451.0E-50.00169807540.00340670440.0034266361.00585082.0E-50.0204790380.040285230.040314021.00071473.0E-50.186912390.311755930.311783461.00008834.0E-5
6.33.4640636E-46.8545213E-46.954453E-41.01457891.0E-50.0014837540.002932490.00295243131.00680022.0E-50.0179156920.0348050450.0348243451.00055472.0E-50.165382060.277636260.277657931.00007813.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.6584354E-45.758379E-41.01766281.0E-50.00125727510.00242151060.00244146211.00823932.0E-50.0152002480.028865970.0288853921.00067282.0E-50.142015770.238839330.238862171.00009563.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.3230137E-44.4229705E-41.0231221.0E-50.00100288750.00185070360.00187066651.01078672.0E-50.0121419650.022181030.0222005861.00088172.0E-50.114995730.19236990.192394121.0001263.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.6210307E-42.7210044E-41.03814291.0E-56.7877385E-40.00112280740.0011427851.01779252.0E-50.00823280.0135834990.0136032271.00145232.0E-50.079343960.128190890.128217061.0002043.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.5748406E-42.674815E-41.03882731.0E-56.691031E-40.00110303180.00112300971.01811182.0E-50.00811594350.0133461750.01336590851.00147862.0E-50.07825860.126222970.126249181.00020773.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.55737E-42.6573442E-41.03909271.0E-56.6576427E-40.0010955520.001115531.01823572.0E-50.0080755960.0132563390.0132760741.00148872.0E-50.077883580.125461830.125488061.00020913.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.4694356E-42.569411E-41.0404851.0E-56.49277E-40.00105790250.00107788131.01888542.0E-50.0078763330.0128044690.0128242131.0015422.0E-50.076029520.1215911060.121617461.00021673.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.3552067E-42.455183E-41.04244911.0E-56.250901E-40.00100898590.00102896571.01980192.0E-50.00758394740.0122157530.0122355081.00161722.0E-50.0733028950.116458720.116485231.00022763.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.7352395E-41.835222E-41.0576191.0E-54.955521E-47.43463E-47.6344813E-41.02688112.0E-50.0060166690.00901432150.0090341421.00219872.0E-50.0585635380.0885354350.088562781.00030893.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.5637188E-41.6637032E-41.06394021.0E-54.4537216E-46.6999387E-46.8998046E-41.0298312.0E-50.0054089330.0081268560.0081466941.00244092.0E-50.0527915950.080283250.080310841.00034373.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.374839E-41.4748253E-41.07272581.0E-53.999194E-45.8908435E-46.0907257E-41.0339312.0E-50.00485815340.0071486670.0071685241.00277772.0E-50.0475331020.0709480640.070975941.00039283.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.2641517E-41.364139E-41.07909441.0E-53.715293E-45.4166745E-45.616566E-41.0369032.0E-50.0045139910.00657499440.0065948631.00302182.0E-50.0442339370.0655098860.065537921.0004283.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.843765E-51.0843667E-41.10157721.0E-53.129756E-44.2180755E-44.417991E-41.0473952.0E-50.00380382170.00512343920.0051433371.00388362.0E-50.037393670.0518609320.0518893751.00054853.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-59.075313E-59.075313E-51.00.02.7398168E-43.888841E-43.9888022E-41.02570461.0E-50.00333062540.00472440760.004734361.00210671.0E-50.0328114740.0477794740.0477985181.00039862.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-57.397187E-57.397187E-51.00.02.3590765E-43.169838E-43.2698063E-41.03153731.0E-50.00286839270.0038524540.00386241541.00258581.0E-50.02831650.039343610.0393628251.00048842.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.857324E-56.857324E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.938522E-43.0384926E-41.03402071.0E-50.00261971350.0035717860.00358175021.00278971.0E-50.0258904530.036485580.036504851.00052822.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.6112553E-55.6112553E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.4046021E-42.5045782E-41.04157691.0E-50.00194293590.00292367530.0029336461.00341031.0E-50.0192603620.029946810.0299662111.00064792.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.557978E-53.557978E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.5247586E-41.6247433E-41.06557421.0E-50.00142401410.00185481390.00186479531.00538131.0E-50.0141492350.0193047560.019324371.0010162.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-52.0177335E-52.0177335E-51.00.07.688579E-58.647143E-59.647057E-51.11563521.0E-59.3568244E-40.00105228190.00106227141.00949311.0E-50.0093175250.0112415560.0112613321.00175922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Fickle Hill (alt1)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.15.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.25.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.35.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.45.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.55.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.65.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.75.491893E-65.839797E-65.839797E-61.00.02.3536471E-52.5027473E-53.5027224E-51.39955091.0E-52.8651886E-43.0466914E-43.2466307E-41.0656252.0E-50.00286149720.00304273960.0030826181.0131064.0E-5
6.85.2207747E-65.5581295E-65.5581295E-61.00.02.2374557E-52.382035E-53.3820113E-51.41979911.0E-52.7237617E-42.899764E-43.0997058E-41.06895112.0E-50.00272042560.0028961990.00293608311.01377124.0E-5
6.95.2186956E-65.5559462E-65.5559462E-61.00.02.2365646E-52.3810993E-53.3810753E-51.41996411.0E-52.722677E-42.8986248E-43.0985667E-41.06897822.0E-50.00271934360.00289506280.00293494711.01377674.0E-5
7.04.403045E-64.709735E-64.709735E-61.00.01.8870056E-52.018443E-53.0184228E-51.49542141.0E-52.297187E-42.4571904E-42.6571413E-41.08137382.0E-50.00229481370.00245460430.0024945061.01625594.0E-5
7.13.5911396E-63.8576886E-63.8576886E-61.00.01.5390508E-51.6532851E-52.6532687E-51.60484641.0E-51.8736332E-42.0126962E-42.212656E-41.09934912.0E-50.00187205420.0020109470.00205086661.01985114.0E-5
7.22.888171E-63.122683E-63.122683E-61.00.01.2377816E-51.338286E-52.3382725E-51.74721441.0E-51.5068949E-41.6292438E-41.8292113E-41.12273632.0E-50.00150587350.00162807420.00166800911.02452894.0E-5
7.32.275019E-62.4747176E-62.4747176E-61.00.09.750045E-61.060589E-52.0605783E-51.94286231.0E-51.1870033E-41.291192E-41.3911791E-41.07743781.0E-50.00118636950.00129045580.001310431.01547842.0E-5
7.42.076662E-62.2643483E-62.2643483E-61.00.08.8999495E-69.704315E-61.9704217E-52.03045941.0E-51.08351494E-41.18143755E-41.2814258E-41.08463261.0E-50.00108298680.00118082260.0012007991.01691732.0E-5
7.51.6450799E-61.8009192E-61.8009192E-61.00.07.0503233E-67.718203E-61.7718125E-52.29562851.0E-58.5834305E-59.396514E-51.039642E-41.10641241.0E-58.580116E-49.3926187E-49.4925246E-41.01063671.0E-5
7.61.168891E-61.2870464E-61.2870464E-61.00.05.009523E-65.5159016E-61.5515847E-52.81293031.0E-56.098924E-56.715409E-57.715342E-51.14890121.0E-56.09725E-46.7134365E-46.813369E-41.01488551.0E-5
7.73.9871026E-74.4426582E-74.4426582E-71.00.01.708757E-61.903995E-61.903995E-61.00.02.0803918E-52.31809E-52.31809E-51.00.02.0801972E-42.3178569E-42.3178569E-41.00.0
7.81.14295965E-71.2897272E-71.2897272E-71.00.04.8983975E-75.5274006E-75.5274006E-71.00.05.9637828E-66.7295914E-66.7295914E-61.00.05.9636226E-56.729403E-56.729403E-51.00.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.6893855E-61.0187055E-54.0186747E-53.9448843.0E-54.1525276E-54.3658187E-57.3656876E-51.68712643.0E-55.05453E-45.31429E-45.6141306E-41.05642153.0E-50.00504304840.0053035760.0053433641.00750214.0E-5
6.18.041125E-68.456634E-62.8456465E-53.36498742.0E-53.4461507E-53.6242316E-55.624159E-51.55182112.0E-54.194881E-44.4117979E-44.6117094E-41.0453132.0E-50.0041869710.00440489730.0044248091.00452042.0E-5
6.23.2807004E-63.4489653E-63.4489653E-61.00.01.4060069E-51.4781218E-51.4781218E-51.00.01.7116789E-41.7995032E-41.7995032E-41.00.00.00171036110.00179842460.00179842461.00.0
6.31.9339366E-62.03151E-62.03151E-61.00.08.288273E-68.706456E-68.706456E-61.00.01.00905054E-41.05998595E-41.05998595E-41.00.00.00100859250.00105973970.00105973971.00.0
6.41.3142635E-61.3799986E-61.3799986E-61.00.05.6325457E-65.91428E-65.91428E-61.00.06.857408E-57.2006354E-57.2006354E-51.00.06.8552926E-47.200636E-47.200636E-41.00.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.1235038E-55.779442E-57.7793266E-51.34603422.0E-52.1956026E-42.476706E-42.6766566E-41.08073252.0E-50.00266986920.00301181320.00304172281.00993073.0E-50.0263801960.0297682530.0297973581.00097783.0E-5
6.14.4387216E-55.779442E-57.7793266E-51.34603422.0E-51.9021705E-42.476706E-42.6766566E-41.08073252.0E-50.00231343270.00301181320.00304172281.00993073.0E-50.0228949670.0297682530.0297973581.00097783.0E-5
6.24.4387216E-55.779442E-57.7793266E-51.34603422.0E-51.9021705E-42.476706E-42.6766566E-41.08073252.0E-50.00231343270.00301181320.00304172281.00993073.0E-50.0228949670.0297682530.0297973581.00097783.0E-5
6.32.9523822E-53.8357233E-53.8357233E-51.00.01.2652454E-41.6438033E-41.7437867E-41.06082451.0E-50.00153934760.00199991020.00201987031.00998042.0E-50.0152872810.0198591540.0198787561.0009872.0E-5
6.42.0512744E-52.6595782E-52.6595782E-51.00.08.79088E-51.1397904E-41.1397904E-41.00.00.0010697640.00138717020.00139715631.00719891.0E-50.0106462890.013819120.0138289821.00071361.0E-5
6.51.6750226E-52.1669928E-52.1669928E-51.00.07.178471E-59.2869996E-59.2869996E-51.00.08.7362836E-40.00113045910.00114044791.00883591.0E-50.0087020180.01128076950.0112906561.00087641.0E-5
6.61.4745303E-51.90629E-51.90629E-51.00.06.319262E-58.169774E-58.169774E-51.00.07.690986E-49.945714E-49.945714E-41.00.00.00766442250.0099350620.0099350621.00.0
6.79.951145E-71.1491123E-61.1491123E-61.00.04.26477E-64.9247587E-64.9247587E-61.00.05.1922336E-55.995746E-55.995746E-51.00.05.1910203E-45.994297E-45.994297E-41.00.0
6.85.866312E-76.778665E-76.778665E-71.00.02.5141312E-62.9051396E-62.9051396E-61.00.03.0609117E-53.536963E-53.536963E-51.00.03.06049E-43.5365258E-43.5365258E-41.00.0

Likely 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5315949E-52.7072876E-53.7072605E-51.36936341.0E-51.0849241E-41.1602171E-41.2602055E-41.08618081.0E-50.00132009470.00141169320.0014216791.00707361.0E-50.0131228030.0140318820.0140713211.00281064.0E-5
6.12.5315949E-52.7072876E-53.7072605E-51.36936341.0E-51.0849241E-41.1602171E-41.2602055E-41.08618081.0E-50.00132009470.00141169320.0014216791.00707361.0E-50.0131228030.0140318820.0140713211.00281064.0E-5
6.21.6375941E-51.7460006E-52.7459831E-51.57272741.0E-57.0180715E-57.482652E-58.482577E-51.13363241.0E-58.5411523E-49.1064436E-49.2063524E-41.01097121.0E-50.0085083990.009070410.0091001381.00327743.0E-5
6.31.1945543E-51.2713165E-52.2713039E-51.78657621.0E-55.119418E-55.4483888E-56.448334E-51.18353041.0E-56.2311086E-46.6314475E-46.731381E-41.01506971.0E-50.00621366550.00661221330.00663208121.00300472.0E-5
6.49.192729E-69.7710445E-61.9770947E-52.0234221.0E-53.939681E-54.1875246E-55.1874827E-51.23879461.0E-54.7955062E-45.097146E-45.197095E-41.01960891.0E-50.0047851710.0050857360.00509568541.00195621.0E-5
6.57.67906E-68.155723E-61.815564E-52.22612291.0E-53.2909844E-53.4952638E-54.495229E-51.28609141.0E-54.006037E-44.2546718E-44.3546292E-41.02349351.0E-50.00399882250.0042467190.00425667641.00234471.0E-5
6.66.4884057E-66.8878385E-61.688777E-52.45182421.0E-52.7807157E-52.9518982E-53.9518687E-51.3387551.0E-53.3849955E-43.5933577E-43.6933218E-41.02781921.0E-50.0033798440.00358769230.00359765631.00277731.0E-5
6.74.6060636E-64.8866254E-61.48865765E-53.0463921.0E-51.9740122E-52.0942516E-53.094231E-51.47748761.0E-52.403095E-42.5494612E-42.6494358E-41.0392141.0E-50.0024004980.00254661960.0025565941.00391671.0E-5
6.83.2795615E-63.4792931E-63.4792931E-61.00.01.4055187E-51.4911175E-51.4911175E-51.00.01.7110848E-41.8152899E-41.8152899E-41.00.00.00170976790.00181386240.00181386241.00.0
6.92.3289967E-62.471857E-62.471857E-61.00.09.981376E-61.0593632E-51.0593632E-51.00.01.2151648E-41.2897028E-41.2897028E-41.00.00.00121450050.00128899720.00128899721.00.0
7.01.211292E-61.2869215E-61.2869215E-61.00.05.1912407E-65.515368E-65.515368E-61.00.06.320152E-56.7147834E-56.7147834E-51.00.06.3183554E-46.7130534E-46.7130534E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-52.1222573E-42.1222573E-41.00.04.2326056E-49.0922206E-49.1921294E-41.01098841.0E-50.00514102770.01101375650.0110335361.00179592.0E-50.050237080.106245480.106272291.00025243.0E-5
6.19.877682E-52.1222573E-42.1222573E-41.00.04.2326056E-49.0922206E-49.1921294E-41.01098841.0E-50.00514102770.01101375650.0110335361.00179592.0E-50.050237080.106245480.106272291.00025243.0E-5
6.29.877682E-52.1222573E-42.1222573E-41.00.04.2326056E-49.0922206E-49.1921294E-41.01098841.0E-50.00514102770.01101375650.0110335361.00179592.0E-50.050237080.106245480.106272291.00025243.0E-5
6.39.877682E-52.1222573E-42.1222573E-41.00.04.2326056E-49.0922206E-49.1921294E-41.01098841.0E-50.00514102770.01101375650.0110335361.00179592.0E-50.050237080.106245480.106272291.00025243.0E-5
6.49.877682E-52.1222573E-42.1222573E-41.00.04.2326056E-49.0922206E-49.1921294E-41.01098841.0E-50.00514102770.01101375650.0110335361.00179592.0E-50.050237080.106245480.106272291.00025243.0E-5
6.59.861474E-52.1195605E-42.1195605E-41.00.04.2256617E-49.080671E-49.18058E-41.01100241.0E-50.00513261320.0109998370.0110196161.00179822.0E-50.0501567460.1061213760.106148191.00025273.0E-5
6.69.861474E-52.1195605E-42.1195605E-41.00.04.2256617E-49.080671E-49.18058E-41.01100241.0E-50.00513261320.0109998370.0110196161.00179822.0E-50.0501567460.1061213760.106148191.00025273.0E-5
6.79.8552715E-52.1185279E-42.1185279E-41.00.04.223004E-49.076248E-49.176157E-41.01100781.0E-50.00512939270.0109945060.0110142861.00179912.0E-50.0501259980.1060738340.1061006561.00025283.0E-5
6.89.8464974E-52.117009E-42.117009E-41.00.04.219245E-49.069743E-49.1696525E-41.01101571.0E-50.00512483760.0109866660.0110064471.00180042.0E-50.050082510.1060028750.106029691.0002533.0E-5
6.99.825824E-52.1137476E-42.1137476E-41.00.04.2103877E-49.0557756E-49.155685E-41.01103271.0E-50.00511410460.0109698330.0109896131.00180322.0E-50.0499800220.105850490.105877321.00025343.0E-5
7.09.781462E-52.10679E-42.10679E-41.00.04.1913814E-49.025978E-49.125888E-41.01106921.0E-50.0050910730.0109339190.01095371.00180912.0E-50.049760070.10552540.1055522341.00025433.0E-5
7.19.7121134E-52.0968197E-42.0968197E-41.00.04.1616702E-48.9832774E-49.0831873E-41.01112171.0E-50.0050550680.0108824510.0109022331.00181782.0E-50.049416130.1050592960.105086141.00025563.0E-5
7.29.663819E-52.08981E-42.08981E-41.00.04.1409794E-48.953257E-49.0531673E-41.01115911.0E-50.00502999360.0108462660.0108660491.00182392.0E-50.0491765370.104731460.104758321.00025643.0E-5
7.39.6277574E-52.084884E-42.084884E-41.00.04.125529E-48.9321594E-49.03207E-41.01118551.0E-50.00501126940.0108208350.0108406191.00182832.0E-50.048997590.104498780.104525641.00025713.0E-5
7.49.593308E-52.078591E-42.078591E-41.00.04.1107697E-48.905208E-49.005119E-41.01121941.0E-50.00499338240.0107883480.0108081321.00183382.0E-50.048826610.104208380.1042352541.00025783.0E-5
7.59.561707E-52.072952E-42.072952E-41.00.04.0972308E-48.881058E-48.980969E-41.01124991.0E-50.00497697430.0107592350.0107790191.00183892.0E-50.0486697440.103946550.103973431.00025863.0E-5
7.69.418194E-52.036521E-42.036521E-41.00.04.0357444E-48.72503E-48.8249426E-41.01145121.0E-50.0049024540.010571130.0105909171.0018722.0E-50.0479570250.1022746340.102301561.00026333.0E-5
7.78.202141E-51.7697424E-41.7697424E-41.00.03.51473E-47.582406E-47.6823303E-41.01317851.0E-50.004270790.0091925820.0092123991.00215572.0E-50.041896390.089683690.0897111.00030453.0E-5
7.87.2859846E-51.6043574E-41.6043574E-41.00.03.1221908E-46.874006E-46.973937E-41.01453761.0E-50.0037946430.0083370440.0083568781.0023792.0E-50.0373049750.081571240.0815987961.00033773.0E-5
7.95.3874453E-51.1124899E-41.1124899E-41.00.02.3087008E-44.766943E-44.8668953E-41.02096781.0E-50.00280722020.00578832440.00579826671.00171761.0E-50.027720220.057438770.057457621.00032822.0E-5
8.03.468538E-56.06362E-56.06362E-51.00.01.4864317E-42.5984357E-42.6984097E-41.03847471.0E-50.00180822830.00315900850.00316897691.00315561.0E-50.0179358530.0320476330.0320669931.0006042.0E-5
8.11.9152367E-52.2430102E-52.2430102E-51.00.08.207899E-59.612547E-51.0612451E-41.10402071.0E-59.988535E-40.00116970020.00117968851.00853921.0E-50.0099437570.0124242650.01244401651.00158982.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4793655E-56.1131075E-56.1131075E-51.00.01.9195868E-42.6196404E-42.7196144E-41.03816321.0E-50.0023345920.00318467130.00319463951.00313011.0E-50.0231021750.0313837080.0314127651.00092593.0E-5
6.14.4793655E-56.1131075E-56.1131075E-51.00.01.9195868E-42.6196404E-42.7196144E-41.03816321.0E-50.0023345920.00318467130.00319463951.00313011.0E-50.0231021750.0313837080.0314127651.00092593.0E-5
6.24.472471E-56.103773E-56.103773E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.6156407E-42.7156147E-41.03822161.0E-50.00233100260.0031798160.00318978421.00313481.0E-50.023067030.0313365720.031365631.00092733.0E-5
6.34.472471E-56.103773E-56.103773E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.6156407E-42.7156147E-41.03822161.0E-50.00233100260.0031798160.00318978421.00313481.0E-50.023067030.0313365720.031365631.00092733.0E-5
6.44.0001003E-55.422408E-55.422408E-51.00.01.714216E-42.3236795E-42.3236795E-41.00.00.00208506030.00282536260.00282536261.00.00.020656050.0278899320.0279093741.00069712.0E-5
6.53.8033053E-55.1401796E-55.1401796E-51.00.01.6298861E-42.202745E-42.202745E-41.00.00.00198258020.00267852350.00267852351.00.00.0196498560.0264599030.0264793731.00073592.0E-5
6.63.653754E-54.926883E-54.926883E-51.00.01.5658008E-42.1113471E-42.1113471E-41.00.00.00190469540.00256753220.00256753221.00.00.0188845270.0253777220.0253972151.00076812.0E-5
6.73.372024E-54.527573E-54.527573E-51.00.01.4450731E-41.9402453E-41.9402453E-41.00.00.00175795670.00235971020.00235971021.00.00.0174411480.0233475440.0233670771.00083662.0E-5
6.82.9650024E-53.9529135E-53.9529135E-51.00.01.2706534E-41.693995E-41.693995E-41.00.00.00154592270.002060480.002060481.00.00.0153521240.0204116140.0204312061.00095992.0E-5
6.92.860775E-53.7928592E-53.7928592E-51.00.01.2259888E-41.6254095E-41.6254095E-41.00.00.00149161940.00197714660.00197714661.00.00.0148164690.0195952060.0196148141.00100062.0E-5
7.02.6696067E-53.517231E-53.517231E-51.00.01.144067E-41.507298E-41.507298E-41.00.00.00139201150.0018335990.0018335991.00.00.0138332420.018185250.0182048861.00107982.0E-5
7.12.456087E-53.2100615E-53.2100615E-51.00.01.0525662E-41.3756687E-41.3756687E-41.00.00.0012807460.00167359880.00167359881.00.00.0127338970.0166113120.016630981.0011842.0E-5
7.22.295761E-52.9897925E-52.9897925E-51.00.09.8386045E-51.2812772E-41.2812772E-41.00.00.00119719190.0015588480.0015588481.00.00.0119076270.0154806050.0155002951.0012722.0E-5
7.32.1256936E-52.7594764E-52.7594764E-51.00.09.109797E-51.18257965E-41.18257965E-41.00.00.00110855350.00143884870.00143884871.00.00.0110303970.0142966370.0143163511.00137892.0E-5
7.41.8784336E-52.4342193E-52.4342193E-51.00.08.050181E-51.0431956E-41.0431956E-41.00.09.796688E-40.00126935820.00126935821.00.00.0097536120.0126221660.0126419141.00156452.0E-5
7.51.7248298E-52.229762E-52.229762E-51.00.07.391918E-59.555777E-59.555777E-51.00.08.9959445E-40.00116280230.00116280231.00.00.0089596150.0115680750.0115878431.00170892.0E-5
7.61.0653709E-51.3741055E-51.3741055E-51.00.04.5657955E-55.8888923E-55.8888923E-51.00.05.557438E-47.167395E-47.167395E-41.00.00.00554356030.00714452840.00715445731.00138961.0E-5
7.73.286316E-64.101803E-64.101803E-61.00.01.4084137E-51.7579037E-51.7579037E-51.00.01.7146087E-42.1400391E-42.1400391E-41.00.00.00171328630.00213795270.00213795271.00.0
7.85.1855085E-75.9979544E-75.9979544E-71.00.02.222359E-62.5705494E-62.5705494E-61.00.02.7056883E-53.1296E-53.1296E-51.00.02.705359E-43.1291615E-43.1291615E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.6192665E-42.6192665E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00112206160.00113205041.00890221.0E-50.0060734930.0135760920.0135958211.00145322.0E-50.05910160.12842350.128449651.00020363.0E-5
6.11.1674632E-42.6192665E-42.6192665E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00112206160.00113205041.00890221.0E-50.0060734930.0135760920.0135958211.00145322.0E-50.05910160.12842350.128449651.00020363.0E-5
6.21.1674632E-42.6192665E-42.6192665E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00112206160.00113205041.00890221.0E-50.0060734930.0135760920.0135958211.00145322.0E-50.05910160.12842350.128449651.00020363.0E-5
6.31.1674632E-42.6192665E-42.6192665E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00112206160.00113205041.00890221.0E-50.0060734930.0135760920.0135958211.00145322.0E-50.05910160.12842350.128449651.00020363.0E-5
6.41.1674632E-42.6192665E-42.6192665E-41.00.05.002454E-40.00112206160.00113205041.00890221.0E-50.0060734930.0135760920.0135958211.00145322.0E-50.05910160.12842350.128449651.00020363.0E-5
6.51.13136164E-42.5500992E-42.5500992E-41.00.04.847792E-40.00109244360.00110243271.00914381.0E-50.00588622550.0132199110.0132396461.00149292.0E-50.0573273340.125380350.12540661.00020933.0E-5
6.61.13136164E-42.5500992E-42.5500992E-41.00.04.847792E-40.00109244360.00110243271.00914381.0E-50.00588622550.0132199110.0132396461.00149292.0E-50.0573273340.125380350.12540661.00020933.0E-5
6.71.1149675E-42.5186938E-42.5186938E-41.00.04.777557E-40.00107899530.00108898451.00925791.0E-50.00580117340.0130581490.0130778881.00151162.0E-50.056520510.123991380.1240176561.0002123.0E-5
6.81.1103589E-42.508593E-42.508593E-41.00.04.7578133E-40.001074670.00108465921.00929521.0E-50.0057772630.0130061180.0130258581.00151782.0E-50.0562935840.1235443350.123570631.00021283.0E-5
6.91.1053259E-42.4974826E-42.4974826E-41.00.04.7362508E-40.00106991230.00107990161.00933661.0E-50.00575114970.0129488840.0129686251.00152462.0E-50.056045690.123051090.12307741.00021373.0E-5
7.01.1005377E-42.487242E-42.487242E-41.00.04.7157376E-40.0010655270.00107551631.0093751.0E-50.00572630620.0128961260.0129158681.00153092.0E-50.0558097960.122594780.1226211041.00021473.0E-5
7.11.0308142E-42.3333203E-42.3333203E-41.00.04.417027E-49.996123E-40.00100960231.00999391.0E-50.00536447760.012102740.0121224981.00163262.0E-50.0523681380.115722330.115748861.00022923.0E-5
7.21.0027479E-42.2721881E-42.2721881E-41.00.04.296783E-49.734326E-49.834229E-41.0102631.0E-50.00521879220.0117874930.0117973751.00083841.0E-50.0509792120.1129754860.1129932251.0001572.0E-5
7.39.816942E-52.2167654E-42.2167654E-41.00.04.2065824E-49.496975E-49.5968804E-41.01051961.0E-50.0051094930.0115016060.0115114911.00085951.0E-50.0499359850.110457410.1104752051.0001612.0E-5
7.49.5634205E-52.15069E-42.15069E-41.00.04.0979648E-49.213997E-49.3139044E-41.0108431.0E-50.00497786370.0111606510.0111705391.0008861.0E-50.0486782530.107452890.107470741.00016622.0E-5
7.58.052417E-51.7660281E-41.7660281E-41.00.03.4505792E-47.566498E-47.666423E-41.01320611.0E-50.00419299030.00917340350.0091833121.00108021.0E-50.041147530.0896445960.0896628051.00020312.0E-5
7.67.897024E-51.729738E-41.729738E-41.00.03.384E-47.411059E-47.5109844E-41.01348341.0E-50.00411223850.0089857330.0089956421.00110291.0E-50.0403696970.087929420.087947661.00020742.0E-5
7.76.707427E-51.4697367E-41.4697367E-41.00.02.8742946E-46.297352E-46.397289E-41.01586971.0E-50.0034938390.00764011820.0076500421.00129891.0E-50.0343941640.075439330.075457821.00024512.0E-5
7.86.147705E-51.3507706E-41.3507706E-41.00.02.6344648E-45.7877327E-45.8876746E-41.0172681.0E-50.00320274360.00702383230.0070337621.00141371.0E-50.0315697640.069446740.0694653541.0002682.0E-5
7.94.7636717E-59.8466575E-59.8466575E-51.00.02.0414138E-44.2193139E-44.3192715E-41.02369061.0E-50.00248258840.00512492560.00513487451.00194121.0E-50.0245503650.0511387330.051157711.00037112.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.8334856E-55.8334856E-51.00.01.4379594E-42.4998258E-42.599801E-41.03999281.0E-50.00174930970.00303929250.00304926231.00328031.0E-50.0173560340.0308978320.0309172121.00062732.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-52.2209455E-52.2209455E-51.00.08.217783E-59.5179916E-51.0517896E-41.10505411.0E-50.00100005580.00115820020.00116818861.00862411.0E-50.0099556730.01232649850.0123462521.00160252.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2188602E-42.6766403E-42.6766403E-41.00.05.2226405E-40.00114662910.00115661771.00871121.0E-50.00634004270.0138714290.0138911511.00142182.0E-50.0616218450.130858760.130884841.00019923.0E-5
6.11.2188602E-42.6766403E-42.6766403E-41.00.05.2226405E-40.00114662910.00115661771.00871121.0E-50.00634004270.0138714290.0138911511.00142182.0E-50.0616218450.130858760.130884841.00019923.0E-5
6.21.2188602E-42.6766403E-42.6766403E-41.00.05.2226405E-40.00114662910.00115661771.00871121.0E-50.00634004270.0138714290.0138911511.00142182.0E-50.0616218450.130858760.130884841.00019923.0E-5
6.31.2142645E-42.6678774E-42.6678774E-41.00.05.202953E-40.00114287670.00115286541.00873981.0E-50.0063162120.0138263260.0138460481.00142652.0E-50.061396770.130474780.130500851.00019993.0E-5
6.41.1865206E-42.6172932E-42.6172932E-41.00.05.0840975E-40.00112121660.00113120541.00890891.0E-50.0061723350.0135659230.0135856511.00145422.0E-50.0600368680.128245730.128271881.0002043.0E-5
6.51.17443946E-42.5961763E-42.5961763E-41.00.05.032341E-40.00111217420.00112216311.00898131.0E-50.0061096770.0134571950.0134769251.00146622.0E-50.0594440770.127306790.127332971.00020563.0E-5
6.61.13579066E-42.5274933E-42.5274933E-41.00.04.866766E-40.00108276340.00109275261.00922561.0E-50.00590920170.0131034770.0131232151.00150632.0E-50.0575451850.124258320.124284591.00021153.0E-5
6.71.1271412E-42.5118623E-42.5118623E-41.00.04.829711E-40.001076070.00108605931.00928311.0E-50.0058643310.0130229620.0130427011.00151572.0E-50.0571196970.123565270.1235915651.00021283.0E-5
6.81.1217975E-42.500541E-42.500541E-41.00.04.8068175E-40.00107122190.00108121111.00932511.0E-50.0058366080.0129646410.0129843811.00152272.0E-50.0568567250.1230625140.123088821.00021373.0E-5
6.91.1146753E-42.4851094E-42.4851094E-41.00.04.7763053E-40.00106461380.00107460321.00938311.0E-50.00579965770.0128851420.0129048841.00153222.0E-50.0565061270.122376260.122402591.00021523.0E-5
7.01.0965793E-42.4469238E-42.4469238E-41.00.04.698779E-40.00104826180.00105825121.00952961.0E-50.0057057680.0126883920.0127081381.00155632.0E-50.0556147360.120671920.12069831.00021863.0E-5
7.19.927982E-52.2227397E-42.2227397E-41.00.04.2541555E-49.522561E-49.6224656E-41.01049141.0E-50.00516714060.0115324320.0115522021.00171422.0E-50.050486340.110600140.1106268241.00024133.0E-5
7.29.696786E-52.1718114E-42.1718114E-41.00.04.1551032E-49.304454E-49.4043603E-41.01073751.0E-50.005047110.0112696630.0112795511.00087741.0E-50.049340090.108306720.108324561.00016462.0E-5
7.39.4727984E-52.1124746E-42.1124746E-41.00.04.0591392E-49.0503326E-49.150242E-41.01103941.0E-50.00493080870.0109634260.0109733171.00090221.0E-50.0482282680.105600880.105618771.00016942.0E-5
7.49.220358E-52.0465828E-42.0465828E-41.00.03.9509835E-48.7681314E-48.8680437E-41.0113951.0E-50.0047997170.0106232390.0106331321.00093141.0E-50.0469736530.102589360.102607311.0001752.0E-5
7.57.71631E-51.663469E-41.663469E-41.00.03.306571E-47.1272074E-47.227136E-41.01402081.0E-50.00401832070.0086429410.0086528551.0011471.0E-50.039464330.084758320.0847766251.0002162.0E-5
7.67.5634416E-51.6278723E-41.6278723E-41.00.03.241072E-46.9747324E-47.074663E-41.01432751.0E-50.00393886720.0084587590.00846867451.00117221.0E-50.0386977940.083067360.08308571.00022082.0E-5
7.76.3783E-51.3690679E-41.3690679E-41.00.02.7332708E-45.866115E-45.9660565E-41.0170371.0E-50.00332267980.0071186440.0071285731.00139471.0E-50.0327343640.070569050.070587641.00026352.0E-5
7.85.863422E-51.2651176E-41.2651176E-41.00.02.512653E-45.4208067E-45.520752E-41.01843741.0E-50.0030548640.00657988950.00658982341.00150981.0E-50.0301320940.065280450.0652991461.00028632.0E-5
7.94.595283E-59.3523035E-59.3523035E-51.00.01.9692584E-44.0075145E-44.1074742E-41.02494311.0E-50.00239493580.0048682430.0048781941.00204411.0E-50.0236928910.0486984630.048717491.00039062.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.683223E-55.683223E-51.00.01.412074E-42.4354397E-42.5354154E-41.04105031.0E-50.00171784440.00296111820.00297108871.00336711.0E-50.0170462560.0301338920.0301532881.00064372.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-52.2209682E-52.2209682E-51.00.08.218658E-59.518089E-51.0517993E-41.10505311.0E-50.00100016220.00115821210.00116820051.0086241.0E-50.0099567280.0123266490.0123464031.00160252.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Davis Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4540828E-51.0971184E-52.0971074E-51.91146861.0E-56.231634E-54.7018653E-55.7018184E-51.21267151.0E-57.584374E-45.723272E-46.0231E-41.05238763.0E-50.0075585410.00571103630.0057408651.0052233.0E-5
6.11.0407654E-51.0971184E-52.0971074E-51.91146861.0E-54.4603472E-54.7018653E-55.7018184E-51.21267151.0E-55.4291193E-45.723272E-46.0231E-41.05238763.0E-50.00541587450.00571103630.0057408651.0052233.0E-5
6.21.0407654E-51.0971184E-52.0971074E-51.91146861.0E-54.4603472E-54.7018653E-55.7018184E-51.21267151.0E-55.4291193E-45.723272E-46.0231E-41.05238763.0E-50.00541587450.00571103630.0057408651.0052233.0E-5
6.35.1323277E-65.4078764E-61.5407823E-52.84914471.0E-52.1995505E-52.3176453E-53.317622E-51.43146241.0E-52.6776237E-42.821449E-43.1213643E-41.10629833.0E-50.00267439960.00281866270.00284857821.01061333.0E-5
6.42.4985154E-62.6252167E-61.2625191E-54.80919931.0E-51.07078795E-51.1250899E-52.1250788E-51.88880791.0E-51.3036063E-41.3697447E-41.5697173E-41.14599262.0E-50.00130284180.00136923250.00138920521.01458672.0E-5
6.52.4846438E-62.6111702E-61.26111445E-54.82969051.0E-51.064843E-51.1190701E-52.119059E-51.8935891.0E-51.2963692E-41.3624165E-41.5623892E-41.1467782.0E-50.00129561320.00136191340.00138188611.01466522.0E-5
6.62.072566E-72.0975617E-72.0975617E-71.00.08.882423E-78.9895474E-78.9895474E-71.00.01.0814296E-51.0944721E-51.0944721E-51.00.01.081377E-41.09442E-41.09442E-41.00.0
6.71.7544528E-71.7753672E-71.7753672E-71.00.07.5190815E-77.6087144E-77.6087144E-71.00.09.154443E-69.263572E-69.263572E-61.00.09.1540656E-59.263201E-59.263201E-51.00.0
6.81.2320395E-71.2454997E-71.2454997E-71.00.05.280168E-75.337855E-75.337855E-71.00.06.428586E-66.4988203E-66.4988203E-61.00.06.4284E-56.4986416E-56.4986416E-51.00.0
6.96.399997E-86.471263E-86.471263E-81.00.02.7428555E-72.773398E-72.773398E-71.00.03.3394215E-63.3766078E-63.3766078E-61.00.03.3393713E-53.3765627E-53.3765627E-51.00.0
7.06.4455685E-96.5158368E-96.5158368E-91.00.02.7623864E-82.7925013E-82.7925013E-81.00.03.3632048E-73.3998705E-73.3998705E-71.00.03.3631998E-63.3998704E-63.3998704E-61.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2909946E-53.2909946E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.410356E-41.410356E-41.00.00.0015710.00171586240.00171586241.00.00.0155994020.0170370320.0170665221.00173093.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2909946E-53.2909946E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.410356E-41.410356E-41.00.00.0015710.00171586240.00171586241.00.00.0155994020.0170370320.0170665221.00173093.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2909946E-53.2909946E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.410356E-41.410356E-41.00.00.0015710.00171586240.00171586241.00.00.0155994020.0170370320.0170665221.00173093.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8386494E-51.8386494E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8796984E-57.8796984E-51.00.08.865586E-49.5894985E-49.5894985E-41.00.00.00883030050.0095500560.0095599611.00103711.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8386494E-51.8386494E-51.00.07.28476E-57.8796984E-57.8796984E-51.00.08.865586E-49.5894985E-49.5894985E-41.00.00.00883030050.0095500560.0095599611.00103711.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3733125E-51.3733125E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.885498E-55.885498E-51.00.06.649074E-47.163342E-47.163342E-41.00.00.00662921460.0071413110.00715123961.00139031.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.3725202E-51.3725202E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.8821028E-55.8821028E-51.00.06.645082E-47.159211E-47.159211E-41.00.00.00662524670.00713720640.0071471351.0013911.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0916551E-51.0916551E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6784422E-54.6784422E-51.00.05.300022E-45.694586E-45.694586E-41.00.00.0052873990.0056807090.0056807091.00.0
6.88.349859E-68.957577E-68.957577E-61.00.03.578462E-53.838908E-53.838908E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.6729253E-44.6729253E-41.00.00.0043473780.00466366760.00466366761.00.0
6.95.193639E-65.5517035E-65.5517035E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.3792818E-52.3792818E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.896423E-42.896423E-41.00.00.00270630510.0028929710.0028929711.00.0
7.04.359381E-64.6562677E-64.6562677E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9955298E-51.9955298E-51.00.02.274409E-42.4293165E-42.4293165E-41.00.00.00227208270.00242695560.00242695561.00.0
7.13.0398533E-63.2402038E-63.2402038E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3886529E-51.3886529E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6905801E-41.6905801E-41.00.00.0015848970.00168955310.00168955311.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.73843E-61.73843E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.4504046E-67.4504046E-61.00.08.569109E-59.0706984E-59.0706984E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.069035E-49.069035E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.307053E-73.307053E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4173075E-61.4173075E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7255583E-51.7255583E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.7254254E-41.7254254E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1111771E-72.1111771E-71.00.09.417204E-79.0478983E-79.0478983E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.1015761E-51.1015761E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.10152185E-41.10152185E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.07878364E-71.07878364E-71.00.05.118914E-74.6233578E-74.6233578E-71.00.06.23226E-65.6289236E-65.6289236E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.6287823E-55.6287823E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.417396E-83.417396E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4645984E-71.4645984E-71.00.02.419026E-61.783147E-61.783147E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.783133E-51.783133E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.470025E-98.470025E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.6300104E-83.6300104E-81.00.09.699246E-74.419537E-74.419537E-71.00.09.699204E-64.4195285E-64.4195285E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-98.371204E-108.371204E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.5876582E-93.5876582E-91.00.01.4589209E-74.3679737E-84.3679737E-81.00.01.4589199E-64.3679734E-74.3679734E-71.00.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.0775226E-51.2812721E-41.4812464E-41.15607492.0E-53.0328715E-45.490006E-45.6898955E-41.03640992.0E-50.003686270.00666359530.00668346231.00298142.0E-50.0362571850.064584490.064612561.00043453.0E-5
6.17.062078E-51.2812721E-41.4812464E-41.15607492.0E-53.0262535E-45.490006E-45.6898955E-41.03640992.0E-50.003678240.00666359530.00668346231.00298142.0E-50.036179510.064584490.064612561.00043453.0E-5
6.27.035022E-51.2812721E-41.4812464E-41.15607492.0E-53.0146612E-45.490006E-45.6898955E-41.03640992.0E-50.0036641740.00666359530.00668346231.00298142.0E-50.0360434280.064584490.064612561.00043453.0E-5
6.36.894245E-51.2572284E-41.4572032E-41.15906012.0E-52.9543418E-45.3870113E-45.5869034E-41.03710642.0E-50.00359097960.00653901320.0065588821.00303852.0E-50.0353350380.0634252350.063453331.0004433.0E-5
6.46.662423E-51.2169629E-41.4169386E-41.16432362.0E-52.8550113E-45.2145164E-45.414412E-41.03833452.0E-50.00347043670.00633026750.0063501411.00313942.0E-50.0341673750.061479250.0615074081.0004583.0E-5
6.56.569133E-51.202903E-41.402879E-41.16624442.0E-52.8150392E-45.1542843E-45.354181E-41.03878272.0E-50.00342192430.00625737150.00627724641.00317622.0E-50.033697090.0607949570.0608231351.00046353.0E-5
6.66.289601E-51.156767E-41.3567439E-41.17287562.0E-52.6952647E-44.956635E-45.156536E-41.04032992.0E-50.00327654740.0060180880.00603796771.00330332.0E-50.0322865620.0585512850.0585795271.00048233.0E-5
6.76.115274E-51.1283379E-41.3283154E-41.17723192.0E-52.6205686E-44.8348415E-45.034745E-41.04134642.0E-50.00318587480.0058706140.0058904971.00338692.0E-50.0314058660.0571648140.0571930971.00049483.0E-5
6.85.9232367E-51.0947218E-41.2946999E-41.18267482.0E-52.538283E-44.690825E-44.890731E-41.04261642.0E-50.00308598040.0056962040.005716091.00349122.0E-50.0304347650.0555165820.0555449171.00051033.0E-5
6.95.4030377E-51.0029929E-41.2029728E-41.19938332.0E-52.315382E-44.297836E-44.4977502E-41.0465152.0E-50.00281533370.00522012960.00524002551.00381142.0E-50.0277993250.0510017720.0510302451.00055833.0E-5
7.04.8260714E-58.934963E-59.934874E-51.11190991.0E-52.0681522E-43.8287108E-43.9286725E-41.02610851.0E-50.00251506780.0046515490.00466150231.00213981.0E-50.0248679280.04559760.0456071461.00020931.0E-5
7.14.0294493E-57.565162E-57.565162E-51.00.01.7267925E-43.2418114E-43.2418114E-41.00.00.00210034270.00393980230.00393980231.00.00.020806020.0387696440.0387696441.00.0
7.23.096388E-55.8515063E-55.8515063E-51.00.01.326956E-42.5075485E-42.5075485E-41.00.00.00161437170.00304868960.00304868961.00.00.016026940.0301819310.0301819311.00.0
7.32.3615226E-54.486404E-54.486404E-51.00.01.0120418E-41.9226037E-41.9226037E-41.00.00.00123146440.00233827160.00233827161.00.00.01224662550.023238870.023238871.00.0
7.41.8251132E-53.4572746E-53.4572746E-51.00.07.821679E-51.4816054E-41.4816054E-41.00.09.518733E-40.00180237260.00180237261.00.00.0094780630.0179707170.0179707171.00.0
7.51.2411432E-52.322448E-52.322448E-51.00.05.3190768E-59.952972E-59.952972E-51.00.06.4740516E-40.00121110690.00121110691.00.00.0064552230.0121196560.0121196561.00.0
7.64.4771446E-68.365605E-68.365605E-61.00.01.918762E-53.5852107E-53.5852107E-51.00.02.3358424E-44.364133E-44.364133E-41.00.00.00233338870.00438451950.00438451951.00.0
7.72.157941E-73.742308E-73.742308E-71.00.09.248315E-71.6038454E-61.6038454E-61.00.01.1259765E-51.9526642E-51.9526642E-51.00.01.1259195E-42.008016E-42.008016E-41.00.0
7.89.9623286E-82.1508627E-72.1508627E-71.00.04.269569E-79.21798E-79.21798E-71.00.05.1981874E-61.1222833E-51.1222833E-51.00.05.198066E-51.167796E-41.167796E-41.00.0
7.95.6745257E-81.2786423E-71.2786423E-71.00.02.4319394E-75.4798943E-75.4798943E-71.00.02.960882E-66.6717507E-66.6717507E-61.00.02.9608427E-56.956494E-56.956494E-51.00.0
8.02.8614323E-87.170961E-87.170961E-81.00.01.2263281E-73.0732684E-73.0732684E-71.00.01.4930534E-63.741698E-63.741698E-61.00.01.4930434E-53.8631675E-53.8631675E-51.00.0
8.13.5045191E-99.767879E-99.767879E-91.00.01.5019367E-84.1862343E-84.1862343E-81.00.01.8286079E-75.096739E-75.096739E-71.00.01.8286064E-65.2083656E-65.2083656E-61.00.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.698747E-56.6366934E-57.636627E-51.15066741.0E-52.0135932E-42.843995E-42.9439662E-41.03515181.0E-50.00244879330.00345710480.00346707021.00288261.0E-50.024219840.0341958330.034215151.00056482.0E-5
6.14.698747E-56.6366934E-57.636627E-51.15066741.0E-52.0135932E-42.843995E-42.9439662E-41.03515181.0E-50.00244879330.00345710480.00346707021.00288261.0E-50.024219840.0341958330.034215151.00056482.0E-5
6.24.698747E-56.6366934E-57.636627E-51.15066741.0E-52.0135932E-42.843995E-42.9439662E-41.03515181.0E-50.00244879330.00345710480.00346707021.00288261.0E-50.024219840.0341958330.034215151.00056482.0E-5
6.34.6717287E-56.599515E-57.599449E-51.15151631.0E-52.0020158E-42.8280646E-42.9280363E-41.03534981.0E-50.00243472960.0034377710.00344773661.00289881.0E-50.0240822640.034008170.034027491.00056822.0E-5
6.44.6276386E-56.535295E-57.535229E-51.15300521.0E-51.983123E-42.8005487E-42.9005206E-41.03569731.0E-50.00241177860.00340438330.00341434921.00292741.0E-50.023857710.0336853560.0337046831.00057382.0E-5
6.54.5720994E-56.454879E-57.4548145E-51.15491151.0E-51.9593239E-42.766094E-42.8660664E-41.03614211.0E-50.0023828670.00336257410.00337254071.00296391.0E-50.0235747750.033280830.0333001651.00058092.0E-5
6.64.549134E-56.4197746E-57.41971E-51.15575871.0E-51.949483E-42.7510527E-42.8510252E-41.03633981.0E-50.00237091190.00334431770.00335428421.00298011.0E-50.0234577560.0331043150.0331236531.00058412.0E-5
6.73.701047E-55.161944E-56.161893E-51.19371551.0E-51.5860666E-42.2120768E-42.3120547E-41.04519641.0E-50.00192932580.0026899230.0026998961.00370751.0E-50.0191266130.0267446060.026764071.00072782.0E-5
6.83.5523568E-54.958753E-55.9587033E-51.20165361.0E-51.5223498E-42.1250092E-42.224988E-41.04704861.0E-50.00185188510.00258417430.00259414851.00385981.0E-50.0183652840.0257107340.0257204751.0003791.0E-5
6.93.2946147E-54.586554E-55.5865083E-51.21801871.0E-51.4119013E-41.9655204E-42.0655007E-41.05086711.0E-50.00171763440.00239043920.00240041531.00417331.0E-50.0170441880.0238124880.023822251.000411.0E-5
7.02.7682381E-53.8189886E-54.8189504E-51.26183941.0E-51.1863338E-41.6366086E-41.7365922E-41.0610921.0E-50.00144340440.00199078230.00200076241.00501311.0E-50.014340650.0198881830.0198979841.00049281.0E-5
7.12.471967E-53.437728E-54.437694E-51.29087971.0E-51.05937135E-41.4732307E-41.5732158E-41.0678681.0E-50.00128902150.00179221360.00180219581.00556971.0E-50.01281570.0179259960.0179358181.00054791.0E-5
7.21.9748062E-52.773603E-53.7735754E-51.36053181.0E-58.463181E-51.1886343E-41.2886224E-41.08412021.0E-50.00102990520.00144622670.00145621231.00690461.0E-50.010251450.0145082380.0145180931.00067931.0E-5
7.31.1603734E-51.6418608E-52.6418442E-51.6090551.0E-54.9729337E-57.036365E-58.0362945E-51.14210881.0E-56.052865E-48.5635594E-48.663474E-41.01166741.0E-50.00603640450.00862555950.0086354731.00114931.0E-5
7.44.885381E-66.331721E-61.6331658E-52.57933951.0E-52.0937177E-52.7135666E-53.7135396E-51.36850871.0E-52.5488032E-43.3032685E-43.4032355E-41.03026311.0E-50.00254588180.00334979360.003359761.00297521.0E-5
7.53.0571264E-64.409367E-61.4409323E-53.26788931.0E-51.3101904E-51.8897152E-52.8896962E-51.52917031.0E-51.5950401E-42.3004864E-42.4004633E-41.0434591.0E-50.00159389570.00234768980.00235766611.00424951.0E-5
7.61.764948E-63.0256938E-63.0256938E-61.00.07.564041E-61.2967195E-51.2967195E-51.00.09.208831E-51.5786426E-41.5786426E-41.00.09.205016E-40.00162656490.00162656491.00.0
7.71.3173734E-62.2646088E-62.2646088E-61.00.05.645874E-69.70543E-69.70543E-61.00.06.873634E-51.1815723E-41.1815723E-41.00.06.8715087E-40.00122884750.00122884751.00.0
7.89.4429885E-71.7080067E-61.7080067E-61.00.04.0469886E-67.3200085E-67.3200085E-61.00.04.9270973E-58.911748E-58.911748E-51.00.04.926005E-49.290061E-49.290061E-41.00.0
7.96.388233E-71.232936E-61.232936E-61.00.02.7378112E-65.284001E-65.284001E-61.00.03.3332344E-56.433082E-56.433082E-51.00.03.3327343E-46.6799833E-46.6799833E-41.00.0
8.03.087986E-76.369273E-76.369273E-71.00.01.323422E-62.7296855E-62.7296855E-61.00.01.6112543E-53.323342E-53.323342E-51.00.01.6111376E-43.4158104E-43.4158104E-41.00.0
8.11.6725647E-73.037034E-73.037034E-71.00.07.168133E-71.3015853E-61.3015853E-61.00.08.7271665E-61.5846688E-51.5846688E-51.00.08.726824E-51.6343492E-41.6343492E-41.00.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.596169E-65.6663634E-61.5666306E-52.76479031.0E-52.398336E-52.4284203E-53.4283963E-51.41178041.0E-52.9195828E-42.956228E-43.156169E-41.06763372.0E-50.002915750.0029525650.0029725061.00675382.0E-5
6.15.596169E-65.6663634E-61.5666306E-52.76479031.0E-52.398336E-52.4284203E-53.4283963E-51.41178041.0E-52.9195828E-42.956228E-43.156169E-41.06763372.0E-50.002915750.0029525650.0029725061.00675382.0E-5
6.25.596169E-65.6663634E-61.5666306E-52.76479031.0E-52.398336E-52.4284203E-53.4283963E-51.41178041.0E-52.9195828E-42.956228E-43.156169E-41.06763372.0E-50.002915750.0029525650.0029725061.00675382.0E-5
6.35.596169E-65.6663634E-61.5666306E-52.76479031.0E-52.398336E-52.4284203E-53.4283963E-51.41178041.0E-52.9195828E-42.956228E-43.156169E-41.06763372.0E-50.002915750.0029525650.0029725061.00675382.0E-5
6.42.8426775E-62.875338E-62.875338E-61.00.01.2182847E-51.2322821E-51.2322821E-51.00.01.4831607E-41.5002041E-41.600189E-41.06664761.0E-50.00148217110.00149922980.00150921481.00666011.0E-5
6.51.9210793E-61.942186E-61.942186E-61.00.08.233172E-68.323628E-68.323628E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.01335594E-41.1133458E-41.0986721.0E-50.00100189050.00101290720.00102289721.00986251.0E-5
6.61.9210793E-61.942186E-61.942186E-61.00.08.233172E-68.323628E-68.323628E-61.00.01.0023425E-41.01335594E-41.1133458E-41.0986721.0E-50.00100189050.00101290720.00102289721.00986251.0E-5
6.71.4667394E-61.4824678E-61.4824678E-61.00.06.286011E-66.3534185E-66.3534185E-61.00.07.65295E-57.73502E-58.734943E-51.12927211.0E-57.6503144E-47.732405E-47.832328E-41.01292261.0E-5
6.81.1076943E-61.1193803E-61.1193803E-61.00.04.747252E-64.7973354E-64.7973354E-61.00.05.7796264E-55.8406036E-55.8406036E-51.00.05.778124E-45.839113E-45.839113E-41.00.0
6.98.514296E-78.6033464E-78.6033464E-71.00.03.648979E-63.6871434E-63.6871434E-61.00.04.442541E-54.4890076E-54.4890076E-51.00.04.441653E-44.4881293E-44.4881293E-41.00.0
7.04.8544706E-74.905151E-74.905151E-71.00.02.0804857E-62.1022058E-62.1022058E-61.00.02.532962E-52.5594069E-52.5594069E-51.00.02.5326732E-42.559125E-42.559125E-41.00.0
7.13.829186E-73.8693446E-73.8693446E-71.00.01.6410787E-61.6582896E-61.6582896E-61.00.01.997995E-52.01895E-52.01895E-51.00.01.9978154E-42.0187772E-42.0187772E-41.00.0
7.21.4726595E-71.4885232E-71.4885232E-71.00.06.3113964E-76.379384E-76.379384E-71.00.07.684098E-67.766877E-67.766877E-61.00.07.6838325E-57.76666E-57.76666E-51.00.0
7.34.1880604E-84.234113E-84.234113E-81.00.01.7948828E-71.8146198E-71.8146198E-71.00.02.1852677E-62.2092997E-62.2092997E-61.00.02.1852462E-52.2092996E-52.2092996E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6520628E-41.4361835E-41.4361835E-41.00.07.078348E-46.1536423E-46.253581E-41.01624061.0E-50.0085838860.00746673530.00747666041.00132931.0E-50.082597890.073427010.073445541.00025242.0E-5
6.11.6520628E-41.4361835E-41.4361835E-41.00.07.078348E-46.1536423E-46.253581E-41.01624061.0E-50.0085838860.00746673530.00747666041.00132931.0E-50.082597890.073427010.073445541.00025242.0E-5
6.21.6520628E-41.4361835E-41.4361835E-41.00.07.078348E-46.1536423E-46.253581E-41.01624061.0E-50.0085838860.00746673530.00747666041.00132931.0E-50.082597890.073427010.073445541.00025242.0E-5
6.31.6520628E-41.4361835E-41.4361835E-41.00.07.078348E-46.1536423E-46.253581E-41.01624061.0E-50.0085838860.00746673530.00747666041.00132931.0E-50.082597890.073427010.073445541.00025242.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.4359842E-41.4359842E-41.00.07.02367E-46.152788E-46.2527263E-41.01624271.0E-50.0085178390.0074657020.00747562761.00132941.0E-50.081986540.073404820.073423351.00025252.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.3378693E-41.3378693E-41.00.06.745133E-45.732484E-45.832427E-41.01743451.0E-50.008181320.00695731070.00696724141.00142731.0E-50.0788659450.068699610.068718241.00027112.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.2191342E-41.2191342E-41.00.05.5865536E-45.223828E-45.3237757E-41.01913311.0E-50.0067804380.00634171860.00635165531.00156691.0E-50.06577250.0624421720.0624609251.00030032.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.19102195E-41.19102195E-41.00.05.5135164E-45.1033945E-45.2033435E-41.01958481.0E-50.00669206540.00619593260.0062058711.0016041.0E-50.064940930.061122340.0611411151.00030722.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.18463606E-41.18463606E-41.00.05.485117E-45.0760375E-45.1759864E-41.01969041.0E-50.00665770050.0061628140.00617275251.00161271.0E-50.064617380.0608293340.0608481171.00030882.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.16856725E-41.16856725E-41.00.05.4380763E-45.007197E-45.107147E-41.01996121.0E-50.0066007770.0060794720.0060894111.00163481.0E-50.064081220.060089780.0601085761.00031282.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.1401018E-41.1401018E-41.00.05.154837E-44.885249E-44.9852E-41.02045981.0E-50.0062579690.00593181750.0059417581.00167581.0E-50.060846480.0586604440.058679271.00032092.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.858413E-55.858413E-51.00.03.4493793E-42.510509E-42.6104838E-41.03982261.0E-50.00419153460.00305229910.00306226871.00326621.0E-50.0411335160.0320249870.0320443471.00060452.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.7058897E-54.7058897E-51.00.03.0399222E-42.0166553E-42.1166352E-41.0495771.0E-50.00369482530.00245253830.00246251371.00406741.0E-50.036339940.0260810460.0261005261.00074682.0E-5
7.36.193693E-53.2512016E-53.2512016E-51.00.02.6541698E-41.3932977E-41.4932838E-41.07176221.0E-50.00322666370.00169502210.00170500521.00588971.0E-50.0318021330.0184125080.018432141.00106622.0E-5
7.45.906492E-53.0586834E-53.0586834E-51.00.02.5311083E-41.3107985E-41.4107855E-41.07627941.0E-50.00307726980.00159473070.00160471471.00626061.0E-50.0303500440.017358570.0173782221.00113212.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.811876E-52.811876E-51.00.02.324491E-41.2050341E-41.3050222E-41.08297511.0E-50.0028263950.00146614320.00147612851.00681071.0E-50.0279071650.0159888880.0160085691.00123082.0E-5
7.64.43084E-52.2957203E-52.2957203E-51.00.01.8987931E-49.8384306E-51.0838332E-41.10163221.0E-50.00230932960.0011971710.00120715911.0083431.0E-50.0228547830.0130398490.0130595881.00151372.0E-5
7.74.118098E-52.1895565E-52.1895565E-51.00.01.7647797E-49.383476E-51.03833816E-41.10656031.0E-50.0021465020.00114183980.00115182831.00874781.0E-50.0212588660.0124463480.0124660991.00158692.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-52.148978E-52.148978E-51.00.01.5174363E-49.2095805E-51.02094884E-41.10857261.0E-50.00184591310.001120690.00113067881.0089131.0E-50.0183065520.0122053780.0122251341.00161862.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-52.0107613E-52.0107613E-51.00.01.10827445E-48.617264E-59.6171774E-51.11603621.0E-50.0013484890.00104864720.00105863671.00952611.0E-50.0134033540.0113778970.011397671.00173782.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.7367604E-51.7367604E-51.00.08.4757245E-57.443046E-58.442972E-51.13434361.0E-50.00103143099.058144E-49.1580534E-41.01102981.0E-50.0102665670.0098333670.009853171.00201392.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.4267513E-51.4267513E-51.00.06.293394E-56.114505E-57.114444E-51.16353551.0E-57.6595135E-47.44187E-47.5417955E-41.01342751.0E-50.00763316640.0081039520.008123791.0024482.0E-5
8.28.63836E-66.64124E-66.64124E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.8462147E-53.846186E-51.35133391.0E-54.5063766E-43.4647167E-43.564682E-41.02885231.0E-50.0044972490.00387828540.00389820781.0051372.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.1229793E-43.1229793E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00133776040.00134774691.00746511.0E-50.0064164720.0161707980.0161806361.00060841.0E-50.062343370.147717430.147734481.00011542.0E-5
6.11.2336002E-43.1229793E-43.1229793E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00133776040.00134774691.00746511.0E-50.0064164720.0161707980.0161806361.00060841.0E-50.062343370.147717430.147734481.00011542.0E-5
6.21.2336002E-43.1229793E-43.1229793E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00133776040.00134774691.00746511.0E-50.0064164720.0161707980.0161806361.00060841.0E-50.062343370.147717430.147734481.00011542.0E-5
6.31.1712257E-43.000382E-43.000382E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00128527110.00129525831.00777041.0E-50.0060930080.0155409790.0155508241.00063351.0E-50.0592863220.142397780.142414931.00012042.0E-5
6.41.1712257E-43.000382E-43.000382E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00128527110.00129525831.00777041.0E-50.0060930080.0155409790.0155508241.00063351.0E-50.0592863220.142397780.142414931.00012042.0E-5
6.51.0689076E-42.7993298E-42.7993298E-41.00.04.5802278E-40.0011991870.0012091751.0083291.0E-50.00556217830.0145072040.014517061.00067931.0E-50.054250030.133593260.133610591.00012972.0E-5
6.69.7648895E-52.621512E-42.621512E-41.00.04.1842813E-40.00112304620.00113303481.00889431.0E-50.0050824690.0135919430.0136018081.00072571.0E-50.0496778860.125705480.125722971.00013912.0E-5
6.78.757013E-52.4262756E-42.4262756E-41.00.03.7524657E-40.00103944130.00104943091.00961051.0E-50.004559060.0125860520.0125959261.00078451.0E-50.044666560.117012140.11702981.00015092.0E-5
6.88.562978E-52.3812854E-42.3812854E-41.00.03.6693315E-40.00102017490.00103016481.00979221.0E-50.0044582630.0123541610.0123640361.00079941.0E-50.0436987580.1149977150.115015421.00015392.0E-5
6.96.124075E-51.8075132E-41.8075132E-41.00.02.6243398E-47.7441946E-47.844117E-41.01290291.0E-50.00319045270.0093880250.0093979311.00105521.0E-50.0314503460.088429910.0884481441.00020612.0E-5
7.05.8598747E-51.7491683E-41.7491683E-41.00.02.5111332E-47.4942905E-47.594215E-41.01333341.0E-50.00305301860.0090863420.0090962511.00109051.0E-50.030114140.085704770.085723061.00021342.0E-5
7.15.613814E-51.6898492E-41.6898492E-41.00.02.4056983E-47.240209E-47.340136E-41.01380181.0E-50.00292500390.0087795270.0087894391.0011291.0E-50.0288680210.082961360.08297971.00022112.0E-5
7.24.991222E-51.5475873E-41.5475873E-41.00.02.1389198E-46.630835E-46.730769E-41.0150711.0E-50.0026010250.0080432760.0080531961.00123321.0E-50.0257079120.076345270.076363751.0002422.0E-5
7.34.7410045E-51.4644585E-41.4644585E-41.00.02.0317009E-46.2747445E-46.374682E-41.0159271.0E-50.00247078970.007612840.0076227641.00130361.0E-50.0244349820.07254180.0725603551.00025572.0E-5
7.44.5556746E-51.4033508E-41.4033508E-41.00.01.952286E-46.0129777E-46.1129173E-41.01662081.0E-50.0023743170.00729631630.00730624331.00136051.0E-50.0234910860.069731740.0697503461.00026682.0E-5
7.54.3084514E-51.3245456E-41.3245456E-41.00.01.8463485E-45.675392E-45.775335E-41.017611.0E-50.00224561150.006887980.0068979111.00144181.0E-50.0222305450.066050820.06606951.00028282.0E-5
7.63.408608E-51.06347645E-41.06347645E-41.00.01.4607502E-44.556961E-44.6569156E-41.02193441.0E-50.00177701250.00553401650.0055439611.0017971.0E-50.0176286960.0535384860.0535574151.00035362.0E-5
7.72.8315713E-58.988765E-58.988765E-51.00.01.2134742E-43.8517595E-43.951721E-41.02595221.0E-50.00147640340.0046794450.00468939871.0021271.0E-50.014666330.0455560570.0455751461.0004192.0E-5
7.82.6222975E-58.147165E-58.147165E-51.00.01.1237934E-43.491175E-43.59114E-41.02863361.0E-50.00136735970.00424222930.0042521871.00234721.0E-50.0135897680.041488520.041507691.0004622.0E-5
7.92.1469694E-56.336535E-56.336535E-51.00.09.200973E-52.7153754E-42.8153483E-41.03681731.0E-50.00111964280.00330096180.00331092881.00301951.0E-50.0111401840.0326339940.0326533431.00059282.0E-5
8.01.2420249E-53.4366938E-53.4366938E-51.00.05.322855E-51.4727857E-41.572771E-41.06788851.0E-56.478649E-40.0017916430.00180162511.00557151.0E-50.00645979350.0179334130.0179530551.00109532.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-68.92033E-68.92033E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.8229427E-54.8229045E-51.26156851.0E-52.566744E-44.6534406E-44.7533942E-41.02147951.0E-50.0025637810.00492930460.0049492061.00403742.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-63.4324462E-63.4324462E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.4710401E-52.4710254E-51.67978111.0E-51.3374983E-41.7908448E-41.8908268E-41.05582951.0E-50.00133669340.00197641230.00199637281.01009932.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.9637928E-73.9637928E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.6987673E-61.169875E-56.88661151.0E-52.7576245E-52.0682315E-53.068211E-51.48349491.0E-52.7572823E-42.4033726E-42.6033245E-41.08319642.0E-5

Reliz 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6002472E-51.6308362E-52.6308198E-51.61317241.0E-56.8580215E-56.989122E-57.9890524E-51.14306951.0E-58.3464425E-48.506133E-48.7059627E-41.02349252.0E-50.0083151640.0084757970.0084956281.00233962.0E-5
6.11.6002472E-51.6308362E-52.6308198E-51.61317241.0E-56.8580215E-56.989122E-57.9890524E-51.14306951.0E-58.3464425E-48.506133E-48.7059627E-41.02349252.0E-50.0083151640.0084757970.0084956281.00233962.0E-5
6.21.6002472E-51.6308362E-52.6308198E-51.61317241.0E-56.8580215E-56.989122E-57.9890524E-51.14306951.0E-58.3464425E-48.506133E-48.7059627E-41.02349252.0E-50.0083151640.0084757970.0084956281.00233962.0E-5
6.37.792404E-67.818906E-61.7818827E-52.27894141.0E-53.339559E-53.3509168E-54.3508833E-51.29841581.0E-54.0651546E-44.0789854E-44.1789445E-41.02450591.0E-50.00405772640.00407179540.0040817551.00244591.0E-5
6.47.792404E-67.818906E-61.7818827E-52.27894141.0E-53.339559E-53.3509168E-54.3508833E-51.29841581.0E-54.0651546E-44.0789854E-44.1789445E-41.02450591.0E-50.00405772640.00407179540.0040817551.00244591.0E-5
6.55.9659374E-65.9420045E-65.9420045E-61.00.02.5568053E-52.5465486E-52.5465486E-51.00.03.1124658E-43.099984E-43.099984E-41.00.00.003108110.00309589780.00309589781.00.0
6.65.2350692E-65.1915804E-65.1915804E-61.00.02.2435817E-52.2249442E-52.2249442E-51.00.02.7312184E-42.7085343E-42.7085343E-41.00.00.0027278640.00270546340.00270546341.00.0
6.74.580206E-64.5180814E-64.5180814E-61.00.01.9629308E-51.9363062E-51.9363062E-51.00.02.389606E-42.3571985E-42.3571985E-41.00.00.0023870380.00235492040.00235492041.00.0
6.84.0765017E-63.999714E-63.999714E-61.00.01.7470604E-51.7141518E-51.7141518E-51.00.02.1268385E-42.0867803E-42.0867803E-41.00.00.0021248040.00208503920.00208503921.00.0
6.93.5752896E-63.4835045E-63.4835045E-61.00.01.532258E-51.492922E-51.492922E-51.00.01.8653645E-41.8174812E-41.8174812E-41.00.00.00186379940.00181621150.00181621151.00.0
7.03.0259848E-62.918426E-62.918426E-61.00.01.2968442E-51.2507479E-51.2507479E-51.00.01.5787935E-41.5226794E-41.5226794E-41.00.00.00157767220.00152185150.00152185151.00.0
7.12.5861116E-62.465236E-62.465236E-61.00.01.1083288E-51.0565254E-51.0565254E-51.00.01.3493067E-41.286244E-41.286244E-41.00.00.00134848780.00128571430.00128571431.00.0
7.22.1482588E-62.012879E-62.012879E-61.00.09.20679E-68.626595E-68.626595E-61.00.01.12086906E-41.0502374E-41.0502374E-41.00.00.00112030390.00104995560.00104995561.00.0
7.31.7194744E-61.5704089E-61.5704089E-61.00.07.3691554E-66.7303063E-66.7303063E-61.00.08.971577E-58.19384E-58.19384E-51.00.08.967956E-48.1929617E-48.1929617E-41.00.0
7.41.2755178E-61.1145621E-61.1145621E-61.00.05.4664933E-64.7766857E-64.7766857E-61.00.06.655252E-55.8154597E-55.8154597E-51.00.06.6532596E-45.816079E-45.816079E-41.00.0
7.58.8463224E-77.1435204E-77.1435204E-71.00.03.7912755E-63.0615051E-63.0615051E-61.00.04.6157802E-53.727319E-53.727319E-51.00.04.6148215E-43.7288325E-43.7288325E-41.00.0
7.65.291355E-73.5796734E-73.5796734E-71.00.02.2677216E-61.5341448E-61.5341448E-61.00.02.760916E-51.8678053E-51.8678053E-51.00.02.760573E-41.8697788E-41.8697788E-41.00.0
7.72.9663357E-71.4117946E-71.4117946E-71.00.01.2712861E-66.0505465E-76.0505465E-71.00.01.5477797E-57.3665155E-67.3665155E-61.00.01.547672E-47.386846E-57.386846E-51.00.0
7.81.2509386E-73.057908E-83.057908E-81.00.05.3611643E-71.310532E-71.310532E-71.00.06.527198E-61.5955715E-61.5955715E-61.00.06.527006E-51.6131367E-51.6131367E-51.00.0
7.96.213493E-81.3342893E-81.3342893E-81.00.02.6629255E-75.7183826E-85.7183826E-81.00.03.242107E-66.9621285E-76.9621285E-71.00.03.2420594E-57.1090144E-67.1090144E-61.00.0
8.05.92383E-91.8830266E-91.8830266E-91.00.02.5387841E-88.0701135E-98.0701135E-91.00.03.0909692E-79.825363E-89.825363E-81.00.03.090965E-61.0085961E-61.0085961E-61.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4873758E-42.428164E-42.5281397E-41.04117331.0E-56.3729106E-40.00104021940.0010502091.00960341.0E-50.00773144930.012585610.0125954851.00078451.0E-50.0746793150.1182318260.118240641.00007461.0E-5
6.11.4409686E-42.42757E-42.5275457E-41.04118351.0E-56.174118E-40.00103996510.00104995471.00960581.0E-50.00749111130.0125825490.0125924241.00078481.0E-50.072435650.1182040650.1182128861.00007461.0E-5
6.21.4297929E-42.4207668E-42.5207427E-41.04129921.0E-56.1262446E-40.00103705190.00104704151.00963271.0E-50.0074332240.0125475190.0125573941.0007871.0E-50.071894510.117874610.117883431.00007491.0E-5
6.31.3536085E-42.34916E-42.4491365E-41.04255841.0E-55.79989E-40.0010063930.0010163831.00992641.0E-50.00703852670.0121790550.0121889341.00081111.0E-50.0681972650.114528470.114537331.00007741.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.288972E-42.3889492E-41.04367771.0E-55.5673666E-49.80618E-49.906081E-41.01018761.0E-50.0067572230.0118687610.0118786421.00083261.0E-50.065554120.111688670.1116975551.00007951.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.8308751E-41.9308568E-41.05460871.0E-54.498764E-47.8442437E-47.9441647E-41.01273821.0E-50.0054634980.009508530.0095184341.00104171.0E-50.0533111240.090654120.090663211.00010031.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7819543E-41.8819365E-41.05610811.0E-54.35249E-47.634707E-47.734631E-41.01308811.0E-50.00528628840.0092556350.0092655421.00107041.0E-50.051622930.088340970.088350081.00010321.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.7075789E-41.8075618E-41.05855251.0E-54.1395082E-47.3161395E-47.4160664E-41.01365841.0E-50.00502821060.0088710340.0088809451.00111721.0E-50.0491594970.084825190.0848343451.00010791.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5977214E-41.6977054E-41.06257921.0E-53.8951015E-46.8455754E-46.945507E-41.0145981.0E-50.00473197880.0083026540.0083125711.00119451.0E-50.0463247750.079672290.079681491.00011551.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2580067E-41.357994E-41.07948091.0E-53.150985E-45.390349E-45.490295E-41.01854171.0E-50.00382957720.00654312880.0065530631.00151841.0E-50.0376425120.063507870.0635172351.00014751.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.638058E-51.06379615E-41.10374531.0E-52.4623662E-44.129946E-44.2299047E-41.02420341.0E-50.00299380980.0050166910.0050266411.00198341.0E-50.029537970.0491625220.0491720331.00019341.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.282095E-59.2820126E-51.12073241.0E-52.123707E-43.54899E-43.6489544E-41.0281671.0E-50.00258254730.00431240020.0043223571.00230881.0E-50.02552740.042463070.042472651.00022551.0E-5
7.23.687595E-56.169639E-57.169577E-51.16207411.0E-51.5803022E-42.6438647E-42.743838E-41.03781341.0E-50.00192231990.00321418510.0032241531.00310121.0E-50.019057760.031921770.031931451.00030331.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.418671E-55.418627E-51.22630241.0E-51.1076809E-41.8935798E-41.9935607E-41.05281.0E-50.00134776710.00230301450.00231299151.00433221.0E-50.0133962230.0230029430.0230127131.00042471.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-53.12674E-54.126709E-51.31981191.0E-57.6060016E-51.3399628E-41.4399494E-41.07461891.0E-59.2563726E-40.00163018690.00164017071.00612431.0E-50.0092179110.0163538140.0163636491.00060151.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.7497765E-53.749749E-51.36365591.0E-56.378478E-51.1784225E-41.2784108E-41.08484921.0E-57.76303E-40.00143378820.00144377391.00696461.0E-50.00773596670.0144103180.0144201741.00068391.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.5843052E-51.5843052E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.789703E-56.789703E-51.00.04.2605202E-48.263343E-48.263343E-41.00.00.0042523610.0083663280.0083663281.00.0
7.73.3858064E-66.8373197E-66.8373197E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.9302471E-52.9302471E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.5669925E-43.5669925E-41.00.00.00176510880.00367141120.00367141121.00.0
7.82.7721615E-65.875138E-65.875138E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.517892E-52.517892E-51.00.01.4463716E-43.0651028E-43.0651028E-41.00.00.00144543060.00315354880.00315354881.00.0
7.91.9736292E-64.5277247E-64.5277247E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.940439E-51.940439E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.3622288E-42.3622288E-41.00.00.00102928250.00241606470.00241606471.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.8029021E-62.8029021E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.2012382E-51.2012382E-51.00.06.139818E-51.4624097E-41.4624097E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00148629150.00148629151.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.6922933E-61.6922933E-61.00.03.2191172E-67.252665E-67.252665E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.8297646E-58.8297646E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.973751E-48.973751E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5600464E-45.350922E-45.350922E-41.00.00.00195284210.00229146450.00230144171.0043541.0E-50.0235181320.027803090.027812811.00034961.0E-50.211790190.27321670.27323121.00005322.0E-5
6.11.9252734E-42.8425432E-42.8425432E-41.00.08.248562E-40.00121771650.00122770421.00820211.0E-50.0099964680.0147371130.0147469661.00066851.0E-50.095585670.147909730.147926761.00011532.0E-5
6.29.4269315E-51.942209E-41.942209E-41.00.04.039488E-48.321111E-48.4210275E-41.01200761.0E-50.00490699150.010084220.0100941191.00098171.0E-50.0480004360.097113290.097131351.0001862.0E-5
6.39.283051E-51.9145942E-41.9145942E-41.00.03.9778434E-48.202836E-48.302754E-41.01218091.0E-50.00483227470.0099415350.0099514361.00099591.0E-50.0472853850.0958604960.095878581.00018862.0E-5
6.49.138826E-51.8906401E-41.8906401E-41.00.03.916052E-48.10024E-48.200159E-41.01233531.0E-50.00475737450.0098177540.0098276561.00100851.0E-50.0465680920.094762930.094781031.00019112.0E-5
6.59.000255E-51.8662142E-41.8662142E-41.00.03.8566816E-47.9956214E-48.095541E-41.01249681.0E-50.00468540470.0096915180.0097014211.00102191.0E-50.0458784030.0936388750.0936571.00019362.0E-5
6.68.8109264E-51.835633E-41.835633E-41.00.03.7755648E-47.864639E-47.96456E-41.01270511.0E-50.00458706540.0095334520.00954335651.00103891.0E-50.044935290.0922235250.092241681.00019682.0E-5
6.78.738073E-51.8225129E-41.8225129E-41.00.03.7443507E-47.808444E-47.908366E-41.01279661.0E-50.00454922160.0094656340.0094755391.00104641.0E-50.044572130.091629470.091647631.00019822.0E-5
6.88.710195E-51.8171618E-41.8171618E-41.00.03.7324068E-47.7855244E-47.8854465E-41.01283431.0E-50.00453474050.0094379730.0094478791.00104951.0E-50.044433130.091381620.091399791.00019882.0E-5
6.98.6801556E-51.8113246E-41.8113246E-41.00.03.7195362E-47.760523E-47.860445E-41.01287571.0E-50.00451913570.0094077970.0094177021.0010531.0E-50.0442833270.091111410.0911295861.00019962.0E-5
7.08.5571606E-51.7866338E-41.7866338E-41.00.03.6668387E-47.654767E-47.7546906E-41.01305381.0E-50.0044552410.0092801430.009290051.00106751.0E-50.0436697270.089966170.0899843651.00020232.0E-5
7.17.82589E-51.6322675E-41.6322675E-41.00.03.3535215E-46.993565E-47.093495E-41.01428891.0E-50.00407527060.0084816170.0084915321.0011691.0E-50.0400134180.082797440.082815781.00022162.0E-5
7.27.690929E-51.6071509E-41.6071509E-41.00.03.2956956E-46.885979E-46.9859106E-41.01451231.0E-50.0040051290.0083516430.0083615591.00118731.0E-50.03933710.08162080.081639161.00022512.0E-5
7.37.5543794E-51.576354E-41.576354E-41.00.03.2371894E-46.7540613E-46.853994E-41.01479591.0E-50.0039341570.0081922510.0082021691.00121071.0E-50.0386523340.080168840.080187241.00022952.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.5456196E-41.5456196E-41.00.03.1802364E-46.62241E-46.722344E-41.01509021.0E-50.0038650650.0080331580.0080430781.00123491.0E-50.037985290.078716810.078735231.00023412.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.2254529E-41.2254529E-41.00.02.6352672E-45.2508846E-45.3508324E-41.01903441.0E-50.00320371780.0063742520.00638418831.00155881.0E-50.031579230.0634318440.0634505751.00029532.0E-5
7.66.0643448E-51.20783385E-41.20783385E-41.00.02.598746E-45.175405E-45.2753533E-41.01931211.0E-50.00315938280.00628288930.00629282651.00158171.0E-50.0311484170.062576220.062594971.00029962.0E-5
7.75.1652263E-51.0159842E-41.0159842E-41.00.02.2134806E-44.3534918E-44.4534483E-41.02296011.0E-50.0026915820.00528750850.00529745551.00188121.0E-50.0265921410.0531108940.0531298331.00035662.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-59.490672E-59.490672E-51.00.02.060858E-44.066797E-44.1667564E-41.02457941.0E-50.00250620720.0049400960.00495004651.00201431.0E-50.0247813050.0496412440.049660251.00038292.0E-5
7.93.970278E-57.5060096E-57.5060096E-51.00.01.7014367E-43.2164648E-43.3164327E-41.031081.0E-50.0020695310.00390901930.00391898021.00254821.0E-50.0205036360.0394745730.0394937841.00048662.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.576343E-54.576343E-51.00.01.2420409E-41.9611426E-42.061123E-41.05098071.0E-50.00151113570.0023850780.0023950541.00418271.0E-50.0150090120.0245162960.0245358051.00079582.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-52.1634818E-52.1634818E-51.00.08.0724014E-59.271736E-51.0271643E-41.10784471.0E-59.823717E-40.001128250.00113823881.00885331.0E-50.0097804030.0120207630.0120405231.00164382.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0263006E-42.0169224E-42.1169022E-41.04957041.0E-54.3976895E-48.641261E-48.741174E-41.01156231.0E-50.005341050.0104581860.0104680821.00094621.0E-50.052144910.0977667940.097784841.00018452.0E-5
6.16.99169E-51.368445E-41.368445E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.863459E-45.863459E-41.00.00.00364164450.00711077540.00711077541.00.00.0358254350.067460660.067469991.00013831.0E-5
6.26.99169E-51.368445E-41.368445E-41.00.02.9960944E-45.863459E-45.863459E-41.00.00.00364164450.00711077540.00711077541.00.00.0358254350.067460660.067469991.00013831.0E-5
6.36.970908E-51.3652797E-41.3652797E-41.00.02.9871898E-45.849903E-45.849903E-41.00.00.00363083950.00709441350.00709441351.00.00.0357208660.06731020.067319531.00013851.0E-5
6.46.9517155E-51.3620323E-41.3620323E-41.00.02.9789665E-45.835992E-45.835992E-41.00.00.00362086090.00707762730.00707762731.00.00.035624290.067156270.06716561.00013891.0E-5
6.54.786248E-59.3979404E-59.3979404E-51.00.02.0510878E-44.0270927E-44.0270927E-41.00.00.00249433940.0048924070.0048924071.00.00.024665270.0469026570.046912191.00020331.0E-5
6.64.4662214E-58.873382E-58.873382E-51.00.01.9139545E-43.8023494E-43.8023494E-41.00.00.00232774930.0046199910.0046199911.00.00.023035170.044332310.044332311.00.0
6.73.884542E-57.863781E-57.863781E-51.00.01.6646975E-43.369781E-43.369781E-41.00.00.0020248850.00409542630.00409542631.00.00.0200653360.039401780.039401781.00.0
6.83.4221863E-56.859977E-56.859977E-51.00.01.4665688E-42.9396822E-42.9396822E-41.00.00.00178408510.00357360280.00357360281.00.00.0176982950.034502850.034502851.00.0
6.91.6927712E-53.0322255E-53.0322255E-51.00.07.2545314E-51.2994638E-41.2994638E-41.00.08.828813E-40.00158100550.00158100551.00.00.0087938190.0156005880.0156005881.00.0
7.01.2509653E-52.2706301E-52.2706301E-51.00.05.3611697E-59.730934E-59.730934E-51.00.06.525269E-40.0011841410.0011841411.00.00.00650614170.0117097910.0117097911.00.0
7.18.751583E-61.5207615E-51.5207615E-51.00.03.750624E-56.51739E-56.51739E-51.00.04.5654282E-47.932095E-47.932095E-41.00.00.00455606030.0079042640.0079042641.00.0
7.26.354379E-61.1760085E-51.1760085E-51.00.02.7232769E-55.0399416E-55.0399416E-51.00.03.3150852E-46.134452E-46.134452E-41.00.00.00331014420.0061303460.0061303461.00.0
7.34.645554E-69.0472995E-69.0472995E-61.00.01.9909365E-53.877359E-53.877359E-51.00.02.4236954E-44.7197033E-44.7197033E-41.00.00.00242105360.004725390.004725391.00.0
7.44.23437E-68.206074E-68.206074E-61.00.01.8147173E-53.516844E-53.516844E-51.00.02.2091944E-44.2809566E-44.2809566E-41.00.00.00220699930.0042891630.0042891631.00.0
7.52.2187417E-64.0672003E-64.0672003E-61.00.09.508858E-61.7430757E-51.7430757E-51.00.01.157642E-42.1220156E-42.1220156E-41.00.00.00115703910.0021323190.0021323191.00.0
7.62.7952495E-83.9566313E-83.9566313E-81.00.01.1979641E-71.695699E-71.695699E-71.00.01.4585203E-62.0645116E-62.0645116E-61.00.01.4585107E-52.0739097E-52.0739097E-51.00.0
7.71.7192724E-82.3941878E-82.3941878E-81.00.07.36831E-81.0260804E-71.0260804E-71.00.08.9709135E-71.2492523E-61.2492523E-61.00.08.970877E-61.2557216E-51.2557216E-51.00.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.9600286E-58.9599496E-51.12561771.0E-52.6378073E-43.4110263E-43.510992E-41.02930671.0E-50.00320680140.004145480.0041554391.00240231.0E-50.031609190.0407312440.040750431.0004712.0E-5
6.16.155506E-57.9600286E-58.9599496E-51.12561771.0E-52.6378073E-43.4110263E-43.510992E-41.02930671.0E-50.00320680140.004145480.0041554391.00240231.0E-50.031609190.0407312440.040750431.0004712.0E-5
6.24.1335024E-55.2749238E-56.274871E-51.18956631.0E-51.7713808E-42.2604958E-42.3604732E-41.04422811.0E-50.00215452280.0027488330.00275880541.00362791.0E-50.0213375350.0271646470.0271841051.00071622.0E-5
6.34.1335024E-55.2749238E-56.274871E-51.18956631.0E-51.7713808E-42.2604958E-42.3604732E-41.04422811.0E-50.00215452280.0027488330.00275880541.00362791.0E-50.0213375350.0271646470.0271841051.00071622.0E-5
6.43.2393702E-54.1062358E-55.1061947E-51.2435221.0E-51.3882275E-41.7597027E-41.8596851E-41.05681781.0E-50.00168885660.00214043820.00215041681.00466191.0E-50.0167607930.0212092720.0212288481.0009232.0E-5
6.52.7205504E-53.43733E-54.4372955E-51.29091351.0E-51.1658981E-41.4730632E-41.5730484E-41.06787571.0E-50.00141855660.00179207280.00180205481.00557021.0E-50.0140953540.0177857410.0178053841.00110452.0E-5
6.62.069265E-52.608612E-52.608612E-51.00.08.867977E-51.1179335E-41.1179335E-41.00.00.00107914140.00136031850.00136031851.00.00.0107391610.01352832650.01352832651.00.0
6.71.8060919E-52.2771563E-52.2771563E-51.00.07.7401644E-59.7589225E-59.7589225E-51.00.09.419576E-40.00118758260.00118758261.00.00.0093797480.0118204640.0118204641.00.0
6.81.4474663E-51.827195E-51.827195E-51.00.06.203279E-57.8306446E-57.8306446E-51.00.07.5498753E-49.5304084E-49.5304084E-41.00.00.0075242770.0094971210.0094971211.00.0
6.98.564552E-61.0851141E-51.0851141E-51.00.03.6704707E-54.6504436E-54.6504436E-51.00.04.4678818E-45.661113E-45.661113E-41.00.00.00445890940.00565323840.00565323841.00.0

Pittville 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6934118E-51.3222744E-51.3222744E-51.00.07.257277E-55.6667795E-55.6667795E-51.00.08.832153E-46.8973337E-47.097196E-41.02897672.0E-50.0087971320.00687805140.0068979141.00288782.0E-5
6.11.2540113E-51.3222744E-51.3222744E-51.00.05.3742235E-55.6667795E-55.6667795E-51.00.06.541153E-46.8973337E-47.097196E-41.02897672.0E-50.00652193230.00687805140.0068979141.00288782.0E-5
6.26.603218E-66.9656217E-66.9656217E-61.00.02.8299199E-52.9852357E-52.9852357E-51.00.03.4448825E-43.6339805E-43.6339805E-41.00.00.00343954730.00362865230.00362865231.00.0
6.36.603218E-66.9656217E-66.9656217E-61.00.02.8299199E-52.9852357E-52.9852357E-51.00.03.4448825E-43.6339805E-43.6339805E-41.00.00.00343954730.00362865230.00362865231.00.0
6.43.9389015E-64.1548446E-64.1548446E-61.00.01.6880897E-51.7806373E-51.7806373E-51.00.02.0550552E-42.1677399E-42.1677399E-41.00.00.00205315580.0021659180.0021659181.00.0
6.52.4533072E-62.5877375E-62.5877375E-61.00.01.0514132E-51.10902665E-51.10902665E-51.00.01.2800204E-41.3501749E-41.3501749E-41.00.00.00127928320.00134953690.00134953691.00.0
6.61.3482367E-61.420988E-61.420988E-61.00.05.778144E-66.089941E-66.089941E-61.00.07.0346636E-57.414359E-57.414359E-51.00.07.032437E-47.412947E-47.412947E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.3374256E-43.3374256E-41.00.06.115894E-40.00142954730.00143953311.00698521.0E-50.00742070840.0172674560.0172772841.00056911.0E-50.071777480.157403250.15742011.0001072.0E-5
6.11.4273766E-43.3374256E-43.3374256E-41.00.06.115894E-40.00142954730.00143953311.00698521.0E-50.00742070840.0172674560.0172772841.00056911.0E-50.071777480.157403250.15742011.0001072.0E-5
6.21.4273766E-43.3374256E-43.3374256E-41.00.06.115894E-40.00142954730.00143953311.00698521.0E-50.00742070840.0172674560.0172772841.00056911.0E-50.071777480.157403250.15742011.0001072.0E-5
6.31.3730655E-43.226888E-43.226888E-41.00.05.883239E-40.00138222480.00139221111.00722471.0E-50.00713934420.0167002440.0167100761.00058881.0E-50.069142910.15271490.152731851.0001112.0E-5
6.41.3730655E-43.226888E-43.226888E-41.00.05.883239E-40.00138222480.00139221111.00722471.0E-50.00713934420.0167002440.0167100761.00058881.0E-50.069142910.15271490.152731851.0001112.0E-5
6.51.2942807E-43.0668394E-43.0668394E-41.00.05.545738E-40.0013137030.00132368981.00760211.0E-50.00673105240.0158783810.0158882221.00061981.0E-50.065307880.145839110.14585621.00011722.0E-5
6.61.1125901E-42.7067788E-42.7067788E-41.00.04.767372E-40.00115953470.00116952311.00861421.0E-50.0057888390.0140266530.0140365131.0007031.0E-50.0564034540.130076970.130094381.00013382.0E-5
6.71.02209575E-42.518792E-42.518792E-41.00.04.3796748E-40.00107903710.00108902631.00925761.0E-50.00531922470.0130586210.0130684911.00075581.0E-50.0519369060.121906170.121923731.0001442.0E-5
6.89.610582E-52.3686468E-42.3686468E-41.00.04.1181705E-40.00101474020.001024731.00984481.0E-50.00500235150.0122847880.0122946651.00080411.0E-50.0489123460.115260910.11527861.00015352.0E-5
6.99.3877505E-52.3133786E-42.3133786E-41.00.04.0227012E-49.910719E-40.00100106211.01008011.0E-50.00488664540.01199983250.0120097121.00082341.0E-50.047805770.112840890.112858631.00015722.0E-5
7.09.1019785E-52.2448339E-42.2448339E-41.00.03.900265E-49.6171757E-49.717079E-41.0103881.0E-50.00473823770.01164631450.0116561981.00084871.0E-50.0463847440.1097868460.109804651.00016212.0E-5
7.18.771155E-52.1608548E-42.1608548E-41.00.03.758525E-49.257525E-49.357432E-41.0107921.0E-50.00456640640.0112130220.011222911.00088181.0E-50.0447370560.106063290.106081171.00016862.0E-5
7.28.0830236E-51.9983368E-41.9983368E-41.00.03.4636928E-48.561491E-48.661406E-41.01167021.0E-50.00420889440.0103739310.0103838281.00095391.0E-50.0413006580.098747350.098765371.00018252.0E-5
7.37.7668235E-51.8894117E-41.8894117E-41.00.03.328214E-48.094967E-48.194886E-41.01234341.0E-50.00404457330.0098111880.009821091.00100921.0E-50.039717480.093924340.093942461.00019292.0E-5
7.47.520177E-51.8088426E-41.8088426E-41.00.03.2225347E-47.7498803E-47.849803E-41.01289341.0E-50.00391637950.0093947460.0094046531.00105441.0E-50.0384807440.090308030.090326221.00020152.0E-5
7.57.274697E-51.7351957E-41.7351957E-41.00.03.1173544E-47.4344344E-47.53436E-41.0134411.0E-50.0037887750.0090139340.0090238441.00109931.0E-50.037248270.0869515240.0869697851.000212.0E-5
7.67.1185845E-51.6906312E-41.6906312E-41.00.03.0504653E-47.243551E-47.3434785E-41.01379541.0E-50.00370761780.0087834330.0087933451.00112861.0E-50.0364636670.084891450.084909751.00021562.0E-5
7.76.709961E-51.5771868E-41.5771868E-41.00.02.8753807E-46.7576213E-46.857554E-41.01478821.0E-50.0034951570.008196420.0082063391.00121011.0E-50.0344069380.0795703460.0795887561.00023142.0E-5
7.86.300812E-51.4567544E-41.4567544E-41.00.02.7000686E-46.2417396E-46.3416775E-41.01601111.0E-50.00328237870.0075728790.00758280331.00131051.0E-50.0323431750.073878260.073896781.00025072.0E-5
7.94.983037E-51.0764686E-41.0764686E-41.00.02.1354125E-44.6126213E-44.7125752E-41.02166961.0E-50.00259676480.00560142050.00561136431.00177531.0E-50.0256662960.0554824840.0555013751.00034052.0E-5
8.03.2211527E-55.9488433E-55.9488433E-51.00.01.380421E-42.5492552E-42.6492297E-41.03921711.0E-50.00167936690.00309930320.00310927231.00321651.0E-50.0166673230.031357880.0313772521.00061772.0E-5
8.11.743376E-52.1715283E-52.1715283E-51.00.07.471398E-59.306218E-51.0306125E-41.1074451.0E-59.0926304E-40.0011324440.00114243271.00882041.0E-50.0090555170.01197490.0119946611.00165022.0E-5
8.27.831616E-66.2494596E-66.2494596E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.6783124E-53.6782858E-51.37335941.0E-54.0856065E-43.2603586E-43.360326E-41.03066151.0E-50.0040781030.00363001270.003649941.00548962.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.4388972E-42.4388972E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00104481840.0010548081.00956111.0E-50.0043297780.0126463490.0126562221.00078071.0E-50.0424638280.116704710.1167223751.00015142.0E-5
6.18.31567E-52.4388972E-42.4388972E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00104481840.0010548081.00956111.0E-50.0043297780.0126463490.0126562221.00078071.0E-50.0424638280.116704710.1167223751.00015142.0E-5
6.28.31567E-52.4388972E-42.4388972E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00104481840.0010548081.00956111.0E-50.0043297780.0126463490.0126562221.00078071.0E-50.0424638280.116704710.1167223751.00015142.0E-5
6.38.31567E-52.4388972E-42.4388972E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00104481840.0010548081.00956111.0E-50.0043297780.0126463490.0126562221.00078071.0E-50.0424638280.116704710.1167223751.00015142.0E-5
6.48.059055E-52.394003E-42.394003E-41.00.03.4534236E-40.00102559480.00103558451.00974051.0E-50.00419643940.012415360.01242523551.00079551.0E-50.0411807450.1146679450.1146856551.00015442.0E-5
6.58.059055E-52.394003E-42.394003E-41.00.03.4534236E-40.00102559480.00103558451.00974051.0E-50.00419643940.012415360.01242523551.00079551.0E-50.0411807450.1146679450.1146856551.00015442.0E-5
6.67.619237E-52.3174418E-42.3174418E-41.00.03.2649786E-49.928136E-40.00100280371.01006231.0E-50.00396786770.0120211060.0120309861.00082181.0E-50.038977640.1111772360.111195011.00015992.0E-5
6.77.440636E-52.284676E-42.284676E-41.00.03.188454E-49.787818E-49.88772E-41.01020681.0E-50.00387503460.0118521350.0118620171.00083371.0E-50.0380815640.1096769050.109694711.00016242.0E-5
6.87.3735864E-52.2691635E-42.2691635E-41.00.03.1597257E-49.721386E-49.821289E-41.01027661.0E-50.00384018150.0117721340.0117820171.00083951.0E-50.037744950.108971720.108989541.00016362.0E-5
6.97.27575E-52.2457988E-42.2457988E-41.00.03.117806E-49.6213253E-49.7212294E-41.01038361.0E-50.0037893230.011651620.0116615031.00084831.0E-50.0372535620.1079127340.107930571.00016532.0E-5
7.07.102591E-52.2036419E-42.2036419E-41.00.03.0436125E-49.440785E-49.540691E-41.01058231.0E-50.0036993030.0114341380.0114440231.00086461.0E-50.036383250.106000850.106018721.00016872.0E-5
7.17.028513E-52.1869196E-42.1869196E-41.00.03.0118722E-49.36917E-49.469076E-41.01066331.0E-50.00366078970.0113478580.0113577441.00087121.0E-50.0360106860.1052346750.105252571.000172.0E-5
7.26.8498244E-52.1469526E-42.1469526E-41.00.02.9353087E-49.198004E-49.2979125E-41.01086191.0E-50.0035678830.0111416110.01115151.00088751.0E-50.0351114050.103402110.103420041.00017342.0E-5
7.36.622592E-52.0681194E-42.0681194E-41.00.02.8379448E-48.8603806E-48.9602923E-41.01127621.0E-50.00344972430.0107346770.010744571.00092161.0E-50.0339666120.099848760.099866771.00018022.0E-5
7.45.1050705E-51.5506851E-41.5506851E-41.00.02.1877038E-46.64411E-46.744043E-41.01504091.0E-50.0026602760.0080594120.0080693321.00123081.0E-50.026286540.076380560.0763990361.00024192.0E-5
7.53.9302922E-51.1838407E-41.1838407E-41.00.01.6843023E-45.07262E-45.172569E-41.01970361.0E-50.00204870920.00615850370.00616844231.00161371.0E-50.0202992470.059120260.0591390771.00031832.0E-5
7.62.9851626E-59.111797E-59.111797E-51.00.01.2792926E-43.9044724E-44.0044333E-41.02560161.0E-50.00155642590.0047433630.00475331541.00209821.0E-50.01545569950.045935480.0459545631.00041542.0E-5
7.72.1135214E-56.892515E-56.892515E-51.00.09.0576345E-52.9536005E-43.053571E-41.0338471.0E-50.00110220910.0035900860.003600051.00277541.0E-50.0109675820.0349957160.0350150171.00055152.0E-5
7.81.883379E-56.052711E-56.052711E-51.00.08.0713755E-52.5937613E-42.6937353E-41.0385441.0E-59.822468E-40.00315333530.00316330371.00316121.0E-50.00977916550.0308911730.0309105531.00062742.0E-5
7.91.5156185E-54.552883E-54.552883E-51.00.06.495346E-51.9510897E-42.0510702E-41.05124341.0E-57.9052144E-40.00237286560.00238284171.00420431.0E-50.0078771520.0235250280.0235445571.00083022.0E-5
8.01.1405907E-53.2837168E-53.2837168E-51.00.04.8881542E-51.4072313E-41.5072172E-41.07105151.0E-55.9497025E-40.00171195890.00172194171.00583121.0E-50.0059337980.0170922990.0171119571.00115012.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-68.376657E-68.376657E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.5899466E-54.589911E-51.27854561.0E-52.2701119E-44.369885E-44.4698417E-41.02287391.0E-50.00226779420.00461299340.00463290141.00431562.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-63.2204455E-63.2204455E-61.00.09.875332E-61.3801837E-52.3801698E-51.72453131.0E-51.2022553E-41.6802447E-41.7802279E-41.05950511.0E-50.00120160510.00184858370.00186854671.0107992.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.9031298E-73.9031298E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.6727689E-61.1672752E-56.9781021.0E-52.714798E-52.036579E-53.0365587E-51.49100951.0E-52.7144665E-42.3662744E-42.566227E-41.0845012.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.053252E-53.053252E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3084822E-41.3084822E-41.00.00.0013929210.00159211120.00160209521.0062711.0E-50.0138422220.015826750.0158365931.00062181.0E-5
6.12.671352E-53.053252E-53.053252E-51.00.01.1448149E-41.3084822E-41.3084822E-41.00.00.0013929210.00159211120.00160209521.0062711.0E-50.0138422220.015826750.0158365931.00062181.0E-5
6.21.4197047E-51.6176762E-51.6176762E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.93277E-56.93277E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.438375E-48.438375E-41.00.00.0073804980.0084161280.0084161281.00.0
6.31.4197047E-51.6176762E-51.6176762E-51.00.06.0843064E-56.93277E-56.93277E-51.00.07.4051257E-48.438375E-48.438375E-41.00.00.0073804980.0084161280.0084161281.00.0
6.41.3238931E-51.5083427E-51.5083427E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.464221E-56.464221E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8683376E-47.8683376E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078502020.0078502021.00.0
6.51.3238931E-51.5083427E-51.5083427E-51.00.05.6737044E-56.464221E-56.464221E-51.00.06.9055456E-47.8683376E-47.8683376E-41.00.00.0068841260.0078502020.0078502021.00.0
6.61.1328278E-51.29198215E-51.29198215E-51.00.04.8548856E-55.5370034E-55.5370034E-51.00.05.90922E-46.740183E-46.740183E-41.00.00.00589353130.0067292240.0067292241.00.0
6.78.651175E-69.87413E-69.87413E-61.00.03.707594E-54.231753E-54.231753E-51.00.04.5130608E-45.151856E-45.151856E-41.00.00.00450390620.0051488810.0051488811.00.0
6.81.0215377E-61.1814653E-61.1814653E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0634135E-65.0634135E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1645434E-56.1645434E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.162947E-46.162947E-41.00.0
6.97.9360774E-79.335514E-79.335514E-71.00.03.4011714E-64.000929E-64.000929E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.871029E-54.871029E-51.00.04.140076E-44.8700324E-44.8700324E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.7978964E-78.7978964E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7705217E-63.7705217E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5905206E-54.5905206E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.5896394E-44.5896394E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.7591E-77.7591E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3253248E-63.3253248E-61.00.03.376394E-54.0485138E-54.0485138E-51.00.03.375881E-44.0478367E-44.0478367E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.635808E-77.635808E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2724854E-63.2724854E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.984184E-53.984184E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.98353E-43.98353E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.9429973E-76.9429973E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9755672E-62.9755672E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.622699E-53.622699E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.6221664E-43.6221664E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.23806E-76.23806E-71.00.02.232704E-62.673452E-62.673452E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2548847E-53.2548847E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2544645E-43.2544645E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3879455E-75.3879455E-71.00.01.934122E-62.3091177E-62.3091177E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.81132E-52.81132E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.8110182E-42.8110182E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6275063E-72.6275063E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1260738E-61.1260738E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3709891E-51.3709891E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3709332E-41.3709332E-41.00.0

Bennett Valley 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3893934E-52.8315335E-53.831505E-51.35315551.0E-51.0239855E-41.21346835E-41.4134441E-41.16479682.0E-50.00124598930.00147658190.00149655241.01352482.0E-50.0123902620.014689550.0147092571.00134152.0E-5
6.12.3893934E-52.8315335E-53.831505E-51.35315551.0E-51.0239855E-41.21346835E-41.4134441E-41.16479682.0E-50.00124598930.00147658190.00149655241.01352482.0E-50.0123902620.014689550.0147092571.00134152.0E-5
6.21.6657146E-51.9921572E-52.9921373E-51.50195841.0E-57.138582E-58.5376174E-59.537532E-51.11711871.0E-58.6877577E-40.00103910120.00104909081.00961381.0E-50.0086538720.0103598730.0103697691.00095521.0E-5
6.31.6657146E-51.9921572E-52.9921373E-51.50195841.0E-57.138582E-58.5376174E-59.537532E-51.11711871.0E-58.6877577E-40.00103910120.00104909081.00961381.0E-50.0086538720.0103598730.0103697691.00095521.0E-5
6.41.29418495E-51.5626625E-52.5626468E-51.63992351.0E-55.546389E-56.6970264E-57.69696E-51.149311.0E-56.7506364E-48.151887E-48.251805E-41.01225711.0E-50.00673016630.0081382990.0081482181.00121881.0E-5
6.51.2582504E-51.5192708E-52.5192556E-51.65820051.0E-55.39239E-56.511072E-57.511007E-51.15357461.0E-56.563257E-47.9256523E-48.0255733E-41.01260721.0E-50.0065439070.0079137270.0079236481.00125361.0E-5
6.61.0846706E-51.3086566E-52.3086435E-51.76413241.0E-54.6485053E-55.6084802E-56.608424E-51.17829141.0E-55.6580856E-46.827473E-46.9274043E-41.01463681.0E-50.0056437010.00682274160.00683267371.00145571.0E-5
6.71.6803231E-62.409716E-62.409716E-61.00.07.2013645E-61.0327314E-51.0327314E-51.00.08.7673085E-51.2572794E-41.2572794E-41.00.08.76385E-40.00126017140.00126017141.00.0
6.81.4609833E-62.1255119E-62.1255119E-61.00.06.261342E-69.109305E-69.109305E-61.00.07.6229175E-51.1090022E-41.1090022E-41.00.07.620303E-40.00111199660.00111199661.00.0
6.91.3492396E-61.9760987E-61.9760987E-61.00.05.7824427E-68.468967E-68.468967E-61.00.07.0398964E-51.0310487E-41.0310487E-41.00.07.037667E-40.00103409950.00103409951.00.0
7.01.2347921E-61.8182444E-61.8182444E-61.00.05.291955E-67.792453E-67.792453E-61.00.06.442765E-59.486904E-59.486904E-51.00.06.440897E-49.521972E-49.521972E-41.00.0
7.11.1262973E-61.663547E-61.663547E-61.00.04.8269794E-67.1294676E-67.1294676E-61.00.05.876689E-58.679786E-58.679786E-51.00.05.875135E-48.7153097E-48.7153097E-41.00.0
7.29.351744E-71.3877046E-61.3877046E-61.00.04.007884E-65.947292E-65.947292E-61.00.04.8794896E-57.24059E-57.24059E-51.00.04.878418E-47.276415E-47.276415E-41.00.0
7.38.5039534E-71.2639987E-61.2639987E-61.00.03.6445463E-65.417126E-65.417126E-61.00.04.437145E-56.5951535E-56.5951535E-51.00.04.436259E-46.6287915E-46.6287915E-41.00.0
7.46.7875015E-79.814327E-79.814327E-71.00.02.908926E-64.2061333E-64.2061333E-61.00.03.54156E-55.1208477E-55.1208477E-51.00.03.5409955E-45.149148E-45.149148E-41.00.0
7.55.826867E-78.37357E-78.37357E-71.00.02.4972264E-63.5886678E-63.5886678E-61.00.03.0403306E-54.3691165E-54.3691165E-51.00.03.0399146E-44.39393E-44.39393E-41.00.0
7.62.7734902E-73.7564135E-73.7564135E-71.00.01.1886381E-61.6098905E-61.6098905E-61.00.01.4471572E-51.9600242E-51.9600242E-51.00.01.447063E-41.969025E-41.969025E-41.00.0
7.71.0530888E-71.4188814E-71.4188814E-71.00.04.513237E-76.080919E-76.080919E-71.00.05.4948523E-67.403494E-67.403494E-61.00.05.4947162E-57.480384E-57.480384E-51.00.0
7.81.2714258E-82.0982737E-82.0982737E-81.00.05.448968E-88.992602E-88.992602E-81.00.06.6341164E-71.0948487E-61.0948487E-61.00.06.6340967E-61.1327888E-51.1327888E-51.00.0
7.94.075888E-98.265472E-98.265472E-91.00.01.7468091E-83.542345E-83.542345E-81.00.02.12674E-74.3128043E-74.3128043E-71.00.02.1267379E-64.53847E-64.53847E-61.00.0
8.01.9126138E-94.379475E-94.379475E-91.00.08.196917E-91.8769178E-81.8769178E-81.00.09.9797454E-82.2851471E-72.2851471E-71.00.09.979741E-72.3824716E-62.3824716E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.168226E-52.0075969E-42.0075969E-41.00.03.928648E-48.601152E-48.701066E-41.01161631.0E-50.00477264360.0104217710.0104316671.00094951.0E-50.0467143540.100942810.10096081.00017812.0E-5
6.19.168226E-52.0075969E-42.0075969E-41.00.03.928648E-48.601152E-48.701066E-41.01161631.0E-50.00477264360.0104217710.0104316671.00094951.0E-50.0467143540.100942810.10096081.00017812.0E-5
6.29.168226E-52.0075969E-42.0075969E-41.00.03.928648E-48.601152E-48.701066E-41.01161631.0E-50.00477264360.0104217710.0104316671.00094951.0E-50.0467143540.100942810.10096081.00017812.0E-5
6.39.168226E-52.0075969E-42.0075969E-41.00.03.928648E-48.601152E-48.701066E-41.01161631.0E-50.00477264360.0104217710.0104316671.00094951.0E-50.0467143540.100942810.10096081.00017812.0E-5
6.49.1639464E-52.0069366E-42.0069366E-41.00.03.9268145E-48.598324E-48.698238E-41.01162021.0E-50.00477042050.010418360.0104282551.00094991.0E-50.0466930640.100912140.100930121.00017822.0E-5
6.59.1639464E-52.0069366E-42.0069366E-41.00.03.9268145E-48.598324E-48.698238E-41.01162021.0E-50.00477042050.010418360.0104282551.00094991.0E-50.0466930640.100912140.100930121.00017822.0E-5
6.69.042622E-51.9880437E-41.9880437E-41.00.03.8748336E-48.5174077E-48.6173223E-41.01173071.0E-50.00470740950.010320780.0103306761.00095891.0E-50.0460893250.1000324560.100050461.00017992.0E-5
6.78.9836685E-51.9797601E-41.9797601E-41.00.03.8495753E-48.4819295E-48.581845E-41.01177981.0E-50.004676790.0102779930.010287891.0009631.0E-50.0457958170.099643220.099661231.00018072.0E-5
6.88.9471854E-51.974565E-41.974565E-41.00.03.8339442E-48.459679E-48.559594E-41.01181081.0E-50.0046578410.0102511580.0102610561.00096551.0E-50.045614140.0993977860.09941581.00018122.0E-5
6.98.858234E-51.9630992E-41.9630992E-41.00.03.7958333E-48.4105716E-48.5104874E-41.01187981.0E-50.0046116380.010191930.0102018291.00097121.0E-50.045171030.098857950.098875971.00018232.0E-5
7.08.7433385E-51.9472971E-41.9472971E-41.00.03.746607E-48.3428924E-48.442809E-41.01197621.0E-50.0045519570.0101102980.0101201971.00097911.0E-50.0445983860.098112710.098130751.00018382.0E-5
7.18.684964E-51.9384729E-41.9384729E-41.00.03.7215967E-48.3050976E-48.4050145E-41.01203081.0E-50.00452163350.0100647090.0100746091.00098361.0E-50.044307310.097696810.0977148561.00018482.0E-5
7.28.606521E-51.927505E-41.927505E-41.00.03.6879873E-48.258123E-48.3580404E-41.01209931.0E-50.00448088350.0100080450.01001794451.00098921.0E-50.0439160240.097180310.097198371.00018582.0E-5
7.38.568266E-51.921501E-41.921501E-41.00.03.6715972E-48.232407E-48.3323254E-41.0121371.0E-50.00446101050.0099770230.0099869231.00099231.0E-50.0437251480.096894720.096912781.00018642.0E-5
7.48.5432206E-51.9176099E-41.9176099E-41.00.03.6608664E-48.215742E-48.31566E-41.01216171.0E-50.0044479990.0099569190.0099668191.00099431.0E-50.0436001570.096709790.0967278561.00018682.0E-5
7.58.4791965E-51.9037774E-41.9037774E-41.00.03.633435E-48.156497E-48.2564156E-41.01225021.0E-50.00441473770.0098854450.0098953461.00100161.0E-50.0432805750.096061910.096079991.00018822.0E-5
7.68.241105E-51.8456487E-41.8456487E-41.00.03.531424E-47.907527E-48.007448E-41.01263621.0E-50.00429103520.009585030.0095949341.00103331.0E-50.0420911760.093348240.093366381.00019422.0E-5
7.77.00432E-51.5702102E-41.5702102E-41.00.03.001506E-46.727737E-46.8276696E-41.01485381.0E-50.00364821120.0081603120.008170231.00121551.0E-50.0358889770.080212450.080230851.00022942.0E-5
7.86.415362E-51.43418E-41.43418E-41.00.02.749151E-46.1450386E-46.244977E-41.01626321.0E-50.00334195470.0074559610.0074658861.00133121.0E-50.032921410.073437420.073455951.00025242.0E-5
7.94.939911E-51.0346919E-41.0346919E-41.00.02.116933E-44.4336403E-44.533596E-41.02254491.0E-50.00257431950.00538460960.00539455561.00184711.0E-50.0254470130.053590170.05360911.00035322.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.8429905E-55.8429905E-51.00.01.4334853E-42.5038986E-42.6038734E-41.03992771.0E-50.00174387110.00304423740.00305420671.00327491.0E-50.0173024960.0309405440.0309599251.00062642.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-52.2193846E-52.2193846E-51.00.08.1875565E-59.511302E-51.0511207E-41.1051281.0E-59.963791E-40.00115738670.00116737511.00863021.0E-50.0099192350.0123160030.0123357581.0016042.0E-5
8.28.643924E-66.6476487E-66.6476487E-61.00.03.704486E-52.8489612E-53.848933E-51.35099511.0E-54.5092785E-43.4680596E-43.5680248E-41.02882461.0E-50.00450013950.00388161650.0039015391.00513242.0E-5
8.31.983087E-69.762286E-79.762286E-71.00.08.498917E-64.1838307E-61.4183789E-53.3901441.0E-51.034694E-45.093697E-56.0936465E-51.1963111.0E-50.00103421245.9084815E-46.108364E-41.03382972.0E-5

Santa Ynez (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.4622808E-57.462172E-51.36612742.0E-52.0292461E-42.3407835E-42.5407368E-41.08542142.0E-50.00246780760.0028464470.00286639021.00700632.0E-50.0244058180.0281283040.028147741.0006912.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.4622808E-57.462172E-51.36612742.0E-52.0292461E-42.3407835E-42.5407368E-41.08542142.0E-50.00246780760.0028464470.00286639021.00700632.0E-50.0244058180.0281283040.028147741.0006912.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.386985E-55.386917E-51.59047572.0E-51.3034715E-41.4514863E-41.6514573E-41.13776982.0E-50.00158582120.00176578760.00178575221.01130642.0E-50.0157455220.0175216270.0175412781.00112142.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.386985E-55.386917E-51.59047572.0E-51.3034715E-41.4514863E-41.6514573E-41.13776982.0E-50.00158582120.00176578760.00178575221.01130642.0E-50.0157455220.0175216270.0175412781.00112142.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7909822E-54.7909263E-51.71657362.0E-51.09075794E-41.1960816E-41.3960576E-41.16719272.0E-50.00132718870.00145527550.00147524641.01372312.0E-50.0131929020.0144596550.0144793651.00136322.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5143749E-54.5143246E-51.79540632.0E-59.9183875E-51.0775455E-41.277524E-41.1855872.0E-50.00120689480.00131113680.00133111061.0152342.0E-50.0120036110.01303568950.0130554291.00151422.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0385885E-53.0385681E-51.49052551.0E-58.193392E-58.73652E-59.7364325E-51.1144521.0E-59.97089E-40.00106316010.00107314951.0093961.0E-50.009926270.0105816530.0105915471.00093511.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.818207E-52.8181888E-51.54998241.0E-57.3832496E-57.7920864E-58.792008E-51.12832531.0E-58.985399E-49.4827916E-49.582697E-41.01053541.0E-50.0089491540.0094429740.0094528791.0010491.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5965416E-52.5965255E-51.62634381.0E-56.56442E-56.842144E-57.842075E-51.14614311.0E-57.98925E-48.3271693E-48.4270857E-41.01199891.0E-50.0079605890.0082964550.0083063721.00119531.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.3371789E-52.3371655E-51.74783311.0E-55.6018336E-55.730642E-56.7305846E-51.17449061.0E-56.8180985E-46.974846E-47.074776E-41.01432731.0E-50.00679721730.0069532170.00696314731.00142811.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1974435E-52.1974316E-51.83510241.0E-55.0728955E-55.131801E-56.131749E-51.19485341.0E-56.1745E-46.246193E-46.346131E-41.01599981.0E-50.0061573720.0062288320.00623876971.00159541.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0583242E-52.0583137E-51.944881.0E-54.541565E-54.535597E-55.535552E-51.22046821.0E-55.5279525E-45.5207015E-45.6206464E-41.01810361.0E-50.00551422130.00550711950.00551706461.00180581.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.498174E-61.949808E-52.05282381.0E-54.11042E-54.0705832E-55.0705425E-51.24565511.0E-55.0032866E-44.954819E-45.0547696E-41.02017241.0E-50.0049920370.00494389240.00495384261.00201271.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.416304E-61.841622E-52.18816021.0E-53.679698E-53.606938E-54.606902E-51.27723351.0E-54.4791115E-44.3905727E-44.4905287E-41.02276611.0E-50.0044700940.0043820110.00439196731.0022721.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.984785E-66.984785E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9934456E-52.9934456E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6439204E-43.6439204E-41.00.00.00378220740.0036380470.0036380471.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.2784867E-65.2784867E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2621894E-52.2621894E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.753875E-42.753875E-41.00.00.00293194430.00275053550.00275053551.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.066528E-62.066528E-61.00.09.708152E-68.856518E-68.856518E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0782287E-41.0782287E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107771430.00107771431.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1048113E-61.1048113E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7348967E-64.7348967E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.764587E-55.764587E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7631155E-45.7631155E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0875516E-76.0875516E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.608948E-62.608948E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1763495E-53.1763495E-51.00.04.12332E-43.175909E-43.175909E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0988658E-95.0988658E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1852282E-82.1852282E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.660515E-72.660515E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6605128E-62.6605128E-61.00.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.716238E-54.415031E-55.414987E-51.2264891.0E-51.5925762E-41.8920373E-41.9920184E-41.05284311.0E-50.0019372370.00230144240.00232139651.00867022.0E-50.019204360.0228097530.0228292961.00085692.0E-5
6.13.716238E-54.415031E-55.414987E-51.2264891.0E-51.5925762E-41.8920373E-41.9920184E-41.05284311.0E-50.0019372370.00230144240.00232139651.00867022.0E-50.019204360.0228097530.0228292961.00085692.0E-5
6.23.716238E-54.415031E-55.414987E-51.2264891.0E-51.5925762E-41.8920373E-41.9920184E-41.05284311.0E-50.0019372370.00230144240.00232139651.00867022.0E-50.019204360.0228097530.0228292961.00085692.0E-5
6.32.147964E-52.5129772E-53.512952E-51.39792441.0E-59.2052345E-51.07695094E-41.1769402E-41.09284471.0E-50.0011201610.00131049160.00133046541.01524152.0E-50.0111453150.0130382970.0130580371.0015142.0E-5
6.42.147964E-52.5129772E-53.512952E-51.39792441.0E-59.2052345E-51.07695094E-41.1769402E-41.09284471.0E-50.0011201610.00131049160.00133046541.01524152.0E-50.0111453150.0130382970.0130580371.0015142.0E-5
6.51.688201E-51.9660938E-52.9660741E-51.50861281.0E-57.234947E-58.4258856E-59.4258015E-51.11867191.0E-58.804988E-40.00102544220.00104542171.01948382.0E-50.0087701820.0102158010.0102355971.00193772.0E-5
6.61.6846381E-51.9620436E-52.9620242E-51.50966261.0E-57.219678E-58.4085295E-59.4084455E-51.11891691.0E-58.7864127E-40.0010233310.00104331051.0195242.0E-50.0087517540.0101948840.010214681.00194182.0E-5
6.71.3396501E-51.5563626E-52.5563471E-51.64251381.0E-55.7412315E-56.669991E-57.6699245E-51.14991521.0E-56.9877075E-48.1183296E-48.318167E-41.02461562.0E-50.00696577550.0080964190.0081162561.00245022.0E-5
6.81.0139058E-51.175266E-52.1752543E-51.85086121.0E-54.3452383E-55.0367886E-56.036738E-51.19852921.0E-55.289043E-46.1311247E-46.331002E-41.03260042.0E-50.0052764730.0061211460.00614102371.00324742.0E-5
6.97.761281E-68.9589785E-61.895889E-52.11618881.0E-53.326221E-53.8395352E-54.8394966E-51.26043821.0E-54.0489217E-44.67415E-44.8740566E-41.04276852.0E-50.00404155250.0046708440.00469075051.00426192.0E-5
7.02.2109202E-62.4037731E-61.2403749E-55.1601161.0E-59.475338E-61.0301845E-52.0301743E-51.97068991.0E-51.1535613E-41.2541782E-41.3541657E-41.07972351.0E-50.00115296270.00125491860.0012649061.00795871.0E-5
7.11.9008926E-62.0489429E-61.2048922E-55.88055561.0E-58.146657E-68.781154E-61.8781067E-52.13879251.0E-59.918104E-51.0690534E-41.16904266E-41.09353071.0E-59.913679E-40.00106998220.00107997141.0093361.0E-5
7.21.8495944E-61.991542E-61.1991522E-56.0212251.0E-57.926808E-68.535152E-61.8535067E-52.17161541.0E-59.650462E-51.0391055E-41.13909504E-41.09622661.0E-59.6462725E-40.00104006260.00105005221.00960481.0E-5
7.31.7883189E-61.9232289E-61.192321E-56.19957921.0E-57.664201E-68.242383E-61.8242301E-52.21323131.0E-59.330765E-51.0034643E-41.1034542E-41.09964481.0E-59.3268487E-40.0010044540.0010144441.00994561.0E-5
7.41.6520572E-61.7755675E-61.177555E-56.63199231.0E-57.0802257E-67.609553E-61.7609476E-52.31412771.0E-58.6198335E-59.2642396E-51.0264147E-41.1079321.0E-58.616491E-49.274763E-49.374671E-41.0107721.0E-5
7.51.4040345E-61.5111402E-61.1511125E-57.61750941.0E-56.0172765E-66.4762994E-61.6476235E-52.54408171.0E-57.325788E-57.884612E-58.884533E-51.12681941.0E-57.3233736E-47.895837E-47.995758E-41.01265491.0E-5
7.61.3013842E-71.5180298E-71.5180298E-71.00.05.57736E-76.50584E-76.50584E-71.00.06.790414E-67.920832E-67.920832E-61.00.06.790207E-58.009586E-58.009586E-51.00.0
7.78.541512E-81.0424322E-71.0424322E-71.00.03.6606474E-74.4675656E-74.4675656E-71.00.04.456829E-65.4392476E-65.4392476E-61.00.04.4567398E-55.5261193E-55.5261193E-51.00.0
7.85.6074793E-87.526448E-87.526448E-81.00.02.403205E-73.2256204E-73.2256204E-71.00.02.9258983E-63.927186E-63.927186E-61.00.02.9258597E-54.0073515E-54.0073515E-51.00.0
7.92.9475839E-84.2323013E-84.2323013E-81.00.01.2632502E-71.8138432E-71.8138432E-71.00.01.538006E-62.208352E-62.208352E-61.00.01.5379954E-52.2599956E-52.2599956E-51.00.0
8.01.3337122E-82.4017512E-82.4017512E-81.00.05.7159088E-81.0293219E-71.0293219E-71.00.06.959117E-71.2531987E-61.2531987E-61.00.06.959095E-61.2864936E-51.2864936E-51.00.0
8.12.6589986E-105.384253E-105.384253E-101.00.01.1395708E-92.3075366E-92.3075366E-91.00.01.3874274E-82.8094261E-82.8094261E-81.00.01.3874273E-72.870366E-72.870366E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.699681E-54.699644E-51.27028361.0E-51.3829143E-41.585515E-41.6854992E-41.0630611.0E-50.00168239790.0019292480.00193922871.00517331.0E-50.0166971780.0191832070.0191930141.00051131.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.699681E-54.699644E-51.27028361.0E-51.3829143E-41.585515E-41.6854992E-41.0630611.0E-50.00168239790.0019292480.00193922871.00517331.0E-50.0166971780.0191832070.0191930141.00051131.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.699681E-54.699644E-51.27028361.0E-51.3829143E-41.585515E-41.6854992E-41.0630611.0E-50.00168239790.0019292480.00193922871.00517331.0E-50.0166971780.0191832070.0191930141.00051131.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.699681E-54.699644E-51.27028361.0E-51.3829143E-41.585515E-41.6854992E-41.0630611.0E-50.00168239790.0019292480.00193922871.00517331.0E-50.0166971780.0191832070.0191930141.00051131.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4909265E-52.4909115E-51.67071391.0E-56.1733306E-56.389531E-57.389468E-51.1564961.0E-57.513438E-47.776529E-47.876451E-41.01284921.0E-50.00748808540.00774987270.0077597951.00128031.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.4909265E-52.4909115E-51.67071391.0E-56.1733306E-56.389531E-57.389468E-51.1564961.0E-57.513438E-47.776529E-47.876451E-41.01284921.0E-50.00748808540.00774987270.0077597951.00128031.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.3061737E-52.3061608E-51.7655851.0E-55.4864904E-55.5977685E-56.5977125E-51.17863261.0E-56.6777546E-46.81317E-46.9131015E-41.01466751.0E-50.0066577240.00679249460.00680242671.00146221.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.2676678E-52.2676551E-51.78884021.0E-55.3386164E-55.4327502E-56.432696E-51.18405881.0E-56.497827E-46.612383E-46.7123165E-41.01511311.0E-50.006478860.00659290750.00660284141.00150681.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2277811E-52.2277689E-51.81446741.0E-55.1835254E-55.2618136E-56.261761E-51.19003861.0E-56.309115E-46.4043916E-46.504327E-41.01560431.0E-50.00629123250.0063861250.00639606131.00155591.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.1202179E-52.1202068E-51.89267351.0E-54.758786E-54.8008464E-55.8007983E-51.20828661.0E-55.7922816E-45.843475E-45.943417E-41.01710311.0E-50.0057772070.00582825770.00583819951.00170581.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.0625339E-52.0625233E-51.94113641.0E-54.5331115E-54.553638E-55.5535926E-51.21959461.0E-55.5176654E-45.542656E-45.6426006E-41.01803181.0E-50.00550398560.00552897250.0055389171.00179861.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-51.0023506E-52.0023404E-51.9976451.0E-54.294976E-54.295718E-55.295675E-51.232781.0E-55.2278786E-45.2287936E-45.3287414E-41.01911491.0E-50.00521559640.0052166250.0052265731.0019071.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.789234E-61.8789146E-52.13774561.0E-53.8031343E-53.7667607E-54.7667232E-51.26547011.0E-54.629332E-44.585077E-44.6850313E-41.02179991.0E-50.00461970.0045757370.00458569131.00217551.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.540114E-61.7540038E-52.32622981.0E-53.235857E-53.231438E-54.2314055E-51.30944981.0E-53.9389438E-43.9335756E-44.0335365E-41.02541221.0E-50.00393196940.0039267220.00393668241.00253671.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.2143663E-66.2143663E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6632733E-52.6632733E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.2420625E-43.2420625E-41.00.00.0032867490.00323743140.00323743141.00.0
7.54.6103073E-64.465362E-64.465362E-61.00.01.975831E-51.913713E-51.913713E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.3297036E-42.3297036E-41.00.00.0024027070.00232733180.00232733181.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.3039091E-61.3039091E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.5881706E-65.5881706E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.803392E-56.803392E-51.00.06.707218E-46.801379E-46.801379E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.622849E-75.622849E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4097906E-62.4097906E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9338842E-52.9338842E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9335328E-42.9335328E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.8102343E-84.8102343E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0615288E-72.0615288E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5099084E-62.5099084E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5098812E-52.5098812E-51.00.0

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.187212E-55.3990116E-57.398904E-51.37041822.0E-51.794396E-42.3137052E-42.5136588E-41.08642152.0E-50.0021824880.00281426610.002834211.00708662.0E-50.0216117760.0278809760.027900421.00069742.0E-5
6.14.187212E-55.3990116E-57.398904E-51.37041822.0E-51.794396E-42.3137052E-42.5136588E-41.08642152.0E-50.0021824880.00281426610.002834211.00708662.0E-50.0216117760.0278809760.027900421.00069742.0E-5
6.21.7353306E-52.2381802E-52.2381802E-51.00.07.436919E-59.59198E-59.59198E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00116758980.00116758981.00.00.0090139150.0116523510.0116523511.00.0
6.31.7353306E-52.2381802E-52.2381802E-51.00.07.436919E-59.59198E-59.59198E-51.00.09.050688E-40.00116758980.00116758981.00.00.0090139150.0116523510.0116523511.00.0
6.41.4028824E-51.8084185E-51.8084185E-51.00.06.0122147E-57.750278E-57.750278E-51.00.07.3174125E-49.435743E-49.435743E-41.00.00.00729336450.00943303850.00943303851.00.0

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7853995E-55.785352E-51.2089591.0E-51.7917668E-42.0507337E-42.1507133E-41.0487531.0E-50.00217929340.0024940760.0025040511.00399951.0E-50.0215804520.0246786570.024688411.00039521.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7853995E-55.785352E-51.2089591.0E-51.7917668E-42.0507337E-42.1507133E-41.0487531.0E-50.00217929340.0024940760.0025040511.00399951.0E-50.0215804520.0246786570.024688411.00039521.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7853995E-55.785352E-51.2089591.0E-51.7917668E-42.0507337E-42.1507133E-41.0487531.0E-50.00217929340.0024940760.0025040511.00399951.0E-50.0215804520.0246786570.024688411.00039521.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7853995E-55.785352E-51.2089591.0E-51.7917668E-42.0507337E-42.1507133E-41.0487531.0E-50.00217929340.0024940760.0025040511.00399951.0E-50.0215804520.0246786570.024688411.00039521.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7853995E-55.785352E-51.2089591.0E-51.7917668E-42.0507337E-42.1507133E-41.0487531.0E-50.00217929340.0024940760.0025040511.00399951.0E-50.0215804520.0246786570.024688411.00039521.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.553544E-54.5535082E-51.28139931.0E-51.3518598E-41.5228637E-41.6228485E-41.06565571.0E-50.00164464670.0018526030.00186258451.00538781.0E-50.016325280.0183813520.0183911681.0005341.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.552483E-54.5524477E-51.28148331.0E-51.3514658E-41.5224091E-41.622394E-41.06567541.0E-50.00164416760.00185205070.00186203211.00538951.0E-50.016320560.0183759180.0183857341.00053421.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1625084E-54.1624768E-51.31619471.0E-51.2114006E-41.3552951E-41.4552816E-41.07377471.0E-50.00147388240.00164890910.00165889261.00605461.0E-50.0146414520.016375620.0163854571.00060071.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1563028E-54.156271E-51.31681641.0E-51.20906756E-41.3526359E-41.4526224E-41.07391981.0E-50.00147104570.00164567630.00165565991.00606661.0E-50.0146134590.0163437690.0163536051.00060191.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6834488E-53.683422E-51.37264481.0E-51.03829596E-41.15000315E-41.2499916E-41.08694621.0E-50.00126339230.00139930630.00140929251.00713631.0E-50.0125623360.013912740.0139226011.00070881.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5963322E-53.596306E-51.38514881.0E-51.0064714E-41.11267065E-41.21265955E-41.08986391.0E-50.00122469010.00135391140.00136389781.0073761.0E-50.0121796270.013464360.0134742251.00073271.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4584766E-53.4584522E-51.40674591.0E-59.561782E-51.0535946E-41.153584E-41.09490311.0E-50.00116352520.00128207240.00129205951.00778991.0E-50.011574520.0127543710.0127642431.0007741.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.776518E-52.7765002E-51.56288891.0E-57.085802E-57.6134624E-58.613386E-51.13133631.0E-58.623549E-49.2660915E-49.365999E-41.0107821.0E-50.0085901610.0092338170.0092437251.0010731.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5642707E-52.564255E-51.63926551.0E-56.301173E-56.70388E-57.703813E-51.14915741.0E-57.668978E-48.159542E-48.25946E-41.01224551.0E-50.00764256580.0081357380.0081456561.00121921.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5475425E-65.5475425E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3774968E-52.3774968E-51.00.03.199713E-42.894223E-42.894223E-41.00.00.00319510980.00289050860.00289050861.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.356855E-65.356855E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.295775E-52.295775E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.794753E-42.794753E-41.00.00.0031022990.00279129270.00279129271.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.3309014E-64.3309014E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8560877E-51.8560877E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2595558E-42.2595558E-41.00.00.00259130840.00225729330.00225729331.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.863715E-62.863715E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.2273008E-51.2273008E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.494139E-41.494139E-41.00.00.00175239080.00149316080.00149316081.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0168613E-61.0168613E-61.00.05.069545E-64.3579703E-64.3579703E-61.00.06.171996E-55.3057025E-55.3057025E-51.00.06.170282E-45.3044653E-45.3044653E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8671409E-71.8671409E-71.00.09.843111E-78.00203E-78.00203E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.742431E-69.742431E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.742033E-59.742033E-51.00.0

Tank Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8397822E-51.9684167E-51.9684167E-51.00.01.21699275E-48.435817E-58.435817E-51.00.00.00148068160.00102661070.00103660041.00973081.0E-50.0147085450.0102221050.0102320031.00096821.0E-5
6.11.7796336E-51.9684167E-51.9684167E-51.00.07.626778E-58.435817E-58.435817E-51.00.09.281647E-40.00102661070.00103660041.00973081.0E-50.0092429750.0102221050.0102320031.00096821.0E-5
6.21.7796336E-51.9684167E-51.9684167E-51.00.07.626778E-58.435817E-58.435817E-51.00.09.281647E-40.00102661070.00103660041.00973081.0E-50.0092429750.0102221050.0102320031.00096821.0E-5
6.31.3515912E-51.4944752E-51.4944752E-51.00.05.792405E-56.404749E-56.404749E-51.00.07.049971E-47.795204E-47.795204E-41.00.00.0070276470.0077699810.0077699811.00.0
6.41.0870146E-51.2011384E-51.2011384E-51.00.04.658551E-55.1476432E-55.1476432E-51.00.05.67031E-46.2656123E-46.2656123E-41.00.00.0056558630.00624952840.00624952841.00.0
6.57.964826E-68.780352E-68.780352E-61.00.03.4134522E-53.762959E-53.762959E-51.00.04.1550855E-44.5805343E-44.5805343E-41.00.00.00414732470.00457202970.00457202971.00.0
6.66.6317E-67.288751E-67.288751E-61.00.02.8421264E-53.1237174E-53.1237174E-51.00.03.4597394E-43.8025435E-43.8025435E-41.00.00.00345435790.0037968370.0037968371.00.0
6.74.793663E-65.2377063E-65.2377063E-61.00.02.0544108E-52.2447142E-52.2447142E-51.00.02.500958E-42.7326363E-42.7326363E-41.00.00.00249814520.0027296650.0027296651.00.0
6.84.382823E-64.7934864E-64.7934864E-61.00.01.8783392E-52.0543373E-52.0543373E-51.00.02.286638E-42.5009073E-42.5009073E-41.00.00.00228428650.00249847140.00249847141.00.0
6.92.729601E-63.0034244E-63.0034244E-61.00.01.1698237E-51.2871761E-51.2871761E-51.00.01.4241673E-41.5670358E-41.5670358E-41.00.00.0014232550.00156604520.00156604521.00.0
7.01.8987357E-62.0926984E-62.0926984E-61.00.08.137413E-68.96868E-68.96868E-61.00.09.90685E-51.0918889E-41.0918889E-41.00.09.902435E-40.00109141890.00109141891.00.0
7.11.4928986E-61.6457684E-61.6457684E-61.00.06.398121E-67.0532774E-67.0532774E-61.00.07.789434E-58.5870844E-58.5870844E-51.00.07.786704E-48.5843325E-48.5843325E-41.00.0
7.21.069082E-61.1724422E-61.1724422E-61.00.04.581772E-65.024746E-65.024746E-61.00.05.5781646E-56.117509E-56.117509E-51.00.05.576765E-46.1163364E-46.1163364E-41.00.0
7.38.776551E-79.689386E-79.689386E-71.00.03.7613736E-64.15259E-64.15259E-61.00.04.579376E-55.0557122E-55.0557122E-51.00.04.5784327E-45.055062E-45.055062E-41.00.0
7.47.55721E-78.4332197E-78.4332197E-71.00.03.2388E-63.6142349E-63.6142349E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.400293E-54.400293E-51.00.03.942468E-44.3999197E-44.3999197E-41.00.0
7.55.587665E-76.240833E-76.240833E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.674643E-62.674643E-61.00.02.915522E-53.2563777E-53.2563777E-51.00.02.9151395E-43.2563775E-43.2563775E-41.00.0

Jess Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3861274E-63.4358834E-63.4358834E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4725147E-51.4725147E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7926673E-41.7926673E-41.00.00.0017652760.0017914980.00180148011.0055721.0E-5
6.13.3861274E-63.4358834E-63.4358834E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4725147E-51.4725147E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7926673E-41.7926673E-41.00.00.0017652760.0017914980.00180148011.0055721.0E-5
6.23.3861274E-63.4358834E-63.4358834E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4725147E-51.4725147E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7926673E-41.7926673E-41.00.00.0017652760.0017914980.00180148011.0055721.0E-5
6.33.3861274E-63.4358834E-63.4358834E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4725147E-51.4725147E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7926673E-41.7926673E-41.00.00.0017652760.0017914980.00180148011.0055721.0E-5
6.41.5291708E-61.5510814E-61.5510814E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6474795E-66.6474795E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0930855E-58.0930855E-51.00.07.975819E-48.090921E-48.090921E-41.00.0
6.51.5291708E-61.5510814E-61.5510814E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6474795E-66.6474795E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0930855E-58.0930855E-51.00.07.975819E-48.090921E-48.090921E-41.00.0
6.65.396423E-75.474871E-75.474871E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3463722E-62.3463722E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8566896E-52.8566896E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8565066E-42.8565066E-41.00.0
6.75.396423E-75.474871E-75.474871E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3463722E-62.3463722E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8566896E-52.8566896E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8565066E-42.8565066E-41.00.0
6.83.6058395E-73.658227E-73.658227E-71.00.01.5453588E-61.5678115E-61.5678115E-61.00.01.8814582E-51.9088106E-51.9088106E-51.00.01.8812988E-41.9088105E-41.9088105E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1894548E-42.280982E-42.3809592E-41.04383081.0E-55.0966674E-49.769478E-49.86938E-41.0102261.0E-50.0061875520.0117860730.0117959561.00083851.0E-50.0601807830.108080450.1080893651.00008251.0E-5
6.11.1894548E-42.280982E-42.3809592E-41.04383081.0E-55.0966674E-49.769478E-49.86938E-41.0102261.0E-50.0061875520.0117860730.0117959561.00083851.0E-50.0601807830.108080450.1080893651.00008251.0E-5
6.21.1656485E-42.280982E-42.3809592E-41.04383081.0E-54.99468E-49.769478E-49.86938E-41.0102261.0E-50.00606408060.0117860730.0117959561.00083851.0E-50.0590124950.108080450.1080893651.00008251.0E-5
6.31.152476E-42.2684137E-42.368391E-41.04407371.0E-54.938248E-49.7156735E-49.815576E-41.01028261.0E-50.0059957550.0117214470.011731331.00084321.0E-50.0583654380.107513060.107521991.0000831.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0933004E-42.1932795E-41.04776141.0E-54.5935164E-48.966075E-49.065986E-41.01114321.0E-50.00557827440.0108275070.01083739851.00091361.0E-50.05440310.100171040.100180041.00008991.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8853153E-41.9852964E-41.05303161.0E-54.1548995E-48.075717E-48.175636E-41.01237291.0E-50.00504686260.0097612070.009771111.00101451.0E-50.049337730.091053170.091062261.00009981.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.5194018E-41.6193866E-41.06580531.0E-53.4517853E-46.509731E-46.609666E-41.01535171.0E-50.00419445240.0078911220.0079010441.00125731.0E-50.041161610.0755255150.075534751.00012241.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4735834E-41.5735687E-41.06785181.0E-53.34918E-46.313486E-46.4134225E-41.01582911.0E-50.0040700050.00765454630.00766446951.00129641.0E-50.0399626570.073378780.073388041.00012621.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2868768E-41.3868639E-41.07769751.0E-52.9847719E-45.5138837E-45.6138285E-41.0181261.0E-50.00362790520.0066897340.0066996671.00148491.0E-50.035692470.064556230.0645655841.0001451.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.03244325E-41.13243295E-41.09684771.0E-52.4854968E-44.424012E-44.5239675E-41.0225941.0E-50.00302189330.00537303230.0053829791.00185121.0E-50.0298112950.0523915250.0524011.00018081.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.746299E-59.746212E-51.11432411.0E-52.1369329E-43.74788E-43.8478427E-41.02667181.0E-50.00259861140.00455358620.00456354071.00218611.0E-50.0256843360.0446592420.0446687941.00021391.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.314978E-58.314905E-51.13669591.0E-51.8358172E-43.134617E-43.2345855E-41.03189181.0E-50.00223281630.0038097760.00381973781.00261491.0E-50.0221051460.037698140.037707761.00025521.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.782815E-56.7827576E-51.17291621.0E-51.478537E-42.4781158E-42.578091E-41.04034331.0E-50.00179863230.00301296240.00302293221.0033091.0E-50.0178414420.0300554840.0300651831.00032271.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.235045E-55.2350028E-51.2361151.0E-51.1017697E-41.814894E-41.9148759E-41.05508961.0E-50.00134057910.00220741240.00221739031.00452021.0E-50.0133252080.0221382940.022148071.00044171.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.9931185E-53.9930885E-51.33408981.0E-57.715383E-51.2827021E-41.3826894E-41.07795051.0E-59.3894306E-40.00156057360.0015705581.00639781.0E-50.0093498570.0157313160.0157411581.00062571.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.7221282E-53.722101E-51.36734961.0E-56.683753E-51.1665744E-41.2665626E-41.08571111.0E-58.134431E-40.00141938120.00142936711.00703541.0E-50.0081047190.01432155350.014331411.00068821.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-52.0482948E-52.0482948E-51.00.04.761474E-58.778112E-58.778112E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00106821260.00106821261.00.00.00578046120.0108106030.0108106031.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.1402166E-51.1402166E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.886551E-54.886551E-51.00.03.241884E-45.947753E-45.947753E-41.00.00.00323715880.00608477560.00608477561.00.0
7.85.305533E-61.0313342E-51.0313342E-51.00.02.27378E-54.419929E-54.419929E-51.00.02.7679754E-45.3799356E-45.3799356E-41.00.00.00276453020.00549745560.00549745561.00.0
7.93.363505E-68.083664E-68.083664E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.4643817E-53.4643817E-51.00.01.7548777E-44.217069E-44.217069E-41.00.00.00175349260.00428380630.00428380631.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.8365528E-64.8365528E-61.00.08.687599E-62.0727919E-52.0727919E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.5233327E-42.5233327E-41.00.00.00105716060.00255648540.00255648541.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.6157386E-62.6157386E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.1210261E-51.1210261E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.3647642E-41.3647642E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00138932080.00138932081.00.0

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.4267689E-52.4596113E-52.4596113E-51.00.01.0400023E-41.0540767E-41.0540767E-41.00.00.00126546730.00128258580.0012925731.00778681.0E-50.01258285250.01282777450.0128376461.00076961.0E-5
6.12.4267689E-52.4596113E-52.4596113E-51.00.01.0400023E-41.0540767E-41.0540767E-41.00.00.00126546730.00128258580.0012925731.00778681.0E-50.01258285250.01282777450.0128376461.00076961.0E-5
6.22.4267689E-52.4596113E-52.4596113E-51.00.01.0400023E-41.0540767E-41.0540767E-41.00.00.00126546730.00128258580.0012925731.00778681.0E-50.01258285250.01282777450.0128376461.00076961.0E-5
6.32.4170902E-52.4596113E-52.4596113E-51.00.01.03585466E-41.0540767E-41.0540767E-41.00.00.00126042330.00128258580.0012925731.00778681.0E-50.0125329830.01282777450.0128376461.00076961.0E-5
6.42.2870605E-52.4303437E-52.4303437E-51.00.09.8013195E-51.0415345E-41.0415345E-41.00.00.00119265740.00126733350.00127732081.00788061.0E-50.0118627680.0126769930.0126868661.00077881.0E-5
6.52.2672486E-52.419305E-52.419305E-51.00.09.716418E-51.03680395E-41.03680395E-41.00.00.00118233180.00126158070.00127156811.00791661.0E-50.0117606110.0126201210.0126299951.00078241.0E-5
6.62.1276646E-52.298212E-52.298212E-51.00.09.118244E-59.8491095E-59.8491095E-51.00.00.00110958070.00119847190.00120845981.00833391.0E-50.0110405690.0119959870.01200586651.00082361.0E-5
6.71.9706355E-52.1629654E-52.1629654E-51.00.08.445307E-59.2695234E-59.2695234E-51.00.00.00102773110.0011279820.00113797071.00885531.0E-50.0102299110.0112984270.0113083141.00087511.0E-5
6.81.8744462E-52.1129528E-52.1129528E-51.00.08.033094E-59.055199E-59.055199E-51.00.09.775903E-40.00110191470.00111190361.00906521.0E-50.0097330090.0110403690.0110502591.00089571.0E-5
6.91.7559682E-52.016837E-52.016837E-51.00.07.5253614E-58.643302E-58.643302E-51.00.09.158276E-40.00105181550.0010618051.00949741.0E-50.00912062450.0105442080.0105541031.00093841.0E-5
7.01.6794445E-51.9428173E-51.9428173E-51.00.07.197421E-58.326095E-58.326095E-51.00.08.759337E-40.00101323220.0010232221.00985941.0E-50.0087248910.010161860.0101717591.0009741.0E-5
7.11.6337795E-51.8924316E-51.8924316E-51.00.07.0017246E-58.11017E-58.11017E-51.00.08.521265E-49.869674E-49.969575E-41.01012211.0E-50.0084886640.009901470.009911371.00099991.0E-5
7.21.5780008E-51.837105E-51.837105E-51.00.06.762685E-57.873071E-57.873071E-51.00.08.2304585E-49.581262E-49.681166E-41.0104271.0E-50.0082000420.00961551350.0096254171.001031.0E-5
7.31.5058865E-51.7824654E-51.7824654E-51.00.06.45364E-57.6389144E-57.6389144E-51.00.07.854473E-49.296423E-49.39633E-41.01074681.0E-50.007826770.0093326060.0093425121.00106161.0E-5
7.41.4887923E-51.7663724E-51.7663724E-51.00.06.380382E-57.569948E-57.569948E-51.00.07.7653467E-49.2125277E-49.312435E-41.01084481.0E-50.00773826750.0092491510.0092590581.00107121.0E-5
7.51.4509299E-51.727059E-51.727059E-51.00.06.218123E-57.4014715E-57.4014715E-51.00.07.567935E-49.007579E-49.107489E-41.01109171.0E-50.00754221340.0090454180.0090553281.00109551.0E-5
7.61.2756717E-51.5314343E-51.5314343E-51.00.05.4670498E-56.563125E-56.563125E-51.00.06.6541E-47.987683E-48.087603E-41.01250921.0E-50.0066342110.0080327960.0080427161.00123491.0E-5
7.71.0328985E-51.269398E-51.269398E-51.00.04.4266326E-55.4401644E-55.4401644E-51.00.05.388092E-46.621392E-46.721326E-41.01509261.0E-50.00537504670.00667571650.006685651.0014881.0E-5
7.87.0306583E-69.914953E-69.914953E-61.00.03.0131043E-54.2491964E-54.2491964E-51.00.03.667837E-45.1721703E-45.272119E-41.01932421.0E-50.0036617890.00522102560.00523097351.00190531.0E-5
7.94.060633E-66.047134E-66.047134E-61.00.01.7402595E-52.5916032E-52.5916032E-51.00.02.11856E-43.1548212E-43.1548212E-41.00.00.00211654140.00318585060.00318585061.00.0
8.01.6729537E-62.2679267E-62.2679267E-61.00.07.169782E-69.719649E-69.719649E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.1833035E-41.1833035E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.0011959060.0011959061.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.407724E-73.407724E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.4604525E-61.4604525E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.7780883E-51.7780883E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.7992096E-41.7992096E-41.00.0

San Pedro Basin

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.38189E-56.38189E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.734838E-42.734838E-41.00.00.00278508360.00332519270.00333515931.00299741.0E-50.0275043660.0328165630.0328262341.00029471.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.38189E-56.38189E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.734838E-42.734838E-41.00.00.00278508360.00332519270.00333515931.00299741.0E-50.0275043660.0328165630.0328262341.00029471.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6795013E-52.6795013E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1483099E-41.1483099E-41.00.00.00120927490.00139721810.00139721811.00.00.0120271550.013889240.013889241.00.0
6.32.3189454E-52.6795013E-52.6795013E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1483099E-41.1483099E-41.00.00.00120927490.00139721810.00139721811.00.00.0120271550.013889240.013889241.00.0
6.41.966056E-52.2586462E-52.2586462E-51.00.08.425682E-59.679577E-59.679577E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117789190.00117789191.00.00.0102062590.0117206150.0117206151.00.0
6.51.7342953E-51.9850433E-51.9850433E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.507072E-58.507072E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00103528130.00103528131.00.00.0090085610.0103083480.0103083481.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6407039E-51.6407039E-51.00.06.170443E-57.031417E-57.031417E-51.00.07.509924E-48.557713E-48.557713E-41.00.00.00748459530.0085279980.0085279981.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4357658E-51.4357658E-51.00.05.414838E-56.1531544E-56.1531544E-51.00.06.590571E-47.489199E-47.489199E-41.00.00.0065710590.00746701660.00746701661.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2997811E-51.2997811E-51.00.04.911726E-55.5703884E-55.5703884E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.7801384E-46.7801384E-41.00.00.00596232760.00676242730.00676242731.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0284625E-51.0284625E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.407638E-54.407638E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.3652615E-45.3652615E-41.00.00.00474170830.00535509460.00535509461.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.612855E-66.612855E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.8340633E-52.8340633E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4501648E-43.4501648E-41.00.00.00309207060.0034471530.0034471531.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2125341E-62.2125341E-61.00.09.238933E-69.482256E-69.482256E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.154405E-41.154405E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115382080.00115382081.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1808416E-62.1808416E-61.00.09.107958E-69.346431E-69.346431E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.1378702E-41.1378702E-41.00.00.00110828450.0011373030.0011373031.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7462183E-61.7462183E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.483772E-67.483772E-61.00.08.94604E-59.111121E-59.111121E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.107477E-49.107477E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4656396E-61.4656396E-61.00.06.200554E-66.281298E-66.281298E-61.00.07.548913E-57.647219E-57.647219E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6446607E-47.6446607E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.294376E-61.294376E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5473142E-65.5473142E-61.00.06.680587E-56.753653E-56.753653E-51.00.06.678579E-46.7516713E-46.7516713E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.772893E-76.772893E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9026655E-62.9026655E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.533944E-53.533944E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.533439E-43.533439E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5255955E-84.5255955E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9395408E-71.9395408E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3613886E-62.3613886E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3613657E-52.3613657E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5285194E-91.5285194E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.5507972E-96.5507972E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.975596E-87.975596E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.9755955E-77.9755955E-71.00.0

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3261257E-53.3261025E-51.42988941.0E-59.2335285E-59.968774E-51.0968675E-41.10030331.0E-50.00112360230.00121310310.00122309091.00823331.0E-50.0111793810.0120728430.0120827221.00081831.0E-5
6.12.1545662E-52.3261257E-53.3261025E-51.42988941.0E-59.2335285E-59.968774E-51.0968675E-41.10030331.0E-50.00112360230.00121310310.00122309091.00823331.0E-50.0111793810.0120728430.0120827221.00081831.0E-5
6.22.1545662E-52.3261257E-53.3261025E-51.42988941.0E-59.2335285E-59.968774E-51.0968675E-41.10030331.0E-50.00112360230.00121310310.00122309091.00823331.0E-50.0111793810.0120728430.0120827221.00081831.0E-5
6.31.0025529E-51.0776022E-52.0775913E-51.92797631.0E-54.2965847E-54.6182206E-55.6181743E-51.21652361.0E-55.229836E-45.621366E-45.7213096E-41.01777921.0E-50.0052175450.00560846650.00561841071.0017731.0E-5
6.41.0025529E-51.0776022E-52.0775913E-51.92797631.0E-54.2965847E-54.6182206E-55.6181743E-51.21652361.0E-55.229836E-45.621366E-45.7213096E-41.01777921.0E-50.0052175450.00560846650.00561841071.0017731.0E-5
6.56.9617327E-67.4765694E-61.7476495E-52.33750181.0E-52.9835655E-53.2042095E-54.2041775E-51.31207941.0E-53.6318856E-43.900514E-44.0004752E-41.02562761.0E-50.00362595570.0038945270.00390448821.00255781.0E-5
6.64.9919777E-65.3609756E-61.5360922E-52.8653221.0E-52.1394015E-52.2975446E-53.2975215E-51.43523731.0E-52.60441E-42.796969E-42.896941E-41.0357431.0E-50.00260135970.00279411070.00280408281.0035691.0E-5
6.73.6630722E-63.935162E-63.935162E-61.00.01.5698786E-51.6864904E-51.6864904E-51.00.01.9111596E-42.0531664E-42.0531664E-41.00.00.00190951680.00205183560.00205183561.00.0
6.82.5599613E-62.7523838E-62.7523838E-61.00.01.0971216E-51.1795905E-51.1795905E-51.00.01.3356637E-41.4361065E-41.4361065E-41.00.00.00133486130.00143566610.00143566611.00.0
6.91.7684905E-61.9020493E-61.9020493E-61.00.07.579223E-68.15164E-68.15164E-61.00.09.2273134E-59.9246216E-59.9246216E-51.00.09.223483E-49.924622E-49.924622E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.358289E-42.5566865E-42.656661E-41.03910321.0E-55.8199395E-40.00109512930.00110511841.00912131.0E-50.00706277970.0132283670.0132382351.00074591.0E-50.068424830.12261060.1226193761.00007151.0E-5
6.11.2634568E-42.3947013E-42.4946773E-41.04174891.0E-55.4136914E-40.00102577740.00103576711.00973871.0E-50.00657126770.0123959820.0124058571.00079671.0E-50.063803170.1153572350.115366081.00007671.0E-5
6.21.1466059E-42.1746248E-42.2746032E-41.0459751.0E-54.9130997E-49.315419E-49.415326E-41.01072491.0E-50.0059653050.0112651430.0112750311.00087771.0E-50.058076940.10552530.105534251.00008481.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.6107288E-41.7107127E-41.06207371.0E-53.7244044E-46.9009006E-47.0008315E-41.01448081.0E-50.0045250380.0083636330.008373551.00118571.0E-50.0443399920.079958690.079967891.0001151.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5833296E-41.6833137E-41.0631481.0E-53.646556E-46.7835365E-46.8834686E-41.01473151.0E-50.00443064750.0082218270.0082317451.00120631.0E-50.043433450.078648430.078657651.00011721.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5672547E-41.6672391E-41.06379581.0E-53.602201E-46.7146873E-46.81462E-41.01488271.0E-50.0043768630.00813872550.0081486441.00121871.0E-50.0429165550.077885240.0778944641.00011841.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.532713E-41.6326977E-41.06523381.0E-53.5115483E-46.566754E-46.666688E-41.01521831.0E-50.00426693170.00796029250.0079702131.00124621.0E-50.041859270.0762558360.0762650741.00012111.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4998848E-41.5998699E-41.06666181.0E-53.433402E-46.426151E-46.526087E-41.01555141.0E-50.0041721570.00779075830.00780068061.00127351.0E-50.0409469120.07471510.0747243541.00012391.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.3081204E-41.4081073E-41.07643561.0E-53.0509746E-45.6048884E-45.704832E-41.01783161.0E-50.00370823570.00679983660.00680976871.00146071.0E-50.0364696420.0656521540.06566151.00014231.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-51.0155417E-41.11553156E-41.09845961.0E-52.4573295E-44.3516E-44.4515566E-41.02297011.0E-50.00298769420.00528528360.00529523051.00188211.0E-50.029478440.0516267230.0516362081.00018371.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.518439E-59.518353E-51.11738241.0E-52.0889717E-43.6502522E-43.7502157E-41.02738541.0E-50.00254035650.0044351950.0044451511.00224471.0E-50.0251151210.043591280.0436008461.00021931.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.4876065E-58.487532E-51.1335441.0E-51.8426418E-43.2085832E-43.308551E-41.03115641.0E-50.0022411080.00389951560.00390947661.00255441.0E-50.0221864120.038481350.0384909661.00024991.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.6021134E-56.602058E-51.17849411.0E-51.3804805E-42.4006865E-42.5006625E-41.04164471.0E-50.00167943930.00291894840.00292891921.0034161.0E-50.0166680370.0290468990.0290566091.00033431.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-54.1171155E-55.1170744E-51.24287861.0E-51.0180973E-41.7643598E-41.864342E-41.05666781.0E-50.00123882860.002146010.00215598851.00464981.0E-50.0123194520.0214622560.021472041.0004561.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.866476E-53.866447E-51.34885051.0E-56.8559704E-51.228432E-41.3284196E-41.08139461.0E-58.343947E-40.00149459250.00150457751.00668081.0E-50.0083126870.0150158890.0150257391.0006561.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.6054702E-53.6054444E-51.38379791.0E-55.9202768E-51.1165824E-41.2165713E-41.0895491.0E-57.205553E-40.00135859390.00136858041.00735061.0E-50.0071822340.0136699860.013679851.00072161.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.743802E-51.743802E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.473224E-57.473224E-51.00.04.5997082E-49.0948667E-49.0948667E-41.00.00.0045901990.0092073290.0092073291.00.0
7.74.0352206E-68.418573E-68.418573E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.60791E-53.60791E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.391746E-44.391746E-41.00.00.00210330960.00450941970.00450941971.00.0
7.83.413169E-67.4207996E-67.4207996E-61.00.01.4627784E-53.180304E-53.180304E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.871333E-43.871333E-41.00.00.00177936090.003972240.003972241.00.0
7.92.4740732E-65.782265E-65.782265E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.47809E-52.47809E-51.00.01.2908543E-43.0166577E-43.0166577E-41.00.00.00129010470.00307703370.00307703371.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.606448E-63.606448E-61.00.06.527906E-61.5456115E-51.5456115E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.88162E-41.88162E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00191046550.00191046551.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.2473023E-62.2473023E-61.00.04.330503E-69.631261E-69.631261E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.1725433E-41.1725433E-41.00.05.271009E-40.00119171550.00119171551.00.0

Walker Spring 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.791276E-69.240644E-61.9240553E-52.08216551.0E-53.767635E-53.9602222E-54.9601826E-51.25250111.0E-54.58613E-44.8206118E-44.9205637E-41.02073431.0E-50.0045766770.00481122270.0048211751.00206851.0E-5
6.18.791276E-69.240644E-61.9240553E-52.08216551.0E-53.767635E-53.9602222E-54.9601826E-51.25250111.0E-54.58613E-44.8206118E-44.9205637E-41.02073431.0E-50.0045766770.00481122270.0048211751.00206851.0E-5
6.25.654515E-65.984543E-65.984543E-61.00.02.4233412E-52.5647818E-52.5647818E-51.00.02.9500184E-43.1222243E-43.1222243E-41.00.00.00294610530.003118330.003118331.00.0
6.34.591685E-64.883075E-64.883075E-61.00.01.96785E-52.092732E-52.092732E-51.00.02.395594E-42.547647E-42.547647E-41.00.00.0023930130.00254515420.00254515421.00.0
6.44.243283E-64.5116444E-64.5116444E-61.00.01.8185372E-51.9335499E-51.9335499E-51.00.02.2138441E-42.3538848E-42.3538848E-41.00.00.002211640.0023518050.0023518051.00.0
6.53.4445666E-63.6770862E-63.6770862E-61.00.01.4762345E-51.575887E-51.575887E-51.00.01.7971672E-41.9185133E-41.9185133E-41.00.00.00179571450.001917250.001917251.00.0
6.62.68766E-62.8721752E-62.8721752E-61.00.01.1518492E-51.2309286E-51.2309286E-51.00.01.4022861E-41.4985904E-41.4985904E-41.00.00.00140140160.00149795190.00149795191.00.0
6.75.880964E-76.181621E-76.181621E-71.00.02.5204106E-62.6492642E-62.6492642E-61.00.03.0685565E-53.2254407E-53.2254407E-51.00.03.068133E-43.225066E-43.225066E-41.00.0
6.81.6514163E-71.7349757E-71.7349757E-71.00.07.077497E-77.43561E-77.43561E-71.00.08.616818E-69.052855E-69.052855E-61.00.08.616484E-59.052855E-59.052855E-51.00.0

Concord 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.765594E-59.8195254E-51.08194276E-41.10182791.0E-52.4707348E-44.2077052E-44.307663E-41.02375591.0E-50.00300397030.00511134040.00512128931.00194641.0E-50.0296368650.0495359750.0495454781.00019191.0E-5
6.15.765594E-59.8195254E-51.08194276E-41.10182791.0E-52.4707348E-44.2077052E-44.307663E-41.02375591.0E-50.00300397030.00511134040.00512128931.00194641.0E-50.0296368650.0495359750.0495454781.00019191.0E-5
6.25.678553E-59.6839416E-51.06838444E-41.10325371.0E-52.4334386E-44.149616E-44.2495746E-41.02408861.0E-50.00295868660.00504100280.0050509521.00197371.0E-50.0291960350.0488692220.0488787371.00019471.0E-5
6.35.20309E-58.8977584E-58.8977584E-51.00.02.2297051E-43.8128128E-43.8128128E-41.00.00.00271128650.0046330210.0046330211.00.00.0267844480.0449928940.0449928941.00.0
6.44.7120942E-57.980965E-57.980965E-51.00.02.0193127E-43.4200083E-43.4200083E-41.00.00.00245574120.0041566730.0041566731.00.00.0242878010.040471490.040471491.00.0
6.52.9598437E-54.7147696E-54.7147696E-51.00.01.2684427E-42.0204713E-42.0204713E-41.00.00.0015432350.00245736450.00245736451.00.00.0153256190.0241434950.0241434951.00.0
6.62.0443718E-53.0253836E-53.0253836E-51.00.08.7613E-51.2965307E-41.2965307E-41.00.00.00106616620.00157742020.00157742021.00.00.0106106550.015602560.015602561.00.0
6.71.798539E-52.5780308E-52.5780308E-51.00.07.7077966E-51.1048248E-41.1048248E-41.00.09.380202E-40.00134431630.00134431631.00.00.0093407060.0133305440.0133305441.00.0
6.81.613555E-52.2094091E-52.2094091E-51.00.06.915052E-59.46856E-59.46856E-51.00.08.4158237E-40.00115220170.00115220171.00.00.0083840230.0114483630.0114483631.00.0
6.91.2916435E-51.7162292E-51.7162292E-51.00.05.5354973E-57.355064E-57.355064E-51.00.06.7373837E-48.95117E-48.95117E-41.00.00.0067169940.0089087950.0089087951.00.0
7.09.81129E-61.2697755E-51.2697755E-51.00.04.2047708E-55.4417822E-55.4417822E-51.00.05.118106E-46.6233723E-46.6233723E-41.00.00.0051063340.00660330340.00660330341.00.0
7.18.0889195E-61.04684605E-51.04684605E-51.00.03.4666336E-54.4864064E-54.4864064E-51.00.04.219809E-45.4608413E-45.4608413E-41.00.00.0042118050.005447120.005447121.00.0
7.26.267438E-68.151732E-68.151732E-61.00.02.6860173E-53.4935532E-53.4935532E-51.00.03.2697353E-44.2525784E-44.2525784E-41.00.00.00326492850.0042445240.0042445241.00.0
7.33.6761196E-64.859527E-64.859527E-61.00.01.5754704E-52.0826381E-52.0826381E-51.00.01.9179663E-42.535319E-42.535319E-41.00.00.00191631180.00253242070.00253242071.00.0
7.42.8044356E-63.722706E-63.722706E-61.00.01.2018954E-51.5954356E-51.5954356E-51.00.01.4632095E-41.942271E-41.942271E-41.00.00.00146224640.00194066960.00194066961.00.0
7.52.4578699E-63.2556081E-63.2556081E-61.00.01.0533685E-51.3952532E-51.3952532E-51.00.01.2824008E-41.6985895E-41.6985895E-41.00.00.00128166090.00169736470.00169736471.00.0
7.61.7713267E-62.3424666E-62.3424666E-61.00.07.591378E-61.0039104E-51.0039104E-51.00.09.2421105E-51.2221934E-41.2221934E-41.00.09.2382677E-40.0012215770.0012215771.00.0
7.75.1912366E-76.845115E-76.845115E-71.00.02.2248137E-62.9336177E-62.9336177E-61.00.02.708677E-53.571622E-53.571622E-51.00.02.708347E-43.5714023E-43.5714023E-41.00.0

Owl Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.690561E-56.690561E-51.00.02.1564208E-42.867132E-42.867132E-41.00.00.00262228120.00348598930.00349595421.00285861.0E-50.025915530.034414190.0344238471.00028061.0E-5
6.15.0320643E-56.690561E-56.690561E-51.00.02.1564208E-42.867132E-42.867132E-41.00.00.00262228120.00348598930.00349595421.00285861.0E-50.025915530.034414190.0344238471.00028061.0E-5
6.22.4125871E-53.1093543E-53.1093543E-51.00.01.0339249E-41.3325238E-41.3325238E-41.00.00.00125807660.00162130990.00162130991.00.00.0125097810.0161278470.0161278471.00.0
6.31.7433485E-52.2377013E-52.2377013E-51.00.07.471279E-59.589887E-59.589887E-51.00.09.0924866E-40.00116708280.00116708281.00.00.0090553730.0116396540.0116396541.00.0
6.41.7433485E-52.2377013E-52.2377013E-51.00.07.471279E-59.589887E-59.589887E-51.00.09.0924866E-40.00116708280.00116708281.00.00.0090553730.0116396540.0116396541.00.0
6.51.5182742E-51.9419043E-51.9419043E-51.00.06.506727E-58.322269E-58.322269E-51.00.07.919061E-40.00101290260.00101290261.00.00.00789090.0101129430.0101129431.00.0
6.66.7271576E-68.422827E-68.422827E-61.00.02.8830356E-53.6097357E-53.6097357E-51.00.03.5095305E-44.3940195E-44.3940195E-41.00.00.00350399320.004402910.004402911.00.0
6.76.682835E-68.355004E-68.355004E-61.00.02.8640408E-53.5806697E-53.5806697E-51.00.03.4864116E-44.3586458E-44.3586458E-41.00.00.0034809470.0043677180.0043677181.00.0
6.86.5774975E-68.199685E-68.199685E-61.00.02.8188972E-53.514106E-53.514106E-51.00.03.4314668E-44.2776365E-44.2776365E-41.00.00.00342617280.00428688850.00428688851.00.0
6.96.363419E-67.871173E-67.871173E-61.00.02.727151E-53.373319E-53.373319E-51.00.03.3198006E-44.1062938E-44.1062938E-41.00.00.00331484550.00411597130.00411597131.00.0
7.06.1342453E-67.5056178E-67.5056178E-61.00.02.6289357E-53.2166565E-53.2166565E-51.00.03.2002592E-43.9156264E-43.9156264E-41.00.00.00319565440.0039258110.0039258111.00.0
7.15.842926E-67.0256065E-67.0256065E-61.00.02.504087E-53.0109422E-53.0109422E-51.00.03.0482994E-43.6652558E-43.6652558E-41.00.00.00304412140.00367614350.00367614351.00.0
7.24.77173E-65.284593E-65.284593E-61.00.02.045011E-52.264808E-52.264808E-51.00.02.4895166E-42.757092E-42.757092E-41.00.00.00248672930.0027695020.0027695021.00.0
7.33.0494948E-62.7569358E-62.7569358E-61.00.01.3069198E-51.1815387E-51.1815387E-51.00.01.5910587E-41.4384299E-41.4384299E-41.00.00.00158991990.00144692510.00144692511.00.0
7.42.7263884E-62.3779385E-62.3779385E-61.00.01.1684469E-51.01911255E-51.01911255E-51.00.01.4224913E-41.2407E-41.2407E-41.00.00.00142158110.00124846570.00124846571.00.0
7.52.6090431E-62.2451466E-62.2451466E-61.00.01.1181565E-59.622022E-69.622022E-61.00.01.3612706E-41.1714191E-41.1714191E-41.00.00.0013604370.00117908460.00117908461.00.0
7.62.3008756E-61.960534E-61.960534E-61.00.09.860858E-68.402262E-68.402262E-61.00.01.20049335E-41.02292826E-41.02292826E-41.00.00.0011998450.00103042780.00103042781.00.0
7.71.7184348E-61.4343293E-61.4343293E-61.00.07.3646997E-66.1471114E-66.1471114E-61.00.08.966153E-57.483856E-57.483856E-51.00.08.962536E-47.5578643E-47.5578643E-41.00.0
7.88.4612907E-79.200923E-79.200923E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.943247E-63.943247E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.8007998E-54.8007998E-51.00.04.414008E-44.8536554E-44.8536554E-41.00.0
7.92.716738E-74.16187E-74.16187E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.7836574E-61.7836574E-61.00.01.4175452E-52.1715825E-52.1715825E-51.00.01.4174548E-42.187714E-42.187714E-41.00.0
8.02.1995428E-83.7478628E-83.7478628E-81.00.09.426611E-81.6062269E-71.6062269E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.9555803E-61.9555803E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.9854804E-51.9854804E-51.00.0

Death Valley (No)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2603004E-53.2602777E-51.4424091.0E-58.603206E-59.686646E-51.068655E-41.10322491.0E-50.0010469370.00117871860.00118870681.00847381.0E-50.0104201830.011725590.0117354721.00084281.0E-5
6.12.0074807E-52.2603004E-53.2602777E-51.4424091.0E-58.603206E-59.686646E-51.068655E-41.10322491.0E-50.0010469370.00117871860.00118870681.00847381.0E-50.0104201830.011725590.0117354721.00084281.0E-5
6.22.0074807E-52.2603004E-53.2602777E-51.4424091.0E-58.603206E-59.686646E-51.068655E-41.10322491.0E-50.0010469370.00117871860.00118870681.00847381.0E-50.0104201830.011725590.0117354721.00084281.0E-5
6.31.9050609E-52.143392E-52.143392E-51.00.08.164292E-59.185646E-59.185646E-51.00.09.935491E-40.00111778550.00111778551.00.00.0098911880.0111224640.0111224641.00.0
6.41.9050609E-52.143392E-52.143392E-51.00.08.164292E-59.185646E-59.185646E-51.00.09.935491E-40.00111778550.00111778551.00.00.0098911880.0111224640.0111224641.00.0
6.51.8367004E-52.065403E-52.065403E-51.00.07.8713354E-58.85143E-58.85143E-51.00.09.5791375E-40.00107713540.00107713541.00.00.0095379510.0107199410.0107199411.00.0
6.61.779439E-52.0000633E-52.0000633E-51.00.07.625944E-58.5714215E-58.5714215E-51.00.09.280632E-40.00104307740.00104307741.00.00.0092419690.01038258150.01038258151.00.0
6.71.7025437E-51.9128918E-51.9128918E-51.00.07.296412E-58.197854E-58.197854E-51.00.08.87976E-49.97638E-49.97638E-41.00.00.0088443620.009932320.009932321.00.0
6.81.6545107E-51.8595889E-51.8595889E-51.00.07.090568E-57.969427E-57.969427E-51.00.08.629347E-49.69852E-49.69852E-41.00.00.0085959150.0096569040.0096569041.00.0
6.91.615478E-51.8169476E-51.8169476E-51.00.06.9232934E-57.786689E-57.786689E-51.00.08.4258494E-49.476233E-49.476233E-41.00.00.0083939730.0094365250.0094365251.00.0
7.01.5894311E-51.7886528E-51.7886528E-51.00.06.81167E-57.665433E-57.665433E-51.00.08.2900526E-49.32873E-49.32873E-41.00.00.0082591950.0092902660.0092902661.00.0
7.11.5602263E-51.7563212E-51.7563212E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.526877E-57.526877E-51.00.08.137789E-49.1601815E-49.1601815E-41.00.00.0081080520.0091231130.0091231131.00.0
7.21.5323829E-51.7248873E-51.7248873E-51.00.06.56719E-57.392168E-57.392168E-51.00.07.99262E-48.9963095E-48.9963095E-41.00.00.0079639340.0089605740.0089605741.00.0
7.31.4556212E-51.6376403E-51.6376403E-51.00.06.238227E-57.018273E-57.018273E-51.00.07.592395E-48.541457E-48.541457E-41.00.00.00756650740.0085092780.0085092781.00.0
7.41.411725E-51.587954E-51.587954E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.805343E-56.805343E-51.00.07.363519E-48.282414E-48.282414E-41.00.00.00733916740.0082521870.0082521871.00.0
7.51.3503312E-51.5195004E-51.5195004E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.511986E-56.511986E-51.00.07.043401E-47.925517E-47.925517E-41.00.00.0070211190.0078978830.0078978831.00.0
7.61.1279839E-51.2683281E-51.2683281E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4355816E-55.4355816E-51.00.05.88396E-46.6158647E-46.6158647E-41.00.00.0058684050.0065967270.0065967271.00.0
7.79.189108E-61.0329636E-51.0329636E-51.00.03.93813E-54.4269145E-54.4269145E-51.00.04.7936183E-45.388487E-45.388487E-41.00.00.0047832910.0053759370.0053759371.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.6558185E-73.6558185E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5667785E-61.5667785E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9075365E-51.9075365E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9073773E-41.9073773E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6740044E-92.6740044E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1460019E-81.1460019E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3952572E-71.3952572E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3952573E-61.3952573E-61.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.11.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.21.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.31.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.41.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.51.15488665E-51.1102476E-51.1102476E-51.00.04.9494203E-54.7581245E-54.7581245E-51.00.06.024253E-45.7916046E-45.8915466E-41.01725641.0E-50.0060079480.00577778460.0057877271.00172081.0E-5
6.67.587044E-66.9512903E-66.9512903E-61.00.03.2515498E-52.979092E-52.979092E-51.00.03.9580427E-43.6264703E-43.6264703E-41.00.00.0039510.0036208450.0036208451.00.0
6.77.587044E-66.9512903E-66.9512903E-61.00.03.2515498E-52.979092E-52.979092E-51.00.03.9580427E-43.6264703E-43.6264703E-41.00.00.0039510.0036208450.0036208451.00.0
6.85.9026956E-65.1922266E-65.1922266E-61.00.02.5297022E-52.2252216E-52.2252216E-51.00.03.0794772E-42.708882E-42.708882E-41.00.00.00307521320.00270569670.00270569671.00.0
6.95.0118915E-64.2638444E-64.2638444E-61.00.02.1479358E-51.8273495E-51.8273495E-51.00.02.614798E-42.2245782E-42.2245782E-41.00.00.00261172350.00222242410.00222242411.00.0
7.04.4924795E-63.7245738E-63.7245738E-61.00.01.925334E-51.5962365E-51.5962365E-51.00.02.3438422E-41.943251E-41.943251E-41.00.00.00234137170.00194161480.00194161481.00.0
7.13.9118436E-63.1217153E-63.1217153E-61.00.01.6764936E-51.3378714E-51.3378714E-51.00.02.0409399E-41.6287425E-41.6287425E-41.00.00.00203906630.0016276050.0016276051.00.0
7.23.4200818E-62.6144523E-62.6144523E-61.00.01.4657411E-51.1204751E-51.1204751E-51.00.01.7843937E-41.364098E-41.364098E-41.00.00.00178296150.00136331060.00136331061.00.0
7.32.6593618E-61.8363178E-61.8363178E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.869911E-67.869911E-61.00.01.3875226E-49.5812255E-59.5812255E-51.00.00.00138665659.5773843E-49.5773843E-41.00.0
7.42.2577992E-61.4436483E-61.4436483E-61.00.09.676246E-66.187051E-66.187051E-61.00.01.1780193E-47.5325E-57.5325E-51.00.00.0011773957.5301976E-47.5301976E-41.00.0
7.51.489319E-67.410534E-77.410534E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.1759394E-63.1759394E-61.00.07.770758E-53.8666378E-53.8666378E-51.00.07.7680405E-43.8659695E-43.8659695E-41.00.0
7.61.0680322E-64.701467E-74.701467E-71.00.04.577273E-62.0149128E-62.0149128E-61.00.05.5726876E-52.4531291E-52.4531291E-51.00.05.5712904E-42.452861E-42.452861E-41.00.0
7.75.509146E-71.5799083E-71.5799083E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.771034E-76.771034E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.243704E-68.243704E-61.00.02.8741814E-48.24341E-58.24341E-51.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.071252E-59.0711714E-51.12388651.0E-52.8631336E-43.4586797E-43.558645E-41.02890281.0E-50.0034802940.0042033360.00421329351.0023691.0E-50.034262910.041295190.0413047751.00023211.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.071252E-59.0711714E-51.12388651.0E-52.8631336E-43.4586797E-43.558645E-41.02890281.0E-50.0034802940.0042033360.00421329351.0023691.0E-50.034262910.041295190.0413047751.00023211.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6284105E-54.6284105E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9834565E-41.9834565E-41.00.00.00205379450.00241224070.00241224071.00.00.0203491670.0238675830.0238675831.00.0
6.33.2590255E-53.788444E-53.788444E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6235196E-41.6235196E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197487420.00197487421.00.00.016861630.0195771120.0195771121.00.0
6.42.9454652E-53.408548E-53.408548E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4607259E-41.4607259E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177700930.00177700931.00.00.0152517390.0176311970.0176311971.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2243242E-53.2243242E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3817815E-41.3817815E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168104630.00168104631.00.00.0144568680.0166863310.0166863311.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5780728E-52.5780728E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1048424E-41.1048424E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134433030.00134433031.00.00.0116676150.0133636990.0133636991.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2689219E-52.2689219E-51.00.08.512331E-59.723595E-59.723595E-51.00.00.00103588360.0011832160.0011832161.00.00.0103106820.0117704580.0117704581.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.9002198E-51.9002198E-51.00.07.155907E-58.14355E-58.14355E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.910356E-49.910356E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098671910.0098671911.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72933E-51.72933E-51.00.06.522015E-57.411209E-57.411209E-51.00.07.93766E-49.0194994E-49.0194994E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089838410.0089838411.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4054104E-51.4054104E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.023053E-56.023053E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.330676E-47.330676E-41.00.00.00644564540.00730728260.00730728261.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2394166E-51.2394166E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3116815E-55.3116815E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.465127E-46.465127E-41.00.00.00568905850.0064470670.0064470671.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0861705E-51.0861705E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6549376E-54.6549376E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.665985E-45.665985E-41.00.00.00498619630.00565226470.00565226471.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.097757E-69.097757E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.898985E-53.898985E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7460507E-44.7460507E-41.00.00.00417429860.00473661950.00473661951.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.366579E-63.366579E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4428144E-51.4428144E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7565355E-41.7565355E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175564340.00175564341.00.0

Fitzhugh Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0164323E-63.007499E-63.007499E-61.00.01.7213168E-51.28892225E-51.28892225E-51.00.02.0955017E-41.5691592E-41.6691435E-41.06371841.0E-50.00209352680.00156814310.00157812741.0063671.0E-5
6.12.9741811E-63.007499E-63.007499E-61.00.01.2746428E-51.28892225E-51.28892225E-51.00.01.5517672E-41.5691592E-41.6691435E-41.06371841.0E-50.0015506840.00156814310.00157812741.0063671.0E-5
6.22.9741811E-63.007499E-63.007499E-61.00.01.2746428E-51.28892225E-51.28892225E-51.00.01.5517672E-41.5691592E-41.6691435E-41.06371841.0E-50.0015506840.00156814310.00157812741.0063671.0E-5
6.31.4781198E-61.4948303E-61.4948303E-61.00.06.3347834E-66.406401E-66.406401E-61.00.07.712326E-57.799534E-58.799456E-51.12820281.0E-57.70965E-47.796994E-47.8969164E-41.01281551.0E-5
6.41.4781198E-61.4948303E-61.4948303E-61.00.06.3347834E-66.406401E-66.406401E-61.00.07.712326E-57.799534E-58.799456E-51.12820281.0E-57.70965E-47.796994E-47.8969164E-41.01281551.0E-5
6.59.5176676E-79.625676E-79.625676E-71.00.04.078994E-64.125284E-64.125284E-61.00.04.9660623E-55.022428E-56.0223778E-51.19909691.0E-54.964952E-45.021396E-45.121346E-41.01990471.0E-5
6.66.21145E-76.2817196E-76.2817196E-71.00.02.662047E-62.6921632E-62.6921632E-61.00.03.2409942E-53.277666E-53.277666E-51.00.03.2405215E-43.277248E-43.277248E-41.00.0
6.72.2377962E-72.2625925E-72.2625925E-71.00.09.590551E-79.696823E-79.696823E-71.00.01.1676434E-51.180585E-51.180585E-51.00.01.1675821E-41.1805533E-41.1805533E-41.00.0
6.81.4785022E-71.4947285E-71.4947285E-71.00.06.3364365E-76.4059793E-76.4059793E-71.00.07.714584E-67.79928E-67.79928E-61.00.07.714316E-57.7992794E-57.7992794E-51.00.0

Great Valley 08 (Quinto)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.737697E-68.267834E-61.8267752E-52.20949651.0E-53.3161137E-53.54332E-54.5432847E-51.28221121.0E-54.0366207E-44.3133277E-44.4132845E-41.02317391.0E-50.0040292960.0043068160.0043167731.0023121.0E-5
6.17.737697E-68.267834E-61.8267752E-52.20949651.0E-53.3161137E-53.54332E-54.5432847E-51.28221121.0E-54.0366207E-44.3133277E-44.4132845E-41.02317391.0E-50.0040292960.0043068160.0043167731.0023121.0E-5
6.27.737697E-68.267834E-61.8267752E-52.20949651.0E-53.3161137E-53.54332E-54.5432847E-51.28221121.0E-54.0366207E-44.3133277E-44.4132845E-41.02317391.0E-50.0040292960.0043068160.0043167731.0023121.0E-5
6.35.374012E-65.759847E-61.575979E-52.73614721.0E-52.3031276E-52.4684889E-53.4684643E-51.40509621.0E-52.803697E-43.0050825E-43.1050525E-41.03326691.0E-50.00280016240.0030021160.0030120861.00332091.0E-5
6.45.374012E-65.759847E-61.575979E-52.73614721.0E-52.3031276E-52.4684889E-53.4684643E-51.40509621.0E-52.803697E-43.0050825E-43.1050525E-41.03326691.0E-50.00280016240.0030021160.0030120861.00332091.0E-5
6.53.65427E-63.9470588E-63.9470588E-61.00.01.5661062E-51.6915898E-51.6915898E-51.00.01.9065675E-42.0593865E-42.0593865E-41.00.00.00190493250.00205817210.00205817211.00.0
6.63.6143538E-63.904168E-63.904168E-61.00.01.5489995E-51.6732081E-51.6732081E-51.00.01.8857437E-42.0370111E-42.0370111E-41.00.00.00188414440.00203583790.00203583791.00.0
6.72.4821015E-62.6890623E-62.6890623E-61.00.01.0637535E-51.1524534E-51.1524534E-51.00.01.2950429E-41.4030783E-41.4030783E-41.00.00.00129428840.00140274910.00140274911.00.0
6.84.7110538E-75.1934643E-75.1934643E-71.00.02.0190216E-62.2257686E-62.2257686E-61.00.02.458131E-52.7098415E-52.7098415E-51.00.02.457859E-42.709529E-42.709529E-41.00.0
6.93.958685E-74.369957E-74.369957E-71.00.01.6965782E-61.8728374E-61.8728374E-61.00.02.0655643E-52.2801572E-52.2801572E-51.00.02.0653724E-42.2799395E-42.2799395E-41.00.0
7.02.70294E-72.9899883E-72.9899883E-71.00.01.1584025E-61.2814229E-61.2814229E-61.00.01.4103458E-51.5601225E-51.5601225E-51.00.01.4102564E-41.5600258E-41.5600258E-41.00.0
7.11.4828602E-71.6446825E-71.6446825E-71.00.06.3551136E-77.0486374E-77.0486374E-71.00.07.737323E-68.581691E-68.581691E-61.00.07.737054E-58.581439E-58.581439E-51.00.0

Red Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.562659E-68.562659E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6696696E-53.6696696E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4670858E-44.4670858E-41.00.00.00429979850.00445986870.0044698241.00223221.0E-5
6.13.649988E-63.7801842E-63.7801842E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6200716E-51.6200716E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9723063E-41.9723063E-41.00.00.00190270260.00197102460.00197102461.00.0
6.23.649988E-63.7801842E-63.7801842E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6200716E-51.6200716E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9723063E-41.9723063E-41.00.00.00190270260.00197102460.00197102461.00.0
6.31.3924937E-61.4430065E-61.4430065E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1843066E-66.1843066E-61.00.07.265574E-57.529275E-57.529275E-51.00.07.263199E-47.5281155E-47.5281155E-41.00.0
6.41.3924937E-61.4430065E-61.4430065E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1843066E-66.1843066E-61.00.07.265574E-57.529275E-57.529275E-51.00.07.263199E-47.5281155E-47.5281155E-41.00.0
6.59.876812E-71.0235325E-61.0235325E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.386568E-64.386568E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3406464E-55.3406464E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.3406466E-45.3406466E-41.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.394785E-53.394785E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4548411E-41.4548411E-41.00.00.00172979620.00177008980.00177008981.00.00.0171639320.0175856720.0175954981.00055861.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.394785E-53.394785E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4548411E-41.4548411E-41.00.00.00172979620.00177008980.00177008981.00.00.0171639320.0175856720.0175954981.00055861.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.394785E-53.394785E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4548411E-41.4548411E-41.00.00.00172979620.00177008980.00177008981.00.00.0171639320.0175856720.0175954981.00055861.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.394785E-53.394785E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.4548411E-41.4548411E-41.00.00.00172979620.00177008980.00177008981.00.00.0171639320.0175856720.0175954981.00055861.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7131855E-51.7131855E-51.00.08.037467E-57.34203E-57.34203E-51.00.09.781223E-48.935489E-48.935489E-41.00.00.0097382820.0089018480.0089018481.00.0
6.51.8754668E-51.7131855E-51.7131855E-51.00.08.037467E-57.34203E-57.34203E-51.00.09.781223E-48.935489E-48.935489E-41.00.00.0097382820.0089018480.0089018481.00.0
6.61.4361558E-51.2213336E-51.2213336E-51.00.06.154808E-55.234183E-55.234183E-51.00.07.490902E-46.370778E-46.370778E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063527040.0063527041.00.0
6.71.4361558E-51.2213336E-51.2213336E-51.00.06.154808E-55.234183E-55.234183E-51.00.07.490902E-46.370778E-46.370778E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063527040.0063527041.00.0
6.81.3663846E-51.1432113E-51.1432113E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8993857E-54.8993857E-51.00.07.127108E-45.9633894E-45.9633894E-41.00.00.0071042930.00594753540.00594753541.00.0
6.91.3644157E-51.141012E-51.141012E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8899612E-54.8899612E-51.00.07.116841E-45.9519213E-45.9519213E-41.00.00.0070940920.0059361280.0059361281.00.0
7.01.3568845E-51.1329052E-51.1329052E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8552185E-54.8552185E-51.00.07.077572E-45.909645E-45.909645E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058940770.0058940771.00.0
7.11.306572E-51.0802676E-51.0802676E-51.00.05.599474E-54.6296373E-54.6296373E-51.00.06.815227E-45.635145E-45.635145E-41.00.00.00679436370.00562099230.00562099231.00.0
7.21.232604E-51.0070403E-51.0070403E-51.00.05.2824813E-54.3158165E-54.3158165E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2532577E-45.2532577E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052409630.0052409631.00.0
7.31.0917261E-58.9057685E-68.9057685E-61.00.04.678742E-53.8167032E-53.8167032E-51.00.05.69488E-44.645861E-44.645861E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046362450.0046362451.00.0
7.41.039959E-58.482291E-68.482291E-61.00.04.456891E-53.635218E-53.635218E-51.00.05.424914E-44.4249947E-44.4249947E-41.00.00.00541168960.0044162760.0044162761.00.0
7.59.015877E-67.346529E-67.346529E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1484753E-53.1484753E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8326086E-43.8326086E-41.00.00.0046933290.00382607380.00382607381.00.0
7.64.900162E-63.8905014E-63.8905014E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6673472E-51.6673472E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0298074E-42.0298074E-41.00.00.00255357470.00202796720.00202796721.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.1387503E-63.1387503E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3451719E-51.3451719E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6376245E-41.6376245E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163642710.00163642711.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.037205E-62.037205E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.73085E-68.73085E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0629296E-41.0629296E-41.00.00.00128562250.00106242590.00106242591.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.286973E-73.286973E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4087019E-61.4087019E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7150815E-51.7150815E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7149521E-41.7149521E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.7090634E-95.7090634E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4467417E-82.4467417E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9789078E-72.9789078E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9789057E-62.9789057E-61.00.0

Butano 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.561135E-66.447286E-66.447286E-61.00.04.097565E-52.7630946E-52.7630946E-51.00.04.9876433E-43.3635704E-43.3635704E-41.00.00.0049764640.0033764450.00338641141.00295171.0E-5
6.19.561135E-66.447286E-66.447286E-61.00.04.097565E-52.7630946E-52.7630946E-51.00.04.9876433E-43.3635704E-43.3635704E-41.00.00.0049764640.0033764450.00338641141.00295171.0E-5
6.28.364741E-65.198394E-65.198394E-61.00.03.5848396E-52.2278648E-52.2278648E-51.00.04.3636683E-42.7121036E-42.7121036E-41.00.00.00435510930.00272670710.002736681.00365751.0E-5
6.38.364741E-65.198394E-65.198394E-61.00.03.5848396E-52.2278648E-52.2278648E-51.00.04.3636683E-42.7121036E-42.7121036E-41.00.00.00435510930.00272670710.002736681.00365751.0E-5
6.47.768282E-64.575339E-64.575339E-61.00.03.329221E-51.9608455E-51.9608455E-51.00.04.0525728E-42.3870816E-42.3870816E-41.00.00.00404519030.00240241570.00241239161.00415251.0E-5
6.57.673437E-64.474858E-64.474858E-61.00.03.2885746E-51.9177829E-51.9177829E-51.00.04.0031038E-42.3346642E-42.3346642E-41.00.00.00399590050.00235010920.00236008571.00424521.0E-5
6.67.5244197E-64.319479E-64.319479E-61.00.03.2247113E-51.851193E-51.851193E-51.00.03.9253788E-42.2536078E-42.2536078E-41.00.00.0039184520.00226922030.00227919761.00439681.0E-5
6.76.4921405E-63.256814E-63.256814E-61.00.02.7823162E-51.39577E-51.39577E-51.00.03.3869434E-41.6992183E-41.6992183E-41.00.00.0033817860.00171570280.00171570281.00.0
6.86.2890294E-63.0433894E-63.0433894E-61.00.02.6952705E-51.3043032E-51.3043032E-51.00.03.2809976E-41.5878743E-41.5878743E-41.00.00.00327615770.00160452460.00160452461.00.0
6.96.0965517E-62.849284E-62.849284E-61.00.02.6127816E-51.22111605E-51.22111605E-51.00.03.1805973E-41.4866081E-41.4866081E-41.00.00.00317604890.0015033990.0015033991.00.0
7.05.566252E-62.364051E-62.364051E-61.00.02.3855147E-51.0131607E-51.0131607E-51.00.02.9039773E-41.2334538E-41.2334538E-41.00.00.00290018530.00125055110.00125055111.00.0
7.13.878588E-61.7754578E-61.7754578E-61.00.01.6622414E-57.6090823E-67.6090823E-61.00.02.023591E-49.263664E-59.263664E-51.00.00.00202174939.4325567E-49.4325567E-41.00.0
7.23.7038085E-61.653574E-61.653574E-61.00.01.587337E-57.0867263E-67.0867263E-61.00.01.9324113E-48.627748E-58.627748E-51.00.00.00193073178.796779E-48.796779E-41.00.0
7.33.5277278E-61.5588197E-61.5588197E-61.00.01.5118746E-56.6806383E-66.6806383E-61.00.01.8405518E-48.133374E-58.133374E-51.00.00.00183902828.30178E-48.30178E-41.00.0
7.43.3711294E-61.4927019E-61.4927019E-61.00.01.4447617E-56.397278E-66.397278E-61.00.01.7588554E-47.788408E-57.788408E-51.00.00.00175746397.956451E-47.956451E-41.00.0
7.53.0496426E-61.3729367E-61.3729367E-61.00.01.3069831E-55.884001E-65.884001E-61.00.01.5911358E-47.163536E-57.163536E-51.00.00.0015899977.3312304E-47.3312304E-41.00.0
7.62.2179781E-61.016828E-61.016828E-61.00.09.505586E-64.357827E-64.357827E-61.00.01.1572436E-45.3055253E-55.3055253E-51.00.00.00115664125.473137E-45.473137E-41.00.0
7.71.7519328E-68.067336E-78.067336E-71.00.07.508262E-63.4574252E-63.4574252E-61.00.09.140925E-54.209334E-54.209334E-51.00.09.137166E-44.3693895E-44.3693895E-41.00.0
7.81.1478974E-67.193534E-77.193534E-71.00.04.9195505E-63.0829394E-63.0829394E-61.00.05.9893882E-53.753414E-53.753414E-51.00.05.9877743E-43.9096555E-43.9096555E-41.00.0
7.96.1154634E-76.470622E-76.470622E-71.00.02.6209104E-62.7731207E-62.7731207E-61.00.03.1909116E-53.3762222E-53.3762222E-51.00.03.1904536E-43.5184485E-43.5184485E-41.00.0
8.04.6520046E-76.005043E-76.005043E-71.00.01.9937147E-62.5735872E-62.5735872E-61.00.02.4273206E-53.1332973E-53.1332973E-51.00.02.4270554E-43.2651576E-43.2651576E-41.00.0
8.12.8425194E-73.535556E-73.535556E-71.00.01.218222E-61.5152375E-61.5152375E-61.00.01.4831752E-51.844786E-51.844786E-51.00.01.4830762E-41.9240272E-41.9240272E-41.00.0
8.25.585778E-84.904871E-84.904871E-81.00.02.3939046E-72.1020877E-72.1020877E-71.00.02.914575E-62.5592885E-62.5592885E-61.00.02.9145367E-52.7535074E-52.7535074E-51.00.0
8.31.0371215E-106.705436E-116.705436E-111.00.04.4448079E-102.873759E-102.873759E-101.00.05.4115543E-93.4988001E-93.4988001E-91.00.05.4115542E-83.956524E-83.956524E-81.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9722197E-43.07219E-41.03363491.0E-56.94276E-40.00127334520.00128333251.00784341.0E-50.0084200970.0154146830.0154245291.00063871.0E-50.0810811450.141053260.141061841.00006091.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.9722197E-43.07219E-41.03363491.0E-56.94276E-40.00127334520.00128333251.00784341.0E-50.0084200970.0154146830.0154245291.00063871.0E-50.0810811450.141053260.141061841.00006091.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.9722197E-43.07219E-41.03363491.0E-56.94276E-40.00127334520.00128333251.00784341.0E-50.0084200970.0154146830.0154245291.00063871.0E-50.0810811450.141053260.141061841.00006091.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7894202E-41.7894202E-41.00.04.332882E-47.667885E-47.667885E-41.00.00.0052625310.0093168730.0093168731.00.00.05139640.087718260.087718261.00.0
6.41.0111737E-41.7894202E-41.7894202E-41.00.04.332882E-47.667885E-47.667885E-41.00.00.0052625310.0093168730.0093168731.00.00.05139640.087718260.087718261.00.0
6.53.6624708E-54.6727506E-54.6727506E-51.00.01.569536E-42.0024746E-42.0024746E-41.00.00.0019092350.0024356580.0024356581.00.00.018929150.0238407810.0238407811.00.0
6.62.5051324E-52.6168977E-52.6168977E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12148184E-41.12148184E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136459290.00136459291.00.00.0129865250.0135662210.0135662211.00.0
6.72.2189772E-52.2058202E-52.2058202E-51.00.09.509556E-59.453193E-59.453193E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115035430.00115035431.00.00.0115116630.0114488640.0114488641.00.0
6.81.6654378E-51.4507297E-51.4507297E-51.00.07.137396E-56.217268E-56.217268E-51.00.08.686314E-47.566944E-47.566944E-41.00.00.0086524390.00754511120.00754511121.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2503123E-51.2503123E-51.00.06.446802E-55.358373E-55.358373E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.521899E-46.521899E-41.00.00.0078185090.0065062280.0065062281.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.161502E-51.161502E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9777726E-54.9777726E-51.00.07.490812E-46.058783E-46.058783E-41.00.00.0074656120.0060456610.0060456611.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.038915E-51.038915E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.4524182E-54.4524182E-51.00.06.919436E-45.419497E-45.419497E-41.00.00.0068979310.00540928170.00540928171.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.6119E-68.6119E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.690763E-53.690763E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4925947E-44.4925947E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044847360.0044847361.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.3213623E-67.3213623E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1376898E-53.1376898E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.8194825E-43.8194825E-41.00.00.0052825810.00381327330.00381327331.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.4191336E-66.4191336E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.751029E-52.751029E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.348877E-43.348877E-41.00.00.0047269960.00334398030.00334398031.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2733844E-65.2733844E-61.00.03.287808E-52.260003E-52.260003E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.751219E-42.751219E-41.00.00.00399497060.00274793970.00274793971.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.724883E-64.724883E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0249348E-52.0249348E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.4650912E-42.4650912E-41.00.00.00364069640.00246247440.00246247441.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3537125E-62.3537125E-61.00.01.7843471E-51.0087305E-51.0087305E-51.00.02.172226E-41.2280677E-41.2280677E-41.00.00.00217010380.00122746350.00122746351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.469766E-89.469766E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0584706E-74.0584706E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.94118E-64.94118E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.9411035E-54.9411035E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4789496E-93.4789496E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4909784E-81.4909784E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.8152659E-71.8152659E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.8152646E-61.8152646E-61.00.0

West Tahoe

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.952444E-52.1251028E-52.1251028E-51.00.08.367348E-59.1072965E-59.1072965E-51.00.00.00101824850.00110830440.00111829341.00901281.0E-50.0101359540.0110332970.0110431861.00089631.0E-5
6.11.952444E-52.1251028E-52.1251028E-51.00.08.367348E-59.1072965E-59.1072965E-51.00.00.00101824850.00110830440.00111829341.00901281.0E-50.0101359540.0110332970.0110431861.00089631.0E-5
6.21.952444E-52.1251028E-52.1251028E-51.00.08.367348E-59.1072965E-59.1072965E-51.00.00.00101824850.00110830440.00111829341.00901281.0E-50.0101359540.0110332970.0110431861.00089631.0E-5
6.31.952444E-52.1251028E-52.1251028E-51.00.08.367348E-59.1072965E-59.1072965E-51.00.00.00101824850.00110830440.00111829341.00901281.0E-50.0101359540.0110332970.0110431861.00089631.0E-5
6.41.952444E-52.1251028E-52.1251028E-51.00.08.367348E-59.1072965E-59.1072965E-51.00.00.00101824850.00110830440.00111829341.00901281.0E-50.0101359540.0110332970.0110431861.00089631.0E-5
6.51.2685271E-51.3731491E-51.3731491E-51.00.05.4364315E-55.8848014E-55.8848014E-51.00.06.616845E-47.162556E-47.162556E-41.00.00.00659717760.0071411320.0071411321.00.0
6.61.2685271E-51.3731491E-51.3731491E-51.00.05.4364315E-55.8848014E-55.8848014E-51.00.06.616845E-47.162556E-47.162556E-41.00.00.00659717760.0071411320.0071411321.00.0
6.79.117886E-69.837867E-69.837867E-61.00.03.9076072E-54.2161646E-54.2161646E-51.00.04.756473E-45.132044E-45.132044E-41.00.00.00474630530.0051209140.0051209141.00.0
6.88.786828E-69.485047E-69.485047E-61.00.03.7657293E-54.0649607E-54.0649607E-51.00.04.5838108E-44.9480365E-44.9480365E-41.00.00.00457436730.0049377250.0049377251.00.0
6.96.7562123E-67.2843422E-67.2843422E-61.00.02.8954875E-53.1218264E-53.1218264E-51.00.03.5246857E-43.8002085E-43.8002085E-41.00.00.00351910040.00379418470.00379418471.00.0
7.05.1792854E-65.583031E-65.583031E-61.00.02.2196748E-52.3927078E-52.3927078E-51.00.02.702119E-42.9127707E-42.9127707E-41.00.00.00269883570.00290933020.00290933021.00.0
7.14.090765E-64.4098233E-64.4098233E-61.00.01.7531731E-51.8899125E-51.8899125E-51.00.02.134279E-42.3007597E-42.3007597E-41.00.00.00213223040.00229871410.00229871411.00.0
7.22.2356758E-62.4091053E-62.4091053E-61.00.09.581432E-61.0324707E-51.0324707E-51.00.01.1664769E-41.2569796E-41.2569796E-41.00.00.00116586480.00125645540.00125645541.00.0

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8547453E-51.8547453E-51.00.07.439883E-57.9486934E-57.9486934E-51.00.09.0542925E-49.673727E-49.673727E-41.00.00.0090174910.0096364850.0096463891.00102771.0E-5
6.19.062689E-69.613284E-69.613284E-61.00.03.8839516E-54.119919E-54.119919E-51.00.04.727685E-45.0149363E-45.0149363E-41.00.00.00471763960.0050045060.0050144561.00198821.0E-5
6.29.062689E-69.613284E-69.613284E-61.00.03.8839516E-54.119919E-54.119919E-51.00.04.727685E-45.0149363E-45.0149363E-41.00.00.00471763960.0050045060.0050144561.00198821.0E-5
6.37.2575485E-67.684013E-67.684013E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2931108E-53.2931108E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0086964E-44.0086964E-41.00.00.00377973750.00400217340.00400217341.00.0
6.47.2575485E-67.684013E-67.684013E-61.00.03.110341E-53.2931108E-53.2931108E-51.00.03.786182E-44.0086964E-44.0086964E-41.00.00.00377973750.00400217340.00400217341.00.0
6.56.06582E-66.417303E-66.417303E-61.00.02.5996113E-52.7502476E-52.7502476E-51.00.03.164567E-43.347977E-43.347977E-41.00.00.00316006430.00334357450.00334357451.00.0
6.65.598744E-65.922633E-65.922633E-61.00.02.3994397E-52.5382502E-52.5382502E-51.00.02.9209262E-43.0899455E-43.0899455E-41.00.00.00291708970.00308628120.00308628121.00.0
6.75.246996E-65.5507644E-65.5507644E-61.00.02.2486933E-52.378881E-52.378881E-51.00.02.73744E-42.8959665E-42.8959665E-41.00.00.00273407040.00289281920.00289281921.00.0
6.84.02324E-64.2557867E-64.2557867E-61.00.01.7242342E-51.8238992E-51.8238992E-51.00.02.099053E-42.2204309E-42.2204309E-41.00.00.00209707140.00221879920.00221879921.00.0
6.96.835972E-77.1518554E-77.1518554E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.065079E-63.065079E-61.00.03.56685E-53.731702E-53.731702E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.7313887E-43.7313887E-41.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0995786E-56.4304935E-57.430429E-51.15549911.0E-52.1853506E-42.755636E-42.8556085E-41.03627931.0E-50.0026574180.00334995170.00335991821.00297511.0E-50.0262586360.0330092270.03301891.00029291.0E-5
6.14.2256117E-55.2553147E-56.255262E-51.19027351.0E-51.8108507E-42.252079E-42.3520565E-41.04439341.0E-50.00220248130.0027385340.00274850661.00364161.0E-50.02180780.0270555240.0270652551.00035971.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4242552E-53.4242552E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4674522E-41.4674522E-41.00.00.00148792170.00178518040.00178518041.00.00.0147799860.0177101870.0177101871.00.0
6.32.3698774E-52.786678E-52.786678E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.19423144E-41.19423144E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014530230.0014530231.00.00.0122896860.01443656350.01443656351.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.1909984E-52.1909984E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.389658E-59.389658E-51.00.00.00100087770.00114260950.00114260951.00.00.0099638180.0113690360.0113690361.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6696957E-51.6696957E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.15566E-57.15566E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.708729E-48.708729E-41.00.00.0079015120.0086764640.0086764641.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.1241627E-51.1241627E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8177535E-54.8177535E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8640755E-45.8640755E-41.00.00.0057154130.0058489990.0058489991.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.025158E-69.025158E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.867869E-53.867869E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7081365E-44.7081365E-41.00.00.0047549930.0046984070.0046984071.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4564073E-67.4564073E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1955653E-53.1955653E-51.00.04.0616E-43.889926E-43.889926E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038833210.0038833211.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.901517E-64.901517E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.100634E-52.100634E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5572357E-42.5572357E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255443020.00255443021.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5260258E-61.5260258E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.5400945E-66.5400945E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.9622834E-57.9622834E-51.00.00.00139827997.959518E-47.959518E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.495868E-77.495868E-71.00.08.55041E-63.212511E-63.212511E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.9111663E-53.9111663E-51.00.00.00104047523.91052E-43.91052E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.495868E-77.495868E-71.00.08.55041E-63.212511E-63.212511E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.9111663E-53.9111663E-51.00.00.00104047523.91052E-43.91052E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.613565E-76.613565E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8343823E-62.8343823E-61.00.08.915652E-53.45081E-53.45081E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.4503147E-43.4503147E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.102257E-76.102257E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6152507E-62.6152507E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1840253E-53.1840253E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1836095E-43.1836095E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.102257E-76.102257E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6152507E-62.6152507E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1840253E-53.1840253E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1836095E-43.1836095E-41.00.0

Great Valley 04a Trout Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4088538E-51.5787504E-52.5787345E-51.63340231.0E-56.037805E-56.765904E-57.765837E-51.147791.0E-57.3485484E-48.2345016E-48.334419E-41.01213411.0E-50.0073242950.0082052850.0082152041.00120881.0E-5
6.11.4088538E-51.5787504E-52.5787345E-51.63340231.0E-56.037805E-56.765904E-57.765837E-51.147791.0E-57.3485484E-48.2345016E-48.334419E-41.01213411.0E-50.0073242950.0082052850.0082152041.00120881.0E-5
6.21.4088538E-51.5787504E-52.5787345E-51.63340231.0E-56.037805E-56.765904E-57.765837E-51.147791.0E-57.3485484E-48.2345016E-48.334419E-41.01213411.0E-50.0073242950.0082052850.0082152041.00120881.0E-5
6.31.2882862E-51.4440885E-52.444074E-51.69246831.0E-55.5211098E-56.18881E-57.188748E-51.1615721.0E-56.7198783E-47.5323763E-47.632301E-41.0132661.0E-50.00669959370.00750791840.00751784351.00132191.0E-5
6.41.2882862E-51.4440885E-52.444074E-51.69246831.0E-55.5211098E-56.18881E-57.188748E-51.1615721.0E-56.7198783E-47.5323763E-47.632301E-41.0132661.0E-50.00669959370.00750791840.00751784351.00132191.0E-5
6.51.2762329E-51.4306905E-52.430676E-51.69895331.0E-55.469455E-56.131392E-57.131331E-51.16308511.0E-56.657027E-47.462518E-47.5624435E-41.01339031.0E-50.006637120.00743852840.0074484541.00133431.0E-5
6.61.2762329E-51.4306905E-52.430676E-51.69895331.0E-55.469455E-56.131392E-57.131331E-51.16308511.0E-56.657027E-47.462518E-47.5624435E-41.01339031.0E-50.006637120.00743852840.0074484541.00133431.0E-5
6.71.2557959E-51.40802495E-52.408011E-51.71020471.0E-55.3818712E-56.034259E-57.034199E-51.16571041.0E-56.5504585E-47.344338E-47.444265E-41.0136061.0E-50.0065311830.007321130.0073310571.00135591.0E-5
6.81.1871544E-51.3316583E-52.331645E-51.75093341.0E-55.0877054E-55.706988E-56.706931E-51.17521381.0E-56.1925204E-46.9461437E-47.0460746E-41.01438651.0E-50.00617529270.0069254590.00693538971.0014341.0E-5
6.91.0500373E-51.1782458E-52.178234E-51.84870931.0E-54.5000823E-55.049532E-56.0494815E-51.19802821.0E-55.4774724E-46.146158E-46.2460965E-41.01626041.0E-50.0054639910.0061300330.0061399721.00162141.0E-5
7.08.524332E-69.57539E-69.57539E-61.00.03.653234E-54.1036783E-54.1036783E-51.00.04.4469046E-44.9951574E-44.9951574E-41.00.00.00443801660.00498466750.00498466751.00.0
7.16.006849E-66.7406013E-66.7406013E-61.00.02.5743384E-52.8888004E-52.8888004E-51.00.03.1338062E-43.516603E-43.516603E-41.00.00.00312939050.00351159410.00351159411.00.0
7.22.9122193E-63.2600196E-63.2600196E-61.00.01.248088E-51.39714475E-51.39714475E-51.00.01.5194413E-41.7009086E-41.7009086E-41.00.00.00151840270.00169978030.00169978031.00.0
7.37.2194007E-78.016813E-78.016813E-71.00.03.0940253E-63.4357752E-63.4357752E-61.00.03.7669106E-54.1830222E-54.1830222E-51.00.03.766272E-44.182689E-44.182689E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.198916E-83.198916E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.370964E-71.370964E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6691473E-61.6691473E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6691356E-51.6691356E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4218863E-53.421862E-51.41289131.0E-51.2959696E-41.0379158E-41.13790535E-41.0963371.0E-50.00157670080.00126303170.0012730191.00790751.0E-50.0156556090.0125686640.0125785391.00078561.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4218863E-53.421862E-51.41289131.0E-51.2959696E-41.0379158E-41.13790535E-41.0963371.0E-50.00157670080.00126303170.0012730191.00790751.0E-50.0156556090.0125686640.0125785391.00078561.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4218863E-53.421862E-51.41289131.0E-51.2959696E-41.0379158E-41.13790535E-41.0963371.0E-50.00157670080.00126303170.0012730191.00790751.0E-50.0156556090.0125686640.0125785391.00078561.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3706697E-51.3706697E-51.00.08.784654E-55.874176E-55.874176E-51.00.00.00106900697.149626E-47.149626E-41.00.00.010638790.00712826340.00712826341.00.0
6.42.0498217E-51.3706697E-51.3706697E-51.00.08.784654E-55.874176E-55.874176E-51.00.00.00106900697.149626E-47.149626E-41.00.00.010638790.00712826340.00712826341.00.0
6.51.7316182E-51.0527183E-51.0527183E-51.00.07.42101E-54.5115776E-54.5115776E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.4915616E-45.4915616E-41.00.00.0089947180.00547899350.00547899351.00.0
6.61.5251077E-58.455344E-68.455344E-61.00.06.536012E-53.6236725E-53.6236725E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.411001E-44.411001E-41.00.00.0079262740.00440296670.00440296671.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.444296E-66.444296E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7618147E-52.7618147E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3620372E-43.3620372E-41.00.00.00675896930.0033574130.0033574131.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.3624386E-64.3624386E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8696037E-51.8696037E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2760135E-42.2760135E-41.00.00.00538795670.002273770.002273771.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.6072006E-63.6072006E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5459344E-51.5459344E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8820184E-41.8820184E-41.00.00.004589650.00188048370.00188048371.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5899315E-62.5899315E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1099661E-51.1099661E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.351303E-41.351303E-41.00.00.00355394110.0013505130.0013505131.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2467582E-62.2467582E-61.00.02.501553E-59.62893E-69.62893E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1722621E-41.1722621E-41.00.00.00304104550.00117167330.00117167331.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6415812E-61.6415812E-61.00.01.833438E-57.0353303E-67.0353303E-61.00.02.231982E-48.565202E-58.565202E-51.00.00.00222974188.562136E-48.562136E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.4123144E-78.4123144E-71.00.08.0587E-63.6052736E-63.6052736E-61.00.09.811026E-54.389347E-54.389347E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3886268E-44.3886268E-41.00.0

Franklin 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.845602E-52.040889E-53.0408686E-51.48997261.0E-57.9094825E-58.74639E-59.746303E-51.11432291.0E-59.6255407E-40.0010643820.00107437141.00938511.0E-50.0095839550.0106098710.0106197641.00093261.0E-5
6.11.845602E-52.040889E-53.0408686E-51.48997261.0E-57.9094825E-58.74639E-59.746303E-51.11432291.0E-59.6255407E-40.0010643820.00107437141.00938511.0E-50.0095839550.0106098710.0106197641.00093261.0E-5
6.21.845602E-52.040889E-53.0408686E-51.48997261.0E-57.9094825E-58.74639E-59.746303E-51.11432291.0E-59.6255407E-40.0010643820.00107437141.00938511.0E-50.0095839550.0106098710.0106197641.00093261.0E-5
6.31.3813506E-51.5334068E-52.5333915E-51.65213261.0E-55.9199396E-56.571582E-57.5715165E-51.15216041.0E-57.205143E-47.998042E-48.097962E-41.0124931.0E-50.0071818260.0079841540.0079940741.00124251.0E-5
6.41.3813506E-51.5334068E-52.5333915E-51.65213261.0E-55.9199396E-56.571582E-57.5715165E-51.15216041.0E-57.205143E-47.998042E-48.097962E-41.0124931.0E-50.0071818260.0079841540.0079940741.00124251.0E-5
6.51.1308949E-51.2587479E-52.2587354E-51.79443031.0E-54.8466023E-55.3945234E-56.3944695E-51.18536321.0E-55.899141E-46.565874E-46.665808E-41.01522031.0E-50.00588350560.00656081220.00657074671.00151421.0E-5
6.61.0813164E-51.2043845E-52.2043725E-51.83028961.0E-54.6341313E-55.161547E-56.1614955E-51.19373041.0E-55.640594E-46.2823907E-46.3823274E-41.01590751.0E-50.0056262980.0062789510.00628888841.00158261.0E-5
6.71.0706348E-51.192522E-52.19251E-51.8385491.0E-54.5883542E-55.1107094E-56.1106584E-51.19565761.0E-55.5848894E-46.220531E-46.320469E-41.01606581.0E-50.0055708740.00621743970.0062273781.00159841.0E-5
6.89.443655E-61.0512004E-52.05119E-51.95128331.0E-54.0472176E-54.5050678E-55.5050226E-51.22196221.0E-54.9263734E-45.4835534E-45.583498E-41.01822641.0E-50.00491546650.00548429270.0054942381.00181341.0E-5
6.98.7001645E-69.68257E-61.9682473E-52.03277371.0E-53.728589E-54.1496074E-55.149566E-51.24097671.0E-54.538611E-45.0509884E-45.150938E-41.01978811.0E-50.00452935280.0050537630.00506371261.00196871.0E-5
7.08.074731E-68.973889E-61.89738E-52.1143341.0E-53.460553E-53.8458966E-54.845858E-51.26000741.0E-54.212409E-44.681384E-44.781337E-41.02135121.0E-50.0042044330.0046857590.0046957121.00212411.0E-5
7.17.3370957E-68.11609E-61.8116009E-52.23211051.0E-53.1444317E-53.4782784E-54.4782435E-51.28748861.0E-53.8276732E-44.2339915E-44.3339492E-41.02360831.0E-50.00382108680.00424001040.00424996761.00234851.0E-5
7.25.1750103E-65.5999217E-61.5599866E-52.78572941.0E-52.2178427E-52.3999444E-53.3999204E-51.41666631.0E-52.699889E-42.9215438E-43.0215146E-41.03421841.0E-50.0026966110.00293107660.00294104731.00340181.0E-5
7.33.5221371E-63.917418E-61.3917379E-53.5526921.0E-51.5094786E-51.6788827E-52.6788659E-51.59562421.0E-51.8376352E-42.043849E-42.1438285E-41.04891731.0E-50.00183611640.00205486550.00206484481.00485651.0E-5
7.42.5749775E-62.9198447E-61.2919815E-54.42482951.0E-51.1035571E-51.251356E-52.2513435E-51.7991231.0E-51.343498E-41.5234202E-41.623405E-41.06563171.0E-50.0013426860.00153411420.00154409881.00650851.0E-5
7.51.3642131E-61.6223793E-61.1622363E-57.1637771.0E-55.8466144E-66.9530356E-61.6952967E-52.43821071.0E-57.1180206E-58.464994E-59.46491E-51.11812351.0E-57.115741E-48.5655734E-48.665488E-41.01166461.0E-5
7.65.329124E-77.27702E-77.27702E-71.00.02.2839083E-63.1187192E-63.1187192E-61.00.02.7806227E-53.796975E-53.796975E-51.00.02.780275E-43.8955885E-43.8955885E-41.00.0
7.74.199127E-76.045761E-76.045761E-71.00.01.7996247E-62.5910379E-62.5910379E-61.00.02.191021E-53.1545434E-53.1545434E-51.00.02.190805E-43.2517678E-43.2517678E-41.00.0
7.82.2586491E-73.3941984E-73.3941984E-71.00.09.67992E-71.4546557E-61.4546557E-61.00.01.178524E-51.771029E-51.771029E-51.00.01.17846146E-41.8306312E-41.8306312E-41.00.0
7.91.4568845E-72.3541739E-72.3541739E-71.00.06.243789E-71.0089313E-61.0089313E-61.00.07.601787E-61.228367E-51.228367E-51.00.07.601527E-51.2698429E-41.2698429E-41.00.0
8.05.2868224E-81.113563E-71.113563E-71.00.02.2657808E-74.772412E-74.772412E-71.00.02.7585847E-65.810396E-65.810396E-61.00.02.7585504E-55.9737125E-55.9737125E-51.00.0
8.12.654434E-95.2123936E-95.2123936E-91.00.01.1376145E-82.233883E-82.233883E-81.00.01.3850456E-72.719752E-72.719752E-71.00.01.3850448E-62.7800509E-62.7800509E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0203032E-51.0203032E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3726603E-54.3726603E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.322517E-45.322517E-41.00.00.00515936830.00531079950.00532074651.00187291.0E-5
6.19.913453E-61.0203032E-51.0203032E-51.00.04.2485535E-54.3726603E-54.3726603E-51.00.05.1713863E-45.322517E-45.322517E-41.00.00.00515936830.00531079950.00532074651.00187291.0E-5
6.24.5596407E-64.7016097E-64.7016097E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0149608E-52.0149608E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4529514E-42.4529514E-41.00.00.00237633290.00245037020.00246034561.0040711.0E-5
6.34.5596407E-64.7016097E-64.7016097E-61.00.01.954117E-52.0149608E-52.0149608E-51.00.02.3788778E-42.4529514E-42.4529514E-41.00.00.00237633290.00245037020.00246034561.0040711.0E-5
6.43.4025713E-63.514064E-63.514064E-61.00.01.4582367E-51.5060193E-51.5060193E-51.00.01.7752586E-41.8334326E-41.8334326E-41.00.00.0017738410.00183200310.00183200311.00.0
6.52.8352947E-62.931454E-62.931454E-61.00.01.2151207E-51.2563319E-51.2563319E-51.00.01.479309E-41.5294841E-41.5294841E-41.00.00.00147832460.00152850560.00152850561.00.0
6.62.251518E-62.3320872E-62.3320872E-61.00.09.649328E-69.9946255E-69.9946255E-61.00.01.1747423E-41.2167839E-41.2167839E-41.00.00.00117412140.00121617970.00121617971.00.0
6.71.8911853E-61.9617894E-61.9617894E-61.00.08.105055E-68.407645E-68.407645E-61.00.09.867457E-51.02358856E-41.02358856E-41.00.09.863076E-40.00102317470.00102317471.00.0
6.81.4874814E-61.5460313E-61.5460313E-61.00.06.374905E-66.6258344E-66.6258344E-61.00.07.76117E-58.066707E-58.066707E-51.00.07.75846E-48.0642913E-48.0642913E-41.00.0
6.96.835972E-77.1518554E-77.1518554E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.065079E-63.065079E-61.00.03.56685E-53.731702E-53.731702E-51.00.03.5662777E-43.7313887E-43.7313887E-41.00.0

Pilarcitos 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.9150476E-63.3439592E-63.3439592E-61.00.02.1064321E-51.4331176E-51.4331176E-51.00.02.564279E-41.7446841E-41.7446841E-41.00.00.00256132220.00175555360.00176553611.00568621.0E-5
6.14.9150476E-63.3439592E-63.3439592E-61.00.02.1064321E-51.4331176E-51.4331176E-51.00.02.564279E-41.7446841E-41.7446841E-41.00.00.00256132220.00175555360.00176553611.00568621.0E-5
6.24.162343E-62.5718941E-62.5718941E-61.00.01.783849E-51.1022357E-51.1022357E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.3418902E-41.3418902E-41.00.00.0021694990.00135330090.00136328731.00737931.0E-5
6.34.162343E-62.5718941E-62.5718941E-61.00.01.783849E-51.1022357E-51.1022357E-51.00.02.1716199E-41.3418902E-41.3418902E-41.00.00.0021694990.00135330090.00136328731.00737931.0E-5
6.43.8768926E-62.279141E-62.279141E-61.00.01.6615148E-59.767711E-69.767711E-61.00.02.0227065E-41.1891543E-41.1891543E-41.00.00.00202086640.00120073720.00121072521.00831821.0E-5
6.53.7137002E-62.1122853E-62.1122853E-61.00.01.591576E-59.052619E-69.052619E-61.00.01.9375715E-41.102101E-41.102101E-41.00.00.0019358830.00111377360.00112376251.00896851.0E-5
6.63.5048733E-61.8970295E-61.8970295E-61.00.01.5020799E-58.130101E-68.130101E-61.00.01.8286289E-49.897951E-59.897951E-51.00.00.00182712490.00100157390.00101156391.00997421.0E-5
6.73.3908584E-61.7804786E-61.7804786E-61.00.01.453217E-57.6306E-67.6306E-61.00.01.7691481E-49.289861E-59.289861E-51.00.00.00176774029.408177E-49.508083E-41.0106191.0E-5
6.83.2451449E-61.6333613E-61.6333613E-61.00.01.3907689E-57.000101E-67.000101E-61.00.01.6931296E-48.5222906E-58.5222906E-51.00.00.00169184028.6412235E-48.741137E-41.01156251.0E-5
6.93.1239128E-61.509598E-61.509598E-61.00.01.3388129E-56.469689E-66.469689E-61.00.01.6298829E-47.8765624E-57.8765624E-51.00.00.0016286887.995977E-48.095897E-41.01249621.0E-5
7.02.9940109E-61.3804313E-61.3804313E-61.00.01.2831412E-55.9161207E-65.9161207E-61.00.01.5621124E-47.202639E-57.202639E-51.00.00.00156101487.3225127E-47.4224395E-41.01364651.0E-5
7.12.7471217E-61.2876125E-61.2876125E-61.00.01.1773326E-55.5183273E-65.5183273E-61.00.01.4333082E-46.7183566E-56.7183566E-51.00.00.0014323846.8378524E-46.937784E-41.01461451.0E-5
7.22.592675E-61.1518233E-61.1518233E-61.00.01.1111417E-54.936376E-64.936376E-61.00.01.3527309E-46.0098726E-56.0098726E-51.00.00.00135190786.1297807E-46.229719E-41.01630381.0E-5
7.32.4518663E-61.0411675E-61.0411675E-61.00.01.0507956E-54.462139E-64.462139E-61.00.01.2792686E-45.4325184E-55.4325184E-51.00.00.00127853235.5527024E-45.6526467E-41.01799931.0E-5
7.42.3349535E-61.0012471E-61.0012471E-61.00.01.0006905E-54.291052E-64.291052E-61.00.01.2182725E-45.2242303E-55.2242303E-51.00.00.00121760485.3441746E-45.444121E-41.01870191.0E-5
7.52.1358665E-69.4803386E-79.4803386E-71.00.09.15368E-64.0629957E-64.0629957E-61.00.01.11440364E-44.9465852E-54.9465852E-51.00.00.00111384495.065574E-45.165523E-41.0197311.0E-5
7.61.6445446E-67.863497E-77.863497E-71.00.07.048029E-63.3700655E-63.3700655E-61.00.08.580638E-54.1029776E-54.1029776E-51.00.08.5773255E-44.221585E-44.3215428E-41.02367781.0E-5
7.71.3650961E-66.7495415E-76.7495415E-71.00.05.850399E-62.8926572E-62.8926572E-61.00.07.122628E-53.5217534E-53.5217534E-51.00.07.120345E-43.639312E-43.7392756E-41.02746771.0E-5
7.81.0500993E-66.403014E-76.403014E-71.00.04.5004176E-62.7441458E-62.7441458E-61.00.05.4791206E-53.3409466E-53.3409466E-51.00.05.47777E-43.456969E-43.5569342E-41.02891711.0E-5
7.95.856431E-75.944371E-75.944371E-71.00.02.5098966E-62.547585E-62.547585E-61.00.03.0557563E-53.1016407E-53.1016407E-51.00.03.055336E-43.2092468E-43.2092468E-41.00.0
8.04.4768265E-75.5903826E-75.5903826E-71.00.01.9186384E-62.395876E-62.395876E-61.00.02.3359173E-52.9169401E-52.9169401E-51.00.02.3356717E-43.018806E-43.018806E-41.00.0
8.12.6692538E-73.85246E-73.85246E-71.00.01.1439654E-61.6510534E-61.6510534E-61.00.01.392769E-52.010139E-52.010139E-51.00.01.3926817E-42.0801378E-42.0801378E-41.00.0
8.21.3198862E-81.286005E-81.286005E-81.00.05.656655E-85.5114498E-85.5114498E-81.00.06.886975E-76.710188E-76.710188E-71.00.06.8869535E-66.9539574E-66.9539574E-61.00.0

Garlock (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2243486E-55.1620256E-55.1620256E-51.00.01.8103095E-42.2121108E-42.2121108E-41.00.00.00220182380.0026899480.00269992111.00370751.0E-50.0218013530.0266487990.0266585331.00036531.0E-5
6.14.2243486E-55.1620256E-55.1620256E-51.00.01.8103095E-42.2121108E-42.2121108E-41.00.00.00220182380.0026899480.00269992111.00370751.0E-50.0218013530.0266487990.0266585331.00036531.0E-5
6.24.216245E-55.148735E-55.148735E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2064157E-42.2064157E-41.00.00.00219760460.00268303140.00269300441.00371721.0E-50.0217599890.026579910.0265896451.00036621.0E-5
6.34.216245E-55.148735E-55.148735E-51.00.01.806837E-42.2064157E-42.2064157E-41.00.00.00219760460.00268303140.00269300441.00371721.0E-50.0217599890.026579910.0265896451.00036621.0E-5
6.43.6858168E-54.4259843E-54.4259843E-51.00.01.5795401E-41.8967138E-41.8967138E-41.00.00.00192139370.0023068270.00231680411.00432491.0E-50.0190486550.0229066870.0229164591.00042651.0E-5
6.53.39199E-54.036797E-54.036797E-51.00.01.453629E-41.7299423E-41.7299423E-41.00.00.00176835650.00210419090.00211416981.00474241.0E-50.0175435080.02092980.020939591.00046781.0E-5
6.63.3571985E-53.982182E-53.982182E-51.00.01.4387199E-41.706539E-41.706539E-41.00.00.00175023420.0020757520.00208573111.00480751.0E-50.0173651330.0206505860.020660381.00047421.0E-5
6.73.2580007E-53.8492686E-53.8492686E-51.00.01.3962112E-41.6495833E-41.6495833E-41.00.00.00169856170.0020065380.0020165181.00497361.0E-50.0168563720.01997880.0199886021.00049051.0E-5
6.83.2185937E-53.7930124E-53.7930124E-51.00.01.3793244E-41.6254766E-41.6254766E-41.00.00.00167803370.00197724160.0019872221.00504761.0E-50.0166541920.0196910170.019700821.00049781.0E-5
6.93.165394E-53.7147696E-53.7147696E-51.00.01.3565269E-41.5919481E-41.5919481E-41.00.00.00165032020.0019364940.00194647471.0051541.0E-50.016381180.0192905180.0193003251.00050841.0E-5
7.03.0903822E-53.6078978E-53.6078978E-51.00.01.3243823E-41.5461515E-41.5461515E-41.00.00.00161124280.00188083420.00189081531.00530681.0E-50.0159961040.0187423620.0187521741.00052361.0E-5
7.13.0069863E-53.487574E-53.487574E-51.00.01.2886449E-41.4945901E-41.4945901E-41.00.00.00156779590.00181816460.00182814651.00549011.0E-50.015567810.0181257610.018135581.00054171.0E-5
7.22.7957109E-53.182776E-53.182776E-51.00.01.1981068E-41.3639766E-41.3639766E-41.00.00.00145771880.0016593950.00166937851.00601631.0E-50.0144819370.0165616930.0165715251.00059381.0E-5
7.32.4519275E-52.7440172E-52.7440172E-51.00.01.0507837E-41.1759551E-41.1759551E-41.00.00.00127857830.00143079910.00144078481.00697911.0E-50.0127124690.0142992040.0143090611.00068941.0E-5
7.42.3225532E-52.5973433E-52.5973433E-51.00.09.95342E-51.11310044E-41.11310044E-41.00.00.00121115510.00135437110.00136435751.00737351.0E-50.0120457530.0135424240.01355228851.00072841.0E-5
7.52.097765E-52.3389586E-52.3389586E-51.00.08.9901114E-51.00237296E-41.00237296E-41.00.00.00109399650.00121971730.0012297051.00818861.0E-50.0108862640.0122061910.0122160691.00080931.0E-5
7.61.511254E-51.7027854E-51.7027854E-51.00.06.476642E-57.297452E-57.297452E-51.00.07.882459E-48.8811025E-48.981014E-41.01124991.0E-50.0078545580.00891938250.0089292931.00111111.0E-5
7.79.934069E-61.17909185E-51.17909185E-51.00.04.2573887E-55.0531533E-55.0531533E-51.00.05.182138E-46.150482E-46.2504207E-41.0162491.0E-50.005170070.0062034270.0062133651.0016021.0E-5
7.86.7562896E-69.3672215E-69.3672215E-61.00.02.8955206E-54.0144616E-54.0144616E-51.00.03.5247262E-44.886513E-44.986464E-41.02045451.0E-50.00351914060.004933130.00494308071.00201711.0E-5
7.93.975453E-65.9394883E-65.9394883E-61.00.01.7037546E-52.5454703E-52.5454703E-51.00.02.0741238E-43.0986706E-43.0986706E-41.00.00.0020721890.00312835720.00312835721.00.0
8.01.6729537E-62.2679267E-62.2679267E-61.00.07.169782E-69.719649E-69.719649E-61.00.08.7288594E-51.1833035E-41.1833035E-41.00.08.7254314E-40.0011959060.0011959061.00.0
8.13.6733252E-73.407724E-73.407724E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.4604525E-61.4604525E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.7780883E-51.7780883E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.7992096E-41.7992096E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0593357E-54.0593357E-51.00.01.503772E-41.739614E-41.739614E-41.00.00.00182930470.00211618280.00212616151.00471541.0E-50.0181431940.0209865270.0209963171.00046651.0E-5
6.13.5090034E-54.0593357E-54.0593357E-51.00.01.503772E-41.739614E-41.739614E-41.00.00.00182930470.00211618280.00212616151.00471541.0E-50.0181431940.0209865270.0209963171.00046651.0E-5
6.21.841879E-52.1173708E-52.1173708E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.074189E-59.074189E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00110432560.00111431471.00904521.0E-50.00956471450.0109985740.0110084641.00089921.0E-5
6.31.841879E-52.1173708E-52.1173708E-51.00.07.8935285E-59.074189E-59.074189E-51.00.09.606133E-40.00110432560.00111431471.00904521.0E-50.00956471450.0109985740.0110084641.00089921.0E-5
6.41.712201E-51.9670526E-51.9670526E-51.00.07.337798E-58.43001E-58.43001E-51.00.08.930107E-40.00102597220.00103596191.00973691.0E-50.0088943070.0102223810.0102322781.00096821.0E-5
6.51.4744935E-51.6927088E-51.6927088E-51.00.06.3191044E-57.2543175E-57.2543175E-51.00.07.6907943E-48.829498E-48.9294097E-41.01131571.0E-50.0076642320.0088037130.0088136251.00112591.0E-5
6.61.2017839E-51.3797597E-51.3797597E-51.00.05.150401E-55.9131722E-55.9131722E-51.00.06.268809E-47.1978045E-47.2977325E-41.01388311.0E-50.00625115450.00718327940.00719320731.00138211.0E-5
6.71.00956095E-51.1595489E-51.1595489E-51.00.04.326618E-54.96945E-54.96945E-51.00.05.266384E-46.0495053E-46.1494444E-41.01652031.0E-50.0052539210.0060416570.00605159671.00164521.0E-5

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7907707E-52.7809274E-52.7809274E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.19177865E-41.19177865E-41.00.00.00145514480.00145014930.00145014931.00.00.0144565320.0144368120.0144466681.00068271.0E-5
6.12.7907707E-52.7809274E-52.7809274E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.19177865E-41.19177865E-41.00.00.00145514480.00145014930.00145014931.00.00.0144565320.0144368120.0144466681.00068271.0E-5
6.22.7907707E-52.7809274E-52.7809274E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.19177865E-41.19177865E-41.00.00.00145514480.00145014930.00145014931.00.00.0144565320.0144368120.0144466681.00068271.0E-5
6.32.7907707E-52.7809274E-52.7809274E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.19177865E-41.19177865E-41.00.00.00145514480.00145014930.00145014931.00.00.0144565320.0144368120.0144466681.00068271.0E-5
6.42.7907707E-52.7809274E-52.7809274E-51.00.01.19598975E-41.19177865E-41.19177865E-41.00.00.00145514480.00145014930.00145014931.00.00.0144565320.0144368120.0144466681.00068271.0E-5
6.51.7990213E-51.6822229E-51.6822229E-51.00.07.709863E-57.209365E-57.209365E-51.00.09.382716E-48.774536E-48.774536E-41.00.00.00934319850.008764080.0087739931.0011311.0E-5
6.69.650407E-67.604539E-67.604539E-61.00.04.135823E-53.259052E-53.259052E-51.00.05.0342013E-43.967252E-43.967252E-41.00.00.0050228120.00397862450.00397862451.00.0
6.79.62828E-67.58223E-67.58223E-61.00.04.1263404E-53.249491E-53.249491E-51.00.05.022661E-43.955616E-43.955616E-41.00.00.00501132430.003967030.003967031.00.0
6.86.887523E-64.5988527E-64.5988527E-61.00.02.9517621E-51.9709232E-51.9709232E-51.00.03.5931775E-42.3993572E-42.3993572E-41.00.00.00358737330.0024146920.0024146921.00.0
6.96.2722347E-63.9384568E-63.9384568E-61.00.02.6880729E-51.6879003E-51.6879003E-51.00.03.2722374E-42.0548452E-42.0548452E-41.00.00.0032674230.00207085670.00207085671.00.0
7.05.5320347E-63.1621253E-63.1621253E-61.00.02.3708504E-51.3551906E-51.3551906E-51.00.02.8861282E-41.6498381E-41.6498381E-41.00.00.00288238260.00166650970.00166650971.00.0
7.13.8794055E-61.4077131E-61.4077131E-61.00.01.6625918E-56.0330417E-66.0330417E-61.00.02.0240174E-47.3449824E-57.3449824E-51.00.00.0020221757.519813E-47.519813E-41.00.0
7.23.4813652E-61.0846202E-61.0846202E-61.00.01.49200505E-54.6483638E-64.6483638E-61.00.01.8163648E-45.659237E-55.659237E-51.00.00.00181488095.834926E-45.834926E-41.00.0
7.33.1682148E-68.85526E-78.85526E-71.00.01.3577992E-53.795106E-63.795106E-61.00.01.6529951E-44.6204437E-54.6204437E-51.00.00.00165176614.7962848E-44.7962848E-41.00.0
7.42.9707667E-68.4410465E-78.4410465E-71.00.01.2731795E-53.6175863E-63.6175863E-61.00.01.5499859E-44.4043227E-54.4043227E-51.00.00.00154890524.577764E-44.577764E-41.00.0
7.52.3462758E-66.9153054E-76.9153054E-71.00.01.0055429E-52.963699E-62.963699E-61.00.01.2241797E-43.6082438E-53.6082438E-51.00.00.00122350563.762435E-43.762435E-41.00.0
7.62.112783E-66.087014E-76.087014E-71.00.09.054753E-62.6087178E-62.6087178E-61.00.01.1023604E-43.1760675E-53.1760675E-51.00.00.00110181373.3254738E-43.3254738E-41.00.0
7.71.7022471E-64.925454E-74.925454E-71.00.07.2953244E-62.110907E-62.110907E-61.00.08.881695E-52.5699992E-52.5699992E-51.00.08.878146E-42.7040814E-42.7040814E-41.00.0
7.87.230914E-74.3300065E-74.3300065E-71.00.03.0989595E-61.8557157E-61.8557157E-61.00.03.772918E-52.2593107E-52.2593107E-51.00.03.7722773E-42.3868482E-42.3868482E-41.00.0
7.94.3588446E-73.9566746E-73.9566746E-71.00.01.868075E-61.6957166E-61.6957166E-61.00.02.2743576E-52.0645157E-52.0645157E-51.00.02.2741247E-42.1718378E-42.1718378E-41.00.0
8.02.3317523E-73.614067E-73.614067E-71.00.09.99322E-71.548885E-61.548885E-61.00.01.2166677E-51.8857514E-51.8857514E-51.00.01.21660116E-41.9770364E-41.9770364E-41.00.0
8.11.4662456E-72.3068839E-72.3068839E-71.00.06.283908E-79.886642E-79.886642E-71.00.07.650631E-61.2036921E-51.2036921E-51.00.07.650368E-51.2544794E-41.2544794E-41.00.0
8.25.4931775E-95.8583494E-95.8583494E-91.00.02.3542189E-82.510721E-82.510721E-81.00.02.8662612E-73.0568026E-73.0568026E-71.00.02.8662573E-63.1657046E-63.1657046E-61.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3406641E-52.3211476E-53.3211243E-51.43081141.0E-51.0031032E-49.9474244E-51.0947325E-41.10051861.0E-50.00122059380.00121047590.00122046391.00825121.0E-50.0121391140.0120439040.0120537831.00082031.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6600463E-51.6600463E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.114296E-57.114296E-51.00.09.065282E-48.6583104E-48.6583104E-41.00.00.0090283910.008625620.008625621.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3592926E-51.3592926E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8254118E-55.8254118E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.090168E-47.090168E-41.00.00.0076006690.00706797330.00706797331.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2437392E-51.2437392E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.330204E-55.330204E-51.00.07.069015E-46.4876216E-46.4876216E-41.00.00.007046570.00646903370.00646903371.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1946906E-51.1946906E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1200037E-55.1200037E-51.00.06.831918E-46.231851E-46.231851E-41.00.00.0068109530.006214710.006214711.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1036382E-51.1036382E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.7297937E-54.7297937E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7570287E-45.7570287E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057424160.0057424161.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0068929E-51.0068929E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3151853E-54.3151853E-51.00.05.921717E-45.252493E-45.252493E-41.00.00.00590596160.00524031840.00524031841.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.532123E-69.532123E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0851326E-54.0851326E-51.00.05.667165E-44.972534E-44.972534E-41.00.00.0056527340.00496163450.00496163451.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.316023E-69.316023E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9925217E-53.9925217E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8598307E-44.8598307E-41.00.00.0055501270.0048494290.0048494291.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.610152E-68.610152E-61.00.04.302214E-53.690014E-53.690014E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4916838E-44.4916838E-41.00.00.0052243640.00448280950.00448280951.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.046703E-68.046703E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.4485427E-53.4485427E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1978084E-44.1978084E-41.00.00.004964450.00419007240.00419007241.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.675597E-67.675597E-61.00.03.945964E-53.289501E-53.289501E-51.00.04.803152E-44.0042482E-44.0042482E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039972230.0039972231.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.962716E-65.962716E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5554247E-52.5554247E-51.00.03.984668E-43.1107885E-43.1107885E-41.00.00.00397753060.00310648720.00310648721.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.626439E-65.626439E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.4113087E-52.4113087E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.935376E-42.935376E-41.00.00.00377582150.00293155060.00293155061.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9427535E-64.9427535E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.118306E-52.118306E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.578734E-42.578734E-41.00.00.00332865420.00257578260.00257578261.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.1019016E-64.1019016E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7579461E-51.7579461E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1400902E-42.1400902E-41.00.00.00280277080.00213804070.00213804071.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.101837E-63.101837E-61.00.01.768732E-51.3293519E-51.3293519E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6183667E-41.6183667E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161719620.00161719621.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8366794E-61.8366794E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.87146E-67.87146E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.5830874E-59.5830874E-51.00.00.00132481429.579017E-49.579017E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.526451E-73.526451E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5113352E-61.5113352E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8400351E-51.8400351E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.839884E-41.839884E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2786431E-81.2786431E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.479899E-85.479899E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6717746E-76.6717746E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6717557E-66.6717557E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.0666882E-92.0666882E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.857236E-98.857236E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0783684E-71.0783684E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.078368E-61.078368E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.620697E-55.729789E-55.729789E-51.00.02.4086477E-42.4554128E-42.4554128E-41.00.00.0029285850.00298575450.00298575451.00.00.0289029010.0294961540.029505861.0003291.0E-5
6.14.607858E-55.729789E-55.729789E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.4554128E-42.4554128E-41.00.00.00240148180.00298575450.00298575451.00.00.0237569530.0294961540.029505861.0003291.0E-5
6.24.607858E-55.729789E-55.729789E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.4554128E-42.4554128E-41.00.00.00240148180.00298575450.00298575451.00.00.0237569530.0294961540.029505861.0003291.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.0973344E-54.0973344E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.7558935E-41.7558935E-41.00.00.00173472440.00213596220.00213596221.00.00.0172124520.0211799280.0211799281.00.0
6.42.7732503E-53.379867E-53.379867E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.4484474E-41.4484474E-41.00.00.0014460160.00176228690.00176228691.00.00.0143664280.0175057780.0175057781.00.0
6.52.7689714E-53.374861E-53.374861E-51.00.01.186648E-41.446302E-41.446302E-41.00.00.00144378640.0017596790.0017596791.00.00.0143444210.0174801130.0174801131.00.0
6.62.2976905E-52.7750699E-52.7750699E-51.00.09.846873E-51.18927404E-41.18927404E-41.00.00.00119819750.00144720140.00144720141.00.00.0119175740.0143996890.0143996891.00.0
6.71.9871539E-52.40446E-52.40446E-51.00.08.516096E-51.03045466E-41.03045466E-41.00.00.00103634150.00125407660.00125407661.00.00.0103152180.0124916550.0124916551.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.5825888E-67.5825888E-61.00.02.813133E-53.249642E-53.249642E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9557493E-43.9557493E-41.00.00.00341917880.00394899260.00394899261.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.4811143E-66.4811143E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7775923E-52.7775923E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3812193E-43.3812193E-41.00.00.00292917270.00337632960.00337632961.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4650105E-64.4650105E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9135632E-51.9135632E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.3295349E-42.3295349E-41.00.00.00202018860.0023272990.0023272991.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8452168E-61.8452168E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.908054E-67.908054E-61.00.08.357586E-59.6277356E-59.6277356E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.6245966E-49.6245966E-41.00.0