Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Mendocino
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7364764E-4 | 8.146999E-4 | 0.009807368 | 12.0380125 | 0.009 | 0.0020283395 | 0.0034853928 | 0.015064892 | 4.322294 | 0.01162 | 0.024417073 | 0.041367095 | 0.05689695 | 1.3754156 | 0.0162 | 0.2190164 | 0.32862327 | 0.34242004 | 1.0419836 | 0.02055 |
6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.146999E-4 | 0.009807368 | 12.0380125 | 0.009 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0034853928 | 0.015064892 | 4.322294 | 0.01162 | 0.021944538 | 0.041367095 | 0.05689695 | 1.3754156 | 0.0162 | 0.19899574 | 0.32862327 | 0.34242004 | 1.0419836 | 0.02055 |
6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.146999E-4 | 0.009807368 | 12.0380125 | 0.009 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0034853928 | 0.015064892 | 4.322294 | 0.01162 | 0.021944538 | 0.041367095 | 0.05689695 | 1.3754156 | 0.0162 | 0.19899574 | 0.32862327 | 0.34242004 | 1.0419836 | 0.02055 |
6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 6.177156E-4 | 0.0081030885 | 13.117831 | 0.00749 | 0.0014038329 | 0.002643577 | 0.01227804 | 4.6444798 | 0.00966 | 0.016958237 | 0.03152515 | 0.04445429 | 1.4101214 | 0.01335 | 0.1572094 | 0.26098487 | 0.27351856 | 1.0480247 | 0.01696 |
6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 5.0510705E-4 | 0.0068918793 | 13.644393 | 0.00639 | 0.0011744922 | 0.0021621212 | 0.010444175 | 4.8305225 | 0.0083 | 0.014205975 | 0.025865989 | 0.037039306 | 1.4319694 | 0.01147 | 0.13331394 | 0.22020987 | 0.23162599 | 1.0518421 | 0.01464 |
6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 4.3418695E-4 | 0.006231669 | 14.352502 | 0.0058 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0018587885 | 0.009404736 | 5.059605 | 0.00756 | 0.012438473 | 0.022282818 | 0.032597736 | 1.462909 | 0.01055 | 0.11764851 | 0.19322586 | 0.20407698 | 1.0561577 | 0.01345 |
6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.7223424E-4 | 0.005770224 | 15.501595 | 0.0054 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.0015937901 | 0.008582634 | 5.3850465 | 0.007 | 0.010910975 | 0.019144319 | 0.028727278 | 1.5005642 | 0.00977 | 0.10390546 | 0.16902883 | 0.17936611 | 1.0611569 | 0.01244 |
6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.8826137E-4 | 0.0040175403 | 21.340227 | 0.00383 | 5.395873E-4 | 8.065404E-4 | 0.0057025882 | 7.070431 | 0.0049 | 0.006549705 | 0.009765923 | 0.016281663 | 1.6671915 | 0.00658 | 0.063599944 | 0.092913695 | 0.10036087 | 1.0801516 | 0.00821 |
6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.5883512E-4 | 0.0034483126 | 21.710014 | 0.00329 | 4.8703855E-4 | 6.805297E-4 | 0.0048776716 | 7.1674633 | 0.0042 | 0.0059135845 | 0.008251172 | 0.013765295 | 1.6682837 | 0.00556 | 0.057586733 | 0.07969529 | 0.08612823 | 1.0807191 | 0.00699 |
6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 1.2909694E-4 | 0.0028787418 | 22.299072 | 0.00275 | 4.2536893E-4 | 5.5315037E-4 | 0.0041011865 | 7.414235 | 0.00355 | 0.0051665753 | 0.0067133596 | 0.011332142 | 1.6879988 | 0.00465 | 0.050480947 | 0.06573592 | 0.071220055 | 1.0834267 | 0.00587 |
7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 1.1441422E-4 | 0.0027341144 | 23.896631 | 0.00262 | 3.9286047E-4 | 4.9025356E-4 | 0.0038386113 | 7.829849 | 0.00335 | 0.004772591 | 0.0059523806 | 0.010286428 | 1.7281201 | 0.00436 | 0.04671385 | 0.058730558 | 0.06388871 | 1.0878274 | 0.00548 |
7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 9.7980475E-5 | 0.002337761 | 23.859457 | 0.00224 | 3.5504074E-4 | 4.1984936E-4 | 0.003308636 | 7.8805313 | 0.00289 | 0.004314056 | 0.0050998023 | 0.008820729 | 1.7296218 | 0.00374 | 0.042312626 | 0.0507801 | 0.05526042 | 1.0882298 | 0.00472 |
7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 8.9969064E-5 | 0.0019997973 | 22.22761 | 0.00191 | 3.3533663E-4 | 3.8552567E-4 | 0.002824585 | 7.326581 | 0.00244 | 0.0040750825 | 0.004683846 | 0.007848951 | 1.6757493 | 0.00318 | 0.040011603 | 0.046857394 | 0.050660435 | 1.081162 | 0.00399 |
7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 6.842559E-5 | 0.0015483244 | 22.627855 | 0.00148 | 2.9516246E-4 | 2.932202E-4 | 0.0022326515 | 7.6142483 | 0.00194 | 0.0035876823 | 0.0035642271 | 0.0060752453 | 1.7045057 | 0.00252 | 0.035303112 | 0.036227934 | 0.03928309 | 1.0843315 | 0.00317 |
7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 4.148783E-5 | 0.0010914443 | 26.307577 | 0.00105 | 2.3525805E-4 | 1.7779323E-4 | 0.0015275532 | 8.59174 | 0.00135 | 0.0028605047 | 0.0021625506 | 0.0039187446 | 1.8120937 | 0.00176 | 0.02823963 | 0.022527488 | 0.024668152 | 1.0950246 | 0.00219 |
7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 1.3333052E-5 | 6.333248E-4 | 47.500362 | 6.2E-4 | 1.6757756E-4 | 5.714041E-5 | 8.570947E-4 | 14.9998 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0020383475 | 6.954644E-4 | 0.001734741 | 2.4943638 | 0.00104 | 0.020197518 | 0.0078014247 | 0.009091283 | 1.1653363 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 1.0769707E-5 | 4.7076476E-4 | 43.711937 | 4.6E-4 | 1.5603533E-4 | 4.615508E-5 | 6.5612694E-4 | 14.215704 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0018980748 | 5.6179485E-4 | 0.0013113735 | 2.334257 | 7.5E-4 | 0.018819444 | 0.0064019132 | 0.0073557673 | 1.1489952 | 9.6E-4 |
7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 5.8111254E-6 | 1.658102E-4 | 28.533234 | 1.6E-4 | 1.342164E-4 | 2.4904586E-5 | 2.3489936E-4 | 9.431972 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0016328598 | 3.031714E-4 | 5.630926E-4 | 1.8573407 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016209139 | 0.003699546 | 0.004068177 | 1.0996423 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 3.512749E-6 | 6.351254E-5 | 18.08058 | 6.0E-5 | 9.467832E-5 | 1.5054551E-5 | 1.05053194E-4 | 6.9781685 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001152099 | 1.8327379E-4 | 3.032518E-4 | 1.654638 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011461443 | 0.002249513 | 0.0024390856 | 1.0842727 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 2.5743811E-6 | 2.257433E-5 | 8.768837 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4172346E-5 | 1.1033016E-5 | 4.1032687E-5 | 3.7190814 | 3.0E-5 | 6.593487E-4 | 1.3431873E-4 | 1.8431201E-4 | 1.3721989 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006573958 | 0.0016147114 | 0.00171455 | 1.0618305 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 2.016969E-6 | 2.2016928E-5 | 10.91585 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8092087E-5 | 8.644124E-6 | 3.8643866E-5 | 4.4705358 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4196748E-4 | 1.0523716E-4 | 1.552319E-4 | 1.4750674 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034144172 | 0.0012487601 | 0.0013486353 | 1.0799794 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 1.6739839E-6 | 1.16739675E-5 | 6.9737635 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3678517E-5 | 7.174197E-6 | 2.7174054E-5 | 3.7877486 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6652321E-4 | 8.734238E-5 | 1.0734063E-4 | 1.228964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016639848 | 0.0010416002 | 0.0010715689 | 1.0287719 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 1.2816722E-6 | 1.2816722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 5.4928696E-6 | 1.5492815E-5 | 2.820532 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1058014E-4 | 6.687367E-5 | 7.6872995E-5 | 1.1495256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011052513 | 7.9145434E-4 | 8.114385E-4 | 1.02525 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 4.888451E-7 | 4.888451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 2.0950488E-6 | 1.2095028E-5 | 5.7731485 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9325594E-5 | 2.550694E-5 | 3.5506684E-5 | 1.3920401 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9318635E-4 | 2.9454596E-4 | 3.1454006E-4 | 1.0678811 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 2.0614572E-4 | 0.0024056921 | 11.669863 | 0.0022 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.831852E-4 | 0.0037106858 | 4.201481 | 0.00283 | 0.008869528 | 0.0107003525 | 0.014410227 | 1.3467058 | 0.00375 | 0.085237645 | 0.10294924 | 0.107228175 | 1.0415635 | 0.00477 |
6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 2.0614572E-4 | 0.0024056921 | 11.669863 | 0.0022 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.831852E-4 | 0.0037106858 | 4.201481 | 0.00283 | 0.008869528 | 0.0107003525 | 0.014410227 | 1.3467058 | 0.00375 | 0.085237645 | 0.10294924 | 0.107228175 | 1.0415635 | 0.00477 |
6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.9734679E-4 | 0.0023669186 | 11.993702 | 0.00217 | 6.989222E-4 | 8.4550044E-4 | 0.0036331415 | 4.297031 | 0.00279 | 0.008476226 | 0.010245949 | 0.013898141 | 1.3564523 | 0.00369 | 0.08160117 | 0.098735996 | 0.102944896 | 1.0426278 | 0.00467 |
6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.8114598E-4 | 0.0023007619 | 12.701148 | 0.00212 | 6.471264E-4 | 7.761114E-4 | 0.0035139848 | 4.527681 | 0.00274 | 0.007850339 | 0.009408723 | 0.012994663 | 1.3811294 | 0.00362 | 0.075787395 | 0.09103626 | 0.09518113 | 1.04553 | 0.00456 |
6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.7999562E-4 | 0.002299614 | 12.775945 | 0.00212 | 6.4475456E-4 | 7.7118416E-4 | 0.0035090712 | 4.5502377 | 0.00274 | 0.007821669 | 0.009349248 | 0.012935404 | 1.3835769 | 0.00362 | 0.0755203 | 0.09051566 | 0.094653815 | 1.0457176 | 0.00455 |
6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 1.479776E-4 | 0.0021576802 | 14.581126 | 0.00201 | 5.467764E-4 | 6.3403713E-4 | 0.0032423823 | 5.113868 | 0.00261 | 0.0066367025 | 0.007692393 | 0.011086085 | 1.4411751 | 0.00342 | 0.064419635 | 0.075160794 | 0.07916535 | 1.0532799 | 0.00433 |
6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 1.2491347E-4 | 0.0020746698 | 16.608858 | 0.00195 | 4.740649E-4 | 5.3523475E-4 | 0.003053886 | 5.705694 | 0.00252 | 0.0057564764 | 0.006497244 | 0.009785738 | 1.5061368 | 0.00331 | 0.05609626 | 0.063900255 | 0.067831874 | 1.0615275 | 0.0042 |
6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 1.1532512E-4 | 0.0020351037 | 17.646664 | 0.00192 | 4.4525467E-4 | 4.94158E-4 | 0.0029629373 | 5.995931 | 0.00247 | 0.0054075094 | 0.005999992 | 0.009240432 | 1.540074 | 0.00326 | 0.052778035 | 0.05921761 | 0.063112445 | 1.0657716 | 0.00414 |
6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 1.1023466E-4 | 0.0019800286 | 17.96194 | 0.00187 | 4.3264418E-4 | 4.723498E-4 | 0.0028812115 | 6.099741 | 0.00241 | 0.0052547283 | 0.0057358984 | 0.008887716 | 1.5494897 | 0.00317 | 0.051321987 | 0.056828637 | 0.06063905 | 1.0670509 | 0.00404 |
6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 1.0435744E-4 | 0.0019041696 | 18.24661 | 0.0018 | 4.1994374E-4 | 4.4717055E-4 | 0.002766133 | 6.1858573 | 0.00232 | 0.0051008356 | 0.005430905 | 0.008484232 | 1.5622133 | 0.00307 | 0.049853306 | 0.054081935 | 0.057799395 | 1.0687375 | 0.00393 |
7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 9.8268116E-5 | 0.0018480961 | 18.806671 | 0.00175 | 4.0554712E-4 | 4.210821E-4 | 0.002650143 | 6.293649 | 0.00223 | 0.004926363 | 0.005114811 | 0.008039773 | 1.5718613 | 0.00294 | 0.048185747 | 0.05116975 | 0.054746836 | 1.0699064 | 0.00377 |
7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 9.15434E-5 | 0.0017313933 | 18.913359 | 0.00164 | 3.8992817E-4 | 3.9227086E-4 | 0.0024914471 | 6.3513436 | 0.0021 | 0.004737046 | 0.0047656205 | 0.0075124674 | 1.5763881 | 0.00276 | 0.04637333 | 0.047922842 | 0.051293198 | 1.0703287 | 0.00354 |
7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 8.761351E-5 | 0.0016274786 | 18.575659 | 0.00154 | 3.791572E-4 | 3.7543342E-4 | 0.00235469 | 6.2719245 | 0.00198 | 0.004606472 | 0.0045615 | 0.0071595944 | 1.5695702 | 0.00261 | 0.045121472 | 0.045977924 | 0.049154818 | 1.0690961 | 0.00333 |
7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 6.778831E-5 | 0.0013976982 | 20.618572 | 0.00133 | 3.3973053E-4 | 2.9048964E-4 | 0.0020299843 | 6.9881463 | 0.00174 | 0.004128377 | 0.0035310958 | 0.005763186 | 1.632124 | 0.00224 | 0.040525194 | 0.036152445 | 0.038880132 | 1.0754496 | 0.00283 |
7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 4.245769E-5 | 0.001072414 | 25.258415 | 0.00103 | 2.771722E-4 | 1.8194923E-4 | 0.0015117072 | 8.308401 | 0.00133 | 0.0033693502 | 0.0022130494 | 0.0039392207 | 1.7799968 | 0.00173 | 0.0331872 | 0.023184378 | 0.025284532 | 1.0905849 | 0.00215 |
7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 1.514567E-5 | 6.3513627E-4 | 41.935173 | 6.2E-4 | 2.1129321E-4 | 6.490841E-5 | 8.6485647E-4 | 13.324259 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0025694598 | 7.899753E-4 | 0.0018291537 | 2.3154569 | 0.00104 | 0.02539953 | 0.008897227 | 0.010185662 | 1.144813 | 0.0013 |
7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 1.2505157E-5 | 4.724994E-4 | 37.784363 | 4.6E-4 | 1.9766642E-4 | 5.3592437E-5 | 6.6355977E-4 | 12.381593 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0024039324 | 6.5229426E-4 | 0.0014018051 | 2.1490378 | 7.5E-4 | 0.023780935 | 0.0074455393 | 0.008398391 | 1.1279763 | 9.6E-4 |
7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 7.22445E-6 | 1.6722329E-4 | 23.146854 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6899795E-4 | 3.0961564E-5 | 2.4095507E-4 | 7.7823935 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0020556084 | 3.768921E-4 | 6.367941E-4 | 1.6895926 | 2.6E-4 | 0.020366974 | 0.0045435666 | 0.004911885 | 1.0810639 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 4.8647767E-6 | 6.4864485E-5 | 13.333497 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1908354E-4 | 2.0848876E-5 | 1.10847E-4 | 5.3166895 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014488777 | 2.5380554E-4 | 3.737751E-4 | 1.472683 | 1.2E-4 | 0.014394675 | 0.0030578151 | 0.003247234 | 1.0619459 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 3.8300795E-6 | 2.3830004E-5 | 6.2218037 | 2.0E-5 | 6.816983E-5 | 1.6414522E-5 | 4.6414032E-5 | 2.8276198 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2965166E-4 | 1.9982854E-4 | 2.4981855E-4 | 1.2501645 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008265611 | 0.0023665994 | 0.0024663627 | 1.0421547 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 3.219065E-6 | 2.3219001E-5 | 7.212964 | 2.0E-5 | 3.940071E-5 | 1.379592E-5 | 4.3795506E-5 | 3.174526 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7959806E-4 | 1.6795243E-4 | 2.1794402E-4 | 1.2976533 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0047856434 | 0.0019697114 | 0.0020695142 | 1.0506688 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 2.792228E-6 | 1.27922E-5 | 4.5813594 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4006533E-5 | 1.19666365E-5 | 3.1966396E-5 | 2.6712935 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9224035E-4 | 1.456841E-4 | 1.656812E-4 | 1.1372633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029185633 | 0.0017179218 | 0.0017478702 | 1.0174329 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 2.339045E-6 | 2.339045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.864649E-5 | 1.002444E-5 | 2.002434E-5 | 1.9975519 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2699735E-4 | 1.22040765E-4 | 1.3203954E-4 | 1.0819298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022676561 | 0.0014307213 | 0.0014506927 | 1.0139589 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 9.58343E-7 | 9.58343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.388526E-6 | 4.1071776E-6 | 1.4107137E-5 | 3.434752 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0212552E-4 | 5.0003768E-5 | 6.0003265E-5 | 1.1999749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001020786 | 5.811823E-4 | 6.011707E-4 | 1.0343926 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 8.0875434E-5 | 8.508132E-4 | 10.520044 | 7.7E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.4656317E-4 | 0.001296234 | 3.740253 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.0042112856 | 0.0054560215 | 1.2955714 | 0.00125 | 0.0768977 | 0.04436204 | 0.045881502 | 1.0342515 | 0.00159 |
6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 8.0875434E-5 | 8.508132E-4 | 10.520044 | 7.7E-4 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.4656317E-4 | 0.001296234 | 3.740253 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007969595 | 0.0042112856 | 0.0054560215 | 1.2955714 | 0.00125 | 0.0768977 | 0.04436204 | 0.045881502 | 1.0342515 | 0.00159 |
6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.911641E-5 | 8.390632E-4 | 12.139855 | 7.7E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.9617973E-4 | 0.0012458983 | 4.206562 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0036000593 | 0.004845559 | 1.3459665 | 0.00125 | 0.07002798 | 0.03817493 | 0.039704233 | 1.0400604 | 0.00159 |
6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.911641E-5 | 8.390632E-4 | 12.139855 | 7.7E-4 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.9617973E-4 | 0.0012458983 | 4.206562 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007233787 | 0.0036000593 | 0.004845559 | 1.3459665 | 0.00125 | 0.07002798 | 0.03817493 | 0.039704233 | 1.0400604 | 0.00159 |
6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 5.7996025E-5 | 8.2795136E-4 | 14.276002 | 7.7E-4 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.4853085E-4 | 0.0011982947 | 4.821513 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0030216891 | 0.004257942 | 1.4091265 | 0.00124 | 0.06374981 | 0.032282516 | 0.03380183 | 1.0470631 | 0.00157 |
6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 5.0345352E-5 | 8.203066E-4 | 16.29359 | 7.7E-4 | 5.028786E-4 | 2.1574806E-4 | 0.0011655431 | 5.402334 | 9.5E-4 | 0.006105373 | 0.0026235883 | 0.003860335 | 1.4713951 | 0.00124 | 0.05940335 | 0.02821938 | 0.029745076 | 1.0540655 | 0.00157 |
6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.912597E-5 | 8.1908813E-4 | 16.673222 | 7.7E-4 | 4.964894E-4 | 2.10523E-4 | 0.001160323 | 5.5116215 | 9.5E-4 | 0.006028018 | 0.0025601243 | 0.0037869753 | 1.4792154 | 0.00123 | 0.058671024 | 0.027568938 | 0.029085932 | 1.0550255 | 0.00156 |
6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 4.7265763E-5 | 8.172294E-4 | 17.290092 | 7.7E-4 | 4.87168E-4 | 2.0255194E-4 | 0.0011523595 | 5.689205 | 9.5E-4 | 0.005915152 | 0.0024633002 | 0.0036902705 | 1.4981002 | 0.00123 | 0.057601593 | 0.026580047 | 0.028098583 | 1.0571307 | 0.00156 |
6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 4.6353456E-5 | 8.1631774E-4 | 17.61072 | 7.7E-4 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.9864265E-4 | 0.0011484539 | 5.7815075 | 9.5E-4 | 0.005829819 | 0.0024158112 | 0.0036428398 | 1.5079157 | 0.00123 | 0.05679232 | 0.026074516 | 0.02759384 | 1.0582685 | 0.00156 |
6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 4.524455E-5 | 7.952106E-4 | 17.575832 | 7.5E-4 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.938909E-4 | 0.0011237105 | 5.795582 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0057265228 | 0.0023580855 | 0.003565232 | 1.5119182 | 0.00121 | 0.055811852 | 0.025457848 | 0.026958643 | 1.0589521 | 0.00154 |
7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 4.308664E-5 | 7.9305435E-4 | 18.406038 | 7.5E-4 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.8464406E-4 | 0.0011144723 | 6.0357876 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0055408357 | 0.0022457426 | 0.0034530251 | 1.5375873 | 0.00121 | 0.054047033 | 0.024261154 | 0.025763793 | 1.0619359 | 0.00154 |
7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 4.1983072E-5 | 7.919516E-4 | 18.863592 | 7.5E-4 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.7991515E-4 | 0.0011097478 | 6.1681733 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0054534175 | 0.002188285 | 0.0033956373 | 1.5517344 | 0.00121 | 0.053215165 | 0.02365444 | 0.025148248 | 1.0631514 | 0.00153 |
7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 4.0716357E-5 | 7.906858E-4 | 19.419365 | 7.5E-4 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.7448711E-4 | 0.0011043248 | 6.3289766 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0021223293 | 0.0033297613 | 1.5689182 | 0.00121 | 0.052191395 | 0.022955598 | 0.024450477 | 1.0651205 | 0.00153 |
7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 4.0033414E-5 | 7.900034E-4 | 19.7336 | 7.5E-4 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.715606E-4 | 0.001101401 | 6.419895 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005238306 | 0.002086768 | 0.0032942428 | 1.5786341 | 0.00121 | 0.051165357 | 0.022548916 | 0.024044417 | 1.0663224 | 0.00153 |
7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.850031E-5 | 7.884714E-4 | 20.479612 | 7.5E-4 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.64991E-4 | 0.0010948376 | 6.635741 | 9.3E-4 | 0.005034718 | 0.002006933 | 0.0032145046 | 1.6017001 | 0.00121 | 0.049221683 | 0.021649895 | 0.023136988 | 1.0686882 | 0.00152 |
7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.6657997E-5 | 6.466415E-4 | 24.25694 | 6.2E-4 | 3.753763E-4 | 1.1424357E-4 | 9.141522E-4 | 8.001782 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0013900301 | 0.0024285845 | 1.7471452 | 0.00104 | 0.04468165 | 0.015366456 | 0.016626786 | 1.0820184 | 0.00128 |
7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 2.2762939E-5 | 4.8275245E-4 | 21.207827 | 4.6E-4 | 3.4093665E-4 | 9.755181E-5 | 7.074923E-4 | 7.252477 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0041430052 | 0.001187048 | 0.0019361577 | 1.6310694 | 7.5E-4 | 0.040666126 | 0.013235341 | 0.014182635 | 1.0715731 | 9.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 1.4660591E-5 | 1.7465824E-4 | 11.913452 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7368503E-4 | 6.282959E-5 | 2.728164E-4 | 4.342164 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0033270244 | 7.646822E-4 | 0.0010244834 | 1.3397505 | 2.6E-4 | 0.032776527 | 0.008790216 | 0.009156964 | 1.0417223 | 3.7E-4 |
7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 1.1141078E-5 | 7.1140414E-5 | 6.385415 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8231533E-4 | 4.7746606E-5 | 1.377423E-4 | 2.8848608 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022174292 | 5.8116E-4 | 7.0109026E-4 | 1.2063636 | 1.2E-4 | 0.021954332 | 0.006676136 | 0.0068648676 | 1.0282695 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 9.475562E-6 | 2.9475374E-5 | 3.1106727 | 2.0E-5 | 9.7010445E-5 | 4.060892E-5 | 7.0607704E-5 | 1.738724 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011804621 | 4.943016E-4 | 5.4427685E-4 | 1.1011028 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011742111 | 0.005604431 | 0.0057038707 | 1.017743 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 8.527474E-6 | 2.8527304E-5 | 3.3453405 | 2.0E-5 | 6.500356E-5 | 3.6545804E-5 | 6.654471E-5 | 1.8208576 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9113094E-4 | 4.4485446E-4 | 4.9483223E-4 | 1.1123463 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007883203 | 0.0050214976 | 0.0051209955 | 1.0198144 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 7.744593E-6 | 1.7744516E-5 | 2.2912135 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5775112E-5 | 3.3190692E-5 | 5.3190026E-5 | 1.6025586 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5716943E-4 | 4.0402188E-4 | 4.240138E-4 | 1.0494822 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055577457 | 0.0045524933 | 0.0045823567 | 1.0065598 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 6.2227323E-6 | 6.2227323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.52543E-5 | 2.666858E-5 | 3.6668316E-5 | 1.374963 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2913653E-4 | 3.246417E-4 | 3.3463846E-4 | 1.0307932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004283088 | 0.0036438936 | 0.0036638207 | 1.0054686 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Bear River fault zone
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7118964E-5 | 5.3710514E-4 | 19.80552 | 5.1E-4 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1621948E-4 | 7.7614276E-4 | 6.67825 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014141483 | 0.002412734 | 1.7061394 | 0.001 | 0.012328116 | 0.014061003 | 0.015431458 | 1.0974649 | 0.00139 |
6.1 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7118964E-5 | 5.3710514E-4 | 19.80552 | 5.1E-4 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1621948E-4 | 7.7614276E-4 | 6.67825 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014141483 | 0.002412734 | 1.7061394 | 0.001 | 0.012328116 | 0.014061003 | 0.015431458 | 1.0974649 | 0.00139 |
6.2 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8152E-5 | 2.4814782E-4 | 13.670549 | 2.3E-4 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.77921E-5 | 3.87768E-4 | 4.98467 | 3.1E-4 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.467311E-4 | 0.0013863145 | 1.4643171 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008300122 | 0.009429396 | 0.010033644 | 1.0640813 | 6.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8152E-5 | 2.4814782E-4 | 13.670549 | 2.3E-4 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.77921E-5 | 3.87768E-4 | 4.98467 | 3.1E-4 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.467311E-4 | 0.0013863145 | 1.4643171 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008300122 | 0.009429396 | 0.010033644 | 1.0640813 | 6.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3027338E-5 | 1.48149265E-5 | 1.648127E-4 | 11.124774 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5830256E-5 | 6.3491076E-5 | 2.7347775E-4 | 4.3073416 | 2.1E-4 | 6.7952136E-4 | 7.727436E-4 | 0.0010924963 | 1.4137889 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0067744725 | 0.0077019795 | 0.008118745 | 1.0541115 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2489152E-5 | 1.4215127E-5 | 1.5421314E-4 | 10.848523 | 1.4E-4 | 5.352384E-5 | 6.092063E-5 | 2.5090904E-4 | 4.1186223 | 1.9E-4 | 6.514579E-4 | 7.4146996E-4 | 0.0010212624 | 1.3773482 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0064955144 | 0.0073913475 | 0.0077685392 | 1.0510315 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1662849E-5 | 1.3295847E-5 | 1.2329439E-4 | 9.27315 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9982682E-5 | 5.698103E-5 | 2.1697191E-4 | 3.8077922 | 1.6E-4 | 6.083692E-4 | 6.9353625E-4 | 9.333698E-4 | 1.3458126 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006067064 | 0.00691503 | 0.0072427485 | 1.0473921 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0667623E-5 | 1.2191395E-5 | 1.1219017E-4 | 9.202407 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5717585E-5 | 5.2247855E-5 | 1.9224054E-4 | 3.6793957 | 1.4E-4 | 5.5646943E-4 | 6.359439E-4 | 8.55804E-4 | 1.3457224 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0055507803 | 0.006342433 | 0.0066305934 | 1.0454338 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 9.154534E-6 | 1.0516181E-5 | 8.051544E-5 | 7.6563387 | 7.0E-5 | 3.923313E-5 | 4.5068628E-5 | 1.3506458E-4 | 2.9968646 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7755867E-4 | 5.4858305E-4 | 6.985007E-4 | 1.2732817 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004765337 | 0.0054733446 | 0.00567225 | 1.0363407 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.68501E-6 | 8.896834E-6 | 6.88963E-5 | 7.743912 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2935342E-5 | 3.8128783E-5 | 1.1812573E-4 | 3.0980725 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0091402E-4 | 4.6412845E-4 | 5.940681E-4 | 1.2799649 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004001915 | 0.004632521 | 0.0048017334 | 1.036527 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 5.7315733E-6 | 6.746788E-6 | 5.6746452E-5 | 8.410884 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4563653E-5 | 2.891451E-5 | 7.8913064E-5 | 2.7291856 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9902143E-4 | 3.519816E-4 | 4.2195697E-4 | 1.198804 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029861939 | 0.0035146675 | 0.003614316 | 1.0283521 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5540667E-6 | 5.6553738E-5 | 8.628801 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.808858E-5 | 7.808718E-5 | 2.7800329 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.419291E-4 | 4.1190517E-4 | 1.2046508 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002900493 | 0.0034144553 | 0.0035141138 | 1.0291872 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.7038193E-6 | 3.4703677E-5 | 7.377766 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0159088E-5 | 5.0158484E-5 | 2.4881325 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4541272E-4 | 2.9540047E-4 | 1.2036884 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020908823 | 0.002451759 | 0.002531563 | 1.0325496 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4546075E-6 | 2.2454558E-5 | 9.147922 | 2.0E-5 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0519719E-5 | 3.051951E-5 | 2.9011714 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2807258E-4 | 1.6806746E-4 | 1.3122829 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012802359 | 0.001330172 | 1.0390053 | 5.0E-5 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3106756E-5 | 4.5310098E-4 | 34.57003 | 4.4E-4 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6170804E-5 | 6.2613876E-4 | 11.147051 | 5.7E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.837E-4 | 0.0015331189 | 2.2423851 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006820426 | 0.007932787 | 1.1630926 | 0.00112 |
6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3106756E-5 | 4.5310098E-4 | 34.57003 | 4.4E-4 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6170804E-5 | 6.2613876E-4 | 11.147051 | 5.7E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.837E-4 | 0.0015331189 | 2.2423851 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006820426 | 0.007932787 | 1.1630926 | 0.00112 |
6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3106756E-5 | 4.5310098E-4 | 34.57003 | 4.4E-4 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6170804E-5 | 6.2613876E-4 | 11.147051 | 5.7E-4 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.837E-4 | 0.0015331189 | 2.2423851 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0064817313 | 0.006820426 | 0.007932787 | 1.1630926 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.284332E-6 | 2.88282E-4 | 34.798466 | 2.8E-4 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.550387E-5 | 3.6549216E-4 | 10.294432 | 3.3E-4 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.3218685E-4 | 9.419664E-4 | 2.1795352 | 5.1E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0043157414 | 0.00498285 | 1.1545756 | 6.7E-4 |
6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.284332E-6 | 2.88282E-4 | 34.798466 | 2.8E-4 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.550387E-5 | 3.6549216E-4 | 10.294432 | 3.3E-4 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.3218685E-4 | 9.419664E-4 | 2.1795352 | 5.1E-4 | 0.004159618 | 0.0043157414 | 0.00498285 | 1.1545756 | 6.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.144965E-6 | 1.7514409E-4 | 34.041843 | 1.7E-4 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.204967E-5 | 2.1204547E-4 | 9.616719 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.684226E-4 | 5.3835014E-4 | 2.0056067 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0026327274 | 0.002682078 | 0.003021166 | 1.1264274 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.6002788E-6 | 1.5459959E-4 | 33.606567 | 1.5E-4 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9715335E-5 | 1.8971198E-4 | 9.62256 | 1.7E-4 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.4000838E-4 | 4.899484E-4 | 2.0413804 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023644536 | 0.0023985533 | 0.0027078097 | 1.1289346 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.1574413E-6 | 1.341569E-4 | 32.269104 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.7817485E-5 | 1.6781481E-4 | 9.418547 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.169067E-4 | 4.2686114E-4 | 1.9679482 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0021445542 | 0.0021679904 | 0.0024274266 | 1.1196667 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.8662165E-6 | 1.3386572E-4 | 34.624474 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6569396E-5 | 1.5656708E-4 | 9.449172 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9993502E-4 | 2.0171407E-4 | 4.0167372E-4 | 1.9913025 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0019975523 | 0.0020163439 | 0.0022658398 | 1.1237367 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.5210858E-6 | 1.3352063E-4 | 37.9203 | 1.3E-4 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.50902815E-5 | 1.5508817E-4 | 10.277354 | 1.4E-4 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.8370895E-4 | 3.836722E-4 | 2.0884786 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018245836 | 0.0018365972 | 0.0020861381 | 1.1358713 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.94105E-6 | 1.12940725E-4 | 38.401497 | 1.1E-4 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.2604441E-5 | 1.2260306E-4 | 9.726974 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.5344843E-4 | 3.0342542E-4 | 1.977377 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0015365666 | 0.001534442 | 0.0017341351 | 1.1301405 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.4482747E-6 | 1.0244803E-4 | 41.84499 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0492565E-5 | 1.1049151E-4 | 10.530458 | 1.0E-4 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.2773964E-4 | 2.5772303E-4 | 2.017565 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0012958117 | 0.0012776757 | 0.0014474585 | 1.1328841 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.1238704E-6 | 1.0212366E-4 | 48.08375 | 1.0E-4 | 9.342954E-6 | 9.102271E-6 | 1.0910136E-4 | 11.98617 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.108146E-4 | 2.308013E-4 | 2.0827699 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011368633 | 0.0011085928 | 0.0012684155 | 1.1441671 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 1.992436E-6 | 9.199225E-5 | 46.17075 | 9.0E-5 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.538984E-6 | 9.8538214E-5 | 11.539806 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.0395725E-4 | 2.1394582E-4 | 2.0580173 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010627571 | 0.0010400725 | 0.0011899165 | 1.1440707 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4333372E-6 | 5.1433264E-5 | 35.883575 | 5.0E-5 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.1428595E-6 | 5.614255E-5 | 9.139482 | 5.0E-5 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.4786825E-5 | 1.3478234E-4 | 1.8022203 | 6.0E-5 | 7.603208E-4 | 7.4852846E-4 | 8.384611E-4 | 1.1201459 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.723452E-7 | 3.0672327E-5 | 45.619907 | 3.0E-5 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.8814766E-6 | 3.288139E-5 | 11.411299 | 3.0E-5 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.508146E-5 | 7.508006E-5 | 2.1401634 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2091825E-4 | 3.5151636E-4 | 4.1149528E-4 | 1.170629 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.4569902E-7 | 1.0145697E-5 | 69.63463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3388321E-6 | 6.244242E-7 | 1.0624418E-5 | 17.014744 | 1.0E-5 | 1.630016E-5 | 7.6023393E-6 | 2.7602187E-5 | 3.6307492 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6298964E-4 | 7.6728385E-5 | 9.672685E-5 | 1.2606397 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 5.359964E-8 | 5.359964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 2.2971273E-7 | 2.2971273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.796749E-6 | 2.796749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2598115E-5 | 2.8431174E-5 | 2.8431174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.5589224E-9 | 2.5589224E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 1.09668115E-8 | 1.09668115E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.3352093E-7 | 1.3352093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0975983E-5 | 1.3787244E-6 | 1.3787244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 2.2415403E-12 | 2.2415403E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 9.606427E-12 | 9.606427E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 1.1696055E-10 | 1.1696055E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7135354E-7 | 1.64046E-9 | 1.64046E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.532863E-5 | 4.3530445E-4 | 6.6633024 | 3.7E-4 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.7995414E-4 | 7.4982253E-4 | 2.6783764 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002522281 | 0.0034037775 | 0.004131293 | 1.2137376 | 7.3E-4 | 0.024938442 | 0.03358194 | 0.034519363 | 1.0279145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.6882404E-5 | 3.4686833E-4 | 7.3986893 | 3.0E-4 | 1.4978478E-4 | 2.009123E-4 | 5.70838E-4 | 2.8412294 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0024438999 | 0.0029925557 | 1.2245002 | 5.5E-4 | 0.018072363 | 0.024223141 | 0.024925701 | 1.0290036 | 7.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.668069E-5 | 2.9667115E-4 | 8.087938 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.5719632E-4 | 4.77146E-4 | 3.035351 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0019126642 | 0.0023717843 | 1.2400422 | 4.6E-4 | 0.014255894 | 0.019008892 | 0.019597486 | 1.0309641 | 6.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.6597947E-5 | 2.9658843E-4 | 8.103964 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.5684175E-4 | 4.7679155E-4 | 3.039953 | 3.2E-4 | 0.001431093 | 0.0019083549 | 0.002367477 | 1.2405853 | 4.6E-4 | 0.014219119 | 0.018966535 | 0.019555155 | 1.0310347 | 6.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.4991192E-5 | 2.2498619E-4 | 9.00262 | 2.0E-4 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.0710308E-4 | 3.4707738E-4 | 3.240592 | 2.4E-4 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0013036067 | 0.0016132025 | 1.2374918 | 3.1E-4 | 0.009877323 | 0.012999279 | 0.01342369 | 1.0326488 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5540667E-6 | 5.6553738E-5 | 8.628801 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.808858E-5 | 7.808718E-5 | 2.7800329 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.419291E-4 | 4.1190517E-4 | 1.2046508 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002900493 | 0.0034144553 | 0.0035141138 | 1.0291872 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.7038193E-6 | 3.4703677E-5 | 7.377766 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0159088E-5 | 5.0158484E-5 | 2.4881325 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4541272E-4 | 2.9540047E-4 | 1.2036884 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020908823 | 0.002451759 | 0.002531563 | 1.0325496 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4546075E-6 | 2.2454558E-5 | 9.147922 | 2.0E-5 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0519719E-5 | 3.051951E-5 | 2.9011714 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2807258E-4 | 1.6806746E-4 | 1.3122829 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010938413 | 0.0012802359 | 0.001330172 | 1.0390053 | 5.0E-5 |
Little Salmon (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.5 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.7 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3306372E-5 | 2.532957E-4 | 4.7516966 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.2844081E-4 | 4.5838827E-4 | 2.0065954 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0027785928 | 0.0031475646 | 1.1327909 | 3.7E-4 | 0.021463778 | 0.027385589 | 0.027901074 | 1.0188233 | 5.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.2157586E-5 | 2.1215042E-4 | 5.032319 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.8066734E-4 | 3.8063122E-4 | 2.106807 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001804194 | 0.0021982002 | 0.0024775849 | 1.1270969 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01789616 | 0.021736324 | 0.022117848 | 1.0175523 | 3.9E-4 |
6.9 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.2157586E-5 | 2.1215042E-4 | 5.032319 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.8066734E-4 | 3.8063122E-4 | 2.106807 | 2.0E-4 | 0.001804194 | 0.0021982002 | 0.0024775849 | 1.1270969 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01789616 | 0.021736324 | 0.022117848 | 1.0175523 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8411014E-5 | 1.7849616E-5 | 1.0784801E-4 | 6.042035 | 9.0E-5 | 7.8901954E-5 | 7.6496435E-5 | 1.8648802E-4 | 2.4378655 | 1.1E-4 | 9.6020795E-4 | 9.310034E-4 | 0.0010808638 | 1.1609665 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009560696 | 0.009298356 | 0.009546031 | 1.0266365 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6183103E-5 | 1.4713972E-5 | 1.0471265E-4 | 7.1165457 | 9.0E-5 | 6.935431E-5 | 6.3058644E-5 | 1.6305233E-4 | 2.5857255 | 1.0E-4 | 8.440616E-4 | 7.675196E-4 | 9.0741215E-4 | 1.1822658 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008408628 | 0.007675408 | 0.007913565 | 1.0310287 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.4868988E-5 | 1.3053152E-5 | 1.0305198E-4 | 7.894797 | 9.0E-5 | 6.372268E-5 | 5.594115E-5 | 1.5593556E-4 | 2.7874928 | 1.0E-4 | 7.755474E-4 | 6.809193E-4 | 8.2082395E-4 | 1.2054644 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0077284635 | 0.0068143816 | 0.007052746 | 1.0349796 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3599865E-6 | 7.990615E-6 | 4.7990296E-5 | 6.005832 | 4.0E-5 | 4.011361E-5 | 3.4245262E-5 | 8.424355E-5 | 2.460006 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8827377E-4 | 4.1689473E-4 | 5.068572E-4 | 1.2157918 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004872023 | 0.004178715 | 0.0043480042 | 1.0405123 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.941556E-6 | 5.1425686E-6 | 3.5142413E-5 | 6.8336306 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5463563E-5 | 2.203958E-5 | 6.20387E-5 | 2.8148766 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0997477E-4 | 2.6833187E-4 | 3.4831042E-4 | 1.2980583 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030954275 | 0.0026926883 | 0.002812365 | 1.0444452 | 1.2E-4 |
Little Salmon (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.4 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3052053E-5 | 2.212469E-5 | 1.6212159E-4 | 7.327632 | 1.4E-4 | 9.879077E-5 | 9.4817326E-5 | 2.8479932E-4 | 3.003663 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0012021139 | 0.0011539089 | 0.0014435742 | 1.2510297 | 2.9E-4 | 0.011956319 | 0.011512553 | 0.011996913 | 1.0420722 | 4.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.683878E-5 | 1.4857162E-5 | 8.4856125E-5 | 5.7114625 | 7.0E-5 | 7.21642E-5 | 6.3672305E-5 | 1.5366657E-4 | 2.4133976 | 9.0E-5 | 8.78245E-4 | 7.74989E-4 | 9.1488054E-4 | 1.1805077 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008747822 | 0.0077499147 | 0.0080079 | 1.0332887 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.683878E-5 | 1.4857162E-5 | 8.4856125E-5 | 5.7114625 | 7.0E-5 | 7.21642E-5 | 6.3672305E-5 | 1.5366657E-4 | 2.4133976 | 9.0E-5 | 8.78245E-4 | 7.74989E-4 | 9.1488054E-4 | 1.1805077 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008747822 | 0.0077499147 | 0.0080079 | 1.0332887 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5051273E-5 | 1.2792186E-5 | 7.2791416E-5 | 5.6903033 | 6.0E-5 | 6.450386E-5 | 5.482278E-5 | 1.2481894E-4 | 2.2767715 | 7.0E-5 | 7.8505155E-4 | 6.6731236E-4 | 7.872323E-4 | 1.1797059 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00782284 | 0.006679654 | 0.0068882513 | 1.0312288 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5051273E-5 | 1.2792186E-5 | 7.2791416E-5 | 5.6903033 | 6.0E-5 | 6.450386E-5 | 5.482278E-5 | 1.2481894E-4 | 2.2767715 | 7.0E-5 | 7.8505155E-4 | 6.6731236E-4 | 7.872323E-4 | 1.1797059 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00782284 | 0.006679654 | 0.0068882513 | 1.0312288 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.24301405E-5 | 1.03223E-5 | 6.0321785E-5 | 5.8438315 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3270942E-5 | 4.4237924E-5 | 1.0423527E-4 | 2.3562424 | 6.0E-5 | 6.483807E-4 | 5.385069E-4 | 6.3845306E-4 | 1.1855986 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006464922 | 0.0053975764 | 0.0055766045 | 1.0331683 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3599865E-6 | 7.990615E-6 | 4.7990296E-5 | 6.005832 | 4.0E-5 | 4.011361E-5 | 3.4245262E-5 | 8.424355E-5 | 2.460006 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8827377E-4 | 4.1689473E-4 | 5.068572E-4 | 1.2157918 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004872023 | 0.004178715 | 0.0043480042 | 1.0405123 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 5.941556E-6 | 5.1425686E-6 | 3.5142413E-5 | 6.8336306 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5463563E-5 | 2.203958E-5 | 6.20387E-5 | 2.8148766 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0997477E-4 | 2.6833187E-4 | 3.4831042E-4 | 1.2980583 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030954275 | 0.0026926883 | 0.002812365 | 1.0444452 | 1.2E-4 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.4197783E-5 | 1.6419333E-4 | 4.801286 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4655465E-4 | 3.5652387E-4 | 2.4327025 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017830128 | 0.0021323888 | 1.1959469 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0156177925 | 0.017704206 | 0.018175708 | 1.0266322 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.928099E-5 | 7.927983E-5 | 4.1118135 | 6.0E-5 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.2630446E-5 | 1.9262136E-4 | 2.3311183 | 1.1E-4 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010056063 | 0.0012353751 | 1.2284877 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.010015051 | 0.010351646 | 1.0336089 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.928099E-5 | 7.927983E-5 | 4.1118135 | 6.0E-5 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.2630446E-5 | 1.9262136E-4 | 2.3311183 | 1.1E-4 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010056063 | 0.0012353751 | 1.2284877 | 2.3E-4 | 0.008919522 | 0.010015051 | 0.010351646 | 1.0336089 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4399481E-5 | 6.439876E-5 | 4.472297 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.171079E-5 | 1.6170462E-4 | 2.6203623 | 1.0E-4 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.511022E-4 | 9.409595E-4 | 1.2527716 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006687004 | 0.007488844 | 0.007766747 | 1.0371089 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.1852174E-5 | 5.18517E-5 | 4.3748684 | 4.0E-5 | 4.53782E-5 | 5.0794206E-5 | 1.4078963E-4 | 2.7717657 | 9.0E-5 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.1827316E-4 | 7.8816805E-4 | 1.2747893 | 1.7E-4 | 0.005509687 | 0.006168405 | 0.0064168633 | 1.0402792 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 9.106194E-6 | 3.9105922E-5 | 4.294431 | 3.0E-5 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.90261E-5 | 1.0902337E-4 | 2.7936013 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.7506424E-4 | 5.85012E-4 | 1.2314377 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0042373384 | 0.0047429497 | 0.004902191 | 1.0335742 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.4885676E-6 | 6.4885676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7807971E-5 | 4.7807414E-5 | 1.7191982 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.385312E-4 | 3.8851425E-4 | 1.1476469 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00301531 | 0.003382285 | 0.0034719806 | 1.0265192 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.8217044E-6 | 4.8217044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.0664396E-5 | 3.066419E-5 | 1.4839141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.515799E-4 | 2.9156986E-4 | 1.1589552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022430231 | 0.002514907 | 0.002594706 | 1.0317303 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.16446E-7 | 6.16446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.6419088E-6 | 1.2641883E-5 | 4.785132 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.2164782E-5 | 4.2164458E-5 | 1.310889 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.2160283E-4 | 3.3159961E-4 | 1.0310843 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.1439906E-7 | 5.1439906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.2045656E-6 | 1.2204544E-5 | 5.5360312 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.684027E-5 | 3.684E-5 | 1.3725646 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.683717E-4 | 2.78369E-4 | 1.0372517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.443582E-7 | 2.443582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.047249E-6 | 1.047249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.2750188E-5 | 1.2750188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.2749518E-4 | 1.2749518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2729346E-8 | 1.2729346E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.4554338E-8 | 5.4554338E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.6419904E-7 | 6.6419904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.6419907E-6 | 6.6419907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.933196E-5 | 2.4931767E-4 | 2.7909124 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.8279418E-4 | 6.0271E-4 | 1.5745014 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004651177 | 0.004949782 | 1.0641998 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045603245 | 0.04602318 | 1.0092084 | 4.4E-4 |
6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.933196E-5 | 2.4931767E-4 | 2.7909124 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.8279418E-4 | 6.0271E-4 | 1.5745014 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004651177 | 0.004949782 | 1.0641998 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045603245 | 0.04602318 | 1.0092084 | 4.4E-4 |
6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.933196E-5 | 2.4931767E-4 | 2.7909124 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.8279418E-4 | 6.0271E-4 | 1.5745014 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004651177 | 0.004949782 | 1.0641998 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045603245 | 0.04602318 | 1.0092084 | 4.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.933196E-5 | 2.4931767E-4 | 2.7909124 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.8279418E-4 | 6.0271E-4 | 1.5745014 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0035443127 | 0.004651177 | 0.004949782 | 1.0641998 | 3.0E-4 | 0.03488314 | 0.045603245 | 0.04602318 | 1.0092084 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7629506E-5 | 1.776226E-4 | 3.0821466 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4695808E-4 | 4.0691855E-4 | 1.6477233 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023885423 | 0.003002937 | 0.0032322463 | 1.0763617 | 2.3E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029659161 | 0.02996967 | 1.0104692 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.7629506E-5 | 1.776226E-4 | 3.0821466 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4695808E-4 | 4.0691855E-4 | 1.6477233 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023885423 | 0.003002937 | 0.0032322463 | 1.0763617 | 2.3E-4 | 0.023630321 | 0.029659161 | 0.02996967 | 1.0104692 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.8485607E-5 | 1.0848291E-4 | 2.8187919 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.6492755E-4 | 2.6491107E-4 | 1.6062268 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016799092 | 0.0020062337 | 0.0021559326 | 1.0746169 | 1.5E-4 | 0.016672665 | 0.019890096 | 0.020095918 | 1.010348 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.7894475E-5 | 8.7892804E-5 | 3.1509035 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.19542325E-4 | 2.0953156E-4 | 1.7527814 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014544644 | 0.0015842753 | 1.08925 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012525126 | 0.014450604 | 0.014608292 | 1.0109122 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.5025707E-5 | 7.502446E-5 | 2.9978955 | 5.0E-5 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.0724864E-4 | 1.8724006E-4 | 1.7458502 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001137623 | 0.0013049738 | 0.0014148303 | 1.0841829 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011318169 | 0.012973726 | 0.013111909 | 1.010651 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.3705063E-5 | 7.370388E-5 | 3.109204 | 5.0E-5 | 8.871327E-5 | 1.0158919E-4 | 1.8158107E-4 | 1.7874054 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0012361498 | 0.0013460139 | 1.088876 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010743194 | 0.012293262 | 0.012431541 | 1.0112484 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.3008504E-5 | 7.300735E-5 | 3.1730597 | 5.0E-5 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.860416E-5 | 1.7859628E-4 | 1.8112447 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0011998477 | 0.0013097157 | 1.0915684 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010435291 | 0.011934186 | 0.012072516 | 1.011591 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.0832707E-5 | 6.0831873E-5 | 2.9200177 | 4.0E-5 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.927999E-5 | 1.4927462E-4 | 1.6719831 | 6.0E-5 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010864433 | 0.0011663564 | 1.0735548 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009464677 | 0.010811608 | 0.010920419 | 1.0100642 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 2.0049858E-5 | 6.0049057E-5 | 2.9949865 | 4.0E-5 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.5925145E-5 | 1.4591998E-4 | 1.6982222 | 6.0E-5 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.001045638 | 0.0011255544 | 1.0764283 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009103506 | 0.010407448 | 0.010516303 | 1.0104593 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.807123E-5 | 5.807051E-5 | 3.213423 | 4.0E-5 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.744584E-5 | 1.374412E-4 | 1.774675 | 6.0E-5 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.4249647E-4 | 0.0010124305 | 1.0742009 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008172729 | 0.009385201 | 0.009474357 | 1.0094995 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.6642314E-5 | 4.6641813E-5 | 2.802604 | 3.0E-5 | 6.195865E-5 | 7.132226E-5 | 1.1131941E-4 | 1.5607947 | 4.0E-5 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.6800347E-4 | 9.179601E-4 | 1.0575534 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007515317 | 0.0086462805 | 0.008715675 | 1.008026 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.5385824E-5 | 4.538536E-5 | 2.9498167 | 3.0E-5 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.593759E-5 | 1.05934945E-4 | 1.6065943 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9520384E-4 | 8.024953E-4 | 8.5245515E-4 | 1.0622556 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00693033 | 0.007996103 | 0.008065543 | 1.0086843 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.2419664E-5 | 3.2419415E-5 | 2.6103296 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.3226046E-5 | 8.322445E-5 | 1.5636038 | 3.0E-5 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.4783497E-4 | 6.778156E-4 | 1.0462781 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005567309 | 0.0064595332 | 0.0064893398 | 1.0046144 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.871231E-6 | 6.871231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.9447801E-5 | 2.9447801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.5846824E-4 | 3.5846824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030941102 | 0.003578919 | 0.003578919 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.3357272E-6 | 2.3357272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 1.0010222E-5 | 1.0010222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.21867706E-4 | 1.21867706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001127572 | 0.0012180156 | 0.0012180156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2292177E-7 | 5.2292177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2410916E-6 | 2.2410916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7284968E-5 | 2.7284968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.728183E-4 | 2.728183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Russ 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6355807E-5 | 1.5635238E-4 | 5.932369 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1294893E-4 | 2.7293086E-4 | 2.4164095 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013743499 | 0.0016140201 | 1.174388 | 2.4E-4 | 0.012345135 | 0.013665036 | 0.014059571 | 1.0288718 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.6515693E-5 | 1.8257282E-5 | 8.8256005E-5 | 4.834017 | 7.0E-5 | 7.077962E-5 | 7.824334E-5 | 1.6823629E-4 | 2.1501677 | 9.0E-5 | 8.6140115E-4 | 9.5223036E-4 | 0.0010821066 | 1.1363916 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008580698 | 0.009484921 | 0.00973255 | 1.0261077 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6515693E-5 | 1.8257282E-5 | 8.8256005E-5 | 4.834017 | 7.0E-5 | 7.077962E-5 | 7.824334E-5 | 1.6823629E-4 | 2.1501677 | 9.0E-5 | 8.6140115E-4 | 9.5223036E-4 | 0.0010821066 | 1.1363916 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008580698 | 0.009484921 | 0.00973255 | 1.0261077 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2971182E-5 | 1.4327798E-5 | 6.432708E-5 | 4.48967 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5589593E-5 | 6.140355E-5 | 1.3139925E-4 | 2.139929 | 7.0E-5 | 6.765931E-4 | 7.4735796E-4 | 8.472832E-4 | 1.1337047 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067453682 | 0.0074510393 | 0.007659475 | 1.027974 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0201805E-5 | 1.12641565E-5 | 5.1263705E-5 | 4.5510473 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3721288E-5 | 4.8274178E-5 | 1.08271284E-4 | 2.2428405 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3217664E-4 | 5.876006E-4 | 6.6755357E-4 | 1.1360669 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00530904 | 0.0058625364 | 0.0060315393 | 1.0288277 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.3744935E-6 | 9.247381E-6 | 3.9247105E-5 | 4.244132 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5890193E-5 | 3.9631133E-5 | 8.962915E-5 | 2.2615843 | 5.0E-5 | 4.368755E-4 | 4.8242093E-4 | 5.5238715E-4 | 1.1450315 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004360176 | 0.0048155757 | 0.0049549015 | 1.0289323 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 6.649391E-6 | 7.344667E-6 | 1.7344593E-5 | 2.3615222 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8497077E-5 | 3.147686E-5 | 5.147623E-5 | 1.6353674 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4689668E-4 | 3.831801E-4 | 4.2316478E-4 | 1.1043496 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034635565 | 0.0038268368 | 0.003916492 | 1.0234281 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.9549312E-6 | 5.4753014E-6 | 5.4753014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1235246E-5 | 2.3465449E-5 | 3.3465214E-5 | 1.4261485 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5850846E-4 | 2.8566923E-4 | 3.1566064E-4 | 1.1049865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025820795 | 0.002854475 | 0.0029242751 | 1.0244529 | 7.0E-5 |
Table Bluff
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7744695E-5 | 2.0464597E-5 | 1.6046173E-4 | 7.840943 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6046475E-5 | 8.770281E-5 | 2.7768614E-4 | 3.1662173 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2547253E-4 | 0.0010673191 | 0.0013370309 | 1.2527002 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009216278 | 0.010627958 | 0.010954451 | 1.0307202 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7744695E-5 | 2.0464597E-5 | 1.6046173E-4 | 7.840943 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6046475E-5 | 8.770281E-5 | 2.7768614E-4 | 3.1662173 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2547253E-4 | 0.0010673191 | 0.0013370309 | 1.2527002 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009216278 | 0.010627958 | 0.010954451 | 1.0307202 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7744695E-5 | 2.0464597E-5 | 1.6046173E-4 | 7.840943 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6046475E-5 | 8.770281E-5 | 2.7768614E-4 | 3.1662173 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2547253E-4 | 0.0010673191 | 0.0013370309 | 1.2527002 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009216278 | 0.010627958 | 0.010954451 | 1.0307202 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7744695E-5 | 2.0464597E-5 | 1.6046173E-4 | 7.840943 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6046475E-5 | 8.770281E-5 | 2.7768614E-4 | 3.1662173 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2547253E-4 | 0.0010673191 | 0.0013370309 | 1.2527002 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009216278 | 0.010627958 | 0.010954451 | 1.0307202 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.7744695E-5 | 2.0464597E-5 | 1.6046173E-4 | 7.840943 | 1.4E-4 | 7.6046475E-5 | 8.770281E-5 | 2.7768614E-4 | 3.1662173 | 1.9E-4 | 9.2547253E-4 | 0.0010673191 | 0.0013370309 | 1.2527002 | 2.7E-4 | 0.009216278 | 0.010627958 | 0.010954451 | 1.0307202 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2822383E-5 | 1.5018002E-5 | 1.150165E-4 | 7.6585755 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4951914E-5 | 6.436145E-5 | 1.9435308E-4 | 3.0197127 | 1.3E-4 | 6.6883414E-4 | 7.833493E-4 | 9.332318E-4 | 1.1913354 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0066682473 | 0.007808896 | 0.007997412 | 1.0241412 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2822383E-5 | 1.5018002E-5 | 1.150165E-4 | 7.6585755 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4951914E-5 | 6.436145E-5 | 1.9435308E-4 | 3.0197127 | 1.3E-4 | 6.6883414E-4 | 7.833493E-4 | 9.332318E-4 | 1.1913354 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0066682473 | 0.007808896 | 0.007997412 | 1.0241412 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 9.690175E-6 | 1.1582572E-5 | 7.1581875E-5 | 6.1801367 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1528663E-5 | 4.963877E-5 | 1.396343E-4 | 2.813009 | 9.0E-5 | 5.054941E-4 | 6.042051E-4 | 7.041447E-4 | 1.1654067 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005043458 | 0.00602767 | 0.006156887 | 1.0214372 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 9.690175E-6 | 1.1582572E-5 | 7.1581875E-5 | 6.1801367 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1528663E-5 | 4.963877E-5 | 1.396343E-4 | 2.813009 | 9.0E-5 | 5.054941E-4 | 6.042051E-4 | 7.041447E-4 | 1.1654067 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005043458 | 0.00602767 | 0.006156887 | 1.0214372 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.096043E-6 | 9.841161E-6 | 6.984057E-5 | 7.0967813 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4696863E-5 | 4.2175827E-5 | 1.2217245E-4 | 2.8967412 | 8.0E-5 | 4.223524E-4 | 5.1338767E-4 | 5.933466E-4 | 1.1557477 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004215506 | 0.005123789 | 0.0052232766 | 1.0194168 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.185906E-6 | 8.849379E-6 | 5.8848935E-5 | 6.650064 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0796375E-5 | 3.7925452E-5 | 1.079228E-4 | 2.8456562 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7488135E-4 | 4.6166166E-4 | 5.316293E-4 | 1.1515563 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0037424958 | 0.004608707 | 0.0046982924 | 1.0194383 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.4937343E-6 | 4.123303E-6 | 4.412314E-5 | 10.700921 | 4.0E-5 | 1.497306E-5 | 1.7671222E-5 | 5.7670517E-5 | 3.2635272 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8228177E-4 | 2.1513358E-4 | 2.5512496E-4 | 1.185891 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018213232 | 0.0021500078 | 0.0022098788 | 1.0278469 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.4388776E-6 | 2.7308793E-6 | 4.273077E-5 | 15.647257 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0452291E-5 | 1.1703746E-5 | 5.170328E-5 | 4.4176693 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2724921E-4 | 1.4248907E-4 | 1.8248336E-4 | 1.2806833 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012717636 | 0.001424494 | 0.0014844085 | 1.0420603 | 6.0E-5 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.608102E-4 | 3.3079193E-4 | 1.2683244 | 7.0E-5 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011172196 | 0.0012171078 | 1.0894079 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007039935 | 0.013498464 | 0.013685899 | 1.0138856 | 1.9E-4 | 0.068210475 | 0.12537767 | 0.12560508 | 1.0018138 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.608102E-4 | 3.3079193E-4 | 1.2683244 | 7.0E-5 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011172196 | 0.0012171078 | 1.0894079 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007039935 | 0.013498464 | 0.013685899 | 1.0138856 | 1.9E-4 | 0.068210475 | 0.12537767 | 0.12560508 | 1.0018138 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.608102E-4 | 3.3079193E-4 | 1.2683244 | 7.0E-5 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011172196 | 0.0012171078 | 1.0894079 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007039935 | 0.013498464 | 0.013685899 | 1.0138856 | 1.9E-4 | 0.068210475 | 0.12537767 | 0.12560508 | 1.0018138 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.286178E-4 | 2.886041E-4 | 1.2623868 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.793561E-4 | 0.0010592778 | 1.0816063 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061993203 | 0.011844448 | 0.011992671 | 1.0125141 | 1.5E-4 | 0.060292065 | 0.111034505 | 0.11120341 | 1.0015212 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.2764028E-4 | 2.8762664E-4 | 1.2635137 | 6.0E-5 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.7517006E-4 | 0.0010550921 | 1.081957 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006169266 | 0.011794093 | 0.011942323 | 1.0125682 | 1.5E-4 | 0.06000784 | 0.11058666 | 0.110755645 | 1.0015281 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.0998345E-4 | 2.6997086E-4 | 1.2856768 | 6.0E-5 | 4.6925453E-4 | 8.995662E-4 | 9.6950325E-4 | 1.0777453 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005698218 | 0.010885915 | 0.0110145 | 1.0118121 | 1.3E-4 | 0.055543028 | 0.102618955 | 0.10277151 | 1.0014867 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 2.0146157E-4 | 2.614495E-4 | 1.2977636 | 6.0E-5 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.630689E-4 | 9.330085E-4 | 1.081036 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0054655746 | 0.010447136 | 0.010575778 | 1.0123136 | 1.3E-4 | 0.053330887 | 0.09874005 | 0.09889326 | 1.0015517 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.8713086E-4 | 2.1712526E-4 | 1.1602856 | 3.0E-5 | 4.173343E-4 | 8.01691E-4 | 8.4165897E-4 | 1.0498545 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050692135 | 0.009708587 | 0.0098076165 | 1.0102001 | 1.0E-4 | 0.049551267 | 0.09215579 | 0.09227381 | 1.0012807 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.707822E-4 | 1.807805E-4 | 1.0585442 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.3166616E-4 | 7.5165153E-4 | 1.0273149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008865125 | 0.008924593 | 1.0067081 | 6.0E-5 | 0.045725387 | 0.08455941 | 0.0846418 | 1.0009743 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.4791159E-4 | 1.5791011E-4 | 1.067598 | 1.0E-5 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.3371676E-4 | 6.5370405E-4 | 1.0315398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040817154 | 0.0076835994 | 0.0077133686 | 1.0038744 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04007554 | 0.07377283 | 0.073819146 | 1.0006278 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.304386E-4 | 1.4043729E-4 | 1.0766544 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.5888505E-4 | 5.7887385E-4 | 1.0357655 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036261857 | 0.00678002 | 0.0068098167 | 1.0043948 | 3.0E-5 | 0.035675827 | 0.06544499 | 0.06548237 | 1.0005713 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.12024376E-4 | 1.12024376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.8000764E-4 | 4.9000286E-4 | 1.020823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031255994 | 0.005826471 | 0.0058463546 | 1.0034126 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030820016 | 0.05655197 | 0.056570843 | 1.0003337 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.5685544E-5 | 9.5685544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1926152E-4 | 4.1001238E-4 | 4.2000826E-4 | 1.0243795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002666241 | 0.0049794214 | 0.004999322 | 1.0039965 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026344774 | 0.0485715 | 0.04859053 | 1.0003917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.830934E-5 | 7.830934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.3556594E-4 | 3.4556258E-4 | 1.0297904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0040771537 | 0.004097072 | 1.0048854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0217219 | 0.039947223 | 0.039966427 | 1.0004807 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.2540803E-5 | 5.2540803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.2515474E-4 | 2.3515249E-4 | 1.0444039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015116213 | 0.0027376637 | 0.002757609 | 1.0072855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015013801 | 0.027016627 | 0.027036086 | 1.0007203 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.5148333E-6 | 1.5148333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.4921337E-6 | 6.4921337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.904014E-5 | 7.904014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890428E-4 | 7.907659E-4 | 7.907659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.532596E-7 | 3.532596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.5139688E-6 | 1.5139688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.8432414E-5 | 1.8432414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3844819E-4 | 1.8478454E-4 | 1.8478454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.2617718E-7 | 1.2617718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.4075923E-7 | 5.4075923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.583724E-6 | 6.583724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0756928E-5 | 6.620245E-5 | 6.620245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 7.9805895E-9 | 7.9805895E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.420253E-8 | 3.420253E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 4.164157E-7 | 4.164157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2319003E-6 | 4.2000233E-6 | 4.2000233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9896306E-5 | 1.09894514E-4 | 5.523363 | 9.0E-5 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.526731E-5 | 1.9525793E-4 | 2.2899506 | 1.1E-4 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010376731 | 0.0012174863 | 1.173285 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009709897 | 0.010332118 | 0.010559741 | 1.0220307 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2525617E-5 | 7.252487E-5 | 5.790123 | 6.0E-5 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.368014E-5 | 1.1367692E-4 | 2.1176717 | 6.0E-5 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.533646E-4 | 7.8327965E-4 | 1.19884 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006164385 | 0.006514943 | 0.006673901 | 1.0243989 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2525617E-5 | 7.252487E-5 | 5.790123 | 6.0E-5 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.368014E-5 | 1.1367692E-4 | 2.1176717 | 6.0E-5 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.533646E-4 | 7.8327965E-4 | 1.19884 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006164385 | 0.006514943 | 0.006673901 | 1.0243989 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0255948E-5 | 5.0255538E-5 | 4.900136 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.3953332E-5 | 8.395158E-5 | 1.9100161 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.350028E-4 | 6.449439E-4 | 1.2054964 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005058831 | 0.0053373957 | 0.005466702 | 1.0242264 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.987147E-6 | 3.8986876E-5 | 4.3380704 | 3.0E-5 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8515784E-5 | 6.851463E-5 | 1.7788714 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6883032E-4 | 5.5878813E-4 | 1.1918771 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0044375416 | 0.0046785767 | 0.004778109 | 1.021274 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.776259E-6 | 3.7776026E-5 | 4.8578663 | 3.0E-5 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.33264E-5 | 6.33254E-5 | 1.9001572 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.056743E-4 | 4.9563777E-4 | 1.2217629 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038428132 | 0.004049434 | 0.004149029 | 1.0245948 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.80544E-6 | 3.6805235E-5 | 5.408208 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9165849E-5 | 5.9164973E-5 | 2.0285702 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5503702E-4 | 4.4500508E-4 | 1.2534047 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0033671674 | 0.0035447686 | 0.003644414 | 1.0281106 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.3107823E-6 | 3.6310594E-5 | 5.753739 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.7045933E-5 | 5.7045123E-5 | 2.109194 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2923507E-4 | 4.0920873E-4 | 1.2429075 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0031237002 | 0.0032875354 | 0.0033772395 | 1.0272862 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.1861634E-6 | 2.518606E-5 | 4.8563952 | 2.0E-5 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2226228E-5 | 4.2225784E-5 | 1.8998178 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.7057112E-4 | 3.205576E-4 | 1.1847444 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025687215 | 0.0027024578 | 0.0027523227 | 1.0184517 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.0964483E-6 | 2.4096367E-5 | 5.882258 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.755609E-5 | 3.755574E-5 | 2.139186 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.137247E-4 | 2.437183E-4 | 1.1403375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020319829 | 0.0021352195 | 0.0021651555 | 1.0140201 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.96258E-6 | 1.29625505E-5 | 4.3754263 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.2696711E-5 | 2.2696584E-5 | 1.7875955 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5457167E-4 | 1.7456857E-4 | 1.1293699 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00147086 | 0.0015446593 | 0.0015646283 | 1.0129279 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.029747E-6 | 1.2029726E-5 | 5.9267125 | 1.0E-5 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.6988875E-6 | 1.86988E-5 | 2.1495624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.05903935E-4 | 1.15902876E-4 | 1.0944152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010072939 | 0.0010585476 | 0.001068537 | 1.009437 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2292177E-7 | 5.2292177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2410916E-6 | 2.2410916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7284968E-5 | 2.7284968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5870028E-4 | 2.728183E-4 | 2.728183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McKinleyville (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1754648E-5 | 6.175406E-5 | 5.253587 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.037623E-5 | 1.2037271E-4 | 2.3894742 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.1318354E-4 | 7.1312225E-4 | 1.1629833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005738032 | 0.006117437 | 0.006306275 | 1.0308688 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.9333946E-6 | 3.6933186E-5 | 5.3268547 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9714245E-5 | 7.971276E-5 | 2.6826446 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.617171E-4 | 4.316918E-4 | 1.1934514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003377227 | 0.0036118987 | 0.0037513932 | 1.0386208 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.9333946E-6 | 3.6933186E-5 | 5.3268547 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9714245E-5 | 7.971276E-5 | 2.6826446 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.617171E-4 | 4.316918E-4 | 1.1934514 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003377227 | 0.0036118987 | 0.0037513932 | 1.0386208 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 4.0394048E-6 | 4.356599E-6 | 4.356599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731162E-5 | 1.867101E-5 | 2.8670824E-5 | 1.5355797 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1074859E-4 | 2.2729638E-4 | 2.3729411E-4 | 1.0439854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021054882 | 0.0022706941 | 0.0023106034 | 1.0175757 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.7791233E-6 | 4.082948E-6 | 4.082948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6196142E-5 | 1.7498236E-5 | 2.7498061E-5 | 1.5714762 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9717019E-4 | 2.1302068E-4 | 2.2301856E-4 | 1.0469338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019699533 | 0.002128215 | 0.00216813 | 1.0187551 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.675443E-6 | 3.9740507E-6 | 3.9740507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5751802E-5 | 1.7031536E-5 | 2.7031367E-5 | 1.587136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9176133E-4 | 2.0733973E-4 | 2.1733766E-4 | 1.04822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019159593 | 0.0020715126 | 0.0021114298 | 1.0192696 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0165843E-6 | 3.2813678E-6 | 3.2813678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928153E-5 | 1.406293E-5 | 2.4062789E-5 | 1.7110794 | 1.0E-5 | 1.573889E-4 | 1.712029E-4 | 1.8120119E-4 | 1.0584003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015727748 | 0.001710729 | 0.0017306948 | 1.011671 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.307633E-6 | 2.5264108E-6 | 2.5264108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.889818E-6 | 1.0827431E-5 | 2.0827323E-5 | 1.9235702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2040188E-4 | 1.3181608E-4 | 1.4181476E-4 | 1.0758532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012033667 | 0.0013173873 | 0.001337361 | 1.0151615 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0568484E-6 | 2.2585618E-6 | 2.2585618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8150355E-6 | 9.679515E-6 | 9.679515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0731777E-4 | 1.178418E-4 | 1.178418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010726595 | 0.0011778008 | 0.001187789 | 1.0084804 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7674889E-6 | 1.9474237E-6 | 1.9474237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5749304E-6 | 8.3460745E-6 | 8.3460745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.222087E-5 | 1.0160879E-4 | 1.0160879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.218261E-4 | 0.00101563 | 0.0010256198 | 1.0098361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2944297E-6 | 1.4341459E-6 | 1.4341459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.547544E-6 | 6.1463256E-6 | 6.1463256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.753925E-5 | 7.482899E-5 | 7.482899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7518733E-4 | 7.4804283E-4 | 7.4804283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.806243E-7 | 6.4822893E-7 | 6.4822893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4883875E-6 | 2.7781211E-6 | 2.7781211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0295698E-5 | 3.382312E-5 | 3.382312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0291567E-4 | 3.381814E-4 | 3.381814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6121008E-7 | 1.824903E-7 | 1.824903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.909002E-7 | 7.821011E-7 | 7.821011E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411677E-6 | 9.522041E-6 | 9.522041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411359E-5 | 9.521659E-5 | 9.521659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mad River (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1255216E-5 | 1.206897E-5 | 4.206861E-5 | 3.4856834 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8235746E-5 | 5.172321E-5 | 1.1172011E-4 | 2.1599607 | 6.0E-5 | 5.87112E-4 | 6.2956265E-4 | 7.095123E-4 | 1.1269923 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0058556325 | 0.006279236 | 0.006458106 | 1.0284859 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 7.0564884E-6 | 7.625393E-6 | 3.7625163E-5 | 4.9341936 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0241743E-5 | 3.2679858E-5 | 7.267855E-5 | 2.2239554 | 4.0E-5 | 3.68131E-4 | 3.9780684E-4 | 4.4778697E-4 | 1.1256391 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036752177 | 0.0039711706 | 0.0040707733 | 1.0250815 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.0564884E-6 | 7.625393E-6 | 3.7625163E-5 | 4.9341936 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0241743E-5 | 3.2679858E-5 | 7.267855E-5 | 2.2239554 | 4.0E-5 | 3.68131E-4 | 3.9780684E-4 | 4.4778697E-4 | 1.1256391 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036752177 | 0.0039711706 | 0.0040707733 | 1.0250815 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.727494E-6 | 7.276483E-6 | 3.7276266E-5 | 5.122841 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8831799E-5 | 3.1184565E-5 | 7.118332E-5 | 2.2826457 | 4.0E-5 | 3.509706E-4 | 3.796081E-4 | 4.2958913E-4 | 1.1316648 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003504168 | 0.003789813 | 0.003879472 | 1.0236579 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.7021124E-6 | 7.2492517E-6 | 3.7249036E-5 | 5.138328 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8723021E-5 | 3.1067862E-5 | 7.106662E-5 | 2.2874641 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4964667E-4 | 3.7818772E-4 | 4.2816883E-4 | 1.1321595 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034909705 | 0.0037756576 | 0.0038653177 | 1.0237468 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.2784667E-6 | 5.748429E-6 | 3.5748257E-5 | 6.218787 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2621804E-5 | 2.4635896E-5 | 6.4634914E-5 | 2.623607 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7538565E-4 | 2.9990167E-4 | 3.498867E-4 | 1.1666713 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0027504463 | 0.0029950622 | 0.0030748225 | 1.0266306 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.4085446E-6 | 4.834045E-6 | 3.48339E-5 | 7.2059526 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8893625E-5 | 2.0717172E-5 | 6.0716346E-5 | 2.9307253 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3000561E-4 | 2.522028E-4 | 3.0219016E-4 | 1.1982032 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022976769 | 0.0025192066 | 0.0025890304 | 1.0277165 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.4060627E-6 | 3.7651089E-6 | 3.3764994E-5 | 8.967867 | 3.0E-5 | 1.459733E-5 | 1.6136082E-5 | 5.6135435E-5 | 3.4788766 | 4.0E-5 | 1.77708E-4 | 1.9643932E-4 | 2.464295E-4 | 1.2544816 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017756595 | 0.0019626804 | 0.0020225625 | 1.0305104 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0570902E-6 | 3.3912675E-6 | 3.3391167E-5 | 9.84622 | 3.0E-5 | 1.310175E-5 | 1.4533924E-5 | 4.4533488E-5 | 3.0641062 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5950213E-4 | 1.7693637E-4 | 2.169293E-4 | 1.22603 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015938769 | 0.0017679767 | 0.0018178882 | 1.0282309 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.674048E-6 | 2.9791204E-6 | 3.297903E-5 | 11.070057 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1460155E-5 | 1.2767598E-5 | 4.2767213E-5 | 3.3496683 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3951845E-4 | 1.5543461E-4 | 1.954284E-4 | 1.257303 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013943089 | 0.0015532786 | 0.001603201 | 1.03214 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8806261E-6 | 2.1117376E-6 | 2.2111695E-5 | 10.470854 | 2.0E-5 | 8.059801E-6 | 9.050273E-6 | 2.9050092E-5 | 3.2098582 | 2.0E-5 | 9.812366E-5 | 1.1018163E-4 | 1.3017943E-4 | 1.1814984 | 2.0E-5 | 9.808034E-4 | 0.0011012825 | 0.0011212605 | 1.0181407 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.461283E-7 | 7.367531E-7 | 7.367531E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7691183E-6 | 3.1575098E-6 | 3.1575098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.371349E-5 | 3.844202E-5 | 3.844202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.370838E-4 | 3.8435523E-4 | 3.8435523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0785324E-7 | 3.5422E-7 | 3.5422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3193703E-6 | 1.5180848E-6 | 1.5180848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6063215E-5 | 1.8482531E-5 | 1.8482531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6062055E-4 | 1.8481059E-4 | 1.8481059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.2219133E-5 | 6.722146E-5 | 1.2721743E-4 | 1.8925121 | 6.0E-5 | 2.237771E-4 | 2.8806043E-4 | 3.5804027E-4 | 1.2429346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027210822 | 0.0035015463 | 0.0036111611 | 1.0313047 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026880035 | 0.03447347 | 0.034647267 | 1.0050414 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 5.2212024E-5 | 6.722146E-5 | 1.2721743E-4 | 1.8925121 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2374663E-4 | 2.8806043E-4 | 3.5804027E-4 | 1.2429346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002720712 | 0.0035015463 | 0.0036111611 | 1.0313047 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026876424 | 0.03447347 | 0.034647267 | 1.0050414 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 5.2204425E-5 | 6.722146E-5 | 1.2721743E-4 | 1.8925121 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2371406E-4 | 2.8806043E-4 | 3.5804027E-4 | 1.2429346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027203166 | 0.0035015463 | 0.0036111611 | 1.0313047 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026872564 | 0.03447347 | 0.034647267 | 1.0050414 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 5.219004E-5 | 6.722146E-5 | 1.2721743E-4 | 1.8925121 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2365242E-4 | 2.8806043E-4 | 3.5804027E-4 | 1.2429346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002719568 | 0.0035015463 | 0.0036111611 | 1.0313047 | 1.1E-4 | 0.02686526 | 0.03447347 | 0.034647267 | 1.0050414 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 5.211827E-5 | 6.715639E-5 | 1.2715237E-4 | 1.893377 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2334489E-4 | 2.8778164E-4 | 3.5776148E-4 | 1.24317 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027158333 | 0.0034981628 | 0.0036077779 | 1.0313351 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026828816 | 0.034440693 | 0.034614492 | 1.0050464 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 5.204509E-5 | 6.7064386E-5 | 1.2706037E-4 | 1.8946027 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2303131E-4 | 2.8738743E-4 | 3.573673E-4 | 1.2435037 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027120248 | 0.0034933786 | 0.0036029944 | 1.0313781 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026791653 | 0.034394342 | 0.034568153 | 1.0050534 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.451656E-5 | 1.2451268E-4 | 1.9299339 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.7647047E-4 | 3.4645112E-4 | 1.2531216 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033608826 | 0.0034705128 | 1.0326195 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025795965 | 0.033109713 | 0.033254746 | 1.0043803 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.304405E-5 | 1.2304027E-4 | 1.9516555 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.7016105E-4 | 3.4014214E-4 | 1.2590348 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032842995 | 0.0033939383 | 1.0333827 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025208864 | 0.032366496 | 0.03251164 | 1.0044844 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.8816007E-5 | 1.1881248E-4 | 2.0200703 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.5204444E-4 | 3.2202678E-4 | 1.2776588 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002380709 | 0.0030643605 | 0.003164054 | 1.0325333 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023553653 | 0.030228036 | 0.030363804 | 1.0044914 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.3317515E-5 | 1.0331485E-4 | 1.9377282 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2848374E-4 | 2.7847232E-4 | 1.218784 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002159946 | 0.002778266 | 0.0028580439 | 1.0287149 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021390721 | 0.02744031 | 0.027537566 | 1.0035443 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.610543E-5 | 9.6103126E-5 | 2.084421 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.9757982E-4 | 2.4756993E-4 | 1.2530123 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001872538 | 0.0024028963 | 0.002472728 | 1.0290616 | 7.0E-5 | 0.018568378 | 0.02377237 | 0.02386023 | 1.003696 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.2773303E-5 | 9.2771166E-5 | 2.1689036 | 5.0E-5 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.8330135E-4 | 2.3329219E-4 | 1.2727249 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022294242 | 0.0022892905 | 1.0268527 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017270854 | 0.022073371 | 0.022151606 | 1.0035443 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.6487803E-5 | 6.6486704E-5 | 1.8221626 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.5636698E-4 | 1.8636229E-4 | 1.1918263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014922376 | 0.0019021153 | 0.0019420392 | 1.0209892 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014822568 | 0.018860275 | 0.018919144 | 1.0031213 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.34907E-5 | 6.34897E-5 | 1.895741 | 3.0E-5 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.4352374E-4 | 1.7351944E-4 | 1.2089946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017460103 | 0.0017859404 | 1.0228693 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01366893 | 0.017324593 | 0.017383553 | 1.0034033 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 3.0030193E-5 | 6.002929E-5 | 1.9989647 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.2869452E-4 | 1.5869066E-4 | 1.2330801 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015657376 | 0.001605675 | 1.0255071 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012310251 | 0.01554844 | 0.015607507 | 1.003799 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7483768E-5 | 5.7482943E-5 | 2.0915234 | 3.0E-5 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.177823E-4 | 1.4777877E-4 | 1.2546772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014330641 | 0.0014730068 | 1.0278722 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011305175 | 0.01423935 | 0.014298496 | 1.0041537 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.7399087E-5 | 3.739874E-5 | 2.1494656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.45654E-5 | 9.456391E-5 | 1.2682009 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.0745854E-4 | 9.2744036E-4 | 1.0220196 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0072241887 | 0.009037841 | 0.00906757 | 1.0032893 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.1775464E-6 | 5.1775464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2189297E-5 | 2.2189297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.7012138E-4 | 2.7012138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022130446 | 0.0026979088 | 0.0026979088 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.0767754E-7 | 7.0767754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0329002E-6 | 3.0329002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.6924946E-5 | 3.6924946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2059604E-4 | 3.6918852E-4 | 3.6918852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0533147E-4 | 1.7910324E-4 | 2.2909428E-4 | 1.2791187 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5134246E-4 | 7.673355E-4 | 8.272895E-4 | 1.0781326 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005481258 | 0.009297671 | 0.009376927 | 1.0085243 | 8.0E-5 | 0.053480163 | 0.08857967 | 0.088698156 | 1.0013376 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0510782E-4 | 1.7897722E-4 | 2.2896827E-4 | 1.2793151 | 5.0E-5 | 4.503843E-4 | 7.6679577E-4 | 8.267498E-4 | 1.0781877 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005469651 | 0.009291161 | 0.009370417 | 1.0085304 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05336969 | 0.08852027 | 0.08863877 | 1.0013386 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 7.595682E-5 | 1.2800831E-4 | 1.5800446E-4 | 1.2343298 | 3.0E-5 | 3.254886E-4 | 5.484506E-4 | 5.784342E-4 | 1.0546695 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039556245 | 0.0066534015 | 0.006683202 | 1.0044789 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03885951 | 0.06405551 | 0.06413038 | 1.001169 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.787612E-5 | 1.1414564E-4 | 1.3414335E-4 | 1.1751947 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9086522E-4 | 4.8906694E-4 | 5.0905714E-4 | 1.0408742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035355345 | 0.0059353327 | 0.005955214 | 1.0033497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034798115 | 0.05733767 | 0.057403658 | 1.0011508 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0405643E-4 | 1.2405435E-4 | 1.1921834 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.458459E-4 | 4.6583696E-4 | 1.0448385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032385332 | 0.005412369 | 0.0054322607 | 1.0036752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.052438784 | 0.052505113 | 1.0012649 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.029268E-5 | 1.1029087E-4 | 1.2214819 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8688368E-4 | 4.0687594E-4 | 1.0516751 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0046985066 | 0.0047184126 | 1.0042367 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.045711335 | 0.045778137 | 1.0014614 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.801324E-5 | 8.801246E-5 | 1.1281734 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.342831E-4 | 3.4427975E-4 | 1.0299047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002465034 | 0.004061182 | 0.004071141 | 1.0024524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02437869 | 0.03965777 | 0.03971539 | 1.0014529 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0026177E-5 | 6.0026177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5722064E-4 | 2.5722064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031267086 | 0.0031267086 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.030709777 | 0.030748548 | 1.0012625 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.903112E-5 | 2.903112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2441307E-4 | 1.2441307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015136659 | 0.0015136659 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.015009164 | 0.015019014 | 1.0006562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4532952E-5 | 2.4532952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0513695E-4 | 1.0513695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012792904 | 0.0012792904 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012711717 | 0.01272159 | 1.0007766 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.197045E-5 | 2.197045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.415568E-5 | 9.415568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011457439 | 0.0011457439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011397697 | 0.011407583 | 1.0008674 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0403695E-5 | 2.0403695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.74415E-5 | 8.74415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.001064083 | 0.001064083 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010590236 | 0.01060013 | 1.0009342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9106335E-5 | 1.9106335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.1881735E-5 | 8.1881735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.964573E-4 | 9.964573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009920468 | 0.0099303685 | 1.000998 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7862032E-5 | 1.7862032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.654934E-5 | 7.654934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.315926E-4 | 9.315926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009277365 | 0.009287273 | 1.0010679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6050762E-5 | 1.6050762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.878718E-5 | 6.878718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.37165E-4 | 8.37165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.0083405925 | 0.008350509 | 1.001189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4258963E-5 | 1.4258963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.1108425E-5 | 6.1108425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.437439E-4 | 7.437439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.007412839 | 0.007422765 | 1.001339 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1246352E-5 | 1.1246352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8197777E-5 | 4.8197777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.866525E-4 | 5.866525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.0058512543 | 0.0058611957 | 1.0016991 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6690077E-6 | 2.6690077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1438555E-5 | 1.1438555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3925557E-4 | 1.3925557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013916481 | 0.0013916481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1791493E-7 | 2.1791493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.3392083E-7 | 9.3392083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.137043E-5 | 1.137043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.13698086E-4 | 1.13698086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8002043E-5 | 4.0986633E-5 | 8.0984995E-5 | 1.9758879 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0570682E-4 | 1.7564521E-4 | 2.156382E-4 | 1.2276918 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002501604 | 0.0021363983 | 0.00219627 | 1.0280247 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024736298 | 0.021247506 | 0.021364955 | 1.0055277 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.8002043E-5 | 4.0986633E-5 | 8.0984995E-5 | 1.9758879 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0570682E-4 | 1.7564521E-4 | 2.156382E-4 | 1.2276918 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002501604 | 0.0021363983 | 0.00219627 | 1.0280247 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024736298 | 0.021247506 | 0.021364955 | 1.0055277 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.5193618E-5 | 6.519256E-5 | 1.8523973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.5082111E-4 | 1.808166E-4 | 1.1988811 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018347132 | 0.0018846213 | 1.0272022 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.018283311 | 0.0183913 | 1.0059065 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.5193618E-5 | 6.519256E-5 | 1.8523973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.5082111E-4 | 1.808166E-4 | 1.1988811 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018347132 | 0.0018846213 | 1.0272022 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.018283311 | 0.0183913 | 1.0059065 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.3058048E-5 | 6.305706E-5 | 1.9074646 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.4166973E-4 | 1.7166548E-4 | 1.2117301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0017234778 | 0.0017733917 | 1.0289611 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02121817 | 0.01718798 | 0.017296087 | 1.0062898 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.2976073E-5 | 6.297509E-5 | 1.9097205 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.4131845E-4 | 1.7131421E-4 | 1.2122566 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0017192079 | 0.0017691219 | 1.0290332 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021183075 | 0.017145943 | 0.017254056 | 1.0063055 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.198616E-5 | 6.19852E-5 | 1.9378756 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3707642E-4 | 1.6707231E-4 | 1.218826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016676419 | 0.0017175585 | 1.0299325 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020714961 | 0.016636398 | 0.016744567 | 1.006502 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 3.0155861E-5 | 6.0154955E-5 | 1.9948015 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2923309E-4 | 1.5922921E-4 | 1.2321087 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015722916 | 0.0016222129 | 1.0317507 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019931622 | 0.015697444 | 0.015805718 | 1.0068976 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.5114468E-5 | 5.5113716E-5 | 2.1945004 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0762906E-4 | 1.3762583E-4 | 1.2787051 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0013096066 | 0.0013595411 | 1.0381294 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017807078 | 0.013103253 | 0.013211812 | 1.0082848 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.2419707E-5 | 5.2419033E-5 | 2.3380785 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.608096E-5 | 1.2607808E-4 | 1.3122066 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011691663 | 0.0012191079 | 1.0427155 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01666756 | 0.011713645 | 0.011822357 | 1.0092808 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.876283E-5 | 4.8762267E-5 | 2.5988758 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2507994E-4 | 8.040968E-5 | 1.10407265E-4 | 1.3730594 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015217843 | 9.785526E-4 | 0.0010285036 | 1.0510459 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015114053 | 0.00982505 | 0.009933969 | 1.0110859 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5881596E-5 | 3.588128E-5 | 2.2592993 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.806222E-5 | 8.806086E-5 | 1.2938287 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013995186 | 8.283445E-4 | 8.683113E-4 | 1.0482491 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013907375 | 0.008334612 | 0.008433779 | 1.0118982 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.3185952E-5 | 3.318569E-5 | 2.5167458 | 2.0E-5 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.651E-5 | 7.650887E-5 | 1.3538996 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012791384 | 6.877927E-4 | 7.277652E-4 | 1.058117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012718005 | 0.006937346 | 0.0070267213 | 1.0128833 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.2056837E-5 | 3.2056596E-5 | 2.6587899 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9985E-5 | 5.1671137E-5 | 7.16701E-5 | 1.3870432 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012166376 | 6.28915E-4 | 6.6888984E-4 | 1.0635616 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012099981 | 0.0063504744 | 0.006439903 | 1.0140822 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.092442E-5 | 3.0924202E-5 | 2.8307407 | 2.0E-5 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.6818106E-5 | 6.681717E-5 | 1.4271652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011543952 | 5.698616E-4 | 6.098388E-4 | 1.0701525 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011484168 | 0.0057617202 | 0.0058512017 | 1.0155303 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.964151E-6 | 2.9963952E-5 | 3.0071757 | 2.0E-5 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.2702806E-5 | 6.2701954E-5 | 1.4683332 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010948994 | 5.197829E-4 | 5.597621E-4 | 1.0769153 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010895205 | 0.005261289 | 0.005350815 | 1.017016 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 7.33021E-6 | 2.7330063E-5 | 3.7284148 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3248615E-5 | 3.1414806E-5 | 5.141418E-5 | 1.6366224 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.8240827E-4 | 4.2239297E-4 | 1.1045603 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008878695 | 0.003883958 | 0.0039736084 | 1.0230823 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.32972E-6 | 2.4329634E-5 | 5.619216 | 2.0E-5 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.8555811E-5 | 3.855544E-5 | 2.0778093 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.2589361E-4 | 2.658846E-4 | 1.1770345 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006642225 | 0.0023055542 | 0.0023953468 | 1.0389462 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 2.137751E-6 | 2.2137709E-5 | 10.355607 | 2.0E-5 | 3.017932E-5 | 9.161757E-6 | 2.9161574E-5 | 3.1829674 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.11538684E-4 | 1.5153423E-4 | 1.35858 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0011456875 | 0.0012355845 | 1.0784655 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.1131852E-6 | 2.1113163E-5 | 18.96644 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.7707854E-6 | 2.477069E-5 | 5.192162 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.8082765E-5 | 9.808044E-5 | 1.6886325 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015364023 | 5.924304E-4 | 6.72383E-4 | 1.134957 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.765129E-7 | 2.05765E-5 | 35.69131 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.470767E-6 | 2.2470718E-5 | 9.094632 | 2.0E-5 | 5.965597E-5 | 3.0081173E-5 | 7.007997E-5 | 2.3296955 | 4.0E-5 | 5.963996E-4 | 3.0458E-4 | 3.8455563E-4 | 1.2625768 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.8398238E-7 | 1.01839805E-5 | 55.353024 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1432264E-6 | 7.8849564E-7 | 1.0788488E-5 | 13.682368 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3918692E-5 | 9.599892E-6 | 1.9599796E-5 | 2.0416684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.391782E-4 | 9.745247E-5 | 1.07451495E-4 | 1.1026042 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 1.13165495E-8 | 1.13165495E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.849949E-8 | 4.849949E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 5.904812E-7 | 5.904812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 6.1096425E-6 | 6.1096425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5107684E-5 | 5.510693E-5 | 2.1948233 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.076004E-4 | 1.4759609E-4 | 1.3717059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013093312 | 0.0013692527 | 1.0457649 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.013024559 | 0.013103517 | 1.0060623 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5107684E-5 | 5.510693E-5 | 2.1948233 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.076004E-4 | 1.4759609E-4 | 1.3717059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013093312 | 0.0013692527 | 1.0457649 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.013024559 | 0.013103517 | 1.0060623 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.5107684E-5 | 5.510693E-5 | 2.1948233 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.076004E-4 | 1.4759609E-4 | 1.3717059 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013093312 | 0.0013692527 | 1.0457649 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012207527 | 0.013024559 | 0.013103517 | 1.0060623 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0419492E-5 | 2.0419388E-5 | 1.9597297 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.465425E-5 | 6.465336E-5 | 1.4478657 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.435383E-4 | 5.8351655E-4 | 1.0735519 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005104534 | 0.0054229293 | 0.005472658 | 1.00917 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0419492E-5 | 2.0419388E-5 | 1.9597297 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.465425E-5 | 6.465336E-5 | 1.4478657 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.435383E-4 | 5.8351655E-4 | 1.0735519 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005104534 | 0.0054229293 | 0.005472658 | 1.00917 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.565114E-6 | 6.565114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.8135915E-5 | 3.8135633E-5 | 1.3554076 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.425037E-4 | 3.525003E-4 | 1.0291867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032256835 | 0.003420038 | 0.0034399696 | 1.0058279 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.626375E-6 | 4.626375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9827175E-5 | 1.9827175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4137026E-4 | 2.4137026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022772867 | 0.0024111941 | 0.00242117 | 1.0041373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5588032E-6 | 3.5588032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5251929E-5 | 1.5251929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8567721E-4 | 1.8567721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017521014 | 0.0018553011 | 0.0018652825 | 1.0053799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.7309882E-6 | 2.7309882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.1704185E-5 | 1.1704185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4248976E-4 | 1.4248976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013446413 | 0.001424045 | 0.0014340307 | 1.0070122 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0589214E-6 | 1.0589214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.5382285E-6 | 4.5382285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5251858E-5 | 5.5251858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.210149E-4 | 5.524135E-4 | 5.62408E-4 | 1.0180924 | 1.0E-5 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3671493E-5 | 1.0456975E-5 | 3.0456766E-5 | 2.912579 | 2.0E-5 | 5.85908E-5 | 4.4814937E-5 | 6.481404E-5 | 1.4462597 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1310945E-4 | 5.4550264E-4 | 5.854808E-4 | 1.0732869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071082544 | 0.005443356 | 0.005493084 | 1.0091355 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0456975E-5 | 3.0456766E-5 | 2.912579 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.4814937E-5 | 6.481404E-5 | 1.4462597 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.4550264E-4 | 5.854808E-4 | 1.0732869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005443356 | 0.005493084 | 1.0091355 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0456975E-5 | 3.0456766E-5 | 2.912579 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.4814937E-5 | 6.481404E-5 | 1.4462597 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.4550264E-4 | 5.854808E-4 | 1.0732869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005443356 | 0.005493084 | 1.0091355 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.8262896E-6 | 2.4826193E-5 | 5.1439505 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.0683958E-5 | 4.0683542E-5 | 1.966913 | 2.0E-5 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5180232E-4 | 2.8179478E-4 | 1.1191111 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025155875 | 0.002545512 | 1.0118957 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.8262896E-6 | 2.4826193E-5 | 5.1439505 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.0683958E-5 | 4.0683542E-5 | 1.966913 | 2.0E-5 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5180232E-4 | 2.8179478E-4 | 1.1191111 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025155875 | 0.002545512 | 1.0118957 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.843007E-6 | 2.284295E-5 | 8.034785 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2184272E-5 | 3.2184027E-5 | 2.6414404 | 2.0E-5 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.4833573E-4 | 1.6833276E-4 | 1.1348093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0014825941 | 0.0015025644 | 1.0134698 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4447612E-6 | 1.1444747E-5 | 7.921549 | 1.0E-5 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.191826E-6 | 1.6191763E-5 | 2.6150224 | 1.0E-5 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.538404E-5 | 8.538329E-5 | 1.132644 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.536995E-4 | 7.6369196E-4 | 1.0132579 | 1.0E-5 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6481798E-5 | 3.648147E-5 | 2.21344 | 2.0E-5 | 8.044219E-5 | 7.0634385E-5 | 9.063297E-5 | 1.2831283 | 2.0E-5 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.5963815E-4 | 8.9960376E-4 | 1.0464913 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009746423 | 0.008576876 | 0.008656189 | 1.0092474 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6481798E-5 | 3.648147E-5 | 2.21344 | 2.0E-5 | 8.044219E-5 | 7.0634385E-5 | 9.063297E-5 | 1.2831283 | 2.0E-5 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.5963815E-4 | 8.9960376E-4 | 1.0464913 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009746423 | 0.008576876 | 0.008656189 | 1.0092474 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.509641E-5 | 3.509611E-5 | 2.3247983 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.469731E-5 | 8.469602E-5 | 1.3091118 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.8740815E-4 | 8.273767E-4 | 1.0507596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00909426 | 0.007859846 | 0.007939217 | 1.0100983 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.509641E-5 | 3.509611E-5 | 2.3247983 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.469731E-5 | 8.469602E-5 | 1.3091118 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.8740815E-4 | 8.273767E-4 | 1.0507596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00909426 | 0.007859846 | 0.007939217 | 1.0100983 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.34402135E-5 | 3.3439945E-5 | 2.4880517 | 2.0E-5 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.759965E-5 | 7.7598495E-5 | 1.3472043 | 2.0E-5 | 8.347548E-4 | 7.010511E-4 | 7.4102305E-4 | 1.0570172 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008316261 | 0.0070018573 | 0.0070812968 | 1.0113455 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.34402135E-5 | 3.3439945E-5 | 2.4880517 | 2.0E-5 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.759965E-5 | 7.7598495E-5 | 1.3472043 | 2.0E-5 | 8.347548E-4 | 7.010511E-4 | 7.4102305E-4 | 1.0570172 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008316261 | 0.0070018573 | 0.0070812968 | 1.0113455 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.2822661E-5 | 3.2822405E-5 | 2.5597186 | 2.0E-5 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.495311E-5 | 7.495201E-5 | 1.3639266 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.6884956E-4 | 7.088228E-4 | 1.0597641 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008025207 | 0.006681809 | 0.0067612743 | 1.0118928 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2229177E-5 | 3.222893E-5 | 2.6354132 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.240971E-5 | 7.240866E-5 | 1.3815887 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.379021E-4 | 6.778766E-4 | 1.0626656 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0077441116 | 0.0063741393 | 0.006453629 | 1.0124707 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.1104133E-5 | 3.110391E-5 | 2.8011112 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.7588273E-5 | 6.758732E-5 | 1.4202516 | 2.0E-5 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.792336E-4 | 6.1921036E-4 | 1.0690168 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0072142133 | 0.0057906327 | 0.0058701695 | 1.0137354 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.0573845E-5 | 3.0573632E-5 | 2.8914394 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.5315694E-5 | 6.531479E-5 | 1.4413282 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.5157917E-4 | 5.915571E-4 | 1.072479 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069635725 | 0.005515488 | 0.0055950466 | 1.0144246 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.931618E-6 | 2.993142E-5 | 3.0137506 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.256338E-5 | 6.256253E-5 | 1.4698675 | 2.0E-5 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.1808613E-4 | 5.580654E-4 | 1.0771673 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006660442 | 0.0051821615 | 0.005261747 | 1.0153576 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.237746E-6 | 2.923756E-5 | 3.1650105 | 2.0E-5 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.9589737E-5 | 5.9588947E-5 | 1.5051614 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.8189855E-4 | 5.218793E-4 | 1.082965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063411663 | 0.0048219063 | 0.0049015204 | 1.016511 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.755886E-6 | 2.875571E-5 | 3.284158 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.7524682E-5 | 5.7523932E-5 | 1.5329626 | 2.0E-5 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.567673E-4 | 4.9674907E-4 | 1.0875319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0061223423 | 0.0045716544 | 0.004651289 | 1.0174191 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.470264E-6 | 2.8470095E-5 | 3.3611815 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.6300626E-5 | 5.62999E-5 | 1.5509347 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.4187056E-4 | 4.8185288E-4 | 1.0904843 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0059845424 | 0.004423271 | 0.004502917 | 1.0180062 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.21513E-6 | 2.8214967E-5 | 3.4345124 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.5207227E-5 | 5.520652E-5 | 1.5680453 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.2856374E-4 | 4.6854658E-4 | 1.093295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005853653 | 0.004290711 | 0.0043703676 | 1.0185649 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.562848E-6 | 2.7562697E-5 | 3.6444864 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.2411805E-5 | 5.2411157E-5 | 1.6170392 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.9454232E-4 | 4.3452653E-4 | 1.1013433 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0055141128 | 0.0039517004 | 0.004031384 | 1.0201645 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 5.9967037E-6 | 2.5996584E-5 | 4.3351455 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.5699906E-5 | 4.569939E-5 | 1.778193 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.1285148E-4 | 3.5283895E-4 | 1.1278162 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004694739 | 0.00313696 | 0.0032167092 | 1.0254225 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.368396E-6 | 2.3368328E-5 | 6.9375243 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.4435903E-5 | 3.4435612E-5 | 2.3854146 | 2.0E-5 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.7574296E-4 | 2.1573593E-4 | 1.2275652 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003252473 | 0.0017672017 | 0.0018470603 | 1.0451893 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.4603513E-6 | 2.1460322E-5 | 14.695314 | 2.0E-5 | 1.368934E-5 | 6.258633E-6 | 2.6258509E-5 | 4.1955657 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.61962E-5 | 1.1619315E-4 | 1.5249206 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016653005 | 7.683596E-4 | 8.482981E-4 | 1.1040379 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 7.503986E-7 | 2.0750384E-5 | 27.652481 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6135715E-6 | 3.2159899E-6 | 2.3215925E-5 | 7.218905 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0486518E-4 | 3.9153976E-5 | 7.915241E-5 | 2.0215676 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010481571 | 3.969347E-4 | 4.7690293E-4 | 1.2014645 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.4304264E-7 | 2.0343035E-5 | 59.301773 | 2.0E-5 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.4701818E-6 | 2.1470152E-5 | 14.60374 | 2.0E-5 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.7899318E-5 | 5.78986E-5 | 3.234682 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3575902E-4 | 1.8023977E-4 | 2.6022535E-4 | 1.4437732 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 7.010328E-8 | 1.0070103E-5 | 143.64665 | 1.0E-5 | 6.442826E-7 | 3.0044262E-7 | 1.03004395E-5 | 34.284218 | 1.0E-5 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.6578829E-6 | 1.36578465E-5 | 3.7338119 | 1.0E-5 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.6592897E-5 | 4.6592533E-5 | 1.273267 | 1.0E-5 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3093926E-5 | 4.3093463E-5 | 1.8660086 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.897058E-5 | 1.2896761E-4 | 1.3030903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012043669 | 0.0012443187 | 1.0331725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011279777 | 0.011985032 | 0.012054193 | 1.0057706 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.3093926E-5 | 4.3093463E-5 | 1.8660086 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.897058E-5 | 1.2896761E-4 | 1.3030903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012043669 | 0.0012443187 | 1.0331725 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011279777 | 0.011985032 | 0.012054193 | 1.0057706 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.041605E-5 | 3.0415842E-5 | 2.9200935 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.4639502E-5 | 7.463816E-5 | 1.6720206 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.433595E-4 | 5.8333774E-4 | 1.0735761 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054212157 | 0.0054609985 | 1.0073384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.041605E-5 | 3.0415842E-5 | 2.9200935 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.4639502E-5 | 7.463816E-5 | 1.6720206 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.433595E-4 | 5.8333774E-4 | 1.0735761 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051186057 | 0.0054212157 | 0.0054609985 | 1.0073384 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4136802E-6 | 6.4136802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7486927E-5 | 2.7486927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3460467E-4 | 3.3460467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033412802 | 0.0033412802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4136802E-6 | 6.4136802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7486927E-5 | 2.7486927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.3460467E-4 | 3.3460467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031603249 | 0.0033412802 | 0.0033412802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.4703684E-6 | 4.4703684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9158588E-5 | 1.9158588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.3323185E-4 | 2.3323185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022058594 | 0.002329973 | 0.002329973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.3671877E-6 | 3.3671877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.4430729E-5 | 1.4430729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7568063E-4 | 1.7568063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016613674 | 0.001755485 | 0.001755485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.5160925E-6 | 2.5160925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0783212E-5 | 1.0783212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.3127817E-4 | 1.3127817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012411437 | 0.0013120521 | 0.0013120521 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.4501775E-7 | 9.4501775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.050071E-6 | 4.050071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.930872E-5 | 4.930872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6575698E-4 | 4.929995E-4 | 4.929995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.9166864E-5 | 4.916628E-5 | 1.6856897 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.2499487E-4 | 1.7498861E-4 | 1.3999665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0015207521 | 0.001570676 | 1.0328285 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.01696073 | 0.017029542 | 1.0040572 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.9166864E-5 | 4.916628E-5 | 1.6856897 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.2499487E-4 | 1.7498861E-4 | 1.3999665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0015207521 | 0.001570676 | 1.0328285 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.01696073 | 0.017029542 | 1.0040572 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 2.9166864E-5 | 4.916628E-5 | 1.6856897 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 1.2499487E-4 | 1.7498861E-4 | 1.3999665 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 0.0015207521 | 0.001570676 | 1.0328285 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043983612 | 0.01696073 | 0.017029542 | 1.0040572 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.8811295E-5 | 4.8810718E-5 | 1.6941522 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.2347114E-4 | 1.7346497E-4 | 1.4049029 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0015022265 | 0.0015521513 | 1.0332339 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.01676376 | 0.016832586 | 1.0041057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 2.8811295E-5 | 4.8810718E-5 | 1.6941522 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 1.2347114E-4 | 1.7346497E-4 | 1.4049029 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004452125 | 0.0015022265 | 0.0015521513 | 1.0332339 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043639794 | 0.01676376 | 0.016832586 | 1.0041057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 2.8605335E-5 | 4.8604765E-5 | 1.6991503 | 2.0E-5 | 3.647124E-4 | 1.2258854E-4 | 1.7258241E-4 | 1.4078184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004431336 | 0.0014914955 | 0.0015414209 | 1.0334734 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04344007 | 0.01664993 | 0.016718766 | 1.0041342 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 2.8527906E-5 | 4.8527334E-5 | 1.7010479 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6417096E-4 | 1.2225674E-4 | 1.7225061E-4 | 1.4089254 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 0.0014874613 | 0.0015373869 | 1.0335643 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043376986 | 0.016607845 | 0.016676681 | 1.0041449 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 2.8332792E-5 | 4.8332226E-5 | 1.7058759 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6263323E-4 | 1.2142061E-4 | 1.7141453E-4 | 1.4117417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004406125 | 0.0014772953 | 0.0015272215 | 1.0337956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043197807 | 0.016500503 | 0.016569348 | 1.0041723 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 2.8210654E-5 | 4.821009E-5 | 1.708932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6095164E-4 | 1.2089721E-4 | 1.7089117E-4 | 1.4135245 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004385734 | 0.0014709316 | 0.001520858 | 1.0339421 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043001823 | 0.016431628 | 0.016500477 | 1.0041901 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 2.7992688E-5 | 4.799213E-5 | 1.7144523 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5849313E-4 | 1.1996316E-4 | 1.6995716E-4 | 1.4167446 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004355922 | 0.0014595748 | 0.0015095018 | 1.0342065 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04271523 | 0.016312253 | 0.016381111 | 1.0042212 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 2.7731407E-5 | 4.7730853E-5 | 1.7211839 | 2.0E-5 | 3.560668E-4 | 1.1884348E-4 | 1.6883753E-4 | 1.4206715 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004326499 | 0.001445961 | 0.0014958886 | 1.0345291 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042432297 | 0.016171392 | 0.01624026 | 1.0042586 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 2.7362781E-5 | 4.7362235E-5 | 1.7308998 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4458007E-4 | 1.172638E-4 | 1.6725794E-4 | 1.426339 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 0.0014267536 | 0.0014766823 | 1.0349946 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041091725 | 0.015961312 | 0.016030194 | 1.0043156 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 2.6717997E-5 | 4.671746E-5 | 1.7485391 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3607247E-4 | 1.1450068E-4 | 1.6449497E-4 | 1.4366286 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004084008 | 0.0013931562 | 0.0014430865 | 1.0358397 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040097635 | 0.015607921 | 0.015676828 | 1.0044149 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 2.6480364E-5 | 4.6479836E-5 | 1.7552567 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3086175E-4 | 1.1348235E-4 | 1.6347668E-4 | 1.4405471 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004020803 | 0.0013807737 | 0.0014307047 | 1.0361615 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03948827 | 0.015479165 | 0.015548081 | 1.0044522 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 2.4523897E-5 | 4.4523407E-5 | 1.8155111 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1511846E-4 | 1.0509819E-4 | 1.5509293E-4 | 1.4756956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 0.0012788209 | 0.0013287569 | 1.0390486 | 5.0E-5 | 0.037644852 | 0.014398296 | 0.014467289 | 1.0047917 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 2.2176775E-5 | 4.2176332E-5 | 1.9018244 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9166197E-4 | 9.503986E-5 | 1.4503511E-4 | 1.5260451 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 0.0011564974 | 0.0012064396 | 1.043184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034891766 | 0.013071581 | 0.013140665 | 1.0052851 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 1.7145847E-5 | 3.7145503E-5 | 2.166443 | 2.0E-5 | 2.43112E-4 | 7.348013E-5 | 1.2347646E-4 | 1.6804061 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 8.942536E-4 | 9.4420894E-4 | 1.0558625 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02916862 | 0.010151374 | 0.010220664 | 1.0068256 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 1.5962929E-5 | 3.596261E-5 | 2.252883 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1199681E-4 | 6.841076E-5 | 1.1840734E-4 | 1.7308292 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002578006 | 8.3258294E-4 | 8.825413E-4 | 1.0600041 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02548303 | 0.0094274245 | 0.009496765 | 1.0073551 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 1.55771E-5 | 3.5576788E-5 | 2.283916 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7020974E-4 | 6.675729E-5 | 1.1675395E-4 | 1.7489319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 8.1246713E-4 | 8.6242653E-4 | 1.0614909 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020511515 | 0.009156437 | 0.009225796 | 1.0075749 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 1.4482015E-5 | 1.4482015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0334639E-4 | 6.2064304E-5 | 7.206368E-5 | 1.1611133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 7.5537106E-4 | 7.653635E-4 | 1.0132285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012504238 | 0.008395092 | 0.008414924 | 1.0023624 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.3525585E-5 | 1.3525585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6097356E-5 | 5.7965506E-5 | 6.7964924E-5 | 1.1725063 | 1.0E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 7.055017E-4 | 7.154947E-4 | 1.0141643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009222416 | 0.007783196 | 0.00780304 | 1.0025496 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 1.1606871E-5 | 1.1606871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6395602E-5 | 4.9742786E-5 | 5.974229E-5 | 1.2010242 | 1.0E-5 | 6.864001E-4 | 6.054503E-4 | 6.1544427E-4 | 1.0165067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068428386 | 0.0066766925 | 0.006696559 | 1.0029755 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 6.638607E-6 | 6.638607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.700844E-5 | 2.8450862E-5 | 3.8450577E-5 | 1.3514732 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5048463E-4 | 3.463343E-4 | 3.5633086E-4 | 1.0288638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004495725 | 0.0038768412 | 0.0038967635 | 1.0051389 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.938062E-5 | 1.7345858E-4 | 1.9345511E-4 | 1.1152813 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2584742E-4 | 7.4316084E-4 | 7.63146E-4 | 1.0268921 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051723733 | 0.009009106 | 0.009028926 | 1.0022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050536286 | 0.085723236 | 0.08577809 | 1.0006399 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.862786E-5 | 1.720227E-4 | 1.9201926E-4 | 1.1162437 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2262237E-4 | 7.370105E-4 | 7.569958E-4 | 1.0271167 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005133294 | 0.008934847 | 0.008954668 | 1.0022185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050163247 | 0.08505386 | 0.08510876 | 1.0006454 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.695835E-5 | 1.6887566E-4 | 1.8887229E-4 | 1.1184103 | 2.0E-5 | 4.154696E-4 | 7.235311E-4 | 7.4351666E-4 | 1.0276222 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050466163 | 0.008772161 | 0.008791985 | 1.00226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049335375 | 0.083581425 | 0.08363641 | 1.0006579 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.274664E-5 | 1.6059978E-4 | 1.8059657E-4 | 1.1245131 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9742506E-4 | 6.880821E-4 | 7.080683E-4 | 1.0290463 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00482792 | 0.008343921 | 0.0083637545 | 1.0023769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047243692 | 0.07969085 | 0.07974607 | 1.000693 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4435542E-4 | 1.6435255E-4 | 1.1385269 | 2.0E-5 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.184982E-4 | 6.384858E-4 | 1.0323164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.0075032124 | 0.007523062 | 1.0026455 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.07197049 | 0.07202618 | 1.0007737 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.947603E-5 | 1.1947404E-4 | 1.2010335 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2623727E-4 | 4.4622875E-4 | 1.0469022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051761046 | 0.005196001 | 1.0038439 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.05023426 | 0.050291244 | 1.0011344 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.383919E-5 | 8.383845E-5 | 1.1354195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1640378E-4 | 3.2640062E-4 | 1.0315952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038446118 | 0.0038545732 | 1.002591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023391623 | 0.037599165 | 0.037647285 | 1.0012798 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.233033E-5 | 6.233033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6709368E-4 | 2.6709368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032465735 | 0.0032465735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.031875607 | 0.03190465 | 1.0009111 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.144285E-5 | 3.144285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.347481E-4 | 1.347481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016393242 | 0.0016393242 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016248932 | 0.016248932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4566732E-5 | 2.4566732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0528174E-4 | 1.0528174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012810546 | 0.0012810546 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.012728719 | 0.012728719 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9688297E-5 | 1.9688297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.4375686E-5 | 8.4375686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010267912 | 0.0010267912 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010219422 | 0.010219422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.638642E-5 | 1.638642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 7.022564E-5 | 7.022564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.546637E-4 | 8.546637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008513633 | 0.008513633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3988168E-5 | 1.3988168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.994792E-5 | 5.994792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.296232E-4 | 7.296232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007272569 | 0.007272569 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0579936E-5 | 1.0579936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5341803E-5 | 4.5341803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.5189774E-4 | 5.5189774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0055054105 | 0.0055054105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.956803E-6 | 8.956803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.838574E-5 | 3.838574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.672471E-4 | 4.672471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004662888 | 0.004662888 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.533624E-6 | 7.533624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2286564E-5 | 3.2286564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.930189E-4 | 3.930189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.003923307 | 0.003923307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.948169E-6 | 5.948169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5491907E-5 | 2.5491907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.103206E-4 | 3.103206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030988993 | 0.0030988993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4141802E-6 | 1.4141802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0607586E-6 | 6.0607586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.378727E-5 | 7.378727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3758815E-4 | 7.3758815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.241645E-8 | 6.241645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6749905E-7 | 2.6749905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2567973E-6 | 3.2567973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.256687E-5 | 3.256687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0167738E-5 | 1.6950407E-5 | 2.6950238E-5 | 1.5899463 | 1.0E-5 | 8.643029E-5 | 7.264268E-5 | 8.264195E-5 | 1.1376501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010517809 | 8.840828E-4 | 9.1405626E-4 | 1.0339035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010468166 | 0.008807401 | 0.008866873 | 1.0067525 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.6950407E-5 | 2.6950238E-5 | 1.5899463 | 1.0E-5 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.264268E-5 | 8.264195E-5 | 1.1376501 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.840828E-4 | 9.1405626E-4 | 1.0339035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008397939 | 0.008807401 | 0.008866873 | 1.0067525 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.6950407E-5 | 2.6950238E-5 | 1.5899463 | 1.0E-5 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.264268E-5 | 8.264195E-5 | 1.1376501 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.840828E-4 | 9.1405626E-4 | 1.0339035 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008397939 | 0.008807401 | 0.008866873 | 1.0067525 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0216807E-5 | 2.0216705E-5 | 1.9787694 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.3785603E-5 | 5.3785167E-5 | 1.2283756 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.329633E-4 | 5.5295264E-4 | 1.037506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050724675 | 0.0053172596 | 0.0053471 | 1.005612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0216807E-5 | 2.0216705E-5 | 1.9787694 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.3785603E-5 | 5.3785167E-5 | 1.2283756 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.329633E-4 | 5.5295264E-4 | 1.037506 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050724675 | 0.0053172596 | 0.0053471 | 1.005612 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.290083E-6 | 7.64028E-6 | 7.64028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.124284E-5 | 3.274366E-5 | 3.274366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031515E-4 | 3.9858327E-4 | 3.9858327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037966494 | 0.0039788997 | 0.0039788997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.67907E-6 | 5.950665E-6 | 5.950665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4338644E-5 | 2.5502608E-5 | 2.5502608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962827E-4 | 3.1045135E-4 | 3.1045135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029588798 | 0.0031003105 | 0.0031003105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.4853963E-6 | 3.6514175E-6 | 3.6514175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4937327E-5 | 1.5648842E-5 | 1.5648842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8184677E-4 | 1.9050861E-4 | 1.9050861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018169804 | 0.0019035141 | 0.0019035141 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.7535168E-6 | 2.884834E-6 | 2.884834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1800733E-5 | 1.2363518E-5 | 1.2363518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4366445E-4 | 1.505159E-4 | 1.505159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014357162 | 0.0015041862 | 0.0015041862 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6594106E-6 | 1.738914E-6 | 1.738914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1117406E-6 | 7.452469E-6 | 7.452469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6582E-5 | 9.073034E-5 | 9.073034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.654827E-4 | 9.06963E-4 | 9.06963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.10215E-7 | 5.347588E-7 | 5.347588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.186634E-6 | 2.291822E-6 | 2.291822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6621943E-5 | 2.7902703E-5 | 2.7902703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6618753E-4 | 2.7900434E-4 | 2.7900434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9237248E-5 | 4.9236663E-5 | 1.6840389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2529662E-4 | 1.4529412E-4 | 1.1596012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015244463 | 0.0015643854 | 1.026199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015143711 | 0.015202803 | 1.0039021 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9237248E-5 | 4.9236663E-5 | 1.6840389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2529662E-4 | 1.4529412E-4 | 1.1596012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015244463 | 0.0015643854 | 1.026199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015143711 | 0.015202803 | 1.0039021 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9237248E-5 | 4.9236663E-5 | 1.6840389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2529662E-4 | 1.4529412E-4 | 1.1596012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015244463 | 0.0015643854 | 1.026199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015143711 | 0.015202803 | 1.0039021 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2727596E-5 | 4.272714E-5 | 1.8799675 | 2.0E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.740037E-5 | 1.1739843E-4 | 1.205318 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011852094 | 0.001225162 | 1.0337093 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011790309 | 0.011849602 | 1.005029 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9773202E-5 | 3.9772807E-5 | 2.01145 | 2.0E-5 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.473955E-5 | 1.0473786E-4 | 1.2359973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010312177 | 0.0010711765 | 1.0387491 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.010265394 | 0.010324779 | 1.0057849 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.948591E-5 | 3.948552E-5 | 2.0263627 | 2.0E-5 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3508385E-5 | 1.0350671E-4 | 1.2394769 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010162423 | 0.0010562016 | 1.0393207 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.010117009 | 0.0101764025 | 1.0058706 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7531273E-5 | 3.753092E-5 | 2.1407986 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.5131866E-5 | 9.513037E-5 | 1.2661786 | 2.0E-5 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.1434794E-4 | 9.5431134E-4 | 1.043707 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009398366 | 0.009106823 | 0.009166277 | 1.0065285 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6114478E-5 | 3.6114157E-5 | 2.2410998 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.9060225E-5 | 8.905885E-5 | 1.2895823 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.4048504E-4 | 8.8045147E-4 | 1.0475515 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008707017 | 0.00837399 | 0.008433487 | 1.007105 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4683788E-5 | 3.4683493E-5 | 2.3620265 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.292901E-5 | 8.292775E-5 | 1.3177985 | 2.0E-5 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.658922E-4 | 8.058616E-4 | 1.0521867 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008003947 | 0.007633411 | 0.007692953 | 1.0078002 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2756643E-5 | 3.2756387E-5 | 2.5677905 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.467018E-5 | 7.466909E-5 | 1.3658102 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6540664E-4 | 7.0538005E-4 | 1.0600736 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007053386 | 0.006634968 | 0.0066945697 | 1.008983 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1160002E-5 | 3.115978E-5 | 2.7920942 | 2.0E-5 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7827707E-5 | 6.7826746E-5 | 1.4181477 | 2.0E-5 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.821468E-4 | 6.2212354E-4 | 1.0686712 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006257884 | 0.005806999 | 0.0058666505 | 1.0102724 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0084998E-5 | 3.0084797E-5 | 2.9831235 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.3220705E-5 | 6.321984E-5 | 1.4627212 | 2.0E-5 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.260851E-4 | 5.660641E-4 | 1.0759933 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052491687 | 0.0053088535 | 1.0113704 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.096285E-6 | 2.9096103E-5 | 3.19868 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8983493E-5 | 5.8982714E-5 | 1.5130177 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7452073E-4 | 5.1450176E-4 | 1.0842556 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00518453 | 0.004735841 | 0.0047955564 | 1.0126094 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.888858E-6 | 2.78887E-5 | 3.535201 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3808956E-5 | 5.380828E-5 | 1.5915393 | 2.0E-5 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.115463E-4 | 4.5152984E-4 | 1.0971544 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00452975 | 0.004108601 | 0.004168354 | 1.0145435 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.0584874E-6 | 2.7058346E-5 | 3.8334482 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.025031E-5 | 5.0249706E-5 | 1.6611302 | 2.0E-5 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.682353E-4 | 4.082206E-4 | 1.1085862 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004096119 | 0.003677008 | 0.0037367875 | 1.0162576 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 6.018108E-6 | 2.6017988E-5 | 4.3232837 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5791636E-5 | 4.579112E-5 | 1.7754252 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1396793E-4 | 3.539554E-4 | 1.1273615 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003135998 | 0.00319581 | 1.0190727 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.6510827E-6 | 2.465099E-5 | 5.300054 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9933059E-5 | 3.993266E-5 | 2.0033383 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.4265797E-4 | 2.8264828E-4 | 1.1648011 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002867472 | 0.0024246825 | 0.002484537 | 1.0246855 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.7028013E-6 | 2.2702747E-5 | 8.399711 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1583383E-5 | 3.158315E-5 | 2.7265913 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.4101857E-4 | 1.8101292E-4 | 1.2836106 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0014100411 | 0.0014699565 | 1.0424919 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1776416E-6 | 2.1177619E-5 | 17.983076 | 2.0E-5 | 8.508612E-6 | 5.0470258E-6 | 2.5046924E-5 | 4.96271 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0358743E-4 | 6.1445804E-5 | 1.01443344E-4 | 1.6509402 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010353916 | 6.150367E-4 | 6.749998E-4 | 1.0974952 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.613819E-7 | 2.056137E-5 | 36.62635 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.4059202E-6 | 2.2405871E-5 | 9.312808 | 2.0E-5 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.9291685E-5 | 6.9290516E-5 | 2.3655353 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.9358672E-4 | 3.535691E-4 | 1.2043089 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.931694E-7 | 2.0293164E-5 | 69.219925 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.2564395E-6 | 2.1256414E-5 | 16.917976 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.5297044E-5 | 5.5296434E-5 | 3.614844 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.5355437E-4 | 2.1354515E-4 | 1.390681 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 7.010328E-8 | 1.0070103E-5 | 143.64665 | 1.0E-5 | 6.442826E-7 | 3.0044262E-7 | 1.03004395E-5 | 34.284218 | 1.0E-5 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.6578829E-6 | 1.36578465E-5 | 3.7338119 | 1.0E-5 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.6592897E-5 | 4.6592533E-5 | 1.273267 | 1.0E-5 |
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.967457E-5 | 4.3301596E-5 | 7.3300296E-5 | 1.6927851 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7002279E-4 | 1.8556572E-4 | 2.1556015E-4 | 1.1616378 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002068062 | 0.002257037 | 0.0022869692 | 1.0132618 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02048922 | 0.022353597 | 0.022402478 | 1.0021868 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.7153867E-5 | 3.7153593E-5 | 1.3682617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.163687E-4 | 1.2636754E-4 | 1.0859238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014159002 | 0.001425886 | 1.0070527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01298276 | 0.014072233 | 0.014101811 | 1.0021019 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.7153867E-5 | 3.7153593E-5 | 1.3682617 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.163687E-4 | 1.2636754E-4 | 1.0859238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014159002 | 0.001425886 | 1.0070527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01298276 | 0.014072233 | 0.014101811 | 1.0021019 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.794246E-5 | 2.7942282E-5 | 1.5573272 | 1.0E-5 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.6894044E-5 | 8.689328E-5 | 1.1300391 | 1.0E-5 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.357915E-4 | 9.457822E-4 | 1.0106761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008636732 | 0.00931945 | 0.009349171 | 1.0031891 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.794246E-5 | 2.7942282E-5 | 1.5573272 | 1.0E-5 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.6894044E-5 | 8.689328E-5 | 1.1300391 | 1.0E-5 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.357915E-4 | 9.457822E-4 | 1.0106761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008636732 | 0.00931945 | 0.009349171 | 1.0031891 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3394842E-5 | 1.4432495E-5 | 2.4432351E-5 | 1.6928709 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7405203E-5 | 6.1852115E-5 | 7.185149E-5 | 1.1616659 | 1.0E-5 | 6.986842E-4 | 7.527949E-4 | 7.6278736E-4 | 1.0132738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006964916 | 0.007503045 | 0.0075328196 | 1.0039684 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1137514E-5 | 1.1987564E-5 | 2.1987444E-5 | 1.8341879 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7731326E-5 | 5.1374285E-5 | 6.137377E-5 | 1.1946399 | 1.0E-5 | 5.809739E-4 | 6.2530645E-4 | 6.3530024E-4 | 1.0159822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005794574 | 0.0062358943 | 0.006265707 | 1.0047809 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.0200663E-6 | 7.544627E-6 | 1.7544551E-5 | 2.3254366 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008565E-5 | 3.2333723E-5 | 4.2333402E-5 | 1.3092647 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6623122E-4 | 3.9359357E-4 | 4.0358963E-4 | 1.025397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036562826 | 0.0039291284 | 0.0039590104 | 1.0076053 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.940172E-6 | 6.382625E-6 | 1.638256E-5 | 2.5667436 | 1.0E-5 | 2.545763E-5 | 2.7353828E-5 | 3.7353555E-5 | 1.3655696 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0990256E-4 | 3.3298324E-4 | 3.429799E-4 | 1.0300215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030947074 | 0.0033249725 | 0.0033548726 | 1.0089927 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.129831E-6 | 4.4353824E-6 | 1.4435338E-5 | 3.254587 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7699154E-5 | 1.9008648E-5 | 2.9008457E-5 | 1.5260663 | 1.0E-5 | 2.154659E-4 | 2.314065E-4 | 2.4140418E-4 | 1.043204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002152571 | 0.0023117342 | 0.0023316878 | 1.0086315 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6512955E-6 | 2.844891E-6 | 2.844891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1362646E-5 | 1.2192336E-5 | 1.2192336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3833142E-4 | 1.4843201E-4 | 1.4843201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013824535 | 0.0014833715 | 0.0014833715 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2992575E-6 | 1.3946227E-6 | 1.3946227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.568235E-6 | 5.976942E-6 | 5.976942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779115E-5 | 7.2767056E-5 | 7.2767056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7770475E-4 | 7.27454E-4 | 7.27454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.968191E-7 | 5.3416227E-7 | 5.3416227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1292228E-6 | 2.2892657E-6 | 2.2892657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.592298E-5 | 2.787158E-5 | 2.787158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919956E-4 | 2.7869327E-4 | 2.7869327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.624579E-5 | 6.6244706E-5 | 1.8276523 | 3.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5533082E-4 | 1.9532461E-4 | 1.2574749 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018897007 | 0.001929625 | 1.0211273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.01875527 | 0.018804332 | 1.0026159 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.624579E-5 | 6.6244706E-5 | 1.8276523 | 3.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5533082E-4 | 1.9532461E-4 | 1.2574749 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018897007 | 0.001929625 | 1.0211273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.01875527 | 0.018804332 | 1.0026159 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.624579E-5 | 6.6244706E-5 | 1.8276523 | 3.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5533082E-4 | 1.9532461E-4 | 1.2574749 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018897007 | 0.001929625 | 1.0211273 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016139153 | 0.01875527 | 0.018804332 | 1.0026159 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3967817E-5 | 4.396734E-5 | 1.8344322 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02715356E-4 | 1.227133E-4 | 1.1946929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012498734 | 0.0012698484 | 1.0159817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012431718 | 0.01245147 | 1.0015888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.3967817E-5 | 4.396734E-5 | 1.8344322 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.02715356E-4 | 1.227133E-4 | 1.1946929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012498734 | 0.0012698484 | 1.0159817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010933585 | 0.012431718 | 0.01245147 | 1.0015888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.1989868E-5 | 4.1989428E-5 | 1.9094898 | 2.0E-5 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.423905E-5 | 1.1423716E-4 | 1.2122062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011467845 | 0.0011667615 | 1.01742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010066401 | 0.011411572 | 0.011431343 | 1.0017326 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.1969789E-5 | 4.196935E-5 | 1.910321 | 2.0E-5 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.4152994E-5 | 1.1415111E-4 | 1.2124002 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010102082 | 0.001145738 | 0.001165715 | 1.017436 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010056281 | 0.011401213 | 0.011420985 | 1.0017343 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.888589E-5 | 2.8885703E-5 | 1.5294858 | 1.0E-5 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.0937134E-5 | 9.093632E-5 | 1.1235427 | 1.0E-5 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.849838E-4 | 9.949739E-4 | 1.0101424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008688197 | 0.009808212 | 0.009818113 | 1.0010096 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.6068885E-5 | 2.6068725E-5 | 1.6223108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.8864916E-5 | 7.886423E-5 | 1.1452018 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.3812245E-4 | 8.48114E-4 | 1.0119214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417957 | 0.008351109 | 0.008361025 | 1.0011874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.4018397E-5 | 2.4018258E-5 | 1.7133383 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3441294E-5 | 6.007753E-5 | 7.007693E-5 | 1.1664416 | 1.0E-5 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.312107E-4 | 7.412034E-4 | 1.0136659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006485529 | 0.0072892834 | 0.007299211 | 1.0013618 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.833397E-6 | 9.833397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.2142492E-5 | 4.2142492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.129714E-4 | 5.129714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00456803 | 0.005118613 | 0.005118613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.8425893E-6 | 6.8425893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.9325085E-5 | 2.9325085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5698005E-4 | 3.5698005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031813353 | 0.0035646223 | 0.0035646223 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.287528E-6 | 3.287528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.408934E-5 | 1.408934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7152597E-4 | 1.7152597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015325027 | 0.0017141094 | 0.0017141094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.036491E-7 | 8.036491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4442082E-6 | 3.4442082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.1932894E-5 | 4.1932894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7763783E-4 | 4.192952E-4 | 4.192952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.198916E-8 | 3.198916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.370964E-7 | 1.370964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6691473E-6 | 1.6691473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029842844 | 0.0029942545 | 1.0033408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03585646 | 0.035875745 | 1.0005378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.29424685 | 0.29426804 | 1.000072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029842844 | 0.0029942545 | 1.0033408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03585646 | 0.035875745 | 1.0005378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.29424685 | 0.29426804 | 1.000072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029842844 | 0.0029942545 | 1.0033408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03585646 | 0.035875745 | 1.0005378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.29424685 | 0.29426804 | 1.000072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 6.971009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0029842844 | 0.0029942545 | 1.0033408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016080605 | 0.03585646 | 0.035875745 | 1.0005378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.1496549 | 0.29424685 | 0.29426804 | 1.000072 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.5303095E-4 | 4.5303095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0019401452 | 0.0019501257 | 1.0051442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010316478 | 0.023371829 | 0.023391362 | 1.0008358 | 2.0E-5 | 0.098504856 | 0.20497356 | 0.20499742 | 1.0001163 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 3.074921E-4 | 3.074921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0013171606 | 0.0013271475 | 1.0075821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015919436 | 0.015939116 | 1.0012363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.14622612 | 0.14625174 | 1.0001751 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 3.074921E-4 | 3.074921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0013171606 | 0.0013271475 | 1.0075821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006714592 | 0.015919436 | 0.015939116 | 1.0012363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.065152965 | 0.14622612 | 0.14625174 | 1.0001751 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.6294537E-4 | 2.6294537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0011264227 | 0.0011364113 | 1.0088676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056198016 | 0.013628322 | 0.013648049 | 1.0014476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.054797906 | 0.12741344 | 0.12743962 | 1.0002054 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.5805458E-4 | 2.5805458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.00110548 | 0.001115469 | 1.0090358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055285925 | 0.013376496 | 0.013396229 | 1.0014752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.053930566 | 0.12535772 | 0.12538396 | 1.0002093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.516686E-4 | 2.516686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537184E-4 | 0.0010781344 | 0.0010881237 | 1.0092653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054089287 | 0.013047592 | 0.01306733 | 1.0015129 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05279156 | 0.12264992 | 0.12267624 | 1.0002146 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.452616E-4 | 2.452616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3516833E-4 | 0.0010506981 | 0.0010606876 | 1.0095075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005285311 | 0.012717497 | 0.0127372425 | 1.0015526 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05161361 | 0.11990066 | 0.11992706 | 1.0002202 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.3802932E-4 | 2.3802932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2359953E-4 | 0.0010197272 | 0.001029717 | 1.0097965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051451353 | 0.012344755 | 0.012364508 | 1.0016001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05027629 | 0.11676456 | 0.11679106 | 1.000227 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.315516E-4 | 2.315516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.91987E-4 | 0.001001977 | 1.0100708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005018219 | 0.0120107895 | 0.012030549 | 1.0016452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049064007 | 0.11393696 | 0.113963544 | 1.0002333 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 2.1321744E-4 | 2.1321744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907156E-4 | 9.134691E-4 | 9.2346E-4 | 1.0109373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004746591 | 0.011064922 | 0.011084702 | 1.0017875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046464786 | 0.105975874 | 0.10600269 | 1.0002531 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 2.0544657E-4 | 2.0544657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.8018825E-4 | 8.901795E-4 | 1.0113512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046267817 | 0.010663767 | 0.010683554 | 1.0018555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.045316286 | 0.102544546 | 0.10257147 | 1.0002625 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.9852356E-4 | 1.9852356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7173493E-4 | 8.505379E-4 | 8.605294E-4 | 1.0117472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004516484 | 0.0103062475 | 0.010326041 | 1.0019206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04425787 | 0.09944032 | 0.09946734 | 1.0002717 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.9213812E-4 | 1.9213812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6222505E-4 | 8.231893E-4 | 8.33181E-4 | 1.0121379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009976376 | 0.009996176 | 1.0019847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04315024 | 0.09651685 | 0.09654395 | 1.0002809 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.8713283E-4 | 1.8713283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539135E-4 | 8.017514E-4 | 8.117434E-4 | 1.0124627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004300386 | 0.009717729 | 0.009737534 | 1.0020381 | 2.0E-5 | 0.042181134 | 0.09418824 | 0.094215415 | 1.0002885 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.687246E-4 | 1.687246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1902574E-4 | 7.229051E-4 | 7.3289784E-4 | 1.013823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038772223 | 0.008765919 | 0.008785744 | 1.0022615 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03810269 | 0.08537439 | 0.08540183 | 1.0003214 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.107955E-4 | 1.107955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.747515E-4 | 4.8474674E-4 | 1.0210537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0057647964 | 0.0057747387 | 1.0017247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027066574 | 0.05718357 | 0.05720243 | 1.0003297 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 6.040831E-5 | 6.040831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.5886708E-4 | 2.6886447E-4 | 1.0386199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.003147154 | 0.0031571228 | 1.0031675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.031912427 | 0.03193179 | 1.0006067 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 2.2314034E-5 | 2.2314034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 9.562807E-5 | 1.05627114E-4 | 1.1045618 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0011636508 | 0.0011736391 | 1.0085837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.01235424 | 0.012373992 | 1.0015988 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 6.629518E-6 | 6.629518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.841191E-5 | 3.8411625E-5 | 1.351955 | 1.0E-5 | 4.455896E-4 | 3.4586023E-4 | 3.5585676E-4 | 1.0289034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0038714819 | 0.0038914043 | 1.005146 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.503784E-5 | 5.5037388E-5 | 1.2220255 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9300623E-4 | 2.030043E-4 | 1.0518018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023475303 | 0.002357507 | 1.0042498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023249269 | 0.023278572 | 1.0012604 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.503784E-5 | 5.5037388E-5 | 1.2220255 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9300623E-4 | 2.030043E-4 | 1.0518018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023475303 | 0.002357507 | 1.0042498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023249269 | 0.023278572 | 1.0012604 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4487388E-5 | 3.4487144E-5 | 1.4083635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.049419E-4 | 1.14940856E-4 | 1.0952808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012769499 | 0.001286937 | 1.0078212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011566074 | 0.012699386 | 0.012719132 | 1.0015548 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.715205E-5 | 2.7151878E-5 | 1.5830107 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.350677E-5 | 8.3506035E-5 | 1.1360319 | 1.0E-5 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.9458807E-4 | 9.045791E-4 | 1.0111684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008172315 | 0.008910984 | 0.008930806 | 1.0022244 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.7139871E-5 | 2.71397E-5 | 1.5834249 | 1.0E-5 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.345458E-5 | 8.345385E-5 | 1.1361285 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.939532E-4 | 9.039443E-4 | 1.0111762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008166086 | 0.008904686 | 0.0089245085 | 1.002226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.38442965E-5 | 2.3844157E-5 | 1.7223091 | 1.0E-5 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.9331385E-5 | 6.9330796E-5 | 1.1685349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.221269E-4 | 7.321197E-4 | 1.0138379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066221743 | 0.007198503 | 0.007218359 | 1.0027584 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.192245E-5 | 2.1922331E-5 | 1.8387438 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.109524E-5 | 6.109473E-5 | 1.1957029 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.2191236E-4 | 6.3190615E-4 | 1.0160694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057148207 | 0.0062022726 | 0.0062221484 | 1.0032046 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.868525E-6 | 1.9868427E-5 | 2.0133126 | 1.0E-5 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.2293013E-5 | 5.229259E-5 | 1.2364357 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.147997E-4 | 5.2479457E-4 | 1.019415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004739512 | 0.0051364717 | 0.005156369 | 1.0038737 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.723144E-6 | 1.6723077E-5 | 2.4873893 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8813169E-5 | 3.881288E-5 | 1.3470535 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.507461E-4 | 3.607426E-4 | 1.0285007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003238301 | 0.0035021498 | 0.00352208 | 1.0056908 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.5156526E-6 | 1.4515607E-5 | 3.2145092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9352663E-5 | 2.9352468E-5 | 1.5167148 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.3559475E-4 | 2.4559238E-4 | 1.0424358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023536042 | 0.002373557 | 1.0084776 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.970396E-6 | 1.2970367E-5 | 4.3665447 | 1.0E-5 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2730214E-5 | 2.2730086E-5 | 1.7855228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5498057E-4 | 1.6497904E-4 | 1.0645142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001432759 | 0.0015488482 | 0.0015588327 | 1.0064464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.745587E-7 | 8.745587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7481068E-6 | 3.7481068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.563285E-5 | 4.563285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.56294E-4 | 4.56294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.932046E-8 | 4.932046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1137338E-7 | 2.1137338E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.573468E-6 | 2.573468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5734393E-5 | 2.5734393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.463443E-9 | 5.463443E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3414756E-8 | 2.3414756E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.8507463E-7 | 2.8507463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.850744E-6 | 2.850744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4598575E-4 | 3.5598228E-4 | 1.0288929 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0014819632 | 0.0015019336 | 1.0134757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.017895939 | 0.017915582 | 1.0010976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.16208184 | 0.16210698 | 1.0001551 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4598575E-4 | 3.5598228E-4 | 1.0288929 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0014819632 | 0.0015019336 | 1.0134757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.017895939 | 0.017915582 | 1.0010976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.16208184 | 0.16210698 | 1.0001551 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4598575E-4 | 3.5598228E-4 | 1.0288929 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.0014819632 | 0.0015019336 | 1.0134757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.017895939 | 0.017915582 | 1.0010976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.086367436 | 0.16208184 | 0.16210698 | 1.0001551 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7308246E-4 | 3.4598575E-4 | 3.5598228E-4 | 1.0288929 | 1.0E-5 | 7.41571E-4 | 0.0014819632 | 0.0015019336 | 1.0134757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008991311 | 0.017895939 | 0.017915582 | 1.0010976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08636101 | 0.16208184 | 0.16210698 | 1.0001551 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2727898E-4 | 3.372757E-4 | 1.030545 | 1.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.001401879 | 0.001421851 | 1.0142466 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016936349 | 0.016956009 | 1.0011609 | 2.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15417494 | 0.15420032 | 1.0001646 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.139218E-4 | 3.2391868E-4 | 1.0318451 | 1.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013446939 | 0.001364667 | 1.0148532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016250674 | 0.016270349 | 1.0012107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14840068 | 0.14842622 | 1.0001721 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8393025E-4 | 2.9392738E-4 | 1.0352099 | 1.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012162833 | 0.001226271 | 1.0082117 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014709228 | 0.014719081 | 1.0006698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13545834 | 0.13546698 | 1.0000638 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3603553E-4 | 2.4603316E-4 | 1.0423565 | 1.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 0.0010111937 | 0.0010211837 | 1.0098794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012242867 | 0.012252744 | 1.0008068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11420154 | 0.1142104 | 1.0000776 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.9149952E-4 | 2.014976E-4 | 1.0522095 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.204578E-4 | 8.304496E-4 | 1.0121783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009944064 | 0.009953964 | 1.0009956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.093902245 | 0.093911305 | 1.0000964 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0957446E-4 | 1.19573364E-4 | 1.0912521 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6952095E-4 | 4.7951625E-4 | 1.0212883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0057015563 | 0.005711499 | 1.0017439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.055299785 | 0.055309232 | 1.0001708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.4262945E-5 | 9.4262105E-5 | 1.1186662 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.6107734E-4 | 3.7107372E-4 | 1.0276849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.00438733 | 0.0043972856 | 1.0022693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.042914715 | 0.042924285 | 1.000223 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.467065E-5 | 7.467E-5 | 1.1546197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.771306E-4 | 2.8712783E-4 | 1.036074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0033688645 | 0.0033788309 | 1.0029584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017101998 | 0.03323879 | 0.033248458 | 1.0002909 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.859033E-5 | 6.858974E-5 | 1.1706666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.5107735E-4 | 2.6107483E-4 | 1.0398184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0030525993 | 0.0030625688 | 1.0032659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458403 | 0.030206604 | 0.0302163 | 1.000321 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.7321046E-5 | 4.7321046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 2.027888E-4 | 2.027888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024661717 | 0.0024661717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.02450028 | 0.02450028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.6163736E-5 | 3.6163736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.549783E-4 | 1.549783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018852382 | 0.0018852382 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018801408 | 0.018801408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.4170711E-5 | 2.4170711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0358469E-4 | 1.0358469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012604201 | 0.0012604201 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012621632 | 0.012621632 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 9.244292E-6 | 9.244292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.9617804E-5 | 3.9617804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.822413E-4 | 4.822413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0048552766 | 0.0048552766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.3006918E-6 | 1.3006918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.5743817E-6 | 5.5743817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.7865985E-5 | 6.7865985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.9843914E-4 | 6.9843914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 1.0641218E-6 | 1.0641218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.560514E-6 | 4.560514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.5522843E-5 | 5.5522843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.7272456E-4 | 5.7272456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 8.054676E-7 | 8.054676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.4519994E-6 | 3.4519994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 4.2027285E-5 | 4.2027285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.3124746E-4 | 4.3124746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.9762E-7 | 5.9762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.561226E-6 | 2.561226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 3.1182484E-5 | 3.1182484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 3.177149E-4 | 3.177149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.8471285E-7 | 2.8471285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.2201973E-6 | 1.2201973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.4855803E-5 | 1.4855803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.5093607E-4 | 1.5093607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.0370086E-5 | 1.7196289E-4 | 1.9195945E-4 | 1.1162841 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8724288E-4 | 7.3677587E-4 | 7.6675374E-4 | 1.0406879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004704494 | 0.008933449 | 0.008963181 | 1.0033282 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04606138 | 0.0853927 | 0.08542928 | 1.0004284 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.0370086E-5 | 1.7196289E-4 | 1.9195945E-4 | 1.1162841 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8724288E-4 | 7.3677587E-4 | 7.6675374E-4 | 1.0406879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004704494 | 0.008933449 | 0.008963181 | 1.0033282 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04606138 | 0.0853927 | 0.08542928 | 1.0004284 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.7156811E-4 | 1.9156469E-4 | 1.1165518 | 2.0E-5 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.350849E-4 | 7.6506287E-4 | 1.0407816 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008913049 | 0.008942782 | 1.0033358 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0459107 | 0.085206166 | 0.08524276 | 1.0004294 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6834172E-4 | 1.8833835E-4 | 1.118786 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.212655E-4 | 7.412511E-4 | 1.027709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004598882 | 0.008746215 | 0.00876604 | 1.0022666 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04504866 | 0.08369286 | 0.08372035 | 1.0003284 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6257039E-4 | 1.8256714E-4 | 1.1230036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.965447E-4 | 7.165308E-4 | 1.0286932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008447622 | 0.008467453 | 1.0023476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.043514993 | 0.08097293 | 0.08100051 | 1.0003405 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5584781E-4 | 1.758447E-4 | 1.1283103 | 2.0E-5 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.6774874E-4 | 6.877354E-4 | 1.0299314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042449418 | 0.008099692 | 0.00811953 | 1.0024493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04164765 | 0.07778555 | 0.077813216 | 1.0003557 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5287052E-4 | 1.7286745E-4 | 1.1308097 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.549955E-4 | 6.749824E-4 | 1.0305146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007945575 | 0.007965417 | 1.0024971 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04082218 | 0.07637108 | 0.07639879 | 1.0003629 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4922307E-4 | 1.6922009E-4 | 1.1340076 | 2.0E-5 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.393714E-4 | 6.5935863E-4 | 1.0312607 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004050208 | 0.0077567236 | 0.0077765686 | 1.0025584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039771806 | 0.0746317 | 0.07465946 | 1.0003719 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.4059724E-4 | 1.6059443E-4 | 1.1422303 | 2.0E-5 | 3.140365E-4 | 6.0242106E-4 | 6.2240905E-4 | 1.0331794 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0073099537 | 0.007329807 | 1.002716 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037518036 | 0.0704907 | 0.07051859 | 1.0003955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2370093E-4 | 1.4369846E-4 | 1.1616603 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.300396E-4 | 5.5002904E-4 | 1.037713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033642664 | 0.006434243 | 0.0064541143 | 1.0030884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033137884 | 0.06233778 | 0.06236591 | 1.0004512 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.02389255E-4 | 1.12388225E-4 | 1.0976565 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.387376E-4 | 4.4873322E-4 | 1.0227827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0053286147 | 0.0053385613 | 1.0018667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027709642 | 0.05196672 | 0.0519762 | 1.0001824 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.360296E-5 | 9.3602124E-5 | 1.119603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.582494E-4 | 3.6824582E-4 | 1.0279036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093442 | 0.004353007 | 0.004362963 | 1.0022873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854926 | 0.042728923 | 0.042738497 | 1.000224 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.240107E-5 | 7.240045E-5 | 1.1602436 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.674059E-4 | 2.7740322E-4 | 1.0373863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0032508306 | 0.003260798 | 1.0030662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017051157 | 0.032155234 | 0.032164913 | 1.000301 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.646168E-5 | 4.646168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9910636E-4 | 1.9910636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0024214394 | 0.0024214394 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0127141625 | 0.024062904 | 0.024062904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.5673096E-5 | 3.5673096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.528758E-4 | 1.528758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018596842 | 0.0018596842 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009777189 | 0.01854226 | 0.01854226 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.3717936E-5 | 2.3717936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 1.0164437E-4 | 1.0164437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0012368239 | 0.0012368239 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.012380389 | 0.012380389 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.792191E-6 | 8.792191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.768028E-5 | 3.768028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.5866214E-4 | 4.5866214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.004612465 | 0.004612465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.649032E-7 | 7.649032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.2781522E-6 | 3.2781522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.9910774E-5 | 3.9910774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 4.109551E-4 | 4.109551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.8188095E-7 | 5.8188095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.493773E-6 | 2.493773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 3.0361265E-5 | 3.0361265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 3.1413228E-4 | 3.1413228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 4.0601816E-7 | 4.0601816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.7400765E-6 | 1.7400765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 2.1185228E-5 | 2.1185228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.18303E-4 | 2.18303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.9997298E-7 | 2.9997298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.2855978E-6 | 1.2855978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.5652042E-5 | 1.5652042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.6001606E-4 | 1.6001606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.2263925E-7 | 1.2263925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 5.2559665E-7 | 5.2559665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 6.399121E-6 | 6.399121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.518551E-5 | 6.518551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Point Reyes 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8644965E-6 | 8.974397E-6 | 2.8974218E-5 | 3.2285419 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7990147E-5 | 3.846117E-5 | 5.8460402E-5 | 1.519985 | 2.0E-5 | 4.624319E-4 | 4.6817042E-4 | 4.981564E-4 | 1.0640492 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046147075 | 0.0046724686 | 0.0047122817 | 1.0085208 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.543008E-6 | 1.4542962E-5 | 3.2011747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.9469895E-5 | 2.94697E-5 | 1.5136034 | 1.0E-5 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3702123E-4 | 2.4701885E-4 | 1.0421803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002359032 | 0.0023677882 | 0.0023777646 | 1.0042133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.543008E-6 | 1.4542962E-5 | 3.2011747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.9469895E-5 | 2.94697E-5 | 1.5136034 | 1.0E-5 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3702123E-4 | 2.4701885E-4 | 1.0421803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002359032 | 0.0023677882 | 0.0023777646 | 1.0042133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.663073E-6 | 1.2663047E-5 | 4.75505 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1413121E-5 | 2.1413007E-5 | 1.8761746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3894608E-4 | 1.489447E-4 | 1.0719603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013996155 | 0.0013886116 | 0.0013985977 | 1.0071914 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.663073E-6 | 1.2663047E-5 | 4.75505 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1413121E-5 | 2.1413007E-5 | 1.8761746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3894608E-4 | 1.489447E-4 | 1.0719603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013996155 | 0.0013886116 | 0.0013985977 | 1.0071914 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9281833E-6 | 1.8930334E-6 | 1.8930334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.263617E-6 | 8.112976E-6 | 8.112976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060489E-4 | 9.877109E-5 | 9.877109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010055936 | 9.872804E-4 | 9.872804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.4726726E-6 | 1.4293959E-6 | 1.4293959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3114385E-6 | 6.125968E-6 | 6.125968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.683905E-5 | 7.4581156E-5 | 7.4581156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6812494E-4 | 7.4556615E-4 | 7.4556615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.572307E-7 | 8.031601E-7 | 8.031601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6738406E-6 | 3.4421103E-6 | 3.4421103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472809E-5 | 4.19069E-5 | 4.19069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.471909E-4 | 4.1899164E-4 | 4.1899164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.6745434E-7 | 6.102226E-7 | 6.102226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8605155E-6 | 2.6152372E-6 | 2.6152372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.482622E-5 | 3.1840056E-5 | 3.1840056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4820763E-4 | 3.1835597E-4 | 3.1835597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.291521E-7 | 3.679059E-7 | 3.679059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.839222E-6 | 1.5767386E-6 | 1.5767386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2392298E-5 | 1.9196626E-5 | 1.9196626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2390042E-4 | 1.9195006E-4 | 1.9195006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6812808E-7 | 2.0455889E-7 | 2.0455889E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491198E-6 | 8.7668064E-7 | 8.7668064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990444E-5 | 1.0673535E-5 | 1.0673535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3989564E-4 | 1.067303E-4 | 1.067303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9451231E-7 | 1.3005237E-7 | 1.3005237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336239E-7 | 5.573672E-7 | 5.573672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0149324E-5 | 6.7859237E-6 | 6.7859237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.014886E-4 | 6.7857174E-5 | 6.7857174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6715143E-7 | 1.03244574E-7 | 1.03244574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1636305E-7 | 4.4247665E-7 | 4.4247665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721685E-6 | 5.38714E-6 | 5.38714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721343E-5 | 5.387009E-5 | 5.387009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5503173E-7 | 9.29036E-8 | 9.29036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.644215E-7 | 3.9815822E-7 | 3.9815822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.089301E-6 | 4.847565E-6 | 4.847565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.089007E-5 | 4.8474594E-5 | 4.8474594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4251614E-7 | 8.3675246E-8 | 8.3675246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1078333E-7 | 3.5860813E-7 | 3.5860813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4362615E-6 | 4.3660452E-6 | 4.3660452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436013E-5 | 4.3659595E-5 | 4.3659595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2710186E-7 | 7.289174E-8 | 7.289174E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447221E-7 | 3.1239313E-7 | 3.1239313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6319717E-6 | 3.8033795E-6 | 3.8033795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6317734E-5 | 3.8033144E-5 | 3.8033144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0144708E-7 | 5.7277745E-8 | 5.7277745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.347731E-7 | 2.4547603E-7 | 2.4547603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2933497E-6 | 2.9886664E-6 | 2.9886664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.293224E-5 | 2.9886263E-5 | 2.9886263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.090527E-8 | 4.1685382E-8 | 4.1685382E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.038797E-7 | 1.7865162E-7 | 1.7865162E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.699729E-6 | 2.1750811E-6 | 2.1750811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6996673E-5 | 2.17506E-5 | 2.17506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.8712045E-8 | 2.9075348E-8 | 2.9075348E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6590876E-7 | 1.2460863E-7 | 1.2460863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0199373E-6 | 1.5171089E-6 | 1.5171089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0199188E-5 | 1.5170986E-5 | 1.5170986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7068782E-8 | 1.3308413E-8 | 1.3308413E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.315192E-8 | 5.703605E-8 | 5.703605E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906242E-7 | 6.9441376E-7 | 6.9441376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906207E-6 | 6.9441157E-6 | 6.9441157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0172592E-8 | 8.302194E-9 | 8.302194E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.359682E-8 | 3.558082E-8 | 3.558082E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3079117E-7 | 4.331964E-7 | 4.331964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.307899E-6 | 4.3319556E-6 | 4.3319556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.7861243E-9 | 4.1859622E-9 | 4.1859622E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6226247E-8 | 1.7939833E-8 | 1.7939833E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9755454E-7 | 2.1841745E-7 | 2.1841745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9755437E-6 | 2.1841724E-6 | 2.1841724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 0.0010495703 | 0.0010595598 | 1.0095177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002205774 | 0.004486853 | 0.004506763 | 1.0044374 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026526777 | 0.052665487 | 0.052693907 | 1.0005397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.23574181 | 0.3838712 | 0.38389584 | 1.0000643 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 9.724159E-4 | 9.824062E-4 | 1.0102737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002035871 | 0.004157674 | 0.004177591 | 1.0047904 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024506707 | 0.048914317 | 0.04894285 | 1.0005833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.21973366 | 0.36309364 | 0.36311913 | 1.0000702 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 7.964961E-4 | 8.064881E-4 | 1.012545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0034067044 | 0.003426636 | 1.0058508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020479038 | 0.04028523 | 0.04031402 | 1.0007147 | 3.0E-5 | 0.18691239 | 0.31175593 | 0.31178346 | 1.0000883 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 6.8545213E-4 | 6.954453E-4 | 1.0145789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001483754 | 0.00293249 | 0.0029524313 | 1.0068002 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017915692 | 0.034805045 | 0.034824345 | 1.0005547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538206 | 0.27763626 | 0.27765793 | 1.0000781 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.6584354E-4 | 5.758379E-4 | 1.0176628 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0024215106 | 0.0024414621 | 1.0082393 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.02886597 | 0.028885392 | 1.0006728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23883933 | 0.23886217 | 1.0000956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.3230137E-4 | 4.4229705E-4 | 1.023122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018507036 | 0.0018706665 | 1.0107867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.02218103 | 0.022200586 | 1.0008817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.1923699 | 0.19239412 | 1.000126 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.6210307E-4 | 2.7210044E-4 | 1.0381429 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0011228074 | 0.001142785 | 1.0177925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013583499 | 0.013603227 | 1.0014523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12819089 | 0.12821706 | 1.000204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.5748406E-4 | 2.674815E-4 | 1.0388273 | 1.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0011030318 | 0.0011230097 | 1.0181118 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.013346175 | 0.0133659085 | 1.0014786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12622297 | 0.12624918 | 1.0002077 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.55737E-4 | 2.6573442E-4 | 1.0390927 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.001095552 | 0.00111553 | 1.0182357 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.013256339 | 0.013276074 | 1.0014887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12546183 | 0.12548806 | 1.0002091 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.4694356E-4 | 2.569411E-4 | 1.040485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010579025 | 0.0010778813 | 1.0188854 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012804469 | 0.012824213 | 1.001542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.121591106 | 0.12161746 | 1.0002167 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.3552067E-4 | 2.455183E-4 | 1.0424491 | 1.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 0.0010089859 | 0.0010289657 | 1.0198019 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.012215753 | 0.012235508 | 1.0016172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11645872 | 0.11648523 | 1.0002276 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.7352395E-4 | 1.835222E-4 | 1.057619 | 1.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.43463E-4 | 7.6344813E-4 | 1.0268811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0090143215 | 0.009034142 | 1.0021987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.088535435 | 0.08856278 | 1.0003089 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.5637188E-4 | 1.6637032E-4 | 1.0639402 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.6999387E-4 | 6.8998046E-4 | 1.029831 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.008126856 | 0.008146694 | 1.0024409 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.08028325 | 0.08031084 | 1.0003437 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.374839E-4 | 1.4748253E-4 | 1.0727258 | 1.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.8908435E-4 | 6.0907257E-4 | 1.033931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.007148667 | 0.007168524 | 1.0027777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.070948064 | 0.07097594 | 1.0003928 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.2641517E-4 | 1.364139E-4 | 1.0790944 | 1.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.4166745E-4 | 5.616566E-4 | 1.036903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.0065749944 | 0.006594863 | 1.0030218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.065509886 | 0.06553792 | 1.000428 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.843765E-5 | 1.0843667E-4 | 1.1015772 | 1.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 4.2180755E-4 | 4.417991E-4 | 1.047395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0051234392 | 0.005143337 | 1.0038836 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.051860932 | 0.051889375 | 1.0005485 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 9.075313E-5 | 9.075313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.888841E-4 | 3.9888022E-4 | 1.0257046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0047244076 | 0.00473436 | 1.0021067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.047779474 | 0.047798518 | 1.0003986 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 7.397187E-5 | 7.397187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 3.169838E-4 | 3.2698063E-4 | 1.0315373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003852454 | 0.0038624154 | 1.0025858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.03934361 | 0.039362825 | 1.0004884 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.857324E-5 | 6.857324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.938522E-4 | 3.0384926E-4 | 1.0340207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003571786 | 0.0035817502 | 1.0027897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03648558 | 0.03650485 | 1.0005282 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.6112553E-5 | 5.6112553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.4046021E-4 | 2.5045782E-4 | 1.0415769 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0029236753 | 0.002933646 | 1.0034103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.02994681 | 0.029966211 | 1.0006479 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.557978E-5 | 3.557978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.5247586E-4 | 1.6247433E-4 | 1.0655742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0018548139 | 0.0018647953 | 1.0053813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.019304756 | 0.01932437 | 1.001016 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 2.0177335E-5 | 2.0177335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 8.647143E-5 | 9.647057E-5 | 1.1156352 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 0.0010522819 | 0.0010622714 | 1.0094931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.011241556 | 0.011261332 | 1.0017592 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Fickle Hill (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.491893E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 5.839797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3536471E-5 | 2.5027473E-5 | 3.5027224E-5 | 1.3995509 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8651886E-4 | 3.0466914E-4 | 3.2466307E-4 | 1.065625 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028614972 | 0.0030427396 | 0.003082618 | 1.013106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.2207747E-6 | 5.5581295E-6 | 5.5581295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2374557E-5 | 2.382035E-5 | 3.3820113E-5 | 1.4197991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7237617E-4 | 2.899764E-4 | 3.0997058E-4 | 1.0689511 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027204256 | 0.002896199 | 0.0029360831 | 1.0137712 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.2186956E-6 | 5.5559462E-6 | 5.5559462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2365646E-5 | 2.3810993E-5 | 3.3810753E-5 | 1.4199641 | 1.0E-5 | 2.722677E-4 | 2.8986248E-4 | 3.0985667E-4 | 1.0689782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027193436 | 0.0028950628 | 0.0029349471 | 1.0137767 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.403045E-6 | 4.709735E-6 | 4.709735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8870056E-5 | 2.018443E-5 | 3.0184228E-5 | 1.4954214 | 1.0E-5 | 2.297187E-4 | 2.4571904E-4 | 2.6571413E-4 | 1.0813738 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022948137 | 0.0024546043 | 0.002494506 | 1.0162559 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5911396E-6 | 3.8576886E-6 | 3.8576886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5390508E-5 | 1.6532851E-5 | 2.6532687E-5 | 1.6048464 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8736332E-4 | 2.0126962E-4 | 2.212656E-4 | 1.0993491 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018720542 | 0.002010947 | 0.0020508666 | 1.0198511 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.888171E-6 | 3.122683E-6 | 3.122683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2377816E-5 | 1.338286E-5 | 2.3382725E-5 | 1.7472144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5068949E-4 | 1.6292438E-4 | 1.8292113E-4 | 1.1227363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015058735 | 0.0016280742 | 0.0016680091 | 1.0245289 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.275019E-6 | 2.4747176E-6 | 2.4747176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.750045E-6 | 1.060589E-5 | 2.0605783E-5 | 1.9428623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1870033E-4 | 1.291192E-4 | 1.3911791E-4 | 1.0774378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011863695 | 0.0012904558 | 0.00131043 | 1.0154784 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.076662E-6 | 2.2643483E-6 | 2.2643483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8999495E-6 | 9.704315E-6 | 1.9704217E-5 | 2.0304594 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08351494E-4 | 1.18143755E-4 | 1.2814258E-4 | 1.0846326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010829868 | 0.0011808226 | 0.001200799 | 1.0169173 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6450799E-6 | 1.8009192E-6 | 1.8009192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0503233E-6 | 7.718203E-6 | 1.7718125E-5 | 2.2956285 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5834305E-5 | 9.396514E-5 | 1.039642E-4 | 1.1064124 | 1.0E-5 | 8.580116E-4 | 9.3926187E-4 | 9.4925246E-4 | 1.0106367 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.168891E-6 | 1.2870464E-6 | 1.2870464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.009523E-6 | 5.5159016E-6 | 1.5515847E-5 | 2.8129303 | 1.0E-5 | 6.098924E-5 | 6.715409E-5 | 7.715342E-5 | 1.1489012 | 1.0E-5 | 6.09725E-4 | 6.7134365E-4 | 6.813369E-4 | 1.0148855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.9871026E-7 | 4.4426582E-7 | 4.4426582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.708757E-6 | 1.903995E-6 | 1.903995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0803918E-5 | 2.31809E-5 | 2.31809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0801972E-4 | 2.3178569E-4 | 2.3178569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14295965E-7 | 1.2897272E-7 | 1.2897272E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8983975E-7 | 5.5274006E-7 | 5.5274006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9637828E-6 | 6.7295914E-6 | 6.7295914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9636226E-5 | 6.729403E-5 | 6.729403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.6893855E-6 | 1.0187055E-5 | 4.0186747E-5 | 3.944884 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1525276E-5 | 4.3658187E-5 | 7.3656876E-5 | 1.6871264 | 3.0E-5 | 5.05453E-4 | 5.31429E-4 | 5.6141306E-4 | 1.0564215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050430484 | 0.005303576 | 0.005343364 | 1.0075021 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.456634E-6 | 2.8456465E-5 | 3.3649874 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.6242316E-5 | 5.624159E-5 | 1.5518211 | 2.0E-5 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.4117979E-4 | 4.6117094E-4 | 1.045313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004186971 | 0.0044048973 | 0.004424809 | 1.0045204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.4489653E-6 | 3.4489653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.4781218E-5 | 1.4781218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.7995032E-4 | 1.7995032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0017984246 | 0.0017984246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.03151E-6 | 2.03151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 8.706456E-6 | 8.706456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.05998595E-4 | 1.05998595E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0010597397 | 0.0010597397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.3799986E-6 | 1.3799986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 5.91428E-6 | 5.91428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.2006354E-5 | 7.2006354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.200636E-4 | 7.200636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Almanor 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.1235038E-5 | 5.779442E-5 | 7.7793266E-5 | 1.3460342 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1956026E-4 | 2.476706E-4 | 2.6766566E-4 | 1.0807325 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026698692 | 0.0030118132 | 0.0030417228 | 1.0099307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026380196 | 0.029768253 | 0.029797358 | 1.0009778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.779442E-5 | 7.7793266E-5 | 1.3460342 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.476706E-4 | 2.6766566E-4 | 1.0807325 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0030118132 | 0.0030417228 | 1.0099307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022894967 | 0.029768253 | 0.029797358 | 1.0009778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.779442E-5 | 7.7793266E-5 | 1.3460342 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.476706E-4 | 2.6766566E-4 | 1.0807325 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0030118132 | 0.0030417228 | 1.0099307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022894967 | 0.029768253 | 0.029797358 | 1.0009778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9523822E-5 | 3.8357233E-5 | 3.8357233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2652454E-4 | 1.6438033E-4 | 1.7437867E-4 | 1.0608245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015393476 | 0.0019999102 | 0.0020198703 | 1.0099804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015287281 | 0.019859154 | 0.019878756 | 1.000987 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0512744E-5 | 2.6595782E-5 | 2.6595782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.79088E-5 | 1.1397904E-4 | 1.1397904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001069764 | 0.0013871702 | 0.0013971563 | 1.0071989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010646289 | 0.01381912 | 0.013828982 | 1.0007136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6750226E-5 | 2.1669928E-5 | 2.1669928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.178471E-5 | 9.2869996E-5 | 9.2869996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7362836E-4 | 0.0011304591 | 0.0011404479 | 1.0088359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008702018 | 0.0112807695 | 0.011290656 | 1.0008764 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4745303E-5 | 1.90629E-5 | 1.90629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.319262E-5 | 8.169774E-5 | 8.169774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.690986E-4 | 9.945714E-4 | 9.945714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076644225 | 0.009935062 | 0.009935062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.951145E-7 | 1.1491123E-6 | 1.1491123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26477E-6 | 4.9247587E-6 | 4.9247587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1922336E-5 | 5.995746E-5 | 5.995746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1910203E-4 | 5.994297E-4 | 5.994297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.866312E-7 | 6.778665E-7 | 6.778665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141312E-6 | 2.9051396E-6 | 2.9051396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0609117E-5 | 3.536963E-5 | 3.536963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.06049E-4 | 3.5365258E-4 | 3.5365258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Likely 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7072876E-5 | 3.7072605E-5 | 1.3693634 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1602171E-4 | 1.2602055E-4 | 1.0861808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014116932 | 0.001421679 | 1.0070736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.014031882 | 0.014071321 | 1.0028106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7072876E-5 | 3.7072605E-5 | 1.3693634 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1602171E-4 | 1.2602055E-4 | 1.0861808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014116932 | 0.001421679 | 1.0070736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.014031882 | 0.014071321 | 1.0028106 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6375941E-5 | 1.7460006E-5 | 2.7459831E-5 | 1.5727274 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0180715E-5 | 7.482652E-5 | 8.482577E-5 | 1.1336324 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5411523E-4 | 9.1064436E-4 | 9.2063524E-4 | 1.0109712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008508399 | 0.00907041 | 0.009100138 | 1.0032774 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1945543E-5 | 1.2713165E-5 | 2.2713039E-5 | 1.7865762 | 1.0E-5 | 5.119418E-5 | 5.4483888E-5 | 6.448334E-5 | 1.1835304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2311086E-4 | 6.6314475E-4 | 6.731381E-4 | 1.0150697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062136655 | 0.0066122133 | 0.0066320812 | 1.0030047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.192729E-6 | 9.7710445E-6 | 1.9770947E-5 | 2.023422 | 1.0E-5 | 3.939681E-5 | 4.1875246E-5 | 5.1874827E-5 | 1.2387946 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7955062E-4 | 5.097146E-4 | 5.197095E-4 | 1.0196089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004785171 | 0.005085736 | 0.0050956854 | 1.0019562 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.67906E-6 | 8.155723E-6 | 1.815564E-5 | 2.2261229 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2909844E-5 | 3.4952638E-5 | 4.495229E-5 | 1.2860914 | 1.0E-5 | 4.006037E-4 | 4.2546718E-4 | 4.3546292E-4 | 1.0234935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039988225 | 0.004246719 | 0.0042566764 | 1.0023447 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.4884057E-6 | 6.8878385E-6 | 1.688777E-5 | 2.4518242 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7807157E-5 | 2.9518982E-5 | 3.9518687E-5 | 1.338755 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3849955E-4 | 3.5933577E-4 | 3.6933218E-4 | 1.0278192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003379844 | 0.0035876923 | 0.0035976563 | 1.0027773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6060636E-6 | 4.8866254E-6 | 1.48865765E-5 | 3.046392 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9740122E-5 | 2.0942516E-5 | 3.094231E-5 | 1.4774876 | 1.0E-5 | 2.403095E-4 | 2.5494612E-4 | 2.6494358E-4 | 1.039214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002400498 | 0.0025466196 | 0.002556594 | 1.0039167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2795615E-6 | 3.4792931E-6 | 3.4792931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4055187E-5 | 1.4911175E-5 | 1.4911175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7110848E-4 | 1.8152899E-4 | 1.8152899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017097679 | 0.0018138624 | 0.0018138624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.3289967E-6 | 2.471857E-6 | 2.471857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.981376E-6 | 1.0593632E-5 | 1.0593632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151648E-4 | 1.2897028E-4 | 1.2897028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012145005 | 0.0012889972 | 0.0012889972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.211292E-6 | 1.2869215E-6 | 1.2869215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1912407E-6 | 5.515368E-6 | 5.515368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.320152E-5 | 6.7147834E-5 | 6.7147834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3183554E-4 | 6.7130534E-4 | 6.7130534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.1222573E-4 | 2.1222573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 9.0922206E-4 | 9.1921294E-4 | 1.0109884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0110137565 | 0.011033536 | 1.0017959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10624548 | 0.10627229 | 1.0002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.1222573E-4 | 2.1222573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 9.0922206E-4 | 9.1921294E-4 | 1.0109884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0110137565 | 0.011033536 | 1.0017959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10624548 | 0.10627229 | 1.0002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.1222573E-4 | 2.1222573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 9.0922206E-4 | 9.1921294E-4 | 1.0109884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0110137565 | 0.011033536 | 1.0017959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10624548 | 0.10627229 | 1.0002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.1222573E-4 | 2.1222573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 9.0922206E-4 | 9.1921294E-4 | 1.0109884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0110137565 | 0.011033536 | 1.0017959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10624548 | 0.10627229 | 1.0002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 2.1222573E-4 | 2.1222573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2326056E-4 | 9.0922206E-4 | 9.1921294E-4 | 1.0109884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0110137565 | 0.011033536 | 1.0017959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05023708 | 0.10624548 | 0.10627229 | 1.0002524 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 2.1195605E-4 | 2.1195605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 9.080671E-4 | 9.18058E-4 | 1.0110024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010999837 | 0.011019616 | 1.0017982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.106121376 | 0.10614819 | 1.0002527 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 2.1195605E-4 | 2.1195605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2256617E-4 | 9.080671E-4 | 9.18058E-4 | 1.0110024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010999837 | 0.011019616 | 1.0017982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050156746 | 0.106121376 | 0.10614819 | 1.0002527 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 2.1185279E-4 | 2.1185279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.223004E-4 | 9.076248E-4 | 9.176157E-4 | 1.0110078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010994506 | 0.011014286 | 1.0017991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050125998 | 0.106073834 | 0.106100656 | 1.0002528 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 2.117009E-4 | 2.117009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219245E-4 | 9.069743E-4 | 9.1696525E-4 | 1.0110157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010986666 | 0.011006447 | 1.0018004 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05008251 | 0.106002875 | 0.10602969 | 1.000253 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 2.1137476E-4 | 2.1137476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2103877E-4 | 9.0557756E-4 | 9.155685E-4 | 1.0110327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010969833 | 0.010989613 | 1.0018032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049980022 | 0.10585049 | 0.10587732 | 1.0002534 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 2.10679E-4 | 2.10679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1913814E-4 | 9.025978E-4 | 9.125888E-4 | 1.0110692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005091073 | 0.010933919 | 0.0109537 | 1.0018091 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04976007 | 0.1055254 | 0.105552234 | 1.0002543 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 2.0968197E-4 | 2.0968197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.9832774E-4 | 9.0831873E-4 | 1.0111217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005055068 | 0.010882451 | 0.010902233 | 1.0018178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04941613 | 0.105059296 | 0.10508614 | 1.0002556 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 2.08981E-4 | 2.08981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.953257E-4 | 9.0531673E-4 | 1.0111591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050299936 | 0.010846266 | 0.010866049 | 1.0018239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.049176537 | 0.10473146 | 0.10475832 | 1.0002564 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 2.084884E-4 | 2.084884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.9321594E-4 | 9.03207E-4 | 1.0111855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050112694 | 0.010820835 | 0.010840619 | 1.0018283 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04899759 | 0.10449878 | 0.10452564 | 1.0002571 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 2.078591E-4 | 2.078591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.905208E-4 | 9.005119E-4 | 1.0112194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049933824 | 0.010788348 | 0.010808132 | 1.0018338 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04882661 | 0.10420838 | 0.104235254 | 1.0002578 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 2.072952E-4 | 2.072952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.881058E-4 | 8.980969E-4 | 1.0112499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049769743 | 0.010759235 | 0.010779019 | 1.0018389 | 2.0E-5 | 0.048669744 | 0.10394655 | 0.10397343 | 1.0002586 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 2.036521E-4 | 2.036521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0357444E-4 | 8.72503E-4 | 8.8249426E-4 | 1.0114512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004902454 | 0.01057113 | 0.010590917 | 1.001872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047957025 | 0.102274634 | 0.10230156 | 1.0002633 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.7697424E-4 | 1.7697424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.582406E-4 | 7.6823303E-4 | 1.0131785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00427079 | 0.009192582 | 0.009212399 | 1.0021557 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04189639 | 0.08968369 | 0.089711 | 1.0003045 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.6043574E-4 | 1.6043574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.874006E-4 | 6.973937E-4 | 1.0145376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003794643 | 0.008337044 | 0.008356878 | 1.002379 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037304975 | 0.08157124 | 0.081598796 | 1.0003377 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.1124899E-4 | 1.1124899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.766943E-4 | 4.8668953E-4 | 1.0209678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0057883244 | 0.0057982667 | 1.0017176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02772022 | 0.05743877 | 0.05745762 | 1.0003282 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 6.06362E-5 | 6.06362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.5984357E-4 | 2.6984097E-4 | 1.0384747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0031590085 | 0.0031689769 | 1.0031556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.032047633 | 0.032066993 | 1.000604 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 2.2430102E-5 | 2.2430102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 9.612547E-5 | 1.0612451E-4 | 1.1040207 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0011697002 | 0.0011796885 | 1.0085392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.012424265 | 0.0124440165 | 1.0015898 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4793655E-5 | 6.1131075E-5 | 6.1131075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.6196404E-4 | 2.7196144E-4 | 1.0381632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002334592 | 0.0031846713 | 0.0031946395 | 1.0031301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023102175 | 0.031383708 | 0.031412765 | 1.0009259 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4793655E-5 | 6.1131075E-5 | 6.1131075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.6196404E-4 | 2.7196144E-4 | 1.0381632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002334592 | 0.0031846713 | 0.0031946395 | 1.0031301 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023102175 | 0.031383708 | 0.031412765 | 1.0009259 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.103773E-5 | 6.103773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6156407E-4 | 2.7156147E-4 | 1.0382216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023310026 | 0.003179816 | 0.0031897842 | 1.0031348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02306703 | 0.031336572 | 0.03136563 | 1.0009273 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.103773E-5 | 6.103773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6156407E-4 | 2.7156147E-4 | 1.0382216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023310026 | 0.003179816 | 0.0031897842 | 1.0031348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02306703 | 0.031336572 | 0.03136563 | 1.0009273 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.422408E-5 | 5.422408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3236795E-4 | 2.3236795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020850603 | 0.0028253626 | 0.0028253626 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02065605 | 0.027889932 | 0.027909374 | 1.0006971 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.1401796E-5 | 5.1401796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.202745E-4 | 2.202745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026785235 | 0.0026785235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019649856 | 0.026459903 | 0.026479373 | 1.0007359 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.926883E-5 | 4.926883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.1113471E-4 | 2.1113471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0025675322 | 0.0025675322 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018884527 | 0.025377722 | 0.025397215 | 1.0007681 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.527573E-5 | 4.527573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.9402453E-4 | 1.9402453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0023597102 | 0.0023597102 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017441148 | 0.023347544 | 0.023367077 | 1.0008366 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.9529135E-5 | 3.9529135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.693995E-4 | 1.693995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015459227 | 0.00206048 | 0.00206048 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015352124 | 0.020411614 | 0.020431206 | 1.0009599 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.7928592E-5 | 3.7928592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6254095E-4 | 1.6254095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019771466 | 0.0019771466 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014816469 | 0.019595206 | 0.019614814 | 1.0010006 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.517231E-5 | 3.517231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.507298E-4 | 1.507298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013920115 | 0.001833599 | 0.001833599 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013833242 | 0.01818525 | 0.018204886 | 1.0010798 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.2100615E-5 | 3.2100615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3756687E-4 | 1.3756687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016735988 | 0.0016735988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733897 | 0.016611312 | 0.01663098 | 1.001184 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9897925E-5 | 2.9897925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.2812772E-4 | 1.2812772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011971919 | 0.001558848 | 0.001558848 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011907627 | 0.015480605 | 0.015500295 | 1.001272 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.7594764E-5 | 2.7594764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.18257965E-4 | 1.18257965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014388487 | 0.0014388487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011030397 | 0.014296637 | 0.014316351 | 1.0013789 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.4342193E-5 | 2.4342193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.0431956E-4 | 1.0431956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0012693582 | 0.0012693582 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009753612 | 0.012622166 | 0.012641914 | 1.0015645 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.229762E-5 | 2.229762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.555777E-5 | 9.555777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011628023 | 0.0011628023 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008959615 | 0.011568075 | 0.011587843 | 1.0017089 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.3741055E-5 | 1.3741055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.8888923E-5 | 5.8888923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.167395E-4 | 7.167395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055435603 | 0.0071445284 | 0.0071544573 | 1.0013896 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.101803E-6 | 4.101803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.7579037E-5 | 1.7579037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.1400391E-4 | 2.1400391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017132863 | 0.0021379527 | 0.0021379527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 5.9979544E-7 | 5.9979544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5705494E-6 | 2.5705494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.1296E-5 | 3.1296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.705359E-4 | 3.1291615E-4 | 3.1291615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0011220616 | 0.0011320504 | 1.0089022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.013576092 | 0.013595821 | 1.0014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1284235 | 0.12844965 | 1.0002036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0011220616 | 0.0011320504 | 1.0089022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.013576092 | 0.013595821 | 1.0014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1284235 | 0.12844965 | 1.0002036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0011220616 | 0.0011320504 | 1.0089022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.013576092 | 0.013595821 | 1.0014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1284235 | 0.12844965 | 1.0002036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0011220616 | 0.0011320504 | 1.0089022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.013576092 | 0.013595821 | 1.0014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1284235 | 0.12844965 | 1.0002036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 2.6192665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0011220616 | 0.0011320504 | 1.0089022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.013576092 | 0.013595821 | 1.0014532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.1284235 | 0.12844965 | 1.0002036 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.5500992E-4 | 2.5500992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010924436 | 0.0011024327 | 1.0091438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.013219911 | 0.013239646 | 1.0014929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.12538035 | 0.1254066 | 1.0002093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.5500992E-4 | 2.5500992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010924436 | 0.0011024327 | 1.0091438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.013219911 | 0.013239646 | 1.0014929 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.12538035 | 0.1254066 | 1.0002093 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.5186938E-4 | 2.5186938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010789953 | 0.0010889845 | 1.0092579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.013058149 | 0.013077888 | 1.0015116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.12399138 | 0.124017656 | 1.000212 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.508593E-4 | 2.508593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 0.00107467 | 0.0010846592 | 1.0092952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.013006118 | 0.013025858 | 1.0015178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.123544335 | 0.12357063 | 1.0002128 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.4974826E-4 | 2.4974826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 0.0010699123 | 0.0010799016 | 1.0093366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012948884 | 0.012968625 | 1.0015246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.12305109 | 0.1230774 | 1.0002137 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.487242E-4 | 2.487242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 0.001065527 | 0.0010755163 | 1.009375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.012896126 | 0.012915868 | 1.0015309 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.12259478 | 0.122621104 | 1.0002147 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.3333203E-4 | 2.3333203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.996123E-4 | 0.0010096023 | 1.0099939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.01210274 | 0.012122498 | 1.0016326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.11572233 | 0.11574886 | 1.0002292 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.2721881E-4 | 2.2721881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.734326E-4 | 9.834229E-4 | 1.010263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.011787493 | 0.011797375 | 1.0008384 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.112975486 | 0.112993225 | 1.000157 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.2167654E-4 | 2.2167654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 9.496975E-4 | 9.5968804E-4 | 1.0105196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.011501606 | 0.011511491 | 1.0008595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.11045741 | 0.110475205 | 1.000161 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 2.15069E-4 | 2.15069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 9.213997E-4 | 9.3139044E-4 | 1.010843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.011160651 | 0.011170539 | 1.000886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10745289 | 0.10747074 | 1.0001662 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.7660281E-4 | 1.7660281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 7.566498E-4 | 7.666423E-4 | 1.0132061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0091734035 | 0.009183312 | 1.0010802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.089644596 | 0.089662805 | 1.0002031 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.729738E-4 | 1.729738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 7.411059E-4 | 7.5109844E-4 | 1.0134834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008985733 | 0.008995642 | 1.0011029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08792942 | 0.08794766 | 1.0002074 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.4697367E-4 | 1.4697367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 6.297352E-4 | 6.397289E-4 | 1.0158697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0076401182 | 0.007650042 | 1.0012989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.07543933 | 0.07545782 | 1.0002451 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.3507706E-4 | 1.3507706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.7877327E-4 | 5.8876746E-4 | 1.017268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0070238323 | 0.007033762 | 1.0014137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06944674 | 0.069465354 | 1.000268 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 9.8466575E-5 | 9.8466575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 4.2193139E-4 | 4.3192715E-4 | 1.0236906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0051249256 | 0.0051348745 | 1.0019412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.051138733 | 0.05115771 | 1.0003711 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.8334856E-5 | 5.8334856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.4998258E-4 | 2.599801E-4 | 1.0399928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.0030392925 | 0.0030492623 | 1.0032803 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.030897832 | 0.030917212 | 1.0006273 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 2.2209455E-5 | 2.2209455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 9.5179916E-5 | 1.0517896E-4 | 1.1050541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0011582002 | 0.0011681886 | 1.0086241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.0123264985 | 0.012346252 | 1.0016025 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2226405E-4 | 0.0011466291 | 0.0011566177 | 1.0087112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063400427 | 0.013871429 | 0.013891151 | 1.0014218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.061621845 | 0.13085876 | 0.13088484 | 1.0001992 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2226405E-4 | 0.0011466291 | 0.0011566177 | 1.0087112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063400427 | 0.013871429 | 0.013891151 | 1.0014218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.061621845 | 0.13085876 | 0.13088484 | 1.0001992 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 2.6766403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2226405E-4 | 0.0011466291 | 0.0011566177 | 1.0087112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063400427 | 0.013871429 | 0.013891151 | 1.0014218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.061621845 | 0.13085876 | 0.13088484 | 1.0001992 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.6678774E-4 | 2.6678774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0011428767 | 0.0011528654 | 1.0087398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.013826326 | 0.013846048 | 1.0014265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.13047478 | 0.13050085 | 1.0001999 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.6172932E-4 | 2.6172932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0011212166 | 0.0011312054 | 1.0089089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.013565923 | 0.013585651 | 1.0014542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12824573 | 0.12827188 | 1.000204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.5961763E-4 | 2.5961763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0011121742 | 0.0011221631 | 1.0089813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.013457195 | 0.013476925 | 1.0014662 | 2.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12730679 | 0.12733297 | 1.0002056 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.5274933E-4 | 2.5274933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010827634 | 0.0010927526 | 1.0092256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.013103477 | 0.013123215 | 1.0015063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.12425832 | 0.12428459 | 1.0002115 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.5118623E-4 | 2.5118623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.00107607 | 0.0010860593 | 1.0092831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.013022962 | 0.013042701 | 1.0015157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.12356527 | 0.123591565 | 1.0002128 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.500541E-4 | 2.500541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 0.0010712219 | 0.0010812111 | 1.0093251 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012964641 | 0.012984381 | 1.0015227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.123062514 | 0.12308882 | 1.0002137 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.4851094E-4 | 2.4851094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 0.0010646138 | 0.0010746032 | 1.0093831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.012885142 | 0.012904884 | 1.0015322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.12237626 | 0.12240259 | 1.0002152 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.4469238E-4 | 2.4469238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 0.0010482618 | 0.0010582512 | 1.0095296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.012688392 | 0.012708138 | 1.0015563 | 2.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.12067192 | 0.1206983 | 1.0002186 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.2227397E-4 | 2.2227397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 9.522561E-4 | 9.6224656E-4 | 1.0104914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.011532432 | 0.011552202 | 1.0017142 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.11060014 | 0.110626824 | 1.0002413 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.1718114E-4 | 2.1718114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 9.304454E-4 | 9.4043603E-4 | 1.0107375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.011269663 | 0.011279551 | 1.0008774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10830672 | 0.10832456 | 1.0001646 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 2.1124746E-4 | 2.1124746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 9.0503326E-4 | 9.150242E-4 | 1.0110394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010963426 | 0.010973317 | 1.0009022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.10560088 | 0.10561877 | 1.0001694 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 2.0465828E-4 | 2.0465828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.7681314E-4 | 8.8680437E-4 | 1.011395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.010623239 | 0.010633132 | 1.0009314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.10258936 | 0.10260731 | 1.000175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.663469E-4 | 1.663469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 7.1272074E-4 | 7.227136E-4 | 1.0140208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.008642941 | 0.008652855 | 1.001147 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.08475832 | 0.084776625 | 1.000216 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.6278723E-4 | 1.6278723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.9747324E-4 | 7.074663E-4 | 1.0143275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.008458759 | 0.0084686745 | 1.0011722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.08306736 | 0.0830857 | 1.0002208 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.3690679E-4 | 1.3690679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.866115E-4 | 5.9660565E-4 | 1.017037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.007118644 | 0.007128573 | 1.0013947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.07056905 | 0.07058764 | 1.0002635 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.2651176E-4 | 1.2651176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 5.4208067E-4 | 5.520752E-4 | 1.0184374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0065798895 | 0.0065898234 | 1.0015098 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.06528045 | 0.065299146 | 1.0002863 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 9.3523035E-5 | 9.3523035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 4.0075145E-4 | 4.1074742E-4 | 1.0249431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004868243 | 0.004878194 | 1.0020441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.048698463 | 0.04871749 | 1.0003906 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.683223E-5 | 5.683223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.4354397E-4 | 2.5354154E-4 | 1.0410503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0029611182 | 0.0029710887 | 1.0033671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.030133892 | 0.030153288 | 1.0006437 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 2.2209682E-5 | 2.2209682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 9.518089E-5 | 1.0517993E-4 | 1.1050531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0011582121 | 0.0011682005 | 1.008624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.012326649 | 0.012346403 | 1.0016025 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Davis Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4540828E-5 | 1.0971184E-5 | 2.0971074E-5 | 1.9114686 | 1.0E-5 | 6.231634E-5 | 4.7018653E-5 | 5.7018184E-5 | 1.2126715 | 1.0E-5 | 7.584374E-4 | 5.723272E-4 | 6.0231E-4 | 1.0523876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007558541 | 0.0057110363 | 0.005740865 | 1.005223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0407654E-5 | 1.0971184E-5 | 2.0971074E-5 | 1.9114686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4603472E-5 | 4.7018653E-5 | 5.7018184E-5 | 1.2126715 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4291193E-4 | 5.723272E-4 | 6.0231E-4 | 1.0523876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054158745 | 0.0057110363 | 0.005740865 | 1.005223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0407654E-5 | 1.0971184E-5 | 2.0971074E-5 | 1.9114686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4603472E-5 | 4.7018653E-5 | 5.7018184E-5 | 1.2126715 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4291193E-4 | 5.723272E-4 | 6.0231E-4 | 1.0523876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054158745 | 0.0057110363 | 0.005740865 | 1.005223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.1323277E-6 | 5.4078764E-6 | 1.5407823E-5 | 2.8491447 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1995505E-5 | 2.3176453E-5 | 3.317622E-5 | 1.4314624 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6776237E-4 | 2.821449E-4 | 3.1213643E-4 | 1.1062983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026743996 | 0.0028186627 | 0.0028485782 | 1.0106133 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4985154E-6 | 2.6252167E-6 | 1.2625191E-5 | 4.8091993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.07078795E-5 | 1.1250899E-5 | 2.1250788E-5 | 1.8888079 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3036063E-4 | 1.3697447E-4 | 1.5697173E-4 | 1.1459926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013028418 | 0.0013692325 | 0.0013892052 | 1.0145867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4846438E-6 | 2.6111702E-6 | 1.26111445E-5 | 4.8296905 | 1.0E-5 | 1.064843E-5 | 1.1190701E-5 | 2.119059E-5 | 1.893589 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2963692E-4 | 1.3624165E-4 | 1.5623892E-4 | 1.146778 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012956132 | 0.0013619134 | 0.0013818861 | 1.0146652 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.072566E-7 | 2.0975617E-7 | 2.0975617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882423E-7 | 8.9895474E-7 | 8.9895474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0814296E-5 | 1.0944721E-5 | 1.0944721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.081377E-4 | 1.09442E-4 | 1.09442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7544528E-7 | 1.7753672E-7 | 1.7753672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5190815E-7 | 7.6087144E-7 | 7.6087144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.154443E-6 | 9.263572E-6 | 9.263572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1540656E-5 | 9.263201E-5 | 9.263201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2320395E-7 | 1.2454997E-7 | 1.2454997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.280168E-7 | 5.337855E-7 | 5.337855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.428586E-6 | 6.4988203E-6 | 6.4988203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4284E-5 | 6.4986416E-5 | 6.4986416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.399997E-8 | 6.471263E-8 | 6.471263E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7428555E-7 | 2.773398E-7 | 2.773398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394215E-6 | 3.3766078E-6 | 3.3766078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3393713E-5 | 3.3765627E-5 | 3.3765627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.4455685E-9 | 6.5158368E-9 | 6.5158368E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7623864E-8 | 2.7925013E-8 | 2.7925013E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3632048E-7 | 3.3998705E-7 | 3.3998705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3631998E-6 | 3.3998704E-6 | 3.3998704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017158624 | 0.0017158624 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.017037032 | 0.017066522 | 1.0017309 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017158624 | 0.0017158624 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.017037032 | 0.017066522 | 1.0017309 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 3.2909946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.410356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017158624 | 0.0017158624 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015599402 | 0.017037032 | 0.017066522 | 1.0017309 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8386494E-5 | 1.8386494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8796984E-5 | 7.8796984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5894985E-4 | 9.5894985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009550056 | 0.009559961 | 1.0010371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8386494E-5 | 1.8386494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8796984E-5 | 7.8796984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5894985E-4 | 9.5894985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009550056 | 0.009559961 | 1.0010371 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3733125E-5 | 1.3733125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.885498E-5 | 5.885498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.163342E-4 | 7.163342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007141311 | 0.0071512396 | 1.0013903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3725202E-5 | 1.3725202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8821028E-5 | 5.8821028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.159211E-4 | 7.159211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066252467 | 0.0071372064 | 0.007147135 | 1.001391 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0916551E-5 | 1.0916551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6784422E-5 | 4.6784422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.694586E-4 | 5.694586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005287399 | 0.005680709 | 0.005680709 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.957577E-6 | 8.957577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.838908E-5 | 3.838908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6729253E-4 | 4.6729253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004347378 | 0.0046636676 | 0.0046636676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5517035E-6 | 5.5517035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3792818E-5 | 2.3792818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.896423E-4 | 2.896423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027063051 | 0.002892971 | 0.002892971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.6562677E-6 | 4.6562677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9955298E-5 | 1.9955298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.4293165E-4 | 2.4293165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022720827 | 0.0024269556 | 0.0024269556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2402038E-6 | 3.2402038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3886529E-5 | 1.3886529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6905801E-4 | 1.6905801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016895531 | 0.0016895531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.73843E-6 | 1.73843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.4504046E-6 | 7.4504046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.0706984E-5 | 9.0706984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.069035E-4 | 9.069035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.307053E-7 | 3.307053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4173075E-6 | 1.4173075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7255583E-5 | 1.7255583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7254254E-4 | 1.7254254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1111771E-7 | 2.1111771E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.0478983E-7 | 9.0478983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.1015761E-5 | 1.1015761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.10152185E-4 | 1.10152185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.07878364E-7 | 1.07878364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.6233578E-7 | 4.6233578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.6289236E-6 | 5.6289236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.6287823E-5 | 5.6287823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.417396E-8 | 3.417396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4645984E-7 | 1.4645984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.783147E-6 | 1.783147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.783133E-5 | 1.783133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.470025E-9 | 8.470025E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.6300104E-8 | 3.6300104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.419537E-7 | 4.419537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.4195285E-6 | 4.4195285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 8.371204E-10 | 8.371204E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.5876582E-9 | 3.5876582E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 4.3679737E-8 | 4.3679737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 4.3679734E-7 | 4.3679734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.0775226E-5 | 1.2812721E-4 | 1.4812464E-4 | 1.1560749 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0328715E-4 | 5.490006E-4 | 5.6898955E-4 | 1.0364099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00368627 | 0.0066635953 | 0.0066834623 | 1.0029814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.036257185 | 0.06458449 | 0.06461256 | 1.0004345 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.062078E-5 | 1.2812721E-4 | 1.4812464E-4 | 1.1560749 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0262535E-4 | 5.490006E-4 | 5.6898955E-4 | 1.0364099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00367824 | 0.0066635953 | 0.0066834623 | 1.0029814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03617951 | 0.06458449 | 0.06461256 | 1.0004345 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.035022E-5 | 1.2812721E-4 | 1.4812464E-4 | 1.1560749 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0146612E-4 | 5.490006E-4 | 5.6898955E-4 | 1.0364099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003664174 | 0.0066635953 | 0.0066834623 | 1.0029814 | 2.0E-5 | 0.036043428 | 0.06458449 | 0.06461256 | 1.0004345 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894245E-5 | 1.2572284E-4 | 1.4572032E-4 | 1.1590601 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9543418E-4 | 5.3870113E-4 | 5.5869034E-4 | 1.0371064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0035909796 | 0.0065390132 | 0.006558882 | 1.0030385 | 2.0E-5 | 0.035335038 | 0.063425235 | 0.06345333 | 1.000443 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.662423E-5 | 1.2169629E-4 | 1.4169386E-4 | 1.1643236 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8550113E-4 | 5.2145164E-4 | 5.414412E-4 | 1.0383345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034704367 | 0.0063302675 | 0.006350141 | 1.0031394 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034167375 | 0.06147925 | 0.061507408 | 1.000458 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.569133E-5 | 1.202903E-4 | 1.402879E-4 | 1.1662444 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8150392E-4 | 5.1542843E-4 | 5.354181E-4 | 1.0387827 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034219243 | 0.0062573715 | 0.0062772464 | 1.0031762 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03369709 | 0.060794957 | 0.060823135 | 1.0004635 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.156767E-4 | 1.3567439E-4 | 1.1728756 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6952647E-4 | 4.956635E-4 | 5.156536E-4 | 1.0403299 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032765474 | 0.006018088 | 0.0060379677 | 1.0033033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032286562 | 0.058551285 | 0.058579527 | 1.0004823 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1283379E-4 | 1.3283154E-4 | 1.1772319 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.8348415E-4 | 5.034745E-4 | 1.0413464 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031858748 | 0.005870614 | 0.005890497 | 1.0033869 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031405866 | 0.057164814 | 0.057193097 | 1.0004948 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.0947218E-4 | 1.2946999E-4 | 1.1826748 | 2.0E-5 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.690825E-4 | 4.890731E-4 | 1.0426164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030859804 | 0.005696204 | 0.00571609 | 1.0034912 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030434765 | 0.055516582 | 0.055544917 | 1.0005103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 1.0029929E-4 | 1.2029728E-4 | 1.1993833 | 2.0E-5 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.297836E-4 | 4.4977502E-4 | 1.046515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028153337 | 0.0052201296 | 0.0052400255 | 1.0038114 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027799325 | 0.051001772 | 0.051030245 | 1.0005583 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 8.934963E-5 | 9.934874E-5 | 1.1119099 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.8287108E-4 | 3.9286725E-4 | 1.0261085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025150678 | 0.004651549 | 0.0046615023 | 1.0021398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024867928 | 0.0455976 | 0.045607146 | 1.0002093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.565162E-5 | 7.565162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.2418114E-4 | 3.2418114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021003427 | 0.0039398023 | 0.0039398023 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02080602 | 0.038769644 | 0.038769644 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.8515063E-5 | 5.8515063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.5075485E-4 | 2.5075485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0030486896 | 0.0030486896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01602694 | 0.030181931 | 0.030181931 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.486404E-5 | 4.486404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.9226037E-4 | 1.9226037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012314644 | 0.0023382716 | 0.0023382716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0122466255 | 0.02323887 | 0.02323887 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.4572746E-5 | 3.4572746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.4816054E-4 | 1.4816054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.0018023726 | 0.0018023726 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009478063 | 0.017970717 | 0.017970717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.322448E-5 | 2.322448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3190768E-5 | 9.952972E-5 | 9.952972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0012111069 | 0.0012111069 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006455223 | 0.012119656 | 0.012119656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 8.365605E-6 | 8.365605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.5852107E-5 | 3.5852107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.364133E-4 | 4.364133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023333887 | 0.0043845195 | 0.0043845195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.742308E-7 | 3.742308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.6038454E-6 | 1.6038454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.9526642E-5 | 1.9526642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259195E-4 | 2.008016E-4 | 2.008016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 2.1508627E-7 | 2.1508627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 9.21798E-7 | 9.21798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 1.1222833E-5 | 1.1222833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.198066E-5 | 1.167796E-4 | 1.167796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 1.2786423E-7 | 1.2786423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 5.4798943E-7 | 5.4798943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 6.6717507E-6 | 6.6717507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9608427E-5 | 6.956494E-5 | 6.956494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 7.170961E-8 | 7.170961E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 3.0732684E-7 | 3.0732684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 3.741698E-6 | 3.741698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4930434E-5 | 3.8631675E-5 | 3.8631675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 9.767879E-9 | 9.767879E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 4.1862343E-8 | 4.1862343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 5.096739E-7 | 5.096739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286064E-6 | 5.2083656E-6 | 5.2083656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.6366934E-5 | 7.636627E-5 | 1.1506674 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.843995E-4 | 2.9439662E-4 | 1.0351518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034571048 | 0.0034670702 | 1.0028826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.034195833 | 0.03421515 | 1.0005648 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.6366934E-5 | 7.636627E-5 | 1.1506674 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.843995E-4 | 2.9439662E-4 | 1.0351518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034571048 | 0.0034670702 | 1.0028826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.034195833 | 0.03421515 | 1.0005648 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.6366934E-5 | 7.636627E-5 | 1.1506674 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.843995E-4 | 2.9439662E-4 | 1.0351518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034571048 | 0.0034670702 | 1.0028826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02421984 | 0.034195833 | 0.03421515 | 1.0005648 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.599515E-5 | 7.599449E-5 | 1.1515163 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.8280646E-4 | 2.9280363E-4 | 1.0353498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024347296 | 0.003437771 | 0.0034477366 | 1.0028988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024082264 | 0.03400817 | 0.03402749 | 1.0005682 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.535295E-5 | 7.535229E-5 | 1.1530052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.8005487E-4 | 2.9005206E-4 | 1.0356973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0034043833 | 0.0034143492 | 1.0029274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02385771 | 0.033685356 | 0.033704683 | 1.0005738 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.454879E-5 | 7.4548145E-5 | 1.1549115 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.766094E-4 | 2.8660664E-4 | 1.0361421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002382867 | 0.0033625741 | 0.0033725407 | 1.0029639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023574775 | 0.03328083 | 0.033300165 | 1.0005809 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.4197746E-5 | 7.41971E-5 | 1.1557587 | 1.0E-5 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.7510527E-4 | 2.8510252E-4 | 1.0363398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0033443177 | 0.0033542842 | 1.0029801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023457756 | 0.033104315 | 0.033123653 | 1.0005841 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.161944E-5 | 6.161893E-5 | 1.1937155 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.2120768E-4 | 2.3120547E-4 | 1.0451964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019293258 | 0.002689923 | 0.002699896 | 1.0037075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019126613 | 0.026744606 | 0.02676407 | 1.0007278 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.958753E-5 | 5.9587033E-5 | 1.2016536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.1250092E-4 | 2.224988E-4 | 1.0470486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025841743 | 0.0025941485 | 1.0038598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018365284 | 0.025710734 | 0.025720475 | 1.000379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.586554E-5 | 5.5865083E-5 | 1.2180187 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.9655204E-4 | 2.0655007E-4 | 1.0508671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023904392 | 0.0024004153 | 1.0041733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017044188 | 0.023812488 | 0.02382225 | 1.00041 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.8189886E-5 | 4.8189504E-5 | 1.2618394 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.6366086E-4 | 1.7365922E-4 | 1.061092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019907823 | 0.0020007624 | 1.0050131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01434065 | 0.019888183 | 0.019897984 | 1.0004928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.437728E-5 | 4.437694E-5 | 1.2908797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.4732307E-4 | 1.5732158E-4 | 1.067868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017922136 | 0.0018021958 | 1.0055697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0128157 | 0.017925996 | 0.017935818 | 1.0005479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.773603E-5 | 3.7735754E-5 | 1.3605318 | 1.0E-5 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.1886343E-4 | 1.2886224E-4 | 1.0841202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010299052 | 0.0014462267 | 0.0014562123 | 1.0069046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01025145 | 0.014508238 | 0.014518093 | 1.0006793 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.6418608E-5 | 2.6418442E-5 | 1.609055 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9729337E-5 | 7.036365E-5 | 8.0362945E-5 | 1.1421088 | 1.0E-5 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.5635594E-4 | 8.663474E-4 | 1.0116674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060364045 | 0.0086255595 | 0.008635473 | 1.0011493 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 6.331721E-6 | 1.6331658E-5 | 2.5793395 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.7135666E-5 | 3.7135396E-5 | 1.3685087 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.3032685E-4 | 3.4032355E-4 | 1.0302631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0033497936 | 0.00335976 | 1.0029752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.409367E-6 | 1.4409323E-5 | 3.2678893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.8897152E-5 | 2.8896962E-5 | 1.5291703 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.3004864E-4 | 2.4004633E-4 | 1.043459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0023476898 | 0.0023576661 | 1.0042495 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 3.0256938E-6 | 3.0256938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.2967195E-5 | 1.2967195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.5786426E-4 | 1.5786426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0016265649 | 0.0016265649 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 2.2646088E-6 | 2.2646088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 9.70543E-6 | 9.70543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.1815723E-4 | 1.1815723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.0012288475 | 0.0012288475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.7080067E-6 | 1.7080067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 7.3200085E-6 | 7.3200085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 8.911748E-5 | 8.911748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.926005E-4 | 9.290061E-4 | 9.290061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.232936E-6 | 1.232936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 5.284001E-6 | 5.284001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 6.433082E-5 | 6.433082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 6.6799833E-4 | 6.6799833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 6.369273E-7 | 6.369273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.7296855E-6 | 2.7296855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 3.323342E-5 | 3.323342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 3.4158104E-4 | 3.4158104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 3.037034E-7 | 3.037034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.3015853E-6 | 1.3015853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.5846688E-5 | 1.5846688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.6343492E-4 | 1.6343492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6663634E-6 | 1.5666306E-5 | 2.7647903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4284203E-5 | 3.4283963E-5 | 1.4117804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.956228E-4 | 3.156169E-4 | 1.0676337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.002952565 | 0.002972506 | 1.0067538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6663634E-6 | 1.5666306E-5 | 2.7647903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4284203E-5 | 3.4283963E-5 | 1.4117804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.956228E-4 | 3.156169E-4 | 1.0676337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.002952565 | 0.002972506 | 1.0067538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6663634E-6 | 1.5666306E-5 | 2.7647903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4284203E-5 | 3.4283963E-5 | 1.4117804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.956228E-4 | 3.156169E-4 | 1.0676337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.002952565 | 0.002972506 | 1.0067538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.6663634E-6 | 1.5666306E-5 | 2.7647903 | 1.0E-5 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4284203E-5 | 3.4283963E-5 | 1.4117804 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.956228E-4 | 3.156169E-4 | 1.0676337 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00291575 | 0.002952565 | 0.002972506 | 1.0067538 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8426775E-6 | 2.875338E-6 | 2.875338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182847E-5 | 1.2322821E-5 | 1.2322821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831607E-4 | 1.5002041E-4 | 1.600189E-4 | 1.0666476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014821711 | 0.0014992298 | 0.0015092148 | 1.0066601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.942186E-6 | 1.942186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.323628E-6 | 8.323628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01335594E-4 | 1.1133458E-4 | 1.098672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010129072 | 0.0010228972 | 1.0098625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.942186E-6 | 1.942186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.323628E-6 | 8.323628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.01335594E-4 | 1.1133458E-4 | 1.098672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010018905 | 0.0010129072 | 0.0010228972 | 1.0098625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4667394E-6 | 1.4824678E-6 | 1.4824678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.286011E-6 | 6.3534185E-6 | 6.3534185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.65295E-5 | 7.73502E-5 | 8.734943E-5 | 1.1292721 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6503144E-4 | 7.732405E-4 | 7.832328E-4 | 1.0129226 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1076943E-6 | 1.1193803E-6 | 1.1193803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.747252E-6 | 4.7973354E-6 | 4.7973354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7796264E-5 | 5.8406036E-5 | 5.8406036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.778124E-4 | 5.839113E-4 | 5.839113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.514296E-7 | 8.6033464E-7 | 8.6033464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.648979E-6 | 3.6871434E-6 | 3.6871434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.442541E-5 | 4.4890076E-5 | 4.4890076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.441653E-4 | 4.4881293E-4 | 4.4881293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.8544706E-7 | 4.905151E-7 | 4.905151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0804857E-6 | 2.1022058E-6 | 2.1022058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.532962E-5 | 2.5594069E-5 | 2.5594069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5326732E-4 | 2.559125E-4 | 2.559125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.829186E-7 | 3.8693446E-7 | 3.8693446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6410787E-6 | 1.6582896E-6 | 1.6582896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.997995E-5 | 2.01895E-5 | 2.01895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9978154E-4 | 2.0187772E-4 | 2.0187772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4726595E-7 | 1.4885232E-7 | 1.4885232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3113964E-7 | 6.379384E-7 | 6.379384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.684098E-6 | 7.766877E-6 | 7.766877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6838325E-5 | 7.76666E-5 | 7.76666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.1880604E-8 | 4.234113E-8 | 4.234113E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7948828E-7 | 1.8146198E-7 | 1.8146198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852677E-6 | 2.2092997E-6 | 2.2092997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852462E-5 | 2.2092996E-5 | 2.2092996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 6.1536423E-4 | 6.253581E-4 | 1.0162406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0074667353 | 0.0074766604 | 1.0013293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.07342701 | 0.07344554 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 6.1536423E-4 | 6.253581E-4 | 1.0162406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0074667353 | 0.0074766604 | 1.0013293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.07342701 | 0.07344554 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 6.1536423E-4 | 6.253581E-4 | 1.0162406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0074667353 | 0.0074766604 | 1.0013293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.07342701 | 0.07344554 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.4361835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.078348E-4 | 6.1536423E-4 | 6.253581E-4 | 1.0162406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008583886 | 0.0074667353 | 0.0074766604 | 1.0013293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08259789 | 0.07342701 | 0.07344554 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.4359842E-4 | 1.4359842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 6.152788E-4 | 6.2527263E-4 | 1.0162427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008517839 | 0.007465702 | 0.0074756276 | 1.0013294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.08198654 | 0.07340482 | 0.07342335 | 1.0002525 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.3378693E-4 | 1.3378693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.732484E-4 | 5.832427E-4 | 1.0174345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00818132 | 0.0069573107 | 0.0069672414 | 1.0014273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.078865945 | 0.06869961 | 0.06871824 | 1.0002711 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.2191342E-4 | 1.2191342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 5.223828E-4 | 5.3237757E-4 | 1.0191331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006780438 | 0.0063417186 | 0.0063516553 | 1.0015669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0657725 | 0.062442172 | 0.062460925 | 1.0003003 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.19102195E-4 | 1.19102195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 5.1033945E-4 | 5.2033435E-4 | 1.0195848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0061959326 | 0.006205871 | 1.001604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06494093 | 0.06112234 | 0.061141115 | 1.0003072 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.18463606E-4 | 1.18463606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 5.0760375E-4 | 5.1759864E-4 | 1.0196904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066577005 | 0.006162814 | 0.0061727525 | 1.0016127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06461738 | 0.060829334 | 0.060848117 | 1.0003088 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.16856725E-4 | 1.16856725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 5.007197E-4 | 5.107147E-4 | 1.0199612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006600777 | 0.006079472 | 0.006089411 | 1.0016348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06408122 | 0.06008978 | 0.060108576 | 1.0003128 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.1401018E-4 | 1.1401018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.885249E-4 | 4.9852E-4 | 1.0204598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257969 | 0.0059318175 | 0.005941758 | 1.0016758 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06084648 | 0.058660444 | 0.05867927 | 1.0003209 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.858413E-5 | 5.858413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.510509E-4 | 2.6104838E-4 | 1.0398226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0030522991 | 0.0030622687 | 1.0032662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041133516 | 0.032024987 | 0.032044347 | 1.0006045 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.7058897E-5 | 4.7058897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 2.0166553E-4 | 2.1166352E-4 | 1.049577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0024525383 | 0.0024625137 | 1.0040674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03633994 | 0.026081046 | 0.026100526 | 1.0007468 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 3.2512016E-5 | 3.2512016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.3932977E-4 | 1.4932838E-4 | 1.0717622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0016950221 | 0.0017050052 | 1.0058897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031802133 | 0.018412508 | 0.01843214 | 1.0010662 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 3.0586834E-5 | 3.0586834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.3107985E-4 | 1.4107855E-4 | 1.0762794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0015947307 | 0.0016047147 | 1.0062606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030350044 | 0.01735857 | 0.017378222 | 1.0011321 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.811876E-5 | 2.811876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.2050341E-4 | 1.3050222E-4 | 1.0829751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002826395 | 0.0014661432 | 0.0014761285 | 1.0068107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027907165 | 0.015988888 | 0.016008569 | 1.0012308 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 2.2957203E-5 | 2.2957203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 9.8384306E-5 | 1.0838332E-4 | 1.1016322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 0.001197171 | 0.0012071591 | 1.008343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854783 | 0.013039849 | 0.013059588 | 1.0015137 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 2.1895565E-5 | 2.1895565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 9.383476E-5 | 1.03833816E-4 | 1.1065603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002146502 | 0.0011418398 | 0.0011518283 | 1.0087478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021258866 | 0.012446348 | 0.012466099 | 1.0015869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 2.148978E-5 | 2.148978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 9.2095805E-5 | 1.02094884E-4 | 1.1085726 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 0.00112069 | 0.0011306788 | 1.008913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018306552 | 0.012205378 | 0.012225134 | 1.0016186 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 2.0107613E-5 | 2.0107613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 8.617264E-5 | 9.6171774E-5 | 1.1160362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001348489 | 0.0010486472 | 0.0010586367 | 1.0095261 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013403354 | 0.011377897 | 0.01139767 | 1.0017378 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.7367604E-5 | 1.7367604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 7.443046E-5 | 8.442972E-5 | 1.1343436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 9.058144E-4 | 9.1580534E-4 | 1.0110298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010266567 | 0.009833367 | 0.00985317 | 1.0020139 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.4267513E-5 | 1.4267513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 6.114505E-5 | 7.114444E-5 | 1.1635355 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 7.44187E-4 | 7.5417955E-4 | 1.0134275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076331664 | 0.008103952 | 0.00812379 | 1.002448 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 6.64124E-6 | 6.64124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.8462147E-5 | 3.846186E-5 | 1.3513339 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5063766E-4 | 3.4647167E-4 | 3.564682E-4 | 1.0288523 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004497249 | 0.0038782854 | 0.0038982078 | 1.005137 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013377604 | 0.0013477469 | 1.0074651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.016170798 | 0.016180636 | 1.0006084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14771743 | 0.14773448 | 1.0001154 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013377604 | 0.0013477469 | 1.0074651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.016170798 | 0.016180636 | 1.0006084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14771743 | 0.14773448 | 1.0001154 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 3.1229793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0013377604 | 0.0013477469 | 1.0074651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.016170798 | 0.016180636 | 1.0006084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06234337 | 0.14771743 | 0.14773448 | 1.0001154 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 3.000382E-4 | 3.000382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012852711 | 0.0012952583 | 1.0077704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015540979 | 0.015550824 | 1.0006335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.14239778 | 0.14241493 | 1.0001204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 3.000382E-4 | 3.000382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012852711 | 0.0012952583 | 1.0077704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.015540979 | 0.015550824 | 1.0006335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059286322 | 0.14239778 | 0.14241493 | 1.0001204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.7993298E-4 | 2.7993298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.001199187 | 0.001209175 | 1.008329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.014507204 | 0.01451706 | 1.0006793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05425003 | 0.13359326 | 0.13361059 | 1.0001297 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.621512E-4 | 2.621512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0011230462 | 0.0011330348 | 1.0088943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013591943 | 0.013601808 | 1.0007257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049677886 | 0.12570548 | 0.12572297 | 1.0001391 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.4262756E-4 | 2.4262756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524657E-4 | 0.0010394413 | 0.0010494309 | 1.0096105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012586052 | 0.012595926 | 1.0007845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04466656 | 0.11701214 | 0.1170298 | 1.0001509 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.3812854E-4 | 2.3812854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6693315E-4 | 0.0010201749 | 0.0010301648 | 1.0097922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.012354161 | 0.012364036 | 1.0007994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043698758 | 0.114997715 | 0.11501542 | 1.0001539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.8075132E-4 | 1.8075132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.7441946E-4 | 7.844117E-4 | 1.0129029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.009388025 | 0.009397931 | 1.0010552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08842991 | 0.088448144 | 1.0002061 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.7491683E-4 | 1.7491683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.4942905E-4 | 7.594215E-4 | 1.0133334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.009086342 | 0.009096251 | 1.0010905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.08570477 | 0.08572306 | 1.0002134 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.6898492E-4 | 1.6898492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4056983E-4 | 7.240209E-4 | 7.340136E-4 | 1.0138018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008779527 | 0.008789439 | 1.001129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.08296136 | 0.0829797 | 1.0002211 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.5475873E-4 | 1.5475873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.630835E-4 | 6.730769E-4 | 1.015071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.008043276 | 0.008053196 | 1.0012332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.07634527 | 0.07636375 | 1.000242 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.4644585E-4 | 1.4644585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0317009E-4 | 6.2747445E-4 | 6.374682E-4 | 1.015927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.00761284 | 0.007622764 | 1.0013036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.0725418 | 0.072560355 | 1.0002557 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.4033508E-4 | 1.4033508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.952286E-4 | 6.0129777E-4 | 6.1129173E-4 | 1.0166208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0072963163 | 0.0073062433 | 1.0013605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06973174 | 0.069750346 | 1.0002668 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.3245456E-4 | 1.3245456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.675392E-4 | 5.775335E-4 | 1.01761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.00688798 | 0.006897911 | 1.0014418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06605082 | 0.0660695 | 1.0002828 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.06347645E-4 | 1.06347645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.556961E-4 | 4.6569156E-4 | 1.0219344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0055340165 | 0.005543961 | 1.001797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.053538486 | 0.053557415 | 1.0003536 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.988765E-5 | 8.988765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.8517595E-4 | 3.951721E-4 | 1.0259522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004679445 | 0.0046893987 | 1.002127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.045556057 | 0.045575146 | 1.000419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 8.147165E-5 | 8.147165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.491175E-4 | 3.59114E-4 | 1.0286336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0042422293 | 0.004252187 | 1.0023472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.04148852 | 0.04150769 | 1.000462 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 6.336535E-5 | 6.336535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.7153754E-4 | 2.8153483E-4 | 1.0368173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0033009618 | 0.0033109288 | 1.0030195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.032633994 | 0.032653343 | 1.0005928 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.4366938E-5 | 3.4366938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.4727857E-4 | 1.572771E-4 | 1.0678885 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.001791643 | 0.0018016251 | 1.0055715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.017933413 | 0.017953055 | 1.0010953 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 8.92033E-6 | 8.92033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.8229427E-5 | 4.8229045E-5 | 1.2615685 | 1.0E-5 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.6534406E-4 | 4.7533942E-4 | 1.0214795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.0049293046 | 0.004949206 | 1.0040374 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 3.4324462E-6 | 3.4324462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.4710401E-5 | 2.4710254E-5 | 1.6797811 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.7908448E-4 | 1.8908268E-4 | 1.0558295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0019764123 | 0.0019963728 | 1.0100993 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.9637928E-7 | 3.9637928E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.6987673E-6 | 1.169875E-5 | 6.8866115 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7576245E-5 | 2.0682315E-5 | 3.068211E-5 | 1.4834949 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7572823E-4 | 2.4033726E-4 | 2.6033245E-4 | 1.0831964 | 2.0E-5 |
Reliz 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6308362E-5 | 2.6308198E-5 | 1.6131724 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.989122E-5 | 7.9890524E-5 | 1.1430695 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.506133E-4 | 8.7059627E-4 | 1.0234925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008475797 | 0.008495628 | 1.0023396 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6308362E-5 | 2.6308198E-5 | 1.6131724 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.989122E-5 | 7.9890524E-5 | 1.1430695 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.506133E-4 | 8.7059627E-4 | 1.0234925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008475797 | 0.008495628 | 1.0023396 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6308362E-5 | 2.6308198E-5 | 1.6131724 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.989122E-5 | 7.9890524E-5 | 1.1430695 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.506133E-4 | 8.7059627E-4 | 1.0234925 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008315164 | 0.008475797 | 0.008495628 | 1.0023396 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.818906E-6 | 1.7818827E-5 | 2.2789414 | 1.0E-5 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3509168E-5 | 4.3508833E-5 | 1.2984158 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0789854E-4 | 4.1789445E-4 | 1.0245059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.0040717954 | 0.004081755 | 1.0024459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.818906E-6 | 1.7818827E-5 | 2.2789414 | 1.0E-5 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.3509168E-5 | 4.3508833E-5 | 1.2984158 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0789854E-4 | 4.1789445E-4 | 1.0245059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040577264 | 0.0040717954 | 0.004081755 | 1.0024459 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9659374E-6 | 5.9420045E-6 | 5.9420045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5568053E-5 | 2.5465486E-5 | 2.5465486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1124658E-4 | 3.099984E-4 | 3.099984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310811 | 0.0030958978 | 0.0030958978 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.2350692E-6 | 5.1915804E-6 | 5.1915804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2435817E-5 | 2.2249442E-5 | 2.2249442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7312184E-4 | 2.7085343E-4 | 2.7085343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002727864 | 0.0027054634 | 0.0027054634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.580206E-6 | 4.5180814E-6 | 4.5180814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9629308E-5 | 1.9363062E-5 | 1.9363062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.389606E-4 | 2.3571985E-4 | 2.3571985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002387038 | 0.0023549204 | 0.0023549204 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.0765017E-6 | 3.999714E-6 | 3.999714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7470604E-5 | 1.7141518E-5 | 1.7141518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1268385E-4 | 2.0867803E-4 | 2.0867803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002124804 | 0.0020850392 | 0.0020850392 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5752896E-6 | 3.4835045E-6 | 3.4835045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532258E-5 | 1.492922E-5 | 1.492922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8653645E-4 | 1.8174812E-4 | 1.8174812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018637994 | 0.0018162115 | 0.0018162115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0259848E-6 | 2.918426E-6 | 2.918426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2968442E-5 | 1.2507479E-5 | 1.2507479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5787935E-4 | 1.5226794E-4 | 1.5226794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015776722 | 0.0015218515 | 0.0015218515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5861116E-6 | 2.465236E-6 | 2.465236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1083288E-5 | 1.0565254E-5 | 1.0565254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3493067E-4 | 1.286244E-4 | 1.286244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013484878 | 0.0012857143 | 0.0012857143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1482588E-6 | 2.012879E-6 | 2.012879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20679E-6 | 8.626595E-6 | 8.626595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12086906E-4 | 1.0502374E-4 | 1.0502374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011203039 | 0.0010499556 | 0.0010499556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7194744E-6 | 1.5704089E-6 | 1.5704089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3691554E-6 | 6.7303063E-6 | 6.7303063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971577E-5 | 8.19384E-5 | 8.19384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967956E-4 | 8.1929617E-4 | 8.1929617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2755178E-6 | 1.1145621E-6 | 1.1145621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4664933E-6 | 4.7766857E-6 | 4.7766857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.655252E-5 | 5.8154597E-5 | 5.8154597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6532596E-4 | 5.816079E-4 | 5.816079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.8463224E-7 | 7.1435204E-7 | 7.1435204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7912755E-6 | 3.0615051E-6 | 3.0615051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6157802E-5 | 3.727319E-5 | 3.727319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6148215E-4 | 3.7288325E-4 | 3.7288325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.291355E-7 | 3.5796734E-7 | 3.5796734E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2677216E-6 | 1.5341448E-6 | 1.5341448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760916E-5 | 1.8678053E-5 | 1.8678053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760573E-4 | 1.8697788E-4 | 1.8697788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9663357E-7 | 1.4117946E-7 | 1.4117946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2712861E-6 | 6.0505465E-7 | 6.0505465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5477797E-5 | 7.3665155E-6 | 7.3665155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.547672E-4 | 7.386846E-5 | 7.386846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2509386E-7 | 3.057908E-8 | 3.057908E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611643E-7 | 1.310532E-7 | 1.310532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527198E-6 | 1.5955715E-6 | 1.5955715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527006E-5 | 1.6131367E-5 | 1.6131367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.213493E-8 | 1.3342893E-8 | 1.3342893E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6629255E-7 | 5.7183826E-8 | 5.7183826E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.242107E-6 | 6.9621285E-7 | 6.9621285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2420594E-5 | 7.1090144E-6 | 7.1090144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.92383E-9 | 1.8830266E-9 | 1.8830266E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5387841E-8 | 8.0701135E-9 | 8.0701135E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0909692E-7 | 9.825363E-8 | 9.825363E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090965E-6 | 1.0085961E-6 | 1.0085961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4873758E-4 | 2.428164E-4 | 2.5281397E-4 | 1.0411733 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3729106E-4 | 0.0010402194 | 0.001050209 | 1.0096034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077314493 | 0.01258561 | 0.012595485 | 1.0007845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.074679315 | 0.118231826 | 0.11824064 | 1.0000746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4409686E-4 | 2.42757E-4 | 2.5275457E-4 | 1.0411835 | 1.0E-5 | 6.174118E-4 | 0.0010399651 | 0.0010499547 | 1.0096058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074911113 | 0.012582549 | 0.012592424 | 1.0007848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07243565 | 0.118204065 | 0.118212886 | 1.0000746 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4297929E-4 | 2.4207668E-4 | 2.5207427E-4 | 1.0412992 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1262446E-4 | 0.0010370519 | 0.0010470415 | 1.0096327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007433224 | 0.012547519 | 0.012557394 | 1.000787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07189451 | 0.11787461 | 0.11788343 | 1.0000749 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536085E-4 | 2.34916E-4 | 2.4491365E-4 | 1.0425584 | 1.0E-5 | 5.79989E-4 | 0.001006393 | 0.001016383 | 1.0099264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070385267 | 0.012179055 | 0.012188934 | 1.0008111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.068197265 | 0.11452847 | 0.11453733 | 1.0000774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.288972E-4 | 2.3889492E-4 | 1.0436777 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.80618E-4 | 9.906081E-4 | 1.0101876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.011868761 | 0.011878642 | 1.0008326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11168867 | 0.111697555 | 1.0000795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8308751E-4 | 1.9308568E-4 | 1.0546087 | 1.0E-5 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.8442437E-4 | 7.9441647E-4 | 1.0127382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.00950853 | 0.009518434 | 1.0010417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.09065412 | 0.09066321 | 1.0001003 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7819543E-4 | 1.8819365E-4 | 1.0561081 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.634707E-4 | 7.734631E-4 | 1.0130881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009255635 | 0.009265542 | 1.0010704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08834097 | 0.08835008 | 1.0001032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.7075789E-4 | 1.8075618E-4 | 1.0585525 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.3161395E-4 | 7.4160664E-4 | 1.0136584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008871034 | 0.008880945 | 1.0011172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08482519 | 0.084834345 | 1.0001079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5977214E-4 | 1.6977054E-4 | 1.0625792 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.8455754E-4 | 6.945507E-4 | 1.014598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008302654 | 0.008312571 | 1.0011945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.07967229 | 0.07968149 | 1.0001155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2580067E-4 | 1.357994E-4 | 1.0794809 | 1.0E-5 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.390349E-4 | 5.490295E-4 | 1.0185417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0065431288 | 0.006553063 | 1.0015184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.06350787 | 0.063517235 | 1.0001475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.638058E-5 | 1.06379615E-4 | 1.1037453 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.129946E-4 | 4.2299047E-4 | 1.0242034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029938098 | 0.005016691 | 0.005026641 | 1.0019834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.049162522 | 0.049172033 | 1.0001934 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.282095E-5 | 9.2820126E-5 | 1.1207324 | 1.0E-5 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.54899E-4 | 3.6489544E-4 | 1.028167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0043124002 | 0.004322357 | 1.0023088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.04246307 | 0.04247265 | 1.0002255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 6.169639E-5 | 7.169577E-5 | 1.1620741 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.6438647E-4 | 2.743838E-4 | 1.0378134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0032141851 | 0.003224153 | 1.0031012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.03192177 | 0.03193145 | 1.0003033 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.418671E-5 | 5.418627E-5 | 1.2263024 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8935798E-4 | 1.9935607E-4 | 1.0528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0023030145 | 0.0023129915 | 1.0043322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.023002943 | 0.023012713 | 1.0004247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 3.12674E-5 | 4.126709E-5 | 1.3198119 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.3399628E-4 | 1.4399494E-4 | 1.0746189 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0016301869 | 0.0016401707 | 1.0061243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009217911 | 0.016353814 | 0.016363649 | 1.0006015 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.7497765E-5 | 3.749749E-5 | 1.3636559 | 1.0E-5 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1784225E-4 | 1.2784108E-4 | 1.0848492 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0014337882 | 0.0014437739 | 1.0069646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077359667 | 0.014410318 | 0.014420174 | 1.0006839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5843052E-5 | 1.5843052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.789703E-5 | 6.789703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 8.263343E-4 | 8.263343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.008366328 | 0.008366328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.8373197E-6 | 6.8373197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.9302471E-5 | 2.9302471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.5669925E-4 | 3.5669925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0036714112 | 0.0036714112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.875138E-6 | 5.875138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.517892E-5 | 2.517892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 3.0651028E-4 | 3.0651028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0031535488 | 0.0031535488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.5277247E-6 | 4.5277247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.940439E-5 | 1.940439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.3622288E-4 | 2.3622288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0024160647 | 0.0024160647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.8029021E-6 | 2.8029021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.2012382E-5 | 1.2012382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.4624097E-4 | 1.4624097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0014862915 | 0.0014862915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.6922933E-6 | 1.6922933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 7.252665E-6 | 7.252665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.8297646E-5 | 8.8297646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.973751E-4 | 8.973751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 5.350922E-4 | 5.350922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019528421 | 0.0022914645 | 0.0023014417 | 1.004354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023518132 | 0.02780309 | 0.02781281 | 1.0003496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.21179019 | 0.2732167 | 0.2732312 | 1.0000532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 2.8425432E-4 | 2.8425432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248562E-4 | 0.0012177165 | 0.0012277042 | 1.0082021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009996468 | 0.014737113 | 0.014746966 | 1.0006685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.09558567 | 0.14790973 | 0.14792676 | 1.0001153 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.942209E-4 | 1.942209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.039488E-4 | 8.321111E-4 | 8.4210275E-4 | 1.0120076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049069915 | 0.01008422 | 0.010094119 | 1.0009817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048000436 | 0.09711329 | 0.09713135 | 1.000186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.9145942E-4 | 1.9145942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 8.202836E-4 | 8.302754E-4 | 1.0121809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009941535 | 0.009951436 | 1.0009959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.095860496 | 0.09587858 | 1.0001886 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.8906401E-4 | 1.8906401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 8.10024E-4 | 8.200159E-4 | 1.0123353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009817754 | 0.009827656 | 1.0010085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.09476293 | 0.09478103 | 1.0001911 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.8662142E-4 | 1.8662142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.9956214E-4 | 8.095541E-4 | 1.0124968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009691518 | 0.009701421 | 1.0010219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.093638875 | 0.093657 | 1.0001936 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.835633E-4 | 1.835633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.864639E-4 | 7.96456E-4 | 1.0127051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.009533452 | 0.0095433565 | 1.0010389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.092223525 | 0.09224168 | 1.0001968 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.8225129E-4 | 1.8225129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.808444E-4 | 7.908366E-4 | 1.0127966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.009465634 | 0.009475539 | 1.0010464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.09162947 | 0.09164763 | 1.0001982 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.8171618E-4 | 1.8171618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.7855244E-4 | 7.8854465E-4 | 1.0128343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.009437973 | 0.009447879 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.09138162 | 0.09139979 | 1.0001988 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.8113246E-4 | 1.8113246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.760523E-4 | 7.860445E-4 | 1.0128757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.009407797 | 0.009417702 | 1.001053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.09111141 | 0.091129586 | 1.0001996 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.7866338E-4 | 1.7866338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.654767E-4 | 7.7546906E-4 | 1.0130538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.009280143 | 0.00929005 | 1.0010675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08996617 | 0.089984365 | 1.0002023 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.6322675E-4 | 1.6322675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.993565E-4 | 7.093495E-4 | 1.0142889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.008481617 | 0.008491532 | 1.001169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.08279744 | 0.08281578 | 1.0002216 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.6071509E-4 | 1.6071509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.885979E-4 | 6.9859106E-4 | 1.0145123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.008351643 | 0.008361559 | 1.0011873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.0816208 | 0.08163916 | 1.0002251 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.576354E-4 | 1.576354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.7540613E-4 | 6.853994E-4 | 1.0147959 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.008192251 | 0.008202169 | 1.0012107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.08016884 | 0.08018724 | 1.0002295 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.5456196E-4 | 1.5456196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.62241E-4 | 6.722344E-4 | 1.0150902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.008033158 | 0.008043078 | 1.0012349 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07871681 | 0.07873523 | 1.0002341 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.2254529E-4 | 1.2254529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 5.2508846E-4 | 5.3508324E-4 | 1.0190344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.006374252 | 0.0063841883 | 1.0015588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.063431844 | 0.063450575 | 1.0002953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.20783385E-4 | 1.20783385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 5.175405E-4 | 5.2753533E-4 | 1.0193121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0062828893 | 0.0062928265 | 1.0015817 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.06257622 | 0.06259497 | 1.0002996 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 1.0159842E-4 | 1.0159842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 4.3534918E-4 | 4.4534483E-4 | 1.0229601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0052875085 | 0.0052974555 | 1.0018812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.053110894 | 0.053129833 | 1.0003566 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 9.490672E-5 | 9.490672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 4.066797E-4 | 4.1667564E-4 | 1.0245794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004940096 | 0.0049500465 | 1.0020143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.049641244 | 0.04966025 | 1.0003829 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 7.5060096E-5 | 7.5060096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 3.2164648E-4 | 3.3164327E-4 | 1.03108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0039090193 | 0.0039189802 | 1.0025482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.039474573 | 0.039493784 | 1.0004866 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.576343E-5 | 4.576343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.9611426E-4 | 2.061123E-4 | 1.0509807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002385078 | 0.002395054 | 1.0041827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.024516296 | 0.024535805 | 1.0007958 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 2.1634818E-5 | 2.1634818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 9.271736E-5 | 1.0271643E-4 | 1.1078447 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 0.00112825 | 0.0011382388 | 1.0088533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.012020763 | 0.012040523 | 1.0016438 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0263006E-4 | 2.0169224E-4 | 2.1169022E-4 | 1.0495704 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3976895E-4 | 8.641261E-4 | 8.741174E-4 | 1.0115623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00534105 | 0.010458186 | 0.010468082 | 1.0009462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05214491 | 0.097766794 | 0.09778484 | 1.0001845 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.368445E-4 | 1.368445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.863459E-4 | 5.863459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071107754 | 0.0071107754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.06746066 | 0.06746999 | 1.0001383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.368445E-4 | 1.368445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.863459E-4 | 5.863459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071107754 | 0.0071107754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.06746066 | 0.06746999 | 1.0001383 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3652797E-4 | 1.3652797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.849903E-4 | 5.849903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.0070944135 | 0.0070944135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035720866 | 0.0673102 | 0.06731953 | 1.0001385 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.3620323E-4 | 1.3620323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.835992E-4 | 5.835992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0070776273 | 0.0070776273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03562429 | 0.06715627 | 0.0671656 | 1.0001389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.3979404E-5 | 9.3979404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0270927E-4 | 4.0270927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.004892407 | 0.004892407 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02466527 | 0.046902657 | 0.04691219 | 1.0002033 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.873382E-5 | 8.873382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8023494E-4 | 3.8023494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.004619991 | 0.004619991 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02303517 | 0.04433231 | 0.04433231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.863781E-5 | 7.863781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.369781E-4 | 3.369781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.0040954263 | 0.0040954263 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020065336 | 0.03940178 | 0.03940178 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.859977E-5 | 6.859977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.9396822E-4 | 2.9396822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0035736028 | 0.0035736028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017698295 | 0.03450285 | 0.03450285 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0322255E-5 | 3.0322255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2994638E-4 | 1.2994638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015810055 | 0.0015810055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.015600588 | 0.015600588 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2706301E-5 | 2.2706301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.730934E-5 | 9.730934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.001184141 | 0.001184141 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.011709791 | 0.011709791 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.5207615E-5 | 1.5207615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.51739E-5 | 6.51739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.932095E-4 | 7.932095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.007904264 | 0.007904264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1760085E-5 | 1.1760085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 5.0399416E-5 | 5.0399416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.134452E-4 | 6.134452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006130346 | 0.006130346 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 9.0472995E-6 | 9.0472995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.877359E-5 | 3.877359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.7197033E-4 | 4.7197033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.00472539 | 0.00472539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.206074E-6 | 8.206074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.516844E-5 | 3.516844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.2809566E-4 | 4.2809566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.004289163 | 0.004289163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 4.0672003E-6 | 4.0672003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.7430757E-5 | 1.7430757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.1220156E-4 | 2.1220156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.002132319 | 0.002132319 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.9566313E-8 | 3.9566313E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.695699E-7 | 1.695699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0645116E-6 | 2.0645116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0739097E-5 | 2.0739097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.3941878E-8 | 2.3941878E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0260804E-7 | 1.0260804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2492523E-6 | 1.2492523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2557216E-5 | 1.2557216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9600286E-5 | 8.9599496E-5 | 1.1256177 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4110263E-4 | 3.510992E-4 | 1.0293067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.00414548 | 0.004155439 | 1.0024023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040731244 | 0.04075043 | 1.000471 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9600286E-5 | 8.9599496E-5 | 1.1256177 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4110263E-4 | 3.510992E-4 | 1.0293067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.00414548 | 0.004155439 | 1.0024023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040731244 | 0.04075043 | 1.000471 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2749238E-5 | 6.274871E-5 | 1.1895663 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2604958E-4 | 2.3604732E-4 | 1.0442281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021545228 | 0.002748833 | 0.0027588054 | 1.0036279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027164647 | 0.027184105 | 1.0007162 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.2749238E-5 | 6.274871E-5 | 1.1895663 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2604958E-4 | 2.3604732E-4 | 1.0442281 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021545228 | 0.002748833 | 0.0027588054 | 1.0036279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027164647 | 0.027184105 | 1.0007162 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.1062358E-5 | 5.1061947E-5 | 1.243522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7597027E-4 | 1.8596851E-4 | 1.0568178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021404382 | 0.0021504168 | 1.0046619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016760793 | 0.021209272 | 0.021228848 | 1.000923 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.43733E-5 | 4.4372955E-5 | 1.2909135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4730632E-4 | 1.5730484E-4 | 1.0678757 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017920728 | 0.0018020548 | 1.0055702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014095354 | 0.017785741 | 0.017805384 | 1.0011045 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.608612E-5 | 2.608612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1179335E-4 | 1.1179335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013603185 | 0.0013603185 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010739161 | 0.0135283265 | 0.0135283265 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2771563E-5 | 2.2771563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.7589225E-5 | 9.7589225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011875826 | 0.0011875826 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009379748 | 0.011820464 | 0.011820464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.827195E-5 | 1.827195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.8306446E-5 | 7.8306446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.5304084E-4 | 9.5304084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007524277 | 0.009497121 | 0.009497121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0851141E-5 | 1.0851141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6504436E-5 | 4.6504436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.661113E-4 | 5.661113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044589094 | 0.0056532384 | 0.0056532384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pittville 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6934118E-5 | 1.3222744E-5 | 1.3222744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.257277E-5 | 5.6667795E-5 | 5.6667795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.832153E-4 | 6.8973337E-4 | 7.097196E-4 | 1.0289767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008797132 | 0.0068780514 | 0.006897914 | 1.0028878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2540113E-5 | 1.3222744E-5 | 1.3222744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3742235E-5 | 5.6667795E-5 | 5.6667795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.541153E-4 | 6.8973337E-4 | 7.097196E-4 | 1.0289767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065219323 | 0.0068780514 | 0.006897914 | 1.0028878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.603218E-6 | 6.9656217E-6 | 6.9656217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8299199E-5 | 2.9852357E-5 | 2.9852357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4448825E-4 | 3.6339805E-4 | 3.6339805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034395473 | 0.0036286523 | 0.0036286523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 6.603218E-6 | 6.9656217E-6 | 6.9656217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8299199E-5 | 2.9852357E-5 | 2.9852357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4448825E-4 | 3.6339805E-4 | 3.6339805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034395473 | 0.0036286523 | 0.0036286523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 3.9389015E-6 | 4.1548446E-6 | 4.1548446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6880897E-5 | 1.7806373E-5 | 1.7806373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0550552E-4 | 2.1677399E-4 | 2.1677399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020531558 | 0.002165918 | 0.002165918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4533072E-6 | 2.5877375E-6 | 2.5877375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0514132E-5 | 1.10902665E-5 | 1.10902665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2800204E-4 | 1.3501749E-4 | 1.3501749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012792832 | 0.0013495369 | 0.0013495369 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3482367E-6 | 1.420988E-6 | 1.420988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.778144E-6 | 6.089941E-6 | 6.089941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0346636E-5 | 7.414359E-5 | 7.414359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.032437E-4 | 7.412947E-4 | 7.412947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0014295473 | 0.0014395331 | 1.0069852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.017267456 | 0.017277284 | 1.0005691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15740325 | 0.1574201 | 1.000107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0014295473 | 0.0014395331 | 1.0069852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.017267456 | 0.017277284 | 1.0005691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15740325 | 0.1574201 | 1.000107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 3.3374256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0014295473 | 0.0014395331 | 1.0069852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.017267456 | 0.017277284 | 1.0005691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07177748 | 0.15740325 | 0.1574201 | 1.000107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.226888E-4 | 3.226888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013822248 | 0.0013922111 | 1.0072247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016700244 | 0.016710076 | 1.0005888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.1527149 | 0.15273185 | 1.000111 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.226888E-4 | 3.226888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013822248 | 0.0013922111 | 1.0072247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.016700244 | 0.016710076 | 1.0005888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06914291 | 0.1527149 | 0.15273185 | 1.000111 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 3.0668394E-4 | 3.0668394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.001313703 | 0.0013236898 | 1.0076021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015878381 | 0.015888222 | 1.0006198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06530788 | 0.14583911 | 0.1458562 | 1.0001172 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.7067788E-4 | 2.7067788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0011595347 | 0.0011695231 | 1.0086142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.014026653 | 0.014036513 | 1.000703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056403454 | 0.13007697 | 0.13009438 | 1.0001338 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.518792E-4 | 2.518792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010790371 | 0.0010890263 | 1.0092576 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.013058621 | 0.013068491 | 1.0007558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.051936906 | 0.12190617 | 0.12192373 | 1.000144 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.3686468E-4 | 2.3686468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1181705E-4 | 0.0010147402 | 0.00102473 | 1.0098448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.012284788 | 0.012294665 | 1.0008041 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048912346 | 0.11526091 | 0.1152786 | 1.0001535 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.3133786E-4 | 2.3133786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.910719E-4 | 0.0010010621 | 1.0100801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.0119998325 | 0.012009712 | 1.0008234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04780577 | 0.11284089 | 0.11285863 | 1.0001572 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.2448339E-4 | 2.2448339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.900265E-4 | 9.6171757E-4 | 9.717079E-4 | 1.010388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0116463145 | 0.011656198 | 1.0008487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046384744 | 0.109786846 | 0.10980465 | 1.0001621 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.1608548E-4 | 2.1608548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.758525E-4 | 9.257525E-4 | 9.357432E-4 | 1.010792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.011213022 | 0.01122291 | 1.0008818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044737056 | 0.10606329 | 0.10608117 | 1.0001686 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.9983368E-4 | 1.9983368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4636928E-4 | 8.561491E-4 | 8.661406E-4 | 1.0116702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.010373931 | 0.010383828 | 1.0009539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041300658 | 0.09874735 | 0.09876537 | 1.0001825 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.8894117E-4 | 1.8894117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.328214E-4 | 8.094967E-4 | 8.194886E-4 | 1.0123434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009811188 | 0.00982109 | 1.0010092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03971748 | 0.09392434 | 0.09394246 | 1.0001929 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.8088426E-4 | 1.8088426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.7498803E-4 | 7.849803E-4 | 1.0128934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.009394746 | 0.009404653 | 1.0010544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038480744 | 0.09030803 | 0.09032622 | 1.0002015 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.7351957E-4 | 1.7351957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1173544E-4 | 7.4344344E-4 | 7.53436E-4 | 1.013441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.009013934 | 0.009023844 | 1.0010993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03724827 | 0.086951524 | 0.086969785 | 1.00021 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.6906312E-4 | 1.6906312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0504653E-4 | 7.243551E-4 | 7.3434785E-4 | 1.0137954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008783433 | 0.008793345 | 1.0011286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036463667 | 0.08489145 | 0.08490975 | 1.0002156 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.5771868E-4 | 1.5771868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.7576213E-4 | 6.857554E-4 | 1.0147882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.00819642 | 0.008206339 | 1.0012101 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034406938 | 0.079570346 | 0.079588756 | 1.0002314 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.4567544E-4 | 1.4567544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7000686E-4 | 6.2417396E-4 | 6.3416775E-4 | 1.0160111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.007572879 | 0.0075828033 | 1.0013105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032343175 | 0.07387826 | 0.07389678 | 1.0002507 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 1.0764686E-4 | 1.0764686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.6126213E-4 | 4.7125752E-4 | 1.0216696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0056014205 | 0.0056113643 | 1.0017753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025666296 | 0.055482484 | 0.055501375 | 1.0003405 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.9488433E-5 | 5.9488433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.5492552E-4 | 2.6492297E-4 | 1.0392171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0030993032 | 0.0031092723 | 1.0032165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.03135788 | 0.031377252 | 1.0006177 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 2.1715283E-5 | 2.1715283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 9.306218E-5 | 1.0306125E-4 | 1.107445 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 0.001132444 | 0.0011424327 | 1.0088204 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.0119749 | 0.011994661 | 1.0016502 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 6.2494596E-6 | 6.2494596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.6783124E-5 | 3.6782858E-5 | 1.3733594 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0856065E-4 | 3.2603586E-4 | 3.360326E-4 | 1.0306615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004078103 | 0.0036300127 | 0.00364994 | 1.0054896 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.4388972E-4 | 2.4388972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010448184 | 0.001054808 | 1.0095611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012646349 | 0.012656222 | 1.0007807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11670471 | 0.116722375 | 1.0001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.4388972E-4 | 2.4388972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010448184 | 0.001054808 | 1.0095611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012646349 | 0.012656222 | 1.0007807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11670471 | 0.116722375 | 1.0001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.4388972E-4 | 2.4388972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010448184 | 0.001054808 | 1.0095611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012646349 | 0.012656222 | 1.0007807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11670471 | 0.116722375 | 1.0001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.4388972E-4 | 2.4388972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010448184 | 0.001054808 | 1.0095611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012646349 | 0.012656222 | 1.0007807 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.11670471 | 0.116722375 | 1.0001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.394003E-4 | 2.394003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 0.0010255948 | 0.0010355845 | 1.0097405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01241536 | 0.0124252355 | 1.0007955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.114667945 | 0.114685655 | 1.0001544 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.394003E-4 | 2.394003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4534236E-4 | 0.0010255948 | 0.0010355845 | 1.0097405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.01241536 | 0.0124252355 | 1.0007955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.114667945 | 0.114685655 | 1.0001544 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.3174418E-4 | 2.3174418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.928136E-4 | 0.0010028037 | 1.0100623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.012021106 | 0.012030986 | 1.0008218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.111177236 | 0.11119501 | 1.0001599 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.284676E-4 | 2.284676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.787818E-4 | 9.88772E-4 | 1.0102068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011852135 | 0.011862017 | 1.0008337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.109676905 | 0.10969471 | 1.0001624 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.2691635E-4 | 2.2691635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.721386E-4 | 9.821289E-4 | 1.0102766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011772134 | 0.011782017 | 1.0008395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10897172 | 0.10898954 | 1.0001636 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.2457988E-4 | 2.2457988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.6213253E-4 | 9.7212294E-4 | 1.0103836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.01165162 | 0.011661503 | 1.0008483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.107912734 | 0.10793057 | 1.0001653 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.2036419E-4 | 2.2036419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.440785E-4 | 9.540691E-4 | 1.0105823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.011434138 | 0.011444023 | 1.0008646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10600085 | 0.10601872 | 1.0001687 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.1869196E-4 | 2.1869196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0118722E-4 | 9.36917E-4 | 9.469076E-4 | 1.0106633 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.011347858 | 0.011357744 | 1.0008712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.105234675 | 0.10525257 | 1.00017 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.1469526E-4 | 2.1469526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9353087E-4 | 9.198004E-4 | 9.2979125E-4 | 1.0108619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.011141611 | 0.0111515 | 1.0008875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.10340211 | 0.10342004 | 1.0001734 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 2.0681194E-4 | 2.0681194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.8603806E-4 | 8.9602923E-4 | 1.0112762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010734677 | 0.01074457 | 1.0009216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09984876 | 0.09986677 | 1.0001802 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.5506851E-4 | 1.5506851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.64411E-4 | 6.744043E-4 | 1.0150409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.008059412 | 0.008069332 | 1.0012308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07638056 | 0.076399036 | 1.0002419 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1838407E-4 | 1.1838407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6843023E-4 | 5.07262E-4 | 5.172569E-4 | 1.0197036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0061585037 | 0.0061684423 | 1.0016137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.05912026 | 0.059139077 | 1.0003183 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 9.111797E-5 | 9.111797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.9044724E-4 | 4.0044333E-4 | 1.0256016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.004743363 | 0.0047533154 | 1.0020982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04593548 | 0.045954563 | 1.0004154 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.892515E-5 | 6.892515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.9536005E-4 | 3.053571E-4 | 1.033847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.003590086 | 0.00360005 | 1.0027754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.034995716 | 0.035015017 | 1.0005515 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 6.052711E-5 | 6.052711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.5937613E-4 | 2.6937353E-4 | 1.038544 | 1.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0031533353 | 0.0031633037 | 1.0031612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.030891173 | 0.030910553 | 1.0006274 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.552883E-5 | 4.552883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.9510897E-4 | 2.0510702E-4 | 1.0512434 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0023728656 | 0.0023828417 | 1.0042043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.023525028 | 0.023544557 | 1.0008302 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.2837168E-5 | 3.2837168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.4072313E-4 | 1.5072172E-4 | 1.0710515 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0017119589 | 0.0017219417 | 1.0058312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.017092299 | 0.017111957 | 1.0011501 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 8.376657E-6 | 8.376657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.5899466E-5 | 4.589911E-5 | 1.2785456 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2701119E-4 | 4.369885E-4 | 4.4698417E-4 | 1.0228739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0046129934 | 0.0046329014 | 1.0043156 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 3.2204455E-6 | 3.2204455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.3801837E-5 | 2.3801698E-5 | 1.7245313 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.6802447E-4 | 1.7802279E-4 | 1.0595051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0018485837 | 0.0018685467 | 1.010799 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.9031298E-7 | 3.9031298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.6727689E-6 | 1.1672752E-5 | 6.978102 | 1.0E-5 | 2.714798E-5 | 2.036579E-5 | 3.0365587E-5 | 1.4910095 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7144665E-4 | 2.3662744E-4 | 2.566227E-4 | 1.084501 | 2.0E-5 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.053252E-5 | 3.053252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3084822E-4 | 1.3084822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015921112 | 0.0016020952 | 1.006271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.01582675 | 0.015836593 | 1.0006218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.053252E-5 | 3.053252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3084822E-4 | 1.3084822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015921112 | 0.0016020952 | 1.006271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013842222 | 0.01582675 | 0.015836593 | 1.0006218 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6176762E-5 | 1.6176762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.93277E-5 | 6.93277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.438375E-4 | 8.438375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007380498 | 0.008416128 | 0.008416128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6176762E-5 | 1.6176762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.93277E-5 | 6.93277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.438375E-4 | 8.438375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007380498 | 0.008416128 | 0.008416128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5083427E-5 | 1.5083427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.464221E-5 | 6.464221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8683376E-4 | 7.8683376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006884126 | 0.007850202 | 0.007850202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5083427E-5 | 1.5083427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.464221E-5 | 6.464221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8683376E-4 | 7.8683376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006884126 | 0.007850202 | 0.007850202 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.29198215E-5 | 1.29198215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5370034E-5 | 5.5370034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.740183E-4 | 6.740183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006729224 | 0.006729224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.87413E-6 | 9.87413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.231753E-5 | 4.231753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.151856E-4 | 5.151856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005148881 | 0.005148881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1814653E-6 | 1.1814653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0634135E-6 | 5.0634135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1645434E-5 | 6.1645434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.162947E-4 | 6.162947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.335514E-7 | 9.335514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 4.000929E-6 | 4.000929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.871029E-5 | 4.871029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8700324E-4 | 4.8700324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7978964E-7 | 8.7978964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7705217E-6 | 3.7705217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5905206E-5 | 4.5905206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5896394E-4 | 4.5896394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7591E-7 | 7.7591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3253248E-6 | 3.3253248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0485138E-5 | 4.0485138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0478367E-4 | 4.0478367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.635808E-7 | 7.635808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2724854E-6 | 3.2724854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.984184E-5 | 3.984184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.98353E-4 | 3.98353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.9429973E-7 | 6.9429973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9755672E-6 | 2.9755672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.622699E-5 | 3.622699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.6221664E-4 | 3.6221664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.23806E-7 | 6.23806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.673452E-6 | 2.673452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2548847E-5 | 3.2548847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2544645E-4 | 3.2544645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3879455E-7 | 5.3879455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.3091177E-6 | 2.3091177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.81132E-5 | 2.81132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.8110182E-4 | 2.8110182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6275063E-7 | 2.6275063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1260738E-6 | 1.1260738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3709891E-5 | 1.3709891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3709332E-4 | 1.3709332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8315335E-5 | 3.831505E-5 | 1.3531555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21346835E-4 | 1.4134441E-4 | 1.1647968 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014765819 | 0.0014965524 | 1.0135248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012390262 | 0.01468955 | 0.014709257 | 1.0013415 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8315335E-5 | 3.831505E-5 | 1.3531555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.21346835E-4 | 1.4134441E-4 | 1.1647968 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014765819 | 0.0014965524 | 1.0135248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012390262 | 0.01468955 | 0.014709257 | 1.0013415 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9921572E-5 | 2.9921373E-5 | 1.5019584 | 1.0E-5 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.5376174E-5 | 9.537532E-5 | 1.1171187 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010391012 | 0.0010490908 | 1.0096138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008653872 | 0.010359873 | 0.010369769 | 1.0009552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9921572E-5 | 2.9921373E-5 | 1.5019584 | 1.0E-5 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.5376174E-5 | 9.537532E-5 | 1.1171187 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010391012 | 0.0010490908 | 1.0096138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008653872 | 0.010359873 | 0.010369769 | 1.0009552 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.29418495E-5 | 1.5626625E-5 | 2.5626468E-5 | 1.6399235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.546389E-5 | 6.6970264E-5 | 7.69696E-5 | 1.14931 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7506364E-4 | 8.151887E-4 | 8.251805E-4 | 1.0122571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067301663 | 0.008138299 | 0.008148218 | 1.0012188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2582504E-5 | 1.5192708E-5 | 2.5192556E-5 | 1.6582005 | 1.0E-5 | 5.39239E-5 | 6.511072E-5 | 7.511007E-5 | 1.1535746 | 1.0E-5 | 6.563257E-4 | 7.9256523E-4 | 8.0255733E-4 | 1.0126072 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006543907 | 0.007913727 | 0.007923648 | 1.0012536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0846706E-5 | 1.3086566E-5 | 2.3086435E-5 | 1.7641324 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6485053E-5 | 5.6084802E-5 | 6.608424E-5 | 1.1782914 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6580856E-4 | 6.827473E-4 | 6.9274043E-4 | 1.0146368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005643701 | 0.0068227416 | 0.0068326737 | 1.0014557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.6803231E-6 | 2.409716E-6 | 2.409716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2013645E-6 | 1.0327314E-5 | 1.0327314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7673085E-5 | 1.2572794E-4 | 1.2572794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.76385E-4 | 0.0012601714 | 0.0012601714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4609833E-6 | 2.1255119E-6 | 2.1255119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.261342E-6 | 9.109305E-6 | 9.109305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6229175E-5 | 1.1090022E-4 | 1.1090022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.620303E-4 | 0.0011119966 | 0.0011119966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3492396E-6 | 1.9760987E-6 | 1.9760987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7824427E-6 | 8.468967E-6 | 8.468967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0398964E-5 | 1.0310487E-4 | 1.0310487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037667E-4 | 0.0010340995 | 0.0010340995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2347921E-6 | 1.8182444E-6 | 1.8182444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.291955E-6 | 7.792453E-6 | 7.792453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442765E-5 | 9.486904E-5 | 9.486904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.440897E-4 | 9.521972E-4 | 9.521972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.1262973E-6 | 1.663547E-6 | 1.663547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8269794E-6 | 7.1294676E-6 | 7.1294676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.876689E-5 | 8.679786E-5 | 8.679786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.875135E-4 | 8.7153097E-4 | 8.7153097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.351744E-7 | 1.3877046E-6 | 1.3877046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.007884E-6 | 5.947292E-6 | 5.947292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8794896E-5 | 7.24059E-5 | 7.24059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.878418E-4 | 7.276415E-4 | 7.276415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.5039534E-7 | 1.2639987E-6 | 1.2639987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6445463E-6 | 5.417126E-6 | 5.417126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437145E-5 | 6.5951535E-5 | 6.5951535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.436259E-4 | 6.6287915E-4 | 6.6287915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7875015E-7 | 9.814327E-7 | 9.814327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.908926E-6 | 4.2061333E-6 | 4.2061333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.54156E-5 | 5.1208477E-5 | 5.1208477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5409955E-4 | 5.149148E-4 | 5.149148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.826867E-7 | 8.37357E-7 | 8.37357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4972264E-6 | 3.5886678E-6 | 3.5886678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0403306E-5 | 4.3691165E-5 | 4.3691165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399146E-4 | 4.39393E-4 | 4.39393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7734902E-7 | 3.7564135E-7 | 3.7564135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1886381E-6 | 1.6098905E-6 | 1.6098905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4471572E-5 | 1.9600242E-5 | 1.9600242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.447063E-4 | 1.969025E-4 | 1.969025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0530888E-7 | 1.4188814E-7 | 1.4188814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.513237E-7 | 6.080919E-7 | 6.080919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4948523E-6 | 7.403494E-6 | 7.403494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4947162E-5 | 7.480384E-5 | 7.480384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2714258E-8 | 2.0982737E-8 | 2.0982737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.448968E-8 | 8.992602E-8 | 8.992602E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6341164E-7 | 1.0948487E-6 | 1.0948487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6340967E-6 | 1.1327888E-5 | 1.1327888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.075888E-9 | 8.265472E-9 | 8.265472E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7468091E-8 | 3.542345E-8 | 3.542345E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.12674E-7 | 4.3128043E-7 | 4.3128043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1267379E-6 | 4.53847E-6 | 4.53847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9126138E-9 | 4.379475E-9 | 4.379475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.196917E-9 | 1.8769178E-8 | 1.8769178E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9797454E-8 | 2.2851471E-7 | 2.2851471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.979741E-7 | 2.3824716E-6 | 2.3824716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 2.0075969E-4 | 2.0075969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.928648E-4 | 8.601152E-4 | 8.701066E-4 | 1.0116163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047726436 | 0.010421771 | 0.010431667 | 1.0009495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046714354 | 0.10094281 | 0.1009608 | 1.0001781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 2.0075969E-4 | 2.0075969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.928648E-4 | 8.601152E-4 | 8.701066E-4 | 1.0116163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047726436 | 0.010421771 | 0.010431667 | 1.0009495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046714354 | 0.10094281 | 0.1009608 | 1.0001781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 2.0075969E-4 | 2.0075969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.928648E-4 | 8.601152E-4 | 8.701066E-4 | 1.0116163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047726436 | 0.010421771 | 0.010431667 | 1.0009495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046714354 | 0.10094281 | 0.1009608 | 1.0001781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 2.0075969E-4 | 2.0075969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.928648E-4 | 8.601152E-4 | 8.701066E-4 | 1.0116163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047726436 | 0.010421771 | 0.010431667 | 1.0009495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046714354 | 0.10094281 | 0.1009608 | 1.0001781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 2.0069366E-4 | 2.0069366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.598324E-4 | 8.698238E-4 | 1.0116202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.01041836 | 0.010428255 | 1.0009499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.10091214 | 0.10093012 | 1.0001782 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 2.0069366E-4 | 2.0069366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 8.598324E-4 | 8.698238E-4 | 1.0116202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.01041836 | 0.010428255 | 1.0009499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.10091214 | 0.10093012 | 1.0001782 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.9880437E-4 | 1.9880437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 8.5174077E-4 | 8.6173223E-4 | 1.0117307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.01032078 | 0.010330676 | 1.0009589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.100032456 | 0.10005046 | 1.0001799 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.9797601E-4 | 1.9797601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 8.4819295E-4 | 8.581845E-4 | 1.0117798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.010277993 | 0.01028789 | 1.000963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09964322 | 0.09966123 | 1.0001807 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.974565E-4 | 1.974565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 8.459679E-4 | 8.559594E-4 | 1.0118108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.010251158 | 0.010261056 | 1.0009655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.099397786 | 0.0994158 | 1.0001812 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.9630992E-4 | 1.9630992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 8.4105716E-4 | 8.5104874E-4 | 1.0118798 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.01019193 | 0.010201829 | 1.0009712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09885795 | 0.09887597 | 1.0001823 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.9472971E-4 | 1.9472971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 8.3428924E-4 | 8.442809E-4 | 1.0119762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.010110298 | 0.010120197 | 1.0009791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09811271 | 0.09813075 | 1.0001838 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.9384729E-4 | 1.9384729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 8.3050976E-4 | 8.4050145E-4 | 1.0120308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.010064709 | 0.010074609 | 1.0009836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09769681 | 0.097714856 | 1.0001848 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.927505E-4 | 1.927505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 8.258123E-4 | 8.3580404E-4 | 1.0120993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.010008045 | 0.0100179445 | 1.0009892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09718031 | 0.09719837 | 1.0001858 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.921501E-4 | 1.921501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 8.232407E-4 | 8.3323254E-4 | 1.012137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009977023 | 0.009986923 | 1.0009923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.09689472 | 0.09691278 | 1.0001864 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.9176099E-4 | 1.9176099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 8.215742E-4 | 8.31566E-4 | 1.0121617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009956919 | 0.009966819 | 1.0009943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.09670979 | 0.096727856 | 1.0001868 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.9037774E-4 | 1.9037774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 8.156497E-4 | 8.2564156E-4 | 1.0122502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009885445 | 0.009895346 | 1.0010016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.09606191 | 0.09607999 | 1.0001882 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.8456487E-4 | 1.8456487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.907527E-4 | 8.007448E-4 | 1.0126362 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.00958503 | 0.009594934 | 1.0010333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.09334824 | 0.09336638 | 1.0001942 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.5702102E-4 | 1.5702102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.727737E-4 | 6.8276696E-4 | 1.0148538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.008160312 | 0.00817023 | 1.0012155 | 1.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.08021245 | 0.08023085 | 1.0002294 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.43418E-4 | 1.43418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 6.1450386E-4 | 6.244977E-4 | 1.0162632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.007455961 | 0.007465886 | 1.0013312 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.07343742 | 0.07345595 | 1.0002524 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 1.0346919E-4 | 1.0346919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.4336403E-4 | 4.533596E-4 | 1.0225449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0053846096 | 0.0053945556 | 1.0018471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.05359017 | 0.0536091 | 1.0003532 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.8429905E-5 | 5.8429905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.5038986E-4 | 2.6038734E-4 | 1.0399277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0030442374 | 0.0030542067 | 1.0032749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.030940544 | 0.030959925 | 1.0006264 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 2.2193846E-5 | 2.2193846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 9.511302E-5 | 1.0511207E-4 | 1.105128 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0011573867 | 0.0011673751 | 1.0086302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.012316003 | 0.012335758 | 1.001604 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 6.6476487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.8489612E-5 | 3.848933E-5 | 1.3509951 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 3.4680596E-4 | 3.5680248E-4 | 1.0288246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0038816165 | 0.003901539 | 1.0051324 | 2.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 9.762286E-7 | 9.762286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 4.1838307E-6 | 1.4183789E-5 | 3.390144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.034694E-4 | 5.093697E-5 | 6.0936465E-5 | 1.196311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010342124 | 5.9084815E-4 | 6.108364E-4 | 1.0338297 | 2.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4622808E-5 | 7.462172E-5 | 1.3661274 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3407835E-4 | 2.5407368E-4 | 1.0854214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002846447 | 0.0028663902 | 1.0070063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028128304 | 0.02814774 | 1.000691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4622808E-5 | 7.462172E-5 | 1.3661274 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3407835E-4 | 2.5407368E-4 | 1.0854214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002846447 | 0.0028663902 | 1.0070063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028128304 | 0.02814774 | 1.000691 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.386985E-5 | 5.386917E-5 | 1.5904757 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4514863E-4 | 1.6514573E-4 | 1.1377698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017657876 | 0.0017857522 | 1.0113064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017521627 | 0.017541278 | 1.0011214 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.386985E-5 | 5.386917E-5 | 1.5904757 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4514863E-4 | 1.6514573E-4 | 1.1377698 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017657876 | 0.0017857522 | 1.0113064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017521627 | 0.017541278 | 1.0011214 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7909822E-5 | 4.7909263E-5 | 1.7165736 | 2.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1960816E-4 | 1.3960576E-4 | 1.1671927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014552755 | 0.0014752464 | 1.0137231 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014459655 | 0.014479365 | 1.0013632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5143749E-5 | 4.5143246E-5 | 1.7954063 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0775455E-4 | 1.277524E-4 | 1.185587 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013111368 | 0.0013311106 | 1.015234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.0130356895 | 0.013055429 | 1.0015142 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0385885E-5 | 3.0385681E-5 | 1.4905255 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.73652E-5 | 9.7364325E-5 | 1.114452 | 1.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010631601 | 0.0010731495 | 1.009396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010581653 | 0.010591547 | 1.0009351 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.818207E-5 | 2.8181888E-5 | 1.5499824 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.7920864E-5 | 8.792008E-5 | 1.1283253 | 1.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4827916E-4 | 9.582697E-4 | 1.0105354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009442974 | 0.009452879 | 1.001049 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5965416E-5 | 2.5965255E-5 | 1.6263438 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.842144E-5 | 7.842075E-5 | 1.1461431 | 1.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3271693E-4 | 8.4270857E-4 | 1.0119989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008296455 | 0.008306372 | 1.0011953 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3371789E-5 | 2.3371655E-5 | 1.7478331 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.730642E-5 | 6.7305846E-5 | 1.1744906 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.974846E-4 | 7.074776E-4 | 1.0143273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006953217 | 0.0069631473 | 1.0014281 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1974435E-5 | 2.1974316E-5 | 1.8351024 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.131801E-5 | 6.131749E-5 | 1.1948534 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.246193E-4 | 6.346131E-4 | 1.0159998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.006228832 | 0.0062387697 | 1.0015954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0583242E-5 | 2.0583137E-5 | 1.94488 | 1.0E-5 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.535597E-5 | 5.535552E-5 | 1.2204682 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.5207015E-4 | 5.6206464E-4 | 1.0181036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0055071195 | 0.0055170646 | 1.0018058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.498174E-6 | 1.949808E-5 | 2.0528238 | 1.0E-5 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0705832E-5 | 5.0705425E-5 | 1.2456551 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.954819E-4 | 5.0547696E-4 | 1.0201724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049438924 | 0.0049538426 | 1.0020127 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.416304E-6 | 1.841622E-5 | 2.1881602 | 1.0E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.606938E-5 | 4.606902E-5 | 1.2772335 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3905727E-4 | 4.4905287E-4 | 1.0227661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004382011 | 0.0043919673 | 1.002272 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.984785E-6 | 6.984785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9934456E-5 | 2.9934456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6439204E-4 | 3.6439204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003638047 | 0.003638047 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2784867E-6 | 5.2784867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2621894E-5 | 2.2621894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.753875E-4 | 2.753875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027505355 | 0.0027505355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.066528E-6 | 2.066528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.856518E-6 | 8.856518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0782287E-4 | 1.0782287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010777143 | 0.0010777143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1048113E-6 | 1.1048113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7348967E-6 | 4.7348967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.764587E-5 | 5.764587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7631155E-4 | 5.7631155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0875516E-7 | 6.0875516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.608948E-6 | 2.608948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1763495E-5 | 3.1763495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.175909E-4 | 3.175909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0988658E-9 | 5.0988658E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1852282E-8 | 2.1852282E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.660515E-7 | 2.660515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6605128E-6 | 2.6605128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.415031E-5 | 5.414987E-5 | 1.226489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8920373E-4 | 1.9920184E-4 | 1.0528431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023014424 | 0.0023213965 | 1.0086702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01920436 | 0.022809753 | 0.022829296 | 1.0008569 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.415031E-5 | 5.414987E-5 | 1.226489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8920373E-4 | 1.9920184E-4 | 1.0528431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023014424 | 0.0023213965 | 1.0086702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01920436 | 0.022809753 | 0.022829296 | 1.0008569 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.415031E-5 | 5.414987E-5 | 1.226489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8920373E-4 | 1.9920184E-4 | 1.0528431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023014424 | 0.0023213965 | 1.0086702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01920436 | 0.022809753 | 0.022829296 | 1.0008569 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.5129772E-5 | 3.512952E-5 | 1.3979244 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.07695094E-4 | 1.1769402E-4 | 1.0928447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013104916 | 0.0013304654 | 1.0152415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011145315 | 0.013038297 | 0.013058037 | 1.001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.5129772E-5 | 3.512952E-5 | 1.3979244 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.07695094E-4 | 1.1769402E-4 | 1.0928447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013104916 | 0.0013304654 | 1.0152415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011145315 | 0.013038297 | 0.013058037 | 1.001514 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.9660938E-5 | 2.9660741E-5 | 1.5086128 | 1.0E-5 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.4258856E-5 | 9.4258015E-5 | 1.1186719 | 1.0E-5 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010254422 | 0.0010454217 | 1.0194838 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008770182 | 0.010215801 | 0.010235597 | 1.0019377 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.9620436E-5 | 2.9620242E-5 | 1.5096626 | 1.0E-5 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.4085295E-5 | 9.4084455E-5 | 1.1189169 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.001023331 | 0.0010433105 | 1.019524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008751754 | 0.010194884 | 0.01021468 | 1.0019418 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.5563626E-5 | 2.5563471E-5 | 1.6425138 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.669991E-5 | 7.6699245E-5 | 1.1499152 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.1183296E-4 | 8.318167E-4 | 1.0246156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069657755 | 0.008096419 | 0.008116256 | 1.0024502 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.175266E-5 | 2.1752543E-5 | 1.8508612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3452383E-5 | 5.0367886E-5 | 6.036738E-5 | 1.1985292 | 1.0E-5 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.1311247E-4 | 6.331002E-4 | 1.0326004 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005276473 | 0.006121146 | 0.0061410237 | 1.0032474 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.9589785E-6 | 1.895889E-5 | 2.1161888 | 1.0E-5 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8395352E-5 | 4.8394966E-5 | 1.2604382 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.67415E-4 | 4.8740566E-4 | 1.0427685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040415525 | 0.004670844 | 0.0046907505 | 1.0042619 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.4037731E-6 | 1.2403749E-5 | 5.160116 | 1.0E-5 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.0301845E-5 | 2.0301743E-5 | 1.9706899 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2541782E-4 | 1.3541657E-4 | 1.0797235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011529627 | 0.0012549186 | 0.001264906 | 1.0079587 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.0489429E-6 | 1.2048922E-5 | 5.8805556 | 1.0E-5 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.781154E-6 | 1.8781067E-5 | 2.1387925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.0690534E-4 | 1.16904266E-4 | 1.0935307 | 1.0E-5 | 9.913679E-4 | 0.0010699822 | 0.0010799714 | 1.009336 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.991542E-6 | 1.1991522E-5 | 6.021225 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.535152E-6 | 1.8535067E-5 | 2.1716154 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.0391055E-4 | 1.13909504E-4 | 1.0962266 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6462725E-4 | 0.0010400626 | 0.0010500522 | 1.0096048 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.9232289E-6 | 1.192321E-5 | 6.1995792 | 1.0E-5 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.242383E-6 | 1.8242301E-5 | 2.2132313 | 1.0E-5 | 9.330765E-5 | 1.0034643E-4 | 1.1034542E-4 | 1.0996448 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3268487E-4 | 0.001004454 | 0.001014444 | 1.0099456 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7755675E-6 | 1.177555E-5 | 6.6319923 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.609553E-6 | 1.7609476E-5 | 2.3141277 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.2642396E-5 | 1.0264147E-4 | 1.107932 | 1.0E-5 | 8.616491E-4 | 9.274763E-4 | 9.374671E-4 | 1.010772 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.5111402E-6 | 1.1511125E-5 | 7.6175094 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.4762994E-6 | 1.6476235E-5 | 2.5440817 | 1.0E-5 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.884612E-5 | 8.884533E-5 | 1.1268194 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3233736E-4 | 7.895837E-4 | 7.995758E-4 | 1.0126549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.5180298E-7 | 1.5180298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 6.50584E-7 | 6.50584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 7.920832E-6 | 7.920832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790207E-5 | 8.009586E-5 | 8.009586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 1.0424322E-7 | 1.0424322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 4.4675656E-7 | 4.4675656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 5.4392476E-6 | 5.4392476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4567398E-5 | 5.5261193E-5 | 5.5261193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 7.526448E-8 | 7.526448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 3.2256204E-7 | 3.2256204E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 3.927186E-6 | 3.927186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9258597E-5 | 4.0073515E-5 | 4.0073515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 4.2323013E-8 | 4.2323013E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 1.8138432E-7 | 1.8138432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 2.208352E-6 | 2.208352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5379954E-5 | 2.2599956E-5 | 2.2599956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 2.4017512E-8 | 2.4017512E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 1.0293219E-7 | 1.0293219E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.2531987E-6 | 1.2531987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.959095E-6 | 1.2864936E-5 | 1.2864936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 5.384253E-10 | 5.384253E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 2.3075366E-9 | 2.3075366E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 2.8094261E-8 | 2.8094261E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3874273E-7 | 2.870366E-7 | 2.870366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.699681E-5 | 4.699644E-5 | 1.2702836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.585515E-4 | 1.6854992E-4 | 1.063061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001929248 | 0.0019392287 | 1.0051733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019183207 | 0.019193014 | 1.0005113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.699681E-5 | 4.699644E-5 | 1.2702836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.585515E-4 | 1.6854992E-4 | 1.063061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001929248 | 0.0019392287 | 1.0051733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019183207 | 0.019193014 | 1.0005113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.699681E-5 | 4.699644E-5 | 1.2702836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.585515E-4 | 1.6854992E-4 | 1.063061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001929248 | 0.0019392287 | 1.0051733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019183207 | 0.019193014 | 1.0005113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.699681E-5 | 4.699644E-5 | 1.2702836 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.585515E-4 | 1.6854992E-4 | 1.063061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001929248 | 0.0019392287 | 1.0051733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019183207 | 0.019193014 | 1.0005113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4909265E-5 | 2.4909115E-5 | 1.6707139 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.389531E-5 | 7.389468E-5 | 1.156496 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.776529E-4 | 7.876451E-4 | 1.0128492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077498727 | 0.007759795 | 1.0012803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4909265E-5 | 2.4909115E-5 | 1.6707139 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.389531E-5 | 7.389468E-5 | 1.156496 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.776529E-4 | 7.876451E-4 | 1.0128492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077498727 | 0.007759795 | 1.0012803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3061737E-5 | 2.3061608E-5 | 1.765585 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5977685E-5 | 6.5977125E-5 | 1.1786326 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.81317E-4 | 6.9131015E-4 | 1.0146675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067924946 | 0.0068024267 | 1.0014622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2676678E-5 | 2.2676551E-5 | 1.7888402 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4327502E-5 | 6.432696E-5 | 1.1840588 | 1.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.612383E-4 | 6.7123165E-4 | 1.0151131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065929075 | 0.0066028414 | 1.0015068 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2277811E-5 | 2.2277689E-5 | 1.8144674 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2618136E-5 | 6.261761E-5 | 1.1900386 | 1.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.4043916E-4 | 6.504327E-4 | 1.0156043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006386125 | 0.0063960613 | 1.0015559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1202179E-5 | 2.1202068E-5 | 1.8926735 | 1.0E-5 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.8008464E-5 | 5.8007983E-5 | 1.2082866 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.843475E-4 | 5.943417E-4 | 1.0171031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058282577 | 0.0058381995 | 1.0017058 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0625339E-5 | 2.0625233E-5 | 1.9411364 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.553638E-5 | 5.5535926E-5 | 1.2195946 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.542656E-4 | 5.6426006E-4 | 1.0180318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055289725 | 0.005538917 | 1.0017986 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 1.0023506E-5 | 2.0023404E-5 | 1.997645 | 1.0E-5 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.295718E-5 | 5.295675E-5 | 1.23278 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2287936E-4 | 5.3287414E-4 | 1.0191149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005216625 | 0.005226573 | 1.001907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.789234E-6 | 1.8789146E-5 | 2.1377456 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7667607E-5 | 4.7667232E-5 | 1.2654701 | 1.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.585077E-4 | 4.6850313E-4 | 1.0217999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.004575737 | 0.0045856913 | 1.0021755 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.540114E-6 | 1.7540038E-5 | 2.3262298 | 1.0E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.231438E-5 | 4.2314055E-5 | 1.3094498 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9335756E-4 | 4.0335365E-4 | 1.0254122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003926722 | 0.0039366824 | 1.0025367 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.2143663E-6 | 6.2143663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6632733E-5 | 2.6632733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2420625E-4 | 3.2420625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032374314 | 0.0032374314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.465362E-6 | 4.465362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.913713E-5 | 1.913713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3297036E-4 | 2.3297036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023273318 | 0.0023273318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3039091E-6 | 1.3039091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5881706E-6 | 5.5881706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.803392E-5 | 6.803392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.801379E-4 | 6.801379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.622849E-7 | 5.622849E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4097906E-6 | 2.4097906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9338842E-5 | 2.9338842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9335328E-4 | 2.9335328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8102343E-8 | 4.8102343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0615288E-7 | 2.0615288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5099084E-6 | 2.5099084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5098812E-5 | 2.5098812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3990116E-5 | 7.398904E-5 | 1.3704182 | 2.0E-5 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.3137052E-4 | 2.5136588E-4 | 1.0864215 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0028142661 | 0.00283421 | 1.0070866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.027880976 | 0.02790042 | 1.0006974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3990116E-5 | 7.398904E-5 | 1.3704182 | 2.0E-5 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.3137052E-4 | 2.5136588E-4 | 1.0864215 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002182488 | 0.0028142661 | 0.00283421 | 1.0070866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021611776 | 0.027880976 | 0.02790042 | 1.0006974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2381802E-5 | 2.2381802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.59198E-5 | 9.59198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011675898 | 0.0011675898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011652351 | 0.011652351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2381802E-5 | 2.2381802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.59198E-5 | 9.59198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011675898 | 0.0011675898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011652351 | 0.011652351 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.8084185E-5 | 1.8084185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.750278E-5 | 7.750278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.435743E-4 | 9.435743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.0094330385 | 0.0094330385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7853995E-5 | 5.785352E-5 | 1.208959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0507337E-4 | 2.1507133E-4 | 1.048753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002494076 | 0.002504051 | 1.0039995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024678657 | 0.02468841 | 1.0003952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7853995E-5 | 5.785352E-5 | 1.208959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0507337E-4 | 2.1507133E-4 | 1.048753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002494076 | 0.002504051 | 1.0039995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024678657 | 0.02468841 | 1.0003952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7853995E-5 | 5.785352E-5 | 1.208959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0507337E-4 | 2.1507133E-4 | 1.048753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002494076 | 0.002504051 | 1.0039995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024678657 | 0.02468841 | 1.0003952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7853995E-5 | 5.785352E-5 | 1.208959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0507337E-4 | 2.1507133E-4 | 1.048753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002494076 | 0.002504051 | 1.0039995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024678657 | 0.02468841 | 1.0003952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7853995E-5 | 5.785352E-5 | 1.208959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0507337E-4 | 2.1507133E-4 | 1.048753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002494076 | 0.002504051 | 1.0039995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024678657 | 0.02468841 | 1.0003952 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.553544E-5 | 4.5535082E-5 | 1.2813993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5228637E-4 | 1.6228485E-4 | 1.0656557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.001852603 | 0.0018625845 | 1.0053878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018381352 | 0.018391168 | 1.000534 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.552483E-5 | 4.5524477E-5 | 1.2814833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5224091E-4 | 1.622394E-4 | 1.0656754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018520507 | 0.0018620321 | 1.0053895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018375918 | 0.018385734 | 1.0005342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1625084E-5 | 4.1624768E-5 | 1.3161947 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3552951E-4 | 1.4552816E-4 | 1.0737747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016489091 | 0.0016588926 | 1.0060546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.01637562 | 0.016385457 | 1.0006007 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1563028E-5 | 4.156271E-5 | 1.3168164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3526359E-4 | 1.4526224E-4 | 1.0739198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016456763 | 0.0016556599 | 1.0060666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016343769 | 0.016353605 | 1.0006019 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6834488E-5 | 3.683422E-5 | 1.3726448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.15000315E-4 | 1.2499916E-4 | 1.0869462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013993063 | 0.0014092925 | 1.0071363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.01391274 | 0.013922601 | 1.0007088 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5963322E-5 | 3.596306E-5 | 1.3851488 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.11267065E-4 | 1.21265955E-4 | 1.0898639 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013539114 | 0.0013638978 | 1.007376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.01346436 | 0.013474225 | 1.0007327 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4584766E-5 | 3.4584522E-5 | 1.4067459 | 1.0E-5 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0535946E-4 | 1.153584E-4 | 1.0949031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012820724 | 0.0012920595 | 1.0077899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.012754371 | 0.012764243 | 1.000774 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.776518E-5 | 2.7765002E-5 | 1.5628889 | 1.0E-5 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.6134624E-5 | 8.613386E-5 | 1.1313363 | 1.0E-5 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2660915E-4 | 9.365999E-4 | 1.010782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009233817 | 0.009243725 | 1.001073 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5642707E-5 | 2.564255E-5 | 1.6392655 | 1.0E-5 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.70388E-5 | 7.703813E-5 | 1.1491574 | 1.0E-5 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.159542E-4 | 8.25946E-4 | 1.0122455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008135738 | 0.008145656 | 1.0012192 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5475425E-6 | 5.5475425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3774968E-5 | 2.3774968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.894223E-4 | 2.894223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028905086 | 0.0028905086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.356855E-6 | 5.356855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.295775E-5 | 2.295775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.794753E-4 | 2.794753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027912927 | 0.0027912927 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3309014E-6 | 4.3309014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8560877E-5 | 1.8560877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2595558E-4 | 2.2595558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022572933 | 0.0022572933 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.863715E-6 | 2.863715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2273008E-5 | 1.2273008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.494139E-4 | 1.494139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014931608 | 0.0014931608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0168613E-6 | 1.0168613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3579703E-6 | 4.3579703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.3057025E-5 | 5.3057025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.3044653E-4 | 5.3044653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8671409E-7 | 1.8671409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 8.00203E-7 | 8.00203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.742431E-6 | 9.742431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.742033E-5 | 9.742033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.435817E-5 | 8.435817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806816 | 0.0010266107 | 0.0010366004 | 1.0097308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014708545 | 0.010222105 | 0.010232003 | 1.0009682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.435817E-5 | 8.435817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010266107 | 0.0010366004 | 1.0097308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.010222105 | 0.010232003 | 1.0009682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.9684167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.435817E-5 | 8.435817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010266107 | 0.0010366004 | 1.0097308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009242975 | 0.010222105 | 0.010232003 | 1.0009682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4944752E-5 | 1.4944752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.404749E-5 | 6.404749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.795204E-4 | 7.795204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007027647 | 0.007769981 | 0.007769981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2011384E-5 | 1.2011384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.1476432E-5 | 5.1476432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.2656123E-4 | 6.2656123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005655863 | 0.0062495284 | 0.0062495284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.780352E-6 | 8.780352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.762959E-5 | 3.762959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.5805343E-4 | 4.5805343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0045720297 | 0.0045720297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.288751E-6 | 7.288751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.1237174E-5 | 3.1237174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.8025435E-4 | 3.8025435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003796837 | 0.003796837 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.2377063E-6 | 5.2377063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.2447142E-5 | 2.2447142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.7326363E-4 | 2.7326363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002729665 | 0.002729665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.7934864E-6 | 4.7934864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.0543373E-5 | 2.0543373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5009073E-4 | 2.5009073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0024984714 | 0.0024984714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0034244E-6 | 3.0034244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2871761E-5 | 1.2871761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.5670358E-4 | 1.5670358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001423255 | 0.0015660452 | 0.0015660452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.0926984E-6 | 2.0926984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 8.96868E-6 | 8.96868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.0918889E-4 | 1.0918889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0010914189 | 0.0010914189 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6457684E-6 | 1.6457684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.0532774E-6 | 7.0532774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.5870844E-5 | 8.5870844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.5843325E-4 | 8.5843325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1724422E-6 | 1.1724422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.024746E-6 | 5.024746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.117509E-5 | 6.117509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1163364E-4 | 6.1163364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.689386E-7 | 9.689386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.15259E-6 | 4.15259E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0557122E-5 | 5.0557122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.055062E-4 | 5.055062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.4332197E-7 | 8.4332197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6142349E-6 | 3.6142349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.400293E-5 | 4.400293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.3999197E-4 | 4.3999197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.240833E-7 | 6.240833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.674643E-6 | 2.674643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2563777E-5 | 3.2563777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2563775E-4 | 3.2563775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Jess Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001765276 | 0.001791498 | 0.0018014801 | 1.005572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001765276 | 0.001791498 | 0.0018014801 | 1.005572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001765276 | 0.001791498 | 0.0018014801 | 1.005572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 3.4358834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.4725147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.7926673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001765276 | 0.001791498 | 0.0018014801 | 1.005572 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5291708E-6 | 1.5510814E-6 | 1.5510814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553573E-6 | 6.6474795E-6 | 6.6474795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.978683E-5 | 8.0930855E-5 | 8.0930855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.975819E-4 | 8.090921E-4 | 8.090921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5291708E-6 | 1.5510814E-6 | 1.5510814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553573E-6 | 6.6474795E-6 | 6.6474795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.978683E-5 | 8.0930855E-5 | 8.0930855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.975819E-4 | 8.090921E-4 | 8.090921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.396423E-7 | 5.474871E-7 | 5.474871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.312751E-6 | 2.3463722E-6 | 2.3463722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8157378E-5 | 2.8566896E-5 | 2.8566896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8153812E-4 | 2.8565066E-4 | 2.8565066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.396423E-7 | 5.474871E-7 | 5.474871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.312751E-6 | 2.3463722E-6 | 2.3463722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8157378E-5 | 2.8566896E-5 | 2.8566896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8153812E-4 | 2.8565066E-4 | 2.8565066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.6058395E-7 | 3.658227E-7 | 3.658227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5453588E-6 | 1.5678115E-6 | 1.5678115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8814582E-5 | 1.9088106E-5 | 1.9088106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8812988E-4 | 1.9088105E-4 | 1.9088105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1894548E-4 | 2.280982E-4 | 2.3809592E-4 | 1.0438308 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 9.769478E-4 | 9.86938E-4 | 1.010226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.011786073 | 0.011795956 | 1.0008385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.10808045 | 0.108089365 | 1.0000825 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1894548E-4 | 2.280982E-4 | 2.3809592E-4 | 1.0438308 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 9.769478E-4 | 9.86938E-4 | 1.010226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.011786073 | 0.011795956 | 1.0008385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.060180783 | 0.10808045 | 0.108089365 | 1.0000825 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1656485E-4 | 2.280982E-4 | 2.3809592E-4 | 1.0438308 | 1.0E-5 | 4.99468E-4 | 9.769478E-4 | 9.86938E-4 | 1.010226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060640806 | 0.011786073 | 0.011795956 | 1.0008385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.059012495 | 0.10808045 | 0.108089365 | 1.0000825 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.152476E-4 | 2.2684137E-4 | 2.368391E-4 | 1.0440737 | 1.0E-5 | 4.938248E-4 | 9.7156735E-4 | 9.815576E-4 | 1.0102826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005995755 | 0.011721447 | 0.01173133 | 1.0008432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058365438 | 0.10751306 | 0.10752199 | 1.000083 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0933004E-4 | 2.1932795E-4 | 1.0477614 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.966075E-4 | 9.065986E-4 | 1.0111432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010827507 | 0.0108373985 | 1.0009136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.10017104 | 0.10018004 | 1.0000899 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8853153E-4 | 1.9852964E-4 | 1.0530316 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.075717E-4 | 8.175636E-4 | 1.0123729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009761207 | 0.00977111 | 1.0010145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.09105317 | 0.09106226 | 1.0000998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5194018E-4 | 1.6193866E-4 | 1.0658053 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.509731E-4 | 6.609666E-4 | 1.0153517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007891122 | 0.007901044 | 1.0012573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.075525515 | 0.07553475 | 1.0001224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4735834E-4 | 1.5735687E-4 | 1.0678518 | 1.0E-5 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.313486E-4 | 6.4134225E-4 | 1.0158291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.0076545463 | 0.0076644695 | 1.0012964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07337878 | 0.07338804 | 1.0001262 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2868768E-4 | 1.3868639E-4 | 1.0776975 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.5138837E-4 | 5.6138285E-4 | 1.018126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006689734 | 0.006699667 | 1.0014849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.06455623 | 0.064565584 | 1.000145 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.03244325E-4 | 1.13243295E-4 | 1.0968477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.424012E-4 | 4.5239675E-4 | 1.022594 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0053730323 | 0.005382979 | 1.0018512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.052391525 | 0.052401 | 1.0001808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.746299E-5 | 9.746212E-5 | 1.1143241 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.74788E-4 | 3.8478427E-4 | 1.0266718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0045535862 | 0.0045635407 | 1.0021861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.044659242 | 0.044668794 | 1.0002139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.314978E-5 | 8.314905E-5 | 1.1366959 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.134617E-4 | 3.2345855E-4 | 1.0318918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003809776 | 0.0038197378 | 1.0026149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.03769814 | 0.03770776 | 1.0002552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.782815E-5 | 6.7827576E-5 | 1.1729162 | 1.0E-5 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.4781158E-4 | 2.578091E-4 | 1.0403433 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0030129624 | 0.0030229322 | 1.003309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.030055484 | 0.030065183 | 1.0003227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.235045E-5 | 5.2350028E-5 | 1.236115 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.814894E-4 | 1.9148759E-4 | 1.0550896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0022074124 | 0.0022173903 | 1.0045202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.022138294 | 0.02214807 | 1.0004417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.9931185E-5 | 3.9930885E-5 | 1.3340898 | 1.0E-5 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2827021E-4 | 1.3826894E-4 | 1.0779505 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0015605736 | 0.001570558 | 1.0063978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.015731316 | 0.015741158 | 1.0006257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.7221282E-5 | 3.722101E-5 | 1.3673496 | 1.0E-5 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1665744E-4 | 1.2665626E-4 | 1.0857111 | 1.0E-5 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0014193812 | 0.0014293671 | 1.0070354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.0143215535 | 0.01433141 | 1.0006882 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 2.0482948E-5 | 2.0482948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.778112E-5 | 8.778112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010682126 | 0.0010682126 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010810603 | 0.010810603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.1402166E-5 | 1.1402166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.886551E-5 | 4.886551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.947753E-4 | 5.947753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0060847756 | 0.0060847756 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 1.0313342E-5 | 1.0313342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.419929E-5 | 4.419929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 5.3799356E-4 | 5.3799356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0054974556 | 0.0054974556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 8.083664E-6 | 8.083664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.4643817E-5 | 3.4643817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 4.217069E-4 | 4.217069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0042838063 | 0.0042838063 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.8365528E-6 | 4.8365528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 2.0727919E-5 | 2.0727919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.5233327E-4 | 2.5233327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0025564854 | 0.0025564854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.6157386E-6 | 2.6157386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.1210261E-5 | 1.1210261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.3647642E-4 | 1.3647642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0013893208 | 0.0013893208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0400023E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012654673 | 0.0012825858 | 0.001292573 | 1.0077868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.0128277745 | 0.012837646 | 1.0007696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0400023E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012654673 | 0.0012825858 | 0.001292573 | 1.0077868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.0128277745 | 0.012837646 | 1.0007696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0400023E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012654673 | 0.0012825858 | 0.001292573 | 1.0077868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0125828525 | 0.0128277745 | 0.012837646 | 1.0007696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 2.4596113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03585466E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0540767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012604233 | 0.0012825858 | 0.001292573 | 1.0077868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012532983 | 0.0128277745 | 0.012837646 | 1.0007696 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 2.4303437E-5 | 2.4303437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8013195E-5 | 1.0415345E-4 | 1.0415345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011926574 | 0.0012673335 | 0.0012773208 | 1.0078806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011862768 | 0.012676993 | 0.012686866 | 1.0007788 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 2.419305E-5 | 2.419305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.716418E-5 | 1.03680395E-4 | 1.03680395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011823318 | 0.0012615807 | 0.0012715681 | 1.0079166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011760611 | 0.012620121 | 0.012629995 | 1.0007824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 2.298212E-5 | 2.298212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.118244E-5 | 9.8491095E-5 | 9.8491095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011095807 | 0.0011984719 | 0.0012084598 | 1.0083339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011040569 | 0.011995987 | 0.0120058665 | 1.0008236 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 2.1629654E-5 | 2.1629654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.445307E-5 | 9.2695234E-5 | 9.2695234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010277311 | 0.001127982 | 0.0011379707 | 1.0088553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010229911 | 0.011298427 | 0.011308314 | 1.0008751 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 2.1129528E-5 | 2.1129528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.033094E-5 | 9.055199E-5 | 9.055199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0011019147 | 0.0011119036 | 1.0090652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009733009 | 0.011040369 | 0.011050259 | 1.0008957 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 2.016837E-5 | 2.016837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.643302E-5 | 8.643302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.158276E-4 | 0.0010518155 | 0.001061805 | 1.0094974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0091206245 | 0.010544208 | 0.010554103 | 1.0009384 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.9428173E-5 | 1.9428173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.197421E-5 | 8.326095E-5 | 8.326095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.759337E-4 | 0.0010132322 | 0.001023222 | 1.0098594 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008724891 | 0.01016186 | 0.010171759 | 1.000974 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.8924316E-5 | 1.8924316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0017246E-5 | 8.11017E-5 | 8.11017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.869674E-4 | 9.969575E-4 | 1.0101221 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008488664 | 0.00990147 | 0.00991137 | 1.0009999 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.837105E-5 | 1.837105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.873071E-5 | 7.873071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2304585E-4 | 9.581262E-4 | 9.681166E-4 | 1.010427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008200042 | 0.0096155135 | 0.009625417 | 1.00103 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.7824654E-5 | 1.7824654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.6389144E-5 | 7.6389144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.854473E-4 | 9.296423E-4 | 9.39633E-4 | 1.0107468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00782677 | 0.009332606 | 0.009342512 | 1.0010616 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.7663724E-5 | 1.7663724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.569948E-5 | 7.569948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7653467E-4 | 9.2125277E-4 | 9.312435E-4 | 1.0108448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077382675 | 0.009249151 | 0.009259058 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.727059E-5 | 1.727059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.218123E-5 | 7.4014715E-5 | 7.4014715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.567935E-4 | 9.007579E-4 | 9.107489E-4 | 1.0110917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075422134 | 0.009045418 | 0.009055328 | 1.0010955 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.5314343E-5 | 1.5314343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.563125E-5 | 6.563125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.987683E-4 | 8.087603E-4 | 1.0125092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006634211 | 0.008032796 | 0.008042716 | 1.0012349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.269398E-5 | 1.269398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4266326E-5 | 5.4401644E-5 | 5.4401644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388092E-4 | 6.621392E-4 | 6.721326E-4 | 1.0150926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0066757165 | 0.00668565 | 1.001488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 9.914953E-6 | 9.914953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0131043E-5 | 4.2491964E-5 | 4.2491964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667837E-4 | 5.1721703E-4 | 5.272119E-4 | 1.0193242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003661789 | 0.0052210256 | 0.0052309735 | 1.0019053 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 6.047134E-6 | 6.047134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.5916032E-5 | 2.5916032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.11856E-4 | 3.1548212E-4 | 3.1548212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0031858506 | 0.0031858506 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.2679267E-6 | 2.2679267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.719649E-6 | 9.719649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1833035E-4 | 1.1833035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001195906 | 0.001195906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.407724E-7 | 3.407724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.4604525E-6 | 1.4604525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.7780883E-5 | 1.7780883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.7992096E-4 | 1.7992096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.38189E-5 | 6.38189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.734838E-4 | 2.734838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033251927 | 0.0033351593 | 1.0029974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032816563 | 0.032826234 | 1.0002947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.38189E-5 | 6.38189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.734838E-4 | 2.734838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033251927 | 0.0033351593 | 1.0029974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032816563 | 0.032826234 | 1.0002947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6795013E-5 | 2.6795013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1483099E-4 | 1.1483099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013972181 | 0.0013972181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01388924 | 0.01388924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6795013E-5 | 2.6795013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1483099E-4 | 1.1483099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013972181 | 0.0013972181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01388924 | 0.01388924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2586462E-5 | 2.2586462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.679577E-5 | 9.679577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011778919 | 0.0011778919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011720615 | 0.011720615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9850433E-5 | 1.9850433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.507072E-5 | 8.507072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010352813 | 0.0010352813 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010308348 | 0.010308348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6407039E-5 | 1.6407039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 7.031417E-5 | 7.031417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.557713E-4 | 8.557713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008527998 | 0.008527998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4357658E-5 | 1.4357658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.1531544E-5 | 6.1531544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.489199E-4 | 7.489199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.0074670166 | 0.0074670166 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2997811E-5 | 1.2997811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5703884E-5 | 5.5703884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7801384E-4 | 6.7801384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067624273 | 0.0067624273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0284625E-5 | 1.0284625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.407638E-5 | 4.407638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3652615E-4 | 5.3652615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053550946 | 0.0053550946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.612855E-6 | 6.612855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8340633E-5 | 2.8340633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4501648E-4 | 3.4501648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.003447153 | 0.003447153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2125341E-6 | 2.2125341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.482256E-6 | 9.482256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.154405E-4 | 1.154405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011538208 | 0.0011538208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1808416E-6 | 2.1808416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.346431E-6 | 9.346431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1378702E-4 | 1.1378702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.001137303 | 0.001137303 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7462183E-6 | 1.7462183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.483772E-6 | 7.483772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.111121E-5 | 9.111121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.107477E-4 | 9.107477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4656396E-6 | 1.4656396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.281298E-6 | 6.281298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.647219E-5 | 7.647219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6446607E-4 | 7.6446607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.294376E-6 | 1.294376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5473142E-6 | 5.5473142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.753653E-5 | 6.753653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.7516713E-4 | 6.7516713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.772893E-7 | 6.772893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9026655E-6 | 2.9026655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.533944E-5 | 3.533944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.533439E-4 | 3.533439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5255955E-8 | 4.5255955E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9395408E-7 | 1.9395408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3613886E-6 | 2.3613886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3613657E-5 | 2.3613657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5285194E-9 | 1.5285194E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.5507972E-9 | 6.5507972E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.975596E-8 | 7.975596E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.9755955E-7 | 7.9755955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3261257E-5 | 3.3261025E-5 | 1.4298894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.968774E-5 | 1.0968675E-4 | 1.1003033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012131031 | 0.0012230909 | 1.0082333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.012072843 | 0.012082722 | 1.0008183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3261257E-5 | 3.3261025E-5 | 1.4298894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.968774E-5 | 1.0968675E-4 | 1.1003033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012131031 | 0.0012230909 | 1.0082333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.012072843 | 0.012082722 | 1.0008183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3261257E-5 | 3.3261025E-5 | 1.4298894 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.968774E-5 | 1.0968675E-4 | 1.1003033 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012131031 | 0.0012230909 | 1.0082333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011179381 | 0.012072843 | 0.012082722 | 1.0008183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0776022E-5 | 2.0775913E-5 | 1.9279763 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6182206E-5 | 5.6181743E-5 | 1.2165236 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.621366E-4 | 5.7213096E-4 | 1.0177792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0056084665 | 0.0056184107 | 1.001773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0776022E-5 | 2.0775913E-5 | 1.9279763 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6182206E-5 | 5.6181743E-5 | 1.2165236 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.621366E-4 | 5.7213096E-4 | 1.0177792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005217545 | 0.0056084665 | 0.0056184107 | 1.001773 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4765694E-6 | 1.7476495E-5 | 2.3375018 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.2042095E-5 | 4.2041775E-5 | 1.3120794 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.900514E-4 | 4.0004752E-4 | 1.0256276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003894527 | 0.0039044882 | 1.0025578 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3609756E-6 | 1.5360922E-5 | 2.865322 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2975446E-5 | 3.2975215E-5 | 1.4352373 | 1.0E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.796969E-4 | 2.896941E-4 | 1.035743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027941107 | 0.0028040828 | 1.003569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.935162E-6 | 3.935162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6864904E-5 | 1.6864904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0531664E-4 | 2.0531664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020518356 | 0.0020518356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7523838E-6 | 2.7523838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1795905E-5 | 1.1795905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4361065E-4 | 1.4361065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014356661 | 0.0014356661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.9020493E-6 | 1.9020493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.15164E-6 | 8.15164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.9246216E-5 | 9.9246216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.924622E-4 | 9.924622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.358289E-4 | 2.5566865E-4 | 2.656661E-4 | 1.0391032 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8199395E-4 | 0.0010951293 | 0.0011051184 | 1.0091213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070627797 | 0.013228367 | 0.013238235 | 1.0007459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06842483 | 0.1226106 | 0.122619376 | 1.0000715 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2634568E-4 | 2.3947013E-4 | 2.4946773E-4 | 1.0417489 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4136914E-4 | 0.0010257774 | 0.0010357671 | 1.0097387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065712677 | 0.012395982 | 0.012405857 | 1.0007967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06380317 | 0.115357235 | 0.11536608 | 1.0000767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1466059E-4 | 2.1746248E-4 | 2.2746032E-4 | 1.045975 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9130997E-4 | 9.315419E-4 | 9.415326E-4 | 1.0107249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005965305 | 0.011265143 | 0.011275031 | 1.0008777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05807694 | 0.1055253 | 0.10553425 | 1.0000848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.6107288E-4 | 1.7107127E-4 | 1.0620737 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.9009006E-4 | 7.0008315E-4 | 1.0144808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004525038 | 0.008363633 | 0.00837355 | 1.0011857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.07995869 | 0.07996789 | 1.000115 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5833296E-4 | 1.6833137E-4 | 1.063148 | 1.0E-5 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7835365E-4 | 6.8834686E-4 | 1.0147315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008221827 | 0.008231745 | 1.0012063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07864843 | 0.07865765 | 1.0001172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5672547E-4 | 1.6672391E-4 | 1.0637958 | 1.0E-5 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.7146873E-4 | 6.81462E-4 | 1.0148827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004376863 | 0.0081387255 | 0.008148644 | 1.0012187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07788524 | 0.077894464 | 1.0001184 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.532713E-4 | 1.6326977E-4 | 1.0652338 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.566754E-4 | 6.666688E-4 | 1.0152183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0079602925 | 0.007970213 | 1.0012462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.076255836 | 0.076265074 | 1.0001211 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4998848E-4 | 1.5998699E-4 | 1.0666618 | 1.0E-5 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.426151E-4 | 6.526087E-4 | 1.0155514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004172157 | 0.0077907583 | 0.0078006806 | 1.0012735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.0747151 | 0.074724354 | 1.0001239 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.3081204E-4 | 1.4081073E-4 | 1.0764356 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.6048884E-4 | 5.704832E-4 | 1.0178316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0067998366 | 0.0068097687 | 1.0014607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.065652154 | 0.0656615 | 1.0001423 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 1.0155417E-4 | 1.11553156E-4 | 1.0984596 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.3516E-4 | 4.4515566E-4 | 1.0229701 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029876942 | 0.0052852836 | 0.0052952305 | 1.0018821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.051626723 | 0.051636208 | 1.0001837 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.518439E-5 | 9.518353E-5 | 1.1173824 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.6502522E-4 | 3.7502157E-4 | 1.0273854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025403565 | 0.004435195 | 0.004445151 | 1.0022447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.04359128 | 0.043600846 | 1.0002193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.4876065E-5 | 8.487532E-5 | 1.133544 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.2085832E-4 | 3.308551E-4 | 1.0311564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002241108 | 0.0038995156 | 0.0039094766 | 1.0025544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.03848135 | 0.038490966 | 1.0002499 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.6021134E-5 | 6.602058E-5 | 1.1784941 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.4006865E-4 | 2.5006625E-4 | 1.0416447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0029189484 | 0.0029289192 | 1.003416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.029046899 | 0.029056609 | 1.0003343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 4.1171155E-5 | 5.1170744E-5 | 1.2428786 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.7643598E-4 | 1.864342E-4 | 1.0566678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012388286 | 0.00214601 | 0.0021559885 | 1.0046498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.021462256 | 0.02147204 | 1.000456 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.866476E-5 | 3.866447E-5 | 1.3488505 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.228432E-4 | 1.3284196E-4 | 1.0813946 | 1.0E-5 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014945925 | 0.0015045775 | 1.0066808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008312687 | 0.015015889 | 0.015025739 | 1.000656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.6054702E-5 | 3.6054444E-5 | 1.3837979 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.1165824E-4 | 1.2165713E-4 | 1.089549 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0013585939 | 0.0013685804 | 1.0073506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007182234 | 0.013669986 | 0.01367985 | 1.0007216 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.743802E-5 | 1.743802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.473224E-5 | 7.473224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 9.0948667E-4 | 9.0948667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.009207329 | 0.009207329 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 8.418573E-6 | 8.418573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.60791E-5 | 3.60791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.391746E-4 | 4.391746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0045094197 | 0.0045094197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 7.4207996E-6 | 7.4207996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 3.180304E-5 | 3.180304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.871333E-4 | 3.871333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.00397224 | 0.00397224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.782265E-6 | 5.782265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.47809E-5 | 2.47809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 3.0166577E-4 | 3.0166577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0030770337 | 0.0030770337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.606448E-6 | 3.606448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.5456115E-5 | 1.5456115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.88162E-4 | 1.88162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0019104655 | 0.0019104655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.2473023E-6 | 2.2473023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 9.631261E-6 | 9.631261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.1725433E-4 | 1.1725433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0011917155 | 0.0011917155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Walker Spring 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.791276E-6 | 9.240644E-6 | 1.9240553E-5 | 2.0821655 | 1.0E-5 | 3.767635E-5 | 3.9602222E-5 | 4.9601826E-5 | 1.2525011 | 1.0E-5 | 4.58613E-4 | 4.8206118E-4 | 4.9205637E-4 | 1.0207343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004576677 | 0.0048112227 | 0.004821175 | 1.0020685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.791276E-6 | 9.240644E-6 | 1.9240553E-5 | 2.0821655 | 1.0E-5 | 3.767635E-5 | 3.9602222E-5 | 4.9601826E-5 | 1.2525011 | 1.0E-5 | 4.58613E-4 | 4.8206118E-4 | 4.9205637E-4 | 1.0207343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004576677 | 0.0048112227 | 0.004821175 | 1.0020685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.654515E-6 | 5.984543E-6 | 5.984543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4233412E-5 | 2.5647818E-5 | 2.5647818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9500184E-4 | 3.1222243E-4 | 3.1222243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029461053 | 0.00311833 | 0.00311833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.591685E-6 | 4.883075E-6 | 4.883075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.96785E-5 | 2.092732E-5 | 2.092732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.395594E-4 | 2.547647E-4 | 2.547647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002393013 | 0.0025451542 | 0.0025451542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.243283E-6 | 4.5116444E-6 | 4.5116444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185372E-5 | 1.9335499E-5 | 1.9335499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138441E-4 | 2.3538848E-4 | 2.3538848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00221164 | 0.002351805 | 0.002351805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.4445666E-6 | 3.6770862E-6 | 3.6770862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4762345E-5 | 1.575887E-5 | 1.575887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7971672E-4 | 1.9185133E-4 | 1.9185133E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017957145 | 0.00191725 | 0.00191725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.68766E-6 | 2.8721752E-6 | 2.8721752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1518492E-5 | 1.2309286E-5 | 1.2309286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4022861E-4 | 1.4985904E-4 | 1.4985904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014014016 | 0.0014979519 | 0.0014979519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.880964E-7 | 6.181621E-7 | 6.181621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5204106E-6 | 2.6492642E-6 | 2.6492642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0685565E-5 | 3.2254407E-5 | 3.2254407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.068133E-4 | 3.225066E-4 | 3.225066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6514163E-7 | 1.7349757E-7 | 1.7349757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077497E-7 | 7.43561E-7 | 7.43561E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.616818E-6 | 9.052855E-6 | 9.052855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.616484E-5 | 9.052855E-5 | 9.052855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.765594E-5 | 9.8195254E-5 | 1.08194276E-4 | 1.1018279 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4707348E-4 | 4.2077052E-4 | 4.307663E-4 | 1.0237559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030039703 | 0.0051113404 | 0.0051212893 | 1.0019464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029636865 | 0.049535975 | 0.049545478 | 1.0001919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.765594E-5 | 9.8195254E-5 | 1.08194276E-4 | 1.1018279 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4707348E-4 | 4.2077052E-4 | 4.307663E-4 | 1.0237559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030039703 | 0.0051113404 | 0.0051212893 | 1.0019464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029636865 | 0.049535975 | 0.049545478 | 1.0001919 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.678553E-5 | 9.6839416E-5 | 1.06838444E-4 | 1.1032537 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4334386E-4 | 4.149616E-4 | 4.2495746E-4 | 1.0240886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029586866 | 0.0050410028 | 0.005050952 | 1.0019737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029196035 | 0.048869222 | 0.048878737 | 1.0001947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.20309E-5 | 8.8977584E-5 | 8.8977584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2297051E-4 | 3.8128128E-4 | 3.8128128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027112865 | 0.004633021 | 0.004633021 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026784448 | 0.044992894 | 0.044992894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.980965E-5 | 7.980965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.4200083E-4 | 3.4200083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004156673 | 0.004156673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024287801 | 0.04047149 | 0.04047149 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.7147696E-5 | 4.7147696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0204713E-4 | 2.0204713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024573645 | 0.0024573645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015325619 | 0.024143495 | 0.024143495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 3.0253836E-5 | 3.0253836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2965307E-4 | 1.2965307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015774202 | 0.0015774202 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010610655 | 0.01560256 | 0.01560256 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5780308E-5 | 2.5780308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.1048248E-4 | 1.1048248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013443163 | 0.0013443163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009340706 | 0.013330544 | 0.013330544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.2094091E-5 | 2.2094091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.46856E-5 | 9.46856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011522017 | 0.0011522017 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008384023 | 0.011448363 | 0.011448363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7162292E-5 | 1.7162292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.355064E-5 | 7.355064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.95117E-4 | 8.95117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006716994 | 0.008908795 | 0.008908795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2697755E-5 | 1.2697755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4417822E-5 | 5.4417822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.6233723E-4 | 6.6233723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005106334 | 0.0066033034 | 0.0066033034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.04684605E-5 | 1.04684605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4864064E-5 | 4.4864064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.4608413E-4 | 5.4608413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004211805 | 0.00544712 | 0.00544712 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.151732E-6 | 8.151732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.4935532E-5 | 3.4935532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2525784E-4 | 4.2525784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032649285 | 0.004244524 | 0.004244524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.859527E-6 | 4.859527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0826381E-5 | 2.0826381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.535319E-4 | 2.535319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025324207 | 0.0025324207 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.722706E-6 | 3.722706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5954356E-5 | 1.5954356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.942271E-4 | 1.942271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.0019406696 | 0.0019406696 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2556081E-6 | 3.2556081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3952532E-5 | 1.3952532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6985895E-4 | 1.6985895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.0016973647 | 0.0016973647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.3424666E-6 | 2.3424666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.0039104E-5 | 1.0039104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2221934E-4 | 1.2221934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.001221577 | 0.001221577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.845115E-7 | 6.845115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9336177E-6 | 2.9336177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.571622E-5 | 3.571622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5714023E-4 | 3.5714023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.690561E-5 | 6.690561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.867132E-4 | 2.867132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034859893 | 0.0034959542 | 1.0028586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03441419 | 0.034423847 | 1.0002806 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.690561E-5 | 6.690561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.867132E-4 | 2.867132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034859893 | 0.0034959542 | 1.0028586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02591553 | 0.03441419 | 0.034423847 | 1.0002806 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.1093543E-5 | 3.1093543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3325238E-4 | 1.3325238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016213099 | 0.0016213099 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012509781 | 0.016127847 | 0.016127847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2377013E-5 | 2.2377013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.589887E-5 | 9.589887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011670828 | 0.0011670828 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055373 | 0.011639654 | 0.011639654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2377013E-5 | 2.2377013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.589887E-5 | 9.589887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011670828 | 0.0011670828 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055373 | 0.011639654 | 0.011639654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9419043E-5 | 1.9419043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.322269E-5 | 8.322269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010129026 | 0.0010129026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078909 | 0.010112943 | 0.010112943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.422827E-6 | 8.422827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6097357E-5 | 3.6097357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.3940195E-4 | 4.3940195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035039932 | 0.00440291 | 0.00440291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.355004E-6 | 8.355004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.5806697E-5 | 3.5806697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.3586458E-4 | 4.3586458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480947 | 0.004367718 | 0.004367718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.199685E-6 | 8.199685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.514106E-5 | 3.514106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.2776365E-4 | 4.2776365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0042868885 | 0.0042868885 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.871173E-6 | 7.871173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.373319E-5 | 3.373319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1062938E-4 | 4.1062938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041159713 | 0.0041159713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.5056178E-6 | 7.5056178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2166565E-5 | 3.2166565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9156264E-4 | 3.9156264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003925811 | 0.003925811 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.0256065E-6 | 7.0256065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0109422E-5 | 3.0109422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.6652558E-4 | 3.6652558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0036761435 | 0.0036761435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.284593E-6 | 5.284593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.264808E-5 | 2.264808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.757092E-4 | 2.757092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002769502 | 0.002769502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7569358E-6 | 2.7569358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1815387E-5 | 1.1815387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4384299E-4 | 1.4384299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014469251 | 0.0014469251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3779385E-6 | 2.3779385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1684469E-5 | 1.01911255E-5 | 1.01911255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2407E-4 | 1.2407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012484657 | 0.0012484657 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.2451466E-6 | 2.2451466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.622022E-6 | 9.622022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1714191E-4 | 1.1714191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011790846 | 0.0011790846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.960534E-6 | 1.960534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.402262E-6 | 8.402262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20049335E-4 | 1.02292826E-4 | 1.02292826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001199845 | 0.0010304278 | 0.0010304278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.4343293E-6 | 1.4343293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 6.1471114E-6 | 6.1471114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.483856E-5 | 7.483856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.5578643E-4 | 7.5578643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 9.200923E-7 | 9.200923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.943247E-6 | 3.943247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.8007998E-5 | 4.8007998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.8536554E-4 | 4.8536554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 4.16187E-7 | 4.16187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.7836574E-6 | 1.7836574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 2.1715825E-5 | 2.1715825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 2.187714E-4 | 2.187714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.7478628E-8 | 3.7478628E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.6062269E-7 | 1.6062269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.9555803E-6 | 1.9555803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.9854804E-5 | 1.9854804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2603004E-5 | 3.2602777E-5 | 1.442409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.686646E-5 | 1.068655E-4 | 1.1032249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011787186 | 0.0011887068 | 1.0084738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.01172559 | 0.011735472 | 1.0008428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2603004E-5 | 3.2602777E-5 | 1.442409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.686646E-5 | 1.068655E-4 | 1.1032249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011787186 | 0.0011887068 | 1.0084738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.01172559 | 0.011735472 | 1.0008428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2603004E-5 | 3.2602777E-5 | 1.442409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.686646E-5 | 1.068655E-4 | 1.1032249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011787186 | 0.0011887068 | 1.0084738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.01172559 | 0.011735472 | 1.0008428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.143392E-5 | 2.143392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.185646E-5 | 9.185646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011177855 | 0.0011177855 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009891188 | 0.011122464 | 0.011122464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.143392E-5 | 2.143392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.185646E-5 | 9.185646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011177855 | 0.0011177855 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009891188 | 0.011122464 | 0.011122464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.065403E-5 | 2.065403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.85143E-5 | 8.85143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010771354 | 0.0010771354 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009537951 | 0.010719941 | 0.010719941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 2.0000633E-5 | 2.0000633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.5714215E-5 | 8.5714215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010430774 | 0.0010430774 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009241969 | 0.0103825815 | 0.0103825815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9128918E-5 | 1.9128918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.197854E-5 | 8.197854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.97638E-4 | 9.97638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008844362 | 0.00993232 | 0.00993232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8595889E-5 | 1.8595889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.969427E-5 | 7.969427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.69852E-4 | 9.69852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008595915 | 0.009656904 | 0.009656904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8169476E-5 | 1.8169476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.786689E-5 | 7.786689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.476233E-4 | 9.476233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008393973 | 0.009436525 | 0.009436525 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7886528E-5 | 1.7886528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.665433E-5 | 7.665433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.32873E-4 | 9.32873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008259195 | 0.009290266 | 0.009290266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7563212E-5 | 1.7563212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.526877E-5 | 7.526877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.1601815E-4 | 9.1601815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008108052 | 0.009123113 | 0.009123113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7248873E-5 | 1.7248873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.392168E-5 | 7.392168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9963095E-4 | 8.9963095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007963934 | 0.008960574 | 0.008960574 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6376403E-5 | 1.6376403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 7.018273E-5 | 7.018273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.541457E-4 | 8.541457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008509278 | 0.008509278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.587954E-5 | 1.587954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.805343E-5 | 6.805343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.282414E-4 | 8.282414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008252187 | 0.008252187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5195004E-5 | 1.5195004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.511986E-5 | 6.511986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.925517E-4 | 7.925517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007021119 | 0.007897883 | 0.007897883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2683281E-5 | 1.2683281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4355816E-5 | 5.4355816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.6158647E-4 | 6.6158647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005868405 | 0.006596727 | 0.006596727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0329636E-5 | 1.0329636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4269145E-5 | 4.4269145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.388487E-4 | 5.388487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004783291 | 0.005375937 | 0.005375937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6558185E-7 | 3.6558185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5667785E-6 | 1.5667785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9075365E-5 | 1.9075365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9073773E-4 | 1.9073773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6740044E-9 | 2.6740044E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1460019E-8 | 1.1460019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3952572E-7 | 1.3952572E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3952573E-6 | 1.3952573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.1102476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 4.7581245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7916046E-4 | 5.8915466E-4 | 1.0172564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057777846 | 0.005787727 | 1.0017208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9512903E-6 | 6.9512903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.979092E-5 | 2.979092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6264703E-4 | 3.6264703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003951 | 0.003620845 | 0.003620845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9512903E-6 | 6.9512903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.979092E-5 | 2.979092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6264703E-4 | 3.6264703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003951 | 0.003620845 | 0.003620845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1922266E-6 | 5.1922266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2252216E-5 | 2.2252216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.708882E-4 | 2.708882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0027056967 | 0.0027056967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2638444E-6 | 4.2638444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8273495E-5 | 1.8273495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2245782E-4 | 2.2245782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022224241 | 0.0022224241 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7245738E-6 | 3.7245738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5962365E-5 | 1.5962365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.943251E-4 | 1.943251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019416148 | 0.0019416148 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1217153E-6 | 3.1217153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3378714E-5 | 1.3378714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6287425E-4 | 1.6287425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020390663 | 0.001627605 | 0.001627605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6144523E-6 | 2.6144523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1204751E-5 | 1.1204751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.364098E-4 | 1.364098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013633106 | 0.0013633106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8363178E-6 | 1.8363178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.869911E-6 | 7.869911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5812255E-5 | 9.5812255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5773843E-4 | 9.5773843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4436483E-6 | 1.4436483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.187051E-6 | 6.187051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.5325E-5 | 7.5325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.5301976E-4 | 7.5301976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.410534E-7 | 7.410534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1759394E-6 | 3.1759394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8666378E-5 | 3.8666378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8659695E-4 | 3.8659695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.701467E-7 | 4.701467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 2.0149128E-6 | 2.0149128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4531291E-5 | 2.4531291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.452861E-4 | 2.452861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5799083E-7 | 1.5799083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.771034E-7 | 6.771034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.243704E-6 | 8.243704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.24341E-5 | 8.24341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.071252E-5 | 9.0711714E-5 | 1.1238865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4586797E-4 | 3.558645E-4 | 1.0289028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004203336 | 0.0042132935 | 1.002369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04129519 | 0.041304775 | 1.0002321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.071252E-5 | 9.0711714E-5 | 1.1238865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4586797E-4 | 3.558645E-4 | 1.0289028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004203336 | 0.0042132935 | 1.002369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04129519 | 0.041304775 | 1.0002321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6284105E-5 | 4.6284105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9834565E-4 | 1.9834565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024122407 | 0.0024122407 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023867583 | 0.023867583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.788444E-5 | 3.788444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6235196E-4 | 1.6235196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019748742 | 0.0019748742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019577112 | 0.019577112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.408548E-5 | 3.408548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4607259E-4 | 1.4607259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017770093 | 0.0017770093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017631197 | 0.017631197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2243242E-5 | 3.2243242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3817815E-4 | 1.3817815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016810463 | 0.0016810463 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016686331 | 0.016686331 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5780728E-5 | 2.5780728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1048424E-4 | 1.1048424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013443303 | 0.0013443303 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013363699 | 0.013363699 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2689219E-5 | 2.2689219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.723595E-5 | 9.723595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001183216 | 0.001183216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011770458 | 0.011770458 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.9002198E-5 | 1.9002198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.14355E-5 | 8.14355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.910356E-4 | 9.910356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009867191 | 0.009867191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72933E-5 | 1.72933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.411209E-5 | 7.411209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0194994E-4 | 9.0194994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008983841 | 0.008983841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4054104E-5 | 1.4054104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.023053E-5 | 6.023053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.330676E-4 | 7.330676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0073072826 | 0.0073072826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2394166E-5 | 1.2394166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3116815E-5 | 5.3116815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.465127E-4 | 6.465127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006447067 | 0.006447067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0861705E-5 | 1.0861705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6549376E-5 | 4.6549376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.665985E-4 | 5.665985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056522647 | 0.0056522647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.097757E-6 | 9.097757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.898985E-5 | 3.898985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7460507E-4 | 4.7460507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047366195 | 0.0047366195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.366579E-6 | 3.366579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4428144E-5 | 1.4428144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7565355E-4 | 1.7565355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017556434 | 0.0017556434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fitzhugh Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0164323E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7213168E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0955017E-4 | 1.5691592E-4 | 1.6691435E-4 | 1.0637184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020935268 | 0.0015681431 | 0.0015781274 | 1.006367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.5691592E-4 | 1.6691435E-4 | 1.0637184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001550684 | 0.0015681431 | 0.0015781274 | 1.006367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 3.007499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.28892225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.5691592E-4 | 1.6691435E-4 | 1.0637184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001550684 | 0.0015681431 | 0.0015781274 | 1.006367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.4948303E-6 | 1.4948303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.406401E-6 | 6.406401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.799534E-5 | 8.799456E-5 | 1.1282028 | 1.0E-5 | 7.70965E-4 | 7.796994E-4 | 7.8969164E-4 | 1.0128155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.4948303E-6 | 1.4948303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.406401E-6 | 6.406401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.799534E-5 | 8.799456E-5 | 1.1282028 | 1.0E-5 | 7.70965E-4 | 7.796994E-4 | 7.8969164E-4 | 1.0128155 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.5176676E-7 | 9.625676E-7 | 9.625676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078994E-6 | 4.125284E-6 | 4.125284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9660623E-5 | 5.022428E-5 | 6.0223778E-5 | 1.1990969 | 1.0E-5 | 4.964952E-4 | 5.021396E-4 | 5.121346E-4 | 1.0199047 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.21145E-7 | 6.2817196E-7 | 6.2817196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.662047E-6 | 2.6921632E-6 | 2.6921632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2409942E-5 | 3.277666E-5 | 3.277666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2405215E-4 | 3.277248E-4 | 3.277248E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2377962E-7 | 2.2625925E-7 | 2.2625925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.590551E-7 | 9.696823E-7 | 9.696823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1676434E-5 | 1.180585E-5 | 1.180585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1675821E-4 | 1.1805533E-4 | 1.1805533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4785022E-7 | 1.4947285E-7 | 1.4947285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3364365E-7 | 6.4059793E-7 | 6.4059793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.714584E-6 | 7.79928E-6 | 7.79928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.714316E-5 | 7.7992794E-5 | 7.7992794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.267834E-6 | 1.8267752E-5 | 2.2094965 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.54332E-5 | 4.5432847E-5 | 1.2822112 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3133277E-4 | 4.4132845E-4 | 1.0231739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004306816 | 0.004316773 | 1.002312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.267834E-6 | 1.8267752E-5 | 2.2094965 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.54332E-5 | 4.5432847E-5 | 1.2822112 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3133277E-4 | 4.4132845E-4 | 1.0231739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004306816 | 0.004316773 | 1.002312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.267834E-6 | 1.8267752E-5 | 2.2094965 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.54332E-5 | 4.5432847E-5 | 1.2822112 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3133277E-4 | 4.4132845E-4 | 1.0231739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004306816 | 0.004316773 | 1.002312 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.759847E-6 | 1.575979E-5 | 2.7361472 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4684889E-5 | 3.4684643E-5 | 1.4050962 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0050825E-4 | 3.1050525E-4 | 1.0332669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.003002116 | 0.003012086 | 1.0033209 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.759847E-6 | 1.575979E-5 | 2.7361472 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4684889E-5 | 3.4684643E-5 | 1.4050962 | 1.0E-5 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.0050825E-4 | 3.1050525E-4 | 1.0332669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.003002116 | 0.003012086 | 1.0033209 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.9470588E-6 | 3.9470588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6915898E-5 | 1.6915898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0593865E-4 | 2.0593865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020581721 | 0.0020581721 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.904168E-6 | 3.904168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6732081E-5 | 1.6732081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0370111E-4 | 2.0370111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020358379 | 0.0020358379 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6890623E-6 | 2.6890623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1524534E-5 | 1.1524534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4030783E-4 | 1.4030783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014027491 | 0.0014027491 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.1934643E-7 | 5.1934643E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2257686E-6 | 2.2257686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.7098415E-5 | 2.7098415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.709529E-4 | 2.709529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.369957E-7 | 4.369957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8728374E-6 | 1.8728374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2801572E-5 | 2.2801572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2799395E-4 | 2.2799395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9899883E-7 | 2.9899883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2814229E-6 | 1.2814229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5601225E-5 | 1.5601225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5600258E-4 | 1.5600258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6446825E-7 | 1.6446825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.0486374E-7 | 7.0486374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.581691E-6 | 8.581691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.581439E-5 | 8.581439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.562659E-6 | 8.562659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6696696E-5 | 3.6696696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4670858E-4 | 4.4670858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044598687 | 0.004469824 | 1.0022322 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7801842E-6 | 3.7801842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6200716E-5 | 1.6200716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9723063E-4 | 1.9723063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019710246 | 0.0019710246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7801842E-6 | 3.7801842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6200716E-5 | 1.6200716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9723063E-4 | 1.9723063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019710246 | 0.0019710246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4430065E-6 | 1.4430065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1843066E-6 | 6.1843066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.529275E-5 | 7.529275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5281155E-4 | 7.5281155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4430065E-6 | 1.4430065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1843066E-6 | 6.1843066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.529275E-5 | 7.529275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.5281155E-4 | 7.5281155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0235325E-6 | 1.0235325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.386568E-6 | 4.386568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3406464E-5 | 5.3406464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3406466E-4 | 5.3406466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017700898 | 0.0017700898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017585672 | 0.017595498 | 1.0005586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017700898 | 0.0017700898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017585672 | 0.017595498 | 1.0005586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017700898 | 0.0017700898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017585672 | 0.017595498 | 1.0005586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 3.394785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.4548411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017700898 | 0.0017700898 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.017585672 | 0.017595498 | 1.0005586 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7131855E-5 | 1.7131855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.34203E-5 | 7.34203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.935489E-4 | 8.935489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008901848 | 0.008901848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7131855E-5 | 1.7131855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.34203E-5 | 7.34203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.935489E-4 | 8.935489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008901848 | 0.008901848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2213336E-5 | 1.2213336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.234183E-5 | 5.234183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.370778E-4 | 6.370778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006352704 | 0.006352704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2213336E-5 | 1.2213336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.234183E-5 | 5.234183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.370778E-4 | 6.370778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006352704 | 0.006352704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1432113E-5 | 1.1432113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8993857E-5 | 4.8993857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9633894E-4 | 5.9633894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059475354 | 0.0059475354 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.141012E-5 | 1.141012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8899612E-5 | 4.8899612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9519213E-4 | 5.9519213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005936128 | 0.005936128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1329052E-5 | 1.1329052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8552185E-5 | 4.8552185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.909645E-4 | 5.909645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.005894077 | 0.005894077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0802676E-5 | 1.0802676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6296373E-5 | 4.6296373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.635145E-4 | 5.635145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0056209923 | 0.0056209923 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.0070403E-5 | 1.0070403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.3158165E-5 | 4.3158165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2532577E-4 | 5.2532577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005240963 | 0.005240963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.9057685E-6 | 8.9057685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.8167032E-5 | 3.8167032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.645861E-4 | 4.645861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004636245 | 0.004636245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.482291E-6 | 8.482291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.635218E-5 | 3.635218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.4249947E-4 | 4.4249947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004416276 | 0.004416276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.346529E-6 | 7.346529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1484753E-5 | 3.1484753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8326086E-4 | 3.8326086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038260738 | 0.0038260738 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8905014E-6 | 3.8905014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6673472E-5 | 1.6673472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0298074E-4 | 2.0298074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020279672 | 0.0020279672 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1387503E-6 | 3.1387503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3451719E-5 | 1.3451719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6376245E-4 | 1.6376245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016364271 | 0.0016364271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.037205E-6 | 2.037205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.73085E-6 | 8.73085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0629296E-4 | 1.0629296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010624259 | 0.0010624259 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.286973E-7 | 3.286973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4087019E-6 | 1.4087019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7150815E-5 | 1.7150815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7149521E-4 | 1.7149521E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.7090634E-9 | 5.7090634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4467417E-8 | 2.4467417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9789078E-7 | 2.9789078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9789057E-6 | 2.9789057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Butano 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.561135E-6 | 6.447286E-6 | 6.447286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.7630946E-5 | 2.7630946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9876433E-4 | 3.3635704E-4 | 3.3635704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004976464 | 0.003376445 | 0.0033864114 | 1.0029517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.561135E-6 | 6.447286E-6 | 6.447286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.7630946E-5 | 2.7630946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9876433E-4 | 3.3635704E-4 | 3.3635704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004976464 | 0.003376445 | 0.0033864114 | 1.0029517 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.364741E-6 | 5.198394E-6 | 5.198394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5848396E-5 | 2.2278648E-5 | 2.2278648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.7121036E-4 | 2.7121036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043551093 | 0.0027267071 | 0.00273668 | 1.0036575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.364741E-6 | 5.198394E-6 | 5.198394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5848396E-5 | 2.2278648E-5 | 2.2278648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.7121036E-4 | 2.7121036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043551093 | 0.0027267071 | 0.00273668 | 1.0036575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.768282E-6 | 4.575339E-6 | 4.575339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329221E-5 | 1.9608455E-5 | 1.9608455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0525728E-4 | 2.3870816E-4 | 2.3870816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040451903 | 0.0024024157 | 0.0024123916 | 1.0041525 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.673437E-6 | 4.474858E-6 | 4.474858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2885746E-5 | 1.9177829E-5 | 1.9177829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0031038E-4 | 2.3346642E-4 | 2.3346642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039959005 | 0.0023501092 | 0.0023600857 | 1.0042452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5244197E-6 | 4.319479E-6 | 4.319479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2247113E-5 | 1.851193E-5 | 1.851193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9253788E-4 | 2.2536078E-4 | 2.2536078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003918452 | 0.0022692203 | 0.0022791976 | 1.0043968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4921405E-6 | 3.256814E-6 | 3.256814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7823162E-5 | 1.39577E-5 | 1.39577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3869434E-4 | 1.6992183E-4 | 1.6992183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003381786 | 0.0017157028 | 0.0017157028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.2890294E-6 | 3.0433894E-6 | 3.0433894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6952705E-5 | 1.3043032E-5 | 1.3043032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2809976E-4 | 1.5878743E-4 | 1.5878743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032761577 | 0.0016045246 | 0.0016045246 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.0965517E-6 | 2.849284E-6 | 2.849284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6127816E-5 | 1.22111605E-5 | 1.22111605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1805973E-4 | 1.4866081E-4 | 1.4866081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031760489 | 0.001503399 | 0.001503399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.566252E-6 | 2.364051E-6 | 2.364051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3855147E-5 | 1.0131607E-5 | 1.0131607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9039773E-4 | 1.2334538E-4 | 1.2334538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029001853 | 0.0012505511 | 0.0012505511 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.878588E-6 | 1.7754578E-6 | 1.7754578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6622414E-5 | 7.6090823E-6 | 7.6090823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023591E-4 | 9.263664E-5 | 9.263664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020217493 | 9.4325567E-4 | 9.4325567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.7038085E-6 | 1.653574E-6 | 1.653574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.587337E-5 | 7.0867263E-6 | 7.0867263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9324113E-4 | 8.627748E-5 | 8.627748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019307317 | 8.796779E-4 | 8.796779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.5277278E-6 | 1.5588197E-6 | 1.5588197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5118746E-5 | 6.6806383E-6 | 6.6806383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8405518E-4 | 8.133374E-5 | 8.133374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018390282 | 8.30178E-4 | 8.30178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3711294E-6 | 1.4927019E-6 | 1.4927019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4447617E-5 | 6.397278E-6 | 6.397278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7588554E-4 | 7.788408E-5 | 7.788408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017574639 | 7.956451E-4 | 7.956451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.0496426E-6 | 1.3729367E-6 | 1.3729367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3069831E-5 | 5.884001E-6 | 5.884001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5911358E-4 | 7.163536E-5 | 7.163536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001589997 | 7.3312304E-4 | 7.3312304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2179781E-6 | 1.016828E-6 | 1.016828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.505586E-6 | 4.357827E-6 | 4.357827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1572436E-4 | 5.3055253E-5 | 5.3055253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011566412 | 5.473137E-4 | 5.473137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7519328E-6 | 8.067336E-7 | 8.067336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.508262E-6 | 3.4574252E-6 | 3.4574252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.140925E-5 | 4.209334E-5 | 4.209334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.137166E-4 | 4.3693895E-4 | 4.3693895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1478974E-6 | 7.193534E-7 | 7.193534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9195505E-6 | 3.0829394E-6 | 3.0829394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9893882E-5 | 3.753414E-5 | 3.753414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9877743E-4 | 3.9096555E-4 | 3.9096555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.1154634E-7 | 6.470622E-7 | 6.470622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6209104E-6 | 2.7731207E-6 | 2.7731207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1909116E-5 | 3.3762222E-5 | 3.3762222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1904536E-4 | 3.5184485E-4 | 3.5184485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.6520046E-7 | 6.005043E-7 | 6.005043E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9937147E-6 | 2.5735872E-6 | 2.5735872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4273206E-5 | 3.1332973E-5 | 3.1332973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4270554E-4 | 3.2651576E-4 | 3.2651576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.8425194E-7 | 3.535556E-7 | 3.535556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.218222E-6 | 1.5152375E-6 | 1.5152375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831752E-5 | 1.844786E-5 | 1.844786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830762E-4 | 1.9240272E-4 | 1.9240272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.585778E-8 | 4.904871E-8 | 4.904871E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3939046E-7 | 2.1020877E-7 | 2.1020877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.914575E-6 | 2.5592885E-6 | 2.5592885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9145367E-5 | 2.7535074E-5 | 2.7535074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0371215E-10 | 6.705436E-11 | 6.705436E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4448079E-10 | 2.873759E-10 | 2.873759E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4115543E-9 | 3.4988001E-9 | 3.4988001E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4115542E-8 | 3.956524E-8 | 3.956524E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9722197E-4 | 3.07219E-4 | 1.0336349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012733452 | 0.0012833325 | 1.0078434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015414683 | 0.015424529 | 1.0006387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14105326 | 0.14106184 | 1.0000609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9722197E-4 | 3.07219E-4 | 1.0336349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012733452 | 0.0012833325 | 1.0078434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015414683 | 0.015424529 | 1.0006387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14105326 | 0.14106184 | 1.0000609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9722197E-4 | 3.07219E-4 | 1.0336349 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012733452 | 0.0012833325 | 1.0078434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015414683 | 0.015424529 | 1.0006387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.14105326 | 0.14106184 | 1.0000609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7894202E-4 | 1.7894202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.667885E-4 | 7.667885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009316873 | 0.009316873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08771826 | 0.08771826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7894202E-4 | 1.7894202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.667885E-4 | 7.667885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005262531 | 0.009316873 | 0.009316873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0513964 | 0.08771826 | 0.08771826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6727506E-5 | 4.6727506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 2.0024746E-4 | 2.0024746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.002435658 | 0.002435658 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01892915 | 0.023840781 | 0.023840781 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6168977E-5 | 2.6168977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12148184E-4 | 1.12148184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013645929 | 0.0013645929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013566221 | 0.013566221 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2058202E-5 | 2.2058202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.453193E-5 | 9.453193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011503543 | 0.0011503543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011448864 | 0.011448864 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4507297E-5 | 1.4507297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.217268E-5 | 6.217268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.566944E-4 | 7.566944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075451112 | 0.0075451112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2503123E-5 | 1.2503123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.358373E-5 | 5.358373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.521899E-4 | 6.521899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.006506228 | 0.006506228 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.161502E-5 | 1.161502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9777726E-5 | 4.9777726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 6.058783E-4 | 6.058783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.006045661 | 0.006045661 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.038915E-5 | 1.038915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.4524182E-5 | 4.4524182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.419497E-4 | 5.419497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0054092817 | 0.0054092817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.6119E-6 | 8.6119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.690763E-5 | 3.690763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4925947E-4 | 4.4925947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004484736 | 0.004484736 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.3213623E-6 | 7.3213623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1376898E-5 | 3.1376898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.8194825E-4 | 3.8194825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0038132733 | 0.0038132733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.4191336E-6 | 6.4191336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.751029E-5 | 2.751029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.348877E-4 | 3.348877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033439803 | 0.0033439803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2733844E-6 | 5.2733844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.260003E-5 | 2.260003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.751219E-4 | 2.751219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027479397 | 0.0027479397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.724883E-6 | 4.724883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0249348E-5 | 2.0249348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4650912E-4 | 2.4650912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024624744 | 0.0024624744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3537125E-6 | 2.3537125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.0087305E-5 | 1.0087305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2280677E-4 | 1.2280677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012274635 | 0.0012274635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.469766E-8 | 9.469766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0584706E-7 | 4.0584706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.94118E-6 | 4.94118E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.9411035E-5 | 4.9411035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4789496E-9 | 3.4789496E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4909784E-8 | 1.4909784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8152659E-7 | 1.8152659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.8152646E-6 | 1.8152646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
West Tahoe
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011083044 | 0.0011182934 | 1.0090128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010135954 | 0.011033297 | 0.011043186 | 1.0008963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011083044 | 0.0011182934 | 1.0090128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010135954 | 0.011033297 | 0.011043186 | 1.0008963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011083044 | 0.0011182934 | 1.0090128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010135954 | 0.011033297 | 0.011043186 | 1.0008963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011083044 | 0.0011182934 | 1.0090128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010135954 | 0.011033297 | 0.011043186 | 1.0008963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 2.1251028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 9.1072965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011083044 | 0.0011182934 | 1.0090128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010135954 | 0.011033297 | 0.011043186 | 1.0008963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2685271E-5 | 1.3731491E-5 | 1.3731491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4364315E-5 | 5.8848014E-5 | 5.8848014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.616845E-4 | 7.162556E-4 | 7.162556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065971776 | 0.007141132 | 0.007141132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2685271E-5 | 1.3731491E-5 | 1.3731491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4364315E-5 | 5.8848014E-5 | 5.8848014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.616845E-4 | 7.162556E-4 | 7.162556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065971776 | 0.007141132 | 0.007141132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.117886E-6 | 9.837867E-6 | 9.837867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9076072E-5 | 4.2161646E-5 | 4.2161646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.756473E-4 | 5.132044E-4 | 5.132044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047463053 | 0.005120914 | 0.005120914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.786828E-6 | 9.485047E-6 | 9.485047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7657293E-5 | 4.0649607E-5 | 4.0649607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5838108E-4 | 4.9480365E-4 | 4.9480365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045743673 | 0.004937725 | 0.004937725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.7562123E-6 | 7.2843422E-6 | 7.2843422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8954875E-5 | 3.1218264E-5 | 3.1218264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246857E-4 | 3.8002085E-4 | 3.8002085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035191004 | 0.0037941847 | 0.0037941847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.1792854E-6 | 5.583031E-6 | 5.583031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2196748E-5 | 2.3927078E-5 | 2.3927078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.702119E-4 | 2.9127707E-4 | 2.9127707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026988357 | 0.0029093302 | 0.0029093302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.090765E-6 | 4.4098233E-6 | 4.4098233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7531731E-5 | 1.8899125E-5 | 1.8899125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.134279E-4 | 2.3007597E-4 | 2.3007597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322304 | 0.0022987141 | 0.0022987141 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2356758E-6 | 2.4091053E-6 | 2.4091053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.581432E-6 | 1.0324707E-5 | 1.0324707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1664769E-4 | 1.2569796E-4 | 1.2569796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011658648 | 0.0012564554 | 0.0012564554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8547453E-5 | 1.8547453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9486934E-5 | 7.9486934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.673727E-4 | 9.673727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009017491 | 0.009636485 | 0.009646389 | 1.0010277 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.613284E-6 | 9.613284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.119919E-5 | 4.119919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0149363E-4 | 5.0149363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047176396 | 0.005004506 | 0.005014456 | 1.0019882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.613284E-6 | 9.613284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.119919E-5 | 4.119919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0149363E-4 | 5.0149363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047176396 | 0.005004506 | 0.005014456 | 1.0019882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.684013E-6 | 7.684013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2931108E-5 | 3.2931108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0086964E-4 | 4.0086964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0040021734 | 0.0040021734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.684013E-6 | 7.684013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2931108E-5 | 3.2931108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0086964E-4 | 4.0086964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0040021734 | 0.0040021734 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.417303E-6 | 6.417303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7502476E-5 | 2.7502476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.347977E-4 | 3.347977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033435745 | 0.0033435745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.922633E-6 | 5.922633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5382502E-5 | 2.5382502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0899455E-4 | 3.0899455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030862812 | 0.0030862812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5507644E-6 | 5.5507644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.378881E-5 | 2.378881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8959665E-4 | 2.8959665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028928192 | 0.0028928192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2557867E-6 | 4.2557867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8238992E-5 | 1.8238992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2204309E-4 | 2.2204309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022187992 | 0.0022187992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1518554E-7 | 7.1518554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.065079E-6 | 3.065079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.731702E-5 | 3.731702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7313887E-4 | 3.7313887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.4304935E-5 | 7.430429E-5 | 1.1554991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.755636E-4 | 2.8556085E-4 | 1.0362793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002657418 | 0.0033499517 | 0.0033599182 | 1.0029751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026258636 | 0.033009227 | 0.0330189 | 1.0002929 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 5.2553147E-5 | 6.255262E-5 | 1.1902735 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.252079E-4 | 2.3520565E-4 | 1.0443934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022024813 | 0.002738534 | 0.0027485066 | 1.0036416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0218078 | 0.027055524 | 0.027065255 | 1.0003597 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4242552E-5 | 3.4242552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4674522E-4 | 1.4674522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0017851804 | 0.0017851804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017710187 | 0.017710187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.786678E-5 | 2.786678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.19423144E-4 | 1.19423144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001453023 | 0.001453023 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.0144365635 | 0.0144365635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.1909984E-5 | 2.1909984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.389658E-5 | 9.389658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011426095 | 0.0011426095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011369036 | 0.011369036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6696957E-5 | 1.6696957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.15566E-5 | 7.15566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.708729E-4 | 8.708729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008676464 | 0.008676464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1241627E-5 | 1.1241627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8177535E-5 | 4.8177535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8640755E-4 | 5.8640755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.005848999 | 0.005848999 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.025158E-6 | 9.025158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.867869E-5 | 3.867869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7081365E-4 | 4.7081365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004698407 | 0.004698407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4564073E-6 | 7.4564073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1955653E-5 | 3.1955653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.889926E-4 | 3.889926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003883321 | 0.003883321 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.901517E-6 | 4.901517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.100634E-5 | 2.100634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5572357E-4 | 2.5572357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025544302 | 0.0025544302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5260258E-6 | 1.5260258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5400945E-6 | 6.5400945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.9622834E-5 | 7.9622834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.959518E-4 | 7.959518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.495868E-7 | 7.495868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.212511E-6 | 3.212511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.9111663E-5 | 3.9111663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.91052E-4 | 3.91052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.495868E-7 | 7.495868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.212511E-6 | 3.212511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.9111663E-5 | 3.9111663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.91052E-4 | 3.91052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.613565E-7 | 6.613565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8343823E-6 | 2.8343823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.45081E-5 | 3.45081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4503147E-4 | 3.4503147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.102257E-7 | 6.102257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6152507E-6 | 2.6152507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1840253E-5 | 3.1840253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1836095E-4 | 3.1836095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.102257E-7 | 6.102257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6152507E-6 | 2.6152507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.1840253E-5 | 3.1840253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1836095E-4 | 3.1836095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04a Trout Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5787504E-5 | 2.5787345E-5 | 1.6334023 | 1.0E-5 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.765904E-5 | 7.765837E-5 | 1.14779 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.2345016E-4 | 8.334419E-4 | 1.0121341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007324295 | 0.008205285 | 0.008215204 | 1.0012088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5787504E-5 | 2.5787345E-5 | 1.6334023 | 1.0E-5 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.765904E-5 | 7.765837E-5 | 1.14779 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.2345016E-4 | 8.334419E-4 | 1.0121341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007324295 | 0.008205285 | 0.008215204 | 1.0012088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5787504E-5 | 2.5787345E-5 | 1.6334023 | 1.0E-5 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.765904E-5 | 7.765837E-5 | 1.14779 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.2345016E-4 | 8.334419E-4 | 1.0121341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007324295 | 0.008205285 | 0.008215204 | 1.0012088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2882862E-5 | 1.4440885E-5 | 2.444074E-5 | 1.6924683 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5211098E-5 | 6.18881E-5 | 7.188748E-5 | 1.161572 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7198783E-4 | 7.5323763E-4 | 7.632301E-4 | 1.013266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066995937 | 0.0075079184 | 0.0075178435 | 1.0013219 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2882862E-5 | 1.4440885E-5 | 2.444074E-5 | 1.6924683 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5211098E-5 | 6.18881E-5 | 7.188748E-5 | 1.161572 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7198783E-4 | 7.5323763E-4 | 7.632301E-4 | 1.013266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066995937 | 0.0075079184 | 0.0075178435 | 1.0013219 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2762329E-5 | 1.4306905E-5 | 2.430676E-5 | 1.6989533 | 1.0E-5 | 5.469455E-5 | 6.131392E-5 | 7.131331E-5 | 1.1630851 | 1.0E-5 | 6.657027E-4 | 7.462518E-4 | 7.5624435E-4 | 1.0133903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00663712 | 0.0074385284 | 0.007448454 | 1.0013343 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2762329E-5 | 1.4306905E-5 | 2.430676E-5 | 1.6989533 | 1.0E-5 | 5.469455E-5 | 6.131392E-5 | 7.131331E-5 | 1.1630851 | 1.0E-5 | 6.657027E-4 | 7.462518E-4 | 7.5624435E-4 | 1.0133903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00663712 | 0.0074385284 | 0.007448454 | 1.0013343 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2557959E-5 | 1.40802495E-5 | 2.408011E-5 | 1.7102047 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3818712E-5 | 6.034259E-5 | 7.034199E-5 | 1.1657104 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5504585E-4 | 7.344338E-4 | 7.444265E-4 | 1.013606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006531183 | 0.00732113 | 0.007331057 | 1.0013559 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1871544E-5 | 1.3316583E-5 | 2.331645E-5 | 1.7509334 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0877054E-5 | 5.706988E-5 | 6.706931E-5 | 1.1752138 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1925204E-4 | 6.9461437E-4 | 7.0460746E-4 | 1.0143865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061752927 | 0.006925459 | 0.0069353897 | 1.001434 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0500373E-5 | 1.1782458E-5 | 2.178234E-5 | 1.8487093 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5000823E-5 | 5.049532E-5 | 6.0494815E-5 | 1.1980282 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4774724E-4 | 6.146158E-4 | 6.2460965E-4 | 1.0162604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463991 | 0.006130033 | 0.006139972 | 1.0016214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.524332E-6 | 9.57539E-6 | 9.57539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653234E-5 | 4.1036783E-5 | 4.1036783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4469046E-4 | 4.9951574E-4 | 4.9951574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044380166 | 0.0049846675 | 0.0049846675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.006849E-6 | 6.7406013E-6 | 6.7406013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5743384E-5 | 2.8888004E-5 | 2.8888004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1338062E-4 | 3.516603E-4 | 3.516603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031293905 | 0.0035115941 | 0.0035115941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9122193E-6 | 3.2600196E-6 | 3.2600196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.248088E-5 | 1.39714475E-5 | 1.39714475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5194413E-4 | 1.7009086E-4 | 1.7009086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015184027 | 0.0016997803 | 0.0016997803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2194007E-7 | 8.016813E-7 | 8.016813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0940253E-6 | 3.4357752E-6 | 3.4357752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7669106E-5 | 4.1830222E-5 | 4.1830222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.766272E-4 | 4.182689E-4 | 4.182689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.198916E-8 | 3.198916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.370964E-7 | 1.370964E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6691473E-6 | 1.6691473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 1.6691356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4218863E-5 | 3.421862E-5 | 1.4128913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0379158E-4 | 1.13790535E-4 | 1.096337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012630317 | 0.001273019 | 1.0079075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012568664 | 0.012578539 | 1.0007856 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4218863E-5 | 3.421862E-5 | 1.4128913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0379158E-4 | 1.13790535E-4 | 1.096337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012630317 | 0.001273019 | 1.0079075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012568664 | 0.012578539 | 1.0007856 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4218863E-5 | 3.421862E-5 | 1.4128913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0379158E-4 | 1.13790535E-4 | 1.096337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012630317 | 0.001273019 | 1.0079075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012568664 | 0.012578539 | 1.0007856 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3706697E-5 | 1.3706697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.874176E-5 | 5.874176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.149626E-4 | 7.149626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.0071282634 | 0.0071282634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3706697E-5 | 1.3706697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.874176E-5 | 5.874176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.149626E-4 | 7.149626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.0071282634 | 0.0071282634 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0527183E-5 | 1.0527183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.5115776E-5 | 4.5115776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.4915616E-4 | 5.4915616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054789935 | 0.0054789935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.455344E-6 | 8.455344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6236725E-5 | 3.6236725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.411001E-4 | 4.411001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0044029667 | 0.0044029667 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.444296E-6 | 6.444296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7618147E-5 | 2.7618147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3620372E-4 | 3.3620372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003357413 | 0.003357413 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3624386E-6 | 4.3624386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8696037E-5 | 1.8696037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2760135E-4 | 2.2760135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.00227377 | 0.00227377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.6072006E-6 | 3.6072006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5459344E-5 | 1.5459344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8820184E-4 | 1.8820184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018804837 | 0.0018804837 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5899315E-6 | 2.5899315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1099661E-5 | 1.1099661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.351303E-4 | 1.351303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.001350513 | 0.001350513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2467582E-6 | 2.2467582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.62893E-6 | 9.62893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1722621E-4 | 1.1722621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011716733 | 0.0011716733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6415812E-6 | 1.6415812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 7.0353303E-6 | 7.0353303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.565202E-5 | 8.565202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.562136E-4 | 8.562136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.4123144E-7 | 8.4123144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.6052736E-6 | 3.6052736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.389347E-5 | 4.389347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3886268E-4 | 4.3886268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Franklin 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.040889E-5 | 3.0408686E-5 | 1.4899726 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.74639E-5 | 9.746303E-5 | 1.1143229 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001064382 | 0.0010743714 | 1.0093851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010609871 | 0.010619764 | 1.0009326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.040889E-5 | 3.0408686E-5 | 1.4899726 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.74639E-5 | 9.746303E-5 | 1.1143229 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001064382 | 0.0010743714 | 1.0093851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010609871 | 0.010619764 | 1.0009326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.040889E-5 | 3.0408686E-5 | 1.4899726 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.74639E-5 | 9.746303E-5 | 1.1143229 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.001064382 | 0.0010743714 | 1.0093851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009583955 | 0.010609871 | 0.010619764 | 1.0009326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.5334068E-5 | 2.5333915E-5 | 1.6521326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.571582E-5 | 7.5715165E-5 | 1.1521604 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.998042E-4 | 8.097962E-4 | 1.012493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.007984154 | 0.007994074 | 1.0012425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.5334068E-5 | 2.5333915E-5 | 1.6521326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.571582E-5 | 7.5715165E-5 | 1.1521604 | 1.0E-5 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.998042E-4 | 8.097962E-4 | 1.012493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007181826 | 0.007984154 | 0.007994074 | 1.0012425 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1308949E-5 | 1.2587479E-5 | 2.2587354E-5 | 1.7944303 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8466023E-5 | 5.3945234E-5 | 6.3944695E-5 | 1.1853632 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899141E-4 | 6.565874E-4 | 6.665808E-4 | 1.0152203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058835056 | 0.0065608122 | 0.0065707467 | 1.0015142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0813164E-5 | 1.2043845E-5 | 2.2043725E-5 | 1.8302896 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6341313E-5 | 5.161547E-5 | 6.1614955E-5 | 1.1937304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.640594E-4 | 6.2823907E-4 | 6.3823274E-4 | 1.0159075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005626298 | 0.006278951 | 0.0062888884 | 1.0015826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0706348E-5 | 1.192522E-5 | 2.19251E-5 | 1.838549 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5883542E-5 | 5.1107094E-5 | 6.1106584E-5 | 1.1956576 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5848894E-4 | 6.220531E-4 | 6.320469E-4 | 1.0160658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005570874 | 0.0062174397 | 0.006227378 | 1.0015984 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.443655E-6 | 1.0512004E-5 | 2.05119E-5 | 1.9512833 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0472176E-5 | 4.5050678E-5 | 5.5050226E-5 | 1.2219622 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9263734E-4 | 5.4835534E-4 | 5.583498E-4 | 1.0182264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049154665 | 0.0054842927 | 0.005494238 | 1.0018134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.7001645E-6 | 9.68257E-6 | 1.9682473E-5 | 2.0327737 | 1.0E-5 | 3.728589E-5 | 4.1496074E-5 | 5.149566E-5 | 1.2409767 | 1.0E-5 | 4.538611E-4 | 5.0509884E-4 | 5.150938E-4 | 1.0197881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045293528 | 0.005053763 | 0.0050637126 | 1.0019687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.074731E-6 | 8.973889E-6 | 1.89738E-5 | 2.114334 | 1.0E-5 | 3.460553E-5 | 3.8458966E-5 | 4.845858E-5 | 1.2600074 | 1.0E-5 | 4.212409E-4 | 4.681384E-4 | 4.781337E-4 | 1.0213512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004204433 | 0.004685759 | 0.004695712 | 1.0021241 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.3370957E-6 | 8.11609E-6 | 1.8116009E-5 | 2.2321105 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1444317E-5 | 3.4782784E-5 | 4.4782435E-5 | 1.2874886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276732E-4 | 4.2339915E-4 | 4.3339492E-4 | 1.0236083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038210868 | 0.0042400104 | 0.0042499676 | 1.0023485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.1750103E-6 | 5.5999217E-6 | 1.5599866E-5 | 2.7857294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2178427E-5 | 2.3999444E-5 | 3.3999204E-5 | 1.4166663 | 1.0E-5 | 2.699889E-4 | 2.9215438E-4 | 3.0215146E-4 | 1.0342184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002696611 | 0.0029310766 | 0.0029410473 | 1.0034018 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5221371E-6 | 3.917418E-6 | 1.3917379E-5 | 3.552692 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5094786E-5 | 1.6788827E-5 | 2.6788659E-5 | 1.5956242 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8376352E-4 | 2.043849E-4 | 2.1438285E-4 | 1.0489173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018361164 | 0.0020548655 | 0.0020648448 | 1.0048565 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5749775E-6 | 2.9198447E-6 | 1.2919815E-5 | 4.4248295 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1035571E-5 | 1.251356E-5 | 2.2513435E-5 | 1.799123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.343498E-4 | 1.5234202E-4 | 1.623405E-4 | 1.0656317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001342686 | 0.0015341142 | 0.0015440988 | 1.0065085 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3642131E-6 | 1.6223793E-6 | 1.1622363E-5 | 7.163777 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8466144E-6 | 6.9530356E-6 | 1.6952967E-5 | 2.4382107 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1180206E-5 | 8.464994E-5 | 9.46491E-5 | 1.1181235 | 1.0E-5 | 7.115741E-4 | 8.5655734E-4 | 8.665488E-4 | 1.0116646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.329124E-7 | 7.27702E-7 | 7.27702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2839083E-6 | 3.1187192E-6 | 3.1187192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7806227E-5 | 3.796975E-5 | 3.796975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.780275E-4 | 3.8955885E-4 | 3.8955885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.199127E-7 | 6.045761E-7 | 6.045761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7996247E-6 | 2.5910379E-6 | 2.5910379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.191021E-5 | 3.1545434E-5 | 3.1545434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.190805E-4 | 3.2517678E-4 | 3.2517678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2586491E-7 | 3.3941984E-7 | 3.3941984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.67992E-7 | 1.4546557E-6 | 1.4546557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.178524E-5 | 1.771029E-5 | 1.771029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17846146E-4 | 1.8306312E-4 | 1.8306312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4568845E-7 | 2.3541739E-7 | 2.3541739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.243789E-7 | 1.0089313E-6 | 1.0089313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.601787E-6 | 1.228367E-5 | 1.228367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.601527E-5 | 1.2698429E-4 | 1.2698429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2868224E-8 | 1.113563E-7 | 1.113563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2657808E-7 | 4.772412E-7 | 4.772412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7585847E-6 | 5.810396E-6 | 5.810396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7585504E-5 | 5.9737125E-5 | 5.9737125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.654434E-9 | 5.2123936E-9 | 5.2123936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376145E-8 | 2.233883E-8 | 2.233883E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3850456E-7 | 2.719752E-7 | 2.719752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3850448E-6 | 2.7800509E-6 | 2.7800509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0203032E-5 | 1.0203032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3726603E-5 | 4.3726603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.322517E-4 | 5.322517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053107995 | 0.0053207465 | 1.0018729 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0203032E-5 | 1.0203032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3726603E-5 | 4.3726603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.322517E-4 | 5.322517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053107995 | 0.0053207465 | 1.0018729 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.7016097E-6 | 4.7016097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0149608E-5 | 2.0149608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4529514E-4 | 2.4529514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024503702 | 0.0024603456 | 1.004071 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.7016097E-6 | 4.7016097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0149608E-5 | 2.0149608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4529514E-4 | 2.4529514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024503702 | 0.0024603456 | 1.004071 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.514064E-6 | 3.514064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5060193E-5 | 1.5060193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8334326E-4 | 1.8334326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018320031 | 0.0018320031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.931454E-6 | 2.931454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2563319E-5 | 1.2563319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5294841E-4 | 1.5294841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015285056 | 0.0015285056 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3320872E-6 | 2.3320872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.9946255E-6 | 9.9946255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2167839E-4 | 1.2167839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012161797 | 0.0012161797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9617894E-6 | 1.9617894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.407645E-6 | 8.407645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.02358856E-4 | 1.02358856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010231747 | 0.0010231747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5460313E-6 | 1.5460313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6258344E-6 | 6.6258344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.066707E-5 | 8.066707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0642913E-4 | 8.0642913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1518554E-7 | 7.1518554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.065079E-6 | 3.065079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.731702E-5 | 3.731702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7313887E-4 | 3.7313887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pilarcitos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.3439592E-6 | 3.3439592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.4331176E-5 | 1.4331176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.7446841E-4 | 1.7446841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017555536 | 0.0017655361 | 1.0056862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.9150476E-6 | 3.3439592E-6 | 3.3439592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.4331176E-5 | 1.4331176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.7446841E-4 | 1.7446841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025613222 | 0.0017555536 | 0.0017655361 | 1.0056862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.5718941E-6 | 2.5718941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.1022357E-5 | 1.1022357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.3418902E-4 | 1.3418902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0013533009 | 0.0013632873 | 1.0073793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.5718941E-6 | 2.5718941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.783849E-5 | 1.1022357E-5 | 1.1022357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.3418902E-4 | 1.3418902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002169499 | 0.0013533009 | 0.0013632873 | 1.0073793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8768926E-6 | 2.279141E-6 | 2.279141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6615148E-5 | 9.767711E-6 | 9.767711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0227065E-4 | 1.1891543E-4 | 1.1891543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020208664 | 0.0012007372 | 0.0012107252 | 1.0083182 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7137002E-6 | 2.1122853E-6 | 2.1122853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.591576E-5 | 9.052619E-6 | 9.052619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9375715E-4 | 1.102101E-4 | 1.102101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001935883 | 0.0011137736 | 0.0011237625 | 1.0089685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.5048733E-6 | 1.8970295E-6 | 1.8970295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5020799E-5 | 8.130101E-6 | 8.130101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286289E-4 | 9.897951E-5 | 9.897951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018271249 | 0.0010015739 | 0.0010115639 | 1.0099742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3908584E-6 | 1.7804786E-6 | 1.7804786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453217E-5 | 7.6306E-6 | 7.6306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7691481E-4 | 9.289861E-5 | 9.289861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017677402 | 9.408177E-4 | 9.508083E-4 | 1.010619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2451449E-6 | 1.6333613E-6 | 1.6333613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3907689E-5 | 7.000101E-6 | 7.000101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6931296E-4 | 8.5222906E-5 | 8.5222906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016918402 | 8.6412235E-4 | 8.741137E-4 | 1.0115625 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1239128E-6 | 1.509598E-6 | 1.509598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3388129E-5 | 6.469689E-6 | 6.469689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298829E-4 | 7.8765624E-5 | 7.8765624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628688 | 7.995977E-4 | 8.095897E-4 | 1.0124962 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9940109E-6 | 1.3804313E-6 | 1.3804313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2831412E-5 | 5.9161207E-6 | 5.9161207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5621124E-4 | 7.202639E-5 | 7.202639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015610148 | 7.3225127E-4 | 7.4224395E-4 | 1.0136465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7471217E-6 | 1.2876125E-6 | 1.2876125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1773326E-5 | 5.5183273E-6 | 5.5183273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4333082E-4 | 6.7183566E-5 | 6.7183566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432384 | 6.8378524E-4 | 6.937784E-4 | 1.0146145 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.592675E-6 | 1.1518233E-6 | 1.1518233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1111417E-5 | 4.936376E-6 | 4.936376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3527309E-4 | 6.0098726E-5 | 6.0098726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013519078 | 6.1297807E-4 | 6.229719E-4 | 1.0163038 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4518663E-6 | 1.0411675E-6 | 1.0411675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507956E-5 | 4.462139E-6 | 4.462139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792686E-4 | 5.4325184E-5 | 5.4325184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785323 | 5.5527024E-4 | 5.6526467E-4 | 1.0179993 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3349535E-6 | 1.0012471E-6 | 1.0012471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0006905E-5 | 4.291052E-6 | 4.291052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182725E-4 | 5.2242303E-5 | 5.2242303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012176048 | 5.3441746E-4 | 5.444121E-4 | 1.0187019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.1358665E-6 | 9.4803386E-7 | 9.4803386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.15368E-6 | 4.0629957E-6 | 4.0629957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11440364E-4 | 4.9465852E-5 | 4.9465852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011138449 | 5.065574E-4 | 5.165523E-4 | 1.019731 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6445446E-6 | 7.863497E-7 | 7.863497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.048029E-6 | 3.3700655E-6 | 3.3700655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580638E-5 | 4.1029776E-5 | 4.1029776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5773255E-4 | 4.221585E-4 | 4.3215428E-4 | 1.0236778 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3650961E-6 | 6.7495415E-7 | 6.7495415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850399E-6 | 2.8926572E-6 | 2.8926572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.122628E-5 | 3.5217534E-5 | 3.5217534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.120345E-4 | 3.639312E-4 | 3.7392756E-4 | 1.0274677 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0500993E-6 | 6.403014E-7 | 6.403014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5004176E-6 | 2.7441458E-6 | 2.7441458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4791206E-5 | 3.3409466E-5 | 3.3409466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.47777E-4 | 3.456969E-4 | 3.5569342E-4 | 1.0289171 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 5.856431E-7 | 5.944371E-7 | 5.944371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5098966E-6 | 2.547585E-6 | 2.547585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0557563E-5 | 3.1016407E-5 | 3.1016407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.055336E-4 | 3.2092468E-4 | 3.2092468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.4768265E-7 | 5.5903826E-7 | 5.5903826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9186384E-6 | 2.395876E-6 | 2.395876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3359173E-5 | 2.9169401E-5 | 2.9169401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3356717E-4 | 3.018806E-4 | 3.018806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6692538E-7 | 3.85246E-7 | 3.85246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1439654E-6 | 1.6510534E-6 | 1.6510534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.392769E-5 | 2.010139E-5 | 2.010139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3926817E-4 | 2.0801378E-4 | 2.0801378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.3198862E-8 | 1.286005E-8 | 1.286005E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656655E-8 | 5.5114498E-8 | 5.5114498E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.886975E-7 | 6.710188E-7 | 6.710188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8869535E-6 | 6.9539574E-6 | 6.9539574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 5.1620256E-5 | 5.1620256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8103095E-4 | 2.2121108E-4 | 2.2121108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022018238 | 0.002689948 | 0.0026999211 | 1.0037075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021801353 | 0.026648799 | 0.026658533 | 1.0003653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 5.1620256E-5 | 5.1620256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8103095E-4 | 2.2121108E-4 | 2.2121108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022018238 | 0.002689948 | 0.0026999211 | 1.0037075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021801353 | 0.026648799 | 0.026658533 | 1.0003653 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.148735E-5 | 5.148735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2064157E-4 | 2.2064157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026830314 | 0.0026930044 | 1.0037172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.02657991 | 0.026589645 | 1.0003662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.148735E-5 | 5.148735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2064157E-4 | 2.2064157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026830314 | 0.0026930044 | 1.0037172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021759989 | 0.02657991 | 0.026589645 | 1.0003662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4259843E-5 | 4.4259843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8967138E-4 | 1.8967138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019213937 | 0.002306827 | 0.0023168041 | 1.0043249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019048655 | 0.022906687 | 0.022916459 | 1.0004265 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.036797E-5 | 4.036797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7299423E-4 | 1.7299423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0021041909 | 0.0021141698 | 1.0047424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017543508 | 0.0209298 | 0.02093959 | 1.0004678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.982182E-5 | 3.982182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.706539E-4 | 1.706539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017502342 | 0.002075752 | 0.0020857311 | 1.0048075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017365133 | 0.020650586 | 0.02066038 | 1.0004742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8492686E-5 | 3.8492686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6495833E-4 | 1.6495833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016985617 | 0.002006538 | 0.002016518 | 1.0049736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016856372 | 0.0199788 | 0.019988602 | 1.0004905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7930124E-5 | 3.7930124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6254766E-4 | 1.6254766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019772416 | 0.001987222 | 1.0050476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016654192 | 0.019691017 | 0.01970082 | 1.0004978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.7147696E-5 | 3.7147696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5919481E-4 | 1.5919481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016503202 | 0.001936494 | 0.0019464747 | 1.005154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01638118 | 0.019290518 | 0.019300325 | 1.0005084 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.6078978E-5 | 3.6078978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5461515E-4 | 1.5461515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018808342 | 0.0018908153 | 1.0053068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015996104 | 0.018742362 | 0.018752174 | 1.0005236 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.487574E-5 | 3.487574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4945901E-4 | 1.4945901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0018181646 | 0.0018281465 | 1.0054901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01556781 | 0.018125761 | 0.01813558 | 1.0005417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.182776E-5 | 3.182776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3639766E-4 | 1.3639766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014577188 | 0.001659395 | 0.0016693785 | 1.0060163 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014481937 | 0.016561693 | 0.016571525 | 1.0005938 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.7440172E-5 | 2.7440172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1759551E-4 | 1.1759551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0014307991 | 0.0014407848 | 1.0069791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012712469 | 0.014299204 | 0.014309061 | 1.0006894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5973433E-5 | 2.5973433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.11310044E-4 | 1.11310044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013543711 | 0.0013643575 | 1.0073735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012045753 | 0.013542424 | 0.0135522885 | 1.0007284 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.3389586E-5 | 2.3389586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9901114E-5 | 1.00237296E-4 | 1.00237296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0012197173 | 0.001229705 | 1.0081886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010886264 | 0.012206191 | 0.012216069 | 1.0008093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.7027854E-5 | 1.7027854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.476642E-5 | 7.297452E-5 | 7.297452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.8811025E-4 | 8.981014E-4 | 1.0112499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007854558 | 0.0089193825 | 0.008929293 | 1.0011111 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.17909185E-5 | 1.17909185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2573887E-5 | 5.0531533E-5 | 5.0531533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.182138E-4 | 6.150482E-4 | 6.2504207E-4 | 1.016249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00517007 | 0.006203427 | 0.006213365 | 1.001602 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 9.3672215E-6 | 9.3672215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8955206E-5 | 4.0144616E-5 | 4.0144616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.886513E-4 | 4.986464E-4 | 1.0204545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035191406 | 0.00493313 | 0.0049430807 | 1.0020171 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.9394883E-6 | 5.9394883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.5454703E-5 | 2.5454703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0741238E-4 | 3.0986706E-4 | 3.0986706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002072189 | 0.0031283572 | 0.0031283572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.2679267E-6 | 2.2679267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.169782E-6 | 9.719649E-6 | 9.719649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.1833035E-4 | 1.1833035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001195906 | 0.001195906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.407724E-7 | 3.407724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.4604525E-6 | 1.4604525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.7780883E-5 | 1.7780883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.7992096E-4 | 1.7992096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0593357E-5 | 4.0593357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.739614E-4 | 1.739614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021161828 | 0.0021261615 | 1.0047154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020986527 | 0.020996317 | 1.0004665 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0593357E-5 | 4.0593357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.739614E-4 | 1.739614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021161828 | 0.0021261615 | 1.0047154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018143194 | 0.020986527 | 0.020996317 | 1.0004665 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1173708E-5 | 2.1173708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.074189E-5 | 9.074189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011043256 | 0.0011143147 | 1.0090452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010998574 | 0.011008464 | 1.0008992 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1173708E-5 | 2.1173708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.074189E-5 | 9.074189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011043256 | 0.0011143147 | 1.0090452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010998574 | 0.011008464 | 1.0008992 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9670526E-5 | 1.9670526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.43001E-5 | 8.43001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010259722 | 0.0010359619 | 1.0097369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008894307 | 0.010222381 | 0.010232278 | 1.0009682 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6927088E-5 | 1.6927088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.2543175E-5 | 7.2543175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.829498E-4 | 8.9294097E-4 | 1.0113157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007664232 | 0.008803713 | 0.008813625 | 1.0011259 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3797597E-5 | 1.3797597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.9131722E-5 | 5.9131722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1978045E-4 | 7.2977325E-4 | 1.0138831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071832794 | 0.0071932073 | 1.0013821 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1595489E-5 | 1.1595489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.96945E-5 | 4.96945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0495053E-4 | 6.1494444E-4 | 1.0165203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005253921 | 0.006041657 | 0.0060515967 | 1.0016452 | 1.0E-5 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014501493 | 0.0014501493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014436812 | 0.014446668 | 1.0006827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014501493 | 0.0014501493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014436812 | 0.014446668 | 1.0006827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014501493 | 0.0014501493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014436812 | 0.014446668 | 1.0006827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014501493 | 0.0014501493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014436812 | 0.014446668 | 1.0006827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 2.7809274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.19177865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014501493 | 0.0014501493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456532 | 0.014436812 | 0.014446668 | 1.0006827 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6822229E-5 | 1.6822229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.209365E-5 | 7.209365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.774536E-4 | 8.774536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0093431985 | 0.00876408 | 0.008773993 | 1.001131 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.604539E-6 | 7.604539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.259052E-5 | 3.259052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.967252E-4 | 3.967252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005022812 | 0.0039786245 | 0.0039786245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.58223E-6 | 7.58223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.249491E-5 | 3.249491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.955616E-4 | 3.955616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050113243 | 0.00396703 | 0.00396703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.5988527E-6 | 4.5988527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.9709232E-5 | 1.9709232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.3993572E-4 | 2.3993572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035873733 | 0.002414692 | 0.002414692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.9384568E-6 | 3.9384568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.6879003E-5 | 1.6879003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2722374E-4 | 2.0548452E-4 | 2.0548452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003267423 | 0.0020708567 | 0.0020708567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 3.1621253E-6 | 3.1621253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.3551906E-5 | 1.3551906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.6498381E-4 | 1.6498381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028823826 | 0.0016665097 | 0.0016665097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.4077131E-6 | 1.4077131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6625918E-5 | 6.0330417E-6 | 6.0330417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0240174E-4 | 7.3449824E-5 | 7.3449824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002022175 | 7.519813E-4 | 7.519813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 1.0846202E-6 | 1.0846202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49200505E-5 | 4.6483638E-6 | 4.6483638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8163648E-4 | 5.659237E-5 | 5.659237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018148809 | 5.834926E-4 | 5.834926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 8.85526E-7 | 8.85526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3577992E-5 | 3.795106E-6 | 3.795106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6529951E-4 | 4.6204437E-5 | 4.6204437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016517661 | 4.7962848E-4 | 4.7962848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 8.4410465E-7 | 8.4410465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2731795E-5 | 3.6175863E-6 | 3.6175863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5499859E-4 | 4.4043227E-5 | 4.4043227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015489052 | 4.577764E-4 | 4.577764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 6.9153054E-7 | 6.9153054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0055429E-5 | 2.963699E-6 | 2.963699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2241797E-4 | 3.6082438E-5 | 3.6082438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012235056 | 3.762435E-4 | 3.762435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 6.087014E-7 | 6.087014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.054753E-6 | 2.6087178E-6 | 2.6087178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1023604E-4 | 3.1760675E-5 | 3.1760675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011018137 | 3.3254738E-4 | 3.3254738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 4.925454E-7 | 4.925454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2953244E-6 | 2.110907E-6 | 2.110907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881695E-5 | 2.5699992E-5 | 2.5699992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.878146E-4 | 2.7040814E-4 | 2.7040814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 4.3300065E-7 | 4.3300065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0989595E-6 | 1.8557157E-6 | 1.8557157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.772918E-5 | 2.2593107E-5 | 2.2593107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7722773E-4 | 2.3868482E-4 | 2.3868482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.9566746E-7 | 3.9566746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.6957166E-6 | 1.6957166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2743576E-5 | 2.0645157E-5 | 2.0645157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2741247E-4 | 2.1718378E-4 | 2.1718378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 3.614067E-7 | 3.614067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 1.548885E-6 | 1.548885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 1.8857514E-5 | 1.8857514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21660116E-4 | 1.9770364E-4 | 1.9770364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 2.3068839E-7 | 2.3068839E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 9.886642E-7 | 9.886642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 1.2036921E-5 | 1.2036921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650368E-5 | 1.2544794E-4 | 1.2544794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 5.8583494E-9 | 5.8583494E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.510721E-8 | 2.510721E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 3.0568026E-7 | 3.0568026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662573E-6 | 3.1657046E-6 | 3.1657046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.3211476E-5 | 3.3211243E-5 | 1.4308114 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.9474244E-5 | 1.0947325E-4 | 1.1005186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0012104759 | 0.0012204639 | 1.0082512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012139114 | 0.012043904 | 0.012053783 | 1.0008203 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6600463E-5 | 1.6600463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.114296E-5 | 7.114296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.6583104E-4 | 8.6583104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009028391 | 0.00862562 | 0.00862562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3592926E-5 | 1.3592926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8254118E-5 | 5.8254118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.090168E-4 | 7.090168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007600669 | 0.0070679733 | 0.0070679733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2437392E-5 | 1.2437392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.330204E-5 | 5.330204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.4876216E-4 | 6.4876216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064690337 | 0.0064690337 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1946906E-5 | 1.1946906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1200037E-5 | 5.1200037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.231851E-4 | 6.231851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006810953 | 0.00621471 | 0.00621471 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1036382E-5 | 1.1036382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7297937E-5 | 4.7297937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7570287E-4 | 5.7570287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006372592 | 0.005742416 | 0.005742416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0068929E-5 | 1.0068929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3151853E-5 | 4.3151853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.252493E-4 | 5.252493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052403184 | 0.0052403184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.532123E-6 | 9.532123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0851326E-5 | 4.0851326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.972534E-4 | 4.972534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049616345 | 0.0049616345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.316023E-6 | 9.316023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9925217E-5 | 3.9925217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8598307E-4 | 4.8598307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005550127 | 0.004849429 | 0.004849429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.610152E-6 | 8.610152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.690014E-5 | 3.690014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4916838E-4 | 4.4916838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044828095 | 0.0044828095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.046703E-6 | 8.046703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4485427E-5 | 3.4485427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1978084E-4 | 4.1978084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041900724 | 0.0041900724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.675597E-6 | 7.675597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.289501E-5 | 3.289501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 4.0042482E-4 | 4.0042482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004792784 | 0.003997223 | 0.003997223 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.962716E-6 | 5.962716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5554247E-5 | 2.5554247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.1107885E-4 | 3.1107885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0031064872 | 0.0031064872 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.626439E-6 | 5.626439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.4113087E-5 | 2.4113087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.935376E-4 | 2.935376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029315506 | 0.0029315506 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9427535E-6 | 4.9427535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.118306E-5 | 2.118306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.578734E-4 | 2.578734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025757826 | 0.0025757826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.1019016E-6 | 4.1019016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7579461E-5 | 1.7579461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1400902E-4 | 2.1400902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021380407 | 0.0021380407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.101837E-6 | 3.101837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3293519E-5 | 1.3293519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6183667E-4 | 1.6183667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016171962 | 0.0016171962 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8366794E-6 | 1.8366794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.87146E-6 | 7.87146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.5830874E-5 | 9.5830874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.579017E-4 | 9.579017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.526451E-7 | 3.526451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5113352E-6 | 1.5113352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8400351E-5 | 1.8400351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.839884E-4 | 1.839884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2786431E-8 | 1.2786431E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.479899E-8 | 5.479899E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6717746E-7 | 6.6717746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6717557E-6 | 6.6717557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0666882E-9 | 2.0666882E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.857236E-9 | 8.857236E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0783684E-7 | 1.0783684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.078368E-6 | 1.078368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.620697E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4086477E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002928585 | 0.0029857545 | 0.0029857545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028902901 | 0.029496154 | 0.02950586 | 1.000329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0029857545 | 0.0029857545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.029496154 | 0.02950586 | 1.000329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 5.729789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 2.4554128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0029857545 | 0.0029857545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.029496154 | 0.02950586 | 1.000329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.0973344E-5 | 4.0973344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.7558935E-4 | 1.7558935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0021359622 | 0.0021359622 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021179928 | 0.021179928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.379867E-5 | 3.379867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.4484474E-4 | 1.4484474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0017622869 | 0.0017622869 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.017505778 | 0.017505778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.374861E-5 | 3.374861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.446302E-4 | 1.446302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.001759679 | 0.001759679 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.017480113 | 0.017480113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.7750699E-5 | 2.7750699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.18927404E-4 | 1.18927404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014472014 | 0.0014472014 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014399689 | 0.014399689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.40446E-5 | 2.40446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.03045466E-4 | 1.03045466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012540766 | 0.0012540766 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012491655 | 0.012491655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.5825888E-6 | 7.5825888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.249642E-5 | 3.249642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9557493E-4 | 3.9557493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039489926 | 0.0039489926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.4811143E-6 | 6.4811143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7775923E-5 | 2.7775923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3812193E-4 | 3.3812193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033763296 | 0.0033763296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4650105E-6 | 4.4650105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9135632E-5 | 1.9135632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3295349E-4 | 2.3295349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.002327299 | 0.002327299 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8452168E-6 | 1.8452168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.908054E-6 | 7.908054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6277356E-5 | 9.6277356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6245966E-4 | 9.6245966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |