Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Mendocino
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
Bear River fault zone
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
King Range 2011 CFM
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
Trinidad (alt1)
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
Russ 2011 CFM
Little Salmon (Onshore)
Little Salmon (Offshore)
Maacama 2011 CFM
Table Bluff
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
McKinleyville (alt1)
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
Mad River (alt1)
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Mojave S)
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Parkfield)
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
Green Valley 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
San Andreas (Big Bend)
San Andreas (Mojave N)
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
South Klamath Lake East
Likely 2011 CFM
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
Davis Creek
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn
Fickle Hill (alt1)
West Napa 2011 CFM
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
West Tahoe
Point Reyes 2011 CFM
Hosgri
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
Reliz 2011 CFM
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
South Klamath Lake West
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
Pleito
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
Franklin 2011 CFM
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
Lost Hills
Fitzhugh Creek
Santa Cruz Island
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
Ortigalita (South)
Rinconada 2011 CFM
Pittville 2011 CFM
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
Whittier alt 1
Great Valley 02
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
Red Pass
Concord 2011 CFM
Sargent 2011 CFM
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
Rocky Ledge 2011 CFM
Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
Helendale-So Lockhart
Carson Range (Genoa)
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
Great Valley 04a Trout Creek
Almanor 2011 CFM

Mendocino

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.7364764E-4	8.146999E-4	0.008358549	10.259666	0.00755	0.0020283395	0.0034853928	0.0130419675	3.7418933	0.00959	0.024417073	0.041367095	0.054787956	1.3244332	0.014	0.2190164	0.32862327	0.34076175	1.0369374	0.01808
6.1	4.2515888E-4	8.146999E-4	0.008358549	10.259666	0.00755	0.0018208373	0.0034853928	0.0130419675	3.7418933	0.00959	0.021944538	0.041367095	0.054787956	1.3244332	0.014	0.19899574	0.32862327	0.34076175	1.0369374	0.01808
6.2	4.2515888E-4	8.146999E-4	0.008358549	10.259666	0.00755	0.0018208373	0.0034853928	0.0130419675	3.7418933	0.00959	0.021944538	0.041367095	0.054787956	1.3244332	0.014	0.19899574	0.32862327	0.34076175	1.0369374	0.01808
6.3	3.2773745E-4	6.177156E-4	0.0067639165	10.949888	0.00615	0.0014038329	0.002643577	0.010492772	3.969157	0.00787	0.016958237	0.03152515	0.04255608	1.3499088	0.01139	0.1572094	0.26098487	0.27189273	1.041795	0.01476
6.4	2.7417165E-4	5.0510705E-4	0.005852405	11.586464	0.00535	0.0011744922	0.0021621212	0.008977354	4.152105	0.00683	0.014205975	0.025865989	0.03551966	1.3732185	0.00991	0.13331394	0.22020987	0.23028475	1.0457513	0.01292
6.5	2.3984899E-4	4.3418695E-4	0.0053520505	12.326605	0.00492	0.0010275192	0.0018587885	0.008127116	4.3722644	0.00628	0.012438473	0.022282818	0.031219153	1.4010415	0.00914	0.11764851	0.19322586	0.20285068	1.0498112	0.01193
6.6	2.1023539E-4	3.7223424E-4	0.0049505294	13.2995	0.00458	9.0069766E-4	0.0015937901	0.0074544344	4.6771746	0.00587	0.010910975	0.019144319	0.027452167	1.4339589	0.00847	0.10390546	0.16902883	0.17814457	1.0539302	0.01097
6.7	1.2592976E-4	1.8826137E-4	0.002947742	15.657709	0.00276	5.395873E-4	8.065404E-4	0.0043536774	5.3979654	0.00355	0.006549705	0.009765923	0.014816117	1.517124	0.0051	0.063599944	0.092913695	0.09892768	1.0647266	0.00663
6.8	1.13663555E-4	1.5883512E-4	0.0026284428	16.548246	0.00247	4.8703855E-4	6.805297E-4	0.003828386	5.6255975	0.00315	0.0059135845	0.008251172	0.012634701	1.5312616	0.00442	0.057586733	0.07969529	0.08492263	1.0655915	0.00568
6.9	9.926894E-5	1.2909694E-4	0.00211884	16.412783	0.00199	4.2536893E-4	5.5315037E-4	0.0031017398	5.607408	0.00255	0.0051665753	0.0067133596	0.010279259	1.5311646	0.00359	0.050480947	0.06573592	0.07002419	1.0652348	0.00459
7.0	9.168125E-5	1.1441422E-4	0.0019642026	17.167469	0.00185	3.9286047E-4	4.9025356E-4	0.0028490967	5.8114753	0.00236	0.004772591	0.0059523806	0.009292381	1.56112	0.00336	0.04671385	0.058730558	0.06274036	1.0682746	0.00426
7.1	8.2854116E-5	9.7980475E-5	0.0016678267	17.02203	0.00157	3.5504074E-4	4.1984936E-4	0.0024190096	5.7616134	0.002	0.004314056	0.0050998023	0.007945217	1.5579461	0.00286	0.042312626	0.0507801	0.054216277	1.0676677	0.00362
7.2	7.8255274E-5	8.9969064E-5	0.0014998422	16.670645	0.00141	3.3533663E-4	3.8552567E-4	0.0021648395	5.6152925	0.00178	0.0040750825	0.004683846	0.00715223	1.5269994	0.00248	0.040011603	0.046857394	0.049812138	1.0630581	0.0031
7.3	6.887904E-5	6.842559E-5	0.0011783496	17.220892	0.00111	2.9516246E-4	2.932202E-4	0.0017028068	5.807263	0.00141	0.0035876823	0.0035642271	0.0054973126	1.5423576	0.00194	0.035303112	0.036227934	0.038550623	1.0641133	0.00241
7.4	5.4898497E-5	4.148783E-5	8.9145254E-4	21.487087	8.5E-4	2.3525805E-4	1.7779323E-4	0.0012076101	6.7922163	0.00103	0.0028605047	0.0021625506	0.0035196096	1.627527	0.00136	0.02823963	0.022527488	0.024179416	1.0733294	0.00169
7.5	3.9103943E-5	1.3333052E-5	5.333261E-4	40.0003	5.2E-4	1.6757756E-4	5.714041E-5	6.9710385E-4	12.19984	6.4E-4	0.0020383475	6.954644E-4	0.0015348801	2.2069862	8.4E-4	0.020197518	0.0078014247	0.008813467	1.1297253	0.00102
7.6	3.641042E-5	1.0769707E-5	3.5076606E-4	32.569695	3.4E-4	1.5603533E-4	4.615508E-5	4.7613523E-4	10.315988	4.3E-4	0.0018980748	5.6179485E-4	0.0011114859	1.9784551	5.5E-4	0.018819444	0.0064019132	0.007067624	1.1039863	6.7E-4
7.7	3.1318774E-5	5.8111254E-6	1.658102E-4	28.533234	1.6E-4	1.342164E-4	2.4904586E-5	2.1489986E-4	8.628927	1.9E-4	0.0016328598	3.031714E-4	5.630926E-4	1.8573407	2.6E-4	0.016209139	0.003699546	0.0040382883	1.0915632	3.4E-4
7.8	2.209241E-5	3.512749E-6	6.351254E-5	18.08058	6.0E-5	9.467832E-5	1.5054552E-5	1.05053194E-4	6.9781685	9.0E-5	0.001152099	1.832738E-4	3.1324997E-4	1.7091912	1.3E-4	0.011461443	0.002249513	0.0024390856	1.0842727	1.9E-4
7.9	1.2640477E-5	2.5743811E-6	4.2574276E-5	16.537674	4.0E-5	5.4172346E-5	1.1033016E-5	8.1032245E-5	7.3445234	7.0E-5	6.593487E-4	1.3431873E-4	2.2430664E-4	1.669958	9.0E-5	0.006573958	0.0016147114	0.0017245337	1.0680137	1.1E-4
8.0	6.5548907E-6	2.016969E-6	3.201691E-5	15.873774	3.0E-5	2.8092087E-5	8.644124E-6	5.864369E-5	6.784226	5.0E-5	3.4196748E-4	1.0523716E-4	1.752298E-4	1.6650943	7.0E-5	0.0034144172	0.0012487601	0.0013386478	1.0719814	9.0E-5
8.1	3.1916707E-6	1.6739839E-6	1.16739675E-5	6.9737635	1.0E-5	1.3678517E-5	7.174197E-6	3.717398E-5	5.1816225	3.0E-5	1.6652321E-4	8.734238E-5	1.3733801E-4	1.5724097	5.0E-5	0.0016639848	0.0010416002	0.0011015377	1.0575436	6.0E-5
8.2	2.1193785E-6	1.2816722E-6	1.128166E-5	8.802297	1.0E-5	9.083019E-6	5.4928696E-6	3.5492703E-5	6.461596	3.0E-5	1.1058014E-4	6.687367E-5	1.16870324E-4	1.7476285	5.0E-5	0.0011052513	7.9145434E-4	8.5140683E-4	1.0757498	6.0E-5
8.3	7.536878E-7	4.888451E-7	4.888451E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2300866E-6	2.0950488E-6	1.2095028E-5	5.7731485	1.0E-5	3.9325594E-5	2.550694E-5	3.5506684E-5	1.3920401	1.0E-5	3.9318635E-4	2.9454596E-4	3.04543E-4	1.0339406	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7072787E-4	2.0614572E-4	0.0018558056	9.002397	0.00165	7.3148566E-4	8.831852E-4	0.002951357	3.3417194	0.00207	0.008869528	0.0107003525	0.013618787	1.2727418	0.00295	0.085237645	0.10294924	0.10639392	1.0334599	0.00384
6.1	1.7072787E-4	2.0614572E-4	0.0018558056	9.002397	0.00165	7.3148566E-4	8.831852E-4	0.002951357	3.3417194	0.00207	0.008869528	0.0107003525	0.013618787	1.2727418	0.00295	0.085237645	0.10294924	0.10639392	1.0334599	0.00384
6.2	1.6312556E-4	1.9734679E-4	0.001797031	9.105955	0.0016	6.989222E-4	8.4550044E-4	0.0028637925	3.3870976	0.00202	0.008476226	0.010245949	0.0130865425	1.2772408	0.00287	0.08160117	0.098735996	0.10209771	1.0340475	0.00373
6.3	1.5103363E-4	1.8114598E-4	0.0017308652	9.555084	0.00155	6.471264E-4	7.761114E-4	0.0027445825	3.5363255	0.00197	0.007850339	0.009408723	0.012182378	1.2947962	0.0028	0.075787395	0.09103626	0.094335794	1.0362443	0.00363
6.4	1.5047993E-4	1.7999562E-4	0.0017297167	9.609771	0.00155	6.4475456E-4	7.7118416E-4	0.0027396649	3.552543	0.00197	0.007821669	0.009349248	0.012123071	1.2966893	0.0028	0.0755203	0.09051566	0.09381709	1.0364735	0.00363
6.5	1.2760791E-4	1.479776E-4	0.0016277586	11.000033	0.00148	5.467764E-4	6.3403713E-4	0.0025128452	3.9632459	0.00188	0.0066367025	0.007692393	0.0103617	1.3470061	0.00269	0.064419635	0.075160794	0.078323744	1.0420824	0.00342
6.6	1.1063525E-4	1.2491347E-4	0.0015647336	12.526541	0.00144	4.740649E-4	5.3523475E-4	0.00237425	4.4359035	0.00184	0.0057564764	0.006497244	0.009110156	1.4021571	0.00263	0.05609626	0.063900255	0.067017466	1.0487825	0.00333
6.7	1.0391049E-4	1.1532512E-4	0.0015051648	13.051492	0.00139	4.4525467E-4	4.94158E-4	0.0022732785	4.6003065	0.00178	0.0054075094	0.005999992	0.008534692	1.4224505	0.00255	0.052778035	0.05921761	0.062256336	1.0513146	0.00323
6.8	1.0096706E-4	1.1023466E-4	0.0014600859	13.245252	0.00135	4.3264418E-4	4.723498E-4	0.0022015327	4.66081	0.00173	0.0052547283	0.0057358984	0.0082116155	1.4316181	0.00249	0.051321987	0.056828637	0.059799626	1.0522798	0.00315
6.9	9.800265E-5	1.0435744E-4	0.0014042218	13.455886	0.0013	4.1994374E-4	4.4717055E-4	0.0021064281	4.7105703	0.00166	0.0051008356	0.005430905	0.007817871	1.4395154	0.0024	0.049853306	0.054081935	0.05692915	1.0526463	0.00301
7.0	9.4642375E-5	9.8268116E-5	0.0013281472	13.515546	0.00123	4.0554712E-4	4.210821E-4	0.0020004169	4.750657	0.00158	0.004926363	0.005114811	0.0073831496	1.4434843	0.00228	0.048185747	0.05116975	0.053873915	1.052847	0.00285
7.1	9.0996844E-5	9.15434E-5	0.0012614363	13.779653	0.00117	3.8992817E-4	3.9227086E-4	0.0018816864	4.7969055	0.00149	0.004737046	0.0047656205	0.006905374	1.448998	0.00215	0.04637333	0.047922842	0.05047441	1.0532433	0.00268
7.2	8.848287E-5	8.761351E-5	0.001257511	14.352935	0.00117	3.791572E-4	3.7543342E-4	0.0018548778	4.9406304	0.00148	0.004606472	0.0045615	0.0066519207	1.4582748	0.0021	0.045121472	0.045977924	0.04847746	1.0543638	0.00262
7.3	7.9280784E-5	6.778831E-5	0.0010377226	15.308282	9.7E-4	3.3973053E-4	2.9048964E-4	0.0015201323	5.2330003	0.00123	0.004128377	0.0035310958	0.0052549867	1.4882029	0.00173	0.040525194	0.036152445	0.03821508	1.0570538	0.00214
7.4	6.468038E-5	4.245769E-5	8.524233E-4	20.077005	8.1E-4	2.771722E-4	1.8194923E-4	0.0011617709	6.385138	9.8E-4	0.0033693502	0.0022130494	0.0035201502	1.5906334	0.00131	0.0331872	0.023184378	0.02476682	1.0682546	0.00162
7.5	4.930574E-5	1.514567E-5	5.351378E-4	35.332726	5.2E-4	2.1129321E-4	6.490841E-5	7.048669E-4	10.859407	6.4E-4	0.0025694598	7.899753E-4	0.0016293117	2.0624843	8.4E-4	0.02539953	0.008897228	0.009908153	1.1136224	0.00102
7.6	4.612566E-5	1.2505157E-5	3.525009E-4	28.188442	3.4E-4	1.9766642E-4	5.3592437E-5	4.835694E-4	9.02309	4.3E-4	0.0024039324	6.5229426E-4	0.0012019355	1.8426278	5.5E-4	0.023780935	0.0074455393	0.008110551	1.0893167	6.7E-4
7.7	3.9435414E-5	7.22445E-6	1.6722329E-4	23.146854	1.6E-4	1.6899795E-4	3.0961564E-5	2.2095568E-4	7.136451	1.9E-4	0.0020556084	3.768921E-4	6.367941E-4	1.6895926	2.6E-4	0.020366974	0.0045435666	0.004882022	1.074491	3.4E-4
7.8	2.7787428E-5	4.8647767E-6	6.4864485E-5	13.333497	6.0E-5	1.1908354E-4	2.0848876E-5	1.10847E-4	5.3166895	9.0E-5	0.0014488777	2.5380554E-4	3.8377257E-4	1.5120732	1.3E-4	0.014394675	0.0030578151	0.003247234	1.0619459	1.9E-4
7.9	1.590671E-5	3.8300795E-6	4.3829925E-5	11.443607	4.0E-5	6.816983E-5	1.6414522E-5	8.6413376E-5	5.2644463	7.0E-5	8.2965166E-4	1.9982854E-4	2.8981056E-4	1.4502962	9.0E-5	0.008265611	0.0023665994	0.002476339	1.0463701	1.1E-4
8.0	9.193638E-6	3.219065E-6	3.321897E-5	10.319447	3.0E-5	3.940071E-5	1.379592E-5	6.379523E-5	4.62421	5.0E-5	4.7959806E-4	1.6795243E-4	2.3794067E-4	1.4167147	7.0E-5	0.0047856434	0.0019697114	0.002059534	1.045602	9.0E-5
8.1	5.601576E-6	2.792228E-6	1.27922E-5	4.5813594	1.0E-5	2.4006533E-5	1.19666365E-5	4.196628E-5	3.5069401	3.0E-5	2.9224035E-4	1.456841E-4	1.9567682E-4	1.3431584	5.0E-5	0.0029185633	0.0017179218	0.0017778187	1.034866	6.0E-5
8.2	4.3508785E-6	2.339045E-6	1.2339022E-5	5.275239	1.0E-5	1.864649E-5	1.002444E-5	4.002414E-5	3.9926558	3.0E-5	2.2699735E-4	1.22040765E-4	1.7203466E-4	1.4096491	5.0E-5	0.0022676561	0.0014307213	0.0014906354	1.0418769	6.0E-5
8.3	1.9573292E-6	9.58343E-7	9.58343E-7	1.0	0.0	8.388526E-6	4.1071776E-6	1.4107137E-5	3.434752	1.0E-5	1.0212552E-4	5.0003768E-5	6.0003265E-5	1.1999749	1.0E-5	0.001020786	5.811823E-4	5.911765E-4	1.0171963	1.0E-5

Bear River fault zone

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.3773342E-5	2.7118964E-5	5.671043E-4	20.911726	5.4E-4	1.0188177E-4	1.1621948E-4	8.461347E-4	7.2804885	7.3E-4	0.0012397047	0.0014141483	0.0023827765	1.6849552	9.7E-4	0.012328116	0.014061003	0.0153624425	1.0925567	0.00132
6.1	2.3773342E-5	2.7118964E-5	5.671043E-4	20.911726	5.4E-4	1.0188177E-4	1.1621948E-4	8.461347E-4	7.2804885	7.3E-4	0.0012397047	0.0014141483	0.0023827765	1.6849552	9.7E-4	0.012328116	0.014061003	0.0153624425	1.0925567	0.00132
6.2	1.5973403E-5	1.8152E-5	2.0814856E-4	11.466976	1.9E-4	6.845564E-5	7.77921E-5	3.2777266E-4	4.2134438	2.5E-4	8.3312875E-4	9.467311E-4	0.0013263713	1.4010011	3.8E-4	0.008300122	0.009429396	0.009924681	1.0525256	5.0E-4
6.3	1.5973403E-5	1.8152E-5	2.0814856E-4	11.466976	1.9E-4	6.845564E-5	7.77921E-5	3.2777266E-4	4.2134438	2.5E-4	8.3312875E-4	9.467311E-4	0.0013263713	1.4010011	3.8E-4	0.008300122	0.009429396	0.009924681	1.0525256	5.0E-4
6.4	1.3027338E-5	1.48149265E-5	1.2481329E-4	8.424834	1.1E-4	5.5830256E-5	6.3491076E-5	2.0348218E-4	3.2048943	1.4E-4	6.7952136E-4	7.727436E-4	0.0010125581	1.3103417	2.4E-4	0.0067744725	0.0077019795	0.008029438	1.0425161	3.3E-4
6.5	1.2489152E-5	1.4215127E-5	1.14213704E-4	8.034659	1.0E-4	5.352384E-5	6.092063E-5	1.909127E-4	3.133794	1.3E-4	6.514579E-4	7.4146996E-4	9.6130685E-4	1.2964879	2.2E-4	0.0064955144	0.0073913475	0.0076990565	1.041631	3.1E-4
6.6	1.1662849E-5	1.3295847E-5	9.329478E-5	7.0168366	8.0E-5	4.9982682E-5	5.698103E-5	1.5697534E-4	2.7548702	1.0E-4	6.083692E-4	6.9353625E-4	8.8340446E-4	1.2737683	1.9E-4	0.006067064	0.00691503	0.007193094	1.0402116	2.8E-4
6.7	1.0667623E-5	1.2191395E-5	8.219054E-5	6.741685	7.0E-5	4.5717585E-5	5.2247855E-5	1.4224315E-4	2.7224686	9.0E-5	5.5646943E-4	6.359439E-4	8.0583576E-4	1.2671492	1.7E-4	0.0055507803	0.006342433	0.006570974	1.0360336	2.3E-4
6.8	9.154534E-6	1.0516181E-5	8.051544E-5	7.6563387	7.0E-5	3.923313E-5	4.5068628E-5	1.3506458E-4	2.9968646	9.0E-5	4.7755867E-4	5.4858305E-4	6.985007E-4	1.2732817	1.5E-4	0.004765337	0.0054733446	0.0056623043	1.0345237	1.9E-4
6.9	7.68501E-6	8.896834E-6	4.8896476E-5	5.4959416	4.0E-5	3.2935342E-5	3.8128783E-5	8.812688E-5	2.3112953	5.0E-5	4.0091402E-4	4.6412845E-4	5.540867E-4	1.1938218	9.0E-5	0.004001915	0.004632521	0.0047619184	1.0279325	1.3E-4
7.0	5.7315733E-6	6.746788E-6	1.674672E-5	2.4821768	1.0E-5	2.4563653E-5	2.891451E-5	3.8914222E-5	1.3458371	1.0E-5	2.9902143E-4	3.519816E-4	4.01964E-4	1.1420028	5.0E-5	0.0029861939	0.0035146675	0.0035943862	1.0226817	8.0E-5
7.1	5.566844E-6	6.5540667E-6	1.6554E-5	2.5257602	1.0E-5	2.3857683E-5	2.808858E-5	3.80883E-5	1.3560066	1.0E-5	2.9042858E-4	3.419291E-4	3.8191542E-4	1.1169434	4.0E-5	0.002900493	0.0034144553	0.0034842163	1.020431	7.0E-5
7.2	4.011353E-6	4.7038193E-6	1.4703772E-5	3.125922	1.0E-5	1.7191402E-5	2.0159088E-5	3.0158888E-5	1.4960442	1.0E-5	2.0928521E-4	2.4541272E-4	2.8540293E-4	1.1629508	4.0E-5	0.0020908823	0.002451759	0.0025016365	1.0203435	5.0E-5
7.3	2.0974871E-6	2.4546075E-6	1.2454583E-5	5.073961	1.0E-5	8.989199E-6	1.0519719E-5	2.0519614E-5	1.9505857	1.0E-5	1.09438006E-4	1.2807258E-4	1.5806874E-4	1.2342122	3.0E-5	0.0010938413	0.0012802359	0.0013201848	1.0312042	4.0E-5

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.5333705E-4	8.0875434E-5	6.4083014E-4	7.923669	5.6E-4	6.5699324E-4	3.4656317E-4	0.0010463205	3.0191338	7.0E-4	0.007969595	0.0042112856	0.005137369	1.2199051	9.3E-4	0.0768977	0.04436204	0.04548969	1.0254194	0.00118
6.1	1.5333705E-4	8.0875434E-5	6.4083014E-4	7.923669	5.6E-4	6.5699324E-4	3.4656317E-4	0.0010463205	3.0191338	7.0E-4	0.007969595	0.0042112856	0.005137369	1.2199051	9.3E-4	0.0768977	0.04436204	0.04548969	1.0254194	0.00118
6.2	1.3912938E-4	6.911641E-5	6.290777E-4	9.101713	5.6E-4	5.961325E-4	2.9617973E-4	9.959724E-4	3.3627298	7.0E-4	0.007233787	0.0036000593	0.0045167473	1.2546314	9.2E-4	0.07002798	0.03817493	0.039300267	1.0294784	0.00117
6.3	1.3912938E-4	6.911641E-5	6.290777E-4	9.101713	5.6E-4	5.961325E-4	2.9617973E-4	9.959724E-4	3.3627298	7.0E-4	0.007233787	0.0036000593	0.0045167473	1.2546314	9.2E-4	0.07002798	0.03817493	0.039300267	1.0294784	0.00117
6.4	1.2623647E-4	5.7996025E-5	6.1796355E-4	10.655274	5.6E-4	5.4090127E-4	2.4853085E-4	9.3835936E-4	3.7756252	6.9E-4	0.0065656058	0.0030216891	0.0039189695	1.2969466	9.0E-4	0.06374981	0.032282516	0.03339539	1.034473	0.00115
6.5	1.1736096E-4	5.0345352E-5	6.0031767E-4	11.923993	5.5E-4	5.028786E-4	2.1574806E-4	8.856035E-4	4.104804	6.7E-4	0.006105373	0.0026235883	0.0035012795	1.3345385	8.8E-4	0.05940335	0.02821938	0.029307773	1.0385691	0.00112
6.6	1.1586959E-4	4.912597E-5	5.99099E-4	12.195158	5.5E-4	4.964894E-4	2.10523E-4	8.8038197E-4	4.1818805	6.7E-4	0.006028018	0.0025601243	0.0034378713	1.3428533	8.8E-4	0.058671024	0.027568938	0.028658062	1.0395055	0.00112
6.7	1.13693764E-4	4.7265763E-5	5.9723976E-4	12.635779	5.5E-4	4.87168E-4	2.0255194E-4	8.7241625E-4	4.3071237	6.7E-4	0.005915152	0.0024633002	0.0033411325	1.3563643	8.8E-4	0.057601593	0.026580047	0.027670277	1.0410168	0.00112
6.8	1.1204889E-4	4.6353456E-5	5.9632794E-4	12.8648	5.5E-4	4.8012115E-4	1.9864265E-4	8.685096E-4	4.372221	6.7E-4	0.005829819	0.0024158112	0.0032936854	1.3633869	8.8E-4	0.05679232	0.026074516	0.027165312	1.0418338	0.00112
6.9	1.1005794E-4	4.524455E-5	5.9521967E-4	13.155611	5.5E-4	4.7159163E-4	1.938909E-4	8.63761E-4	4.4548817	6.7E-4	0.0057265228	0.0023580855	0.0032360102	1.3723041	8.8E-4	0.055811852	0.025457848	0.026549336	1.0428743	0.00112
7.0	1.0647948E-4	4.308664E-5	5.9306296E-4	13.764428	5.5E-4	4.562608E-4	1.8464406E-4	8.5452036E-4	4.627933	6.7E-4	0.0055408357	0.0022457426	0.0031237663	1.3909726	8.8E-4	0.054047033	0.024261154	0.025344225	1.0446421	0.00111
7.1	1.04795035E-4	4.1983072E-5	5.9196E-4	14.099968	5.5E-4	4.4904428E-4	1.7991515E-4	8.497946E-4	4.7233076	6.7E-4	0.0054534175	0.002188285	0.0030663593	1.4012613	8.8E-4	0.053215165	0.02365444	0.024728421	1.0454029	0.0011
7.2	1.02724036E-4	4.0716357E-5	5.9069396E-4	14.507534	5.5E-4	4.401716E-4	1.7448711E-4	8.443702E-4	4.839155	6.7E-4	0.0053459285	0.0021223293	0.0030004617	1.4137588	8.8E-4	0.052191395	0.022955598	0.024030348	1.0468186	0.0011
7.3	1.00650694E-4	4.0033414E-5	5.900114E-4	14.737973	5.5E-4	4.312888E-4	1.715606E-4	8.4144564E-4	4.9046555	6.7E-4	0.005238306	0.002086768	0.0029649315	1.4208248	8.8E-4	0.051165357	0.022548916	0.023624113	1.0476829	0.0011
7.4	9.672919E-5	3.850031E-5	5.784795E-4	15.025321	5.4E-4	4.144878E-4	1.64991E-4	8.248821E-4	4.9995584	6.6E-4	0.005034718	0.002006933	0.0028652071	1.4276545	8.6E-4	0.049221683	0.021649895	0.02269673	1.0483528	0.00107
7.5	8.7600405E-5	2.6657997E-5	4.9664546E-4	18.63026	4.7E-4	3.753763E-4	1.1424357E-4	7.0417614E-4	6.1638145	5.9E-4	0.0045606326	0.0013900301	0.0021489738	1.5459907	7.6E-4	0.04468165	0.015366456	0.016292011	1.0602322	9.4E-4
7.6	7.9562284E-5	2.2762939E-5	3.627552E-4	15.93622	3.4E-4	3.4093665E-4	9.755181E-5	5.2750984E-4	5.407484	4.3E-4	0.0041430052	0.001187048	0.0017363952	1.4627843	5.5E-4	0.040666126	0.013235341	0.013896473	1.049952	6.7E-4
7.7	6.3866544E-5	1.4660591E-5	1.7465824E-4	11.913452	1.6E-4	2.7368503E-4	6.282959E-5	2.5281764E-4	4.023863	1.9E-4	0.0033270244	7.646822E-4	0.0010244834	1.3397505	2.6E-4	0.032776527	0.008790216	0.009127228	1.0383394	3.4E-4
7.8	4.2543215E-5	1.1141078E-5	7.1140414E-5	6.385415	6.0E-5	1.8231533E-4	4.7746606E-5	1.377423E-4	2.8848608	9.0E-5	0.0022174292	5.8116E-4	7.1108446E-4	1.2235606	1.3E-4	0.021954332	0.006676136	0.0068648676	1.0282695	1.9E-4
7.9	2.2636612E-5	9.475562E-6	4.9475184E-5	5.2213454	4.0E-5	9.7010445E-5	4.060892E-5	1.1060608E-4	2.723689	7.0E-5	0.0011804621	4.943016E-4	5.8425707E-4	1.181985	9.0E-5	0.011742111	0.005604431	0.0057138144	1.0195173	1.1E-4
8.0	1.5167874E-5	8.527474E-6	3.8527218E-5	4.5180106	3.0E-5	6.500356E-5	3.6545804E-5	8.654398E-5	2.368096	5.0E-5	7.9113094E-4	4.4485446E-4	5.148233E-4	1.1572849	7.0E-5	0.007883203	0.0050214976	0.0051110457	1.017833	9.0E-5
8.1	1.0681047E-5	7.744593E-6	1.7744516E-5	2.2912135	1.0E-5	4.5775112E-5	3.3190692E-5	6.31897E-5	1.9038379	3.0E-5	5.5716943E-4	4.0402188E-4	4.5400165E-4	1.1237056	5.0E-5	0.0055577457	0.0045524933	0.00461222	1.0131196	6.0E-5
8.2	8.226114E-6	6.2227323E-6	1.622267E-5	2.607001	1.0E-5	3.52543E-5	2.666858E-5	5.666778E-5	2.1248891	3.0E-5	4.2913653E-4	3.246417E-4	3.746255E-4	1.153966	5.0E-5	0.004283088	0.0036438936	0.003703675	1.0164059	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

King Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2462566E-5	1.3106756E-5	3.231027E-4	24.651613	3.1E-4	5.34099E-5	5.6170804E-5	4.5614832E-4	8.120737	4.0E-4	6.5007154E-4	6.837E-4	0.0013732283	2.0085244	6.9E-4	0.0064817313	0.006820426	0.00778381	1.1412499	9.7E-4
6.1	1.2462566E-5	1.3106756E-5	3.231027E-4	24.651613	3.1E-4	5.34099E-5	5.6170804E-5	4.5614832E-4	8.120737	4.0E-4	6.5007154E-4	6.837E-4	0.0013732283	2.0085244	6.9E-4	0.0064817313	0.006820426	0.00778381	1.1412499	9.7E-4
6.2	1.2462566E-5	1.3106756E-5	3.231027E-4	24.651613	3.1E-4	5.34099E-5	5.6170804E-5	4.5614832E-4	8.120737	4.0E-4	6.5007154E-4	6.837E-4	0.0013732283	2.0085244	6.9E-4	0.0064817313	0.006820426	0.00778381	1.1412499	9.7E-4
6.3	7.988484E-6	8.284332E-6	2.1828258E-4	26.348848	2.1E-4	3.423591E-5	3.550387E-5	3.054943E-4	8.604535	2.7E-4	4.1674246E-4	4.3218685E-4	8.719967E-4	2.0176382	4.4E-4	0.004159618	0.0043157414	0.0049031954	1.1361189	5.9E-4
6.4	7.988484E-6	8.284332E-6	2.1828258E-4	26.348848	2.1E-4	3.423591E-5	3.550387E-5	3.054943E-4	8.604535	2.7E-4	4.1674246E-4	4.3218685E-4	8.719967E-4	2.0176382	4.4E-4	0.004159618	0.0043157414	0.0049031954	1.1361189	5.9E-4
6.5	5.0522513E-6	5.144965E-6	1.551442E-4	30.154566	1.5E-4	2.1652326E-5	2.204967E-5	2.2204526E-4	10.0702305	2.0E-4	2.6358519E-4	2.684226E-4	5.6834205E-4	2.1173406	3.0E-4	0.0026327274	0.002682078	0.003071032	1.1450197	3.9E-4
6.6	4.53682E-6	4.6002788E-6	1.5459959E-4	33.606567	1.5E-4	1.944337E-5	1.9715335E-5	2.097116E-4	10.636978	1.9E-4	2.3669732E-4	2.4000838E-4	5.1994115E-4	2.1663458	2.8E-4	0.0023644536	0.0023985533	0.0027377377	1.1414121	3.4E-4
6.7	4.1144335E-6	4.1574413E-6	1.4415686E-4	34.67442	1.4E-4	1.7633167E-5	1.7817485E-5	1.9781428E-4	11.102256	1.8E-4	2.1466266E-4	2.169067E-4	4.8684812E-4	2.244505	2.7E-4	0.0021445542	0.0021679904	0.002497275	1.1518847	3.3E-4
6.8	3.8321214E-6	3.8662165E-6	1.4386568E-4	37.21097	1.4E-4	1.6423275E-5	1.6569396E-5	1.9656641E-4	11.863221	1.8E-4	1.9993502E-4	2.0171407E-4	4.6166164E-4	2.2886932	2.6E-4	0.0019975523	0.0020163439	0.0023356988	1.1583831	3.2E-4
6.9	3.4999944E-6	3.5210858E-6	1.4352059E-4	40.760323	1.4E-4	1.499989E-5	1.50902815E-5	1.9508756E-4	12.928027	1.8E-4	1.8260835E-4	1.8370895E-4	4.3366302E-4	2.3605983	2.5E-4	0.0018245836	0.0018365972	0.002146028	1.1684804	3.1E-4
7.0	2.9470837E-6	2.94105E-6	1.2294069E-4	41.801632	1.2E-4	1.26302975E-5	1.2604441E-5	1.7260242E-4	13.693779	1.6E-4	1.5376302E-4	1.5344843E-4	3.734147E-4	2.4334865	2.2E-4	0.0015365666	0.001534442	0.0018140123	1.1821967	2.8E-4
7.1	2.4850247E-6	2.4482747E-6	1.2244798E-4	50.01399	1.2E-4	1.0650062E-5	1.0492565E-5	1.7049088E-4	16.248734	1.6E-4	1.296568E-4	1.2773964E-4	3.4771152E-4	2.7220333	2.2E-4	0.0012958117	0.0012776757	0.0015473308	1.2110512	2.7E-4
7.2	2.1800304E-6	2.1238704E-6	1.2212362E-4	57.5005	1.2E-4	9.342954E-6	9.102271E-6	1.6910081E-4	18.577871	1.6E-4	1.1374453E-4	1.108146E-4	3.2079133E-4	2.8948472	2.1E-4	0.0011368633	0.0011085928	0.0013583157	1.2252611	2.5E-4
7.3	2.0378504E-6	1.992436E-6	1.11992216E-4	56.20869	1.1E-4	8.733615E-6	8.538984E-6	1.4853779E-4	17.395254	1.4E-4	1.0632657E-4	1.0395725E-4	2.939375E-4	2.8274844	1.9E-4	0.0010627571	0.0010400725	0.0012698333	1.2209084	2.3E-4
7.4	1.4577047E-6	1.4333372E-6	8.143322E-5	56.813725	8.0E-5	6.247291E-6	6.1428595E-6	1.06142244E-4	17.278963	1.0E-4	7.605811E-5	7.4786825E-5	2.1477636E-4	2.8718474	1.4E-4	7.603208E-4	7.4852846E-4	9.283937E-4	1.2402918	1.8E-4
7.5	8.0685743E-7	6.723452E-7	5.067231E-5	75.36651	5.0E-5	3.457956E-6	2.8814766E-6	5.2881333E-5	18.352165	5.0E-5	4.20998E-5	3.508146E-5	1.15078656E-4	3.2803268	8.0E-5	4.2091825E-4	3.5151636E-4	4.514812E-4	1.2843817	1.0E-4
7.6	3.1239435E-7	1.4569902E-7	1.4569902E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3388321E-6	6.244242E-7	6.244242E-7	1.0	0.0	1.630016E-5	7.6023393E-6	7.6023393E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6298964E-4	7.6728385E-5	9.672685E-5	1.2606397	2.0E-5
7.7	1.7747207E-7	5.359964E-8	5.359964E-8	1.0	0.0	7.605944E-7	2.2971273E-7	2.2971273E-7	1.0	0.0	9.260198E-6	2.796749E-6	2.796749E-6	1.0	0.0	9.2598115E-5	2.8431174E-5	3.843089E-5	1.3517166	1.0E-5
7.8	2.1035538E-8	2.5589224E-9	2.5589224E-9	1.0	0.0	9.0152305E-8	1.09668115E-8	1.09668115E-8	1.0	0.0	1.0976038E-6	1.3352093E-7	1.3352093E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0975983E-5	1.3787244E-6	1.3787244E-6	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.4782963E-9	2.2415403E-12	2.2415403E-12	1.0	0.0	6.335555E-9	9.606427E-12	9.606427E-12	1.0	0.0	7.713538E-8	1.1696055E-10	1.1696055E-10	1.0	0.0	7.7135354E-7	1.64046E-9	1.64046E-9	1.0	0.0

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.1	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.2	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.3	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.4	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.5	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.6	4.8399295E-5	6.532863E-5	2.953136E-4	4.5204315	2.3E-4	2.0740906E-4	2.7995414E-4	5.998645E-4	2.1427245	3.2E-4	0.002522281	0.0034037775	0.0039319736	1.1551794	5.3E-4	0.024938442	0.03358194	0.034345407	1.0227345	7.9E-4
6.7	3.495179E-5	4.6882404E-5	2.1687444E-4	4.625924	1.7E-4	1.4978478E-4	2.009123E-4	4.5086208E-4	2.244074	2.5E-4	0.0018221042	0.0024438999	0.0028628735	1.1714364	4.2E-4	0.018072363	0.024223141	0.024828123	1.0249753	6.2E-4
6.8	2.7517597E-5	3.668069E-5	1.6667592E-4	4.543969	1.3E-4	1.1792722E-4	1.5719632E-4	3.5716488E-4	2.2720945	2.0E-4	0.0014348183	0.0019126642	0.002242033	1.1722043	3.3E-4	0.014255894	0.019008892	0.019460147	1.0237392	4.6E-4
6.9	2.74461E-5	3.6597947E-5	1.6659319E-4	4.551982	1.3E-4	1.1762084E-4	1.5684175E-4	3.5681037E-4	2.2749708	2.0E-4	0.001431093	0.0019083549	0.002237725	1.1725938	3.3E-4	0.014219119	0.018966535	0.019417811	1.0237932	4.6E-4
7.0	1.9023773E-5	2.4991192E-5	1.249887E-4	5.00131	1.0E-4	8.152791E-5	1.0710308E-4	2.5708703E-4	2.40037	1.5E-4	9.921503E-4	0.0013036067	0.0015532807	1.1915257	2.5E-4	0.009877323	0.012999279	0.01330525	1.0235375	3.1E-4
7.1	5.566844E-6	6.5540667E-6	1.6554E-5	2.5257602	1.0E-5	2.3857683E-5	2.808858E-5	3.80883E-5	1.3560066	1.0E-5	2.9042858E-4	3.419291E-4	3.8191542E-4	1.1169434	4.0E-5	0.002900493	0.0034144553	0.0034842163	1.020431	7.0E-5
7.2	4.011353E-6	4.7038193E-6	1.4703772E-5	3.125922	1.0E-5	1.7191402E-5	2.0159088E-5	3.0158888E-5	1.4960442	1.0E-5	2.0928521E-4	2.4541272E-4	2.8540293E-4	1.1629508	4.0E-5	0.0020908823	0.002451759	0.0025016365	1.0203435	5.0E-5
7.3	2.0974871E-6	2.4546075E-6	1.2454583E-5	5.073961	1.0E-5	8.989199E-6	1.0519719E-5	2.0519614E-5	1.9505857	1.0E-5	1.09438006E-4	1.2807258E-4	1.5806874E-4	1.2342122	3.0E-5	0.0010938413	0.0012802359	0.0013201848	1.0312042	4.0E-5

Trinidad (alt1)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.1	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.2	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.3	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.4	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.5	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.6	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.7	3.0167168E-5	3.4197783E-5	1.5419368E-4	4.508879	1.2E-4	1.2928146E-4	1.4655465E-4	3.365268E-4	2.2962546	1.9E-4	0.0015728653	0.0017830128	0.0020724956	1.162356	2.9E-4	0.0156177925	0.017704206	0.018156061	1.0255225	4.6E-4
6.8	1.717077E-5	1.928099E-5	1.0927925E-4	5.6677203	9.0E-5	7.358694E-5	8.2630446E-5	2.0262053E-4	2.4521291	1.2E-4	8.9555274E-4	0.0010056063	0.0011254856	1.119211	1.2E-4	0.008919522	0.010015051	0.010232847	1.021747	2.2E-4
6.9	1.717077E-5	1.928099E-5	1.0927925E-4	5.6677203	9.0E-5	7.358694E-5	8.2630446E-5	2.0262053E-4	2.4521291	1.2E-4	8.9555274E-4	0.0010056063	0.0011254856	1.119211	1.2E-4	0.008919522	0.010015051	0.010232847	1.021747	2.2E-4
7.0	1.2858572E-5	1.4399481E-5	6.439876E-5	4.472297	5.0E-5	5.5107E-5	6.171079E-5	1.4170585E-4	2.29629	8.0E-5	6.707212E-4	7.511022E-4	8.310421E-4	1.1064302	8.0E-5	0.006687004	0.007488844	0.0076476457	1.0212051	1.6E-4
7.1	1.0588431E-5	1.1852174E-5	5.18517E-5	4.3748684	4.0E-5	4.53782E-5	5.0794206E-5	1.1079116E-4	2.1811771	6.0E-5	5.5233954E-4	6.1827316E-4	6.78236E-4	1.0969845	6.0E-5	0.005509687	0.006168405	0.006307542	1.0225563	1.4E-4
7.2	8.138061E-6	9.106194E-6	2.9106011E-5	3.1962874	2.0E-5	3.487694E-5	3.90261E-5	6.902493E-5	1.7686863	3.0E-5	4.2454398E-4	4.7506424E-4	5.0505E-4	1.0631194	3.0E-5	0.0042373384	0.0047429497	0.0048225704	1.0167872	8.0E-5
7.3	5.787542E-6	6.4885676E-6	2.6488438E-5	4.0823245	2.0E-5	2.4803514E-5	2.7807971E-5	4.7807414E-5	1.7191982	2.0E-5	3.0194095E-4	3.385312E-4	3.585244E-4	1.0590588	2.0E-5	0.00301531	0.003382285	0.0034221497	1.0117863	4.0E-5
7.4	4.303563E-6	4.8217044E-6	2.4821607E-5	5.147891	2.0E-5	1.844371E-5	2.0664396E-5	4.066398E-5	1.9678283	2.0E-5	2.2452902E-4	2.515799E-4	2.7157489E-4	1.0794775	2.0E-5	0.0022430231	0.002514907	0.0025548064	1.0158652	4.0E-5
7.5	5.6063425E-7	6.16446E-7	6.16446E-7	1.0	0.0	2.402716E-6	2.6419088E-6	2.6419088E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9252675E-5	3.2164782E-5	3.2164782E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9248823E-4	3.2160283E-4	3.2160283E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.6699128E-7	5.1439906E-7	5.1439906E-7	1.0	0.0	2.0013897E-6	2.2045656E-6	2.2045656E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4366647E-5	2.684027E-5	2.684027E-5	1.0	0.0	2.4363975E-4	2.683717E-4	2.683717E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.2080937E-7	2.443582E-7	2.443582E-7	1.0	0.0	9.4632554E-7	1.047249E-6	1.047249E-6	1.0	0.0	1.15214525E-5	1.2750188E-5	1.2750188E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1520855E-4	1.2749518E-4	1.2749518E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.1438307E-8	1.2729346E-8	1.2729346E-8	1.0	0.0	4.9021317E-8	5.4554338E-8	5.4554338E-8	1.0	0.0	5.9683435E-7	6.6419904E-7	6.6419904E-7	1.0	0.0	5.9683275E-6	6.6419907E-6	6.6419907E-6	1.0	0.0

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.8044945E-5	8.933196E-5	2.8931408E-4	3.2386405	2.0E-4	2.9158857E-4	3.8279418E-4	6.227023E-4	1.6267288	2.4E-4	0.0035443127	0.004651177	0.005009503	1.0770397	3.6E-4	0.03488314	0.045603245	0.046032723	1.0094178	4.5E-4
6.1	6.8044945E-5	8.933196E-5	2.8931408E-4	3.2386405	2.0E-4	2.9158857E-4	3.8279418E-4	6.227023E-4	1.6267288	2.4E-4	0.0035443127	0.004651177	0.005009503	1.0770397	3.6E-4	0.03488314	0.045603245	0.046032723	1.0094178	4.5E-4
6.2	6.8044945E-5	8.933196E-5	2.8931408E-4	3.2386405	2.0E-4	2.9158857E-4	3.8279418E-4	6.227023E-4	1.6267288	2.4E-4	0.0035443127	0.004651177	0.005009503	1.0770397	3.6E-4	0.03488314	0.045603245	0.046032723	1.0094178	4.5E-4
6.3	6.8044945E-5	8.933196E-5	2.8931408E-4	3.2386405	2.0E-4	2.9158857E-4	3.8279418E-4	6.227023E-4	1.6267288	2.4E-4	0.0035443127	0.004651177	0.005009503	1.0770397	3.6E-4	0.03488314	0.045603245	0.046032723	1.0094178	4.5E-4
6.4	4.5830013E-5	5.7629506E-5	1.6762316E-4	2.9086344	1.1E-4	1.9639956E-4	2.4695808E-4	3.869235E-4	1.5667579	1.4E-4	0.0023885423	0.003002937	0.0032023364	1.0664015	2.0E-4	0.023630321	0.029659161	0.029901747	1.0081791	2.5E-4
6.5	4.5830013E-5	5.7629506E-5	1.6762316E-4	2.9086344	1.1E-4	1.9639956E-4	2.4695808E-4	3.869235E-4	1.5667579	1.4E-4	0.0023885423	0.003002937	0.0032023364	1.0664015	2.0E-4	0.023630321	0.029659161	0.029901747	1.0081791	2.5E-4
6.6	3.222194E-5	3.8485607E-5	1.1848252E-4	3.0786192	8.0E-5	1.3808672E-4	1.6492755E-4	2.749094E-4	1.6668495	1.1E-4	0.0016799092	0.0020062337	0.0021559326	1.0746169	1.5E-4	0.016672665	0.019890096	0.020066515	1.0088698	1.8E-4
6.7	2.4155654E-5	2.7894475E-5	6.789336E-5	2.4339356	4.0E-5	1.0352012E-4	1.19542325E-4	1.7953516E-4	1.5018543	6.0E-5	0.0012596287	0.0014544644	0.001534348	1.054923	8.0E-5	0.012525126	0.014450604	0.0145491585	1.0068201	1.0E-4
6.8	2.1814667E-5	2.5025707E-5	6.502471E-5	2.5983164	4.0E-5	9.348808E-5	1.0724864E-4	1.6724221E-4	1.5593877	6.0E-5	0.001137623	0.0013049738	0.0013748825	1.0535709	7.0E-5	0.011318169	0.012973726	0.013062558	1.0068471	9.0E-5
6.9	2.0700467E-5	2.3705063E-5	5.3704352E-5	2.2655225	3.0E-5	8.871327E-5	1.0158919E-4	1.5158411E-4	1.4921284	5.0E-5	0.0010795488	0.0012361498	0.0012960756	1.0484778	6.0E-5	0.010743194	0.012293262	0.01237228	1.0064276	8.0E-5
7.0	2.0104066E-5	2.3008504E-5	4.3008044E-5	1.8692238	2.0E-5	8.615744E-5	9.860416E-5	1.3860023E-4	1.4056224	4.0E-5	0.0010484619	0.0011998477	0.0012497876	1.0416219	5.0E-5	0.010435291	0.011934186	0.012003351	1.0057955	7.0E-5
7.1	1.8225232E-5	2.0832707E-5	4.0832292E-5	1.9600089	2.0E-5	7.81058E-5	8.927999E-5	1.292764E-4	1.4479887	4.0E-5	9.5052324E-4	0.0010864433	0.001136389	1.0459718	5.0E-5	0.009464677	0.010811608	0.010880851	1.0064045	7.0E-5
7.2	1.7526572E-5	2.0049858E-5	4.0049457E-5	1.9974933	2.0E-5	7.511172E-5	8.5925145E-5	1.2592171E-4	1.4654815	4.0E-5	9.141015E-4	0.001045638	0.0010955858	1.0477676	5.0E-5	0.009103506	0.010407448	0.010476719	1.0066559	7.0E-5
7.3	1.5727232E-5	1.807123E-5	3.807087E-5	2.1067116	2.0E-5	6.740067E-5	7.744584E-5	1.0744351E-4	1.3873374	3.0E-5	8.2029426E-4	9.4249647E-4	9.824588E-4	1.0424005	4.0E-5	0.008172729	0.009385201	0.009444638	1.006333	6.0E-5
7.4	1.4457361E-5	1.6642314E-5	3.664198E-5	2.201736	2.0E-5	6.195865E-5	7.132226E-5	1.0132012E-4	1.420596	3.0E-5	7.540854E-4	8.6800347E-4	9.0796873E-4	1.0460428	4.0E-5	0.007515317	0.0086462805	0.008705761	1.0068794	6.0E-5
7.5	1.33280955E-5	1.5385824E-5	2.538567E-5	1.649939	1.0E-5	5.711916E-5	6.593759E-5	8.593626E-5	1.3032972	2.0E-5	6.9520384E-4	8.024953E-4	8.324712E-4	1.0373534	3.0E-5	0.00693033	0.007996103	0.008035783	1.0049624	4.0E-5
7.6	1.0699478E-5	1.2419664E-5	2.241954E-5	1.8051648	1.0E-5	4.5854096E-5	5.3226046E-5	6.322552E-5	1.1878679	1.0E-5	5.581306E-4	6.4783497E-4	6.67822E-4	1.0308521	2.0E-5	0.005567309	0.0064595332	0.006479404	1.0030762	2.0E-5
7.7	5.9390236E-6	6.871231E-6	6.871231E-6	1.0	0.0	2.545271E-5	2.9447801E-5	2.9447801E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0984267E-4	3.5846824E-4	3.5846824E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0030941102	0.003578919	0.003578919	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.1622036E-6	2.3357272E-6	2.3357272E-6	1.0	0.0	9.266554E-6	1.0010222E-5	1.0010222E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1281446E-4	1.21867706E-4	1.21867706E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001127572	0.0012180156	0.0012180156	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.9586197E-7	5.2292177E-7	5.2292177E-7	1.0	0.0	2.125121E-6	2.2410916E-6	2.2410916E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5873042E-5	2.7284968E-5	2.7284968E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5870028E-4	2.728183E-4	2.728183E-4	1.0	0.0

Russ 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.1	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.2	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.3	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.4	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.5	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.6	2.3806366E-5	2.6355807E-5	1.6635211E-4	6.3117824	1.4E-4	1.0202329E-4	1.1294893E-4	3.5292184E-4	3.124614	2.4E-4	0.0012414258	0.0013743499	0.0017338552	1.261582	3.6E-4	0.012345135	0.013665036	0.014108887	1.0324807	4.5E-4
6.7	1.6515693E-5	1.8257282E-5	1.2825527E-4	7.0248833	1.1E-4	7.077962E-5	7.824334E-5	2.4823003E-4	3.172539	1.7E-4	8.6140115E-4	9.5223036E-4	0.0012119828	1.2727832	2.6E-4	0.008580698	0.009484921	0.009801886	1.0334178	3.2E-4
6.8	1.6515693E-5	1.8257282E-5	1.2825527E-4	7.0248833	1.1E-4	7.077962E-5	7.824334E-5	2.4823003E-4	3.172539	1.7E-4	8.6140115E-4	9.5223036E-4	0.0012119828	1.2727832	2.6E-4	0.008580698	0.009484921	0.009801886	1.0334178	3.2E-4
6.9	1.2971182E-5	1.4327798E-5	8.43268E-5	5.8855376	7.0E-5	5.5589593E-5	6.140355E-5	1.8139619E-4	2.9541643	1.2E-4	6.765931E-4	7.4735796E-4	9.57201E-4	1.2807798	2.1E-4	0.0067453682	0.0074510393	0.0076991767	1.0333023	2.5E-4
7.0	1.0201805E-5	1.12641565E-5	8.1263366E-5	7.2143326	7.0E-5	4.3721288E-5	4.8274178E-5	1.5826887E-4	3.2785408	1.1E-4	5.3217664E-4	5.876006E-4	7.5750065E-4	1.2891421	1.7E-4	0.00530904	0.0058625364	0.006051422	1.0322192	1.9E-4
7.1	8.3744935E-6	9.247381E-6	5.924692E-5	6.4068866	5.0E-5	3.5890193E-5	3.9631133E-5	1.1962796E-4	3.018535	8.0E-5	4.368755E-4	4.8242093E-4	6.123582E-4	1.2693442	1.3E-4	0.004360176	0.0048155757	0.0049648536	1.030999	1.5E-4
7.2	6.649391E-6	7.344667E-6	4.7344372E-5	6.4460883	4.0E-5	2.8497077E-5	3.147686E-5	1.0147466E-4	3.2237859	7.0E-5	3.4689668E-4	3.831801E-4	4.93138E-4	1.2869613	1.1E-4	0.0034635565	0.0038268368	0.0039463774	1.0312375	1.2E-4
7.3	4.9549312E-6	5.4753014E-6	4.547508E-5	8.305494	4.0E-5	2.1235246E-5	2.3465449E-5	8.346404E-5	3.556891	6.0E-5	2.5850846E-4	2.8566923E-4	3.7564352E-4	1.3149596	9.0E-5	0.0025820795	0.002854475	0.002944218	1.0314394	9.0E-5

Little Salmon (Onshore)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.1	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.2	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.3	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.4	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.5	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.6	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.7	4.1582247E-5	5.3306372E-5	2.3329677E-4	4.376527	1.8E-4	1.7819746E-4	2.2844081E-4	4.5838827E-4	2.0065954	2.3E-4	0.0021673953	0.0027785928	0.0031076758	1.1184351	3.3E-4	0.021463778	0.027385589	0.027823266	1.015982	4.5E-4
6.8	3.4607925E-5	4.2157586E-5	2.0215084E-4	4.7951236	1.6E-4	1.4831126E-4	1.8066734E-4	3.906294E-4	2.1621473	2.1E-4	0.001804194	0.0021982002	0.002467607	1.1225578	2.7E-4	0.01789616	0.021736324	0.0220885	1.0162021	3.6E-4
6.9	3.4607925E-5	4.2157586E-5	2.0215084E-4	4.7951236	1.6E-4	1.4831126E-4	1.8066734E-4	3.906294E-4	2.1621473	2.1E-4	0.001804194	0.0021982002	0.002467607	1.1225578	2.7E-4	0.01789616	0.021736324	0.0220885	1.0162021	3.6E-4
7.0	1.8411014E-5	1.7849616E-5	1.17847834E-4	6.6022615	1.0E-4	7.8901954E-5	7.6496435E-5	1.9648725E-4	2.5685806	1.2E-4	9.6020795E-4	9.310034E-4	0.0010708731	1.1502354	1.4E-4	0.009560696	0.009298356	0.009456868	1.0170473	1.6E-4
7.1	1.6183103E-5	1.4713972E-5	1.0471265E-4	7.1165457	9.0E-5	6.935431E-5	6.3058644E-5	1.7305171E-4	2.744298	1.1E-4	8.440616E-4	7.675196E-4	8.874275E-4	1.1562278	1.2E-4	0.008408628	0.007675408	0.007814333	1.0181	1.4E-4
7.2	1.4868988E-5	1.3053152E-5	9.3052106E-5	7.1287084	8.0E-5	6.372268E-5	5.594115E-5	1.4593612E-4	2.6087434	9.0E-5	7.755474E-4	6.809193E-4	7.808512E-4	1.1467603	1.0E-4	0.0077284635	0.0068143816	0.006933564	1.0174898	1.2E-4
7.3	9.3599865E-6	7.990615E-6	4.7990296E-5	6.005832	4.0E-5	4.011361E-5	3.4245262E-5	7.424389E-5	2.1680048	4.0E-5	4.8827377E-4	4.1689473E-4	4.6687387E-4	1.1198844	5.0E-5	0.004872023	0.004178715	0.004248422	1.0166816	7.0E-5
7.4	5.941556E-6	5.1425686E-6	4.5142362E-5	8.778174	4.0E-5	2.5463563E-5	2.203958E-5	6.20387E-5	2.8148766	4.0E-5	3.0997477E-4	2.6833187E-4	3.1831846E-4	1.1862864	5.0E-5	0.0030954275	0.0026926883	0.0027624997	1.0259264	7.0E-5

Little Salmon (Offshore)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.1	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.2	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.3	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.4	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.5	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.6	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.7	2.3052053E-5	2.212469E-5	2.3212004E-4	10.491448	2.1E-4	9.879077E-5	9.4817326E-5	3.2479552E-4	3.425487	2.3E-4	0.0012021139	0.0011539089	0.0014735396	1.2769983	3.2E-4	0.011956319	0.011512553	0.0119573735	1.0386378	4.5E-4
6.8	1.683878E-5	1.4857162E-5	1.3485538E-4	9.076793	1.2E-4	7.21642E-5	6.3672305E-5	1.8366466E-4	2.8845298	1.2E-4	8.78245E-4	7.74989E-4	9.2487276E-4	1.1934011	1.5E-4	0.008747822	0.0077499147	0.007978132	1.0294478	2.3E-4
6.9	1.683878E-5	1.4857162E-5	1.3485538E-4	9.076793	1.2E-4	7.21642E-5	6.3672305E-5	1.8366466E-4	2.8845298	1.2E-4	8.78245E-4	7.74989E-4	9.2487276E-4	1.1934011	1.5E-4	0.008747822	0.0077499147	0.007978132	1.0294478	2.3E-4
7.0	1.5051273E-5	1.2792186E-5	9.279116E-5	7.253738	8.0E-5	6.450386E-5	5.482278E-5	1.3481839E-4	2.4591675	8.0E-5	7.8505155E-4	6.6731236E-4	7.6724566E-4	1.1497549	1.0E-4	0.00782284	0.006679654	0.006828652	1.0223062	1.5E-4
7.1	1.5051273E-5	1.2792186E-5	9.279116E-5	7.253738	8.0E-5	6.450386E-5	5.482278E-5	1.3481839E-4	2.4591675	8.0E-5	7.8505155E-4	6.6731236E-4	7.6724566E-4	1.1497549	1.0E-4	0.00782284	0.006679654	0.006828652	1.0223062	1.5E-4
7.2	1.24301405E-5	1.03223E-5	6.0321785E-5	5.8438315	5.0E-5	5.3270942E-5	4.4237924E-5	9.423571E-5	2.130202	5.0E-5	6.483807E-4	5.385069E-4	5.984746E-4	1.1113592	6.0E-5	0.006464922	0.0053975764	0.0054771444	1.0147414	8.0E-5
7.3	9.3599865E-6	7.990615E-6	4.7990296E-5	6.005832	4.0E-5	4.011361E-5	3.4245262E-5	7.424389E-5	2.1680048	4.0E-5	4.8827377E-4	4.1689473E-4	4.6687387E-4	1.1198844	5.0E-5	0.004872023	0.004178715	0.004248422	1.0166816	7.0E-5
7.4	5.941556E-6	5.1425686E-6	4.5142362E-5	8.778174	4.0E-5	2.5463563E-5	2.203958E-5	6.20387E-5	2.8148766	4.0E-5	3.0997477E-4	2.6833187E-4	3.1831846E-4	1.1862864	5.0E-5	0.0030954275	0.0026926883	0.0027624997	1.0259264	7.0E-5

Maacama 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.3538804E-4	2.608102E-4	3.4078932E-4	1.3066565	8.0E-5	5.8010535E-4	0.0011172196	0.0012270967	1.0983487	1.1E-4	0.007039935	0.013498464	0.013676033	1.0131549	1.8E-4	0.068210475	0.12537767	0.12565756	1.0022323	3.2E-4
6.1	1.3538804E-4	2.608102E-4	3.4078932E-4	1.3066565	8.0E-5	5.8010535E-4	0.0011172196	0.0012270967	1.0983487	1.1E-4	0.007039935	0.013498464	0.013676033	1.0131549	1.8E-4	0.068210475	0.12537767	0.12565756	1.0022323	3.2E-4
6.2	1.3538804E-4	2.608102E-4	3.4078932E-4	1.3066565	8.0E-5	5.8010535E-4	0.0011172196	0.0012270967	1.0983487	1.1E-4	0.007039935	0.013498464	0.013676033	1.0131549	1.8E-4	0.068210475	0.12537767	0.12565756	1.0022323	3.2E-4
6.3	1.1917239E-4	2.286178E-4	2.986018E-4	1.3061179	7.0E-5	5.1063887E-4	9.793561E-4	0.001069268	1.0918071	9.0E-5	0.0061993203	0.011844448	0.011982789	1.0116799	1.4E-4	0.060292065	0.111034505	0.11128342	1.0022417	2.8E-4
6.4	1.1859289E-4	2.2764028E-4	2.9762436E-4	1.3074327	7.0E-5	5.0815626E-4	9.7517006E-4	0.0010650823	1.0922016	9.0E-5	0.006169266	0.011794093	0.011932442	1.0117303	1.4E-4	0.06000784	0.11058666	0.110835694	1.002252	2.8E-4
6.5	1.09512424E-4	2.0998345E-4	2.7996875E-4	1.3332896	7.0E-5	4.6925453E-4	8.995662E-4	9.894852E-4	1.0999582	9.0E-5	0.005698218	0.010885915	0.0110145	1.0118121	1.3E-4	0.055543028	0.102618955	0.10282536	1.0020113	2.3E-4
6.6	1.0502928E-4	2.0146157E-4	2.7144747E-4	1.3473908	7.0E-5	4.500478E-4	8.630689E-4	9.5299125E-4	1.104189	9.0E-5	0.0054655746	0.010447136	0.010575778	1.0123136	1.3E-4	0.053330887	0.09874005	0.09894734	1.0020994	2.3E-4
6.7	9.739358E-5	1.8713086E-4	2.4711963E-4	1.3205712	6.0E-5	4.173343E-4	8.01691E-4	8.716349E-4	1.0872455	7.0E-5	0.0050692135	0.009708587	0.009817519	1.0112202	1.1E-4	0.049551267	0.09215579	0.09232828	1.0018717	1.9E-4
6.8	8.969524E-5	1.707822E-4	2.2077365E-4	1.2927206	5.0E-5	3.8435153E-4	7.3166616E-4	7.9162227E-4	1.0819446	6.0E-5	0.0046694432	0.008865125	0.008964239	1.0111802	1.0E-4	0.045725387	0.08455941	0.08470588	1.0017321	1.6E-4
6.9	7.838291E-5	1.4791159E-4	1.979042E-4	1.3379898	5.0E-5	3.358835E-4	6.3371676E-4	6.8368507E-4	1.0788496	5.0E-5	0.0040817154	0.0076835994	0.0077530616	1.0090404	7.0E-5	0.04007554	0.07377283	0.07388398	1.0015066	1.2E-4
7.0	6.961957E-5	1.304386E-4	1.8043208E-4	1.3832722	5.0E-5	2.9833548E-4	5.5888505E-4	6.088571E-4	1.0894139	5.0E-5	0.0036261857	0.00678002	0.006849545	1.0102545	7.0E-5	0.035675827	0.06544499	0.06554779	1.0015708	1.1E-4
7.1	5.999398E-5	1.12024376E-4	1.3202213E-4	1.1785126	2.0E-5	2.570917E-4	4.8000764E-4	4.9999804E-4	1.041646	2.0E-5	0.0031255994	0.005826471	0.005856296	1.005119	3.0E-5	0.030820016	0.05655197	0.05660858	1.001001	6.0E-5
7.2	5.116532E-5	9.5685544E-5	9.5685544E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1926152E-4	4.1001238E-4	4.1001238E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002666241	0.0049794214	0.0049893716	1.0019983	1.0E-5	0.026344774	0.0485715	0.048600044	1.0005877	3.0E-5
7.3	4.2087835E-5	7.830934E-5	7.830934E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8036396E-4	3.3556594E-4	3.3556594E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021937196	0.0040771537	0.004087113	1.0024427	1.0E-5	0.0217219	0.039947223	0.039966427	1.0004807	2.0E-5
7.4	2.8991652E-5	5.2540803E-5	5.2540803E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2424402E-4	2.2515474E-4	2.2515474E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015116213	0.0027376637	0.0027476363	1.0036428	1.0E-5	0.015013801	0.027016627	0.027036086	1.0007203	2.0E-5
7.5	1.1292299E-6	1.5148333E-6	1.5148333E-6	1.0	0.0	4.8395473E-6	6.4921337E-6	6.4921337E-6	1.0	0.0	5.8919897E-5	7.904014E-5	7.904014E-5	1.0	0.0	5.890428E-4	7.907659E-4	7.907659E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.6535366E-7	3.532596E-7	3.532596E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1372296E-6	1.5139688E-6	1.5139688E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3845682E-5	1.8432414E-5	1.8432414E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3844819E-4	1.8478454E-4	1.8478454E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	9.727789E-8	1.2617718E-7	1.2617718E-7	1.0	0.0	4.1690518E-7	5.4075923E-7	5.4075923E-7	1.0	0.0	5.0758085E-6	6.583724E-6	6.583724E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0756928E-5	6.620245E-5	6.620245E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	6.1939325E-9	7.9805895E-9	7.9805895E-9	1.0	0.0	2.6545425E-8	3.420253E-8	3.420253E-8	1.0	0.0	3.231905E-7	4.164157E-7	4.164157E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2319003E-6	4.2000233E-6	4.2000233E-6	1.0	0.0

Table Bluff

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7744695E-5	2.0464597E-5	1.7046153E-4	8.329581	1.5E-4	7.6046475E-5	8.770281E-5	2.7768614E-4	3.1662173	1.9E-4	9.2547253E-4	0.0010673191	0.0012970737	1.2152632	2.3E-4	0.009216278	0.010627958	0.010934664	1.0288583	3.1E-4
6.1	1.7744695E-5	2.0464597E-5	1.7046153E-4	8.329581	1.5E-4	7.6046475E-5	8.770281E-5	2.7768614E-4	3.1662173	1.9E-4	9.2547253E-4	0.0010673191	0.0012970737	1.2152632	2.3E-4	0.009216278	0.010627958	0.010934664	1.0288583	3.1E-4
6.2	1.7744695E-5	2.0464597E-5	1.7046153E-4	8.329581	1.5E-4	7.6046475E-5	8.770281E-5	2.7768614E-4	3.1662173	1.9E-4	9.2547253E-4	0.0010673191	0.0012970737	1.2152632	2.3E-4	0.009216278	0.010627958	0.010934664	1.0288583	3.1E-4
6.3	1.7744695E-5	2.0464597E-5	1.7046153E-4	8.329581	1.5E-4	7.6046475E-5	8.770281E-5	2.7768614E-4	3.1662173	1.9E-4	9.2547253E-4	0.0010673191	0.0012970737	1.2152632	2.3E-4	0.009216278	0.010627958	0.010934664	1.0288583	3.1E-4
6.4	1.7744695E-5	2.0464597E-5	1.7046153E-4	8.329581	1.5E-4	7.6046475E-5	8.770281E-5	2.7768614E-4	3.1662173	1.9E-4	9.2547253E-4	0.0010673191	0.0012970737	1.2152632	2.3E-4	0.009216278	0.010627958	0.010934664	1.0288583	3.1E-4
6.5	1.2822383E-5	1.5018002E-5	1.4501605E-4	9.656148	1.3E-4	5.4951914E-5	6.436145E-5	2.343505E-4	3.6411626	1.7E-4	6.6883414E-4	7.833493E-4	9.831926E-4	1.255114	2.0E-4	0.0066682473	0.007808896	0.008047022	1.0304942	2.4E-4
6.6	1.2822383E-5	1.5018002E-5	1.4501605E-4	9.656148	1.3E-4	5.4951914E-5	6.436145E-5	2.343505E-4	3.6411626	1.7E-4	6.6883414E-4	7.833493E-4	9.831926E-4	1.255114	2.0E-4	0.0066682473	0.007808896	0.008047022	1.0304942	2.4E-4
6.7	9.690175E-6	1.1582572E-5	1.0158153E-4	8.770205	9.0E-5	4.1528663E-5	4.963877E-5	1.6963281E-4	3.4173453	1.2E-4	5.054941E-4	6.042051E-4	7.441205E-4	1.2315694	1.4E-4	0.005043458	0.00602767	0.0061966456	1.0280333	1.7E-4
6.8	9.690175E-6	1.1582572E-5	1.0158153E-4	8.770205	9.0E-5	4.1528663E-5	4.963877E-5	1.6963281E-4	3.4173453	1.2E-4	5.054941E-4	6.042051E-4	7.441205E-4	1.2315694	1.4E-4	0.005043458	0.00602767	0.0061966456	1.0280333	1.7E-4
6.9	8.096043E-6	9.841161E-6	8.9840374E-5	9.129042	8.0E-5	3.4696863E-5	4.2175827E-5	1.5217118E-4	3.608019	1.1E-4	4.223524E-4	5.1338767E-4	6.433209E-4	1.2530899	1.3E-4	0.004215506	0.005123789	0.0052630715	1.0271835	1.4E-4
7.0	7.185906E-6	8.849379E-6	8.884867E-5	10.040103	8.0E-5	3.0796375E-5	3.7925452E-5	1.4792128E-4	3.9003167	1.1E-4	3.7488135E-4	4.6166166E-4	5.9160165E-4	1.2814615	1.3E-4	0.0037424958	0.004608707	0.004738108	1.0280775	1.3E-4
7.1	3.4937343E-6	4.123303E-6	4.412314E-5	10.700921	4.0E-5	1.497306E-5	1.7671222E-5	7.767016E-5	4.395291	6.0E-5	1.8228177E-4	2.1513358E-4	2.7512066E-4	1.2788365	6.0E-5	0.0018213232	0.0021500078	0.0022098788	1.0278469	6.0E-5
7.2	2.4388776E-6	2.7308793E-6	3.2730797E-5	11.985442	3.0E-5	1.0452291E-5	1.1703746E-5	5.170328E-5	4.4176693	4.0E-5	1.2724921E-4	1.4248907E-4	1.8248336E-4	1.2806833	4.0E-5	0.0012717636	0.001424494	0.001464437	1.0280402	4.0E-5

Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.1	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.2	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.3	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.4	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.5	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.6	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.7	1.8699735E-5	1.9896306E-5	1.09894514E-4	5.523363	9.0E-5	8.013926E-5	8.526731E-5	1.9525793E-4	2.2899506	1.1E-4	9.752587E-4	0.0010376731	0.0011975071	1.1540312	1.6E-4	0.009709897	0.010332118	0.010589432	1.0249043	2.6E-4
6.8	1.18505095E-5	1.2525617E-5	7.252487E-5	5.790123	6.0E-5	5.078691E-5	5.368014E-5	1.3367584E-4	2.4902291	8.0E-5	6.181552E-4	6.533646E-4	7.732862E-4	1.1835446	1.2E-4	0.006164385	0.006514943	0.006673901	1.0243989	1.6E-4
6.9	1.18505095E-5	1.2525617E-5	7.252487E-5	5.790123	6.0E-5	5.078691E-5	5.368014E-5	1.3367584E-4	2.4902291	8.0E-5	6.181552E-4	6.533646E-4	7.732862E-4	1.1835446	1.2E-4	0.006164385	0.006514943	0.006673901	1.0243989	1.6E-4
7.0	9.719786E-6	1.0255948E-5	7.025533E-5	6.850204	6.0E-5	4.1655563E-5	4.3953332E-5	1.2394982E-4	2.8200321	8.0E-5	5.0703844E-4	5.350028E-4	6.549386E-4	1.224178	1.2E-4	0.005058831	0.0053373957	0.005466702	1.0242264	1.3E-4
7.1	8.523418E-6	8.987147E-6	6.898661E-5	7.6761413	6.0E-5	3.652842E-5	3.8515784E-5	1.18512704E-4	3.0769906	8.0E-5	4.4464276E-4	4.6883032E-4	5.7877874E-4	1.2345165	1.1E-4	0.0044375416	0.0046785767	0.0047980156	1.0255288	1.2E-4
7.2	7.378894E-6	7.776259E-6	5.777587E-5	7.4297776	5.0E-5	3.162345E-5	3.33264E-5	1.0332407E-4	3.1003668	7.0E-5	3.8494746E-4	4.056743E-4	4.9563777E-4	1.2217629	9.0E-5	0.0038428132	0.004049434	0.004149029	1.0245948	1.0E-4
7.3	6.4640294E-6	6.80544E-6	3.6805235E-5	5.408208	3.0E-5	2.7702688E-5	2.9165849E-5	7.916439E-5	2.7142837	5.0E-5	3.3722803E-4	3.5503702E-4	4.2501217E-4	1.1970925	7.0E-5	0.0033671674	0.0035447686	0.0036244849	1.0224885	8.0E-5
7.4	5.9959093E-6	6.3107823E-6	3.6310594E-5	5.753739	3.0E-5	2.5696501E-5	2.7045933E-5	7.7044584E-5	2.848657	5.0E-5	3.1280998E-4	3.2923507E-4	3.9921203E-4	1.2125441	7.0E-5	0.0031237002	0.0032875354	0.0033672724	1.0242543	8.0E-5
7.5	4.929265E-6	5.1861634E-6	3.5186007E-5	6.784593	3.0E-5	2.112525E-5	2.2226228E-5	6.2225336E-5	2.7996356	4.0E-5	2.5716957E-4	2.7057112E-4	3.205576E-4	1.1847444	5.0E-5	0.0025687215	0.0027024578	0.0027622955	1.022142	6.0E-5
7.6	3.8982403E-6	4.0964483E-6	3.4096327E-5	8.323387	3.0E-5	1.6706637E-5	1.755609E-5	4.7555564E-5	2.7087786	3.0E-5	2.0338432E-4	2.137247E-4	2.5371616E-4	1.1871166	4.0E-5	0.0020319829	0.0021352195	0.0021851128	1.0233668	5.0E-5
7.7	2.820968E-6	2.96258E-6	1.29625505E-5	4.3754263	1.0E-5	1.2089806E-5	1.2696711E-5	2.2696584E-5	1.7875955	1.0E-5	1.4718344E-4	1.5457167E-4	1.7456857E-4	1.1293699	2.0E-5	0.00147086	0.0015446593	0.0015746129	1.0193918	3.0E-5
7.8	1.9314455E-6	2.029747E-6	2.029747E-6	1.0	0.0	8.277597E-6	8.6988875E-6	8.6988875E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0077508E-4	1.05903935E-4	1.05903935E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010072939	0.0010585476	0.0010585476	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.9586197E-7	5.2292177E-7	5.2292177E-7	1.0	0.0	2.125121E-6	2.2410916E-6	2.2410916E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5873042E-5	2.7284968E-5	2.7284968E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5870028E-4	2.728183E-4	2.728183E-4	1.0	0.0

McKinleyville (alt1)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.1	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.2	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.3	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.4	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.5	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.6	1.1028524E-5	1.1754648E-5	7.1753944E-5	6.104304	6.0E-5	4.7264242E-5	5.037623E-5	1.403717E-4	2.7864668	9.0E-5	5.7529024E-4	6.1318354E-4	7.1312225E-4	1.1629833	1.0E-4	0.005738032	0.006117437	0.006306275	1.0308688	1.9E-4
6.7	6.483374E-6	6.9333946E-6	2.6933256E-5	3.88457	2.0E-5	2.7785592E-5	2.9714245E-5	6.971305E-5	2.3461158	4.0E-5	3.3823706E-4	3.617171E-4	4.1169903E-4	1.1381795	5.0E-5	0.003377227	0.0036118987	0.0036916097	1.022069	8.0E-5
6.8	6.483374E-6	6.9333946E-6	2.6933256E-5	3.88457	2.0E-5	2.7785592E-5	2.9714245E-5	6.971305E-5	2.3461158	4.0E-5	3.3823706E-4	3.617171E-4	4.1169903E-4	1.1381795	5.0E-5	0.003377227	0.0036118987	0.0036916097	1.022069	8.0E-5
6.9	4.0394048E-6	4.356599E-6	1.4356556E-5	3.2953582	1.0E-5	1.731162E-5	1.867101E-5	4.867045E-5	2.606739	3.0E-5	2.1074859E-4	2.2729638E-4	2.5728956E-4	1.1319562	3.0E-5	0.0021054882	0.0022706941	0.0023205807	1.0219697	5.0E-5
7.0	3.7791233E-6	4.082948E-6	1.4082908E-5	3.4492006	1.0E-5	1.6196142E-5	1.7498236E-5	4.749771E-5	2.7144287	3.0E-5	1.9717019E-4	2.1302068E-4	2.430143E-4	1.1408014	3.0E-5	0.0019699533	0.002128215	0.0021781088	1.0234438	5.0E-5
7.1	3.675443E-6	3.9740507E-6	1.39740105E-5	3.5163143	1.0E-5	1.5751802E-5	1.7031536E-5	4.7031026E-5	2.7614083	3.0E-5	1.9176133E-4	2.0733973E-4	2.373335E-4	1.1446601	3.0E-5	0.0019159593	0.0020715126	0.002121409	1.024087	5.0E-5
7.2	3.0165843E-6	3.2813678E-6	3.2813678E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2928153E-5	1.406293E-5	2.4062789E-5	1.7110794	1.0E-5	1.573889E-4	1.712029E-4	1.8120119E-4	1.0584003	1.0E-5	0.0015727748	0.001710729	0.0017406777	1.0175064	3.0E-5
7.3	2.307633E-6	2.5264108E-6	2.5264108E-6	1.0	0.0	9.889818E-6	1.0827431E-5	2.0827323E-5	1.9235702	1.0E-5	1.2040188E-4	1.3181608E-4	1.4181476E-4	1.0758532	1.0E-5	0.0012033667	0.0013173873	0.0013473479	1.0227424	3.0E-5
7.4	2.0568484E-6	2.2585618E-6	2.2585618E-6	1.0	0.0	8.8150355E-6	9.679515E-6	1.9679419E-5	2.0330997	1.0E-5	1.0731777E-4	1.178418E-4	1.2784063E-4	1.0848495	1.0E-5	0.0010726595	0.0011778008	0.0012077654	1.0254412	3.0E-5
7.5	1.7674889E-6	1.9474237E-6	1.9474237E-6	1.0	0.0	7.5749304E-6	8.3460745E-6	1.834599E-5	2.198158	1.0E-5	9.222087E-5	1.0160879E-4	1.1160778E-4	1.0984067	1.0E-5	9.218261E-4	0.00101563	0.0010356097	1.0196722	2.0E-5
7.6	1.2944297E-6	1.4341459E-6	1.4341459E-6	1.0	0.0	5.547544E-6	6.1463256E-6	6.1463256E-6	1.0	0.0	6.753925E-5	7.482899E-5	7.482899E-5	1.0	0.0	6.7518733E-4	7.4804283E-4	7.4804283E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.806243E-7	6.4822893E-7	6.4822893E-7	1.0	0.0	2.4883875E-6	2.7781211E-6	2.7781211E-6	1.0	0.0	3.0295698E-5	3.382312E-5	3.382312E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0291567E-4	3.381814E-4	3.381814E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.6121008E-7	1.824903E-7	1.824903E-7	1.0	0.0	6.909002E-7	7.821011E-7	7.821011E-7	1.0	0.0	8.411677E-6	9.522041E-6	9.522041E-6	1.0	0.0	8.411359E-5	9.521659E-5	9.521659E-5	1.0	0.0

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.2219133E-5	6.722146E-5	9.721944E-5	1.446256	3.0E-5	2.237771E-4	2.8806043E-4	3.680374E-4	1.2776395	8.0E-5	0.0027210822	0.0035015463	0.003651021	1.0426883	1.5E-4	0.026880035	0.03447347	0.034656923	1.0053215	1.9E-4
6.1	5.2212024E-5	6.722146E-5	9.721944E-5	1.446256	3.0E-5	2.2374663E-4	2.8806043E-4	3.680374E-4	1.2776395	8.0E-5	0.002720712	0.0035015463	0.003651021	1.0426883	1.5E-4	0.026876424	0.03447347	0.034656923	1.0053215	1.9E-4
6.2	5.2204425E-5	6.722146E-5	9.721944E-5	1.446256	3.0E-5	2.2371406E-4	2.8806043E-4	3.680374E-4	1.2776395	8.0E-5	0.0027203166	0.0035015463	0.003651021	1.0426883	1.5E-4	0.026872564	0.03447347	0.034656923	1.0053215	1.9E-4
6.3	5.219004E-5	6.722146E-5	9.721944E-5	1.446256	3.0E-5	2.2365242E-4	2.8806043E-4	3.680374E-4	1.2776395	8.0E-5	0.002719568	0.0035015463	0.003651021	1.0426883	1.5E-4	0.02686526	0.03447347	0.034656923	1.0053215	1.9E-4
6.4	5.211827E-5	6.715639E-5	9.715438E-5	1.4466884	3.0E-5	2.2334489E-4	2.8778164E-4	3.6775862E-4	1.2779086	8.0E-5	0.0027158333	0.0034981628	0.003647638	1.0427296	1.5E-4	0.026828816	0.034440693	0.03462415	1.0053267	1.9E-4
6.5	5.204509E-5	6.7064386E-5	9.706237E-5	1.4473013	3.0E-5	2.2303131E-4	2.8738743E-4	3.6736444E-4	1.2782899	8.0E-5	0.0027120248	0.0034933786	0.0036428547	1.0427884	1.5E-4	0.026791653	0.034394342	0.03457781	1.0053341	1.9E-4
6.6	5.0085426E-5	6.451656E-5	8.451526E-5	1.309978	2.0E-5	2.1463417E-4	2.7647047E-4	3.3645387E-4	1.2169614	6.0E-5	0.0026100394	0.0033608826	0.0034605465	1.0296541	1.0E-4	0.025795965	0.033109713	0.033245075	1.0040884	1.4E-4
6.7	4.8930866E-5	6.304405E-5	8.304279E-5	1.3172185	2.0E-5	2.0968684E-4	2.7016105E-4	3.3014486E-4	1.2220297	6.0E-5	0.0025499484	0.0032842995	0.003383971	1.030348	1.0E-4	0.025208864	0.032366496	0.032501962	1.0041854	1.4E-4
6.8	4.5679535E-5	5.8816007E-5	7.881483E-5	1.3400235	2.0E-5	1.9575475E-4	2.5204444E-4	3.1202933E-4	1.2379932	6.0E-5	0.002380709	0.0030643605	0.0031540846	1.02928	9.0E-5	0.023553653	0.030228036	0.030354107	1.0041707	1.3E-4
6.9	4.1439176E-5	5.3317515E-5	7.331645E-5	1.3750913	2.0E-5	1.7758438E-4	2.2848374E-4	2.7847232E-4	1.218784	5.0E-5	0.002159946	0.002778266	0.0028380994	1.0215362	6.0E-5	0.021390721	0.02744031	0.02752784	1.0031898	9.0E-5
7.0	3.5920104E-5	4.610543E-5	6.6104505E-5	1.4337684	2.0E-5	1.5393422E-4	1.9757982E-4	2.4756993E-4	1.2530123	5.0E-5	0.001872538	0.0024028963	0.0024627522	1.0249099	6.0E-5	0.018568378	0.02377237	0.023850467	1.0032853	8.0E-5
7.1	3.338812E-5	4.2773303E-5	6.2772444E-5	1.4675614	2.0E-5	1.430841E-4	1.8330135E-4	2.3329219E-4	1.2727249	5.0E-5	0.0017406568	0.0022294242	0.0022892905	1.0268527	6.0E-5	0.017270854	0.022073371	0.022151606	1.0035443	8.0E-5
7.2	2.8619615E-5	3.6487803E-5	5.648707E-5	1.5481083	2.0E-5	1.2264973E-4	1.5636698E-4	1.8636229E-4	1.1918263	3.0E-5	0.0014922376	0.0019021153	0.0019420392	1.0209892	4.0E-5	0.014822568	0.018860275	0.018919144	1.0031213	6.0E-5
7.3	2.6376783E-5	3.34907E-5	5.3490032E-5	1.5971607	2.0E-5	1.13038455E-4	1.4352374E-4	1.7351944E-4	1.2089946	3.0E-5	0.0013753743	0.0017460103	0.0017859404	1.0228693	4.0E-5	0.01366893	0.017324593	0.017373726	1.0028361	5.0E-5
7.4	2.3738676E-5	3.0030193E-5	5.002959E-5	1.6659764	2.0E-5	1.0173322E-4	1.2869452E-4	1.5869066E-4	1.2330801	3.0E-5	0.0012378981	0.0015657376	0.001605675	1.0255071	4.0E-5	0.012310251	0.01554844	0.015597662	1.0031657	5.0E-5
7.5	2.1789481E-5	2.7483768E-5	3.7483493E-5	1.3638412	1.0E-5	9.338015E-5	1.177823E-4	1.3777995E-4	1.1697848	2.0E-5	0.0011363103	0.0014330641	0.0014630212	1.0209042	3.0E-5	0.011305175	0.01423935	0.014278781	1.0027691	4.0E-5
7.6	1.3895281E-5	1.7399087E-5	1.7399087E-5	1.0	0.0	5.9549846E-5	7.45654E-5	7.45654E-5	1.0	0.0	7.2477816E-4	9.0745854E-4	9.174494E-4	1.0110098	1.0E-5	0.0072241887	0.009037841	0.00904775	1.0010965	1.0E-5
7.7	4.245981E-6	5.1775464E-6	5.1775464E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8196934E-5	2.2189297E-5	2.2189297E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2152514E-4	2.7012138E-4	2.7012138E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0022130446	0.0026979088	0.0026979088	1.0	0.0
7.8	6.145192E-7	7.0767754E-7	7.0767754E-7	1.0	0.0	2.633651E-6	3.0329002E-6	3.0329002E-6	1.0	0.0	3.206423E-5	3.6924946E-5	3.6924946E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2059604E-4	3.6918852E-4	3.6918852E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.6200685E-5	2.9166864E-5	7.91654E-5	2.714224	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.2499487E-4	2.0498487E-4	1.6399463	8.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015207521	0.0016305847	1.0722226	1.1E-4	0.043983612	0.01696073	0.017108187	1.0086939	1.5E-4
6.1	8.6200685E-5	2.9166864E-5	7.91654E-5	2.714224	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.2499487E-4	2.0498487E-4	1.6399463	8.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015207521	0.0016305847	1.0722226	1.1E-4	0.043983612	0.01696073	0.017108187	1.0086939	1.5E-4
6.2	8.6200685E-5	2.9166864E-5	7.91654E-5	2.714224	5.0E-5	3.6937918E-4	1.2499487E-4	2.0498487E-4	1.6399463	8.0E-5	0.0044879215	0.0015207521	0.0016305847	1.0722226	1.1E-4	0.043983612	0.01696073	0.017108187	1.0086939	1.5E-4
6.3	8.551163E-5	2.8811295E-5	7.8809855E-5	2.7353806	5.0E-5	3.6642692E-4	1.2347114E-4	2.0346127E-4	1.6478447	8.0E-5	0.004452125	0.0015022265	0.0016120612	1.0731146	1.1E-4	0.043639794	0.01676376	0.016911246	1.0087979	1.5E-4
6.4	8.551163E-5	2.8811295E-5	7.8809855E-5	2.7353806	5.0E-5	3.6642692E-4	1.2347114E-4	2.0346127E-4	1.6478447	8.0E-5	0.004452125	0.0015022265	0.0016120612	1.0731146	1.1E-4	0.043639794	0.01676376	0.016911246	1.0087979	1.5E-4
6.5	8.511146E-5	2.8605335E-5	7.86039E-5	2.7478757	5.0E-5	3.647124E-4	1.2258854E-4	2.0257874E-4	1.6525096	8.0E-5	0.004431336	0.0014914955	0.0016013315	1.0736414	1.1E-4	0.04344007	0.01664993	0.016797433	1.008859	1.5E-4
6.6	8.4985084E-5	2.8527906E-5	7.852648E-5	2.75262	5.0E-5	3.6417096E-4	1.2225674E-4	2.0224696E-4	1.6542807	8.0E-5	0.0044247704	0.0014874613	0.0015972976	1.0738415	1.1E-4	0.043376986	0.016607845	0.016755354	1.0088819	1.5E-4
6.7	8.462618E-5	2.8332792E-5	7.833137E-5	2.7646897	5.0E-5	3.6263323E-4	1.2142061E-4	2.0141089E-4	1.6587868	8.0E-5	0.004406125	0.0014772953	0.0015871328	1.0743504	1.1E-4	0.043197807	0.016500503	0.016648028	1.0089406	1.5E-4
6.8	8.42337E-5	2.8210654E-5	7.820925E-5	2.77233	5.0E-5	3.6095164E-4	1.2089721E-4	2.0088755E-4	1.6616391	8.0E-5	0.004385734	0.0014709316	0.0015807698	1.0746726	1.1E-4	0.043001823	0.016431628	0.016579162	1.0089787	1.5E-4
6.9	8.365989E-5	2.7992688E-5	7.799129E-5	2.7861307	5.0E-5	3.5849313E-4	1.1996316E-4	1.9995356E-4	1.6667914	8.0E-5	0.004355922	0.0014595748	0.0015694143	1.0752544	1.1E-4	0.04271523	0.016312253	0.016459806	1.0090455	1.5E-4
7.0	8.30936E-5	2.7731407E-5	7.773002E-5	2.80296	5.0E-5	3.560668E-4	1.1884348E-4	1.9883398E-4	1.6730742	8.0E-5	0.004326499	0.001445961	0.0015558018	1.075964	1.1E-4	0.042432297	0.016171392	0.016318966	1.0091256	1.5E-4
7.1	8.041264E-5	2.7362781E-5	7.7361416E-5	2.8272495	5.0E-5	3.4458007E-4	1.172638E-4	1.9725443E-4	1.6821425	8.0E-5	0.0041871946	0.0014267536	0.0015365967	1.0769881	1.1E-4	0.041091725	0.015961312	0.016108917	1.0092478	1.5E-4
7.2	7.8427016E-5	2.6717997E-5	7.6716664E-5	2.8713477	5.0E-5	3.3607247E-4	1.1450068E-4	1.9449153E-4	1.6986058	8.0E-5	0.004084008	0.0013931562	0.001503003	1.0788474	1.1E-4	0.040097635	0.015607921	0.01575558	1.0094604	1.5E-4
7.3	7.721087E-5	2.6480364E-5	7.647904E-5	2.8881416	5.0E-5	3.3086175E-4	1.1348235E-4	1.9347327E-4	1.7048755	8.0E-5	0.004020803	0.0013807737	0.0014906218	1.0795555	1.1E-4	0.03948827	0.015479165	0.015626842	1.0095404	1.5E-4
7.4	7.3536525E-5	2.4523897E-5	7.452267E-5	3.0387776	5.0E-5	3.1511846E-4	1.0509819E-4	1.8508978E-4	1.7611129	8.0E-5	0.0038298194	0.0012788209	0.0013886802	1.0859067	1.1E-4	0.037644852	0.014398296	0.014546137	1.0102679	1.5E-4
7.5	6.806207E-5	2.2176775E-5	7.2175666E-5	3.254561	5.0E-5	2.9166197E-4	9.503986E-5	1.7503226E-4	1.8416721	8.0E-5	0.0035452035	0.0011564974	0.0012663702	1.0950048	1.1E-4	0.034891766	0.013071581	0.01321962	1.0113252	1.5E-4
7.6	5.6731416E-5	1.7145847E-5	6.714499E-5	3.9161081	5.0E-5	2.43112E-4	7.348013E-5	1.5347425E-4	2.0886497	8.0E-5	0.0029558712	8.942536E-4	0.0010041553	1.1228976	1.1E-4	0.02916862	0.010151374	0.010299851	1.0146264	1.5E-4
7.7	4.946994E-5	1.5962929E-5	6.596213E-5	4.1322074	5.0E-5	2.1199681E-4	6.841076E-5	1.4840529E-4	2.1693268	8.0E-5	0.002578006	8.3258294E-4	9.4249134E-4	1.132009	1.1E-4	0.02548303	0.0094274245	0.0095760105	1.015761	1.5E-4
7.8	3.9718198E-5	1.55771E-5	5.557648E-5	3.5678322	4.0E-5	1.7020974E-4	6.675729E-5	1.3675261E-4	2.0485046	7.0E-5	0.0020703338	8.1246713E-4	9.02394E-4	1.1106837	9.0E-5	0.020511515	0.009156437	0.009285246	1.0140676	1.3E-4
7.9	2.4115114E-5	1.4482015E-5	3.4481724E-5	2.3810034	2.0E-5	1.0334639E-4	6.2064304E-5	1.120612E-4	1.8055661	5.0E-5	0.001257516	7.553711E-4	8.253182E-4	1.0925996	7.0E-5	0.012504238	0.008395092	0.008484337	1.0106306	9.0E-5
8.0	1.7756569E-5	1.3525585E-5	2.352545E-5	1.7393296	1.0E-5	7.6097356E-5	5.7965506E-5	8.796377E-5	1.5175191	3.0E-5	9.260915E-4	7.055017E-4	7.5546646E-4	1.0708215	5.0E-5	0.009222416	0.007783196	0.007852651	1.0089238	7.0E-5
8.1	1.3159258E-5	1.1606871E-5	2.1606755E-5	1.8615487	1.0E-5	5.6395602E-5	4.9742786E-5	7.9741294E-5	1.6030725	3.0E-5	6.864001E-4	6.054503E-4	6.5542007E-4	1.0825331	5.0E-5	0.0068428386	0.0066766925	0.006736292	1.0089265	6.0E-5
8.2	8.635426E-6	6.638607E-6	1.663854E-5	2.5063303	1.0E-5	3.700844E-5	2.8450862E-5	5.845001E-5	2.0544195	3.0E-5	4.5048463E-4	3.463343E-4	3.96317E-4	1.1443192	5.0E-5	0.004495725	0.0038768412	0.0039366083	1.0154165	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

Mad River (alt1)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.1	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.2	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.3	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.4	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.5	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.6	1.1255216E-5	1.206897E-5	4.206861E-5	3.4856834	3.0E-5	4.8235746E-5	5.172321E-5	1.0172062E-4	1.9666339	5.0E-5	5.87112E-4	6.2956265E-4	7.095123E-4	1.1269923	8.0E-5	0.0058556325	0.006279236	0.0063984827	1.0189906	1.2E-4
6.7	7.0564884E-6	7.625393E-6	1.7625316E-5	2.3113978	1.0E-5	3.0241743E-5	3.2679858E-5	6.2678875E-5	1.9179666	3.0E-5	3.68131E-4	3.9780684E-4	4.4778697E-4	1.1256391	5.0E-5	0.0036752177	0.0039711706	0.0040508527	1.0200652	8.0E-5
6.8	7.0564884E-6	7.625393E-6	1.7625316E-5	2.3113978	1.0E-5	3.0241743E-5	3.2679858E-5	6.2678875E-5	1.9179666	3.0E-5	3.68131E-4	3.9780684E-4	4.4778697E-4	1.1256391	5.0E-5	0.0036752177	0.0039711706	0.0040508527	1.0200652	8.0E-5
6.9	6.727494E-6	7.276483E-6	1.727641E-5	2.3742802	1.0E-5	2.8831799E-5	3.1184565E-5	6.118363E-5	1.9619843	3.0E-5	3.509706E-4	3.796081E-4	4.2958913E-4	1.1316648	5.0E-5	0.003504168	0.003789813	0.0038695098	1.0210292	8.0E-5
7.0	6.7021124E-6	7.2492517E-6	1.7249178E-5	2.3794427	1.0E-5	2.8723021E-5	3.1067862E-5	6.106693E-5	1.965598	3.0E-5	3.4964667E-4	3.7818772E-4	4.2816883E-4	1.1321595	5.0E-5	0.0034909705	0.0037756576	0.0038553555	1.0211084	8.0E-5
7.1	5.2784667E-6	5.748429E-6	5.748429E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2621804E-5	2.4635896E-5	3.463565E-5	1.4059018	1.0E-5	2.7538565E-4	2.9990167E-4	3.1989568E-4	1.0666685	2.0E-5	0.0027504463	0.0029950622	0.0030249723	1.0099865	3.0E-5
7.2	4.4085446E-6	4.834045E-6	4.834045E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8893625E-5	2.0717172E-5	3.0716965E-5	1.4826814	1.0E-5	2.3000561E-4	2.522028E-4	2.7219774E-4	1.0792812	2.0E-5	0.0022976769	0.0025192066	0.0025491312	1.0118785	3.0E-5
7.3	3.4060627E-6	3.7651089E-6	3.7651089E-6	1.0	0.0	1.459733E-5	1.6136082E-5	1.6136082E-5	1.0	0.0	1.77708E-4	1.9643932E-4	2.0643735E-4	1.0508963	1.0E-5	0.0017756595	0.0019626804	0.0019826412	1.0101701	2.0E-5
7.4	3.0570902E-6	3.3912675E-6	3.3912675E-6	1.0	0.0	1.310175E-5	1.4533924E-5	1.4533924E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5950213E-4	1.7693637E-4	1.869346E-4	1.0565075	1.0E-5	0.0015938769	0.0017679767	0.0017879413	1.0112923	2.0E-5
7.5	2.674048E-6	2.9791204E-6	2.9791204E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1460155E-5	1.2767598E-5	1.2767598E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3951845E-4	1.5543461E-4	1.6543306E-4	1.0643257	1.0E-5	0.0013943089	0.0015532786	0.0015632631	1.006428	1.0E-5
7.6	1.8806261E-6	2.1117376E-6	2.1117376E-6	1.0	0.0	8.059801E-6	9.050273E-6	9.050273E-6	1.0	0.0	9.812366E-5	1.1018163E-4	1.2018053E-4	1.0907493	1.0E-5	9.808034E-4	0.0011012825	0.0011112714	1.0090703	1.0E-5
7.7	6.461283E-7	7.367531E-7	7.367531E-7	1.0	0.0	2.7691183E-6	3.1575098E-6	3.1575098E-6	1.0	0.0	3.371349E-5	3.844202E-5	3.844202E-5	1.0	0.0	3.370838E-4	3.8435523E-4	3.8435523E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.0785324E-7	3.5422E-7	3.5422E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3193703E-6	1.5180848E-6	1.5180848E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6063215E-5	1.8482531E-5	1.8482531E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6062055E-4	1.8481059E-4	1.8481059E-4	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0533147E-4	1.7910324E-4	1.8910144E-4	1.0558237	1.0E-5	4.5134246E-4	7.673355E-4	8.0730487E-4	1.0520884	4.0E-5	0.005481258	0.009297671	0.00936702	1.0074588	7.0E-5	0.053480163	0.08857967	0.088679925	1.0011318	1.1E-4
6.1	1.0510782E-4	1.7897722E-4	1.8897543E-4	1.055863	1.0E-5	4.503843E-4	7.6679577E-4	8.067651E-4	1.0521251	4.0E-5	0.005469651	0.009291161	0.00936051	1.007464	7.0E-5	0.05336969	0.08852027	0.088620536	1.0011326	1.1E-4
6.2	7.595682E-5	1.2800831E-4	1.3800703E-4	1.07811	1.0E-5	3.254886E-4	5.484506E-4	5.784342E-4	1.0546695	3.0E-5	0.0039556245	0.0066534015	0.0066931355	1.0059719	4.0E-5	0.03885951	0.06405551	0.064111665	1.0008767	6.0E-5
6.3	6.787612E-5	1.1414564E-4	1.241445E-4	1.0875974	1.0E-5	2.9086522E-4	4.8906694E-4	5.1905226E-4	1.0613112	3.0E-5	0.0035355345	0.0059353327	0.005975095	1.0066993	4.0E-5	0.034798115	0.05733767	0.05739423	1.0009865	6.0E-5
6.4	6.2165134E-5	1.0405643E-4	1.14055394E-4	1.0960917	1.0E-5	2.6639478E-4	4.458459E-4	4.6583696E-4	1.0448385	2.0E-5	0.0032385332	0.005412369	0.0054422067	1.0055128	3.0E-5	0.03191742	0.052438784	0.052486163	1.0009035	5.0E-5
6.5	5.4368087E-5	9.029268E-5	1.0029177E-4	1.1107409	1.0E-5	2.3298527E-4	3.8688368E-4	3.9687983E-4	1.0258375	1.0E-5	0.0028329059	0.0046985066	0.0047184126	1.0042367	2.0E-5	0.027970633	0.045711335	0.045739964	1.0006263	3.0E-5
6.6	4.729947E-5	7.801324E-5	7.801324E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0269625E-4	3.342831E-4	3.342831E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002465034	0.004061182	0.004071141	1.0024524	1.0E-5	0.02437869	0.03965777	0.03967698	1.0004843	2.0E-5
6.7	3.6875328E-5	6.0026177E-5	6.0026177E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5802756E-4	2.5722064E-4	2.5722064E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019222875	0.0031267086	0.0031267086	1.0	0.0	0.019057442	0.030709777	0.030719468	1.0003157	1.0E-5
6.8	2.0292036E-5	2.903112E-5	2.903112E-5	1.0	0.0	8.6962966E-5	1.2441307E-4	1.2441307E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010582599	0.0015136659	0.0015136659	1.0	0.0	0.010532344	0.015009164	0.015009164	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.7871042E-5	2.4532952E-5	2.4532952E-5	1.0	0.0	7.658793E-5	1.0513695E-4	1.0513695E-4	1.0	0.0	9.320591E-4	0.0012792904	0.0012792904	1.0	0.0	0.009281595	0.012711717	0.012711717	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.6415532E-5	2.197045E-5	2.197045E-5	1.0	0.0	7.035038E-5	9.415568E-5	9.415568E-5	1.0	0.0	8.561793E-4	0.0011457439	0.0011457439	1.0	0.0	0.008528882	0.011397697	0.011397697	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.5409885E-5	2.0403695E-5	2.0403695E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6040695E-5	8.74415E-5	8.74415E-5	1.0	0.0	8.0374884E-4	0.001064083	0.001064083	1.0	0.0	0.00800848	0.010590236	0.010590236	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.4497423E-5	1.9106335E-5	1.9106335E-5	1.0	0.0	6.213033E-5	8.1881735E-5	8.1881735E-5	1.0	0.0	7.5617427E-4	9.964573E-4	9.964573E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0075360634	0.009920468	0.009920468	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.3615175E-5	1.7862032E-5	1.7862032E-5	1.0	0.0	5.8349444E-5	7.654934E-5	7.654934E-5	1.0	0.0	7.101729E-4	9.315926E-4	9.315926E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0070790765	0.009277365	0.009277365	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.2252825E-5	1.6050762E-5	1.6050762E-5	1.0	0.0	5.251105E-5	6.878718E-5	6.878718E-5	1.0	0.0	6.391345E-4	8.37165E-4	8.37165E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0063729943	0.0083405925	0.0083405925	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.0913301E-5	1.4258963E-5	1.4258963E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6770452E-5	6.1108425E-5	6.1108425E-5	1.0	0.0	5.6928146E-4	7.437439E-4	7.437439E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0056782532	0.007412839	0.007412839	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.623192E-6	1.1246353E-5	1.1246353E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6956015E-5	4.8197777E-5	4.8197777E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4984656E-4	5.866525E-4	5.866525E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00448937	0.0058512543	0.0058512543	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0993634E-6	2.6690077E-6	2.6690077E-6	1.0	0.0	8.997241E-6	1.1438555E-5	1.1438555E-5	1.0	0.0	1.09535904E-4	1.3925557E-4	1.3925557E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010948193	0.0013916481	0.0013916481	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.8428308E-7	2.1791493E-7	2.1791493E-7	1.0	0.0	7.897844E-7	9.3392083E-7	9.3392083E-7	1.0	0.0	9.615583E-6	1.137043E-5	1.137043E-5	1.0	0.0	9.615166E-5	1.13698086E-4	1.13698086E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1064058E-4	6.971009E-4	7.070939E-4	1.0143352	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.0029842844	0.0030141948	1.0100226	3.0E-5	0.016080605	0.03585646	0.03591431	1.0016134	6.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29424685	0.29429626	1.0001678	7.0E-5
6.1	3.1064058E-4	6.971009E-4	7.070939E-4	1.0143352	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.0029842844	0.0030141948	1.0100226	3.0E-5	0.016080605	0.03585646	0.03591431	1.0016134	6.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29424685	0.29429626	1.0001678	7.0E-5
6.2	3.1064058E-4	6.971009E-4	7.070939E-4	1.0143352	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.0029842844	0.0030141948	1.0100226	3.0E-5	0.016080605	0.03585646	0.03591431	1.0016134	6.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29424685	0.29429626	1.0001678	7.0E-5
6.3	3.1064058E-4	6.971009E-4	7.070939E-4	1.0143352	1.0E-5	0.0013306376	0.0029842844	0.0030141948	1.0100226	3.0E-5	0.016080605	0.03585646	0.03591431	1.0016134	6.0E-5	0.1496549	0.29424685	0.29429626	1.0001678	7.0E-5
6.4	1.9872203E-4	4.5303095E-4	4.630264E-4	1.0220635	1.0E-5	8.5138786E-4	0.0019401452	0.001970087	1.0154327	3.0E-5	0.010316478	0.023371829	0.023420662	1.0020894	5.0E-5	0.098504856	0.20497356	0.20502128	1.0002327	6.0E-5
6.5	1.291105E-4	3.074921E-4	3.1748903E-4	1.0325111	1.0E-5	5.5321335E-4	0.0013171606	0.0013471211	1.0227463	3.0E-5	0.006714592	0.015919436	0.01596864	1.0030909	5.0E-5	0.065152965	0.14622612	0.14627735	1.0003504	6.0E-5
6.6	1.291105E-4	3.074921E-4	3.1748903E-4	1.0325111	1.0E-5	5.5321335E-4	0.0013171606	0.0013471211	1.0227463	3.0E-5	0.006714592	0.015919436	0.01596864	1.0030909	5.0E-5	0.065152965	0.14622612	0.14627735	1.0003504	6.0E-5
6.7	1.08001186E-4	2.6294537E-4	2.7294274E-4	1.0380207	1.0E-5	4.6278012E-4	0.0011264227	0.0011563888	1.026603	3.0E-5	0.0056198016	0.013628322	0.01367764	1.0036188	5.0E-5	0.054797906	0.12741344	0.1274658	1.0004109	6.0E-5
6.8	1.0624356E-4	2.5805458E-4	2.68052E-4	1.0387415	1.0E-5	4.5525006E-4	0.00110548	0.001135447	1.0271075	3.0E-5	0.0055285925	0.013376496	0.013425827	1.0036879	5.0E-5	0.053930566	0.12535772	0.1254102	1.0004187	6.0E-5
6.9	1.0393785E-4	2.516686E-4	2.6166608E-4	1.0397248	1.0E-5	4.4537184E-4	0.0010781344	0.001108102	1.0277958	3.0E-5	0.0054089287	0.013047592	0.013096939	1.0037822	5.0E-5	0.05279156	0.12264992	0.12270256	1.0004292	6.0E-5
7.0	1.0155622E-4	2.452616E-4	2.5525913E-4	1.0407628	1.0E-5	4.3516833E-4	0.0010506981	0.0010806666	1.0285225	3.0E-5	0.005285311	0.012717497	0.01276686	1.0038816	5.0E-5	0.05161361	0.11990066	0.11995347	1.0004404	6.0E-5
7.1	9.885595E-5	2.3802932E-4	2.4802695E-4	1.0420016	1.0E-5	4.2359953E-4	0.0010197272	0.0010496966	1.0293896	3.0E-5	0.0051451353	0.012344755	0.012394138	1.0040003	5.0E-5	0.05027629	0.11676456	0.11681756	1.0004538	6.0E-5
7.2	9.6411415E-5	2.315516E-4	2.4154928E-4	1.0431769	1.0E-5	4.1312634E-4	9.91987E-4	0.0010219571	1.0302123	3.0E-5	0.005018219	0.0120107895	0.012060189	1.004113	5.0E-5	0.049064007	0.11393696	0.11399013	1.0004666	6.0E-5
7.3	9.1180635E-5	2.1321744E-4	2.232153E-4	1.0468905	1.0E-5	3.907156E-4	9.134691E-4	9.434417E-4	1.0328119	3.0E-5	0.004746591	0.011064923	0.01111437	1.0044688	5.0E-5	0.046464786	0.10597587	0.10602951	1.0005062	6.0E-5
7.4	8.887388E-5	2.0544657E-4	2.1544451E-4	1.0486645	1.0E-5	3.8083247E-4	8.8018825E-4	9.101619E-4	1.0340536	3.0E-5	0.0046267817	0.010663767	0.010713235	1.0046388	5.0E-5	0.045316286	0.102544546	0.10259839	1.0005251	6.0E-5
7.5	8.6750515E-5	1.9852356E-4	2.0852157E-4	1.0503619	1.0E-5	3.7173493E-4	8.505379E-4	8.805124E-4	1.0352418	3.0E-5	0.004516484	0.0103062475	0.010355732	1.0048014	5.0E-5	0.04425787	0.09944032	0.09949435	1.0005434	6.0E-5
7.6	8.453092E-5	1.9213812E-4	2.0213619E-4	1.0520359	1.0E-5	3.6222505E-4	8.231893E-4	8.531646E-4	1.0364137	3.0E-5	0.0044011753	0.009976376	0.010025877	1.0049618	5.0E-5	0.04315024	0.09651685	0.09657105	1.0005616	6.0E-5
7.7	8.259102E-5	1.8713283E-4	1.9713095E-4	1.0534279	1.0E-5	3.539135E-4	8.017514E-4	8.3172735E-4	1.0373881	3.0E-5	0.004300386	0.009717729	0.009767243	1.0050952	5.0E-5	0.042181134	0.09418824	0.09424259	1.000577	6.0E-5
7.8	7.444844E-5	1.687246E-4	1.7872291E-4	1.0592582	1.0E-5	3.1902574E-4	7.229051E-4	7.528834E-4	1.0414692	3.0E-5	0.0038772223	0.008765919	0.00881548	1.0056539	5.0E-5	0.03810269	0.08537439	0.085429266	1.0006428	6.0E-5
7.9	5.2586525E-5	1.1079551E-4	1.207944E-4	1.0902463	1.0E-5	2.2535135E-4	4.747515E-4	5.0473725E-4	1.0631609	3.0E-5	0.0027402006	0.0057647964	0.005814508	1.0086234	5.0E-5	0.027066574	0.05718357	0.05724014	1.0009892	6.0E-5
8.0	3.379877E-5	6.040831E-5	7.04077E-5	1.1655301	1.0E-5	1.4484383E-4	2.5886708E-4	2.888593E-4	1.1158596	3.0E-5	0.0017620471	0.003147154	0.0031969969	1.0158373	5.0E-5	0.017481409	0.031912427	0.031970512	1.0018201	6.0E-5
8.1	1.8668277E-5	2.2314034E-5	3.2313812E-5	1.4481385	1.0E-5	8.000444E-5	9.562807E-5	1.256252E-4	1.3136854	3.0E-5	9.736188E-4	0.0011636508	0.0012135926	1.0429182	5.0E-5	0.009693642	0.01235424	0.012413498	1.0047966	6.0E-5
8.2	8.541571E-6	6.629518E-6	1.6629452E-5	2.5083954	1.0E-5	3.660622E-5	2.841191E-5	5.8411057E-5	2.0558653	3.0E-5	4.455896E-4	3.4586023E-4	3.9584292E-4	1.1445171	5.0E-5	0.0044469717	0.0038714819	0.0039312495	1.015438	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.151163E-4	0.0010495703	0.0010595598	1.0095177	1.0E-5	0.002205774	0.004486853	0.004516718	1.0066562	3.0E-5	0.026526777	0.052665487	0.052712854	1.0008994	5.0E-5	0.23574181	0.3838712	0.38391432	1.0001123	7.0E-5
6.1	4.7540772E-4	9.724159E-4	9.824062E-4	1.0102737	1.0E-5	0.002035871	0.004157674	0.0041875495	1.0071856	3.0E-5	0.024506707	0.048914317	0.048961874	1.0009722	5.0E-5	0.21973366	0.36309364	0.36313823	1.0001228	7.0E-5
6.2	3.9647578E-4	7.964961E-4	8.064881E-4	1.012545	1.0E-5	0.0016980754	0.0034067044	0.0034366022	1.0087762	3.0E-5	0.020479038	0.04028523	0.040333215	1.0011911	5.0E-5	0.18691239	0.31175593	0.31180412	1.0001545	7.0E-5
6.3	3.4640636E-4	6.8545213E-4	6.954453E-4	1.0145789	1.0E-5	0.001483754	0.00293249	0.002962402	1.0102003	3.0E-5	0.017915692	0.034805045	0.034853302	1.0013865	5.0E-5	0.16538206	0.27763626	0.2776868	1.0001822	7.0E-5
6.4	2.935057E-4	5.6584354E-4	5.758379E-4	1.0176628	1.0E-5	0.0012572751	0.0024215106	0.002451438	1.0123589	3.0E-5	0.015200248	0.02886597	0.028914526	1.0016822	5.0E-5	0.14201577	0.23883933	0.23889261	1.000223	7.0E-5
6.5	2.3409708E-4	4.3230137E-4	4.4229705E-4	1.023122	1.0E-5	0.0010028875	0.0018507036	0.0018806481	1.01618	3.0E-5	0.012141965	0.02218103	0.022229921	1.0022042	5.0E-5	0.11499573	0.1923699	0.19242643	1.0002939	7.0E-5
6.6	1.5842178E-4	2.6210307E-4	2.7210044E-4	1.0381429	1.0E-5	6.7877385E-4	0.0011228074	0.0011527737	1.0266887	3.0E-5	0.0082328	0.013583499	0.01363282	1.003631	5.0E-5	0.07934396	0.12819089	0.12825193	1.000476	7.0E-5
6.7	1.5616413E-4	2.5748406E-4	2.674815E-4	1.0388273	1.0E-5	6.691031E-4	0.0011030318	0.0011329987	1.0271678	3.0E-5	0.0081159435	0.013346175	0.013395508	1.0036964	5.0E-5	0.0782586	0.12622297	0.12628414	1.0004846	7.0E-5
6.8	1.5538467E-4	2.55737E-4	2.6573442E-4	1.0390927	1.0E-5	6.6576427E-4	0.001095552	0.001125519	1.0273534	3.0E-5	0.008075596	0.013256339	0.013305676	1.0037218	5.0E-5	0.07788358	0.12546183	0.12552305	1.0004879	7.0E-5
6.9	1.5153569E-4	2.4694356E-4	2.569411E-4	1.040485	1.0E-5	6.49277E-4	0.0010579025	0.0010878707	1.0283281	3.0E-5	0.007876333	0.012804469	0.012853829	1.0038549	5.0E-5	0.07602952	0.121591106	0.121652596	1.0005057	7.0E-5
7.0	1.4588932E-4	2.3552067E-4	2.455183E-4	1.0424491	1.0E-5	6.250901E-4	0.0010089859	0.0010389556	1.0297028	3.0E-5	0.0075839474	0.012215753	0.012265142	1.0040431	5.0E-5	0.073302895	0.11645872	0.11652057	1.0005311	7.0E-5
7.1	1.1565079E-4	1.7352395E-4	1.835222E-4	1.057619	1.0E-5	4.955521E-4	7.43463E-4	7.734407E-4	1.0403217	3.0E-5	0.006016669	0.0090143215	0.009063872	1.0054967	5.0E-5	0.058563538	0.088535435	0.088599235	1.0007206	7.0E-5
7.2	1.0393792E-4	1.5637188E-4	1.6637032E-4	1.0639402	1.0E-5	4.4537216E-4	6.6999387E-4	6.999738E-4	1.0447465	3.0E-5	0.005408933	0.008126856	0.00817645	1.0061024	5.0E-5	0.052791595	0.08028325	0.08034763	1.0008019	7.0E-5
7.3	9.332884E-5	1.374839E-4	1.4748253E-4	1.0727258	1.0E-5	3.999194E-4	5.8908435E-4	6.190667E-4	1.0508965	3.0E-5	0.0048581534	0.007148667	0.0071983095	1.0069443	5.0E-5	0.047533102	0.070948064	0.0710131	1.0009166	7.0E-5
7.4	8.670252E-5	1.2641517E-4	1.364139E-4	1.0790944	1.0E-5	3.715293E-4	5.4166745E-4	5.716512E-4	1.0553545	3.0E-5	0.004513991	0.0065749944	0.0066246656	1.0075545	5.0E-5	0.044233937	0.065509886	0.0655753	1.0009985	7.0E-5
7.5	7.3036405E-5	9.843765E-5	1.0843667E-4	1.1015772	1.0E-5	3.129756E-4	4.2180755E-4	4.5179488E-4	1.0710925	3.0E-5	0.0038038217	0.0051234392	0.005173183	1.0097091	5.0E-5	0.03739367	0.051860932	0.051927302	1.0012797	7.0E-5
7.6	6.3935775E-5	9.075313E-5	1.0075222E-4	1.1101791	1.0E-5	2.7398168E-4	3.888841E-4	4.1887246E-4	1.0771137	3.0E-5	0.0033306254	0.0047244076	0.004774171	1.0105333	5.0E-5	0.032811474	0.047779474	0.04784613	1.0013951	7.0E-5
7.7	5.5050095E-5	7.397187E-5	8.397113E-5	1.1351765	1.0E-5	2.3590765E-4	3.169838E-4	3.469743E-4	1.094612	3.0E-5	0.0028683927	0.003852454	0.0039022614	1.0129287	5.0E-5	0.0283165	0.03934361	0.039410856	1.0017092	7.0E-5
7.8	5.027131E-5	6.857324E-5	7.857255E-5	1.1458195	1.0E-5	2.1543067E-4	2.938522E-4	3.238434E-4	1.1020621	3.0E-5	0.0026197135	0.003571786	0.0036216076	1.0139486	5.0E-5	0.025890453	0.03648558	0.036553025	1.0018486	7.0E-5
7.9	3.7271806E-5	5.6112553E-5	6.611199E-5	1.1782032	1.0E-5	1.5972654E-4	2.4046021E-4	2.70453E-4	1.1247307	3.0E-5	0.0019429359	0.0029236753	0.0029735293	1.0170518	5.0E-5	0.019260362	0.02994681	0.030014712	1.0022675	7.0E-5
8.0	2.7310243E-5	3.557978E-5	4.557942E-5	1.2810485	1.0E-5	1.17038646E-4	1.5247586E-4	1.8247128E-4	1.1967225	3.0E-5	0.0014240141	0.0018548139	0.0019047211	1.0269068	5.0E-5	0.014149235	0.019304756	0.019373406	1.003556	7.0E-5
8.1	1.7940547E-5	2.0177335E-5	3.0177134E-5	1.4955956	1.0E-5	7.688579E-5	8.647143E-5	1.1646884E-4	1.3469054	3.0E-5	9.3568244E-4	0.0010522819	0.0011022293	1.0474658	5.0E-5	0.009317525	0.011241556	0.011300882	1.0052774	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.5600464E-4	5.350922E-4	5.4508686E-4	1.0186784	1.0E-5	0.0019528421	0.0022914645	0.0023213958	1.0130621	3.0E-5	0.023518132	0.02780309	0.027851699	1.0017483	5.0E-5	0.21179019	0.2732167	0.27326757	1.0001862	7.0E-5
6.1	1.9252734E-4	2.8425432E-4	2.9425148E-4	1.0351697	1.0E-5	8.248562E-4	0.0012177165	0.0012476799	1.0246062	3.0E-5	0.009996468	0.014737113	0.014786377	1.0033427	5.0E-5	0.09558567	0.14790973	0.14796937	1.0004033	7.0E-5
6.2	9.4269315E-5	1.942209E-4	2.0421896E-4	1.0514778	1.0E-5	4.039488E-4	8.321111E-4	8.6208613E-4	1.0360229	3.0E-5	0.0049069915	0.01008422	0.010133716	1.0049082	5.0E-5	0.048000436	0.09711329	0.09717649	1.0006508	7.0E-5
6.3	9.283051E-5	1.9145942E-4	2.014575E-4	1.0522203	1.0E-5	3.9778434E-4	8.202836E-4	8.5025904E-4	1.0365428	3.0E-5	0.0048322747	0.009941535	0.009991038	1.0049794	5.0E-5	0.047285385	0.095860496	0.09592378	1.0006602	7.0E-5
6.4	9.138826E-5	1.8906401E-4	1.9906212E-4	1.0528822	1.0E-5	3.916052E-4	8.10024E-4	8.399997E-4	1.0370059	3.0E-5	0.0047573745	0.009817754	0.009867263	1.0050428	5.0E-5	0.046568092	0.09476293	0.094826296	1.0006686	7.0E-5
6.5	9.000255E-5	1.8662142E-4	1.9661954E-4	1.0535744	1.0E-5	3.8566816E-4	7.9956214E-4	8.2953816E-4	1.0374905	3.0E-5	0.0046854047	0.009691518	0.009741033	1.0051092	5.0E-5	0.045878403	0.093638875	0.093702324	1.0006776	7.0E-5
6.6	8.8109264E-5	1.835633E-4	1.9356146E-4	1.0544671	1.0E-5	3.7755648E-4	7.864639E-4	8.164403E-4	1.0381154	3.0E-5	0.0045870654	0.009533452	0.009582975	1.0051947	5.0E-5	0.04493529	0.092223525	0.09228707	1.000689	7.0E-5
6.7	8.738073E-5	1.8225129E-4	1.9224947E-4	1.0548593	1.0E-5	3.7443507E-4	7.808444E-4	8.1082096E-4	1.0383899	3.0E-5	0.0045492216	0.009465634	0.009515161	1.0052322	5.0E-5	0.04457213	0.09162947	0.09169305	1.0006939	7.0E-5
6.8	8.710195E-5	1.8171618E-4	1.9171437E-4	1.0550209	1.0E-5	3.7324068E-4	7.7855244E-4	8.085291E-4	1.038503	3.0E-5	0.0045347405	0.009437973	0.009487501	1.0052477	5.0E-5	0.04443313	0.09138162	0.091445215	1.0006961	7.0E-5
6.9	8.6801556E-5	1.8113246E-4	1.9113065E-4	1.0551982	1.0E-5	3.7195362E-4	7.760523E-4	8.06029E-4	1.0386271	3.0E-5	0.0045191357	0.009407797	0.0094573265	1.0052648	5.0E-5	0.044283327	0.09111141	0.091175035	1.0006983	7.0E-5
7.0	8.5571606E-5	1.7866338E-4	1.886616E-4	1.0559611	1.0E-5	3.6668387E-4	7.654767E-4	7.954538E-4	1.0391612	3.0E-5	0.004455241	0.009280143	0.009329679	1.0053378	5.0E-5	0.043669727	0.08996617	0.09002987	1.0007081	7.0E-5
7.1	7.82589E-5	1.6322675E-4	1.7322513E-4	1.0612545	1.0E-5	3.3535215E-4	6.993565E-4	7.2933553E-4	1.0428666	3.0E-5	0.0040752706	0.008481617	0.008531193	1.0058451	5.0E-5	0.040013418	0.08279744	0.08286165	1.0007755	7.0E-5
7.2	7.690929E-5	1.6071509E-4	1.7071348E-4	1.0622119	1.0E-5	3.2956956E-4	6.885979E-4	7.1857724E-4	1.0435368	3.0E-5	0.004005129	0.008351643	0.008401225	1.0059369	5.0E-5	0.0393371	0.0816208	0.08168509	1.0007876	7.0E-5
7.3	7.5543794E-5	1.576354E-4	1.6763383E-4	1.0634276	1.0E-5	3.2371894E-4	6.7540613E-4	7.053859E-4	1.0443877	3.0E-5	0.003934157	0.008192251	0.008241842	1.0060533	5.0E-5	0.038652334	0.08016884	0.08023323	1.0008031	7.0E-5
7.4	7.4214564E-5	1.5456196E-4	1.6456042E-4	1.0646889	1.0E-5	3.1802364E-4	6.62241E-4	6.9222116E-4	1.0452707	3.0E-5	0.003865065	0.008033158	0.008082756	1.0061742	5.0E-5	0.03798529	0.07871681	0.0787813	1.0008192	7.0E-5
7.5	6.149578E-5	1.2254529E-4	1.3254405E-4	1.0815924	1.0E-5	2.6352672E-4	5.2508846E-4	5.5507274E-4	1.0571033	3.0E-5	0.0032037178	0.006374252	0.0064239334	1.007794	5.0E-5	0.03157923	0.063431844	0.0634974	1.0010335	7.0E-5
7.6	6.0643448E-5	1.20783385E-4	1.3078218E-4	1.0827829	1.0E-5	2.598746E-4	5.175405E-4	5.47525E-4	1.0579364	3.0E-5	0.0031593828	0.0062828893	0.0063325753	1.0079081	5.0E-5	0.031148417	0.06257622	0.062641844	1.0010487	7.0E-5
7.7	5.1652263E-5	1.0159842E-4	1.1159741E-4	1.0984167	1.0E-5	2.2134806E-4	4.3534918E-4	4.653361E-4	1.0688802	3.0E-5	0.002691582	0.0052875085	0.0053372444	1.0094062	5.0E-5	0.026592141	0.053110894	0.053177178	1.001248	7.0E-5
7.8	4.8090482E-5	9.490672E-5	1.0490577E-4	1.1053566	1.0E-5	2.060858E-4	4.066797E-4	4.366675E-4	1.0737381	3.0E-5	0.0025062072	0.004940096	0.004989849	1.0100713	5.0E-5	0.024781305	0.049641244	0.04970777	1.0013402	7.0E-5
7.9	3.970278E-5	7.5060096E-5	8.505935E-5	1.1332166	1.0E-5	1.7014367E-4	3.2164648E-4	3.5163685E-4	1.0932401	3.0E-5	0.002069531	0.0039090193	0.003958824	1.012741	5.0E-5	0.020503636	0.039474573	0.03954181	1.0017033	7.0E-5
8.0	2.8982335E-5	4.576343E-5	5.5762972E-5	1.2185051	1.0E-5	1.2420409E-4	1.9611426E-4	2.2610837E-4	1.1529421	3.0E-5	0.0015111357	0.002385078	0.0024349587	1.0209137	5.0E-5	0.015009012	0.024516296	0.024584578	1.0027852	7.0E-5
8.1	1.8836186E-5	2.1634818E-5	3.16346E-5	1.4622079	1.0E-5	8.0724014E-5	9.271736E-5	1.2271458E-4	1.323534	3.0E-5	9.823717E-4	0.00112825	0.0011781937	1.0442665	5.0E-5	0.009780403	0.012020763	0.012080042	1.0049313	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.8002043E-5	4.0986633E-5	8.0984995E-5	1.9758879	4.0E-5	2.0570682E-4	1.7564521E-4	2.156382E-4	1.2276918	4.0E-5	0.002501604	0.0021363983	0.00219627	1.0280247	6.0E-5	0.024736298	0.021247506	0.021316018	1.0032245	7.0E-5
6.1	4.8002043E-5	4.0986633E-5	8.0984995E-5	1.9758879	4.0E-5	2.0570682E-4	1.7564521E-4	2.156382E-4	1.2276918	4.0E-5	0.002501604	0.0021363983	0.00219627	1.0280247	6.0E-5	0.024736298	0.021247506	0.021316018	1.0032245	7.0E-5
6.2	4.2998647E-5	3.5193618E-5	7.5192205E-5	2.1365297	4.0E-5	1.842669E-4	1.5082111E-4	1.9081509E-4	1.2651749	4.0E-5	0.0022411412	0.0018347132	0.0018846213	1.0272022	5.0E-5	0.022186736	0.018283311	0.018342214	1.0032216	6.0E-5
6.3	4.2998647E-5	3.5193618E-5	7.5192205E-5	2.1365297	4.0E-5	1.842669E-4	1.5082111E-4	1.9081509E-4	1.2651749	4.0E-5	0.0022411412	0.0018347132	0.0018846213	1.0272022	5.0E-5	0.022186736	0.018283311	0.018342214	1.0032216	6.0E-5
6.4	4.1101295E-5	3.3058048E-5	7.3056726E-5	2.2099528	4.0E-5	1.7613651E-4	1.4166973E-4	1.8166406E-4	1.2823068	4.0E-5	0.0021423528	0.0017234778	0.0017733917	1.0289611	5.0E-5	0.02121817	0.017187977	0.017246947	1.0034308	6.0E-5
6.5	4.1032585E-5	3.2976073E-5	7.2974755E-5	2.2129607	4.0E-5	1.7584208E-4	1.4131845E-4	1.8131279E-4	1.2830087	4.0E-5	0.0021387753	0.0017192079	0.0017691219	1.0290332	5.0E-5	0.021183075	0.017145943	0.017204914	1.0034394	6.0E-5
6.6	4.011629E-5	3.198616E-5	7.198488E-5	2.250501	4.0E-5	1.7191563E-4	1.3707642E-4	1.7707095E-4	1.2917681	4.0E-5	0.0020910634	0.0016676419	0.0017175585	1.0299325	5.0E-5	0.020714961	0.016636398	0.016695399	1.0035466	6.0E-5
6.7	3.8583938E-5	3.0155861E-5	5.0155257E-5	1.663201	2.0E-5	1.6534925E-4	1.2923309E-4	1.492305E-4	1.1547391	2.0E-5	0.0020112682	0.0015722916	0.0016022444	1.0190505	3.0E-5	0.019931622	0.015697444	0.015736816	1.0025082	4.0E-5
6.8	3.44341E-5	2.5114468E-5	4.5113968E-5	1.7963337	2.0E-5	1.4756636E-4	1.0762906E-4	1.276269E-4	1.1858034	2.0E-5	0.0017951399	0.0013096066	0.0013395674	1.0228777	3.0E-5	0.017807078	0.013103252	0.013142728	1.0030127	4.0E-5
6.9	3.221199E-5	2.2419707E-5	4.241926E-5	1.8920523	2.0E-5	1.3804408E-4	9.608097E-5	1.1607904E-4	1.2081378	2.0E-5	0.0016793909	0.0011691663	0.0011991312	1.0256293	3.0E-5	0.01666756	0.011713645	0.011753176	1.0033748	4.0E-5
7.0	2.9186718E-5	1.876283E-5	3.8762457E-5	2.0659173	2.0E-5	1.2507994E-4	8.040968E-5	1.0040807E-4	1.2487062	2.0E-5	0.0015217843	9.785526E-4	0.0010085233	1.0306275	3.0E-5	0.015114053	0.00982505	0.009864657	1.0040312	4.0E-5
7.1	2.6840138E-5	1.5881596E-5	3.588128E-5	2.2592993	2.0E-5	1.1502409E-4	6.806222E-5	8.806086E-5	1.2938287	2.0E-5	0.0013995186	8.283445E-4	8.5831963E-4	1.0361868	3.0E-5	0.013907375	0.008334612	0.008374278	1.0047593	4.0E-5
7.2	2.453002E-5	1.3185952E-5	3.318569E-5	2.5167458	2.0E-5	1.05124425E-4	5.651E-5	7.650887E-5	1.3538996	2.0E-5	0.0012791384	6.877927E-4	7.177721E-4	1.0435878	3.0E-5	0.012718005	0.0069373455	0.0069770683	1.0057259	4.0E-5
7.3	2.3330727E-5	1.2056837E-5	3.2056596E-5	2.6587899	2.0E-5	9.9985E-5	5.1671137E-5	7.16701E-5	1.3870432	2.0E-5	0.0012166376	6.28915E-4	6.588961E-4	1.0476712	3.0E-5	0.012099981	0.0063504744	0.0063902205	1.0062587	4.0E-5
7.4	2.2136466E-5	1.092442E-5	3.0924202E-5	2.8307407	2.0E-5	9.486712E-5	4.6818106E-5	6.681717E-5	1.4271652	2.0E-5	0.0011543952	5.698616E-4	5.8985024E-4	1.0350763	2.0E-5	0.011484168	0.0057617202	0.0057915472	1.0051768	3.0E-5
7.5	2.0994974E-5	9.964151E-6	2.9963952E-5	3.0071754	2.0E-5	8.997535E-5	4.2702806E-5	6.2701954E-5	1.4683332	2.0E-5	0.0010948994	5.197829E-4	5.397725E-4	1.0384576	2.0E-5	0.010895205	0.0052612885	0.005291131	1.005672	3.0E-5
7.6	1.7091823E-5	7.33021E-6	2.7330063E-5	3.7284148	2.0E-5	7.3248615E-5	3.1414806E-5	5.141418E-5	1.6366224	2.0E-5	8.9143694E-4	3.8240827E-4	4.0240062E-4	1.0522801	2.0E-5	0.008878695	0.003883958	0.0039138417	1.0076941	3.0E-5
7.7	1.2772179E-5	4.3297205E-6	2.4329634E-5	5.619216	2.0E-5	5.473676E-5	1.8555811E-5	3.855544E-5	2.0778093	2.0E-5	6.6621625E-4	2.2589361E-4	2.458891E-4	1.0885173	2.0E-5	0.006642225	0.0023055542	0.002335485	1.012982	3.0E-5
7.8	7.041923E-6	2.137751E-6	2.2137709E-5	10.355607	2.0E-5	3.017932E-5	9.161758E-6	2.9161574E-5	3.1829674	2.0E-5	3.6737128E-4	1.11538684E-4	1.3153645E-4	1.1792899	2.0E-5	0.0036676454	0.0011456874	0.0011756531	1.0261551	3.0E-5
7.9	2.946768E-6	1.1131852E-6	2.1113163E-5	18.96644	2.0E-5	1.2628945E-5	4.7707854E-6	2.477069E-5	5.192162	2.0E-5	1.5374656E-4	5.8082765E-5	7.8081604E-5	1.3443162	2.0E-5	0.0015364023	5.924304E-4	6.124186E-4	1.0337392	2.0E-5
8.0	1.1433375E-6	5.765129E-7	2.05765E-5	35.69131	2.0E-5	4.9000087E-6	2.470767E-6	2.2470718E-5	9.094632	2.0E-5	5.965597E-5	3.0081173E-5	5.0080573E-5	1.6648477	2.0E-5	5.963996E-4	3.0458E-4	3.2457392E-4	1.0656441	2.0E-5
8.1	2.6675295E-7	1.8398238E-7	1.8398238E-7	1.0	0.0	1.1432264E-6	7.8849564E-7	7.8849564E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3918692E-5	9.599892E-6	9.599892E-6	1.0	0.0	1.391782E-4	9.745247E-5	9.745247E-5	1.0	0.0
8.2	1.2704569E-8	1.13165495E-8	1.13165495E-8	1.0	0.0	5.444815E-8	4.849949E-8	4.849949E-8	1.0	0.0	6.629061E-7	5.904812E-7	5.904812E-7	1.0	0.0	6.629041E-6	6.1096425E-6	6.1096425E-6	1.0	0.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.938062E-5	1.7345858E-4	1.8345685E-4	1.0576407	1.0E-5	4.2584742E-4	7.4316084E-4	7.7313854E-4	1.0403382	3.0E-5	0.0051723733	0.009009106	0.009048746	1.0043999	4.0E-5	0.050536286	0.085723236	0.08578723	1.0007466	7.0E-5
6.1	9.862786E-5	1.720227E-4	1.8202097E-4	1.0581219	1.0E-5	4.2262237E-4	7.370105E-4	7.6698844E-4	1.0406749	3.0E-5	0.005133294	0.008934847	0.00897449	1.0044369	4.0E-5	0.050163247	0.08505386	0.08511791	1.000753	7.0E-5
6.2	9.695835E-5	1.6887566E-4	1.7887398E-4	1.0592052	1.0E-5	4.154696E-4	7.235311E-4	7.535094E-4	1.0414333	3.0E-5	0.0050466163	0.008772161	0.00881181	1.0045199	4.0E-5	0.049335375	0.083581425	0.083645575	1.0007675	7.0E-5
6.3	9.274664E-5	1.6059978E-4	1.7059818E-4	1.0622566	1.0E-5	3.9742506E-4	6.880821E-4	7.1806146E-4	1.0435694	3.0E-5	0.00482792	0.008343921	0.008383588	1.004754	4.0E-5	0.047243692	0.07969085	0.07974607	1.000693	6.0E-5
6.4	8.391499E-5	1.4435542E-4	1.4435542E-4	1.0	0.0	3.595861E-4	6.184982E-4	6.28492E-4	1.0161582	1.0E-5	0.004369175	0.0075032124	0.007523062	1.0026455	2.0E-5	0.04284265	0.07197049	0.07200762	1.0005158	4.0E-5
6.5	5.9519385E-5	9.947603E-5	9.947603E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5505814E-4	4.2623727E-4	4.2623727E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031009112	0.0051761046	0.0051860525	1.001922	1.0E-5	0.030579966	0.05023426	0.050253253	1.0003781	2.0E-5
6.6	4.5361558E-5	7.383919E-5	7.383919E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9439218E-4	3.1640378E-4	3.1640378E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0023641558	0.0038446118	0.0038545732	1.002591	1.0E-5	0.023391623	0.037599165	0.037618414	1.0005119	2.0E-5
6.7	3.8808106E-5	6.233033E-5	6.233033E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6630985E-4	2.6709368E-4	2.6709368E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0020229418	0.0032465735	0.0032465735	1.0	0.0	0.020046256	0.031875607	0.03188529	1.0003037	1.0E-5
6.8	2.2284667E-5	3.144285E-5	3.144285E-5	1.0	0.0	9.550222E-5	1.347481E-4	1.347481E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011621192	0.0016393242	0.0016393242	1.0	0.0	0.011560607	0.016248932	0.016248932	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.8050168E-5	2.4566732E-5	2.4566732E-5	1.0	0.0	7.735557E-5	1.0528174E-4	1.0528174E-4	1.0	0.0	9.4139716E-4	0.0012810546	0.0012810546	1.0	0.0	0.009374191	0.012728719	0.012728719	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.4763166E-5	1.9688297E-5	1.9688297E-5	1.0	0.0	6.326917E-5	8.4375686E-5	8.4375686E-5	1.0	0.0	7.7002996E-4	0.0010267912	0.0010267912	1.0	0.0	0.007673672	0.010219422	0.010219422	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.2399713E-5	1.638642E-5	1.638642E-5	1.0	0.0	5.3140546E-5	7.022564E-5	7.022564E-5	1.0	0.0	6.467941E-4	8.546637E-4	8.546637E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006449148	0.008513633	0.008513633	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.0584195E-5	1.3988168E-5	1.3988168E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5360044E-5	5.994792E-5	5.994792E-5	1.0	0.0	5.521186E-4	7.296232E-4	7.296232E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0055074887	0.007272569	0.007272569	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.998173E-6	1.0579936E-5	1.0579936E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4277433E-5	4.5341803E-5	4.5341803E-5	1.0	0.0	4.1724785E-4	5.5189774E-4	5.5189774E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004164653	0.0055054105	0.0055054105	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.7571127E-6	8.956803E-6	8.956803E-6	1.0	0.0	2.8958733E-5	3.838574E-5	3.838574E-5	1.0	0.0	3.5251552E-4	4.672471E-4	4.672471E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0035195686	0.004662888	0.004662888	1.0	0.0
7.5	5.69878E-6	7.533624E-6	7.533624E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4423114E-5	3.2286564E-5	3.2286564E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9731085E-4	3.930189E-4	3.930189E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002969134	0.003923307	0.003923307	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.503664E-6	5.948169E-6	5.948169E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9301275E-5	2.5491907E-5	2.5491907E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3496768E-4	3.103206E-4	3.103206E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002347194	0.0030988993	0.0030988993	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.0873546E-6	1.4141802E-6	1.4141802E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6600826E-6	6.0607586E-6	6.0607586E-6	1.0	0.0	5.6735033E-5	7.378727E-5	7.378727E-5	1.0	0.0	5.672055E-4	7.3758815E-4	7.3758815E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.9373917E-8	6.241645E-8	6.241645E-8	1.0	0.0	2.1160248E-7	2.6749905E-7	2.6749905E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5762572E-6	3.2567973E-6	3.2567973E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5762274E-5	3.256687E-5	3.256687E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6520628E-4	1.4361835E-4	1.5361691E-4	1.0696189	1.0E-5	7.078348E-4	6.1536423E-4	6.453458E-4	1.0487217	3.0E-5	0.008583886	0.0074667353	0.007516362	1.0066464	5.0E-5	0.08259789	0.07342701	0.07349187	1.0008833	7.0E-5
6.1	1.6520628E-4	1.4361835E-4	1.5361691E-4	1.0696189	1.0E-5	7.078348E-4	6.1536423E-4	6.453458E-4	1.0487217	3.0E-5	0.008583886	0.0074667353	0.007516362	1.0066464	5.0E-5	0.08259789	0.07342701	0.07349187	1.0008833	7.0E-5
6.2	1.6520628E-4	1.4361835E-4	1.5361691E-4	1.0696189	1.0E-5	7.078348E-4	6.1536423E-4	6.453458E-4	1.0487217	3.0E-5	0.008583886	0.0074667353	0.007516362	1.0066464	5.0E-5	0.08259789	0.07342701	0.07349187	1.0008833	7.0E-5
6.3	1.6520628E-4	1.4361835E-4	1.5361691E-4	1.0696189	1.0E-5	7.078348E-4	6.1536423E-4	6.453458E-4	1.0487217	3.0E-5	0.008583886	0.0074667353	0.007516362	1.0066464	5.0E-5	0.08259789	0.07342701	0.07349187	1.0008833	7.0E-5
6.4	1.6392978E-4	1.4359842E-4	1.5359698E-4	1.0696286	1.0E-5	7.02367E-4	6.152788E-4	6.452603E-4	1.0487283	3.0E-5	0.008517839	0.007465702	0.007515329	1.0066473	5.0E-5	0.08198654	0.07340482	0.073469676	1.0008836	7.0E-5
6.5	1.5742714E-4	1.3378693E-4	1.437856E-4	1.0747358	1.0E-5	6.745133E-4	5.732484E-4	6.032312E-4	1.0523033	3.0E-5	0.00818132	0.0069573107	0.007006963	1.0071367	5.0E-5	0.078865945	0.06869961	0.068764806	1.0009489	7.0E-5
6.6	1.3038084E-4	1.2191342E-4	1.3191221E-4	1.0820154	1.0E-5	5.5865536E-4	5.223828E-4	5.523671E-4	1.0573992	3.0E-5	0.006780438	0.0063417186	0.0063914014	1.0078343	5.0E-5	0.0657725	0.062442172	0.0625078	1.0010511	7.0E-5
6.7	1.2867592E-4	1.19102195E-4	1.29101E-4	1.0839515	1.0E-5	5.5135164E-4	5.1033945E-4	5.4032414E-4	1.0587544	3.0E-5	0.0066920654	0.0061959326	0.006245623	1.0080198	5.0E-5	0.06494093	0.06112234	0.06118806	1.0010753	7.0E-5
6.8	1.2801298E-4	1.18463606E-4	1.2846243E-4	1.0844041	1.0E-5	5.485117E-4	5.0760375E-4	5.375885E-4	1.0590712	3.0E-5	0.0066577005	0.006162814	0.006212506	1.0080632	5.0E-5	0.06461738	0.060829334	0.060895078	1.0010808	7.0E-5
6.9	1.269149E-4	1.16856725E-4	1.2685555E-4	1.0855649	1.0E-5	5.4380763E-4	5.007197E-4	5.307047E-4	1.0598837	3.0E-5	0.006600777	0.006079472	0.006129168	1.0081744	5.0E-5	0.06408122	0.06008978	0.06015557	1.0010949	7.0E-5
7.0	1.2030331E-4	1.1401018E-4	1.2400904E-4	1.0877014	1.0E-5	5.154837E-4	4.885249E-4	5.1851023E-4	1.0613793	3.0E-5	0.006257969	0.0059318175	0.0059815207	1.0083791	5.0E-5	0.06084648	0.058660444	0.058726337	1.0011233	7.0E-5
7.1	8.049617E-5	5.858413E-5	6.858354E-5	1.1706847	1.0E-5	3.4493793E-4	2.510509E-4	2.8104335E-4	1.1194677	3.0E-5	0.0041915346	0.0030522991	0.0031021466	1.0163311	5.0E-5	0.041133516	0.032024987	0.032092746	1.0021158	7.0E-5
7.2	7.093979E-5	4.7058897E-5	5.7058427E-5	1.2124897	1.0E-5	3.0399222E-4	2.0166553E-4	2.3165949E-4	1.1487311	3.0E-5	0.0036948253	0.0024525383	0.0025024156	1.020337	5.0E-5	0.03633994	0.026081046	0.02614922	1.0026139	7.0E-5
7.3	6.193693E-5	3.2512016E-5	4.251169E-5	1.3075686	1.0E-5	2.6541698E-4	1.3932977E-4	1.6932559E-4	1.2152865	3.0E-5	0.0032266637	0.0016950221	0.0017449374	1.0294482	5.0E-5	0.031802133	0.018412508	0.01848122	1.0037317	7.0E-5
7.4	5.906492E-5	3.0586834E-5	4.058653E-5	1.326928	1.0E-5	2.5311083E-4	1.3107985E-4	1.6107592E-4	1.2288381	3.0E-5	0.0030772698	0.0015947307	0.0016446509	1.0313033	5.0E-5	0.030350044	0.01735857	0.017427353	1.0039626	7.0E-5
7.5	5.424296E-5	2.811876E-5	3.811848E-5	1.3556244	1.0E-5	2.324491E-4	1.2050341E-4	1.5049979E-4	1.2489256	3.0E-5	0.002826395	0.0014661432	0.0015160699	1.0340531	5.0E-5	0.027907165	0.015988888	0.016057769	1.004308	7.0E-5
7.6	4.43084E-5	2.2957203E-5	3.2956974E-5	1.4355831	1.0E-5	1.8987931E-4	9.8384306E-5	1.2838135E-4	1.3048967	3.0E-5	0.0023093296	0.001197171	0.0012471112	1.0417151	5.0E-5	0.022854783	0.013039849	0.013108936	1.0052981	7.0E-5
7.7	4.118098E-5	2.1895565E-5	3.1895346E-5	1.4567035	1.0E-5	1.7647797E-4	9.383476E-5	1.2383194E-4	1.3196809	3.0E-5	0.002146502	0.0011418398	0.0011917826	1.043739	5.0E-5	0.021258866	0.012446348	0.012515476	1.0055542	7.0E-5
7.8	3.5408906E-5	2.148978E-5	3.1489566E-5	1.4653275	1.0E-5	1.5174363E-4	9.2095805E-5	1.2209304E-4	1.3257177	3.0E-5	0.0018459131	0.00112069	0.001170634	1.0445653	5.0E-5	0.018306552	0.012205378	0.012274523	1.0056652	7.0E-5
7.9	2.5860836E-5	2.0107613E-5	3.010741E-5	1.4973141	1.0E-5	1.10827445E-4	8.617264E-5	1.1617005E-4	1.3481084	3.0E-5	0.001348489	0.0010486472	0.0010985947	1.0476304	5.0E-5	0.013403354	0.011377897	0.011447101	1.0060823	7.0E-5
8.0	1.9777332E-5	1.7367604E-5	2.7367429E-5	1.5757747	1.0E-5	8.4757245E-5	7.443046E-5	1.04428225E-4	1.4030308	3.0E-5	0.0010314309	9.058144E-4	9.557691E-4	1.055149	5.0E-5	0.010266567	0.009833367	0.009902678	1.0070486	7.0E-5
8.1	1.468494E-5	1.4267513E-5	2.426737E-5	1.700883	1.0E-5	6.293394E-5	6.114505E-5	9.1143214E-5	1.4906065	3.0E-5	7.6595135E-4	7.44187E-4	7.9414976E-4	1.0671374	5.0E-5	0.0076331664	0.008103952	0.008163465	1.0073438	6.0E-5
8.2	8.63836E-6	6.64124E-6	1.6641174E-5	2.5057328	1.0E-5	3.7021015E-5	2.8462147E-5	5.8461294E-5	2.0540016	3.0E-5	4.5063766E-4	3.4647167E-4	3.9645436E-4	1.144262	5.0E-5	0.004497249	0.0038782854	0.003938053	1.0154108	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2188602E-4	2.6766403E-4	2.7766137E-4	1.0373503	1.0E-5	5.2226405E-4	0.0011466291	0.0011765946	1.0261337	3.0E-5	0.0063400427	0.013871429	0.013920736	1.0035546	5.0E-5	0.061621845	0.13085876	0.1309196	1.0004649	7.0E-5
6.1	1.2188602E-4	2.6766403E-4	2.7766137E-4	1.0373503	1.0E-5	5.2226405E-4	0.0011466291	0.0011765946	1.0261337	3.0E-5	0.0063400427	0.013871429	0.013920736	1.0035546	5.0E-5	0.061621845	0.13085876	0.1309196	1.0004649	7.0E-5
6.2	1.2188602E-4	2.6766403E-4	2.7766137E-4	1.0373503	1.0E-5	5.2226405E-4	0.0011466291	0.0011765946	1.0261337	3.0E-5	0.0063400427	0.013871429	0.013920736	1.0035546	5.0E-5	0.061621845	0.13085876	0.1309196	1.0004649	7.0E-5
6.3	1.2142645E-4	2.6678774E-4	2.7678505E-4	1.037473	1.0E-5	5.202953E-4	0.0011428767	0.0011728425	1.0262196	3.0E-5	0.006316212	0.013826326	0.0138756335	1.0035663	5.0E-5	0.06139677	0.13047476	0.13053563	1.0004665	7.0E-5
6.4	1.1865206E-4	2.6172932E-4	2.717267E-4	1.0381974	1.0E-5	5.0840975E-4	0.0011212166	0.0011511829	1.0267266	3.0E-5	0.006172335	0.013565923	0.013615245	1.0036358	5.0E-5	0.060036868	0.12824573	0.12830675	1.0004759	7.0E-5
6.5	1.17443946E-4	2.5961763E-4	2.6961503E-4	1.0385082	1.0E-5	5.032341E-4	0.0011121742	0.0011421408	1.0269442	3.0E-5	0.006109677	0.013457195	0.0135065215	1.0036654	5.0E-5	0.059444077	0.12730679	0.12736788	1.0004798	7.0E-5
6.6	1.13579066E-4	2.5274933E-4	2.627468E-4	1.0395548	1.0E-5	4.866766E-4	0.0010827634	0.0011127309	1.0276769	3.0E-5	0.0059092017	0.013103477	0.013152822	1.0037658	5.0E-5	0.057545185	0.12425832	0.12431962	1.0004933	7.0E-5
6.7	1.1271412E-4	2.5118623E-4	2.611837E-4	1.0398011	1.0E-5	4.829711E-4	0.00107607	0.0011060376	1.0278492	3.0E-5	0.005864331	0.013022962	0.013072311	1.0037894	5.0E-5	0.057119697	0.12356527	0.12362662	1.0004965	7.0E-5
6.8	1.1217975E-4	2.500541E-4	2.6005157E-4	1.0399814	1.0E-5	4.8068175E-4	0.0010712219	0.0011011898	1.0279754	3.0E-5	0.005836608	0.012964641	0.013013992	1.0038066	5.0E-5	0.056856725	0.123062514	0.1231239	1.0004988	7.0E-5
6.9	1.1146753E-4	2.4851094E-4	2.5850846E-4	1.0402297	1.0E-5	4.7763053E-4	0.0010646138	0.0010945818	1.0281492	3.0E-5	0.0057996577	0.012885142	0.012934498	1.0038304	5.0E-5	0.056506127	0.12237626	0.12243769	1.000502	7.0E-5
7.0	1.0965793E-4	2.4469238E-4	2.5468992E-4	1.0408577	1.0E-5	4.698779E-4	0.0010482618	0.0010782303	1.0285888	3.0E-5	0.005705768	0.012688392	0.0127377575	1.0038906	5.0E-5	0.055614736	0.12067192	0.12073347	1.0005101	7.0E-5
7.1	9.927982E-5	2.2227397E-4	2.3227175E-4	1.0449796	1.0E-5	4.2541555E-4	9.522561E-4	9.822275E-4	1.0314741	3.0E-5	0.0051671406	0.011532432	0.011581856	1.0042856	5.0E-5	0.05048634	0.110600136	0.1106624	1.0005629	7.0E-5
7.2	9.696786E-5	2.1718114E-4	2.2717896E-4	1.0460346	1.0E-5	4.1551032E-4	9.304454E-4	9.6041744E-4	1.0322126	3.0E-5	0.00504711	0.011269663	0.0113191	1.0043867	5.0E-5	0.04934009	0.10830672	0.108369134	1.0005763	7.0E-5
7.3	9.4727984E-5	2.1124746E-4	2.2124535E-4	1.0473279	1.0E-5	4.0591392E-4	9.0503326E-4	9.350061E-4	1.033118	3.0E-5	0.0049308087	0.010963426	0.011012878	1.0045106	5.0E-5	0.048228268	0.10560088	0.105663486	1.0005928	7.0E-5
7.4	9.220358E-5	2.0465828E-4	2.1465625E-4	1.048852	1.0E-5	3.9509835E-4	8.7681314E-4	9.067868E-4	1.0341848	3.0E-5	0.004799717	0.010623239	0.010672707	1.0046567	5.0E-5	0.046973653	0.10258936	0.10265218	1.0006124	7.0E-5
7.5	7.71631E-5	1.663469E-4	1.7634525E-4	1.0601053	1.0E-5	3.306571E-4	7.1272074E-4	7.4269937E-4	1.0420623	3.0E-5	0.0040183207	0.008642941	0.008692509	1.005735	5.0E-5	0.03946433	0.08475832	0.08482239	1.0007559	7.0E-5
7.6	7.5634416E-5	1.6278724E-4	1.727856E-4	1.0614198	1.0E-5	3.241072E-4	6.9747324E-4	7.274523E-4	1.0429825	3.0E-5	0.0039388672	0.008458759	0.008508336	1.005861	5.0E-5	0.038697794	0.08306736	0.083131544	1.0007727	7.0E-5
7.7	6.3783E-5	1.3690679E-4	1.4690543E-4	1.0730324	1.0E-5	2.7332708E-4	5.866115E-4	6.165939E-4	1.0511112	3.0E-5	0.0033226798	0.007118644	0.0071682883	1.0069739	5.0E-5	0.032734364	0.070569046	0.07063411	1.000922	7.0E-5
7.8	5.863422E-5	1.2651176E-4	1.365105E-4	1.0790341	1.0E-5	2.512653E-4	5.4208067E-4	5.7206437E-4	1.0553123	3.0E-5	0.003054864	0.0065798895	0.00662956	1.0075489	5.0E-5	0.030132094	0.06528045	0.06534588	1.0010023	7.0E-5
7.9	4.595283E-5	9.3523035E-5	1.035221E-4	1.1069155	1.0E-5	1.9692584E-4	4.0075145E-4	4.3073943E-4	1.0748293	3.0E-5	0.0023949358	0.004868243	0.0049179993	1.0102206	5.0E-5	0.023692891	0.048698463	0.048765052	1.0013674	7.0E-5
8.0	3.2950178E-5	5.683223E-5	6.683166E-5	1.1759465	1.0E-5	1.412074E-4	2.4354397E-4	2.7353666E-4	1.1231511	3.0E-5	0.0017178444	0.0029611182	0.0030109703	1.0168356	5.0E-5	0.017046256	0.03013389	0.030201782	1.0022529	7.0E-5
8.1	1.9177472E-5	2.2209682E-5	3.220946E-5	1.4502441	1.0E-5	8.218658E-5	9.518089E-5	1.2517803E-4	1.3151593	3.0E-5	0.0010001622	0.0011582121	0.0012081543	1.04312	5.0E-5	0.009956728	0.012326649	0.01238591	1.0048075	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.168226E-5	2.0075969E-4	2.1075769E-4	1.0498008	1.0E-5	3.928648E-4	8.601152E-4	8.9008943E-4	1.034849	3.0E-5	0.0047726436	0.010421771	0.01047125	1.0047476	5.0E-5	0.046714354	0.10094281	0.100996755	1.0005344	6.0E-5
6.1	9.168226E-5	2.0075969E-4	2.1075769E-4	1.0498008	1.0E-5	3.928648E-4	8.601152E-4	8.9008943E-4	1.034849	3.0E-5	0.0047726436	0.010421771	0.01047125	1.0047476	5.0E-5	0.046714354	0.10094281	0.100996755	1.0005344	6.0E-5
6.2	9.168226E-5	2.0075969E-4	2.1075769E-4	1.0498008	1.0E-5	3.928648E-4	8.601152E-4	8.9008943E-4	1.034849	3.0E-5	0.0047726436	0.010421771	0.01047125	1.0047476	5.0E-5	0.046714354	0.10094281	0.100996755	1.0005344	6.0E-5
6.3	9.168226E-5	2.0075969E-4	2.1075769E-4	1.0498008	1.0E-5	3.928648E-4	8.601152E-4	8.9008943E-4	1.034849	3.0E-5	0.0047726436	0.010421771	0.01047125	1.0047476	5.0E-5	0.046714354	0.10094281	0.100996755	1.0005344	6.0E-5
6.4	9.1639464E-5	2.0069366E-4	2.1069165E-4	1.0498172	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	8.598324E-4	8.898066E-4	1.0348605	3.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.01041836	0.0104678385	1.0047492	5.0E-5	0.046693064	0.10091214	0.10096608	1.0005345	6.0E-5
6.5	9.1639464E-5	2.0069366E-4	2.1069165E-4	1.0498172	1.0E-5	3.9268145E-4	8.598324E-4	8.898066E-4	1.0348605	3.0E-5	0.0047704205	0.01041836	0.0104678385	1.0047492	5.0E-5	0.046693064	0.10091214	0.10096608	1.0005345	6.0E-5
6.6	9.042622E-5	1.9880437E-4	2.0880238E-4	1.0502907	1.0E-5	3.8748336E-4	8.5174077E-4	8.817152E-4	1.035192	3.0E-5	0.0047074095	0.01032078	0.010370264	1.0047946	5.0E-5	0.046089325	0.100032456	0.10008645	1.0005398	6.0E-5
6.7	8.9836685E-5	1.9797601E-4	2.0797404E-4	1.0505012	1.0E-5	3.8495753E-4	8.48193E-4	8.781675E-4	1.0353394	3.0E-5	0.00467679	0.010277993	0.010327479	1.0048147	5.0E-5	0.045795817	0.09964322	0.09969725	1.0005422	6.0E-5
6.8	8.9471854E-5	1.974565E-4	2.0745452E-4	1.050634	1.0E-5	3.8339442E-4	8.459679E-4	8.759425E-4	1.0354323	3.0E-5	0.004657841	0.010251158	0.010300646	1.0048275	5.0E-5	0.04561414	0.099397786	0.099451825	1.0005436	6.0E-5
6.9	8.858234E-5	1.9630992E-4	2.0630796E-4	1.0509299	1.0E-5	3.7958333E-4	8.4105716E-4	8.7103195E-4	1.0356394	3.0E-5	0.004611638	0.01019193	0.010241421	1.0048559	5.0E-5	0.04517103	0.09885795	0.09891201	1.0005469	6.0E-5
7.0	8.7433385E-5	1.9472971E-4	2.0472777E-4	1.0513432	1.0E-5	3.746607E-4	8.3428924E-4	8.642642E-4	1.0359287	3.0E-5	0.004551957	0.010110298	0.010159792	1.0048954	5.0E-5	0.044598386	0.09811271	0.09816682	1.0005516	6.0E-5
7.1	8.684964E-5	1.9384729E-4	2.0384534E-4	1.051577	1.0E-5	3.7215967E-4	8.3050976E-4	8.6048484E-4	1.0360924	3.0E-5	0.0045216335	0.010064709	0.010114206	1.0049179	5.0E-5	0.04430731	0.09769681	0.097750954	1.0005542	6.0E-5
7.2	8.606521E-5	1.927505E-4	2.0274858E-4	1.0518706	1.0E-5	3.6879873E-4	8.258123E-4	8.5578754E-4	1.0362979	3.0E-5	0.0044808835	0.010008045	0.010057544	1.004946	5.0E-5	0.043916024	0.09718031	0.09723447	1.0005574	6.0E-5
7.3	8.568266E-5	1.921501E-4	2.0214818E-4	1.0520326	1.0E-5	3.6715972E-4	8.232407E-4	8.5321604E-4	1.0364113	3.0E-5	0.0044610105	0.009977023	0.010026525	1.0049615	5.0E-5	0.043725148	0.09689471	0.0969489	1.0005592	6.0E-5
7.4	8.5432206E-5	1.9176099E-4	2.0175907E-4	1.0521382	1.0E-5	3.6608664E-4	8.215742E-4	8.5154956E-4	1.0364853	3.0E-5	0.004447999	0.009956919	0.01000642	1.0049716	5.0E-5	0.043600157	0.09670979	0.09676398	1.0005604	6.0E-5
7.5	8.4791965E-5	1.9037774E-4	2.0037584E-4	1.0525172	1.0E-5	3.633435E-4	8.156497E-4	8.4562524E-4	1.0367504	3.0E-5	0.0044147377	0.009885445	0.009934951	1.005008	5.0E-5	0.043280575	0.09606191	0.09611614	1.0005646	6.0E-5
7.6	8.241105E-5	1.8456487E-4	1.9456302E-4	1.0541714	1.0E-5	3.531424E-4	7.907527E-4	8.20729E-4	1.0379086	3.0E-5	0.0042910352	0.00958503	0.009634551	1.0051664	5.0E-5	0.042091176	0.09334824	0.09340264	1.0005827	6.0E-5
7.7	7.00432E-5	1.5702102E-4	1.6701945E-4	1.0636758	1.0E-5	3.001506E-4	6.727737E-4	7.0275355E-4	1.0445615	3.0E-5	0.0036482112	0.008160312	0.008209904	1.0060772	5.0E-5	0.035888977	0.08021245	0.08026764	1.000688	6.0E-5
7.8	6.415362E-5	1.43418E-4	1.5341656E-4	1.0697162	1.0E-5	2.749151E-4	6.1450386E-4	6.444854E-4	1.0487899	3.0E-5	0.0033419547	0.007455961	0.007505588	1.006656	5.0E-5	0.03292141	0.07343742	0.07349301	1.000757	6.0E-5
7.9	4.939911E-5	1.0346919E-4	1.1346815E-4	1.0966371	1.0E-5	2.116933E-4	4.4336403E-4	4.7335072E-4	1.0676345	3.0E-5	0.0025743195	0.0053846096	0.0054343403	1.0092357	5.0E-5	0.025447013	0.053590167	0.053646952	1.0010597	6.0E-5
8.0	3.344983E-5	5.8429905E-5	6.842932E-5	1.1711352	1.0E-5	1.4334853E-4	2.5038986E-4	2.8038234E-4	1.1197832	3.0E-5	0.0017438711	0.0030442374	0.003094085	1.0163745	5.0E-5	0.017302496	0.030940544	0.030998688	1.0018792	6.0E-5
8.1	1.9104898E-5	2.2193846E-5	3.2193624E-5	1.4505653	1.0E-5	8.1875565E-5	9.511302E-5	1.2511016E-4	1.3153843	3.0E-5	9.963791E-4	0.0011573867	0.0012073289	1.0431508	5.0E-5	0.009919235	0.012316003	0.012375264	1.0048118	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.877682E-5	2.1222573E-4	2.222236E-4	1.0471096	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	9.0922206E-4	9.3919475E-4	1.0329652	3.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0110137565	0.011063205	1.0044898	5.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10624548	0.1062991	1.0005047	6.0E-5
6.1	9.877682E-5	2.1222573E-4	2.222236E-4	1.0471096	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	9.0922206E-4	9.3919475E-4	1.0329652	3.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0110137565	0.011063205	1.0044898	5.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10624548	0.1062991	1.0005047	6.0E-5
6.2	9.877682E-5	2.1222573E-4	2.222236E-4	1.0471096	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	9.0922206E-4	9.3919475E-4	1.0329652	3.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0110137565	0.011063205	1.0044898	5.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10624548	0.1062991	1.0005047	6.0E-5
6.3	9.877682E-5	2.1222573E-4	2.222236E-4	1.0471096	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	9.0922206E-4	9.3919475E-4	1.0329652	3.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0110137565	0.011063205	1.0044898	5.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10624548	0.1062991	1.0005047	6.0E-5
6.4	9.877682E-5	2.1222573E-4	2.222236E-4	1.0471096	1.0E-5	4.2326056E-4	9.0922206E-4	9.3919475E-4	1.0329652	3.0E-5	0.0051410277	0.0110137565	0.011063205	1.0044898	5.0E-5	0.05023708	0.10624548	0.1062991	1.0005047	6.0E-5
6.5	9.861474E-5	2.1195605E-4	2.2195393E-4	1.0471696	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	9.080671E-4	9.3803986E-4	1.0330073	3.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.010999837	0.011049286	1.0044955	5.0E-5	0.050156746	0.106121376	0.10617501	1.0005054	6.0E-5
6.6	9.861474E-5	2.1195605E-4	2.2195393E-4	1.0471696	1.0E-5	4.2256617E-4	9.080671E-4	9.3803986E-4	1.0330073	3.0E-5	0.0051326132	0.010999837	0.011049286	1.0044955	5.0E-5	0.050156746	0.106121376	0.10617501	1.0005054	6.0E-5
6.7	9.8552715E-5	2.1185279E-4	2.2185067E-4	1.0471926	1.0E-5	4.223004E-4	9.076248E-4	9.375976E-4	1.0330234	3.0E-5	0.0051293927	0.010994506	0.0110439565	1.0044978	5.0E-5	0.050125998	0.106073834	0.10612747	1.0005057	6.0E-5
6.8	9.8464974E-5	2.117009E-4	2.2169878E-4	1.0472264	1.0E-5	4.219245E-4	9.069743E-4	9.369471E-4	1.033047	3.0E-5	0.0051248376	0.010986666	0.011036117	1.004501	5.0E-5	0.05008251	0.10600287	0.10605651	1.000506	6.0E-5
6.9	9.825824E-5	2.1137476E-4	2.2137264E-4	1.0472994	1.0E-5	4.2103877E-4	9.0557756E-4	9.355504E-4	1.033098	3.0E-5	0.0051141046	0.010969833	0.011019284	1.0045079	5.0E-5	0.049980022	0.10585049	0.10590414	1.0005069	6.0E-5
7.0	9.781462E-5	2.10679E-4	2.206769E-4	1.0474555	1.0E-5	4.1913814E-4	9.025978E-4	9.325707E-4	1.0332074	3.0E-5	0.005091073	0.010933919	0.010983372	1.0045229	5.0E-5	0.04976007	0.1055254	0.10557907	1.0005085	6.0E-5
7.1	9.7121134E-5	2.0968197E-4	2.1967987E-4	1.0476813	1.0E-5	4.1616702E-4	8.9832774E-4	9.283008E-4	1.0333654	3.0E-5	0.005055068	0.010882451	0.010931907	1.0045445	5.0E-5	0.04941613	0.105059296	0.10511299	1.000511	6.0E-5
7.2	9.663819E-5	2.08981E-4	2.1897891E-4	1.0478412	1.0E-5	4.1409794E-4	8.953257E-4	9.252988E-4	1.0334773	3.0E-5	0.0050299936	0.010846266	0.0108957235	1.0045599	5.0E-5	0.049176537	0.10473146	0.10478518	1.0005128	6.0E-5
7.3	9.6277574E-5	2.084884E-4	2.1848631E-4	1.0479543	1.0E-5	4.125529E-4	8.9321594E-4	9.2318916E-4	1.0335565	3.0E-5	0.0050112694	0.010820835	0.010870294	1.0045707	5.0E-5	0.04899759	0.10449878	0.10455251	1.0005141	6.0E-5
7.4	9.593308E-5	2.078591E-4	2.1785703E-4	1.0480995	1.0E-5	4.1107697E-4	8.905208E-4	9.204941E-4	1.0336581	3.0E-5	0.0049933824	0.010788348	0.010837808	1.0045847	5.0E-5	0.04882661	0.10420838	0.10426213	1.0005158	6.0E-5
7.5	9.561707E-5	2.072952E-4	2.1729314E-4	1.0482304	1.0E-5	4.0972308E-4	8.881058E-4	9.180791E-4	1.0337498	3.0E-5	0.0049769743	0.010759235	0.010808697	1.0045972	5.0E-5	0.048669744	0.103946544	0.10400031	1.0005172	6.0E-5
7.6	9.418194E-5	2.036521E-4	2.1365007E-4	1.0490934	1.0E-5	4.0357444E-4	8.72503E-4	9.024768E-4	1.0343539	3.0E-5	0.004902454	0.01057113	0.010620601	1.0046799	5.0E-5	0.047957025	0.10227463	0.102328494	1.0005267	6.0E-5
7.7	8.202141E-5	1.7697424E-4	1.8697247E-4	1.0564954	1.0E-5	3.51473E-4	7.582406E-4	7.882179E-4	1.0395353	3.0E-5	0.00427079	0.009192582	0.009242123	1.0053892	5.0E-5	0.04189639	0.08968369	0.08973831	1.000609	6.0E-5
7.8	7.2859846E-5	1.6043574E-4	1.7043413E-4	1.0623202	1.0E-5	3.1221908E-4	6.874006E-4	7.1737997E-4	1.0436127	3.0E-5	0.003794643	0.008337044	0.008386628	1.0059474	5.0E-5	0.037304975	0.08157124	0.08162635	1.0006756	6.0E-5
7.9	5.3874453E-5	1.1124899E-4	1.2124788E-4	1.0898784	1.0E-5	2.3087008E-4	4.766943E-4	5.0668E-4	1.0629034	3.0E-5	0.0028072202	0.0057883244	0.005838035	1.0085881	5.0E-5	0.02772022	0.05743877	0.057495322	1.0009845	6.0E-5
8.0	3.468538E-5	6.06362E-5	7.063559E-5	1.1649079	1.0E-5	1.4864317E-4	2.5984357E-4	2.8983576E-4	1.115424	3.0E-5	0.0018082283	0.0031590085	0.0032088505	1.0157777	5.0E-5	0.017935853	0.032047633	0.03210571	1.0018122	6.0E-5
8.1	1.9152367E-5	2.2430102E-5	3.2429878E-5	1.4458195	1.0E-5	8.207899E-5	9.612547E-5	1.2612258E-4	1.3120621	3.0E-5	9.988535E-4	0.0011697002	0.0012196417	1.042696	5.0E-5	0.009943757	0.012424265	0.0124835195	1.0047692	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.1182444E-5	3.624579E-5	5.6245066E-5	1.5517682	2.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5533082E-4	1.8532616E-4	1.1931062	3.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018897007	0.0019396062	1.0264093	5.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01875527	0.018814145	1.0031391	6.0E-5
6.1	3.1182444E-5	3.624579E-5	5.6245066E-5	1.5517682	2.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5533082E-4	1.8532616E-4	1.1931062	3.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018897007	0.0019396062	1.0264093	5.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01875527	0.018814145	1.0031391	6.0E-5
6.2	3.1182444E-5	3.624579E-5	5.6245066E-5	1.5517682	2.0E-5	1.336322E-4	1.5533082E-4	1.8532616E-4	1.1931062	3.0E-5	0.0016257578	0.0018897007	0.0019396062	1.0264093	5.0E-5	0.016139153	0.01875527	0.018814145	1.0031391	6.0E-5
6.3	2.106934E-5	2.3967817E-5	4.396734E-5	1.8344322	2.0E-5	9.0294045E-5	1.02715356E-4	1.3271227E-4	1.2920393	3.0E-5	0.0010987755	0.0012498734	0.0012898234	1.0319632	4.0E-5	0.010933585	0.012431718	0.012471221	1.0031775	4.0E-5
6.4	2.106934E-5	2.3967817E-5	4.396734E-5	1.8344322	2.0E-5	9.0294045E-5	1.02715356E-4	1.3271227E-4	1.2920393	3.0E-5	0.0010987755	0.0012498734	0.0012898234	1.0319632	4.0E-5	0.010933585	0.012431718	0.012471221	1.0031775	4.0E-5
6.5	1.9389783E-5	2.1989868E-5	4.1989428E-5	1.9094898	2.0E-5	8.309642E-5	9.423905E-5	1.2423622E-4	1.3183094	3.0E-5	0.0010112294	0.0011467845	0.0011867386	1.0348401	4.0E-5	0.010066401	0.011411572	0.011451115	1.0034652	4.0E-5
6.6	1.9370193E-5	2.1969789E-5	4.196935E-5	1.910321	2.0E-5	8.301247E-5	9.4152994E-5	1.1415111E-4	1.2124002	2.0E-5	0.0010102082	0.001145738	0.0011757036	1.026154	3.0E-5	0.010056281	0.011401213	0.011430871	1.0026013	3.0E-5
6.7	1.6723505E-5	1.888589E-5	3.888551E-5	2.0589716	2.0E-5	7.16702E-5	8.0937134E-5	1.0093551E-4	1.2470853	2.0E-5	8.722353E-4	9.849838E-4	0.0010149543	1.0304273	3.0E-5	0.008688197	0.009808212	0.009837917	1.0030286	3.0E-5
6.8	1.426937E-5	1.6068885E-5	3.6068563E-5	2.2446215	2.0E-5	6.115301E-5	6.8864916E-5	8.886354E-5	1.2904036	2.0E-5	7.4428355E-4	8.3812245E-4	8.680973E-4	1.0357643	3.0E-5	0.007417957	0.008351109	0.008380858	1.0035623	3.0E-5
6.9	1.2469891E-5	1.4018397E-5	3.4018118E-5	2.4266765	2.0E-5	5.3441294E-5	6.007753E-5	8.007633E-5	1.3328831	2.0E-5	6.504535E-4	7.312107E-4	7.5119606E-4	1.027332	2.0E-5	0.006485529	0.0072892834	0.007309138	1.0027238	2.0E-5
7.0	8.7746275E-6	9.833397E-6	9.833397E-6	1.0	0.0	3.7605005E-5	4.2142492E-5	4.2142492E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5774475E-4	5.129714E-4	5.129714E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00456803	0.005118613	0.005118613	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.1067153E-6	6.8425893E-6	6.8425893E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6171374E-5	2.9325085E-5	2.9325085E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1858988E-4	3.5698005E-4	3.5698005E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031813353	0.0035646223	0.0035646223	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.939283E-6	3.287528E-6	3.287528E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2596866E-5	1.408934E-5	1.408934E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5335606E-4	1.7152597E-4	1.7152597E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015325027	0.0017141094	0.0017141094	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.2387763E-7	8.036491E-7	8.036491E-7	1.0	0.0	3.102329E-6	3.4442082E-6	3.4442082E-6	1.0	0.0	3.77702E-5	4.1932894E-5	4.1932894E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7763783E-4	4.192952E-4	4.192952E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.198916E-8	3.198916E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3337875E-7	1.370964E-7	1.370964E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1674632E-4	2.6192665E-4	2.7192404E-4	1.0381687	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011220616	0.001152028	1.0267065	3.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013576092	0.013625413	1.0036329	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.1284235	0.12847579	1.0004072	6.0E-5
6.1	1.1674632E-4	2.6192665E-4	2.7192404E-4	1.0381687	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011220616	0.001152028	1.0267065	3.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013576092	0.013625413	1.0036329	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.1284235	0.12847579	1.0004072	6.0E-5
6.2	1.1674632E-4	2.6192665E-4	2.7192404E-4	1.0381687	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011220616	0.001152028	1.0267065	3.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013576092	0.013625413	1.0036329	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.1284235	0.12847579	1.0004072	6.0E-5
6.3	1.1674632E-4	2.6192665E-4	2.7192404E-4	1.0381687	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011220616	0.001152028	1.0267065	3.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013576092	0.013625413	1.0036329	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.1284235	0.12847579	1.0004072	6.0E-5
6.4	1.1674632E-4	2.6192665E-4	2.7192404E-4	1.0381687	1.0E-5	5.002454E-4	0.0011220616	0.001152028	1.0267065	3.0E-5	0.006073493	0.013576092	0.013625413	1.0036329	5.0E-5	0.0591016	0.1284235	0.12847579	1.0004072	6.0E-5
6.5	1.13136164E-4	2.5500992E-4	2.6500737E-4	1.0392041	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010924436	0.0011224109	1.0274314	3.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.013219911	0.01326925	1.0037322	5.0E-5	0.057327334	0.12538035	0.12543283	1.0004185	6.0E-5
6.6	1.13136164E-4	2.5500992E-4	2.6500737E-4	1.0392041	1.0E-5	4.847792E-4	0.0010924436	0.0011224109	1.0274314	3.0E-5	0.0058862255	0.013219911	0.01326925	1.0037322	5.0E-5	0.057327334	0.12538035	0.12543283	1.0004185	6.0E-5
6.7	1.1149675E-4	2.5186938E-4	2.6186687E-4	1.0396931	1.0E-5	4.777557E-4	0.0010789953	0.0011089629	1.0277736	3.0E-5	0.0058011734	0.013058149	0.013107496	1.003779	5.0E-5	0.05652051	0.12399138	0.124043934	1.0004239	6.0E-5
6.8	1.1103589E-4	2.508593E-4	2.608568E-4	1.039853	1.0E-5	4.7578133E-4	0.00107467	0.0011046377	1.0278856	3.0E-5	0.005777263	0.013006118	0.013055468	1.0037943	5.0E-5	0.056293584	0.12354433	0.12359692	1.0004257	6.0E-5
6.9	1.1053259E-4	2.4974826E-4	2.5974578E-4	1.0400304	1.0E-5	4.7362508E-4	0.0010699123	0.0010998802	1.0280097	3.0E-5	0.0057511497	0.012948884	0.012998236	1.0038114	5.0E-5	0.05604569	0.12305109	0.12310371	1.0004276	6.0E-5
7.0	1.1005377E-4	2.487242E-4	2.587217E-4	1.0401952	1.0E-5	4.7157376E-4	0.001065527	0.0010954951	1.028125	3.0E-5	0.0057263062	0.012896126	0.012945482	1.0038271	5.0E-5	0.055809796	0.12259478	0.12264743	1.0004294	6.0E-5
7.1	1.0308142E-4	2.3333203E-4	2.4332969E-4	1.0428474	1.0E-5	4.417027E-4	9.996123E-4	0.0010295823	1.0299816	3.0E-5	0.0053644776	0.01210274	0.012152135	1.0040812	5.0E-5	0.052368138	0.11572233	0.115775384	1.0004585	6.0E-5
7.2	1.0027479E-4	2.2721881E-4	2.3721655E-4	1.0440004	1.0E-5	4.296783E-4	9.734326E-4	0.0010034034	1.0307888	3.0E-5	0.0052187922	0.011787493	0.011836904	1.0041918	5.0E-5	0.050979212	0.112975486	0.113028705	1.0004711	6.0E-5
7.3	9.816942E-5	2.2167654E-4	2.3167433E-4	1.0451008	1.0E-5	4.2065824E-4	9.496975E-4	9.79669E-4	1.031559	3.0E-5	0.005109493	0.011501606	0.01155103	1.0042973	5.0E-5	0.049935985	0.11045741	0.11051079	1.0004832	6.0E-5
7.4	9.5634205E-5	2.15069E-4	2.2506685E-4	1.0464867	1.0E-5	4.0979648E-4	9.213997E-4	9.51372E-4	1.0325291	3.0E-5	0.0049778637	0.011160651	0.011210093	1.00443	5.0E-5	0.048678253	0.10745289	0.10750644	1.0004984	6.0E-5
7.5	8.052417E-5	1.7660281E-4	1.8660104E-4	1.0566143	1.0E-5	3.4505792E-4	7.566498E-4	7.866271E-4	1.0396185	3.0E-5	0.0041929903	0.0091734035	0.009222945	1.0054005	5.0E-5	0.04114753	0.089644596	0.089699216	1.0006093	6.0E-5
7.6	7.897024E-5	1.729738E-4	1.8297207E-4	1.0578022	1.0E-5	3.384E-4	7.411059E-4	7.7108364E-4	1.0404501	3.0E-5	0.0041122385	0.008985733	0.009035283	1.0055144	5.0E-5	0.040369697	0.08792942	0.087984145	1.0006224	6.0E-5
7.7	6.707427E-5	1.4697367E-4	1.5697221E-4	1.0680294	1.0E-5	2.8742946E-4	6.297352E-4	6.597163E-4	1.0476091	3.0E-5	0.003493839	0.0076401182	0.0076897363	1.0064944	5.0E-5	0.034394164	0.07543933	0.0754948	1.0007353	6.0E-5
7.8	6.147705E-5	1.3507706E-4	1.4507571E-4	1.0740218	1.0E-5	2.6344648E-4	5.7877327E-4	6.087559E-4	1.0518038	3.0E-5	0.0032027436	0.0070238323	0.007073481	1.0070686	5.0E-5	0.031569764	0.069446735	0.06950257	1.000804	6.0E-5
7.9	4.7636717E-5	9.8466575E-5	1.0846559E-4	1.1015474	1.0E-5	2.0414138E-4	4.2193139E-4	4.5191872E-4	1.0710716	3.0E-5	0.0024825884	0.0051249256	0.0051746694	1.0097063	5.0E-5	0.024550365	0.051138733	0.051195662	1.0011133	6.0E-5
8.0	3.3554235E-5	5.8334856E-5	6.833427E-5	1.1714141	1.0E-5	1.4379594E-4	2.4998258E-4	2.799751E-4	1.1199783	3.0E-5	0.0017493097	0.0030392925	0.0030891406	1.0164012	5.0E-5	0.017356034	0.030897832	0.030955978	1.0018818	6.0E-5
8.1	1.9175432E-5	2.2209455E-5	3.2209235E-5	1.4502487	1.0E-5	8.217783E-5	9.5179916E-5	1.2517706E-4	1.3151625	3.0E-5	0.0010000558	0.0011582002	0.0012081424	1.0431204	5.0E-5	0.009955673	0.0123264985	0.0123857595	1.0048076	6.0E-5
8.2	8.643924E-6	6.6476487E-6	1.6647582E-5	2.5042813	1.0E-5	3.704486E-5	2.8489612E-5	5.8488757E-5	2.0529854	3.0E-5	4.5092785E-4	3.4680596E-4	3.9678862E-4	1.1441228	5.0E-5	0.0045001395	0.0038816165	0.0039413837	1.0153974	6.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.967457E-5	4.3301596E-5	5.3301163E-5	1.2309284	1.0E-5	1.7002279E-4	1.8556572E-4	2.1556015E-4	1.1616378	3.0E-5	0.002068062	0.002257037	0.0022969467	1.0176823	4.0E-5	0.02048922	0.022353597	0.022402478	1.0021868	5.0E-5
6.1	2.5044013E-5	2.7153867E-5	3.7153593E-5	1.3682617	1.0E-5	1.0732707E-4	1.163687E-4	1.3636638E-4	1.1718475	2.0E-5	0.0013059238	0.0014159002	0.0014458577	1.021158	3.0E-5	0.01298276	0.014072233	0.014111671	1.0028025	4.0E-5
6.2	2.5044013E-5	2.7153867E-5	3.7153593E-5	1.3682617	1.0E-5	1.0732707E-4	1.163687E-4	1.3636638E-4	1.1718475	2.0E-5	0.0013059238	0.0014159002	0.0014458577	1.021158	3.0E-5	0.01298276	0.014072233	0.014111671	1.0028025	4.0E-5
6.3	1.6624012E-5	1.794246E-5	1.794246E-5	1.0	0.0	7.124382E-5	7.6894044E-5	8.689328E-5	1.1300391	1.0E-5	8.670483E-4	9.357915E-4	9.457822E-4	1.0106761	1.0E-5	0.008636732	0.00931945	0.009339264	1.0021261	2.0E-5
6.4	1.6624012E-5	1.794246E-5	1.794246E-5	1.0	0.0	7.124382E-5	7.6894044E-5	8.689328E-5	1.1300391	1.0E-5	8.670483E-4	9.357915E-4	9.457822E-4	1.0106761	1.0E-5	0.008636732	0.00931945	0.009339264	1.0021261	2.0E-5
6.5	1.3394842E-5	1.4432495E-5	1.4432495E-5	1.0	0.0	5.7405203E-5	6.1852115E-5	7.185149E-5	1.1616659	1.0E-5	6.986842E-4	7.527949E-4	7.6278736E-4	1.0132738	1.0E-5	0.006964916	0.007503045	0.00751297	1.0013227	1.0E-5
6.6	1.1137514E-5	1.1987564E-5	1.1987564E-5	1.0	0.0	4.7731326E-5	5.1374285E-5	5.1374285E-5	1.0	0.0	5.809739E-4	6.2530645E-4	6.2530645E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005794574	0.0062358943	0.0062358943	1.0	0.0
6.7	7.0200663E-6	7.544627E-6	7.544627E-6	1.0	0.0	3.008565E-5	3.2333723E-5	3.2333723E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6623122E-4	3.9359357E-4	3.9359357E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036562826	0.0039291284	0.0039291284	1.0	0.0
6.8	5.940172E-6	6.382625E-6	6.382625E-6	1.0	0.0	2.545763E-5	2.7353828E-5	2.7353828E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0990256E-4	3.3298324E-4	3.3298324E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0030947074	0.0033249725	0.0033249725	1.0	0.0
6.9	4.129831E-6	4.4353824E-6	4.4353824E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7699154E-5	1.9008648E-5	1.9008648E-5	1.0	0.0	2.154659E-4	2.314065E-4	2.314065E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002152571	0.0023117342	0.0023117342	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6512955E-6	2.844891E-6	2.844891E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1362646E-5	1.2192336E-5	1.2192336E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3833142E-4	1.4843201E-4	1.4843201E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013824535	0.0014833715	0.0014833715	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.2992575E-6	1.3946227E-6	1.3946227E-6	1.0	0.0	5.568235E-6	5.976942E-6	5.976942E-6	1.0	0.0	6.779115E-5	7.2767056E-5	7.2767056E-5	1.0	0.0	6.7770475E-4	7.27454E-4	7.27454E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	4.968191E-7	5.3416227E-7	5.3416227E-7	1.0	0.0	2.1292228E-6	2.2892657E-6	2.2892657E-6	1.0	0.0	2.592298E-5	2.787158E-5	2.787158E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5919956E-4	2.7869327E-4	2.7869327E-4	1.0	0.0

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.3671493E-5	1.0456975E-5	4.045666E-5	3.8688686	3.0E-5	5.85908E-5	4.4814937E-5	7.481359E-5	1.6693897	3.0E-5	7.1310945E-4	5.4550264E-4	5.754863E-4	1.0549651	3.0E-5	0.0071082544	0.005443356	0.0054831384	1.0073084	4.0E-5
6.1	9.992795E-6	1.0456975E-5	4.045666E-5	3.8688686	3.0E-5	4.2825563E-5	4.4814937E-5	7.481359E-5	1.6693897	3.0E-5	5.2127644E-4	5.4550264E-4	5.754863E-4	1.0549651	3.0E-5	0.0052005537	0.005443356	0.0054831384	1.0073084	4.0E-5
6.2	9.992795E-6	1.0456975E-5	4.045666E-5	3.8688686	3.0E-5	4.2825563E-5	4.4814937E-5	7.481359E-5	1.6693897	3.0E-5	5.2127644E-4	5.4550264E-4	5.754863E-4	1.0549651	3.0E-5	0.0052005537	0.005443356	0.0054831384	1.0073084	4.0E-5
6.3	4.6127884E-6	4.8262896E-6	2.4826193E-5	5.1439505	2.0E-5	1.9768944E-5	2.0683958E-5	4.0683542E-5	1.966913	2.0E-5	2.406603E-4	2.5180232E-4	2.717973E-4	1.0794073	2.0E-5	0.0024039985	0.0025155875	0.002545512	1.0118957	3.0E-5
6.4	4.6127884E-6	4.8262896E-6	2.4826193E-5	5.1439505	2.0E-5	1.9768944E-5	2.0683958E-5	4.0683542E-5	1.966913	2.0E-5	2.406603E-4	2.5180232E-4	2.717973E-4	1.0794073	2.0E-5	0.0024039985	0.0025155875	0.002545512	1.0118957	3.0E-5
6.5	2.716712E-6	2.843007E-6	2.284295E-5	8.034785	2.0E-5	1.1643E-5	1.2184272E-5	3.2184027E-5	2.6414404	2.0E-5	1.417443E-4	1.4833573E-4	1.6833276E-4	1.1348093	2.0E-5	0.0014165393	0.0014825941	0.0015025644	1.0134698	2.0E-5
6.6	1.3818255E-6	1.4447612E-6	2.1444732E-5	14.843098	2.0E-5	5.922096E-6	6.191826E-6	2.6191701E-5	4.230045	2.0E-5	7.209913E-5	7.538404E-5	9.538254E-5	1.2652881	2.0E-5	7.2075747E-4	7.536995E-4	7.736844E-4	1.0265157	2.0E-5

South Klamath Lake East

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.3539369E-5	2.5107684E-5	4.5107183E-5	1.7965488	2.0E-5	1.0087911E-4	1.076004E-4	1.3759716E-4	1.2787794	3.0E-5	0.0012275111	0.0013093312	0.0013592658	1.0381374	5.0E-5	0.012207527	0.013024559	0.013073907	1.003789	5.0E-5
6.1	2.3539369E-5	2.5107684E-5	4.5107183E-5	1.7965488	2.0E-5	1.0087911E-4	1.076004E-4	1.3759716E-4	1.2787794	3.0E-5	0.0012275111	0.0013093312	0.0013592658	1.0381374	5.0E-5	0.012207527	0.013024559	0.013073907	1.003789	5.0E-5
6.2	2.3539369E-5	2.5107684E-5	4.5107183E-5	1.7965488	2.0E-5	1.0087911E-4	1.076004E-4	1.3759716E-4	1.2787794	3.0E-5	0.0012275111	0.0013093312	0.0013592658	1.0381374	5.0E-5	0.012207527	0.013024559	0.013073907	1.003789	5.0E-5
6.3	9.807823E-6	1.0419492E-5	2.0419388E-5	1.9597297	1.0E-5	4.2032847E-5	4.465425E-5	5.4653803E-5	1.2239329	1.0E-5	5.1162974E-4	5.435383E-4	5.635274E-4	1.036776	2.0E-5	0.005104534	0.0054229293	0.005442821	1.0036681	2.0E-5
6.4	9.807823E-6	1.0419492E-5	2.0419388E-5	1.9597297	1.0E-5	4.2032847E-5	4.465425E-5	5.4653803E-5	1.2239329	1.0E-5	5.1162974E-4	5.435383E-4	5.635274E-4	1.036776	2.0E-5	0.005104534	0.0054229293	0.005442821	1.0036681	2.0E-5
6.5	6.191981E-6	6.565114E-6	1.6565049E-5	2.523193	1.0E-5	2.653679E-5	2.8135915E-5	3.8135633E-5	1.3554076	1.0E-5	3.2303753E-4	3.425037E-4	3.6249688E-4	1.0583736	2.0E-5	0.0032256835	0.003420038	0.0034399696	1.0058279	2.0E-5
6.6	4.3693776E-6	4.626375E-6	1.4626328E-5	3.1615098	1.0E-5	1.8725768E-5	1.9827175E-5	2.9826977E-5	1.5043483	1.0E-5	2.2796239E-4	2.4137026E-4	2.6136544E-4	1.0828402	2.0E-5	0.0022772867	0.0024111941	0.0024311459	1.0082747	2.0E-5
6.7	3.360834E-6	3.5588032E-6	1.3558768E-5	3.8099234	1.0E-5	1.4403494E-5	1.5251929E-5	2.5251777E-5	1.6556448	1.0E-5	1.7534842E-4	1.8567721E-4	2.0567351E-4	1.1076938	2.0E-5	0.0017521014	0.0018553011	0.001875264	1.01076	2.0E-5
6.8	2.57873E-6	2.7309882E-6	1.273096E-5	4.6616683	1.0E-5	1.1051653E-5	1.1704185E-5	2.1704069E-5	1.8543851	1.0E-5	1.3454557E-4	1.4248976E-4	1.6248692E-4	1.1403409	2.0E-5	0.0013446413	0.001424045	0.0014440165	1.0140245	2.0E-5
6.9	9.987825E-7	1.0589214E-6	1.0589214E-6	1.0	0.0	4.2804895E-6	4.5382285E-6	4.5382285E-6	1.0	0.0	5.211371E-5	5.5251858E-5	5.5251858E-5	1.0	0.0	5.210149E-4	5.524135E-4	5.524135E-4	1.0	0.0

Likely 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.5315949E-5	2.7072876E-5	3.7072605E-5	1.3693634	1.0E-5	1.0849241E-4	1.1602171E-4	1.2602055E-4	1.0861808	1.0E-5	0.0013200947	0.0014116932	0.0014316649	1.0141474	2.0E-5	0.013122803	0.014031882	0.014071321	1.0028106	4.0E-5
6.1	2.5315949E-5	2.7072876E-5	3.7072605E-5	1.3693634	1.0E-5	1.0849241E-4	1.1602171E-4	1.2602055E-4	1.0861808	1.0E-5	0.0013200947	0.0014116932	0.0014316649	1.0141474	2.0E-5	0.013122803	0.014031882	0.014071321	1.0028106	4.0E-5
6.2	1.6375941E-5	1.7460006E-5	2.7459831E-5	1.5727274	1.0E-5	7.0180715E-5	7.482652E-5	8.482577E-5	1.1336324	1.0E-5	8.5411523E-4	9.1064436E-4	9.2063524E-4	1.0109712	1.0E-5	0.008508399	0.00907041	0.009090229	1.002185	2.0E-5
6.3	1.1945543E-5	1.2713165E-5	2.2713039E-5	1.7865762	1.0E-5	5.119418E-5	5.4483888E-5	6.448334E-5	1.1835304	1.0E-5	6.2311086E-4	6.6314475E-4	6.731381E-4	1.0150697	1.0E-5	0.0062136655	0.0066122133	0.0066320812	1.0030047	2.0E-5
6.4	9.192729E-6	9.7710445E-6	1.9770947E-5	2.023422	1.0E-5	3.939681E-5	4.1875246E-5	5.1874827E-5	1.2387946	1.0E-5	4.7955062E-4	5.097146E-4	5.197095E-4	1.0196089	1.0E-5	0.004785171	0.005085736	0.0051056347	1.0039126	2.0E-5
6.5	7.67906E-6	8.155723E-6	1.815564E-5	2.2261229	1.0E-5	3.2909844E-5	3.4952638E-5	4.495229E-5	1.2860914	1.0E-5	4.006037E-4	4.2546718E-4	4.3546292E-4	1.0234935	1.0E-5	0.0039988225	0.004246719	0.004266634	1.0046896	2.0E-5
6.6	6.4884057E-6	6.8878385E-6	1.688777E-5	2.4518242	1.0E-5	2.7807157E-5	2.9518982E-5	3.9518687E-5	1.338755	1.0E-5	3.3849955E-4	3.5933577E-4	3.6933218E-4	1.0278192	1.0E-5	0.003379844	0.0035876923	0.0036076205	1.0055546	2.0E-5
6.7	4.6060636E-6	4.8866254E-6	4.8866254E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9740122E-5	2.0942516E-5	2.0942516E-5	1.0	0.0	2.403095E-4	2.5494612E-4	2.5494612E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002400498	0.0025466196	0.002556594	1.0039167	1.0E-5
6.8	3.2795615E-6	3.4792931E-6	3.4792931E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4055187E-5	1.4911175E-5	1.4911175E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7110848E-4	1.8152899E-4	1.8152899E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017097679	0.0018138624	0.0018238442	1.005503	1.0E-5
6.9	2.3289967E-6	2.471857E-6	2.471857E-6	1.0	0.0	9.981376E-6	1.0593632E-5	1.0593632E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2151648E-4	1.2897028E-4	1.2897028E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012145005	0.0012889972	0.0012989844	1.007748	1.0E-5
7.0	1.211292E-6	1.2869215E-6	1.2869215E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1912407E-6	5.515368E-6	5.515368E-6	1.0	0.0	6.320152E-5	6.7147834E-5	6.7147834E-5	1.0	0.0	6.3183554E-4	6.7130534E-4	6.812986E-4	1.0148864	1.0E-5

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.7907707E-5	2.7809274E-5	2.7809274E-5	1.0	1.19598975E-4	1.19177865E-4	1.2917667E-4	1.0838982	1.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014501493	0.0014701204	1.0137717	2.0E-5	0.014456532	0.014436812	0.014476235	1.0027307	4.0E-5
6.1	2.7907707E-5	2.7809274E-5	2.7809274E-5	1.0	1.19598975E-4	1.19177865E-4	1.2917667E-4	1.0838982	1.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014501493	0.0014701204	1.0137717	2.0E-5	0.014456532	0.014436812	0.014476235	1.0027307	4.0E-5
6.2	2.7907707E-5	2.7809274E-5	2.7809274E-5	1.0	1.19598975E-4	1.19177865E-4	1.2917667E-4	1.0838982	1.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014501493	0.0014701204	1.0137717	2.0E-5	0.014456532	0.014436812	0.014476235	1.0027307	4.0E-5
6.3	2.7907707E-5	2.7809274E-5	2.7809274E-5	1.0	1.19598975E-4	1.19177865E-4	1.2917667E-4	1.0838982	1.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014501493	0.0014701204	1.0137717	2.0E-5	0.014456532	0.014436812	0.014476235	1.0027307	4.0E-5
6.4	2.7907707E-5	2.7809274E-5	2.7809274E-5	1.0	1.19598975E-4	1.19177865E-4	1.2917667E-4	1.0838982	1.0E-5	0.0014551448	0.0014501493	0.0014701204	1.0137717	2.0E-5	0.014456532	0.014436812	0.014476235	1.0027307	4.0E-5
6.5	1.7990213E-5	1.6822229E-5	1.6822229E-5	1.0	7.709863E-5	7.209365E-5	8.209293E-5	1.1386985	1.0E-5	9.382716E-4	8.774536E-4	8.9743605E-4	1.0227733	2.0E-5	0.0093431985	0.00876408	0.008803729	1.0045241	4.0E-5
6.6	9.650407E-6	7.604539E-6	7.604539E-6	1.0	4.135823E-5	3.259052E-5	3.259052E-5	1.0	0.0	5.0342013E-4	3.967252E-4	4.0672123E-4	1.0251963	1.0E-5	0.005022812	0.0039786245	0.0039885845	1.0025034	1.0E-5
6.7	9.62828E-6	7.58223E-6	7.58223E-6	1.0	4.1263404E-5	3.249491E-5	3.249491E-5	1.0	0.0	5.022661E-4	3.955616E-4	4.0555766E-4	1.0252705	1.0E-5	0.0050113243	0.00396703	0.0039769905	1.0025108	1.0E-5
6.8	6.887523E-6	4.5988527E-6	4.5988527E-6	1.0	2.9517621E-5	1.9709232E-5	1.9709232E-5	1.0	0.0	3.5931775E-4	2.3993572E-4	2.4993333E-4	1.0416678	1.0E-5	0.0035873733	0.002414692	0.0024246678	1.0041313	1.0E-5
6.9	6.2722347E-6	3.9384568E-6	3.9384568E-6	1.0	2.6880729E-5	1.6879003E-5	1.6879003E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2722374E-4	2.0548452E-4	2.1548248E-4	1.0486555	1.0E-5	0.003267423	0.0020708567	0.002080836	1.0048189	1.0E-5
7.0	5.5320347E-6	3.1621253E-6	3.1621253E-6	1.0	2.3708504E-5	1.3551906E-5	1.3551906E-5	1.0	0.0	2.8861282E-4	1.6498381E-4	1.6498381E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028823826	0.0016665097	0.0016665097	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.8794055E-6	1.4077131E-6	1.4077131E-6	1.0	1.6625918E-5	6.0330417E-6	6.0330417E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0240174E-4	7.3449824E-5	7.3449824E-5	1.0	0.0	0.002022175	7.519813E-4	7.519813E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.4813652E-6	1.0846202E-6	1.0846202E-6	1.0	1.49200505E-5	4.6483638E-6	4.6483638E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8163648E-4	5.659237E-5	5.659237E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0018148809	5.834926E-4	5.834926E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.1682148E-6	8.85526E-7	8.85526E-7	1.0	1.3577992E-5	3.795106E-6	3.795106E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6529951E-4	4.6204437E-5	4.6204437E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0016517661	4.7962848E-4	4.7962848E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.9707667E-6	8.4410465E-7	8.4410465E-7	1.0	1.2731795E-5	3.6175863E-6	3.6175863E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5499859E-4	4.4043227E-5	4.4043227E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0015489052	4.577764E-4	4.577764E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.3462758E-6	6.9153054E-7	6.9153054E-7	1.0	1.0055429E-5	2.963699E-6	2.963699E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2241797E-4	3.6082438E-5	3.6082438E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0012235056	3.762435E-4	3.762435E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.112783E-6	6.087014E-7	6.087014E-7	1.0	9.054753E-6	2.6087178E-6	2.6087178E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1023604E-4	3.1760675E-5	3.1760675E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0011018137	3.3254738E-4	3.3254738E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7022471E-6	4.925454E-7	4.925454E-7	1.0	7.2953244E-6	2.110907E-6	2.110907E-6	1.0	0.0	8.881695E-5	2.5699992E-5	2.5699992E-5	1.0	0.0	8.878146E-4	2.7040814E-4	2.7040814E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.230914E-7	4.3300065E-7	4.3300065E-7	1.0	3.0989595E-6	1.8557157E-6	1.8557157E-6	1.0	0.0	3.772918E-5	2.2593107E-5	2.2593107E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7722773E-4	2.3868482E-4	2.3868482E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.3588446E-7	3.9566746E-7	3.9566746E-7	1.0	1.868075E-6	1.6957166E-6	1.6957166E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2743576E-5	2.0645157E-5	2.0645157E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2741247E-4	2.1718378E-4	2.1718378E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.3317523E-7	3.614067E-7	3.614067E-7	1.0	9.99322E-7	1.548885E-6	1.548885E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2166677E-5	1.8857514E-5	1.8857514E-5	1.0	0.0	1.21660116E-4	1.9770364E-4	1.9770364E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.4662456E-7	2.3068839E-7	2.3068839E-7	1.0	6.283908E-7	9.886642E-7	9.886642E-7	1.0	0.0	7.650631E-6	1.2036921E-5	1.2036921E-5	1.0	0.0	7.650368E-5	1.2544794E-4	1.2544794E-4	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.4931775E-9	5.8583494E-9	5.8583494E-9	1.0	2.3542189E-8	2.510721E-8	2.510721E-8	1.0	0.0	2.8662612E-7	3.0568026E-7	3.0568026E-7	1.0	0.0	2.8662573E-6	3.1657046E-6	3.1657046E-6	1.0	0.0

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.0396248E-5	4.503784E-5	5.5037388E-5	1.2220255	1.0E-5	1.7311527E-4	1.9300623E-4	2.030043E-4	1.0518018	1.0E-5	0.002105641	0.0023475303	0.0023674835	1.0084996	2.0E-5	0.020858008	0.023249269	0.023278572	1.0012604	3.0E-5
6.1	4.0396248E-5	4.503784E-5	5.5037388E-5	1.2220255	1.0E-5	1.7311527E-4	1.9300623E-4	2.030043E-4	1.0518018	1.0E-5	0.002105641	0.0023475303	0.0023674835	1.0084996	2.0E-5	0.020858008	0.023249269	0.023278572	1.0012604	3.0E-5
6.2	2.2295266E-5	2.4487388E-5	3.4487144E-5	1.4083635	1.0E-5	9.554764E-5	1.049419E-4	1.14940856E-4	1.0952808	1.0E-5	0.0011626717	0.0012769499	0.001286937	1.0078212	1.0E-5	0.011566074	0.012699386	0.012719132	1.0015548	2.0E-5
6.3	1.572643E-5	1.715205E-5	2.7151878E-5	1.5830107	1.0E-5	6.7397246E-5	7.350677E-5	8.3506035E-5	1.1360319	1.0E-5	8.202525E-4	8.9458807E-4	9.045791E-4	1.0111684	1.0E-5	0.008172315	0.008910984	0.008930806	1.0022244	2.0E-5
6.4	1.5714395E-5	1.7139871E-5	2.71397E-5	1.5834249	1.0E-5	6.734567E-5	7.345458E-5	8.345385E-5	1.1361285	1.0E-5	8.1962504E-4	8.939532E-4	9.039443E-4	1.0111762	1.0E-5	0.008166086	0.008904686	0.0089245085	1.002226	2.0E-5
6.5	1.2733495E-5	1.38442965E-5	2.3844157E-5	1.7223091	1.0E-5	5.457098E-5	5.9331385E-5	6.9330796E-5	1.1685349	1.0E-5	6.641992E-4	7.221269E-4	7.321197E-4	1.0138379	1.0E-5	0.0066221743	0.007198503	0.007218359	1.0027584	2.0E-5
6.6	1.0983784E-5	1.192245E-5	2.1922331E-5	1.8387438	1.0E-5	4.7072506E-5	5.109524E-5	6.109473E-5	1.1957029	1.0E-5	5.7295704E-4	6.2191236E-4	6.3190615E-4	1.0160694	1.0E-5	0.0057148207	0.0062022726	0.0062221484	1.0032046	2.0E-5
6.7	9.104806E-6	9.868525E-6	1.9868427E-5	2.0133126	1.0E-5	3.902001E-5	4.2293013E-5	5.229259E-5	1.2364357	1.0E-5	4.7496508E-4	5.147997E-4	5.2479457E-4	1.019415	1.0E-5	0.004739512	0.0051364717	0.005156369	1.0038737	2.0E-5
6.8	6.2162403E-6	6.723144E-6	6.723144E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6640759E-5	2.8813169E-5	2.8813169E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2430296E-4	3.507461E-4	3.507461E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003238301	0.0035021498	0.003512115	1.0028454	1.0E-5
6.9	4.1792696E-6	4.5156526E-6	4.5156526E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7911032E-5	1.9352663E-5	1.9352663E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1804498E-4	2.3559475E-4	2.3559475E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021783116	0.0023536042	0.0023635805	1.0042388	1.0E-5
7.0	2.7478413E-6	2.970396E-6	2.970396E-6	1.0	0.0	1.177641E-5	1.2730214E-5	1.2730214E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4336836E-4	1.5498057E-4	1.5498057E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001432759	0.0015488482	0.0015488482	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.128648E-7	8.745587E-7	8.745587E-7	1.0	0.0	3.4837017E-6	3.7481068E-6	3.7481068E-6	1.0	0.0	4.2413245E-5	4.563285E-5	4.563285E-5	1.0	0.0	4.2405148E-4	4.56294E-4	4.56294E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	4.8641045E-8	4.932046E-8	4.932046E-8	1.0	0.0	2.084616E-7	2.1137338E-7	2.1137338E-7	1.0	0.0	2.538017E-6	2.573468E-6	2.573468E-6	1.0	0.0	2.537988E-5	2.5734393E-5	2.5734393E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	5.3911844E-9	5.463443E-9	5.463443E-9	1.0	0.0	2.3105075E-8	2.3414756E-8	2.3414756E-8	1.0	0.0	2.8130427E-7	2.8507463E-7	2.8507463E-7	1.0	0.0	2.8130391E-6	2.850744E-6	2.850744E-6	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4873758E-4	2.428164E-4	2.428164E-4	1.0	6.3729106E-4	0.0010402194	0.0010402194	1.0	0.0077314493	0.01258561	0.012605359	1.0015692	2.0E-5	0.074679315	0.118231826	0.1182671	1.0002983	4.0E-5
6.1	1.4409686E-4	2.42757E-4	2.42757E-4	1.0	6.174118E-4	0.0010399651	0.0010399651	1.0	0.0074911113	0.012582549	0.012602298	1.0015695	2.0E-5	0.07243565	0.118204065	0.118239336	1.0002984	4.0E-5
6.2	1.4297929E-4	2.4207668E-4	2.4207668E-4	1.0	6.1262446E-4	0.0010370519	0.0010370519	1.0	0.007433224	0.012547519	0.012567268	1.0015739	2.0E-5	0.07189451	0.11787461	0.11790989	1.0002993	4.0E-5
6.3	1.3536085E-4	2.34916E-4	2.34916E-4	1.0	5.79989E-4	0.001006393	0.001006393	1.0	0.0070385267	0.012179055	0.012198811	1.0016222	2.0E-5	0.068197265	0.11452847	0.11456389	1.0003092	4.0E-5
6.4	1.2993296E-4	2.288972E-4	2.288972E-4	1.0	5.5673666E-4	9.80618E-4	9.80618E-4	1.0	0.006757223	0.011868761	0.011888524	1.0016651	2.0E-5	0.06555412	0.11168867	0.111724205	1.0003182	4.0E-5
6.5	1.0498927E-4	1.8308751E-4	1.8308751E-4	1.0	4.498764E-4	7.8442437E-4	7.8442437E-4	1.0	0.005463498	0.00950853	0.009528339	1.0020834	2.0E-5	0.053311124	0.09065412	0.09069049	1.0004013	4.0E-5
6.6	1.0157505E-4	1.7819543E-4	1.7819543E-4	1.0	4.35249E-4	7.634707E-4	7.634707E-4	1.0	0.0052862884	0.009255635	0.009275449	1.0021409	2.0E-5	0.05162293	0.08834097	0.08837743	1.0004128	4.0E-5
6.7	9.660386E-5	1.7075789E-4	1.7075789E-4	1.0	4.1395082E-4	7.3161395E-4	7.3161395E-4	1.0	0.0050282106	0.008871034	0.008890856	1.0022346	2.0E-5	0.049159497	0.08482519	0.0848618	1.0004315	4.0E-5
6.8	9.089927E-5	1.5977214E-4	1.5977214E-4	1.0	3.8951015E-4	6.8455754E-4	6.8455754E-4	1.0	0.0047319788	0.008302654	0.008322488	1.0023888	2.0E-5	0.046324775	0.07967229	0.079709105	1.000462	4.0E-5
6.9	7.353187E-5	1.2580067E-4	1.2580067E-4	1.0	3.150985E-4	5.390349E-4	5.390349E-4	1.0	0.0038295772	0.0065431288	0.006562998	1.0030366	2.0E-5	0.037642512	0.06350787	0.06354533	1.0005898	4.0E-5
7.0	5.746064E-5	9.638058E-5	9.638058E-5	1.0	2.4623662E-4	4.129946E-4	4.129946E-4	1.0	0.0029938098	0.005016691	0.0050365906	1.0039667	2.0E-5	0.02953797	0.049162522	0.049200557	1.0007737	4.0E-5
7.1	4.9557195E-5	8.282095E-5	8.282095E-5	1.0	2.123707E-4	3.54899E-4	3.54899E-4	1.0	0.0025825473	0.0043124002	0.004322357	1.0023088	1.0E-5	0.0255274	0.04246307	0.042482223	1.000451	2.0E-5
7.2	3.687595E-5	6.169639E-5	6.169639E-5	1.0	1.5803022E-4	2.6438647E-4	2.6438647E-4	1.0	0.0019223199	0.0032141851	0.003224153	1.0031012	1.0E-5	0.01905776	0.03192177	0.03194113	1.0006065	2.0E-5
7.3	2.5846984E-5	4.418671E-5	4.418671E-5	1.0	1.1076809E-4	1.8935798E-4	1.8935798E-4	1.0	0.0013477671	0.0023030145	0.0023129915	1.0043322	1.0E-5	0.013396223	0.023002943	0.023022484	1.0008495	2.0E-5
7.4	1.7747854E-5	3.12674E-5	3.12674E-5	1.0	7.6060016E-5	1.3399628E-4	1.3399628E-4	1.0	9.2563726E-4	0.0016301869	0.0016301869	1.0	0.0	0.009217911	0.016353814	0.016363649	1.0006015	1.0E-5
7.5	1.4883479E-5	2.7497765E-5	2.7497765E-5	1.0	6.378478E-5	1.1784225E-4	1.1784225E-4	1.0	7.76303E-4	0.0014337882	0.0014337882	1.0	0.0	0.0077359667	0.014410318	0.014410318	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.166975E-6	1.5843052E-5	1.5843052E-5	1.0	3.5000852E-5	6.789703E-5	6.789703E-5	1.0	4.2605202E-4	8.263343E-4	8.263343E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004252361	0.008366328	0.008366328	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.3858064E-6	6.8373197E-6	6.8373197E-6	1.0	1.4510518E-5	2.9302471E-5	2.9302471E-5	1.0	1.7665124E-4	3.5669925E-4	3.5669925E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017651088	0.0036714112	0.0036714112	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.7721615E-6	5.875138E-6	5.875138E-6	1.0	1.1880637E-5	2.517892E-5	2.517892E-5	1.0	1.4463716E-4	3.0651028E-4	3.0651028E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014454306	0.0031535488	0.0031535488	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.9736292E-6	4.5277247E-6	4.5277247E-6	1.0	8.4583835E-6	1.940439E-5	1.940439E-5	1.0	1.0297595E-4	2.3622288E-4	2.3622288E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010292825	0.0024160647	0.0024160647	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1767289E-6	2.8029021E-6	2.8029021E-6	1.0	5.0431145E-6	1.2012382E-5	1.2012382E-5	1.0	6.139818E-5	1.4624097E-4	1.4624097E-4	1.0	0.0	6.1381224E-4	0.0014862915	0.0014862915	1.0	0.0
8.1	7.5112825E-7	1.6922933E-6	1.6922933E-6	1.0	3.2191172E-6	7.252665E-6	7.252665E-6	1.0	3.9192048E-5	8.8297646E-5	8.8297646E-5	1.0	0.0	3.9185135E-4	8.973751E-4	8.973751E-4	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.358289E-4	2.5566865E-4	2.5566865E-4	1.0	5.8199395E-4	0.0010951293	0.0011051184	1.0091213	1.0E-5	0.0070627797	0.013228367	0.01325797	1.0022378	3.0E-5	0.06842483	0.1226106	0.1226457	1.0002862	4.0E-5
6.1	1.2634568E-4	2.3947013E-4	2.3947013E-4	1.0	5.4136914E-4	0.0010257774	0.0010357671	1.0097387	1.0E-5	0.0065712677	0.012395982	0.01242561	1.0023901	3.0E-5	0.06380317	0.115357235	0.11539262	1.0003067	4.0E-5
6.2	1.1466059E-4	2.1746248E-4	2.1746248E-4	1.0	4.9130997E-4	9.315419E-4	9.415326E-4	1.0107249	1.0E-5	0.005965305	0.011265143	0.011294805	1.0026331	3.0E-5	0.05807694	0.1055253	0.10556108	1.000339	4.0E-5
6.3	8.691518E-5	1.6107288E-4	1.6107288E-4	1.0	3.7244044E-4	6.9009006E-4	6.9009006E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004525038	0.008363633	0.008383467	1.0023713	2.0E-5	0.044339992	0.07995869	0.0799863	1.0003452	3.0E-5
6.4	8.50982E-5	1.5833296E-4	1.5833296E-4	1.0	3.646556E-4	6.7835365E-4	6.7835365E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0044306475	0.008221827	0.008241663	1.0024126	2.0E-5	0.04343345	0.07864843	0.078676075	1.0003514	3.0E-5
6.5	8.4062965E-5	1.5672547E-4	1.5672547E-4	1.0	3.602201E-4	6.7146873E-4	6.7146873E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004376863	0.0081387255	0.008158563	1.0024374	2.0E-5	0.042916555	0.07788524	0.077912904	1.0003551	3.0E-5
6.6	8.194716E-5	1.532713E-4	1.532713E-4	1.0	3.5115483E-4	6.566754E-4	6.566754E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0042669317	0.0079602925	0.007980133	1.0024924	2.0E-5	0.04185927	0.076255836	0.07628355	1.0003635	3.0E-5
6.7	8.012326E-5	1.4998848E-4	1.4998848E-4	1.0	3.433402E-4	6.426151E-4	6.426151E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004172157	0.0077907583	0.0078106024	1.0025471	2.0E-5	0.040946912	0.0747151	0.07474285	1.0003716	3.0E-5
6.8	7.119773E-5	1.3081204E-4	1.3081204E-4	1.0	3.0509746E-4	5.6048884E-4	5.6048884E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037082357	0.0067998366	0.006819701	1.0029212	2.0E-5	0.036469642	0.065652154	0.06568018	1.000427	3.0E-5
6.9	5.7343088E-5	1.0155417E-4	1.0155417E-4	1.0	2.4573295E-4	4.3516E-4	4.3516E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029876942	0.0052852836	0.0053051775	1.003764	2.0E-5	0.02947844	0.051626723	0.051655177	1.0005511	3.0E-5
7.0	4.8746577E-5	8.518439E-5	8.518439E-5	1.0	2.0889717E-4	3.6502522E-4	3.6502522E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0025403565	0.004435195	0.004455107	1.0044894	2.0E-5	0.025115121	0.04359128	0.04361997	1.0006582	3.0E-5
7.1	4.2998014E-5	7.4876065E-5	7.4876065E-5	1.0	1.8426418E-4	3.2085832E-4	3.2085832E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002241108	0.0038995156	0.0039094766	1.0025544	1.0E-5	0.022186412	0.03848135	0.038490966	1.0002499	1.0E-5
7.2	3.221292E-5	5.6021134E-5	5.6021134E-5	1.0	1.3804805E-4	2.4006865E-4	2.4006865E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016794393	0.0029189484	0.0029289192	1.003416	1.0E-5	0.016668037	0.029046899	0.029056609	1.0003343	1.0E-5
7.3	2.3756531E-5	4.1171155E-5	4.1171155E-5	1.0	1.0180973E-4	1.7643598E-4	1.7643598E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012388286	0.00214601	0.0021559885	1.0046498	1.0E-5	0.012319452	0.021462256	0.02147204	1.000456	1.0E-5
7.4	1.5997684E-5	2.866476E-5	2.866476E-5	1.0	6.8559704E-5	1.228432E-4	1.228432E-4	1.0	0.0	8.343947E-4	0.0014945925	0.0014945925	1.0	0.0	0.008312687	0.015015889	0.015015889	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.3814293E-5	2.6054702E-5	2.6054702E-5	1.0	5.9202768E-5	1.1165824E-4	1.1165824E-4	1.0	0.0	7.205553E-4	0.0013585939	0.0013585939	1.0	0.0	0.007182234	0.013669986	0.013669986	1.0	0.0
7.6	8.817309E-6	1.743802E-5	1.743802E-5	1.0	3.7787922E-5	7.473224E-5	7.473224E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5997082E-4	9.0948667E-4	9.0948667E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004590199	0.009207329	0.009207329	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.0352206E-6	8.418573E-6	8.418573E-6	1.0	1.7293689E-5	3.60791E-5	3.60791E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1053031E-4	4.391746E-4	4.391746E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021033096	0.0045094197	0.0045094197	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.413169E-6	7.4207996E-6	7.4207996E-6	1.0	1.4627784E-5	3.180304E-5	3.180304E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7807873E-4	3.871333E-4	3.871333E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017793609	0.00397224	0.00397224	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.4740732E-6	5.782265E-6	5.782265E-6	1.0	1.06031275E-5	2.47809E-5	2.47809E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2908543E-4	3.0166577E-4	3.0166577E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012901047	0.0030770337	0.0030770337	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.5231818E-6	3.606448E-6	3.606448E-6	1.0	6.527906E-6	1.5456115E-5	1.5456115E-5	1.0	0.0	7.9474354E-5	1.88162E-4	1.88162E-4	1.0	0.0	7.944594E-4	0.0019104655	0.0019104655	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.0104524E-6	2.2473023E-6	2.2473023E-6	1.0	4.330503E-6	9.631261E-6	9.631261E-6	1.0	0.0	5.2722597E-5	1.1725433E-4	1.1725433E-4	1.0	0.0	5.271009E-4	0.0011917155	0.0011917155	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4273766E-4	3.3374256E-4	3.4373923E-4	1.0299532	1.0E-5	6.115894E-4	0.0014295473	0.0014595045	1.0209557	3.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.017267456	0.017296938	1.0017073	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15740325	0.15743695	1.0002141	4.0E-5
6.1	1.4273766E-4	3.3374256E-4	3.4373923E-4	1.0299532	1.0E-5	6.115894E-4	0.0014295473	0.0014595045	1.0209557	3.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.017267456	0.017296938	1.0017073	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15740325	0.15743695	1.0002141	4.0E-5
6.2	1.4273766E-4	3.3374256E-4	3.4373923E-4	1.0299532	1.0E-5	6.115894E-4	0.0014295473	0.0014595045	1.0209557	3.0E-5	0.0074207084	0.017267456	0.017296938	1.0017073	3.0E-5	0.07177748	0.15740325	0.15743695	1.0002141	4.0E-5
6.3	1.3730655E-4	3.226888E-4	3.3268557E-4	1.0309796	1.0E-5	5.883239E-4	0.0013822248	0.0014121834	1.0216742	3.0E-5	0.0071393442	0.016700244	0.016729742	1.0017663	3.0E-5	0.06914291	0.1527149	0.1527488	1.000222	4.0E-5
6.4	1.3730655E-4	3.226888E-4	3.3268557E-4	1.0309796	1.0E-5	5.883239E-4	0.0013822248	0.0014121834	1.0216742	3.0E-5	0.0071393442	0.016700244	0.016729742	1.0017663	3.0E-5	0.06914291	0.1527149	0.1527488	1.000222	4.0E-5
6.5	1.2942807E-4	3.0668394E-4	3.1668087E-4	1.0325968	1.0E-5	5.545738E-4	0.001313703	0.0013436635	1.0228062	3.0E-5	0.0067310524	0.015878381	0.015907904	1.0018593	3.0E-5	0.06530788	0.14583911	0.14587328	1.0002342	4.0E-5
6.6	1.1125901E-4	2.7067788E-4	2.8067516E-4	1.0369343	1.0E-5	4.767372E-4	0.0011595347	0.0011894999	1.0258424	3.0E-5	0.005788839	0.014026653	0.014056233	1.0021088	3.0E-5	0.056403454	0.13007697	0.13011177	1.0002675	4.0E-5
6.7	1.02209575E-4	2.518792E-4	2.6187667E-4	1.0396916	1.0E-5	4.3796748E-4	0.0010790371	0.0011090047	1.0277725	3.0E-5	0.0053192247	0.013058621	0.01308823	1.0022674	3.0E-5	0.051936906	0.12190616	0.12194129	1.0002881	4.0E-5
6.8	9.610582E-5	2.3686468E-4	2.4686233E-4	1.0422082	1.0E-5	4.1181705E-4	0.0010147402	0.0010447097	1.0295342	3.0E-5	0.0050023515	0.012284788	0.012314419	1.0024121	3.0E-5	0.048912346	0.11526091	0.1152963	1.0003071	4.0E-5
6.9	9.3877505E-5	2.3133786E-4	2.4133555E-4	1.0432168	1.0E-5	4.0227012E-4	9.910719E-4	0.0010210422	1.0302403	3.0E-5	0.0048866454	0.0119998325	0.012029472	1.00247	3.0E-5	0.04780577	0.11284088	0.11287637	1.0003145	4.0E-5
7.0	9.1019785E-5	2.2448339E-4	2.3448114E-4	1.0445367	1.0E-5	3.900265E-4	9.6171757E-4	9.916887E-4	1.0311642	3.0E-5	0.0047382377	0.0116463145	0.011675965	1.002546	3.0E-5	0.046384744	0.109786846	0.10982246	1.0003244	4.0E-5
7.1	8.771155E-5	2.1608548E-4	2.2608331E-4	1.046268	1.0E-5	3.758525E-4	9.257525E-4	9.557247E-4	1.032376	3.0E-5	0.0045664064	0.011213022	0.011242686	1.0026455	3.0E-5	0.044737056	0.10606329	0.106099054	1.0003371	4.0E-5
7.2	8.0830236E-5	1.9983368E-4	2.0983168E-4	1.0500317	1.0E-5	3.4636928E-4	8.561491E-4	8.8612345E-4	1.0350106	3.0E-5	0.0042088944	0.010373931	0.01040362	1.0028619	3.0E-5	0.041300658	0.09874735	0.098783396	1.000365	4.0E-5
7.3	7.7668235E-5	1.8894117E-4	1.9893928E-4	1.0529165	1.0E-5	3.328214E-4	8.094967E-4	8.394724E-4	1.0370301	3.0E-5	0.0040445733	0.009811188	0.009840894	1.0030277	3.0E-5	0.03971748	0.09392434	0.09396058	1.0003859	4.0E-5
7.4	7.520177E-5	1.8088426E-4	1.9088245E-4	1.055274	1.0E-5	3.2225347E-4	7.7498803E-4	8.049648E-4	1.0386803	3.0E-5	0.0039163795	0.009394746	0.009424465	1.0031632	3.0E-5	0.038480744	0.090308025	0.090344414	1.0004029	4.0E-5
7.5	7.274697E-5	1.7351957E-4	1.8351784E-4	1.0576204	1.0E-5	3.1173544E-4	7.4344344E-4	7.7342114E-4	1.0403228	3.0E-5	0.003788775	0.009013934	0.009043664	1.0032982	3.0E-5	0.03724827	0.086951524	0.08698805	1.00042	4.0E-5
7.6	7.1185845E-5	1.6906312E-4	1.7906143E-4	1.0591395	1.0E-5	3.0504653E-4	7.243551E-4	7.543334E-4	1.0413861	3.0E-5	0.0037076178	0.008783433	0.008813169	1.0033855	3.0E-5	0.036463667	0.08489145	0.08492806	1.0004312	4.0E-5
7.7	6.709961E-5	1.5771868E-4	1.6771711E-4	1.0633941	1.0E-5	2.8753807E-4	6.7576213E-4	7.0574187E-4	1.0443643	3.0E-5	0.003495157	0.00819642	0.008226175	1.0036302	3.0E-5	0.034406938	0.079570346	0.07960716	1.0004627	4.0E-5
7.8	6.300812E-5	1.4567544E-4	1.5567399E-4	1.0686357	1.0E-5	2.7000686E-4	6.2417396E-4	6.541552E-4	1.0480335	3.0E-5	0.0032823787	0.007572879	0.007602652	1.0039315	3.0E-5	0.032343175	0.07387826	0.0739153	1.0005014	4.0E-5
7.9	4.983037E-5	1.0764686E-4	1.1764578E-4	1.0928863	1.0E-5	2.1354125E-4	4.6126213E-4	4.9124827E-4	1.065009	3.0E-5	0.0025967648	0.0056014205	0.005631252	1.0053258	3.0E-5	0.025666296	0.055482484	0.055520263	1.0006809	4.0E-5
8.0	3.2211527E-5	5.9488433E-5	6.948784E-5	1.1680899	1.0E-5	1.380421E-4	2.5492552E-4	2.8491786E-4	1.1176515	3.0E-5	0.0016793669	0.0030993032	0.0031292103	1.0096496	3.0E-5	0.016667323	0.03135788	0.031396627	1.0012356	4.0E-5
8.1	1.743376E-5	2.1715283E-5	3.1715066E-5	1.4604952	1.0E-5	7.471398E-5	9.306218E-5	1.2305939E-4	1.3223351	3.0E-5	9.0926304E-4	0.001132444	0.00116241	1.0264614	3.0E-5	0.009055517	0.0119749	0.012014422	1.0033003	4.0E-5
8.2	7.831616E-6	6.2494596E-6	1.6249398E-5	2.6001284	1.0E-5	3.3563636E-5	2.6783124E-5	5.6782323E-5	2.1200783	3.0E-5	4.0856065E-4	3.2603586E-4	3.5602608E-4	1.0919844	3.0E-5	0.004078103	0.0036300127	0.0036698675	1.0109793	4.0E-5
8.3	1.983087E-6	9.762286E-7	9.762286E-7	1.0	0.0	8.498917E-6	4.1838307E-6	1.4183789E-5	3.390144	1.0E-5	1.034694E-4	5.093697E-5	6.0936465E-5	1.196311	1.0E-5	0.0010342124	5.9084815E-4	6.0084224E-4	1.0169148	1.0E-5

Davis Creek

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4540828E-5	1.0971184E-5	2.0971074E-5	1.9114686	1.0E-5	6.231634E-5	4.7018653E-5	5.7018184E-5	1.2126715	1.0E-5	7.584374E-4	5.723272E-4	5.9231574E-4	1.0349251	2.0E-5	0.007558541	0.0057110363	0.005740865	1.005223	3.0E-5
6.1	1.0407654E-5	1.0971184E-5	2.0971074E-5	1.9114686	1.0E-5	4.4603472E-5	4.7018653E-5	5.7018184E-5	1.2126715	1.0E-5	5.4291193E-4	5.723272E-4	5.9231574E-4	1.0349251	2.0E-5	0.0054158745	0.0057110363	0.005740865	1.005223	3.0E-5
6.2	1.0407654E-5	1.0971184E-5	2.0971074E-5	1.9114686	1.0E-5	4.4603472E-5	4.7018653E-5	5.7018184E-5	1.2126715	1.0E-5	5.4291193E-4	5.723272E-4	5.9231574E-4	1.0349251	2.0E-5	0.0054158745	0.0057110363	0.005740865	1.005223	3.0E-5
6.3	5.1323277E-6	5.4078764E-6	5.4078764E-6	1.0	0.0	2.1995505E-5	2.3176453E-5	2.3176453E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6776237E-4	2.821449E-4	2.9214207E-4	1.0354328	1.0E-5	0.0026743996	0.0028186627	0.0028286346	1.0035378	1.0E-5
6.4	2.4985154E-6	2.6252167E-6	2.6252167E-6	1.0	0.0	1.07078795E-5	1.1250899E-5	1.1250899E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3036063E-4	1.3697447E-4	1.3697447E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013028418	0.0013692325	0.0013692325	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.4846438E-6	2.6111702E-6	2.6111702E-6	1.0	0.0	1.064843E-5	1.1190701E-5	1.1190701E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2963692E-4	1.3624165E-4	1.3624165E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012956132	0.0013619134	0.0013619134	1.0	0.0
6.6	2.072566E-7	2.0975617E-7	2.0975617E-7	1.0	0.0	8.882423E-7	8.9895474E-7	8.9895474E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0814296E-5	1.0944721E-5	1.0944721E-5	1.0	0.0	1.081377E-4	1.09442E-4	1.09442E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.7544528E-7	1.7753672E-7	1.7753672E-7	1.0	0.0	7.5190815E-7	7.6087144E-7	7.6087144E-7	1.0	0.0	9.154443E-6	9.263572E-6	9.263572E-6	1.0	0.0	9.1540656E-5	9.263201E-5	9.263201E-5	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.2320395E-7	1.2454997E-7	1.2454997E-7	1.0	0.0	5.280168E-7	5.337855E-7	5.337855E-7	1.0	0.0	6.428586E-6	6.4988203E-6	6.4988203E-6	1.0	0.0	6.4284E-5	6.4986416E-5	6.4986416E-5	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.399997E-8	6.471263E-8	6.471263E-8	1.0	0.0	2.7428555E-7	2.773398E-7	2.773398E-7	1.0	0.0	3.3394215E-6	3.3766078E-6	3.3766078E-6	1.0	0.0	3.3393713E-5	3.3765627E-5	3.3765627E-5	1.0	0.0
7.0	6.4455685E-9	6.5158368E-9	6.5158368E-9	1.0	0.0	2.7623864E-8	2.7925013E-8	2.7925013E-8	1.0	0.0	3.3632048E-7	3.3998705E-7	3.3998705E-7	1.0	0.0	3.3631998E-6	3.3998704E-6	3.3998704E-6	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.1894548E-4	2.280982E-4	2.280982E-4	1.0	5.0966674E-4	9.769478E-4	9.769478E-4	1.0	0.006187552	0.011786073	0.011805837	1.0016769	2.0E-5	0.060180783	0.10808045	0.1081072	1.0002476	3.0E-5
6.1	1.1894548E-4	2.280982E-4	2.280982E-4	1.0	5.0966674E-4	9.769478E-4	9.769478E-4	1.0	0.006187552	0.011786073	0.011805837	1.0016769	2.0E-5	0.060180783	0.10808045	0.1081072	1.0002476	3.0E-5
6.2	1.1656485E-4	2.280982E-4	2.280982E-4	1.0	4.99468E-4	9.769478E-4	9.769478E-4	1.0	0.0060640806	0.011786073	0.011805837	1.0016769	2.0E-5	0.059012495	0.10808045	0.1081072	1.0002476	3.0E-5
6.3	1.152476E-4	2.2684137E-4	2.2684137E-4	1.0	4.938248E-4	9.7156735E-4	9.7156735E-4	1.0	0.005995755	0.011721447	0.011741213	1.0016862	2.0E-5	0.058365438	0.10751306	0.10753984	1.000249	3.0E-5
6.4	1.07200925E-4	2.0933004E-4	2.0933004E-4	1.0	4.5935164E-4	8.966075E-4	8.966075E-4	1.0	0.0055782744	0.010827507	0.01084729	1.0018271	2.0E-5	0.0544031	0.10017104	0.10019803	1.0002695	3.0E-5
6.5	9.69631E-5	1.8853153E-4	1.8853153E-4	1.0	4.1548995E-4	8.075717E-4	8.075717E-4	1.0	0.0050468626	0.009761207	0.009781011	1.002029	2.0E-5	0.04933773	0.09105317	0.09108044	1.0002995	3.0E-5
6.6	8.0552316E-5	1.5194018E-4	1.5194018E-4	1.0	3.4517853E-4	6.509731E-4	6.509731E-4	1.0	0.0041944524	0.007891122	0.007910965	1.0025145	2.0E-5	0.04116161	0.075525515	0.075553246	1.0003672	3.0E-5
6.7	7.815757E-5	1.4735834E-4	1.4735834E-4	1.0	3.34918E-4	6.313486E-4	6.313486E-4	1.0	0.004070005	0.0076545463	0.0076743932	1.0025928	2.0E-5	0.039962657	0.07337878	0.07340658	1.0003788	3.0E-5
6.8	6.965264E-5	1.2868768E-4	1.2868768E-4	1.0	2.9847719E-4	5.5138837E-4	5.5138837E-4	1.0	0.0036279052	0.006689734	0.0067096	1.0029696	2.0E-5	0.03569247	0.06455623	0.06458429	1.0004348	3.0E-5
6.9	5.8000453E-5	1.03244325E-4	1.03244325E-4	1.0	2.4854968E-4	4.424012E-4	4.424012E-4	1.0	0.0030218933	0.0053730323	0.005392925	1.0037023	2.0E-5	0.029811295	0.052391525	0.052419953	1.0005426	3.0E-5
7.0	4.9865852E-5	8.746299E-5	8.746299E-5	1.0	2.1369329E-4	3.74788E-4	3.74788E-4	1.0	0.0025986114	0.0045535862	0.004573495	1.0043721	2.0E-5	0.025684336	0.044659242	0.0446879	1.0006417	3.0E-5
7.1	4.283875E-5	7.314978E-5	7.314978E-5	1.0	1.8358172E-4	3.134617E-4	3.134617E-4	1.0	0.0022328163	0.003809776	0.0038197378	1.0026149	1.0E-5	0.022105146	0.03769814	0.03770776	1.0002552	1.0E-5
7.2	3.450115E-5	5.782815E-5	5.782815E-5	1.0	1.478537E-4	2.4781158E-4	2.4781158E-4	1.0	0.0017986323	0.0030129624	0.0030229322	1.003309	1.0E-5	0.017841442	0.030055484	0.030065183	1.0003227	1.0E-5
7.3	2.5709045E-5	4.235045E-5	4.235045E-5	1.0	1.1017697E-4	1.814894E-4	1.814894E-4	1.0	0.0013405791	0.0022074124	0.0022173903	1.0045202	1.0E-5	0.013325208	0.022138294	0.02214807	1.0004417	1.0E-5
7.4	1.8003093E-5	2.9931185E-5	2.9931185E-5	1.0	7.715383E-5	1.2827021E-4	1.2827021E-4	1.0	9.3894306E-4	0.0015605736	0.0015605736	1.0	0.0	0.009349857	0.015731316	0.015731316	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.5595824E-5	2.7221282E-5	2.7221282E-5	1.0	6.683753E-5	1.1665744E-4	1.1665744E-4	1.0	8.134431E-4	0.0014193812	0.0014193812	1.0	0.0	0.008104719	0.0143215535	0.0143215535	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.1110309E-5	2.0482948E-5	2.0482948E-5	1.0	4.761474E-5	8.778112E-5	8.778112E-5	1.0	5.795553E-4	0.0010682126	0.0010682126	1.0	0.0	0.0057804612	0.010810603	0.010810603	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.2140443E-6	1.1402166E-5	1.1402166E-5	1.0	2.6631347E-5	4.886551E-5	4.886551E-5	1.0	3.241884E-4	5.947753E-4	5.947753E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032371588	0.0060847756	0.0060847756	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.305533E-6	1.0313342E-5	1.0313342E-5	1.0	2.27378E-5	4.419929E-5	4.419929E-5	1.0	2.7679754E-4	5.3799356E-4	5.3799356E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0027645302	0.0054974556	0.0054974556	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.363505E-6	8.083664E-6	8.083664E-6	1.0	1.4414942E-5	3.4643817E-5	3.4643817E-5	1.0	1.7548777E-4	4.217069E-4	4.217069E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017534926	0.0042838063	0.0042838063	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.0271132E-6	4.8365528E-6	4.8365528E-6	1.0	8.687599E-6	2.0727919E-5	2.0727919E-5	1.0	1.05766376E-4	2.5233327E-4	2.5233327E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010571606	0.0025564854	0.0025564854	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.2206116E-6	2.6157386E-6	2.6157386E-6	1.0	5.2311816E-6	1.1210261E-5	1.1210261E-5	1.0	6.3687774E-5	1.3647642E-4	1.3647642E-4	1.0	0.0	6.366953E-4	0.0013893208	0.0013893208	1.0	0.0

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.0167738E-5	1.6950407E-5	3.6950067E-5	2.1798925	2.0E-5	8.643029E-5	7.264268E-5	9.2641225E-5	1.2753003	2.0E-5	0.0010517809	8.840828E-4	9.040651E-4	1.0226023	2.0E-5	0.010468166	0.008807401	0.008837137	1.0033762	3.0E-5
6.1	1.6162443E-5	1.6950407E-5	3.6950067E-5	2.1798925	2.0E-5	6.926578E-5	7.264268E-5	9.2641225E-5	1.2753003	2.0E-5	8.4298453E-4	8.840828E-4	9.040651E-4	1.0226023	2.0E-5	0.008397939	0.008807401	0.008837137	1.0033762	3.0E-5
6.2	1.6162443E-5	1.6950407E-5	3.6950067E-5	2.1798925	2.0E-5	6.926578E-5	7.264268E-5	9.2641225E-5	1.2753003	2.0E-5	8.4298453E-4	8.840828E-4	9.040651E-4	1.0226023	2.0E-5	0.008397939	0.008807401	0.008837137	1.0033762	3.0E-5
6.3	9.746053E-6	1.0216807E-5	2.0216705E-5	1.9787694	1.0E-5	4.1768133E-5	4.3785603E-5	5.3785167E-5	1.2283756	1.0E-5	5.0840835E-4	5.329633E-4	5.42958E-4	1.018753	1.0E-5	0.0050724675	0.0053172596	0.0053371536	1.0037414	2.0E-5
6.4	9.746053E-6	1.0216807E-5	2.0216705E-5	1.9787694	1.0E-5	4.1768133E-5	4.3785603E-5	5.3785167E-5	1.2283756	1.0E-5	5.0840835E-4	5.329633E-4	5.42958E-4	1.018753	1.0E-5	0.0050724675	0.0053172596	0.0053371536	1.0037414	2.0E-5
6.5	7.290083E-6	7.64028E-6	1.7640205E-5	2.3088424	1.0E-5	3.124284E-5	3.274366E-5	4.2743333E-5	1.3053926	1.0E-5	3.8031515E-4	3.9858327E-4	4.0857928E-4	1.0250789	1.0E-5	0.0037966494	0.0039788997	0.00399882	1.0050066	2.0E-5
6.6	5.67907E-6	5.950665E-6	1.5950605E-5	2.6804745	1.0E-5	2.4338644E-5	2.5502608E-5	3.5502355E-5	1.3921068	1.0E-5	2.962827E-4	3.1045135E-4	3.2044825E-4	1.0322012	1.0E-5	0.0029588798	0.0031003105	0.0031102796	1.0032154	1.0E-5
6.7	3.4853963E-6	3.6514175E-6	1.3651381E-5	3.7386525	1.0E-5	1.4937327E-5	1.5648842E-5	2.5648686E-5	1.639015	1.0E-5	1.8184677E-4	1.9050861E-4	2.005067E-4	1.052481	1.0E-5	0.0018169804	0.0019035141	0.0019134951	1.0052434	1.0E-5
6.8	2.7535168E-6	2.884834E-6	2.884834E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1800733E-5	1.2363518E-5	1.2363518E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4366445E-4	1.505159E-4	1.505159E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014357162	0.0015041862	0.0015041862	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.6594106E-6	1.738914E-6	1.738914E-6	1.0	0.0	7.1117406E-6	7.452469E-6	7.452469E-6	1.0	0.0	8.6582E-5	9.073034E-5	9.073034E-5	1.0	0.0	8.654827E-4	9.06963E-4	9.06963E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.10215E-7	5.347588E-7	5.347588E-7	1.0	0.0	2.186634E-6	2.291822E-6	2.291822E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6621943E-5	2.7902703E-5	2.7902703E-5	1.0	0.0	2.6618753E-4	2.7900434E-4	2.7900434E-4	1.0	0.0

Fickle Hill (alt1)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.1	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.2	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.3	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.4	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.5	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.6	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.7	5.491893E-6	5.839797E-6	2.583968E-5	4.4247565	2.0E-5	2.3536471E-5	2.5027473E-5	5.502672E-5	2.1986527	3.0E-5	2.8651886E-4	3.0466914E-4	3.3466E-4	1.0984374	3.0E-5	0.0028614972	0.0030427396	0.0030726483	1.0098295	3.0E-5
6.8	5.2207747E-6	5.5581295E-6	1.5558075E-5	2.7991564	1.0E-5	2.2374557E-5	2.382035E-5	4.3819873E-5	1.8395982	2.0E-5	2.7237617E-4	2.899764E-4	3.0997058E-4	1.0689511	2.0E-5	0.0027204256	0.002896199	0.002916141	1.0068856	2.0E-5
6.9	5.2186956E-6	5.5559462E-6	1.555589E-5	2.7998636	1.0E-5	2.2365646E-5	2.3810993E-5	4.3810516E-5	1.8399282	2.0E-5	2.722677E-4	2.8986248E-4	3.0985667E-4	1.0689782	2.0E-5	0.0027193436	0.0028950628	0.002915005	1.0068883	2.0E-5
7.0	4.403045E-6	4.709735E-6	1.4709688E-5	3.1232517	1.0E-5	1.8870056E-5	2.018443E-5	4.0184026E-5	1.9908428	2.0E-5	2.297187E-4	2.4571904E-4	2.6571413E-4	1.0813738	2.0E-5	0.0022948137	0.0024546043	0.0024745553	1.0081279	2.0E-5
7.1	3.5911396E-6	3.8576886E-6	1.3857651E-5	3.5922158	1.0E-5	1.5390508E-5	1.6532851E-5	2.6532687E-5	1.6048464	1.0E-5	1.8736332E-4	2.0126962E-4	2.112676E-4	1.0496746	1.0E-5	0.0018720542	0.002010947	0.002020927	1.0049628	1.0E-5
7.2	2.888171E-6	3.122683E-6	1.3122652E-5	4.2023644	1.0E-5	1.2377816E-5	1.338286E-5	2.3382725E-5	1.7472144	1.0E-5	1.5068949E-4	1.6292438E-4	1.7292275E-4	1.0613682	1.0E-5	0.0015058735	0.0016280742	0.0016380579	1.0061322	1.0E-5
7.3	2.275019E-6	2.4747176E-6	1.2474693E-5	5.0408554	1.0E-5	9.750045E-6	1.060589E-5	2.0605783E-5	1.9428623	1.0E-5	1.1870033E-4	1.291192E-4	1.3911791E-4	1.0774378	1.0E-5	0.0011863695	0.0012904558	0.0013004428	1.0077392	1.0E-5
7.4	2.076662E-6	2.2643483E-6	1.2264326E-5	5.4162717	1.0E-5	8.8999495E-6	9.704315E-6	1.9704217E-5	2.0304594	1.0E-5	1.08351494E-4	1.18143755E-4	1.2814258E-4	1.0846326	1.0E-5	0.0010829868	0.0011808226	0.0011908108	1.0084586	1.0E-5
7.5	1.6450799E-6	1.8009192E-6	1.8009192E-6	1.0	0.0	7.0503233E-6	7.718203E-6	7.718203E-6	1.0	0.0	8.5834305E-5	9.396514E-5	9.396514E-5	1.0	0.0	8.580116E-4	9.3926187E-4	9.3926187E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.168891E-6	1.2870464E-6	1.2870464E-6	1.0	0.0	5.009523E-6	5.5159016E-6	5.5159016E-6	1.0	0.0	6.098924E-5	6.715409E-5	6.715409E-5	1.0	0.0	6.09725E-4	6.7134365E-4	6.7134365E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.9871026E-7	4.4426582E-7	4.4426582E-7	1.0	0.0	1.708757E-6	1.903995E-6	1.903995E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0803918E-5	2.31809E-5	2.31809E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0801972E-4	2.3178569E-4	2.3178569E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.14295965E-7	1.2897272E-7	1.2897272E-7	1.0	0.0	4.8983975E-7	5.5274006E-7	5.5274006E-7	1.0	0.0	5.9637828E-6	6.7295914E-6	6.7295914E-6	1.0	0.0	5.9636226E-5	6.729403E-5	6.729403E-5	1.0	0.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.716238E-5	4.415031E-5	4.415031E-5	1.0	1.5925762E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.0	0.001937237	0.0023014424	0.0023014424	1.0	0.01920436	0.022809753	0.02283907	1.0012852	3.0E-5
6.1	3.716238E-5	4.415031E-5	4.415031E-5	1.0	1.5925762E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.0	0.001937237	0.0023014424	0.0023014424	1.0	0.01920436	0.022809753	0.02283907	1.0012852	3.0E-5
6.2	3.716238E-5	4.415031E-5	4.415031E-5	1.0	1.5925762E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.8920373E-4	1.0	0.001937237	0.0023014424	0.0023014424	1.0	0.01920436	0.022809753	0.02283907	1.0012852	3.0E-5
6.3	2.147964E-5	2.5129772E-5	2.5129772E-5	1.0	9.2052345E-5	1.07695094E-4	1.07695094E-4	1.0	0.001120161	0.0013104916	0.0013104916	1.0	0.011145315	0.013038297	0.013058037	1.001514	2.0E-5
6.4	2.147964E-5	2.5129772E-5	2.5129772E-5	1.0	9.2052345E-5	1.07695094E-4	1.07695094E-4	1.0	0.001120161	0.0013104916	0.0013104916	1.0	0.011145315	0.013038297	0.013058037	1.001514	2.0E-5
6.5	1.688201E-5	1.9660938E-5	1.9660938E-5	1.0	7.234947E-5	8.4258856E-5	8.4258856E-5	1.0	8.804988E-4	0.0010254422	0.0010254422	1.0	0.008770182	0.010215801	0.010235597	1.0019377	2.0E-5
6.6	1.6846381E-5	1.9620436E-5	1.9620436E-5	1.0	7.219678E-5	8.4085295E-5	8.4085295E-5	1.0	8.7864127E-4	0.001023331	0.001023331	1.0	0.008751754	0.010194884	0.01021468	1.0019418	2.0E-5
6.7	1.3396501E-5	1.5563626E-5	1.5563626E-5	1.0	5.7412315E-5	6.669991E-5	6.669991E-5	1.0	6.9877075E-4	8.1183296E-4	8.1183296E-4	1.0	0.0069657755	0.008096419	0.008116256	1.0024502	2.0E-5
6.8	1.0139058E-5	1.175266E-5	1.175266E-5	1.0	4.3452383E-5	5.0367886E-5	5.0367886E-5	1.0	5.289043E-4	6.1311247E-4	6.1311247E-4	1.0	0.005276473	0.006121146	0.0061410237	1.0032474	2.0E-5
6.9	7.761281E-6	8.9589785E-6	8.9589785E-6	1.0	3.326221E-5	3.8395352E-5	3.8395352E-5	1.0	4.0489217E-4	4.67415E-4	4.67415E-4	1.0	0.0040415525	0.004670844	0.004680797	1.002131	1.0E-5
7.0	2.2109202E-6	2.4037731E-6	2.4037731E-6	1.0	9.475338E-6	1.0301845E-5	1.0301845E-5	1.0	1.1535613E-4	1.2541782E-4	1.2541782E-4	1.0	0.0011529627	0.0012549186	0.001264906	1.0079587	1.0E-5
7.1	1.9008926E-6	2.0489429E-6	2.0489429E-6	1.0	8.146657E-6	8.781154E-6	8.781154E-6	1.0	9.918104E-5	1.0690534E-4	1.0690534E-4	1.0	9.913679E-4	0.0010699822	0.0010799714	1.009336	1.0E-5
7.2	1.8495944E-6	1.991542E-6	1.991542E-6	1.0	7.926808E-6	8.535152E-6	8.535152E-6	1.0	9.650462E-5	1.0391055E-4	1.0391055E-4	1.0	9.6462725E-4	0.0010400626	0.0010500522	1.0096048	1.0E-5
7.3	1.7883189E-6	1.9232289E-6	1.9232289E-6	1.0	7.664201E-6	8.242383E-6	8.242383E-6	1.0	9.330765E-5	1.0034643E-4	1.0034643E-4	1.0	9.3268487E-4	0.001004454	0.001014444	1.0099456	1.0E-5
7.4	1.6520572E-6	1.7755675E-6	1.7755675E-6	1.0	7.0802257E-6	7.609553E-6	7.609553E-6	1.0	8.6198335E-5	9.2642396E-5	9.2642396E-5	1.0	8.616491E-4	9.274763E-4	9.374671E-4	1.010772	1.0E-5
7.5	1.4040345E-6	1.5111402E-6	1.5111402E-6	1.0	6.0172765E-6	6.4762994E-6	6.4762994E-6	1.0	7.325788E-5	7.884612E-5	7.884612E-5	1.0	7.3233736E-4	7.895837E-4	7.895837E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.3013842E-7	1.5180298E-7	1.5180298E-7	1.0	5.57736E-7	6.50584E-7	6.50584E-7	1.0	6.790414E-6	7.920832E-6	7.920832E-6	1.0	6.790207E-5	8.009586E-5	8.009586E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	8.541512E-8	1.0424322E-7	1.0424322E-7	1.0	3.6606474E-7	4.4675656E-7	4.4675656E-7	1.0	4.456829E-6	5.4392476E-6	5.4392476E-6	1.0	4.4567398E-5	5.5261193E-5	5.5261193E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.6074793E-8	7.526448E-8	7.526448E-8	1.0	2.403205E-7	3.2256204E-7	3.2256204E-7	1.0	2.9258983E-6	3.927186E-6	3.927186E-6	1.0	2.9258597E-5	4.0073515E-5	4.0073515E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	2.9475839E-8	4.2323013E-8	4.2323013E-8	1.0	1.2632502E-7	1.8138432E-7	1.8138432E-7	1.0	1.538006E-6	2.208352E-6	2.208352E-6	1.0	1.5379954E-5	2.2599956E-5	2.2599956E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.3337122E-8	2.4017512E-8	2.4017512E-8	1.0	5.7159088E-8	1.0293219E-7	1.0293219E-7	1.0	6.959117E-7	1.2531987E-6	1.2531987E-6	1.0	6.959095E-6	1.2864936E-5	1.2864936E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6589986E-10	5.384253E-10	5.384253E-10	1.0	1.1395708E-9	2.3075366E-9	2.3075366E-9	1.0	1.3874274E-8	2.8094261E-8	2.8094261E-8	1.0	1.3874273E-7	2.870366E-7	2.870366E-7	1.0	0.0

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.4793655E-5	6.1131075E-5	7.113047E-5	1.1635729	1.0E-5	1.9195868E-4	2.6196404E-4	2.7196144E-4	1.0381632	1.0E-5	0.002334592	0.0031846713	0.0032046076	1.00626	2.0E-5	0.023102175	0.031383708	0.031412765	1.0009259	3.0E-5
6.1	4.4793655E-5	6.1131075E-5	7.113047E-5	1.1635729	1.0E-5	1.9195868E-4	2.6196404E-4	2.7196144E-4	1.0381632	1.0E-5	0.002334592	0.0031846713	0.0032046076	1.00626	2.0E-5	0.023102175	0.031383708	0.031412765	1.0009259	3.0E-5
6.2	4.472471E-5	6.103773E-5	7.1037124E-5	1.1638231	1.0E-5	1.9166325E-4	2.6156407E-4	2.7156147E-4	1.0382216	1.0E-5	0.0023310026	0.003179816	0.0031997524	1.0062697	2.0E-5	0.02306703	0.031336572	0.03136563	1.0009273	3.0E-5
6.3	4.472471E-5	6.103773E-5	7.1037124E-5	1.1638231	1.0E-5	1.9166325E-4	2.6156407E-4	2.7156147E-4	1.0382216	1.0E-5	0.0023310026	0.003179816	0.0031997524	1.0062697	2.0E-5	0.02306703	0.031336572	0.03136563	1.0009273	3.0E-5
6.4	4.0001003E-5	5.422408E-5	6.422354E-5	1.1844099	1.0E-5	1.714216E-4	2.3236795E-4	2.4236563E-4	1.0430251	1.0E-5	0.0020850603	0.0028253626	0.0028353345	1.0035293	1.0E-5	0.02065605	0.027889932	0.027909374	1.0006971	2.0E-5
6.5	3.8033053E-5	5.1401796E-5	6.140128E-5	1.1945357	1.0E-5	1.6298861E-4	2.202745E-4	2.3027229E-4	1.0453879	1.0E-5	0.0019825802	0.0026785235	0.0026884968	1.0037234	1.0E-5	0.019649856	0.026459903	0.026479373	1.0007359	2.0E-5
6.6	3.653754E-5	4.926883E-5	5.9268335E-5	1.2029581	1.0E-5	1.5658008E-4	2.1113471E-4	2.2113259E-4	1.0473531	1.0E-5	0.0019046954	0.0025675322	0.0025775065	1.0038848	1.0E-5	0.018884527	0.025377722	0.025397215	1.0007681	2.0E-5
6.7	3.372024E-5	4.527573E-5	5.5275275E-5	1.2208589	1.0E-5	1.4450731E-4	1.9402453E-4	2.0402258E-4	1.0515299	1.0E-5	0.0017579567	0.0023597102	0.0023696865	1.0042278	1.0E-5	0.017441148	0.023347544	0.023367077	1.0008366	2.0E-5
6.8	2.9650024E-5	3.9529135E-5	4.9528742E-5	1.252968	1.0E-5	1.2706534E-4	1.693995E-4	1.793978E-4	1.0590221	1.0E-5	0.0015459227	0.00206048	0.0020704593	1.0048432	1.0E-5	0.015352124	0.020411614	0.020431206	1.0009599	2.0E-5
6.9	2.860775E-5	3.7928592E-5	4.7928213E-5	1.2636434	1.0E-5	1.2259888E-4	1.6254095E-4	1.7253932E-4	1.061513	1.0E-5	0.0014916194	0.0019771466	0.001987127	1.0050478	1.0E-5	0.014816469	0.019595206	0.019614814	1.0010006	2.0E-5
7.0	2.6696067E-5	3.517231E-5	4.5171957E-5	1.2843046	1.0E-5	1.144067E-4	1.507298E-4	1.6072829E-4	1.0663339	1.0E-5	0.0013920115	0.001833599	0.0018435806	1.0054438	1.0E-5	0.013833242	0.01818525	0.018204886	1.0010798	2.0E-5
7.1	2.456087E-5	3.2100615E-5	4.2100295E-5	1.3115106	1.0E-5	1.0525662E-4	1.3756687E-4	1.4756549E-4	1.0726819	1.0E-5	0.001280746	0.0016735988	0.001683582	1.0059651	1.0E-5	0.012733897	0.016611312	0.01663098	1.001184	2.0E-5
7.2	2.295761E-5	2.9897925E-5	3.9897626E-5	1.3344613	1.0E-5	9.8386045E-5	1.2812772E-4	1.3812644E-4	1.0780371	1.0E-5	0.0011971919	0.001558848	0.0015688324	1.006405	1.0E-5	0.011907627	0.015480605	0.015500295	1.001272	2.0E-5
7.3	2.1256936E-5	2.7594764E-5	3.7594487E-5	1.3623776	1.0E-5	9.109797E-5	1.18257965E-4	1.2825678E-4	1.0845509	1.0E-5	0.0011085535	0.0014388487	0.0014488343	1.00694	1.0E-5	0.011030397	0.014296637	0.014306494	1.0006895	1.0E-5
7.4	1.8784336E-5	2.4342193E-5	3.434195E-5	1.4107994	1.0E-5	8.050181E-5	1.0431956E-4	1.14318515E-4	1.0958493	1.0E-5	9.796688E-4	0.0012693582	0.0012793455	1.007868	1.0E-5	0.009753612	0.012622166	0.01263204	1.0007823	1.0E-5
7.5	1.7248298E-5	2.229762E-5	3.2297397E-5	1.4484683	1.0E-5	7.391918E-5	9.555777E-5	1.05556814E-4	1.1046387	1.0E-5	8.9959445E-4	0.0011628023	0.0011727908	1.0085899	1.0E-5	0.008959615	0.011568075	0.011577959	1.0008545	1.0E-5
7.6	1.0653709E-5	1.3741055E-5	1.3741055E-5	1.0	0.0	4.5657955E-5	5.8888923E-5	5.8888923E-5	1.0	0.0	5.557438E-4	7.167395E-4	7.167395E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0055435603	0.0071445284	0.0071445284	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.286316E-6	4.101803E-6	4.101803E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4084137E-5	1.7579037E-5	1.7579037E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7146087E-4	2.1400391E-4	2.1400391E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017132863	0.0021379527	0.0021379527	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.1855085E-7	5.9979544E-7	5.9979544E-7	1.0	0.0	2.222359E-6	2.5705494E-6	2.5705494E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7056883E-5	3.1296E-5	3.1296E-5	1.0	0.0	2.705359E-4	3.1291615E-4	3.1291615E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.6893855E-6	1.0187055E-5	2.0186952E-5	1.9816281	1.0E-5	4.1525276E-5	4.3658187E-5	5.365775E-5	1.2290422	1.0E-5	5.05453E-4	5.31429E-4	5.514184E-4	1.0376143	2.0E-5	0.0050430484	0.005303576	0.00532347	1.003751	2.0E-5
6.1	8.041125E-6	8.456634E-6	1.8456549E-5	2.1824937	1.0E-5	3.4461507E-5	3.6242316E-5	4.6241956E-5	1.2759105	1.0E-5	4.194881E-4	4.4117979E-4	4.6117094E-4	1.045313	2.0E-5	0.004186971	0.0044048973	0.004424809	1.0045204	2.0E-5
6.2	3.2807004E-6	3.4489653E-6	3.4489653E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4060069E-5	1.4781218E-5	1.4781218E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7116789E-4	1.7995032E-4	1.7995032E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017103611	0.0017984246	0.0017984246	1.0	0.0
6.3	1.9339366E-6	2.03151E-6	2.03151E-6	1.0	0.0	8.288273E-6	8.706456E-6	8.706456E-6	1.0	0.0	1.00905054E-4	1.05998595E-4	1.05998595E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010085925	0.0010597397	0.0010597397	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.3142635E-6	1.3799986E-6	1.3799986E-6	1.0	0.0	5.6325457E-6	5.91428E-6	5.91428E-6	1.0	0.0	6.857408E-5	7.2006354E-5	7.2006354E-5	1.0	0.0	6.8552926E-4	7.200636E-4	7.200636E-4	1.0	0.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	9.0370086E-5	1.7196289E-4	1.7196289E-4	1.0	3.8724288E-4	7.3677587E-4	7.3677587E-4	1.0	0.004704494	0.008933449	0.008943359	1.0011094	1.0E-5	0.04606138	0.0853927	0.08541099	1.0002142	2.0E-5
6.1	9.0370086E-5	1.7196289E-4	1.7196289E-4	1.0	3.8724288E-4	7.3677587E-4	7.3677587E-4	1.0	0.004704494	0.008933449	0.008943359	1.0011094	1.0E-5	0.04606138	0.0853927	0.08541099	1.0002142	2.0E-5
6.2	9.006742E-5	1.7156811E-4	1.7156811E-4	1.0	3.859461E-4	7.350849E-4	7.350849E-4	1.0	0.0046887742	0.008913049	0.00892296	1.001112	1.0E-5	0.0459107	0.085206166	0.085224465	1.0002147	2.0E-5
6.3	8.8336754E-5	1.6834172E-4	1.6834172E-4	1.0	3.7853114E-4	7.212655E-4	7.212655E-4	1.0	0.004598882	0.008746215	0.008756127	1.0011333	1.0E-5	0.04504866	0.08369286	0.08371119	1.000219	2.0E-5
6.4	8.526157E-5	1.6257039E-4	1.6257039E-4	1.0	3.6535555E-4	6.965447E-4	6.965447E-4	1.0	0.0044391346	0.008447622	0.008457538	1.0011737	1.0E-5	0.043514993	0.08097293	0.08099131	1.000227	2.0E-5
6.5	8.152396E-5	1.5584781E-4	1.5584781E-4	1.0	3.493416E-4	6.6774874E-4	6.6774874E-4	1.0	0.0042449418	0.008099692	0.008109611	1.0012246	1.0E-5	0.04164765	0.07778555	0.077794775	1.0001186	1.0E-5
6.6	7.987405E-5	1.5287052E-4	1.5287052E-4	1.0	3.4227243E-4	6.549955E-4	6.549955E-4	1.0	0.0041592065	0.007945575	0.007955495	1.0012486	1.0E-5	0.04082218	0.07637108	0.07638031	1.000121	1.0E-5
6.7	7.777665E-5	1.4922307E-4	1.4922307E-4	1.0	3.332859E-4	6.393714E-4	6.393714E-4	1.0	0.004050208	0.0077567236	0.0077666463	1.0012792	1.0E-5	0.039771806	0.0746317	0.07464095	1.000124	1.0E-5
6.8	7.3284005E-5	1.4059724E-4	1.4059724E-4	1.0	3.140365E-4	6.0242106E-4	6.0242106E-4	1.0	0.0038166929	0.0073099537	0.00731988	1.001358	1.0E-5	0.037518036	0.0704907	0.0705	1.0001318	1.0E-5
6.9	6.458263E-5	1.2370093E-4	1.2370093E-4	1.0	2.7675333E-4	5.300396E-4	5.300396E-4	1.0	0.0033642664	0.006434243	0.0064441785	1.0015442	1.0E-5	0.033137884	0.06233778	0.062347155	1.0001504	1.0E-5
7.0	5.3853604E-5	1.02389255E-4	1.02389255E-4	1.0	2.3078074E-4	4.387376E-4	4.387376E-4	1.0	0.0028061352	0.0053286147	0.0053385613	1.0018667	1.0E-5	0.027709642	0.05196672	0.0519762	1.0001824	1.0E-5
7.1	4.4308683E-5	8.360296E-5	8.360296E-5	1.0	1.8988053E-4	3.582494E-4	3.582494E-4	1.0	0.0023093442	0.004353007	0.004362963	1.0022873	1.0E-5	0.022854926	0.042728923	0.042738497	1.000224	1.0E-5
7.2	3.295973E-5	6.240107E-5	6.240107E-5	1.0	1.4124835E-4	2.674059E-4	2.674059E-4	1.0	0.0017183421	0.0032508306	0.0032508306	1.0	0.0	0.017051157	0.032155234	0.032155234	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.452256E-5	4.646168E-5	4.646168E-5	1.0	1.05092455E-4	1.9910636E-4	1.9910636E-4	1.0	0.0012787496	0.0024214394	0.0024214394	1.0	0.0	0.0127141625	0.024062904	0.024062904	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.8829967E-5	3.5673096E-5	3.5673096E-5	1.0	8.069736E-5	1.528758E-4	1.528758E-4	1.0	9.820475E-4	0.0018596842	0.0018596842	1.0	0.0	0.009777189	0.01854226	0.01854226	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.26374125E-5	2.3717936E-5	2.3717936E-5	1.0	5.4159216E-5	1.0164437E-4	1.0164437E-4	1.0	6.5918895E-4	0.0012368239	0.0012368239	1.0	0.0	0.00657237	0.012380389	0.012380389	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.666429E-6	8.792191E-6	8.792191E-6	1.0	1.9998828E-5	3.768028E-5	3.768028E-5	1.0	2.4345852E-4	4.5866214E-4	4.5866214E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0024319198	0.004612465	0.004612465	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.8399318E-7	7.649032E-7	7.649032E-7	1.0	1.6456839E-6	3.2781525E-6	3.2781525E-6	1.0	2.003602E-5	3.9910774E-5	3.9910774E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0034213E-4	4.109551E-4	4.109551E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.5637698E-7	5.8188095E-7	5.8188095E-7	1.0	1.098758E-6	2.493773E-6	2.493773E-6	1.0	1.3377297E-5	3.0361265E-5	3.0361265E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3376492E-4	3.1413228E-4	3.1413228E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.7141245E-7	4.0601816E-7	4.0601816E-7	1.0	7.3462456E-7	1.7400765E-6	1.7400765E-6	1.0	8.944017E-6	2.1185228E-5	2.1185228E-5	1.0	0.0	8.943657E-5	2.18303E-4	2.18303E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.1808895E-7	2.9997298E-7	2.9997298E-7	1.0	5.060954E-7	1.2855978E-6	1.2855978E-6	1.0	6.161694E-6	1.5652042E-5	1.5652042E-5	1.0	0.0	6.161523E-5	1.6001606E-4	1.6001606E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	5.138535E-8	1.2263925E-7	1.2263925E-7	1.0	2.2022292E-7	5.2559665E-7	5.2559665E-7	1.0	2.6812106E-6	6.399121E-6	6.399121E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6811784E-5	6.518551E-5	6.518551E-5	1.0	0.0

West Tahoe

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.952444E-5	2.1251028E-5	3.1250813E-5	1.4705555	1.0E-5	8.367348E-5	9.1072965E-5	1.0107205E-4	1.1097921	1.0E-5	0.0010182485	0.0011083044	0.0011282823	1.0180256	2.0E-5	0.010135954	0.011033297	0.011053076	1.0017927	2.0E-5
6.1	1.952444E-5	2.1251028E-5	3.1250813E-5	1.4705555	1.0E-5	8.367348E-5	9.1072965E-5	1.0107205E-4	1.1097921	1.0E-5	0.0010182485	0.0011083044	0.0011282823	1.0180256	2.0E-5	0.010135954	0.011033297	0.011053076	1.0017927	2.0E-5
6.2	1.952444E-5	2.1251028E-5	3.1250813E-5	1.4705555	1.0E-5	8.367348E-5	9.1072965E-5	1.0107205E-4	1.1097921	1.0E-5	0.0010182485	0.0011083044	0.0011282823	1.0180256	2.0E-5	0.010135954	0.011033297	0.011053076	1.0017927	2.0E-5
6.3	1.952444E-5	2.1251028E-5	3.1250813E-5	1.4705555	1.0E-5	8.367348E-5	9.1072965E-5	1.0107205E-4	1.1097921	1.0E-5	0.0010182485	0.0011083044	0.0011282823	1.0180256	2.0E-5	0.010135954	0.011033297	0.011053076	1.0017927	2.0E-5
6.4	1.952444E-5	2.1251028E-5	3.1250813E-5	1.4705555	1.0E-5	8.367348E-5	9.1072965E-5	1.0107205E-4	1.1097921	1.0E-5	0.0010182485	0.0011083044	0.0011282823	1.0180256	2.0E-5	0.010135954	0.011033297	0.011053076	1.0017927	2.0E-5
6.5	1.2685271E-5	1.3731491E-5	2.3731354E-5	1.728243	1.0E-5	5.4364315E-5	5.8848014E-5	6.8847425E-5	1.1699193	1.0E-5	6.616845E-4	7.162556E-4	7.362413E-4	1.027903	2.0E-5	0.0065971776	0.007141132	0.007160989	1.0027807	2.0E-5
6.6	1.2685271E-5	1.3731491E-5	2.3731354E-5	1.728243	1.0E-5	5.4364315E-5	5.8848014E-5	6.8847425E-5	1.1699193	1.0E-5	6.616845E-4	7.162556E-4	7.362413E-4	1.027903	2.0E-5	0.0065971776	0.007141132	0.007160989	1.0027807	2.0E-5
6.7	9.117886E-6	9.837867E-6	1.9837767E-5	2.0164707	1.0E-5	3.9076072E-5	4.2161646E-5	5.2161224E-5	1.2371724	1.0E-5	4.756473E-4	5.132044E-4	5.231992E-4	1.0194755	1.0E-5	0.0047463053	0.005120914	0.005130863	1.0019428	1.0E-5
6.8	8.786828E-6	9.485047E-6	1.9484953E-5	2.054281	1.0E-5	3.7657293E-5	4.0649607E-5	5.06492E-5	1.2459948	1.0E-5	4.5838108E-4	4.9480365E-4	5.047987E-4	1.0202	1.0E-5	0.0045743673	0.004937725	0.0049476754	1.0020152	1.0E-5
6.9	6.7562123E-6	7.2843422E-6	1.728427E-5	2.3727975	1.0E-5	2.8954875E-5	3.1218264E-5	4.121795E-5	1.3203154	1.0E-5	3.5246857E-4	3.8002085E-4	3.9001706E-4	1.0263044	1.0E-5	0.0035191004	0.0037941847	0.0038041468	1.0026256	1.0E-5
7.0	5.1792854E-6	5.583031E-6	1.5582975E-5	2.7911317	1.0E-5	2.2196748E-5	2.3927078E-5	3.3926837E-5	1.4179265	1.0E-5	2.702119E-4	2.9127707E-4	3.0127415E-4	1.0343215	1.0E-5	0.0026988357	0.0029093302	0.0029193012	1.0034273	1.0E-5
7.1	4.090765E-6	4.4098233E-6	4.4098233E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7531731E-5	1.8899125E-5	1.8899125E-5	1.0	0.0	2.134279E-4	2.3007597E-4	2.3007597E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021322304	0.0022987141	0.0022987141	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.2356758E-6	2.4091053E-6	2.4091053E-6	1.0	0.0	9.581432E-6	1.0324707E-5	1.0324707E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1664769E-4	1.2569796E-4	1.2569796E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011658648	0.0012564554	0.0012564554	1.0	0.0

Point Reyes 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.8644965E-6	8.974397E-6	8.974397E-6	1.0	3.7990147E-5	3.846117E-5	4.8460784E-5	1.2599925	1.0E-5	4.624319E-4	4.6817042E-4	4.7816575E-4	1.0213498	1.0E-5	0.0046147075	0.0046724686	0.004692375	1.0042604	2.0E-5
6.1	4.526405E-6	4.543008E-6	4.543008E-6	1.0	1.9398734E-5	1.9469895E-5	2.94697E-5	1.5136034	1.0E-5	2.36154E-4	2.3702123E-4	2.4701885E-4	1.0421803	1.0E-5	0.002359032	0.0023677882	0.0023877409	1.0084267	2.0E-5
6.2	4.526405E-6	4.543008E-6	4.543008E-6	1.0	1.9398734E-5	1.9469895E-5	2.94697E-5	1.5136034	1.0E-5	2.36154E-4	2.3702123E-4	2.4701885E-4	1.0421803	1.0E-5	0.002359032	0.0023677882	0.0023877409	1.0084267	2.0E-5
6.3	2.6842322E-6	2.663073E-6	2.663073E-6	1.0	1.1503801E-5	1.1413121E-5	1.1413121E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4004979E-4	1.3894608E-4	1.3894608E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013996155	0.0013886116	0.0013985977	1.0071914	1.0E-5
6.4	2.6842322E-6	2.663073E-6	2.663073E-6	1.0	1.1503801E-5	1.1413121E-5	1.1413121E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4004979E-4	1.3894608E-4	1.3894608E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013996155	0.0013886116	0.0013985977	1.0071914	1.0E-5
6.5	1.9281833E-6	1.8930334E-6	1.8930334E-6	1.0	8.263617E-6	8.112976E-6	8.112976E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0060489E-4	9.877109E-5	9.877109E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0010055936	9.872804E-4	9.972706E-4	1.0101188	1.0E-5
6.6	1.4726726E-6	1.4293959E-6	1.4293959E-6	1.0	6.3114385E-6	6.1259684E-6	6.1259684E-6	1.0	0.0	7.683905E-5	7.4581156E-5	7.4581156E-5	1.0	0.0	7.6812494E-4	7.4556615E-4	7.555587E-4	1.0134026	1.0E-5
6.7	8.572307E-7	8.031601E-7	8.031601E-7	1.0	3.6738406E-6	3.4421103E-6	3.4421103E-6	1.0	0.0	4.472809E-5	4.19069E-5	4.19069E-5	1.0	0.0	4.471909E-4	4.1899164E-4	4.1899164E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	6.6745434E-7	6.102226E-7	6.102226E-7	1.0	2.8605155E-6	2.6152372E-6	2.6152372E-6	1.0	0.0	3.482622E-5	3.1840056E-5	3.1840056E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4820763E-4	3.1835597E-4	3.1835597E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	4.291521E-7	3.679059E-7	3.679059E-7	1.0	1.839222E-6	1.5767386E-6	1.5767386E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2392298E-5	1.9196626E-5	1.9196626E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2390042E-4	1.9195006E-4	1.9195006E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.6812808E-7	2.0455889E-7	2.0455889E-7	1.0	1.1491198E-6	8.7668064E-7	8.7668064E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3990444E-5	1.0673535E-5	1.0673535E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3989564E-4	1.067303E-4	1.067303E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.9451231E-7	1.3005237E-7	1.3005237E-7	1.0	8.336239E-7	5.573672E-7	5.573672E-7	1.0	0.0	1.0149324E-5	6.7859237E-6	6.7859237E-6	1.0	0.0	1.014886E-4	6.7857174E-5	6.7857174E-5	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.6715143E-7	1.03244574E-7	1.03244574E-7	1.0	7.1636305E-7	4.4247665E-7	4.4247665E-7	1.0	0.0	8.721685E-6	5.38714E-6	5.38714E-6	1.0	0.0	8.721343E-5	5.387009E-5	5.387009E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.5503173E-7	9.29036E-8	9.29036E-8	1.0	6.644215E-7	3.9815822E-7	3.9815822E-7	1.0	0.0	8.089301E-6	4.8475654E-6	4.8475654E-6	1.0	0.0	8.089007E-5	4.8474594E-5	4.8474594E-5	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.4251614E-7	8.3675246E-8	8.3675246E-8	1.0	6.1078333E-7	3.5860813E-7	3.5860813E-7	1.0	0.0	7.4362615E-6	4.3660452E-6	4.3660452E-6	1.0	0.0	7.436013E-5	4.3659595E-5	4.3659595E-5	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.2710186E-7	7.289174E-8	7.289174E-8	1.0	5.447221E-7	3.1239313E-7	3.1239313E-7	1.0	0.0	6.6319717E-6	3.8033795E-6	3.8033795E-6	1.0	0.0	6.6317734E-5	3.8033144E-5	3.8033144E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.0144708E-7	5.7277745E-8	5.7277745E-8	1.0	4.347731E-7	2.4547603E-7	2.4547603E-7	1.0	0.0	5.2933497E-6	2.9886664E-6	2.9886664E-6	1.0	0.0	5.293224E-5	2.9886263E-5	2.9886263E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	7.090527E-8	4.1685382E-8	4.1685382E-8	1.0	3.038797E-7	1.7865162E-7	1.7865162E-7	1.0	0.0	3.699729E-6	2.1750814E-6	2.1750814E-6	1.0	0.0	3.6996673E-5	2.17506E-5	2.17506E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	3.8712045E-8	2.9075348E-8	2.9075348E-8	1.0	1.6590876E-7	1.2460863E-7	1.2460863E-7	1.0	0.0	2.0199373E-6	1.517109E-6	1.517109E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0199188E-5	1.5170986E-5	1.5170986E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.7068782E-8	1.3308413E-8	1.3308413E-8	1.0	7.315192E-8	5.703605E-8	5.703605E-8	1.0	0.0	8.906242E-7	6.9441376E-7	6.9441376E-7	1.0	0.0	8.906207E-6	6.9441157E-6	6.9441157E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.0172592E-8	8.302194E-9	8.302194E-9	1.0	4.359682E-8	3.558082E-8	3.558082E-8	1.0	0.0	5.3079117E-7	4.331964E-7	4.331964E-7	1.0	0.0	5.307899E-6	4.3319556E-6	4.3319556E-6	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.7861243E-9	4.1859622E-9	4.1859622E-9	1.0	1.6226247E-8	1.7939833E-8	1.7939833E-8	1.0	0.0	1.9755454E-7	2.1841745E-7	2.1841745E-7	1.0	0.0	1.9755437E-6	2.1841724E-6	2.1841724E-6	1.0	0.0

Hosgri

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.883978E-5	2.9237248E-5	4.9236663E-5	1.6840389	2.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2529662E-4	1.4529412E-4	1.1596012	2.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015244463	0.0015444158	1.0130996	2.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015143711	0.015163409	1.0013007	2.0E-5
6.1	2.883978E-5	2.9237248E-5	4.9236663E-5	1.6840389	2.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2529662E-4	1.4529412E-4	1.1596012	2.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015244463	0.0015444158	1.0130996	2.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015143711	0.015163409	1.0013007	2.0E-5
6.2	2.883978E-5	2.9237248E-5	4.9236663E-5	1.6840389	2.0E-5	1.235932E-4	1.2529662E-4	1.4529412E-4	1.1596012	2.0E-5	0.0015037085	0.0015244463	0.0015444158	1.0130996	2.0E-5	0.01493574	0.015143711	0.015163409	1.0013007	2.0E-5
6.3	2.2914428E-5	2.2727596E-5	4.272714E-5	1.8799675	2.0E-5	9.8200995E-5	9.740037E-5	1.1739843E-4	1.205318	2.0E-5	0.0011949413	0.0011852094	0.0012051857	1.0168546	2.0E-5	0.011885363	0.011790309	0.011810074	1.0016763	2.0E-5
6.4	2.0195741E-5	1.9773202E-5	3.9772807E-5	2.01145	2.0E-5	8.65503E-5	8.473955E-5	1.0473786E-4	1.2359973	2.0E-5	0.0010532405	0.0010312177	0.0010511971	1.0193745	2.0E-5	0.010482626	0.010265394	0.010285189	1.0019283	2.0E-5
6.5	1.9924333E-5	1.948591E-5	3.948552E-5	2.0263627	2.0E-5	8.53872E-5	8.3508385E-5	1.0350671E-4	1.2394769	2.0E-5	0.0010390934	0.0010162423	0.001036222	1.0196604	2.0E-5	0.010342481	0.010117009	0.010136807	1.0019568	2.0E-5
6.6	1.809694E-5	1.7531273E-5	3.753092E-5	2.1407986	2.0E-5	7.7556004E-5	7.5131866E-5	9.513037E-5	1.2661786	2.0E-5	9.438353E-4	9.1434794E-4	9.3432964E-4	1.0218536	2.0E-5	0.009398366	0.009106823	0.009126642	1.0021762	2.0E-5
6.7	1.675989E-5	1.6114478E-5	3.6114157E-5	2.2410998	2.0E-5	7.182612E-5	6.9060225E-5	8.905885E-5	1.2895823	2.0E-5	8.7413215E-4	8.4048504E-4	8.6046825E-4	1.0237758	2.0E-5	0.008707017	0.00837399	0.008393822	1.0023683	2.0E-5
6.8	1.5401129E-5	1.4683788E-5	3.4683493E-5	2.3620265	2.0E-5	6.6003166E-5	6.292901E-5	8.292775E-5	1.3177985	2.0E-5	8.032922E-4	7.658922E-4	7.858769E-4	1.0260934	2.0E-5	0.008003947	0.007633411	0.0076532583	1.0026001	2.0E-5
6.9	1.356559E-5	1.2756643E-5	3.2756387E-5	2.5677905	2.0E-5	5.8136946E-5	5.467018E-5	7.466909E-5	1.3658102	2.0E-5	7.0758746E-4	6.6540664E-4	6.8539334E-4	1.0300368	2.0E-5	0.007053386	0.006634968	0.0066548353	1.0029943	2.0E-5
7.0	1.2030819E-5	1.1160002E-5	3.115978E-5	2.7920942	2.0E-5	5.155963E-5	4.7827707E-5	6.7826746E-5	1.4181477	2.0E-5	6.275577E-4	5.821468E-4	6.021352E-4	1.0343356	2.0E-5	0.006257884	0.005806999	0.0058268826	1.0034242	2.0E-5
7.1	1.0972698E-5	1.0084998E-5	3.0084797E-5	2.9831235	2.0E-5	4.7025E-5	4.3220705E-5	6.321984E-5	1.4627212	2.0E-5	5.72379E-4	5.260851E-4	5.460746E-4	1.0379966	2.0E-5	0.0057090693	0.0052491687	0.0052690636	1.0037901	2.0E-5
7.2	9.961926E-6	9.096285E-6	2.9096103E-5	3.19868	2.0E-5	4.2693267E-5	3.8983493E-5	5.8982714E-5	1.5130177	2.0E-5	5.1966653E-4	4.7452073E-4	4.945112E-4	1.0421278	2.0E-5	0.00518453	0.004735841	0.004755746	1.0042031	2.0E-5
7.3	8.700929E-6	7.888858E-6	2.78887E-5	3.535201	2.0E-5	3.7289166E-5	3.3808956E-5	5.380828E-5	1.5915393	2.0E-5	4.53901E-4	4.115463E-4	4.3153806E-4	1.0485772	2.0E-5	0.00452975	0.004108601	0.0041285185	1.0048479	2.0E-5
7.4	7.866285E-6	7.0584874E-6	2.7058346E-5	3.8334482	2.0E-5	3.3712215E-5	3.025031E-5	5.0249706E-5	1.6611302	2.0E-5	4.103689E-4	3.682353E-4	3.8822796E-4	1.054293	2.0E-5	0.004096119	0.003677008	0.0036969346	1.0054193	2.0E-5
7.5	6.8381305E-6	6.018108E-6	2.6017988E-5	4.3232837	2.0E-5	2.9305946E-5	2.5791636E-5	4.579112E-5	1.7754252	2.0E-5	3.5674145E-4	3.1396793E-4	3.3396168E-4	1.0636808	2.0E-5	0.0035616932	0.003135998	0.0031559353	1.0063576	2.0E-5
7.6	5.503376E-6	4.6510827E-6	2.465099E-5	5.300054	2.0E-5	2.3585684E-5	1.9933059E-5	3.993266E-5	2.0033383	2.0E-5	2.8711787E-4	2.4265797E-4	2.6265313E-4	1.0824006	2.0E-5	0.002867472	0.0024246825	0.002444634	1.0082285	2.0E-5
7.7	3.6144982E-6	2.7028013E-6	2.2702747E-5	8.399711	2.0E-5	1.5490614E-5	1.1583383E-5	3.158315E-5	2.7265913	2.0E-5	1.8858191E-4	1.4101857E-4	1.6101573E-4	1.1418053	2.0E-5	0.0018842196	0.0014100411	0.001430013	1.014164	2.0E-5
7.8	1.9853494E-6	1.1776416E-6	2.1177619E-5	17.983076	2.0E-5	8.508612E-6	5.0470258E-6	2.5046924E-5	4.96271	2.0E-5	1.0358743E-4	6.1445804E-5	8.1444574E-5	1.3254701	2.0E-5	0.0010353916	6.150367E-4	6.350244E-4	1.0324984	2.0E-5
7.9	1.1818757E-6	5.613819E-7	2.056137E-5	36.62635	2.0E-5	5.0651715E-6	2.4059202E-6	2.2405871E-5	9.312808	2.0E-5	6.1666724E-5	2.9291685E-5	4.92911E-5	1.6827676	2.0E-5	6.1649614E-4	2.9358672E-4	3.1358085E-4	1.068103	2.0E-5
8.0	6.962958E-7	2.931694E-7	2.0293164E-5	69.219925	2.0E-5	2.9841215E-6	1.2564395E-6	2.1256414E-5	16.917976	2.0E-5	3.6331072E-5	1.5297044E-5	3.529674E-5	2.3074222	2.0E-5	3.6325134E-4	1.5355437E-4	1.7355129E-4	1.130227	2.0E-5
8.1	1.5033264E-7	7.010328E-8	7.010328E-8	1.0	0.0	6.442826E-7	3.0044262E-7	3.0044262E-7	1.0	0.0	7.844113E-6	3.6578829E-6	3.6578829E-6	1.0	0.0	7.843835E-5	3.6592897E-5	3.6592897E-5	1.0	0.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.698747E-5	6.6366934E-5	6.6366934E-5	1.0	2.0135932E-4	2.843995E-4	2.843995E-4	1.0	0.0024487933	0.0034571048	0.0034670702	1.0028826	1.0E-5	0.02421984	0.034195833	0.03421515	1.0005648	2.0E-5
6.1	4.698747E-5	6.6366934E-5	6.6366934E-5	1.0	2.0135932E-4	2.843995E-4	2.843995E-4	1.0	0.0024487933	0.0034571048	0.0034670702	1.0028826	1.0E-5	0.02421984	0.034195833	0.03421515	1.0005648	2.0E-5
6.2	4.698747E-5	6.6366934E-5	6.6366934E-5	1.0	2.0135932E-4	2.843995E-4	2.843995E-4	1.0	0.0024487933	0.0034571048	0.0034670702	1.0028826	1.0E-5	0.02421984	0.034195833	0.03421515	1.0005648	2.0E-5
6.3	4.6717287E-5	6.599515E-5	6.599515E-5	1.0	2.0020158E-4	2.8280646E-4	2.8280646E-4	1.0	0.0024347296	0.003437771	0.0034477366	1.0028988	1.0E-5	0.024082264	0.03400817	0.03402749	1.0005682	2.0E-5
6.4	4.6276386E-5	6.535295E-5	6.535295E-5	1.0	1.983123E-4	2.8005487E-4	2.8005487E-4	1.0	0.0024117786	0.0034043833	0.0034143492	1.0029274	1.0E-5	0.02385771	0.033685356	0.033704683	1.0005738	2.0E-5
6.5	4.5720994E-5	6.454879E-5	6.454879E-5	1.0	1.9593239E-4	2.766094E-4	2.766094E-4	1.0	0.002382867	0.0033625741	0.0033725407	1.0029639	1.0E-5	0.023574775	0.03328083	0.033300165	1.0005809	2.0E-5
6.6	4.549134E-5	6.4197746E-5	6.4197746E-5	1.0	1.949483E-4	2.7510527E-4	2.7510527E-4	1.0	0.0023709119	0.0033443177	0.0033542842	1.0029801	1.0E-5	0.023457756	0.033104315	0.033123653	1.0005841	2.0E-5
6.7	3.701047E-5	5.161944E-5	5.161944E-5	1.0	1.5860666E-4	2.2120768E-4	2.2120768E-4	1.0	0.0019293258	0.002689923	0.002699896	1.0037075	1.0E-5	0.019126613	0.026744606	0.02676407	1.0007278	2.0E-5
6.8	3.5523568E-5	4.958753E-5	4.958753E-5	1.0	1.5223498E-4	2.1250092E-4	2.1250092E-4	1.0	0.0018518851	0.0025841743	0.0025941485	1.0038598	1.0E-5	0.018365284	0.025710734	0.025730219	1.0007579	2.0E-5
6.9	3.2946147E-5	4.586554E-5	4.586554E-5	1.0	1.4119013E-4	1.9655204E-4	1.9655204E-4	1.0	0.0017176344	0.0023904392	0.0024004153	1.0041733	1.0E-5	0.017044188	0.023812488	0.023832012	1.0008199	2.0E-5
7.0	2.7682381E-5	3.8189886E-5	3.8189886E-5	1.0	1.1863338E-4	1.6366086E-4	1.6366086E-4	1.0	0.0014434044	0.0019907823	0.0020007624	1.0050131	1.0E-5	0.01434065	0.019888183	0.019907786	1.0009856	2.0E-5
7.1	2.471967E-5	3.437728E-5	3.437728E-5	1.0	1.05937135E-4	1.4732307E-4	1.4732307E-4	1.0	0.0012890215	0.0017922136	0.0018021958	1.0055697	1.0E-5	0.0128157	0.017925996	0.017945638	1.0010957	2.0E-5
7.2	1.9748062E-5	2.773603E-5	2.773603E-5	1.0	8.463181E-5	1.1886343E-4	1.1886343E-4	1.0	0.0010299052	0.0014462267	0.0014562123	1.0069046	1.0E-5	0.01025145	0.014508238	0.014527948	1.0013585	2.0E-5
7.3	1.1603734E-5	1.6418608E-5	1.6418608E-5	1.0	4.9729337E-5	7.036365E-5	7.036365E-5	1.0	6.052865E-4	8.5635594E-4	8.663474E-4	1.0116674	1.0E-5	0.0060364045	0.0086255595	0.008645386	1.0022987	2.0E-5
7.4	4.885381E-6	6.331721E-6	6.331721E-6	1.0	2.0937177E-5	2.7135666E-5	2.7135666E-5	1.0	2.5488032E-4	3.3032685E-4	3.3032685E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0025458818	0.0033497936	0.00335976	1.0029752	1.0E-5
7.5	3.0571264E-6	4.409367E-6	4.409367E-6	1.0	1.3101904E-5	1.8897152E-5	1.8897152E-5	1.0	1.5950401E-4	2.3004864E-4	2.3004864E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015938957	0.0023476898	0.0023476898	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.764948E-6	3.0256938E-6	3.0256938E-6	1.0	7.564041E-6	1.2967195E-5	1.2967195E-5	1.0	9.208831E-5	1.5786426E-4	1.5786426E-4	1.0	0.0	9.205016E-4	0.0016265649	0.0016265649	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.3173734E-6	2.2646088E-6	2.2646088E-6	1.0	5.645874E-6	9.70543E-6	9.70543E-6	1.0	6.873634E-5	1.1815723E-4	1.1815723E-4	1.0	0.0	6.8715087E-4	0.0012288475	0.0012288475	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.4429885E-7	1.7080067E-6	1.7080067E-6	1.0	4.0469886E-6	7.3200085E-6	7.3200085E-6	1.0	4.9270973E-5	8.911748E-5	8.911748E-5	1.0	0.0	4.926005E-4	9.290061E-4	9.290061E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.388233E-7	1.232936E-6	1.232936E-6	1.0	2.7378112E-6	5.284001E-6	5.284001E-6	1.0	3.3332344E-5	6.433082E-5	6.433082E-5	1.0	0.0	3.3327343E-4	6.6799833E-4	6.6799833E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	3.087986E-7	6.369273E-7	6.369273E-7	1.0	1.323422E-6	2.7296855E-6	2.7296855E-6	1.0	1.6112543E-5	3.323342E-5	3.323342E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6111376E-4	3.4158104E-4	3.4158104E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.6725647E-7	3.037034E-7	3.037034E-7	1.0	7.168133E-7	1.3015853E-6	1.3015853E-6	1.0	8.7271665E-6	1.5846688E-5	1.5846688E-5	1.0	0.0	8.726824E-5	1.6343492E-4	1.6343492E-4	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2336002E-4	3.1229793E-4	3.1229793E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013377604	0.0013477469	1.0074651	1.0E-5	0.006416472	0.016170798	0.016180636	1.0006084	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14771743	0.14773448	1.0001154	2.0E-5
6.1	1.2336002E-4	3.1229793E-4	3.1229793E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013377604	0.0013477469	1.0074651	1.0E-5	0.006416472	0.016170798	0.016180636	1.0006084	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14771743	0.14773448	1.0001154	2.0E-5
6.2	1.2336002E-4	3.1229793E-4	3.1229793E-4	1.0	5.2857865E-4	0.0013377604	0.0013477469	1.0074651	1.0E-5	0.006416472	0.016170798	0.016180636	1.0006084	1.0E-5	0.06234337	0.14771743	0.14773448	1.0001154	2.0E-5
6.3	1.1712257E-4	3.000382E-4	3.000382E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012852711	0.0012952583	1.0077704	1.0E-5	0.006093008	0.015540979	0.015550824	1.0006335	1.0E-5	0.059286322	0.14239778	0.14241493	1.0001204	2.0E-5
6.4	1.1712257E-4	3.000382E-4	3.000382E-4	1.0	5.018573E-4	0.0012852711	0.0012952583	1.0077704	1.0E-5	0.006093008	0.015540979	0.015550824	1.0006335	1.0E-5	0.059286322	0.14239778	0.14241493	1.0001204	2.0E-5
6.5	1.0689076E-4	2.7993298E-4	2.7993298E-4	1.0	4.5802278E-4	0.001199187	0.001209175	1.008329	1.0E-5	0.0055621783	0.014507204	0.01451706	1.0006793	1.0E-5	0.05425003	0.13359326	0.13361059	1.0001297	2.0E-5
6.6	9.7648895E-5	2.621512E-4	2.621512E-4	1.0	4.1842813E-4	0.0011230462	0.0011330348	1.0088943	1.0E-5	0.005082469	0.013591943	0.013601808	1.0007257	1.0E-5	0.049677886	0.12570548	0.12572297	1.0001391	2.0E-5
6.7	8.757013E-5	2.4262756E-4	2.4262756E-4	1.0	3.7524657E-4	0.0010394413	0.0010494309	1.0096105	1.0E-5	0.00455906	0.0125860525	0.012595926	1.0007845	1.0E-5	0.04466656	0.11701214	0.1170298	1.0001509	2.0E-5
6.8	8.562978E-5	2.3812854E-4	2.3812854E-4	1.0	3.6693315E-4	0.0010201749	0.0010301648	1.0097922	1.0E-5	0.004458263	0.012354161	0.012364036	1.0007994	1.0E-5	0.043698758	0.114997715	0.11501542	1.0001539	2.0E-5
6.9	6.124075E-5	1.8075132E-4	1.8075132E-4	1.0	2.6243398E-4	7.7441946E-4	7.844117E-4	1.0129029	1.0E-5	0.0031904527	0.009388025	0.009397931	1.0010552	1.0E-5	0.031450346	0.08842991	0.088448144	1.0002061	2.0E-5
7.0	5.8598747E-5	1.7491683E-4	1.7491683E-4	1.0	2.5111332E-4	7.4942905E-4	7.594215E-4	1.0133334	1.0E-5	0.0030530186	0.009086342	0.009096251	1.0010905	1.0E-5	0.03011414	0.08570477	0.08572306	1.0002134	2.0E-5
7.1	5.613814E-5	1.6898492E-4	1.6898492E-4	1.0	2.4056983E-4	7.240209E-4	7.340136E-4	1.0138018	1.0E-5	0.0029250039	0.008779527	0.008789439	1.001129	1.0E-5	0.028868021	0.08296136	0.0829797	1.0002211	2.0E-5
7.2	4.991222E-5	1.5475873E-4	1.5475873E-4	1.0	2.1389198E-4	6.630835E-4	6.730769E-4	1.015071	1.0E-5	0.002601025	0.008043276	0.008053196	1.0012332	1.0E-5	0.025707912	0.07634527	0.07636375	1.000242	2.0E-5
7.3	4.7410045E-5	1.4644585E-4	1.4644585E-4	1.0	2.0317009E-4	6.2747445E-4	6.374682E-4	1.015927	1.0E-5	0.0024707897	0.00761284	0.007622764	1.0013036	1.0E-5	0.024434982	0.0725418	0.072560355	1.0002557	2.0E-5
7.4	4.5556746E-5	1.4033508E-4	1.4033508E-4	1.0	1.952286E-4	6.0129777E-4	6.1129173E-4	1.0166208	1.0E-5	0.002374317	0.0072963163	0.0073062433	1.0013605	1.0E-5	0.023491086	0.06973174	0.069750346	1.0002668	2.0E-5
7.5	4.3084514E-5	1.3245456E-4	1.3245456E-4	1.0	1.8463485E-4	5.675392E-4	5.775335E-4	1.01761	1.0E-5	0.0022456115	0.00688798	0.006897911	1.0014418	1.0E-5	0.022230545	0.06605082	0.0660695	1.0002828	2.0E-5
7.6	3.408608E-5	1.06347645E-4	1.06347645E-4	1.0	1.4607502E-4	4.556961E-4	4.6569156E-4	1.0219344	1.0E-5	0.0017770125	0.0055340165	0.005543961	1.001797	1.0E-5	0.017628696	0.053538486	0.053557415	1.0003536	2.0E-5
7.7	2.8315713E-5	8.988765E-5	8.988765E-5	1.0	1.2134742E-4	3.8517595E-4	3.951721E-4	1.0259522	1.0E-5	0.0014764034	0.004679445	0.0046893987	1.002127	1.0E-5	0.01466633	0.045556057	0.045575146	1.000419	2.0E-5
7.8	2.6222975E-5	8.147165E-5	8.147165E-5	1.0	1.1237934E-4	3.491175E-4	3.59114E-4	1.0286336	1.0E-5	0.0013673597	0.0042422293	0.004252187	1.0023472	1.0E-5	0.013589768	0.04148852	0.04150769	1.000462	2.0E-5
7.9	2.1469694E-5	6.336535E-5	6.336535E-5	1.0	9.200973E-5	2.7153754E-4	2.8153483E-4	1.0368173	1.0E-5	0.0011196428	0.0033009618	0.0033109288	1.0030195	1.0E-5	0.011140184	0.032633994	0.032653343	1.0005928	2.0E-5
8.0	1.2420249E-5	3.4366938E-5	3.4366938E-5	1.0	5.322855E-5	1.4727857E-4	1.572771E-4	1.0678885	1.0E-5	6.478649E-4	0.001791643	0.0018016251	1.0055715	1.0E-5	0.0064597935	0.017933413	0.017953055	1.0010953	2.0E-5
8.1	4.9197724E-6	8.92033E-6	8.92033E-6	1.0	2.1084568E-5	3.8229427E-5	4.8229045E-5	1.2615685	1.0E-5	2.566744E-4	4.6534406E-4	4.7533942E-4	1.0214795	1.0E-5	0.002563781	0.0049293046	0.004949206	1.0040374	2.0E-5
8.2	2.5634774E-6	3.4324462E-6	3.4324462E-6	1.0	1.0986286E-5	1.4710401E-5	2.4710254E-5	1.6797811	1.0E-5	1.3374983E-4	1.7908448E-4	1.8908268E-4	1.0558295	1.0E-5	0.0013366934	0.0019764123	0.0019963728	1.0100993	2.0E-5
8.3	5.2850464E-7	3.9637928E-7	3.9637928E-7	1.0	2.2650179E-6	1.6987673E-6	1.169875E-5	6.8866115	1.0E-5	2.7576245E-5	2.0682315E-5	3.068211E-5	1.4834949	1.0E-5	2.7572823E-4	2.4033726E-4	2.5033485E-4	1.0415982	1.0E-5

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.187212E-5	5.3990116E-5	7.398904E-5	1.3704182	2.0E-5	1.794396E-4	2.3137052E-4	2.5136588E-4	1.0864215	2.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0028142661	0.00283421	1.0070866	2.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027880976	0.02790042	1.0006974	2.0E-5
6.1	4.187212E-5	5.3990116E-5	7.398904E-5	1.3704182	2.0E-5	1.794396E-4	2.3137052E-4	2.5136588E-4	1.0864215	2.0E-5	0.002182488	0.0028142661	0.00283421	1.0070866	2.0E-5	0.021611776	0.027880976	0.02790042	1.0006974	2.0E-5
6.2	1.7353306E-5	2.2381802E-5	3.238158E-5	1.4467815	1.0E-5	7.436919E-5	9.59198E-5	1.0591884E-4	1.1042438	1.0E-5	9.050688E-4	0.0011675898	0.0011775781	1.0085547	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011652351	0.0116622355	1.0008482	1.0E-5
6.3	1.7353306E-5	2.2381802E-5	3.238158E-5	1.4467815	1.0E-5	7.436919E-5	9.59198E-5	1.0591884E-4	1.1042438	1.0E-5	9.050688E-4	0.0011675898	0.0011775781	1.0085547	1.0E-5	0.009013915	0.011652351	0.0116622355	1.0008482	1.0E-5
6.4	1.4028824E-5	1.8084185E-5	2.8084005E-5	1.5529593	1.0E-5	6.0122147E-5	7.750278E-5	8.7502005E-5	1.1290176	1.0E-5	7.3174125E-4	9.435743E-4	9.535648E-4	1.010588	1.0E-5	0.0072933645	0.0094330385	0.009442944	1.0010501	1.0E-5

Reliz 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6002472E-5	1.6308362E-5	2.6308198E-5	1.6131724	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.989122E-5	7.9890524E-5	1.1430695	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.506133E-4	8.6060475E-4	1.0117462	1.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008475797	0.008495628	1.0023396	2.0E-5
6.1	1.6002472E-5	1.6308362E-5	2.6308198E-5	1.6131724	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.989122E-5	7.9890524E-5	1.1430695	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.506133E-4	8.6060475E-4	1.0117462	1.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008475797	0.008495628	1.0023396	2.0E-5
6.2	1.6002472E-5	1.6308362E-5	2.6308198E-5	1.6131724	1.0E-5	6.8580215E-5	6.989122E-5	7.9890524E-5	1.1430695	1.0E-5	8.3464425E-4	8.506133E-4	8.6060475E-4	1.0117462	1.0E-5	0.008315164	0.008475797	0.008495628	1.0023396	2.0E-5
6.3	7.792404E-6	7.818906E-6	7.818906E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3509168E-5	3.3509168E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.0789854E-4	4.0789854E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040577264	0.0040717954	0.0040717954	1.0	0.0
6.4	7.792404E-6	7.818906E-6	7.818906E-6	1.0	0.0	3.339559E-5	3.3509168E-5	3.3509168E-5	1.0	0.0	4.0651546E-4	4.0789854E-4	4.0789854E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0040577264	0.0040717954	0.0040717954	1.0	0.0
6.5	5.9659374E-6	5.9420045E-6	5.9420045E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5568053E-5	2.5465486E-5	2.5465486E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1124658E-4	3.099984E-4	3.099984E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00310811	0.0030958978	0.0030958978	1.0	0.0
6.6	5.2350692E-6	5.1915804E-6	5.1915804E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2435817E-5	2.2249442E-5	2.2249442E-5	1.0	0.0	2.7312184E-4	2.7085343E-4	2.7085343E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002727864	0.0027054634	0.0027054634	1.0	0.0
6.7	4.580206E-6	4.5180814E-6	4.5180814E-6	1.0	0.0	1.9629308E-5	1.9363062E-5	1.9363062E-5	1.0	0.0	2.389606E-4	2.3571985E-4	2.3571985E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002387038	0.0023549204	0.0023549204	1.0	0.0
6.8	4.0765017E-6	3.999714E-6	3.999714E-6	1.0	0.0	1.7470604E-5	1.7141518E-5	1.7141518E-5	1.0	0.0	2.1268385E-4	2.0867803E-4	2.0867803E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002124804	0.0020850392	0.0020850392	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.5752896E-6	3.4835045E-6	3.4835045E-6	1.0	0.0	1.532258E-5	1.492922E-5	1.492922E-5	1.0	0.0	1.8653645E-4	1.8174812E-4	1.8174812E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0018637994	0.0018162115	0.0018162115	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.0259848E-6	2.918426E-6	2.918426E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2968442E-5	1.2507479E-5	1.2507479E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5787935E-4	1.5226794E-4	1.5226794E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015776722	0.0015218515	0.0015218515	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.5861116E-6	2.465236E-6	2.465236E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1083288E-5	1.0565254E-5	1.0565254E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3493067E-4	1.286244E-4	1.286244E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0013484878	0.0012857143	0.0012857143	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.1482588E-6	2.012879E-6	2.012879E-6	1.0	0.0	9.20679E-6	8.626595E-6	8.626595E-6	1.0	0.0	1.12086906E-4	1.0502374E-4	1.0502374E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011203039	0.0010499556	0.0010499556	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.7194744E-6	1.5704089E-6	1.5704089E-6	1.0	0.0	7.3691554E-6	6.7303063E-6	6.7303063E-6	1.0	0.0	8.971577E-5	8.19384E-5	8.19384E-5	1.0	0.0	8.967956E-4	8.1929617E-4	8.1929617E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.2755178E-6	1.1145621E-6	1.1145621E-6	1.0	0.0	5.4664933E-6	4.7766857E-6	4.7766857E-6	1.0	0.0	6.655252E-5	5.8154597E-5	5.8154597E-5	1.0	0.0	6.6532596E-4	5.816079E-4	5.816079E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	8.8463224E-7	7.1435204E-7	7.1435204E-7	1.0	0.0	3.7912755E-6	3.0615051E-6	3.0615051E-6	1.0	0.0	4.6157802E-5	3.727319E-5	3.727319E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6148215E-4	3.7288325E-4	3.7288325E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.291355E-7	3.5796734E-7	3.5796734E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2677216E-6	1.5341448E-6	1.5341448E-6	1.0	0.0	2.760916E-5	1.8678053E-5	1.8678053E-5	1.0	0.0	2.760573E-4	1.8697788E-4	1.8697788E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.9663357E-7	1.4117946E-7	1.4117946E-7	1.0	0.0	1.2712861E-6	6.0505465E-7	6.0505465E-7	1.0	0.0	1.5477797E-5	7.3665155E-6	7.3665155E-6	1.0	0.0	1.547672E-4	7.386846E-5	7.386846E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	1.2509386E-7	3.057908E-8	3.057908E-8	1.0	0.0	5.3611643E-7	1.310532E-7	1.310532E-7	1.0	0.0	6.527198E-6	1.5955715E-6	1.5955715E-6	1.0	0.0	6.527006E-5	1.6131367E-5	1.6131367E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.213493E-8	1.3342893E-8	1.3342893E-8	1.0	0.0	2.6629255E-7	5.7183826E-8	5.7183826E-8	1.0	0.0	3.242107E-6	6.9621285E-7	6.9621285E-7	1.0	0.0	3.2420594E-5	7.1090144E-6	7.1090144E-6	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.92383E-9	1.8830266E-9	1.8830266E-9	1.0	0.0	2.5387841E-8	8.0701135E-9	8.0701135E-9	1.0	0.0	3.0909692E-7	9.825363E-8	9.825363E-8	1.0	0.0	3.090965E-6	1.0085961E-6	1.0085961E-6	1.0	0.0

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.8770423E-5	1.6481798E-5	3.648147E-5	2.21344	2.0E-5	8.044219E-5	7.0634385E-5	9.063297E-5	1.2831283	2.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.5963815E-4	8.7962096E-4	1.0232456	2.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008576876	0.008596703	1.0023118	2.0E-5
6.1	1.8770423E-5	1.6481798E-5	3.648147E-5	2.21344	2.0E-5	8.044219E-5	7.0634385E-5	9.063297E-5	1.2831283	2.0E-5	9.789435E-4	8.5963815E-4	8.7962096E-4	1.0232456	2.0E-5	0.009746423	0.008576876	0.008596703	1.0023118	2.0E-5
6.2	1.7508692E-5	1.509641E-5	3.509611E-5	2.3247983	2.0E-5	7.5035096E-5	6.469731E-5	8.469602E-5	1.3091118	2.0E-5	9.1316935E-4	7.8740815E-4	8.073924E-4	1.0253798	2.0E-5	0.00909426	0.007859846	0.007879688	1.0025246	2.0E-5
6.3	1.7508692E-5	1.509641E-5	3.509611E-5	2.3247983	2.0E-5	7.5035096E-5	6.469731E-5	8.469602E-5	1.3091118	2.0E-5	9.1316935E-4	7.8740815E-4	8.073924E-4	1.0253798	2.0E-5	0.00909426	0.007859846	0.007879688	1.0025246	2.0E-5
6.4	1.6004591E-5	1.34402135E-5	3.3439945E-5	2.4880517	2.0E-5	6.85893E-5	5.759965E-5	7.7598495E-5	1.3472043	2.0E-5	8.347548E-4	7.010511E-4	7.210371E-4	1.0285085	2.0E-5	0.008316261	0.0070018573	0.0070217173	1.0028363	2.0E-5
6.5	1.6004591E-5	1.34402135E-5	3.3439945E-5	2.4880517	2.0E-5	6.85893E-5	5.759965E-5	7.7598495E-5	1.3472043	2.0E-5	8.347548E-4	7.010511E-4	7.210371E-4	1.0285085	2.0E-5	0.008316261	0.0070018573	0.0070217173	1.0028363	2.0E-5
6.6	1.5442201E-5	1.2822661E-5	3.2822405E-5	2.5597186	2.0E-5	6.617918E-5	5.495311E-5	7.495201E-5	1.3639266	2.0E-5	8.0543366E-4	6.6884956E-4	6.888362E-4	1.0298821	2.0E-5	0.008025207	0.006681809	0.0067016752	1.0029732	2.0E-5
6.7	1.489921E-5	1.2229177E-5	3.222893E-5	2.6354132	2.0E-5	6.3852196E-5	5.240971E-5	7.240866E-5	1.3815887	2.0E-5	7.7712315E-4	6.379021E-4	6.5788935E-4	1.0313327	2.0E-5	0.0077441116	0.0063741393	0.006394012	1.0031177	2.0E-5
6.8	1.3876024E-5	1.1104133E-5	3.110391E-5	2.8011112	2.0E-5	5.9467322E-5	4.7588273E-5	6.758732E-5	1.4202516	2.0E-5	7.237741E-4	5.792336E-4	5.9922197E-4	1.0345083	2.0E-5	0.0072142133	0.0057906327	0.005810517	1.0034338	2.0E-5
6.9	1.33922495E-5	1.0573845E-5	3.0573632E-5	2.8914394	2.0E-5	5.7394092E-5	4.5315694E-5	6.531479E-5	1.4413282	2.0E-5	6.9854903E-4	5.5157917E-4	5.7156815E-4	1.0362395	2.0E-5	0.0069635725	0.005515488	0.0055353777	1.0036062	2.0E-5
7.0	1.2807324E-5	9.931618E-6	2.993142E-5	3.0137506	2.0E-5	5.4887376E-5	4.256338E-5	6.256253E-5	1.4698675	2.0E-5	6.680489E-4	5.1808613E-4	5.380758E-4	1.0385836	2.0E-5	0.006660442	0.0051821615	0.0052020582	1.0038394	2.0E-5
7.1	1.2191438E-5	9.237746E-6	2.923756E-5	3.1650105	2.0E-5	5.224797E-5	3.9589737E-5	5.9588947E-5	1.5051614	2.0E-5	6.3593336E-4	4.8189855E-4	5.018889E-4	1.0414826	2.0E-5	0.0063411663	0.0048219063	0.0048418096	1.0041277	2.0E-5
7.2	1.1769438E-5	8.755886E-6	2.875571E-5	3.284158	2.0E-5	5.0439474E-5	3.7524682E-5	5.7523932E-5	1.5329626	2.0E-5	6.1392755E-4	4.567673E-4	4.7675817E-4	1.043766	2.0E-5	0.0061223423	0.0045716544	0.0045915633	1.0043548	2.0E-5
7.3	1.150374E-5	8.470264E-6	2.8470095E-5	3.3611815	2.0E-5	4.9300812E-5	3.6300626E-5	5.62999E-5	1.5509347	2.0E-5	6.0007203E-4	4.4187056E-4	4.6186172E-4	1.0452421	2.0E-5	0.0059845424	0.004423271	0.0044431826	1.0045016	2.0E-5
7.4	1.12514E-5	8.21513E-6	2.8214967E-5	3.4345124	2.0E-5	4.8219394E-5	3.5207227E-5	5.520652E-5	1.5680453	2.0E-5	5.8691297E-4	4.2856374E-4	4.4855516E-4	1.0466475	2.0E-5	0.005853653	0.004290711	0.004310625	1.0046412	2.0E-5
7.5	1.059696E-5	7.562848E-6	2.7562697E-5	3.6444864	2.0E-5	4.5414752E-5	3.2411805E-5	5.2411157E-5	1.6170392	2.0E-5	5.5278436E-4	3.9454232E-4	4.145344E-4	1.0506717	2.0E-5	0.0055141128	0.0039517004	0.0039716214	1.0050411	2.0E-5
7.6	9.018592E-6	5.9967037E-6	2.5996584E-5	4.3351455	2.0E-5	3.8650534E-5	2.5699906E-5	4.569939E-5	1.778193	2.0E-5	4.7046866E-4	3.1285148E-4	3.3284523E-4	1.0639081	2.0E-5	0.004694739	0.00313696	0.0031568974	1.0063556	2.0E-5
7.7	6.243489E-6	3.368396E-6	2.3368328E-5	6.9375243	2.0E-5	2.6757538E-5	1.4435903E-5	3.4435612E-5	2.3854146	2.0E-5	3.257243E-4	1.7574296E-4	1.9573944E-4	1.1137825	2.0E-5	0.003252473	0.0017672017	0.0017871663	1.0112973	2.0E-5
7.8	3.1941963E-6	1.4603513E-6	2.1460322E-5	14.695314	2.0E-5	1.368934E-5	6.258633E-6	2.6258509E-5	4.1955657	2.0E-5	1.6665498E-4	7.61962E-5	9.619468E-5	1.2624602	2.0E-5	0.0016653005	7.683596E-4	7.883442E-4	1.0260094	2.0E-5
7.9	2.0098398E-6	7.503986E-7	2.0750384E-5	27.652481	2.0E-5	8.6135715E-6	3.2159899E-6	2.3215925E-5	7.218905	2.0E-5	1.0486518E-4	3.9153976E-5	5.9153193E-5	1.5107838	2.0E-5	0.0010481571	3.969347E-4	4.1692675E-4	1.0503662	2.0E-5
8.0	8.353119E-7	3.4304264E-7	2.0343035E-5	59.301773	2.0E-5	3.579903E-6	1.4701818E-6	2.1470152E-5	14.60374	2.0E-5	4.358445E-5	1.7899318E-5	3.789896E-5	2.117341	2.0E-5	4.3575902E-4	1.8023977E-4	2.0023617E-4	1.1109433	2.0E-5
8.1	1.5033264E-7	7.010328E-8	7.010328E-8	1.0	0.0	6.442826E-7	3.0044262E-7	3.0044262E-7	1.0	0.0	7.844113E-6	3.6578829E-6	3.6578829E-6	1.0	0.0	7.843835E-5	3.6592897E-5	3.6592897E-5	1.0	0.0

South Klamath Lake West

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.174025E-5	2.3093926E-5	3.3093693E-5	1.4330043	1.0E-5	9.3169176E-5	9.897058E-5	1.08969594E-4	1.1010301	1.0E-5	0.0011337444	0.0012043669	0.0012243429	1.0165862	2.0E-5	0.011279777	0.011985032	0.012004792	1.0016488	2.0E-5
6.1	2.174025E-5	2.3093926E-5	3.3093693E-5	1.4330043	1.0E-5	9.3169176E-5	9.897058E-5	1.08969594E-4	1.1010301	1.0E-5	0.0011337444	0.0012043669	0.0012243429	1.0165862	2.0E-5	0.011279777	0.011985032	0.012004792	1.0016488	2.0E-5
6.2	9.834929E-6	1.041605E-5	2.0415946E-5	1.9600468	1.0E-5	4.2149015E-5	4.4639502E-5	5.4639055E-5	1.2240069	1.0E-5	5.1304343E-4	5.433595E-4	5.6334864E-4	1.036788	2.0E-5	0.0051186057	0.0054212157	0.0054411073	1.0036693	2.0E-5
6.3	9.834929E-6	1.041605E-5	2.0415946E-5	1.9600468	1.0E-5	4.2149015E-5	4.4639502E-5	5.4639055E-5	1.2240069	1.0E-5	5.1304343E-4	5.433595E-4	5.6334864E-4	1.036788	2.0E-5	0.0051186057	0.0054212157	0.0054411073	1.0036693	2.0E-5
6.4	6.066321E-6	6.4136802E-6	1.6413616E-5	2.5591571	1.0E-5	2.5998259E-5	2.7486927E-5	3.748665E-5	1.3637993	1.0E-5	3.1648282E-4	3.3460467E-4	3.5459799E-4	1.059752	2.0E-5	0.0031603249	0.0033412802	0.0033612135	1.0059657	2.0E-5
6.5	6.066321E-6	6.4136802E-6	1.6413616E-5	2.5591571	1.0E-5	2.5998259E-5	2.7486927E-5	3.748665E-5	1.3637993	1.0E-5	3.1648282E-4	3.3460467E-4	3.5459799E-4	1.059752	2.0E-5	0.0031603249	0.0033412802	0.0033612135	1.0059657	2.0E-5
6.6	4.2321803E-6	4.4703684E-6	1.4470324E-5	3.236942	1.0E-5	1.8137789E-5	1.9158588E-5	2.9158395E-5	1.5219492	1.0E-5	2.208052E-4	2.3323185E-4	2.532272E-4	1.0857316	2.0E-5	0.0022058594	0.002329973	0.0023499266	1.0085638	2.0E-5
6.7	3.186646E-6	3.3671877E-6	3.3671877E-6	1.0	0.0	1.3656982E-5	1.4430729E-5	1.4430729E-5	1.0	0.0	1.6626107E-4	1.7568063E-4	1.8567887E-4	1.0569115	1.0E-5	0.0016613674	0.001755485	0.0017654673	1.0056864	1.0E-5
6.8	2.380121E-6	2.5160925E-6	2.5160925E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0200479E-5	1.0783212E-5	1.0783212E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2418375E-4	1.3127817E-4	1.4127685E-4	1.0761641	1.0E-5	0.0012411437	0.0013120521	0.001322039	1.0076116	1.0E-5
6.9	8.928287E-7	9.4501775E-7	9.4501775E-7	1.0	0.0	3.826403E-6	4.050071E-6	4.050071E-6	1.0	0.0	4.658546E-5	4.930872E-5	4.930872E-5	1.0	0.0	4.6575698E-4	4.929995E-4	4.929995E-4	1.0	0.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6204086E-4	2.9722197E-4	2.9722197E-4	1.0	6.94276E-4	0.0012733452	0.0012733452	1.0	0.008420097	0.015414683	0.015424529	1.0006387	1.0E-5	0.081081145	0.14105326	0.14106184	1.0000609	1.0E-5
6.1	1.6204086E-4	2.9722197E-4	2.9722197E-4	1.0	6.94276E-4	0.0012733452	0.0012733452	1.0	0.008420097	0.015414683	0.015424529	1.0006387	1.0E-5	0.081081145	0.14105326	0.14106184	1.0000609	1.0E-5
6.2	1.6204086E-4	2.9722197E-4	2.9722197E-4	1.0	6.94276E-4	0.0012733452	0.0012733452	1.0	0.008420097	0.015414683	0.015424529	1.0006387	1.0E-5	0.081081145	0.14105326	0.14106184	1.0000609	1.0E-5
6.3	1.0111737E-4	1.7894202E-4	1.7894202E-4	1.0	4.332882E-4	7.667885E-4	7.667885E-4	1.0	0.005262531	0.009316873	0.00932678	1.0010633	1.0E-5	0.0513964	0.08771826	0.08772739	1.000104	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0111737E-4	1.7894202E-4	1.7894202E-4	1.0	4.332882E-4	7.667885E-4	7.667885E-4	1.0	0.005262531	0.009316873	0.00932678	1.0010633	1.0E-5	0.0513964	0.08771826	0.08772739	1.000104	1.0E-5
6.5	3.6624708E-5	4.6727506E-5	4.6727506E-5	1.0	1.569536E-4	2.0024746E-4	2.0024746E-4	1.0	0.001909235	0.002435658	0.0024456335	1.0040957	1.0E-5	0.01892915	0.023840781	0.023850543	1.0004095	1.0E-5
6.6	2.5051324E-5	2.6168977E-5	2.6168977E-5	1.0	1.073584E-4	1.12148184E-4	1.12148184E-4	1.0	0.0013063047	0.0013645929	0.0013745793	1.0073181	1.0E-5	0.012986525	0.013566221	0.013576086	1.0007272	1.0E-5
6.7	2.2189772E-5	2.2058202E-5	2.2058202E-5	1.0	9.509556E-5	9.453193E-5	9.453193E-5	1.0	0.0011571734	0.0011503543	0.0011603427	1.008683	1.0E-5	0.011511663	0.011448864	0.011458749	1.0008634	1.0E-5
6.8	1.6654378E-5	1.4507297E-5	1.4507297E-5	1.0	7.137396E-5	6.217268E-5	6.217268E-5	1.0	8.686314E-4	7.566944E-4	7.6668686E-4	1.0132054	1.0E-5	0.008652439	0.0075451112	0.007555036	1.0013154	1.0E-5
6.9	1.5042909E-5	1.2503123E-5	1.2503123E-5	1.0	6.446802E-5	5.358373E-5	5.358373E-5	1.0	7.8461546E-4	6.521899E-4	6.6218333E-4	1.0153229	1.0E-5	0.007818509	0.006506228	0.006516163	1.001527	1.0E-5
7.0	1.4361385E-5	1.161502E-5	1.161502E-5	1.0	6.154734E-5	4.9777726E-5	4.9777726E-5	1.0	7.490812E-4	6.058783E-4	6.1587227E-4	1.016495	1.0E-5	0.007465612	0.006045661	0.0060556005	1.0016441	1.0E-5
7.1	1.3265571E-5	1.038915E-5	1.038915E-5	1.0	5.6851208E-5	4.4524182E-5	4.4524182E-5	1.0	6.919436E-4	5.419497E-4	5.419497E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006897931	0.0054092817	0.0054092817	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.1596403E-5	8.6119E-6	8.6119E-6	1.0	4.9697923E-5	3.690763E-5	3.690763E-5	1.0	6.049042E-4	4.4925947E-4	4.4925947E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006032603	0.004484736	0.004484736	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.0150827E-5	7.3213623E-6	7.3213623E-6	1.0	4.3502816E-5	3.1376898E-5	3.1376898E-5	1.0	5.2951806E-4	3.8194825E-4	3.8194825E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005282581	0.0038132733	0.0038132733	1.0	0.0
7.4	9.080705E-6	6.4191336E-6	6.4191336E-6	1.0	3.8916725E-5	2.751029E-5	2.751029E-5	1.0	4.7370812E-4	3.348877E-4	3.348877E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004726996	0.0033439803	0.0033439803	1.0	0.0
7.5	7.671649E-6	5.2733844E-6	5.2733844E-6	1.0	3.287808E-5	2.260003E-5	2.260003E-5	1.0	4.0021708E-4	2.751219E-4	2.751219E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0039949706	0.0027479397	0.0027479397	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.990086E-6	4.724883E-6	4.724883E-6	1.0	2.9957167E-5	2.0249348E-5	2.0249348E-5	1.0	3.6466747E-4	2.4650912E-4	2.4650912E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036406964	0.0024624744	0.0024624744	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.163505E-6	2.3537125E-6	2.3537125E-6	1.0	1.7843471E-5	1.0087305E-5	1.0087305E-5	1.0	2.172226E-4	1.2280677E-4	1.2280677E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021701038	0.0012274635	0.0012274635	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.2692414E-7	9.469766E-8	9.469766E-8	1.0	9.725317E-7	4.0584706E-7	4.0584706E-7	1.0	1.1840509E-5	4.94118E-6	4.94118E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1839878E-4	4.9411035E-5	4.9411035E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.676829E-9	3.4789496E-9	3.4789496E-9	1.0	2.861498E-8	1.4909784E-8	1.4909784E-8	1.0	3.4838732E-7	1.8152659E-7	1.8152659E-7	1.0	0.0	3.4838679E-6	1.8152646E-6	1.8152646E-6	1.0	0.0

Pleito

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.1	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.2	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.3	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.4	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.5	1.6763008E-5	2.6373227E-5	2.6373227E-5	1.0	7.183948E-5	1.13023634E-4	1.230225E-4	1.0884671	1.0E-5	8.742947E-4	0.0013752668	0.001385253	1.0072613	1.0E-5	0.00870863	0.013763583	0.013783309	1.0014331	2.0E-5
6.6	9.910213E-6	1.879513E-5	1.879513E-5	1.0	4.247165E-5	8.054809E-5	8.054809E-5	1.0	0.0	5.169696E-4	9.802356E-4	9.802356E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0051576863	0.009848611	0.009848611	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.910213E-6	1.879513E-5	1.879513E-5	1.0	4.247165E-5	8.054809E-5	8.054809E-5	1.0	0.0	5.169696E-4	9.802356E-4	9.802356E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0051576863	0.009848611	0.009848611	1.0	0.0
6.8	8.300162E-6	1.7049433E-5	1.7049433E-5	1.0	3.557164E-5	7.3066956E-5	7.3066956E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3299864E-4	8.8922866E-4	8.8922866E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004321559	0.008946027	0.008946027	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.183114E-6	1.6920254E-5	1.6920254E-5	1.0	3.5070017E-5	7.251337E-5	7.251337E-5	1.0	0.0	4.2689382E-4	8.824942E-4	8.824942E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0042607468	0.008879221	0.008879221	1.0	0.0
7.0	7.1748823E-6	1.5721384E-5	1.5721384E-5	1.0	3.0749135E-5	6.737562E-5	6.737562E-5	1.0	0.0	3.743064E-4	8.199901E-4	8.199901E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037367654	0.008258291	0.008258291	1.0	0.0
7.1	7.1671807E-6	1.5711503E-5	1.5711503E-5	1.0	3.0716128E-5	6.7333276E-5	6.7333276E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7390468E-4	8.194749E-4	8.194749E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037327618	0.008253177	0.008253177	1.0	0.0
7.2	7.0649667E-6	1.5559097E-5	1.5559097E-5	1.0	3.0278077E-5	6.668014E-5	6.668014E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6857324E-4	8.1152894E-4	8.1152894E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036796255	0.008174144	0.008174144	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.02082E-6	1.5501559E-5	1.5501559E-5	1.0	3.008888E-5	6.643356E-5	6.643356E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6627054E-4	8.085291E-4	8.085291E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036566744	0.008144155	0.008144155	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.987146E-6	1.5459933E-5	1.5459933E-5	1.0	2.9944567E-5	6.6255176E-5	6.6255176E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6451413E-4	8.0635876E-4	8.0635876E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036391679	0.0081225	0.0081225	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.9494554E-6	1.5415922E-5	1.5415922E-5	1.0	2.9783041E-5	6.606657E-5	6.606657E-5	1.0	0.0	3.625482E-4	8.040642E-4	8.040642E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036195726	0.008099676	0.008099676	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.92694E-6	1.5372463E-5	1.5372463E-5	1.0	2.9686547E-5	6.588032E-5	6.588032E-5	1.0	0.0	3.6137376E-4	8.0179836E-4	8.0179836E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0036078666	0.008077139	0.008077139	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.395867E-6	1.4190125E-5	1.4190125E-5	1.0	2.741057E-5	6.0813403E-5	6.0813403E-5	1.0	0.0	3.336726E-4	7.40152E-4	7.40152E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0033317201	0.0074653304	0.0074653304	1.0	0.0
7.8	5.8664327E-6	1.29267E-5	1.29267E-5	1.0	2.5141611E-5	5.539897E-5	5.539897E-5	1.0	0.0	3.060561E-4	6.74274E-4	6.74274E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0030563495	0.0068050404	0.0068050404	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.7167474E-6	7.956201E-6	7.956201E-6	1.0	1.592882E-5	3.409756E-5	3.409756E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9391612E-4	4.150589E-4	4.150589E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019374699	0.0041947304	0.0041947304	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.0903841E-6	1.4765369E-6	1.4765369E-6	1.0	4.6730665E-6	6.328E-6	6.328E-6	1.0	0.0	5.68931E-5	7.704069E-5	7.704069E-5	1.0	0.0	5.6878536E-4	7.9284364E-4	7.9284364E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.6894583E-7	1.4245694E-7	1.4245694E-7	1.0	1.1526245E-6	6.105296E-7	6.105296E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4033113E-5	7.433173E-6	7.433173E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4032227E-4	8.2195096E-5	8.2195096E-5	1.0	0.0
8.2	5.2967013E-9	3.2374796E-9	3.2374796E-9	1.0	2.2700148E-8	1.3874914E-8	1.3874914E-8	1.0	0.0	2.7637427E-7	1.6892706E-7	1.6892706E-7	1.0	0.0	2.7637393E-6	1.8903202E-6	1.8903202E-6	1.0	0.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.744542E-5	4.4127482E-5	5.4127042E-5	1.2266061	1.0E-5	1.604705E-4	1.8910505E-4	1.9910316E-4	1.0528706	1.0E-5	0.0019519776	0.0023000967	0.0023100737	1.0043377	1.0E-5	0.019349206	0.022781081	0.022790855	1.0004289	1.0E-5
6.1	3.744542E-5	4.4127482E-5	5.4127042E-5	1.2266061	1.0E-5	1.604705E-4	1.8910505E-4	1.9910316E-4	1.0528706	1.0E-5	0.0019519776	0.0023000967	0.0023100737	1.0043377	1.0E-5	0.019349206	0.022781081	0.022790855	1.0004289	1.0E-5
6.2	3.744542E-5	4.4127482E-5	5.4127042E-5	1.2266061	1.0E-5	1.604705E-4	1.8910505E-4	1.9910316E-4	1.0528706	1.0E-5	0.0019519776	0.0023000967	0.0023100737	1.0043377	1.0E-5	0.019349206	0.022781081	0.022790855	1.0004289	1.0E-5
6.3	2.1079984E-5	2.5437726E-5	3.543747E-5	1.3931069	1.0E-5	9.0339665E-5	1.09014385E-4	1.190133E-4	1.091721	1.0E-5	0.0010993304	0.0013264621	0.001336449	1.0075289	1.0E-5	0.010939079	0.013187681	0.01319755	1.0007483	1.0E-5
6.4	2.1079984E-5	2.5437726E-5	3.543747E-5	1.3931069	1.0E-5	9.0339665E-5	1.09014385E-4	1.190133E-4	1.091721	1.0E-5	0.0010993304	0.0013264621	0.001336449	1.0075289	1.0E-5	0.010939079	0.013187681	0.01319755	1.0007483	1.0E-5
6.5	1.7397282E-5	2.0721543E-5	3.0721338E-5	1.4825796	1.0E-5	7.455765E-5	8.880366E-5	9.880277E-5	1.112598	1.0E-5	9.073613E-4	0.00108066	0.0010906493	1.0092436	1.0E-5	0.009036654	0.010755353	0.010765245	1.0009198	1.0E-5
6.6	1.52050325E-5	1.7726865E-5	2.7726688E-5	1.5641055	1.0E-5	6.51628E-5	7.5970114E-5	8.5969354E-5	1.1316208	1.0E-5	7.9306826E-4	9.2455157E-4	9.345423E-4	1.0108061	1.0E-5	0.007902439	0.009207917	0.009217825	1.001076	1.0E-5
6.7	1.332523E-5	1.5306312E-5	2.5306157E-5	1.6533153	1.0E-5	5.7106878E-5	6.559686E-5	7.55962E-5	1.1524364	1.0E-5	6.950544E-4	7.98355E-4	8.08347E-4	1.0125158	1.0E-5	0.006928845	0.007955503	0.007965423	1.001247	1.0E-5
6.8	1.1525329E-5	1.3066787E-5	2.3066656E-5	1.7652891	1.0E-5	4.9393333E-5	5.599934E-5	6.599878E-5	1.1785636	1.0E-5	6.011979E-4	6.815829E-4	6.915761E-4	1.0146617	1.0E-5	0.00599574	0.0067953784	0.0068053105	1.0014616	1.0E-5
6.9	1.0253909E-5	1.15465655E-5	1.15465655E-5	1.0	0.0	4.3944583E-5	4.9484363E-5	4.9484363E-5	1.0	0.0	5.3489394E-4	6.023092E-4	6.023092E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0053360825	0.0060071484	0.0060071484	1.0	0.0
7.0	8.104563E-6	9.015696E-6	9.015696E-6	1.0	0.0	3.4733377E-5	3.8638143E-5	3.8638143E-5	1.0	0.0	4.2279682E-4	4.7032026E-4	4.7032026E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0042199334	0.004693498	0.004693498	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.7986157E-6	7.5371327E-6	7.5371327E-6	1.0	0.0	2.91366E-5	3.230161E-5	3.230161E-5	1.0	0.0	3.5468035E-4	3.9320329E-4	3.9320329E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003541148	0.0039252928	0.0039252928	1.0	0.0
7.2	5.6893327E-6	6.2990107E-6	6.2990107E-6	1.0	0.0	2.4382627E-5	2.6995493E-5	2.6995493E-5	1.0	0.0	2.9681803E-4	3.2862255E-4	3.2862255E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002964219	0.0032815654	0.0032815654	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.253348E-6	4.718582E-6	4.718582E-6	1.0	0.0	1.8228506E-5	2.022235E-5	2.022235E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2190946E-4	2.4618112E-4	2.4618112E-4	1.0	0.0	0.00221688	0.0024592655	0.0024592655	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.5448119E-6	2.854454E-6	2.854454E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0906291E-5	1.2233326E-5	1.2233326E-5	1.0	0.0	1.3277601E-4	1.4893222E-4	1.4893222E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001326967	0.0014884864	0.0014884864	1.0	0.0
7.5	4.3706837E-8	4.5704486E-8	4.5704486E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8731501E-7	1.9587635E-7	1.9587635E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2805577E-6	2.3847924E-6	2.3847924E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2805343E-5	2.3847724E-5	2.3847724E-5	1.0	0.0

Franklin 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.845602E-5	2.040889E-5	2.040889E-5	1.0	7.9094825E-5	8.74639E-5	8.74639E-5	1.0	9.6255407E-4	0.001064382	0.0010743714	1.0093851	1.0E-5	0.009583955	0.010609871	0.010629659	1.001865	2.0E-5
6.1	1.845602E-5	2.040889E-5	2.040889E-5	1.0	7.9094825E-5	8.74639E-5	8.74639E-5	1.0	9.6255407E-4	0.001064382	0.0010743714	1.0093851	1.0E-5	0.009583955	0.010609871	0.010629659	1.001865	2.0E-5
6.2	1.845602E-5	2.040889E-5	2.040889E-5	1.0	7.9094825E-5	8.74639E-5	8.74639E-5	1.0	9.6255407E-4	0.001064382	0.0010743714	1.0093851	1.0E-5	0.009583955	0.010609871	0.010629659	1.001865	2.0E-5
6.3	1.3813506E-5	1.5334068E-5	1.5334068E-5	1.0	5.9199396E-5	6.571582E-5	6.571582E-5	1.0	7.205143E-4	7.998042E-4	8.097962E-4	1.012493	1.0E-5	0.007181826	0.007984154	0.008003995	1.0024849	2.0E-5
6.4	1.3813506E-5	1.5334068E-5	1.5334068E-5	1.0	5.9199396E-5	6.571582E-5	6.571582E-5	1.0	7.205143E-4	7.998042E-4	8.097962E-4	1.012493	1.0E-5	0.007181826	0.007984154	0.008003995	1.0024849	2.0E-5
6.5	1.1308949E-5	1.2587479E-5	1.2587479E-5	1.0	4.8466023E-5	5.3945234E-5	5.3945234E-5	1.0	5.899141E-4	6.565874E-4	6.665808E-4	1.0152203	1.0E-5	0.0058835056	0.0065608122	0.0065806806	1.0030284	2.0E-5
6.6	1.0813164E-5	1.2043845E-5	1.2043845E-5	1.0	4.6341313E-5	5.161547E-5	5.161547E-5	1.0	5.640594E-4	6.2823907E-4	6.3823274E-4	1.0159075	1.0E-5	0.005626298	0.006278951	0.0062988256	1.0031652	2.0E-5
6.7	1.0706348E-5	1.192522E-5	1.192522E-5	1.0	4.5883542E-5	5.1107094E-5	5.1107094E-5	1.0	5.5848894E-4	6.220531E-4	6.320469E-4	1.0160658	1.0E-5	0.005570874	0.0062174397	0.0062373155	1.0031967	2.0E-5
6.8	9.443655E-6	1.0512004E-5	1.0512004E-5	1.0	4.0472176E-5	4.5050678E-5	4.5050678E-5	1.0	4.9263734E-4	5.4835534E-4	5.583498E-4	1.0182264	1.0E-5	0.0049154665	0.0054842927	0.005504183	1.0036268	2.0E-5
6.9	8.7001645E-6	9.68257E-6	9.68257E-6	1.0	3.728589E-5	4.1496074E-5	4.1496074E-5	1.0	4.538611E-4	5.0509884E-4	5.150938E-4	1.0197881	1.0E-5	0.0045293528	0.005053763	0.005073662	1.0039375	2.0E-5
7.0	8.074731E-6	8.973889E-6	8.973889E-6	1.0	3.460553E-5	3.8458966E-5	3.8458966E-5	1.0	4.212409E-4	4.681384E-4	4.781337E-4	1.0213512	1.0E-5	0.004204433	0.004685759	0.0047056656	1.0042483	2.0E-5
7.1	7.3370957E-6	8.11609E-6	8.11609E-6	1.0	3.1444317E-5	3.4782784E-5	3.4782784E-5	1.0	3.8276732E-4	4.2339915E-4	4.3339492E-4	1.0236083	1.0E-5	0.0038210868	0.0042400104	0.0042599253	1.004697	2.0E-5
7.2	5.1750103E-6	5.5999217E-6	5.5999217E-6	1.0	2.2178427E-5	2.3999444E-5	2.3999444E-5	1.0	2.699889E-4	2.9215438E-4	3.0215146E-4	1.0342184	1.0E-5	0.002696611	0.0029310766	0.002951018	1.0068034	2.0E-5
7.3	3.5221371E-6	3.917418E-6	3.917418E-6	1.0	1.5094786E-5	1.6788827E-5	1.6788827E-5	1.0	1.8376352E-4	2.043849E-4	2.1438285E-4	1.0489173	1.0E-5	0.0018361164	0.0020548655	0.0020748244	1.009713	2.0E-5
7.4	2.5749775E-6	2.9198447E-6	2.9198447E-6	1.0	1.1035571E-5	1.251356E-5	1.251356E-5	1.0	1.343498E-4	1.5234202E-4	1.5234202E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001342686	0.0015341142	0.0015440988	1.0065085	1.0E-5
7.5	1.3642131E-6	1.6223793E-6	1.6223793E-6	1.0	5.8466144E-6	6.9530356E-6	6.9530356E-6	1.0	7.1180206E-5	8.464994E-5	8.464994E-5	1.0	0.0	7.115741E-4	8.5655734E-4	8.5655734E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.329124E-7	7.27702E-7	7.27702E-7	1.0	2.2839083E-6	3.1187192E-6	3.1187192E-6	1.0	2.7806227E-5	3.796975E-5	3.796975E-5	1.0	0.0	2.780275E-4	3.8955885E-4	3.8955885E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.199127E-7	6.045761E-7	6.045761E-7	1.0	1.7996247E-6	2.5910379E-6	2.5910379E-6	1.0	2.191021E-5	3.1545434E-5	3.1545434E-5	1.0	0.0	2.190805E-4	3.2517678E-4	3.2517678E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.2586491E-7	3.3941984E-7	3.3941984E-7	1.0	9.67992E-7	1.4546557E-6	1.4546557E-6	1.0	1.178524E-5	1.771029E-5	1.771029E-5	1.0	0.0	1.17846146E-4	1.8306312E-4	1.8306312E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.4568845E-7	2.3541739E-7	2.3541739E-7	1.0	6.243789E-7	1.0089313E-6	1.0089313E-6	1.0	7.601787E-6	1.228367E-5	1.228367E-5	1.0	0.0	7.601527E-5	1.2698429E-4	1.2698429E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	5.2868224E-8	1.113563E-7	1.113563E-7	1.0	2.2657808E-7	4.772412E-7	4.772412E-7	1.0	2.7585847E-6	5.810396E-6	5.810396E-6	1.0	0.0	2.7585504E-5	5.9737125E-5	5.9737125E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	2.654434E-9	5.2123936E-9	5.2123936E-9	1.0	1.1376145E-8	2.233883E-8	2.233883E-8	1.0	1.3850456E-7	2.719752E-7	2.719752E-7	1.0	0.0	1.3850448E-6	2.7800509E-6	2.7800509E-6	1.0	0.0

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.0263006E-4	2.0169224E-4	2.0169224E-4	1.0	4.3976895E-4	8.641261E-4	8.641261E-4	1.0	0.00534105	0.010458186	0.010477977	1.0018923	2.0E-5	0.05214491	0.097766794	0.09778484	1.0001845	2.0E-5
6.1	6.99169E-5	1.368445E-4	1.368445E-4	1.0	2.9960944E-4	5.863459E-4	5.863459E-4	1.0	0.0036416445	0.0071107754	0.0071207043	1.0013963	1.0E-5	0.035825435	0.06746066	0.06746999	1.0001383	1.0E-5
6.2	6.99169E-5	1.368445E-4	1.368445E-4	1.0	2.9960944E-4	5.863459E-4	5.863459E-4	1.0	0.0036416445	0.0071107754	0.0071207043	1.0013963	1.0E-5	0.035825435	0.06746066	0.06746999	1.0001383	1.0E-5
6.3	6.970908E-5	1.3652797E-4	1.3652797E-4	1.0	2.9871898E-4	5.849903E-4	5.849903E-4	1.0	0.0036308395	0.0070944135	0.0071043423	1.0013995	1.0E-5	0.035720866	0.0673102	0.06731953	1.0001385	1.0E-5
6.4	6.9517155E-5	1.3620323E-4	1.3620323E-4	1.0	2.9789665E-4	5.835992E-4	5.835992E-4	1.0	0.0036208609	0.0070776273	0.0070875566	1.0014029	1.0E-5	0.03562429	0.06715627	0.0671656	1.0001389	1.0E-5
6.5	4.786248E-5	9.3979404E-5	9.3979404E-5	1.0	2.0510878E-4	4.0270927E-4	4.0270927E-4	1.0	0.0024943394	0.004892407	0.0049023577	1.002034	1.0E-5	0.02466527	0.046902657	0.04691219	1.0002033	1.0E-5
6.6	4.4662214E-5	8.873382E-5	8.873382E-5	1.0	1.9139545E-4	3.8023494E-4	3.8023494E-4	1.0	0.0023277493	0.004619991	0.004629945	1.0021545	1.0E-5	0.02303517	0.04433231	0.04434187	1.0002155	1.0E-5
6.7	3.884542E-5	7.863781E-5	7.863781E-5	1.0	1.6646975E-4	3.369781E-4	3.369781E-4	1.0	0.002024885	0.0040954263	0.0041053854	1.0024318	1.0E-5	0.020065336	0.03940178	0.03941139	1.0002438	1.0E-5
6.8	3.4221863E-5	6.859977E-5	6.859977E-5	1.0	1.4665688E-4	2.9396822E-4	2.9396822E-4	1.0	0.0017840851	0.0035736028	0.003583567	1.0027883	1.0E-5	0.017698295	0.03450285	0.0345125	1.0002798	1.0E-5
6.9	1.6927712E-5	3.0322255E-5	3.0322255E-5	1.0	7.2545314E-5	1.2994638E-4	1.2994638E-4	1.0	8.828813E-4	0.0015810055	0.0015909898	1.0063151	1.0E-5	0.008793819	0.015600588	0.015610432	1.000631	1.0E-5
7.0	1.2509653E-5	2.2706301E-5	2.2706301E-5	1.0	5.3611697E-5	9.730934E-5	9.730934E-5	1.0	6.525269E-4	0.001184141	0.0011941291	1.0084349	1.0E-5	0.0065061417	0.011709791	0.011719674	1.000844	1.0E-5
7.1	8.751583E-6	1.5207615E-5	1.5207615E-5	1.0	3.750624E-5	6.51739E-5	6.51739E-5	1.0	4.5654282E-4	7.932095E-4	8.032015E-4	1.012597	1.0E-5	0.0045560603	0.007904264	0.007914185	1.0012552	1.0E-5
7.2	6.354379E-6	1.1760085E-5	1.1760085E-5	1.0	2.7232769E-5	5.0399416E-5	5.0399416E-5	1.0	3.3150852E-4	6.134452E-4	6.134452E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0033101442	0.006130346	0.006130346	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.645554E-6	9.0472995E-6	9.0472995E-6	1.0	1.9909365E-5	3.877359E-5	3.877359E-5	1.0	2.4236954E-4	4.7197033E-4	4.7197033E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0024210536	0.00472539	0.00472539	1.0	0.0
7.4	4.23437E-6	8.206074E-6	8.206074E-6	1.0	1.8147173E-5	3.516844E-5	3.516844E-5	1.0	2.2091944E-4	4.2809566E-4	4.2809566E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0022069993	0.004289163	0.004289163	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.2187417E-6	4.0672003E-6	4.0672003E-6	1.0	9.508858E-6	1.7430757E-5	1.7430757E-5	1.0	1.157642E-4	2.1220156E-4	2.1220156E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011570391	0.002132319	0.002132319	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.7952495E-8	3.9566313E-8	3.9566313E-8	1.0	1.1979641E-7	1.695699E-7	1.695699E-7	1.0	1.4585203E-6	2.0645116E-6	2.0645116E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4585107E-5	2.0739097E-5	2.0739097E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.7192724E-8	2.3941878E-8	2.3941878E-8	1.0	7.36831E-8	1.0260804E-7	1.0260804E-7	1.0	8.9709135E-7	1.2492523E-6	1.2492523E-6	1.0	0.0	8.970877E-6	1.2557216E-5	1.2557216E-5	1.0	0.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	7.0775226E-5	1.2812721E-4	1.3812594E-4	1.0780374	1.0E-5	3.0328715E-4	5.490006E-4	5.5899506E-4	1.0182049	1.0E-5	0.00368627	0.0066635953	0.006673529	1.0014907	1.0E-5	0.036257185	0.06458449	0.06459385	1.0001448	1.0E-5
6.1	7.062078E-5	1.2812721E-4	1.3812594E-4	1.0780374	1.0E-5	3.0262535E-4	5.490006E-4	5.5899506E-4	1.0182049	1.0E-5	0.00367824	0.0066635953	0.006673529	1.0014907	1.0E-5	0.03617951	0.06458449	0.06459385	1.0001448	1.0E-5
6.2	7.035022E-5	1.2812721E-4	1.3812594E-4	1.0780374	1.0E-5	3.0146612E-4	5.490006E-4	5.5899506E-4	1.0182049	1.0E-5	0.003664174	0.0066635953	0.006673529	1.0014907	1.0E-5	0.036043428	0.06458449	0.06459385	1.0001448	1.0E-5
6.3	6.894245E-5	1.2572284E-4	1.3572158E-4	1.07953	1.0E-5	2.9543418E-4	5.3870113E-4	5.4869574E-4	1.0185531	1.0E-5	0.0035909796	0.0065390132	0.0065489477	1.0015193	1.0E-5	0.035335038	0.063425235	0.0634346	1.0001477	1.0E-5
6.4	6.662423E-5	1.2169629E-4	1.3169507E-4	1.0821618	1.0E-5	2.8550113E-4	5.2145164E-4	5.314464E-4	1.0191672	1.0E-5	0.0034704367	0.0063302675	0.0063402043	1.0015697	1.0E-5	0.034167375	0.06147925	0.061488636	1.0001527	1.0E-5
6.5	6.569133E-5	1.202903E-4	1.302891E-4	1.0831223	1.0E-5	2.8150392E-4	5.1542843E-4	5.2542327E-4	1.0193913	1.0E-5	0.0034219243	0.0062573715	0.0062673087	1.0015881	1.0E-5	0.03369709	0.060794957	0.060804352	1.0001545	1.0E-5
6.6	6.289601E-5	1.156767E-4	1.2567555E-4	1.0864378	1.0E-5	2.6952647E-4	4.956635E-4	5.0565857E-4	1.020165	1.0E-5	0.0032765474	0.006018088	0.006028028	1.0016516	1.0E-5	0.032286562	0.058551285	0.0585607	1.0001608	1.0E-5
6.7	6.115274E-5	1.1283379E-4	1.2283266E-4	1.0886159	1.0E-5	2.6205686E-4	4.8348415E-4	4.934793E-4	1.0206732	1.0E-5	0.0031858748	0.005870614	0.0058805556	1.0016934	1.0E-5	0.031405866	0.057164814	0.05717424	1.000165	1.0E-5
6.8	5.9232367E-5	1.0947218E-4	1.19471086E-4	1.0913374	1.0E-5	2.538283E-4	4.690825E-4	4.790778E-4	1.0213082	1.0E-5	0.0030859804	0.005696204	0.0057061473	1.0017456	1.0E-5	0.030434765	0.055516582	0.05552603	1.0001701	1.0E-5
6.9	5.4030377E-5	1.0029929E-4	1.10298286E-4	1.0996916	1.0E-5	2.315382E-4	4.297836E-4	4.397793E-4	1.0232575	1.0E-5	0.0028153337	0.0052201296	0.0052300775	1.0019057	1.0E-5	0.027799325	0.051001772	0.051011264	1.0001861	1.0E-5
7.0	4.8260714E-5	8.934963E-5	9.934874E-5	1.1119099	1.0E-5	2.0681522E-4	3.8287108E-4	3.9286725E-4	1.0261085	1.0E-5	0.0025150678	0.004651549	0.0046615023	1.0021398	1.0E-5	0.024867928	0.0455976	0.045607146	1.0002093	1.0E-5
7.1	4.0294493E-5	7.565162E-5	7.565162E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7267925E-4	3.2418114E-4	3.2418114E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021003427	0.0039398023	0.0039398023	1.0	0.0	0.02080602	0.038769644	0.038769644	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.096388E-5	5.8515063E-5	5.8515063E-5	1.0	0.0	1.326956E-4	2.5075485E-4	2.5075485E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016143717	0.0030486896	0.0030486896	1.0	0.0	0.01602694	0.030181931	0.030181931	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.3615226E-5	4.486404E-5	4.486404E-5	1.0	0.0	1.0120418E-4	1.9226037E-4	1.9226037E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012314644	0.0023382716	0.0023382716	1.0	0.0	0.0122466255	0.02323887	0.02323887	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.8251132E-5	3.4572746E-5	3.4572746E-5	1.0	0.0	7.821679E-5	1.4816054E-4	1.4816054E-4	1.0	0.0	9.518733E-4	0.0018023726	0.0018023726	1.0	0.0	0.009478063	0.017970717	0.017970717	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.2411432E-5	2.322448E-5	2.322448E-5	1.0	0.0	5.3190768E-5	9.952972E-5	9.952972E-5	1.0	0.0	6.4740516E-4	0.0012111069	0.0012111069	1.0	0.0	0.006455223	0.012119656	0.012119656	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.4771446E-6	8.365605E-6	8.365605E-6	1.0	0.0	1.918762E-5	3.5852107E-5	3.5852107E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3358424E-4	4.364133E-4	4.364133E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0023333887	0.0043845195	0.0043845195	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.157941E-7	3.742308E-7	3.742308E-7	1.0	0.0	9.248315E-7	1.6038454E-6	1.6038454E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1259765E-5	1.9526642E-5	1.9526642E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1259195E-4	2.008016E-4	2.008016E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	9.9623286E-8	2.1508627E-7	2.1508627E-7	1.0	0.0	4.269569E-7	9.21798E-7	9.21798E-7	1.0	0.0	5.1981874E-6	1.1222833E-5	1.1222833E-5	1.0	0.0	5.198066E-5	1.167796E-4	1.167796E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	5.6745257E-8	1.2786423E-7	1.2786423E-7	1.0	0.0	2.4319394E-7	5.4798943E-7	5.4798943E-7	1.0	0.0	2.960882E-6	6.6717507E-6	6.6717507E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9608427E-5	6.956494E-5	6.956494E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.8614323E-8	7.170961E-8	7.170961E-8	1.0	0.0	1.2263281E-7	3.0732684E-7	3.0732684E-7	1.0	0.0	1.4930534E-6	3.741698E-6	3.741698E-6	1.0	0.0	1.4930434E-5	3.8631675E-5	3.8631675E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	3.5045191E-9	9.767879E-9	9.767879E-9	1.0	0.0	1.5019367E-8	4.1862343E-8	4.1862343E-8	1.0	0.0	1.8286079E-7	5.096739E-7	5.096739E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8286064E-6	5.2083656E-6	5.2083656E-6	1.0	0.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.233523E-5	2.5223973E-5	2.5223973E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.0809922E-4	1.1809814E-4	1.0924976	1.0E-5	0.0011647546	0.0013154831	0.00132547	1.0075917	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.0130937155	0.013103585	1.0007538	1.0E-5
6.1	2.233523E-5	2.5223973E-5	2.5223973E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.0809922E-4	1.1809814E-4	1.0924976	1.0E-5	0.0011647546	0.0013154831	0.00132547	1.0075917	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.0130937155	0.013103585	1.0007538	1.0E-5
6.2	2.233523E-5	2.5223973E-5	2.5223973E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.0809922E-4	1.1809814E-4	1.0924976	1.0E-5	0.0011647546	0.0013154831	0.00132547	1.0075917	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.0130937155	0.013103585	1.0007538	1.0E-5
6.3	2.233523E-5	2.5223973E-5	2.5223973E-5	1.0	9.571891E-5	1.0809922E-4	1.1809814E-4	1.0924976	1.0E-5	0.0011647546	0.0013154831	0.00132547	1.0075917	1.0E-5	0.011586686	0.0130937155	0.013103585	1.0007538	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2288092E-5	1.3844196E-5	1.3844196E-5	1.0	5.2662188E-5	5.933145E-5	5.933145E-5	1.0	0.0	6.409735E-4	7.222156E-4	7.222156E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006391279	0.0072079767	0.0072079767	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.2288092E-5	1.3844196E-5	1.3844196E-5	1.0	5.2662188E-5	5.933145E-5	5.933145E-5	1.0	0.0	6.409735E-4	7.222156E-4	7.222156E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006391279	0.0072079767	0.0072079767	1.0	0.0
6.6	8.58281E-6	9.678217E-6	9.678217E-6	1.0	3.6782953E-5	4.1477884E-5	4.1477884E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4774043E-4	5.0496025E-4	5.0496025E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0044683935	0.005046364	0.005046364	1.0	0.0
6.7	7.205685E-6	8.12563E-6	8.12563E-6	1.0	3.088114E-5	3.482413E-5	3.482413E-5	1.0	0.0	3.7591302E-4	4.239838E-4	4.239838E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0037527776	0.0042398376	0.0042398376	1.0	0.0

Fitzhugh Creek

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.0164323E-6	3.007499E-6	3.007499E-6	1.0	1.7213168E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.0	2.0955017E-4	1.5691592E-4	1.6691435E-4	1.0637184	1.0E-5	0.0020935268	0.0015681431	0.0015781274	1.006367	1.0E-5
6.1	2.9741811E-6	3.007499E-6	3.007499E-6	1.0	1.2746428E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.0	1.5517672E-4	1.5691592E-4	1.6691435E-4	1.0637184	1.0E-5	0.001550684	0.0015681431	0.0015781274	1.006367	1.0E-5
6.2	2.9741811E-6	3.007499E-6	3.007499E-6	1.0	1.2746428E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.28892225E-5	1.0	1.5517672E-4	1.5691592E-4	1.6691435E-4	1.0637184	1.0E-5	0.001550684	0.0015681431	0.0015781274	1.006367	1.0E-5
6.3	1.4781198E-6	1.4948303E-6	1.4948303E-6	1.0	6.3347834E-6	6.406401E-6	6.406401E-6	1.0	7.712326E-5	7.799534E-5	7.799534E-5	1.0	0.0	7.70965E-4	7.796994E-4	7.796994E-4	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.4781198E-6	1.4948303E-6	1.4948303E-6	1.0	6.3347834E-6	6.406401E-6	6.406401E-6	1.0	7.712326E-5	7.799534E-5	7.799534E-5	1.0	0.0	7.70965E-4	7.796994E-4	7.796994E-4	1.0	0.0
6.5	9.5176676E-7	9.625676E-7	9.625676E-7	1.0	4.078994E-6	4.125284E-6	4.125284E-6	1.0	4.9660623E-5	5.022428E-5	5.022428E-5	1.0	0.0	4.964952E-4	5.021396E-4	5.021396E-4	1.0	0.0
6.6	6.21145E-7	6.2817196E-7	6.2817196E-7	1.0	2.662047E-6	2.6921632E-6	2.6921632E-6	1.0	3.2409942E-5	3.277666E-5	3.277666E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2405215E-4	3.277248E-4	3.277248E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	2.2377962E-7	2.2625925E-7	2.2625925E-7	1.0	9.590551E-7	9.696823E-7	9.696823E-7	1.0	1.1676434E-5	1.180585E-5	1.180585E-5	1.0	0.0	1.1675821E-4	1.1805533E-4	1.1805533E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.4785022E-7	1.4947285E-7	1.4947285E-7	1.0	6.3364365E-7	6.4059793E-7	6.4059793E-7	1.0	7.714584E-6	7.79928E-6	7.79928E-6	1.0	0.0	7.714316E-5	7.7992794E-5	7.7992794E-5	1.0	0.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.9164563E-5	3.169261E-5	3.169261E-5	1.0	1.2498499E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.0	0.0015206301	0.0016524814	0.0016524814	1.0	0.015102667	0.016415779	0.016425613	1.0005991	1.0E-5
6.1	2.9164563E-5	3.169261E-5	3.169261E-5	1.0	1.2498499E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.0	0.0015206301	0.0016524814	0.0016524814	1.0	0.015102667	0.016415779	0.016425613	1.0005991	1.0E-5
6.2	2.9164563E-5	3.169261E-5	3.169261E-5	1.0	1.2498499E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.3581917E-4	1.0	0.0015206301	0.0016524814	0.0016524814	1.0	0.015102667	0.016415779	0.016425613	1.0005991	1.0E-5
6.3	1.6635553E-5	1.7844623E-5	1.7844623E-5	1.0	7.1293274E-5	7.647482E-5	7.647482E-5	1.0	8.6765E-4	9.307015E-4	9.307015E-4	1.0	0.008642701	0.009269921	0.009269921	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.6635553E-5	1.7844623E-5	1.7844623E-5	1.0	7.1293274E-5	7.647482E-5	7.647482E-5	1.0	8.6765E-4	9.307015E-4	9.307015E-4	1.0	0.008642701	0.009269921	0.009269921	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.2238748E-5	1.3068434E-5	1.3068434E-5	1.0	5.2450723E-5	5.6006393E-5	5.6006393E-5	1.0	6.3840044E-4	6.816682E-4	6.816682E-4	1.0	0.0063656955	0.0067961738	0.0067961738	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.0489767E-5	1.1176575E-5	1.1176575E-5	1.0	4.495537E-5	4.789874E-5	4.789874E-5	1.0	5.4719415E-4	5.8301335E-4	5.8301335E-4	1.0	0.005458487	0.005815081	0.005815081	1.0	0.0
6.7	8.699222E-6	9.251576E-6	9.251576E-6	1.0	3.7281847E-5	3.964901E-5	3.964901E-5	1.0	4.5381195E-4	4.8262032E-4	4.8262032E-4	1.0	0.0045288634	0.0048157903	0.0048157903	1.0	0.0
6.8	8.307732E-6	8.830669E-6	8.830669E-6	1.0	3.560408E-5	3.7845177E-5	3.7845177E-5	1.0	4.3339343E-4	4.6066803E-4	4.6066803E-4	1.0	0.004325492	0.0045971847	0.0045971847	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.073121E-6	8.578317E-6	8.578317E-6	1.0	3.459863E-5	3.67637E-5	3.67637E-5	1.0	4.2115687E-4	4.4750652E-4	4.4750652E-4	1.0	0.004203596	0.0044661057	0.0044661057	1.0	0.0
7.0	7.617019E-6	8.087914E-6	8.087914E-6	1.0	3.264396E-5	3.4662025E-5	3.4662025E-5	1.0	3.9736772E-4	4.2192885E-4	4.2192885E-4	1.0	0.003966579	0.004211325	0.004211325	1.0	0.0
7.1	7.1224836E-6	7.5583175E-6	7.5583175E-6	1.0	3.052457E-5	3.239239E-5	3.239239E-5	1.0	3.715733E-4	3.9430632E-4	3.9430632E-4	1.0	0.003709526	0.00393611	0.00393611	1.0	0.0
7.2	6.441115E-6	6.8387467E-6	6.8387467E-6	1.0	2.7604487E-5	2.9308585E-5	2.9308585E-5	1.0	3.360328E-4	3.5677385E-4	3.5677385E-4	1.0	0.0033552512	0.0035620392	0.0035620392	1.0	0.0
7.3	5.494274E-6	5.8294686E-6	5.8294686E-6	1.0	2.3546674E-5	2.4983197E-5	2.4983197E-5	1.0	2.8664304E-4	3.041282E-4	3.041282E-4	1.0	0.002862736	0.003037143	0.003037143	1.0	0.0
7.4	4.0802624E-6	4.318769E-6	4.318769E-6	1.0	1.7486722E-5	1.8508877E-5	1.8508877E-5	1.0	2.1288003E-4	2.2532236E-4	2.2532236E-4	1.0	0.0021267622	0.002250948	0.002250948	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.3584746E-6	2.4789265E-6	2.4789265E-6	1.0	1.0107709E-5	1.0623928E-5	1.0623928E-5	1.0	1.2305441E-4	1.2933869E-4	1.2933869E-4	1.0	0.0012298629	0.0012926392	0.0012926392	1.0	0.0
7.6	9.4981914E-7	9.873436E-7	9.873436E-7	1.0	4.0706473E-6	4.2314655E-6	4.2314655E-6	1.0	4.9559E-5	5.1516887E-5	5.1516887E-5	1.0	4.954795E-4	5.150507E-4	5.150507E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.6013532E-7	2.6446122E-7	2.6446122E-7	1.0	1.1148652E-6	1.1334048E-6	1.1334048E-6	1.0	1.3573399E-5	1.37991165E-5	1.37991165E-5	1.0	1.357257E-4	1.3798267E-4	1.3798267E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.1522263E-8	3.969751E-8	3.969751E-8	1.0	1.7795254E-7	1.7013218E-7	1.7013218E-7	1.0	2.16657E-6	2.0713576E-6	2.0713576E-6	1.0	2.1665488E-5	2.0713404E-5	2.0713404E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	7.7242046E-10	5.9971017E-10	5.9971017E-10	1.0	3.3103735E-9	2.5701865E-9	2.5701865E-9	1.0	4.0303796E-8	3.1292018E-8	3.1292018E-8	1.0	4.030379E-7	3.1292018E-7	3.1292018E-7	1.0	0.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.155506E-5	7.9600286E-5	7.9600286E-5	1.0	2.6378073E-4	3.4110263E-4	3.4110263E-4	1.0	0.0032068014	0.00414548	0.004155439	1.0024023	1.0E-5	0.03160919	0.040731244	0.040740836	1.0002356	1.0E-5
6.1	6.155506E-5	7.9600286E-5	7.9600286E-5	1.0	2.6378073E-4	3.4110263E-4	3.4110263E-4	1.0	0.0032068014	0.00414548	0.004155439	1.0024023	1.0E-5	0.03160919	0.040731244	0.040740836	1.0002356	1.0E-5
6.2	4.1335024E-5	5.2749238E-5	5.2749238E-5	1.0	1.7713808E-4	2.2604958E-4	2.2604958E-4	1.0	0.0021545228	0.002748833	0.0027588054	1.0036279	1.0E-5	0.021337535	0.027164647	0.027174376	1.0003581	1.0E-5
6.3	4.1335024E-5	5.2749238E-5	5.2749238E-5	1.0	1.7713808E-4	2.2604958E-4	2.2604958E-4	1.0	0.0021545228	0.002748833	0.0027588054	1.0036279	1.0E-5	0.021337535	0.027164647	0.027174376	1.0003581	1.0E-5
6.4	3.2393702E-5	4.1062358E-5	4.1062358E-5	1.0	1.3882275E-4	1.7597027E-4	1.7597027E-4	1.0	0.0016888566	0.0021404382	0.0021504168	1.0046619	1.0E-5	0.016760793	0.021209272	0.02121906	1.0004615	1.0E-5
6.5	2.7205504E-5	3.43733E-5	3.43733E-5	1.0	1.1658981E-4	1.4730632E-4	1.4730632E-4	1.0	0.0014185566	0.0017920728	0.0018020548	1.0055702	1.0E-5	0.014095354	0.017785741	0.017795563	1.0005523	1.0E-5
6.6	2.069265E-5	2.608612E-5	2.608612E-5	1.0	8.867977E-5	1.1179335E-4	1.1179335E-4	1.0	0.0010791414	0.0013603185	0.0013703048	1.0073413	1.0E-5	0.010739161	0.0135283265	0.013538191	1.0007292	1.0E-5
6.7	1.8060919E-5	2.2771563E-5	2.2771563E-5	1.0	7.7401644E-5	9.7589225E-5	9.7589225E-5	1.0	9.419576E-4	0.0011875826	0.0011975707	1.0084105	1.0E-5	0.009379748	0.011820464	0.011830347	1.000836	1.0E-5
6.8	1.4474663E-5	1.827195E-5	1.827195E-5	1.0	6.203279E-5	7.8306446E-5	7.8306446E-5	1.0	7.5498753E-4	9.5304084E-4	9.630313E-4	1.0104828	1.0E-5	0.007524277	0.009497121	0.009507026	1.001043	1.0E-5
6.9	8.564552E-6	1.0851141E-5	1.0851141E-5	1.0	3.6704707E-5	4.6504436E-5	4.6504436E-5	1.0	4.4678818E-4	5.661113E-4	5.761056E-4	1.0176544	1.0E-5	0.0044589094	0.0056532384	0.0056631817	1.0017589	1.0E-5

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.08484E-5	3.113701E-5	3.113701E-5	1.0	1.3220073E-4	1.334378E-4	1.334378E-4	1.0	0.0016083556	0.0016234478	0.0016234478	1.0	0.015967647	0.016121527	0.016131366	1.0006102	1.0E-5
6.1	2.7299884E-5	3.113701E-5	3.113701E-5	1.0	1.16994255E-4	1.334378E-4	1.334378E-4	1.0	0.0014234743	0.0016234478	0.0016234478	1.0	0.014143906	0.016121527	0.016131366	1.0006102	1.0E-5
6.2	2.7299884E-5	3.113701E-5	3.113701E-5	1.0	1.16994255E-4	1.334378E-4	1.334378E-4	1.0	0.0014234743	0.0016234478	0.0016234478	1.0	0.014143906	0.016121527	0.016131366	1.0006102	1.0E-5
6.3	2.0546433E-5	2.3474591E-5	2.3474591E-5	1.0	8.805317E-5	1.0060162E-4	1.0060162E-4	1.0	0.00107152	0.001224155	0.001224155	1.0	0.010663681	0.0121761365	0.0121761365	1.0	0.0
6.4	2.0546433E-5	2.3474591E-5	2.3474591E-5	1.0	8.805317E-5	1.0060162E-4	1.0060162E-4	1.0	0.00107152	0.001224155	0.001224155	1.0	0.010663681	0.0121761365	0.0121761365	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.7779594E-5	2.034067E-5	2.034067E-5	1.0	7.619603E-5	8.7171466E-5	8.7171466E-5	1.0	9.272918E-4	0.0010608092	0.0010608092	1.0	0.009234319	0.0105589	0.0105589	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.6272212E-5	1.862811E-5	1.862811E-5	1.0	6.973618E-5	7.983239E-5	7.983239E-5	1.0	8.487073E-4	9.71538E-4	9.71538E-4	1.0	0.008454733	0.0096741915	0.0096741915	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.3051484E-5	1.4977904E-5	1.4977904E-5	1.0	5.593373E-5	6.4189495E-5	6.4189495E-5	1.0	6.807804E-4	7.812363E-4	7.812363E-4	1.0	0.006786986	0.0077858716	0.0077858716	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.04277415E-5	1.1941254E-5	1.1941254E-5	1.0	4.4689557E-5	5.117584E-5	5.117584E-5	1.0	5.439595E-4	6.228951E-4	6.228951E-4	1.0	0.0054262993	0.0062122378	0.0062122378	1.0	0.0
6.9	7.639968E-6	8.756898E-6	8.756898E-6	1.0	3.274231E-5	3.7529055E-5	3.7529055E-5	1.0	3.9856473E-4	4.5682627E-4	4.5682627E-4	1.0	0.003978506	0.0045594517	0.0045594517	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.919831E-6	4.513594E-6	4.513594E-6	1.0	1.679917E-5	1.9343843E-5	1.9343843E-5	1.0	2.045107E-4	2.3548791E-4	2.3548791E-4	1.0	0.0020432258	0.00235259	0.00235259	1.0	0.0
7.1	1.6017933E-6	1.8452168E-6	1.8452168E-6	1.0	6.8648105E-6	7.908054E-6	7.908054E-6	1.0	8.357586E-5	9.6277356E-5	9.6277356E-5	1.0	8.3544437E-4	9.6245966E-4	9.6245966E-4	1.0	0.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4563478E-5	1.5026478E-5	1.5026478E-5	1.0	6.241341E-5	6.439761E-5	6.439761E-5	1.0	7.5961836E-4	7.8376086E-4	7.93753E-4	1.012749	1.0E-5	0.00757027	0.007810218	0.00782014	1.0012704	1.0E-5
6.1	1.0966133E-5	1.1311309E-5	1.1311309E-5	1.0	4.6996865E-5	4.8476144E-5	4.8476144E-5	1.0	5.720366E-4	5.9003796E-4	6.0003204E-4	1.0169381	1.0E-5	0.0057056635	0.0058848094	0.0058947504	1.0016893	1.0E-5
6.2	1.0966133E-5	1.1311309E-5	1.1311309E-5	1.0	4.6996865E-5	4.8476144E-5	4.8476144E-5	1.0	5.720366E-4	5.9003796E-4	6.0003204E-4	1.0169381	1.0E-5	0.0057056635	0.0058848094	0.0058947504	1.0016893	1.0E-5
6.3	8.926149E-6	9.204145E-6	9.204145E-6	1.0	3.8254362E-5	3.944574E-5	3.944574E-5	1.0	4.6564735E-4	4.8014635E-4	4.9014157E-4	1.020817	1.0E-5	0.0046467283	0.0047911345	0.0048010866	1.0020772	1.0E-5
6.4	7.676955E-6	7.913352E-6	7.913352E-6	1.0	3.290082E-5	3.391393E-5	3.391393E-5	1.0	4.0049385E-4	4.1282404E-4	4.228199E-4	1.0242134	1.0E-5	0.0039977287	0.0041205976	0.0041305567	1.0024168	1.0E-5
6.5	6.1671026E-6	6.353972E-6	6.353972E-6	1.0	2.6430173E-5	2.7231024E-5	2.7231024E-5	1.0	3.2173982E-4	3.3148736E-4	3.3148736E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003212744	0.0033099412	0.0033099412	1.0	0.0
6.6	5.553456E-6	5.720564E-6	5.720564E-6	1.0	2.3800309E-5	2.4516472E-5	2.4516472E-5	1.0	2.897302E-4	2.9844724E-4	2.9844724E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028935277	0.002980473	0.002980473	1.0	0.0
6.7	4.787857E-6	4.9299447E-6	4.9299447E-6	1.0	2.0519226E-5	2.1128162E-5	2.1128162E-5	1.0	2.4979294E-4	2.5720504E-4	2.5720504E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0024951235	0.0025690794	0.0025690794	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.9955166E-6	4.1111475E-6	4.1111475E-6	1.0	1.7123532E-5	1.7619084E-5	1.7619084E-5	1.0	2.0845905E-4	2.1449126E-4	2.1449126E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002082636	0.0021428461	0.0021428461	1.0	0.0
6.9	3.4250072E-6	3.521017E-6	3.521017E-6	1.0	1.46785205E-5	1.5089987E-5	1.5089987E-5	1.0	1.7869633E-4	1.8370511E-4	1.8370511E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001785527	0.001835535	0.001835535	1.0	0.0
7.0	2.7712713E-6	2.8460295E-6	2.8460295E-6	1.0	1.1876823E-5	1.21972125E-5	1.21972125E-5	1.0	1.4459073E-4	1.4849096E-4	1.4849096E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014449668	0.0014839189	0.0014839189	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.227358E-6	2.285462E-6	2.285462E-6	1.0	9.545785E-6	9.7948005E-6	9.7948005E-6	1.0	1.16213734E-4	1.1924518E-4	1.1924518E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011615298	0.001191813	0.001191813	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.581796E-6	1.6210956E-6	1.6210956E-6	1.0	6.779108E-6	6.9475345E-6	6.9475345E-6	1.0	8.253252E-5	8.458295E-5	8.458295E-5	1.0	0.0	8.250187E-4	8.455081E-4	8.455081E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.0306567E-6	1.0550611E-6	1.0550611E-6	1.0	4.4170924E-6	4.521683E-6	4.521683E-6	1.0	5.3776774E-5	5.50501E-5	5.50501E-5	1.0	0.0	5.376376E-4	5.503649E-4	5.503649E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	6.535541E-7	6.686181E-7	6.686181E-7	1.0	2.800943E-6	2.865503E-6	2.865503E-6	1.0	3.4100947E-5	3.488694E-5	3.488694E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4095717E-4	3.4881476E-4	3.4881476E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	3.2656962E-7	3.3337406E-7	3.3337406E-7	1.0	1.3995833E-6	1.4287452E-6	1.4287452E-6	1.0	1.7039794E-5	1.7394834E-5	1.7394834E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7038487E-4	1.7393476E-4	1.7393476E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	9.754343E-8	9.8310835E-8	9.8310835E-8	1.0	4.180432E-7	4.2133206E-7	4.2133206E-7	1.0	5.089664E-6	5.1297056E-6	5.1297056E-6	1.0	0.0	5.0895473E-5	5.1295883E-5	5.1295883E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.0001453E-9	5.8660503E-9	5.8660503E-9	1.0	2.5714908E-8	2.5140215E-8	2.5140215E-8	1.0	3.1307894E-7	3.060821E-7	3.060821E-7	1.0	0.0	3.1307852E-6	3.0608167E-6	3.0608167E-6	1.0	0.0
7.8	7.400003E-11	7.467582E-11	7.467582E-11	1.0	3.171432E-10	3.2003944E-10	3.2003944E-10	1.0	3.861218E-9	3.8964796E-9	3.8964796E-9	1.0	0.0	3.861218E-8	3.8964796E-8	3.8964796E-8	1.0	0.0

Pittville 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.6934118E-5	1.3222744E-5	1.3222744E-5	1.0	7.257277E-5	5.6667795E-5	5.6667795E-5	1.0	8.832153E-4	6.8973337E-4	6.8973337E-4	1.0	0.008797132	0.0068780514	0.0068879826	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2540113E-5	1.3222744E-5	1.3222744E-5	1.0	5.3742235E-5	5.6667795E-5	5.6667795E-5	1.0	6.541153E-4	6.8973337E-4	6.8973337E-4	1.0	0.0065219323	0.0068780514	0.0068879826	1.0014439	1.0E-5
6.2	6.603218E-6	6.9656217E-6	6.9656217E-6	1.0	2.8299199E-5	2.9852357E-5	2.9852357E-5	1.0	3.4448825E-4	3.6339805E-4	3.6339805E-4	1.0	0.0034395473	0.0036286523	0.003638616	1.0027459	1.0E-5
6.3	6.603218E-6	6.9656217E-6	6.9656217E-6	1.0	2.8299199E-5	2.9852357E-5	2.9852357E-5	1.0	3.4448825E-4	3.6339805E-4	3.6339805E-4	1.0	0.0034395473	0.0036286523	0.003638616	1.0027459	1.0E-5
6.4	3.9389015E-6	4.1548446E-6	4.1548446E-6	1.0	1.6880897E-5	1.7806373E-5	1.7806373E-5	1.0	2.0550552E-4	2.1677399E-4	2.1677399E-4	1.0	0.0020531558	0.002165918	0.0021758964	1.004607	1.0E-5
6.5	2.4533072E-6	2.5877375E-6	2.5877375E-6	1.0	1.0514132E-5	1.10902665E-5	1.10902665E-5	1.0	1.2800204E-4	1.3501749E-4	1.3501749E-4	1.0	0.0012792832	0.0013495369	0.0013595235	1.0073999	1.0E-5
6.6	1.3482367E-6	1.420988E-6	1.420988E-6	1.0	5.778144E-6	6.089941E-6	6.089941E-6	1.0	7.0346636E-5	7.414359E-5	7.414359E-5	1.0	7.032437E-4	7.412947E-4	7.5128727E-4	1.01348	1.0E-5

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.1	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.2	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.3	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2712525E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.3230023E-5	1.0	5.4481112E-5	5.669901E-5	6.669844E-5	1.1763599	1.0E-5	6.6310563E-4	6.9011725E-4	7.001104E-4	1.0144802	1.0E-5	0.0066113044	0.006882265	0.0068921964	1.001443	1.0E-5
6.6	5.7574384E-6	5.9789513E-6	5.9789513E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5623847E-5	2.5623847E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0037065E-4	3.1192962E-4	3.1192962E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029996498	0.0031153054	0.0031153054	1.0	0.0
6.7	5.7574384E-6	5.9789513E-6	5.9789513E-6	1.0	2.4674504E-5	2.5623847E-5	2.5623847E-5	1.0	0.0	3.0037065E-4	3.1192962E-4	3.1192962E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0029996498	0.0031153054	0.0031153054	1.0	0.0
6.8	3.3474828E-6	3.47413E-6	3.47413E-6	1.0	1.4346277E-5	1.4889052E-5	1.4889052E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7465191E-4	1.8126062E-4	1.8126062E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0017451472	0.0018112753	0.0018112753	1.0	0.0
6.9	2.035106E-6	2.111913E-6	2.111913E-6	1.0	8.721853E-6	9.051028E-6	9.051028E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0618339E-4	1.1019144E-4	1.1019144E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010613267	0.0011014405	0.0011014405	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.2424716E-6	1.2896438E-6	1.2896438E-6	1.0	5.3248673E-6	5.5270357E-6	5.5270357E-6	1.0	0.0	6.482833E-5	6.7290035E-5	6.7290035E-5	1.0	0.0	6.480942E-4	6.7274104E-4	6.7274104E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.6904556E-7	6.9487174E-7	6.9487174E-7	1.0	2.867335E-6	2.97802E-6	2.97802E-6	1.0	0.0	3.4909244E-5	3.625705E-5	3.625705E-5	1.0	0.0	3.490376E-4	3.6253693E-4	3.6253693E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.948168E-7	4.1014533E-7	4.1014533E-7	1.0	1.6920709E-6	1.7577656E-6	1.7577656E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0600768E-5	2.1400798E-5	2.1400798E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0598859E-4	2.1400797E-4	2.1400797E-4	1.0	0.0

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.2611348E-5	3.8524442E-5	3.8524442E-5	1.0	1.3975543E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.0	0.0017001943	0.0020082092	0.0020181893	1.0049696	1.0E-5	0.01687245	0.019904483	0.019914284	1.0004925	1.0E-5
6.1	3.2611348E-5	3.8524442E-5	3.8524442E-5	1.0	1.3975543E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.0	0.0017001943	0.0020082092	0.0020181893	1.0049696	1.0E-5	0.01687245	0.019904483	0.019914284	1.0004925	1.0E-5
6.2	3.144285E-5	3.8524442E-5	3.8524442E-5	1.0	1.347481E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.6509452E-4	1.0	0.0016393235	0.0020082092	0.0020181893	1.0049696	1.0E-5	0.016272832	0.019904483	0.019914284	1.0004925	1.0E-5
6.3	3.1108408E-5	3.8117465E-5	3.8117465E-5	1.0	1.3331493E-4	1.6335055E-4	1.6335055E-4	1.0	0.0016219008	0.0019870154	0.0019870154	1.0	0.0	0.016101142	0.019696325	0.019696325	1.0	0.0
6.4	3.0225197E-5	3.704345E-5	3.704345E-5	1.0	1.2953013E-4	1.5874818E-4	1.5874818E-4	1.0	0.0015758885	0.001931082	0.001931082	1.0	0.0	0.0156476	0.019146742	0.019146742	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.9534416E-5	3.6205154E-5	3.6205154E-5	1.0	1.2656992E-4	1.5515593E-4	1.5515593E-4	1.0	0.0015398995	0.0018874226	0.0018874226	1.0	0.0	0.015292724	0.01871758	0.01871758	1.0	0.0
6.6	2.7345395E-5	3.354453E-5	3.354453E-5	1.0	1.1718928E-4	1.4375451E-4	1.4375451E-4	1.0	0.0014258457	0.0017488368	0.0017488368	1.0	0.0	0.014167317	0.01735374	0.01735374	1.0	0.0
6.7	2.5615784E-5	3.1522988E-5	3.1522988E-5	1.0	1.09777306E-4	1.3509169E-4	1.3509169E-4	1.0	0.0013357193	0.0016435307	0.0016435307	1.0	0.0	0.013277191	0.016316606	0.016316606	1.0	0.0
6.8	2.0059057E-5	2.4720426E-5	2.4720426E-5	1.0	8.596455E-5	1.05940475E-4	1.05940475E-4	1.0	0.0010461159	0.0012890782	0.0012890782	1.0	0.0	0.0104120495	0.012817223	0.012817223	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.6321746E-5	2.0214491E-5	2.0214491E-5	1.0	6.9948466E-5	8.6630724E-5	8.6630724E-5	1.0	8.5128983E-4	0.001054231	0.001054231	1.0	0.0	0.008480361	0.010493025	0.010493025	1.0	0.0
7.0	1.22527645E-5	1.5178712E-5	1.5178712E-5	1.0	5.2510793E-5	6.505002E-5	6.505002E-5	1.0	6.3913135E-4	7.917005E-4	7.917005E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0063729626	0.0078889	0.0078889	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.996482E-6	1.1207947E-5	1.1207947E-5	1.0	3.8555783E-5	4.803318E-5	4.803318E-5	1.0	4.6931554E-4	5.846483E-4	5.846483E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004683256	0.005830871	0.005830871	1.0	0.0
7.2	6.0273087E-6	7.6002852E-6	7.6002852E-6	1.0	2.5831067E-5	3.2572247E-5	3.2572247E-5	1.0	3.1444785E-4	3.9649566E-4	3.9649566E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031400328	0.0039579025	0.0039579025	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.1209995E-6	3.980457E-6	3.980457E-6	1.0	1.3375643E-5	1.7058992E-5	1.7058992E-5	1.0	1.6283628E-4	2.0767358E-4	2.0767358E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0016271701	0.0020747185	0.0020747185	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.0254208E-6	2.6179182E-6	2.6179182E-6	1.0	8.680347E-6	1.1219601E-5	1.1219601E-5	1.0	1.0567809E-4	1.3659014E-4	1.3659014E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010562785	0.001365086	0.001365086	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.6763418E-6	2.1801388E-6	2.1801388E-6	1.0	7.184302E-6	9.343419E-6	9.343419E-6	1.0	8.746537E-5	1.1375024E-4	1.1375024E-4	1.0	0.0	8.743095E-4	0.0011369257	0.0011369257	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.1935462E-6	1.5505988E-6	1.5505988E-6	1.0	5.115188E-6	6.6454063E-6	6.6454063E-6	1.0	6.2275634E-5	8.0904865E-5	8.0904865E-5	1.0	0.0	6.2258187E-4	8.087459E-4	8.087459E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	3.0464201E-7	3.994262E-7	3.994262E-7	1.0	1.3056081E-6	1.7118255E-6	1.7118255E-6	1.0	1.589566E-5	2.084128E-5	2.084128E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5894524E-4	2.0836094E-4	2.0836094E-4	1.0	0.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.2554693E-5	4.762233E-5	4.762233E-5	1.0	1.8236451E-4	2.0408157E-4	2.0408157E-4	1.0	0.002218027	0.0024821877	0.002492163	1.0040187	1.0E-5	0.02196019	0.02457877	0.024588525	1.0003968	1.0E-5
6.1	4.2554693E-5	4.762233E-5	4.762233E-5	1.0	1.8236451E-4	2.0408157E-4	2.0408157E-4	1.0	0.002218027	0.0024821877	0.002492163	1.0040187	1.0E-5	0.02196019	0.02457877	0.024588525	1.0003968	1.0E-5
6.2	4.2554693E-5	4.762233E-5	4.762233E-5	1.0	1.8236451E-4	2.0408157E-4	2.0408157E-4	1.0	0.002218027	0.0024821877	0.002492163	1.0040187	1.0E-5	0.02196019	0.02457877	0.024588525	1.0003968	1.0E-5
6.3	1.9617712E-5	1.8462208E-5	1.8462208E-5	1.0	8.40732E-5	7.9121455E-5	7.9121455E-5	1.0	0.0010231105	9.628973E-4	9.728877E-4	1.0103754	1.0E-5	0.01018413	0.009590262	0.009600165	1.0010327	1.0E-5
6.4	1.5611336E-5	1.3769487E-5	1.3769487E-5	1.0	6.690401E-5	5.9010785E-5	5.9010785E-5	1.0	8.142519E-4	7.182256E-4	7.282184E-4	1.0139132	1.0E-5	0.008112748	0.0071607158	0.007170644	1.0013865	1.0E-5
6.5	1.5150166E-5	1.3266667E-5	1.3266667E-5	1.0	6.492767E-5	5.685594E-5	5.685594E-5	1.0	7.9020765E-4	6.9200725E-4	7.0200034E-4	1.0144408	1.0E-5	0.007874036	0.0069001806	0.0069101118	1.0014392	1.0E-5
6.6	1.295588E-5	1.0519795E-5	1.0519795E-5	1.0	5.552402E-5	4.508407E-5	4.508407E-5	1.0	6.7579525E-4	5.487623E-4	5.587568E-4	1.0182128	1.0E-5	0.006737438	0.005475418	0.0054853633	1.0018164	1.0E-5
6.7	1.2542085E-5	1.0036188E-5	1.0036188E-5	1.0	5.3750682E-5	4.3011536E-5	4.3011536E-5	1.0	6.542181E-4	5.235416E-4	5.335363E-4	1.0190907	1.0E-5	0.006522954	0.0052244407	0.005234388	1.0019041	1.0E-5
6.8	1.2195878E-5	9.628786E-6	9.628786E-6	1.0	5.2267E-5	4.1265583E-5	4.1265583E-5	1.0	6.36165E-4	5.0229457E-4	5.122895E-4	1.0198987	1.0E-5	0.0063434686	0.0050128615	0.0050228112	1.0019848	1.0E-5
6.9	1.1580298E-5	8.903346E-6	8.903346E-6	1.0	4.9628903E-5	3.8156646E-5	3.8156646E-5	1.0	6.040644E-4	4.6445982E-4	4.7445518E-4	1.0215204	1.0E-5	0.00602425	0.0046361354	0.0046460894	1.002147	1.0E-5
7.0	1.0964795E-5	8.205234E-6	8.205234E-6	1.0	4.6991136E-5	3.5164823E-5	3.5164823E-5	1.0	5.7196687E-4	4.280492E-4	4.3804492E-4	1.0233518	1.0E-5	0.0057049696	0.0042734174	0.0042833746	1.0023301	1.0E-5
7.1	1.0230601E-5	7.4341133E-6	7.4341133E-6	1.0	4.3844695E-5	3.1860105E-5	3.1860105E-5	1.0	5.336784E-4	3.8782906E-4	3.8782906E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005323986	0.0038725797	0.0038725797	1.0	0.0
7.2	9.40865E-6	6.6369994E-6	6.6369994E-6	1.0	4.032216E-5	2.844398E-5	2.844398E-5	1.0	4.908117E-4	3.4625168E-4	3.4625168E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0048972913	0.003458136	0.003458136	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.237384E-6	5.670833E-6	5.670833E-6	1.0	3.5302593E-5	2.430335E-5	2.430335E-5	1.0	4.2972428E-4	2.9585417E-4	2.9585417E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0042889426	0.0029548905	0.0029548905	1.0	0.0
7.4	7.5316966E-6	5.0909503E-6	5.0909503E-6	1.0	3.2278298E-5	2.1818181E-5	2.1818181E-5	1.0	3.9291743E-4	2.6560502E-4	2.6560502E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0039222343	0.002652989	0.002652989	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.149649E-6	3.9780098E-6	3.9780098E-6	1.0	2.6355372E-5	1.7048507E-5	1.7048507E-5	1.0	3.208294E-4	2.0754672E-4	2.0754672E-4	1.0	0.0	0.003203666	0.00207362	0.00207362	1.0	0.0
7.6	5.457711E-6	3.4293123E-6	3.4293123E-6	1.0	2.338998E-5	1.4696975E-5	1.4696975E-5	1.0	2.8473578E-4	1.7892181E-4	1.7892181E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0028437122	0.0017878597	0.0017878597	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.1676276E-6	2.3573764E-6	2.3573764E-6	1.0	1.7861139E-5	1.0103007E-5	1.0103007E-5	1.0	2.1743766E-4	1.2299792E-4	1.2299792E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0021722503	0.0012293728	0.0012293728	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.2692414E-7	9.469766E-8	9.469766E-8	1.0	9.725317E-7	4.0584706E-7	4.0584706E-7	1.0	1.1840509E-5	4.94118E-6	4.94118E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1839878E-4	4.9411035E-5	4.9411035E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	6.676829E-9	3.4789496E-9	3.4789496E-9	1.0	2.861498E-8	1.4909784E-8	1.4909784E-8	1.0	3.4838732E-7	1.8152659E-7	1.8152659E-7	1.0	0.0	3.4838679E-6	1.8152646E-6	1.8152646E-6	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 02

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.2243487E-6	2.2804825E-6	2.2804825E-6	1.0	9.532888E-6	9.773463E-6	1.9773364E-5	2.0231688	1.0E-5	1.1605673E-4	1.1898591E-4	1.2898473E-4	1.0840336	1.0E-5	0.0011599615	0.0011892719	0.00119926	1.0083985	1.0E-5
6.1	2.2243487E-6	2.2804825E-6	2.2804825E-6	1.0	9.532888E-6	9.773463E-6	1.9773364E-5	2.0231688	1.0E-5	1.1605673E-4	1.1898591E-4	1.2898473E-4	1.0840336	1.0E-5	0.0011599615	0.0011892719	0.00119926	1.0083985	1.0E-5
6.2	1.5787732E-6	1.6265734E-6	1.6265734E-6	1.0	6.7661535E-6	6.9710104E-6	1.697094E-5	2.4345024	1.0E-5	8.2374805E-5	8.486879E-5	9.4867944E-5	1.117819	1.0E-5	8.2344277E-4	8.4836857E-4	8.583601E-4	1.0117773	1.0E-5
6.3	1.4850314E-6	1.5316787E-6	1.5316787E-6	1.0	6.3644047E-6	6.5643208E-6	1.6564256E-5	2.523377	1.0E-5	7.748387E-5	7.9917714E-5	8.991692E-5	1.1251187	1.0E-5	7.745686E-4	7.9889357E-4	8.088856E-4	1.0125073	1.0E-5
6.4	1.4266972E-6	1.4728665E-6	1.4728665E-6	1.0	6.114402E-6	6.31227E-6	1.6312208E-5	2.584206	1.0E-5	7.44403E-5	7.684922E-5	8.684844E-5	1.1301149	1.0E-5	7.441537E-4	7.6822983E-4	7.782221E-4	1.0130069	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2728015E-6	1.3166214E-6	1.3166214E-6	1.0	5.4548523E-6	5.642651E-6	1.5642594E-5	2.7722065	1.0E-5	6.64108E-5	6.869714E-5	7.869645E-5	1.1455564	1.0E-5	6.639096E-4	6.8676163E-4	6.967548E-4	1.014551	1.0E-5
6.6	1.1857247E-6	1.2284905E-6	1.2284905E-6	1.0	5.0816675E-6	5.2649493E-6	5.2649493E-6	1.0	0.0	6.186755E-5	6.4098895E-5	6.4098895E-5	1.0	0.0	6.1850325E-4	6.408065E-4	6.408065E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.0550715E-6	1.094936E-6	1.094936E-6	1.0	4.521727E-6	4.6925747E-6	4.6925747E-6	1.0	0.0	5.5050637E-5	5.713062E-5	5.713062E-5	1.0	0.0	5.5037E-4	5.7116145E-4	5.7116145E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	8.9881183E-7	9.3524955E-7	9.3524955E-7	1.0	3.8520448E-6	4.0082064E-6	4.0082064E-6	1.0	0.0	4.689764E-5	4.8798836E-5	4.8798836E-5	1.0	0.0	4.688774E-4	4.8788296E-4	4.8788296E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	7.5417256E-7	7.869009E-7	7.869009E-7	1.0	3.232164E-6	3.3724282E-6	3.3724282E-6	1.0	0.0	3.9350885E-5	4.1058553E-5	4.1058553E-5	1.0	0.0	3.934392E-4	4.1051113E-4	4.1051113E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.909726E-7	6.1761693E-7	6.1761693E-7	1.0	2.5327372E-6	2.6469272E-6	2.6469272E-6	1.0	0.0	3.083564E-5	3.222587E-5	3.222587E-5	1.0	0.0	3.083136E-4	3.22213E-4	3.22213E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	4.4054178E-7	4.6159693E-7	4.6159693E-7	1.0	1.8880348E-6	1.978271E-6	1.978271E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2986582E-5	2.4085191E-5	2.4085191E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2984203E-4	2.4082653E-4	2.4082653E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	3.029834E-7	3.1814002E-7	3.1814002E-7	1.0	1.2984997E-6	1.3634565E-6	1.3634565E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5809119E-5	1.659996E-5	1.659996E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5807994E-4	1.6598766E-4	1.6598766E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.8700909E-7	1.9675176E-7	1.9675176E-7	1.0	8.0146725E-7	8.432216E-7	8.432216E-7	1.0	0.0	9.75782E-6	1.0266177E-5	1.0266177E-5	1.0	0.0	9.757392E-5	1.0265731E-4	1.0265731E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.198916E-8	3.198916E-8	1.0	1.3337875E-7	1.370964E-7	1.370964E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.0	0.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.31567E-5	2.4388972E-4	2.4388972E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010448184	0.001054808	1.0095611	1.0E-5	0.004329778	0.012646349	0.012656222	1.0007807	1.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11670471	0.116713546	1.0000757	1.0E-5
6.1	8.31567E-5	2.4388972E-4	2.4388972E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010448184	0.001054808	1.0095611	1.0E-5	0.004329778	0.012646349	0.012656222	1.0007807	1.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11670471	0.116713546	1.0000757	1.0E-5
6.2	8.31567E-5	2.4388972E-4	2.4388972E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010448184	0.001054808	1.0095611	1.0E-5	0.004329778	0.012646349	0.012656222	1.0007807	1.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11670471	0.116713546	1.0000757	1.0E-5
6.3	8.31567E-5	2.4388972E-4	2.4388972E-4	1.0	3.5633717E-4	0.0010448184	0.001054808	1.0095611	1.0E-5	0.004329778	0.012646349	0.012656222	1.0007807	1.0E-5	0.042463828	0.11670471	0.116713546	1.0000757	1.0E-5
6.4	8.059055E-5	2.394003E-4	2.394003E-4	1.0	3.4534236E-4	0.0010255948	0.0010355845	1.0097405	1.0E-5	0.0041964394	0.01241536	0.0124252355	1.0007955	1.0E-5	0.041180745	0.114667945	0.114676796	1.0000772	1.0E-5
6.5	8.059055E-5	2.394003E-4	2.394003E-4	1.0	3.4534236E-4	0.0010255948	0.0010355845	1.0097405	1.0E-5	0.0041964394	0.01241536	0.0124252355	1.0007955	1.0E-5	0.041180745	0.114667945	0.114676796	1.0000772	1.0E-5
6.6	7.619237E-5	2.3174418E-4	2.3174418E-4	1.0	3.2649786E-4	9.928136E-4	0.0010028037	1.0100623	1.0E-5	0.0039678677	0.012021106	0.012030986	1.0008218	1.0E-5	0.03897764	0.111177236	0.111186124	1.00008	1.0E-5
6.7	7.440636E-5	2.284676E-4	2.284676E-4	1.0	3.188454E-4	9.787818E-4	9.88772E-4	1.0102068	1.0E-5	0.0038750346	0.011852135	0.011862017	1.0008337	1.0E-5	0.038081564	0.109676905	0.10968581	1.0000812	1.0E-5
6.8	7.3735864E-5	2.2691635E-4	2.2691635E-4	1.0	3.1597257E-4	9.721386E-4	9.821289E-4	1.0102766	1.0E-5	0.0038401815	0.011772134	0.011782017	1.0008395	1.0E-5	0.03774495	0.10897172	0.108980626	1.0000818	1.0E-5
6.9	7.27575E-5	2.2457988E-4	2.2457988E-4	1.0	3.117806E-4	9.6213253E-4	9.7212294E-4	1.0103836	1.0E-5	0.003789323	0.01165162	0.011661503	1.0008483	1.0E-5	0.037253562	0.107912734	0.10792165	1.0000826	1.0E-5
7.0	7.102591E-5	2.2036419E-4	2.2036419E-4	1.0	3.0436125E-4	9.440785E-4	9.540691E-4	1.0105823	1.0E-5	0.003699303	0.011434138	0.011444023	1.0008646	1.0E-5	0.03638325	0.10600085	0.10600979	1.0000843	1.0E-5
7.1	7.028513E-5	2.1869196E-4	2.1869196E-4	1.0	3.0118722E-4	9.36917E-4	9.469076E-4	1.0106633	1.0E-5	0.0036607897	0.011347858	0.011357744	1.0008712	1.0E-5	0.036010686	0.105234675	0.10524362	1.000085	1.0E-5
7.2	6.8498244E-5	2.1469526E-4	2.1469526E-4	1.0	2.9353087E-4	9.198004E-4	9.2979125E-4	1.0108619	1.0E-5	0.003567883	0.011141611	0.0111515	1.0008875	1.0E-5	0.035111405	0.10340211	0.10341107	1.0000867	1.0E-5
7.3	6.622592E-5	2.0681194E-4	2.0681194E-4	1.0	2.8379448E-4	8.8603806E-4	8.9602923E-4	1.0112762	1.0E-5	0.0034497243	0.010734677	0.01074457	1.0009216	1.0E-5	0.033966612	0.09984876	0.09985776	1.0000901	1.0E-5
7.4	5.1050705E-5	1.5506851E-4	1.5506851E-4	1.0	2.1877038E-4	6.64411E-4	6.744043E-4	1.0150409	1.0E-5	0.002660276	0.008059412	0.008069332	1.0012308	1.0E-5	0.02628654	0.07638056	0.0763898	1.0001209	1.0E-5
7.5	3.9302922E-5	1.1838407E-4	1.1838407E-4	1.0	1.6843023E-4	5.07262E-4	5.172569E-4	1.0197036	1.0E-5	0.0020487092	0.0061585037	0.0061684423	1.0016137	1.0E-5	0.020299247	0.05912026	0.059129667	1.0001591	1.0E-5
7.6	2.9851626E-5	9.111797E-5	9.111797E-5	1.0	1.2792926E-4	3.9044724E-4	4.0044333E-4	1.0256016	1.0E-5	0.0015564259	0.004743363	0.0047533154	1.0020982	1.0E-5	0.0154556995	0.04593548	0.045945022	1.0002077	1.0E-5
7.7	2.1135214E-5	6.892515E-5	6.892515E-5	1.0	9.0576345E-5	2.9536005E-4	3.053571E-4	1.033847	1.0E-5	0.0011022091	0.003590086	0.00360005	1.0027754	1.0E-5	0.010967582	0.034995716	0.035005365	1.0002757	1.0E-5
7.8	1.883379E-5	6.052711E-5	6.052711E-5	1.0	8.0713755E-5	2.5937613E-4	2.6937353E-4	1.038544	1.0E-5	9.822468E-4	0.0031533353	0.0031633037	1.0031612	1.0E-5	0.0097791655	0.030891173	0.030900862	1.0003138	1.0E-5
7.9	1.5156185E-5	4.552883E-5	4.552883E-5	1.0	6.495346E-5	1.9510897E-4	2.0510702E-4	1.0512434	1.0E-5	7.9052144E-4	0.0023728656	0.0023828417	1.0042043	1.0E-5	0.007877152	0.023525028	0.023534793	1.0004151	1.0E-5
8.0	1.1405907E-5	3.2837168E-5	3.2837168E-5	1.0	4.8881542E-5	1.4072313E-4	1.5072172E-4	1.0710515	1.0E-5	5.9497025E-4	0.0017119589	0.0017219417	1.0058312	1.0E-5	0.005933798	0.017092299	0.017102128	1.0005751	1.0E-5
8.1	4.3511436E-6	8.376657E-6	8.376657E-6	1.0	1.8647626E-5	3.5899466E-5	4.589911E-5	1.2785456	1.0E-5	2.2701119E-4	4.369885E-4	4.4698417E-4	1.0228739	1.0E-5	0.0022677942	0.0046129934	0.0046229474	1.0021578	1.0E-5
8.2	2.3042528E-6	3.2204455E-6	3.2204455E-6	1.0	9.875332E-6	1.3801837E-5	2.3801698E-5	1.7245313	1.0E-5	1.2022553E-4	1.6802447E-4	1.7802279E-4	1.0595051	1.0E-5	0.0012016051	0.0018485837	0.0018585653	1.0053996	1.0E-5
8.3	5.202968E-7	3.9031298E-7	3.9031298E-7	1.0	2.2298414E-6	1.6727689E-6	1.1672752E-5	6.978102	1.0E-5	2.714798E-5	2.036579E-5	3.0365587E-5	1.4910095	1.0E-5	2.7144665E-4	2.3662744E-4	2.4662507E-4	1.0422505	1.0E-5

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	2.1181217E-5	2.410145E-5	2.410145E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.0328879E-4	1.0328879E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.0012569841	0.0012569841	1.0	0.010991322	0.012515376	0.012525251	1.000789	1.0E-5
6.1	2.1181217E-5	2.410145E-5	2.410145E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.0328879E-4	1.0328879E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.0012569841	0.0012569841	1.0	0.010991322	0.012515376	0.012525251	1.000789	1.0E-5
6.2	2.1181217E-5	2.410145E-5	2.410145E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.0328879E-4	1.0328879E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.0012569841	0.0012569841	1.0	0.010991322	0.012515376	0.012525251	1.000789	1.0E-5
6.3	2.1181217E-5	2.410145E-5	2.410145E-5	1.0	9.077348E-5	1.0328879E-4	1.0328879E-4	1.0	0.0011046068	0.0012569841	0.0012569841	1.0	0.010991322	0.012515376	0.012525251	1.000789	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0988268E-5	1.23073305E-5	1.23073305E-5	1.0	4.7091726E-5	5.2744726E-5	5.2744726E-5	1.0	5.731909E-4	6.419939E-4	6.419939E-4	1.0	0.005717147	0.006402994	0.00641293	1.0015517	1.0E-5
6.5	1.0988268E-5	1.23073305E-5	1.23073305E-5	1.0	4.7091726E-5	5.2744726E-5	5.2744726E-5	1.0	5.731909E-4	6.419939E-4	6.419939E-4	1.0	0.005717147	0.006402994	0.00641293	1.0015517	1.0E-5
6.6	1.0517822E-5	1.1774344E-5	1.1774344E-5	1.0	4.5075605E-5	5.046059E-5	5.046059E-5	1.0	5.4865726E-4	6.1420025E-4	6.1420025E-4	1.0	0.0054730466	0.0061265947	0.0061365333	1.0016222	1.0E-5
6.7	7.789219E-6	8.714559E-6	8.714559E-6	1.0	3.3381937E-5	3.7347607E-5	3.7347607E-5	1.0	4.063493E-4	4.5461746E-4	4.5461746E-4	1.0	0.004056071	0.004537396	0.004537396	1.0	0.0
6.8	7.5850853E-6	8.488426E-6	8.488426E-6	1.0	3.2507105E-5	3.637849E-5	3.637849E-5	1.0	3.957021E-4	4.428233E-4	4.428233E-4	1.0	0.0039499826	0.004419926	0.004419926	1.0	0.0
6.9	6.604105E-6	7.389846E-6	7.389846E-6	1.0	2.8303E-5	3.1670406E-5	3.1670406E-5	1.0	3.4453452E-4	3.8552287E-4	3.8552287E-4	1.0	0.0034400085	0.0038489306	0.0038489306	1.0	0.0
7.0	5.3701115E-6	6.0140214E-6	6.0140214E-6	1.0	2.301456E-5	2.577414E-5	2.577414E-5	1.0	2.8016625E-4	3.1375792E-4	3.1375792E-4	1.0	0.0027981328	0.0031334404	0.0031334404	1.0	0.0
7.1	4.4685607E-6	5.0078793E-6	5.0078793E-6	1.0	1.9150835E-5	2.1462176E-5	2.1462176E-5	1.0	2.3313647E-4	2.6127318E-4	2.6127318E-4	1.0	0.0023289204	0.002609907	0.002609907	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.833378E-6	3.1779764E-6	3.1779764E-6	1.0	1.2142991E-5	1.3619838E-5	1.3619838E-5	1.0	1.4783088E-4	1.6581066E-4	1.6581066E-4	1.0	0.0014773258	0.001657043	0.001657043	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.0087293E-7	7.8013653E-7	7.8013653E-7	1.0	3.0037377E-6	3.3434408E-6	3.3434408E-6	1.0	3.656989E-5	4.0706094E-5	4.0706094E-5	1.0	3.6563876E-4	4.0703177E-4	4.0703177E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.198916E-8	3.198916E-8	1.0	1.3337875E-7	1.370964E-7	1.370964E-7	1.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.0	0.0

Red Pass

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.258278E-6	8.562659E-6	8.562659E-6	1.0	3.539214E-5	3.6696696E-5	3.6696696E-5	1.0	4.308141E-4	4.4670858E-4	4.4670858E-4	1.0	0.0042997985	0.0044598687	0.004469824	1.0022322	1.0E-5
6.1	3.649988E-6	3.7801842E-6	3.7801842E-6	1.0	1.5642712E-5	1.6200716E-5	1.6200716E-5	1.0	1.9043336E-4	1.9723063E-4	1.9723063E-4	1.0	0.0019027026	0.0019710246	0.0019810048	1.0050635	1.0E-5
6.2	3.649988E-6	3.7801842E-6	3.7801842E-6	1.0	1.5642712E-5	1.6200716E-5	1.6200716E-5	1.0	1.9043336E-4	1.9723063E-4	1.9723063E-4	1.0	0.0019027026	0.0019710246	0.0019810048	1.0050635	1.0E-5
6.3	1.3924937E-6	1.4430065E-6	1.4430065E-6	1.0	5.9678164E-6	6.1843066E-6	6.1843066E-6	1.0	7.265574E-5	7.529275E-5	7.529275E-5	1.0	7.263199E-4	7.5281155E-4	7.5281155E-4	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.3924937E-6	1.4430065E-6	1.4430065E-6	1.0	5.9678164E-6	6.1843066E-6	6.1843066E-6	1.0	7.265574E-5	7.529275E-5	7.529275E-5	1.0	7.263199E-4	7.5281155E-4	7.5281155E-4	1.0	0.0
6.5	9.876812E-7	1.0235325E-6	1.0235325E-6	1.0	4.2329125E-6	4.386568E-6	4.386568E-6	1.0	5.153449E-5	5.3406464E-5	5.3406464E-5	1.0	5.1522546E-4	5.3406466E-4	5.3406466E-4	1.0	0.0

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.765594E-5	9.8195254E-5	1.08194276E-4	1.1018279	1.0E-5	2.4707348E-4	4.2077052E-4	4.307663E-4	1.0237559	1.0E-5	0.0030039703	0.0051113404	0.0051212893	1.0019464	1.0E-5	0.029636865	0.049535975	0.049545478	1.0001919	1.0E-5
6.1	5.765594E-5	9.8195254E-5	1.08194276E-4	1.1018279	1.0E-5	2.4707348E-4	4.2077052E-4	4.307663E-4	1.0237559	1.0E-5	0.0030039703	0.0051113404	0.0051212893	1.0019464	1.0E-5	0.029636865	0.049535975	0.049545478	1.0001919	1.0E-5
6.2	5.678553E-5	9.6839416E-5	1.06838444E-4	1.1032537	1.0E-5	2.4334386E-4	4.149616E-4	4.2495746E-4	1.0240886	1.0E-5	0.0029586866	0.0050410028	0.005050952	1.0019737	1.0E-5	0.029196035	0.048869222	0.048878737	1.0001947	1.0E-5
6.3	5.20309E-5	8.8977584E-5	9.897669E-5	1.1123779	1.0E-5	2.2297051E-4	3.8128128E-4	3.9127746E-4	1.0262173	1.0E-5	0.0027112865	0.004633021	0.0046429746	1.0021484	1.0E-5	0.026784448	0.044992894	0.04500244	1.0002123	1.0E-5
6.4	4.7120942E-5	7.980965E-5	7.980965E-5	1.0	0.0	2.0193127E-4	3.4200083E-4	3.4200083E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0024557412	0.004156673	0.004156673	1.0	0.0	0.024287801	0.04047149	0.04047149	1.0	0.0
6.5	2.9598437E-5	4.7147696E-5	4.7147696E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2684427E-4	2.0204713E-4	2.0204713E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001543235	0.0024573645	0.0024573645	1.0	0.0	0.015325619	0.024143495	0.024143495	1.0	0.0
6.6	2.0443718E-5	3.0253836E-5	3.0253836E-5	1.0	0.0	8.7613E-5	1.2965307E-4	1.2965307E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0010661662	0.0015774202	0.0015774202	1.0	0.0	0.010610655	0.01560256	0.01560256	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.798539E-5	2.5780308E-5	2.5780308E-5	1.0	0.0	7.7077966E-5	1.1048248E-4	1.1048248E-4	1.0	0.0	9.380202E-4	0.0013443163	0.0013443163	1.0	0.0	0.009340706	0.013330544	0.013330544	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.613555E-5	2.2094091E-5	2.2094091E-5	1.0	0.0	6.915052E-5	9.46856E-5	9.46856E-5	1.0	0.0	8.4158237E-4	0.0011522017	0.0011522017	1.0	0.0	0.008384023	0.011448363	0.011448363	1.0	0.0
6.9	1.2916435E-5	1.7162292E-5	1.7162292E-5	1.0	0.0	5.5354973E-5	7.355064E-5	7.355064E-5	1.0	0.0	6.7373837E-4	8.95117E-4	8.95117E-4	1.0	0.0	0.006716994	0.008908795	0.008908795	1.0	0.0
7.0	9.81129E-6	1.2697755E-5	1.2697755E-5	1.0	0.0	4.2047708E-5	5.4417822E-5	5.4417822E-5	1.0	0.0	5.118106E-4	6.6233723E-4	6.6233723E-4	1.0	0.0	0.005106334	0.0066033034	0.0066033034	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.0889195E-6	1.04684605E-5	1.04684605E-5	1.0	0.0	3.4666336E-5	4.4864064E-5	4.4864064E-5	1.0	0.0	4.219809E-4	5.4608413E-4	5.4608413E-4	1.0	0.0	0.004211805	0.00544712	0.00544712	1.0	0.0
7.2	6.267438E-6	8.151732E-6	8.151732E-6	1.0	0.0	2.6860173E-5	3.4935532E-5	3.4935532E-5	1.0	0.0	3.2697353E-4	4.2525784E-4	4.2525784E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0032649285	0.004244524	0.004244524	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.6761196E-6	4.859527E-6	4.859527E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5754704E-5	2.0826381E-5	2.0826381E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9179663E-4	2.535319E-4	2.535319E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019163118	0.0025324207	0.0025324207	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.8044356E-6	3.722706E-6	3.722706E-6	1.0	0.0	1.2018954E-5	1.5954356E-5	1.5954356E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4632095E-4	1.942271E-4	1.942271E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014622464	0.0019406696	0.0019406696	1.0	0.0
7.5	2.4578699E-6	3.2556081E-6	3.2556081E-6	1.0	0.0	1.0533685E-5	1.3952532E-5	1.3952532E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2824008E-4	1.6985895E-4	1.6985895E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0012816609	0.0016973647	0.0016973647	1.0	0.0
7.6	1.7713267E-6	2.3424666E-6	2.3424666E-6	1.0	0.0	7.591378E-6	1.0039104E-5	1.0039104E-5	1.0	0.0	9.2421105E-5	1.2221934E-4	1.2221934E-4	1.0	0.0	9.2382677E-4	0.001221577	0.001221577	1.0	0.0
7.7	5.1912366E-7	6.845115E-7	6.845115E-7	1.0	0.0	2.2248137E-6	2.9336177E-6	2.9336177E-6	1.0	0.0	2.708677E-5	3.571622E-5	3.571622E-5	1.0	0.0	2.708347E-4	3.5714023E-4	3.5714023E-4	1.0	0.0

Sargent 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.3699627E-5	1.6282307E-5	1.6282307E-5	1.0	1.4441897E-4	6.977986E-5	6.977986E-5	1.0	0.0017568829	8.4931246E-4	8.59304E-4	1.0117643	1.0E-5	0.01743058	0.008503451	0.008513367	1.001166	1.0E-5
6.1	2.303065E-5	1.6282307E-5	1.6282307E-5	1.0	9.8699056E-5	6.977986E-5	6.977986E-5	1.0	0.0012009986	8.4931246E-4	8.59304E-4	1.0117643	1.0E-5	0.011945285	0.008503451	0.008513367	1.001166	1.0E-5
6.2	2.24246E-5	1.62535E-5	1.62535E-5	1.0	9.610189E-5	6.965641E-5	6.965641E-5	1.0	0.0011694124	8.478106E-4	8.5780217E-4	1.011785	1.0E-5	0.011632777	0.008488548	0.008498463	1.001168	1.0E-5
6.3	1.6621638E-5	9.466269E-6	9.466269E-6	1.0	7.123365E-5	4.0569317E-5	4.0569317E-5	1.0	8.669246E-4	4.9385946E-4	4.9385946E-4	1.0	0.0	0.008635503	0.0049671885	0.0049671885	1.0	0.0
6.4	1.48395575E-5	7.382333E-6	7.382333E-6	1.0	6.3596555E-5	3.1638385E-5	3.1638385E-5	1.0	7.7401294E-4	3.8516495E-4	3.8516495E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0077132257	0.0038841632	0.0038841632	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.4358964E-5	6.8315344E-6	6.8315344E-6	1.0	6.1536964E-5	2.9277875E-5	2.9277875E-5	1.0	7.48955E-4	3.5643537E-4	3.5643537E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0074643586	0.0035978202	0.0035978202	1.0	0.0
6.6	9.772591E-6	1.4929301E-6	1.4929301E-6	1.0	4.188186E-5	6.398256E-6	6.398256E-6	1.0	5.097923E-4	7.789602E-5	7.789602E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005086244	8.144903E-4	8.144903E-4	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.752745E-6	1.4716468E-6	1.4716468E-6	1.0	4.179681E-5	6.307043E-6	6.307043E-6	1.0	5.0875737E-4	7.6785574E-5	7.6785574E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005075942	8.0339395E-4	8.0339395E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	9.608213E-6	1.355279E-6	1.355279E-6	1.0	4.1177405E-5	5.8083256E-6	5.8083256E-6	1.0	5.012196E-4	7.07141E-5	7.07141E-5	1.0	0.0	0.005000906	7.424132E-4	7.424132E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	9.427164E-6	1.2380417E-6	1.2380417E-6	1.0	4.04015E-5	5.3058825E-6	5.3058825E-6	1.0	4.9177726E-4	6.4597225E-5	6.4597225E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004906904	6.807882E-4	6.807882E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	9.247601E-6	1.1020819E-6	1.1020819E-6	1.0	3.9631974E-5	4.7231993E-6	4.7231993E-6	1.0	4.8241246E-4	5.7503454E-5	5.7503454E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0048136655	6.095118E-4	6.095118E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	8.995454E-6	9.364866E-7	9.364866E-7	1.0	3.8551374E-5	4.013508E-6	4.013508E-6	1.0	4.6926187E-4	4.8863378E-5	4.8863378E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004682722	5.2242726E-4	5.2242726E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	8.520861E-6	6.264738E-7	6.264738E-7	1.0	3.6517464E-5	2.6848852E-6	2.6848852E-6	1.0	4.445094E-4	3.2687996E-5	3.2687996E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004436213	3.5928315E-4	3.5928315E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	8.043592E-6	4.36201E-7	4.36201E-7	1.0	3.4472083E-5	1.8694316E-6	1.8694316E-6	1.0	4.196168E-4	2.2760094E-5	2.2760094E-5	1.0	0.0	0.004188253	2.588204E-4	2.588204E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	7.662316E-6	3.7652148E-7	3.7652148E-7	1.0	3.2838085E-5	1.6136626E-6	1.6136626E-6	1.0	3.9973034E-4	1.9646166E-5	1.9646166E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0039901207	2.2588644E-4	2.2588644E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	6.961638E-6	3.0716134E-7	3.0716134E-7	1.0	2.9835252E-5	1.3164051E-6	1.3164051E-6	1.0	3.6318362E-4	1.6027116E-5	1.6027116E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0036259065	1.8598685E-4	1.8598685E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	6.282332E-6	2.250836E-7	2.250836E-7	1.0	2.6924003E-5	9.646436E-7	9.646436E-7	1.0	3.2775043E-4	1.1744474E-5	1.1744474E-5	1.0	0.0	0.0032726745	1.384907E-4	1.384907E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	4.934408E-6	6.9821056E-8	6.9821056E-8	1.0	2.114729E-5	2.9923305E-7	2.9923305E-7	1.0	2.5743784E-4	3.6431563E-6	3.6431563E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0025713982	4.560017E-5	4.560017E-5	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.373212E-6	5.0777714E-8	5.0777714E-8	1.0	1.0170869E-5	2.1761876E-7	2.1761876E-7	1.0	1.238233E-4	2.6495052E-6	2.6495052E-6	1.0	0.0	0.0012375432	3.44471E-5	3.44471E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	1.8227792E-6	4.428856E-8	4.428856E-8	1.0	7.811887E-6	1.8980809E-7	1.8980809E-7	1.0	9.510558E-5	2.310911E-6	2.310911E-6	1.0	0.0	9.5064886E-4	3.0453146E-5	3.0453146E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	1.9095137E-7	1.6914194E-8	1.6914194E-8	1.0	8.1836276E-7	7.248941E-8	7.248941E-8	1.0	9.963521E-6	8.8255814E-7	8.8255814E-7	1.0	0.0	9.963074E-5	1.057981E-5	1.057981E-5	1.0	0.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.596169E-6	5.6663634E-6	5.6663634E-6	1.0	2.398336E-5	2.4284203E-5	2.4284203E-5	1.0	2.9195828E-4	2.956228E-4	2.956228E-4	1.0	0.00291575	0.002952565	0.0029625355	1.0033768	1.0E-5
6.1	5.596169E-6	5.6663634E-6	5.6663634E-6	1.0	2.398336E-5	2.4284203E-5	2.4284203E-5	1.0	2.9195828E-4	2.956228E-4	2.956228E-4	1.0	0.00291575	0.002952565	0.0029625355	1.0033768	1.0E-5
6.2	5.596169E-6	5.6663634E-6	5.6663634E-6	1.0	2.398336E-5	2.4284203E-5	2.4284203E-5	1.0	2.9195828E-4	2.956228E-4	2.956228E-4	1.0	0.00291575	0.002952565	0.0029625355	1.0033768	1.0E-5
6.3	5.596169E-6	5.6663634E-6	5.6663634E-6	1.0	2.398336E-5	2.4284203E-5	2.4284203E-5	1.0	2.9195828E-4	2.956228E-4	2.956228E-4	1.0	0.00291575	0.002952565	0.0029625355	1.0033768	1.0E-5
6.4	2.8426775E-6	2.875338E-6	2.875338E-6	1.0	1.2182847E-5	1.2322821E-5	1.2322821E-5	1.0	1.4831607E-4	1.5002041E-4	1.5002041E-4	1.0	0.0014821711	0.0014992298	0.0015092148	1.0066601	1.0E-5
6.5	1.9210793E-6	1.942186E-6	1.942186E-6	1.0	8.233172E-6	8.323628E-6	8.323628E-6	1.0	1.0023425E-4	1.01335594E-4	1.01335594E-4	1.0	0.0010018905	0.0010129072	0.0010129072	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.9210793E-6	1.942186E-6	1.942186E-6	1.0	8.233172E-6	8.323628E-6	8.323628E-6	1.0	1.0023425E-4	1.01335594E-4	1.01335594E-4	1.0	0.0010018905	0.0010129072	0.0010129072	1.0	0.0
6.7	1.4667394E-6	1.4824678E-6	1.4824678E-6	1.0	6.286011E-6	6.3534185E-6	6.3534185E-6	1.0	7.65295E-5	7.73502E-5	7.73502E-5	1.0	7.6503144E-4	7.732405E-4	7.732405E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	1.1076943E-6	1.1193803E-6	1.1193803E-6	1.0	4.747252E-6	4.7973354E-6	4.7973354E-6	1.0	5.7796264E-5	5.8406036E-5	5.8406036E-5	1.0	5.778124E-4	5.839113E-4	5.839113E-4	1.0	0.0
6.9	8.514296E-7	8.6033464E-7	8.6033464E-7	1.0	3.648979E-6	3.6871434E-6	3.6871434E-6	1.0	4.442541E-5	4.4890076E-5	4.4890076E-5	1.0	4.441653E-4	4.4881293E-4	4.4881293E-4	1.0	0.0
7.0	4.8544706E-7	4.905151E-7	4.905151E-7	1.0	2.0804857E-6	2.1022058E-6	2.1022058E-6	1.0	2.532962E-5	2.5594069E-5	2.5594069E-5	1.0	2.5326732E-4	2.559125E-4	2.559125E-4	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.829186E-7	3.8693446E-7	3.8693446E-7	1.0	1.6410787E-6	1.6582896E-6	1.6582896E-6	1.0	1.997995E-5	2.01895E-5	2.01895E-5	1.0	1.9978154E-4	2.0187772E-4	2.0187772E-4	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.4726595E-7	1.4885232E-7	1.4885232E-7	1.0	6.3113964E-7	6.379384E-7	6.379384E-7	1.0	7.684098E-6	7.766877E-6	7.766877E-6	1.0	7.6838325E-5	7.76666E-5	7.76666E-5	1.0	0.0
7.3	4.1880604E-8	4.234113E-8	4.234113E-8	1.0	1.7948828E-7	1.8146198E-7	1.8146198E-7	1.0	2.1852677E-6	2.2092997E-6	2.2092997E-6	1.0	2.1852462E-5	2.2092996E-5	2.2092996E-5	1.0	0.0

Rocky Ledge 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	8.7550525E-6	9.373287E-6	9.373287E-6	1.0	3.7521113E-5	4.0171068E-5	4.0171068E-5	1.0	4.567238E-4	4.890535E-4	4.890535E-4	1.0	0.0045578624	0.0048876684	0.0048976196	1.002036	1.0E-5
6.1	8.7550525E-6	9.373287E-6	9.373287E-6	1.0	3.7521113E-5	4.0171068E-5	4.0171068E-5	1.0	4.567238E-4	4.890535E-4	4.890535E-4	1.0	0.0045578624	0.0048876684	0.0048976196	1.002036	1.0E-5
6.2	7.442295E-6	7.966726E-6	7.966726E-6	1.0	3.189516E-5	3.414311E-5	3.414311E-5	1.0	3.8825438E-4	4.156924E-4	4.156924E-4	1.0	0.0038757676	0.004156924	0.004156924	1.0	0.0

Contra Costa (Lafayette) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	6.655419E-6	7.024072E-6	7.024072E-6	1.0	2.8522913E-5	3.010283E-5	3.010283E-5	1.0	3.472111E-4	3.664423E-4	3.664423E-4	1.0	0.0034666911	0.0036630945	0.003673058	1.0027199	1.0E-5
6.1	6.655419E-6	7.024072E-6	7.024072E-6	1.0	2.8522913E-5	3.010283E-5	3.010283E-5	1.0	3.472111E-4	3.664423E-4	3.664423E-4	1.0	0.0034666911	0.0036630945	0.003673058	1.0027199	1.0E-5
6.2	6.6254133E-6	6.9924185E-6	6.9924185E-6	1.0	2.839432E-5	2.9967176E-5	2.9967176E-5	1.0	3.45646E-4	3.6479128E-4	3.6479128E-4	1.0	0.003451089	0.0036466382	0.0036566018	1.0027323	1.0E-5
6.3	6.6254133E-6	6.9924185E-6	6.9924185E-6	1.0	2.839432E-5	2.9967176E-5	2.9967176E-5	1.0	3.45646E-4	3.6479128E-4	3.6479128E-4	1.0	0.003451089	0.0036466382	0.0036566018	1.0027323	1.0E-5
6.4	6.6254133E-6	6.9924185E-6	6.9924185E-6	1.0	2.839432E-5	2.9967176E-5	2.9967176E-5	1.0	3.45646E-4	3.6479128E-4	3.6479128E-4	1.0	0.003451089	0.0036466382	0.0036566018	1.0027323	1.0E-5
6.5	6.606445E-6	6.9719267E-6	6.9719267E-6	1.0	2.8313027E-5	2.9879355E-5	2.9879355E-5	1.0	3.4465658E-4	3.637224E-4	3.637224E-4	1.0	0.0034412253	0.0036359846	0.0036459484	1.0027403	1.0E-5
6.6	6.59966E-6	6.9644484E-6	6.9644484E-6	1.0	2.828395E-5	2.9847306E-5	2.9847306E-5	1.0	3.4430268E-4	3.6333234E-4	3.6333234E-4	1.0	0.0034376972	0.0036320968	0.0036420606	1.0027432	1.0E-5
6.7	6.5570975E-6	6.9183416E-6	6.9183416E-6	1.0	2.8101544E-5	2.964971E-5	2.964971E-5	1.0	3.4208258E-4	3.609274E-4	3.609274E-4	1.0	0.0034155648	0.0036081257	0.0036180897	1.0027615	1.0E-5
6.8	5.472255E-6	5.7584934E-6	5.7584934E-6	1.0	2.345231E-5	2.4679028E-5	2.4679028E-5	1.0	2.8549446E-4	3.004262E-4	3.004262E-4	1.0	0.0028512797	0.0030047656	0.0030147356	1.0033181	1.0E-5
6.9	5.092346E-6	5.3477797E-6	5.3477797E-6	1.0	2.1824157E-5	2.2918857E-5	2.2918857E-5	1.0	2.656767E-4	2.7900175E-4	2.7900175E-4	1.0	0.002653593	0.0027910715	0.0028010437	1.0035728	1.0E-5
7.0	4.5525762E-6	4.7596122E-6	4.7596122E-6	1.0	1.9510895E-5	2.039818E-5	2.039818E-5	1.0	2.3751926E-4	2.4831982E-4	2.4831982E-4	1.0	0.0023726553	0.002484971	0.0024949461	1.0040141	1.0E-5
7.1	4.261504E-6	4.437828E-6	4.437828E-6	1.0	1.826346E-5	1.9019126E-5	1.9019126E-5	1.0	2.2233493E-4	2.3153353E-4	2.3153353E-4	1.0	0.002221126	0.0023174586	0.0023274356	1.0043051	1.0E-5
7.2	3.654114E-6	3.7749758E-6	3.7749758E-6	1.0	1.5660395E-5	1.6178368E-5	1.6178368E-5	1.0	1.9064861E-4	1.9695409E-4	1.9695409E-4	1.0	0.0019048514	0.0019723235	0.0019823038	1.0050602	1.0E-5
7.3	2.1595129E-6	2.3042098E-6	2.3042098E-6	1.0	9.255023E-6	9.875148E-6	9.875148E-6	1.0	1.1267407E-4	1.2022335E-4	1.2022335E-4	1.0	0.0011261696	0.0012060746	0.0012160626	1.0082814	1.0E-5
7.4	1.7532738E-6	1.8874932E-6	1.8874932E-6	1.0	7.5140088E-6	8.089231E-6	8.089231E-6	1.0	9.147922E-5	9.8481985E-5	9.8481985E-5	1.0	9.144157E-4	9.887633E-4	9.987534E-4	1.0101037	1.0E-5
7.5	9.387875E-7	1.0571225E-6	1.0571225E-6	1.0	4.0233685E-6	4.530517E-6	4.530517E-6	1.0	4.8983413E-5	5.5157663E-5	5.5157663E-5	1.0	4.897262E-4	5.553074E-4	5.553074E-4	1.0	0.0
7.6	2.7471893E-7	3.5616748E-7	3.5616748E-7	1.0	1.1773664E-6	1.5264311E-6	1.5264311E-6	1.0	1.433434E-5	1.8584142E-5	1.8584142E-5	1.0	1.4333417E-4	1.8951732E-4	1.8951732E-4	1.0	0.0
7.7	2.0057985E-7	2.8083826E-7	2.8083826E-7	1.0	8.596276E-7	1.203592E-6	1.203592E-6	1.0	1.0465916E-5	1.4653636E-5	1.4653636E-5	1.0	1.0465423E-4	1.5018172E-4	1.5018172E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	8.7403905E-8	1.3556075E-7	1.3556075E-7	1.0	3.745881E-7	5.8097453E-7	5.8097453E-7	1.0	4.5606007E-6	7.0733417E-6	7.0733417E-6	1.0	4.560507E-5	7.2864816E-5	7.2864816E-5	1.0	0.0
7.9	4.740233E-8	8.507617E-8	8.507617E-8	1.0	2.0315284E-7	3.646121E-7	3.646121E-7	1.0	2.473383E-6	4.4391436E-6	4.4391436E-6	1.0	2.4733554E-5	4.5805795E-5	4.5805795E-5	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.99164E-8	6.223441E-8	6.223441E-8	1.0	1.2821314E-7	2.667189E-7	2.667189E-7	1.0	1.5609938E-6	3.2472979E-6	3.2472979E-6	1.0	1.5609829E-5	3.3382923E-5	3.3382923E-5	1.0	0.0
8.1	4.431212E-10	8.2094676E-10	8.2094676E-10	1.0	1.899091E-9	3.518343E-9	3.518343E-9	1.0	2.3121432E-8	4.2835826E-8	4.2835826E-8	1.0	2.312143E-7	4.367791E-7	4.367791E-7	1.0	0.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	3.0131365E-5	3.2909946E-5	3.2909946E-5	1.0	1.2912804E-4	1.410356E-4	1.410356E-4	1.0	0.001571	0.0017158624	0.0017158624	1.0	0.015599402	0.017037032	0.017046861	1.000577	1.0E-5
6.1	3.0131365E-5	3.2909946E-5	3.2909946E-5	1.0	1.2912804E-4	1.410356E-4	1.410356E-4	1.0	0.001571	0.0017158624	0.0017158624	1.0	0.015599402	0.017037032	0.017046861	1.000577	1.0E-5
6.2	3.0131365E-5	3.2909946E-5	3.2909946E-5	1.0	1.2912804E-4	1.410356E-4	1.410356E-4	1.0	0.001571	0.0017158624	0.0017158624	1.0	0.015599402	0.017037032	0.017046861	1.000577	1.0E-5
6.3	1.6998249E-5	1.8386494E-5	1.8386494E-5	1.0	7.28476E-5	7.8796984E-5	7.8796984E-5	1.0	8.865586E-4	9.5894985E-4	9.5894985E-4	1.0	0.0088303005	0.009550056	0.009559961	1.0010371	1.0E-5
6.4	1.6998249E-5	1.8386494E-5	1.8386494E-5	1.0	7.28476E-5	7.8796984E-5	7.8796984E-5	1.0	8.865586E-4	9.5894985E-4	9.5894985E-4	1.0	0.0088303005	0.009550056	0.009559961	1.0010371	1.0E-5
6.5	1.27470785E-5	1.3733125E-5	1.3733125E-5	1.0	5.4629192E-5	5.885498E-5	5.885498E-5	1.0	6.649074E-4	7.163342E-4	7.163342E-4	1.0	0.0066292146	0.007141311	0.0071512396	1.0013903	1.0E-5
6.6	1.2739422E-5	1.3725202E-5	1.3725202E-5	1.0	5.4596385E-5	5.8821028E-5	5.8821028E-5	1.0	6.645082E-4	7.159211E-4	7.159211E-4	1.0	0.0066252467	0.0071372064	0.007147135	1.001391	1.0E-5
6.7	1.0160109E-5	1.0916551E-5	1.0916551E-5	1.0	4.35426E-5	4.6784422E-5	4.6784422E-5	1.0	5.300022E-4	5.694586E-4	5.694586E-4	1.0	0.005287399	0.005680709	0.0056906524	1.0017503	1.0E-5
6.8	8.349859E-6	8.957577E-6	8.957577E-6	1.0	3.578462E-5	3.838908E-5	3.838908E-5	1.0	4.3559066E-4	4.6729253E-4	4.6729253E-4	1.0	0.004347378	0.0046636676	0.0046736207	1.0021342	1.0E-5
6.9	5.193639E-6	5.5517035E-6	5.5517035E-6	1.0	2.2258262E-5	2.3792818E-5	2.3792818E-5	1.0	2.7096065E-4	2.896423E-4	2.896423E-4	1.0	0.0027063051	0.002892971	0.002892971	1.0	0.0
7.0	4.359381E-6	4.6562677E-6	4.6562677E-6	1.0	1.8682927E-5	1.9955298E-5	1.9955298E-5	1.0	2.274409E-4	2.4293165E-4	2.4293165E-4	1.0	0.0022720827	0.0024269556	0.0024269556	1.0	0.0
7.1	3.0398533E-6	3.2402038E-6	3.2402038E-6	1.0	1.3027877E-5	1.3886529E-5	1.3886529E-5	1.0	1.5860285E-4	1.6905801E-4	1.6905801E-4	1.0	0.001584897	0.0016895531	0.0016895531	1.0	0.0
7.2	1.642335E-6	1.73843E-6	1.73843E-6	1.0	7.0385595E-6	7.4504046E-6	7.4504046E-6	1.0	8.569109E-5	9.0706984E-5	9.0706984E-5	1.0	8.5658056E-4	9.069035E-4	9.069035E-4	1.0	0.0
7.3	3.356842E-7	3.307053E-7	3.307053E-7	1.0	1.4386458E-6	1.4173075E-6	1.4173075E-6	1.0	1.7515373E-5	1.7255583E-5	1.7255583E-5	1.0	1.7513991E-4	1.7254254E-4	1.7254254E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	2.1973483E-7	2.1111771E-7	2.1111771E-7	1.0	9.417204E-7	9.0478983E-7	9.0478983E-7	1.0	1.1465385E-5	1.1015761E-5	1.1015761E-5	1.0	1.1464794E-4	1.10152185E-4	1.10152185E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.1944135E-7	1.07878364E-7	1.07878364E-7	1.0	5.118914E-7	4.6233578E-7	4.6233578E-7	1.0	6.23226E-6	5.6289236E-6	5.6289236E-6	1.0	6.2320854E-5	5.6287823E-5	5.6287823E-5	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.636058E-8	3.417396E-8	3.417396E-8	1.0	1.9868818E-7	1.4645984E-7	1.4645984E-7	1.0	2.419026E-6	1.783147E-6	1.783147E-6	1.0	2.4189996E-5	1.783133E-5	1.783133E-5	1.0	0.0
7.7	1.8588572E-8	8.470025E-9	8.470025E-9	1.0	7.9665305E-8	3.6300104E-8	3.6300104E-8	1.0	9.699246E-7	4.419537E-7	4.419537E-7	1.0	9.699204E-6	4.4195285E-6	4.4195285E-6	1.0	0.0
7.8	2.7960154E-9	8.371204E-10	8.371204E-10	1.0	1.1982923E-8	3.5876582E-9	3.5876582E-9	1.0	1.4589209E-7	4.3679737E-8	4.3679737E-8	1.0	1.4589199E-6	4.3679734E-7	4.3679734E-7	1.0	0.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7296055E-5	1.8135564E-5	2.8135382E-5	1.5513928	1.0E-5	7.412385E-5	7.772165E-5	8.772087E-5	1.1286542	1.0E-5	9.0208417E-4	9.458711E-4	9.5586164E-4	1.0105623	1.0E-5	0.008984311	0.009420581	0.009430487	1.0010515	1.0E-5
6.1	1.7296055E-5	1.8135564E-5	2.8135382E-5	1.5513928	1.0E-5	7.412385E-5	7.772165E-5	8.772087E-5	1.1286542	1.0E-5	9.0208417E-4	9.458711E-4	9.5586164E-4	1.0105623	1.0E-5	0.008984311	0.009420581	0.009430487	1.0010515	1.0E-5
6.2	1.7296055E-5	1.8135564E-5	2.8135382E-5	1.5513928	1.0E-5	7.412385E-5	7.772165E-5	8.772087E-5	1.1286542	1.0E-5	9.0208417E-4	9.458711E-4	9.5586164E-4	1.0105623	1.0E-5	0.008984311	0.009420581	0.009430487	1.0010515	1.0E-5
6.3	1.0669118E-5	1.1153738E-5	2.1153626E-5	1.8965504	1.0E-5	4.5723988E-5	4.7800877E-5	5.7800396E-5	1.2091912	1.0E-5	5.5654737E-4	5.8182306E-4	5.9181725E-4	1.0171773	1.0E-5	0.0055515557	0.0058032954	0.0058132373	1.0017132	1.0E-5
6.4	1.0669118E-5	1.1153738E-5	2.1153626E-5	1.8965504	1.0E-5	4.5723988E-5	4.7800877E-5	5.7800396E-5	1.2091912	1.0E-5	5.5654737E-4	5.8182306E-4	5.9181725E-4	1.0171773	1.0E-5	0.0055515557	0.0058032954	0.0058132373	1.0017132	1.0E-5
6.5	8.790038E-6	9.18512E-6	1.9185029E-5	2.0887074	1.0E-5	3.767105E-5	3.9364215E-5	4.936382E-5	1.2540278	1.0E-5	4.585485E-4	4.7915548E-4	4.891507E-4	1.0208601	1.0E-5	0.0045760344	0.0047813887	0.004791341	1.0020814	1.0E-5
6.6	7.396949E-6	7.728041E-6	1.7727963E-5	2.293979	1.0E-5	3.1700827E-5	3.3119763E-5	4.311943E-5	1.3019246	1.0E-5	3.858892E-4	4.031595E-4	4.1315547E-4	1.0247941	1.0E-5	0.003852198	0.0040243887	0.0040343483	1.0024749	1.0E-5
6.7	6.4600285E-6	6.7489423E-6	1.6748874E-5	2.4817038	1.0E-5	2.7685543E-5	2.8923721E-5	3.8923434E-5	1.345727	1.0E-5	3.3701936E-4	3.520902E-4	3.6208666E-4	1.0283918	1.0E-5	0.0033650869	0.0035154056	0.0035253705	1.0028347	1.0E-5
6.8	5.600104E-6	5.8452547E-6	1.5845197E-5	2.7107794	1.0E-5	2.4000226E-5	2.5050855E-5	3.50506E-5	1.399178	1.0E-5	2.9216358E-4	3.0495206E-4	3.14949E-4	1.0327821	1.0E-5	0.0029177975	0.0030453976	0.0030553672	1.0032736	1.0E-5
6.9	4.839122E-6	5.0473545E-6	5.0473545E-6	1.0	0.0	2.0738931E-5	2.1631344E-5	2.1631344E-5	1.0	0.0	2.5246723E-4	2.6333024E-4	2.6333024E-4	1.0	0.0	0.002521806	0.0026302298	0.0026302298	1.0	0.0
7.0	3.6937633E-6	3.8511334E-6	3.8511334E-6	1.0	0.0	1.5830317E-5	1.6504755E-5	1.6504755E-5	1.0	0.0	1.9271708E-4	2.0092718E-4	2.0092718E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0019255003	0.0020074868	0.0020074868	1.0	0.0
7.1	2.7858857E-6	2.9022299E-6	2.9022299E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1939455E-5	1.243807E-5	1.243807E-5	1.0	0.0	1.4535317E-4	1.514232E-4	1.514232E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0014525814	0.0015132218	0.0015132218	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.1672065E-6	2.2574047E-6	2.2574047E-6	1.0	0.0	9.2879945E-6	9.674556E-6	9.674556E-6	1.0	0.0	1.1307546E-4	1.1778154E-4	1.1778154E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0011301794	0.0011772094	0.0011772094	1.0	0.0
7.3	1.4823496E-6	1.5445497E-6	1.5445497E-6	1.0	0.0	6.3529114E-6	6.619483E-6	6.619483E-6	1.0	0.0	7.734395E-5	8.058938E-5	8.058938E-5	1.0	0.0	7.731704E-4	8.056167E-4	8.056167E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	4.2321457E-7	4.4178742E-7	4.4178742E-7	1.0	0.0	1.8137755E-6	1.8933736E-6	1.8933736E-6	1.0	0.0	2.2082493E-5	2.3051625E-5	2.3051625E-5	1.0	0.0	2.2080299E-4	2.304969E-4	2.304969E-4	1.0	0.0
7.5	5.6942316E-8	5.95126E-8	5.95126E-8	1.0	0.0	2.440385E-7	2.5505398E-7	2.5505398E-7	1.0	0.0	2.9711643E-6	3.1052787E-6	3.1052787E-6	1.0	0.0	2.9711247E-5	3.105243E-5	3.105243E-5	1.0	0.0

Carson Range (Genoa)

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	4.1268457E-5	5.055362E-5	6.0553113E-5	1.1977998	1.0E-5	1.7685282E-4	2.1664254E-4	2.2664038E-4	1.046149	1.0E-5	0.0021510567	0.0026348298	0.0026448034	1.0037853	1.0E-5	0.02130354	0.026075987	0.026085727	1.0003735	1.0E-5
6.1	4.1268457E-5	5.055362E-5	6.0553113E-5	1.1977998	1.0E-5	1.7685282E-4	2.1664254E-4	2.2664038E-4	1.046149	1.0E-5	0.0021510567	0.0026348298	0.0026448034	1.0037853	1.0E-5	0.02130354	0.026075987	0.026085727	1.0003735	1.0E-5
6.2	4.1268457E-5	5.055362E-5	6.0553113E-5	1.1977998	1.0E-5	1.7685282E-4	2.1664254E-4	2.2664038E-4	1.046149	1.0E-5	0.0021510567	0.0026348298	0.0026448034	1.0037853	1.0E-5	0.02130354	0.026075987	0.026085727	1.0003735	1.0E-5
6.3	4.1268457E-5	5.055362E-5	6.0553113E-5	1.1977998	1.0E-5	1.7685282E-4	2.1664254E-4	2.2664038E-4	1.046149	1.0E-5	0.0021510567	0.0026348298	0.0026448034	1.0037853	1.0E-5	0.02130354	0.026075987	0.026085727	1.0003735	1.0E-5
6.4	4.1268457E-5	5.055362E-5	6.0553113E-5	1.1977998	1.0E-5	1.7685282E-4	2.1664254E-4	2.2664038E-4	1.046149	1.0E-5	0.0021510567	0.0026348298	0.0026448034	1.0037853	1.0E-5	0.02130354	0.026075987	0.026085727	1.0003735	1.0E-5
6.5	2.5677185E-5	3.1219817E-5	4.1219508E-5	1.3202994	1.0E-5	1.1004044E-4	1.337934E-4	1.4379206E-4	1.0747321	1.0E-5	0.0013389189	0.0016279	0.0016378838	1.0061328	1.0E-5	0.0133088045	0.01617791	0.016187748	1.0006081	1.0E-5
6.6	2.5677185E-5	3.1219817E-5	4.1219508E-5	1.3202994	1.0E-5	1.1004044E-4	1.337934E-4	1.4379206E-4	1.0747321	1.0E-5	0.0013389189	0.0016279	0.0016378838	1.0061328	1.0E-5	0.0133088045	0.01617791	0.016187748	1.0006081	1.0E-5
6.7	1.9969408E-5	2.4249935E-5	3.4249693E-5	1.4123622	1.0E-5	8.558037E-5	1.03925035E-4	1.13924E-4	1.0962132	1.0E-5	0.0010414429	0.0012647088	0.0012746961	1.0078969	1.0E-5	0.010365757	0.012590505	0.01260038	1.0007843	1.0E-5
6.8	1.4783156E-5	1.7955801E-5	2.795562E-5	1.5569131	1.0E-5	6.335485E-5	7.695191E-5	8.6951135E-5	1.1299413	1.0E-5	7.710722E-4	9.3661895E-4	9.466096E-4	1.0106667	1.0E-5	0.0076840227	0.0093397	0.009349607	1.0010607	1.0E-5
6.9	1.06660555E-5	1.2977919E-5	2.2977789E-5	1.7705295	1.0E-5	4.5710865E-5	5.5619126E-5	6.561857E-5	1.1797843	1.0E-5	5.5638765E-4	6.770695E-4	6.8706274E-4	1.0147595	1.0E-5	0.005549967	0.006761541	0.0067714737	1.0014689	1.0E-5
7.0	7.664838E-6	9.331057E-6	1.9330964E-5	2.0716798	1.0E-5	3.2848893E-5	3.9990246E-5	4.9989845E-5	1.250051	1.0E-5	3.998619E-4	4.8688124E-4	4.9687637E-4	1.0205289	1.0E-5	0.0039914316	0.0048688087	0.00487876	1.0020438	1.0E-5

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.7309593E-4	3.4598575E-4	3.4598575E-4	1.0	7.4162876E-4	0.0014819632	0.0014819632	1.0	0.008992008	0.017895939	0.01790576	1.0005488	1.0E-5	0.086367436	0.16208184	0.16209023	1.0000517	1.0E-5
6.1	1.7309593E-4	3.4598575E-4	3.4598575E-4	1.0	7.4162876E-4	0.0014819632	0.0014819632	1.0	0.008992008	0.017895939	0.01790576	1.0005488	1.0E-5	0.086367436	0.16208184	0.16209023	1.0000517	1.0E-5
6.2	1.7309593E-4	3.4598575E-4	3.4598575E-4	1.0	7.4162876E-4	0.0014819632	0.0014819632	1.0	0.008992008	0.017895939	0.01790576	1.0005488	1.0E-5	0.086367436	0.16208184	0.16209023	1.0000517	1.0E-5
6.3	1.7308246E-4	3.4598575E-4	3.4598575E-4	1.0	7.41571E-4	0.0014819632	0.0014819632	1.0	0.008991311	0.017895939	0.01790576	1.0005488	1.0E-5	0.08636101	0.16208184	0.16209023	1.0000517	1.0E-5
6.4	1.6334097E-4	3.2727898E-4	3.2727898E-4	1.0	6.998449E-4	0.001401879	0.001401879	1.0	0.008487372	0.016936349	0.01694618	1.0005804	1.0E-5	0.081704415	0.15417494	0.1541834	1.0000548	1.0E-5
6.5	1.5600289E-4	3.139218E-4	3.139218E-4	1.0	6.684125E-4	0.0013446939	0.0013446939	1.0	0.008107598	0.016250674	0.01626051	1.0006053	1.0E-5	0.078181036	0.14840068	0.14840919	1.0000573	1.0E-5
6.6	1.4046066E-4	2.8393025E-4	2.8393025E-4	1.0	6.018354E-4	0.0012162833	0.0012162833	1.0	0.0073027555	0.014709228	0.014719081	1.0006698	1.0E-5	0.07067384	0.13545834	0.13546698	1.0000638	1.0E-5
6.7	1.14696966E-4	2.3603553E-4	2.3603553E-4	1.0	4.914658E-4	0.0010111937	0.0010111937	1.0	0.0059671924	0.012242867	0.012252744	1.0008068	1.0E-5	0.058094822	0.11420154	0.1142104	1.0000776	1.0E-5
6.8	9.3874296E-5	1.9149952E-4	1.9149952E-4	1.0	4.0225635E-4	8.204578E-4	8.204578E-4	1.0	0.0048864787	0.009944064	0.009953964	1.0009956	1.0E-5	0.047804173	0.093902245	0.093911305	1.0000964	1.0E-5
6.9	5.551852E-5	1.0957446E-4	1.0957446E-4	1.0	2.3791482E-4	4.6952095E-4	4.6952095E-4	1.0	0.0028927654	0.0057015563	0.005711499	1.0017439	1.0E-5	0.028553981	0.055299785	0.055309232	1.0001708	1.0E-5
7.0	4.2662363E-5	8.4262945E-5	8.4262945E-5	1.0	1.8282588E-4	3.6107734E-4	3.6107734E-4	1.0	0.0022236328	0.00438733	0.0043972856	1.0022693	1.0E-5	0.022015138	0.042914715	0.042924285	1.000223	1.0E-5
7.1	3.305886E-5	6.467065E-5	6.467065E-5	1.0	1.4167312E-4	2.771306E-4	2.771306E-4	1.0	0.0017235056	0.0033688645	0.0033788309	1.0029584	1.0E-5	0.017101998	0.03323879	0.033248458	1.0002909	1.0E-5
7.2	2.9856887E-5	5.859033E-5	5.859033E-5	1.0	1.2795182E-4	2.5107735E-4	2.5107735E-4	1.0	0.0015567001	0.0030525993	0.0030525993	1.0	0.0	0.015458403	0.030206604	0.030206604	1.0	0.0
7.3	2.4559737E-5	4.7321046E-5	4.7321046E-5	1.0	1.0525176E-4	2.027888E-4	2.027888E-4	1.0	0.0012806869	0.0024661717	0.0024661717	1.0	0.0	0.012733313	0.02450028	0.02450028	1.0	0.0
7.4	1.9002231E-5	3.6163736E-5	3.6163736E-5	1.0	8.143559E-5	1.549783E-4	1.549783E-4	1.0	9.910273E-4	0.0018852382	0.0018852382	1.0	0.0	0.009866194	0.018801408	0.018801408	1.0	0.0
7.5	1.2783333E-5	2.4170711E-5	2.4170711E-5	1.0	5.4784563E-5	1.0358469E-4	1.0358469E-4	1.0	6.667979E-4	0.0012604201	0.0012604201	1.0	0.0	0.006648007	0.012621632	0.012621632	1.0	0.0
7.6	4.8149627E-6	9.244292E-6	9.244292E-6	1.0	2.063539E-5	3.9617804E-5	3.9617804E-5	1.0	2.5120692E-4	4.822413E-4	4.822413E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0025092314	0.0048552766	0.0048552766	1.0	0.0
7.7	6.0838227E-7	1.3006918E-6	1.3006918E-6	1.0	2.6073499E-6	5.5743817E-6	5.5743817E-6	1.0	3.174402E-5	6.7865985E-5	6.7865985E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1739488E-4	6.9843914E-4	6.9843914E-4	1.0	0.0
7.8	4.5542808E-7	1.0641218E-6	1.0641218E-6	1.0	1.9518332E-6	4.560514E-6	4.560514E-6	1.0	2.376331E-5	5.5522843E-5	5.5522843E-5	1.0	0.0	2.3760769E-4	5.7272456E-4	5.7272456E-4	1.0	0.0
7.9	3.3016747E-7	8.054676E-7	8.054676E-7	1.0	1.4150027E-6	3.4519994E-6	3.4519994E-6	1.0	1.7227521E-5	4.2027285E-5	4.2027285E-5	1.0	0.0	1.7226185E-4	4.3124746E-4	4.3124746E-4	1.0	0.0
8.0	2.347038E-7	5.9762E-7	5.9762E-7	1.0	1.0058731E-6	2.561226E-6	2.561226E-6	1.0	1.2246436E-5	3.1182484E-5	3.1182484E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2245761E-4	3.177149E-4	3.177149E-4	1.0	0.0
8.1	1.18822804E-7	2.8471285E-7	2.8471285E-7	1.0	5.092405E-7	1.2201973E-6	1.2201973E-6	1.0	6.1999854E-6	1.4855803E-5	1.4855803E-5	1.0	0.0	6.199812E-5	1.5093607E-4	1.5093607E-4	1.0	0.0

Great Valley 04a Trout Creek

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	1.4088538E-5	1.5787504E-5	2.5787345E-5	1.6334023	1.0E-5	6.037805E-5	6.765904E-5	7.765837E-5	1.14779	1.0E-5	7.3485484E-4	8.2345016E-4	8.334419E-4	1.0121341	1.0E-5	0.007324295	0.008205285	0.008215204	1.0012088	1.0E-5
6.1	1.4088538E-5	1.5787504E-5	2.5787345E-5	1.6334023	1.0E-5	6.037805E-5	6.765904E-5	7.765837E-5	1.14779	1.0E-5	7.3485484E-4	8.2345016E-4	8.334419E-4	1.0121341	1.0E-5	0.007324295	0.008205285	0.008215204	1.0012088	1.0E-5
6.2	1.4088538E-5	1.5787504E-5	2.5787345E-5	1.6334023	1.0E-5	6.037805E-5	6.765904E-5	7.765837E-5	1.14779	1.0E-5	7.3485484E-4	8.2345016E-4	8.334419E-4	1.0121341	1.0E-5	0.007324295	0.008205285	0.008215204	1.0012088	1.0E-5
6.3	1.2882862E-5	1.4440885E-5	2.444074E-5	1.6924683	1.0E-5	5.5211098E-5	6.18881E-5	7.188748E-5	1.161572	1.0E-5	6.7198783E-4	7.5323763E-4	7.632301E-4	1.013266	1.0E-5	0.0066995937	0.0075079184	0.0075178435	1.0013219	1.0E-5
6.4	1.2882862E-5	1.4440885E-5	2.444074E-5	1.6924683	1.0E-5	5.5211098E-5	6.18881E-5	7.188748E-5	1.161572	1.0E-5	6.7198783E-4	7.5323763E-4	7.632301E-4	1.013266	1.0E-5	0.0066995937	0.0075079184	0.0075178435	1.0013219	1.0E-5
6.5	1.2762329E-5	1.4306905E-5	2.430676E-5	1.6989533	1.0E-5	5.469455E-5	6.131392E-5	7.131331E-5	1.1630851	1.0E-5	6.657027E-4	7.462518E-4	7.5624435E-4	1.0133903	1.0E-5	0.00663712	0.0074385284	0.007448454	1.0013343	1.0E-5
6.6	1.2762329E-5	1.4306905E-5	2.430676E-5	1.6989533	1.0E-5	5.469455E-5	6.131392E-5	7.131331E-5	1.1630851	1.0E-5	6.657027E-4	7.462518E-4	7.5624435E-4	1.0133903	1.0E-5	0.00663712	0.0074385284	0.007448454	1.0013343	1.0E-5
6.7	1.2557959E-5	1.40802495E-5	2.408011E-5	1.7102047	1.0E-5	5.3818712E-5	6.034259E-5	7.034199E-5	1.1657104	1.0E-5	6.5504585E-4	7.344338E-4	7.444265E-4	1.013606	1.0E-5	0.006531183	0.00732113	0.007331057	1.0013559	1.0E-5
6.8	1.1871544E-5	1.3316583E-5	2.331645E-5	1.7509334	1.0E-5	5.0877054E-5	5.706988E-5	6.706931E-5	1.1752138	1.0E-5	6.1925204E-4	6.9461437E-4	7.0460746E-4	1.0143865	1.0E-5	0.0061752927	0.006925459	0.0069353897	1.001434	1.0E-5
6.9	1.0500373E-5	1.1782458E-5	2.178234E-5	1.8487093	1.0E-5	4.5000823E-5	5.049532E-5	6.0494815E-5	1.1980282	1.0E-5	5.4774724E-4	6.146158E-4	6.2460965E-4	1.0162604	1.0E-5	0.005463991	0.006130033	0.006139972	1.0016214	1.0E-5
7.0	8.524332E-6	9.57539E-6	9.57539E-6	1.0	0.0	3.653234E-5	4.1036783E-5	4.1036783E-5	1.0	0.0	4.4469046E-4	4.9951574E-4	4.9951574E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0044380166	0.0049846675	0.0049846675	1.0	0.0
7.1	6.006849E-6	6.7406013E-6	6.7406013E-6	1.0	0.0	2.5743384E-5	2.8888004E-5	2.8888004E-5	1.0	0.0	3.1338062E-4	3.516603E-4	3.516603E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0031293905	0.0035115941	0.0035115941	1.0	0.0
7.2	2.9122193E-6	3.2600196E-6	3.2600196E-6	1.0	0.0	1.248088E-5	1.39714475E-5	1.39714475E-5	1.0	0.0	1.5194413E-4	1.7009086E-4	1.7009086E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015184027	0.0016997803	0.0016997803	1.0	0.0
7.3	7.2194007E-7	8.016813E-7	8.016813E-7	1.0	0.0	3.0940253E-6	3.4357752E-6	3.4357752E-6	1.0	0.0	3.7669106E-5	4.1830222E-5	4.1830222E-5	1.0	0.0	3.766272E-4	4.182689E-4	4.182689E-4	1.0	0.0
7.4	3.112171E-8	3.198916E-8	3.198916E-8	1.0	0.0	1.3337875E-7	1.370964E-7	1.370964E-7	1.0	0.0	1.6238852E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.6691473E-6	1.0	0.0	1.6238733E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.6691356E-5	1.0	0.0

Almanor 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week	1 Month	1 Year	10 Year

Magnitude	1 wk TI Prob	1 wk TD Prob	1 wk ETAS Prob	1 wk ETAS/TD Gain	1 wk ETAS Triggered Only	1 mo TI Prob	1 mo TD Prob	1 mo ETAS Prob	1 mo ETAS/TD Gain	1 mo ETAS Triggered Only	1 yr TI Prob	1 yr TD Prob	1 yr ETAS Prob	1 yr ETAS/TD Gain	1 yr ETAS Triggered Only	10 yr TI Prob	10 yr TD Prob	10 yr ETAS Prob	10 yr ETAS/TD Gain	10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.0	5.1235038E-5	5.779442E-5	6.7793844E-5	1.173017	1.0E-5	2.1956026E-4	2.476706E-4	2.576681E-4	1.0403662	1.0E-5	0.0026698692	0.0030118132	0.0030217832	1.0033102	1.0E-5	0.026380196	0.029768253	0.029777955	1.0003259	1.0E-5
6.1	4.4387216E-5	5.779442E-5	6.7793844E-5	1.173017	1.0E-5	1.9021705E-4	2.476706E-4	2.576681E-4	1.0403662	1.0E-5	0.0023134327	0.0030118132	0.0030217832	1.0033102	1.0E-5	0.022894967	0.029768253	0.029777955	1.0003259	1.0E-5
6.2	4.4387216E-5	5.779442E-5	6.7793844E-5	1.173017	1.0E-5	1.9021705E-4	2.476706E-4	2.576681E-4	1.0403662	1.0E-5	0.0023134327	0.0030118132	0.0030217832	1.0033102	1.0E-5	0.022894967	0.029768253	0.029777955	1.0003259	1.0E-5
6.3	2.9523822E-5	3.8357233E-5	3.8357233E-5	1.0	0.0	1.2652454E-4	1.6438033E-4	1.6438033E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0015393476	0.0019999102	0.0019999102	1.0	0.0	0.015287281	0.019859154	0.019859154	1.0	0.0
6.4	2.0512744E-5	2.6595782E-5	2.6595782E-5	1.0	0.0	8.79088E-5	1.1397904E-4	1.1397904E-4	1.0	0.0	0.001069764	0.0013871702	0.0013871702	1.0	0.0	0.010646289	0.01381912	0.01381912	1.0	0.0
6.5	1.6750226E-5	2.1669928E-5	2.1669928E-5	1.0	0.0	7.178471E-5	9.2869996E-5	9.2869996E-5	1.0	0.0	8.7362836E-4	0.0011304591	0.0011304591	1.0	0.0	0.008702018	0.0112807695	0.0112807695	1.0	0.0
6.6	1.4745303E-5	1.90629E-5	1.90629E-5	1.0	0.0	6.319262E-5	8.169774E-5	8.169774E-5	1.0	0.0	7.690986E-4	9.945714E-4	9.945714E-4	1.0	0.0	0.0076644225	0.009935062	0.009935062	1.0	0.0
6.7	9.951145E-7	1.1491123E-6	1.1491123E-6	1.0	0.0	4.26477E-6	4.9247587E-6	4.9247587E-6	1.0	0.0	5.1922336E-5	5.995746E-5	5.995746E-5	1.0	0.0	5.1910203E-4	5.994297E-4	5.994297E-4	1.0	0.0
6.8	5.866312E-7	6.778665E-7	6.778665E-7	1.0	0.0	2.5141312E-6	2.9051396E-6	2.9051396E-6	1.0	0.0	3.0609117E-5	3.536963E-5	3.536963E-5	1.0	0.0	3.06049E-4	3.5365258E-4	3.5365258E-4	1.0	0.0

Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Table Of Contents

Mendocino

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

Bear River fault zone

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

King Range 2011 CFM

Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM

Trinidad (alt1)

Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM

Russ 2011 CFM

Little Salmon (Onshore)

Little Salmon (Offshore)

Maacama 2011 CFM

Table Bluff

Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM

McKinleyville (alt1)

Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

Mad River (alt1)

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Mojave S)

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Parkfield)

San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM

Green Valley 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

San Andreas (Big Bend)

San Andreas (Mojave N)

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

South Klamath Lake East

Likely 2011 CFM

Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM

Surprise Valley 2011 CFM

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

Davis Creek

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

Fickle Hill (alt1)

West Napa 2011 CFM

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

West Tahoe

Point Reyes 2011 CFM

Hosgri

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1

Reliz 2011 CFM

San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM

South Klamath Lake West

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

Pleito

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

Franklin 2011 CFM

Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

Lost Hills

Fitzhugh Creek

Santa Cruz Island

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

Ortigalita (South)

Rinconada 2011 CFM

Pittville 2011 CFM

Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1

Greenville (No) 2011 CFM

Whittier alt 1

Great Valley 02

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley

Red Pass

Concord 2011 CFM

Sargent 2011 CFM